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Rovers May Survive Martian Winter

yokem_55 writes "According to this article on Yahoo News, Mars rover engineers are beginning to consider the possibility that the rovers may be able to survive the oncoming Martian winter in a hibernation mode, and then return to activity when spring returns to the red planet. The article ends with a quote from Steve Squires speculating that, 'we're looking at the final demise of these vehicles perhaps as late as the onset of our second winter on Mars.'"

82 of 266 comments (clear)

  1. Why wouldn't this work by it0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Why wouldn't this work in the first place, a couple of solar cells and you're good to go?

    I'm probably missing something.

    1. Re:Why wouldn't this work by agoatley · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think that there's enough solar energy during a Martian winter...
      -Ashton

    2. Re:Why wouldn't this work by dominux · · Score: 3, Informative

      they have lots of solar cells but they don't work as well as they might when covered in a layer of sticky redish sand.

    3. Re:Why wouldn't this work by HermesHuang · · Score: 5, Informative

      1) during winter sun is weaker, would get less power 2) I'm sure some things, like the batteries, are affected by the temperature. In general lower temperatures increase activation energy barriers, so there's a chance the batteries will be weaker as well 4) Temperature gradient between relatively hot parts of operating rover (such as computer equipment, etc) and outside air will stress the rovers; also temperature cycling from turning off at night and turning back on in daytime will take the rover's equipment along a fairly large range of temperatures which is a good way to break delicate equipment. 3) I sure don't want to be chipping at rocks when it's -100C.... But then again the rovers probably don't care about frostbite as much

    4. Re:Why wouldn't this work by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I just had a brainwave, and wondered what the strange noise was....

      No Seriously why dont they just use disposable lens covers, like they make for motorcycle visors... when it gets covered with crap, just use a little robotic arm or something to remove it.

      Wonder whether the nice folks at nasa have thought of this

      oh well looks like i will have to trundle down to the local patent office and get this one in before Microsoft or SCO hey :-P

    5. Re:Why wouldn't this work by noselasd · · Score: 2, Informative

      One of the main things is dust. The solar cells on the rovers eventually
      get coated with fine dust.

    6. Re:Why wouldn't this work by Anonvmous+Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "No Seriously why dont they just use disposable lens covers, like they make for motorcycle visors... when it gets covered with crap, just use a little robotic arm or something to remove it."

      Why does everybody assume they thought of something that NASA didn't?

  2. Props to NASA by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Always nice to see the reminder that NASA can do great fucking engineering when the mission is properly separated from politics.

    --

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    1. Re:Props to NASA by madprof · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Absolutely. This mission can only be considered an unqualified success. What is most pleasing is the fact that they now have a better idea of how to make future missions work this well too.

  3. Re:Couldn't they think about this sooner? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    They were never designed to last past April. Both rovers are already well past their life expectancies.

  4. Is it just me... by Viceice · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Does anyone else get the feeling that the rovers were actually designed to last this long, but the lifespan that was published was a PR version that was extraordinarily short, so that in the event the rovers didn't last this long, they could save having to answer questions?

    Plus if it worked to spec, they could spin it up like this now, saying it lasted way beyond spec?

    Anyway, I'm not complaining, it's good that the rovers are still healthy and are expected to last longer.. it's way overdue.

    --
    Sometimes I wish I was a plumber, then I'd know how to deal with other people's shit.
    1. Re:Is it just me... by torpor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does anyone else get the feeling that the rovers were actually designed to last this long, but the lifespan that was published was a PR version that was extraordinarily short, so that in the event the rovers didn't last this long, they could save having to answer questions?


      Yes. Two words: Insurance Policy.

      NASA can't keep paying insurance on the rovers for years and years, so they plan (in the budget) for limited life times. Set your targets low, get as much done as you can within the limits of those targets, and get out.

      But we should never forget that our estimations for how long things last are completely arbitrary ... until after we've had the experience to back up the assumptions made about the longevity of the hardware.

      The lifetime of the rovers is not so much about science as it is about beauracracy and politices, and ultimately 'responsibility'.

      Personally, I don't see why we just kick out the beauracrats entirely, throw all Insurance premium mafia ripoffs to the winds, and build harder rovers.

      Maybe we don't need to keep going to Mars, maybe we just need to 'learn to stay there' technologically longer than our society is currently capable of supporting. (Insurance is a 'society' thing, it isn't technological...)

      --
      ; -- the corruption of government starts with its secrets. a truly free people keep no secrets. --
    2. Re:Is it just me... by dj245 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Does anyone else get the feeling that the rovers were actually designed to last this long, but the lifespan that was published was a PR version that was extraordinarily short, so that in the event the rovers didn't last this long...

      Reminds me of a Scotty quote, I can't seem to find it online, but it had something to do with him always telling the captain that it would take 10 hours to fix something when it would really take 5, so when Kirk told him to do it in 5 it would make him look brilliant. The rule of halfs I guess. But what if your superior asks for it in 4 hours? I guess you're screwed then.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    3. Re:Is it just me... by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 2, Interesting
      You sound surprised? In the business world, these tactics are called 'managing expectations' and 'limiting liability'.

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    4. Re:Is it just me... by dj245 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      NASA is a government agency and like other agencies has learned to vallue of understating goals and objects just incase something does happen.

      As compared to a capitolistic society where companies always overstate their goals and products just incase their compeditor does the same. Its interesting that we have two sectors: the government, and free enterprise; and they both have similar goals- be profitable, provide for their 'customers', remain in business. And they have evolved to completely opposite tactics, in some cases.

      I'm sure there are some companies that don't overstate their products, and I know that some government agencies do, But there have been plenty of times I have gone to X government agency and been surprised at all they can do for me, and lots of times products have not lived up to expectations.

      --
      Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
    5. Re:Is it just me... by Daedalus+Jones · · Score: 2, Informative

      Yes. Yes. Yes... Bureaucratic cowards! There are so many projects that have been snuffed because NASA feared negative PR in the event of failure. NASA is the Cathedral! However, the general population does view space travel as a bit of a frivolous thing and so its easy to sympathize with their plight. Here is one project that NASA killed that actually offered the possibility of interplanetary travel. Project Orion (projectorion.com doesn't seem to be around anymore.)

      --
      "Those who are willing to sacrifice freedom for comfort deserve neither." --Benjamin Franklin
    6. Re:Is it just me... by fiftyfly · · Score: 4, Funny

      LaForge gets some wise but unwanted advice from Scotty. Scotty: Do ye mind a little advice? Starfleet captains are like children. They want everything right now, and they want it their way. But the secret is to give only what they need, not what they want! LaForge: Yeah, well I told the captain I'd have this analysis done in an hour. Scotty: And how long would it really take? LaForge: An hour! Scotty: Oh, ye didn't tell him how long it would really take, did ye? LaForge: Well, of course I did. Scotty: Oh, laddie, ye've got a lot to learn if ye want people to think of ye as a miracle worker! --Relics

      --
      "Sanity is not statistical", George Orwell, "1984"
    7. Re:Is it just me... by EvilNight · · Score: 4, Informative

      I believe this is the quote you are looking for.

      KIRK: Your timing is excellent, Mr.Scott. You've fixed the barn door after the horse has come home. How much refit time till we can take her out again?

      SCOTTY: Eight weeks, sir.(as Kirk opens his mouth) But you don't have eight weeks so I'll do it for ya in two.

      KIRK: (considers) Mr. Scott. Have you always multiplied your repair estimates by a factor of four?

      SCOTTY: Certainly, sir. How else can I keep my reputation as a miracle worker?

      KIRK: Your reputation is secure, Scotty.

      Hey, I've used this as a rule of thumb for computer work time estimates, and while a factor of four is usually excessive (unless dealing with a real asshole), two is always a good idea, and three is good if you're a bit unsure of the situation. If you've worked in computers you know how unpredictable a troubleshooting situation can be. I can only imagine how much more complex it is in the engineering world.

      --
      Hell is being intelligent in a world full of idiots.
    8. Re:Is it just me... by Smidge204 · · Score: 5, Funny

      "Sir! We have lost contact with the probes!"

      "Oh no! The mission is in jeopardy! Hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars wasted!"

      "But there is some good news, sir."

      "Really? What?"

      "We saved a bunch of money on the insurance by switching to Geico!"

      =Smidge=

    9. Re:Is it just me... by mOdQuArK! · · Score: 2, Funny

      You know you've got a good marketing campaign when everyone is writing the contents of the ads for you.

  5. Dusty solar panels by Mostly+a+lurker · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Just a question I am curious about: given that the problem of dust buildup degrading the operation of the solar panels was anticipated, was there no way of incorporating some cleaning mechanism?

    1. Re:Dusty solar panels by JabberWokky · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Why? The rest of the components were designed to last for a shorter time. The mission was designed to do many things in a fairly short period of time. Thus the entire system was designed to do that. It's like asking why a missile targeting system doesn't have a log cycle routine; by the time the log needs to rollover, the hardware is in tiny pieces.

      A dust cleaner would be another thing that could fail... as would anything else to extend the mission time frame. Instead of a more complex system that could run a year, they made a simple system to last a couple months. Simple seems to be a really good thing when you can't go over and kick it if it gets stuck.

      --
      Evan

      --
      "$30 for the One True Ring. $10 each additional ring!" -- JRR "Bob" Tolkien
  6. It is utterly inhumane by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    It is utterly inhumane to send them to Mars without building a hut for it to hibernate through the winter.

    Dude! it is a robot!

    1. Re:It is utterly inhumane by Artifakt · · Score: 2, Funny

      Maybe NASA could steer them towards each other, and they could huddle together for warmth. ;-)

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
  7. Re:Problems? by quasipunk+guy · · Score: 3, Funny

    IT FUCKING FLEW THROUGH MILLIONS OF MILES OF SPACE.

    They're NASA, you're just some chump behind a computer.

  8. Parking Up by squoozer · · Score: 3, Funny

    Lets just hope they park them somewhere out of the worst of the weather. Oh, and that they remembered to pack the jump leads.

    --
    I used to have a better sig but it broke.
  9. Re:Couldn't they think about this sooner? by mlush · · Score: 2, Informative
    Couldn't they prepare better for this or did I miss something?

    Both Rovers were designed to work for 90 days anything more than this is a bonus, they were not even designed to last till winter. If they can survive it thats a bigger bonus!

  10. The sweetest sight. by vchoy · · Score: 4, Funny

    As a system admin/engineer/operater etc etc, the wait for something to come up again, and seeing something like the following is a nice and satisfying feeling:

    Rover>ping -t mars_rover

    Pinging mars_rover with 32 bytes of data:

    Request timed out.
    Request timed out.
    Request timed out.
    Request timed out.
    Request timed out.
    Request timed out. .......
    Reply from 192.168.1.2: bytes=32 time=2ms TTL=64
    Reply from 192.168.1.2: bytes=32 time=1ms TTL=64
    Reply from 192.168.1.2: bytes=32 time=6ms TTL=64
    Reply from 192.168.1.2: bytes=32 time=6ms TTL=64

    Ping statistics for 192.168.1.2:
    Packets: Sent = 9, Received = 4, Lost = 5 (55% loss),
    Approximate round trip times in milli-seconds:
    Minimum = 1ms, Maximum = 6ms, Average = 3ms

    1. Re:The sweetest sight. by jwe21 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Try

      Approximate round trip times in milli-seconds:
      Minimum = 9000ms, Maximum=10000ms, Average=9100ms

    2. Re:The sweetest sight. by larien · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hrm, nice, you've broken the speed of light with ICMP packets; round trip time to Mars would be a number of seconds/minutes....

    3. Re:The sweetest sight. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      At its recent closest approach, Mars was 34.65 million miles away from Earth. Light travels 186,282 miles/second. Minimum round-trip to Mars would be 372 seconds.

    4. Re:The sweetest sight. by thetoastman · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Hmm . . . .

      Best distance to Mars . . . . 0.38 AU

      3.8E-01 * 9.3E07 = 3.534E07 miles
      3.534E07 / 6 ms = 5.89E05 miles / ms
      5.89E05 miles/ms = 5.89E09 miles/sec

      5.89E09 / 1.86E05 = 3.2E04 times speed of light

      Someone phone the Vulcans, we have warp.

      If someone has the distance from Earth to Mars at the end of the Martian winter, plus a more accurate number for the speed of light in a vaccuum, please clean up the number.

      Oh, and if we're talking about networks, we've not included propogation delay nor the speed of light for the (small) distance that the signal is present on copper.

    5. Re:The sweetest sight. by stud9920 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Wow ! You mean Mars is only 10 light seconds away ? Duck and cover !

    6. Re:The sweetest sight. by rk · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually, as of the time I am writing this (0112 UTC on 10 Jun), Mars is 20 light minutes 9 light seconds away.

      9 lm is about Mars' closest approach to the Earth, which as you may recall was nearly a year ago.

  11. EOL underestimated by some1somewhere · · Score: 4, Interesting

    It seems that with many recent NASA missions they greatly underestimate the capabilities and timelines , then act like something is a great big bonus if it actually outlasts or outperforms the underestimated goal.

    Sure... this is one way to make sure people are not disappointed, because if you always tell people the lowest goal then they'll only be overjoyed if it does any better... but is this the new way forwards?

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    1. Re:EOL underestimated by SsShane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Tell that to the Beagle guys. Just the fact that we landed both of them in the first place is an accomplishment.

  12. Re:Couldn't they think about this sooner? by Andy+Mitchell · · Score: 5, Insightful

    These things are engineered to last a certain ammount of time, as component specifications are generally conservative equipment will often last longer than it was designed for.

    Take the voyager 2 probe, this was launched with the intent of exploring Jupier and Saturn. But they managed to extend the mission out to both Neptune and Uranus.

    Of course they thought about these posibilities, they chose the launch date such that they could continue their slingshot in that direction :-)

  13. Exactly, they experimented with cleaning tech... by Phoenixhunter · · Score: 5, Interesting

    But found that with all of the weight constraints, it was easier to simply have larger panels than they needed. I heard about it on an interview over on NPR.

  14. Re:Problems? by chabotc · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I know i'm asking for the imposible here, but couldn't you have read the article first before asking us to spend time telling you things that are already in the article? WTF makes our time so cheap, and you so precious that we have to digest this short article for you so you dont have to read it!

    Anyhow to awnser your question, allow me to quote the article: "Part of the wintering over strategy will involve positioning the rovers to soak up as much continuous sunlight, even as the Sun moves low in the martian sky, Bell said. Secondly, the robots are to be oriented so that communications links with orbiters zipping overhead is maximized, he pointed out."

    In otherwords, they will go into low power mode, but not be switched off, and hopefully be positioned so that they wont loose communication for very long, if ever

  15. Lucky Nasa boys by Lakedemon · · Score: 2, Funny

    I always wanted to play with a teleguided car too, when I was little.

    Damn *%$!%& Santa never brought one.....sob...

  16. The important question... by Sneeka2 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Even though I RTFA, I still don't know when spring will come on Mars. If I remember correctly the Martian year is about twice as long as Earth's year (or was it?). But what about the seasons?

    --
    Bitten Apples are still better than dirty Windows...
    1. Re:The important question... by mcguire · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think they could both be in the northern (or southern) hemisphere and still be on opposite sides of the globe. Eg, Russia and Canada or Australia and Argentina.

    2. Re:The important question... by M1FCJ · · Score: 2, Funny
      About the same length. On the other hand, of course, they have 8 seasons instead of usual four.

      Winter, not-so-winter, spring, not-so-spring, summer, not-so-summer, autumn, damn-cold-here-time.

    3. Re:The important question... by DustMagnet · · Score: 4, Informative
      Martian seasons are more irregular than Earth's. This is because it has an eccentric orbit, which also causes a milder variation in the north than in the south.

      Spring 171 days
      Summer 199 days
      Fall 171 days
      Winter 146 days

      --
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  17. Oh, it's more a question of lack of sunlight by bananahammock · · Score: 3, Interesting

    A-ha. I thought they were concerned that the winter temperature may be too harsh for the rovers (wouldn't space be colder than the surface of mars? Notwithstanding direct sunlight). However the article mentions: "Right now, we're seeing a pretty sharp drop off in solar power on both vehicles. That's a consequence of both the onset of winter and declining solar power because of the dust build-up" So wiat until spring when hopefully everything will fire up with more solar power.

  18. These rover's are certainly tough by AC-x · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Maybe they were made by Toyota?

    On a more serious note I remember reading that after a certain amount of time in this extended mission they would have shut the rovers down because they didn't have the money to keep the control room going, but I guess as they're talking about keeping them going longer still I'd hope they've been able to find a bit more cash

  19. Re:Problems? by term8or · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The article doesn't go into enough details, but I would think that even in the worst Martian winter the solar panels would generate *some* power, with battery backup for the worst storms.

    You're right to say that if you were to keep in continuous radio contact it would use too much power, but waiting for the spring and then getting into radio contact shouldn't use that much power. After all, the rovers will have been in hibernation for many months on the journey to mars.

    --



    "As a writer / novelist you might want to spellcheck your sig. :) " - AC
  20. The next Martian Rovers by Timesprout · · Score: 4, Funny

    should have wings so they can fly south in the winter and then back again in spring.

    --
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    What truth?
    There is no dupe
    1. Re:The next Martian Rovers by colinleroy · · Score: 3, Informative

      should have wings so they can fly
      Should be pretty big wings, with an average 7 millibars pressure at ground level.

      --
      blah
    2. Re:The next Martian Rovers by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I've flown on Mars in simulation. (X-Plane Rules!) It's quite difficult, because inertia is the same, but the low density atmosphere means you have very large turning radii. For going in straight lines, it's not bad. Turning, landing, taking off, or anything else that requires velocity changes made using normal airplane controls (rudder, aileron, etc) is difficult.

      --
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    3. Re:The next Martian Rovers by argStyopa · · Score: 2, Informative

      You mean like this?
      http://www.space.com/businesstechnology/tec hnology /mars_plane_020612-1.html

      "An evolved ready-for-Mars craft would sport a nearly 65-feet (20-meter) wing span. Also, that wing would be inflatable and topped by energizing solar cells."

      --
      -Styopa
  21. Hey tell Nasa by kiwirob · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hey tell Nasa that to survice the winters on mars they only have to get some guy to go into the mountain where the alien machine is placed. But your hand on some funny looking device with a hand holder thing. once your hand goes in the hand holder thing the machine will melt all the stored ice and create an atmosphere.

    Duh!!

    You would think they would have seen "Total Recall" already, what have they been doing?

  22. Possible Martian intervention? by OwlWhacker · · Score: 5, Funny

    I wonder if the Martians will think they're some kind of strange tortoise, and put them away in a cardboard box?

  23. Re:Note to self by Ariane+6 · · Score: 5, Informative

    As one who actually works on the mars program (orbiters, though, not the rovers), I can tell you that MANY different options were considered. Most weighed enough that you'd have to sacrifice instrumentation to implement them, however, and as the nominal mission was only nintey days, it was decided that more guaranteed science results during that period were preferable to uncertian return during the extended mission.

    The best idea I've heard so far for dust removal was to use electrostatic forces to make it all jump off, but for similar reasons this was not flown either.

  24. Oh like no one saw this coming.... by MachDelta · · Score: 4, Funny
    Then i realised that it was just an over-exictable geek with too much time on their hands and no evident form of life.
    You must be new here.
  25. good for them by Stalke · · Score: 3, Funny

    When I read this, the first thing to pop into my mind was the theme song from Gilligan's Island: "A three hour tour..."

    --
    -?-
  26. PR necessities of researchers by 0x0d0a · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So, here's the problem.

    NASA does astronomy. To be very blunt and honest, astronomy provides very few concrete short-term benefits.

    Most people think in the very short term when it comes to deciding who should get money -- and when politicians are strapped for cash for a project, NASA is always a likely source of money to divert.

    As a result, it's always an uphill battle for NASA's research to get funded.

    This is why NASA spends so much effort marketing what they have done -- for instance, providing free, beautiful pictures that consist entirely of false-color images that have been tweaked by hand to look attractive...they're more a credit to the artistic nature of the postprocessors than to the people doing the research itself.

    One major problem is mission failures. The response to NASA getting mission failures appears to be a counterintuitive "cut their budget". My guess is that when positive public opinion and awareness of NASA goes up (as with successful missions), NASA's likelihood of getting funding increases markedly.

    So all NASA has to do is make significant public underestimates of their mission potentials. That way, after completing, say, 10% of their expected work, they can announce that the mission "is a success". When the mission finally does end, the media can crow about how it "vastly exceeded anyone's wildest imaginations", and make public lots of hand-retouched images.

    That doesn't mean I disapprove of what they're doing. I like seeing basic research being funded, and I don't think that there's a really good alternative method for NASA to get money.

    It does mean, however, that it's *very* unlikely that this is an off-the-cuff decision by an engineer at NASA. It's a good bet that they have pre-made strategies for dealing with dust, extreme temperature change, power loss, signal loss, failure of particular systems, etc.

    1. Re:PR necessities of researchers by 3rd_Floo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Sorry to nitpick, but you hit one of my rant buttons..

      NASA does astronomy. To be very blunt and honest, astronomy provides very few concrete short-term benefits.

      Really? Astronomy? Well, they do some of that, but every look at NASA Langley. They do aerospace research, have aided Boeing in desinging almost every aircraft they built. Langley has produced some of the finest Structures and Materials research. And has many unique test facilities and wind tunnels that nobody else has.
      Or what about NASA Glenn? They do space research, but their studies into new and unique propulsion systems dont look like astronomy to me.

      NASA is a low-frills research organization. They get poor public support, and even more limited congresional support, yet they produce some amazing stuff. The problem that I see is, the public thinks exactly like your first sentance, they dont view NASA as an incubator for new expensive tech that can mature and develop well only in a gov funded (ie no worries about profit) situations. If you dont belive me on that point, go look at the papers on Optics, Radar, Ultrasonics, look at aircraft structures, etc, somewhere in there is a NASA engineer who developed, or help develop core features that are curtial today.

      Ok.. off my soap box...

    2. Re:PR necessities of researchers by RayBender · · Score: 4, Informative
      This is why NASA spends so much effort marketing what they have done -- for instance, providing free, beautiful pictures that consist entirely of false-color images that have been tweaked by hand to look attractive...they're more a credit to the artistic nature of the postprocessors than to the people doing the research itself.

      I think that is very insulting. Do you really believe that it is more of a feat to adjust some color scales than it is to send a spacecraft to another planet at distances of 300 million miles or more, have it operate without any repairs for years at a atime, survive the heat & cold of space, the forces of re-entry, launch etc etc.? The images are generally false-color composites, true. But they are not "retouched". The difference is between one of choosing how to remap wavelengths your eye can't see into colors it can see, and flat-out changing images. JPL does the former, and not the latter.

      So all NASA has to do is make significant public underestimates of their mission potentials. That way, after completing, say, 10% of their expected work, they can announce that the mission "is a success".

      That's not how things are done. I don't think you even begin to grasp how challenging some of this stuff is - the rover team was ecstatic when both rovers worked (the bets in my group were for at least one loss). Then there is the issue with dust accumulation on the solar panels, and thermal cycling. Nobody I know thought that the rovers would last this long, and it remains to be seen if they will make it to winter.

      You have to rememeber that many of these missions are selected after competitions among various university and industry groups. This means that you have to sell a mission to the review boards; you can't do that if you under-promise. If you only claimed you could do 10% of what you think you could actually do, then some other group is going to propose a mission to do 20% of what is possible - and they will look much better on paper and so get chosen. And these proposals are not secret, so NASA can't turn around and tell the public that mission will do less than it proposed for.

      The result is NASA tends to define success criteria close to what is reasonably expected based on some pretty detailed mission analysis work.

      Another point to remember is that the mission probability of success is like a chain - no stronger than the weakest link. Which means that there are almost always a few events that have all the risk (launch, landing); once past those there isn't much that can kill a spacecraft, at least not until old age starts to set in. And one thing about JPL - their stuff is built to last. That's why the mission achievements are bimodal - either failure, or way longer life (and greater success) than expected.

      --
      Human genome = 3 billion base pairs = 6 GBit. Windows + Office = 20 Gbit. Which is more impressive?
  27. Good Ole NASA by dangerz · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You gotta give these people credit.

    Not only did they build a robot that flew millions of miles through space, survived a crazy landing, and has held up in alien terrain, but now they're extending the life of the robot long past what it's meant.

    Those original engineers must be thrilled to see the robots lasting this long.

    Props to NASA

    --
    The greatest experience we can have is the mysterious.
    - Albert Einstein
  28. Insurance by The+Grassy+Knoll · · Score: 2, Funny

    Are they fully comp, or third-party only? If the latter, do NASA know something we don't!?

    .

    --
    They will never know the simple pleasure of a monkey knife fight
  29. Re:Problems? by Monsieur+Canard · · Score: 5, Funny

    A few weeks back the guys over at Car Talk had a call from a guy who wanted some advice on how to properly prepare his vehicle for winter.

    They asked him what type of car it was, he said it was a kit car. "How much did the kit cost?" they asked. "Oh, about 450 million dollars." replied the caller.

    Yes, an engineer from JPL was calling to get some tongue-in-cheek advice on what to do to keep the rovers safe over the martian winter.

    It was pretty cool.

    --
    He took a duck to the face at 250 knots.
  30. Re:here we go again by Fweeky · · Score: 2, Interesting

    He meant "cue", unless he was planning on putting himself and pro-RTG anti-solar zealots in a line. Actully he seems to want to hit them with a cue, which seems like a fine idea to me ;)

    What I will say is that just having solar panals and batteries on a couple of Mars rovers doesn't mean it's doing anything to advance the technology, beyond perhaps being one more order for the parts. Said parts are probably largely the same as if you'd ordered them for your solar powered house.

    RTG's and related research are worthwhile too; being able to convert heat to useful energy is a technology which could be just as useful as solar power; we are sitting on top of a huge nuclear reactor after all. Maybe one day we'll construct batteries based on similar technology (mmm, RTG powered laptop), or power cities from radiothermal generators using the mantle as it's heat source (something already done, but maybe we can scale it up).

    Still, it's not as if we're likely to be able to run a rover for more than a fraction's of the life of an RTG (unless you make a *really* small one I guess); one argument for solar panels would be that even with perfect power a rover is likely to get stuck somewhere or be damaged by dust within (say) 6 months; a power source which is likely to last about that long makes more sense than a more expensive ickle RTG. that may well outweigh the panels and be useless over a lot of it's lifetime.

    RTG's get a lot of use in other probes anyway; it's not as if we haven't "risked" blowing them up plenty of times. I think provided they're still used in places they obviously make sense (orbital probes which are likely to last decades), we can forgive NASA for choosing panels on something which isn't likely to take advantage of an RTG's primary feature (long life).

  31. Re:here we go again by Guppy06 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Getting solar to work on these spacecraft with the intent of using the spin-offs here on earth is overkille, and expensive overkill at that. Even if you develop solar cells efficient enough to make a household self-sufficient as you suggest (which still makes me nervous about all the batteries you'll need lying about), there are fewer watts per square meter to work with the further out from the sun you are. You'll get to the point where the solar cells and the associated batteries are the most expensive components of the mission, ultimately getting in the way of the goal of the mission itself.

    Solar works well for Mars and closer, but once you get to Jupiter and beyond it just isn't a realistic option. Imagine giving Cassini two solar arrays, each 9 meters by 32 meters. JPL has, and and they've got diagrams.

    And I personlly believe nuclear power sources are more environmentally friendly than all the batteries you'll need to get you through those long, dark winter nights.

  32. Re:nuke it next time by Silverlancer · · Score: 2, Informative

    Not exactly. First of all, there are the political issues--NO ONE wants to launch a nuclear reactor into space in case the rocket blows up, as an explosion could set off a nuclear explosion too. Second of all, there are really two types of nuclear reactor. There is the kind we use on earth, which requires massive cooling (yes, not even the cold of mars would be enough). The second type is a radioactive reactor, which simply uses the radiation from a chunk of highly radioactive material for power. Many of the space probes, such as Voyager, used this type of reactor.

  33. Tom & Ray by Genady · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Am I the only geek here that heard the Guys from the JPL call into Car Talk to ask how to winterize the rovers? That was classic! Talk about Stump the Chumps. I think it's the first time I've ever really heard Ray flustered.

    --


    What if it is just turtles all the way down?
  34. Low aspirations and PC by jmichaelg · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Somehow, spending close to a billion dollars to put two crippled vehicles on Mars doesn't strike me as a good investment. From the get go, the rovers have been starved for power. Every morning, there's a power meeting to determine who gets how many of the few watts available to do science. "Do we creep a few inches or do we grind some rock? How many watts are we going to allocate to the heaters?" Early on, someone on the Rover team decided to go with solar panels and the result has been a craft that was far less than it could have been.

    The original Viking missions went 7 years before petering out. The Voyagers which were launched in the early 70's finally died 30 years after they were launched. But now, JPL is happy if they get a few extra months over their initial 3 month plan. A billion bucks for 3 months of science...only Dr. Pangloss could be happy with that.

    I wouldn't be so harsh if JPL didn't have any power options but the fact is they did. They could have sent a nuclear power source up there just as they did early on. But they lost their balls and figured it was politically safer to go with a crappy solar solution rather with a long term nuclear solution. Had they gone nuclear, they could have had enough power to move AND do science. With years of power, they could have covered a significant chunk of the Martian surface. Instead of creeping inch by inch, the Rovers could have moved foot by foot or gasp - yard by yard! Perhaps they could have even found the remains of Beagle and figured out what went wrong with it. As it is, they crow when they move 100 feet in a day.

    1. Re:Low aspirations and PC by Suidae · · Score: 2, Informative

      They could have sent a nuclear power source up there just as they did early on. But they lost their balls and figured it was politically safer to go with a crappy solar solution rather with a long term nuclear solution

      I'd be surprised if they would have picked up much flack on launching a couple of small RTG's on those. They would have been so small that they wouldn't have been a problem even if they did crash on launch.

      More pratically, I'm guessing the weight limitations were more of a concern. RTG's (the simplest and most common form of nuclear power for spacecraft) are heavy and inefficent. Only a very small portion of the heat generated is converted to power (they usually use a thermocouple device, which is very inefficent). Solar panels are much lighter and at the orbital distance of Mars, probably produce more power than an RTG, pound for pound. Out at Uranus its a different story, solar panels are nearly worthless out there.

      Perhaps they could have used an extra-small RTG as a heater though, perhaps built into structural members to save the weight of the casing.

    2. Re:Low aspirations and PC by barawn · · Score: 2, Informative

      But now, JPL is happy if they get a few extra months over their initial 3 month plan.

      Do you even really know why all NASA missions are so short, and then they always have an "extended mission"? Do you really think it's because NASA's aspirations are so low?

      The reason is simple. The cost of the hardware itself is cheap. The cost of the people analyzing data is far more expensive. NASA's missions are so short because when the mission planners present the budget for grant review, in order to keep the cost sane, they plan a very short mission, and then hope to get funding for the extended mission.

      A billion bucks for 3 months of science...only Dr. Pangloss could be happy with that.

      This is the cost of science nowadays, and it's not hardware - it's people. If you want longer missions, fund NASA better.

      Instead of creeping inch by inch, the Rovers could have moved foot by foot or gasp - yard by yard!

      If you run across terrain that you don't know, you'll trip. Likewise, if the rovers move quickly over terrain they don't know, they could flip. There's no way to build enough fault tolerance in them to manage every scenario. Instead, they just move slowly.

      Perhaps they could have even found the remains of Beagle and figured out what went wrong with it.

      This better have been a joke. Mars is a planet. It has as much land area as Earth does (yes, that's true, as Mars has no oceans). The only thing that could've found Beagle would've been a human expedition with a very long range vehicle. A robotic rover attempting to travel that far would've been orders of magnitude more expensive, and it probably would've failed along the way.

    3. Re:Low aspirations and PC by hughk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Actually they used a number of small Radio-Thermal generators to keep the thing warm. They don't generate any power, just keeps the thing from from freezing up too much overnight (especially the batteries because their ability to hold charge goes down rapidly when cold).

      --
      See my journal, I write things there
    4. Re:Low aspirations and PC by man_ls · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm thinking isotope decay power sources would be a bit better. They power satellites, why couldn't they power a rover?

      damn politics getting in the way of science.

  35. Also they were overbuilt. by Nick+Driver · · Score: 3, Insightful

    NASA also used to historically "overbuild" these machines to as much of a degree as they possibly could too, within the bounds of such parameters as launch weight, power consumption, budget, etc. Surely these "overbuilt" qualities are a significant factor in the machines' ability to far exceed their original intended missions.

    Nowadays, the beancounters have much more say over the engineers, and the "overbuilding" is done to a much lesser degree.

  36. MOD PARENT UP by Niles_Stonne · · Score: 4, Insightful

    NASA does a ton of incredibly good things to encourage science and technology.

    They supported over 30 FIRST teams when I was in FIRST - I would bet they support more now. Look at the link, it's an incredible program. If possible, get your company or school involved in it. FIRST was one of the best experiences of my career.

    Note: FIRST stands for:

    For
    Inspiration and
    Recognition of
    Science and
    Technology

    --
    Sticks and Stones may break my bones, but copyright will always protect me.
  37. A real sysadmin by ^BR · · Score: 3, Funny

    Should know that underscores are forbidden in hostnames...

  38. martians found to have sore feet by peter303 · · Score: 2, Informative

    In a related development, NASA announced the discovery of magnesium sulfate at the Spirit site. This compound is marketed to consumers under the name "epsom salts".

  39. They did good. by bigattichouse · · Score: 2

    Thats great that the rovers have lasted as long as they have. Imagine the resume lines on that one "Designed solar panel array system that powered Mars rovers 500% of their life expectancy". Heck think of all those parts inside that have stood up to tempeture cycling. They really did a good job.

    --
    meh
  40. Re:Problems? by obby.net · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I believe the segment in question can be found here. It's in real audio, hoorah.

    dupe comment, i know. http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=110501&cid=937 7384

  41. correction (and actual lat/long locations)... by pomakis · · Score: 3, Informative
    Actually, it looks like Opportunity is just south of the equator as well. So they're both in the southern hemisphere. Spirit is at latitude 14.735 degrees south and longitude 175.39 degrees east, while Opportunity is at latitude 1.95 degrees south and longitude 5.53 degrees west.

  42. Mod parent down for being MADE UP by DougJohnson · · Score: 2, Funny

    As much as you'd like to say this, the links you later provide make ABSOLUTELY no reference to NASA taking out insurance. NASA's probably "self insured" as in they handle such a large portion of space launches etc, that it makes no sense to get third party insurance.

    Furthermore, your oh so cunning plan argument falls even FURTHER apart when you take into account that these sorts of policies are for launches, which are the points at which they are most likely to fail. If the launch goes off well then the insurance policy is over, regardless of whether or not they advertise their mission as being 1 month, or 1 year.

    Also, they could always just insure it for 1 month, IF you were right anyways, which you're not.

    Finally, the insurance policies are for businesses who want to make a profit and must exhibit some measure of prudence.

    If you really want to be such an ass to that other person who responded to you, you should at least be able to back up some of the mindless, pointy-haired boss bullshit that you want to spout out. Saying things like I'm smart don't go very far anywhere, particularly when followed by idiotic statements that you can't back up.

    1. Re:Mod parent down for being MADE UP by crawling_chaos · · Score: 2, Informative
      Um, to paraphrase Inigo Montoya, I read your link and I don't think it means what you think it means. The report is on the insurance of private payloads, not government ones. In general, the government doesn't take out insurance. If they did, then there would be no problem in coming up with the funding to replace Columbia as the policy would pay for the conversion of the Enterprise frame to a launch-capable vehicle. Instead, they have to ask Congress for the funds.

      If NASA didn't insure the Shuttles, that's pretty convincing evidence that they wouldn't have insured the piddling unmanned Mars Rovers. Also, it is an elementary logical fallacy to ask someone to prove a negative. You did know that, didn't you?

      --
      You can only drink 30 or 40 glasses of beer a day, no matter how rich you are.
      -- Colonel Adolphus Busch
  43. Re:length of winter by eagl · · Score: 2, Insightful

    There is enough wind on Mars, even with the extremely thin atmosphere, that it's possible the dust will stop building up before the power output of the cells drops below the amount required to run the rovers. Even at reduced cell output, the rovers could be run on a day-on day-off cycle (for example) until the batteries can no longer hold a charge or the cell output drops below what is necessary to charge the batteries.

    The point I think that NASA is making is that their predictive models used fairly pessimistic assumptions as to how badly the solar cells would degrade over time, and the actual cell performance and dust coverage is proving to be better than their predictive models anticipated. That plus the fact that they've managed to almost completely overcome the relatively few hardware failures suffered so far, is grounds for being optimistic about the rover's lifespan.

    The flip side of the coin - somewhere a budget analyst is kicking himself because he let the engineers talk the rover team into building in excess power margin based on a more pessimistic prediction on solar cell dust coverage. In a "perfect world" according to the budget people, they'd spend only enough to ensure that the rover dropped dead the day AFTER it completed the planned mission. It now looks like they apparently overbuilt the rovers based on what's happened with the 2 rovers at widely separated mission locations, and that's bad news for whoever controls the checkbook. Hopefully the next set of landers won't fail prematurely due to a redundancy or excess margin backlash because of how well these rovers have performed.

  44. Mission updates slower -- some de-staffing? by MMHere · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Someone above mentioned budgetary issues for keeping the control rooms going even if the rovers still are.

    So I've noticed fewer updates on mission status recently. Example: It's 9 June, but the last Opportunity update was on 25 May. Have they entered the crater yet?

    Are they de-staffing a little, and could this be responsible for fewer updates?