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Emergence

Tangurena writes "Emergence is a field that is trying to come to grips with how new behavior emerges out of smaller units. There is no gene that determines the behavior of a hive of bees or colony of ants, but the behavior of the nest emerges from the individuals within. Some people are using cellular automata as a means of explaining higher order behavior (like Wolfram in A New Kind of Science )." Read on for Tangurena's review of Steven Johnson's 2002 book Emergence: the Connected lives of Ants, Brains, Cities and Software. Emergence: the Connected lives of Ants, Brains, Cities and Software author Steven Johnson pages 288 publisher Touchstone Press rating 8 reviewer Tangurena ISBN 068486876X summary A look at how new behavior can arise from assembling smaller units.

The author makes a point that there are 3 main camps of scientific study.

  1. The study of simple systems - under a few dozen variables, like electromagnetism, or celestial mechanics.
  2. The study of stochastic systems - few million to few billion variables, like actuarial sciences and genetics.
  3. The study of disorganized complexity. Systems in the middle between a dozen and a few million variables, where the second order characteristics - how they interact, is of primary concern.

Deduction and induction work for the first two camps, but for the third, the interactions cause actions and reactions which are what scientists politely call counter intuitive, meaning your first thought is Huh? Or, in other words, it behaves quite differently from what your instincts and (so-called) common sense would tell you.

There are five basic principles for developing a system (or simulation of one) which can express emergent behavior:

  1. More is different. You get a very different behavior of the system when certain thresholds are reached.
  2. Ignorance is useful. Ants communicate with a vocabulary of around 20 words/ideas.
  3. Encourage random encounters. Much of the behavior of an ant colony comes from them just bumping into each other (or external things like food, or my foot).
  4. Look for patterns in the signs. Even with the limited vocabulary of ants, they can also express things based on the decay in the pheromones they deposit.
  5. Pay attention to your neighbors. Also described as "local information can lead to global wisdom."

One of the enduring myths we have, is that of the Ant Queen. The myth supposes that there is some central planning done in an ant colony. Instead, the queen exists only to pop eggs out. Male ants have such short lives, that in most species of ants, they have no mouths to eat with; they just don't live long enough to get hungry. The production of warriors and workers is stimulated by pheromones in the colony. Information on where to gather food is gathered through random acts of bumping into things. There is no ant which tells another to go lift that bale or tote that barge. It appears that our intelligence is a by-product of the neural interactions of our brains.

The economist Jane Jacobs had been studying things like this for years, and has been demonized by the majority of economists: they want to believe in some centralized controlling force, control that force, and you control the development of your economic system. People reading her books tend to think she worships sidewalks, instead, she values the communication that can only happen on sidewalks; people meeting each other and exchanging words. You can't say "hi" to your neighbors if you are each zipping past each other on the freeway.

One can experiment with emergent behavior with some software tools. The author explains a few, of which you are most likely to have experience with SimCity.

The main difference between chaos theory and emergent behavior theory lies in a couple important differences. A chaotic system has a number of determinable feedback loops, all of which are (usually critically) dependent upon the starting conditions. Emergent behavior has more to do with feedback loops causing totally different behavior, and when some threshold (usually population) is passed, the nature of the system drastically changes.

If you are looking for sample code to simulate things, you won't find it in this book. If, however, you want to get an overview of where this field is coming from, read this book.

You can purchase Emergence: the Connected lives of Ants, Brains, Cities and Software from bn.com. Slashdot welcomes readers' book reviews -- to see your own review here, carefully read the book review guidelines, then visit the submission page.

149 comments

  1. Behavior of the nest by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    There is no gene that determines the behavior of a hive of bees or colony of ants, but the behavior of the nest emerges from the individuals within.
    In scientific circles, this is known as the "Slashbot meme."
  2. Please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

    Could someone translate this for non Gentoo users? :)

  3. Slashdot example by Neil+Blender · · Score: 3, Funny

    Groupthink

    1. Re:Slashdot example by gr0kCalvin · · Score: 1

      The complexity of networks has barely begin to be realized. This realization will lead to the downfall reductionism, as the very interaction itself is something new and cannot be derived directly from a "full" understanding of the agents involved. A nice example of this is the Travelling Salesman problem. Rather, not the problem itself, but the reason why it's considered NP-hard. By this I mean, as the number of nodes increases the number of elementary paths increases by "(n-1)!". Chaos, CA, Complexity, Emergence, etc are physical and metaphysical theories that try to formalize network interaction. Of these, Chaos is the most pleasing metaphysically, while Complexity Theory is the most advanced mathmatically. It's obvious that none of these theories hold the hole truth, but one could say they're on the right track. Scientifically, something doesn't exist unless it can be measured experimentally. Something can't be measured without some sort of interaction. So, one could say that nothing exists except for interactions. The question is, is this just a relic of the Scientific Method (or hyperbole :), or is it saying something about the very nature of reality?

    2. Re:Slashdot example by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the hole truth

      "whole".

    3. Re:Slashdot example by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Groupthink

      I agree.

    4. Re:Slashdot example by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Groups think?

    5. Re:Slashdot example by HiThere · · Score: 1

      Presuming that only the interactions are "real" leads you directly to quantuum theory. It may not be a deep insight about the nature of reality, but it's quite useful. (And it *might* be a deep insight about the nature of reality.)

      OTOH, it has been claimed that one can remove the uncertainty and randomness from quantuum theory by invoking an appropriately chosen extra dimension (or set of them). I'm not quite clear if one needs to invoke a new dimension for each interaction that is modeled, but if this is true, then I hardly see how you gain anything.

      OTOH, this seems to be related to the claim that the amount of information that can be contained within a sphere is proportional to the area of the surface of the sphere. Quit contrary to intuition, but notheless a claim both interesting and disturbing. If true it says interesting things about the Big Bang.

      And who would have expected the Travelling Salesman problem to lead me here! But if particle interactions are the basic pieces of information, then the reason that the pre-big bang particle was singular was that there wasn't enough space to allow the information density implied by multiple particles. And was hyper-inflation caused by multiple particles interacting, or did it allow them to interact? (I'm not clear on just what the limits of information are...but there seems a clear relationship if the claim is true. With n!, the number of paths would increase dramatically as more particles condensed. Hyperinflation could have served to cut communication between pieces so that the size of the number of possible paths would be properly bounded at something smaller than n!.)

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  4. Prey by lateralus_1024 · · Score: 1

    Michael Crichton touches on autonomous organization processes in his book Prey...however remember that Crichton is very very afraid of technology.

    --
    If you think /. comments are bad, check out Digg.
    1. Re:Prey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Michael Crichton touches on autonomous organization processes in his book Prey

      And he spent the rest of that book touching on teh suck.

    2. Re:Prey by Rei · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The thing is, there's no reason to be scared of autonomous organization - it is literally everywhere around us.

      Swarming/flocking/schooling algorithms are a great example of this. All it takes is a desire to be close to your neighbors but not too close, and the swarm/flock/school functions largely on its own - it can even go around obstacles and re-merge, it optimizes into aerodynamic shapes, etc.

      I love complexity from simplicity. One of my favorites occurs from the standard predator/prey population equation. If you run it for a while, it switches into repeating cycles of population size. However, the positions and numbers of cycles are dependant on the equation conditions. If you plot the cycles vs. the starting conditions, you get this beautiful graph of the data starting at a single point, then branching, and again, faster and faster until it forms into pure chaos... and then from the chaos, emerges three clean branches, which then fall to chaos again.

      --
      This wizard will complete the installation of: AQP AA002! P O a @ P @1 Ae IoD'i
    3. Re:Prey by lateralus_1024 · · Score: 1

      While i agree with most of the Crichton opinion article, let me be the first to denounce reason.com as utter garbage. Thank you, carry on.

      --
      If you think /. comments are bad, check out Digg.
    4. Re:Prey by MightyMartian · · Score: 1

      Michael Crichton was a good author 20 years ago. Now he's a luddite freak. Read Congo and Sphere to see what I mean. Don't watch the movies, they cause your neurons to go critical, and your head will radiate at 9000 degrees kelvin.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    5. Re:Prey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yah, you were literally constructed by it... from autocatalyic chemistry to embryonic genesis to the way your immune system works.

      j.herber

    6. Re:Prey by FooAtWFU · · Score: 1

      My university had a (surprisingly sucky) course in "The Science in Science Fiction" (eh, it was a first-year seminar). However, after reading Prey we had an actual nanotechnologist-type guy come in; he discussed the state of the field and the novel. The gist of it was that even if we could mass-produce nanomachines (which isn't happening any time soon), most these nanotechnological threats in fiction are just about impossible given the sheer energy requirements - it's not easy to deliver energy to microscopic devices, and even if you could, the sheer heat generated by millions of these things in close proximity would easily be enough to melt them, if not explode them. (You think your Pentium IV has heat dissipation problems? What do you think intense heat does to something that's only a few dozen atoms wide?)

      --
      The World Wide Web is dying. Soon, we shall have only the Internet.
    7. Re:Prey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the systems that are out there have been created; they did not develop. Big difference.

      Didn't you have it backwards? Human-made swarming systems will be created, while natural systems were developed through natural selection. I see how the former can lead to mistakes.

    8. Re:Prey by sunhou · · Score: 1

      That description you gave (branching to chaos, then three clean branches appear, and descend into chaos again), is not a description of the standard predator-prey model as you claimed, which is a system of two ordinary differential equations. Instead, the phenomenon you described comes from the discrete-time logistic equation of a single population with a carrying capacity (per-capita output per time step is a linearly decreasing function of current population size), which is a difference equation, rather than differential equation.

    9. Re:Prey by infolib · · Score: 1
      If you plot the cycles vs. the starting conditions, you get this beautiful graph of the data starting at a single point, then branching, and again, faster and faster until it forms into pure chaos...

      It's called a "Feigenbaum Tree" or Bifurcation diagram

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced libertarian utopia is indistinguishable from government.
    10. Re:Prey by Rei · · Score: 1

      Differential equations? No, it's a simple linear equation, applied recursively:

      X(n+1) = R X(n) (1 - X(n))

      R is the constant that you vary to get the bifurcation diagram.

      --
      This wizard will complete the installation of: AQP AA002! P O a @ P @1 Ae IoD'i
  5. Book reviews: by NoseBag · · Score: 1

    There goes my Christmas book budget! Another "must-have" gets added to my list.

    --
    Cloned foods give the statement "We had that last week!" a whole new meaning.
  6. Emergence & Hidden Order by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Try also John H Holland 'Hidden Order' and 'Emergence: From Chaos to Order'.

    1. Re:Emergence & Hidden Order by tcyun · · Score: 1

      FYI, Holland was one of the MacArthur Foundation Fellow's a few years ago.

  7. Re:I am confused! by flumps · · Score: 1

    Ok here goes:

    Ants brains are very very very complex, far too complex if you can't even be arsed to read the book. The End.

    --
    "So there he is, risen from the dead. Like that fella, E. T." - Father Ted Crilly
  8. Cellular Automata != Wolfram by utexaspunk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While A New Kind of Science may have lots of pretty pictures, and may be a decent survey of the field of cellular automata and its potential applications, and while Stephen Wolfram is no doubt a smart man, the quality of the book is overshadowed by his pathetically arrogant writing, wherein he pratically claims credit for CA, despite actually doing very little to even further the field. It's sad that people are beginning to think he really is a leader in the study. Please dissociate Wolfram and CA in your mind. Thanks...

    1. Re:Cellular Automata != Wolfram by Sir+Pallas · · Score: 1, Insightful
      You're just jealious because you didn't write a book, which, on every page, says "I did this, I'm so smart." Also, you don't look like George Costanza.

      But seriously, you're right that Wolfram's book read more like a reference than anything really innovative. It's not a new kind of science either: because it's not even a new kind of mathematics. His pictures are just more complex (and glossy) than everyone else's. Still, the book is useful as a primer for the neophyte.

    2. Re:Cellular Automata != Wolfram by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wolfram's smart writing was done before, A New Kind Of Science, he has actal done a lot works behind the teory of CA's.

      But ANKs is just a book of pretty pictures, dont read the tekst at best is says nothing

    3. Re:Cellular Automata != Wolfram by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      BS... ANKS is much less useful for the neophyte than a list of say three really insightful questions and a either some simware or an editor and gcc.

      ANKS best use is as a boat anchor.

    4. Re:Cellular Automata != Wolfram by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      ".. a rare blend of monster raving egomania and utter batshit insanity"

      Cosma Rohilla Shalizi on S.Wolfram, A new kind of science

      http://cscs.umich.edu/~crshalizi/notebooks/cellula r-automata.html

    5. Re:Cellular Automata != Wolfram by Txiasaeia · · Score: 1

      No kidding. I've never before read a book in which every paragraph started with either "And" or "But." I think I'm including the opening paragraph here. If you're not laughing or shaking your head, you haven't read it.

      --
      Condemnant quod non intellegunt.
  9. Kevin Kelly did this in 1994 by wils0n · · Score: 1

    Just from reading the review, this reminds me of Out of Control, which may be a bit outdated but is still a very relevant look at similar concepts.

  10. Higher order behavior by caramelcarrot · · Score: 4, Funny

    "...using cellular automata as a means of explaining higher order behavior (like Wolfram in A New Kind of Science)."

    Well, not quite sure if it can explain as high order behavior as Wolfram yet...

  11. This is nothing new by flumps · · Score: 1, Insightful

    .. we kind of knew already that complexity can be acheived with a basic set of rules re flocking. This may be interesting, but its hardly new.

    Sounds like they are rehashing old ideas into a book just in time for Xmas to get you to splash your cash.

    --
    "So there he is, risen from the dead. Like that fella, E. T." - Father Ted Crilly
    1. Re:This is nothing new by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was looking at doing a PhD in this area ten years ago, but decided I couldn't compete with the published work in the field. I could write better programs, I just couldn't imagine managing to hype the "significance" of my results to the same heights.

      It doesn't sound as though much reality has crept in yet.

    2. Re:This is nothing new by LarryRiedel · · Score: 1
      Sounds like they are rehashing old ideas into a book just in time for Xmas to get you to splash your cash.

      Xmas of what year? The book was published in 2001.

      Larry

  12. /. in the book by JohnGrahamCumming · · Score: 4, Interesting

    This is, indeed, an interesting book and the reviewer fails to point out that Emergence goes into detail concerning the karma, moderation and meta-moderation system of this here web site.

    Author seems to think taco is a genius or something, but it's still a good read :-) Towards the end where he's talking about emergent video games I got a little bored, but definitely a book that got me thinking. Worth reading even if you are aware of the way ants behave, because you probably don't know as much about slime mold as you should.

    John.

    1. Re:/. in the book by flumps · · Score: 2, Funny

      you probably don't know as much about slime mold as you should.

      Ooohhh yes I do matey, I played Baldurs Gate all the way through I'll have you know.

      --
      "So there he is, risen from the dead. Like that fella, E. T." - Father Ted Crilly
  13. ugh by twentycavities · · Score: 2, Informative

    I read the first two chapters or so of that book. It's totally an essay strrrreeeetched into a book. Terribly boring (in a lite-on-content sort of way). On the topic of taking recommendations from Slashdot: A poster raved about "The Non-Designers Design Book," so I bought it. It's not completely worthless for total amateurs (like me), but it's pretty much written for the purpose of teaching secretaries how to make better-looking newsletters. Lesson learned.

    --
    Monstromart: Where shopping is a baffling ordeal
  14. Re:6Day creationists and Flat earthers need not re by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    and theres me thinking windows WAS a religion.

    Man thats 5 years of worshipping down the toilet :(

  15. This is as much about philosophy than science... by wwest4 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...but interesting, nonetheless. For two viewpoints that are more or less opposing, read Daniel Dennett and John Searle - the latter of whom is a latter-day dualist who talks a lot about emergence, aka emergent properties. Dennett thinks machines will be able to think, Searle doubts it.

  16. Bullshit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I find the 3 classes of scientific study to be abritray. I would like some proof of the 20 word ant vocabulary which seems to be pulled out of a very tiny ass.

    1. Re:Bullshit by DrEasy · · Score: 3, Funny
      I would like some proof of the 20 word ant vocabulary which seems to be pulled out of a very tiny ass.
      ...an ant's ass?
      --
      "In our tactical decisions, we are operating contrary to our strategic interest."
  17. Definition by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Cellular automata (Noun): A cell phone-wielding social ingrate. The automata's effective IQ is proportional to the distance between phone and ear. Usually identified by loud, annoying one-sided conversations on buses and restaurants.

  18. Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Tackhead · · Score: 3, Funny
    > 2. Ignorance is useful. Ants communicate with a vocabulary of around 20 words/ideas.

    I knew our collective hive mind would come in handy someday:

    1. "I, for one, welcome our emergent overlords."
    2. "???"
    3. "Profit!"
    4. "In Soviet Russia, our groupthink comes from emergent behvaior, or is it the other way around?"
    5. "Who cares? Look, it's Natalie Portman!"
    6. "Does Netcraft confirm it?"
    7. "Yeah, but only in Korea."
    8. "Netcraft does not confirm it. Old people are not quite dead yet."
    9. "OK, that's the Monty Python reference out of the way. Has someone bashed China yet?"
    10. "No, and we also haven't bashed Micro$oft yet, at least not until this line.

    Crap. I'm only at #10 and the well's running dry. (What, you want me to yell "MEEPT!" or something?)

    If you're a glass-half-empty type: we won't be as useful in the underground sugar mines as I'd previously thought. We're only capable of half as many thoughts.

    If you're a glass-half-full type: or maybe we've achieved antlike emergent behavior using only ten words and ideas, making us twice as efficient as our formic emergent-behavior-exhibiting overlords!

    1. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by JohnGrahamCumming · · Score: 1

      > Crap. I'm only at #10 and the well's running dry. (What, you want me to yell "MEEPT!" or something?)

      This only goes to show what many have already suspected: the average /.er has less communication skills than an ant.

      John.

    2. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All your bases are belong to us

    3. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Crap. I'm only at #10 and the well's running dry. (What, you want me to yell "MEEPT!" or something?)

      That's because you need a Beowulf cluster to help you out. T

    4. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's always why I stopped 'chatting' in online chat rooms. The vast majority of the 'communication' would devolve into the playing of previously scripted 'gestures'. A gesture on one person's part eliciting dozens of seemingly 'appropriate' response gesture on other person(s) part. Ad nauseum. But no one actually says anything intelligent anymore.

      However, I suppose this book is inferring that some sort of 'higher' behaviour is supposed to manifest itself when you get a bunch of brain-dead chatters together in a room. I myself have never been able to adduce such manifestations.

    5. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's because he's a dumbass. /gratuitous flame

    6. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by brettper · · Score: 1

      I can't believe you forgot 'All Your Base'

    7. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Degrees · · Score: 1
      I assume you created your post with vi, 'cause otherwise you would have just invoked <meta> <alt> <ctrl> <shift> /. in emacs.

      What? There's no script for that? Maybe vi really is better than emacs.

      ;-)

      --
      "The most sensible request of government we make is not, "Do something!" But "Quit it!"
    8. Re:Slashdot Hive Mind: Emergence! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      w00t!

  19. Pray by krahd · · Score: 1

    If you're interested in emergent behaviour and like sci-fi thrillers, you must read Michael Crichton's Prey.

    I know a lot of people here seems to despise Crichton but, IMHO, he writes book that are really fun (and much better than the movies they span).. so I encourage everyone to give them a try.

    btw, if you like Prey you should read Andromeda Strain , also...

    --krahd

    mod me up, Scottie!

    --
    mod me up scottie!
    1. Re:Pray by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      There is a good reason to despise Crichton: over the years he's degenerated from a moderately talented SF/thriller writer into a Luddite ideologue whose "novels" are thinly disguised political screeds -- and in the process, he's stopped doing his homework, which for a writer in his genre (especially one with his education) is unforgivable. His later novels, including Prey, have replaced storytelling with pseudoscientific hysteria.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Pray by mbvgp · · Score: 0

      I've read Prey and almost all of Crichton's book. I dont agree with his view wrt technology but his books are fun neverthless. As for despising Crichton one cant really complain too much when the theme that sells in almost all form of media is the "technology developed by evil corporation X brings about doom". Even the popular computer games ( doom 3 and half life 2 ) have that theme. I dont see people despise them for that.

    3. Re:Pray by pjt33 · · Score: 1

      Pray? I don't get it. Sure, I'm not a fan of Crichton's books, but they're not that bad!

    4. Re:Pray by Kehvarl · · Score: 0

      If he's trying to portray technology as evil and to be avoided, then he has an opposite effect on me. I find that Chricton's novels pique my interest in the various fields rather than cause me to shy away or reject them as evil.

      Or it could be that I'm secretly evil so his works appeal to me on a destroy-the-world level.

    5. Re:Pray by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Thank you.

      His basic theme doesn't change much: advanced technology and hubris gets us into trouble that only Mother Nature, in her serendipitous magnanimity, can rescue us from. Like Andromeda Strain ... the human race was on the verge of extinction from a space-born microbe (that wouldn't have bothered us if we hadn't been overstepping our bounds in the first place by building spacecraft) and we're saved at the last minute by a random mutation. Phooey. I've never really considered Crichton to be even moderately talented. It's the likes of a Steven Spielberg that have taken some of his not-particularly-original ideas and turned them into something worthwhile. Even though Spielberg completely changed the ending of Jurassic Park, it still had a Crichtonian feel to it: our heroes would have been velociraptor food if the T-Rex hadn't jumped in and just incidentally saved them. Mother Nature to the rescue. Again.

      The thing is, people talk about Crichton being a not-so-closet Luddite, but frankly, I don't think he likes human beings very much either.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  20. I thought the book by supun · · Score: 1

    was about coming to term with Gentoo, guess not.

    --
    :w!
  21. MOD PARENT UP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    nothing more to say

  22. The Protocols of the Learned Elders of Santschii by Baldrson · · Score: 1, Informative
    I use the following amusing/horrifying anecdote from Dawkins in the Genetic Omnidominance Hypothesis that sheds light on the real connection between ant colonies, brains and cities:
    ...scholars of revolutions may find the following passage from chapter 4, "Arms Races and Manipulation" particularly interesting:

    "Several species of ant have no workers of their own. The queens invade nests of other species, dispose of the host queen, and use the host workers to bring up their own reproductive young. The method of disposing of the queen varies. In some species, such as the descriptively named Bothriomyrmex regicidus and B. decapitans, the parasite queen rides about on the back of the host queen and then, in Wilson's (1971) delightful description, 'begins the one act for which she is uniquely specialized: slowly cutting off the head of her victim' (p. 363)."

    "Monomorium santschii achieves the same result by more subtle means. The host workers have weapons wielded by strong muscles, and nerves attached to the muscles; why should the parasite queen exert her own jaws if she can subvert the nervous systems controlling the numerous jaws of the host workers? It does not seem to be known how she achieves it, but she does: the host workers kill their own mother and adopt the usurper. A chemical secreted by the parasite queen seems the likely weapon, in which case it might be labeled a pheromone, but it is probably more illuminating to think of it as a formidably powerful drug. In line with this interpretation, Wilson (1971, p 413) writes of symphylic substances as being 'more than just elementary nutritive substances or even analogues of the natural host pheromones. Several authors have spoken of a narcotizing effect of symphylic substances.' Wilson also uses the word 'intoxicant' and quotes a case in which worker ants under the influence of such a substance become temporarily disoriented and less sure of their footing."

    "Those who have never been brainwashed or addicted to a drug find it hard to understand their fellow men who are driven by such compulsions. In the same naive way we cannot understand a host bird's being compelled to feed an absurdly oversized cuckoo, or worker ants wantonly murdering the only being in the whole world that is vital to their genetic success. But such subjective feelings are misleading, even where the relatively crude achievements of human pharmacology are concerned. With natural selection working on the problem, who would be so presumptuous as to guess what feats of mind control might not be achieved?"

    When we see words such as "prejudice" and "discrimination" used in morally perjorative and even medically diagnostic ways that are otherwise indistinguishable from "knowledge", "wisdom" and "discernment" -- particularly in the areas of thought about "genes" -- who would be so presumptuous as to assert no genetic interests are at work generating emotional confusion of clear headedness?

    Finally, Dawkins completes this paragraph on mind control with a warning:

    "Do not expect to see animals always behaving in such a way as to maximize their own inclusive fitness. Losers in an arms race [genetic omni-recessives -- jab] may behave in some very odd ways indeed. If they appear disoriented and unsure of their footing, this may be only the beginning."

  23. I guess I'll have to read the book to be sure, by idontgno · · Score: 3, Insightful

    but isn't this terrain Douglas Hofstadter covered about twenty-five years ago in Gödel, Escher, Bach? Does Johnson's book say much new? Has a quarter-century's "progress" in CA and AI brought us any closer to singularity? And will I ever stop posting this comment in rhetorical question form?

    --
    Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    1. Re:I guess I'll have to read the book to be sure, by teeker · · Score: 2, Interesting

      but isn't this terrain Douglas Hofstadter covered about twenty-five years ago in Gödel, Escher, Bach?

      Exactly what I was thinking. I may have to read this book just for that comparison alone. For those who have not read it, I highly recommend it...it's not a weekend browser, but has some fascinating insight and thought experimentation. One of the most interesting books I've ever read. And the kind of books I usually like have more pictures than words :)

      --
      teeker
    2. Re:I guess I'll have to read the book to be sure, by bozendoka · · Score: 0

      Possibly, but I'll wager more people get further in this book than GEB.

      Lord knows my brain melted around chapter 4 or 5.

      --
      "You will soon be more aware of your growing awareness." - My first recursive fortune cookie!
    3. Re:I guess I'll have to read the book to be sure, by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hofstadter's
      Contracrostipunctus
      Acrostically
      B ackwards
      Spells
      J.S.BACH

    4. Re:I guess I'll have to read the book to be sure, by Wyrd01 · · Score: 1

      It is indeed. I read GEB many years ago. The chapters on emergence (10, 11, and 12 mostly) really fascinated me. Shortly after finishing GEB I saw this book, Emergence, and ordered it, hoping to expand my knowledge on the subject.

      Emergence was good... but to tell you the truth, I found the 3 chapters in GEB to be much more enlightening. I would recommend those 3 chapters in GEB over the book Emergence any day. Especially the "Prelude..." and "..Ant Fugue" discussions before and after chapter 10.

      Wyrd One

  24. Emergence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I actually quite enjoyed this book. The stuff in there about the emergence of communities and trading groups in cities as a result of simple motivations was really interesting, and got me thinking about this for a while. The way in which simple interactions within an ant colony result in complex higher level behaviours such as cemetries and food distribution are also quite amazing!

    However, it wasn't until I read Mitch Resnick's 'Turtles, Termites and Traffic Jams' that emergence and self organisation really clicked for me. Resnick basically developed a scripting language and an environment for investigating emergence in biological systems (termites, turtles, ants) and social systems such as traffic patterns and communities. The system is called StarLogo, and is well worth googling for.

    1. Re:Emergence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreement. I picked up a copy of Resnick's book in high school and thought it was totally cool.

  25. Orson Scott Card by Glsai · · Score: 1, Troll

    brings up an interesting idea in his Ender's Game series of books. What if there were a sort of connection between all the ants, or birds, or creatures that show this sort of behavior, like there was with the buggers in his book. What if there is some sort of connection there that we with current tools cannot detect. Or as George Lucas put it, sort of like the Force. It's there, it allows birds/ants to communicate in a method that we can't detect. Is that possible?

    1. Re:Orson Scott Card by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The whole point of this field is that no such connection is needed, complex behavior can arrise from simple things.

    2. Re:Orson Scott Card by Icarus1919 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, no it's not. Now go find a sci-fi thread somewhere.

    3. Re:Orson Scott Card by Jerf · · Score: 1

      It's there, it allows birds/ants to communicate in a method that we can't detect. Is that possible?

      Possible? Everything is. But who needs it when the things we can detect seem to run the gamut? See the original formulation of Occam's Razor.

    4. Re:Orson Scott Card by Phurd+Phlegm · · Score: 1
      What if there were a sort of connection between all the ants, or birds, or creatures that show this sort of behavior, like there was with the buggers in his book. What if there is some sort of connection there that we with current tools cannot detect. Or as George Lucas put it, sort of like the Force. It's there, it allows birds/ants to communicate in a method that we can't detect. Is that possible?
      Sure. It's also possible that they're all intelligent beings who are conspiring to act like mindless automata. Or that they're all really cans of Pringles. Or that we're all dreams in the mind of Scruffy the janitor.

      But unless you can think of a way to test any of these hypothesese, there isn't much point in thinking about them (unless you want to start a new religion, which I understand has some rather significant tax advantages along with getting you laid fairly regularly).

  26. Very much in the same vein... by gardyloo · · Score: 1

    Try http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0671 872346/102-1898615-3811317?v=glance.
    It's a bit dated, since complexity theory and emergence are actually not all that new. People familiar with cellular automata modeling and games like SimCity will chuckle.

    But the book is fascinating, has great explanations of many of the concepts, and touches on many of the people who have made the study of complexity so fascinating. I'd definitely recommend it for a geek holiday gift.

    1. Re:Very much in the same vein... by Prof.Phreak · · Score: 1

      I also recommend both books titled ``Swarm Intelligence'' (search amazon), as well as most books by Dawkins.

      --

      "If anything can go wrong, it will." - Murphy

  27. Other Books by the Same Author by Morphix84 · · Score: 1

    I prefer his 2004 Book, Mind Wide Open. A very interesting read into the way the brain works. Good in conjunction with Jeff Hawkins' On Intelligence, for those interested in Cortical AI.

  28. Re:6Day creationists and Flat earthers need not re by raider_red · · Score: 1

    Or atheists?

    --
    It's good to use your head, but not as a battering ram.
  29. Psychohistory (fictional) emerging? by NZheretic · · Score: 1
    This sound like the precursor science to Isaac Asimov's fictional Psychohistory.

    BTW has anybody else noticed the analogies between Asimov's original Foundation series and the adoption of Open Source/Free Licensed Software. We are about heading towards the second Stallman crises : The Merchant Princes.

    "So by the same reasoning which make me sure that the Korellians will revolt in favor of prosperty, I am sure we will not revolt against it. The game will be played out to it's end.

    Trader Mallow from The Merchant Princes, second chapter of Foundation by Isaac Asimov

    1. Re:Psychohistory (fictional) emerging? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      JESUS FUCK. You're telling me even Asimov couldn't distinguish between ITS and IT'S??

  30. Matrix by Kallahar · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This was also a theme from the Matrix. The machine world was not controlled by a single overlord but was instead made up of billions of different programs. All the way down to the "wind" or the "bird" programs. Taken individually they're all rather simple and pointless, but when taken as a whole they build something much more valuable.

    1. Re:Matrix by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you missed a couple of points. There definitely were some programs that had more to do with the whole system than others, and that in the "yin-yang" of the thing, the one needed the other while trying to destroy all it made at the same time, and the One (Neo) came about periodically to sort of help kick the system back into equilibrium for awhile, but the system over time could not exist without this conflict cycle.

    2. Re:Matrix by Thangodin · · Score: 1

      Too bad they fumbled the metaphor...and it was such a great one too: the Matrix as the Veil of Maya, created by humanity acting as a hive-mind. Reality becomes obscured by the a cloud of illusions generated by society as a whole. It was all there in the first movie, but I suspect they didn't realize what they had. Instead, they made the humans into batteries (WTF? Nuclear generators would have been far more efficient) instead of actual nodes in the Matrix (apparently they forgot what the words itself meant.) Otherwise they would have realized that the Architect character wasn't at all needed. The Matrix was not built, but emergent.

      Oh, well...

  31. opps, should be "third chapter of Foundation" by NZheretic · · Score: 1

    Digging in my book boxes to find Foundation and empire.

  32. Different School of Thought Plug... by hellomynameisclinton · · Score: 1
    The terms "connectionism" and "emergence" are used in the field of cognitive science to represent a particular school of thought (generally accepted as Rumelhart and McClelland's territory, which Wolfram is known to align with). This school feels that simple elements, when combined into "sufficiently large and complex" systems begin exhibiting behavior that the elements alone cannot explain.

    I think there are great chasms of logic in this.

    I highly suggest also reading a Steven Pinker book such as The Blank Slate (which has goes into many aspects of this debate) before getting too deep into emergence. Then at least you will be aware of other views.

    The big idea Pinker aligns himself with (as I do) is that there is structure to be understood in the organization of the smaller elements, and this structure is perhaps as important as the elements themselves. Though describing these structures, we will gain understanding of the overall behavior, and not get stuck treating it like a magic black-box.

    [Apologies to all the people I mentioned if I've summarized their complicated views in an overly simplistic manner]

  33. threat modeling for web applications by mytho · · Score: 2, Informative

    I quoted this excellent book and gave some future directions about using the bottom-up Emergence technique when dealing with Threat Modeling. Read the last chapter in my MSc paper Threat Modeling for Web Applications using the STRIDE model Comments welcome. Thanks

  34. Gestalt by Lord_Dweomer · · Score: 1
    You know, as someone at an art school, I can't help but think "Gestalt Theory" when I read this summary.

    --
    Buy Steampunk Clothing Online!
  35. I did some work with this stuff... by B747SP · · Score: 5, Interesting
    Emergence is a really interesting field to tinker in. I've been doing some work with this, have a couple of published papers on the application of agent based modelling to operations management problems.

    The essential concept is that each individual is a simple agent that operates autonomously, and makes very few very simple decisions as it goes about its work. The behaviour of one individual is unremarkable, but the behaviour that emerges from a large group of the same individuals is really quite amazing.

    Because the concepts are really quite logically simple, this stuff is really simple to program too. Just fire up perl or java or any language that has a similar capability to OO concepts, write a simple object - your agent - that behaves according to a simple set of rules and responds in defined ways to certain stimuli. Make a wrapper program to create the playing field, instantiate as many 'agents' as you see fit, and let them loose. Tweak, rinse, repeat.

    As an aside, when I was writing a simulation to emulate the behaviour of ants foraging (more to prove that perl and java were suitable languages for the task than to demonstrate anything new with ants per se), I went off and RTFM'ed quite a bit on ants. They're very interesting little critters in their own right. I picked the eyes out of the various behaviours of a bunch of different species of ants to come up with one that made a fun simulation (refer references below).

    The bare mechanical simplicity with which some of these critters operate is really quite amazing. Take, for example, the concept of trail laying. I guess it's pretty widely known that many species of ants lay trails from food sources back to the nest to guide other ants to the food. (Try: find a line of ants climbing up the wall in the kitchen or somewhere, moisten your finger, wipe straight through the line (washing off the trail). They'll be all disoriented for a little while, but they'll quickly re-establish the trail, largely by random search). Anyhoo, what's really quite cool is how one species does it. The trail is just an emission from the back end of the ant that wipes along the ground as it walks. The mechanics are such that if the ant has a full crop, it puts pressure on the digestive tract, and forces stuff out the back. If its only lightly fed, it only forces a bit out the back, if its had a big feed, it forces a lot out the back and lays a denser trail. The outcome is that the ants lay stronger trails to the better food sources. Elegant, isn't it!

    I could go on forever, but I won't. Some references below. Another behaviour that is probably even more interesting than trail laying is navigation. They're absolutely amazing. Various ants use various combinations of reference to the sun, counting the amount of ground that passes underneath them as they walk *AND* remembering turns!!!, and reference to major landmarks as they travel. Did I say amazing?

    Anyhoo, here's a bunch of references on ant behaviour if anyone's interesting.

    NOTE: slashdot doesn't like 'junk' characters, so I'm removing all the comment chars :-(
    #!/usr/local/bin/perl -w
    /*
    Dancing Ants. An agent-based simulation of ant scouting and
    foraging behaviour. Demonstrating the application of open-
    source programming tools to agent-based simulation.

    # B747SP, University of xxxxxxxxxxxx. 3rd December 2003

    # In this simulation, we define an 'ant' object with behavioural
    # patterns drawn from various published works on Biology, Zoology,
    # and Behavioural science. We define a 'foraging area', then release
    # those ants into it. And then we observe...

    # What we know about ants...

    Note: These 'definitions' merely describe the behaviour of a fictional, theoretical
    ant specifically 'bred' in the mind of the author for this specific simulation.
    Their behaviours are derived from the various species of ants studied in the
    belowreferenced research papers. The behaviour describe

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    I find your ideas intriguing and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
    1. Re:I did some work with this stuff... by hoggoth · · Score: 1

      > I picked the eyes out of [...] ants
      > ... a fun ...

      Um...
      Get out more...
      Please...

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    2. Re:I did some work with this stuff... by bnenning · · Score: 2, Informative

      Make a wrapper program to create the playing field, instantiate as many 'agents' as you see fit, and let them loose. Tweak, rinse, repeat.

      Better yet, use a simulation environment like breve and you get 3d rendering, collision detection, basic physics, and a lot more for free.

      --
      How to solve most of our problems: 1.Lots of nuclear plants. 2.Cure aging.
    3. Re:I did some work with this stuff... by B747SP · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Better yet, use a simulation environment like breve and you get 3d rendering, collision detection, basic physics, and a lot more for free.

      We did look at a bunch of those tools. An argument that I was trying to make, and trying to demonstrate, was that many common-or-garden programming languages - perl, java et al - are perfectly suitable tools for this type of work. There are a lot of simulation environments around, and they all have their quirks, their own languages, and stuff. What I wanted to demonstrate was that I could develop equally effective simulations without using specialised tools. I wasn't trying to suggest that the specialised tools were bad, just that they weren't the only way to skin that particular cat.

      I guess I was coming at it from a different angle to a lot of researchers in that I already had good programming skills with mainstream languages, and I wasn't particularly excited about learning another language. In particular, I felt that the absolute vast magority of coding for the things I was trying to simulate was peculiar to the specific simulation - there wasn't much coding going into wrappers and housekeeping and game execution, and so I questioned the degree of contribution that a specialised environment could make.

      Of course, as you imply, one of the issues with this type of work is finding ways to represent the outcomes in ways that you can demonstrate in presentations and ideally, in static printed form. That's not easy. The graphical capabilities of some of the simulation environments are, arguably, one of their key benefits.

      --
      I find your ideas intriguing and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
  36. Ignorance is useful. by CraigoFL · · Score: 1
    2. Ignorance is useful.

    If that were true, my company would be the most productive on the planet.

    Is Christmas vacation here yet? :-\

  37. Similar in scope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Genius within http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0151005516/ is similar in scope to this topic. It discusses how intelligence can arise out of a mass of smaller pieces(i.e. bacteria, lymphocytes, cytoplasm, neurons). Definitely an interesting read as well as providing some examples where and why scientific advances aren't able to keep pace with biological mechanisms.

  38. Not that great by splitretina · · Score: 1

    I have long been interested in emergent systems. I picked up this book a few months ago, very excited. But one chapter in I was so frustrated I nearly stopped reading. Two chapters in I quit.

    The author seems to not be able to stay on topic. The idea is presented, then a long digression into who worked with whom and how they new each other (a needless asside into Turing's life almost did me in). Then the idea is briefly recapped.

    To be fair, I didn't finish the book, so my view may very well be unfounded as it pertains to the complete work. But honestly, I felt like I was wasting my time. Ideas were good, execution: poor.

    The Tipping Point is a book based on similar ideas that reads like melted butter is smooth. Not as technical by any stretch, but at least comparing writing quality, The Tipping Point is an example of how it should have been done.

  39. Interesting ideas by xnot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Kind of like the continuum going from observing at the atomic level to observing at the macroscopic level. The physics of the atomic level is VERY different then the physics of the macroscopic level. Understandably, when you get to a point where you can't use one model over the other, things can get pretty hairy.

    Can you say that the atomic level CAUSES the macroscopic level, i.e. one level emerges out of the other? My feeling is, it doesn't make much of a difference. The interactions you get depend upon your level of observation- they don't necessarily depend on what the interactions are at a different level. Observing at both levels is useful for different reasons. For example, for most low-speed aerodynamics, the model of air that you use is streamlines in the flow. For this situation and it's goals, it doesn't much matter to the airplane what is going on at the atomic level. The airplane is on a macroscopic level, so what matters is the physics of the macroscopic level. You fit the model to the same level and dementions of the thing you're observing. Remember calculus and limits? The limit works because it creates a fundmental building block of experience in a relavant dimension. Ex: dt is an infinitely small measure of a direction in time. But time is relevant in the demensions of the thing you're observing (actions the real world), so it's useful for the theory about the real world you want to create.

    Due to my study on how people work, and that there are fundamental principles of human interaction that apply regardless of the individual person, I think it's probable that they're are fundmental principles of the overall interactions of an ant colony (we may not know them yet, but they are there). It's just that if you observe the colony at the microscopic level, you may not find them, since you're looking in the wrong place. Chaos Theory shows that even when behavior appears random, there are principles which create the randomness.

    I guess it's nice these people have their "new" science to investigate- emergence. Hey, if it creates some new thought and gets people interested, I'm all for it. But I don't think that one thing is emerging out of another: it's just observing that for this particular level of observation, traits that were appearent at other levels have a bearing on the problem.

    It's all the same thing, just different levels with different rules. (For example, duality is pretty much a law in the universe. You can't really equate the things that compose the duality, you can only recognize that the duality exists.)

  40. Re:6Day creationists and Flat earthers need not re by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Zing! What a comeback. I bow to your wit, sir.

  41. After Thought by bgalbraith · · Score: 2, Informative

    Another good book on the subject of emergent systems is After Thought by James Baily. It is a quick and enjoyable read that takes a look at the evolution of mathematical and philosophical attempts at describing our universe from the ancient Greeks to modern day scientists. Specifically, he focuses on how we attempt to model the human brain electronically, and touches on parallel computing, cellular automata, genetic algorithms, and the techniques required to allow a machine to learn.

  42. Philosophy, semantics, yadda yadda by Kozz · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Reminds me of an old quote about the study of AI,
    "The question of whether computers can think is like the question of whether submarines can swim." * "The question 'Can machines think?' is as ill-posed and uninteresting as the question 'Can submarines swim?'"
    - E W Dijkstra
    Seems to me that emergent properties is what it's about. I've got to concede Dijkstra's point.
    --
    I only post comments when someone on the internet is wrong.
    1. Re:Philosophy, semantics, yadda yadda by xnot · · Score: 1

      We cannot prove machines will think, in the same way that we cannot prove that we ourselves think. Philosophy has to solve one question before it can solve the other. (AI researchers have not come to a common agreement over what behaviors and actions can be considered intelligent, partially because this is a philosophical question.) Unfortunately, we have only figured out how to make the machine carry out the intelligent behavior in the method that we program it to do. It's still a machine carrying out a programmed action, regardless if the behavior performed can be considered intelligent or not.

    2. Re:Philosophy, semantics, yadda yadda by Kozz · · Score: 1

      It's probably important to distinguish between the two things you've mentioned, "think" versus "act intelligently". In AI, what we usually call "thinking" is an algorithm which given a set of data (usually in a "toy world") can perceive data, act upon the world, receive feedback and alter its plan accordingly. More accurately this would be "machine learning" rather than "thinking", a word which definitely has philosophical entertwinings which may not be useful questions (as Dijkstra points out).

      Yes, machines can carry out intelligent behavior, but not necessarily because they were programmed to perform an explicit set of actions. Think of genetic algorithms and evolution: You specify your RVs, chances for mutations, etc and a way for the computer algorithm to measure the success of each individual in the population (or a way to manually select your favorites) and you create an algorithm to 'evolve' a particular type of solution. One interesting one is the animated Luxo lamp which "hops" (think Pixar studios animation). We can call this intelligent behavior to be sure, but we didn't program the machine to reach a specific goal; we just told it how to measure success. It's simply getting the ball rolling, and then watching what the machine might produce. Very fascinating stuff if you get a chance to see a video clip of this hopping Luxo lamp and the explanation.

      --
      I only post comments when someone on the internet is wrong.
  43. Modern applications by bm17 · · Score: 1

    It's worth mentioning here that, unlike some of the other books mentioned, 'Emergence' ends up tying the concepts to modern applications. For example, it discusses Amazon.com's use of self-organizing groups.

  44. Good ref for Emergentism in philosophy by Zukix · · Score: 3, Informative

    I found the following to be surprising and useful background for the glut of writing about complexity/emergence/universality etc. Lots of historical detail from J. S. Mill onwards about the use of emergence in philosophy. Good bibliography too of which I can recommend the Kaufman books as good fun:
    http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/properties-emerg ent/

  45. How local information leads to global coordination by rabtinyrhedlites · · Score: 1, Informative

    This seems like a fascinating book. I wrote a research paper on how local information leads to global coordination, and seems very relevant to the topics covered in the book. The idea is to take an array of nodes which are in one of two states. Each node can tell the state of only a few neighbors on either side. The idea is to find a cellular automata rule so that all states in the array converge to one state (this is known as the density classification task). This is the "local information can lead to global wisom" idea as stated in the review and is relevent to a score of biological and economic decentralized systems. I used genetic algorithms to solve this problem. I was a semi-finalist in the Siemens-Westinghouse contest and submitted the paper to the Intel Talent Search (yet to be judged). A pdf can be found at http://www.chem-phys.com/intel/alex.pdf

  46. Another novel... by hailstop · · Score: 1

    Coalescent, by Stephen Baxter.

  47. Or read one of the first suggestions of emergence by reedk · · Score: 1
  48. Crichton by Jonathan · · Score: 1

    The thing though, even when technology *isn't* evil in Crichton's books (as in Congo) the books are still about how some discovery could change the world but doesn't (semi-intelligent apes, cloned dinosaurs, time travel, etc) -- in the end *always* the discovery gets lost and the world is no different than before. Wouldn't it be more interesting to read about how time travel or cloned dinosaurs would change society?

  49. Foundation by bozojoe · · Score: 1

    wasn't this already written by Isaac Asimov?

    --
    lick the cancle button (at least thats what our Chinese QA says)
  50. Re:China: Memory == Bigotry by UranusReallyHertz · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    In what other country is it common to refer to foreigners as "white devils" or "black devils" or just "foreign devils".

    --
    Smoking is an expensive, slow, and unreliable method of suicide.
  51. No news... by BaconLT · · Score: 1

    Flamebait mods be ready...Truth hurts.

    This book was reviewed by Wired Magazine in 2002 when it came out. I read the book and liked it; it was insightful but redundant.

    Is it possible that there is nothing important in the world of Technetium so the front page of the hallowed Slashdot has to use two year old commercial buzz from Wired?

    --
    Who mediates your information?
  52. Good Economists and Bad Economists by TheSync · · Score: 1

    I'm surprised about the statement regarding economists supporting centralized planning of economies. Good economists understand that the free market is an emergent system, and planned centralized economies have a long history of failure.

    Of course a lot of socialist economists get the press, because there are so many liberal leftists in academia.

    Why people who believe in evolution and not in creationism yet don't believe in the emergent free market but instead believe in central socialist planning is beyond me.

    1. Re:Good Economists and Bad Economists by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A confused remark. Good economists understand the free market is an emergent system. Yes and? Just because something is emergent does not make it good.

      What's a planned economy, the opposite of a free market? In fact there are very few free market economies or planned economies about - check out the proportion of GDP your Government (and I've no idea where you're from) takes / spends. 40% ish?

      Probably the last free market died when the first Government appeared.

    2. Re:Good Economists and Bad Economists by TheSync · · Score: 1

      US government spending (at all levels, not just federal) as a percentage of GDP is about 30%. Of that, about 5% of US GDP is Social Security income redistribution.

    3. Re:Good Economists and Bad Economists by brpr · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but other (very large) parts of government spending have a profound effect on the economy (particularly military spending). Think how far behind in computer technology we'd be if there hadn't been a massive government investment in it, for example.

      --
      Freedom is not increased by mere diminuation of government. Anarchy is freedom for the strong and slavery for the weak.
    4. Re:Good Economists and Bad Economists by brpr · · Score: 1

      I'm surprised about the statement regarding economists supporting centralized planning of economies. Good economists understand that the free market is an emergent system, and planned centralized economies have a long history of failure.

      You completely misunderstood. It's possible to believe in a free market, while at the same time believing that the market is in some way "controlled" by a small number of gross factors. For example, monetarists, who generally advocate compleetely free markets, think that the money supply is the biggest controlling factor in an economy.

      The identification of a controlling factor does not amount to a claim that some particular group of people should have the right to mess with it as they see fit. Emergence theory, however, might claim that such controlling factors simply do not exist.

      Free/controlled emergent/non-emergent are basically orthogonal issues. You can believe that economies are controlled by a small number of factors and still believe in a free market. Conversely, you can believe that economies are a great deal more complex than that and still believe in economic planning.

      Btw, free markets also have a long history of failure. In fact, economies in general have a long history of failure ;)

      --
      Freedom is not increased by mere diminuation of government. Anarchy is freedom for the strong and slavery for the weak.
  53. A different kind of emergence by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's worth pointing out that, within metaphysics (the subdiscipline of philosophy, not the witches-and-crystals nonsense in the metaphysics section of the bookstore), 'emergence' has a stronger meaning. This comes out in some of the writings on the mind-body problem (see Tim O'Connor's writings for an example). This stronger idea is the idea that, once an appropriate aggregation of low-level bits is created, new laws come into play. What's beautiful about the normal, weaker form of emergence is that simple rules determining the low-level stuff give you 'unpredictable' high-level behavior for free. But it isn't literally unpredictable--perfect knowledge and unlimited processing power would give you the ability to predict it perfectly--it's just unpredictable from any normal human perspective. The stronger form of emergence is such that even with all this knowledge, the high-level behavior would still be unpredictable; it overrides normal physics.

    Slashdot is a practical enough place that few readers probably care about strong emergence, but it's possible that someone might have ended up becoming confused as a result of this distinction. Neither Searle nor Dennett are particularly serious metaphysicians, so they (like Andy Clark) are principally interested in the weak form.

    1. Re:A different kind of emergence by wwest4 · · Score: 1

      > But it isn't literally unpredictable--perfect knowledge and unlimited
      > processing power would give you the ability to predict it perfectly--it's
      > just unpredictable from any normal human perspective.

      Searle argues for the something that straddles what you're calling strong and weak emergence, and calls them weak and strong AI, respectively. Dennett is a much firmer opponent of higher level behavior "overriding normal physics," as this is equivalent to old-fashioned Descartian dualism and too distasteful with someone with someone with as mechanical a disposition as he.

  54. Locusts, Teens and Mobs by kbahey · · Score: 1

    It would be really interesting to try to study and correlate some apparently phenomona in animal behavior and sociology.

    For example, swarming of locusts is one such phenomenon. It does not happen every year. It does not happen everywhere. Yet, when it happens it takes the shape of enormous disasters, such as what has been happening in Africa, the Middle East and Australia. Even Cyprus and the Canary Islands are affected!

    Also, look at how some teens hanging out or at a bar would be under peer pressure and herd mentality and do something stupid like doing cat calls to passing females, or beating up someone of a different ethnicity, or just doing cat calls.

    Or look at demonstrations that go out of control, such as the ones against the WTO in Seattle and in other places. Things can get out of control and you have damaged shops and cars.

    All this has nothing to do with software. But it is very interesting to see what factors are at play when an individual decides to go with the flow against his better judgement, causing damage to others.

  55. Kelly told more of the people story by ynotds · · Score: 1

    But the world changed while he was writing Out of Control largely due to the exaggerated importance placed on Mitchell, Hraber and Crutchfield's 1993 paper which cast aspersions on Langton's lambda and implicitly on the whole notion of "border of order--edge of chaos".

    Wolfram's reunification of his own old Class 3 and Class 4 under his more recent Principle of Computational Equivalence goes even further in a direction I'd rather see us retreat from.

    I actually read the book by Johnson reviewed here for contrast while I was wading through Wolfram's tome. Emergence now sits among a very small pile of books I keep on my desk in case I need to refer to them. A New Kind of Science also sits on my desk, but mainly to elevate my iBook, especially since Wolfram made the whole book I available online. I had to grab Out of Control off the living room bookshelf, but it still ranks as my favourite from the '90s.

    --
    -- Our systemic servants do not good masters make.
  56. try reading goodwin, watching 'Sacred Balance' by goon · · Score: 1

    observations
    Theres some interesting observational research, Oscillations and Chaos in Ant Societies, R.V. Sole, O. Miramontes, and B.C. Goodwin, J. Theor. Biol. 161, pp.343-357, 1993.

    In David Suzuki's, The Sacred Balance, Brian Goodwin (author also of, HOW THE LEOPARD CHANGED ITS SPOTS) made some interesting observational discoveries with ants. Synchronous emergent behaviour arose when individual *chaotic* ants reached a certain density. Goodwin concluded that ...

    simulation
    You can see a simulation of the ants behaviour begin modeled here. You can find more about cellular automata and ants by Akira Kageyama. The source code (java) is here.

    limitations
    But there are limitations in trying to model living systems with computers. Some things just happen in nature that cannot be modelled. I remember reading Bart Kosko (Fuzzy thinking) and in it he describes how modelling animals nature for example doesn't take into account things like breaking bones. Sure you could assign probability of a bone breaking, describe the forces on the bone when it breaks. But in nature it just happens.

    --
    peterrenshaw ~ Another Scrappy Startup
  57. Re:This is as much about philosophy than science.. by QTeela · · Score: 1

    I took a Philosophy course in the early 90's, 'Mind and Machine', which focused primarily on Dennett's book, 'Consciousness Explained'. I was obtaining my BS in Computer Science, and already had a BA in Psychology, but this unrequired elective was my favorite class of all time. On page 440, after discussing Searle, Dennett says 'Complexity does matter'. Human behaviour is complex, but valid generalizations can be made when analyzing the group (hence, Sociology). But a group is composed of multiple individuals, so which is more complex, the group or a single person? Or is there a threshold...? As computers gain power, chaos and intricacy are less daunting. Today there is a stronger argument for Determinism: just put all the facts in a big computer and you can predict any outcome (or the odds of possible outcomes, with a quantum approach). As a human being, I prefer to feel that as long as I am alive, I have some actual control over my existance, and my outlook is instinctually Cartesian (sorry, Daniel). Back in the 70's, my Sociology professor criticized me of over-generalizing. I told him that that is how I think. He accepted my defense. As a programmer, databases, data, stored procedures, optimization, reports, queries, troubleshooting, etc, come naturally to me. I was inspired by my numerical analysis class, but have yet to utilize that training. I really like to analyze data, and enjoy predictibility (generalization) and exceptions. Records from sources such as the Food Lion MVP cards would be fascinating to correlate with other collected data related to those persons. But it concerns me ethically. I don't want to enable a future that will restrict peoples' options based on statistically validated probabilities, at the expense of the individual, even though I think it will happen anyway. In some ways, this has always been true. A PHD used to ensure a lucrative future. But it seems now that more often, test scores, proven ability, and credentials carry less weight than perception. I just ordered Emergence: The Connected Lives of Ants, Brains, Cities, and Software.

  58. Pinker is Right by ynotds · · Score: 1

    That is "Right" with a capital "R". I'm in the final chapter of The Blank Slate which has been my train reading over quite a few weekends. It's a couple of years since I read Johnson and Wolfram.

    Pinker says some useful stuff, especially the notion that we are each the product of the dynamics of our youthful peer groups much more than of anything else apart from our genes. But he also sometimes goes beyond reason to defend some very temporary fashions of the new Right when a real grasp of the deeper implications of emergence might have helped him think more clearly.

    The real argument is discrete versus continuous and the real answer which neither side wants to hear is "both", as it is to the parent poster's attempt to set up an opposition between elemental emergence and functionsl structure.

    --
    -- Our systemic servants do not good masters make.
  59. Socialism, emergence and mice urine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm not sure the words "good" and "economist" should be used in the same sentence, and I say this as a business major of sorts. "Well meaning" and "economist" are a much better match.

    Not that I'm a great proponant of centralized economies, wether government or corporate run, but there is an emergent rational for defending them. Especially if your background leads to the "free thinking science type" as opposed to the "free thinking religious type". Although, to a degree, the free market does create alot of random interactions, great for emergence, but it also has a lot of very complicated interactions, not great for emergence. Remember, simplicity is best.

    In my neighborhood there are about three predatory loaning facilities and when they close their doors around five o'clock their storefronts are home to the teens and twentysomethings selling marijuanna, crack, etc. A few storefronts down is a nice coffee shop, a bar (with great bands and no cover), a video store, and some clothing shops, all independantly owned. YEAH! Free market! whooo!

    Anyway, here we have various emergent economic clusters forming around the markets for quick loans (aimed at my black and appalachian neighbors), drugs (aimed at... well everyone really), and typical alterno-comerce (aimed at me).My neighborhood, as an emergent intelligence, deciding wether it will be known as the place to go see music and buy clothes, or a place to buy drugs. These three clusters do not reinforce eachothers markets in some great and grand capitalist emergence. In fact, the drug dealers reduce the rate of street flow, by appearing and acting intimidating, hoping to make an impression on their costumers and competitors. The predetory lending facilities reduce the flow of commerce since a byproduct of their short run business plan is less cash for families (and less cash for my neighborhood), and the business council of alterno-peeps want to clean up the neighborhood, knocking out major markets in both drug dealing and predatory lending. Yeah, competition!

    Most, "lefty" or even "moderate science types" are interested in creating a simple atmosphere where topics can be well researched. Where they can dialogue nicely, and come to collective conclusions about the viscocity of mice urine, or whatever. The more this atmosphere is subject to interruption; gun fire from rival gangs of drug dealing, loud rock and roll from the punk bar, etc. the less this group reaches higher conclusions. The less sophisticated their smaller emergent community can become.

    Socialism, and again, I'm not a big proponant, makes a very simple system (good for emergence): You have no money, you gave it all to the government, and now with your weekly coffee voucher you can go talk mice urine with your cronies. It all depends on what you want out of society. If you want a wide variety of activities from which to choose from the, well then, the free-er the market the wider the variety (including goat prostitution, and random acts of explosions). If you want to concentrate your efforts on a single subject, or a very few, then the more your external market is controlled, then the better off you are.

    We all, no matter how rugged an individual we think we are, want our excitingly random world to be controlled and predictable to some degree. No one wants to wrestle a brown bear off their computer so they can get on line. The market, is not as unsympathetic as nature, being a product of mankind. But it does not provide shelter, food, etc. just simply by exhisting. And these kinds of quallities, along with education and other lefty socialist niceities, can only improve emergence.

  60. Review summarizes most of what's worthwhile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I found the book thin on substance. It presents a few really neat ideas, which the reviewer pretty well summarizes in the review: good stuff for stimulating thinking, no question, but not treated with great depth or nuance. It was the same few points repeated over and over.

    Incidentally, the book review above seemed not to be a review at all. It summarized some of the ideas of the book while offering no comment whatsoever on, say, the quality of writing, or how this book compares to others in the genre -- things I would look for in a review.

  61. Re:This is as much about philosophy than science.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  62. Have you even read the book? by cr0sh · · Score: 1

    I have, and I need to re-read it (once isn't enough) - but one thing I do remember, quite clearly (and annoyingly), is that it seemed that on every other page, he consistently writes how he wasn't the first person to come up with this, or that - how he was merely bringing various ideas together, ideas that existed from others (and himself) from before, into a cohesive whole. He plainly writes, many, many times, how he is merely standing on shoulders of giants.

    --
    Reason is the Path to God - Anon
    1. Re:Have you even read the book? by utexaspunk · · Score: 2, Informative

      I have read the book, and that is not the impression that I, nor many other people who've read it, came away with. On the contrary, he repeatedly refers to it as his discovery- "...the new kind of science I [emphasis mine] have developed...", "...my discovery...", "...one of the more important single discoveries in the whole history of theoretical science..."

      That's just in the first chapter, but it continues throughout. He makes little reference to others' work in the field, pretty much dismissing all work done prior to his becoming aware of the subject.

      It is a good indicator of how lost in one's own world one is when none of the major peer-reviewed journals or scientific publishers is interested in "one of the more important single discoveries in the whole history of theoretical science". If a minor patent clerk can get his groundbreaking ideas out, one would hope an MacArthur award-winning, CalTech PhD-holding, Mathematica creator would be heard.

      The whole book sounds to me like a guy who's been told how smart he was all his life, and is probably surrounded by sycophants, who has a lot of money and might have smoked a little too much weed.

      It's okay, though, Stephen- the pictures are lovely.

  63. Call me crazy.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    However I have had first hand observation of this "phenomenon". While in USMC boot camp there were times when we were all tired and not really wanting to be there. After a time, I would "switch" my additude, and focus, and think, fuggit... I'll do what he [drill instructor] really wants. And soon every member of the platoon was focused, cooperating, and ultimately performing how the drill instructor desired.

    I do not perceive to be a super-hero, however, I have many times wondered since then how a single individuals' attitude could add to a group's performance.

  64. update by goon · · Score: 1
    ... I remember reading Bart Kosko (Fuzzy thinking) and in it he describes how modelling animals nature ...

    or maybe that was Richard Dawkins in Climbing Mount Improbable. Both are worthy reads on emergent modelling.

    --
    peterrenshaw ~ Another Scrappy Startup
  65. Re:The Protocols of the Learned Elders of Santschi by CactusCritter · · Score: 1

    Several years ago, I read of an ant parasite whose life cycle includes sheep. When one of these parasites matures in the body of an ant, it causes the ant to climb to the top of a blade of grass. There, it can be eaten by a sheep to continue the parasite's life cycle.

    We had an extememly weird happening in Metro Phoenix within that last week or so. An expensive car, Porsche or something like that, hit another vehicle from behind. No one was in the Porsche. Police began checking backward from the scene of the accident. Two blocks back, they found the body of the man who had been driving the vehicle. Witnesses who had seen the accident develop said the driver had climbed through the roof onto the top of the car. From there, he either fell or jumped to his death.

    Hi family later claimed that some parasite had infected his brain during a trip to Mexico. The supposition was that the man's frontal cortex, which consequences can be worked out, had been damaged by the parasite.

    Anyone wonder why the image of an ant climbing to the tip of a blade of grass came to my mind?

  66. Irrelevant preaching in "Jurassic Park" by CactusCritter · · Score: 1

    The Jeff Goldblum character in "Jurassic Park" did a lot of preaching about the Park being so complex that it could not really be controlled.

    Yet, when the disaster unrolled, it was not in any way the result of complexity. Rather, the disaster was the result of deliberate sabotage by a trusted insider.

    That's a Crichton habit which bugs be severely.

    1. Re:Irrelevant preaching in "Jurassic Park" by AndyL · · Score: 1

      There were also rather obvious design flaws in the Dinosaur tracking systems, so that even once they were back online they were not accurately tracking the dinosaurs.

      You could argue that the trusted insider that goes bad is part of the larger "complex system" of an amusement park, but The only real example of biological complexity I can think of was the fact that some of the animals were reproducing. But again, this was only a problem because the computer system was flawed and not properly tested..

  67. Damn, slashdot needs a spellchecker! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This post has too many grammar and spelling errors. Heck, it's practically unreadable!

  68. This book glosses the subject by carcosa30 · · Score: 1

    It's good for a short coffee shop read.

    Much more interesting books on the subject are "Complexity" by Waldrop and "Swarm Intelligence," by I forget whom.

    --
    Intolerance for ambiguity is the mark of the authoritarian personality.
  69. No SIGNLE gene by AaronGTurner · · Score: 1

    A small quibble about the top level blurb introducing this book.

    Whilst there is no single gene that determines the behaviour of an ant colony it would be inaccurate to say that there are not genes which control the behaviour. There are multiple genes which control the low-level behaviours from which the gross behaviour emerges.

    Maybe I am just being pedantic.

  70. Replication, self-repairing by AaronGTurner · · Score: 1

    Some of the most fascinating emergent behaviour in cellular automata are self replicating automata and self repairing automata, or perhaps more strictly large scale features embedded within automata that exhibit these properties. Other fascinating areas are the ability to simulate a generic computer using a cellular automata. Whilst this may not sound very exciting it opens the possibility of building new computing architectures using small units with only local communication. If this is teamed with the ability to replicate and repair systems which can reconfigure themselves or are remarkably fault tolerant are possible, again allowing what might be otherwise apparently unsuitable low level computing surfaces to be used. Ultimately this may prove useful for computing in hostile environments such as in space vehicles which may require systems which are resilient to cosmic rays over multiple decades for deep space probes. Small units like adders, gates, and so on, are very possible to design using automata. For my masters I worked on efficient methods of simulating cellular automata with large rule sets and the ability to learn the rule sets from a series of desired examples of state progression using neural networks underlying the mechanism. The motivation was that given a required set of states (essentially a series of snap shots of data processing or self repair) a CA could learn the rules required which could then be studied in detail after rule extraction from the neural network. Sadly I ran out of time to examine the area in as much detail as I would have liked.

  71. Re:This is as much about philosophy than science.. by wwest4 · · Score: 1

    > Today there is a stronger argument for Determinism: just put all the facts in
    > a big computer and you can predict any outcome (or the odds of possible
    > outcomes, with a quantum approach).

    The same laws that make the quantum computing heuristic possible are a great argument against determinism a la reductionism. Predictability has well-defined limits in terms of position and state once you arrive at a quantum scale.

    > which is more complex, the group or a single person? Or is there a threshold

    What if it's like quantum uncertainty - the more you have a localized self, the less you see of the social hierarchy. Self determination is high, social determination is low. The more you give your self up to other roles, the less your concept of self is defined, but your knowledge of the social hierarchy is greater. Social determination is high, self determination is low.

  72. Re:China: Memory == Bigotry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What you call "historical memory" is quite simply another way of viewing the concept of cultural baggage.

    My country experienced a lot of poverty. Today we are rich. Nevertheless the majority still live a very modest lifestyle, "below our means" to twist the expression. That is what culture is, how history shapes it.

  73. Re:China: Memory == Bigotry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    "Twist[ing]" expressions and words is common in Chinese society. Chinese enjoy teaching and passing along bigotry to their children.

    Westerners are different.

  74. Emergence by Daedala · · Score: 1

    My first thought was, "Wait, didn't that come out 20 years ago? Is there a reprint? Can I get another copy? Yay!"

    David Palmer's Emergence was a really good sf book from the long-ago. Too bad he didn't write anything else. (And no, I don't count Threshold. I am in fact still trying to forget it, twenty years later.)

    --
    What I say does not represent the views of my employers, my friends, my cats, or myself.
  75. Re:China: the Herd Mentality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Modded the offtopic mod as unfair. Next time someone wants to mod something offtopic that is a reply to a parent, mod the parent post instead to close the entire thread and stop further posts.

  76. Re:China: Memory == Bigotry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Westerners are different in that they really hate passing along bigotry, but will begrudgingly do so??? I mean, your statement in itself is rife with bigotry.