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Xbox 2 to Release in Fall of This Year

GamesIndustry.biz has the news that the Xbox 2 will be launched sometime in late fall of this year. With EA games already working on Xbox 2 titles and rumors of a name for the console in circulation, it looks like the first of the next-gen consoles will be here soon. From the article: "Many have expressed concern that Microsoft is forcing the next generation of console hardware too early, and that the current generation still has much to achieve. The most famous example of this came from then Nintendo of Europe MD David Gosen speaking at an ELSPA summit in London last October, where he lambasted Microsoft for pushing a next generation machine to market in 2005, and even went so far as to question Microsoft's motivation as profit." Additionally, the Seattle Post-Intelligencer has Balmer saying that they will "blow by Sony" with their next console.

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  1. According to "sources". by mcc · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "Sources".

    Right.

    Whatever you say.

    1. Re:According to "sources". by RootsLINUX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I disagree. What's the point of even buying a console if it's going to be replaced with a next-gen every 2 years? Plus think of the overhead in getting game developers to familiarize themselves with the new hardware/API (which means less time for actually making games). It's not a win-win situation by any means. I think the current hardware on the PS2/GameCube/X-Box is more than enough to make great games for the next year or so. I am inclined to agree with the statement that the only reason M$ is doing this is for profit. They simply want to use this strategic move to take a larger chunk of the market because they have "the best" machine (in terms of hardware performance). I doubt that they are interested in anything other than that, but that's just my opinion.

      --
      Hero of Allacrost, a FOSS RPG for *NIX/*BSD/OS X/Win
    2. Re:According to "sources". by mmkkbb · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It uses an entirely different processor line and video subsystem. I have doubts.

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      -mkb
    3. Re:According to "sources". by redivider · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the current hardware on the PS2/GameCube/X-Box is more than enough to make great games for the next year or so.

      That works out well then, considering "XBox 2" won't be coming out until late this year (at the earliest) and both PS3 and Revolution aren't coming out until sometime in 2006.

      And even with new consoles being released, there will probably be games released for current-gen consoles for at least the next 2-3 years. There won't be as many, but it's not like your PS2 or XBox immediately becomes worthless the minute a new console comes out.

      I am inclined to agree with the statement that the only reason M$ is doing this is for profit.

      You really think Sony and Nintendo do what they do for anything other than profit? Sure they'll talk about the artistry involved in creating games and how they're inspired to push the limits of technology, but that's mostly PR. All three companies want to own the video game market and make as much money as possible.

      --
      Sinch
    4. Re:According to "sources". by MBraynard · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Look at these things on a quarter by quarter basis. A big part of MS's success this last quarter was Halo2. These things usually pay off in the long run for MS.

      One thing these guys know how to do is LEARN and implement what they learn.

    5. Re:According to "sources". by InvalidError · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Someone who bought a 3GHz P4 more than two years ago is still fairly close to top-of-the-line by today's Intel roadmaps.

      Of course, platforms and video chips are a different story.

      Thankfully, multicore, multithreading and 64bit-ness going mainstream this year should help shake up the x86 CPU world a bit after more than two years of stagnation.

    6. Re:According to "sources". by mabinogi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      XBox seems pretty damned successful over here in Australia, it definitely hasn't outsold the PS2, or probably come close, but it doesn't look like its flopped.
      If anything's flopped, it's the Gamecube....

      You just need to take a look in an EB to see - a long wall dedicated to PS2 games, a short wall dedicated to XBox games, and a tiny little dark corner somewhere with cobwebs growing on it dedicated to the cube...

      --
      Advanced users are users too!
    7. Re:According to "sources". by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The PlayStation 2 has a completely different provessor line and video subsystem from the PlayStation 1.

      They got around it by having a second chip on board. Not the most cost efficient method of achieving backwards compatability, but it shows that there's always away.

      I imagine, however, that the next gen's processor will be fast enough for machine-code emulation's overhead to not be slower than the current system's playability.

    8. Re:According to "sources". by TheHonestTruth · · Score: 2, Insightful
      In addition, in the end, they have a strong brand. When the X-Box came out, I was among the "I will never give MS my money! Ever!" but over time, as more and more games came out for all systems and the X-Box had the best graphics, I weakened. Then there was Halo 2. I grew up and broke down. The X-Box is a hell of a console. I'll definitely get the next one. Not at first, simply because I've moved past the need to have a console/game the day it comes out, but the X-Box, with X-Box Live, is a superior platform for any game that comes out on all systems. I'll get a PS3 because some of the PS exclusive titles just make it worth it, but if I was going to get only one, I really think MS has established the X-Box to be not just a competitor, but a leader (XBL far surpasses any online matchmaking for a console for the price of 1 game a year).

      -truth

      --

      I had a steady B+ in my AI class until I failed the Turing test...

  2. Um, duh? by VE3ECM · · Score: 4, Insightful
    "...and even went so far as to question Microsoft's motivation as profit.

    Uh, hello? What other motivation does a for-profit business ultimately have?

    Stupidest. Comment. Ever.

    1. Re:Um, duh? by SteveX · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I think the quote (although badly written) was saying that Nintendo was speculating that their motivation might be something other than profit.

      Although whatever their motivation (beating the other guys to market, driving the competition out of business, etc), it ultimately comes down to profit.

    2. Re:Um, duh? by Rico_Suave · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Except Microsoft has far more money than Sega. Sony won't be able to bury them with "Emotion Engine 65 bazillion polygon" bullshit marketing they way they did with Sega.

    3. Re:Um, duh? by Detritus · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Power and control. Microsoft has shown that it is willing to give up short-term profits in order to dominate a market. They only start turning the screws after the competition has been destroyed.

      --
      Mea navis aericumbens anguillis abundat
    4. Re:Um, duh? by Ridgelift · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well if you guys would read the article, you'd see the parent comment was correct:

      "..lambasted Microsoft for pushing a next generation machine to market in 2005, and even went so far as to question Microsoft's motivation as profit.
      "In every cycle, some manufacturer not profiting from the current cycle is eager to kick-start the next one," he said at the time."


      Yep. Stupidest. Comment. Ever.

      Although I've never been a fan of Microsoft, even I hope they do well in the console market. It means cheap hardware for me to hack, and I don't care if it comes from Sony, Microsoft or maybe McDonalds someday.

    5. Re:Um, duh? by 8tim8 · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Power and control. Microsoft has shown that it is willing to give up short-term profits in order to dominate a market. They only start turning the screws after the competition has been destroyed.

      I agree with you, but I don't think that will work so well in the console market. Even if they deliver backwards compatibility in their next gen console, the playing field is much more open than in the OS market. Even if they win with this next round of consoles and start screwing everyone (including 3rd party devs) over, with the following gen Sony (and I guarantee you Sony will still be around) can appeal to those same 3rd party devs and have a good shot.

      Don't forget, unlike with Windows OS, every new generation requires the customer buy a completely new set of hardware, and unless they deliver backwards compatibility there's not that much reason for a customer to stick with the XBox unless the customer actually likes the product. MS won't have the lock-in they have in the OS market.

    6. Re:Um, duh? by Renaissance+2K · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Post people in the industry recognize the three directions that the three main console producers seem to be pushing.

      Nintendo is out to take gaming in new directions, changing the way people interact with their games and reaching out to a larger user base. Hence, the DS with its dual screens, the GBA with its universal audience, and the revolutionary controllers it seems to introduce with every console generation.

      Sony wants game console synonymous with entertainments systems, and wants every high-end home theater system hooked up with a PlayStation. If you need proof of this, just look at the PSX (the media center, not the original PlayStation that often used those initials as a code name).

      Microsoft, on the other hand, seems to have entered the gaming industry because they recognized it as a profitable venture. Without turning this into a flame war, just sit the PS2, the Cube, and the Xbox side-by-side. The PS2 is a sleek, slim, well-designed piece of electronics. The Gamecube is a tiny, uninvasive "toy" that screames accessibility.

      The Xbox is a fridge.

      Honestly, the "ideals" behind the Xbox are already obsolete. In the days of Media Center PC's, a game console based on PC hardware and running Windows CE is no longer impressive. Xbox Next seems to be sidestepping the "budget PC" architecture, with all this hooplah over Cell processors and next-generation gaming. But still... Microsoft's mission statement remains unchanged, and their values are equally static.

      If they do release it in 2005, they have less than 10 months to come up with a Halo-calibre killer app, or they're going to be laughed out of the industry.

      First does not always equal success. Dreamcast, anyone?

    7. Re:Um, duh? by DrWho520 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You may think it is stupid, but as a gamer and a consumer, I like to think the company making my game system and writing my games is in it for more than just profit. Yes, I know it is naive, but for the sake of the exercise, bear with me.

      Microsoft is a software company looking to create marketshare in a new venue. They are also trying to set up a trojan horse for their MCE initiative.

      Sony is a hardware company that is producing cheap razors so they can sell the hell out of the blades. The blades being games, memory sticks and new media formats. Where someone may feel like a brick, Sony is the proverbial wall. Oh yeah, do not forget the media center addition of PS2 (was it PStwo?)

      Nintendo, on the other hand, has always professed themselves a gaming company who builds hardware and writes software with the express goal of gaming. This comment from a Nintendo Exec is far from stupid. It is actually very astute. It simultaneously communicates their coporate stance and blasts a competitor for engaging in practices that are harmful to the industry. Quite elegant, actually. Of course, I am probably a fan boy for saying that.

      The point is, Nintendo has a niche market carved out, and to be in that niche, they have to appear as the gaming company who is in it for the gamers. They are the Apple of the gaming environment. Of course, DS is a trojan horse for Revolution if you believe Reggie Fils-Aime-Whatever-His-Name-Is-With-A-Hyphen and others have been saying. That and the licensing of PalmOS present some inplication for the DS that make things...interesting. But that is my time!

      --
      The cancel button is your friend. Do not hesitate to use it.
    8. Re:Um, duh? by Have+Blue · · Score: 5, Insightful

      All the companies are looking for profit- you've just listed 2 out of the 3 methods they are using to obtain this. Microsoft's "hook" is online play- the console was designed around Live from the start, with the hard disk and the built-in Ethernet port and the headset slot (does anyone really use memory cards with Xboxes?) on the controllers. There's a very good chance Xbox 2 will have digital media and possibly PVR functionality as well, to play for the same "home media" market as Sony is. Nintendo is still content to make devices that play games and nothing else.

    9. Re:Um, duh? by U1timateZer0 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Who gives a flying fuck about which console has a "more powerful GPU?" As far as I'm concerned, all 3 current consoles have near photorealistic graphics. Why not put a bunch of cash into R&D for outstanding AI, gameplay, game length, sound mapping, etc. Fuck the pretty pictures, they aren't required for gaming. If you play the original Pong, it's got 2 lines and 1 moving dot, probably a total of ~250 pixels. If you play Pong with 3D rendered paddles and a vertex shaded ball, antialiased, with texture maps, bump maps, and the like. . . guess what? You're still just playing Pong. The game didn't change a bit.

      --
      Unplug all controller for great reset!!
    10. Re:Um, duh? by Yakko · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That doesn't really matter, as I for one don't look forward to having only sports games and FPSs available, so I'll buy the other guys' systems.

      It's all about the games, most of which, unfortunately, suck more than they don't.

      --

      --
      Me spell chucker work grate. Need grandma chicken.
  3. Profit by qwerty55 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "and even went so far as to question Microsoft's motivation as profit." Isn't that the motivation of almost all business.

  4. rumors of a name for the console... how about.. by eggoeater · · Score: 3, Insightful

    YBox

  5. Forcing the market, I think not by shoptroll · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Well... The PS2 is starting to show its age, but its still not dead yet, with companies still putting titles on the market for it.

    Gamecube hasn't even hit a ripe age yet.

    Let's all remember that the reason M$ is really putting a new console out is to sweep under the rug the original Xbox's poor performance in the areana.

    In all honesty, Sony can wait a while to get the PS3 out. Which it looks like they're planning on doing.

    Nintendo hasn't said anything, but I'm going to guess they'll wait a little longer as well.

    Anyone care to remind Redmond of the Tortoise vs. the Hare story?

    --
    Insert Sig Here
    1. Re:Forcing the market, I think not by mcc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What I am curious about is whether the XBox 2 will have backward compatibility. Sony has guaranteed backward compatibility in the PS3 all the way back to the PS1. Nintendo initially promised backward compatibility in their next console, though they seem to be retreating on this promise lately. Microsoft meanwhile has not said anything solid but has publicly downplayed the importance of backward compatibility in the XBox 2 when it has come up. Plus what we know about the hardware of each console means it would be relatively easy for Nintendo or Sony to provide backward compatibility, but relatively difficult for Microsoft to do the same. Microsoft did quietly buy an x86-on-PPC emulation company a few years back but the idea that could be used for backward compatibility in a game console is a long shot, plus there's the rumors about the hard drive.

      This could potentially be a mistake from Microsoft's perspective. Whichever consoles in the next generation offer backward compatibility will have a much smoother transition from one to the next-- especially since in this next generation the switchover will occur while the previous generation's consoles are enjoying a vibrancy unprecedented in console generation changes in the past. Whichever consoles fail to provide backward compatibility will have a much harder sell to new consumers because they will begin with a disadvantage in game library size, and will also find themselves not just competing with the other two companies, but also competing with their own previous product-- "do I buy an XBox 1 or an XBox 2?" ceases to become a clear cut question for many people in such a situation.

      But, we'll see what happens.

  6. Ballmer bullshit by Scrameustache · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why do people buy one game console over another? As we say around here, 'Duh, it's the games.' ... Partly they're great games because they have great graphics, they have great processing, they have great this, they've got great that, but it's about getting great games. [...] What is 'Halo 2?' It's the greatest video game ever written.

    I'm sorry, no.
    Graphics are nice, but gameplay is what counts. And Halo 2 is just another multiplayer FPS.

    I still replay Super Metroid and Castlevania: Symphoy of the Night about once a year, and every few months I get an urge to replay Rez intensly for a couple of weeks.
    The graphics were an important part of the initial experience, but they are just eye candy, and they get old fast. Why would I still play old games when the new ones have the better graphics? Gameplay? That's right.

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  7. Re:Blow by Sony? Hahaha by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Can post a link to these "official statenements". Sony hasn't officially disclosed details about PS3.

    BTW. Real World Technologies has some estimates for the power consumption of Cell:

    "The power consumption characteristics of the processor were not disclosed by IBM. However, estimates in the range of 50 to 80 Watts @ 4 GHz and 1.1 V were given."

    Changes of PS3 having four 8 SPE Cells are zero (unless Sony will ship canister of liquid nitrogen with it).

  8. I hope they work the bugs out this time by Joshua53077 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When the original Xbox came out, I rushed out to buy it. Unfortunatley, my console had a lot of quality control problems including scratching my games and then refusing to play them. I had heard a number of reports of similar problems but when I called tech support, they would not admit that there were design defects or manufacturing defects. They did fix it but it was an annoying ordeal that I should not have gone through (I was without the console for quite some time). Hopefully this time, they have all the bugs worked out.

  9. This is completely backwards by deft · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Who here cares if the last thing can still be used? We yearn for the next graphics card when we know damn well the last one we had will probably be just fine... because we love the cutting edge stuff. Thats part of being a tech geek.

    So now someone wants to put out something better, and we're all supposed to say no! Too early.... let me play with this one longer?

    Bah, those who want to play with PS2 and XBox can do so, but I'm going to take a bet that if this is that much better, people will buy it...if not, it will die.

    But retraining new tech for the sake of keeping old tech around? Thats counter-slashdot... and the same argument applies if it was Sony or Microsoft, although I'd also sneak a side bet in that if it was Sony, it would be a good thing... but its Microsoft, and people love to hate them.

    --

    There's nothing Intelligent about Intelligent Design.
  10. Competitiveness by Infonaut · · Score: 5, Insightful
    I also think its funny how people bash Microsoft for being anti competitive in the PC world and then bash them for being HIGHLY competitive in the Console world.

    The thing that bothers me is that Microsoft's anticompetitive behavior in the PC world directly affects their ability to be so competitive in the console world. Microsoft makes use of monopoly rents to subsidize the losses they accrue with the XBox.

    It's a lot easier to spread into new markets when you can siphon profits from a monopoly you hold in another market.

    --
    Read the EFF's Fair Use FAQ
    1. Re:Competitiveness by 1000101 · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Microsoft just reported their first quarterly profit from their Home and Entertainment unit. They lost money on the XBox in the beginning, but they knew all along that the long term would be profitable. The 'monopoly subsidizes the XBox' argument is now void.

    2. Re:Competitiveness by alatesystems · · Score: 1, Insightful
      It's a lot easier to spread into new markets when you can siphon profits from a monopoly you hold in another market.
      Oh you mean like?

      All ancillary products paid for by the main product.

      Have a reality check; all companies do this. You have a good product and you put that money back into R&D for new products. Take a look at the cash flow sheet of any publicly traded company, and stop being a basher. Try to put logic into an argument.

  11. Re:Profit?!? by byrd77 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Missing the point; Nintendo is saying that MS may be doing something detrimental to short term profit (selling next-gen hardware early, thus reducing returns on current-gen investments) in order to take market share from competitors, thereby (hopefully) improving long term profit potential. Nintendo is notorious for eeking out every last bit of return from products before moving to the next generation (think gameboy), so it's understandable why this may irk them.

    --
    - Carpe diem, quam minimum credula postero.
  12. Re:More power to them. by j-turkey · · Score: 4, Insightful
    I also think its funny how people bash Microsoft for being anti competitive in the PC world and then bash them for being HIGHLY competitive in the Console world.

    Dude, this is Slashdot. If there was an article about Bill Gates wiping his nose, he'd be criticised here.

    Trying to rationally discuss anything relating to Microsoft on Slashdot is an excercise in futility.

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    -Turkey

  13. Re:More power to them. by CastrTroy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The x-box is not innovative as far as gaming consoles. It's basically a small form factor PC (large when compared to things like Mac Mini), that only plays video games. I think that the gamecube is much more innovating as they were able to produce a very good gaming console without making it too big, as well as giving it fast load times. X-Box didn't really bring anything new to the console market. They may have the most advanced system out there, but then again, they were the last to market.

    --

    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  14. Re:Dreamcast by Scrameustache · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The Xbox 2 is going to be a good system though.

    The Dreamcast wasn't a bad system. But Sony then released a better system: backwards compatible, better controllers, plays DVDs, etc.

    1. Wait and see what the competition releases.
    2. One-up them.
    3. Profit!

    Microsoft attempted that strategy the first time around, but focused on system stats as their definition of "better". Their original controller was a nightmare (and how long did they deny it? Now it's a collector's item, despite their repeated claims that it was perfect), you had to pay extra to unlock the built-in features (Sony did that too, but quickly realised the error of their ways, and by the time of the north american launch, DVD playing was standard out of the box).

    Of the current gen, none are utter crap. The Xbox does have slightly better graphics, if you're looking real close, and the Cube has a bunch of lil' gems of games. But since they're in a pissing contest, I think Sony's strategy will get them ahead again.

    On the whole, aside from the backroom exclusivity deals, the console wars are good for us gamers, they're trying damn hard to get the best hardware they can, and so devellopers get a good base on which to devellop (hopefully) good games.
    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  15. Re:More power to them. by SlashSnot · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They are being HIGHLY competitive by: Buying up the game companies and sucking them dry. Releasing hardware and taking a loss for years to gain market share (and take share from others). Releasing platforms early to beat others to market. Some would "bash" them for being "HIGHLY" competitive so that they may later achieve their legendary status as "anti competitive" in this market segment later. I own an XBox. I also own Windows versions, and I sometimes do wonder what price I am paying for doing so.

  16. Re:PowerPC 970MX by alatesystems · · Score: 4, Insightful

    However, the Nintendo Revolution will not have DirectX, unless something has changed that I didn't know about. The X in Xbox came from DirectX, the abstraction language that almost all windows game programmers use(with the exception of games from id that use OpenGL).

    The whole point behind the xbox was for it to be a "console for the developers". It lets people who are used to writing PC games, which includes most studios, to begin writing games immediately for a new console with a minimal learning curve.

    From what I understand, the PS2 is INSANELY hard to write software for, and I imagine the gamecube and the forthcoming revolution are/will be the same.

    Microsoft really has done a good thing for once by making a device that just plays games and basing it off of a common abstraction layer.

    With all that said, if it isn't compatible with my current games, I'm definitely going to hold off buying it until I see what the cell processor infrastructure has to offer. Why buy a console that can't play all my games until I can compare the Xbox Next, the PS3, and the Nintendo Revolution.

  17. Re:Really torquing me up!!!! by Tufriast · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Eh, no taking a processor which they didn't make at all - and making it their own, and stating the "the system is innovative" is crap. They aren't innovative, and the slashdot audience isn't slamming them for being innovative. What they are slamming them for is being rude about business practices - which is the "American Way". There are going to be three versions of the XBox. The first one will be out this year, the second in 2006 in order to compete with PS3, and the last in 2007 to compete with Sony's power play to take over the living room. Before this is over, your PC, game playing device, and DVD/Movie Player will be at the center of the betting pool for both companies. And another thing...Halo isn't awe inspiring, and or original. It happens to be a FPS that was configured properly on a console - plain and simple. No company did it before b/c no company incorporated the "internet" into their core business model FROM THE START. FPS games exist b/c of the web - period. Sony dropped the ball, and let the internet slip. So, to repeat: it wasn't innovation - it was a shot in the dark, and they hit the big time. If one DECENT FPS had been ported to a system with a stable internet crowd, M$ would be looking at discontinuing the system.

    --
    Help me, help you. - Jerry McGuire
  18. Re:Dreamcast by CastrTroy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm sure everybody thought $500 was too expensive for what is essentially a walkman, but then along came i-pod and fooled us all.

    --

    Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
  19. I think they're rushing to market. by Scrameustache · · Score: 4, Insightful

    When the PS3 arrives 1 year later, the Xbox 2 will be (much?) cheaper, have a nice line of games, a larger base of players etc. Sure, the PS3 will have slightly better specs, but what will you pick when you're presented with the choice between a 699 machine and a 349 machine? Where everything else (eventually) points to the 349-machine..

    Replace "PS3" with "PS2" and "Xbox2" with "Dreamcast", and we're 5 years all over again.

    The DC was cheaper, had a bigger base of games, and yet, here we are, a few years later, and Sega's hardware division is history. Not that MS would ever stop, but their strategy has been tried before, and I don't think the result will be any different.

    --

    You can't take the sky from me...

  20. It's all about the games... by sterno · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think it was the head of Nintendo that pointed this out, but when it comes to consoles, it's really about the games. If the next incarnation of GTA runs on a PS3, then a PS3 is what I will own. I don't particularly like Halo, because I find shooters work much better on PC's. So what's to draw me to their system?

    Think of it this way: what can the XBox 2 possibly offer me that's new? Sure they can up the graphics performance, hard drive space, etc, but it's really just making it an evolutionary step better than the current system. Furthermore, if raw performance was a big deal, they'd already dominate the market because the XBox outperforms and has more features than the PS2. Hell, even for existing XBox owners the decision will require some thought seeing as old games won't play on the new system (as far as I know).

    On the other hand, the PS3 will be backward compatible, add significant processing power, and quite likely add some new features like having a hard drive and output for HD. Those features, of course, already exist on an XBox, but this means people fixated on hardware performance should be turning to PS3 as the better system. So barring some major manufacturing glitches, delays, etc, I see no reason to think the PS3 will be losing market share to the XBox 2.

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    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
    1. Re:It's all about the games... by dlZ · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I bought a PS2 on release. At the time, I was working at a large video game reseller. It at the time was one of the worst gaming decisions I made. It destroyed my games (nice circular burns. And I saw countless other units do the same thing), didn't have a very decent release selection, and didn't play the one PSX game that I hadn't had a chance to play (my PSX broke less than a week before release, only reason I bought one when I did.)

      I also bought an X-Box at release. Yes, the game selection yet again wasn't that great. But I found the system just more enjoyable. I was very anti-XB before it's release. Got caught up in my own M$ hating a bit too much. Then it came in, and I played DOA, and I fell in love.

      Now I own a mini-PS2 (my first failed, and I refused to buy another one for ages), my original X-Box, and a Gamecube. Most played system? The X-Box, then probably the Gamecube. I almost never touch the PS2. And why? I work, a lot. When I want to play a game, it's usually with friends. So I toss in Burnout 3 in my X-Box, or Mario (varios sport/racing) game into the cube. I have a 51" HDTV, and the X-Box takes advantage of that. PS2 is actually scary looking on it. And the Gamecube, well, Nintendo will have a special spot in my heart. What other company could get a bunch of mid 20's to 30's people together and have them yelling and laughing over a turtle shell knocking into a go-cart.

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      rm -rf ./evidence @ punkcomp
  21. Re:Dreamcast by The-Bus · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well, Sega had some major issues with the Dreamcast. (The "Edge" here is Xbox vs. PS3).

    First off, it was NOT a DVD player. The PS2 arrived at a critical time where a lot of younger folk still had not had a DVD player and you couldn't get many DVD players under the $100-150 range. So, presto, you buy a $249 console (or whatever it was), and now you've got a DVD player as well. Edge: Slightly Sony. The PS2 might have next-gen DVD media, but who has the hardware to support it? Unless next-gen displays come down to earth levels ($1,000-$4,000) no one will care to adopt this. See, for example, SACD.

    Second, by the time the Dreamcast was out in the US, the PS2 was only a month or two away from being released in Japan. Had Sega really hit the market a year before, they could've gobbled up a lot of market share from the aging, ailing N64 and PS1. But when "9-9-99" hit everyone had seen the PS2 videos and knew what was around the corner. Edge: Unknown. This all has to do with expectations. In 1999, everyone knew the PS2 would be insane. Will the PS3 be "insane" compared to the Xbox 2? We'll know this year.

    Third, the Dreamcast had no backwards compatibility (to what? the Sega CD?). The PS2 did, so automatically you had a very nice, large game library to play with. Edge: Unknown. Sony, I assume, will have PS1 and PS2 compatability in the PS3. The jury is still out on Xbox 2 having backwards compatibility.

    Fourth, EA did not have EA Sports on the Dreamcast. You couldn't play Madden or NBA Live. Now, for most people here, these are non-titles. But a very very large amount of people play these, and face it, Sega didn't have it. If EA continues with Microsoft, the Xbox 2 will have a market advantage come this fall. If you want to play the cool sports games, you need to get the Xbox 2, or settle with the slower version on the PS2. Edge: Microsoft.

    I don't think it's plausible that Sony will go the way of Nintendo or Sega. At the same time, I can't see Microsoft getting out of the home gaming market. What IS interesting is the issue of piracy. It greatly affected the Dreamcast and the Xbox, neither did well. But (until recently), that was not the case with the PS2, nor the case with Gamecube. So it doesn't seem to be a primary effect on market position.

    I think it is realistic to say that Nintendo will NOT be getting the top spot and will be a No. 2 or No. 3 competitor.

    So, no, I would not place any bets on Sony being guaranteed to win. I'm not biased either, I have both systems (and got them both well after release).

    --

    Small potatoes make the steak look bigger.

  22. That's totally what I thought! by soft_guy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I totally thought "Sega" when I read this article. They are going to market real early with their console and a lot of people will be like "Let's wait for PS3." If Sony can bring the PS3 onto the market on schedule, it could be real bad for Microsoft. The way I see it, Sony doesn't even have to beat MS to market, they just can't afford to not meet their announced schedule.

    Oh, and if MS is late with the XBox 2, that could hurt them I think. I think a lot of the console market has to do with number of titles you run and also whether you are meeting people's expectations or not.

    --
    Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  23. Yet another "next generation" of consoles by Zemrec · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Am I the only one rolling eyes over this? I just can't get excited about new consoles. I currently own all the current consoles, and feel guilty as I hardly use them now.

    About the only things that could seem like a major upgrade to me would be improved resolution by requiring an HDTV (not likely to happen), and cheap but effective VR gear like in Sci-Fi (really not likely to happen anytime soon.)

    I mean, come on, all the current game systems have many of the same games on them now with little to distinguish them visually and aurally.

    Same goes for PC games, really. All FPSers follow the exact same formula, and dispite all the graphical glory possible with Geforce 6800 Ultras and Athlon64 FXs and their ilk, they all boil down to trying to imagine yourself in a virtual world when all you see and experience is coming from the monitor in front of you and the speakers nearby.

    Why isn't there true VR yet? A FPSer that utilized immersive, full-body experience would be amazing!

    Instead, we just get new super-marketed hype machines that push more polygons than the last models so the eye-candy is sweeter, but otherwise they're the same old thing all over.

    I will admit I enjoy many of the games available for the current systems and they weren't possible before them, but I think the real next generation should be a VR gaming system.

    (Yes I know the Virtual-Boy was a flop, but that was Nintendo's mistake in releasing "VR" too early on too inadaquate hardware)

  24. Re:Dreamcast by Kaosaur · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But the PS2 is a crap machine compared to the Dreamcast.

    The Dreamcast was killed off by:

    1) Bad Marketing
    2) Poor Game Disribution
    3) Being intentionally snubbed by certain popular developers (namely EA and Konami) [Keep in mind that EA has wanted Sega out of business since the Saturn...]
    4) Customers reluctance to abandon the Playstation.
    5) Sony's repeated (and mostly false) claims that the Playstation would totally blow the Dreamcast away graphically and that people should wait for the PS2

    I think that Sega made the right business decision to release the console early...as MS may be doing. Point 4 combined with Point 5 are important. Sega most likely would have done CONSIDERABLY WORSE in a head to head battle with Sony from the start. MS would be likely to do the same...especially wit h the hype surrounding the Cell processor.

  25. Re:Not too Early? by adam31 · · Score: 2, Insightful
    At this point, if the PS3 is late and/or the Cell chip is hard to write fast code for then the MS early mover advantage could be really bad news for Sony.

    The problem with the 'early mover advantage' is that it really only applies to games, not consoles. The real motivation for being an early adopter to a next-gen console is to play the sickest game 3v4R.

    But the comments from EA, that "next generation Xbox titles would ship alongside current generation offerings later this year" implies that whatever games are available for XB2 are going to be available on current consoles as well. People don't pay early adopter prices just to play what everyone else has. (And don't think that EA is going to be releasing any XB2-only games. Their strategy has always been to leverage the expense of producing a game across as many platforms as possible).

    The other possibility is that games are going to be rushed to market... Never a good idea. Or they'll have to rely on their first-party titles. It would take a heroic effort to get Halo3 to market before PS3.

    The point is that Sony is not under as much pressure as you think. They want to make sure that when they release something, it's perceived to be the highest quality offering (whether it's true or not). Notice that Sony never pressured DP into making Gran Turismo a launch title for any of their consoles. Sony knows that when DP launches a title, everyone in Japan will buy it and the console it was written for, and nothing is worth tarnishing a reputation (again, whether or not the reputation is accurate). Microsoft has never been constrained by such scruples.

  26. You have been mislead. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    If you write your game with only windows and xbox in mind, then its easy to port from one to the other. However if you write your game correctly, its easy to port to any system.

    I don't know where you got the idea that PS2 is especially difficult, but PS2 and gamecube development are both as easy as xbox development. I would say gameboy development is "difficult" if you consider low level programming difficult, other than that the level of difficulty is pretty much even across the consoles.

    And your first paragraph is just plain wrong. Very few game developers use directx exclusively, valve being the only ones that come to mind. Game development and engine development are no longer tied, so when you make a game you just license an existing cross platform engine and use it, you don't actually write directx or opengl code, its already done for you.

  27. Re:PPC games optimization by j-turkey · · Score: 4, Insightful
    So it looks like Macintosh is going to be the premier game computer in the future...But clearly the largest obstacles to mac dominance of the gaming world are being removed...

    This may be true in a Macintosh fan's wettest dreams. Superior hardware has almost nothing to do with viability as a gaming platform. It's all about market share. Go back to 1986, when the Amiga was the big thing. It had graphic and sound capability beyond any other home PC for it's time. It was not, however, the premier gaming platform becuase there simply wasn't enough market share for every game developer to start making Amiga games. 90% of the games on the shelf were for "MS-DOS". It will take far more than the Xbox's use of PPC chips for the Mac to be a viable gaming platform for any but the most successful and widely distributed games (let alone a dominant gaming platform).

    Furthermore, the fact that the xbox ran on wintel hardware didn't mean that the xbox games were easily portable. They ran on a special version of DirectX that was incompatible with Windows DirectX. Games like Halo, which were ported to Windows were ported by third parties, and the backend was a ground-up port. It wasn't just a simple recompile.

    The marketshare dictates other issues as well. For example, most peripherals are developed with Wintel in mind (not because Wintel is a technically better or worse platform...it has nothing to do with that -- it's all market share). So when nVidia or ATI crank out their latest graphics card, they have Wintel in mind. The Mac is sort of an afterthought and it tends to show in pricing. Apple went the extra mile by using open standards for their hardware, but you're still paying a premium for Macintosh verisons of Wintel hardware. It's not because they require many hardware tweeks to work -- the hardware is essentially identical. It's becuase the company has to expend the same amount on driver development and support, and the returns are limited. They'd rather stay competitive in the larger market (Wintel) than have to make the Wintel users subsidize the Mac development and support -- hence the premium on Mac graphics cards.

    If you're buying a PC and honestly intend to use it with gaming in mind -- the Macintosh is probably the wrong PC for you. Forget about your allegiances for a second and just look at the software that's out there. I had to face this same issue when I finally ditched my Amiga in 1996. Maybe in 10 years, things could change, but buying a Mac today with the thought-in-mind that it's going to be a dominant (or even viable) gaming platform within its lifetime does not seem realistic to me. I strongly disagree with your statement that this removes the largest obstacle -- or really had anything to do with why Macintoshes aren't dominant gaming platforms.

    --

    -Turkey

  28. Re:PowerPC 970MX by Kagato · · Score: 4, Insightful

    DirectX is a factor, but it's not as clear cut as you think. The next generation of consoles will gets it's speed from having multiple processors. This is because we've essentially hit the wall for processor speed. If we'd kept pace with the jumps in CPU speeds we had in the 90's we'd be up to a 8-10Ghz CPU by now.

    That being said, directX is not going to address the fact that writing code that actually takes advantage of the multiple CPU's is not easy. Even seasoned developers find this kind of programming hard. You have to deal with a whole range of bugs that aren't a factor with single CPU aware programs. This is has been covered by slashdot a number of times. As the common PC moves towards SMP developers (Java, C++, .Net, etc.) will have to take a hard look at how they are doing things.

    While it is true, the XBox is easier to program than Playstation, it should be noted that the success of the Playstation was because Sony provided a well crafted SDK and development platform. It was reported that the Playstation was much easier to write for compared to Nintendo and Sega at the time.

    To sum up, your plan of waiting and seeing is a good idea. And I think it's the plan that Sony is counting on.

  29. Re:PPC? by soft_guy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How about NT 4.x for PowerPC?

    Also, there is this new thing called a compiler. It lets you write computer code in a "high level language" and then translates it for you into assembly language for whatever chip you are targetting.

    --
    Avoid Missing Ball for High Score
  30. "It's All About Games" = Myth by superultra · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I assmaned - er, assistant managed - at a major EB during the launch of the Dreamcast, the PS2, the Xbox, and the Gamecube. That means that, at least in the geographical area of our store, I knew more about the people buying these systems than Ballmer, the EB President, or any of Sony's focus groups.

    It's not all about the games. The Playstation2 launched with zero great games and I do mean zero. You have no idea how many times gamers would walk in our store during the first 3-5 months after the PS2 launch and just stare at the PS2 wall blankly, as if a great game would suddenly materialize on the shelf before their very eyes. SSX did ok, and so did Madden. But otherwise, the launch was dismal. It was such a game wasteland for the PS2 that people thought Onimusha was the best game since Super Mario. To make it worse, there was not only a shortage of systems, there was a shortage of memory cards. Logistically, the PS2 launch was a failure.

    Yet, even before the good stuff starting showing up, it was clear that the PS2 was a better system seller than the Xbox. Was it the backwards compatibility? Nope. Most people who bought the PS2 would buy one or two PS1 games, come in two weeks later, and bitch about the crappiness of PS1 games on the PS2 and never buy another. DVD playback probably had something to do with it. GTA3? No - by then (Christmas) it was already clear that the PS2 was doing far better than the Xbox and GC combined.

    It was merely that it was named the Playstation. In the end, it was brand, not games. I wish - I really wish - that it were the games that mattered. But in the end, it's not. What's sad is that with the beginning of the XBox, I saw this "it's all about the games stupid" philosophy in the Xbox coporate guard. The good news is that I think XBox2 will do better (and therefore provider better competition for Sony - always good). The bad news? I think the new guys in charge of Xbox know/learned that it's all about the brand stupid.

    Further proof? Cf. Sega, who's last 5-7 years, from Dreamcast to 2K sports, has been a battle against brand.

    Good games making a system, and bad games breaking it, is a myth. In the end, brand is almost all that matters (And maybe DVD playback).

    1. Re:"It's All About Games" = Myth by ppp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't agree. The PS2 may have had week launch titles, but there was an expectation that good games were coming. I remember everyone drooling over teasers for Metal Gear Solid 2 and Final Fantasy X. Everyone knew that Sony had the developers lined up, and they eventually did deliver.

  31. Re:Dreamcast by Politburo · · Score: 2, Insightful

    better controllers

    Putting aside the fact that "better controllers" is a subjective item...

    The DC controller is vastly superior to the PS. Triggers that are actually triggers are your friend. Putting analog functionality into a button.. did anyone play test this 'feature'? It's fucking maddening. The PS controller is a bit small for me, and since the analog sticks were hacked on, they are obviously mis-placed. I was also never able to get the 'feel' of the sticks. I can move to the extremes without problems, but actually using the analog functionality of the stick is frustrating.

    I also prefer the Xbox controller. Just about the only drawback is that the sticks are also buttons. This is nice in theory, but in the heat of gameplay you end up pressing down the stick a lot more than you realize. I also don't like the position of the black/white buttons on the 'S' controller, but I try to stay away from that one.

  32. Re:The Bigger Concern by fyngyrz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why is backwards-compatibility such a big deal for consoles?

    Because...

    • ...not everyone has room for multiple consoles, and moving them around is hard on the machines and the connectors (and the cables, though they're relatively inexpensive.) Moving them around is also annoying.
    • ...not everyone can afford multiple consoles, and selling an earlier one can offset the cost of a new one. But if your game library will be rendered useless by selling the console, then you can't sell it, which means you can't offset the price of the new one, which means you're probably not going to get the new one.
    • ...people with the above concerns don't want to throw their investment in games out the window. It's not just the money -- it's the time invested at getting good at them, too.
    • ...you can only attach so much to your master A/V component in a reasonable/comprehensible fashion. For instance, I have three game systems attached already - XB, Ps2, G/c - as well as XM, Sirius, CD, DVD, a couple of audio processors, an HDTV, a satellite TV component, a VCR, a turntable, an MP3/network component and a security monitor switching system.
    • ...you can only load up just so many machines on your entertainment center before it gets out of hand. This isn't the same problem as the number of inputs on your A/V system -- this is about available shelf and controller/wiring storage/tucking space. Not everyone has an entertainment center the size of Siberia, though I'm very happy to say I do. :-)
    • ...controller compatibility can be an issue as sort of a subset of backwards compatibility. I own several dance mats, the eye-toy, some RF controllers and of course the standard controllers. I'm used to them; they're warm and fuzzy, as it were. If controller compatibility is maintained, then you're 1-up on your new console in the "I have goodies" sense.
    • ...current customers take it as a sign of committment from the vendor that they were thinking about the people who already gave them $$$ when the new machine was designed, and this is a very good deal for the vendor (and probably exactly why the ps2 plays the vast majority of ps1 games.)
    • ...current game vendors can continue to create games for the "old" architecture, selling into both the old market and the new market while they learn how to handle the new hardware. This was true before, but it is especially true now -- the better ps2 games are really pretty nice looking. I wouldn't be the least bit offended if some fair percentage of "new game" ps3 gameplay looked and felt like ps2 gameplay, my concern is actually being able to play the game, more than anything else. I would be offended if the fifty-plus ps2 games I have were unable to run on the ps3 (which seems quite likely at this point, we'll see.) My investment in the XB isn't that large, and in the G/c, almost nothing, so my annoyance will scale accordingly. :-)
    • ...people who cannot afford the new hardware can still enjoy new releases that run on the previous generation because the developers are still coding for it (there are still ps1 games coming out, for instance... the ps2 is a big reason why)
    • ...for some people, the old console may move to the kids room, where it continue to be used, and where new games for a different age group will continue to be appreciated -- new games that will cease to come much sooner if the hardware is no longer developed for. Again, see the development history of new games for the ps1 to understand why this is a factor.
    • ...when production stops on a particular generation of hardware, as the machines die, it typically becomes more difficult to repair or replace them. If the new generation of hardware is compatible, the failure of an old machine is not t
    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  33. You think in two dimensions by ianscot · · Score: 5, Insightful
    It's not always a question of who wins an overall victory; it's also a question of whether individual market niches can get carved out and held by a given company. Nintendo is facing off against a planned onslaught of portable products, but they've had a big edge there to this point.

    Kids are another obvious example of Nintendo's existing niche. I'm a single parent of two 11-year-olds. Nintendo has a huge advantage with pre-teen kids and their parents. You talk about "killer games," and Nintendo has several killer franchises -- Zelda for one -- that work for a family audience. XBox has exactly zero such games or franchises, unless you want to count sports titles which the PS2 is very comparable in anyway. For my money, the limited range of GC sports titles are more than enough to keep Nintendo on the list of choices, for us. PS2 would be second. XBox's selling points actually make me recoil. (Don't get me wrong, I thought Bungie was the best game company out there period before the MS buyout -- but Halo bores me asleep. One more of those? XBox, from my point of view, is pitching itself to a far nastier audience than I ever want to become part of.)

    Their Xbox niche is 25+ year old people, which is a growth market. But even if they win that, and even if it gives them an overall win in the console market, that doesn't mean they've taken Nintendo's audience.

    --
    "Fundamentalism" isn't about divine morality. It's about human authority.
  34. Re:PPC games optimization by Creepy · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Nah - you've got some key issues missing - my guess is that Microsoft [will/has] port[ed] DirectX to PPC, but they would NEVER release it on mac, and they also probably ported Windows CE to it, so you'd have an entirely different set of APIs and graphics calls. They may have taking advantage of the PPC's ability to work in either little or big endian modes (though only in some models - the 970 doesn't, but Sony's Cell, which is supposed to be similar to the one MS uses, does). Since all the APIs are still Windows proprietary, it will still be much easier to port to Windows.

    The main problem I've seen is programmers that don't separate I/O from the core code - that's really all you need to port for C and C++, so the better the abstraction, the easier the port (especially now that added raw assembly optimizations are much rarer). Optimization, for the most part is a dark art - I've gotten 10x better performance just by using a profiler for a couple of hours, and other times tried for days and squeaked out maybe .02%. And while I felt vector units were very important just a couple of years ago, more and more of the functionality that they were used for is being moved into the GPU. Stuff like Clipping, particle systems, volumetric fog, skinning, and render to texture can all be done on the GPU now. Vectors are still useful for path finding, physics, and sometimes collision detection but their value just isn't what it was.

    Even using a cross platform API like OpenGL doesn't always solve I/O problems - take this chunk of code I pulled from a working cross-platform (but not cross-endian) 3D engine:
    glTexImage2D(GL_TEXTURE_2D, 0, GL_RGBA, width, height, 0, GL_BGRA_EXT, GL_UNSIGNED_BYTE, data);

    the fix is to use a variant of the function that tells the card the order of the bytes and passes it each of the "inverted" 32 bit blocks of RGBA data.

    glTexImage2D(GL_TEXTURE_2D, 0, GL_RGBA, width, height, 0, GL_BGRA_EXT, GL_UNSIGNED_INT_8_8_8_8_REV, data);

    not only do you get a free endian fix, you also get a free performance boost since passing data to the card by int is much faster than by byte (nVidia actually recommends the above function).

  35. Re:Yawn.. by Trejkaz · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Can you name one game nintendo released that was on the top 10 games world wide?

    It's a bit retarded to ask such questions in an environment where there might be people who actually know the answer.

    Pikmin 2 was on the top slot for several weeks in a row, and there were at least two other titles through the course of the year which were at the top slot, and far, far more in the rest of the top ten. If you want I can get a complete list. :-)

    --
    Karma: It's all a bunch of tree-huggin' hippy crap!
  36. EA more than kind of sucks. EA is evil incarnate! by Behrooz · · Score: 4, Insightful

    It's not like EA created the best selling game of all time, The Sims

    Actually, it's nothing like that at all. Maxis was the developer of The Sims, EA was just the publisher. In fact, few of the original titles in the series you named were actually developed in-house at EA, as you might know if you had even rudimentary knowledge about how the game biz works nowadays. Here's a quick listing of some quality games and their original developers:

    The Sims - Maxis (Purchased by EA during Sims development, project almost cancelled)
    Goldeneye - Rare (Now owned by Microsoft)
    Need For Speed - Black Box (Purchased by EA, 2002)
    Burnout - Criterion (Purchased by EA, 2004)

    EA doesn't create. EA buys, strip-mines, and casts aside. They're significantly worse than Microsoft on almost any scale-- demonize Microsoft's monopolistic tactics if you will, but at least M$ still creates innovative products and don't treat their employees like shit. Compare that to EA-- worst working conditions in the gaming biz, and they do things like acquire exclusive rights to produce games from the NFL.

    If you like good games, you should hate EA. They're the worst of the worst, a solely short-term-profit motivated corporation with no vision, integrity or class. EA is dedicated to mediocrity, and that's all there is to it.

    That's the reason why I'm still a fan of Valve's Steam Content Distribution idea, despite all of the short-sighted bitching about minor issues that I see right here on Slashdot. The best way to ensure good games is to cut out out the middlemen and nuke the overhead, because the biggest obstacle to the release of quality games right now is the publisher. Reliable pay-to-play online distribution does just that.

    --
    "We have to go forth and crush every world view that doesn't believe in tolerance and free speech." - David Brin
  37. Re:Yawn.. by king-manic · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Ninetendo is dieing

    Ask these questions: How much money did nintendo make? How much money did MS xbox division make? How well are the total numbers for the GC vs total numbers for the xbox.

    This will tell who dying... no one. Nintendo has it's niche. Like Apple. You can't kill them. They will always be profitable if not mainstream.

    --
    "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."