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Pay-Per-View Downloads of TV Shows?

An Extremely Anonymous Coward asks: "I've been thinking about the mass downloading of TV episodes. The TV companies appear to not be so desperate to sue people into bankruptcy for watching an illicit episode of _Friends_ or _The OC_. Does this mean they really are wondering about using this new media, rather then foaming at the mouth and suing twelve year olds? Will TV show production companies be the first to show some sense and offer their own downloads on a pay per view basis?" "I'd be happy to pay a monthly subscription of around ten dollars, so I could get access to tv shows without being branded a criminal.Alternatively, I'd happily pay around a dollar a show, if the quality was good. The argument that this would give no incentive to buy the series DVD's can easily be dealt with, since the sales from downloads might easily replace the revenue from the DVD box sets, and there are some people (myself included) who'd still like the higher definition versions and box sets of a few shows.

Adverts in the deal would change the amount per episode I'm willing to pay. Perhaps options like a free stream with unavoidable adverts, or a subscriber download with either very few, or no adverts, with price determining the amount of adverts included might help entice more users to use the service. A free stream of a popular show with adverts would probably stop most illegal downloaders, simply because their aim of watching the show would be achieved.

DRM is inevitable, which may be why it's taking so long for the executives in control of such things to pull their fingers out. The fact that it's essentially pointless doesn't seem to have stemmed their lust for it. I own lots of DVDs, and yet curiously I've never once had the urge to copy them, making their included anti-copy technology pointless. Also those who do want to copy them seem perfectly able to anyway, but that's another issue.

I find this delay in legal downloads of TV shows surprising, it seems to me that legal downloads of TV media could be the Internet's next gold-rush phenomena, but maybe that opinion isn't shared by many.

If any kind of service were offered I'd join it, even if only to encourage it. How much would other Slashdot readers be willing to pay? And on what sort of terms?"

73 of 446 comments (clear)

  1. Market Adjustment by slashnutt · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Will TV show production companies be the first to show some sense and offer their own downloads on a pay per view basis

    They'll have to. Don't underestimate the bandwidth of Netflix, Blockbuster, and Walmart via mail truck bouncing down the road. One day the download scene may over take the mail truck bandwidth but the market is going to have to adjust. Distributors will have to figure out a way to make a profit that companies and consumers accept.

    I bet the TV show 24 has done almost as well in rentals as it did during original airing. People aren't tied down to show times anymore. Tivo turned on a bulb and the shinning light has freed people to watch what they want when they want. With the FTTP arriving, the bandwidth is getting there now the companies have to get inline.

    1. Re:Market Adjustment by atrizzah · · Score: 3, Interesting

      One day, if the media companies are smart, they'll start distributing shows with commercials intact. That way they can still rake in the ad revenue, and customers get what they really want--to be able to watch and rewatch what they want, when they want. Personally, I could care less whether commercials are in the mix. I wonder if others agree

    2. Re:Market Adjustment by superpulpsicle · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well I'd rather watch an episode nonstop, with all the characters wearing pepsi shirt, coca cola jeans.

      To stop your show every 5 minutes with a commercial is an old concept started in the 60s. About damn time we change.

    3. Re:Market Adjustment by garcia · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With the FTTP arriving, the bandwidth is getting there now the companies have to get inline.

      Says who? Us? LOL. You think that just because a bunch of geeks that prefer to download shows w/o commercials, DRM, and watch them when they want to watch them that the networks will bend over backwards? ROFL! They bend over backwards to the advertisers. The advertisers decide what happens based on who is watching what.

      People watch TV and they aren't going to stop just because "they want to download". Personally, I don't know anyone outside of a handfull of friends that care about downloading shows or even watching them timeshifted.

      People have been so ingrained with scheduling their lives around their TV that it's just part of life. Oooh, Survivor on Thursday, gotta be home. Ooh, American Idol is on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday for the past three weeks... Sorry can't see karaoke at the bar because I'm watching sober singers sing worse on TV every day this week.

      With FTTP arriving people arne't going to get it. They are getting too good of a deal from their cable company with $5 extra for HD content (even when they don't have an HD TV). They are going to continue to get their $5 package discount because they have cable, TV, and telephone running in from Comcast.

      Why would they need to wait to download a TV show when they can watch it live right there on their TV?

      It's sad but it's true.

    4. Re:Market Adjustment by rjelks · · Score: 2, Interesting

      How much is one viewer really worth to advertisers? $0.25, $.50, $1.00??? I'd gladly pay a dollar to download old, canceled TV shows. I've got the Tivo for new shows, but there are shows that I'd like that are off the air. I would never pay $40 at once for a season of TV, but at $1.00 a pop (no commercials), I'd use a service like that all the time. Give me bittorrent speeds, not worrying about copyright infringement, and a large library...I'd be a customer.

      I admit to downloading some TV in the past, but it was mostly stuff I could have recorded, but forgot to. I can't count the times that the first few minutes of a Tivo'd show has been cut off...I don't think I've seen the first 3 minutes of an episode of Lost since I watched the pilot. Their customers want an on demand service. There's other options if you want to buy/rent a DVD, but there's plenty of people with setups using their computers. Why else would downloading shows be so popular?

      I think they're worried about contributing to the files that are already floating around on p2p networks...but the p2p networks aren't going away. Apple's mp3 site is a good example of legal downloads that are bringing in profit.

      /my long rambling post is over

    5. Re:Market Adjustment by JWW · · Score: 5, Insightful

      My only problem with that is that you'd be willing to pay a couple of bucks and the original poster sain a dollar per episode.

      The thing is that I don't trust that the price of episodes will be $1. What happens if they want to charge $5 per episode? Would you still buy it then? What if your only chioce is PPV, if they have the do not copy bit on, it might be, and you might not be home during the original air time? Now does paying $5 for something you used to be able to record and watch later really really piss you off. It should.

      They won't be reasonable with the price. Hell, theres already been what, 3, stories about how the RIAA things that $1 per song is way TOO LOW.

      Don't by into this, don't give up your fair use recording rights for the "promise" of downloadable TV for a "reasonable" price. The greed of the people who will be setting the prices knows no bounds.

    6. Re:Market Adjustment by HeyLaughingBoy · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Downloadable TV is different because unlike music, viewers are used to seeing commercials on TV.

      It will take off when it's free. TiVo and the like are giving advertisers fits. But if they could let you D/L the show/get a free DVD of it at the grocery checkout counter with non deletable/no fast forward allowed commercials intact, it may prove to be even more profitable than broadcasting to millions of people.

      Besides the movie chanels, about the only thing I watch on TV is the Food Network and Speed channel. What's an advertiser's cost per viewer to air a single ad on either of those shows? Would it be more profitable for them to buy time on a DVD of "Barbecue with Bobby Flay" that was free with a bag of groceries at the local upscale grocery store? A copy of "The Ferrari Story" DVD free with any $10 purchase at the auto parts store?
      Now instead of broadcasting to people who just happened to tune in cause nothing else was on, they're targeting people very likely to be interested in their product.

      These guys will eventually catch on to new media: it's either that or die, and they'll die hard.

    7. Re:Market Adjustment by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 2, Informative
      One day, if the media companies are smart, they'll start distributing shows with commercials intact

      They can't. 1/2 of the commercials are local, and almost all of them are time sensitive. The release of a new car model, or cellphone promotion doesn't play well after the promotion is over.

    8. Re:Market Adjustment by lowrydr310 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I meant to say PROTECTED AAC

    9. Re:Market Adjustment by luna69 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      > What happens if they want to charge $5 per episode?

      Then people will use the DRM-busting tools that will necessarily emerge in response to whatever DRM schemes are used by the copyright holders.

      The thing I love about the iTunes music store is that it's so cheap and so easy, people are actively buying music instead of downloading illegal copies. If a typical whole CD was $16 on iTMS, just like a physical CD is, they wouldn't be doing so well.... ...which suggests to me that the way for video media producers to make money is to release cheap, high-quality on-demand video without value-destroying DRM.

      I think people would gladly pay on the order of $1 to have a good copy of a show they like. But if they come with DRM that limits where/how they can be played, or if the price tag is $5 or something, people will just go back to P2P networks.

      --
      No gods, no demons, and no masters. Secular Humanism!
    10. Re:Market Adjustment by RichardX · · Score: 2, Informative

      Or the show is written such that as a character turns their back to the camera to go to the fridge they say "I'm just gonna grab a ________. I love the taste!" and the product name is pulled in.

      This is called product placement and it's already at epidemic proportions. To pick just one random example, Neo in The Matrix doesn't just have a generic or fictional mobile (cellphone).. oh no.. he has a Nokia mobile - a Nokia 8110i (IIRC), to be specific. And the movie makes damn sure you know it, too.

      Next time you watch a movie, just assume that any time you see a brand name or identifiable product that it's been put there deliberately (it almost certainly has, especially if it's in the foreground).. you'll be horrified at how widespread it is.

      --
      Curiosity was framed. Ignorance killed the cat.
    11. Re:Market Adjustment by HTH+NE1 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The thing is that I don't trust that the price of episodes will be $1.

      I'm not sure if I'd want to pay even $1 an episode. I could go to a local theater tonight and spend $2 on a ticket to see any of Being Julia, Fat Albert, Incredibles, Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events, Ocean's Twelve, Polar Express, Ray, SpongeBob SquarePants Movie, or White Noise, all of which have twice the runtime of current "hour-long" dramas (except possibly SpongeBob at 85 minutes). Tomorrow brings in Elektra and Meet the Fockers.

      I certainly wouldn't pay $1/episode for a half-hour sitcom. Not unless I get to retain it, play it back whenever I want however many times I want, and make backups and other fair uses of the content.

      --
      Oh, say does that Star-Spangled Banner entwine / The myrtle of Venus with Bacchus's vine?
    12. Re:Market Adjustment by alanak · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, even though the price per episode varies wildly in the TV show DVD market, $1/episode is very reasonable given that there's no extra cost of DVD production, packaging, distribution, retail, etc.

      Prices for 1/2 hour sitcoms are generally a bit more than $1/episode

      For example, prices from amazon:

      The Simpsons Season 5 - $32.50 - $1.61/episode
      The Simpsons Season 4 - $37.50 - $1.70/episode
      Friends Season 9 - $30 - $1.30/episode

    13. Re:Market Adjustment by NormalVisual · · Score: 2, Funny

      It's not limited to movies either - my wife and I derive actual entertainment from watching "The King of Queens" by playing "spot the product placements".

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    14. Re:Market Adjustment by sbryant · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You've covered the associated costs of the physical part, but you also have to include the fact that you are guaranteed a certain quality of picture/sound from the DVD which might not be the case for an online solution, you can watch the DVD whenever and as often as you like, and when you're fed up with it, you can sell it. The DVDs often have interviews, "making of" programmes and other bits and bobs which give them extra value. Also - no commercial breaks during the individual episodes.

      Would an online solution provide all the same functioniality? Can I resell, and can I buy second hand? Can I (legally) borrow episodes off a friend to watch as I currently do with DVDs? A streaming-only solution might get around the "when" problem, possibly even the "how often" problem too, but would impose other limitations.

      Without these freedoms, an online episode is not worth anywhere near the cost of the same episode on DVD.

      Now here's a thing.. how many episodes does Friends S9 have? 20? At 20 mins each, that's 400 minutes of TV; at $30, a dollar buys you 13.333 minutes (not including any bonus material). That's roughly 4 times as long as a typical pop song, right? With this logic, a pop song should cost a quarter of what it does now, but the money-grabbing RIAA want to push the prices up.

      My theory is this: if the price is too high, people won't buy! Especially for restricted items that cannot be resold or reused elsewhere. They (MPAA/RIAA et al) are DRMing themselves into a hole... it'll get worse for the buyer, but if somebody can offer a usable solution at a reasonable price, that'll effectively tip earth into the DRM hole, which turns it into their grave. They will be their own undoing!

      -- Steve

  2. Not quite yet by l0rd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    No, it means that it's still only nerds and geeks that are downloading everything. Once RSS & Bittorrent become mainstream, easy to use and/or standard features on HD Recorders, THEN the shit will hit the fan.

    1. Re:Not quite yet by XorNand · · Score: 2, Insightful

      BitTorrent accounts for 35% of *all* Internet traffic. I think it's safe to say it's already been adopted by the masses.

      --
      Entrepreneur : (noun), French for "unemployed"
    2. Re:Not quite yet by garcia · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, that means that the geeks use bandwith more than the general population does. Most people use their high-speed connections for email and reading cnn.com. They aren't downloading that much.

      The technology oriented ones are the people that are keeping their bandwith pegged on BT transfers.

    3. Re:Not quite yet by demachina · · Score: 2, Insightful

      First answer is the TV networks obviously are trying to do something about, which is what the broadcast flag thing is all about. It will take a while for it to take any hold and it will never stamp out recording their content but obviously they are concerned about it and trying to stop it. I assure they are deeply concerned about people using Tivo's to skip their commercials, or people putting copies of their shows on the net with commercials edited out.

      The network executives are eventually going to catch up with the RIAA and MPAA in ham handed enforcement, its just network executives have for a long time known to be exceptionally slow learners.

      At the moment I wager they can't really sort out all the variables influencing their revenue:

      A. People are watching less broadcast television in favor of video games, internet, pay per view, DVD's etc.

      B. There are so many channels now that broadcast television has a deep inherent viability problem. It is nearly impossible to fill up all the channels with interesting content, and the viewership for each channel shrinks as more channels are added.

      I think at the moment networks are focusing their efforts at propping up their revenue on:

      A. Steadily increasing the number, length and volume of commercials so they can get the same revenue for the dwindling number of suckers that still sit through them. Ironicly they are reaching the point they so annoy viewers they are forcing consumers to find ways to avoiding them, either Tivo'ing, downloading edited shows off the net or stop watching commericial laden channels.

      B. Increase the amount of reality TV because it costs next to nothing to make. Since they have lower production costs they make more profit even if their ad revenue is weakening. Lucky for them people are apparently complete suckers and watch this foolishness.

      C. Put ever more infomercials on ever more channels. Not sure who the idiot is in the loop that makes this a viable strategy, the companies paying for the time, the people who are stupid or braindead enough to actually sit and watch a half hour advertisement and buy the worthless crap they push, or the networks who are willing to fill up ever larger blocks of time with garbage no one in their right mind woulf actually watch.

      D. Push the broadcast flag in a futile effort to stamp out digital copies of their shows

      E. Try to milk revenue out of people through a cut from cable and satellite subscriptions, pay per view, DVD's, etc.

      --
      @de_machina
    4. Re:Not quite yet by antic · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Correct. Low level users in Australia, even with broadband, have maybe a 300-500MB data allowance on their accounts. None of those I know with that limit are exceeding it.

      I have two accounts that I've used to download media with -- 32GB and 16GB -- and in a month I can (and have done so in the past) download 10-40GB. If you take a cross-section of Internet users that includes 99 standard users and a user doing 40 GB/month, you could say "media downloads are 50% of traffic", but that 50% could easily be done by 1% of users.

      --
      'Thats they exact same thing a banana wrench monkey.'
  3. Well... by Blue-Footed+Boobie · · Score: 5, Interesting
    I think it would be brilliant to keep the current seasons shows in pay-per-view.

    Think about it, you catch show #10 of '24' and realize "Hey, this show looks damn cool!". Now, if you could PPV rent the firs nine shows of the season that you missed - wouldn't you?

    --
    DAMN YOU OCTODOG! DAMN YOU TO HELL!
    1. Re:Well... by MrAndrews · · Score: 4, Insightful

      (I first must ask all to NOT click on the URL in my profile, because it's not meant to be related and I'm too lazy to change it...)

      I want to make a show. It'll be a cool show, and you all will love it. To make 13 episodes, I will need to raise at least $3,900,000. Let's say the price'll be $3/episode. Pre-pay me now... just $39, and if 100,000 of you do, we'll make the show available for download, HD quality, on the web. So go ahead, send the money... you'll love the show.

      The problem of course is that no one will pay to watch a show they don't trust to be good, so this scenario only works for established shows everyone likes. Not that you implied it, but purely on its own, you'll never get innovation in drama this way, because everyone will be trying to make cookie cutter projects to make the pre-payment a safe investment for consumers. So there has to be a first part to this theory that makes it possible to get to what you describe...

      But I do agree, it would be a better way to do the Enterprise fiasco... don't DONATE $36M, just prepay for the DVDs. But of course that's not what Paramount wants... they want to bleed every dollar they can out of this show, so you've gotta pay your $30 donation plus another round of cash when the DVDs come out...

      There's something really brilliant in all this, but I don't think anyone's been able to pick it out yet...

    2. Re:Well... by nate+nice · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Lets happen to say you see show #10 on FOX for '24' and it makes you want to see other, earlier episodes. I say you should be able to download them for free. Afterall, you're going to watch the next 14 on TV so why should you have to pay for these earlier ones? This benefits everyone. You get to see the earlier episodes on your time and for free and FOX gets another person watching their ads.

      --
      "If you are a dreamer, a wisher, a liar, A hope-er, a pray-er, a magic bean buyer ..."
  4. Allofmytv by jimmy+page · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Before you flame me - could something like Allofmp3 (that pays royalties) work. Variable quality rates, price per MB, included comericals with lower prices.


    I think it would be great!

  5. What is that? by null+etc. · · Score: 2, Insightful
    An Extremely Anonymous Coward asks: "I've been thinking about the mass downloading of TV episodes."

    Congratulations, thanks for sharing. It's good to see submissions like this get accepted, whilst my newsworthy sumbissions get bounced.

    The TV companies appear to not be so desperate to sue people into bankruptcy for watching an illicit episode of _Friends_ or _The OC_.

    Which "TV companies?" Are you referring to broadcasting networks? Given that broadcasted networks do not sell TV programs yet, program piracy has yet to impact the "market". But try stream a live event, such as SuperBowl, over P2P and you'll likely get sued. Especially how the NFL grants no unauthorized individual the ability to reproduce or rebroadcast the show, included "verbal descriptions" of the show.

    Does this mean they really are wondering about using this new media, rather then foaming at the mouth and suing twelve year olds?

    The networks discovered that suing 12 year olds reduced the effectiveness of commercials against said individuals.

    Will TV show production companies be the first to show some sense and offer their own downloads on a pay per view basis?

    Hopefully it will be before they allow the customer to skip past commercials.

    1. Re:What is that? by Kiryat+Malachi · · Score: 3, Informative

      Which "TV companies?" Are you referring to broadcasting networks? Given that broadcasted networks do not sell TV programs yet...

      Strange. I could swear that these were on broadcast TV.

      --

      ---
      Mod me down, you fucking twits. Go ahead. I dare you.
      (I read with sigs off.)
  6. Careful with terminology by Kaa · · Score: 2, Informative

    Will TV show production companies be the first to show some sense and offer their own downloads on a pay per view basis?

    Pay per VIEW basis is the holy grail of the entertainment industry -- they would *love* to charge you every time you glance in the direction of a copyrighted work...

    However what most people seem to want is pay per DOWNLOAD and then be able to view the show whenever they like. For some reason this presents a problem to media execs.

    But anyway, it's not like it's hard to buy a DVD (or get it from Netflix) and rip it...

    --

    Kaa
    Kaa's Law: In any sufficiently large group of people most are idiots.
  7. It's an organizational problem by learn+fast · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The TV companies appear to not be so desperate to sue people into bankruptcy for watching an illicit episode of _Friends_ or _The OC_

    This is because there is no "TVAA" piracy division, because historically there has never been a TV piracy problem until a couple of years ago.

    Don't be impatient. Just wait a couple of years and they'll be a new member of the *AA class ready to shoot first and ask questions later.

    1. Re:It's an organizational problem by PhillipC · · Score: 2, Funny

      Soon we'll need an AAAA

      Associations of America Association of America

  8. well... by ed.han · · Score: 2, Interesting

    sci-fi's been offering episode 1 of their new battlestar galactica series on their site. doing this on a PPV basis does make sense. a monthly, per network fee would probably be the result, IMV, and i agree that this would go over well. after a while, perhaps a few parties would get together and create a single method whereby you could do that with a single source.

    but i think the real key here is gonna be price point.

    ed

  9. On Demand: by ets960 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Isn't one of the ideas behind on demand television to pay a subscription fee and then be able to watch any of the television shows whenever you want?

    I'm pretty sure thats the idea, which would be great. Say you want to see an episode of the OC from last week, you just watch it using On Demand and then you don't have to download it. I think that the reason people download the TV shows is because they miss an episode and want to catch up, and don't want to record it on Video.

    Just my opinion...

  10. Difficult TV business model by Stubtify · · Score: 5, Interesting
    TV shows exist for one reason, to make money for networks. They do this through ad revenue, which is tied to ratings. Higher ratings mean higher costs for a 30 second spot. However, fragment your viewing audience, say by spinning off part of them (who would likely be demographically different than those who don't download) and you've got a problem with your revenue stream.

    Similarly, local networks get a specified amount of revenue from showing these shows. Take the distribution method out of the loop by allowing the end user to directly access the media content and you'd have some pissed off affiliates.

    Furthermore, allowing off network viewing of a show would not only hurt a network's bottom line, but also its brand image. People know FOX is channel 7, or 11, but what channel is it when you're downloading from a website? Even if it is fox's website.

    1. Re:Difficult TV business model by owlclownish · · Score: 2, Informative

      TV shows exist for one reason, to make money for networks.

      In the beginning there were the Networks. The Networks produced their own shows. Then independent TV production companies got into the mix, and they started producing TV shows and selling them to the networks, which then ran them and sold advertising on them.

      TV shows currently exist for two reasons: First, to make money for production companies. Second, to make money for networks. There are other reasons, too, but those will do.

      These days the vast majority of TV shows are produced by independent production companies. The network's own news division is one of the few exceptions to this rule.

      It isn't necessarily the networks who will start selling TV shows on the Internet -- it may well be the production companies themselves, cutting out the middleman.

      (Sorry about the original, unformatted version of this comment. I hit "Submit" by accident, then hit "Stop". Not quickly enough. I figured it'd be good to resubmit with some paragraph breaks...)

    2. Re:Difficult TV business model by TPoise · · Score: 2, Insightful
      If TV/MPAA/Whomever were really smart. They'd just offer up the show playable via some streaming media format (even with DRM-galore) including the 30-second commercials.

      They'd be able to offer up cheaper 30-sec spots on these Internet-only viewings (assuming less people will PPV it rather than watching it on a traditional TV set).

      Of course this plan is just a simple idea with no forethought, but if the TV Industry put their heads together they could definitely come up with a new business model. Either they will have to or Darwanism will take over.

      I for one would pay $3-5/show to go online and watch the latest episode of "24" rather having to plan my day around the show time or getting a TiVO. If people are paying $5 for a cup of coffee at Starbucks, surely they can come up with some kind of business model.

      They should also release TV show episodes via the traditional PPV scheme. A user clicks a few buttons on the remote and the thing is played just like "renting" a PPV movie/pr0n is done now.

      Of course this will all probably never happen because the people that are in the board rooms are all 60+ yr old baby boomers who don't understand the Internet or this "New new media". Instead they will succomb to piracy. Right now it is too convenient to join a BitTorrent network and downloading the latest episode than trying to find a legitimate way to view it (mostly because there isn't one).

    3. Re:Difficult TV business model by zakezuke · · Score: 2, Informative

      The problem with this is that most people who download TV are not going to be in that broadcast area

      Take into account that broadband isn't widely available in the states. We suck in this regard!

      In cases like Simpsons, Friends, and Enterprise I can see where the UK would have a higher demand. But in cases like Farscape, Stargate (Atlantis & SG1), and Battlestar Galactica it's the US who's demanding them from the UK. I suspect that UK is still tops for downloading these programs that are broadcast first there by a few months.

      But I'm going to disagree on the idea of the demand for downloads being solely based on programing that is not available in your region. Let's say for example I wanted to collect Buffy the Vampire Slayer. I could

      1. Invest in VCR/PVR/video digitizer Tape/Record when it's on.
      2. Wait till the DVDs are out
      3. Download

      VHS tape bulky, low quality, and a hassel esp if you have a cable box or a dish system.
      PVRs are nice but are a tad spendy
      Digitizers/TV cards cost a few bucks, but are complex to use, and depend on you the end user to have a good signal and decent cables to get a good result.
      Firewire isn't so bad so long as the cable/dish feed is good and strong.

      Downloading depends on someone else having a PVR/Digitizer who likely already has invested in good cables and has a good signal. It's already a file which can easly be chucked into a disc for playback on most DVD players. Takes time to fetch, but but you don't have to plan ahead or invest in any special equipment.

      I'm not going to disagree with the fact that the highest demand for telivision DLs are for people who want to get programing not in their region. But this doesn't negate the fact that there could also be a large demand for people in the broadcast area of an affiliate who are too cheap to or lazy to buy a Tivo. And who knows... perhaps one day it may be possible for me in the states to pay for a BBC feed rather than paying for BBC-America or waiting for PBS to to air stuff.

      --
      There is no sanctuary. There is no sanctuary. SHUT UP! There is no shut up. There is no shut up.
  11. I dunno about PPV TV, but... by Rinikusu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'm more all about On-Demand TV. Keep a large back-catalog of your shows. This way, when I stumble onto something like Battlestar Galactica in the middle of the season, I can immediately go grab the episodes I missed on my TiVo so I don't have to pray and worry about the series getting cancelled. See Firefly.

    I don't think DVD sales will suffer much because I've seen all kinds of quality rips on *torrent, which is nice when I want to "preview" a show to see if I like it. But I'll still buy the DVD set, just as I still buy CD's after checking out stuff via limewire or whatever. But that's entirely an unqualified/uneducated guess.

    --
    If you were me, you'd be good lookin'. - six string samurai
  12. Re:I 3 bittorrent by Catcher80 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The way things are looking, it seems bittorrent sites won't be around forever... I'm still mourning over suprnova, lokitorrents myself :( What are you gonna do when johnny corporation finally manages a shutdown of bittorrent sites? There will still be IRC, but we all know that people on IRC are there for leeching and not seeding :)

    --
    I sell out to The Man every day.
  13. Price by Jpunkroman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    There is no way each show would cost a dollar, or only 10 bucks a month. Mp3s cost more per song and they are trying to raise the price, and Napster charges 15 bucks a month I believe. Look for it in the 5 bucks per and 40 bucks a month range. (Kinda the same as it costs to get TV anyway.)

    1. Re:Price by Jpunkroman · · Score: 2, Informative

      I was just saying that tv shows which are 30 minutes or an hour of video would be priced more than mp3s that are 3 to 5 minutes long of just audio. The bandwidth alone required to host these shows for download would raise the cost. (Provided they don't decide to use bittorrent, but that would open a whole new can of worms.)

  14. THIS should have been AOL's business model. by CerebusUS · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I'd be happy to pay a monthly subscription of around ten dollars, so I could get access to tv shows without being branded a criminal

    And this is where AOL / Time Warner really missed the boat.

    Can you imagine how many new AOL Broadband subscribers there would be if your $20 / month fee included the ability to watch all of the previous seasons Sopranos? or Carnivale?

    1. Re:THIS should have been AOL's business model. by Rakshasa+Taisab · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You assume the bandwidth would cost AOL. They already have the equipment up and running, their media servers would be located inside their own networks, so no need to pay for bandwidth usage...

      --
      - These characters were randomly selected.
  15. More complete answer: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...they can't enforce their copyrights as aggressively as Hollywood can. In the US you are allowed to tape a television broadcast and give that tape to a friend. The US Supreme Court said that like 20 years ago.

    You're not allowed to do that with a motion picture DVD you bought or rented.

    In other words, they have very little to gain from going after people who are taping TV shows.

    1. Re:More complete answer: by crankyspice · · Score: 2, Informative

      In the US you are allowed to tape a television broadcast . . .

      Timeshifting was held to be a valid fair use, yes. But...

      . . . and give that tape to a friend.

      The Court defined 'time shifting' pretty narrowly: noting that their opinion "concerned the private, home use of VTR's for recording programs broadcast on the public airwaves without charge to the viewer" and not "the transfer of tapes to other persons, the use of home-recorded tapes for public performances, or the copying of programs transmitted on pay or cable television systems . . ." Indeed, the Court nodded to the District Court's opinion, which highlighted "the private character of the activity conducted entirely within the home." Sony Corp. v. Universal City Studios, Inc., 464 U.S. 417 (1984). There was no mention of "giving it to a friend," and indeed, in dicta, even "library building" (saving copies of the taped programming, rather than reusing the tapes) was suggested as infringing. ("time-shifting without librarying")

      Thus, I don't think you can "give that tape to a friend."

      --
      geek. lawyer.
  16. Pay-Per-....View? by lakiolen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Is that supposed to be pay-per- view or pay-per-download? I mean if they expected us to pay them everytime we wanted to watch our favorite show of say Family Guy or 24 that would cost hundreds of dolars a month (ok tens of). Wouldn't a pay-per-download of an episode be a much better (say easier) buisiness model.

    And on another note would the episodes we download from the TV stations have commercials or could the cost of producing and such be covered by the revenue of the downloading?

    --


    What are you expecting to find here?
  17. I agree.. but there are issues. by doowy · · Score: 2, Informative

    I too would ditch my cable TV in an effort to select shows to watch.

    It seems like a business model could be setup by the broadcasters, but we are forgetting one thing... ... the message isn't the shows content. the show is merely a medium to deliver the real message: advertisements.

    The advertising model currently used is in trouble if shows are delivered as downloads. Advertisers ran scared with VCR's and now with DVR's - this would make things much worse for them.

    There needs to be a shift in the revenue models for broadcasters - their customers are not their viewers, but are their advertisers.. what you suggest may seem simple and obvious, but it is really a VERY big change - you want the viewers to be the customers.

    I would say broadcasters are reluctant to give the viewers much more control than they already have under the current structure of things - they need to keep their customers (advertisers) happy.

    --
    ..mork
  18. You must be crazy by RomulusNR · · Score: 2, Funny

    What, you mean production decisions made based on the actual value to viewers?

    The only problem is that the only things left on TV will star 20 year olds playing the parts of teenagers who whine about their parents and sleep with their best friend's S.O.'s.

    Then again, it could save Enterprise.

    (I'm not sure that that's any better.)

    --
    Terrorists can attack freedom, but only Congress can destroy it.
  19. Can pay-per-view really work? by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 3, Interesting
    Most stuff on TV is pure crap that people will sit and watch rather than look at, and talk to, their partner/kids/grandma. Are people really going to want to pay for TV on a per-show basis?

    The stations make their main dollars from advertising by charging based on viewership. It does not really matter that people get up during the ads to get another beer/take a dump etc. Anything they can do to hike the viewership numbers is considered a GoodThing. If they can do this through counting downloads then they win.

    Pay per view is a barrier to hiking the viewership numbers.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  20. they should by Pacifix · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I stole movies. Then they gave me Netflix, and that was more convenient and reasonable, so I don't download movies anymore. I stole music. Then they gave me iTuenes music store, and that was more convenient and reasonable, so I don't do that anymore. Now I download TV shows. Charge me $5 and episode for good quality, everlasting rights, and I'll happily pay for that.

  21. Re:Does this mean they really are wondering.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Maybe im a little un-informed, and i probably am....

    but last time i checked, Prime Time TV doesnt cost me a dime. Yeah you could say you pay monthly for cable or satallite access, but you dont NEED cable or sattalite to watch the fox network, or NBC or other local channels, its still broadcasted over the air, and from what i know, the only thing that cost me is the cost of the TV. Sure i dont have the HDTV, but, the downloads ive seen off the net of TV shows, (the ones i have seen remember) are just as good of quality as what i would get on aired TV.

    so my question is, if its free to watch on a tv, why is it illegal to download and watch on a computer?

    is it wrong for me to compare TV shows to open-source?

  22. I'd rather have them pay ME by melted · · Score: 4, Interesting

    To watch their cranial bubble gum. $50 a month doesn't seem too steep. I'd even leave commercials on while I'm out to take a leak.

  23. Well Actually, you're sort of wrong by mveloso · · Score: 2, Informative

    TV shows exist as an advertising vehicle for TV stations. TV stations affiliate themselves with the networks because the network allows them access to shows, scheduling, branding, and marketing - all things you want when you're basically an advertising vehicle.

    The TV shows themselves are somewhat independent of the TV Network that shows them - depending on the deal. It all depends on the deal.

    An independently produced show (unlikely) could theoretically distribute itself any way it chose. There aren't a lot of options, but it could theoretically syndicate itself to independent stations. That's unlikely, because the draw would be somewhere near 0.

    Today, well, it's unclear if providing downloadables would be a viable business, but I doubt it would conflict with the post-season DVD. The post-season DVDs have a lot of extras, and come in a nice box. For the general public, that's hard to beat.

    Bandwidth costs alone would make downloadables a losing business. With Bittorrent you're piggybacking off of everyone else's bandwidth, but a real ("official") provider would have brutal bandwidth charges.

  24. Why should we pay? by ItsIllak · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Not meaning to sound cheap, but why should we pay for this? Why can't it be advert supported. When the article was recently posted about the UK bittorrent downloading of sites being the highest in the world, I commented that it was the perfect forum for the TV companies to distribute their shows complete with adverts intact. They can then draw the money from advertisers to pay for it (and bandwidth wouldn't be so enormous, they'd just have to seed and catch the slack).

    On the other hand, they could probably add a smaller revenue 50c, $1? per show if they offer them on the day (or following day) of original broadcast. That only leaves the problem of the rest of the world!

    We get things 6-10 weeks after the US originally broadcasts (in the UK). That gap would have to be closed or the networks over here would complain (and not pay!).

    In the end, as I mentioned in reply to the previous article, if there's any TV Execs out there that want this, let me know, I'll set it up for you :)

  25. Re:I would pay... by DrewCapu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Add to that that there shouldn't be any of those station watermarks or ads promoting other shows on the bottom portion of the screen.

  26. iTunes to iTV by cmpalmer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    For years, I said that if I could download high quality music files that were reasonably DRM free without a subscription for around $1 per song, I'd happily do it. Skeptics said it would never work, music companies and radio were horrified, etc. Now, with iTunes raking in ungodly amounts of money (or at least selling millions of iPods, thereby making ungodly amounts of money), I have all of that (except for the DRM part, but then I have an iPod, I can use the iTunes songs on all my computers, and it isn't really that hard to burn to CD-RW then re-rip to non-DRM'ed MP3 for my other MP3 player).

    Now we're approaching the same idea with TV. If I could "buy" an episode of a show for some small amount of money, with decent quality and no commercials and without a subscription (except maybe for my digital cable if I got it through OnDemand or Pay Per View), I would do it.

    The TV and cable companies are getting all upset that people are Tivo'ing or otherwise DVR'ing their shows then skipping through the commercials, well, as the poster said, if I pay a buck or so to watch an episode without commercials or have access to, say, a feed with commercials that doesn't have skip or even FF for free, then they're making their money either way and I can choose whether I want built-in bathroom breaks or not.

    The hosting and management issues are beyond the local cable companies capabilities and just targeting computer viewing may not be enough. What we need is a cooperation between cable companies, STB manufactures, and networks to allow streaming of shows through your digital cable set top box to your TV from the network servers with payment going through your cable account. The same network servers could serve computers without as much overhead and without the cable co. skimming.

    Then, every week if I wanted to watch, say, Battlestar Galactica, I could:

    1) Watch it when it comes on
    2) Tape or DVR it and watch when I wanted
    3) Watch it in a forward only stream with commercials from my On Demand or PPV screen on my STB for free
    4) Watch it commercial free on On Demand or PPV for $1.50 ($0.50 to the cable company, $1 to Sci-Fi)
    or
    5) Watch it on my computer for $1 (all to Sci-Fi)

    or, to be honest, (6) download it from somewhere, but I actually don't bother doing that unless I've missed some once in a lifetime event -- it's too much hassle and I can wait for reruns.

    If there any reason why this wouldn't work and make (almost) everyone happy? The cable company makes more money, the networks make more money, the advertisers might actually see lower rates and would know about how many people actually are being forced to watch the ads, and the consumer has more choices.

    --
    -- stream of did I lock the front door consciousness
  27. Never Happen by UES · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The consensus opinion on Slashdot seems to be that Big Media does not like to 'give the customer what they want', (or, in other words, allow mass download of cancelled shows) because they are big jerks.

    That is not the case.

    This is unlikely to happen because television and movie rights are absurdly complicated, doubly so for defunct programs. I think a little education is in order. Let's use as an example a fictional show, "Blar Trak".

    Now, let's say the show originally ran on NBC from 1966-1969. The rights are now held by Paramount, a division of Viacom. IANAEL (I am not an entertainment lawyer, but...)

    Let's see how this would work:

    - User wants to download the 1-hour episode "Sark's Brain".

    Who owns it? Viacom, through Paramount. Just pay them, right? Nope. First, check to see if Paramount has DISTRIBUTION rights. These are distinct from ownership and/or PRODUCTION rights. Production rights let you make more episodes or spinoff movies. Distribution lets you put it on TV, in theatres, or on DVD. Different methods of distribution are often covered by separate contracts. In the film world, movies can be distributed by a studio that didn't produce the movie. "Master and Commander" had THREE studios working on it. "Titanic" on DVD is Paramount in the US, Fox in the rest of the world.

    Production companies do the actual physical production of the show, they ALSO have contracts that may limit distribution rights or assign partial or whole ownership. These rights are transferable to heirs, if the show makes grandpa look bad, no show for you, sayeth the grandkids.

    Paramount may also have a limited option or distribution deal for that particular episode, or a group of episodes, or the whole series. Ever wonder why DVDs go out of print? Now you know- the distributor has a LIMITED TIME contract.

    That's not all. All of the actors and workers from that show need to get paid residuals. Yes, even 40 years after production. Many of them will have contracts that state they get paid FOREVER. The ones who don't may sue to stop distribution, they don't want Viacom to get richer off their work. VIacom may screw all the actors by claiming the contracts are nullified in this case because they do not specifically refer to the internet as a distribution vehicle.

    Whoops. The ongoing litigation may take years. No episode for you. It won't be $1.00, that's for sure.

    That dollar has to cover:

    Production Contract
    Distribution Contract
    Actor residuals
    Writer/Producer residuals
    Legal costs
    Pipeline/Delivery costs

    Don't even get me started on what happens when Viacom wants to deliver content on Time Warner pipe, suffice it to say they have to pay Time Warner and devise yet another contract, too.

    Oh, and if the show contains POP MUSIC, give up now. You need to clear EACH SONG with the music industry equivalent on the other end, or replace the music.

    The short answer is: If there is money involved, it is very complicated. If no one wants to make money, distribtion is easy-peasy, rightsholders just sign off on it.

    Problem: EVERYONE wants to make residual income, it requires no effort and is very lucrative.

    1. Re:Never Happen by Seelo · · Score: 2, Funny

      The short answer is: If there is money involved, it is very complicated. If no one wants to make money, distribtion is easy-peasy, rightsholders just sign off on it.

      Problem: EVERYONE wants to make residual income, it requires no effort and is very lucrative.

      So in conclusion: Big Media are a bunch of big jerks.

    2. Re:Never Happen by SuperBigGulp · · Score: 3, Interesting

      First, awesomely thoughtful, insightful, and informative post.

      I can see how the cost might not be $1.00 per show, but shouldn't it be less than or equal to to the $4.00 or $5.00 Blockbuster charges for a movie rental?

      Also, wouldn't it be possible for a new series to be developed that bypasses the studio altogether? What would prevent Bad Robot (production house behind Alias and Lost) from maintaining the production rights and distributing via Tivo or DirectTV without going through one of the traditional networks? Networks were great when you needed a transmitter in each market in order to broadcast your programming, but it seems that technology has evolved such that traditional networks *could* be made irrelevant.

      --
      Someday a Slashdot ID of 177180 will mean something.
    3. Re:Never Happen by curtwaugh · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What a great post. Thank you. And THIS is why people will just steal the damn thing after all. If you think of theft as yet another market force, it's easy to see why people would do it. When the law becomes overly burdensome, people just ignore it (i.e., speed limits, marijuana, taxes, etc.). How may times have folks said, "I downloaded illegally until iTunes/NetFlix/etc came along." There is no reason, other than centuries-old legal practices, why ALL media is not distributed through every means possible. The technology is there. The market is there. The money is there. Where is the supply?

  28. what about keeping the commercials in? by voss · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Have a player for (windows and linux) of course...and the player could fastforward but the commercial would still be on the screen during the fastforward or when you pause. Have Blipverts...commericals that last 5 seconds.

    Advantage...the programs would be free not PPV. Theres no reason why you should have to pay for something the public gets for free if youre willing to watch the version with commercials.

  29. Re:Kids These Days by Zeal17 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Video recorders were invented in the mid-70s. Tivo may be a nice usability enhancement, but the "freedom" to record and watch later has been around for decades.

    There is a BIG difference between a VCR and a PVR. Sure, you have been able to archive a show for 30 years, but the big difference is that a PVR is random-access when a VCR isn't. I record mediochre shows with my PVR and I may or may-not watch them. But, I always have something to watch, accessiable by my remote.

    When you are recording on video-cassette, you can either put a bunch of episodes on one tape, which is inconvenient to watch, or you can put each episode on a different tape, which is inconvenient to store.

    I would definatly be willing to pay a reasonable fee to watch all my TV on demand. I would even pay more to get a copy without commercials too. The TV industry would need a major paradigm shift though, to go from an advertising based revenue model to a pay based revenue model.

    --

    "If it sucks without butter, it still sucks with butter, only creamier." - AC
  30. No major market by GhettoPeanut · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The TV companies most likely don't care that people download their shows for a number of reasons. One, since the shows are produced fairly rapidly, they don't need to worry about someone on the inside distributing the newest episode. And even if they did, it would only be out shortly before it was aired on TV, thus having no major impact on the number of views. The TV series has most likely received its payments from advertising well before the show is aired. sales from TV DVD's are mostly inconsequential to overall asset returns from shows, with the exception of a few of the more popular ones. If anything, its probably beneficial for shows to have their episodes downloaded. You can't get the newest one's much longer before they come to TV, and even if you do, the quality is always going to be lower unless you have the money for a really sweet connection speed. Most common folks not only dont have the speeds, but wouldn't bother with the effort. Constantly downloading shows, mp3's, and porn takes allot of effort. Sites are getting shut down, you piss off someone and they block you from some area to download. People are lazy, I'd love to see the age group for those who download the most. 10bucks says its highschool to college kids. they got money, and a ton of free time. For example, even though MP3 downloading has reached a very mainstream point, most people I know doing it, only use it casually to dl some random song, the ones constantly downloading the newest album of any particular band are either to poor to buy the CD, or have to much time on their hands. CD's are still popular because people are naturally lazy, IMHO. But that's a different subject entirely.

    --
    Induhvidual
  31. Give me a-la-carte channels by vjmurphy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    While downloading specific shows would be great, I'd first like the ability to choose what cable/satellite channels I get individually. I don't want to have to subsidized 20+ sports channels just so that I can watch the Food Network.

    I've seen my cable bill rise just so that some idiots can get a sports channel featuring a regional team. Fine, pass that cost directly onto the people who want that content. I don't.

    --
    Vincent J. Murphy
    Spandex Justice
  32. Is it Piracy by Render_Man · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I think that there's alot of crap floating around about the idea of downloading TV shows.

    Is it piracy if I am paying for the cable channels the show is broadcast on and I record it to watch when it's more convenient and I can fast forward through commercials? The Betamax decision says no (for the moment anyways).

    So why is there anything illegal about me getting a copy of a broadcast I already paid for from someone else?

    It's just time shifting. It think that thier panties are in a twist over situations like a UK viewer downloading '24' *before* it's broadcast over there (alternatly, the new 'Battlestar Galactica' series released in the UK first, downloaded by N.Americans before US broadcast).

    Someone needs to wake up to the fact that there is demand for these shows and that regional distribution is not a viable containment method anymore. The people want to see it and are going to get it one way or another. Might as well make it widely available.

    My ISP is the cable company. I'd gladly pay a fee if they would buffer, say, a month of broadcast on a 'groupTivo (tm)' that I could access at my convenince. Pay for what you view, watch alot pay more. Watch a little, pay a little. Watch alot, pay more.

    Just my rant

    --
    Where are we going, and why are we in this hand cart?
  33. Some companies care by VaderPi · · Score: 2, Interesting

    In August, after I watched a few episodes of Dead Like Me on Showtime, I wanted to go back and watch from the begging. I launched my bittorrent client and grabbed all of the first season. This was before Dead Like Me was available on DVD. A few weeks later, my Internet connection stopped working. Turns out MGM sent a DMCA violation notice to my ISP.

    I was never sued, but I always fear that it will come back to bite me.

  34. "MOST" by sterno · · Score: 3, Interesting

    As you point out, "MOST" is pure crap. Having said that, thanks to Tivo, I can pick out the maybe 10 shows that are actually worth watching. So let's se, between 12 and 24 episodes for a given show per year. Let's say $2/episode.

    That'd be 18 episode average times $2/episode or $36/year for a given show. Somewhat less than they'd make on a DVD box set, but that's assuming I wouldn't end up buying that anyhow. Furthermore, that $36 has very low distribution costs, especially if the download software incorporates some P2P technology.

    Now, Like I said, maybe 10 shows at $36/show. So $360/year. I'm paying roughly $80/month for comshlock cable, so that's $960/year. So I could double the number of shows I watch and still save a huge amount of money. Furthermore, all that money that Comcast would normally get would go right to the production studios who actually make the stuff.

    Now, think about it, if everybody was going out and selectively buying TV shows, they'd actually have to be good to compete for money. Why go download that one episode that's nothing but cuts from previous episodes. Give that new reality show a try and if it doesn't pique your interest after a few episodes, just stop downloading it.

    Now, broadcasters have to think in terms of, ratings, which means getting either a large audience, or a very well defined niche. One thing that hurts enterprise is that it's a pretty broad audience, but not a big one. If you got all the trekkies to pay $2/episode, that would solve that problem nicely.

    The other nice thing is that this opens up the possibility for small independent producers to make small and more creative shows. You have to be able to guarantee delivery of a fairly large audience to cost justify making a television show. That's why reality TV is so popular, it gets good ratings and it's cheap to produce. But if you could make a 12 episode television show for say $120K, or $10K/episode, then if you get 5000 people interested, you at least broke even. Plus, if you aren't sure about the appeal, you can do a pilot, and give it away to see how it goes.

    --
    This sig has been temporarily disconnected or is no longer in service
  35. Apple could do it. by spud603 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I wouldn't be surprised if Apple was in negotiation with the TV companies right now, trying to work out a way to add an "Episode store" to iTunes (or quicktime or iMovie or something).
    As the iPod funds the iTunes Music Store, though, they would need something to fund it (ie a product that buying tv shows through them would encourage you to buy). Could be a iPod video, but I doubt it. More likely a MacMini-type "entertainment box" that hooks up to your TV. Products like this have never taken off before, just like mp3 players never took off until iTunes/iPod; people need a reason to buy a new paradigm of technology.
    I see it like this. Apple launches iTunes Video Store and the iBox home entertainment center at the same time. At first, the iBox sales are sucky, but people start downloading episodes from iTunes (easier than finding pirated versions). Then people want an easy way to watch these series' on their 90-inch plasmatic television, and iBox sales take off.
    And people like me, without a TV, would be happy to pay the occasional few dollars for a TV show to watch...

  36. Then your favorite channels will die.... by LanMan04 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The problem with that is:

    In reality, it's those 20+ sports channels that are subsidizing channels like Food Network, History Channel, Sci-Fi, A&E, and anything else the typical American common denominator (who loves thing like Ashlee Simpson, NSF, NBA, and Bachlorette/Survivor 9: The Quickening).

    If you choose the a-la-carte way, any channel that isn't very popular with the vast majority of the American public (with whom I share little in the way of entertainment taste) will go off the air.

    --
    With the first link, the chain is forged.
  37. Re:$5? try $0.50 per hour by forkazoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    50 cents per hour, eh? Interesting. I have started wondering if I shouldn't just start making independedent films. If I could get a few thousand people to pay a dollar for a torrent to an un-DRM'd video file, it would be enough to find microbudget indy work, with college students, and semi-pros. Obviously, it wouldn't be as slick as Star Trek, but with a few grand per episode of budget, you can make do with decent equipment and talented nonames.

    The only problem would be that I'd have to pay a lawyer to sue anybody who put the files on Kazaa, or else I'd almost certainly never be able to get people to actually pay for it. I haven't been able to think of a good solution, except for trying to find advertising sponsors, and working them into the productions, so that you can't just skip over the ads. (I.E. The hero would save the day with the sponsor's product, or the bad guy would try to kill people with the competitor's product.)

    But, since the distribution would be on the internet, most likely, no local businesses would be interested in advertising. (No guarantee that more than a handful of people in the same state would watch, and all the people in latvia wouldn't care that Bob's has the cheapest stuff in Denver.)

    But, being a small independent production, a company that is international, and would be interested in reaching people all over the internet like Coca Cola would probably not be interested in targeting a few thousand geeky downloaders on the internet.

    So, anybody have any good ideas for how to do an independent Internet distributed series without DRM?

  38. Enterprise by barry_williams · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I was wondering about this earlier today.

    What with the new ST:Ent Challenge with the fans essentially paying for the production of a new season. This allows the broadcasters to provide the content without requiring prime-time advertising. Easily allowing the episodes to be made available online.

    The only problem I would imagine is the actors royalty payments which DRM (god forbid) or a subscription based system could account for.

    I am massively in favour of funding even $50 for the ability to fund a new season and be able to download it when I want to view it.

    Hopefully Paramount will look into this option if they go ahead with ST:Ent S5!

  39. Re:"MOST" - How to find new shows. by Em+Ellel · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If you didn't have access to all of what's on cable, how could you decide which 10 shows are worth wathcing?

    Very good point.

    Tivo has a "showcases" feature where their "partners" could (pay to) set up their own listings of what they are showing. They also have a "Tivo" showcase which lists things across the board in different categories. When I first got my Tivo some 5+ years ago, I thought these were useless. However soon after I got my Tivo I completely stopped watching live TV and skipped commercials in recordings and so a few years later I realized that I have never heard of many of the shows that started after I got my tivo. If I did not read about it on internet or was told about it by a friend, the show did not exist. And then I re-discovered the Tivo showcase - specifically the section listing new shows. Every once in a while (especially right before season starts) I would go there and look through what is coming up. If something catches my eye, I will record a few episodes, if I like it - then I "season pass" it. Simple and very effective.

    Something like this is easy to implement and free to download previews or pilots can make it even easier. And as long as you put the viewer in charge of choosing what and when to see, Adverts for new shows may not be a bad thing.

    Then there is always review sites, magazines, etc.

    -Em

    --
    RelevantElephants: A Somatic WebComic...
  40. Forget Pay Per View - Do Pay Per Production by Jherek+Carnelian · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The problem with a pay per view model is that we will still have "pirates" distributing the content for free because - A) it is human nature to seek the best deal (free market principles) and B) the Internet is designed to make information sharing as cheap as possible. Thus a pay per view model will not alleviate the problem of piracy.

    I propose a comission model.

    First some background info on TV production in the USA:
    1. "Top-tier" 30 minute show costs ~$2M per episode to produce.
    2. "Top-tier" 60 minute show costs ~$4M per episode to produce.
    3. Almost all shows are deficit funded - that means bank loans to fund production costs which are more than the income generated by the first airing of each episode.
    4. Deficit funded shows only become profitable in syndication (if someone has some hard numbers for the revenue generated by TV on DVD sales, PLEASE POST)
    5. A show must run for at least 4, and more generally 5 seasons, before it is elligible for syndication (you need X number of episodes before syndication is really feasible - just look at Star Trek Enterprise, they waited for the 4th season before cancelling it because they know they can still syndicate it and make their money back there.).
    6. More than 80% of shows never make it to a 4th season.
    7. Many shows that do rack up enough episodes for syndication are still not suitable for other reasons - like not being episodic (think 24 - it is unlikely to be syndicated) or being to violent or adult (e.g. Miami Vice)

    Add all that up and you have an industry that is much like cinema - they need that 1 in 10 or 1 in 20 mega-hit just to break even on all the money losing shows. This fact is probably the biggest reason you see networks cancel promising shows after less than one season without giving them a chance to "find their niche."

    So, if a production company could be guaranteed a reasonable (say 10-20%) profit immediately upon release of each episode, that would be a huge change in the way hollywood does business. It would allow more niche programming, one might even say more intelligent programming because the need to pander to the lowest common denominator in order to appeal to the largest possible audience would be gone. All you need to do is keep enough of an audience to proftiably fund the next episode.

    But, how do you guarantee a profit on each episode? Commission.

    Just as the net makes it easy for the pirates to share a show with thousands and even millions of their best friends on the net, so to can the net bring together millions of people to hire the production company to produce each episode.

    Let's take Star Trek Enterprise as an example again. Look at the price on DVD for one season of Star Trek Voyager - MSRP is $140 and street is no better than $90. I'm going to guess and say there are 22 episodes per season - that's over $4 per episode. Viewership numbers for first run episodes of Enterprise in the USA are in the 3 million range - that ignores viewers in other countries and during any second showings (if there are any) later in the week.

    For the sake of argument, let us say every one of those 3M viewers were to pony up an average of $1.50 per episode. That would produce $4.5M - enough to pay for $4M in production costs with ~13% return on investment in less than a month. In return, the people who paid for the production of the show would now own it - since there are so many owners, it is simpler to just make it public domain and not worry any more about the ownership details - we would all own it.

    There are a couple of secondary benefits of releasing it to the public domain -- for both the production company and for society at large:

    1. Every show becomes free advertising to "hook" new viewers on the series and get them to pay for the production of new episodes
    2. Since the show is not copyrighted, you don't have to worry about pirates, instead of "stealing" revenue from the creators these same peop
  41. They are exersizing caution by nurb432 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    They are watching the other industries duke it out with their customers.. waiting to see how it comes out..

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  42. Easy by sterno · · Score: 2, Interesting

    First of all, I suspect that most shows would offer you a taste of a show for free to hook you. So you could readily go around and try different shows.

    Another possibility would be to do trailers like they do at the movies. I mean throw two minutes worth of ads for other shows before my program starts. Honestly the only ads I don't skip now are ads for other programming.

    They can advertise on the Internet. They can release their shows to critics, and we can use them to measure whether they are good.

    Honestly, I don't find good TV by skimming what's out there. I see ads for them when watching shows I already watch. I hear about them from friends or on the net. I'm fairly certain I found out about Battlestar Galactica on Slashdot and that's one of my favorite shows now.

    Another possibility I could see would be an HBO like model. You could pay a monthly fee to get all of SciFi's shows for example. You could download however much you wanted whenever you wanted. Essentially allow me to do my television a la carte rather than getting a bunch of channels I'd never watch (FoxNews, for example :)

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