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Commission Says NASA Failed on Shuttle Safety

Tsalg writes "The final report from the Stafford-Covey Commission concludes that out of the 15 recommendations they made, the 3 toughest technically are not met. The news was not official on the return-to-flight website but has been widely commented elsewhere. Says one of the task members: "It is NASA's job -- not the task force's -- to determine whether the risks are acceptable and whether it's safe for Discovery to fly." The commission said risk remained that pieces of foam and ice could break off and hit the shuttle at lift-off. It also said the orbiter had not been sufficiently hardened and it lacked an in-flight repair system.Nasa has been aiming to launch shuttle Discovery as early as 13 July."

232 comments

  1. Do we wait, or what? by Kid+Zero · · Score: 2, Interesting

    and honestly, does NASA have the billions it'll take to fix the shuttles up again? Will the public even care to pay for a program that would be down another two to three years? Five years between shuttle launches?

    Why bother, I say.

    1. Re:Do we wait, or what? by eln · · Score: 1

      If Discovery fails, it will be the end of the shuttle program, and may well be a fatal blow to NASA. I look on this launch with a great deal of trepidation. I sorely want NASA to get back on track, and I fear what will happen if the mission fails for whatever reason.

      This country needs real government support of space exploration. So far, the only thing private enterprise seems to be interested in as far as space is concerned is tourism. We need NASA to do those things in space whose goals are grander than mere profit.

    2. Re:Do we wait, or what? by seti · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Private companies will almost always pursue goals that will make them money in the long run. Corporate moguls are now catching on to the fact there's a lot of rich people out there willing to spend $250K for a quick flutter into orbit.

      Space programmes with ulterior motives than profit will likely always have to be finianced by the people, through governments.

      --
      Coca-Cola, sometimes War.
    3. Re:Do we wait, or what? by DigiShaman · · Score: 0

      Actually, we should be supporting space tourism be the private industry. Now, most of us could give a rats ass about some rich people getting their jollies off in space. However, private investment and competition will do FAR more good then what our government can provide. Also, political in-fighting will only harm NASA worse.

      Eventually, all of this private funding will help foster a new space race. Chances are, science in space will be riding on the coat tales of the entertainment industry. I'm sure with todays technology, the private sector will develop a cheap way of sending man back to the moon as a resault of capitol spent on R&D

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    4. Re:Do we wait, or what? by ProfaneBaby · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The shuttle missions assume that manned flight is required for research in space - in this day and age, that supposition should be questioned.

      If the US government can not regularly and reliably put and retrieve people from orbit, we need to look at the alternatives such as private missions or a return to exclusively unmanned research - both of these have tradeoffs, but the cost to the taxpayers and the beauracracy involved goes WAY down as soon as you take people out of the equation.

      --
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    5. Re:Do we wait, or what? by mboverload · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The shuttle flew for years without any burnups or crashes.

      Wow, you lost ONE after decades of GOING INTO SPACE where meteor showers and solar flares are always possible, and then returning to earth WHILE YOUR SHIP'S OUTSIDE IS HEATED TO THOASANDS OF DEGREES while trying to land a "flying brick" on a landing strip built on a fricken marsh.

      I guess I'm not really phased.

    6. Re:Do we wait, or what? by mboverload · · Score: 1

      Just to be clear, I don't count the Challenger because it was a problem with a poorly sealed external gas tank.

    7. Re:Do we wait, or what? by TehHustler · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Define failure

      Are we talking a complete mission loss? An abort leading to reduced mission capability? What about a return to launch site abort? Technically an abort is a failed mission, but if it is dealt with, it is, to paraphrase Apollo 13 somewhat, a successful failure, because a problem is dealt with and everyone is safe.

      What problems do you think would be bad enough to consider this mission "fucked", so to speak :)

      --

      TheHustler
      http://www.elmarko.org/ - Useless bilge
      http://www.asylum-games.co.uk/ - Co-Founder
    8. Re:Do we wait, or what? by Alien+Being · · Score: 0, Troll

      Where's the logic in that? What other types of catastrophic failures wouldn't you count?

      Besides, it wasn't a "poorly sealed gas tank" until the big roman candle burned a hole in it. The SRBs provide about 85% of the thrust and the design failed.

    9. Re:Do we wait, or what? by MacTenchi · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry, I think your comment is hardly insightful. We've lost two shuttles (14 astronauts) in 113 flights. That's one dead per eight flights.

      Let's compare to civil aviation. Take last year, 13 deaths in 10,547,000 flights. Ten million.

      Going to space is hard, yes, but don't try to convince me that the shuttle is safe or the best way to get there.

      Reference:
      http://www.ntsb.gov/aviation/Table1.htm

    10. Re:Do we wait, or what? by Retric · · Score: 1

      That's an odd way to look at the numbers.

      I can see deaths per miles flown (makes shuttles look vary safe)*

      Accidents per takeoff and landing (1 / 113) and (1/112) which makes it seem safe. (Yea you still die on the second one but you got to spend a few days in space.)

      Accidents per flight (2/113) at which point I know a lot of people who still would risk it.

      But deaths per flight that's just odd.

      PS: Don't know total miles flown but 14 deaths per ~7 people per trip * 112 trips * over 5 days a trip * 24 h / day * 17,321 mi/h = better than 14deaths/ 2 346 565 939 200 miles = 1 death per 167,611,852,800 miles vs.

      13 / (10,547,000 flights * 200?(probably much lower but it's a safe number to use ) people per flight * ~ 1000 miles per flight) or 1 death in 162 261 538 400 miles. Which would conservatively make the shuttle a little safer per passenger mile than aircraft on a good year. (Some years a lot more than 13 people die in civil aviation. ~500 in 01 for example.)

    11. Re:Do we wait, or what? by Retric · · Score: 1

      Accidental Deaths - United States - 1994-1998 from http://hazmat.dot.gov/riskmgmt/riskcompare.htm says 0.7 deaths per 100 million aircraft miles making the shuttle ~1,135 * as safe per passenger mile.

      Using 1 death per 167,611,852,800 miles for the shuttle.

    12. Re:Do we wait, or what? by aztracker1 · · Score: 1

      When your unmanned delivery vehicle has a problem, a "person" skilled with the equipment is more likely to perform a faster repair, then trying with some space droid.. R2D2 isn't here yet.

      --
      Michael J. Ryan - tracker1.info
  2. Better to die with? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Let us kill the astronauts because money is short.

    1. Re:Better to die with? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or better yet, lets outsource our astronauts!

  3. If we wait by KD5UZZ · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If we wait until there are no risks the shuttle will never fly again. If we wait until everyone agrees with the risks, the shuttle will never fly again. We gave NASA the task to explore outter space, lets give them the ability. They understand the job at lot better than most people. The people who want to fly understand the risks. Lets let them take the risks if they think its worth it.

    --
    -Daniel
    KD5UZZ
    www.w5yj.org
    1. Re:If we wait by william_w_bush · · Score: 5, Insightful

      yes... well 2 shuttles with crew have died so far. I mean a: yes going into outer space is risky, but 2: if they are going to go we should stop forcing them to use the technology that really isn't fit for the task. The shuttle system is a reagan remnant, like star wars and the stealth bomber and a lot of other things that were designed PURELY to scare the russians with our way overengineered tech. seriously, that was their job, they were made with the design principal "oh and put a bunch of sharp black pointy things on the front to scare the shit out of anyone who sees it" (note the soviet's tried to come up with a copy, they never really could get it to work, and it cost so freaking much they stopped trying, and they are arguably better at space than we are). The SR-71 was made in a similar vein with the only difference being it actually worked, check out combat ready ratings on B-1's sometime.

      I think we should let NASA make their own call, but we aren't, we're forcing them to play gay govt accounting games so the investment in the current shuttle program, and all its maintainance look good, and costs us over $1B a flight. Commercial sat launches go for under $50 most of the time, and are much more flexible regarding orbits. Create a new heavy-lifter, or even bring back the Saturn V, because even at $1B a shot, and counting all the cash we put in for upgrades and maint it's still way way way down the line in terms of launch vehicle capabilities. A Soyuz system is actually safer for docking with the ISS, and half the other things you need to do in space.

      The shuttle was well designed in the beginning, but all the modifications to baselines due to budget pork, politcal conprimises, and simple age have made it unfit for it's duties. You wouldn't ask jet pilots to patrol the skies in p-51 mustangs because we already had some, and north american aviation was an important constituent of the chair of the commitee for armed services, why are we sending our astronauts up in vehicles that are unable to perform their real requirements, and are also designed for size and looks over safety and functionality? Also, would you rather have 1 big ship that can be launched twice every year or 10 small ships that can be launched monthly with the same overall benefit?

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    2. Re:If we wait by NetSettler · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If we wait until there are no risks the shuttle will never fly again.

      Hear, hear! Space travel is dangerous. So what's the alternative? If we keep all the astronauts at home and they die of old age are they going to feel we "saved" them? They want to go, even if there's some risk. And they know that the people who've invested money in this are not going to send them up with frivolous levels of risk.

      Here's my test for acceptable risk:

      If there no astronauts can be found who are willing to take the flight, then it's not safe enough. Of if we can't find any funding agencies with experiments or projects to do who are willing to risk the flight, then it's not safe enough. But as long as we're filling the seats and the project bays, and as long as everyone knows the risks and has accepted them, we're good to go.

      Go watch Into Thin Air and other books about scaling Mount Everest and imagine what would happen to the mountain climbing business if every time there was an accident, we shut down mountain climbing until we could prove it was safe.

      --

      Kent M Pitman
      Philosopher, Technologist, Writer

    3. Re:If we wait by locust · · Score: 1

      When each shuttle costs billions, and each launch millions, is it any surprise that bean counters get in the way. One may as well be describing the process that is used to make a hollywood blockbuster. Everyone has to cover thier ass, so in the end we avoid risks like the plague. We don't just need people who understand the risks, we a cheaper launch vehicle, and people who understand, that the way to space will be snatched from tragedy and built on not a few lives.

    4. Re:If we wait by Vellmont · · Score: 4, Insightful


      Also, would you rather have 1 big ship that can be launched twice every year or 10 small ships that can be launched monthly with the same overall benefit?

      You're asking the wrong question. The proper question is: Would you rather have one ship that has a 2% risk of complete destruction, or no ship at all? This is the question we're trying to answer. Bringing up some theoretical ship that doesn't exist is interesting, but not relevant to the discussion right now.

      Try to understand that right now the main focus of the US (for better or worse) right now is Iraq. We're pouring money into the war right now, and no one wants to consider giving a ton of money to NASA to develop a new vehicle.

      --
      AccountKiller
    5. Re:If we wait by FlyingCheese · · Score: 0

      ... or even bring back the Saturn V An International Treaty states that no one can build more Saturn (or similarly sized) rockets or put the still existing ones (I think there are 3 or 4) back together. But then again, since when have we given a shit about what the rest of the world thinks?

    6. Re:If we wait by pyrrhonist · · Score: 4, Informative
      The shuttle system is a reagan remnant

      The shuttle predates Regan.

      Richard M. Nixon initialized the shuttle program on January 5, 1972.
      The Enterprise prototype was delivered on September 17, 1976.
      The Columbia was delivered on March 25, 1979.

      note the soviet's tried to come up with a copy, they never really could get it to work

      The Soviet Buran shuttle's first orbital flight was on November 15, 1988. It made a fully automatic landing with no issues.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    7. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 5, Informative

      And Buran worked fine, and was in many ways superior to the Shuttle - it, for example, contained jet engines that allowed for a powered landing - Shuttle can't pull up for another landing attempt, Buran could. It also had no main engines - they were in the huge booster that mimic the shuttle main fuel tank. Buran also had no firecrackers (solid rocket boosters), and instead used only liquid fuels - making challenger-style boom impossible.

      Yes, it was an aerodynamical copy out of stolen blueprints - so they saved a ton of wind tunnel testing and other stuff, but the innards were all russian tech, and they make good solid space tech.

      What didn't work out was the funding. Shuttle is expensive, and so was Buran. Collapsing USSR decided to save SOME kind of space program, and picked MIR and the trusty old rockets they had already in service, and canned Buran. It only flew once, unmanned. A feat Shuttle can't do, by the way, as it can't land unmanned.

      Considering how expensive Shuttle is to operate, I'd say they made a smart financial call :)

      But there were no technological obstacles. It was only the lack of money. A real shame what they allowed to rust in the former USSR - they had the biggest booster (Energiya) and the 'better' Shuttle, but both are now pretty much gone due to lack of funds.

    8. Re:If we wait by ctr2sprt · · Score: 2, Insightful
      if they are going to go we should stop forcing them to use the technology that really isn't fit for the task.
      You're illustrating the difference between the perfect world and the real world. In a perfect world, the tools we have would always be the best tools for the job. But in the real world, it never quite works out that way. At work I have to do a fair bit of disassembly and reassembly of servers, most typically hot swap trays and drives. Those things are in there tight, and we only have like one screwdriver (that we can find anyway). So many times I'm there putting about 600lbs of force trying to get the too-small screwdriver to turn the screw without stripping it. The real world: you make do with the tools you have. Like that incredibly un-political, but absolutely accurate, remark Rumsfeld made: "You go to war with the army you have, not the one you want."

      This is not to say we shouldn't try to improve our tools. Like at work, it would be a good idea to get several different-size screwdrivers. All I'm trying to say is that there's a point where you have to stop and say "This is good enough for now." Even if there's stuff that you know is wrong, you just let it be, try to work around it, and deal with it for a while. Because 95% of a solution now is better than 99% in ten years, which, frankly, is why we are still limping along with the shuttle at all. Much like fusion power, a 99%-perfect solution is always ten years in the future.

      The shuttle was well designed in the beginning, but all the modifications to baselines due to budget pork, politcal conprimises, and simple age have made it unfit for it's duties.
      No government project is ever going to be free of budget pork and political compromises (the two are mostly the same thing: "I'll support your bill if you give me $50 million for highway projects"). It is, to beat a dead horse, part of what distinguishes the real from the perfect world.
    9. Re:If we wait by william_w_bush · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Bringing up some theoretical ship that doesn't exist is interesting, but not relevant to the discussion right now.

      we have soyuz, last i checked they had the launch capability to handle 20+ launches a year if we kept the lines running, and a loss-less record for the 15 -odd years they've been in service, even nasa considers them the most reliable human launch vehicle available. Oh, excuse me, you wanted the one with the "made in the usa" label displayed prominently.
      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    10. Re:If we wait by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

      erhm, ok I did not know that. wouldn't that cover something the size of the shuttle then, i mean it's kinda big, and a rocket.

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    11. Re:If we wait by CrackedButter · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Its a pity the US doesn't ask the russians to give them the plans, if they are so advanced and only money was the limiting factor then it would seem the perfect conbination if the US supplied the money and the russians did the work.

    12. Re:If we wait by william_w_bush · · Score: 3, Insightful

      congressmen... pride... apathy towards real science and research... sad

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    13. Re:If we wait by william_w_bush · · Score: 2, Insightful

      you are correct, it is also what distinguishes a system of government based on citizen apathy towards political goals, and the acceptance of the futility of trying to effect change in any way versus the ideal system of government conceived by our fore-fathers which says that the will of the people is more important than the personal will of our representatives, and the concept that all government is acheived via a mandate from the people.

      Saying "yes but government is always like that", while true, is also self-fulfilling, and not deterministically valid (i hope thats a phrase).

      You are also right in that you go to war with the army you have, and we did, but the army that started WW1 & WW2 had little in common with the army that ended it. In the course of 6 years modern warfare was changed, new strategies made and broken, lessons learned and applied. Germany lost because they grew less than the rest of the world which started out far behind but progressed at a far faster rate. So if you keep fighting a battle for 30 years, don't be surprised if your once shiny soldiers in matching battle armor end up being raggedy and outclassed near the end. Evolution is part of survival, and the shuttle is a 2 headed cow if there ever was one.

      Is it sad that I miss skylab 30 years on? For all its limitations it's one of the few space projects that truly met its objectives in a meaningful way, and likely acted as the model for the ISS before that went crazy. Looking at NASA's run the only successes it's had have come from missions based on clear, fixed objectives that were not later edited to fit the immediate political needs of the party in office. The moonshot was simple, Skylab had a clear plan, even the mars rovers were not just crazy "Dude! We got to mars!" kinda things, where costs inevitably get out of control as objectives steadily grow over time. It's hard to change http://www.johnshepler.com/articles/kennedy.htmlke nnedy's speech saying clearly we should go to the moon to "yeah lets build a launch vehicle, oh use lockheed rockets, raytheon guidance, boeing hull, and make it also a USAF weapons platform, with anti-terrorist surveilance capabilities, and built in such a way that it encourages both evangelical christianity and supports unions".

      I agree with you completely, but I still think you're wrong.

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    14. Re:If we wait by nothings · · Score: 2, Interesting
      The people who want to fly understand the risks.

      No, they don't. Some engineers may understand some risks, but no single individual understands them all, and there is lots of evidence that NASA is not very good at synthesizing all the risks. Instead, further unrealized risks occur, such as those introduced by schedule pressure:

      During the course of this investigation, the Board received several unsolicited comments from NASA personnel regarding pressure to meet a schedule. These comments all concerned a date, more than a year after the launch of Columbia, that seemed etched in stone: February 19, 2004, the scheduled launch date of STS-120. This flight was a milestone in the minds of NASA management since it would carry a section of the International Space Station called "Node 2." This would configure the International Space Station to its "U.S. Core Complete" status.

      At first glance, the Core Complete configuration date seemed noteworthy but unrelated to the Columbia accident. However, as the investigation continued, it became apparent that the complexity and political mandates surrounding the International Space Station Program, as well as Shuttle Program managements responses to them, resulted in pressure to meet an increasingly ambitious launch schedule.

      [...]

      After years of downsizing and budget cuts (Chapter 5), this mandate and events in the months leading up to STS-107 introduced elements of risk to the Program.

      If you haven't read the Columbia Acident Investigation Board report, you shouldn't make such claims. And if you have read it, you wouldn't.

    15. Re:If we wait by m4dm4n · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to Wikipedia : "The U.S shuttles landings are also mostly automated (there has only been one manually flown re-entry so far), but deployment of the landing gear requires a human to physically press the button. The manual step was added at the insistence of the astronauts, who claim that early deployment of the landing gear due to a computer error would be fatal."

    16. Re:If we wait by BigBadBus · · Score: 1
      Buran had NO jet engines. The engines poking out of the rear fuselage were OMS engines, because there were no OMS pods on either side of the vertical stabiliser on Buran.

    17. Re:If we wait by xami · · Score: 1
      They understand the job at lot better than most people. The people who want to fly understand the risks. Lets let them take the risks if they think its worth it.
      Exactly.

      I wouldn't hesitate a second if I was offered the chance to fly to space - no matter how risky. Some months ago there was a story about the chinese sending their taikonauts up to space knowing they probably won't come back - so what? If I was given the possibility to visit moon (or even mars) without a ticket back to earth, fuck it, where can I sign?

    18. Re:If we wait by Richard_at_work · · Score: 4, Informative

      And Buran worked fine, and was in many ways superior to the Shuttle - it, for example, contained jet engines that allowed for a powered landing

      Actually, the Buran didnt contain jet engines, but it did have engines that could be attached to the airframe for flight testing, transport and research purposes.

    19. Re:If we wait by joeljkp · · Score: 1

      They're looking for something that can finish the Station (different discussion entirely). Soyuz doesn't have the carrying capacity for that.

      --
      WeRelate.org - wiki-based genealogy
    20. Re:If we wait by joeljkp · · Score: 0

      I heard from a NASA employee (no idea if it's just a story or not) that while the Shuttle can land autonomously, the astronauts take pride in landing it themselves.

      --
      WeRelate.org - wiki-based genealogy
    21. Re:If we wait by cbcanb · · Score: 2, Informative

      Soyuz *had* the ability to launch 20 times a year. It doesn't now (currently 2 per year). Ramping up the production rate would be costly, and require a lot of new workers, who would have to be trained, etc.

      And although Soyuz hasn't killed anyone for a long time, there have been several occasions in the last few years where it came uncomfortably close. Soyuz's record isn't significantly better than the shuttle's.

    22. Re:If we wait by Sique · · Score: 0

      Soyuz is in operation for about 30 years, and they had their share of victims too.
      Soyuz 1 failed at return, and Cosmonaut Komarov died.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    23. Re:If we wait by tahii · · Score: 1

      The Soyuz, first of all, is Russian, not part of the US spaceflight program.

      Also, the space shuttle is a reusable craft, and whilst the Soyus may have parts which are reusable, the craft as a whole is not.

      The new CEV craft (which is being designed at the moment, and will replace the space shuttle) will have far less capacity than the space shuttle. The shuttle can capture satellites in orbit, and bring them back, and there is no other craft which can do this. The space shuttle is a truck, whereas the Soyuz and CEV's are more like Honda City's.

    24. Re:If we wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      "A feat Shuttle can't do, by the way, as it can't land unmanned."

      There is still a strong public perception that, despite the fact that there's no stick or pedals, the astronauts are doing some hard work of piloting the damned things. The only reason the shuttle can't land unmanned is due to NASA's publicity requirements.

      The only intervention the astronauts have is pressing the appropriate button to initiate the deorbit and landing program. That could easily be handled remotely.

    25. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's also over ten years out of date already.

      It *was* great back then. Nowdays they would have to start from scratch again since the production lines are no longer there. Besides, advancement in many technologies mean that 10+ years old prototype is nothing but a curiosity today.

      They might gain something from hiring smart russians, but I think they already do that to some extent...

    26. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Hmm. True. They were in an atmospheric test model used for testing... easier to do glide tests when you can just turn off engines, glide, turn them back on and climb up :)

      (compared to drops from a 747 like Shuttle did with Enterprise)

    27. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Hmm. I thought it was because the landing gears cannot be deployed automatically. You have to manually lower them (Marketed as a 'security' feature, since once deployed, they are deployed, and you can't deorbit with the gears down without a fiery end - but yes, I agree that it's mostly due to astronauts making sure they are needed for something...)

    28. Re:If we wait by The+GooMan · · Score: 1

      "The shuttle predates Regan. Richard M. Nixon initialized the shuttle program on January 5, 1972. The Enterprise prototype was delivered on September 17, 1976. The Columbia was delivered on March 25, 1979."

      Thank you!

    29. Re:If we wait by Rhipf · · Score: 1

      So in the roughly 25 years of Shuttle flights we have lost 2 crews. In this time period we have lost how may lives due to car crashes? I always find it funny that lives doen't seem to be important (or at least the risks of any particular item to life) until a spectacular death occurs. If the shuttle is so risky because 2 flights out of 25 years worth of flights ended in deaths than I guess we need to stop all car and truck transportation on earth immediately. Besides buggy transportation is a proven technology and how many people have been killed in the last 25 years due to buggy accidents?

    30. Re:If we wait by bluGill · · Score: 1

      The shuttle has only launched ~100 times. I have driven my car a lot more than 100 times, and I have never lost even one life. Your statistics have been loaded to make your point, but the fact remains ~ 1 in 50 shuttle trips have resulted in people dieing.

    31. Re:If we wait by KlomDark · · Score: 1

      If it wasn't for Doc Brown's time machine, Clara Clayton would have been killed in a buggy accident and would have had a ravine named after her.

    32. Re:If we wait by hughk · · Score: 1
      And Buran worked fine, and was in many ways superior to the Shuttle - it, for example, contained jet engines that allowed for a powered landing
      Actually the jet engines were bolt-on and not used in space missions, but rather for shipping the shuttle around between sites. As for the copy, well I've heard that it was an independent design. They had the same main-mission profile (single-orbit observational) for the military and had the same requirement for a substantial cross-range capability. It therefore is no coincidence that the form looks similar. However the payload for the shuttle was greater, again driven by the military for the Manned-Orbital Laboratory project.

      Of course, when someone invented CCDs, this made the main military use of the Shuttle (and Buran)out of date.

      --
      See my journal, I write things there
    33. Re:If we wait by Forbman · · Score: 1

      yes... well 2 shuttles with crew have died so far.
      Well, one Apollo burned on the launch pad. There were...8 Apollo launches? So, our glorious Apollo had a failure rate higher than the space shuttle.

      How many 747's have crashed/been crashed, yet we still fly them today.

      The shuttle system is a reagan remnant
      Actually, the idea for the shuttle started floating around Nixon's era. The extra mission capabilities were added later, which compromised the design, of course. But this has been beaten to death in other fora.

      note the soviet's tried to come up with a copy, they never really could get it to work, and it cost so freaking much they stopped trying, and they are arguably better at space than we are

      Hmm... the big advantage of the Buran is that it could self-dock and self-land. Sure, the self-land program wasn't well optimized, but it worked. The self-dock program works pretty dang good, most of the time.

      Of course, I do realize that the autodock program for the Soyuz capsules recently was overridden and flown into the IIS manually...

      You wouldn't ask jet pilots to patrol the skies in p-51 mustangs because we already had some

      Well, actually...during the Korean War, at least one MiG-15 was shot down by a P-51. We *were* routinely sending up pilots in P-51's while we also had jets (F-84, P-80) available. The F-8F Bearcat might also have gotten a MiG. Both planes had a small performance window where they could possibly get a MiG-15 in a compromising position.

      why are we sending our astronauts up in vehicles that are unable to perform their real requirements, and are also designed for size and looks over safety and functionality

      Well, the real requirements for the Space Shuttle are either a) overly optimistic b) unrealistic. Size and looks? Well, someone came along and said, "the Space Shuttle has to be able to launch and retrieve a satellite this [stretches arms] big". 'This big' is about the size of the Hubble SST, which is rumored to be also about the size of the KH-11 series and Lacrosse spy satellites...

      The SR-71 was made in a similar vein with the only difference being it actually worked, check out combat ready ratings on B-1's sometime.

      No, the SR-71 was made by a bit of a crack group of developers who were pretty much left alone by the military oversight masters, so its goals were not changed willy-nilly. OK, so it went from a Mach 3 interceptor (A-12) to a Mach 3 spy plane (SR-71), but that was due to the fact that ICBMs sort of took the manned bomber role out of the equation.

      It is a side effect that the A-12/SR-71 is probably one of the most bitchin' airplanes ever made. The MiG-25 is also up there.

      Also, would you rather have 1 big ship that can be launched twice every year or 10 small ships that can be launched monthly with the same overall benefit?

      I would like both, but if I had to choose, it would be to go with the big ship. Why? Well, unless I really needed to make 10 launches a year, it likely makes more sense strictly from the cost-to-launch side to queue them all up to be launched by the heavy lifter. But there is always more to that story...

      Which is why the "MX" missile was a big deal. Instead of 3 MIRV warheads, it had 10. Replace all the Minuteman III's with MXs, and we have more than tripled our attack capability.

      As far as orbit possibilities... Well, we're constrained by our geography. Arianne's launch site in French Guianna is just inherently more flexible than either Cape Canaveral or Vandenberg AFB. They don't have those pesky down-range, litigious civilians to worry about, either.

    34. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Well, what I've read is that they took a shortcut by copying the aerodynamical shape of the Shuttle, but did some tweaks to it later, and the whole innards are completely different.

      It's a testament to the well-designed shape of the Shuttle (considering it's mission parameters) - why bother spending years and $MegaRubles to test out a new shape, when you can nab a pre-tested aerodynamical shape and work your way from there?

      Open source aerospace engineering...? :)

    35. Re:If we wait by e_slarti · · Score: 1
      What treaty is this? I am not aware of any treaty that restricts the size of non-weaponized rockets.

    36. Re:If we wait by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      You know that it was the liquid fuel that went boom on Challenger, right?

    37. Re:If we wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      In other news:

      After reviewing the following sentence, the commision on "world's longest run-on sentences" has decided to award it a "run-on rating" of "B-".

      The shuttle system is a reagan remnant, like star wars and the stealth bomber and a lot of other things that were designed PURELY to scare the russians with our way overengineered tech. seriously, that was their job, they were made with the design principal "oh and put a bunch of sharp black pointy things on the front to scare the shit out of anyone who sees it" (note the soviet's tried to come up with a copy, they never really could get it to work, and it cost so freaking much they stopped trying, and they are arguably better at space than we are).
    38. Re:If we wait by Stanistani · · Score: 1

      >So many times I'm there putting about 600lbs of force trying to get the too-small screwdriver to turn the screw without stripping it.

      Buy the damn screwdriver, and a small belt to hold it (so your co-workers don't walk off with it) before you jam the blade right through your hand. I've done it... it kinda hurts.

      Use the proper tool.

    39. Re:If we wait by Rhipf · · Score: 1

      My point wasn't that the odds of dying in a car accident are less or greater than dying in a shuttle accident (personally I think I need to worry more about the car but that's just me). The point is that in 25 years only 2 crews have been lost and significantly more have been lost to car related deaths so maybe we should be concerned that cars aren't 100% safe. If you want to look at acceptable risks than I guess I have to ask you, are you more likely to die in a shuttle accident or a car crash? Do you generally drive your car into orbit? How many pilots have died during aircraft test flights? There will always be risks in live. I guess my main point is (which upon reflection didn't come across in my original post) that as long as the people that are taking the risk are doing so volutarily let them. Should we strive to minimize the risks? You bet. All I know is that if I were given the chance to take a shuttle flight into orbit just after the last accident knowing what the risks were I would have done so in a heart beat.

    40. Re:If we wait by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      The shuttle system is a reagan remnant

      The shuttle predates Regan.

      Richard M. Nixon initialized the shuttle program on January 5, 1972.

      Actually - the Shuttle program is older than that. Nixon gave the go-ahead to buy (build) the design we have now, the earliest studies started in 1968.
    41. Re:If we wait by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Ignited by a failing SOLID ROCKET booster that burned a hole into the liquid fuel tank.

      SOLID ROCKET booster that cannot be turned off in case of a problem. SOLID ROCKET booster that, due to being reusable, was made out of sections - and one joint failed...

    42. Re:If we wait by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Yes, it [Buran] was an aerodynamical copy out of stolen blueprints - so they saved a ton of wind tunnel testing and other stuff,
      Um... No. There are significant differences between the moldline of the Shuttle and that of Buran - most noticeably in the wing/body blend and in the leading edge of the wing.
      but the innards were all russian tech, and they make good solid space tech.
      Yah - so solid that their safety record is not noticeably different from NASA's on the manned side of the house, and is decidely inferior in the reliability department over on the unmanned side.
    43. Re:If we wait by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 1

      If we wait until there are no risks the shuttle will never fly again. If we wait until everyone agrees with the risks, the shuttle will never fly again.

      Why don't we just admit that Americans are too pussy to conduct any more space exploration and leave it to those brave Chinese.

    44. Re:If we wait by John+Harrison · · Score: 1

      Actually it didn't burn a hole in the tank. It ignited gas that was leaking from the tank.

    45. Re:If we wait by bluGill · · Score: 1

      I'd go on the next shuttle flight if offered a chance. That doesn't make the shuttle less risky. The only reason I'm more likely to die in a car accident than a shuttle accident is I'm unlikely to ever get on a shuttle flight, while I'm one of millions of people who plan on getting in a car again today. I wouldn't get in a car that was as likely to kill me as the next shuttle flight.

      About 1 in 50 people who have got on a shuttle are dead because of a shuttle accident. (~ 100 flights, at 6-7 people each, 2 accidents that each killed everyone.). Most people who get in a car do not die in a car accident.

      Yes there are risks. Cars are however no where near as dangerous as the space shuttle.

    46. Re:If we wait by HermanAB · · Score: 1

      No ship at all??? The US Army, Navy and Air Force all have better space programs than NASA. Sure, they are not flying expendable human cargo, but that is a good thing.

      --
      Oh well, what the hell...
    47. Re:If we wait by pyrrhonist · · Score: 1
      Well, actually...during the Korean War, at least one MiG-15 was shot down by a P-51.

      The P-51s in Korea were used as ground attack planes. You're probably thinking of the F-82 Twin Mustang, which was the first U.S. plane to shoot down a MiG-15.

      The F-8F Bearcat might also have gotten a MiG.

      The F8F (and also F7F) certainly saw combat in Korea, but I can't find any evidence that it was credited with a MiG kill. The plane that replaced it, the F9F Panther is credited with 5 MiG kills, though.

      The only other prop-drive plane that I know of that is credited with a MiG-15 kill is the B-29.

      We *were* routinely sending up pilots in P-51's while we also had jets (F-84, P-80)

      The U.S. fighter jets that saw action in Korea were:

      It is a side effect that the A-12/SR-71 is probably one of the most bitchin' airplanes ever made. The MiG-25 is also up there.

      Oddly enough, the Soviets made the MiG-25 in response to the XB-70 Valkyrie program, which used the A-12 as a chase plane during testing.

      --
      Show me on the doll where his noodly appendage touched you.
    48. Re:If we wait by hackstraw · · Score: 1

      congressmen... pride... apathy towards real science and research... sad

      Yeah, think of what we could have done with those Nazi scientists and engineers from the V2 program...

    49. Re:If we wait by 6 · · Score: 1

      > The shuttle can capture satellites in orbit,
      > and bring them back, and there is no other craft which can do this.

      How often has this actually been used? To my knowledge most commercial and research satellites are in much higher orbits than shuttle can reach. In general aren't most sattelites cheaper than a shuttle mission anyway?

    50. Re:If we wait by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      You are working from an incrroect assumption - that you can "know" the level of any risk. Any risk is uncertain, or looked at another way certain. It will either kill you or not - if you have enough information you can determine that supposedly, but in the real world you normally have to make a guess about the level of risk involved. That guess is made based on previous experience.

      One big gripe I have with these types of reports is the culture it causes. Essentially, CYA. The attitude is that I better bring up every possible problem, so that if it causes the big boom, I can say "told ya so!" The problem is that this forces managers to ignore the vast majority of problems, because they have been told about "problems" every launch. I bet that if you were to compare the "this will cause LOV" claimants from successful and unsuccessful launches, you would not be able to tell the difference.

      The real solution would have to be an acceptance of the risk, and an attempt to quantify it. Essentially, you need a conservative (I wouldn't ride the thing!) engineer to try to inform a non-conservative (You want to live forever?) astronaut of the risks, without CYA or ignoring possible problems. The current solution is engineers CYA, so managers have to ignore possible problems.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  4. Different Approach by werewolf1031 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Is it me, or is all of this making a great case for developing transporter technology...?

    Heisenburg won't mind...

    1. Re:Different Approach by SoloFlyer2 · · Score: 0

      Yes, but in all likelyhood transporter technology in its infancy will be no where near as safe as the shuttle...
      Not to mention that the time required to develop transported technology to a useable state would mean that we wouldnt be going into space for a VERY VERY long time...

      --
      "I reject your reality, and substitute my own" - Adam Savage
    2. Re:Different Approach by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      I'm confused about why NASA has been using the shuttle for so long and kept patching it up. With the ancient design as a underlay base. (well I could imagine the issue of cost. But if Bush really wants to hit the moon anywhere soon for his base, which'll require alot of spacetravelling, things will have to be reviewed)

      It's like like using a 386 processor but putting it in a really nice case with a flatscreen and pasting on stickers to make it appear competable with the P4.

      The 386 might still do what it's designed for and does it well, but it's outdate and has become obsolete. The whole "risk factor" becoming more and more of an issue just shows the shuttle has had its time.


      They should've been develloping another craft for space-exploration. (and I thought they did, with a craft which could just fuel up, fly to space and land back.. but it crashed? I don't remember)

    3. Re:Different Approach by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      They did. There was a design problem with the fuel tanks so they scrapped it: They couldn't spread the manufacturing around to enough states to get congress to vote for it.

      Ok, actually it was a weight issue: the plans called for as yet unmanufacturable materials for the fuel tanks to be light enough and apparantly there was no interest in continuing to refine the design until it WAS possible (either through better design or through the materials finally being available.) leading some to speculate the above as the real reason.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    4. Re:Different Approach by rufty_tufty · · Score: 1

      But the processor in most people boxes is exactly that.
      We could have had a new instruction set that would be more efficient than maintaing backwards compatable.
      We could have massive transputer-like arrays instead of C centric single processors.
      We could have FPGA based data flow computers, but what is in most computers is stuck with an instruction set designed for an 8 bit system. How is this different from patching the shuttle?

      I think you've just given a great example of why we stick with what works and is established.
      In space terms look at Soyuz or the Delta series of rockets. Constant small incremental improvements seems to work well in all areas of engineering. Throwing everything out and keeping starting again is rarely sucessful.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
  5. Feynman: "nature cannot be fooled" by xmas2003 · · Score: 5, Informative

    The last sentance in Dr. Feynman's Appendix F on the Challenger Shuttle Accident Report: For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for nature cannot be fooled.

    --
    Hulk SMASH Celiac Disease
    1. Re:Feynman: "nature cannot be fooled" by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

      very good read by the way, i recommend it to anyone, and his "Pleasure of finding things out" book which has some too. Awful smart guy for a advanced theoretical quantium physicist.

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    2. Re:Feynman: "nature cannot be fooled" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed, an unusually gifted individual, even as theoretical quantum physicists go ;0

      May I also heartily recommend 'Surely you're joking Mr. Feynman' which describes some of his earlier years, the journey of his life and how he got to be such an all rounder.

    3. Re:Feynman: "nature cannot be fooled" by wwest4 · · Score: 1

      > Awful smart guy for a advanced theoretical quantium physicist.

      I wasn't impressed; it's not like they're talking about rocket science.

    4. Re:Feynman: "nature cannot be fooled" by Sepper · · Score: 1
      Very interesting read, Between this and the article I read on the engineer's excellent job during the Apollo 13 incident, you do get the impression that NASA has some of the most intelligent people, but that they are plaged with unresonnable timeline and politics (not to mention management)...

      From the report
      Official management, on the other hand, claims to believe the probability of failure is a thousand times less. One reason for this may be an attempt to assure the government of NASA perfection and success in order to ensure the supply of funds. The other may be that they sincerely believed it to be true, demonstrating an almost incredible lack of communication between themselves and their working engineers.

      Somethings will never change I guess...
      --
      I live in Soviet Canuckistan you insensitive clod!
  6. BEWARE by CloudDrakken · · Score: 0

    BEWARE OF SPACE!

    Conversation with my neighbor last year in a commute:

    Myself: ah, this can of Pepsi (tm) is finally empty.
    Neighbor: Nothing is ever empty.
    Myself: uh, this empty can of pepsi is empty
    Neighbor: it's full of air
    Myself: well, space is empty.
    Neighbor: Space is full of planets.


    what do they expect to find out anyway?
    1000 ways to not make a shuttle come back safely?

  7. MONEY by Michael_Munks · · Score: 1

    Lets give a trillion dollars to nasa and go to pluto. Yeah, baby.

    1. Re:MONEY by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I vote for Uranus. Let's build a space craft and name it DI-1L-D0.

    2. Re:MONEY by aussie_a · · Score: 0

      Listen. I told you last night, and I'm telling you again. I am NOT going to Michael Munks's anus.

  8. Similar to Disaster Recovery by Torgo's+Pizza · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The press reporting this and taking the "glass half-empty" is similar to a conversation I had during a Disaster Recovery audit and almost every planning meeting about it.

    Auditor: So what do you do with your computer data?
    Me: We back up everything to tape.
    Auditor: But what happens if the tape is bad?
    Me: No problem, we have a sophisticated backup system where we use multiple tapes.
    Auditor: But what if there was a fire?
    Me: We have a halon suppression system in the server room, plus the tapes are stored off-site.
    Auditor: What if a tornado takes out the off-site storage facility?
    Me: Uh... we've got a backup hot co-lo with SBC a few miles away.
    Auditor: Yeah, but what if a EMP takes out the city?
    Me: The hell? But the chances of that happening are...
    Auditor: But it could happen right?
    Me: Well, sure it's possible but...
    Auditor: (Checks FAIL on his report)

    For space travel you can't make everything 100% certain. There's managed risk, which is really what's going down here. NASA is going to launch, but that isn't going to stop the media from focusing on those three areas that didn't have PASS checked off on the sheet. Expect every talking head to hone in on this during launch day.

    1. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      You: In case of global emergencies we now have an off-planet backup site, and an agreement with NASA to shuttle us out there"
      Auditor: But what happens if a piece of ice or foam breaks off and hits the shuttle..?

    2. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by eln · · Score: 1

      In security, as in space safety, there is a relationship between how secure you can get things and how much you want to spend. In your example, if you considered the loss of an entire city to be a risk that you should compensate for, than you would store things in a facility away from that city. This costs money of course, and the decision is whether or not the expenditure is worth it, based on your limited resources and the probability of that happening. This is similar to many things on the shuttle, where they need to weigh the probability of something happening with the probable effect of that something happening, with the cost of correcting for the issue.

      In the case of the piece of foam hitting the shuttle's wing, NASA calculated that the chances of that actually happening, or doing any damage if it did, were remote enough that they shouldn't spend the money and time counteracting that. In that particular case, hindsight has shown that they made the wrong choice, but without being in the room when the decision was made, I can't say whether or not I would have come to the same conclusion.

    3. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by Alioth · · Score: 3, Funny

      Auditor: Yeah, but what if an EMP takes out the city?
      Me: Well, then the tapes will survive. And if they don't I'll be too busy dying myself from the effects of the nuclear explosion to care!

    4. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by The+GooMan · · Score: 1

      "In security, as in space safety, there is a relationship between how secure you can get things and how much you want to spend."

      Should read:
      "In security, as in space safety, there is a relationship between how secure you can get things and how much work you can actually get done."

      The security gestapo here at work don't think anything is secure unless there is no comm and the device is shut down. Yep, that is secure but it sure as hell isn't productive.

    5. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      NASA is going to launch, but that isn't going to stop the media from focusing on those three areas that didn't have PASS checked off on the sheet.


      So they changed a lot of things and ticked it 'PASS', except what caused the previous disaster. You can't waiver that away with changes elsewhere! The whole point of stopping the program is to make sure this can never happen again. Not to wait long enough until the problem is downplayed by internal politics to make the risk 'acceptable' again. A failure rate of 2% is totally unacceptable for manned flight. There are too few flight to calibrate the risk models. So every problem that DOES occur MUST be fixed for good.

    6. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by DickBreath · · Score: 1

      Auditor: What if the sun goes supernova?
      Me: Well, sure it's possible but...
      Auditor: (Checks FAIL on his report)


      My Engrish speaking friend is anxiousry araiting the space shutter's Return To Fright.

      --

      I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
    7. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by tuxedobob · · Score: 1

      I thought the only known method of making an EMP was from a nuke? Tell him if the city's nuked and the business is vaporized you don't want a competitor to get the backup tapes; it's all part of the plan.

    8. Re:Similar to Disaster Recovery by Torgo's+Pizza · · Score: 1

      It is possible (with proper military and government credentials) to purchase a EMP generator. I know someone who has done so for research.

  9. Flying Bricks... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    NASA really needs to move on with the space shuttle. The only reason they been kept around so long is because NASA promised too much with the 1970s technology while shutting down competing technologies (e.g., space capsule and Saturn rockets) and that the shuttle contractors needed corporate welfare payments. They put all their eggs in one basket and the eggs are cracking. The NASA space monopoly should be broken before they lose the rest of their flying bricks.

    1. Re:Flying Bricks... by aztektum · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the top secret replacement shuttles that we'll use to save the world. You know they're just sittin' around thinkin' shit up!

      --
      :: aztek ::
      No sig for you!!
    2. Re:Flying Bricks... by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 1

      Agreed about the corporate welfare payments, but don't forget the bureaucracy welfare payments to NASA's current management staff.

      Dump NASA, or get a decent mandate in place to get out of the way of the Phoenix and its developers, and watch a Shuttle built the right way within 10 years. I'm wildly impressed by the Phoenix developers, they're doing all their basic engineering and most of their bureaucracy correctly.

  10. I'll never... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny
    "...pieces of foam and ice could break off and hit the shuttle at lift-off."

    ...look at soft drinks and cappuccino in the same light again. They could actually be very dangerous!

  11. Re:pseudo-journalism by eln · · Score: 1

    Post a link with some smart ass comment and claim that you "cover" the story.

    Sounds like modern journalism to me.

  12. This seems weird by jazzman251 · · Score: 1

    Now I am supportive of NASA's desire to make a safer shuttle, but sometimes it seems to me that they get too paraniod sometimes (in some ways though you can't be too careful when dealing with human lives...) How come these safety issues were overlooked during previous launches, yet almost all were successful. Only when a mission goes bad is when problems get 'discovered'. And the most confusing part is when safety problems arise, people begin to think that anything and everything that can go wrong will. Now I see that there is a difference between being paranoid and being careful, and it appears to me that NASA is the former.

    ---- my $.02

    1. Re:This seems weird by Secrity · · Score: 1

      Maybe they got lucky the previous times. Maybe they didn't overlook these safety issues on previous launches because there was less PR pressure to launch. I do not if there were documented specifications that should have prevented the launch of the Columbia. I do know that there were documented specifications that should have prevented the launch of the Challenger and that engineers had tried to postpone the launch based upon documented specs of the materials used - would you consider this to be paranoid?

  13. Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Goonie · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The shuttle is not "safe", but it's safer than it's ever been before. Everybody knows it's not as safe as a 747, and it's never going to be. But surely, given that the astronauts flying on it are all highly intelligent volunteers who understand the risks, it's safe enough to get the ISS Contractual Obligation Tour (and a manned Hubble service mission, with any luck) out of the way before they get sent off to the Smithsonian and a new, safer CEV is built.

    --

    Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
    --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    1. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by william_w_bush · · Score: 2, Informative

      little irony: originally the shuttle was supposed to be launched horizontally from piggyback position on what would be similar to a 747. The risks were lower, and the shuttle would be far more capable than the current system using a giant tower of cryo-o2 and 2 giant solid-boosters strapped on. This hybrid space-plane design was scrapped near the end for essentially design conflicts, the army wanted something it could use for different purposes without needing the piggyback launch facility, and considered using a hybrid launch vehicle too technologically backwards, also, the design costs were lower though the per-launch costs were much higher, and eventually they decided that they could make it fly again by just strapping a whole lot of rockets to it and lighting the fuse.

      Both of the shuttle losses were caused by failures in the launch system and not the orbiter itself, but that's to be expected when you strap rockets that big to something that was never designed to be launched that way. Sad too, launch stresses were much lighter in the original design, and the entire design was reusable.

      http://history.nasa.gov/rogersrep/v1ch1.htm

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    2. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

      amending comment, the second loss was caused by a failure in the shuttle's heat shielding mechanism which was caused by the foam tank, so that sentence was inaccurate.

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    3. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Sebby · · Score: 1
      This is absolutely correct; the CAIB report, in one of its chapters, does a good job of going through the history of the design, and how crappy compromises were done to try to satify several different parties (congress, army, nasa itself) whose requirements conflicted with each others', and lead to this (clearly flawed) design.

      And I stronly agree with its statements that they don't believe in the end that nasa will really change its ways and really 'fix' things (I guess we'll see with the next launch system) and that there will probably be other 'accidents'* caused by failures of the system that could have been avoided (not their exact words - I don't have the quote right now).

      * After reading both reports, I never considered either 'accidents' as such given that nasa ignored engineers' recommendations and common sense when faced with serious potential problems; more like 'serious fuck-ups' on their part.

      --

      AC comments get piped to /dev/null
    4. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Sebby · · Score: 1
      technically true, though if the tank (launch system) foam hadn't failed, the heat sheild wouldn't have either. There was a direct causal effect of the tank foam failure.

      --

      AC comments get piped to /dev/null
    5. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Jott42 · · Score: 1

      It would be helpful if you could cite the chapter, because I can not find any statement about that the horisontal takeoff concept existed after 1970 in the development of the shuttle...

      (In hindsight it is always easy to see how an accident could have been avoided. The trick is to in advance make sure that every accident is avoided...)

    6. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Sebby · · Score: 1
      It was the parent that discussed the vertical launch concept, there a link s/he provided. The chapter I spoke of only talks about the design desicions, etc... though the other volumes might go into more details.

      (In hindsight it is always easy to see how an accident could have been avoided. The trick is to in advance make sure that every accident is avoided...)

      Agreed; it's impossible to predict every eventuality. But in both shuttle losses, a known problem manifested itself (again), engineers raised their concerns, and were overruled by management.

      An undetected meteorite hitting the heatshield in orbit is an accident; a piece of foam that falls off the tank (yet again) and hits the shield could have been avoided, and borders on negligence.

      --

      AC comments get piped to /dev/null
    7. Re:Shuttle safer than it's ever been... by Jott42 · · Score: 1

      OK, understood. The link that the parent submitted does not support teh notion that the shuttle was designed for horisontal takeoff. I have commented on this, and given support by links, in my other reply.

  14. ops by guardiangod · · Score: 0

    there goes the launching plan...goes up in smoke and bang just like the object that it suppose to protect.

    Honestly, the commission is "picking bones out of an egg sheel"-
    Even a car, with its four wheels firmly on the ground, would have its share of safety problem when it is 25 years old. Let alone a plane size transporter that goes into Mach15, +3000 degrees, vaccum, rain/storm/win/cyclone for every year or two.

    sooner or later something is bound to break.

    The current shuttles are doom- only a newly made shuttle(with the original design) can withstand the impossiblely high safety standard.

    1. Re:ops by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yeah, because a new vehicle will be absolutely positively safe. It'll be able to withstand every possible situation, even those for which we have not thought of. It will be made like a tank, yet be as light as a bird, it will be able to lift 300tons to LEO, yet will cost 1/5 that of current launchers.

      Everything in life is a compromise. The original shuttle specs wanted a military vehicle that could launch into a polar orbit, capture a soviet satellite and return to earth in 1 orbit and have a cross range 1000 miles. It also neede to lift 30+ tons to orbit, and be winged to get the cross range requirement. There had to be a LOT of comprimises to squeeze out those types of requirements.

      This is part of the reason NASA is looking at seperate man launchers and cargo launchers for their new generation vehicles.

  15. The biggest danger NASA faces... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    is that they actually might grow a pair of testicles and start justifying their annual budget.

  16. NASA by Godman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think NASA takes way too much crap.

    Think about how horrible underfunded everything is, and that they are still sending people up into space in a vehicle built in the 80s. They were underfunded at the time, and made do with what they had, and that's what they have to do now.

    Because its so technically difficult, it takes money to solve, and money is pouring elsewhere instead of into making it safer (Iraq, SS, etc...). Space exploration has taken sort of a backseat here.

    Nasa still has an exemplary record. Only 2 crashes in 20 years. I have no idea how many missions that is, but it's not a few. If you want the people we send up to be safe, give NASA some money, and stop whining about how unsafe it is.

    My $.02

    --
    I have this really funny quote that I like to put here. Unfortunately, there's this really annoying thing called a char
  17. Re:is it really? by VonKruel · · Score: 0

    it still "illudes" you

  18. CURE: Competition and Lawsuits by reporter · · Score: 2, Insightful
    What NASA needs most is a good dose of competition. It worked wonders for Detroit. Ford, GM, and Chrysler produced shoddy vehicles for nearly a decade until Toyota, Nissan, and Honda drove the American companies to the verge of bankruptcy. Then, they transformed themselves into competitive powerhouses that producing outstanding products. The quality of American autos now approaches that of Japanese autos. (American cars continue to lose marketshare to Japanese cars due to poor ergonomics and ride feel, not due to quality.)

    So, who or what could serve as competitors to American companies bidding on NASA-funded projects? The answer is Japanese companies that build Japan's rockets and satellites. In the future, NASA should open up future missions to competitive bidding among both Japanese companies and American companies. NASA maintains a hands-off approach. Future missions will be mostly private ventures run by private companies but subsidized by government funding.

    The mostly-private approach also involves one additional element: lawsuits. If future space mishaps occur, the company running the space mission or building hardware for the mission will be subject to lawsuits by the families of the victims.

    Private companies will bear the responsibility for the success of the mission. NASA acts only as the funder. Competition and lawsuits can do wonders in producing a reliable product. Just look at American automobiles with their high quality and vast arsenal of safety features: air bags, crumple zones, etc.

    1. Re:CURE: Competition and Lawsuits by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

      How bout congress has the hands-off approach to it's oversight of nasa. stop senators from deciding which projects to support based on the contractors coming from their state. stop forcing them to support a plan like the iss when they only have part of the launch capability available and even that is specced to be retired before completion (yes i know the russians were supposed to help, but just putting it all on nasa when they(RKA) have problems isn't a solution either).

      The oversight commitees for nasa don't give a shit about space or research or astronauts lives, why do you think our new objective is suddenly "hey! lets go to mars!". poor nasa, losing the cold war hurt them most of all, the army only lost an enemy, nasa lost it's entire purpose.

      i guess we need terrorists in space... ooh, or oil!!!

      --
      The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
    2. Re:CURE: Competition and Lawsuits by meadowsp · · Score: 1

      GM is most definately not a competitive powerhouse, it's making massive losses, and Chrysler is now owned by Mercedes.

    3. Re:CURE: Competition and Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm sure a private company would have absolutely no problem finding an insurance company which would indemnify them against any and all losses and liabilities associated with building and launching manned spacecraft. Including vehicle loss, crew loss, and sundry liabilities for damages to private property on the ground in case of accident. And at a very reasonable and competitive rate, too.

    4. Re:CURE: Competition and Lawsuits by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Need A Spelling Assist? There's never been an A in "definitely"!

  19. Re:Next Story by tktk · · Score: 0

    Parent post is a dupe! Heh....

  20. Analysis of Risk by netsphinx · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Well, the first thing that strikes me is that the panel head (RIchard Covey) himself (were he younger and still in the flight program) wouldn't hesitate to fly on the revamped shuttle. So NASA fails the appointed checklist of improvements, but doesn't fail a former astronaut's 'gut instinct' test.

    (While we're on the subject, let me recommend to anyone who is, has been, or ever will be interested in the subject of NASA's decision-making--under crisis conditions, or in conditions leading to crises--the work of Edward Tufte. http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/ His analyses of the data graphics used in the launch decision of the Challenger, the investigation of the Challenger disaster (Feynman's experiment), and the Columbia in-flight decisions are a must-read take-no-prisoners statistical firefight. Also, well-written and heartbreaking.)

    Now I'm asking, given NASA's bright-dark history in these matters, Covey's professed take, and the lacunae in the checklist...Would you be willing to fill a seat on the next Shuttle mission?

    (Or would I, supposing the sudden need arose for a hack novelist/graphic designer/wicked dancer in space, of course...)

    On the contrary side, would you be willing to send up a $$$$$ shuttle, $500 million in launch costs, and 7 astronauts (each representing maybe $3 million in sunk training costs, and more importantly, people, skilled, experts in their fields, brave, etc--not to mention the international incident factors if one of the crew is non-US)--with a higher-than-requested, but amorphously lower-than-previous risk of ever returning?

    (Here I reveal my ace-in-the-hole for getting onto a mission someday, despite being the hack novelist, graphic designer, etc--no sunk training costs; I'm worthless, so if I don't come back, the taxpayer is getting an awesome deal.)

  21. Now official by eyv · · Score: 1

    The news is now official: Executive summary of task group findings

  22. Risk goes hand in hand with riding rockets by A+Dafa+Disciple · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Prior to the Columbia Disaster, NASA's fleet made numerous flights while being pelted with enormous chunks of foam as the shuttles were in their previously thought safe and stable condition. I'm still not convinced that the incident wasn't just a fluke.

    Now, in order to ensure/improve the safety of a few dozen future rocket riders, should the government allocate millions of tax payer dollars?

    I think that astronauts getting blown to smithereens shouldn't be unexpected, nor should it enrage anyone, no matter what the NASA chooses to launch astronauts into space in. It goes with the territory; risk goes hand in hand with riding rockets.

  23. First there were article dupes - now word dupes !! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The commission said said risk remained that pieces of foam and ice could break off and hit the shuttle at lift-off."

    I would hate to play the slashdot eduhtors at scrabble: "QQUARTZZY iz thu korrect speiling ...." :-)

  24. Maybe they are Bob Marley fans? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Marley: Say, say, I remember when we used to sit...

    Marley: You will be visited tonight by 3 ghosts. Sorry, 3 duplicate stories, I meant.

  25. Re:Prediction: Discovery won't go up on time by NegativeOneUserID · · Score: 1

    Well actually what they need is a General Products' #3 hull. NOTE TO MODS: This post should be moded funny. Child post should be moded informative.

  26. Excerpt from the Executive Summary by colonist · · Score: 3, Informative

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    It has been 29 months since Columbia was lost over East Texas in February 2003. Seven months after the accident, the Columbia Accident Investigation Board (CAIB) released the first volume of its final report, citing a variety of technical, managerial, and cultural issues within NASA and the Space Shuttle Program. To their credit, NASA offered few excuses, embraced the report, and set about correcting the deficiencies noted by the accident board. Of the 29 recommendations issued by the CAIB, 15 were deemed critical enough that the accident board believed they should be implemented prior to returning the Space Shuttle fleet to flight. Some of these recommendations were relatively easy, most were straightforward, a few bordered on the impossible, and others have been largely overcome by events, especially with the decision by the President to retire the Space Shuttle by 2010.

    The Return to Flight Task Group (RTF TG) was chartered by the NASA Administrator in July 2003 to provide an independent assessment of the implementation of the 15 CAIB return-toflight recommendations. An important observation must be stated up-front: neither the CAIB nor the RTF TG believes that all risk can be eliminated from Space Shuttle operations; nor do we believe that the Space Shuttle is inherently unsafe. What the CAIB and RTF TG do believe, however, is that NASA and the American public need to understand the risks associated with space travel, and make every reasonable effort to minimize such risk.

    Since the release of the CAIB report, NASA and the Space Shuttle Program have expended enormous effort and resources toward correcting the causes of the accident and preparing to fly again. Relative to the 15 specific recommendations that the CAIB indicated should be implemented prior to returning to flight, NASA has met or exceeded most of them - the Task Group believes that NASA has fully met the intent of the CAIB for 12 of these recommendations. The remaining three recommendations were so challenging that NASA could not completely comply with the intent of the CAIB, but conducted extensive study, analyses, hardware modifications, design certifications and made substantive progress. However, the inability to fully comply with all of the CAIB recommendations should not imply that the Space Shuttle is unsafe.

  27. Really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I know this will probably be modded to oblivion, but is it so wrong for a country to sacrifice its people for progress?

    I mean, the US is accomplishing something with these missions, right? And the death of the space program is the death of something dear to me... Let's band together and admit that it might take loss of life to allow something as great as this to happen.

  28. always one more by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    hey, at the end of the day, when america is destroying themselves, they can sit back like china and say, there's always anouther hundred people willing to take their place if they die. so ofcourse nasa isn't going to check every thing. gawd, what you think this is? america?

  29. Nasa is momma's boy. by Goalie_Ca · · Score: 1

    I suppose all the engineers walk around the building wearing helmets and kneepads.

    --

    ----
    Go canucks, habs, and sens!
  30. Re:Prediction: Discovery won't go up on time by PakProtector · · Score: 2, Interesting

    General Products' #3? Oh, please. Let me count the problems with that:

    • Firstly, the Puppetters are gone. Vanished. Nada. The Fleet of Worlds is leaving Known Space at a little below the speed of light. They're heading straight up, away from the plane of the galaxy, and probably will goto either the Magellanic Clouds or to the core, after the Radiation Wave from the Core Explosion has passed.
    • Secondly, a #3 Hull? Are you insane? It would be much, much better to use a #4, as that 1km sphere of indestructability (unless you happen to run into a sufficient quantity of anti-matter), was designed for colonization.
    • Thirdly, I've always been a fan of Singleships, be they fusion or bussard ramjet powered.

    Anyone seen where I left Kobold?

    --

    Edward@Tomato - /home/Edward/ man woman
    man: no entry for woman in the manual.
    "Qua!?"

  31. We Plan to Blow Up Another Shuttle by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Top NASA officials reacted to the report by saying: "picky, picky, picky. We have neither the schedule nor the budget to respond to these absurd allegations. We intend to return to our core competence. Blowing up astronauts in batches of 7."

    [signed]
    Richard "Rolling Over in My Grave" Feynman,
    Nobel Laureate, author of the Minority Report on the Challenger Disaster.

  32. What is NASA doing with our money, anyway? by ChiralSoftware · · Score: 1
    Doesn't this whole thing seem like a waste? The shuttles will be permanently grounded in 2010 because its flight certification will expire, and it is generally agreed that it would be ridiculously expensive to get it re-certified. We're half-way through 2005, so they have 4.5 years left of flying. It seems like they have a tough time getting more than a few flights a year out of them. So, being optimistic, they might get another fifteen flights out of these shuttles. They have so far lost aprox. one in fifty flights, so there's a real chance that one of these fifteen (optimistic) flights might not even make which would a) be a tragic and senseless loss of life and b) terminate the program immediately, meaning we get even fewer than fifteen flights out of it.

    Does any of this make financial sense? The shuttle was sold on the premise that it would be... a shuttle, ie, something that makes routine flights and therefore makes it cheap to get big things up into orbit. The goal was to have each shuttle able to fly every couple of weeks. The reality has been far from that, and it can only get things into low orbits, and it's insanely expensive and dangerous. Rather than fixing these safety problems, wouldn't it have made more sense to just put these things in a museum and get some big off-the-shelf Russian rocket certified for lifting humans?

    I guess my question is, why are they dragging out the misery and financial waste that is the shuttle program?

    --------------
    WAP server software

    1. Re:What is NASA doing with our money, anyway? by j0ris · · Score: 0
      NASA isn't just about science, it's about propaganda too: "USA is #1".

      So while it may make economic sense to use Russian rockets, the message would then be "Russia is #1". Try selling that to US politicians.

    2. Re:What is NASA doing with our money, anyway? by Manhigh · · Score: 1

      NASA doesnt make policy, it follows directives.

      Our political leaders are saying to get the shuttle flying again.

      --
      "Open the pod by doors, Hal" > "I'm afraid I can't do that, Dave" sudo "Open the pod bay doors, Hal" > alright
    3. Re:What is NASA doing with our money, anyway? by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1
      Because we have international commitments to finish construction of the ISS, for better or for worse.

      There just isn't any other vehicle that can do it atm.

  33. For all those who say it's risky business. by Vo0k · · Score: 1

    That champion shall have the honor-- no, no-- the privilege... to go forth and rescue the lovely Princess Fiona... from the fiery keep of the dragon. If for any reason the winner is unsuccessful, the first runner-up will take his place and so on and so forth. Some of you may die, but it's a sacrifice I am willing to make. Let the tournament begin!

    -- Lord Farquaad.

    --
    Anagram("United States of America") == "Dine out, taste a Mac, fries"
  34. Very true - with one proviso by jd · · Score: 5, Insightful
    When NASA engineers decide a risk really is unacceptable, NASA beurocrats have to stop and listen. I have no problems with NASA taking risks - space is a risky business. Life is a risky business. It is when politics override those engineers on the ground that I get concerned.


    Think - when are the two times the Shuttle has been dsestroyed? Challenger, when NASA bosses decided that freezing temps were fine, because they had a propoganda coup going with the school teacher, even though engineers were screming at them, left, right and center, to postpone the launch and check for damage.


    Columbia was lost - when? During NASA's other attempt at a propoganda coup, with getting an Israeli into space. Engineers wanted images of the wing, to check for damage. The intelligence agencies even offered to produce the pictures for free. But the NASA bosses - again - put the risk of bad publicity as being more important than the risk of a disaster.


    Take risks - take as many risks as you want or need, to get the space program into a functional state - but please don't take risks with other people's lives because you want your photo on the front page of a newspaper. If it works, it achieves nothing and is lousy management. If it fails, it sets everything back and is catastrophic management.


    I don't agree with the NASA bosses deciding that they should overrule the safety monitors, because the safety monitors' chief objection is that NASA bosses keep overruling things they shouldn't. It somewhat defeats the purpose of the exercise, if NASA repeats the very worst "crime" of all, in an effort to move forward.


    I do agree, though, that the shuttle won't ever be 100% safe. It is a 1960s concept, built around 1970s technology (and having spoken to people who have built components for it, not very good technology at that), and it urgently does need retiring with something better. It's a pity Congress has cancelled all the replacement Shuttle programs, through budget cuts, or we'd have one by now.


    Hey, Congress isn't the only bad boy. If Britain hadn't scrapped HOTOL, we would have had a replacement shuttle program years before the Columbia disaster, the ISS would likely have already been completed, and space technology would be easily a decade ahead of where it actually is. (We would also have commercial space travel by now, as HOTOL would have been damn good at that, as it was a design consideration.)


    I also agree that NASA has made all the changes that are going to make a substantial difference, so that any further delay would be pointless.


    There ARE a few things NASA could do to improve things, though - ice buildup is only a problem if there's enough humidity in the air for the water to form ice. It shouldn't be too hard to build what would be basically oversized hair-dryers to blast warm dry air over the top of the tank. At worst, there would be less ice, at best there would be none at all.


    How long would it take to plug a hair-dryer in at the top of the launch tower? My guess is not very, even if it is very large. Switch it off before launch, so there's no weird air currents, and you should be fine.


    This simple addition would not only cut back on ice, but should also cut back on foam risks, because the foam wouldn't be rigid and unusually heavy by being blocked up by ice.


    I'm sure NASA engineers have proposed - if not this scheme, then countless others that are similar in nature. They're not dim, even if it seems that way at times, and know perfectly well that ice is water, and therefore if there's no water, there's no ice. They also know that warm air will expand into cold air far more readily than the other way round. (Pressure * Volume / Temperature = Constant, so if you double the temperature, you double the pressure. Air flows from high pressure to low pressure, on average. The rest, as they say, is obvious. :)


    Leave space exploration to NASA and agencies and private organizations like it. Yes. Definitely. But PLEASE, will NASA and the others PLEASE leave the technical decisions to the technical experts and NOT to the P.R. crew? Doctors of spin are not necessarily doctors of physics or aeronautics.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    1. Re:Very true - with one proviso by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 1
      If Britain hadn't scrapped HOTOL, we would have had a replacement shuttle program years before the Columbia disaster, the ISS would likely have already been completed, and space technology would be easily a decade ahead of where it actually is. (We would also have commercial space travel by now, as HOTOL would have been damn good at that, as it was a design consideration.)

      Nah, HOTOL had big problems. Not enough payload; CofM was too rearward.

      Still, son-of-HOTOL: Skylon is looking mighty fine, it has avoided all the HOTOL issues, with higher performance, and the heat exchanger actually works!

      There are still issues, but they're looking relatively minor. Apart from the money of course. That's the major one. :-)

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    2. Re:Very true - with one proviso by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, Congress isn't the only bad boy. If Britain hadn't scrapped HOTOL, we would have had a replacement shuttle program years before the Columbia disaster, the ISS would likely have already been completed, and space technology would be easily a decade ahead of where it actually is. (We would also have commercial space travel by now, as HOTOL would have been damn good at that, as it was a design consideration.)

      With all due respect, Britain is the size of one of your states. If the USA, a country fifty times the size of Britain, is relying on Britain to do the difficult bits for them, then something is seriously fucked up in the USA. Unfuck that instead of blaming Britain.

    3. Re:Very true - with one proviso by Keick · · Score: 1

      While I agree with most of your arguement, you fail to miss one certain aspect of corporate life within NASA. Every single meeting at NASA dealing with a mission launch is recorded, either via meeting minutes or audio recording. There isn't a single engineer that will give a thumbs up to any launch without expressing at least one concern.

      This leads to a very bad situation, where the bosses have to filter out what they think is legit, and what they think the engineers are just saying to covers there arses.

      Every single shuttle flight in the history of the program probably had a handfull of engineers saying they should abort.

      NASA really needs to step back, realize what they are doing is dangerous, and accept some risk. To do that, they also have to stand behind the engineers such that they aren't always trying to cover their arse and only feel the need to speak up during real concerns.

      Don't immediately jump to blaming upper management, unless you've experienced the NASA lifestyle.

    4. Re:Very true - with one proviso by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Think - when are the two times the Shuttle has been dsestroyed? Challenger, when NASA bosses decided that freezing temps were fine, because they had a propoganda coup going with the school teacher, even though engineers were screming at them, left, right and center, to postpone the launch and check for damage.
      Completely false. The engineers were complicit in the accident - because they decided that since the back-up O-rings had never burned through, the Shuttle was safe to launch. Shortly before the Challenger launch they started to get uncomfortable - and when management asked for documentation the engineers hemmed and hawed because they'd have to admit their previous work was flawed. The engineers have changed their story since then - but an examination of contemporary documents tells a different tale.
      Columbia was lost - when? During NASA's other attempt at a propoganda coup, with getting an Israeli into space. Engineers wanted images of the wing, to check for damage. The intelligence agencies even offered to produce the pictures for free. But the NASA bosses - again - put the risk of bad publicity as being more important than the risk of a disaster.
      Again - completely false. Engineers asked for images, management said: Ok, put your request in writing. The engineers declined to so do.

      Two losses, two times the engineers the backed away from the plate.

      I don't agree with the NASA bosses deciding that they should overrule the safety monitors, because the safety monitors' chief objection is that NASA bosses keep overruling things they shouldn't.
      There is no evidence that the NASA 'bosses' have overridden the safety monitors. None. Challenger was lost because the engineers didn't catch the growing problem with the O-rings. Columbia was lost because the engineers decided that ice and foam damage were acceptable maintenance issues.

      In both cases the systems were failing to meet the specifications. (No leakage, no foam or ice shedding.) And in both cases the engineers told management that everything was OK. (And in both cases management overrode the engineers and directed further study to fix the problems the engineers said weren't problems.)

      In both cases managment should probably have stopped flying until a fix was in - bad on them. But in both cases the engineers said the problems were minor and fixable.

    5. Re:Very true - with one proviso by jd · · Score: 1
      I worked for NASA Langley in the late 1990s, so I know their style. And, yes, I know more than a few engineers who were unbelievably gifted at covering their own backside without actually doing anything of value.


      However, it is my experience with NASA that demonstrated several things: They didn't use IPSec or SSH to protect lines of communication (claiming that it wasn't FIPS-approved), they used a version of DES that displayed the encryption key to anyone who typed 'ps', they used .rhosts files on all major servers, their aerospace engineering software was bloated and crap (I rewrote the front-end, because it was so bad, eliminating 9.5 megabytes from the resulting binary) and their idea of a safety talk was "don't jog on the runway, and don't touch power switches marked with a big red tag with the word DANGER on it". Oh, and the base alarms weren't forwarded to contractors across the street, on the grounds that those working their arses off for the benefit of NASA weren't worth a damn and were all expendable plebs if something exploded.


      The engineers certainly have to be provided with an environment where it is safe to question and safe to raise concerns, but also safe to take those risks that really are warranted. They must categorically be denied the "freedom" to create smoke-and-mirror illusions of activity, and definitely discouraged from perpetuating denial.


      However, it is management's job to set policy, and these mostly look like policies to me. In addition to freeing up the engineers to, well, engineeer, there also needs to be an absolute prohibition on management (or anyone else) opting for political safety over and above mission safety.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  35. space based reality is relative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Engineers on any space related projected are complaining about the following: the impending feeling of doom, cold sweats and loss of sleep. Also, your spouse, kids and pets have left while your at work 18 hrs a day.

  36. Peterson's Puppeteers beg to differ by zippthorne · · Score: 1

    And they made the GP hulls.

    The safest way is to make a pocket sun and move the whole mini solar system to where you want to go. A 'fleet o' worlds' as it were.

    --
    Can you be Even More Awesome?!
  37. what the?! by popra · · Score: 1

    I know it sounds cool and all... but can someone explain what an in-flight repair system means, how would something like that work?

    1. Re:what the?! by Fizzl · · Score: 1

      Well Do'h!

      They should have extensive toolkit and a decomissioned broken shuttle for spare parts with them ofcourse!

    2. Re:what the?! by v1 · · Score: 1

      I think most of us saw that in the last Star Wars movie, that's where you have like an astro-droid mounted in your er... space shuttle.

      The article said the three points that were not met were "the thoughest"... ya, science fiction is rather tough to make come true.

      Though I suppose when you're a committee making recommendations, you have to cover the entire spectrum. Start with the no-brainers that amount to "stop doing stupid things". Then comes the middle ground where most of the practical improvements are suggested. Lastly they have to round out the recommendations with some "mission impossible" suggestions. Force fields, warp drive, and in-flight auto repair systems go here.

      --
      I work for the Department of Redundancy Department.
    3. Re:what the?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a roll of duct tape.

  38. Explore outer space == kill the shuttle by Rogerborg · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The shuttle is a low earth orbit vehicle. It's a billion-dollar-a-trip Ford van, and not a very big one at that. What, exactly, are they "exploring" up there?

    If we're going to put things in orbit, put things in orbit. If we're going to explore outer space, explore outer space. The shuttle does the first badly, and the second not at all. Let it go.

    --
    If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    1. Re:Explore outer space == kill the shuttle by cowscows · · Score: 1

      That sort of raises an interesting question. Is manned space exploration really useful at this point? How many in orbit experiments do we have left to do? Can't we do most of them with just satellites and probes shot into orbit? Anything else should just get delegated to the space station, since we've spent so much time and money on it. Might as well use it for something. And we've got a cheaper way to send people there than the shuttle.

      As for spacecraft that operate outside of earth's orbit, when does that become useful? Once you leave orbit, where's your destination? The moon? Maybe. Mars? That's a pretty long trip. Long enough in fact that you're going to need a craft specifically designed for that exact trip, not a general purpose spacecraft. Anything else worth visiting? Maybe an asteroid or something, but I don't think ones big enough to both investigating come nearby that often.

      Basically, space is too freaking huge and empty, and everything is too far apart, and all our technology still has us traveling too slow. We can't just zoom around the solar system checking out whatever catches our interest. There's too much calculation and fuel management involved, not to mention travel times. It's almost depressing to think about.

      --

      One time I threw a brick at a duck.

  39. Great idea, only one problem by Rogerborg · · Score: 0

    Congress has never funded NASA in order to do stuff in space. It's funded it to:

    A) Beat the damn Ruskis.
    B) Keep the pork barrel topped up.

    You'll see Osama bin Laden in the White House before you see a substantial part of NASAs budget spent outside of the USA.

    --
    If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
  40. Progress in private hands by BortQ · · Score: 1
    With the completion of the X Prize I am much more confident in private companies improving space access then NASA. Rather then spend endless amounts of time, effort and money reworking the 1970's shuttle design, NASA's efforts would be better spent researching new and improved vehicles. They seem to not want to do this though...

    Go Virgin Galactic!

    --

    A Multiplayer Strategy Game for Mac OS X, Windows, and Linux
    1. Re:Progress in private hands by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Rutan had more things go wrong on his flights than NASA (and he BARELY escaped catastrophic vehicle destruction TWICE) and his craft is maybe 1/1000th as comples as the shuttle. Every single flight had a MAJOR malfunction.

      "Commercial" space travel may get there some day, but at this rate they are about 50 years away from it!

  41. Re:NASA by william_w_bush · · Score: 1

    Who's blaming nasa? If you told the army they had to use rifle X even though it jammed every 5 shots and couldn't penetrate light body armor you couldn't blame them if they couldn't complete their mission objectives. Maybe congressional oversight of nasa should be limited so nasa can make their own calls, but I suspect their funding would suddenly and suspiciously disappear if that happened.

    Ironically I'm finishing more and more of my posts with "congress is the problem" lately, bad sign.

    --
    The first rule of USENET is you do not talk about USENET.
  42. URSS and the Cold War by KarMax · · Score: 1

    Maybe if the URSS didn't "lost" the "Space Race" (maybe the Apollo doesnt land on moon, i dont know), today we know more planets, travel "regulary", etc.
    But US with the "test period" make me laugh.(or cry)

    There are a LOT of "risky" jobs, i think that "be an astronaut" can be one of the BEST "risky" jobs...
    Sometimes the workers didnt knows the risk of work 25hs a day for nike making shoes in Indonesia...
    Comeon anyone who study and train, for years to be an astronaut, know the risks.

    --
    Rock and Roll
  43. Safety culture by BlightThePower · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I wonder if the reporting here has been a bit skewed by concerntrating on specific technical safety recommendations. Surely those are just symptoms that may or may not be addressed (and may or may not cause problems even if they aren't), the real compelling question is do NASA have an appropriate degree of safety culture? I know this is probably a less interesting issue for the Slashdot crowd to discuss than technical details but as anyone working in a safety-critical engineering area will appreciate, its really whats at stake here. And IMHE, whilst I appreciate to some it may sound like management wankery, safety culture is both absolutely vital and also damn hard to inculcate in an organisation. Whilst I understand the President was making rash claims about missions to mars, he was really needed here to make some very clear statements and devise policies to encourage NASA to change. It would seem to me if NASA are failing to meet clearly defined 'action points' they certainly haven't a safety culture which bodes ill for the future frankly. Seems in 2003 quite a few people called it correctly ("Experts say NASA's safety culture may be too broken to fix")

    --
    Plays violent online games as: Nerfherder76
    1. Re:Safety culture by BiloxiGeek · · Score: 1

      What if we just put a big sticker next to the crew door that says:
      Warning: The Surgeon General has determined that working for NASA and direct participation in space flight activities may be harmful to your health.

      --
      Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons, For you are crunchy and go well with ketchup.
    2. Re:Safety culture by BlightThePower · · Score: 1

      Ah! This is why you need a safety culture! To make sure the warning sticker isn't stuck over the instructions for opening the door in an emergency, made of rolled uranium and held in place with some plastic explosive that happened to be lying around.

      --
      Plays violent online games as: Nerfherder76
    3. Re:Safety culture by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Frankly, I believe the opposite - that the problem is that they are being forced into a "safety culture" when that is not the best option. For example, when you are doing something that we do not know how to do safely, the safety culture tries to prevent any progress at all (as in, we can't launch - there is a high risk of failure), which leads to management ignoring the naysayers (because, um, we're NASA, its our job to fly not cry). Unsurprisingly, this leads to known problems not being fixed (because the manager gets deluged in safety violations and cannot tell which ones they should pay attention to, so they pay attention to none).

      It's not this simple, of course. But there is a problem if engineering's response is "we told you so!" If honest, that response means that engineering does not have a good enough relationship with management to communicate the problem (which engineering is partially to blame for), but (more likely) it could also just be that engineering crys wolf a lot.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    4. Re:Safety culture by BlightThePower · · Score: 1

      I think you have a misapprehension as to what safety culture is about. Certainly I agree its implementation is disruptive to organisations, which is why its hard to to bring about. The issues of communication and prioritisating of risks certainly fall under its balliwick; what you are actually describing is an organisation without a safety culture attempting to "do" safety, thats my point really. When it comes to deciding to launch that should be a decision based on the prevailing conditions and so on presumably, not outstanding worries about the engineering processes that produced the equipment. See what I mean?

      Further, theres no such thing as an engineer crying wolf. If they say theres a risk, based on their professional knowledge and activities, that should be respected. With an appropriate management framework there would be no issue of being "deluged" by risk reports, again, thats what you get pre-safety culture. In a safety culture safety is central to the engineering process so this doesn't happen (as, say, customer input and unit testing are in extreme programming).

      My experience of safety culture is in the military context, so its not about restricting progress or stopping people (ultimately) from doing dangerous things! Its about managing risk appropriately by building it into your core engineering processes not necessarily eliminating it altogether.

      --
      Plays violent online games as: Nerfherder76
    5. Re:Safety culture by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      So how does this work in reality (as someone about to start a company doing "dangerous" stuff)? I would think that the point would be to fix what you can and quantify what you can't, but since discovering problems never ends (similar to the program is never complete, only abandoned), at what point do you say "to heck with it, we launch!". And at that point, are you still in a safety culture? It just seems to me that engineering is incentivized to never approve for launch, which incentivises management to ignore them. (Something I would really like to avoid - for right now I plan on avoiding it by using small, cross-skilled teams. Is there a better way? Any recommended readings, etc?)

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    6. Re:Safety culture by BlightThePower · · Score: 1

      There are obviously many different approaches and schools of thought in the area, but I'd take a look at anything written by James Reason, an academic who is basically the most famous name in the area. This book is a good place to start. Its a fairly practical guide explaining the principles with lots of case studies and also a description of the tools one might wish to use. I think you'll find the tone helpful and perhaps a bit surprising; his emphasis isn't on (unrealistically) eradicating risk or finger wagging exercises but rather dealing with risk in the most efficient manner.

      --
      Plays violent online games as: Nerfherder76
    7. Re:Safety culture by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Thanks! I'll look into it!

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  44. the real risk by rctay · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If they loose another ship, it will shut down NASA manned flight for 20 years. NASA has always been a difficult sell in Congress, and world is still too immature for international cooperation in projects of this magnitude. If you don't believe that, spend a day at the UN.

    1. Re:the real risk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe if they ran a tighter ship? Bwahahaha, get it? You misspelled "lose"! I just thought you Needed A Spelling Assist!

  45. What we need is the... by Dark+Coder · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    RIGHT STUFF!

  46. Not really... by Jott42 · · Score: 1

    Do you have any references for this? The space shuttle has been a vertical take of vehicle since 1970: http://www.astronautix.com/lvs/shuttle.htm
    I guess that you talk about the early configuration shown in the first picture on
    http://www.abo.fi/~mlindroo/SpaceLVs/Slides/sld029 .htm
    But that configuration was also meant for a vertical takeoff, as can be seen in the third picture. The wings on the booster part is only for the return flight.

  47. Re:If at first you don't succeed by ZeroExistenZ · · Score: 1

    That's the first thing I did when I tried to give up stop trying. I just stopped stopping with trying.

    I mean, why would I stop stopped stopping with trying?

    --
    I think we can keep recursing like this until someone returns 1
  48. to the critics of NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    shut up - we're now to the point that it takes us less than 30 months to go from explosion to our next launch - THAT is very impressive.

    So can the negativity, people.

  49. Going to see the launch. by Xac · · Score: 0

    I sure hope they officially say whether or not the shuttle will fly, and when. Because my family and i are going to Florida to see it and i don't want to be a day late. (or a dollar short)

  50. no news here, move on by pease1 · · Score: 3, Informative
    Having sat through a briefing by a technical staff member of the Columbia review board and seen just what a freakin mess the shuttle program was in, this doesn't surprise me in the least.

    They couldn't document even the placement of wires in the wings. I got the impression most of the IT projects I've worked on have better documenation, and that's scary. This guy compared NASA's documenation to the US Navy's documentation of reactors on submarines. Where the Navy has a record of every piece of plumbing that's ever been changed on any of their reactors, NASA didn't have hardly anything.

    My first reaction at the end of the briefing was to think "that thing shouldn't fly again".

    And I'm a raving space exploration nut and think the US should withdraw from the Space Treaty and claim half of the Moon and offer homestead rights to private citizens and companies.

    And I fully accept there is always risk in space travel, but not THAT much risk.

    And as others have pointed out, the risk is higher then ever now. One more accident and...

    1. Re:no news here, move on by GauteL · · Score: 1

      "And I'm a raving space exploration nut and think the US should withdraw from the Space Treaty and claim half of the Moon and offer homestead rights to private citizens and companies."

      So you suggest just talking half of it because you are strong enough to do it? Do you have any idea of provoking this idea would be towards the rest of the world?

      This kind of action often leads to war and a war over something that is currently not quite worth it.

    2. Re:no news here, move on by pease1 · · Score: 1
      So you suggest just talking half of it because you are strong enough to do it? Do you have any idea of provoking this idea would be towards the rest of the world?

      No, not because we are strong and can do it, but because current treaty/agreements mean the Moon will never be developed or occupied. It means we'll continue to have our DNA in this single basket forever and thus doom the long term future of mankind. This needs to happen so a precedent is set for Mars.

      That said, there is historical precedent for doing this, and in this case, there isn't even a culture to destroy in the process.

      It also would encourage other countries to invest in space... to claim the _other_ half (could take the entire thing). This is exactly what happened as the "new" world was developed (oh, I mean exploited).

      Besides, if you think about it, long term, if any Moon colony is successful, it evolves into it's own country/world anyway and the politics of today - those driving your comments - are long, long forgotten.

    3. Re:no news here, move on by NewStarRising · · Score: 1

      I'm just wondering how hard USA would fight to stop its colonies on the moon from claiming their independance...

      Surely as a Free Market Economy, USA should have no jusrisdiction, and compete on equal footing with other Nations to supply the imports MoonBase will need.

      --
      b3 4phr41d 0f my 4bov3-4v3r4g3 c0mpu73r kn0wI3dg3!
      MadDwarf
    4. Re:no news here, move on by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Where the Navy has a record of every piece of plumbing that's ever been changed on any of their reactors, NASA didn't have hardly anything.
      Which is in some ways an unfair comparison. The Navy has fifty years of operating nuclear submarines, and over a century of operating submarines in general. NASA has had barely twenty years of operating the Shuttle at a low optempo the Submarine Service hasn't seen since before WWI.

      And even so, sub standard piping went into the Nautilus - piping that could have causes a massive radiological incident plus almost certainly LOCV. The substandard piping was only discovered because some leftover pipe was use to make a steam heating system for the visitors grandstand at some ceremony or another - and burst.

  51. Buran was not better than shuttle by amightywind · · Score: 5, Interesting

    And Buran worked fine, and was in many ways superior to the Shuttle - it, for example, contained jet engines that allowed for a powered landing - Shuttle can't pull up for another landing attempt, Buran could.

    The shuttle has at least proved that an unpowered landing is perfectly safe. It would be absurd to add the weight cost of engines and fuel just for a go around capability. A robust flight control system is far more efficient. Buran also had no viable electrical power generation. The vehicle was stuffed with batteries on its only flight! That is why it only ever flew a single orbit. So much for the "better" shuttle. It was a child's replica initiated by a paranoid Leonid Brezhnev. The Russians still do not use fuel cells 40 years after they were introduced on American Gemini spacecraft.

    It also had no main engines - they were in the huge booster that mimic the shuttle main fuel tank.

    ..Making Buran one of the costliest and wasteful launch systems ever conceived. Each Energia flight threw away the 4 main H2O2 engines and 4 Kerosene/O2 boosters none of which was reused. Compare this to the shuttle where the SRB motor casings and the SSME's can be used many times.

    Buran also had no firecrackers (solid rocket boosters), and instead used only liquid fuels - making challenger-style boom impossible.

    Since Challenger, the SRBs have flown 176 times with a perfect safety record. I have always questioned why solid fueled boosters are looked down apon for human space flight. The new NASA administrator is almost certain to favor a derivative of the SRB for a CEV launch capability. You often hear that liquid fueled rockets are safer because they can be shut down. As a passenger in hypersonic I would not be happy to be flying hypersonically next to a highly pressurized fuel tank and have a malfunctioning engine shut down. That was ok on the Saturn because of the series staging and spare thrust capacity. But on the shuttle with parallel staging such a booster shutdown would be deadly. Such "firecrackers" will very likely be the basis of a launch abort system as well. That alone says something about the safety and reliability of solid fuel.

    It only flew once, unmanned. A feat Shuttle can't do, by the way, as it can't land unmanned.

    Another foolish and oft repeated misconception. The only reason the shuttle doesn't fly unmanned is the polical clout of the astronaut corps. Do you think a shuttle commander has a hand on the stick at anytime from launch to landing? NASA basically gives the stick over to the pilot when the shuttle is lined up with the runway and has enough energy to reach its end. If humans were not aboard the shuttle would be happy and capable of landing and rollout as well.

    --
    an ill wind that blows no good
    1. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

      ..Making Buran one of the costliest and wasteful launch systems ever conceived. Each Energia flight threw away the 4 main H2O2 engines and 4 Kerosene/O2 boosters none of which was reused. Compare this to the shuttle where the SRB motor casings and the SSME's can be used many times.

      Actually the Energia booster was designed to be recovered by parachute so they could be overhauled and reused. I believe they planned to reuse each engine a dozen times. Not the same as a SSME but still more cost effective than single use. They didn't have the parachute system ready for the Polyus and Buran launches so those boosters were a complete loss but that wasn't the ultimate design goal.

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
    2. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by tdonahue · · Score: 1
      Another foolish and oft repeated misconception. The only reason the shuttle doesn't fly unmanned is the polical clout of the astronaut corps. Do you think a shuttle commander has a hand on the stick at anytime from launch to landing? NASA basically gives the stick over to the pilot when the shuttle is lined up with the runway and has enough energy to reach its end. If humans were not aboard the shuttle would be happy and capable of landing and rollout as well.
      Actually, the only thing that prevents the Shuttle from landing FULLY automated is the manual deploying of the landing gear. This was a compromise with the astronauts that were worried that there might be a computer failure and the landing gear would be deployed early. To date, there has only been one manual landing of the space shuttle, by a marine pilot that I can't remember the name of, every other landing has been fully controlled by the on-board computers. Tim
    3. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 2, Insightful
      Each Energia flight threw away the 4 main H2O2 engines and 4 Kerosene/O2 boosters none of which was reused. Compare this to the shuttle where the SRB motor casings and the SSME's can be used many times.

      Sure. And overhauling them after each flight has turned out to cost far more than building new single-use engines. US taxpayers have been soaked for countless $Billions over 3 decades in this epic demonstration of the phrase "penny wise, pound foolish".

    4. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by amightywind · · Score: 1

      Sure. And overhauling them after each flight has turned out to cost far more than building new single-use engines. US taxpayers have been soaked for countless $Billions over 3 decades in this epic demonstration of the phrase "penny wise, pound foolish".

      All true. Your only highlight that the Buran design was even more deficient than the shuttle, which is my point.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    5. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by amightywind · · Score: 1

      To date, there has only been one manual landing of the space shuttle, by a marine pilot that I can't remember the name of, every other landing has been fully controlled by the on-board computers. Tim

      I have heard the opposite. I thought the only fully automated landing was STS-2 with the famous "wheelie" flight control anomaly. All other landings (post HAC to rollout) have been made by hand. Does anyone out there know anything about this?

      I would definitely like to see an unmanned shuttle launch before it is retired. That would be useful R&D.

      --
      an ill wind that blows no good
    6. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1
      How so? The Buran used expendable engines, which would have been cheaper to operate than the shuttle's reusable design.

      The Soviets building an airplane-shaped spacecraft was as stupid and pointless as the US doing the same, but at least they didn't waste a lot of effort and money on trying to make the booster "reusable".

    7. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by DerekLyons · · Score: 1
      Each Energia flight threw away the 4 main H2O2 engines and 4 Kerosene/O2 boosters none of which was reused. Compare this to the shuttle where the SRB motor casings and the SSME's can be used many times.

      Sure. And overhauling them after each flight has turned out to cost far more than building new single-use engines.

      Completely incorrect. They stopped overhauling them after each flight about 1989 or so, and they stopped pulling them for inspection after each flight in about 1994.
    8. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by tdonahue · · Score: 1
      From http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shuttle_Buran
      The shuttle orbited the Earth twice before returning, performing an impressive automated landing on the shuttle runway at Baikonur Cosmodrome. The U.S shuttles landings are also mostly automated (there has only been one manually flown re-entry so far), but deployment of the landing gear requires a human to physically press the button. The manual step was added at the insistence of the astronauts, who claim that early deployment of the landing gear due to a computer error would be fatal. A premature deployment at many points in re-entry would destroy the shuttle in a fashion similar to the Space Shuttle Columbia.

      I know I have read this on NASA's website before as well, however I don't have time to find it at this point... All hell is breaking loose here at work because of a bunch of storms in the area.... Tim
    9. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 1

      ...and yet operating them never got any cheaper. The whole concept was nothing but a money pit.

    10. Re:Buran was not better than shuttle by BCW2 · · Score: 1

      Wrong. The first flight of Columbia was supposed to try the automated landing system. On the way down John Young to NASA that he was taking over and landed manually. He was Chief Astronaut and the most experienced one in NASA. The second flight was automated and had the "wheelie" incident. All other have been manual.

      --
      Professional Politicians are not the solution, they ARE the problem.
  52. Re:pseudo-journalism by Shin+Chan · · Score: 1

    (Obligatory) This is Slashdot, you must be new here.

    --
    Proud owner of BOT2K3 [ bot2k3.net ]
  53. What I don't understand by rebelx2 · · Score: 1

    So the shuttle is obviously not cost effective now. The shuttle is to be retired in 2010. What is NASA sending to space in 2011? nothing... It took how many years to develop the shuttle? It will take how many years to develop what comes after the shuttle? And this project started when? Oh... hasn't started yet. That's a shame.

  54. Re: we couldn't build them. by mikelieman · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Since the technical skills of the american workforce... Nah.. Lemme start over...

    Since the American Technical Workforce doesn't exist, we couldn't even develop the machining to build something like that.

    --
    Technology -- No Place For Wimps! Grateful Dead and Jerry Garcia Chatroom -- http://www.wemissjerry.org
  55. Very hard to buy Russian tech by EccentricAnomaly · · Score: 1

    For the most part, US tax money can't be given to foreign governments... NASA can only barter for things. ESA gives us an instrumnet for this spacecraft, we give them an instrument for another. Combined with ITAR this makes international cooperation very hard.

    On top of this with Russia you have the Iran Non-proliferation Act (INA) which bars NASA from doing business with Russia or Russian companies because of Russia's support for Iran's nuclear weap^H^H^H^H energy program. (However, the white house recently asked congress to give NASA an exemption from this law... we'll see where it goes).

    --
    There are 10 types of people in this world, those who can count in binary and those who can't.
  56. PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by coopex · · Score: 1

    Regardless of what everyone on slashdot seems to think, rocket engineers know more about rocket engineering than you.

    >It only flew once, unmanned. A feat Shuttle can't do, by the way, as it can't land unmanned.
    You're confusing unmanned with automated flight. The shuttle certainly contains autoland capabilty, what sense would there in automating everyting *but* the landing, and does the Buran have similar automation (links please)?

    As for the USSR's "smart financial call", During the early 1990's, a man rated Buran spacecraft was being prepared for flight, but in 1993 the program was officially terminated. Since your post is wildly inaccurate on all other accounts, I remind you the USSR fell in December 26, 1991.

    --
    The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
    1. Re:PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Okay, Russia made the call, not USSR.

      But the point is - after the collapse of USSR, they didn't have the funds to keep the whole space program going, something had to be cut. Buran was the big portion that was dumped.

      As far as the only flight of Buran - it was unmanned. Check wikipedia for further details.

      Shuttle has the limitation, because I belive it cannot deploy landing gears without someone actually pushing the button.

      I'm not saying Shuttle couldn't be easily modded to perform an unmanned mission, but as it stands now, it cannot do it. Someone has to be there, if for nothing else, to deploy the landing gear.

    2. Re:PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by coopex · · Score: 1

      I suppose I wasn't clear, the link I had about Buran *did* say it's only flight was unmanned, the wiki is more informative by saying orbital launch (since the shuttle did many atmospheric test flights before launch there is a difference).

      From my NASA paper link: "Although *full autoland* capability is available, the normal procedure is for the crew to assume manual control before the flare maneuver leading to the shallow glideslope." I take that to mean that if the astronauts are somehow incapicated, mission control/the shuttle can land the shuttle for them.

      --
      The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
    3. Re:PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      http://www.spaceflightnews.com/forum/lofiversion/i ndex.php/t837.html

      -quote-
      Shuttles already have a system that can automatically perform most landing functions. However, some key tasks -- such as lowering the landing gear and deploying a pair of probes that collect airspeed, altitude and temperature data during the last moments of flight -- require an astronaut at the controls.The potential changes would allow the flight team on the ground to land an unmanned shuttle completely by remote command."All of those things in a theoretical sense can be automated, but they are not currently connected to the computer system," said Wayne Hale, NASA's deputy director of the shuttle program."When we designed the shuttle years ago, they weren't [connected] for a variety of reasons," he added. "The modifications to allow that capability to be automated are going to take some time.
      -quote-

      Current shuttles cannot land automatically. NASA is however looking into it, among other things. And no, there are no real technological barriers - it's just that the current shuttles cannot do it because the neccessary signals to do few neccessary tasks are only wired to buttons that have to be pushed by a guy in the shuttle.

    4. Re:PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by coopex · · Score: 1

      Well, it seems we are at an impass. My NASA paper says they possess full autoland capability, and your link says a few tasks necessitate astronaut button pushing. Since capability could mean it would require trivial rewiring of those buttons, which would put our sources in agreement, I'll go with that defn.

      --
      The road to hell is paved with good intentions.
    5. Re:PARENT IS COMPLETELY UNINFORMED by Jarnis · · Score: 1

      Yup. It seems to me there is no real reason why it couldn't land automatically. All the hard bits are already automated.

      It's just that right now it's not wired to do so, as few critical bits require human intervention. And yes, it apparently could already do the whole 'flying bit' of the landing automatically, with an astronaut just enjoying the ride - as long as he activates those few critical bits at the right moments. No need to use the stick to actually fly it. So yes, current shuttle can land automatically, as long as someone is in the controls to perform those few button-pushing tasks.

      But if there is nobody home, it'll do, at best, a belly-landing :)

  57. time to go back to the future! by p51d007 · · Score: 1

    It's about time to retire this aging shuttle and go back to the way they use to fly into space. Bring back the Saturn 5 launch vehicle! It just worked! Use the Saturn or similar to launch the heavy stuff into orbit, and then use something like the Burt Rutan plan or something similar to get the people up and back. The shuttle in it's current design is just to old to fly. They never had as much problems with the foam UNTIL the EPA made them switch to a more "enviromental friendly" foam.

    1. Re:time to go back to the future! by The+Real+Muha · · Score: 1

      You just have to love environmentalists.

  58. "The Soyuz, first of all, is Russian." by dpbsmith · · Score: 1

    And your point is?

    It's OK to outsource everything else, but not this?

  59. Re:If at first you don't succeed by BiloxiGeek · · Score: 1

    Resist the urge to take up skydiving.

    --
    Do not meddle in the affairs of dragons, For you are crunchy and go well with ketchup.
  60. FYI NASA by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    Since NASA is having so much trouble with rocket science, here's some free advice on something tough: math.

    3 is 20% of 15. That's a lot.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:FYI NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      80% passes most tests out there.

    2. Re:FYI NASA by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Getting humans to and from space safely is not "most tests". In fact, it has long been considered the ultimate test. Which demands ultimate performance, as we've seen in two catastrophic B- missions: exploding Shuttles. I know our nation has lowered standards, like replacing a Rhodes scholar with a chimpanzee in the White House. But "skipping the hard part" is a NASA policy for the loser parts of NAFTA, not my America.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  61. Re:Prediction: Discovery won't go up on time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    > Well actually what they need is a General Products' #3 hull. NOTE TO MODS: This post should be moded funny. Child post should be moded informative.

    Starting Score: 1 point
    Moderation: +0

    Extra 'Funny' Modifier: 0
    Gravitas-Bonus Modifier: +1

    Total Score: 2
  62. Re:NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Need A Spelling Assist? It's spelled ASTRONAUT. I wish I knew where this weird Brit-style "astroNAUGHT" came from!

  63. this is surprising ? by thanew · · Score: 1

    they found the same thing after challenger. I mean nasa really doesn't seem to care about safety.. basically, any screw up they have had they were told way before they even launched that there would be a problem, but apparently they never care about safety, all they want to do is make their launch date.

  64. GP#3 vs Auditor by krysith · · Score: 1

    Auditor: So you plan on putting your spacecraft inside a General Products #3 Hull?
    Me: Yes, it's the most indestructible thing we know.
    Auditor: But what happens if you run into a moon?
    Me: No problem, we have a sophisticated stasis field to kick in in case of impact. The ship and crew would be unharmed.
    Auditor: But what if you are shot with a laser? The General Products hull is transparent to visible light.
    Me: We have a coating which instantaneously becomes mirrored if the light intensity exceeds a certain value, plus the internal bulkheads provide protection.
    Auditor: What if you crash into a ringworld?
    Me: Uh... we've got a backup set of flycycles to fly the crew out in case of a serious crash.
    Auditor: Yeah, but what if you run into a rogue anti-matter moon?
    Me: The hell? But the chances of that happening are...
    Auditor: But it could happen right? Ever heard of Beowulf Shaeffer?
    Me: Well, sure it's possible but...
    Auditor: (Checks FAIL on his report)

  65. Do we dare use them? by bluGill · · Score: 1

    It is a bad idea to use technology you do not understand. You never know what they did to it. When you create something yourself you can be sure you won't end up with the worlds largest non-nuclear explosion and fire.

  66. This just in! by dotmax · · Score: 1

    Manned Space Flight More Dangerous Than Watching Boston Law!

  67. Re:NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We sent people to space in the 70's in craft that didn't explode.

  68. Clear up some misconceptions... by b1ad3runn3r · · Score: 1

    No, space intelligence funding is not being affected in the slightest bit by the NASA funding crunch. Yes, NASA is seriously hampered by the fact that it is a US government agency, and has to adhere to all gov standards. This makes it impossible for the scientists and engineers who know whats going on to make policy decisions. Yes, there is work on a new CEV.

    --
    "Reality continues to ruin my life" - Calvin and Hobbes
  69. If he were younger? huh? by Namlak · · Score: 1

    From TFA: However, he said that if he were younger he would have no concern about flying on the shuttle.

    So is it that younger people are more able to survive re-entry without a capable craft? Or does he just recognize younger people as less valuable to protect?

    Maybe it's because he assumes younger people to be stupid enough to fly in a craft that's safe according to the older person making the above assumptions!

  70. Re:NASA by TaxiZaphod · · Score: 1
    No, they didn't explode, they just cremated them in a 100% oxygen environment.

    Going into space is risky. The only way to make it 100% safe is to not do it. Personally, I don't think that's the right way to go.

  71. Re:NASA by khallow · · Score: 1
    I think a lot of people are blaming NASA. There's several things to remember. First, I don't think NASA's performance relative to the US army is very good. Ie, NASA is inefficient even by US army standards. Second, it's not Congresses job to do space exploration. That responsibility lies on NASA. A lot of the Congress pork is due to NASA lobbying. NASA has used the money poorly and has demonstrated poor judgement in the past. Finally, NASA has blocked private competition in space launch over the past few decades (in part to protect it's space shuttle budget, IMHO). It's only in the past ten years that the launch oligopoly set up by NASA has started to crumble.

    Maybe congressional oversight of nasa should be limited so nasa can make their own calls, but I suspect their funding would suddenly and suspiciously disappear if that happened.

    Congress controls the purse strings. Of course, NASA's budget would disappear. My take is that NASA supervised by Congress is no worse off than a NASA unsupervised by Congress, but having the powers of a US government organization. Ultimately, I think the problem is that NASA simply is a political organization and is subject to political forces and whims. For example, a lot of the expensive backtracking on the ISS was due to the Bush elder and Clinton administrations not to Congress. For example, Congress didn't mandate that the ISS use Russian parts.

  72. Re:NASA by HermanAB · · Score: 1

    Well, quite a few Astronaughts have been nullified in the process. I sure won't buy a Shuttle ticket, even if it was free.

    --
    Oh well, what the hell...
  73. Subcontract human launches to China by grikdog · · Score: 1

    I wouldn't even bother retiring the shuttle. Just scrap it today. Walk away from it. It was a tired dog of an idea when the idea was first poached ... uh... broached, and after one disaster on the way up and one disaster on the way down, it's still a crock. I say, give NASA's budget as a grant to Burt Rutan, and let him outsource the whole shebang to Red China. The Apollo missions gave us Teflon, while toasting a mere three astronauts. Totting up the benefits of all those shuttle missions, with appropriate minuses for the carbonized school teacher and mutilated multinational civilians, would take several minutes of painful headscratching to come up with, "Umm... none?"

    --
    ``Tension, apprehension & dissension have begun!'' - Duffy Wyg&, in Alfred Bester's _The Demolished Man_
  74. heh by MegaFur · · Score: 1

    I have not RTFAed. I totally agree with the Dr. Feynman quote, completely. So much so that I just got to wondering... imagine if you could fool nature. :-) Man, that'd be a trip:

    Hey, nature, look at the monkey! look at the monkey! what's that? No! No, I'm not defying gravity, keep looking at the damn monkey! What? No--no there's no cold fusion going on over there. Hey, check this out, nature: a whole buuunch of monkeys annd some circus midgets! etc

    Someone with a better funny bone could probably exp{ou,a}nd upon this, and turn it into a great legendary Inernet meme. Or maybe I need some sleep.

    Yes that seems more likely. (See also "recreational impossibilities" and "SEP fields".)

    --
    Furry cows moo and decompress.
  75. only two? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey wait how many other things have only two major acidents in 70 years of service?

    1. Re:only two? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you are counting the entire space program, there have been more than two. Apollo 1 and two Soviet accidents resulted in deaths. There were a number - that came very close - from Apollo 13 to the first Soviet space walk when the space suit expanded more then expected and almost didn't fit back through the hatch.

  76. Re:NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, in Vietnam that did happen with the m-16 rifle. The rifle made by a certain favored manufacturer would jam when it got wet with water. It took a few years to update the rifle after much complaining.

  77. Re:NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stick to a free OS where when it crashes it only kills your processess, sessions and data, not yourself.

    Or why Linux is better than the shittle.