Slashdot Mirror


Tracking the IT Job Market with a Bot

atlantageek writes "Is the IT job market improving? Is the growth in Unix or Windows? Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce? Identify the recent trends with CJ Miner, a small tool I've written that has been monitoring the Computer Jobs website for the last year."

166 comments

  1. Don't you mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    "track how the computerjobs.com website has been doing"?

    1. Re:Don't you mean by Scoria · · Score: 4, Informative

      "track how the computerjobs.com website has been doing"?

      That was also my interpretation of this project. I'm afraid that computerjobs.com wouldn't necessarily represent the entire IT market, but rather a very small percentage of it. The software would be limited to indicating various demographics at computerjobs.com, perhaps arguably and tentatively serving to indicate the "competency level" of their members. Without data from many sources, however, you couldn't hope to provide an accurate impression of the overall market.

      Maybe the programmer should sell the collected data back to them. ;-)

      --
      Do you like German cars?
    2. Re:Don't you mean by fingerfucker · · Score: 1

      For at least a somewhat representative sample, one one need to add: Yahoo HotJobs, Monster, Dice and CareerBuilder. And maybe then we can start talking....

    3. Re:Don't you mean by superpulpsicle · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The bot concept does not make sense. Are we counting JOBS or POSITIONS?

      Some IT jobs make you the webmaster, network guy, database guy and janitor. Other jobs just leave you a single position and hit deep. How can the bot be intelligent enough to separate?!

    4. Re:Don't you mean by Numtek · · Score: 1

      "computerjobs.com wouldn't necessarily represent the entire IT market, but rather a very small percentage of it"

      Right. For example I live in the netherlands and it's USA-based.

  2. Quick... by ActionJesus · · Score: 2, Funny

    Ive written an advanced bot, plz hire me.

    1. Re:Quick... by Klar · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm sorry sir, but the bot seems to be able to do your job better and faster than you can. No job for you!

    2. Re:Quick... by Afrosheen · · Score: 1

      In Soviet Russia, advanced bots hire YOU!

    3. Re:Quick... by bladesjester · · Score: 2, Funny

      Soviet Russia? That seems to describe most HR people I've ever met.

      Oh, no, you're right. You'd have to remove the advanced part =]

      --
      Everything I need to know I learned by killing smart people and eating their brains.
  3. Using the tool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    jobs for unix and windows development are even.

    Also they have the similar pattern of availability!

  4. Re:fp? by varmittang · · Score: 1

    I second that, nice work. Lets see some statistics from this too. Like where jobs are going up and where they are going down. That kind of stuff.

    --
    -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE-----
    12345
    -----END PGP SIGNATURE-----
  5. economics by j235 · · Score: 1

    check out the business cycle!

  6. More info needed by randall_burns · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1) How many of these ads are actually real?

    2) What do these jobs mean in terms of disposable income?

    1. Re:More info needed by AndroidCat · · Score: 1
      Newsgroups (where the posting is free) are certainly populated by bots posting the same jobs over and over, or even bots posting ads for their sites that list job harvested from other lists by bots... I'd imagine that sites like monster, etc, that charge companies for listing jobs would have a much higher ratio of real jobs. (There are companies that stay in a state of perpetual hiring for the same job for months and pay for the listings. Weird.)

      As for income, couldn't say, but I do get the feeling that the market is rebounding for non-trivial skills.

      --
      One line blog. I hear that they're called Twitters now.
    2. Re:More info needed by Seumas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Considering that it shows about 500,000 jobs in the Denver area right now (which would mean something like 25% of the population - man woman and child - are working in IT departments), I would say very few.

      Anyway, who the hell actually uses any sort of service or website to find a tech job above anything but entry level? That's what contacts and networking are for. You find yourself unemployed or looking for a new job and you put your feelers out to all your friends and colleagues who have moved to other companies over the years and they get you an interview.

      *shrug*

    3. Re:More info needed by beacher · · Score: 1

      #3) How many of these are actually unique jobs versus various recruiter spews?

      Seen many dupes on CJ.. Slashdot doesn't have the market cornered and CJ's a close second.

    4. Re:More info needed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1) How many of these ads are actually real?

      Not many I'm afraid. Too many companies out there are "testing the waters" by posting false job postings and then tracking the number of resumes they receive. It's unfortunate that they then use these numbers to weed out people on their own staff later.

    5. Re:More info needed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > There are companies that stay in a state of perpetual hiring for the same job for months and pay for the listings. Weird.

      Weird? Why? What is the cost of having said same job vs. the value of having a sizeable database of resumes?

      Granted, the last half of the equation above is full of loaded words (value, sizeable), but I've yet had anyone explain econimics (even at the uni) with anything more concrete.

    6. Re:More info needed by pipingguy · · Score: 1


      Job agencies often post openings that don't really exist in the hope of bulking up their "potential" files.

  7. Dammit! by dancingmad · · Score: 4, Funny

    A bot taking another IT related job! Where will it end?

    --
    "There is no time, sir, at which ties do not matter," Jeeves, (Jeeves and the Impending Doom)
    1. Re:Dammit! by eclectro · · Score: 1

      A bot taking another IT related job! Where will it end?

      With the Cylons.

      --
      Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
    2. Re:Dammit! by kollivier · · Score: 1

      We're all doomed! One day soon, computers will be building themselves, and running everything. In fact, they'll even be posting to /. with even more insightful comments than ours!! They may even achieve sentinent life and not realize they're robots! Wouldn't that be scary?

      -- Message posted by Slashbot #1192392, activation date: 06/23/2004.

    3. Re:Dammit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Be quiet, or I will replace you with a very small script.

    4. Re:Dammit! by sinsofthedove · · Score: 1

      I think the poster answered his own question: the growth is in smart-asses with bots! Well, think of it this way: you still need the programmer to write the bot, so for some jobs the hiring rate will remain constant. That's assuming, of course, that people only program within the scope of the job they would have been hired for.

  8. Entry Level jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Have a look at the entry-level jobs. There's a sharp crash in the beginning of march. Anybody knows why?

    1. Re:Entry Level jobs by mattwarden · · Score: 1

      Outsourcing? Recruiters using another site for entry-level job postings? Hell, it could be anything.

    2. Re:Entry Level jobs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The economy is starting to show it's true nature. Basically, there was a series of layoffs announced (IBM, SGI, and others).

    3. Re:Entry Level jobs by CmdrGravy · · Score: 1

      Near the end of the financial year ?

  9. get the data by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is really interesting. You could use the same data to determine where to find the networking jobs, or to correlate trends in skills or locations. Can I get the raw data?

  10. this is certainly entertaining, but by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    ... I thought that data mining was a little more sophisticated than this, like there might be some automated correlation analysis or something.

    As Monte Python might put it: "Wait a minute. This isn't data mining... these are just frequency counts!"

  11. Script Kiddie Shortcut... by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

    But how many jobs have he gotten with his kiddie script monitoring one website? There's no alternative to updating your resume, prowling multiple websites for job listings, submitting your resume, and playing phone message tag until you land a job (or, more likely, a contract).

    As for my experience looking for a job recently in Silicon Valley, I would say things are getting better for contract work. From what my friends are telling me, companies don't seem to be hiring for the long-term. I even got an email from a Microsoft recruiter for a contract job. :P

    1. Re:Script Kiddie Shortcut... by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But how many jobs have he gotten with his kiddie script monitoring one website? There's no alternative to updating your resume, prowling multiple websites for job listings, submitting your resume, and playing phone message tag until you land a job (or, more likely, a contract).

      You don't understand. This is slashdot. We form burning urges to automate drudgery instead of live it. A true geek can only pull so many fake smiles and handshakes before going insane. When cornered, skunks spray; geeks code.

  12. Colorblindness by The_Wilschon · · Score: 1

    Could you at least have chosen colors other than red and green for the first two choices!? I'm colorblind, you insensitive clod!

    --
    SIGSEGV caught, terminating

    wait... not that kind of sig.
    1. Re:Colorblindness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't understand, how do you know what colors they are if you are color blind?

    2. Re:Colorblindness by Rickler · · Score: 1

      "People with red/green color blindness can often distinguish red or green if they can visually compare the colors." Go die now you stupid trolling clod.

      --

      The human race is artificial intelligence created using object orientated programming.
    3. Re:Colorblindness by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that colourblinded people should have some sort of software that:
      #1. Tests what colours they CAN'T see properly or
      distinguish properly.
      #2. Change the colours on their screen
      appropriately.
      #3. Enable easy switching between normal colour,
      and a colour blinded profile, or colour
      blinded profiles(a colour-blinded family :>))
      This would be difficult to do because, if someone couldn't see red, you couldn't just translate this to yellow, because what if you had red over a yellow background(heaven forbid)?! But maybe you could just find the colour they CAN'T see and then make that colour translate to a range in a spectrum they can see, and if the surrounding colours are too close in range, change the colour you are translating to, to a more contrasting colour.

      Thoughts :>)

    4. Re:Colorblindness by rbarreira · · Score: 1

      Like this, maybe?

      Not that it isn't a stupid post anyway...

      --

      The AACS key is NOT 0xF606EEFD628B1CA427BEA93A9CA9773F
    5. Re:Colorblindness by Schrockwell · · Score: 1

      How'd you know the colors of the first two choices, then?

    6. Re:Colorblindness by The_Wilschon · · Score: 1

      Yes, I can distinguish red and green... depending on the shade, I can distinguish them with varying degrees of success. It was not a troll. The particular shades which were present made it quite difficult for me to glance at the graph and glance at the legend and determine which line was which. Additionally, without some close examination, where the red and green lines cross, I have difficulty (not impossibility, mind you!) determining which one went which way. Learn a little bit about colorblindness, and how much it varies from one person to the next, before you open your trap again.

      --
      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
    7. Re:Colorblindness by The_Wilschon · · Score: 1

      Colorblindness (in my case, it varies a lot from one person to the next) does not mean that I cannot tell what colors they are, or that they are utterly indistinguishable. However, the two colors chosen are difficult enough for me to distinguish from one another that, at a glance, I cannot determine using the legend which line represents which quantity. On closer examination, yes, I can tell. Additionally, where the lines meet, I have trouble telling which one goes which direction.

      The color choice did not make it impossible for me to read the graphs. However, if the two colors chosen were say, forest green and jungle green (thank you crayola), you might have the same difficulty.

      --
      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
    8. Re:Colorblindness by The_Wilschon · · Score: 1

      It's not anywhere near that simple... There aren't colors that I can't see, or colors that "look just like that other color"... wikipedia has a fairly good article on the topic, but I have never once in my life managed to really explain it to someone... Here's an example. A rainbow in the sky looks to me like two wide bands of yellow and blue. However, someone else's representation of a rainbow (not a photograph) I can see just fine.

      However, basically, the RGB choice roughly corresponds to the peak sensitivies of the three types of cones in a normal eye. A computer screen, if you really did a spectral analysis of an image on the screen versus an actual view of the same thing, looks nothing like what it represents. Since my cones somehow (I'm not quite sure how, I don't seem to match any of the diagnoses on the wikipedia page perfectly...) don't match up to normal, things both on the computer screen and in real life are perceived differently than normal.

      But I can't say "I can't see x color", because if I look at something that is that color, it is not black or invisible. On the other hand, there are definitely some colors which I have a lot of difficulty distinguishing from some other colors. Which colors those are depend on the particular shades chosen. For example, some browns and some reds look very similar. Some reds and some greens look very similar. Some blues and some purples look very similar. Some greens and some yellows look very similar. The wikipedia page describes trouble perceiving colors in the yellow-red-green-orange area of the spectrum. But I can distinguish yellow from orange and orange from red with little or no problem. It is very puzzling.

      Thank you for being the only response to my post which had any sense to it, instead of essentially "you liar, you're not colorblind if you can tell they were red and green, quit trolling!"... Some people can really be idiots and jerks...

      --
      SIGSEGV caught, terminating

      wait... not that kind of sig.
  13. Very informative, I thought! by King_TJ · · Score: 3, Interesting

    One question though: Why computerjobs.com? I'm not real familiar with their site, but are they one of the sites that claims to consolidate complete listings of I.T. jobs from a number of other large job search sites (Monster, CareerBuilder, HotJobs, BrainBuzz, etc. etc.)?

    If they really do get a pretty good number of I.T. related listings all collected up in one place, then yes - I think this is a pretty useful little graph/tool.

    I've been out of work since the beginning of May, and living in the St. Louis area, it seems to me that there are currently very slim pickings. I keep hearing talk of the economic recovery, but at least around here - I'm not really seeing it.

    According to your chart, that would be an accurate accessment too - since it clearly shows a sharp decline in I.T. jobs available in St. Louis since April of 2005. (And worse yet, I'm really mainly interested in the hardware side of things, but if you look at that specifically - you see that in my city, there were only a grand total of about 2 jobs fitting that category, at any given time!) In the whole U.S., it looked like I.T. hardware jobs only averaged around 1,200 *total*, for that matter. Not good... not good at all!

    1. Re:Very informative, I thought! by megarich · · Score: 1
      Good question sir. My guess is someone has a vested interest or want to push computerjobs.com :).

      Regardless how useful the site may be there is one thing I do know, I have a better shot of finding the lost continent of atlantis than I do ever landing a job by submitting my resume online to sites like monster, careerbuilder, etc.

    2. Re:Very informative, I thought! by AEC216 · · Score: 1

      Hey TJ, I live in St. Louis Area myself, graduated from Rolla in '02, took 8 months for me to nail down a good and then got laid off a year later. I took up working at a casino for money, liked it. Now I am working on a BS in accounting at UMSL. Software is a pain aroudn here. EVERYONE is a Microsoft shop But now, just in the last few months have people been going out on a limb and hiring , just alittle. I have lived in O'Fallon all my life and like the area, but man , its been a bitch in the tech industry. You were talking about the recovery, yeah I agree it will hit us slowly , give it another 6 to 12 months . We seem to be around 1 to 1.5 years behind the coasts economically. ( my own rule of thumb , your results may vary) If you want some more info or just want to curse at situation with me, my email is my userid at gmail.com Good luck!

      --
      May I please have my frontal lobotomy if I bring back the ashtrays?
  14. Re-inventing the wheel by Umbral+Blot · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You know if you want to check out how tech jobs are doing why not go here?

    1. Re:Re-inventing the wheel by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Seems all the unemployed idle techies had the same idea: "Automate my fricken job searching"

  15. Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce by melted · · Score: 1

    >> Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce

    You should study what you enjoy to study and work on. If this means a less trendy job, so be it. I'd rather eat broken glass than do web development, for example. Even if it was the hottest job on the market, I wouldn't do it anyway.

    1. Re:Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      A - fucking - men to that

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well said.

      Do what you love. Love what you do. The money will follow.

      Ok, that's a bit idealistic. Maybe a bit of caveat is in order: be good at it.
      If this doesn't work then you need to find a way to make "it" work, not change what "it" is.

      In other words, people should spend more time trying to find out how to get paid for work that they love and less time trying to chase some illusory "best job" (which, oddly, always seems to be defined by someone else).

      If nothing else, given the tech skills needed for anything really hot (money-wise) these days, you'll need some experience/training; by the time you acquire it the landscape will have changed again.

  16. Why is it ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why the sudden increase in networking jobs in North California from April-May 2005?

    1. Re:Why is it ... by wk633 · · Score: 1

      I think these sudden changes are the result of agregating just one site. One big company comes in with a s*load of postings, or the same load expires.

      It's ok as a first pass, the 'raw' data is only useful to a point.

  17. Jerks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    For all the liberal bleading heart crap I read on this site, there are some mean people here. I thought the information was fairly interesting.

    Read his resume, he's in Atlanta. I went to Georgia Tech and lived in Atlanta for a number of years, and this site was the first I would check when job hunting. It's fairly big there. They don't aggregrate other site's jobs, employers have to pay. With the exception of the head hunters, they were quality jobs. (But I've found that every head hunter posted job I've ever applied for has been a joke anyway)

    Just because you have a job doesn't mean you are better than someone who apparently does not. I went over 6 months from my previous job to my current one, even turning down two jobs and getting jerked around by Novell for 2 months to find the right one.

    Keeping myself busy with random projects was a great way to practice my skills and learn new ones.

    1. Re:Jerks by wk633 · · Score: 1

      I was 18 months between 'real' jobs, and three years between jobs I really enjoy(ed). Several times in there I heard/read things like "You have to remember many people in IT just got in for the boom, 'good' people are still in demand'" which of course means if you're not in demand, you're not good. Pretty depressing. Good thing I could look back on 15 years of very happy employers to know it wasn't true.

      Thank intelligent design for the various projects and classes helped keep me sane, and 'kept my skills up'.

  18. Visa Sponsor by slashflood · · Score: 0


    Whats that (Visa Sponsor)?

    1. Re:Visa Sponsor by sinrakin · · Score: 2, Informative

      I'd assume it means the employer will sponsor you for an H1-B if you take the job.

  19. With my CCNA... by haakondahl · · Score: 1

    ...I would be pleased to get a line on just ONE "hot IT job". Write me a bot that will do that, and suddenly I'll care about your war3z. I live in Japan though. Interesting position. Or, lack thereof.

    --
    Don't trust anyone under thirty.
  20. up-up-down-A-B-B-A-down dept. by oberondarksoul · · Score: 1

    Timothy now has all power-ups and 30 continues, ICT market unchanged. Konami executives currently giving no comments.

    --
    And tomorrow the stock exchange will be the human race
    1. Re:up-up-down-A-B-B-A-down dept. by WedgeTalon · · Score: 0

      Good job screwing up on the most well known cheat code... I think the code you're looking for is: up up down down left right left right B A

  21. software? by DustyShadow · · Score: 1

    where the f is software on the skill list??

    1. Re:software? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good point. And where is the USA on the locations list?

  22. Man, I miss Echo by jkeegan · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I worked at CMGi for five years, and a good portion of that was working for a daughter company named InfoMation on a project called Echo. It was a web scraping tool that let you create your own personal newspaper, from any source you wanted (web, usenet, mail, rss feeds, etc). Imagine google alerts but you could create custom news feeds to any sites you want.. Have it look each day for new albums from your favorite bands by creating custom searches on music sites.. Have it monitor your competition's website for changes (or look for press releases regarding your competition on the wirefeed services). Track articles in industry trends you want to follow.

    I really liked our alert system (ahem), which would put the titles of articles in the subject line, unlike google alerts, which just puts the category.. You could also subscibe via daily summaries which only sent one email per day, or via cellphone/pager sms messages.

    I miss it. Unfortunately our sales department tried selling it to the insurance industry, which takes way too long to purchase technology (as opposed to, oh, say, a stock broker, who would want to follow every stock he's got his clients invested in.. go figure).

    --

    ..Jeff Keegan
    seven syllables explain TiVo: kee gan dot org slash ti vo
    1. Re:Man, I miss Echo by Ian.Waring · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Unfortunately our sales department tried selling it to the insurance industry, which takes way too long to purchase technology (as opposed to, oh, say, a stock broker, who would want to follow every stock he's got his clients invested in.. go figure).

      And yet if my stats are correct (I work for one of the largest IT resellers in Europe), the Insurance Industry are the #1 early adopters for virtualisation software. I think something like 18 of our top 20 VMware customers are all Insurance or Financial Services companies ;-} Ian W.

    2. Re:Man, I miss Echo by Sendient · · Score: 1

      There is a application from Broadlook that does this. http://www.broadlook.com/prod/pulse/

  23. IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by reporter · · Score: 4, Insightful
    The market for information-technology (IT) jobs does not operate according to the laws of economics. Allow me to explain. A shortage of labor is a normal market force, and government should not intervene to counteract this force. Two of the effects of a shortage is (1) to boost wages and (2) improve working conditions.

    However, whenever a shortage of labor occurs in the IT market, the government consistently intervenes by importing H-1B workers to fix this shortage. As a result, the growth in wages is damaged. Working conditions (like working 60+ hours per week) do not improve.

    Any perceived shortage in the market for IT labor is illusory. If this shortage were real, it would be short-lived, due to government intervention.

    By the way, we see the same phenomenon in the market for unskilled labor: e.g. picking vegetables and fruits. The government fixes this shortage by allowing illegal aliens to flood this market for unskilled labor. As a result, wages (hovering around $5.00 per hour for fruit-picking in Southern California) never rise. Working conditions (like standing for more than 9 hours per day in the strawberry fields) never improve.

    The rub is that politicians do not care about Washington's gross tampering in and bludgeoning of a (relatively) free market like the USA. Washington is eager to fix shortages of labor. However, Washington rarely fixes shortages of jobs by, for example, creating more government jobs. The interests of Washington are not aligned with the hopes and aspirations of middle America.

    We should close the American market to (relatively) non-free markets like India, China, and Mexico. Further, the American market should be flung wide open to (relatively) free markets like Eastern/Western Europe, Canada, and Japan. Free trade is good -- only when we are trading with other societies that maintain (relatively) free markets.

    1. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, another way of looking at it is that the US government is already protecting its home workforce with its immigration restrictions, and in times of shortages it relaxes that protection (restrictions) somewhat. So the government does interfere with the actions of the otherwise free market, but in such a way that US jobs are protected (at least, that's the immediate or first order result - of course the ultimate result is much more complicated and is the subject of endless debates).

    2. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by randall_burns · · Score: 1

      Its a little trickier than that. US citizenship has _real_ value in the world scence. That means that lots of folks are willing to do unpleasant work to get a shot at US citizenship/permanent residency. Right now, the ways to do that are:

      1) become an H-1b/L-1 IT worker

      2) join the US military

      3) become an a working illegal alien-and bide your time until the next amnesty.

    3. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Its a little trickier than that. US citizenship has _real_ value in the world scence.

      Yup. Welfare in US dollars.

      It's sad, and I hate to admit it, but I know a (disproportionately large) number of people who live on welfare, secure under-the-table income (cleaning services, unskilled labour, etc), and send whatever excess they can home to their families. When the time comes, they retire in their home countries. With all the savings they've taken out of the country, they live like kings.

    4. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You talk of Free market and closing the US job market to non-free countries like India, China, Mexico etc. I think your knowledge of free economics is pretty stunted. If you are talking about computers and IT industruy, India is a very very open market and one where the government doesnt interfere at all, unlike other industries and unlike the US.

      If you talk of general industry - then lets pick Steel - a very very regulated markket in the US with many stipulations to close free trade with other more competitive countries. Or maybe you could acre to talk about agri-business - a closed market again with farmers being given subsidies to protect the market from aggressive competition from abroad.

      So before you talk free economics, do some home-work instead of parroting "US ia a country of free market economics" like statements. Its a free market economy where it suits the US interests and its strengths, closed everywhere else as much as India, China, Mexico etc and ecen Eastern/western Europe (same Agriculture market being closed there).

    5. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by mikael · · Score: 1

      Surely, you have to be a US citizen before you can join the military?

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    6. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by HeyLaughingBoy · · Score: 2, Informative

      You don't have to be a citizen to enlist in the US armed forces, but you do in order to be an officer.

    7. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Open markets like Europe... where the average cow earns US$2.50 a day in subsidies?

      Or Japan... where the average cow earns US$7.50 a day in subsidies?

      Link to article

    8. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by TopShelf · · Score: 1

      OK, Mr. Troll, I'll bite:

      1) There's nothing that says that a shortage in IT workers should result in an improvement in working conditions (defined in your post as a reduction in working hours). In fact, if there is a shortage of workers, the expectations for hours worked individually should increase, not decrease. Nobody's going to say "gee, Jenkins, we're so happy to have one of the few available experts on our staff that we want you to go home at 4:00 every day."

      2) Washington rarely fixes shortages of jobs by, for example, creating more government jobs. The interests of Washington are not aligned with the hopes and aspirations of middle America.

      I really doubt that the hopes and aspirations of middle America have much to do with government-created jobs!

      3) Shutting our markets off to countries which you don't approve of hurts both sides of the relationship. Trade isn't a zero-sum game even if dealing with a "non-free" partner.

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    9. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by BobKagy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I wouldn't worry too much. With the regulations put in place since September 11th, the U.S. is not as favorable a destination as it once was. As word spreads on how difficult it is for a non-citizen to cross the border even when all the papers are legal, fewer qualified workers will want to move to the U.S. Wages and working conditions will have to improve to fill the shortage.

    10. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Frostalicious · · Score: 1

      Raising everyone's income will incite inflation, and you'll be no better off. In capitalism, someone has to get the shit end of the stick because it's built into the system. Communism didn't work. You'll have to think of a new system.

    11. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by globalar · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Basically what you are proposing is a division between the industrialized economies with higher living standards and the developing economies with large labor supply. Closing markets strategically will make things more equitable, hence free? This is a foreign idea to free trade or free market theory.

      Closing a market to supply (or demand) makes it "non-free", correct? We are talking about liberal (to neoclassical) economics right?

      The U.S. market is purchasing the labor of India, China, and Mexico. Following the supply and demand theory, lowering the supply of labor will raise the price of said labor. This will also have the effect of lowering demand. A higher price lowers demand. Sure demand is infinite, but the resources to fulfill it are not. There is excess capital in the margin to handle higher costs, but that will only go to the higher price if there is no alternative. Freezing the capital flows through the U.S. is impossible/insane, so there will be an alternative somewhere in the world for money to go. It may not be to U.S. labor.

      With lower demand and higher prices, the U.S. market will not pay for more labor, it will pay for less. Even if demand were to stay constant, the resources behind it would be forced to buy less labor. So the job market will shrink or stagnate. The dollar will buy less labor in the U.S., hence less productivity per dollar spent on U.S. labor. The result is lost market output, which will mean fewer jobs in the U.S. Not to mention our stock investments and retirement may take a pounding.

      "Any perceived shortage in the market for IT labor is illusory."

      OK. Why then do companies hire staff if there is no demand for more labor? Wait...

      "Washington is eager to fix shortages of labor..."

      How about the market in general? Since we agree there is no shortage, I assume we can agree that lowering the price of a commodity is still desirable. Any market should seek a lower price of labor if the output is acceptable. Just like we want higher salaries or lower prices. Corporations would import labor freely if the government didn't have restrictions on immigration (i.e. supply controls). So if we want something more like a free trade, immigration restrictions should go. You propose the opposite solution.

      So the shortage is not a shortage of labor, but a shortage of labor at the right price.

      The "laws of economics" (which aren't to functional as laws) don't say labor has to be an American who wants a job, could be given a job, or should have a job with benefits x, y, and z. Hell, they don't even say labor has to be bought from "free" economies. Neither do American consumers, apparently. The U.S. consumer market has agreed to put low prices on labor in exchange for more goods.

      Finally, contrasting the markets of Europe, Canada, or Japan as free vs. India, China, and Mexico is, respectively, naive. Considering the labor market alone (we could go all day talking about other commodity restrictions, WTO talks take years), the three industrialized countries mentioned have protectionist, expensive labor policies which are a kind of luxury tax on labor. Many of these were designed to tax the excess capital achieved through the efficiences of corporate machines and redistribute it back to the society in some way. Of course, Americans don't like paying for European society and the purchase of labor in China, India, etc. proves this. Americans don't even want to pay for some of their own labor.

    12. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The thing is, that whether you approve of the government, culture, or skin color of people in China, India, and Mexico; they *do* have more free markets (except maybe India) than Europe, and Japan.

    13. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      Communism seems pretty sketchy, but what was this test case you're referring to where it didn't work?

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    14. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Tablizer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There's nothing that says that a shortage in IT workers should result in an improvement in working conditions (defined in your post as a reduction in working hours). In fact, if there is a shortage of workers, the expectations for hours worked individually should increase, not decrease.

      No, because if there really was a shortage, one could threaten to leave to work for a 40-hour company, and the biz would have to comply or start another difficult hunt.

      (BTW, there is no "IT shortage". Biz lobbyists made it up out of thin air because they could and did get away with it.)

    15. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by altstadt · · Score: 1

      Israel and Switzerland have both come close (in their own respective and different ways), but I don't think I would like to live in either place (and for different reasons in each case).

    16. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Frostalicious · · Score: 1

      Well if we are talking about strict communism, as opposed to socialism, then it hasn't been successfully implemented, which is failure. If we take a broader definition, and if the measurement is quality of life for the middle class, then I can't think of any examples where any communist country has equalled any of the major capitalistic democracies. This is also failure.

      So if you are arguing that communism is the way to go I just don't get it.

    17. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by zalle · · Score: 1

      Please take a second class in theoretical economics. Our models are quite a bit more complex than you seem to think.

    18. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by xenocide2 · · Score: 1

      Actually, there's a solid argument for stopping the free flow to countries like India. They've got incredibly high tariffs on imports while benefiting from the rest of the world's relatively open markets. It would make sense to recipricate tariff reductions, and punish those who sway before local producers. This is one of the goals of the WTO and it's how we get to "liberalized markets" that ultimately benefit consumers in both markets. The side effect of taxing their own base like this is a reduced demand for their own labor. So taxing commodities like diesel does play into the labor debate (I'm willing to give agriculture a pass).

      Also, in classical economics, a shift in the supply curve doesn't directly impact the demand curve. It does alter the equalibrium point, which is the optimal pricing in a free market.

      --
      I Browse at +4 Flamebait

      Open Source Sysadmin

    19. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by servognome · · Score: 1

      Allow me to explain. A shortage of labor is a normal market force, and government should not intervene to counteract this force. Two of the effects of a shortage is (1) to boost wages and (2) improve working conditions.

      The first problem with your arguement is definition of what constitutes the "market." Just like in thermo when you can arbitrarily define what constitutes a system, in economics you can do the same when it comes to a market.
      If you define the labor market as all the workers in the US then allowing foreign workers does disrupt the natural equilibrium. However, if you define the labor market as all the people in the world, then in fact goverment requirement of H1B visas are actually an artificial restriction on the free market, and workers and jobs should freely be able to move across national borders.

      However, Washington rarely fixes shortages of jobs by, for example, creating more government jobs. The interests of Washington are not aligned with the hopes and aspirations of middle America.

      Goverment jobs are not the hope and aspiration of middle america.

      We should close the American market to (relatively) non-free markets like India, China, and Mexico. Further, the American market should be flung wide open to (relatively) free markets like Eastern/Western Europe, Canada, and Japan. Free trade is good -- only when we are trading with other societies that maintain (relatively) free markets.

      I agree, free trade can only work between countries if both sides are free. The US is as guilty as other countries about protectionism of specific industries. Unfortunately, free trade though may work from an economic standpoint, doesn't necessarily work politically.

      --
      D6 63 0D 70 89 81 BB 8E 7B 7C 5F 5D 54 EA AB 73
    20. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Matje · · Score: 1

      Interesting read, thanks. FYI: Europe is not a country. It is an oversimplification to consider the european countries as one. More importantly, it makes you look like yet another ignorant American. That's a shame, cause apparently you aren't.

    21. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by mdfst13 · · Score: 1

      Making it more difficult for the US to import labor (H-1b visas) is counterproductive. Overall, the US is currently a net *exporter* of services. Your proposal would actually reduce US exports, since it leaves those resources in other countries. Then we don't get tax revenues, etc. from them.

      "Free trade is good -- only when we are trading with other societies that maintain (relatively) free markets."

      This is simply not true. Free trade is very good to the US for two reasons:

      1. It allows us to trade goods that are easy for us to make (e.g. wheat) for goods that aren't (e.g. textiles).

      2. As the provider of the world currency, we get seignorage. I.e. other people send us stuff without asking for stuff in return.

      Reducing imports does not help the US. It just means that we have less stuff (and are therefore poorer). Increasing exports *only* helps the US in that it allows us to increase imports. Other than that, we would be better off using that production capacity to make stuff for Americans.

      If you are looking for work to do in the US, don't try to export. Build stuff for Americans. Ideally, build something that we already have (e.g. envelopes or petroleum) but cheaper. On large enough scale, this causes deflation. What happens when there is deflation? The Fed pumps money into the economy.

    22. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Switzerland? Communist? Can I have some of that dupe of yours?

      Switzerland is LESS socialist (especially that labor market is much freer than in France, Italy or Germany) than most of Europe.

    23. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by TopShelf · · Score: 1

      What you're saying may happen in individual cases, but overall the expectation for each worker would increase. If there's a shortage of labor, then by definition there's too much work for too few people, and in the short-term, increased hours is the most likely scenario...

      --
      Stop by my site where I write about ERP systems & more
    24. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Geminus · · Score: 1

      Not true, I've seen many non-US-citizen officers during my ten years in the military... I think you're confusing this with security clearances. Although it is not written anywhere that a non US citizen cannot get a security clearance, I've never seen a non-US-citizen get one.

    25. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Courageous · · Score: 4, Insightful

      A shortage of labor is a normal market force, and government should not intervene to counteract this force.

      Well, except for the fact that you have it all absolutely backwards! When the shortage appears, the government, which is already intervening elects to relax its interventions.

      A limited number of foreign workers (fixed number of H1-B's) is itself per se an intervention. Without this intervention, the market would freely correct itself, through unrestricted immigration.

      So what we have is a market where the government defacto creates shortages (through dejure immigration controls), but occasionally lets up on the shortage-creating phenonomenon, allowing normal market dynamics to function.

      C//

    26. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by bjelkeman · · Score: 1

      Both India and China have restrictions on imports and ownership of companies. They have learned from history. There is, as far as I know, no industrialized country that didn't start out by protecting its internal markets, "copy" innovations from others and made sure that the home market was forced to by from the local industry, until the local industry was fit to compete with the surrounding world.

      If China and India opened up their markets today and allowed the industrial west to export anything they could build to them and also buy any company they wanted to have, these two countries would soon be owned by the large corporations of the west and India and China would not be able to build up a R&D based industry like we have in the west.

      The corporate world of the west and their political croonies are of course always complaining about this as it curbs their profits and limits their future expansion. But is it bad for the Indian and Chinese population? I don't think so. In the long run they will be better off having a strong corporate world owned by their billionairs, as those billionairs will co-exist much better with the political structure of those countries, which is bound to be better for the country and the people.

      --
      Akvo.org - the open source for water and sanitation
    27. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by TheBracket · · Score: 1
      You can become a member of the US military without being a US citizen - they even go so far as to advertize it to aliens as a way to work towards citizenship! When I was an F1A foreign student (getting my Master's at SMSU, in Springfield MO), I received several recruiting brochures.

      What's worse, is that non-resident aliens are signed up for Selective Service and could in theory be drafted to fight for the US without any real ties to it other than doing a degree there! I was positively shocked to find out that I could be conscripted to fight for the USA, even though I am a British citizen (I'm now a green-card holder, which means I pay taxes but can't vote... so much for "no taxation without representation" - maybe I need a tea party!)

      --
      Lead developer, http://wisptools.net
    28. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Or perhaps the jobs will move to more favorable destinations and US wages will never recover -- have you thought of that possibility?

      I am a legal alien trying to start a high-tech company in the US. Every time I need to travel or hire a new PhD (most of who happen to be foreign) the US govenment makes me want to go away someplace else. The post 911 hassles and paranoia are really hurting jobs.

    29. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by randall_burns · · Score: 1

      It goes way beyond welfare dollars. Many professions in the US earn substantially more than their counterparts in other countries-even accounting for the differences in cost of living. That _was_ the case for programmers at one point-but H-1b/L-1 have largely changed that.

      Also, social security is an especially good deal for someone that comes in and only works a few years in the US system.

    30. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by randall_burns · · Score: 1

      Here's the thing: if you have some professions that are protected and some that aren't:
      citizens gravitate towards those that are.

    31. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by dodobh · · Score: 1

      Actually, they just moved the jobs out.

      --
      I can throw myself at the ground, and miss.
    32. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by sgt_doom · · Score: 1

      You have most cogently and lucidly described the present reality with the correct solution. I applaud you and your pentrating brilliance. If but there were more thinking Americans such as yourself.....

    33. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by HeyLaughingBoy · · Score: 1

      I'm not confused: law must have changed.

      When I was getting out of high school, I wanted to go to the Naval Academy. I had the grades, etc to get in, but not citizenship (non-citizens must have permission from their country of citizenship, and are not given US commissions upon graduation). Even tried to get sponsored for immediate US citizenship by my Congressman: no dice!

      Considered just going to OCS when I graduated college, but I couldn't cause I wasn't a citizen yet. By the time I got my citizenship a year later, I had lost interest :-)

      Are you sure the officers you remember were not US citizens, or just not US-born?

    34. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Tesen · · Score: 1

      What's worse, is that non-resident aliens are signed up for Selective Service and could in theory be drafted to fight for the US without any real ties to it other than doing a degree there! I was positively shocked to find out that I could be conscripted to fight for the USA, even though I am a British citizen (I'm now a green-card holder, which means I pay taxes but can't vote... so much for "no taxation without representation" - maybe I need a tea party!)

      I am also a Green Card holder, what I find ironic is the ability to conscript us. When I was going through INS, I asked about Dual Citizenship, they told me no, since it causes a conflict of interest . My question to them was, "If that is so, why can we be drafted, i.e. why do we have to register with the selective service? Surely that is a conflict to, since I am not a US Citizen." - I swear, I almost got deported right there ;>

      Tes

    35. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Chandon+Seldon · · Score: 1

      Socialism is one of the few broad economic concepts that I'm pretty sure has been successfully implemented. My example is Northern Europe. As far as I know, the other two honest suggestions (Communism and Free Market Capitolism) have both never actually been tried in their pure form - meaning that no one has any real clue what would happen.

      --
      -- The act of censorship is always worse than whatever is being censored. Always.
    36. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow Economic Laws by Geminus · · Score: 1

      Positive some of them were not US Citizens. Although some became citizens shortly thereafter. The two most predominant non-US-citizen officers I remember were from Mexico, and the Philippines. The whole officer thing has much more of an ecademic requirement nowadays.

  24. What to study? by Samir+Gupta · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce?

    You should be studying Computer Science...

    Ever wonder what happened to all those mainframe or COBOL folks? Knowing about E-commerce, Unix, Windows, Java, XML, or whatever the technology or trend du jour is might be impressive now, but in a few years, come the next thing, where will you be then? These things change at the blink of an eye.

    On the other hand, algorithms, computability theory, formal languages, predicate logic, etc. don't.

    A solid foundation of the theory will enable you to understand and learn whatever specific language or technology you need for the job, and allow you to be nimble enough to quickly pick up and go with the latest trends as the market changes.

    --
    -- Samir Gupta, Ph. D. Head, New Technology Research Group, Nintendo Co. Ltd., Kyoto, Japan.
    1. Re:What to study? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only 62 jobs used algorithms in the past year. Computability theor, formal languages, predicate logic, etc. don't have any practical application.

      QSort is available as a library for most languages, from cobol to ruby.

  25. Obviously by eclectro · · Score: 3, Funny

    Should I study Data Warehousing or E-Commerce?

    You should learn how to provide vertically integrated e-commerce solutions providing dynamic interaction to customers in synergistic markets.

    Knowing how to work a sock puppet also helps.

    --
    Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
  26. Some Play by SpinJaunt · · Score: 0

    You know what, this is just some ploy to get the slashdot crowd out of there mothers basement in to some cubicle.

    Really, I like being stuck in doors, lacking in vitamin D, watching $Some_Sci_Fi, refreshing /. continously, not having to bath because I lack interpersonal skills.

    * having no job is kinda cool, think of all the free time I have :)

    --
    /. is good for you.
  27. Wanna do it with hardware? by way2trivial · · Score: 1

    Sixth item from the bottom of the list.

    check it out

    http://www.thinkgeek.com/gadgets/electronic/732d/d etail/

    --
    every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
  28. "CJ" by base_chakra · · Score: 1

    "1) How many of these ads are actually real?"

    Not many I'm afraid. Too many companies out there are "testing the waters" by posting false job postings and then tracking the number of resumes they receive.


    The app's name, "CJ Miner", is strangely appropriate. In the adult web industry, CJ stands for "circle jerk", and refers to ad-laiden websites designed to fool visitors into believing that the site offers free content (pics and videos), when in fact nearly all links actually lead to other CJ sites.

  29. Already been done by shibbie · · Score: 1

    If you're in the UK... http://www.jobstats.co.uk

  30. legacy systems? by spoonyfork · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The chart has an option for "Legacy Systems" which sounds way too general. I mean, isn't everything currently running in production legacy?

    --
    Speak truth to power.
  31. Rather Skewed Data by nurb432 · · Score: 1

    Most jobs arent even posted... So while you may get an estimate, its no where accurate enough to stake your future on.

    --
    ---- Booth was a patriot ----
    1. Re:Rather Skewed Data by That_Dan_Guy · · Score: 1

      Tell me about it. Here in LA I have been getting calls from recruiters for the past 3 months. And these calls are for my expired DICE resume or other resumes I havn't updated in 6-12 months. If only my CCNP had experience to go with it I'd have doubled my pay rate by now. Instead I'm still trudging along doing MCSE type work (plenty of experience there, just all too much of it in small enviornments, otherwise I'd have doubled my payrate again!)

      I just talked to some recruiters yesterday in downtown LA, and they say they are starting to see employment oppurtunities come back to pre-2000 levels.

      They look for two things now,
      1. CURRENT certs
      2. Experience to back it up.

      In that order. Too many people out there with 10 years experience in outdated irrelevent systems.

    2. Re:Rather Skewed Data by jp10558 · · Score: 1

      Isn't that a paradox though? I mean, part 2. If you want 2-5 years experiance with X, doesn't that mean that X likely will have needed to be around for 4-10 years for an average of people to get experiance with it? And in IT, something that is 4 years old might be outdated...

      I mean, even now, I'd guess you'd just start to see people with 3 years of experiance in Win2k in large amounts (as most places don't deploy stuff right away) yet Win2k is considered rather outdated...

      I mean, sure I have 3 years of experiance with WinXP *on my home computer*, but the place I work was still on NT4 and just starting to get to 2k a year ago. So, no real chance to use XP in a coporate or domain environment.

      --
      Opera, Proxomitron-Grypen,GPG 0x0A1C6EE3
  32. Ted Shieh's Programming Job Comparison Graphs by Baldrson · · Score: 0
    Ted Shieh was doing something like this up until the job crash but then he terminated his data gathering.

    Too bad -- getting a profile with the same measurement instrument over the entire bubble-bust cycle would have been very valuable for historians of technology and the politics of H-1b visas most particularly.

    I suspect what the graphs would have shown was a far faster drop-off in the jobs for languages other than Java than for Java due primarily to the fact that the Indian CS diploma mills were set up largely by guys from Sun and related companies.

    That's correcting itself somewhat now that there are so many project failures due to the attempt to run the presentation layer on the server because -- well -- that's where the cheap programmers know how to program stuff.

  33. Re:That's a myth by symbolic · · Score: 1


    I would agree that it's good to have the theoretical background, but without the desire to learn new things, I'd say it's much less useful than following the trend du jour.

  34. Employment analysis through VC investments by otisg · · Score: 1

    I recently read a blog post by a VC who took a different approach to predicting the future employment rates in the U.S. As a VC, he looked at VC investment in the past N months in the U.S., looked at how "early" those investments were, and basically concluded that since there was a lot of investing, these companies will be growing and hiring people. I don't know how big of a drop in the sea of employment this is, but I thought it was an interesting way of analyzing the situation.

    --
    Simpy
  35. Foreign legion by tepples · · Score: 2, Informative

    Surely, you have to be a US citizen before you can join the military?

    Nope. Non-citizens may enlist in the U.S. armed services. Think about it: France has a foreign legion; why can't the USA?

  36. Other Examples... by donnacha · · Score: 1
    Wasn't there another guy who used to do something like this? Called it something like SkillsMarket?

    He used to link to it in his /. sig but then, about half a year ago, he announced that he wanted to "move on with his life" and would sell his code, site and related goodwill.

    I think part of the deal was that he was going to open the source but I never heard any more about it. Anyone know if that happened? Or of any FOSS projects working on graphing employment data?

  37. Re:That's a myth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nah, the real myth is that a CS course of study doesn't really prepare you for anything, and is irrelevant. As someone who's been in IT over a decade after jumping over from another profession, I've had to work extra hard to keep up with the guys who got all that "irrelevant" theory hammered into them when they were in their 20's. Of course, as you say, there also has to be the desire to learn new things -- but that's not a problem I've seen with CS grads, they're mostly gung-ho about the work. It's the trade school/cert mill guys like me who often fall short when it comes to pursuing our craft to the next level. I'm very lucky to be surrounded by a group of really smart CS people at my job who are always pushing the envelope (and somehow simultaneously managing to raise families and keep their marriages intact...).

  38. Hmmm - doesn't work... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This thing is broken...

    I checked Phoenix, New York, and So Cal... and the graphs clearly showed New York above Phoenix. I think checked Phoenix and New York, and the graph shows Phoenix above New York! What gives?

  39. No Market is 100% Free by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    No market is 100% free, but the USA, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan are substantially freer than China, Mexico, and India (CMI). CMI's economies suffer serious distortions and cannot generate enough jobs for CMI's burgeoning populations.

    So, yes, CMI has (relatively) non-free markets, and the West has (relatively) free markets. What seems to be the problem?

    When the masses in CMI fix their economies, they will have enough jobs. Then and only then should the USA open its market to CMI.

  40. Re:That's a myth by sedyn · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'm a CS major, and frankly, it's disgusting to see how many people can get a degree and not know how to program at all.

    That being said, a language is nothing more than a way to describe a concept. Ask the "trend du jour" people about programming concepts, and you'll probably get a bunch of software engineering babble in the reply. (an experiment of this would be interesting, given that the person wasn't mislead)

    My basic belief in learning computer science is to learn how NOT to be a code-monkey. Any idiot with minor interest in the topic of languages or databases can become a code-monkey.

    I think Dijkstra was wrong about the cruelty of computer science. The true creulty is that we teach students more than the watered down industry will ever demand. Kind of like putting a professional athlete in a little-league team.

    Why is this? One thought that has crossed my mind is something that a prof of mine, who used to work at IBM, once said "Back in the 60s programmers were created, not hired." Because there weren't many programmers at the time.

    Now, if people are being trained on the company dime, the employers are going to cheap out. They are going to set a bar of "getting it done" and only demand as much. (we see this today in many parts of the industry)

    Steve Jobs once said that "A players hire A players, B players hire C players", where the question was posed "then how do you get B players?" I think that in this case, C players hired people that would become (on average) at best B players.

    Over time, these B+C players set the industry standards, both in hiring and development. (for example, if you are a boss and only know COBOL, are you going to start projects that aren't COBOL, with the loss of job security as one consequence, and that the employees currently only know COBOL?)

    Which leads us to today and the demand for the "trend du jour" which is just an extension. Where programmers have been forced to ride the wave for decades to maintain bare employability. Thus, the market asks for it, people looking to do the bare minimum supply it, and a de facto standard in the common language is created.

    What I'm saying is that if one chooses to enter this industry on the "trend du jour", they better be willing to have to learn the latest fads well into their fifties.

    As for what the next trend is, I've heard that the best way to gauge that is to go into any CS department. What they are doing is what you will most likely be doing in 10 years.

    --
    Am I open minded towards open source, or closed minded towards closed source?
  41. or just use indeed.com by mthreat · · Score: 3, Informative

    Or you can use indeed.com, which lets you search all jobs within the last 30 days from almost a thousand job sites (including computerjobs.com).

    You don't even have to visit the site to check for new jobs -- it has RSS feeds and email alerts for new jobs that match your search criteria.

    Or if you're really ambitious, use their free XML API and do whatever you want with the data.

  42. OT: BSA ad by dtungsten · · Score: 1

    Whoa! What's with the BSA ad I see associated with this article?

  43. interesting correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    Select the options for "Entry Level" and "Visa Sponsor" and see what the graph shows.

    I think the picture speaks for itself :-(

  44. The Problem With The Software... by michaelzhao · · Score: 1

    Is that it does not offer predictions on future jobs. The stock market has software logging the performance of thousands of different stocks over several year periods. However, that gives no insight to how the stock WILL perform.

    This is the exact same situation, this software logs the jobs available, but gives no insight to future availablity. This type of software should only be used as a rough picture of how the sector is performing now and not how it will perform 3 months from now.

    I would hate for somebody to spend a month learning e-commerece and find all of a sudden, the availability of the job is on a downward spiral.

    1. Re:The Problem With The Software... by Money+for+Nothin' · · Score: 1

      I agree -- some statistical analysis would've been nice. A linear regression would've certainly been useful for predicting the trends (as you're desiring), and the ability to arrive at correlation values between 2 sets of data might have been helpful (although, it appears to me that pretty much every category listed tracks with each other; it's just a difference of scale mostly)...

      Still, I liked his software. If nothing else, it's a nice start on what could become a bigger, more sophisticated project...

    2. Re:The Problem With The Software... by michaelzhao · · Score: 1

      I disagree with the statement that a linear regression should be done. If you look at most of the data, the data is very fluctuating constantly. A linear regression line would yield little data. Statistically, the r-value and the r^2 value would be so low that any data predictions would be useless. These graphs concecptualized the same way that the stock-market graphs are. Basically, you can't predict what happens to jobs based on previous analysis, but rather you predict jobs based on future anticipation. Hypothetically, there might be a huge demand for java programmers right now. If you ran that data into a linear regression on any type of regression, the line would point straight up. However, what if it was already anticipated that a new more powerful programming language would be released in the following months? None those graphs would be of any use. However, I do agree, this project could become very sophisticated. Not in predicting jobs, but as an indicator of the strength of the IT sector.

    3. Re:The Problem With The Software... by Money+for+Nothin' · · Score: 1

      Good points. I'm *far* from an expert in statistics; I just remember thinking that linear regressions would be a useful tool when I learned them in econometrics. :-) But leave it to a stats newbie not to recognize their limitations, especially since I haven't used such basic statistical tools in a while...

      You are right about the implications of future-looking trend prediction from these data, or any data for that matter. It's necessarily and always a backwards-looking exercise to try to make empirical predictions of future events; much like the stock market, as you note.

      One could (and many well-paid analysts probably do) create a model to make worst-case assumptions like the one you suggest (i.e. "Java is hot now, but what about some new, out-of-nowhere language that totally alters the landscape?"). That's not the same as an *actual* occurrence obviously, but until somebody obtains an accurate crystal ball, it's the best thing we have. :-/

      (The hypothetical ignores the rather low probability that any language would just "appear overnight" -- a not very realistic assumption, really, since mainstream languages don't develop that quickly (all the significant C-style languages took years to develop to any useful level), even with (or perhaps especially given) a large development team building it. But there's no logical reason such an assumption couldn't be factored in if we nevertheless were concerned about it. And, in any case, the more-general version of the point you make is a good one: that the IT industry moves so fast sometimes that trying to predict what will happen next in it borderlines on the ridiculous...)

  45. What's better? by vlad_petric · · Score: 1
    Jobs going to foreign countries or foreigners coming here to work ?

    And btw, "free market" is just an idealized abstraction - with the risk of burning some karma I'll say it's pretty crude one, actually.

    The notion of "free market" was developed during the Enlightenment or "Age or Reason", when Europe started to attribute everything to science and reason (after the Middle Ages attributed everything to the will of God). As a consequence, it is based on the fact that players in the market make their decisions rationally, when, in fact, they very clearly do not. A free market also has failure points like monopolies, cartels, or the fact that it totally ignores environmental issues such as pollution.

    The US is probably the closest country to a free market, however, it still does things like subsidizing agriculture products, and even steel a couple of years ago. As for Europe - they're actually much "worse" in not following the free market dogma.

    As for your suggestions. 1. Saying "let's prevent people from getting H1s and work within the States" is clearly promoting isolationism and limitting a person's rights instead of more freedom. 2. yeah, let's just close China off ... . You're probably ignorant of the fact that the US has been 0wn3d by them. They're basically subsidizing America's unbelievably-high debt. We can't really upset them too much.

    Finally, I'll say that I'm not against economic freedoms. What I'm against is using the "free market" dogma like this.

    --

    The Raven

    1. Re:What's better? by cbreaker · · Score: 1

      Interesting point but things like H-1 visas and letting illegal immigrants work in the US when there's a labor shortage can hurt the corresponding industries in the US.

      Wages won't go up, because there's suddenly more workers available. Thus, it won't lure new workers in from other industries where there may be a more abundance of workforce right here in the US.

      And when times get tough, these H-1's, illegal immigrants, and other special practices are rarely scaled back, and so we end up with unemployed citizens and employed immigrants.

      I'm not saying we should close the border, or that we shouldn't allow a qualified worker from another country to work here. But these special allowances don't seem to be helping our enconomy much.

      My own field hasn't been heavily impacted by these things (yet) but I do feel the pain of many friends and collegues that have been impacted.

      I don't have the answers, and there's never going to be an easy solution to these types of problems.

      --
      - It's not the Macs I hate. It's Digg users. -
    2. Re:What's better? by vlad_petric · · Score: 2, Insightful
      The H-1 part I simply don't see. It's simply bringing people that are (much) more skilled than the average American. Furthermore, there's a cap on them - about 200k IIRC. This means that there's basically one H-1 worker per 1500 Americans. Finally, let's not forget that other countries are sometimes better in training specialists in some fields. It's very weird that these countries are very upset that they're losing their top specialists (after subsidizing their education), while in the States people feel threatened by them.

      BTW, let me just point out that almost any kind of commoditization helps the economy, including the one of the workforce. For instance, post-WW2 Germany did benefit from cheap Turkish workforce, which contributed to their rebuilding effort. Well, they tend to forget that now :)

      --

      The Raven

    3. Re:What's better? by cbreaker · · Score: 1

      It would be different if the H-1 imports got the same salary rates as everyone else, which they generally don't. An indian programmer is going to make a lot less money then a native one. So every single one of those 200K people is going to go straight to the workforce - and the locals either take 40% pay cuts or find a new profession.

      There's not many professional professions where this type of thing happens. Think doctors, lawyers, stamped surveyors, etc. Good programmers and IT professionals usually have had to undergo years of study to land the jobs that the H1's are taking. But you don't see an Indian, Russian, Chinese, or whatever Doctor coming in and working for 40% less.

      I don't think the problem is epidemic yet, but yea people are definately threatened by this and I can't really blame them. In 10 years it could very well be impossible to find a decent wage programming.

      There really isn't a shortage of skilled computer people in the US, as much as some big businesses would make people believe. Companies just want cheaper programmers and IT workers.

      While if it's true that commoditization of workforce might help the economy in the long run, it's hurting local talent now. It only helps put more money in the pockets of executives and stock holders.

      But hey, I'm no expert. I only know what I see.

      --
      - It's not the Macs I hate. It's Digg users. -
    4. Re:What's better? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is it possible that the local talent places a higher value on itself than the companies do? If they are unwilling to work for what the job is worth to the company, then the company will look for someone who is willing to take that job. You may not have noticed, but there are a large number of Indian doctors in the US. A doctor's skills are not as affected by commoditization as an IT worker's. Improvements in technology will happen and they will affect some part of the workforce. That is a certainty. Unfortunately it affects you at this time. There was once a thriving horse carriage industry, the automobile came around and eliminated their jobs. More people now have IT skills and are able to function without you. Sorry, life is hard sometimes and we need to adapt our skills to changes our become obsolete.

  46. Well, shit. by Grendel+Drago · · Score: 1

    Goddamnit, that's why the last two months of resume-filing has felt like pissing into the wind. At least I have my medium-yecchy helpdesking job, for now.

    So how do I find people who are actually looking to hire?

    --grendel drago

    --
    Laws do not persuade just because they threaten. --Seneca
    1. Re:Well, shit. by Nataku564 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Friends, local listings, and university career centers are good place to start. Monster.com usually has a fairly high ratio of people who are actually looking to hire, but you will still probably do better using the first 3 I mentioned.

  47. First step toward Slashdot domination by GCP · · Score: 2, Funny

    They'll probably start by scoring all the first posts....

    --
    "Those who have never entered upon scientific pursuits know not a tithe of the poetry by which they are surrounded."
  48. Needs work by Hrodvitnir · · Score: 1

    Apparently the graph + legend is a fixed size. I tried lining up all of the different Skills to see how they compared and the size of the legend squished the graph vertically, causing it to be unreadable. And I hadn't even started to add the Locations. So this graph is useless if you want to compare more than 10 skills/locations at once.

    --
    "There are more important things than stopping terrorism. Upholding the Constitution is one of them." - Ars Forumer.
  49. I used to search for an appartment like that by mi · · Score: 1
    And for a used car... Listings on major newspapers' web-sites are auto-generated from databases and so are uniform and thus easily parsable...

    My script would poll the site every hour or so and notify me, if anything not seen before appeared.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  50. Re:Other Examples -- Yes, it still operates by Paul+Bain · · Score: 1
    Wasn't there another guy who used to do something like this? Called it something like SkillsMarket?

    He used to link to it in his /. sig but then, about half a year ago, he announced that he wanted to "move on with his life" and would sell his code, site and related goodwill.

    I think part of the deal was that he was going to open the source but I never heard any more about it. Anyone know if that happened?

    SkillsMarket is apparently still in business, and Hilton is still trying to sell it.

    There is another, similar site, whose URL I cannot remember right now.

    --

    A lawyer & digital forensics examiner. Also an expert on open source software (OSS).
  51. Re:That's a myth by symbolic · · Score: 1

    If I had mod points, I'd mod you up. Interesting post.

  52. Proper statistics from proper data by stimpleton · · Score: 1


    I'm sorry, but basing the "health of the IT employment market" on the number of job ads is flawed.

    Employment consultants are somewhere just below Real estate agents and car salesmen, where their job is not just making an individual sale(read commission), but portraying a positive and bouyant market, while continuing the industry's success.

    By glutting the market with jobs ads that many would not stand up to audit, achieves several things:
    - A percieved shortage means that commissions remain higher.
    - Give the business community the belief that things are buoyant and its OK to pursue that IT BPR at last.
    - Keeps the IT market turning over, rather than IT workers staying where they are because they are insecure, because they believe the market is flat.

    --

    In post Patriot Act America, the library books scan you.
    1. Re:Proper statistics from proper data by sgt_doom · · Score: 1

      You are so on target: firstly, various agencies, professional, temp, etc., post ads for nonexistent jobs, plus for they post ads for one job which shows up multiple times via different agencies. Newspapers run fictional fillers when they don't have enough jobs to be posted and need to fill space. The list of other reasons for nonexistent jobs showing up is too tedious to list......

  53. Work From Home Biatch! by Stopher2475 · · Score: 0

    Hey why go do a job. Send me some cash at moron@pleasetakemymoney.com and I'll tell you how to work from home making 85K and be off by 2:30PM every day!

    Until monster.com and computerjobs.com and all the rest can get rid of these ads they risk being pretty useless.

  54. Just don't let the gays marry by Urusai · · Score: 1

    They can take mah job, but they can't take away mah Bible!

  55. Scaling problems? by fatmanone · · Score: 1

    It seems there are some minor issues with the scaling of the graph, for instance try viewing the So. California alone and then So. California and D.C. Metro; look at the max on So.Cal. in both cases, they are shifted by about 300 according to the scale. Maybe it needs some sort of calibration, I guess?

  56. Obviously an American user interface student by heroine · · Score: 0, Troll

    You're obviously taking user interface design at an American college because the amount of pure torture in checking off 20 checkboxes by hand and reading a tiny graph 1/10th the size of the page can only be explained by the sheer dominance in inferiority of that university system.

    Now if you went to an Indian college you would have allowed us to compare all 20 options at once on a readable graph without having to kill ourselves checking boxes. If you can't make it work, outsource it.

    1. Re:Obviously an American user interface student by razmaspaz · · Score: 1

      And you are obviously going to an Indian school because you didn't learn that software does not become popular through a good interface design, it becomes popular throough marketing its features through throwing as much bullshit into the market as possible. Like a link on the frontpage of /.

      Now if you had gone to an American college you would have prepared an executive sales pitch and sold your vaporware to the first sucker who came along. If you can't make it work, hire more sales people. ;-)

      --
      I tried for 5 years to come up with a clever sig...only to realize that I am not clever.
    2. Re:Obviously an American user interface student by lucm · · Score: 1
      Now if you went to an Indian college you would have allowed us to compare all 20 options at once on a readable graph without having to kill ourselves checking boxes.

      Of course, and you would also have ended up designing web pages bloated with menus with more text in menus than in actual content, and with [+] that you can't click on.

      Or you might have designed web pages with electric people.

      And who knows, after a while you could have ended up a successfull web designer like this guy.

      --
      lucm, indeed.
  57. Project management and Calif* by heroine · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Now one thing you learn after college a lot more than you learn in college is exactly how to differentiate between jobs. The real world isn't defined as much by the type of programming you do as much as the scope of your responsibility.

    Resume readers don't care if you're a Windows programmer, a UNIX programmer, a hardware designer, or a secretary. They want to see if you're a programmer, project lead, project manager, marketing manager, director, etc.

    Things like Google, open source, wiki have leveled the playing field to where it doesn't matter if you study hardware, windows, AS/400, or UNIX. These things can all be learned by anyone at any time. In modern companies the skills at any given level of responsibility are being learned on demand as they're needed. Hardware designers one day are being used as UNIX programmers the next day.

    Todays differentiation is in how much responsibility you're capable of having. Most resumes are being divided into management, sales and programming and as far as we can tell from the 36 checkboxes, management is the place to be.

    1. Re:Project management and Calif* by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The real world isn't defined as much by the type of programming you do as much as the scope of your responsibility.

      Wrong. The real world is defined by getting the job done. Management believes the job can only be done by people who already have the desired skill set.

      Resume readers don't care if you're a Windows programmer, a UNIX programmer, a hardware designer, or a secretary. They want to see if you're a programmer, project lead, project manager, marketing manager, director, etc.

      Wrong. Resume readers are HR drones who score applicants by checking off what is in the job announcement against what is in the applicant's resume.

      Todays differentiation is in how much responsibility you're capable of having.

      Wrong. Todays differentiation is how little compensation you're willing to accept.

  58. It looks like a scam to me. by btarval · · Score: 1
    "One question though: Why computerjobs.com?"

    Personally, this submission to Slashdot just looks like a cheap way of advertising a lame job board. If there was a real intent to track the IT market, all one would have to do is go to dice.com, and use the bots that you get for FREE there.

    Dice.com is bigger, and nationwide. So you could really track how the IT market is doing over time.

    Dice is also the only board which takes consultants seriously. That is, it offers specialized selections to make it easy to track consulting-only gigs, so that you don't have to wade through a bunch of full-time jobs just to find the ones which are for consultants.

    Plus Dice doesn't charge you $50 to post your Resume, like this site does.

    So, IMHO, this Slashdot submission is just a scam to get free advertising for yet-another-lame job board.

    --
    The best way to predict the future is to create it. - Peter Drucker.
    1. Re:It looks like a scam to me. by sgt_doom · · Score: 1
      HEY! Is this the same guy that wrote that super-lame "cyberpunked" wannabe garbage.???

      I'll bet it is....

    2. Re:It looks like a scam to me. by btarval · · Score: 1

      I have no idea what you're referring to. Since you didn't post a link, I guess you're just trolling.

      --
      The best way to predict the future is to create it. - Peter Drucker.
  59. Re:IT Market Does Not Follow... _ MOD PARENT UP!!! by johansalk · · Score: 1



    Goddammit MOD PARENT UP!!! It's been a while since I read something as true and as insightful on slashdot. And modders beware particularly of those who disagree with him in long posts; writing too much does *not* equal being insightful - I say this because I have just seen a long post of someone who disagreed with him modded insightful though on reading it I had the certain feeling the modder either was an idiot or did *not* bother read that reply and examine its content for vailidity.

    And for anyone who thinks the US is a free market I'd say you're deluded! You need to read the book "protecting capitalism from capitalists" to understand the concept of "incumbency" and how big business and the rich in the US use their influence upon government to keep things in their favor and oppose the freedom of the market. http://www.savingcapitalism.com/

  60. Nothing new by StrawberryFrog · · Score: 3, Informative

    Jobstats.co.uk has been doing this for years, and aggregating counts of listings from multiple sites.

    --

    My Karma: ran over your Dogma
    StrawberryFrog

  61. someone has done this Re:or just use indeed.com by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    yes is has been done a few hundred, but not a 1000 job sites http://blog.indeed.com/2005/02/03/window-on-the-jo b-market/ http://devnulled.com/content/2005/01/an-evaluation -of-the-current-technology-job-market-updated/ Job Postings Per Capita http://www.indeed.com/jobtrends.jsp Can't wait to see what Google does for a job site aggregator (1) buy indeed.com (2) put up Google Ads (just like gmail) (3) ahhh, yes white collar money laundering!

  62. H1B Myths by VP · · Score: 1

    While the government raised the number of H1B visas in response to the Internet bubble (belated as usual), the H1B numbers have since shrunk back to pre-1995 levels. All H1B visas for 2005 were exhausted in a single day last October. According to the parent, since there is a cap on H1Bs we should be seeing the raising wages and improved working conditions. I can't wait...

    1. Re:H1B Myths by randall_burns · · Score: 1

      However, L-1 visas were substantially expanded during this period--and there are various ways to use L-1 workers for the same purpose as H-1b workers. Also, a substantial number of H-1b workers are and were exempt from that cap. Also the 1998-2002 expansion was _so_ huge that it created a huge backlog.

  63. Jobsearching software by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I got kinda bored reading job adverts everyday and decided to write something to manage the process:

    http://www.jobtrawler.co.uk/

  64. Dallas market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A great deal of the jobs in Dallas are for specific technologies; Websphere, Java, Oracle, etc.

    You won't have job satisfaction **even as a Senior Project Manager** if you are a 'such-and-such guy' being shoehorned into another discipline.

    If the focus is on your station, then it's all about the $$$, not the work - which is what a lot of us are in this for.

  65. E-JOBS by ultrapcs · · Score: 1

    Here is a nice web site for posting jobs : http://e-jobs.com/