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Majority Of Customers Prefer Blu-Ray

bonch writes "A poll shows Blu-ray as the preferred choice, as conducted by Penn, Schoen and Berland Associates. Customers were given a side-by-side comparison of HD-DVD and Blu-ray. The results were that 58 percent of the 1,200 polled chose Blu-ray, and 26 percent were undecided. Generally speaking, HD-DVD is preferred by those seeking to reduce manufacturing costs while Blu-ray is preferred by those more interested in features and data storage." Sony's PS3 is to use the Blu-Ray format.

82 of 413 comments (clear)

  1. Uh-huh. by Musteval · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And what percentage were convinced by the cool name and blueness, rather than the fact that one is slightly different?

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    1. Re:Uh-huh. by agraupe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Umm... probably 80-100%. That's the point of marketing. Whatever speeds its adoption is a good thing, because it is technically superior.

    2. Re:Uh-huh. by surefooted1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Generally speaking, HD-DVD is preferred by those seeking to reduce manufacturing costs while Blu-ray is preferred by those more interested in features and data storage.

      Yea, because the average consumer cares about manufacturing cost vs. features and data storage.
      This poll is about useless.

    3. Re:Uh-huh. by mattspammail · · Score: 2, Funny

      That sounds promising! I want one of those.

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    4. Re:Uh-huh. by Parham · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Apparently the market LOVES bad spelling. If you check out http://www.blu-ray.com/ you can actually find a spot where they spell "Blu-ray" as "Blue-ray" (check under the headline titled "Jan 18, 2005 - Sonopress Joins Blu-ray Disc Association"). I think they're undecided on the name...

    5. Re:Uh-huh. by Mozk · · Score: 2, Informative

      "A poll conducted by the group backing the Blu-ray next-generation DVD standard shows that the technology is supported by a majority of consumers, putting rival HD DVD on the defensive."

      It's fairly obvious that they skewed the questions towards themselves. There's no way they were unbiased about it.

      --
      No existe.
    6. Re:Uh-huh. by JLF65 · · Score: 3, Informative

      You obviously don't follow the news closely... Blu-Ray can do 100G now, and Toshiba's scratch resistant coating will be standard on all Blu-Ray discs. Since it will be used on all discs, it will add less than a penny to the cost of the disc.

      You gotta keep a close eye on the news - things are changing almost daily.

    7. Re:Uh-huh. by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If you're going to do capacity comparisons, at least use the same number of layers.

      45 GB for HD-DVD is with 3 layers. If the BluRay disc had 3 layers, it'd have a capacity of 75 GB, a 30 GB difference. (FWIW I haven't heard of any attempts at a 3 layer BD, but 4 layer BD media has been created and that has a capacity of 100 GB).

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  2. How much of it is just the name? by AtariAmarok · · Score: 4, Interesting

    How much of this customer preference is just the name? "Blu-Ray" is easy to remember, and does not sound like much anything else. "HD-DVD" sounds like just more tech alphabet soup, or part of a features list string for a Dell desktop ad.

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:How much of it is just the name? by DigitumDei · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yes, and right now its just the name of the hardware.

      I bet whichever format gets more of the "cool stuff" to begin with will more than likely be the format that wins, regardless of the actual technology.

    2. Re:How much of it is just the name? by theNote · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Kind of reminds of when you had to decide whether you were going to get DVD+R or DVD-R discs.
      Now you can get a dual format drive for less than $50 and not have to worry about it.
      I'm guessing after a little while we'll see the same thing happen with the new formats and nobody will care which one you're using.

    3. Re:How much of it is just the name? by dsginter · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Blu-Ray" is easy to remember, and does not sound like much anything else.

      Unfortunately, the plan is to call it a "BD-ROM" or "BD-RAM", depending on rewritability. I can see it now:

      CD-ROM
      CD-R
      CD-RW
      DVD-ROM
      DVD-R
      DVD-RW
      DVD +R
      DVD+RW
      BD-ROM
      BD-R
      BD-RW
      BD+RW
      HD-DVD
      HD -DVD-R
      HD-DVD-RW
      HD-DVD+RW

      I think the plan is to get the consumer to actually pass out when shopping for media. Then, the store clerks will just steal their wallets.

      --
      More
    4. Re:How much of it is just the name? by jacexpo069 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Right, like how the name FIREWIRE blew the jumble of letters USB2 right out of the water, even if it was technically superior

    5. Re:How much of it is just the name? by AtariAmarok · · Score: 2, Insightful
      "Right, like how the name FIREWIRE blew the jumble of letters USB2 right out of the water, even if it was technically superior"

      You are comparing apples and oranges. These are two entirely DIFFERENT interfaces.

      More relevant is how the "better name" Firewire really eclipsed Sony's name for the same thing (something like IEEE-1394, I think).

      --
      Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    6. Re:How much of it is just the name? by Sentry21 · · Score: 5, Funny

      Nonsense! I look forward to shopping for my first dual-layer 52x/52x/48x/32x/24x/16x/8x/4x/2x/2x/2x/4x/2x/2x/2x CD/DVD/BD/HD-DVD+/-RW/RAM drive.

    7. Re:How much of it is just the name? by NutscrapeSucks · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Unfortunately, Apple restricted the use of the "Firewire" brand name in the early days, so most PC implementations were forced to use the unsexy "IEEE1394" moniker.

      However, the real reason USB2 was victorious is because it is free technology while Firewire still requires some sort of licensing fee. Hopefully now that Apple and Intel are in bed, they can come to some sort of agreement and 1394 will become a standard PC chipset feature.

      --
      Whenever I hear the word 'Innovation', I reach for my pistol.
    8. Re:How much of it is just the name? by Dogtanian · · Score: 2, Informative

      Kind of reminds of when you had to decide whether you were going to get DVD+R or DVD-R discs. Now you can get a dual format drive for less than $50 and not have to worry about it. I'm guessing after a little while we'll see the same thing happen with the new formats and nobody will care which one you're using.

      My understanding (gained mainly via my memory of /., so take it with a pound of salt) is that Blu-Ray and HD-DVD are far more different at a fundamental level, and it wouldn't be as simple to produce devices that support both formats.

      Of course, it would probably be possible to squeeze technology to read both types of disks into a single drive, but in a worst-case scenario, this could involve (essentially) two separate mechanisms in the same case, costing at least twice the price.

      Who'd buy *that*?

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    9. Re:How much of it is just the name? by tabrnaker · · Score: 2, Funny

      There's your problem, you checked Dell! If they figured out how to sell computers without power supplies, i'm sure they'd make those optional as well.

    10. Re:How much of it is just the name? by benwaggoner · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Trust me, your fingers can handle a lot more latency than 250 Mbps of video data.

      FireWire 400 does a lot better job of sustaining high bitrates of streaming data than USB2 does. Which is why non-real time tasks like copying files off a digital camera use USB, while real-time video transfer uses FireWire.

    11. Re:How much of it is just the name? by Phat_Tony · · Score: 2, Insightful
      You are confusing latency and bandwidth, which are completely different things. Latency is the time between stimulus and response; bandwidth is the data transfer rate.

      Saying "your fingers can handle a lot more latency than 250 Mbps" is nonsensical- 250Mbps is a measure of bandwidth, not latency. I couldn't find any statistics on a latency difference between USB and Firewire interfaces, and any latency either has is going to be something in milliseconds that will never be apparent to humans no matter what the application. External drives that have dual Firewire/USB interfaces don't even bother to quote different latency specs for the different interfaces, it's so close to identical.

      As I said, Firewire had greater bandwidth, so if you needed to move a lot of data in real time, then that was an advantage. Firewire became the standard for video instead of USB because USB 1.1 didn't have enough bandwidth to handle a DV stream, and it probably helped stop USB2 from taking over later that Firewire was designed specifically to handle a DV video stream and has great protocols for doing so. USB2 could probably do as good of a job- the latency's effectively the same as Firewire, and the bandwidth is competitive. You can find many pages online testing, measuring, and debating the merits of Firewire and USB2 for various real-time uses, like MIDI. Note, this article on MIDI latency doesn't even mention the latency of USB and Firewire, only the read/write speeds- the bandwidth, because the latency of the interfaces is irrelevant. USB2 actually wins the realtime data transfer test in their comparison because it achieves faster write speed. If you look around, there are a lot of other real-world tests online showing USB2 and Firewire to have similar bandwidth, and the latency of the interfaces isn't even an issue.

      Again, your division of tasks with non-realtime using USB and realtime using Firewire is a coincidence of the two things you pointed out. Plenty of realtime applications are done through USB, and plenty of tasks that aren't time sensitive are done through Firewire. I could as easily switch your sentence around to say "Which is why non-real time tasks like tape backup drives use Firewire, while real-time webcam video uses USB." You can get webcams, printers, hard drives, and all sorts of things with either interface or both. Firewire rules video transfer for the reasons I've mentioned, and USB rules keyboards and mice because USB chips were much, much cheaper than Firewire chips a few years ago. Neither ever had anything to do with latency, and neither has anything to do with current bandwidth differences between Firewire and USB2.

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  3. Pepsi Challenge by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This isn't like one of those setup Pepsi challenges where they would shake up a bottle of Coke making it flat so the people would choose Pepsi is it?

    Now why is it I think that all side-by-side comparisons can be equated to the Pepsi challenge? Well with a rhetorical question I'll be the one that answers it for you. If you're seeking a certain result you will find it; thus, whatever side-by-side comparison done always seems like a Pepsi challenge whereby the results are skewed by either a deliberate or unconscious malicious act in some way.

    1. Re:Pepsi Challenge by sbrown123 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I liken this to more how TV resellers adjust the color and contrast settings on televisions so customers think one has a better picture compared to one next to it.

    2. Re:Pepsi Challenge by dpbsmith · · Score: 2, Funny

      Funny you should mention that.

      My son was about 7 years old when they were doing the Pepsi Challenge in a mall.

      He took it very seriously. Tasted both and said that he preferred the one that turned out to be Pepsi.

      When they foolishly asked him "why," he says very seriously, "It's colder, and it has more carbonation."

    3. Re:Pepsi Challenge by sznupi · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Using deafult settings is the problem (at least here in EU, Poland, specifically). They're all...well, colours are waaays too saturated (it just doesn't look like real world dammit), contrast also way too high. But people buy this trick ("oh, look how nice, intensive colours, this TV must be good), and the funniest thing is when they see my TV on (rare sight...but still), and say something like "is it broken?" or "why do the colours aren't as nice as on mine" when THE COLOURS ARE SET TO MIMICK REALITY.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
  4. History Repeats... by Manip · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If history of technology has shown us anything, in a two horse race the cheapest normally wins unless their is a VERY good reason for it not to.

    This might be one of those cases; HD-DVD seems perfectly capable as a higher capacity DVD; why would people want to pay a premium for a few more features about 10% higher quality?

    1. Re:History Repeats... by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I think the economics argument is a red herring though. AFAIK the big argument against BluRay is that duplicators would need to purchase all-new equipment to produce BluRay discs. HD-DVD's claim to fame is that you can retrofit production onto existing DVD duplication hardware.

      The thing is, the hardware purchase is a single expense. AFAIK the media/materials used cost the same. Once you start manufacturing hundreds of thousands or millions of discs, the cost per disc of the all-new hardware quickly approaches zero.

      Left with that reality, it comes down to which is technologically superior and offers the most bang for the buck, and the answer to that is BluRay.

      I don't think Sony is about to repeat their Beta experience. :P

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:History Repeats... by Keebler71 · · Score: 4, Insightful
      You are right on. What people "want" or "prefer" is largely irrelevant. What they will pay for is all that matters.

      For instance, almost everyone I know complains about Southwest Airlines - particularly the dreaded "Cattle Call" seating assignments... yet when push comes to shove (pun) their planes are full of paying passengers and they are the only major airline to post a profit every quarter since 9-11.

      --
      "It takes considerable knowledge just to realize the extent of your own ignorance." - Thomas Sowell
    3. Re:History Repeats... by Kjella · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, the primary reason it's not quite like that is that the low-end is already covered by DVDs. HiDef DVD is only for those that have bought HDTV equipment, which is sort of pricy.

      The real decider here is indirect deployment. XBox 360 will have DVD. PS3 will have Blue-Ray. Revolution will have DVD. That makes me very comfortable that Blue-Ray is a format that will remain supported for a very long time. If HD-DVD flops, MS chooses BD for their next console after 360, what is left?

      When I buy a movie on Blue-Ray now, I expect it to be pretty much as good as it gets for several decades. I don't expect any "SuperHDTV" or "SuperHD-DVDs" for a very long time. That makes me very interested in making it last. And I'm still waiting until the dust settles regarding DRM before I buy a HDTV screen, it's no good if I can't play content on it. I was looking at the Westinghouse 37" LCD, but it has DVI-HDCP which has some incompatibilities with HDMI-HDCP. Great.

      Kjella

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
  5. From the very start of TFA by Lord+of+the+Wazz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    A poll conducted by the group backing the Blu-ray next-generation DVD standard shows that the technology is supported by a majority of consumers, putting rival HD DVD on the defensive.

    Shock horror, the Blu-ray guys have come up with a poll that says their product is better. Next story please...

    1. Re:From the very start of TFA by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Funny
      Be careful, they might come after you with their blu-rayguns.

      -Eric

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  6. But what do the pornmongers think?` by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    As we all know from the VHS-beta wars, which format wins out depends not on what consumers want, but what the pornography industry prefers.

    1. Re:But what do the pornmongers think?` by jurt1235 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Small error there: What does Sony (biggest backer of blu-ray)allow? is the better question. Philips (the inventors of Beta) did not allow porn to be published on their format. The VHS people did allow this, thus the public nicely bought the VHS (sex sells).

      So if Sony allows porn on the blu-ray, they are at least equal in competition (on that level).

      The price will come down with volume, and ps3 will mean volume enough to be competitive

      --

      My wife's sketchblog Blob[p]: Gastrono-me
    2. Re:But what do the pornmongers think?` by Kjella · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The porn industry prefers SD over HD so you can't see the boob job scars, unclean skin and that the "20yos" are actually 30 and a thick layer of make-up. That is the norm. I'm sure a few high-enders like Playboy and such will come out with solid HDTV releases, but most of the industry don't want to. It screws up both the "cheap equipment" and "cheap actors" bit, the price of the DVD platter isn't the real issue.

      Kjella

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    3. Re:But what do the pornmongers think?` by OBeardedOne · · Score: 2, Funny

      "Betamax won" Uh, I choose to disregard this reality and substitute my own.

    4. Re:But what do the pornmongers think?` by _Spirit · · Score: 3, Informative

      Small correction:

      Sony invented Beta, Philips invented Video2000, both were technically superior to VHS.

      --

      beauty is only a light switch away

    5. Re:But what do the pornmongers think?` by Golias · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Most of the people do _not_ purchase porno. If you're past-teen single loser

      Psst: Porno is sometimes purchaces by married people, including women. Shhhh! Don't tell anyone, though. It's important that we pretend the entire multi-million-dollar industry is driven by skeevy 40-something single pervs in yellow trenchcoats, so we can all continue to be morally outraged about it.

      --

      Information wants to be anthropomorphized.

  7. I prefer 8" floppy disks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    But that doesn't mean anything, since I'm a classic/vintage computer user (PDP-11)
    Seriously, though...how do surveys this early in the technology curve for the next-DVD-replacement mean anything?

    1. Re:I prefer 8" floppy disks by BronxBomber · · Score: 2, Funny
      They dont mean anything.

      Their only purpose is to keep the tech buzzwords fresh in the minds of the consumer in between Jerry Springer reruns.

      --
      ...both interiorlly, and exteriorlly.
  8. That's the one by AtariAmarok · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's the one where the Pepsi rep makes sure that he pees in the Coke bottles before each and every "Taste Challenge".

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
    1. Re:That's the one by partycrasher · · Score: 2, Funny

      and still only 50% prefers the Pepsi...

  9. If it were up to the customers... by Jjeff1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    On DVD's we wouldn't have to sit thru FBI warnings or have region restrictions, or not allowed to fast forward thru scenes.
    That survey is good to make people think they're being listened to. They're not.

    1. Re:If it were up to the customers... by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually, only certain studios seem to do that. I've found that most of the movies I watch don't have that problem (20th Century Fox and Miramax don't, while I seem to recall every Paramount or Disney movie insists on you seeing everything before reaching the main menu).

      You're not suggesting boycotting the competing formats at least, but if you want to complain, complain to the individual studios who can't seem to accept that you actually bought (and now own, or did I license it?) their product and just want to see what you bought.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:If it were up to the customers... by oneandoneis2 · · Score: 2, Insightful
      That's one of the biggest things that tempts me to build a Linux media center to replace my current DVD player: mplayer lets me skip all that crap at the start of the disc.

      Maybe it's unreasonable of me, but I resent being forced to play some "Don't download DVD's, it's theft" crap before I can watch the movie that I bloody paid for.

      On a rental disc, I can accept it. I can even accept mandatory adverts on hired discs. But not on my own, paid-for discs, thanks very much.

      --
      So.. it has come to this
  10. To be expected by saterdaies · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Blu Ray discs hold more data. Anyone hearing a run down comparison is going to go with blu ray. Personally, I'm still a bit scared about potentially loosing data because the layer of protection is so small. Of course, I'm sure the comparison didn't say "the protection layer is almost non-existant in blu ray discs".

    It might be an unfounded fear, but I won't know that for at least a year after I get blu ray stuff.

    1. Re:To be expected by Blkdeath · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Anyone hearing a run down comparison is going to go with blu ray. Personally, I'm still a bit scared about potentially loosing data because the layer of protection is so small.

      Based on personal and professional experience (friends and clients) this may be a misnomer. They could make the protection layer 2mm thick and customers would still use their discs as coasters (or skating rinks for mice).

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

  11. Of course they prefer it. by 91degrees · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Blu Ray has a sexier name. HD-DVD sounds like somethign for an IBM PC.

  12. Not to be confused with... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    The study's editor insightfully removed the "death-ray" option from the final results, despite an 82% preference rate among the 12-32 demographic.

  13. Exactly the same codecs on both by SgtChaireBourne · · Score: 2, Interesting
    Probably most of it, in the consumer poll. Most people don't know much other than the name. That said, the two variants are basically the same except for the storage capacity and manufacturing process.

    On the software side, they encompass the same codecs. It'd be nice if the BBC or some consortium of similar institutions could get the proprietary codec off the Blu-Ray spec and put an open standard on there instead. Dirac or Theora could do for video what the web (HTML+HTTP) did for the net.

    Last I heard, the audio codec was not selected. That would be a prime use for Vorbis.

    --
    Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
  14. And I, for one, welcome our blu-ray overlords by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Funny
    You can't trust a poll made by someone who's biased.

    Hey, 2 out of three are accurate. So just wait until they're three and hope that two of them agree.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  15. Blu-ray loses big time by mrRay720 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seriously, if you're running your own biased survey, you've loaded the dice in your favour, and you still only get 58% of the vote for something most people can't tell apart anyway, something is wrong.

    What isn't said there, is that all 1200 of these consumers work for Sony.

  16. Well, I'm convinced by BaudKarma · · Score: 3, Funny

    Sounds like the Blu-Ray people have the clearly superior product. I guess I'll be stopping by Frys on my way home from work to pick one up.

    On second thought, they'll probably all be gone if I wait that long. I'd better swing by during lunch.

    --
    It's the land of the brave, and the home of the free
    Where the less you know, the better off you'll be.
  17. the geeks will decide by aoty · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seeing how most consumers don't own televisions that support hi-def content, the only people who will care about Blu-Ray vs. HD-DVD are the geeks, folks who are likely to understand the difference and who will extract benefit from one format over the other. Joe Sixpack is perfectly happy watching his full frame flicks that he rents from Blockbuster on his 27" set.

    This may be one format war where the best product actually wins.

    1. Re:the geeks will decide by Blkdeath · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Seeing how most consumers don't own televisions that support hi-def content, the only people who will care about Blu-Ray vs. HD-DVD are the geeks, folks who are likely to understand the difference and who will extract benefit from one format over the other. Joe Sixpack is perfectly happy watching his full frame flicks that he rents from Blockbuster on his 27" set.

      I'd be careful there; with no payments until 200x, no interest equal payments for 24/36 months, etc. you'd be surprised what kind of home theatre Joe Sixpack has in his house. 52" Hi-Def screen, 7.1 digital receiver with pre-amp, 1000w tower mains, 100w sub-woofer, 5-disc DVD player connected with Monster Component video and digital optical audio cables, XBox and PS2 with A/V upgrade pack, RFI filtering power centre, ...

      In short Joe Sixpack has a better theatre setup than I do.

      --
      BD Phone Home!

      Shameless plug. Like you weren't expecting it.

    2. Re:the geeks will decide by Cowclops · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Though it doesn't change your point, Joe Sixpack buys a $5000 TV and $200 home theater in a box from my experience. I sell TVs at a major electronics/appliance retailer and nobody realizes that theres better audio out there than the garbage we sell. We do have some awesome TVs though, and people do buy them.

  18. Will be obsolete before the dust settles... by dpbsmith · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Sigh... not again...

    ...the early adopters who back the wrong horse will be punished and will learn a life lesson that will make them reluctant to embrace new technology...

    ...the general public will sit back waiting for the dust to settle...

    ...it will take five years before you can walk into a video store and see which format is the "normal" one, and see a choice of models at low prices stacked up in the local K-Mart or Costco...

    ...and just as I buy one, they announce the next pair of competing, incompatible (or compatible-in-"many"-but-not-mine) standards.

    As Theotocopulos says in the H. G. Wells movie Things to Come: "Stop this 'progress!' Stop it, I say!"

  19. Feature List by bigmurd · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Sounds like they missed the price tag out of the feature list. If you compared the feature list of Fords and Ferraris, you'd expect people to want the Ferrari more - but what do people buy? Getting slowly annoyed with these skewed PR surveys. Surely press hacks must be getting bored of filling space with meaningless copy?

  20. Twikki by AtariAmarok · · Score: 4, Funny
    "Unfortunately, the plan is to call it a "BD-ROM" or "BD-RAM","

    And now Sony will dust off that damn pan-faced robot from "Buck Rogers in the 25th Century" for commercials: "BD BD BD BD BD BD".

    --
    Don't blame Durga. I voted for Centauri.
  21. Blue Ray by KrunZ · · Score: 3, Funny

    Maybe people who voted actually wanted these rays: http://www.crystalinks.com/bluecrystals.html

    FYI: Google gives a ration 1:3 for "blue-ray" vs "blu-ray".

  22. Consumers also thought beta was better than VHS by voss · · Score: 2, Informative

    So what...

    VHS didnt win because it had a better picture, VHS won because it was less costly.

    HD-DVD has better backwards compatibility(hd-DVD players play older DVDs more easily)

    1. Re:Consumers also thought beta was better than VHS by almostmanda · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, VHS won because Sony wouldn't license porn. But, with the porn UMDs out there that Sony seemed happy to license, it looks like they have learned from their mistake on that one.

  23. Maybe true, but the capacity is important by tkrotchko · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The capacity of HD-DVD is not enough to hold movies and extras at 1080i.

    So it seems to me if studios favor HD-DVD its because they want to sell us all the movies on HD-DVD, and sell us the movies again on HD-DVD mkII which will have more capacity.

    From my narrow perspective, Blu-Ray would make a good medium for backup now that 300-500G hard drives are increasingly common.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:Maybe true, but the capacity is important by benwaggoner · · Score: 4, Informative

      And how the heck would you know that? The Blu-ray camp has made that assertion, but it simply isn't born out in real-world testing.

      Last week, for a test, I put a 123 minute movie on a DVD-9 using MPEG-2, using the HD DVD format (via Apple's DVD Studio Pro 4). Average of around 8.5 Mbps. Looked pretty darn good at 1920x1080.

      HD-DVD gives you 30 GB, and the use of H.264 and VC-1 for codecs. No problem AT ALL sticking "Return of the King Extended Edition" on a single side of HD-DVD. So using codecs that are 2x better and 3x more capacity, yeah, HD-DVD is just fine. Single layer HD-DVD will be fine for the vast majority of films, and even offers more minutes per disc at HD than DVD gives us minutes of SD today.

    2. Re:Maybe true, but the capacity is important by Hast · · Score: 2, Interesting

      1) Most DVDs are not filled to 9GB.
      2) The codecs used for HDTV are a lot more efficient. (A normal MPEG4 can typically reduce a normal DVD movie to 1.5 or 2 GB.)
      3) I got my numbers from a source at least somewhat related to BluRay.
      4) It doesn't matter that BluRay has a lot more space. The topic was if it will fit a movie or not. Once it fits a movie all else is bonus, but not requirement.

      My point here wasn't that HD-DVD was better than BluRay. It's quite obvious that BluRay can fit more data. The point was that HD-DVD is sufficient at least for the time being. Personally I don't care what we use, I'll just get a dual play which plays both formats.

  24. I'm not so sure about Sony by tkrotchko · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "I don't think Sony is about to repeat their Beta experience."

    They certainly haven't learned from their ATRAC experience.

    --
    You were mistaken. Which is odd, since memory shouldn't be a problem for you
    1. Re:I'm not so sure about Sony by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sure, but that was a CODEC. ;) I don't think they're going to drop the ball with BluRay; and unlike ATRAC [MP3, etc], MemoryStick [CompactFlash] or MiniDisc [Compact Disc], the existing alternative(s) for BluRay [HD-DVD] are inferior.

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
    2. Re:I'm not so sure about Sony by benwaggoner · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Can you give a real-world example where Blu-ray would provide a better experience than HD-DVD for "Hollywood" style content. Sure, as a floppy disc replacement for rewritable files. But for read-only video content?

      Bear in mind that once you get a high enough peak data rate, higher data rates don't look any better. So it isn't that the capacity of Blu-ray means all discs will look better - for the vast majority of films, both formats would let you use a maximum legal bitrate throughout the file. It's only titles where the greater capacity of Blu-ray over HD-DVD means you can use a higher average bitrate that you'd see a difference. And I suspect that'll come in somewhere north of 5 hours per side. Not a lot of content out there where you care about watching for more than 5 straight hours without interruption. And given that HD-DVD is cheaper to manufacture (at least at the outset) at a given bitrate, HD-DVD would be cheaper per minute of video. Sure, maybe an entire HD TV show season might take 3 HD-DVD discs instead of 2 Blu-ray discs, but does that difference really have much consumer value?

    3. Re:I'm not so sure about Sony by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Now, it won't necessarily be LOSSLESS audio, but who cares. It'll be audibly perfect, even if now a bit-for-bit copy of PCM. Really, even DTS is arguably overkill for 99% of home theaters. 448 Kbps AC-3 exceeds the acuity of most of our ears already. Bear in mind that's what the you're hearing in the cinema already.

      You lost me here. Why you're trying to persuade people on the next-gen uber HDTV movie format when your attitude is that lossless is a waste and that VC1/H.264 at low bitrates is "quality" is beyond me. What's your interest here? If you don't give a shit how it looks or sounds, you can stick with SD DVD and leave the rest of us to BluRay/HD-DVD.

      As far as LOTR:ROTK:EE is concerned, that's a 251 minute long movie according to iMDB. That works out to 15,060 seconds. Assuming HD-DVD ships this fall with 2 layer discs being available (I don't think 3+ layer HD-DVD or BD is realistic just yet for mass production), that's 30 GB of space. 30 GB = 30,720 MB = 245,760 Mb. That works out to 16.32 Mbit/sec of bandwidth for the full movie. With VC1/H.264 at 1920x1080 you're going to want 15-19 Mbit/sec for maximal video quality.

      I trust you see the problem with HD-DVD. No room left for audio let alone extras. With BluRay's 50 GB capacity we get the following numbers: 50 GB = 51,200 MB = 409,600 Mb. That works out to 27.2 Mbit/sec of bandwidth for the full movie. More than enough for the whole 251 minute movie plus some high quality multichannel audio tracks (maybe even lossless). Extras are still iffy, but you're still a lot better off than you were with HD-DVD.

      In so far as HD-DVD being cheaper, that's a red herring. Economies of scale will make any cost associated with BluRay disappear in short order. AFAIK the materials involved cost the same for both formats, the only cost for BluRay that's beyond HD-DVD is the cost of the duplicator hardware itself (HD-DVD can be retrofitted onto existing DVD hardware IIRC). But when you're dealing with hundreds of thousands or tens of millions of units per movie, the cost of those duplicators quickly disappear.

      I think HD-DVD is going to lose out here, I just hope this format war ends quickly so people can be saved the pain of having to rebuy movies in whichever format succeeds...

      --
      All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  25. I give by theantipop · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Honestly, the two technologies are close enough in features that I would much rather just avoid a format war than have to deal with the bullcrap I put up with to write to a DVD.

  26. What about C3D by zlogic · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Remember the C3D company? They invented a CD which could hold a nearly infinite number of layers because each of them is completely transparent, but if the laser is focused on a layer and shining on it, the layer is self-illuminating.
    C3D presented this technology back in 1999 or even earlier, they even had working prototypes.
    http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/ch ronicle/archive/1999/11/29/BU19966.DTL
    These discs could hold as much as 140 gigabytes of data!
    Compared to this, blu-ray looks kind of outdated.
    But the company went banckrupt (I think), and now in 2005 we are presented a technology IMHO less advanced than C3D.

  27. VHS won due to cheaper licensing. by MtViewGuy · · Score: 2, Informative

    The biggest reason why VHS won was the fact that JVC (the developer of the Video Home System format) and its majority shareholder Matsushita Electric offered extremely low licensing terms for other companies to manufacture VHS recorders--far lower than that of what Sony wanted for the Betamax format.

    Besides, VHS had another huge advantage, notably longer recording times at all recording speeds, something highly desirable for recording complete TV seasons, miniseries or sporting events. And VHS easily matched Beta improvements in sound and picture quality with VHS Hi-Fi audio and Super VHS higher-resolution recording.

  28. It's already been decided by burnetd · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Lest face it, this time next year there will be a few thousand HD-DVD players sold to early adopters and a few million Blu-Ray players sold disguised as PS3's.

    There will also be hell of a lot more people who won't what to upgrade from the DVD players they brought last year.

    Over here in the UK we might have actually have PS3's by then and possible be in four figures for the number of people watching HDTV.

  29. Re:HD-DVD is retarded by DarkEdgeX · · Score: 4, Informative
    I already covered the capacity argument here. As far as the video CODEC's go, check out this from the FAQ at www.blu-ray.com--
    The Blu-ray Disc Association (BDA) is still in the process of finalizing the BD-ROM specification, but they have stated that MPEG-4 AVC High Profile (previously called FRExt) and Microsoft's VC-1 video codec (the proposed SMPTE standard based on WMV9) will be mandatory. They will also include MPEG-2 support for playback of HDTV recordings and DVDs. Please note that this simply means that all Blu-ray players and recorders will have to support playback of these video codecs, it will still be up to the movie studios to decide which video codec(s) they use for their releases. The BDA expects the BD-ROM specification to be finished some time in the beginning of 2005.
    Also of interest is the H.264 article on Wikipedia, specifically the Applications section--
    Both of the major candidate next-generation DVD rival formats planned for product deployment in late 2005 include the H.264/AVC High Profile as a mandatory player feature -- specifically:
    • The HD-DVD format of the DVD Forum
    • The Blu-ray Disc format of the Blu-Ray Disc Association (BDA)
    All things being equal again, that leaves capacity as the only thing seperating the two formats as far as I can tell.
    --
    All I know about Bush is I had a good job when Clinton was president.
  30. Reliability? by Jugalator · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Generally speaking, HD-DVD is preferred by those seeking to reduce manufacturing costs while Blu-ray is preferred by those more interested in features and data storage.

    Personally, I'm the most interested in a format that can be at least as reliable (preferrably even more) than the DVD-R format. Now that would be something for data archival -- a common format that's reliable as hell. Especially as the storage size keeps increasing, I keep finding this to be an important factor. But for some reason you rarely hear about it in the Blu-ray/HD-DVD debate, but rather just what's more costly. If Blu-ray is more expensive but also clearly more reliable in addition to a greater storage, I'll happily pay at least 50% more for one of those than a HD-DVD.

    --
    Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
  31. Looking at history... by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's noticeably better quality, it's more expensive, it's backed by Sony...

    ...yep. It's doomed.

    Chris Mattern

  32. Re:Uh, that could backfire. by cheesybagel · · Score: 2, Informative

    People with diabetes have a higher glucose content in the blood. When they test diabetes in the blood or urine, that is what they are testing for. The more diabetes the sweeter the urine will be I guess. But I somewhat doubt it will cancel out the taste of salt.

  33. Right... by DaveCBio · · Score: 2, Informative

    The number of "average" consumers that have a clue when it comes to is pretty damn low. They were given a bullet point list and keeping in line with the usual tendencies they chose the one with the most bullet points and do you want to bet that Blu-Ray had the most bullet points? Back in the early days of word processors I had a conversation with a software distributor as to why Word was starting to outsell Wordperfect and he said Word had a bigger feature list on the back of the box. From that day forward I always paid attention to that aspect of marketing and he was right. People always assume more is better.

  34. In other news ... by xwin · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Reports show that majority of the customers prefer macdonalds. The same reports show that majority of the customers prefer not to be fat as well as not to excersize. Another reports show that clock is still blinking on most VCRs. The bottom line is that majority of the customers ether does not know what they want or want something for completely the wrong reason.

  35. Nerd Humor by bleaknik · · Score: 2, Funny

    The World Famous Dr. Eisenburg finishing his lecture on the importance of careful observation one day.

    He immediately moved on to a new subject, and he explained to his class that as a doctor, one can learn a great deal about what disease the patient has by tasting their urine. He then lowers his hand into a beaker of urine and sticks his index finger in his mouth.

    His class cringes. "Now class, I want you all to do the same. When this beaker has finished its way around the class, we will further our discussion."

    One by one each student gingerly places their hand into the beaker and then into their mouths.

    Finally the beaker finishes its way around, and the Dr. Eisenburg picks it up. "Now class, if you had paid attention to our earlier conversation, you would have noticed my middle finger was placed in the urine, and my index finger went into my mouth."

    --
    Deja Vu
    n. 1. The sensation that you've read this very article before.
  36. Both are Stillborn due to Excess DRM. by guidryp · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The market for those that have equipment that can show the resolution difference of HD content is pretty small. DVD offered something for everyone, HD offers something for a tiny percentage.

    Infintesimally small percentage when you factor in the ultra DRM on these machines that require DRM connections everywhere in the chain or drops back to standard DVD resolution by downsampling.

    I would be a prime candidate for next generation disk, I have been completely turned off by DRM overkill. So while at first I was drooling over the possability of HD LOTR goodness, I have completely given up caring as I won't be buying in for the DRM from hell setup.

    And you can bet the vast majority of people like my Mom and Grandmother who only have DVD because I bought them one will NEVER swith.

    I think it is toast just like the DRMd Super Audio CDs...

    It's more expensive, more restrictive, more complicated, but hey you get better quality if you have all the right gear and the planets align.

  37. A torrent to an actual HD DVD disc by benwaggoner · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Folks,

    I also posted this as a reply, but I figured some non-nested browsers might want to see this as well.

    If I could break with Slashdot tradition and post an actual example instead of half-understood innuendo, here's an actual HD-DVD for your edification

    I made a HD-DVD a few weeks ago with Apple's DVD Studio Pro 4. Here's a torrent to a .dmg file of it. The only player I've tested this with is DVD Studio Pro 4.6 on a Mac G5, but I think there is a beta Moonlight player that could do this as well. I'd be curious to hear about anyone not on a G5 Mac that can get this to play.

    It's nothing fancy, but I say a big advantage of HD DVD is that I CAN ALREADY MAKE THEM!

    http://216.99.212.233:6969/torrents/HD_DVD_TEST.dm g.torrent?1C6B407CD6671B2BB03F55C49D67CEB584A74D90

  38. Re:Content over technology by bleaknik · · Score: 2, Informative

    Ok. Not making shit up. The 24-bit/PCM comment was meant to reference to DVD-Audio. Sorry for the confusion. SACD actually encodes 1-bit audio at 2.8 MHz.

    You're right, a lot of artists do record in analog and then copy to digital, but there is still a loss in the conversion. In fact, every conversion creates some loss. Not making that up, either.

    You're right 16-bit/44.1 kHz records do sound quite a bit like 24-bit/192 kHz records. This is due to the physical limitations of the human ear. Most people can only hear sounds between roughly 20 Hz and 20 kHz. CDs have a theoretical frequency response up to 22 kHz, while DVD-As have a theoretial value up to 96 kHz. Since the human ear can only distinguish sounds up to 20kHz, DVD-A isn't providing much more for our ears to hear, but it does give a more precise reproduction of the sound wave.

    I do have some issues about 5.1 sound. I like the theory, but I can't say I've ever been to a concert with theatrical 5.1 surround sound.

    And "unbroken DRM"... I'm sorry, but all DRM is broken, by definition. Heh.

    --
    Deja Vu
    n. 1. The sensation that you've read this very article before.
  39. Get your numbers right by BobPaul · · Score: 3, Informative

    45GB for HD-DVD vs. 50GB for Blu-ray isn't that big a difference...

    No, 5GB isn't that big of a difference. The problem is that in order to do 45GB, HD-DVD's need to use 3 layers, while they were only intended to ever do 2 layers. Yes, they did recently hit 3 layers, but they will probably never get to 4 layers and they will only be sold as 2 layers when they first come out.

    Blue Ray was intended, right out of box to get to 8 layers. Right now with 2 layers they're at 50GB. They've already done 4 layers (100 GB) and wholey expect to get to the 8 layers in the future. This is a format with room to grow. HD-DVD just BARELY squeezed in 3 layers and still doesn't reach the capacity of a 2 layer Blu-Ray disk.

    It's no contest.
    200GB > 100GB > 50GB > 45GB > 30GB. (The two at the bottom are 3 and 2 layer HD-DVD respectively)
    --
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