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Idea Stock Exchange

Retrospeak writes to tell us The New York Times has an interesting article on an interesting business strategy used by a company called Rite-Solutions. The system recognizes the need for harvesting ideas from the entire company instead of just one or two "idea-men" in a stock-market-esque idea exchange. From the article: "We're the founders, but we're far from the smartest people here," Mr. Lavoie, the chief executive, said during an interview at Rite-Solutions' headquarters outside Newport, R.I. "At most companies, especially technology companies, the most brilliant insights tend to come from people other than senior management. So we created a marketplace to harvest collective genius."

160 comments

  1. Hey by smvp6459 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Can I sell ideas short?

    1. Re:Hey by B3ryllium · · Score: 3, Funny

      They call that "marketing".

    2. Re:Hey by digitalunity · · Score: 1

      the most brilliant insights tend to come from people other than senior management

      I thought this was always the case.

      --
      You can't legislate goodness. Let each to his own destiny, by will of his freely made choices.
    3. Re:Hey by ScottyH · · Score: 1

      Someone mod this guy up. Hilarious.

    4. Re:Hey by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      harvesting ideas

      Sounds like The Matrix. Oh, and if you're wondering how this is relevant to what you wrote, it's not. Just like your reply had nothing to do with the post you responded to... it's simply karma whoring.

    5. Re:Hey by moro_666 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Re:

      "We're the founders, but we're far from the smartest people here," Mr. Lavoie, the chief executive, said during an interview at Rite-Solutions' headquarters outside Newport, R.I.


        Admitting to the reality is actually a vital sign of the intelligence in the leadership. If you'd hire people more stupid than you in any intellectual business, you're f-d.

        I wish my boss would consider this fact in some areas more often :) I think it's a quite normal case in any IT company, the bosses are "oldschoolers", meaning sure they know how a pic cpu works and how perl text databases are cool, but their knowledge doesn't always map to the current situation out there. Transaction rdbms is the word, not a text database.

        I do understand that the bosses in situations like that usually do realize that their workforce is more talented or at least more up-to-date in the expertise, but unluckily for the workers, the selfpride of the bosses preceeds the rationality that you'd expect.

        Anyway, seems like one company (at least officially) is trying to fight the /disease/, i hope they do well and give a good example to the others.

        Ps. how would you fight this "pride" issue ? My current strategy is either to explain very calmly my selections in development paths or if that fails, just go along and point the primary reason out when it starts to fall apart... Humans are supposed to learn most from their "personal" failures.

      --

      I'd tell you the chances of this story being a dupe, but you wouldn't like it.
    6. Re:Hey by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      I would choose to work with bosses with significantly less clue than me. Enough that they *know* I'm better qualified than them. Every time I've been in a situation where it's felt "good", the boss has been fairly non-technical.

      Also, I still defer various forms of development decisions to them - and give them my best estimates at what the costs and benefits of each path is. I do NOT try to force the decision - it is their decision, I'm just giving them the information they need to perform it.

      This technique may work for the kind of bosses you describe - I don't know. I've always either had non-technicals or in-the-trenches bosses. Non-technical have been best.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
    7. Re:Hey by Radres · · Score: 1

      In a way, by always working for the non-technical, you are forcing yourself into the top position as a technologist, which is translating raw ideas into software. Maybe that's why you like it so much. ;-)

    8. Re:Hey by Eivind+Eklund · · Score: 1
      I don't always work for the non-technical - I just have found that to be what generally works best. Techs very often think they know more about the problem area than they do, and thus will override based on their "gut feeling", and do tech judgements without consulting the person that's actually working on the specific things.

      A non-technical *has* to rely on the information supplied by the techs.

      Eivind.

      --
      Doubting the existence of evolution is like doubting the existence of China: It just shows that you're uninformed.
  2. Japanese methods? by CarpetShark · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Didn't the Japanese have methods like this way back in the 80s??

    1. Re:Japanese methods? by tomhath · · Score: 5, Interesting

      My experience with employee suggestion systems or quality circles is exactly what the executives at this company are trying to avoid. An idea comes in, some big shot decides it's not worth pursuing, and the whole suggestion system/quality circle/whatever falls apart because employees get discouraged. These guys are willing to let their decisions be driven by internal market forces (the employees). Sounds like a pretty good process to me.

    2. Re:Japanese methods? by wfberg · · Score: 1

      It does sound remarkably like the Iowa Electronic Markets.

      --
      SCO employee? Check out the bounty
    3. Re:Japanese methods? by fireman+sam · · Score: 1

      Homer: "No more apples in the vending machines please"

      --
      it is only after a long journey that you know the strength of the horse.
    4. Re:Japanese methods? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you like Japan? I like reading manga and watching anime. I draw doujinshi in my spare time. E-mail me at crazy4japan@gmail.com

    5. Re:Japanese methods? by gad_zuki! · · Score: 1
    6. Re:Japanese methods? by Biomechanical · · Score: 1
      Didn't the Japanese have methods like this way back in the 80s??

      Kaizan (Kaizen?).

      --
      His name is Robert Paulsen...
  3. IP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Listen. Ideas don't come for free. You have to pay money.

    see what happened to patents...

    1. Re:IP by ZeroExistenZ · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ideas don't come for free

      Uhmm.. I just got an idea.. absolutely for free...
      Nobody can make me pay to use my brain.

      What are you? A commy? *shifty eyes*

      --
      I think we can keep recursing like this until someone returns 1
    2. Re:IP by adyus · · Score: 1
      Nobody can make me pay to use my brain.
      Ah, but what if somebody offered to pay you to use your brain?

      See how it works from the other side of the paycheck?
    3. Re:IP by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends on the field you work in and the contract you signed with your employer. There's a fair chance that your latest idea belonds to them.

    4. Re:IP by ZeroExistenZ · · Score: 1

      I get paid plenty to use my brain; I'm a software engineer and my employer depends on me to run his business and will depend in the future on my support and whatever my brain produced.

      He cannot "own" the things I learn and come up with during the time of the project. He'll own the software I'm writing for him, but our contract doesn't state he "owns" the techniques I come up with for him to come to his desired sollution.

      My employer only cares to see the research-report to become reality and make money off of that.

      The moment he feels that my "idea's" are considered his without a fair reward for giving him some nice income, I'd quit.

      --
      I think we can keep recursing like this until someone returns 1
  4. I got great ideas by fputs(shit,+slashdot · · Score: 2, Funny

    My ideas most involve inflatable sex toy, small rodent and chocolate spread. Where do I sign up?

    --
    I am the bastard of base minus 12! Turing was the ejaculate of my complete machine!
    1. Re:I got great ideas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jakc ass.

    2. Re:I got great ideas by fputs(shit,+slashdot · · Score: 1

      Afraid not, donkey is too big for what I have in mind.

      --
      I am the bastard of base minus 12! Turing was the ejaculate of my complete machine!
    3. Re:I got great ideas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey buddy, swap out the chocolate spread for a jar of honey, and it's a date!

    4. Re:I got great ideas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I understand small rodent and chocolate spread, but what's the inflatable sex toy for??

  5. A market for innovation by LadyLucky · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Just as stock exchanges and other markets have created the flow of money that has been the foundation of modern capitalism and the greatest wealth engine in the history of mankind, a market for innovation may well be the next step.

    How often is the person with the idea and the vision the guy with the business smarts to capitalize on it? How often does a company with excellent execution thirst for the next big idea? A marketplace for ideas and innovation is possibly the solution to this.

    It may be unpopular here, but in order to make such a market work properly, it's necessary to have the necessary protection for ideas and innovations - i.e., intellectual property laws need to be improved. That isn't to say that draconian laws are needed, but if I have an idea, I need a reasonable expectation that I will not get fleeced by offering it on a marketplace.

    An efficient innovation market backed up by appropriate laws may well be the next driver of wealth.

    --
    dominionrd.blogspot.com - Restaurants on
    1. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I love reading slashdot for comments such as this. The ignorant hoi polloi attempt to sound erudite but only exposure their shortcomings. Kudos sir, kudos.

    2. Re:A market for innovation by pHatidic · · Score: 1

      How often is the person with the idea and the vision the guy with the business smarts to capitalize on it? How often does a company with excellent execution thirst for the next big idea? A marketplace for ideas and innovation is possibly the solution to this.

      Same thing with science. There are a lot of brilliant scientists who spend their time researching really trivial stuff because they can't think of anything better. And at the same time, there are a lot of people with great ideas of research projects who don't have the PhD. What if we created a system like Wikipedia, but instead of holding the sum of all human knowledge it held the sum of all human ignorance? I.e., people could post questions on topics that science could answer but hasn't yet.

    3. Re:A market for innovation by killjoe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I have a hundred ideas every day. It's easy to come up with ideas. The hard work is in trying to figure out if the idea is feasable, gathering resources, manufacturing, marketing, etc.

      Your system would allow anybody with an idea to instantly stop anybody who is actually trying to accomplish something by working. It rewards the people who sit on their ass all day and type their goofy ideas into a web site hoping somebody actually tries to make something some day.

      That's the problem with patents. It punish people trying to accomplish something. It punishes doers.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    4. Re:A market for innovation by Anne+Thwacks · · Score: 1
      Here in the UK, the last thing companies want is new ideas. They all tell you they have enough ideas already. "F#@% off with your new ideas - we have enough already" is what management, especially financial management will tel you.

      If anyone wants ideas enogh to actually pay money for them, let me know. (I mean good, sound engineering ideas that will make someone a million dollars a year or maybe a billion. This is engineering - actual long-term investment required.)

      --
      Sent from my ASR33 using ASCII
    5. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It may be unpopular here, but in order to make such a market work properly, it's necessary to have the necessary protection for ideas and innovations

      That doesn't mean it's a sensible goal to have such a market. Logically, this isn't significantly different from "it may be unpopular here, but in order to make a slave market work properly, it's necessary to have ownership rights over slaves". It's trivially true but says nothing about the ethics or morals of having such a market.

      I consider I"P" unethical. I will fight to the death and slightly beyond (autonomous software agents) to defeat I"P"ists.

    6. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "An efficient innovation market backed up by appropriate laws may well be the next driver of wealth."

      Or maybe its the fact that "markets" are obsolete, the fact that people are forced to whore themselves out and need to "protect" their ideas with laws so the can be the exclusive ones to profit from them actually hinders innovation. you take an idea and lock it up and give one person or body of people the exclusivity to implementation rather then the free exchange of ideas and sharing. Co-operation > competition. The fact is markets exist because at bottom people are willing to co-operate and agree co-exist peacefully and agree to respect laws. Human beings simply are not evolved enough yet to get to the point where they move beyond the predatory phase of human development.

    7. Re:A market for innovation by twem2 · · Score: 1

      Markets are fascinating. Already they've been used to predict flu outbreaks with greater accuracy than experts.
      The Iowa Electronic Markets is very interesting and in the UK there's a growing trend to use betting markets on political events to predict results.

      Of course markets fail, and this one may, but its definitely worth a go, especially if it can be linked to implementing the idea somehow.

    8. Re:A market for innovation by MP3Chuck · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Reminds me of an article by Derek Silvers (creator of CD Baby).

      "To me, ideas are worth nothing unless executed. They are just a multiplier. Execution is worth millions."

    9. Re:A market for innovation by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      I think you've misunderstood what happened here. The only thing in that comment that is related to the article is the word "Stock Exchange." It is clearly a prepared comment just waiting for a slashstory with the words "stock exchange" in it.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    10. Re:A market for innovation by Alef · · Score: 1
      I agree completely -- ideas are cheap.

      In my experience, people who argue for stronger "IP protection" and the possibility to trade with ideas are often those with few ideas of their own (and hence think there is great value in them, I guess).

    11. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The amusing thing about this whole mess is that most companies already have contracts for this kind of thing. You come up with an idea, the company pays you $1, and they get rich off of it.

      I guess it's driving someone's wealth, though I have to wonder how that scheme is doing for innovation.

    12. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a hundred ideas every day. It's easy to come up with ideas. The hard work is in trying to figure out if the idea is feasable, gathering resources, manufacturing, marketing, etc.

      Marge: "You see all that stuff in there, Homer? That's why your robot never worked!"

    13. Re:A market for innovation by TheKidWho · · Score: 1

      LoL

      Good luck with that one, don't think there exists a server large enough to store all that info ;-)

      P.S. the majority of it would be filled with questions that are alread answered.

    14. Re:A market for innovation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You took the words right outta my mouth. Except I would have used hoiti-toiti (sp?), instead of hoi-polloi. They aren't all that different, are they. You an Indian, aren't you?!

    15. Re:A market for innovation by maxume · · Score: 0

      Of course, patents are intended to reward doers, rather than the guy with the most money. Sure they aren't working real well at the moment, but does anybody really want to live in a world where the only protection the little guy has is to keep secrets?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    16. Re:A market for innovation by tsm_sf · · Score: 1

      What if we created a system like Wikipedia, but instead of holding the sum of all human knowledge it held the sum of all human ignorance? I.e., people could post questions on topics that science could answer but hasn't yet.

      I'd like to suggest a sister site that would contain questions that science has already answered but isn't aware of yet. Data mining is going to be a huge and beneficial industry once a few CEOs and politicians are done away with (and I mean that in a strictly nonviolent way, officer).

      --
      Literalism isn't a form of humor, it's you being irritating.
    17. Re:A market for innovation by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Here in the UK, the last thing companies want is new ideas. They all tell you they have enough ideas already. "F#@% off with your new ideas - we have enough already" is what management, especially financial management will tel you.

      That's not just a problem in the UK. Many, many American companies have the same attitude, which is why it's so important to have a relatively free market, so that new competitors can emerge to better serve their customers.

      If anyone wants ideas enogh to actually pay money for them, let me know.

      Most people really like their own ideas. (I know, I've tried to get mine funded, too.)

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    18. Re:A market for innovation by arpad1 · · Score: 1

      I also am enraptured when the ignorant hoi polloi exposure their shortcomings. They just don't understand that sneering contempt is the defining characteristic of great intellects.

      --
      Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, minutus carborata descendum pantorum.
    19. Re:A market for innovation by Khalid · · Score: 1

      Well I fear that would be an order of magnitude bigger than Wikipedia :)

    20. Re:A market for innovation by greenrd · · Score: 1
      P.S. the majority of it would be filled with questions that are alread answered.

      No, the majority of it would be homework questions.

  6. It's a trap! by Jester998 · · Score: 4, Funny

    We're the founders, but we're far from the smartest people here

    Anyone who submits an idea gets labelled "not a team player" for not backing management's ludicrous schemes.

    It's a trap!

    [/end Dilbert-esque paranoia]

  7. Idea Stock Exchange by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm going to short neoconservatism.

    1. Re:Idea Stock Exchange by Stiletto · · Score: 2, Funny

      I wouldn't. If history has taught us anything, it's that old, rich, white conservatives never get what's coming to them. They just end up older, richer, whiter, and more conservative.

    2. Re:Idea Stock Exchange by Anne_Nonymous · · Score: 1

      >> whiter

      That just disproves all that environmentalist crap about the ozone layer. Now if you'll excuse me, it's time for my freon bath.

    3. Re:Idea Stock Exchange by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'll short progressive given that it takes away personal/individual liberties. Sadly it may take 1000yrs for my investment to mature. (like last time after greece)

    4. Re:Idea Stock Exchange by jcr · · Score: 1

      Whiter?

      Most of the rich people I see have a tan.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    5. Re:Idea Stock Exchange by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      I'm going to short neoconservatism.

      I'm not aware of anything that lets you short Neoconservatism itself, but you can short on, say, the chances of a Republican winning the 2008 US Election, using real money. It's currently at 50.1% over on Intrade.

  8. Art by committee... by IanDanforth · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The difficulty in any system like this is what I like to call the Artistic Paradox.

    Great art comes from experience and talent. It almost always comes from the vision of a single individual. Truly fine art cannot be done by committee.

    Thus while brilliant and committed people in business need the ideas of those people around them, a system like this can only serve as an inspirational tool for those people with talent. The idea is not the art, the execution of that idea is.

    I have lots of great ideas, but no matter how many I give out, or see on the web, few, if any, ever get done. Why? Because I'm lazy.

    This marketplace could easily give rise to dependence on it for ideas, and ignore the fact that people who can get things done often don't have the best ideas, but because they can accomplish them, are infinitely more valuable than the armchair quarterbacks scattered throughout a company. And asking people to implement ideas other than their own, even if they are objectively better, reduces a talented individuals ability to great true greatness.

    -Ian

    1. Re:Art by committee... by blueadept1 · · Score: 1

      You hit it bang on: Greatness doesn't only take a good idea, but good execution. Thus, you must have smart people to execute properly. But then, why will smart people be unable to think of a good idea? o.O

    2. Re:Art by committee... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This must be why the Sistine Chapel sucks, and (possibly) the Iliad and the Odyssey, and virtually all of the collections of folk-verse (the sagas, that Finnish national tale, etc) as well.

  9. If this is true, they'll succede by drewzhrodague · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That's right, good ideas don't only come from one person in the 'idea department.' If this holds true, and people aren't punished for speaking up, they may be much better for it -- and be able to monitize those ideas. Many companies I have worked for in the past, have an 'open door' policy with opinions, ideas, and better ways to do things. Not once have I ever heard a success story from someone piping-up. Didn't someone say something about hiring people smarter than you?

    --
    Zhrodague.net - I do projects and stuff too.
  10. How does valuation go?.. by clevershark · · Score: 1

    I have the feeling that an awful lot of ideas out there are the "penny stock" kind -- you know, the type you get a lot of spam about...

    --

    My sig is too lon

  11. Good idea, but doomed to fail by Opportunist · · Score: 1, Interesting

    It might've worked in Japan. It won't work in the Western world. Here's how it would most likely end up:

    Some worker on the chain finds out that what he does could be streamlined. He commits some of his free time (you don't think you'll be allowed to hand in ideas during work hours, do you?) to write down his idea and submit it.

    Middle management sees the idea, ponders it and punches as hard against it as it can, since it comes from one of the grunt workers and by default, they can't have good ideas. If they did, middle management could be sacked without a problem.

    Should the idea somehow survive this pummeling, the middle manager will write his name onto it and ship it upwards. Where it's found to be great and the manager gets a huge bonus.

    Should the grunt complain it was originally his idea, his reward is a pink slip.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:Good idea, but doomed to fail by Elminst · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Did you even read the article? Oh wait, this is /.
      Your "description" of how it works is utterly and completely wrong. In fact, it's near opposite to how this program works.

      I'd tell you to RTFA, but it seems clear you're just trolling.
      As someone already commented, I'd hate to work at your company.

      --
      No unauthorized use. Trespassers will be shot. Survivors will be shot again.
    2. Re:Good idea, but doomed to fail by Monkelectric · · Score: 1

      Do they need a software architect? :)

      --

      Religion is a gateway psychosis. -- Dave Foley

    3. Re:Good idea, but doomed to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not sure offhand. iss

    4. Re:Good idea, but doomed to fail by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Middle management sees the idea, ponders it and punches as hard against it as it can, since it comes from one of the grunt workers and by default, they can't have good ideas.

      Anecdote:
      Many years ago, I made quite a bit of money consulting for small companies in the area. I helped one; got word-of-nouth for the next, etc.

      This built until I went into one company, was told what the problem was and, as was my wont, went down to talk to the people on the floor. As usual, they already knew of the problem and knew what the solution was. I took their input, verified the technical merits of the solution and typed it all up into a report.

      When I handed it off (and collected a paycheck) I took a lot of praise from the man who was in charge of it all. Finally, I could take it no more and told him exactly how I solved this problem. The man immediately accused me of lying! Although he could think of no benefit from my lying, he was convinced that I was, because "Those lazy SOB's just never have any solutions for anything; they just create problems!"

      Pot, kettle, black.

    5. Re:Good idea, but doomed to fail by Bloke+down+the+pub · · Score: 1
      Should the idea somehow survive this pummeling, the middle manager will write his name onto it and ship it upwards. Where it's found to be great and the manager gets a huge bonus.
      Don't know how this got modded troll. Exactly that happened to my other half.

      They had to find the descrepancies between two excel sheets of transactions and they were doing it by sorting the lists, printing them, and manually going down the two lists side by side. Ticking them off with a pencil, or most likely a crayon. She's not a techie or she'd have figured it out herself, but once she explained it to me it took about 5 minutes to work out the solution and write the monkey card. Makes you wonder what kind of an IT department they have there, but I applied there once and was turned down...

      --
      It's true I tell you, feller at work's next door neighbour read it in the paper.
  12. Rite Aid? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I doubt my all knowing, all powerful, neighborhood Rite Aid pharmacist is going to take this without a fight.

    1. Re:Rite Aid? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      I dunno about you, but Rite-Aid got bought the fuck out here in Memphis. All the stores I've seen that belonged to Rite-Aid now have Walgreens signs plastered all over them. I fail to see how they're going to survive much longer without some major help.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  13. Google by binkzz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Isn't that what Google already does, with their personal project time and whatnot? That's how GMail got started, and Picasa, and probably a few other things.

    --
    'For we walk by faith, not by sight.' II Corinthians 5:7
    1. Re:Google by xTantrum · · Score: 0, Troll
      interesting business strategy
      funny how common sense issn't so common nowadays...YAWN..
      --
      $action = empty(PHP) ? backToC() : unset(PHP) ; "when the concrete cases are understood, the abstractions are readily
    2. Re:Google by bheer · · Score: 2, Informative

      Isn't that what Google already does, with their personal project time and whatnot? That's how GMail got started, and Picasa, and probably a few other things.

      Google has done some good things, but please don't give them more credit than due. Picasa was acquired.

    3. Re:Google by FleaPlus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Isn't that what Google already does, with their personal project time and whatnot?

      I'm not sure what personal-project time has to do with having an internal ideas market, but Google does coincidentally have an internal prediction market, which they described in their official blog last year. From the description:

      At Google, we're constantly trying to find new ways to organize the world's information, including information relevant to our business. Building on the ideas of Friedrich Hayek and the Iowa Electronic Markets, a few Googlers (Doug Banks, Patri Friedman, Ilya Kirnos, Piaw Na and me, with some help from Hal Varian), set up a predictive market system inside the company.

      The markets were designed to forecast product launch dates, new office openings, and many other things of strategic importance to Google. So far, more than a thousand Googlers have bid on 146 events in 43 different subject areas (no payment is required to play).

      We designed the market so that the price of an event should, in theory, reflect a consensus probability that the event will occur. To determine accuracy of the market, we looked at the connection between prices of events and the frequency with which they actually occurred. If prices are correct, events priced at 10 cents should occur about 10 percent of the time. ...

      We also found that the market prices gave decisive, informative predictions in the sense that their predictive power increased as time passed and uncertainty was resolved. When a market first opens there may be considerable uncertainty about what will eventually happen; but as time goes on, some outcomes became more likely than others. The market prices should reflect this phenomenon, with the implied probability distributions becoming more concentrated over time. ...

      Our search engine works well because it aggregates information dispersed across the web, and our internal predictive markets are based on the same principle: Googlers from across the company contribute knowledge and opinions which are aggregated into a forecast by the market. Sometimes, just feeling lucky isn't enough, and these tools can help.

    4. Re:Google by clevershark · · Score: 1

      It's also good to keep in mind that Google limits its workforce to people who demonstrate a fairly high intelligence. It's no guarantee that every idea they come up with is a golden one, but it certainly improves the odds that at least some of them are really worth looking into.

      --

      My sig is too lon

  14. they should learn from us by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In our company the ideas are generated by the CEO and his lieutenants - any ideas from the rest of us are met with "Why aren't you getting on with your work?"

    OK so our profits have tumbled dramatically since this guy took over a few years ago but money can't buy happiness, right?

  15. Great.... by RazorJ_2000 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Great concept but I can already envision a problem in the (lawless) US where an employee comes up with a great idea and some other employees leave to go pursue development and market delivery of said idea. And they get sued for idea theft or something along that line. What, did something similar happen with RIM / NTP where one great company developed a real, market demanded product that another (totally useless) company claimed was their idea? Hmm... food for thought in the mighty US, isn't it.

    (long live Canada)


    --
    pi=sigma{n:0-infinity}[(1/16)^n][(4/(8n+1))-(2/(8n +4))-(1/ (8n+5))-(1/(8n+6))]
  16. A good friend of mine... by FST · · Score: 1

    ...was among those who came up with the idea. He did note that there was a flaw in the plan, that is, not enough incentive for people to "buy" and "sell" stocks in these ideas, despite the few incentives put in place. The people at NYTimes are currently trying to think of a new incentive method to completely replace the current one, without costing the company much.

    --
    46487 466780 252994 376409 96920 39622 205366 244315 622115 512361 668040 63608 259203 955314 811176 652718 166330 23922
  17. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  18. A great idea by argoff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Believe that patents and copyrights are sewage, and act on that belief accordingly.

    If you did, you would have seen that the internet is more than a passing fad (1992), that Linux
    was more than a "toy" os (1996), that the x86 architecture and the IBM compatable PC was going
    to take over the market place(2000) inspite of it's original inherent design flaws. That p2p was going
    to explode in usage, that ethernet would win out over Novell, and Token-Ring despite being
    "technically" inferior. Plus you would have been able to anticipate the technology explosion
    that happens every few years when a new technologies 18th annaversary approaches and patents start to
    run out.

    All to often, a companies version of a great idea is something that they can patent, sit on,
    and collect royalities on without any real application usage or work. Well, bullshit - it's just
    the opposite. A great idea is something that proliferates and spreads in usage freely, without
    restriction.

    1. Re:A great idea by stubear · · Score: 1

      When the hell are you fucking morons going to realize that intellectual property protects the EXPRESSION of an idea, not the idea itself? This is a very basic concept and withoutunderstanding it we get the mindless crap often repeated on Slashdot like that from the parent thread.

    2. Re:A great idea by Tacvek · · Score: 1
      When the hell are you fucking morons going to realize that intellectual property protects the EXPRESSION of an idea, not the idea itself?
      You seem to be confused. Let's look at the different types of intellectual property, and what they officially protect:
      Copyright: Expression of Ideas
      Patent: Idea (officially an applied idea)
      Trade Secret: Idea (officially an applied idea)
      Trademark: This may protect an idea or its expression in some cases, although that is not the primary use.
      Mask rights: Expression of an idea.

      So it seems like some IP rights do protect ideas.

      On annother topic, I don't see the need for mask rights. The claim here is that copyright is not sufficent since the design of semi-conductor masks is mostly functional. The flaw in this line of reasoning is that in an average chip design there are many thousands of slight variations that are functionally identical. Slight differences in routing are often possible with no adverse affect. Placement of subsystems can be somewhat arbitrary. Chip manufacturers don't always stive for the most efficient layout. So it seems to me that copyright is most certainly sufficient in most cases.
      --
      Stylish sheet to fix many problems in Slashdot's D3: https://gist.github.com/801524
    3. Re:A great idea by argoff · · Score: 1

      When the hell are you fucking morons going to realize that intellectual property protects the EXPRESSION of an idea, not the idea itself? This is a very basic concept and withoutunderstanding it we get the mindless crap often repeated on Slashdot like that from the parent thread.

      property? protects? EXPRESSION? mindless crap? I think you need to re-evaluate your statement.

      This is half the problem, too many people just think that the patnet and copyright issues are just semantic issues. they are not. Intellectual property is not "property" in any sense of the word, a monopoly backed by the full coercive force of the government is not "protection", the fact that it's an expression vs an idea is irrelavent because no matter how you look at it - people who apply the ideas or information are coerced, and "mindless crap" is what happens when people believe all the bullshit that has been spoonfed to them about copyrights and patents without question.

      Patnets and copyrights are about real coercion, and that coercion has real consequences. In the scientific world, theories and awkward labeling are irrelavent - what matters are the measurable results. In the political and business world, it still seems they have some catching up to do.

    4. Re:A great idea by MythMoth · · Score: 1

      The IBM compatible PC was already pretty obviously the future of the market place in 1995. By 2000 you'd have to be working in a different industry and be struck deaf and blind not to know this. Your other dates seem pretty specious too.

      --
      --- These are not words: wierd, genious, rediculous
    5. Re:A great idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ...that ethernet would win out over Novell, and Token-Ring despite being
      "technically" inferior.


      I know that ethernet and tokenring are comparable (electrical/protocol specs). What is this Novell? Did it have its own part in that area?
    6. Re:A great idea by belmolis · · Score: 1

      With luck nobody will realize that because you're wrong. copyright protects the expression of an idea not the idea itself. However, copyright is not the only form of intellectual property. Another important form is the patent. Patents protect the idea, not merely its expression.

    7. Re:A great idea by Travelsonic · · Score: 1
      I'm responding to 2 comments:
      Patent: Idea (officially an applied idea)
      Patents protect the idea, not merely its expression.

      This site disagrees with the definition just slightly:


      Patent: A patent is granted by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office of the right to stop others from making, using or selling an invention in the United States for a limited period of time. An idea itself is not patentable; patents are only appropriate for useful things or methods of doing something.

      Top 10 Patent Myths: http://www.entrepreneur.com/article/0,4621,296849, 00.html

      --
      If you believe in privacy, and believe you have "nothing to hide" at the same time, you're a goddammed idiot
    8. Re:A great idea by belmolis · · Score: 1

      It's true that patents are supposed to apply only to useful things or methods of doing something, but those are still ideas rather than details of expression. You can see this distinction with software. If I wrote a program implementing a certain algorithm, my code is protected by copyright but not the algorithm. You can't copy my code without permission but you are free to study it to figure out the algorithm and rewrite it differently. Furthermore, if you implement the same algorithm without seeing my code, I have no claim on you, even if your code, by accident, or because the algorithm cannot be implemented very differently, ends up being virtually identical to mine.

      On the other hand, if I obtain a patent on the algorithm, you can't use it without a license from me even if your code is quite different from mine. Indeed, even if you independently rediscover the algorithm my patent would prevent you from using it. In this sense, patents cover ideas rather than their expression.

      A further point is that, although patents are supposed to be for ideas reduced to practice, what that means has become increasingly unclear. It is, for example, no longer necessary to present a working model, and in the case of software patents it isn't obviouos even in principle what the distinction would be.

    9. Re:A great idea by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with your apparent disapproval of patents. But those who pursue them put creative programmers over a barrel. We create new killer app, next we give it away or "sell" it as beggarware. Copycat company discovers said software, sees no patent, builds a clone, patents it, and threatens original creator. That sucks!

      Thaudit

  19. In the age of... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    ...employment agreements where the employer claims dominion over something the employee thinks of when he's taking a dump in his house during his Christmas vacation, I don't see how anyone would be trusting enough to throw their good ideas out for the taking like that. What if the company takes your idea and makes billions with it? What's to prevent the company from screwing you from a compensation standpoint?

    1. Re:In the age of... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > What if the company takes your idea and makes billions with it? What's to prevent the company from screwing you from a compensation standpoint?

      Nothing. In fact that is what happened to me: they had a brain storming party and my idea won. To save bonus expenses they very innovatively made my job redundant and I had to leave.

      Se now the situation is that they control the idea but will not risk money on it by making a full scale project. Rather it seems thay have sold the idea to others.

      I got nothing. Same with the runner-ups for the competition except that they kept their jobs.

  20. who's fleecing whom? by srussia · · Score: 1

    I need a reasonable expectation that I will not get fleeced by offering it on a marketplace

    Definition of "to fleece" (Webster): to charge excessively for goods or services

    I think you meant: "I need a reasonable expectation that I will be able to fleece everyone else when I offer it on the marketplace."

    Or do you think that although, in general, monopolies must be prevented "to make a market work properly", sometimes a monopoly must be created in order to "make markets work properly", and that Congress knows when to do one and when to do the other?

    --
    Set your phasers on "funky"!
    1. Re:who's fleecing whom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Definition of "to fleece" (Webster): to charge excessively for goods or services

      Another defintion of "fleece" (Webster): "to strip of money or property by fraud or extortion"

      I think you meant: "I need a reasonable expectation that I will be able to fleece everyone else when I offer it on the marketplace."

      I think you meant: "srussia is an ass licking moron incapable of logical thought."

  21. True... by clevershark · · Score: 1

    The idea of a pure meritocracy, although noble, is doomed because it is at odds with existing hierarchies.

    In a sense it's the same reason why getting a degree is a good idea nearly 100% of the time. Bill Gates may be the richest man in the world AND a college dropout, but the only reason he was able to achieve this was that he (with a number of other people) formed his own company. The minute you want to step away from the entrepreneurial path you need to have a degree -- any degree, as long as it's a valid one.

    Likewise in any existing business hierarchy merely delivering the goods is not good enough -- you have to deliver the goods AND play the office politics game in order to get ahead, and more often than not that means letting your boss take credit for ideas you come up with.

    --

    My sig is too lon

  22. Remixes? by drewzhrodague · · Score: 1

    Great art comes from experience and talent. It almost always comes from the vision of a single individual. Truly fine art cannot be done by committee.

    While not quite a committee, how 'bout remixes -- hip-hop, mashups, or otherwise? I'm sure there's some sort of exception to allow for that. Afterall, remixes are quite popular, some are quite artistic, if not so long lasting.

    --
    Zhrodague.net - I do projects and stuff too.
    1. Re:Remixes? by Tyler+Eaves · · Score: 1

      The amount of talent for those hack jobs is no where near that needed to make the material that was ripped off.

      --
      TODO: Something witty here...
    2. Re:Remixes? by CRCulver · · Score: 1

      While many remixers objectively suck, the best are continuing in the perfectly legitimate tradition of musique concrete or electronic experimentation that has resulted in some of the 20th century's most original artistic creations. See Griffith's Modern Music and After 2nd ed. (Oxford University Press, 1996). When I hear a remix like that the UK duo Spooky made of Lush's "Undertow", treating the original as raw sound material instead of any already existing song in need of some kind of improvement, I can't help but compare it to Stockhausen's Gesang der Jünglinge.

  23. Brilliance not all coming from Senior Management? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    hmmm... Maybe the Management Steering Group should start a focus group on this to verify...Is this rumour substantiated at all?

  24. Not Quite New by saridder · · Score: 1

    There are plenty of online exchanges for info and ideas, even problems that need solutions that link corporate R&D, Universities, and individual scientists. This is how a lot of companies innovate today - through collaboration, called C&D.

    Here's a few:

    ninesigma.net
    InnoCentive.com
    Yet2.com

    --
    --- RFC 1149 Compliant.
    1. Re:Not Quite New by chgros · · Score: 1

      through collaboration, called C&D.
      A Cease & Desist is usually not considered "collaboration"

    2. Re:Not Quite New by danboarder · · Score: 1

      Definitely not new.

      I've been participating in http://www.shouldexist.org/ for years...

      "ShouldExist.org: Idea exchange, news of the future."

      another comprehensive approach (almost like a dev wiki and CVS for offline ideas) is at http://www.thinkcycle.org/ ...

      "ThinkCycle provides a shared online space for designers, engineers, domain experts and stakeholders to discuss, exchange and construct ideas ... "

  25. Oh great by Oldsmobile · · Score: 2, Funny

    Oh great, a ponzi scheme but with ideas.

    --
    Some say he is made with ascii, others that he is eyeballed daily by millions. All we know is, he is known as the Sig
  26. this is a win for everybody by Schlemphfer · · Score: 5, Insightful
    >This marketplace could easily give rise to dependence on it for ideas,
    >and ignore the fact that people who can get things done often don't
    >have the best ideas, but because they can accomplish them, are
    >infinitely more valuable than the armchair quarterbacks scattered
    >throughout a company.

    Those people you're mentioning who "get can things done," -- isn't it to their interest, and everybody's interest, that they are implementing the very best ideas available? It's not like anybody's suggesting that these people be fired -- if anything the value of what they're able to produce increases as they are given better projects to see through to completion.

    And those "armchair quarterbacks" -- this term seems needlessly insulting, by the way -- if these quarterbacks are able to come up with the very best ideas in the company, shouldn't they receive all the encouragement in the world to dream up new ideas? And shouldn't they share the spoils of this success with the people who can implement these great ideas?

    Seems to me that this stock exchange idea is win/win/win for the GTD people, the quarterback people, and the company as a whole.

    --
    I'm generally "Interesting," "Insightful," and even "Funny" here. What the hell happens to me at parties?
    1. Re:this is a win for everybody by filament · · Score: 0
      if these quarterbacks are able to come up with the very best ideas in the company, shouldn't they receive all the encouragement in the world to dream up new ideas? And shouldn't they share the spoils of this success with the people who can implement these great ideas?

      I agree. Just because you're not very practical does not make your ideas worthless. Likewise, not every practical, driven person has any good ideas of their own. Sure, it's great if you can realise your own ideas, but in the majority of cases where this isn't the case, teamwork goes a long way.

      --
      This sig is covered under the GPL.
    2. Re:this is a win for everybody by gordguide · · Score: 1

      " ... Those people you're mentioning who "get can things done," -- isn't it to their interest, and everybody's interest, that they are implementing the very best ideas available? ..."

      They do implement the very best ideas available at the time they're considering new ideas.

      Once you begin to actually implement an idea (we could call this "getting things done") you are now unavailable to consider new ideas (we could call this "I'm too busy getting this done").

      Whether the reason is "busy implementing" or "not really that interested in doing it" (from the parent "... I have lots of great ideas, but no matter how many I give out, or see on the web, few, if any, ever get done. Why? Because I'm lazy. ..."), the net result is the same; only a few great ideas get done, and choosing an idea to do is limited by the brilliance of the ideas presented up to the moment of implementation, and stops at that point.

      Superior ideas that follow must be ignored, until the earlier one is "done". Assuming the one you did and the brilliant idea that followed address roughly the same thing, the earlier "done" one will prevail and new ideas in other areas will be sought for further development. Thus, we end up with a solid implementation of a mediocre idea, and people on /. and elsewhere lament the mediocrity of what we do have to work with. Which, of course, is inevitable.

  27. Oh really by iamdrscience · · Score: 1
    The system recognizes the need for harvesting ideas from the entire company [...] so we created a marketplace to harvest collective genius.
    We call it "The Matrix".
  28. Good to see the NY Times so up to date... by slyguy135 · · Score: 1
    ... what with the fact that HP came up with this first in 1999.

    (Knowledge gathered from the thought-provoking if slightly shallow "The Wisdom of Crowds" by James Surowiecki)

    1. Re:Good to see the NY Times so up to date... by filament · · Score: 0

      The HP idea is a way of managing the finances for services provided internally to other departments. This article is about a virtual stock exchange for ideas, so that everyone in the company can submit ideas and support or discuss those they like, with the possibility for being financially rewarded if they get behind ideas that bear fruit. They are not the same idea at all.

      --
      This sig is covered under the GPL.
  29. Smartest Idea of All by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course the first smart idea should be a financial model that allows the valuation of other peoples ideas.

  30. Public wanking session by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That post is exactly the reason why Linus Torvalds made his famous comment:

    "Gaah. I don't tend to bother about Slashdot, because quite frankly, the whole _point_ of Slashdot is to have this big public wanking session with people getting together and making their own 'insightful' comment on any random topic, whether they know anything about it or not."
    --Linus Torvalds

  31. Yes, even the general public could brainstorm by GuyMannDude · · Score: 3, Funny

    Yes, in fact, the Japanese used this method to allow the general populace to brainstorm creative solutions to the country's most vexing problem. Unfortunately for them, the demographics of the country were such that the votes of children aged 5-12 largely determined the resulting solution.

    GMD

  32. So... by netguardianii · · Score: 0

    Can I sell my thoughts short ?

  33. Stock Market? by c0dedude · · Score: 1

    I dunno if a stock market is the best way to model this, it feels more like a futures market to me.

    --
    Since when has this country used intellectual elite as a pejorative term?
  34. Ideas that kill companies often come from within. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Companies are often the victims of disruptive technology. What makes the technology disruptive is that the company can't take advantage of it because of the company's cost structure. It is often the case that the disruptive technology comes from within the company itself. That is, the company often develops (but can't use) the technology that kills it. This is hard to deal with and is often best solved by splitting off a division specifically to implement the disruptive technology.

    The idea exchange is a good idea. Taking advantage of the resulting ideas might be harder than management expected it to be. Good luck guys.

    I strongly suggest that these guys read Clayton Christensen's books on innovation and disruptive technology (if they haven't already).

  35. RTFA by Heembo · · Score: 1

    "But the two men, co-founders of Rite-Solutions, a software company that builds advanced -- and highly classified -- command-and-control systems for the Navy, don't worry much about Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange."

    --
    Horns are really just a broken halo.
  36. "Idea Futures" by samkass · · Score: 3, Informative

    Really early in the Internet's history (about TEN YEARS ago!!!) there was a site called "Idea Futures" that did exactly what this article describes. It was pretty fun... I wonder if it's the same folks.

    --
    E pluribus unum
    1. Re:"Idea Futures" by samkass · · Score: 1

      ^Internet^WWW

      --
      E pluribus unum
  37. We are the Borg, resistance if futile by moochfish · · Score: 1

    Even the Borg needed a queen.

    1. Re:We are the Borg, resistance if futile by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The queen merely acted as a focus for the distributed mind to act through. She did not control the borg, she was the borg.

  38. You can already share your ideas on the Web by walnut_tree · · Score: 2, Funny

    There are a number of "idea banks" already on the Web such as Should Exist and Halfbakery. These sites are a bit diffrent from the approach described in the NYT article though.

  39. This and other business plan sources... by spoonyfork · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This and other business plans sources can be found in the book The Wisdom of Crowds by James Surowiecki.

    --
    Speak truth to power.
  40. The smartest people here ... by Mahler · · Score: 1

    The system recognizes the need for harvesting ideas from the entire company instead of just one or two "idea-men" in a stock-market-esque idea exchange. From the article: "We're the founders, but we're far from the smartest people here,"

    I'm having an Enron flashback

  41. When Pentagon tried this idea... by mi · · Score: 2, Interesting
    When Pentagon tried this to help predict the outcomes of and details of conflicts, terrorist acts, etcaetera, the project went down in flames amid accusations of "trading in blood and destruction" and similar nonsense.

    The idea is not entirely dead yet, and so the opposition continues its histerical "criticism" of it...

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    1. Re:When Pentagon tried this idea... by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Robin Hanson (who worked on the Policy Analysis Market you describe) actually has a pretty neat research paper analyzing the media's reaction to the project. Here's the abstract:

      Title: The Informed Press Favored the Policy Analysis Market

      The Policy Analysis Market (PAM), otherwise known (inaccurately) as "terrorism
      futures," burst into public view in a firestorm of condemnation on July 29, 2003,
      and was canceled within one day. We look at the impression given of PAM by five
      hundred media articles, and how that impression varied with eleven indicators of article
      information quality: publication date, citing someone with firsthand knowledge, article
      length, a news or an editorial style, author anonymity, and the awards, circulation,
      frequency, and topic specialties of the periodical. All eleven indicators individually
      predict more favorable impressions of PAM. In a multiple regression model, seven of
      them remain clearly significant. This model predicts that a fifty word news article
      in an award-winning widely-read science and business publication a month later that
      mentioned an insider would give a solidly favorable impression of PAM, as would a
      similar three hundred word article today in a general publication.

  42. Re: "Idea Futures" - We didn't develop this market by daveperry · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The market you are referring to is called the Foresight Exchange and is located here (originally launched in 1995). I work for the company that develops the software and we did not develop the Rite-Solutions market. However, we are working with GE, Siemens and others to do the same type of collective forecasting and decision making. More info can be found here.

  43. Here is the idea futures link by RedLaggedTeut · · Score: 1

    http://www.ideosphere.com/

    It is great, but somewhat sluggish, since you are betting on events years in the future.

    --
    I'm still trying to figure out what people mean by 'social skills' here.
  44. Wiki by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    You can't beat a wiki for this kind of thing. I don't mean the "formal" kind like wikipedia, but more like the original: c2.com's Portland Pattern Repository. That is the best place on the web to share random thoughts and opinions on software engineering. (However, it can be a bit messy at times.)

  45. Definition of "idea" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In the interest of communication sanitation, it would help if someone/something clarify what they mean by "idea." Are we talking about "I feel like meatball hoagie with hot cherry pepper, onion, and extra cheese?" If not, why not (cuz that's my idea at the moment, and a darn good one, too)?

  46. Kinds of ideas? by Geminii · · Score: 1

    Are we talking multi-billion-dollar new business ideas, or just "Gee, my job would be a whole lot easier if they issued us with black pencils instead of blue ones" ? I can see why employees might be wary of submitting the first type, but the second type is just "I can see how to run this place a little better, but I don't have the authorisation to make the change."

  47. Linux as a role model by zpeterz63 · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's a key lesson behind the rise of open source technology, most notably Linux. A ragtag army of programmers organized into groups, wrote computer code, made the code available for anyone to revise and, by competing and cooperating in a global community, reshaped the market for software. The brilliance of Linux as a model of innovation is that it is powered by the grass-roots brilliance of the thousands of programmers who created it.

    Just in case anyone might wonder why this on /. ...

  48. No futures market by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Cute. But in the future's market, the traders at least know what the underlying asset is (though not the price, which is precisely the point of the market). This "idea" business, who the fuck knows what it even means?!

  49. Re:Not Quite New / whynot.net by Lord+Satri · · Score: 1

    Add http://whynot.net/ to the lot.

  50. Once again, the marketplace should act as a filter by btarval · · Score: 1

    "What's to prevent the company from screwing you from a compensation standpoint?"

    Not a single thing. However, note that there is a feedback loop here; it's in the companys' long term interest not to do this. If the company is run by the typical quick-buck artists, then word gets around, and people aren't as motivated to offer their best ideas to the company.

    If a competitor has a better compensation plan for employees, then this implementation plan should (in theory) work better there; and over the long term the competitor should do better.

    So, in short, market competition between companies over the long term ought to result in filtering out the poorer implementations of this.

    Which is refreshing; this sort of approach makes the current standards in industry look positively feudal.

    --
    The best way to predict the future is to create it. - Peter Drucker.
  51. Hudsucker Proxy? by Hershmire · · Score: 1

    Did anyone else think of "The Hudsucker Proxy" when they read this article?

    "What is it? A circle?"

    "It's a hula hoop!"

    "No one will ever buy that."

    --
    if(!toilet_paper) roll.replace(new roll); //Stupid roommates.
  52. Virtual-reality prediction markets? by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

    A related idea I had recently which I wanted to toss into the open...

    Lately on slashdot we've been having a few stories about the (Snow Crash-like) Second Life virtual world, and its active virtual economy. Take this article from Wired:

    Wired: Making a Living in Second Life

    I think it would be quite interesting to try using Second Life's economy and scriptable world to create an in-game prediction market, similar to that described in the NYT article. Instead of using a purely reputation-based currency such a market could use the game's Linden Dollars, which can be exchanged with US dollars. The use of Linden Dollars would also help get around some of the anti-gambling laws one runs into when US dollars are involved. It seems that in-game scripts can communicate with external servers via email or XML-RPC, so one could probably have such an in-game script placing orders with a server running the open-source prediction market software like Foresight Exchange or Zocalo.

    One might even imagine creating a Futarchy-like system, with bids made on decisions about how to make the market (or organization running the market) prosper in the Second Life world. That could be interesting. I've lately been musing a bit on how such a system might be a cute way to create a seed superintelligence, or more precisely, a self-improving collective intelligence.

  53. More on prediction markets by FleaPlus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I'm happy to finally see a slashdot story on prediction markets, like the one described in the article, as they're one of the neatest new concepts I've come across. They've shown themselves to be on average the most accurate way to predict future events, more accurate than, say, individual experts or opinion polls. Having people "put their money where their mouth is" greatly improves the quality of predictions.

    If you've never seen a prediction market in action before, I highly recommend checking out the real-money Intrade market, or the virtual-money Foresight Exchange. At such markets you can get estimated probabities for almost any major event. Here's a few examples from Intrade:

    * Sony Playstation 3 release before October 6: 33% chance
    * Hillary Clinton to be the Democratic Presidential Nominee in 2008: 43.1%
    * John McCain to be the Republican Presidential Nominee in 2008: 36.6%
    * Osama Bin Laden to be captured/neutralised by 30 June 2006: 5.7%
    * Donald Rumsfeld to announce his resignation on/before 31Dec2006: 18.5%
    * Bird flu (H5N1) to be confirmed in the USA ON/BEFORE 31st December 2006: 70.0%

    That said, I think the company described in the article can probably improve the way they handle their pay-offs. From the article:

    At Rite-Solutions, the architecture of participation is both businesslike and playful. Fifty-five stocks are listed on the company's internal market, which is called Mutual Fun. Each stock comes with a detailed description -- called an expect-us, as opposed to a prospectus -- and begins trading at a price of $10. Every employee gets $10,000 in "opinion money" to allocate among the offerings, and employees signal their enthusiasm by investing in a stock and, better yet, volunteering to work on the project. Volunteers share in the proceeds, in the form of real money, if the stock becomes a product or delivers savings.

    The wording in the article is a little ambiguous, but it seems that if you choose to bid on an idea which you "know" is good, and would be if it were selected as a product, if other people don't agree you lose your money. It would be better to have a system where if the stock isn't selected as a product, you get your money back. If the product is selected, you gain money if the product does well, and lose money if the product does poorly. This also adds an incentive for people to "short" popular ideas that they think are going to perform poorly.

  54. 1999 novel with web-based idea futures exchange by anon+coward · · Score: 1

    Earthweb by Mark Stiegler, pretty well-developed and depicted

  55. Idea Theft? by supremebob · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm curious... What kinds of protections are built into this idea exchange to keep people from stealing one person's Billion dollar idea and then patenting it as their own? I'd hate to see some greedy bastards using this site, and end up creating the next SCO or Rambus style legal dispute.

  56. Collective art and ideas by filament · · Score: 0

    Great art has been achieved through artistic 'collectives' - teams of artists who pool their ideas, workshop, work together to produce a quality piece. This is particularly the case with theatre. Sometimes it is done with a director, others without any leader. Both models can work or fail.

    Such a system is quite comparable to Slashdot. Although there are moderators and editors, everyone has a voice, and the ability to contribute. Those contributions that are valuable are invested in by moderators, which means they receive more attention.

    --
    This sig is covered under the GPL.
  57. Because we are the founders.... by 3seas · · Score: 1

    we own all of our employees ideas and we have a large legal team of patent experts....

    To sum up our business, its to play teh lawsuit game, to sue any and everybody who uses any of the same ideas that the brains we employ come up with first. Or licenses those ideas to any who want to do them.

    Since the USPTO is leaning towards the patenting of not just ideas but the thought of an idea......

    http://www.commondreams.org/headlines06/0321-05.ht m

  58. Nonsense by Jeff+Molby · · Score: 1

    If a true market were to be created, you could maintain your value by not selling all of your shares.

    Let's assume you've discovered The Next Big Idea. So you create a "company" with a ticker symbol of TNBI and issue 100 shares. Keep 50 for yourself and IPO the rest. If your idea has any merit, the shares will climb in value and the 50 shares that you've retained will be your compensation.

    1. Re:Nonsense by greenrd · · Score: 1
      Why would its value rise? How would your company make a profit without an intellectual property claim on its idea?

  59. Let customers participate by Jeff+Molby · · Score: 1

    Wouldn't it be valuable to let customers participate?

    It probably wouldn't work for new product development, but it would be a very cheap way to find out which features your customers want in Version 2.

  60. A bit of background.. by jcr · · Score: 1

    This sounds like one application of the idea futures market concept, which has been kicking around in academic circles for about a decade now.

    -jcr

    --
    The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  61. We tried to get HP to do this... by Baldrson · · Score: 3, Funny
    But it was shot down by management.

    I'm not kidding.

    1. Re:We tried to get HP to do this... by jcr · · Score: 1

      Current management, or Carlie?

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:We tried to get HP to do this... by Baldrson · · Score: 2, Informative
      It was during the transition to Carly but it never got high enough up to be directly attributable to the executive suite.

      Indeed, executive decision support systems like this are precisely what the executive suite needs and it tends to be the layers just below them that are the most resistant so it's a catch-22. The executives typically have the mentality of the stock analysts and their immediate underlings are all-too-aware that upon this weakness their jobs depend.

    3. Re:We tried to get HP to do this... by jcr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Indeed, executive decision support systems like this are precisely what the executive suite needs and it tends to be the layers just below them that are the most resistant so it's a catch-22.

      I find that weak managers tend to be afraid of letting any negative information get past them to senior management. If the CEO can look at the idea futures and see that most of the rank-and-file are betting on a later ship date than the first-line managers are telling them, he's going to ask why.

      It would be a fascinating exercise to set up an idea futures market at the Evil Empire, and see when Longwind really is going to ship.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  62. Arbitrage and Hedging by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So what are the inefficiencies in this market that I can arbitrage away? Will there be a derivatives market so I can better hedge my positions?

  63. Crowds Are Only Wise Sometimes by ruzel · · Score: 1

    Why is there such universal agreement in regards to this "wisdom of the market" concept. Who says? Where is the definitive proof. i play on the Foresight Exchange (www.ideosphere.com) with everybody else and it's NOT always right. The stock market makes poor decisions and often purchasing decisions are based on just how "off" experts say that the market is (Google is undervalued/overvalued, etc). I mean, it's fine if companies want to cull their employees for ideas but I hope they don't come under the delusion that just because everybody thinks its a good idea that means it will succeed. Doesn't anybody listen to their mothers anymore? --Just because everybody else is jumping off a bridge, would you do it to?

    1. Re:Crowds Are Only Wise Sometimes by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Why is there such universal agreement in regards to this "wisdom of the market" concept. Who says? Where is the definitive proof. i play on the Foresight Exchange (www.ideosphere.com) with everybody else and it's NOT always right.

      The claim isn't that prediction markets are omniscient -- just that they're on average better than any of the alternatives.

  64. Hey-Generational Gap. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    "I wish my boss would consider this fact in some areas more often :) I think it's a quite normal case in any IT company, the bosses are "oldschoolers", meaning sure they know how a pic cpu works and how perl text databases are cool, but their knowledge doesn't always map to the current situation out there. Transaction rdbms is the word, not a text database."

    Audiance. Compare the above to this

  65. A web site for "goofy ideas" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "It rewards the people who sit on their ass all day and type their goofy ideas into a web site hoping somebody actually tries to make something some day."

    Welcome to Slashdot. You must be new here.

  66. They have turned things around by Flyboy+Connor · · Score: 1

    There is a limitless number of ideas, but there is a limited number of experienced workers who can turn ideas into a product. Instead of collecting huge stacks of ideas and let the workers browse through them, the idea-makers should actively sell their ideas to the workers. I mean, workers usually have good ideas of their own, and don't need someone sueing them because they implemented an idea (which they thought up themselves) that already existed in the huge stack. I have no problem with people making money from generating ideas, but they should be part of the team that implements it. Usually it is not the basic idea that is implemented, but the implementation changes the idea until it is workable. The "idea-maker" could help in that, if he or she is really worth anything. But as it is proposed now, I see a huge stack of hare-brained ideas with, purely by chance an unintentionally, a few good ones among them. Which worker would want to go through that rubbish for inspiration?

  67. Brunner again... by farrellj · · Score: 1

    Doesn't this sound like the Delphi Boards in The Shockwave Rider?

    ttyl
              Farrell

    --
    CAN-CON 2019 - Ottawa's only book oriented Science Fiction Convention! October 18-20, Sheraton Hotel, Ottawa, Canada h
  68. Novel idea? by Frozen+Void · · Score: 1

    How is it different from a discussion forum? Just create a Section called Suggestions & Feedback,
    then Add Development section for threads that pass Suggestion phase.

  69. It's called usenet. by CaptnMArk · · Score: 1

    Try for example some unmoderated sci.physics.* groups...

  70. On Jim Lavoie... by BlargGlarb · · Score: 1
    I worked for him before he left to found Rite-Solutions. Undoubtedly the best boss I ever had. He was always interested in what the people under him thought about what was going on in the company, and he sheiled employees from a lot of the crap from higher-ups once the company was acquired. It has been my opinion that that was primarily the reason he was 'asked' to leave; he stood in the way of alot of the changes that corporate wanted to make, because he didn't feel that they were good for the employees. I left the company not too long after he left; once Jim was out of the picture, corporate slowly but inexorably implemented all the changes that they had promised they wouldn't make back when they first acquired us. I had a list of 3, and once they hit all 3 I was out the door.

    Not to mention that he threw the best company parties I've seen, before or since.

    One of my biggest regrets is that I didn't take the opportunity he offered to me a few years ago to come and work for him. Unfortunately, I was just starting a family and had to follow the money. Several times a year I consider contacting RS to see if the offer's still good, but I'm currently riding out a project that would probably fail if I jumped ship, and I actually feel bad about that :(

  71. How is share price determined? by Brad+Mace · · Score: 1

    Maybe this would be obvious if I understood real stocks better, but how do they determine the share price for imaginary stocks? As I read it, the 'idea stocks' use imaginary money, and only the people who implement the good ideas get real money bonuses. I also couldn't tell if they're locked at $10,000 or if they earn more monopoly money for backing ideas that turn out well, thereby giving them a bigger say in subsequent ideas.

    1. Re:How is share price determined? by FleaPlus · · Score: 1

      Maybe this would be obvious if I understood real stocks better, but how do they determine the share price for imaginary stocks? As I read it, the 'idea stocks' use imaginary money, and only the people who implement the good ideas get real money bonuses. I also couldn't tell if they're locked at $10,000 or if they earn more monopoly money for backing ideas that turn out well, thereby giving them a bigger say in subsequent ideas.

      Again, I'm not sure how the company described in the article does things, but in an ideal case the share price would be whatever the market price is, with the equivalent of "dividends" based on how the product performs. Also, as far as the money goes, I suspect the best way to do things would be to have maybe a $1000 "idea stock bonus." If somebody decided not to do anything with it, they'd just get the $1000 as-is as a bonus on their salary. Alternatively, they could choose to risk the bonus in the market, earning or losing bonus-money based on market performance. Those who picked idea-stocks wisely would then have even more bonus-money to use for bids.

  72. Those who forget history are doomed to repeat it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How soon they forget. There is a term for when markets go crazy, it's called a bubble. Does this sound familiar to anyone else?

    Using markets to gauge public acceptance sounds like a great idea, using it to uncover hidden truths sounds completely unworkable. Ask anyone who has tried to explain how to program a VCR to their grandparents. The public is unlikely to know much.

    Of course the original article was about employees not the public so the article is different from the /. discussion.

    Ideas even good ideas do not have the same scope. A digital music player (iPOD) vs E = mc2.

    The best way to encourage IP is not to grant a monopoly.

    Monopoly is the great enemy of good management. A. Smith

    There are now companies which license their IP and never manufacture anything. As long as they don't prevent others from manufacturing things it seems like a good idea. This assumes of course they are actively producing the idea and marketing it. Not the sort of thing Lemelson is accussed of.

    Having open licensing sounds like the best way to encourage inovation and have it accepted.

  73. what a flimsy fad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Joe Says: "Hey Jimmy, I'm really stuck for ideas here. I need to somehow justify my $200K salary by coming up with some creative solutions.."

    Jimmy (12 yr old son): "Why don't you just pay someone else to come up with ideas?"

    Joe: "Great thinking Jimmy but that's what I already do for a living.."

    Jimmy: "Well, dad, get THEM to pay YOU for their ideas... are you finished? I need to go pee pee"