Slashdot Mirror


Research Supports "Snowball Earth" Hypothesis

u2boy_nl writes, "A new U.S. study finds evidence for 'Snowball Earth,' the hypothesis that the entire Earth was ice-covered for long periods on several occasions, most recently 600-700 million years ago. The icy conditions (Earth's oceans frozen completely with ice more than a kilometer thick) ended violently under extreme greenhouse conditions — snowballearth.org suggests the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years. Snowball Earth challenges long-held assumptions regarding the limits of global change. Wikipedia has more on the hypothesis."

243 comments

  1. Frost post! by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 4, Funny

    Sorry.. couldn't resist it.

    Seriously, I wonder if there could be evidence of organisms tolerant of saltier conditions if all that ice left the remaining water saltier.

    1. Re:Frost post! by 8ball629 · · Score: 0, Troll

      Sorry just won't cut it mister!

    2. Re:Frost post! by platypuszero · · Score: 1

      The Halobacter genus.

    3. Re:Frost post! by Vreejack · · Score: 1

      This is like, so 1999. I know dupes are par for the course on /. but six years is pushing the envelope a bit much.

      --
      "Will future ages believe that such stupid bigotry ever existed!" -- Ivanhoe
    4. Re:Frost post! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think you'll find it was 7 years ago

    5. Re:Frost post! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This isn't related to your post at all, but has anyone else noticed the (lack of) moderation lately? What's going on—did all the moderators get taken out back and shot or something?

    6. Re:Frost post! by modecx · · Score: 2, Funny

      Seriously, I wonder if there could be evidence of organisms tolerant of saltier conditions if all that ice left the remaining water saltier.

      Well, there's Paris Hilton...

      --
      Constitutional rights may be respected, repealed, or modified; but they must never be ignored.
    7. Re:Frost post! by DerangedAlchemist · · Score: 1
      Seriously, I wonder if there could be evidence of organisms tolerant of saltier conditions if all that ice left the remaining water saltier.

      The oceans have been getting saltier, as rain disolves more salt and washes it into the oceans. This was the time that multicelled organisms first appeared. Blood is about as salty as the oceans were at the time, from this heritage.

    8. Re:Frost post! by ImperialDahak · · Score: 1

      The oceans are also becoming more acidic. An article in Scientific American (Doney, S. 2006. The Dangers of Ocean Acidification. Scientific American. 294(3):58-65) brings to light a hypothesis where global trends in hydrogen sulphide and carbon dioxide was partly responsible for the mass extinctions at the end of the Permian period. Also, organisms that rely on calcium carbonate and aragonite for their shells will be at risk as calcium carbonate and aragonite dissociate in acidic environments. An interesting read for any who are interested in the subject.

    9. Re:Frost post! by benplaut · · Score: 1

      Am I the only one who envisioned a small earth, rolling down a snowy hill and becoming bigger?

    10. Re:Frost post! by h2g2bob · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't the salt-free ice make the sea less salty when it melts?

      I'm sure I heard something about the decline of saltiness would change or destroy the gulf stream, leaving the UK without that special warmth we get from our american cousins...

    11. Re:Frost post! by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      No, I did too. I thought it was another creation story at first.

    12. Re:Frost post! by maartynp · · Score: 0

      If there had been glaciation in the near tropics then we should be able to see evidence of glacial retreat on the rocks and so forth. We should see evidence of glacial erosion in the tropics like glacial valleys, scarred rock, glacial till, etc. It may be there, so have them find it!

  2. Hmm... by locokamil · · Score: 2, Funny

    I always did want to live on Hoth. The big question, however, is whether or not we'll have tontons when the next snowball era rolls around.

    1. Re:Hmm... by Wiarumas · · Score: 1

      ...I cannot wait for the Wampa exhibit at the city zoo.

      --
      I will bend like a reed in the wind.
    2. Re:Hmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I always did want to live on Hoth.

      Bad idea. Artoo says that the chances of survival are 725 to 1.

    3. Re:Hmm... by fireboy1919 · · Score: 1

      Based on that obvious eventuality, I've been hard at work attempting to create Tom-Toms.
      I've developed a two-step plan towards this end:

      1) Breed goats to produce giant goats; breed chickens to produce giant chickens. As a test, also procede to step #2 with regular chickens and goats.
      2) Crossbreed chickens and goats.

      I know it seems simple, since there's only two steps...unfortunately, I keep running into technical problems - especially with step #2. Fortunately, though, I've got some goat costumes for chickens on order from ebay, and a lot of alcohol, so this will hopefully help.

      So far the best I've been able to do is glue tiny horns onto one of the chickens. I'm sure that's not right, though, because it smells better on the inside than it does on the outside.

      --
      Mod me down and I will become more powerful than you can possibly imagine!
    4. Re:Hmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never tell me the odds!

    5. Re:Hmm... by allresistanceisfutil · · Score: 1

      'Joke' Maybe its already happened?!! Im sure i saw a wampa the other night...or was that palpatines mother? I guess i'll never know

  3. Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Salvance · · Score: 1

    The Bush administration will probably love this! This will just confirm their assertions that the Earth's climate can swign wildly on its own, therefore we have no influence on it, yeah right.

    In all seriousness though, how can the Earth being an axial dipole (2 magnetic poles along a single axis) hundreds of millions of years ago suggest an Earth that was covered by up to a kilometer of ice? The Earth is currently in the same magnetic configuration, and there's certainly no indication of an impending super ice age.

    Using the same logic, would Geologists in 600 Million years look back on today and say the Earth was covered by ice now?

    --
    Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
    1. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by b17bmbr · · Score: 0, Troll

      maybe some skepticism regarding the religion of global warming is in order. And even if the earth is warming, perhaps we've nothing to do with it, nor can we have anything to do with halting it. where is king canute when you need him?!?!

      --
      My problem? I was perfectly gruntled, until some numbnuts came by and dissed me.
    2. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Puff+of+Logic · · Score: 1

      Although not a scientist myself, I was under the impression that the science behind global warming predictions was considered sound by the scientific community. Although I certainly don't have time to conduct a survey of the literature at the moment, I wonder if anyone here can cite the agree/disagree ratio for peer-reviewed climate research? Regardless, some people's strong feelings and zealous campaigning on the subject hardly rate global warming as a "religion". PoL

      --
      P.P.S. I'm doing Science and I'm still alive.
    3. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by greenguy · · Score: 1

      I, for one, feel greatly assured knowing that having the entire Earth, including the oceans, covered by a kilometer of ice is a completely natural phenomenon.

      As an aside, with the entire planet covered by a kilometer of ice, how much water does that leave to constitute the oceans?

      --
      What if I do the same thing, and I do get different results?
    4. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Vreejack · · Score: 1

      Not exactly a scientific survey, but my memory of reading every copy of Science for the last couple of years would be about one peer-reviewed article in support of human-mediated global warming every month. I have never seen any studies opposed to it. Anthopological global warming is pretty much an accepted fact, now, and the arguments center on when it started, how much there will be and what can be done to halt it. It has been suggested that we started warming the planet with the earliest agriculture, and had we not done so there would already be glaciers in Newfoundland.

      --
      "Will future ages believe that such stupid bigotry ever existed!" -- Ivanhoe
    5. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Salvance · · Score: 1

      Assuming there wasn't also a kilometer of water over the surfaces, an average depth of 2km of water would be underneath the ice given that the average depth of our oceans is approximately 3km today (source: Oceans Alive)

      --
      Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
    6. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Regardless, some people's strong feelings and zealous campaigning on the subject hardly rate global warming as a "religion"

      Religion? No, since so far as I'm aware no-one of any importance is claiming that an angry Greenhouse God is behind it all ... but global warming has certainly achieved cult status, even amongst those within the scientific community who should know better. And "strong feelings" and "zealous campaigning" are, actually, a big part of the problem because they are frequently irrational and tend to preclude any intelligent discourse on what may (or may not) be an issue of vital importance to us all. But we'll never know the truth until A. global warming kills off a few billion of us or B. doesn't kill off a few billion of us or C. the leadership of the industrialized nations suddenly become rational, logical creatures that take whatever steps (if any) are required to bring the problem under control. Personally, I'm voting for option "A": I'm not holding my breath waiting for "C", that's for sure.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    7. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by afaik_ianal · · Score: 1
      Regardless, some people's strong feelings and zealous campaigning on the subject hardly rate global warming as a "religion".


      Not meaning to put words in their mouth, but I don't think the GP is necessarily refering to global warming as a whole as being religion-like. Yes, the overiding scientific view is that global warming is happening. However, there tends to be a lot of reactionary media around at the moment, which confuses the concensus over the existence of global warming with two other issues: the major cause, and more importantly, the best way forward.

      In the end, the cause is really quite irrelevant. The only valid issue is how we best deal with global warming. If it's either man-made or natural, we still need to solve the same problem.

      There is little concensus in the scientific community on that, as climate models differ in their predicitions, and so many options need to be evaluated for both effectiveness and cost (not just monetary). For example: some models predict that stopping all human CO2 immissions today will have a negligable (or even worsening, given other chemicals promoting natural geosequestration would also cease at the same time) effect. Such models suggest that resources may be better put to use dealing with the current CO2, than simply reducing our future output.

      If it turns out we are in the situation where we simply cannot reverse global warming, then we probably better off putting our resources into adapting to a warmer Earth.

      This is all stuff that needs to be considered by the scientific community. Jumping to conclusions saying "Scientists agree that global warming is occuring, therefore we must cut emissions as quickly as possible" is fallacious and possibly unproductive. We need more study to be done to validate and improve climate models (such a call unfortunately doesn't sell newspapers).
    8. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by jd · · Score: 2, Interesting
      It's interesting to note which country the researchers came from... Being an axial dipole means exactly nothing, unless you encounter a horseshoe-shaped planet. The magnetic axis wobbles all over the place and even reverses, but I've never heard even the remotest suggestion that it has ever been anything other than a very simple axis. The Earth's core generates a magnetic field as a result of (a) being molten, and (b) rotating, so is probably produced by circulatory currents within that core. The only possible arrangement for those currents is to be in distinct hemispheres - they're simply not going to overlap.


      The upshot of all this is that the researchers hopefully(?) have better evidence of their claims than a few buzzwords which don't really amount to a whole lot. 600 million years is not a long time, geologically speaking - or even evolutionarily-speaking - and I'm not convinced that every necessary process to get from Iceworld to habitable planet could occur in such a short space of time. I could be wrong, but I would need some VERY hard evidence.


      What sort of evidence? Well, certainly volcanoes existed back then, and the eventual form lava takes depends on how rapidly it cools. Find me a lava bed in a land mass that would have been tropical at that time (based on current theories of plate movement) and which would not have been connected to open water, but where the rock structure shows clear evidence of cooling of the kind geologists associate with plunging molten lava into ice, AND where that rock also shows clear evidence of prolonged frost cracking. This would not be "solid proof", but it should be very persuasive.


      Any other possibilities? Sure. Ice sheets and glaciers form very distinct U-shape valleys. Very very distinct from the V-shape of river valleys. If, indeed, no rivers existed 600 million years ago, only ice sheets, then it follows that any valley of that age or older MUST show the characteristics associated with such ice. Sure, a river may have cut through after, but that can't affect the sides of the valley above it. It can only affect the ground that it was cutting through at the time. The ice sheets, however, will have NOT been level with the ground but will have risen above it. Thus, the ice WOULD have reshaped any river valleys.


      Thus, if a single valley, anywhere, shows clear and distinct evidence of cutting by water prior to 600 million years ago, OR if any valley of that time-frame does NOT show evidence of cutting by ice, the theory is falsified. Either will do.


      If their claims stand up to the igneous rock test AND the valley test, then I'd be inclined to take the theory more seriously. As it stands, I simply don't see that they've enough to base their claims on. You know when academia is going south when Art Bell's old show could claim greater evidence and a more rigorous analysis. Hey, I happen to think the show has a lot of merit, both in examining controversial and unorthodox thinking that would not otherwise get the hearing it deserves and also as excellent entertainment, but we're in DEEP trouble when the fringiest of the fringe sound more careful, more exact and more scientific than highly-skilled, highly-trained, highly-paid experts.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    9. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by greenguy · · Score: 1

      Thanks.

      Follow-up question: Since life evolved long before 300 million years ago, we are left to assume that it somehow survived in the oceans... on the sunlight that made it through a kilometer of ice. Or have I missed something?

      --
      What if I do the same thing, and I do get different results?
    10. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well I did a quick little calculation.

      The radius of the earth is 6370.997 km. The total volume of all water on the planet is estimated to be 1.386 billion cubic kms. To create a 1 km thick ice sheet over the entire surface of the earth (gross approximations being done of course, ignoring density changes from water to ice, weight of ice on the oceans and land compressing the land minimizing the volume of the taken up by 1km above the current earths surface) would require approximately 510 million cubic kms of water or about 37% of all the water on the planet. The total volume of water on the planet could 'allow' for a 2.72 km thick glacier over it's entire surface.

    11. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by btgreat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "In all seriousness though, how can the Earth being an axial dipole (2 magnetic poles along a single axis) hundreds of millions of years ago suggest an Earth that was covered by up to a kilometer of ice? The Earth is currently in the same magnetic configuration, and there's certainly no indication of an impending super ice age.

      Using the same logic, would Geologists in 600 Million years look back on today and say the Earth was covered by ice now?"


      The answers to your questions are in the link marked "Snowball Earth" in the post. It is a link to an old (1999) publication about a snowball earth.

      Anyway, I took the time to skim over the publication because I, too, wondered how the earth having an axial dipole justified an ice age 600 million years ago. If you don't have the time to read it, I can summarize my findings:

      The snowball earth hypothesis is not simply justified by the earth's axial dipole. What is justified by the earth's axial dipole, however, are the measurements of the latitudes found of the rocks that appear to have been present under glaciers.

      The way I interpreted the document was that the researchers found samples of rocks that could be geologically determined to have been underneath glaciers at a certain point (approximately 600 million years ago), then they determined the latitude those rocks would have been at at that point in time (since the continents drift, the rock would not be where it is today) based on the rocks' magnetic signatures (assuming the magnetic poles stay near the rotational axis of the earth). Since they found rocks that were under glaciers at low latitudes 600 million years ago, they concluded that glaciers were present at low latitudes (near the equator) at this time and thus must have been present around the globe. As a further explanation of a question that may arise, I believe the rocks were preserved in a manner such that their magnetic signatures would be those from 600 million years ago. (I am not a geologist, so I don't know how it works in particular. If you take the time to read the entire document "Snowball Earth", you might be able to understand better.)

      Based on this, geologists 600 million years in the future would not guess that an ice age occurred right now, but would instead correctly guess (well, if it is correct in the first place) that an ice age occurred 1.2 billion years before their time, based on the age of the rocks they would find (which would be 1.2 billion years old).



      Now, seeing that this paper was over 7 years old, what makes this whole idea newsworthy? Well, the research mentioned in the article supports the idea that the magnetic field of the Earth has not changed greatly over time, which means that it is safe for scientists to assume the magnetic poles do not travel far from the rotational axis of the Earth, and thus the magnetic signatures of the rocks found should, indeed, accurately represent their former latitude.


      Summary of long post: Summary of article: New research supports the idea that certain rocks found where there were glaciers 600 million years ago were, at that time, near the equator, so there must have been glaciers around the world.

    12. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The scientific community has achieved an effective consensus over much more obvious things that turned out to be completely wrong.

    13. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thermal water springs

    14. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by ctr2sprt · · Score: 1
      In all seriousness though, how can the Earth being an axial dipole (2 magnetic poles along a single axis) hundreds of millions of years ago suggest an Earth that was covered by up to a kilometer of ice? The Earth is currently in the same magnetic configuration, and there's certainly no indication of an impending super ice age.

      Well, there may be a feedback loop of some kind. That is, Earth gets hotter, which triggers some reaction which makes it hotter still, and so on. At a certain point such a reaction becomes unsustainable, and usually feedback loops end rather spectacularly, so it could result in a sudden and dramatic shift to the other end. Such a feedback loop might be indicated by increasingly severe shifts between one extreme and another, which is exactly what climate change is supposed to be. So it's possible that we're experiencing the change already.

      I should make it clear, however, that I'm no climatologist. I'm just putting forth an answer to your question which is logically (though perhaps not scientifically) possible. I should also mention that 600 million years is a long time even for our planet, and that its environment (in the "situation" sense, not the "wildlife" sense) may have changed to such an extent in that time that such a change might be radically different or even impossible now.

    15. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by uncadonna · · Score: 1

      No, you are right on target. That is one of the very big questions about the snowball. Some people have suggested a slushball alternative, with some open water on the equator, but that hasn't panned out in model studies. That configuration appears to be unstable. So, yeah, how life survived is a question. Probably some very local geothermal effect saved a few tiny critters.

      --
      mt
    16. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

      >The magnetic axis wobbles all over the place and even reverses, but I've never heard even the remotest suggestion that it has ever been anything other than a very simple axis. The Earth's core generates a magnetic field as a result of (a) being molten, and (b) rotating, so is probably produced by circulatory currents within that core.

      This gets interesting.

      There is a quadrupole moment, and it can exceed the dipole moment just before a pole reversal.

      The assumption all along was that the magnetic field was fairly simple (on pretty much the grounds you mentioned)and that therefore you could use a rock's magnetization to prove that it came from near the equator. What happened with this paper was that he produced evidence backing up the assumption.

      BTW, even in geology 600 million years is long enough for interesting things to happen. Go back that far and Gondwanaland hadn't even formed yet. 200 million years ago it hadn't broken up. Climate can change faster than continents could drift: I'm typing from a place that was under thousands of feet of ice when Christanity and Islam were founded. 50 million years ago we weren't having ice ages at all.

    17. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by uncadonna · · Score: 1
      It's dreadful journalism, but it's describing real science. The study breathlessly referred to by the confused journalist only confirms one step in the chain of evidence behind the snowball hypothesis.


      The snowball itself pretty much a done deal in the geophysics community. A slightly exagerrated but entertaining and accessible popularization of the story is available and I highly recommend it: Snowball Earth: The Story of a Maverick Scientist and His Theory of the Global Catastrophe That Spawned Life As We Know It by Gabrielle Walker

      --
      mt
    18. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Salvance · · Score: 1
      600 million years is not a long time, geologically speaking - or even evolutionarily-speaking - and I'm not convinced that every necessary process to get from Iceworld to habitable planet could occur in such a short space of time. I could be wrong, but I would need some VERY hard evidence.

      600 Million years isn't a long time? The earth is believed to be under 5 Billion years old, so geologically speaking they are referring to over 10% of all geological history. The oldest multi-cellular creatures are believed to have evolved between 600 Million and 1.5 Billion years ago, with some of the oldest fossils found from about 600 Million years ago being marine animals.

      Evidence supports that there was a massive increase in evolution and complexity of life around 600 Million years ago ... which is why some are so supportive of the 'Snowball Earth' theory (since the rapid melting would have likely initiated this rapid evolutionary process).

      I'm still skeptical of the supporting evidence, but the theory of a biodiversity explosion occuring around that timeframe is relatively sound given geological and fossil evidence.
      --
      Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
    19. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by cheater512 · · Score: 1

      Check your math. Ice is less dense than water so 1km thick of Ice doesnt equal 1km of Water.

    20. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by cheater512 · · Score: 2, Funny

      The earth runs out of bits and overflows in to negative temperatures.
      Once the feedback loop spirals out of control the temperature will drop to -32,768.

    21. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by wkcole · · Score: 1
      In all seriousness though, how can the Earth being an axial dipole (2 magnetic poles along a single axis) hundreds of millions of years ago suggest an Earth that was covered by up to a kilometer of ice?

      You missed the other parts.

      1. There is a pattern of evaporite and carbonate rocks that implies rather cold conditions.
      2. The magnetic alignments in the various trace minerals (i.e. ferrites etc.) in that rock imply that it was formed at the magnetic equator, i.e. the rotational and climatic equator IFF the Earth's magnetic field was much like it is now in relationship to rotation and solar orientation.

      The new data is that during the relevant period the orientation of the magnetic and rotational axes were close and aligned to roughly the orbital (i.e. heating relevant) axis. Like now. Like most of the time in the past 4 billion years, but not really all of the time. Combined with the prior data, it nails down the hypothesis that the hottest latitudes on Earth for a score or so of centuries was transitioning from the balmy clime of today's Northern Greenland to today's torrid Newfoundland. At the equator. Brrr.

    22. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by CouchP · · Score: 1

      Religion is uesd in this context for zeaolotry or dogmatism. I for one "feel" there is some of this here. I am on the fence of the truth or extent of our affects on global weather or climatic trends. I do admit I am far below the pay rate of anyone that matters though.

    23. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by AJWM · · Score: 1

      the science behind global warming predictions was considered sound by the scientific community.

      Not at all. Oh, you'll get some segments of the scientific community that buy into it -- computer scientists, biologists, anthropologists, and so forth. For others -- climatologists (especially paleoclimatologists), geochemists, atmospheric chemists, etc, the ones that really study the field -- there's less agreement. And even where there's agreement on the general temperature trends, there's disagreement on the causes and effects.

      For example, warming causes increased greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere. Gases (such as CO2) are less soluable in warm water vs cold; warming increases the decay rate, producing more methane and CO2, and so on. But, CO2 is a lousy greenhouse gas compared to water vapor. That's one reason a snowball Earth is hard to reverse -- the water vapor in the atmosphere freezes out and drops the average temperature another few degrees.

      There's certainly very little indication that anthropogenic effects make even a small fraction of the difference that natural fluctuations do, except locally (eg urban microclimates).

      --
      -- Alastair
    24. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by jcr · · Score: 1

      I was under the impression that the science behind global warming predictions was considered sound by the scientific community.

      Not surpising, considering how the scientists who have come to different conclusions tend to be marginalized and vilified.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    25. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by tyler_larson · · Score: 1
      The Bush administration will probably love this! This will just confirm their assertions that the Earth's climate can swign wildly on its own, therefore we have no influence on it, yeah right.

      Politics aside, when you're looking at multi-million-year time scale, the Earth's climate does swing wildly on its own; and when compared to temperature changes of almost 200 deg F, anything we can possibly do will be negligible.

      --
      "With sufficient thrust, pigs fly just fine. However, this is not necessarily a good idea...."
      RFC 1925
    26. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by arivanov · · Score: 1

      One minor problem with your argument: 600 million years is a lot of time. It took less then 200 million years to erode the Pennines from a 8km high Himalaya like mountain to the gentle rolling hills of nowdays England. A glacier valley deep as the Grand Canyon will be unrecognisable in less then 50 million years. Same for lava beds. The only evidence from that far back is from chemical composition and crystallisation of rocks. Here the situation is even worse. Obsidian which the best marker for extreme cooling of lava is amorphous and it will slowly recrystallise of the course of thousands of years. There is no way for it to survive millions of years.

      Frankly, I am extremely sceptic as far as the ice/slush/slimeball hypothesis are concerned. In the absence of photosynthesis the C02 alone should have been enough to greenhouse warm the Earth alone to a fairly high temperature. Not exactly Venus redux, but something not far from that.

      --
      Baker's Law: Misery no longer loves company. Nowadays it insists on it
      http://www.sigsegv.cx/
    27. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Dasher42 · · Score: 1

      The Bush administration will probably love this! This will just confirm their assertions that the Earth's climate can swign wildly on its own, therefore we have no influence on it, yeah right.

      Well, there certainly are some looneys who'll say so, but really it's not a valid concern. This was 600 million years ago, prior to the rise of any multicellular life as we know it. The sun was weaker. Also, a rapid defrost would be, in biological terms, a golden opportunity for "evolutionary radiation" as many ecological niches open up for organisms to evolve into with no prior competition, which makes the "Cambrian explosion" of life a very reasonable outcome. But, would anything but microbes survive even a fraction of this much fluctuation today? Probably not. However, the biosphere's regulation of O2 and CO2 have been much greater since.

      If anything, the positive feedback loops the research shows in how the albedo of ice giving way to oceans should cause us to take the ones we're observing now seriously, for anyone seriously interested in a rational approach.

    28. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, you'll get some segments of the scientific community that buy into it -- computer scientists, biologists, anthropologists, and so forth. For others -- climatologists (especially paleoclimatologists), geochemists, atmospheric chemists, etc, the ones that really study the field -- there's less agreement.

      Congrats! A very cute troll indeed!

      The poster is no doubt referring to that now infamous study in Science, which studied a sampling of peer-reviewed articles dealing with GW and found that 0 (zero) disagreed with the fact that warming was occuring. This was immediately attacked in a paper (which failed peer-review) by an anthropologist who specialises in End-of-World fears, and some others (including a biologist, but I was unaware of the computer-scientist), who have apparently since retratcted.

    29. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by dayjn · · Score: 1

      I'm always amazed by the claim that there are some scientists who disagree about the causes of climate change. This doesn't hold any weight, and I work every day with "paleoclimatologists, geochemists, atmospheric chemists, etc, the ones that really study the field". Every time I read one of these claims that there is some sort of disagreement, I ask my colleagues if they have ever heard of such evidence and the answer is always no.

      The data is overwhelmingly convincing, and no one has supplied any credible proof to the contrary. It's time to stop confusing the debate simply because it is the right thing to do for the whole planet.

    30. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by tubs · · Score: 1

      I didn't read the article - I mean really not too many people do, you're very nearly unique :-)

      But, there are Glaciers near the equator now. For example Kilimanjaro and Qori Kalis in South America.

      If rocks from under these were picked up 600 million years in the future and following the same process, wouldn't it then be safe to assume that as glaciers were at the equator, there must have been glaciers around the world?

      --

      try to make ends meet, you're a slave to money, then you die

    31. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      I do admit I am far below the pay rate of anyone that matters though.

      Yeah. Me too.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    32. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by M_Hulot · · Score: 1
      ..."strong feelings" and "zealous campaigning" are, actually, a big part of the problem.
      Doesn't your own argument explain why people have strong feelings about global warming? Like you, I look at the evidence and conclude that there is a significant chance that irreversible, anthropogenic global warming may kill billions. I also agree that our great leaders are unlikely to do anything. At this point, my scientific detachment ends and I become, to say the least, a little angry. It's not that they are getting the science wrong, it's that the results of it may be catastrophic. When I see government agencies re-writing scientific reports to play down unpalateable conclusions and astroturf campaigns by multinationals to spread false doubt, I can't just shrug my shoulders, I have "strong feelings" and feel the need to "campaign zealously". This is a rational reaction, not a religious one.
    33. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      This is a rational reaction, not a religious one.

      Well, it is and it isn't. It's a natural and expected reaction, I'll grant you that, sure. However, it is just as frequently a counterproductive response, and therein lies the problem. People that are polarized on a particular issue (take religion or politics, for example) will rarely come to a meeting of the minds as long as those minds are closed. Zealotry never helps when you are trying to communicate, nor (as has been happening in both camps) does lying, even when done with the best of intentions.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    34. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Mac+Degger · · Score: 1

      Another little nigle; if the earth were a snowball a mere 2000 years ago, don't you think the egyptians and the chinese would've at least mentioned it? Or at least worn warmer clothes?

      Snowball earth seems very shaky to me...not in the least due to the geological evidence, but also because I don't see how exactly the warming up process would happen.

      --
      -- Waht? Tehr's a preveiw buottn?
    35. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      seeing as how they can't accurately predict the weather 2 weeks in advance.

            You are going to die. I can't tell you exactly when. And I can't tell you exactly how. But my prediction is that you are going to die, within the next 80 or so years. And I am 100% right. See how easy it is?

            That's why sometimes you can't predict the weather next week, but you can be pretty sure of some weather related facts.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    36. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by init100 · · Score: 1

      Since life evolved long before 300 million years ago, we are left to assume that it somehow survived in the oceans... on the sunlight that made it through a kilometer of ice. Or have I missed something?

      The answer might be hydrothermal vents. From the article:

      Relative to the majority of the deep sea, the areas around hydrothermal vents are biologically productive, often hosting complex communities fueled by the chemicals dissolved in the vent fluids. Chemosynthetic archaea form the base of the food chain, supporting diverse organisms, including giant tube worms, clams, and shrimp.

    37. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Anarobic bacteria. They can survive without light or oxygen. Not all food chains are based on photosynthesis.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    38. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by jc42 · · Score: 1

      Since life evolved long before 300 million years ago, we are left to assume that it somehow survived in the oceans...

      But note that, until about 600 million years ago, life on Earth was entirely single cells, mostly bacteria. The last "snowball" period seems to have ended roughly 600 million years ago, and that's about the date of the first multi-cellular fossils. All the living things you can see around you (without a microscope) have evolved since that last great glaciation.

      So the actual question is "How did all those bacteria survice in the snowball?" This isn't nearly as mysterious as survival of larger organisms would have been. Bacterial spores can survive nearly anything except extreme heat. And "extreme" means temperatures well above 100C. Today, there are bacteria living kilometers deep in the rocks of the Earth's crust.

      --
      Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
    39. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The Bush administration will probably love this! This will just confirm their assertions that the Earth's climate can swign wildly on its own, therefore we have no influence on it, yeah right. "

      Yea, that's crazy, how could someone be so stupid to not trust the super-accurate equipment built 600 million years ago, or the statistically-proper sampling made with the 0.0000001 degree C error thermometer with which all farmers were equiped in the 1600s. If only everyone was as super-intellectual, smart, intelligent and infallible as you, me and Alec Baldwin.

      Geez, you liberals are so predictable... "Bush administration this, Bush administration that." Guess what, you can't prove global warming one way or another, but you're such angry, hate-filled little children that you'll jump all over anything George Clooney tells you is "proof" of global warming and then claim that any argument against you is "spin from the Bush administration!!!!11one" There's only ten years left for humans, right? Oh, wait, that may be a little before the Bush administration...

      Please, set down your Karl Marx book for a minute and actually think about things for a change?

    40. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Well, they've recently found life 3 KM down in the ROCK, where no light can reach it. There's no sunlight, no thermal vents, but it is pretty warm, due to being so deep. So we don't necessarily need sunlight for life. I suggest you listen to the audio files linked to in the page above. It's pretty interesting stuff.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    41. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      Well, according to this article, we can easily reverse global warming by painting everything white. A recent article said that we could fix the problem by spending 1% of GDP now - about $600B. I am an engineer, so obviously I can do better than that! The Earth's surface area is 150,000,000 sq km. Normal white paint can cover of 300 sq. ft. per gallon - so we need about 1.6x1015/300 ~ 5 trillion gallons. At $1 per gallon (I'm sure we could get a volume discount!), that is a mere $5 trillion dollars. Compared to this, that $600B looks like a steal - but remember, this paint job will last 20 years (Longer, if you ignore your neighbors complaints!) so it is actually to be compared with $12 trillion! This is a win-win, guys! (Quickly buys Sherman Williams stock)... And once the planet starts freezing, we can paint it black to fix that!

      On a slightly more serious note, I'm also interested by the rock weathering reaction that takes CO2 out of the air - the reaction rate increases exponentially as temperature rises, so it would seem to be a regulator for global warming. Has anyone seen that mentioned in a study? This study seems to say that enough carbon dioxide to shock heat the entire Earth from below freezing to 50C was very quickly (less than 100 years) taken out of the atmosphere - that is fairly impressive.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    42. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by wkcole · · Score: 2, Informative

      Some shred of relevance to the post you are responding to would help too.

      The relevance of the article's topic to the current situation is that CO2 as the mediator for precipitous global warming has a precedent. The explanation of how the planet got from Snowball Earth to the Cambrian steambath is based in the same science as the predominant modern theories about the effect of humans turning large quantities of sequestered carbon back into CO2. The theories look a lot more plausible with a very long timescale map that is consistent with the models developed from basic physical facts (like CO2 thermal opacity, he albedo of ice, etc.) and much shorter-time sets of evidence. Snowball Earth looks like an inevitable path to a very dead end except for the fact that it effectively shuts down CO2 sequestration, allowing volcanic release to build levels high enough to counter the self-reinforcing deep freeze with the Greenhouse Effect.

      Of course, the problem with this seems to be related to Clarke's Law, that sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic (by those who don't understand it.) If you don't understand the science behind modern theories of human-driven global warming, it looks like so much religious bullshit, and more science you don't understand confirming past precipitous warming just looks like more reason to see the whole thing as mystical and beyond understanding. Beyond yours? Apparently so. That's not true for people who do understand the science that is behind both the explanation for why Snowball Earth melted and for why we are now seeing warming that has no precedent in the brief period of civilized history and which runs counter to where natural cycles should be taking the climate.

    43. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by LukeWink · · Score: 1

      The article said that it took the Earth 2000 years to thaw - not that it thawed 2000 years ago.

    44. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2000 years ago is as crazzy as 6000 year old Earth. Bible all true, right?

      Warming process is easy. Rain takes out most of the CO2 in the atmosphere. Frozen earth => no rain. CO2 builds up. Where from? Volcanoes. These things sprew out a constant amount of CO2 which doesn't depend on the conditions on the surface. CO2 builds up until you have enough to cause enough of a greenhouse effect to warm the planet to melt the ice.

      Problem: Once ice melts, less sunlight reflected from ice (less ice!) so earth warms up more and more as there is A LOT of CO2 in atmoshere. Geological records suggest even 10%. (Yes, look in the rocks right after drop stones from the snowball earth period). This results in greenhouse effect like we will never see.

      Solution: Huge storms wash CO2 into oceans. Remember, warm => more evaporation => more turbulance => more rain => more CO2 washed out from atmoshere.

      It is actually quite simple and supported by geological evidence. Even Biology doesn't post a problem for the theory from recent evidence of plant life under dozens and dozens of meter of ice. (turns out ice slow to grow => transparent. Fast => opaque :)

      Anyway, snowball earth probably only occured at the beginning of the planet (3-4 billion years ago) after methane disappeared and also about 600 million years ago after plants starting to use up CO2. Both caused imbalance in the greenhouse gas due to new species.

      And now again the history kind of repeats except that we are now increasing CO2 rather than decreasing it. CO2 more than doubled in atmoshere and pH of oceas went down by 0.1. These are huge changes that will cause humans great hardships.

    45. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by AJWM · · Score: 1

      Funny man. If that were true, it'd be the only field in all of science in which there was no disagreement.

      In other words, bullshit.

      --
      -- Alastair
    46. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      It's sound but there are these little annoying things like evidence for global warming on mars and jupiter.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    47. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      I think the author was trying to save space and used a signed byte so it fluctuates between -127 and +128.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    48. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by emilper · · Score: 1
      ... who have apparently since retratcted [sic].

      ... and were sent to a secluded meteo-station to say 200345 "Credo Global Warming" and 173900 "Ave Hockey Stick Graph"

      I don't know if global warming is man-made or not, and I leave other people more knowledgeable in the area decide, but I cannot stand and look while this debate turns into a religious one. Maybe we should pray to the Spaghetti Monster to enlighten us in the matter.

    49. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by dayjn · · Score: 1

      Easy there, big guy, no need to be nasty. I'm referring to disagreement about the main climate change arguments, not about details. Of course there are disagreements about details of the mechanisms, but the fact that CO2 from anthropogenic sources is causing global climate to increase is nothing I've ever heard debated by the experts in this field. Correct me if I'm wrong, but is there any credible data that counters this claim? I ask sincerely, I really want to know.

    50. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by btgreat · · Score: 1

      You make a good point, but I think (its been a few days since I read it) it states in the article that the rocks found under glaciers were at sea level. I could be wrong, but I believe the level above the sea of the rocks would remain pretty consistent, so even though it was 600 million years ago that the rocks were under glaciers at sea level, the rocks should be at a relatively similar level above the sea today (rather than several thousand feet up like the glaciers on the equator today).

    51. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by tubs · · Score: 1

      I've still not read it, these scientists would have been professional and such a simple rebuttal would probably have been looked at in depth (or height).

      --

      try to make ends meet, you're a slave to money, then you die

    52. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by tgrigsby · · Score: 1

      Well, according to this article, we can easily reverse global warming by painting everything white.

      The problem with that theory (pretending that it's a serious theory for a moment) is that the fumes from the paint would wipe out all life on earth, destroy the ozone layer, and cause the greenhouse gas content in the atmosphere to skyrocket. Temperatures would soar, the paint would peel, the dark surfaces underneath would be exposed, temperatures would explode, and the heat, along with the gases released by the paint, would ignite the earth's atmosphere. Within a year of painting everything, the earth would be a lifeless ball of ash and poisonous exhaust gases roasting at temperatures that would rival Venus'.

      All for the bargain basement price of $600B. And to think George W. Bush has only managed to destroy two countries, the U.S. military, and our constitutional rights for nearly that much. I suspect he's just not seeing the bigger picture.

      --
      *** *** You're just jealous 'cause the voices talk to me... ***
    53. Re:Shoot ... score one for the Bush admin by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      As a slightly more serious alternative, how about putting bags of dirt on all our jets - adding dust to the upper atmosphere would reduce the global warming effect in a completely controllable way. This could probably be done for only a few billion dollars...

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
  4. Just ran a whois by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    snowballearth.org is registered to "ROBERT HILDEBRAND PHOT", a landscape photographer based in Utah. Draw your own conclusions.

  5. Snowball Earth? by pete-classic · · Score: 0, Troll

    Sylvan can be talked into anything.

    -Peter

    PS: Maybe this deserves to be modded down, but do me a favor and don't moderate simply because you don't get it.

    1. Re:Snowball Earth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Great post. It's purposefully esoteric so you can look smart, but then you explain that you probably should explain but won't. Awesome.

    2. Re:Snowball Earth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Arrogance and condescension - make friends and find lovers the nerd way!

    3. Re:Snowball Earth? by Xentor · · Score: 1

      What, you're not modded funny yet? Bunch of savages on this site...

      --
      "The amount of intelligence on this planet is a constant. The population is growing." -Cole's Axiom
    4. Re:Snowball Earth? by jahudabudy · · Score: 1

      Yeah, there is no "-1, Eeeewwwww" mod....

      --
      ...sometimes, in order to hurt someone very badly, you have to tell that person terrible lies. - PA
    5. Re:Snowball Earth? by pete-classic · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yeah, the most I'll get is a fine for animal abuse and a lot of disgusted looks from asswipe conservatives who can't appreciate sexual exploration, hey.

      -Peter

  6. Wontons by tygt · · Score: 2, Funny
    Let's combine that hypothetical event with a hypothetical future cultural takeover and we get..... Tauntaun Wontons!

    Just bring a package of wonton skins along with you on your next perimeter patrol - if things go too badly, gut your tauntaun with your light saber, carve it up a bit, wrap some in a wonton skin, and then use the light saber to boil some water.

    Scrumptious!

  7. Cavemen by flyingfsck · · Score: 3, Funny

    Those cavemen must have burned a hell of a lot of oil to cause sufficient greenhouse gas to get the earth to warm up again.

    --
    Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    1. Re:Cavemen by ozbird · · Score: 2, Funny

      Those cavemen must have burned a hell of a lot of oil to cause sufficient greenhouse gas to get the earth to warm up again.

      That was the Golgafrinchams burning the forests to solve the inflation problem caused by making leaves legal tender.

    2. Re:Cavemen by killjoe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Actually the ice prevented the oceans from absorbing the CO2 that was spit out by volcanoes. Eventually it built up enough to melt the ice. Once the ice broke it started a chain reaction and it stormed for thousands of years. For some period after the ice broke it literally rained hydrochloric acid. You can see evidence in melted rocks today.

      Amazing any life lived though that but some plankton made it through and eventually it turned into humans.

      The truth is stranger then fiction.

      --
      evil is as evil does
    3. Re:Cavemen by RebelWebmaster · · Score: 1

      Wouldn't that be carbonic acid (H2CO3)?

    4. Re:Cavemen by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      burned a hell of a lot of oil to cause sufficient greenhouse gas

            Naw, it was dinosaur farts that warmed up the earth again.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    5. Re:Cavemen by argStyopa · · Score: 1

      Amazing any life lived though that but some plankton made it through

      That's liable to be a touch misleading.

      We're talking 600-700 million years ago. That "some plankton made it through" is pretty predictable, since there was nothing BUT single-cell and very early multicellular organisms (such as choanoflagellates) at that time.

      --
      -Styopa
    6. Re:Cavemen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If only the dinosaurs had super-intelligent, MIT-educated, down-to-earth scientific researchers like oprah and george clooney, they would have been able to save the planet.

    7. Re:Cavemen by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, they just ate tons of burritos each and farted like crazy. This raised the methane level in the atmosphere and lead to global warming.

  8. So cold... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They found evidence of dinos with their tongue stuck to some metal ore.

  9. Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Jerf · · Score: 2, Insightful
    The Wikipedia article has some interesting connections to the Fermi Paradox, though the article doesn't call them out.

    (If you don't know what the Fermi Paradox is, look, Wikipedia!)

    One of the possible answers to the Fermi Paradox (which I note doesn't show up in the Wikipedia article) is that life is common in the universe, but the worlds are either hospitable towards the life, resulting in no selection pressure towards complexity, or so hostile that the life totally dies out too often to advance. The general image is of a universe full of oceans full of simple, utterly stable bacteria, which by most standards is still basically lifeless. (We're really interested in other intelligent life, not a universe of little germs.) It has been hypothesized that the best scenario for complex life is a recurring series of disasters that almost, but not quite, kills off life each time, resulting in a strong selection pressure for the requisite complexity to handle such environmental pressures.

    Connect that idea with:

    The carbon dioxide levels necessary to unfreeze the Earth have been estimated as being 350 times what they are today, but would be able to accumulate due to the opposite of the effect mentioned earlier as a possible mechanism triggering the freeze in the first place; if the Earth was completely covered with ice, silicate rocks would not be exposed during erosion, and carbon dioxide would not then be removed from the atmosphere. Eventually enough CO2 would accumulate, perhaps after an era of increased volcanic activity (a prodigious producer of this greenhouse gas), that the oceans around the equator would finally melt, which would produce a band of open ice-free water, much darker than the highly reflective ice, which would absorb more energy from the sun. This would in turn heat the Earth more, melting more water to absorb more light, and so on. Concurrently, the abundance of CO2 would provide plenty of food to feed a cyanobacterial population explosion, resulting in a relatively rapid reoxygenation of the atmosphere to feed the following Cambrian Explosion with the new multicellular lifeforms. This positive feedback loop would melt the ice in geological short order, perhaps less than 1000 years; replenishment of atmospheric oxygen and depletion of the CO2 levels would take more thousands of years.

    However, the carbon dioxide levels would still be two orders of magnitude higher than usual. Rain would wash CO2 out of the atmosphere as a weak solution of carbonic acid, which would turn exposed silicate rock to carbonate rock, which would then erode easily, wash into the ocean, and form deep layers of carbonate sedimentary rock. Thick layers of exactly this abiotic carbonate sediment can be found on top of the glacial till that first suggested the Snowball Earth.

    Eventually the carbon dioxide level would get so low that the Earth would freeze over again. This cycle went on until Rodinia had dispersed so much that the Earth's land was no longer strung out along the equator and the primary cause of Snowball Earth would no longer operate.
    The next section of the Wikipedia article mentions the effect this could have had on evolution.

    (I find the Fermi Paradox interesting because I believe it is actually by far the biggest problem facing science as a whole; science says life should be plentiful and easy and populating the stars ought to be possible at significant fractions of the speed of light, so where is the life that is doing so? It's easy to become numbed to the problem because it seems somewhat abstract, but it's not. Something is fundamentally wrong with at least one of biology, astronomy, cosmology, sociology, and/or the intersections of those disciplines we don't have names for, and we don't know what.)
    1. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by wrook · · Score: 1

      I find the Fermi Paradox interesting because I believe it is actually by far the biggest problem facing science as a whole; science says life should be plentiful and easy and populating the stars ought to be possible at significant fractions of the speed of light, so where is the life that is doing so? It's easy to become numbed to the problem because it seems somewhat abstract, but it's not. Something is fundamentally wrong with at least one of biology, astronomy, cosmology, sociology, and/or the intersections of those disciplines we don't have names for, and we don't know what.

      Space is big. Really big. You just won't believe how vastly hugely mindboggingly big it is. I mean you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist, but that's just peanuts to space.

      Life may be doing exactly what you say, but we're looking in the wrong direction. Wouldn't be the first time...

      With apologies to Douglas Adams

    2. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      science says life should be plentiful...

      it does? Where?! As far as science goes, science so far says life exists on Earth and nothing else, so far Earth is the only proven example (scientifcally) of where life exists. This means science says life only exists on earth.

    3. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Thrip · · Score: 1

      I suppose this could be viewed as evidence that life-supporting planets tend to go through catastrophes that would be likely to kill off intelligent species. You may be optimistic enough to think that human society could survive the earth freezing over if it started now, but we sure as hell wouldn't have made it if the deep freeze hit even a couple of centuries ago. So it's just one more factor that would thin out the density of civilizations. If you wanted to pretend that this Fermi nonsense is anything more than wanton speculation...

      --
      I'm awake! The answer is BONK!
    4. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fermi's Paradox (it's not really a paradox) also assumes that intelligent life wants to expand and explore and have the resources on-planet to get off-planet and want to contact other life forms.

      It also assumes that a sufficiently advanced alien has figured out some way of near-lightspeed travel - perhaps it's not possible. Perhaps the aliens are getting around to contacting us, but since we've only been throwing out intelligible em-waves for a hundred years or so, they may have already passed over the planet and deemed it 'empty' a long time ago, and the waves that might indicate to them otherwise haven't reached their sensors yet.

      There are so many problems with Fermi's "Paradox" that it's really not that useful a question. Many of the possible reasons are the hallmark of pulp sci-fi.

    5. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      Science really says, "life exists here" and "there's no reason to assume the earth occupies a special place in the universe". From that we get the assumption that it should be easy for life to arise just about anywhere else. This argument pays no attention to the statistical probability of life arising. The chance of the environmental conditions were right, etc etc. This is an argument based purely on the fact that we exist.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    6. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      It has been hypothesized that the best scenario for complex life is a recurring series of disasters that almost, but not quite, kills off life each time

      Well, our government certainly qualifies.

    7. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Jerf · · Score: 1
      it does? Where?! As far as science goes, science so far says life exists on Earth and nothing else, so far Earth is the only proven example (scientifcally) of where life exists. This means science says life only exists on earth.
      No. Science as we currently know it says that life seems to arisen nearly the instant it was feasible, and even that it may well have arisen multiple times between catastrophes that wiped out all life early in the history of the plane. It also says that, broadly speaking, there doesn't seem to be anything particularly unique about Earth, and that there ought to be an incomprehensible number of planets out there.

      Putting the two of those together, it seems like life is "easy", even if we can figure it out, and that there ought to be a lot of it.

      Earth is the only planet with confirmed life. Science can neither confirm nor deny life anywhere else at this time. But mainstream-science says there ought to be more ought there.

      Another AC complains that the Fermi Paradox has a lot of problems, but that rather misses the point. Of course there's a problem with the Fermi Paradox; that is indeed the source of the paradox. Somewhere along the way there is an error. Perhaps life isn't that easy. Perhaps intelligent life isn't that easy. Perhaps the Rare Earth hypothesis hold (that is, the Earth has one or more specifically unique characteristics, perhaps even the Snowball Earth history to bring the topic back in.) Perhaps, perhaps, perhaps. The problem is, we don't know what.

      Nor is it an entirely intellectual enterprise. The Great Filter argument seems sound to me; if the thing preventing stable societies that can expand is in our past, perhaps the difficulty of life itself, perhaps the unlikeliness of intelligence, then perhaps we really can survive. If, on the other hand, the difficult part lies ahead of us, then we can assume unspeakably many societies may have advanced to our point, only to die anyhow. Perhaps we are screwed no matter what, but perhaps with logic and science we can identify the "great filter" before it filters us, and at least bend the odds in our favor. The answer to the Fermi Paradox may be very, very important. (Please do not argue with this poor summary, which is going off of my memory, I didn't even re-read the article. Please read the real article if you are interested enough to want to rebut this; rebutting this summary paragraph would just be rebutting a straw man.)
    8. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Space is big. Really big. You just won't believe how vastly hugely mindboggingly big it is. I mean you may think it's a long way down the road to the chemist, but that's just peanuts to space.

      That's why they call it "space".

    9. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by SirWinston · · Score: 1

      > Fermi's Paradox (it's not really a paradox) also assumes that intelligent
      > life wants to expand and explore and have the resources on-planet to get
      > off-planet and want to contact other life forms.
      >
      > It also assumes that a sufficiently advanced alien has figured out some way
      > of near-lightspeed travel - perhaps it's not possible.

      Exactly. Why assume that many (or any) advanced life forms would be "colonialists" and explorers, rather than introverted self-explorers? Humans haven't nearly reached the technological advancement needed for interstellar travel, yet our most advanced societies have already been moving past colonialism and expansion and nearing internal population equilibrium or decline (discounting immigration). Once a planet truly stabilizes socially and culturally, and has eliminated most of its economic ills and national rivalries--would there be any impetus to go out on decades-long interstellar exploration trips in relatively isolated and spartan conditions? There might be a desire to prove that life exists elsewhere--but once that's proven by finding an alien species, that desire would be largely satieted, so why undertake continued explorations for no other reason than the exploration itself?

      I think the Fermi Paradox is no paradox at all, just a foolish assumption that intelligent lifeforms would be as interested in exploration and expansion as we were recently--even though we're still too primitive to be an interstellar-capable people. Already our own more advanced societies have slowed/stopped expanding in native population and become more introspective. Perhaps our own tendency to explore is the exception not the rule, or a primitive trait advanced societies outgrow once they get the big picture, or a tendency which gets refocused inward toward exploring ourselves or exploring the limits of technology.

      And that's even assuming interstellar travel is feasible in practical ways. Even assuming that, would many or any people in a rich technologically and culturally advanced society choose to abandon it to spend decades to reach a neighboring star system, on the off chance that it might have interesting life?

      --
      "It's a damn poor mind that can only think of one way to spell a word."--Andrew Jackson
    10. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly. Why assume that many (or any) advanced life forms would be "colonialists" and explorers, rather than introverted self-explorers?

      For the same reason we should be doing our damnedest to colonize other worlds? So that in the event of the destruction of one of our home worlds (to the point that life is no longer viable at least), the human race isn't wiped out?

      I suppose it's not impossible to imagine a species that has no curiosity, no desire to experience new things, no interest in exploring new horizons, no plans to leave their homes, and no intention of protecting themselves from unexpected disasters... but it's pretty damn close.

    11. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Scarletdown · · Score: 1
      No. Science as we currently know it says that life seems to arisen nearly the instant it was feasible, and even that it may well have arisen multiple times between catastrophes that wiped out all life early in the history of the plane. It also says that, broadly speaking, there doesn't seem to be anything particularly unique about Earth, and that there ought to be an incomprehensible number of planets out there.
      The Universe: Population? Zero. As far as we know, there are an infinite number of worlds out there. However, we also know that not all of those worlds are inhabited. Therefore, there are a finite number of inhabited worlds. Now, any number divided by infinity is so close to zero, as to not matter. Therefore, if the average population of the universe is zero, the total population must also be zero, and anyone you are likely to encounter is merely the figment of a deranged imagination.
      --
      This space unintentionally left blank.
    12. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by SirWinston · · Score: 1

      > For the same reason we should be doing our damnedest to colonize other
      > worlds? So that in the event of the destruction of one of our home worlds
      > (to the point that life is no longer viable at least), the human race isn't
      > wiped out?

      As for the human race, we're still far too primitive to be colonizing other worlds even within our own star system--not only is our technology still too feeble to do it safely and sustainably, but our primitive economic and social institutions are too feeble as well. Until economic and social disparities are lessened and nationalistic strife wanes, any effort to colonize another planet or moon would be viewed by almost all as an unacceptable and decadent waste of resources--and lead to the toppling of the administration or even the nation which undertakes it. No one would accept spending the trillions of dollars it would require, to the detriment of spending on the general welfare, security, etc. We are a century or two away from our first tentative stab at a semi-permanent offworld colony. Trying now would be irresponsibly premature; those resources need to be spent fixing onworld problems before we even consider offworld colonies.

      As for more advanced alien races (and even us if we survive long enough), if sufficiently technologically advanced they'd be able to defend against basic natural threats such as asteroids and to predict catastrophic changes such as planetary or stellar cycles decades, centuries, or even millennia in advance. That would mean there'd be no pressing need to explore or colonize as a protective measure, since there'd be ample warning. They'd only need to send out enough probes to locate one suitable planet, and not prepare to colonize unless/until they foresee an unavoidable catastrophe which would render all planets in their own star system uninhabitable.

      Plus, a sufficiently socially and culturally advanced society could likely be less self-centered and more accepting of its own mortality and its own unimportance in the cosmic scale. The desire to outwardly explore and colonize seems to be an aggressive and self-centered impulse; as societies become more advanced and cohesive, aggression is an impulse which becomes counterproductive and antisocial and is increasingly offset by social and legal discouragements. As we move forward, aggression may even be selected against in our natural selection process, as more cognitive traits become increasingly valued and selected for--which may have the consequence of limiting the desire for aggressive expansionist forms of exploration and increasing desire for more introspective and socially, technologically beneficial forms of exploration.

      In any event, we are too primitive technologically, socially, and economically to really understand these issues. But I do suspect that any race sufficiently advanced to master interstellar travel will have little inherent desire to undertake it for the purposes of mere exploration. Once you prove life exists elsewhere, it likely becomes a banal fact rather than an impetus to explore, as soon as the novelty wears off.

      --
      "It's a damn poor mind that can only think of one way to spell a word."--Andrew Jackson
    13. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by LS · · Score: 1

      Based on your explanation, the problem of the Fermi Paradox is that it is too narrow minded. Perhaps evolution towards complexity accelerates, and becomes unrecognizable to humans very quickly. Using radio waves for communication may only be present for an extremely short period of time during the evolution of an intelligent species. Also, perhaps what we perceive to be the universe is only a tiny slice. Other intelligent species could quickly move to populating other dimensions. We would (or could) have no understanding of these dimensions, the same way a bacteria has no understanding of a high-rise. Anyway, maybe the universe IS populated by intelligent life. Maybe it is surrounding you right now, and you just don't know it. We could take it even further - who says that we are the top, the ultimate species in the tree of life? Perhaps there are more advanced species that are just not perceptable to us that came from the same earthly evolutionary chain and are right here right now! We have no direct evidence for any of this of course, but my purpose is just to show that this "paradox" is not necessarily such a paradox.

      LS

      --
      There is a fine line between being a cultivated citizen and being someone else's crop. - A. J. Patrick Liszkie
    14. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by hypnagogue · · Score: 1
      I think the Fermi Paradox is no paradox at all, just a foolish assumption that intelligent lifeforms would be as interested in exploration and expansion as we were recently--even though we're still too primitive to be an interstellar-capable people.
      You miss one thing: we don't choose to be interested in exploration or expansion, we are driven to it by the fact that we are a superpredator.

      Individual superpredators will generally choose to eat, grow and successfully reproduce rather than not. That's going to drive exponential demand for resources. For all the grand experiments with population control we've tried to date, it seems that people are happier with the horrors of unending bloody conflict than the idea of not having kids. I'm not aware of any trends to the contrary. Some countries have decreasing population, but it would seem that those countries are simply unsuccessful -- it's just a matter of time before the crazed hordes conquer them and acquire their resources.

      Interstellar space travel becomes mandatory immediately after basic civilization forms. An interstellar civilization would seem to be relatively unimpeded with respect to exponential population growth. Recompute for T+100,000,000 years and discover a galaxy completely conquered by their children. My best guess to the Fermi paradox is that we are the first intelligent civilization in this galaxy, and we should reasonably be expected to utterly subjugate and consume it in geologic short order.

      Only one civilization gets the luxury of the Fermi paradox -- the rest get eaten.
      --
      Liberty you never use is liberty you lose.
    15. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      One of many flaws in your assumption: there are not infinite worlds. There are an ass-load of them sure (last I read there was at least 10 times as many galaxies as humans on Earth, each with billions of stars which could have any number of planets around them), but they are not infinite.

      So now we have a finite number of HUGE proportions, of which we know data points for 8 of them. 1 has life, and 7 don't (and even of those 7, 1 or 2 of them could still have life beyond our methods of detection). That's not exactly enough data to assume any significant information about the other 99.999999999999999999999999999999999999999% of the planets we don't know anything about. Hell for all we know our system might have the only 7 planets in the universe without some form of life - very improbable, but as of yet we certainly don't know any different.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    16. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by radtea · · Score: 1

      science says life should be plentiful and easy and populating the stars ought to be possible at significant fractions of the speed of light, so where is the life that is doing so?

      Capabilities that are easy to evolve do so many times. The eye, wings, fins... all of these have evolved again and again and again. They have evolved independently in different orders--the wings of birds have nothing to do with the wings of bats or bugs, the fins of cetaceans have nothing to do with the fins of fishes.

      In contrast to this, the kind of intelligence that can build spaceships has evolved exactly once, and it appears to have been something of an accident, even by evolutionary standards. Anatomically modern humans existed a hundred thousand years ago (and therefore probably much earlier than than that, because the odds of the earliest evidence being contemporaneous with the earliest individuals is staggeringly small.) But forty thousand years ago the complexity of tools took a sharp jump, coupled with evidence of rapidly increasing cultural and technological complexity.

      We know evolution is an elaborative process, and that organisms make use of systems evolved under one set of pressures to adapt to different pressures. So it is plausible that our brains were evolved to solve simple problems of living in a tool-using group in a harsh and unstable climate, and quite by accident it happens that any brain that is sufficient to solve those problems is also sufficient to build spacecraft, in the same way that any bird's beak that is dexterous enough to glean bugs off bark is also dexterous enough to use a bit of bent wire to do any of the things that birds now use bits of bent wire for.

      If this is the case, then it is plausible that spaceship-building intelligence is fantasitically rare, in contrast to Fermi's assumption that life pretty much always leads to intelligence.

      --
      Blasphemy is a human right. Blasphemophobia kills.
    17. Re:Snowball Earth and the Fermi Paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once you prove life exists elsewhere, it likely becomes a banal fact rather than an impetus to explore, as soon as the novelty wears off.

      It seems you believe the only purpose to finding life elsewhere is to verify that it exists. If intelligent life were to be found, aren't you the slightest bit interested in how they view the universe? What insights or technology they might possess that their unique way of thinking caused them to produce? Even supposing you found one other example of intelligent life and found them to be quite similar to your own, would that be reason enough to discount the possibility of others? I guess I don't understand this point of view, and I'm pretty glad most other members of the human race don't share your disinterest in exploration and discovery.

  10. A little explanation is in order by dsanfte · · Score: 3, Informative
    From the website:
    Deposition of glacial or glacial marine strata close to the paleo-equator during the Marinoan, Sturtian and Makganyene glaciations, indicated by a growing body of reliable paleomagnetic data from different regions.


    This is a fancy way of saying that they have found deposits of submarine rock near the equator that should only be forming in an arctic climate, and which date to the period of 'snowball earth' in question. This sediment has magnetic signatures which signify it formed originally at the equator, in an equatorial magnetic field, and did not simply arrive at the equator after having been formed previously in the arctic.

    Please note that we are speaking here of a process of lava cooling, and 'trapping' a fingerprint of whatever magnetic field was present at the time it cooled. That's how these fingerprints are formed and it is a well-known and documented process, and a basis for the current models of magnetic field shift.

    Had the magnetic system been different in the past (not a two-pole magnetic field) it would have rendered these results useless, but this article itself explains that there is now evidence that the Earth's magnetic field has always been a dipole (two-pole) field and that these results are correct.

    At least, that is my understanding.
    --
    occultae nullus est respectus musicae - originally a Greek proverb
    1. Re:A little explanation is in order by Salvance · · Score: 1

      The problem is that all evidence points to the magnetic poles shifting, flipping, and changing in other ways over the course of the Earth's history. Every year the poles move by up to 40km, moving between continents within our own lifetimes. Here's an interesting article from NASA to explain the historical shifting/changing of the magnetic fields ... to me, this would invalidate the 'Snowball Earth' theory to some degree.

      --
      Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
    2. Re:A little explanation is in order by dsanfte · · Score: 1

      Well that's just it! This evidence shows that, despite shifts, the magnetic field has always fallen into a more-or-less stable "dipole" arrangement that has remained the 'average' after a shift.

      Therefore the evidence is reliable. If the field had been changing during the shifts themselves then it would have been recorded in the rock.

      --
      occultae nullus est respectus musicae - originally a Greek proverb
    3. Re:A little explanation is in order by eric76 · · Score: 1

      That is, of course, the magnetic poles, not the geographic poles around which the Earth spins.

      People often get those confused. Some people who have heard of the north and south magnetic poles flipping think that the Earth is going to somehow magically flip over at that time as well.

    4. Re:A little explanation is in order by MadUndergrad · · Score: 1

      Of course Earth's magnetic field has always had a dipole arrangement: that's the only kind of magnetic field there is! As far as anyone knows, magnetic monopoles aren't physically possibly, much less tripoles etc. As for the shifting of the field and reversing the poles, well, shift happens.

    5. Re:A little explanation is in order by Reverse+Gear · · Score: 1
      Thank you for this explanation I was a bit lost as to how snowball earth (global ice age as I understand the idea) was linked to magnetic data from the rocks. I am not an expert on this so I guess I will have to buy the idea that one is able to see that rocks have formed in an arctic climate even though I remain sceptic

      Another thing that makes me wonder about this theory is that as far as I know we only have good data of the earths magnetic data from something like 120 million years after which there is no more oceanic plate left.
      Sure there is information from the continental plates, but really this information is very messy and in general based on a lot of speculation. The movements of the continental plates is to a big degree already based on this data, which this idea again relies on (or does it?).
      The resume (which is all that seems available to me, of new information anyhow) says this idea depends on the idea that the earths magnetic field having been dipolar for this period too.
      From the resume:
      But if the early Earth's magnetic field was markedly different to today's axial dipolar field, some of those interpretations could be off the mark.
      I guess all I am trying to say that this new article seems to be a lot of guesswork, we are left with nothing better when going that far back in time.
      To me this thing about Ice Ages that far back isn't something that is all that important in most cases being a geologist and not all that interested in the idea about evolution, I gladly leave that kind of even worse speculation to biologist.
    6. Re:A little explanation is in order by nametaken · · Score: 1


      Thank you for that.

    7. Re:A little explanation is in order by professionalfurryele · · Score: 1

      Magnetic Quadrupoles exist. Take two dipoles and you have a Quadrupole.

    8. Re:A little explanation is in order by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Better than the magnetic monopole!

    9. Re:A little explanation is in order by Curmudgeonlyoldbloke · · Score: 1

      Thanks for that. Judging by many of the responses posts so far (of the "the magnetic field has wobbled all over the place" variety), the relevance of the recent research providing evidence that it hadn't wasn't obvious.

      If I'm not mistaken, the Hoffman / Schrag article appeared in Jan 2000's Scientific American, and was more readable there with illustrations intact.

  11. Global Warming vs Religion by DiscoLizard · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I find it amazing that people who believe in something with basically no verifiable proof of existence (i.e. God) have such a tough time believing in something that is so demonstrably happening in front of them.

    If ever there was proof of the power of man to delude himself, denying that we have a large and thus-far detrimental effect on climate change would be it.

    1. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by c_forq · · Score: 1

      I think part of that goes to the whole humility thing. The teachings of the insignificance of man makes it easy to think that man could not possibly have an effect on something as vast as a planet. No one argues teh localized effects of polluting factories, but can't imagine that it is effecting the entire globe. It's like that flap of a butterflies wings causing a hurricane thing - people expect dominoes to knock over similarly sized dominoes, not knock over doors and walls.

      --
      Computers allow humans to make mistakes at the fastest speeds known, with the possible exception of tequila and handguns
    2. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      No, sorry. The reason why people have so much trouble accepting what is going on is that there is simply no workable solution to solve the problem. "Change the way we live" is not a workable solution. It's a heck of a lot easier to ignore the issue than it is to accept that.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    3. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by nametaken · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That was a little out of left field, no?

      I know plenty of people who believe both. In fact, I think there's actually LESS of a rivalry between religion and science than people suggest.

      I think little things like this are important evidence for what I'm saying...

      "John Paul insisted faith and science could coexist. In 1996, in a message to the Pontifical Academy of Sciences, he said that Darwin's theories were sound as long as they took into account that creation was the work of God and that Darwin's theory of evolution was "more than a hypothesis.'"

    4. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by mike449 · · Score: 1

      Note that it's almost always the religious types that try to "coexist". Science, by its nature, doesn't need religion. Religion, on the other hand, needs all the support from the science it can get.
      It is much harder (while still possible) to find a scientist that supports "coexistence".

    5. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by sckeener · · Score: 1

      I know plenty of people who believe both. In fact, I think there's actually LESS of a rivalry between religion and science than people suggest.

      Keep saying it and Kansas will still be just as backwater.....Texas is only slightly better. (I live in Texas)

      "John Paul insisted faith and science could coexist. In 1996, in a message to the Pontifical Academy of Sciences, he said that Darwin's theories were sound as long as they took into account that creation was the work of God and that Darwin's theory of evolution was "more than a hypothesis.'"

      Too bad the south isn't more Catholic and too bad American Catholics view the Pope a bit differently. Toss in the fact that to be a 'good' Christian you need to think like everyone else (except on those fundamental core religious differences the church tells you exist)

      I can remember in High School (1990) some kids having a problem with different religions and seriously considered the US to be a Christian Nation....They had a hard time seeing that being Christian is in the eye of the beholder and I doubt they'd like the founding father's deism or the Treaty of Tripoli which says we are not a Christian Nation.

      --
      "Only one thing, is impossible for god: to find any sense in any copyright law on the planet." Mark Twain
    6. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Man's unfailing capacity to believe what he prefers to be true rather than what the evidence shows to be likely and possible has always astounded me. We long for a caring Universe which will save us from our childish mistakes, and in the face of mountains of evidence to the contrary we will pin all our hopes on the slimmest of doubts. God has not been proven not to exist, therefore he must exist." ~ Academician Prokhor Zakharov, Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri

    7. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by Bob-taro · · Score: 1
      Funny thing is, we "believers" will say the same thing about atheists. I think this article in particular is a good example of scientists trying very hard to make a concrete conclusion on very sketchy evidence.

      E.g., the article says you can look at rocks and determine what latitude they were formed at by the inclination of their magnetic field. If the Earth's magnetic poles were in the same places they are today. Oh, and if the rocks haven't reached their Curie temperature since then, and if they weren't re-magnetized via groundwater percolation. And if (at least this occurred to me, though I didn't see it mentioned in the reading) the rocks hadn't been physically rotated.

      I started reading the linked paper but lost interest before the end.

      --
      Prov 9:8 Do not rebuke mockers or they will hate you; rebuke the wise and they will love you.
    8. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      If ever there was proof of the power of man to delude himself, denying that we have a large and thus-far detrimental effect on climate change would be it.

      Chicken Little says: "I know just what you mean!"
    9. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 1

      Sort of.

      There are *lots* of scientists who believe in supernatural beings.
      They just don't try to run their science that way.

      Science needs no religion.
      Scientists are just human and may.

      We humans are brainwashed by our parents before our rational mind starts working. We are afraid of the dark. We are afraid of dying. When we are in too much pain, there is some scientific evidence that believing certain irrational things activates parts of our body that relieves our pain or makes it easier to endure.

      I'm like a maxwell smart villian myself.

      Quite franky, I find religion hard to believe.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    10. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by DiscoLizard · · Score: 1

      Galileo might have disagreed with you.

    11. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by DiscoLizard · · Score: 1

      I apologise for the left-field comment, it just struck me that the more people I talk to who don't believe in global climate change, the more I people I find who believe in God, in one form or another. As for co-existence and acknowledgement of valid theories, that may have previously been the case for a short time, but big religion has now reverted to its traditional stance;


      Pope Blasts Darwinism

      Yesterday, Tuesday, September 12, 2006, Pope Benedict XVI called evolution "unreasonable." In an address to 300,000 in Germany, Pope Benedict XVI addressed the concept of Darwinian evolution in terms that reverses the Catholic Church's over 50-year acceptance of the theory.

      Pope Benedict XVI, who voiced opposition to evolutionary theory while he was still Cardinal Joseph Ratzinger, remains consistent with his previous views, which he last voiced on World Youth Day in April 2006. At that meeting, he told his young audience that "science supports a reliable, intelligent structure of matter, the design of Creation."

    12. Re:Global Warming vs Religion by porcupine8 · · Score: 1
      It is much harder (while still possible) to find a scientist that supports "coexistence".

      I'm not sure what you mean by this, but a good percentage of scientists believe in God. I would assume that that would mean that they consider God and their scientific theories to "coexist", or else they are very good at handling cognitive dissonance.

      And I suppose it's true that science doesn't "need" God, but maybe that's just because they haven't exhausted all the other theories yet. Where did the matter come from that comprised the tiny, dense point universe before the big bang? Right now, any answer to that question is equally religious to saying "God put it there."

      --
      Warning: Apple/Nintendo fangirl. Likes her electronics cute & cuddly. May be rabid.
  12. bush's fault! by minus_273 · · Score: 1

    Bush made the ice melt just like he killed polar bears!!

    --
    The war with islam is a war on the beast
    The war on terror is a war for peace
    1. Re:bush's fault! by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      Bush made the ice melt

            Of course he did. Saddam could have been hiding WMD's under there...

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  13. Cue the right wing wackos by plopez · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I can't wait till they get a hold of this one. Regardless of all the other evidence they will use it as a way to slag on evironmentalists, the Kyoto treaty, liberals, democrats, gay marriage, stem cell research and find creative ways to link all of them to terrorism. And champion corrupt corporations as being the benign benefactors of all humanity. This should be fun.

    The climate is dynamic. The question is: "are humans having a serious negative impact on the global climate?" And there is a bunch of evidence stacking up saying "yes."

    --
    putting the 'B' in LGBTQ+
    1. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Weston+O'Reilly · · Score: 0

      But of course the Right Wing Wackos all think the earth is only 6,000 years old, so they couldn't possibly try to use this story in that manner, right?

    2. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Maxite · · Score: 1

      This idea isn't even old. I've seen a program on Discovery Science channel talking about Snowball Earth twice within the past year or so.

      --
      Ah, you found me!
    3. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Cadallin · · Score: 1
      Its pretty much irrelevant whether humans are causing global warming at this point. It IS happening, we know that. We also are quite painfully aware of the negative impact this has on the environment, both from our perspective (weather becomes much more chaotic and violently unpredictable, formerly arable land becomes desert, water supplies shift and in general the total amount of potable water decreases) and from the perspective of other species inhabiting the planet (various fungal, algal, and protist species tend to proliferate wildly in warmer environments at the expense of other species; polar bears die their environments is destroyed, many other problems similar to the ones humans face).

      The thing we really need to be addressing is that there are steps we can take to change it. An earth several degrees cooler is very much preferable to humans and many, many other species. There are ways to make the earth cooler. Many involve artificially increasing the Earth's Albedo (back to around 0.40 from its current value around 0.36) Orbital solar shields/diffusers are another way. We CAN do this. We know how. This is what we must be looking at doing in a very short time frame, if we want to prevent the kinds of huge environmental change that are likely to have devastating economic impact.

    4. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by AstrumPreliator · · Score: 1

      Damn... Just... Damn...

      So in order to solve this mess [global warming] that we've gotten ourselves into you're fully willing to go in the opposite direction and change the Earth's albedo despite having inconclusive and incomplete data on the subject? Are you the same person who will advocate driving around an SUV in 50 years to prevent global cooling because you so arrogantly fucked with nature again?

      Your attitude makes me sick.

    5. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Cadallin · · Score: 1
      No, I'm trying to advocate a solution that will mitigate the mid- to long-term consequences of human activity for the past century. I'm trying to advocate a course of action that would save the lives of untold millions of people, and thousands of other species on the earth. The things you, and the people replying to the article " A Sunshade In Space To Combat Global Warming" don't seem to understand are numerous. An orbital solar diffuser is REVERSIBLE, should it be necessary, although given the current socio-political climate in much of the world, that ain't bloody likely any time soon.

      What "inconclusive and incomplete data on the subject?" Increasing the apparent reflectivity of the Earth will make the earth cooler. That's pretty fucking cut and dried. What exactly do you suggest? That we sit and wait until "All the facts are in" like General Turgidson? Because that's just brilliant!

    6. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by slughead · · Score: 1

      Alter Relationship on Sunday November 05, @11:44PM (#16731467)
      I can't wait till they get a hold of this one. Regardless of all the other evidence they will use it as a way to slag on evironmentalists, the Kyoto treaty, liberals, democrats, gay marriage, stem cell research and find creative ways to link all of them to terrorism. And champion corrupt corporations as being the benign benefactors of all humanity. This should be fun.


      This just goes to show how the global warming debate is less about science and more about politics.

      Look at the rest of the posts in this thread: half of them are political in nature--bashing Bush for one thing or another or somehow making fun of religious people. There are probably some alleged "right wing" posts around here but even 'balanced' posts on this subject end up being modded as 'troll' most of the time (proof here).

      There's no point in even debating the Global Warming issue anymore. Everyone has made their decision and the issue has been basked in politics. Considering that this issue shouldn't be political, such things present a huge problem.

      I would talk about my beliefs on the subject but there's really no point. Politics isn't like science: facts have no influence on people's opinions.

    7. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "An orbital solar diffuser is REVERSIBLE"

      Yes, and the Hubble was supposed to FOCUS. Things of complexity break down. What if -- just consider -- what if, your spacecraft drop and refuse communication? How then will you remove said cloud?

      Want another suggestion? One that is Earth-bound and therefore far more likely to be controllable? CO2 scrubbers.

    8. Re:Cue the right wing wackos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is depressing that the issue can't be dealt with simply, rationally and apolitically. Personally I don't even see what all the fuss (scientific and political) is about, for me the questions, and answers, were as follows:

      Q1) Is the global mean temperature increasing?
      A1) Yes.

      Q2) Is this happening more rapidly than is desirable?
      A2) Probably.

      Q3) Is CO2 a contributor to atmospheric warming?
      A3) Yes, probably significantly.

      Q4) Would it be wise to reduce human sources of CO2 release?
      A4) Yes, regardless of the 'cause' of global warming.

      Notice that I don't care what the 'cause' of global warming is, even if such a simplistic question had a simple answer. We have limited understanding of the causes and effects of global warming. However the *one* input we have some idea about and some control over is CO2 emissions. So we can sit on our hands and wait to see what happens, or take some action to slow down the train until we figure out how it works and where it is going. What do *you* think is the wisest course of action?

      Further notice that I take global warming as an established fact. I concede that some people may be able to wilfully ignore the evidence but I can't take them, their position, or their opinions seriously. I also concede that it may just be a 'natural' variation (highly unlikely) but my position on slowing the change until we figure it out is not altered.

  14. Myspace by DragonHawk · · Score: 1
    "...so where is the life that is doing so?"


    Maybe all complex life eventually develops their version of Myspace?
    --

    dragonhawk@iname.microsoft.com
    I do not like Microsoft. Remove them from my email address.
    1. Re:Myspace by corbettw · · Score: 1

      Maybe all complex life eventually develops their version of Myspace?

      Have you seen Myspace? Doesn't seem all the complex to me.

      --
      God invented whiskey so the Irish would not rule the world.
    2. Re:Myspace by Salvance · · Score: 1

      Wow ... this would explain why no aliens have ever visited Earth ... they've been too busy chatting with their friends and trying to photoshop their pictures to pic up other not-so-hot aliens.

      --
      Crack - Free with every butt and set of boobs
  15. Doomsday Sales Pitch by dorpus · · Score: 1

    Scientists have been giving the doomsday sales pitch for a long time in order to scare up funds. Scientists used to insist in the 1970s that we are "on the cusp of a new ice age", that we will run out of food by 2000 AD and billions of people will starve to death, that nuclear holocaust is a certainty, that black clouds of killer bees will take over America, that leaded gasoline and paitn will give birth to billions of babies with birth defects, that asteroids from space will destroy us, that the flu pandemic is supposed to kill 300 million people, SARS will do the same, that the Y2K bug will cause nuclear meltdowns all over the planet, ... did I miss anything? Every time, questioning these claims caused one to earn the label of "reactionary", "fascist", and "ignorant". Today, the public is equally fanatical in its belief of the Greenhouse effect, and one can literally get his teeth knocked out in public for saying that they don't believe it. The rabble continue to buy into doomsday prophecies, as they have done since thousands of years ago.

    1. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by DiscoLizard · · Score: 1

      Some people mistake cynicism for intelligence. Climate change IS happening. I don't even need to rely entirely on outside sources to help prove that to me. I can (and have) flown for about 2 hours, to visit Franz Josef glacier, which has retreated 1.5 kilometres in the last 60 years. This rate of retreat is orders of magnitude faster than at any other time in history. That means, in the millions and millions of years this thing has been around, the last few hundred have caused it to significantly alter its behaviour. Do you think that this is just a coincidence? It is good to question authority. It is healthy, normal, and a trait that should be encouraged. But when the evidence is staring you in the face, and you still deny it... Then you're delusional.

    2. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by meglon · · Score: 1

      The following is off topic:

      You've probably missed a lot, however it should be noted that scientists view nature and develop ideas as to why things work the way they do. When they find something they believe is potentially a very bad thing, they often do bring this to the light of day. Some things you mention are fairly obvious... suggesting there will be a flu pandemic is a no-brainer, we've had them before, and we'll have them again.. it is just a matter of time. Others, like the asteroids from space, are because these scientists don't believe the world was created 6000 years ago in the exact form it currently is, and they see these huge asteroid impact craters and say "geez, it would be bad if this happened again," and they realize that it too is only a matter of time.

      If you want the real doomsayers, I'd suggest looking at religion. All the major deity based religions are religions of death. Do you think Christians discussing, and wanting to bring about, the "end of times" is not doomsaying? If Christianity (for example) was a religion of life, the premise would be that you DO NOT get to do anything you want in life, only to ask forgiveness at the end, and still be able to go to heaven.

      How many times do the Jehovah Witnesses have to come to your door before you "get" what doomsaying is all about? Lets face it, religion is like buying an insurance policy against the inevitable, with no clue if you'll get to collect it, and not being able to complain about it once you realize it's fraud.

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    3. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen, thanks for the revelation.

      Seriously though, the parent is correct. I remember the coming ice age predictions, having been in school at the time, and they were drilled about as hard as the stuff today on global warming. Back then they claimed the average temperature was going down instead of up and included many of the same years that today they claim man kind was driving the temperature up. Biggest difference is then it was blamed on nature. Back then we were having a string of colder then usual winters that continued into the early 80s, since then we have had warmer then usual winters. Seems to have made a huge change in scientific predictons. Be funny if things did turn colder all of a sudden.

      It might also be funny if the guys with the claims that ever so often the crust of the earth shifts around the core and changes the location of the poles extremely. If it happened it might so that some people's claims that Atlantis is under the ice at the South Pole are correct. I could go on with some of this stuff but if you Google a bit you might find all kinds of interesting and amusing predictions, claims, etc.

      Who knows, sending us to a deep ice age or world wide desert might be nature's way of clearing excess population and testing new species.

    4. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by flyingfsck · · Score: 1

      The movement of a glacier is not only dependent on temperature. It is in fact mainly dependent on precipitation. Warmer air can carry more moisture and leads to more precipitation, therefore growth of glaciers. So, your shrinking glacier provides strong evidence of cooling, not warming... :)

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    5. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by dorpus · · Score: 1

      You observed a single glacier that is said to have retreated 1.5 km in 60 years. Then what about this list of glaciers that is growing? http://www.iceagenow.com/List_of_Expanding_Glacier s.htm The rate of 1.5km in 60 years is quite slow compared to the rate at which other glaciers are growing larger, e.g. a glacier in Greenland growing at the rate of 11.5 km per year, or Argentina's Perito Moreno Glacier (the largest glacier in Patagonia), which is advancing at the rate of 7 feet per day. Do you think that this is just a coincidence? It is good to question authority. It is healthy, normal, and a trait that should be encouraged. But when the evidence is staring you in the face, and you still deny it... Then you're delusional.

    6. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by dorpus · · Score: 1
      Some things you mention are fairly obvious... suggesting there will be a flu pandemic is a no-brainer, we've had them before, and we'll have them again.. it is just a matter of time.

      The Western World regularly had famines throughout its history, yet we haven't had them for at least 50 years, and nobody is expecting them any time soon. Advances in agricultural technology have made famines in developed countries a moot issue. Would it be a stretch to argue that advances in basic hygiene have made pandemics a moot issue in developed countries? Only AIDS poses a credible threat, but advances in public awareness have also caused its incidence to go on a long-term decline.

    7. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, you missed Bush. He's the cause of and not the solution to all of it.

    8. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by DerangedAlchemist · · Score: 1
      The flu is a real threat. The spanish flu of 1918 killed more people than the first world war. It killed healthy young adults quickly, which is what makes it so worrying.

      Many people catch the flu every year despite better hygiene. Now imagine if half of them died.

      Besides, the flu can live in other animals like birds and swine. The virus can spread through these carriers, then infect and kill people. As it has done before.

    9. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by meglon · · Score: 1

      "Moot" is a neat word, used correctly.

      From Care.org, hunger facts:

      More than 840 million people in the world are malnourished -- 799 million of them live in the developing world.

      More than 153 million of the world's malnourished people are children under the age of 5.

      Six million children under the age of 5 die every year as a result of hunger.

      I'd say that those simple facts make famine something more than a historical problem. You are correct in one sense though, technology has made it so we "could" help these people.

      In the case of pandemics, technology actually works the opposite. Faster, and easier, worldwide travel means a more widespread communication of viral or bacterial agents in a smaller time frame. In present day, Influenza takes more time to show symptoms that would cause enough alarm to effect quarantine. In 1918-19 worldwide travel was still via ocean vessels, which took considerable time to get from point A to point B, yet that pandemic was responsible for 20-40 million deaths.

      In the case of AIDS, while you seem to think it's in "long-term decline," the numbers from the CDC for the years 2000-2004 (http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/resources/factsheets/At-A- Glance.htm) show that for this time the cases of AIDS diagnosis and people living with AIDS increased each year, and this is just in the US. Admittedly, certain segments have had declining new cases... prenatal transmission, and injection drug users.

      As for public awareness, (from http://www.kff.org/kaiserpolls/pomr050806pkg.cfm): "significant percentages of Americans still think HIV might be spread through kissing, sharing a drinking glass and touching toilet seat -- 37%, 22% and 16% respectively."

      --
      Fascism: An authoritarian and nationalistic right-wing system of government and social organization. See also: NAZI's
    10. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by adamofdoom · · Score: 0

      Evidence? I've never heard this idea before and I find your conclusions seriously lacking.

    11. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by dorpus · · Score: 1

      More than 840 million people in the world are malnourished -- 799 million of them live in the developing world. Malnourishment was a serious problem in "developed" countries until the mid-20th century, but it is largely unheard of today. Today, we produce enough food to feed the world several times over. The only issue is logistics. As infrastructure improves in the developing world, hunger/malnutrition is also declining. In the case of pandemics, technology actually works the opposite. Faster, and easier, worldwide travel means a more widespread communication of viral or bacterial agents in a smaller time frame. In present day, Influenza takes more time to show symptoms that would cause enough alarm to effect quarantine. In 1918-19 worldwide travel was still via ocean vessels, which took considerable time to get from point A to point B, yet that pandemic was responsible for 20-40 million deaths. Yet, we have not had pandemics of fast-acting illnesses since WWI. The advances in technology to treat diseases have outpaced their ability to spread faster. In the case of AIDS, while you seem to think it's in "long-term decline," the numbers from the CDC for the years 2000-2004 (http://www.cdc.gov/hiv/resources/factsheets/At-A- Glance.htm) show that for this time the cases of AIDS diagnosis and people living with AIDS increased each year, and this is just in the US. Admittedly, certain segments have had declining new cases... prenatal transmission, and injection drug users. Short-term blips are to be expected, but public paranoia over AIDS makes it unlikely to see vast surges in the developed world again.

    12. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by dorpus · · Score: 1

      Again, few people in the developed world live in close proximity to pigs and chickens anymore. Even in developing countries, modern farming methods are reducing close contact. While WW1 had large numbers of young adults living in squalid bunkers, accounting for the large numbers of young people killed, such conditions are rare in the developed world today. Throughout the world today, there exist a large number of relatively simple public health measures that prevent outbreaks from growing too large, which were not present in 1918.

    13. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Genda · · Score: 1

      The problem is not scientists... A vanishingly few scientists ever climb the mount and tout their favorite pet theory, whatever it might be. That's because any good scientist knows that all the facts are never all in, next year will bring better measuring tools, faster computers, larger gene splicers, or a more powerful particle accelerator. What you do get, is newspapers printing the next latest scare, shock, terror, any freaking attention grabbing thing necessary to sell you another newspaper... which is why one day oat bran will save you from everything but the black death, and next green tea is life's elixer, or which model car is a death trap, or politician is a child molester, or asteroid is guarenteed to land smack in the middle of East Poughkeepsie in the year 2092...

      Our media is predicated on scaring you to get your attention. Your leaders are predicated on scaring you to get your vote. Your religion is predicated on scaring you so you'll follow it's dogma. For most scientist, there's no particular interest in scaring you about anything, that is unless there is something really serious worth getting scared about.

      Try this test for yourself...
      If only one "Expert" is touting something, even though is show's up in hundreds of newspapers... it's still at best just an informed opinion. When hundreds, or thousands of "Experts" stand up en-masse, and declare something, well that's a bit more interesting. That's something you should probably stop and consider.

      When virtually every expert in the field of life science (including a whole lot of men and women who consider themselves religious) say, evolution of some kind is a done deal, and intelligent design is astronomically unlikely, you should probably listen. When virtually every qualified person not receiving money from a corporation producing a fossil fuel tells you that the climate is undergoing potentially catastrophic change, it behoves you, for your own benifit and that of your young'ens, to begin looking at what we need to do, to advance our technology without further damaging the environment we still need, in which to survive.

      And this is just another informed opinion...

      "...global warming is actually a good thing because of all the cool new crops we could grow." -CEI's founder, Fred Smith

    14. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      those simple facts make famine something more than a historical problem.

            The original poster was talking about the DEVELOPED COUNTRIES. Your facts, while interesting, are irrelevant to the conversation since they concern the DEVELOPING world.

            I agree that some technology helps spread certain pathogens cover a far greater geographic area in far less time. However I also agree with the original poster that the sanitation infrastructure and the lack of squalor of developed countries is a very effective barrier preventing the huge epidemics we had as little as 100 years ago. Once the pathogen gets here, it stops here. An example is the Cholera pandemic that occurred in latin america over a decade or so ago. It got as far as Mexico and died. This is not because of climate - the European cholera epidemics prove that this bacterium can easily survive in a temperate area. It's because of adequate sewage treatment. Yet some of the poorer countries in latin america (example - Peru) are STILL dealing with endemic cholera today. Another great example is tuberculosis. TB is endemic in the developing world, and extremely rare in developed countries - unless you have AIDS.

            I agree with you on HIV. Now this is a curious disease, since as our treatment becomes more effective, more people are living with the virus. They live longer. In fact today an HIV carrier can have close to a normal lifespan IF s/he can afford the pills. And can potentially infect more people. Not many studies have been done to show how infective HIV is at low or undetectable viral loads. But logic would dictate that a slow, infectious disease that can't be cured will eventually spread throughout the whole population. Look at Human Papilloma Virus. What a boon for the drug companies. I'm sure they'd love to see us all with HIV. Buy our pills, or die! The ultimate marketing model.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    15. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      The only issue is logistics.

            You make it sound as if it was a shipping problem. The real issue is POLITICS, not logistics.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    16. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      few people in the developed world live in close proximity to pigs and chickens anymore.

            It's people living in close proximity to other people (and their waste) that is the real danger. There are not many things you can catch from a pig or chicken (excluding tapeworms or the few cases of bird 'flu) that you can't catch from another human.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    17. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by umghhh · · Score: 1

      So what you are saying is the following:
      1. we have had conjectures 1..n and all of them were false till now
      2. no new conjecture is therefore true

      I have following problem with such logic (if one can call it that):
      1. your list is limited
      2. some of the predicted (and listed events) take more time or can still occur (nuclear holocoust for instance is not a fantasy - simply compare the results of an explosion of a 20kT bomb in Japan with the amount of avialable nuclear munitions)
      3. some of the predicted events like SARS epidemic has not been able to develop into their true dimensions because we took precautions and I do not meen puchase of certain antiviral drag.
      4. if your argument about lead that the metal itself has no effect on human reproduction or is it only the leaded gasoline? DO you know something that we do not?

      I read TFA - it is not a doomsday one at least not in tomorrow-the-world-will-end-and-we-will-all-die-a- terrible-death type of doomsday articles so at least part of your complaint is incorrect.
      I also checked - you are the first one that proved Godwin's law.

      There is no reason to complain as yet.

    18. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by joss · · Score: 1

      This site is bullshit. The data on it is made up and it cites invented references.
      Discussion here:

      http://www.energygrid.com/science/2005/07ap-altern atives.html

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    19. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Every time, questioning these claims caused one to earn the label of "reactionary", "fascist", and "ignorant"."

      No. Questioning these claims is just fine. It's healthy and constructive. Questioning them while being ignorant, though, will result in alot of criticism, yes, because it isn't especially helpful.

      "Scientists used to insist in the 1970s that we are "on the cusp of a new ice age""

      And they were, and still are, correct. Long-term (multi-thousand-year scale) the current interglacial period is ending and we are heading into an ice age, if past links between astronomical cycles and climate are correct (i.e. Milankovitch cycles). This hasn't changed. What has changed is the realization by climate scientists that we have a more serious, short-term spike in CO2 that in the next century will *overwhelm* that long-term trend. After that, it's hard to say. We might be heading back into the expected ice age and wishing we had saved more of that CO2 :-)

      How hard is it to understand that this isn't really a flip-flopping of scientific ideas from one extreme to another, it is a realization that scale matters. Has the risk of an asteroid impact diminished or vanished? No. It could still happen tomorrow. But compared to the chances of and seriousness of climate change expected over the next century, the risk is alot lower, even if a big asteroid impact would be far worse if we were unlucky enough for it to occur in the same period of time.

      What people need to realize, and often do not, is that the risks from walking out into the street each day and getting hit from a car are generally worse than alot of these. Even so, it isn't an excuse for ignoring the risks or failing to plan and mitigate them should the events occur. That would be negligent. A huge number of lives can be saved if they are informed of the risks and people are educated about what to do. There are *many* examples of this. A recent one is the Indonesian tsunami. Had people known what it meant when the ocean suddenly withdrew from the beaches, instead of running out on the exposed seafloor in fascination, they could have fled and probably saved thousands of lives. Had a warning system and education been in place already, same story. Lives and economic prosperity can be saved by understanding the natural world in which we live.

      It's a question of getting a proper perspective on the many risks out there. I know it's confusing to have a long shopping list of "doomsday" scale risks, but it isn't that hard to find out enough about them to make sense of them, and realize that we can do something about them, some easier than others. The most obvious example of this is nuclear war, which is an entirely human-generated risk rather than a natural one, and is therefore entirely within our potential to control.

      "... did I miss anything?"

      Yes. Plenty. Large volcanic eruptions, tsunami, earthquakes, river floods, rising sea levels and hurricanes, landslides, organochlorines in water/food supply... But the details don't matter. There are two ways to look at this issue:
      1) stick your head in the sand and pretend none of it matters and there is nothing we can do about it (making fun of scientists trying to inform the public is a good way to encourage this attitude)
      2) try to understand the issues, and address the relative risks as an *informed* citizen.

      The second option is especially important for trying to guide our political leaders to make the investments necessary to mitigate the effect of hazards, whether human-made or natural. Some of these are no-brainers when it comes to the cost of implementing simple changes that will help. Others are very challenging.

    20. Re:Doomsday Sales Pitch by DerangedAlchemist · · Score: 1
      The squalid conditions of the trenches with people from around the world likely led to the development of the this flu, but that is not the reason for the large number of young people killed. This strain was more deadly to people with healthy immune systems than children and the elderly (yes, that is unusual). I forget if this was because it triggered a hyper immune response or was attacking the immune system itself.

      The flu is a very rapidly mutating virus, which is why vaccines are only effective for a short time. (It's a similar problem with HIV.) In comparison, AIDS is of low danger because it is difficult to transmit. The point is that this can be a big danger if it is ignored.

  16. Cue the left wing wackos by NotQuiteReal · · Score: 1
    I can't wait till they get a hold of this one. Regardless of all the other evidence they will use it as a way to slag on those who believe global climate change might be natural. They will say we should trust environmentalists to know the truth, should have signed the Kyoto treaty, vote in liberals and allow gay marriage and surely stem cell research will save the world. It is all linked to terrorists, who cause global warming with their suicide bombs. Corporations and "profits" cause all human misery. There was no misery before the industrial age.

    The climate is dynamic. The question is: "is human survival subject to something so trival as the randomness of the universe?" And the answer is "yes". There is no god. Just ask the dinosaurs. Shit happens.

    --
    This issue is a bit more complicated than you think.
    1. Re:Cue the left wing wackos by rlp · · Score: 1

      Oh come now, surely the Snowball earth represents yet another failure of the Bush administration. I'm sure there will be an editorial in the New York Times to that effect tomorrow.

      --
      [Insert pithy quote here]
  17. In Our Genes by dorpus · · Score: 1

    Current scientific theories, at least those popular in America, say that our genes are programmed for obesity because we experienced frequent famines as cavement. Corollary to that, are we genetically programmed to believe in impending doom? Doomsday predictions have been present throughout the world's civilizations, throughout history.

    1. Re:In Our Genes by Sigg3.net · · Score: 0

      I think minds (or souls, if you want) are programmed for obesity.
      Cut down advertisment and "feel-less-unless-you-x" mentality.

  18. I have a proposal by nwbvt · · Score: 1

    No more including Wikipedia links in articles. I mean seriously, does anyone out there really need help searching the wikipedia? Please, if you want to give real information on a subject, give a real primary or secondary source. If that means you have to learn how to do some real research, well thats a skill you need to learn at some point anyways.

    --
    Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    1. Re:I have a proposal by Dun+Malg · · Score: 1
      I have a proposal-- No more including Wikipedia links in articles. I mean seriously, does anyone out there really need help searching the wikipedia? Please, if you want to give real information on a subject, give a real primary or secondary source.
      There's nothing wrong with linking wikipedia for a simple overview. Why do you object to people including a freakin' hyperlink in their summary, demanding that people go look it up themselves? Get over yourself.
      --
      If a job's not worth doing, it's not worth doing right.
    2. Re:I have a proposal by nwbvt · · Score: 1

      I'm not objecting that a link is provided in the summary (in fact there were several other links in there), just it should be to a better source than the Wikipedia. I'm not here to start a flame war against the Wikipedia, as it does have its uses. However, a source you can refer other people to is not one of them. Its really not that much better than posting a link to a google search on a particular topic.

      --
      Mathematics is made of 50 percent formulas, 50 percent proofs, and 50 percent imagination.
    3. Re:I have a proposal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Finally a useful comment out of you.
      --
      Sick of pompous windbags? Change "Karma Bonus" modifier to -1 penalty.

  19. little known fact... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > The icy conditions ... ended violently under extreme greenhouse conditions

    And it's a little known fact that this was bought about by Americans driving SUVs :)

  20. This is certainly a complex world ... by constantnormal · · Score: 1

    ... that we live on.

    Suppose that a mechanism of repeating cycles (and perhaps cycles within cycles) between ice ages (major and minor) has been a requisite factor in the evolution of life on Earth, with the regular cycles of extinction following the alternation of ice ages and greenhouse eras.

    It would make for a grand Darwinian scythe.

    What does that do to the various elements of the Drake equation?

    While the universe is certainly large enough for intelligent life to evolve under a wide variety of conditions, I'm not at all sure that our galaxy has enough systems with clockwork geoclimate cycles similar to our own to permit an evolutionary process at all similar to ours to have taken place.

    As poor an example of an intelligent species as we are, we may be the best that this galaxy can muster.

    1. Re:This is certainly a complex world ... by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      there is most certainly other intelligent life out there (sorry religous fuckers) the number of possible life supporting stars and planets out there is just too great for there not to be. there are people who believe that life isn't some miricle but more of a cosmic imperitive. the reasoning being that life has been found in the most harshest of environments, so it can't be as fragile as some make out. they believe that if the basics of life supporting elements are there, life will exist.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
  21. Troubling Question by FreeRadicalX · · Score: 1

    I have a problem with a theory like this. If all that ice (a kilometer of it?) could have melted as recently as 2,000 years ago, how did all of our planet's endlessly diverse planet life grow and propagate globally in such a short time period? There are Sequoias in California that are at least that old, and other living trees elsewhere in the world that are older. Seems to me that throws a wrench into this hypothesis.

    1. Re:Troubling Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Bloody hell, learn to read:
      "the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years"

    2. Re:Troubling Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It melted in as little as 2000 years. Not 2000 years ago.

    3. Re:Troubling Question by Rufty · · Score: 1

      Hiya George - I didn't know you could type!

      --
      Red to red, black to black. Switch it on, but stand well back.
    4. Re:Troubling Question by FreeRadicalX · · Score: 1

      Oh wow, color me embarrassed. Even when I read your reply, the first 5 times though I was still reading "2,000 years ago", wondering "What the hell is he getting at??". The brain's powers of word substitution and sentence completion are just lovely. My bad.

    5. Re:Troubling Question by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      I have a problem with a theory like this. If all that ice (a kilometer of it?) could have melted as recently as 2,000 years ago, how did all of our planet's endlessly diverse planet life grow and propagate globally in such a short time period?

      It melted in 2,000 years, not 2,000 years ago.

      Never mind the trees. 2,000 years ago was the year 6 AD. Augustus Caesar is emperor in Rome. If I recall my history aright, he's not sitting on top of a kilometer-thick glacier.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    6. Re:Troubling Question by ari+wins · · Score: 1

      Read TFA, noobs. Hell, just read the summary: "snowballearth.org suggests the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years." Notice that period? There was no "ago" at the end of that sentance.

      --
      Don't worry if you're a kleptomaniac, you can always take something for it.
    7. Re:Troubling Question by lightyear4 · · Score: 1

      The brain's powers of word substitution and sentence completion are just lovely. My bad.

      I personally prefer bash or ksh completion..they help to avoid such silly mistakes.

  22. what a load of horse shit by timmarhy · · Score: 1

    The theory sounds ok until i heard "as little as 2000 years ago" sorry chumps, but if the whole planet was a snow ball in recorded history WE WOULD KNOW ABOUT IT IN ANCIENT TEXTS. NEXT PLEASE!

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    1. Re:what a load of horse shit by Nicaboker · · Score: 1
      suggests the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years.
      Unless I'm reading it wrong it says the meltdown took 2,000 years not that this happened 2,000 years ago.
      --
      So many choices, so little tolerance.
    2. Re:what a load of horse shit by ImperialDahak · · Score: 1

      Agreed. From the summary, "snowballearth.org suggests the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years."

    3. Re:what a load of horse shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Learn to read, idiot.

    4. Re:what a load of horse shit by timmarhy · · Score: 1

      "suggests the meltdown could have occurred in as little as 2,000 years" no you horsefuckers, your wrong. LEARN TO READ YOURSELF ASSHOLES

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    5. Re:what a load of horse shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ha! Yes!

      It would be there in all those ancient texts... just like the dragons, cyclops and the eskimos!!!

    6. Re:what a load of horse shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      It would be there in all those ancient texts... just like the dragons, cyclops and the eskimos!!!
      Actually, I'm pretty sure that cyclops don't belong on your list. There's a rare kind of birth defect that really causes people with only one eye. It may be related to environmental pollution, so it's even on-topic to the discussion.
    7. Re:what a load of horse shit by Dunbal · · Score: 1

      the majority of Slashdot readers would deny Creation, deny the life of Christ, and deny the Bible, though they are all contained in ancient texts.

            They deny the Flying Spaghetti Monster, too - the bastards. Even though we have an ancient drawing to prove it. The 7 day week is easy - it's 5 working days (1 for each major noodly appendage) and 2 rest days (1 for each meat-ball).

            Still, OUR heaven has a BEER VOLCANO.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    8. Re:what a load of horse shit by chris411 · · Score: 1
      You didn't actually RTFA, did you. Heck, I don't even have to quote the article, just the summary.

      "...the hypothesis that the entire Earth was ice-covered for long periods on several occasions, most recently 600-700 million years ago."

      See? It happened 600-700 million years ago. By the way, "in as little as 2,000 years" does not mean "it happened 2,000 years ago ago".

      Why do we even need to point this out to you? Can't you figure out these things on your own? Just the fact that you resort to insults should be enough of a clue for you about how small-minded you are.

    9. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      there is more historical evidence for the life of Christ than there will be for any of us a week after we die

      Unlikely.
      My birth certificate is on file, so that's one piece of evidence.
      That means there is an infinite amount more historical evidence ofr my life.

      There is not one single legitimate piece of historical evidence for the existence of Jesus.

      So if your entire argument is made up of the same blatant lies, why even bother posting? You could take 5 minutes to actually learn something about the subject before posting something as deeply stupid and obviously false as that.

    10. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      There's more evidence for the life of Christ than there is for the Civil War, George Washington, or you or I.

      Wrong again.

      There is not one single solitary piece of evidence for the life of Christ.
      Get over it and stop lying.

    11. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      I'll give you high marks for attempting to be provocative, but denying Christ's existence, isn't even remotely logical. There's a mountain of historical manuscripts, archaelogical evidence supporting them, the whole world calendar is based on His life, and there's 2000 years of history from that time which was consequential to His life.

      If it isn't even "remotely logical", then surely you can point out some actual historical evidence for him ever having existed?
      No? You can't?
      Well, no surprise, but since you're the one saying that something is true in the absense of any evidence whatsoever, the fault of lacking logic is entirely yours.

      The calendar?!? Seriously, *that's* your idea of historical evidence?!?
      How about the days of the week? Do their names prove the existence of Thor, Freya, Odin etc?
      What about the names of the planets? So Jupiter, Saturn and the rest of the Roman gods have been proven real?

      But His existence...you'd ask someone who has never heard or seen you to trust a single piece of paper produced by a clock-punching government clerk over volumes of historical evidence? Why?

      No, I'm asking you to provide *one* single scrap of legitimate historical evidence. The fact that there isn't *one* is the problem with your point, not mine.

    12. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      Surely you are just trying to be provocative with that comment -- you can't be serious. because there's more evidence for Christ than there is for Abraham Lincoln, George Washington, Hitler, Darwin, Carl Sagan, or your Great, Great Grandparents.Denying His having lived is akin to a 3 year old putting his hands over his eyes and saying that no one else can see him because he can't see anyone else. Many people choose first what they want to believe, then only allow what evidence they find useful to support their opinion, and discard as much evidence as needed in order to preserve their viewpoint. Well done -- what I had tried to explain you demonstrated perfectly.

      Laughably delusional.
      You have yet to provide a single scrap of evidence. Not one.
      The fact that there are no pieces of evidence supporting your view shows that *you* have arbitrarily decided what to believe regardless of the evidence, or in this case, the absolute lack of any.

      So, your viewpoint is completely muddied by the fact that you blindly chose to believe that it was magically true, most likely becasue that's the lie your parents told you.

      My viewpoint on religion is still essentially the default position:
      Nobody has bothered providing any evidence for their bizarre fantasy super friends, so there's no reason to lend that view any credibility whatsoever.

      Now if you'd care to actually try to provide some evidence for Jesus the man (not just somebody named that) having ever lived, then I can quite capably debunk your garbage evidence.
      You could save us both some time and just do some actual research using real thought rather than attempts to justify your fantasy world and debunk them yourself, but that seems really unlikely given your repeated spouting of truly silly lies.

    13. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      And you continue to be unable to provide one single scrap of evidence for your view.

      Given that fact, please stop spouting moronic lies about how there is more evidence for the existence of Jesus than there is for my grandparents et al.

      You're lying, you've been called on it and you have failed to do anything to account for your lies.

      As far as the rest of the nonsense you're spouting...

      The universe is here, we're in it. Scientific explanations do a pretty good job of explaining that and further they account for everything we have apart from rocks and trees.

      Your fantasy world delusions do *nothing* to explain anything or to make the world a better place. The fact that you claim to believe in some force of all powerful good, but you are unable to defend him without *lying* does more to show the merit of your position than anything else.

    14. Re:what a load of horse shit by Darby · · Score: 1

      You have decided what you wish to believe, and you are going to believe it, and if evidence is presented to the contrary, you'll discard it as being untrue, unprovable, or not able to be classified by your own definition as evidence. So let's talk abou You have decided what you wish to believe, and you are going to believe it, and if evidence is presented to the contrary, you'll discard it as being untrue, unprovable, or not able to be classified by your own definition as evidence. So let's talk about this evidence. t this evidence.

      Completly inaccurate lies again.

      *You* are the one with religious beliefs not I.
      *You* are the one who is claiming all this evidence for something that you can provide nothing for.
      *you* are the one who has *chosen* completely arbitrarily and with no rational basis to believe something.

      Therefore *you* are the only one who has any reason to ignore, make up, and discard evidence in order to maintain your irrational belief in your invisible friend.

      I am doing nothing of the sort, nor do I have any reason to.

      So I see that rather than provide any evidence, in spite of the fact that you continued bleating about how much there is, you write a bunch of nonsense about how religious loons are gaining power in the world as if that had any relevance to the topic.

      Yes, it's quite obvious that many people blindly believe the same ignorant nonsense you do. Nobody is aruging that fact.
      Nobody is arguing the fact that letting loons run countries on a religious basis is *always* a bad thing.

      So nobody doubts that people have and do believe in ridiculous things for no sane reason.

      What that fact has to do with the fact that there is no evidence whatsoever for the existence of any of these whackjobs' private invisible super friends is beyond me.

      I assume that you meant to imply that there was some sort of connection, but like the rest of what you have said here, it's nothing but lies and ignorance that you're spouting.

    15. Re:what a load of horse shit by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Several Roman and Jewish historians list the fact that Pilate sentenced a Hebrew man named Jesus to death.

      This is not something you will find in your average library, but if you believe that Wikipedia is a valid source, then look for the "Historicity of Jesus" and "Josephus on Jesus" articles.

  23. snow ball earth... by Nicaboker · · Score: 1

    SNOW BALL FIGHT!!!

    and for everyone saying that man kind has an adverse affect on the Earth all I have to say is Agent Smith had it right in the Matrix. Man kind is a parasite.

    --
    So many choices, so little tolerance.
    1. Re:snow ball earth... by Sigg3.net · · Score: 0

      But so was Agent Smith..

  24. Another dipshit can't read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Melted over the span of 2000 years. Not 2000 years ago.

    God be damned, you are @$#%! NUMB!

    Do not post here ever again.

    1. Re:Another dipshit can't read by timmarhy · · Score: 0, Troll

      no fuckhead. thats not what it says at all. please climb back up your mothers cunt and comeback when you have a fully developed brain.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:Another dipshit can't read by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, just stop. You're not even GNAA material. Drag yourself back to theforum.com or whatever place kiddies with troll-stars in their eyes go these days.

      Not only is your troll occupying that perfect limboland between obviously wrong and just plain stupid, you can't even think of anything funny to sprinkle on top. You really don't belong here. Go away.

  25. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  26. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  27. Reality vs Fringe Religion by dbIII · · Score: 1
    I know plenty of people who believe both. In fact, I think there's actually LESS of a rivalry between religion and science than people suggest.

    Good point - a lot of the born agains that slam science don't believe in Jesus either execept as a convenient name . Their God hates poor people and does what he's told for the merchants in the temple - but what would I know as an infidel - Oral Roberts excommunicated my entire continent because customs officals pissed him off.

  28. Research proudy brought to you by General Motors by DavidV · · Score: 1

    'lowering greenhouse gases to present levels triggers a snowball earth in most climate models'

    --
    !sig
  29. Sorry to bust your nuts... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But you must be on crack. "The Earth is currently in the same magnetic configuration..." Take a look at this: http://www.geomag.bgs.ac.uk/reversals.html and tell me the magnetic "configuration" hasn't changed for 100s of millions of years.

  30. Marginalized? by Gonoff · · Score: 1

    I was under the impression that many of those who have been

    marginalized and vilified
    end up this way because they have drawn their "conclusions" in spite of the evidence and because of politics and/or finance. That is no way to conduct science and should always be treated in this way!
    --
    I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
    1. Re:Marginalized? by jcr · · Score: 1

      they have drawn their "conclusions" in spite of the evidence and because of politics and/or finance.

      Jumping right in with the character assasination, I see.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    2. Re:Marginalized? by spun · · Score: 1

      And you character assassinate the people who believe in global warming by saying that they marginalize and villify those who believe differently. Do you have any evidence of scientists acting inappropriately to other scientists due to differences of opinion on global warming, or are you just engaging in personal attacks based on made up evidence?

      --
      - None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license. -- John Milton
    3. Re:Marginalized? by jcr · · Score: 1

      y. Do you have any evidence of scientists acting inappropriately to other scientists due to differences of opinion on global warming,

      Not so much the scientists, as the media and politicians. Google for Al Gore's bullying of Richard Lindzen, for example. Also, just googling for Lindzen's name will turn up all manner of vitriol aimed in his direction.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
  31. why not mentionthe original peer reviewed article? by mapkinase · · Score: 1

    Again I am pointing out to the submitter: why not mentioning the original peer-reviewed article (OPRA)? At least the source of it: Nature. Insasmuch I despise this pileload of pseudoscience which Nature is, it has the highest impact factor among the general science journals with peer-reviewed articles.

    I am pretty sure tons of specialists that visit ./ regularly would appreciate that. All academics have free access to Nature and many industrial scientists do as well.

    Here is the OPRA link.

    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  32. How about the Magic Eight Ball Earth theory? by mtec · · Score: 1

    ...God just shook it and the window on top said, "Cannot Predict Now".

    (he'll shake it again soon)

    --
    Cake or Death? Cake Please!
  33. Re:why not mentionthe original peer reviewed artic by mapkinase · · Score: 1
    Earlier link in Science(1998) on the Snowball Earth hypothesis says:
    Negative carbon isotope anomalies in carbonate rocks bracketing Neoproterozoic glacial deposits in Namibia, combined with estimates of thermal subsidence history, suggest that biological productivity in the surface ocean collapsed for millions of years. This collapse can be explained by a global glaciation (that is, a snowball Earth), which ended abruptly when subaerial volcanic outgassing raised atmospheric carbon dioxide to about 350 times the modern level. The rapid termination would have resulted in a warming of the snowball Earth to extreme greenhouse conditions. The transfer of atmospheric carbon dioxide to the ocean would result in the rapid precipitation of calcium carbonate in warm surface waters, producing the cap carbonate rocks observed globally.

    I am a computational biophysicist, not a geologist or paleontologist. Is there evidence that (a) those traces of former ice were collected in many different latitidues (b) that they refer to the times of the same geological time in history?

    For now I am assuming a simpler explanation than the snowball Earth: movement of the places where the samples have been collected from the areas close to the arctic zones to where they are now. Different places have ice because they have been close to the arctic zones at different times.

    This assumption is based on that we know that continents move at the rate scale compatible with the one described in the Snowball hypothesis: see Gondwana.

    Another interesting question: Science abstract says: "biological productivity in the surface ocean collapsed for millions of years". Does it mean the life had to start again? The biological molecules could be probably kept more or less intact, but it is not clear how cell assembly could be restored.
    --
    I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
  34. Re:Hoth Webcam by Mikkeles · · Score: 1

    Here's a webcam view of the local railway station area.

    --
    Great minds think alike; fools seldom differ.
  35. Field flip requrires period of no field by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1

    Well that's just it! This evidence shows that, despite shifts, the magnetic field has always fallen into a more-or-less stable "dipole" arrangement that has remained the 'average' after a shift.

    Yes, but for the field to flip, it has to go through a period of effectively no magnetic field, which while short, does persist for I think a couple thousand years each time. Considering that the field flips on average every few hundred thousand years, then on a rough average, somewhere around a percent of the volcanic rocks would have cooled during periods of no or extremely weak field. If that's the case, they may have simply found one of the many formations that solidified in non-equatorial climes during a time of no/weak field.

    While this doesn't actually invalidate the snowball theory, it certainly offers a compelling, likely, and simpler alternative. Occam's razor suggests this would be the default conclusion unless better evidence is found for the "snowball."

    That said, it's a decent site, and they have a variety of pieces of evidence beyond this. They also have a page with major criticisms of the theory, followed by their rebuttals, and they're honest in stating where the strength of their rebuttals is weak. As a scientist, I give a lot more credence to people who acknowledge weaknesses in their hypotheses.

    I'd say this is an interesting if unproven theory.

    1. Re:Field flip requrires period of no field by dsanfte · · Score: 1

      To be fair, we are talking here about strata that took millions of years to lay down. A thousand-year magnetic anomaly would be an eyeblink in a stratum of sufficient age and the 'average' value of a normal dipole would be very predominant.

      --
      occultae nullus est respectus musicae - originally a Greek proverb
    2. Re:Field flip requrires period of no field by Mr.+Underbridge · · Score: 1

      To be fair, we are talking here about strata that took millions of years to lay down. A thousand-year magnetic anomaly would be an eyeblink in a stratum of sufficient age and the 'average' value of a normal dipole would be very predominant.

      Yeah, it occurred to me after I posted that the width of the layer would have encompassed multiple spin flips, so as long as their sampling is sound, the result is reasonable. Really, it is an interesting theory.

  36. Science Channel: Snowball Earth by C_Kode · · Score: 1

    I just watched a show on this on the Science Channel. It was pretty good. If you're interested in it, you should check for a re-broadcast.

  37. Too much lead in your diet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you fled techdirt and ended up here posting useless crap?

    How charming. I'll let the people of slashdot try to provide you with the education you need.

  38. Seems like only yesterday by elrous0 · · Score: 1
    Earth was ice-covered for long periods on several occasions, most recently 600-700 million years ago.

    Jeez, has it really been that long? Man, I must be getting old.

    -Eric

    --
    SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
  39. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  40. An Inconvenient Truth by aardwolf64 · · Score: 1

    If all of those dinosaurs had just driven hybrids, that never would have happened.

  41. One problem with climate models by dtjohnson · · Score: 1

    The climate models described by the article point to the radiation received from the sun and the heat radiated into space but they don't seem to consider the heat originating from within the earth itself. It is obvious that the earth produces an enormous amount of heat from within, probably from radioactive decay, that affects temperatures at the surface (i.e. our 'climate') and yet the climate models never seem to consider that heat as an input into the model. The frequent and wide variations in the earth's climate over the last 500 million years may be partly caused by changes in the heat output from the Earth's core. Certainly there is no reason to think that that heat output is 'constant' if it originates from radioactive decay since there would have been a radioactive decay chain followed over that length of time that would have significantly changed the isotope mixtures and heat produced. It seems like at least the popular view of climate science is stuck on a simplistic view of climate driven by the 'greenhouse effect.' There must be some actual scientists somewhere who are a little more sophisticated in their modeling. Carbon dioxide and the 'greenhouse effect' simply don't explain the climate that the earth has experienced over the last 500 million years or even over the last 21,000 years.

  42. We Are Asking The Wrong Question by Spittoon · · Score: 1

    At the moment the question seems to be "Are humans having a serious negative impact on the global climate?"

    This is used to reinforce the status quo, right? It's not our fault, what we're doing isn't the problem, so why bother stopping what we're doing?

    It seems to me like the questions should be:

    "Is the climate changing?"
    "Is it changing in a way that will benefit humanity?"
    "If not, how do we manufacture the change we desire?"

    These questions should be framed with the idea that the climate is changing and will eventually wipe life as we know it off the face of the Earth. Eventually, something will replace all that biodiversity. But mankind won't be around to see it, so it behooves us as a species to guarantee our own survival by making sure the climate changes in a manner that allows us to continue to thrive.

  43. Dipole the only magnetic field? by douglips · · Score: 1

    Sorry dude, maybe you should take another year of Physics.
    Quadrupole

    They're used in particle accelerators all the time.

  44. Rodinia by cdn-programmer · · Score: 1

    Gondwana is too recent. You need to look back to Rodinia

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rodinia

  45. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  46. Snowball - Maybe, but I need more... by MerkX · · Score: 1

    I can see how the Snowball Earth might have worked, but it's the surviving life under the ice that I can't quite accept. The idea of the Sun's energy penitrating the ice sufficiently to keep plants and microbes alive for such a long period of time seems to be a very weak argument at best.

    --
    -MerkX
  47. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  48. Is the Earth a snowball right now? by jc42 · · Score: 1

    Summary of article: New research supports the idea that certain rocks found where there were glaciers 600 million years ago were, at that time, near the equator, so there must have been glaciers around the world.

    Good summary. It does remind me of a cute geographical trivia question that I ran across a few years ago: Can you name the two places where there are currently glaciers on the equator?

    After a bit of thought, most people think of Ecuador, though they usually can't name the mountain. But they are usually stumped by the second place. A few people do guess the right continent, but then name the wrong mountain.

    Anyway, there are right now two places where glacial remains are being created right on the equator. But that doesn't mean the entire world is glaciated.

    But if you want to visit those spots, you'd better do so soon. Those glaciers are retreating fast, and predictions are that they'll be gone in a decade or two.

    --
    Those who do study history are doomed to stand helplessly by while everyone else repeats it.
  49. Elementary age schoolchildren delirium tremens '06 by ImitationEnergy · · Score: 0

    Well, this planet isn't the planet I was taught when in elementary school. Damn, I shudder to think what all this information is doing to today's school age children. Yes, the planet is alive and it changes and it gets angry all the time. Gravity fluxes around. Snows will engulf this planet like a Biblical plague. The geomagnetic poles move. Sunlight causes cancer. A polluted ocean begins to absorb and hold more heat which fuels the hurricanes, which are nothing more than the planet trying to cool itself by throwing oceanwater tonnage into the air like a fountain.

    My belief is that this global warming is temporary and that -just like how a warm cup of water cools faster- this planet is going to be plunged into another ice age. When that happens I don't know but I suspect when it does it's going to be fast as the movie "The Day After Tomorrow" was trying to depict. Unlike the movie, Mexico and the Earth's Equator will be frozen as well, and there will be no escape, nowhere to hide but under a warm blankie if you can find it. We can argue statistics all we want, what happens first & how fast, but what matters is that all of us including the nerve-wracked school kids get a unified plan. There's several systems we need to develop for making planet Earth a life-friendly place we can live even if it turns into a chunk of ice and we need to develop them asap. #1 would be a home electrical generating system that does not depend on any fuels having to be drilled or carried around by delivery trucks. When it gets THAT COLD delivery trucks and delivery drivers will not be able to move. World delivery of fuels will be frozen, at which point EACH HOME HAS TO BE A SELF-SUFFICIENT ENCLOSED AND TIGHT Dwelling place for a very long time. Fortunately we have the Internet for total connectivity with family wherever they all live, and each other, for a continuation of our entertainment lifestyle, music, movies, dance, the arts, home schooling services and education videos for how-to do home caesarean operations and other medical needs as the doctor won't be coming. Home energy independence means power for home-growing vegetables {oxygen generation}, water purification, and home-size fisherie tanks.#2 is we need to develop engines if possible that can run without standard fuels {air + steam dual catalyst} since there won't be any regular fuels left once they peak out on our new ice planet. #3 would be -again if possible- space flight capability for everyone not just the privileged few who can afford it, which means a family size spacecraft. Why? Because if Earth conditions worsen to a point we just cannot survive we need to hit the highway and get out of Dodge, that's why.

    For the schoolchildren's sanity I wrote the following "Friendly Planet" webpage > http://www.newpath4.com/friendlyplanetalternativer enewablegreenenergysources.htm . As for the future needs listed above, my engines do all those things. I am not a "scientist" as I could not attend college due to a serious and rare thyroid poisoning problem that wrecked my concentration, so my engines have been pooh poohed and discounted. My engines could be developed within 10 year's time. New nuclear power plants take 400% that construction time and more, and even if we had them the electricity has to be delivered by power lines which will be torn down by the weather. In the last two months 1,250,000+ Americans and Japanese have been deprived of electric service by local weather. This is just a microcosm of what is coming. The world is going to be a very unfriendly place. Each home needs to be built better than Noah's ark. Putting entire families on Prozac is not the answer. Protecting the Economy staples like the world crude oil industry is not the answer. Now is a good time to depart onto a new path >

    --
    Industrial Age 2 + How-to Stop Malignant Cancers.
  50. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  51. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  52. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  53. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion