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Disk Drives Face Challenge From Chips

WSJdpatton writes "Researchers are reporting significant progress in perfecting a different way to store data in semiconductors, which could replace one widely used type of memory chip and possibly become a credible competitor to disk drives. The researchers, in a paper being delivered at a technical conference in San Francisco, say they used a novel combination of materials to create prototype phase-change components that are more than 500 times as fast as flash chips, while requiring less than half of the electrical power to record data."

235 comments

  1. Yeah, but by Keyslapper · · Score: 4, Insightful

    What is the storage density, and will it still be feasible when this finally comes to market in 10 years?

    1. Re:Yeah, but by TubeSteak · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does the storage density really matter? At least initially?

      Even if the first unit they put out is 2x [standard size of whatever] but 500x as fast & uses less battery power... don't you think there's going to be a market for it?

      --
      [Fuck Beta]
      o0t!
    2. Re:Yeah, but by Keyslapper · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Possibly. If I had to give up a 360G platter drive to put in a 120G phase drive, I'd probably do it - so long as the cost favored the phase drive.

      I'd probably still keep the platter drive for secondary storage and put the OS and critical apps/servers/whatever on the phase drive though.

      I wouldn't pay twice as much for a drive with half the head room though - even if it is 500X faster. That kind of speed (and especially power consumption) may be a big deal for notebooks, but if density is really a problem, the notebooks would probably have to give up a lot more headroom - relatively speaking. We're finally seeing 200G notebook drives, but keep in mind they're tiny compared to your standard laptop drive. If the new phase drives can store the same or more data in the same space, then yeah, I definitely see the end of the platter drive in mainstream use - once the supply outweighs the demand enough to make it financially realistic. If they can put no more than 30G in a notebook drive, then I think it'll take a couple product generations for that to happen.

    3. Re:Yeah, but by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Yeah, yeah, yeah; and it'll be delivered by flying car, when?

      Seriously, am really looking forward to TB size solid state drives. Get rid of these bloody victorian spinning disk contraptions! They may have been fine for that time machine Mr. Wells had but this is the 21st. C.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    4. Re:Yeah, but by Keyslapper · · Score: 1
      Yeah, yeah, yeah; and it'll be delivered by flying car, when?
      Uh, 10 years? Well, probably not by flying car, but the article did predict a possible market release of 2015, which is really only 8 or 9 years.

      If I get your point though, I agree. My perception tells me that storage is really falling behind Moore's Law. Perhaps I'm not seeing all the angles though.

      Not that I really need TB storage, but I think Solid State drives in the 100G - 200G range for notebooks, and up to 400G for desktops could have been around by now if all the focus weren't with faster, smarter chips to keep up with the exponentially increasing WinBloat requirements. Granted, the platter drives have been getting smaller and faster, possibly in line with Mr. Moore, but persistent storage in general has done relatively poorly.

      The onset of the USB key is probably the best advance in the solid state branch for some time. It kicked off the Shuffle from Apple, and eventually the Nano, amongst others. But those haven't focused on actual Hard Drive Replacement applications of the tech. Just on new ways to market it and adding shiny new bells and (particularly) whistles.

      Solid state application in this area has obviously had its issues, like the current leakage below a certain die size, and the mfg costs as mentioned in TFA, but this is exactly the kind of thing Moore predicted would be overcome faster and faster. We've been on platter drives for what, 20 years, now? How long have solid state drives been around, maybe 8 or 10? Look how much farther the platters have come - we've gone from spending $800 for 80M drives to spending $70 for 250G (potential rotten memory alert), with access times and transfer rates (read and write) being so much faster in new drives, that it's almost laughable to compare the two.

      Solid state drives have all but petered out of existence until the last 2 or 3 years. What you can get today is much the same price for much the same product as you would have seen 10 years ago.

      Now, if they could just manage to get this phase tech to market by 2015 as predicted in the article, maybe this technology could get back on track.
    5. Re:Yeah, but by Splab · · Score: 1

      For 500 times the speed I'd switch my 300GB for 40GB in a heartbeat.

    6. Re:Yeah, but by vertinox · · Score: 1

      If they can put no more than 30G in a notebook drive, then I think it'll take a couple product generations for that to happen.

      I'd be fine with 30gb with a laptop. Desktop no, but I'm looking for battery life and weight with laptop rather than storage.

      I don't play games, do development, or even watch many movies on laptops so I could see this would be handy.

      If you did need to do those things... Then not so handy.

      --
      "I am the king of the Romans, and am superior to rules of grammar!"
      -Sigismund, Holy Roman Emperor (1368-1437)
    7. Re:Yeah, but by Keyslapper · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, I seriously doubt these things will provide a 500X speed improvement. It'll simply move the bottleneck.

      Even if this tech can be turned into solid state drives in the next 10 years, with 500X the performance of current drive tech, how many of you have never seen your CPU pegged?

      What about the rendering for that new game?

      Just because one component of your system is boosted by a huge factor, doesn't mean you'll see any improvement at all. It's very likely that games available in 10 years will have much higher HW requirements anyway, and the FSB, CPU, and/or GPU will be the bottlenecks, not the HD.

      Unless the cost is a HUGE savings, I don't see too many people giving up their space.

      After all, how much pr0n can you store on a 40G drive?

    8. Re:Yeah, but by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Somewhere, I have a 1997 Mac World mag with an article predicting solid state drive matching platters in price/preformance in 10 years. Sigh. It's always 10 years away. Hell, I remember bubble memory being the hot thing back in the late '70's/early '80's. 'Course, back then, I was lusting for a private disk drive. That woulda' been so cool!

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    9. Re:Yeah, but by Brazilian+Joe · · Score: 1

      Yeah, BUT we all know, or should know that the bottleneck the is most likely to bite us is the HD because of both speed and latency issues. While it's true that the Network is a much tighter bottleneck, it's not going to peg you as much down (unless you live in a dream realm of MMORPG and never see the light of the day). HD is much more central to basic computer operations than network. And being the central bottleneck in so many crucial operations, pumping it up is very desirable indeed.
      And you are not just 'moving the bottleneck around'. You are effectively removing one of the worst bottlenecks, and the runner-up in the bottleneck contest is taking the crown, which will result in a faster machine in quite a few scenarios.
      Albeit I totally agree that 40GB is way too smal to store all that pr0n... But 500x WILL do wonders for boot-up, opening programs, swap files/partitions, and loading all those 8192x8192 DX10 textures in your GeForce 8800 memory... Which could eventually saturate your PCI Express x16 bus maybe???

    10. Re:Yeah, but by sadler121 · · Score: 1

      Feel free to mod me off topic, (cause I am) but damn, I would much rather a T.A.R.D.I.S then Orson Well's time machine. Something about being bigger on the inside than on the outside...hmmm...now where is a Time Lord when I need one....

    11. Re:Yeah, but by MrAnnoyanceToYou · · Score: 1

      The neato thing about bottlenecks is there's always a new one. In this case I would say it would end up being price, and you'd use this memory as another cache above your HD.... The current on-die -> memory -> HD setup would be effectively superceded by a on-die -> memory -> this stuff -> HD. Unless enough price / GB could be achieved with the newer technology.

      My guess is that we're not going to be going without moving parts in large-scale storage for quite a while. And people are going to want more and more data availability as video becomes more pervasive. So long term much larger cache sizes will be necessary.

    12. Re:Yeah, but by Gilmoure · · Score: 1

      Exactly! Doubt the Doctor uses mechanical storage devices.

      --
      I drank what? -- Socrates
    13. Re:Yeah, but by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      Ten years ago, I had a 1GB hard disk. It fitted into a 3 1/4" drive bay, and cost around £100. At around the same time, I bought a 128KB flash drive, which was 1" across and cost about £30. Last month, I bought a 1GB flash drive, which is the size of my thumb nail, and cost £10. About the cheapest hard drive you can buy these days is a 40GB disk for £20. The sweet spot is probably around 250GB for £40.

      Let's have a look at those numbers. Ten years ago, the flash drive was a third the price, and the hard drive was 8192 times bigger. One unit of money would buy you 2730 times more hard drive than solid state storage. Now, the flash drive is a quarter of the cost of the hard disk and the hard disk is 250 times bigger. For one unit of money, you get 62 times more hard disk than yo get flash. Within the next couple of years, expect flash and hard disks to be within one order of magnitude of each other, in terms of price. Once that happens, the research money starts being moved from hard disk to solid state technology very quickly. Even now, flash is a very lucrative market to be in; every MP3 player and mobile phone has a significant chunk of flash in it, and there are more of these than there are PCs...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    14. Re:Yeah, but by solitas · · Score: 1

      Maybe a bit off-topic, but: I used to create a ramdisk in OS9, install a comfortably small OS on it, make that ramdisk the startup disk, and restart the machine.

      Click, zoom, a booted machine in under ten seconds. Not very useful for normal operations, but I made a few $$$ betting the non-Mac-savvy ones in our group that the MacOS _could_ boot that fast (it wasn't my fault if they believed it was booting from the harddrive, and yet never asked about that). :D

      --
      "It's time to take life by the cans." ~ Bender ("Bendin' in the Wind", ep. 3-13)
    15. Re:Yeah, but by Calinous · · Score: 1

      In the 1998, the hard drives were around the 5GB capacity. 8 years later, you could buy a 500GB disk drive. Looks better than doubling in every year.
            Meanwhile, you had the ATA33 PIO mode and UltraDMA as standard communication protocols - for a 33MB/s communication speed - and now you have the SATA2, with ten times better communication speed. I don't know about real read rates at those times - I just know that 4-5 years ago, my almost top-of-line, 80GB, 7200rpm hard drive would get >30MB/s read rate in hdtach in Linux (Mandriva I think). How fast is a current hard drive? Double the speed?
            Hard drive speed is well below the increase in capacity, and doesn't seem to tend to increase much more.

    16. Re:Yeah, but by default+luser · · Score: 1

      Connection standards will also be a bottleneck. You think they're going to throw out SATA and USB once drives like these become available? Hell no, SATA and USB are cheap to implement.

      So, your 500x performance improvement will be limited to a measly 4-6x (depending on your current drive) improvement over existing hard drives, thanks to a maximum transfer rate of 300 MByte/s. It's a sizeable improvement, but is 4-6x really worth the (most likely) extra cost and severly reduced capacity?

      These new technologies will also show improvement in speed over USB flash drives, but they will be limited to the same 30MBytes/s most hard drives top-out at on USB2. In my experience, mainstream flash is delivering a read rate of around 5MByte/sec, but performance flash is already delivering 20MByte/s or more. So again, you have a relatively small improvement in performance of only 2-6x. Once again, density and price will be of paramount importance because the promised improvements are severely limited by the interface.

      This is the same reason why voltatile memory drives are not so popular - the massively improved latency can't make up for the massvely decreased density, higher cost, and the limited thoroughput improvement (due to reliance on PATA or SATA).

      Until we have significantly faster busses for mass-storage devices, or until these new technologies can deliver competitive density at a competitive price, they're all pipe-dreams.

      --

      Man is the animal that laughs.
      And occasionally whores for Karma.

  2. The iPod Fanboys..... by 8127972 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    ...... Should start talking about these chips being in iPods in 5-4-3-2.....

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    1. Re:The iPod Fanboys..... by Sciros · · Score: 1

      OMG d00d these chips will prawn in iPods! I have already sent an email to Apple's customer service folk asking when I can pre-order 200 Gb iPods with these chips in them.

      --
      I like basketball!!1!
    2. Re:The iPod Fanboys..... by Yvan256 · · Score: 1

      "Hey, what about using these new chips in the Zune?"
      "The chips won't work in brown devices."
      "Doh!"

    3. Re:The iPod Fanboys..... by shaneh0 · · Score: 2, Funny

      "The chips won't work in brown devices."

      dirty f'in racist chips.

    4. Re:The iPod Fanboys..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wouldn't they be crackers at that point?

  3. Good news by fatduck · · Score: 4, Insightful
    FTA:

    The chip industry is racing to find a replacement for flash memory, because the technology is expected to leak electrical current unacceptably when manufacturers shrink chip circuitry beyond certain dimensions. This is the important part. Good to see someone addressing the oft-ignored failures of flash.
    --
    Making you think you're crazy is a billion dollar industry.
    1. Re:Good news by tttonyyy · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Arguably, this is the important part, and one reason why Flash would never have been a good replacement for a HD even if the speed issues were resolved:

      Flash memory is popular because it retains data without a constant electric charge. Such chips aren't usually used in place of disk drives, because of their higher cost and because there are limits on how many times data can be written. Phase-change memory doesn't have that problem (emphasis mine)
      --
      biopowered.co.uk - catalytically cracking triglycerides for home automotive use since 2008. Just say no to big oil!
    2. Re:Good news by el_womble · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Do you really believe that harddisks don't fail?

      The difference is that flash fails with writes (not reads) and HDD fails with reads AND writes (bad sectors?). Early flash failed after only 10,000 writes per sector, newer flash is in the millions. Flash spreads the writes around, so to reduce the chance of any one sector failing and can do this because flash is genuinely RAM (unlike HDD where location affects transfer speed). Both HDD and SSD employ firmware stratergies that hide sector failure from the OS, only flash can do that without any real cost to performance.

      The end result is that if either are working after 3 or 4 years your doing well, and should really be looking for a replacement unit.

      --
      Scared of flying, pointy things snce 1979!
    3. Re:Good news by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 1

      Of course, as always with storage technology, the chief concern will always be cost. Why is RAID so popular? Bang for the buck! You get performance-enhanced, fault-tolerant storage at a reasonable price per megabyte.

      Other technologies have come and gone claiming to compete with hard drives for speed and reliability. But the fact is that hard drives are a very mature technology with a low cost per megabyte, with performance and reliability characteristics that have long been considered good enough. The number one factor that continues -- and will continue -- to keep hard drives at the top of the storage technology pile is cost. Every other random access storage technology is more expensive and less reliable, even ones that are higher performing.

    4. Re:Good news by IDontAgreeWithYou · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "oft-ignored" - I do not think that means what you thnk it means. Every time someone mentions using flash in place of a hard drive, nearly 80% (totally made up number) of the comments are about the rewrite limits of flash memory. I mean there are at least 10 comments below yours that mention it already.

      --
      Finding other idiots on /. that agree with your opinion doesn't make it any less stupid.
    5. Re:Good news by morgan_greywolf · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Do you really believe that harddisks don't fail?


      No, but HDDs are amongst the most reliable storage media. A good, well-built SCSI drive can last for much, much longer than 3-4 years. I've personally seen hard drives as old 10 years functioning without a hitch. RAID can very much mitigate the risks associated with keeping drives around that long, too.

    6. Re:Good news by darkmeridian · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I always thought that using a hybrid system with a flash memory and a hard drive would be great. Every time the boot configuration changes, write a new "hibernation file" to the flash memory, and then boot from that. Furthermore, the code calls for each application as it starts up could be written to the flash memory. Indeed, the most-accessed binaries can be copied onto the flash memory, as space permits. Such a system would decrease boot times and quicken application start times while reducing the risk of burning out the flash memory over the average life of the computer/drive.

      --
      A NYC lawyer blogs. http://www.chuangblog.com/
    7. Re:Good news by BeBoxer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The end result is that if either are working after 3 or 4 years your doing well, and should really be looking for a replacement unit.

      Wow! I never suspected. You should probably let Seagate know. I'm sure they will want to rethink their 5 year warranty.

      Perhaps you buy really cut rate drives, but in my experience hard drives almost always outlast their usefulness. I've disposed of more drives due to a combination of obsolete busses and pathetic capacity than outright failures. If you are really seeing high failure rates after only three years, you should be looking for some external factor because that isn't normal.

    8. Re:Good news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      genuinely RAM

      it is genuinely RAM because there is circuit going down to each cell. and that is also the reason for lower density. HDD is pure data (+checksums etc). there are no circuits on the storage layer. makes me wonder why do we have ONE head that reads and writes. why can't we have 4,8,16 heads per physical surface? and i have been thinking about this for a long time. what is stopping manufacturers from putting multiple arms in a drive?
    9. Re:Good news by peragrin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Store your swap file on a flash drive and you can ruin it in a couple of months.

      Flash is good for some things like portable media, but where constant activity is found you should use something more durable.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    10. Re:Good news by TranscendentalAnarch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Because that's the most complicated part of the drive.

    11. Re:Good news by drinkypoo · · Score: 1
      Early flash failed after only 10,000 writes per sector, newer flash is in the millions.

      My understanding is that newer flash is still only in the low hundreds of thousands but the storage devices have onboard intelligence that remaps sectors on the flash device to cure utilization problems. If you have a half-empty flash device and you attempt to rewrite the same block a bunch of times, it will continually remap that block to unused blocks on the device so that your writes don't all take place in the same block.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    12. Re:Good news by Splab · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm supporting about 100 users, and we hardly ever see any drives fail. Over the last year I've had 2 dead drives (both on the users personal machines), and today we had a user with a failing drive (laptop - not dead yet, but it's going to fail within one or two months). So yeah, the guy is obviously buying junk (or very unlucky).

    13. Re:Good news by GoofyBoy · · Score: 1

      >Such a system would decrease boot times and quicken application start times while reducing the risk of burning out the flash memory over the average life of the computer/drive.

      I have Knoppix on a USB flash drive. I find it does make boot times faster, but still the main bottlenecks are getting OS to detect/initialize all the usb/drives/monitor/other hardware. At least with Knoppix or some other liveCD system.

      --
      The surprise isn't how often we make bad choices; the surprise is how seldom they defeat us.
    14. Re:Good news by ThousandStars · · Score: 1

      You're probably also using properly cooled desktop and server drives. In my experience, those drives usually do outlive their usefulness, but laptop drives are a much different beast. The nature of constant moves, poor heat dissipation, and crammed electronics -- all of which are interrelated -- tend to make laptop drives more likely to fail.

    15. Re:Good news by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Speaking of that, what are people doing when they want a solid state computer. The only moving part of my wifes computer is the hard drive. I don't really want to try to run the entire OS over the network, but applications would be fine. So, a compact flash card would be big enough to hold the OS, but I worry that the swap partition would kill it in months.

    16. Re:Good news by bobbuck · · Score: 1

      What would prevent RAID on flash?

    17. Re:Good news by novus+ordo · · Score: 1

      I believe you're right. Lets do some simple calculation:

      This HD has 600 000 hr MTBF max and transfer rate of 300MB/s.
      Say you transfer at this rate for all its MTBF life thats
      600 000 hr * 3600s/hr * 300MB/s = 648 000 000 000 MB or 6.48 petabytes max transfer in its life

      MTBF(sec.) * Transfer rate = Max lifetime transfer

      Normal flash has 300,000 write cycles/block amortized among N GB blocks (block = byte) so thats 300,000 * N cycles with (comparable)max rate of 300MB/s or 90 000 000 * N MB max transfer in its lifetime.

      (WC * n blocks) * Transfer rate = Max lifetime transfer

      MTBF = WC * N blocks

      N = MTBF/WC -> higher write-cycle flash needs less space to approach MTBF of HDs

      N would need to be about 64 800/9 MB or ~7.2 GB capacity to approach the lifetime transfer of a hard drive. I realize that with each failing block, size of the flash would be shrinking, but the total failure of the flash would occur when no blocks could be written to. This is just a rough comparison of the two. Also I assumed the same transfer rate as the HD which is not very realistic, but its there to show a rough comparison.

      As you can see a 100GB or so flash disk with a 1,000,000 block write-cycle would more than surpass the MTBF in current Hard Drives.

      I think the ultimate point will be the $/GB. I don't think that Flash can compete with Hard Drives in that department, not yet anyway. Perhaps we will see them as a buffer(it's already being used in Vista) between Hard Drive and main memory. And eventually(!?) overtake HDs. We can always hope..

      --
      "You're everywhere. You're omnivorous."
    18. Re:Good news by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's been done. The decreased latency is not enough to offset the increased cost. Adding heads increases throughput, while setting up RAID increases throughput AND capacity - so RAID wins.

    19. Re:Good news by TheFoolishOne · · Score: 1

      I repair student computers for a small university (2000 students) and we see about 3-4 dead laptop drives a week, mostly hitachi and toshiba drives. Many are less than 2 years old, and none are older than 4. So I'd say a lot of people are buying junk.

    20. Re:Good news by javamann · · Score: 1

      Actually the GMR heads used today do have a separate read and write section. The problem is since the heads travel in an arch across the platters the relation between where data is written and the where the read portion of the head is changes and has to be micro adjusted all the time. In the old days there was one head for reading and writing (Ferrite beads and thinfilm technology). In modern drives every platter in the drive you will have two heads, one for the top and one for the bottom of the platter. So in the high capacity drives you will have three platters and six heads with the heads all being connected to the same linear stepper motor. While in theory you could add another head stack and motor to a drive assembly I don't believe the added complexity (read failure rate) would provide enough benefit to justify the cost.

    21. Re:Good news by Foodie · · Score: 1

      I have a SPARC going on 12 years now with the original HD in it. I'm always paranoid when it comes to rebooting the machine.

    22. Re:Good news by greed · · Score: 1

      You got it on the cooling. Nothing makes you have to call the service guy out to replace a HDD like heat.

      Me and the IBM service guy spent a happy afternoon removing the middle bit from a bunch of foam sound baffles that had been left in by the factory. (7013-5xx series RS/6000s.) There was supposed to be a rectangle of foam around the vents on the bottom of the machines, but the cut-out bit in the middle was left in. Lots of dying disks until someone noticed. (This was way before SMART monitoring, which would have told us the drives were way over-temperature.)

      Another team in the same machine room had the tech out every 3-4 months to replace disks in one of their boxes. They put all their machines side-to-side touching, so the vents didn't have any airflow....

      For some reason, I like to keep the vent grilles clear. I had to pull the plastic bezel off my home server because, being a cheap nasty case, the bezel wasn't designed to match the fan mounts behind it and my drives were running much too hot. One of these days I'll get a better case, but hey, it's just ugly now, it works great.

    23. Re:Good news by G00F · · Score: 1

      3-4 years?

      Try 9 years, where my main computer is still using hard drives I bought in 97.
      1x 9 gig 10krpm HD for OS
      2x 18 gig 10krpm HD in raid0 for the game.

      This isn't a computer that just sits there, but gets used daily. Gaming, torrents, ripping movies, developing.

      Granted the 70gig deskstar I bough as a storage drive died. (I thought that would be more reliable than then old raid zero drives I was using for storing data)

      I have lots of 2-20 gig HD's still in use. (I do own ~20 computers)

      --
      The spirit of resistance to government is so valuable on certain occasions that I wish it to be always kept alive
    24. Re:Good news by MenTaLguY · · Score: 1

      Perhaps get a lot of RAM and don't bother with swap? It's not strictly required.

      --

      DNA just wants to be free...
    25. Re:Good news by prator · · Score: 1

      leakage current != rewrite limit

      GP (or at least TFA) is pointing out how transistors in each progressively smaller technology leak more electrical current than the previous generation. This has gotten to the point where the power consumed by leakage is a large portion of the overall power usage of an IC.

    26. Re:Good news by ray-auch · · Score: 1
      Since MS has just implemented precisely that:

      A Hybrid Hard Drive is a new type of hard drive with an integrated non-volatile flash memory buffer. If your machine is equipped with a Hybrid Hard Drive, Windows Vista takes advantage of this hardware to boot, hibernate, and resume use more quickly. Hybrid Hard Drive technology can also improve system reliability and battery life.

      [from http://www.microsoft.com/uk/windowsvista/features/ foreveryone/performance.mspx%5D

      You are probably kicking yourself for not patenting it when you thought of it.

      You and me both.
    27. Re:Good news by Tacvek · · Score: 1
      Perhaps get a lot of RAM and don't bother with swap? It's not strictly required.
      Also note that ironically, on some systems, if you have tons of ram, you can increase performance by swapping onto a ramdisk. Obviously that is a sign of some sort of design problem, but it does happen.
      --
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    28. Re:Good news by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      The good news is, the older the drive, the more reliable it is likely to be. This is for two reasons:
      1. Older drives used larger sectors, so you needed more physical damage to the disk to cause data loss.
      2. All the ones that had small amounts of dust inside the air-tight parts have failed already.
      On the down side, the motor and the controller board can be damaged just as easily as any other drive...
      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    29. Re:Good news by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      That's interesting, because my Nokia 770 has had swap on its flash drive for over six months, is constantly out of real memory, and still seems able to write to the flash. Perhaps you are off by an order of magnitude, or two.

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    30. Re:Good news by TheLink · · Score: 1

      That drive can't transfer at 300MB/sec. Should be more like 60-70MB/sec.

      You want faster you have to go 15000rpm SCSI or RAID.

      Current flash drives are quite slow though, not sure why.

      --
    31. Re:Good news by evilviper · · Score: 1
      Every time the boot configuration changes, write a new "hibernation file" to the flash memory, and then boot from that.

      That would require as much Flash as you have RAM, and for what? Suspend (S3) mode uses about as much power as entirely "off", resumes in a second, and doesn't require extra hardware.

      Indeed, the most-accessed binaries can be copied onto the flash memory, as space permits.

      Possible, but also potentially unnecessary if Standby becomes more common. With most apps cached in RAM, you wouldn't care how fast the disk is.
      --
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    32. Re:Good news by Eivind · · Score: 1
      But the "limited writes" of flash isn't a problem in the real world for anything outside of a few niche markets.

      New flash-drives typically can sustain on the order of 1 million writes.

      Balancing ensures that that pretty much means 1 million writes of the *entire* capacity.

      So, a 1GB flash-drive will be broken by the time you've written 1GB*1million bytes to it. Which corresponds to constantly writing to it at a speed of 10MB/s 24 hours a day, 365 days a year for a little over 3 *years*.

      If you only do this for 8 hours a day, then it's 10 *years*.

      Very few drives are used that intensively anyway. Yes, there's a few in datacentres and so on. But for all normal laptops and desktops it's a non-issue. If your desktop is swapping constantly, 10MB/s, 365 days a year, 24 hours a day, you should get more RAM.

      As capacity grows, the problem gets *smaller*.

      If you had a 100GB flash, suitable for using as a hd-replacement in a laptop, then even if it could only sustain 100.000 writes, that would still be 30 years worth of round-the-clock 10MB/s writing. No laptop-drive is used that intensely.

    33. Re:Good news by makomk · · Score: 1

      I doubt it even matters how full the device is - after all, the device doesn't (or shouldn't) care about filesystem-level stuff like sector/cluster allocation.

    34. Re:Good news by peragrin · · Score: 1

      well Nokia 770 is a light weight but it does bring up a good point. It would be interesting to know how much is actually swapped? Also how do you know it's being swapped if it's solid state? I haven't looked into how it's setup. Do they stuff an extra couple of megs of ram and use that as a ramdisk for the swap file?

      It's something to look into though.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    35. Re:Good news by tttonyyy · · Score: 1

      What everyone fails to factor in is in flash block size. That one million cycles is a per block maximum.

      Flash memory is organised into blocks varying from 64 KiB to 256 KiB.

      To change a single byte in a block, the whole block has to be erased and re-written with the old content (but including the changed byte).

      So you can't claim 1 GiB x 1 x 10^6 writes = 1.1 x 10^15 writes, because each location is not individually erasable and writable. This would be the very best case usage scenario, where you get the maximum number of writes out of the device.

      Worst case using the 1 GiB Flash drive example is having blocks of 256KiB. This potentially reduces the amount of data you can write to a minimum of (1GiB / 256KiB) x 1 x 10^6 writes = 4.1 x 10^9 writes, assuming you only wrote one byte at the same location in each block.

      Doing this at 10MiB/s continuously, that'd be 390 seconds to exceed the 1 million write cycles.

      Both our synarios are extremely unlikely to occur in the real world, so the actual lifetime would sit nicely between the two.

      Flash = very good for storing lots of big things (like digital photos), very bad for storing lots of little things that change frequently (like some filesystems).

      Anyone that thinks that life is quiet for hard-disks should run filemon from sysinternals.com under XP. There's a hell of a lot chattering away in the background.

      So the durability of flash I still find a bit questionable as a universal hard-disk replacement. Maybe with careful changes to the operating systems and software to prevent regular writing it wouldn't be a problem, but at the moment I figure it's still a bit borderline.

      --
      biopowered.co.uk - catalytically cracking triglycerides for home automotive use since 2008. Just say no to big oil!
    36. Re:Good news by MadMorf · · Score: 1

      No, but HDDs are amongst the most reliable storage media. A good, well-built SCSI drive can last for much, much longer than 3-4 years.

      That may well be, but SCSI disk sizes are not keeping pace with SATA sizes, so more and more people and companies are buying SATA.

      I work for one of the big 3 SAN/NAS companies, and I've got to tell you, SATA failure rates are amazingly high. Disk failure at the 1 and 2 year point are extremely common...

      Multi-disk failures in SATA arrays are much more common than most of you would believe...

      To steal a line from Winston Zeddimore in Ghostbusters, I've seen shit that would turn you white!

    37. Re:Good news by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1
      It has 64MB of RAM, and the option to create a swap file of up to 64MB on an added RS-MMC. I have a 1GB RS-MMC in mine, with a 64-MB swap file. Without the swap, it frequently runs out of memory and kills applications. With it, it doesn't. It does, however, pause for a little while when I switch between applications, since it has to swap them (or parts of them) in.

      Hopefully the next revision will have 128 or 256MB or RAM, and so this won't be required.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    38. Re:Good news by Eivind · · Score: 1
      True. Making tiny writes is bad for flash. But there's reasonably simple ways of avoiding that most of the time.

      For example, assume you where using flash for *swap*, true one flash-block is significantly larger than a memory-page (typically 1K-4K) so if you swapped out a single page, you'd be wasting flash-life. So you don't *do* that then.

      Modern computers have memory from several hundred megabytes upwards. If you're in a situation where memory is tigth and you need to swap out something to free up RAM, there is no reason whatsoever for not swapping out 128KB (or whatever the block-size of the flash-device is) all at once.

      That'd give you 128KB of free memory, or 0.125% of the RAM in a typical new computer. Notice that you can still swap back *in* a single memory-page when/if it becomes demanded -- flash doesn't have a limit on read-cycles.

      If you make tiny changes to a file, say changing a single byte, then you're rigth; flash-life would decrease rapidly. But I'm not aware of any workload that consists of doing a constant high-load of individual tiny writes to different files. What would that be ?

      I didn't say Flash is perfect for *All* applications. I said it's not a practical concern for most workloads. I'm sure you can construct perverse usage-scenarios where it's not.

    39. Re:Good news by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      We still have a 100Mb disk from around 1989, located in a MicroVAX... This machine has been running 24/7 since then, and the original drive still works.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    40. Re:Good news by tttonyyy · · Score: 1

      I didn't say Flash is perfect for *All* applications. I said it's not a practical concern for most workloads. I'm sure you can construct perverse usage-scenarios where it's not. Well, absolutely. :) I'm sure we could speculate on this endlessly too. What would be interesting, however, is for someone to come up with a profile of typical disk usage for common operating systems in normal circumstances. That could be used as a model to estimate flash endurance and see what effect blocksize and filesystem optimisations have on flash lifetime. I wouldn't be surprised if the HD manufacturers already have this kind of information, and it'd be very interesting to see it.
      --
      biopowered.co.uk - catalytically cracking triglycerides for home automotive use since 2008. Just say no to big oil!
    41. Re:Good news by Eivind · · Score: 1
      For what it's worth, SMART-enabled harddiscs provide some of this info (use "smartctl" under linux to access it). You do not get sector-by-sector read/write-count, nor max-writes-to-sector or max-reads-from-sector.

      But you *do* get numbers of hours powered up, total writes, and total reads. Which tells you something.

      The laptop I'm typing this on for example, comes with a 120GB harddisc. It's been powered up for 2713 hours (which corresponds to a full workyear plus running overnigth on some occasions because I ran some load-tests). In those 2713 hours, a total amount of 15904GB was written to disc, and a total of 807.201GB was read from disc.

      So, this means the entire hard-disc has been written 100 times and read 6000 times.

      Obviously, since there's no attempt at load-balancing use of the blocks, there'll be some blocks that are written a lot more than 100 times, and a lot of other blocks that are written a single time and which have never changed since then. On flash-discs there's internal circuitry that load-balances writes though, and in addition to that flash-filesystems do load-balancing on their own. It's not tricky to do. All you need to do is swap a heavily used block against a little used block, and maintain an internal table of the mappings once some blocks are much more used than others.

      For laptops having no movable parts, small size and low power-consumption are aditional bonuses.

  4. Re:fp by javamann · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Not! I tried.

  5. No more harddrives? by CronicBurn · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Interesting read, however I don't see these things holding a useful amount of data by 2010. Even if they can get 4G capacity on these chips it still wont replace hard drives that hold terabytes of data.

    Although it could make really cool applications for OS installs. Could you imagine your favorite OS installed on something as fast or faster then today's RAM? I don't want to think about the cost of 4G of this stuff though. *shiver*

    --
    if I were able to see further, it was because I stood on the shoulders of Giants -Newton
    1. Re:No more harddrives? by brunes69 · · Score: 1

      How many 4 GB CF chips (not cards, chips) can you fit into the same space as a 3.5" HD? 100 maybe? That's 400 GB right there. And that's assuming these thing's have a denisty as small as CF, which, according to the article, they do not.

    2. Re:No more harddrives? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't want to think about the cost of 4G of this stuff though. *shiver*

      [shrug] A decade ago, I'd never even seen a machine with 4GB RAM, and five years ago, I'd only ever seen that much RAM in monstrously expensive servers. Now I have a machine with that much RAM on my desk. (And yes, I use it; most of my work is pretty heavy number-crunching.) So if this stuff turns out to be viable, it'll get there.

      Actually, a better comparison just occurred to me: about fifteen years ago, I paid an extra thousand bucks to get a laptop with a 60MB hard drive (vs. the standard 20MB or whatever it was). A few months ago, I bought a 256MB thumb drive for about twenty-five bucks. That just blew me away when I thought about it.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:No more harddrives? by Rhys · · Score: 1

      There are some applications that would kill to have a 4 gig solid-state disk widely available that didn't have the limited-writes of flash. I'm thinking of supercomputing specifically. Network booting isn't good when you're talking thousands of nodes, but neither is magnetic spinning disk. Flash would be okay if you really could tightly control your operating system's behavior (Linux could probably handle it, Solaris is a maybe, and OS X is right out).

      --
      Slashdot Patriotism: We Support our Dupes!
    4. Re:No more harddrives? by HappySqurriel · · Score: 1

      Although I believe there will be a continued need to hold terabytes of data (mostly for multimedia file storage), I think that a small (say 50GB) high speed storage device is desperately needed in most computers. Think of it this way, if you can get data onto and off of your "hard-drive" dramatically faster then booting your system will become dramatically faster and every application that has disc speed as a bottleneck (any game or database application) will run much faster.

    5. Re:No more harddrives? by Ngarrang · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I don't think the hard drive will disappear completely, but as the costs come down, the companies cannot make money producing the smaller capacity drives. We will see 1Tb hard drives readily available someday, sure thing. But different people have different needs. Hard drives are beginning to augment backup strategies because they have become so cheap and high in capacity.

      A solid state drive has a higher G-shock tolerance, is quieter and requires less power than a hard drive. These features are why the technology is attractive to the people who need it. And not everyone needs a hard drive that is 400gb in size. Network appliances may only need a small 1gb boot drive, and these kind of devices will need this new phase-change memory, or whatever will work for the task beyond flash.

      It would be cool to have something like this that is your main memory AND your storage space in one. We could call it Run-In-Place. We could then have a instant-on computers. Just imagine Windows XP or Linux booting up in under 3 seconds!

      --
      Bearded Dragon
    6. Re:No more harddrives? by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      It would be cool to have something like this that is your main memory AND your storage space in one. We could call it Run-In-Place.


      Palm's been doing it for years. And, yes, they boot and load applications very quickly.

    7. Re:No more harddrives? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just put /usr /bin/ /sbin and /lib (maybe /opt and some other things) on flash. They don't get written much (even counting frequent updates, you'll be hard pressed to reach 1M writes). Leave /home /var /tmp and whatever else may be appropriate on the hard disk.
        The biggest problem is swap, hdd sucks for swapping, and flash will just die.

    8. Re:No more harddrives? by Ngarrang · · Score: 1

      It would be cool to have something like this that is your main memory AND your storage space in one. We could call it Run-In-Place.


      Palm's been doing it for years. And, yes, they boot and load applications very quickly.

      Yes, Palm has, indeed. I was thinking more along the lines of general-purpose desktop OS.
      --
      Bearded Dragon
    9. Re:No more harddrives? by thisissilly · · Score: 1

      FYI, you can get a 1GB thumb drive for about $25 these days. I just ordered a 2 GB for my brother for Christmas, with tax and shipping, it was $42.43 from newegg.

      A far cry from the 20MB "half hight" MFM drive I bought for $500 back in 1985.

    10. Re:No more harddrives? by thisissilly · · Score: 1

      D'oh! s/hight/height/.

      And thinking back, it might have only been $400.

    11. Re:No more harddrives? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      ... or my first hard drive... a 5 Meg full height IBM drive for the IBM PC for about $1000.00

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    12. Re:No more harddrives? by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      Still, hard drives will have the cheapest $/gig price for a while to come yet. If the 1tb disk in your workstation is only being used for archival purposes, there's no reason it needs to be spinning constantly and can sit there drawing no power with parked heads until the next background archiving/retrieving task (still not as shock resistant as flash, but certainly better than a spinning drive).

    13. Re:No more harddrives? by itlurksbeneath · · Score: 1

      Could you imagine your favorite OS installed on something as fast or faster then today's RAM?

      They didn't say this technology is as fast or faster than RAM, they said it was 500 times faster than current flash memory. Current flash memory is 6 to 10 times slower than current hard drive technology and a hard drive is roughly 100 to 200 times slower than RAM, so you're looking at flash being 600 to 2000 times slower than regular memory. Granted, something that's 500 times faster than flash puts it well above a hard drive on the speed scale.

      What would be interesting would be to treat current memory technology (DRAM, RDRAM, etc) as a kind of CPU level 3 cache and make this new technology take on a kind of like a hybrid hard drive/main memory status. You'd still have a volume of high speed memory closer to the CPU and the "Memory Drive"(tm) would serve as the volume storage device at a higher speed than current hard drive technology. You could even throw a rotating hard drive in there to act as the volume backup device.

      With that, all the technologies below the one from TFA just got bumped down a notch on the scale.

      • hard drive shifts to role of backup media
      • backup media -> ?? dies? long term archival?
      • flash -> garbage bin
      --
      Have you ever considered piracy? You'd make a wonderful Dread Pirate Roberts.
    14. Re:No more harddrives? by Jhan · · Score: 1
      I don't think the hard drive will disappear completely, but as the costs come down, the companies cannot make money producing the smaller capacity drives.

      I agree. This is a big problem for larger companies that want maximum performance, but don't have that much data. They stripe 8, 16, 32 drives, and it's a pain in the wrist to find someone that can sell small enough drives so that you don't massively overshoot the space requirements.

      We will see 1Tb hard drives readily available someday, sure thing.

      "Some day"? Some day, as in far, far into the future?!? First of all, a Tb is 128 GB. Second: Lacie BiggestDisk. You, my friend, are suffering from "Future Shock"

      Please repeat after me, "Terabyte storage is available now for prosumers. By 2016, petabyte storage. By 2026, exabyte storage."

      But different people have different needs. Hard drives are beginning to augment backup strategies because they have become so cheap and high in capacity.

      A solid state drive has a higher G-shock tolerance, is quieter and requires less power than a hard drive. These features are why the technology is attractive to the people who need it. And not everyone needs a hard drive that is 400gb in size. Network appliances may only need a small 1gb boot drive, and these kind of devices will need this new phase-change memory, or whatever will work for the task beyond flash.

      Once again, agreed, but from a different perspective... Disk sizes are growing way more rapidly than other parts of the computer, including OS sizes.

      Smaller/faster (and more expensive) "disk" technologies keep popping up.

      Why not do it like Ye Olde Amiga did? IE, the default install is to use different partitions for "OS" and "Data". The OS fits onto the (NG) flash memory described in this thread, the rest goes onto the "Data" partition. This would also go some way towards improving boot-up times as discussed in recent threads on /.

      It would be cool to have something like this that is your main memory AND your storage space in one. We could call it Run-In-Place. We could then have a instant-on computers. Just imagine Windows XP or Linux booting up in under 3 seconds!

      I, personally will not be satisfied until boot-times are cut down until they are comparable with my old C=64. (I used to reboot my C=64 by flipping the power switch down, then up again, as fast as humanly possible. Once, in five years, I actually managed to do it too fast (<.05 seconds?) leaving the computer in a strange, scrambled state.

      --

      I choose to remain celibate, like my father and his father before him.

    15. Re:No more harddrives? by bushki3 · · Score: 1
      "Could you imagine your favorite OS installed on something as fast or faster then today's RAM?"

      Not with PRAM, but with MRAM I can!

      "with access times on the order of 2 ns, somewhat better than even the most advanced DRAMs built on much newer processes. The differences compared to Flash are far more significant, with similar performance for reads, but as much as thousands of times faster for writes."


      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mram

      --
      011100110110100101100111
    16. Re:No more harddrives? by megaduck · · Score: 1

      A solid state drive has a higher G-shock tolerance, is quieter and requires less power than a hard drive. These features are why the technology is attractive to the people who need it.

      Totally true. There's a number of reasons I prefer solid state. I was up at around 15,000 feet this summer and my hard-drive based iPod crapped out. Apparently the head mechanisms require a certain air pressure to operate. My flash-based Newton eMate, however, continued to work just fine. Thank God. If I'd been using a regular laptop (with a spinning drive), I would have been totally screwed.

      The Newton's totally solid state construction also allowed for a freaky low power consumption. I could go for a couple of weeks without needing a recharge. For people who work in extreme conditions, solid state is the only way to go.

      --
      This .sig for rent.
    17. Re:No more harddrives? by javamann · · Score: 1

      The heads in a hard drive flys over the surface of the platter on a 'cushion' of air. At 15,000 feet you have half the atmosphere as at sea level. This will make the heads fly closer to the platter which will make them more susceptible to shock damage.

    18. Re:No more harddrives? by megaduck · · Score: 1

      You've got the principle right, but they'll stop working regardless of shock. That was the spooky thing. The iPod would reliably crap out at around 13,000 feet and start working again once we got back down below 10,000. I'm now back home at sea level, and it seems completely functional.

      It happened to my wife's iPod as well, at the same altitudes. Apple rates all their stuff the same (10,000 feet), but my experience is that the solid state stuff will go places that spinning platters can't.

      --
      This .sig for rent.
    19. Re:No more harddrives? by CommanderData · · Score: 1

      We will see 1Tb hard drives readily available someday, sure thing.

      "Some day"? Some day, as in far, far into the future?!? First of all, a Tb is 128 GB. Second: Lacie BiggestDisk. You, my friend, are suffering from "Future Shock"


      I don't know if you realize or not, but the Lacie "Big"-Disk series consist of multiple drives in one enclosure with some sort of controller. They are also complete shit, but that is a topic for another post. The largest hard disk available at present is 750 GB (with 250, 300, 400, and 500 GB much more common), so we are still not too far off. Someone is bound to make one in 2007, so your point is still well taken.
      --
      Urge to post... fading... fading... RISING!... fading... fading... gone.
    20. Re:No more harddrives? by Firehed · · Score: 1

      I've seen a gig flash chip as cheap as $10, but that's aside the point. Prices fall, especially with commodity consumer items, which flash chips in their varying forms have become. The 1GB CF card I bought for my camera two years ago was about $80, now it's $40. And that's for a high-durability, high-speed card - you can easily pay half that. I got a 16MB USB stick along with a laptop a few years back (four years maybe?) and I think I paid $30 for it. You can get 2GB cards - 128x the space, and almost certainly a similar speed improvement - for the same price now.

      But that's life. I paid $320 for a 1GB kit of the best RAM available at the time - OCZ PC4000 Gold CL2.5. Not a year later, I paid under $200 for a 2GB kit of equal speed. I don't dare consider how much my dad paid for the 800MHz Compaq some time. Or, indeed, the DIY Heathkit machine that became my first computing experience around age five. Yellow monochrome screen, dot-matrix printer that almost certainly caused a loss of my high-frequency hearing at a record-young age, and a pair of 5.25" floppy drives with no internal storage. I'm sure he paid several hundred bucks to upgrade us to a 28.8k modem, and now you get gigabit networking standard on almost every motherboard out there (often two gigE ports) and accompanying switches for less than the cost of a video game. Come to think of it, the only thing that hasn't really followed this trend is broadband speeds and prices, but that's obviously due to telcos being greedy asshats rather than a technical limitation.

      --
      How are sites slashdotted when nobody reads TFAs?
    21. Re:No more harddrives? by TheLink · · Score: 1

      "I agree. This is a big problem for larger companies that want maximum performance, but don't have that much data. They stripe 8, 16, 32 drives, and it's a pain in the wrist to find someone that can sell small enough drives so that you don't massively overshoot the space requirements."

      Huh? That's silly. Why can't they use 32 large capacity drives? Should work better than striping 32 low capacity ones. They using crappy hardware?

      The seek times will go down esp if the drives are so large that the data ends up only on one track/cylinder on each drive ;).

      If you want some limits and predictability you can always make small partitions on each drive. If you have crappy hardware or O/S, many cheap high capacity drives can be made to appear like 32GB drives with a jumper setting.

      If those companies really have that much money they can use drives based on nonvolatile RAM.

      --
  6. Technology description by in2mind · · Score: 3, Informative
    1. Re:Technology description by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These guys seem to get in the news every few years (when their stock needs a boost)? I thought a decade ago they were going to make normal batteries obsolete because their stuff was so good a battery it'd replace car engines.

    2. Re:Technology description by ffflala · · Score: 1

      Ovonix??? Props to Mark Minasi, author. "The complete PC upgrade & maintenance guide" identified Ovonix at least five years ago as an important development to watch out for in storage technology. I think that deserves a plug.

  7. In other news... by YourMotherCalled · · Score: 1, Funny

    ...a mad scientist will announce to his friends and family later today that he has come up with an idea for storing 500 times more data than a DVD on a single Cheerio.

    1. Re:In other news... by Easy2RememberNick · · Score: 2, Funny

      With or without milk?

    2. Re:In other news... by Ontology42 · · Score: 1

      What ever happened to Constellation 3D? Didn't they have FMD Drives that were supposed to be out by now?

      ~~sniff ~~sniff

      Smell that, a stock anaylist, a resarch scientist and and a broker were at a bar....

  8. Ita about time by El+Lobo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Today the bottleneck of the whole system lies in the hard drive. This is the only mechanical part (fans excluded) of a computer. It's about time to find a solution for large storage that doesn't depends on an arm swinging and moving back and forward through a fragmented file system....

    --
    It's time to realise that Abble's products are the biggest abomination these days. Just say NO to the dumb iAbble way!!
    1. Re:Ita about time by KingNaught · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you don't have a dvd/cd rom in your computer?

    2. Re:Ita about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MRAM or Ovonix phase change memory will probably get there in a few years. Large flash drives should be okay now with wear levelling, depending on your needs. Stuff that embedded/turnkey folks would use.

    3. Re:Ita about time by DrSkwid · · Score: 1

      Or any fans
      Or power switches

      --
      There are places where the networks are not touching,and there are places where they are-Boeing's Lori Gunter
    4. Re:Ita about time by kannibal_klown · · Score: 1
      So you don't have a dvd/cd rom in your computer?
      True, but I think the point he was trying to make was that the Hard Drive is an essential part to a computer. If something happens to it then you're pretty much SOL, and its mechanical nature makes it prone to failure (particularly in a laptop that gets carried around). Meanwhile, if for whatever reason the motor on your DVD drive dies the computer is still functional and useful (unless you NEED the DVD/CD at that exact instant: movie, install, etc). Sure, the DVD Drive is still a mechanical part but not its not a piece that can prevents everything else from working).

      So in the end, putting a lot of faith in a component that has a high risk of breaking due to its design. I'm not saying Hard Drives "suck" or anything, but in some cases an alternative would be preferable.
    5. Re:Ita about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Or any fans?

    6. Re:Ita about time by maxume · · Score: 1

      I'm sure he does. Of course, I use the hard drive every single time I use the computer, and the DVD burner about twice a month(usually to burn a cd...). Being without the hard drive is a big problem, being without the dvd is a minor inconvenience.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    7. Re:Ita about time by pipatron · · Score: 1

      Or power switches??

      --
      c++; /* this makes c bigger but returns the old value */
    8. Re:Ita about time by letxa2000 · · Score: 1
      I agree completely. Solid state is the only way to fly. While some people's storage needs will continue to explode as they store an ever-expanding collection of pr0n and MP3s, some of us are really reaching the limit of what we need. I have a 100GB hard drive. I have all my music, applications, and projects on it. I'm using something like 50GB, which is not that different than the space I was using 3 years ago. If, at some point, solid state storage devices get to the 50-80GB level, I'll be ditching my hard drive and going solid-state.


    9. Re:Ita about time by adrenalinerush · · Score: 1
      It's about time to find a solution for large storage that doesn't depends on an arm swinging and moving back and forward through a fragmented file system....

      Yeah, and it's about time to find a cure for cancer, too. I suspect people have been working diligently on both of these issues for quite some time now. It's not a matter of someone just going out and doing it.

      There are alternatives to using HDDs for mass storage. They just all happen to be slower or much more expensive per GB. HDDs have stuck around for a reason.

    10. Re:Ita about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought bloatware (eg. Windows) was the bottleneck. No seriously, the only times I need my HDD to be really fast is when copying large files [which I don't do very often] or when memory is paging in/out.

    11. Re:Ita about time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...that doesn't depends on an arm swinging and moving back and forward

      This would also be a major improvement to the average geek's sex life.

    12. Re:Ita about time by FridayBob · · Score: 1

      Indeed. Another major problem has to do with backups, or just moving around large blocks of data. Hard disks continue to grow and next year we'll probably see the first terabyte drives, but what about the maximum sustainable throughput? It's unlikely anything significant will ever change here because of the inherent physical (and perhaps economic) limitations. As a result, it's taking longer and longer to read all of the data off of these huge drives. This means backups are taking longer and the chances of full data recovery from dying hard disks are decreasing. Personally, I think MRAM (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mram) would be a great solution, but this stuff is still expensive and it's tough to compete with hard disks that offer so much storage space for so little cash.

    13. Re:Ita about time by KingNaught · · Score: 1

      Don't play many copy protected games then I assume, or play/rip audio disks or DVD's, I guess I'm not the norm but theres a disk in my optical drive most of the time.

    14. Re:Ita about time by treeves · · Score: 1

      He said "(fans excluded)".

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    15. Re:Ita about time by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I'm not completely convinced by this. You can always find new and interesting ways of wasting space. My last laptop had an 75GB disk, and I wasn't short of space. My new one has a 150GB disk, and I have used 78GB of it already. In this case, it's a few OS installs in virtual machines that account for the extra space. There's still a lot of headroom, but it shows that I can easily use more space than I had.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    16. Re:Ita about time by tepples · · Score: 1

      being without the dvd is a minor inconvenience. Don't play many copy protected games then I assume

      Enough Slashdot users boycott games that lack a working no-CD crack that can be applied to a full installation from original media.

      or play/rip audio disks

      That can be done at home on a desktop. The momentary inability to do so is a "minor inconvenience".

      or DVD's

      Play? It's a "minor inconvenience" to be without a feature film. Rip? Slashdot is hosted in the United States, and you can't rip DVDs in the United States.

    17. Re:Ita about time by trentblase · · Score: 1

      No I don't. Thanks for playing.

      * This includes one laptop and one server.

    18. Re:Ita about time by KingNaught · · Score: 1

      "Enough Slashdot users boycott games that lack a working no-CD crack that can be applied to a full installation from original media." so I should not play any games becuase the evil game companies make me put a CD in my system to play them. I've had to do that for years on consoles and its never been an inconvenience to me. "That can be done at home on a desktop. The momentary inability to do so is a "minor inconvenience"." So we weren't talking about systems in general, you would have an optical drive in home system when did this become part of the conversation. The qualifier that we were talking about a non-home desktop never came up before so why use it now. And I don't think work would look kindly on me riping MP3's at home and emailing them to myself at work. or DVD's "Play? It's a "minor inconvenience" to be without a feature film. Rip? Slashdot is hosted in the United States, and you can't rip DVDs in the United States." Everythings a minor inconvenience to you, but computers were never ment to be a major convenience. Indoor plumbing is a major convenience, computers just provide a lot of minor conveniences so if you take them all away like your doing then the computer has no purpose at all.

    19. Re:Ita about time by tepples · · Score: 1

      so I should not play any games becuase the evil game companies make me put a CD in my system to play them. I've had to do that for years on consoles and its never been an inconvenience to me.

      It's easier for the end user to replace a broken standalone game console, standalone CD player, or standalone DVD player than the optical drive built into the computer.

      So we weren't talking about systems in general, you would have an optical drive in home system when did this become part of the conversation.

      Several other comments to this article talk about how phase-change memory would resist shock better than spinning platters and use less power. Please excuse the confusion.

      Play? It's a "minor inconvenience" to be without a feature film. Everythings a minor inconvenience to you

      How many people are away from a television set with a dedicated DVD player and not otherwise occupied for long enough to watch a feature film?

    20. Re:Ita about time by KingNaught · · Score: 1
      "It's easier for the end user to replace a broken standalone game console, standalone CD player, or standalone DVD player than the optical drive built into the computer."

      I've been a Systems Admin for 10 years and I've never once had to replace a Optical Drive in a computer, and its a heck of allot cheaper to replace a CD/DVD rom in a computer than to go replaceing your game console.

    21. Re:Ita about time by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      A large battery backed up cache and lots of ram works well.
      On my machines, writes to the disk finish almost instantly (and the raid controller carries out the actual writing in the background), the entire os gets loaded into memory and stays there for the duration (i keep the machine running, never reboot it) as do my apps...
      The only files i regularly use that are really too large to cache are things like video, which are only needed at a certain rate (for playback) anyway.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    22. Re:Ita about time by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      I bought an xbox specifically because i could copy games to the HD...
      Losing or damaging the media is irritating, plus if i want to take it anywhere (friends place, hotel etc) i have much less bits to worry about.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  9. Flash chip problems by Calinous · · Score: 1

    Right now are the low write count (worked upon, and mostly solved), sequential speed (again, worked upon and mostly solved) and especially the cost per gigabyte.
            Will the new format allow lower costs per gigabyte compared to the current hard drive cost? Will the cost be lower than the projected cost of flash memory in the 10 years time frame? How will the cost of magnetic media storage (HDD) change in the following years?

    1. Re:Flash chip problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      costs per gigabyte compared to the current hard drive cost?

      If sugar were cheaper per pound than flour, would you quit using flour? Even if it's not cheaper than the current harddrive, it may provide more value through features that harddrives don't have (speed? reliability?)

  10. 4 years down the road by Rooked_One · · Score: 1

    when we all have 16 GIGS of ram and all running our OS straight from ramdrives, we will look back and laugh.

    1. Re:4 years down the road by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you plan to load the OS to RAM?

    2. Re:4 years down the road by Non-CleverNickName · · Score: 1

      16 GIGS of RAM? Now that's just crazy talk. We all know 640K of this stuff is more than we'll ever really need.

      --
      This is my signature. There are many like it but this one is mine.
    3. Re:4 years down the road by FunkeyMonk · · Score: 1

      Pfft -- the bloated, oversized OSes of the future won't come close to fitting in 16 GB.

    4. Re:4 years down the road by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had my first computer with 16G of RAM in 2001. It required a bit of tweaking (as Windows NT didn't NORMALLY support this much). Now a machine with 16G isn't all that unusual. The reality is that those that push their machines have long since learned that RAM is often the best solution. There are now internal cards that have battery backups that allow to you make a REAL RAM drive... one that doesn't have the speed/write issues of flash ram, but that maintain their status with a battery backup, and solve the largest problem with normal RAM.

      The sad truth is that there are often cheap, reasonable solutions, that would make every one's life easier... but that are not sold, because they would undermine the current business of selling obsolete, and relatively ineffective solutions.

    5. Re:4 years down the road by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I already can run my OS from ram. All I need is 384 MB...

    6. Re:4 years down the road by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I find your lack of insight very interesting. In four years, 16 gigs will hardly be enough.

      I suspect it will be closer to 32 Gigs, and after looking at Vista, I am sure of it. Four Years ago, 256 was the minimum to run WinXP, today, it is more like 1GB is my minimum with 2 Gigs being optimal. 4-8x in four years. Today, I wouldn't recommend Vista with anything less than 2 full gigs of Ram, and highly recommend 4. 4-8x would most likely put Vista's 4 year at 16 gigs MINIMUM, and probably more like 32.

      My $.02

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    7. Re:4 years down the road by DohnJoe · · Score: 1

      ramdrives *and* ram? why bother? In the future we'll have a single memory storage which will be solid state and fast enough to function as RAM and big enough to function as a HD. I'm so used to thinking about RAM and harddisks as separate things that it's even difficult to imagine for me.

      although maybe there will always a tradeoff between memory size and speed, i don't know...

    8. Re:4 years down the road by master_p · · Score: 1

      Especially when we run Vista on it...(hint: super rootkits!)

    9. Re:4 years down the road by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... and placement of the memory relative to the processor. The speed of light will be the bottleneck.

    10. Re:4 years down the road by JazzLad · · Score: 1

      Unless we run windows, then 16GB of RAM will be the minimum and we'll still need a 40GB swap.

      --
      "If you have nothing to hide, you have nothing to fear." - Every fascist, ever
    11. Re:4 years down the road by GotenXiao · · Score: 1

      4 years? You, my friend, have no vision. In 4 years we should all be on 128bit systems with more RAM than we know how to use, and full system throughputs in excess of terabytes per second. ...Hey, I can dream, can't I?

      --
      Goten Xiao
  11. Remeber the compressor that would re-compress its by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0



    Remeber the compressor that would re-compress its output, so it would ultimately shrink to ... nil? Dvorak bought into that, as did many, many others. Here a scam, there a scam, everywhere a scam-scam.

  12. Cost is what matters by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 1

    It might be cheap:

    >OUM requires fewer steps in an IC manufacturing process resulting in reduced cycle times, fewer defects, and greater manufacturing flexibility.

    >a process that deviates little from a basic CMOS logic flow.

    I get nervous about people who make claims like
    >the OUM memory state can be written more than 10 trillion times
    unless they've tested it to a trillion cycles, which is just possible.

    Anyone else nervous that they didn't say anything like "write time N nanoseconds"?

    1. Re:Cost is what matters by Crudely_Indecent · · Score: 1

      Anyone else nervous that they didn't say anything like "write time N nanoseconds"? FTA: "more than 500 times as fast as flash chips"

      I can't seem to find hard numbers on the chips, but USB Flash being able to obtain upwards of 13MB/s now puts it faster than U320 SCSI
      --


      "Lame" - Galaxar
    2. Re:Cost is what matters by kansas1051 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Wikipedia(as always) has a good article on the technology. It looks like the write time is currently about 5ns: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phase-change_memory What is really interesting is that the technology is generally temperature based.

    3. Re:Cost is what matters by earnest+murderer · · Score: 1

      I get nervous about people who make claims like
      >the OUM memory state can be written more than 10 trillion times
      unless they've tested it to a trillion cycles, which is just possible.


      Considering the size and quantity of their prototype I'd say your skepticism is warranted. It's probably more likely derived from theory and marketing rather than a real world test.

      Or...

      I'll believe it when the MFR's warranty bears that claim.

      --
      Platform advocacy is like choosing a favorite severely developmentally disabled child.
    4. Re:Cost is what matters by Overzeetop · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Marketing departments usually find the _slowest_ competitor to base their stats on. I wouldn't be suprised if the speed was relative to early-generation flash in the hundreds of kB/s range. Not that 100MB/s would be considered slow, but it might not be the GB/s you would expect looking at today's fast flash drives.

      --
      Is it just my observation, or are there way too many stupid people in the world?
  13. The real challage is price. by jellomizer · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Hard Disk Drives now are about $0.50 a Gigabyte. Flash is now about $25.00 a Gigabyte. 3 1/2" Floppy disks about $250.00 per Gigabyte. So it is natural for the Flash Memory cards to replace the floppies as they did. Better speed and better cost/Gigabyte. But right now Hard Drive technology is really cheap. If this new design can match prices/gigabyte of a hard drive then the Disk Drives will need a real challenge. Otherwise This new technology may only be a threat to Flash, or used with drives in hybrid mode for faster disk access. But not until then.

    Price is a major driving force in memory.

    CPU Registers are the fastest but most expensive (very small amount is used)
    Cache is the next fastest and the second most expensive. (4 Megs or so)

    Then comes normal RAM Memory Still slower then Cache and cheaper normally systems now have about a Gig or 2 of that.

    If price wasn't a case Computers wouldn't have much RAM but all Cache, or huge amount of registers. But in real life price is the final decision.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:The real challage is price. by SydShamino · · Score: 1

      Other costs need to be taken into account. For example, many people leave their computers on when not in use, because they don't want to waste time letting them start up when they return. (I leave my work computer on except over three-day weekends or longer, though I turn the CRT monitors off each night.) Their time is money, and they don't want to pay the price.

      But, leaving the computers on also costs money in terms of electricity. This is also a big price to pay. If the computers would boot significantly faster, their users might be more willing to shut them down. There was a big discussion on this a few articles ago. If it cost a little extra to put the OS on a super-fast non-volatile storage medium, perhaps it would be worth it.

      --
      It doesn't hurt to be nice.
    2. Re:The real challage is price. by stevesliva · · Score: 3, Interesting
      If price wasn't a case Computers wouldn't have much RAM but all Cache, or huge amount of registers. But in real life price is the final decision
      Actually in systems where price is no object, performance is usually paramount. If you have astounding amounts of registers or cache, your performance per instruction or memory operation may be slower. Given the fact that we can manufacture dual-core dies with ease, I imagine we could easily fit a bazillion more registers or double the L1 cache of a single core, but there is a performance trade-off there.
      --
      Who do you get to be an expert to tell you something's not obvious? The least insightful person you can find? -J Roberts
    3. Re:The real challage is price. by WuphonsReach · · Score: 2, Informative

      Hard Disk Drives now are about $0.50 a Gigabyte.

      You're a bit on the high side there... SATA/PATA drives are down around $0.28-$0.32 per gigabyte and have been for a while. The sweet spot seems to be the 250GB drives for $70, with the 200GB, 300GB, 400GB sizes at around $0.32/GB.

      (Which hasn't changed a whole lot in the past few months. But Seagate's 7200.10 series is one of the cheaper $/GB drives on the market even though it's brand new tech.)

      --
      Wolde you bothe eate your cake, and have your cake?
    4. Re:The real challage is price. by Control+Group · · Score: 1

      That's still a tough sell, though. Most places I've worked had a strict policy of leaving PCs on, if only so that patches can be pushed down outside office hours. The cost of power is trivial compared to the cost in labor of having someone either manually patch each machine, run around after hours powering each machine on, or causing down time during the day (along with the problem of people who are on vacation or out sick).

      --

      Reality has a conservative bias: it conserves mass, energy, momentum...
    5. Re:The real challage is price. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ever seen the size of that 4 megs of cache on a CPU?

    6. Re:The real challage is price. by CastrTroy · · Score: 1

      Hard drives are only $.50 per gigabyte when you talk about low end consumer hard drives where speed and reliability isn't really that big of an issue. However, when you look at server hard drives, that require reliability and speed, you're going to be paying much more per gigabyte. If these drives can offer increases in speed and/or reliability to what we currently have available for servers, then I could see this technology getting adopted for servers, where people are willing to pay a little more if it means improved performance / reliability. You can hardly find any 10k RPM drives available to consumers because the demand isn't there. But if you look in the server world, you can find many 10K RPM and even 15K RPM drives. I'm sure someone could even point me to a 20K RPM drive.

      --

      Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
    7. Re:The real challage is price. by weekendli · · Score: 1

      But in the further, our son/daughter would say, HDD now are about $250.00 a petabyte, chip is about $0.05 a petabyte. How hdd can still survive.

    8. Re:The real challage is price. by jilles · · Score: 1

      HDs are comparatively slow and flash drives are approaching the big enough state where they could replace them in e.g. laptops and workstations. Currently vista already works better with a hybrid approach (using flash for swap space). Once the flash drives become big enough (e.g. the just announced 32 GB flash thingy from Sony), they become a drop in replacement for slow, hot, noisy and energy wasting harddrives. Also there's no reason why these things could not be operated in a raid like configuration. What about a RAID5 with 20, 10GB flash drives. One breaks down, you just plug in a new one. Mark my words, harddrives will be used only as secondary storage and in file servers in a few years.

      --

      Jilles
    9. Re:The real challage is price. by DarkSarin · · Score: 1

      Although if manufacturers and admins were really working together and really smart, Wake on LAN would become the new way to to remote upgrades and still allow the machine to shutdown for the night.

      I see this scenario:
      Admin approves a patch/upgrade
      Admin pushes patch to server
      Server uses smart scheduling to push upgrade to machine to avoid work conflicts
      Machine is off/doesn't respond
      Server sends WAKEUP code to machine
      Machine boots and (as default booting solution) sends ready signal to server
      Server pushes patch to machine
      Machine is updated and turns itself back off.
      Repeat ad nauseum

      This, or some variant, would solve most of the problems you describe. Now if I only could code...

      --
      "We don't know what we are doing, but we are doing it very carefully,..." Wherry, R.J. Personnel Psychology (1995)
    10. Re:The real challage is price. by iCharles · · Score: 1

      Hard Disk Drives now are about $0.50 a Gigabyte. Flash is now about $25.00 a Gigabyte. 3 1/2" Floppy disks about $250.00 per Gigabyte.

      For you hard-core retrogrouches, that's $425/GB for audio cassette.

    11. Re:The real challage is price. by greed · · Score: 1

      The other issue with a bazillion registers is the cost of context-switching on that high-performance machine. You've now got to stuff all those registers on the stack and load up the other processes' set. So you lengthen the timeslice to minimize the cost, at the expense of "responsiveness".

      Or you can play tricks with register files, so you don't have to actually save and load... but then you run out of space in the file with too many processes, so you have to do it anyway.

      Or there's this really weird "windowed" thing on SPARC chips, which is really nifty... until you try and use it on a multi-tasking operating system, and you've got to swap out all the entries in the entire window-thing, so your input registers don't become some other processes output registers.

      Same with cache: lots of cache means more entries to manage. You have to compare every physical address to the cache tags to see if you've got it, so the more tags you have to compare, the slower the operation gets (or the more power you need to get larger fan-out). Tricks like set-associative caches help simplify these tests and keep them manageable.

      It doesn't matter how much money you've got, there's always a tradeoff to be made in the design.

      And, these days, doing bunches of stuff at the same time is where the best bang for your watt happens to be.

    12. Re:The real challage is price. by babyrat · · Score: 1

      Hard Disk Drives now are about $0.50 a Gigabyte.

      Only if you need a bunch of gigabytes - what if you need only 4 GB? What if size and power consumption matter? A 6GB compactFlash microdrive goes for a couple of hundred dollars. That's over $30/GB. They are creating them and selling them, so there are people willing to pay that price for the size/power consumption.

      Even if size doesn't matter that much, a standard 10 GB IDE drive is about $20.

    13. Re:The real challage is price. by ben+there... · · Score: 1
      HDs are comparatively slow and flash drives are approaching the big enough state where they could replace them in e.g. laptops and workstations.

      Way off there. SATA 300 bus is 300 MB/s. Common new drives like the Seagate 320GB 7200.10 transfer at around 70 MB/s. (maximum read)

      Meanwhile, USB 2.0 is limited to ~50 MB/s. But the current flash drives aren't even close to reaching that limit:

      Typical overall file transfer speeds are about 3 MBytes/s. The highest current overall file transfer speeds are about 10-25 MByte/s. Older, "full speed" 12 Mbit/s devices are limited to a maximum of about 1 MByte/s.


      Hard drives vastly outperform flash drives.
    14. Re:The real challage is price. by cmcginty · · Score: 0

      A smart business person would also take into account the operating costs of the hardware, not just the capital cost. If the TCO of flash drive is lower than hard disks, it will prevail. The TCO would include cost of electricity (operating and cooling), MTBF values, and possibly density (i.e gigabyte / cubic inch).

    15. Re:The real challage is price. by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      You could have the machines hibernate (so your application states are saved) and have them configured to start up 10 minutes before your due to be in the office...
      When you leave you just hibernate and walk out, the time it takes to write the image is not your concern, and it will power itself off when done... And when you come back, it's there waiting for you.

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  14. Re:No more harddrives? YES! by denis-The-menace · · Score: 3, Funny

    I can see as this memory becomes faster, cheaper and more reliable to replace system memory, too. I can even see the stuff become so cheap that backing all the info will become cost prohibitive, something like how tape backup systems cost way more today than a 2nd hard drive, but an order of magnatude higher.

    The irony is that this would explain why in the future (à-la-Star-Trek), backups of the computer's memory doesn't exist and cause improbable storylines for us system admins.

    --
    Obama's legacy: (N)othing (S)ecure (A)nywhere and (T)error (S)imulation (A)dministration
  15. Rewrite cycles? by wiredog · · Score: 0, Redundant

    One of the big failings of flash memory is the limited number of rewrite cycles. HDs can be rewritten many times without going bad. How many rewrite cycles will this have?

    1. Re:Rewrite cycles? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      About 10 trillion or so.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
  16. Reliability? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As I recalled, flash is only good for 100 thousand writes. Given Windoze freqently write to the NTFS volumes even when the system is idle, it won't take long for the chip drive to become useless.

  17. Magnets and rust by Control-Z · · Score: 1

    The quicker we can get away from a spinning rust platter read by magnets, the better. Less moving parts = more reliable (in general.)

    1. Re:Magnets and rust by GigsVT · · Score: 1

      Oxide plates haven't been used for a long time. It's all thin film now.

      --
      I've had enough abrasive sigs. Kittens are cute and fuzzy.
    2. Re:Magnets and rust by TaoPhoenix · · Score: 1

      So how much data does an overturned Ford Escort store?

      --
      My first Journal Entry ever, in 8 years! http://slashdot.org/journal/365947/aphelion-scifi-fantasy-horror-poetry-webzine
    3. Re:Magnets and rust by Control-Z · · Score: 1

      Many terabytes, it's the access time that gets you. See it's hard to get it spinning very fast.

    4. Re:Magnets and rust by smoker2 · · Score: 1

      Ecept that "a spinning rust platter read by magnets" is the state of the art, and has been for some time. As much as flash has been touted we are all still using hard disks. Personally, Seagate HDDs with 5 year warrantee are good enough for me. 5 years is longer than any HDD has lasted me so far, but so far, none of the warranteed Seagate models has failed me (and I will be replacing them before 5 years is up).

    5. Re:Magnets and rust by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, but did you mean "Less moving parts = more reliable" or "Less moving parts == more reliable"?

  18. On our way to the future by CopaceticOpus · · Score: 3, Funny

    Can't we just skip ahead to the transparent crystals that glow in various colors and store almost limitless data? We all know that's where this is heading.

    Maybe we need to perfect holographic 3D displays first?

    1. Re:On our way to the future by Duggeek · · Score: 1

      ...or is it already here? Glance at this bit about Turner Entertainment "turning" to holographic storage.

      --
      This post © Copyrite Duggeek, all rights reversed.
    2. Re:On our way to the future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      don't laugh, but we're on our way:

      http://qis.ucalgary.ca/quantech/storage.html

  19. Abstract of presentation. by infolib · · Score: 1

    The results are presented at the IEDM conference, and it seems that there's no published article on this yet. From this page I get:

    Ultra-Thin Phase-Change Bridge Memory Device Using GeSb
    Y.C. Chen, C.T. Rettner***, S. Raoux***, G.W. Burr***, S.H. Chen, R.M. Shelby***, M. Salinga***, W.P. Risk***, T.D. Happ*, G.M. McClelland***, M. Breitwisch^, A. Schrott^, J.B. Philipp*, M.H. Lee, R. Cheek^, T. Nirschl**, M. Lamorey^^, C. F. Chen, E. Joseph^, S. Zaidi*, B. Yee^, H. L. Lung, R. Bergmann*, and C. Lam^, Macronix International Co. Ltd., *Qimonda, **Infineon Technologies, ***IBM Almaden Research Center, ^IBM Watson Research Center, ^^IBM Essex Junction, San Jose, CA

    An ultra-thin phase-change bridge (PCB) memory cell, implemented with doped GeSb, is shown with 100microAmp RESET current. The device concept provides for simplified scaling to small cross-sectional area (60nm squared) through ultra-thin (3nm) films; the doped GeSb phase-change material offers the potential for both fast crystallization and good data retention.

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced libertarian utopia is indistinguishable from government.
  20. Bah by feijai · · Score: 2, Funny

    Still won't be able to compete with the sheer density of colored symbols on A4 paper.

    1. Re:Bah by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is wicked cool. Sort of like 'punchcards for the optical era'. How come slashdot hasn't run a story on this?

  21. Personal Tokens by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

    The only real competitive advantage discs (optical or magnetic) have is cost.

    Slow, low density optical discs are good for offline storage, up to 4.7GB at about $0.042:GB. Plus about $1000 for a 400-disc changer jukebox makes about $0.60:GB across all jukebox loads, theoretically also automatable across many loads, for "nearline" storage.

    Fast, high denisty magnetic discs are good for online storage, the kind we use as "permanent" without worrying about dealing with them directly (until they fail). They cost about $0.23:GB.

    Flash currently costs about $14.00:GB. Obviously archive or real longterm storage isn't threatened right now, except in mobile devices (not just portables with biggish/hottish HDs).

    But really mobile devices will have just storage of secrets (keys), pointers (URLs), wireless network interfaces (or HW jacks for the paranoid), and auth UIs (like thumbprint or other biometrics, and maybe still passwords). Because generic computing/comm devices will be everywhere, immersed in wireless networks. Discs have to rotate inside something, but why carry that everywhere, especially when it's fragile? And large capacity is unnecessary in personal tokens, with other tech distributed around the Net.

    So while solid state storage is becoming cheaper, the infrastructure that makes it really cheap and easy is growing even faster. By the time a personal token costs $1:GB, it will include wireless/auth interfaces to a ubiquitous wireless Net. And maybe all those spinning discs will go the way of tape: specialized apps that require extreme density, and specialists to operate them.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Personal Tokens by matt21811 · · Score: 1

      Actually, disks also have a significant advantage in sustained transfer speed too.

    2. Re:Personal Tokens by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      True. But there's no inherent reason though. Solid state media can deliver to any bitwidth, if their internal busses are so designed. A 32bit transfer should be native, even 64+. While discs are limited by their parallel read/write head count. Optical discs usually have a maximum of two (usually one), while magnetic discs often have just a pair or 2-3, maybe 4 - not even a byte word width.

      And while block reads are common to practically every medium, solid state makes access vs transfer speed very close. Without the access latency from repositioning a physical head, or waiting to rotate. The same schematics mean solid state really cleans up, making sparsely distributed data nearly as quickly accessible as blocks, while discs really suffer from fragmentation.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    3. Re:Personal Tokens by matt21811 · · Score: 1

      "But there's no inherent reason though."

      There must be or we'd have flash products that thrash hard disks in sustained transfer speed.

    4. Re:Personal Tokens by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      No, it's just cheaper. Flash is too low density for the dollar to compete with HDs. A parallel controller would cost more, but not sell much more.

      You can see that the fast ones do cost significantly more, and really do make a difference (eg. in rapidfire digital cameras), but aren't that popular.

      And in fact you can think it through yourself. There's no interaction among data within the chip. Why not just stack several USB Flash drives together, maxxing out the USB bus transfer speed? Then just put them in the same package, and you have a highly parallel single storage device. But multiple USB controllers cost more, and would need special R&D to integrate them. But the existing fast ones don't sell a lot more. So why bother?

      When a Flash drive is down to about a dollar per GB or less, or just available in >100GB packages still matchbook sized, then parallel controllers will increase their transfer speed to max the bus on which it's connected. Maye this new tech will bring it. Or just the price/density improvements that has been beating Moore's Law, currently no better than $14:GB and max 16GB, though not in the same product. At the current rate, with max density quadrupling at about 4x per year, and midrange prices quartering, we're probably looking at 256GB in a couple of years, but 64-128GB costing something like $3:GB, or maybe $384 for a 128GB drive. Though HDs will probably cost something like $0.10:GB, with max capacity around 2TB ($200), solid state will beat it in every spec, and be used in the mostly mobile devices we'll think of as "computers".

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  22. Wouldn't be necessary! by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

    If these phase change chips are non-volatile and cheap, they can replace the DVD/CD just as easily as they replace the hard disk. The only purpose of anything DVD-like would be for mass distribution of software and content, and if I could eliminate that mechanical drive in favor of simple internet downloads to a phase change stick like current flash sticks but faster and cheaper, I'd be happy.

  23. Moore's Law and disks by billstewart · · Score: 2, Interesting
    For the most part, disk capacities have been increasing faster than the Moore's Law double-in-18-months for the last few years. I stopped caring about disk capacity somewhere around the time 6GB drives got replaced by 20GB drives which got replaced by 120GB drives over about 2-3 years, each at under $100/drive. (Then I got BitTorrent and started downloading lossless-compression music, so I temporarily had to pay attention again :-)


    My first Vax, 22 years ago, had 1GB of disk, in the form of four washing-machine-sized drives which used removable 250MB disk packs. The drives cost about $120K total, and the packs were about $1000 each. There isn't really an exact comparison to that combination; you could either look at DVD-RW ($40 for the drive, $0.50 for the disks, so 8-12000x the price/capacity), or amortize the drive across some number of packs to compare to fixed disks (e.g. 10 packs per drive would be $160K for 10GB, though I think we only bought about 3 packs per drive over before that machine was obsolete), or you could make some unbalanced comparison like $20 for a CF-to-USB adapter and $20/GB for Compact Flash cards, which would be a mere 200:1 on the removable media but 6000:1 for the "drive".

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
    1. Re:Moore's Law and disks by DarkSarin · · Score: 2, Interesting

      And I have an astrophysics friend who just told me that the university we attend (grad students) will be putting up a new satellite that can generate 30TBs of data in one night (Full Sky Scan!). Wow.

      --
      "We don't know what we are doing, but we are doing it very carefully,..." Wherry, R.J. Personnel Psychology (1995)
    2. Re:Moore's Law and disks by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1
      My first Vax, 22 years ago, had 1GB of disk, in the form of four washing-machine-sized drives which used removable 250MB disk packs.

      That brings back memories. Our shop had a GB of disk, too - eight Fujitsu Eagles in a couple of racks. Of course, we were doing "big" things - IC design. Even at that, we were running about 20 or so users from that configuration. Things have definitely changed...

      --
      That is all.
    3. Re:Moore's Law and disks by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I've recently been talking to some people building a solar telescope. It is expected to be running for around 8 hours a day, observing the sun. Each camera produces 1-2GB of data every second. That's 28-56TB of data per camera. There are going to be 8 cameras when the telescope is completed, giving a maximum of 448TB being generated every day.

      And I thought I worked with large datasets...

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  24. Formats by symbolset · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Ina remarkable case of technology amnesia, the same idiots that standardized on FAT for flash media for devices are now touting the amazing formatting capacity of FAT32 - An astonishing 32GB! As if in four years that's going to be a lot for flash media you don't have to handle with tweezers.

    So run out, children, and buy your SD 2.0 standard devices while they're not yet obsolete. That way you can buy your camera again and again for no good reason.

    --
    Help stamp out iliturcy.
    1. Re:Formats by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 2, Informative

      I have a 200GB disk formatted as FAT32...

      It is only Microsoft's own cut-rate implementation of a disk manager that insists on making FAT32 volumes a maximum of 32GB in size, and I suspect it is solely because they want people to use NTFS instead.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    2. Re:Formats by dextromulous · · Score: 3, Informative

      You may only be able to format FAT32 up to 32GB using the default Windows utilities, but the maximum volume size for FAT32 is 8TiB. However, you are still limited to a maximum 4GB file size and 268,435,437 files. I'm sure you would run into efficiency problems with a gigantic FAT32 drive, but that doesn't mean that 32GB is the limit.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: those who divide people into two types and those who don't.
    3. Re:Formats by Fred_A · · Score: 1

      Good thing I wasn't aware of this limitation when I made a 50 gig exchange volume a few years ago back when I still thought I might use Windows for something someday...

      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    4. Re:Formats by TonyZahn · · Score: 1

      They should use ReiserFS

      I hear it's a killer! // yes, I know. I'm going to hell for that.

      --
      - sig? who is this sig of which you speak?
    5. Re:Formats by Frozen+Void · · Score: 1

      FAT32 has no problem with large drives,just uses up more space for file clusters.
      I have 250GB fat32 formatted drive.

    6. Re:Formats by symbolset · · Score: 1

      Good luck getting a nonstandard format to work in your camera. Let us know how it works out.

      --
      Help stamp out iliturcy.
    7. Re:Formats by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      The maximum volume size for FAT32 is 8TB. That's 8 terabytes, some 40 times larger than my 200GB disk. If a camera will not accept FAT32 volumes above 32GB in size, their implementation of FAT32 is flawed.

      I do know (and wikipedia backs this up) that you cannot use Microsoft's own scandisk on FAT32 volumes larger than ~120GB or so. Using dosfsck from *nix works just fine, though.

      Unfortunately, I do not own a digital camera myself, so I have no way of testing where the problem lies as of now. But one of my friends has a camera (a Lumix, I think) which simply refuses to use some SD cards, no matter the file system. It works fine in other cameras and card readers, just not in his camera.

      --
      Eat the rich.
  25. ten states per 20 nanometer cell by Darth+Cider · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Page 35 of their downloadable pdf shows that each cell can hold multiple bits. Each cell can be set to one of ten states by multiple pulses of current, so comparisons to binary storage don't work. The manufacturing process is not complex, basic CMOS in about 20 stages, but the part of the cell that stores data is only about 20 nanometers wide. Replacement of hard drives is a very trivial application. IBM and Intel are planning to incorporate this tech inside ICs to reduce latency of fetching data. The big news is more highly integrated systems on chip. It doesn't look pie-in-the-sky, somewhere-way-down-the-road to me.

    1. Re:ten states per 20 nanometer cell by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I notice that the linked PDF is dated December 1999. So what progress have they made in the last seven years?

  26. how clever! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why haven't we thought of this before ??

  27. Dark Star by camperdave · · Score: 2, Funny

    I'd guess that the data would be highly compressable, though: Dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, star, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, star, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, star, dark, dark, dark...

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    1. Re:Dark Star by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, dark, star, dark, dark, dark, dark...

      Goose!

  28. This will never work... by stinkbomb · · Score: 1

    ...'cause where you gonna put the salsa?! Idiots.

  29. Wait, I'm confused.... by squizzar · · Score: 1

    How many libraries of congress are there in a cheerio?

  30. Repeat after me... by camperdave · · Score: 1

    "A terabyte is NOT 128 gigabyes. A terabyte is NOT 128 gigabytes...."

    A terabyte is 1000 gigabytes (1024 if you're old school), not 128.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    1. Re:Repeat after me... by IndigoParadox · · Score: 1

      I believe what he said was "a Tb is 128 GB." Tb is short for terabit, one of which is roughly 1/8th of a terabyte. So a TB is 1024 GB, but a Tb is 128 GB. He wasn't very clear on that, but you have to read carefully when you read technical things because technical people seem to adore setting traps like that. ;O)

    2. Re:Repeat after me... by TheCrazyMonkey · · Score: 1

      while i can't read minds or anything, i guessing what he was trying to say is that Tb = terabit = 1024 gigabits = 128 gigabytes

    3. Re:Repeat after me... by Mercedes308 · · Score: 1

      I think he was just waxing over the typo the GP did. Tb (terabit) instead of TB (terabyte)

      --
      And no, I couldn't give a shit what my karma is.
    4. Re:Repeat after me... by camperdave · · Score: 1

      First, hard drive capacities are measured in bytes, not bits, so pulling a bit/byte prank is out of context.
      Second, this is Slashdot, not a technical journal. Bit/Byte standards are lax, as are the SI vs. binary expansions.
      Third, technically a Tb is 125 GB, not 128 GB.

      So, the poster may have been setting a trap, or he may have been lax. Either way, the post is wrong. If it was a prank, bad form.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    5. Re:Repeat after me... by IndigoParadox · · Score: 1

      The person he was replying to kept using Tb instead of TB. Information is information no matter what the medium is, and imprecision in communication is still imprecision in communication. I wouldn't call it a prank, just a strict parse. =OP

    6. Re:Repeat after me... by Ngarrang · · Score: 1

      Since I was referencing hard drive capacities, and they are in bytes, I wasn't referencing 1Tb as 1 Terabit, but 1 Terabyte. I personally have never capitalized the second letter. Gb, Kb, Mb, etc. If I mean to reference bit, I write Gbit, Tbit, Mbit, etc. I don't expect people to be mind readers, so my apologies for not know your preference for capacity reference. In the future, I will just use Tbyte, Gbyte, etc to avoid any trollish-type responses looking to argue minutia.

      --
      Bearded Dragon
  31. "novel" by testadicazzo · · Score: 1

    I'm so tired of finding the word "novel" in research publications, etc. It's an overused word which contains absolutely no new information. Most style guides for scientific writing grip about it, and many research publications ask authors not to use such words in titles or abstracts, but I get the feeling the use is still increasing. It's basically scientific marketing, and it's not even clever or original. Most things which are described as novel are anyway anything but, and the word has just become weak and watered down. The sentence "used a novel combination of materials..." could have been replaced with one containing some useful information, or just done away with alltogether to improve reading efficiency.

    Yeah, it's probably completely off topic, but I just had to say it.

    1. Re:"novel" by P3NIS_CLEAVER · · Score: 1

      Maybe we should replace "novel" with something new....

      --
      Please sign petition to restore sanity to our banking system!!!

      http://financialpetition.org/
    2. Re:"novel" by Sloppy · · Score: 1

      That's a novel observation about marketing, but I think you'll find that, in time, use of this particular word as a generic "feel good" adjective will grow old, and have less impact. "Novel" will go the way of "innovative." At that time, persuasion engineers will have come up with some new word to replace it, and chances are you'll find the new word to be novel and refreshing (for a while, and then the cycle will repeat again).

      --
      As copyright owner of this comment, I authorize everyone to defeat any technological measure which limits access to it.
  32. BUNK! by camperdave · · Score: 1

    "The typical access time for a Flash based SSD is about 35 - 100 micro-seconds, whereas that of a rotating disk is around 5,000 - 10,000 micro-seconds. That makes a Flash-based SSD approximately 100 times faster than a rotating disk. " http://www.storagesearch.com/bitmicro-art3.html

    "The SSD found files more than twice as fast, and accelerated boot-up. Its cumulative speed advantage over the other two drives was an impressive 25 percent" http://www.pcworld.com/article/id,126833/article.h tml

    Solid state drives (flash drives) are not slower. If they were, hard drive manufacturers would not be using flash to make hybrid drives.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    1. Re:BUNK! by makomk · · Score: 1

      I think you're mixing up seek times and transfer speed. Flash drives have essentially no seek time, but the data transfer rate isn't nearly as good as hard disks (and the article you linked to doesn't claim that it is, as far as I can tell).

  33. Wake on LAN by camperdave · · Score: 1

    Has your company never heard of Wake on LAN. If there is an upgrade to be pushed, just send a few packets over the network to ensure all the machines are up and running, then push the upgrade.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  34. NOT BUNK! by itlurksbeneath · · Score: 2, Informative

    While the actual flash technology might be capable of that kind of speed, the entire stack isn't. Compare the MB/s throughput of several hard drives here with the throughput of several USB flash drives here (both benchmarks done with SiSoft's Sandra).

    Bottom line: The USB drives are topping out at an average of 8 MB/s, the hard drives are in the 60 MB/s range. That alone puts hard drives an average of 7.5 times faster.

    Flash drives have great single block seek times because they don't have to move a head, but most benchmarks show that their ability to move large quantities of data quickly sucks.

    --
    Have you ever considered piracy? You'd make a wonderful Dread Pirate Roberts.
    1. Re:NOT BUNK! by RzUpAnmsCwrds · · Score: 1
      While the actual flash technology might be capable of that kind of speed, the entire stack isn't. Compare the MB/s throughput of several hard drives here with the throughput of several USB flash drives here (both benchmarks done with SiSoft's Sandra).

      Bottom line: The USB drives are topping out at an average of 8 MB/s, the hard drives are in the 60 MB/s range. That alone puts hard drives an average of 7.5 times faster.

      Flash drives have great single block seek times because they don't have to move a head, but most benchmarks show that their ability to move large quantities of data quickly sucks.


      You're comparing apples and oranges. USB flash drives are designed to be compact and cheap, not fast. You should compare hard drives with a genuine solid-state-drive, such as Samsung's which can average ~55MB/s.
  35. Oh, you'd still have your porn. by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

    A really fast 40G drive would be great to use as the filesystem root, plus swap space; your porn and other documents could all be kept on another (large, slow) drive. I've thought a lot about doing something like this right now using SCSI disks.

    One of the biggest advantages of Linux that you never really hear about is the ease with which you can create a system that spans multiple disks, keeping frequently used (OS, libraries, swap) items on a fast drive and application data and documents on another one. It's a trivial matter of mounting the big drive at /usr (or partitioning it in half and mounting at /usr and /home, or whatever). While this is possible to do on MacOS, and I assume it's possible on Windows, it's obnoxious because those OSes are created with a single-drive-system approach in mind.

    I think what we're going to see in the future is more specialization in terms of which technologies are picked for different uses. Right now, hard drives are "good enough" for lots of types of storage -- from occasionally-accessed data that could probably be moved to offline or nearline storage, to VM temp/swap files. As people and developers start demanding more performance out of systems, this compromise solution may start to look worse and worse. The upcoming hybrid (memory+platter) drives are only the beginning. I suspect that we're going to have to rethink the one-size-fits-all approach to storage, and thus make the speed/cost trade-offs independently for each type of data we need to store.

    --
    "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    1. Re:Oh, you'd still have your porn. by DeadChobi · · Score: 1

      Yeah. I really wish I could change a lot of the defaults for data storage. It's not just Windows itself that's single-disk designed, it's all the software for windows that does it. I've got two SATA drives in my system, one for data and non-critical apps, and one for startup and things that need high throughput. It'd be nice to have a registry key for default installation root on non-system applications and it would be nice if developers actually thought to default to it.

      And no, you really can't have a Windows XP install span multiple volumes.

      --
      SRSLY.
    2. Re:Oh, you'd still have your porn. by Keyslapper · · Score: 1
      A really fast 40G drive would be great to use as the filesystem root, plus swap space; your porn and other documents could all be kept on another (large, slow) drive. I've thought a lot about doing something like this right now using SCSI disks.
      Porn? Who said anything about porn? :}

      I was talking about pr0n: http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=pr0 n. Specifically:
      (3) Used to describe material which is deserving of (or will be subjected to) the degree of intense speculation and overeager viewing normally reserved for high quality pornography.
      Which of course, is not necessarily porn, right? Right? :) I was talking about pics of great big ... tracts of land. Yeah, landscapes.

      But yeah, it does help to 'segregate' data this way. It's trivial to do at setup for any of the *nix OSes - if you're a moderately competent SysAdmin, and since MacOSX is build on FreeBSD, I assume it's the same. If you're at least moderately competent, you can even convert an existing system to such a layout, if you're very careful. Spot on about Windows though. It can be done but it's a pain - you have to be careful everytime you install something.

      I don't think the "one-size-fits-all" mentality really has much of a hold with storage. You can still buy drives from 80G and up, so it's really the end user that applies this in the form of "more is better". What I'd like to see is if this can be made faster than RAM - though it might require an architectural change in the bus, it would allow an intelligent system to block off the memory it needs when a process starts, and not worry so much about running out of RAM. If I've got a 500G drive for my gaming system, it would be easier to load images directly to the GPU without first pulling them into RAM. GPU/CPU caches might become less critical.
    3. Re:Oh, you'd still have your porn. by Neil+Hodges · · Score: 2

      Such a thing would probably confuse the customer base, since many would be scared of such a thing. For those of us who really want these things, Windows may be less-than-ideal.

      Seriously, though; almost everyone I know who doesn't care about speed nor capacity has a single disk, and would rather not be bothered about it.

    4. Re:Oh, you'd still have your porn. by Anpheus · · Score: 1

      Not entirely true. XP won't by default allow you to split up the install, but after you've got all the data backed up you can do so, perhaps not 'easily,' but it is possible. Right now C:\Programs Files (among others) is not the same partition as C:\. I do that so that I can keep the Windows folder seperate and more easily defragmented. NTFS has learned some new tricks over the years, but I will agree it's still far behind Linux filesystem support. (Unless NTFS happens to be your Linux filesystem.)

  36. Flash file systems by EmbeddedJanitor · · Score: 1
    FAT is about the worst possible flash file system. Its only redeeming feature is that it can be plugged into Windows boxes, and its level of interoperability with existing kit.

    FAT is both unreliable and slow. Most **real** FFS are log structured which gives them better performance and robustness than FAT.

    --
    Engineering is the art of compromise.
  37. About That Power Curve by Nom+du+Keyboard · · Score: 1

    If it's 500X faster at .5 power, does that mean it needs 250X the power of flash for a much shorter duration?

    --
    "It's the height of ridiculousness to say for those 9 lines you get hundreds of millions."
    1. Re:About That Power Curve by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      does that mean it needs 250X the power of flash for a much shorter duration?
      [Disclaimer: I'm intentionally ignoring the question of whether it really means to multiply 500x by 0.5. I'm only addressing the common misunderstanding I've quoted above. ]

      Instantaneous power is "almost" irrelevant; energy is what matters. A standard 1.5Volt battery could theoretically drive a circuit that delivers a thousand watts for one millisecond once every second for a couple of hours (hint: 1500 mAh * 1.5V = 2.25Wh, and 1000 watts * 0.001 second = 1 Watt-second).

      So basically what I'm saying is that 250x the power over "much shorter duration" does not really mean anything. If it's 1/250th of the duration then they're the same, but if it's 1/25th of the duration then there's something to worry about.
  38. Re:fp by javamann · · Score: 1

    Since I worked in the Disk Drive Industry I was putting together a more meaningful and 'interesting' post but then my ADD kicked on and you see what you got. FWIW Hard Drives are always going to be a couple of generations ahead of Solid State Storage. HD space is down to approx. 24 cents a GB. I don't see Solid State at that level for quite awhile. Oh, gotta go, shiny object.

  39. The end of VM? by PSkopp · · Score: 1

    Beyond the obvious potential benefits of tossing out a mechanical device from a computer (power, speed, reliability, weight)... if all of our storage is basically running at the same fast speed, would there be any need for VM anymore? Perhaps we could just fragment the memory system into parts which could be used by the operating system, vs. those for user space, with appropriate protection mechanisms placed by each process on it's allocated (but physically addressed) space. There are plenty of 'advantages' to using VM, but each layer of goo we put on top of the underlying hardware causes a performance penalty (both because of the extra layer of indirection, and the abstractions taught in school make it almost a sure thing that kids today will write really inefficient software). We'd need to keep processes which weren't supposed to write all over each other from doing so with a new form of protection... Maybe it's just that I miss poke and peek, but I think I'd be happy to ditch VM as we know it along with the spinning platter.

    1. Re:The end of VM? by ratboy666 · · Score: 1

      Nope. Not the end of "VM". Virtual Memory is almost never used in an overcomitted state. The main reason we have "VM" in this day of cheap RAM is to map memory. Which allows direct addressing in data structures. Which allows sharing. And a host of other "tricks". Basically, the translation can give you free associative memory of sorts. This is also the main drive to "64 bit" computing.

      YMMV
      Ratboy

      --
      Just another "Cubible(sic) Joe" 2 17 3061
    2. Re:The end of VM? by PSkopp · · Score: 1

      There are obvious advantages to VM, but could it be that nearly all of us have learned to program in an environment where VM was a given, and we haven't yet thought of computing models which could be better (in at least some aspects)?

      While I think there are some serious data structure issues without VM, shared memory is one of the areas that becomes *much* simpler. Provided that the OS/MMU allowed access to the block, all reads and writes would be programmed to the shared segment (modulo any required semaphores) just like any private block.

      Ignore for a moment the difficult task of rethinking data structures and user level memory management in an non VM environment (and rethinking everything we've all learned about modern day programming).

      What if the moral equivalent of the fork () and exec() system calls loaded a program into a block of physical memory chosen by the OS, and all references to other instructions throughout the code (think of every branch) were modified at the time of the "load" to replace offset addressing with the correct physical address?

      You could now have a program that could run without an MMU of the form we currently have (we'd still need some form of process protection, to control which processes could read/write where, enable and disable shared physical blocks of memory, etc), would never have a TLB miss, and would only pay the cost of address translation once for each line of code.

      Processes might just be resident in memory in their raw state (the equivalent of storage on today's filesystems), and as instantiated running processes with data and a modified set of instructions based on where the process was loaded into physical memory.

      The same could be true of variables and static arrays - which could have addresses translated to physical addresses once, and only once. Yeah - I know that static arrays are probably the kinds of things that make today's college graduates either squirm (thinking that it is as 'evil' as using a goto), or wonder "what is a static array?", but there was a time when people cared about raw performance, were a lot closer to the underlying hardware (if for no other reason then we didn't have MMUs on PCs back then), and did some truly amazing things (Zaxon on my Apply IIe used no more than 1/53rd as much memory as Microsoft's calc.exe just used to perform this calculation)... and those folks used lots of static arrays.

      I admit that I have a hard time thinking how modern day computing would work in a non VM environment, but with the original impetus for VM coming to a close at some point (main memory equal in size and speed to hard drive capacity), I think it is worth rethinking some of our fundamental assumptions about CPUs, MMUs, operating systems and programming models.

      The "free" in the post above isn't really free, and I just wonder if we can offload some of the headache of memory management from the OS/MMU into the compiler and discreet phases of process creation, getting a performance increase.

    3. Re:The end of VM? by ratboy666 · · Score: 1

      An interesting post. Thanks. Some thoughts:

      As to modifying the instructions upon load -- that entails visiting each instruction. This is actually not a "solvable" problem (equivalent to the halting problem). Which means that either (1) the load format itself needs to impose restrictions, or (2) that the instruction set architecture be modified to avoid the issue, or (3) that generic code be disallowed (self modifying, and code generation).

      The map approach allows flexibility in these areas, which is why it is the (current) preferred solution.

      As to code density -- the Apple ][ used a 6502 processor. Yes, I have worked on this; and the restrictions of the architecture are horrifying. 256 byte stack. 256 byte zero-page. Blech. Programs had to be crammed. No, the Apple ][ did not have paging -- some models had bank switching (much worse).

      In a very real sense, an "OS" as resource control component is impossible on that architecture. And code density was "forced". As were absolute manual resource control. I had a 256x256 grid accounting for every single byte while working on a typical system of the day. With megabytes of memory, I can no longer do this, and require the services of an OS to help manage the resources of the system.

      Mapping as an algorithmic tool is valid. For example, if I needed a data structure that needs rapid access by (say) 4 byte key, I can map the records sparsely into a 32 bit address space. I don't suffer from as many hash collisions. 64 bit address spaces offer even more opportunity for such mapping. These mappings are "static" in your sense, and the base addresses can be placed as fixed locations (for internal pointer consistency). mmap() allows this specification.

      Indeed, this is the underlying memory control for most modern (perhaps all) Unix style OSs. It is an outgrowth of the fixed address spaces on previous generations of hardware (implemented via the sbrk() system) mapped onto the new flexibility of the mmap() operator, and taken to the next level.

      At times the old model can still be seen -- indeed it is more efficient to use "PIC" (position independent code) generation for libraries, because the library can then be placed in different locations in different tasks by the loader while still sharing a physical copy. But this requires general cooperation between the hardware, the compiler and the loader. Given the desired generality of the hardware and OS, this is not as desirable (we have an unfortunate coupling).

      As a fortunate side effect, VM can make programs that use fixed addresses and variables share, even on instruction architectures where addresses are not PIC. This provides more flexibility for the developer. For examples, look at the original Unix source utilities (like awk).

      The programming style of avoiding such structures and using handles converted to pointers is the effect of attempting to write "VMish" software on hardware that had no VM support. The most popular such platforms were Mac and Windows 1/2/3. The problem is that this (in my opinion, horrible) style has persisted even after these platforms have been discarded.

      So, yes, I am in agreement with you. Simple, readable code. Remove the cruft that is no longer needed (handle/pointer conversions and manual scope control). But I contend that the VM is a valuable resource in this undertaking.

      YMMV
      Ratboy

      --
      Just another "Cubible(sic) Joe" 2 17 3061
  40. What? by chord.wav · · Score: 1

    No more printed-paper storage?? But if I've just heard it is the future!

  41. Phase Change = Chalcogenide = Ferroelectrics - by fedrive · · Score: 1

    Ferroelectric phase change densities of .2 to .5 Petabits = 200 to 500 Terabits sq. in. / 40 Petabits = 40,000 to 100 Petabits = 100,000 Terabits cu.cm. or 200,000 to 500,000 Gigabits sq.in. / 40,000,000 to 100,000,000 Gigabits cu.cm. with symmetrical read / write times of 160 picoseconds for 100 year non-volatile storage having infinite rewrites.

    Normally the 1.3 to 5 nanometer molecule can switch at 160 picoseconds while maintaining non-destructive readout of ferroelectric bistable properties at a 5 nanometer cell size.

    This is not the end by any means as Tohoku University says their target is 4 Petabits a sq. in or 375,000 Terabits cu. cm. using a .4 nanometer cell size.
    Ferromagnetic - Magnetic disk drive have the next highest density at 50 Terabits sq. cm., The Super Paramagnetic Limit. This density is a particle size prediction ( 10 nm ) where the real operational density is more around 1 Terabits sq. cm. as 50 nanoparticles are needed per 1 data bit cell ( ~ 500 nm ). Perpendicular orientation recording will only delay this dead end a few years at most.

    Ferroelectrics will not use complex wiring schemes that have impedance, heat, and reliability problems but instead will exceed any storage devices proposed and would enable a storage density of more than 100,000 terabits per cubic centimeter. A ferroelectric storage drive device the size of an iPod nano or 3.5 inch drive could hold enough MP3 music to play for 300,000 years without repeating a song or enough DVD quality video to play movies for 10,000 years without repetition.

  42. You will be happy to know... by Ogemaniac · · Score: 1

    that the Journal of the American Chemical Society (and subsequently all of its daughter journals) banned "novel" from titles a couple of years ago.

  43. Bad website for thinfilm tech, try this one by owlstead · · Score: 1

    This one "http://www.thinfilm.se/default.aspx" has been around much longer and has much better graphics. Actually, the contents have not changed since I first looked at it...so many years ago that I cannot even find the article from the register anymore. It's too long ago. Also, Intel used to invest in this technology. Just to give you an idea on how much vaporware this could be.

  44. Use case? by tepples · · Score: 1

    if I could eliminate that mechanical drive in favor of simple internet downloads to a phase change stick like current flash sticks but faster and cheaper, I'd be happy.

    How would this work? Would the user take the bus to the video store to load up a phase change stick with a movie? Or would the user pay the cost of several DVDs per month to set up high-speed Internet access? (DVD is 10 Mbps; low-end broadband is only 0.8 Mbps.)

    1. Re:Use case? by A+nonymous+Coward · · Score: 1

      Broadband will get faster and cheaper. It's pretty crappy in the US right now, and it will take a while for it to get faster, but it's already fast enough in, I believe, South Korea and Japan and parts of Europe that downloading is no big deal. Suppose you can download a movie in an hour. That to me is better than driving by a store on the way home only to find they are out of anything you want. If one DVD is 4.7G, that's only (/= 3600 seconds) 1+ MBps, call it 10Mbps. And better compression can reduce that considerably.

  45. A trillion microseconds < twelve days by tepples · · Score: 1

    unless they've tested it to a trillion cycles, which is just possible.

    If one cycle takes a microsecond (10^6 Hz), then a teracycle (10^12 cycles) test takes a million seconds (10^6 s), or less than twelve days.

  46. "Novel" is legalese by tepples · · Score: 1

    I'm so tired of finding the word "novel" in research publications, etc. It's an overused word which contains absolutely no new information.

    In legalese, a process or composition of matter is called "novel" iff it is not taught by the prior art. Researchers who produce both papers and patent applications likely use the word out of habit.

  47. Noise by PhotoGuy · · Score: 1

    Other than lower power, possibly smaller size, I see one of the biggest advantages here is the noise reduction. Hard drives, in my opinion, tend to be the noisiest part of any PC, and the reason why it's annoying having one in your living room as a media PC, or one in your bedroom (come on geeks, you know you all have one in your bedroom).

    Next to the hard drive, fans tend to be the other noisy component, but there are lots of existing solutions to that problem (higher quality, larger, quieter fans, other cooling methods, etc.)

    --
    Love many, trust a few, do harm to none.
  48. Terabytes of it, now. by Kim0 · · Score: 1

    It should be possible to make terabytes of it, on one chip, now, by using this stacking technique:

    http://memory.oyhus.no/

    Kim0