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Interstellar Ark

xantox writes "There are three strategies to travel 10.5 light-years from Earth to Epsilon Eridani and bring humanity into a new stellar system : 1) Wait for future discovery of Star Trek physics and go there almost instantaneously, 2) Build a relativistic rocket powered by antimatter and go there in 22 years by accelerating constantly at 1g, provided that you master stellar amounts of energy (so, nothing realistic until now), but what about 3): go there by classical means, by building a gigantic Ark of several miles in radius, propulsed by nuclear fusion and featuring artificial gravity, oceans and cities, for a travel of seven centuries — where many generations of men and women would live ? This new speculation uses some actual physics and math to figure out how far are our fantasies of space travel from their actual implementation."

115 of 703 comments (clear)

  1. Or... by brejc8 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I would just take billions of pill sized coctails of bacteria from all extreme regions of the earth and fire them off semi randomly throughout the galaxy, wait a billion years for them to evolve and contact us back.

    1. Re:Or... by Joebert · · Score: 4, Funny

      I would just take billions of pill sized coctails of bacteria from all extreme regions of the earth and fire them off semi randomly throughout the galaxy, wait a billion years for them to evolve and contact us back.

      I took some pills & shot some stuff off a few times in the last few years, I'm still praying none of them evolve & contact me.
      --
      Wanna fight ? Bend over, stick your head up your ass, and fight for air.
  2. We could... by gcnaddict · · Score: 3, Funny

    we could do that, but the odds of us being screwed over by either a gamma ray burst or some other dangerous interstellar space event would be pretty high.

    but then again, the resulting mutations might come in handy.

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    1. Re:We could... by rasputin465 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      >>we could do that, but the odds of us being screwed over by either a gamma ray burst or some other dangerous >>interstellar space event would be pretty high.

      Actually, the odds of something like that happening would in fact be pretty slim (similar to the probability of the earth getting destroyed by such an event). I think the odds of the "crew society" destroying themselves = 30 years into the mission would be much higher. Didn't Douglas Adams have something like this in one of the Hitchhiker's Guide books?

    2. Re:We could... by B'Trey · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Not sure about Douglas Adams but check out Gene Wolfe's "Book of the Long Sun" series

      --

      "The legitimate powers of government extend only to such acts as are injurious to others." Thomas Jefferson.

    3. Re:We could... by rucs_hack · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Any group of people so large together for so long would have one over-riding problem, that of humanities prediliction to segment itself by beleif or role.

      There has not yet been a succesful attempt to produce a 'perfect' society, with the first attempt being by Plato.

      What if the military ship model is used then? Well then you have centuries of one group being in charge, with either hereditary succession or selection by ability (democratic methods have never worked in the military model). Either way you end up with a perception of the controllers and controlled, partition is a natural result of the militaristic method, a caste system emerges.

      Then what about the choice of the people who are born to the ship? They may realise that they have no choice, but humans have rarely prospered and worked at their best when their destiny is completelly laid out. The potential for unrest is quite pronounced. Ghandi demonstrated clearly that even non violent protest can be highly disruptive.

      And at the end of the journey? Well you have a society which is partitioned already, and the people who were in charge are likely (human nature) to weant to stay in charge, even though the members of the expedition who were not in the ruling class (of whatever form) are now in the position of being able to say they no longer need that control, indeed of demanding it.

      War is the most likely result in that circumstance, or at the very least dissent resulting in societal disruption. That's not something a colony could survive, even if it found somewhere to stay when it arrived at the destination.

      A bit bleak I know. I think we'd be better off waiting until the participants in the journey could, in whole or majority, or in shifts, sit out the travel time in hibernation. That way they are not born to a society which has experienced centuries of partition.

    4. Re:We could... by morethanapapercert · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Also check out "Orphans of the Sky" by Robert A. Heinlein which predates "Book of the Long Sun" by thirty odd years. (Come to think of it, it predates the entire Apollo Moon project.)

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orphans_of_the_Sky/

      --
      I need a wheelchair van for my son. Help me get the word out. https://www.gofundme.com/wheelchair-van-for-jj
    5. Re:We could... by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Funny

      Hell with the possibility of the crew killing themselves.

      How about the fact that our chances of getting the entire world cooperating long enough to get the thing built is slimmer than aliens coming here and destroying our planet.

      Hell we cant get the ISS built and it's an incredibly small and cheap project compared to the equiliviant of building a death star or a babylon5 station with engines.

      the only way to do this is as follows....

      1 - achieve world peace.
      2 - eliminate starvation.
      3 - get all world governments to agree on more than 20 things and be happy about it.
      4 - get all world governments to cooperated with each other fully.
      5 - find solution to the flying pig epidemic.
      6 - solve problem of the earcths core just froze over.
      7 - build space ark.

      --
      Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
    6. Re:We could... by araphwael · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Why create a 'perfect' society? Why not go with the Australian model and send our criminals?

    7. Re:We could... by ChrisMaple · · Score: 3, Funny

      8 - Profit!

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    8. Re:We could... by SunTzuWarmaster · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With all due respect, that wasn't the point. The point was to get there and get a settlement up and runnning. For this purpose, caste systems, democracy in charge, or even a "The strongest rule because they killed the last guy" system works just fine as long as the air generators, food-makers, and other technology keep maintained.

      Jamestown wasn't founded by the brightest, most hardworking, or even tolerant people; it was founded by the bottom rung of society (Georgia was essentially a prison colony) and religious fanatics. As long as they realize that they have to eat and breathe and what to do to be able to do that, things should work out fine.

  3. Ark B? by Speare · · Score: 5, Funny

    So, let's take a passenger manifest...

    • telephone sanitizers
    • American Idol contestants
    • MPAA lawyers
    • CowboyNeal
    • ...
    • profit!
    --
    [ .sig file not found ]
    1. Re:Ark B? by goombah99 · · Score: 4, Funny
      or more likely...

      • 2 jihadists
      • 2 crusaders
      • 2 revolutionary marxists
      • 2 trilateralist capitalists
      • 2 illuminati
      • 2 merivingian roylaty
      • george jefferson
      • archie bunker

      and two guys that are each half black and half white, but on oposite sides of their faces, oh and a big cache guns. The ark arrives empty aside for kryton, an evolved cat, a hologram, a sentient computer, and the last man alive_ a vending machine repair man.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  4. 7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by tomhudson · · Score: 4, Insightful

    or a travel of seven centuries

    How many human societies have survived 7 centuries unchanged?

    Heck, just look at how much language has changed in the last century ...

    Or imagine trying to talk to someone from the 1300s ...

    Besides, how would you select the crew and avoid any more "diaper rash" candidates?

    1. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Would it really need to survive unchanged? I mean as long as it survived with a reasonable level of know how, it would probably be alright.

      The human problem is likely just as big as the technological problem, but the people that walk off the ship don't actually have to speak the same language as the people who walked onto the ship(if they read a lot they will speak a roughly similar language anyway).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      > How many human societies have survived 7 centuries unchanged?

      Chinese culture has. But why are you adding a requirement that the society on ark is impervious to change? As long as they don't get a culture of punching holes in their shielding they should be OK.

    3. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by trianglman · · Score: 3, Informative

      Actually, that is a misconception. Even 500 years ago Latin was all but a dead language. It was only used in Catholic religious ceremonies and by the elite upper class (and then as a snobbish affectation). Most people spoke older versions of the languages we know now.

      --
      Clones are people two.
    4. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by Hognoxious · · Score: 2, Insightful

      How many human societies have survived 7 centuries unchanged?
      Islam's making a fair attempt.
      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    5. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by sumdumass · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No, latin was a dead language for quite a while. This is why it was used so much. It was already a translated language and before we had a dictionary every other word could change it's meaning in a short time.

      Once the dictionary concept was created the need to rely on latin for describing things of importance dropped greatly. It was sometime in the late 1600s and at oxford university I think. The traditions in science and medicin to go back to the latin roots words still remains. This is probably because of the heavy reliance on it from the early days of the feilds and alot of modern science and medicle inovation is related to earlier concepts that used the latin style wording.

      But the reason the chuch used latin was two fold, It ment whatever the language, the same message was being sent and you could go to any church on earth and understand the sermon. Or at least any chatholic church. But the dictionary is the reason for it's decline. It basicly took what was working and made it modern.

    6. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by Frumious+Wombat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Just idly, think of what skills you won't be able to practice for all those centuries, that you'll need on the far end. Mining comes to mind, and resources will be limited, so not a lot of new metalworking is going to get done either, nor advances or even maintenance of electronics fabrication. You can extrapolate this down the line, and unless someone finds a way to freeze the crew, and then thaw them out with their contemporary knowledge intact, you're running the risk of dropping off an, at best, 18th century agrarian society with some 21st century artifacts. (not that those artifacts, whether computers or just books will be in such great shape after 700 years) Good luck getting the landing-craft down if you've only ever driven a horse and buggy.

      So, we probably aren't going to go until we can have the same crew that left be the one that arrives. Then, as others have pointed out, if we can build a habitable environment capable of traveling to E. Eridani, Tau Ceti, or any of the other nearby possibly suitable stars, we can build environments which don't travel, sit in orbit in our own solar system, and are simply lived in. By the time we're worried about our own sun going nova, necessitating our leaving for elsewhere, we'll have long since gone extinct, and been replaced a few dozen times.

      --
      the more accurate the calculations became, the more the concepts tended to vanish into thin air. R. S. Mulliken
    7. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by Mr+Chund+Man · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The use of "all but" used to annoy me. I guess the implication of "the language was all but dead" is that it has presents most\all of the features of being dead, rather than being being every single thing other than "dead". An interesting oddity in the english language, anyway.

    8. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Would it really need to survive unchanged? I mean as long as it survived with a reasonable level of know how, it would probably be alright.

      It it doesn't survive unchanged enough to still be part of our culture, why are we bothering to send it?

      We'd have to spend a whole lot of resources to send a bunch of Terrans (maybe by this time Solarians, memebers of a system-wide culture) off to colonize another star. Our motivation to bear the expense would be to spread and preserve our culture.

      But after seven generations on the Ark, why would their descendants care about that mission? By this time the vast majority of them are quite comfy living on the Ark (or else they've killed each other off). There might be a handful of people interested in a colony, but not enough to make a go of it.

      Isolated from Earth, they will have developed their own unique culture, and not care much about ours - and not care about colonization. (In fact after a few generations of isolation and genetic drift, the population might well have formed a distinct species.)

      Say you need 1,000 people minimum to make a colony, and one out of a thousand Arkians would be interested and qualified. Then you need a million Arkians, not the 50,000 asumed in TFA. Twenty times the size at the same radius (IIRC, a larger radius on a spinning object makes for structural difficulty, but my physics is rusty and I'm lazy) makes the Ark 200 km long. For comparison, Phobos is 22 km in diameter, Saturn's moon Phoebe is 220 km. We're talking about a ship getting into the range of a large asteroid or small moon. (Yes, yes, cue Obi-Wan saying "That's no moon...")

      If we did imagine a MegaArk with a population in the millions, much more likely is that it develops it own unique culture that keeps going across the stars, maybe every so often letting some malcontents off to have a go at their own version of utopian civilization-building.

      Nice to imagine, but not a simple matter of spreading our own civilization across the stars. So why would we bother with such a huge expense?

      Instead, it would be more practical to build a whole bunch of O'Neill cylinders in the Solar neighborhood, close enough to share culture and keep exchanging people. Maybe in a few billion years when the Sun runs down, all these cylinders migrate in a cloud to a nearby red dwarf.

      We will (if we manage to not wipe ourselves out in the next 100 years or so) send probes to other stars. Maybe even freeze a few people and send them out on kamikaze exploratory missions. But interstellar colonization will only happen if new physics and/or new biology (life extension) makes trips possible in a single human lifetime, so that colonies preserve our species and culture.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    9. Re:7 centuries isn't feasible for humans by RealGrouchy · · Score: 2, Funny

      Once the dictionary concept was created the need to rely on latin for describing things of importance dropped greatly. It was sometime in the late 1600s and at oxford university I think. The traditions in science and medicin to go back to the latin roots words still remains. This is probably because of the heavy reliance on it from the early days of the feilds and alot of modern science and medicle inovation is related to earlier concepts that used the latin style wording.

      Evidently, this "dictionary" concept needs further refinement.

      - RG>
      --
      Hey pal, this isn't a pleasantforest, so don't waste my time with pleasantries!
  5. Why? by brejc8 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I don't mean to be existential about this but why? We don't have a mission from God to spread and conquer. It seems a little strange how atheists are very keen to strike down the pointless values of religion, yet still believe in many aspects which have no basis.
    What's the goal here? After billions of years the human race is all over the galaxy, few billion years later and its all over the universe. And then what? We cling on for dear life as we exploit the last few sources of energy as black holes swallow up any traces of our fantastic achievements.

    1. Re:Why? by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bummer. But if, after billions of years, humanity can't figure out a way to expand past/extend the universe itself, then what would have been the point of preserving resources if it all dies anyway?

      --
      (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
    2. Re:Why? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The goal is to spread the evil tendrils of humanity throught all of space, destroying and/or subjugating everything we encounter. As it has been, so it shall always be.

      We have seen the Borg ... and he is us.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    3. Re:Why? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I don't mean to be pragmatic about this but why not? There have always been people that have said, "Why? Why go exploring? What's the point? We're all quite comfortable right here, thank you very much." Fortunately for the human race, there have always been those who pushed off into the unknown anyways. Frequently they're never heard from again, but it is surprising how often they succeed, and bring back new discoveries and ideas.

      This is no different. You don't learn much by sitting in a cave, and there's no telling what we might become, what might happen in all that time. It's worth a shot.

      And if a few billion years is all we have ... I say let's take it! That's much better than just sitting here on that cosmic bullseye known as "Earth" waiting for the next cataclysmic event to take us out for good.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    4. Re:Why? by timmarhy · · Score: 4, Informative
      isn't the answer obvious? we are in search of hot alien pussy!

      thats right i'm not giving your stupid question a seriously reply because it doesn't deserve one.

      atheism is a disbelief in god, not the disbelief in basic human nature, which is to explore and learn.

      your trying to draw conclusions on things billions of years in the future. people thought in the 1950's we would all have flying cars by now and look how close they were, so how close do you think your uneducated predictions will be?

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    5. Re:Why? by KDan · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because we're a race of dreamers and we get excited by the idea of spreading beyond the confines of our planet, our solar system, and even our galaxy?

      By your argument, why bother crawling out of the ocean? Why bother crawling out of bed for that matter? You'll be dead sometime anyway, and everything you've done in your life won't have mattered one bit.

      Daniel

      --
      Carpe Diem
    6. Re:Why? by Artifakt · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The fundamental question of Existentialism - Why didn't you already kill yourself?

      --
      Who is John Cabal?
    7. Re:Why? by bytesex · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because we can. And it's damn exciting.

      --
      Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
    8. Re:Why? by TheObruniSpeaks · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Couldn't decide whether to mod this insightful or flamebait, as it's definitely both... I guess I'll take a third way. The urge to expand comes from far more than our delusions of grandeur about ourselves. It's not some "chosen people" sort of thing--at least not now, not for most people. Eventually everything on the Earth will die, and those humans with the means and desire to avoid this fate will leave. They and their genes will survive, just like those species survived on Earth that branched out and avoided calamities that wiped out their former home environments.

      Details of the theory aside, evolution as a concept is the theory I believe in most in all of science--and I'm a physics grad student, so that's no small confession. That is because it follows from logical arguments, irrespective of the world you live in. It is not only compatible with everything we know about science, it is probably true *independent* of the laws of physics. Regardless of the value of the fine structure constant, the validity of string theory, or the response of the oceans to absorbing 10^12J of heat, one can still say, "the organism best suited to its environment will be the most likely to propagate into the future." The independence of evolution from scientific laws and parameters is a very, very powerful concept.

      Of course, there's all sorts of fun to be had determining what constitutes "best suited to its environment"--perhaps it's best suited because it can build a giant rocket and get OUT--and determining how something "propagates into the future"--does it live as long as a turtle or reproduce quickly like a bacterium? One could even see how far one could extend the definition of "organism" and still have this statement hold. I suspect quite far. In these questions is where science lives, figuring out the fascinating and sometimes very important details. But however important it may be, it will always be in some sense a "mop-up" operation for figuring out the special cases of the logical necessity that is evolution.

    9. Re:Why? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We have seen the Borg ... and he is us.
      Everything living is like that (it's practically the very definition of "life"), why would we be an exception?
    10. Re:Why? by Ambitwistor · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It will be less reconizable as the traditional sence goes but even without a god, there will be a ultimate power that dictates quite a few things for them. So far, science seems to be it. Science does not "dictate" anything, and your dichotomy between science and religion is entirely invented. Atheists don't follow "science" any more than religious people do, with the exception of the creationist wingnuts and the like who believe that science conflicts with their religion.

      I have noticed this directly when discussing things like Global warming and evolution. The debate usualy goes back to "the consensus says this" so thats how it is, never minding that the scietific process often discusses alternative ideas to come to a different concesus. Consensus on a subject doesn't prove anything, but if a collection of experts have worked on something for decades or centuries and come to some conclusion based on evidence, and have come to a consensus on the matter, that means something. It's not restricted to science, either.

      Claiming "scientists can be wrong" is not an argument. Everyone can be wrong. It is up to you to show that they are wrong, despite the evidence to the contrary.
    11. Re:Why? by sumdumass · · Score: 2

      Science does not "dictate" anything, and your dichotomy between science and religion is entirely invented. Atheists don't follow "science" any more than religious people do, with the exception of the creationist wingnuts and the like who believe that science conflicts with their religion.
      I know science doesn't dictate anything. Well it does to a degree but thats the process making it science. The problem is that other don't know this. Either your not one of the people I was talking about or you were and got highly offended when I pointed something out that you don't like. Most likley, you not one of the ones i was talking about. And some athiest do too. Don't be offended if your not one of them. Thats Why I said some and not all. BTW, are you claiming to speak for all athiest as in the group leader?

      Consensus on a subject doesn't prove anything, but if a collection of experts have worked on something for decades or centuries and come to some conclusion based on evidence, and have come to a consensus on the matter, that means something. It's not restricted to science, either.
      Yep, It means something. But that something can be wrong and the only way to discover if it is wrong is by discusing it in a context other then what the concensus thinks. Science has changed it's mind before because of this. And when they point to a study that flat out says "we're not completly sure about this" as proof, there is definatly room for talk on it. This is especialy true If your the one repeating the theory and ont able to provide anything to back it up.

      In the global warming religion, you ask one of these people about the sun and some study showing it has a major impact or why the climate models only represent the gass that has the most greenhouse impact (watervapor)as a effect and not a cause of global warming you get a "the consensus says" or "it's a proven fact" and nothing to back it up. Clearly these people don't know the answer and don't care too. They are offended that you insulted their religion. Now sometimes you will get someone who says acording to this study or look here, or they made this mistake and something to that point. They don't even have to spend hours talking about it either, It is just a nod in the right direction. But they aren't the ones who are blindly following what everyone else is saying in the same ways christians follow their church.

      Keep looking at it and I guarentee you will see so many simularities in some people that you cannot cliam otherwise. And these people will claim to be athiest if you ask. Now notice that it doesn't mean all athiest or all scienctist, We are talking about some here.

      Claiming "scientists can be wrong" is not an argument. Everyone can be wrong. It is up to you to show that they are wrong, despite the evidence to the contrary.
      You right. But claiming science could be wrong about a particular item and offering evidence to suport it however wrong it might be and getting the responce of it ust it does nothing but prove my point. I recently had a conversation with a guy over the bubble theory in evolution. First he tried to claim i was talking about astromony then flat out refused to belive that some people have a different view on evolution. Even when it has the same outcome by different means.
  6. I think you forgot: by amrust · · Score: 3, Funny

    * Decode and activate appropriate chevrons on that Stargate-thingy.

    --
    VOTE!
  7. Step one.. by AsnFkr · · Score: 4, Insightful

    .....might be to determine if Epsilon Eridani has any terrestrial planets to live upon. Boy would our ancestors 700 years from now be upset if they got there only to find no place to land.

    1. Re:Step one.. by ScrewMaster · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Well, that would mean sending a robot probe first, I would think. With no living crew it could theoretically be able to travel even faster, shaving some time off that 700 years, and then you wait 10.5 years for the answer to come back at the speed of light. Still we're talking centuries to find out, if nothing happens to the machine on the way out and if no alien race that's already there vaporizes it before it can report back.

      Better would be to give the ship a list of target stars likely to have planets, and give it enough reserves to hit every star on the list if necessary. That would take a few thousand years of real-time, but I don't suppose it matters. Nobody that was around when it was launched would live to hear about the first planetfall anyway.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  8. Too many problems by tidewaterblues · · Score: 4, Insightful

    How would you ever get that many people to cooperate that consistently over that long of a time period? How would you prevent the intermediate generations from feeling like they are meaningless just because they only exist to father the generations that will be able to accomplish something? The rate of clinical depression caused by that would be probably staggering. How do you prevent the development of new religions or philosophies or conspiracy theories that would hinder the progress of the voyage, or perhaps express doubts its goals? Not to mention the more mundane problems like new bacteria and viruses mutating on the tiny ecosystem and wiping out all of its occupants, and liberationists starting political revolutions (ala: we didn't choose this voyage, why should we finish it?), and psychopathic serial killers, and the question of how such a tiny economy would maintain itself (do we go communist or capitalist on this voyage)?

    --


    ...En að Besta Sem Guð Hefur Skapað Er Nýr Dagur
    1. Re:Too many problems by robably · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The human race is already on an Interstellar Ark. We already face these questions, but we muddle by.

      My choice would be to send lots of Generation Ships out from Earth - we have all our eggs in one basket, and it doesn't make sense to only make one more basket.

  9. Yeah, but... by kerrbear · · Score: 5, Funny

    They will all be really bummed out when during their journey of centuries, somebody invents #1 and gets there ahead of them.

  10. Sounds Familiar... by martyb · · Score: 5, Informative

    For an interesting read on what such a ship might be like, take a look at: Rendevous with Rama by Arthur C. Clarke. I read it not long after it came out and thoroughly enjoyed it. Highly acclaimed, too:

    • Nebula Award for Best Novel in 1973
    • Hugo Award for Best Novel in 1974
    • Jupiter Award for Best Novel in 1974
    1. Re:Sounds Familiar... by IorDMUX · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And once you've read it, stay away from the sequels!

      Gentry Lee hopped on and wrote the majority of the next three books in the series, turning Arthur C. Clarke's timeless novel of discovery into a trilogy of bickering, narcisistic characters and bungling political pundits.

      Heh... Sorry, I guess I'm still bitter about that one.

      --
      >> Standing on head makes smile of frown, but rest of face also upside down.
  11. Are we doing option 3 now? by rohar · · Score: 4, Funny
    When I skimmed over the article, 2 things popped into my head.

    1. The relativity principle that gravitational and inertial mass are equal when they don't have to be makes me think that possibly there is no such thing as gravity and we are just accellerating in a 4th dimension at 1G and when this is presented to us in 3 dimensions the effect appears as gravity.
    2. Corn meal waffles would taste good on a Sunday morning.
    1. Re:Are we doing option 3 now? by rohar · · Score: 2, Funny
      My Waffle Recipe:

      1 cup cornmeal
      1/2 cup water 6 eggs
      2.5 cups flour 2 tsp white sugar
      2 tsp baking powder
      1 tsp salt
      1/4 cup cooking oil
      3/4 cup milk

      Put the cup of cornmeal in a 2 cup bowl or measuring cup and enough water to make 2 cups total and let soak.
      Mix flour, baking powder, salt, sugar in large bowl and set aside.
      Separate eggs. Beat whites in a large bowl until stiff and fluffy (but not dry) and set aside.
      Beat yolks and oil until smooth and beat in milk. (I use a one of those Tupperware shaker things and shake the yolks, oil and milk together).

      Add yolk mixture and cornmeal to flour and stir. I add milk or flour as needed to this to get a pourable batter consistency (about the same a pancake batter). Fold this into the egg whites and stir as little as possible to get an even mixture without losing all the bubbles.

  12. maybe I misunderstood but... by JustNiz · · Score: 3, Interesting

    it seems like it would actually be 1400 years as he's presumed constant 1G acceleration towards the destination for the whole trip. Once you got there you'd need to go into a decreasing orbit and slow down for about 700 years (assuming 1G) too!

    1. Re:maybe I misunderstood but... by flyingfsck · · Score: 2, Funny

      Hmmm, after 1400 years - impact at 0.99999 C, due to a minor imperial to metric conversion error...

      --
      Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
    2. Re:maybe I misunderstood but... by tomhudson · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Didn't read the article, hmmm ...?

      After the acceleration phase, there is a period of coasting flight at constant velocity, then deceleration to arrive at destination at zero velocity. This implies more fuel since we need to accelerate in the first phase a mass of fuel which will only be consumed during braking, which translates into the squaring of the exponential:
  13. Canned ape by arevos · · Score: 5, Interesting

    It seems to me that there is a 4th solution, assuming that it is possible to build a computer powerful enough to simulate a human mind, and that it is possible to upload a human consciousness into such a structure. Sending a machine across interstellar distances is likely going to be significantly more practical than trying to transport billions of tonnes of habitat. You don't have to worry about setting up complex biospheres; all you need is a computer significantly robust to survive in interstellar space, and we have more experience in this field than in self-supporting biospheres.

    Likewise, it doesn't seem like it'll be too many decades before we have the technology construct a computer powerful enough to simulate (to a reasonable degree of accuracy) the trillions of parallel interactions that occur every second in our brains. Figuring out a way of mapping neurons to 1s and 0s is likely to be a far more difficult problem, but it seems to me that this would be a relatively simple problem compared to creating some manner of ark-ship. Research into this is likely to be relatively inexpensive by comparison as well, as we could start by mapping brain structures of simpler animals (such as Lobsters), and then work our way up.

    I suspect that when humanity does visit the stars, it'll be as lumps of silicon (or some more exotic material) strapped onto a dirty great big rocket. Ships that lug their own biosphere around with them are just too costly and complex by comparison.

    1. Re:Canned ape by CRCulver · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Figuring out a way of mapping neurons to 1s and 0s is likely to be a far more difficult problem, but it seems to me that this would be a relatively simple problem compared to creating some manner of ark-ship. Research into this is likely to be relatively inexpensive by comparison as well, as we could start by mapping brain structures of simpler animals (such as Lobsters), and then work our way up.

      Kurzweil has been proclaiming the rise of machine intelligence now for some years, but his chronology is starting to look extremely optimistic. When it's a triumph to even explain how cockroaches walk, it's evident that describing the full range of human consciousness is a long way off.

    2. Re:Canned ape by maxume · · Score: 2, Interesting

      He probably is overly optimistic, but he is also only wrong until he is right, and he has 20 years based on 'The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology' before he is really wrong.

      His projections hinge on accelerating progress; one of his key points is that progress isn't as evident as we think. The relative success of economic activity that is 'exposed' to technology(industry that can and does adopt technology quickly rapidly out paces other industry), speaks to this.

      Look at computing technology; things are moving so fast that my current metric for buying anything is 'do I really need it right now' because it will be bigger, faster and cheaper in 3 months, 6 months and so on. That's probably a good metric at any time, but for a while, it was worth thinking about whether to get the 40GB disk or the 60GB disk, and it really isn't anymore, the one that fulfills the immediate need for less money is the one to pick. Another example is flash based mp3 players; it isn't real worth spending much more than $100, if you have $200, buy a $100 player and then buy a $100 player again in a little more than 12 months, the second player will be way better than any $200 player that was on the market when you made your first purchase, and so on.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Canned ape by drgonzo59 · · Score: 3, Insightful
      His projections hinge on accelerating progress

      Based on the same predictions made by him, someone during the agricultural revolution would have said. "Wow, we can have all these crops and have extra too! In the next 100 years, we'll be flying like birds". The assumption, if you didn't catch it, is that progress is accelerating all the time, with a constant acceleration. What might in fact happen, is that there are just surges of progress (this is why they are called revolutions) but then progress plateaus.

      At first, it was the agricultural revolution, before it was fairly quiet, afterwards, it was just improvement in farming.

      Then came the industrial revolution, it was like farming applied to tools and machines. That has created another surge.

      Then came the development of the computer, the information all of the sudden became more important than 'stuff'. That is very revolutionary and we don't realize it, perhaps, because we are 'living in it'. But looking at it from outside it is a completely mind blowing thing.

      So now we are living probably at the end of another one of those progress surges. It is understandable if we make the mistake and assume that the rate of acceleration will stay just as rapid as it has been in the last 50 years.

      But we are already hitting limits. Murphy's law is plateauing in the last couple of years. Otherwise you would not be seeing such a push to have multiple core. Intel and AMD would much rather have a 10GHz Pentium or Opteron, but it is not happening soon enough. The same is true with biology and other fields, we are hitting these invisible walls. That probably explains why String Theory became popular, despite a compeling lack of evidence. There are just certain limits that we don't have any idea how to overcome. So we might plateau for another century or two, improving what we have, mixing and matching, but without necessarily keep making giganting breakthroughs like some authors would like us to believe.

  14. Re:Rendezvous with Rama by CRCulver · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well, Rendezvous with Rama itself didn't explore the idea of human beings en route across the galaxy, since Rama was then just a mysterious alien object that dipped into our solar system, got explored a bit, and then departed. It was only those atrocious sequels penned by Gentry Lee that had humans staying on it and riding it out to far away places. Apparently the only thing Lee found worth exploring in the concept was puerile sex scenes and soap-opera intrigues, and lots of 'em.

    I'd recommend instead Gene Wolfe's Book of the Long Sun which, even if the technology is a bit out there, is a much more likely scenario from a sociological point of view. If you're looking at a journey of hundreds of years in a ship big enough to seem like an expansive world and not just cramped quarters, there's going to be people dividing into factions based on disagreements, there will probably arise a class difference between those who do the steering and those who are just "cargo", and there will be people at the end of the voyage who will not want to disembark from home onto a potentially unpleasant colony world.

  15. Have cake and eat it. by dcray2000 · · Score: 2, Insightful


    Why not all three?

    Start out with the generational ship. Resupply them with constant acceleration anti-matter probes.

    Then we'll pick everyone up in a few hundred years and carry them the rest of the way with warp drive.

  16. Lots of smaller arks by m0nstr42 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Instead of building one large ark and setting up for one large catastrophic failure, build lots of smaller arks that can fly in formation. If one runs into an asteroid or breaks down, the rest will be OK. It may even be possible to allow for transportation between the different arks.

  17. O'neill by Indio_do_Xingu · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you have the tech and money to build something like an O'Neill structure, you don't need to leave the solar system for thousands of years...

    1. Re:O'neill by ScrewMaster · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Or a Dyson sphere or a Ringworld. Then you don't need to leave the solar system until the Sun runs out ... unless aliens attack it, the Sun becomes unstable, a meteor pokes a hole in it and lets all the air out, or something else bad happens. Either way, from a survival perspective it's probably best to become a starfaring race in a big way. I mean, how possible would it be to ever really wipe out a civilization that's had interstellar travel for a couple thousand years.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  18. Humans can handle more than 1 G by Gorgonzola · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The article states "The only theoretical limit is the acceleration, which should be kept within physiologically acceptable limits for a human, that is to 1 g or 9,81 m/s", which is not quite true. Jet fighter pilots have to take up to nine G during dog-fights (more than nine G leads to black outs), which is one of the reasons why on the long run the jet fighter pilot will become obsolete, since UAV's can handle more. The nine G figure is unrealistically high, but there are no reasons to assume you can't have a realitivistic rocket that starts out with six G for a short while and then drops its acceleration off to about two G. Combine this with some form of suspended animation, which we can already do for mice and all of a sudden the relativistic rocket becomes less far out.

    --
    -- Spelling and grammar errors tend to be a sign of erroneous thinking.
    1. Re:Humans can handle more than 1 G by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The nine G figure is unrealistically high

      Yes, because jet fighter pilots only have to endure it for a few seconds and even then require special suits to prevent them from passing out.

      but there are no reasons to assume you can't have a realitivistic rocket that starts out with six G for a short while

      That's still too much for humans to endure for months or even weeks.

      and then drops its acceleration off to about two G.

      That would be more realistic over a longer period of time though there may be a lot of medical repercussions.

      Combine this with some form of suspended animation, which we can already do for mice

      This helps a bit but extremely high forces still cause damage, even when people are suspended. On the other hand it solves other problems (travel time is less important, no problem with food, biosphere etc.)

      and all of a sudden the relativistic rocket becomes less far out.

      What's far out about a relativistic rocket are primarily two things: 1. Massive amounts of fuel are required, we don't even come close to solving that problem yet. 2. Radiation shielding needed to ward off gamma rays resulting from background radiation subject to the relativistic doppler effect and impact of cosmic particle when traveling at relativistic speeds when the ship is in mid-trip (at top speed).

  19. Re:I think we have to face option 4 ... by cloricus · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Not really sure why you posted as AC as you have a good point. Though as some one who's been rather interested in history (Greek through to now) I've noticed a very strong trend in over coming goals. Lets assume that since boats were 'invented', lets say x years ago where x is when the native Australians might have done it - 30,000 years - or the more common understood starting point - 15,000-8,000 years - as our time frame, we will call that the start of non-normal travel (normal being by foot) - I would like to avoid over land travel as I doubt we can even guess when the first person rode a horse.
     
    Anyway under that assumption lets really view the time frame. The last 30000 years have been boring on the sea if you were in a boat with only limited jumps forward until 4000 years ago when the jumps really started to pile on top of each other and suddenly boats really started moving forward. Overland travel saw this event over the last 300 years from horse back to maglev trains. Powered planes didn't even exist at the start of last century and within a century of existing they have already reached scramjet abilities (some thing books I've read from the sixties joked about as never happening in their life time or even ever). Which leaves us with space flight...From the Germans flinging rocks around in WW2 to landing rovers on Mars and exploring it in well under a century. The advances have been insane so really as long as there are advantages to the general population and adventures like this don't detract from needing issues I believe the question becomes why not?
     
    As for the time scape between now and when black holes wipe out everything it isn't worth thinking about. Many generations will have hopefully had a bit more fun while living as a result of exploring everything...Heck there may even be life out there that gives the question to the great answer.

    --
    I ate your fish.
  20. Easier way to colonize the universe by Aging_Newbie · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Travel over a period of 700 years with 1000 or so people introduces a massive risk in that we have no way to assure that the culture of such a small population in isolation could survive. If they did survive, how much has society changed in the past 700 years? With only one ship, all our eggs are in one basket, so to speak. Instead, it makes more sense to send small ships laden with thousands of freeze-dried gametes, thaw them out, and nurture the embryos to maturity.

    The ship would leave with the sperm and eggs of many carefully selected individuals suitably freeze dried. The small ship would require much less energy and the cold of interstellar space would keep the embryos nicely preserved. Upon locating a suitable planet, the onboard intelligence would thaw and combine the gametes and voila - people. Managed by the computer and residing on the planet, the population would grow and by adolesence start to multiply. The accumulated knowlege of humanity would accompany them and they would use it as a means to get themselves started.

    In fact, since the cargo is light, a mother ship could release one of 100 individual 1000 embryo capsules while passing apparently suitable worlds and continue on to others. That way, the survival of at least a few groups would be more likely.

    Of course, the people already on the planet might not like the goings-on but that would be a problem in any case. The humans might populate their zoos, become slaves, become worshiped, or maybe we don't drop people on planets with really intelligent life. Humans seem to like to be at the top of their local pyramid. It is up to our sci-fi writers to explore and filter the possibilities and guide the implementaiton.

    If each colony carries the information to construct and launch a ship, the universe would be ours rather quickly, even if only 10% of each generation of colonies survived.

    One other advantage to this plan. The people would know whence they came, how they got there, and what their destiny was. Mystics and Philosophers would not be required in that gene pool. Of course, they might wonder where WE came from, but that is another problem.

    1. Re:Easier way to colonize the universe by JazzCrazed · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think we'll all have to grow accustomed to the likelihood that generations of our descendants growing up on other planets will evolve, physically and socially, in a way significantly divergent from what we term "human" based on our Earth experience. Even if they lived on Mars or the Moon or other moons/planets here within our solar system, the physical environment would skew them away from the way we developed here, probably in a significant way -- and that's likely to their advantage, and would serve testament to our adaptability over the course of some generations.

      I mean, look at the cultural differences we have between continents, much less in between different planets and star systems.

    2. Re:Easier way to colonize the universe by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Sure, if you get it to work. But how about a compromise then: a dozen frozen people and a million zygotes, along with many fancy reusable artificial wombs. The initial part of the colonization might not need many people, as it would mainly involve directing robots in making the first on-surface habitat. At this time, all the humans would almost certainly be in orbit, in a pretty crowded ship. If they wanted to set up a human-supporting ecosystem, they'd also have to bring along lots of terrestrial bacteria, flora and fauna (the latter would also gestate in artifical wombs, I presume).

  21. Only possible route for interstellar travel by Neon+Aardvark · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Humans are incredibly fragile (both physically and psychologically), live short lives, and space is immense and utterly hostile.

    Years ago I worked through a lot of numbers for fusion ramjets, antimatter, laser-powered sails et al.

    The only interstellar travel I can see us ever doing is as frozen embryos.

    Generation ships would be bloated tombs. There would be a serious shortage of funding and volunteers. People won't consign themselves to die without reaching a destination, after years spent inhaling each other's BO.

    Self-reproducing intelligent robots, OTOH, could crawl along between the stars at 1% c happily. 1,000 years of travel is nothing to something that can turn itself off and then back on.We could travel with them, in the aformentioned frozen embryo form, to be gestated in artifical wombs on arrival.

    Interstellar ships will never be built by humans. No return on investment and no glory in a lifetime = no deal. Self-reproducing robots are the way to go.

    --
    Azural - instrumentals
  22. Re:Number 3 bears resemblence to Star Trek, as wel by _hAZE_ · · Score: 3, Informative

    .. and now I'll reply to my own post with more information.

    Per this nice page:

    The idea of a multi-generational ship or "interstellar ark" is an old one that was proposed in an unpublished paper by Robert Goddard in 1918. Goddard's fellow rocket pioneers Konstantin Tsiolkovsky and J. D. Bernal also considered the idea in the 1920s. Olaf Stapledon and Don Wilcox wrote stories about the idea in the 1940s, and Robert Heinlein originated the notion that inhabitants might forget they were on a ship in his book Orphans of the Sky. Nevertheless, considering the energy, ecology, and life support needs such a ship would require, the interstellar ark is a highly unlikely prospect.

    --

    Don Head
    UNIX/Linux Administrator
  23. Venus looks really good from a distance by Tisha_AH · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Without some means of sending a probe will in advance of our colonization efforts we could find a system full of gas giants like Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune, dessicated balls of rock like Mars, acidic pressure cookers like Venus or sterilized, blasted hot rocks like Mercury. Moving any body at near-relativistic velocities means that it won't turn worth a damn. Once you have completed most of your acceleration on the way to the target system you are pretty much committed to that destination. If it ends up being without planets friendly to our form of biological life you may end up with a space based colony, eking out it's existence among the asteroids or small moons of that system. This is not a viable, long term colony unless we have a mastery of living in space and in low gravity environments. Before we send colonists on what is essentially a one way trip, we should try to establish a few long term, self supporting colonies in our asteroid belt. This would be an ideal place to perfect the colonization efforts that may greet our colonists in another system.

    --
    Tisha Hayes
  24. Sending antiques is stupid... by bradbury · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The argument only makes sense when coupled with a strong argument that near future technologies will not develop much better solutions. First and foremost why would you want to send "humans" when you could send nearly human capable robots (one might notice those Mars rovers keep going and going and going...) and greater than human level intelligence with next to zero energy requirements during the trip and much greater than human intelligence capabilities once the destination is reached? For example, a 1 cm^3 nanocomputer with the computational capacity of 100,000 human brains could use next to zero power during the trip and 100,000 W upon reaching the destination once solar arrays were unfurled and/or manufactured from materials harvested at the destination [1].

    Instead of building this huge arc and going there using fusion power (fusion reactors are not small or lightweight), you would build a large space based mass driver (nanotechnology cares significantly less about high-g accelerations than human bodies) and launch a carrier at 0.1c or 0.5c (increasing v if you are willing to expend the energy, decreasing v depending upon the mass required for shields to defend against damage caused by encountering interstellar dust at high velocities). The carrier contains either its own mass driver or moderately large chemical rockets that launch the probe in the opposite direction at -0.9999... * v of the carrier entering the system so as to result in the probe having a net velocity that will result in its capture by the gravity of the destination system. The first probe can then go about constructing an reverse mass driver so future probes can be decelerated using power from the destination system (allowing most of the subsequent mass transfered to be "information content" rather than power systems or velocity control systems [2]).

    If most of humanity hasn't undergone mind uploading several hundred years from now I'd be very surprised. So those early pioneers who decided on the "ark" approach are going to very surprised as they approach the destination system and discover that it has been converted into a Matrioshka Brain [3] and there is nothing left to explore or colonize [4,5].

    No matter *how* pessimistic you are about molecular nanotechology developing in the next two decades -- you have to make a *very* strong argument that it will not be developed over the next fifty years [6]. So any future planning scenarios involving 100+ year time frames should be left as virtual reality exercises.

    1. This is the "classical" rod-logic nanocomputer described by Drexler in Nanosystems .
    2. There are strong arguments that the most efficient way to transfer large quantities of information (e.g. Library of Congress equivalents, human mind equivalents, Google database equivalants, etc.) between stars is by mass transfer and *not* by electromagnetic radiation (particularly if reverse mass drivers captures and recycles most of the energy used to send the information from the originating system).
    3. Wikipedia: Matrioshka Brain
    4. "Welcome to our system ancient humans. We are happy to utilize 10^-26 of our intellectual capacity to interact with you..."
    5. Of course as the humans watch their destination star(s) during the trip they will notice them going dark. So there may be hasty meetings organized to alter course to a virgin star system. Of course altering course at high velocity doesn't come cheap. As Matrioshka Brain conversions are likely to occur on a "most useful system first" perspective, ancient humans had better select systems that the Matrioshka Brains are going to deem "dregs of the galaxy".
    6. Those who want to make that argument should read Ray Kurzweil's The Singularity is Near first.
  25. Some Serious Flaws Here... by Bones3D_mac · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In order for us to actually do something like this, we'd have to get past all the dogma involved in the creation and taking of human lives. Since you are dealing with severely limited resources within a highly confined area, we would need to regularly sheer our numbers down, "Logan's Run" style. Anyone on this ark would have to agree to be put to death once they've become unable to contribute into the community by as much as they take away from it. This means all severely disabled, physically/mentally handicapped, or just plain lazy people would have to be destroyed and recycled back into the community ecosystem, regardless of their age or status among the community itself. It would be the ultimate in "zero-tolerance" policy, with sentencing issued and carried out with extreme prejudice. It would require death squads equal to the Nazis during WWII... only done out of necessity, rather than hatred. (Every second a useless individual mooches off the community, the less resources the contributing members of the community have to survive on.)

    The concept of family would be a thing of the past, replaced with child farming. There would be no relationships between anyone outside of basic affection. Sex itself would be discouraged or considered a capital offense, as the act itself would waste precious resources. Instead all children would be a product of test-tube fertilization. Every member of the community would be required to submit their egg/sperm cells every few weeks to be catalogued in order to keep the gene pool as diverse as possible. After fertilization, the embryo is placed into one of several hundred women tagged as surrogate mother stock, who's sole purpose in the community is to be impregnated, gestate and give birth, not unlike a queen insect laying thousands of eggs... while the real mothers of these children are left to continue work in whatever section of the community they serve in.

    These child farms then serve as large scale permanant daycare centers until the children are old enough to contribute back into the community. No child would ever know their real parents or genetic siblings to prevent familial conflicts from disrupting community contribution. Names would be assigned only as a novelty, like one does with their pets, to get around the trouble of memorizing dozens of similar sounding identification numbers.

    In a lot of ways, the life style of an interstellar ark would be best visualized by watching ant or bee colonies. No one is "special"... you're simply there to plug up a particular hole in the wall where someone else inevitably failed at the task.

    --


    8==8 Bones 8==8
    1. Re:Some Serious Flaws Here... by helphand · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In a lot of ways, the life style of an interstellar ark would be best visualized by watching ant or bee colonies. No one is "special"... you're simply there to plug up a particular hole in the wall where someone else inevitably failed at the task.

      What you suggest makes the entire ark thing pointless, whatever it is that arrives at the destination really wouldn't be 'human' anymore.

      Scott

      --
      If they can make penicillin out of moldy bread, they can sure make something out of you. -- Muhammad Ali
  26. The most likely scenario by passthecrackpipe · · Score: 5, Funny

    If we do send an ark, and it arrives an odd 70 years later, the crew will be thoroughly pissed off. Because in the meantime, here on earth we would have invented Star Trek Physics (tm) and can get there in half an hour. So they would arrive at a fully colonised Holiday Inn Resort Planet.

    --
    People who think they know everything are a great annoyance to those of us who do.
    1. Re:The most likely scenario by BRUTICUS · · Score: 2, Funny

      Haha.. actually they would probably be pretty excited and glad to meet up with their ancestors. But it would have been nice if they at least picked them up on the way.

    2. Re:The most likely scenario by JWSmythe · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Actually, you're on the right track for what we really need to be doing.

      Look at any technological advances. The first generation (1st model) is rough and inefficient. Each subsequent model gets better and faster.

      We'll take your 70 year example


      1938 Ford 2 door standard
      versus
      2007 Ford Mustang GT

      Both have 4 tires, 4 seats, and 2 doors.

      The '07 Mustang will get you there and back a lot faster and more comfortably.

      How about.

      1951 - Univac 1

      vs ... well, we all read Slashdot. Multicore, multighz, multiprocessor. Anything we may be reading Slashdot with, including our cell phones, will be faster than anything even 58 years ago.

      How about something related to the topic. Aircraft.

      The Hughes H-1 7 hours, 28 minutes, at 332 mph. Oohh.

      versus

      Well, book a ticket on the airline of your choice. You'll be exceeding 500mph, at over 40,000 feet.

      The running theme here is that they were all built. They weren't the final finished product. They were earlier attempts, which were built on in the future.

      If we sit back and theorize about "the Ark", then it'll never get built. If we build the first one, regardless if it will take 70 or 150 years to reach it's destination, at least it was built.

      In 10 years, improvements or a better craft can be sent to take them farther on their journey.

      In 30 years, an even better one can be sent.

      In 60 years, commuter service will already be established to their final destination, with round trips in 10 days.

      On the 70th year, that 10 day trip will take 1 day (mostly waiting in line, and filling out paperwork, I'm sure). At the destination, they can celebrate the arrival of the original craft, as it would signify what 70 years of advancements have brought.

      We are really slacking at our advancements. We, as a society, are more interested in personal wealth and taking it from others, than advancement of humanity. No? really? But you have your job, so you can get a better car, a nicer house, a hotter chick, better vacations, better benefits, and of course, you're looking for the better job because your job just isn't enough. You'll accept the fact that your country is at war with someone else over their natural resources, because you aren't getting shot at every day. Blah, blah, blah......

      We're never going to get off this rock, because humanity will NEVER get it's act together. Even if we play nice (ISS), we'll make it so expensive, and keep it tied up in red tape so long, that it will be an impractical exercise in futility. We will live here, and we will die here. In who knows how many years, another race will evolve and find our ruins, and just wonder who we were.

      In the last 30-some years, the only better spacecraft have been kept under wraps by "national security", or cut because of costs (or so we're told). (see Blackstar). But hey, they did finally put color displays in the space shuttle. :)

      We have much better things to spend our money on, dammit. The war in Iraq has cost over $400,000,000,000 (yes, I got the zero's right). The entire cost of the shuttle program (STS) has been $145 billion, but don't forget that cost includes several huge complexes, staff (besides the astronauts), a couple Boeing 747's specially rigged to carry the shuttle around, a BIG tractor to drag it around KSC, etc, etc, etc.. You get the idea. Lots of overhead. Even still, we could have done the space program 4 times over, each generation being better than the last, for what the Iraq war has cost

      --
      Serious? Seriousness is well above my pay grade.
    3. Re:The most likely scenario by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The logical "crew" of an ark like this would be a dewar flask filled with frozen human embros. They can travel for centuries with no bordom or aging, would weigh almost nothing, and need no food or water for the trip.
      The ship would keep travelling until a suitable planet is found, then thaw a few thousand as a test group. If they are happy in their new home, they could thaw the rest, or send them on to the next place.

      Of course, this would involve a highly automated ship, with AI-based nannies and teaching robots to raise the thawed kids. I think this should be achievable within a thousand years from now.

      Of course, this raises the Fermi paradox: if we can do it, other more ancient civilizations in the galaxy could also. So where are they?

    4. Re:The most likely scenario by tomhudson · · Score: 3, Interesting

      " The logical "crew" of an ark like this would be a dewar flask filled with frozen human embros. They can travel for centuries with no bordom or aging, would weigh almost nothing, and need no food or water for the trip.

      The ship would keep travelling until a suitable planet is found, then thaw a few thousand as a test group. If they are happy in their new home, they could thaw the rest, or send them on to the next place.

      Of course, this would involve a highly automated ship, with AI-based nannies and teaching robots to raise the thawed kids. I think this should be achievable within a thousand years from now.

      Of course, this raises the Fermi paradox: if we can do it, other more ancient civilizations in the galaxy could also. So where are they?"

      Gee ... never heard of Adam and Eve? At least the alien seed ship explanation is a lot more plausible than "God did it!"

      You don't even have to send embryos - just dna.

    5. Re:The most likely scenario by X-treme-LLama · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Well I may have an answer to your question:

      The odds of life forming on earth in the short time period that it did (400-600 million years or so) are astronomically small. Infinitesimally. (Not that I'm a creationist..)

      Perhaps instead of embryos they used something even simpler... Which would explain some things about how life formed on earth.

      Heck one could even surmise that because they couldn't "teach" life that simple, it was selected because it could eventually evolve to become like them; however that could easily *not* be us. For an even bigger stretch, what if it is "us", and part of the 'code' was an inherent desire to return to space. Seeking out our progenitor's.... (Or to do as you suggest and repeat the process..)

      Some food for thought anyway..

    6. Re:The most likely scenario by k31bang · · Score: 3, Informative

      You don't even have to send embryos - just dna.


      I'm sure most of Slashdot can help with half of this.
      --
      -+-=-+-=-+-=-+-=-+-=-+ *** http://www.mountainfort.com *** +-=-+-=-+-=-+-=-+-=-+-
    7. Re:The most likely scenario by Jerf · · Score: 3, Interesting

      As long as you're extrapolating technology, go all the way. There's no reason that uploaded human-level entities (or beyond) are running on a nano-machine-based self-replicating substrate. Remember, our human bodies are nothing more and nothing less than a machine for running a human-level intelligence on a self-replicating substrate, so it's only a question of how much better we can make such things, not whether we can make such things.

      The idea of sending out huge spaceships populated with actual, factual meat-bodies is as out-of-date as expecting to meet Venusian swamp dwellers. The whole space travel situation improves when you're sending a ten-or-twenty kilogram seed package containing a few million beings and enough self-replicating machinery and knowledge to turn the entire system into a Matrioshka Brain within a thousand years, possibly much faster.

      The only thing physically implausible about this scenario is the Fermi Paradox (that is, if intelligence is anything less than almost impossible, why hasn't our system already been eaten by an intelligence?). Otherwise, the only real question is how quickly this could be done to a solar system, and how thoroughly, not whether it could be done.

    8. Re:The most likely scenario by dbIII · · Score: 4, Interesting
      1967 - Saturn IV

      2007 - still nothing better than Saturn IV to get people to escape velocity.

      Give it only a few years and a Russian heavy launcher will be available, but for now there's nothing else that has been shown it can do it. At the current point US manned efforts are rhetoric meant as a distraction - you can't have a major effort like this with less resources than unmanned exporation.

    9. Re:The most likely scenario by shawb · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The formation of life isn't as unlikely as it may seem. If you put all the necessary chemicals for life together in a soup pot and let it sit for a day then, yes, it is extremely unlikely that a living organism will form. But if you have an entire ocean's worth of the chemical broth, with various energy sources (solar, lightning strike, geological) to drive some of the necessary exothermic reactions then the likelihood approaches 1 that some self replicating aggregation of chemicals will eventually arise. Once a chemical replicator is formed, evolutionary forces come into play producing the wide array of life that the earth sees and has seen.

      If the formation of life is so likely, then the question arises of why we haven't seen definite evidence of extraterrestrial intelligence. That's because the vast expanses of space make it very unlikely that separate alien cultures, or even instances of biogenesis will meet.
      1)It is possible (even likely) that a body (such as a planet) with conditions that allow for the formation of life are very rare, and thus locations like The Earth is a very rare commodity.
      2)If there are other planets (or other bodies) capable of biogenesis, it is possible, even likely that they are simply scattered so far that any civilization expansion would not reach us. It is likely that intelligent civilizations have arisen which we will never be able to learn of because they are past the light speed horizon, that is they are so far away that the time it would take for light to travel from us to them is longer than the entire existence of the universe.
      3)The horizon is drawn even tighter when looking for evidence of an industrialized society. We must be looking at a patch of sky where the society exists, and be looking at a time when the society existed there and is transmitting a signal strong enough for our equipment to receive and appropriately identify.
      4)The same exists for E.T.s looking for us, and they would then need to be able to send a reply at a time that we are listening, and hope that we are looking for a message from the patch of sky they send the message from. If it is not feasible to open up a space/time wormhole big enough, stable enough, and directed enough to send a living organism through, then any manned delegation to our planet would be constrained by the speeds of classical (or mildly relativistic) speeds. The energy required to accelerate a craft large enough to support complex lifeforms to true relativistic speeds is likely incomprehensible in terms of our entire industrial energy output. And even if the E.T.s were traveling at relativistic speeds, the timeframe of travel from our perspective would be stretched to the point where our society will have likely crumbled by the time the E.T. delegation arrived at Earth.
      5)The requirement also exists that the message/probe/delegation or whatever arrives intact and on target. It is foreseeable if not extremely likely that the journey of something sent from an E.T. civilization will be interrupted by some cosmological phenomenon, whether collision with asteroid, damaged by the gamma burst of a dying star, or a manned delegation finding a more interesting place to explore. This greatly increases the chance that different alien civilizations will not meet us.
      6)There is also a necessity that the alien civilizations would want to meet us. If their technology is good enough to provide for interstellar travel, it is likely their technology is good enough to provide evasion of our senses and sensors. It is possible that they indeed have come and observed us, or even interacted with us in a way that they covered their tracks for the most part. Although it is more likely that a civilization from outside of our solar system would simply not find us interesting enough to spend the vast resources needed to send anything more than an electromagnetic signal (radio, light... whatever frequency they choose.) And if that is the case, we get back to the horizon presented by the speed of light and the

      --
      I'll never make that mistake again, reading the experts' opinions. - Feynman
  27. Re:Why rush to get there last? by adrianmonk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Why not wait a while? In the past 100 years, there have been more technological breakthroughs than it pretty much all of human history before that. Isn't it likely that in the next 100 years we'll find a way to get us that far in a lot less than 700 years? I mean, even if we knocked it down to only 100 years, we'd have people there 500 years faster. Hell, they'd probably be stopping off at the "ark" to pick people up and take them the rest of the way.

    This reminds me of a scenario someone once brought up at a party (actually, a wedding reception -- there were a lot of geeks there...). It goes like this:

    Imagine that you have a really big computation task to perform, and you have a budget of $10,000 to buy the equipment to do the computation. You do some calculations and discover that if you went out and bought the equipment and started it right now, it would take 5 years for your computation to complete. But let's assume that Moore's Law (and/or the popular bastardization thereof) operates very predictably so that at any point in time, the computers you can buy at that time are exactly twice as fast as what was available 18 months before for the same price.

    So, what is the optimal thing to do? Buy your computers now, or procrastinate and buy them later? It turns out, if you buy the computers now, your computation will run for 5 years and thus complete in 5 years. But if you wait 18 months and then spend the same $10,000, you will get computers that are twice is fast. Then you will start the computation in 1.5 years and it will run for 2.5 years, finishing after 4 years, which is a year earlier than if you start right away.

    So in that case, the optimal strategy is clearly to procrastinate. You may be right that procrastination would be the optimal strategy for the space ark problem as well.

  28. starwisp by TheSHAD0W · · Score: 4, Interesting

    That's one alternative.

    Another has been kicking around the theoretical star-travel circles for a while now: Make a VERY small (1Kg) instrument package, put a sail on it, then fire some big lasers at it. For the cost of the ark mentioned in the article you could set up the infrastructure to send out a lot of these packages at a sizable fraction of the speed of light. You'd be able to get decent data about planets in the Epsilon Eridani system within a century; assuming the reports were positive, THEN you'd send out the ark.

  29. Antimatter by Teresita · · Score: 2, Interesting

    After billions of years the human race is all over the galaxy, few billion years later and its all over the universe. And then what? We cling on for dear life as we exploit the last few sources of energy as black holes swallow up any traces of our fantastic achievements. We can exploit the fact that there is an imbalance between matter and anti-matter in our universe, with matter totally dominating. Just as you can flip a Flatland quarter from heads to tails by a 180 degree rotation through the third dimension, you can flip a left shoe into a right shoe by a 180 degree rotation through the fourth dimension, and every particle in that rotated shoe will have opposite spin and charge...in other words, it will be an antimatter shoe. Put the two shoes together in a closet and you'll release far more energy than it took to do the flip trick. This can give us another few billion years. Of course, the result will eventually be a universe where matter and anti-matter are thoroughly mixed, and if you grab any quantity and try your flip trick the result will be indistinguishable from what you started with. But this will give us the time we need to think of something else.

  30. Re:Why "Fortunately for the human race"? by ScrewMaster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A better question would not be "why do civilised people buy cars, motorhomes, and boats ... etc." but why do said people not abandon their homes, and cubicles, and all their other civilized accoutrement and live an ideal existence as hunter-gatherers? For that matter, why buy a motorhome: all they're doing is taking their "civilization" with them! Your presumption is that people buy those things because they have some inbuilt urge to return to a "better" way of life. I disagree strongly: the bulk of us have no problem recognizing that the civilization that you disparage offers us many things that a simple hunter-gatherer economy would not, could not. Be careful of drawing specific conclusions from a (from my perspective, aberrant) subset of the population.

    I consider myself reasonably civilized (I don't own a gun and haven't raised a fist since grade school) but after having gotten the whole camping thing out of my system decades ago I feel zero desire to bond with Mother Nature, ever again. She's a bitch, pure and simple, and after she washed me down a hill in my tent into a lake I had enough of her. I also don't watch TV and I don't buy anything from advertising. Admittedly, however, I do work in a cubicle, for now. But you know what? I wouldn't trade my access to medical care, my Internet connection, my work as a software engineer, and my nice, comfortable bed to live in your world. Too civilized, I guess. Oh well, that's my problem.

    Now, I'm not entirely sure why you would expect Stephen Hawking (a physicist, after all, not a sociologist or cultural morphologist) to bother coming up with a rebuttal to your view of civilization. Regardless, one might ask how different life would be had other cultures, over the past thousand years, shown the same interest in the rest of the planet that the offspring of a small part of north-Western Europe did. Perhaps they'd not have been overrun ... indeed, perhaps they would have done some of the overrunning. Anything else is just sour grapes.

    Getting back to the topic at hand, the spread of our kind of life to other worlds, ask yourself this question. If (and yes, it's a big if) there are other civilizations in our corner of the Universe, creatures that might very well see us as a threat (or at least as competitors), would you rather we come out on top ... or them? Here on Earth, the competition has been for land, in space, it may very well be for colonizable worlds. If our scouts don't find them, others may get there first: they may already have for all we know. I'll put my money on the explorers ... when the big ships come for us I'd like us to have a few colonies elsewhere.

    No matter how you look at life in your idealized world, there is always something that wants what you have. That is the nature of existence on this planet: it is the nature of life itself. What you're really complaining about is that, historically, some people showed more aptitude for this than everyone else combined, and part of that aptitude was expressed as a willingness to explore and take measured risks for some perceived gain. Personally, I don't consider that wrong: cows in fields aren't curious, and I know which I'd rather be.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  31. Re:Why "Fortunately for the human race"? by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Interesting
    As a man of white European descent, I'm going to say a very politically incorrect thing, but it has to be said, since it's really the only answer to your question.

    I venture to disagree, strongly. So far the explorers have only been fortunate, on the whole, for white men of Indo-European origin. Why is it fortunate for us that so much of the world has been conquered and overrun by the offspring of a small part of north-Western Europe?
    It's because we are white men of European origin. As simple as that. So we reap the fruits of the conquests done by our ancestors today, living in a happy world, and frankly - don't care much about the rest (save for the regular "ooh! aah! the children in Africa are starving!" - but even that, on the global scale of society, is mostly for the show, since nothing's really done about it). And then some more of us - and yes, it will no doubt be mostly people of white European origin, since that's what the core of Western civilization is, and noone else is anywhere near spreading into space - the people with the spirit of exploration and conquest, shall expand that civilization into space. It will not stay the same, of course - just look at how it changed in the last 1000 years, heck, in the last 100 years! But it will inevitably have its roots in the modern Western civilization. Whether you like it or not does not matter, nor does it really need any excuse. It's just the way things are - nations, cultures and societies struggle for survival, and someone ends up on the top.

    The "Civilisation" that so many people seem to want to export to the rest of the Solar System and beyond is a pretty poor thing.
    See, the thing is, there are no objective criteria for comparing how civilizations do, short of the wisdom of ages: "Might is right". Look at the history of humanity, and tell me it has ever been otherwise on the grand scale - even with our recent toying with concepts such as "democracy", "human rights" etc.
  32. Proper URL by pedroloco · · Score: 2, Informative

    Apparently, wikipedia doesn't like trailing slashes at the end of URLs. Try: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orphans_of_the_Sky.

  33. Re:Linux or Windows? by Fzz · · Score: 2, Funny

    Plan 9, surely?

  34. SciFi by Efialtis · · Score: 2, Informative

    Wasn't there a movie some time ago about this very thing?
    A group was sent into space with everything they would need to be "self replicating" until they reached the destination...but as time went on, technology got better and later travelers arrived at the destination first...then when the first "ark" of people arrived they found a fully developed civilization that had meen there for at least a hundred years...
    Wouldn't it be better to just wait?

    --
    --E--
  35. Re: Photon gathering (and x-rays, RF, IR, etc.) by fyngyrz · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We don't even have to wait that long. All we need to do is build a space telescope with sufficient resolving power - which is simply a function of size (and not even continuous size, necessarily... see the various multi mirror / multi antenna designs we use now) and precision - and we can look and see what the conditions were ten years ago (for D=10 LY) and then decide if we want to send anything at all. No need to launch anything out of the solar system; the information has been coming our way all along. We're just not (yet) capable of resolving it, but it doesn't even depend on new technology - just lots of materials, and space-based manufacturing to make it practical. Even if something is 500 LY away, we can still see what was happening 500 years ago. Much faster turnaround than the fastest light-sail technology could provide, which is transit time + message back time - at least twice as long. And of course it would benefit us in many ways to build such telescopes.

    It seems to me that the optimum method would be to start an automated system that just keeps making the telescope bigger using materials culled from asteroids, comets and so forth. The longer it runs, the more detail we cold resolve. Why ever turn such a system off?

    --
    I've fallen off your lawn, and I can't get up.
  36. Re: Why "Fortunately for the human race"? by Black+Parrot · · Score: 4, Insightful

    > I venture to disagree, strongly. So far the explorers have only been fortunate, on the whole, for white men of Indo-European origin.

    And for the presumably black men who first stepped out of Africa...

    --
    Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
  37. Before trying to send colonists to another system: by Ihlosi · · Score: 4, Insightful
    We should:



    a) Find a better/cheaper way into space than chemical rockets. Space elevator / maglev launch system / whatever. As long as it doesn't involve strapping huge amounts of volatile chemicals to our payload.

    b) Colonize some of the non-Earth objects in out own solar system to gain insights into how to live best on asteroids (plents of 'em out there, a dime a dozen), rocky worlds that need major terraforming (Venus/Mars), moons of gas giants, and dwarf planets. The chances of our would-be interstellar colonists finding any of the above at their destination are almost infinitely higher then the chance of finding another Earth. And, hey, there's plenty of real estate in our own solar system to spread to. One step at a time - not colonizing our solar system before heading to another would be like Columbus trying to get to the moon instead of sailing west.

    c) Manage to send an unmanned probe to another star system, to get the kinks in the propulsion/astronavigation/etc systems worked out.

    d) Get energy-positive fusion working. Seriously. Without it, doing anything major outside the orbit of Mars is going to be a royal pain in the ass.



    Also, we should not:



    a) Totally trash Earth before we're ready to haul our collective asses to some other place. Once we need to spend the majority of our resources on just surviving, our chances of getting to anywhere outside our solar system are about as good as finding an ice cube on Venus.

    b) Get wiped out or wipe ourselves out.

  38. Re: Photon gathering (and x-rays, RF, IR, etc.) by Lumpy · · Score: 4, Funny

    It seems to me that the optimum method would be to start an automated system that just keeps making the telescope bigger using materials culled from asteroids, comets and so forth. The longer it runs, the more detail we cold resolve. Why ever turn such a system off?

    do you really want that big of a magnifying lens to exist? let alone have it's focal point you planet?

    Are we trying to figure out what the ants feel just before they get fried?

    --
    Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
  39. Economics of interstellar travel by Ambitwistor · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Does anyone think we can afford that? The U.S.'s manned space and Moon/Mars initiative is strangling NASA and forcing it to shut down many of its science programs (here, here, here, here, here). It hasn't even started to get into the real spending for a Moon mission, let alone a Mars mission.

    An interstellar mission would cost orders of magnitude more than an interplanetary mission. Who would ever fund it? Even an international collaboration would be hard pressed to put together much more than the currently planned Mars mission. And governments wouldn't be too keen to start a mission that can outlive entire nations before we hear the results.

    "Frontier spirit" just doesn't cut it against those scales of money and time.

    The only thing that likely could spur a manned interstellar mission, barring drastic improvements in technology, is the impending destruction of human civilization — and who would see that coming in time, with enough certainty, to spur the development of a crash program like that? (Especially given the wars likely to ensue if people are that sure of the annihilation of the human race.)

    No, I don't see it happening unless we get much, much better technology. It costs enough just to lift things off Earth, let alone build and launch a working intergenerational starship. (The economics of space development given launch costs and the absence of space industry is an extra can of worms... and I am also not economically optimistic of the development of orbital factories or space elevators or the like.)

    1. Re:Economics of interstellar travel by turing_m · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "The only thing that likely could spur a manned interstellar mission, barring drastic improvements in technology, is the impending destruction of human civilization -- and who would see that coming in time, with enough certainty, to spur the development of a crash program like that? (Especially given the wars likely to ensue if people are that sure of the annihilation of the human race.)"

      I think you (unintentionally) put your finger on it. That sounds like a very realistic scenario of what would have to happen. Problem, reaction, solution.

      That asteroid supposedly coming near earth in a few decades could be an excellent pretext, or problem. Even if it didn't hit the earth, it could probably be simulated with enough hydrogen bombs in the middle of an ocean. The populace could be effectively prepped by a few movies like Armageddon. Tsunamis take out a few ocean cities.

      People clamor for humanity to be saved, and are willing to face outrageous taxes etc to fund the ark.

      At that point, either the ark gets built, or it gets a movie made about it and various politicians / ark contractors pocket the funds.

      --
      If I have seen further it is by stealing the Intellectual Property of giants.
  40. Arthur C. Clarke - Rama - Revisited by Doh-Nation · · Score: 2, Insightful

    OK folks, we've all seen this before. Arthur C. Clarke used the very same premise for his notion of interstellar travel when he detailed the craft depicted in his popular Rama series: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rendezvous_with_Rama Unfortunately, not everyone cooperates over a span of several centuries, so this doesn't sound likely. Personally, I can;t even handle a weekend at my parents... ;)

  41. Re: Photon gathering (and x-rays, RF, IR, etc.) by pintpusher · · Score: 2, Funny

    Why ever turn such a system off?

    That will be answered by our returning descendents when all they find is one big telescope floating in the space that used to be our solar system.

    --
    man, I feel like mold.
  42. This is a lousy solution by ShooterNeo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This is a technologically lousy solution, even considering the 'classical' case. I wrote an article a while back on a FAR better, obvious approach on usenet. Will link if anyone is interested.

    Essentially, a much better approach is to leave one's entire engine behind and electromagnetically accelerate 'smart pebbles', pieces of matter with enough nanoscale smarts and nanoscale engines to adjust their course slightly. These pebbles would enter a long ring of magnets in the spacecraft's engine, be deaccelerated to rest relative to the spacecraft with their energy stored in accumulators. This energy would then be used the accelerate the pebbles the opposite direction, doubling the momentum transfered.

    Advantages - no rocket equation, you do not carry fuel with you
                          - far more efficient than a laser sail because the spacecraft has a MUCH narrower cross section (a few square meters) and most of the pebbles make it, instead of wasting their energy.

    For deacceleration you throw away half the spacecraft and have it fling back the pebbles.

    Top speed would be a target of about .9c, because beyond that blue shifted photons would start to destroy any conceivable spacecraft.

    You don't carry human crew, but self replicating machines. Quantum teleportation (a practical technique, demonstrated in the lab) would be used to transmit the key memory state molecules of a human brain.

    1. Re:This is a lousy solution by infolib · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wrote an article a while back on a FAR better, obvious approach on usenet.

      I think it's worse and non-obvious. A few questions:

      These pebbles would enter a long ring of magnets in the spacecraft's engine, be deaccelerated to rest relative to the spacecraft with their energy stored in accumulators.

      Are the pebbles charged? How do they keep their charge while moving through the solar wind? How large and strong a system of magnets/induction coils do you need to turn relativistic charged pebbles around? (Hint, bigger than "a few meters"). If they're not charged, are they magnetic? (In that case, they'll be sucked INTO the field, DEcelerating the craft). If they're neither charged nor magnetic, why do you think they'll be affected by a magnetic field?

      You don't carry human crew, but self replicating machines.

      Now, that's a good idea. But not a new one.

      Quantum teleportation (a practical technique, demonstrated in the lab) would be used to transmit the key memory state molecules of a human brain.

      And why would you use quantum teleportation for that? How do you get at the "key memory state molecules" inside a brain, and do you intend it to operate afterwards? (If you do, and if quantum state is really so necessary to "uploading", have you considered the no-cloning theorem?). And when you have transferred the state to photons, how does the transmission work across light years? (Remember, you need single photon efficiency, or someones memory will end up jumbled...)

      To be blunt: You don't know what you're talking about, and neither do those who modded you up. Take a couple of physics courses.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced libertarian utopia is indistinguishable from government.
  43. Re:The engineering by Vicissidude · · Score: 2, Insightful

    They seem to have forgotten option 4: wait for robots to take over the world and then send them out to colonize the galaxy. An intelligent robot would not need tons of material or labor to travel the galaxy, not when they can switch off and on at will. They can switch off when they leave the solar system, spend 500 years in deep space, and switch back on when they reach their destination. It's the exact same concept as freezing people to travel, but without the life support and insane shielding.

  44. Re:Before trying to send colonists to another syst by Paulrothrock · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Absolutely correct. There's enough material in our solar system to support hundreds of trillions of human beings. Thinking about sending giant arks to other star systems over several hundred years does seem to be putting the cart before the horse.

    --
    I'm in the hole of the broadband donut.
  45. Re: Photon gathering (and x-rays, RF, IR, etc.) by Daetrin · · Score: 2, Funny
    That will be answered by our returning descendents when all they find is one big telescope floating in the space that used to be our solar system.

    That's got to be the crappiest return on investment for a Berserker scenario ever. If you get wiped out by hyper-intelligent super-efficient warlike AIs you can console yourself that at least you just lost out to something more advanced on the galactic level food chain. But being annihilated by a badly programmed telescope construction project has got to rank up there in patheticness with having your planet demolished to make room for a hyperspace bypass.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  46. 3 is no option right now by prefec2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    To build an ark and fly 10.5 lightyears with it is not an easy task. Right now we have problems sending people to Mars, due to radiation problems, cooling problems etc. I've read an article about required technologies for a Mars trip in the German version of the Scientific American (Spektrum der Wissenschaft) . They discussed several techniques for the shielding. None of them was really applicable. The energy supply is also a big problem. You cannot use nuclear fission (or fusion if it will work some day) because they produce heat. Heat, in space, can only be radiated. So a classic heat sink will not work, as there is no air which can mode the heat away. Every quantum of energy, produced on such ark must be radiated. This is quite tricky. Nowadays satellites are low power systems, which have to radiate only small amounts of energy. Therefore simple foil-based emitters are enough.

    The next problem is. To get everything up in space. This is a very energy intensive task. As the ark must be really big. Bigger than a pleasure cruiser. Far bigger. Beside the cost, this will have a significant impact on the ecosystem on earth.

    The last big problem is the life support. Projects like Earth II failed tragically. So there is work to do on this end also.

    To sum it up. We need some real technological advances before we can start to build the ark. And one is to implement a working energy support for this space ship (earth), which works and cooperates with the life support system. Also we have a resource problem in other areas as well. So this has to be solved too.

    This could lead to low power technology, which would at least solve problem one of the ark.

  47. Marathon, anyone? by Jesus_666 · · Score: 2, Funny

    Come on, Mars has more than enough moons; nobody would miss Phobos if we were to carve it out and turn it into a giant colony ship...

    --
    USE HOT GRITS WITH STATUE OF NATALIE PORTMAN (NAKED AND PETRIFIED)
  48. robot nannies on strike by GovCheese · · Score: 2, Funny

    Any robut smart enough to rear children is simply going to refuse to do so.

    --
    "He's using a quantum encryption scheme! That'll take hours to break!"
  49. New Age Bible by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Funny

    by building a gigantic Ark of several miles in radius

    You're supposed to measure in cubits, you damned heathen!

  50. Sorry, that is totally untrue by Flying+pig · · Score: 2, Informative
    What dimwit modded this informative? 500 years ago Copernicus wrote "De revolutionibus" in - er - Latin. Newton's book is called the Principia Mathematica because it, too, was written in Latin (I've read parts of the original and it is wonderfully clearly written.) Why do you think that the formal names of living things are in Latin and Greek, and that we are homo sapiens rather than Wise Man? Because Linnaeus wrote in Latin. Latin was the language of science and international scholarship until at least the nineteenth century. That's why so many of those scientists used Latin forms of their names. This demonstrates that the grandfather post is absolutely right. When a language has a background of useful communication, it is easier to keep using it than to translate into another language. Indeed, it may continue to develop. When we look at the short history of computer languages we see the same thing happening, with people constantly extending languages like FORTRAN rather than replacing them.

    In fact the teaching of Latin to children who were expected to go on to professional jobs did not cease to be general (in the UK at least) until the late 20th century. By then it was largely symbolic, but it shows how long these things persist. It was also advantageous in that it made the learning of the Romance languages (French, Italian, Spanish, Portuguese, Romanian) so much easier.

    It's also worth noting that Chaucer lived around the 700 years ago mark and it only takes a few weeks for an English educated person with a little Latin to be able to read the Canterbury Tales in the original. I can also read Dante in the original with a little help from a crib, also about 700 years ago.

    --
    Pining for the fjords
  51. Stages by EchoNiner · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If you read the article, a lot of the discussion is based on how long it will take to actually *build* this monsterous ark. From my (I'll admit somewhat limited) knowledge of the progression of science in the area of building something like this, it seems more realistic to sink money initially into the construction of such a vehicle regardless of the propulsion, etc. Thus, we could have a large man-made space-station/vehicle that is constructed using progressively newer and newer technologies (since it is relatively close by), but is not tied to earth's gravity, making it easier to maintain and possibly to launch.

    When the time comes to add propulsion, we will have progressed much more in terms of the physics of star-drives. If we haven't progressed enough? Leave it there, have a space colony, send it to mars and back, whatever -- it's not like it's going to be a waste... Think of the sheer magnitude of the construction effort to build this thing and how much easier it will be in the future to design an ark if we already have a gigantic shell to work with.

    Think about star trek when they first develop the warp engine. What comes next? The enterprise wasn't built in a day for sure...

  52. New speculation? by Have+Brain+Will+Rent · · Score: 2, Insightful

    When did the idea of a multigenerational ship become "new" speculation? Science fiction writers have been writing about this for many decades.

    --
    The tyrant will always find a pretext for his tyranny - Aesop
  53. Re:The engineering by Vicissidude · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I postulate an intelligent robot and you quibble about the on switch. Somehow, I don't think that would be the problem.

  54. Classical Physics - in Star Trek by sgunhouse · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Ever read "The Galactic Whirlpool"? One of those Star Trek stories set just after the original series. The Enterprise stumbles across a "generation ship" which had left Earth only just before they discovered warp drive, but had escaped attempts to locate it. The inhabitants had forgotten they were on a ship, to them it was "the world". They had collapsed into a primitive society.

    Since they were humans from Earth, the prime directive didn't apply (not that Kirk was very good about that anyway), so it was left to the Enterprise crew to drag them kicking and screaming into the 24th century ...

    That's a common theme in Sci-Fi though, generation ships where the inhabitants believe the ship is the world, and forget the mission. How does anyone keep at a task for 700 years?

  55. Let's go someplace else in the solar system first by rpbird · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm probably not the first one to point this out. There's room in the solar system for several thousand years of unchecked human growth. Let's fix up the house first before visiting the neighbors.

  56. Re: Why "Fortunately for the human race"? by camperdave · · Score: 2, Interesting

    And the Polynesians ... and the original Native Americans.... Can't forget them.

    They weren't forgotten. The Polynesians and the Native Americans were all descendants of those brave souls who walked out of Africa all those years ago.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  57. We already have millions... by zogger · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ..of humans-serious urbanites- who spend the vast bulk of their entire lives inside of man made rooms, voluntarily, and actually pay money for that privilege. So what's the diff if the "city" is nailed to the ground or floating around yonder space?

    I don't think getting people to live onboard a huge ark ship would be all that hard, and it would be well tolerated if it was large enough/designed with some "great" rooms for enjoyment as an alternative "outdoors", and balanced with the population on the ship after some research. I don't know how much squarefootage per person they would need, but it isn't much given the contentment with crowded cities you can see. No additional evolution required really. Have an ark "replica" on the ground, all volunteers, after initial screening, for the final test, must undergo six months inside of that to weed out folks who just can't hack it. You could probably also get some psych studies from the cruise ship industry and from various navies submarine services, and from Antarctica research colonies to see what problems arise and how they are overcome. Prisons wouldn't be good to study because it is the opposite of voluntary.

    1. Re:We already have millions... by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "I don't know how much squarefootage per person they would need, but it isn't much given the contentment with crowded cities you can see."

      A city does not support humans it simply stores them in individual boxes, with current technology each city requires hundreds/thousands of sq miles of arable land to sustain it.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
  58. Your idea is nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Call me crazy, but I don't think the purpose of life is to be an utterly expendable cog in a highly efficient inhuman machine. Nor do I think that human beings are nothing more than fully programmable robots who can be instructed to behave and feel in whatever fashion is most profitable to society at large. I believe that any social planners who mistakenly make these assumptions will be doomed to watch their planned societies quickly crumble before their eyes. In fact, history has provided us with many examples of this happening. When are we going to learn our lesson? Planned societies don't work. Civilization can only thrive when people are free to be human beings instead of mindless worker bees.

  59. Epsilon Eridani?!?! by mrbiggenes · · Score: 3, Informative

    Looking at the nearest star systems for a decent system to visit or colonize, it is a tough call. There are only 7 star systems within 10 light years of ours. Four of those (Wolf 359 at 7.8 light years, Lalande 21185 at 8.3 light years, Luyten 726-8 A and UV Ceti at 8.7 light years, and Ross 154 at 9.7 light years) are red dwarf flare stares, which produce very little heat and emit frequent (hourly, daily, monthly) extremely high radiation flares that would kill any known living creatures close enough to derive energy or warmth from them. Also, the red light from these stars would not be conducive to photosynthesis for plants as we know them.

    One near star system (Sirius A and Sirius B at 8.6 light years) seems a bit more promising. Although the system is fabulously more rich in heavy elements (metals, etc.) than our own star system (or any other in the area), Sirus B went nova a couple hundred million years ago and probably sterilized any nice planetary systems of atmospheres, water, or life (that's an educated guess, but . . .). Also, at 8.6 light years away, it is quite far.

    Barnard's Star (at 6 light years) is a red dwarf, but not a flaring one. It's one of the oldest systems in the area, and quite calm. Of course, as a red dwarf it puts out little energy. Still, at the second closest star system it might be a potential place to visit or find rocky planets around.

    The last and most promising star system within 10 light years is actually the closest--Alpha Centauri A, Alpha Centauri B, and Proxima Centauri at 4.2-4.36 light years. Proxima is a red dwarf, and a flaming/flaring one, but is far away (one-fifth of a light year) from the other two stars and is therefore negligible. The other two are yellow or orange stars, a bit less or a bit more powerful than our Sun, with good light for photosynthesis. Although a dual-star system, planets within 2 AU of either star (about the distance from the Sun to the Asteriod Belt past Mars) would not greatly be affected by the gravity of the other star. Liquid water could exist within about the orbit radius of Venus for the smaller star, or Earth to Mars for the larger star. The system has twice the heavy element content of our own system.

    At 4.36 light years, and the closest neighbor we have, why not try going there instead of Epsilon Eridani at 10.5 light years? You'd save well over half the time, whatever method you used to get there! G-forces aside, if you could average 10% the speed of light, it'd take about 50 years one way.