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Move to a Mainframe, Earn Carbon Credits

BBCWatcher writes "As Slashdot reported previously, Congress is pushing the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency to develop energy efficiency measures for data centers, especially servers. But IBM is impatient: Computerworld notes IBM has signed up Neuwing Energy Ventures, a company trading in energy efficiency certificates, in a first for "green" computing. Now if your company consolidates, say, X86 servers onto an IBM mainframe on top of slashing about 85% off your electric bill each megawatt-hour saved earns one certificate. Then you can sell the certificates in emerging carbon trading markets. IBM's own consolidation project (collapsing 3,900 distributed servers onto 30 mainframes) will net certificates worth between $300K and $1M, depending on carbon's market price. Will ubiquitous carbon trading discourage energy-inefficient, distributed-style infrastructure in favor of highly virtualized and I/O-savvy environments, particularly mainframes?"

316 comments

  1. Full Circle? by Aereus · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I do find it ironic that computing started out with large mainframes, and now it seems more and more likely that the majority of computing needs in the future will be met by terminals connected to mainframes via virtualization.

    1. Re:Full Circle? by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You have obviously never watched any science fiction movies, television shows, or LARP sessions. You must have also missed the entire genre of sci-fi fiction that always assumed that the future would be in the form of gigantic databases which controlled every aspect of life.

      I think Vonnegut said it best, "I have been a soreheaded occupant of a file drawer labeled "Science Fiction" ... and I would like out, particularly since so many serious critics regularly mistake the drawer for a urinal."

    2. Re:Full Circle? by El_Muerte_TDS · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But the difference is that now everybody gets their own little sandbox.
      It's not full circle, it's a combination. A large playground with a sandbox for each kid.

    3. Re:Full Circle? by feepness · · Score: 2, Funny

      I do find it ironic that computing started out with large mainframes, and now it seems more and more likely that the majority of computing needs in the future will be met by terminals connected to mainframes via virtualization. Keep in mind that your cellphone will has more power than most of the mainframes used to and the terminals will have far more power beyond that.

      It's a change in terminology, not in behavior. It's not that terminals are connected to mainframes, it's that everyone has their own mainframe and the personal mainframes are connected to mega-super-duper mainframes.

      Which, in twenty years, will fit on your watch.
    4. Re:Full Circle? by asliarun · · Score: 5, Funny

      and now it seems more and more likely that the majority of computing needs in the future will be met by terminals connected to mainframes via virtualization. That is indeed Big Irony.
    5. Re:Full Circle? by Antiocheian · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If you judge "power" by an arithmetic test of the CPU and by memory size, probably.

      But even the old mainframes were build to sustain stress in multiuser environments where your cellphone and even your modern PC would collapse.

    6. Re:Full Circle? by ronanbear · · Score: 1

      Stress in multiuser environments? Are you serious?

      Cell phones have to deal with interference from thousands of other cell phones while moving between base stations without dropping encrypted packets of data where even a slight delay is noticeable to the user.

      Call waiting, conference calls, video calling etc. are all tasks that a mainframe would have struggled with.

      --
      the more they over-think the plumbing the easier it is to stop up the pipe
    7. Re:Full Circle? by that+this+is+not+und · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think by stress in multiuser environments, he meant having 600,000 simultaneous connections running through your processor simultaneously. No, your little cellphone/pda combo are NOT the equivalent of a mainframe. Maybe the equivalent of one little front-end I/O processor connected to the mainframe.

      People get this idea that raw number crunching is all that mainframes do. It's the massive I/O backplane, people....

    8. Re:Full Circle? by ronanbear · · Score: 1

      Sure there are certain loads that mainframes were better at but the I/O that cellphones could be dealing with rivals the I/O for (some of the) mainframes with the processing power of a cellphone.

      Yes, there's specialisation but many old mainframes wouldn't have had the processing power, the memory or the I/O to handle simultaneous video conferencing while talking to different base stations.

      Modern mainframes are better at I/O but that wasn't really in dispute. The point was that their lower energy usage might allow further savings.

      --
      the more they over-think the plumbing the easier it is to stop up the pipe
    9. Re:Full Circle? by Ed+Avis · · Score: 4, Informative

      People had their own little sandbox in the old days too. If you were paying large sums for an account on a timesharing system, you'd want to be sure that some idiot wasn't chewing all your CPU time or memory. And you certainly wouldn't want other people having access to your files. Hence the elaborate systems to virtualize and isolate each instance, and quota out system resources fairly.

      Please remember that in computing, nothing new has been invented since 1970.

      --
      -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    10. Re:Full Circle? by Ed+Avis · · Score: 1

      It depends what you mean by 'stress'... if by having redundant power supplies to withstand power outages, and that kind of physical thing, then yes.

      If you just mean parallel processing and not collapsing under heavy load, well, that's mostly a software issue. Even the cheesiest and nastiest consumer hard disk today has more sustained throughput than a mainframe disk of thirty years ago. I am sure that most cellphone operating systems wouldn't cope too well if you tried running ten thousand Java applets for data entry, yet a single mainframe with text terminals could cope. However this is software not hardware. Run a system 370 emulator on your PC, find some way to connect the terminals, and it'll hum along just fine. The main difference between a PC and a mainframe is reliability, not speed.

      --
      -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    11. Re:Full Circle? by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      A mainframe isn't just a really powerful PC - it's an entirely different thing. Have you ever worked on one?

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    12. Re:Full Circle? by ronbo142 · · Score: 2, Informative

      I have worked on the IBM platforms on and off since 1982, these are quite possibly the most stable and reliable platforms in existance. Virtualization is the wave of the future there is no reason for me to have a computer on my desk, truly a waste of resources. Ronbo

      --
      Semper Fi Ronald Ausman USMC Ret
    13. Re:Full Circle? by tompaulco · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, this is the first major call I have seen back to mainframes, but it does seem that every 5 years the trend switches from centralization to decentralization and back again. I've often said that if you could master both sides of the trend, you could be one rich consultant, you just have to know when to preach which mantra.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    14. Re:Full Circle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      internet porn?

    15. Re:Full Circle? by jsight · · Score: 1

      I don't think that's exactly what he meant. Yes, virtualization is old.

      But the idea of very smart terminals hooked up to powerful servers is very different from the days of greenscreen thin clients.

      Ie, the sandbox is the client, not the virtualized instance.

    16. Re:Full Circle? by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      Virtualization is the wave of the future there is no reason for me to have a computer on my desk, truly a waste of resources.

      So you have no data you wish to keep private and off of other people's computers? And you have a completely reliable network conenction that is so blindingly fast you can do, say, video editing over the net?

      Sure, a lot of business computing makes more sense with a centalized virtualized setup and a bunch on thin clients. But there's also plenty of call for Personal Computers.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    17. Re:Full Circle? by Antiocheian · · Score: 1

      I didn't have thirty years ago in mind; that's too much. Also I don't think mainframes are to be judged by their hardware specs only but also from a more complete software/hardware/personnel viewpoint. I have worked as a user on IBM 3081 systems on VM/SP and my experience was an extremely pleasant one. My work was getting done and I didn't have to deal with details PCs enforce on me. The admins were seasoned geeks with a solid tech background unlike the Linux fans who were running the downsized PC replacement a few years laters.

      Anyway, I just wanted to point that yes, by stress I mean not only what you've pointed in your first line but something even more complete.

    18. Re:Full Circle? by PingPongBoy · · Score: 1

      it does seem that every 5 years the trend switches from centralization to decentralization and back again

      Wondering how software affects mainframe usage... If software was originally written to run on PCs, it can't be an instant switch to mainframes. Also, the entire staff mindset may have to be changed. Perhaps there is a middle-of-the-road approach of using a multiprocessor server that can reduce power to underutilized chips.

      How easy is it to scale up with mainframes? As business grows, the mainframes become fully loaded. If I wanted to run some new software, I would rather try it out on a few servers than another massive mainframe. Software availability from third parties may also hinder mainframe adoption.

      Mainframes are just a whole new can of worms.

      --
      Know your pads. One time pad: good for cryptography. Two timing pad: where to take your mistress.
    19. Re:Full Circle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will this be the next dotCOM bubble?

      In reading about the 1929 crush, and the ones before and after, the main theme was "new ways to get in debt". So what are you doing with buying/selling credits? Is it nothing more the fiat money? What do you get in the end??

    20. Re:Full Circle? by BlueParrot · · Score: 2, Informative

      Please remember that in computing, nothing new has been invented since 1970.
      Oh really?

      A NeXTcube was used by Berners-Lee as the world's first web server and also to write the first web browser, WorldWideWeb, in 1990. By Christmas 1990, Berners-Lee had built all the tools necessary for a working Web:[4] the first web browser (which was a web editor as well), the first web server, and the first web pages[5] which described the project itself. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_the_World_Wide_Web
    21. Re:Full Circle? by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      So you have no data you wish to keep private and off of other people's computers? There are lots of ways to achieve this besides actually storing the bits locally. (And honestly, even if you're keeping the data stored locally, if you're using even one network-enabled application that you haven't personally combed over the code for, you have no idea where your data really is, anyway.)

      You could use a smart terminal that contains decryption hardware and keep your keys stored on a smartcard; that way all the data stored on the server, and traveling down the wire, would be encrypted, and you'd just have to worry about the small amount of hardware and microcode at your end of things. That's probably much better security than keeping your data stored locally on a platform that's so complicated that you can't ever trust it completely. (You'd probably have to do some of the application-level processing on the client side too, to avoid sending unencrypted data back to the server, e.g. if you wanted to search a document.)

      Also, I suspect the majority of PCs in the world are used in workplaces where their owners -- not necessarily their users -- would prefer that all the data be stored in a centralized location. It makes it easier to backup, easier to share, and more difficult for employees to steal or hold hostage.
      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    22. Re:Full Circle? by porkchop_d_clown · · Score: 1

      You're still showing a fundamental misunderstanding of how mainframes were architected. A mainframe wouldn't handle video conferencing - then or now - it would send commands to a dedicated video conferencing switch to do the work.

      A mainframe is a relatively small processor. The acres of I/O subsystems, on the other hand....

    23. Re:Full Circle? by COMON$ · · Score: 1

      Your post proves nothing. Evidentially you dont understand Computing technoligies and advances. Of course the original poster was meant to say, in Computer Science nothing new has been invented since 1970. All the tech is the same, what we are doing with it is changing.

      --
      CS: It is all sink or swim...oh and did I mention there are sharks in that water?
    24. Re:Full Circle? by Ed+Avis · · Score: 1

      The 1970 rule of thumb is well known but isn't meant to be taken entirely seriously. It's a good starting assumption, though, unless you have evidence to show that you're looking at something truly new. (I guess one candidate would be anything to do with fractals, which weren't really discovered back in 1970.)

      In this case, hypertext was demonstrated by Douglas Engelbart in his famous 1968 demonstration, and certainly dates to before that.

      --
      -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    25. Re:Full Circle? by HeroreV · · Score: 1

      If software was originally written to run on PCs, it can't be an instant switch to mainframes. Mainframes can run Linux and tons of other operating systems in virtual machines.

      How easy is it to scale up with mainframes? As business grows, the mainframes become fully loaded. CPUs and RAM can be added to a mainframe as you need them. Mainframes can hold hundreds of processors and hundreds of gigs of RAM.

      If I wanted to run some new software, I would rather try it out on a few servers than another massive mainframe. You don't need another mainframe, you just need another virtual machine. Mainframes can support thousands of virtual machines with no sweat.

      Software availability from third parties may also hinder mainframe adoption. Software doesn't become incompatible with an operating system just because the operating system is running in a virtual machine.

      Mainframes are just a whole new can of worms. Maybe to you they're new, but they've been around longer than personal computers or servers.
    26. Re:Full Circle? by gstoddart · · Score: 0, Troll

      Please remember that in computing, nothing new has been invented since 1970.

      Oh, come on. Viruses and Spam have both been invented since the 70's. ;-)

      Oh, you meant useful things. My bad. :-P

      Cheers
      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    27. Re:Full Circle? by Retric · · Score: 1

      If you want to talk about bandwidth: A PDP11's UNIBUS had a total bandwidth of ~13.6mbits/s (1.7Mbytes/s). Cell phones are well into the GBits/s range. Mainframes could have large user loads but 600,000 users is way outside the limits on any 1970's mainframe.

      However, on the software side of things PDP-11's where far more optimized. Back then computer time was expensive enough that people wrote in assembler or languages vary close to it. Users accepted slowly updating text only interfaces etc.

      PS: A decent 486 had as much processing power, RAM, and bandwidth as a 1970's mainframe and a good cell phone is well past that.

    28. Re:Full Circle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      so, we keep all the data and applications on the server, but encrypted.
      Then you download that (what? how can the server know what you want without learning something about what it is in the process?), decrypt it and ...

    29. Re:Full Circle? by blincoln · · Score: 1

      Virtualization is the wave of the future there is no reason for me to have a computer on my desk, truly a waste of resources.

      Right, because a system where a network outage can prevent anyone on/in a particular floor/building/etc from doing any work is a great approach for any situation that requires computing resources. Especially in non-office environments like retail.

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
    30. Re:Full Circle? by neurojab · · Score: 1

      But the difference is that now everybody gets their own little sandbox.

      Um... hate to break it to you, but virtualization has been available on the mainframe since 1972. You did get your own little sandbox, even in 1972.

    31. Re:Full Circle? by neurojab · · Score: 1

      Please remember that in computing, nothing new has been invented since 1970. A fax machine is nothing but a waffle iron with a phone attached! (Abe Simpson, circa 1990)

    32. Re:Full Circle? by divided421 · · Score: 1

      It's not that we are back to the mainframe + terminal architecture, we are now onto the mainframe + desktop integration. Of course you need that quad core, quad 8800GTX to display database queries from your P-Series.

    33. Re:Full Circle? by CoderDevo · · Score: 1

      The DEC PDP 11 was not a mainframe. It is a mini computer.

    34. Re:Full Circle? by pavon · · Score: 1

      All the fundamental ideas in the WWW, including hyperlinks and mixed text and graphics, over a distributed network had been done before. One of the most complete implementations was demoed as far back as 1968. The reason that Tim Berners-Lee's version took off and others didn't was because of timing - it coincided with the development of a sizable network which made those ideas useful.

    35. Re:Full Circle? by Retric · · Score: 1

      If you want to call a PDP-11 a mini computer that's fine with me.

      Let's go with IBM (http://www-03.ibm.com/ibm/history/exhibits/mainframe/mainframe_profiles.html > 3032 Processor Complex) Announced October 6, 1977 "The 3032 processor complex includes the 3032 Processor with six channels, the 3036 console and the 3027 power and coolant distribution unit."

      Now the CPU was a 32bit system at a beastly 12.5 Mhz. "One group of six channels is standard on the 3032 Processors. The total number of channels can be expanded to twelve on the 3032 with the addition of an optional channel group. Each group consists of one byte multiplexer channel and five block multiplexer channels. Channels are physically integrated within the processor and operate independently of other processor functions.

      The byte multiplexer channels operate in the range of 40-75 thousand bytes per second, and each block multiplexer is capable of a data transfer rate up to 1.5 million bytes per second."


      A 486's PCI bus is 32-bit at 33MHz tack on ISA which is 1056Mbits/s or 132 million bytes per second which is a lost faster. Granted it's harder to talk about a cellphones total bandwdith as there are several types of IO but USB2.0 is even faster than that.

    36. Re:Full Circle? by mindsuck · · Score: 1

      I like editing my video over my 3270 emulator in binary.
      It's really great. In a few more decades I'll have my first short film ready.

      --
      --- I w00t, therefore I'm l33t.
    37. Re:Full Circle? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Troll??? Off topic, maybe. Overrated, maybe. Some of the mods around here have no clue what the troll moderation is intended for.

  2. Carbon credits = lame by Z80xxc! · · Score: 5, Interesting

    The whole concept of "carbon neutral" and off-setting your carbon emissions for whatever reason seams kind of lame to me. Instead of continuing to do things that cause global warming while doing other things to supposedly reduce your "carbon footprint", why not just try to eliminate or reduce the problems in the first place? It's not just individuals, it's the whole mindset of society. Instead of going for carbon-neutral server farms, why not develop cleaner alternative electricity options to power those server farms? Solar power could do a lot, but we'd rather earn carbon certificates. It just doesn't make sense.

    1. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Aereus · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Humanity doesn't have enough resources to work on both at once? We're not going to solve our energy problem from one source. It's going to take many different types of alternative sources to offset our dependence on fossil fuels.

    2. Re:Carbon credits = lame by xaxa · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      My understanding is that this is the eventual aim, the price of carbon credits increases as time goes by, so gradually the solutions to the problems seem more cost-effective than buying carbon credits. Companies who lead the way get credits to sell. Power your mainframe with solar power and you'll win twice!

      If it works in the USA where nothing benefiting the environment works then it has to be good...

    3. Re:Carbon credits = lame by enos · · Score: 3, Informative

      The point of carbon credits is to do just that. The credits are supposed to reward people putting in these more energy-saving machines. The idea is to put a monetary cost on polluting so that the market can do its thing and end up at a "greener" point by doing exactly what you describe, reducing the problem in the first place.

      --
      boldly going forward, 'cause we can't find reverse
    4. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or just live your life as you see fit, and let the environmentalist hippies sit and spin?

    5. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Antity-H · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually it does according to market theory.

      Currently the market does not integrate the cost of emitting carbon in the atmosphere. As a result the carbon emitting technologies seem to be less expensive for the same result and the market logically develops these. Introducing a feedback in the market that the carbon emissions actually has a cost sends a message saying that carbon emitting tech is not the most efficient choice. The market will find an alternative solution instead of a solution being forced on it which might not be the most efficient in the end.

      You mention that you want to eliminate the problem in the first place then you mention solar power, but how do you know that solar power is the best, or that nuclear power is? Maybe it's wind based, or ethanol based, or hydrogen based power or even cattle based power that's the most efficient. Or maybe a company will start doing research because there is a market for it and someone will come up with a transimentional p0rn energy extractor or even an Anonymous Coward based power source, who knows ?

      The thing is the market will integrate the feedback signal and propagate it. This avoids forcing decisions on the market about the solution, the certificates are only reminding it of the problem. Going for carbon-netural server-farm is simply passing along the signal back to energy producers.

      It looks like it's working for other problems.IIRC sulfur dioxid emission certificates led companies who claimed that installing an emission cleaner for it cost too muuch to actually install them even though buying the certificates seemed to cost less. the real price (vs company reported) of installing the cleaner was less than trading certificates in the long term thus they ended up investing.

      Let's hope it will work for carbon too.

    6. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 3, Informative

      If it works in the USA where nothing benefiting the environment works then it has to be good...
      That has to be the most uninformed and short sighted comment I have ever seen. There are plenty of things in the US working that _IS_ good for the environment.

      Or are you just talking about "global Warming"? Even then the push for electric cars, hybrids, alternative energy and so on seems to be good for the environment to some degree.

      Of course programs like the hazardous material superfund and such that clean up toxic waist from generations removed are good for the environment too. And then there is the wetlands restoration projects where the guberment is buying up large lots of developed and otherwise exploited lands and turning them back into watersheds and wildlife habitats. Or the more recent oceanic conservations project from 2006 that has been called "the single-largest act of ocean conservation in history."

      Well maybe you should expand on that comment before I go off on a tangent. It isn't exactly waist land 10 miles outside every city. The US has a pretty good track record on the environment and has been making improvements since the 70's when everyone else started waking up to the effects of some of the old ways of doing things. We have tough laws to keep the environment in good condition and we have on ongoing efforts to toughen those laws and make it better. Including the attempts to get this credit BS going.
    7. Re:Carbon credits = lame by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      "Currently the market does not integrate the cost of emitting carbon in the atmosphere."

      Thats where your problems start right there.

      the IS NO COST to emitting carbon that anyone can quantify as yet, so your building this whole retarded carbon trading scheme on NOTHING but speculation, and you know what happens to markets which over speculate?

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    8. Re:Carbon credits = lame by feepness · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The whole concept of "carbon neutral" and off-setting your carbon emissions for whatever reason seams kind of lame to me. It's not supposed to be functional, it's supposed to make you feel better about your "sin".

      It's the global-warming equivalent of saying your Hail Marys.
    9. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Dachannien · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What actually will end up happening is that companies or countries (however you want to look at it) that already aren't emitting much CO2 will sell their allowance (that they weren't going to use themselves anyway) to the companies or countries that are emitting a lot of CO2. The net result: you've picked some level of global CO2 emissions and guaranteed that actual emissions will never fall below that value. (If actual global emissions were to fall below that value, then it means somebody's carbon credits aren't being sold, so the carbon credit seller will lower their prices.)

      You've also maximized the amount of time it will take for companies or countries to develop technological measures for CO2 emissions reduction. A high emitter will ponder whether to develop/purchase technology or just purchase credits. Technological advancement requires the investment of capital that may not have a return for quite some time. On the other hand, carbon credits - for the holders who will never use them themselves - are free. A carbon credit seller will therefore always be able to beat the cost of technological advancement, so carbon emitters will buy credits first and then develop technology only if/when there are no more credits to buy.

      In the end, all you've really done is created a massive system for the redistribution of wealth from industrialized nations to pre-industrial nations.

    10. Re:Carbon credits = lame by xaxa · · Score: 1

      Hmm... that's what I get for rushing to finish the comment before I leave home. People in the USA tend to drive massive, fuel-hungry cars and fly planes a lot, which looks bad. Also, the USA didn't sign up to Kyoto. My last remark in that comment was based on my immediate perception of the USA from Europe, sorry.

    11. Re:Carbon credits = lame by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      the IS NO COST to emitting carbon that anyone can quantify as yet

      Sure there is. Just make an organization liable for the costs of climate-change related damage relative to the amount of CO2 it directly emits. You already have to buy carbon credits if you emit CO2 so we have a registry of who emits and how much. This way, the cost is amortized over the whole economy, increasing our ability to manage it (via general price increases).

      For instance, let's say that mosquitos start moving up into Europe and spreading various nasty diseases. The health insurance claims for these events can be claimed back from the economy as a whole by suing the CO2 emitters in a class action suit. The details of whether a particular problem was caused or the risk increased by climate change can be thrashed out by the courts. I sense some scepticism in your remarks over whether climate change is real - that's OK, you can believe what you want, but I suspect when put in a court any such defence would have a hard time in the face of a nearly unlimited supply of expert witnesses. The CO2 emitters would be forced to try and calculate the risk to the environment from what they do based on what they believe and the advice their experts give them, and would then pass that on to their customers, thus the "true cost" of climate change would ripple through the economy.

      This has benefit over the rather artificial carbon credits market, in that the "cost" of emitting a ton of CO2 is - as you rightly point out - basically pulled out of somebodies arse right now. What's more, they were deliberately set low enough to not have any impact on existing businesses, so instead of bringing about real change they just brought extra democracy. The idea of using markets to take action is the right one, but the "risk premium" needs to be priced into everyday goods.

      I just made this scheme up off the top of my head. There are several key objections I can anticipate. The first is that climate change seems likely to kill a lot of people via disease/drought/etc, if indeed it's not doing so already, and how can you price a human life? Well, it is possible, but only in various untasteful ways. I don't think this one is solvable, nor should it detract from the scheme - the market is a tool and we need it to serve us now, to reach our end goals.

      The second is that it would be inflationary if enacted globally, at once, because it would lead to a round of general price increases which would then in turn cause more borrowing by those without the spare cashflow to absorb it (ie, most people these days), thus inflating the money supply. This is especially true of essentials like oil (let's ignore peak oil for now). Inflation in the presence of a general price increase is not inevitable assuming you define inflation as an increase in the size of the money supply - that's an artifact of the fractional reserve. Replacing the fractional reserve with something less prone to inflation is certainly a good idea. But, if you suppress inflation (eg, by going to a Robertson/Huber type money supply), a general price increase makes us all poorer. That's more or less inevitable though - we would simply be paying what other people less able to pay (because they just lost their food supply/health/whatever) would be paying anyway, but everyone pays a small amount now instead of watching and saying "I hope that never happens to me". It's not a different concept to insurance in fact, but it's not optional, because climate change affects everyone.

      The third is that it requires everybody to act more or less in concert. Unfortunately the "race to the bottom" is a general problem with regulating business and should not discourage us from working together to do so.

      There are probably more problems with this scheme, but it does have the advantage that carbon emission is priced "naturally" and integrated into the sticker price of things like a unit of electricity - if you can get yourself out of the CO2 emitters game by replacing your electricity usage with solar or wind (or even nuclear!) then you are no longer liable for potentially huge disaster-relief costs, thus you can lower your prices, gaining an advantage over your competitors.

    12. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I have plenty of thoughts in it being a scam. But the problem as I see it is that we have a lot of investment in alternative energy that hasn't paid off because they cannot get it as efficient and cheap as conventional methods of energy. They need the conventional methods to cost more so investors can start reaping profits and to hopefully make if more cost effective in the future with mass production and all.

      But I think a failure of this might mean that we won't have as much investment in making the alternative energy more cost effective or efficient. You will get some cute in costs just by making the production step up from niche market to mass production but that might not transfer to the consumer as a savings for quite some time. At least until productions methods are perfected. You can mandate a certain amount of use to keep them happy for a short time but in the long run, the two fields need to be competitive in cost per unit of energy production and this is a way of doing it when other methods failed.

      So you can look at it as a scam however you want. I see it as a band aid with unintended consequences. And I have other ideas about scams as far as the carbon trading is concerned. This if anything is just a secondary use.

    13. Re:Carbon credits = lame by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      they just brought extra democracy

      extra bureaucracy

    14. Re:Carbon credits = lame by cheater512 · · Score: 2, Funny

      So...I should buy a lot of carbon credits and make a killing in 20 years time? :)

    15. Re:Carbon credits = lame by bhima · · Score: 3, Insightful

      As long as conventional energy sources like coal & coil continue to be subsidized by our tax dollars alternative energy sources will face an up hill battle. Then when those new energy sources finally can compete with the old ones and the old ones start to rise in cost why would the new ones not rise also (if remaining just lower in cost). Isn't that what capitalism is all about?

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
    16. Re:Carbon credits = lame by OneSmartFellow · · Score: 3, Informative

      My last remark in that comment was based on my immediate perception of the USA from Europe, sorry.

      Hmmm... Let's list the first nation with an emission test for vehicles. (California 1966, USA 1968)
      How about the first legislation on auto manufacturers for fuel efficiency (USA 1975)
      Now, just to be sure, let's list the top five carbon emitting nations - per capita.

      Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, Luxembourg, Trinidad and Tobago (weird)

      I hope this helps to change your perception. Granted, some of our policies are misguided, or downright stupid, but that's a lot different than intentionally negligent.

    17. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1
      They remind me of medieval indulgences.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indulgence

      In the Middle Ages the Catholic church was theoretically committed to eliminating sin. Mind you eliminating sin requires sacrifice, just like eliminating carbon emissions does. So like the UN they decided to sell indulgences, a sort of sin offset. This is good for the people selling, since they get money. And good for the sinner, since they can continue to sin for a small fee. And if you were rich and well connected, the price of indulgences could be very cheap indeed.

      Oddly enough the fee for carbon credits is now very small, since governments have sold far too many of them. The price is now so low they are an effective license to pollute.

      http://newsbusters.org/node/10989

      Stick with this, folks, because the entire concept of carbon credits could totally implode:

      "The Stern Report suggests we need a price for a tonne of carbon emissions of $20, rising to $30, $40 or even $50 to stabilise [the level of CO2 in the atmosphere] at manageable levels," he said. "But there is a good chance that the carbon credits that are meant to provide incentives for reducing emissions will be available for next to nothing." How delicious. The article marvelously continued:

      The problems with the European Trading Scheme are well documented with the collapse in the price of a tonne of carbon dating back to May last year when it emerged that most countries in the scheme had set their carbon caps far too high, resulting in fewer firms than expected having to buy credits and causing the price of a tonne of carbon to plummet from over 30 to less than 10. Everybody still with me? Good:

      As one delegate observed "with some firms having carbon emissions capped at 110 percent of what they actually required it was always going to fail".

      The EU is seeking to rectify the problem ahead of the second phase of the scheme, which starts next year, and recently rejected many member countries proposed emission allowances for the next phase as too high, ordering them to go away and come back with lower caps that will force more firms to cut emissions or buy credits.

      However, Jepma argued that with no link existing between the first and second phase of the scheme the cost of carbon credits will drop to almost nothing by the end of the year. Currently the price is already below one euro meaning there is little incentive for firms to cut emissions as it is cheaper to just buy in credits to offset their pollution.
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    18. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Hal_Porter · · Score: 2, Informative

      In the end, all you've really done is created a massive system for the redistribution of wealth from industrialized nations to pre-industrial nations. It's actually worse than that. Russia got assigned carbon credits based on Soviet estimates of the size of the economy, despite the fact that the Soviet Union had at that point collapsed and so had the economy. So Russia was offered a huge pile of emissions credits that it could sell as a sweetner for signing up to Kyoto.

      http://arstechnica.com/journals/science.ars/2005/12/28/2238

      Russia is Europe's largest producer of greenhouse gases, but Russian businessesespecially its power companiesare hoping to cash in on a provision in the Kyoto Accord, which would help change that. The Kyoto Accord sets certain pollution goals to be met by 2012, and these goals are based on 1990 greenhouse emissions. For instance, the countries in the EU are required to reduce their emissions to 8 percent below their 1990 levels. In a strange twist of irony, Russia is already way below their target as a result of the collapse of the Soviet Union. In fact, Russia produces 43 percent less greenhouse gas by weight than they did in 1990. It is estimated that this difference, which can be sold to other countries in the form of carbon credits ranges in value between US$20-60 billion. So it's not like the cash is going to starving peasants in the Third World, it's actually going to the gangsters who run Gazprom.
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    19. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the subsidies aren't that much in comparison to the amounts charged. But people need energy to live and making sure there is a way to get energy to them is a necessity that is justifies the subsidies.

      On the other hand, a good majority of alternative energy research is subsidized also. I don't know the ratio to productions units for a proper comparison but the same effect is happening.

      People think that companies print money and will never run out of it. They also think that the government can do the same. I hope your one of the people that know this just isn't true. The idea of making anything more expensive to the citizen when we are in a situation where energy is more of a utility then a commodity much in the same ways that Police forced and fire departments are. We just cannot live without them. So if we impose this arbitrary fee on energy, it will have to be passed on to the consumer which means we either suffer or demand more pay which in turn causes other prices to go up. There is in effect no sound reasoning behind the Carbon tax outside a feel good somewhat religious experience.

      There is no empirical evidence that carbon taxes do anything but impose fees that effectively tax the consumer. There is actually no empirical evidence that the carbon we emit is doing any damage, it could be Mexico's carbon or Europe's. Yet in some cases we are talking about hiking energy costs up for everyone in a vein attempt to enrich some and make others feel good about the environment. This is a cost that was never part of the picture and is being placed there by arbitrary forces with no sound reasoning but to force inefficient technology on us.

      There is a big problem with that. Or would it be OK if out of the blue I started charging you for every word you typed on slashdot in order to compensate for the carbon used to power your submission. And what if we calculated the entire round trip's carbon foot print and placed the tax on your utility bills or just taxed you for it. But more specifically, IBM's carbon credits, how do we know if they are going to be notices or remotely recognized by any official credit or taxing agency like the government. What if the US decides that certain carbon credits recognized by Kyoto and whatever aren't god enough and amount to a scam and refuse to accept them?

    20. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Fine, in principle.

      In practice, the tricky part is establsihing what portion of what harm came from humanly generated carbon-emissions.

      It took literally -decades- for courts to even establish that yes, smoking is directly related to lung-cancer, and yes, if a person has been smoking for decades and develop lung-cancer, it is likely that smoking is the cause. (it's not certain, you can very well develop lung-cancer even without smoking, it's just less likely) That's decades *after* it was scientifically consensus.

      Currently, there's people claiming there exist no global warming at all. You've got others arguing it exists, but the net-effect is *positive* not negative. Yet others claiming it exists, but sunspot-activity is the reason. Yet others arguing that it exists, but some other terrestrial reason is the cause. And so on and so on.

      There's also the sligth problem of jurisdiction. I somehow don't think it'll be practical for farmers in Brazil to sue 39522 companies in 179 jurisdictions for their share of the blame for this years drougth. Even if it could be proved that it was caused by global warming. (which is doubtful: you may well be able to prove that the weather is on -average- drier in some region due to global warming, but proving that this spesific drougth is caused by that is another matter alltogether.)

      In short, no, I don't think the courts will be able to trash this out.

    21. Re:Carbon credits = lame by dk.r*nger · · Score: 1

      The problem is that carbon credits suggests that carbon pollution is a resource, that we have n units of carbon pollution, and we should make the most of them - but what we really want it to limit carbon pollution as much as possible. Carbon credits is the wrong solution to the right problem - it just moves the pollution, it doesn't eliminate it.

      When enough companies turn green, and there is sure a trend in that direction (granted, also because of carbon credits), they all want to sell thier credits. When supply exceeds demand, price will drop - which means that the incentive to pollute goes up (assuming that operating a low-emission version of a given business is more expensive than running the old, high-emission version). Consider this scenario: Caddillac buys enough carbon credit cheap enough that they can sell a zero-emission Escalade, simply by stuffing enough carbon credits in the trunk? Net win: 0.

      The market economy right solution to carbon pollution, is to consider it an externality. Simply impose a tax on carbon emissions - probably a few cents per. kg carbon. This will provide a direct incentive to lower emissions, that doesn't become smaller as technology advances.

    22. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Ost99 · · Score: 3, Informative

      First of all, the idea that developing countries will get larger quotas than they currently use is wrong.

      To get the credit market to work, you need to make sure there are higher demand than supply, that should not be hard.

      Here (in Norway) the state will not issue any "free" credits to the industry.
      The state will sell credits for up to 85% of our current emission levels, above that the industry will have to buy credits abroad or reduce their emissions.

      Reduction abroad will in many cases be less expensive than domestic reductions (both because the implementation cost will be lower in a developing country, but also because the cheaper "early" improvements already has been done at home). As long as credits bought from abroad reduces emissions where they were bought, the system works.

      There are also individuals and organizations positioning themselves to buy up credits without any intentions of using them.

      The credit system will be make sure that existing emission-reduction technology will be implemented as soon as the credit price rise above a certain level. What it will not ensure is funding for long term research into new solutions.

      Research into new energy sources and emission-reduction technology still needs heavy governmental support. A good start would be 1% of GDP for all industrialized countries.

      The nonsense about the carbon credit system being a wealth redistribution system is just stupid.
      Giving / implementing emission-reduction technology to the industry in the developing is in no shape or form redistribution of wealth, it's saving our bacon.

      And remember, a large part of the industry in the developing countries is owned by multinationals, if the carbon credit system did not include those countries, all that would happen is that even more of the worlds production would "globalize".

      --
      ---- Sig. gone.
    23. Re:Carbon credits = lame by VagaStorm · · Score: 1

      When it comes to environment: California != USA. California has stricter environmental laws than almost anyone, that is not the standard in the US. at least not to my knowledge.

    24. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Ost99 · · Score: 1

      If industrial growth continues while the total carbon credits in circulation declines over time, this should not be a problem.

      It's a stated goal in Norway to reduce the domestic carbon credits sold to 0 by 2050. All carbon credits will have to be bought (preferably by paying for emission-reduction technology) in other countries.

      --
      ---- Sig. gone.
    25. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Alchemist253 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Part of the problem is that we see a perpetuation of the myth that everyone's opinion is equally valid on this issue (or any issue, for that matter).

      There is of course the old phrase, "you are entitled to your own opinion, not to your own facts." But let's suppose that everyone agrees on the basic facts. The facts in question are not things like global average surface temperature; the global warming opponents are correct that we do not have actual temperature data for most of the planet's history. Instead, the facts are more obscure: oxygen isotope ratios, nitrogen exchange rates, geological strata, etc.

      Valid interpretation of these data (and their significance vis a vis human involvement) is HARD! I am an organic chemist by training, which probably makes me better suited to analyze the facts than most, but even I readily admit that I have difficulty deciphering the maze of evidence out there. Fortunately, there are others (climatologists) who have spent decades or longer learning all there is to know about climate science, and scrutinizing the data. The OVERWHELMING CONSENSUS among PhD-level climatologists (and I know a few personally) is the global warming is REAL, and is HUMAN CAUSED.

      Now, the problem arises when politicians, businessmen, and even scientists stepping outside their discipline start second-guessing the climatologists' work. I submit that unless you have equivalent training, education, and experience as those with whom you disagree on a fundamentally scientific issue, your opinion COUNTS LESS. I completely ignore the ramblings of the people talking about sunspots, et cetera, because I trust that the majority of climate scientists knows what it is doing. My only alternative is to go for a PhD in that field, and start slowly bringing myself to the majority's level.

      It strikes me as interesting that most people (not necessarily most on Slashdot, though) tend to willingly accept the pronouncements of auto mechanics, physicians, and electricians, for example, all of whom are similarly professionals but working in fields much more comprehensible and accessible than climate science. But when it comes to global warming, suddenly everyone and their brother know more than the professors.

    26. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You fail to realize we do do not exist in a truly free market.

      Carbon certificates are ridiculous inventions that, in the long-run, are just another way to steal money from the average working Joe. Companies have costs, and when their costs primarily revolve around servicing debt, satisfying stock holders, buying carbon certificates and investing in cleaning up the messes they make instead of investing in technology that doesn't create a mess in the first place the guy who works the line, manages the people, fixes the machinery or builds the plant all lose out. They don't get raises, they don't get promotions, and the company and economy stagnate.

      It's a scam; global warming is occurring because the sun is getting hotter and it always has because of that. A carbon-tax is nothing more than an invasive way to distract attention away from the truely dangerous environmental problems; mass dumping of dioxins and heavy metals, aluminum used for bottling soft drinks, lax food standards that lead to epidemics of disease and cancer, fluoridation of water. Those are REAL environmental issues with real side effects that we can do something about and have in the past until the government decided to be lax about it.

    27. Re:Carbon credits = lame by ErroneousBee · · Score: 5, Informative

      My last remark in that comment was based on my immediate perception of the USA from Europe, sorry.

      Hmmm... Let's list the first nation with an emission test for vehicles. (California 1966, USA 1968)
      How about the first legislation on auto manufacturers for fuel efficiency (USA 1975)
      Now, just to be sure, let's list the top five carbon emitting nations - per capita.

      Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, Luxembourg, Trinidad and Tobago (weird)

      I hope this helps to change your perception. Granted, some of our policies are misguided, or downright stupid, but that's a lot different than intentionally negligent.

      Actually, lets list them all

      And lets observe that the top 9 have a population of about 12million, and are all island, desert or city states.
      Let us also observe that the major European states (UK, Germany, France, Spain) all have half the per-capita figures of the USA.

      The reason the US eneacted those laws before Europe is because Europe was going for small and efficient anyway (E.g. by producing the Mini and VW beetle, and there was already pressures on fuel efficiency via fuel taxes and fuel rationing (during the war).

      This attempt at spinning the figures, plus trying to shift the focus away from yourselves and small countries, most of whom are producing oil for the industrialised nations anyway, will only reinforce many perceptions about Americans.

      --
      **TODO** Steal someone elses sig.
    28. Re:Carbon credits = lame by StopKoolaidPoliticsT · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Kyoto is fundamentally flawed in that the two biggest up and coming polluters (China and India) are exempt. If everyone else cleans up their act (by shipping all their dirty manufacturing to those countries), we haven't solved anything, just shifted the mess to someplace with fewer regulations.

      People in the USA tend to drive massive, fuel-hungry cars and fly planes a lot, which looks bad. ... My last remark in that comment was based on my immediate perception of the USA from Europe, sorry. Maybe you shouldn't believe everything you see in the movies and/or your papers. Millions of people, maybe 100 million, in the US have never even flown. We're also a big country (about 3000 miles from coast to coast, where the major commerce centers are located) and that necessitates air travel for some things. Just because you can drive from one side of Germany to the other in a couple hours doesn't mean I can get from New York to California that fast. Oh, and mass transit can't work in the vast majority of the US where the population density is miniscule so those people are going to have to have cars, trucks, etc to be able to live. Still, millions of adults (at least tens of millions), don't own a car at all.

      Ok, ok, I'm kidding. Everyone in the US (kids too) drives a hummer and has a C-130 that they bring it onto so they can fly it cross-country. The BBC told me so.
      --
      Stop Koolaid Politics
    29. Re:Carbon credits = lame by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Sure, of course it's not possible to get this exactly right, but you don't need to. You only need to make the products of companies that emit carbon more expensive. Trying to figure out how much more expensive is what this is all about - the current "state of the art" is carbon credits, the prices of which are set by politicians in response to lobbying. Having them set by the courts is only a minor improvement, but it is still an improvement. You can take into account 'increased risk' with some fancy formulas if you like, or you can say something like "you have a 1 in N chance of having to pay for this disaster" - the effect in terms of raising prices would be the same.

    30. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Aczlan · · Score: 2, Interesting

      When it comes to environment: California != USA. California has stricter environmental laws than almost anyone, that is not the standard in the US. at least not to my knowledge.
      California standards are defacto standards for the rest of the US as carmakers make all their cars to meet California standards, that way they dont have to have a "California edition" and a "rest of the US edition"...
      --
      "Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed lamb contesting the vote
    31. Re:Carbon credits = lame by JonathanR · · Score: 1
      What a bureaucratic nightmare. There is a simple formula for determining the amount of CO2 emitted from a process.

      C + O2 -> CO2
      So the simple way of capping carbon emissions, is to cap the supply of carbon based fuels. This is the only way that any useful CO2 emmissions reduction will take place, as the carbon-based fuels vendors will surely find other ways/markets in which to sell their product. Unless regulated by government (or geology), nothing will change: They aren't in the business to limit the growth or reduce their market share.

      So: You wanna cap emissions to X percent of 1990 levels? Then limit production of carbon-based fuels to X percent of 1990 production levels. Obviously, you can't do that in one fell swoop, but certainly you could ramp down fossil fuel production over time to meet that target.

      Having said that, economic recession would almost be assured. However, it certainly would get corporations thinking hard about their energy supplies, and renewables would automatically become more cost-effective.
    32. Re:Carbon credits = lame by jrminter · · Score: 1

      The OVERWHELMING CONSENSUS among PhD-level climatologists (and I know a few personally) is the global warming is REAL, and is HUMAN CAUSED.

      I agree with much of what you wrote concerning the difficulty of the problem. You seem to omit the observation that several prominent meteorologists with decades of research into the thermodynamics and fluid mechanics of tropical storm formation reject the conclusions of the climatologists that you cited. Sadly, too much in this debate is controlled by the push to get funding for research into fashionable theories and too little honest scrutiny of the conclusions.

    33. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Also, the USA didn't sign up to Kyoto. My last remark in that comment was based on my immediate perception of the USA from Europe, sorry. Right, not signing up for Kyoto is so much worse than signing up and then not even coming close to meeting the standards that were agreed upon. The last report I have seen was that the largest European countries not only weren't going to meet their Kyoto mandated reductions in carbon emissions, but were actually going to have increased carbon emissions.
      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    34. Re:Carbon credits = lame by khakipuce · · Score: 1

      Of course there is a cost to emitting Carbon, and it is a very real one that we all pay each day. Emit no carbon and you pay no fuel bills. Irrespective of the global warming debate, using less fuel means more profitable companies, and it's only the fact that energy has been very cheap compared to the cost of doing anything about reducing usage that has stopped us from looking at this issue.

      We have seen fuel costs rise steadily and they will continue to do so, which will drive up the benefits of being fuel efficient. I personally believe that global warming will add to the rate of increase of fuel costs (e.g. damaged refineries, civil unrest in oil producing countries, etc) and so we will see the necessary feedback, Carbon Trading merely seeks to control the market so that the number of people who die due to Global Warming related issues (wars over water, land, etc) is minimized.

      --
      Art is the mathematics of emotion
    35. Re:Carbon credits = lame by jargon82 · · Score: 3, Informative
      1.) Kyoto is broken anyway. I truly wish no one had signed it.
      2.) The US has signed (but not ratified) Kyoto.
      For more on my first point, as I understand it kyoto caps industrialized countries, but not many other polluting countries. China is the best example of an "exempt" country, and is indeed the stated reason for the US not ratifying the treaty. China's emissions at this point are stated as having exceeded the US.

      The end result of this, and I think we all know it, is that if the US was to ratify and abide by the treaty, large numbers of US (and non-US, for that matter) corporations would move their polluting industry to China. How, exactly, does this reduce global emissions?

    36. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm European (a Finn to be exact) and I feel simply ashamed for the idiocy in the GP post. Kudos for your patience in explaining.

      Over here we do get a funny image of USA quite often -- something of a combo of Hollywood/TV unrealism and Michael Moore negativism I suppose -- which is of course the fault of the media providers we subscribe to, so ultimately (but not totally directly) it's the fault of each of our own. (In Finland I've gradually come to think that the best TV channels, the ones still having some kind of standards for content quality and news integrity, are the both state owned ones... Soviet Finland huh?)

      I'm so glad I had a chance to spend a few weeks in USA in early '90s, opened my eyes early on to a literally great country -- more a continent full of wildly different states than a "country" -- and some of the nicest and most thoughtful people I've met in my life.

      I love Finland, but I deeply like a quite a few States over there and feel okay about bashing Bush all the time :-P

      Cheers, Tom

    37. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I didn't say there's real doubt that global warming is real, and is atleast largely the result of human activity. There is scientific consensus on this and has been for a while. (despite the fact that there exist isolated scientists who think otherwise)

      My point is, there are strong forces who see it as beneficial to nurture and fuel what little uncertanities exist, and it's likely it'll take a long time before the scientific consensus is universally accepted as real.

      There wheren't any real doubt about the dangers of tobacco-smoking in 1970 either, indeed the Surgeon General released a thorough report on it in 1964, based on more than 7000 published papers showing a very clear risk. Nevertheless only in the mid 1990ies, 3 DECADES later was the same facts established in court.

    38. Re:Carbon credits = lame by xaxa · · Score: 1

      "First" is good, but it isn't everything.

      The legislation for fuel efficiency clearly isn't working that well (or maybe it needs to be updated to reflect newer technology) -- I don't know if the EU has equivalent legislation, but the average fuel efficiency of cars here is better than the average fuel efficiency of American cars.

      Not signing Kyoto seems intentionally negligent (I don't blame you specifically, but the governments. However, Americans did vote for their governments).

    39. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      How about the first legislation on auto manufacturers for fuel efficiency
      IIRC, it was along the lines of "If we could get miles per gallon, rather than gallons per mile, that would be nice. At least try to look like you're making an effort".
      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    40. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, we didn't.

    41. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      -1 foil-hat wearing nutter.

    42. Re:Carbon credits = lame by xaxa · · Score: 1

      Ok, I've learnt not to hit "Submit" when I'm about to leave the house in a hurry.

      I found an article called Britons named world's biggest emitters of CO2 from air travel. (I've already written to my MP [Member of Parliament] opposing the expansion of London Heathrow Airport, which is the busiest in terms of some statistic in the world.) At the bottom it says "But overall, US adults have the biggest annual travel carbon footprint in the world at 7.8 tonnes, more than double France's 3.7 tonnes, which comes in at number two. Third on the list, at 3.1 tonnes, is Britain." -- the USA is a big jump ahead of France there! I know you have sparse settlements (I have been to the USA, I liked some things, disliked others), but I really hope you find some solution to that. For instance, "If one in 10 Americans used public transportation regularly, U.S. reliance on foreign oil could be cut by more than 40 percent--the amount we import from Saudi Arabia each year." (source). This notes that public transport use in America has now got back to the level it was at 50 years ago -- I don't know how much settlement density has changed in that time, maybe people have left cities a lot (?), but if it used to be possible, why isn't it possible any more?

    43. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Stonent1 · · Score: 1

      So who's fault is it that Mars' temperature rises and falls with the Earth's temperature?

    44. Re:Carbon credits = lame by fotoguzzi · · Score: 1

      Other people pull things out of their arse. The real Mike pulls them out of his head.

      --
      Their they're doing there hair.
    45. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Zebedeu · · Score: 2, Informative

      Be careful when listing Luxembourg in any per-capita statistics: it's a very small country and most people (60% according to the CIA world factbook) who work there live in the neighbouring countries and cross the border everyday (nowadays in Europe you almost don't even notice when you're crossing borders).

      Therefore, Luxemburg has the statistics of a country with many times it's real population, which usually inflates per-capita indexes.

    46. Re:Carbon credits = lame by cduffy · · Score: 1

      the current "state of the art" is carbon credits, the prices of which are set by politicians in response to lobbying.
      Are you sure? I thought that the prices were set by the market, and only the quantity available was set directly by the politicians.
    47. Re:Carbon credits = lame by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Overwhelming consensi(consensuses?) in a less than 100 year old scientific field are about as reliable as a 1970 Gremlin today. When the precious computer models can accurately account for things like albedo change, cloud/weather interaction, and can properly model the last 50 years without date input and open source their code, then they will have some real credibility. Until then it's the equivalent of a government funded circle-jerk. And just for the record, unless it's someone I trust, I assume that the people in the above professions are probably doing something to rip me off. Fortunately I haven't needed to see a doctor for anything major for quite a while, I can run basic wiring quite well on my own thank you, and since I don't have money out the wazoo, I don't need an electrician for anything since I'm not doing anything truly complex. As for auto mechanics, I've got 3 separate relatives who work on cars. I don't go to an auto mechanicsexcept for things like alignment, and I know exactly how much that should cost.

    48. Re:Carbon credits = lame by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      But don't get rewarded by lower power bills? Maybe I should get some carbon credits since my electricity comes from a carbon free source?
      Seems like a good way to pay people to push paper. You will create thousands of jobs just to keep track of these carbon futures. They will fly on jets to conferences and drive to work every day. They will run computers to keep track of this and that and will in the end consume power and produce carbon all the while making nothing but paperwork.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    49. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This has benefit over the rather artificial carbon credits market, in that the "cost" of emitting a ton of CO2 is - as you rightly point out - basically pulled out of somebodies arse right now. What's more, they were deliberately set low enough to not have any impact on existing businesses, so instead of bringing about real change they just brought extra democracy. The idea of using markets to take action is the right one, but the "risk premium" needs to be priced into everyday goods.


      It doesn't matter if the cost is "low", it's the principle of the thing. You've implemented yet another "tax", a new policy which you admit is not fully understood. What a terrible way to run a government.
    50. Re:Carbon credits = lame by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 1

      You're correct about how market mechanisms integrate the information about the carbon externality, but that would imply that a more efficient way to go would be to tax the carbon directly. That way, new startups don't have to figure out the carbon-credit-buying process. Their environmental costs would already be accounted for in the cost of everything they buy.

      Mandating efficiency (as a lot of people want to do) is completely the wrong way to go about it (compared to carbon taxation). For one thing, even when it does make a given process have the exact same functionality yet use less energy, that will free up more income for whoever made the switch, which they will then spend on goods, which themselves take energy to make. The net result is that people end up being throwing off the same externalities, but with each process being more energy effficient. These policies are based on a mindset that people won't otherwise adapt their behavior in response to policies, that if we just provide X units of energy/year, no one will ever want for more.

      Second, efficiency mandates will always be "one step behind". You can mandate efficiency for today's technologies, but then even if you somehow found the "optimal" efficiency to mandate for literally everything we use, you won't have accounted for the newer ones.

      A lot of policies out there seem more interested in "shutting down progress" than in actual concern for the environment...

    51. Re:Carbon credits = lame by StopKoolaidPoliticsT · · Score: 5, Insightful

      At the bottom it says "But overall, US adults have the biggest annual travel carbon footprint in the world at 7.8 tonnes, more than double France's 3.7 tonnes, which comes in at number two. Third on the list, at 3.1 tonnes, is Britain." -- the USA is a big jump ahead of France there!

      For instance, "If one in 10 Americans used public transportation regularly, U.S. reliance on foreign oil could be cut by more than 40 percent--the amount we import from Saudi Arabia each year." (source). This notes that public transport use in America has now got back to the level it was at 50 years ago -- I don't know how much settlement density has changed in that time, maybe people have left cities a lot (?), but if it used to be possible, why isn't it possible any more?

      I'd be surprised if 1 in ten Americans (30 million people) weren't using public transportation regularly. In NYC, it's a much larger hassle to have a car (fees, tolls, paying for parking, etc) than it is to take the subway. The same is true of nearly every city I've been to in the eastern half of the US (Seattle being the only city I've been to on the west coast and that was either walking or driving around with my girlfriend so I didn't check out their public transportation).

      Outside of the cities (ie the vast majority of the US), public transportation just isn't possible. I live in a town of 7000 people with about 100 miles of road. We have a grocery store in town but I need to go 15 miles (one way) to get a decent selection of food at a reasonable price (a large national chain and another regional chain), to buy clothes, etc. I need to go 25 miles in another direction to get to specialty stores. It's not economically feasible to build a million little stores to service a couple dozen people each. It's also not feasible to expect people to walk up to 5 miles just to get to a public transportation station that will zip them off to those locations once an hour (damn, you missed it by 5 minutes and now have to wait almost an hour). Oh, double the buses, trains or whatever? Ok, you just doubled the carbon output (and costs) and halved the ridership of each transport. You certaintly can't solve the problem of distance to the station by running more transports around to pick people up (they'll be empty most of the time and will end up creating more carbon emissions than cars. For reference, it costs about $400k a year (not counting acquisition of new buses) to bus our kids to/from school on predetermined routes twice a day). The vast majority of the country (excluding dense, urban areas) is even far less dense than my town (190 people/mi^2 or 73.5/km2). I've been places where the distance to the nearest neighbor is measured in miles.

      Finally, only half of the oil used by the United States goes to create gasoline. A quarter of it alone goes to home heating and most of the rest is used for farming and industrial purposes. If gasoline makes up 50% of our oil useage and 10% of Americans using public transportation means cutting oil consumption by 40%, that means that we'll see a 80% reduction in gasoline useage from a 10% increase in transportation. Why, at that rate, if we get 50% of people to use mass transportation, we'll not only stop using gasoline entirely, why we'll be creating 4 times more gasoline out of thin air than we consumed beforehand. Without looking at it, I'd say their numbers are flawed (or highly skewed to consider the 10% only those who use the most gasoline).

      Why does the US use so much gas to get around? Again, it's a big place with a low density so mass transportation just can't work. People like having the freedom of getting in their car and going somewhere on their schedule rather than when some department of transportation decides they can move from point A to point B (and you're screwed if you miss the last ride of the night because you had to work late... it's not a matter of walking a mile pissing and moaning about your luck, you might be walking 50 miles or paying out the ass for a

      --
      Stop Koolaid Politics
    52. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Xiaran · · Score: 1

      LHR is busiest in terms of the number of *international* people that travel through it per year. This is not terribly surprising as it is a gateway airport to the the US and Europe. There are a bunch of busy airport claims around the world. I recall hearing that Atlanta was the busiest airport for the number of people(national and international) which I could believe as I think it is a hub for several major US carriers. From the number of actual flight in and out of an airport O'Hare often claims it is number one as I think along with people a lot of cargo is routed thru O'Hare.

      With regards to opposing the terminal 4 expansion plan this really really needs to be done. Also its not as bad as you think I suspect as once terminal 4 is opened they are apparently going to demolish terms 1 and 2(a good thing... I hate those terminals) and possibly build a terminal 5.

      Everyone is always opposing airport expansion... and yet they still want to take a cheap flight to Warsaw for the weekend :) I come from Australia originally where for decades the city of Sydney has been in need of a third runway. Everyone agrees it needs a third runway. Its just nobody wants it build next to them. In my home town of Canberra they were even proposing expanding Canberra airport to be the third runway and building a high speed rail link to Sydney... Canberra is 300km south of Sydney.

    53. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The U.S. signing Kyoto would seem to me to be a big mistake because those who we are currently transferring jobs / wealth / technology to aren't going to sign it either hence causing an abrupt problem instead of the gradual change. A gradual change can be tolerated, a large jump in anything would be disasterous.

    54. Re:Carbon credits = lame by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 1

      I've seen people argue this a lot but I've never seen it competently substantiated. How are oil companies being "subsidized by our tax dollars"? If you mean that oil and coal have environmental externalities that producers don't currently have to pay, I'm actually on board with you, in the sense that "An uncompensated negative externality is a tax in everything but name." But you said "tax dollars". What subsidy is this referring to? And does it exceed all corporate and fuel taxes the government takes in?

      To save us a few exchanges, let me get this out of the way:

      -Some people are referring to the different depreciation schedule that oil wells get. However, this is to more accurately reflect a company's net book value, the change in which is the basis for the corporate tax, NOT to "encourage drilling".

      -Some people are referring to the tax dollars spent on roads. However, that can't be called a fossile fuel subsidy since it doesn't differentiate based on how the vehicle is fueled. Second, these are already paid for with fuel taxes, and, to the extent there's a shortfall, it's because wasteful building coming from a political process. (Remember, bridges to nowhere are *typical*; they are just normally smaller.)

      -Some people are referring to public payment for wars, but if anything, this hinders access to oil, and at best benefits specific oil companies, not oil companies as such.

      In contrast, reweables actually get direct, unambiguous subsidies in the form of tax credits and farm programs.

    55. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the subsidies aren't that much in comparison to the amounts charged.

      Cash payments to energy companies are a tiny part of the subsidies.

      Being permitted to pollute - including fossil CO2 emissions - is a tremendous subsidy.

      A foreign policy - including going to war - aimed at keeping the oil flowing is also a tremendous subsidy.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    56. Re:Carbon credits = lame by rcs1000 · · Score: 1

      "There is actually no empirical evidence that the carbon we emit is doing any damage"

      May I turn the question round? The government needs to spend money on schools, prisons, hospitals, wars in the Middle East, etc. It needs to get money from somewhere through tax. If you charge somebody for their behaviour (i.e. if you tax it) - whether emitting carbon, smoking or working - then you discourage it.

      Surely it is better that we discourage the emission of carbon into the atmosphere than we discourage working?

      --
      --- My dad's political betting
    57. Re:Carbon credits = lame by InsaneProcessor · · Score: 1

      This whole thing is just smoke and mirrors to make someone a lot of money.

      Look at me! I am saving the planet by saving a couple of kilowatts of power!

      HOOOOEY. We can no more "save the planet" than we can destroy it. The nature that God created will take destroy parts of, and re balance itself as it always has. This is just proof of one cause that has run amok.

      --

      Athiesm is a religion like not collecting stamps is a hobby.
    58. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First of all, the idea that developing countries will get larger quotas than they currently use is wrong.

      To get the credit market to work, you need to make sure there are higher demand than supply, that should not be hard.
      I'm sorry. Rant here. In a market, supply and demand are both curves. With opposite slopes. They intersect. When the price goes up, the quantity demanded falls, and the quantity supplied rises. You can't meaningfully say that the demand exceeds supply. Now, it's possible for quantity demanded to be greater than the quantity supplied. That usually means that the price will go up, so that the quantity demanded falls, and the quantity supplied rises. Unless the price is fixed. This usually just happens if there's a price ceiling. Then it's not really a free market anymore.
    59. Re:Carbon credits = lame by netwiz · · Score: 1

      I thought the discovery that the CO2 levels follow temperature change 800 years behind (for the last half-million years or so) kinda blew the entire anthropological global climate change theory completely out of the water. In fact, it kinda proves the opposite, that we not only didn't cause this, but that there's really nothing we can do to stop it, either.

    60. Re:Carbon credits = lame by BlueParrot · · Score: 3, Informative

      Better yet, lets show peopel the damn picture:
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:CO2_per_capita_per_country.png

      There you go, emissions, per capita, of the whole world. Nicely colour coded. Lets see the neo-cons try to weasel out of that one.

    61. Re:Carbon credits = lame by drix · · Score: 1

      Why not do both? Last I checked the two aren't mutually exclusive. Every little bit helps.

      --

      I think there is a world market for maybe five personal web logs.
    62. Re:Carbon credits = lame by StopKoolaidPoliticsT · · Score: 2, Insightful

      There are people who will drive cars no matter what... not liking mass transportation doesn't doesn't mean they see it as socialism. As I previously enumerated, people like having the freedom to come and go as they please rather than according to someone else's schedule. People like having a way to get home when they have to work late or being able to get their kid to the doctor in the middle of the night for a non-critical problem that doesn't require an ambulance. Also, in the vast majority of the country (read everywhere but the cities and dense suburbs), mass transportation is more inefficient than owning your own vehicle.

      There's about 100 miles of road to cover in my town (spread over 41 square miles of area). If a bus gets 10 mpg and it runs the entire 100 miles once an hour to pick people up so they don't have to walk 5 miles to the bus stop and does so from 5am until 11pm (18 hours a day), that's 1800 gallons of fuel a day to service 2693 housholds, just to shuttle them to the train or grocery store. Now, assuming every household drives that same 5 miles twice a day (once to work and once home), and their vehicle averages 30 mpg, that's 808 gallons of gas they use for the same route. If they're all idiots and make the trip twice because they didn't pick up something for dinner on the way home, we're still about 200 gallons per day ahead of the bus. In the end, the car ends up being better for the environment, preserves the people's independence and since they own a car, they might as well use it so things fit their schedule instead of planning around someone else's arbitrary one. To top it off, most of the country is way less dense than my semi-rural/outer-suburb town.

      I don't care what public transportation looks like... the question is whether or not it can adequately suit my lifestyle (I ride the Metro in DC all the time because the hassle of driving isn't worth it) at a reasonable cost (and it's cheaper to own a car where I live (western NY) than force people to use mass transportation). If you really want to get the kneejerk "this is socialism and I won't be a part of it," force people to use mass transportation and take their cars away from them. For the most part, we don't care what the other guys do as long as we aren't forced to be part of it.

      --
      Stop Koolaid Politics
    63. Re:Carbon credits = lame by thosf · · Score: 0

      You can get a free carbon offset certificate here: http://www.learn-futures.com/free/

    64. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Okay, you showed a picture of a highway during gridlock. The reason gridlock happens on highways? Because work for most people starts at 9 and ends at 5. So everybody hits the highways at the same time. But wait, there's more! Some idiot gets in a wreck, and shuts down one or two lanes of the highway, creating a bottleneck!

      So. How do you propose a viable mass transit system for a few hundred thousand people commuting anywhere from a mile to 50 miles, that mostly spans two two-hour periods?

      Must be quick, convenient, and effecient! Go!

    65. Re:Carbon credits = lame by fishbowl · · Score: 1


      >It took literally -decades- for courts to even establish that yes, smoking is directly related to lung-cancer

      This example is problematic. Scientific conjectures that smoking and lung cancer were connected, date back to 1929. But experimental toxicology did not lead to solid conclusions until 1996 when Beckman researchers finally connected the molecular evidence.

      I don't really understand what "courts" have to do with science, but whatever. It was a difficult problem, research-wise. A lot of other discoveries had to be made connecting environmental / occupational factors to specific cancers before this was really well understood.

      Now the anecdotal evidence was compelling, and clearly the tobacco companies had to be ordered by courts to accept the anecdotal evidence. But even when the first Surgeon General's warning went on the packs stating that smoking was *known* to cause cancer, it really was still not understood *how* it caused cancer. So the warning was as political as it was scientific.

      --
      -fb Everything not expressly forbidden is now mandatory.
    66. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      I think your adding too many hypothetical situations to the mix.

      You see, when you add the idea of fossil "Co2" emmisions to the mix, you have to consider the same for production on the clean energy devices and transportation. I read once the only way ethanol production is profitable is because it uses fossil fuels for energy in the production cycles that increase the already small gain in energy seen from using it. Theoretically, Solar has a higher transition coefficient then "clean fuels" like ethanol. And by transition coefficient, I mean the costs to to produce the energy every step from manufacturing to to implementation and use. Not counting that is like robbing peter to pay paul. And when your looking at a 10-20% efficiency on say solar or even ethanol, that already costs more then current energy, the total cost of energy for that product is going to go up even further.

      SO by mandating carbon taxes, we are only adding level of complexity to the situation and maybe spreading the costs out a little. We would be better off just legislating emissions goals along with mandated clean energy quotas where so much of an industry must use so much clean energy.

      Now the idea of a war for oil is a popular myth. It is also as ignorant as claiming the sky is blue because god made it that way so you can ignore any processes that "god" might have employed. We do not go to war over oil. Never have. This fallacious argument is often touted by anti war crowds and people with ulterior motives against a government.

      Whenever this idea of war for oil is brought up, I am reminded of the elementary school math problems that say something like if a train goes south at 50 miles per hour carrying 200 passenger for 2 hours how far will 100 passengers go in 2 hours. You see, you have to look at what is said and discern the facts relevant to the question being asked. Just because a country has oil, or has access to oil doesn't mean that oil is a motivating factor in a war or any actions we take concerning it. Just like splitting the passengers in half in the above math/word problem has no relevance to the answer asked for. You should never attribute malice for something that can easily be attributed to ignorance but when this oil for war comes up, I have to wonder if the intent isn't a malicious attempt to cloud the issues as well as mislead followers.

    67. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's more, they were deliberately set low enough to not have any impact on existing businesses, so instead of bringing about real change they just brought extra democracy (emphasis added).

      I wonder if you meant bureaucracy?
    68. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 1

      You don't need to know -how- something works to be able to say that it -does- work. So your argument makes no sense.

      If you inject a certain substance in rats, and the develop cancer much more than equal rats injected with a placebo, you can say with fair confidence that the substance increases cancer-rates in rats.

      You can say that even if you have no fucking clue whatsoever -HOW- that happens on a cellular or molecular level.

      The surgeon General in the 1960ies based statements on a lot more than "anecdotal evidence", like I said, his warnings where based on 7000 peer-reviewed scientific studies.

      Really, there was rock-solid scientific consensus that smoking increases risk of lung-cancer DECADES earlier than the 1990ies.

    69. Re:Carbon credits = lame by FailedTheTuringTest · · Score: 1

      Tell you what: I'll show you lists of the authors and reviewers of the latest IPCC assessments, and you show me a list of the "several prominent meterologists" who disagree with them. My money is on the group that just won a Nobel Prize.

      Here are the IPCC's working groups: The Physical Science Basis contributors and reviewers (see Annex II in that file); Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability contributors and reviewers; Mitigation of Climate Change contributors and reviewers. IPCC press information claims 800 contributing authors, 450 lead authors, and 2,500 scientific expert reviewers.

    70. Re:Carbon credits = lame by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      But wouldn't it be better in the long term to maximize the number of people that die? Surely that is the true path to reducing the amount of energy consumed. If we can reduce the amount of energy consumed, then not only are we reducing the amount of carbon pollution but also other forms of pollution resulting from that energy use and the industries that exist to supply it.

      If you drive a more efficient car, there is certainly the reduction in emmissions. But if you get rid of the car completely you also eliminate the pollution from the plastics manufacturing that goes into the trim on the car. And you eliminate the pollution from the iron foundary where they make the steel for the frame. And so on. All down the line. Eliminating one car is but a small step, but eliminating all the cars would clean up far more than just the cars and the fuel used.

      Replacing the car's engine with something else doesn't solve the problem. Eliminating the car completely is a beginning. Eliminating the car, the driver and the passengers is the final solution.

    71. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What you're missing in this specific setting is that these companies are doing EXACTLY what you propose...they are funding research into alternative fuels in the only financially viable alternative available to them. By obtaining financial support FROM carbon producing companies they are creating a very clear cost center to THOSE companies that can and will eventually be scrutinized and eliminated. Think of it. You're looking over the books of your favorite (incidental carbon producing) company...and they're doing very well for you - in terms of their stock price - and you see a great big cost associated with "Carbon Credit Offset" or some such. I think investors would say to the board "Reduce this number!"

    72. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      The problem with that is I don't think charging taxes for behaviors are legitimate taxes. What they are actually doing is attempting to tax a fraction of the population because they know it won't be enough to kick the powers to be out of office come the next election cycle.

      Take tobacco taxes for instance. The government spent over a decade getting you to believe that smoking is an addictive addictive blight on out community that primarily effect poor and ignorant people and that you cannot stop smoking on your own. So what do they do? They tax tobacco with a claim that it is an attempt to make you stop smoking. But they know full well that smoking is addictive, it generally effects lower IQ (assumed lower IQ) people and Poorer people who aren't likely to organize anything effective enough to punihs the politicians for taxing them. Then they spend the money on non-smoking related porject knowing full well that there will always be a revenue stream for the same basic facts they just pointed out in order to get non smokers to go along with it.

      And yes, I am again use taxes that don't go to something that is purely optional. And sign of addiction or necessity by any other mean should make it off limits to taxes. You would be outraged if the government legalized heroin just for the purpose of taxing it in order to build roads knowing how addictive it is. Or I would hope you would be outraged. The same goes for people who have to have heat in the winter, have to have electricity and utilities. I know a family that had her kids taken away by the state because the electricity was turned off in her apartment for more then 2 days so it isn't like we can go back to the pioneer days. That just isn't an option for the majority of anyone.

      Now the difference between taxing for services that we have determined to be necessary for society. but if you notice, not mcuh of that is funded by taxing activities that the government wants to discourage. This is because for the sane part of the century, we didn't look at addictions or necessary utilities as a guaranteed source of revenue. We have had property taxes and so on where people with extra have paid extra per portion to how extravagant they want the property to be over what is necessary and basically essential. This is why the Mill dollar was created. It has the ability to lower the effects of the taxing on lower valued and more basic homes while those who can afford a little more luxury or are running a rental business ends up paying more. Never have we taxed your ability to live in a house to pay for unicorns and they don't force you to pay taxes if you don't have an income. BTW, you don't need to work to hav an income.

      The idea that taxing something to discourage it rarely has the effect of discouraging something. It usually just turns it into something that only wealthy people can afford. There is a big difference between discouraging something and placing an artificial economic barrier to an activity or product. You end up with less people doing it but not because they don't want to do it. And that is a terrible injustice on a country that is supposed to be free.

    73. Re:Carbon credits = lame by metrometro · · Score: 1

      > You already have to buy carbon credits if you emit CO2 so we have a registry of who emits and how much.

      Badly misinformed. There is no common database, or even a common methodology, for tracking carbon outputs. Right now consultants can make good money helping companies calculate exactly that number. Most have no idea where they are today. The Global Reporting Initiative is a step in that direction, but it's voluntary.

      The nearest analogy is the Toxic Release Inventory, a report which is mandated by US law, but CO2 is not a toxic.

      Further reading: 'carbon finance', Innovest Group, Global Reporting Initiative.

    74. Re:Carbon credits = lame by metrometro · · Score: 1

      Not quite right on the science. You can bind up carbon in lots of useful ways that prevent it from being emitted to the atmosphere as CO2 or methane or other greenhouse gases (many of which are much more damaging than CO2). So you can burn fuel badly and you can burn fuel less badly. Until we have cheaper non-fossil energy, that where most of the cheap emissions reductions will happen.

    75. Re:Carbon credits = lame by omfglearntoplay · · Score: 1

      Sadly, here in the USA too many big business practices prevail... including the brainwashing of the little man into thinking he needs a truck or SUV twice the size of the vehicles used 15 years ago. It's sick. I hate to be political, but I doubt Pres. Bush is helping matters either.

    76. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 1

      People in the USA tend to drive massive, fuel-hungry cars and fly planes a lot, which looks bad.

      So we resort to stereotypes? I drive a Honda and have only flown about 7 times in my life (all work related and I'm not young anymore).

      Also, the USA didn't sign up to Kyoto.

      Thank goodness for small miracles. Kyoto is flawed. China and India were exempt from any restrictions. Japan and Europe can't meet the restrictions. The only countries that improved their emissions were the former soviet countries, and I assume this was due to modernization.

      Evidently the only thing Kyoto did was to give European and Japanese politicians some imaginary moral high ground.

      I was raised to believe that "agreeing to do something" and "actually doing something" are two different things. So what does this say for the Kyoto agreement? Basically it means that no nation has honored any of its goals, and the USA (for once) didn't lie about their environmental and industrial intentions (unlike the signatories).

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    77. Re:Carbon credits = lame by feepness · · Score: 1

      >quote>And lets observe that the top 9 have a population of about 12million, and are all island, desert or city states. Let us also observe that the major European states (UK, Germany, France, Spain) all have half the per-capita figures of the USA. The reason the US eneacted those laws before Europe is because Europe was going for small and efficient anyway (E.g. by producing the Mini and VW beetle, and there was already pressures on fuel efficiency via fuel taxes and fuel rationing (during the war). This attempt at spinning the figures, plus trying to shift the focus away from yourselves and small countries, most of whom are producing oil for the industrialised nations anyway, will only reinforce many perceptions about Americans. The fact that Europe has a much higher population density and consists of older cities where smaller cars are more effective had nothing to do with it.

      Talk about tilting facts!

    78. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      I never liked the idea of giving current polluters credits, it always seemed to me like corporate welfare. But the carbon credit idea is very elegant, and only needs a minor modification.

      Here is my idea: In the beginning of every year, the UN(or any other international body) auctions carbon credits to the highest bidder(every year, the total number of credits left up to auction is a certain percentage lower then the year before(say 25%)) on an open market(Like the US currently sells treasury bonds), that give owner of a credit the legal authority to pollute a certain amount of C02. The proceeds from this auction are then distributed to participating national governments on the basis of population.

      Of course, keep in mind that most CO2 emissions do not stem from Gasoline or coal. Cement, agriculture, the Chemical Industry, and other assorted industrial processes make up the majority of greenhouse gas emissions. These credits would cover those processes too.

      This plan would massively distribute wealth to third world countries(most likely on the order of 300 billion per year), and I consider that a good thing(it is also necessarily, to make sure that they would enter the agreement). But most importantly, the highest bidder for a carbon credit would be the firm that would profit the most off of that credit. This insures that we will have the best possible economy for any given amount of carbon.

    79. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1

      He is referring to demand if there was no artificial scarcity of supply. If we offer more credits than the industry was going to produce anyway, nothing would change. On the other hand, if we decrease supply artificially through government action, then demand(if there was no scarcity) would be higher than the allowed supply.

    80. Re:Carbon credits = lame by R2.0 · · Score: 1

      "Fortunately, there are others (climatologists) who have spent decades or longer learning all there is to know about climate science, and scrutinizing the data. The OVERWHELMING CONSENSUS among PhD-level climatologists (and I know a few personally) is the global warming is REAL, and is HUMAN CAUSED.

      Now, the problem arises when politicians, businessmen, and even scientists stepping outside their discipline start second-guessing the climatologists' work. "

      That is only the face of the "not qualified" coin. The reverse of that coin include the climate scientists who believe they are economists, economists that believe they are politicians, and politicians who believe they are environmental scientists, and any of the above who think tehy have ANYTHING in common with the general populace. All of these folks take your your statement "global warming is REAL, and is HUMAN CAUSED" and then turn into experts on what should be done about it.

      Let's make a deal: climate scientists will get a free pass on their conclusions if they will simply STFU about what we should do about them. We get it - the earth is warming up, and humans are the cause. Now go away while the rest of us figure out what, if anything, to do about it.

      Don't like that? Scientists have opinions too, and should get to voice them? Fine, then so does everyone else. Can't take the heat? Don't make the appeal to expertise.

      --
      "As God is my witness, I thought turkeys could fly." A. Carlson
    81. Re:Carbon credits = lame by mrlibertarian · · Score: 1

      It took literally -decades- for courts to even establish that yes, smoking is directly related to lung-cancer, and yes, if a person has been smoking for decades and develop lung-cancer, it is likely that smoking is the cause.

      True, but when the general population has been convinced a theory is correct, it's likely the courts will be convinced as well. It just takes a while for the scientists to convince the laymen. Plus, for the courts, it's not enough to say that something is 'probably true'. They often need to be convinced that it's true beyond a reasonable doubt. I don't necessarily think that's a bad thing when talking about matters of justice.

      There's also the sligth problem of jurisdiction. I somehow don't think it'll be practical for farmers in Brazil to sue 39522 companies in 179 jurisdictions for their share of the blame for this years drougth.

      Yes, it's practical: Just allow the farmers to voluntarily join a class-action lawsuit.

      you may well be able to prove that the weather is on -average- drier in some region due to global warming, but proving that this spesific drougth is caused by that is another matter alltogether

      Do we need to prove that a specific drought was caused by global warming in order to get some sort of justice? Suppose that five people murder five innocent victims. You can prove that each of the five criminals murdered one of the victims, but you don't know which criminal murdered which victim. Does that mean they all get to walk? I hope not. If so, then perhaps we should change the judicial system, rather than trying to work outside of it.

    82. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "the IS NO COST to emitting carbon that anyone can quantify as yet, so your building this whole retarded carbon trading scheme on NOTHING but speculation, and you know what happens to markets which over speculate?"

      There is a very high chance that the costs of global warming will be enormous: Increased hurricanes, flooding, decreased agricultural productivity, and even the possible shutdown of the north Atlantic current.

      Each of these things have at least a 1% chance of occurring, and would lead to economic damage that FAR outweighs any cost of reducing CO2 to very low levels.

      So the best thing to do? Let a conference of climate scientists decide which level of C02 is necessary to avoid global warming(this will most likely be far lower than now). We then auction off a certain number of credits per year(like we do with SO2) to the highest bidder, working our way to our goal over the course of a decade or two.

    83. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "So the simple way of capping carbon emissions, is to cap the supply of carbon based fuels."

      Most CO2 emissions do not come from fossil fuels(though they are a large part). Cement production, Industrial processes, certain agricultural tilling practices, and waste disposal combined make up a majority of human based CO2 emissions.

      CO2 from fuel is equally bad as CO2 from cement, hence the need for carbon credits.

    84. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1

      My issue with this is that it does not stop global warming, it only assigns blame for it.

    85. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "The problem with that is I don't think charging taxes for behaviors are legitimate taxes. What they are actually doing is attempting to tax a fraction of the population because they know it won't be enough to kick the powers to be out of office come the next election cycle."

      Carbon credits are not taxes, they are property rights. How is the ability to buy land, or the ability to buy a piece of the radio spectrum, any different than a carbon credit?

    86. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      1)The government purposely undercharges for mining rights on government land

      2)The government gives certain tax breaks for oil usage, such as granting tax breaks for truck driving.

      But this is somewhat weak, I would go with the stronger claim that the failure to charge them for carbon usage is a massive subsidy(as you mentioned).

    87. Re:Carbon credits = lame by LWATCDR · · Score: 1

      Well then you must REALLY hate Australia. They have an even higher carbon foot print per person.
      Of course the massive distances involved couldn't possibly have anything to do with it. Canada would have a huge carbon foot print as well except that they have Hydro coming out their ears not to mention that 90% of their population is withing 100 miles of the US boarder.
      The US didn't sign Kyoto because the US didn't believe that was workable and that giving India and China a free pass was a good thing.
      A large number of countries are not meeting the goals that they agreed too.
      As of 2004
      Spain has increased it's emissions by 49%
      New Zealand 21%
      Greece 27%
      Ireland 23%
      Portugal 41%
      These are old numbers but they are the newest I could find doing a fast Google.
      The US is an easy target to pick on. I would like to see us reduce your geenhouse emissions but saying that the US doesn't care about pollution is just wrong. The US stopped selling cars that used leaded fuel at least ten years before the EU did. They also pretty much pioneered most pollution control technology.
      I would love to see every new power plant in the US be nuclear. Hey France gets most of it's power from nuclear reactors. I would like to see more solar roofs as well. Wind I am not too fond of for a number of reasons. I just don't think it is practical in the long term. I also fear that the long terms effect of massive wind farms may be just as bad as the long term effects of massive hydro power.
      But that is just my opinion and I may be wrong about wind power.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    88. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "Simply impose a tax on carbon emissions - probably a few cents per. kg carbon. This will provide a direct incentive to lower emissions, that doesn't become smaller as technology advances."

      This is problematic, as we don't know the price elasticity of carbon. Without that, we could not really set the tax.

      Carbon credits are a great solution if we decrease the number sold every year.

    89. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 1

      You're a bit confused. "beyond reasonable doubt" is only the standard if you're talking criminal law.

      If you're talking other law, like for example contract-disputes or restitution of damages, then it comes down to most-likely.

      class-action lawsuits is the -least- of the problem. You're neglecting here that we're talking literally hundreds of different jurisdictions, all over the planet. Many of those (most even, I'd guess) doesn't even /have/ the concept "class-action". And even if they did, filing individual class-action lawsuits in 173 jurisdictions ain't precisely an easy thing to do, it doesn't help if you're a subsistence farmer with zero education and may not even know how to read.

      It may have been practical if this was a USA-problem. It isn't. It's a -global- problem.

    90. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      I agree with the gist of your argument, but I don't think carbon taxes are very wise. One of the advantages of the carbon credit system is that because credits are sold to the highest bidder, the CO2 that we do use will be for the most productive use possible.

      This is opposed to a carbon tax, where marginal incentive to conserve is irrespective of the productivity of the firm. There is no reason that carbon would be allocated to the most efficient producer. Also, we do not know the price elasticity of carbon, so decreasing emissions with any degree of precision requires much guesswork.

    91. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DELNI-AA · · Score: 1

      Here are the population densities (pop/sq km) for a few countries:
      US 31, Sweden 20, Finland 15.5, Norway: 12 and Iceland 2.9

      In what I guess would be a comparable town of approx 7000 people in Sweden I would expect one or two small supermarkets, a handful other shops, several bus stops and in many cases a high-speed train service that would each take me to nearby cities and towns in a time comparable to taking my car. Healthcare is fine, schools are fine, daycare is fine

      The lack of services that you are referring to is simply an effect of your energy policies. In Europe, energy prices has been maintained at higher levels through taxation. This has led to more energy efficient thinking, resulting in smaller, more efficient cars, more public transportation and an opportunity for smaller towns and cities to stay alive with local shopping, local services offering in many cases locally produced foods and produce. It all adds up to a more balanced and carbon-efficient economy.

      And all these countries are among the top 15 or so on the GDP per capita list.

    92. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Carpathius · · Score: 1

      Okay, let's talk about where I live: Columbus, Ohio.

      I drive about 15 miles to work each day.

      To get to work by car, it takes me about 20-25 minutes.

      No subways or light rail here, so I'd have to use a bus if I wanted
      to use public transportation.

      But all bus routes in Columbus are based upon people wanting to go toword or
      away from downtown. For me to get to work, I would have to ride a bus downtown, wait
      for the correct outgoing bus, and ride it out to my location, probably with one or
      more changes in each direction. It's a minimum (figured by someone who tried it)
      of 90 minutes each way. Three hours or less than one hour travel time a day, which
      would you choose? If you'ld choose the three hours, you must have a lot more time
      than I do.

      That picture you linked to could have been several places in Columbus during rush hours.
      However, it simply isn't feasible for me to ride public transportation to get
      to or from work. It's even worse on the weekends or evenings if I should want to
      go downtown. Buses may run, but they are on reduced schedules. It's unlikely I
      could get the transportation I need in the evening or weekends without spending even
      more than the 90 minutes I stated above in travel time.

      Point is that not all places -- even those that might seemingly have a need for it --
      have public transportation that meets the needs of most of the people in the
      community.

      Sean.

    93. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Because Carbon emissions as property is something that was just made up out of the blue. It never existed before and only exists today because people are attempting to lock into a guaranteed market for profit. The radio spectrum and land at least off something tangible that can be effected by others trespassing on the property. If anything had scam written all over it, this does. You can tax the air people breath or how clean the water naturally is but it doesn't make it any more legitimate. Even with the full force of government behind it.

      Credits imply taxes. They are arbitrary restrictions that amount to fees that otherwise would not be present. If you are forcing a person to obtain credits, the alternative would to be either not participate, pay the difference in a tax, or obtain the credits by some other means. And to do this by making something up the contains no empirical evidence to support it or the necessity of it is fraud.

    94. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DM9290 · · Score: 1

      "The end result of this, and I think we all know it, is that if the US was to ratify and abide by the treaty, large numbers of US (and non-US, for that matter) corporations would move their polluting industry to China. How, exactly, does this reduce global emissions?"

      because there will be a huge political will to add carbon tariffs on imports from China. People generally want to put tariffs on chinese importa anyway. Ratifying kyoto would be just the justification to go ahead and do it. If the US is imposing carbon taxes (or the equivalent) on its businesses, then the rules of economic fairness (as advocated by national economic hero Adam Smith) is to put equalizing tariffs on chinese imports. This is one of the only cases that Adam Smith advocates that tariffs SHOULD BE used.

      --
      No one has a right to their *own* opinion. They have a right to the TRUTH.
    95. Re:Carbon credits = lame by daybot · · Score: 1

      It isn't exactly waist land 10 miles outside every city

      I dunno, suburban life can make you pretty fat...

    96. Re:Carbon credits = lame by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      That's the same thing. How much carbon dioxide should we be emitting? In a perfect world, zero, but we can't do that, so ultimately governments decide how many credits to make available in a somewhat arbitrary manner. Controlling supply is controlling price.

    97. Re:Carbon credits = lame by SimonBelmont · · Score: 1

      If gasoline makes up 50% of our oil useage and 10% of Americans using public transportation means cutting oil consumption by 40%, that means that we'll see a 80% reduction in gasoline useage from a 10% increase in transportation.

      Actually, the comment was that it would cut imports by 40%. Supposing cutting usage by 10% (which also is not the same thing that was mentioned, but we'll ignore that for now) means 40% less imports, that means only that the U.S. satisfies 75% of its oil demand domestically.

    98. Re:Carbon credits = lame by IamTheRealMike · · Score: 1

      How is that a tax? The payments don't go to the government. They'd go to the people who were affected by the impact of climate change, probably via a chain of insurance companies.

    99. Re:Carbon credits = lame by greenbird · · Score: 1

      This whole thing is just smoke and mirrors to make someone a lot of money.

      This whole thing is just smoke and mirrors to make Al Gore a lot of money.

      There, fixed that for ya.

      --
      Who is John Galt?
    100. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 1

      The OVERWHELMING CONSENSUS
      I thought we were dealing with facts? But if the facts don't match my opinion, get emotional and personal. [read blue smoke and mirrors]

      So, please lead by example, what are you doing to reduce carbon emissions? I have 15 acres of trees that breath for me. And I'm told that I can clear cut, cry global warming and get money (not mine) to replant the trees that I just cut down and got the money for. Oh, we didn't sign that treaty, did we.
    101. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "It never existed before and only exists today because people are attempting to lock into a guaranteed market for profit."

      No, it exists as a means to decrease CO2 emissions and mitigate Climate Change.

      "The radio spectrum and land at least off something tangible that can be effected by others trespassing on the property."

      When someone produces CO2, the corresponding pollution causes economic damage to me. because the CO2 producer does not suffer the economic damage caused by his actions, he pollutes more then the level that is optimal for the overall economy.

      Liberty is a wonderful thing, but when my house in Miami Beach gets flooded because a coal factory refuses to use Clean-Coal technology, he is impacting my liberty.

      So don't fall behind pseudo-anarchist simplifications about coercion. In real world, freedoms often interfere with each other, and government Coercion, taxes, and regulation, is often necessary to prevent citizens from infringing on each others freedom.

    102. Re:Carbon credits = lame by greenbird · · Score: 1

      When it comes to environment: California != USA.

      California would be the 8th country in GDP so what it does has more impact than the vast majority of other countries. And for good or bad the US can claim California.

      --
      Who is John Galt?
    103. Re:Carbon credits = lame by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      If you inject a certain substance in rats, and the develop cancer much more than equal rats injected with a placebo, you can say with fair confidence that the substance increases cancer-rates in rats.

      Of course, there is the small issue of choosing the right placebo, dosage, and delivery mechanism. Consider the case of saccharin as an example.

      Research is a time consuming process, and a big part of it is just characterizing and mitigating all of the things that can affect your experiment.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    104. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Alchemist253 · · Score: 1

      I thought we were dealing with facts? But if the facts don't match my opinion, get emotional and personal. [read blue smoke and mirrors]
      You missed my point. The facts themselves are evident but difficult to interpret. I am not a climate scientist; I am not going to try to interpret them. For interpretation, the best I can do is listen to the consensus view of those who are qualified to interpret the data.

      So, please lead by example, what are you doing to reduce carbon emissions?
      1. I bike 16 miles round-trip to work, every day, usually in the rain (especially during winter) instead of driving.
      2. When I do drive, I drive a highly fuel efficient compact car. (Not a hybrid, though that will be my next car.)
      3. I recycle religiously, including pulling aluminum cans out of the waste and moving them to recycling.
      4. My professional research involves developing new synthetic methodology that is intrinsically environmentally friendlier than existing techniques.
      5. My computers are (within practicality) optimized for minimal power consumption.
      6. When at home I use sunlight for lighting during the day, CF bulbs at night.
      7. I volunteer in the field, helping plant trees and other plants that beautify parks and consume atmospheric CO2.
      8. Though it may be a gimmick, I also spend a minimal amount of money each year to purchase carbon credits to offset 100% of my carbon footprint.
      I'm no saint, but to borrow a line from BP's recent advertising, "it's a start."
    105. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Thundersnatch · · Score: 1

      I submit that unless you have equivalent training, education, and experience as those with whom you disagree on a fundamentally scientific issue, your opinion COUNTS LESS.

      And I submit that the opinions of same scientists and their pet fear-mongering politicians on the economics of carbon output and climate change COUNT LESS than the opinions of say, business leaders and the heads of international financial organizations. Al Gore was a journalist for a few years, and half-finished a law degree. He and his ilk are NOT QUALIFIED to demand immediate, sweeping changes that are likely to have drastic effects on the economies of both developed and developing countries. You can't have it both ways.

      The solution, of course, is to get a bunch of really smart, qualified people from all relevant fields in a room and have them figure how big the problem really is and what to do about it. But organizing that requires politics, and the process would be inherently poisoned from the start by the politics of those already involved. It would be great to have a "Global Warming Manhattan Project", but I fear that would require an immediate, visible threat to get everyone to put politics aside and work together. It took World War II to make the Manhattan Project politically and economically viable.

    106. Re:Carbon credits = lame by greenbird · · Score: 1

      Here are the population densities (pop/sq km) for a few countries: US 31, Sweden 20, Finland 15.5, Norway: 12 and Iceland 2.9

      Why didn't you bring up Canada like all the rest of people that bring up these idiotic figures. Despite the overall population density for those countries, 80% of the population lives in a mostly contiguous 20% of the land area. This is not the case for the US. The US doesn't have a few densely populated areas and vast sparsely populated areas. At best it has a number of scattered sparsely populated areas surrounded by densely populated areas.

      --
      Who is John Galt?
    107. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      in the middle ages, there was an agreement between then-best educated people that Earth is flat.

    108. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Alchemist253 · · Score: 1

      For what it's worth, I agree. Al Gore is not a scientist (and you will note that his Nobel was not in one of the sciences). However, he is almost certainly substantially more qualified than most of us to discuss economics, for even being Vice President would (I expect) expose you to a lot of the relevant conversation.

      That said, there are still people more qualified than him to address economics. The problem is that business leaders tend to think short-term. The scientists are providing a long-term outlook that MUST be heeded. How exactly we want to respond I do fully leave to the economists and political scientists, but any response must begin by accepting the best conclusions of the scientific community. (I would also note that on political issues, including the response, the views of the public matter a great deal more. This is because people ARE entitled to their own opinions. I am arguing that the public does not have a great deal of weight in the analysis of the situation since the analysis is scientific, not political, and the people are not entitled to their own facts.)

      A Manhattan Project would be great, but it happened not only because there was an immediate, visible threat, but because there were credible scientists attesting the the viability of a project that, by conventional wisdom, should not have worked. If the Roosevelt administration had claimed that there was "substantial disagreement" among scientists over whether nuclei can even be split (which is somewhat analogous to what is happening today with global warming), the Manhattan Project would never have gotten off the ground.

    109. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      No, it exists as a means to decrease CO2 emissions and mitigate Climate Change.
      Which is something that was made up out of the blue. There is no empirical evidence suggesting carbon credits will have any effect out side your made up scenario. There is nothing showing it reduces Co2 and there is nothing remotly suggesting that it would have any influence on climate change one way or another.

      When someone produces CO2, the corresponding pollution causes economic damage to me. because the CO2 producer does not suffer the economic damage caused by his actions, he pollutes more then the level that is optimal for the overall economy.
      There is no economic damage to you. None what so ever at all except one that is directly caused by this scheme to tax people's existence. You are the benefiter of this carbon use. You are the one profiting from it. You are the cause not the person suplying you with services. Don't you see, if you jack their price up, they just recoup by charging you more. And when you pay more you are in effect absorbing the same god damn costs that you think this evil person destroying the earth for monetary gain will be paying. It is a useless circle, a level of inefficiency that ends up costing more Co2 to be placed into the atmosphere with no real gain. Even if the superficial idea of making someone or something "pay" makes you feel better, there is no benefit in the long run. You might as well find some friends and just start a circle jerk. you will probably feel even better then someone having to "pay".

      Liberty is a wonderful thing, but when my house in Miami Beach gets flooded because a coal factory refuses to use Clean-Coal technology, he is impacting my liberty. Your house in Miami beach isn't going to flood. You will be dead and gone by the time global warming causes that. And it won't be because the electric CO refuses to use clean coal technology, it will be because exponential growth in the population which places and more then exponential demand on electricity and other utilities. And that all hinges on the Idea that global warming it both real and in the manifestation they claim today along side the idea that the effects of it is actually bad.

      There is no empirical evidence to any of that. All we know for sure is that if we change our behavior, we think we will be changing the hypothetical outcome of an event that is neither provable or disprovable as much as creation is.

      So don't fall behind pseudo-anarchist simplifications about coercion. In real world, freedoms often interfere with each other, and government Coercion, taxes, and regulation, is often necessary to prevent citizens from infringing on each others freedom.
      In the real world, there is a benifit that can be seen by these actions. A benefit that doesn't exist in someone's mind. In the real world, some of this is seen as opresive greed by the governments. In the real world, people are supposed to have somewhat of a perspective of the real world. In this credit fallacy, it seem as if all the kooks come out of nowhere thinking they are making a difference of some sorts.

      At best, this is just a layer of complexity that waists resources and costs the same thing you are attempting to change. There are better, more efficient ways of achieving the same goals without having to make stuff up in order to cause you to end up paying in the long run.
    110. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Has anyone noticed that people who deny the human causes of global warming use the same arguments as alcoholics? It's a combination of

      1. Problem? There is no problem, everything is fine: I don't drink/There is no global warming.

      2. Yes, there is something happening but it has no negative impact: Yes I drink but can handle it/The world is warming, so what?

      3. Yes, there is an impact but it is positive: I'm better when I drink/A warmer world is a better world.

      Unfortunately, like alcoholism, a lot of other people end up paying for the bad actions of those who deny the truth.

    111. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 1

      But you "spend a minimal amount of money" to offset your footprint, Why??? You're not doing enough, then?

    112. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The reason europeons like you have half the carbon emmissions is because you don't drive long distances to work.

      In the US it's common to drive 50 to 100mi or more per day from the suburban areas to the cities.
      Add in the sizable farming & industrial population, where people operate heavy diesel machinery for 8 to 12hrs per day.
      Add in the northern parts of the country, where winter demands heavier use of heating fuels.
      Add in the tropical parts of the country, where summer demands heavier use of A/C.

      It's not like people look around and think, can I buy an SUV the size of aircraft carrier, or merely one the size of a cruiser? The majority of the populace does care about the gas milage on their vehicle because they fucking pay for it. Most of the country is not rich enough to pour arbitrarily large sums of money into their gas tank. On the flip side, those 100mi daily commutes do place some constraints on what sort of car someone will buy. Junk like a VW bug that can't merge into 70mph highway traffic isn't going to cut it because it's a safety hazard. Fuel efficiency gets trumped by crash and other safety considerations.

    113. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Alchemist253 · · Score: 1

      Are you being facetious? By "minimal amount of money" I mean that I spend enough to offset my entire carbon footprint, but nothing more. I.e., I take responsibility for myself but leave it to others to do the same.

      Again, I am not advocating for everyone to devote every dollar and every waking minute to saving the environment. As I said, "it's a start." However, I do believe that most people out there (even here on the fairly environmentally conscious west coast) have not even taken the fairly minimal set of steps that I have; if they did, perhaps things would change a little for the better?

    114. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Mr.+Slippery · · Score: 1

      You see, when you add the idea of fossil "Co2" emmisions to the mix, you have to consider the same for production on the clean energy devices and transportation.

      Of course. Eventually, though, renewable energy can be self-supporting. It's sort of like make a new operating system self-hosting; you need another system to start the development, until the infrastructure is build. We'll need to keep using fossil energy to build the infrastructure for renewables. As the sticker cost of fossil energy increases towards its true cost, that has to get factored into decisions made in building the renewable energy infrastructure.

      I read once the only way ethanol production is profitable is because it uses fossil fuels for energy in the production cycles that increase the already small gain in energy seen from using it.

      Ethanol from corn is a completely stupid idea, having more to do with profits for agribusiness than sustainable energy. Sensible biofuels use waste biomass, or easy-care weed crops. Even so, even though it is just about a worse-case example of biofules, corn ethanol still produces more energy than is put it.

      We do not go to war over oil. Never have.

      Har de har har. Nations go to war over natural resources all the time. Ideology and religion are used to whip up the masses, but the base cause is much more often about land or stuff that can extracted from it.

      The U.S. is not an exception. We stuck our nose into Vietnam to keep tungsten and tin coming and fought with Japan over who would get to colonize the Pacific in WWII (how do you think we ended up with a naval base in Pearl Harbor, sugar?).

      Our foreign policy interest in the Middle East is to keep the oil flowing to us and away from our rivals. It's not to promote democracy - we knocked over a democratic government in Iran to install a friendly Shah, stayed buddies with the Saudis, even supported Saddam Hussein for years. This foreign policy has tremendous costs, including wars and other military spending, foreign aid, and intangibles such as looking like an ass to the rest of the world. If you paid for those at the pump and on your heating oil bill, the picture would look very different.

      --
      Tom Swiss | the infamous tms | my blog
      You cannot wash away blood with blood
    115. Re:Carbon credits = lame by vidarh · · Score: 1
      Outside of the cities (ie the vast majority of the US), public transportation just isn't possible. I live in a town of 7000 people with about 100 miles of road. We have a grocery store in town but I need to go 15 miles (one way) to get a decent selection of food at a reasonable price (a large national chain and another regional chain), to buy clothes, etc. I need to go 25 miles in another direction to get to specialty stores. It's not economically feasible to build a million little stores to service a couple dozen people each.

      You're funny. I've lived in towns roughly that size that had plenty of shops. The larger of them was in a county with about 25.000 people total, and had two (small-ish) shopping malls and at least half a dozen supermarkets in the centre, as well as a number of shops and small malls spread out over the rest of the county.

      While there were certainly more people within a reasonable driving distance, this area also faced a huge competition from several large shopping malls within easy driving distance, as well as being within driving range of a larger city.

      Even more remote parts of the county with just a couple of thousand people has it's own mall.

      Public transport wise, it's served by a dozen or so local bus lines, and a couple of train stops. Outside the centre it'd be inconvenient without a car, but certainly not impossible.

      In Norway this is nothing special. You'll certainly find lots of rural areas with population densities too small to make it practical to go everywhere you need without a car (Norway has a population density about 1/10th of the US if I remember correctly), but fewer than you'd think.

      It may not be "possible" to do this in the US, but that is because you're so damn willing to drive for ages to get to larger shops that local stores face much harsher competition. It has everything to do with what choices you make about what kind of society you want.

      Unfortunately I think the only thing that can change that in the US would be far higher fuel prices. Even then it would take decades for things to change - so many US towns are totally built around cars. Just try walking around in a dozen or so smaller US towns - often you get the feeling that even when they do make the odd concession to people walking, they don't actually bother testing the facilities, such as when sidewalks suddenly end, or you have to walk huge detours to safely cross a road. Similarly you find public transit systems many places that are obviously flawed, such as when there's no bus connections connecting downtown areas in small adjacent towns, and/or no bus routes fanning out to residential areas from train stations or central downtown locations.

    116. Re:Carbon credits = lame by vidarh · · Score: 1
      That doesn't make things better. Norway, for example, has workable public transit systems for many tiny communities far outside the 80% of urban areas. Yes, people do depend on cars in the really rural areas, but even in many of the most rural communities you'll find well used bus routes.

    117. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Markus+Landgren · · Score: 1

      Okay, you showed a picture of a highway during gridlock. The reason gridlock happens on highways? Because work for most people starts at 9 and ends at 5. So everybody hits the highways at the same time. But wait, there's more! Some idiot gets in a wreck, and shuts down one or two lanes of the highway, creating a bottleneck!


      No, the primary reason for gridlock on highways is that people roll out their cars on the highways and put them there in long queues.

      So. How do you propose a viable mass transit system for a few hundred thousand people commuting anywhere from a mile to 50 miles, that mostly spans two two-hour periods?

      Rail.

      Must be quick, convenient, and effecient! Go!


      No, it doesn't. It just has to be better than being stuck in gridlock.

    118. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Markus+Landgren · · Score: 1

      Point is that not all places -- even those that might seemingly have a need for it --
      have public transportation that meets the needs of most of the people in the
      community.


      That's a political decision you (you as in the population in general there, I am not inferring anything about you personally and your voting habits) have made. Good public transportation is not infeasible in Columbus, Ohio. You have just not chosen to have it.
    119. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Markus+Landgren · · Score: 1

      I think we're talking past eachother here. Ofcourse you can't use buses to replace every car trip on country roads into a small town. But that's not what was shown in the picture I linked. It's their pollution I'm turning against, more than yours. Their carbon emissions are easier to counteract, and are more unnecessary to begin with. There will always be a place for the car, but commuting in urban areas isn't it. And even in rural areas there's no law of nature that says the cars have to run on fossil fuels, but that's another story.

    120. Re:Carbon credits = lame by captainwisdom · · Score: 1

      It always makes sense to conserve, especially if you can do the same amount of work. What doesn't make sense is the obsession with solar-power. It simply isn't feasible to power our world economy without enormous advances in solar technology. Nice for the future maybe, but not here yet. Heck I love to run everything with unlimited fusion power - but it's not here yet either. This doesn't mean we shouldn't pursue both of these technologies, but we must be realistic. I would say pursue a three-pronged strategy: Short-term: Develop more oil, clean-burning coal, conservation, and fission (next 10 years) Mid-term: More solar and wind (next 20 years) Long-term: Fusion (next 30 years)

    121. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Certainly. Noone ever said research was easy. Much less -good- research.

      However, by the mid-1960ies enough good research had been made on the connection between smoking and lung-cancer that one could with good confidence say that yes, indeed, people who smoke regularily have a much higher risk of developing lung-cancer than people who do not.

      My point was that it took 3 decades from the time where the research was (really!) conclusive, and until the courts recognized and acted on this. Yes, some details about -how- where trashed out later. But the basic fact: smoking increases lung-cancer was known.

      Research is today similarily conclusive on global warming. Yes, the scientists are still quite fuzzy on the details, I expect that'll take another decade or more to trash it out. But there really is well-documented consensus on the basics: CO2-concentration in the atmosphere is increasing. The increase is largely caused by human activity. Higher CO2-concentrations increases the average temperature on earth.

      Waiting 3 decades for the courts to recognize this, and trashing it out in a monster global legal battle strikes me as particularily ineffective. Even if it worked, it'd mean wasting -decades- before even starting, which will make the pain that much greater.

    122. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 1

      You may -think- so. But it's still just plain and simple wrong.

    123. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Eivind · · Score: 1

      Everyones opinion is equally valid, if it's a question of opinion.

      Does lasagne or pizza taste better ?

      Not if it's a question of fact though. If the question is how warm it is today, I'm going to trust the guy that just checked 3 independent carefully calibrated termometers over the guy who held his finger in the air.

      I think it's interesting that the denial seems to be very US-centric. You don't get it over here. Yes, sure, the people -exist- they always do. But it's like perhaps 1-2% of the people here doubt that human activity is the major factor in global warming, while my impression is that thats atleast an order of magnitude higher in the US.

      I think part of it is, it's hard to accept that you personally are to blame for something. We Europeans are too, offcourse, but atleast we can thump our chests and go, well we may pollute too, but atleast we manage to be richer than the Americans while still polluting like 1/3rd of what they do pro capita.

    124. Re:Carbon credits = lame by JonathanR · · Score: 1

      Thanks for your comments. I'd just like to point out that most of those (perhaps with the exception of waste disposal) all pretty much require inputs from fossil fuel.

      Looking at cement production in particular: Sure, the cement calcining reaction produces some additional CO2, but all cement kilns are fired by fossil fuels, and a bit more than half the total CO2 emission is derived from the calcination. Globally, however, cement production accounts for around 2.5% of CO2 emissions derived from industrialization.

      Having said that, I think you missed my point, which was to say that fossil fuel producers have an incentive to sell product. These companies will always make the fuel available, and the user-base of fossil fuels is so diverse, it is a difficult and complex problem to control their emissions. Far better to limit fossil fuel production itself, and then let the market sort out the priority of fossil fuel uses.

      If anybody really came up with a genuine CO2 abatement technology and implemented it, then allowance could be made to add to the fossil fuel production quota accordingly. Most current proposed CO2 sequestration technologies are pipe-dreams that won't see light of day till well after the horse has bolted.

    125. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >Hmmm... Let's list the first nation with an emission test for vehicles. (California 1966, USA 1968)
      How about the first legislation on auto manufacturers for fuel efficiency (USA 1975)

      Which is of course false, because the vehicles yankee use are NOT subject to any efficiency regulations, because they are classified as pickup trucks over 6000lbs curb weight. So the Hummers, Tahoes and the like are free to use a gallon of petrol every ten miles or so and you actually get a big tax refund if you buy this kind of monster car instead of a smaller one. Driving a Geo Metro you would get executed by means of an F150-overrun for being a godless, tree-hugging communist traitor.

      In fact there are no modern diesel cars in the USA, because the ugly americans don't even de-sulphurize their diesel fuel and modern small displacement common-rail injection turbodiesel engines simply do not tolerate contaminated fuel. American big nose 18-wheeler trucks with their 1950's era breathing engines spew the most vicious sulphuric-acid-laden soot you can imagine, destroying forests left and right.

      In Europe people are still used to walk or ride the bicycle when travelling short distances, like grocery six blocks away. Public transport also exists. Cars are smaller and vastly more efficient.

      Also, the lack of high-speed rail connections makes domestic US airline traffic one of the worst source of pollution in the world, destroying the ozone layer very efficiently. Why there is no shinkanzen from LA to NY and TGV link from Chigaco to Florida?

    126. Re:Carbon credits = lame by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 1

      Point: "I spend enough to offset my entire carbon footprint" tells me that "they" have their hands in you pockets and its too late for you to get their hands out. And you never will. "they" have a free lunch, and as long as you write the check, you are on their list of donors for life. How much more junk mail do you get then before? Everyone wants you to donate. Man, the hook is set.

      Point: What "Ideal" world are you trying to achieve? The garden of Eden? Do a little research into the scablands of Washington state. The Ice dam broke up long before the first humans even thought of following the herds to this new land. But that is a political statement. So where are you heading, when will you get there, how will you know when you get there? Who is going to tell you that you have gotten there? Is mother nature going to allow you to get there (Mt St Helens, baby. Stop that one from happening again)

      Point: I took several of those online carbon footprint calculator "tests", and I failed. Well above average. No where did it tell me to enter the number of trees on my property (15 acres, average tree density 1 tree per 100 sq feet). Sounds like they are geared for the Urban City dweller, Love that concrete heat sink. I'm willing to rent you a few trees at a nominal amount, if you want.

      Point: I don't live in a concrete urban area. I live in a stick built house, wood usage slightly more then the amount cleared for the house itself. As stated above, with trees enough to cover any "carbon footprint". Its all an averaging thing any way, oxy from here offsets CO2 from over there.

    127. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "Which is something that was made up out of the blue. There is no empirical evidence suggesting carbon credits will have any effect out side your made up scenario. There is nothing showing it reduces Co2 and there is nothing remotly suggesting that it would have any influence on climate change one way or another."

      It would obviously reduce CO2 emissions. If we only issue a certain number of credits, CO2 production will go down to that level. Most climate scientists agree that we should cut CO2 emissions.

      "Your house in Miami beach isn't going to flood. You will be dead and gone by the time global warming causes that."

      That is not true. My home in Miami Beach is right across the street from the beach, and somewhat below sea level. All it will take is a hurricane to flood it(whether or not such a hurricane can be attributed to Global warming is debatable, but I was trying to illustrate an example).

      "And it won't be because the electric CO refuses to use clean coal technology, it will be because exponential growth in the population which places and more then exponential demand on electricity and other utilities."

      Yes, but carbon credits would fix that too. Regardless of the cause, CO2 emissions will go down to the number of credits sold. There are simple infrastructure changes we can make that can drastically reduce CO2 at a very low cost, and credits will give us an incentive to utilize them.

      "In the real world, people are supposed to have somewhat of a perspective of the real world. In this credit fallacy, it seem as if all the kooks come out of nowhere thinking they are making a difference of some sorts."

      Let me repeat this: In a credit system, total CO2 emissions are equivilent to the number of credits sold. The supply of credits can be brought down to any level you'd like.

    128. Re:Carbon credits = lame by edittard · · Score: 1

      Part of the problem is that we see a perpetuation of the myth that everyone's opinion is equally valid on this issue (or any issue, for that matter).
      I blame Wikipedia.
      --
      At the bottom of the /. main page it says 'Yesterday's News'. Well they got that right.
    129. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DELNI-AA · · Score: 1

      Oh, sorry, forgott - you have your own little planet over there; for the rest of us, let's hope it silently drifts away into it's own little future.

    130. Re:Carbon credits = lame by msromike · · Score: 1

      Agreed. Here's an idea. Nuclear fission to produce electricity. That would generate all kinds of carbon credits, right?

    131. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      It would obviously reduce CO2 emissions. If we only issue a certain number of credits, CO2 production will go down to that level. Most climate scientists agree that we should cut CO2 emissions.

      No, it is not obvious that it would reduce Co2 emissions. What it would do is reduce Co2 emissions from a single vendor but that would happen anyways when they upgraded. The savings on electricity alone is worth the upgrade unless the costs of the lower powered system is more then the savings. But what this entire carbon credit thing doesn't take into consideration is that future growth and economical development will require more carbon emissions. We cannot reduce it faster then the growth of the population.

      This was the big scam behind Kyoto, if you couldn't lower your emissions, just pay off a less developed country who isn't going to use their carbon credits anyways. It didn't reduce anything rather shifted the blame.

      With IBM being able to create these carbon credits out of thin air, it doesn't look like anyone is going to cap them either. Lets, say we capped the carbon credits. Sooner or later, they will all be used up. No matter how much reduction in emissions are made, it will be used up. Were is the reduction? Unless your planning on limiting economical growth based on this mythical carbon tax. So 20 years from now, everything is more efficient and we haven't reduced one bit of carbon being emitted into the atmosphere. It is little more then a scam wrapped around some well meaning people.

      That is not true. My home in Miami Beach is right across the street from the beach, and somewhat below sea level. All it will take is a hurricane to flood it(whether or not such a hurricane can be attributed to Global warming is debatable, but I was trying to illustrate an example).

      Lol.. Then it isn't global warming that is going to flood your house. It is nature. We aren't attempting to control nature are we? I thought the idea was to limit man's influence on nature, not control it so you can make unwise decisions about building houses below see level next to a body of water that is able to fill the bowl you live in.

      I know you were trying to illustrate. The problem is, that all the panic comes from these false illustrations. If you take them all out of the mix, it isn't near as bad as you make it seem. Flooding florida would be bad. Claiming florida is going to flood because of something man has done when it is just something nature has been doing for millions of years before you even built there is akin to fraud. Why do you think that most of the anti global warming people claim that it is a fraud being perpetrated for political gain? I mean they blamed Katrina on global warming, we had a bunch of scientist say it wasn't related, they were threatened and some at the weather channel sought out policy to kick them out of the meteorological society or what ever group and then they had to back down because the lack of hurricanes would appear to mean the global warming issue was fixed. so they ignore their attempts to make Katrina into a global warming hot button and move onto something else. Do you see a pattern here? Do you see repeated attempts to mislead and offer false information in order to push a cause? You illustrated something to show how bad global warming was when it isn't even connected.

      Yes, but carbon credits would fix that too. Regardless of the cause, CO2 emissions will go down to the number of credits sold. There are simple infrastructure changes we can make that can drastically reduce CO2 at a very low cost, and credits will give us an incentive to utilize them.

      The only way to do that is to limit and scale back the economy. You would have to say X tons of Co2 can be emitted each year and you have to close shop, lay off your workers, stop producing electricity and not heat your home, or go out of business if we go over that amount. You would also have to tell

    132. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      I think your confused about the program I am advocating. The current system of voluntary offsets is absurd, and nothing but collective back-patting. We can both agree on that.

      Let me describe my ideal system: Every year, carbon credits are auctioned to the highest bidder by an international body, proceeds are divided among participating nations on the basis of population. These transferable credits MUST be purchased for any CO2 that is produced. The number of credits decrease every year, at a pace decided by a council of Economists and Climate scientists.

      The benefit of this system is that since the credit goes to the person willing to pay the most, carbon usage will go to the most productive marginal use. This ensures that we get the most efficient economy for a given amount of carbon.

    133. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Let me describe my ideal system: Every year, carbon credits are auctioned to the highest bidder by an international body, proceeds are divided among participating nations on the basis of population. These transferable credits MUST be purchased for any CO2 that is produced. The number of credits decrease every year, at a pace decided by a council of Economists and Climate scientists.

      It is all very much the exact same system. You have this mythical item created base on "questionable" science with no empirical evidence to prove it's necessity, effects, or viability. They then impose arbitrary restrictions, and attempt to penalize those who don't follow this idea. And finally, after all the costs get passed back to citizens who will end up having to pay for it, the money is given back to their government to start it again. The only big stickling point of your system is that there is a finite amount of credits instead of an infinite amount. but it doesn't reduce anything. All it does it create hardships.

      Suppose the US and the UK decide that since between the two countries, they control the majority of the worlds disposable cash and band together. Now with this finite amount of credits, they buy credits in their auction at first cheaply. Then they don't stop buying but buy excess with the idea of reselling them at a higher costs. Poorer countries can be bid out of the process really quick. So suppose you expemt them from the process. They everyone puts thier polition down there and nothing is gained. But suppose you don't exempt them. Suppose they have to bid anyways. Instead of selling the carbon credits, we force them no to manufacture anything and al the carbon credits they do have has to goto home heating and cooking. So we sell them electricity, force them to impost the goods because we control all the industry power (with the carbon credits) and charge them a rate more then what it costs us to get. Then this payout back to the countries based on population is a net loss for them because it directly effect the net costs of any good we export to them by virtue of the carbon costs to manufacture, grow, or otherwise produce it. All you have done is cripple entire countries and added a layer to what is already the norm.

      SO suppose there are rules outlawing that. so then you have an outside organization dictating what a sovereign country can and cannot do when it comes to providing for it's own people. I'm not willing to even consider that. Either way, it ends up with someone having to tell worker to go home hungry, without pay, lose your house, your car, and anything else you are paying for. The economy collapses and then war usually follows. All because someone wanted to ad a useless layer of complexity to something that can otherwise be taken car of by treaties and incentives. And if some how you got it in your mind that no country or countries would do something like that, then you are terribly naive as well as foolishly dangerous. Look at why communism doesn't work. It's magical on paper but has never been able to be implemented and never has lasted. Even china and their rendition of it is giving more control and power back to the people in order to not have a civil war.

      The benefit of this system is that since the credit goes to the person willing to pay the most, carbon usage will go to the most productive marginal use. This ensures that we get the most efficient economy for a given amount of carbon.

      I just laid out what happens when the person willing to pay the most gets to buy it. Once a country is out of carbon credits and cannot produce carbon emission they cannot develop cleaner technology to get those emissions down. And this entire idea is being based on some pretty shaky science. There is nothing proving any of this will have an effect and there isn't any definitive evidence showing that it is a problem that needs political intervention.

      As a matter of fact, the entire idea of global warming as

    134. Re:Carbon credits = lame by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "Suppose the US and the UK decide that since between the two countries, they control the majority of the worlds disposable cash and band together. Now with this finite amount of credits, they buy credits in their auction at first cheaply. Then they don't stop buying but buy excess with the idea of reselling them at a higher costs. Poorer countries can be bid out of the process really quick. So suppose you expemt them from the process. They everyone puts thier polition down there and nothing is gained. But suppose you don't exempt them. Suppose they have to bid anyways. Instead of selling the carbon credits, we force them no to manufacture anything and al the carbon credits they do have has to goto home heating and cooking. So we sell them electricity, force them to impost the goods because we control all the industry power (with the carbon credits) and charge them a rate more then what it costs us to get. Then this payout back to the countries based on population is a net loss for them because it directly effect the net costs of any good we export to them by virtue of the carbon costs to manufacture, grow, or otherwise produce it. All you have done is cripple entire countries and added a layer to what is already the norm."

      None of that would be necessary. As the price of carbon credits go up, income transfers to third world countries also go up. But the price fixing scenario is unlikely, as it does not happen for a multitude of other commodities, and would take massive cooperation between numerous people(which creates game theoretic issues).

      "The only big stickling point of your system is that there is a finite amount of credits instead of an infinite amount. but it doesn't reduce anything. All it does it create hardships."

      Global warming creates hardships too. It will reduce pollution, directly down to the number of credits issued.

      "SO suppose there are rules outlawing that. so then you have an outside organization dictating what a sovereign country can and cannot do when it comes to providing for it's own people. I'm not willing to even consider that."

      There is nothing new about that, I don't see how that is any different than the UN, WTO, etc. Are you against the international ban on CFCs too?

      "Once a country is out of carbon credits and cannot produce carbon emission they cannot develop cleaner technology to get those emissions down.'

      A country cannot be "out" of credits, they are transferable. Anyone with cash can buy them.

      "Man made Co2 is a very small amount of Co2 in the atmosphere and that is being claimed to be the problem. And of that we are only going to reduce a very small amount of it."

      Man-made CO2 increases in the last 30 years make up 35% of the overall atmospheric CO2 content. We will reduce it over a period of time, to whatever climate scientists think is necessary.

      "You cannot distribute Carbon credits based on the population density."

      The entire point of that is to facilitate income transfers to third world countries(otherwise they would not join). Initial allocations do not really matter, as Coase's theorem proves, as transaction costs to transfer credits are very low.

    135. Re:Carbon credits = lame by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      None of that would be necessary. As the price of carbon credits go up, income transfers to third world countries also go up. But the price fixing scenario is unlikely, as it does not happen for a multitude of other commodities, and would take massive cooperation between numerous people(which creates game theoretic issues).

      It does to happen with other commodities. Look at diamonds trade. And the only reason that broke down was because it wasn't an absolute market. With Co2 caps, you are creating an absolute market where the only thing they can do without the ability to produce Co2 is service industries. Service markets don't product renewable wealth like industry does.

      And no, it wouldn't take massive cooperation. It would take two countries working together at a government level. Unless your claiming that business are the one doing the bidding. And then there would be a coalition of the multinational cooperations buying everything up so your business cannot do anything and they can walk in and set up shop and sell everything to you. I'm sure microsoft would love a law imposed by an entity world wide that said you have to buy credits in order to develop and distribute operating systems. You would see MS and Apple, possibly Novell buying every credits availible so you would have to use their products. It doesn't matter who buys the credits, it is exploitable and we have seen this stuff exploited in the past. Another example is oil. Opec as well as the companies it serves is jacking the cost of oil by artificially limiting the supply.

      Global warming creates hardships too. It will reduce pollution, directly down to the number of credits issued.

      Global warming does not and will not create hardships on nearly the same level nor is it in the same timespan. Your talking about taking something that would normally take 100 to 1000 plus years to happen and making it happen in a times spans of decades. You know, there are so many analogies that come to mind but one pretty much sums it up. Think about having a 12 pack of your favorite beer and drinking one a day and having to drive over 12 days verses drinking 12 in an hour or two then attempting to drive and doing the same thing for 12 days in a row. Sure there are going to be hardships with driving after drinking, but your making them necessarily complicated as well as increasing the risks of something bad happening. and I guarantee you that as soon as the US is told they have to shut down industry and send workers home because we used too many Co2 credits and are out, the stupid politicians who thought of hooking us to this will be removed from office and we will no longer abide by it. If that means the rest of the world will goto war with us in order to force it on us, then let WW3 happen. I expect no less from any other country either. As soon as their workers are out of a job for this mythical carbon cap, they will turn over their government and ignore it too. You see, the population currently increases faster then any cuts can be made. Every country should have a second amendment just for this reason.

      There is nothing new about that, I don't see how that is any different than the UN, WTO, etc. Are you against the international ban on CFCs too?

      Lol.. There was a direct link between CFC's and Ozone problems. We found particles and compounds that were a direct result from that. In other words, there is empirical evidence supporting a good portion of the claims on CFCs. And no, the world ban didn't say you can produce a certain amount and after that you have to let your country starve to death. I see how you are attempting to turn this around from a You idea suck donkey ass to I don't like saving the world. But it isn't that way.

      You don't seem to be getting the big picture here. Agreeing to limit Co2 production isn't the problem. Agreeing to allow an outside body to have control over a sovereign nation over some unproven idea

    136. Re:Carbon credits = lame by PastaLover · · Score: 1

      The reason europeons like you have half the carbon emmissions is because you don't drive long distances to work.

      In the US it's common to drive 50 to 100mi or more per day from the suburban areas to the cities.

      First off, so do many europeans. Secondly, it's your own damn fault. Shouldn't have built those suburban ares the way you did in the first place, since it's now making it impossible to supply decent public transportation. Still, most of that is historical and american politics being what they are, it's probably not going to change any time soon. (though there are signs)

      Add in the sizable farming & industrial population, where people operate heavy diesel machinery for 8 to 12hrs per day.

      Sure, and Western Europe doesn't have any heavy industry at all.

      Add in the northern parts of the country, where winter demands heavier use of heating fuels. Add in the tropical parts of the country, where summer demands heavier use of A/C.

      Add in the northern parts of the country, where summer doesn't demand an A/C. Add in the tropical parts of the country, where summer demands no heating. You seem to be arguing the US somehow has special needs. It doesn't.

      [...]Fuel efficiency gets trumped by crash and other safety considerations.

      Not suggesting you should drive a VW bug (that's yet another american stereotype for you, efficient cars have to suck), but you do realise that bigger cars mean worse accidents. They might be safer for the people driving them (not too sure about that) but they certainly aren't for the other people on the road. Buying an SUV is simply the most selfish thing you can currently do. I do know some people who have very good reasons for buying one (e.g. taking them into bad terrain), but for your average commuting american it's selfish, selfish, selfish. And this is where the government should step in, but doesn't. Why? It would be political suicide.

  3. Oh yeah! by laejoh · · Score: 0

    0.10 IDENTIFICATION DIVISION.
    0.20 PROGRAM-ID. JL01A.
    0.30 *
    0.40 ENVIRONMENT DIVISION.
    0.50 CONFIGURATION SECTION.
    0.60 SPECIAL-NAMES.
    0.70 TERMINAL IS TERM.
    0.80 INPUT-OUTPUT SECTION.
    0.90 *
    1.00 DATA DIVISION.
    1.10 FILE SECTION.
    1.20 *
    1.30 WORKING-STORAGE SECTION.
    1.40 77 WS-TEKST PIC A(13) VALUE "WELCOME BACK.".
    1.50 *
    1.60 PROCEDURE DIVISION.
    1.70 JL01A.
    1.80 *
    1.90 DISPLAY "HELLO WORLD, " WS-TEKST UPON TERM.
    2.00 *
    2.10 FIN.
    2.20 STOP RUN.
    1. Re:Oh yeah! by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 2, Funny

      0.10 IDENTIFICATION DIVISION.
      0.20 PROGRAM-ID. JL01A.
      0.30 *
      0.40 ENVIRONMENT DIVISION.
      0.50 CONFIGURATION SECTION.
      0.60 SPECIAL-NAMES.
      0.70 TERMINAL IS TERM.
      0.80 INPUT-OUTPUT SECTION.
      0.90 *
      1.00 DATA DIVISION.
      1.10 FILE SECTION.
      1.20 *
      1.30 WORKING-STORAGE SECTION.
      1.40 77 WS-TEKST PIC A(13) VALUE "WELCOME BACK.".
      1.50 *
      1.60 PROCEDURE DIVISION.
      1.70 JL01A.
      1.80 *
      1.90 DISPLAY "HELLO WORLD, " WS-TEKST UPON TERM.
      2.00 *
      2.10 FIN.
      2.20 STOP RUN. Oh yeah, I've played this game. Just buy a potion from Gandolf!
      --

      "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

    2. Re:Oh yeah! by Goalie_Ca · · Score: 1

      Cobol burns my eyes!

      --

      ----
      Go canucks, habs, and sens!
    3. Re:Oh yeah! by CFBMoo1 · · Score: 1

      God I wish I had mod points right now. Funny stuff on the cobol listing. :P

      --
      ~~ Behold the flying cow with a rail gun! ~~
    4. Re:Oh yeah! by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      The letters are EBCDIC, of an ancient mode, but the language is that of Murrayhopperdor, which I will not utter here.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  4. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not only has the "global warming" not being proven yet, but the CO2 role in it would be completely bogus a claim. Carbon credits are just another financial scheme to strip suckers from their money. It will eventually prove to be yet another bubble, with the usual disastrous consequences when it folds.

  5. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Global warming is easily provable but the jury's still out on the contribution of humanities CO2 emissions. As a result of insulting ideas such as carbon credits and green taxes, I'm deliberately doubling my carbon footprint over the next decade (obviously in such a way that I avoid "green" taxation).

  6. carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    I'm as liberal as they come but this carbon credit nonsense has to stop.

    You either do something to be more efficient and earth-friendly or you don't.

    Carbon credits allows the rich to keep doing whatever they want while preaching to others to live more conservatively.

    Here's a thought, focus on the worst pollution areas of the world like China and reduce air travel by half - why do people fly so much if it's such a hassle to fly, especially to/from/within the USA?

    1. Re:carbon credit nonsense by timmarhy · · Score: 1
      in all the polluting things we do, air travel is so fucking insignificant, why are you even bothering to focus on it?

      if anything, more air travel means less need for large highways which means less clearing, which is far better for our environment.

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    2. Re:carbon credit nonsense by wilhelm9 · · Score: 1

      I did not quite get it. What has air travel to do with this article?

    3. Re:carbon credit nonsense by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Either reduce your browsing defaults to 0 or -1 or hit the parnet button on his posts to follow his response to the comment he made it to.

      He is actually responding to an AC who said something along the lines of make China quit or reduce air traffic.

    4. Re:carbon credit nonsense by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Air travel accounts for at most 3%. Just changing all the residential light bulbs in America and EU to CFL (or better yet, led), would save more than that. Whats more if you quit air travel, then ppl will travel via other means. For America that means cars. So that 1.5 saved, is instead about .75%.
      OTH, getting china to quit polluting would be a major step in the right direction. But the same is true of America. We are not heavy polluters WRT smog, but we generate LOADS of CO2.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    5. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You probably missed the parent that this comment was replying to. The new Slashdot comment system has an incredibly annoying bug (or design flaw) that prevents comments from being threaded properly. Many comments appear as replies to the wrong parent. Even if you set the doohickey on the left side of the screen to show only full comments and not hide any, parents will still often be hidden. The only workaround that I know of is to click a comment's parent link if the comment seems suspiciously out of context.

      It's ridiculously irritating to spend time trying to puzzle out the meaning of a comment in the wrong context only to realize that the stupid threading system has obscured the parent.

      I hope it's fixed soon, but I'm not crossing my fingers...

    6. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Hal_Porter · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Here's a thought, focus on the worst pollution areas of the world like China and reduce air travel by half - why do people fly so much if it's such a hassle to fly, especially to/from/within the USA? Why? A 747 gets 100 miles per gallon per passenger.

      http://www.howstuffworks.com/question192.htm

      This sounds like a tremendously poor miles-per-gallon rating! But consider that a 747 can carry as many as 568 people. Let's call it 500 people to take into account the fact that not all seats on most flights are occupied. A 747 is transporting 500 people 1 mile using 5 gallons of fuel. That means the plane is burning 0.01 gallons per person per mile. In other words, the plane is getting 100 miles per gallon per person! The typical car gets about 25 miles per gallon, so the 747 is much better than a car carrying one person, and compares favorably even if there are four people in the car. Not bad when you consider that the 747 is flying at 550 miles per hour (900 km/h)! Better than one person in Prius.

      http://www.toyota.com/prius/

      The Prius boasts an EPA-estimated combined city/highway rating of 46 miles per gallon Two or more in people in Prius will beat a 747. Or maybe not, loading up a car will cause the total miles per gallon to drop as the weight increases. Maybe you need three people in a Prius to be safe. But most cars have one person and lower mpg, so it's not like 747s are worse on average than cars.

      You don't need to Google all this stuff yourself of course, you just pick the cheapest way to travel and rely on market forces to make the most energy efficient way the cheapest. Which should be true so long as oil is expensive enough to make it a non neglibable part of total costs.
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    7. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you think that the only alternative to flying is driving a car? An oil-driven car? You are quite a visionary. That the CO2 emissions of a 747 are comparable to those of a car is not a good thing for the plane, it's fucking awful.

    8. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      So you want to ban both cars and airplanes? Maybe we should force people to return to an agrarian society -

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pol_Pot#Democratic_Kampuchea_.281975-1979.29

      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    9. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OTH, getting china to quit polluting would be a major step in the right direction.

      Stop buying cheap crap from them then. I read somewhere that either a quarter or a third of Chinese power is used up producing products for our western markets. We are effectivley exporting our pollution (as well as taking advantage of their lack of human rights, to buy our products cheaper).

    10. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, I want to raise taxes on fuels to discourage unnecessare travel by fossil fuel powered vehicles. That's a bit more benign than you, who want to kill millions of people in lowland coastal areas in the third world.

    11. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      No, I want to raise taxes on fuels to discourage unnecessary travel by fossil fuel powered vehicles. That's a bit more benign than you, who want to kill millions of people in lowland coastal areas in the third world. Good luck with that! I'm sure raising taxes will prove to be very popular with the electorate! Any politician advocating punitive levels of taxation to discourage travel would no doubt attract support from Soccer Moms and have no problem at all in primaries. Oh wait, they'd be completely finished if they even hinted at it.

      Luckily it's completely unnecessary.
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    12. Re:carbon credit nonsense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's a bit more benign than you, who want to kill millions of people in lowland coastal areas in the third world.

      Ah yes...another slashdotter who gets their visions of the future from hollywood.

      Supposing sea levels actually do rise 20 feet over the next century...if it takes people a 100 years to figure out they need to move to higher ground, it's probably better for the species that they drown. Global warming doesn't occur overnight.

      Not to mention the absurd presumption that the GP and all others who either fly or drive are doing so, not for the convenience, but out of a sick desire to kill people (again, over a 100 year span).

  7. carbon trading set to burn many by timmarhy · · Score: 2, Interesting
    So, in 50 years when the earth HASN'T turned into a bad hollywood movie and everyone wakes up to the fact global warming is a scam, get we get a refund on these bogus credits?

    this whole carbon trading thing reeks of profiteering to me.

    --
    If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    1. Re:carbon trading set to burn many by Spad · · Score: 2, Interesting

      It's a great idea really. You're a big polluting corporation, so you set up a couple of very low emission subsidury companies that earn "carbon credits" for their low carbon footprint. You then "buy" these credits off them to allow you to pollute as much as you want.

      See, the environment is saved.

    2. Re:carbon trading set to burn many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most accounting and tax systems have rules for intra-company goods exchange so that should be prevented.

    3. Re:carbon trading set to burn many by MikeUW · · Score: 1

      So, in 50 years when the earth HASN'T turned into a bad hollywood movie Isn't that the objective to begin with?
    4. Re:carbon trading set to burn many by Bert64 · · Score: 1

      So you spin them off as separate companies who just happen to have the same owners...

      --
      http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
    5. Re:carbon trading set to burn many by betterunixthanunix · · Score: 1
      Global warming is not a scam. To claim it is stating:

      • You know more about climatology than the climatologists at the National Academy of Sciences.
      • Models are bullshit, and we should ignore them (never mind the number of models used in the design and production of the computer you are using to read this).

      Yeah, some people over-hype the issue, but it is an issue, we should have signed Kyoto, we should be driving BEVs, we should not allow an oil company to own the patent on better BEV batteries, and we should have more respect for our scientists.

      --
      Palm trees and 8
  8. Typical by idiotwithastick · · Score: 1

    Companies provide incentives for you to buy their products. What's new?

  9. Good Investment? by religious+freak · · Score: 1

    Wow, sounds like a good idea to start looking at IBM's stock.

    --
    If you can read this... 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100001 00100000 01100111 01100101 01100101 01101011
    1. Re:Good Investment? by ssssmashing · · Score: 0

      If you buy IBM stock on the basis of buying their products to get carbon credits, you are very soon to be seperated from your hard earned dollars.

  10. Isn't this where.... by stox · · Score: 1

    we came in?

    Apologies to Pink Floyd.

    --
    "To those who are overly cautious, everything is impossible. "
  11. Actually, it started out more like a PC by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Assuming that you mean the electronic computers, we are talking about The ENIAC. It handled 1 problem at a time, was a pain to work with, and was inefficient. That is more akin to the PC, than a mainframe. Mainframes handle loads of ppl/problems.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Actually, it started out more like a PC by Aereus · · Score: 0

      True, but the PC first came into "mainstream" use with the corporate mainframes in the 50s and 60s I believe.

    2. Re:Actually, it started out more like a PC by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As I recall ENIAC has 30 seperate processing units.

  12. Polite solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Carbon credits sounds like a polite solution that governments come up with at the begining of a long term problem. Like voluntary rationing. Not that energy efficient isn't a good thing.

    Where the long term problem is either global warming, sickening pollution, rising cost of depleted resources, war for whatever reason, etc.

  13. Carbon credits? by transiit · · Score: 1

    I'm sorry, but could someone explain what a carbon credit is, or what these "emerging carbon markets" are all about?

    I did some cursory research, and as best as I can tell, carbon certificates have value only in public perception. Like gold stars for exceptional pupils.

    Is there really a market for "warm & fuzzy feelings" now?

    1. Re:Carbon credits? by AdmiralAudio · · Score: 1

      Is there really a market for "warm & fuzzy feelings" now?

      Apparently so.

      And if carbon credits aren't your thing, you can always purchase carbon debits instead!
  14. It's still pollution... by reydeyo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...and reducing the amount of pollution we spew into the atmosphere is beneficial to us and to the environment, global-warming boogeyman or not.

  15. Actually no. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Peak oil is going to do the job instead.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:Actually no. by Teriblows · · Score: 1

      yup, no real point putting pressure on companies and perhaps reducing job growth. poverty creates plenty of carbon output. burning dirty sources of heating and collected wood in inefficient fireplaces etc. and in other countries, its slash and burn agriculture.

    2. Re:Actually no. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

      poverty creates plenty of carbon output. burning dirty sources of heating and collected wood in inefficient fireplaces etc. Not even close to the amount of CO2 produced by cars, ships and planes.

      I actually have a theory that global warming is being pushed so hard by politicians primarily because of peak oil.

      --
      Deleted
    3. Re:Actually no. by LordLucless · · Score: 3, Informative

      "poverty creates plenty of carbon output. burning dirty sources of heating and collected wood in inefficient fireplaces etc. and in other countries, its slash and burn"

      That "inefficient" wood is not contributing at all to global warming. When you cut down and burn a tree, you're releasing the stored carbon of that tree. As other trees grow, that carbon is re-absorbed, and released when that tree is cut down in turn. It's all part of the current carbon cycle.

      The problem with stuff like coal and oil is that they represent carbon which has been out of the cycle for millions of years. When you burn them, you're adding more carbon to the cycle than the world's forests can cope with. Deforestation (which is primarily caused by wealthier civilizations, rather than poor ones with no means to cut down forests on a large scale) only accentuates this.

      Slash-and-burn agriculture is ecologically destructive, but it doesn't contribute to the carbon problem. Like burning trees, it's all part of the current carbon cycle. As the land lies fallow and the forest regenerates (prior to the next round of slash-and-burn) the carbon released is reabsorbed. As I said, it causes other ecological problems, like soil erosion and habitat destruction, but it's no more a contributing factor to global warming than any other method of turning woodland into farmland.

      --
      Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean there isn't an invisible demon about to eat your face
    4. Re:Actually no. by bugg · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure if you've noticed, but all across the world forests are shrinking at an alarming rate.

      --
      -bugg
    5. Re:Actually no. by StopKoolaidPoliticsT · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Peak oil has been just a decade away ever since the theory was first floated 50 years ago. Fact is, we keep finding new oil reserves and new ways of extracting oil that we didn't have the technology to get to before. Will oil run out eventually? Sure... but as it really does run out, we'll have the necessity to force us onto a new technology.

      I've noticed a rash of people screaming peak oil at an increasing rate lately. Either people are just encountering it for the first time, there is a group strongly pushing it under the radar or else people are just suddenly reverting to their mantras of decades past. Probably a combination of all three. One troll on my local paper's website adds peak oil posts to stories about mundane offtopic things... "Some School loses football game. Peak oil troll at 11."

      --
      Stop Koolaid Politics
    6. Re:Actually no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Peak Oil has always predicted that the global Hubbert Peak (not be be confused with regional Hubbert Peaks) would occur within a few years of 2005. Now that 2005 has come and gone and demand is not outstripping supply the timing is being reconsidered, but the underlying reasoning is rock solid. There is a finite amount of oil, we are using it at a finite rate, eventually there will be none left. This is no different from drinking from a keg of beer. Once the keg is empty, it is time to switch to whisky. In the case of oil there is currently no economically viable equivalent of "whisky". Perhaps one will be found in the coming decades, but betting on future discoveries rather dangerous.

      http://mrsquid.blogspot.com/

    7. Re:Actually no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Many goverments don't disclose the size of their oil reserves. Now, why do you think Iran is trying to acquire or develop nuclear technologies?

    8. Re:Actually no. by Colin+Smith · · Score: 0

      Peak oil has been just a decade away ever since the theory was first floated 50 years ago. Actually it's usually been predicted to peak around 2010. 50 years ago that sounded like forever. Even 30 years ago when US production peaked that sounded like forever. Well, it's 2 years now.

      http://africa.reuters.com/wire/news/usnL30807475.html

      Fact is, we keep finding new oil reserves and new ways of extracting oil that we didn't have the technology to get to before. Sure, now you have tanks, A10 ground attack aircraft and cruise missiles.

      --
      Deleted
    9. Re:Actually no. by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 1

      We currently have enough reserve oil to last centuries, maybe millenia, so if you're waiting for Peak Oil, I hope you're eating healthy. "Peak Oil" assumes we're retards who never, ever could possibly come up with the technology to drill "hard" oil reserves instead of just the easy one-- fact is, we do come up with new technologies, and we could probably run the US a century on re-drilled "harder" Texas oil alone.

    10. Re:Actually no. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Peak oil is going to do the job instead."

      Peak oil is irrelevent.

      As oil prices go up, the cost of producing fuel from (natural) Gas to Liquid and Coal to Liguid becomes competitive.

      No, it's much more likely we'll destroy the planet before there will be no more fuel left for current generation SUVs.

  16. A carbon credit is a permission to pollute by Colin+Smith · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At the moment there is no permission required to pollute, you could pump as much CO2 into the air as you like. Well, instead of that the government says:

    1: You need permission to pollute.
    2: You get those permissions from the carbon credit markets.
    3: You have to buy them at whatever they cost in that market every year.
    4: You can sell permissions if you have more than you need.

    Then the government auctions enough credits to represent a slight reduction in the overall production in CO2. Each credit might represent one tonne of CO2. Then each year the government reduces the numbers of credits available in the market. The cost of a credit then increases simply due to the reduction in supply or the increase in demand.

    As the cost of emitting the CO2 increases, companies will switch to alternative solutions, choosing whichever they like best.

    Of course, this only works if politicians aren't completely corrupt or utter morons, as seems largely to be the case. In that case they might give companies credits and allow them to sell them on the markets, it's basically free money to those companies which receive the credits.

    --
    Deleted
    1. Re:A carbon credit is a permission to pollute by CortoMaltese · · Score: 1
      I'll complete your explanation with the obligatory, yet not-so-far-off-the-truth addition:

      1: You need permission to pollute.
      2: You get those permissions from the carbon credit markets.
      3: You have to buy them at whatever they cost in that market every year.
      4: You can sell permissions if you have more than you need.
      5: ???
      6: Profit!!!
    2. Re:A carbon credit is a permission to pollute by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      5: Invent/produce technology that allows other companies to do their business and increase profit w/o having to buy carbon credits.
      6: Profit!!!

      Would that be such a bad thing?

    3. Re:A carbon credit is a permission to pollute by Agripa · · Score: 1

      5: Invent/produce technology that allows other companies to do their business and increase profit w/o having to buy carbon credits.
      6: Profit!!!

      Would that be such a bad thing?


      The problem as I understand it is that carbon trading provides endless opportunity for rent seeking so in that respect the profit comes at an even larger overall cost. Why crush the competition or be profitable through productivity when you can control the legislative process? Most of our regulation schemes suffer from that anyway so maybe on a larger scale it is an insignificant problem.

      I would have gone with a straight carbon tax despite how taxes are often abused but I am not knowledgeable enough to know where the collected funds would need to go for the best results. The obvious place would be to support conservation and less polluting energy generation. As a bonus, it would have created the structure to add a Middle-East importation tax (would the WTO have a cow over that if it was to fight carbon pollution?) to pay for our military expenditures there and encourage other energy and petroleum sources although given the fungible nature of oil I am not sure how well that would work in practice.

  17. The fact that carbon trading exists... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...doesn't make any sense to me. How do you sell your cleanliness to someone else? Either you are or you aren't. Who determined the zero point where you earn credit vs. damage? Who came up with this crazy idea first and are they rubbing their hands maniacally?

    1. Re:The fact that carbon trading exists... by BarneyL · · Score: 1

      Because the concern is total carbon output for a country. The theory is that if you output a bajillion tons of CO2 and the farmer next door grows enough trees to take a bajillion tons of C02 back out of the atmosphere the two cancel each other out. To provide an analogy I can either tidy my own flat or I can pay someone to do it for me (if I do neither then the landlord takes it out of my deposit when I leave).
      Neutralitly is of course pretty much impossible (at this point in time) so the government puts in credits to cover however much CO2 in total it wants to output and sets fines for uncredited output high enough to keep you in the scheme. There are now a number of options for you to choose a combination of:
      1) You buy as many credits as you need, something like an auction will set the going rate for a credit
      2) You cut your output so that you don't need as many credits
      3) You grow trees or something to cancel out your output
      4) You pay someone else to grow the trees for you
      5) You pay some big fine that if set right is bigger than the cost of options 1-4
      This introduces competition to the system, companies will work hard to become more efficient as long as it costs less than the credits (but the fewer who bother the higher the credit price will rise). Others will try and offset their outputs and the competition will drive them to find ways of creating carbon credits at a price below market value to sell at a profit.

    2. Re:The fact that carbon trading exists... by level_headed_midwest · · Score: 1

      They are not rubbing their hands maniacally,, they're printing off carbon credits, selling them, and raking in the money.

      --
      Just "gittin-r-done," day after day.
    3. Re:The fact that carbon trading exists... by Farakin · · Score: 1

      All this is essentially true except that in addition to selling the credits for someone growing, the market is going to be flooded with people that bought land for this purpose. Land that already has trees on it, they aren't growing anything. They are just buying land and not developing it. WTF is wrong with the world? I think it is a sham. I wonder how much money BP/Amoco will pay me for not cutting down the 200 yr old oak in my yard to help off set their gabillion tons of carbons from refining gas.

  18. Even if it does go to a third world country by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 1

    It isn't going to the people who need it. It's a real false idea that the major problem in these extremely poor countries is lack of money. Some seem to hold the idea that what is going on is nobody is willing to give them any money, and if we'd just quite being assholes then they'd have plenty.

    Well, not so much. There actually is aid, more than you'd think. The problem is that aid can't be taken to the people who need it. The big problems really are war, corruption, and population growth. When a nation is torn by war, it's real hard to help those who need it. War makes it physically hard to move the goods where they need to be, and of course war is the act of destroying things, so you need just that much more. Then we have corruption. Especially in the case of money there is the tendency for it to just disappear in to the pockets of those in power and never reach the intended goal.

    These are the real problems here, not the lack of aid. Watch Blackhawk Down sometime. That opening sequence with people being gunned over food aid? That shit really happens.

    As such carbon credits would solve nothing in that department, even if it is the poor countries selling them. More money is not what is needed, especially if you are saying "Just send the money over there in cash form." That will lead to all of none of it reaching those in need. I can't tell you what the answer is, if I knew I'd be working towards it, but throwing money at the problem isn't it. It's a pity it wasn't that simple, but it just isn't.

    1. Re:Even if it does go to a third world country by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

      It's a real false idea that the major problem in these extremely poor countries is lack of money. Some seem to hold the idea that what is going on is nobody is willing to give them any money, and if we'd just quite being assholes then they'd have plenty. Maybe you're replying to the wrong person, and maybe I didn't make it clear but I agree with this 100%. Poor countries are poor because they are run by thieving bastards, not because they lack money. There are other serious issues of course like most people lack even rudimentary education but democracy would fix most of them in due time by limiting corruption.

      Globally it seems like pretty much any culture can become prosperous provided the government dooesn't appropriate things too efficiently. Now it's possible that cultural issues make this impossible in some places of course, like in the Iraq where non tyrannical governments usually mean civil war, so people put up with thieving bastards to have some semblance of security. Those countries are screwed of course - they will never achieve prosperity or produce anything of value culturally. But none of this is something that outsiders can do much about - we can support the least nasty politicicians in a variety of ways, but that can take decades to civilise the country.
      --
      echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
    2. Re:Even if it does go to a third world country by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "Poor countries are poor because they are run by thieving bastards, not because they lack money."



      I don't really buy this. Corruption is more of a side effect of poverty then a cause. Right after the 1950's, Africa had the same per-capita income as East and South Asia, while Asia actually had more corruption(as measured by the international corruption index). 60 years later, South Asia is much richer then Africa.


      There are many examples of countries growing under the stress of severe corruption: Thailand, India, Pakistan, and 90's era Russia, just to name a few. There are even examples of corrupt nations growing under civil war(Sri Lanka).


      Empirical studies show that most income differences among developing countries can be described by differences in Market Liberalization. In most African countries, Income taxes can be over 90%, most firms are state-owned, and import tariffs make importation nearly impossible.


      The developing countries that have refrained from these policies(which were mostly adopted during the Non-aligned movement's heyday), have experienced tremendous gains relative to their neighbors. Chile, Botswanna, and Singapore are good examples.


      The best thing we can do for these countries is to release import tariffs on them, eliminate agricultural subsides, and send over Economists to advise their governments. This would have a far larger effect than any aid.

    3. Re:Even if it does go to a third world country by DavidShor · · Score: 1
      "It isn't going to the people who need it. It's a real false idea that the major problem in these extremely poor countries is lack of money."

      No, lack of capital is the root cause of nearly every economic problem in the third world. Short term interest rates in Africa are extremely high(75% or higher), and this shuts down nearly all economic ventures on the continent. A massive expansion of micro-loan programs, providing government subsidized loans, would do quite a bit more then food aid.

      "There actually is aid, more than you'd think. The problem is that aid can't be taken to the people who need it."

      No, the problem is that the aid does not do anything to promote development. Food aid does get distributed fairly well to Africans, the West has a lot of experience with that. But most aid has been limited to buying food, and possibly medicine. This aid exists(rightfully) to keep African people from starving to death.

      The type of aid that might help Africa, toward infrastructure, has sadly been limited. The aid that has been given, has mostly been done toward useless grand projects that benefit Western corporations. Africa desperately needs to refurbish their train system(which has not been updated since the 19th century), and build a highway system. America should fund a massive transportation infrastructure project, coupled with investment in financial infrastructure(Setting up stock exchanges).

      Most importantly, we need to eliminate agricultural subsidies, admit more African students into our country, and lower tariffs against the developing world.

      "These are the real problems here, not the lack of aid. Watch Blackhawk Down sometime. That opening sequence with people being gunned over food aid? That shit really happens."

      No, it really does not. Most of Africa is not starving. Most places in Africa have reasonably effective security, and officials that are just as corrupt as ones in much richer Asian countries.

      ""Just send the money over there in cash form.""

      This has never actually been tried. I have a feeling that if we dropped hundred dollar bills from helicopters, this would work far better than the food aid we've been trying.

  19. Carbon Credit Market ? With real money ? by bytesex · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If I've ever heard of something ripe for the plucking by anyone and everyone who is just a tad corrupt, then this is it. We'll have a proper eco-mob. Seriously, who's going to regulate this market ? Who checks the validity of these certificates ? Because this sounds like printing your own money.

    --
    Religion is what happens when nature strikes and groupthink goes wrong.
  20. Mod parent Up by delt0r · · Score: 1

    Excellent point. I can think of a lot of reasons to reduce CO2 and other emissions that are far better and more immediate that climate change.

    Unfortunately its lost on a lot of people. Regardless what you believe the whole GW debate has got so... politically religious that a lot of people just don't want to know anymore. (note: /. is *not* a good reflection on what a lot of people think)

    --
    If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    1. Re:Mod parent Up by Moridineas · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the fact that it seems like everything EXCEPT CO2 has been completely forgotten! Pretty annoying...

    2. Re:Mod Parent Up by dammy · · Score: 1, Funny

      Sitting in Southern Florida for a second hurricane season that hasn't been seen in 30 years, of inactivity, one has to wonder about the CO2 hype. I know, I'm a nasty old troll that will be mod way down because I dare to think differently then the Gorebull Warming crowd here on /. Be as that may for those reading the negative karma replies, Cap and Trade is a return of the central planning http://youtube.com/watch?v=k4oBjbe8BIA/ days of an era we all would like never to come back. For those of you who really do think I'm a troll, here is an easy $125K right in your pocket, just take this test: http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/09-25-2007/0004669458&EDATE=/.

      If we do look at Gorebull Warming, let us remember that since the dire predictions of massive warming if the CO2 ppm is doubled, yet where is this because we are what, ~75% to that ppm already? Shouldn't my house been blown away already from none stop hurricanes? Or could it be Solar Activity: http://sidc.oma.be/products/quieta/ has quiet down causing more clouds (cosmic rays increase production of clouds) which keeps a bit cooler.

  21. Mod Parent Up by giafly · · Score: 2, Interesting

    So, in 50 years when the earth HASN'T turned into a bad hollywood movie and everyone wakes up to the fact global warming is a scam, get we get a refund on these bogus credits? this whole carbon trading thing reeks of profiteering to me.
    That's exactly right. The speed of global warming is grossly exaggerated and most so-called ways of fighting it are scams. In 50 years earth won't yet have turned into a disaster movie. The problem is that there's so much inertia in this process that in 50 years the disaster will be too late to stop.
    --
    Reduce, reuse, cycle
  22. realy GREEN by ledvinap · · Score: 1

    So .. how much carbon certificates do i get when i change my plan and instead of building farm of ENIACs (174kW each) i use Sinclair ZX spectrum (12W max?)

  23. Carbon credits is bullshit! by dinther · · Score: 1, Flamebait

    I am getting sick to the gut from this carbon credit crap that is spouted all over the place. Doesn't anyone think any more these days? See: www.carbonhoax.org.nz

    1. Re:Carbon credits is bullshit! by BarneyL · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Couldn't you have at least pointed to an anti global warming site that isn't a complete joke?
      To quote their first "argument": "Scientist are doubtful that CO2 harms the climate."
      I half expected the second to be: "All your carbon credit are belong to us"

    2. Re:Carbon credits is bullshit! by dinther · · Score: 1

      If you had an attention span slightly beyond that of a mouse you would have looked at the more elaborate pages and the references to the more scientific material and it's research. Thanks for actually visiting the site but I suggest you read a bit more. Scientific references are all there.

      If anything do me a favour just read these two documents and learn rather than just criticizing the format. It would be much more constructive.

      36 Inconvenient untruths about Al Gore's movie

      Easy facts about Global climate

      The little advert you are referring to is designed to be printed and we can't quite afford to hire half a news paper.

      Always amazes me how it is OK for this idiot Al Gore to release a Hollywood blockbuster and call it truth when sceptics are expected to quote sources on all their counter arguments. The damage the global warming idiocy is doing to this planet is becoming greater and more real because it averts our eye from those issues that really matter. Now we sit back and feel satisfied because we use a "green" mainframe computer so we "did our part"

    3. Re:Carbon credits is bullshit! by dinther · · Score: 1

      How can this be flame bait? Just because the moderator disagrees? Would I really go to the extend to publish a web-site just so I can flame a little on a geek site? Get real!

  24. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Bert64 · · Score: 1

    "green taxes" are just another excuse for increasing taxes.. If it wasn't "global warming" as an excuse, it would be something else.
    If the government truly want to reduce carbon emissions, they need to stop punishing those who emit carbon because there's often no other practical choice. Instead, they need to provide incentives to use and develop alternatives, and incentives to reduce energy use.

    As an example, look at fuel taxes... Intended to force people onto overcrowded overpriced public transport. The public transport systems in most large cities are horrendous, animal rights groups would be up in arms if someone tried to transport cattle in such conditions. You get a large concentration of businesses in a small space, and no affordable housing nearby which results in huge numbers of people having to travel. And if you live outside of a big city, then public transport tends to have very poor coverage.
    You need to encourage businesses to spread out, and build their offices where there is an abundance of affordable housing for their staff, or in many cases staff could easily work from home (and the government could encourage this with tax breaks for companies with employees at home, and pressure on telco's to provide better home working enabling services).

    It is utterly ridiculous for so many companies to be concentrated in small areas at the centre of large cities, and then require their staff to waste hours of their days enduring inhumane conditions to get there.

    --
    http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  25. In the end by ms1234 · · Score: 3, Funny

    In the end we'll end up with just 5 huge mainframes in the world as foretold by the IBM executive in the 50's? (can't remember where he was quoted).

    1. Re:In the end by HotBBQ · · Score: 1

      Does it run Linux?

    2. Re:In the end by AB2RC · · Score: 1
      > Does it run Linux?

      Yes it does -- http://www-03.ibm.com/systems/z/os/

    3. Re:In the end by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      In the end we'll end up with just 5 huge mainframes in the world as foretold by the IBM executive in the 50's?

      I think more like 640 ought to be enough.

    4. Re:In the end by llZENll · · Score: 1

      No, we will end up with 1, it will be called Skynet, Borg, or the Matrix, depending upon which type of nerd you are.

    5. Re:In the end by Agripa · · Score: 1

      . . . it will be called Skynet, Borg, or the Matrix, depending upon which type of nerd you are.

      Is your list inclusive? I would have picked Colossus or maybe Proteus myself.

  26. How can user of electricity get carbon credits? by Ed+Avis · · Score: 1

    Granting carbon credits for cutting your electricity bill seems like double-counting to me. The whole point is meant to be that the carbon quotas apply at the point where carbon dioxide is emitted. For example, a coal-fired power station could close down and be replaced by a tidal power station, generating carbon credits which can be sold on. If in turn a user of electricity gets credited for using less (even though the power they are buying didn't generate carbon to start with), that is clearly bogus.

    So if only the producer of CO2 emissions must pay for carbon emissions (or get subsidized for reducing them, which amounts to the same thing in marginal cost terms), how is there any incentive for people to cut electricity use? Because the cost of buying CO2 quota is passed down as part of their electricity bill. The economic incentive for moving to a more efficient computer is a lower power bill, just as it's always been.

    --
    -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
    1. Re:How can user of electricity get carbon credits? by Ed+Avis · · Score: 1

      FTR - I talked to someone I know who works in this area and this is what he said:

      Well normally producers get credits for producing the same amount of electricity in a less carbon intensive way (e.g. improving a power station so that it burns less coal, building a windfarm etc) but in this case, the credits actually come for using less electricity (energy efficiency on the demand side) so in that case, the credits would go to the entity that is implementing the efficiency measures that produce the saving. The electricity companies wouldn't claim this, partly because they are not really involved and have no way of accurately measuring the savings, which would occur on the site of the consumer.

      So hopefully no double counting!

      In this case they are actually issuing 'energy efficiency certificates' (probably a US state or federal programme that rewards energy efficiency measures using tradable certificates) so not really 'carbon credits' as such (the amount of greenhouse gases saved would depend on how carbon intensive is the electricity in the electricity grid). Real 'carbon credits' are measured in tonnes of CO2 equivalent, whereas these are measured in terms on megawatt hours of electricity saved.

      --
      -- Ed Avis ed@membled.com
  27. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Gerzel · · Score: 1

    So you want to have companies build where there is an abundance of affordable housing for their staff?

    Uhm.

    Do you know what as city is?

  28. x86 inefficent? by happymellon · · Score: 2, Interesting

    IBM promoting a proprietary technology? Wouldn't you get the same type of saving on moving to Power or Sparc instead of x86 since they are also hugely more energy efficent? You also have to remember that it depends on what your processing, mainframe will only provide you with a speed boost with certain types of basic arithmetic (quite a big speed boost in some cases). So take these increases with a pinch of salt. On second thoughts perhaps I'm just bitter from increasing capacity the capacity of our mainframes to run more processes, and finding all our existing licenses cost more because they all charge you on potential capacity of the system rather than number of copies even if you not using the extra capacity for the existing apps.

    1. Re:x86 inefficent? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      ALL servers - are being moved to the zSeries mainframe and zLinux(SuSE). This is not a VM stacking of Windows or AIX machines... it's a total conversion to Linux and consolidation of servers.

      Hooray!

  29. Is that cobol? by slashbart · · Score: 1

    Really

    Thank god I've always been an engineer :-)

  30. Power Consumption Predictions by BBCWatcher · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As a general rule, if you're building a business computer and want to save as much as electricity as possible, the most highly virtualized (and virtualizable) platform wins. So attributes like massive caches and screaming I/O help enormously. (I think there was a Stanford study recently that figured this out.) Thus it's no surprise a modern mainframe is more energy efficient than anything else.

    But in the Computerworld article referenced in the original story, IBM says the carbon program will also be available for its System p servers at some point in the future. My prediction is that you'll typically get fewer certificates if you move to System p versus System z, but it's likely businesses will do some of both depending on what sort of applications they're rehosting. There are some types of applications that will do better on System p, and there is some software that runs on AIX that doesn't run on z/OS or Linux.

    Regarding SPARC it's impossible to say since Sun hasn't entered into any carbon credit auditing system yet. The IBM-Neuwing program is a first. However, my prediction is that you'll get even fewer certificates if you consolidate to SPARC. I say that simply because I assume IBM is acting in its own self-interest, and I'm sure they think the energy efficiency fight is one they can win against other vendors. In this case self-interest and environmentalism coincide. For any of these platforms, though, businesses will figure out whether the certificates favor certain platforms over others, and they'll do that application by application (or application function by application function). And many other factors will go into the decision as well, although most of those factors pull in the same direction as energy efficiency, such as software charges. One could even imagine that before long server vendors lagging in the energy efficiency department will start bundling carbon certificates with their servers in order to compete. Thus IBM adopting this program is a smart way to respond to an untapped market need and to raise the effective price of competing servers compared to IBM's. Very smart move.

    By the way, the world has totally flipped on its head, and it would be extremely misleading to say an IBM mainframe is "proprietary" and X86 (for example) isn't. What does proprietary mean? You can run pure 100% GPL Linux on an IBM mainframe -- Debian, Slackware, CentOS, etc. -- and you don't even need a closed source driver as you usually need for X86 servers. IBM publishes extreme instruction-level detail in a free book called Principles of Operation, and it's so detailed and thorough that the open source community created an implementation of the instruction set called Hercules that actually works compared to still imperfect efforts like Bochs and QEMU. (Although IBM may assert patent claims on its processor architecture.) One company is porting OpenSolaris to System z, and they didn't even have to ring up IBM. In comparison, Intel and AMD also may assert patent claims, and AMD is suing Intel for alleged monopolistic behavior. Neither Intel nor AMD publish PoO-type documents (to that level of detail). Then there's Microsoft Windows, and it's hard to think of any more proprietary OS than that.

    Also, IBM changed the way it charges for z/OS software about 7 years ago. Now almost everything is charged by the amount you actually use, something IBM calls Variable Workload License Charge (VWLC). If you run a little bit of DB2 in one LPAR (partition) but a lot of IMS in another, then you pay a little for DB2 and more for IMS. You also control exactly what you consume using something called softcaps, and you can set those either per-LPAR or for a group of LPARs. One interesting little twist to mainframe subcapacity licensing is that, if you need a little bit of WebSphere (and a lot of other IBM products), the lowest entry price (smallest license you can order) is for z/OS. You can order as little as 1 "Value Uni

    1. Re:Power Consumption Predictions by Nerdfest · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It all sounds like a very workable idea until you have to move from pretty much any other operating system to z/OS. The fact that JCL is still used anywhere astounds me. Once you're actually in a linux partition things are OK, but the rest of the environment is in need of serious usability improvements. There also seems to be a tendency to develop huge amounts of restrictive process around mainframes (a la 'The Difference Engine' almost) ...

    2. Re:Power Consumption Predictions by happymellon · · Score: 1

      Ah, I wasn't aware that they had changed their licensing schemes. Been out of it for a while, but it left a bitter taste.
      As for the carbon crediting, I was really meaning that if you wanted to "Go Green", isn't anything else better than x86?
      I can't see power consuption figures for SPARC but Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CPU_power_dissipation notes that a duel core Power6 uses about 15 watts compared to 65-95 for DC Xeon. So ignoring the "Carbon Credits" thing, you can already save enough power (and probably heat dissipation) without having to redesign your data center by simply slotting in a few Power blades.

      But I wouldn't bring Windows in to any equation on system migration, otherwise the idea of moving off x86 anyway (even if your going to be running it in a VM, you should VM on x86!) would probably be heresy ;)

    3. Re:Power Consumption Predictions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lets not forget per engine pricing where if you purchase a specialty engine you just pay for the engine and whatever runs on that engine you get for free. i.e. if you get a zAAP you can run as much java as you want w/out incurring and capacity pricing.

  31. Peak-oil is overrated by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

    Come back when we reach peak-coal.

  32. There are Things More Important Than Being Green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In an age of terrorism, being distributed is better than being centralized.

  33. First, price a mainframe... not an exciting option by scottsk · · Score: 1

    Before you get too excited about this, first price a mainframe. You first have to rewire your building for three-phase power, since they don't run on wall current. Then you've consolidated all your servers to one box, so you'd better have 24x7 uninterruptible power, and your current UPS generator likely doesn't supply 3-phase power. You also have to have adequate cooling, even with air-cooled z9 models. Then you have to buy a z9 (their entry level) and software, which is pretty expensive. Then you have to buy disk space. You will probably buy a x86 solution like the FlexES CUB, unless you can afford mainframe channel-attached DASD. Then you'll have to hire someone to care for this new beast, and good luck because no one learns about mainframes in college anymore. (Or, start on page 1 of the ABCs of Systems Programming five-volume set IBM publishes.... You won't be productive any time soon.) After that, you can start porting your programs to the zSeries instruction set, since you can't run x86 binaries. The only good news is you can run your Java programs as-is in the OMVS POSIX shell. Then you can start licensing the software every year.

  34. Welcome to the 15th Century... by DiamondGeezer · · Score: 1

    ...please pay for your indulgences in this box. That's the benefit of being a Catholic, because we have got sin available to be indulged at a price that's right for you!

    --
    Tubby or not tubby. Fat is the question
  35. Re:There are Things More Important Than Being Gree by canuck57 · · Score: 1

    In an age of terrorism, being distributed is better than being centralized.

    Problem is most people can't think distributed. Including management and programmers.

    Now imagine all that idle, untapped compute power on all the desktops in any organization. All goes to waste. Add it up, a wasted super computer.

    Besides, it will never be successfully and fully centralized again, the overhead of .NET, Java and today's programming methods would require too much CPU/memory/I-O. In our organization it has been tried using various technologies, Citrix, Solaris zones, VMWare and the same story happens every time. It gets over allocated until it doesn't work correctly. Then you have to explain to deaf management why you don't want to put a real time data input app on the same host as a OLTP or data warehouse.

  36. Re:First, price a mainframe... not an exciting opt by beadfulthings · · Score: 1
    (Or, start on page 1 of the ABCs of Systems Programming five-volume set IBM publishes.... You won't be productive any time soon.)

    Or, (looking at the, umm, bright side) it could provide years of additional productive employment for all those about-to-retire early Boomers who didn't plan too well for their retirements.

    --
    "Here's what's happening. You're starting to drive like your Dad..." - Red Green
  37. Build your own and it can (They do anyway) by Colin+Smith · · Score: 1

    http://www.cl.cam.ac.uk/research/srg/netos/xen/

    Take an array of 1U cheapo intel servers with consistent Lights Out Management systems, a really nice 10Gbit ethernet switch, or maybe InfiniBand, install a basic Linux. Install Xen, Install a load balancing system like Sun Grid Engine.

    Write some clever scripts and whahey! Your own personal mainframe/virtual datacentre with power and AC requirements which depend on your workload, which BTW, you can keep at 90% plus, rather than the more common 18%. The secret is in the "clever scripts", the fastest network (It's always been about the network) you can get your hands on and a bit of imagination.

    This is BTW, what Cisco and VMWARE are working on. Basically a commodity mainframe; commodity hardware, commodity software. IBM of course have been doing it for decades... Smart cookies IBM, they really understand computing.

    --
    Deleted
  38. I/O-savvy? by Simon80 · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    Why do I feel like I'm reading an advertisement?

  39. 85 percent, huh? by Just+Some+Guy · · Score: 1

    Are mainframes really 6 times more power efficient per MFLOP (or whatever unit) than blade servers? I thought the CPU was the main power hog in a server these days and I'm skeptical that there's so much difference between, say, an Opteron and a Power6. Is that true or is this a hype number?

    --
    Dewey, what part of this looks like authorities should be involved?
    1. Re:85 percent, huh? by Rick.C · · Score: 1
      Are mainframes really 6 times more power efficient per MFLOP (or whatever unit) than blade servers?


      Probably not on a per MFLOP basis, but the reality is that most common business computing isn't all that floating-point intensive. SQL/DB2 servers, for example, execute primarily integer math instructions and do a boatload of I/O. And yes, mainframes are awesome when it comes to I/O bandwidth.

      The savings comes from the sharing of resources such as CPU and RAM among many applications. When a blade is idle (because nobody's using its services at the moment) it still draws power. It's more efficient to toss all of your resources in one big pot than to try to balance usage across many smaller pots. (Of course, this leads to frustration for less-favored users due to slower response times during peak load, but that's been an issue since the first mainframe time-share system was introduced back in the '60s. It's also been a source of income for performance analysts. :-) )

      --
      You were 80% angel, 10% demon. The rest was hard to explain. - Over The Rhine
      "Math in a song is good."-Linford
    2. Re:85 percent, huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are mainframes really 6 times more power efficient per MFLOP (or whatever unit) than blade servers? I thought the CPU was the main power hog in a server these days and I'm skeptical that there's so much difference between, say, an Opteron and a Power6. Is that true or is this a hype number? Well, yeah. First, POWER6 itself is higher performance. Second, only about 1/3 of any "real" server configuration's power consumption is the processor module. On an IBM p570 (the POWER6 system that came out this Summer) you can have only 8 physical processor modules (each with 2 cores) but you have:
      • Up to 96 DIMM slots, for a maximum capacity of 256 GB at 533 Mhz or 512 GB at 400 Mhz
      • 8 36 meg L3 caches
      • 24 internal disk bays
      • 24 hot-pluggable PCI-X slots
      • 4 pairs of fully-redundant power supplies - one per "building block"
      • and so on...

      (from the p570 product specs)

      Start plugging in real IO, and you'll quickly find that your power consumption grows steadily with it. A maximum configuration of one of these systems has power consumption measured in kilowatts. Oh, and all of that fits in a space about 28" high, 31" deep, and 19" wide.
  40. Sure it's not ... by swamp+boy · · Score: 1

    carbon dating? Sorry, couldn't resist.

  41. What is the UNIX equivalent for JCL? by BBCWatcher · · Score: 1

    First of all, there are five operating systems available for System z, including Linux and z/OS. You do not need z/OS to run Linux, although you do need Linux to run z/OS. (The Hardware Management Console is Linux-based.)

    But since you mentioned JCL (Job Control Language), a unique z/OS feature, it's interesting that UNIX doesn't seem to have any analog to it. (Shell scripts aren't really the same thing at all. They're more analogous to TSO and REXX.) It's certainly a simple syntax and arguably quite a bit easier to learn than shell scripts. That said, nowadays people write a lot less JCL since the serious usability improvements, e.g. modern development tools, tend to do it all for you, e.g. compiling your code.

  42. What kinda cut does Al Bore get on each "credit"? by SengirV · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Inquiring minds want to know.

    --

    Prof. Farnsworth - "Oh a lesson in not changing history from Mr I'm-My-Own-Grandpa!"

  43. Carbon Credit Certificates? by Sardonic1 · · Score: 1

    So is Neuwing Energy Ventures a paper mill? Cutting down the trees you get your certificates from?

  44. If you have a datacenter, you already have.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    ......three phase power to your non-rack PDU's, you already have UPS capacity (again three phase), and if you have a generator it provide three phase power too. You *may* need specific wiring run from your PDU(s) to the mainframes however. Overall, power requirements may actually decrease from a comparable number of individual rack/servers.


    Cooling may be an localized issue, but likely it will actually decrease overall requirements rather than the reverse.


    (I work in a critical data center as a facility supervisor FWIW. I've seen the pendulum swing from centralized computing to decentralized virtual servers, and now it's starting to swing back again, though not in my workplace. Yet.)


    I don't know enough about the other costs to comment intelligently, though obviously everything does have a cost-in mainframe or de-centralized server environments.

     

  45. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Bert64 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The abundant housing is usually around the edges of a city, whereas businesses usually set themselves up in the centre where all the other businesses are...
    So you end up with large numbers of people having to travel from the edges to the centre every day, over crowding the transport systems. There is usually not an abundance of affordable housing within walking distance of where all the businesses are running.
    What we need is a larger number of smaller towns, where people can live and work within walking or biking distance. Or, just change the layout of larger cities, knock down 2/3 of the office buildings in the center and build apartments for people working at the remaining 1/3 to live in.

    I want to live within walking distance of where i work, not so much for the environment but for my own benefit. I value my time, and wasting several hours of it a day travelling is a complete waste.

    --
    http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  46. Better Than X86 by BBCWatcher · · Score: 1

    There are degrees of better. A Toyota Camry gets better gas mileage than a Lincoln Navigator, and a Toyota Prius gets better gas mileage than a Camry. System p does well, and System z does really well, basically.

    Watts per core is interesting but is not even close to the whole game. Mobile Intel processors consume relatively few watts, for example, but typically they aren't well suited to highly concentrated and virtualized business computing. They're great for notebook computers, though. It's really about how many users you can serve across 100+ diverse business applications using a given processor consuming a certain number of watts (and how reliably, securely, predictably, etc.)

  47. Gore is a genius by MrHyd3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Carbon Credits has to be the one of the most genius Capitalistic money making ideas ever! Let's take this idea and start FAT Credits.....That way, FAT people can buy credits and feel better about themselves while still consuming the same amount of poisonous high caloric content. Because at the end of the day, it doesn't matter the result, it's about feeling better emotionally. Gore should of won the Nobel prize for economics, not weather or whatever that was.

    --
    -------- Of all the things I've lost, I miss my mind the most. --Ozzy
  48. carbon credits a blatent scam by sydres · · Score: 2, Insightful

    since they are just a means to transfer wealth from person, organization, corporation, nation, etc to another while not actually accomplishing the task of diminishing co2 output only shifting it from those who don't produce to those who do, and why is it that co2 gets a bad rap in the first place since water vapor is a much more powerfull greenhouse gases http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alternate/page/environment/appd_d.html

    1. Re:carbon credits a blatent scam by corsec67 · · Score: 1

      Sweet, I can start the market for Water credits, and start charging people like crazy. Just wait until they start making cars that run on Hydrogen, I will be crazy-rich!!!

      --
      If I have nothing to hide, don't search me
  49. Short Answer: Yes by BBCWatcher · · Score: 1

    The short answer is yes. In typical real world data centers most X86 processors burn a lot of watts (and generate heat, which must be cooled), take up a lot of space, do only one thing (e.g. serving files, running a firewall, churning through some PHP to compose a page, or something else), and are busy an average of 5% over their powered up lifetimes, give or take. They are also often I/O starved (cache misses, waiting on data from disk) and do more "housekeeping" work (encryption, I/O, etc.) You need to cluster them for higher availability, doubling energy consumption, plus add disaster recovery servers. Virtualization, such as VMware, provides some benefit, but it's still very difficult in the real world to make large efficiency improvements.

    Mainframe processors (which are z/Architecture CPUs, not POWER6 by the way) spend their entire powered on lives consuming less electricity (and generating less heat), take up less space, do hundreds of things (virtualization), and are busy an average of 80% or more over their powered up lifetimes. (It's not uncommon for them to run flat out at 100% round the clock.) They are rarely I/O starved (cache misses are rare), and they do almost no housekeeping work because low power specialized support processors take care of that. You can use virtual clusters on a single server, because everything inside the server is redundant but in a low power way. (If a CPU fails, for example, the system swaps in a spare dynamically without even the OS having a clue it happened.) DR is also more power efficient.

    But regardless of the reasons, what's most interesting about this development is that server energy consumption is now going to be subject to exact, real world measurement. The measurements are in pure business terms: if you reduce power consumption in your data center while presumably still running your business, you get credits (worth money) you can sell. I think that's the fairest way to separate vendor hype from reality, and to encourage businesses to actually reduce their power consumption in the most effective ways possible. How much total, real business computing activity can a particular processor support per watt per year? These certificates will answer that.

  50. Carbon Credits by jag7720 · · Score: 1

    NUTS!

  51. Forgot to say -- and that's just a "midrange" box. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I forgot to say that that 16-way system is just a midrange "p" box from IBM.

    The product line works like this:
    x - x86 Architecture Processors.
    p - Maximum Performance. UNIX and Linux servers
    i - Businesss Integration. Business in a box.
    z - Zero Downtime. "Real" Mainframes are z boxes.

  52. Let's EAT our way out of the problem! by flatulus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Page 227 of "An Inconvenient Truth":

    Much of the forest destruction comes from burning. Almost 30% of the CO2 released into the atmosphere each year is a result of the burning of brushland for subsistence agriculture and wood fires used for cooking.

    Page 217 of "An Inconvenient Truth:"

    (a graph showing) 2006 global population: 6.5 billion. 2050 global population: 9.1 billion.

    I find it interesting that Gore trumpets the so-called "tipping point" positive feedback theory about the Arctic ice cap melting, leading to more solar absorption, leading to faster melting, while...

    Each tree cut down to make space for subsistence agriculture and wood fires not only releases the carbon in the tree, but also removes the tree from the ecosystem, so it isn't there to absorb the just-released carbon (or any other, which it had been faithfully doing since it was a wee little sapling).

    Greg Gutfeld had an interesting (and irreverent, which is his specialty) comment on Fox News website. He said we have two problems -- global warming, and overpopulation. He suggested we change our moral value system to encourage cannibalism. Bada bing -- two birds with one stone.

    I guess my main point here is that one can justify any position desired, by simply sifting through the "facts" and arranging them according to one's personal agenda. Al Gore now has a nice Nobel prize to show to his grandchildren (who will never, ever need to burn trees for cooking), and the bandwagon is in full motion. I read yesterday that Dell would like to know if I wanted to pay a couple of dollars with the purchase of my laptop to offset the carbon my new toy (er, tool) would release by burning electricity.

    A tax by any other name is a tax. Thankfully death will ultimately relieve me of that burden too. (Joe Black notwithstanding).

  53. Re:First, price a mainframe... not an exciting opt by jgiltner · · Score: 3, Informative

    Not sure what type of data center you are in, but we still need 3-phase power for some of our non-zSeries boxes. Most blade servers require it. Our non-zSeries boxes generate more heat and draw more power than our 2 zSeries servers combined and we only have about 70 small Intel/AMD based system. True you can't run x86 binaries on a zSeries, but you can't run zSeries binaries on a x86 and didn't seem to be a problem when everybody started to migrate away from the mainframe. Why should it be a problem to migrate back? You can run most Linux/POSIX based code by just re-compiling it under Linux on zSeries. Windows code will need to be changed, maybe. I am assuming that you could run WINE under Linux on zSeries and thus that would allow you to run anything that can run under WINE. But I would not want to see what the performance would look like. :) Now, if you want to run your program under z/OS (one of the operating systems that you can run on zSeries) then you have some code re-writing to do, unless you are running Java code. Which should run with very little if any changes under z/OS. Unless you are running Linux only, and only truly free Linux based code, and you are running with out support (which you can do on zSeries also) you still need to license software on x86. The licensing fees for z/OS include support also and in some cases upgrades. Whereas Windows based software (especially Windows itself) only includes the ability to run the software and sometimes software upgrades. If you want support you must pay extra and for most Windows based software you have to pay to upgrade. As for DASD, if you are running Linux only you can connect any SAN that support fiber channel to the mainframe. You only need "special" DASD if you plan to run z/OS. The System Programming books are for z/OS, not necessarily zSeries. You don't need a z/OS system programmer to run Linux on zSeries. In some instances you seem to be getting hardware (zSeries) and software (z/OS) requirements mixed up.

  54. Hmmmmm..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    Can I earn carbon credits for passing up that jumbo bowl of Montezuma's Revenge Chili at Pedro's Gas N' Go?

    I mean, whenever I eat it, I'm definitely venting more greenhouse gasses than most forms of life. What about credits for holding in a generous fart?

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  55. Demolition Man..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    If this continues, I can already visualize the sequel to "Demolition Man":

    (FART!)

    ***BUZZZ***

    "John Spartan, you have been fined one credit for the improper venting of greenhouse gasses."

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  56. Consolidation ratios are no good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The only problem with all of this is that you just can't get the kind of consolidation ratios with the mainframe that IBM claims you can. Beleive me, senior management wanted this to be true. And we were put through the meat grinder to try and make it true. It just wasn't. Using software like Zen or VMware on an x86/64 server is way more efficient from an energy consumption perspective as well as a total cost perspective. There really is no comparison at all. I feel sorry for the companies that by into this. Only IBM will be better off in the end.

  57. Carbon Credits - How Gay! by hecklin · · Score: 0

    There is a Sucker Born every minute. Psst! Hey, there Mr Greenie. I just planted 5 Popolars in my back yard and I wanna unload these carbon credits.. You wanna buy them. Please Give me a Break! Have you even seen what some of these Carbon Credit companies do with the money.

        Tell you what if you drive an SUV and want 1 years worth of carbon credits Send me 155 dollars us and I will plant 4 loblolly pines on my back 40.

    1. Re:Carbon Credits - How Gay! by letxa2000 · · Score: 1

      I'll be selling Stupidity Credits soon. Hey, they sell carbon credits successfully...

  58. Carbon is a pollutant? by Foolicious · · Score: 1

    I know this is a sensitive subject, but I've read many posts here referring to carbon (basically C02) as a "pollutant" and I think it's kind of silly. A pollutant is something that creates a quantitative negative impact on the substance to which it's introduced. CO2 is a minor greenhouse gas. Its existence in the atmosphere is not anthropogenic, although recent industrial activity has increased its levels. Plants need it. Like other greenhouse gases such as the much more plentiful (and insidious!) water vapor [evil laugh], it helps keeps the temperature of the earth at a "livable" level. I know this is an emotionally charged issue, with all sides taking part in the cognitive dissonance, group think, research tautology and irrationality, but when I read "pollutant" as referring to C02, I see it as more of a political use than a scientific one. Just my 2 cents as always.

    --
    Please don't use "umm" or "err" or "erm".
  59. The world will regret a USA Kyoto... by tjstork · · Score: 1

    I've been a fairly staunch opponent of the USA joining any cap and trade emissions system, but, I'm starting to think that, because the USA has so much capital, it could actually do the kinds of investments needed to hit its targets, and actually go under them.

    Thus, if the free market in the USA goes on a carbon credit bonanza, the USA would probably transform itself economically towards a low emissions system within about the same time as it rolled out cars, rolled out PCs, and then the internet. Each of those took about a decade, maybe two. So, while the USA might get dinged for a few years on carbon taxes, eventually, instead of paying the Europeans and the third world, the USA would wind up actually taxing the third world for its greenhouse emissions, and likewise Europe. Europe lacks the dynamic market needed to make that kind of big change, and the third world lacks the capital.

    So, we conservatives might be completely right and completely wrong at the same time. Global warming IS the biggest ripoff in the history of the world, but, it will be Americans ripping off the rest of the world!

    No wonder the Chinese didn't sign!

    --
    This is my sig.
  60. Egg, meet basket... by Lodragandraoidh · · Score: 1

    My concern is what happens when we lose one of those mainframes with 100 virtual servers on it?

    Either you better make sure that system won't go down (impossible given the vicissitudes of hardware), or you have another hot mainframe standing by to spin up all those server images on (and how long will that take?). Does anyone here have experience dealing with disaster recovery in a large-scale virtual server environment?

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, "if you're going to keep all your eggs in one basket, you better make sure it is a darn good basket!"

    --

    Lodragan Draoidh
    The more you explain it, the more I don't understand it. - Mark Twain
    1. Re:Egg, meet basket... by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Mainframe systems operate on an entirely different level of hardware versus what you are commonly familiar with as PCs and servers. The reliability of a server machine - even when using the best available server-class hardware - is many times worse than the average mainframe. Your average downtime due to hardware events with a large IBM machine is zero. Not 0.01%, but zero.

      Sure, some scheduled downtime can be required, but today even this is rare. Most of the equipment is self-diagnosing and creates log records that say some part needs to be replaced because the backup has taken over. And, it can call out the part number needed.

    2. Re:Egg, meet basket... by tuomoks · · Score: 1

      You don't loose the mainframe, it may slow down a little for some part of it failing, but it may come unavailable for external reasons, loosing all electricity in installation, earthquake, flood, even terrorists or one postal worker, whatever. Now your normal backup procedures kick in, did you think you can work without those even if you have a mainframe? It is actually simpler with a mainframe than a server farm, you don't have to reload nnn systems, connect them to network, configure whatever, etc. You simply tell your backup site ( if they already are not already up and running, remote monitoring! ), to load the system and you are done. Designed a couple of those, tested, never used in real emergency but never failed. And if you have important enough business for continuous processing your IT will have one!

    3. Re:Egg, meet basket... by Lodragandraoidh · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the feedback!

      --

      Lodragan Draoidh
      The more you explain it, the more I don't understand it. - Mark Twain
  61. It can't possibly work out, cost-wise by AugstWest · · Score: 1

    I find it hard to believe that IBM spent less than $1M on consolidating those 3900 servers onto 30 machines. It just doesn't seem possible.

  62. Carbon Offsets are old and busted... by mad.frog · · Score: 1

    Infidelity offsets are the new hotness!

    http://www.cheatneutral.com/

  63. Thank you by beamin · · Score: 1

    It's nice to see a reasonable acknowledgement of climatologists' expert position on this matter every once in a while.

  64. Carbon credits = Price of Beer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Just make an organization liable for the costs of climate-change related damage relative to the amount of CO2 it directly emits.

    There goes the cost of a bottle of beer. If you don't believe me, go do some research on how much CO2 is produced doing the making of beer or wine.
  65. Carbon credits = Price of Beer by Maint_Pgmr_3 · · Score: 1

    When the yeast first hits the wort, concentrations of glucose (C6H12O6) are very high, so through diffusion, glucose enters the yeast (in fact, it keeps entering the yeast as long as there is glucose in the solution). As each glucose molecule enters the yeast, it is broken down in a 10-step process called glycolysis. The product of glycolysis is two three-carbon sugars, called pyruvates, and some ATP (adenosine triphosphate), which supplies energy to the yeast and allows it to multiply. The two pyruvates are then converted by the yeast into carbon dioxide (CO2) and ethanol (CH3CH2OH, which is the alcohol in beer). The overall reaction is: C6H12O6 => 2(CH3CH2OH) + 2(CO2)

  66. Mainframes by jwsmith00 · · Score: 1

    I think it goes something like this.....

    SUBTRACT 1 FROM GREENHOUSE-GAS-EMISSIONS
    GIVING CLEANER-AIR

  67. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Moridin42 · · Score: 1

    Right. Because the economic devestation, not to mention the pure waste of having to rebuild 2/3s of a city (and the attendant pollution with that construction) is completely feasible.

    --
    I don't expect morality, equality, consistency, or justice from the law. I expect only legality.
  68. NO. What a fricken joke. by /dev/trash · · Score: 1

    Let's buy 'credits' from some poor farmer in Chad, and that makes it okay that we're dumping carbon by the TONS into the atmosphere.

  69. Full Circle? Abe, you have Alzhiemers! Remember? by aqk · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure how old Abe is, or, for that matter Homer, but FAX machines have been around since ~1900s; perhaps even earlier.

    A Fax machine is a lot simpler piece of shit than a phone, or a PC. It's just one step above a teletype or Morse code.


  70. carbon scams you by Mickluha+McLay · · Score: 1

    The climate models that the global warning industry rely on, are not accurate now and will not be accurate for a very long time ahead. Its all sheer speculation and money making. Earth atmosphere is simply too complex to be modeled accurately with the current state of computer technology and climatology.

    Those folks who tell you their models are accurate should be asked to prove it. They won't as they know it is a snake oil.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2007/11/04/eaclimate104.xml

  71. Amazing (for me) by tuomoks · · Score: 1

    Yes, the talk is about less CO2 but how little ./ readers know about mainframes and business systems overall? Fortunately I see some answers which save the day, thank you. And I want to emphasis their point, if you don't know what mainframes do, go and learn. I could tell you from 70's, 3000+ users, 512KB memory, 1MIPS mainframes (the measuring base for later, IBM 158), 8000+ online applications ( big transactions ), 1 second response times, etc but you have to see it and there are no such things any more. Yes, mainframes are totally different beasts of your super, 3GHz+ PC. Nothing wrong in that but the throughput of those systems is way beyond even large server farms. And, as someone mentioned, nothing new in VM, bring your online systems up for testing in VM, bring your whole OS up, bring one up for coding and unit testing, all old. And we had no problems showing microfilms, faxes, etc in those green terminals. Actually most changed to color later on. And if you really needed graphics, Tektronix or some CAD station for very high definition graphics did that. More expensive at that time, of course, what technology wasn't, but available. And the reliability is really something else, not just availability(HA) or NonStop(Tandem) but they just keep running, software bugs excluded there Tandem may still be better but just a little. I almost forgot, mainframe security is something other systems just dream!

  72. Re:Carbon credits = SCAM by Bert64 · · Score: 1

    At the very least, they should prevent more businesses setting up shop or expanding in already overcrowded areas.
    Problems are getting worse not better, look at london... The transport system is totally overstretched, at peak hours trains and busses are so packed you often can't squeeze onto them at all, and the conditions are utterly terrible.
    And what are they doing?

    Making it more expensive to drive, so the congestion and conditions on the trains/busses becomes even worse, but the rich people can drive around freely.
    Knocking down old offices and apartments and building new bigger office blocks, resulting in even more people crammed into the overcrowded trains.

    --
    http://spamdecoy.net - free throwaway anonymous email - avoid spam!
  73. Carbon Credits... by bronsinbound · · Score: 1

    If you think the governments of the world are boning you now, just wait for the worthless paper crap called "Carbon Credits." Al Gore can laugh all the way to the bank, and we can cry...

  74. Carbon credits != lame by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't understand your statement. Doing things that cause global warming while doing other things to reduce the carbon footprint DOES eliminate or reduce the problem in the first place. Too many companies are strictly profit maximizing, rather than driven to do the right thing while also being profitable. So, these carbon credits help persuade these companies to do the right thing. In this example, a carbon credit worth $1 million can go a long ways towards persuading a company to replace a power-hungry block of machines with a relatively efficient mainframe. *When they do this, they are saving power and so reducing greenouse gas emissions*. On the other hand, companies that don't want to bother curbing emissions (because, hey, that'd cost money) have to spend cash to buy these credits; if they cut down, they can go from buying them to selling them, which persuades quite a few companies to install pollution control equipment (in the case of factories etc.), reduce power usage, etc. when it's reasonably practical. Carbon credits really are a good thing.

              As for your second point, carbon credits don't exclude installing renewable energy sources (solar, wind, etc.) If the company can demonstrate they are cutting down on the amount of power they are pulling off the grid (i.e. by showing the much lower power bills and the solar/wind installation..) they would certainly be able to receive carbon credits for this.