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Two Companies Now Offering Personal Gene Sequencing

corded writes "Yesterday, deCODE genetics announced the launch of their $985 personal genotyping product, deCODEme (video), beating their competitors to market. Perhaps not coincidentally, 23andMe's website is suddenly much more informative today, and the New York Times features a preview of 23andMe's $999 offering. deCODEme and 23andMe will scan about a million and 600,000 sites across the genome, respectively and assess your risk for common diseases, along with providing information about ancestry, physical traits, and the ability to compare genes with friends and family."

146 comments

  1. Sperm!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They want my sperm!

    1. Re:Sperm!! by hmccabe · · Score: 1

      Do you mind if I use that line next time I'm at a bar?

  2. Gene Patents by ExploHD · · Score: 1

    My only question is: will some company will come after this one with a portfolio of gene pantents and licensing terms?

    1. Re:Gene Patents by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      Fortunately, the science behind this was almost all grant-funded research published in academic journals, rather than corporate R&D kept under lock and key as trade secrets or described in overbroad patents which prevent anyone from using the knowledge without paying an absurdly high price. The genomic revolution, of which this story is a very small part, is an object lesson in the usefulness of government-funded research and academic publication.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Gene Patents by foobsr · · Score: 2, Informative

      "A new study shows that 20 percent of human genes have been patented in the United States, primarily by private firms and universities."
      as of 2005

      Ohne Worte (spechless, though not quite)

      CC.

      --
      TaijiQuan (Huang, 5 loosenings)
    3. Re:Gene Patents by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Very true, which IMO is an object lesson in why we shouldn't allow gene patents. But that's beside the point. The type of SNP mapping these companies are offering is all based on work that's well in the public domain.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    4. Re:Gene Patents by Veramocor · · Score: 1

      But at least they were patented now when there really isn't too much we can do with each individual gene. In 20 years the patents gone and can never be patented again (hopefully). By the science may have advanced enough to utilize the knowledge of each individual gene.

      --
      Veramocor
    5. Re:Gene Patents by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      True, but wouldn't it be ridiculously easy to show prior art on this one?

    6. Re:Gene Patents by packeteer · · Score: 1

      Nope. The Supreme court already gave these patents the OK. It will be extremely difficult, nearly impossible to change it. The only possible way to change it would be if there was a huge majority of people who thought it was wrong. That is probably not going to happen. Most people don't care or are not informed enough.

      --
      unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
  3. sweet by Noishe · · Score: 1

    I don't know about you guys, but I think that's f'in awesomely cool!

  4. I think I speak for everybody when I say... by Donniedarkness · · Score: 0, Redundant
    $1k?!

    Torrent?

    --
    Earn a % of cash back from Newegg, Tiger Direct, Walmart.com, and more: http://www.mrrebates.com?refid=458505
  5. ot: 23andMe by atamyrat · · Score: 1

    Sergey Brin is going to marry Anne, co-foundeer of 23andMe. Today read about it somewhere, but forgot where the article was from..

    1. Re:ot: 23andMe by evil+agent · · Score: 1

      Isn't it obvious what Google is up to now?

      Gene-based ads determined by the skin flake analyzer on their upcoming gPhone.

      --
      End transmission.
  6. Already married by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think

  7. One step furhter by kyc · · Score: 1


    Amazing news! One step further will be exacting the analysis and actually telling the person about how his ancestors looked like, what color his children's eyes are gonna be, and whether he will die due to pancreatic cancer and etc =)

    Why don't we all support the research in biology (to create intelligent machines) and we are starting from Silicon and basically from nothing.

    While reading this, it occured to me that making a living organism more intelligent can be an alternative way to silicon-based AI, what's your opinion?

    --
    There's plenty of room at the bottom! Richard P. Feynmann
    1. Re:One step furhter by Emetophobe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      While reading this, it occured to me that making a living organism more intelligent can be an alternative way to silicon-based AI, what's your opinion?

      The movie Gattaca comes to mind.

    2. Re:One step furhter by Tyger · · Score: 1

      That was my first thought too. Like the sleezy looking place where you take a DNA sample of your potential partner and they give you a report on them.

    3. Re:One step furhter by chfriley · · Score: 1

      If you are concerned about pancreatic cancer there are a number of genetic tests already available. Ditto pancreatitis. You should discuss with your Dr.

      (and if you know someone with pancreatic cancer, PanCan (http://www.pancan.org/ is a helpful organization).

    4. Re:One step furhter by kyc · · Score: 1


      I am really not concerned. As far as I know, nobody died in my family due to pancreatic cancer. But thanks for letting me know.

      My brother and father are doctors. I don't believe these tests can yield accurate results though.

      I feel that we still need time.

      Thanks!

      --
      There's plenty of room at the bottom! Richard P. Feynmann
    5. Re:One step furhter by bandmassa · · Score: 1

      That'd be one of Frank Herbert's Mentats from the Dune series.

      --
      "I hope you like Guinness, Sir. I find it a refreshing substitute for, er... food." Col. Jack O'Neil, SG-1
  8. Not yet by Faux_Pseudo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I wouldn't do this until some law is passed saying that if a test shows I am prone to some genetic condition that the insurance companies can't refuse me service because it is a pre-existing condition. Ignorance is financial bliss.

    1. Re:Not yet by MagicM · · Score: 1

      Aren't all genetic diseases by definition pre-existing conditions?

    2. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1, Interesting

      Why would you want such a law passed? More information means more efficient market processes.

      People with lower risk pay lower premiums, people with higher risk pay higher premiums.

      This is what the insurance business is all about.

      Insurance companies now have to charge high premiums because they're having a hard time assessing the individual risk levels. When more tools are available to help measure this risk, they'll be able to charge the right premiums, which will be on average lower than what they are now.

    3. Re:Not yet by CrazedWalrus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No, they're possible conditions. You can carry genes that increase your likelihood of having a disease, but not actually express them to the extent that you actually have a problem (or at all). For example, some gene is found to increase your chances of high cholesterol and therefore heart disease. You still may never have heart disease, and may not even actually have high cholesterol.

      In this example, a simple blood test can confirm the high cholesterol condition either way, and is a much more fair way of determining the insurance company's risk.

      In addition, some diseases wouldn't set in from childhood. In this case, a risk factor is pre-existing, but the disease itself is not.

      What this tells you is what to watch out for, not what you have.

    4. Re:Not yet by aldheorte · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Can anyone give me an good argument as to why:

      1. Insurance companies should not deny people coverage based on a genetic assessment.
      2. Insurance companies should not charge a different premium based on genetic assessment.

      That is not based on political correctness? Note that, if you get life insurance, they already take blood and urine tests prior to determining your premium.

    5. Re:Not yet by Emetophobe · · Score: 1

      You're talking about discrimination based on someones genes. I don't know anyone who would want what you are proposing (other than the insurance companies).

    6. Re:Not yet by wizardforce · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The next step in addressing the issue of genetic discrimination was taken by President Bill Clinton. The President had earlier supported proposed legislation that would have banned all health plans - group or individual - from denying coverage or raising premiums on the basis of genetic information. When the legislation failed to pass Congress, President Clinton issued an executive order ( Executive Order 13145 to Prohibit Discrimination in Federal Employment Based on Genetic Information) in February 2000 prohibiting agencies of the federal government from obtaining genetic information about their employees or job applicants and from using genetic information in hiring and promotion decisions.
      Suppose you get a genetic test that at the time shows nothing abnormal so you get your insurance coverage, then a few years later it is shown that you do indeed have a risk for a certain disease- you could very well lose your insurance or at the least have to sell a kidney to get any insurance. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Genetic_discrimination
      --
      Sigs are too short to say anything truly profound so read the above post instead.
    7. Re:Not yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      As other posters have pointed out, genetic tests do not test risk factors. Just because you have genes that MIGHT increase your risk, doesn't mean you have any risk. The normal tests are better, because they actually test if you have a condition, not your likelihood of ever developing the condition.

      If you give them access to genetic information that they could use to increase your payments, more then likely that is exactly what they will do. No ones genes are perfect, not after thousands of years of mixing and matching, everyone will have genes that might suggest they will develop certain conditions, which means your suggestion that they will lower premiums of certain people is ludicrous.

      Genes do not tell you what conditions a person shall ever have, such information will merely become another thing held against people.

    8. Re:Not yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your bank to find out if you die before your mortgage is paid.
      Your employer to estimate your number of sick days.
      And the list goes on.

    9. Re:Not yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's fairly simple: Because people now use health insurance as a form of pseudo-socialized medicine. There are a number of health conditions whose treatment (especially cancer) is so expensive that most people cannot afford it. This fear drives people to pay into the system, and the healthy people effectively subsidize the bills of the sick. Increased knowledge of genetic risk factors will lower some people's insurance, but at the cost of rendering health care unaffordable to the unlucky (or careless, in the case of controllable risks) few.

      Faced with option of increased knowledge of their health risks and maybe lower premiums vs. ignorance but a greater probability of treatment, many people choose ignorance and treatment. This is a sign of how screwed up the system is. The "right thing" has become undesirable...

    10. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk

      Risk is a concept that denotes a potential negative impact to an asset or some characteristic of value that may arise from some present process or future event. (my emphasis)

      Something that might increase risk is itself risk, by definition.

    11. Re:Not yet by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I see you have completely missed the point of my post. Yes, there is a potential risk increase (but no one can say by how much, the knowledge in this area is still very crude and inaccurate), but my point was that increase would only apply to everyone, and only be used as a reason to increase insurance rates.

    12. Re:Not yet by Emetophobe · · Score: 4, Insightful
      My only argument is Genetic discrimination. Also, a lot more information can be found here.

      No one gets to choose their genetic makeup, sex or race when they are born, so why discriminate people based on something which is out of their control?

      Take a look at the Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2007:

      The Genetic Nondiscrimination Act of 2007 (GINA) was passed in the U.S. House of Representatives, by a vote of 420-3. The act will protect individuals against discrimination based on their genetic information when it comes to health insurance and employment. These protections are intended to encourage Americans to take advantage of genetic testing as part of their medical care.

    13. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Prisoner's dilemma in action.

    14. Re:Not yet by TheGoodSteven · · Score: 1

      Here ya go.

    15. Re:Not yet by evanbd · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Insurance companies should charge the correct amount, given all knowledge of risk factors -- insurance should be spreading risk among your insurance pool, not about getting free medical care. The problem is that this results in morally repugnant things like denying people care for unlikely conditions they're predisposed to but had no control over.

      In an ideal world, this would be an argument for socialized medicine, or at least goverment-run health insurance for such factors. At a societal level, a certain fraction of people will have genetic anomalies, and at a societal level we shouldn't discriminate against them. It's no different from a car accident -- even if you're a good, careful driver, you roll the dice every time you get behind the wheel. The difference is that the dice get rolled (at least in part) long before the healthcare bills start to appear. But, that doesn't make it any less of a "risk" -- it just means that people can attempt to opt out of paying their share after they've checked the dice roll.

      The ideal solution would be to cover everyone based on a pool composed of everyone -- aka mandatory government funded insurance (or socialized healthcare, depending on how you want to look at it).

      (And to wander further afield -- there are lots of issues with our current healthcare system. I'm skeptical that socialized healthcare is the answer, and I don't know that implementing government insurance for genetic conditions would actually improve anything. At the same time, I find it ethically wrong to allow people to use genetic results they know about in decisions about what healthcare coverage to buy, but not allow the providers to use the same information in decisions about what to charge. It's a difficult and many-faceted problem, and I won't pretend to have even some of the answers.)

    16. Re:Not yet by daeg · · Score: 1

      This is a strong argument for a national healthcare system that does not discriminate. Allow, and perhaps subsidize, people to take these detailed genetic tests to alert them to possible predisposition to things. Many genetic conditions can be combated with diet, exercise, or other preventative things (high cholesterol comes to mind as a good example). It can also give doctors a valuable clue to look in a unified medical chart and see that you have a specific gene that can lead to an exotic condition, or that there is really nothing they can do for a condition.

      Many family histories are grossly incomplete. Remember that not even 100 years ago, many minor illnesses were considered types of "madness". Not exactly a lot for the doctor to go off of.

      If you permit these tests with private health care, everyone loses. Everyone will have some weakness to SOMETHING. Don't forget that insurance is linked to work, and health data is private. Try explaining to your company why your premium is $600 higher than a co-worker's without explaining your family's private medical history and pre-disposition to certain pricey conditions.

    17. Re:Not yet by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1

      1. Insurance companies should not deny people coverage based on a genetic assessment.
      2. Insurance companies should not charge a different premium based on genetic assessment.

      In the US, health care is largely based on insurance, as opposed to much of Western Europe where it is seen as a basic right. Therefore, allowing different charging or even exclusion as in your number 1 scenario, would deny or impact people's access to health care in the USA to a dramatic level. This would be bad for a number of reasons, but the greatest of which is the sheer injustice of being treated worse by society for the sake of your genetic makeup. Unjust societies are not happy societies. Other areas of impact are on whether it affects someone's employability, either through risk-averse employers or because they are forced to pay more for that employee's health insurance.

      Denial of health care to people or adding extra costs to their living limits people's opportunities in life and the last thing US society needs to be doing right now is limiting people's opportunities. They need every productive and successful member of society they can get. Plus the american health insurance companies are raking it in. They're one of the biggest industries going. The cost to the US citizen of health insurance is far out of whack compared to what the equivalent care costs someone via their taxes in most of Western Europe. That suggests that something is off with the industries profit margins already. The above two suggestions would be bad for society and cause quite a bit of suffering. That's reason enough, I think. I'm not sure why you think political correctness has any relevance here.
      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    18. Re:Not yet by TheCrayfish · · Score: 1

      Insurance companies, as private enterprises, should have the right to charge whatever they want to whomever they want, as long as a free and open market exists (with no monopoly insurance companies, etc.)

      Insurance companies already charge different rates to drivers of different ages, for example, even though this amounts to "discrimination" based on something the customer cannot control (i.e., the year in which s/he was born.) They do this because statistically, younger drivers represent a higher risk to insure than older drivers.

      Again, as private enterprises, they should have the right to use any information at their disposal to assess risk and charge a premium based on that risk.

    19. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1

      Hmm, no. Do you think that insurance companies now, as they don't have enough info to assess your risk level, simply say : "Oh well, too bad. We'll just charge him the same premiums we would if we knew he was low-risk."?

      The total premiums would probably go down a little, but the distribution would be much more fair and efficient.

    20. Re:Not yet by jamstar7 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Hmm, no. Do you think that insurance companies now, as they don't have enough info to assess your risk level, simply say : "Oh well, too bad. We'll just charge him the same premiums we would if we knew he was low-risk."?

      They have these guys working for them called actuaries. They do for insurance companies what bookies do for betting - they analyse risk and compute odds. It's a hitherto unknown science called 'statistics'. And they're good at it. Why do you think car insurance premiums are 5 times the 'going rate' for males between 16 and 25? Because statistically, the risk is MUCH greater of an accident in that age bracket.

      The total premiums would probably go down a little, but the distribution would be much more fair and efficient.

      Um, no. The insurance company's profits will go up, the premiums will remain the same. Hey, you're used to the rate now, right? By getting more info on you, they can more accurately gauge the risk you'll be that they (god forbid) actually have to pay a claim, and if your risk goes beyond a certain threshhold, they'll drop you like a hot rock. Think I'm kidding? File claims on 3 uninsured idiots backing into your car in a parking lot within a year and see how fast your premiums go up after the 2nd, and how fast they cancel you after the 3rd. Insurance companies are for-profit entities. They're in business to make money, not to pay claims. If they can figure out a way to pay zero claims, they'll do it.

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    21. Re:Not yet by UbuntuDupe · · Score: 1

      Flamebait? Sheesh, that was a valid point, although it could have been "nicer".

      The function of insurance, as such, is to spread a risk across a pool, where you don't know who will get what, except in a probabilistic sense.

      We all surely feel for those who are stuck with a genetic disease they had no control over, but if we collectively value health coverage for these diseases, we should be willing to pay for it collectively, NOT mandate that all insurance companies act as hybrid insurer-charities, which would just force them to try to avoid the uninsurable diseases in more insidious ways. That means: having the government pay for treatment of these diseases, rather than making insurance companies our whipping boys.

      On a side note, this concern for equality many express here is not very general. Maleness is genetic, but I don't see any outrage over insurers (car, life, etc.) charging males more. Why is that?

      Oh, right...

    22. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1

      "The ideal solution would be to cover everyone based on a pool composed of everyone -- aka mandatory government funded insurance (or socialized healthcare, depending on how you want to look at it)"


      The problem with this is that the premiums are usually not enough to cover all payouts if premiums are not reflecting the correct level of risk. Managers of such systems will prefer undercharging to overcharging for political reasons. Either way, without market forces there are no price signals guiding these managers.

      Such funds thus require tax money to be diverted from other sources (e.g. transportation is usually a preferred target).

    23. Re:Not yet by The+Analog+Kid · · Score: 1

      People with lower risk pay lower premiums, people with higher risk pay higher premiums.

      I'm sure if you got your genes sequenced and found out your at a high risked for high cholesterol, liver cancer, and Alzheimer's you'd be signing a different tune when you got your bill from the insurance company.

    24. Re:Not yet by autophile · · Score: 1

      My argument would be that an insurance company is incapable of determining a person's future worth outside of their genetic cost.

      --Rob

      --
      Towards the Singularity.
    25. Re:Not yet by AxelBoldt · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Insurance companies, as private enterprises, should have the right to charge whatever they want to whomever they want,

      They do not now have that right, nor should they have that right in the future. Just because they are private enterprises does not mean that they should be exempt of regulation; in fact, the whole point of regulation is to make the profit motive of private enterprises work in parallel with the public interest.

      It's in the public interest that people have access to affordable health insurance, in particular if their genes show that they may need it in the future. If insurers were allowed to cherry-pick, then ultimately the taxpayers would have to pay for the treatment of these people, unless you want to let them rot homelessly in the streets.

    26. Re:Not yet by David+Munch · · Score: 1

      At most times that is true, but that is definately not the entire fact. You can indeed have single mutations that give you a specific disease.

    27. Re:Not yet by sethstorm · · Score: 1

      Do we really need to bring out Eugenics? It may be one risk that cannot be mitigated, merely accepted.

      --
      Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
    28. Re:Not yet by CrazedWalrus · · Score: 1

      True. The GGP asserted that all genetic diseases are preexisting conditions, which I don't believe to be the case. As you note, there's a spectrum of cases, from never actually having the disease, even if you have the genes for it, to definitely having it without a doubt if you have the genes for it.

      The point is that this spectrum exists, and so insurance companies probably couldn't use these tests to automatically consider any genetic predispositions as "pre-existing conditions".

    29. Re:Not yet by francisstp · · Score: 1

      "Why do you think car insurance premiums are 5 times the 'going rate' for males between 16 and 25? Because statistically, the risk is MUCH greater of an accident in that age bracket."


      Why does everyone consider that having more information in the case of teenage male drivers is a good thing while arguing that having more information on our genetic code is a bad one?

      Suppose car insurance companies were forbidden to ask the age and sex of their customers. What would happen? Obviously everyone's premiums would go up to make up for the inadequate information about risk.

      Actuaries do away with the information they have. In a free market, the more information they have, the more precise their estimates are, the more accurate premiums become. Insurance companies have to face competition like any other business.


      "If they can figure out a way to pay zero claims, they'll do it."


      Correction: if they can figure out a way to pay zero claims and retain their customers, they'll do it.

    30. Re:Not yet by evanbd · · Score: 1

      Why would insurance premiums behave differently from other products? Insurance companies compete on price like other companies. When a manufacturer finds a way to cut costs, that translates into lower prices so they can compete better; they don't simply raise their profit margins. In practice, the two aren't immediately connected, but they *are* connected over moderate lengths of time. If profit margins are high, people start looking at ways to make more money by lowering prices and getting more customers.

      Of course, health insurance shows signs of not being a properly competitive market -- and monopolies and oligopolies do behave in the way you describe (somewhat; not completely). Which says to me that your argument is actually an argument that insurance should be turned into a more competitive marketplace, not an argument in favor of hindering their ability to charge appropriate premiums.

      (And as I've said elsewhere, I think in the case of genetic risk factors, insurance should properly be provided by the government. It's a risk borne by society; you shouldn't be allowed to opt in or out of the pool after the dice are rolled, any more than you're allowed to sign up for auto insurance after getting in an accident and before filing a claim.)

    31. Re:Not yet by bizbuzz · · Score: 1

      You pointed exactly to the problems. It's about asymmetric information where one knowing about his genetic disadvantages, signs a contract with an insurance which only calculates with average risks. What you got in the end is called adverse selection, where only the people with bad risks choose to insure themself. The only solution is to declare the insurance of this risks mandatory.
      This doesn't have necessarily to be a sozialized healthcare system. In Switzerland healthcare insurance is mandatory but provided from private insurances, although the states (cantons) pump large amounts of money into the healthcare providers like hospitals and we have the second highest healthcare costs worldwide after the USA.
      The biggest problem is, that the politicians doesn't provide new rules for the upcoming and inevitable two-class-medicine. They fear this topic, because there's no way not to discriminate some part of the population regarding certain healthcare services.

    32. Re:Not yet by eggnet · · Score: 1

      I can give you a great argument.

      If everyone had perfect knowledge of all risk factors, as did insurance companies, and insurance companies were allowed to charge everyone according to those risk factors, everyone would be better off putting money in an investment account instead of insurance.

      The point of insurance is to spread risk around. What's the point of insurance if you are guaranteed to have cancer and have to pay your full bill in the form of a premium?

    33. Re:Not yet by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1
      Thank you for the intelligent comment. I am certainly skeptical about the magic of the market ever solving real social problems, but in this case, it seems to me that a properly competitive market wouldn't give us a bad result, with some really cheap rates for young people with no dangerous genetic conditions.

      However, this would be the first step in a scary direction:

      Suppose you carry a gene that would not only increase the health risks of a daughter, but also cost her an extra $1000/year in insurance payments for the rest of her life. Given this risk and the fact that IVF + genetic testing will be ever more accessible, it seems to give an extra inscentive to make sure a fertalized egg is "genetically clean" before implanting it. This is all the stuff about "designer babies" that gets people all worked up in a tizzy.

      However, I'm really not sure that this is a bad outcome. So long as the screening techniques are effective, artificial selection will lead to healthier future generations. And where's the downside? I saw Gattaca, thought it was really stupid and badly conceived, and I think it's ridiculous that genetic screening would lead to biggotry. So I'm not sure there's anything here to worry about.

    34. Re:Not yet by bandmassa · · Score: 1

      Seriously guys, after watching Mike Moore's "Sicko", and reading this discussion about insurance not covering this and that and something else (oh, you farted? hmm, your bowel cancer was probably a pre-existing condition) the US needs a second revolution. Rise up, overthrow the monkeyboy, overthrow the corporations!

      Or take the coyboyneil option...

      --
      "I hope you like Guinness, Sir. I find it a refreshing substitute for, er... food." Col. Jack O'Neil, SG-1
    35. Re:Not yet by Virtual_Raider · · Score: 1

      Why does everyone consider that having more information in the case of teenage male drivers is a good thing while arguing that having more information on our genetic code is a bad one?

      Because "teenage males" are just a bunch of numbers. They are not talking about Virtual_Raider and francisst being crappy drivers. They are counting how many people of within a certain range fit on a given profile. Yes, they need to know your age when this happens to count you, but when you get assimilated into the statistics your individuality dissolves whereas if they look into your genome they will be unequivocally talking about you. This is disturbing to some people.

      There is a subtle difference between:

      • me telling the agent I am 25,35,45 or whatever and him looking at a table and going "hmm... well, this is the rate for people your age"
      • and me giving the agent my sequenced genome and he looking at a table and going "hmm... well, this is the rate for people your age, plus premium A for your predisposition to diabetes, premium B for your predisposition to obesity (which is well known to be correlated and/or cause several other major diseases), and premium C for your predisposition to internet trolling."

      So, IMHO, the main complaint is that they feel this technology may be used to make their lives more expensive, but really the underlying reason is more a psychological one: making it more personal makes one feel like they are picking on us rather than being "fair" (read: dispensing average, faceless and impersonal treatment).

      --
      +Raider of the lost BBS
    36. Re:Not yet by Virtual_Raider · · Score: 1

      And where's the downside? I saw Gattaca, thought it was really stupid and badly conceived, and I think it's ridiculous that genetic screening would lead to biggotry. So I'm not sure there's anything here to worry about.

      People already discriminate based on race; blacks are inferior, latinos are lazy, blondes are retarded, so on and so forth. People already discriminate based on religion; muslims are murderous fundamentalists, christians are close minded murderous fundamentalists, jews are greedy close minded murderous fundamentalists (:P) etcetera ad nauseam. People already discriminate based on economic status; you are worth as much as your possessions, as much as your SUV, your pool, your clothes, your iPod, your rig, on and on...

      So I think you are one of those persons that wouldn't discriminate and that's why you find the idea ludicrous but people are competitive by nature and, sadly, many a time that competition manifests through very unhealthy channels. Add ignorance, fear, fanaticism... I definitely see this being abused.

      --
      +Raider of the lost BBS
    37. Re:Not yet by evanbd · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem is, that the politicians doesn't provide new rules for the upcoming and inevitable two-class-medicine. They fear this topic, because there's no way not to discriminate some part of the population regarding certain healthcare services.

      This is, unfortunately, the case. We as a society have reached (or perhaps are very fast approaching, but I think we're there) the point where we know how to spend more money (productively, not wastefully) taking care of sick people than it is actually worth doing, from a purely economic standpoint. We will eventually reach the point where we could spend the equivalent of our entire GDP on taking care of sick people. The result is that we have to start rationing. We can do it by denying procedures we think aren't worth it; we can do it by long waiting lists; we can do it by requiring that people pay for it themselves (either out of pocket or through private insurance) and denying the ones who can't. I'm sure there are other ways, but I'm sure that no way is particularly palatable. It's a very difficult problem, and one for which it is particularly difficult to produce sound-bite answers that politicians like.

      I fear that the state of health care in the USA is only going to get worse for some time yet before things start improving.

  9. Guarentees ? by drozofil · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What about privacy ? How could one be sure that they don't keep the records in some kind of database ? The possibility to make comparisons with friends/family seems like a pretext to keep that kind of data.

    What about the genetic information that cannot be interpreted as of today ? Will it get stored anyways, leaving future analysis possible ? (Is there a subscription for updates ??

    What kind of questions these sort of tests can answer that you can't answer ? Besides disease detection (I thought there were people specialized in such matters ... like ... doctors ...), what purpose serve the answers ?

  10. Something Is Missing... by moehoward · · Score: 1


    I read this story earlier in the day on another site and I still don't understand one thing. Many companies offer genetic testing for specific genetic mutations for a heck of a lot more money, and they hold the "patents." For example, Myriad charges over $3,000 just for a BRCA1/2 (breast/ovarian cancer mutation) test.

    So, are we really getting the full picture with these full-sequence deals? How do they get around the patents, such as Myriad's? What am I missing? Are you just getting some report of your sequence or are they listing out for you all of your known bad mutations?

    --
    "If you want to improve, be content to be thought foolish and stupid." - Epictetus
    1. Re:Something Is Missing... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 5, Informative

      What they're offering isn't "full sequencing." It's looking at a very specific set of markers (SNPs) which are known to vary widely between individuals. SNP stands for single nucleotide polymorphism -- that means one base pair or bp. There are about three billion bps in the human genome, of which these companies identify about a million, or one out of every three thousand. Such markers are certainly sufficient for genealogy, and are often enough to locate the regions of the genome on which genes predictive for certain diseases may be found, but they're nowhere near the full sequence. By way of analogy (I'm sure someone will come along to punch holes in this, but I think it's a pretty good one) a million-SNP map of your genome is like the satellite view of your house you get from Google; a full sequence is like knowing the location of every blade of grass on your lawn.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    2. Re:Something Is Missing... by kilpatjr · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Someone please mod the parent higher. It's good to see someone who seems to know what's going on.

      The grandparent message is correct that the $1000 genome will not tell you about BRCA 1/2 or other "patented" genes. In fact, I'd have a hard time believing this tells users much about many diseases. The truth of the matter is that most genetic disease are caused by several mutations which may elevate risk. Mendelian traits -- those caused by a single mutation -- are quite rare and you're likely to know if you have one. Conditions like lupus, diabetes, heart disease, and numerous others are caused by a combination of LOTS of genes and unknown environmental factors. To give you an idea of the relative importance of the two, the identical twin of someone with lupus has something like a 25% risk of developing the disease (don't impale me if I got the number wrong, 25% is in the neighborhood). To confound matters, mutations outside of genes in parts of the genome formerly referred to as junk DNA play an ill-defined, yet important role in many (or perhaps most) complex genetic diseases. Discovering you have a rare mutation in some seemingly random spot isn't all that helpful, even if it's going to cause you to drop dead some day.

      Mapping disease risk mutations is a very rich area of research. Here's a taste: some people suspect that mutations operating in pairs or general n-tuples may cause disease in specific combinations. The drag here is that when these mutations are tested individually, they may show little or no statistical association. To test even all pairs is intractable (NP complete for you CS types) and doing so introduces a statistical nightmare with lots of semi-independent tests inflating the false positive rate.

      I'd suggest you save your money for a few years unless you just really want to know about ancestry, which is relatively easy to determine from many fewer SNPs than these companies are offering. I don't recall the details, but I suspect something like this plus freely available software should do the trick. You just need to find a lab with a hyb oven and a microarray scanner and a statistician to do the analysis.

    3. Re:Something Is Missing... by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      I'm sorry. Only car analogies are allowed on Slashdot.

    4. Re:Something Is Missing... by h4rm0ny · · Score: 1


      Let me get this straight. It's pretty clearly what you're saying but I'm having a hard time actually believing it. In the USA, patent law actually forbids you to look at portions of your own DNA?

      --

      Aide-toi, le Ciel t'aidera - Jeanne D'Arc.
    5. Re:Something Is Missing... by Nazlfrag · · Score: 1

      It's quite insane, and its not just humans but plants, insects, you name it, someones out there patenting a genome sequence of it. It seems ludicrous, but hey look at the crazy stuff they do to modify natural remedies into pharmaceuticals introducing all sorts of unwanted effects, all because they wouldn't let nature be patented. We sure learned our lesson there, won't let that happen again. Damn, its becoming like I don't even know if I'm being sarcastic anymore. That's it, I'm off to take a patent out on the English language - prior art be damned!

    6. Re:Something Is Missing... by kilpatjr · · Score: 1

      I don't know the details, but my understanding is that they're technically patenting the assay, not the DNA sequence, per se. I'd love to be corrected on that.

    7. Re:Something Is Missing... by Hoch · · Score: 1

      You are right in thinking that the grandparent is paranoid. The gene sequences are freely available on the web. http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?db=gene&cmd=Retrieve&dopt=full_report&list_uids=672 details various forms of BRCA1. Also, patenting genes is not as nebulous as it was a few years ago. Now one must have a use, and not just a diagnostic use, for the gene to get a patent.

      --
      2*31*37*263
    8. Re:Something Is Missing... by eli+pabst · · Score: 1

      I believe most of the BRCA tests are done by full sequencing because there are lots of different BRCA1 mutations, so you can't just pick a handful of previously known variants like the deCode project. The BRCA genes themselves are also a real pain because they are relatively large and they are composed of lots of small exons (segments), which makes it even more technically cumbersome.

  11. Navigenics by pnotequalsnp · · Score: 1

    I think it's nice to get 1 million markers genotyped, but what about a comprehensive plan after? My idea would be something like navigenics (www.navigenics.com). Nevertheless, family history is way more informative...

  12. Sure You Know Who Your Father Is? by aldheorte · · Score: 4, Interesting

    People in past discussions mentioned this, but the ability to compare genes with family members may shock more than a few people who do not share as many genetic characteristics with their father and siblings as they thought. Apparently, estimates of conceptive infidelity place the natural rate at a much higher percentage than actually known to the conceived children.

    1. Re:Sure You Know Who Your Father Is? by eli+pabst · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, this is actually a significant issue in the genetics field. Depending on the population, you can have upwards of 10% non-paternity, which can really screw things up when you are trying to trace the inheritance of disease-causing mutations as they are passed through a family. With all the HIPAA regulations you could obviously never disclose any of that, but we had a medical student once take it on themselves to call a family and basically say "hey we did these genetic tests and they aren't coming out correctly, are you sure that so-and-so is the father?". I'm sure it was a quiet dinner that night.

  13. Anonymity? by Mr.+Sketch · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Is this anonymous? Namely so that if it turns out I have some risk factor for a genetic condition, that my health insurance can't find out about it and raise my premiums.

    1. Re:Anonymity? by drozofil · · Score: 1

      Having such a service with a guaranteed anonymity would solve many privacy issues.

      You're not the first to mention related insurance costs. Is it funny or is it greedy ? that I can't tell.

      What I thing about these costs is that they should relate to your personal history. DNA isn't part of your personal history (one could argue on that, I won't for now). You're not responsible in any way of what your DNA looks like. You never had any chance to modify it, nor to choose any part of it. If insurance companies had access to such information, they would presumably charge less for people who are less likely to cost money by being ill. It looks more like eugenics using money than anything else.

      I find the following statement to be quite a scandal : "The poor, sick bastards will die, not because they're ill, but because we won't afford them the money that could have cured them.". People which have good reason (valid DNA results ?) to think they're "good enough" could disagree. My opinion on that matter is that egotism sucks, large scale egotism sucks even more, and DNA-backed egotism is worse than any other form of it.

    2. Re:Anonymity? by francisstp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Obviously they'll want to know about your condition beforehand!

      Imagine if all cancer patients knew in advance they'd almost certainly have cancer, but not the insurance companies. The latter would all go bankrupt because their payout amounts would far exceed the premium payments collected.

      You can't have your cake and eat it too and all...

    3. Re:Anonymity? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 1

      What I thing about these costs is that they should relate to your personal history. DNA isn't part of your personal history (one could argue on that, I won't for now). You're not responsible in any way of what your DNA looks like.

      You don't get any choice about when you were born, either -- but they'll still charge higher premiums for you when you're 70 than when you're 30.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    4. Re:Anonymity? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could avoid giving them any identifying information that could be uniquely traced back to you.
      But they'll be sneaky about it, so you must be too! Wear shades. Don't use credit cards, pay in cash. Wipe your fingerprints off the sample vial, etc.
      And don't lick the stamp on the envelope, I hear they can trace that stuff these days!

    5. Re:Anonymity? by siwelwerd · · Score: 1

      They wouldn't go bankrupt, they'd just start charging higher premiums, and likely offer you a discount if you could show them a genetic screening showing you're less at risk.

    6. Re:Anonymity? by drozofil · · Score: 1

      You don't get any choice about when you were born, either -- but they'll still charge higher premiums for you when you're 70 than when you're 30.

      You age seems directly relevant to what I was calling "personal history". Talking about choice was an error from me. You might argue that there are several things affecting the premiums that you don't choose. However, I draw a line between what describes you considering what you lived through, and what describes you considering the innerds of your genotype.

      In black and white we would have on one side the idea that insurance companies should account for everything that relates to you, which would include DNA. On the other side, they shouldn't account for anything relating to you, which would give equal rates for everyone. The line I drawed is somewhere in between.

  14. This is great! by hikaru2895 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is great! But who owns the code? The NY Times article says that you aren't given your code, you have to view it through the company's viewer.

    Also, who owns your genetic code in a larger sense?

    I remember a funny science fiction story, which maybe isn't so funny anymore.

    A football team attempted to patent the genetic code for one of it's star running backs, so they could clone him and assure the success of the franchise forever. When he complained, he was told he should have read the fine print of the contract better...

    The football team's legal team were trumped, when his parents stepped up and proclaimed thier rights as the original creators of this particular bit of intellectual property...

    (i feel inspired to sign up, this is my first post to slashdot, posting is fun!)

  15. Nasty consequences by Emetophobe · · Score: 1
    From the NYT link:

    For example, my hands hurt the other day. So naturally, I checked my DNA.

    Was this the first sign that I had inherited the arthritis that gnarled my paternal grandmother's hard-working fingers? Logging onto my account at 23andMe, the start-up company that is now my genetic custodian, I typed my search into the "Genome Explorer" and hit return. I was, in essence, Googling my own DNA.

    What if you have a more serious condition (or are genetically predisposed to getting some form of cancer for example). I'd imagine insurance companies would love to get ahold of that information. What's going to stop these companies from turning around and selling my DNA records to third parties?

  16. Weird comment but... by Prysorra · · Score: 2, Funny

    That's a possibility. It's only a matter of time before sperm banks make the most of their .... supply.

  17. Alas, my NJ overlords prevent me from using it by acvh · · Score: 1

    WTF?

    There are states that don't let their citizens see the risk assessment of their own decoded genes?

    1. Re:Alas, my NJ overlords prevent me from using it by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2, Informative

      I think what's going on is an overzeaous application of carelessly written privacy laws. It's not that NJ (or any of the other states on the list) doesn't want you to see the map; it's that the states have laws preventing companies from doing certain kinds of data mining involving other people's genetic data necessary to give you meaningful results. (SNP maps in isolation are pretty useless.) Most likely the laws were written when having this kind of test done for an affordable price was impossible. There are good reasons for safeguarding medical data of all kinds, most certainly including genetic data, but the laws should keep pace with the technology.

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
  18. Double that by Besna · · Score: 1

    Don't let the luddites and paranoid types get you down! This rocks. Great winter solstice gift, too!

  19. Gattaca by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow, now you will know whether your offspring has all kinds of nasty diseases, without consulting a physician !
    What brave new world we live in..

  20. deCODE will let you dowload your results by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative
    Confirmed here:

    I contacted the support team at deCODEme this morning. You will receive the raw data along with reference numbers for the SNPs.
    If 23andMe isn't offering raw data, that's a point in favor of deCODE.
  21. scared of your HEALTH providers? by xtracto · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Lol, it is so funny to read the comments from this story. I found amusing how there are already various comments wondering how would that affect negatively to their health insurance... whereas this would be *great* for say, someone under the NHS as it would allow the doctors to focus on monitoring those specific genetic conditions.

    It just show how screwed up the paradigm of insured medicine is... It is a good thing that this sort of genetic monitoring is becoming available for everybody. However, I find it unfortunate to see that it can be used against those people by the same corporations who are supposed to look for your health... go capitalism!

    --
    Ubuntu is an African word meaning 'I can't configure Debian'
    1. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by JesseMcDonald · · Score: 1

      I found amusing how there are already various comments wondering how would that affect negatively to their health insurance... However, I find it unfortunate to see that it can be used against those people by the same corporations who are supposed to look for your health... go capitalism!

      It appears to me that they're mainly worried that the genetic aspects of their health are more risky than they and their insurers previously thought, meaning that the premiums they were paying before were unfairly low. Once their risk is more accurately determined there's obviously no way to justify grouping them with other lower-risk clients.

      Prohibiting the rate adjustments, or moving to a socialized health insurance system, would merely externalize the risk onto the other clients. This is clearly the wrong approach, since a fundamental element of civilization is reducing or eliminating any individual's ability to externalize their costs onto others; to codify such an externality into law would be a significant step backwards as a society.

      --
      "The state is that great fiction by which everyone tries to live at the expense of everyone else." - Bastiat
    2. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by walshy007 · · Score: 1

      assume in future this becomes relatively cheap and thusly all insurance companies make it mandatory, and you have a guy called joe random. joe random gets his genetic report and finds he has a predisposition for cancer.

      upping the insurance costs means he can't afford insurance.

      so when poor joe discovers he has cancer, and can't afford the medication, he should be left to die without any treatment? I fail to see how that would be a step 'forward' for society

      as opposed to say a public health system whereby he'd still foot the bill, but a significantly subsidized barely affordable one. or just letting sleeping dogs lie not doing dna tests and paying normal insurance to find out he has cancer.

      no matter what your argument, leaving sick to die without treatment when they are willing to pay for it... just not obscenely, is not a society I'd like to live in.

      on another topic in regards to insurance companies though.
      17 year old male driver, comprehensive insurance for a crappy car that you'd only want $500 for if stolen etc, $1.5k per year premium, now at the age of 20, brand new motorbike gotten, $9k worth, to fully insure, $2.5k a year.

      in the last five years I've yet to crash a car/ be involved in an accident at all, now, in that time if I'd payed insurance, I would have paid a total of $12,500 of insurance... for no payout. all because I'm in the high risk category even though I'm a safe driver. is it fair your considered high risk because assholes in your age-group are dickheads? while many people think it's stupid to not be insured, I just think of the 12.5k I've currently saved, and know I'll get insurance once the premium becomes *reasonable* for a safe driver.

    3. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Actually, it isn't anything quite as sinister as people are making it out to be, but rather a fundamental problem with the insurance industry. The purpose of insurance is to protect you against the unknown, and to balance risks across society. Most people don't incur huge health costs before they become old, so this allows everybody to pay in a moderate amount (relatively) and then the few that really need it can spend huge sums.

      The whole thing breaks down when health issues are no longer an unknown quantity. And you can't do ANYTHING about it with any form of non-compulsory insurance system. Price fixing doesn't work, nor does preventing price discrimination based on genetic factors.

      1. Suppose you prevent price discrimination based on genetic factors. This makes insurance an average cost for everybody. People will look at their own genetic makeup and work out what their expected cost of health maintenance will be. If they are likely to be very healthy they'll just get accident insurance and drop health insurance. If they're likely to get sick they'll buy insurance. Suddenly the insurance rolls get MUCH smaller (most people won't get sick and opt out), and those who stay on the rolls are the most expensive ones to care for. Prices skyrocket until everybody just opts out (the premium prices would be no better than what you'd pay just to personally fund your own care).

      2. Suppose you fix prices. Exactly the same thing happens - the healthy drop out and the sick stay in. You go out of business even faster because you can't raise prices as the financials no longer work out.

      Imagine being an auto insurer in a world where anybody could tell if they were going to have a car crash a year in advance. It just wouldn't work - nobody would buy your services unless they knew they'd have a crash, and then you'd have to charge the full replacement value as a premium since you know that if they're signing up you're going to have to pay it out.

      Once you have a high level of knowledge about the future the only form of "insurance" that works is compulsory insurance - ie tax-funded insurance / socialized medicine. I'm actually opposed to socialized medicine in general, but I do tend to think it will be the only viable option once we can predict major health problems. Even so, I am all for funding advances, as these same advances will tend to lead to the elimination of these health problems entirely which is only a win for society...

    4. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by darthflo · · Score: 1

      Fortunately all this genetic analysis doesn't tell you what's going to happen but gives you an estimate of your risk. Suppose we let the free market rule, insurances may just calculate how expensive you'll probably be and determine your individual rates that way. If you've got a 12.7% chance of getting X which costs $100k to cure (on average), your rate over the expected lifespan of your policy will be $12.5k higher than an otherwise identical person with 0.2% chance of getting X sometime.
      Savings thru the insurance-typical denying-game are probably about balanced out with additional cost for all the insurances work, so this way you ought to be able to choose between safety for a price or feeling lucky and saving said price (and maybe catching whatever sickness you're genetically predestined for, not being able to pay the huge medical bills and dieing in agony).

      The trouble with that solution is that participants are treated as unequals for things they can't affect. Which sucks. Especially if you've got a 50% chance of some day getting cancer or whatever may be considered an extremely expensive-to-cure disease and thus can't afford to even get insured. But there's a simple solution for that, too: (very basic) socialized medicine with everything on top working as explained above. The basic insurance would either be priced the same for everybody or scale along each person's income and purposely suck really bad. It might only cover life-endangering diseases, have large deductibles (it'd be about saving lives from death or bankrupcy, period) and so on, but it would make sure even a high-risk person is insured enough to be kept alive. Paying the free market's rate for nicer hospital rooms, less deductibles, coverage of minor incidents and prettier nurses would then be yours to take or leave.
      Thanks to all the in-depth probability calculations possible with a proper gene sequence, those "bonus" plans could even be customized down to the last detail (Joe Blow's 30% chance of diabetes would make the luxury plan a bit too expensive if everything's included. If diabetes remains covered by the basic insurance and everything else's upgraded to "luxury", however, the price might just work out ok and he'll get the nicest service around without any deductibles except for diabetes-related incidents.)

    5. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      You are correct as to the fact that this technology does not predict certainties, but only risks. However, the fundamental issue exists that as knowledge increases, insurance tends to fail. Rates HAVE to be based on known risks or else the industry fails.

      You're right of course that it is lousy that people end up paying the price for stuff they have no control over.

      As this technology improves the uncertainty of future medical problems will steadily decrease. If the cost of treating those problems does not fall just as quickly, then insurance will rapidly become unaffordable, and socialized medicine will be needed to fill the gap. Remedies like price-fixing or non-discriminatory pricing laws will only cause the industry to fail.

      The one hope is that as the ability to predict major health issues goes up the technology to treat those problems will improve as well - at a rate sufficient to contain costs. That would be a win-win for everybody - sure you know you're prone to diabetes, but some genetic therapy will just fix the problem (or whatever the cure ends up being). Costs stay under control and no need for socialized medicine (at least not due to this problem).

    6. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by nanoakron · · Score: 1

      This is clearly the wrong approach, since a fundamental element of civilization is reducing or eliminating any individual's ability to externalize their costs onto others

      Where the hell did you get this idea? A fundamental element of the civilisation I live in is to increasingly look after our fellow man.

      Just because your country has its priorities arse-backwards - Kill brown people first, get fellow countrymen healthy second.

    7. Re:scared of your HEALTH providers? by Physician · · Score: 1

      Frankly, there are a number of diseases that I would not want to know that I was likely to get - for example, Alzheimer's. Ignorance is bliss.

      --
      Does God treat us as servants or friends? Check my homepage.
  22. Future by LightPhoenix7 · · Score: 1

    I always knew Gattaca was a documentary!

  23. Personalized genetic enginering? Bioshock? by SpaceWanderer · · Score: 1

    Will this bring genetic engineering 1 step closer to public access? Will the public eventually be able to order customized genes for the expression of desirable physical features? I think this would be pretty cool. Or could it be like the distopian city Rapture in Bioshock where mutant splicers running amock? Or will government regulation stifle it?

  24. The insurance business.... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why would you want such a law passed? More information means more efficient market processes.

    People with lower risk pay lower premiums, people with higher risk pay higher premiums.

    This is what the insurance business is all about.

    Insurance companies now have to charge high premiums because they're having a hard time assessing the individual risk levels. When more tools are available to help measure this risk, they'll be able to charge the right premiums, which will be on average lower than what they are now. In other words they will exhaustively test every customer, seize upon every little bitty DNA defect they can find, assess it as a potential risk and jack up the premiums? Perhaps I am being paranoid here but I put the insurance industry right beside lawyers and estate agents on my list of blood sucking parasites that I mistrust on principle. Which puts them just a couple of pegs above 419ers, Enron executives, the Bush administration stooges who cooked up the Iraqi WMD evidence and generally all other other low life scam artists.
  25. go with deCODE then by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    (1) They're in Iceland. (2) Their service agreement says:

    Billing information and shipping information must be provided by deCODEme users in order to buy a Genetic Scan. Both of these information are collected by PayPal ; however only the shipping information is stored in the deCODEme database. Once the buccal swab kit has been sent to users, they are free to delete their shipping information from their profile (my settings).
    Also, this:

    deCODE may disclose your personal information only if we believe such action is necessary to: comply with the law or legal process served up on deCODE or to protect and defend the rights or property of deCODE in relation to your agreement with deCODEme. Except for the above, deCODE will under no circumstances provide any 3'rd party, including insurance companies, health management organizations, hospitals, and government agencies, access to any of your personal data or data derived from your samples unless you grant us an explicit authorization in your privacy settings.
    23andMe asks for a name to go along with each sample at the time you order, but I suppose nothing forces you to use real names.
  26. Insurance by MikShapi · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How do we expect insurance companies to handle this? What about the "two publics"?

    On one hand, doomsayers here are saying insurance companies can choose to not insure someone with certain genes or charge them insane amounts.
    Scary, but the solution is obvious -
    [1] force insurance companies to ensure ANYONE
    [2] legally define and enforce a ceiling rate they can charge, regardless of how bad your genes look.

    I can already hear privacy advocates screaming and yelling "why give them our genes in the first place"? That's a moot point for two reasons -
    1. It's a losing battle. Eventually, our genes (or those of our relatives) will be accessible.
    2. Hiding our genes in general os shooting ourselves in the foot. Some (and I belong to this group, hence will use "we") may WANT their genes to be publicly available, much like I want source to be available. So products, offerings, solutions to problems and industry can spring due to their availability.

    The most obvious reason not to hide our genes, however, is simple: people who have non-fucked genes will want to, they will pay a lower premium. Money talks.

    Here is how it will most likely evolve from what we have today:

    We pay today default premium X. I will assume charging >X is not financially feasible due to competition, and that X is the sweet spot.

    Insurance companies will offer a genetic evaluation kit. It allows one to PRIVATELY evaluate himself, and submit the results to the insurance companies if his genes are ok, thereby halving his premium to 0.5X.

    After a period of adoption, let's say several years, The percentage of "fucked genes" individuals in the default pool will be much higher, as many of the "ok genes" individuals have opted to pay less by letting their genes be known to the insurance company. The insurance expenses associated with maintaining the default pool will go up, causing X to go up to 2X, causing more and more people to abandon that pool.

    At some point government regulation kicks in, and sets a government-controlled ceiling rate for the default rate (much like they control minimum wage).

    Since the default rate is now at 2X, the insurance companies set the "ok genes" rate back from 0.5X to X, as it allows them to both maintain their incentive for people to abandon the default-paying group and share their genes, as well as allowing them to charge as much as the market allows - X.

    It may be 0.9X (as the minority that costs the most is covering its expenses through a higher rate and possible government subsidation, hence making the competition-induced sweet-spot lower than when this included many expensive cases to treat).

    I predict this will happen, as this is where the incentives are today. Note that the primary driving force here is consumer "greed", not insurance companies. People will want to pay that lower premium, even if crappy prophets such as myself predict that once the "fucked genes" people were isolated in the default group, everyone's rates will go back to what they were before (except the defaulters that will pay more). People will FLOCK once lower rates are offered, because people are damn well motivated by paying less.

    Insurance companies WILL know our genes and it's a losing battle.

    Think it through. Share your opinion.
    It's something that requires thought and debate NOW.

    --
    -
    1. Re:Insurance by evanbd · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There's another interesting potential use for genetic disease screening. I don't know if it applies to any known diseases now, but I'm certain it will eventually.

      Suppose there's a disease for which there is a genetic test, but also good preventative care options. Ideally, you'd want to take the test, find out that you're at risk, and have the insurance company pay for the prevantative care. In an ideal world, that's what they would want too -- the preventative care would cost them less than paying if you actually did get sick. Both parties would then want the test administered, and want the other party to know the result.

    2. Re:Insurance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what you just outlined is outside the scope of 90% of people.

      In reality, nobody thinks in terms of premiums and so forth.

      people just want to stay alive and healthy long enough to have kids, see their kids become adults, educated, and explore the world.
      They want to support their children until they die or until their kids are able to provide for themselves.
      Modern health care has RUINED this country. no longer can you go to your doctor and ask for treatment.
      you must be insured, covered, able to afford the premium, be in a qualified category, able to continue working after the procedure, not be a loss to the HMO, not be a losing proposition, not be genetically inferior....

      why can't we just let people invest their savings as they want?
      why can't we just let people get the medical treatment they want?
      why can't we just let doctors treat people as they see fit?
      why can't we get the goddamn useless goverment out of healthcare?

      captcha for this post is.... "superb"

    3. Re:Insurance by mrsteveman1 · · Score: 1

      The whole point of insurance is to create a pool of money so that people who actually need to use it for a medical bill, can offset the costs. If you start excluding people entirely from the pool based on genes, that pool will shrink to nothing. Tiered rates based on genetic information are another issue, but even in that case medical costs would still hopefully be offset from the real cost.

    4. Re:Insurance by mrsteveman1 · · Score: 1

      Thats why this stuff needs to NOT be a secret, however I don't know that the insurance companies will refrain from charging more based on the results of that test etc.

    5. Re:Insurance by autophile · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Suppose there's a disease for which there is a genetic test, but also good preventative care options. Ideally, you'd want to take the test, find out that you're at risk, and have the insurance company pay for the prevantative care. In an ideal world, that's what they would want too -- the preventative care would cost them less than paying if you actually did get sick.

      I disagree.

      Suppose the insurance company gets the results of the test. Then the company could just drop coverage altogether, so that they have to pay neither the preventive care cost, nor the cost of the disease.

      Suppose the insurance company does NOT get the results of the test. Then the company could just drop coverage as soon as the cost of the disease becomes apparent.

      Dropping coverage could also involve increasing premiums to an unaffordable rate, thus having the same effect.

      Relatedly, the House passed the Genetic Information Nondiscrimination Act of 2007 (H.R. 493) by 420-3. The three were Republicans: Flake (AZ), Paul (TX), and Royce (CA). Well done, nutjobs. The Senate has yet to pass its version (S.358).

      In any case, since the bill is not yet law, there may be nothing stopping insurance companies from discriminating against your genetic makeup.

      --Rob

      --
      Towards the Singularity.
    6. Re:Insurance by evanbd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Normally, insurance companies aren't allowed to drop coverage or raise rates based on information that becomes available after your coverage starts. (If you have information that you withhold when signing up, that's a different story.)

    7. Re:Insurance by evanbd · · Score: 1

      Well, given the current structure of our insurance system, having it be open would be a really bad idea. Which is quite unfortunate. I was speaking to a more idealized case than the current US healthcare system.

    8. Re:Insurance by Rich0 · · Score: 1

      Well, ultimately I think that these kinds of advances will inevitably lead to socialized medicine. And I'm actually not a big fan of socialized medicine.

      Here's why:

      1. If you allow insurance companies to charge based on genetic risk, then people from birth won't get affordable insurance if they're going to have any major health problem. These people will end up being cared for by government.

      2. If you allow individuals to find out their genetic risk but keep it secret from insurers, then individuals won't bother getting insurance if they won't get sick, and they'll sign up if they will get sick. This will rapidly bankrupt the insurance industry, and now everybody gets cared for by the government.

      It really isn't any kind of conspiracy or anything like that - just a fundamental problem with the whole concept of insurance. Insurance is protection from the unknown. Once ANYBODY knows what the future holds then it can no longer be insured in an financially viable manner.

      Socialized medicine doesn't face these issues because it is compulsory - the healthy don't get to opt out of paying for the sick. It has other problems - mainly a lack of personal choice. Some might prefer to spend more for better care, or less for worse care. With socialized medicine, your heath becomes a matter of public priorities, and we can't have those with means getting better treatment than those without means (although it is perfectly fine to give special treatment to politicians/celebreties/etc).

    9. Re:Insurance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. Require blood test for insurance paperwork.
      2. Insurance sends it for testing at lab (paid to keep quiet).
      3. See a healthy potentially poor to rich person to manipulate.
      4. Manipulate "potential" sicknesses premiums (eg, you'll be charged 10% extra for a relatively uncertain life-disabling disease when you don't have the genes for it) yet you could live to be the oldest at 150.
      5. Profit.

      With society which most, including you, don't know what kind of genes you have unless you take apart or use the company's "disease checking kit" privately. A database of genes I expect, will be a very large one that one can't simply take home. With the uncertainty, a company can manipulate your premiums.

      How will you find out if you really have the potential sickness? You can't, the company owns the kit and patents so unless you're really rich with a well-funded science team, you're at the whim of the insurance companies.

      It's like a breath tester, it's closed source and the only people that potentially make illegal profit from it are those who manipulate the readings. The only difference is you could get a breath tester and take it apart. But not a multi-million dollar company closed-source database.

  27. For less... by _PimpDaddy7_ · · Score: 3, Informative

    If you are interested in just your ancestry part check out National Geographic's Genographic project:

    https://www3.nationalgeographic.com/genographic/index.html

    Less money and pretty interesting. I did it myself and was pleased with the results. Very interesting indeed! :)

    1. Re:For less... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any chance you can tell us the results? I'm interested in the type of information they give you back.

  28. Irrebuttable presumption of paternity by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    And yet in most US states there is a irrebuttable presumption that a husband is the father of his wife's child if the child was born during the marriage.
    So, even if you can prove (DNA testing) that she had an affair and "your child" isn't your child, the courts, in the divorce, will still treat the child as yours and force you to pay support etc. This. of course, is all done in the interest of the child.

    Also, paternity fraud (lying about the father of the child) is not considered domestic abuse. It is A-OK as far as the courts are concerned.

    Welcome to equality

  29. Re:Counting numbers by skastrik · · Score: 1

    respectively! deCODEme 1 million, the latter 600,000

  30. The offerings: Navigenics vs 23andMe vs deCODEme by mexicanpizza · · Score: 5, Informative

    The three main personalized genomics companies that have hinted at their offerings (23andMe, deCODEme, and Navigenics) are all basically offering the same product, SNP genotyping:

    23andMe: 550k SNPs + 30k custom SNPs, $999

    deCODEme: >1M SNPs, $985

    Navigenics: $2500, with hints at a "lock-in" model where you purchase a subscription service for continued updates as science understands more about disease:genotype correlation.

    ...however, deCODEme is founded by perhaps the largest private genetics-centered biopharma firm. It will be interesting to see how this plays out as the IT-strong 23andMe competes with the science-strong deCODEme.

    One company that was not mentioned is Knome. They haven't released details of their service, but instead of SNPs, they plan to offer whole genome sequencing. This is the direction that all of the above companies will head, once it's economically feasible to sequence the whole genome.

    (Most of this has been summarized on my site: http://seqanswers.com)

  31. How do you know? by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    Suppose they just make some shit up and tell you it's Your genome. How will you know? With only two companies, even if you were to have it done by another company you would not know which version was right if either. I suppose you could submit the same thing twice to one company under different fake names but they could also be devious too. Just sample your genome for a signature region (e.g. a restriction digest) and they essentially have a hash code for recognizing you if you try to sneak a second one in. SO they give you back the same thing they gave you the first time.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
  32. Third that by 4D6963 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I do too think it's cool, and the search for genes that might pose a health risk sounds like something great for public health. I don't know what it would implicate, but I suppose it might tell you how likely you are to have a certain type of cancer/cardiovascular disease/alzheimer and allow you to stay on the look-out for what you're the most likely to have.

    Actually I hope one day (within the next 20 years) gene sequencing for health purposes will be made systematically for health purposes and stored in a super-high security database that other branches of the government/law enforcement couldn't get to, except of course via a special warrant emitted by a judge. If you think about it, it's not that unfeasible, even now. If there are about 4 million new-borns every year in the USA, and that performing sequencing really costs $1000 (but we can safely assume it actually costs less), then it would cost $4 billion a year, which makes it almost affordable (although probably not worth it, and surely not going to happen anytime soon).

    --
    You just got troll'd!
    1. Re:Third that by jamstar7 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually I hope one day (within the next 20 years) gene sequencing for health purposes will be made systematically for health purposes and stored in a super-high security database that other branches of the government/law enforcement couldn't get to, except of course via a special warrant emitted by a judge.

      No thank you. Having everybody's genome in a database someplace is a monumentally BAD idea. What's to stop some unscrupulous person deciding they don't like, for instance, people with blonde hair and brown eyes? They can dig through the genome records to find what gene sequences selects for both of these traits, then cobble together a virus that targets these sequences. Impossible? Now, mebbe, but I wouldn't hold my breath that it'll be impossible forever.

      Besides, our government gets all kind of info without a warrant these days. Want to give them more? Not me, unless it'll bury them in paperwork til they can't do anything else but the paperwork...

      I don't know what it would implicate, but I suppose it might tell you how likely you are to have a certain type of cancer/cardiovascular disease/alzheimer and allow you to stay on the look-out for what you're the most likely to have.

      And let's look at health insurance, since you brought it up. Give them this information, and they can start dropping coverage on people at risk. People like me. Last place I worked decided to change coverage to get a 'better rate'. First thing the salesman asked when he came in was, "Who here is diabetic?" Three hands went up, mine being one of them. Second question was, "Anybody here have heart problems?" I raised my hand. He then said, "Sorry, we can't cover diabetics or people with heart problems." And since my coverage dropped with the old company when they switched over, I became uninsurable because the old insurance company wasn't going to carry me unless my premiums went from 200/month to 1500/month. And that's just for me.

      And besides, private databases are under no obligation to demand to see a warrant. They can be shared for 'legitimate business reasons'. How much you wanna bet that these databases won't be sold to insurance companies, security companies, credit card companies, anybody with a vested interest in seeing that they keep somebody alive to get money out of them? Never saw a privacy agreement that didn't state that conditions of use are subject to change without notice?

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    2. Re:Third that by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Duh. I was just reading about paraphilias and here's one that should have made it to the list : "Fudophilia : sexual arousal from hearing or creating FUD".

      Seriously, it's like you guys really love FUD, I mean look at what you just said, it's like you didn't even think for a second about what could be done to prevent the abuses you're talking about, you're just going "OMG this is what's gonna happen if we do that" as if there was no way to prevent that. You just start imagining scenarios in which, in our case, data is as unprotected as possible and that the most evil person/group of persons you can imagine tries to exploit it, and then far-fetching the whole thing to apply it to something that would never happen in the first place. And not even for a second do you try to think up ways to prevent such abuses.

      Your points are so ridiculous yet you just do see it, just try to apply that type of thinking to storing credit card numbers, entire bank accounts and social security numbers on computer systems and you'll see you'd get even better FUD out of it, the only problem being you'd know none of those FUDdy things happened.

      Really though, listen to yourself, fudophilia makes your sound like a whiny drama queen.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    3. Re:Third that by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

      Seriously, it's like you guys really love FUD, I mean look at what you just said, it's like you didn't even think for a second about what could be done to prevent the abuses you're talking about, you're just going "OMG this is what's gonna happen if we do that" as if there was no way to prevent that. You just start imagining scenarios in which, in our case, data is as unprotected as possible and that the most evil person/group of persons you can imagine tries to exploit it, and then far-fetching the whole thing to apply it to something that would never happen in the first place. And not even for a second do you try to think up ways to prevent such abuses.

      Never dealt with an insurance company beyond paying the premiums, eh? Or the government beyond picking up your check, eh? Look at what you're saying, "Nothing to worry about, our government would never lie, our corporations are honest." When you decide to put down your Oreos, turn off your MTV, and come outta Mom's basement to the Real World, let me know.

      Your points are so ridiculous yet you just do see it, just try to apply that type of thinking to storing credit card numbers, entire bank accounts and social security numbers on computer systems and you'll see you'd get even better FUD out of it, the only problem being you'd know none of those FUDdy things happened.

      I don't have any credit cards. I don't believe in 28% interest on a credit card and taking 40 years to pay them off. Nothing to steal there. If I want to borrow money, I'll talk with my bank and/or my credit union. If I absolutely positively need plastic, I use a prepaid debit card for 50 bucks a year. Go ahead and steal the number for it if you can, I don't keep much on it unless I need to get something with it and cash is inconvenient.

      And you'd be surprised at what I could find out about you from your social security number. I used to do a lotta skip tracing. SSNs and credit reports are REAL handy for tracking somebody down so you can sue 'em. Totally legal for the job I was doing, Totally legal for the search engine we paid for to offer them to us for the use we had for them.

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    4. Re:Third that by Orange+Crush · · Score: 1

      I'm less worried about the government having access to everyone's DNA profile than the insurance companies. Being on the lookout for any illnesses you're at risk for won't help much if your insurance company finds a way to use the information to deny you coverage.

    5. Re:Third that by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Look at what you're saying, "Nothing to worry about, our government would never lie, our corporations are honest."

      Quit putting words in my mouth you fudophile communist hippie. I'm not saying the government is to be trusted, I'm just saying, it doesn't have to be trusted, you can make sure that things are government-proof, but you're not even thinking about such things, all you wanna do is whine about how the government and corporations are crooked and evil by nature. You just seem to enjoy fatalism and unnecessary cynicism a bit too much.

      I don't have any credit cards. [...] And you'd be surprised at what I could find out about you from your social security number. [...]

      Why are you playing my game. To help me prove a point? Thanks, I tell you "create FUD about this and that, you fudophile" and you just go at it. You'd do anything for some good FUD now, wouldn't you?

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    6. Re:Third that by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Yeah well, if we're talking about the companies mentioned in TFS we can be legitimately worried about that, indeed, but in the hypothetical case I described, then that wouldn't happen.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    7. Re:Third that by eggnet · · Score: 1

      Haha, so you're saying that the one thing stopping someone from creating a virus to kill all blond and brown eyed people is a database of everyone in the US?

      Please.

  33. Tres Huevos by PingXao · · Score: 1, Interesting

    My new startup will allow parents to sequence the genes of their male offspring to include a third testicle. What better way to increase the odds that your bloodline will survive the coming century of famine and war? And that's only the beginning. It is not government's role to interfere with progress or business, so nobody better try and stop me.

    1. Re:Tres Huevos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've got a better idea. How about putting the first two testicles someplace smarter...

    2. Re:Tres Huevos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what, on a girl ?

  34. i can see the facebook plugin now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are you genetically similar to your friends?
    How well do your friends know your hereditary defects?

    and my personal favourite,
    You have been splattered with X's DNA! Do you wish to Have the Baby, or Abort?
    Join to Impregnate Chumps | Ignore

    (by submitting your genetic information to Facebook, you are granting Facebook the right to use your clone in targeted advertising)

  35. What is unprofitable becomes unavailable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    force insurance companies to ensure ANYONE

    Be careful how you implement that. If you make the insurance business unprofitable, shareholders will vote in boards that will stop writing new policies and invest the company's assets elsewhere (or distribute them through dividends), and nobody will find it the best use of their money to form new insurance businesses.

    1. Re:What is unprofitable becomes unavailable by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why they invented
      [a] Government regulation
      [b] Socialistic elements, even in modern democracies.

      I believe this is how most democracies will implement this, given their track record of putting their citizen's good in the front, even when it means using taxpayer money for this purpose. Using taxpayer money on the taxpayers. Heaven forbid.

      How corporate oligarchies run by industry lobbyists in blatant disrespect of the citizen's good will implement it is anyone's guess.

  36. Google Link by Flamesplash · · Score: 1

    Just a tidbit, 23AndMe was created by Anne Wojcicki, who is Sergey Brin's wife

    --
    "Not knowing when the dawn will come, I open every door." - Emily Dickinson
  37. Markets are not meant to play God. by sethstorm · · Score: 1

    Why would you want such a law passed? More information means more efficient market processes. Towards what end?

    People with lower risk pay lower premiums, people with higher risk pay higher premiums. The only thing that will do will allow the affluent to have who-knows-what genetically passed condition and pass it on, while encouraging market-based eugenics for the majority.

    Insurance companies now have to charge high premiums because they're having a hard time assessing the individual risk levels. When more tools are available to help measure this risk, they'll be able to charge the right premiums, which will be on average lower than what they are now. There are some things that can be helped, prescreening for uncurable disease/genetic predisposition is not one of them.
    --
    Twitter supports and protects racists - by smearing their critics with the "Hate Speech" label.
  38. Knowledge is Power by sanman2 · · Score: 1

    It seems to me that nobody really wants to get sick. So by seeing that people with predispositions to certain types of sickness get informed about this, then the insurance companies would save on payouts, because the informed customers will take precautions against the weaknesses/predispositions that they're warned about in advance.

  39. We have that... by Belial6 · · Score: 1

    That system already exists. It is called "not having insurance". Insurance companies need to charge MORE for their premiums than they pay out in benefits. If they can pinpoint exactly how much they will be paying out for your benefits because they have good enough data to charge you the "right" premium, they would have to charge you the same amount you would pay without insurance plus a little for overhead and profit.

    The point of insurance is because people like me will hardly ever go to the doctor, and other people will go more often.

    1. Re:We have that... by darthflo · · Score: 1

      they would have to charge you the same amount you would pay without insurance plus a little for overhead and profit.
      Yeah. But if you're one of 500 people with a .2% chance of having X, you might end up paying .25% of X's cure costs over the lifespan of your insurance policy for the security of knowing if you actually do get X, it won't ruin you financially. It's like playing the lottery. X people pay amount Y, Z (lucky in the case of lottery, unlucky when it comes to health problems) people receive X*Y/Z-overhead.
  40. WTF? by rts008 · · Score: 1

    You need to put down that glass of the current Koolaide you're on and pull your head out of your ass and look around you at reality.

    He has spoken no FUD, but you sure are.

    Have you not been paying attention these past few years to world events?

    Drop your crack pipe and step away from your computer or crawl up out of your mom's basement for that last bag of Cheetos in the cupboard-whatever, you are not contributing here- you are just annoying noise.

    --
    Down With Slashdot BETA!!! I've been around the corner and seen the oliphant; you can only abuse me from your perspecti
    1. Re:WTF? by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Whatever, hippie.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  41. it's a service not a product by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The poster is an idiot. It's a service - not a product. You can't just buy something off the shelf to examine your dna - which would be _really_ cool. It's just some service where they test you.

  42. Insurance Companies Rely on Actuarial Tables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The whole notion of insurance relies on statistical analysis, and health insurance companies purportedly (but not actually) cover a population with the knowledge that some portion of it will be stricken with given ailments. For instance, they know that a 60 year old has an average 20% (or whatever) chance of seeing his doctor because of back pain, and will draw on the insurance pool for it. A well-run insurance company will lay off their bets, structure their compensation to reward preventative medicine, and base their premiums on actuarial tables drawn from their target population- say, steelworkers in a company plan.

    If the companies can start to bias their coverage based on genetic tests, a very large portion of the population becomes uninsurable.

    This would be fine if the US (other countries differ, mind you) didn't rely on health insurance companies to pay for the majority of medical procedures performed. Medical costs for many serious but treatable conditions are out of the reach of the average consumer. Rates are set by what insurers will pay hospitals, not what individuals will pay doctors. Look up the cost for an emergency appendectomy some time- the cost is very high for a common and unavoidable condition that's otherwise fatal if untreated. This is peculiar considering the very large number of doctors and hospitals equipped to perform decent appendectomies.

    Considering that most of the population carries genetic risk factors for various illnesses, the way the current insurance model is structured would mean that the genetically "good" minority would have access to medical care, while the genetically "bad" majority would find themselves in hock for common medical conditions, and not necessarily the ones for which they were refused coverage. The market might correct itself in time, with medical costs falling, or more realistic assessments of genetic risk (as opposed to our rather crude current estimates), but the market correction could take decades, and many people would be injured in the interim, with no societal benefit, and much harm.

    The problem with the American insurance system is this: as I said before, insurance companies are supposed to cover their bets, and lay off big bets in particular. However, anyone paying attention to insurance rates will note that they rise with the falling of the stock market, and fall with the rise of the market. This is because most insurance companies, rather than covering their bets like a good bookie, they invest in less than sure things, because they're also publicly held companies. The urge is to win in the short-term, by investing their pool in the market, to the benefit of their shareholders. But they're playing the odds on the other end, too. They know on average how much they'll pay out in a year, and anything they can do to reduce their predicted liability, they'll do. This, again, improves their stock prices.

    But you see where this is going: the insurance company is transformed from a place where individuals can hedge against unpredictable events to one where shareholders bet against those individuals. One way of allaying risk is to cover as large a pool as possible, to let the averages work. But companies have gone for a more profitable strategy- in this case, the insurance company's interest is to get as many healthy people on the program, paying as much in premiums as they can, and kick out as many sick, or potentially sick people they can. This is good business in a market economy, but bad for consumers overall.

  43. the public interest by r00t · · Score: 1

    Here, the primary public interest should be long-term. That is, the gene pool quality. The secondary public interest is the economy; we need smart and strong people who will work.

    A fair deal is that we treat people with genetic defects if they agree to not produce kids.

    1. Re:the public interest by Some_Llama · · Score: 1

      "A fair deal is that we treat people with genetic defects if they agree to not produce kids."

      Which would be pretty much everyone if we are restricting based on carrying the genetic marker.

  44. Endless Possibilities by binaryartist · · Score: 1

    I think this opens up endless possibilities. Some of them good, some of they may not be encouraging.... 1) Looking at particular gene structure, it can be identified if a person shares the same gene sequence as another person in the world. For example if a person shares the same gene (such as Neuron characteristic ) as Einstein he could be as intelligent as he is. This conclusion could be used as a more important measure of intelligence quantifier rather than Tests like GRE/SAT etc. It need not be just for intelligence, it could be for anyother characteristic, such as bravery, risk taking attitude etc. DNA could be the "First Liner" in your resume! 2) It could be an important characteristic in choosing partner. For eg: If you share the same gene sequence for some disease.... u will know that your kid will get it for sure. Also women/men may choose to marry a person if he/she has a positive gene. Like some genes may be a turn on to certain people. 3) Criminal traits could be narrowed down and watched! 4) Wife having a conversation to husband " Your gene shows that you have high chance of getting cholestrol, dont eat cheese so much! " 5) Another instance " Hubby, we both have great XYZ genes(gene good in "communication") but not so great ABC gene (gene good in "Logic/Analysis", I think our son should get into communications rather than science"

    --
    When a thief sees a saint, all he sees are his pockets!
  45. Re:The offerings: Navigenics vs 23andMe vs deCODEm by yams69 · · Score: 1

    deCODEme's website shows the $985 price as "promotional". I haven't seen anyone mention that in the discussion yet. If they are offering analysis of roughly 2x the markers of 23andMe, they would be smart to hike the price later to bring it more in line with Navigenics'. That said, it's still a heck of a deal, and I welcome the competition between these three companies.

  46. dotcom boom, but colossal - privacy is one issue by Founder+of+PostGenet · · Score: 1

    Slashdot reader should be happy. The momentary 3 companies (remember Netscape?) will result in "Personalized Genomics" and even larger, "PostGenetic Medicine, largely on-line" with every person's highest ranking motivation - health. This "GenomeNet boom" will be orders of magnitude larger than the "Internet boom" ever was - since it carries the internet itself to a higher level as a subset: Issues are tracked for years on http://www.junkdna.com/ Just as with "Internet", privacy issues will be horrendous; the threat is much more severe than with "Internet". The present business models are obviously unripe; cf. DeCodeMe and 23andMe both wrestling with "anonymous" DNA sample submission. Loopholes abound. For the usual slashdot reader, however, there are incredibly lucrative opportunities: The technology is much more demanding compared to challenges of "Internet boom". (Among others, interdisciplinary domain-expertise is fetches high prices). The science, underlying both "Personalized Genomics" and "PostGenetic Medicine" is turning from molecular biology to informatics. The "ENCODE-release" (June 14, 2007) was essentially a capitulation of molecular biology to informatics. Both Big Pharma, Big IT and Big Venture Capital are already incomparably more involved than at the time of Netscape. (Merck bought and essentially informatics-company [SiRNA] for $1.1 Billion, one (23andMe) of the presently 3 "Personalized Genomics for Consumers" companies is backed by BOTH a Big Pharma (Genentech)and a Big IT (Google). Another of the 3 (Navigenics) is backed by THREE of the most prestigeous VCs (KPCB, MDV and Sequoia). I suggest, nobody should lose out from this one! pellionisz_at_junkdna.com

  47. New Boom in Silicon Valley by Founder+of+PostGenet · · Score: 1

    It will not stop by 3 companies (23andme backed by Google and Genentech, Navigenics backed by KPCB, MDV and Sequoia, and DeCodeMe that started on money from Roche). Competitor IT companies (Microsoft, Apple etc), competitor VC companies (DFJ, Abingworth; many from the at least 50 VC-s that listened to Venter on Sand Hill Road last week will join the fray). Big Pharma in addition to Genentech and Roche will also join in (Pfizer, Merck, Novartis, etc). However, the business models (securing privacy) and the technology to work out the information system is a task for "technology focal points" such as Silicon Valley, Texas, San Diego, Boston (with outsourcing, of course, globally). The underlying biotech is presently the microarrays by Illumina (presently leading) and Affymetrix (already trailing). Since neither was developed for "Online PostGenetic Medicine", chances are that this "internet boom, round two" will also revolutionize microarray technology, and eventually merge it with the already announced "$100 whole genome sequencing" (Complete Genomics). See more analysis at http://example.com/

    1. Re:New Boom in Silicon Valley by Founder+of+PostGenet · · Score: 1

      Sorry, the link is http://www.junkdna.com/