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Tunguska Blast Was a Small Asteroid

malachiorion writes "The Tunguska event, an explosion on June 30, 1908, cleared an 800-sq.-mi. swath of Siberian forest. Was it a UFO crash? An alien weapons test? Now, Sandia National Laboratories has released its own explanation for the Tunguska event. Using supercomputers to create a 3D simulation of the explosion, the Department of Energy-funded nuke lab has determined that Tunguska was, indeed, the explosion of a relatively small asteroid. The simulation videos are well worth checking out — they show a fireball slamming into the earth from the asteroid's air burst. The researchers caution that we should be keeping watch for many more small, potentially earth-impacting asteroids than we are currently tracking."

65 of 277 comments (clear)

  1. The Gist by DrLudicrous · · Score: 4, Informative

    It seems that while the asteroid itself did not cause as much damage as previously believed (3-5 megatons vs 10-20), the asteroid was most likely much smaller than had been estimated. Too bad the article doesn't give some numbers about the size. Pretty scary thinking about one of these things hitting on top of or near a major population center.

    1. Re:The Gist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Pretty scary thinking about one of these things hitting on top of or near a major population center. Yes, every asteroid on television will undoubtedly hit over New York or Los Angeles. There must be some exceptionally high gravitational field at those locations.

      Perhaps these dramatic presentations aren't really that helpful. It could be that volcanoes won't erupt under Los Angeles, ice hurricanes won't hit New York, and 10.0 earthquakes won't toss Los Angeles into the Pacific Ocean (and why isn't Chicago or London ever destroyed?). It might be helpful for you to calculate the area that the Tunguska Blast caused devastation, divide by the surface area of the earth, multiply it by the surface area of our major population centers, and then multiply it by the probability of this type of event occurring in the next 50 years. But this is boring and lacks the 'scary thinking' and drama, right?
    2. Re:The Gist by RuBLed · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes, every asteroid on television will undoubtedly hit over New York or Los Angeles. There must be some exceptionally high gravitational field at those locations.

      I'm not sure about that, most of the asteroid I had seen on television are hitting Kansas, particularly this small village...
    3. Re:The Gist by John+Straffin · · Score: 2, Funny

      Doesn't London get destroyed by dragons?

      --
      My contempt for the behavior and beliefs of the two major political parties cannot be adequately expressed in 120 chara
    4. Re:The Gist by hercubus · · Score: 2, Funny

      It could be that volcanoes won't erupt under Los Angeles, ice hurricanes won't hit New York...
      next you'll be saying a holly-jolly gravitationally challenged old guy won't be landing his caribou-powered flying sled on my rooftop some time on or after the upcoming winter solstice


      look, we know flying fat elves and LA being violently destroyed in a day are only dreams, but let us have those dreams, eh? they're beautiful visions that make life worth living...

      --
      -- How I want a drink, alcoholic of course, after the heavy lectures involving quantum mechanics.
    5. Re:The Gist by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes, every asteroid on television will undoubtedly hit over New York or Los Angeles.

      That's called "wishful thinking".

    6. Re:The Gist by YrWrstNtmr · · Score: 4, Funny

      Yes, every asteroid on television will undoubtedly hit over New York or Los Angeles. There must be some exceptionally high gravitational field at those locations.

      No, they just suck.

    7. Re:The Gist by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I'm less concerned about a single city, which would be devastating but survivable.
      What scares me more was the (2004?) near-miss of an asteroid that could have hit somewhere in Pakistan or India precisely when they were in the middle of a very tense standoff. With immature command/control systems, what are the odds that would escalate into a nuclear shooting war, which would kill not the 10's or 100's of thousands of a single strike, but the 10's or 100's of MILLIONS of the resulting conflict.

      THAT'S terrifying.

      --
      -Styopa
    8. Re:The Gist by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It appears that most asteroids are conglomerates of shale, so they wouldn't be that dense, as in not that densely packed. That's why the idea of blasting them with nukes is a bad idea, they just seperate and reform later.

      By reform I'm guessing that you mean reform via gravity? And since we are dealing with asteroids would it be safe to say that 'later' is later on an astrological time scale?

      On that scale, I can live with a 'temporary' fix. (Live, have children, grow old, die, kids grow old...)

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    9. Re:The Gist by Phanatic1a · · Score: 3, Interesting
      The article doesn't give direct numbers about the size. It says:

      Because of the additional energy transported toward the surface by the fireball, what scientists had thought to be an explosion between 10 and 20 megatons was more likely only three to five megatons. The physical size of the asteroid, says Boslough, depends upon its speed and whether it is porous or nonporous, icy or waterless, and other material characteristics.


      Let's pick the middle ground and say four megatons, that's 1.67E16 joules. From what I can see, non-metallic asteroids really aren't all that dense because they tend to be very porous, and it seems likely that a metal asteroid wouldn't explode in this manner but would instead impact and bury itself. So call it 2600 kg/m^3. Assuming Earth escape velocity is probably a safe bet as well; it's possible the thing was an extra-solar object but not likely. So that's 11km/sec. Unless I'm screwing something up, I get a mass of 276,000,000 kg, and a spherical asteroid 30 meters in diameter.

      I am on firm ground there? I mean, the only source of energy driving the explosion is the kinetic energy of the asteroid, it's just heating the thing up and making it go boom.
    10. Re:The Gist by elrous0 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      After that animal crackers scene, I'd rather put my faith in Robert Duvall and his team of young, but dedicated, astronauts.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    11. Re:The Gist by Stormwatch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Michael Bay and the world's most epileptic camera will give us a headache again
      There, fixed for ya.
    12. Re:The Gist by bkr1_2k · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think you've confused asteroids with large lizards and flying sea monsters.

      --
      "Growing old is inevitable; growing up is optional."
    13. Re:The Gist by Scrameustache · · Score: 3, Funny

      (and why isn't Chicago or London ever destroyed?). The Doctor.
      --

      You can't take the sky from me...

    14. Re:The Gist by Darinbob · · Score: 3, Funny

      No, they just suck.
      Or the people living there are exceptionally dense.
  2. I've often wondered by Cally · · Score: 5, Interesting

    ...how the populations (including the military) in some of the more... nervous areas of the globe would react to a suddden blinding light in the sky followed by an enormous blast wave.

    --
    "None are more hopelessly enslaved than those who falsely believe they are free." -- Goethe
    1. Re:I've often wondered by teebob21 · · Score: 5, Funny

      I've often wondered...how the populations (including the military) in some of the more... nervous areas of the globe would react to a suddden blinding light in the sky followed by an enormous blast wave.

      Badly.

      --
      khasim (12/9/06): In a blind taste test, more people preferred Coke over the Pepsi that I had previously pissed in.
    2. Re:I've often wondered by mastershake_phd · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I've often wondered how the populations (including the military) in some of the more... nervous areas of the globe would react to a suddden blinding light in the sky followed by an enormous blast wave.

      Well the military wouldn't know who to attack, but you can be sure as hell someone would say "God did this because we made him angry by -insert reason here-"

    3. Re:I've often wondered by ozmanjusri · · Score: 2, Funny
      Well the military wouldn't know who to attack, but you can be sure as hell someone would say "God did this because we made him angry

      The answer's obvious then.

      Nuke God.

      You've got to admit, it'd solve a hell of a lot of problems.

      --
      "I've got more toys than Teruhisa Kitahara."
    4. Re:I've often wondered by AstronomicUID · · Score: 3, Funny

      From orbit. It's the only way to be sure.

      --
      You must write The Book, and then tear away belief. Only you can save the light of man --Gary Numan
    5. Re:I've often wondered by Reziac · · Score: 2, Funny


      Pessimists... *Constantine* would've seen it as a good sign and built an empire on it. :)

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  3. Re:Doh! by bennomatic · · Score: 5, Funny
    Aliens!

    In Soviet Russia, the forest flattens the asteroids!

    I welcome our new asteroid overlords.

    Imagine a beowulf cluster of those!

    1. Flatten forest
    2. ???
    3. Profit!
    --
    The CB App. What's your 20?
  4. Oh come off it! by Psychotria · · Score: 4, Funny

    Everybody knows it was Santa crash landing

    1. Re:Oh come off it! by Plutonite · · Score: 2, Funny
  5. Re:Hmm.. by FredDC · · Score: 5, Informative

    This one they didn't notice until after it nearly missed earth.

    So to answer your question: Yes, it's very possible!

    --
    09 f9 11 02 9d 74 e3 5b d8 41 56 c5 63
  6. Re:Hmm.. by teebob21 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Would there be any chance of a small asteroid (one that could cause some problems) currently heading for earth not be detected yet by scientists? Yes. There is a very real chance that a chunk of rock the size of a basketball court could come at us tomorrow. A very very small, but very real chance. Asteroids that come from the sunward side of Earth's orbit are harder to detect because they are obscured by the Sun. One could come from that direction and astronomers may never see it. Most of the meteors that streak across the night sky are space stones no bigger than your hand, and usually about the size of a pea or smaller. Larger ones come down, but very infrequently. It is impossible for astronomers to chart, track or project the trajectories of the billions of space rocks left over from the formation of the Solar System.

    Imagine a world where a small asteroid fragment or comet had struck Russia 60 years after Tunguska - during the depths of the Cold War. It would be a very different world today indeed.
    --
    khasim (12/9/06): In a blind taste test, more people preferred Coke over the Pepsi that I had previously pissed in.
  7. The Earth's surface is mostly H2O by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    What'll happen if one hits water instead of dirt? More evaporation leading to somewhat elevated precipitation downwind? Or an extreme increase in clouds leading to an ice age?

  8. Re:"exploding" by teebob21 · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'll grant you that they do not explode in the traditional TNT/explosives sense of the word. However, falling space debris can indeed "explode" when entering the atmosphere. As they push deeper and deeper and the air gets thicker, it presents more and more resistance on the falling object. Eventually, the wall of air becomes so dense that the action-reaction forces break the falling object up. Violently. Combine that with the fact that the asteroid/comet/meteor and surrounding air has been heated significantly due to friction, and you get a fireball and a tremendous shock wave in the air.

    To test this premise, I recommend throwing an egg or three at the front door of your local police station, as hard as you can. You will see that (among other things) the egg does indeed explode.

    --
    khasim (12/9/06): In a blind taste test, more people preferred Coke over the Pepsi that I had previously pissed in.
  9. Re:Hmm.. by teebob21 · · Score: 2, Informative

    Free American English Lesson: Adverbs modify verbs.
    Verb in the Subject Sentence: Missed (past tense)
    Context: This asteroid was very near to Earth when it missed us.
    Adjective: Near (adverb form: nearly)
    Thus: The asteroid nearly missed Earth.

    Your sentence gets a thumbs up by me!
    ...Grammar Nazis, please keep walking. :)

    --
    khasim (12/9/06): In a blind taste test, more people preferred Coke over the Pepsi that I had previously pissed in.
  10. Re:Doh! by PixieDust · · Score: 2, Funny
    You forgot the most important one!!!

    "The researchers caution that we should be keeping watch for many more small, potentially earth-impacting asteroids than we are currently tracking."

    Nothing to see here! Move along!!

  11. Currently Reading. by Daemonax · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I'm currently reading Arthur C. Clarke's 'Rendezvous with Rama', which opens with the lines "Soon or later, it was bound to happen. On June 30, 1908, Moscow escaped destruction by three hours and four thousand kilometers -- a margin invisibly small by the standards of the universe."

    In the book, we humans then go on to set up systems to track asteroids that may be a danger to earth, and set up defense systems against them. I know that we currently track some, but how well funded are these organizations that do this? This is really something that is quite important, as it is almost certainly just a matter of when, not if. Do we have systems in place that will allow us to destroy or divert any large asteroids that are determined to be on a path to impact with earth?

    1. Re:Currently Reading. by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 5, Funny

      Do we have systems in place that will allow us to destroy or divert any large asteroids that are determined to be on a path to impact with earth?

      Only one. Be very afraid.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    2. Re:Currently Reading. by Siridar · · Score: 2

      are you sure that this guy or perhaps this guy can't help out?

    3. Re:Currently Reading. by bwcbwc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Actually 2 if you count the moon. Remember the huge number of craters that exist on the far side of the moon compared with the near side? I'm not saying all of those would've struck the earth, but we'd certainly be living in a different world if even a small percentage of them had struck.

      --
      We are the 198 proof..
  12. Re:Doh! by Harmonious+Botch · · Score: 2, Interesting

    1) A small black hole
    2) A tiny bit of antimatter

  13. Sometime in the future by tanveer1979 · · Score: 3, Funny

    A new study has been released proving that the fireball event in the server room was caused by slashdot and not an asteroid

    --
    My Aurora : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o91ZsGwJYyg
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  14. Gitmo next for kdawson by mach1980 · · Score: 5, Funny

    I'm not a US resident but isn't slashdotting/DoS-attacking a federally owned site a criminal/terror offence in the US?

    --
    Break the sound barrier - bring the noise.
  15. Re:Doh! by shawn443 · · Score: 3, Funny

    42, It was a giant cum shot from god. Bye karma. I wish I could think of shit insightful to say.

  16. Nah, would be no biggie. by foreverdisillusioned · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A 3-5 megaton blast over the Atlantic wouldn't cause so much as a rough surf advisory in Key West. In comparison, the USA built a 45 megaton bomb and the USSR's fission-fusion-fission Tsar Bomba would have been 100+ megatons had they not taken the sensible precaution of replacing the final fission stage with inert lead. If a mere 5 megaton warhead could cause such worldwide devastation, I'm pretty sure someone would have mentioned it before now (and trust me, I've read just about every far-fetched doomsday scenario imaginable.)

    As for the possibility of similar-sized asteroid impacting the ocean instead of exploding above it--well, the article only says that the asteroid is now thought to be "only a fraction as large as previously published estimates". That doesn't tell us anything. The Tunguska asteroid may or may not have been large enough to trigger a tsunami had it impacted an ocean instead of exploding over land. I'm going to assume that an impact will usually be less energetic (though perhaps more concentrated) than a heat-induced explosion, in which case no, the Tunguska asteroid never posed a significant threat to the world as a whole.

    That said, the Tunguska explosion is still fascinating as hell. I know that there's a lot of very strong evidence pointing to the asteroid theory, but it's still fun to toy with conspiracy theories. The atomic bomb was first being conceived of, Tesla's Wardenclyffe Tower was being tested (by some accounts, it was brought online the day before the explosion)... it's all absolute rubbish, to be frank, but it's very entertaining rubbish.

  17. Unlikely to be an asteroid by Sara+Chan · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The computer simulation is interesting, but the Tunguska event is unlikely to be an asteroid. There were strange events reported in the area for days prior to the explosion, there were odd lights, etc.

    An alternative explanation was proposed by Wolfgang Kundt, a researcher at the Institut für Astrophysik, University of Bonn:

    Kundt W. (2001),
    The 1908 Tunguska catastrophe: An alternative explanation”,
    Current Science, 81: 399–407.

    The basic proposal is that there was a natural gas leak, from the Earth. The gas rose to a certain height, then drifted downwind. After several days, a lightning strike ignited the airborne gas, and the flame then traveled along line (of drifted gas), to the ground source.

    It is worth reading the article. An asteroid impact is sexy, but the alternative explanation fits with the data much better.

    1. Re:Unlikely to be an asteroid by Pentagram · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It is worth reading the article. An asteroid impact is sexy, but the alternative explanation fits with the data much better. And how does a natural gas explosion leave the nickel and iridium deposits that were found at the site? An asteroid impact is not the accepted theory because it is "sexier", but because of Occam's razor.

    2. Re:Unlikely to be an asteroid by dreamchaser · · Score: 5, Informative

      You're wrong.

      One of many references if you'd bothered to look: http://www.physorg.com/news819.html

      Pertinent section:

      Expeditions sent to the area in the 1950s and 1960s did find microscopic glass spheres in siftings of the soil. Chemical analysis showed that the spheres contained high proportions of nickel and iridium, which are found in high concentrations in meteorites, and indicated that they were of extraterrestrial origin.

      I've seen the 'natural gas' theory before. It's so contrived that it's almost like science-comedy.

  18. Re:Hmm.. by iocat · · Score: 3, Informative
    Except... if it had nearly missed earth, that would mean that it hit earth, which it didn't.

    It nearly HIT earth. The problem with the sentence is the verb, not the construction.

    --

    Dude, I think I can see my house from here.

  19. Insufficient political attention by Kupfernigk · · Score: 3, Insightful
    The British MP Lembit Opik (name is Scandinavian) has attempted to draw attention to the seriousness of the problem. The media dismiss him as a crank. Watching him on television it has been apparent that television presenters and the like are bottomlessly ignorant on the subject, and because they can't admit it, they just seek to trivialise the issue.

    OK, we shouldn't expect media people to know everything, but we are very poorly served by their almost total scientific ignorance. I suspect that politicians would have become interested in global warming much sooner were the mass media not so piss poor at explaining scientific issues to the public, and almost perversely proud of it.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:Insufficient political attention by owlnation · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The British MP Lembit Opik (name is Scandinavian) has attempted to draw attention to the seriousness of the problem. The media dismiss him as a crank.
      I wonder why they do dismiss him? Global warming was the same. It seems curious in the face of the fact that the media, and the UK media in particular, spend most of their energy drumming up irrational abstract things to be afraid of (terrorists, pedophiles, etc etc), things which are unlikely to ever affect many in the UK.

      Here are issues that, while rare, are real and should have contingency plans. Makes no sense.
  20. Re:Doh! by gbobeck · · Score: 4, Funny

    a farting contest gone wrong.. terribly wrong...

    Yeah, Chuck Norris showed up...
    --
    Navicula hydraulica plena anguilarum est. Omnes castelli tuus nostri sunt. Ed elli avea del cul fatto trombetta.
  21. Re:Hmm.. by weicco · · Score: 2, Funny

    It'll just probably break some windows and throw some chairs around.

    --
    You don't know what you don't know.
  22. Re:Doh! by MobileTatsu-NJG · · Score: 4, Funny

    "What else would it have been?"

    The theory I've heard a few times was that it was anti-matter. Doctor Raymond Stanz, however, postulated that it may have been the result of a dimensional crossover. This theory has not been widely accepted, though, because no P.K. readings have been captured to support this claim.

    --

    "I like to lick butts!" by MobileTatsu-NJG (#32700246) (Score:5, Informative)

  23. Horizon by Spad · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The BBC's Horizon program ran a story about this last year

    1. Re:Horizon by Tony+Hoyle · · Score: 2, Informative

      Dammit that almost certainly means it's untrue :p

      Horizon is the worst for sensationalising pseudo-science. Many years ago it was a serious science documentary series.. not it's just unwatchable trash.

  24. So Asteroids are fine but weapons are a no-go?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What strikes me (excuse the pun) is that now they've determined it was an asteroid the attitude is "oh well these things happen - at least it wasn't someones big secret weapon".

    Ok, so let me ask, whats the difference?

    If it was a big super weapon like a Nuke everyone would be panic strikken. Because it was just a asteroid there is no reason to worry. Lets not forget that large enough asteroids could wipe out the entire planet (not just one or 2 countries like our nukes..)

    On the trail of common sense, why is a football player a hero, yet we have troops in Iraq that are only recognised as a hero once they arrive home in a wooden box with lots of press coverage?

    The world has gone completely mad..

  25. Mirror by AftanGustur · · Score: 4, Informative



    The videos total over 56 Megabytes, so I have put up a mirror Here

    --
    echo '[q]sa[ln0=aln80~Psnlbx]16isb572CCB9AE9DB03273snlbxq' |dc
  26. We must mobilize... by agw · · Score: 2, Funny

    to destroy the Arachnid threat.

  27. Bad Summary by anilg · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Was it a UFO crash? An alien weapons test?
    Summaries on /. have started to deteriorate in quality. Was there any need for the above? Isnt it just pandering to the WOOWOOists? Why the need to add a tinge pseudo-science to science?

    You wont add "Is it the by homeopathy? Ayurveda perhaps" to an article on a new medicine/cure..

    Editors/Firehosers note.

    /rant
    --
    http://dilemma.gulecha.org - My philospohical short film.
  28. Re:Doh! by Whiteox · · Score: 2, Funny

    Asteroid or Hammeroid?

    --
    Don't be apathetic. Procrastinate!
  29. Re:Doh! by Spokehedz · · Score: 3, Funny

    This is what happens when you cross the streams. DON'T CROSS THE STREAMS!

  30. A Comet by Comboman · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I thought the prevailing theory was that it was a comet rather than an asteroid since it left no crater.

    --
    Support Right To Repair Legislation.
    1. Re:A Comet by dankstick · · Score: 2, Informative

      The headline on this threw me off too. I recently watched the episode of Carl Sagan's Cosmos that had a segment on the Tunguska Event. He mentioned that there was no crater and that several attempts to find a potentially valuable meteorite were fruitless. The hypothesis was the event was caused by a comet.

      I was hoping they found objective evidence for an asteroid, perhaps buried and recovered. Sadly, it is a computer model.

      Here is a link to the debate in question...
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event#Asteroid_or_comet.3F

  31. Evidence is compelling. . . by Fantastic+Lad · · Score: 2, Interesting
    The points raised by the paper you linked to which I found compelling were. . .

    1. That there have been far more events in recorded history similar to Tunguska which have been volcanic or geologic in nature than have been due to cometary impact, raising the question of probabilities. --Mt. Saint Helens blowing its top in 1980 is an example, as was Krakatoa in 1983. There was also the 1986 limnic eruption of 1.6 million tonnes of CO2 from Lake Nyos which suffocated 1,800 people in a 20 mile radius. Sometimes it's a methane outgassing which can blow up, (one event was described in the linked paper which damaged a commuter jet plane). The Earth 'burps' on a regular basis. Rocks causing similarly huge events are far less frequent, (as in, there haven't been any at all in the last century).

    2. That there was swamp land in the center of the Tunguska caldera. This is a typical place for methane to build up.

    3. The directions in which the trees had been knocked down indicated two discrete blast points some distance from one another.

    4. There were odd glowing clouds seen over the area in the nights leading up to the explosion which could be explained by methane collecting in the sky.

    5. No impact crater was found.

    6. No meteorite was found. (--Though there was a concentration of microscopic glass spheres in siftings of the soil and chemical analysis showed that the spheres contained high proportions of nickel and iridium which are often found in meteorites, hinting that they might have been of extraterrestrial origin. But still. . . No rock.)

    Every year there are geologic events which result in ash plumes and outgassings all over the world. While there is plenty of evidence of past cometary impacts which had a significant effect upon the Earth, they are all very old; the number of catastrophic events due to impact events over the last century has been pretty much zilch. If we're going to throw Occam at this, (and I am very hesitant in invoking that old and oft-misused saw), then it seems much more probable that Tunguska was the result of a methane outgassing and subsequent explosion. Anyway, the paper is an interesting analysis and it leaves me uncertain as to what to think, as there is still some good arguments for the event having been an impact. I'd be curious if anybody out there has any other info to contribute which might make the picture more clear.


    -FL

    1. Re:Evidence is compelling. . . by careysub · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Compelling evidence? Lets see...

      1. That there have been far more events in recorded history similar to Tunguska which have been volcanic or geologic in nature... Mt. Saint Helens ... Krakatoa ... Lake Nyos... And which of these are examples of the supposed megaton range methane gas explosions? Why... none of them. Sorry, unrelated geophysical events don't provide any precedent for the proposed mechanism. The notion seems a bit difficult to buy into - the explosive limits for methane in air is usually quoted at 5-15% by volume, to make a mammoth blast you would need to establish this specific concentration range with millions of tons of methane, and have it ignited at the proper time. How does this happen geophysically? Any actual examples?

      2. That there was swamp land in the center of the Tunguska caldera. This is a typical place for methane to build up. But... millions of tons? Capable of sudden release? People should be finding commercial exploitable methane gas deposits in the surface strata of swamps I should think.

      3. The directions in which the trees had been knocked down indicated two discrete blast points some distance from one another. If this was observed, a twin asteroid would be a reasonable explanation (recent probe and radar evidence shows asteroids to frequently consist of loosely bound multiple bodies).

      4. There were odd glowing clouds seen over the area in the nights leading up to the explosion which could be explained by methane collecting in the sky. Reports on the Tunguska event I have seen report glowing clouds in the sky afterward, not before.

      5. No impact crater was found. Only the very rare iron asteroids are strong enough to make ground impact in this size range. The far more common stony bodies will fragment and explode in the air. This is a complete red herring.

      6. No meteorite was found. This is a red herring like 5. It exploded high in the air. The extraterrestrial particles found are the meteorite.

      The whole notion that this is an unprecedented event that requires alternate explanation is utterly wrong. Atmospheric explosions of extraterrestial bodies are regularly documented events. The Defense Support Program (DSP) has monitored atmospheric explosions since the 1960s and has found Hiroshima-sized (16 kt) events occurring about once a year. A simple statistical distribution permits calculating the frequency of larger events, a 10 Mt event is expected once very 120 years. See: an item about this in the Acoustical Society of America's newsletter. This being the case, there is really no anomaly here to be "explained away". Bolide explosions are a regular occurrence and we should see some in the megaton range in the historical record - most of course occur over open oceans and have had few witnesses and left no evidence.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  32. Fireball by Tyler+Durden · · Score: 2, Funny
    From the article...

    The new simulation which more closely matches the widely known facts of destruction than earlier models shows that the center of mass of an asteroid exploding above the ground is transported downward at speeds faster than sound. It takes the form of a high-temperature jet of expanding gas called a fireball.

    Good thing we made the Saving Throw!

    --
    Happy people make bad consumers.
  33. Re:Doh! by protolith · · Score: 2, Funny

    3)Something else = ???
    4) Profit!!!

    There Fixed that for you.

  34. Re:Hmm.. by tehcyder · · Score: 2, Informative

    Your sentence gets a thumbs up by me!

    ...Grammar Nazis, please keep walking. :)

    It's grammatically correct, but semantically ludicrous.
    --
    To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it
  35. What?! by AJWM · · Score: 2, Informative

    It appears that most asteroids are conglomerates of shale,

    What!? I don't know which planetary system you're from, mate, but since shale is a sedimentary rock (formed by compression of layers of mud, clay and silt beneath a body of water), none of the asteroids in this solar system are composed of it.

    Some asteroids may be loosely bound accretions of smaller bodies, but we know for a fact that other asteroids (particularly the bigger ones in the belt) are big enough to melt and differentiate, with metallic cores. Some of those in turn suffered impacts which broke off large chunks of pretty damn solid material. (The Barringer meteorite - a chunk of nickel-iron estimated at 150 feet across - left a mile-wide hole in the Arizona desert.)

    --
    -- Alastair
  36. Crater From 1908 Tunguska Blast Found by tomthegeek · · Score: 2, Informative