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ISS Dodges Space Junk For First Time In Five Years

Kligat writes "For the first time since 2003, the International Space Station has utilized the rockets on the European Space Agency's Automated Transfer Vehicle to dodge leftover remnants of a defunct satellite. The Russian Cosmos-2421 was launched in June 2006 to track Western Navy vessels and is believed by NASA to have exploded — 'likely due to a self-destruct command issued by Russian officials' according to the article — leaving 500 pieces of space debris. Ordinarily, the rockets on the ATV are used to take the ISS away from Earth's atmosphere and reduce drag. In this case, the 5-minute firing caused the ISS to move downward because it was already near the top of its acceptable range. Estimated probability of impact was 1 in 72, and an avoidance maneuver is called for if the probability is greater than 1 in 10,000. The space junk was predicted to pass the ISS within just a mile."

141 comments

  1. In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by LostCluster · · Score: 5, Funny

    You watch out for spy satellites!

    1. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by moniker127 · · Score: 1

      lol

    2. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      Actually, this really sucks because the rockets were used to LOWER the ISS. What a waste. I wonder how much warning they get before estimated impact.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
    3. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by aonic · · Score: 2, Insightful

      while it seems like a waste cause the rocket fuel was used to cancel out a previous boost maneuver, keep in mind that the ISS needs to be within a certain altitude band to be reachable by the soyuz/shuttle. also, the humans on board necessitate resupply missions more often than boost manuevers are required anyway.

    4. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by davolfman · · Score: 1

      Someone call debris section!

    5. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by ctetc007 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually, this really sucks because the rockets were used to LOWER the ISS. What a waste. I wonder how much warning they get before estimated impact.

      Actually, they were planning to lower the ISS for the next few missions anyway so that the shuttle would be able to bring up more cargo than usual. This maneuver wasn't so much a waste as it would seem to be.

    6. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Actually, this really sucks because the rockets were used to LOWER the ISS. What a waste. I wonder how much warning they get before estimated impact.

      It's not like ISS is trying to get to Mars. It's a space station, it just goes around in circles.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    7. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by Killjoy_NL · · Score: 1

      Yup it's a space station, not some silly moon (even if it acts like it) ;)

      --
      This is the sig that says NI (again)
    8. Re:In SOVIET RUSSIA.. by dotancohen · · Score: 1

      The ISS is slowed by atmospheric drag, so it must be reboosted every so often. This maneuver cancels out a reboost effort, so that reboost effort, and this manwuver, were just a waste of fuel.

      --
      It is dangerous to be right when the government is wrong.
  2. Can't we just span a huge net by Daimanta · · Score: 0

    in space so we could catch all the space junk? We just need to be careful that we don't catch any space stations by accident...

    --
    Knowledge is power. Knowledge shared is power lost.
    1. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by The+Ancients · · Score: 3, Funny

      in space so we could catch all the space junk? We just need to be careful that we don't catch any space stations by accident...

      Considering who would be putting the net out there, what do you think the chances of accidently catching a space station (or satellite) are, hmm?

    2. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by LostCluster · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Would have to be a pretty tight net... small particles moving fast enough can rip a dangerous hole in spacecraft.

    3. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depending on how high of an orbit you are in and how fast the debris is traveling, your net had better be pretty strong to withstand stuff going between 720 and 36,000 KPH.

    4. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by bigplrbear · · Score: 4, Funny

      what about Mega Maid? she could vacuum up all of the space junk

    5. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by sleeponthemic · · Score: 1

      in space so we could catch all the space junk? We just need to be careful that we don't catch any space stations by accident...

      Think how fast that junk is traveling.

      --
      I record my sleeptalking
    6. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      Not a net, but there will definetly a time when a janitor mission will be necessary.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    7. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by PsychoElf · · Score: 2, Funny

      Only if you know the secret code.....

    8. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by e2d2 · · Score: 1, Funny

      SUCK.. SUCK.. SUCK..!

    9. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by aliquis · · Score: 1

      So move the net at that speed - 2 km/h, big deal? ;D

    10. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Jarjarthejedi · · Score: 0

      Which is why you'd magnetize it. Most of the debris up there is at least partially metallic.

      Heck, just toss a flat sheet of metal with a couple retro-rockets up there, let it fly around for an orbit or two collecting debris, then bring it down. Repeat a couple of times and there goes a lot of the small debris.

      The problem isn't coming up with ways to get rid of space junk, it's coming up with cheap and efficient ways and getting them implemented.

      --
      There are two kinds of fool One says 'This is old therefore good' Another says 'This is new therefore better'- Dean Ing
    11. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Everyone+Is+Seth · · Score: 1

      How big is your piece of sheet metal? Think about how small both the object you are trying to capture, and the tool you are using to do it with, compares to the amount of space you have to trawl through. Good luck on getting much of anything.

    12. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Zymergy · · Score: 1

      Ordinarily that might work, but as I recall: "She's gone from Suck to Blow!"

    13. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by go_jesse · · Score: 1

      heh, I read what about Mega Raid? I couldn't figure out why you would use hard drives to collect space junk. I should wear my glasses and not drink beer when reading Slashdot.

    14. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by HeadlessNotAHorseman · · Score: 1

      Why not have two giant sheet magnets joined in a V shape, travelling point first? Debris will hit the metal at an angle and either bounce or slide along until friction slows it to the point where magnetism is stronger.

      --
      I like my coffee the way I like my women - roasted and ground up into little tiny pieces.
    15. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

      ...and the thousands of satellites in orbit.

      --
      Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
    16. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It isn't worth the risk if she goes from suck to blow.

    17. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by ufoolme · · Score: 1

      I don't know much physics but isn't the speed problem just a frame of reference problem?

      Thats why it'd be easier just going with the flow and coming about from behind.

    18. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Dan541 · · Score: 1

      We can worry about that when it's too late.

      --
      An SQL query goes to a bar, walks up to a table and asks, "Mind if I join you?"
    19. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by FireFury03 · · Score: 1

      Not all the junk is orbiting at the same inclination you know...

    20. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Squalish · · Score: 1

      You're talking about (to a small angle approximation for the popular geosynchronous orbit) pushing a broom across 8.625 billion square miles. Take into account three dimensions in order to sweep a range of orbits and uncertainty and non-circular orbits....

      You would never be able to remove as much debris as you added through malfunctions, fuel discharge, maneuvering jets, et cetera.

      --
      People in Soviet Russia, however, appear to be afflicted with amusing juxtapositions of the aforementioned situation
    21. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Shamenaught · · Score: 1

      The ISS is actually still in the earth's atmosphere, as is the junk. The orbits are all going to decay back into the earth's atmosphere at some point, anyway.

      --
      mysql> SELECT * FROM `places` WHERE `place` LIKE 'home`; Empty set (0.00 sec)
    22. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Killjoy_NL · · Score: 1

      It's time for Roger Wilco?

      --
      This is the sig that says NI (again)
    23. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someday, when space travel becomes more affordable, there will redneck meth addicts up there stealing the copper out of all the satellites and space junk...

    24. Re:Can't we just span a huge net by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would you need Mega Maid? The real solution would be to install a deflector dish. Surely some participating country is working on that module for the ISS....

  3. Russia just can't tell the truth. by LostCluster · · Score: 1

    Pure case of state-controled media going on in Russia. They're not willing to admit they had a spy satellite in the first place, so they're not able to explain where the debris came from. That turns out to be something NASA is more than willing to do for the American side.

    1. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by Kligat · · Score: 5, Funny

      Russian news avoids mentioning the Russian satellite and just refers to the ISS dodging a "cluster of garbage."

    2. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by icegreentea · · Score: 4, Interesting

      NASA doesn't have any spy satellites. The Defense Department does. I wouldn't be surprised if there are a few fields of debris from US spy satellites that haven't been announced or anything. Such information is somewhat sensitive, and official denial may be important. Could be anything from 'protect the existence the other spy satellites in its family' to 'let's save face'. To be fair, I could totally see your DoD doing something similar.

    3. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      NASA doesn't have any spy satellites.

      I just mentioned that to my Martian friend, and he said "Gzornak frokka wa Hubble, flrckin earthling!"

    4. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by digitalchinky · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The problem with this theory is that there are about 100,000 geeks in the world that love nothing more than to tag every single man made object in space. They even have programs to show every bit in real time graphically orbiting the planet. Many of these are free for download.

      You can't put or have anything in space bigger than a small stone and not have some government or organization find and tag it, only to release that data to the general public at some point not very long after that. Lots of RADAR being pumped out in to space just for this very purpose.

      If the ISS was moving because of anything other than debris from a Russian spy sat, then the slashdot headline here would spell it out. Even the military make use of the work from these guys, it can sometimes actually be more up to date.

      Me: Ex 3 letter agency drone that worked in the satellite area for a while.

    5. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by Dr+La · · Score: 2, Informative

      "That turns out to be something NASA is more than willing to do for the American side."

      You wish. There are over 140 US objects tracked by us amateur satellite trackers which are classified - i.e. they officially do not exist and the only public data on their orbits comes from us amateur trackers. Not NASA, the DoD or any other US government agency.

      --
      Ceterum censeo Carthaginem delendam esse
    6. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I'm not mistaken the US did the same thing initially on main stream media. They just referred to it as a satellite ignoring the crucial "spy" word.
      This is the issue but not one which lacks the wording http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=08/02/14/1858248

    7. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by Tetsujin · · Score: 1

      NASA doesn't have any spy satellites.

      I just mentioned that to my Martian friend, and he said "Gzornak frokka wa Hubble, flrckin earthling!"

      Meh, give the Martian some water, and he'll grok that he is your bitch.

      --
      Bow-ties are cool.
    8. Re:Russia just can't tell the truth. by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      So how do you know they are US objects?

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  4. A mile? by XanC · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Aren't orbital trajectories pretty well known? How is there a 1 in 72 chance that the thing will make a sudden mile-long jog and hit the station?

    1. Re:A mile? by Jugalator · · Score: 1

      Hmm, good question. I suppose only SchrÃdinger's Cat knows for sure. :-/

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    2. Re:A mile? by Jugalator · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      In other news, Slashdot has among the worst international character support I'm aware of. Come on, you've had years to fix this aspect of Slash? Why not fix that before doing all those fancy-schmancy-Ajax:y things? This isn't even Unicode, it's part of a pretty standard Western alphabet. Bah.

      --
      Beware: In C++, your friends can see your privates!
    3. Re:A mile? by larry+bagina · · Score: 1, Offtopic

      slashdot removed html entity support to prevent bidi text hacks. It's still incredibly lame, though.

      --
      Do you even lift?

      These aren't the 'roids you're looking for.

    4. Re:A mile? by zoney_ie · · Score: 1

      It frequently drives me crazy that I still can't just type in a euro symbol into slashdot submission boxes. The currency is a decade old next year, and will have been in people's pockets for 8 years!

      --
      -- *~()____) This message will self-destruct in 5 seconds...
    5. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Haven't you done enough to that poor cat.

      Cats are people too.. only with paws and fur and they taste good in chinese food.

    6. Re:A mile? by XanC · · Score: 4, Insightful

      An HTML entity shouldn't be required. It's 2008; we should be able to stick Unicode into these boxes.

    7. Re:A mile? by mbone · · Score: 2, Informative

      According to that list, there are 12 objects with a probability >1/10,000, and 2 with a probability > 1/1000.

      Note that the uncertainty on these orbits is frequently many 1000's of km; the orbits of things in LEO are much better determined.

    8. Re:A mile? by ArchieBunker · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because when dealing with the vastness of space a mile is pretty damn close.

      --
      Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
    9. Re:A mile? by Colonel+Korn · · Score: 4, Informative

      The orbital trajectory of every piece of debris from a spy satellite that was intentionally blown up isn't so well known, especially when the nation controlling the satellite wants it to be a secret.

      --
      "I zero-index my hamsters" - Willtor (147206)
    10. Re:A mile? by UncleChevitz · · Score: 1

      The satellite is exploded, maybe they don't know how far out the little pieces go.

    11. Re:A mile? by DirtySouthAfrican · · Score: 5, Informative

      At the risk of being redundant, it's roughly a 1 in 72 chance that their calculations of a "miss" are off. Calculations of this sort involve a margin of error, from not precisely knowing locations of these objects to not being able to do forecasting accurately enough. Debris A gets hit by debris B (which somehow evaded your radar), sending off two new chunks of metal which weren't even IN your original calculations. I'm actually impressed that they can put solid numbers on these things, but I guess that's what supercomputers are for.

      Yay for safety margins.

    12. Re:A mile? by CodeBuster · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      That is why we have radar. It seems like it would not be too difficult to install a radar (if one is not installed already) and have an onboard computer continually track objects, calculate orbital trajectories, and alert the crew and ground control if any piece of junk large enough to be tracked (above a configurable threshold) will intercept the imaginary sphere which contains the ISS.

    13. Re:A mile? by c6gunner · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While that's a valid point for some situations, radar systems tend to have problems tracking objects below a certain size. A marble moving at 36,000 miles an hour isn't likely to be picked up by any radar array that I've ever seen.

      The other problem is that they suck up a lot of juice. An active radar dish blaring away 24/7 would be a significant drain on the electrical power available to the ISS. I can't say it's not possible since I don't know how much their solar arrays can generate, but I'm willing to wager that it'd be a problem.

    14. Re:A mile? by cmacb · · Score: 1

      Add to what you said that if the debris is traveling at a high speed WRT the ISS, even if it could be detected by radar there wouldn't be a whole lot of time to do anything about it.

    15. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How good is the space junk mapping radar?
      I don't know if it can detect small (think .22 bullet) sized bits of junk but I AM sure those bits could still do considerable damage depending on the relative velocity.

    16. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just blast the debris out of the sky with turbo lasers.

    17. Re:A mile? by alecwood · · Score: 1

      Duh! - this is an American internet and the only real currency is the dollar

      --
      Real happiness lies in the completion of work using your own brains and skills.
    18. Re:A mile? by aug24 · · Score: 1

      The trajectories are actually chaotic, although roughly linear (well, elliptic) around the earth. As the bits also orbit around the moon, the ISS itself, and each other, there is no possible way to accurately predict their location in the future - the error margins will grow with time until a new and precise observation is made.

      Q.V. The three-body problem, and, more generally, the n-body problem (same page).

      Justin.

      --
      You're only jealous cos the little penguins are talking to me.
    19. Re:A mile? by RockDoctor · · Score: 1

      It seems like it would not be too difficult to install a radar (if one is not installed already) and have an onboard computer continually track objects, calculate orbital trajectories, and alert the crew and ground control if any piece of junk large enough to be tracked (above a configurable threshold) will intercept the imaginary sphere which contains the ISS.

      Leaving aside the resolution and power consumptions issues that other respondents discuss, look at the ranges involved. According to Wikipedia, the ISS travels at 27700 km/hr or 462 km/minute. So, to allow for (say) a couple of minutes of engine firing (to actually accelerate the ISS into a different orbit) plus a few seconds of "prepare for acceleration" alarms and a few more seconds for identification and analysis, you're looking at needing a radar with over a thousand kilometre range.
      Also, you need to be looking both "ahead" and "cross-range" Probably need to look behind too.

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
    20. Re:A mile? by plj · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Worth noticing, though, that in this case the problematic letter is part of latin-1, so one should be able to insert it without either HTML entities or Unicode support.

      Unfortunately, it still does not work, because the charset for the comment input boxes seems to be UTF-8, but Slashcode obviously interprets it as if it were latin-1. The result is that a wrong character (Ã) gets printed (instead of the right one), and at least in this case you can't even work around it, as the latin-1 codepoint of the problematic character happens to be invalid unicode.

      Sheesh. Get to 21st century, /.!

      --
      “Wait for Hurd if you want something real” –Linus
    21. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not as well known as you'd like to think.

      Sensor measurements (radar & optical) have some level of error to begin with. And orbit propagation is inexact due to a variety of perturbations such as atmheospheric drag, earth geopotential (the earth is *not* round - it's kind of a lumpy pear shape), 3rd body perturbations from the sun and moon, etc.

      In this case, due to the low altitude, atmospheric drag is the biggest effect. Atmospheric densities at these altitudes can vary significantly and are difficult to characterize, let alone predict.

    22. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      By the time you have line of site to a potential threat, it would be far to late to do anything about it, given the acceleration capability of the ISS (and most satellites).

    23. Re:A mile? by ChrisA90278 · · Score: 1

      orbital trajectories pretty well known, yes but hard to predict out to the future. So while you might know exactly where something is right now what you don't know is where exactly is will be next week. The unknowns are things like how much drag might slow it down, the atmosphere is not 100% constant and we don't know the shape of the object. Earth's gravity varies be location. We don't know about Solar activity and then there is the gravitational effects of the sun, moon and planets (Jupiter). With so many very small effects that can combine and interact there is a certain amount of error in any prediction

    24. Re:A mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually no - the "vastness of space" has nothing to do with whether two objects are close or not. What matters is the positional uncertainty - aka covariance.

      The problem is that, although the objects may be predicted to be 1 mile apart, the positional uncertainty of that measurement is likely to be several miles. So it could collide - a miss distance of 0, or it could miss by several miles.

      Miss distance without covariance is a terrible indicator of risk. If that 1 mile miss distance had a positional uncertainty of 300 feet, we wouldn't even be talking about this.

    25. Re:A mile? by Cecil · · Score: 1

      Only to a certain degree of accuracy. There is no such thing as perfect accuracy to begin with, then there are a lot of unknown variables. While it's been up there orbiting, has it been hitting things that are too small for us to detect and pushing it off course? Has it changed it's orientation slightly and now has a minutely different amount of drag from air particles? Were our measurments off to begin with? We don't know, and these things can add up to huge amounts over time.

      A 71 in 72 chance of being less than a mile off on our orbital calculations for a satellite that some other nation launched and then self destructed is pretty impressive, I think.

    26. Re:A mile? by plj · · Score: 1

      So everyone else on this thread is offtopic, but GP is +5, Insightful?

      Could someone of the crack-smoking moderators please explain me this logic?

      --
      “Wait for Hurd if you want something real” –Linus
    27. Re:A mile? by nadamucho · · Score: 1

      The ISS isn't doing the radar tracking; it's all done from the ground. There's no way in hell a marble moving 36,000 mph TOWARD ISS could be picked up by an ISS based radar implementation. It's much easier to pick up from the ground since the angular velocity is much smaller.

      Lucky for ISS, 36,000mph (closer to 34,500mph) is an absolute worst-case-scenario, assuming the two are in the same orbit, but in opposite directions. This is highly unlikely since most rockets are launched in a northeasternly trajectory. It would also mean that ISS is CONSTANTLY in danger of being hit by it, around 32 times per day.

      It's far more likely that the object will be crossing the path, heading southeast (at a relative velocity of "only" 24,000mph), again explaining why it's the first time in 5 years it has needed to make such a maneuver.

    28. Re:A mile? by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      The trouble with that is that say you need an hour to plan and exectute an avoidence manoeuvre (and I bet in practice it takes much longer).

      Lets assume that the junk is in a similar orbit to the ISS but going in the opposite direction. That would place the junk over 30 thousand miles away at planning time. That is a long way away and going to be extremely difficult to detect. It may even be too far away to see at all due to the earth obscuring the view (remember the ISS is only a couple of hundred miles high)

      It makes much more sense to do the tracking from a large network of ground based stations that between them can monitor most if not all of the sky and can track objects continuously.

      However there is always an error margin. No measurement is perfect for a variety of reasons. It then becomes a matter of risk assesment to decide whether to make an avoidence manovure given the availible data.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  5. Space help? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ordinarily, the rockets on the ATV are used to take the ISS away from Earth's atmosphere and reduce drag.

    Should that be "away from Earth's atmosphere to reduce drag"?

    I'm not a rocket scientist. Is there another kind of drag that needs to be reduced?

    1. Re:Space help? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'm not a rocket scientist. Is there another kind of drag that needs to be reduced?

      The drag of being stuck in a space station! It's pretty much like being in prison, but when you stick some rockets on it, suddenly you feel like a supervillain!

    2. Re:Space help? by Farmer+Tim · · Score: 1

      Is there another kind of drag that needs to be reduced?

      Yes, they had too many transvestites on board.

      --
      Blank until /. makes another boneheaded UI decision.
    3. Re:Space help? by Atario · · Score: 1

      Doesn't help if you're also forced to watch bad movies.

      --
      "A great democracy must be progressive or it will soon cease to be a great democracy." --Theodore Roosevelt
  6. slownewsday? by TheDreadedGMan · · Score: 0

    DOH!

    Space station has 1 in 72 chance of getting hit by space junk, fires rockets to move so it's a mile away getting closer to 1 in 10000...

    story at 11

    1. Re:slownewsday? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      film at 6

    2. Re:slownewsday? by bigplrbear · · Score: 1

      You would think that the chances of space junk hitting the ISS from a mile away would be zero

    3. Re:slownewsday? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I thought sinc(2003) was -1/2059.45

    4. Re:slownewsday? by somersault · · Score: 1

      Film will be interrupted for a recap of the story at 7

      --
      which is totally what she said
    5. Re:slownewsday? by mbone · · Score: 4, Informative

      Depends on the error ellipse of the orbit determination for the junk, and it sounds like the uncertainty is a good fraction of a mile in size. But in any case, the miss distance is a mile after the course adjustment, not before.

  7. Better Link by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.esa.int/SPECIALS/ATV/SEM64X0SAKF_0.html

  8. in soviet russia by bigplrbear · · Score: 1

    space station dodge you

  9. it needs friggen lasers by spotter · · Score: 2, Interesting

    this post made me wonder. could they repurpose the nautilus anti missle laser system to knock the space junk that threatens the station out of the vacum of space. Or could it make things worse? (lots of tiny particles you can't avoid vs. a couple of big particles.

    1. Re:it needs friggen lasers by icegreentea · · Score: 1

      Cooling might be a problem. If your laser is powerful enough to vaporize a couple tons of debris, and transfer enough kinetic energy to change their orbit so they no longer intersect, its going to generate a good deal of heat. Maybe the ISS's current radiator can't handle it. Firing rockets is easier cause you get to dump all a lot of waste heat into your reaction mass and throw it into the void.

    2. Re: it needs friggen lasers by dominious · · Score: 5, Funny

      Or could it make things worse? (lots of tiny particles you can't avoid vs. a couple of big particles.

      well, what we need then is a linux admin who has mastered that Asteroids game

    3. Re:it needs friggen lasers by amirulbahr · · Score: 1

      But how would you get the sharks into orbit?

    4. Re:it needs friggen lasers by anilg · · Score: 1

      Ha.. and people were raving about KDE4! Does your window manager have anti-missile laser systems, bitches!

      --
      http://dilemma.gulecha.org - My philospohical short film.
  10. Bring in the Toy Box. :) by GrpA · · Score: 1

    Time to call the Space Debris Section of Technora Corporation.... I wonder how far something like Planetes is off from reality at times. Excellent series. GrpA

    --
    Enjoy science fiction? "Turing Evolved" - AI, Mecha, Androids and rail-gun battles. What more could you want?
  11. "For the first time sinc[sic] 2003" by MonsterAar · · Score: 0, Redundant

    I obviously don't know enough about the space industry but maybe they should sinc more often?

  12. Oblig. Star Wars by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Never tell me the odds!

  13. Planetes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

    Any fans of the anime Planetes ?

    1. Re:Planetes by j1m+5n0w · · Score: 1

      I was actually thinking about ordering it just yesterday. I haven't seen it, but it seemed to get good reviews on Amazon, and sounded like the science was pretty sound.

    2. Re:Planetes by Narishma · · Score: 3, Informative

      It's very good. And it's the only anime I've seen where there's no sound in space.

      --
      Mada mada dane.
  14. Recycle It! by Hoffer53 · · Score: 4, Funny

    They should attach large electromagnets to the ISS and collect all of the space junk it passes by for recycling. I wonder what payment the recycling depot would give for satellite parts.
    I don't keep track of shuttle payloads, but I would imagine that there would be room for a satellite or two in the cargo bay on the return trip.

    1. Re:Recycle It! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Makes Russians suffer by recycling their own satellites.

      Yay.

    2. Re:Recycle It! by SystematicPsycho · · Score: 1

      Name it the inconvenient Al Gore enviro-shuttle...

      Is there a such thing as polluting the universe?

      --
      Analytic & algebraic topology of locally Euclidean meterization of infinitely differentiable Riemmanian manifold
    3. Re:Recycle It! by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      There are two problems.

      The first is relative speed, it is extremely difficult to collect something that is moving at thousands of miles per hour relative to you. Shuttle missions to visit/retrive something existing (e.g. the ISS or the hubble) have to be carefully planned so they match orbits.

      The second is even if you found a way to retrive them they aren't going to be all that valuable. Afaict most of the cost of a sattalite is in the cost of the precision engineering and the cost of the launch not the cost of the raw materials.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
  15. Within 1 mile? by p3d0 · · Score: 4, Informative

    That's a heck of a close call, considering the ISS is traveling at 4.8 miles per second. That's little like a car at highway speed running a red light and missing another car by less than one car length.

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
    1. Re:Within 1 mile? by c6gunner · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That's a heck of a close call, considering the ISS is traveling at 4.8 miles per second. That's little like a car at highway speed running a red light and missing another car by less than one car length.

      Not really, since their relative speeds may be far less. If the debris cloud is traveling on the same trajectory at 4.7 miles per second, then their relative velocity is only 360 miles per hour.

      On the other hand, if it's traveling on the exact opposite trajectory at the same speed .... ouch.

    2. Re:Within 1 mile? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to my analysis of GP data (TLEs) the conjunction had a relative velocity of about 13 Km/s, and the conjunction occurs over Brazil.

  16. Yes and No by DougF · · Score: 0

    Orbits constantly change depending on the size of the object interacting with the far upper reaches of the atmosphere, hitting other space junk, deteriorating from radical oxygen and radiation, etc. The U.S. is constantly updating the 13,000 or so objects being tracked, and that's only the stuff 4 inches or larger diameter.

    --
    Impetuous! Homeric!
  17. ISS altitude graph by j1m+5n0w · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here's a graph of ISS altitude for the last year, if anyone is interested in hard data. (The steady downward slope is due to atmospheric drag, and the sharp increases are from firing maneuvering thrusters to maintain altitude. Presumably, the recent abrupt drop was the maneuver described in the article.)

  18. Impact probability ? by billcopc · · Score: 1

    Anyone here know how they calculate "impact probability" ? I mean, my poor man's logic seems to think you either hit something, or you don't. Bool 1, or Bool 0.

    If you miss something by a mile, how does that wind up being a 1 in 72 probability ? No offense to the space buffs, of which I am not one, but that sounds like game show odds to me: "You're bound to lose, but let's all act excited anyway!"

    --
    -Billco, Fnarg.com
    1. Re:Impact probability ? by cyclone96 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The calculated miss distance was about a mile, but there was uncertainty in that miss distance such that there was a 1 in 72 chance it wouldn't miss the ISS, but instead hit it directly.

      To answer your question (at a high level), the sensors and models that are used to track and predict the debris locations have associated mathematical models that can put a number on the uncertainty of where that debris is. The uncertainty takes into account things like how many radar obs were made, the inherent accuracy of the radar, uncertainties in atmospheric drag, etc. You can never know exactly where an object is, only an approximation of the current and future location and a mathematical confidence in that estimate. In this case that confidence was sufficiently low (and the risk of impact high enough) that a collision avoidance maneuver was executed.

      --
      Worst...sig...ever!
    2. Re:Impact probability ? by billcopc · · Score: 1

      Thank you for that excellent reply. Makes perfect sense!

      --
      -Billco, Fnarg.com
  19. Re: "garbage" by neonsignal · · Score: 5, Funny

    maybe they were just quoting the engineers who had built the satellite...

  20. Just like a supermarket by Thunder+Rabbit · · Score: 2, Funny

    [intercom:] "(sszzkk) uh, we need a cleanup on mile 183... that's a satellite cleanup on mile 183."

  21. Yeah, yeah by p3d0 · · Score: 1

    And my hypothetical intersection doesn't have to be at right angles either.

    --
    Patrick Doyle
    I mod down every jackass who puts his moderation policy in his sig. Oh, wait a sec....
  22. All kidding aside... by Fished · · Score: 1

    All kidding aside, the value of a pound of aluminum in LEO has to be thousands of dollars... I wonder if someday it might make sense for a larger, commercial space station to try to capture any random piece of matter that crosses its orbit, just for raw materials.

    --
    "He who would learn astronomy, and other recondite arts, let him go elsewhere. " -- John Calvin, commenting on Genesis 1
    1. Re:All kidding aside... by HeadlessNotAHorseman · · Score: 1

      But what are you going to do with a pound of aluminium in LEO? You could use it as a doorstop maybe, but I'm not so sure that building a smithy in space is going to be cost effective. The anvils alone will cost a fortune to send up there!

      --
      I like my coffee the way I like my women - roasted and ground up into little tiny pieces.
  23. Hitting Space Junk by BinBoy · · Score: 5, Funny

    > ISS Dodges Space Junk For First Time In Five Years

    It must be really banged up after 5 years of hitting space junk.

    Admit it! You thought it too!

  24. Re: "garbage" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ..."informative"?

  25. Pretty New Space Junk by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 0, Troll

    It's only 2 years old.

    The Russian "contribution" to the ISS has been pretty much only obstacles. And that's why, ladies and gentlemen, the US plans to rely on Russian launches for our entire ISS mission programme.

    --

    --
    make install -not war

    1. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Cochonou · · Score: 3, Informative

      The central ISS modules (Zarya, Zvezda) are Russian. Actually, the docking port the ATV is using is also Russian, using the "probe and drogue" technique. I would call their contribution quite remarkable.

    2. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Zoxed · · Score: 1

      > And that's why, ladies and gentlemen, the US plans to rely on Russian launches for our entire ISS mission programme.

      Don't panic: those very clever Europeans can save the day (again): you can have a ride in the ATV :-)

    3. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by FireFury03 · · Score: 1

      Don't panic: those very clever Europeans can save the day (again): you can have a ride in the ATV :-)

      Which isn't currently capable of transporting humans to orbit, and whilst ESA have made comments about doing so they don't seem to have much intention of it.

    4. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      Zarya was funded and is owned by the US, though we paid Russia quite a lot to build it. Even thought Zvezda was really built mainly by the Soviets in the 1980s for their old programme, it was delayed quite a lot (delaying the entire ISS deployment), launched without backup or insurance (causing extra NASA expenses and still more delays), and has broken down a lot (more delays). Russia basically cut back funding its ISS commitments (though the $1M Pizza Hut logo on Zvezda helped out). Meanwhile Russia has funded its other projects quite handsomely, what with $150 oil barrels and a quite "remarkable" natural gas and oil export industry.

      "Remarkable" doesn't always mean "good".

      --

      --
      make install -not war

    5. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The central ISS modules (Zarya, Zvezda) are Russian. Actually, the docking port the ATV is using is also Russian, using the "probe and drogue" technique. I would call their contribution quite remarkable.

      ...Built in Russia, paid for with US$ by NASA.

    6. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Atario · · Score: 1

      Also remarkable: a business model that goes like this:

      1. Charge big bucks to build space-stuff
      2. Send up your own space-stuff with explosives in it
      3. Blow up your space-stuff
      4. Wait for the thousands of high-speed chunks to destroy the space-stuff you sold to those suckers
      5. Make the suckers some more space-stuff for more big bucks

      You'll notice the "???" and "Profit!" steps are all thoroughly pre-mixed in with all the other steps, for your Slashdotting convenience.

      --
      "A great democracy must be progressive or it will soon cease to be a great democracy." --Theodore Roosevelt
    7. Re:Pretty New Space Junk by Doc+Ruby · · Score: 1

      It's a space worker's paradise over there.

      --

      --
      make install -not war

  26. Re: "garbage" by Hucko · · Score: 1

    Its correct because the mods had no idea.

    --
    Semi-automatic amateur armchair Australian philosopher; conjecture ready at any moment...
  27. Eddy current Deflection Loop by Traf-O-Data-Hater · · Score: 1

    Here's an idea I had some time back, don't know it it would work but here goes. Why not fly a big lightweight coil - say 1 or 2km diameter - with a current running through it. Angle the coil at a few degrees from vertical, and make it moveable. It could be manouevered so piece of space junk moving at very high velocity goes through the middle. Minute eddy currents generated in the object would slow it down or deflect it downwards, eventually losing orbit. The ring would have ion thrusters to counteract the upwards force. After a few decades of operation it might clear up LEO.... perhaps?

  28. Shields made in China by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If our ISS shields can't even handle space debris how are we supposed to defend against photon canons or sharks with lasers?

  29. Yeah! by crhylove · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I imagine some of the top-secret nuclear waste some of them might be recovering is totally worth a lot of money!!!

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  30. Duh. by Undertone · · Score: 1

    And this is why ALL space-stations need at least one death ray.

  31. Re: "garbage" by wastedlife · · Score: 2, Funny

    + Informative adds to karma while + Funny does not. "Helpful" mods have been rating comedy posts as Informative to give the poster better karma. This practice fucks up the karma system and needs to stop. Unfortunately, stopping this probably won't be easy.

    Then again, maybe I should lighten up and not care so much about this.

    --
    Said, "It's just like dice but it's got more sides And it tells me who lives and who dies"
  32. 2006? by Frankenshteen · · Score: 1

    Russia launched this hunk two years ago and already self-destructed it? And that's excusable somehow? Does the DoD do the same? Who's going to clean that shit up? First time one of Sir Richard's space deckers looses passengers and crew - what's he going to do - sue somebody?

    --
    "It's a doughnut stuffed with M&M's. That way when you finish the doughnut, you don't have to eat any M&M's."
    1. Re:2006? by mcpheat · · Score: 1

      The Virgin Galactic spacecraft will not go into orbit and will not get very hign (110km). At this hight the atmospheric drag will clear out any space junk fairly quickly

  33. Re: A cat? by pkphy39 · · Score: 1

    only SchrÃdinger's Cat knows for sure. :-/

    Dead cats are funny. Talking cats are *more* funny. Which one we get when we open that box will determine how this comment gets modded.

  34. "Evasive maneuvers, Mr. Sulu!" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's what I would have said if I were the commander of that space station. Seriously, how often do you get an opportunity like that? Or don't they get to have any fun up there?

  35. How about a laser beam? by Joce640k · · Score: 1

    One of those lasers they claim can destroy missiles should easily be able to zap a bit of space junk.

    --
    No sig today...
    1. Re:How about a laser beam? by Tetsujin · · Score: 1

      One of those lasers they claim can destroy missiles should easily be able to zap a bit of space junk.

      Ah, but there's a trick to that, you know?

      See, the amount of destructive potential needed to damage a missile sufficiently to prevent it from successfully continuing in its firing arc, reaching its target, and exploding is much less than it would take to vaporize a solid object in space or even just break it up and send it into the atmosphere...

      Let's suppose this is a laser-based system - it might be able to disable a missile by hitting it with a beam, heating up the material along the beam enough to cut through the outer casing, destroy circuits, cut fuel lines, whatever... Enough, one would hope, that the missile will break up in the atmosphere instead of reaching target and detonating...

      Now, try that with a random piece of junk from a satellite explosion: what happens? Maybe you cut that piece of junk in half with the laser - but all that changes in instead of one piece of junk there in orbit, now you've got two. The amount of mass and the velocity it's moving hasn't changed by any significant amount... To get rid of the junk you need to either fetch it, or de-orbit it and make it burn up in the atmosphere.

      --
      Bow-ties are cool.
  36. Planetes by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    There is an anime/manga called Planetes that is entirely about a group who collect dangerous space debris to make Earth orbit safe for commerce. It's actually has an authentic ring to it in terms of the problems, technology and techniques.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  37. Oh, the geekery... by kiehlster · · Score: 1

    Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating through a satellite debris field is approximately 72 to 1!