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1/3 of Amphibians Dying Out

Death Metal sends in a Scientific American article reporting that 2,000 of 6,000 amphibian species are endangered worldwide. A combination of environmental assaults, including global warming, seems to be responsible. "... national parks and other areas protected from pollution and development are providing no refuge. The frogs and salamanders of Yellowstone National Park have been declining since the 1980s, according to a Stanford University study, as global warming dries out seasonal ponds, leaving dried salamander corpses in their wake. Since the 1970s, nearly 75 percent of the frogs and other amphibians of La Selva Biological Station in Braulio Carrillo National Park in the Caribbean lowlands of Costa Rica have died, perhaps due to global warming. But the really bad news is that amphibians may be just the first sign of other species in trouble. Biologists at the University of California, San Diego, have shown that amphibians are the first to respond to environmental changes, thanks to their sensitivity to both air and water. What goes for amphibians may soon be true of other classes of animal, including mammals."

467 comments

  1. The real question... by dlgeek · · Score: 0, Offtopic

    The real question is, do they taste good fried?

    1. Re:The real question... by LaskoVortex · · Score: 3, Informative

      The real question is, do they taste good fried?

      Yes, but that's not the reason they are crunchy. They are crunchy because we don't take out the bones.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    2. Re:The real question... by LaskoVortex · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Heres an idea.. give me a reason why a specific species is worth protecting, and then if you convince me, I'll even fucking help you to save it.

      You should qualify that one. Here is a species for you: Homo sapiens. Gotcha. (Wink)

      How about this one: wheat. Gotcha again.

      Diversity? Thats crap. There are so many species on this planet that we can't even count them.

      Here is a question for you: What is the bare minimum number of species you might be comfortable with?

      Here is another question for you: If you whittle down the biodiversity of this planet to only a few "essential" species--what will be the consequences? Please cite your sources when you answer. The biased speculation of a non-scientist doesn't count.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    3. Re:The real question... by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No, the real question is.... ...why the fuck should we care? Diversity? Thats crap. There are so many species on this planet that we can't even count them. The loss of even hundreds of thousands of species is statistically insignificant. Heres an idea.. give me a reason why a specific species is worth protecting, and then if you convince me, I'll even fucking help you to save it.

      Biodiversity is very important. Aside from the fact that losing an entire species forever is an extremely sad thing to happen there are practical implications. For example many of the medicines we use today were discovered by people going into the Amazon, brining back everything they could find, and seeing which of the weird things they found could fight different illnesses on a petri dish. Lose the diversity and you lose all those undiscovered opportunities. In a more general sense loss of diversity within a species leads to increased susceptibility to stressors, this may impact upon economically important species (known as well as unknown) as well as rare frogs.

      Also, you don't know what statistically significant means so don't use that term. While the loss of hundreds of thousands of species is important is itself, but is more significant as a marker of the loss of environment leading to the losses of all those undiscovered species and damage to an ecosystem that we rely on but don't really understand.

    4. Re:The real question... by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      do they taste good fried?

      Chicken with slight hint of prawn. They probably blend OK, if you feel like soup.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    5. Re:The real question... by Kokuyo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Global Warming is real. The only questions are:

      How much of it is really caused by us?

      And

      How much of it actually harmful?

      So far, what I see in the media isn't really convincing. I still believe that what we see today can and did happen in earth's history and is therefore rather natural.

      Cutting back on our production of harmful and questionable stuff and especially cutting back on what of it we release into nature is surely a good thing. Common sense dictates that just dumping anything in too big quantities anywhere can't be good. But we must be careful not to confuse useful behavior with what this blatant reactionism demands of us. Reactionism and outcry are ALWAYS easily abused tools to sell stuff. Be it a political agenda or newspapers.

    6. Re:The real question... by peppepz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Is there such a thing as "clean nuclear energy"? Nuclear energy can be advantageous, and even cleaner than other power sources, but as long as it produces waste that takes millenniums to decay or millions to be reprocessed, calling it "clean" sounds like an oxymoron.

    7. Re:The real question... by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      The better question is, is "the cost nuclear energy with reprocessing" cheaper than "the cost of Solar/Wind/Hydro/Geothermal" for equivalent reliability and capacity? And remember, we need to look at the room for expansion for this in the US. We can't compare the Hoover Dam, for instance, as there aren't enough places in the US to build Hydro as a replacement for all the nuclear/coal out there. Further, the best place for Geothermal would probably be Yellowstone national park. But I don't think we're going to build there.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    8. Re:The real question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Funny

      Thanks for posting Sarah Palin!

    9. Re:The real question... by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 0

      A better question for you would be : what is the normal rate of species die-off ?

      30% is not that high. Or at least it can hardly be called a historic high (a historic high would have to be over 99.9% after all). If we're not even talking every species, but merely groups of them : in perfectly normal environmental circumstances there was a time when just about every land animal, larger than 50 cm that lays eggs died off. 100%. Every last one.

      That's natural. Isn't it grand ?

      After all, without species dieing off, evolution would stop. You'd have to repeal the laws of physics to make that happen, but still ... it wouldn't be a good thing if animals (and, yes, humans) stopped dieing off, stopped passively or actively attempting to cause eachother's extinction ... If they stopped fighting to exterminate eachother, they wouldn't improve, in fact they'd worsen. The organs would lose their function even. Without people killing eachother, in the long term, everybody would be blind, cripple, leukemic and worse.

      (the technical reason would be that bad genes would drown out good genes very quickly due to sheer numbers)

      Unless of course you don't believe in evolution.

    10. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>what we see today can and did happen in earth's history and is therefore rather natural.

      Of course. It happened twice in written history, circa 3000 BC and again between 400 and 1200 A.D. during the late Roman era and the Barbarian period. It certainly had nothing to do with the Egyptians, Romans, or Barbarians riding-around burning oil in their cars. The warming was a natural event, and this time (from 1850 onward) is probably natural too.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    11. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      What will likely happen (circa 2100) is that we still have energy (hydro, solar, coal, oil), but it will become so scarce and so expensive that people will return to a pre-1900-style existence. They'll have a little bit of electricity to light the bulbs, and just enough coal or wood to provide fire to the TV room, and that's about it.

      No more whole-house A/C or heating. Only the rich, like kings and presidents, will be able to afford those luxuries.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    12. Re:The real question... by stranger_to_himself · · Score: 1

      What will likely happen (circa 2100) is that we still have energy (hydro, solar, coal, oil), but it will become so scarce and so expensive that people will return to a pre-1900-style existence. They'll have a little bit of electricity to light the bulbs, and just enough coal or wood to provide fire to the TV room, and that's about it.

      No more whole-house A/C or heating. Only the rich, like kings and presidents, will be able to afford those luxuries.

      Unless somebody gets a fusion reactor to work

    13. Re:The real question... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, Global warming, as brought to you by the hippy peaceniks who campaigned against clean nuclear energy.

      CFC 114 is still used for enrichment and is 20,000 times more potent a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. Up to 1 million pounds of CFC114 leak into the atmosphere per year (from the U.S alone) since the inception of the Montreal protocol, banning CFC's, in 1995.

      The news gets better, CFC 114 attacks the ozone layer which protects that algae that makes THE OXYGEN WE BREATHE. Radioactive elements aside - CFC's released into the environment by the enrichment process are the number 1 cause of industrial CFC emissions in the U.S.

      Way to go guys...

      Instead of being so patronising, you should investigate the scientific, medical, engineering, legal, political and social reasons for opposition to nuclear power and you will find some substantial arguments why nuclear power is not practical at our current level of technology.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    14. Re:The real question... by hey! · · Score: 1

      So far, what I see in the media isn't really convincing.

      Perhaps you should read ... ok, watch different media?

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    15. Re:The real question... by Ironsides · · Score: 1

      Nuclear with reprocessing would never be that expensive, and with reprocessing we have enough nuclear material to last several hundred years. Sorry, but I don't see that happening unless the government starts taxing power at several hundred percent.

      --
      Fly me to the moon Let me sing among those stars Let me see what spring is like On jupiter and mars
    16. Re:The real question... by Ihmhi · · Score: 1

      But can't the fuel be reused over and over again until it's basically harmless?

      It's only unclean if you stupidly only use it the one time as far as I understand the possibilities for usage of nuclear.

    17. Re:The real question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      One in every 113 people can't eat wheat you insensitive clod!

    18. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>Unless somebody gets a fusion reactor to work

      They already did. The problem is that the reactor USES more energy than it produces, so it's an energy sink, not a source. (Kind of like hydrogen.)

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    19. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      No. Spent nuclear fuel is like a very-heavy metal, which is worthless as an energy source, but is radioactive so it needs to be sealed below ground.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    20. Re:The real question... by bberens · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't see what the big problem is. You said yourself that dumping millions of tons of anything anywhere is probably a bad idea. My response to you is that whether human caused global warming is real or not shouldn't change our behavior. We should strive very hard not dump millions of tons of stuff into our atmosphere. The 'climate change' debate is just a distraction.

      --
      Check out my lame java blog at www.javachopshop.com
    21. Re:The real question... by Goaway · · Score: 1

      How do we know global warming is happening?

      Through measurements and scientific analysis.

      How do we know it's not just a natural occurrence?

      Through simulation taking into account known factors.

      There you go.

    22. Re:The real question... by Kingleon · · Score: 2, Insightful

      the fact that losing an entire species forever is an extremely sad thing to happen

      Extremely sad! Remember guys, losing an entire species is entirely IRREVERSIBLE! There is no undo if we fail to act on biodiversity! One day, maybe millions of years from now, the earth's climate will be back to normal cycling. If we destroy the biodiversity, we can NEVER EVER get that biodiversity back. New species originate at an extremely slow background rate, a rate which has been decreasing since the Cambrian (the time of the Burgess Shall fauna). True, mass extinctions are generally followed by a burst of recovery, but there is also usually a delay of millions of years (see stuff by Dave Bottjer, Peter Ward, Doug Erwin...).

    23. Re:The real question... by Rockoon · · Score: 1, Troll

      You should qualify that one. Here is a species for you: Homo sapiens. Gotcha. (Wink)

      I donate sperm, so no, you didnt get me... and i did qualify it.. I said i'll help *you* save it.

      Didn't expect that, did ya?

      How about this one: wheat. Gotcha again.

      My Atkins diet says otherwise.

      You really are clever, but not enough.

      Here is a question for you: What is the bare minimum number of species you might be comfortable with?

      Half of the existing ones. Feel free to derive that number.. oh wait.. you can't.. because there are so many species already that you cannot even count them.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    24. Re:The real question... by Rockoon · · Score: 0, Troll

      Biodiversity is very important.

      Why? Feel free to justify your opinion with evidence.

      Aside from the fact that losing an entire species forever is an extremely sad thing to happen there are practical implications.

      Why is it sad, and why do you think that being emotionally involved in this issue is a good thing?

      Also, you don't know what statistically significant means so don't use that term.

      I know that we discover more species each *month* than we have ever observed go extinct, so I think I got a pretty good handle on what statistically insignificant means here. I think you are not looking at the big picture, probably because of that emotional monkey on your back.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    25. Re:The real question... by fugue · · Score: 1

      Those are interesting questions, but the really important one is this: can we afford to bet everything on the chance of you being right? Because if global warming turns out to be harmful, it won't just be a little baby tragedy like the World Trade Center bombing, or the latest tsunami, or the 40000 killed every year in the USA by cars, or the last genocide.

      Wait a minute... you're looking at the mainstream media to educate you about science? Hello? Is anyone home? You know that corporations who profit from emitting greenhouse gases are spending billions of dollars to try to convince the ignorant masses that nothing's amiss, right? They use the media. Go check out recent peer-reviewed journals on the subject, and then come and tell us that you're not convinced.

      And if you want to see the risk-management approach, try here for a silly and excellent quick overview.

      --
      "The biggest problem with communication is the illusion that it has taken place."
    26. Re:The real question... by Jorrit · · Score: 1

      The effects of a single species coming extinct can be very devastating for the food chain that that species happened to be in. i.e. perhaps it was the single (or most important) food for some carnivore or perhaps it was the only animal that ate some specific plant. In the former case the carnivore is likely to get into trouble too and in the latter case the plant might no longer have a natural enemy and become a pest.

      In both situations you can get a chain reaction that could get out of control. Note that of course not animals are the only species that are required to get a food chain running but the problem is that we might not know what the implications are. Potentially the loss of a single species *could* cause a chain reaction causing many other species to be lost.

      Greetings,

      --
      Project Manager of Crystal Space (http://www.crystalspace3d.org). Support CS at http://tinyurl.com/cb3x4
    27. Re:The real question... by Taevin · · Score: 4, Informative

      (Mostly) incorrect. Nuclear fuel can be reprocessed extensively. Current light water reactors use very little of the energy in uranium, less than 1%. A fast breeder reactor uses 99.5%. This is a huge difference in efficiency (and thus, waste) and it is accomplished by reprocessing. One type of FBR, the Integral Fast Reactor, produces waste at the end of the fuel cycle that is reduced to normal levels of radioactivity after 200 years. The amount produced is tiny compared to LWRs.

      In other words, Ihmhi is correct in saying that the fuel can be reprocessed and reused until there is only a small amount of unusable waste. The waste presents a radioactivity hazard so storing it underground might be the best solution, but dealing with the waste of a FBR is trivial as compared with the waste of a LWR.

    28. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>My response to you is that whether human caused global warming is real or not shouldn't change our behavior. We should strive very hard not dump millions of tons of stuff into our atmosphere.
      >>>

      But... it's CO2. It helps trees and other plants grow. Other things like CO, HC, NOx, and PMs are bad (damage human lungs), but CO2 can be breathed without harm. If we ignore the global warming aspect, then there's no reason to stop filling the air with CO2. Is there?

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    29. Re:The real question... by Digital+Vomit · · Score: 1

      Here is a question for you: What is the bare minimum number of species you might be comfortable with?

      Six.

      And, no, I will not tell you why.

      --
      Modern copyright is theft of culture from everyone and it retards the progress of the useful arts and sciences.
    30. Re:The real question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      I know that we discover more species each *month* than we have ever observed go extinct

      So, the earth was truly flat prior to approximately 2300 years ago? You advocate that discovery of a thing causes it to spontaneously exist, such that prior to human discovery it did not exist, or was something else entirely?

      This is your support for the statistical insignificance of special extinction? You correlate human discovery of new species with human ovservation of lost species and claim that significance of one grants you accurate knowledge of significance in the other. This calls into question your understanding of the term (which I'm sure you'll look up right now and finally present a well-founded retort), as well as your entire decision-making methodology.

      You play fast and loose with your support arguments. If you are unwilling to ground and source your claims, then it is obvious that the conclusions you spout are more important to you than their factuality. The only conclusion to be drawn from your arguments is the existance of your own emotional ass-primate.

    31. Re:The real question... by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      So far, what I see in the media isn't really convincing.

      Perhaps you should be reading the scientific literature on the subject instead? You know, the type without all that media bias?

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    32. Re:The real question... by Taevin · · Score: 1

      CFC 114 is still used for enrichment and is 20,000 times more potent a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. Up to 1 million pounds of CFC114 leak into the atmosphere per year (from the U.S alone) since the inception of the Montreal protocol [wikipedia.org], banning CFC's, in 1995.

      Let's get some facts straight. CFC 114 is not "used for enrichment," it is used as a coolant like any other CFC. There is no technical reason that another, less ozone toxic chemical or method could not be used.

      Furthermore, the primary reason coolant usage is so high in the US for the enrichment industry is because of anti-nuclear politics. The numbers you quote for CFC 114 leakage come from the only enrichment plant in the US. The plant is very old (started operation in 1952) and uses technology that has been obsolete since pretty much before it was built. It enriches uranium through gaseous diffusion which has long been made obsolete by the more energy efficient centrifuge. Gas centrifuges themselves may soon be made obsolete by new, laser based enrichment systems that use less energy still. If the nuclear industry was not so hindered by politics, we would probably not still be stuck with USEC producing U-235 through such an outdated method.

      By the way, if modern nuclear power plants could get approval to be built, there would be less need for enrichment in the first place. Current light water reactors use U-235 as fuel and to obtain U-235 in sufficient quantities requires enrichment since natural uranium is 99.284% U-238. However, modern designs only require an initial source of enriched material and then can be fed U-238. They accomplish this through extensive reprocessing of nuclear waste and breeding new fissionable material. The end result is an extremely efficient system (uses 99.5% of the energy in uranium as opposed to a LWR which uses 1%) that produces very little waste.

      The news gets better, CFC 114 attacks the ozone layer which protects that algae that makes THE OXYGEN WE BREATHE. Radioactive elements aside - CFC's released into the environment by the enrichment process are the number 1 cause of industrial CFC emissions in the U.S.

      The news gets worse because there is nothing special about CFC 114 that destroys the ozone layer; all CFCs have this effect. You are correct that the CFC released into the atmosphere by the enrichment plant is the primary cause of industrial emissions, but that is industrial emissions. Industrial emissions amount to a small percent of the total amount of CFCs released per year. And as mentioned before, the reason for the CFC emissions being so high for industrial use is that the USEC plant is very old and has coolant pipelines that are corroded and leaking everywhere. In other words, stop trying to make it sounds like nuclear fuel enrichment is single-handedly causing the destruction of the ozone layer which is going to kill us all.

      As for the bit about the algae, there is not a lot of evidence to support your assertion. The ozone layer does not "protect algae," it absorbs UV radiation, particularly UV-B. UV-B penetrates deep into tissue and so is cause for concern in humans and other life. However, in investigating the algae populations around Antarctica, where the effects of ozone depletion should be the greatest, no significant changes were observed by researchers. Now don't get me wrong, I do believe we need to take action and reduce our effect on the environment and we need to do that ASAP. However, being scared of nuclear technology and fighting against it is the exact opposite of what we need to be doing. Nuclear energy production has lower emission of all environmentally harmful products, including radioactivity, than other energy production methods such as coal burning.

      Instead of being so patronising, you should investigate the scientific, medical, engineering, legal, political and social reasons for opposition to

    33. Re:The real question... by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      It is a greenhouse gas. Assuming that the planet is in equilibrium, it will be warmer with higher levels of CO2. It is a physical property of the gas, not dependent on observed temperature or dubious data. The planet is not in equilibrium right now, and one of the big questions is whether that equilibrium, when it is reached, will be an acceptable environment for humans and other species to inhabit. So far, the signs point to the answer being negative. Liek alot.

      So if we ignore reality, there's no reason to worry about anything!

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    34. Re:The real question... by Madcapjack · · Score: 1

      >>&gt >>>

      But... it's CO2. It helps trees and other plants grow. Other things like CO, HC, NOx, and PMs are bad (damage human lungs), but CO2 can be breathed without harm. If we ignore the global warming aspect, then there's no reason to stop filling the air with CO2. Is there?

      oh go ahead and breathe co2 and test your claim that breathing it causes no harm! lol

    35. Re:The real question... by electrictroy · · Score: 1

      >>>It is a greenhouse gas.

      Yes I know, but the person I was responding to said, "The climate change debate is just a distraction," and that's who I was replying to. If said person believes we should ignore climate change, then there's no reason to limit CO2.

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    36. Re:The real question... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      Biodiversity is very important.

      Why? Feel free to justify your opinion with evidence.

      One word: Bananas

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
    37. Re:The real question... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Horses are worth protecting, because they're very tasty.

    38. Re:The real question... by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1

      So far, what I see in the media isn't really convincing

      See, that's where you're going wrong. Why, if only there was a global electronic network that made journal papers, raw data, and plain English explanations of what it all means freely available to anyone capable of searching for it.

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    39. Re:The real question... by a+whoabot · · Score: 1

      How did you "get" him?

      You have to mention a species he might not actually want to help save. I don't think he'd mind helping you save wheat. I'm pretty sure by buying some wheat product he ever-so-slightly increases the demand for wheat thereby causing more of it to be sown by farmers. I'm sure he's not adverse to buying some dinner rolls. What he's saying is that any species that requires particular effort to save has no established benefit to him.

    40. Re:The real question... by Gat0r30y · · Score: 1

      The 'climate change' debate is just a distraction.

      I'm not sure I can agree with this. The Government seems to take it pretty seriously. There have already been 2 humanitarian disasters as a result of climate change (Somalia and now Sudan). You see, when it stops raining people cant grow food, and hungry people tend to get angry after a while. So... a 10 year drought in Somalia is a real problem for the people that live there. And somehow the US seems to just "get involved" in these sorts of things from time to time.
      And when the analysis (done by guys a lot smarter than me) says that people are going to starve to death, well I guess I have to take the situation pretty seriously.
      Back to the point of the article though - CO2 is probably not the main problem in this particular case - it is pesticides. I see no slowing in the use of pesticides in the near future agriculturally and eventually we really will have to figure out a better way to keep bugs from eating our food. When vast estuaries (see the Mississippi delta for one) become totally dead, well it makes it harder and more expensive to get delicious fresh seafood. And I like sushi.

      --
      Prediction: The real iPhone killer is going to be sex robots from Japan. Think about it.
    41. Re:The real question... by Tenebrousedge · · Score: 1

      My apologies, then. I shall strive to read more carefully in the future.

      --
      Those who advocate genocide deserve every protection afforded by law, and none afforded by common human decency.
    42. Re:The real question... by treeves · · Score: 1

      But they taste good not because they are crunchy, but because "We use only the finest baby frogs, dew-picked and flown from Iraq, cleansed in finest-quality spring water, lightly killed, and then sealed in a succulent Swiss quintuple smooth treble cream milk chocolate envelope and lovingly frosted with glucose." Unfortunately, the Ram's Bladder Cup (which is "fresh Cornish Ram's bladder, emptied, steamed, whipped into a fondue with sesame seeds and then garnished with lark's vomit"), Cockroach Cluster, and Anthrax Ripple are not nearly as popular.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    43. Re:The real question... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      Did you not realize that both the Gros Michel and the Cavendish are the SAME species?

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    44. Re:The real question... by LaskoVortex · · Score: 1

      Half of the existing ones.

      Which half?

      Let me predict your answer: "the half we don't need."

      OK. How does one determine the half we don't need? A good answer does not end with some allusion to violence against "hippies" or "liberals" just because you are feeling frustrated. A good answer has some thought behind it. I'll take a non-response as an admission that you have no idea what you are talking about.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    45. Re:The real question... by LaskoVortex · · Score: 1

      I have to wonder about your attitude and your sig. How do you define "liberal"? How are these "liberals" hurting you to the point where you want to see them "slugged in the teeth"? You need to take a good hard look in the mirror and see if all of the frustration you feel is not self-inflicted. Maybe you have some self-loathing that you should look into. I don't know about your personal issues, but I don't wish to see anyone slugged in the teeth, liberals or conservatives alike. I'm conservative on a lot of issues. Here are some: pro gun rights, tighter immigration policies, extreme fiscal conservatism, more Federalism (i.e. states rights), etc. Do you want to see me get slugged in the teeth just because I call out ignorance when I see it, like I do in this thread in a few places? Sometimes I even call out anger and hatred at the expense of my karma. I'm doing that right now.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    46. Re:The real question... by bruceslog · · Score: 1

      You want a reason why a specific species is worth considering saving ? Ok, I got one. Mankind. If only so your children can see their children be born with just 2 arms and legs, and 10 fingers and toes, in a world they can live in and grow to watch their children grow and live and love. Hope that's enough for you. As for the rest. I assume that since you are reading this that you know about the food chain. How every little ecosystem is somehow tied into every other ecosystem. How the loss of one species or habitat affects other species and habitats. When all the whales and seals and bears and tigers are gone, and your grand-children don't even know what a zoo is, and they can only imagine a beautiful, magnificent world inhabited by such creatures, will you feel vindicated ? When all that is left in this world are safe zones and un-inhabitable zones, and a very few spots that still have decent drinking water, though not enough to bathe in, because the men before them kept on polluting the land and water and let the animals die off because they did not care. Will you feel good about this then ? Each species on the earth has a purpose. Take Bees. Most folks would love to live on without them. But right now scientists and farmers nationwide are very worried about the sudden drop and die off of bees in America. Seems that bees are necessary to pollinate the foods we eat, like corn. And when all the cows and pigs die off, and the fish are all poisoned, I reckon we'll need plenty of corn. So millions of dollars and teams of specialists are now having to be put into a huge effort to determine why the bees are all dying. So now you have mankind, and bees. Do you need more ?

      --
      If it has tires or tits, it will give you problems.
    47. Re:The real question... by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Let's get some facts straight. CFC 114 is not "used for enrichment," it is used as a coolant like any other CFC. There is no technical reason that another, less ozone toxic chemical or method could not be used.

      Irrelavent. CFC114 is used in the process, whether it is used to cool the beers of the technicians or comes in direct contact with the element. The FACT is CFC114 is used.

      Furthermore, the primary reason coolant usage is ... producing U-235 through such an outdated method.

      Again, irrelevant. Whatever the reasons, Paducah is still in operation enriching uranium leaking CFC114.

      By the way, if modern nuclear power plants could get approval to be built, there would be less need for enrichment in the first place.

      All modern pre-approved reactor designs are once through cycle, for example the Westinghouse AP-1000. Politically conditions are extremely favourable for Nuclear reactors to be built. Regulatory framework has been discarded (in the guise of the 2005 Energy act).

      However, modern designs only require an initial source of enriched material and then can be fed U-238. They accomplish this through extensive reprocessing of nuclear waste and breeding new fissionable material. The end result is an extremely efficient system (uses 99.5% of the energy in uranium as opposed to a LWR which uses 1%) that produces very little waste.

      Uses U-238 !?!?!? Are you sure you don't mean Pu-239? Because I think you are talking about a IFR - which needs significant advances in material technology to be viable. Send a link if you really mean a viable commercial reactor that can use U-238.

      Industrial emissions amount to a small percent of the total amount of CFCs released per year. the reason for the CFC emissions being so high for industrial use is that the USEC plant is very old ...In other words, stop trying to make it sounds like nuclear fuel enrichment is single-handedly causing the destruction of the ozone layer which is going to kill us all.

      Compared to what, domestic emissions? old fridges on rubbish tips? More irrelevance, the plant is in operation - no other enrichment facilities are available. CFC114, a greenhouse gas 20,000 times more potent than C02 is leaking from Paducah at 1 million pounds, thats 453,592.27 kilgrams PER YEAR since the bans began. That is 8 618 255.03 kilograms *since* CFC114 was banned. That's the equivalent of 172,365,100,000 kilograms of carbon dioxide from the enrichment process alone and does not include the 1 Gigawatt of coal fired power used to run Paducah. What part of 'Paducah is still in operation' do you not understand?

      It's always, always the same thing. Nuclear advocates can't take responsibility for the externalities of the nuclear industry, instead 'it's those greenies fault for not letting us build something else'. Build a geologically stable waste dump first and then maybe we can move on from there.

      As for the bit about the algae, there is not a lot of evidence to support your assertion.

      Well a quick google seach produced this straight away

      Overall, the production of oxygen in the oceans is at least equal to the production on land if not a bit more

      and

      Field studies indicate that photosynthesis is impaired first, followed by decreases in protein concentration and changes in pigment composition. As a result, a dramatic decrease in photosynthetic oxygen production can be measured after exposure to solar radiation

      Or of course you could just go straight to the official UN monitoring of CFC114 after Montreal Environme

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    48. Re:The real question... by sunnyflorida · · Score: 1

      "Global Warming is real. The only..." No there is one more question: Over what time period? The long term change is towards cooling. That is a fact.

    49. Re:The real question... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      Since you seem to lack the critical thinking skills necessary to comprehend what I am saying, allow me to elaborate.

      Say we have this food, lets call it Soylent. It's a miracle food, provides people with all the necessary nutrients to live healthy, productive lives. It becomes such a staple part of our lives that we cannot live without it. What do you think would happen if something like the banana problem occurred in Soylent? And don't say we'd just go back to the way it used to be before Soylent, because in this fictional universe, everyone felt exactly like you about biodiversity, so we didn't bother keeping anything else around. We destroyed everything in order to grow more Soylent.

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
    50. Re:The real question... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      You are the one lacking the critical thinking skills. However, your slipery slope skills are fully charged. If you knew how I felt about biodiversity then you would not say what you did, so don't pretend that you do.

      There is a difference between watching a thousand species out of tens of millions go extinct and watching 1 out of 2 go extinct.
      Your slipery slope arguement only applies to conditions near the later, not the former. We are at the former, where a critical thinker would actualy be.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    51. Re:The real question... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      If you knew how I felt about biodiversity then you would not say what you did

      I can only know about you what you say on here, and it certainly sounded to me like you felt biodiversity was unimportant.

      There is a difference between watching a thousand species out of tens of millions go extinct and watching 1 out of 2 go extinct.

      When those "thousands of species" all share some common ground (they're all amphibians/pollinators/insectivores/etc) and are a sizable chunk of the total # of different species that share that common ground, no, there is no difference.

      Now don't get me wrong, regardless of what we do, the planet can and most likely will bounce back. The planet has had catastrophic extinctions in the past, and it has recovered. The question though, is will we bounce back with it?

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
    52. Re:The real question... by Rockoon · · Score: 1

      I can only know about you what you say on here, and it certainly sounded to me like you felt biodiversity was unimportant.

      Yet I didnt say that it was...

      I ask you, what is the practical difference between Extinct and Almost Extinct aside from the emotional horror that a species might be "lost forever?" Is it really reasonable to do anything more than zoo captivity in order to satisfy those emotions?

      The slippery slope goes both ways. The calls for biodiversity is the same as the "for the children" justification used in other walks of life. Its meant to invoke an emotional response for lack of a persuasive reasoned arguement.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    53. Re:The real question... by Golddess · · Score: 1

      stranger_to_himself: Biodiversity is very important.
      You: Why? Feel free to justify your opinion with evidence.

      Now it could just be that you like a good debate, playing devil's advocate, or what have you, but when you simply leave it at that, it is not unwarranted to believe that you feel biodiversity to not be important.

      Now I too may have misrepresented myself. Please don't think that I care if a species is "lost forever," it was never my intent to imply that I was arguing from the emotional viewpoint of "all creatures are cute and must be protected forever and never ever ever change." All that I'm discussing is the underlying ecosystem.

      Ecosystems are in a balance, some more precarious than others. The problem is, we do not truly understand how these extinctions will end up effecting things. It could be that all those amphibians did not have enough of an impact on their ecosystem for it to be noticed when they go missing. Or the situation could end up becoming analogous to rabbits in Australia. But again, we do not know.

      Now I'm also not saying that we need to completely rid ourselves of industrial expansion, simply that we should not ignore such events if we expect to continue to progress as a species.

      --
      "I'm not sure I like the fugnutish tone you used in your post!" -RogL (608926)-
  2. Bullshit! by QuantumG · · Score: 2, Informative

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PufNFWo9mm0

    The endangered species act is a national disgrace.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
    1. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      99.999% of all the species that have ever existed are extinct!!!

      IT IS NATURAL FOR PLANTS AND ANIMALS TO GO EXTINCT!
       

    2. Re:Bullshit! by Bishop+Rook · · Score: 1

      You're right. We should just reclassify humanity as an extinction event, like a giant meteor impact, beyond our control!, and move on with our lives.

      Oh, right. That whole 'food chain' thing that we're at the top of. What's that old saying about chains and weakest links?

    3. Re:Bullshit! by BPPG · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It is perfectly natural for plants and animals to go extinct.

      But there ought to be cause for concern when so many are about to go extinct at once. Whether or not it's a natural disaster or a human-caused disaster can be debated until the cows come home, but the planet is changing right now, causing irreparable damage.

      --
      What's the value of information that you don't know?
    4. Re:Bullshit! by narcberry · · Score: 0, Troll

      My diet rarely consists of spotted owl. Do they crap a cure for cancer?

      --
      Modding me -1 troll doesn't make me wrong.
    5. Re:Bullshit! by GodKingAmit · · Score: 2, Insightful

      You are aware that the interactions between living organisms are far more complex than "I don't eat it, therefore it doesn't matter", right?

    6. Re:Bullshit! by philspear · · Score: 1

      My diet rarely consists of spotted owl. Do they crap a cure for cancer?

      That type of reasoning sounds really stupid when you consider it from the other side. For example:

      "Most of the paper I use doesn't come from the US. Do loggers do anything that makes them more sympathetic to me than spotted owls?"

    7. Re:Bullshit! by Kingleon · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Although I greatly enjoy Penn and Teller's views on a variety of subjects, particularly civil liberties, many of their more science-centered episodes rely on rampant misinformation. As a paleontology graduate student trained in both mass extinctions and the geology of climate change, I find the responses on Slashdot disturbing. The current biodiversity crisis and the anthropogenic impact on climate are as true as the theory of evolution. For a website where I regularly see creationist science regularly and rightfully dismissed, I am confused how you have allowed yourselves to otherwise ignore modern science. The question of whether it is prudent to stop the current biodiversity crisis, i.e. the extreme increase in extinction rates across all taxa, is another matter. No biologist today can easily say what impact the loss of any one species will have: likely none per case, but potentially a great deal. Our society depends on working ecosystems. Go read about current fishery crises if you are otherwise confused on that matter, or on the incredibly scary "source/sink" dynamics of population ecology. The fact of the matter is that we don't know enough what removing so many "insignificant" taxa will have on the ecosystem. Are you aware of the great diversity of animals that live below your own feet, in the soil below you? What if they were lost? At this point it is likely too late to stop the "sixth mass extinction" entirely, but we have time to make the impact less. With no data on the possible outcome, but the potential for enormous risk, it seems imprudent to not take action. Preserving species also means preserving their ranges, because taxa with small ranges are much more likely to go extinct (see anything by Dave Jablonski). Ranges also shift greatly during climate change. When I saw that episode of Penn and Teller several years ago, I was sad for the girl in the wheelchair, but that plot of land in Florida might actually mean the difference between that bird going extinct or not. Crazy, but, yeah, true. Penn and Teller in that episode, if I remember rightly, offer to kill every chimp on earth to save an AIDS-infected junkie. A polarizing statement but : can anyone really say the research value of the global chimp population is really that low? Thankfully, we don't have to kill a junkie to save chimps. In fact, we don't have to kill anyone to save any animals. We just have to make our lives slightly less pleasant and be willing to say some things are hands off. Amazing, huh? Then we avoid the otherwise unpredictable effects. (TFA is remarkable for being able to put hard numbers to our fears, saying how many taxa of a particular group are in danger.)

    8. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Guess who is at the top of the food chain? Zombies! Next time there is a zombie virus outbreak, it might be a good idea to join them.

    9. Re:Bullshit! by LaskoVortex · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You are dead on, but the human race can't really see past its nose as a whole, especially when things are going well--and if you have time to type drivel on /., things are going well.

      I'd be amazed if any of the self professed "conservatives" who spew ignorance and misinformation in this thread realize the extent and long-reaching consequences of something even as concrete as the current credit crisis--and this hits them (and me) right in the pocket book.

      But take comfort in the fact that humans will eventually suffer the same fate as the rest of Earth's creatures, opening the door for a biological rebound in 50 million years that brings with it a whole plethora of cool new critters.

      --
      Just callin' it like I see it.
    10. Re:Bullshit! by Nodamnnicknamesavial · · Score: 0

      "but the planet is changing right now, causing irreparable damage."

      More like irreversible change. There is a difference, however subtle.

      --
      I have spoken'eth.
    11. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "It is perfectly natural for plants and animals to go extinct."

      You're absolutely right, but who's to say that extinction isn't necessary? We risk the lives of firefighters to put out forest fires during the dry season to protect home and people. However, forest fires are (in part) responsible for driving evolution in the forest. It gives new species a chance to show what they've got.

      The world ecosystem is comparable to that of the forest. With all these species going extinct 'because of humans', who's to say that we're not the forest fire this planet needs to produce the next intelligent species?

      If extinction has been going on forever, surely it has been because one species has extincted another. Humans are no different than any other species that has existed. We just let these 'morals' and 'conscience' get in the way. Who came up with those, anyway?

    12. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      We produce megatonnes of material toxic to all known organic life every hour of every day. Irreprable damage is being caused by this, as is evident by the massive increase in endangered and exterminated species. Once lost, it will never be regained. There is no remedy for these damages.

    13. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The current biodiversity crisis and the anthropogenic impact on climate are as true as the theory of evolution.

      So you're saying that it, too, is a theory?

    14. Re:Bullshit! by _merlin · · Score: 5, Insightful

      For a website where I regularly see creationist science regularly and rightfully dismissed, I am confused how you have allowed yourselves to otherwise ignore modern science.

      Simple: people here dismiss anything that makes them feel uncomfortable: the idea that there may be an omnipotent, omniscient God makes them uncomfortable, so they dismiss anything that relies on that idea (creationism, afterlife, absolute morality, etc.); likewise, the idea that a materialistic, consumerist lifestyle may be destroying the planet makes them feel uncomfortable, so they dismiss anything that relies on that idea (global warming caused by pollution, USA being the world's worst polluter, importance of biodiversity, etc).

    15. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Whether or not you're "a paleontology graduate student trained in both mass extinctions and the geology of climate change", you're making general vague statements, and not showing any data. And why are you "trained" and not "studying"? Are there any physics graduates here "trained" in quantum chromodynamics? What sort of person precedes a giant block of text, which has no data and lots of appeals to guilt, with his credentials?

      Posts like yours smell fake to me.

      Signed,
      Anonymous Coward trained in jujitsu.

    16. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      fact: the excessive evolution pressure posed to human to the biodiversity of wheat caused a rise in the Coeliac disease. Now, keep hiding your head under the sand but this doesn't change that protecting the ecosystem we live _in_ should be our *top* priority.

      like not shitting in your car

    17. Re:Bullshit! by flows · · Score: 1

      Just don't come blowing up in the AH again please.

    18. Re:Bullshit! by Lifyre · · Score: 3

      While they bring up some interesting points Penn and Teller are perhaps not the best people to consult for you science needs. They bring up some interesting points, such as the former Greenpeace guy, but due diligence isn't their thing. Their big theme also isn't whether or not we're causing a mass extinction event but that the ESA is a bad thing. This falls right in line with their political views of small government, nothing to see here move along.

      There is no question we are directly and rapidly effecting the existence of species. There is significantly more hard proof for this than there is for global warming, the other big environmental monster under the bed. There is at least some chance that the loss of species is contributing to global warming, at least working on the theory that more diversity is better able to adjust and adapt a changing environment.

      -Lifyre

      --
      I'll meet you at the intersection of "Should be" and "Reality"
    19. Re:Bullshit! by dasunt · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Considering we've had temperature shifts in the recent geological past without losing the majority of species, I suspect that habitat loss and not global warming is the main drive behind the amount of endangered species and the drop in populations.

      Its not rocket science. Reduce the range of a species and the population through human interaction, and any change to the environment -- dry seasons, cold winter, flooding, epidemics, pollution, etc, and there's a better chance of wiping out the remaining survivors.

    20. Re:Bullshit! by Cheesy+Fool · · Score: 1

      You can be less materialistic and still not think there is a God. Also, your arguments could easily be reversed (putting you in the uncomfortable category as well), especially the God one.

      --

      Hail to the king, baby!
    21. Re:Bullshit! by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Actually, it is not a disgrace. It is how it is being used that is a disgrace.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    22. Re:Bullshit! by hey! · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well, that's a classic example of missing the point.

      What is a species after all? Depending on how you define it you can manipulate the numbers. A species by itself isn't very important.

      What is going on is a loss of genetic information in the natural world. Does it matter? Depends on your timeframe. Over the long term, of course it doesn't matter, where the long term is on the million year scale. Over the short term, say the next thousand years, it will matter a great deal.

      Why does diversity matter?

      You don't get an efficient, flexible ecosystem by stocking it with aggressive, weedy species. Even if the individual species is flexible, the system becomes less flexible. The net genetic information in a place represents the ability of the system to adapt. I remember a study described in Science News a few years back that showed diverse patches of prairie adapted more efficiently to annual variations in temperature and rainfall than less diverse patches.

      Diversity is information and information is wealth. It's just wealth we take for granted, and therefore we don't bother to count it. It therefore doesn't show up on corporate balance sheets and GDP calculations, but that doesn't mean it isn't wealth.

      We could dam the Merced and turn Yosemite into a reservoir; we could turn the Grand Canyon into an endless trash pit for the refuse of the nation. These moves would probably give us a net gain in GDP, because the kind of wealth these places represent is not tracked by standard accounting.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    23. Re:Bullshit! by BananaPeel · · Score: 2

      More likely the main factor in species loss, may be global pandemics affecting different species. The reason we see so many species affected is because there is so much more scope for biological contamination nowadays due to the huge amount of stuff that is shipped around to every corner of the world. Very few places are isolated anymore.
      Think of all the exotic garden plants (+ their soil) that are shipped about all the time. This proabably has a far larger impact on environment than global warming currently does.

    24. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So are you, faggot.

    25. Re:Bullshit! by brian0918 · · Score: 1

      The planet has no inherent value apart from the value that we assign to it. The Earth, to be of value, must be exploited.

      Please do not lump together those who take the above view with those who believe they are acting rationally when they wastefully exploit the planet.

    26. Re:Bullshit! by bestiarosa · · Score: 1

      I find the responses on Slashdot disturbing.

      As an averagely informed and thinking person, I share your feeling and I am day by day more worried about the deterioration of our planet's biodiversity.

      --
      :(){ :|:& };:
    27. Re:Bullshit! by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      "... current biodiversity crisis and the anthropogenic impact on climate are as true as the theory of evolution."

      That is only a portionally true statement. We don't know the extent of anthro impact.

      An aside. Your writing style undoubtedly made many skip your post. Learn paragraphing, it improves your readership.

      You fall into the same emotional appeal PnT do. Yes, species restricted to small ranges are more likely to go extinct. That goes with the definition as ranges change constantly. A caldera eruption will likely exterminate thousands of species. No problem. A subdivision will likely exterminate one species. A problem. Why? Simply because academia has decided humans are bad, no more.

    28. Re:Bullshit! by BPPG · · Score: 1

      When I talk about cause for concern, I don't mean 'aww, look at the poor animals being crushed by the wave', I mean '... there's a fucking wave coming!'.

      As we don't know where Evolution plans on taking life, then we're a bit above our selves to think that only XY number of species are "allowed" to become extinct at any such point in time. I'm sure the dinosaurs are strongly arguing for you too.

      That's not what I mean at all. When we are rational thinking humans, we should have the ability to recognize when something unhealthy is happening. When this planet becomes unlivable, then everyone's descendants will have to spend much more energy and resources than we do to stay alive. This is a practical issue, not a moral one. I'm not just talking about global warming; I'm talking about poison that is caused by humans as well poison that we're not directly responsible for.

      Life keeps cropping up on this planet and has done for .. well a fair while now! The fact that even if there was a nuclear holocaust cockroaches would survive shows that a bit of extra heat/cold isn't going to stop our planet from fulfilling any purpose is has (if any). So even in the far flung chance where all life dies off, then our planet will be just like every other planet in the Universe. "oh but lifes so special we need to.." shut up you self righteous fool.

      Based on definition; a planet's 'purpose' is to be a planet. Life's purpose is to be/stay alive and/or continue life. Don't talk about 'purpose' and then call me a self-righteous fool. Fuck you and your moral double-standards when noone is talking about morals, and actually use those critical faculties instead of just automatically go into rage-mode. It would actually make for a much more interesting debate.

      --
      What's the value of information that you don't know?
    29. Re:Bullshit! by Goaway · · Score: 1

      For a website where I regularly see creationist science regularly and rightfully dismissed, I am confused how you have allowed yourselves to otherwise ignore modern science.

      I suspect it's because the disdain for creationism isn't, for most people, actually an issue of rationalism. People dress it up as that, but it really just serves the purpose of elevating yourself above others. Creationists are just an easy target. All you need to do is parrot things you read on the internet.

      Now, Slashdot has large population of libertarians, and libertarians have ideological issues that makes it hard for them to accept global warming. Therefore, they are taught to question it, and are fed material to parrot to reinforce this belief.

      In neither case is there much personal reflection going on. People will vehemently claim otherwise, but that's just how the belief is packaged: Believe this and this, and believe it because you are smarter than the others.

      Personally, I'm an atheist, but the kind of close-mindedness and unthinking hatred you see among other atheists, especially on the internet, can be pretty disheartening.

    30. Re:Bullshit! by serano · · Score: 1

      people here dismiss anything that makes them feel uncomfortable: the idea that there may be an omnipotent, omniscient God makes them uncomfortable, so they dismiss anything that relies on that idea

      I agree in principle that people tend to not believe things that make them uncomfortable, but you have it backwards. I think people believe in god because they are uncomfortable standing up to peer pressure. Not believing in god means going against what everyone else insists is true, and that is a much less comfortable route.

    31. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of enviros actually believe that we need to reduce global human population. Check out the ch

    32. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wow, an actual, honest, nihilist. I've never met one your kind before...

      Viva Nietzche!! ;-)

    33. Re:Bullshit! by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Nice Post. But

      Next
      Time
      Try a
      Carriage Return

      Or two.

      (My brain can't handle really long paragraphs anymore).

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    34. Re:Bullshit! by bogjobber · · Score: 1

      Well-put. I am generally a fan of P&T's Bullshit but they really screw up what should be an easy criticism of the Endangered Species Act. The problem with the ESA isn't that there is no need to protect endangered species, it's that the act is a really shitty, outdated, and ineffective bill that is fundamentally flawed.

      Basically, the ESA has a bunch of provisions for telling you what you *can't* do regarding endangered species, with an emphasis on habitat control. But they have relatively few provisions for actually increasing an endangered population. What it does is sort of half-assedly manage the status quo. It only works for populations that are fundamentally healthy and just need humans to leave them alone for a couple years.

      It contains no way to legally define different priorities of endangered species (should the bald eagle and the pupfish really be treated the same?). They give no incentive for rural landowners to help protect the species. It's a complete bureaucratic mess that is often passed off to landowners and developers. Most farmers/ranchers that see an endangered species would rather kill it and bury it than report it to the government, because of all the additional risk and potential cost involved with obeying the law.

      For an example of a protection act that actually works (although the situation is much less complicated) look at the Marine Mammal Protection Act. Simple, clear, and effective.

    35. Re:Bullshit! by _merlin · · Score: 1

      I agree in principle that people tend to not believe things that make them uncomfortable, but you have it backwards. I think people believe in god because they are uncomfortable standing up to peer pressure.

      You're creating a false duality. It's entirely possible that some people don't believe in a God because the idea makes them uncomfortable, while others do believe in a God because the idea of no God makes them uncomfortable.

      Not believing in god means going against what everyone else insists is true, and that is a much less comfortable route.

      Depends on a lot of things. If you're in a church that would be the case. But even if everyone else is saying that there is a God, the idea that there is an absolute being still may make you uncomfortable.

    36. Re:Bullshit! by _merlin · · Score: 1

      What? I didn't link the two things at all. I simply said that the thought process that causes people here to dismiss the idea of creationism is the same one that causes them to reject TFA in this case.

    37. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That didn't make since. In my experience, the people who have carefully considered the existence of god, and decided it unlikely are the same people who carefully consider both sides to every argument, including global warming, pollution, failing biodiversity, before making a decision.

      What are you, anyways? Some kind of creationist/environmentalist? I thought the Christian view was that worshiping nature was paganism, and punishable by an eternity in hell.

    38. Re:Bullshit! by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1
      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    39. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It hasn't been for years.

      PRC pollutes more in absolute terms, countries like Kuwait, Bahrein, Trinidad & Tobago pollute more per capita.

    40. Re:Bullshit! by Gat0r30y · · Score: 1

      This already happened - we have already done enough to justify a whole new Epoch according to some- and even better we get to name it after ourselves. There is even a good chance that this will be accepted.

      --
      Prediction: The real iPhone killer is going to be sex robots from Japan. Think about it.
    41. Re:Bullshit! by Gat0r30y · · Score: 1

      This planet belongs to the bacteria and it always has. We really don't stand a good chance of taking them down no matter what sorta stupid stuff we come up with.

      --
      Prediction: The real iPhone killer is going to be sex robots from Japan. Think about it.
    42. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is simple. Many of us are uncomfortable at the arrogance from all of you that keep preaching, "the sky is falling", or "the end is nigh!"

      The short term temperature record shows change of less than one degree Celsius. The long term temperature record (which we didn't have anything to do with) shows much greater change than that. As someone with a degree in both computer science and applied mathematics, I can tell you with strong certainty that the climate models which predict the future are bullshit much less certain.

      I expect more clever rhetoric from your camp though...

    43. Re:Bullshit! by Dasher42 · · Score: 1

      I don't think there are many non-catastrophic ways to alter the environment as much as humanity has. Arguments based on "We've seen this in nature before" usually miss a significant point: there's never been anything like the industrial revolution before. Nothing. We've dug and pumped a sizable fraction of all the sequestered CO2 from hundreds of millions of years and put it into the atmosphere in less than two centuries, and we're not stopping. Then there's nitrogen trifluoride and things of our making that are new to this whole system. Next up, positive feedback loops from methane hydrates and other greenhouse gasses. We haven't even addressed the growth of the problem yet, let alone the acceleration of these trends. Volcanos, on the other hand, expel their gasses and ash and are done.

      Yes, nature will correct for it, eventually. There's no telling how soon or what survives.

    44. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or you know, there is more than one person posting...

      For a website where I regularly see creationist science regularly and rightfully dismissed, I am confused how you have allowed yourselves to otherwise ignore modern science.

      Simple: people here dismiss anything that makes them feel uncomfortable: the idea that there may be an omnipotent, omniscient God makes them uncomfortable, so they dismiss anything that relies on that idea (creationism, afterlife, absolute morality, etc.); likewise, the idea that a materialistic, consumerist lifestyle may be destroying the planet makes them feel uncomfortable, so they dismiss anything that relies on that idea (global warming caused by pollution, USA being the world's worst polluter, importance of biodiversity, etc).

    45. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except that creationism can be dismissed based on facts, while climate change is dismissed based on belief.

    46. Re:Bullshit! by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      It's not natural for them to go extinct when they are extinguished by unnatural means. Same goes to all those idiots saying that global warming is a natural phenomenon -- that still doesn't mean our lack of environmental consideration isn't a big mistake.

    47. Re:Bullshit! by BananaPeel · · Score: 1

      Gas/oil prone sediments are buried to a depth where they cook and release Oil and Gas. The volumes created are huge, only a tiny fraction of that becomes trapped under the earth in what we would call oil/gas deposits. A large proportion of the remainder simply vents to the atmosphere through faults. Major seismic events, mountain building etc may release big volumes and may be one mechanisem for paleowarming (the big warming events we have seen in the past).

      On another note the palegeological maps which you can get for windworld give a nice view on how much the world has changed since most of these oil/gas prone rocks where deposited

    48. Re:Bullshit! by bussdriver · · Score: 1

      There is a HUGE portion of the population that has character disorders where they shift blame away from themselves not just by default but as a life long coping mechanism. These people will most likely always remain this way and most will not even become that aware. Some say the emotion of shame is worse than fear; this could be why this coping mechanism is so common.?

      Most of these people will strongly oppose the truth and when they can no longer defend their position (which requires going beyond reasonable) they will rationalize themselves an excuse. Many reasons as to why, but I simply think that these self lies are just the path of least resistance as opposed to facing a life long state of character.

      Society ills such as global warming or over population are difficult for a person to dodge responsibility which makes defense more difficult and so I think promotes a strong offensive to remove the whole criticism.

      This stuff is more visible during elections; and will give John "Maverick" more votes than he deserves today.

      Clearly one can not get in into deep and fuzzy topics such as this without leaving out details or satisfying hard science types in a comment post.

    49. Re:Bullshit! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The answer to your question is simple. To believe.... Strike that, belief has nothing to do with it. To understand and accept evolution requires little to no personal sacrifice. To acknowledge or understand global warming and environmental destruction you also have to embrace the idea that it is man-made and will require a change in human activity to control or reverse. The implication is that our lifestyle will have to change and that affects people personally.

      Give up my SUV? Downsize my house?! Give up my consumer lifestyle and quit my dependence on cheap Chinese goods?! You have got to be kidding. Better just to ignore it and let the next generation worry about it.

      Sad, but true. What's that old saying about a frog and boiling water? Throw a frog in a pot of boiling water and he will jump out or die trying. Put him in cool water and slowly raise the temp til it boils and the frog will just sit there and be boiled alive. We are those frogs.

    50. Re:Bullshit! by Nodamnnicknamesavial · · Score: 0

      This story is about the "global warming" though, which is supposedly caused by CO2, which is definitely NOT toxic.

      --
      I have spoken'eth.
  3. mmmm... mammals... by Maxhrk · · Score: 0, Interesting

    I happen to notice that Human is also in category of mammals. Does that mean we are the endangered specie now? ...

    1. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you even have to ask, you really are clueless.

      We've been killing ourselves since the industrial revolution.

    2. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      True, we all went along fine before that... o_O

    3. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Patrik_AKA_RedX · · Score: 5, Funny

      Great, now we can't eat humans anymore?

    4. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you even have to ask, you really are clueless.

      We've been killing ourselves since the industrial revolution.

      Good point. The population of the world when the industrial revolution began was about 1 billion. Surely it must be lower now considering how we've been killing ourselves!

    5. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      We've been killing ourselves since the industrial revolution.

      True, we all went along fine before that... o_O

      Well, before then, we were just killing each other. That's different.

    6. Re:mmmm... mammals... by Wakk013 · · Score: 1

      Soylent Green is ... aww.. never mind.

    7. Re:mmmm... mammals... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      Well, before then, we were just killing each other.

      You take that back! My ancestors didn't spend millennia driving megafauna to extinction so you could claim that they were merely homicidal. Give them the credit that any race of bloodthirsty psychotic apes deserves.

  4. Has someone told phelps? by CavemanKiwi · · Score: 4, Funny

    Has someone told phelps? Has to be said. :)

  5. *squish* Just like grape. by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The rule for species survival is simple: adapt or die. There are historical events of much greater scale and effect than this global climate change will be. If a species can't adapt, then it will die out. A species that can't adapt to a minor change in environment was probably doomed to extinction anyways regardless of Man's contribution to global climate change.

    Nature rule, Danial-san.

    --
    The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    1. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Comments like yours are silly. At the end of the day we must still live on Earth. And we still want to maintain our living standards.

      Changes like this may mean that this is no longer possible. What shall we do, just let huge populations of people die?

      We have to do something.

    2. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Cassius+Corodes · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While it may seem fine and dandy to say that - if enough of the ecosystem is wiped out then it will make life much more difficult for us. Remember that when one species dies out its not just it that is effected, other species in the ecosystem that rely on it for their niches are also destroyed, and when enough go it creates a chain reaction that takes out quite a lot. If we are not careful we can make life very bad for us, and could even render earth uninhabitable.

      --
      Control is an illusion, order our comforting lie. From chaos, through chaos, into chaos we fly
    3. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by hldn · · Score: 2

      shit happens, species die, humans included.

      life goes on ;)

      --
      http://www.accountkiller.com/removal-requested
    4. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by KeensMustard · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The rule for species survival is simple: adapt or die.

      Yep - simple rule, and it applies to us as well. And compared to other species, our adaptation is simple and very easy. Yet we don't seem to be able to accept the necessity, let alone commence the process. Does our own apparent inability to adapt mean that our extinction should be treated with the aplomb with which you dismiss the amphibians, the coral reefs, the oceanic plankton?

      There are historical events of much greater scale and effect than this global climate change will be.

      Probably not. This extinction event is shaping up to be unprecedented. I'm wondering actually how you arguments will fit with the conversations we will have with our kids about all those animals in kids books that we killed off. I suppose we could burn all our copies of Finding Nemo.

      A species that can't adapt to a minor change in environment was probably doomed to extinction anyways regardless of Man's contribution to global climate change.

      I guess in the same way, it doesn't matter if I run over an old man in the street, because I couldn't be bothered steering. He would have died anyway, right?

    5. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by BPPG · · Score: 4, Interesting

      This isn't about feeling sorry for the animals. Every field of science, from biochemistry to aerodynamics has benefited and can continue to benefit from studying animal and plant life. Amphibians are a particularly interesting family that has contributed a lot to science.

      --
      What's the value of information that you don't know?
    6. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Valdrax · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Funny, why is Man exempt from that rule, when it's our inability to overcome basic human nature that's lead to this situation?

      Sooner or later, we have to adapt or die.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    7. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by dancingmad · · Score: 5, Informative

      Since there are already many comments already posted I doubt this will get read and I suspect the OP is a troll, but this is really an unpalatable level of ignorance.

      Amphibians aren't a "species," they're an entire class of interesting, ecologically important animals. Their continued existence is in our best interest for a number of reasons;

      First, amphibians tend to be important bell weather species in their habitats. Since they take in water in the first part of their life cycles, they are important barometers of the amount of pollution in an environment.

      Second they are ecologically important. As predators we depend on them to keep the number of insects down. In a world without amphibians I suspect insect borne human disease will become more rampant. They also are important food sources for larger animals.

      Third, it is not a issue of "adaptation." Most scientists seem to agree the biggest threat facing amphibians is pollution (again because part of their life cycle is spent completely in water and even after that their skin is porous). While factors like global warming, UV radiation, etc. are no doubt important, the trend seems to be pollution being a major factor.

      A note to my third point - you are almost as bad as Creationist "scientists." You say amphibians should "evolve," but you fundamentally don't understand how evolution works. It takes time for a species to do so and moreover, it has to respond to environmental conditions (changes in the environment, in predators or prey), not to pollution.

      Fourth, amphibians are hugely important in human science. The chemicals they produce, the aspects of embryonic life they can teach us, and the clues they might give us to the move that fish made onto land is of large scientific importance. Not to mention the fact that a number of problems now affecting amphibians is sure to (if it hasn't already - it would seem harder to gauge with completely aquatic life than it would with amphibians) be a problem for fish and other scientifically and commercially important wildlife.

      --
      "There is no time, sir, at which ties do not matter," Jeeves, (Jeeves and the Impending Doom)
    8. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by jandersen · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The rule for species survival is simple: adapt or die. There are historical events of much greater scale and effect than this global climate change will be.

      The idiocy of this statement is beyond belief. Oh yes, it is very natural that species die out, just like it is natural for people to die when they get a nuclear missile in the head. That doesn't exonerate us from being the main if not the only cause for the current mass extinction. Amphibians have been around far longer than both mammals and reptiles - they have lived through several mass extinctions already, so they are clearly able to adapt. Which means that when they can't in the present situation, there may be cause for concern.

      And your idea that historical events can be more significant than climate change and the collapse of the ecosystem reveals a staggering lack of insight. Do you think that humanity isn't part of nature, somehow? That we can breathe without air and eat without food? Ecosystems are intimately connected, and when crucial parts disappear, they collapse. And then we lose out too.

      The sad truth is that we humans throughout our existence have have had a major, negative impact on nature. Just compare the diversity of species in areas where no humans live, with what we find in cultivated fields. Or look at what happend in the fall-out zone around Chernobyl: People evacuated, and suddenly the bio-diversity shoots up dramatically; there's even wild boars there now - and that is in an area with high levels of radioactive pollution.

      To sum it up: we are fishing the seas dry, we are shaving the rainforests away, we pollute and waste resources like there is no tomorrow - and I suppose there isn't likely to be one either, the way we go about things - and one day we won't be able to do it any more; I wonder how muc comfort people like you will find in your words about "adapt or die". Right now there is enough food to feed everybody, but that depends on being able to maintain the current levels of fishing, and the current intensity of agriculture - which in turn depends on massive amountds of synthetic fertiliser, insecticides, growth regulators, herbicides etc. Which in turn depends on our access to cheap energy.

      We can choose one of the following: we can continue as usual, steadily increasing our numbers and our use of resources. When they run out, we will probably be living in a world where there are little other than our unsustainable, energy intensive agriculture; few fish in the seas, few animals on land, no natural forests etc. But lots of people, who are now facing starvation. Or we can change our ways, preserve nature, stop wasting resources on stupid crap, reverse population growth etc; and maybe we won't end up in quite as grim a situation.

    9. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Much greater scale? Doubt it, greater? Probably. Often? Probably not.

      But would any other species in the same scenario care? Probably not. But I'd say we keep things as they are because we want to.

    10. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by fmoliveira · · Score: 0, Troll

      There is no other solution or possible future than some sort of population control or letting huge populations of people die. It may suck, but it is inevitable. So, just relax and let it be.

    11. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by _merlin · · Score: 1

      It takes time for a species to do so and moreover, it has to respond to environmental conditions (changes in the environment, in predators or prey), not to pollution.

      Sorry, but that just begs for a response: pollution is a change environmental conditions. New chemicals (aka "pollutants") are introduced to the environment, and this affects the biology living there. This is no different to the change in the environment caused by, say, a new volcano forming (a lot more sulphur, porous rocks forming, etc).

      Just to play devil's advocate for a moment, shouldn't an evolutionist be less worried about climate change and pollution than a creationist? Life evolves to a changing environment. Sure, the may be a mass extinction, as there was when the dinosaurs were all wiped out (by a meteorite, or whatever), but in the end, life will go on. Why should we worry? We're just another link in the evolutionary chain (or possibly an evolutionary dead end, even). On the other hand, it should be worrying for a creationist, as animals and plants were created as they are and what we have will slowly be lost as we destroy its environment. For a creationist, things can only get worse. It sometimes makes me wonder whether people really believe in evolution at all.

    12. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      life goes on

      unless it doesn't. :)

    13. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Er, *death* is an important component of evolution.

      A host absorbs environmental information and passes it on to the next iteration via genetics and other susbystems.

      Some environmental changes may too extreme for a species to survive through themselves, never mind pass on survival tools to the next iteration. In this case, the species dies with the parent.

      Some members of a species may possess tools to survive through the environmental event (possibly through a new mutation or because their ancestors had survived a similar event while ancestors of their peers didn't): these members of the species shall survive while their peers perish. This, as I understand it, is the standard way of looking at evolution.

      It's not like an animal can choose to develop a new ability (adaptaton)! Just to make sure you understand - "evolution" is essentially the opposite of what's really happening: it describes the (mostly) lucky changes that allowed a particular variety of the species to survive.

      "Adapt or die" is an uninformed suggestion: the ones that don't die are deemed to have adapted.

    14. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by jcuervo · · Score: 1

      Changes like this may mean that this is no longer possible. What shall we do, just let huge populations of people die?

      Yes.

      --
      Assume I was drunk when I posted this.
    15. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by jcuervo · · Score: 1

      Much greater scale? Doubt it, greater? Probably. Often? Probably not.

      But would any other species in the same scenario care? Probably not. But I'd say we keep things as they are because we want to.

      ...You just had an entire conversation with yourself. :)

      --
      Assume I was drunk when I posted this.
    16. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by aliquis · · Score: 1

      On Slashdot that's preferable :D

    17. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by conureman · · Score: 1

      I guess when the frogs are gone the hungry Egrets will adapt or die. I feel sorry for me, that's about the only fun thing to look at around here.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    18. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because we aren't a part of nature; we're completely seperate. Trees should change the environment, not humans. You're retarded. We are part of nature. What we do is natural. God didn't make us magically special.

    19. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Terwin · · Score: 1

      Question: if almost every niche environment is already filled with a specialized organism, where is there room for any significant increase in diversity?

      On the other hand, if you have an extinction event, then you have an abundance of openings for the surviving species to move into.

      Looking back, it seems to me that there is a lot of 'punctuated equilibrium' type activity going on, and the times where you have a lot of growth is right after the most specialized critters went extinct because they gave up their broader adaptability/survivability for an edge to let them survive in the immediate future.

      Seems to me that the more extinction events we have, the more the adaptive creatures will be favored over the specialized, and the more generally adaptive creatures there will be around.

      Adaptability is what allows species to thrive in the long run, and extinction events are just one of the more obvious ways that this is reinforced.

    20. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 1

      Of course that's true. But it's still a *might*. Millions of species have gone extinct. Hundreds more go extinct every year. About a dozen every day is the rate I've heard repeated. I believe over 98% of all species that have ever existed are extinct. Extinction is a natural process and is, in and of itself, is not a bad thing. Very few animals have a single class of animals as predators or prey. Very few animals are alone in their particular habitats.

      Unless you have proof that these species *will* cause significant effects on a given environment, it remains a "might". The same way that a meteor "might" strike the Earth and destroy all habitats, or aliens "might" come and give us the gift of interstellar space travel. Might is just might. Show me proof that these species in this class will affect humanity. Don't spread FUD. *Show* it. Why should I care about these species any more than I care about the dozen that went extinct today? Or the dozen from yesterday? Or the dozen before that? I'm 30 years old. Over 125,000 species have gone extinct in my lifetime alone. Show me proof that any one of those is going to cause catastrophic effects. I still have food, clean water, shelter, and energy. Would one of these animals improve or deter that situation? Maybe. Maybe not. Arguing from ignorance doesn't convince me that a process which already happens on a massive scale on a daily basis is cause for immediate concern.

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    21. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Bacon+Bits · · Score: 1

      Of course it applies to us as well. The point is, it's merely FUD until you can show that anything significant *will* happen. A lot of animals are extinct, and we seem to have adapted to their absence alright. Might it be catastrophic? Yes. Let me know when you have evidence.

      This extinction event is shaping up to be unprecedented.

      The only thing unprecedented about is that I'm aware of is the fact that there is significant evidence that humanity contributed to it. While there have been arguments that "the observed rate of extinction is increasing," I'm not convinced that that has to do with a problem in the wild or merely a change in our observation methods. It's estimated that three quarters of known species were eliminated 65 million years ago. Show me that the Holocene event is going to be that bad and that it will affect humanity. Don't argue from ignorance or fearmonger. Show me.

      --
      The road to tyranny has always been paved with claims of necessity.
    22. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      I disagree with the entirety of your argument.

      Mankind is a natural extension of Earth's biosphere. Whether you believe we spontaneously gained intelligence, or it was given to us by a divine spirit, we are the future of this planet, and its pinnacle achievement to this point.

      Honestly, you sound like you're guilty for being alive. Every time you eat a meal, something must die so that you may live. We are a integral part of this planet, and that includes our minds. We should take care of what we have, but the idea that we should stop enjoying life or stop having children is nonsense.

      Certainly, man can destroy the beauty that is nature. That would be a tragedy. But we are NOT destroying it now - we are using it. There is absolutely nothing immoral about using resources at your disposal.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    23. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by bcwright · · Score: 1

      Question: if almost every niche environment is already filled with a specialized organism

      What makes you think that? Just because you can't think of more niches, therefore they can't exist?

      It's more of a question of what niches are most accessible (that is, within the genetic and geographic spaces of existing species) than it is of how many niches might exist or that might become occupied over time.

    24. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by JBHarris · · Score: 1

      ...when one species dies out its not just it that is effected, other species in the ecosystem that rely on it for their niches are also destroyed...

      While partially true, don't forget about the species that was in competition with the one that went extinct. They will have better chances of survival.
      Ex: A type of frog and a type of mouse live in the same habitats and eat the same foods, and the frog dies due to climate change, the mouse is now better able to survive (more food).

      Now more generally, I don't see how this is a certain bad thing. We should not force some species to survive while we let others die out naturally....and we certainly can't save every species that may ever go extinct. Who makes the judgement call on what species get saved and which are allowed to die out? You? EPA? Obama?

      Who cries out when a beaver's dam causes a 15 acre pond and a certain species of grasshopper are theatened because of it?

    25. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by lennier · · Score: 1

      "But we are NOT destroying it now - we are using it."

      Your logic is flawless, and yet, somehow, the Earth continues to be destroyed.

      The species are dying deliberately, just to spite us, aren't they?

      "There is absolutely nothing immoral about using resources at your disposal."

      And that's why Human Resources departments still use manacles.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    26. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by lennier · · Score: 1

      "The sad truth is that we humans throughout our existence have have had a major, negative impact on nature. Just compare the diversity of species in areas where no humans live, with what we find in cultivated fields."

      That may be true of the modern period of biosphere-delinked craziness, but not necessarily of human civilisation as a whole.

      For example, http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200203/mann

      I can't vouch for the science, but the idea that pre-European / prehistoric humans may have not just lived in harmony with the Amazon jungle but proactively *created* it fascinates me.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    27. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      You talk about all this as if it's come kind of competition.

    28. Re:*squish* Just like grape. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First they have to cross a five lane superhighway full of cars trucks and busses without getting squished. Then they have to make it across a swift moving river on the backs of turtles and logs all while avoiding falling off the edge or into the swiftly moving rapids. Then of course when they finally do make it against all odds to find the ideal habitat... Somehow there's a hungry aligator occupying that niche already! Doh!

      No wonder 1/3 of them are dying out.

  6. Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    Global Warming is a giant scam. Plenty of Ice core samples going back half a million years ago in Greenland and Antarctica confirm wild swings, often in very short spaces of time (decades) in global temps. No connection either btw to CO2 levels either.

    Duh, it's SOLAR OUTPUT that determines temps. Which does indeed vary (we may be in for some real cooling too).

    Amphibians are terribly sensitive to pollution, including precipitates from air pollution, particularly mercury and sulfuric acid from the Coal that China burns like crazy, and drifts over most of the US. Habitat loss is also terrible.

    We have serious problems with pollution and habitat loss, none with "Global Warming" which is nothing but a scam to take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools.

    1. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Carbon016 · · Score: 5, Informative

      Been reading too many oil company lackeys' "studies", eh? Guess everyone in the field is a gullible fool compared to you, random anonymous Internet poster.

      Sun Not a Global Warming Culprit, Study Says
      Solar Variability Unlikely To Have Caused Recent Warming
      Don't Blame Sun for Global Warming, Study Says
      Solar Activity Not Causing Warming

    2. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by clarkkent09 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      We have serious problems with pollution and habitat loss, none with "Global Warming" which is nothing but a scam to take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools.

      It's incredible what kind of nonsense gets modded insightful. A scam by whom? By the national academies of science of all developed countries: http://royalsociety.org/displaypagedoc.asp?id=20742 Why would they take part in a scam? What would just about all major scientific organizations and a vast majority of individual scientists involved in climate research have to gain by putting their reputations on the line in order to "take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools"? What would they have to gain from it?

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    3. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by dnwq · · Score: 3, Informative

      Everyone who is remotely interested in the topic can find everything elsewhere with Google, so arguing about global warming (never mind anthropogenic global warming) here is not likely to produce anything useful. Duly note, however, that most mainstream publications are now assuming AGW when talking about other issues: at a purely social-awareness level, AGW has won.

      In the meanwhile, Wikipedia on frogs croaking. Note that TFA is similar, despite what TFS suggests: mostly discussion about pollutants and diseases, with a nod to the obvious factor of climate change as one possible cause of habitat destruction.

    4. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by it_begins · · Score: 0, Troll
      Good thing you didn't quote the same source twice to pad your results.

      By the way, is it just me, or does the statement "Don't blame sun for global warming." not make you want to laugh on the face of it.

    5. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Bobby+Mahoney · · Score: 1

      Based on the rising temperatures in the atmosphere of every planet in the solar system, I think it's safe to say that what we have is global, or indeed, solar warming- but this notion that the change we're experiencing is man made, and the insistence on purveying that- reminds me of the mentality that prompted the backlash to heliocentrism in the 1500s.

      --
      !#&*
    6. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by dexmachina · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "Good thing you didn't quote the same source twice to pad your results." I'm assuming that was sarcasm, because of the two National Geographic articles. The two articles refer to two different studies and were published almost a year apart. If you want to argue editor bias or something like that, that's one thing. However the grandparent was making a legitimate attempt to back up his claim with multiple sources. Just because that's a rarity around here is no cause to try to spin his/her motives. And again, if you weren't being sarcastic, I apologize, but then that line was kind of random.

    7. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Tomfrh · · Score: 4, Funny

      Why would they take part in a scam?

      Same reason they take part in the evolution scam. It's part of their left-wing athiest agenda. Basically, they hate God, and love nothing more than to hurt Jesus. Those sick fucks.

    8. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's simply not true. Of course CO2 is connected to temperature differences... And of course we affected the natural fluctuations of CO2 in the atmosphere. And that's where global warming comes into play.

      GW is a wellknown problem and discussed by scientists all over the world. I hardly can believe that these men and women are just trying to waste some time...

    9. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by it_begins · · Score: 1
      Not that I disagree with your ideas, but I think "The truth" prompted a backlash.

      posted by Ptolemy was right!

    10. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by TapeCutter · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "Duh, it's SOLAR OUTPUT that determines temps."

      Can someone explain how the GP's ignorance could possibly be considered insightful? Or at least tell me how such mind-boggling ignorance is different to that displayed by creationists and flat-earthers.

      "Gaia-worship"

      "Gaia" is sometimes seen as a god by the fanatics on both sides of the pro/anti environment 'wedge'. However the word/concept is a synonym for "biosphere" and was coined by "the father of Earth Science" James Lovelock. It posits that the biosphere can be considered as a single organisim (ie: a unique organic system fed by energy from the Sun), it has absolutely nothing to do with projecting human/spiritual qualities onto said organic system.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    11. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by freddy_dreddy · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      and love nothing more than to hurt Jesus

      So, a global scam to undermine some small ridiculous minority religion? I think not, Pinky.

      --
      "Violence is the last refuge of the competent, and, generally, the first refuge of the incompetent" - Thing_1
    12. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Yeah, NASA keeps all that contrary data locked up in a vault, it's the same one they use to house the alien bodies from the area 51 crash and ET's phone from the 80's.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    13. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by freddy_dreddy · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      ...let him strike down...

      I think that's a lot to ask from a super-being that's generally known for doing shit for eternity.

      --
      "Violence is the last refuge of the competent, and, generally, the first refuge of the incompetent" - Thing_1
    14. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      So, a global scam to undermine some small ridiculous minority religion? I think not, Pinky.

      Hey now, let's not complicate letting a joke go over your head with hyperbole.

      Variations of Christianity make up 33% of global religious belief, making it by far the most populous family of faiths, with Islam in second at 20%. Furthermore, it's a very powerful and influential religion, practiced by the majority of people living in First World countries.

      Now, the segment of it that's obsessed with the idea that global warming is a lie perpetuated by people motivated by self-interest to seek grant funding is a relatively small portion of Christianity, but it's a very powerful one, because it has a huge influence on US politics.

      By no means, should you marginalize climate change deniers as members of a "small" "minority" faith. You risk underestimating a very powerful adversary if you trick yourself into thinking them inconsequential.

    15. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Idiomatick · · Score: 1

      Hey! he worked that one week.... well 6days really... seriously though, Tomfrh's post was such a hilarious flamebait that i couldn't help but join in thats all.

    16. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      By the way, is it just me, or does the statement "Don't blame sun for global warming." not make you want to laugh on the face of it.

      Why should it? Do you blame your stove and computer for the year-round temperature of your house or apartment, or are there more important forces at play?

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    17. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Carbon016 · · Score: 1

      This is /., forgive them for not RTFA :p

    18. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by timmarhy · · Score: 0, Troll
      if my stove was 100 times the size of my house and 1000's of degrees i would. honestly why post such a stupid comparison? it's obvious to anyone that the sun is THE major player in our climate, and solar flucuations are the most important part in our temps.

      i have to laugh at the gp's lniks, 2 are basicly the same article, one is a PERSONAL website and the other totally random. the fact is there is very strong evidence that the sun is responsible for temp rises http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2007/02/070228-mars-warming.html (irony that it's on nat geo as well). mars has melting ice caps, explain that one away?

      --
      If you mod me down, I will become more powerful than you can imagine....
    19. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it's not a scam, how do you explain the fact that CO2 has been going steadily UP, while Global temperatures have not risen since 1999, and are now going DOWN quite quickly?

      This one fact drives a huge hole through the entire AGW hypothesis......

    20. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by luzr · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why would they take part in a scam? What would just about all major scientific organizations and a vast majority of individual scientists involved in climate research have to gain by putting their reputations on the line in order to "take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools"? What would they have to gain from it?

      Research grant money? Note that they are forecasting those dramatic effects tens years in the future. How convenient. If it does now warm as predicted, they will a) be retired long time ago anyway b) claim the measures taken based on their advice fixed the problem. And it is now "climate change" anyway and climate changes all the time, means they cannot be wrong. Very litte reputation is in danger here, really. The only possible danger for them is radical global cooling - with emphasis on "radical" - otherwise they can always find many apologies why it is not warming as fast as predicted (which it is not, in fact - since 1998, temperatures hardly changed, if not dropped).

    21. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      yes, solar output but coming from earth, not sun. that is, the part of solar rays that are reflected from earth, and due to human activities (CO2) it has declined.

    22. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Carbon016 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Spoilers: I was quoting National Geographic because it had a concise summary of the article. You can find the fulltext of the two separate studies on Google.

    23. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by dexmachina · · Score: 1

      I said nothing about National Geographic being a reliable source, and I specifically said that if the poster had an argument about editor bias, that would be different. At no point did I say anything about being a "greenie weenie". In fact, I said nothing whatsoever about global warming. You immediately assume that because someone disagrees with someone's argument that they disagree with their whole point of view. The poster made an incorrect statement, due to not bothering to RTFAs. I offered a correction. Forgive me, I'd briefly forgotten that constructive discussion here is impossible. I'll try not to make the same mistake again.

    24. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Dutchmaan · · Score: 2, Funny

      Why would they take part in a scam? What would just about all major scientific organizations and a vast majority of individual scientists involved in climate research have to gain by putting their reputations on the line in order to "take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools"? What would they have to gain from it?

      Great book of Gaia worship: Earthpage 10:23: and those scientists who take of the cause of the great Gaia and torment thine gullible fools shall finally be granted the ability to bear children and grow fruit from thine earthly nipples. So it is written.

    25. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by TuringTest · · Score: 1

      solar flucuations are the most important part in our temps

      How are solar fluctgations the most important part? I thought it was Earth's facing angle during the year what caused the most temps change. What makes it "obvious" the effect some sun spots have on climate?

      --
      Singularity: a belief in the "God" idea with the "demiurge" relation inverted.
    26. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by bcwright · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We have serious problems with pollution and habitat loss, none with "Global Warming" which is nothing but a scam to take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools.

      It's fairly clear that the main issues involved with recent amphibian declines are pollution, habitat loss, and disease. Global warming is at most a distant fourth, and the reason is not hard to find: temperatures just aren't changing that much in most places, yet amphibian decline is extremely widespread and includes nearly every habitat. The places where temperature changes have been most extreme are in high mountain regions and the high arctic, neither of which are prime amphibian habitat - not that there aren't a few there, but most of them live at lower altitudes and latitudes.

      Blaming global warming for every bad thing that happens reminds me of the old saying that when your only tool is a hammer, the entire world looks like a nail. It is a terrible oversimplification to a single issue which can hardly be the cause of everything that goes wrong in the world. Pollution - especially the acidification of the aquifers in many parts of the world - is too often overlooked by many people who want to blame everything on global warming.

      That said, "global warming" is hardly a scam, although the data are extremely difficult to analyze and the precise degree of man's involvement in it is still open to some debate; but it appears very likely that both natural cycles and man-made causes have been at work. However it certainly makes sense to do what we can to limit its effects, especially since we only have one planet we can call home.

      The real world is rarely simple.

    27. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by aliquis · · Score: 1

      Yeah, must be poor people in China and other countries trying to catch up and get up to our living standard. Fuck what we have done earlier and to get here. Stupid chinese!

      Fuck all poor people who may want to get a car or whatever to.

      Rich people ftw!

      Or well, fuck rich people to.

      I agree that habitat loss is a much bigger problem atm, at least for bigger animals, and especially for bigger animals competing for our prey / seeing us as prey. And polution is obviously a problem to, how big I don't know, I guess global warming thru co2 is a polution problem to though.

    28. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by spoonfarmer · · Score: 1

      Anthropogenically produced pollutants have increased amphibians susceptibility to fungal diseases. Unfortunately the instances of niche organisms becoming extinct are likely to increase. The knock-on effects are so poorly understood that species-shift may cause catastrophic changes in the way entire biomes operate. People only care about this stuff when it affects their profit or is knocking at their door. Ah well, I'm sure that humans can survive without any of these insignificant species.

    29. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      You really have no idea that on the subject of AGW you are the gullible fool. For example how does this sound; "How convienient that nobody paid much attention to Maxwell's equations for over 80yrs", moronic right? Also why is it that EVERY national science body on the planet gets this "grant money" for saying the same thing? Who is paying for all this? - Who is steering this vast army of rubber-stamp scientists and why do they only rubber stamp AGW? Surely there's more money in rubber stamping research that proves (say) tabacoo is harmless? Do greenies suddenly have more money than FF corporations - where are the Greenies hiding this vast treasure and why aren't they taxed on it?

      And please don't insult the intelligence of your audience by claiming you're a skeptic, you have no idea what the word means. However if I am wrong about the "skeptic" thing then you will have had time for introspection on your own assertions and will be able to tell us...

      (A) The counter argument to the 1998 thing.
      (B) The flaw in that counter argument.

      So do you have an answer - seriously I want to know? I will settle for an answer to (A) only, (B) would earn you quite a bit of kudos (and grant money) in the math world.

      In case you are still not sure what I'm driving at I will spell it out. Have you ever questioned your assumptions? - I mean an assumption is something that when changed can change a very strongly held belief and unlock a door into a whole new world. eg: Eienstien questioned the assumption that time was constant.

      This is not to say all assumptions are wrong but if you want to learn anything then the ones you own need constant testing. For instance I have assumed in my post you are suffering from cognitive-dissonance or you are just incurious in a Palin kinda way. Let me know if it's something else - eg: perhaps you are deliberately anti-science on philosophical/political grounds.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    30. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why would they take part in a scam? What would just about all major scientific organizations and a vast majority of individual scientists involved in climate research have to gain by putting their reputations on the line in order to "take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools"? What would they have to gain from it?

      Not for nothing, but you don't get a lot of research grant money for waving your arms around saying "Everything's fine!"

      Sensationalism sells, whether it be scientific journals, newspapers, TV news, or research grants.

      I'm not arguing one way or the other, just disagreeing that they have no reason to "scam" us.

    31. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's incredible what kind of nonsense gets modded insightful.

    32. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by luzr · · Score: 1
      I have only tried to answer your very simple question:

      "What would they have to gain from it?"

      Anyway, for the record, I am *mild* sceptic w.r.t. AGW, mainly for two simple reasons:

      Why retreating ice on *GREEN*land should be any concern?

      Why 0.0001% change in atmospheric gases should affect climate more than 0.1% change in solar output? - OK, this is only my guts feeling, but I think sometimes it is good to put numbers into perspective.

      And of course, I welcome any counter arguments. (AFAIK (A) counter argument is that the 1998 was really extreme because of el-nino, so anything that follow seems like drop.)

      In fact, I was *mild* AGW believer, until I have checked some facts.

      Anyway, I think there are two things to mention about AGW:

      First, nothing significant will happend w.r.t. CO2 emmissions anyway, besides taxes. Be realistic, I do not see world abandoning fossil fuels, that simply will not happen. If it causes warming, better get ready for it...

      Second, I think that in 20 years horizont we will see what is true and what is not. So the question will be resolved.

      In fact, my only concern w.r.t. to AGW is that people will not do something utterly stupid to "stop warming", like those proposals to change albedo by spreading some powder on seas or puttin some mirror to orbit, sequestering CO2 from atmosphere and so on. I can imagine that some such mistake could cause irreversible cooling trend or significant drop in plant growths, which is what we should really be worried about.

      I think civilization has much higher prospects surviving in tropical climate than in the ice age.

    33. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by elthicko · · Score: 1

      Why would they take part in a scam? What would just about all major scientific organizations and a vast majority of individual scientists involved in climate research have to gain by putting their reputations on the line in order to "take advantage of Gaia-worship and gullible fools"? What would they have to gain from it?

      What would they gain? How about billions in funding? (I'm not saying I don't believe in climate change, I'm just sayin...)

    34. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      Yeah, keep ignoring that they were "forecasting those dramatic effects tens years in the future" for about a century now. And guess what happened.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    35. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      mars has melting ice caps, explain that one away?

      *Sigh* Read up here. In short, the trend of "warming" on Mars is too short, Mars has a higher eccentricity to its orbit (meaning more fluctuation in its distance to the Sun) than Earth, and most importantly...

      Solar radiance has been on the decline during this time period. If the Sun is such a dominant force in global climate change (on Earth and Mars), then why have temperatures supposedly been going UP on Mars while the radiance of the Sun has been going DOWN?

      You people are just working so hard to maintain your happy delusions that you don't bother digging into the facts behind your claims. "(A) The Sun's output fluctuates. (B) Some glaciers on Mars are melting. That must mean that (I) the Sun's output is increasing, (II) all of Mars is warming (but let's not be too hasty about melting glaciers saying the same thing about Earth!), and therefore global warming is all the Sun's fault! Don't worry, be happy!"

      The truth is that we have no evidence of *global* warming on Mars due to insufficient data on the planet's climate, and if the Sun was such an important influence, then the climate there should be *cooling* instead.

      Pfft. I could take global warming deniers more seriously if they had ANY interest in getting to the objective truth instead of wrapping themselves in the most whatever scraps of information and half-truths they can use as a security blanket.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    36. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and love nothing more than to hurt Jesus. Those sick fucks.

      Wow, and racist too!! One bad taco is no reason to hurt someone!!!!

    37. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by BadOPCode · · Score: 1

      OH I don't know... maybe there is better money in it. No one is the least bit suspicious of big oil companies like BP spending millions of dollars in researching why oil is bad? Produce less and make more. No one wants to think this could be a scam? We are stuck making houses out of wood. Which cutting trees destroys the planet. Rocks have to be quarreled. Mining is bad. Metal has to be mined and than smelted as well. Or use petroleum products which is destroying the planet as well. Pretty much we have eliminated all the building block materials as being contributors to the earth dooms-day. Since we aren't all going to live in caves (even than we would need to heat our caves,) this pretty much means we are forced to buy these commodities but at a premium price as they get the prices driven up higher and higher with the help of doomsday cults. I'd say a paycheck is a pretty lucrative reason why scientific persons would want to only study one side of the possibilities. The likelihood of the government being a nonpartisan party in scientific research while corporations are spending millions in lobbying (if the government members are not owners of such companies already) is next to nil as well. SO... there is a very great chance of our results of research being bias. I reserve a lot of doubt in the study conclusions I hear. If you want to accept the results you hear on faith, that is your right to do so. But there is room to doubt.

    38. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by lennier · · Score: 1

      "...athiest agenda."

      It's not actually the athiest agenda, but it is athier than most.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    39. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Ok you have surprised me by getting (A) more or less correct, however I'm not sure why you don't accept the explaination. As to some of your other questions...

      "Why retreating ice on *GREEN*land should be any concern?"

      Nobody expects Greenland's 3 mile deep ice cap to dissapear this century. However at it's current rate it will melt in a couple of centuries and raise the sea level a few meters. I agree that this is not something that will happen in our lifetimes and so does the IPCC, but over the next few decades the rate of melting will affect places like Bangladesh where most of the country is less than a meter above sea level (in some places the ocean has already moved up to 5km further inland causing people to constantly relocate villages). The vast number of refugees this will create will move out of the lowland and head for India causing political instability.

      "Why 0.0001% change in atmospheric gases should affect climate more than 0.1% change in solar output?"

      First of all the effect of CO2 is not linear, the absorption rate of IR radiation by CO2 has been known for over a century. I also think your figures are wrong - a hell of a lot of research went into creating this graph that shows all the major forcings on the Earth's atmosphere. Note the large error bars and also the fact that areosols (soot, ect) have a large cooling effect that masks about half of the effect of CO2.

      "First, nothing significant will happend w.r.t. CO2 emmissions anyway, besides taxes. Be realistic, I do not see world abandoning fossil fuels, that simply will not happen."

      The planet will have a global cap and trade system by 2012, the only nation that is seriously standing in the way is the US and both presidential hopefulls say they will implement a cap and trade system. Nobody expects FF to go away, what they are aiming at is reducing emmisions over a 40-50yr period (roughly the life span of a coal plant). Simalar global treaties have been successfull implemented for CFC's, lead in petrol, atmospheric nuclear testing, and a few other exotic air borne chemicals. Even the "pea-soup" fogs in the UK during the 50's were succesfully cleaned up (only to reappear in China half a century later)

      "Second, I think that in 20 years horizont we will see what is true and what is not."

      I don't think you need to wait that long, the Artic ice cap is half the size it was in the 80's and much, much thinner. Here in Australia it is also recognised as "the straw that broke the camels back" of the Murry Darling river system. The water has been mismanaged (as it has in California) but the worst drought in Australia's history is still continuing to cut our harvest by 50% over what it used to be before the mid-nineties and many scientists are saying our local climate has changed permenently to a dry conditions. Our storm patterns have shifted ever so subtly and a 10% drop in rainfall translates to 30% less water in our dams and rivers (this is because the dry ground soaks up the rain and reduces run-off). Australia was the 4th largest exporter of grain, famine is the real danger with CO2, not wet feet. This hasn't happened overnight, it has been happening for nearly 50yrs. Over the entire contienent the average rainfall has not changed but the north has more rain and the south has less, pity that most of the ground suitable for crops is in the south and SE where the now dry rivers have been depositing silt for millenia.

      "In fact, my only concern w.r.t. to AGW is that people will not do something utterly stupid to "stop warming"..."

      Yeah, there are some stupid mega-engineering proposals, thankfully I don't see anyone lining up to pay for them. As for a warmer (tropical) world being an overall benifit, this may be true but the problem is not so much the change to 'tropical' as the rate o

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    40. Re:Pollution/Habitat loss, not global warming! by luzr · · Score: 1

      "Why retreating ice on *GREEN*land should be any concern?" Nobody expects Greenland's 3 mile deep ice cap to dissapear this century.

      I think you have completely missed my point. It It is called "greenland" for some reason. I believe that there is still much more ice on Greenland than there was 1000 years ago.

      In fact, the very name was my first "sceptical signal" w.r.t. AGW.

      "Why 0.0001% change in atmospheric gases should affect climate more than 0.1% change in solar output?" First of all the effect of CO2 is not linear, the absorption rate of IR radiation by CO2 has been known for over a century.

      Indeed it was. The absorption rate is nonlinear - it quickly decreases with concentration. You get the most for the first 200ppm.

      The rest in models is so called "feedback effect". To get any significant warming, you have to introduce strong positive feedback into the model.

      Note the large error bars and also the fact that areosols (soot, ect) have a large cooling effect that masks about half of the effect of CO2.

      Well, sceptic would say they are trying to find excuses... :)

      The planet will have a global cap and trade system by 2012

      So what. New taxes. They will slowly get absorbed into economics and forgotten.

      And there is always the China and other emerging countries. I would not hold my breath.

      "Second, I think that in 20 years horizont we will see what is true and what is not." I don't think you need to wait that long, the Artic ice cap is half the size it was in the 80's and much, much thinner.

      BTW, I wonder what kind of signal would stop AGW hypothesis.

      - If there is drop in temperature by 1 C over 10 years?

      - If polar caps get stronger than in 80's?

      - If CO2 drops without decreasing industrial emmisions?

      (I have my gut feelings that AGW proponets would only add another variable to the model to explain "temporary slowdown", but that is just sceptical me :)

      OTOH, I think there is one simple signal that will eventually stop the AGW hysteria in media:

      - if temperature drops eventually for one winter and heating expenses (carbon tax included) hits U.S. (and/or worldwide) families...

      BTW, the funny thing is that I in fact welcome many things positively influenced by AGW hysteria - I like solar panels, I like electric cars, I like nuclear energy. And I think that SUVs are the most stupid cars on the road - I would never buy one (even if my wife desires it strongly...).

  7. Pffft... by JRHelgeson · · Score: 1

    So, pools of water didn't dry up prior to global warming? Frogs and salamanders didn't die prior to all this? Is there any animal population from humans to flies that have not gone through expansion and contraction?

    --
    Good security is based upon reality and common sense. Common sense is a function of having common knowledge.
    1. Re:Pffft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Expansion is what is causing the contraction of numbers in Yellowstone. Yellowstone itself is a super volcano and its magma has been pushing the surface up for a very long time, heating the ground, air and water around it. They have literally found fish cooked in the water around the park in recent years and not geyser water. Trees have died after having their roots cooked. The heat from the rising magma there far exceeds anything global warming could do in that vicinity. If it ever erupts again there will likely be widespread destruction from the eruption followed by some global cooling.

      Yellowstone would not be a good example to use when blaming global warming for dried up pools there, though perhaps not totally unrelated. TFA used it for an example of a location with dead salamanders etc in dried out pools without mentioning the more likely cause being the super volcano heating everything above it, very poor form indeed.

    2. Re:Pffft... by clarkkent09 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      People die of natural causes all the time, therefore murder never happens, right? The overwhelming scientific consensus it that the warming is proceeding much faster than in the past and that this caused at least in part by human activity. If you have strong evidence to the contrary please contact your local oil company, they will be only too happy to help you get it published.

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    3. Re:Pffft... by bcwright · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The overwhelming scientific consensus it that the warming is proceeding much faster than in the past and that this caused at least in part by human activity.

      The earth has experienced many periods of warming and cooling even within historic times, let alone during geologic time. Many of these warming and cooling periods were actually fairly rapid; the earth's climate could be called a metastable system that often experiences fairly rapid change between a number of more stable states. It's just simply untrue that the speed of recent climate change is unprecedented.

      That said, what I think you meant to say is that warming is proceeding much faster than in the recent past - and with that minor edit, that's quite true. The prevailing scientific opinion is that human activity is at least partly to blame, possibly helping to accelerate and amplify a natural cyclical change into a warmer state.

      But on the other hand, global warming has not yet had a major effect on most temperate and tropical habitats (as opposed to arctic and alpine habitats). For most amphibian loss, it's necessary to look at other causes - which, FWIW, is all that the parent article was saying.

    4. Re:Pffft... by Fred_A · · Score: 1

      People die of natural causes all the time, therefore murder never happens, right?

      If humans bothered to evolve to be immune from bullets, there would be less murders which just goes to show how flaky that science is. So obviously, it's not linked to sunspots (I blame the TimeCube).

      --

      May contain traces of nut.
      Made from the freshest electrons.
    5. Re:Pffft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While this makes sense, super volcanos arent something the news can get behind as who can you protest? Who's the bad group to rally against? Our collective Ego still just wont let us belive we arent the center of the universe. No.. better to blame global warming which is something WE did. Ive been around long enough to have seen this cycle a few times. In the 70's it was global cooling was going to kill us all now warming is the problem.

    6. Re:Pffft... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The parent has a point, volcanoes contribute more to CO2 pollution a year then humans do.

      Humans contribute 200 Megatons of CO2 per year, whereas a volcano contributes 400. There are on average 14 volcano eruptions a year (5600 megatons for math challenged).

  8. Somehow by Forty+Two+Tenfold · · Score: 1

    I thought about X-COM Terror From the Deep. First Rosewell, then we sent probes to Mars. Now there is Gwoba Woba and methane starts coming out from the ocean bed. With the increased drilling for fossil fuels we might hit some nasty water creatures. And they might be mad the shrooms are killing the little amphibian overlord ambassadors on the surface.

    Ok. Nevermind. Need some sleep.

    --
    Upward mobility is a slippery slope - the higher you climb the more you show your ass.
    1. Re:Somehow by grim-one · · Score: 1

      I'd be more worried about happening upon the children of Dagon or Cthulu personally...

  9. I have seen the future... by AmazingRuss · · Score: 3, Funny

    ...and it is filled with concrete and hairless apes.

    1. Re:I have seen the future... by Plutonite · · Score: 0

      I have a very hairy chest you insensitive Caucasian clod!

    2. Re:I have seen the future... by n3tcat · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, I've visited the White House before too.

    3. Re:I have seen the future... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and it is filled with concrete and hairless apes.

      Sounds like you haven't been to New York City yet.
      Am I right?

    4. Re:I have seen the future... by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Funny

      [concrete and hairless apes] I have a very hairy chest you insensitive Caucasian clod!

      No kidding. I once compared my arm to some Orangutans at the zoo, and dammit, I'm hairier.
             

    5. Re:I have seen the future... by ianare · · Score: 1

      It's funny, but it's also very sad, and we must avoid this at all costs.

    6. Re:I have seen the future... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...and it is filled with concrete, cockroaches and skeletons of hairless apes.

  10. Well, we act as though we are above nature by taucross · · Score: 1, Insightful

    so let's find out.

    --
    "In the absence of the ability to establish the attribute of truth they tried to establish the noble attributes."
    1. Re:Well, we act as though we are above nature by rastos1 · · Score: 1

      Well, we act as though we are above nature so let's find out.

      May I kindly opt out from your experiment?

  11. 1/3 of Amphibians are Dying? by mathx314 · · Score: 0

    I take it the rest are immortal.

    1. Re:1/3 of Amphibians are Dying? by stonefoz · · Score: 1

      Yes, zombie salamanders are running a muck in our national forest, we must act quickly to stop their plans to accelerate Global Warming. No, I didn't read the article.

      --
      I think I just cashed out all my cool points.
  12. That doesn't make any sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "... amphibians are the first to respond to environmental changes, thanks to their sensitivity to both air and water."

    What's the point of evolving amphibious capability if not for greater environmental tolerance?

    1. Re:That doesn't make any sense by maglor_83 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What's the point of evolving amphibious capability if not for greater environmental tolerance?

      Who said evolution has to make sense?

    2. Re:That doesn't make any sense by dnwq · · Score: 1

      Amphibians require both land and water. They can't live in the middle of freshwater lakes and they can't live further inland where it's dry. This limits their choice of environments.

      Never mind the bizarre comment about amphibian evolution, anyway.

    3. Re:That doesn't make any sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about for surviving predators (who usually kill creatures faster than changes to the environment)? You can run onto dry land to escape swimming predators, and run into the water for walking predators.

  13. Correlation does not imply causation... by penguin_dance · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Biologists at the University of California, San Diego, have shown that amphibians are the first to respond to environmental changes, thanks to their sensitivity to both air and water.

    So maybe we're seeing why the dinosaurs died out. They were too sensitive to environment change. They couldn't adapt to the changes in climate and died.

    The article starts out blaming man and herbicides, but then has to conclude that even areas free from herbicides, such as national parks "provide no refuge." So that is blamed on global warming (no doubt man-made), causing the ponds to dry out. Neither of these are supplemented with facts, but is all speculative. Frogs and salamanders are dying, so we must be causing it.

    Even though we may want to, there is no way we can save every species from extinction. We talk time and again about survival of the fittest in science class, yet we can't seem to acknowledge that species must adapt or die. Animal species that are hardy will thrive. Those who are not will not. We could have the perfect ecosystem for frogs and salamanders, and that would threaten some other species that found the weather too damp or warm to thrive. We blame ourselves for everything, when in fact there's no evidence that, if we all vanished tomorrow, animals wouldn't continue to die out as they always have.

    --
    If you've never been modded as "flamebait" or "troll," you've never tried to argue a minority viewpoint here!
    1. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Transcendz · · Score: 1

      Your logic is flawed : dinosaurs died of environmental conditions that noone was able to change. Current global climate change exists because of our selfish and blind activity, and this is something we CAN change. If I take your logic, many humans died at Tchernobyl, due to a great sensitivity to radiations. Should we say, then, that we should have done nothing to protect these people ? BTW, doing nothing for our environment seems more and more dangerous for our proper survival (bees, mammals, trees, oceans, etc...). Do you have childs and think about their future ?

      --
      --/ TZ /--
    2. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by AaronLawrence · · Score: 5, Insightful

      If we cause the climate and environment to change too quickly, no species gets a chance to adapt. It takes at least thousands, probably millions of years for species to actually adapt.

      So, it's more likely we will kill off almost all species leaving just the small number that by sheer luck can cope with widely diverse conditions... like cockroaches.

      I don't see what there is to argue about. Clearly, species are going extinct in great numbers, it's largely due to us, and most species are not adapting.

      --
      For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert. - Arthur C. Clarke
    3. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If the die-offs of amphibians like salamanders and frogs indicate trouble ahead for mammals, as a mammal I feel it's important to pay attention to what's going on.

      It's not about blame, it's about survival. You seem to think that we humans are above that - the causers, not the victims. I'm not really that interested in vanishing tomorrow, frankly, so maybe it's worth exploring how we can keep that from happening.

    4. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's ok for species to die, but only at a rate comparable to the rate at which new species of similar complexity are being created. If species die at a higher rate then life on Earth is headed to oblivion.

    5. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Chazerizer · · Score: 1

      I do love the people that miss the point entirely. No one argues that the earth is getting warmer. What the point originally trying to made here is that species go extinct, whether or not we have anything to do with it. Giant reptiles were an evolutionary dead end, and eventually, they all went away. Who are we to say that amphibians also don't represent some kind of evolutionary cul-de-sac? The larger point of "should we care?" is a somewhat different point. These small creatures fill some niche in the ecosystem certainly, but beyond that it is sentimental foolishness to assume that because something is alive while human beings are on the planet makes it somehow precious. Something will fill the roll in the ecosystem, and the planet will move on. Finally, the comparison to Chernobyl is just kind of a jerk move. It's kind of like saying that Jews died in the holocaust because they were sensitive to Hitler. Or that people in the world trade tower were sensitive to falling from great heights. Kind of a jerk move.

    6. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by clarkkent09 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      We blame ourselves for everything, when in fact there's no evidence that, if we all vanished tomorrow, animals wouldn't continue to die out as they always have..

      No, but there is evidence that since humans came to the scene, and especially since the industrial age, the species are going extinct at a rate from 100s to 1000s of times greater than before.

      --
      Negative moral value of force outweighs the positive value of good intentions.
    7. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by it_begins · · Score: 1
      I'll argue that is earth is getting cooler, at least the last 18 months, and I can pick any period I want to illustrate my point.

      I even have a graph of temperatures shaped like an upside down hockey stick to prove it.

    8. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by cryptoluddite · · Score: 1

      Correlation doesn't prove causation, but it most certainly does imply causation.

      In this case, our world ecosystem is clearly screwed up in any number of ways because of our actions. Also, amphibians are dying out. It's a pretty good bet we're the cause.

    9. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by DiegoBravo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If humans could live for a dozen of million of years, maybe it could be normal to see 1/3 of a big subset of the species disappearing because of natural selection as you point, but for our minuscule time lapse it is a total artificial catastrophe.

    10. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by cryptoluddite · · Score: 4, Funny

      We talk time and again about survival of the fittest in science class, yet we can't seem to acknowledge that species must adapt or die. Animal species that are hardy will thrive.

      Also, you know what the problem with this is? The ones that are going to survive aren't going to be cute cuddly little puppy dogs. They're going to be cockroaches that can see heat and that shoot molecular acid on you while you're sleeping. They're going to be bird-eating spiders. Octopi that walk on land and reshape/recolor themselves to look like a tree or boulder... until they pounce and eat you.

      You know, basically we'll all be living in Australia.

    11. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Valdrax · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The article starts out blaming man and herbicides, but then has to conclude that even areas free from herbicides, such as national parks "provide no refuge."

      What areas free from pesticides? Maybe you didn't read the article:

      "Atrazine is one of the more mobile and persistent pesticides being widely applied. In fact, residues have been found in remote, nonagricultural areas, such as the poles."

      Places that are "protected from pollution" are not free of it. You'd be surprised just how much pollution there is in national parks.

      So that is blamed on global warming (no doubt man-made), causing the ponds to dry out. Neither of these are supplemented with facts, but is all speculative. Frogs and salamanders are dying, so we must be causing it.

      Two problems with these statements:

      1) A problem may have multiple causes.

      It's a widespread mental disease of today that people demand that experts must find THE source of the problem and fix IT. The three problems identified in the article are all major, separate contributors to amphibian decline. Each one may affect different species in different proportions. Fixing one will not solve the problem for all species, but it is not pointless for the species that it will save. (They do leave out habitat destruction, though.)

      2) What do you mean "all speculative" and "not supplemented with facts?"

      For crying out loud, the article references specific scientific studies. I decided to go searching for them:

      Personally, I would like to have seen links to those studies in the article, but what more would you like to see? What is your standard for "speculation" v. "facts?"

      We could have the perfect ecosystem for frogs and salamanders, and that would threaten some other species that found the weather too damp or warm to thrive. We blame ourselves for everything, when in fact there's no evidence that, if we all vanished tomorrow, animals wouldn't continue to die out as they always have.

      Of course, they will continue dying out. That's nature. The issue is that they'll die out *much slower* than we're *currently* killing them off, and new species will evolve to fill the gaps. If you want to know what environment would be perfect for the frogs and salamanders, the answer would be the one they evolved to be adapted to. We're changing the world far faster than evolution can keep up.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    12. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      haven't you people heard of 'food chain'
      I'm sick of this and 'globalwarmingishoax' dudes.. go learn physics and biology.
      you'd like to live in world where only animals are humans and their pets?

    13. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Genda · · Score: 4, Insightful

      For the life of me, I don't see what the controversy is all about... you can listen to FOX News or the scientific leaders of the planet who almost to a person (that means for the most part any scientist not working a for a major fossil fuel producer), that the world is in the throws of monumental change. In fact, the question is no longer if, but how much, and by when will it be something capable of dirrupting human existence.

      The changes map almost precisely to the amount of greenhouse gas there is in the atmosphere. The system is complex, and once you pass the tipping point change will amplify. Global albido has changed. The chemistry of the oceans has changed. The chemistry of the atmosphere has changed. There are more cloud, more water vapor (itself a greenhouse gas), and less ice on the planet. There are more floods, stronger hurricanes and tornadoes, more droughts, and the weather is becoming more irratic. All of these changes are hostile to higher life forms. Ultimately these changes will prove most hostile to a sustainable humanity.

      We have not yet transcended our biological base. When we loose the ability to irrigate fields, feed livestock, then feed ourselves, billions of us will go away. We are at the top of the food pyramid, we are an apex species, and it is always the apex species which go away first in a mass die-off. Of course our big brains may help us cope with the change, it might even save us from extinction, but I can tell you now, it won't be a world as nice, or as benevolent as the one we have today. That and all the species that we rely on for everything from pollination, to pleasing our eyes and ears are going to be gone. It would be as easier to live on mars than to live on the planet we are in the process of making, and we won't have the means to live on mars any time soon.

      This isn't about loosing one species. We are already now disappearing thousands of species a year. Most of these are invertebrates. But once we get to higher life forms we need to be concerned about where homo sapien falls on that list of threatened species. There are maybe 1,500 cheetahs in the wild left on the planet. A few hundred tigers. Several dozen snow leopards. Once you turn 10,000 acres of rainforest into dessert sand, everything that lived there from the microbes in the soil up are gone forever. We are biotic. We cannot escape the destiny of life disappearing if we allow virtually all higher life to disapper from the planet, we will amost certainly be one of the species to vanish.

      Being we are an engineering race, we may still have time to fix our mess. However the time is slipping fast and we haven't shown much proclivity for wisdom or awareness on a global scale. We need to address the issues that face us now. In very much the same way America has turned itself into a financial vaccum, we are on the verge of turning the world into a vacuum for life. Leaders asleep at the wheel, a populace so intranced by the day to day process of making a living, and fulfilling ever growing wants, that one hardly notices that we are using up the world, and are on the verge of making the world unfit for consumption by humans or any other higher life form.

      The information is freely available. The science at this point in the game is virtually incontrovertible. The politicians and the pundits can debate all they want. The conservative and liberal can fight. The religious can pray endlessly. None of that will alter a single leaf falling. We have now a vanishingly small window of opportunity. The wise man would act now.

    14. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And the worst thing? We need to train people to shove thumbs up their butts. We don't have anyone at present.

    15. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by leomekenkamp · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So maybe we're seeing why the dinosaurs died out. They were too sensitive to environment change.

      Not likely. Dinosaurs roamed the earth for over 160 million years. It is illogical to assume that no significant climate change took place over that long a period.

      --
      Wenn ist das Nunstueck git und Slotermeyer? Ja! Beiherhund das Oder die Flipperwaldt gersput.
    16. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by bcwright · · Score: 1

      Correlation doesn't prove causation, but it most certainly does imply causation.

      No, it doesn't even do that - but it certainly suggests causation.

      I agree that it's far and away the most likely bet that we are in some way the cause of the amphibians' decline, especially since the decline is taking place worldwide. It's hard to think of any other recent worldwide change or event that might be the cause.

    17. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by kwikrick · · Score: 1

      Correlation does not imply causation...

      Ugh, I hate that over-used thick-skulled response. It true, but irrelevant. First of all, statistics, when used properly, is one of the best indicators of causal relations in the natural world, if not the only one. More importantly, we don't need to prove causation to be warned.

      We blame ourselves for everything, when in fact there's no evidence that, if we all vanished tomorrow, animals wouldn't continue to die out as they always have.

      Who else can we blame? We are the only ones who can make a difference (unless you believe in a god). We don't need evidence so we can blame someone (although I think there is enough evidence, and some people perhaps deserve more blame than others). The important thing is to determine:

      a) whether we can slow down, halt or reverse global warming
      b) whether it is desirable to do so

      Most evidence points to a) yes, we can slow down global warming, possible reverse it, and b) it it desirable to do so, because climate change seems to negatively affect biodiversity (e.g. TFA) and other aspects of our environment, and this will probably negatively influence our lives, and possibly our survival.

      However, the cost of a) will be extremely high. We are going to have to give up some luxury. Is it worth it? How big is the risk? Potentially, global warming can destroy us. We don't know for sure, but I'm willing to reduce my consumption to save our future. Furthermore, I believe life in itself is worthwhile to preserve. Without life, our planet, the universe, would be very dull.

      Remember, taking no action to prevent global warming is not a neutral option. Its is a choice, for which we must also bear the consequences, even if the current global warming is 'natural'. We may still want to slow it down, for our own sake. Do we really want 'nature' to destroy or make us, if we can help it?

      --
      assignment != equality != identity
    18. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by delt0r · · Score: 2

      Frak global warming. Try habitat removal via farming. Thats where almost all the extinctions from man have come from. Also there is evidence that some of the historic climate changes where in fact very rapid. The current predictions are for about 2C (4C max) change over 100 years, thats not so fast.

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
    19. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      climate changes where[sic] in fact very rapid

      The word you were looking for where you used "where" was "were".

      HTH. HAND.

    20. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >When we loose the ability to irrigate fields

      Cry havoc and let slip the ability to irrigate fields!

      Sorry, couldn't resist.

      Nice post, BTW, albeit slightly marred by such.

    21. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by mk2mark · · Score: 1

      Clearly, species are going extinct in great numbers, it's largely due to us, and most species are not adapting.

      Prove it.

    22. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by jollyreaper · · Score: 3, Funny

      Also, you know what the problem with this is? The ones that are going to survive aren't going to be cute cuddly little puppy dogs. They're going to be cockroaches that can see heat and that shoot molecular acid on you while you're sleeping. They're going to be bird-eating spiders. Octopi that walk on land and reshape/recolor themselves to look like a tree or boulder... until they pounce and eat you.

      Yes, but there might also be a downside.

      --
      Kwisatz Haderach
      Sell the spice to CHOAM
      This Mahdi took Shaddam's Throne
    23. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by jambox · · Score: 1

      Who the hell modded this insightful? It's hard to think of many alternaitve reasons why frogs and salamanders are dying out at such a rate. Was there an epoch-ending asteroid strike that nobody noticed? Or is it more likely we're churning out huge amounts of pollution and destroying natural habitat hand over fist? (OK sbefore someone mentions the fungus, but that's probably a natural cycle that usually culls a certain number and then goes away.

      Clearly if amphibians are so bloody fragile, they wouldn't have managed to survive for tens (hundreds? more?) of millions of years.

      There are a lot of people on this page talking total rubbish about how it doesn't matter what we do to the planet as long as there is some immediate benefit to human beings.

      Slashdot is being ruined by page after page of total nonsense like this. Anybody who was new to this site would probably run away horrified seeing this total crap.

      Get your head out of your backside and think about how the planet is going to look in another 100 years if this carries on. The ecosystem is as important to humans as it is to amphibians and we're going to have to make some sacrifices NOW if we're avoid eventually going the way of the frogs.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    24. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by uncmathguy · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I really don't know much at all about this topic, but I would like to. Specifically, I would love to know what sort of evidence there is that "since the industrial age, the species are going extinct at a rate from 100s to 1000s times greater than before."

      It seems unlikely to me that we can have proper estimates on the number of species going extinct prior to the start of the industrial age. How can one use fossil evidence to distinguish between species. And if we are using eye-witness testimony, surely before Darwin, we did not have anything close to the right idea about the true number of species. So what am I missing?

    25. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we cause the climate and environment to change too quickly, no species gets a chance to adapt. It takes at least thousands, probably millions of years for species to actually adapt.

      Strange. I thought we humans were able to adapt to changes in our environment much more quickly than that.

    26. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by hey! · · Score: 1

      But correlation is necessary to validate findings of causation.

      The findings are there, they're just published in places that don't make the six O'Clock news. When some nuts (er... like me) go out on a number of spring nights to try to catch the annual salamander spawning, and don't see it, or see only a handful of animals instead of hundreds of thousands that used to come to a particular pond, it isn't news. When a local ecologist studing a handful of sites amounting to a hundred or so acres publishes a paper saying that weather in the last three decades as become statistically unfavorable to the populations that once inhabited those sites, it is not a global story. It's also not going to get picked up even in the local papers, although it ought to be.

      The findings are there. It's "correlation" onl because now people are putting those stories into a global picture.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    27. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. Our natural environment is not engineered buildings, highways, and strip malls. We evolved and depend on this planet to provide for us and it has. We now spend huge amounts of energy and resources to get create things like clean water which the planet provided for free in the past. If we kill the species of this planet and poison the environment we are doomed but in the mean time I guess we will enjoy it at Vegas? The planet will most likely survive but not with us because we are too stupid to control ourselves.

    28. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      references, please? be specific.

      I've never seen a pre-industrial report on species extinction that was anywhere near reliable enough to compare to current data. My hunch is that you haven't either.

    29. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Heddahenrik · · Score: 1
      Yes, the world is changing drastically due to humans.

      But even with figures like 1000 times greater than "before", it's still much less than what climate changes like ice ages, huge volcano eruptions and asteroids (with 6 months of no sunlight!) have caused now and then in the past. Forests turned into dumps, lakes killed by pollution and deserts moving around are horrible, but compare that to 3 kilometers of ice and dried out oceans!

      The problem with this bullshit article is that it says that it's "global warming", which isn't the case. Without global warming, a lot of other species would have become extinct. The real problem is that humans are using all the land to grow crops, do mining, build roads and destroy what's left with pollution.

      If we just handle those problems, even dramatic climate change will not pose such a big threat. Global warming is mostly a threat to species that can't easily move, like farmers. Others couldn't care less if the desert is in Sahara or France.

    30. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      If the die-offs of amphibians like salamanders and frogs indicate trouble ahead for mammals, as a mammal I feel it's important to pay attention to what's going on.

      Quite right.

      So, the key question then becomes "does the die-off of amphibians indicate trouble ahead for mammals?"

      Get back with me when you have some evidence one way or another. Until then, I won't concern myself with the notion that I should interfere with evolution unnecessarily.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    31. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by jmichaelg · · Score: 1

      It takes at least thousands, probably millions of years for species to actually adapt.

      Not true. Darwin's finches on the Galapagos Island show adaption taking place in a single generation.

    32. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Though there really is no evidence of that. And there is evidence that rapid climate changes have happened in the past, and yet there were still animal species left to go on. Biodiversity happens after rapid climate changes and adaptation also happens after changes. The heat curve is too steep to have been caused by man and starts before the industrial revolution in any case. It is true that by preventing minor forest fires and then enduring huge ones we may cause much more rapid changes to occur but not by that much. Also one volcanic eruption puts more pollutants in the air than man has since the industrial revolution began, but you can't get grants if you present that conclusion so no one bothers anymore.

    33. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by penguin_dance · · Score: 1

      No, but there is evidence that since humans came to the scene, and especially since the industrial age, the species are going extinct at a rate from 100s to 1000s of times greater than before.

      I would like to see the stats on that--I believe that is (once again) purely conjecture made up by those who make environmentalism into a political football instead of science.

      Being that we're still FINDING new species, I don't believe we have the evidence that species are going extinct 100x much less 1000x. One of the biggest die outs was the dinosaurs which we had no part in. Then there were mammals such as the wooly mammoth, saber-toothed tiger which died out and I hardly think man was populated enough to do them in. Yet we have their cousins and those of several other species. And the question, did they die off or did they simply assimilate into something like what we have today. Even with man scientists are questioning if the Neanderthal actually died out or did it interbreed with modern man and simply assimilate the gentic structure.

      We are also saving countless species that I believe if they had been left up to their own, would have died out. In some ways, we may be mucking things up by not having natural selection. We save a cute owl only to find it gobbles up the last of species of mice. Do we run in and try to save the mice? If the mice die out, was that the only food the owl could eat and it sealed it's own doom? It could turn into a "butterfly effect" in reverse because we are making the selection for something not to die.

      It's just something we need to consider.

      --
      If you've never been modded as "flamebait" or "troll," you've never tried to argue a minority viewpoint here!
    34. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by penguin_dance · · Score: 1

      Current global climate change exists because of our selfish and blind activity, and this is something we CAN change.

      Neither of those assertions is proven. A changing climate is a natural phenomum and there is no proof that there is anything man-made about it. Neither can it be shown that we can "fix" anything. You need to look at data versus statements made by those who have a political agenda tied into this cause.

      --
      If you've never been modded as "flamebait" or "troll," you've never tried to argue a minority viewpoint here!
    35. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by rantingkitten · · Score: 1

      Neither of these are supplemented with facts, but is all speculative. Frogs and salamanders are dying, so we must be causing it.

      Fine, but consider -- amphibians as a class have been around a very long time. Unless you count a few fishlike creatures that were able to gasp at open air for a few minutes at a time, amphibians were essentially the first land-dwelling animals on this planet. They're ancient, and as a class they have survived dozens upon dozens of climate changes, from one extreme to another, throughout history. It's safe to say that they're good at adapting to normal, gradual climate changes, and even fairly rapid ones such as that which likely killed the dinosaurs.

      So, when large numbers of them start dying in an extremely short period of time, don't you think that might be cause for concern? Even if you don't care about them -- which is shortsighted enough -- events like that are a barometer for other things going on in the environment. These things will sooner or later affect us too; for all our hubris and technology, we are not immune. We're in the same biosphere as the amphibians and every other creature. Massive amounts of them up and dying isn't normal. It isn't something to shrug off as "survival of the fittest".

      --
      mirrorshades radio -- darkwave, industrial, futurepop, ebm.
    36. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by knutkracker · · Score: 1

      areas free from herbicides, such as national parks "provide no refuge."

      National parks may be free from pesticide, but they still have a long history of human interference. You may be shocked to learn the truth about the enormous amount of biodiversity lost in Yellowstone since it was created. Mostly through 'protecting' it from interference by native americans, (who had been keeping everything nicely in balance for thousands of years) and trying to protect predator species, which then wiped out prey species in a predictably malthusian way. There is no such thing as an environment free from human interference.

    37. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It takes MILLIONS AND BILLIONS OF YEARS! In fact, nothing ever changes. Change is bad and scary. After all this is how god designed the earth. Mutations only happen by pure magic (or will of god) when the species population is swelling in numbers. Which is usually because of the current design having successful adaptations. Thats when the mutations of things that make them volatile in nature occur. Not when the species is shrinking in numbers, increasing the odds successful adaptations would be least likely to be bread out by the volume of those with out the successful gene.
      So pretty much what the eco-warriors are saying is we are all doomed because this is gods will so we should just eat all the animals as they are tasty snacks. God currently hates frogs and soon he will hate you too.

    38. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1

      So that is blamed on global warming (no doubt man-made), causing the ponds to dry out. Neither of these are supplemented with facts, but is all speculative.

      Wrong, wrong, wrong.

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    39. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Any evidence that species are going extinct that much faster because of what humans have been doing since the industrial age?

    40. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by LingNoi · · Score: 1

      Graphs like the one on the met office show a change of 0.7 or 0.8 degrees over 100 years, so where the fuck did you pull that 4C max from? Your ass?

    41. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by QuantumG · · Score: 1

      Notice no-one replied to your very good question.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
    42. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by LingNoi · · Score: 1

      Feb. 15, 2007 -- Ponds and swamps are becoming eerily silent. The familiar melody of ribbits, croaks and chirps is disappearing as a mysterious killer fungus wipes out frog populations around the globe, a phenomenon likened to the extinction of dinosaurs.

      Yeah, we're the cause, that's the blanket statement these days, but as usual is global warming lies from the evo religious cult.

      http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2007/02/15/amphibianarc_ani.html - Even in this article they can't resist having a quick jab at the global warming scaremongering even though they've already mentioned it's the fungus..

    43. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by uncmathguy · · Score: 1

      I did notice that. hmmm.

    44. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we cause the climate and environment to change too quickly, no species gets a chance to adapt. It takes at least thousands, probably millions of years for species to actually adapt.

      So, it's more likely we will kill off almost all species leaving just the small number that by sheer luck can cope with widely diverse conditions... like cockroaches.

      I don't see what there is to argue about. Clearly, species are going extinct in great numbers, it's largely due to us, and most species are not adapting.

      I agree. The changes occuring in our climate (at least as far as I can see) are too rapid to allow for species to adapt. Humans cannot exempt themselves from accountability here.

    45. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by johanatan · · Score: 0

      You seem to be missing rampant and ubiquitous liberal bias.

    46. Re:Correlation does not imply causation... by delt0r · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      From actual papers on the subject. From the IPCC report, and from the climatologist them selfs as I did work with them. There is a wide range of predctions with the most extreme at the 2-4C range. Thats what *at the most* means.

      What exactly did you read on the subject? Second hand toilet paper? Or the next worse thing, Al frekin Gore or a some dam newspaper?

      --
      If information wants to be free, why does my internet connection cost so much?
  14. Global warming and not disease huh? by GiovanniZero · · Score: 3, Informative

    http://news.mongabay.com/2008/1012-frogs.html Strange, and I thought the big threat was coming from the fungi that are devastating species. Good thing they tied the threat to global warming, now we can all do something about it! ::smirk::

    --
    Mod me up, mod me down, do your worst you modding clown.
    1. Re:Global warming and not disease huh? by Profane+MuthaFucka · · Score: 1, Insightful

      This is the kind of ignorance that will kill us. Just so you know, the incidence of disease is not independent of climate.

      --
      Fascism trolls keeping me up every night. When I starts a preachin', he HITS ME WITH HIS REICH!
    2. Re:Global warming and not disease huh? by hey! · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work like you think it does.

      The effect on climate change isn't like a bullet in the head to an animal. No animal dies of "climate change".

      It's more like repeated, low grade starvation. It makes the animal vulnerable to diseases, and ecologically diseases respond to vulnerable populations by becoming more virulent -- that's well established. Think 1918 flu -- all those weak, stressed, soldier huddled in trenches favors aggressive pathogen mutations.

      Climate change stresses populations, it also disrupts the boundaries of ecosystems, causing pathogens like West Nile or Ebola to spill out of their isolated reservoirs. It also increases the viable range of pathogens and disease vectors like the Anopheles mosquito.

      If you follow science news very much, one thing that is striking is the number of instances of emergent diseases over the last decade. For example, here in the Northeast, bat populations are dying off due to a new fungal disease, which will alter mosquito populations and possibly increase the number of mosquito transmitted diseases.

      Now, the Northeast is not going to become uninhabitable by any means. There are places in the world where fatal or crippling parasitic diseases are a daily concern, it's just that we're not accustomed to that sort of thing. It's just that we assume that we can take an important species like a key predator out of the picture and nothing particularly important will happen as a result. Emerging diseases are going to become a larger and larger concern, as this century progresses. Oh, its not going to be the end of humanity by any means. It's just going to be a premature end to a lot of individual lives; the loss of jobs based on ecological wealth; a diminution of those aspects of quality of life that depend on a diverse and benign environment.

      It's simplistic to lay this kind of thing at the feet of global warming. What's going on is habitat disruption on a large scale, consisting of many different factors. However: global warming is a trend that is reducing the margin of viability for many organisms, which means we'll see huge spikes in some organisms (weedy species, almost certainly quite a few pathogens and pathogen transmitters) and drops in others.

      The critical environmental news here isn't the loss of species, although that is important. The big news, of which species loss is a harbinger, is the shifting and breaking down of habitats.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  15. Its not global warming, its a new fungus. by catmistake · · Score: 3, Informative

    EXTINCTION CRISIS FOR AMPHIBIANS

    this time its not our fault... but maybe we can help them (or... is it not nice to fool with Mother Nature?)

    1. Re:Its not global warming, its a new fungus. by AaronLawrence · · Score: 1

      From your own article
      "While the spread of the disease is a major new threat to all amphibians, the scientists reported that the greatest current danger to every threatened species is still the loss of habitat as cities and suburbs expand, streams and ponds and wetlands give way to the needs of farmers, and forest lands are destroyed. "

      --
      For every expert, there is an equal and opposite expert. - Arthur C. Clarke
  16. Indeed by copponex · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Let's say you had a group of tool wielding apes who had advanced to such a high level of technology that their activities changed the environment, and upset millions of years of evolution and balance. Despite detecting this early on, they failed to adapt the way the transport themselves, the amount of natural resources they needlessly consume, and did nothing to change course.

    Let's say those apes did not survive the correction that the environment made to re-establish equilibrium. Wouldn't that be a tragedy.

    You can make all the excuses you want for yourself, but your children don't exist on rhetoric, they exist on planet earth. If you're even willing to take a chance on continuing the path that has led to the decline of every single system of life on earth since the industrial revolution, you're mad, or a fool, or both.

    The epidemic of cancer is certainly proof that something that we are doing to the planet it making it and us very ill, let alone the undeniable evidence, built up over the last fifty years, that wherever industrial developments are, vibrant ecosystems are not.

    1. Re:Indeed by it_begins · · Score: 0, Offtopic
      The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky

      I would rather fly in an airplane built by a "tyranical" corporation than one built by the "democratic" government.

    2. Re:Indeed by caitsith01 · · Score: 1

      The government has a defect: it's potentially democratic. Corporations have no defect: they're pure tyrannies. -Chomsky

      I would rather fly in an airplane built by a "tyranical" corporation than one built by the "democratic" government.

      Yes, but would you rather let each airline regulate airline safety, or let the inefficient ol' democratic government stick it's oar in?

      --
      Read Pynchon.
    3. Re:Indeed by caitsith01 · · Score: 0, Redundant

      its not it's... grrrr

      --
      Read Pynchon.
    4. Re:Indeed by copponex · · Score: 1

      Oh... you mean airplanes built with advanced technology which was developed with public money, under the banner of national defense?

      Lockheed Martin, year 2007, received 33 billion dollars in contracts from the US government. (FYI, we spend 90 billion on the entire Department of Education. So there's an indication of priorities...) Every other private corporation that has developed radically new technology is pretty much the same - follow the money, and you end up at the DoD, or a public university, or some grant by the Department of Energy. But I understand if you don't... it would shatter your preconceived and anecdotal belief system that has nothing to do with reality.

    5. Re:Indeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "epidemic" of cancer is due to better detection and science of medicine. More people used to just have "died of a sudden" on their death certificates. We're living longer, and cells going nuts as they age as well as/because of incurring more cosmic and background radiation than they would have.

    6. Re:Indeed by Carewolf · · Score: 1

      Take allergies or obesity, but not cancer. While we are still finding new minor causes to cancer, we do know the primary and most significant cause: Old age. This is why it was less common earlier and why it is still much less common in less developed countries. There is no evidence that among young people cancer is any more common today than 200 years ago.

    7. Re:Indeed by copponex · · Score: 1

      I'd be interested to read the study that has some statistical evidence to back your claim up.

    8. Re:Indeed by it_begins · · Score: 1
      Your rambling nonsensical "answer" has me baffled as to how to respond. It's probably due to my limited intellect and narrow world view.

      It sounds like you said the government pays the evil corporations to build planes. I must have misunderstood.

    9. Re:Indeed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The epidemic of cancer is certainly proof that...

      ...medicine has solved all the easier causes of death? Like say, most childhood diseases?

    10. Re:Indeed by copponex · · Score: 1

      One of the few ways to solve extremely complicated engineering problems is to pour billions upon billions of dollars into researching the problem. The only entity with enough money to do this is the government, and that's the same with nearly all technology. You may recall that computers were developed to solve military equations at huge expense to taxpayers.

      The point is that the advantage of a free market isn't an advantage without huge welfare payments from the government. Why bother with corporations when we could simply continue directing our money towards technology that we want, doing things like building schools and colleges and hospitals that actually benefit taxpayers, instead of investing our money in destroying other humans.

    11. Re:Indeed by lwsimon · · Score: 1

      You're being entirely non-sensical, which isn't surprising after I note the Chomsky quote. I've never seen anything that man wrote that made any sense.

      Perhaps, when i get home and have some free time, I shall set fire to your strawmen.

      --
      Learn about Photography Basics.
    12. Re:Indeed by brizzadizza · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      He's not presenting nonsense, you're being obtuse. His argument is that the reason we have such wonderfully developed and complex engineering marvels is because of "democratically" distributed funds advancing the research and design of solutions to difficult engineering problems. He establishes that as his main premise, and implies the conclusion that if we are already doing research for private companies with public funds, we could just scratch out the middle man and do public research with public funds that would go to the benefit of the contributors, the public. You could retort that many large scale engineering feats were conceived by and implemented by profit driven companies and then provide a list that the slashdot readership could research, which would indicate his premise was false and his conclusion would follow to be likely false as well. Instead you decided to be a dick.

      As regards Noam Chomsky, he is an enormously well read man who offers volumes of citations to support his arguments. You can clearly disagree with his interpretation of the data, but to claim that it doesn't make any sense only demonstrates your difficulty with reading comprehension. Chomsky has made time tested contributions to the field of linguistics and has made critiques of current cultural trends that any intelligent person would do well to at least consider. Your designation is little more than an attempt to poison the well against the GP by associating his writings with your flawed understanding of Chomsky's. You and the great-grandparent are both exactly whats wrong with slashdot. You may be "clever" within some approximation of the word, but intelligent you are not.

      Brandon

    13. Re:Indeed by wassabison · · Score: 1

      The epidemic of cancer is certainly proof that something that we are doing to the planet it making it and us very ill, let alone the undeniable evidence, built up over the last fifty years, that wherever industrial developments are, vibrant ecosystems are not.

      Is there evidence that there is an epidemic of cancer? We all have to die of something, and with longer lives, I would expect more cancer. Also, when did cancer diagnosis become the norm, as opposed calling it a normal death?

    14. Re:Indeed by LingNoi · · Score: 1

      You could retort that many large scale engineering feats were conceived by and implemented by profit driven companies

      Interesting point but lets not forget that the corporations that build such marvels as the brooklyn bridge where corporations that were setup for one sole purpose, a time before corporations were about profit and share holders.

  17. Something missing from the story? by it_begins · · Score: 1
    I remember in an episode of X-Files where Mulder talks about a worldwide dying off of frogs, and it only started just happening - most likely due to the ravages of mankind's lifestyle. That much is true.

    What was never addressed was the fact that the amphibians were dying off because researchers (who were trying to protect and count them) carried microbial parasites from one frog hole to the next. They would return to a hole a while later and presto many dead frogs.

    End of the story:

    *If you are a frog counting biologist - just jump to the immediate conclusion man is bad. End story. No need to go on.

    *If you are a normal person - "wait a second, isn't there more to the story"? FCB - "no there isn't" NP - "but I thought YOU were actually responsible for ..." FCB "The story is over, discussion is over, no more questions, man is bad - period"

    1. Re:Something missing from the story? by Culture20 · · Score: 1

      The FCB is human, ergo...

  18. Re:Bullshit on Bullshit! by Valdrax · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Personally, I wouldn't take advice on the law or public policy from two jokers who make a living from misdirection and yelling profanity at reasoned arguments.

    Furthermore, I wouldn't cite as evidence of how horrible the ESA is a video that builds part of its argument around the notion that there is no mass extinction event going on right now in an article about a mass extinction event going on right now.

    Good Lord, give me back the past 30 minutes of my life. What an irritating mishmash of profanity, name-calling, and irrational conservative talking points. Lindy's story was kind of sad, but the impact of the story was blunted severely by all the smug, sneering, venomous, and immature posturing that overlay it.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  19. Amphibians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    The responses here are infuriating.. Why are nerds so insensitive? How can paving 25% of the land and doubling population multiple times not be pushing other species off the edge? Dont we produce tens of thousands of industrial chemical in huge volumes that had not been in the environment previously? The list of 'mistakes' by industrialists, not to mention the by-products of our massive wars, is too long to list. ugh.. listen up

    1. Re:Amphibians by Dr.+Evil · · Score: 1

      It's not that they're insensitive. It's that some are trying to appear smart by poking holes in the theory, and others are looking for holes to excuse the unpopular position that they DO NOT CARE.

      The idiots who are trying to appear smart by poking holes in the theory are ignoring that whether or not man is responsible is irrelevant. Yes, it is irrelevant. Yes, the overwhelming evidence is that man is responsible, but even if man is NOT responsible, 1/3 of amphibians are STILL dying out and climate change is still happening. Even if it is part of a natural cycle of global extinction, climate change is STILL happening.

      For those who do not care. They have a very reasonable position. If we do nothing, it will not impact them in their lifetime. It's their children's problem, it's somebody else's problem, why should we change and put in all the resources and effort and hardship into fixing problems now when they 1. Might not actually be all that serious, 2. People in future generations might be able to fix it more easily with their technology. 3 People in future generations may simply adapt to the change using their technology e.g. relocating, rebuilding, new energy sources etc.

      FFS, it IS happening. IF you don't care, just say "I DON'T CARE", but don't pretend that it is not happening and that there is not a good lump of evidence that regardless of whether or not man caused it, that there is something that man can do about it.

      Global economic change is global and will not affect your retirement and will not seriously affect your SUV or whatever it is that you're concerned that the eco-bunnies are going to take away from you. Not in your lifetime anyway. Go along with it and stop making stupid arguments about the semantics. It is a new economy based on a theory that regardless of the cause, if we continue as we're continuing, future generations have a very good chance of being completely and totally FUCKED.

  20. Impressive! by narcberry · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Is there anything global warming can't do?

    --
    Modding me -1 troll doesn't make me wrong.
    1. Re:Impressive! by gooman · · Score: 1

      Depends on what you want to tax.

      --
      "Kittens give Morbo gas!"
    2. Re:Impressive! by it_begins · · Score: 1

      What we need to start asking ourselves is "What would global warming do?"

    3. Re:Impressive! by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Funny

      Convince Republicans.

    4. Re:Impressive! by Saige · · Score: 1

      Make life easier for us.

      --
      "You know your god is man-made when he hates all the same people you do."
    5. Re:Impressive! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Produce rational arguments!

  21. From the article you linked. by Valdrax · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But even the containment of Chytrid might not be enough to save amphibians, which face a barrage of other threats including pollution, the introduction of alien species, habitat destruction, over-collection, and climate change.

    Gosh, I guess we shouldn't worry at all then! I mean, if Chytrid is screwing them over, it's not like we should bother with climate change. I mean, why put out a cancer patient on fire? The cancer's going to kill 'em anyway.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    1. Re:From the article you linked. by sdguero · · Score: 1

      I mean, why put out a cancer patient on fire? The cancer's going to kill 'em anyway.

      Flawed premise. The article that the original poster linked lists climate change as a secondary threat (among others).

      That means fighting global warming to save amphibians is like treating a cancer patient with chemotherapy while they are on fire, falling off a cliff, and having a heart attack.

  22. Question by Toonol · · Score: 2, Interesting

    How did amphibians survive the much greater temperature swings in Earth's history? They've been around for a long time. Were there partial extinctions and then they rediversified?

    1. Re:Question by wikinerd · · Score: 1

      Maybe humans change the environment very quickly and amphibians have no time to adapt and mutate.

    2. Re:Question by conureman · · Score: 1

      For thousands of millennia, amphibians have managed to survive without exposure to Atrazine. Change has occurred. RTFA. IMO our new Fungal Overlords are the real story. Many humans depend on wheat for species survival. Diversity wanted. YMMV.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  23. I have seen a little farther... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I see the concrete, but where are these apes you speak of? Place is deserted...

  24. It's both! by Valdrax · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In addition to what the previous person responding to your post mentioned, it's worth noting that some researchers think the most likely origin of the spread of this fungus to a wide range of habitats is due to widespread use of a research frog species from Africa, though there is some evidence that puts some doubt on that.

    Another prominent theory is mentioned in the article you linked:

    In Costa Rica's Cloud Forest Preserve of the Tropical Science Center, biologist J. Alan Pounds and his colleagues recently reported the total disappearance of the Monteverde harlequin frog, along with one golden toad species -- caused, he said in the journal Nature, by their increased susceptibility to chytrid disease as rising global temperatures have weakened their ability to resist the toxin.

    In other words, chytrid is likely to either be an invasive species introduced around the world by human actions or a species that amphibians were previously able to resist before rising temperatures weakened them. Or both. Either way, saying "this time its [sic] not our fault" is disingenuous at best.

    --
    If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    1. Re:It's both! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Humanity is just a big boulder rolling along. Changing course can be done, but it costs enregy. That includes standing up from TV and use the windows to regulate room climate and not the air con. Humanity is lazy.

      Many people claim that environment friendly technics will destroy employment. Yes it will. On the other hand it will provide many more new jobs than it will destroy.

      Funny how we say 'adapt or die', but WE don't adapt ourselves.

      It is like fishing quotas in europe. The quota is higher than the quota that could be sustained by the environment so there are less fish every year. Why is the quota higher? Because we can save jobs this year in an expense of even more jobs next year.

      ac

    2. Re:It's both! by catmistake · · Score: 1

      In addition to what the previous person responding to your post mentioned, it's worth noting that some researchers think the most likely origin of the spread of this fungus to a wide range of habitats is due to widespread use of a research frog species from Africa, though there is some evidence that puts some doubt on that.

      certainly an interesting theory

      Another prominent theory is mentioned in the article you linked:

      In Costa Rica's Cloud Forest Preserve of the Tropical Science Center, biologist J. Alan Pounds and his colleagues recently reported the total disappearance of the Monteverde harlequin frog, along with one golden toad species -- caused, he said in the journal Nature, by their increased susceptibility to chytrid disease as rising global temperatures have weakened their ability to resist the toxin.

      Well, I know Karen Lipps personally, and that's not how she explained to me. Its the fungus. Not increased susceptibility to the fungus. The fungus is 100% fatal in healthy frogs, so... I'm not sure where the frogs gain any ground by having their habitat intact or not... sounds like a red herring from someone capitalizing on her work... but I admit I'm quite a bit biased in that regard.

      In other words, chytrid is likely to either be an invasive species introduced around the world by human actions or a species that amphibians were previously able to resist before rising temperatures weakened them. Or both.

      You're conclusions do not follow from the premises. You may as well say "In completely different words and meaning..."

      Either way, saying "this time its [sic] not our fault" is disingenuous at best.

      And what of TFA? Shame on SciAm for hardly mentioning the hard science (the fungus), and not even by name, but instead giving us what amounts to an editorial. Put my comment in light of that, and remember its an election year, and you'll see I'm just trying to balance out the FUD.

    3. Re:It's both! by bcwright · · Score: 1

      before rising temperatures weakened them.

      Oh please. Except in arctic and alpine habitats, temperatures just haven't risen very much (yet) - certainly far less than normal yearly variation, not even to mention seasonal variation. At most, global warming could be having an effect in temperate and tropical areas by changing global rain distribution patterns and causing some areas to become drier and others wetter - but that would just mean that the amphibian populations would (in effect) move around, not be in a global decline.

      There are plenty of other changes caused by human activity that would have a more direct effect on amphibian habitat - pollution and deliberate habitat destruction (draining the marshes to make more farmland, for example). Some of these might well weaken populations that could resist the fungus before so that they could no longer resist it.

      My bet would be on the introduction of novel strains of the fungus to which many populations have not yet developed resistance. This is one of the classic scenarios of human intervention - the introduction (deliberate or not) of species into locations far removed from their original habitat.

    4. Re:It's both! by bcwright · · Score: 1

      Another prominent theory is mentioned in the article you linked: [quote from SF Chronicle]

      Sigh. It seems that there is some kind of requirement lately for news reporters (of whatever stripe) to be both innumerate and scientifically illiterate. And the worst of it is, too often they can't even seem to write grammatically correct sentences in their mother tongue. The barbarians are at the gates!

      I suppose that this will likely get modded as flamebait, but it's intended as an honest assessment of the sorry state of our society. You can't trust anything you read in the "popular" press, of which the SF Chronicle is undoubtedly a member. Even SciAm is no longer a reliable publication. Even as science has become more advanced and complex, the knowledge of science by popular science writers has declined precipitously.

      If you want the real scoop on any scientific story, your only reliable choice is to go to primary sources, but nowadays that's beyond the ability of most of the non-science-educated public.

      Sigh, again.

    5. Re:It's both! by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      Well, I know Karen Lipps personally, and that's not how she explained to me. Its the fungus. Not increased susceptibility to the fungus. The fungus is 100% fatal in healthy frogs, so... I'm not sure where the frogs gain any ground by having their habitat intact or not... sounds like a red herring from someone capitalizing on her work... but I admit I'm quite a bit biased in that regard.

      That's interesting, because a search on scholar.google.com for her name and chytrid (and longer versions of the name of the disease) turns up no papers that she's authored on the matter. Could you point me to some?

      And what of TFA? Shame on SciAm for hardly mentioning the hard science (the fungus), and not even by name, but instead giving us what amounts to an editorial.

      Did we read the same article?

      Throughout the tropics, amphibians are also falling prey to a devastating disease, believed to be exacerbated by climate change: chytrid fungus. This pathogen is marching though Central America at present, leaving silent streams--those without the chorus of dozens of frog species--behind.

      Also, as I've linked in another post in discussion, there's hard science behind the other claims, including the atrazine one.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    6. Re:It's both! by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Well, I know Karen Lipps personally, and that's not how she explained to me. Its the fungus. Not increased susceptibility to the fungus. The fungus is 100% fatal in healthy frogs, so... I'm not sure where the frogs gain any ground by having their habitat intact or not... sounds like a red herring from someone capitalizing on her work... but I admit I'm quite a bit biased in that regard.

      That's interesting, because a search on scholar.google.com for her name and chytrid (and longer versions of the name of the disease) turns up no papers that she's authored on the matter. Could you point me to some?

      hmm... I'm beginning to think you are a special kind of troll. If I'm wrong, apologies... but I'm reading a certain subtext to your responses... like instead of merely drawing in the information... you are resistant to it and merely wish to show that you are, well... smarter. You should know I just don't care, and I have no agenda... My feeling is that to blame something on "global warming" is like blaming it on the rain.

      Did you try just searching for "Karen Lipps?" At any rate, scholar.google.com is hardly definitive... most scholarly articles are NOT available online, most of the ones that are require an expensive subscription to access. Furthermore, I believe Karen did much of her discovery and research before google existed, her work may very well not be available online, subscription or not. And, of course, like many things google, that is still beta. Also, I am search-engine-challenged.

      And what of TFA? Shame on SciAm for hardly mentioning the hard science (the fungus), and not even by name, but instead giving us what amounts to an editorial.

      Did we read the same article?

      Throughout the tropics, amphibians are also falling prey to a devastating disease, believed to be exacerbated by climate change: chytrid fungus. This pathogen is marching though Central America at present, leaving silent streams--those without the chorus of dozens of frog species--behind.

      The name of the fungus is not chytrid fungus... that's the kind of fungus it is. The name is Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis. SciAm never used to take these kinds of shortcuts.

      Also, as I've linked in another post in discussion, there's hard science behind the other claims, including the atrazine one.

      Well, sure I think there is likely hard science behind the shrinking habitat... that's easy to prove. But linking shrinking habitat to a frog's immune system... I seriously doubt that. Also, while there is hard science behind global warming, in that it is happening, I find any science that claims or blames global warming for any number of things suspect. Not that global warming doesn't have many adverse affects on many many things... but proving this as hard science is another matter. Also, sorry, I did not read your other post or follow those links.

      I'm not a biologist... in fact, I'd consider myself biologically challenged (I have lots of challenges), however, I'd like to give you a metaphor for how I think Karen is related and of prime importance to the discovery of and the extent of her research in the area using an area I feel a bit more comfortable in... pop music.

      Paul Simon releases Graceland... and many laud his use of South African musicians and South African music on the record. Good record... but Peter Gabriel actually used South African musicians on a record earlier. Most don't know this, and give Simon credit for opening up South Africa's music to the world. In this metaphor... I'd say Karen is sorta like... David Byrne.

  25. I don't need study to tell me that by SupremoMan · · Score: 1

    Humans are fucking with stuff they don't understand. Raise Earth's average temperature 1 degree, what's the big deal right? 3-4 degrees won't hurt. People have no fucking clue what it will do, and that's why they shouldn't fuck with it.

    1. Re:I don't need study to tell me that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since that's never happened before right?

  26. aww, just our luck that... by Digitus1337 · · Score: 0

    It's the good 1/3!

  27. the Fierce Creatures effect by Fractal+Dice · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'm a pretty green-leaning person and the last thing I want to do is deprive people who have devoted the best years of their life studying herpetology from getting grant money to make a living, but I think amphibian decline research is bordering dangerously on public relations BS pseudo-science.

    Amphibian populations are notoriously hard to measure accurately. Populations rise and fall wildly. When you go out to do your first sample, if you're not careful there's often a heavy bias to picking the area with the highest population, so when you do your followup study and that pond has returned to a normal population, it looks like you've detected population decline. That's not to say amphibians aren't wildly vulnerable to all the usual things humans do to an environment: drain it, pave it, spray it. But rather than get half the environmentally-sensitive population panicking randomly about crisis, I'd rather see 1% or 0.1% of the population deeply educated in field biology as serious hobby, keeping long-term consistent records of observations and measurements.

    ( by the way, the best way to completely destroy a long term population study of a pond is to dredge it and add fish to make it "look more natural" )

    1. Re:the Fierce Creatures effect by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      Amphibian populations are notoriously hard to measure accurately. Populations rise and fall wildly. When you go out to do your first sample, if you're not careful there's often a heavy bias to picking the area with the highest population, so when you do your followup study and that pond has returned to a normal population, it looks like you've detected population decline.

      See, now that's the first intelligent argument I've seen for not worrying as much about the problem. Is there any way to get a more accurate sampling of amphibian species, and is there a way to control for the noise, and is there any reason to presume your more likely to overcount population initially than undercount it?

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
    2. Re:the Fierce Creatures effect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm a pretty green-leaning person and the last thing I want to do is deprive people who have devoted the best years of their life studying herpetology from getting grant money to make a living, but I think amphibian decline research is bordering dangerously on public relations BS pseudo-science.

      Amphibian populations are notoriously hard to measure accurately. Populations rise and fall wildly. When you go out to do your first sample, if you're not careful there's often a heavy bias to picking the area with the highest population, so when you do your followup study and that pond has returned to a normal population, it looks like you've detected population decline. That's not to say amphibians aren't wildly vulnerable to all the usual things humans do to an environment: drain it, pave it, spray it. But rather than get half the environmentally-sensitive population panicking randomly about crisis, I'd rather see 1% or 0.1% of the population deeply educated in field biology as serious hobby, keeping long-term consistent records of observations and measurements.

      ( by the way, the best way to completely destroy a long term population study of a pond is to dredge it and add fish to make it "look more natural" )

      citations needed...

  28. As Kosh might say... by Fleeced · · Score: 1

    "They are alone. They are a dying species. We should let them pass"

    1. Re:As Kosh might say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But stopping global warming may be their last, best hope

    2. Re:As Kosh might say... by Fleeced · · Score: 1

      The avalanche has already started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote.

  29. Vision shall come to you in time, grasshopper. by RudeIota · · Score: 1

    They are in the concrete...

    --
    Fact: Everything I say is fiction.
    1. Re:Vision shall come to you in time, grasshopper. by Valdrax · · Score: 1

      I prefer in the silicon myself, but mayhaps we have both been reading too much Kurzweil.

      --
      If it's for-profit but free, you're not the customer -- you're the product (e.g., the Slashdot Beta's "audience").
  30. Not just amphibians... by Karellen · · Score: 1

    They're only a part of the Holocene extinction event.

    --
    Why doesn't the gene pool have a life guard?
  31. Mod Parent up! He is right... by Tranvisor · · Score: 5, Informative

    The cause of worldwide amphibian population declines is the Chytrid Fungus. However many do think that global warming is making the situation happen faster and to a more serious degree. Here is some quick links if you want to read more on the subject ...

    From Nat Geo:

    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/04/080401-frog-fungus.html

    The NY Times:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2006/07/04/science/04frog.html

    The CDC:

    http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol10no12/03-0804.htm

  32. Facts not feelings by it_begins · · Score: 1
    You must not be a "nerd", or you might be able to do sophisticated math like this:

    Even in the most populous state (California), only 800 square miles are developed out of 155,000. Gee, that leaves us with a mere 99% left to work with. What will we do?

    We nerds are insensitive - especially to people who believe any crap they want (25%, hah!) because they want to believe it, and who can't do basic fact checking and math. Most of the environmental movement is based on "feeling" and not facts. When you let anecdotes dictate your philosophy, you are doomed to live in unhappiness.

    1. Re:Facts not feelings by XSpud · · Score: 1

      And of the 99% remaining, what percentage is given over to monoculture? An acre of orange trees is as uninhabitable to a frog as an acre of concrete.

  33. the easy solution: spread to areas they can thrive by Tumbleweed · · Score: 1

    Send some of our remaining frogs to Australia, say, in exchange for some Koalas, maybe. I'm sure nothing could possibly go wrong.

  34. The fundamental problem with this by caitsith01 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Even though we may want to, there is no way we can save every species from extinction. We talk time and again about survival of the fittest in science class, yet we can't seem to acknowledge that species must adapt or die. Animal species that are hardy will thrive. Those who are not will not.

    The problem with this type of reasoning is that we have evolved to a stage where we can "beat" any other species. Human-level intelligence has transformed evolutionary competition into a straight out massacre. We also have the ability to change the environment in ways which are effectively catacylsmic from the point of view of evolution - if you radically alter the environment over the course of a few decades or even centuries, then there is nowhere near enough time for a typical vertebrate to adapt via natural selection to a hostile environment.

    If we are indeed affecting the climate, as seems likely, then I find it plausible to think that we could quite easily end up wiping out most species on earth, save for a few super-hardy ones. Unfortunately we will probably survive ourselves, which hardly seems fair. If you want to compete until the end, I hope you like the sound of a future filled with cockroaches, feral cats, rabbits, rats and flies because those are the types of animals which will thrive in a man made environmental apocalypse.

    I would like to think that if we are intelligent enough to realise that we have the power to exterminate the other varieties of life on earth, then we are also intelligent enough to realise why we shouldn't (including both cold rational reasons and aesthetic/moral reasons).

    Do you really believe that it is ok on any level if, say, every last tiger dies as a result of human impact on the environment? What if we go out and shoot them all? Because we could, and it sounds like you're saying that would be good and proper, or at least 'evolutionarily correct' in some way.

    --
    Read Pynchon.
    1. Re:The fundamental problem with this by linuxrocks123 · · Score: 1

      Rabbits are cute...

      --
      vi ~/.emacs # I'm probably going to Hell for this.
    2. Re:The fundamental problem with this by DamienNightbane · · Score: 1

      A cat is fine too. :3

    3. Re:The fundamental problem with this by johanatan · · Score: 0

      Well, technically, that would be 'evolutionary correct'. And what you reductionists seem to fail to see is that murder (homicide) is perfectly acceptable and even encouraged in a purely evolutionary worldview--a worldview that has given humanity such gems as Hitler, Pol Pot, and Stalin.

  35. Don't challenge the sacred chants by caitsith01 · · Score: 1

    correlationisnotcausation
    correlationisnotcausation
    correlationisnotcausation

    I swear, half of the people who write tags on stories on this site would leave their hand on a red hot hotplate to burn whilst arguing that the pain in their hand correlates to the hotplate being red hot, but that clearly as correlation != causation we should consider the other theories about burning hands which are given less airtime by the ignorant media, who do not understand deductive science as well as we do.

    correlationisnotcausation
    correlationisnotcausation
    correlationisnotcausation

    --
    Read Pynchon.
    1. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by linuxrocks123 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Since you apparently don't understand the difference, I'll spell it out for you:

      You put your hand on the hot plate. It burns.
      Experimental variable: location of hand
      Extraneous variables: none
      Valid conclusion (if it's reproducible): Moving your hand to the hot plate caused it to burn.

      Amphibians are dying out.
      Experimental variable: "Global warming"
      Extraneous variables: f***ing everything
      Valid conclusion: none

      Now, this isn't a perfect argument: you can do things like argue that all the extraneous variables are obviously not really important given what we know about ecology or whatever -- but it certainly demands a more reasoned response than ignorant mocking.

      --
      vi ~/.emacs # I'm probably going to Hell for this.
    2. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by jambox · · Score: 1

      Well done, that is absolutely priceless! :)

      I mean certainly the media is more or less to blame for this phenomenon by constantly reporting statistical correlations as "a link" without really explaining or understanding what it means. But people who mindlessly chant it in response to any and all statistical inferences are just as dumb - and much funnier.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    3. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by conureman · · Score: 2, Informative

      RTFA
      RTFA
      RTFA

      The problem seems to be chemicals affecting hormonal response, pH change causing fungal plagues, and excessive loss of habitat. Climate change merely increases the habitat destruction. The pH induced fungal plagues currently eradicating some of our plant species don't get much press, IMO that may be the larger problem. Here on /. the perception problem is observable, clearly some of Y'ALL aren't paying attention.

      --
      The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    4. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      GFY

      Agenda Agenda Funding Agenda

    5. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      The Globe is warming
      Experimental variable: "man-made increase in CO2" - correlates
      Experimental variables: "Something Else" - doesn't correlate
      "Valid" conclusion: it must be Something Else (TM).

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

    6. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Climate models account for your so called "extraneous variables". In fact, climate models take into account everything researchers have identified has even possibly having an effect on the climate.

      It also turns out that there are several valid conclusions that can be made. The simplest of these is that humans have direct and profound impact on the environment. It doesn't take a scientist to make this conclusion, though. The easiest way to see the truth is a simple thought experiment:

      Q: If you wanted to kill a species, what would be the most direct and effect strategy?

      A: Alter the land upon which it lives enough such that it can no longer survive. How? Well, for amphibians, who are sensitive to temperature and humidity changes, altering the yearly average temperature would be quite effective. How can we do that? Well, if we build a giant greenhouse, we can trap light inside of it, thereby raising temperatures year-round. Or, you can put highly absorbing gases in the atmosphere, thereby reducing the amount of light that escapes, thereby raising year-round temperatures.

    7. Re:Don't challenge the sacred chants by BadOPCode · · Score: 1

      What are you talking about? We have already solved the answers to Life, the Universe and Everything. It's 42. We know everything there is to know about weather, climate, ecology, biology, geographical, and basically all earth sciences. In fact... i'm not even sure why any government is still funding research in these fields. Obviously there isn't a need any more as we have already figured out everything. So much so that it is safe for us to mock all those who dare question.

  36. Global worming effect on taiga by S3D · · Score: 1

    From the gripping hand global warming begin turning huge expanses of northern taiga forests to wetlands. Aren't wetlands an ideal environment for amphibians ?

  37. That could be the natural course of nature.. by ferryca · · Score: 1

    I don't think its only our fault and the global warming we are blamed for that caused the distinguishing of these 2,000 amphibian species. Everything that happens is correlated to previous and current human deeds, to the forces of nature and to natural laws of evolution. If the global warming did not endanger them, I suppose something else would.

    1. Re:That could be the natural course of nature.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You supposed wrong... sorry.

  38. The Problem Is Too Many Humans!!! by Janeshat · · Score: 1

    When trying to maintain a balance amoung animals it is often necessary to cull the herd from time to time. Like in america where hunters are often told to hunt deer when their pupulation gets too high. We do this because there are no longer wolves r primitive man to kill off the deer. If we do not do this then many deer starve and become diseased because of limited resources. While I do not think we have to start culling the human herd yet, I do think it is time we start to make it unpopular to have more than 2 children. We could have a "Save the planet, stop breeding!" campaign. :) I usually do not agree with Chinese policy, but I thik they have it right on this one.

    1. Re:The Problem Is Too Many Humans!!! by brizzadizza · · Score: 1

      Y'know, I've wondered about buck hunting in the past. I will preface this by stating I know next to nothing about any type of hunting and would love to hear some facts from a hunter or ranger. I've wondered whether human hunting could, in the long term, negatively affect the deer herds by taking out the best breeding stock? My reasoning is that in general human hunters aren't killing the weak and the sick bucks, they're killing the big healthy multi-pronged bucks, presumably the best genes in the population.

      Is this a problem for the deer herds? If it is, what steps are undertaken to prevent a genetically inferior herd? Do we cull sick and weak animals as well as large and picturesque animals? I was just wondering.

      Brandon

    2. Re:The Problem Is Too Many Humans!!! by TheBig1 · · Score: 1

      A culling is needed? Bring on the Wraith!

    3. Re:The Problem Is Too Many Humans!!! by Janeshat · · Score: 1

      The theory is that by thinning the herd, you increase the resources for the remainder, and therefore create healthier conditions for all. Killing off a dominant male will really do little harm to the pack since a less dominant male will just take over. you really only need one male for breeding in the herd anyway. Some states and most hunters try to avoid hunting pregnant females aand young deer though, since healthy young deer are essential to a herd. This theory has also worked with humans if you look at the period of time after certain pandemics, plagues, or wars. The people left alive had plenty of resources and a lot of wealth so their quality of life went up even though a lot of healthy young males were killed.

  39. Of course it was sarcasm! by it_begins · · Score: 1
    Two articles, but the same magazine and by the same journalist. NO, there's nothing behind THAT curtain.

    BTW, I notice that the professor of heliophysics quoted says there is no relation between sunspots and solar output. Goes a long way to make that point.

    Okay, but that's not the theory that is argued. It's not whether solar spots are related to output, but whether the sun's total output rises and falls. And in fact, it does. It also coincides nicely with earthside temperature variations. BTW, I'll see your article and raise you one: http://www.dukenews.duke.edu/2005/09/sunwarm.html

    ... must just be some crackpots from Duke... http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/sun_output_030320.html

    and Columbia ... and .. well, I could go on with several dozen other links, but who what's the point. Google it yourself if you want. If we're all gonna die, I have better things to do. Come to think if it, I do even if we aren't all gonna die.

    1. Re:Of course it was sarcasm! by dexmachina · · Score: 1

      Same magazine, same journalist, two studies. If you want to make an argument about the quality of the studies or the slant of the articles, go right ahead. Questioning someone about the quality of their sources is part of a good debate. However, you accused the parent of being deceptive. If you really have a good argument, it will speak for itself. This isn't about sunspots or earthside temperature variations. This is about having discussion about an issue and keeping it about the issue.

    2. Re:Of course it was sarcasm! by Lars+T. · · Score: 1

      BTW, I'll see your article and raise you one: http://www.dukenews.duke.edu/2005/09/sunwarm.html

      ... must just be some crackpots from Duke...

      "Study does not discount the suspected contributions of 'greenhouse gases' in elevating surface temperatures"

      http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/sun_output_030320.html

      and Columbia

      "That does not mean industrial pollution has not been a significant factor, Willson cautioned."

      ... and .. well, I could go on with several dozen other links, but who what's the point. Google it yourself if you want. If we're all gonna die, I have better things to do. Come to think if it, I do even if we aren't all gonna die.

      And you would still end up with man made global warming.

      --

      Lars T.

      To the guy who modded me down from perfect to terrible Karma - Apple haters still suck

  40. facepalm by Xanavi · · Score: 1

    "A combination of environmental assaults, INCLUDING GLOBAL WARMING, seems to be responsible." What is with the mindless hype nowadays? Will there ever be a time when actual facts rule the day?

  41. Inflow by The+Clockwork+Troll · · Score: 1

    What is the rate at which new amphibian species are emerging, to replace the endangered?

    --

    There are no karma whores, only moderation johns
  42. Cancer 'epidemic' by RudeIota · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The epidemic of cancer is certainly proof that something that we are doing to the planet it making it and us very ill, let alone the undeniable evidence, built up over the last fifty years, that wherever industrial developments are, vibrant ecosystems are not.

    I don't think the basis of your argument deserves the kind of consideration that your point itself does.

    The industrial junk we've been pumping out can't be good; I don't think you'll find many people that are pro-pollution... The problem with your argument is studies show cancer has been decreasing for decades -- not just mortality, but also the diagnosis and development of. Considering detection has certainly improved and pollution has certainly NOT improved, it should be on the rise in a big way. Why the discrepancy? It did increase during the 70s and 80s, but was that because of better detection rates? It is easy to write it off as such, but who knows... I don't -- and neither do you.

    Unfortunately, that's the problem. We don't have much reliable data to follow because the data itself has been a work in progress for decades. For example, whether or not you believe they have an agenda, the National Cancer Institute shows this downward trend, and it continues. I'm sure if you went back to 1930 or something, cancer rates per capita were far, far lower though; however, you cannot get accurate numbers because many people would have not been treated or improperly diagnosed. It's pretty easy to fudge the numbers and statistics to indeed lie.

    As I'm sure you know though, the problem with 'the evidence' is it is difficult to concretely prove... either way. There are just too many variables to take in account with living organisms to do meaningful, empirical tests that prove something without a shadow of a doubt. Sadly, not many people will listen until such links can be made unequivocally.

    In short, I wouldn't use cancer as your 'undeniable evidence', but your point/intentions are good and I personally agree with you, although probably to a lesser degree.

    --
    Fact: Everything I say is fiction.
    1. Re:Cancer 'epidemic' by bcwright · · Score: 1

      The industrial junk we've been pumping out can't be good; I don't think you'll find many people that are pro-pollution... The problem with your argument is studies show cancer has been decreasing for decades -- not just mortality, but also the diagnosis and development of. Considering detection has certainly improved and pollution has certainly NOT improved, it should be on the rise in a big way.

      *ack* *choke*

      You can't be serious - in virtually all Western countries, pollution has been greatly reduced in recent years (Nota Bene: Not eliminated, but certainly reduced). Look at practically any pictures of industrial America or Europe from the 19th or early 20th Century, or read some of the contemporary accounts from the time. Moreover, such things as tobacco use have also greatly declined in Western countries. It's hardly surprising that the incidence of cancer should have gone down in the West - which is what you're looking at when you look at the NCI statistics.

      On the other hand, both pollution and cancer (and often even tobacco use) are on the rise in many "third-world" countries. Hardly a big surprise there either.

      In addition, in many places in Western countries there is now actually MORE natural habitat than there was 100 years ago. In those days, marginal agriculture was practiced even in the developed world, taking up vast tracts of land which have since reverted to a more natural state. Just consider how the balance of population has shifted in that time: 100 years ago, most of our ancestors were farmers, or at least very closely tied to the support of farming; nowadays farmers have become a much smaller slice of the population. The development of megacities with endless suburbia might threaten that to some extent, but even the 'burbs are generally a more natural habitat than subsistence farms.

      Again, this scenario is not being repeated in the third world: There, large tracts of land and natural habitat are being developed for subsistence farming.

      If anything, in much of the developed world we should be seeing a resurgence of animals such as amphibians - but we're not; instead we're seeing precipitous declines. Given what we know about the situation, disease appears to be one of the most likely causes.

    2. Re:Cancer 'epidemic' by bcwright · · Score: 1

      It's probably not particularly good form to follow up on one's own post, but I should mention that the issue of acidification is a specific subcategory of pollution: It is more difficult and expensive to reduce acid emissions than many other types of pollution; and it can spread hundreds or even thousands of miles from its source, which is more difficult for many other pollutants. It is certainly a concern for the acidification of various streams and lakes, where it can have very serious consequences for habitat; however it is, by and large, not a major contributor to cancers and many other human diseases.

      19th and early 20th century cities were incredibly dirty by modern standards. For example I've heard of accounts from women who were nurses at the time, and they would have to change their "whites" several times a day because the air pollution was so bad that they would turn gray within a few hours (!).

      We in the developed world have it much better than any of our ancestors, better than we even realize.

  43. Damn... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where will I build tech 10 beam starbases now??

  44. I see it happen by erik+umenhofer · · Score: 1

    I've been keeping newts and salamanders on and off for over a decade as pets. And I've seen a huge decline in diversity of the animals available from breeders. Breeders have to get breedable pairs from the wild and when the wild caught ones disappear, so do the captive bred ones. There are a bunch of newts that I have rarely seen breed in almost 10 years now. China is a major source of the species loss too.

  45. Sooooo.... by unkaggregate · · Score: 1

    regardless of how large this is blown out of proportion, what freedoms to environmentalism will we lose this time?

  46. Please explain by nilbog · · Score: 1, Insightful

    Will someone please explain to me how global warming is causing mass extinctions? I believe that the average temperature has gone up something like one degree in the last several decades, which is no more than the amount of variation you would see from year to year anyway.

    So say the average temperature in some amphibians environment is 70 degrees F. During the last several hundred years, the temperature could have been anywhere from 60-80 degrees and the amphibians were fine. Now the average has gone up to 71 degrees and they're dying out? I don't buy it.

    --
    or else!
    1. Re:Please explain by wikinerd · · Score: 1

      If a CPU computes at 100 bogomips and another one at 50, their average is 75 bogomips. Now if you add another CPU at 150 bogomips, the average becomes 100. This doesn't mean you can choose any CPU at random and hope that your application which requires 100 bogomips would run ok, because there is an one in three chance that you get the 50-bogomips CPU.

      If the temperature in July in Greece is 40C and in the UK is 20C, the average is 30C. And if you take into account Arabia with a temperature of 50C, the average becomes 36C. This doesn't mean you can choose any place at random for your vacations and hope that your skin, which would burn at 38C, won't burn, because there is a two to three chance that you will find yourself in a place with a temperature over 38C.

      Now if you average all temperatures across all geographical places for all months of a year and you compare two years you may find that the average has increased "only" by 1C. But if a frog wishes to choose a place in random to be teleported and live there, this doesn't mean that the frog can expect only an 1C increase: there is a significant chance that it may find itself in a geographical region or time of year in which the temperature is increased by 50C (or even decreased by 20C, it is possible to have global warming while one region is becoming colder). Therefore the poor frog dies, and people wonder how it died because of a 1C average increase in the temperature, while the truth is that the frog doesn't give a fsck about what the avergae temperature is because the only thing it cares of is the local temperature in the region it lives, which although took part in the calculation of the average could have a temperature change from -infinity to +infinity.

      Never apply an average to every individual into a category. An average is a property which is valid only for a category (population), not for individuals. Individuals (members of categories or populations) have their own specific properties. For example, let's assume that by average every human on this planet has 1.8 eyes. This doesn't mean that Bob has 1.8 eyes. It means that Bob has lost one eye in the war, but many other individuals have 2 eyes, and if you count the eyes of every human on the planet you end up with a big number having 2 eyes and a small number having 1 eye while a few will have none, so the average is 1.8, something which is less than 2 but close to 2, which is the mathematical expression of the fact that most people have 2 eyes but some have 1 or none.

    2. Re:Please explain by NoMaster · · Score: 1

      Will someone please explain to me how global warming is causing mass extinctions? I believe that the average temperature has gone up something like one degree in the last several decades, which is no more than the amount of variation you would see from year to year anyway.

      9 degrees C ~ 29 degrees C = 19 degrees C average.
      10 degrees C ~ 30 degrees C = 20 degrees C average.

      Why did I chose those numbers? There's an interesting reason. Many species of coral will thrive at 19 degrees C, tolerate a 29 degree C max daily temperature for weeks at a time, yet can't tolerate more than a couple of days of 30 degree C max temps - they expel their symbiotic zooxanthellae, and die.

      Now that's a very direct example of why a 1 degree C variation in average temperature may not seem like much, but makes one hell of a difference. There's hundreds, if not millions, of other indirect examples - consider an ectothermic lizard on a very tight energy budget, where a 1 degree C rise in average temp may mean expending more time on thermoregulation to drop body temp at the expense of feeding time, and so slowly starves to death - but I think you can get the idea.

      --
      What part of "a well regulated militia" do you not understand?
  47. Re:Bullshit on Bullshit! by nilbog · · Score: 0, Troll

    Here, here! People have to be boring to have valid messages!

    --
    or else!
  48. Media Buzzwords..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

    "Save The Whales"

    "Save The Rainforests"

    "Think Of The Children"

    "9/11"

    "Global Warming"

    "Change"

    "Polar Icecaps"

    Thanks to this kind of news, every eco-department will have yet another "reason" to tell us how to live our lives. So far, the BAAQMD has now made it a *CRIME* to use your fireplace on "Spare The Air" days, regardless of how cold it gets during the winter. And no, they won't be reimbursing you for your electric bill.

    --
    Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
    1. Re:Media Buzzwords..... by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

      Thanks to this kind of news, every eco-department will have yet another "reason" to tell us how to live our lives. So far, the BAAQMD has now made it a *CRIME* to use your fireplace on "Spare The Air" days, regardless of how cold it gets during the winter. And no, they won't be reimbursing you for your electric bill.

      I think those measures are hipocricy. The people being targeted should be SUV selling companies and industry. But educating the people is a good thing. Yes, you don't like spending too much on an electric heater, but who does?

      Fortunately, we're approaching the times when you can install a wind-based generator at home.

    2. Re:Media Buzzwords..... by IHC+Navistar · · Score: 1

      Oh, I have no problem buying an electric heater. It's paying for the electricity to run it that gets me.

      Regarding SUVs, there needs to be a separate category for SUVs. Right now, auto companies can get away with it by classifying them as Light Trucks. Yes, they may weigh as much and be approxiamtely the same size, but they aren't intended or designed for use as trucks.

      The law only goes by the capacity specifications (I think), not by intended use. THAT needs to be changed, as a Chevrolet Suburban, Cadillac Escalade, Ford Excursion, Toyota Tundra, or Land Rover *ARE NOT* the same as my F250.

      --
      Knowing Google's lust for data collection, the Soviet Union is still alive and well inside the psyche of Sergey Brin....
  49. If it were that simple by Moraelin · · Score: 3, Insightful

    If only it were that simple.

    1. Evolution takes time.

    If you don't have damn good DNA repair mechanisms, different cells in your body change randomly to do different things than what's needed, and you die. (E.g., of cancer.) So there's an upper cap on how often mutations can happen, which puts an upper cap on how fast you can evolve. Heck, even small-ish evolutions in tens of thousands of years are called accelerated evolution.

    We're talking about "since 1970" here, which isn't even a blip at evolution scales. _No_ species ever evolved in 38 years.

    2. Evolution really works like in the joke about the guys camping, and one of the guys putting on his sports shoes when they see a pissed off tiger: you don't have to outrun the tiger, you have to outrun the other guy. You don't have to be the fastest gazelle, you just have to outrun the slowest when the lions drop by.

    What I'm indirectly getting at is that it worked in situations where there was a slow changing equilibrium between hunter and prey, or between species and environment. On the whole, the species still has to be survivable in the short run. It doesn't work for "bang, you're dead!" situations. And normally they do get that short term survivability. Even a species whose become relatively unfit, gets breaks as its lowering numbers also causes the predator population to drop, and buys the prey some more time. Or viceversa, a relatively unfit predator gets a break as the prey over-multiplies and eventually it gets enough of a meal even from sick prey or corpses.

    The natural selection will then keep culling from the lower end, and over millions of years, the species gets better.

    No species can evolve into something better if you keep hunting it into extinction within decades, or dump poison into its water, or cut down its habitat and replace it with a parking lot. Or if you keep hunting it past the point where predator-prey equilibrium would have allowed it to rebound, that's it, really. Game over.

    3. While I sorta see your point about climate change,

    A) it doesn't apply for situations when we pollute a place overnight, or when we cause an eutrophication and the algae bloom suffocates everything else

    B) you also have to remember that climate change is a bit over-sold these days. It's the #1 best selling sin, and _everything_ gets blamed on it first. I'm not saying it doesn't exist, but that it does get blamed for more than it actually caused.

    In this case, we don't _know_ whether these frogs died because of climate change or, say, because of pollution. As more and more third world and developing countries industrialize, they pollute more and more. And again, let's not forget that while the carbon cult is obsessed with CO2 only, early unregulated industry puts out a lot more immediately poisonous stuff. Both in the air _and_ in the water, which, as mentioned, is the amphibians' problem: they depend on both.

    Seriously, half the world still doesn't have any filters on their factories, or any other environment protection, or still uses lead in its pipes and gasoline. You start worrying about the quality of air when you already have other more stringent QOL components covered. When you're dirt poor, you care more about getting food, clean water, medicine, and a job. As long as even those are hit and miss, or in a lot of places more miss than hit, you don't give a fuck about that factory dumping toxic stuff into the air or water. Lead in the air (e.g., from leaded gasoline) might affect you later, while lack of food will kill you right now.

    As little as a new factory starting production, can poison the water of several species over night. Sure, someone out there will scream about all the CO2 from it, as if that were all that could possibly ever matter, and in the long run maybe it even is, but it will be the other chemicals that kill in the short run. Or if that factory produces fertilizers, again, you _could_ worry about the CO2 it produces, but that's an eutrophication event waiting to happen,

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:If it were that simple by plantman-the-womb-st · · Score: 1

      We're talking about "since 1970" here, which isn't even a blip at evolution scales. _No_ species ever evolved in 38 years.

      Sorry, this statement caused my inability to continue reading your post. It is completely false. Microorganisms evolve extremely rapidly for one. Also, the way you phrase it makes it seem as though you are suggesting that evolution is an event that has a start and stop in the life of a species. As though one day evolution will begin in a species and then after a preset amount of time it stops and the species carries on. Which is silly.

      --
      Say bad words about my book, in cold oatmeal, or I shall sue!
    2. Re:If it were that simple by bcwright · · Score: 1

      So there's an upper cap on how often mutations can happen, which puts an upper cap on how fast you can evolve. ... _No_ species ever evolved in 38 years.

      In general I think your post is quite good, but it sounds here as if you're making the (quite common) mistake of thinking that evolution is driven primarily by mutation rather than by recombination. Most species already have a very large supply of alleles whose recombination provides the fodder for natural selection to work upon; they don't need to wait for the rare favorable mutation event. Of course, the basic diversity provided by mutation is necessary to provide the library of alleles that can be recombined, and if a species is evolving very rapidly eventually you do run out of what can be done purely with recombination and need to wait for mutation to provide more of that diversity - but most species already have a very large amount of diversity in their gene pool.

      In light of this, it's also not true that evolution always requires large amounts of time. In this case, 38 years is more than enough for species such as those we're talking about (which can produce several generations per year) to evolve new traits under appropriate selective pressure. There are plenty of examples in the literature, though if you insist on them becoming new species within that period then I suppose that's rarely enough time. But becoming a new species is hardly necessary in order for them to develop some resistance if that's a possible node within their gene space and if the initial assault didn't wipe them all out immediately.

      In this case, there are multiple factors at work - both novel diseases (which were most likely spread inadvertently through human activity) and pollution (ditto) being two big ones. It's always harder to evolve a response to multiple simultaneous novel threats than to one single one, because you need to survive both threats in order to live long enough to make new little froggies.

  50. Honest Question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry for the anonymous post - I'm on the dead run here.

    On the point made in the article about ponds drying up, this has never quite made sense to me. If the climate is warming, would that not imply more moisture in the atmosphere and thus more rain, or at least less evaporation?

    1. Re:Honest Question by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

      Sorry for the anonymous post - I'm on the dead run here.

      On the point made in the article about ponds drying up, this has never quite made sense to me. If the climate is warming, would that not imply more moisture in the atmosphere and thus more rain, or at least less evaporation?

      Think about the last part of your sentence.

      Where do you think the more moisture in the atmosphere comes from? More evaporation. Ponds have very little quantities of water, which are easier to run dry than say.... cold oceans in the arctic.

      Now imagine that the ponds run dry and that moisture that goes to the atmosphere ends up in the Pacific Ocean. Also, remember that there are zones in the planet where rain occurs very rarely. Unfortunately, evaporation occurs on a daily basis, especially when the sun shines.

    2. Re:Honest Question by bruceslog · · Score: 1

      Sorry for the anonymous post - I'm on the dead run here.

      On the point made in the article about ponds drying up, this has never quite made sense to me. If the climate is warming, would that not imply more moisture in the atmosphere and thus more rain, or at least less evaporation?

      Think about the last part of your sentence.

      Where do you think the more moisture in the atmosphere comes from? More evaporation. Ponds have very little quantities of water, which are easier to run dry than say.... cold oceans in the arctic.

      Now imagine that the ponds run dry and that moisture that goes to the atmosphere ends up in the Pacific Ocean. Also, remember that there are zones in the planet where rain occurs very rarely. Unfortunately, evaporation occurs on a daily basis, especially when the sun shines.

      Also, climate change models suggest that areas of precipitation will be changing as warming accelerates. Areas that now get little rain may get much more rain, areas that how get plenty of rain may get much less. Think Atlanta, Georgia in the last few years.

      --
      If it has tires or tits, it will give you problems.
  51. Bufo sp. by viridari · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I recall as a kid how my grandmother's yard was littered with American toads. She was certainly in the right place for wildlife. Right next to a state park. Two acre pond in the back yard. Woods all around. The lawn seemed to dance as I pushed the mower back and forth. If I saw anything less than a few dozen toads while mowing the front lawn, something was wrong.

    My grandmother is gone and my parents have since moved into that house. Now it's a treat for my kids if I can find a toad or two there.

    My own home has much the same problem. I'm on a wooded lot, backed up against a city greenway with a stream in the back yard. There is plenty of habitat for the toads, plenty of food. Every now and then we'll see one. The neighbors who have been here 30 years say that during the summer the houses would have treefrogs all over them. I have yet to see a single treefrog. And taking my kids back in the greenway to look for salamanders, we have yet to find a single one while flipping over rocks and rotten logs.

    I still have my doubts about man's part in changing the climate. But something is wrong. The amphibians are like the canary in the coal mine. And it doesn't take an expert to see that they are disappearing fast.

  52. Dining Out? by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 2, Funny

    Did anybody else read that as "1/3 of amphibians dining out"? I was wondering how so many of them could afford to do that, when most of us are having to cut back.

    --
    "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
    --- Jerry Garcia
    1. Re:Dining Out? by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Selling car insurance, of course.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
  53. Ok, I'll bite by marcosdumay · · Score: 5, Informative

    "How do we know global warming is happening?"

    We have such special machines named pyromether and thermometer. The lattrer one we use at surface, to measure local temperature and guess what, most of them are averaging to highter temperatures every year. But the real juice we get from the first one, we put them on satelites and measure the temperature averaged on a big area, and guess what, the global average temperature is going up too.

    "How do we know it's not just a natural occurrence?"

    We can't be completely sure. But we can be some 80% to 99% sure that the bigest part of it is man-made. We know, from looking at other planets, from physics and chemistry, and from observing correlations (note that the two fist imply causation) that dumping CO2 at the atmosphere causes global warming. We are also able to make calculations, see how much CO2 we put at the atmosphere, and comare it with how much CO2 goes there naturaly. It is not hard to go from there to a conclusion, since our output is almost an order of magnitude highter.

    See, no circular logic. Now, you won't listen anyway, so continue beliving what you want, should I advice you to put all your economies at realstate too? It can only go up.

    1. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jav1231 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Speaking of thermometers, didn't a researcher recently find that many of the devices used in California, for instance, to measure temperature were in places like hot tarmacs at airports and next to A/C compressors outside buildings? Yeah, I'll take "human induced" global warming more seriously when grant-hungry research teams stop padding the odds.

    2. Re:Ok, I'll bite by blueg3 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Temperature measurements just in California are worthless anyway -- too small of an area. Do you know how many measurements they're averaging those with? How big of a temperature shift you'd expect from a misplaced thermometer? Whether the standard deviation of the global temperature average those measurements were included in shifted significantly?

      No, I'll tell you what you did. You came to a conclusion, and then looked for evidence to support it. Then you had the gall to question scientists, who at least use much better reasoning.

    3. Re:Ok, I'll bite by electrictroy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      >>>we can be some 80% to 99% sure that the bigest part of it is man-made.

      And what about the previous warming events of circa 3000 BC and 300-1200 AD? Those were not man-made and yet they happened. What caused them? How do you know it's not the same cause now?

      --
      The government is not your daddy. Its purpose is not to raid middle-class neighbors' wallets and give it to you.
    4. Re:Ok, I'll bite by plantman-the-womb-st · · Score: 1

      So, the temperature rise on Mars must be 80% to 99% caused by man also? See, I *knew* those UFO nutjobs were on to something, we *do* have secret bases there. John Lear was right!

      --
      Say bad words about my book, in cold oatmeal, or I shall sue!
    5. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you one of those who chant "correlation is not causation" at every turn? Or just when it suits you?

    6. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jambox · · Score: 0, Troll

      Yep - everyone except you is an idiot and you don't believe any so called "scientists" are worth their grant money when you've made your living the good old-fashioned american way... Go pick up a copy of the IPCC report and actually read it this time.

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    7. Re:Ok, I'll bite by plantman-the-womb-st · · Score: 1

      Neither, I just believe John Lear.

      --
      Say bad words about my book, in cold oatmeal, or I shall sue!
    8. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jav1231 · · Score: 0, Troll

      No thanks. I cannot accept anything as fact that's backed by the U.N.

    9. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Rockoon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Do you know how many measurements they're averaging those with?

      I do know how many are used for the surface record. Its well documented and the data is available online. What isn't well documented is the placement of those thermometers. The scientists harping on climate change simply don't give a shit, which is obvious since they dont even bother visiting these sites to see what problems may exist.

      How big of a temperature shift you'd expect from a misplaced thermometer?

      Not as much as if there were hundreds of misplaced thermometers just in the USHCN. Didn't expect a big problem with the quality of the surface record, did you? The problems the scientists say do not exist are now well documented with photographic evidence. This is a classic case of garbage in garbage out. Maybe its warming significantly, maybe it isn't. We don't know because the data we have just plain sucks.

      I suggest you begin your research at http://www.surfacestations.org/

      The biggest pusher of the "climate change" scare is the IPCC, a political organization trying to heavily regulate industry on a global scale. If it looks like an attempt at a power grab, it probably is.

      --
      "His name was James Damore."
    10. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jambox · · Score: 1

      Funny - I feel the same way about the US "government"!

      --
      You thought you could break the laws of physics without paying the PRICE?
    11. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Duhavid · · Score: 1

      Are they moving these thermometers from cooler places, over the years to ever warmer places? If not, then they may get a hot reading, but, over the years, it will be uniformly hot, and they will not be able to report climate change from that.

      --
      emt 377 emt 4
    12. Re:Ok, I'll bite by sycodon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You need to have a chat with the MIT guys...
      http://www.tgdaily.com/content/view/39973/113/

      NutShell:
      Scientists at MIT have recorded a nearly simultaneous world-wide increase in methane levels. This is the first increase in ten years, and what baffles science is that this data contradicts theories stating man is the primary source of increase for this greenhouse gas.

      The Players: Matthew Rigby and Ronald Prinn, the TEPCO Professor of Atmospheric Chemistry in MIT's Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    13. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Madcapjack · · Score: 1

      Are they moving these thermometers from cooler places, over the years to ever warmer places? If not, then they may get a hot reading, but, over the years, it will be uniformly hot, and they will not be able to report climate change from that.

      that is a very good point. we do have to be concerned with increases in temp associated with urbanization, even though that is part of the picture of global warming.

    14. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Hellpop · · Score: 1

      Ok, this is old but true:
        Correlation != Causality

      It is not hard to go from there to a conclusion, since our output is almost an order of magnitude highter.

      You might have to go one or two magnitudes higher than that. Don't forget, research shouldn't end just because you got the results you wanted. Quite often that should be a sign to look further.

      See, no circular logic.

      Yes, I agree, no circular logic in that post. I was unaware that a lack of circular logic automatically makes a line of reasoning true. In fact, the existence of circular logic, does not necessarily make one false, either. Silly old me, I always thought it took more than that to prove something true.

      --
      "People are stupid; given proper motivation, almost anyone will believe almost anything."
    15. Re:Ok, I'll bite by OriginalArlen · · Score: 1

      yes, yes, it's all so clear to me now; the same couple of dozen who post this kind of crap on every Slashdot story about global warming have noticed a huge, glaring error that none of these so-called "scientists" had thought of, which completely invalidates the science of climatology (and thus, thermodynamics.) Well done, chaps, I look forward to seeing you collecting your Nobel Prize.

      --

      Everything I needed to know about life, I learnt from Blake's Seven
    16. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      We don't know with 100% certainty, as already stated.

      The big question is: what if this time it really is man made, as it seems?

      What should be done, in that case? Would doing that be sensible even if the global warming was not man made (or even true)?

      So should we protect the environment (more and bigger sanctuaries for wildlife)? Should we cut gas usage and move to electric (higher mpg) cars? Should we cut pollution?

      What if global warming is not man made? Would trying to limit it harm? Would cutting CO2 emission be bad?

      What does your risk evaluation say?

    17. Re:Ok, I'll bite by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      The problem is that the termometers are actually denying global warming.

      But don't worry, the IPCC "adjusts" their readings.

    18. Re:Ok, I'll bite by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Don't worry. They do what governments always do. They don't move the termometers, that costs money.

      They do however "adjust" the measurements. Both sattellite measurements and thermometre measurements.

      The sad thing is : without these adjustments, there'd be global cooling for about 20 years now.

      I know this sounds like a joke, but unfortunately it's not.

    19. Re:Ok, I'll bite by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      Well do you believe in Darwin ? If it is man-made, natural selection says that large masses of humans should start dieing off to compensate, and there is nothing, nothing at all that can be done about it (save a massive genocide). This may be right.

      We don't know with 100% certainty, as already stated.

      Nevertheless you work from the assumption that this *is* 100% certain.

      The big question is: what if this time it really is man made, as it seems?

      What should be done, in that case? Would doing that be sensible even if the global warming was not man made (or even true)?

      Not changing our behavior more than otherwise would be sensible. In fact, modifying our behavior like humans have always done : everyone decides for themselves, in groups. People who like to build coal power plants build them. Those who see nuclear as a solution build nuclear, those who think solar power is grand live without electricity during the night ... and so on. Then we will see which is best.

      That's how human's have always survived. On the policy "level" that obviously means : not doing anything at all, and drop any restrictions on any kind of power plant building.

      So should we protect the environment (more and bigger sanctuaries for wildlife)? Should we cut gas usage and move to electric (higher mpg) cars? Should we cut pollution?

      We should most defineately don't do that, if Darwin is right. In fact we should try to exterminate the remaining wildlife reserves when doing so is useful, when it's effect is increasing the number of humans alive.

      That, after all, would be "natural" behavior. That would be the behavior any genetic algorithm has.

      Again, this means NO policy restrictions on anyone.

      What if global warming is not man made? Would trying to limit it harm? Would cutting CO2 emission be bad?

      Yes. It is already robbing enormous masses of people of food, and the damage it's doing in the food supply for humans is already extreme.

      Ethanol is the main killer right now, but limiting co2 emissions will lower agricultural output, and we don't have that much food to spare. Meaning co2 policies, WILL result in human casualties. You can make it as indirect as you like, but you can't further stretch the food supply (much).

      What does your risk evaluation say?

      A central government policy might be right, it might be wrong. In reality some policies work and others don't. We don't know which is which, if we're fair.

      Therefore the answer is deregulation : let people try as many policy options as possible, and at their own expense. Let california, if it must, be nuclear and co2 "free" (importing everything), and let it's neighbor states produce electricity exports for california using coal power plants that provide jobs for hundreds of thousands of people.

      That's what my risk evaluation says : don't touch the system of evolution. It's worked so far, and gotten us through temperature changes of 15 degrees celcius worldwide and more. It's gotten us through floods that seemed to cover the entire planet, through the worst weather that ever occured on the planet, it's gotten us through periods of extreme co2 "pollution" in the past, certainly 10 times worse than today.

      So risk evaluation says : deregulate everything.

      So ? Do you believe evolution is correct ? Or is it a load of crap ?

    20. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jhol13 · · Score: 1

      I think you have hugely misunderstood Darwin and evolution.

      And completely sidestep moral and ethical issues.

      HAND.

    21. Re:Ok, I'll bite by jav1231 · · Score: 1

      It feels good to go with the masses. The masses once thought the Earth was flat. They were considered experts too.

    22. Re:Ok, I'll bite by OeLeWaPpErKe · · Score: 1

      I sidestep moral issues because they're not part of evolution. Or they are only part in the sense that respecting or not respecting them gives people advantages or not.

      They're like a virus : you have it or not, and it provides advantages or disadvantages ... the only thing Darwin does is observe and predict. It makes NO value judgements. Not a single act is "off-limits" to a rational mind.

      Not mass-murder (especially not mass-murder, which is the ultimate way to prove superiority according to evolution), not child rape, nothing.

      Therefore yes I "completely sidestep" it. It's simply not part of science at all, and certainly the only place for morals in evolution is as study objects, determining advantages/disadvantages morals give.

      Any morals purely based on evolution will obviously include (active or passive) genocide (passive means making others starve like "co2 limiting" ethanol production is doing)

      But I am most interested in your other claim : where, exactly, am I "misunderstanding" evolution ? Because you state this, but you don't illustrate the problem.

      It says no more than "you misunderstand HAND".

    23. Re:Ok, I'll bite by Hellpop · · Score: 1

      Chill out! I'm critiquing a poster's logic, not setting World policy. Sheesh!

      But now that you've opened the door, I do believe we need to look into the long term effects(all aspects, not just environmental) of any actions we take to "correct" the environment. I am also concerned by the fact that no one can satisfactorily explain to me why the single largest source of heat in our solar system is consistently discounted as even a possible contributing factor.

      I'm just a big believer in the existence of unexpected consequences.

      --
      "People are stupid; given proper motivation, almost anyone will believe almost anything."
  54. and more people die from cancer by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    Correlation does not imply causation...

    just because we can measure better doesn't mean it happens more.

    I look at it this way, nature is cruel. We are just better at observing it. How many species have come and gone that we have little record of? Linking it to "global warming" is just sensationalism, an attempt to make the situation sound more dire and attempt to guilt everyone as having been a willing participant in the demise of something they know little to nothing about.

    Yet I can predict that every attempt to show otherwise will be met with venom.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  55. Insight? by conureman · · Score: 1

    It would appear that your heroes are spreading bullshit. I don't have the credentials to place myself in this reality/bullshit conflict as a scientific authority, but I don't think we have any spotted owls here in California's 11th congressional district so Pombo's bullshit is categorically unqualified. Have you ever worked in a zero overstory? It doesn't require much intelligence to spot some of the errors. Herbicides will prove to be a gross error, ask the scientists in our soon to be fucked future.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  56. Re:Bullshit on Bullshit! by marcosdumay · · Score: 1

    Thinking hard about it, it looks like yes, they have.

    Also, it makes sure that no valid message will ever be heard by the masses.

  57. nomenclature by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    that would be "Hear, Hear!"

  58. the start of the next era by hesaigo999ca · · Score: 1

    We have come upon the start of the next era....Bladerunner

  59. Uh huh by E++99 · · Score: 1

    Since the 1970s, nearly 75 percent of the frogs and other amphibians of La Selva Biological Station in Braulio Carrillo National Park in the Caribbean lowlands of Costa Rica have died, perhaps due to global warming.

    And perhaps due to a major meteorite impact that happened to go unnoticed.

  60. FUCK PENN & TELLER! OK?! by denzacar · · Score: 1

    They have about as much to do with science or even logic in their pointless rants as does the spring of 1734. have to do with popularity of colored condoms.

    I am not a violent person, but from seeing those couple of episodes of that shitty show they put on - I got the urge to club the big loud shithead on the head until he becomes the little quiet shithead, and hang the little quiet shithead by the ankles and stretch him till he turns into a big loud shithead.

    What? It would be done only in self defense.
    They were hurting me first. Both physically and emotionally.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:FUCK PENN & TELLER! OK?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What? It would be done only in self defense.

      Is this an example of your science and logic chops?

  61. Yeah... right... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Like all those species that could adapt to bullets.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
  62. Cockroaches... by conureman · · Score: 1

    food for the twenty-first century.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  63. Kinda Like the Polar Bears? by bugeaterr · · Score: 1, Redundant

    Remember the media hysteria over polar bear populations?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_bear#Population_and_distribution

    Of the 19 recognized polar bear subpopulations, 5 are declining, 5 are stable, 2 are increasing, and 7 have insufficient data.

    Here's some insight into how the media works.
    Did they report on the the 5 subpopulations that were INCREASING or DECREASING?

    If they were fair, they'd've concluded the jury is still out and wait for more data to come in.
    But they didn't.
    They cherry-picked facts to fit the "man is evil" and "climate change is an URGENT" matter narratives.

    1. Re:Kinda Like the Polar Bears? by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

      They cherry-picked facts to fit the "man is evil" and "climate change is an URGENT" matter narratives.

      As opposed to cherry-picked global-warming-is-a-hoax "facts"?

    2. Re:Kinda Like the Polar Bears? by bugeaterr · · Score: 1

      As opposed to cherry-picked global-warming-is-a-hoax "facts"?

      Yes.
      AND as opposed to *not* cherry picking facts, but presenting them in as unbiased a manner as possible.
      Which was the point I made, glad to see you did not argue with it.

  64. The Earth's climate was constant and ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    no species ever became instinct until that evil Industrial Revolution. BTW, for those who didn't get the memo, the CYA term for Global Warming is Climate Change. Please scrub the phrase Global Warming from your memory banks. Thanks.

    Sincerely,

    The U.N. - Global Tax Collector

  65. Let me try something... by denzacar · · Score: 1

    Let me try and put this in the way so a kindergarten kid could understand it.

    There is this big cake.
    And every species gets a part of the cake and eats it. And while the cake can go bad in places it can never go bad entirely cause it is magical.

    Now... along comes one species that is particularly good at eating cake and grabs a HUUUGE part of the cake for itself.
    And keeps grabbing more and more for itself or just plain ruining the cake just for fun. Just because they can.
    So all the other species end up with less and less cake to share among themselves. And cake can still go bad from time to time.
    Only now - even a small part of the cake going bad can mean that entire species can end up with no cake to eat at all.

    So, because on species took almost all the cake for itself, all other species are running out of cake.
    And when they lose even the tiniest piece of their cake - they could all just die out.

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:Let me try something... by JRHelgeson · · Score: 1

      LET THEM EAT CAKE!

      I've heard that one before somewhere. The entire premise of your argument is false. Even so, the pools discussed in this article are SEASONAL! They appear every spring, and disappear every summer, so the pools dry out annually and these animals DIE annually. It is called a life cycle. A natural process. So, how is it that we humans are now responsible for this?

      Funny thing is that this is all based upon emotion. I see no difference between this magical thinking and some evangelical seeing the Virgin Mary in a snow drift and thinking that it is a sign from God. Seasonal pools are just that, seasonal. To use this now as a tool to blame/attack/control those who don't follow the dictum's of your religion (the religion of environmentalism) is transparent. The clincher is that the followers of the EnviroReligious movement claim that it is the Christian evangelicals that want to control the lives of others.

      The amount of transference is amazing.

      --
      Good security is based upon reality and common sense. Common sense is a function of having common knowledge.
    2. Re:Let me try something... by DiarrhoeaChaChaCha · · Score: 1

      Bad analogy. The cake is a lie.

  66. How about this for title? by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    1/3 of Amphibians Dying Out, thanks to mankind.

    There.

    What worries me is that mankind is a self-destructing species (whether that's caused by selfishness, stupidity or sin, belongs to another discussion). Ever heard of the Eastern Island?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Easter_Island#Destruction_of_the_ecosystem

  67. Engage brain first by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    Well, if you're going to take it that literally, I guess not many things make sense to you.

    1. We're talking about frogs, not bacteria. You know, a lot more complex stuff, where evolution happens a lot slower.

    2. I never mentioned a start and a stop. That's your own strawman. But in a lot of these situations, yes, you could put such goalposts anyway. How about: from where we started changing their environment (e.g., turning a lake anoxic) to when they can actually survive there. If the second doesn't happen within a given time from the first, they're dead. That's your "start" and "stop" in that race.

    3. I'm talking enough evolution to deal with radically different conditions, not about the minor mutations every birth has.

    But on the whole, I'm under the impressions that you were just looking for some detail to take out of context, deliberately misunderstand, spout some irrelevat truisms, and get the ego-boost of "omg, I found someomne I could sound smart to." Well, I could put it nastier, but let's just put it like this: if your dose of ego-masturbation is to try to put someone between you and the bottom of the proverbial barrel, you already know where you are in relation to that bottom of the barrel. Nothing I could say probably can make it any worse.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Engage brain first by plantman-the-womb-st · · Score: 1

      Wow, you are extremely defensive. All I was attempting to point out is that your possibly accurate post was made nearly impossible to read and take seriously because of your inflammatory and blanketing initial statements. If you meant that no species of *amphibian* has evolved in that time, then frankly you should say so as when people read something that seems to be a scientific argument they often take it literally. Sorry I pointed out that the way it read seemed like crazy talk, but it did. Your response leaves me thinking you have a massive chip on your shoulder, cause you can't even tell that at least with me, you are preaching to the choir.

      --
      Say bad words about my book, in cold oatmeal, or I shall sue!
    2. Re:Engage brain first by Moraelin · · Score: 1

      I thought that since the whole topic is about amphibians, I don't have to remind at every paragraph that I'm talking about organisms of comparable complexity. Even then, the paragraph before the one you quoted, made it IMHO quite clear that I'm talking about multi-cellular organisms, not bacteria.

      --
      A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  68. change by conureman · · Score: 1

    In the olden days, when I was a kid, alto-cirrus clouds were so uncommon that I would call people out of the house to come look when I spotted one. Nowadays, they blanket the sky from horizon to horizon. I have heard that this shades the planet to a significant degree, compensating some for the warming effects which HAVE occurred. I have also heard that Canada has three quarters of all the fresh water available on our planet, which makes my Skeena River property seem a wise investment. If I catch someone spraying herbicide in my watershed there will be violence.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  69. Politicisation of science considered harmful by wikinerd · · Score: 1

    The worst thing that can happen to slow the solution to a human problem is its politicisation.

    Politicised issues never get solved, because it is in no one's best interest to solve them: politicians earn their living by promising solutions to problems, and if they actually solve the problems that made the populace vote for them they will be out of work (unless they find another problem to solve). Therefore, a self-serving politician would never want to actually solve a problem that shifts the demographics in their favour. Of course there may be a few politicians who are enlightened and not only self-serving and may seek to really solve a problem, but the majority of them aren't so enlightened.

    Unfortunately nowadays environmental issues such as global warming have been linked with politics, and this means that these issues will never be solved. One political group chooses a specific position over global warming ("it happens") and another group chooses the opposite position ("it doesn't happen"), and they just argue ad nauseum to make stupid people vote for them and keep them in their jobs so that they can continue receiving their income (official and unofficial).

    Because the issue became political, it is very difficult to distinguish between science and politics now: a study saying "it happens" will be viewed as written by people supporting the political group that has chosen this position over the issue, while a study saying "it doesn't happen" will be suspected as being written by supporters of another political group. So, it became impossible to even contemplate about talking about this issue without being subjected to suspicions of people thinking in political terms. The end result is that scientists who seek not to be exposed to social stupidity shut up and the only people who talk about the issue are those who have no other interest in the issue than using it for political gain.

    Environmental issues are scientific issues that should be solved by the experts in the field, the environmental scientists. It is in the university and the laboratory, not in the parliament or the senate, that we must solve our environmental issues. It is a scientific and technological issue that can be solved by developing new green technologies, and these can be developed by scientists in universities, not by old people arguing all day on television.

    An issue becomes political when it involves different groups of people bearing different costs related to the management (or solution, if it's ever solved at all) of the issue. With the current technology it is difficult to solve the environmental issues without a change to a more frugal lifestyle (which is seen as a cost by most people) or slower economic growth (which is totally unacceptable to everyone on this planet, except for very few heterodox economists such as those who believe in technocracy). But I see no reason to solve environmental issues with the current, limited technology when we can develop new green technologies that would enable us to solve the environmental issues while in fact allowing us to keep our current lifestyles and most importantly creating new economic growth and new entrepreneurial opportunities as well (even for the current big players in the energy markets, so nobody would have anything to lose, it would be a win-win-win-win-win-win scenario). With new green technologies it would become possible to solve environmental issues without having to involve politicians who debate on television all day and have neither the knowledge, not the will to actually do anything.

    Politicisation of science is harmful because it tends to make people suspicious of scientific studies ("is this report genuine or driven by politics?"), tends to attract non-scientists to talk about scientific issues thus fscking up everything, and in the long term is bad for a country and the world because it drives real scientists out of politicised issues, so the issue is left unsolved because of brain drain.

  70. So what by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    1/3 of Amphibians should be enough for anyone.

  71. Re:Self-perpetuating point of view, etc. by Brad+Eleven · · Score: 1

    Awesome. It is truly jaw-dropping to consider that your arguments constitute a plan to simply leave things the way they are. Staying the course may provide some sense of security. I claim that we as a culture demonstrate the assertion that doing what we've always done will produce the same result that we have always gotten. Perhaps your perspective is that we needn't change anything.

    Your contribution to the discussion is reminiscent of attempts to derail it with straw man attacks designed to inspire doubt. You also execute the "change the subject" move with great verve and flair.

    You may want to consider that winning isn't everything. The inherent problem with winning at all costs is that it carries the risk of having nothing and no one with which to celebrate after victory. See also Pyhrrus of Epirus.

    I also recommend reflection on who it is that you're trying to impress, especially in this forum. I assert that you have, indeed, made an impression, and that it most likely is not the one you intended to make.

    I find your final paragraph to be most telling. You seem to be acutely aware of the complexity of the problem, but your contribution appears to consist mostly, if not entirely of mockery and derision. Given your claim that you are a seminary graduate--I presume that this is a Christian institution--you may wish to review how bystanders treated Jesus, and compare their behavior to yours.

    The problem is important, but doesn't yet seem to be urgent to enough of us to take action. It looks to me like a case of denial, in the same way that many individuals ignore signs of failing health. Most of us don't like to confront our own mortality. Such feelings don't change the facts.

    In short, we seem to prefer to avoid issues that we regard as potentially painful to consider. To grant credence to the idea that our planet is in trouble gives rise to a very difficult problem. If, for example, US policy and behavior changes, many existing models require profound revision.

    The most unproductive choice in the matter is to assign blame. I agree with the argument that extinction is natural. I assert that it is folly to deny responsibility for our habitat, and that there is no integrity (i.e., power and strength) in avoiding the possibility that we may need to change our behaviors in order to survive.

    In short, following the path of least resistance works only at the atomic level. We are a complex species; it follows that even the most simple problems require elegant solutions. It is folly to presume that simple is the same as easy.

    --
    "Press to test."
    (click)
    "Release to detonate."
  72. China by copponex · · Score: 1

    I've been looking at China and southeast Asia in general, and it seems to me from what I've read that the rising cancer epidemic there is very good evidence.

    According to even their own government, the rate is up due to pollution of the soil working it's way into their crops. There's also the factors of longer life span; new, awful, and Western eating habits; and more statistics becoming available, but I can't think of a single country that goes through industrialization where cancer rates stay low. It may be that everyone lives longer, but like you, I just have this hunch that covering everything in petrochemicals is a bad idea.

    Ironically, it seems that countries like Cuba have the best chance of making the swing into the twenty second century. If global warming doesn't wreck their environment, they have already made it past peak oil, they have a thriving biogenetic industry, and no fundamentalist religious elements are stopping research. They still have no freedoms, and are being strangled by the US, but Castro's death should finally give us an excuse to stop looking like paranoid assholes. I wouldn't move there... yet.

  73. Just to clarify by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    And just to clarify, I do have a chip on my shoulder when it comes to "OMG I found something stupid and it's not worth reading any further!" kinds of messages. Among many other ways to add noise to the signal. And I find that Slasdot already has too many of that already. If it's not that, it's the local grammar nazis, and if it's not those, it's the "OMG, you're not worthy to question the scientists" gang, and if anyone managed to avoid even those, there's seven more layers of silliness to be had before running into any usable content.

    Ah well... I guess some things just can't be helped.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
  74. As Palin would say... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Maybe it's just 'cause God is huggin' em' closer ;)

    1. Re:As Palin would say... by Mesa+MIke · · Score: 1

      Tina Fey said it, not Sarah Palin.

  75. god is irrational... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The reason the concept of god is "uncomfortable" is because the concept is without logic, irrational, and without merit. Even the concept of gods solves nothing. We are still left with all of the same problems and mysteries of the universe that we started with. There is "no reason" for gods.

    1. Re:god is irrational... by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > There is "no reason" for gods.

      Just because you are ignorant of the facts, reasons, and why, of what you would call God, doesn't mean there is no reason. The key is to look for the answer of "Why does the universe even bother to exist in the first place? What is consciousness? What is Life? What is Death? What is Time?" Science is completely ignorant of all these, because it thinks there is no method to arrive at those answers, and is unwilling to embrace something outside its domain to get there.

      The universe is most Logical and Loving. You only perceive it differently because you don't have all the facts, and are viewing it through a narrow and limited human perspective, instead of a spiritual perspective. If you have children you would realize that children don't always understand the reasons and think things are "unfair" until they mature. Humans, for the most part, are still spiritually immature children.

      > We are still left with all of the same problems and mysteries of the universe that we started with.

      On this I agree -- Religion has been used as a crutch for far too long. It's always easier to make excuses "Someone else will save me", instead of getting of your ass and taking responsibility for the consequences in your own life -- but that would involve work.

    2. Re:god is irrational... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "The key is to look for the answer of "Why does the universe even bother to exist in the first place? What is consciousness? What is Life? What is Death? What is Time?" Science is completely ignorant of all these, because it thinks there is no method to arrive at those answers, and is unwilling to embrace something outside its domain to get there."

      The universe exists because it IS. The universe is the only existant thing for all time and forever more. The universe is the only uncreated thing. Consciousness is a word that describes a process, nothing more. We are very close to cracking this process. The process is very close to a negative feedback loop for information reduction. Consciousness exists to distribute energy (information) in the most efficient form. Life is existance in and apart of the universe. Death is the absence of life; not life. Life and death are polar opposites. Time is change.

      You are making the same mistakes as most people in searching for answers to questions that you don't even understand in the first place. What is life? What kind of question is that? What kind of answer would you expect to that question? 42? Asking dumb questions like that will get you garbage answers. Garbage in, gargage out. Define life first. Define time first. Define death first. Define the universe first. Define GOD. Do all this BEFORE asking dumb questions.

      "The universe is most Logical and Loving."

      Now this remark is just fluffy puppy dogs, pink bunnies, and kittens talk, and has absolutely no practical use in a rational conversation. Sounds like you have a cloud 9 cope'ing strategy for dealing with lifes dilemmas.

    3. Re:god is irrational... by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 1

      > The universe is the only existant thing for all time and forever more.

      That is an assumption on many levels.

      > Consciousness is a word that describes a process, nothing more.

      Your confusing Evolution with Awareness.

      > We are very close to cracking this process.

      Sandly, we are not. For the most part, people don't have a fucking clue what consciousness is. It certainly won't be found in the physical dimension. Science is looking for the answers in the wrong place.

      > You are making the same mistakes as most people in searching for answers to questions that you don't even understand in
      the first place.

      I already have the answers. I was simply pointing out the fallacy in the GP thinking "Since I don't understand the reason of the Universe, God, etc, therefore it doesn't have one." and letting others know that there indeed an answer.

      > What is life?

      Unless you have been dead, you _know_ NOTHING about Life.

      Your fallacy is thinking these are 'dumb questions.' I say this because you don't have a valid frame of reference to even understand the answer. Here is an analogy: If you have been born blind, you have no concept of color. Without a frame of reference, talking about an experience doesn't mean anything. If you don't know what "hot" means, the phrase "Don't touch the hot stove, you will get burnt" means nothing. The only way to truly know something is to experience it.

      > Define GOD.

      All-That-Is.
      All-Parent.

      Feel free to pick a definition that fits within your belief system, although I would tend to recommend one of the two listed since they tend to be the most accurate given the limitations and inaccuracies of language. Maybe you will find another one.

      > Define the universe first.

      I'm assuming you mean this one, and the physical dimension since you never clarified...

      An Universe is a manifestation of God's thought.

      > Define time first.

      A dimension of mind quantized or fractalized; hence the reason one can go "outside" or "transcend" time. At a higher level there is no such thing as time, past or future, as everything is "NOW." At the physical level (if you excuse the irony), time is a meta-physical buffer so that we may learn how to see the consequences of our actions, instead of all the consequences being immediate available.

      > Define life first. Define death first.

      A transfer of consciousness from one dimension to another. Life is the "entering" into the physical dimension. Death is the "exiting" of the physical dimension.

      It would be constructive to find your _own_ answers, instead of others telling you. The only hint I will give is that the traditional definition of Life and Death is a kindergarten level of understanding. Everything is "Alive." Sadly as humans, the general populace is not aware of even 1% of "Life" because people fall into the trap of thinking it is physical. At the physical level, yes you are correct, Death appears to be a polar opposite of Life, but on a higher level, it is not, for there is no such thing as Death on a higher level. Chi, Ki, Prana, Life Force, whatever you want to call it doesn't change its nature or purpose.

      >> "The universe is most Logical and Loving."
      > Now this remark is just fluffy puppy dogs, pink bunnies, and kittens talk, and has absolutely no practical use in a rational conversation.

      It sets the framework from which to understand _why_ things even happen in the first place. As long as people assume the opposite, "The universe doesn't make any sense, god is illogical, the universe is unfair, poor me", they will never understand reality to any depth, and learn the most important lesson: They are in control of their destiny. It's liking asking directions on how I do reach the city (to the East) and being told to go North. It won't take you where you want to go.

      Peace

    4. Re:god is irrational... by yndrd1984 · · Score: 1

      That is an assumption on many levels.

      This is a classic example of projection - seeing one's own flaws in another person, but not oneself. Here are just a few of your assumptions:

      [Consciousness] certainly won't be found in the physical dimension.
      An Universe is a manifestation of God's thought.
      [Time is] a dimension of mind quantized or fractalized; hence the reason one can go "outside" or "transcend" time.
      Time is a meta-physical buffer so that we may learn how to see the consequences of our actions, instead of all the consequences being immediate available.
      [Life is] a transfer of consciousness from one dimension to another. Life is the "entering" into the physical dimension. Death is the "exiting" of the physical dimension.
      Everything is "Alive."
      Chi, Ki, Prana, Life Force, whatever you want to call it doesn't change its nature or purpose.
      Unless you have been dead, you _know_ NOTHING about Life.

      And last, but not least,

      I already have the answers.

      Not only is that an assumption, but it also has to be the most egocentric statement ever made.

      Your confusing Evolution with Awareness.

      No. Biological evolution (as far as we can tell) is a process built out of inexact reproduction and differential survival, while consciousness (as far as we can tell) is a process that is based on the activity of structures in the brain. Different things, but both processes.

      As long as people assume the opposite, "The universe doesn't make any sense, god is illogical, the universe is unfair, poor me", they will never understand reality to any depth, and learn the most important lesson: They are in control of their destiny.

      I don't know anyone who thinks that way. To mirror your statement, I would say that: The universe does make sense, but not in a preplanned way that makes human concerns the center of the universe - the physics of a fatal car crash make perfect sense, but don't expect that to comfort anyone. God is a concept best explained by psychology - it has nothing to do with anything outside the human mind. The universe isn't really unfair, it just exists - fairness (like beauty) exists only in the eye of the beholder, and is a purely human concern. As for "poor me" - why?

  76. Natural selection? by CannonballHead · · Score: 1

    So, for the evolutionist side - shouldn't this be part of natural selection? Survival of the fittest? Shouldn't evolutionary scientists expect extinction ... in fact, isn't that the only way species will continue to evolve?

    I've always been confused at the modern day evolutionist's perspective that somehow, death and extinction is very bad, even though it's pretty much the primary part of the theory of evolution.

    The same is true for those that complain the loudest about humans ruining the planet. I'm completely FOR treating the planet correctly, but for entirely different reasons. The evolutionist perspective, it seems, should not criticize the highest form of evolution (humans) for their natural behavior; by killing off much of the life in the world, am I not just helping prove what is fittest to survive? Certainly, you can't blame me, the product of evolution, for the way I naturally act.

    On the other hand, and this is the part where I get modded troll, flamebait, or "stupid" (not sure what the Slashdot equivalent of "stupid" is :) guess I'll find out), preserving and taking care of different species and the world in general makes more sense in a Judeo-Christian worldview, because Biblically, humans were given that responsibility. "Responsibility" is not really in an ahteistic evolutionary worldview. Or if it is, I see no reason why you should tell me what my responsibility is.

  77. So? by Thaelon · · Score: 1

    So what? Species have been going extinct for billions of years. Those that can't hack it in the current environment don't get to live in it.

    I'm not being deliberately mean or anything, but nature quite simply doesn't give a shit whether you make it or not. Our actions are in no way outside it.

    The moment you consider human beings to be somehow outside natural selection in any way whatsoever, you've lost all perspective. We and everything we do are a part of natural selection. This absolutely includes contaminating environments with chemicals that don't normally occur there, and allowing our cat to hunt some birds to extinction.

    It's hard to explain the tautology of natural selection here without just saying it: That which survives, survives. That's nature's only rule regarding species. There are no others and there are no exceptions or caveats.

    If some monkey species develops a means to completely annihilate some insect species and does so, do we get all up in arms about it? No, we say, "well that was interesting" and write about it and document it and move on. We are no different. Even if we are causing amphibians to die out that's just as natural regardless of cause. If amphibians cannot survive in an environment that contains humans, they don't get to survive.

    I don't personally think that killing off amphibians is good or anything, but nature doesn't give a flying fuck what I or anyone else thinks and it makes no distinction between us modifying the environment and some other force doing it.

    --

    Question everything

  78. Re:the easy solution: spread to areas they can thr by conureman · · Score: 1

    That's what we need here! Drop Bears and Funnel Web Spiders, Yay!

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  79. Re: "Let them eat cake" by bcwright · · Score: 1

    Let me try and put this in the way so a kindergarten kid could understand it.

    The problem with the cake analogy is that it's really not a useful analogy at anything above the kindergarten level.

    Like many such false analogies (economics comes to mind as another area where such things abound), it assumes that everything is a zero-sum game: The more I win, the more you lose. That's true in things like sports and games, but it's true in very little else. Sometimes we both win (perhaps by cooperating with each other to do things neither of us could do alone). Sometimes we both lose (perhaps by each of us making it impossible for the other to accomplish anything).

    Since I would hope that most of us here are past the kindergarten level, perhaps it would be best to avoid such oversimplified attempts to "explain" things.

  80. Anecdotes by conureman · · Score: 2, Funny

    You realize, don't you, that without scientifically rigorous documentation, your observation of mere physical reality means nothing to the willful ignorati. I too, have observed the same phenomena. I miss toads.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
    1. Re:Anecdotes by viridari · · Score: 1

      And even with scientifically rigorous documentation, my findings would still be disregarded because I do not have the right combination of alphabet soup appended to my name.

      There would still be debates about the fundamentals of electricity today if Benjamin Franklin were subjected to modern standards of scientific method.

  81. No by jopet · · Score: 1

    You are missing the point. Nature doesn't give a shit about Earth being a dead and desert planet either. Nature does not give a shit about mass extinction nor total extinction. The point is that we should give a shit.
    Biodiversity is something that has both practical and an ideational values and judging from the problems we have run in in the past, we can expect it to have values we are not even aware of. At the same time we know that if we cause the extinction of species, this is the final word: we will never see them again and we will never get back the ecological systems they helped to form. So in addition to losing specific species that could be of value to us or just nice to look at, study, or just have, their extinction will go hand in had with losing a working biological system that itself is usually part of greater systems of climate, erosion etc. We are not even close to understanding and even less to predicting what will happen if such changes happen and we are utterly incapable of fixing it, once it has been broken.
    The comparison to the monkey species or any other species really is also missing one important point: no other species on earth as of yet was capable to make use of massive amounts of energy to influence their environment. While it has happened very often that species have caused the extinction of other species, sometimes of those they needed for their own survival, the scale of how humans are doing it now is unprecedented and can only be compared with the few occasions where mass extinctions occurred because of huge vulcanic or meteor incidents.

    So while nature certainly doesnt give a fuck, I do and I think we all should, if we have an interest of our own species to survive over at least some more time in an environment that will remain a constant source of inspiration and wonder to us humans.

    1. Re:No by Thaelon · · Score: 1

      No, the point is not "we should give a shit". I don't know where you got that. The point I was I was responding to was, "man may or may not be responsible for killing off amphibians" with a somewhat tangential and academic comment to the effect that nature doesn't care if we care. It was intended as an academic aside, not an opposition towards or preventative action against taking preservative action.

      I made no comment as to whether or not we should care or whether or not species dying off was good or bad. It simply is.

      It really wasn't necessary to go spouting off and saying we should care. How do you know if the amphibians are even beneficial? Maybe they're holding back some form of life that would improve the live for every other living species. Sure, biodiversity is a generally a good thing, but like all generalizations it's less useful in practice than in vehement speeches. The fact is we simply don't understand the full implications of the loss of a species. The interactions are far too complex to even model (when you include everything from radiation to cars to viruses), let alone predict.

      It's easy to go with our gut reactions to protect things that are dying, but I would prefer we take a more rational approach and first ascertain why before we go mucking with things more than we already are.

      As for this all too emotional statement, "no other species on earth as of yet was capable to make use of massive amounts of energy to influence their environment" I call bullshit. Or did you think that the oxygen you're breathing was just magically freed from carbon or hydrogen atoms? I would contend that we as humans cannot hold a candle to the energy utilization of our green oxygen producers in the ocean and on land.

      To me, taking up arms against humans "polluting the environment" (even with man made chemicals) is just as rational as taking up arms against prehistoric plans for "polluting the environment" with oxygen. To many species, and even to us in the wrong quantities, oxygen is actually a poison. It's an extremely corrosive chemical too. Does that make it bad too?

      Just imagine if someone had stopped all those nasty plants back then from polluting the environment with oxygen. You wouldn't be around to imagine. Neither would any other oxygen breather.

      This is why I hold any attempt to intervene with man's actions as contemptible. Only someone who was omniscient could truly understand the implications of our actions or non actions. Are you omniscient? No, and additionally, you lack the proper perspective, and objectivity (IMHO). You seem to see it as man screwing up nature. I see nature as a whole system that we're merely a member of. Maybe you're right and we should be more preservative. Maybe you're not. I can't be "wrong" because I'm not taking a side to be right or wrong about here. I'm only pondering out loud. The subject of my original post read "So?" not "So what?"

      --

      Question everything

  82. Earth's TerraScore Now Down to Level 2 by WebmasterNeal · · Score: 0

    The 5 people on Slashdot who actually bothered to buy SPORE and play it will get this joke. The rest of you wont.

    --
    "During My Service In The United States Congress, I Took The Initiative In Creating The Internet." -Al Gore
    1. Re:Earth's TerraScore Now Down to Level 2 by CorporateSuit · · Score: 1

      The 5 people on Slashdot who actually bothered to buy SPORE and play it will get this joke

      What about the 250,000 people on Slashdot who actually bothered to download SPORE and play it?

      --
      I am the richest astronaut ever to win the superbowl.
    2. Re:Earth's TerraScore Now Down to Level 2 by Lord+Bitman · · Score: 1

      that number sounds inflated. What about the 32,000,000 people who read the reviews and didn't BOTHER downloading / buying spore?

      --
      -- 'The' Lord and Master Bitman On High, Master Of All
  83. Adapt or die. by conureman · · Score: 1

    By next century, I believe any remaining Polar Bear will be hybridizing or competing with the Browns. Of course they are going to be competing for space with the humans migrating to the polar (habitable) regions. You should be okay, the rest of us may also have to adopt an insect diet.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  84. Depends on the change, I suppose by Moraelin · · Score: 1

    Depends on the change, I suppose. I can see your point if we're only talking about a temperature change of half a degree. Probably there are enough alleles for that.

    In other cases, though, the changes are more dramatic. A lake can become outright anoxic within a record time, for example. I don't think it's even possible for fish to evolve to be anaerobic, and it'll take a lot more than 38 years.

    Or as another example, let's put it like this, humans have used lead pipes, utensils, paints, cosmetics, etc, for millenia, and we haven't evolved immunity to lead yet. We've drunk alcohol for 5000 years or so (the Egyptians drank 4 litres of beer per day, including the women), but the liver didn't evolve to be immune to it. Duly noted, the frogs do reproduce a lot faster, but I still think that it's not that easy to just evolve immunity to a toxin.

    --
    A polar bear is a cartesian bear after a coordinate transform.
    1. Re:Depends on the change, I suppose by bcwright · · Score: 1

      It depends on the toxin or other insult, and what the genetic inventory of the species in question was. I agree that it seems doubtful that it's possible for most fish to evolve to survive in an anoxic environment, except possibly for a few species like the lungfish. Certainly also it wouldn't be likely to be a quick process. As for other toxins, there are species that can survive in extremely hostile environments - but for any specific species, the question would be whether some kind of immunity could readily be found within their genetic space; if not, then it's a moot point.

      The problem with your examples of lead and alcohol is that in both cases their effects will be most severe well past the childbearing years - so selection on that basis would be a second-order effect based on reduced familial support. They may also not be loci that are readily accessible within our genetic space, or even completely nonexistent.

      Evolution doesn't guarantee that a species will be able to solve any curve ball their environment throws at them, certainly not if the environment changes both drastically and quickly.

    2. Re:Depends on the change, I suppose by bcwright · · Score: 1

      I would submit that in the vast majority of cases, if a species couldn't survive a temperature change of a degree or so without any evolutionary changes required (and assuming that that was the only change to its habitat), that that species is probably too specialized to survive in the long run. That kind of temperature change is well within most natural year-on-year temperature variation, except in a few habitats like caverns and the deep ocean.

      However that has little or nothing to do with the possible effects of a similar rise in global average temperature. As soon as you start talking about destabilizing glaciers and ice caps, changes in sea level, and changes in weather patterns and rain distribution, you're talking about far more than just the effect of a single degree rise in temperature in an isolated local environment.

  85. Mod parent insightful! by Spy+der+Mann · · Score: 1

    As opposed to cherry-picked global-warming-is-a-hoax "facts"?

    Yes.
    AND as opposed to *not* cherry picking facts, but presenting them in as unbiased a manner as possible.
    Which was the point I made, glad to see you did not argue with it.

    Kudos for finding the hidden solution :) I've added you as a friend.

  86. Poor stwardship. by conureman · · Score: 1

    I would like to point out, for those of us denying our responsibility for the reality of the anthropogenic destruction of the one planet that all the scientifically proven existing lifeforms in the universe live on, that the economic implications dwarf anything related to ALL of the economic "crises" of oh, say, all of RECORDED HISTORY. Think. Please.
    My friend, Patrick Laffey, used to point out that clearly our Fearless Leaders believed that they would be leaving on the Star Ship Enterprise. Did you get an appointment to Star Fleet Academy? Lucky you.
    Those of you who supplement logic with faith, Jesus is coming, and BOY, IS HE PISSED.

    --
    The cost of that cleanup, of course, will be borne by taxpayers, not industry.
  87. Who profits from frogs living anyway? by ldcroberts · · Score: 1

    The reason frogs are dying is because they aren't worth any money to anyone, so nobody really cares. In countries like France I'm sure they have bio-security to stop travelers bringing in diseases for them. Countries are already recognizing the impact other countries can have on their climate and taking action to prevent unexpected changes. Trying to make people care by arguing that them dying off might affect the planets future is simply doom-saying unless you can prove it, and it will be hard convincing the majority without hard proof as it won't get media coverage. Change isn't always necessarily bad, it creates new opportunities. Sure people's hearts bleed when you talk about animals dying, but we probably kill many more to eat.

  88. Singular blame by iamlucky13 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Here's a further question, however. The article hints at multiple factors, but then incessantly intones global warming, global warming, global warming! Actually, the article seems reasonably noncommittal about it, but the summary was excerpted primarily the global warming references.

    Has the estimated 2/3 of a degree change in average temperatures over the last century really resulted in dramatic devastation of seasonal ponds or merely tended to shift their latitude and/or elevation slightly (trust me, dried out tadpole corpses already existed back in the 80's when Stanford started this study and I was catching critters in seasonal ponds)? What about increased human water use lowering the water table, and development altering drainage patterns. And don't forget other factor cited like pesticide use and changing pH in waterways.

    I don't have anything against global warming science, but in this case, it doesn't sound like they have actually confirmed a link between global warming and the factors cited.

  89. Global Warming? Really? by stmfreak · · Score: 1

    The problem with crying wolf over forecasted claims of doom is that we, as a species, are often wrong. Are we seriously going to believe that 1/3rd of amphibians have such a tenuous claim to life that a one degree shift in temperature is causing them to die off? Fine, let them die.

    But what if it turns out to be mercury. Or Nitrates? Or perhaps it's just an over abundance of silt in the water. Or maybe its some sort of fungus. Maybe, just maybe, the frogs are the canary for global warming. But my fear is that we're going to mobilize the world to spend trillions on cutting carbon emissions and using heinously expensive alternative sources of energy (while china and the third world laugh and burn more coal than we conserve) all for nothing.

    In the end, it will be something we stopped looking for and had no money / resources left to address that will kill us off.

    All because we're too arrogant to believe we're wrong and stop asking questions.

    --
    These opinions guaranteed or your money back.
  90. Please.... Let them be first! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Could the first mammals to die out be the man-made climate change wack jobs. Please?!?

    They can't even tell me if it'll rain tomorrow with 100% certainty but somehow think that they can take unscientifically gathered temperature data and determine that the Earth will soon cook. Then magically work some greenhouse gas figures and tell us it's man made. Just like in the 1970s we were headed for an ice age if we didn't stop CFC use.

    Maybe we should all just go back to using old fashioned CFC hair spray. It'll reflect enough sun to cool us back down.

    Or maybe, just maybe - mans impact on global temperature is minimal and there are alternative cyclical explanations, including sunspots, for global warming. I personally am very happy to be living in an inter-glacial period.

    I'll go back to my first statement, when we leave this wonderful period of stability and hit the next ice age, I hope the first to go are all the left wing, blame man - wackos. They can take the anti-human anti-hunting HSUS and vegetarians everywhere with them.

  91. Re:Self-perpetuating point of view, etc. by mi · · Score: 1

    Perhaps your perspective is that we needn't change anything.

    Yes, as a matter of fact it is. If I were among the jurors in Salem in 1692, I'd refuse to convict, despite the other jurors' pleas to protect the girls being afflicted by the witches, etc.

    You seem to be acutely aware of the complexity of the problem, but your contribution appears to consist mostly, if not entirely of mockery and derision.

    Because the proponents of the global warming, and, especially, those of the idea, that humans (the rich ones, of course — the class struggle is almost always cued into a green's argument) are responsible, have put forward nothing deserving anything other than mockery and derision (well, the Che Guevara-adoring among them also deserve a noose or a bullet too, but that's another subject). There may, indeed, be a problem, or there may not be one, but the inconveniences, that "the greens" demand we accept, are too serious to be undertaken "just in case". And, of course, the most famous of the greens are rather hypocritical, which ruins their case even further.

    So, until the theory, that blames rich western societies for the global warming, becomes scientific (it is merely a political one now), and can explain the drastic climate changes of 5 and 10 thousand years ago, I shall remain skeptical.

    And no, I'm not, in actuality a seminarist — I was just mocking the GGP. But I have enough education to be able to discern science from attempts to "restore social justice", and will not cramp my lifestyle, just because some Leftie thinks, I have not earned, what I own.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  92. Re:Self-perpetuating point of view, etc. by QuantumG · · Score: 1

    Just thought I'd mention that I agree with you. The reason why we're seeing so many species extinctions now, as compared to the distant past is because we're alive now and the fossil record is not very accurate. The reason why we're seeing so many species extinctions now, as compared to the recent past is because we're looking more now. It's perfectly natural and I can't believe our society has become so fucking bleeding heart that we put the interests of spotted owls over the interests of humans. And, no, none of these extinctions make a lick of fucking difference to our survival. I don't need an ecosystem to support me, I'm a human, we make our own god damn ecosystem.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
  93. Awww... (was:Oh yeah?) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, fuck frogs.

    What sick mind would want to engage in intercourse with Kermit?
    I think Ms. Piggy want to have a word with you before that...

    1. Re:Awww... (was:Oh yeah?) by lumpeh · · Score: 1

      Apparently monkeys do >_http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwegzhXAqaQ NSFW!

  94. Re:Self-perpetuating point of view, etc. by Brad+Eleven · · Score: 1

    Ah. I see that you prefer to lump your perceived opponents into easily dismissed groups. Apparently they're all of the same mind to you, e.g., no extremists on either tail of the bell curve. I'll grant that there are those who are derisive, and that their rantings haven't helped, and seem only to have stirred you and others like you to resist with insults and invalidation. In particular, your invectives ("some Leftie") are repellent, and do not serve to further your argument. To quote from your own post on another topic

    Aye-aye-aye! Name-calling - how sad...

    Thanks for clearing up that you've no formal religious education. I'm now curious what you refer to when you claim that you have "enough education". It leaves the impression that you feel that you've had all the education you need.

    I wonder at your blanket dismissal of empirical data. The planet is on a distinct warming trend. This isn't merely well-grounded scientific theory. It's a fact. If you insist, I'll provide multiple sources for hard evidence.

    You seem to be stuck on the argument that human activity is responsible for global warming. I personally don't care why the Earth's temperature is rising. I'm interested in whether this is a normal cyclical trend. Even if it is, I want to know how these rising temperatures will affect our species, directly and indirectly. It's futile to suggest that we have lived through earlier warming cycles. We must at least consider the present state of the world in comparison to what we know and can discern about the states during earlier warming cycles.

    Getting back to the main topic of discussion, I view it as puerile to presume that the extinction--or even a drastic reduction--of any species warrants investigation. Why are they dying off? How will it affect us? Is it something we did, and if so, what is the impact of changing our behavior? If we're not responsible, then what is, and can we influence the outcome, or must we accept the change and compensate for it? More importantly, what is the impact of ignoring the problem?

    To wit, if it's a matter of simple economics, I view it as folly to put off remediation simply because of the cost, especially if the main consideration is that some would lose money on the investments that they have already made. Suppose that you discovered mold growing in your home. Would you put off rectification simply because the cost might affect plans you already have for the money? It's not important to determine whose fault it is: The priority is your own health and the value of your home.

    If you would take care of your private residence, then by extension you ought to be curious about what's going on with the planet it's parked on. If you'd just ignore the problem in your own home, then you are likely ignorant in other areas of your life as well.

    You may wish to consider that responsibility and blame are not interchangeable.

    --
    "Press to test."
    (click)
    "Release to detonate."
  95. Want Proof ? Spend More Time Outside ! by bruceslog · · Score: 1

    I really like that so many people want the cold hard facts about whether man is responsible for global warming. And they want the numbers on pieces of paper - to crunch the data before they will decide to go out on a limb and say that they agree this is happening because these numbers say so, and that men do affect the environment around them. Problem is, the numbers can be manipulated to show either - or, and they can take decades to collect and analyze. I don't think we have that much more time. So here are the 'facts' as I've seen them. When I go to my favorite fishing holes, streams, and rivers, I cannot eat the fish I get. They are poison now. Because of man. When I am driving on the interstate, I can 'see' a big city I am approaching well before I get there, over the horizon, by the dome of brown, misty smog and crap in the air above it. The same brown smog that causes 'Know-Zone' days where you should not re-fuel your vehicle until 6PM. The same brown misty crap that causes smog alerts, where the local government has to warn the young and old to stay inside for their own health. Created by man. And I see that my Dad and the other farmers I know are not allowed to use certain pesticides anymore because those pesticides almost made the American Bald Eagle extinct, or they have contaminated water wells for a hundred miles in the recent past. Made by man. Sprayed on a field. Affecting our World. I see stretches of brown, dead trees that have been killed by acid rains because of contaminants originating hundreds of miles away. 30 years ago (?) a huge river caught on fire because of the crap that men were putting into it from many miles upstream. And does anyone remember the Love Canal making so many children so sick ? I see the laws that HAD to be made to stop people from dumping their used motor oil out back, or using and releasing all the CFC's that opened up a hole in the ozone layer ? Which, btw, seems to be closing again since the bans ? I see the Extra Diligence Required now in watershed areas, because what folks dump on the ground - ends up in peoples drinking water for hundreds and thousands of miles. Sept 11th, 12th, 2001. Aircraft are banned from the skies over America. Resulting in some of the most beautiful, blue, and cloudless skies anyone living can remember seeing. No artificial clouds from vapor trails. No unburnt fuel or nasty emissions ( stand on an airport tarmac sometime.. that crap is nasty, and it'll give you a quick headache ), none of that crap pumped into the air on those days, as it is every single day of every single week otherwise. I see signs of mankind affecting the environment in huge swaths, everywhere I look. And I marvel that we have grown so used to seeing it, that we come to accept these things as natural. Like being surprised at the cloudless skies for 3 days in 2001. Or we write it all off as a small price to pay for progress. Like the unfortunate sicknesses and cancers so many suffer when something mankind has been doing ends up being proven to hurt people.. usually many years after the facts, and well after the company responsible has made their money and vanished. So, somebody here wants to tell ME THAT MANKIND CAN'T AFFECT AND DESTROY OUR ENVIRONMENT !!?? That what is happening CAN'T BE OUR FAULT ? BULLSHIT. I got news for ya. Man has become a force of nature in a way. There are so many of us, pumping so many different un-natural things into the air and water and soil, that we are indeed affecting the world we live in. Big Time. That little smokestack you can see out your window, or on your drive to work each day, seems like it can't be cause for much concern. And by itself, maybe it isn't. But you aren't looking at the BIG picture. When you next see that smokestack, imagine many thousands of them right there, all beside each other, and all of them belching out crap. That is a small portion what America is putting into the air. Every Single Day. Now imagine Many Thousands MORE of those smokestacks, each one belching even more crap out of them than the first bu

    --
    If it has tires or tits, it will give you problems.
  96. crazy ass jesus freaks by omarsidd · · Score: 1

    too bad it's not the creationists dying out. :) There's no reasoning with them since their views are based on irrationality. How can you reason with somebody who choses irrationality? Then, once they were gone, we could actually talk about the real topic here (the dying out of an entire class).

  97. Egads! by mmwithpeanuts · · Score: 1

    Too bad, I thought we might be able to at least eat some green frogs in the future, once the other species die out, but this will not be the case, unfortunately, as I do love fried frog legs... and what about all those beginner science people, who won't know where to find something to dissect? Oh well, looks like soylent green will be human, after all. Well, we can all look on the bright side, at least we'll decrease our worldly population once the animals and plants aren't around to feed us. Kidding aside, what we can do to help is let these animal and plants heal by instead overconsuming the same things again and again, like red meat and black oil, why don't we decide to let our planet rest every once in a while. We need more trees planted, more rivers cleaned, less dumping in oceans, or polluting our sky. Just like the Natives of these lands once did, let the ground lie fallow for a while, let your car take a vacation in the garage, conserve water, electricity, and paper and plastic. We have been conditioned to equate our consumption to our livelyhoods, thinking we have to support the big exploitive companies that bring us our products so conveniently. We need to become determined to rescue ourselves from this 'getting worse' reality by being less commercialistically consumeristic, and more self reliant. I mean, how on Earth did they survive on "Little House On The Prairie"? Plant corn in your backyard, if you have one, along with some tomatoes, beans, squash and lettuce. So many things we can do in so little time means we still have a good chance to Save Our Ship called, Eartha Oceanus. Godspeed to US all, or Evolspeed, which ever you desire.

  98. Re:Oh yeah? by sunnyflorida · · Score: 1

    I thought /.ers believed in evolution?

  99. Re:Self-perpetuating point of view, etc. by mi · · Score: 1

    Contrary to your apparent belief, I don't have to prove anything. The burden of proof is on people, who want me to sacrifice various modern-day conveniences to stall/prevent/reverse Global Warming.

    That all (or nearly all) such people, under minimum of scratching, reveal themselves to be advocates for "social justice", makes them easily dismissable, yes. Not my fault, though. I don't have to "see their side" of the argument.

    --
    In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
  100. My two cents by CPhelan · · Score: 1

    The problem with amphibians dying is caused by idiots messing with mother nature. My folks have a camp in upstate NY. The lake used to be stocked with just trout, bullhead and perch for as long as I can remember. Recently sport fishermen from down state started introducing bass and pike into the lake. There are no frogs because the pike eat up all the tadpoles. I'm not a scientist but if you introduce a predator without bothering to think of the impact on the ecosystem its just plain stupid. I saw a bumper sticker the other day, ignore the environment it will go away.

  101. Climate changes rapidly by djdbrand · · Score: 1

    Climate has changed rapidly in the past without humans. Climate research shows that average temperatures have increased many degrees centigrade in a single decade. The old believe that climate changed slowly in the past is long gone. It is amazing that some people still believe it. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/abrupt/story.html

    --
    "If you would be a real seeker after truth, it is necessary that at least once in your life you doubt,as far as possible
  102. MIS 11 by djdbrand · · Score: 1
    --
    "If you would be a real seeker after truth, it is necessary that at least once in your life you doubt,as far as possible
  103. What about the gene banks by Poohsticks · · Score: 1
    OK - I'm sure I'm going to get flamed into oblivion, but I can take it.

    Don't we have gene banks for plants and animals both? I just saw a program the other day that said Norway is funding a huge increase in it's arctic gene bank (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Svalbard_Global_Seed_Vault). I know that there is a lot of worry over species extinction, but as long as we've got the gene map then we've got the species preserved. I'm fairly confident that we'll be able to clone anything we've got stored. Call me crazy.

    --
    "The story so far: In the beginning the Universe was created. This has made a lot of people very angry and has been wide