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Study Highlights Gap Between Views of Scientists and the Public

ZeroSerenity was one of many to write with news of a survey from the Pew Research Center which sought to find out how Americans feel about science and contrast that with the opinions of actual scientists. The study showed that "nearly 9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by natural selection, but just a third of the public does. And while 84% of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity, less than half of the public agrees with that." 27% of the respondents said that the advances of the US in science are its greatest achievement, down from 44% ten years ago. The study is lengthy, and it contains many more interesting tidbits. For example: scientists decry the level of media coverage given to science, and they also think research funding has too much influence on study results. 32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans.

670 comments

  1. reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans.

    Ahh, reality with it's damned liberal bias again...

    1. Re:reality is librul by geegel · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I assure you that there is a difference between what you perceive as an American reality and a global one. I live in Europe and the difference between the elite and ordinary people, although sizable, is much less radical. P.S. I never quite understood why "liberal" has such different meanings over the two sides of the Atlantic. A liberal party here is actually right wing as it promotes deregulation and basically more trust in the market's self-regulation mechanisms.

      --
      right...
    2. Re:reality is librul by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Historical shift in popular terminology in the 1940s, blah, blah, blah. Blame FDR (and whoever his republican opponents were at the time).

    3. Re:reality is librul by Admiral+Ag · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Yeah, the Democrats are liberal, because they would be a right wing party outside of the US. US politics are extremely right wing in comparison to the rest of the democratic world. I mean like really really right wing.

      That's cool, I just wish that some Americans wouldn't act as if everyone else is abnormal. It's you guys who are out of step with everyone else. NTTAWWT

      --
      "by that I mean people who don't sit on slashdot all day wondering why everyone else isn't building robots" DECS
    4. Re:reality is librul by arbitraryaardvark · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The Pew Research Center has little to do with reality.
      How they choose to define "scientist" is relevant. That is, the population being sampled is one of the factors in what the results are. I'm guessing they oversampled university employees and people who receive government grants, who tend to be democrats, and undersampled people who use scientific method in their work, such as farmers.

    5. Re:reality is librul by gEvil+(beta) · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ...and undersampled people who use scientific method in their work, such as farmers.

      So because I use a computer, I'm now considered a Computer Scientist? Good to know. I need to update my CV.

      --
      This guy's the limit!
    6. Re:reality is librul by Dr_Ken · · Score: 5, Insightful

      "32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans."

      Dem politicos tend to favor more funding for the public employee unionized academic types at public colleges and universities. The Repubs like to fund private outfits like think-tanks and independent contractors. The "scientists" are smart enough to not bite the hand that feeds them. (Until they get tenure, that is.) And so that is the way they vote.

      --
      "If you want to know what happens to you when you die, go look at some dead stuff."
    7. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for affirming GP's point.

    8. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder how long before all the Libertarian slashdotters discover your comment and mod it flamebait.

    9. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those and the Guardian.

    10. Re:reality is librul by Runaway1956 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Fek nerml. Being "normal" means being average, run of the mill, a follower, a nonthinker, a - what's the word I want here? A frigging COLLECTIVIST!!!

      Who wants to be a mere normal? Certainly not I.

      Oh yeah. Normal today means blindly accepting the political movement regarding global warming. The article points out that researchers often find results that are palatable to the research funding agency. Hmmmm. That really begs the question: is the "consensus" of scientists unreasonably influenced by the funding or people with an agenda, or not?

      Thanks everyone, but I'll remain skeptical of man made global warming. Any group that is more than half democrats is biased to start with.

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    11. Re:reality is librul by Goody · · Score: 0

      I assure you that there is a difference between what you perceive as an American reality and a global one. I live in Europe and the difference between the elite and ordinary people, although sizable, is much less radical. P.S. I never quite understood why "liberal" has such different meanings over the two sides of the Atlantic. A liberal party here is actually right wing as it promotes deregulation and basically more trust in the market's self-regulation mechanisms.

      The reason for the difference in the definition here in the US is Rush Limbaugh and Fox News. They've been working for the past 10 or 15 years to develop the so-called "liberal" into the enemy of all that is good and wholesome. It's so bad that often you'll see conservatives blame just about anything from traffic jams to lousy pizza on liberals and anyone they disagree with are labeled with the liberal pejorative, even if the disagreement has nothing to do with politics. The Republican Party is no longer the party that embraces conservatism or libertarianism, it's the party that hates liberals.

      Most Americans don't know the true meaning of the word liberal. The same goes for the terms socialist, fascist, or communist. But I digress. I've often thought Libertarians are actually right wing liberals. But if you call someone a right wing liberal here in the US, their head will explode or they'll probably get really violent.

      --
      Tired of being "punished" by the Slashdot $rtbl since 2002. I'm now over at http://soylentnews.org/ .
    12. Re:reality is librul by mvdwege · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Right. The fact that you classify 55% as 'more than half' shows exactly what a stupid moron you are.

      Mart

      --
      "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
    13. Re:reality is librul by Xtravar · · Score: 0, Troll

      Like Bill Maher said: there's the conservative party (Democrats), and then there's the bat shit insane party (Republicans).

      --
      Buckle your ROFL belt, we're in for some LOLs.
    14. Re:reality is librul by joss · · Score: 3, Interesting

      > Who wants to be a mere normal? Certainly not I.

      Whether one aspires to be normal or not, depends on which side of the mean you lie in a normal distribution. For you I'm pretty sure it would be a step in the right direction.

      > Any group that is more than half democrats is biased to start with.

      The majority of climate scientists are not American and thus neither democrats nor republicans. Does that make them more credible to you ? Or do scientists need to be predominantly right wing to be credible in your world ?

      --
      http://rareformnewmedia.com/
    15. Re:reality is librul by Unoriginal_Nickname · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Modern farming is based on centuries of research and experimentation. Farmers have been performing genetic engineering for thousands of years.

    16. Re:reality is librul by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2, Funny

      Right. The fact that you classify 55% as 'more than half' shows exactly what a stupid moron you are.

      Mart

      I read your post three times, what is your point?
      Let's do some math. One half of something is 50% of that something. 55 is greater than 50. So 55% is more than half of something.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    17. Re:reality is librul by coaxial · · Score: 5, Insightful

      That's just Horwitz crap. If you look at political affiliations throughout university departments in the US, you'll find many more republicans in areas like business and economics. The real problem with scientists and the gop is that the gop has for the last 20 years engaged in an antiscience crusade. They're the party that tries to teach creationism. They're the party that denies the overwhelming evidence of man made global warming. They're the party that band the creation of useful stem cell lines for research. Why? Because they're for the status quo. There's simply no reason why anyone who even has a passing interest in the advancement of science should vote republican.

    18. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Neglected in the article, is the data on how many of those three groups, rely on government grants...

      Good example, the teacher of Algore who was a NASA data manipulator, with a 'man made global warming agenda', responsible for 'copy pasting the Siberian summer (warm to hot) weather data, into the 'official' weather reports, to off-set the data of the particularly cold October, last year, to try to show it was the Hottest ever! (did so for August, September, October of 2008)

      One can manipulate data in many ways. Once they do so, the cease to be scientists.

      Wondering, on the survey, which scientists they used, when the data was done (time of day) and where? The figures would tend to indicate the data was done at colleges and universities, since the demographics are similar (the independents in those areas always teach liberalism, so they are Democrats in hiding)

      Most important, who paid for the survey. Companies doing surveys frequently tailor the survey to the result desired, if possible.

    19. Re:reality is librul by Citizen+of+Earth · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ahh, reality with it's damned liberal bias again...

      Indeed, I had wondered about that for a long time — how such smart people can be so dumb. But the cause finally occurred to me — professors are idealists. This allows them into the same comfortable reality-distortion field as Leftists. Personally, I am a Centrist, which IS the reality zone on the political spectrum.

    20. Re:reality is librul by Hognoxious · · Score: 2, Informative

      It's precisely more than half. It's more than 51%, which is a bit more than half, and less that 63.7%, which is a lot more than half.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    21. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US politics are extremely right wing in comparison to the rest of the democratic world.

      OK. So? We seem to do OK even when downturns hit. Maybe *we're* the ones on to something. Just need to tweak it up some more.

      NTTAWWT

      So why bring it up? The USA is in a very different situation than "rest of the democratic world" which I assume means Europe in this context.

    22. Re:reality is librul by Dr_Ken · · Score: 1

      Oh there are plenty of people out there who try to use "science journalism" to spin their politics. Remember this guy?

      --
      "If you want to know what happens to you when you die, go look at some dead stuff."
    23. Re:reality is librul by Dr_Ken · · Score: 1

      Forgot to add the link to the post above. Heh. My bad.

      --
      "If you want to know what happens to you when you die, go look at some dead stuff."
    24. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So because I use a computer, I'm now considered a Computer Scientist?

      Not on that basis alone.
      Farmers using the scientific method are, in fact, practicing science.
      You're not practicing science by updating your facebook status.

    25. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, the Democrats are liberal, because they would be a right wing party outside of the US. US politics are extremely right wing in comparison to the rest of the democratic world. I mean like really really right wing.

      That's cool, I just wish that some Americans wouldn't act as if everyone else is abnormal. It's you guys who are out of step with everyone else. NTTAWWT

      Thus why we are the greatest nation in the world!

    26. Re:reality is librul by Solandri · · Score: 5, Interesting

      The real problem with scientists and the gop is that the gop has for the last 20 years engaged in an antiscience crusade. They're the party that tries to teach creationism. They're the party that denies the overwhelming evidence of man made global warming. They're the party that band the creation of useful stem cell lines for research. Why? Because they're for the status quo. There's simply no reason why anyone who even has a passing interest in the advancement of science should vote republican.

      I think there's a lot of a self-fulfilling prophecy in that. The recent Bush administration increased federal spending on scientific R&D to its highest levels in 30+ years. The President who decreased it to its lowest level was actually Clinton. But most people (including I suspect most scientists) probably think the opposite because that's what they expect from the preconceived bias you just outlined.

    27. Re:reality is librul by Solandri · · Score: 2, Informative

      federal spending on scientific R&D

      That should be "scientific research". The research line in the graph is generally the science. The development line is generally DoD projects, which are have been decreasing ever since the cold war ended.

    28. Re:reality is librul by mvdwege · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Learn some statistics.

      Mart

      --
      "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
    29. Re:reality is librul by ivucica · · Score: 1

      You understand that it's normal today to be abnormal? Subculture this, subculture that, "alternative" rock, blah blah blah. Popular culture says "Don't be normal, be different from everyone else, you're unique" although there's several million (or at least thousand) other people doing the same (or practically same) thing as you are. Mountain climbing? Yes, there's at least a few thousand shepherds out there doing practically the same thing. Nobody's unique.

      So today, be abnormal by -- being normal.

    30. Re:reality is librul by AliasMarlowe · · Score: 3, Informative

      The Pew Research Center has little to do with reality.
      How they choose to define "scientist" is relevant. That is, the population being sampled is one of the factors in what the results are. I'm guessing they oversampled university employees and people who receive government grants, who tend to be democrats, and undersampled people who use scientific method in their work, such as farmers.

      According to the linked study, they used a sample of members of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), and excluded those who resided outside the USA or whose membership was based on being primary or secondary level educators. Roughly half were in biological or medical fields, with the remainder in physical or earth sciences. http://people-press.org/report/?pageid=1554

      --
      Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities. - Voltaire
    31. Re:reality is librul by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      So what is the minimum percentage of 100% that is more than half?

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    32. Re:reality is librul by countertrolling · · Score: 1

      Almost no American will accept that Ronald Reagan was a liberal.. But he sure was, to a fault.

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    33. Re:reality is librul by Runaway1956 · · Score: 1

      I appreciate the fact that you are an elitest from academia, and that your intelligence is far superior to all the rest of us slashdotters.

      I also appreciate the fact that numbers don't lie, but statisticians do.

      Pleased to meet you, Mr. Statistician. Now, I challenge you to explain to the rest of us exactly how 55% is NOT more than half.

      I give my rugrat two rolls of pennies. 100 pennies. I tell him that we are going to share the pennies. I count out 50 pennies for him, he counts out 50 pennies for me. Then I cheat, and take one of his pennies. Because I'm older and wiser, when he accuses me of cheating, he starts counting pennies. When he finds 51 pennies in my pile, he says I DID cheat. Show us the flaw in the kid's reasoning skills.

      I'm willing to learn, as are many other slashdotters. Are you capable of teaching us?

      --
      "Windows is like the faint smell of piss in a subway: it's there, and there's nothing you can do about it." - Charlie Br
    34. Re:reality is librul by bzipitidoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      You think money alone shows support and respect for science? Wrong! The Republican regard for science is very backhanded. They don't hesitate to cook evidence to fit the conclusions they think they want, and, you know, that costs money. Remember Iraq? No WMDs! Remember that lying idiot who dared to censor Hansen's research to take out anything that might show there is global warming, and while he was at it, also censored it of all suggestions that Evolution was accepted science? There are dozens of skewed studies that supposedly show there is no global warming, tobacco isn't addictive, our food isn't unhealthy, pollution isn't causing cancer or birth defects or other health problems, or anything else some industry thinks they want. The religious wackos have embraced these techniques wholeheartedly, to push their own agendas such as the "controversy" over Evolution vs Creationism. It's an entirely manufactured controversy. And they do this without seeming to understand that what they're really doing is lying. The Republican party has become an unholy alliance between liars for industry and liars for God. As has been said, they make facts based on decisions, not decisions based on facts.

      Republicans at least see the respect people have for science, or they wouldn't bother faking it. What they don't get is that faked science is worthless. They really seem to have a hard time understanding that crucial point. It's really amazing how they can puke out some rubbish anecdotes and think that's on par with evidence collected in a professional, disinterested manner. They also don't hesitate to try a snow job, that is, "doubt is our product".

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    35. Re:reality is librul by bluemonq · · Score: 1

      Are you suggesting that a group that isn't more than half democrats inherently unbiased? As in, any group that was composed of more than half Independents and Republicans?

    36. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, the GP's notion (I presume) was that with the choice of party A, party B, or independent, a sample with a majority from one party will be biased. This is a separate issue from whether that sample is representative of the population; if the entire population is dominated by one party to that extent, the sample could be representative, but that just means the whole population is biased.

    37. Re:reality is librul by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Personally, I am a Centrist, which IS the reality zone on the political spectrum.

      On which spectrum? If you're a "centrist" in U.S., that means you're well into the right in most other Western countries, and not really a centrist there at all.

    38. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Subtract military R&D from that, and you'll see that the Bush administration literally gutted the budgets of all of the major research labs across the country.

    39. Re:reality is librul by moosesocks · · Score: 2, Informative

      Ahh, reality with it's damned liberal bias again...

      Indeed, I had wondered about that for a long time — how such smart people can be so dumb. But the cause finally occurred to me — professors are idealists. This allows them into the same comfortable reality-distortion field as Leftists. Personally, I am a Centrist, which IS the reality zone on the political spectrum.

      But they're not. If anything, professors teaching subjects relevant to government (Economics, political science, government, and history) tend to be moderate-leaning conservatives. (Any current students or recent grads are free to chime in and confirm/deny this)

      Us physicists and chemists could generally care less about politics, except for when a certain political party goes around decrying science in general. That tends to get on our nerves.

      (It's not that we're particularly partisan either. Ask any physicist about Bill Clinton's cancellation of the Superconducting Supercollider, and you'll likely hear a great deal of profanity.)

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    40. Re:reality is librul by moosesocks · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Dem politicos tend to favor more funding for the public employee unionized academic types at public colleges and universities.

      Academica is unionized? Did I somehow miss that memo?

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    41. Re:reality is librul by b4upoo · · Score: 1

      I know that you are correct in believing that Europeans have a better grasp of science than Americans. I used to send scientific equipment to trade shows in Europe and the general public not only attended but asked rather deep questions. My market involved universities and the usual expectation in the US is that a few department heads along with some of the more privileged professors would attend but we rarely saw ordinary citizens at US shows and the depth of knowledge revealed by their questions did not imply any deep, scientific education.

    42. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well obviously this is the fault of Christianity with its bias of faith over knowledge. Natural selection should take of this oddity in its own time.

    43. Re:reality is librul by ignavus · · Score: 1

      ...and undersampled people who use scientific method in their work, such as farmers.

      So because I use a computer, I'm now considered a Computer Scientist? Good to know. I need to update my CV.

      It's alright. Scientists eat farm products, so the farming sector is already covered.

      --
      I am anarch of all I survey.
    44. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here in Austria (just in case: that's not Australia) we have a /Liberal Forum/ that is both liberal in the economical and the -- how shall I put it -- philosophical sense. However, there also is a party that is usually referred to as /Freedom Party/ in English, but actually has a synonym of liberal instead of freedom in its name. That's a right-wing party, and once in a while there is a scandal about some of their members being affillated with neo-nazi organizations.

    45. Re:reality is librul by coaxial · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It's not a "preconceived" if there's evidence for it.

    46. Re:reality is librul by MrResistor · · Score: 1

      I can't speak for where you are, but all publicly funded colleges and universities in California are unionized.

      --
      Under capitalism man exploits man. Under communism it's the other way around.
    47. Re:reality is librul by tiqui · · Score: 1

      "Liberal" and "Conservative" used to mean the same things on both sides of the pond; The US, after all, was created mainly by people from Europe. A "Conservative" tended to support the king/queen and the power of the government, etc. whereas a "Liberal" supported individual rights and freedoms and the rights of the people to rule themselves.This is why American conservatives and liberals alike use the term "liberal democracy" in a positive way on the international stage. This is the form of liberalism now termed "Classical Liberalism"

      The initial population of the 13 American colonies, in the immediate aftermath of the revolution would all have been classified as "Liberal" even though they had plenty of political differences and were far more religiously conservative than even most American conservatives today. The colonists who clung to the King of England (who would have been classical conservatives) were called Torries (as a negative term, rather than as a political party label) and many either went back to England, or moved north to Canada; those who remained were strongly in favor of individual liberties and freedoms, and not too fond of royalty and big government.This meant that the entire American political spectrum was on the side of classical liberalism. Political and cultural events drove an inversion in terms in the U.S. First, the early 20th century "Progressive" movement which was popular with the likes of Teddy Roosevelt fell out of favor when ideas they were associated with seemed to go so wrong over in Europe in the lead-up to WWII. The more extreme ends of the American left and right were relatively quiet during the WWII years and in the post-war 50's. When the American left became re-energized in the 60's, and sought to change society, they did so under the banner of "Liberal" which had a more positive link to the idea of "liberal democracy" rather than under the term "progressive" (which still had some negative baggage). When right-leaning Americans reacted to the activity of the left in the 60's (done under the banner "Liberal") it was only natural for them to embrace the term "Conservative" as they fought to protect what they felt the left and "Liberals" were changing/destroying. Liberals in the US now generally favor large government and centralized control (which they came to see as the way to induce the societal changes they sought), while conservatives generally favor the individual and small government (embracing the writings of the nation's founders on the dangers of big government, and seeing every example of government action as a warning of impending tyranny). This flipping of terms in the US is not entirely

      complete however because on certain issues (mainly related to national security) conservatives tend to prefer more government and liberals prefer less. There are other issues in the US (like abortion) which would, on the surface, seem to muddy the waters even further for an outsider. The left seem to be ClassicLiberals/ModernConservatives (favoring the individual to have a medical procedure) while the right seems to be ClassicConservative/ModernLiberal (favoring big government control of an individual). Both sides are actually being consistent with the modern terms when you view the issue from their particular perspectives (the left-wing wanting government to enforce what they see as a civil right of a pregnant woman to have a procedure, and the right-wing wanting to protect the individual right of the unborn person).

      Interestingly, now that the term "Liberal" has become tainted in the minds of a large block of voters, some left-leaning American politicians are again dusting-off the term "progressive" ( Hillary Clinton has called herself an "early twentieth century progressive" and of course anybody with internet access knows about all the "progressives" putting up websites... ) The bulk of American society remains with a strong focus on the individual, which is why the entire American political spectrum seems so lopsided to a European and why both sides of

    48. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, it's win-win for them. By promoting crappy "science" that turns out to be later exposed as bad, the result is that the people who get taken in wind up learn to distrust scientists instead of learning to distrust scientists who were paid by corporations with an interest in particular results. The he said/she said reporting by media further exacerbates this by making the scientific community seem more divided and clueless than it really is.

    49. Re:reality is librul by tiqui · · Score: 2, Informative

      Switch-off the auto pilot and spew something other than liberal talking points

      the gop has for the last 20 years engaged in an antiscience crusade

      The GOP has NOT engaged in any anti-science crusade. Reagan, for instance pushed SDI claiming American Scientists who created "the bomb" were fully-capable of an equally challenging task of making it obsolete, while liberals claimed it was too hard. Republicans have been pro-nuclear, and many Democrats are terrified of it. Republicans tend to like the space program (Bush#2 told NASA to build new rockets capable of moon and mars missions and had a NASA administrator with multiple science and engineering degrees) while many Democrats see NASA as a department to be cut to get money for social programs (Obama promised to gut it, and put a PR hack in charge of reviewing it; she's now been nominated to an associate admin post). There was an active political movement on the left to make a political attack using that claim and to get certain scientists in more liberal fields to claim they were being muzzled. Notice how many times a certain lefty scientist at Goddard held press briefings to claim he was being muzzled? ( I seem to recall the count at over a hundred, which has got to be some sort of record for a person who is being muzzled)

      They're the party that tries to teach creationism

      No, the GOP never tries to teach creationism... what it DOES do, is assert the rights of parents in communities to have control over their schools (and that includes the rights of those people in those communities to have their schools not tell johnie and suzy that science has proven their religion false). The GOP ALWAYS favored local control of schools which the rare exception of when GW Bush went off-the-rails and teamed-up with Ted Kennedy on the big-government "no child left behind" malfunction. I, for one, have no problem with the schools teaching the theory of evolution as a theory just as I have no problem with the schools teaching various economic theories as theories, and I certainly do not want the school teaching some particular religion. I consider it totally unacceptable for some elementary school teacher to denigrate ANY kid in class, and certainly not MY kid, with some of the hostile God-is-dead and your-religion-is-an-emotional-crutch rhetoric that has been pushed in some classrooms in the country who then hides behind claims of academic freedom and claims critics are "anti-science". I am equally opposed to any teacher advancing communist economic theories as facts.

      They're the party that band[sic] the creation of useful stem cell lines for research.

      False. The federal government had not yet formulated policies on this before Bush, and Clinton/Gore had not been funding it. Bush did not ban ANY research. What Bush DID do, was say that the federal government would fund stem cell research (unlike previous presidents whom I presume you think were all "anti-science") but NOT FUND the creation of NEW lines using discarded embryos (an act that many taxpayers consider the taking of innocent life). Bush left it to states and private interests to spend THEIR money if they so chose on such research. THERE IS NO BAN ON THE RESEARCH, Bush was just not going to take money at gunpoint from taxpayers to fund research that those taxpayers consider murder.

      They're the party that denies the overwhelming evidence of man made global warming.

      Sorry, but this over-simplification of a very complex issue is getting tiresome. The evidence is NOT so overwhelming; there are MANY scientists who do not buy into this and many others who do, but who think there are smarter ways to deal with it than the Al Gore way. When anybody who disagrees is called a "denier", is denied grants, is denied tenured teaching positions, is accused of being in the hip pocket of evil polluters, and is shouted-down, SCIENCE is not at work. I learned long ago, that the person with the weakest argument is usually the one who resorts to shouting and name c

    50. Re:reality is librul by Phoghat · · Score: 1
      32% Independent

      55% Democrat

      6% Republican =

      93%

      ?7%? Zombie?

      --
      Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.
    51. Re:reality is librul by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

      I see you did some researched before posting, do you have the time to fill out a questionnaire?

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    52. Re:reality is librul by RiotingPacifist · · Score: 1

      damn reality-distortion field must be fucking huge to cover all the western world except America! America is a country founded and run by religious fanatics, unfortunately its a damn powerful country, so the rest of us get pretty frustrated when you squander budgets the rest of us could only dream of!

      --
      IranAir Flight 655 never forget!
    53. Re:reality is librul by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I'm sure that's the reason. Especially since Republicans have been in power for how long? Shouldn't they have all become Republicans so as not to bite the currently feeding hand? Or are you saying they all changed political affiliations since November?

      Perhaps it's because Republicans are generally more small "c" conservative. I.e. more resistant to change and new ideas. These are not particularly good traits for being a scientist.

    54. Re:reality is librul by slak+variable · · Score: 1

      The study was done relying on the AAAS... it is not a randomly selected set of scientists. Given the survey was done about attitudes toward the Bush administration it's not non-partisan. It's also out of office for those who keep up with current events. Why drag out a dead horse to flog?? Lack of live horses? The Pew is notorious for cooking up these little smear jobs. Frankly I think it's a smokescreen to cover the background of the new science 'czar'...a disciple of Margaret Sanger. Whatever the attitudes the public has toward science, a little more integrity on the behalf of scientists would go a long way...

    55. Re:reality is librul by Dr_Ken · · Score: 1

      "Especially since Republicans have been in power for how long?"

      Sheesh. Who is POTUS at any given time doesnt matter that much on any particular campus. Not in day to day stuff or research decisions.

      "Shouldn't they have all become Republicans so as not to bite the currently feeding hand? Or are you saying they all changed political affiliations since November?"

      Ah...no, I am just saying you're wrong. I cant speak for all colleges and universities *esp. the private ones* everywhere in America but here is how it breaks down where I am and where I went.

      The University of Michigan Board of Regents 6 D 2 R. Eastern Michigan University governors 8 D 0 R. Michigan State University board of trustees 6 D 1 I 1 R. The EMU board is appt. by the governor, but UM and MSU are selected on a partisan basis by statewide vote. So where you get this idea the Reps have been "in charge for a long time" is hard for me to see. Maybe in Utah or Kansas or other strong GOP areas, but not in the rest of the country where the major institutions are. And by way of conclusion the R's haven't controlled a public university's board here in Michigan since the 1960's.

      Are things different where you are?

      --
      "If you want to know what happens to you when you die, go look at some dead stuff."
    56. Re:reality is librul by Skjellifetti · · Score: 1

      You're a selfish bunch, too! IIRC, the problem was that the SSC + the ISS + the Human Genome Project meant that there would not be money left for the "small science" grants that most researchers depend on. Something had to give. The SSC lost because a handful of physicists were up against 1000s of scientists from other disciplines. Personally, I'd have rather seen the ISS die rather than the SSC, but one of the three had to go.

    57. Re:reality is librul by tthomas48 · · Score: 1

      And the university boards are made up of scientists? I'm not really trying to argue that University's aren't generally run by more liberal leaning people though. That was actually my point. Small 'c' conservatives are going to be less interested in learning new things or in change, so they would more than likely be less interested in University positions. I'm not saying that there won't be conservative teacher's, but I think that you're always going to find Universities leaning towards people who are more interested in learning new things which is going to always tend towards a more liberal view.

      It's like coming to the shocking realization that our business managers are heavily weighted towards being conservative. It's perhaps not caused so much by politics as the temperament that fits the job.

    58. Re:reality is librul by moosesocks · · Score: 1

      Each B-2 bomber cost about $1 billion.

      After the fall of the Soviet Union, the aircraft was almost completely unnecessary, and yet we built more than twenty.

      The SSC could easily have been built, and would have kept the US in the lead for basic science research for at least twenty years.

      (And, yeah. The ISS should *never* have been built)

      --
      -- If you try to fail and succeed, which have you done? - Uli's moose
    59. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the difference is between: Economic policy and Social policy

      ie in Australia, the Liberal Party so called because it has Liberal Economic policies but also has Conservative Social policies.
      (Liberal Economic policies = more Capitalism , less Govt ownership/intervention, ie more like USA)

    60. Re:reality is librul by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      What about him? (TL;DR)

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      Clever signature text goes here.
    61. Re:reality is librul by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I, for one, have no problem with the schools teaching the theory of evolution as a theory

      Ah, the standard creationist dishonesty. "It's just a theory!" You should read this, and educate yourself.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    62. Re:reality is librul by Skrynkelberg · · Score: 1

      A personal attack and an astounding ignorance of basic maths - it's all the fine points of Slashdot, condensed into a single sentence!

    63. Re:reality is librul by Phist · · Score: 1

      bush bashing - bash bash bash.

      Riddle: Why did the U.S. Department of energy leave off water vapor as a significant greenhouse gas in its 2000 report on significant greenhouse gases?

      Answer: To make human emission of carbon dioxide seem more significant than it really is.

      However, scientists are not stupid and know there is money to be made solving for fictitious problems created from politics.

      http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html

      Back to your bush bashing republican hate speech.

    64. Re:reality is librul by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Relax. Nobody denies that the U.S. of A. is the greatest nation on earth, in certain categories ;-).

    65. Re:reality is librul by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      Modern farming is based on centuries of research and experimentation. Farmers have been performing genetic engineering for thousands of years.

      Yes, it would be fair to call them agricultural engineers. Just like any other engineer, however, they aren't actually scientists. They use science, they don't do science. Likewise, machinists, engineers, and pilots aren't scientists.

      Anyways, sounds like the GPP is mad because they didn't skew the sample in his favor. We all know farmers are pretty conservative. Since farmers do things with their hands and with machinery, we should conduct a poll where we ask taxi drivers and carpenters what the best farming methods are. I'm sure they'll be less biased than all those farmers!

      Thanks for giving us such a clear example of why the average 'merican doesn't understand science.

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
    66. Re:reality is librul by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      Each B-2 bomber cost about $1 billion.

      After the fall of the Soviet Union, the aircraft was almost completely unnecessary, and yet we built more than twenty.

      What do you mean "unnecessary"? That's a load of rubbish! Stealth bombers are still extremely necessary and useful, and will continue to be well into the future. They give us an incredible capability that has already saved us valuable lives and given us a unique, powerful capability. I'm sure the costs could come down on them, but it would have been idiotic to abandon our stealth programs just because the USSR collapsed!

      The SSC could easily have been built, and would have kept the US in the lead for basic science research for at least twenty years.

      (And, yeah. The ISS should *never* have been built)

      Agreed with everything else above. I think people are confusing things... No offense to those who work in the field, but I see the ISS as more of an engineering project than a science project. The science it enables us to do is a pretty crappy ROI, and I see it as a huge waste of money. I'd rather have the SSC and Human Genome Project, not to mention the IFR and other programs that could have really done a lot for our society.

      It seems Republicans like engineering not science. They like science for the resulting technologies, but they're more willing to discard scientific results that disagree with their ideology. As they've become more dogmatic and dominated by the religious right, they've become more openly hostile to science. It's no surprise that most scientists want nothing to do with the GOP, just as most atheists want nothing to do with the GOP.

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
  2. 55% say they are Democrats by BadAnalogyGuy · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We always try to keep in mind that correlation does not equal causation, but if that is so, what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

    And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

    I'm not a global climate change denier. There is definitely something going on. Whether it is caused by humans or not, it doesn't really seem to matter. Let's focus on making this place a nice place to live. Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with. Let's start making this a better world for you and for me.

    1. Re:55% say they are Democrats by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Informative

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      The story is about science but English is still important. The statement in the fine summary (Way too lazy to RTFA before coffee) says that scientists believe that humans are warming the earth, it doesn't say humans are the only thing warming the earth.

      I'm not a global climate change denier. There is definitely something going on. Whether it is caused by humans or not, it doesn't really seem to matter.

      FAIL! Just looking at CO2 alone, humans put somewhere between twice and an order of magnitude more CO2 into the atmosphere than volcanism. Since it's easy to see using physics that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and we KNOW that CO2 released from volcanism is a significant heater (we can observe the localized effects intensely) then we KNOW that humans are a significant source of CO2, let alone all the other things that we make that nature never will.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:55% say they are Democrats by noundi · · Score: 1

      I'm not a global climate change denier. There is definitely something going on. Whether it is caused by humans or not, it doesn't really seem to matter. Let's focus on making this place a nice place to live. Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with. Let's start making this a better world for you and for me.

      I see where you're coming from but nonetheless it kind of does matter. If it's caused by us then we need to change our ways in order to make this place a nice place to live. How are you going to justify to people that they need to change if you cannot prove that they're doing something wrong?

      --
      I am the lawn!
    3. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Nasarius · · Score: 4, Informative

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      Oh, for fuck's sake.

      1. We, humans, are pumping over 27 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually.
      2. A corresponding increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been observed.
      3. The interaction of CO2 with IR radiation is well-established and well-understood by anyone with an understanding of simple chemistry.

      Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      --
      LOAD "SIG",8,1
    4. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      and yet the world has cooled over the last 10 years so one of your assumptions is wrong. Which one is it?

    5. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We always try to keep in mind that correlation does not equal causation, but if that is so, what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      OK, I hadn't considered that being more liberal might lead one to a career in science, but why not. I was hypothesizing the converse, that being a "scientist" made them likely to be more liberal than the average citizen. Perhaps due to education level, exposure to a particular subculture, something like that.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    6. Re:55% say they are Democrats by cupantae · · Score: 2, Insightful

      We always try to keep in mind that correlation does not equal causation, but if that is so, what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

      A lot more than your comment. Honestly, i can't make head nor tail of this.
      "but if that is so" - if correlation DOES imply causation?

      The fact that correlation doesn't imply causation is often taken to extremes, like this, and if you say it in relation to something like global warming, where there are solid reasons for accepting the link, it is fair to say that you need not believe anything. For future reference, it is necessary to point out that correlation does not imply causation where there is a false or tenuous or overly complicated reason given for why the two things are related.

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      --
    7. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Biogenesis · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with.

      Unless cleaning up your act will cost you a lot of money, or you make a lot of money selling pollutants like oil.

      At least we have the history of CFCs to look back on as an example of how to clean up effectively. It's such a shame that CO2 is a) harder to avoid producing and b) more difficult to blame than CFCs were.

    8. Re:55% say they are Democrats by cupantae · · Score: 1, Insightful

      One of YOUR assumptions is wrong: that the planet is a simple system and that there are no major variations in the climate. A trend of increasing temperature is still present even if there are temporary drops.

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      --
    9. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Broken+scope · · Score: 1

      Does no one take simple fucking statistics anymore?

      --
      You mad
    10. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Vellmont · · Score: 5, Insightful


      what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

      From a purely scientific viewpoint, it doesn't really "mean" anything without more information. I could come up with a whole slew of theories to explain this statistic, but they'd all be extremely speculative since it's just one piece of information.

      The only thing it might mean (if the sample is accurate) is that the Republican party is extremely unpopular among scientists at the moment.

      can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      My understanding is we have a mechanism, a model, and a lot of evidence that shows global warming is caused by us. Where did you get the idea that it was ONLY a correlation?

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      AccountKiller
    11. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      40% do, 58% don't 15% don't know ;)

    12. Re:55% say they are Democrats by houstonbofh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It can't have anything to do with greater funding for pure research coming from Democrats. I wonder if the scientists polled were only defense contractors, would those numbers change...

    13. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bhima · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      I'm thinking it's the part where people arrive at a conclusion regarding matters of science from a path dictated by politics and or religion.

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
    14. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bunratty · · Score: 4, Funny

      If the world has been cooling for the last ten years, someone should tell all that Arctic ice to stop melting. Hey, get with the program Arctic ice! Cooling, I tell you! Cooling!1!

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    15. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      No, we can't just only show a strong correlation. I'll leave to someone more motivated the pleasure of explaining to you how we account for the emissions of various gasses, either directly from the tailpipe or indirectly by provoking the defrost of vast areas of permafrost, or how we know for sure what the effects of these gasses are on the climate.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    16. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not a global climate change denier. There is definitely something going on. Whether it is caused by humans or not, it doesn't really seem to matter.

      FAIL! Just looking at CO2 alone, humans put somewhere between twice and an order of magnitude more CO2 into the atmosphere than volcanism. Since it's easy to see using physics that CO2 is a greenhouse gas, and we KNOW that CO2 released from volcanism is a significant heater (we can observe the localized effects intensely) then we KNOW that humans are a significant source of CO2, let alone all the other things that we make that nature never will.

      Citation please.

    17. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bsane · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If it's caused by us then we need to change our ways in order to make this place a nice place to live.

      And the reality of that is- if we could no longer produce CO2 we'd better reduce the population of the planet by quite a bit. Feel free to start.

    18. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      Causation cannot in any case be fully proven. All we can ever see is correlation.

    19. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    20. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 1, Troll

      what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

      That most highly educated men and women of science and reason are liberals. If you're a liberal like me you can see this as a comforting sort of validation that you're right.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    21. Re:55% say they are Democrats by HertzaHaeon · · Score: 4, Informative

      and yet the world has cooled over the last 10 years so one of your assumptions is wrong. Which one is it?

      Alternatively, you're wrong. NASA's figures says you are.

      I can spot more than five decades of supposed cooling during the 20th century as per you definition, but as you can clearly see the overall trend is not cooling.

    22. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Hubbell · · Score: 1, Insightful

      That's because NASA went back and editted their temperature records, which I'm quite sure was a story here on slashdot... oh wait, it was.

    23. Re:55% say they are Democrats by SizzlinSaguaro · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Engineers have just as much education as scientists, but the vast majority of engineers I know are heavily tilted to the Republican side. It may just be just the industries that I deal with, but I can't think of a single company that I deal with, whether it be in the power industry, mining or defense, where there isn't a clear conservative bent on the people that work there in general. And some of these people are highly educated. I have a friend who can truly be described as a "rocket scientist" (although he has a Masters in Mechanical Engineering and PhD in Electrical Engineering) and he is about the most religious and conservative person I know.

    24. Re:55% say they are Democrats by drinkypoo · · Score: 5, Informative

      Citation please.

      First Google Result: Volcanic Gases and Their Effects. Quotation follows: Scientists have calculated that volcanoes emit between about 130-230 million tonnes (145-255 million tons) of CO2 into the atmosphere every year (Gerlach, 1999, 1991). This estimate includes both subaerial and submarine volcanoes, about in equal amounts. Emissions of CO2 by human activities, including fossil fuel burning, cement production, and gas flaring, amount to about 27 billion tonnes per year (30 billion tons) [ ( Marland, et al., 2006) - The reference gives the amount of released carbon (C), rather than CO2, through 2003.]. Human activities release more than 130 times the amount of CO2 emitted by volcanoes--the equivalent of more than 8,000 additional volcanoes like Kilauea (Kilauea emits about 3.3 million tonnes/year)! (Gerlach et. al., 2002) Hope that helps... lazy asshole.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    25. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I also took complex fucking statistics, until I pulled my groin.

    26. Re:55% say they are Democrats by CarpetShark · · Score: 2, Insightful

      1..3...Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      I believe it's this one:

      4: The average human gives a crap about reality

    27. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That 55% are Democrats simply means there's a strong correlation between being a scientist and being a Democrat (which I'll loosely refer to as liberalism, though there's obviously no strict correspondence). Could be any number of explanations for that correlation, such as:

      • Higher education inclines one toward liberalism.
      • Liberalism inclines one toward higher education.
      • The science establishment is predominantly liberal and exerts pressure on scientists to adopt liberalism.
      • Studying science tends to convert one to liberalism.
      • Liberalism makes one more likely to study science.

      I'd favor the last two; from what I've seen among grad students here, the sciences are much more left-dominated than engineering, despite similar levels of education. The last one, particularly, makes sense, if you think about career paths, but I'd rather have known data than "sensible" speculations, so I'd settle for some hard data on the correlation of liberal/conservative tendencies and/or party affiliation to science, and then speculate on the direction, if any, of causative links.

      Of course, anecdotes != data, so we need proper studies (comparing scientists against similarly-educated people in other fields and/or comparing people with doctorate-level education in a representative section of fields against the general populace) to establish levels of correlation. Comparing scientists to the population in general may help scientists feel good about themselves, but IMHO the inability to resolve these separate factors makes it rather pointless.

    28. Re:55% say they are Democrats by abigor · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Let's see, who should I believe regarding climate change/warming:

      1. A massive consensus of the world's climate scientists, or

      2. "Hubbell", a Slashdot user with a uid in the 800,000s, no less.

      Boy, tough one.

    29. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ice has stopped melting. You need to keep up with current events.

    30. Re:55% say they are Democrats by dcollins · · Score: 1

      Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with.

      This is untrue (among several things in your post). My own father argues that it is too expensive and tax-intrusive to act on these issues.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    31. Re:55% say they are Democrats by A.Gideon · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ...Whether it is caused by humans or not, it doesn't really seem to matter. Let's focus on making this place a nice place to live. Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with. Let's start making this a better world for you and for me.

      Seems like a no-brainer, no? But that's pretty much the topic here: no brainers.

      Honestly, though, I see the failure of American thinking as far more of a problem than Global Warming. The latter can do a lot of damage to the environment to which we're used. But, aside from our own perspective, so what? A few cities get flooded? We might care, but the Earth won't.

      On the other hand, we need clear and decent thinking - analysis, reason, etc. - to deal with this issue. And the next. And the next. Maybe Global Warming is the fault of humans this time. The next problem might not be. But that doesn't mean that we don't have to deal with it.

      Dealing, though, is where we'll fail if we cannot apply science and engineering to design and implement rationally chosen solutions. And our schools are not churning out people trained in rational and critical thinking, much less scientists and engineers.

      There's too much political advantage to be had in keeping people ignorant and backward, I fear, for schools to ever receive the long-term correction that is likely required.

    32. Re:55% say they are Democrats by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If you see this as a comforting sort of validation that you are right, then you aren't one of the most highly educated men and women. Argument from authority is a logical fallacy.

    33. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Gadzeus · · Score: 1

      President Lula of Brazil last week signed an act of Parliament that will give legal title to squatters in the Amazon to an area roughly the size of France. Brazilian law (Uso Campeao) gives property ownership to squatters in just 5 years. All they have to do is show they have used the area. The way they do that is burn the trees down and put cows on it. A single cow gives you control of a hectare. Should you try to buy the land to replant trees you will find that your neighbours' annual habit of uncontrolled burning to 'clean' their pasture of saplings puts paid to your investment. Burning rainforest produces more CO2 than all transport combined. Brazil has shown no serious intent to put an end to this burning. Brazil's 5 biggest land owners all stole their land through land registration fraud. None of them have been investigated. The two largest land fraudsters stole over 12 million hectares each... so each now 'owns' an area the size of Germany. Pressure needs to be brought to bear on governments that do not take this problem seriously. Prince Charles has started a petition: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=boEDMVNAPk4 Sign here: http://www.rainforestsos.org/

    34. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The three possibilities when you observe a correlation:

      A causes B
      B causes A
      C causes A and B.

      So to answer your question:

      1. Being a scientist causes you to be a democrat (or independent).
      2. Being a democrat causes you to be a scientist.
      3. A third factor causes you to be a scientist and a democrat.

      (2) is pretty easy to disprove. (1) is probably what most people would SAY they think is most likely, but they probably MEAN (3), with C being intelligence, critical thinking, or some such.

    35. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "1. We, humans, are pumping over 27 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually.
      2. A corresponding increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been observed."

      (1) and (2) are meaningless. You need to express that amount of CO2 released and the magnitude of the gain in terms that make it suitable for a statistical comparison.

      Your conclusion is very likely correct, but your argument is as flawed as those of the deniers.

    36. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If the world has been cooling for the last ten years, someone should tell all that Arctic ice to stop melting. Hey, get with the program Arctic ice! Cooling, I tell you! Cooling!1!

      OK. Arctic Ice! The globe is cooling! Time to stop lagging.

      Remember, you heard it here first.

      BTW, if it doesn't worry you A LOT that "Science" is owned by the Democratic party, you are either ignorant or foolish.

    37. Re:55% say they are Democrats by psnyder · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Someone should also tell the Antarctic ice to stop growing. Just Google antarctic ice to see.

      The environment is so complex that you can't just point at some melting/growing ice and say we're all doomed/saved. These kinds of arguments skirt the main issues which are:
      1. How much is man influencing THIS warming trend and how much is part of the same natural cycle that has occured many times before?
        (Note: the current warming trend started well before the industrial revolution. Look at just about any data that includes 1000s of years (ice cores, Sargasso sea, etc) and you'll see it clearly. Are we increasing the natural trend already in motion? If so, by how much?)
      2. Does warming help are harm the life on Earth? Can we conserve the life it harms, and prepare for the life it helps?
      3. Does increased CO2 in the atmosphere help or harm life on Earth?
        The answer to that seems to be both as the biosphere has increased a great deal (plants are being fertilised) but the coral reefs are suffering due to ocean acidification.

      The final concern is that the Earth will get SO hot that there will be a tipping point where there will be an effect called a "positive feedback loop" in which the heat will somehow cause the Earth to get hotter and hotter. As almost all things in nature work in negative feedback with multiple buffers coupled with the fact that the Earth has been much hotter in the past, I find this scenario to be closer to Science Fiction than anything else.


      From the article:

      84 percent of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity.

      This is true but it's spun, worded with an agenda. Many of those same scientists believe that the amount we're adding to the natural cycle is minuscule, insignificant, or may actually help the environment.

    38. Re:55% say they are Democrats by WCguru42 · · Score: 2

      I see where you're coming from but nonetheless it kind of does matter. If it's caused by us then we need to change our ways in order to make this place a nice place to live. How are you going to justify to people that they need to change if you cannot prove that they're doing something wrong?

      The whole point of this argument is that regardless of whether global climate change is happening there is no doubt that human activity (eg. coal fired power plants) produce a lot of pollution. And if there was a way (I mean, if we were willing) to reduce our pollution level not too many people would argue with that.

      --
      "Educate the mind but never at the expense of the soul."~Blessed Basil Moreau
    39. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Gadget_Guy · · Score: 1

      Oh please! Did you have a look at how tiny the temperature adjustments were? They were way too small to have any bearing on this topic.

    40. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Argument from authority is a logical fallacy

      lol, Slashdotters and their littanies. Do you have any others besides that, "correlation != causation" and whatever Occam's razor says? I'd love to know some more, so that just like you I can recite some of that when I recognise that it might be vaguely appropriate, even if it doesn't really make sense.

      I love how you guys' "critical thinking" seems to sum up to mindlessly running through a checklist of such phrases.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    41. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bunratty · · Score: 1, Informative

      A report on Antarctic ice from this year concludes that "On average, west Antarctica is losing more ice than the east is gaining." To see the effects of global warming most clearly, you should look to the Arctic, where the warming is expected to be greatest. Climate models predict that that the temperatures in the Antarctic will change little due to the deep ocean currents there. It's no coincidence that we see exactly this predicted pattern of warming.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    42. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 3, Funny

      Well, yes. The average maried couple has sex 98 times a year, and 48% of women admit to faking orgasms.

    43. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Nasarius · · Score: 1

      I wasn't attempting to make a rigorous scientific argument with all my citations in order. Simply observing that a) we're emitting a fuckload of CO2, and b) said CO2 does not magically disappear. The exact figures can be found by anyone who's interested, but the extremely simple point remains the same.

      --
      LOAD "SIG",8,1
    44. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What percentage of women admit to faking pregnancy..?

    45. Re:55% say they are Democrats by photon317 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I don't think the 55% Dem 6% Repub number says anything in particular about the validity of the parties or the bias of the science. I think more likely than not, this is the fallout of the obvious facts:Scientists spend a long time at universities, in many cases their whole lives. Universities have an extremely liberal population makeup, both among students and professors. Therefore most scientists are basically bathed in liberalism every day of their adult lives, and face pretty strong scorn from university peers if they don't follow that trend.

      Personally, I'm somewhere in the conservative-libertarian camp. That is, I hate right-wing-nuts (especially the religious kind) and left-wing-nuts (especially the socialist-leaning kind), and wish the government would just stay the hell out of everything that isn't strictly necessary (which is about 5% of what it does today). I really wish either the democrats would drop socialist tendencies (not gonna happen), or the republicans would kick out the religious nuts (also very unlikely, but less so), so that there would be some semi-rational major party in this country I could somewhat stand behind.

      --
      11*43+456^2
    46. Re:55% say they are Democrats by photon317 · · Score: 1

      Having a checklist of standard validators for rational lines of argument actually is a pretty useful tool for critical thinking. You should try it sometime.

      --
      11*43+456^2
    47. Re:55% say they are Democrats by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Informative

      So you progress to belittling. Right down the checklist of pseudo-think. And very mature.

      You're right to criticize the predominant view of "critical thinking," since most of what goes by that name is not critical thinking, but pattern matching.

      Setting that aside however (as it is a side-issue I have no desire to spend twenty posts digressing on) there is no valid DEDUCTIVE logical argument which goes from: Smart person says A, to: A must be true.

      There is an INDUCTIVE argument which states that: Person A is often correct, so I may presume him to be so now.

      However, inductive arguments are not proof (all arguments from correlation are inherently inductive--hence the claim correlation!=causation, because arguments from correlation cannot PROVE anything). Moreover in this case, claiming person A to often be correct is assuming facts not in evidence. On the contrary, I would assert that a scientist is NEVER absolutely correct (by the definition of scientific theories which are only falsifiable--and almost always falsified eventually in one aspect or another, never provable), except by blind luck.

      The nature of science is such that it is an epistemology, and in that epistemology the only things that are regarded as true are those which can be concluded a posteriori without doubt from a set of assumptions and facts (the only things which qualify as facts are reproducible observations, and not the interpretations of those observations). EVERYTHING else is tentative.

      Treating the results of any inductive argument as definitive (rather than tentative) is inherently unscientific. So, back to my original point: If you see this as a comforting sort of validation that you are right, then you aren't one of the most highly educated men and women.

      The epistemology of science is a sort of radical skeptical empiricism--nothing is known to be true except what can be conclusively shown a posteriori from facts (reproducible observations). Everything else is tentative, and subject to skepticism. Your attitude childishly belittles that very epistemology, while trying to cite it as a vindication of your own beliefs. It'd be amusing if it wasn't so sad that this is exactly how most of the population approaches science.

    48. Re:55% say they are Democrats by fritsd · · Score: 2, Informative

      The ice has stopped melting. You need to keep up with current events.

      No, it hasn't. But if in the coming decade it will stop melting, I'm sure that will be spun by some media as "there is no global warming, the north pole is'nt even melting anymore!" ;-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    49. Re:55% say they are Democrats by dimeglio · · Score: 1

      Of course since it's God who created evolution by natural selection.

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    50. Re:55% say they are Democrats by jstott · · Score: 1

      We always try to keep in mind that correlation does not equal causation, but if that is so, what does the "55% of scientists are Democrats" statistic mean?

      It's probably irrelevant.

      It's been well documented for decades that people with advanced degrees (Masters and, in particular, PhD's) are, statistically speaking, more likely to vote Democrat than Republican. There's no reason I can see why scientists shouldn't mirror the general population in this respect.

      -JS

      --
      Vanity of vanities, all is vanity...
    51. Re:55% say they are Democrats by dimeglio · · Score: 1

      There is no such thing as a right-wing nut. Are they not useful in moving your own political agenda forward. So if you vote for the same person than the right-wing nut voted for, you are yourself a right-wing nut.
      Scary isn't it.

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    52. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Jeez, water vapor is the largest green house gas. Don't ask for citations...just Google it.

    53. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ceoyoyo · · Score: 3, Informative

      I didn't even comment on the lack of citations. Your argument is purely an emotional one: we are emitting ${BIGNUMBER} of CO2, thus, we must be responsible for global warming.

      This is equivalent to the long debunked denier argument: volcanoes emit ${BIGNUMBER} of CO2 thus we are not responsible for global warming.

      The argument you probably meant to make, which is still unrigorous, unscientific and totally unreferenced, but is at least not meaningless is:

      1) We, humans, are pumping a globally significant amount of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually.

      2) A corresponding increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been observed.

      3) The interaction of CO2 with IR radiation is well-established and well-understood by anyone with an understanding of simple chemistry.

      Alternately, you could keep your (1) and change (2) to:

      2) A corresponding significant increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been observed.

      My point is that your original argument uses the same impressively-large-sounding-number-with-no-context emotional appeal that is the mainstay of anti-scientific arguments from intelligent design to global warming deniers.

    54. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      Global warming denialists alway sadden me a bit. Skepticism is a good habit, but you take a look at the math and the physics, and it's hard to take the not-our-fault position with a straight face.

      I'd like to know how the deniers think. Is it a philosophical position against absolute truth? A real complaint against data gathering methodology? A way to pick up chicks by being "open-minded?"

    55. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I may wear glasses but...doesn't that show cooling over the last decade?

    56. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Interesting

      On a private poll, with anonymous data, you think they'd lie to get government funds? WTF?

      I think it's more likely that the Republican party has been openly associating itself with bizarre irrational people for years now, and it's damaged the party's credibility with anyone who values rationality. At least the left shoves their serious looney-tunes people out of the spotlight where possible. To find a lefty crackpot, you generally have to dig around to find some college professor or blogger who said something loopy; with the right you just have to turn on your TV and look at what shrieking madman the Crackpot Institute has paid to do the rounds, or what Senator Psycho said today.

    57. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Blah blah TL;DR. I wasn't making a point from an objective point of view, my original claim was clearly about talking subjectively. So none of that stuff you're babbling about is relevant.

      That's what painful about seeing people argue on Slashdot, they want to apply scientific method to subjective thing like 'why this survey makes me feel good about being a liberal'. Yeah, you guys do a great job at running checklists on anything you hear, but if you put a bit of thought before starting doing that maybe you'd realise it's not always needed. Suckers.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    58. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ThePhilips · · Score: 1

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      The point here should be - not what/who caused it - but that global warming is the fact. And without intervention, leaving things as they are, our civilization isn't going to exist for too long.

      I doubt many would love option of joining dinosaurs in future civilization's history books. Though as we have dug up pretty much all dino fossils, probably they wouldn't even know about them.

      --
      All hope abandon ye who enter here.
    59. Re:55% say they are Democrats by psnyder · · Score: 4, Interesting
      Here's an article from 2 days earlier where the same Dr. Allison is saying that everything is stable.

      It looks like the ABC Australia author took part of this article and added his own interpretation. Notice that Dr. Allison is not quoted in the crucial sentences on either article. My guess is that the scientific journalists (who are not scientists themselves) are putting words in his mouth.

      Australian Antarctic Division glaciology program head Ian Allison said sea ice losses in west Antarctica over the past 30 years had been more than offset by increases in the Ross Sea region, just one sector of east Antarctica. (emphasis mine)

      "Sea ice conditions have remained stable in Antarctica generally," Dr Allison said.

      I'm more inclined to believe this is closer to Dr. Allison's view as it encompasses long range thinking and there's a direct quote attached.

      Dr Allison said there was not any evidence of significant change in the mass of ice shelves in east Antarctica nor any indication that its ice cap was melting. "The only significant calvings in Antarctica have been in the west," he said. And he cautioned that calvings of the magnitude seen recently in west Antarctica might not be unusual. (emphasis mine)

      "Ice shelves in general have episodic carvings and there can be large icebergs breaking off - I'm talking 100km or 200km long - every 10 or 20 or 50 years."

      So this is where the ABC article is getting it's information. Dr. Allison is saying that these are episodic carvings but that over a long period it's stable. The ABC author is just looking at the carving going on this year and created a sentence (that is not a direct quote from Dr Allison) saying that Antarctic is losing ice. This is a myopic and misinforming view in my opinion, as it's short term and does not represent the overall situation in Antarctica.

    60. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?

      But that's exactly what science does. It finds correlations, postulates causations and then, looks at that hypothesis with a critical eye by creating tests that would falsify the hypothesis. That's how the vast majority of science works. The hypothesis or theory with the most evidence that does failed to disprove it is the most likely true answer.

      Science is never about showing an absolute proof of something. That's math. Science is a formalized method of determining what is the most likely truth based upon the information we have and the tests we can perform. It is about showing which correlation is most likely to be true. Experiments are deductive reasoning applied to one aspect of reality and each deduction provides inductive support for a theory or negates the theory requiring a new one.

      There's no mathematical proof that global warming is being pushed rapidly and dangerously by manmade causes, but that is the most supported scientific theory at this time based upon all the evidence we have. Thus, a logical person believes it to be the most likely truth to base other decisions upon.

      Let's focus on making this place a nice place to live. Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with.

      If only that were true. I've heard more than one fundamentalist christian argue that we shouldn't be making the earth nicer, we should be using it up so that the apocalypse comes and the good can be "raptured" and the unsaved tortured.

    61. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Vornzog · · Score: 2, Informative

      That most highly educated men and women of science and reason are liberals. If you're a liberal like me...

      Wow, biased much?

      The Slashdot community prides itself on things like understanding statistics - so let's try to understand this one a little more objectively.

      This article is media hype piece, about a study by an opinion polling group, asking questions about topics that are scientific in nature but tend to have political spin put on them every day.

      I submit to you that by itself, the 55% statistic means *nothing*. Here's why.

      If this were a scientific study instead of a public opinion survey, Slashdot would be ripping that number apart because the comparison is extremely non-scientific. For instance, compare scientists vs non-scientists by level of education. I strongly suspect that you'd find that the distribution of political orientation for those with an advanced degree was very similar between the science and non-science groups. Whereas you won't find any 'scientists' with only a high school education - you can't go into the sciences without at least a bachelors degree, and that will usually land you a lab tech position.

      From there, you need to start comparing how each of the various demographics feels about politically charged scientific issues. But those statistics, too, are useless without understanding the political situation and correcting for education levels, etc.

      This is a 'social sciences' sort of study, and its findings deserve to be scrutinized just as much as any other, because it suffers all the same sort of flaws as the vast majority of those sorts of studies. Do not be blinded by the fact that it deals with physical science topics.

      This study, and the parent comment, show that you don't even have to lie with statistics. Just publish some crappy numbers with no real statistical rigor applied to them. If the numbers are sensational, or even leading, other people will do the job for you.

      1. The majority of scientists are liberals.
      2. I am a liberal.
      3. By (1) and (2), I am like a scientist.
      4. Scientists are always right.
      5. By (3) and (4), I am right about every opinion I have.
      6. We disagree.
      7. By (5) and (6), you are wrong.

      QED? Not so much.

      --

      -V-

      Who can decide a priori? Nobody.
      -Sartre

    62. Re:55% say they are Democrats by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Oh, for fuck's sake.

      This is not a good way to start a debate when you're trying to convince someone else of your point of view.

      1. We, humans, are pumping over 27 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually.
      2. A corresponding increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration has been observed.
      3. The interaction of CO2 with IR radiation is well-established and well-understood by anyone with an understanding of simple chemistry.

      Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      A number of things. For example, you choose to focus on CO2. While CO2 is associated with warming, there are an almost limitless number of other factors that also can contribute to warming (or cooling, for that matter). For example (taken from Wikipedia):

      In order, Earth's most abundant greenhouse gases are:

              * water vapor
              * carbon dioxide
              * methane
              * nitrous oxide
              * ozone
              * CFCs

      When these gases are ranked by their contribution to the greenhouse effect, the most important are:

              * water vapor, which contributes 36â"72%
              * carbon dioxide, which contributes 9â"26%
              * methane, which contributes 4â"9%
              * ozone, which contributes 3â"7%

      So right there, even if you take the worst-case scenario for CO2 (26%), it's still far, far less of an effect than the best case for water vapor (36%). Shouldn't we be trying to reduce water vapor instead of CO2? Note that's a rhetorical question. I'm just trying to point out where your argument -- and insistence -- on CO2 fails to account for what may be the largest driver in climate change. CO2 just seems to be a popular whipping boy these days because it appeals to environmentalists who've always been against fossil fuels, anti-capitalists who are against Big Oil, and anti-Westerners who would be happy to see the Western powers (i.e. the U.S.) come to economic harm while they can handily skirt any emissions controls on their own industry (see Kyoto protocols).

      It also doesn't help that global warming proponents tend to be shrill absolutists who, instead of trying to convince people of their argument, are merely content to shout them down or denounce them as imbeciles. You may recall my first comment on your post. Your opener falls into such a category. It's not a way to win people over to your side even if you were to have all the facts (which you don't). Note this isn't a knock against you personally or the science of climatology; nobody has all the facts, because nobody fully understands all the variables (or even most of the variables) associated with our climate. We have theories and models that require constant tweaking, modifying, and massaging, and even then they fail to accurately predict both past and present weather trends. The disclosure that several high-profile warming proponents admitting to actually cooking their data (aka cherry picking) also doesn't help your cause, as it shows these people had political, economic, or ideological biases which drove them to commit scientific fraud.

      If you care to respond to this, try to make it reasoned and tactful. Have all your facts, and admit that the totality of our knowledge about what's going on with the climate is anything but 100% sure. Claiming you've got it all nailed down with unassailable data is the surest sign that you've turned into a zealot. Nobody listens to zealots, even if they are sometimes right.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    63. Re:55% say they are Democrats by SnapShot · · Score: 1

      I think we've (i.e the public has) associated sides in a scientific debate with our team (tribe, clan, etc.), so for these people to deny anthropogenic climate change is to support your team. Science and methodology doesn't factor into it.

      To ask the deniers to look at the evidence for anthropogenic climate change with an open mind is about the same as asking a Red Sox fan to give a fair minded analysis of the Yankees.

      --
      Waltz, nymph, for quick jigs vex Bud.
    64. Re:55% say they are Democrats by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Someone should also tell the Antarctic ice to stop growing."

      And this is at odds with the Arctic ice melting due to global warming how? Arctic ice is based on freezing water, Antarctic ice is based on snow. Relatively warmer air can provide a greater amount of snow.

    65. Re:55% say they are Democrats by HertzaHaeon · · Score: 1

      Just as it did 1910-1920, 1940-1950, 1960-1965 and 1990-1995. If you don't see the overall trend, you might need to check your glasses.

    66. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can label things "tentative" all you want, but in the real world we occasionally need to fall short of perfect proof and make decisions. By all means, uphold high standards of scientific reasoning, but when faced with a massively important decision where science vastly and deeply supports one side of the argument (and there is a critical TIME element), perhaps it's worth taking a small leap rather than sitting on one's hands in the name of epistemology.

    67. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They did name a telescope after him. Well, almost, those "scientists" at NASA can't spell...

    68. Re:55% say they are Democrats by siloko · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Prince Charles has started a petition

      Prince Charles wants to return to the land of his forefathers where the Royal Family was held in high esteem and he could withdraw to his country estate to shoot deer and poachers for fun. The fact this his idyllic picture of yesteryear coincides with a currently fashionable environmental movement shouldn't fool you into supporting him. He's prat, if he had more power he would be a dangerous prat.

    69. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Gorobei · · Score: 1

      You might be right. I remember getting into a debate with a person about the quality of food in a specific restaurant. I focused on the dishes, the person focused on the fact that person's sister worked there. Was impossible to make headway.

    70. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with reducing the government to 5% of it's current size. Let's limit the government to:

      1. Full education and healthcare for all children
      2. Regulation of companies and financial industries to prevent practices that put our health, food supply, and economy at risk
      3. Public mass transit (subways, light rail, bike lanes, etc..)

      Did you pick the same 5% or was your 5% mostly concerned with sending money to Haliburton, AIG, Goldman Sachs, and Lockheed Martin?

    71. Re:55% say they are Democrats by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      There's a nice little strawman since I was talking about the OP's idea that 55% of scientists identifying themselves as Democrats vindicates his own liberalism.

      In point of fact, I support cutting CO2 emissions, and all pollution, on the basis of the principle of 'not shitting where one eats.'

    72. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Wow, biased much?

      No, my first sentence is a firm fact. The majority of men of science are liberals, fact. I don't see how you're debunking that. That's what your long-winded comment is supposed to be about, but I don't see where you do the refuting.

      Oh and wtf is that shit with your numbered list about? Jeez, you libertarians need to be less butthurt about that claim I made. Just because you guys are losers doesn't mean you should get your wads in a bunch.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    73. Re:55% say they are Democrats by psnyder · · Score: 2, Insightful

      And this is at odds with the Arctic ice melting due to global warming how?

      It's not! This is exactly my point!

      You cannot look at one aspect of one region in one layer of the atmosphere and consider it to be the nail in the coffin, case closed. It's like seeing someone with a headache and saying he's certainly got swine flu.

      I'm not arguing against global warming. Please reread my post if you got that impression. The Earth is most definitely warming. We've diagnosed that in countless ways that are much less anecdotal than ice melting.

      My point is that we are consuming ourselves with countless anecdotes of things like this and missing the real questions, which I listed above.

    74. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If I wanted a decent killing-machine built, to protect my interests say, then I for one would rather have it built by a Republican, and a religious one at that.

      Probably completely besides the point but i just wanted to say.

    75. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Goody · · Score: 1

      I love how you guys' "critical thinking" seems to sum up to mindlessly running through a checklist of such phrases.

      You must be new here! I for one welcome our new phrase checklist critical-thinking overloads. In Soviet Russia, the phrase critically thinks you!

      --
      Tired of being "punished" by the Slashdot $rtbl since 2002. I'm now over at http://soylentnews.org/ .
    76. Re:55% say they are Democrats by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      To me it means the longer you spend in a heavily liberal academic environment (extended stays are required for most varieties of scientist), the more likely you are to be indoctrinated.

      That's one of the cheap and tawdry seductions of the left- "All the smart people are over here! You don't have to think about it, just come to the smart side of the aisle!"

      Plenty of people buy it hook, line, and sinker.

      Your 'validation' is brought by your superficial membership in a 'smart' group, not in any internal confidence in your position.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    77. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Cyberax · · Score: 1

      "How much is man influencing THIS warming trend and how much is part of the same natural cycle that has occured many times before?"

      Almost all of it. The "warming trend" is the current Milenkovich cycle, but it's a very sloooooow trend (1 degree changes require _tens_ _of_ _thousands_ years). It can't attributed to anything but human actions. If we look at proxies for CO2 emissions, then we'll see this: http://www.global-greenhouse-warming.com/images/Ocean_pH.jpg - ocean currently serves as a buffer, absorbing some of emitted CO2. But that won't go on forever.

      Oh, and we know that almost all emitted CO2 is anthropogenic - that can be directly determined by measuring carbon isotopes abundance.

      Antarctic ice melting ALREADY causes rising sea levels - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_sea_level_rise

      Besides, why do you think positive feedback loops are impossible? We _know_ that the Earth was much hotter before, even though the Sun was less active. The Earth is not your thermostat, it just happens that the current climate conditions create a stable equilibrium.

    78. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      The environment is so complex that you can't just point at some melting/growing ice and say we're all doomed/saved.

      Agreed.

      How much is man influencing THIS warming trend and how much is part of the same natural cycle that has occured many times before?

      The scientific consensus on this topic overwhelmingly supports the theory that man has a significant impact not only on the overall temperature, but more alarmingly upon the rate of change, which is potentially a much more dangerous aspect of the problem. I know it may seem to the layperson as if this is a topic of great uncertainty, but in reality it is not. There is simply a very large and well funded marketing campaign fighting to misinform the public.

      Does warming help are harm the life on Earth? Can we conserve the life it harms, and prepare for the life it helps?

      This is an important question. The cost to humans in particular is hard to quantify, but it is likely to be extreme. Look at the tragedy of Darfur, rooted in localized climate change. People desperate for water in one place migrate causing huge cultural upheavals with the people already there. Governments deal with the situation badly and thousands die in horrible ways. Now Darfur was not even caused by an overall temperature increase, just change. Other places had unexpected floods and too much water and suffered as well. Now obviously we could deal with climactic changes better than that, but human nature being what it is and with our history in mind, there's little reason to expect that.

      Regardless of the long term effects, in the short term climate change will almost certainly cost the human race in massive amounts of resources and suffering.

      Does increased CO2 in the atmosphere help or harm life on Earth?

      The overall difference is the issue not any individual component. If we can't have CO2 increases without temperature increases and temperature increases result in millions of people dead in unnecessary wars over newly scarce resources, the overall problem is still too big of a negative.

      The final concern is that the Earth will get SO hot that there will be a tipping point where there will be an effect called a "positive feedback loop" in which the heat will somehow cause the Earth to get hotter and hotter....

      Actually, that's not the only concern. There is also a very real possibility of one of the buffers to temperature change could kick into overdrive and our climate could spiral into a mini ice age.

      As almost all things in nature work in negative feedback with multiple buffers coupled with the fact that the Earth has been much hotter in the past, I find this scenario to be closer to Science Fiction than anything else.

      I think you're missing a very real part of the equation. You complain about people oversimplifying, but you're only looking at temperature values not rates of change. Temperatures now are not unprecedented in history, but the rates of temperature change are. And that doesn't mean the Earth will change rapidly to a temperature it has never been in the past, but changing to a temperature the Earth has been in the past would still be a disaster of unprecedented magnitude. Even a relatively minor change could well be quite terrible.

      84 percent of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity.

      This is true but it's spun, worded with an agenda. Many of those same scientists believe that the amount we're adding to the natural cycle is minuscule, insignificant, or may actually help the environment.

      According to the study 92% of scientist believe global warming is a serious problem. That more or less directly contradicts your opinion on the scientific consensus about global warming.

    79. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh and wtf is that shit with your numbered list about?

      It was showing that you're a dipshit.

      Get back to high school and learn 2 proof.

    80. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Vellmont · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I think you're right. I've got a co-worker who claims he's "not very green or environmental". I jokingly asked him if he goes on his property and dumps out oil and chemicals all over the place. He said of course not. I also know he's installed compact florescent bulbs to save money, over-insulated his house, and drives a fuel-efficient car. But "he's not very green".

      A lot of arguments are really about "side of the room". Some people just don't want to be seen as being on the same side of the room with other people.

      There's another side related to this same line of thinking. It's one where a certain way of thinking challenges you whole world view. For certain people global warming simply CAN'T be true because then human beings wouldn't be able to just do as they please with the planet without consequences. There's a lot of crossover between these two ideas.

      For the above two groups of people, scientific argument simply doesn't work, as "it just can't be true!". You really have to win them over to the new "team" or "world view". For people who think rationally and scientifically getting people to your side using persuasive techniques is akin to blasphemy since you could convince people of anything this way.

      --
      AccountKiller
    81. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Quothz · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Engineers have just as much education as scientists, but the vast majority of engineers I know are heavily tilted to the Republican side.

      This is interesting, and as best as I can tell, sort-of correct. Remove the words "vast" and "heavily", and I think you're on base. The best survey I could get was from 1960, unfortunately - more modern attempts I found had poor methodology or were not cited. However, to varying degrees, there does seem to be a trend: The most liberal group by far is social scientists, followed by hard scientists who tend to be more moderate (but still liberal-leaning), followed by engineers, who tend (slightly) toward conservatism.

      It's worth noting that in all disciplines, from science to business to plumbing, folks who earn higher degrees tend to be more moderate. Statistics on political affiliation by education level are badly poisoned - even contemporaneous studies show wildly different results. Anyone can cherry-pick studies showing that higher education favors their party. However, everyone appears to agree that people with little education are the most polarized politically, and that education gradually mitigates this.

    82. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

      Where did you get the idea that it was ONLY a correlation?

      I keep reading on Slashdot that correlation is not causation.

    83. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, "For fuck's sake" is precisely the correct way to address people who are wilfully denying reality. Do you really think the points you are raising are new? Go read up on the science of climate change. Until then, people who do know more are fully in the right to call you what you are: a fucking moron.

    84. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Quothz · · Score: 1

      Argument from authority is a logical fallacy.

      Did you study logic? You can't use authority in a deductive argument. However, there's nothing wrong with it outside of formal logic. Law, politics, linguistics, and many other disciplines depend on authority and could not operate without it. If someone argues by authority, you may legitimately argue that the authority is wrong or false. You may not attack the appeal itself, unless you can show that induction is invalid methodology for the argument. To attack the appeal otherwise is a fallacy in both formal and informal logic: The logical fallacy fallacy (really!).

      So, yeah, in pointing out a formal logical fallacy, you've committed an informal fallacy. Your fallacy invalidates your argument, but 4D's does not, since this isn't a question of deductive reasoning.

    85. Re:55% say they are Democrats by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 0

      I can tell you why I think scientists aren't republican.

      1) Scientists try to view all data as equal. Scientists don't often assign spiritual significance to actions so things such as sex. As such scientists don't see anything materialistically 'abhorrent' about things like homosexuality.

      2) Scientists are disproportionately atheist. And the higher their degree the more likely they are to be atheists. The Republican party likes to assign religious significance to situations. "God called us to fight the terrorists". Following God instead of data makes them doubly uncomfortable as both atheists and scientists.

      3) Scientists like to fix things. When scientists can't fix things themselves or with personally raised funds they need to look outward. For instance Climate Change isn't something scientists can fix without government assistance. Scientists also believe that they can cure diseases, solve poverty and end crime. While Scientists are rather egalitarian in their views of present reality they're also very ambitious and optimistic in general when it comes to our capabilities to enact change.

      A liberal views the singularity and transhumanism as the most significant possible advancement since we evolved sentience. A conservative views it as the most dangerous advancement in history since it will allow the fundamental altering of humans for the first time. The conservative religious view it as blasphemy and tantamount to the tower of Babel. Even the tower of babel is an interesting illustration of liberal and conservative outlooks. The liberals built a giant tower (using science) to ensure they would never be exterminated by God again and so that they could 'reach heaven' by human means. God destroys their little tower and discourages cooperation by scrambling their languages and development. The conservative lesson is "Don't rock the boat". The liberal lesson is "God is a dick".

      4. Scientists tend to try to assess risks based on statistics and not sensationalism. A scientist sees little threat from Al Qaeda that warrants an enormous outpouring of resources. Compared to drunk driving, smoking and medical mistakes terrorisms isn't statistically significant enough to warrant a great deal of attention. To a Republican the fact that we're 'under attack' by a 'force of evil' escalates the danger.

      5. Sarah Palin and her ilk. The wholesale encouragement for what many perceive as 'anti-intellectualism' from the Republican Party is perceived as a direct attack on their work and contributions to society.

      6. Scientists probably disproportionately don't believe in free will. (If they're atheists). Without souls an Atheist is more likely to conclude that all thinking happens in the brain. If all thinking happens in the brain and not a soul then it's bound by chemistry and the laws of nature. That means everything is a deterministic reaction. Deterministic reactions can be modified like any environment. Secularists are more likely to view someone's poverty as the deterministic outcome of having been raised poor and the individual having received poor programming. A religious conservative is more likely to view the individual as having chosen to be poor because they had a free-will soul which makes decisions independent of upbringing or genetics.

      This informs a great number of liberal vs conservative splits. If people are programmable then the government is the best way to enact a positive programming. If people are slaves to deterministic forces then we should help free them from poverty and hunger.

    86. Re:55% say they are Democrats by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 0

      Then again, maybe it means that scientists, being more intelligent and better educated than the average population, understand that alot of conservative policies, like the right to bear arms, opposition to abortion, bombing countries and torturing people do more harm than good.

    87. Re:55% say they are Democrats by __aapspi39 · · Score: 1

      you're too right. he is the last thing that the environmental movement needs.

      imo he was at his funniest a few months back when he stated (with a straight face) that if he wasn't allowed to comment on architecture, education etc. then he might as well just go on skiing holidays all the time. priceless.

      by the time brenda gives up the throne, all the wind will be gone from his sails and his shrill protestations will have hushed (hopefully)

      one gets the impression that she will hang on like grim death to help ensure this is the case; if the the monarchy is to survive then it doesn't need a berk like that at the helm.

    88. Re:55% say they are Democrats by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      That most highly educated men and women of science and reason are liberals.
      No, actually Republicans as a whole tend to have more educational background than democrats. What this study shows is either that scientists are a statistical anomaly or that the study is flawed or biased.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    89. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      NASA's figures says you are.

      I can spot more than five decades of supposed cooling during the 20th century as per you definition, but as you can clearly see the overall trend is not cooling.

      It is actually worse than that:
      http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=6540

    90. Re:55% say they are Democrats by SvnLyrBrto · · Score: 1

      Apple, Google, Cisco, Juniper, HP, and Sun come pretty much immediately to mind as major engineering players known for liberal cultures which vary from mildly to extremely. Heck... even most of the Oracle and IBM types I've known, in recent years, seem to be fairly left-minded. If you restrict your sample to power, mining, and defense; OF COURSE you're going to find lots of conservatives. Those three industries are about the biggest recipients of republican government largesse there are. And if you want to play the anecdotal "evidence" game; I know a guy who used to work at NASA Ames before starting his own company... also quite literally a rocket scientist... and he's one of the most *liberal* people I've ever known.

      --
      Imagine all the people...
    91. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Xaemyl · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Is it a philosophical position against absolute truth?

      Just remember that the last group of people who came across spouting "absolute truth" started burning people at the stake for witchcraft because they were born left-handed.

      "Do you believe in god?"
      "No."
      *poof* dead.

      "Do you believe in god?"
      "Yes."
      "Do you believe in MY god?"
      "No."

      *poof* dead.

      "My god has a bigger dick than your god!"

    92. Re:55% say they are Democrats by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      I've noted this phenomenon as well.

      I think it has something to do with the necessary talents to perform well in the two fields.

      Engineering is application. I don't really view it as a science per say. The rules tend to be well known and documented and with sufficient practice and training an intelligent individual can learn to follow those rules and apply them. An example would be a programmer (which I classify as an engineer) who doesn't usually need to make any discoveries they just need to apply existing discoveries well. I view engineering like accounting in the regard that there is nothing in engineering which could possibly contradict anything outside of engineering. There isn't going to be some big engineering discovery which throws everything we know into doubt. You can be a Christian, Muslim, Hindu, Nazi, Communist or anything without it any way contradicting your education in engineering. It's also completely apolitical.

      On the other hand with a pure science the mindset isn't one of application so much as discovery. Most discoveries tend to be the ability to find relationships between data. And the attention isn't on how to creatively assemble existing ideas and 'facts' about the world it's about researching reality it self. A mathematician researches the nature of value and relationships. The Biologists researches the nature of organic matter and ecosystems. The Physicist researches the nature of particles and the forces through which they interact.

      An engineer holds one of their highest respects for a system which performs well.
      A scientist holds one of their highest respects for the discovery of a new system.

      An engineer is conservative in nature because a well tested system is more likely to function reliably.
      A scientist is more liberal in nature because they must question everything they know if they want to possibly find errors in the current system.

      It's one annoyance I've always had with Computer Science vs Computer Engineering degrees. The computer science degree is usually less about actual computer science and more about software engineering. I've always felt CS is a misnomer.

    93. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bunratty · · Score: 1

      My point is that we need to get past the incessant denial of basic reality, such as continuing to try to claim that the warming is not happening or is not manmade, before we can confront what to do about the problem. In any case, there seems to be widespread agreement that a rise in temperatures of more than a few degrees Celsius will cause serious problems. That's why we're trying to keep the rise in temperature to no more than 2 degrees Celsius.

      --
      What a fool believes, he sees, no wise man has the power to reason away.
    94. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nasarius, you dispute, "can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation" with...

      3. The interaction of CO2 with IR radiation is well-established and well-understood by anyone with an understanding of simple chemistry.

      Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      Prove this from first principles and do so with ONLY with a high school non-AP chemistry text ("simple chemistry") and any texts prerequisite to the taking of an 11th or 12th year non-AP chemistry class (jr or sr high school year). Do not leave out any steps where by you prove conclusively that the Earth will get warmer from this process, what the time scales are, what the extent of that warming is, the negative or positive effects (and the net effect) of this change, the sustainability of this change over time given claims to "peak oil" and what not, the relative magnitude of this affect to related variables like sunspots and surface albedo, the interaction of that CO2 with the oceans, atmosphere & continents, include the affect and interaction of CO2 on concentrations of O2 & N2 & H2O & particulates & NOX & O3 & Ar :) & arbitrary CXHXOX & CLOUDS, the ability of these changes to be affected positively by a national political process, and by a multi-national political process. This shouldn't be difficult given your claim, "well-established and well-understood by anyone with an understanding of simple chemistry".

      I expect a comprehensive reply within a week or you will be forever branded: Nasarius (593729) - Talks out his/her ass. You might want to reflect on why some people take complex issues and lie about them being "simple".

      To simplify your assignment, you may augment your dataset with basic physical properties not found in a text but available in a suitable reference (anything well established from the CRC press references collection). Further, you may assume CO2 concentrations increasing from 300 ppm to 400 ppm over a 100 year period with a sustained peak of 400 ppm for 100 more years followed by a drop from 400 ppm back to 300 ppm. Run your "model" (you have one already? right!????) over the 100 years prior and after this change in CO2. This is a simple 500 year experiment for you and your "simple chemistry".

      BTW, I am not certain that the relative transparency of CO2 to visible light versus infrared light is covered in "simple chemistry". Aside from the politically-favorable theory of global warming, I am not certain why it would be in a high school chemistry class. From my recollection, we focused on atomic construction, orbitals, the periodic table of elements (how it arises from the previously studied orbitals), reactions and their relation to basic orbital mechanics, and lots of stoichiometry (stoichiometry!). Also, I do not recall too much discussion about the relative amounts of radiation put off by the sun. As a side project, you may want to look into whether or not a red dwarf (more IR than visible radiation) would experience a greenhouse affect similarly. Of such a hypothetical planet in a suitable orbit, would extra CO2 cool the planet?

    95. Re:55% say they are Democrats by blindseer · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't necessarily consider myself a "global warming denier" but I do have a problem with those that claim "the debate is over". The debate is never over. Here's my take, first I have to be convinced that the world is actually warming. Considering that there is sufficient debate on how much, and even IF, the world is warming the debate is far from over. The historical records on temperatures were not always taken with the highest level of scientific rigor. Claiming a rise in global temperature of 0.2C is difficult to swallow since even finding a thermometer with that level of precision, and applying it to something as poorly defined as "global temperature", is nearly impossible.

      Assuming I am convinced that the world is warming then I would have to be convinced that it is caused by human activity. With all the life on earth, all the geologic activity, and the solar variation I find it difficult that any one can say, with even the slightest level of confidence, that human activity is the primary driver in global temperatures. The oceans cover 3/4 of Earth's surface, that is a lot of water to soak up carbon dioxide and sustain plant life to consume it. I find it difficult to believe that humans pumping oil out of the ground can overwhelm that massive of a carbon sink.

      Assume that I am convinced that humans have somehow thrown the Earth atmosphere out of balance and are now warming the planet. I'd still have to be convinced that global warming is a bad thing. So, for the sake of argument, let's assume that human activity is causing the CO2 levels in the air to rise. With more CO2 plants become more robust, and can grow in places they could not before. Some people may be driven from their homes by rising sea levels but on the whole human civilization is now better off because food is more plentiful.

      I do my best to be "green" but I have my limits. I bought some CFL bulbs and will very likely never do so again. I've had too many of those bulbs fail prematurely, I found out that those bulbs interfere with IR remotes, they have an unpleasant color, and introduce mercury into my home. I've had a coworker point out how using an incandescent bulb means more mercury spewed out from coal fired power plants. First, that mercury is "out there" and not "in here". That mercury being spilled into the outside air is very different than a broken CFL bulb in my home. Second, if people were truly concerned and informed about mercury in the environment they'd be screaming for more nuclear power. The same goes for CO2, nuclear power is second only to hydroelectric in "carbon footprint". That may sound counter intuitive given how "green" wind and solar are but the manufacture of those windmills and solar panels requires the very carbon heavy industries of refining aluminum and silicon. Nuclear power requires plenty of CO2 production in the pouring of concrete but it is more than offset over the life of the plant in comparison.

      One thing that makes me very skeptical of global warming is that the global warming people talk about how many people that agree with them, that is just bandwagon and propaganda. The people that deny global warming point out the temperature data, the poorly maintained and poorly placed weather stations, solar activity, among other things. The global warming deniers tend to talk about facts, not how Al Gore told them it is so.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    96. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ET3D · · Score: 1

      Global warming denialists tend to use math and physics. Their typical strategy is to find errors in anthropomorphic global warming articles, as well as provide calculations (based on math and physics) that show how other factors could explain the warming. Global warming fans, on the other hand, usually prefer to try to discredit the denialists (i.e., use personal attacks) and use emotion in their argument (claiming that things are obvious, playing on how catastrophic the consequences are, etc.). At least that's the feeling I get as I follow this subject.

    97. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ivucica · · Score: 1

      This article contains weasel words, vague phrasing that often accompanies biased or unverifiable information. Such statements should be clarified or removed. (July 2009)

       

      Scientists[which?] have calculated that volcanoes emit...

      (just kidding)

    98. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ivucica · · Score: 1

      we'd better reduce the population of the planet by quite a bit. Feel free to start.

      Well, I'm doing my part. I'm passively helping the Great Cause. Are you?

    99. Re:55% say they are Democrats by ivucica · · Score: 1
    100. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "carvings". You dumb fuck.

    101. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We'd better start doing that, then, because oil is running out.

    102. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Very plausible except for one point: the universe is not deterministic, per quantum physics. It is not possible even with complete and perfect information to predict with certainty future states of a physical system. Not only that, but your ability to know all of the information about a system is limited to what Heisenberg allows.

    103. Re:55% say they are Democrats by countertrolling · · Score: 1

      CO2...BAH!

      Water is where it's at.

      --
      For justice, we must go to Don Corleone
    104. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Bent+Mind · · Score: 1

      The average maried couple has sex 98 times a year...

      Citation please. I need to show it to my wife.

      --
      Request a Linux Shockwave player here: http://www.macromedia.com/support/email/wishform/
    105. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I was speculating (and it is only speculation, as the parent poster says, we don't have info about why) that the republicans have been in power for 8 years, during which they have cut some funding to scientific programs (while increasing funding to others, but that doesn't matter since people only pay attention to the bad) and put science behind politics in their decision making. Therefore scientists have been leaving the Republican party in droves.

      Once the democrats have been in power for 8 years, and have cut some budgets and put politics before science in a few decisions, I wonder if the tide will shift.

      Besides, how does that compare to the general population? Is anyone willing to call themselves Republican these days? For all I know, the general population is 8% Rep, 55% dem (or whatever the exact numbers from the article are).

    106. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I focused on the dishes, the person focused on the fact that person's sister worked there. Was impossible to make headway.

      Stop saying 'person' - we all know this is a woman you are talking about! :)

    107. Re:55% say they are Democrats by definate · · Score: 1

      Yeah, I hear that, as I read through the article I found myself realizing that I wasn't aligning with any one party.

      Half the questions I was aligned with the democrats.
      Half the questions I was aligned with the republicans.
      And the other half I thought... This question isn't clear, nor is there a real libertarian answer.

      So out of 150% of the questions, I barely aligned with anyone.

      They needed a "Ron Paul Republican" section.

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    108. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      MOD PARENT UP! All 6 points hit the nail on the head.

      To the guy talking about quantum physics: That's just semantics. The parent is using the 'determinism' in the non-absolute sense. Just because you can't compute *exactly* the state at time t+1 from the state at time t, doesn't mean that those states aren't (strongly) related. To reuse the parent's example, being poor is strongly correlated with being raised poor.

    109. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Xyrus · · Score: 2, Informative

      Antarctic ice has increased, but only very very slightly compared to the immense loss of ice in the north (which has a larger impact on overall global climate). The increase in ice in the south is actually an expected result of overall warming, since it increases precipitation (Antarctica is very dry and the cold temperatures prevents the air from holding much precipitation).

      And scientists aren't just pointing to the melting ice. That's just the most glaring observation that the climate is changing. There's petabytes of data, both modeling results and observations that show the climate is warming and within the bounds of prediction.

      The IPCC report contradicts your statement that many scientists say what were adding is not having an effect. We're outputing orders of magnitude more than volcanoes, and the system has no way to immediately absorb the excess. Atmospheric CO2 levels are approaching 400 ppm, a level never before seen within the last million years.

      We ARE having an impact, and we will have to deal with the consequences both good an bad. It's not going to be the end of the world, but only someone naive would believe that we are not impacting the climate in any significant way. Anyone who thinks we can't impact our environment on a large scale obviously never heard of acid rain and the ozone hole.

      ~X~

      --
      ~X~
    110. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bkpark · · Score: 1

      OK, I hadn't considered that being more liberal might lead one to a career in science, but why not. I was hypothesizing the converse, that being a "scientist" made them likely to be more liberal than the average citizen. Perhaps due to education level, exposure to a particular subculture, something like that.

      No, that's too broad a statement. The statement that I may agree to, as a grad student who agrees mostly with libertarian philosophy, is "being more liberal might lead one to a career in academia" (i.e. scientists in universities and national labs).

      Since WWII, scientific research in universities has been heavily dominated by federal government funding (i.e. all those NSF grants), so it's natural that people who stay to do scientific research in universities wouldn't have problem accepting this government funding (which, as a libertarian, I would categorize as money stolen from people as "tax") and wouldn't have problem advocating for increasing the sources of these funding, i.e. tax.

      People who would advocate smaller role of the government in everything, as it must be for a federal government bound by our Constitution, and people who would have the logical mind necessary for science, well, these people would see the contradiction in having their livelihood dependent on the government funding and advocating for smaller government and do one of two things eventually: i) get out of the career that imposes this contradiction on them; or ii) become a Democrat.

    111. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Xyrus · · Score: 1

      Precisely. Everyone is for nuclear power but no one wants a plant near them. Everyone wants solar panels on their house but no one is going to fork of $50K for them (or a few who happen to live in high incentive states might). Basically, if something can/will benefit mankind it had better not be too damned inconvenient (or expensive) or no one will do it.

      ~X~

      --
      ~X~
    112. Re:55% say they are Democrats by the-matt-mobile · · Score: 1

      And with a planet billions of years old, how exactly is it that merely 100 years worth of temperature measurements is statistically enough to definitively say that the earth is unnaturally warming? Seriously? And how long have we been monitoring the moon and Mars to ensure that what scientists think they're observing isn't actually a solar event.

      Look - pollution is bad. We should take steps to reduce pollution in every form we can. But, I don't blame the public for being skeptical about the Chicken Little arguments about the sky falling, and I don't blame people for taking the position that we could do more harm than good by trying to over-solve a problem we don't really know if we have. And, with disproven stats like 1998 being the hottest year on record, it's hard to know what to trust and who's just pushing their own agenda.

    113. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bkpark · · Score: 1

      I agree with reducing the government to 5% of it's current size. Let's limit the government to:

      1. Full education and healthcare for all children
      2. Regulation of companies and financial industries to prevent practices that put our health, food supply, and economy at risk
      3. Public mass transit (subways, light rail, bike lanes, etc..)

      Did you pick the same 5% or was your 5% mostly concerned with sending money to Haliburton, AIG, Goldman Sachs, and Lockheed Martin?

      You picked the wrong 5%. There are only two basic obligations that any government should have to its population: defend its borders and stop crime within its borders (with strict limit on what it can define as "crime").

      And doing that alone (without all the contractors that's become necessary in our military interventionism) would pretty much exhaust the 5% (of current spending) allowance we should give to the government. There is no room in the government for such luxuries as mass transit or micromanaging of private firms (or bailing them out, for that matter).

      I think I'm somewhat sympathetic to providing education and benefits for children (say, under 15 years), but even that, I think, should be classified as luxury—to be provided by state governments, if they feel like it and can afford it, rather than by the federal government.

    114. Re:55% say they are Democrats by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      From TFA for the Slashdot story you link to:

      "The effect of the correction on global temperatures is minor (some 1-2% less warming than originally thought)"

      And it doesn't affect the trend in any way.

    115. Re:55% say they are Democrats by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      I think I'm somewhat sympathetic to providing education and benefits for children (say, under 15 years), but even that, I think, should be classified as luxury

      If you classify basic education as luxury that is to be provided by states if they "can afford it", your country will end up somewhere between Zimbabwe and Uganda on the development scale in 20 years.

    116. Re:55% say they are Democrats by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Assuming I am convinced that the world is warming then I would have to be convinced that it is caused by human activity. With all the life on earth, all the geologic activity, and the solar variation I find it difficult that any one can say, with even the slightest level of confidence, that human activity is the primary driver in global temperatures.

      Logical fallacy: Attacking a straw man. It is irrelevant whether human activity is the primary driver in global temperature increase. The only relevant questions are whether our activity might be pushing the system past its ability to compensate, and whether we can do anything about it. I suppose one might also ask whether we should do anything about it, but for the purposes of this conversation we must assume that the answer is yes.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    117. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Paua+Fritter · · Score: 1

      and yet the world has cooled over the last 10 years so one of your assumptions is wrong. Which one is it?

      Those are not "assumptions" but well-documented facts. Unlike your assertion that the world has cooled over the last 10 years, which is simply a myth.

    118. Re:55% say they are Democrats by bkpark · · Score: 1

      The basic premise of capitalism and market economy is if it's a necessity, then people will pay for it. It's "luxury" for the states to provide (kinda like farm subsidies—just because you are against farm subsidy, would anyone suppose that you are against farms themselves?), but because it is a necessity in the modern world, the private sector will provide for it, and often, better than the governments can.

      Why do you think the best colleges in the nation are private colleges?

      Or, at lower levels, why do charter school students and Catholic school (one of the largest groups of private schools) students perform better than public school students?

    119. Re:55% say they are Democrats by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The basic premise of capitalism and market economy is if it's a necessity, then people will pay for it. It's "luxury" for the states to provide (kinda like farm subsidiesâ"just because you are against farm subsidy, would anyone suppose that you are against farms themselves?), but because it is a necessity in the modern world, the private sector will provide for it, and often, better than the governments can.

      Experience has shown that, until governments stepped in to provide universal education, private sector was not concerned about it at all. The truth is that introducing such things is a very long-term goal, and if you put your money in there, it's very likely that you don't see that money worth in your lifetime. And the real basic premise of capitalism and market economy is that unregulated markets tend to be extremely short-sighted - when people vote with money, they vote for themselves to have an extra $10 today; at best they might decide they'll keep it around to have $100 in a year, but they sure as hell won't decide to keep it so that their grand-kids might have $100,000 in 100 years.

    120. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nice one..idiot.

    121. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, except it had nothing to do with anything I claim.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    122. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      No, actually Republicans as a whole tend to have more educational background than democrats

      lololol, citation please?

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    123. Re:55% say they are Democrats by binary+paladin · · Score: 1

      I'm glad we're seeing this now.

      I can't wait till cultures and countries of the future start murdering one another which one has chosen the one true SCIENCE and which is just a bunch of scienceless heathens.

      The more things change, the more things stay the same.

      "Deny reality." Heh. If only religionists had so much faith.

    124. Re:55% say they are Democrats by tiqui · · Score: 1

      There was a time when an ice sheet covered most of North America. Then a serious case of global warming set in (oddly, this began before the car was invented, and before Al Gore started to speak, so massive levels of man-made CO2 could not have been the culprit... ) The amount of Ice in the northern hemisphere has been shrinking ever since (albeit with some occasional variability) and its no surprise that the remaining ice would shrink even faster with so little of it left. How is this unusual to anybody with a sufficiently mature view of things to not evaluate all climate relative to conditions during his personal childhood years? Tanking the long view, who is to say what the "right" climate for the Earth is? Sure, man may have caused some warming within an overall warming cycle (which will most-likely be followed by some distant future ice age).

      Let us assume that mankind switched to technologies that have a cooling impact instead of a warming one. Let us further assume that mankind does not wipe itself out before the start of the next ice age. Should those people alive then go crazy over global cooling and risk seriously damaging their economies and harming possibly millions of their individual citizens in order to stop global cooling? Perhaps it is best to develop the technologies to allow people all over the world to live comfortably in ANY climate (which has the happy side effect of opening up much more of the planet's surface to people to reduce crowding) and left the Earth warm and cool as it happens. If you do not know with precision what causes the natural warming/cooling cycles, what limits they go to, why they go to those limits, and what causes the rebounds, you cannot honestly measure man's impacts. Furthermore, since man is just an evolved animal, everything man does is just as natural as everything a bear does... so if global warming is caused by man, then it is natural.

    125. Re:55% say they are Democrats by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Which point, exactly, is in dispute?

      How much that will effect the long term climate....

      Its a much harder question to answer than many think. Change an assumption here or there and the prediction can be very different...Never mind that the "true" from of scientific method cannot really be done. That is, we have no control earth hence controls are models vers models which contain the same "assumption" biases.

      But thats ok. Quite a lot of science in fact uses less "scientific method" than /.ers think. Its still science... But its not quite as clear and as obvious as the media or /. would have people believe.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    126. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of your criteria that would "have to be met" for you to believe in global warming have been proven.

      There are two reasons you would still hold your opinion.

      A. You're too ignorant to go out and read the studies.
      B. You prefer the status-quo and believe that by persisting in your beliefs (and advocating them to others) it will continue.

      The debate is over dude, concede gracefully and exit the stage.

    127. Re:55% say they are Democrats by tompaulco · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_(United_States)
      The wikipedia article references statistics from a book by Joseph Fried, a noted CPA and MBA who compiled statistics to study differences in lifestyles, quality of life and numerous other statistics between democrats and republicans.

      --
      If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
    128. Re:55% say they are Democrats by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Interesting, that while academia is clearly dominantly liberal leaning the graduates should turn out to be more conservative. Although perhaps not that surprising, but still a bit.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    129. Re:55% say they are Democrats by prisoner-of-enigma · · Score: 1

      Your comment just goes to prove that you're more interested in saying "I'm right, you're wrong" than you are about actually trying to do something about the cause you claim to hold so dear. Because you're not going to accomplish much by calling people "fucking morons," and last time I checked, people like you are busily screaming that we're going to murder the planet unless everybody does exactly as the GW crowd says they should do.

      --
      In the end they will lay their freedom at our feet and say to us, Make us your slaves, but feed us. - Fyodor Dostoyevsky
    130. Re:55% say they are Democrats by CarpetShark · · Score: 1

      Does warming help ... life on Earth? Can we... prepare for the life it helps?

      Sure we can. I believe the traditional preparation is to repent of your sins and write a will.

    131. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

      Australia has nice financial incentives for solar panels. Up until recently there were enough rebates that some companies would give you a grid connected 1kW PV system for free. Others would charge up to $1000 for labour, but $1/W isn't anything to sneeze at. The federal government has since stopped the rebates (a month earlier than they said they would, much to the dismay of the solar industry).

      The NSW government did recently introduce their solar feed-in tariff of 60c/kWh, guaranteed for 20 years. The next highest is Queensland at ~40c I *think*. Essentially the government doesn't spend any money doing this, they just tell the utility companies how to credit people's bills, then expect them to charge the costs back to the rest of the users. It was estimated to increase the average household's bill (~24-30kWh/day) by $6-$9/year, depending on solar uptake.

    132. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So right there, even if you take the worst-case scenario for CO2 (26%), it's still far, far less of an effect than the best case for water vapor (36%). Shouldn't we be trying to reduce water vapor instead of CO2? Note that's a rhetorical question. I'm just trying to point out where your argument -- and insistence -- on CO2 fails to account for what may be the largest driver in climate change.

      You do realize that the warmer the air is, the more water vapor it can hold at saturation point, right? And thus, if we increase the temperature with other means, then the air is capable of holding more water vapor. I'm not saying I believe that there is a positive feedback loop between carbon and water vapor at our current mixes, but denying any possible connection would be choosing to ignore datasets that doesn't agree with your viewpoint.

    133. Re:55% say they are Democrats by lennier · · Score: 1

      'and last time I checked, people like you are busily screaming that we're going to murder the planet unless everybody does exactly as the GW crowd says they should do."

      Yes, and? What if we *are* murdering the planet?

      Your sentence seems to suggest that you think 'screaming that we're going to murder the planet' is, in itself, reason to reject the argument, because.... why, exactly? Because 'we're killing the planet' is too hard to grasp? Too big an idea? Too horrible to contemplate? But humans have already done some pretty horrible things on very large scales in the 20th century, and geocide is the logical extension of our technological and social trajectory since WW2.

      I confess that I can't grasp the state of mind necessary to deliberate reject knowlede of an atrocity on the grounds that its advocates are too intense.

      If we're murdering the planet, the correct rational response IS to scream, and if 'the Global Warming crowd' are correct then OF COURSE they should be telling us to do exactly what they're telling us to do!

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    134. Re:55% say they are Democrats by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      We, humans, are pumping over 27 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere annually.

      How much is that out of the total?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    135. Re:55% say they are Democrats by blindseer · · Score: 1

      OK, fine, let's assume for the sake of argument that I have been convinced of man made global warming and that it is in fact bad for us. What do we do about it? It would seem to me that the logical solution to the carbon output is to build nuclear power plants. Once we have built enough nuclear power plants to make coal mining just a note in the history books then we need to continue building nuclear power plants and build liquid fuel synthesis plants to make drilling for oil just another notation in the history books.

      Until someone takes the infrastructure needed to take us off of petro-fuels seriously the status quo will continue. Trains and trucks need diesel fuel, airplanes need kerosene. Without those fuels we don't have modern transportation. Trains can be electrified and airplanes can run off of liquid hydrogen but cars and trucks will still need a fuel with the energy density, stability at room temperature and pressure, and as inexpensive as gasoline to compete with gasoline. Ethanol, and most every other bio-fuel, is a dead end. There just is not enough land for crops to feed everyone and keep the cars and truck moving. Electric cars might be fine for the daily commute for many but delivery trucks are going to need diesel fuel.

      Cap and tax is based on the premise that if the government makes things suck enough for every one that someone will come up with a better solution to petro-fuels. We can't mandate technological progress. We need infrastructure. We need nuclear power. We need the government to lift the shackles that inhibit the growth of that infrastructure. There has not been a nuclear power plant built in the USA in 35 years. It's not that people weren't willing to build them, its that politicians were not willing to allow them to be built.

      Since nuclear power has the second lowest carbon footprint, second only to hydroelectric, that is the best solution to remove the need for petro-fuels. I would certainly like to see the USA no longer need to import crude oil but not because of global warming. I would like to see the USA not import oil because it is a serious drain on our economy.

      I do not prefer the status quo and I will not yet concede on man-made global warming. You, like so many others, claim the debate is over while not even trying to offer facts in your defense. I have read about the studies on global warming and have so far been unconvinced. Most of what is said is all propaganda, bought and paid for by special interests. If the goal was reduction of CO2 output we'd be talking about nuclear power. Instead the politicians are talking about taxes, government oversight, more taxes, UN agreements, treaties, "carbon credits", and so on. They're not even taxing the right things, there is a huge tax on the importation of bio-fuels (claimed by many to be our salvation) but no taxes on the import of crude oil.

      If you want to see a reduction in carbon output then lets do something productive rather than just make the government bigger.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    136. Re:55% say they are Democrats by noundi · · Score: 1

      I'm sure a lot of stock holders would argue with that. I'm sure because they do, otherwise you would have already seen a difference. Alternative energy is costly, and cost is the nemesis of any business.

      --
      I am the lawn!
    137. Re:55% say they are Democrats by chrb · · Score: 1

      All of your points have already been addressed many times:

    138. Re:55% say they are Democrats by chrb · · Score: 1
    139. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude eventually you have to trust an authority, even if it is yourself.

    140. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Alsee · · Score: 1

      Except for your climate skepticism, I pretty well agree with most everything you said. For example nuclear power, we gotta open the goddamn waste facility at Yucca Mountain already, and push past the NIMBYs for power plants. I'd rather live on the front lawn of a nuclear plant than live several miles downwind of a coal plant.

      As for human-global-warming, I think it's trivial to resolve the basic point.
      (1)It is indisputed reality that humans have been increasing the levels of CO2, methane, and related gases in the atmosphere.
      (2)It is indisputed trivial physics fact that CO2, methane, and gases trap infrared radiation, i.e. they trap heat.
      (3) There is no 3. That's it, over, Q.E.D., done, finito, the fat lady sang.

      Elaborating on number 1, fossil fuel burning alone releases 20-odd approaching 30 gigatins of CO2 into the atmosphere per year. Human emissions of CO2 are somewhere between one hundred and two hundred times the emissions from volcanoes. Direct ongoing measurement of CO2 in the atmosphere is currently rising at an extremely consistent rate of rise of just under 2 parts per million per year, with levels just cracking 390 this year, up from a very flat 280 in pre-industrial modern history. We are also releasing smaller amounts of far more powerful methane, and smaller amounts other gases many more times more powerful than even methane. I don't think there's any significant debate on any of these statistics. Wondering if humans might have something to do with measured atmospheric CO2 levels is kinda like opening a fire hose inside your house, and wondering if it might have anything to do with the water level in your livingroom as you watch it rise before your eyes.

      Elaborating on number 2, the CO2 and other greenhouse gases effect is already about fifty degrees. Not that I'm not talking about global warming. I'm talking about the pre-existing natural greenhouse gas effect. The earth is - right now - about fifty degrees warmer than it would be if there were no infrared trapping gases in the atmosphere. The atmosphere is pretty well a transparent window allowing visible-light sunlight come down and hit the ground. That solar radiation energy hits the ground and gets radiated back up as infrared radiation - as heat radiation. If not for the normal level of atmospheric gases all of that heat would almost immediately reflect back up through the atmosphere and vanish out into space. The earth would literally ice over, almost right down to the equator. Instead that infrared radiation gets trapped under the blanket of CO2 and other gases, the heat stays near the surface. CO2 and such gases are transparent to visible light letting sunlight in, but they are dark and cloudy to infrared radiation. The thicker such gases in the atmosphere the thicker darker and cloudier it is as a blanket trapping heat. It is trivial physics, these gases allow sunlight-energy in and and act as a blanket blocking that heat energy from bouncing back out. That is trivial indisputed physics. The natural size of the effect is already about 50 degrees, a thicker blanker increases the size of the warming effect. Venus for example is marginally closer to the sun and gets marginally more sunlight, but the surface is around 800 degrees and hot enough to melt soft metal, because the atmosphere is an extremely thick blanket of almost completely CO2 - sunlight can get in but none if the infrared heat radiation can make its way through the thick blanket.

      To elaborate on point three, we have trivially established the basic fact that humans are are doing something that does have the effect of trapping heat. People can talk about the sun or anything else, but that is beside the point. The effect is real and it exists, if people have any claims about the sun or anything else then the most they can possibly do is claim they have some additional effect, on-top of human-global-warming. Such "other effect" arguments cannot refute the fundamental reality and existence of the human caused effect. No I didn't prove anything

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    141. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Half+Tide+Rock · · Score: 1

      ï It may be inconvenient to inject data into a fantasy discussion, if so excuse me. Let us not get hysterical, but cut to the chase. It doesn't make much sense to make a decision on CO2 unless we have some consensus on which facts are relevant. Discussing the CO2 contribution of volcanoes as compared to anthropogenic contribution is interesting but not very useful. (one volcanic eruption put square miles of ash into the air and in less than a year cooled the earth one half degrees Celsius. Now that is climate change power! http://www.gsfc.nasa.gov/gsfc/service/gallery/fact_sheets/earthsci/volcano.htm [nasa.gov] http://www.cas.org/newsevents/connections/volcanoes.html [cas.org] ) To get a useful perspective we need to consider all of the natural sources of CO2 and compare that number against the anthropogenic. This following article takes the position that our contribution is not significant. It has cites. I chose it of many just because I like the notebook style. http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html [geocraft.com] If you do not accept this data then what data will you propose we accept? Cites please. It has to pass a reasonableness criterion. From a position of consensus on the data we should be in a position to debate possible action..

    142. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Half+Tide+Rock · · Score: 1

      Wow! Where do you get your data? You have been radicalized! First of all relax take a deep breath. You will be OK. This temperature change has actually happened cyclically and we have data. So your fear that the heating up is something new and out of control is not the case. Your main assertions are not based in fact (and I have included the cite) so your conclusions are flawed. This should please you because your hysteria is by logic of a flawed premise not warranted. You are free! http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/Vostok_420ky_4curves_insolation.jpg Read the graph! Don't mix up cause with correlation. On the graph cited it shows three cycles and humans were not the cause because 16,000 years ago when the temperature started to rise there weren't enough of them in the world to populate Maine at its present human density. This smashes the concept that humans were responsible for this cycle or the ones before. So if humans weren't responsible what about all of the CO2 we are pushing up into the atmosphere? It is only logical that it must have some effect on warming. Right? Well maybe. The data suggests that you are overstating the effect of the relatively small contribution. As a percentage of the total contribution human contribution is about 3.8%. We are only important to us. http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html You seem to think that we can and should DO SOMETHING ABOUT IT. That depends on what it is. Global warming or climate change? These are huge natural forces at work as our planet goes through an aging process which you my friend or the Congress can't stop. Kind of like voting to stop the daily tides. If you want to promote a vote to keep the tide out be my guest but please don't do something that will hurt our quality of life for no effect. So in a couple of paragraphs I have given you enough information and cites to suggest that your assertions are not true, climate change is natural and is like the tide not much we can do about it. To those who predict Noahs flood you could ruin their day by showing the data of 450,000 years of ice cores that through several cycles the Antarctic ice has remained and to really make a point look up the Beacon Valley Pliocene ice ( one two or eight million year old ice!) or the 750,000 year old Arctic perma frost.

    143. Re:55% say they are Democrats by VShael · · Score: 1

      Clean air, clean water, clean land. These are things no one is going to argue with.

      Oh REALLY? You should take a long hard look at the hilariously mis-titled Clear Skies Act sometime.

      Clean air, clean water, clean land. Politicians aren't being lobbied by corporations to provide these things.

    144. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree with you on the global warming issues, and I thank you for the links.

      There are environmentalists who support nuclear energy as an alternative to coal and oil; it's not as radical an idea as you suggest. However, nuclear energy is not sustainable - world reserves are predicted to last a few hundred years. Assuming we can switch from oil/gas/coal to nuclear for our present needs, we still need to develop alternatives for the future.

      I disagree here. Using known, available resources of uranium at our current rate we will go a little further than a few hundred years. That being said, there is a fallacy in assuming that nuclear power must use uranium at the current rate or use uranium at all.

      Our current fuel cycles are burning up such a tiny portion of the usable fuel. Due to existing policies, the uranium fuel cycle is once-through without any recycling or re-using. There is no technical reason for this - there are many existing plant designs that can get around this issue. If you want to look up some examples on your own, look at what France is doing, or search for the "Integral Fast Reactor" (a favorite here among slashdot nuclear enthusiasts), or Molten Salt Reactors. Moving to this sort of fuel cycle would increase our usage of uranium to 500 years. Hopefully we could find a "better" solution in that timeframe.

      Aside from that, there is no reason that we couldn't start using thorium as a fuel in place of uranium. It is MUCH more abundant than uranium (there are beaches full of the stuff in... India, was it? Can't recall), and there are reactor designs that can use thorium as well as.

      Disclaimer: I work at a nuclear power plant in the US. Just got into the industry this year due to my enthusiasm for nuclear power, and I don't regret it one bit.

    145. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, you're obviously in the 6%.

    146. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Alsee · · Score: 1

      This temperature change has actually happened cyclically and we have data.

      No, *this* change has not happened cyclically. As I explained in my post the problem today is the absolutely unprecedented rate of change.

      This smashes the concept that humans were responsible for this cycle or the ones before.

      That is two entirely separate claims.

      No one claims humans caused the previous climate shifts.

      Nor does it refute the fact that humans are causing an unprecedented shift today.

      The graph does not smash either of the things you claim it "smashes".

      Look at the timescale on the graph you posted. Note that it is numbered in fifty-thousand-year increments. The rate of change in this shift is multiple degrees within a fraction of a single pixel on that graph. By my math, todays rate of change would be somewhere between 7 and 15 degrees-per-pixel rate on that graph.

      Don't mix up cause with correlation.

      And don't mix up correlation with cause.

      Especially when the "correlation" isn't even close.

      If someone claims there is a tsunami and you measure the sea level rising on the beach at a rate of many feet per minute, it would be absolutely insane to point to a graph of tide-history showing a cycle of water rise and fall of a few feet per twelve hours. You can't point to an orders-of-magnitude-mismatch "correlation" between a many-feet-per-minute increase in sea level and a few-feet-per-12-hours tide, and then conclude the CAUSE of the current sea level change is natural tides. You are mixing up a (false) correlation with a cause.

      And it becomes even more absurd to point to historical tides when you do in fact know the current cause, if you recorded an earthquake at sea with a rise or drop in the seafloor and basic physics says it will cause a tsunami. When you dump global-scale quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere then basic physics states that it will trap infrared radiation - it will trap heat. You know for a fact that the cause exists.

      As a percentage of the total contribution human contribution is about 3.8%. We are only important to us. http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html

      I have a question. Do you care if a source is reliable? Or are you happy to grab any old source so long as it supports the side you want?

      The figures on that site conflict with accepted science, so I decided ok lets give them the benefit of the doubt take a look at how they are backing up their numbers. I clicked on one of their references and looked it up. The very first thing I checked them on, it took me less than two minutes to discover that the source they were citing - Patrick Michaels - is an already established crackpot denialist and paid at least six-figures by a fossil-fuel based power industry association. This guy was a denialist on the chlorofluorocarbon-ozone issue up until 2001. It also appears he long ago abandoned any career as a scientist and took up writing pop denialism books.

      If someone wants to argue that cigarettes don't cause lung cancer, it might help if they avoid citing people paid the tobacco industry and literally selling "cigarettes-don't-cause-cancer" as a profession.

      But then I think.... ok that's just one source. So lets give them another chance. I completely randomly scroll down their source list and the second source I check is Robert Essenhigh. I try a Wikipedia search and apparently the most notable thing about his is that he came up with an alternate theory on the sinking of the Titanic.... ummmm..... ok. So I turn to Google and find, he's a mechanical engineer. I think huh? Mechanical engineer? Ok, I keep looking and he's a specialist in combustion, and then as if someone set this up as a joke with a punchline.... he's apparently a specialist in coal combustion. So the second source I looked up.... and I find his expertise and qualifications in climatology are that he's a

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    147. Re:55% say they are Democrats by blindseer · · Score: 1

      As for human-global-warming, I think it's trivial to resolve the basic point.
      (1)It is indisputed reality that humans have been increasing the levels of CO2, methane, and related gases in the atmosphere.
      (2)It is indisputed trivial physics fact that CO2, methane, and gases trap infrared radiation, i.e. they trap heat.
      (3) There is no 3. That's it, over, Q.E.D., done, finito, the fat lady sang.

      I won't dispute points one and two. What I do dispute is point three. Once one has established that CO2 and methane are greenhouse gasses and that they are produced by human activity, one is now required to prove that those gasses are produced in a significant quantity.

      The greatest greenhouse gas in the Earth's atmosphere is water. Water vapor accounts for something around 95% of the greenhouse effect. Human activity introduces a minuscule amount of water into the air in comparison to natural activities, such as the wind blowing over the ocean. I forget the exact number but its something like five percent of the remaining five percent of the greenhouse gasses are produced by human activity. That makes human produced greenhouse gasses producing somewhere close to 0.25% of the greenhouse effect. That small amount of greenhouse effect due to human activity well within solar variation and therefore within the ability of life on Earth to adapt. If life on Earth cannot adapt to such variation then it would have died out long ago or will do so in the next solar cycle.

      If there is still global warming (the Earth has warmed but now seems to be cooling for the last decade) then it is not our fault. Of all the things we can do to adjust to the changing climate reducing our CO2 output is not one of them since it is not our CO2 production warming the planet.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    148. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is not a good way to start a debate when you're trying to convince someone else of your point of view.

      Debate? On what basis should we even entertain the notion that a person such as yourself, voicing such self-serving, spoon-fed denials, could ever be convinced that global warming is (a) actual, (b) largely driven by human activity, and (c) disastrous?

      CO2 just seems to be a popular whipping boy these days because it appeals to environmentalists who've always been against fossil fuels, anti-capitalists who are against Big Oil, and anti-Westerners who would be happy to see the Western powers (i.e. the U.S.) come to economic harm while they can handily skirt any emissions controls on their own industry (see Kyoto protocols).

      Not from where I'm standing. It seems to me that those who are fighting to get humanity to DO SOMETHING about global warming are the real whipping boys here. They're the ones with the uphill battle, who are having to amass a huge body of evidence just to pry the heads of pseudo-intellectual lemmings such as yourself out of Big Oil's arse. Denial of global warming is not reasonable skepticism, it's just a pathetic attempt to believe that people can dump on Mother Earth all they want and not face consequences. Don't pretend to be the voice of reason. You may as well persist in arguing that the Earth is flat. Or is that debate still open, too? Perhaps you still think cigarettes are good for you?

      The arguments with which you have graced us have a very clear source: Propaganda from oil companies who want to keep selling oil, and from conservative politicians who will never agree to anything that might diminish American oligarchy, even if refusing threatens American (and human) survival.

      And yes, I have stooped to a personal attack. I'm not above that, if the situation calls for it. However, let me address one point you made: Water vapor may be the most prominent greenhouse gas, but considering the vastness of the oceans, its contribution is relatively STABLE. The Law of Diminished Returns might make it unlikely that, say, ozone levels contribute significantly to global warming, but it does not rule out the SECOND most prominent contributor -- CO2. Of course, if you even understood your own arguments, you would have thought of that already.

    149. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Half+Tide+Rock · · Score: 1

      I absolutely do not intend to be disrespectful, but I will be tongue in cheek, if you are consumed with fear then regardless of the source, the fear is real and should be treated as such... if for no other reason than because others are watching who need to be reassured. You assert that the change is unprecedented. The Vostoc ice core data brings the assertion that the change is unprecedented into question; anyone can look at the graphs and see three similar periods where the relationships between temperature, CO2 and methane are astonishingly similar. I therefore present data to challenge your assertion.. Your assertion is basic to your argument. By inspection it is flawed. The Vostoc data shows that CO2 lags temperature change by about 500-800 years and therefore cannot be the cause of Global Climate Change. It then follows that if CO2 is not the cause of Climate change then anthropogenic CO2 which is only 3% and indistinguishable from natural CO2 can not then be then cited as the cause. Beyond that the ice cores demonstrate the cyclivity and similarity in periods to 450,000 BP and to extrapolate anthropogenic forces of any kind in those similar cycles is absurd. Not only is your first premise flawed the next assertion that there is some logical reason to estimate and compare and contrast volcanic contribution of CO2 verses anthropogenic contribution is a non sequitur and proves nothing Just because you assert and you have leaped to a flawed conclusion doesn't make it an impressive launching point for more pseudo science. Yes the ice melts, yes the climate changes, yes we get old and die. You can't pin climate change on humans with out data. you are just going to have to understand the phenomena and adjust or you can get hysterical about something that that is natural and can't be changed. There are some serious assertions in the lionked document that don't hold up to either data or analysis. The believers are trying too hard to push the ideology and it has become political as the scientific arguments fall apart. I am not impressed with the weight of paper supporting a flawed concept. In addition to the simple clarity of the science in the "big picture" above. I sense you need to get into the short term data and have me further address the hysterical more modern real time asertions. Mind you it doesn't change the big picture but simply gives grounds for additional pause. I use this document as a foundation of the following response. http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/Report/AR4WG1_Print_Ch09.pdf #1 CO2 is a green house gas this fact is undisputable. You accuse rational people ( your deniers) of ignoring physics... the evidence is contrary. When you understand the physics and read what you asserted your assertions again do not follow. Discussing CO2 . The mechanism is through the absorption of discrete frequencies of infrared and then re radiation of the same wavelengths in all directions but largely because of the blanket effect the return is back to the earth.. We know what the absorption frequencies are and at the present levels of CO2 the frequencies are already saturated. This happens at about 10 meters. They are already absorbing reflecting 100% of the radiation in their frequencies. . The absorption frequencies are 2.7, 4.3 and 15 micrometers and only represent 8% of black body radiation energy. If you double the concentration 100% absorption happens at 5 Meters. Your Venus analogy is very interesting but not particularly helpful in understanding the physics it is again a non-sequitur and unimpressive. As the amount of CO2 increases the bandwidth of radiation increases but it increases logarithmically and therefore any increase in CO2 over 100PPMV results in a non-linear increase in absorption. The model that the IPPC uses is the no-feedback warming but the actual warming that occurs is the combination of no-feedbacks and combined and the constant temperature change due to feedbacks. The model really hasn't provided good correlation to

    150. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Alsee · · Score: 1

      You assert that the change is unprecedented.

      Jesus Jumping H. Christ. No. I. Did. Not.

      In my first post I made multiple mentions of the RATE of change, and the sentence with "unprecedented" in it read "The real issue here is that we are facing a rate of climate change unprecedented in the earth's history". In my second post I again made multiple mention of the RATE of change. I again used the word "unprecedented" in the sentence "As I explained in my post the problem today is the absolutely unprecedented rate of change", where I was explicitly correcting you for missing it the first time. That distinction moots or in effect refutes most of your points.

      Between that and the fact that you didn't even care that you're citing a crackpot website with bogus data based on crackpot citations, I'm not sure there's any point in continuing here.

      You did not even appear to grasp the significance of the satire citation - the significance was that your website was literally citing a work of fiction as source for their "scientific data". Does that even register in your mind? Do you even grasp the staggering sub-zero credibility level of someone citing a work of fiction for (supposedly) scientific data?

      In fact I started a reply to much of the rest of your post, but I decided it was worse than pointless to post it. I don't want all the other scattershot junk to distract from those two fundamental problems. They don't even have anything to do with Global Warming. I think they demonstrate a fundamental failure to engage in reasonable rational debate, and the futility of even trying to reach agreeable resolution on the most trivial point of argument.

      -

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      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    151. Re:55% say they are Democrats by Alsee · · Score: 1

      The greatest greenhouse gas in the Earth's atmosphere is water.

      True.

      Water vapor accounts for something around 95% of the greenhouse effect.

      Not according to any credible science sources I've ever seen.

      The other guy replying to my post linked a website with that figure. I checked the site's citations backing up their claimed figures. The first of their sources that I looked up turned out to be an already discredited denialist of the old CFC-ozone issue, he was also paid big bucks by a fossil fuel electric power industry association, and he's apparently been making his living literally selling pop global warming denialism for the last decade. The second source of theirs that I looked up was a guy apparently most notable for his novel theory on the sinking of the USS Titanic, he's a material scientist with a specialty in combustion, and in particular an expert on how to burn coal better. Then a third source to back up their figures turned out to be a dead link. Then a fourth source they were citing to back up their figures was literally a work of fiction. They were literally citing a fiction story to back up their claim that water constitutes 95% of the greenhouse gas effect.

      Two sources with all the credibility of a tobacco industry scientist claiming tobacco doesn't cause lung cancer, one dead link source, and a source that was literally a fiction story at a satire website. And for ironic bonus, the fiction article they cited was a satire piece ridiculing global warming denialists opposing CO2 regulation.

      It took me less than two minutes to randomly grab and Google the first source and confirm that the source (and the website) was crackpot. I checked the extra sources I mentioned above just for the amusement factor of more thoroughly debunking the 95% claim and debunking the site.

      I'm sure you saw that 95% figure somewhere, but please take a moment to check the credibility of the source.

      the Earth has warmed but now seems to be cooling for the last decade

      I hesitate to even call that claim junk science, it is just junk. It came from gross abuse statistical-nature data and cherry picking data points to manufacture a cooling claim.

      Imagine you're on a beach, and "Rising Tide Theory" says that the tide is slowly rising over the next few hours (slow global warming). So you're on the shore measuring the water level and there are random waves and boats passing by and swimmers splashing on the beach (the day-to-day and even year-to-year temperature has random fluctuations). To check Rising Tide Theory you need to ignore the waves and splashing noise in your water level measurements. There are long established statistical methods for averaging out that sort of random noise and looking for the actual trend in average water level.

      So what happens is you're on the beach measuring the water level, and a rare freakishly big wave crashes on the shore and during that minute you get a really high reading for the water level. Some people then look at the sudden increase in measured water level during that minute and shout that it is proof of the Rising Tide Theory, the water level went up. But then a bunch of scientists say No, it was just a random big wave and it had nothing to do with Rising Tide, and they say you cannot make valid claims about Tide Theory by pointing to that particular minute's reading. Then naturally that freak wave goes away and you the usual splashing of the water going up and down. Then ten minutes after the big wave you have a random low point between waves, and someone points to it and says the water level has gone down.

      By pointing to the TOP of a random high point and then pointing to the BOTTOM of a random low point several minutes later, one can cherry pick those two points to draw a completely fictional downwards graph for the water level over the last ten minutes, even when the tide is in fact slowly rising.

      That's exactly what happened. The year 1998 was a freakishly hot yea

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
  3. flat by hammarlund · · Score: 0, Troll

    The majority of scientists used to agree that the earth was flat. And at the center of the universe.

    1. Re:flat by BonThomme · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Yes, the the patrons of those scientists had a vested theological interest in those positions. Not that any actual science was really conducted to validate them...

    2. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope. There was no scientific method, so there were no scientists. At best the majority of *philosophers* agreed the earth was flat and the center of the universe. On pain of death.

      Or did you forget what the church did to people who started claiming the earth orbited the sun?

    3. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      No they didn't. Catholicism was the major driver behind geocentrism, and no-one with any sense ever believed the earth was flat.

    4. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's your point? If you want to keep your current worldview regardless of any new information, you're better off becoming a priest.

    5. Re:flat by clang_jangle · · Score: 1, Informative

      The majority of European scientists used to agree that the earth was flat, and at the center of the universe. The Mayans, Incas, Egyptians, and Indians knew better, evidently well before Galileo.
      BTW, the general gist of TFA can correctly be summarized as "average modern human still a superstitious boob, status quo maintained".

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      Caveat Utilitor
    6. Re:flat by noundi · · Score: 2, Insightful

      A lot has changed since then and even the term scientist as well. There are however still biased scientists today as there were back then, scientists whom receive their paychecks from tobacco companies to supply data that brings doubt to lung diseases caused by smoking tobacco. Still to gain the acceptance of the majority of scientists today should not be taken lightly, as it is not an easy task.

      --
      I am the lawn!
    7. Re:flat by hammarlund · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Yes, the the patrons of those scientists had a vested theological interest in those positions. Not that any actual science was really conducted to validate them...

      Perhaps not unlike the corporate interests of some scientists these days.

    8. Re:flat by fractic · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is just plain wrong. Even the ancient greeks knew that the earth was spherical. This has been the dominant scientific position for a long time. The wikipedia article on it is quite good flat earth.

    9. Re:flat by Tomfrh · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The majority of scientists used to agree that the earth was flat.

      That's just a modern myth about olden days people. People have known the world was round for thousands of years.

    10. Re:flat by maxume · · Score: 1

      When? Where?

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    11. Re:flat by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

      Don't just blame malice. There will be a slight bias to the people who pay you most of the time. It may not be intentional. But if you work for "The Cap and Trade Working Group" you are more likely to support the CO2 cause of global warming, than if you work for the "Natural Gas Producers Association."

    12. Re:flat by grumbel · · Score: 3, Informative

      Eratosthenes calculated the radius of the earth back then in 240 BCE, thats long before science as we know it today even existed.

    13. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The majority of European scientists used to agree that the earth was flat, and at the center of the universe.

      This is an myth.

      Recent scholarship, particularly since the 1990s,[3] has shown that with extraordinarily few exceptions "no educated person in the history of Western Civilization from the third century B.C. onward believed that the earth was flat" and that the prevailing view was of a spherical earth.

      from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flat_Earth

    14. Re:flat by Ginger+Unicorn · · Score: 3, Insightful

      scientists may be bought. science cannot. if you falsify results for money, anyone reproducing the experiment will demonstrate your flawed conclusions.

      --
      (1.21 gigawatts) / (88 miles per hour) = 30 757 874 newtons
    15. Re:flat by ancient_kings · · Score: 1

      Bullsh*t. The Greeks computed the size of the earth (within 5%) some 3,000 years ago. Get your facts right Neocon...

    16. Re:flat by nine-times · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The majority of European scientists used to agree that the earth was flat

      Not even that. The greeks knew the Earth was round and had calculated its size pretty accurately. Since then, there hasn't been serious disagreement among scientists or sailors or educated people generally. There may have been some denial from the religious and the simply ignorant, but the story you hear about Columbus being the one who proved the world was round --or whatever the story is-- it's BS.

    17. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, the the patrons of those scientists had a vested theological interest in those positions. Not that any actual science was really conducted to validate them...

      Perhaps not unlike the corporate interests of some scientists these days.

      And, perhaps not unlike the the political interests of the rest of the scientists these days.

    18. Re:flat by bsane · · Score: 1

      True- but whats often reported as 'science' is analysis, modeling and extrapolation of small scale independently reproducible Science.

      That kind of 'science' certainly is falsifiable.

      You really think one of the following is true:
      -We understand everything that could possibly effect our atmosphere well enough to model it with certainty?*
      or
      -We have a couple planets sitting around we could experimenting with?

      *Not saying we can't learn from models and predictions of less than complete info, but don't try to sell it to me as the indisputable Truth.

    19. Re:flat by noundi · · Score: 1

      Of course there will be a slight bias, the question is what it will lead to. Sometimes it leads to further studies due to unsatisfactory results, and sometimes it leads to false data. As long as one doesn't temper with the results the proper conclusion can be made by anybody.

      --
      I am the lawn!
    20. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wikipedia is your "proof"?! Okay genius, please show us the period maps/globes which reflect this "fact" you're citing.

    21. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The theory that people used to believe the Earth was flat isn't all that true apparently. And modern science is far younger than all that.

      Even moving the argument to something viable like "the earth is at the centre of the solar system", that was a religious viewpoint, not a scientific one - indeed science disproved that, and the religious overlords (supported by their uneducated followers) certainly saw to punish said scientist for that.

      If you want to control people, you educate them poorly, and you create a nanny structure to manage them - religion, or a nanny state, or a media system designed to dull their minds. Science vs. The Masses is one particular part of that - scientists are well educated, and liberal, and a threat to the incumbent powers, so they make the masses anti-science via misinformation and poor education. Turning it into a them versus us thing usually kills off most people's critical analysis ability.

    22. Re:flat by Ginger+Unicorn · · Score: 1

      I wasn't trying to sell anything as the indisputable truth, since the scientific method deals solely in the disputable. The scientific consensus, no matter how well supported is always open to dispute and scrutiny.

      What if I don't think either of those statements are true? How does that undermine my claim?

      --
      (1.21 gigawatts) / (88 miles per hour) = 30 757 874 newtons
    23. Re:flat by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Indeed. Columbus had difficulty getting his expedition funded not because people thought the world was flat, but because they thought it was sufficient large that he would run out of supplies in the middle of the ocean. They were right; if there hadn't been a continent in the way then he'd have starved to death.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    24. Re:flat by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Demonstrably false. First, no educated person in approximately 3,000 years has believed the earth to be flat--that's how long it's been since the Greeks calculated the circumference of the earth (to within 10% of the actual number IIRC). Second, while there were philosophers and theologians who believed the earth to be at the center of the universe, none of them could be called scientists. Science is a coupling of an epistemology and a methodology derived from that epistemology. The idea that the earth was at the center of the universe predates the science's existence, and the idea met its demise with the rise of science during the Enlightenment period.

    25. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      We've only got one planet to experiment with, but that's enough.

      So we've observed a correlation between warming and CO2 concentration. That leaves three possiblities:

      1. CO2 causes warming.
      2. Warming causes CO2.
      3. Something else causes both.

      We've worked up a bunch of climate simulations and models (hypotheses) to test these different scenarios and we're pretty sure we have an idea which it is. Now we need an experiment to test.

      So in an experiment you try to keep all the variables except one constant, and you manipulate that one. In our case we'd like to manipulate the amount of CO2 in the air. Since we've already increased it, the most interesting experiment to do first would be to cause it to decrease. Lots of people are trying to figure out how best to do that.

      See, Kyoto etc. are all just the run up to the very experiment you suggest!

    26. Re:flat by Admiral+Ag · · Score: 1

      Most ancient philosophers, like Aristotle, believed that the earth was spherical. Aristotle reasoned that this was so because some stars were visible at certain latitudes but not others.

      Modern science is not a wholesale repudiation of ancient philosophy, but a selective rejection of certain flawed aspects of it. Modern science shares the broad conception of rationality developed by the Ancient Greeks and their naturalistic approach (it's one reason why most of our words to do with science and rationality are inherited from Greek). Both modern science and ancient philosophy have a much bigger contrast with pre-philosophical mythic thought than they do with each other.

      Aristotle had a scientific method set out in his Posterior Analytics. It's the first attempt to provide a general account of the structure of scientific reasoning, and in its broadest respects it is the model for all others. Of course, our scientific method is much better than his, but his is still recognizable as a scientific method appealing to reason and evidence, rather than revelation, tradition or oracles.

      You can be arrogant and dismiss it, but future people will probably look at our science and scientific method and wonder how we could have been so dumb. That would be unfair, and it is unfair to do the same to our ancestors.

      --
      "by that I mean people who don't sit on slashdot all day wondering why everyone else isn't building robots" DECS
    27. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Columbus also dazzled Ferdinand and Isabella with graphs and fancy (incorrect) math showing that the world was half as big as it actually is. You can see documentation of this technique here: http://www.phdcomics.com/comics/archive.php?comicid=41

    28. Re:flat by meringuoid · · Score: 1
      Columbus had difficulty getting his expedition funded not because people thought the world was flat, but because they thought it was sufficient large that he would run out of supplies in the middle of the ocean. They were right; if there hadn't been a continent in the way then he'd have starved to death.

      Which is, of course, why Columbus met the Caribs on Hispaniola and thought they were Indians.

      --
      Real Daleks don't climb stairs - they level the building.
    29. Re:flat by blackraven14250 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but that doesn't mean the average person in the dark ages ever knew it. We know that the people at the top knew it, but what about the 99% who were plowing fields every day? Did they have any clue what the aristocracy was thinking?

    30. Re:flat by dimeglio · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm Catholic yet I don't believe the earth is flat. Since I wasn't alive back then, I don't know if the earth was flat or not. Maybe, back then, the earth was in fact flat. Your dad and probably yourself also believed that the earth travels in circles around the sun. That is of course false, we know today that the earth travels in a straight line in curved space-time.

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    31. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should apply the scientific ethod to history. Hint: Magellan (well his crew) did his circumvulition decades before Galileo.

      http://www.ethicalatheist.com/docs/flat_earth_myth.html

    32. Re:flat by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Lemme help you a bit with nr. 1.
      CO2 absorbs strongly in the infrared part of the spectrum because of its 2 C=O bonds. (C=O asymmetric stretch at 2400 cm^-1). This *fact* was discovered by Svante Arrhenius more than 110 years ago (dunno if he knew it was because of the C=O double bonds though).
      Simplest hypothesis would then be, because atmospheric CO2 absorbs IR light from our Sun (either directly or reflected back from the surface), it causes the planet to warm. More CO2 in the atmosphere warms the planet more. It's a "greenhouse gas" and according to that Wikipedia article at the moment I read it ;-) CO2 causes between 9% and 26% to the greenhouse effect (compared to 36%-72% by water vapor for example).
      Another hypothesis would be, yes atmospheric CO2 absorbs IR light from our Sun, but that is too simplistic, factor X (caused by/related to the amount of CO2 in our atmosphere) counteracts this effect and is also an equally strong or stronger "forcing" or effect, so therefore more CO2 = less warming.
      IANAClimateScientist, so if you can name any such factors X, feel free to speak up and enlighten us.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    33. Re:flat by Xtravar · · Score: 1

      And the hilarious thing is that Native Americans are still called Indians! Hahaha!

      --
      Buckle your ROFL belt, we're in for some LOLs.
    34. Re:flat by Blakey+Rat · · Score: 2, Insightful

      That story is bunk. Europeans, back to the Greeks (and probably before), knew that the world was round.

      The debate that Columbus had wasn't whether it was round, but whether it was *small enough* that a ship could sail westward to reach "the Orient" before running out of provisions, instead of taking the long and dangerous eastward route. It turns out the answer is: "no, it's not." So Columbus was wrong, but lucky.

      And to dispell another commonly-held myth, North America had long been visited by Norse explorers. The evidence for this is extremely, extremely strong. (Even if you don't count their Greenland and Iceland colonies as being in North America.)

    35. Re:flat by coaxial · · Score: 1

      The majority of European scientists used to agree that the earth was flat, and at the center of the universe. The Mayans, Incas, Egyptians, and Indians knew better, evidently well before Galileo.

      Someone better tell that to Eratosthenes.

    36. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Yes. These are excellent hypotheses. The poster I replied to is absolutely correct that we don't yet have a gold standard experiment to determine the relationship between carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere and global climate. We've got computer models, and we have miniature green house style models, but we don't have a good planetary scale experiment.

      As a good scientist, he's thinking that we should do the experiment, and that means manipulating the atmosphere's CO2 concentration, perhaps by introducing some sort of tax on carbon emissions, or otherwise convincing everybody to emit less CO2. Regardless of the actual method we use, we can monitor CO2 emissions, CO2 concentration and global temperature, and determine precisely what the relationship is.

    37. Re:flat by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

      There may have been some denial from the religious [...]

      Even this is seriously misleading, in that it suggests that religious institutions were some sort of hotbed of flat-earthism. In fact, spherical Earth has pretty much always been the dominant model within Christianity. For example, Saint Augustine's argument that the southern hemisphere (a.k.a. "the Antipodes") must be uninhabited, because (a) all humans descend from Adam and Eve; (b) the equatorial regions of the Earth have a "torrid" climate that's inhospitable to human beings, and thus are unpassable; (c) Jesus would have had to come a second time to the Antipodes in order to save the Antipodeans, and that would contradict the Gospel.

      Sure, to us that sounds like a very silly argument, but the important thing to note is that it takes for granted that the Earth is spherical. This was in the late 300's.

    38. Re:flat by fritsd · · Score: 1

      OK I get you now, I misread.
      I also think that lowering our global CO2 production to levels at or below that of 1990 is a worthwile scientific experiment :-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    39. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      To start with. If we want to get really comprehensive data we really should explore the low end as well. Perhaps take the planet back to 1800 levels.

      Now all we need is funding.

    40. Re:flat by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, but news organizations and idiots with an agenda will quote the flawed results forever. Worse, those idiots will choose the studies they want to believe and ignore the ones disproving or revising them.

      And that is universal to all idiots regardless of their political affiliation.

    41. Re:flat by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      No one claimed that Cathoilics today believe the earth is flat. Your comment is basically superfluous (and misleading).

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    42. Re:flat by Skrynkelberg · · Score: 1

      I see you have never used Wikipedia before. The article is not the proof, the sources of the article are. Welcome to the 21st century, AC.

    43. Re:flat by bsane · · Score: 1

      Except that there are many variables other than CO2 that affect temperature. We probably aren't monitoring or understand them all. One in particular is the energy output of the sun. We have very little historical data, and it will have an effect on global temperatures (quite possible its so small as to not worry about short term, but long term its going to dwarf any CO2 problem)

    44. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Another reason we should do an experiment. You say we have little data historical data about solar output, making it hard to untangle the effect of CO2 from insolation. Great! Let's manipulate the CO2 concentration while we're monitoring insolation with modern equipment!

    45. Re:flat by bsane · · Score: 1

      You're missing my point...

      The Earth is more than a container of CO2 with a light bulb pointing at it.

      Feel free to experiment (and use my tax dollars to do it even), but don't claim you know the The Truth and ridicule people who don't accept it on faith, until you have a model that reproduces the real thing, and can prove it.

    46. Re:flat by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      I think you missed the point. I'm being facetious.

      The original poster made some comment along the lines of "we've observed a correlation, but that doesn't prove causation, and we don't have any convenient planets to experiment on."

      When you have such a situation, to be sure, you have to do an experiment. That is, purposely manipulate CO2 and see what happens. As you point out, if you want it to be anything more than a clever (or not so clever) model, you'd better do it on a whole planet.

      We've only got one of those. So, to determine how atmospheric CO2 affects climate, we should change the concentration of CO2 in our atmosphere, preferably over a fairly short term. Since we've already raised, it, the logical choice for the start of the experiment would be to lower it.

      So in other words, model shmodel, let's experiment on the planet and get some real results.

      I realize it was a pretty subtle joke, but it seems the climate change deniers are mostly the ones who didn't get it and felt they needed to respond. Interesting.

    47. Re:flat by dimeglio · · Score: 1

      I stand corrected. My point should have been on geocentricism (not flatness).

      --
      Views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of the author.
    48. Re:flat by bsane · · Score: 1

      you'd better do it on a whole planet

      Sure let me know what your control is, and what you're going keep constant, and what you're to change. Then let me know how it is your going to do either of those things with the processes that influence the Earth.

      Or have you never actually preformed an experiment?

      So we're left to models, which can be influenced by politics, personal beliefs and money.

      I realize you're probably trolling, but people misrepresenting the scientific method because of ignorance or malice needs to be called out.

  4. Good heavens Miss Takamoto! You're beautiful! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    She blinded me with science!

  5. Unscientific? by Bob9113 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans.

    Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me. I've probably voted for more Democrats than Republicans in my life, but it seems to me that the scientific approach is to study the evidence and select a candidate based on his record, stated positions, etc.

    Frankly, lately, it strikes me that the most scientific approach might be to vote against the incumbent regardless of party. Incumbency seems to strongly correlate with making decisions based on things other than evidence. Incumbents seem inclined -- increasingly over duration of incumbency -- to base their decisions on favors they owe and promises of future favors they can collect rather than on evidence and deep, objective consideration.

    1. Re:Unscientific? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me."

      So? The purpose of the poll is not to be scientific. It's to show what a group of scientists being polled do or feel.

      I think your complaint is biased, because you feel that science and Democrats have been successfully linked. That is a fact that the poll is ot going to change, since there are many other polls backing this claim as well.

      Scientists are largely Democrats and their political sway hold that way. Scientists are overwhelmingly of higher education, and those of higher education largely are Democrats.

      The question you seem to be running around is whether this impacts their opinions and outcomes of scientific results and their interpretations of them--do their political opinions impact how they see results? The answer is yes, and scientists don't like that link, since they feel it's an insult, as they are suppose to be impartial.

    2. Re:Unscientific? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder whether the scientists who identified as Independents are also registered as Independents. I have never understood why anyone would register as an Independent rather than with a party since Independents cannot vote in primary elections.

    3. Re:Unscientific? by MikeBabcock · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Personally I think its a more psychological effect, like those air fresheners that switch fragrances so you notice the effect more. If you leave the same person, party or attitude in office long enough, you stop noticing what they're doing in any positive light so you switch it up. After a while, the positive attributes of the new leader or party become cloudy and unnoticed and you do it again.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    4. Re:Unscientific? by michaelmuffin · · Score: 1

      Democrats are known for stealing money from people and giving it out to their certain blocks of special interests.

      it's interesting that you consider being slightly more responsive than republicans to the opinions of the masses to be pandering to "special interests". what then do you consider to be the general interests?

    5. Re:Unscientific? by Kozz · · Score: 0, Offtopic

      Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me. I've probably voted for more Democrats than Republicans in my life, but it seems to me that the scientific approach is to study the evidence and select a candidate based on his record, stated positions, etc.

      A quote from a great patriot, Steven Colbert, comes to mind: "Reality has a well known Liberal bias!"

      --
      I only post comments when someone on the internet is wrong.
    6. Re:Unscientific? by jfengel · · Score: 1

      Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me.

      It's not as unscientific as you might expect. Whatever the needs of your district are, a Congressmen is also obligated to the party. Parties are where people vote against their interests on some issues to gain allies for votes on interests that are more important to them.

      Many votes thus go along the party line. Even those who break the party line do so most often when the conclusion is foregone: if the vote were close, the party has leverage to apply, from committee assignments to support during the next campaign.

      Before the recent Democratic sweeps, the split was often rather close, and your vote could determine who got to elect the Speaker or Majority Leader, and thus set the agenda. A vote for a superior candidate of a party you generally opposed gave a lot of power to the most extreme members of that party, even though you had no direct say in their states.

      So in some ways you really are voting for the party no matter whose name is on the ballot. Perhaps the rules could be altered, such as by getting Congress to vote by secret ballot. That would remove accountability to the constituents, but then, they don't often seem to have it anyway.

    7. Re:Unscientific? by photon317 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Both parties are stealing money from the public to give to their preferred interests. Republicans tend to steal to give to the needlessly greedy, and Democrats to give to the needlessly needy. I think the point the GP was making was that one thing Democrats tend to steal money for is university systems, which has a direct economic impact on the lives of scientists.

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      11*43+456^2
    8. Re:Unscientific? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're sorry that we scientists are stealing money from you by way of taxes. I'm going to abandon my science activities and become an honest self made hard working trader that will heroically save the economy.

    9. Re:Unscientific? by PCM2 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Frankly, lately, it strikes me that the most scientific approach might be to vote against the incumbent regardless of party. Incumbency seems to strongly correlate with making decisions based on things other than evidence. Incumbents seem inclined -- increasingly over duration of incumbency -- to base their decisions on favors they owe and promises of future favors they can collect rather than on evidence and deep, objective consideration.

      But your approach seems to rely on the assumption that you and your enlightened friends will be the only ones doing so. If everyone voted this way, then the incumbent would always lose. It would be, in effect, like passing a law that limited all candidates to a single term. This would only encourage politicians to grab as much as they can, as quickly as they can, and all the assumptive benefits of the first term (candidates basing their decisions on deep, objective consideration) would get tossed out the window. As such, your attitude seems cynical at best, and at worst, completely self-defeating.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    10. Re:Unscientific? by donaggie03 · · Score: 1

      32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans.

      Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me. I've probably voted for more Democrats than Republicans in my life, but it seems to me that the scientific approach is to study the evidence and select a candidate based on his record, stated positions, etc.

      Maybe a lot of scientists did actually study the evidence and selected candidates based on their record, stated positions, etc. These scientists then realized over time that the majority of the candidates they chose happened to be Democrats. Thus, they would label themselves as Democrats. Or another possibility is that these scientists, regardless of which candidate they choose for each post in each election, they generally support the Democrat's platform more then the Republican's platform, so once again, they would label themselves as Democrats. While what you are saying may very well be true, we don't know, based on this information, how the scientists vote, or why. All we know is how they label themselves.

      --
      Three days from now?? Thats tomorrow!! ~Peter Griffin
    11. Re:Unscientific? by Celc · · Score: 1

      I much rather vote for an ideology than a person, people are fallable as we get reminded of time and again. We (Sweeds) get to vote for parties (optionally people in parties) though.

    12. Re:Unscientific? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the "scientific" thing to do is to vote for the candidate whose election you deem most likely to advance the interests you care about. In the American system, that generally means that Party trumps Politics. Any person elected will in most cases be forced to adhere to the party line in order to do anything at all. Thus you should vote for the least objectionable party regardless of the personal qualifications of the candidate.

      In evaluating a person's credentials as a "scientist", you need to know more than his simple party affiliation. A legitimate scientist may support the Democrats because he personally has relatively narrow interests focused on his research and he perceives the Democrats as more likely to fund that research. On the other hand, a person who supports the Democrats because he truly believes in their emotion-based propaganda immediately casts doubt on any claim as a working scientist. The same holds true of the Republicans or any other party. You might be a good scientist despite your behavior outside of your field, but I am always leery of someone who claims to make only rational choices in one area while admitting to deliberately making non-rational choices in others.

      Surveys such as the one in question are somewhat misleading in that they purport to compare the views of scientists and non-scientists, when in fact they only compare the views of people who labelled as scientists with those of people not so labelled. There is no verification on either side of the person's actual qualifications as a scientific thinker. It would be more accurate to present the survey as a comparison between people who happen to work in scientific fields versus those who don't. As such, the survey is perhaps interesting, but pretty much worthless for drawing useful conclusions beyond "these two groups of people have differing subjective views".

      A truly useful survey would pick a topic, identify a group of intelligent people with a track record of unbiased research in the field, and present their opinions. The tricky part, of course, is the qualification process. Your survey has little value until you can assign weight to the opinions expressed. Lacking that, you might as well flip coins and announce your results.

    13. Re:Unscientific? by ibbey · · Score: 1

      It's much simpler than that. The Republican Party has demonstrated for at least the last 30 years, and especially in the last 8 years, that they have absolutely no respect for science in particular, or education general. Is it really hard to see why a group of well educated scientists would want little to do with a party that despises them?

      Party labels have less to do with who you vote for than the GP seems to assume. Just because someone calls themselves a Democrat doesn't mean that they will never vote for a Republican. It's stating a preference, nothing more. Most people tend to lean to one side of the aisle or the other. Even most people who call themselves independents will usually self-identify with one party or the other if pressed.

      That's not to say that there aren't party ideologues on each side who will vote the party line regardless of the candidate, but historically they have been a relatively small number, and well outnumbered by the people who will vote for the candidate with the better TV ads or similar ridiculous reasons. After the 2008 presidential campaign, that seems to be changing on the Republican side as they appear to be actively trying to drive out anyone who is NOT a party ideologue. Take Dick Cheney's comments about Colin Powell as just one bit of evidence of this. Another example was the smear campaign ran against any right-wing pundits who had dared to question the credentials of Sarah Palin as VP. We'll have to wait and see what happens there, but the irony is that those party ideologues are killing there party. The base, no matter how well organized, cannot carry a national election on their own. If they ever want to win the white house again, they'll need a lot more than the Republican base.

    14. Re:Unscientific? by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      If everyone voted this way, then the incumbent would always lose. It would be, in effect, like passing a law that limited all candidates to a single term.

      Notice that in my post I said "lately". I do not believe that one-term term-limits are the answer (though I would support term limits of some sort -- maybe four or five terms). I also do not believe that voting out all incumbents every time is a permanent answer. I do, however, believe that the current state of Washington is untenable, and that we must demonstrate a threat to incumbency to fix it. We desperately need a show of no confidence, and of voter authority, to get D.C. working for us again.

      If they can keep running an approval rating around 10%, and keep getting reelected at 80% or higher, they have no motivation to fix the infrastructural D.C. issues that transcend party boundaries.

    15. Re:Unscientific? by ibbey · · Score: 1

      Whoever moderated this as offtopic is an idiot. In one sentence, that Colbert quote pretty much sums up the entire survey result. Insightful would be a much more appropriate mod.

    16. Re:Unscientific? by chrb · · Score: 1

      Selecting a party instead of a candidate seems rather unscientific to me.

      Why would voting for a party be more of a scientific endeavour? What would your hypothesis be? How would you run multiple experiments? Time travel? There are electoral systems based on voting for a party rather than an individual, used by hundreds of millions of people worldwide. Why would this form of voting be any less scientific than another? What is the difference between voting for a set of people with a manifesto, or an individual with a manifesto (apart from the set having some redundancy)? Shouldn't votes be based on proposals to plan and structure society - proposals that stand on their own merits, rather than the person or persons making them?

  6. Education Gap by Myji+Humoz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Being a scientist is linked very closely to being educated at graduate level or higher. These views (acceptance of evolution, belief in human caused global warming, etc) are linked to the replacement of a prior belief (whatever the Bible implies) with a belief in a complicated theory that often doesn't make sense without serious study. A casual textbook explanation of evolution leads to questions of how complicated mechanisms such as sexual reproduction came into being, which leaves serious doubts about the validity of "scientific theories" in the minds of individuals with high school education.

    Should we be surprised at all that increased levels of education help people critically analyze and accept/deny scientific theories? Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be? So long as the cutting edge of science involves far more math or heavy statistical theory than the average human is educated in, the layman who doesn't take time to research issues will have to either take faith in the word of "experts", or take faith in the "word of God, as brought to you by $Preacher.)

    --
    Signatures are the new names.
    1. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Should we be surprised at all that increased levels of education help people critically analyze and accept/deny scientific theories? Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be?

      I think it may explain being socially liberal -- recognizing that moral decisions are inherently difficult to make objectively. I am skeptical, however, that analytical skills correlate (or at least should correlate) strongly with being fiscally liberal. There seems to be decent evidence that being fiscally liberal, particularly in a society in economic decline, is hazardous.

      Then again, I guess there is ample evidence that neither Republicans nor Democrats are fiscally conservative.

    2. Re:Education Gap by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Should we be surprised at all that increased levels of education help people critically analyze and accept/deny scientific theories? Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be? So long as the cutting edge of science involves far more math or heavy statistical theory than the average human is educated in, the layman who doesn't take time to research issues will have to either take faith in the word of "experts", or take faith in the "word of God, as brought to you by $Preacher.)

      My father-in-law is a pretty good example of this. He didn't finish college at the traditional age and has gone on to be hyper-conservative, unquestioningly accepting religious teachings on non-religious subjects, including science and the physical world. E.g. I put on a pair of latex gloves before attempting to fix a poop-and-hair clog in the automatic litter box -- a reasonable precaution, I thought. He told me: "you know, viruses and bacteria go right through latex."

      I figured this finding would be rather important for the medical community to know so I checked it out. It seems that Christian fundamentalists teach that latex is germ-permeable so that they can say that condoms are useless to prevent STDs, so the only sure-fire way to avoid disease is total abstinence prior to lifelong marriage to another abstainer.

      I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    3. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      John Q. Public gets his information from the over simplifying, dumbed down, and sensationalizing TV and radio. And when you have supposedly educated people, I'm thinking of one with a law degree, saying that magazines like Scientific American have a "Liberal Agenda" and cannot be trusted, it's no wonder that the American public is one of the most scientifically illiterate western culture on the planet and as a result, we, as a culture, think and behave as a bunch of ignorant buffoons.

    4. Re:Education Gap by anagama · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Advanced education (or advanced knowledge) in a specific subject, tends to be accompanied by an accurate sense of just how much one does not know. People with a rudimentary understanding of something often have a much higher sense of certainty than people with deep knowledge. The more you know, the more you know you don't know.

      With respect to the Republican/Democrat/Independent split, I find it interesting that a third identify as independents. I think that for at least the last couple decades, the Republicans have taken on so much of an "America Fuck Yeah" religiousity, that people who understand that the world is not simple because they have discovered in their own area, how much others misunderstand the topic and the findings and how much more there is to learn, are easily disillusioned by the Readers Digest platitudes that seem sufficient for the vast majority of people. As a result, those who actually know how little they know, can see how they are underinformed outside their area of expertise and are much more likely to accept that they may be wrong in any of their beliefs. Given the Republican party's penchant for unthinking dogmatism, it is easy to see why people who have become very expert in a specialized area would be hesitant to be associated with the Republican party. By the same token, Democrats can be just as bad, but there is some logic in going with the lesser evil (although I personally have decided against that path), and because the Democrats on average aren't such thundering bible-bangers, it seems natural enough to go that route.

      --
      What changed under Obama? Nothing Good
    5. Re:Education Gap by ancient_kings · · Score: 1

      So when did your Dad join the Taliban?

    6. Re:Education Gap by isa-kuruption · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I don't think your father-in-law's views have anything to do with his education level.

      I have known several priests and bishops in various faiths over the years, and many of them hold multiple doctorates and/or masters degrees (they have nothing better to do than read, one would think). One bishop (who has since passed) was psychologist for years before joining the priesthood. A priest here in Maryland is an electrical engineer, another priest has a masters in Russian literature (again, before he joined the priesthood) which he obtained in the 1970s. Another man I know of, who is now in his forties, had 4 doctorate degrees before he decided to join the priesthood. I know at least 6 bishops offhand that have doctors in theology or psychology.

      Anyone, no matter what education level, can fall into ruts where they are only willing to believe what they believe and that's it, this includes both theologians and scientists.

    7. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world."

      You can't have both, I have people within my families church were hoping for christs return in 2000, and they all rose a stink about it and couldn't stop talking about it. Religion defines the world for people, if someone truly believes and is willing to die for their beliefs you can't not be opposed to ignorance.

      It's sick that we allow such ignorance to flourish in the first place, it's unfortunate that we are a minority and the fact that the majority of human beings have minds like lemons.

    8. Re:Education Gap by zmollusc · · Score: 1

      Interesting. My parents and grandparents were manual workers leaving education about age 13, I never went to university and I support the evolution and scientific method, where my forebears didn't have much scientific understanding but still maintained 'religion is all a load of bullshit' or words to that effect.

      --
      They whose government reduces their essential liberties for temporary security, receive neither liberty nor security.
    9. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "... which leaves serious doubts about the validity of "scientific theories" in the minds of individuals with high school education."

      Sorry but I went to Catholic School from 1-12 (for readers outside the US, HS is 9-12) and I understood Darwin and so did my fellow students. I also went to "progressive" Catholic Schools that did not feel the need to evangelize every second of the day. I kept the core beliefs, but am cool with the fact that we don't know all the details behind His works.

      I was also an avid Trekker who was constantly evangelizing scientific exploration, biological research, technological development, and why the captain always gets the girls ...

    10. Re:Education Gap by Requiem18th · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world.

      I beg your pardon but why should the teachings of religion have any value in philosophy? Compared with ancient Greek philosophy, let alone modern philosophy, religion is already just ignorant, unsophisticated, incongruent, biased, politicized, dishonest babble. Even the more philosophically inclined Asian religions are based not slightly in unfunded fantasies.

      This is to be expected as these beliefs were created by men without any modern tools to gain insight into the nature of the world and the mind, without physics or psychology or even just reliable statistical surveys about the opinions of the population of their own countries, let alone data from international sources.

      Religion is of no use today except for waging religious wars and even then it might not be absolutely necessary.

      --
      But... the future refused to change.
    11. Re:Education Gap by rohan972 · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be?

      Not at all, although that doesn't necessarily mean they are thinking better.

      The Communists have not invented the intervention of society in education; they do but seek to alter the character of that intervention, and to rescue education from the influence of the ruling class. The Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels

      Since the communists publicly declared their intention use education to transform society, it ought not surprise us that those longest exposed to the influence of formal education have been more thoroughly persuaded to follow left-wing politics. In addition, the rule of an intellectual elite is obviously going to be most palatable to those who will exercise that power.

    12. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Latex is not 100% impermeable and in that way it is correct that bacteria, viruses and prions can go through Latex. However, the chance of that happening is remote to very remote (surgical gloves with good QC) and combined with the chance of being exposed to dangerous elements for a long enough period to form a risk make it so unlikely that latex can be considered impermeable. For high risk environments glove manufacturers still recommend to wear two pairs.

    13. Re:Education Gap by dcollins · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world.

      Bone to pick: Religion is equally worthless in discussing philosophical subjects.

      I know that it's a popular rhetorical device to try and "fence in" religion to a limited domain of non-scientific topics such as ethics (as published most widely by Stephen J. Gould). But as someone who has degrees in both philosophy and mathematics, I've got to say this: belief in fictional, mythological spirits can only be damaging to serious discussions about any subject area.

      --
      We know where leadership by an anti-intellectual "strongman" who scapegoats minorities and likes boisterous rallies goes
    14. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world.

      Then you are opposed to religion.

    15. Re:Education Gap by sznupi · · Score: 1

      Oh, but you are opposed to religion; don't be scared into saying otherwise.

      Shaping the world of believers is ultimatelly what religion is about; philosphers toying also with theology are practically nonexistant way within the margin of error.

      --
      One that hath name thou can not otter
    16. Re:Education Gap by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 1

      Fiscal liberalism may not correlate with analytical skills, but I'm willing to bet that humanism does. And Humanists tend to be socially liberal.

      The problem is that the morons of the Democratic party (read:everyone who thinks that because 55% of scientists call themselves Democrats mean Democrats MUST be onto something) conflate being liberal with being a humanist. It is NOT the same. Humanism can logically lead to a (albeit restricted) range of political philosophies, among them social liberalism.

    17. Re:Education Gap by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Purely anecdotally, scientists (and other random educated people) don't agree on being fiscally liberal. They generally agree on being socially liberal (with a fair fraction of exceptions). But then, all the poll was asking about was party affiliation: it's not like you get much choice, and it's not like either choice is fiscally conservative.

    18. Re:Education Gap by blueg3 · · Score: 1

      Many priests, as you point out, are actually well educated. I've also found that well-educated priests tend to be much more reasonable and insightful people than you might think. (I can't say the same for their followers.)

    19. Re:Education Gap by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Ideology is the elevation of conditional conclusion to the status of axiom--free markets are always better (they're not, only under certain conditions are they better--and under all others they aren't even free markets, regardless of the level of government involvement), unions are good (UAW, SEIU, became blood-sucking parasites destroying their hosts and acting ultimately against the interests of their members), regulation is good, regulation is bad, etc.

      All (well, maybe not all, but most) of both parties' platform points are correct under circumstances, but not under all circumstances. Both parties commit a total unthinking, unscientific dogmatism in believing that their platforms are always right, always the solution, when this is simply (and demonstrably) not true.

      While I think you're right about the 'knowing what you don't know' reaction against the Republicans, both platforms are equally illogical (being the result of conglomerated agendas from devil's alliances of various factions).

      I do not think that it is reason which drives most educated people to the Democrats--it is a disposition towards Humanism that does so. Reason disposes one to Humanism, Humanism to social liberalism. But reason cannot dispose one to ideology--because ideology is inherently the abandonment of reason in favor of dogma.

    20. Re:Education Gap by MaskedSlacker · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Catholicism is radically different from American Protestantism w/ regards to science. In Catholicism it is just short of heresy to claim that scripture contradicts evolution (as of 1996--this does not mean that evolution is religious doctrine, merely that Catholics believe scripture is mute on the subject). They do teach a sort of 'theistic evolution,' but this amounts to 'God chose natural selection and evolution as the tool by which He would create the various species,' and not any meaningful deviation from the prevailing modern evolutionary synthesis.

      American protestants on the other hand, especially the Calvinist and pseudo-Calvinist branches, object rather vehemently to the very possibility of entertaining such an idea.

    21. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      perhaps these example people were educated at a school with a religious affiliation?

    22. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Should we be surprised at all that increased levels of education help people critically analyze and accept/deny scientific theories? Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be? So long as the cutting edge of science involves far more math or heavy statistical theory than the average human is educated in, the layman who doesn't take time to research issues will have to either take faith in the word of "experts", or take faith in the "word of God, as brought to you by $Preacher.)

      Why does one necessarily cross out the other? Nobody said that just because you're religious, you don't believe evolution by natural selection happens. Was there a cross section?

      As far as political views goes, I don't see how this could possibly be accurate. First of all, science is not the only education you can get. Do they consider some guy on wall street with a masters in some kind of business a scientist? I doubt it. Yet, he or she will know far more about the economy and how it works than any microbiologist, chemist, astrophysicist, etc.

      I suggest a more direct study be done. This one seems to want to imply a LOT of unproven information. Instead, let's ask what people's political views are on several issues based on a) level of education, b) current profession, c) geographic location, d) income, and e) religious views (not whether or not you go to church). The political issues could involve the classic debates: economy and how it should work, state sovereignty vs. federal control, abortion (in several contexts), war, foreign relations, spending, taxes, etc.

      I've also found just because people declare themselves one party over another, it doesn't mean they hold all those views at all. I've found many more to be leaning more in the middle than anything. They just happen to feel more strongly about one issue over another, and thus, relate themselves to that party for whatever reason.

      Lastly, while many /.'s seem to despise religion, let's stop with the conspiracy theories. Do we forget so easily what a lot of these organizations have to offer society? I see a LOT of religious groups getting involved with helping those less fortunate... overseas, nationally, and locally. How much of that have YOU done? Have you given consistently to some charity every month? And more than just a few bucks if you have the cash? Maybe you should think about some of that before you're so ready to sacrifice a very important part of our society to the wolves.

      Long story short: this study is largely oversimplified.

    23. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That or he read it in some "Popular Science" magazine or was watching the 5:00 news when some reporter rambled off some case study that said latex was useless under certain weird conditions, etc.

      Misinformation abounds...

    24. Re:Education Gap by nuonguy · · Score: 1

      In my experience, there is a direct correlation between ignorance and level of dedication to a religion. The more pious and devout people are, the less room there is for critical thinking.

      In that sense, being against religion is being against ignorance and bigotry.

    25. Re:Education Gap by nuonguy · · Score: 0

      This notion that religious views are not related to education level directly contradicts my experience. From what I've seen, the more religious people are, the less critical thinking they do. Getting a degree from a theological seminary might be technically be called 'education', but the right term for it is actually 'indoctrination'. Would you call graduates of a madrasa 'educated'?

      Would the people you cite as examples call themselves young earth creationists, if you asked them? Would they say that global warming is hoax perpetuated by Al Gore? Your post provides little to support the hypothesis that ignorance and education level are not proportional.

      It looks to me like you are co-opting them for your argument. If I found you members of clergy who were atheists or agnostics, would you accept that to support the position that religion and ignorance are directly related?

    26. Re:Education Gap by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      Getting a degree from a theological seminary might be technically be called 'education', but the right term for it is actually 'indoctrination'.

      You could say the same of a degree in gender studies, psychology, or economics. It all depends on your personal prejudices. FYI, generally speaking people with advanced degrees in theology did not spend their college years writing papers explaining why evolution isn't real.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    27. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fiscally conservative means "allowing the rich people to steal and keep almost all the money." Both Republicans and Democrats are fiscally conservative. Democratic policies have never prevented the rich from getting richer - in some cases they have improved the welfare of the poor, but they have never harmed the rich. Single-payer healthcare would take away money from paper pushers and CEOs, but the Democrats are too spineless to promote it. Instead, even if they succeed in implementing a plan that helps poor people, the rich corrupt healthcare and drug company fraudsters will keep getting richer. Any system that allows people to profit from the things that rich people have more of - capital, or land, will always make the rich richer.

    28. Re:Education Gap by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Being a scientist is linked very closely to being educated at graduate level or higher. These views (acceptance of evolution, belief in human caused global warming, etc) are linked to the replacement of a prior belief (whatever the Bible implies) with a belief in a complicated theory that often doesn't make sense without serious study. A casual textbook explanation of evolution leads to questions of how complicated mechanisms such as sexual reproduction came into being, which leaves serious doubts about the validity of "scientific theories" in the minds of individuals with high school education.

      Should we be surprised at all that increased levels of education help people critically analyze and accept/deny scientific theories? Should we still be surprised that the more educated someone is, the more liberal (generally speaking) their political views tend to be? So long as the cutting edge of science involves far more math or heavy statistical theory than the average human is educated in, the layman who doesn't take time to research issues will have to either take faith in the word of "experts", or take faith in the "word of God, as brought to you by $Preacher.)

      Should we be surprised that the longer someone is in the Education Establishment the more indoctrinated in its beliefs they become? During the Vietnam War, there was a correlation between the level of one's education and one's support of the war effort: the greater the level of education the more likely a U.S. citizen was to support the U.S. military actions in Vietnam. The exception to this being those who had family members serving in the military, those individuals were more likely to support the war effort than others of their demographic. The fact of the matter is the more formal education one has the more thoroughly indoctrinated into the ideas promoted by the Education Establishment one becomes and thus the less likely one is to think critically.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    29. Re:Education Gap by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Ah, then you have never studied religion in any depth, or only watched fool preachers on TV, or maybe you only took a class talking about various religions, because there are some truly beautiful ideas contained in religions. It is a pity you've never seen them.

      --
      Qxe4
    30. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      well...since you bring up the faith argument and also the uneducated high argument coupled with some notion that a belief in God rather than some empty, full of holes, theory of evolution, is better in some way or explains anything of our origins or where were headed well sir I think you should instead look at your theory because I think your theory has more holes in it than the creationists opinion. And, like I need to say more, your theory has more problems than it solves and there is absolutely no proof for your theory other than some mismatched jumbled examples of freakish variances in species. go figure. (that means do some math) and just for the record i can clearly see even though u seem to try and put on a front of aloofness and unbiased casual thought you really dont so again .... go figure. in addition you probably have never even read the Bible of which you are talking....which is out your ass in my opinion.

    31. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      i agree i mean what does dr suess have to do with anything anyway...or bugs bunny for that matter. oh and btw i think evolution is worthless in discussing philosophical subjects...in reguards to philosophy ... have you ever read the Bible or do you just spew out and regurgitate what youve been told what to think? anyone can earn a degree...it takes courage to think for yourself.

    32. Re:Education Gap by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 1

      My father is a PhD theologian and Philosopher. He used to be a pastor as well. I would describe him as liberal. Both theologically and politically.

      I grew up around lots of PhD Theologians and I would say my dad was not an outliers. There were some conservatives but by and large they tended to be more theologically liberal than their students. The more you learn about religion often the less black and white it becomes.

      Also I would say that bishops tend to be politically liberal. Much more so than their congregations. After all these are people who espouse socialism and welfare to the nth degree. They've completely committed their lives to public service. Even as an atheist I probably have more in common with the average political goals of the catholic church than the republican party.

    33. Re:Education Gap by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      I am skeptical, however, that analytical skills correlate (or at least should correlate) strongly with being fiscally liberal. There seems to be decent evidence that being fiscally liberal, particularly in a society in economic decline, is hazardous.

      I'm not exactly sure what you mean by "fiscally liberal", but if you mean "lots of government spending", then you need to explain your conclusion in light of the effects of government policies between 1928 and 1952.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    34. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >One bishop (who has since passed)

      I guess all that study paid off then...

    35. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      I'm not exactly sure what you mean by "fiscally liberal"

      Fiscal conservative means encouraging saving over debt. For public spending, this means running a balanced budget or even running a surplus to save up for the hard times. For private finance, this means encouraging private saving and running a positive individual savings rate (we're negative right now, have been for years).

      if you mean "lots of government spending", then you need to explain your conclusion in light of the effects of government policies between 1928 and 1952.

      Happy to: More than half of economists think the New Deal didn't help.

      Just so you don't think I'm a complete idiot, though, I do favor the income tax structure from the 30s to 50s, which I think is one of the big factors in the recovery from the crash and the WWII debt. I also think it was a big factor in creating the broadly stable economic base that kept us expanding until Reagan and the Neocons took a giant steaming dump on the idea of having a broad-based economy, and substituted party-hat fiscal liberalness that has been hiding our decline for 25 years while the caste system gets firmly entrenched.

    36. Re:Education Gap by BoogieChile · · Score: 1

      I'll tell you what I'm opposed to - I'm opposed to shit like this.

      > Christian fundamentalists teach that latex is germ-permeable so that they can say that condoms are useless to prevent STDs

      And it's got nothing to do with religion.

      At least, it's got nothing to do with the ones that believe telling porkies is wrong...

      Or don't they do that anymore?

      I mean, it's not even a little one like you get forgiven for* it's a whole "How many lights", bucket of bullshit, apart from the bit that the victims don't even know it's being done to them, which just makes the sin (I think they call it) all the more egregious. I don't care your race creed or colour but that shit is just...wrong...

      *See "does my butt look big in this?"

    37. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, religion is the Deus Ex Machina that kills every and any critical discussion regarding the world/nature/humans.

      It's actually worse than a Godwin.

    38. Re:Education Gap by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 1

      At least, it's got nothing to do with the ones that believe telling porkies is wrong...

      I had to do some googling to find out that "porky" is chiefly British slang for "big fat lie". Now that I know this, your comment makes much more sense to me.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    39. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      Just so you don't think I'm a complete idiot, though, I do favor the income tax structure from the 30s to 50s, which I think is one of the big factors in the recovery from the crash and the WWII debt. I also think it was a big factor in creating the broadly stable economic base that kept us expanding until Reagan and the Neocons took a giant steaming dump on the idea of having a broad-based economy, and substituted party-hat fiscal liberalness that has been hiding our decline for 25 years while the caste system gets firmly entrenched.

      To more clearly explain what I'm talking about:
      http://beach.traxel.com/img/1954-gdp-adjusted-wikipedia.png
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internal_Revenue_Code_of_1954

    40. Re:Education Gap by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 1

      I don't think your father-in-law's views have anything to do with his education level.

      Perhaps not his views per se, but his education level affects his credulity. Particularly in his desire to have everything explained in a very authoritative way -- not necessarily in the most logical or rational way.

      I certainly didn't mean to imply that only the uneducated would be drawn to a life of faith. Rather that lack of education would predispose one to seeking a more fundamentalist religion. One where "credulity" passes for "faith", and "certainty" -- not "humility" or "curiosity" -- is considered a virtue.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    41. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Compared with ancient Greek philosophy, let alone modern philosophy, religion is already just ignorant, unsophisticated, incongruent, biased, politicized, dishonest babble.

      Greek philosophy is in a lot of ways a precursor to Christianity (which I'm going to assume is the subject of conversation when people here start indiscriminately religion bashing due to the things done by fundamentalists in the US). One of the most significant concepts of Greek philosophy are 'practices of the self' which are discussed at length by Socrates in Plato's earlier and middle works (Plato's Alcibiades and Symposium come to mind immediately). These practices of the self are meant to be ways of living your life in 'the good' way in order to attain happiness. Socrates even went around talking to everyone he could find about how they should 'tend to their soul' (rough translation from psukhÄ"s epimelÄ"teon) and ended up getting sentenced to death for it. If you're starting to see parallels here to the Christ story and to the idea that you should live your life in a good Christian way in order to get into heaven (i.e. achieve happiness) that's because this Socratic philosophy led into stoic and cynic philosophy which were the ideological precursors to Christianity and the philosophies that immediately preceded the era of Christ's teachings. In light of this one might even argue that you can't understand western philosophy fully since you can't grasp it's historical context or evolution without understanding Christianity. If you want to learn more about this check out Michel Foucault's Hermeneutics of the Subject, which are a series of lectures he gave at the College of France in the early 80's and eventually produced the History of Sexuality Vol 2 and 3 which are two of the more significant works of contemporary philosophy.

      As for modern philosophy, it has it's own problems (what follows is simply one branch of modern philosophy, but it will demonstrate what I mean, and it's a very influential and widely successful branch, so it should be relevant to modern philosophy as a whole). After Descarte the idea of the need for practices of the self to attain access to truth was discarded in favor of simple knowledge of the self (modern science can be seen as an offshoot of this, as long as you ask the right questions and run the proper experiments to provide you with the knowledge you need, scientific truth can be attained, how you lead your life is irrelevant). That's when spiritual practices became irrelevant for philosophy. And that all was fine while people like Kant and Locke were trying to justify particular systems of ethics within the new Cartesian framework, but then Nietzsche came around and overturned all of the philosophy which proceeded him by arguing for a new set of values defined by each individual for himself or herself (such an individual would be an ubermench in his rhetoric), thereby spawning existentialism.

      The existentialists left behind Nietzsche's proposed set of values for the ubermench (and the values lay audiences often find so repulsive) the will to power, but held on to the idea that the individual needed to freely chose his or her own values (Sartre) or freely choose how to interpret what is valuable (Kierkegaard). Either way this relies on the freedom of the individual. The problem is that Foucault came around and developed his notion of biopower in the 1970s that makes it doubtful that the individual is ever in an environment in which he or she can make 'free' decisions. The influences of modern society and it's apparatuses on our system of values, ethics and how we lead our lives results in a breakdown of the freely choosing subject of the existentialists. Other major contemporary thinkers such as Gilles Deleuze have even gone so far as to claim the individual is gone a

    42. Re:Education Gap by Rob+the+Bold · · Score: 1

      Please, not "Dad." Father-in-law. That distinction is quite important to me. But the Taliban part it pretty close. He's joined a church that's trying to pray away the gay.

      --
      I am not a crackpot.
    43. Re:Education Gap by nine-times · · Score: 1

      I've got to say this: belief in fictional, mythological spirits can only be damaging to serious discussions about any subject area.

      I'm sure many religious people would agree. Of course, they just wouldn't agree that their particular god(s) "fictional".

      I think anytime people begin a discussion with their beliefs already determined and a mind closed to thinking in different ways, where the intent is to force others to believe what you believe without any attempt to understand the others' viewpoints, it's going to be an unproductive discussion.

      That sort of thing can be caused by religion, but it can be caused by a lot of other things too.

    44. Re:Education Gap by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Right. The Roman Catholic Church hasn't exactly pro-science throughout its history, but it does has a long tradition of actually studying things, using actual philosophy and theology to try to understand their own religion and the world, rather than trying to impose a simple and strict literal interpretation of the Bible.

      One of the weird benefits of centralized authority and papal infallibility has been that it's allowed the church to reinterpret dogma to some degree to keep up with the times. It ends up being a little like the Constitution allowing amendments-- changes can be made without being considered a violation of the original set of rules.

      Of course the funny thing is how many Catholics basically don't give a shit what the Pope says, and just believe whatever it is that they believe.

    45. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do is fiscal conservatism anyway? You can balance the federal budget at high levels of spending and taxation or low levels of spending and taxation. It's what you do with money that makes you liberal or not. If you take the money and spend it on education, health care, and social security then you are a liberal. If you take the money and spend it on invading sovereign nations, torturing innocent foreigners, and spying on your citizens then you are a conservative.

    46. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      I think you definition of "Fiscal Conservative" is flat out wrong. That may be the -theoretical- definition, and that may have been the practical definition thirty years ago, but that definition no longer has any bearing on the policies of the Republican party. Since Reagan, and accelerating greatly under Bush, Republican policy has been to cut income while accelerating spending*. It is exactly the opposite of anything that could be called 'fiscally conservative'.

      And before the Republicans all start screaming about Obama's rampant spending, don't blame him for the problem that your guy left us with. Unfortunately, Bush dug us deep into a hole, so now we have little choice but to spend some money to get out of it. Regardless, at least he isn't cutting taxes while accelerating spending. A true fiscal conservative understands that sometimes spending is unavoidable (such as during a time of war), but understands that in those circumstances you will have to raise taxes to pay for it.

      I'd also be interested in a citation for you comment "More than half of economists think the New Deal didn't help". Sounds like a Republican talking point to me.

    47. Re:Education Gap by SoupIsGoodFood_42 · · Score: 1

      Since when has religion only been about mythical spirits? Where is your reasoning or scientific evidence that such beliefs area always dangerous?

    48. Re:Education Gap by rohan972 · · Score: 1

      So far, 50% interesting, 50% flamebait. Not a bad balance, perhaps.

      Nevertheless, there are intelligent and stupid in both the liberal and conservative camps, and the stupid are hard to tolerate either way. I assume the flamebait mod was from a stupid liberal, because intelligent liberals tend to reply rather than mod down. Since I was responding to a post that directly implied that conservatives are unintelligent and liberals are intelligent, I don't see how my post could be flamebait instead of the parent.

      As I wrote recently in another post, liberal vs conservative is IMO primarily an issue of values, not intelligence. Further to that, self-employment tends more to conservatism, employment to the left-wing. Possibly due to employees living much of their lives under the orders of others they are more comfortable with government compulsion also. Since school teachers and university lecturers are generally employees, it would seem likely that they will, on balance, favour the left. Obviously that would also influence their students.

      The left are more likely to value job security than independence, thus will seek employment. Intelligent people seeking employment will almost certainly seek tertiary qualification. Intelligent people seeking the independence of self-employment may or may not seek tertiary qualification depending on their chosen field of endeavour.

      Therefore there are at least four factors that will tend to produce left-wing political leanings among the educated that are unrelated to intelligence.
      1 - the deliberate efforts of the left to achieve that, as stated by Marx and Engels.
      2 - the incidental effects of employment in education generally being more palatable to the left, thus influencing students.
      3 - the nature of employment and the values of the people who seek it, coupled with the link between formal education and employment.
      4 - the tendency of people to benefit themselves coupled with the nature of modern American liberalism to deliver political power to the formally educated.

      None of the points I've raised are absolutes. If you're tempted to mod me down, why not discuss instead? If you can only respond with moderation and not reason, it doesn't say much for your position in terms of intellect.

    49. Re:Education Gap by DigiShaman · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      I don't care what your religion is (or lack there of), I just know the world as we know it has ended when men look toward other men as Gods. At least in America, we sort of do with respect to the Hollywood and political elite.

      I would rather live in a world with piousness than one of delusional self grandeur.

      --
      Life is not for the lazy.
    50. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Amen ;)

    51. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree that religion is useless in a philosophical sense, but strongly strongly disagree that it is useless in the physical world. why do you think humans developed religion, why do you think that the human brain evolved a capacity for religious feelings? it was not an freak inefficiency. religion has an incredibly powerful social role. all the religious people i know find it alot easier to find compatible mates and procreate. it ties communities together in an intoxicating sense of shared brotherhood. people dont really turn to religion out of altruism, they turn to religion because they are feeling isolated and lonely and subconsciously are aware that accepting religion will instantaneously give them a large number of friends / sexual mates. religious people get more pussy, its true...

    52. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What do you mean? Mythological spirits are the product of our imagination. Surely, any religion that tried to create a model for our imagination is philosophical.

    53. Re:Education Gap by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Being a scientist is linked very closely to being educated at graduate level or higher.

      How can you be a scientist without a graduate level education?

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    54. Re:Education Gap by graphius · · Score: 1

      I'm not opposed to religion, but I strongly feel that its teachings should only be used in a philosophical context, and not -- for example -- for informing our actions w.r.t. the physical/natural world..

      amen

    55. Re:Education Gap by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Catholicism is radically different from American Protestantism w/ regards to science.

      Yeah - tell that to Galileo. To be fair, later Popes did take up Galileo's stance on the heliocentric solar system, but don't try to make Catholicism as some religion that always supports science.

    56. Re:Education Gap by lennier · · Score: 1

      "But as someone who has degrees in both philosophy and mathematics, I've got to say this: belief in fictional, mythological spirits can only be damaging to serious discussions about any subject area."

      That would be a sensible and rational conclusion if spirits and the realm they inhabit *were* fictional and mythological and all scientific evidence pointed toward a purely material universe.

      However, that's not the case, as investigations into extra-sensory perception, remote viewing, anomalous cognition, and other paranormal phenomena have revealed. And in the last few years, a number of researchers have started documenting this evidence for a new generation.

      The modern age of Spiritualism - since the Fox sisters in 1848 - launched the Society for Psychical Research, which gathered an immense amount of extraordinary data. Since then, there have been a number of independent scientific programs evaluating the 'spiritual', and the data is very interesting.

      Ignorance of this field among the scientifically-educated who are not parapsychologists is understandable - given the hostility of gatekeeper publications like Scientific American and anti-psi advocacy groups like CSICOP/CSI - but, well, it's now 2009, we have the Internet, and if you really do have an open mind and would like to look at the data yourself rather than having your mind made up for you by others, now is a wonderful time to dive in and explore.

      The mother of all textbooks on the subject is Kelly & Kelly et al's Irreducible Mind with a wall of footnotes, aimed at a college-level audience - if you want a more approachable entree to the subject, I highly recommend the late Elizabeth Mayer's Extraordinary Knowing, Chris Carter's (not the X-files guy, someone else) Parapsychology and the Skeptics, or Dean Radin's .

      Don't limit yourself by irrationally saying 'well this stuff is impossible therefore I won't even look at the data'. Instead, try looking at the data and then ask 'if this stuff really occurs, then what does this imply about the nature of the universe?' If you open that door, and investigate the material, you'll find there's an extraordinary reality inside. But be warned that it will change you.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    57. Re:Education Gap by lennier · · Score: 1

      Markup d'oh. Dean Radin's Entangled Minds.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    58. Re:Education Gap by chrb · · Score: 1

      In Europe it's the other way around. In the UK, a traditionally Protestant country, evolution is part of the National Curriculum and is taught to all school children as part of biology. In Ireland, a traditionally Catholic country, evolution is (as far as I know) not normally taught in schools.

      True story: one day one of my Irish Christian friends asked which parts of the bible I had problems accepting. I answered that the beginning was a good start - the bit about us being "created", when we have so much evidence now of evolution. He said "What? What do you mean?" I replied "You know, the fact that we evolved from apes which evolved from animals in the sea and all that." He said that he'd never heard of this before. I was shocked - this was an otherwise well educated, 18 year old medical student who would be working as a doctor in less than 3 years, and he had never heard of the theory of evolution. And this was only a decade ago, when we all had internet access and plenty of medical text books in the library.

      Without education, it's hardly surprising that there are so many people out there who still think that evolution is a lie.

    59. Re:Education Gap by dkleinsc · · Score: 1

      Happy to: More than half of economists think the New Deal didn't help.

      Sorry to reopen an old thread here, but could you provide a citation on that? I'm not saying you're wrong, but I would like to know where you're getting that data from.

      --
      I am officially gone from /. Long live http://www.soylentnews.com/
    60. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      I think you definition of "Fiscal Conservative" is flat out wrong. That may be the -theoretical- definition, and that may have been the practical definition thirty years ago, but that definition no longer has any bearing on the policies of the Republican party.

      Who was talking about the Republican party? I said I've voted for more Democrats than Republicans, implying that I have (and I have) voted for Repulicans, but I would never give them so high an honor as to call them fiscal conservatives.

      And when they refer to themselves as fiscal conservatives, or even conservative on anything other than social law, they should be shouted down for the liars they are. They waste money, they get into foreign entanglements, they mutate The Constitution, they fail to be conservators of the free market, they fail to conserve our natural resources, they fail to conserve our international reputation -- they are conservative of nothing except old-timey religionism and the second amendment.

      I wasn't calling Republicans fiscal conservatives, and it's not for politicians to define that term. It's an economic term. If they try to pervert it, fuck 'em. They're wrong, and it betrays ignorance, and we should be calling them ignorant when they do it, not accepting their bad definition.

      BTW, I have an equally strong and supportable rant against Democrats, so please don't confuse my ire with Republicans for support of Democrats. A wise and reasonable man can find them both severely lacking.

    61. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      Sorry if you feel I misrepresented your comment. That was not my intention. I understood what you were saying, and perhaps I phrased my reply badly. What I was trying to get across was more the point that if you asked 100 average people on the street which party was the more fiscally conservative, the majority of them would still sat the Republicans, in spite of the fact that our nation is now on the verge of a new great depression thanks to Republican financial mismanagement. Democrats may not be as fiscally conservative as many people would like, but at least Clinton was able to leave a budget surplus, something no Republican has done (especially no modern Republican). While I don't disagree with your last sentence (Though I usually vote Democratic,I'm more of a proud liberal than a party Democrat, and I'm happy to point out places where the Dems are wrong), I feel that it is important to make it very clear that the Republicans, when they talk about being the fiscally responsible party, are just plain lying.

      To be clear, the second paragraph of my reply was not directed at you, but at any other readers who would post kneejerk anti-Obama rhetoric.

      But I'm still waiting for a citation regarding your comment "More than half of economists think the New Deal didn't help". As I pointed out before, that sounds like a talking point. Even if there is a survey that says that, it doesn't necessarily mean much. I see two problems potential problems. First, who conducted the study, how large was the sample, what were the biases of the sample group, etc. Second, the University of Chicago school of Economics and the economic theories they promote have been the dominant economic worldview over the last 50 years, so presumably a sizable chunk of economists believe in that worldview. Those same theories have lead to things like the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act which pretty much directly lead to our current economic downturn. It would seem to me that those so called "experts" should maybe be ignored for a while. Remember, it wasn't all that long ago when 50% of doctors would have said leaches are a quite effective medical tool, so just because someone is an "expert" doesn't mean that they are right.

    62. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      But I'm still waiting for a citation regarding your comment "More than half of economists think the New Deal didn't help".

      Most recently I saw it here:

      According to Gene Smiley, writing on the Web site of Liberty Fund,[56], "a number of economists" believe the New Deal delayed economic recovery.[57] A 1995 survey of economic historians asked whether "Taken as a whole, government policies of the New Deal served to lengthen and deepen the Great Depression." Of those in economics departments 27% agreed, 22% agreed 'with provisos' (what provisos the survey does not state) and 51% disagreed. Of those in history departments, only 27% agreed and 73% disagreed.[58]

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal#Prolonged.2Fworsened_the_Depression

      Second, the University of Chicago school of Economics and the economic theories they promote have been the dominant economic worldview over the last 50 years, so presumably a sizable chunk of economists believe in that worldview. Those same theories have lead to things like the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act which pretty much directly lead to our current economic downturn.

      I too have problems with the Chicago School. And, honestly, with many economists (I think many or most neglect the fundamentals in their fascination with the advanced constructs). But, they're not the worst possible touchstone.

      My thought in looking at the modern situation is not that well-placed stimulus would be bad, it is that the government is not sufficiently objective to place stimulus well. They are so twisted by lobbying, favors owed, and the need to be reelected that they are not capable of thinking clearly. And, like the NRA (the New Deal NRA, not the gun guys), I think they will do (and have already done) ridiculous things that we will laugh at in 30 years. Faced with the options of bad intervention or no intervention, I reluctantly choose none. This is particularly so when we are already well beyond what I consider healthy debt -- it's easier to deficit spend when you have a bit more cushion.

    63. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      Ok, a couple of points... First, to be nitpicky, 27% + 22% is not "more than half". :-)

      Second, from briefly browsing their website, the Liberty Fund is either Conservative Republican or Libertarian (I'm guessing the latter), so take that into account when judging anything they say. That's not to say that they can't be trusted, but be sure to consider their biases.

      But regardless of the groups biases, the survey still shows that 49% agreed at least partially with the statement "Taken as a whole, government policies of the New Deal served to lengthen and deepen the Great Depression," right? That's one way to look at it, another is that 73% of economists either completely disagreed with the statement, or disagreed "with provisos". A perfect example of how changing the words just a little bit can pretty dramatically change the apparent meaning of a statement.

      So the next question... Can the survey itself even be trusted? If the survey wording or something else was wrong with it, than it's numbers are meaningless anyway. Unfortunately, the survey falls pretty flat on this point. As it is worded, anyone who has even the slightest disagreement with the opposite statement ("Taken as a whole, government policies of the New Deal served to shorten the Great Depression") would automatically be lumped in with the people who appear to think the New Deal lengthened it. There should have been a fourth option "disagree with provisos" to get a better understanding of where people lean.

      Going in to debt during a budget crisis is never an ideal solution, but sometimes you have no choice. Have you ever been unemployed, and had your car break down? You have two choices, fix it by putting the repair on your credit card, or don't fix it, but not be able to make your job interview next week. Unfortunately, sometimes the axiom "desperate times call for desperate measures" is correct. The same is true for the national economy in this case.

      You are correct that if we did nothing, the economy would most likely eventually recover on it's own. But if we did nothing, things would get FAR worse before they got better. You're right, much of what has been done has been bad, but remember, the Republicans get a big chunk of that blame. For example, they were the ones who insisted on business tax cuts that will have almost no short term economic benefit (something like $1.03 return on every $1.00 spent), but forced the removal of increases to the food stamp programs when those are shown to have just about the largest return on investment of all possible stimulus methods (something like $1.83 per $1). Had the Republicans put aside their ideology and actually allowed a real stimulus plan to pass instead of the watered down travesty that we have, we would almost certainly be in much better shape today.

    64. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      Ok, a couple of points... First, to be nitpicky, 27% + 22% is not "more than half". :-)

      True, and "thought it harmed" is not "thought it did not help". If 2% of those who did not think it harmed also did not think it helped, my statement holds.

      Second, from briefly browsing their website, the Liberty Fund is either Conservative Republican or Libertarian (I'm guessing the latter), so take that into account when judging anything they say. That's not to say that they can't be trusted, but be sure to consider their biases.

      Surely. In reality, the reason I use the figure is to add weight to my own view. My view comes not from accepting the poll, but from the poll (and the chanting of "New Deal" since the crash) leading me to study the works done under the New Deal. Some of them were good, but there were some amazing stinkers in there too. It doesn't take too many bad programs to offset the marginal benefit of a bunch of good ones (considering that the money doesn't come from thin air). Taken as a whole, I fall squarely in the "didn't help" camp by my own deliberation. But since I can't back that up readily in this limited space, I reference the poll.

      But regardless of the groups biases, the survey still shows that 49% agreed at least partially with the statement "Taken as a whole, government policies of the New Deal served to lengthen and deepen the Great Depression," right? That's one way to look at it, another is that 73% of economists either completely disagreed with the statement, or disagreed "with provisos".

      I agree that wording like that can be used creatively, but that particular example would be one hell of a misrepresentation.

      Going in to debt during a budget crisis is never an ideal solution, but sometimes you have no choice. Have you ever been unemployed, and had your car break down? You have two choices, fix it by putting the repair on your credit card, or don't fix it, but not be able to make your job interview next week. Unfortunately, sometimes the axiom "desperate times call for desperate measures" is correct. The same is true for the national economy in this case.

      Have you ever been unemployed and decided to buy a motorcycle because it uses less gas than your car? I have far less of a problem with deficit spending to keep existing infrastructure and services working than I do with deficit spending on new projects. Moreover, I don't have a problem with well placed stimulus, rather I think D.C. is not adept at placing stimulus well, particularly under duress. When they are being pressured by the public to do something quickly, and pressured by lobbyists and favors to do biased things, the risk of being at or below neutral net benefit is extremely high.

      You are correct that if we did nothing, the economy would most likely eventually recover on it's own. But if we did nothing, things would get FAR worse before they got better.

      And the terrorists will attack if we don't engage in unfettered surveillance of American citizens and this pebble I carry in my pocket prevents me from getting mugged (has worked perfectly so far). Boogeyman polemics are exceedingly uncompelling rhetoric.

      You're right, much of what has been done has been bad, but remember, the Republicans get a big chunk of that blame.

      Need I again restate that I don't care which party is worse? I'm looking for good. Less bad is not good enough. Saying the other side is worse is partisan positioning. Show me what your favored actors have done right, don't try to get me to support your side by getting me to dislike the other side more. We have long been on that path and it is destroying us.

      For example, they were the ones who insisted on business tax cuts that will have almost no short term economic benefit (something like $1.03 return on every $1.00 spent), but forced the removal of increases to the food stamp programs when those are shown to have just about the largest return on investment of all possible stimulus metho

    65. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal#Prolonged.2Fworsened_the_Depression

      Note that section says 49% thought it made it worse.

    66. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      For example, they were the ones who insisted on business tax cuts that will have almost no short term economic benefit (something like $1.03 return on every $1.00 spent), but forced the removal of increases to the food stamp programs when those are shown to have just about the largest return on investment of all possible stimulus methods (something like $1.83 per $1).

      Screw the short run, screw the business tax cuts, and please provide support for the food stamps hypothesis. Please note: If it hangs on the velocity of money, don't bother or remove that part. Velocity arguments are complete bullshit. All transactions result in follow-on transactions. If velocity arguments held, it would imply that infinite deficit spending would pay for itself, and it would support the "we're at war, go shopping" line. If the real goal is to give $0.83 to grocers then just give $0.83 to grocers and save $0.17.

      I don't have time right now to respond in full, but with this reasoning, I don't see a lot of point in even trying to. I suspect that you listen to too much right-wing talk radio or get your news from some right wing source, since your points all have their fingerprints all over tham, and they are pretty easily refuted.

      I'll respond in full this evening, but in the meantime, can you provide a link to something that backs up your refutation of the concept a 'velocity of money'. From your statement, it seems like you seriously misunderstand the whole point.

    67. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      I'll respond in full this evening, but in the meantime, can you provide a link to something that backs up your refutation of the concept a 'velocity of money'. From your statement, it seems like you seriously misunderstand the whole point.

      No link necessary. Velocity of money describes the behavior of money in the economy, not the behavior of money after a particular type of transaction. The velocity of money after a foodstamps transaction is no different than the velocity of money given to artists in an art-grant program after they buy paint and canvasses, or the velocity of money after paying BART employees, or the velocity of money after funding our ailing schools, or the velocity of money after funding highway maintenance, or any other type of transaction.

      To assert that velocity of money implies preference for one type of spending than another, you'd have to demonstrate that the spending in question results in concentrating the velocity of money in the local economy (at whatever scale of local you want to use). I don't think foodstamps do that, because the money is going to agribusiness and national supermarket chains, and from there into the hands of executives and overseas (oil and petrochems from the international market for agriculture, high paid execs and low paid labor for national supermarket chains).

      And if you still think I sound like a right winger after that last bit, which I genuinely believe, then you aren't listening.

    68. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      First off, I never said I thought you were a right winger. I said it sounds like you are listening to them. You are clearly a smart person and you clearly do think for yourself, but you keep repeating fairly easily refuted right-wing talking points such as the one here.

      It is absolutely false to say that the velocity of money is uniform regardless of where you spend it. The simplest example is what happens if I put the $600 from my stimulus check under my mattress for a few years? Obviously that money has a very low velocity. On the other hand, if I take that same $600 and spend it on groceries, the money would have a higher velocity, and spending the money on locally produced goods and services would give it an even higher velocity.

      If on the other hand you give the money to the rich, there is very little motivation for them to spend the money at all. What's another $600 when you already make half a million a year? An even better example of this was the TARP program, particularly the first half that was administered under Bush. We gave the banks 350 billion dollars with absolutely no strings attached, in an effort to free up the credit market. But instead of increasing lending, the banks mostly took the money and either hoarded it or they spent it to buy up other banks at a huge discount. Neither of these has a beneficial effect on the velocity of money. The latter is certainly spending, but at firesale prices, so I suspect that the investors are not terribly happy with the situation (I know that many Washington Mutual shareholders are furious about the way the WaMu/Chase merger was forced down their throats, and it was pretty devastating to the Seattle economy, where something like 8,000 people lost jobs and the downtown real estate market lost its single biggest customer).

      You are right that there is no 'perfect' stimulus plan, but there are 'good' ones. For example one of the best parts of the original proposed stimulus plan was weatherzation of public schools and other buildings. Not only would this have the short-term effect of creating thousands of jobs across the country, but it would have two additional secondary benefits: it would have lowered the ongoing energy costs of operating these buildings (therefore lowering our taxes) and it would have lowered the nations long-term energy demands. This is an obvious win/win scenario, and should have been the focal point of the entire plan, but the Republicans shot that part of the stimulus plam down. Now only a small part of the stimulus goes to these programs.

      The right-wing quite literally did everything in their power to sabotage the plan that we ended up by putting their own long-term political good in front of that of the nation. They know that all that they need to do to win in 2010 is to make sure that the economy doesn't recover. So they did everything they could to water down the bill and fill it with wasteful programs. Nearly 50% of the entire stimulus package was devoted to tax cuts that the GAO and even groups like Moody's Investor Services say will have virtually no short-term benefit to the economy. Then, when the economy is still bad in 2010, they will blame the problem entirely on Obama and they assume most Americans will be to stupid to know that they are being sold a line of bullshit. Unfortunately, they are probably right, and I suspect that the Dems will continue to be too spineless to do anything about it, even with their filibuster-proof majority in the Senate.

    69. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      I want to slightly clarify something in my last post... I said "It is absolutely false to say that the velocity of money is uniform regardless of where you spend it", which is slightly mischaracterizing what you said, but not by much. Velocity of money is entirely dependent on which sector of the economy possesses the majority of the money. The higher the percentage of money in the hands of the poor, the higher the velocity of money will be since those people cannot afford to save money. In the examples you cite (Artists, BART employees, etc.) the velocity of money will be the same only if those people save and spend money at the same ratio as food stamp recipients. That may be true in some cases, but it is certainly not true in all cases.

    70. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      The simplest example is what happens if I put the $600 from my stimulus check under my mattress for a few years? Obviously that money has a very low velocity. On the other hand, if I take that same $600 and spend it on groceries, the money would have a higher velocity, and spending the money on locally produced goods and services would give it an even higher velocity.

      So, what if the grocer puts the $600 in food stamps under his mattress? Or, more reasonably, what if that $600 simply pads the wallet of the likes of Mike Duke, Lee Scott, and Robson Walton (key principles of Wal Mart)?

      The velocity of the first step is admittedly higher, but that first step is not a productive one. Again, I want to stress that I am not speaking against social nets -- I believe they are a good thing. They do not, however, have inherently higher velocity beyond step one, and step one is at least difficult to justify as economy stimulating. Roads serve many. The unemployed are an obligation of a civilized society, but they do not directly contribute to the economy.

      If on the other hand you give the money to the rich, there is very little motivation for them to spend the money at all. What's another $600 when you already make half a million a year? An even better example of this was the TARP program, particularly the first half that was administered under Bush.

      There is arbitrarily close to nothing about the initial Bush engineered bailout that I found acceptable. You're preaching to the choir.

      As an aside, I was one of those (admittedly extreme, perhaps not pragmatic, certainly not realistic) who was saying it would be good to let the banks collapse. It would have really sucked in the short run, like a forest fire. But like a forest fire, it would have cleared the dead wood and allowed new growth to sprout. We need to clear that dead wood eventually, or the conflagrations will get worse and worse. It is no different from real forest fires in the wake of Smokey The Bear's zero fire tolerance policies.

      Organic systems are surprisingly fractal in this regard -- the same patterns recapitulate themselves in areas which are strikingly dissimilar on the surface, yet fascinatingly similar in the abstract. In this, though, I am admittedly radical. It would have been a horrifying short run.

      But I digress, as I do.

      You are right that there is no 'perfect' stimulus plan, but there are 'good' ones. For example one of the best parts of the original proposed stimulus plan was weatherzation of public schools and other buildings.

      Very agreed on the quality of that program. And (at the risk of making you think me a right-leaner again) another benefit: Reducing wasteful energy use reduces energy demand. That results in the efficient price shifting down and to the left. Lower energy prices mean companies can consume more energy to make goods and services. I mention this only because it's a fun one to use on rightists who knee-jerk against advocating energy efficiency. As soon as you point out how it helps business they get all conflicted. It's fun to watch their faces screw up in confusion as the argument in their head blooms. :)

      What was I saying? Oh yes: The problem is that you can't get the weatherization program without the free carbon credits for coal-fired power plants program. I wanted to believe. I really did. In fact, I did believe. Audacity of hope indeed; he sure showed me.

      Unfortunately, they are probably right, and I suspect that the Dems will continue to be too spineless to do anything about it, even with their filibuster-proof majority in the Senate.

      Not spineless, they're just too busy watering down their carbon legislation and health legislation to please their own corporate masters and keep the campaign contributions, sweetheart jobs for their ne'er do well extended families, zero-interest "pay me back when-never" loans, and five star "fact finding missions" to St. Andrews rolling in.

      Let me remind you, I don't think th

    71. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      So, what if the grocer puts the $600 in food stamps under his mattress? Or, more reasonably, what if that $600 simply pads the wallet of the likes of Mike Duke, Lee Scott, and Robson Walton (key principles of Wal Mart)?

      That's always a risk with any money in the economy. The trick is putting the money on the places where putting it aside is the least likely to happen. From a stimulus perspective, the nice thing about grocery stores is that they operate on very narrow margins, so for every dollar that comes in, probably $.90 or more immediately goes back out in the form of paying suppliers. Walmart is highly profitable, but they are so because of volume, not because of their high margins. So even stimulus money spent there almost immediately goes back out again (though unfortunately in the case of Walmart, most of it goes to China).

      The velocity of the first step is admittedly higher, but that first step is not a productive one.

      Of course the first step is a productive one. I certainly consider putting food on someone's table productive. But even ignoring that obvious bit of productivity, giving someone food stamps means that the cash that they have which would otherwise need to be spent on food will now be spent on something else. That is exactly why giving stimulus to the poor is so much better than giving it to the wealthy or even the middle class-- you can be assured that all the money will be spent at least once in the short term. The entire point of the Velocity of money is counting the total number of times the money changes hands. Ignoring the first one is a big fallacy.

      I agree with most of the rest of what you say. I'm in exactly the same boat about Obama. I'm certainly farther left than you, but I'm definitely not a partisan Democrat, so I have no problem pointing out when the Dems are wrong. Obama was the best hope the Dems have had in decades, and you're absolutely right that he has so far been a terrible disappointment. Every once in a while he starts making noises that make me think he might be growing a spine, but then he goes right back to appeasing the right or appeasing his corporate overlords.

      He's doing it again this week, with David Axelrod reminding the republicans that they are no longer needed to pass a new healthcare reform bill, but I can tell you right now what will happen. The bill will pass, but in spite of the 160 or so Republican amendments watering down the bill, not a single Republican will vote for it. They could do the smart thing and put a clean bill forward-- they still won't get any Republicans to vote for it, but at least the plan will be a good plan that actually accomplishes something-- but, no. They will pass the contaminated bill that is designed to fail. Of course much of the blame there goes to Congress, but Obama could certainly pressure them to pass a clean bill if he really wanted to.

    72. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      The entire point of the Velocity of money is counting the total number of times the money changes hands.

      This is a flaw in economic theory, or is a belief in an ideal market. It ignores friction and debt maintenance, and assumes that every transaction involves positive wealth creation. That is not the case in our advertising-driven, buy-more-and-put-it-in-storage economy. Transactions which do not satisfy wants create negative wealth and in our position even the good ones increase the debt maintenance nut. We are spending ourselves into oblivion because we are stuck on the belief that maximizing the number of transactions eliminates the need to live within our means. It is endemic in public and private spending, and gushes from the politicians talking about "freeing up credit" for more inefficient spending even as our public and private debt combined approach 400% of GDP(*) -- 25% higher than in the great depression -- and advertising psychologists create "want it, need it, get it" viral memes to induce impulse spending on big ticket items (cars in that case).

      The velocity of money math is sound, as long as you factor all the variables. But when you accept it in its laboratory form, it is as effective as a perpetual motion machine, particularly given our severely damaged economy, crippling debt load, and spendthrift culture.

      * http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-cost-of-soaring-private-and-public-debt

    73. Re:Education Gap by ibbey · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree with your basic point here, but you are confusing two very different goals. The goal of economic stimulus is not to create positive wealth, but to create economic activity. If the goal was to create wealth than savings would be a good thing, but that is exactly what we do not want in the case of a stimulus program. Buying a pallet of toilet paper may not seem like the best way to use your stimulus check, but it is perfectly valid economic activity (in fact I believe that most toilet paper is still made in the US, so it would actually be a better than average way to stimulate the economy).

      When politicians were referring to 'freeing up credit' last fall, the goal was never to increase consumer debt, especially in the form of credit card debt. Certainly mortgages and car loans were encouraged, but the main purpose of freeing up the credit was so companies would have the operating funds needed to stay afloat. It is a pretty standard practice for even large, successful businesses to use credit for much of their short-term operating funds. When the credit markets dried up many otherwise healthy businesses had real trouble simply meeting payroll, so it was vital to the economy that we freed up those funds. You may disagree with this way of running a business (and many people would now agree with you), but that was absolutely the normal way of doing things until about 9 months ago. That credit has little to do with our advertising-driven economy.

    74. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      The goal of economic stimulus is not to create positive wealth, but to create economic activity.

      Certainly mortgages and car loans were encouraged, but the main purpose of freeing up the credit was so companies would have the operating funds needed to stay afloat. It is a pretty standard practice for even large, successful businesses to use credit for much of their short-term operating funds.

      Fair enough, and I get the need for an adrenalin shot at the time. The problem is that we've been living on adrenaline shots since Reagan. The collapse was the same thing you'd see if a Tour de France rider was fueling himself on high sugar sports drinks.

      Since Reagan we've been running the economy on zero margin. That's fine as long as there is no contraction and we never make a mistake in assessing credit risk. But if a butterfly flaps its wings you get a cascade failure.

      We've been at this for twenty five years. At some point we have to stop just creating economic activity and start creating positive wealth. We can be disciplined and hike there, or the economy will shove us there. Last fall it was "we can't let the banks fail" (even though they failed in their sole wealth creation function; managing risk). Over the new year it was "we can't let the auto makers fail" (even though they chose to sell high-margin cotton candy and neglect development of fruits and vegetables). Throughout we've heard clamor of "we can't let people get tossed out in the streets" (even though the homeowners bought beyond their means or leveraged the artificial value beyond their means).

      I understand that nobody wants anyone to fail ever. But we can't live on adrenalin shots and high sugar sports drinks forever. There will never be a good time to take that last hit then put the crack pipe away. In the good times, there's no problem with everything running on credit at the limit and banks being 1% away from their reserve requirement. In the bad times, we can't risk the fragile recovery. But some hit has got to be the last hit or we are implicitly choosing for the next collapse to be worse.

      You seem to grasp, and really mean it. And maybe the politicians really do get it right now, and really mean it. But everyone says, "I'll quit, I can quit any time, but just not right now. Tomorrow."

      Sure, cracky, I believe you.

    75. Re:Education Gap by Bob9113 · · Score: 1

      BTW, I want to stress that I was not directing the end of that post at you. I really meant that I think you get it, and you seem to be thinking about it *vastly* more deeply than the average politician. But your voice will will never be heard over the din of American Idle when the safe time for a controlled contraction arrives.

  7. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by Shivetya · · Score: 0, Redundant

    Please note, its not that 55% are Democrats... its 55% of those surveyed.

    and anyone with half a brain knows that you can skew a survey simply by sampling where you know you will get the results you want.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
  8. "scientists" are from liberal think tank by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Pew used the AACS membership list to generate their list of "scientists" to poll. Anyone that wants to fork over $99 can join the AACS, including kindergarten teachers. Would you call the opinion of a kindergarten teacher the opinion of a scientist? The stated goals of AACS essentially define it as a left-leaning organization, so it's no surprise that 55% say they are Democrats.

    Perhaps Pew could not do their research on such a decidedly biased sample to begin with -- but I suppose that is asking too much these days.

    1. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by clang_jangle · · Score: 1
      It's AAAS, not "AACS".

      The stated goals of AACS essentially define it as a left-leaning organization

      [citation needed]

      --
      Caveat Utilitor
    2. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just because the AAAS list was used as the original source, it doesn't mean that they didn't filter and select a subset of that list. If you know anything about conducting surveys or statistical analysis, you'd realize that the raw materials generally go through several rounds of refinement before progressing with the study.

    3. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by houstonbofh · · Score: 1

      Pew used the AACS membership list to generate their list of "scientists" to poll. Anyone that wants to fork over $99 can join the AACS, including kindergarten teachers. Would you call the opinion of a kindergarten teacher the opinion of a scientist? The stated goals of AACS essentially define it as a left-leaning organization, so it's no surprise that 55% say they are Democrats.

      Perhaps Pew could not do their research on such a decidedly biased sample to begin with -- but I suppose that is asking too much these days.

      Everyone is biased. You need to look behind the headlines to find out anything. I just wish CNN and Fox had a [citation needed] tag.

      And thanks for that bit of information. It does give a little perspective.

    4. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're saying this is similar to that global warming denier petition that went around a few years ago? The one where 22,000 "scientists" from non-geoscience-related fields got to voice their opinions about something that they admittedly know very little about? It's kind of like that, right?

    5. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by htdrifter · · Score: 1

      From the article:

      "The public and the scientists have very different views on many different issues, including the science of evolution and climate change," Scott Keeter of the Pew Research Center said in a telephone briefing. The center conducted the wide-ranging telephone survey in collaboration with the American Association for the Advancement of Science, or AAAS.

      The research included responses from 2,533 scientists in the AAAS, and 2,001 public respondents.

    6. Re:"scientists" are from liberal think tank by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Perhaps Pew could not do their research on such a decidedly biased sample to begin with -- but I suppose that is asking too much these days."

      I hate to break it to you but Pew is about as unbiased (or open) as you can get from an organization that does polling. How many groups that do polling allow you to download the data and do your own analysis rather than report selected information....

  9. Education by Smivs · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The disparity between the views of scientists and 'the public' is another illustration of the generally poor quality of education. This is evident here in the UK, and perhaps even more in the US, where the base quality of education is often questionable, and often the subject matter is 'taught' in a far from sensible way. Just look at the debate over how (or even if) evolution should be taught. The populace are never going to be able to participate in informed debate from a position of ignorance, but that is exactly what is currently happening. This whole mess is made even worse by those in power (politicians) putting their own agendas before fact and truth, and by putting short term (political) considerations above the long term good (see the 'debate' raging over global warming for a good example of this). The public will never catch up with the level of appreciation and understanding scientists have of these matters unless their underlying knowledge and education is adequate, and right now it clearly isn't.

    1. Re:Education by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As a professional educator, please allow me to call this statement horseshit.
      Please kindly look at the age demographics of the study and you will notice that younger people, those closest to their education, score consistently higher in belief in scientific theories such as evolution. The older/further out you get from education, the more likely you are to be making things up.
      While I will deeply agree with you about politicians screwing with education, you are also completely removing the culpability of "scientist" to adequately explain exactly what it is they do and how they think to those who are not.
      "The public will never catch up with the level of appreciation and understanding scientists have of these matters unless their underlying knowledge and education is adequate, and right now it clearly isn't."
      News flash: Scientists don't understand what OTHER scientist do in fields unrelated to theirs.Quantum physicists do not "understand" everything about Macrobiotic evolutionary theory. They believe in the SYSTEM by which those conclusions were reached. They have to because the matters of complexity are so great you'd have to get a PhD or MS in each field to really "understand" them.
      If I ask your average pharmacist (a "low level" scientific intensive profession) to read "Origin of the Species" they will pretty much be able to map out Darwin's argument. If I ask your average pharmacist to read "Efficient context-dependent model building based on clustering posterior distributions for non-coding sequences" that same person might have a harder time understanding what the hell is going on.
      Their is a great deal of reason for this shift in language use (specialization, complexity of knowledge, etc.) let me be clear I am not faulting that but there has to be some accountability on the part of scientist themselves for the losses that come along with those gains. I see scientist who teach in great big lecture halls (at the university level) who care more about their lab and getting funding then they do about spreading scientific knowledge through teaching. When I see some other amorphous entity like "the media" or "education" blamed for a general lack of scientific knowledge it sets my teeth a grinding.

    2. Re:Education by Smivs · · Score: 1

      As a professional educator, please allow me to call this statement horseshit.

      No, it's not, thank you A/C

      Please kindly look at the age demographics of the study and you will notice that younger people, those closest to their education, score consistently higher in belief in scientific theories such as evolution. The older/further out you get from education, the more likely you are to be making things up.

      The same way Worlds greatest Music' polls always have something from the last 5 yers at No 1. People forget!

      While I will deeply agree with you about politicians screwing with education, you are also completely removing the culpability of "scientist" to adequately explain exactly what it is they do and how they think to those who are not.

      Who's fault is that?

      "The public will never catch up with the level of appreciation and understanding scientists have of these matters unless their underlying knowledge and education is adequate, and right now it clearly isn't." News flash: Scientists don't understand what OTHER scientist do in fields unrelated to theirs.Quantum physicists do not "understand" everything about Macrobiotic evolutionary theory. They believe in the SYSTEM by which those conclusions were reached. They have to because the matters of complexity are so great you'd have to get a PhD or MS in each field to really "understand" them. If I ask your average pharmacist (a "low level" scientific intensive profession) to read "Origin of the Species" they will pretty much be able to map out Darwin's argument. If I ask your average pharmacist to read "Efficient context-dependent model building based on clustering posterior distributions for non-coding sequences" that same person might have a harder time understanding what the hell is going on.

      True, but someone ignorant of scientific METHOD is always going to be at far more of a disadvantage

      Their is a great deal of reason for this shift in language use (specialization, complexity of knowledge, etc.) let me be clear I am not faulting that but there has to be some accountability on the part of scientist themselves for the losses that come along with those gains. I see scientist who teach in great big lecture halls (at the university level) who care more about their lab and getting funding then they do about spreading scientific knowledge through teaching. When I see some other amorphous entity like "the media" or "education" blamed for a general lack of scientific knowledge it sets my teeth a grinding.

      Exactly, it is the fault of scientists, politicians and so-called professional educators

  10. Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by PieSquared · · Score: 4, Funny

    Hrm... I'd like to see exactly how they arrived at *that* number...

    They're not counting engineers as scientists, are they?

    --
    Does a line appended to your comment give your post meaning in and of itself, or only in relation to those without?
    1. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by maxume · · Score: 1

      I've talked to ecologists and biologists who argued that there was a distinction between micro and macro evolution.

      And I'm one of those pathetic engineers.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    2. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by cheebie · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Given the poor quality of the questions in that poll, almost any results are possible. They forced you to choose between 'natural process' and 'guided by a supreme being' as exclusive opposites. How about if you believe (as most religious people do) that natural processes are guided by a supreme being. The nature and tone of the question will cause most to choose the supreme being option, when they probably are thinking 'both'.

      The other problem is that this particular issue has been latched onto and exploited by politicians and opinion-shapers. It has become an 'our side vs. their side' thing. People chose the anti-evolution option because that boosts their side. If you could decouple it from the fight, you might be able to convince more people.

      You can probably guess where I come down on the issue. I do believe in God. I can't prove it, but I accept it as a tautology. I also believe in evolution as a natural process. I believe that the creation of the universe was a more subtle process than most Biblical literalists do. God set up the rules and conditions so that what he wanted to happen would happen. Sort of a 15+ billion year bank shot. To me, that is _much_ more impressive than "Wham, here's everything".

    3. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Gadzeus · · Score: 1

      1 out of 10 scientists don't accept evolution? I didn't realise my alma mater, Bob Jones University of the KKK, produced so many graduate 'scientists'. By the way, did anyone else who went there notice... no squirrels on campus? Strange... do you think they evolved to recognise a semi-automatic or God just wised 'em up?

    4. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Gadzeus · · Score: 2, Funny

      As far as I understand it that's, like, the difference between a gorilla penis and a human penis. No? Come ON... there has to be some evolution... so you blame women. It isn't God's fault! That'd be gross!

    5. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by wsherman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Given the poor quality of the questions in that poll, almost any results are possible.

      On the subject of poor quality questions, one of the the questions to test the public's knowledge of science was

      Electrons are smaller than atoms. (True/False)

      46% of the general public said true and, at first, I was thinking that for more than half of the general public to not understand about atoms and electrons was a pretty poor showing.

      But then I got to thinking about whether an electron is, in fact, smaller than an atom. Sure, the rest mass of an electron is much smaller than the rest mass of an atom. Maybe that's what the question was trying to ask. But the way the question is worded seems to imply a spatial size. When you're dealing with objects as light as electrons, the whole notion of size is non-intuitive (probability distributions described by wave functions).

      Maybe they had their reasons for not simply asking whether an electron was more massive than an atom - or maybe whoever put the survey together some gaps in their own science education.

    6. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      While studying biology, I got to know several religious people that had no problem with accepting both evolution and christian religion. Most of them believe in some kind of predistination, other people have found different solutions for that problem.
      Ask the same question to germans. I bet even most german priests will tell you they believe in evolution and the bible at the same time. Fact is that the bible can't be taken literal, there are to many inconsistencys, both inside the bible itself and between bible and reality, to allow literal fundamentalism and that's where education and enlightenment come into play.
      So, the real problem is, how christian religion gets tought in America, not christian religion nor any other religion itself.

    7. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by maxume · · Score: 1

      Your comment fails to make sense, even as an attempt at humor.

      Well, to me anyway.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    8. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The second half seems to be a rough parody of Genesis. That's why it doesn't make sense - it follows the same pattern as religious arguments.

    9. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "They forced you to choose between 'natural process' and 'guided by a supreme being' as exclusive opposites. How about if you believe (as most religious people do) that natural processes are guided by a supreme being. The nature and tone of the question will cause most to choose the supreme being option, when they probably are thinking 'both'."

      If your goal is to assess the level of magical thinking in a population, that's not such a bad split. The problem would arise if you got the natural-processes-guided-by-a-supreme-being crowd opting for "natural processes."

    10. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The view you hold -- "God set up the rules and conditions so that what he wanted to happen would happen" -- is called deism, and it is emphatically not what people mean when they say "guided by a supreme being." The latter is intelligent design, and it's been a depressingly successful stealth tactic for creationists. Deism is perfectly compatible with a scientific study of life. ID says basically, when you find a hard biological problem, throw up your hands and say "Goddidit."

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    11. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Must be you lack of experience with gorilla penises.

      Probably should post this anonymously.

    12. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How about if you believe (as most religious people do) that natural processes are guided by a supreme being.

      Huh? Natural processes obey the laws of electromagnetism, quantum mechanics, conservation of momentum, etc... If the current state doesn't directly follow from the previous state (because a supreme being 'guided' it), then the process isn't natural. Sorry but it's really one or the other.

    13. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      They arrived at that number by rounding down. (No kidding!) The study actually says it's 97 out of 100. So instead of 1 in 10 not accepting evolution, it's less than 1 in 33.

      Even that is a shockingly high number. How, in a survey of 2,533 scientists did they find 76 that didn't accept evolution? Even with the physicists and chemists in the mix?

    14. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by dfm3 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If I only had some mod points... your post was spot-on exactly what I was going to say in response to the topic.

      I am a Christian and a scientist (life sciences/mycology/forestry to be exact). Several of my closest colleges hold similar beliefs, though some are less "religious" than others (believe me, it makes for some very interesting conversations over our morning coffee!). Yet the prevailing cultural attitude we regularly face is that you are expected to either be a 7-day biblical literalist, or that you completely dismiss the Bible as an ancient myth. There seems to be no room for middle ground. Myself, I don't see why answering the question of our exact mechanism of creation is critical.

      I believe in a God who, if He wanted to, could have guided evolution with humankind as a result, or could have created the world in 7 days complete with "historic" fossil and genetic evidence of evolution, or could have even ordered the entire universe (including us with all of our memories) into existence less than a second ago. Does it matter? What matters to me is that we're here, now, and that we need to do what we can to make the most of every moment we have. As a scientist, this means using my skills and knowledge to strive to make the world better through improvements in our understanding of the physical universe around us, and as a Christian this means seeking out a spiritual framework of meaning and purpose for my life that goes beyond just a physical existence. Maybe it's a bit naive of me, but I see religion and science as addressing two fundamentally different questions. I do not expect science to answer questions which lie outside of the observable, empirical world, and I do not expect my religious beliefs to completely explain the minutiae of the workings of the universe.

      This is why I have no qualms about studying or writing about evolutionary processes as a Christian. It's the currently held scientific theory, based on the consensus of overwhelming empirical evidence. Just because something can appear to happen in the absence of a higher power, doesn't mean that the higher power cannot exist. Whether evolutionary evidence is genuine or was planted in a 6,000 year old earth that was designed to "look" old, it's still there, and in science you can't discount data simply because it doesn't fall in line with what you personally want it to be.

    15. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by cpricejones · · Score: 1

      Yes the number of scientists who accept evolution is far higher than 9 in 10. There might be some issue about how "scientist" is defined. One could argue that the undergraduate in a research lab is a scientist because he/she is performing experiments, testing hypotheses, etc. But most people would not consider that person a scientist.

      And there's probably a modest group of people that say that the way to tell if a person is a scientist is to see if they are wearing a white lab coat. :)

      Re something else you mention, I think the exclusive opposites come up due to how many people define God, especially the anti-science folks out there. Many of the anti-science people define God to be an all powerful, benevolent being that created everything 6000 years ago. If that is what "God" means, then it is very black and white because it's difficult to reconcile the two points of view (their religious "reality" and scientific "reality"). If you define God less precisely (say as "whatever gave birth to the big bang", not all powerful, not benevolent, not answering prayers, etc.), then the definition is very far away from what many people would think of when they think of God. (So much so that they would prefer a different word.) Anyhow, a lot of people who do research (myself included) are befuddled by the anti-science discussions and try to stay the hell away.

    16. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the whole notion of size is non-intuitive (probability distributions described by wave functions)

      The wave function describes position, not size. The electron size is currently believed to be exactly 0 (point particle). This model could one day change, but the revised size would remain extremely small since all experiments so far are consistent with a size of 0.

    17. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by metrix007 · · Score: 0

      You can probably guess where I come down on the issue. I do believe in God. I can't prove it, but I accept it as a tautology. I also believe in evolution as a natural process. I believe that the creation of the universe was a more subtle process than most Biblical literalists do. God set up the rules and conditions so that what he wanted to happen would happen. Sort of a 15+ billion year bank shot. To me, that is _much_ more impressive than "Wham, here's everything".

      Believing in God guide natural processes is absolutely fine. Unless your god is Abrahamic, in which case you are not just wrong, but a hypocrite.

      --
      If you ignore ACs because they are anonymous - you're an idiot.
    18. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      If your natural process is being guided by a Supreme Being then it isn't natural anymore. I would expect most educated people to choose 'natural process'.

      Who made God? If he doesn't need a creator why does the universe need one?

      Why doesn't God do anything about evil?

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    19. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by donaggie03 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Basic U.S. science education teaches that an electron is one of many parts that make up an atom. There are zero or more electroncs, plus protons and neutrons. Basic logic says that if one thing is inherently a part of something else, then the first thing must be smaller. You're thinking to hard to justify how 54% of Americans could get that question wrong. The sad truth is that 54% of Americans couldn't care less about basic education.

      --
      Three days from now?? Thats tomorrow!! ~Peter Griffin
    20. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by donaggie03 · · Score: 1

      There are zero or more electroncs, plus protons and neutrons.

      . . . in an atom. My bad.

      --
      Three days from now?? Thats tomorrow!! ~Peter Griffin
    21. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by mmortal03 · · Score: 1

      My question for you is: What is it about your religious beliefs that makes them more ideally capable of stumbling upon the answers to such "questions which lie outside of the observable, empirical world" than any other person's religious beliefs or way of thought? How might you verify that your religious beliefs are, demonstrably, more ideally capable of tackling such questions than any other beliefs? Why might a person have any rational need to color his reasoning with a particular religious way of thinking which is said to only apply to unobservable and non-empirical things, when that person only can live and interact with an observable, empirical world? Also, how do you find such types of questions regarding unobservable things worth trying to religiously answer at all, if what these questions inquire about are by definition inaccessible to us?

      You said that "as a Christian this means seeking out a spiritual framework of meaning and purpose for my life that goes beyond just a physical existence." I have come to understand that religion does not have a monopoly on such spiritual matters. The depth of such spiritual feelings you have learned to associate with specifically your religion are experienced just as strongly and deeply by those of different religions, and by those who are atheists. One book which I recommend to you that I think does an excellent job of articulating what is the human experience of spirituality from what is religion and the supernatural, and does it without the need for a higher power, is The Little Book of Atheist Spirituality, by Andre Comte-Sponville.

    22. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by cheebie · · Score: 1

      Why isn't a process being guided by a Supreme Being natural. If you posit the existence of a Creator, then 'natural' means following the laws that creator set down. The obvious analogy is computer games. Are the actions of the bad guys contrary to the game rules because those actions have been guided by their creator?

      Asking who created God is like asking who drew you? Just because you can draw a picture of a person doesn't mean that you are also a picture. The nature of God is fundamentally different than our nature. I am willing to accept that there may be things that I don't (and can't) understand.

      Why does God not do anything about evil? Consider what would be necessary for there to be no evil. You would have to be incapable of picking up a rock and splattering your neighbor's head. You would have to be incapable of exploiting your fellow humans. You would have to be incapable of many many things. In other words, you would have to be a puppet. Does that sound like a good thing?

    23. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by johanatan · · Score: 1

      The question isn't what's more impressive but rather what's true. If you pick and choose parts of the Bible to believe, then how can you be certain you've chosen the right parts?

      I find it more impressive that the universe appears much older (and/or bigger) than it is and that God has built into our minds a way to find Him (via reasoning and even the limitations thereof [as implied by Godel]). Reality outruns knowledge (even materialists should accept that if they understand Godel).

    24. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      the whole notion of size is non-intuitive (probability distributions described by wave functions)

      The wave function describes position, not size.

      So, given that everything is, ultimately, described by wave-functions, can we conclude that the size of everything is exactly zero? :)

      More seriously, though, in a double-slit experiment an electron (or photon, for that matter) behaves as if it goes through both slits simultaneously. Clearly, that's not possible with definitions of size that are applied to macroscopic objects (you simply can't throw a baseball through two adjacent slits at the same time).

      To the extent that the survey was trying to ask a simple true/false question, the question about electron size was a spectacular failure: serious scientists could stay up until the wee hours debating that question - or, more likely, serious scientists would give such a question a wide berth.

    25. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymice · · Score: 1

      They forced you to choose between 'natural process' and 'guided by a supreme being' as exclusive opposites. How about if you believe (as most religious people do) that natural processes are guided by a supreme being. The nature and tone of the question will cause most to choose the supreme being option, when they probably are thinking 'both'.

      You're fudging definitions here, but if you believe the process is guided by a supreme being, then [i]that's[/i] your answer. Your dispute is over the method & period of time the creation story happened, but you still argue it happened.

      God set up the rules and conditions so that what he wanted to happen would happen. Sort of a 15+ billion year bank shot. To me, that is _much_ more impressive than "Wham, here's everything".

      Likewise. I find it impressive & think myself tremndously lucky that our existence & the world around us even came to be, given the odds. But this is an inevitable conundrum.

      Picture a man tied to a chair in a room, with a gun pointed to his head. Out of a hundred rounds, one is blank.
      After numerous men have been shot & replaced, one of them gets the blank. Now with him knowing the odds & yet still being alive, he will undoubtedly question whether [i]any[/i] of the rounds were live.

      It's logical to be astounded & question the tiny odds we came to existence, but I don't think attributing it to some infallible entity answers any questions.

      Using God as the answer to "how was the universe created?" & then exempting him from the same requirement to be created doesn't quite follow through, does it?

    26. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the way they asked the question, that forced some people to chose "less-incomplete" answer.

      Kind of like asking if the color of our sky is only white or only black. Here 9 out of 10 would chose "only black" and 1 out of 10 chose "only white," all for the same reason: the choices were both binary and wrong.

    27. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by PieSquared · · Score: 1

      Reading further into the study, it seems that "87%" said that life evolved *and* it was natural processes, a further 8% said that life evolved but was guided by god, and only 2% said life has existed since the begging of time in its present form.

      *That* I can accept. More then 8% of scientists believe in god, so it's not unreasonably for them to say that any given natural process is guided by god. 2% pure creationists still seems a little on the high side, but I guess it isn't unreasonable for some valid definitions of "scientist" plus the typical "screw with the poll" people that you always end up with in any sort of poll.

      As for your deistic opinions... well, it's far more valid then creationism and you're in relatively good company historically, but I've got to wonder *why* you believe in god as a tautology.

      If I had to guess, it's "because I've always done so, and everyone else is doing it and I can concoct a scenario where it's not logically inconsistent". But... I haven't heard an honest reason why one would choose to believe in the deistic god over no god at all that wasn't either pre-darwin or "we can't explain this yet, therefore goddidit." I entertained a deistic view briefly, but then I thought "wait, why do I believe an intelligent being that itself isn't the result of evolution created the universe instead of a natural process?" And when I had no answer, I decided that 'atheist' was a better description of my philosophical outlook then 'deist' or 'agnostic'. I don't say "there is absolutely no way a deity created the universe" but I do say "I don't have any reason to prefer a deity over natural explanations, so lacking evidence I choose the simpler answer."

      --
      Does a line appended to your comment give your post meaning in and of itself, or only in relation to those without?
    28. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by PieSquared · · Score: 1

      Well, it's easier to explain then 330. Take a couple who actually don't accept evolution. Add a few who didn't take the poll seriously and/or deliberately screwed with it (even among scientists...). Add a few who aren't actually scientists. And then throw medical doctors (I actually looked at the survey and my brief glance leads me to believe they really did include doctors as scientists, which skews the religious affiliations way out of whack).

      --
      Does a line appended to your comment give your post meaning in and of itself, or only in relation to those without?
    29. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure where you're going with the double-slit experiment. Whether something can go through two slits or not doesn't depend on definitions.

      The only people who would stay up debating the size question are partially educated people that you find on forums like this. They vaguely remember that microscopic things are funky, but they don't really know what or how. All they know is that they know more than the average Joe, and somehow that gives them a license to make stuff up.

    30. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not sure where you're going with the double-slit experiment. Whether something can go through two slits or not doesn't depend on definitions.

      OK, so what is the "size" (spatial extents) of the electron as it passes through both slits simultaneously? Or, to put it another way, how much space is the electron interacting with at that moment?

    31. Re:Only 9 in 10 accept evolution? by ignavus · · Score: 1

      1 in 10 scientists had apoplexy while trying to answer the question vehemently enough in the face of popular ignorance.

      --
      I am anarch of all I survey.
  11. Define "scientist" by Rogerborg · · Score: 3, Informative

    The "Pew Research Center" canvassed the membership of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. The AAAS publishes the Science journal which has a distinctly liberal bias.

    Note carefully: I'm not saying that's a bad thing. However, it means that the sample is biased. I'm actually surprised that as many as 6% of respondents identified themselves as Republicans.

    --
    If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    1. Re:Define "scientist" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have any reason to believe that the AAAS membership itself is not representative of the overall population of scientists? For that matter, Science is a peer-reviewed scientific journal (and one of the most prestigious in the world), so either it already reflects the scientific community's beliefs or reality has a liberal bias. Exactly what kind of "liberal bias" does Science tend to show, anyway? Do they not print enough articles on creation "science" or half-baked George Will editorials denying global warming for you? Or are you just full of shit?

    2. Re:Define "scientist" by Gadzeus · · Score: 0, Troll

      "I'm actually surprised that as many as 6% of respondents identified themselves as Republicans." That's what they teach us to say at the KKK these days.

    3. Re:Define "scientist" by Stephan+Schulz · · Score: 1

      The AAAS publishes the Science journal which has a distinctly liberal bias.

      I would be interested to know how you arrive at that conclusion - any sources? Compared to what, exactly? Nature? PNAS?

      --

      Stephan

    4. Re:Define "scientist" by Helios1182 · · Score: 1

      But is the AAAS a representative sample of scientists? Obviously it isn't representative of the general population, but that doesn't matter. If it has a liberal bias, but that bias exists throughout the scientific community then it isn't a problem. It is a comparison of scientists and non-scientists, so as long as the selected populations are representative of themselves then it is a valid sample.

    5. Re:Define "scientist" by darkwhite · · Score: 1

      Please explain how Science has a liberal bias.

      --

      [an error occurred while processing this directive]
    6. Re:Define "scientist" by vigour · · Score: 1

      The "Pew Research Center" canvassed the membership of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. The AAAS publishes the Science journal which has a distinctly liberal bias.

      Note carefully: I'm not saying that's a bad thing. However, it means that the sample is biased. I'm actually surprised that as many as 6% of respondents identified themselves as Republicans.

      What has politics/liberality got to do with Science (journal). It's a peer reviewed scientific journal, its sole goal is to publish research papers from a broad range of disciplines in science.

      While some people find some topics in science (global warming, evolution, othodox medicine, etc.) to be controversial or even incorrect/false, scientific journals publish scientific results not political discussions.

      To quote from their site:

      Today, a century and a quarter after its founding, Science continues to publish the very best in scientific research, news, and opinion. Whether you're concerned with AIDS, SARS, genomic medicine, Mars, or global warming, or just want to keep abreast of where the scientific world is and where it's going, you will find something worthwhile in Science.

    7. Re:Define "scientist" by IICV · · Score: 1

      Science publishes reports about reality. Reality has a well-known liberal bias. Therefore, Science obviously has a liberal bias. QED.

    8. Re:Define "scientist" by nEoN+nOoDlE · · Score: 1

      The AAAS publishes the Science journal which has a distinctly liberal bias.

      Is it liberal because the members are liberal or are the members liberal because the society has a liberal agenda? What is an "unbiased sample" in this case? If most scientists are liberal, are we going to have to find an equal subset of conservative and liberal scientists and then ask them what their association is just so it starts to match up with the rest of America?

      --
      Don't trust a bull's horn, a doberman's tooth, a runaway horse or me.
    9. Re:Define "scientist" by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      The "Pew Research Center" canvassed the membership of the American Association for the Advancement of Science. The AAAS publishes the Science journal which has a distinctly liberal bias.

      So where's the chicken and where's the egg? Perhaps AAAS has "liberal bias" precisely because scientists in general tend to have a "liberal bias", and AAAS is an organization comprised of scientists?

  12. It would help if the media weren't clueless too. by EWAdams · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The fact that the media gives equal time and access to creationists, conspiracy theorists, homeopathic medicine and various other tinfoil hat whackmobiles does the body politic no favors whatsoever. There's no emphasis on rigorous thought. Sentiment and ratings trump accuracy and logic.

    Critical thinking should be a required course in every high school in the land, and if you fail you don't get a diploma. But the churches would scream bloody murder. The last thing they want is children thinking for themselves.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
  13. Depressing... by Valtor · · Score: 1

    This is really depressing. :( But at least it's still scientists doing the science and not the 66% of the population that does not even understand where we come from (evolution).

    Valtor

    --
    "Sockets are the standard networking API, also useful for stopping your eyes from falling onto your cheeks" zeromq.org
    1. Re:Depressing... by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The problem here is that Americans are derisive of intelligence and scientists in particular. Calling someone an "Einstein" or an "Egghead" is not purely a compliment even among geeks and nerds... in fact, aside from the word "scientist" the words themselves used to describe them are shown to have their own negative connotations via etymology. When I want help pumping shit, I call a plumber. If I have a problem with my house wiring that I can't handle, I call an electrician. When I want help understanding the fundamental nature of the universe, I look for a scientist.

      Unfortunately, there is a major conflict between science and certain religions bent on control. You might notice that certain religions don't actually conflict with science, because they don't make ridiculous claims, because they're not trying to control people for their own ends. They only seek to make the world a better place. It's clear that Christianity (the best example for our nation) is intended only to benefit Christians -- if you aren't one, you can just go to hell.

      Science is the quest for that which is. Religion is the quest to explain that which is not. Paths may be varied, but there is only one set of facts. When the two contradict, it's clear that falling back on religion is a failure. Those cultures which have most successfully embraced science have always been most successful, a trend which will only continue.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      For me, science is creating a hypothesis, creating experiments to challenge the validity of said hypothesis, then allowing others to reproduce it.
      Granted I had an undergrad in chemistry and published in JACS and Science, so I have a bias against evolution being lumped into "science." Just as I do with economics.
      * Physics: is core and amazing (beyond me);
      * Math is beautifully simple, completely from the the ground up;
      * Chemistry definitely science, though I fall into Vonnegut's camp of mistrusting it;
      and * Microbiology is absolutely amazing, DNA, RNA, pathways etc. I've worked around this in industry for 5 years now and I'm aways impressed.
      I just don't get why Science even needs to prove or disprove a God. Can't we just leave it in a box with Schrodinger's cat?

      ---
      From the Simpsons, "As for Science versus Religion, I'm issuing a restraining order. Religion must stay 500 yards from Science at all times."

    3. Re:Depressing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Science isn't trying to "prove or disprove a God." Evolution says absolutely nothing about how life originated, just how it developed from the first primitive creatures to where we are today, and anyone who claims otherwise is an idiot.

    4. Re:Depressing... by ScrewMaster · · Score: 4, Insightful

      It's clear that Christianity (the best example for our nation) is intended only to benefit Christians -- if you aren't one, you can just go to hell.

      More correctly, if you aren't one, you are going to Hell.

      Realistically speaking, however, if you look at the root of all religions (going back to the pantheons of the ancient Greek, Roman and even earlier civilizations) you will note that they are attempts to explain that which was, at the time, unexplainable or simply unacceptable (i.e., death.) The problem is that we've advanced way, way beyond the need for such primitive descriptions of how the Universe works. To this day, far too many people are simply unwilling or, in many cases, constitutionally unable, to accept that and move on.

      Where we have not succeeded is in eliminating the need for the social control that organized religion provides. By and large, people are animals when you get right down to it, and civilization doesn't function well (or at all) if everyone is just doing what's best for him or herself, no matter the cost to anyone else. Fear of God (or Zeus, or any other external deity) has kept millions of people more-or-less in line for centuries. Consequently, one can't say that everything organized religion has done is bad, but unfortunately we're at the point where their antiscience bent is causing a severe cultural rift, and is in fact causing a lot of damage.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    5. Re:Depressing... by Fortunato_NC · · Score: 1

      I just don't get why Science even needs to prove or disprove a God. Can't we just leave it in a box with Schrodinger's cat?

      It is literally impossible to prove or disprove the existence of God. See Russell's Teapot if you don't understand this.

      What science attempts to do is provide explanations for the workings of the universe. Religion purports to have already answered these questions. The only problem is that religion provides only one answer: "Goddidit!" That sort of thinking discourages rational inquiry, and is ultimately harmful, because it impedes real progress. Religion (at least, the monotheistic versions I am familiar with) offers a "go along, get along" view of the world - if you follow our rules for your whole life, we'll all be happy, and our invisible friend will be really good to you after you die. Science, on the other hand, searches for truth without regard to how it makes you feel, and that is uncomfortable for many religious types. Science's explanations for natural phenomena leave less and less room for the "Goddidit" view of things, and that threatens a large group of people who make their living off "Goddidit".

      --
      Blogging Weight Loss, Distance Education, and more at verlin.com
    6. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I'm equally as terrified by scientific zealots as religious zealots. Some ignorant people can say Goddidit as easily as they can say Sciencedidit.
      I've witnessed the political posturing behind "science" in academia and industry, I've know many great scientists who search for the truth. I've known many assholes with PhDs that impede progress. How long did "science" dispute that bacteria caused ulcers?
      I'm not sure how Einstein, Mendell, Lord Kelvin, Henry Eyring, etc were impeded by a believe in God. I'm not a member of any religion, yet I can see the value of them.

    7. Re:Depressing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Microbiology, genetics, and biochemistry are underpinned by two things: chemistry and evolution. The idea of evolution not being science is laughable. As far as science "needing" to "prove or disprove a God" it doesn't, it can't, and it won't. Even a guy like Dawkins would agree. He, and many others though would point out that science works with evidence, and g(G)od(s) are entirely unevidenced, so it is as illogical to believe in them as it is to believe in Russel's teapot.

    8. Re:Depressing... by cmseagle · · Score: 1

      It's clear that Christianity (the best example for our nation) is intended only to benefit Christians -- if you aren't one, you can just go to hell

      Bullshit. http://crs.org/ "Our mission is to assist impoverished and disadvantaged people overseas, working in the spirit of Catholic Social Teaching to promote the sacredness of human life and the dignity of the human person. Although our mission is rooted in the Catholic faith, our operations serve people based solely on need, regardless of their race, religion or ethnicity. Within the United States, CRS engages Catholics to live their faith in solidarity with the poor and suffering of the world."

    9. Re:Depressing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Einstein did not believe in a personal god that interacted with the universe in any way that would violate universal laws, so Einstein was essentially unimpeded by belief. From what I know of the others, like the vast, vast majority of religious scientists, they dropped their gods off at the door when the went to work.

    10. Re:Depressing... by wfstanle · · Score: 1

      This is not exactly true. Einstein and Neils Bohr had many famous arguments over the Heisenberg Uncertainly Principle. Einstein is often quoted of saying "God does not play dice with the universe". The Uncertainly Principle is the underpinning of Quantum Mechanics and the refusal to accept this principle might have hampered Einstein from making more discoveries. Coincidence? Maybe but it's interesting to note that after Heisenberg published the Uncertainly Principle, Einstein made very few discoveries.

    11. Re:Depressing... by cpricejones · · Score: 0, Redundant

      Religion is the quest to explain that which is not. Paths may be varied, but there is only one set of facts. When the two contradict, it's clear that falling back on religion is a failure. Those cultures which have most successfully embraced science have always been most successful, a trend which will only continue.

      Hallowed are the Ori.

    12. Re:Depressing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      thats providing we dont end up like "IDIOCRACY"(look up on IMDB.com it stars one of the wilson brothers) my friend.. ;-p
        though something i recall i remember a post here someone noting about making a new
      group for the goverment like the dems and reps but for science specifically
                and before anyone brings up then what about the god fearing americans .. (wtf is that about seriously)
        Science is verifiable and able to tested and proven and disproved able to be examined and tested
      by anyone anywhere - religion is a personal experience based upon mythology and fear of the unknown
      science explorers the unknown. i'd doubt they'd ever consider a group for magicians as a political party
      or a politcal party for obsessive magick the gathering players so moving on.. lol
            i do hope you're right and science wins ;-p but it will help when theres more META-TECH(armor , and nonlethal weaponry, and tools) available
      for us science types to use to lord over the religious zealots ;-p (J.k)

    13. Re:Depressing... by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      But it is still official Christian dogma that all the pagans and heathens, not matter how well they lived their lives, ARE going to hell.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    14. Re:Depressing... by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      Religious dogma is not supposed to change EVER. Scientific knowledge IS supposed to change when better evidence is known. Yes, there are cases where it took a long time to change the scientific consensus, but change it did.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    15. Re:Depressing... by cmseagle · · Score: 1

      There is no such thing as Christian dogma. There is Catholic Dogma, Baptist Dogma, Anglican Dogma, etc.

      That said, some of those denominations do in fact teach that how a person lives his life is a determining factor in salvation. For example, the Catholics.

    16. Re:Depressing... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's clear that Christianity (the best example for our nation) is intended only to benefit Christians -- if you aren't one, you can just go to hell.

      More correctly, if you aren't one, you are going to Hell.

      Wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong.

      I don't know why people still believe this. Dante's Inferno was a steaming pile of bullshit fanfiction and you all know it.

      Those also can attain to salvation who through no fault of their own do not know the Gospel of Christ or His Church, yet sincerely seek God and moved by grace strive by their deeds to do His will as it is known to them through the dictates of conscience.

      http://www.vatican.va/archive/hist_councils/ii_vatican_council/documents/vat-ii_const_19641121_lumen-gentium_en.html

      Simply being, as long as you truly strive to act "according to the Catholic tradition" you can be saved. If you're a major douchemonkey though, regardless of religion you're fucked.

      He is not saved, however, who, though part of the body of the Church, does not persevere in charity. He remains indeed in the bosom of the Church, but, as it were, only in a "bodily" manner and not "in his heart."(12*) All the Church's children should remember that their exalted status is to be attributed not to their own merits but to the special grace of Christ. If they fail moreover to respond to that grace in thought, word and deed, not only shall they not be saved but they will be the more severely judged.(13*)

      Fucked royally.

    17. Re:Depressing... by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      But it is still official Christian dogma that all the pagans and heathens, not matter how well they lived their lives, ARE going to hell.

      That is because it is also Christian doctrine that to be in Heaven is to be with God. The corollary being that being separated from God is Hell. If you spent your life choosing to be separated from God, why should God force you to be with Him after your death?
      The fact that Christians believe that being separated from God is a terrible fate, does not change the fact that they believe that God will respect individual's right to choose it.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    18. Re:Depressing... by Anonymice · · Score: 1

      The representation of Hell I generally hear being banded about is often quite a bit more graphic.

    19. Re:Depressing... by nine-times · · Score: 1

      if you look at the root of all religions ... you will note that they are attempts to explain that which was, at the time, unexplainable or simply unacceptable

      I wouldn't quite say that.. If you look at the root of all superstitions, you'll find that they're attempts to explain what was unexplainable at the time. If you look at the roots of organized religion, you will note that they are attempts by one set of people to control others.

      The "organized" part of organized religion is really not too far different from the politics we see every day. Religions may teach true things in much the same way that politicians may make valid arguments. Leaders generally use a mix of common beliefs, valid viewpoints, good philosophical argumentation, superstition, logical fallacies, and psychological tactics to convince people what they should or should not do. Those leaders may have good intentions or bad intentions, and they may be right to convince people of those things or they may be wrong.

    20. Re:Depressing... by Anonymice · · Score: 1

      It is literally impossible to prove or disprove the existence of God. See Russell's Teapot

      Yeahbut, Russell never claimed his teapot created the universe, had affairs with virgins & cast devastating floods upon the Earth.

      Indeed, an idle God who doesn't tamper with the physical universe is infallible, but a redundant God is not the one theists ascribe to.

    21. Re:Depressing... by orkysoft · · Score: 1

      That's what they say. Do they actually help poor people by getting them to use birth control?

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
    22. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      Oddly enough Heisenberg, a former Nazi was a devout Lutheran.
      Just out of curiosity, how many discoveries do scientists usually make? What discoveries did Watson and Crick have after solving the structure of DNA?

    23. Re:Depressing... by hasbeard · · Score: 1

      When I want help understanding the fundamental nature of the universe, I look for a scientist.

      Have you found a scientist who understands "the fundamental nature of the universe"?

    24. Re:Depressing... by nidarus · · Score: 1

      Calling someone an "Einstein" or an "Egghead" is not purely a compliment even among geeks and nerds

      To be fair, it's an insult because it's sarcastic, so it actually implies that when people think "smart", they think "Einstein". The moment people start using some creationist "scientist"'s name in that context, you'll know you're in trouble :)

    25. Re:Depressing... by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure it is the protestants that believe good works can sway God, while Catholics believe in salvation by 'grace' only.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
    26. Re:Depressing... by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I just don't get why Science even needs to prove or disprove a God. Can't we just leave it in a box with Schrodinger's cat?

      So we refrain from exploring the areas that are "explained" by the God hypothesis? No way. You are basically arguing that we should let superstition hold back scientific research!

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    27. Re:Depressing... by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I'm equally as terrified by scientific zealots as religious zealots.

      It is impossible to be a "scientific zealot" by definition. Science is a method, not an ideology.

      Some ignorant people can say Goddidit as easily as they can say Sciencedidit.

      Science did nothing. It's a method we can use to explain the world around us.

      How long did "science" dispute that bacteria caused ulcers?

      Until there was peer-reviewed, material based on repeatable research available showing that this was the case, presumably.

      I'm not sure how Einstein, Mendell, Lord Kelvin, Henry Eyring, etc were impeded by a believe in God.

      Einstein did not believe in God. He used "God" to describe the nature of the universe, not a personal god. And how do you know that religious scientists are not impeded? If they aren't, they are extremely good at comparmentalizing their minds. Cognitive dissonance springs to mind.

      I'm not a member of any religion, yet I can see the value of them.

      What is the value?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    28. Re:Depressing... by cmseagle · · Score: 1

      I'm fairly certain you have it backwards. Martin Luther is the one who came up with the whole predestination thing, not the Catholic Church.

    29. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      I would say that we have finite resources and that those resources can be better spent doing real research.

      That said many of the minds pursuing these resources wouldn't help cure cancer, so no real loss.

    30. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      It is impossible to be a "scientific zealot" by definition. Science is a method, not an ideology.

      I'm glad that you're talking about the perfect world and not the real world. Where there are no XP, Agile or scrum zealots, because these are methods. Nor are there Microsoft, Google or Apple Zealots.
      You may be a linguist purist and not look at second definitions such as, a fanatical partisan.

      Until there was peer-reviewed, material based on repeatable research available showing that this was the case, presumably.

      Please read this fair summary of events and then reply back. http://cogprints.org/678/0/ulcers_two.htm
      Have you ever published a paper? Have you ever had to exclude a reviewer because they dislike your "science?"
      The difficulty with science is that things aren't black and white. Like religion, many dull and dimwitted individuals seize control.

      Einstein did not believe in God. He used "God" to describe the nature of the universe, not a personal god.

      Would you mind providing a citation for that?
      I did a quick google for Einstein Freemason and it appears that he was. They do believe in God.

      And how do you know that religious scientists are not impeded? If they aren't, they are extremely good at comparmentalizing {sic} their minds. Cognitive dissonance springs to mind.

      Yet until we can do something better than a survey, we can squander time bloviating.

      What is the value?

      It's an opiate for the people, one of the few pain killers that worked in Marx's time.
      Sometimes you have to have faith, even if it's not supported by the current facts.

    31. Re:Depressing... by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I'm glad that you're talking about the perfect world and not the real world. Where there are no XP, Agile or scrum zealots, because these are methods. Nor are there Microsoft, Google or Apple Zealots.

      I'm talking about the real world. And no, Microsoft, Google and Apple are not methods, and Agile and Scrum are not ideologies.

      Please read this fair summary of events and then reply back.

      How about you give me a summary of what you are trying to say?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    32. Re:Depressing... by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      I would say that we have finite resources and that those resources can be better spent doing real research.

      What do you mean by "real research"? Are you the ultimate judge of what "real research" constitutes?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    33. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      I would say that we have finite resources and that those resources can be better spent doing real research.

      What do you mean by "real research"? Are you the ultimate judge of what "real research" constitutes?

      Is it testable? Reproducible? Those would be my big two.

    34. Re:Depressing... by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      I'm talking about the real world. And no, Microsoft, Google and Apple are not methods, and Agile and Scrum are not ideologies.

      You got that backward. Agile and Scume ARE methods and people worship Microsoft, Google and Apple like people worship the Yankees, Red Sox or even Catholicism.

      Please read this fair summary of events and then reply back.

      How about you give me a summary of what you are trying to say?

      This paper (http://cogprints.org/678/0/ulcers_two.htm) explains exactly why it's difficult to follow the science and how there are frequently no clear cut answers. Also that it even with peer reviewed publications, the bacteria-ulcer hypothesis wasn't accepted for almost a decade.
      FWIW most scientific papers are wrong: http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn7915--most-scientific-papers-are-probably-wrong.html

  14. Who the hell did they poll? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Honestly I don't really know anyone that doesn't accept evolution by natural selection. Who are they talking to?!

    1. Re:Who the hell did they poll? by Kethinov · · Score: 1

      Honestly I don't really know anyone that doesn't accept evolution by natural selection. Who are they talking to?!

      Try moving to the midwest, son. I lived in Kansas for five years and boy I'll tell ya I met more than a few folks who don't accept it. I once had a conversation with somebody who literally believed the Earth was only six thousand years old. When I brought up that carbon dating of fossilized dinosaurs revealed their age to be millions of years old and radiometric dating of the oldest rocks on Earth revealed their age to be in the billions of years old, this person replied with, "God creates false readings to test our faith." There's really no winning an argument like that.

      --
      You're right, I wouldn't steal a car. But if it were possible, I sure as hell would download one!
    2. Re:Who the hell did they poll? by uid7306m · · Score: 1

          Even New Jersey.

          I went along to some church (Methodist) adult classes on Genesis once. The preacher did a good job, walking the fine line and not interpreting Genesis too literally. But, some of the people there, my neighbours in suburban NJ were not happy with this. A few people were really asking him and pushing him on the reality of the flood and creation in seven days. And how to squeeze dinosaurs into it.

          I was shocked. I ended up going into a little speech on radioactive dating and geology, pointing out that there was a lot of evidence for the age of the Earth, and asking if they really wanted to believe in a God who would plant misleading evidence in the rocks. I don't know if I convinced anyone or not. (Though, I must say, no one seemed particularly upset.)

    3. Re:Who the hell did they poll? by AlexBirch · · Score: 1

      Two points:
      1) There is no carbon in fossils, it's just rock; and
      2) Carbon 15 can disprove the six thousand year old limit, but not for dinosaur bones. You'd need another isotope.
      http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20090509045939AAwdJU0

    4. Re:Who the hell did they poll? by Tomfrh · · Score: 1

      carbon dating of dinosaur fossils eh....

  15. Who are "scientists?" by Bluesman · · Score: 0, Troll

    The word "scientist" is ridiculously broad. Who are these people to which the media constantly refers? And who gives a shit what "scientists" think about politics?

    I'd like to know what economists think about politics, including facts and historical data to back their opinions up. But I guess that would take ACTUAL research, which is harder than calling 1000 people and asking them 10 questions each.

    --
    If moderation could change anything, it would be illegal.
    1. Re:Who are "scientists?" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd like to know what economists think about politics

      Hmm why? Have you found a measure of success that politicians should maximize, and it happens to be measured in dollars?

  16. Re: skimpy media coverage of science by wexsessa · · Score: 1

    While I was living in Britain in the late 1970s, the BBC announced a new evening radio programme to cover the Arts & Sciences in more depth. For a few weeks it looked promising, but the ratio or Arts to Science gradually tilted towards the Arts and the Science withered to a few occasional short items. I assumed that this was due to the Beeb being inhabited primarily by Arts people, who love to talk about their work, whereas the Science people were busy elsewhere doing their science. Here in Canada the CBC has an hour of science a week (Quirks & Quarks, Saturday mid-day & repeated one late evening), which is quite decent (at the interested lay people level). They cover three or four topics in some depth. But the CBC's Arts programming greatly exceeds it.

  17. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by bhima · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Out of curiosity why are you accusing the Pew Research Center of systematic unethical and deceptive practices?

    Do you think they always engage such behavior? Or is it just certain studies?

    --
    Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
  18. The revealing statistic by jgeada · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I found it very revealing to see the statistics about what the public thought the scientific consensus is. Paraphrasing from the original article:
    - Public thinks 60% of scientists agree that evolution occurred, but actually 97% of scientists support evolution.
    - Public thinks 56% of scientists agree that global warming is human caused, but actually 84% of scientists support the theory that human activity has and is causing global warming.

    This nearly 50/50 split in the public's view leads me to think: what is the primary source of science news for most of the public? The press. And most of the time, particularly on controversial issues, the press just presents two talking heads with opposing views as the current state of affairs. If you didn't know better from other sources you'd have to assume that the scientific consensus was split 50/50.

    1. Re:The revealing statistic by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      This deserves to be moderated up. It's the natural result of the trend to regard 'balanced' coverage as coverage which gives equal air time to both viewpoints, even if one is obviously wrong. If every scientific news item has equal coverage given to the scientific view and whatever crackpot they can find to give a counter view, then what do you expect the public to believe?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:The revealing statistic by twosat · · Score: 1

      The thing that depresses me, and that I would have found unbelievable in the 1970's is that some people say that all those scientists are biased, while those politicians, you know, are not biased. As if politicians had an unbiased reputation and always told the truth!

    3. Re:The revealing statistic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This nearly 50/50 split in the public's view leads me to think: what is the primary source of science news for most of the public? The press. And most of the time, particularly on controversial issues, the press just presents two talking heads with opposing views as the current state of affairs. If you didn't know better from other sources you'd have to assume that the scientific consensus was split 50/50.

      From what I've seen, when the press reports something objectionable, the belief is that the press is "biased", we don't like to hear news we don't agree with.

      As a result, news agencies package their material slanted toward a given audience, we have FOX (republican), MSNBC (democrat) CNN (republicans, libertarians and general grumps)

      FOX even has the (questionable) slogan "fair and balanced" suggesting people perceive in terms of binary, therefore an "ideal" unbiased news source would report a "balance" rather than report the facts - this is an important distinction, information isn't "balanced", information is not good or bad, information is simply information.

      The result of all this "balancing" is that we don't get the news, we get a theatrical performance targeted toward a desired advertisers demograph, presented as journalism. When a "fact" does manage to leak through, we say it's biased if we happen to find it conflicts with our belief system.

      Other news sources such as the BBC, CBC or VOA aren't so much into "balance" as they are in just reporting the facts, if you want the news, you need to get it on the radio from a place that doesn't derive its revenue from a targeted demograph commercial audience. (and in the US, it's almost all commercial, even NPR to some extent has to appeal to those who would donate, including corporate sponsors)

      With our commercial model, it's no wonder the population of the US thinks the way it does, we're spoon-fed "information" seasoned to our demographic taste.

  19. Global Governance by flyingrobots · · Score: 1, Insightful

    It's too bad the Global Warming debate is being hijacked by politicians. Al Gore recently described the new climate bill out of the US Congress as 'helping to bring about global governance'

    The problem with the folks not buying into this global warming crap isn't so much the science it's the new taxes and other restrictions of freedom it will impose combined with other countries smart enough not to get involved.

    I think there is building evidence that the scientists that believe it is happening are wrong. No one can explain why global temperatures have flat-lined. The models aren't working. It seems some agencies are adjusting data to agree with their models, when in reality we aren't experiencing the warming we've been warned about. Here is an article that illustrates this problem.

    The debate isn't over and the folks understand that, especially considering the burden that will be imposed on them if they go along with it.

    You don't have to be computer scientist to use a computer. Likewise, folks know they don't have to be scientists to understand that it is very unlikely that we have the power to affect the climate of the earth. Additionally they are seeing the data and they are seeing that reality isn't agreeing with scientists models.

    Satellite data is starting to show a bunch of negative numbers. The (false) notion that this planet is warming is starting to give way to reality , and the regular folks understand that.

    Kevin

    1. Re:Global Governance by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      climatedepot.com is a project of "Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow" (cfact.org), CFACT is financed by Exxon.

      http://the-walloper.livejournal.com/14617.html

      http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Committee_for_a_Constructive_Tomorrow

      http://www.exxonsecrets.org/html/orgfactsheet.php?id=25

    2. Re:Global Governance by flyingrobots · · Score: 1

      You are implied they are biased. The folks claiming global warming are financed by their respective governments. Governments seem to be always looking for new ways to raise revenues. Why can't government be biased? What evidence do you have that supports the idea that government agencies are neutral?

    3. Re:Global Governance by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      "Satellite data is starting to show a bunch of negative numbers. "

      What satellite data?

    4. Re:Global Governance by Kligat · · Score: 1

      "No one can explain why global temperatures have flat-lined." Well, some have suggested the lack of an El Nino effect, so if they are correct, then global temperatures should begin to rise beyond 1999 levels soon; the ten following years were still the warmest decade on record.

      If there were a big conspiracy to muck with global warming data, tell me why they would screw around with pre-1970s data to lower temperatures, but leave the purported "flatline" data alone? If we don't have the power to change the climate of the Earth yet, then do you think the hole in the ozone layer was a complete scam, too? I recommend modding parent as anything but "insightful" or "informative."

      Also, dendrochronology is a bitch.

    5. Re:Global Governance by Kligat · · Score: 1

      If global warming were concocted by government bias, then how do you explain those NASA global warming reports that were suppressed by Bush administration policies? Government reports by their very virtue are paid not to be biased because of the legal ramifications involved. When you have someone arguing that government administrations like NOAA, NASA, and over four fifths of scientists are more inclined to be biased than Exxon Mobil over this, something smells fishy.

    6. Re:Global Governance by DragonMantis · · Score: 1

      Of course, the Obama administration suppressed EPA reports that CO2 is not causal to global warming.

    7. Re:Global Governance by Kligat · · Score: 1

      The blog of the science journal Nature recommends this rebuttal, which points out that the economist censored that claims that solar cycles could have anything to do with global warming cites an astrologer who believes they had something to do with Hitler and Stalin's rise to power. Perhaps the report was so bad the bureaucrats at the EPA were motivated by fear of embarrassment, and though this still does not excuse withholding it, I feel it is grasping at straws to find some way to equate Obama with Bush with regards to science. Thank you for bringing it to my attention, though.

    8. Re:Global Governance by DragonMantis · · Score: 1

      If realclimate.org weren't a left-wing blog, that would mean something. The evidence actually is pretty clear that solar cycles have far more to do with global warming than CO2 cycles. But I'm just one of those pesky science types that doesn't buy significant anthropogenic causality because I can read the literature.

    9. Re:Global Governance by Kligat · · Score: 1

      If you have a problem with any of the individual statements they make, they look ready to respond to any questions. Given that this individual post was endorsed by Nature, and that one of the top contributors is a NASA climatologist, I'd like to ask if "left-wing" can be supported by anything other than the topic of defending the concept of global climate change itself.

      And yes, scientists have acknowledged as a non-anthropogenic warming phenomenon as a drop in the intensity of sandstorms in the Middle East. The sand in the air lowers the albedo of the Earth's surface, causing it to reflect less light and warm the surrounding area. The opposite effect occurs on Mars, when dust storms cause huge temperature increases, which I would then assume is due to the Martian dirt being darker. However, the most credible study of solar cycles contributing to global warming of which I have heard estimated the effect to be as high as 25%, but this was refuted by other scientists and the study was withdrawn by its authors.

      With regard to skepticism concerning computer models, would you accept that if a computer model can accurately model climate changes from 1900 to 2000, and is fed accurate data, then if it is powerful enough, it can predict future climate changes to a limited extent? There is such a project that exists using distributed computing, where you download a "module" that starts in 1900 and finishes in 2000 before going into future decades. The results are sent back to the scientists, and each one helps improve future models.

      If one day a model from 1900 to 2000 is perfectly correct, might you be inclined to give it some credence? At first the project did things like use a solid slab ocean, without currents, as a developmental stage, but it has progressed far since then. It's hosted by Berkley and you might care to look into it, since their methods are so transparent.

    10. Re:Global Governance by DragonMantis · · Score: 1

      Part of my fundamental problem with the models is that they make smoothing assumptions and they also use problematic temperature data. The data from early in the century is far more spotty than later data, but problems with more recent data have also been documented. It also thoroughly ignores the geological record. Still, models will get stronger over time. But so much of the important central research is founded on smoothed models correlating with smoothed data that it is difficult to accept much more than that we definitely are in a period of a geological cycle where the earth is warming and that humans have a local effect on the environment.

    11. Re:Global Governance by flyingrobots · · Score: 1

      How would you explain the obvious temperature "adjustments" NASA makes to it's data to fit global warming theory (linked in my original post).

      Go Bush, it was about time someone stood up for people instead of the environment for once. We're natural too.

      The inaccuracies and tampering being done by some folks at NASA and elsewhere is not only dangerous to freedom, but undermining the credibility of good scientists and shouldn't be tolerated.

    12. Re:Global Governance by flyingrobots · · Score: 1

      Sunlight makes ozone, in the winter time, there is very little, it starts to go away. In the summer, it comes back. Wow, you know, if I remember correctly, we didn't notice the hole previously mostly because we couldn't see it until fairly recently (last 40-50 years or so?). I wonder what the ozone hole would have looked like if we had the ability to tack it 100 years ago.

      The idea that we affected it in the first place is another example of the arrogance us human beings have. The earth is a heck of a lot more resilient than we give it credit.

    13. Re:Global Governance by flyingrobots · · Score: 1

      Last link in my original post. It is the lower troposphere temperature readings.

  20. Blame tv by thetacron · · Score: 1

    I think that whats constantly being passed on tv as science in US is eclipsing any real discovery. They need to realize that most real discoveries come in small parts ususally building on some one else's works. It's not woops we suddenly have warp drive. That and any real discoveries are being covered up by media hype of who died this week and who is dating who. A media discovery might get 2 minutes on CNN where as a funeral is playing on 16 channels for 2 weeks straight.

  21. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Exactly. OTOH, the average Republican already "knows" every answer because they were told what the Bible says about almost everything.

      Lotteries are for people who are bad at math.

      Religions are for people who don't want to "think."

      Effect does not equal cause.

    Just because a banana fits into a human hand nicely, doesn't mean there was some magical creator. A big stick also fits into a hand, so is that a sign that we should be clubbing each other all the time? No. It means that our ancestors found that grabbing a banana shape was extremely useful and hands slowly became more and more efficient at grabbing and holding that shape. Over time, we were tuned to live in this world, just like every other living thing on Earth. Humans are more adaptable than any other mammal, which lets us live in more environments than all the others. We've been tuned over millions of years by our genetic code, not in "6 days." My mother has a science degree and is very involved Catholic. Her way to reconcile this 6 day time difference is that days were much longer when Genesis was happening. There's no mention of the length of a day in the Bible during this time. The length of a day is a minor detail, IMHO. Whatever.

  22. These stories are stupid by MikeBabcock · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The research for these types of stories is horrible.

    What do I care if 84% of scientists believe the earth is getting warmer from human activity? My father's a scientist who studies product safety. His opinion on global warming is no more educated than the rest of the public's but he's a "scientist." A marine biologist might observe changes in habitat and deserve an opinion, but a chemist at a drug research lab probably doesn't rank above my own knowledge of global warming.

    Polling groups of people with a similar job title in totally different fields is misleading at best.

    --
    - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    1. Re:These stories are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Science is transferable because fundementally it is the same methodology. A scientist specialising in one field is still a person who can think scientifically and apply the same reasoning to one that is not his speciality. Providing experts in the other fields make their findings known and have been carefully reviewed by similar experts, the scientist in the initial field can safely assume the findings of other scientists are likely true, even if is outside of his expertise. Why? Because he's following the documented evidence.

      A detective doesn't need to understand everything about pathology to find a murderer.

    2. Re:These stories are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Scientist != "job title"

      I think it's very reasonable to think that someone who claims to be a scientist would be educated about a wide variety of subjects. A chemist might not know all the specific details pertaining to global warming, but they will have a better understanding of the mechanisms and processes involved than a "non-scientist."

    3. Re:These stories are stupid by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Once you know the scientific method and maybe have some basic background knowledge in general science, math and stats, you should be able to reasonably assess any scientific argument. If you can't, that argument is not clear enough.

      You may not be able to (immediately) do useful work in a foreign field, but you should be capable of judging the strength of any given result.

      So yes, your father, if he is a product safety scientist and not a technician, should know some stats and is probably quite knowledgeable about experimental design. These things will make him much more able to assess a the strength of scientific global warming results than an average member of the general public. Note that "An Inconvenient Truth" is not a scientific argument. There wasn't a single p-value in the whole thing.

    4. Re:These stories are stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know what you call a scientist speaking outside their field? A lay person.

    5. Re:These stories are stupid by darthwader · · Score: 1

      Your father (and you, probably) do know more than the average member of the public. Your father understands the statistics behind the studies. He understands that "happens 95% of the time" does not mean "unpredictable". He understands the process of conjecture -> experiment -> evidence -> theory -> new conjecture to refine theory -> new experiments -> etc. He understands that "scientific fact" can and will change once new evidence is available, but as long as there is a very large body of evidence for the current theory, it should be accepted.

      He even understands the difference between "fact", "theory" and "conjecture" which so confuses the general public.

      --
      I hate it when I make a joke and I get modded "+5 insightful". Mod the stupid comments "funny", not "insightful", pleas
    6. Re:These stories are stupid by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      The detective doesn't need to understand everything because he has experts at many things he doesn't understand helping him. Similarly, a scientist outside his field does not understand everything, and is therefore not well-equipped to understand it. He can see if the methods used are sound, but he can't necessarily do research.

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    7. Re:These stories are stupid by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      Actually as an intelligent man, he'd probably be the first to point out his inability to assess such a thing.

      One of the first clues of true intellect is the ability to assess one's limitations.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    8. Re:These stories are stupid by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      And that attitude is why some areas of science can devolve into inbred cesspools. When your answer to intelligent criticism is "well, you're not from this field, so what you say is irrelevant" you know you've turned into a pseudoscience. The appropriate response is "well, perhaps I haven't adequately presented my case."

      The principles of science and logic do not change because you're doing climate modelling, gene assays or particle physics. The biologist can't construct a climate model or run an accelerator but he can certainly note that if your conclusion depends on a t-test done on severely skewed data then your results are highly suspect.

    9. Re:These stories are stupid by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      That's not true at all. Logically speaking, scientists are no different in brain function from most any other educated person other than in their field of study.

      Therefore, do me a survey on educated people vs. uneducated peoples' perspectives, but specifying 'scientists' is silly. You may as well survey 'doctors' about the use of Lorazapan. Most of them don't know anything beyond what they're told in a drug company pamphlet, and a select few actually have good first-hand research knowledge.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    10. Re:These stories are stupid by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      "Logically speaking, scientists are no different in brain function from most any other educated person other than in their field of study."

      Well, if you want to call their field of study "science" then sure, I'll agree with you. If you want to start breaking things into tiny little sub disciplines, then no.

      ANY scientist should differ from the general public, even the general educated public, in having a better (general) science education, better knowledge of the scientific method, more experience using that method, better knowledge of and experience critically evaluating scientific evidence, and a better familiarity with data, general data analysis and statistical evidence.

      Are you one of these people who's convinced that science is something like an encyclopedia with different scientists all having memorized different sections of it? Science is a process and a tool. All scientists should be familiar with the tool and have just applied it in different areas.

      If my car is overheating I'm sure going to value the opinion of someone who knows about cars over someone who doesn't, even if the first guy hasn't ever looked under the hood of my particular model.

  23. I fail to see ... by LaughingCoder · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... how any *real* scientist could be anything but independent. Political parties subscribe to belief systems that are principally about self-preservation and perpetuation. Aligning oneself with one party or the other would seem to violate everything science is about. FWIW, I am registered unenrolled (a.k.a. independent) and typically vote anti-incumbent unless one or the other candidate truly inspires me (rare) or scares me (frequent).

    --
    The more you regulate a company, the worse its products become.
    1. Re:I fail to see ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Scientists are a pretty independent lot (just try to arrange to have four of them in the same room at the same time..herding cats is far easier). However in the US, you have one party (Dems) that range from strongly supportive of science to a bit wishy-washy with woo-love like homeopathy or whatever Dipstick Chopra and/or Oprah is peddling. The other party (Repubs) is unfortunately much worse. While not utterly devoid of pro-science people, the Republican Party taken as a whole is hostile to science. Anything from global warming, the EPA, evolution, human sexuality and reproduction, tobacco, even the very idea of public funding of scientific research the Republican Party is hostile to. For an example of everything that is wrong, science-wise, with the Republican party just google "Cynthia Dunbar" who was nearly made chair of the Texas state board of education by Gov. Rick Perry. Scientists know about this hostility, and so are typically either Democrats or Democrat-leaning independents (like me). I'd strongly suggest "The Republican War on Science" by Chris Mooney.

    2. Re:I fail to see ... by winwar · · Score: 1

      "Aligning oneself with one party or the other would seem to violate everything science is about."

      Why? Politics is not science. Science is not politics. Science is only one of many inputs to public policy.

      Hell, I was taught paleontology by a devout Mormon. And he did an excellent job of it. You can do excellent science no matter what party or religion you align yourself with. The reverse is also true....

    3. Re:I fail to see ... by coaxial · · Score: 1

      While independence is a good thing, let's say there's multiple elections with multiple candidates from multiple parties, over multiple years. Each election cycle, you hide the party affiliations of the candidates and so that you are not inclined to vote for the party and not the candidate. After a few years you go back and reveal all the political affiliations of everyone you voted for. 75% of time you voted for candidates from party A, and 20% of the time from party B, and a combined 5% from parties C though Z.

      You're now asked to self identify as with a political affiliation. What's your affiliation?

    4. Re:I fail to see ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What's your affiliation?

      None. He's still voting for individuals.

      Your example is also flawed by the fact that political parties change over time. The Jesus infested GOP of today did not even exist decades ago. In fact, Republican leaders of the time *warned* against mixing politics and religion. The Democrats as well- Dems of yesteryear would walk up to the fast and loose spenders of recent times and slap them in the face.

    5. Re:I fail to see ... by Bemopolis · · Score: 1

      Perhaps some of those scientists are like myself, who has noticed an inordinate amount of fire coming towards them from the right flank. This could also explain the smaller percentage of scientist who wear jewelry of a guy nailed to a tree.

      --
      "I guess the moral of the story is, don't paint your airship with rocket fuel." -- Addison Bain
    6. Re:I fail to see ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, but in a lot of states you have to register as a member of a political party to get a vote in their primary. So a large number of those scientists are probably not saying "My beliefs are aligned with the party propaganda" so much as they're saying "I want to vote in the Democratic (or Republican) primary."

  24. This study needs to be broken down by discipline by postermmxvicom · · Score: 1

    Mod parent up. Just because you are educated in one thing does not mean you are educated in all things.

    Hear is an anecdotal news flash. I have my BS in theoretical physics. Every one of my Physics friends (including those who went on to their PhD) and anything I have heard from my professors and their professors (except for one) says global warming smacks of bad science.

    So, it'd be interesting to see this study broke down by discipline so we could look at their educated opinions.

    --
    One last thing: Sometimes I wonder; "Is that someone's signature? Or do they type that at the end of each post?"
  25. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by drinkypoo · · Score: 0, Troll

    Do you think they always engage such behavior? Or is it just certain studies?

    I'm not making any particular charges against PEW, although certainly every time I hear of one of their studies I am pissed off, and when I read it I say "That methodology is fucking stupid." HOWEVER, I just want to put out there that if your purpose is to sell bogus studies, then even the act of putting out valid studies is only misdirection to support your evil.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  26. Re: skimpy media coverage of science by Spad · · Score: 1

    It's still not great (The iPlayer currently lists 57 "Science & Nature" programmes and 116 "Arts & Culture" shows, but it's still more than: Antiques (26), Beauty & Style (6), Cars & Motors (6), Cinema (5), Consumer (12), Crime & Justice (7), Disability (1), Families & Relationships (2), Food & Drink (17), Health & Wellbeing (12), History (36), Homes & Gardens (37), Money (51), Pets & Animals (10) & Travel (2)).

    That said, there are some excellent examples (though mostly on the radio, rather than TV); I'm a great fan of Radio 4's Material World and there are also shows like Digital Planet, Fossil Detectives, Leading Edge, Science Cafe & Science In Action.

    The sad truth is that most people either don't give a shit about science as long as their internets work or would be interested but struggle with the exclusionary aura that a lot of science programmes exude - which is why I like Material World as it makes a effort to be accessible to everyone.

  27. Science Czar vs public, then? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the general public is different from scientists, I hope they'll resist the new Sciece Czar. He's a eugenist in favor of a planetary government

  28. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

    Yes, you need to look at the bigger picture dude, it's a big conspiracy to suppress the Libertarians, dude! Because if the majority of scientists doesn't share the same political affiliation as I do (and everyone knows how big libertarianism is outside of IT nerd circles), then it must be that the Pew Research Center has a secret agenda of suppressing libertarians. Because everyone knows The Man has a big thing against libertarians. Like anyone cares about libertarians... hehe

    Like Shivetva when I don't like a fact I discard it by claiming that the fact was obtained by discarding other facts. I distort reality by accusing others of distorting it in the first place. It really works, in my version of reality.

    --
    You just got troll'd!
  29. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by maxume · · Score: 1

    Humans bred commercial varieties of bananas for size, flavor, texture and seedlessness (they may have some seeds, but not compared to wild bananas). So not a magical creator, but pretty much a creator.

    Anyway, mostly pointing out that that particular argument is dumb.

    --
    Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
  30. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by ScrewMaster · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The last thing they want is children thinking for themselves.

    That applies to any self-perpetuating group. If you catch people when they're too young to make distinctions, you can implant your ideas down at the level of attitudes where they're very, very hard to get at later. Relatively few people who were raised in a non-religious environment ever acquire faith later in life: such an adult will perceive much of a typical religious belief system to be as corny, fictitious and unjustifiable as it really is.

    Conversely, the bulk of people who were raised in religion die still believing it. As one of the aforementioned people who was not brought up in a God-fearing household, I often wonder how people who have strong religious beliefs manage to accommodate such cognitive dissonance. That is, how they rationalize the very evident inconsistencies between their programmed view of the Universe, and what actually is.

    --
    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
  31. Scientists outside their field? by kryptomaniac · · Score: 1

    If a scientist is evaluating subjects (often well) outside their sphere of study, how does that make their opinion any better than anyone elses?

    "And while 84% of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity, less than half of the public agrees with that."

    So "all" the non-climate related scientists evaluated the GW claims and read the papers and make their own opinions?

    OR

    Do they rather simply believe what they're taught in school?

    1. Re:Scientists outside their field? by oneirophrenos · · Score: 3, Insightful

      If a scientist is evaluating subjects (often well) outside their sphere of study, how does that make their opinion any better than anyone elses?

      Maybe it does, maybe it does not. I would say that the opinion of, say, an astronomer on evolutionary science carries more weight than the opinion on the same subject of an uneducated layperson completely unaware of the principles and methods of science. The layperson may reject evolution because to him it seems unfathomable that he could descend from monkeys (especially when the Bible contradicts it), whereas the astronomer, due to his own scientific grooming, understands that there might be larger causal framework at play that he may not be aware of that makes the evolutionary theory a plausible conception.

    2. Re:Scientists outside their field? by uid7306m · · Score: 1

          Scientists outside their field are not experts, of course. But, neither are they to be entirely dismissed. Even outside your field, you know how to think logically, you know about statistics, you know that science is a bit of a messy process sometimes, and you know how to evaluate what other scientists write. And, there may be a bit of overlap from one field to another, too.

          So, for instance, I am a non-climate scientist. I read the public stuff. I've gone to google scholar and read some of the techical papers. And, while I'd have to spend a decade to really get up to speed and do some of the work, I can understand generally what people are doing.

          When I read, I look for failures in logic. I look for places where they make assumptions that are not supported. I look for obvious violations of the physics I learned in school and the bits and pieces I've picked up from reading other papers. I look for signs that people hold their opinions for political reasons rather than because of their data.

          And, by and large, it all looks OK. So, I believe their conclusions. That's how *I* do it. No, I do not simply believe what I was taught in school.

    3. Re:Scientists outside their field? by eyendall · · Score: 1

      "If a scientist is evaluating subjects (often well) outside their sphere of study, how does that make their opinion any better than anyone elses?"

      Because a "scientist", or any properly educated person, is taught to think, analyse, critique etc. These are not subject-specific skills but are fully portable to all situations and subjects. You don't have to be a science PhD to recognise bullshit.

  32. From my vantage point... by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    I would say that actually there are more republicans in science than what that study found. Granted I cannot survey all the scientists in America. However, in the blue state where I am working on my PhD more than 6% of the scientists I know have conservative leanings. In my entering class of 22, there were two students who viewed Rush Limbaugh as a legitimate news source and blamed everything wrong in the universe on Bill Clinton, personally. And those were just amongst the fraction of students who were open with their political views.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
  33. One surprising trend by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

    One surprising trend I found in this survey was that among scientists, young scientists between the ages 18-34 believe in God more than older scientists aged 65 or more (42% vs 28%).

    If I'm not mistaken I think that in America (and in a lot of other countries) the number of believers in God is greater among elderly people than among the younger generations. So why the noteworthy discrepancy with scientists? Would it be that scientists 'find out' that there's no God some time during the course of their life/career? Would the 65+ year old scientists have been as religious when they were young as the current young scientists? Or could it be something else?

    --
    You just got troll'd!
    1. Re:One surprising trend by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here's a scientifically valid explanation using Occam's razor: Americans are getting dumber, including scientists. Import more Europeans. :)

    2. Re:One surprising trend by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

      Here's a scientifically valid explanation using Occam's razor: Americans are getting dumber, including scientists. Import more Europeans. :)

      As an American, let me say ... nah, you're not worth it.

      --
      The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.
    3. Re:One surprising trend by maxume · · Score: 1

      I think it would be tough to nail down. People losing religion will account for some of it, I would also think that there may have been a greater tendency for non believers to self select as scientists 50 years ago than there is today (mostly based on the notion that there are many more scientists today, so even though non believers still self select, the greater number of scientists has overwhelmed that factor).

      Given that the fraction of non explicitly religion American is still only about 1/6 (and there may be folks in that number who believe but do not follow a religious tradition), I think it would take a lot of work to explain it entirely.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    4. Re:One surprising trend by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Oh that's something I didn't consider, maybe there's more Europeans among older scientists ;-).

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    5. Re:One surprising trend by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      Great suggestion, that the gates of science would be more broadly opened letting more kinds of people in. That sounds specially true considered the hordes of people from all horizons getting themselves into biological research, and the large proportion of biologists that make up the survey's scientists group.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
  34. Quirks and Quarks bores me to tears by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Mostly,it's a dreadful show. I usually don't find it the least bit interesting. Maybe it's supposed to be some kind of science boosterism. The show was started by David Suzuki many years ago and when he had it, I wouldn't miss an episode. (Kind of like Ideas before and after Lister Sinclair) I have news for CBC management; If people aren't listening to your shows, those shows aren't succeeding in their intended purpose, no matter what that intended purpose is.

    Currently, the shows that make me sit up and take notes are 'Innovations' and 'All in the Mind' on the Australian Broadcasting Corp.

    Although I now teach (engineering), I spent the first six years of my career in a scientific environment. If the CBC can't interest me in its science show, who can they interest?

  35. Denial of science by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Democrats seem to think there are no biological differences between classes, castes, ethnicities, races and genders; science says otherwise.

    Republicans seem to think there are illusory differences between humans and monkeys.

    I think both are anti-science.

  36. Scientists know science by thereimns · · Score: 1

    While evolution by natural selection and global warming and both fairly fundamental phenomena that should concern anyone who is trying to understand the world at large, they are both still scientific topics. That is, they were both discovered by scientists, explained in the language and culture of science, and are justified with scientific methods. No matter how much the layman should understand these topics, should it really be a surprise that people who are extensively trained in science, otherwise known as scientists, understand scientific topics much better than the public at large? Scientists have expertise in science, and that is clearly shown in the numbers here.

  37. Who? by damn_registrars · · Score: 5, Informative

    Pew used the AACS membership list to generate their list of "scientists" to poll

    I looked to find this "aacs" you refer to. I came up with several organizations:

    • American Association of Christian Schools
    • American Academy of Cosmetic Surgery
    • American Association of Cosmetology Schools
    • Advanced Access Content System
    • Annapolis Area Christian School
    • Ashtabula Area City Schools

    None of those organizations seem particularly scientific to me. Perhaps you meant the AAAS - American Association for the Advancement of Sciences. And if we look at their membership requirements for the US we'll see that only students can sign up for full membership at $99 per year. A K-12 teacher would pay $146, the same as the professional rate, though they do have a low-frills option at $99.

    The stated goals of AACS essentially define it as a left-leaning organization

    Not sure where you got their goals from, but we'll read their website:

    The American Association for the Advancement of Science,
    "Triple A-S" (AAAS), is an international non-profit organization dedicated to advancing science around the world by serving as an educator, leader, spokesperson and professional association. In addition to organizing membership activities, AAAS publishes the journal Science, as well as many scientific newsletters, books and reports, and spearheads programs that raise the bar of understanding for science worldwide.

    The same page continues on with some broad goals:

    AAAS Mission
    AAAS seeks to "advance science, engineering, and innovation throughout the world for the benefit of all people." To fulfill this mission, the AAAS Board has set these broad goals:

    * Enhance communication among scientists, engineers, and the public;
    * Promote and defend the integrity of science and its use;
    * Strengthen support for the science and technology enterprise;
    * Provide a voice for science on societal issues;
    * Promote the responsible use of science in public policy;
    * Strengthen and diversify the science and technology workforce;
    * Foster education in science and technology for everyone;
    * Increase public engagement with science and technology; and
    * Advance international cooperation in science.

    That doesn't really seem particularly liberal or conservative from a political standpoint, unless conservatives have a decidedly anti-science-education standpoint.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That doesn't really seem particularly liberal or conservative from a political standpoint, unless conservatives have a decidedly anti-science-education standpoint.

      *DING*DING*DING*DING* We have a winner!

    2. Re:Who? by blueg3 · · Score: 2, Informative

      The organization he's referring to is the American Association of Concerned Scientists -- which is not the organization used in TFA, but is an open-membership, left-leaning organization of scientists.

    3. Re:Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have to imagine that people moding the GP up are doing so for political reasons because they don't like what the poll said. The Republican/Libertarians don't like that they said that 55% of scientists are Democrats. The religious slashdotters don't like that so many scientists don't believe in God.

      Why should it matter to you what scientists believe? You usually ignore what they say when it doesn't fit into your ideology.

    4. Re:Who? by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      Neither Google nor Acronym Finder has ANYTHING called "American Association of Concerned Scientists". Sounds like you got the name wrong.

    5. Re:Who? by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

      The organization he's referring to is the American Association of Concerned Scientists -- which is not the organization used in TFA, but is an open-membership, left-leaning organization of scientists.

      I did not find them when searching for "aacs". I did, however, find the Union of Concerned Scientists, who certainly have a very clear opinion on global warming.

      --
      Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    6. Re:Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Wrong! There is no AACS. You're thinking of the Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) (http://www.ucsusa.org/). The post did actually refer to the AAAS, not the UCS.

    7. Re:Who? by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I don't think i would to join a group of "concerned" scientists. Its just doesn't sound that professional or, serious. What about serious scientists? And everybody is an Association these days, I think society works better. The American Society of Serious Scientists... (ASSS).

      Unfortunately I am not an American so I would not be eligible...

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    8. Re:Who? by bhiestand · · Score: 1

      AAAS Mission
      AAAS seeks to...:

          * Promote and defend the integrity of science and its use;
          * Provide a voice for science on societal issues;
          * Promote the responsible use of science in public policy;
          * Foster education in science and technology for everyone;

      That doesn't really seem particularly liberal or conservative from a political standpoint, unless conservatives have a decidedly anti-science-education standpoint.

      How can you call this group non-partisan? I doubt there are too many Republicans in their ranks!

      --
      SWM seeks new sig for a brief fling
  38. Look at discovery channel by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    It used to have REAL documentaries about serious subjects. Nowadays I amazed between the endless blowing things up stuff to find a tiny morsel of information I already knew when I was 10.

    Take the slashdot population. Most are drooling over the mythbusters especially since they added tits for ratings. But the series has REALLY gone down. Gone is any sense of serious myths, or getting experts to explain the background. Now it is all about blowing things up to the point where a lot of the stuff they do becomes very bad science.

    The world is dumbing down because we allowed marketing to control what is on TV and marketing always seeks the easiest path to the largest audience. If a marketeer has 9 people: 3 get it, 3 barely get it, 3 will NEVER get it. Then the marketeer will aim for the bottom 3, thinking that the result will include the top 3. Nope, they will hangup in disgust.

    The BBC is experiencing this. It once had excellent programs but it has been a LONG time since a new BBC show was a guaranteed sale across the world. There is a reason we report a new season of Red Dwarf with such fervor. Because there has been NOTHING like it since. Reality programs... sure. They are a dime a dozen and if you really have no clue whatsoever about how a building is blown up, one might be intresting to watch. But after the 6th season, I think I know how a bike is build thank you very much. I know that all american bikers are openly gay (ever seen any of them with a woman?) and applaud them for their confidence in expressing their sexuality in the heartland of the US but can we PLEASE get some real information back on the Discovery Channel?

    And no, real information is NOT 3 sentences endlessly repeated time and time again in a serious voice.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:Look at discovery channel by tie_guy_matt · · Score: 1

      Well, at least we still have NOVA on PBS. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nova_(TV_series) after 35 years still making good documentaries. I find that the Discovery channel won't do it by itself anymore, the signal to noise is too low. But if you have the science channel, all of the history channels, national geographic channel, etc then at any given moment there is an outside chance of finding something interesting.

      As for the BBC not making anything that appeals to an internation audience anymore, BBC america likes to claim that they are the fastest growing cable network in America. When tourchwood came out a couple of years ago it made such a big splash that it got the highest ratings of any show in BBC america history. Even my wife who only watches reality show had heard of tourchwood, primeval, and the new doctor who as they must have become so popular that even non sci-fi freaks are talking about them.

  39. Yet they still agree. by Bananenrepublik · · Score: 1

    Yet, they still mostly agree. Which points to there being a common reason for their agreement. This is the interesting thing. The reason may well be their higher average level of education and the fact that their day job requires critical thinking.

    1. Re:Yet they still agree. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      Your common base is media coverage, period.

      Do a survey on how many of those surveyed have read any of the actual research on the subject and did their own work on the logic therein. I can guestimate the answer is very close to zero.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
    2. Re:Yet they still agree. by Bananenrepublik · · Score: 1

      So they're reading different media from the general populace. Either that or they're reading it differently. Still interesting.

    3. Re:Yet they still agree. by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      Knowing a number of scientists myself, and having several in my family, yes, they tend to read slightly different media sources. They also tend to have a different bias when listening to or reading those stories than the general public does. That doesn't make the agreement between them in the least bit educational outside sociology.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
  40. Re:Why in the flying fuck is that a troll by Informative · · Score: 1, Funny

    Sorry, bud. You've been censored by the inquisition of the church of global warming.

    Your comment is actually insightful or informative, or something, but politically incorrect.

  41. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by narfspoon · · Score: 1

    Critical thinking should be a required course in every high school...

    Obligatory link.

  42. Why does the gap occur? by muuh-gnu · · Score: 1

    The gap does not occur just because evolution or climate change are so hard to understand you have to be a life long scientist to understand them, no, the gap occurs because peoples brains are actively protecting their religion by refusing to believe those scientific results that contradict whats holy (aka untouchable, even by hard evidence) to them.

    In several eastern european countries, or in east germany, you wont find especially many american-style religious people because communist regimes tried several decades long to get rid of organized religion after WW2 and they partly succeeded. Now, this clearly was against holy religious freedom blablabla, and religions are slowly comming back after the iron curtain disappeared, but it nonetheless rendered many people quite immune against organised religion's pseudo-sience bullshit.

    The reason you'll find very few people there that are refusing evolution or earth warming isnt because many of them are scientifically educated, no, but simply because they werent religiously indoctrinated strong enough to refuse to accept scientific reality when it contradicts religious scriptures.

    The only reason evolution is discussed in the US _at all_ is the strong grip of organised religion and its struggle to stay the major repository of knowledge about life. Religions lost the "sovereignty of interpretation" (what would be a better translation of "Deutungshoheit", someone?) of science to.... science, with evolution they're losing the Deutungshoheit on _life_ itself, knowing theres not much left for them to interpret. Even Darwin himself hesitated for freaking 20 years to publish his results about evolution of species because he knew that it would be the last, or one of the last nails in religion's coffin.

  43. A Republican Scientist Reporting by sonnejw0 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I am a student of neuroscience at the graduate level, find religion to be extremely valuable at a philosophical level and as an important tool to buttress a healthy society, and I understand that a drive toward equilibrium and low energy states is the driving force behind all interactions. I have seen the evidence that the world is globally warming, and that one of the main causes of that is the introduction of greenhouse gases by human activity.

    But I also find the idea of large government to be entrapping and without any verifiable benefit to society. I prefer the self regulation of capitalism ... but also understand that there needs to be some laws to stifle monopolistic corporations, or innovation will be just as stifled as if it were a socialist system (because large corporation is practically the same as large government, just with a different location of power). I also understand that capitalism and society do not work quickly enough at all times, but they are the ideal methods. Perhaps the 4 year terms should be evaluated more closely, because society definitely moves more quickly than every 2 years.

    And really, who can disagree with the idea of renewable resources, either from an environmental, social, or military perspective? I enjoy listening to Rush Limbaugh as an entertainer only.

    I find that my political objectives are aligned with the "Democratic" party, but my prefered method is much more similar to the "Republican" party (I prefer the terms "socialist" and "privatist" as they more accurately reflect the ideas, but the party names are what they are unfortunately). So, philosophically or functionally I am a Republican, but my goals are socially liberal (not to be confused with the political Democratic Party).

    Basically, I want my personal freedom.

    1. Re:A Republican Scientist Reporting by greyhueofdoubt · · Score: 1

      Perhaps the 4 year terms should be evaluated more closely, because society definitely moves more quickly than every 2 years.

      That is exactly *why* our terms last longer than fads. If our terms were 6 months long, American Idol would be our presidential election.

      Yes, world events change rapidly; however, the basic tenets of governance: Finance, diplomacy, law, ethics, etc- these change very slowly. In theory.

      -b

      --
      No offense, but I've stopped responding to AC's.
    2. Re:A Republican Scientist Reporting by sonnejw0 · · Score: 1

      I meant more than just absolute time of the term. Maybe having election cycles more staggered so we elect someone every year. We might get tired of that, though. I don't know, I just thought that comment might open some interesting discussion.

  44. Market economy is to blame. by migla · · Score: 1

    Here's a totally unfounded theory:

    Capitalism and marketing is at the root of this evil. Over the last few decades, marketing has grown to be more efficient and more ubiquitous.

    Science isn't groovy, compared to other ways of life a marketer can conjure up images of with which to influence young minds to become good consumers.

    --
    Some of my favourite people are from th US; Vonnegut, Chomsky, Bill Hicks.
  45. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by subsonic · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I don't know if the media really is clueless (though many 'journalists' believe anything you tell them with a straight face) but more just out of ideas. The Michael Jackson coverage was a prime example, eventually, just to fill time CNN had on some psychics/astrologers on. I don't think having unpopular ideas reported or discussed in the news is a bad thing, so long as you look at it critically just as you would with people with differing views on the economy.

    The thing that really worries me about journalism, especially on TV is allowing opinion to run right alongside actual reporting. Fox news is the most blatant with this type of coverage, but MSNBC and CNN are pretty close in this lazy time killer. Just do 10 seconds of reporting on an issue, then cut back to someone just saying "this is stupid and it'll ruin society!" and eventually people start viewing all news through a quick-reaction filter.

  46. Just a non-answer. by turkeyfish · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "I'm thinking it's the part where people arrive at a conclusion regarding matters of science from a path dictated by politics and or religion."

    I'm thinking your thinking is irrelevant to the science. Why not try to answer the question with data or reasoned argument rather than a nice sophistic non-denial denial?

    There was nothing in the post concerning what we know about the effect of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere that is in any way the product of politics or religion, so exactly what's your point about there only being a "correlation" and not a well understood cause and effect relationship?

    Do you actually have to observe someone hitting you on the head with a hammer before you can notice that your head hurts? That might be a pretty rigorous form of hypothesis testing, but like the case of study of global warming, your approach is going to be both far more expensive and painful than it needs to be.

    1. Re:Just a non-answer. by WCguru42 · · Score: 1

      Do you actually have to observe someone hitting you on the head with a hammer before you can notice that your head hurts? That might be a pretty rigorous form of hypothesis testing, but like the case of study of global warming, your approach is going to be both far more expensive and painful than it needs to be.

      I'm not trying to dispute your argument about global warming but all signs seem to point to a need to be smashed on the head to know it hurts. Maybe it wasn't a hammer, but when you (the universal one) were a wee lad you might have smacked your head on something and it hurt. Then something else smacked you in the face and you were able to figure out that things hitting your head hurt and that you shouldn't let that happen anymore.

      --
      "Educate the mind but never at the expense of the soul."~Blessed Basil Moreau
    2. Re:Just a non-answer. by bhima · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Why not try to answer the question with data or reasoned argument rather than a nice sophistic non-denial denial?

      Because the scientific community and the wider internet is already awash with data and extraordinarily well reasoned arguments outlining the realities of anthropogenic climate change. Nothing I post on any website is going to change anyone's mind. It won't because it's become a politicized issue, which deniers traffic in talking points from propagandists and preachers.

      It's not that they are misinformed, it is that they have made a decision from a political or religious perspective to deny reality. They push these long refuted talking points not because they are completely convinced of their accuracy or validity but rather because they have an intent to misinform. In truth they have no interest in the facts or the science behind the facts, except to the extent that they view such facts with hostility.

      --
      Nothing in the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
    3. Re:Just a non-answer. by Alsee · · Score: 1

      they have an intent to misinform

      There are many reasons people can initially wind up with a wrong view on something, and there are many reasons people wind up stuck in a self-reinforcing wrong view, but most all people are are wrong are entirely sincere in their wrongness.

      It is an unfortunate fact of human nature that most people will quickly adopt a strong view from minimal or even irrelevant reasons, and an even more unfortunate fact of human nature that people generally find it exceedingly difficult to recognize they were wrong and reverse their position even when later faced with far better reasons to accept the opposite position. It's generally that they are being willfully dishonest, it's just that the current personal belief is presumed true, and the "fact" of the current belief being true itself implicitly establishes the perceived "falsity" of the new contradicting information. They sincerely believe the new information is indeed false, with the correct logical response being to identify and present the reason the new information is false. People can be quite creative in figuring out how and why something is wrong, and it is hardly unusual for such explanations to have less than ironclad mathematical proof to them, they are nonetheless sincerely believed explanations for why the new contradicting information is indeed wrong.

      One of the quickest simplest methods to dismiss incorrect information coming from an unreasonable foe is simply to determine that the source is obviously biased for spewing such absurd false claims. The opponent is being unreasonable and irrational and is using obviously impossible arguments ceaselessly defending the clearly false claim they obtained from the blatantly biased source. And when someone is being completely unreasonable and they are completely incapable of grasping your simple reasonable explanations, sooner or later you just give up and write them off as a brick wall incapable of seeing (your) reason. They are biased and unreasonable, and they are blindly persisting in repeating the blatantly biased information from the biased source.

      The quickest easiest way to dismiss "false information" and self-reinforcingly preserve one's own bias is simply to dismiss *it* with a charge of bias.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
  47. religion is not where the truth is by FudRucker · · Score: 3, Informative

    shamelesly stolen from another website, i am not plagiarizing this, (i lay no claim to authoring it, but i love it)

    So here's the thing: We have 46 chromosomes. Our nearest great ape relatives have 48. On the surface, it looks like we must have lost two. But that's actually a huge problem. Made up of organized packs of DNA and proteins, chromosomes don't just up and vanish. In fact, it's doubtful any primate could survive a mutation that simply deleted a pair of chromosomes. That's because chromosomes are to the human body what instruction sheets are to inexpensive, flat-pack furniture. If you're missing one screw, you can still put that bookcase together pretty easily. But if the how-to guide suddenly jumps from page 1 (take plywood panels out of box) to page 5 (enjoy bookcase!), you're likely to end up missing something pretty vital. All this left scientists with a thorny dilemma: How could we have a common ancestor with great apes, but fewer chromosomes?

    Turns out: The chromosomes aren't missing at all. Genetic investigators caught the first whiff of the prodigal chromosomes' scent in 1982. That year, a paper published in the journal Science described a very funny phenomenon. Researchers knew all chromosomes had distinctive signatures; patterns of DNA sequences that can be reliably found in specific spots, including in the center and on the ends. These end-cap sequences are called telomeres. Telomeres are like the little plastic tips that keep your shoelaces from unravelling. They protect the ends of chromosomes and hold things together. Given that important function, you wouldn't expect to find telomeres hanging out on other parts of the chromosome. But that's exactly what the 1982 study reported. Looking at human chromosome 2, the scientists found telomeres snuggled up against the centromere (the central sequence). What's more, these out-of-place human telomeres were strikingly similar to telomeres that can be found, in their proper location, on two great ape chromosomes.

    This evidence laid the groundwork for a brilliant discovery. Rather than falling apart, the two missing chromosomes had fused together. Their format changed, but they didn't lose any information, so the mutation wasn't deadly. Instead, scientists now think, the fusion made it difficult for our ancestors to mate with the ancestors of chimpanzees, leading our two species to strike out alone. In the two decades since the original study, more evidence has surfaced backing this up, which leads us to 2005, when the chimpanzee genome was sequenced around the same time that the National Human Genome Research Institute published a detailed survey of human chromosome 2. We can now see extra centromeres in chromosome 2 and trace how its genes neatly line up with those on chimpanzee chromosomes 12 and 13. It's a great example of evidence supporting the common descent of man and ape. [EOF]

    So all you christians are wack thinking some imaginary god did it.

    --
    Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
    1. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You try explaining that to a creationism advocate and you'd lose them at "46 chromosomes"

    2. Re:religion is not where the truth is by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      Recently, some evolutionary scientists came before God and said to him, "We don't need you any more. We can explain everything with natural processes and do anything you could do."

      And so God challenged the scientists to a contest to create life. Of course, they would have to do it the old way that God had done, and if they exceeded Him, He would go.

      So, the lead scientist was gathering up some dirt when God noticed and said, "Woah, woah.. You make your own dirt."

      --- Plagiarized from some of the many email forwards I recieve.

      Anyway, the point is, did you get involved in research to learn more about the way things work, or so that you would have some kind of "i'm smarter than you" cudgel you could use to beat the dweebs with who have religious views? Because really, it seems to me, that without the "we're trying to disprove God" mission you've attached to biological research, a lot more people would buy-in on the costs of performing that research, and we'd all learn a lot more.

      But.. go ahead and "be smarter than everyone" if it makes you happy. Just don't go around complaining if you don't get invited to the sorts of parties that Christians also don't get invited to.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    3. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

      A little off topic?

      FYI - Christianity doesn't claim to deliver by what exact process things happened. It does say, briefly in the first books, that it all ultimately came from one source. How it went from there is left out.

      So, just asking.... to you, everything just is? I'm not talking about evolution by natural selection, I'm talking about before our universe, according to you, just magically exploded into existence.

    4. Re:religion is not where the truth is by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      Two chromasomes fusing would reduce the number by 1. How is it that we have 2 fewer?

    5. Re:religion is not where the truth is by __aashqr1992 · · Score: 1

      Because in sexually reproducing organisms, chromosomes are diploid (ie, they come in pairs) - half come from each parent. Wikipedia ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chromosome ) has the basics largely correct.

    6. Re:religion is not where the truth is by oneirophrenos · · Score: 1

      We have 23 chromosome pairs. Before mitosis (cell division), the chromosomes duplicate, producing a diploid set of 46 chromosomes.

    7. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh yeah?? well its not just christians..its jews too. and we dont think any imaginary god did it. We think it was the God of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob who did it. you know not of which you speak.

    8. Re:religion is not where the truth is by telomerewhythere · · Score: 0
      A few questions.

      1. How long is this telomere?

      2. How many other telomeres have been found in the middle of other organisms' chromosome pairs?

      3.How often has this happened in other organisms? "Their format changed, but they didn't lose any information, so the mutation wasn't deadly."

      4. Is there a mechanism that scientists have found that will allow for this telomere-telomere fusion to happen?

      5. Is there evidence of these telomeres going somewhere else after fusion? If so, Where?

      6. What is the basic known function of telomeres?

      7. Do you believe/are you convinced that there is no god because of this study, or was that conclusion reached by you at some earlier or later time? If not by this discovery, then by what evidence?

      Thanks, I'd like to know. As you can see from my sig, this science interests me.

    9. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So either ONE of these new weird "chromosome-fused" creatures actually DID mate with a chimp ancestor OR this magical transformation that supposedly is so rare, happened twice, exactly the same, in 2 different chimp ancestors, WITHIN say 20-30 years...and as the opposite sex of the first, allowing the new breed of creature to have a mating partner...

      now consider that even if this were the case, even animals dont just happily mate with any other of the opposite sex. There had to be an approval.

      My completely unscientific theory is a little bit more radical....it goes something like this. That humans actually have no idea about how DNA works or any of that stuff. They speak like they understand it all, but until they can duplicate the work of God, instead of just observing it, then I'll stick with the theory that holds to logic. How can there be any design to DNA without a designer? How can things follow an exact pre-defined pattern, if no intelligent being first created that pattern? Even the evolutionists seem to believe that evolution follows rules? How is that so? How can you have rules and blind chance, all at the same time?

      I dont understand how any of that can be, but I do understand how the created can become so puffed up that they can deny or question the existence of the creator.

    10. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      oh yeah that makes perfect sense that does.

      christians must be so stupid, believing just any old wacky theory...

      tell me mate, if you're ever lucky enough to have a baby and be there from conception right through to birth and witness everything that takes place, then see your lovely wife breastfeeding your new baby, with milk that is agreed even by scientists to be the best possible liquid to feed and nurture the baby...and that milk arrives EXACTLY at the right time, out of the control of the mother....

      ask yourself how evolution fits in? Try to get your head around which had to come first...mutations are understood to be so rare that all of these things happening within 1 lifetime on the same being, seems a bit impossible dont you think?

      Has it ever occurred to ANY evolutionist that the first living organism that ever existed ALSO had to be self-reproducing? and perfectly so. not just some half-baked prototype. EVERYTHING had to work 100% right from the get-go, or the whole ordeal would've been a flop. I could go on, but I think you can work out where I'm going with this.

      Forget the scientific explanations for how we got here...none of it disproves the existence of an intelligent creator. When Adam was created, how old was he? His "measured" age would've been about say 20-30 at a guess, but his real age, only a few minutes. Was the earth really millions of years old? or was it created that way? Does natural selection just happen? or is it guided along a set path? Is there such a thing as random?

      Science can only observe and hopefully work out explanations for. But it cannot prove there is no God. As for the Bible, most of it is actual history and has been confirmed as FACT (comparing to other works of history). The rest of it is a matter of belief, but you cannot write off the whole book since a large part of it deals with the history of the nation of Israel. The Bible cannot prove conclusively that there is a God, neither can anyone else. All we can do is weigh up the evidence and form an educated opinion. You can choose not to believe it, but that is no more correct than choosing to believe in it and vice versa. In other words, if you believe there is a God, that requires faith, but if you believe there is NO God, that requires faith too. Neither can be proved.

    11. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your post starts off with religion, but ends with Christians. Christianity is not the sole religion on this planet. Please get out of your parents' basement.

    12. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Evolution and Creationism are belief systems.

    13. Re:religion is not where the truth is by ignavus · · Score: 1

      Beautiful non sequitur at the end.

      You seem to be unaware that large numbers of Christians - especially outside the US - do in fact accept evolution and have no fundamental problems with it.

      The largest Christian organisation in the world (the Catholic Church) sees no contradiction between evolution and Christian faith.

      I will show you an example of your reasoning: "It is quite clear to any reader that Frodo and Sam walked all by themselves from the edge of Mordor to Mount Doom. Therefore no imaginary author called Tolkien had anything to do with their journey." The process of evolution tells us about how the world works. It does not tell us why such a world even exists. If you want to know how Sam and Frodo got to Mount Doom, saying "Tolkien got them there" is both true and unhelpful - the question is really about the process within the story ("they walked") not about how the story as a whole even exists.

      --
      I am anarch of all I survey.
    14. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Veggiesama · · Score: 1

      Recently, some evolutionary scientists came before God and said to him, "We don't need you any more. We can explain everything with natural processes and do anything you could do."

      And so God challenged the scientists to a contest to create life. Of course, they would have to do it the old way that God had done, and if they exceeded Him, He would go.

      So, the lead scientist was gathering up some dirt when God noticed and said, "Woah, woah.. You make your own dirt."

      To which the plucky scientist replied, "That makes almost as much sense as this misleading and improbable story makes."

    15. Re:religion is not where the truth is by hkmwbz · · Score: 1

      So basically, you choose to willfully ignore facts just because you don't want to "be smarter than everyone"? You actually think being a dumb fucking moron is POSITIVE?

      --
      Clever signature text goes here.
    16. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Alsee · · Score: 1

      I have some extraordinarily significant information to offer.
      I offer PROOF that evolution can and did do exactly this sort of telomere fusion mutation that branched the 48 chromosome apes into the early 46 chromosome humans, and that it has in fact happened multiple times.

      1. How long is this telomere?

      It is normal for the length of telomeres to change of the life of an individual, so the particular length of the fused telomere in ape-human evolution isn't really significant to anything. It was some arbitrary length when the mutation first occurred, and would generally have remained remained the same length after that.

      2. How many other telomeres have been found in the middle of other organisms' chromosome pairs?

      I can only assume it's reasonably common in other species, but my knowledge is specific to humans. See below.

      3.How often has this happened in other organisms? "Their format changed, but they didn't lose any information, so the mutation wasn't deadly."

      It is a relatively common mutation, even just within humans. Normally a person has 46 chromosomes - 23 matched pairs. Occasionally two will fuse together like this, and the person winds up with 45 chromosomes, with the "missing" one glued to one of the others. I don't recall exactly how common it is, but I think it's probably a few hundred thousand humans with this condition, and they usually don't even know it. It is generally undetectable unless a doctor specifically screens your DNA. The only real symptom of the condition is a slightly lowered fertility rate due to the odd chromosome number screwing up a percentage of your egg/sperm cells. Sexual reproduction is based on an even number paired chromosomes, when there are an odd number things get slightly messed up. Such a person may need to try for an extra few months to conceive a pregnancy. Some egg or sperm cells will be defective. A conception using a defective egg or sperm cell will silently auto abort. Given a few pregnancy attempts a healthy egg or sperm cell will randomly get used and it will produce a healthy child. The child produced would have a 50-50 chance of carrying this mutation as well.

      Thus far I've been talking about people with a single merged-chromosome mutation, people who are generally healthy but and with an oddball 45 chromosome makeup, people with minor fertility issues. But now here's the really cool part. If someone with one of these mutations gets together with someone else with the *same matching* chromosome mutation, they will have double the fertility difficulties !BUT! they also have a significant chance of producing a very special child. Each child they do produce has a 25% chance of inheriting TWO copies of this mutation, inheriting it once from the mother and once from the father. This child will have !44! chromosomes. Instead of the normal human 23-pairs of chromosomes, the child will have 22-pairs of chromosomes. The child has 44 instead of 46, but 2 of those 44 are extra long and they hold the "missing" genes that a normal 46-person has. The child now has an even number of chromosomes - and they are all properly matched up pairs of chromosomes - with one extra ling "glued" chromosome paired up with another matching extra long "glued" chromosome. Now since this child has an even number of properly paired up chromosomes - this child does not have any fertility problems. The child is healthy and all of the genetic machinery for making children works smoothly again. If this 44 child has kids with a "normal" 46 human, they will have no fertility problems themselves but all of their children will have the funky 45 odd number fertility problem again. But if this 44 child were to marry another 44 person, they would true-breed perfectly healthy perfectly fertile 44 children.

      Medical science has documented at least TWO families with people reaching this 44 condition, one known family in the US and one known family in India.

      And the really really significant thing is that evolving fr

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
    17. Re:religion is not where the truth is by telomerewhythere · · Score: 0
      From Wiki and backed up by study #2:

      A Robertsonian translocation results when the long arms of two acrocentric chromosomes fuse at the centromere and the two short arms are lost.

      That is not at all what happened here.

      Research your answer to 5 a little better and get back to me.

    18. Re:religion is not where the truth is by Alsee · · Score: 1

      That is not at all what happened here.

      I'm not sure exactly what it is you are objecting to.

      Maybe I phrased something badly somewhere, but the basic point is that chromosomes can and do fuse with no loss of genes. This can happen and has been proven to happen. Humans can and have fusion-evolved from 46 to 44 chromosomes, just as human DNA shows the fusion evidence of our evolution from 48 chromosome apes.

      -

      --
      - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
  48. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by rohan972 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    That is, how they rationalize the very evident inconsistencies between their programmed view of the Universe, and what actually is.

    Easily.
    II Corinthians 5:7 For we walk by faith, not by sight

    In Christianity at least, faith is supposed to be different than what you see. For context, the next verse:
    We are confident, I say, and willing rather to be absent from the body, and to be present with the Lord.

    How do you suppose people can believe that their dead friend/relative is still alive and in heaven when they themselves are at the burial? The existence of a more important, more enduring reality than what is observed is a central concept, not an aberration adopted to defend the worldview.

  49. Serious problem with this Pew poll by Anon+E.+Muss · · Score: 2, Informative

    The Half Sigma blog points out a serious flaw in the design of this poll...

    There is a Pew research study purporting to poll "scientists." The question I immediately want answered is, what's a "scientist?" The answer, as far as Pew is concerned, is anyone who is a member of the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

    The AAAS is a liberal organization with stated goals such as "Increase diversity in the scientific community," "Use science to advance human rights" (sometimes in collaboration with leftist-sympathizing Amnesty International), "Sustainable Development" and "Women's Collaboration".

    You don't in any way have to be a real scientist to be a member of this organization. All you need to do is send them $146. School teachers are especially encouraged to join, and no one should confuse a grade K-12 school teacher with a real scientist.

    --
    The key sequence to access my Slashdot bookmark in Firefox is Alt-B-S. I don't believe this is a coincidence.
    1. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by winwar · · Score: 1

      "The Half Sigma [halfsigma.com] blog points out a serious flaw in the design of this poll..."

      How is it a serious flaw? I mean, I can see how it might be one. But do you have any evidence? And how is this different from any other poll? After all, at least in this poll you can access all of the questions and answers and know who they polled. The Pew poll may suck, but it sucks less than the others....

      But if there is a serious difference between the public and members of the AAAS (which you imply not to be real scientists), I find it hard to believe that the difference will be less with "real" scientists. Not to mention how you would define "real" scientists and then poll them....

    2. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 2, Informative

      You don't in any way have to be a real scientist to be a member of this organization. All you need to do is send them $146. School teachers are especially encouraged to join, and no one should confuse a grade K-12 school teacher with a real scientist.

      It's interesting that you take another blog as the gospel here. Could it be that you want this study to be flawed, so you're looking for any tenuous excuse to discredit the methodology? I've seen this same argument repeated here numerous time. Did none of you bother to actually look at the study methodology? It specifically excluded AAAS members that were primary and secondary level educators.

      The AAAS is a liberal organization with stated goals such as "Increase diversity in the scientific community," "Use science to advance human rights" (sometimes in collaboration with leftist-sympathizing Amnesty International), "Sustainable Development" and "Women's Collaboration".

      I challenge you to support your claims. You have several quoted items there, but I sure don't see those quotes on the AAAS Website, so where are they from? The closest thing I see is the 6th of their stated goals which is "Strengthen and diversify the science and technology workforce;" which maybe you read as some sort of affirmative action or something, but which seems to be a practical goal, not a liberal agenda, to me. Diversity is a kind of strength, providing flexibility and range for organizations. Finally, although I don't see it listed as an AAAS goal, since when is advancing human rights a liberal agenda? I thought both liberal and conservative ends of the political spectrum were human rights advocates.

    3. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The AAAS is a liberal organization with stated goals such as "Increase diversity in the scientific community," "Use science to advance human rights" (sometimes in collaboration with leftist-sympathizing Amnesty International), "Sustainable Development" and "Women's Collaboration".

      Conservatives would be insulted by your branding of diversity, human rights, sustainable development and gender equality as "liberal" values. Surely any rationally thinking conservative would be all for these things.

    4. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by Anon+E.+Muss · · Score: 1

      The fatal flaw in the poll is sample bias. The membership of AAAS is not representative of "scientists" as a whole. There are no requirements to join this organization, other than a willingness to pay a ~$150 annual fee. It's likely that members have an "interest" in science, but may not be scientists themselves. Also, the organization clearly has a "liberal" political orientation, which likely discourages "conservative" scientists from joining. This is a classic case of self-selection.

      I'm not passing any judgment on AAAS or it's members. I'm saying that it's wrong to represent a poll of AAAS members as a "poll of scientists". The statement may be literally true, but it's extremely misleading, to the point of intellectual dishonesty. It's like taking a poll of NAACP members, and then reporting that "90% of People strongly approve of President Obama".

      --
      The key sequence to access my Slashdot bookmark in Firefox is Alt-B-S. I don't believe this is a coincidence.
    5. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Look if you do enough research to look up sample bias and self selection, surely you can do enough research to actually follow the link and read the methodology of the study you're claiming is suffering from them. For example, they control for self selection in the study using statistics on contact methodology between respondents and the public. Your claim that the AAAS is a "liberal" organization is likewise a completely subjective opinion based upon the stated goals of the organization and your own, arbitrary definition of "liberal" as it is a decidedly not affiliated with any political party. Finally, your comments about anyone being able to join are misguided as the study was not of the general membership and weeded out nonscientists using survey questions and the information the AAAS had on its members, for example eliminating all primary and secondary education professionals.

      Basically, it looks to me like you have a belief you're trying to support, so you're looking for anything that might support it without looking too deeply. A real scientist forms opinions logically and rationally, rather than simply using those as methods to defend an opinion already formed.

    6. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by Anon+E.+Muss · · Score: 1

      It's interesting that you take another blog as the gospel here.

      I quoted from another blog that I've come to trust over a period of time. YMMV. That's why I provided the link. Feel free to form your own opinion.

      Could it be that you want this study to be flawed, so you're looking for any tenuous excuse to discredit the methodology?

      Actually, the poll results are basically in alignment with my personal biases. I think it's the right result, reached the wrong way. That kind of thing bothers me more than outright fabrication. I hate it when "my side" uses bogus arguments to advance the cause.

      since when is advancing human rights a liberal agenda? I thought both liberal and conservative ends of the political spectrum were human rights advocates.

      It all depends on how to you define "human rights", and what means you advocate to achieve them. For example, my personal definition of human rights includes freedom OF speech, specifically including speech that is hateful and offensive. Other people define human rights to include freedom FROM that kind of speech.

      --
      The key sequence to access my Slashdot bookmark in Firefox is Alt-B-S. I don't believe this is a coincidence.
    7. Re:Serious problem with this Pew poll by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      I notice you fail to answer several of my hard questions, including providing citations for your quotes.

      I think it's the right result, reached the wrong way.

      The problem being you just assumed it was the wrong way without actually reading the study in question.

      It all depends on how to you define "human rights", and what means you advocate to achieve them. For example, my personal definition of human rights includes freedom OF speech, specifically including speech that is hateful and offensive. Other people define human rights to include freedom FROM that kind of speech.

      You're presenting a false dichotomy. All free speech is limited in the cases where it infringes upon other individual freedoms. The question as to what situations a given freedom trumps another is simply a sliding scale where different legal systems have made different determinations. The term "hate speech legislation" is an overly broad an ill defined categorization used as a talking point so fanboys from one political party or another can have sound bites without having to think.

      You advocate free speech, which is admirable, but I doubt you can honestly advocate unlimited free speech. For example, if all the major news networks were paid billions to run television ads the day before an election slandering one candidate and claiming they murdered babies and ate them, would you think they should be protected because free speech is protected? Should a mafia don ordering a murder be found innocent of conspiracy to commit murder because he was just speaking and free speech is protected? If I rig a bomb to function via a voice control then say, "detonate" killing hundreds should I walk because my right to free speech trumps other people's right to live? Currently almost every country has laws that place other human rights above free speech in these instances and make such speech illegal.

      "Hate speech" legislation deals with where the line is drawn for free speech for groups that have been known to use violence against various minorities. Some of it goes further than I think is justified while other such legislation does not go far enough in stopping violent criminals and those who directly advocate and direct those violent crimes. It's a matter of balancing free speech against other protected freedoms a much more nuanced problem than you're presenting. Oversimplification can lead people to make very, very poor conclusions.

  50. Flat Earth - Global Warming Deniers Club by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    "And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?"

    By this type of argumentation one can argue that the earth is not really an oblate spheroid, but instead it is flat as after all there is still only a correlation between all measures of its shape taken to date. After all, all photographs taken to date from outer space show it as just a flat circle.

    One could take a similar approach and say we somehow know "nothing" about the warming effect of CO2 in the atmosphere and it really doesn't matter how much CO2 will add as after all, its "only correlated" with global warming. In the meantime, being able to make the mental jump between extremely strong correlation and "causation", we slowly cook the planet and ourselves.

    1. Re:Flat Earth - Global Warming Deniers Club by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

      "And if we also look at global warming with the same critical eye, can we really say that humans are responsible for global warming when all we can really show is a strong correlation?"

      By this type of argumentation one can argue that the earth is not really an oblate spheroid, but instead it is flat as after all there is still only a correlation between all measures of its shape taken to date. After all, all photographs taken to date from outer space show it as just a flat circle.

      One could take a similar approach and say we somehow know "nothing" about the warming effect of CO2 in the atmosphere and it really doesn't matter how much CO2 will add as after all, its "only correlated" with global warming. In the meantime, being UNABLE to make the mental jump between extremely strong correlation and "causation", we slowly cook the planet and ourselves.

    2. Re:Flat Earth - Global Warming Deniers Club by 4D6963 · · Score: 1

      You tell me. You're not replying to the right guy.

      --
      You just got troll'd!
    3. Re:Flat Earth - Global Warming Deniers Club by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correlation doesn't equal causation, but it's the smart way to bet. - Damon Runyon, or somebody like that.

            The real point is, we have to assume causation itself to get things done - just try to operate in the universe as a biological entity while denying cause and effect. In theory, even a strong correlation doesn't necessarily assure we have causation right. But even choosing not to decide is still making a choice, and to make the best choices we can, we have to proceed on the best model of causation we have.

            Here, we have pretty damned strong correlation. We also don't have any alternate theories that have nearly as much correlation. Could there be an alternate theory that has equally strong or better correlation to back it up? There could conceivably be one. But the election is right now, and we have to choose between the theories we have. There is no write in box for "a theory nobody has actually proposed yet'. There is a box for 'do nothing', but none for 'do nothing, and and I can prove that will be safer' (or even 'I have a strong correlation which suggests it will be safer to delay.').

  51. Flat-Earthers and Global Warming Deniers by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    No need to find a couple of other planets to experiment with, we are happily experimenting with planet earth.

    Global warming deniers would have us believe that the mean global temperatures over past decade has been getting cooler, although the thinning of Arctic ice, the retreat of every single world glacier, the more rapidly break up on Antarctic ice shields, the increased drying of continental interiors, increasing acidification of the world's oceans, and global mean temperatures and number of record temperature days tell a dramatically different story.

    The track record of those predicting global warming has also been shoddy, as recent revisions earlier model have been required, because they fail to account for the unexpected increase in the amount of warming observed. However, model accuracy does seem to be improving.

    The lack of global leadership or conversely the over-sized influence of those who stand to financially benefit by a "go slow" approach to carbon dioxide reductions are placing humanity in a tough spot. It looks increasingly as if human destiny is riding on which side of this bet it takes. Given the momentum of the forces involved, if the earth continues to warm faster than expected humanity may soon face some grim choices with respect to food production (both agricultural and primary oceanic productivity) with very little it will be able to do about it.

    If you think political discourse and human ability govern world affairs are unstable now wait until billions, rather than mere hundreds of millions as is the case today, can find to little food and turn their hungry attention to politicians and global warming deniers. If, or more likely when, they do, it will be a fitting tribute to their contribution to having waited too long to see what has now become the obvious.

  52. 9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution? by Hurricane78 · · Score: 1

    If this means that the other one does accept creationism, then he is by definition not a scientist.
    So my guess it, that that number is trash all by itself. :)

    Oh, and this shows how sad of a time it really is.

    Hmm... how many "scientists" did state that the sun revolves around the earth?

    --
    Any sufficiently advanced intelligence is indistinguishable from stupidity.
  53. Yep by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I work at a university and so work with PhDs all the time. There are a good many of them who think they know everything, but in reality have extremely limited knowledge outside of their narrow field. They'll be happy to tell you how you should of all sorts of thing, but if you investigate, you discover they know fuck all about what they are talking about. That they have a PhD means they are highly educated in a very specific field. It doesn't mean they are masters of everything. Some understand that, others do not.

    As an example we have a massive amount of wireless APs on our campus, hundreds per building. The idea is to provide total coverage. This necessitates they be placed all over, and not just in wiring closets and such. There are some in offices. We have a few professors that demanded the APs be moved, or who placed shields over them to "protect" themselves from the radiation. These are engineering professors, by the way, not art professors. So while this is even in their general domain, they still don't know about it and are as subjected to the same pseudo-science BS as the general public.

    While it might be a comforting idea to think scientists are all very smart, reasonable people, that just isn't the case. They are human like the rest of us, and there are plenty of them who don't know what they are talking about save for a small area, and even some who don't know what they are talking about in their area. Science works not because scientists are superhuman, but because the process of strong inference allows us to test and refine our knowledge. The process of science is what is amazing, not necessarily the people who work in it.

    Feynman's biography has some great commentary on this and the dangers of "averaging" opinions with people. That just because you ask a lot of people, doesn't mean that you got the right answer.

    As an example, suppose around the 1950s you asked 100 scientists about an atomic theory and 90% thought it was right, 10% thought it was wrong. Must be right huh? Now what if I told you the 10 that thought it was wrong were Bohr, Einstein, Feynman, Teller, Oppenheimer, Bethe, and so on. Maybe then you aren't so sure. Just because 90 random scientists think something, doesn't mean they are right and the people who actually developed the technology are wrong.

    Science is not a democracy, you don't vote on what the right answer is.

    So I'm with you, I really hate these stories of "Well X% of profession Y believe this!" That is marketing bullshit. "4 out of 5 dentists agree this is the toothpaste for you!" Ok well so what? Maybe 4 out of 5 dentists are just mediocre and the top 20% know that it is bunk. Any time I hear something telling me what percentage of peopel like something or believe something, I feel like I'm being sold something, not being informed.

    1. Re:Yep by Bemopolis · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I work at a university and so work with PhDs all the time. There are a good many of them who think they know everything, but in reality have extremely limited knowledge outside of their narrow field.

      Yeah, that's not really the point. The reason why Ph.D.'s would be expected more trustworthy on a topic outside their expertise (certainly more than a member of the general populus who is out of his element) is that they have a demonstrable ability to construct a hypothesis and support it through facts and arguments. While this does not mean that they are *right*, it does mean that they more likely to recognize an argument as well-constructed or so much anally-directed smoke.

      So, in general, I put more trust in the opinions of a random person with a Ph.D. than a random person without one. But of course I'd think that. I have a Ph.D.

      --
      "I guess the moral of the story is, don't paint your airship with rocket fuel." -- Addison Bain
    2. Re:Yep by MikeBabcock · · Score: 1

      No offence, but from all the people I know with PhDs, I've learned it means you have an ability to focus and personal discipline. An ability to apply the knowledge gained in a specific field to any other on the other hand? Not necessarily any different from the general public.

      --
      - Michael T. Babcock (Yes, I blog)
  54. rigged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Gotta love rigged polls, anyone who takes this or any obviously biased poll seriously is an idiot.

    Likewise anyone that takes "research" funded by this or that organization seriously is also just as much of an idiot.

  55. Labels Mean Nothing by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    Terms like Liberal, Conservative, Independent, Socialist, Marxist, Republican, Democratic, Strict Constructionist, Social Liberal, Financial Coonservative etc. mean little or nothing unless one has a specific context of outcomes to discuss them in, both those that occurred in the past and those expected in the future.

    However, such terms are highly valued and widely used in sophism to distinguish those who are on "your team/advocates" or "the opponents team/opposition"

  56. We hate our betters by AP31R0N · · Score: 2, Insightful

    i don't know if this is the case in other cultures, but in America, we seem to hate anyone who is better than us at anything. We are incapable of simply being happy for each other or grateful for what we have. This seems especially true of intelligence/education. We HATE smart people. If you correct someone's grammar, spelling, punctuation or the like... instead of making a note to try to do it right... they'll call you pedantic or a grammar snob or elitist or something else. A semi-educated person will call you a prescriptivist. Anything to avoid admitting ignorance or that you're right. It's odd to me that a nation so obsessed with accomplishment, despises anyone who accomplishes.

    Then there are the one uppers. If you tell them your house is yellow, their house is yellower... or they've seen a house that was yellower. Can't you just nod and say, "oh, yellow house, nice"? If you have a headache today, they have migraines everyday!

    There was a study saying that most Americans would rather that all their coworkers make 50K and for them to make 100K, than for everyone at the company to make 200K.

    We also hate anyone/thing that makes us question our beliefs. We think that because we have the right to have any belief that our beliefs should be unquestioned. That somehow we have the right to spout our beliefs at others, while anyone disagreeing with us must be silent. Free of speech/religion seems to apply only to the privileged Christians. The rest of us should just shut up and be grateful to be allowed to live. After all, we'd be put to death in Iran, right?

    --
    Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    1. Re:We hate our betters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know if this is the case in other cultures, but in America, we seem to hate anyone who is better than us at anything.

      I understand your sentiment, but as a non-American, I think the US is *less* prone to this sort of thinking compared to everywhere else, especially Europe and Canada. Canadians generally recent other's success, whereas Americans at least respect it.

    2. Re:We hate our betters by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you correct someone's grammar, spelling, punctuation or the like... instead of making a note to try to do it right... they'll call you pedantic or a grammar snob or elitist or something else.

      If you go around correcting other people's grammar, spelling, and punctuation, you're just a garden variety asshole. You need to seek professional counseling and Get A Life.

      Your broader point about envy is, of course, absolutely correct, except that it's an age old Human problem, not an American invention.

    3. Re:We hate our betters by canadian_right · · Score: 1

      Not in my part of Canada. We respect and admire others success, especially at import things. American Idol is not important. Landing on the moon is.

      --
      Anarchists never rule
  57. The earth is still flat by xednieht · · Score: 1

    Working in computers, binary systems, it always amazes me how in three dimensional reality most thought processes are 2 dimensional. Evolution vs. Creation, Republican vs. Democrat, Communism vs. Capitalism, and the 2 dimensional idiots always pick 1.

    In my profession working with binary systems, choosing just one or the other, in other words programming with just 1's or programming with just 0's is ludicrous. Both 1's AND 0's must be used to bee effective.

    Relating that to the original article it seems that both the scientific and religious communities that have brainwashed the subjects of the poll fail in the same way. One offers science, the 1's, as absolute, while the religion offers the 0's as absolute and they are both wrong.

    It took "scientists" 1,000 years to discover that the earth was not flat, it took religion equally as long to discover the error of their misguided faith. Is their failure not equal?
    It took "scientists" almost 2,000 years to figure out what we are made of, it took religion equally as long to discover just how mysterious the ways are in which the creator works.

    What is a few thousand years when you're working on a scale of infinity or eternity?
    Creation isn't some conjurer of cheap tricks, like poof now we have a human. Religion would relegate their own God to some cheap magic show.
    For all the empirical evidence about evolution scientists have yet to explain or recreate original life
    For all it's discoveries "science" still has more questions than answers


    The earth is still flat my friends and both science and religion are to blame for their two-dimension myopia.

    --

    Hope is the currency of fools
    1. Re:The earth is still flat by 99BottlesOfBeerInMyF · · Score: 1

      It took "scientists" 1,000 years to discover that the earth was not flat

      The scientific method came into use (was not named as such) in the 5th century AD. The discovery that the earth was flat is well documented as early as the 4th century BC. So I'd say it was closer to negative 1000 years, since the discovery predates what we call science.

  58. Natural selection in the workplace by proslack · · Score: 1

    Science is a collaborative effort that relies on peer-review to separate the wheat and chaff. Individual viewpoints are fairly irrelevant. It is also quite competitive (limited funding, search for prestige, a better position); even scientists that agree on issues or share viewpoints don't cut each other any slack.

    --


    Floating in the black seas of infinity without a paddle.
  59. Engineers as Scientists by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    Counting engineers as scientists may not be all that material as the vast majority of engineers are not citizens of the US and wouldn't be engaged in US electoral politics anyway..

  60. The world is not just US by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess the numbers would be others if they had survied a group of people representative of the global population, and not just the US. The topic is missleading... I must be new here.

  61. Scientist should be frustrated. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The media is reporting their theories as fact.

    1. Re:Scientist should be frustrated. by The+Archon+V2.0 · · Score: 1

      The media is reporting their theories as fact.

      Theory? You give them too much credit. The media reports unsubstantiated rumor as fact!

  62. Where did you get that stupidity ? by aepervius · · Score: 1

    EVen the greek a few millenia ago KNEW that the earth was not flat. All scientist knew it was round, and I dare say all educated persons, and all sailor educated or not. Recent scholarship, particularly since the 1990s,[3] has shown that with extraordinarily few exceptions "no educated person in the history of Western Civilization from the third century B.C. onward believed that the earth was flat" and that the prevailing view was of a spherical earth.[1] wiki quote. And again, it was known from 4 BC from greek.

    --
    C. Sagan : A demon haunted world:
    http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0345409469/
    visit randi.org
  63. Science is Relevant Across Disciplines by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    Scientists "outside their field" may not do direct experimentation or modeling that occurs in another scientific discipline. However, they can take such assumptions and and such conclusions test them in the context of their own expertise using the scientific method. Biologists do not routinely take temperature measurements and evaluate systems of linear and non-linear differential equations as do climate modelers, but they can for example, observe the changes in the distributions of many organisms and conclude that such changes are consistent with a model of global warming and inconsistent with either stable or cooling temperatures. Indeed, if you look at the composition of fish species taken at oil rigs off the north-central Gulf of Mexico coast, you will observe that there has been a significant increase in the number of species that were formerly only know to occur in Central America and that species requiring cooler waters, such as stripped bass are largely disappearing, despite heroic restocking efforts. Likewise, those who study ice cores and the dissolved gasses within them can also convincingly generate a detailed record of temperatures over the past 10,000 - 20,000 years and like-wise conclude that global warming is a fact. The wonderful thing about science is that it is interdisciplinary. You don't have to be a scientist in one particular field to address issues central to the scientific debate concerning global warming. Phenomena, such as global warming can be studied from a variety of perspectives by many different kinds of scientists.

    The reason there are so many scientists on one side of this debate and few on the other, is that data drive their conclusions. The scientific community has now moved well past the question of whether global warming is occurring, this is a largely settled issue scientifically. They are now focusing on how fast it is occurring and what the consequences the warming will be. Actually, this has become far more worrisome and with much broader implications than simply recognizing that we will have to begin to live with increasingly higher temperatures.

    That the "opinions" of these scientists are either consistent or inconsistent with a variety of kinds of data and expectations regarding such data and that such "opinions" have a "special weight" afforded them, stems from the predictiveness of these "opinions", not the fact that scientists have them.

    Your false choice between scientists making "their own opinions" or "simply believing in what they are taught in school" underscores a misconception in your mind as to what science is. Science is not sophism. Science is not about what you know. It is about how you know. It is not the conclusions that matter, it is how those conclusions are reached and the implications of these conclusions have to "likely outcomes" that make what scientists have to say important.

    If you were a betting man, this might tell you something worth listening to. If you are not, or simply like to bet only on the long odds, you can ignore scientist's "opinions" with respect to global warming and instead accept those of any preacher, witchdoctor, republican politician, or random number generator you please. However, as a caution, should you prefer the latter approach, you might want to consider hedging your bet, just in case those pesky scientists turn out to be right. Don't say you weren't warned.

  64. Re:9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by fotbr · · Score: 1

    It probably isn't as cut and dried as evolution vs creationism -- the question included a mechanism -- "natural selection" so there were probably some that think evolution, but with some other mechanism (I have no idea what it might be, but I also don't give a damn about how we got to be here either).

  65. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I am also very confused by this attitude.
    I was attempting to have a debate with a person from my community recently, (the actual issue is irrelevant here) and this person kept throwing bible verses at me as evidence. Now, I respect the bible for *some* of it's teachings, but I have problems accepting the bible literally, particularly if you consider that the actual books were not written by god/jesus/any supreme being, but rather by a person's recollections, which were later translated, sometimes poorly.

    It's very difficult to argue with this kind of person. They use evidence which I do not accept, and can not understand why I don't appreciate it. If you want to use that for your own life that's fine, but when it begins infringing on the rights of others, you better be able back up your assertions with more than "I can give you X numbers of bible verses which prove Im right."

    If there's one thing I've learned, don't try to argue with religious nutjobs.

  66. I for one... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...am glad that all the idiots seem to be coalescing in the US. Now if we could only keep them off /.

  67. Theoretical Physics Not Really at Issue Here. by turkeyfish · · Score: 1

    "Every one of my Physics friends (including those who went on to their PhD) and anything I have heard from my professors and their professors (except for one) says global warming smacks of bad science."

    Yes, and Einstein went to his grave not believing in quantum electrodynamics. There are a number of theoretical physicists who will go to their graves denying global warming. So What? Education levels and the disciplines of the scientists involved are largely irrelevant to the science. Perhaps, much to the discomfort of theoretical physicists, they do not sit at the top of a lofty scientific food chain, which from the apex of their perspective allows the quality of all science to be ascertained.

    The question is: are global mean temperatures rising and rising as a result of CO2 in the atmosphere? So far, the overwhelming empirical results across disciplines suggest that the answer is yes. Would it be wise for the world to wait for string theory to confirm to this observation before it begins to address the implications of this fact. No. Might we hope that theoretical physicists might assist in building fusion reactors to address this crisis in time to matter? Lets hope so.

  68. Re:9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If they're willing to tolerate the cognitive dissonance it is possible to be a scientist and a creationist. I went to grad school and a lab mate was an actual young-earth creationist. He was also a competent spectroscopist and passable biochemist. It's just that whenever evolution slapped him upside the head in lab, he shoved his fingers in his ears and went "lalalaicanthearyou," then if prodded enough went on and followed the up the evolutionary insight with an experiment. While largely competent, had he not had a bizarre religious hangup on evolution he'd have been a better scientist: he would have sought out those evolutionary insights instead of having to do mental gymnastics to merely allow them, unacknowledged, to aid his work.

  69. Or GM or nuke research by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    Since if you hear about some group being against either Genetically modified anything or civilian nuclear energy most people will think that group leans one way and it isn't conservative.

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  70. Or if the polutant is invisible by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    I mean it's alot easier to point at a festering pond and get people to agree to clean it up over a gas that turns out to be colorless and odorless and at the levels we're talking about also tasteless. (Actually at very high levels CO2 has a sour taste when it disolves in the mouth for what it's worth.)

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  71. Well to be fair to Geocentrism/tychonic systems by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    While Galilleo was big on heliocentrism he really couldn't give a way to demonstrate it was true. (You know, a scientific way through actual evidence. He had this idea that the tides demonstrated it but his explaination would have only caused 1 tide per day which was a bit of a problem.) Actually Tycho gave a way to disprove his system by pointing out if the earth didn't move there should be no stellar parallax. He saw none so he took it as evidence the earth didn't move. (In reality there is parallax but it's smaller that Tycho could measure.) Of course if you know how big the various objects in the solar system are or had a foucault pendulum you'd pretty much know the earth moves. (Too bad Galilleo didn't know the sizes and the foucault pendulum wouldn't come around until the 1800's.)

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  72. gaps are in education. perpetuated in religion by DragonTHC · · Score: 1

    first, if you doubt evolution by natural selection, you're delusional. You should be barred from holding public office and affecting society in any way.

    second, doubting evolution by natural selection is the same as doubting gravity or photosynthesis. they're all theories. Our proof of their validity comes from our observation of them.

    still doubt evolution by natural selection? iguanas taste like chickens. proof positive.

    --
    They're using their grammar skills there.
  73. Cosmology informs eschatology by rlseaman · · Score: 1

    The poll says more about Democrats than about scientists. Whether causally or casually, Democrats want to be perceived as being the "Smart Party". On the other hand, the Republicans have been referred to as the "Stupid Party" (http://www.harpers.org/archive/2009/02/hbc-90004449). One could argue that there is more evolutionary advantage for a party that appeals broadly to the uneducated than for a party that appeals narrowly to the educated. And hence the lack of enthusiasm among the Republican elites for educating the masses.

    Some subset of the religious far right in America have difficulty reconciling the overt word of God with the covert evidence of God's creation. Again, this says more about human nature than it does about Nature's God. An all powerful deity certainly could have planted pre-aged fossils underground - as well as layered the bedrock of the world with metamorphic, sedimentary and igneous strata that tell a coherent worldwide tale of deep time. The innumerable celestial clocks of planets, stars and galaxies could have been set in vast logically interconnected ways stretching back billions of years before James Ussher assures us the Universe first drew breathe. But again, doesn't this say more about the good Bishop than it does about He to whom the tetragrammaton refers?

    We share the world with the few who share our individual ideas and ideals and with the many who will dispute us. Every one of the faithful from every one of the world's great and small religions is an atheist - toward all the other religions. Who now believes in Jupiter and Ra, Zeus and Odin? A poll of what scientists believe is as pointless as a poll of spiritual beliefs. The defining difference, rather, is that at the end of the day (or aeon) there is now and ever shall be one science, but many religions.

    To deny religion is commonplace - at least the denial of specific religions belonging to others. To deny specific facts uncovered through scientific methods is also commonplace - even more so from other scientists. But the real world is ever ready to overcome all arguments. Humans will most likely be long gone before the supervolcano under Yellowstone reasserts its own scientific world view. But however long that Apocalypse is in coming, one can be confident that it will arrive before the Rapture (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rapture).

  74. Re:gaps are in education. perpetuated in religion by DragonTHC · · Score: 1

    another point.

    proof of evolution comes from understanding.

    belief of creation comes from lack of understanding. You call it faith, I call it ignorance.

    true faith comes from believing something you know can't be proven.

    --
    They're using their grammar skills there.
  75. Re:9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by kramerd · · Score: 1

    Hmm... how many "scientists" did state that the sun revolves around the earth?

    To be fair, at the time, using the scientific method, all evidence pointed to such a conclusion. Then, as new evidence was discovered, the idea that the earth revolves around the sun took hold. I am of course simplifying here, but this is what occurred, and this process is how we know that science works. You see, if we removed all religion and all science from humanity, and allowed them to come back, science would eventually reach the same conclusions that we have historically (ie we would eventually come up with evolution once again), but religion is a crapshoot.

    The important part of your post has been left out - why one who accepts creationism is not a scientist. Of course, it is because that person's findings are not supported by evidence, are not repeatable, and thus, those findings would not be accepted by the scientific community and that scientist would not be respected by his peers.

    If anything in the study should bother you, its that 84% of "scientists" believe that the earth is warming because of human activity. The scientific community believes that the earth is warming, as it has over the past century (1 degree C), it is seen as likely that over the next century the earth could warm as much as 2 or 3 degrees C. This is not, however, attributed to human activity, but rather to the natural fluctuations of the earths temperature. Otherwise, we would have to conclude that the last ice age was caused by dinosaurs not burning enough fossil fuels.

  76. Almost but not quite by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Actually, you only have to give up the 6000 assumption, which was a Biblically derived *lower bound* for how long the universe was around. Somehow, the less scholarly saw the lower bound and though it was an exact calculation....Sort of like the joke about the tour Guide that told people that the Dinosaur bones on display were 200 million and 10 days old, because he started work 10 days ago and he was told then that the Dinosaur bones were 200 million years old.

    Anyway, wrt evolution, G. K. Chesterton in "The Everlasting Man" said it better than I can: "Most modern histories of mankind begin with the word evolution, and with a rather wordy exposition of evolution, for much the same reason that operated in this case. There is something slow and soothing and gradual about the word and even about the idea. As a matter of fact it is not, touching these primary things, a very practical word or a very profitable idea. Nobody can imagine how nothing could turn into something. Nobody can get an inch nearer to it by explaining how something could turn into something else. It is really far more logical to start by saying 'In the beginning God created heaven and earth' even if you only mean 'In the beginning some unthinkable power began some unthinkable process.' For God is by its nature a name of mystery, and nobody ever supposed that man could imagine how a world was created any more than he could create one. But evolution really is mistaken for explanation. It has the fatal quality of leaving on many minds the impression that they do understand it and everything else; just as many of them live under a sort of illusion that they have read the Origin of Species.

    But this notion of something smooth and slow like the ascent of a slope, is a great part of the illusion. It is an illogically as well as an illusion; for slowness has really nothing to do with the question. An event is not any more intrinsically intelligible or unintelligible because of the pace at which it moves. For a man who does not believe in a miracle, a slow miracle would be just as incredible as a swift one. The Greek witch may have turned sailors to swine with a stroke of the wand. But to see a naval gentleman of our acquaintance looking a little more like a pig every day, till he ended with four trotters and a curly tail would not be any more soothing. It might be rather more creepy and uncanny. The medieval wizard may have flown through the air from the top of a tower; but to see an old gentleman walking through the air in a leisurely and lounging manner, would still seem to call for some explanation. Yet there runs through all the rationalistic treatment of history this curious and confused idea that difficulty is avoided or even mystery eliminated, by dwelling on mere delay or on something dilatory in the processes of things. There will be something to be said upon particular examples elsewhere; the question here is the false atmosphere of facility and ease given by the mere suggestion of going slow; the sort of comfort that might be given to a nervous old woman traveling for the first time in a motor-car.

    Mr. H. G. Wells has confessed to being a prophet; and in this matter he was a prophet at his own expense. It is curious that his first fairy-tale was a complete answer to his last book of history. The Time Machine destroyed in advance all comfortable conclusions founded on the mere relativity of time. In that sublime nightmare the hero saw trees shoot up like green rockets, and vegetation spread visibly like a green conflagration, or the sun shoot across the sky from east to west with the swiftness of a meteor. Yet in his sense these things were quite as natural when they went swiftly; and in our sense they are quite as supernatural when they go slowly. The ultimate question is why they go at all; and anybody who really understands that question will know that it always has been and always will be a religious question; or at any rate a philosophical or metaphysical question. And most certainly he will not think the question answered by some substitution of gradual for abrupt change; or in other words by a merely relative question of the same story being spun out or rattled rapidly through, as can be done with any story at a cinema by turning a handle. "

  77. "nearly 9 in 10 scientists accept the idea" by Gonoff · · Score: 1

    So this means that more than 10% of people identified ad scientists in the USA believe in the Flying Spagetti Monster or something?

    --
    I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
  78. obligatory xkcd comic by fl!ptop · · Score: 1
    --
    When you recognize love in another and realize how precious it is, everything else seems so insignificant.
  79. ignorance is denial by Ilyon · · Score: 1

    The "correlation does not equal causation" argument works only with some degree of ignorance, whether intentional or not.

    In the case of global warming, there is a clearly identified causative mechanism: the greenhouse gas effect. The GHG effect clearly explains how the addition of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere results in atmospheric warming. This cause-effect mechanism and it's role in climate change has been described in 1824 by Fourier, in 1859 by Tyndall, in 1896 by Arrhenius, in 1897 by Chamberlin, in 1938 by Callendar, in the 1960s by Keeling, and from the 1970's to present by modern climate scientists.

    Some climate denialists who truly are uneducated in science can honestly claim ignorance, but then they shouldn't be doubting the conclusions of those who are not ignorant: the climate scientists. Most climate denialists are not truly uneducated in science. I consider these people on various levels from "intentional ignorance" to "malicious ignorance", to "ignorant with extreme prejudice".

    The "whether not it is caused by humans... doesn't seem to matter." is a cop-out. It does matter. Human behavior (releasing massive, steady streams of naturally sequestered carbon) is the driving factor in climate change. We cannot effectively mitigate climate change without modifying this human behavior.

    The "clean air, clean water, clean land", argument is a distraction from the role of GHGs. It's easy to design car engines that minimize smog-forming emissions like hydrocarbons and nitrous oxides. It's not so easy to design a combustion engine that reduces GHGs like carbon dioxide. In fact, there is a fundamental proportion of CO2 emitted to energy produced in a combustion engine that cannot be violated by the laws of physics and chemistry.

    Historically, the group that has denied anthropogenic climate change is the same group that has opposed efforts for clean air, water, and land.

    If we want to start making the world better for you and me, we have to stop being ignorant, acknowledge the role of human GHG emissions, and act to reduce those emissions. Ignorance (intentional or not) of the human role in climate change IS tantamount to being a climate change denier.

  80. aware and looking by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    this is because most of americans are lower middle class or less that are to quote the bat
    a "superstitious and cowardly lot" of villainy and deceptive evildoers
              most of america for whatever reason seem happy to be stuck in the stoneage with out any concept of the
    practicality of what the future or science can or could do for them. basically they'd rather be cavemen than evolve
    and use the tools around them or make their own. which for whatever reason is also tied to the religious
    elements particularly around christianity which in its fundamental notes is that technology takes you away from christ or
    where as more eastern religions dont have that issue as severely. ------------

    okay a lot of that has variables but for whatever reason in american the decline of intelligence, manners , civility seem to have been
    steadily dropping ever since but especially after 1950's and 60's when it really became stigma to be SMART or INVENTIVE depending
    on your financial circle and honestly it does seem that unless something is practical for thieir use i.e a new cleaning agent
    or tool to actively use like motorized jet ski , or lawn mower that it doesnt matter to them because they lack knowledge to understand
    that science takes time its not an instant gratification system nor does it lean to their way just cause they want it to not if its done right
          you really gotta remember that for whatever reason over half the u.s population especially in the mid center of the country decidingly voted for
    bush for a 2nd term even thought it was fairly obvious about his puppet status and dim bulb of a personal skills (that or he was toking up behind doors)

  81. Bad question by Xylantiel · · Score: 1

    Given the poor quality of the questions in that poll, almost any results are possible.

    Electrons are smaller than atoms. (True/False)

    46% of the general public said true.

    Actually I would say this question is completely useless. The size of an atom is defined by the size of the electron field, which in a certain sense is the "size" of the electron, i.e. the space that it occupies. You know, that whole uncertainty principle thing. So the right answer is more like False.

    Maybe they had their reasons for not simply asking whether an electron was more massive than an atom - or maybe whoever put the survey together some gaps in their own science education.

    When I read this question I decided that the people doing this survey obviously have some major gaps in their science knowledge and probably also don't know how to do surveys and so it should be ignored.

    1. Re:Bad question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The size of a planet is not the size of its orbit. The electrons themselves have been measured to be ~ 10^-18 cm. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point_particle#Point_particle_properties

      On the other hand, the size of a solar system is the size of the planets' orbits. Atoms measure about 10^-8 cm.

    2. Re:Bad question by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The size of a planet is not the size of its orbit.

      OK, but suppose a comet comes cruising into our solar system, gets close to a planet, and has it's orbit deflected by the gravitation interaction. The comet will act as if it interacted with that particular planet at a particular point in that planet's orbit.

      On the other hand, let's send an x-ray into a crystal of regularly spaced atoms. The x-ray will be scattered off the regularly spaced electron density of the crystal lattice. And, here's the thing: rather than acting as if it scattered of a single electron, the x-ray will act as if it somehow scattered off all the electrons in the lattice simultaneously. Now you're saying, sure, maybe there was a bunch of x-rays and different x-rays scattered off different electrons. But even if we reduce the flux of x-rays to a level where there's only one in the crystal at a time, we still see the same behavior as if each x-ray was interacting with each electron in the crystal.

      Now I know that's not a perfect metaphor but the point is that if we define the size an object to be the region of space where we would expect to interact with it at a specific point in time then, unlike a planet, the size of an electron is the size of it's "orbit" (spatial wave function).

  82. Reality is larger than that. by wonkavader · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I think this is both true and focusing on a tree, not the forest. There's a lot more than this going on.

  83. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by tompaulco · · Score: 1

    Just because a banana fits into a human hand nicely, doesn't mean there was some magical creator.
    Does someone actually use that argument? That is pretty crazy because until we started cultivating bananas, the largest bananas in the world were only 3 or 4 inches long. There are over 500 varieties of bananas and most of them are much smaller than the ones we are used to eating.

    --
    If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
  84. Re:gaps are in education. perpetuated in religion by Mesa+MIke · · Score: 1

    I see you have Doctorate in Sytematic Theology.
    Nope, no lack of understanding or ignorance in you.

  85. V: The Visitors by DrugCheese · · Score: 1

    This whole ordeal always reminds me of the tv show V back in the day. One of the first things the alien invaders did, while they were still friendly of course, was to round up all the scientists under the conspiracy of helping humanity.

    Religious fanatics are dangerous.

    --
    *DrugCheese rants*
    1. Re:V: The Visitors by east+coast · · Score: 1

      Fanatics are dangerous.

      Fixed that for you.

      --
      Dedicated Cthulhu Cultist since 4523 BC.
  86. Scientists understand the scientific method by TofuDog · · Score: 1

    The reason scientists are likely to have a better understanding of reality is that they understand what the scientific method is. Atmospheric scientists, geophysicists, climate modelers, etc. have had their work subjected to the rigors of peer-review. A scientist understands that this level of scrutiny is what improves the quality of knowledge (and brought civilization into the Enlightenment). While creationists like to tout Mike Behe and global warming deniers roll-out somebody with a Ph.D. as their "proof" that scientists disagree, most non-scientists have no clue how much critique goes into "scientific consensus." We hear that evolution is "just a theory" -never mind that a theory is a hypothesis that has survived rigorous challenge before attaining that status.

  87. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "The fact that the media gives equal time and access to creationists, conspiracy theorists, homeopathic medicine and various other tinfoil hat whackmobiles does the body politic no favors whatsoever"

    What ward let you out??

    If you 'really believe that' you have not seen the media for 80 years.

    Why do you think the liberal (socialists) are so hot and heavy about getting rid of ONLY conservative talk radio??

  88. Serious questions by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    84% of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity

    [scientists] also think research funding has too much influence on study results

    1. Where is the control experiment for something as complex as the global climate?
    2. Where is the repeatable experiment that allows me to know what the correct temperature should be? If you cannot tell me what the right temp. is, how can we know when/if we have stopped global warming?
    3. Given all the variables involved in the Earth's climate, and that science requires isolating variables, about the only fact regarding climate models that we can safely draw is "Every GW and climate model fails to take all factors into account."
    4. Why is C02 considered a pollutant?
    5. Why are we focusing solely on CO2 when water vapor contributes more to the greenhouse effect? Scientific experiments and real world observation demonstrate this fact.
    6. Why are there numerous graphs that correlate the planet's temperatures to the Sun's activity, but graphs of CO2 to temperatures show not correlation?
    7. Why are all the solutions to GW political? If you asked most people, would you rather your children live in a world that is 1 or 2 degrees hotter or your children live in a world where the day they are bore they are taxed heavily, regulated on everything and their share of the US national debate is $70,000 and growing.
    8. Why are all the solutions to GW political? There is talk of a $175 tax per cow because cow farts lead to more CO2. Why are we not taxing vegans, those guys and gals fart more then meat eaters? Exactly PC gone crazy, either the animal you eat produces the bulk of C02 or you do. Are we going to tax breathing at some point?
    9. Why aren't more people talking about how the current models failed to predict the cool temps in 2006, 2007, and 2008?
    10. Why aren't people talking about how that theory that the oceans were absorbing all the heat, does not fight observable temperature readings of the oceans? I mean GW advocates are ignoring the science that doesn't fit their arguement.
    11. Why aren't we asking what is more important to the general public 1). Creating jobs and energy independence by drilling for OIL off US coast or 2). Estimated 1 or 2 degree temp. increase in model projections that does not line up with real world data.
    12. Why are all these GW and Climate Change people ignoring one key historical fact that the world climate has never been static ever and yet animals, plants and bacteria somehow manage to evolve/adapt and survive.
    13. Why is it that people who supposedly agree with evolution and nature selection are attempting to create an unnatural situation on a dynamic planet by forcing a static climate.
  89. Scientists Could Run the Country by Greyfox · · Score: 1

    98% of scientists will agree that a freeze ray is impossible to build with our current understanding of science. 80-some-odd percent of the public will believe a scientist who tells them that thing he is pointing at them is a freeze ray.

    --

    I'm trying to teach myself to set people on fire with my mind... Is it hot in here?

  90. Re:This study needs to be broken down by disciplin by donaggie03 · · Score: 1

    I'm all for believing random slashdot user's claims about their various degrees, and I'm not usually a grammar Nazi. The problem is when a person claims to have a bachelor's degree in theoretical physics in the sentence after, "Hear is an anecdotal news flash." That sort of thing destroys all credibility I would have given your post.

    --
    Three days from now?? Thats tomorrow!! ~Peter Griffin
  91. 9 in 10 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "nearly 9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by natural selection" .... In a related story 1 out of 10 scientists were found to not be actual scientists.

  92. I'm surprised they had anti-vaxers in that article by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    Since one of the most famous anti-vax nutjobs is RFK jr. (A guy who was rumored that he was being considered by Obama for the position of the head of the EPA.) Before anybody says anything, yes I know there's quite a bit of anti-vax hysteria on both sides of the political spectrum.

    --
    Did you know 80 to 90% of the moderators on slashdot wouldn't recognize a troll even if one dragged them under a bridge.
  93. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    Critical thinking should be a required course in every high school in the land, and if you fail you don't get a diploma. But the churches would scream bloody murder. The last thing they want is children thinking for themselves.

    The last thing the Teachers' Unions want is children thinking for themselves. An important thing to remember is that the only way to teach critical thinking is for the TEACHER to teach it. A course in critical thinking would accomplish nothing if the teacher teaching it did not actually teach critical thinking. A teacher who is capable of and willing to teach critical thinking does not need a class specifically on critical thinking in order to teach it. As a matter of fact, IMO it is much easier to teach critical thinking in a class on some other subject matter than in a class on critical thinking.

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  94. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  95. Engineering separate from Scientists? by tyrione · · Score: 1

    Seeing that Engineering is basically the application of Pure & Applied Physics, Chemistry, Biology and Mathematics, I find it odd that they don't clarify that a lot of Engineering Research is Pure Scientific Research, then phase II is designing practical application of such research. I'll cite the very recent Positron Research for Anti-Matter at WSU [Washington State University] where a Professor of Mechanical Engineering who is also a Professor of Particle Physics with his team are on the verge of making anti-matter a practical reality. That work covers my prior statement to a tee. The area between Scientist and Engineer is far more grayer than this black and white categorization.

  96. How do other countries compare? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This survey obviously has a statistical bias wrt "scientists", but, probably gives a rough
    idea of how things are. So, how do other countries fare compared to the U.S.? Are there
    countries where average people are very tuned in to science?

  97. very, Very, VERY GOOD... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agreed, 110%!

    I am stating agreement, but, NOT to "knock scientists", or PHD's period (which I know MAKE MISTAKES, even the field's they are SUPPOSEDLY "expert" in (Hi Mark Russinovich of Microsoft (if he sees this, he WILL know what I am speaking of, specifically (pagedefrag)))...

    Still - they do their best, hopefully honestly (w/out "payola" being the TRUE & ONLY motivation, but then again, there is that "Grant money" to be had & sought after, lol!)... but, they only have "1 fatal flaw", like the rest of us: They're merely mortal men.

    Fact is - We ALL make mistakes, & nobody "knows it all"... period! You are "right as rain" on this account.

    (I.E.-> The world's TOO complex, & most any scientific discipline alone is too wide/too varied - I know this from computer sciences alone & the field of comp. sci. itself is tremendously huge with tons of facets... no one, knows everything about IT, let alone all other fields combined).

    Plus - Statistics can be skewed or bent, as needed, simply by altering the sampleset used, to suit your "hidden agenda" & goals (making SURE it's full of people that "go YOUR way" etc. et al)... I liked your "4/5 Dentists Chew Trident" analogy (or whatever it was you used that was close to it), because I have utilized that myself to illustrate THIS VERY POINT myself @ times.

    APK

    P.S.=> Sycraft-fu, IF I could do "mod points"? I'd mod you up, in a heartbeat, as INSIGHTFUL... but, I elect to post here as "A/C", so I forego that "luxury", & can only tell you that you are a bright & enlightened person, via actual exposure to merely mortal men, despite the letters after their names... apk

  98. Ask Dr. Mark Russinovich, in his OWN area... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... of MICROSOFT "fame", all about his pagedefrag.exe program & who had to tell him WHY it was broken, what it could adversely affect (as far as defragging the registry hives &/or pagefile.sys) & who told him EXACTLY how to fix it (to which he agreed no less & thanked yours truly for, no less, via email).

    Funniest part is - Dr. Mark Russinovich's program pagedefrag.exe?

    IT STILL FAILS on the SAME ACCOUNT, albeit for the eventlogs (which I warned him about, & he still hasn't fixed in it - "GEE, WONDER WHY" (not - because there is a LOT more to that little ditty than I am mentioning here, & I do NOT want to "get into it"))

    A PHD, 3 letters after your name, doesn't guarantee perfection (or, even smarts, really). Oh, it helps to have done the work to get one, but it doesn't guarantee intelligence, merely a level of measured & quantified proficiency attained in a given subject area.

    APK

    P.S.=> Bottom-line, is this: Even in their OWN AREAS OF EXPERTISE? They make mistakes... which is ONLY HUMAN! To expect them to be expert outside of their own areas on any given topic, is foolish - the TRULY SMART MAN will simply state "that's not my arena, I need to know more" or more simply even "I don't know" & just admit it... the truly smart man realizes there is TOO MUCH IN THIS WORLD FOR ANY 1 MAN TO KNOW... period! apk

  99. Re:CO2 production - of course humans are responsib by Biogenesis · · Score: 1

    Indeed. In the words of Stalin: "Death solves all problems - No man, no problem."

  100. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by EWAdams · · Score: 1

    A course in critical thinking would accomplish nothing if the teacher teaching it did not actually teach critical thinking.

    This would seem to be a tautology.

    I don't see why you think it couldn't work. I took a class specifically on critical thinking in high school. It was one of the best I ever took. The teachers' union did not object. We learned to analyze the media and recognize sloppy reasoning, propaganda, and appeals to sentiment, among other things.

    --
    I piss off bigots.
  101. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

    My question is, why did you need a class specifically on critical thinking? Shouldn't your science teachers, social studies/history teachers have taught you critical thinking?
    If these teachers don't already teach critical thinking, what makes you think that they would teach it in a class on critical thinking?

    --
    The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  102. Geocentrism isn't religious. by Estanislao+Mart�nez · · Score: 1

    Even moving the argument to something viable like "the earth is at the centre of the solar system", that was a religious viewpoint, not a scientific one - indeed science disproved that, and the religious overlords (supported by their uneducated followers) certainly saw to punish said scientist for that.

    Geocentrism comes from Aristotle and Ptolemy, who rejected the Pythagoreans' heliocentric model on theoretical and empirical grounds. Theoretical grounds because Aristotelian mechanics requires that there exist a frame of reference that is truly at rest, and that frame of reference has to be the Earth. Empirical because Ptolemy had a model that predicted the motions of the heavens as accurately as could be observed for over two thousand years, and was not improved upon until after Galileo's death.

    When Galileo wrote his work, astronomers correctly pointed out that his theory contradicted Aristotelian mechanics, and that it predicted stellar parallax, which wasn't observed until 1838. Strictly speaking, geostaticism (the idea that the Earth doesn't move) wasnt refuted until 1725.

    The Church rejected Galileo's theory on a combination of both religious and scientific grounds. The Galileo affair is a prime example of why the Church shouldn't be allowed to regulate science, but it is not an example of Church obscurantism and Biblical fundamentalism; the Church did not in fact claim that "it says so in the Bible" was evidence enough to refute Galileo. Galileo was tried for pissing off the Pope, and for telling people that the Bible ought to be interpreted in a different way on the basis of his theory.

  103. Apathy by cmdahler · · Score: 1

    One thing research into scientific subjects doesn't often take into account is that the average person on the street just doesn't care about evolution or global warming. Evolutionary biologists and many others in the scientific community get all worked up about evolution like it's some fundamentally important idea that is so amazingly important that if only everyone believed in it, our lives would be so much better, and the fact that only a third of Americans do buy off on it is somehow devastatingly depressing. The truth of the matter is that scientific research into evolution is meaningless to the average person because it's not going to put food on the table or change lives for the better in any way. It's kind of like research into dinosaurs: fascinating subject, ultimately a useless waste of time from any practical standpoint. Evolution, creationism, or being sneezed out of Douglas Adam's mind, it doesn't change the fact that we're here now, and food needs to be put on the table and the mortgage needs to be paid. Scientists really live in their own weird little world wherein stuff like dinosaur poop research funding and evolution actually matter. Back here on Planet Earth, however, the average person really doesn't much care.

  104. Re:reality is liberal by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

    32% of scientists identify themselves as Independent, while 55% say they're Democrats and 6% say they're Republicans.

    I think it is funny how that percentage doesn't add up to 100% (even if you include the 4% "Other/None" from TFA).

    And as a scientist who is frustrated with the current political party offerings in the US and doesn't really like any other county's situation any better, I think it would be pretty cool if someone would start a country for scientists, run by scientists.

  105. Re:reality is liberal by cyn1c77 · · Score: 1

    Learn some statistics.

    Mart

    Mart,

    The error for the scientist numbers was +/- 2.5%. So 55% is more than half with 95% confidence level.

    Your terse (and rude!) replies make it look like you are trying to live up to your suggested mod category though. Cheers!

  106. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by rohan972 · · Score: 1

    If there's one thing I've learned, don't try to argue with religious nutjobs.

    Most people will deny reality to avoid admitting being wrong, religious or not. The [religious book] thing does add a different dimension though. You can probably find numerous examples if you read any given story on slashdot.

  107. Re:reality is liberal by mvdwege · · Score: 1

    'Slightly more than half' is not quite the same as 'more than half', now is it?

    Mart

    --
    "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
  108. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would really like to see some backing for your claims. From my experience the most convincing and most radical christians I have met have been people that were converted to christianity at a later stage in life rather than born in a "God-fearing household".

  109. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by pbaer · · Score: 1

    24 news is a scam. There is not 24 hours of newsworthy events in a day. On an average day 1-2hours. On an extreme day maybe 6.

    --
    There are 11 types of people, those who know unary and those who don't.
  110. Get it:) by gekon · · Score: 1

    "And while 84% of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity.." and "and they also think [4]research funding has too much influence on study results" make perfect sense to me. regards, gekozoid www.youtube.com//gekozoid

  111. Do you know much about public education? by EWAdams · · Score: 1

    Science and social studies teachers are not paid to teach critical thinking, they are paid to teach the officially designated curriculum, which generally consists of facts and a few equations. That's what happens with your basic state-sponsored public education at the moment.

    My critical thinking teacher was paid to teach critical thinking, and he did. Is that difficult to comprehend?

    --
    I piss off bigots.
    1. Re:Do you know much about public education? by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Now we get to a point of agreement, the problem of people not learning critical thinking is "state-sponsored public education".

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
  112. The American Public by eyendall · · Score: 1

    Hardly startling news. To be a scientist one must be intelligent and prove it through academic success and subsequent research. To be a member of the American public.........'nuff said.

  113. Minutia vs. the "big" picture by Half+Tide+Rock · · Score: 1

    Since when did scientists âoevoteâ on science? One scientist can move ahead the understanding in the back of an envelope. Politics has hijacked science many times . Please examine the cited graph and explain the cyclivity demonstrated over the past 450,000 years in terms of human anthropogenic causes. http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/Vostok_420ky_4curves_insolation.jpg If you are able to take the leap that what we are looking at is a cycle then the hysterics are amusing. Too bad we are shooting ourselves in the foot over this new religion. Not unlike predicting Noahâ(TM)s flood based upon each dayâ(TM)s rising tide. For those who fear that this one time, in spite of all evidence it should be comforting to know that if the same hysterical predictions came to pass in the last three cycles we would not be examining 450,000 year old ice in Antarctica, 750,000 year old perma- frost in the arctic and possibly Permian aged ice in the Beacon Valley in Antarctica. I think that there is a large strategy to feed disinformation to the public.A disinformed public is allowed to vote and unfortunately fantasy decsions have real world consequences. Also not unlike the concept of the earth being the center of the universe. Poor GALELEO!

  114. Congratulations by hasbeard · · Score: 1

    You have just described some of the effects of what Christians call "sin."

  115. Found a mistake in your grammar by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That somehow we have the right to spout our beliefs at others, while anyone disagreeing with us must be silent.

    You used a sentence fragment here. One way of correcting this would be to say:

    "We think that because we have the right to have any belief that our beliefs should be unquestioned -- that somehow we have the right to spout our beliefs at others, while anyone disagreeing with us must be silent."

    Just thought you would want to know.

  116. Re:reality is liberal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    'Slightly more than half' is not quite the same as 'more than half', now is it?

    Mart

    'Slightly more than half' is a subset of 'more than half'. This means that if something is 'slightly more than half' it is always also 'more than half'.

  117. I found some more mistakes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i don't know if this is the case in other cultures, but in America, we seem to hate anyone who is better than us at anything.

    The word "I" should have been capitalized since it's the first letter of the first word of a sentence.

    Free of speech/religion seems to apply only to the privileged Christians.

    I'm pretty sure you meant to say "freedom" here.

  118. Hardly by DynaSoar · · Score: 1

    The study does not, as stated in the summary, cover 'how Americans feel about science', and only briefly looks at how they value scientists or their work (per TFA).

    For the most part it looks at whether (non-scientist, one assumes) Americans agree with (American?) scientists. More precisely, it illustrates what Americans believe, compared to what scientists understand or at least accept that science more-or-less 'accurately describes'.

    Pew does some good work sometimes. Too bad they don't verbalate it gooder.

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    "I may be synthetic, but I'm not stupid." -- Bishop 341-B
  119. Scientists by danielpauldavis · · Score: 1

    "nearly 9 in 10 scientists accept the idea of evolution by natural selection, but [2]just a third of the public does. And while 84% of scientists say the Earth is getting warmer because of human activity, less than half of the public agrees with that." That's because, unlike 94% of scientists, the public is both willing and able to read the other half of the story.

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    Cranky educator.
  120. Ignorance of truth by acesaXeX · · Score: 1

    I think the reason behind why more scientists believe in natural selection and global warming caused by humans is because they actually know the truth. The public a lot of the times just plainly ignore the truth. They can't accept the fact nature lets the stronger of the species live or that the reason why the world might be a hard place to live for posterity is because of their own fault. This isn't true always though but it is very common.

  121. Re:55% say they are Democrats of those surveyed by Alsee · · Score: 1

    Does someone actually use that argument?

    Ohboy, you're in for a special treat.

    The first thing to note, before you get the notion that this might be a parody, is the Wikipedia biography page for Ray Comfort. This guy is as serious as they come. He's offered a few tens of thousands of dollars to debate Richard Dawkins for an hour. He's an honest-to-god Christian Evangelical Minister of some extremely minor fame, with some 64 books to his name, including "You Can Lead an Atheist to Evidence, But You Can't Make Him Think", "Russia Will Attack Israel: a 'For the Thinking Mind' Publication", "Hell's Best Kept Secret", "Scientific Facts in the Bible: 100 Reasons to Believe the Bible is Supernatural in Origin", and my personal favorite "Scratch & Sniff (Creation for Kids)".

    An honorable mention for Truth in Advertising goes to "Comfort, the Feeble-Minded: Consolation for People Who Do Dumb Things: an Autobiography".

    This guy is the poster boy for Poe's law. No, let me take that back. This guy climbed on stage at the Poe's law telethon and fucking ATE the poster boy for Poe's law, turned around and laid a steaming shitburger, and somehow in trying to walk offstage he managed to accidentally step in his own steaming shitburger. Twice.

    Before you watch this video... I must warn you to put down any food or beverages you may be holding/consuming. In fact, that goes for anyone within earshot. This guy proves the existence of god - with a banana. And holy fuck he's serious. All the things you're currently imaging about this video... they don't come close. Oh, and bonus points to you if you somehow manage to make it through the video without ever picturing the banana as a phallic symbol.

    Behold: The Atheist's Nightmare featuring Ray Comfort and silent pal Kirk Cameron

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    - - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
  122. Re:It would help if the media weren't clueless too by ScrewMaster · · Score: 1

    I would really like to see some backing for your claims. From my experience the most convincing and most radical christians I have met have been people that were converted to christianity at a later stage in life rather than born in a "God-fearing household".

    My experience has been just the opposite. However, if it were so easy for religion to be picked up by otherwise non-religious adults ... why the focus on training children?

    I also have known a number of people that have converted to Christianity later in life. However, they invariably came from another Christian sect, or from some other religion. I've yet to encounter a dyed-in-the-wool atheist who, as an adult, at some point found himself able to swallow a metric ton of inconsistency and contradiction. It's much easier when you are a child and have little or no critical-thinking capability and accept unquestioningly whatever worldview fed into your neural circuits. Granted, I've known many adults who had the critical-thinking skills of a small child, but that's another story.

    Furthermore, as an unbeliever (and one who never has believed) I'm not limiting my comments to individuals who convert to Christianity or any other faith, as you seem to assume. Conversion is a matter of exchanging one set of religious protocols for another. It's not a basic shift in perception, as is required for an atheist acquire faith ... or the faithful to lose it.

    From my perspective, a person who was raised in the Jewish faith who decides to become a Christian is still someone who believes. They have the mental ability to accept faith, to believe in God ... and that makes them fundamentally the same regardless of which particular brand of dogma they prefer. In my original comment, I was referring to people, like myself, who were not given any significant religious instruction as children, and were allowed to form their own belief system into adulthood. Those are the people who rarely find religion. Yes yes, it does happen and I can point to a couple of examples myself, but it's a rarity.

    My point is that if you want your belief system to propagate from generation to generation, especially if it's, well, basically irrational and full of logical fallacies ... focus on bringing your children up it. They're easy targets and odds are, they'll never escape.

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    The higher the technology, the sharper that two-edged sword.