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Nielsen Ratings To Count Online TV Viewing

cashman73 writes "Several sources are reporting that Nielsen is finally going to start measuring online TV viewing. You would think that this is a good idea, since many people are now watching TV programs on the Internet. However, there's a catch: Nielsen's new service will only count viewings of a program with the same number of advertisements as the network TV model. So, this immediately eliminates Hulu, as well as any shows watched via the network's own websites. As a matter of fact, it would currently only include Comcast's XFinity TV service, and TV Everywhere (which, so far, appears to be the equivalent of Duke Nukem Forever for television). So either, (a) everyone will rush out to watch their online TV on Comcast XFinity, so that their viewing counts in the ratings (unlikely), or (b) Hulu and everyone else starts to put more advertisements on their shows (more likely, but would also probably mean the death of Hulu)."

178 comments

  1. Nielsen Ratings by Reason58 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I guess Conan should have had more commercials.

  2. true by nomadic · · Score: 2, Funny

    You would think that this is a good idea

    I probably would, if I cared in the slightest about the subject.

    1. Re:true by KharmaWidow · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I care about the subject because Nielsen Ratings are the industry standard - for good or for bad. It is way too often that good shows are canceled in favor of bad ones when Nielsen doesn't have significant ratings for them (ie Firefly). Yet these shows have proven to be hugely popular online.

      Plus, the fact that they are limiting to shows with 3 min advertising blocks may doom the online model of much shorter intervals. Nielsen is intentionally overlooking an ample data source from sites like Hulu and the network sites, themselves. This only appears to be some sort of industry conspiracy.

  3. Wake me up when... by Anita+Coney · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...they count bittorrent views.

    --
    If someone says he and his monkey have nothing to hide, they almost certainly do.
    1. Re:Wake me up when... by MrEricSir · · Score: 2, Funny

      Trust me, viewing a .torrent file isn't very interesting.

      --
      There's no -1 for "I don't get it."
    2. Re:Wake me up when... by sopssa · · Score: 1

      Why would they count bittorrent views? Nielsen Ratings is information for advertisers. TV shows in bittorrent files almost always have advertisers removed. It makes no sense for Nielsen Ratings to carry those statistics.

    3. Re:Wake me up when... by jebrew · · Score: 3, Interesting

      because if they saw the number of people viewing this way, they might (as in unicorns exist kinda might) start releasing their own high quality downloads with the ads in them...hell, I'd watch the ads just because I'm too lazy to skip past them.

    4. Re:Wake me up when... by DavidTC · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I will second this completely.

      I download TV illegally. But, first, let me explain what I won't do:
      a) I'm not paying for shitty cable and for a TiVo when I already have computer hooked to my TV. Hell, technically, I do have free basic cable, and it's so poor I don't even have it actually hooked to my TV.
      b) I don't really have enough bandwidth to stream. I get about 150kps download. That's really the lowest quality I can stand, too, so it works out to a minute of downloading per minute of video...which means that all streaming jumps to a lower quality, because that's too close to comfort. And forget about the higher quality stuff.
      c) I want to control the entire thing with my remote control, and the streaming sites seem intent on not functioning in any HTPC interface anyway. (And I'm not sure how hacking hulu to watch in Boxee is somehow more 'moral' than just downloading the show.)
      d) I am not paying for my TV shows in cash, hence I won't use iTunes. I will, like the rest of the world, pay in for TV in commercials. (When I pay in cash, I expect DVDs.) I won't promise to buy anything, but that never was part of the deal. And I'm really too lazy to bother with skipping them.

      I'm not trying to morally justify anything, or claim I have the right to TV, I'm simply stating my situation, and stating as a member of the American people, I will watch TV. So I can either download TV illegally, or I can...um...hmmm...have no TV.

      You give me a torrent I can download legally, I'm there.

      I'd especially be there if you'd encrypt the episodes so I could download them in advance, and give me the key when they aired. I just mention that because that's how they should attract current illegal downloaders. Right now, it's end of episode+10 minutes+download time to watch. Let people have a download list, let them download the previous night, and then give them the key at the moment of airing. Unlike DRM, that actually could work with reasonable encryption, and lets people watch very high quality stuff even over bad connections. (Hell, you could technically watch about 5 hours a week over dialup, which would be helpful for people with basic cable who want to watch one or two other shows.)

      But all this is, of course, crazy talk. If they provide digital downloads that people can actually download, why, people will download them, cut the commercials out, and redistribute them. (Which is a bit like worrying about someone breaking into your car by picking the trunk lock, when all actual thieves spend 30 seconds with a slim jim and get in from the doors.)

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  4. Worth it? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Why would hulu so badly want its content to count in Nielsen ratings that it would change its ad scheme?

    1. Re:Worth it? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Probably because Hulu depends on the content guys for their existence, and the content guys are going to be increasingly unhappy if, when the provide a show to hulu, the show's Neilsens suffer precisely because the show is popular on hulu.

    2. Re:Worth it? by brian1078 · · Score: 1

      Doesn't matter what hulu changes now. It's going to be dead as soon as Comcast takes over NBC.

    3. Re:Worth it? by denmarkw00t · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So? "OH EM GEE OUR NEILSENS DROPPED"

      Seriously, just measure your rating some other way - if you can get a count of viewers from Hulu's site then why even care about Neilsen? I understand they're quite the benchmark for TV, but if you're going to come to the nets you can't just change the rules because of your ties to TV counts - Hulu and other sites already provide stats, why change their model to fit TVs?

    4. Re:Worth it? by sunderland56 · · Score: 3, Informative

      It is hard to understate the importance of Neilsen numbers in Hollywood. The very first thing the average exec does in the morning - before he's even had coffee - is to check the overnight numbers. There *is* no other barometer of success.

      And, these are not computer-savvy execs - for the most part, they grew up when "computer" meant "IBM", and they still have their secretaries print out their emails to be read. So they aren't going to be implementing their own alternate ratings system.

      So the fact that Neilsen is improving the ratings system - however lame these initial improvements are - is going to make things better.

    5. Re:Worth it? by jbezorg · · Score: 1

      There *is* no other barometer of success.

      Sure there is, it's usually referred to at the bottom line. Google bought YouTube for $1.65 billion in stock in 2006 and Neilsen didn't rate it then. With the momentum the current market has, I don't think it is going to change to accommodate something that, up to this point, was irrelevant.

      Rather, I think Neilsen rating system is taking steps into a new market by taking in the portions that already match it's current market. In the end I think they will be the one to adapt & change.

      --
      I've lost all my marbles except one & It's fun to test angular & centripetal acceleration in my skull
    6. Re:Worth it? by raphael75 · · Score: 1

      If they're unwilling to adapt and they refuse to change, then they will die off and be replaced by people who understand the Internet. Really, who cares about Neilsen ratings other than the network executives? Most of the stuff on TV is garbage anyway. Everyone is looking for alternative forms of entertainment. I know few people that actually sit and watch TV. Most people I know play computer/console games and have little interest in TV.

    7. Re:Worth it? by theJML · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You know what... In either case they're still not very good at getting ratings. They never asked me, or any one I know for that matter. It really seems like there has to be a better way to figure out if people are watching your show or not.

      --
      -=JML=-
    8. Re:Worth it? by sabs · · Score: 1

      people watch NBC?
      I had no idea.

    9. Re:Worth it? by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Well if I were an exec I would ask my secretary to get some 'computer guy' in to provide me with a compilation of how much I made from advertising the night before based on as many sources of revenue as possible.

      If Hulu charges more per second let me know and take it into account. Create a normalized set of data so I can see how many viewed my program, how that compares to other networks and where we could extract more revenue.

      Last night you had:
      2m viewers estimated on broadcast. That means we made $.003 per viewer.
      100,000k viewers watched it on Hulu. We made $.001 per viewer.
      etc...

    10. Re:Worth it? by johnathan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It is hard to understate the importance of Neilsen numbers in Hollywood.

      I don't think that means what you think it means.

      --
      You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows.
    11. Re:Worth it? by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      I currently watch:
      Chuck
      24
      Castle
      Legend of the Seeker
      Lost
      Dollhouse
      Doctor Who
      White Collar (kind of bored by this one now and will stop if my wife loses interest.)
      Vampire Diaries (although I am going to stop that one whether my wife loses interest or not)
      Heroes (Don't really like it anymore but it's like watch a train wreck)

      Some of these shows can go away without me caring but I would miss Chuck, 24, and Castle.

      I wish that Firefly and John Doe where still on.

      I also enjoyed the various Stargates (except Universe,) Babylon 5, Sliders (first few seasons,) and Pretender.

      Most people I know - my wife included - watch a lot more shows then this.

      While I agree that most stuff on TV is what I consider crap, a lot of people enjoy it. And a lot of those people probably find my SciFi shows crap.

      That is the nice thing about TV. There is such a broad range of content if you look for it. (I realize it could be broader but I take it for what it is.)

      I watch most of my shows on Hulu or Netflix and do wish that the Neilsen ratings counted these since I hate watching my favorite shows disappear.

    12. Re:Worth it? by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      This is why it would be great to count Hulu rating since they have the ability to easily record the number of times a show is viewed.

      Heck, even the stuff I download I would go back and run through Hulu just so it could count.

  5. What is the point? by capt.Hij · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why do they insist on only measuring "full length" media. They will make themselves obsolete if they insist on measuring the way old media works. Related to that sentiment they forgot option "c," keep on ignoring the ratings and do what you like not what they want us to do.

    1. Re:What is the point? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Studios keep making bad business decisions based on Nielsen ratings. They cancel shows with low ratings even when the DVD sales alone are enough to make a profit on the show. Rather than make the next season straight-to-DVD, they don't make it at all.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    2. Re:What is the point? by cashman73 · · Score: 1

      So, would option "d" be: "do whatever CowboyNeal wants us to do"?

    3. Re:What is the point? by linguizic · · Score: 1

      This leaves room for some enterprising individuals to come up with their own ratings that better meet the needs of today's media.

      --
      Does this sig remind you of Agatha Christie?
    4. Re:What is the point? by EzInKy · · Score: 2, Insightful


      Studios keep making bad business decisions based on Nielsen ratings. They cancel shows with low ratings even when the DVD sales alone are enough to make a profit on the show. Rather than make the next season straight-to-DVD, they don't make it at all.

      That's because they haven't yet learned that their current advertising methods are actually hurting viewership. I've bought quite a few DVD sets just so I don't have to suffer the bottom of the screen "popups" that seem to be the current fad nowadays. And you know, it wasn't long ago that an hour long episode provided you with 50 minutes of entertainment. Today it is more like 35.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    5. Re:What is the point? by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      I was watching TV for the first time in about a year (outside of sports) with a friend of mine the other day. I couldn't believe how bad cable now is. I had been considering hooking my TV back up, but a couple hours at her house, and I was well convinced not to.
       
      The internet TV I watch isn't much worse quality, and it's mostly content. I can't fathom how it would be worth paying $50 a month for that. I'm much more inclined to hook a spare system up to my TV now, and watch TV that way. It has the benefit of the couch and distance from screen, combined with the ability to check email and surf. The only downside is that I'd trade a remote for a wireless keyboard and mouse.

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    6. Re:What is the point? by DavidTC · · Score: 3, Insightful

      No shit.

      Ratings were important when it was 'Which of these shows will take up valuable time on the channel?' We even talked about 'prime time'. If one show was making a profit of $500,000 an episode, and you thought a different one could make $600,000, sure, cancel the first.

      But it's goddamn stupid when you stop living in the idiotic 'broadcast TV' world. You should make both shows. In fact, you should make anything that makes you money, or at least has a reasonable chance of doing so. Because it makes you money. I cannot stress the whole 'it makes you money' concept enough.

      The sad thing is, TV networks already know about this. It was 'syndication' long before DVDs came out, wherein TV studios make shows without having a network committed to buying them. Although that market was a lot smaller, and shows had to be very low-budget to make a profit on just that.

      Bu they already had the model. They should have logically been able to make the leap to DVDs.

      A lot of the problem is how TV studios are structured. Everyone wants 'their own' shows to be wildly successful, so a) often don't care about show they get handed by other people, and b) don't care about 'small' money makers they have. (And, of course, apparently corporations have no fiscal responsibility to their stockholders, you know, actually make that $500,000.)

      Everything is all about who is credited for the next big hit. No one actually cares who makes money. Film studios are completely dysfunctional.

      The future is looking good, though. We've had independent film makers for quite some time, despite there being less stupidity in the film industry...and we're just starting to get independent 'TV studios' as it requires less and less upfront costs for equipment and whatnot.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    7. Re:What is the point? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I wish one of the producers like JMS or Joss Whedon, who produces popular shows but has a terrible relationship with the studios, would strike out on their own. Release pilots to the public. Tell everyone to share them as widely as possible. If you like it, invest $10 in the show. If enough people invest, the first season gets made. It's released on the Internet with a CC-NC-SA license and you're asked to share it with everyone. It's also sold on DVDs and to any TV networks that want to run it, for people who don't want to watch online. Money from these sales is split amongst the investors (after paying everyone involved in creating it), who are free to take it or reinvest it in the next season. Anyone who downloaded it and liked it is encouraged to invest $10 in the next season or, if it's run its course, in the creator's next project.

      The current model for selling content is completely broken. You need some third party to invest a lot of money in the expensive and difficult bit (creating a show that's worth watching in the first place) and then you try to recoup this later by charging for the cheap bit (creating copies, which anyone with $100 consumer-grade equipment can do). If this wasn't the established model, and you tried to convince someone that it was a good idea, then they'd laugh at you.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    8. Re:What is the point? by EzInKy · · Score: 1

      The only downside is that I'd trade a remote for a wireless keyboard and mouse.

      I found this wireless integrated combo quite handy for the task.

      --
      Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
    9. Re:What is the point? by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      As much as I fault FOX for canceling a lot of good shows, they also seem to be the only network to give them a chance.

      JMS failed with WB, TNT, and HBO and I think that 90% of the reason is his attitude with the studios.

    10. Re:What is the point? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      If by 'his attitude with studios' is 'does not like when they tamper with his shows', yeah.

      It's worth mentioning that the show they weren't able to tamper with, B5, did significantly better then the show they totally screwed with (Crusade) and a lot better than the show created he so they could screw with and did a little (Jeremiah.)

      And, I will repeat this as loudly and as long as I am permitted: Fox purchases sci-fi shows to cancel them. They do not deserve any props for this.

      Let me tell you a story. Once upon a time, a network was just starting. This network managed to, through essentially luck, to end up with some hits. Namely, The X-Files and Married with Children.

      This network then apparently forgot that both those shows had a slow start, and then set about constantly trying to recreate them, buying every sci-fi series it could, and then canceling it as soon as it wasn't instantly X-Files material. (They did the same with sitcoms, but those were crappy dime a dozen things no one cared about.)

      Other sorts of programming, Fox is fine with. But, as I said, TV studios are incredibly dysfunctional, and operate solely on perception, and everyone who 'sponsors' a sci-fi show gets it compared to the X-Files in its heyday, season 7 or so, and off course they massively fall short. Either it gets canceled out from under them, or they manage to pawn it off on someone else, who can safely kill it by juggling it around and not promoting it. (But it doesn't matter, because it wasn't 'their' show.)

      Incidentally, I think this is why Fringe is doing so well inside Fox, being an almost outright clone of the X-Files. The ratings are fairly okay, but I have a feeling if this had been a different type of sci-fi show with those rating, it would have been toast already.

      What doesn't help this fact is that sci-fi shows have a perception of high costs, even if they're set in normal world with maybe a few ten thousand dollars of CGI each episode. For example, the season before last, Fox was going to cancel either Terminator:TSCC or Dollhouse, citing costs, and ending up scrapping TSCC. Well, Dollhouse has absolutely no more costs than any other show (Post-apoc episodes aside) and TSCC likes to blow a car up every three episodes, and that's about it. (I have no idea why Fox thinks this, as The X-Files didn't have a high FX budget either. I think Fox means 'compared to reality shows'.)

      But, essentially, what's going on is that executives at Fox really really really want another X-Files, and when they don't get one, they cancel it. Their purchasing and canceling every sci-fi show ever is an idiotic combination of higher demand at Fox and higher expectations.

      Sure, if it wasn't for Fox 'giving sci-fi a chance', a lot of it wouldn't make it to air...although a lot of that shouldn't. Sci-fi can be bad, too, and even good sci can have a shitty viewership. And it doesn't help that Fox Studios, which operates as a separate entity, has a rep for making good sci-fi, and Fox network gets first dibs on those shows. (And they will always regard passing up Buffy.)

      But the actual remaining good stuff would be picked up by other networks and aired, like some of it was. And that stuff, because other networks don't have some sort of executive sci-fi inferiority complex that Fox has, would actually be compared to other, non-genre shows on merit, and treated the same as other shows.

      For example, Heroes, which has just been limping along in the ratings for a while, will probably be canceled soon, as the recent aggressive ad campaign didn't produce any results. I like the show, but this is entirely reasonable for it to be canceled, because NBC is treating it like a normal show. They don't move it around, they do advertise for it, but they do expect it to carry its weight. (OTOH, it's probably going to get a reprieve as NBC has recently found itself short five hours of programming, so as long as Heroes isn't losing money, it's okay.)

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    11. Re:What is the point? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Should I point out that Joss Whedon has done almost exactly that, or were you being sarcastic?

      Granted, it wasn't a 'share alike' license, instead was streamed for free off the web, and people bought it on DVD instead of donating money.

      And he actually financed it himself, and hence it's only three episodes, but, OTOH, he makes all the profits, too.

      But baring those two things, Dr. Horrible's Sing-Along Blog is essentially what you just described.

      And his model was Felicity Day's 'The Guild', which is almost exactly what you're talking about. They made three short episodes, ran out of money, aired them, got enough donations to continue. Later seasons have had a commercial sponsor at the start.

      Of course, Dr. Horrible has a grand total of 45 minutes, and each episode of The Guild is between 3-6 minutes, so in the total is probably around 60 minutes for three seasons.

      So it's sorta starting out like independent film making, where everyone funding it themselves and costs have to be very low, so the running time is very low. Like a lot of independent films, which had 20 minute running times. In fact, 'The Guild' is arguably just 3 independent films, one a season, in episodic format. But eventually, investors will catch on.

      Although I don't think it's going to work like you think. I suspect it will be much like investors in plays and whatnot....people come in, give $3,000, expect hopefully $5,000 to be made, along with a single commercial sponsor who gets to put a 15 second ad at the front and doesn't expect any money back.

      That's not to say they won't ask for small donations, too, but it will probably be for stuff like early access to the episodes and extra features, and of course DVDs will be for sale also. People don't want to have to keep track of ten thousand investors owed microscopic returns, that's way too expensive.

      Also, while 'share this with your friends' sounds cool, in reality, until this actually takes off, every 'viewing' needs to count, so they can show their investors and sponsors, so it's all going to be streaming for now. (Plus DVD sales.)

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    12. Re:What is the point? by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      Heroes has become worse every year until this season (with the exception of the side stories with the big bad.)

      I was one of those rooting for TSCC over dollhouse. The only reason I am finishing dollhouse is because I heard there was an end in site (this Friday)

      Dollhouse is - so far - the only Whedon show I have not cared for.

      I like Jeremiah but was not able to watch it until after it's time due to not having cable (much less premium cable.)

    13. Re:What is the point? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Actually, the narrative of Dollhouse already ended. The week before last.

      Of course, this being a Joss Whedon show, they saved the world, everything is happy, and then we timeskip and see the apocalypse happened anyway. Doh.

      What's happening this week is the second part of the epilogue, the first part of which was on the season 1 DVDs, then was mentioned halfway though the season, and then was glimpsed at the end of the last episode. Almost everyone has stopped being 'people', but is there a chance for humanity at all?

      And, likewise, I was rooting for TSCC instead of Dollhouse, despite being a Joss fan.

      OTOH, now I'm really glad Dollhouse won, as the ending was spectacular. Dollhouse really screwed up in how it started and how slowly it tried to build. I mean, yes, if it had seven seasons at that speed, at the end, we'd all be amazed how the universe itself developed along with the characters...but as it is, we had an extreme slow-speed season and a quarter, and then everything jammed in the last ten episodes.

      I think if we'd started out with maybe two 'This is the premise of the Dollhouse, and how Dolls are supposed to work' shows, then show some breakdowns like the amnesia episode and the 'goes back to reclaim her baby' episode, and had Echo 'composite' into full-awareness halfway through the first season, the show could have actually had enough viewers to stretch out three or four years. Introduce Alpha at the end of the first season, have him the big bad all season 2, get rid of him at the end of the second, etc, etc.

      Instead, most of the first season, it was often a normal 'mission' show, like 'Alias' or 'Tru Calling', with a really weird character premise, a character who simply was not actually a person.

      I knew and trusted Joss, and kept watching, but if I hadn't, I'd given up on it already, and I quite understood why the network was thinking about killing it.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    14. Re:What is the point? by JackieBrown · · Score: 1

      The first season just had two many restarts where she would start to remember than forget.

      Was it ever determined who programed echo to talk to Ballard?

      To me, Alias was the opposite of Dollhouse in terms of my interest. I really enjoyed the first season and a half. I got really tired of Gardner after that. Her character was just to self righteous and the writers seemed determine to have every character rotate their actions based on her feelings. (The biggest stand on was when Vaughn was mad at Gardner's Dad for possibly killing Gardner's mother - even though the mother killed his father!)

    15. Re:What is the point? by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Oh, I wasn't wasn't trying to compare it to Alias. I was just trying to explain what I meant by 'mission based'. An example like 'Burn Notice' would have worked as well.

      Was it ever determined who programed echo to talk to Ballard?

      Not technically. The person leaking info to Ballard was Boyd, as part of his plan to get Ballard in the Dollhouse protecting Echo. That's who the programmer claimed to be, so probably was.

      Boyd probably realized Ballard was fixated on Caroline via November. (The Doll Adele was using to make sure Ballard didn't get too far, probably standard operating procedure.) So Boyd figured that he could use Ballard to protect 'Caroline', as Boyd had been assigned to another position. (He could have fixed that, but not without raising suspicions.)

      What this plan was to get Ballard in the Dollhouse is unknown, as Alpha screwed it all up.

      At least, I think that's what happened. It's hard to figure out a show where all the main cast except Topher were secretly 'traitors' in one way or another.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
  6. Makes sense by loftwyr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    After all, Nielsen reports ratings so that shows can sell more advertising. If the show you're watching doesn't have the same number of ads, then it's useless in terms of advertising sales as it's not apples to apples.

    Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

    1. Re:Makes sense by kannibal_klown · · Score: 4, Insightful

      After all, Nielsen reports ratings so that shows can sell more advertising. If the show you're watching doesn't have the same number of ads, then it's useless in terms of advertising sales as it's not apples to apples.

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      True, I can see where they're coming from. However I would imagine counting online views as a portion/percentage.

      For example a typical show on Hulu has the same number of commercial breaks as the broadcast equivalent, but maybe 1/5 of the total commercials. IE, for every break there's usually a single 15-60 second commercial (averaging around 30 seconds a piece). So maybe count 5 Hulu viewings as 1 Nielson viewing.

      Then you have paid online content... if an obscene number of viewers are paying iTunes for Show X then that should somehow be aggragated with ratings. After all, the network just received a chunk of change from those sales.

    2. Re:Makes sense by ktappe · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      They do if ads can be added to the show in the future. I'd be very interested in such data if I were searching for a place to stick an ad. I'd be especially interested if I could be the only ad in the show, so my ad would stick out instead of being lost among the others. As such, I think Nielsen is being moronic here--advertisers on limited-ad broadcasts should be eager for such data and therefore so should the content producers.

      --
      "We can categorically state we have not released man-eating badgers into the area." - UK military spokesman, July 2007
    3. Re:Makes sense by Chris+Pimlott · · Score: 1

      It makes sense only in a short-sighted way. It's ridiculous to assume programs will be shown online with the same exact ads to all audiences. The presentation of content must be adapted to the medium if there is any hope that it is to be successful.

    4. Re:Makes sense by SoTerrified · · Score: 1

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      Yes, but advertising cares if Heroes has 1 million watching the regular broadcast... But 5 million watching on a website that servers a single ad right before the broadcast commences.

    5. Re:Makes sense by FlyingBishop · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bull. I straight up do not see (or hear) half of the ads that come up on television.

      Most ads on Hulu, by contrast, I do see. So ignoring Hulu is ridiculous.

    6. Re:Makes sense by Taedirk · · Score: 1

      Part of me wants to ask if iTunes is going to be counted as 3/5ths of a broadcast. The other part of me knows that's very, very wrong.

    7. Re:Makes sense by smartr · · Score: 1

      I doubt they're doing anything to measure DVR use, which is now widely deployed and used to skip ads. Short of live events, I bet you will find that a large portion of tv viewers record the shows they regularly watch (which are the ones getting the ratings).

    8. Re:Makes sense by nightsweat · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not really. fewer ads in a Hulu broadcast might be worth more as far as the depth of impression made. If you watch "Accidentally on Purpose" on TV, you might watch it because you like Jenna Elfman and think the show is funny. Or, you might just happen to be killing time between "How I Met Your Mother" and "The Big Bang Theory". Neilsen can't tell.

      If, however, you watch Accidentally on Purpose on Hulu, it's because you want to watch Accidentally on Purpose. The ads that are targeted to that crowd are more narrowly and more properly targeted to you the Hulu viewer and shoudl be be more valuable per impression.

      --

      the major advances in civilization are processes which all but wreck the societies in which they occur - A.N. White
    9. Re:Makes sense by ThatMegathronDude · · Score: 1

      They're lucky we give them that 3/5 status.

    10. Re:Makes sense by businessnerd · · Score: 1

      If there are no ads at all, and no intent on introducing ads in the future, then yes, Nielson should not count them because the whole point of the Nielsen ratings is to set advertising prices for a given slot. But Hulu does show ads, even though it is not as many as regular broadcast. So how do we set the price for those ad slots? Should the Hulu ad be cheaper or more expensive than the broadcast TV ad? This is an important question that needs to be answered. If more people are watching the online version where only a handful of commercials appear, then those slots should have a greater value.

      --
      "It's not whether you win or lose, it's how drunk you get." -- H. J. Simpson
    11. Re:Makes sense by ProfMobius · · Score: 1

      True, I can see where they're coming from. However I would imagine counting online views as a portion/percentage.

      For example a typical show on Hulu has the same number of commercial breaks as the broadcast equivalent, but maybe 1/5 of the total commercials. IE, for every break there's usually a single 15-60 second commercial (averaging around 30 seconds a piece). So maybe count 5 Hulu viewings as 1 Nielson viewing.

      This make sense. If you have 5 times the number of viewer on one media with 1/5 of the advertisement, it means you are doubling the advertisement (from the original media + the new media). Since Hulu is a successful platform, they should also count it. It is not that difficult I guess, just puting a new column in their Excel thingy with a factor number. For those buying the shows online, just put the factor as a pourcentage of what you make in ads (if you are selling the show twice the price you make in ads, put a 2.0 factor). This way, they can take into account all forms of media and have a clearer picture of what going on.

      --
      EULA : By reading the above message, you agree that I now own your soul.
    12. Re:Makes sense by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Not as much sell more advertising but sell advertising for more.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    13. Re:Makes sense by Reason58 · · Score: 1

      That only makes sense if you consider a "commercial" to be the only form of advertisement possible. Given the magic of the internet, there are all sorts of things you can do. Mandatory ads before the show starts. Banners. In-show product placement. Close tie-ins to other web sites are easily facilitated. Etc. I think it is quite telling of the industry in general that they cannot fathom anything that hasn't been done for the last 60 years already.

    14. Re:Makes sense by Coopjust · · Score: 1

      So why not make the "classic" Nielsen rating and one for "online" or "alternate presentation"?

    15. Re:Makes sense by ottothecow · · Score: 4, Insightful
      Ahh, but hulu advertisers do not care about the popularity of the program.

      Hulu advertisers get a guaranteed number of viewers and they can try to target specific audiences (not sure how much targeting hulu does). With traditional advertising, you buy a time block and then you hope that people are going to watch it. If the football game on another channel goes into double overtime and half of your expected viewers show up...tough cookies. If only half of the viewers show up on hulu, you only run half the amount of ads.

      From that standpoint, I understand why Nielsen is doing it this way...but at the same time, their ratings end up being factors in other things (like whether or not a show gets canned) and thus they should be reporting on every medium they can. How hard would it be to add a media_source: field in their database and have different advertising and viewership statistics?

      At the same time, why do we need Nielsen for online content? The page counter has existed since the geocities page--We need Nielsen because they can tell us who is watching what OTA broadcast...hulu can already tell us exactly how many times something was watched and probably exactly what parts of the program they watched.

      --
      Bottles.
    16. Re:Makes sense by Saint+Gerbil · · Score: 1

      While that seems fair I'll be willing to bet its not accurate the first advert in an ad break is more likely to be viewed than the second to last.

      Fewer adverts probably means more complete views since people would be less likely to pop off for a pee while the adverts are on.

    17. Re:Makes sense by modestmelody · · Score: 1

      No, it doesn't make sense.

      What would make sense is adjusting a Hulu viewer so they're only worth a fraction of a traditional viewer (i.e., this viewer sees 1/3 the commericals so they're coutned as 0.33 viewers).

    18. Re:Makes sense by ShiningSomething · · Score: 1

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      You only care about how many people will watch *your* commercial, not how many commercials those people have seen already. So why would they count for less?

    19. Re:Makes sense by mounthood · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Bittorrent should be counted for the another reason: if someone is taking the time to download it we can be very sure they are watching it, unlike the TV show that may be on without anybody paying attention. Turing that interest into revenue is still a challenge, but it's not made harder by counting torrents; it wouldn't condone or justify torrents only make the rating numbers more accurate.

      --
      tomorrow who's gonna fuss
    20. Re:Makes sense by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I think it depends on what you're using the metrics for. I'd argue that they should collect everything, and then categorize it appropriately.

      For example, suppose Hulu announces that they'll take one high-cost ad per show. Suddenly advertisers will want to know what their market share is and all that.

      On the other hand, when networks decide what shows to cancel - they don't care about how many people watch the show on mediums other than their own, regardless of whether they have ads or not.

      I suspect that the reason that Neilsen is doing what it is doing is that it is because it is what their customers are looking for. When Hulu pitches their online service to an ad agency they don't need Neilsen to tell them how many people are watching their shows - they already collect that stuff on their own.

    21. Re:Makes sense by TheRaven64 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No, iTunes will count like DVD sales. It's money made from the consumers rather than money made from the advertisers. Nielsen only tracks money made from the advertisers. Unfortunately, the studios seem obsessed by advertising revenue and don't seem to have noticed that, since DVD made recordings cheap to mass produce and the Internet made them even cheaper, it's possible to sell directly to the consumers and still make a profit.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    22. Re:Makes sense by nkcaump · · Score: 0

      Agreed. Hulu could make a heap of cash by simply broadcasting the "Hulu Rating" (they may already) Similar to the "Billboard Top 20 Albums" You could soon make Nielsen irrelevant.

      --
      Yep.
    23. Re:Makes sense by AP31R0N · · Score: 2, Funny

      Clever using Accidentally on Purpose to describe whether someone watched it accidentally or on purpose. i'll throw you some karma elsewhere.

      Companies selling products (all companies) need to fire Nielsen. The smart folk are ditching cable and going to Hulu and the like.

      --
      Utilizing the synergization of benchmark e-solutions to pre-workaround action items!
    24. Re:Makes sense by nkcaump · · Score: 0

      But there are no ads in my bittorrents. If there are ads in YOUR bittorrents, then you're going to the wrong sites. No ads = no interest from the advertisers.

      --
      Yep.
    25. Re:Makes sense by Maximum+Prophet · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      Wrong. They care because that's where the next opportunities to sell ads are.

      I don't understand Neilsen's plan. How will advertisers know where their ads *should* go, if they don't have all the numbers.

      --
      All ideas^H^H^H^H^Hprocesses in this post are Patent Pending. (as well as the process of patenting all postings)
    26. Re:Makes sense by nine-times · · Score: 1

      After all, Nielsen reports ratings so that shows can sell more advertising.

      Yeah, but there's a problem in that Nielsen ratings get treated like the end-all and be-all measurement of a show's popularity and profitability. It's the same problem with a lot of standardized tests-- they evaluate for one specific set of things, which is fine, but then they get applied much more broadly than is applicable.

      So if you're an advertiser who wants to place an ad on TV, then web views are fairly irrelevant. However, if your an advertiser who wants to place an ad on Hulu, then these Nielsen ratings are fairly irrelevant. If you're a network executive trying to evaluate the long-term profitability for a given show, then these Nielsen ratings are, at best, an incomplete picture. You have to look at possible syndication deals, DVD sales, iTunes sales, Netflix licensing, Hulu views, merchandising, and probably some other stuff.

    27. Re:Makes sense by coolsnowmen · · Score: 2, Informative

      When Hulu pitches their online service to an ad agency they don't need Neilsen to tell them how many people are watching their shows - they already collect that stuff on their own.

      Insightful

      Said another way, why would Neilsen spend money to estimate the number of viewers of hulu when hulu already knows exactly.

    28. Re:Makes sense by flyneye · · Score: 1

      I think the inverse to this problem is: as a viewer I have no motivation to select shows with advertisements, let alone more advertisements. In fact, I would rather watch content without any ads or at least non intrusive ads. When internet ads are increased for the benefit of Nielson figures, I will seek content elsewhere. The fact that a show is on a major network holds no weight with me. The ads increase, I'm outa here. The time to change what constitutes ads is now at hand. In show placement and banner ads are best bet to reach me the customer. Quality of content doesn't necessarily mean hollywood budget or glitter. This is probably more about the death of Nielson than Hulu. It's a dinosaur thing, adapt or die. Think outside the box or be buried in it. I am the Consumer and I am always right.

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    29. Re:Makes sense by jayme0227 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Actually, many television shows are moving towards product placement instead of traditional advertising. Most companies understand that the normal TV model is a thing of the past, considering that many people have DVRs and now stream TV online.

      If you have ever seen the show "Chuck" on NBC, you would see quite a bit of this. For one, part of the show often takes place in an electronics retail store which allows considerable ads to be placed around the store in the form of cardboard cutouts and product displays. Video games are often topics for conversation, including major promotions from Call of Duty and Madden NFL 10 being incorporated (extremely cleverly, I might add) into the storyline. In addition to video games and cars (which have been doing product placement for years), Subway has stated that their product placement with Chuck was one of their most successful ad partnerships ever.

      Now, as far as I'm concerned, it doesn't matter whether Nielsen includes steaming content in their ratings. Any network that streams its own shows should have access to their data without a problem, and if Hulu doesn't already provide this data back to the networks, I doubt it would make much for them to do so. Any ad exec that still bases his decisions solely on Nielsen ratings at this point doesn't deserve his job.

      PS. Watch Chuck. It's a fantastically done spy comedy that always finds its way to cleverly tell a story, even if its premise is a bit old. (Unwitting everyman accidentally gains "superpowers" and must learn to become a hero.)

      --
      But then I realized the cable was blue, so I only gave it one star. I hate blue.
    30. Re:Makes sense by Maximum+Prophet · · Score: 1

      Tivo keeps track of this information, and they sell it directly. There's no percentage for Neilsen. Tivo will even tell advertisers how many people watched vs. skipped their ads.

      It's possible that Hulu et. al. want to keep their data to sell themselves, so they don't give it to Nielsen.

      --
      All ideas^H^H^H^H^Hprocesses in this post are Patent Pending. (as well as the process of patenting all postings)
    31. Re:Makes sense by PPalmgren · · Score: 1

      Smart people don't buy everything they see on TV. Neilsen doesn't want to focus on that audience, and neither do advertisers.

    32. Re:Makes sense by supremebob · · Score: 1

      If I was Nielsen, I'd want to know the viewing habits for everything that was connected to a TV. DVR, Blu-Ray, XBox, even old VHS tapes... if they're watching it, I'd want to record that information to know to provide to my clients. That way, they know where ads are being viewed and where they are not.

    33. Re:Makes sense by kalirion · · Score: 1

      Different shows have on TV have different number of commercials too. I remember Fringe having only 60-90 second commercial breaks. How can Nielsen have ratings for Fringe then, compared to American Idle etc?

    34. Re:Makes sense by barberousse · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What about product placement? More viewings (whatever the medium) = more potential revenue for the advertisers.

    35. Re:Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you watch "Accidentally on Purpose" on TV, you might watch it because you like Jenna Elfman and think the show is funny.

      Never.

      you might just happen to be killing time between "How I Met Your Mother" and "The Big Bang Theory".

      Never.

      I'm watching Hulu 8:30 PM 9:30 PM EST on a Monday :D

    36. Re:Makes sense by DreamsAreOkToo · · Score: 1

      Actually, counting it as a percent is idiotic. If you have 1000 viewings of a show with 1 commercial, and a 1000 viewings of a show with 50 commercials... which show has better commercial coverage?

      The one with 1 commercial. Scarcity increases value. I watch every commercial that pops up on hulu. I watch 5 seconds of commercials on TV.

    37. Re:Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you have ever seen the show "Chuck" on NBC, you would see quite a bit of this

      That's interesting to know. I didn't realize NBC still had shows.

    38. Re:Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you watch "Accidentally on Purpose" on TV, you might watch it because you like Jenna Elfman and think the show is funny. Or, you might just happen to be killing time between "How I Met Your Mother" and "The Big Bang Theory". Neilsen can't tell.

      Nielsen doesn't have to differentiate that. No one thinks "Accidentally on Purpose" is funny.

    39. Re:Makes sense by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      The disturbing thing about that historical ratio wasn't how small it was, but how large. By all rights, people who don't have any rights, and especially who aren't permitted to vote shouldn't have been counted at all when determining relative representation in congress.

      States shouldn't have been encouraged to create non-voting populations.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    40. Re:Makes sense by tomuo · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Wrong. TIVO has had a relationship with Neilsen for a few years already. When I had a TIVO, they asked me if I wanted to be a Neilsen TIVO user, which I agreed to. TIVO updated the OS to a special version shortly after. The usual Neilsen behaviour rules applied: please use the TIVO remote to turn the TV set on and off so they don't count the time playing to an empty audience.

    41. Re:Makes sense by treeves · · Score: 1

      *Nobody* buys everything. (Almost) everybody buys *something*.

      --
      ...the future crusty old bastards are already drinking the Kool-Aid.
    42. Re:Makes sense by suomynonAyletamitlU · · Score: 1

      People don't generally like things added to a service that should "just work". If a show is broadcast without ads, the consumer will likely assume it can and should continue like that. Unless the show's producers themselves come in apologetically and say they're going to have to start adding them to stay afloat, the addition will be seen as pure greed.

      Now, with numbers as high as 500M, losing 50% of the demographic when you add ads doesn't exactly leave the advertiser scraping the bottom of the barrel. However, if that's implemented sitewide, losing that much traffic is devastating.

      The point being you want numbers that tell you how many times you ad will be seen as things are today, not how many times the ad will be seen assuming that the viewers don't go apeshit that you put ads in their formerly free show and assuming the site doesn't go under or get passed by because they suddenly lost traffic.

    43. Re:Makes sense by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      The disturbing thing about that historical ratio wasn't how small it was, but how large. By all rights, people who don't have any rights, and especially who aren't permitted to vote shouldn't have been counted at all when determining relative representation in congress.

      States shouldn't have been encouraged to create non-voting populations.

      True enough. They should never have done it. But...

      The 3/5th of a person thing was done because Virginia wasn't going to ratify the Constitution without it - the very first example of horse-trading for votes in US History....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    44. Re:Makes sense by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      The smart folk are ditching cable and going to Hulu and the like.

      That's while Nielsen isn't bothering counting Hulu views. It's very hard to sell useless products to smart people...

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    45. Re:Makes sense by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      People who can't vote are still counted, to this day, which is just stupid for many reasons.

      It's especially egregious with areas with large prison populations, where they cannot vote but count as 'residences' for the purpose of allocation representation.

      People often forget that that, legally, who can vote is up to the states. They are forbidden for using certain criteria for this, but could easily say 'No one can vote' or 'Only people seven feet tall can vote.'.

      The really funny thing is that, legally, you can end up with a congressional district with no legal voters at all, at which point the constitutional sigsegs and the country crashes, I believe.

      I think we should have a constitutional amendment saying that you only get congressional representation for each registered voter, as of the last census. (And that's a compromise, as I'd really like them only to get it for each actual voter, in each congressional race, averaged over the last decade.)

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    46. Re:Makes sense by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      In fact, this is somewhat backwards of 'not counting'.

      If I was an advertiser, and two TV shows had the same ratings and audience, but one had half the commercial time of the other, I'd try to get into that one, assuming the same price.

      Why? Well, people are less likely to skip ads when they are shorter. Seems obvious to me.

      OTOH, it might not be the same price...commercials cost more at the start and end of the break, and less in the middle, I believe, and a show with less commercials might not have a middle slot.

      None of this is really relevant to the Nielsen ratings not wanting to merge in Hulu views, though. That's the same show, aired with less commercials, and an argument could be made it would have less viewers if it had the standard amount, so it's unfair to count it the standard rate.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    47. Re:Makes sense by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      And you'd be wrong. They measure DVR usage the same way they measure every other medium connected to a TV including video games. They only count playback, of course, not recording, since advertisers only care about viewers.

    48. Re:Makes sense by bit01 · · Score: 1

      ... which allows considerable ads ... Watch Chuck. ...

      No point, the net value to the viewer is probably close to zero.

      ---

      "Advertising supported" just means you're paying twice over, once in time to watch/avoid the ad and twice in the increased price of the product to pay for the ad.

    49. Re:Makes sense by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      I wondered about this myself, but I think it ultimately comes down to trust. Why should advertisers trust Hulu to provide accurate numbers on viewing when they have a clear incentive to bump up their figures? The value of Nielsen is its impartiality.

      Now if there were a way for a third-party to manage the logging of web visits, that might pose an alternative to Nielsen, if the advertisers and agencies would take the service provider seriously. So far, web measurement seems to rely on recruited panels like Alexa uses. Measuring web traffic at the servers themselves doesn't seem to be very common as of yet. Of course the web is incredibly decentralized which makes server-based measurements very difficult to manage. Still, a large number of consumers probably visit a fairly small number of sites (a few hundred sites probably constitute a large fraction of all visits in the US), so installing a server-based measurement technique at these sites could be quite effective.

      There's a lot more to Nielsen than television ratings, too. They also measure sales data and correlate exposures with product sales. From the linked article:

      Nielsen measures product sales, market share, distribution, price and merchandising conditions in tens of thousands of retail outlets such as grocery stores, drug stores, mass merchandisers and convenience stores. Reporting periods can be as short as a single day for selected electronic point-of-sale (POS) information or up to bimonthly for manual field audits. Data-collection methods will vary by country and type of outlet being reported.

      Nielsen also measures the purchasing behavior of more than 250,000 households in 27 countries through our industry-leading consumer panels. Our US panel is the largest and most representative static sample in the country.

    50. Re:Makes sense by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      If you're a network executive trying to evaluate the long-term profitability for a given show, then these Nielsen ratings are, at best, an incomplete picture. You have to look at possible syndication deals, DVD sales, iTunes sales, Netflix licensing, Hulu views, merchandising, and probably some other stuff.

      My understanding is that all this stuff constitutes "gravy." Producers look to cover their costs, or perhaps make a small profit, during the original network run. I'd bet that the other sources of revenue you list are pretty highly correlated with ratings during the initial broadcast run. Shows that don't succeed in building an audience on network television aren't very likely to sell lots of DVDs or do well in syndication. There are, of course, exceptions to this, but I'd bet the relationship is pretty strong for most normal types of television programming.

    51. Re:Makes sense by nine-times · · Score: 1

      Right, that's been the conventional thinking and there has been a lot of truth to it. I'm suggesting that now the reality is a little more subtle, and those subtleties are starting to become more pronounced as the game changes. First came cable, and then DVR. Somewhere along the line it became popular to buy/rent DVDs instead of watching the show during its first airing. Now you have all these other distribution channels associated with the Internet.

      Sooner or later the industry is going to have to figure out that their business has changed, and they're going to have to change their thinking to go along with it.

    52. Re:Makes sense by Hadlock · · Score: 1

      I'm not too sure about that. You're probably aware of new brands, or new products from existing brands than someone who watches no TV. The first 1-2 seconds are enough to get it to stick in your head, and then you end up recognizing the brand in the store (even if you don't buy it that time around). I on the other hand, don't watch TV or read magazines and end up going "hunh?" when people mention "the new star trek movie" (which apparently came out last april) or "so are you going to buy bioshock 2?" to which I respond, "they're making a sequel?". Advertising works, regardless of how long you are exposed to it.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    53. Re:Makes sense by assassinator42 · · Score: 1

      They do that with Heroes too. Sprint logos and phones everywhere.
      I vow to never subscribe to Sprint because they advertise too much. (I also play 1 vs. 100 on Xbox Live, where a vast majority of ads are for Sprint).

    54. Re:Makes sense by VShael · · Score: 1

      Nobody in advertising cares if 500,000,000 people watch a show if no ads were seen.

      Wrong. With the recent trend in Product Placement advertising, EVERYONE in advertising would care if 500,000,000 people were watching a show.

      (How the hell you got modded +5 for knowing nothing about the industry... well, that's slashdot for you.)

    55. Re:Makes sense by ZachPruckowski · · Score: 1

      Hulu advertisers get a guaranteed number of viewers and they can try to target specific audiences (not sure how much targeting hulu does). With traditional advertising, you buy a time block and then you hope that people are going to watch it. If the football game on another channel goes into double overtime and half of your expected viewers show up...tough cookies. If only half of the viewers show up on hulu, you only run half the amount of ads.

      Actually, a lot of bigger advertisers on TV, especially in primetime who buy ads in bulk at the up-fronts, get "make-good" ads if the show the ad was in underperform the expected numbers drastically. So if "Heroes" viewership is off 25% year-over-year, those advertisers who bought the ads the previous summer based on last year's numbers get extra ads run for free to make up for it.

    56. Re:Makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      New Nissan Versa!

  7. Why do you say this? by IANAAC · · Score: 4, Interesting

    (b) Hulu and everyone else starts to put more advertisements on their shows (more likely, but would also pro

    For those of us with no cable and using only digital OTA, Hulu (and other online sites) replace a DVR. And I think we'd be willing to sit through commercials.

    Call me cheap, but I would, at least.

    1. Re:Why do you say this? by RCGodward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I wonder about this. I don't watch Hulu because it has fewer commercials or because I don't have cable. I watch Hulu because I miss a show and need to catch up, or I want to show someone the return of the Masturbating Bear. Every time Hulu thinks about adding a few more commercials I hear doom and gloom about the death of the site, but I really don't care all that much. I can't imagine I'm alone.

    2. Re:Why do you say this? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I do sit through the commercials, but if they are going to be putting the same number of commercials on hulu as OTA, then they better let me watch it on my couch instead of in my computer chair.

      This means not cutting off Boxee et al.

    3. Re:Why do you say this? by IANAAC · · Score: 1

      then they better let me watch it on my couch instead of in my computer chair.

      This is exactly what I do, but even if they cut out Boxee, I could still comfortably watch through my TV using their own app (Hulu Desktop).

    4. Re:Why do you say this? by ChipMonk · · Score: 1

      We're not alone in that. I don't even have decent digital OTA. When I visit my parents, I watch House and reruns of Firefly. The former is the only show in current lineups that I'd watch; it isn't worth it to me, to buy a telly for one show. The latter isn't available on broadcast OR cable anymore.

    5. Re:Why do you say this? by tonycheese · · Score: 1

      For some people, sure, but they could potentially lose a lot of viewers as well. Hulu currently hosts a surprisingly huge amount of anime. This, however, makes sense, since Japanese animation studios tend not to be so uptight about copyright issues and so there are at least 10 streaming versions of every major anime in existence on a site somewhere... Hulu offers a stable, consistently high-quality video in return for 1 minute or two of commercials per episode, so the company can make advertising money out of a demographic that does not usually see commercials. If the amount of commercials goes up, I'd imagine those viewers would just go back to the no-ads versions that are easily found.

    6. Re:Why do you say this? by Rutefoot · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Here in Canada we don't even get Hulu. For me, I would not care in the slightest if online shows contained the same number of advertisements as broadcast TV if it means we were actually allowed to watch it. I would love the opportunity to be able to watch a streaming show without having to deal with the unreliability and sketchiness of less than official streaming video sites.

      One other thing that I don't think was mentioned is the ability for online sites to very easily offer advertisements targetted at people depending on where they live. Big networks don't get that luxury. I mean, take TBS for example which often contains ads for local Atlanta businesses. Those ads are valueless for 90%+ of viewers. An online site could potentially sell the same ad space many times over, one directed at Atlanta residents, one to west coasters, one to Canadians, etc. They might have to charge slightly less just on principle, even if it has close to zero effect on the ad's reach, but sell that ad space 5 times and you could make significantly more profits.

    7. Re:Why do you say this? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't. I don't have any broadcast TV anymore, and I've found that I watch more shows now than I did before. I only watch things that are streamed on iPlayer (no ads), rented on DVD (no ads), or streamed from the company I rent DVDs from (also no ads). I'm quite willing to pay for the content, but I'm not willing to watch ads. I strongly suspect that the amount that I pay per show is more than the amount advertisers pays per viewer, but the studios still remain fixated on the idea that a show is only profitable if it makes a profit from advertising. If it can't make a profit from advertising on the original network but the DVD and syndication sales make money then they cancel it.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    8. Re:Why do you say this? by yuna49 · · Score: 1

      I strongly suspect that the amount that I pay per show is more than the amount advertisers pays per viewer

      In prime time, advertisers pay about three cents per HH. See http://www.tvb.org/rcentral/adrevenuetrack/media/media.asp?c=2f.

    9. Re:Why do you say this? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      So, if I paid 10 cents to watch a show without ads, the studios would be making more per viewer than if they ran it at prime time? Sounds good. I'll happily pay $2.50 up front - before they even start filming - for the next season of any show that I like to be made available for me to download in a DRM-free format.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
  8. The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

    Into a trilobite, unfortunately.

    It's inevitable really, since Neilsen's customers are advertising execs. Neilsen don't want to tell them that fewer and fewer people are seeing their ads, and the advertising execs definitely don't want that news getting out - that would be a strictly career limiting move.

    --
    If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    1. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      It's inevitable really, since Neilsen's customers are advertising execs. Neilsen don't want to tell them that fewer and fewer people are seeing their ads

      You really think you are seeing fewer ads? Than the people watching on television, sure. But as DVRs and Hulu eliminate seperate ads, product placements rise. And astroturfing. And sending hot girls into bars to order specific liquors.

      I would rather their limited advertising budget was spent on obvious ads, and would be willing to endure more explicit ads on Hulu if that was the case.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    2. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      OK, you watch the obvious ads, I'll go and hang out in bars where hot girls are being paid to get drunk.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    3. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Well, they are getting paid to get you to buy them drinks. So, you get to pay to talk to a hot girl who wasn't even interested in the drink you bought her, let alone you. To wit, she'll probably ditch it as soon as you aren't looking. Sounds good man!

      Sometimes, they are out in the open and giving away free beer. I like those nights.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    4. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      You know what chicks totally flip for? When you point out their factual errors. They just can't get enough of that.

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    5. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't subscribe to TV
      Only shows I watch are downloaded without ads
      Rarely go to bars, and when I do I order what I specifically like the flavour of, not what others order.
      Use adblock plus and noscript

      The only place I see ads really are when I'm browsing the internet at work (which doesn't have adblock or noscript), when I'm driving and see billboards, or when I'm shopping and see in-store ads (which rarely influence much, since I'll typically be there to get something specific, not browse around for hours).

      Now, advertising has ONE good purpose... and that is to let me know of the existance that a product/service exists. If I did not know that said product existed, I would simply have lived in ignorance, working around whatever need said product would have filled. However, when I learn about a product from either an ad, or other sources (friends, online news, etc, etc), I tend to RESEARCH it, find as many places as I can that create/sell said product, and decide which/where to buy depending on what I find. I'll very, very rarely buy something on impulse because of an ad (and the few I do are perhaps some 'new' flavour of drink at Second Cup or some such, and try it on a whim).

      tl;dr: Information is good, but I'll research something before I buy a specific product advertised.

      Oh, and if your ads are too annoying, you'll be blacklisted, and I will never buy from you, even if I must pay more elsewhere. Y'hear that, Old Navy, Hardees, Harveys, Arbys, and Robins Donuts? For years (except Robins, they were just added about a month ago) I've absolutely refused to set foot in your stores, and will continue to do so.

    6. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      You know what chicks totally flip for? When you point out their factual errors. They just can't get enough of that.

      Are you a chick?

      Am I trying to fuck you?

      Then I'm going to continue point out your factual errors. I'll also be point out your inferred errors. See this post for an example.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    7. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Rogerborg · · Score: 1

      Then I'm going to continue [to] point out your factual errors. I'll also be point[ing] out your inferred errors.

      Fixed that for you. So: your place, or mine?

      --
      If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
    8. Re:The Neilsen dinosaur finally evolves! by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Can I borrow your petard? I seem to be hoisted upon my own.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
  9. You NEED to track all viewings and here's why... by SoTerrified · · Score: 1

    Because then Nielson could put together a ratings list that shows ratings based on the amount of advertising. I won't lie, like most people one of the reasons I prefer watching TV through alternate means is to avoid the advertising. Yet I don't require zero advertising. There is a level of advertising that's more acceptable.

    With this information, networks could find out how LESS advertising could generate more views. As a result, they could offer scaled advertising rates to advertisers based on the number of views. Which is exactly what the Nielson ratings are supposed to be doing now, except they totally ignore the big black hole of online content. This change, only measuring apples to apples comparisons and completely ignoring the oranges, just makes that big black hole slightly smaller. It doesn't serve the advertisers, it doesn't serve the viewers and it doesn't accept that there are new entertainment models.

    Way to go, Nielsons!

  10. Nielsen Ratings Will Become Less Important by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Online viewers will not put up with the same quantity of ads as regular television (certainly not this viewer.) Hulu is just barely tolerable at 30 second spots. They've done the testing and research, they know what people will put up with. Nielsen Ratings are used to sell ad space, the better the rating, the more can be charged. If "Nielsen" won't rate online TV outlets, the internet TV "Industry" will come up with their own way of justifying ad sales. Point number one, fewer and shorter ads increase the probability that the viewers will actually watch them. Point number two, each viewer must request the view, making it much easier to accurately count and tie to demographics. Who needs Nielsen?

  11. Why? by GreyyGuy · · Score: 1

    Why should Hulu add more commercials? If they are viable as it is, wht do they care for Neilson? Neilson is there to help sell ads by giving a value to TV shows. If Hulu doesn't need that many ads why should they annoy their viewers to help an unrelated service?

    1. Re:Why? by vxice · · Score: 1

      because content providers who want the high ratings and people viewing it in places that at best will not increase their ratings and possibly even draw people from places that do increase their ratings will demand hulu change its ways so that it does count in ratings or pull their content.

      --
      every anarchist is a baffled dictator. Benito_Mussolini
  12. TV Everywhere NOT equivalent of DukeNukem Forever by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Duke Nukem actually got released which puts them ahead of TV Everywhere.

  13. Or No One Cares by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or C, Hulu and other online outlets don't give a crap about Nielsen because Nielsen has no effect upon them, only upon the shows they carry. Networks care about nielsen because there is a cost involved in producing content, Hulu doesn't have that cost, Hulu has the cost of acquiring content which is paid for by ads. There is absolutely no benefit in them adding ads to their content just so Nielsen will use them in the rankings. So...there you go.

  14. Why not count per-ad-minute? by ZeroSumHappiness · · Score: 1

    If they insist on it only mattering how much advertising you watch then shouldn't they be rating it as show per advertisement minute? It would even allow the studios to do interesting analysis like, is it worth it to have a 30-minute show that's only got 3 minutes of ads rather than the standard 8 since it increases viewership to unforeseen heights? (Not likely, actually, but still an interesting question.) Also, shouldn't they care about per ad-minute per ad as well? I mean, I figure there's some reinforcement value to watching the same advertisement twice but the same commercial three times in a row (it has happened when I still watched normal broadcast TV) when I've seen it 20 times that week probably doesn't help that much. Also, shouldn't the execs care that advertising on Hulu can be far more directed? For example, if I actually rate that I really liked the trailer for Movie X and actually go watch Movie X after seeing the trailer on Hulu it'd be cool if Hulu gave me more trailers for movies like Movie X (Netflix-style like here). And if I'm repeatedly marking down Product Y since it's a food in a category I don't eat can I please get not only no more adverts for Product Y but also no more product Y-2? I mean, we give them the perfect medium for directing advertising directly at as to maximize its effect and they just sneer at it. When will they learn?

    1. Re:Why not count per-ad-minute? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nielsen's "currency" data (ie: the numbers that Networks and Ad Agencies use to negotiate with)are already based on just the commercial minutes in a program.

  15. And this is a bad thing? by grapeape · · Score: 1

    Like it or not "free" television shows are advertising supported. Having a real way to measure how many people are watching online will finally give legitimacy to online advertising in streaming video and will help ad rates significantly. I know everyone likes free and hates advertising but in a medium like that there is no other way around it beyond pay per view or a wealthy benefactor who doesn't mind the idea of throwing away cash to entertain the masses.

    There will be benefits to consumers as well, more will likely make their shows available online and time shifting not counting towards ratings will be less of an issue. This may actually help "save" shows in the future that had wide followings online and through tivo's but didn't reflect those audiences in ratings (Firefly or Dollhouse anyone?). It may also lead to a greater willingness to provide web only content.

  16. I'm going to miss TV by wcrowe · · Score: 1

    I'm going to miss TV, at least a little bit. I calculated that if I connect my macMini to my TV, I can do practically everything I'm doing now with cable and Tivo -- but at $50 less per month.

    There are a few drawbacks, of course. Live sporting events and knowing the exact location of the nearest tornado, to name a couple. But I almost never watch sports, and the radio can suffice when it comes to severe weather. Ultimately, these things just aren't worth the $100+ per month that I'm paying for my "bundled" cable package.

    Flopping down on the couch and turning on the TV to "see what's on" are going to become a thing of the past at my house.

    If Nielson doesn't make some changes to their rating system, they'll become as redundant as TV.

    --
    Proverbs 21:19
    1. Re:I'm going to miss TV by hoggoth · · Score: 1

      > Flopping down on the couch and turning on the TV to "see what's on" are going to become a thing of the past at my house.

      If if if if and if.

      What are you waiting for? We did it two years ago and we've never been happier. My family spends a lot more time doing things together now, we play board games, we read a lot, we cook more instead of ordering in, we go outside and do things. You have no idea how much of your time the TV sucks up.

      You probably feel like you don't have enough time to do all the thing you'd like to do. Most people do. If I offered you a magical gift of four extra hours a day, what would you give up for it? Would you give up watching whatever crap happened to be on TV at any random moment? Sounds like an easy choice, right? It's easy and all you have to do is break the habit.

      We still watch DVDs, and play on the computer. We just don't watch "whatever happens to be on" anymore.

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
    2. Re:I'm going to miss TV by MozeeToby · · Score: 1

      Live sporting events and knowing the exact location of the nearest tornado, to name a couple.

      Couldn't that be covered with a $10 antenna and, if necissary, a $30 converter box?

    3. Re:I'm going to miss TV by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Live sporting events and knowing the exact location of the nearest tornado

      You can see the live sporting events at your local bar, and for tornados there's www.weather.com (the weather channel web site). It works well on a phone as well as a computer, even the radar maps.

    4. Re:I'm going to miss TV by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      Nevermind a couple of years a go.

      Some of us fled "normal TV" over 10 years ago. '-p

      Being liberated from broadcast schedules is a sublime thing.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    5. Re:I'm going to miss TV by jedidiah · · Score: 1

      ...like analog TV before: it all depends on how lucky you are and how good your signal is.

      A $10 antenna probably isn't going to cut it.

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
    6. Re:I'm going to miss TV by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I hear ya. I'm also about 2 years and running. I think the most amusing part is telephone solicitors trying to get me back onto TV.

      Caller: Do you currently subscribe to Shaw (or whatever) TV?
      Me: Nope. Don't subscribe to ANY tv.
      Caller: Really? Well, I can get you 8 bundles, plus blah, blah, blah, blah, for only $insert_offer_here a month.
      Me: Thaaaat sounds like more than the zero I'm currently paying.
      Caller: It will get you a discount on your internet for having both services (if caller is for the same company).
      Me: 5 dollars off internet, but I have to pay 20 (or whatever) for TV. Still sounds like more than internet alone.
      Caller: But you can watch your favourite shows blah, blah, blah.
      Me: And I do... online. Nnnnope, the only way you'll get me to subscribe to TV is if you can beat a price of zero, by paying me to watch TV. And even then, I'd rather be doing other things, so I'd just leave the TV on and walk away.
      Caller: There's no way I can convince you?
      Me: Nnnnope.
      Caller: Alright, I guess, have a nice day.

      Good times, good times.

    7. Re:I'm going to miss TV by hoggoth · · Score: 1

      The Cable operator I spoke to when I canceled cable had a hard time with the concept. She tried to offer me a discount, but I said 'I don't WANT cable'. She offer a better discount. I replied 'I don't want a discount, I want NO TV.'. She said she understood I didn't have kids and must be too busy. I told her I have three young kids. She stammered 'but but but don't they have favorite shows kids shows Hannah Montana Gomez Disney what?'. She just couldn't believe it.

      BTW it took three months for the kids to even notice I had canceled cable. I think I was the one who missed it most.

      --
      - For the complete works of Shakespeare: cat /dev/random (may take some time)
  17. Why would Hulu need Nielsen Ratings? by Van+Cutter+Romney · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Unlike traditional TV where you need ratings like Nielsen, to get advertisers, Hulu could just show the traffic that comes to their site.

    --
    Help a man when he is in trouble and he will remember you when he is in trouble again.
    1. Re:Why would Hulu need Nielsen Ratings? by Beerdood · · Score: 1

      Absolutely right. Additionally, the traffic data from Hulu is more accurate than any of the Nielsen data they could collect. If a show is being played on Hulu, you're most likely watching it.

      Nielsen relies on two different data collection methods - user logs and set meters (a recording device on your television).
      The main problem with the user input is the accuracy of the logs. You may not be able to remember everything you watched last week, or to even fill in the log every time you're watching TV. It would also require honesty on the part of the viewers - did you really watch the real housewives of orange county last week, fashion TV or that 3 am male enhancement infomercial? Of course not.
      The other method (of directly recording the channels & times the TV are on) isn't accurate either, since it doesn't account for time people aren't actually watching the TV - like leaving the room and forgetting to turn it off, or falling asleep in front of it. What if you're flipping between two shows? Does that count as a "view"?

      If you're watching a show on hulu, then you've made an effort to find that specific show. That data is much more valuable to advertisers

      --
      Global warming and other natural disasters are a direct effect of the shrinking number of pirates - Gospel of the FSM
    2. Re:Why would Hulu need Nielsen Ratings? by wiredlogic · · Score: 1

      I don't use Hulu, but if they have something like Google analytics included in their script soup then they can also create a detailed demographic profile of their viewers rather than just processing their own logs. That's something Nielsen can't do. If I were an advertiser I would be willing to pay a little premium for better targeted ads shown to only the eyeballs most likely respond to them. For instance, it's wasteful to advertise women's products to men. If I had 100% confidence in the gender of a viewer I might be willing to pay a 20% premium to show my ad to half as many people.

      --
      I am becoming gerund, destroyer of verbs.
    3. Re:Why would Hulu need Nielsen Ratings? by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      Hulu advertising works just like every other form of web advertising. You pay per impression. You know how many viewers your commercials got directly on your bill as an advertiser.

      You agree to pay $X per impression, they send you a bill that says 'you got Y number of impressions at $X per impression for a total of $XY'

      OR

      You agree to pay $X per impression, up to a total ammount of $Y. You will get Y/X impressions for your money.

      X is variable and depends on which show(s) you want your ad to be associated with.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  18. Evil overlords by hubdawg · · Score: 1

    of mass media only profit from perceived returns. As long as the masses pay for their TV through satellite and cable services they remain content. As more and more move towards non traditional mediums they will devise defensive situations to corral the media hungry into their pens. It is basically a cattle herding effect. The more viewers they can prove, the more they demand for their ad space. My family and I have become rebels in that respect, as we have not had a paid television service in over 5 years. Unless you count online fees for internet access. All our television entertainment comes from Netflix, Hulu, and DVD rentals and purchases. When I share this with people they are stunned and aghast that we can even survive without paid TV in our homes. The day we cancelled our satellite, the operator called us liars when they asked what service we would be switching to. As our answer was that we would not have cable or satellite. It is beyond the average persons comprehension that you can survive with out paid TV. Try it you will like it was my answer. The added time and freedom of not being saddled with monthly payments for television is a gift that will repay you many times over. Buck the system dump the cable and satellite.

    1. Re:Evil overlords by Mashhaster · · Score: 1

      I did the same thing. Four years and counting. Screw big media, let the dinosaurs evolve or die.

      You can get 99% of what you want online anyway.

    2. Re:Evil overlords by hubdawg · · Score: 1

      if we can convince even 1/100th of a percent of all the people who read this to cancel cable or satellite, it will have been worth it.

  19. the real problem by vxice · · Score: 1

    The real problem here is that the cost to distribute media are dropping very fast. Now consumers say that should mean the price they pay should also decrease. This ignores an important point, in economics price affects directly only demand and supply levels. Costs incurred by the producer only affects the amount he is willing to supply and the number of overall suppliers. Essentially the execs are looking at their lowering cost to distribute and asking "so what? the value to you has not changed has it?" Really due to the lower costs to distribute there should be more content providers increasing the content supply which is happening just most of it is crap. The cost to produce good media, if you want to call it that more or less crap with good special effects and the rare gem, is still very high making it hard to break into a market.

    --
    every anarchist is a baffled dictator. Benito_Mussolini
  20. Come up with a new system by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So why doesn't someone (like me) come up with the "Smith Ratings" system, which is designed to gauge viewership on internet television? It could easily be weighted based on the advertisement::show time.

  21. Bad analogy by mister_playboy · · Score: 1

    Trilobites existed way before dinosaurs, not after.

    Trilobite

    --
    Do what thou wilt shall be the whole of the Law ::: Love is the law, love under will
    1. Re:Bad analogy by Daniel_Staal · · Score: 1

      That may have been the point...

      --
      'Sensible' is a curse word.
    2. Re:Bad analogy by yurtinus · · Score: 1

      Does anybody else want to do the woosh? Should I just go ahead and do it?

      --
      +1 Disagree
  22. Re:TV Everywhere NOT equivalent of DukeNukem Forev by MetalliQaZ · · Score: 1

    FAIL.

    --
    "Here Lies Philip J. Fry, named for his uncle, to carry on his spirit"
  23. Option (c) by IorDMUX · · Score: 1

    So either, (a) everyone will rush out to watch their online TV on Comcast XFinity, so that their viewing counts in the ratings (unlikely), or (b) Hulu and everyone else starts to put more advertisements on their shows (more likely, but would also probably mean the death of Hulu)."

    Or (c), Nielsen Ratings begin to lose their importance, clout, and influence over the next few years.

    --
    >> Standing on head makes smile of frown, but rest of face also upside down.
  24. Ratings are based on what viewers report by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fortunately ratings are based on what viewers report. I received a "kit" from Nielson to record viewing. I use a DVR that pulls out commercials, but I counted the programs I watched just the same. I'm guessing that those that are chosen for the viewer info kits may also be counting shows watched without commercials. While Nielson's goal is to have advertisers believe their adds will be viewed, it's not possible for them to strictly enforce what viewers report on the survey. Some viewers may choose to report Hulu or other sources for video entertainment they record.

    1. Re:Ratings are based on what viewers report by jayme0227 · · Score: 1

      Nielsen also has their people meter that measures what you watch electronically. These don't use DVR data, but are generally more accurate than self reporting, although I'm sure that if you tried, you could fool them pretty easily.

      --
      But then I realized the cable was blue, so I only gave it one star. I hate blue.
  25. Hulu keeps a count, right? so they pass that back by swschrad · · Score: 1

    the content providers add another line to their pitch sheets... "While 'Ten Million Gorillas in a Bus' had a Nielsen of 10.2, there were also 4,320,000 Hulu viewings." whether any ads ever show up on Hulu or not, they can still reinforce the show's pull.

    --
    if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
  26. You need to realize something about ad execs. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You need to realize that managers these days, especially those in extremely abstract fields like advertising, spent a large chunk of their time looking at and "analyzing" various "metrics".

    It's one thing when you're managing a factory, for instance. There are metrics there, too, but they are actually useful. You can track how many items you've manufactured in a given time period, how much labor was required to manufacture those items, how many are defective, the per-unit cost of each item, and so forth. Such metrics are useful and accurate because they correspond very well to reality. A manager who knows such metrics can make more educated decisions.

    That's just not the case for many other managers in different fields. Like this article discusses, the metrics dealt with in advertising are much sketchier. Sometimes they exclude huge segments of reality. Other times, they're slightly better than pure nonsense.

    To try and look useful, such managers go crazy with the analysis of this shitty data. They get developers to build them "dashboards" so they can watch their bullshit numbers fluctuate in real-time. Then they try to make decisions on this half-assed information, and of course make stupid decisions. But it looks like they're hard at work, and so they get the big bucks.

  27. Worthless Media by StormReaver · · Score: 3, Interesting

    My most recent cable TV outage started me thinking about televised entertainment in general. I still remember when cable TV was highly desirable because it didn't have any commercials. Then commercials made occasional appearances in some shows, obviously a trial balloon to measure customer opposition. Then commercials quickly became as prevalent on cable as they were on broadcast TV.

    I have been using MythTV for a couple years, and it's been fantastic. I haven't had to sit through a full commercial in that time, and I'd been loving cable TV again. While I fast-forward through commercials (automatic commercial skip is too unreliable), I sometimes saw something that grabbed my attention. In those cases, I usually watched at least a part of the commercial, and discovered a new product. Most often, though, I saved myself centuries (qualitatively speaking) of agony by not having to watch them.

    When I got engaged, she and I had better things to do with our time than watch TV. Three weeks into our first month together, I realized that I hadn't missed TV at all, but was still paying $60/month for something I hardly used. I called Mediacom (the local cable company), and canceled the "service" last week.

    At the same time, I subscribed to Netflix. For a fraction of the cost of cable, I have a vast choice of movies, a much smaller monthly bill, more reliable service, and a much happier experience overall experience.

    When I first tried Hulu, it was an okay service. I had to sit through a couple 7-10 second commercials every half hour, but that wasn't too intolerable. Then Hulu started lengthening the commercials to 30 seconds. It was still not terribly intolerable, because there was usually only one of them every half hour. Then I started seeing two appear every half hour, and it became clear to me which direction Hulu was headed, so I stopped watching Hulu.

    I'm at a point now where I watch TV only during tornadic weather, and only to watch the news coverage to track the storms. My fiancé and I watch one movie a night in bed before going to sleep, and that's it. We have freed ourselves from television, and we have advertisers' greed to thank for that. We don't miss TV one bit.

    So, Nielson won't count online TV viewing unless its riddled with commercials. If Hulu ever starts to be counted, you can be sure that it has become a worthless service. As far as I'm concerned, it has already become a worthless service.

    1. Re:Worthless Media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You have "better things things to do" after getting engaged, but yet when you are in bed with your fiancé you watch a movie? Lets hope you "watch" as much of the movie as a pair of teenagers at a drive in movie do. 'cause if you don't, you are really missing the point.

    2. Re:Worthless Media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Your so happy to boast how you have liberated yourself from TV and saved time, but judging from your post history you turn around and waste it all puttering around on the intarwebs...

      And the reason most people watch television online is because they have lives and don't have a tivo/cable service. Contrary to what you might believe, not everyone has a Grand Mal Spergisode because they have to watch 1:30 worth of commercials during a 23 min show...

      But your too sure are smart and sophisticated aren't you? /rolleye

      Go back to flamebaiting and whining about Microsoft's monopoly.

    3. Re:Worthless Media by nsayer · · Score: 2, Funny

      But your too sure are smart and sophisticated aren't you?

      Irony. It's what's for dinner.

    4. Re:Worthless Media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, hows your lifetime of 1s and 2s treating ya?

    5. Re:Worthless Media by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      I'm at a point now where I watch TV only during tornadic weather, and only to watch the news coverage to track the storms

      www.weather.com (or probably wunderground.com too, though I don't know for sure) will happily send you emails to alert you of weather issues. There are also plugins for Windows Media Center to look for weather alerts, I can't imagine someone hasn't made one for MythTV.

      Personally, living in a city, I've found just listening for the sirens to be the most effective and easiest way to list for a weather issue, as long as your city isn't too new, you could probably do the same. I say too new as it seems that cities that weren't around during our major wars or near nuclear plants seem to be less likely to have adequate alert systems.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  28. Option C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Eventually, Neilsen will need to revamp their system, as online advertisements (seen around a video showing, rather than pauses during a show) will hopefully be a preferred method of advertising. I see the push-back as people chose internet sources, or DVR-style content skipping reduces the effectiveness of a Neilsen rating. Maybe even more Truman-style product placement in shows will eventually take over?

  29. ratings by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "(a) everyone will rush out to watch their online TV on Comcast XFinity, so that their viewing counts in the ratings (unlikely)"

    "Everyone" does not count in ratings. Only the Neilson families chosen for the rating process affect ratings.
    They have no idea what I watch, or what you watch when it comes to whats viewed over the air. However, as another commentor
    stated, they can know how many people are watching what shows on purpose when it comes to online viewing.

  30. coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    just post the ads at the end of the show. It will work like regular tv since I usually leave during commercials and browse other channels. would work great on hulu to just have all the ads after the credits.

  31. We need this by nilbog · · Score: 1

    We are in desperate need of a refresh in how shows are rated. Networks rely on these statistics because they are the only thing they have to show to advertisers. With more TV viewing going online, a key demographic is not being represented fairly and as a result all of my favorite shows keep getting canceled. Arrested development, Firefly, etc. I think if demographics that view this content heavily online were counted, they would not have been so easy to cancel these shows.

    This move is at least a step in the right direction. The catch makes sense, though, since the whole point of the ratings is to determine how much the ad space is worth.

    --
    or else!
    1. Re:We need this by nsayer · · Score: 1

      Networks rely on these statistics because they are the only thing they have to show to advertisers.

      But the advertisers are only interested in statistics that involve viewers who view their ads. That's why Neilsen doesn't include TiVo and online viewing in the surveys.

      I think if demographics that view this content heavily online were counted, they would not have been so easy to cancel these shows.

      If the online viewership were able to pay as much as traditional advertising does, you'd have a decent argument.

    2. Re:We need this by nilbog · · Score: 1

      That's what I'm saying to you now.

      I think you failed to read the last sentence of my post.

      --
      or else!
  32. Botnets by root69 · · Score: 1

    This is great news for botnet operators. They will soon have a new customer with deep pockets that need help bumping up their "viewership".

  33. We'll see by markdowling · · Score: 2, Insightful

    "We have freed ourselves from television, and we have advertisers' greed to thank for that. We don't miss TV one bit"

    When it comes to fiancehood, past performance is not an indicator of future returns.

  34. OK not sure i agree by zerocool6900 · · Score: 1

    Not sure I agree with the statement that this rules out the networks online viewing.

    I regularly watch Fox.com and CBS.com because I'm not at home when Bones and NCIS come on...and I still get annoyed at all the commercials. The have a commercial every 5 to 10 minutes just like when watching on network tv.

    --
    Some people never learn...no matter how many times something happens to them.
  35. more adertisements would mean the death of Hulu? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hulu and everyone else starts to put more advertisements on their shows (more likely, but would also probably mean the death of Hulu).

    And what are people supposed to be doing instead of hulu.com? Pirating? I don't agree with the excessive punishments that are being doled out to pirates but so long as they are as excessive as they are it seems to me that you're taking an unnecessary risk. I mean, seriously, are you so opposed to the notion of sitting down for a full hour instead of fifty minutes that you'd be willing to take that risk? If you're time is so valuable that you can't spend ten extra minutes sitting down then why are you even watching TV in the first place? Surely the fifty minutes you're willing to spend watching TV could be better spent doing something else?

    Or maybe the alternative is paying $600.00 / year for cable TV? At that point, aren't you doing exactly what the advertisers want? Paying money *because of* advertisements? Personally, I'd just assume keep that $600.00 then spend it on something I could have otherwise gotten for free. Heck - I'd rather up and buy a new $600.00 laptop every year then spend that much on cable TV. Or maybe buy $600.00 worth of *commercial free* DVDs of the series' I would have otherwise watched on cable TV.

  36. As I suspected all along by zizzybaloobah · · Score: 1

    ratings aren't about who watched the show, it's about who watched the advertisements; otherwise, why not count all viewings regardless.

    1. Re:As I suspected all along by nsayer · · Score: 1

      It amazes me how many people seem to find this concept shocking.

      Prime time hour long dramas are something like a million dollars per hour to produce (that's a reasonable average - the spread is fairly broad). Those that air first-run on broadcast TV are free to the viewing public to watch - despite the fact that the electricity alone to run the transmitters costs tens of thousands of dollars (nation wide).

      Cui bono?

  37. Re:You NEED to track all viewings and here's why.. by Grapes4Buddha · · Score: 1

    Makes me wonder if TiVo is paying the networks to put more ads in their shows so that more people by TiVos. Just another horrible conspiracy theory for your consideration.

  38. But only if you watch it on windows? by baomike · · Score: 1

    Took an online survey about a year ago from Nielsen , first thing it wanted to do was download some software, an exe IIRC.
    a no-go on linux.
    I tried the survey in a VM windows instance and of course the file down loaded. Never did try too hard to find out what the
    exe did, really didn't care that much, just reset the VM.

    I have always assumed it was to measure my video viewing habits, but who knows?

  39. bittorrent seeds = ratings by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Very simple.

    rating = seeds * leechers

    Neilsens services are no longer required.

    -JP

    1. Re:bittorrent seeds = ratings by BitZtream · · Score: 1

      yea, except bittorrent seeds indicate number of people watching content with no commercials, which are exactly what they DON'T want to see.

      --
      Persistent Volume manager for Kubernetes - https://github.com/dwimsey/openshift-pvmanager
  40. Please show your work. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    (more likely, but would also probably mean the death of Hulu)

    Pardon?

    I watch Hulu occasionally. I completely understand that their current model is unsustainable. They need more ad revenue if they're going to continue to exist. One way to do that is to put in more ads. I understand that. I'm comfortable with it. I would not abandon the site because of this.

    People are already watching OTA TV with its current rate of ads. What makes the submitter think that free streaming should be any different?

  41. anonymous coward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    or we can not give a flip what the nielson ratings say and keep watching hulu as is

  42. Or 3... by Patch86 · · Score: 1

    No-one cares, people keep watching the services that they want to watch, the services keep making money through whatever channels they've always made, the content providers keep selling their content to whoever is dragging in the traffic?

    Also, who is this Nielsen?

  43. Network 23, here we come by TheLoneGundam · · Score: 1

    We will see 'blipverts' before long in this Network 23-like world.

  44. Not the death of Hulu - Bad Soulskill(Noskill) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The stuff in parenthesis is not even in the article, as your quotation marks would make us think(your retarded), and why would more ads be the death of Hulu? Most people use that service because they want to watch their favorite shows whenever and as often they want, not because they want less commercials. To be honest I prefer television commercials better because I don't have to watch the same one over and over again. Anyways, wouldn't most people just tab away from the commercials and when they heard their show start back up they just tab back.

  45. Good! by Mark_in_Brazil · · Score: 1

    Great. Maybe now the dumbasses at NBC will take their stuff off Hulu, so I can watch it from outside the US, I always thought the US networks should make their shows available vie internet and sell targeted advertising embedded in the same video stream as the shows. Obviously ads for car dealerships in the US wouldn't be interesting to people in other countries, nor would those dealerships be all that interested in getting access to my eyes in a foreign country, but through the magic of teh intarwebz, the US TV networks could sell advertising to advertisers who might ONLY have interest in access to eyes in specific foreign countries. I figured that just like I see ads in Portuguese on web sites I visit in the US (when I allow ads, of course) from IP addresses here in Brazil, ABC could embed video ads from advertisers with somethng to sell in the Brazilian market. There could also be standard web ads.

    I should make some snide remark here about how there's no great loss from not seeing NBC shows since I quit Heroes during the second season (I was horribly disappointed with the final ep of the first season, which felt like it was thrown together at the last minute when they suddenly realized they only had one ep to wrap up the season after building things up really nicely for the first 21 eps), Saturday Night Live went from a normal bad phase to unwatchably unfunny while Tina Fey was head writer (I still haven't decided if she is funny or not, largely because SNL blew diseased goats when she was head writer), and the sometimes-funny Conan O'Brien has been exiled to bring the almost-always-unfunny bloated chin back to The Tonight Show, but there appear to have actually been a couple of funny moments on SNL just this last week. Too bad I wouldn't be able to find out without downloading a pirated copy of the ep. And I 'm STILL pissed off that I can't see the only legit copy of the Hedley & Wyche Toothpaste ad from an early '90s ep of SNL because NBC has removed all free video (e.g., YouTube) copies and only allows it to be watched via Hulu.

    Since Lost's penultimate season is only now being broadcast on TV in Brazil (I don't subscribe to cable or satellite TV) and the last season is about to start in the US, only to appear a year or so from now on broadcast TV here, I would like to watch the new episodes as they become available online. I'm sure there are people in many other countries in situations similar to mine, and with similar interest in the show. That looks to me like a great opportunity for ABC to make some money selling video ads and regular web ads to advertisers who might be interested in people in other markets who want to watch the final season of Lost before it shows up on their local TV stations. I watched the penultimate episode of the first season of Heroes on the web at my sister's house in the US the day before watching the final episode on TV there. I didn't mind the ads that were in the video with the episode content, because it was actually less trouble to watch via web with ads than it would have been to set up a filesharing program and download the episode without ads. Most of the ads I saw or heard (while doing other things in the room during the ads) weren't all that relevant to me, but then again, I was watching from a computer at an IP address in South Carolina, not Brazil. Now it occurs to me that there's another massive marketing opportunity: I would gladly fill out a form with my name and home address in exchange for being able to watch the eps free via web and without having to resort to piracy. That would allow ABC, for example, to know something about avid viewers of its programs all over the world, which could help a lot with selling ads to a much wider range of advertisers. NBC is too stupid to see this opportunity (or to keep Conan over Jay after Jay's show at 22:00 tanked). Is ABC?

    --
    "It is nice to know that the computer understands the problem. But I would like to understand it too." --Eugene Wigner
  46. would also probably mean the death of Hulu by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... or the death of Nielsen Ratings. Someone will show up to measure the views properly.

  47. How is this shocking? by nsayer · · Score: 1

    The dirty little secret in TV is that you, the viewer, are not the customer. You're the product being sold. The advertiser is the customer. Neilsen conducts its measurements in order to discern how many people are exposed to the ads. That's why they leave out TiVo and online viewers - because the advertisers don't want to pay for those viewers, since they get no benefit from their viewing.