Is the ISS Really Worth $100 Billion?
Ponca City writes "JR Minkel writes on Space.com that as NASA celebrates the 10th anniversary of astronauts living on the space station — and with construction essentially complete — the question remains: will the International Space Station ever really pay off scientifically? The space agency contends that the weightless environment provided by the station offers a unique way of unmasking processes of cell growth and chemistry that are hidden on Earth, but some critics don't see a zero gravity laboratory as filling a crucial scientific need. Gregory Petsko, a biochemist at Brandeis University, says the only basic science justification he has ever heard for the station is that protein molecules form superior crystals in the microgravity of space than they do on Earth and a best-case scenario, in terms of return on investment, would be if a space-grown crystal were used to design a blockbuster pharmaceutical drug that worked by precisely targeting one of those proteins. Naturally NASA sees things differently. 'I think those who are naysayers haven't given us a chance — haven't given us enough time to show what we can do. We're just now turning the path to be able to go full force on our science. In the past we had to fit it in around assembly, we didn't have the facilities available, and the crew was always busy.'"
I hear they are coming out with a new flavor .. of tang.
That has to be worth something.
$100 billion for space-based research or $100 billion for Welfare and War.
Not really a touch decision.
Gone!
I'm assuming that various technologies and engineering solutions were developed in order to build the station and get it assembled in orbit, so even if no science is done on the station from this day forward, much knowledge was undoubtedly gained already. Knowledge that would probably not have come about from non-space-station-related projects. 100 Billion dollars is a lot of money, but humanity has blown significantly larger sums of money on way less useful stuff on many occasions.
One time I threw a brick at a duck.
"I think those who are naysayers haven't given us a chance -- haven't given us enough time to show what we can do."
Wasn't the ISS built with an expiration date approaching ... about now?
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
The potential value to science can be found where else?
If we are comparing similar projects the price tag becomes a useful thing. Unique projects are harder to judge. Is it worth more than a fraction of the gulf war(s)?
It's not worth more than the cost of cleaning up government but then I don't thing that's on the table.
Is the Large Hadron Collider valued at 9 Billion dollars worth it for smashing tiny particles up once in a while when its actually working? While the science on the ISS is qustionable, what isn't in question is the team work it took to build it and put it in orbit. Russa, Canada, Japan, US, Europe. I mean there is some value in being able to do it, and doing it together as a unified human race. Costly yes, worth it, I think so. After all the Iraq war was what 500 billion dollars?
Scientific research is just gravy. The biggest benefit of the ISS is it teaches us how to operate indefinitely in space. All the little unexpected things that went wrong and had to be solved, was an important lesson learned. They all might seem trivial, but if we ever want to do more than hang around in low-earth orbit, these are all important lessons to learn. And they can only be learned through experience.
When you're half way to mars, a malfunctioning toilet would be a shitty way to die.
Fund me instead!
Put it on eBay and find out what it's worth,
When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
So we can build more things in space. What would happen if we were to build a foundry in space? Could we build new metals? Would they be stronger? Would they be applicable to more uses? What about making CPUs in space? Could we build a system that would align the materials better in space?
Yes I am dreaming here. If we could safely work with liquid materials (metals, silicon, etc.) in space, we might be able to build better things.
Strange how much human accomplishment and progress comes from contemplation of the irrelevant. - Scott Kim
Can we get a "-1 Wrong" moderation option?
I thought people fly in rockets and visit space stations and the moon because it's cool. I don't care if no scientific progress comes out of it - I like space travel because it's awesome. Similarily, I'm not attracted to science, mathematics or technology for their practical uses, but because it's fun understanding how the world works, being able to calculate things and think up and admire cool (preferably huge) machines.
Swedish plasma phys. PhD student; MSc EE; knows maths, programming, electronics; finance interest; seeks opportunities
Semper Non-sequitor!
Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
Here. Let me translate:
"They've paid 100 Billion. Think how much more they would have gotten if they'd granted that to my field."
I'm sure it is everywhere, but I've seen this personally in biochemistry, solid state physics, and particle physics.
My original advisor in grad school was literally jumping for joy when the SSC was cancelled. He didn't like it when I pointed out that none of that money would be going to grants he was involved in and would in large part go back to the general US budget.
NASA's work in creating orbital systems has easily paid for itself, including the showboating projects like going to the moon. Imagine a world without satellite communications, GPS, weather satellites, or remote sensing.
All of that is an accidental outgrowth of the dream of human space exploration. The problem is that now we're on the threshold of serious exploration of the Solar System, and its hard to imagine gains made outside Earth's orbit paying for anything in an economic sense.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
Has ANY prototype, in the history of industrial manufacture, been, in and of itself, worth what it cost to make?
Meh. The real breakthroughs that I'm looking for will result from mastering quantum physics. No, I don't know what the hell I'm talking about. But this is Slashdot. Quantum physics is where we'll find the science to harness energies, or master tricks, to enable long distance space travel. I'm just convinced that there is no way we're here in this universe with no practical way to travel through space. I just can't imagine a system would be setup where we couldn't practically travel to other stars, and galaxies. And want folks to hurry up already. (My) time is running out.
The alternative is not 100 billion dollars for a war. The alternative could have been 100 billion dollars on general science spending. That's 11 LHCs of science or 10,000 individual X prices of engineering. I'm not in a position to evaluate that against the current space program, but that's a lot of pay off to compete with.
It's a station. In space. Right now, we have humans off-world. Think about that for a moment. Surely these are important fields to develop if we want to survive as a species long-term.
The third choice of "limited government" never works, and only leads to tragic outcomes, because to put it simply: the public is incapable of making decisions on their own that benefit society.
Right now, if you give the public more money, they will simply send it to China or Saudi Arabia.
We need government to spend the public's money in a focused manner, that the public would NOT do on their own.
Government is what determines economic direction, not the public.
Somalia has "limited government". Somalia is also a failure. We don't want to be like Somalia.
We need more socialism and government control, not less.
Government needs to be expanded and be given more control, let's make sure we give them more power tomorrow.
Remember, DON'T BE LIKE SOMALIA.
The ISS has been a colossal WASTE of money. Speaking as a contractor who regularly works for the great US Government, if you want to deliver projects on a budget, don't let the government near it!
I watch 2001 every year on TV and it brings a tear to my eye at how the future that could have been, never was....well, just a bit behind schedule at any rate...
What is "worth"?
How much money you've sunk into something isn't worth.
What would it cost to replace all of the current assets of the project if they disappeared? That's nearer to the neighborhood of worth.
Another measure: how much would the highest bidder pay for it?
Honest worth can never be separated very far from fair market value.
Also, the money that "they earn" is never their own.
People don't earn money on their own. They earn it with cooperation of government that designed a system to enable a person to earn that bit of money in the first place.
The money that "they earn" is just one step of a much larger system where the public is expected to pay back into the system that allowed them to earn money in the first place.
Remember, without a proper system of government that is designed to encourage spending, you would not be able to earn money in the first place.
All of that is an accidental outgrowth of the dream of human space exploration.
Fooey. All that is an intentional outgrowth of a policy of competing militarily with the Soviet Union while scoring political points at home. Space was our next battleground.
The technology migrated to the public sector as military technology is wont to do. There's no reason that investments in something a bit more practical, which would also yield more new technology.
And no, we're not on the verge of serious exploration of the solar system. It still costs too much. We may send more unmanned probes out, but I'll be we're not sending humans anywhere until we get something a little more sophisticated than rockets.
Please do not read this sig. Thank you.
I remember when they shut down the Apollo program to do this thing it was suppose to be a permanent hopping off point in space to get us out to the other planets and beyond. They never told us it was just going to go around circles just outside the atmosphere and let astronauts perform little science fair experiments and do little else. Basically, I believe now the space station and the space shuttle were just welfare programs for aerospace companies. Now NASA wants to crash it back to earth and loose everything. I don't blame Russia and the other countries wanting to detach their modules and taking them to play elsewhere. If NASA really wants to salvage the space station project, they need to push it to a higher, more useful orbit, and start building some real interplanetary manned (and unmanned) spaceships out there.
Same goes for so many things. Part of the taxes I pay go to child support for dysfunctional families with a father in prison and so on.
Most of those children will vote for people and have ideas that I don't like, yet still my money goes there...
Where's my return of investment here?
Privacy is terrorism.
Probably the biggest benefit of the ISS is the ability to be a stopping point for manned travel to other moons/planets.
I would say the biggest thing we should take from the ISS is that it got several countries to work together toward a common goal. Certainly there were disagreements along the way, and that is to be expected. The main countries involved had plans for their individual space stations though none could afford them. Let's be honest, it is likely that will be the only way we get to Mars and beyond, several countries working together to get there.
One thing that always gets my blood boiling reading these articles about how space programs are a waste is the complete ignorance of all the stuff that the space program has brought us.
http://www.thespaceplace.com/nasa/spinoffs.html
http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/11/is-space-exploration-worth-the-cost-a-freakonomics-quorum/
There's dozens more like these. Essentially, you can point to the fact that for every dollar we spend on the space program, the US economy is boosted by many times that amount. The above two papers cite $7 and $8 dollars as the figure, but don't have a source to point to- but depending on the study, I've heard the figure as high as $15. I would posit that very few federally funded programs can boast such a return on investment.
We need more government control, since government spending results in more spending within the US compared to consumer spending.
Freedom just means more corporate control, and the resulting export of money to foreign countries through corporations incorporated in foreign countries and shareholders in foreign countries.
Government doesn't have shareholders in foreign countries.
we could have sent up thirty Hubble telescopes ($5B).
Just sayin'.
The ISS, or the LHC, or any other major research project wasn't built with competition in mind.
Competition is a bad thing, not a good thing. It results in monopolies, since the whole point of competition is to eliminate competitors.
Why would you want monopolies?
:)
... considering you can install some LAMP boxes for free.
Wait, the ISS?
100 Billion? Is that all it cost? With a population of just over 300 million, that means it cost us less than $350 per person over 10 years? I would have to give a resounding yes. ~$35 a year per person is a bargain.
I have a crazy idea. Lets make a space tax. 1% of any revenue generated directly from space goes to new space research. So, any telephone plan that uses satellites, television programming that uses satellites, satellite photos that use satellites, all get taxed at 1% to further the industry. Obviously any services that are consumed in space would be exempt.
I think those who are naysayers haven't given us a chance — haven't given us enough time to show what we can do.
I'm 100% sure that in another 10 years, when we still haven't seen anything of value come from the ISS, they'll say the same thing. It's a convincing argument, until someone realizes that it follows horrible logic. Basically they want us to fund them until they find something, then fund them some more. There's nothing that says anything interesting will ever come out of it. I'm not saying they shouldn't do research, I'm just saying I don't want that much money coming out of my (taxpayer) pocket.
No, there is no "-1 I'LL NEVER ADMIT BEING WRONG!!!" mod.
Sure, back when the space agency was pushing the cutting edge it resulted in the development of a large amount of new technology. But is that really true today, now that we are just applying tried and true principles? I haven't heard of a single invention that came out of the ISS which has made it's way into the civilian marketplace.
Furthermore, if building anything high tech will result in new tech, then doesn't it make sense to choose goals that are useful and worthwhile by themselves, over something that is a waste of money - we are getting the same indirect return either way.
It's an invalid question for two reasons:
1) It's teaching us about how to live, build, and work long term in space. We need that knowledge to go to the moon and mars.
2) You can't put a price tag on basic research. There's no guarantee that you'll find what you're looking for, or if you'll find what you're looking for, or if you find something completely different. Any of those answers could be worth nothing, it could be worth new industries, it could be life saving. There's no way of telling until you've spent the time and money on it.
The research that goes into making the ISS a viable space station is important for the future. To ask if the ISS is worth $100 billion is like to ask if the wheel is worth 500 years of rolling things down hill, of if the splint axe is worth $x. If it were not for those things, we probably would not be having this discussion now.
We have the mean to fund such research. Therefore we should.
Another way to look at it is 'opportunity cost'. What if we'd thrown the $100B into wind technology research? Solar Cells*? Cellulostic Ethanol? Battery tech? Cancer prevention? A replacement for the shuttle? Thorium nuclear power?
Personally, I think the ISS is what happens when you go at something but don't go in ENOUGH. We'd have had a lot more actual research for the buck if we'd payed the extra money to get the thing assembled and working on schedule, rather than have modules go end of life without real use because you didn't have the full crew up there, because you don't have the necessary equipment up there to do research, because of delay, delay, delay.
*I'm sure at least some of that $100B ended up towards solar research, but eh...
I don't read AC A human right
Anybody heard of this concept before ? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindsight_bias
Google's what $150 billion, Facebook $10 billion , ISS is a steal at $100 billion and will in history be far more relevant than most other things from today.
The first: is a space station worth a large government investment, and the second is are we really getting our money's worth. I think the answer to the first is yes, especially if one thinks of the space station as an R&D effort of a magnitude and scope outside the typical commercial realm that can yield several benefits; mostly in engineering as opposed to pure science. The answer to the second question is not as clear.
Let's convince NASA that the space station is a money pit and they should sell it to Virgin Galactic at scrap prices.
Oliver's law of assumed responsibility: If you're seen fixing it, you will be blamed for breaking it.
And no, we're not on the verge of serious exploration of the solar system. It still costs too much. We may send more unmanned probes out, but I'll be we're not sending humans anywhere until we get something a little more sophisticated than rockets.
We won't get anything more sophisticated than rockets without a long-term research entity like NASA + a purpose - such as a space station. Corporations can't substitute for #1. Unmanned probes can't substitute for #2.
if you can not get it back down to earth undamaged so you can re-sell it, it might be worth a little up in orbit to those that can get to it, but it is more of an expense than an equity.
Politics is Treachery, Religion is Brainwashing
"The product of mental labor — science — always stands far below its value, because the labor-time necessary to reproduce it has no relation at all to the labor-time required for its original production." - Karl Marx
There are a lot of good ideas that haven't received $100,000,000,000 of development. How much of a chance does this thing need?
This is the wrong question that keeps getting asked again and again. It's the "NASA shouldn't send men into outer space" meme that closely accompanies the "NASA should only use robotic spacecraft" meme.
This is blue-sky (well, since it's space, its probably black) research. This is the last vestige of this type of research that the United States has any investment in. the Reagan Administration axed all federal funding for this kind of ongoing research at Universities and think tanks long ago. But, since NASA had landed on the Moon, the Reagan Administration didn't want to cut this for fear they'd be hounded out of office.
But CNN correspondents breathlessly ask Astronaut after Astronaut in "exclusive" interviews, taking up precious air time, "Considering the dangers, should we really keep putting men up into outer space?"
Call me an Old Fossil, but I was there. Not once did Walter Cronkite ask the Apollo Astronauts this question. Everyone knew the answer. "Of course!" Even after the near-disaster that was Apollo 13, everyone was still just fine with the idea of going to the Moon. And we did it four more times, putting eight more men on the Moon. And we completely revolutionized our understanding of the Earth-Moon system and its origins.
When NASA pulls its head out and gets the right teams together, they can do anything. And that includes helping pull Chilean miners out of the ground. (Oh, maybe there are some scientists at NASA who know a thing or two because of all this money being thrown at these "blue sky" projects!) The only limitation is funding, and NASA's funds have been cut, sliced, diced and reduced to the point where they cannot get off the ground any more. NASA is on life support, dependent utterly on 1960s-era technology supplied by Russia. When NASA was flying things with the Shuttle, people my size could go into outer space (I stand 6'5"). Now that we're all "back to the future" with Russian space capsules, It has increased to 6'3" because Russia generously redesigned their capsules, which were limited to 5'11". Russian capsules are what our Astronauts called "Spam in the can."
Everyone here on Slashdot uses a computer for something. And I'll bet over 90% of slashdotters are using microcomputers to get on line. Microcomputers were developed based on needs by NASA to have computers that were light enough to be on a spacecraft because you couldn't fit a room-sized mainframe on an Apollo spacecraft or on the Lunar Excursion Module. So, let's see. We have this little space race thing that ends in the 1970s with NASA pouring money into little teeny solid state computing devices and you get the Apple ][ computer in 1977. And the IBM PC four years later. The last Apollo spacecraft was designed around 1967 more or less so I have to ask the naysayers what they're expecting to see in about ten years now that the ISS is complete. because everybody knows NASA science doesn't contribute to anything down here on earth.
I get absolutely disgusted and horrified when I hear and read this line of reasoning. Here we have this community on slashdot that is the beneficiary of the technology that NASA's scientists had a major hand in developing and you're discussing piddling nonsense.
Blue sky research generally takes about ten to fifteen, sometimes 20 years to result in something you hold in your hand. That's why it's called blue sky research, because it seems like you're funding a bunch of people looking up at the sky and asking why it is blue. But it always results in benefits to humanity that are incalculable. The United States is the only remaining superpower in the world. Rather than developing and maintaining stuff to kill people, we should be throwing big budgets at NASA and at other blue sky research. But, ever since Reagan took away the funding in our Universities (saying the Government is the problem), we have had none at Universities and a dwindling amount at NASA.
Slashdotters should be ashamed these questions are being asked.
Gods don't kill people, people with gods kill people.
The real issue here is not about government spending on the army or other [insert field where you think gov spends too much] over the space program. Its more space program money might have been spent on more space probes, more telescopes, more scientific satellites, etc. which might have had more scientific profit.
what. the. fuck. does. that. mean...?
Location, Location, Location.
How many other houses are in orbit?
$100 billion on the ISS is vastly more useful in any sense.
Buying the ISS is cheap.. only about $1 million or so. But the U-Haul fees!! Sheesh.
A space station SEEMS like a good idea, progress in space. But ours is worthless. 100 billion could have paid a boatload of unmanned missions to places. On the other hand, spending 100 billion on the space station isn't wasteful at all in comparison with the trillions the US government is throwing away.
If the money keeps people building rockets for transporting people to the ISS together instead of rockets for transporting nukes to each other, then yes, i prefer the money to be spent on the ISS and not on building nukes and carrier systems to target each other.
There are some experiments where human attendance may be helpful and learning about long-term spaceflight will be only possible if we come as close as possible to the conditions of a long-term space-mission.
Hypocrisy is rampant upon the people complaining in here. Especially if they're Americans. Really $100 billion over ten years? That comes out to about what $35 bucks a YEAR for each American? Most Americans spend more on McDonald's each WEEK feeding their rotund meatbags. What's with all the anti-science hate in America? Oh that's right... America is the most religious (read: ignorant) country in the world. Well, besides Turkey.
Or for that same 100 billion dollars we could have sent out over 100 interplanetary probes. Explain to me how circling the earth in a 100 billion dollar club house is more important than exploring new worlds.
The key problem with the ISS as I see it, is that what has been done: people in space, demonstration of orbital assembly, space science, and technology development, could have been done for less. IMHO we could have launched an equivalent to the ISS with somewhat skinnier components for no more than a third the price. There was only two things we needed to do. We needed to keep the Russians out of the critical path, and depend on the Atlas V and Delta IV for lifting components and people to the ISS. We probably could drop the cost of the station under $10 billion, if in addition, we only tried for a three person station and still achieve most of the desired benefits of the ISS.
This is the thing that people typically don't get about the way that NASA does things and how messed up the the funding process is. NASA spends vastly more than they have to do modest things in space and it's been getting worse over the decades. Recently, NASA spent somewhere above $9 billion to figure out that the Ares I (or the "Stick") wasn't going to work. While I didn't know the full extent of the engineering difficulties with the Ares I, I could and did state that the Ares I was a bad idea simply because it was a rocket intended to be launched about a hundred times over its lifetime. That's not a lot of launches to spread development and infrastructures over. As it turned out, there were numerous major engineering problems that came from stubbornly keeping ATK's Solid Rocket Motor as the first stage. At the same time, lower cost wasn't one of the benefits gained.
Here's my take on the situation. Even if you think having 6 people in space is worth any price, particularly $100 billion. Ask yourself this, is it worth 60 people in space? Is it worth a return to the Moon (even if that ends up just being sortie missions for a while)? Money doesn't grow on trees. Once you spend it, you lose what else you've could have spent with it. I'm not asking for perfectly optimal spending. Nor am I asking for the hungry children to get fed first before we can do real work. I'm asking that we use some common sense and mount an effort that uses money and other resources reasonably effectively.
I'd think the experience of learning how to live long-term in space alone would be worth $100 billion. Scientific experiments up there are just a bonus.
Part of the payoff comes in the form of practical experience with living and working in space.
Sheesh, evil *and* a jerk. -- Jade
Before you judge ISS please take some time to browse the list of experiments that have been performed onboard her to date.
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/station/research/experiments/Expedition.html
Are you suggesting that it is worth more than an album full of songs? I don't believe it.
Dr. Evil doesn't approve because no space sharks with "lasers" attached to their head were created with one hundred billion dollars.
If we knew what we were doing, it wouldn't be called research, would it?
-- Albert Einstein
I remember opening my brand new Red Hat 9 manual and reading in those first pages that I was holding about a billion dollars of software in my hand. It went banging on about the delights of open source for another half a page, but I never got any further. I immediately listed my sweet find on amazon - offering a hefty 20% discount off the (Like New) book. But even at 800 million US, I couldn't get a byte (sorry). Obviously I had nothing to lose and reduced the asking price to a mir eight figures (sorry), but still no joy - and I never did get cups to work. But it's got me thinking. Other slashdotters must have had similar experiences. Surely we can scrape together another 99 copies of the said tome between us, and then we can offer the International Space Station Cooperative the full $100 billion, and we'd all know one way or the other. Let me know.
Because when we do find that habitable exoplanet we're going to need people who know how to get us there. We need to get some of us off this rock. In terms of space research, that space station is the best we've got right now and if we let it fall into the weeds, we've got nothing. I say we push that sucker all the way, because if you really want to get out to the stars, you better goddamn know what it takes.
Bibo Ergo Sum.
ISS equals processed dirt. Program costs equal processed money. Dirt goes to space. Money stays on earth. How difficult was that? We all need to see that space is the very best kind of welfare. Before you can collect it, you have to get off your butt, maybe even educate yourself and then 'oh my God', do something useful.
This just in: Light bulbs, what are they worth, and why do we need them?
Especially on any kind of absolute scale, when the amounts get so large. It's easier if you consider it in relation to other large governmental expenditures. Fox News (which tends to under-estimate war cost, IMO) has estimated the cost of the Iraq war at >$700B. How does the ISS stack up to that in terms of value to the world? Is it worth about 1/7 of that? More? Less? I'm not sure it stacks up as well against every other possible use of $100B, but I'd personally much rather have another 6 space stations than what we've gotten in exchange for our other $600B spent on war.
.sig: file not found
Only a complete moron measures something important as the conquest of space solely in terms of money...
We must learn to live and travel through space, period. This small planet where we live on does not have infinite space, nor will sustain us forever.
Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
It's not where we get, it's what we learn in the process.
The space program has more than paid for itself. New technologies have come from it, and other technologies have been pushed forward as a result of it. Medical research, environmental, bio-sciences, weather and atmospheric, material sciences, quality control, computer, propulsion... ALL have benefitted and been pushed forward bythe space program. Any person who says we should not spend more on research in space is an absolute moron!
I am sure for a lot people, having an annual $500+ billion Defence budget is overkill, while others whine about spending fraction of that on science and education. It depends on which context and purpose you take it in, and if it is benefiting some people in power in some disguised way.
In the first half of the last century, could you have imagined all the uses for earth orbit satellites? Before we had computers it might have been hard to envision all the potential uses. Dont count out new discoveries.
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The real purpose of the manned space program is to create large numbers of highly paid jobs in various key congressional districts, thereby assuring the reelection of politicans. Everything beyond that is purely coincidental.
Unfortunately, libertarians are the real-life trolls.
Nobody accepts their viewpoints, as they largely represents people that are widely ridiculed, such as the tea-partiers.
Perhaps this helps justify the cost.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpha_Magnetic_Spectrometer
It's basic physics, maybe not quite on the scale of the LHC, maybe not quite as useful as the HST has been, but still worthwhile. Yes, $100 billion is a lot to spend if this was the sole reason for its existence, but the $100 billion is a sunk cost at this point and the AMS certainly helps with the return on that investment.
On the other hand, $100 billion is a lot of investment that could have been put into other science projects. I've begun to question the point of NASA. Ideally, they would be the forefront of technological demonstrations. They would take risks, some of which wouldn't work but would lead the way for private industries to succeed. They would fund basic science probes such as Cassini or the Mars rovers, which no private company is going to fund at this point but which produce significant returns. The NASA I envision is far from reality and I don't know how it can get from here to there.
Is $100 billion worth an orbiting apartment? Not really. Is it worth a $1 trillion space tourism/commerce industry 10 to 15 years from now? Definitely. Let's just hope that comes to fruition.
Microcomputers were developed based on needs by NASA to have computers that were light enough to be on a spacecraft because you couldn't fit a room-sized mainframe on an Apollo spacecraft or on the Lunar Excursion Module. So, let's see. We have this little space race thing that ends in the 1970s with NASA pouring money into little teeny solid state computing devices and you get the Apple ][ computer in 1977. And the IBM PC four years later. The last Apollo spacecraft was designed around 1967 more or less so I have to ask the naysayers what they're expecting to see in about ten years now that the ISS is complete. because everybody knows NASA science doesn't contribute to anything down here on earth.
No, they weren't. Microcomputers were developed because of a desire to get the parts count down for electronic desk calculators. That's why the Intel 4004 was built. The Intel 8008 was built to get the parts count down for the Datapoint 2200 terminal, although it was late and Datapoint had to use another approach.
The Apollo Guidance Computer wasn't even close to being a single-chip computer. It was a nice piece of electronics packaging, but it had 5600 gates in 2800 packages. Integration was at the level of a single-chip dual NOR gate. It did the job, but was a technological dead end.
Honestly, I think the entire ISS/Space Shuttle platform should be revamped. I think that the shuttle has a good niche, but I don't see a reason as to why the shuttle shouldn't stay in space, while allowing the crew to return in a capsule-based vehicle.
.... -_-
The shuttle is good at reaching things and plucking them out of the sky, and the robotic arm is really nice. I don't see why they don't leave the robotic arm in space, or in a shuttle like vehicle. I like the idea of a shuttle-like vehicle that stays docked with the ISS with the arm attached so that it can go out, do things, and come back to the ISS to refuel, while the astronauts return home in a capsule.
Using the current Space Shuttle to deliver parts for the ISS is so awful. The modified Saturn V that delivered SkyLab, which was 60% the size of the ISS, was launched in ONE FLIGHT. Now that I think about it, I really think that I am talking about Constellation
Sig: I stole this sig.
Hey when you could be hosed or have dogs sicked on you for your skin color at one point and it was ok I think your allowed to vote in one election based on skin color to balance it out
Even if the ISS was not generating a single item of scientific value, which is frankly a ridiculous notion, it's still 100 Billion not spend on a war against some impoverished nation somewhere no body have ever heard of.
If it really would be worth that amount of investment I don't think the Russians would have abandoned MIR so readily.
only 3.5 billion were spent on current campaigns. Imagine how much better politicians the US would have with 100 billion campaign money!
There is nothing as important as basic resea- oh, wait, fusion power.
Right now, the only reason to go into space is to mine helium-3 for all those fusion plants that we need to start building in earnest real soon now. Real soon.
If you were blocking sigs, you wouldn't have to read this.
what is going to be remembered about the 20th century?
nuclear weapons
going into orbit
information networks
+1 fashionably cynical
You know, it's probably just as well that no one ever did a discounted cash flow forecast on the Apollo programme. We'd never have gone to the moon.
was TARP worth $700+ Billion? I'd say the space program was a better ROI.
So, should we not pursue research unless there is a clear benefit from the technology it produces? Or perhaps we should only reach for the stars (okay, other planets for now) when war threatens us. If we followed those lines of thinking, we wouldn't have some amazing technology that we have today. The LASER would never have been reported on as there was no immediate benefit from it. Quite simply, you cannot say that research is practical or not until after it has been done. The results aren't known before you start. New technology comes from the most interesting places and it would be a mistake to not try to push ourselves beyond the limits of what people think possible.
I'm curious, though... what have we ever done that wasn't costly at first? Cost never comes down until something becomes readily available. It will never become readily available until we actually do it. No one will ever discover/make something better than a rocket until we actually do the research to make something better than a rocket. In this case we actually have a clear benefit of producing a better rocket... making it safe(er) to send someone to Mars (for example). Sending someone to Mars has a clear benefit... a probe can only do so much in its exploration. Probes are very slow and are not nearly as versatile as a person. As far as the knowledge gained from exploring Mars? No one knows for certain every tid-bit of knowledge that could be gained from it because the only thing that comes close to this was sending people to the moon. Why not try to send someone to Mars?
A lot of science that has been done via the ISS is around how human bodies are affected by weightlessness and what have we learned? Human bodies definitely are not suited to a weightless environment. Oh, hang on a second, they are still considering manned Mars missions, so perhaps we didn't learn very much...
I always thought that the most obvious use of a space station & humans in space would be as a repair/service outpost for all those sattelites up there that cost billions themselves and that fail for one reason or another, or run out of fuel, especially when we saw the Shuttle capability to capture sattelites and return them to earth. Actually perhaps that's the 2nd most obvious use, the other one is as a manned base for a space telescope, making those Hubble repair type missions unnecessary as repairs/upgrades would be done on-site. I was most disappointed when they did neither.
The other point that I could never understand, is why burn the thing up when it's life is complete, as it took so much cost to get it out of Earth's gravity well, why not send it to the moon afterwards as a resource for a future Moon base, or into a Moon parking orbit for the time being. Even if you were to crash it onto the Moon surely some useful resources would survive.
Robin
You know what they say: "Location, Location, Location!"
Yes, it is worth 100 billion. It is incredibly short sighted to look soley at specific experiments looking for an immediate payback.
You should look at all the technology and developments just to get it into space. He also completly ignores the value if large international common goals. Also the technology involved in supporting each experiments.
He also needs to realize the most experiments do NOT in and of themselves, turn into immediate profits
On a different note: I know there are misspellings, but I'm not going to bother and fix them until slashdot fixes the bug that doesn't allow me to right click on the word and select the correct spelling...sometimes.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Since we have already gotten 650 billion (+interest) back, I would say that yes, it was worth it. It may have been the only damn thing George Bush did that was worth a damn. And ti was a good move by the current administration to extend it.
As it looks right now, we will soon have the remaining 50 billion dollars back.
If you are going to make political comments, then for fuck sake, back them with some facts not shit you learned from political ads. What next? going to blame the 1.4 trillion dollar deficit on Obama, even though it was 1.4 trillion when he came into office?
So sick of you people basing politics on ignorance.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Want to make money off the space station? Use it to manufacture some trinket -- beads or something. And then sell them back here on earth. People will pay money for things from space.
Coder's Stone: The programming language quick ref for iPad
In the first half of the last century, could you have imagined all the uses for earth orbit satellites?
Yes. Not ALL of the uses of course, but surely many of them: spying, storm tracking, land-use remote sensing, communications certainly. GPS? No, I wouldn't have thought of that one.
It's obvious that satellites are useful, because up to the minute knowledge of the Earth has obvious utility. You can't argue from analogy without examining the circumstances of the case you are reasoning from.
Before we had computers it might have been hard to envision all the potential uses.
Does this mean it would have been rational to invest in the development of a personal computer in 1960? At every stage of the development of the computer, funding came because of useful developments expected in the near future.
This is not to discount basic research, but travel to Mars is predominantly applied research. The basic research aspects could be done for much less money near the Earth. Which is not to suggest I'm against going to Mars. I'm against going to Mars under the dubious assumption that the enterprise will be a success in purely economic terms.
Dont count out new discoveries.
I haven't. But it is best not to count *on* new discoveries either.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
This $100 Billion wasn't necessarily all spent by the U.S. alone, the ISS was split 7 ways (albeit a lion share of it probably fell on NASA/US funding). The ISS was meant to be completed on a much faster timetable than it panned out. Columbia's crash completely threw their construction scheduling for a loop, and pushed the dates back on lots of research projects. The ISS is now finally at a point to become "Fully Operational", just without the planet-cracking laser Darth Vader got to play with. We will see a lot of great information come out of this.
When assembly is complete with STS-134 and the addition of the AMS experiment, the validity of the question will be equivalent to asking if the Alaska purchase was worth it.
Remember, Amateurs built the ark. Professionals built the Titanic