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Mystery Missile Launched Near LA

J. L. Tympanum writes "CBS News is reporting the launch of an unidentified missile off the coast of California. No one wants to take credit for it." The article has visuals taken from a CBS affiliate's helicopter, and a Navy spokesman said it wasn't theirs.

148 of 858 comments (clear)

  1. Obvious Explanation by eldavojohn · · Score: 5, Funny

    A Google van was dispatched to get street view data of the Moon.

    *ominous voice* Phase II has started ahead of schedule ... but it's still in Beta.

    --
    My work here is dung.
    1. Re:Obvious Explanation by windcask · · Score: 5, Funny

      Then 'accidentally' sniffs Facebook credentials from extraterrestrials and extends Costa Rica's border all the way to the Kuiper Belt. Film at eleven.

    2. Re:Obvious Explanation by Idbar · · Score: 4, Funny

      In an unrelated note, the other night I logged in to WOPR.gov and started playing this GTW game! I made my first move, and I'm waiting for my opponent.

    3. Re:Obvious Explanation by iluvcapra · · Score: 2, Interesting

      That's no moon...

      --
      Don't blame me, I voted for Baltar.
    4. Re:Obvious Explanation by TrisexualPuppy · · Score: 2, Insightful

      My guess is that it was the Navy testing some sort of prototype missile. Most of this stuff is highly classified, and you're not going to know about it until it is incredibly inconvenient to keep it a secret anymore. My uncle used to work with McDonnell Douglas and told that by the time that something became public, it had been under development for ten years, and the potential enemies already knew the details through leaks. At the testing phase, it would become feasible to make it known to the general public.

      For instance, it was years before the Lockheed F-117 was widely known due to secrecy and then general media suppression once it was known to exist.

    5. Re:Obvious Explanation by interkin3tic · · Score: 4, Funny

      Feh, good luck on finding them. We only have like 2 million of them.

    6. Re:Obvious Explanation by KDR_11k · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Are we certain that this was a friendly missile, not e.g. a Chinese sub saying "look where we managed to drive this thing"?

      --
      Justice is the sheep getting arrested while an impartial judge declares the vote void.
    7. Re:Obvious Explanation by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 4, Informative

      Are we certain that this was a friendly missile, not e.g. a Chinese sub saying "look where we managed to drive this thing"?

      China may be bold, but sub launching a missile within a few miles of major US cities and military installations is a quick way to nuclear annihilation.

      That sort of action would have had even Denzel rushing to turn the second key.

      Chinese sub simply popping up in US coastal waters would likely involve it being attacked. (Submarine warfare does not follow the same rules that surface naval warfare follows. If you are on a sub, even in 'peacetime' you are always under threat of being attacked)

      The level of provocation that a Chinese sub launching a missile so close to major population centers? They wouldn't try it. It would surprise me if North Korea would try something so bone-headed. No way in hell it was China.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    8. Re:Obvious Explanation by c6gunner · · Score: 2, Informative

      For instance, it was years before the Lockheed F-117 was widely known due to secrecy and then general media suppression once it was known to exist.

      Yah, and we knew about the F-22 before the winning bid was even selected. The days of really cool secret military projects are long gone. These days it's just a handful of 70-year-old guys in the old skunk-works hangar screwing around with technology that was obsolete 5 years ago.

      Given the possibility of this being a "secret military missile", or it being just an aircraft contrail that someone mistook for a missile, which do you think is more likely?

    9. Re:Obvious Explanation by camperdave · · Score: 2, Informative

      There's no need to launch an ICBM from off the US coast. It's called Inter-Continental for a reason

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    10. Re:Obvious Explanation by MarcQuadra · · Score: 2

      I hope you're wrong. It seems to me that from 12 nautical miles out and farther, anyone could pop up and still be legally within 'international waters'.

      If the Chinese popped-up 35 miles out and we did anything besides issue a friendly escort, we'd be picking a fight.

      --
      "Sometimes, I think Trent just needs a cup of hot chocolate and a blankie." -Tori Amos on Nine Inch Nails
    11. Re:Obvious Explanation by Yvanhoe · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually according to Wired, a jet plane from an unusual angle is the most likely explanation : http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/11/mystery-missile-is-probably-a-jet/ It also explains why happening near a crowded area, we only have two videos.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
    12. Re:Obvious Explanation by Pharmboy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      China has enough nukes to make the west coast of the usa a mess, killing hundreds of thousands or even several million. The USA has enough nukes to make China the world's largest parking lot, and can activate enough others on standby to make it a solid glass parking lot. They have a few hundred, we have tens of thousands, including some megaton varieties which they don't have. They have enough to prevent nuclear war. We have enough to exterminate the entire humans race. There is a big difference in scale here.

      China is already at war with us, but it is an economic war. They wouldn't fuck this up by using their military except to defend themselves, or invade Taiwan. And yes, they are already planning the invasion of Taiwan.

      --
      Tequila: It's not just for breakfast anymore!
    13. Re:Obvious Explanation by malakai · · Score: 5, Informative

      Better video link:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8GCgDKNEwyY

      Actual explanation of the event:
      http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-los-angeles/missile-launch-over-southern-california-explained

      TL;DR: Was a jet airliner's contrail and the perfect upper-atmospheric moisture level + winds.

      I'm sure what follows everything south of this post involves China, Iran, and Dr. Evil.....

    14. Re:Obvious Explanation by AkkarAnadyr · · Score: 2, Informative

      The USA has enough nukes to make China the world's largest parking lot, and can activate enough others on standby to make it a solid glass parking lot.

      Here on the West Coast, we get enough dust from China already to mess with our Clean Air Act quotas, and pollute the Willamette River.

      Seems a bit costly to go that route, not that it matters in these kinds of calculations.

      --

      I bought this house and you know I'm boss
      Ain't no h'aint gonna run me off

    15. Re:Obvious Explanation by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2, Funny

      It is clearly a rather large rocket, clearly on a trajectory headed for at least space, perhaps orbit.

      Wrong. It was Meg Whitman's head exploding when she realized she spent $150million and all she got was a lousy t-shirt.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    16. Re:Obvious Explanation by Iron+Condor · · Score: 2, Funny

      Actual explanation of the event:

      And what, exactly, makes you call this an "actual" explanation, given that it's composed of just as much thin air as all the other ones?

      The video clearly shows a very bright spot at the top of the exhaust trail. Jet engines don't burn bright. They don't burn at all. They're dark. Unless this particular jet was on fire in a rather surprisingly controlled way.

      Of course it is possible that sunlight just so happenes to glint off the underside of a plane that just so happenes to be polished the right way and that just so happenes to be oriented such that the "glint" remains "glinting" for many (15?) seconds at a time. Just as it's possible that the contrail of that same jet just so happens to resemble a rocket launch. Lots of things are possible.

      But while it's possible that a jet plane might appear like a Polaris rocket, it is of course certain that a Polaris rocket appears like a Polaris rocket.

      Quack, quack...

      --
      We're all born with nothing.
      If you die in debt, you're ahead.
  2. YEEEEEHAAAAW by Pojut · · Score: 5, Funny

    Slim Pickens was seen straddling the missle, waving his hat, and proclaiming "YEEEEEEHAWWWWW".

    The War Room could not be reached for comment, as there was a fight going on at the time.

    1. Re:YEEEEEHAAAAW by Volante3192 · · Score: 2, Funny

      They don't like it when non-military personel (like Steve Buscemi) ride weapons though.

    2. Re:YEEEEEHAAAAW by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Slim Pickens rode a bomb not a missile.

      This message brought to you by the literal net.

      OK, so Gottfried was seen climbing into the missile, doing something Rule-34ish, and proclaiming "JAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!"

      (This message brought to you by the literary net!)

    3. Re:YEEEEEHAAAAW by mangu · · Score: 4, Funny

      Slim Pickens rode a bomb not a missile.

      Yes, but the missile made an awesome WOOOSH sound.

    4. Re:YEEEEEHAAAAW by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 2, Funny

      Well, of course not. The last thing the US needs is a weapons riding gap.

    5. Re:YEEEEEHAAAAW by JustOK · · Score: 3, Insightful

      hey, wait a moment. Kansas City, MO or Kansas City, KS?

      --
      rewriting history since 2109
  3. Drug Cartels by jimbobborg · · Score: 2, Funny

    Will do anything to cross the border. I wonder how much pot was in that thing?

    1. Re:Drug Cartels by JustOK · · Score: 4, Funny

      Cheech and Chong in SPAAAAAAACE!, man. Hal's not here.

      --
      rewriting history since 2109
    2. Re:Drug Cartels by ByOhTek · · Score: 3, Funny

      Are you nuts, that's too expensive for the test flight. It's just a family of six for the first go-round.

      --
      Self proclaimed typo king, and inventor of the bear destroying coffee table (patent not pending).
  4. Hmmm .... by gstoddart · · Score: 5, Interesting

    So, the two likely scenarios would be: 1) The US test firing something, but nobody knows who or what just yet because it is being kept secret. 2) Someone else firing off missiles off the coast of the US to demonstrate a point.

    I consider 1) likely, and 2) just downright scary.

    --
    Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    1. Re:Hmmm .... by The+Pirou · · Score: 4, Interesting

      'Test' firing and attempting to keep a secret immediately off the coast of LA don't jive. If they were attempting to TRULY keep it a secret they would've performed tests elsewhere. Sabre rattling, or something else, it wasn't your first scenario.

    2. Re:Hmmm .... by swanzilla · · Score: 4, Funny

      The end of the article says that some Ex Ambassador says that it MIGHT be a demonstration to China that US Subs can launch intercontinental missiles - since Obama is touring over there right now.

      Indonesia, China. Same thing.

    3. Re:Hmmm .... by LWATCDR · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Has anyone looked at the NOTAMS for that day?
      If it was a government launch then a NOTAM must have been filed to clear the air space.
      They would not risk an accident that would take out an airliner full of people.

      I tried to look but found nothing listed.
      As to a demonstration that the US can launch ballistic missiles from a sub... Well yea that has been proven for about the last 50 years. And you can bet your bottom dollar that you do not just pop off long range missile with out telling Russia and China that you are going to do it!
      That could be bad...
      BTW Subs do not launch intercontinental ballistic missiles "ICBMs". They launch Sub launched ballistic missiles "SLBMs"

      At this point the fact that nobody is saying anything and it is getting so little press really scares the daylights out of me.
       

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    4. Re:Hmmm .... by AnonymousClown · · Score: 5, Funny

      3) New Navy seamen ordered to get the Captain his mid-day meal and presses the "Lunch" button.

      --
      RIP America

      July 4, 1776 - September 11, 2001

    5. Re:Hmmm .... by loafula · · Score: 2, Funny

      'Cept if it was a demonstration to China, why do it 35 mi off the coast of LA? It seems unlikely to be seen from China there.

      --
      FOXTROT UNIFORM CHARLIE KILO
    6. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Funny

      maybe somebody spilled coffee on a sub's weapons control console.

      SLBM launches don't work like that.

      It would make just as much sense for you to spill coffee on your keyboard and accidentally install Windows Vista.

    7. Re:Hmmm .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Way too positive. What's the point in demonstrating to China that you still have some missile if you also still have a large nuclear arsenal that is ready to be delivered any time? Its not like China is going to be impressed because of some additional sub-launched missile.

      If anything, this is China or some one else showing that they now got subs that can come close the the US coast unnoticed... or a test / accidental firing by the US military.

    8. Re:Hmmm .... by martas · · Score: 5, Funny

      I've done that. Why else would I have Vista on my machine?

    9. Re:Hmmm .... by paiute · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The end of the article says that some Ex Ambassador says that it MIGHT be a demonstration to China that US Subs can launch intercontinental missiles - since Obama is touring over there right now.

      That ability hasn't been a secret since the Nixon administration.

      --
      If Slashdot were chemistry it would look like this:Cadaverine
    10. Re:Hmmm .... by icebike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You are correct about the value to an adversary about a demonstration launch from US waters.

      But its a risky move to engage in this kind of stunt because the Russians might think it was a surprise attack of some kind.

      Especially if they pick up the red phone (do they still have that?) and ask what the hell is going on and receive only unbelievable denials.

      Russia and the US announce to each other ALL launches well in advance.

      Countries having the capability of underwater launch include China, Russia, Britain, US, and maybe Iran and India using ex soviet era subs. Maybe a couple others.

      The only one of these that could launch without fear of triggering a reprisal by Russia: Russia.

      But given the apparent lack of any mad scramble by the Military, you can be fairly sure they knew in advance about this. If the US military was caught flat footed, Obama would already be on his way back, and heads would already be rolling.

      There is also the distinct possibility its just more Security Theater to justify what ever is next.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    11. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The possibility of an SSBN sneaking up on the American coast was never discounted. This type of attack has always been deterred by US second strike capability.

    12. Re:Hmmm .... by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Informative

      Are all SLBM's implicitly intercontinental?

      Modern ones are. Trident II has a quoted range of 7,000 miles. The French M51 has a quoted range of 6,200 miles.

      The original SLBM's would be more properly described as medium range ballistic missiles (MRBM) or intermediate range ballistic missiles (IRBM). Polaris I had a quoted range of 1,000 miles, making it a MRBM. The A3 version of Polaris had a quoted range of 3,000 miles, making it a IRBM. There is some overlap between these terms and the range figures for them are somewhat arbitrary. The A2 version of Polaris could be classified either way.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    13. Re:Hmmm .... by NatasRevol · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I want to know one thing.

      Where did it land?

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    14. Re:Hmmm .... by mangu · · Score: 3, Funny

      it MIGHT be a demonstration to China that US Subs can launch intercontinental missiles

      Considering that the US first launched an ICBM from a sub in 1960, this demonstration seems a bit late by now.

      What next, will the US demonstrate that cars can be made with tail fins?

    15. Re:Hmmm .... by Rich0 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Uh, there are probably about 25 steps involved in launching an SLBM. Step one would be maintaining a shallow depth, which ballistic missile subs almost never do otherwise except for maybe a brief stop to get instructions. Somewhere in the series of steps probably includes opening the hatch as well.

      I'm sure the launch was deliberate. Now, whether it was planned is a separate matter. Maybe some fault on a missile called for firing it to get rid of it, but that seems unlikely to me. Firing ICBMs is a VERY sensitive matter (if not coordinated with other major powers it certainly would trigger a serious alert and move towards nuclear readiness - not something ANYBODY wants to happen). So, I doubt somebody would write a submarine procedure manual that included firing ballistic missiles except under order. Besides, can you imagine the trouble involved in tracking down the warheads if the thing was armed (which you'd have to assume if it were a standard procedure).

      This was almost certainly a test launch. Or, maybe it was smaller than it looked (I didn't see the video so I don't know if it really was an ICBM).

    16. Re:Hmmm .... by jesseck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      But why? The world already knows we can launch ICBMs from submarines.

    17. Re:Hmmm .... by GeekZilla · · Score: 3, Informative

      "Obama would already be on his way back"

      Uh...in other news, he is.

      --
      Veritas patesco per quaestio questio. Truth is revealed through questions.
    18. Re:Hmmm .... by MarcQuadra · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bingo!

      There's no reason for us to demonstrate our well-known SLBM capabilities to our own country's most populated county. I think it's highly likely that this is one of our 'peer nations' showing-off that we're entirely 'within range'.

      Trust me, they saw this at Beale, where they have a huge radar system designed to see incoming ICBMs. If this wasn't an exercise or a test launch (both of which would have likely happened a little more out of the way), you won't hear much more about it. Neither the military nor the media would tell Americans if China, Russia, or India was playing around right off our beaches, the reality that we could all easily become iridescent chalky dust at the drop of a hat distracts from the main objectives: Fighting bad guys with AK-47s to secure cheap energy, and buying stuff on credit.

      --
      "Sometimes, I think Trent just needs a cup of hot chocolate and a blankie." -Tori Amos on Nine Inch Nails
    19. Re:Hmmm .... by AhabTheArab · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Countries having the capability of underwater launch include China, Russia, Britain, US, and maybe Iran and India using ex soviet era subs. Maybe a couple others.

      France does. India is developing their own sub/missile which should be ready shortly (according to wikipedia). It wouldn't surprise me if Isreal has this capability as well. The one thing that struck me as somewhat odd when reading the wikipedia page on SLBMs was this: The five countries that are known to have SLBM capability are the five permanent members of the UN security council. India, the only other nation listed on that page, is indicated to be developing SLBMs. The other day, wasn't Obama advocating the inclusion of India as a permanent member of the security council? Something seems a little fishy to me.

    20. Re:Hmmm .... by AhabTheArab · · Score: 2, Interesting

      If anything, this is China or some one else showing that they now got subs that can come close the the US coast unnoticed... or a test / accidental firing by the US military.

      I somehow doubt that any country would demonstrate some sort of brand new underwater stealth technology by performing the one action that is guaranteed to give away your exact position (launching a missile).

      A 'hostile' sub 35 miles away from US Coast wouldn't be met with a slap on the knee and a response of "you totally got us!". It would be destroyed with impunity. Subs are expensive, you don't risk losing them on a mission that amounts to showing off.

      It's most definitely a US missile of some sort.

      Cool theory, except for the part where they evidently weren't caught. So yes, maybe their stealth sub is THAT GOOD that they can fire a missle a few miles off our coast and get away with it.

    21. Re:Hmmm .... by n9hmg · · Score: 5, Funny

      'Test' firing and attempting to keep a secret immediately off the coast of LA don't jive

      You're right. They boogie. The difference is subtle. Very acute observation.

    22. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Informative

      Wonko, you were (are?) a bubblehead, right?

      USS Hartford May 2000 - February 2006

      It's my understanding that the Chinese are at least a generation or two behind us in terms of submarine technology. Even if they've received assistance from the Russians it would seem unlikely that they could construct an SSBN that could travel all the way across the Pacific without being tracked by the US Navy. If they did manage such a feat then I certainly hope that heads are rolling at Pearl Harbor and the Pentagon....

      You don't understand how big the Pacific ocean is.

      The only way that you stop an SSBN is to maintain a large fast attack fleet and track each and every one of them as they leave port and follow them until the return.

    23. Re:Hmmm .... by icebike · · Score: 4, Interesting

      India would not demo off our coasts.

      The advocating inclusion of India in the security council was strictly for in-country (india) consumption. Don't expect any follow thru.

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    24. Re:Hmmm .... by Kagura · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Seriously? You've never heard of submarine-launched ballistic missiles? They're a VERY important part of our strategic nuclear defense. Even if an adversary kills the entire civilian and military leadership and destroys all of our nuclear silos in a surprise "first strike", we have SLBM submarines patrolling the oceans in secret locations that can launch a devastating "second strike". This deters adversaries from trying to launch a "first strike" when they think they have the upper hand.

    25. Re:Hmmm .... by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Not to mention it would make absolutely NO sense to fire off the coast of CA and risk a panic when we already have test ranges in the Pacific just for such tests. I'm starting to wonder if this wasn't a fuckup, as that is the ONLY reason why I could think they would launch something that close. Maybe they had a leak and had to get the bird off the ship? Because that is the only reason why I can see the Navy or other branch of the Armed Forces not going through established procedures and then trying to claim it wasn't them.

      It isn't like the Navy would want to broadcast "Yesterday Sgt Gomer found PFC Pile had accidentally started a serious breach of safety and security, causing us to launch the bird to keep the dumbass from blowing the whole ship up. We apologize for any scares and can assure you Pile is now manning a station in the Arctic circle. Have a nice day." Because the only other reason I can think of is that it wasn't the USA, which is a scary thought. Hey, didn't we bust some drug dealers awhile back for having an ex Soviet sub? while I doubt China or Russia would be that stupid, there are plenty of others with subs not to mention Soviet hardware on the market. It would be pretty damned scary if some "off the books" Boomer or Alpha just popped up and said hi, and the US sure as hell wouldn't admit if that were the case.

      Either way this one is a head scratcher, as it would make no sense for the USA to launch it on purpose given the 50 year+ history of doing these types of tests at our Pacific ranges. Hell have we EVER done a test launch off our own coast before? Because I certainly don't remember ever hearing of one.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    26. Re:Hmmm .... by jackbird · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Not fishy. The crieterion for permanent member status on the UN security council is "can start a global nuclear war if so desires." This is by design, and a hell of a good idea. Would you want such an entity NOT to be included in security matters in the UN's purview?

    27. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Informative

      SLBMS are intercontinental. The whole point of an SSBN is that it can be anywhere in the ocean and still hit you.

    28. Re:Hmmm .... by Teancum · · Score: 4, Interesting

      35 miles out to sea is in international waters..... shy of declaring war the U.S. Navy isn't going to destroy anything with impunity, but you will see a few naval officers get demoted real fast for failing to detect that vessel if it wasn't associated with the Navy.

      Launching a sub-based missile off the coast of California, if it was from another country, would be the equivalent between military powers as the "Ha,Ha" of Nelson Muntz.

      While I would say that the probable reaction of the U.S. Navy would be to ignore the incident and leave it to the politicians to determine what to do next, if anything, there isn't any reason for a country to expect a neutral reaction out of the U.S. Navy, and firing such a missile that close to a major population center would certainly be considered an act of war.

      There are several major military bases in the immediate area (especially at the port of Los Angeles /Long Beach, and at San Diego as well as Vandenberg AFB to the north and even a couple USMC bases in the area), so a lack of a response is due to political concerns and not military capability. It also makes it seem very likely that it was the U.S. military that was involved somehow with this launch. If it was a private launch of some kind, there would be a requirement to file paperwork with the FAA where the identity of the people doing the launch would be very well known. Considering the size of this vehicle, it isn't something you would make in your garage over a weekend and try to sneak a launch in saying "to heck with the gov'ment". Besides, the BATF and other federal agencies keep very close tabs on private launcher groups including commercial rocket builders and amateur rocketry groups too.

    29. Re:Hmmm .... by EraserMouseMan · · Score: 2, Informative

      The Pentagon does have a clue. They know exactly where it was fired from and the whole history of the trajectory. They have many sensors that just stare at the earth from space watching for these launches.

    30. Re:Hmmm .... by Shakrai · · Score: 2, Informative

      China only has three SSBNs unless they've somehow managed to construct and deploy more of them in secret. In that case I'd say the guys at NRO and DIA need a swift kick in the ass. Surely we have the assets to track three SSBNs, particularly when at least one of them is in port at any given time? I'm also assuming that we retain some sort of ocean surveillance system (SOSUS equivalent) even in the post Cold War era. I know there's a mobile equivalent mounted on ships like the Victorious and Impeccable.

      --
      I want peace on earth and goodwill toward man.
      We are the United States Government! We don't do that sort of thing.
    31. Re:Hmmm .... by Teancum · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I don't know where I read this, but it seems like there is at least an annual test of the launcher systems of all nuclear submarines, simply to make sure that the crew is sufficiently trained on the procedure and that the equipment is all working as intended. Usually this is accompanies by a "Notice to Mariners" and semi-publicized in terms of warning commercial shipping groups to stay out of the area, as having a ballistic missile bump into the keel of your ship is something most ship's captains would want to avoid if possible. The exact location may be kept secret or given a slightly false location to keep anti-war idiots from trying to be heroic by committing suicide, but a general region of the ocean would be marked as a place to "stay away from" in terms of testing.

      Often these notices will be released at the last minute and there certainly won't be much in the way of details, but if this is an official test by the U.S. military there usually is at least some claim to the fact that it happened. The question is ore why that wasn't the case here, or perhaps it was an "oops" where some sailor screwed up and punched the wrong button. If that was the case, expect a cover-up on this because those kind of secrets never get released to the public.

    32. Re:Hmmm .... by Atzanteol · · Score: 2, Informative
      Shiiiiit, maaaaan. That honky muf' be messin' mah old lady... got to be runnin' cold upside down his head, you know?

      Or did you mean "jibe?"

      --
      "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"

      - Charles Darwin
    33. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Surely we have the assets to track three SSBNs, particularly when at least one of them is in port at any given time?

      I was in the Atlantic fleet, but to the best of my knowledge the US Navy doesn't do that kind of thing anymore, at least not all the time.

      I can tell you that fast attack submarines in general did not train and practice for this kind of mission and the officers in general did not take the threat posed by another nuclear navy seriously at all while I was there.

      The institutional knowledge and skills to successfully pull off the kind of sub-on-sub tracking that they did in the cold war did not exist anywhere that I could see.

    34. Re:Hmmm .... by KarrdeSW · · Score: 4, Insightful

      35 miles out to sea is in international waters..... shy of declaring war the U.S. Navy isn't going to destroy anything with impunity, but you will see a few naval officers get demoted real fast for failing to detect that vessel if it wasn't associated with the Navy.

      Let's ignore that the US hasn't actually ratified the international treaties that sets those rules, meaning it doesn't really care what China or anyone else thinks it can do 35 miles from US coast.

      You're forgetting that this was launched in the middle of the Channel Islands off the California coast, it's considered Archipelagic waters and therefore sovereign US territory.

    35. Re:Hmmm .... by miserere+nobis · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Exactly. "Did it come back down?" and "Where did it go?" are obvious questions none of the articles I've seen are asking. And why aren't the media outlets seeming to ask anyone other than the Pentagon who could answer those questions? I haven't seen any reports of comments from NASA or from any Russian government agency.

    36. Re:Hmmm .... by NatasRevol · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I disagree. It looked like it was heading north-west. Towards Alaska, Russia, China.

      I think that's a very big concern, hence my question.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    37. Re:Hmmm .... by IndustrialComplex · · Score: 2, Insightful

      If it doesn't work then why are the Russians so afraid of it?

      A 150lb ITG picking a fight with a 230lb fighter would make you say "Why would the 230lb guy worry?"

      Because the 150lb guy might delude himself into believing his own hype, and you DON'T want someone thinking that they have the ability to start a nuclear war and not suffer consequences. Even if they are wrong, they might believe their own hype.

      --
      Out of modpoints but really liked a post? 1BDkF6TtmmeZ3yqXbz9yhdYVqRYnwFoXDj
    38. Re:Hmmm .... by KarrdeSW · · Score: 2, Informative

      North of Santa Catalina IS Los Angeles. Admittedly, TFA is not really precise on where it was, it was actually right next to Santa Barbara island, which is still US Territory. But either way, it doesn't matter if it were actually between Santa Catalina and Los Angeles, archipelagic waters define your national boundary around the outermost islands. In other words, your 12 miles of federally claimed sea only begin once you're past San Nicholas and San Clemente

      Military vessels can also only approach if their mission is innocent (it also doesn't matter what other countries the US Navy approaches, everyone already knows we're hypocrites), an unannounced missile launch, no matter where it's pointed, would not be regarded as innocent.

    39. Re:Hmmm .... by Wyatt+Earp · · Score: 2, Informative

      Which treaty is that?

      Because Vandenberg AFB has Minuteman silos for testing and Ballistic Missile Defense silos for testing, both of which could house active duty Minuteman III missiles.

      Edwards AFB is home to a test wing which includes B-1B and B-2 bombers both of which are nuclear capable, or until 2007 were.

      There are three carriers based in California, all of which carry nuclear weapons

    40. Re:Hmmm .... by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 4, Funny

      Were you aboard the Hartford during the grounding incident in Sardinia?

      Yes

      What was that like?

      Bumpy

    41. Re:Hmmm .... by LWATCDR · · Score: 2, Informative

      ICBM always implies ground launched or always has. The Trident in every reference I have ever seen was classified as an SLBM.
      Do you have a reference where it is defined as an ICBM?
      fas.org classifies it as an SLBM.

      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    42. Re:Hmmm .... by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Is there any record or anything that actually saw this thing get launched and go up? I saw a quick pan in the video which showed the contrail and a glint that may have been the business end of the rocket. All of it was so short on the clip that the rate of ascent certainly couldn't be determined from the video.

      The suggestion that perhaps it was just the contrail of a commercial airliner seems to be the prevailing theory at the moment, which is why I ask. If it traveled 15 miles in 30 seconds, then clearly it was a rocket and not a commercial airliner.

      Just say'in. This whole thing is so speculative that it is hard to say what is the truth here.

  5. Did someone say Missile? by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 5, Funny

    No one wants to take credit for it? Okay.

    I'll take credit for it. If found please return it. Thanks.

    1. Re:Did someone say Missile? by camperdave · · Score: 2, Funny

      I was going to take credit for it, however, after a moment's thought I realized that taking credit for firing a missile inside US coastal waters without proper approvals could land me in all sorts of hot water with the wrong sorts of government agencies. I'm glad you're willing to take that heat.

      --
      When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
    2. Re:Did someone say Missile? by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 5, Funny

      I'm glad you're willing to take that heat.

      Of course, I'm Canadian! I'll take any heat I can get!

    3. Re:Did someone say Missile? by UnknowingFool · · Score: 2, Funny

      I confess! It was me. Off the coast of California. With a missile launcher.

      --
      Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
  6. QE3 by NapalmV · · Score: 3, Funny

    They're testing the "dollar cluster bomb" for the Quantitative Easing 3 phase. Bernanke reckoned that helicopters were not good enough.

  7. It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by mp3LM · · Score: 4, Informative

    http://www.reddit.com/r/reddit.com/comments/e3gf3/a_missile_was_launched_off_the_california_coast/c14zqpm

    NOTAM for LA. KZLA LOS ANGELES A2832/10 - THE FOLLOWING RESTRICTIONS ARE REQUIRED DUE TO NAVAL AIR WARFARE CENTER WEAPONS DIVISION ACTIVATION OF W537. IN THE INTEREST OF SAFETY, ALL NON-PARTICIPATING PILOTS ARE ADVISED TO AVOID W537. IFR TRAFFIC UNDER ATC JURISDICTION SHOULD ANTICIPATE CLEARANCE AROUND W537 AND CAE 1176. CAE 1155 WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. CAE 1316 & CAE 1318 WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. CAE 1177 WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. W537 ACTIVE, CAE 1176 CLOSED. SURFACE - FL390, 09 NOV 20:00 2010 UNTIL 10 NOV 01:00 2010. CREATED: 08 NOV 20:52 2010

    1. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by mujadaddy · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Wrong date. November 9 is today, not last night.

      --
      Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
      "Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
    2. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by Brett+Buck · · Score: 2, Insightful

      It was Nov 9 GMT.

    3. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by ColdWetDog · · Score: 3, Funny

      Wrong date. November 9 is today, not last night.

      Hah. You think last night was interesting.

      Just you wait...

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    4. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by locofungus · · Score: 3, Informative

      Being in the UK, who are currently on GMT, I can tell you that it's not yet 20:00 on 9th Nov. Not for another 2 hours.

      If these times are local times then it's even worse.

      Either there's been a mega screw up and the missile was launched early (or the announcement was late) or this is for something else.

      Tim.

      --
      God said, "div D = rho, div B = 0, curl E = -@B/@t, curl H = J + @D/@t," and there was light.
    5. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by _Sprocket_ · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Remember - the Internet is killing investigative journalism.

    6. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by icebike · · Score: 2, Informative

      Why would you have a problem with that explanation?

      ALL NOTAMS are in GMT time. You expect them to change this world wide rule just for you?

      --
      Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
    7. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by idontgno · · Score: 5, Informative

      You're missing the point. No one is contesting that NOTAMs are timestamped in ZULU. No one is arguing it's a bad idea. No one disputes this at all.

      The actual argument is that the NOTAM you cite isn't applicable, because this launch occurred at "at around 5 p.m. Pacific time"... or about 01Z 9 October. Yes, the date is right. But that NOTAM wasn't effective yet, and wouldn't be for another 19 hours after the fact.

      Seriously. When you find yourself at the bottom of a hole, stop digging.

      --
      Welcome to the Panopticon. Used to be a prison, now it's your home.
    8. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by AB3A · · Score: 2, Informative

      If you want to know where the President, Vice President, or Speaker of the House will be before the news story breaks, just read the TFR NOTAMs from the FAA. To enforce the laws against flying in temporary flight restriction areas, they have to let the flying public know at least 24 hours in advance.

      Notice that this NOTAM is only valid up to 39,000 Feet MSL (FL390). This may have been a big missile, but I doubt that it was headed for space. If it were, the NOTAM would have gone all the way to FL600 (the limit of enforceable airspace).

      --
      Nearly fifty percent of all graduates come from the bottom half of the class!
    9. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by gstoddart · · Score: 2, Funny

      "It was Nov 9 GMT." ...is that really what you're going with?

      Er, how about swamp gas from a weather balloon was trapped in a thermal pocket and refracted the light from Venus?

      --
      Lost at C:>. Found at C.
    10. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by Thud457 · · Score: 3, Funny

      Don't try to confusle me with your high-falutin' words, it's pelicans, all the way up, same as in town.

      --

      the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    11. Re:It's not a mystery, people are just dumb by ChaoticPup · · Score: 2, Funny

      So a warning that covers a timeframe *today* somehow explains a missile launched *yesterday*? Ummm... try again.

      The US Navy test range for sud-launched ICBMs is off the coast of San Diego, well south of the point of this launch. Been there, have the t-shirt.

  8. Sounds like... by the_one_wesp · · Score: 2, Funny

    Lt. Chillders had his woman down there, demonstrating how to "launch a missle," and somehow, through some "unknown act" the big red button got pushed.

  9. Seeing as DHS Threat adviso remains at just Orange by mysidia · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It is obviously some super-secret government/military thing.

    If it was not sanctioned by the military, we would be at high alert right now, right?

  10. Re:Life imitates art by CdBee · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Much more likely, it was some sort of prototype/enhanced/modified missile tested by the USN, and they won't admit it just because doing so would mean admitting theres a development programme going on (and anyone getting a radar track of its mision profile might be able to deduce things about it)

    I understand that stealth aircraft were tested for years before the technology was publicly acknowledged

    --
    I have been a user for about 10 years. This ends Feb 2014. The site's been ruined. I'm off. Dice, FU
  11. FAA NOTAM by Nidi62 · · Score: 2, Informative

    KZLA LOS ANGELES A2832/10 – THE FOLLOWING RESTRICTIONS ARE REQUIRED DUE TO NAVAL AIR WARFARE CENTER WEAPONS DIVISION ACTIVATION OF W537. IN THE INTEREST OF SAFETY, ALL NON-PARTICIPATING PILOTS ARE ADVISED TO AVOID W537. IFR TRAFFIC UNDER ATC JURISDICTION SHOULD ANTICIPATE CLEARANCE AROUND W537 AND CAE 1176. CAE 1155 WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. CAE 1316 & CAE 1318 WILL NOT BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. CAE 1177 WILL BE AVAILABLE FOR OCEANIC TRANSITION. W537 ACTIVE, CAE 1176 CLOSED. SURFACE – FL390, 09 NOV 20:00 2010 UNTIL 10 NOV 01:00 2010. CREATED: 08 NOV 20:52 2010 It's not a mystery, it's been planned and announced.

    --
    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
    1. Re:FAA NOTAM by canajin56 · · Score: 4, Informative

      It's not even 8PM UTC on Nov 9th yet, how can it match 5 PM fucking yesterday? Good math there champ.

      --
      ASCII stupid question, get a stupid ANSI
  12. Mythbusters by Tr3vin · · Score: 4, Funny

    Missile firing off the coast of California? Gotta be the Mythbusters. This week's myth was that you could easily build and fire a missile near the US without being caught. Myth confirmed!

    1. Re:Mythbusters by bmo · · Score: 5, Funny

      If it was Mythbusters, it was not a rocket, but another water heater.

      --
      BMO

    2. Re:Mythbusters by Volante3192 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      When those two are involved, 'rocket' and 'water heater' are interchangable.

    3. Re:Mythbusters by Ellis+D.+Tripp · · Score: 2, Funny

      Packed with Mentos, Diet Coke, salami, and thermite?

      --
      Remember "News for Nerds, Stuff that Matters"? Help make it a reality again! http://soylentnews.org
  13. Engage! by digitaldc · · Score: 2, Funny

    "It could be a test-firing of an intercontinental ballistic missile from a submarine to demonstrate, mainly to Asia, that we can do that," speculated Ellsworth.

    Just because, you know, we outsourced all our missile manufacturing to China and we just weren't that sure it would work.

    --
    He who knows best knows how little he knows. - Thomas Jefferson
  14. Missile of the coast of California? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    Maybe the whole silicon valley decided to offshore itself?

  15. Not my secret base by phantomfive · · Score: 5, Funny

    GUYS, I want you to KNOW, it is NOT the location of my secret evil lair. Or ANyone else's. THere IS noevil Lair. really. Don't come searching. Please. The squid are causing enough problems. I mean. Ignore that.

    --
    Qxe4
    1. Re:Not my secret base by Monkeedude1212 · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm onto you, hiding secret messages in your post. Look at the Capital Letters, seems too odd . Rearranging the letters I get this:

        I KNOW THIS NOTION GUYS DIAL TIP

      Tip, which is of course is 847 on the phone, which is of course the area code for Illinois!

      LOOK OUT! THERE'S A MISSILE HEADING FOR ILLINOIS!

  16. Re:Life imitates art by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Insightful

    We know where it came from. Just because you don't isn't a problem.

    Signed,
    Your Overlords

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  17. It's just a jet contrail by Muad'Dave · · Score: 5, Interesting

    An expert named Brian on the seesat-l list says:

    This pops up every once in a while. Seen it myself.

    It's an airliner leaving a contrail that's being lit by the setting sun.
    It appears to be going straight up because it's coming straight towards
    the observer from over the horizon.

    If we had a time, direction, and location of the viewpoint it would
    not be difficult to determine which flight it was.

    The contrail more than likely also shows on satellite weather imagery.

    As many of us here know who have observed known missile launches, this
    thing is moving WAAAAAAAAY too slow.

    --
    Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    1. Re:It's just a jet contrail by DrugCheese · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Brian is wrong. Maybe he didn't view the video but it's very clear cut that it is NOT an airliner.

      --
      *DrugCheese rants*
    2. Re:It's just a jet contrail by blair1q · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Just from looking at the picture I know that's not right.

      Parallax on the contrail tells me the object is receding.

      So it started in the lower-left corner of the picture.

      Which means the helicopter taking the picture was above the contrail.

      I'd be willing to bet that no helicopter has ever viewed a contrail of significant length from above.

    3. Re:It's just a jet contrail by Muad'Dave · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Because a covert missile launch is so much more interesting (and newsworthy), perhaps?

      --
      Tiller's Rule: Never use a word in written form that you've only heard and never read. You will end up looking foolish.
    4. Re:It's just a jet contrail by Volante3192 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I think I found it:

      http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goeswest-lzw/california/vis/

      Start at
      1011081945G11I01.tif 08-Nov-2010 15:03 506K
      and watch the contrail go south across the coast through
      1011082200G11I01.tif 08-Nov-2010 17:23 484K

    5. Re:It's just a jet contrail by Volante3192 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I made a really primitive animated gif out of those shots:

      http://www.sinecreations.com/GOES.gif

    6. Re:It's just a jet contrail by khallow · · Score: 4, Informative

      This brian has not seen the video, as it becomes immediately apparent that the perspective places the object going away from the viewers, and not travelling towards

      I looked at the video. All we can tell from it is that the object is moving to upper right. It could be moving towards or away from our viewpoint, we don't have the perspective to tell. Originally, I too thought it was a rocket contrail, but it is consistent with jet contrails and there's satellite evidence that this could be a jet contrail.

    7. Re:It's just a jet contrail by bughunter · · Score: 5, Informative

      As many of us here know who have observed known missile launches, this
      thing is moving WAAAAAAAAY too slow.

      Seconded. As an engineer for various companies that do such things, I've witnessed launches from San Nicholas, from Vandenberg, Kwaj, Alaska and Hawaii. There are several things visually wrong with the snippets of video I've been able to find online:

      1: The contrail is too "solid" looking. It lacks the crazy dispersion that a rising plume sees almost immediately as the launch vehicle passes thru different layers of the atmosphere. Winds move at different speeds and at different directions in the different layers, immediately shearing a rocket plume. Contrails, however, generally stay in the same layer, and remain continuous for much longer. Sometimes very long.

      2: The lighting is too uniform. An ascending plume from a launch just after sunset shows a "rainbow" of colors from sunlight refracted through the atmosphere and from grazing incidence reflection from the ocean. This plume shows none of that.

      3: Its moving far, far too slowly. Even a suborbital missile that will travel only 600 or so miles moves faster on ascent. They move startlingly fast across the sky.

      These clues tell me that it was an aircraft moving horizontally, not a missile moving vertically. The perspectives involved with very long objects in the sky can be very deceiving. You can't trust your eyes.

      No one is questioning the appellation "missile" -- the first question asked should be, "What was it?" -- not "Whose missile was it?"

      I wager that within hours, NOAA or someone will release a satellite picture showing the plume as a lateral contrail originating from the West.

      --
      I can see the fnords!
    8. Re:It's just a jet contrail by blair1q · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You are correct, I meant perspective.

      I ain't buying it about the wider=older thing, though.

      It takes some pretty special circumstances to make a contrail spread anisotropically. Once the hot vapor from the engines has expanded, condensed, and been contained by the vortices from the wings, it's a pretty stable situation with little spread unless something else gets involved.

      really cool pick at an iffy link here:

      http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_rkPt7JME0-8/SbZndqgc2bI/AAAAAAAAAWI/8UVhtw4fwOU/s320/boeing+747+jumbo+contrail.jpg

      I want that in a glossy 8x10 for my office.

      To get the sort of triangular spread you're thinking of you'd need to have the contrail in a wind-shear, and wind-shear means turbulent flight, and a pilot wouldn't hang out in that for that long, so it should happens to the tails of a contrail, not to the whole contrail starting from the head, as we're looking at in the article's picture.

      sheared contrail:
      http://www.mdbsite.com/skies/contrails/info-3.jpg

      So I'm sticking with perspective, not diffusion.

    9. Re:It's just a jet contrail by bughunter · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'd be modding you up if I hadn't already posted above.

      People like ThePhish and DrugCheese are so certain that they can trust their eyes. But they're wrong. Our visual cortex is wired to parse perspective for things on a much smaller scale. Things on the scale of this object confuse the eye, and the mind. You can't trust your eyes in this situation.

      For instance, these lines are all parallel lines, but they certainly don't look like it, and if you saw them in person you'd swear they were all originating from a point on the horizon... as if God were standing over there in all his glory. But they aren't.

      I'm sorely disappointed that so many smart people on /. are failing to question the assumption that the object is a missile.

      --
      I can see the fnords!
    10. Re:It's just a jet contrail by Phroon · · Score: 2, Informative

      Here's around the same time in IR, but for a longer duration (~900 KB gif). Quite a bit easier to see.

      Source: http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goeswest-lzw/california/ir5/ 1011081645G11I05.tif 08-Nov-2010 12:02 to 1011090100G11I05.tif 08-Nov-2010 20:24

  18. Re:Solid fuel, for sure... by mujadaddy · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Trident II's are 44 feet tall, which is a good ballpark for this object, but their 'trail looks completely different (~1:20 in the vid).

    New type?

    --
    Populus vult decipi, ergo decipiatur...
    "Force shits upon Reason's back." - Poor Richard's Almanac
  19. Re:It was mine by bmo · · Score: 4, Funny

    >Laster beam

    Well, I've got a firster beam, but it keeps getting modded down.

    --
    BMO

  20. Seems clear... by KingAlanI · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Seems clearly likely that the US military knows exactly what it is and doesn't want to talk about it. (Maybe it's high up enough that even the local commanders don't have a full picture)
    Considering how this country often goes apeshit over fake or small threats, hell hath no fury like the US facing an actual incident. :P

    --
    I listen to both RIAA and non-RIAA stuff if I like the music, tangential business/politics nonwithstanding.
  21. Another possilibity... by DoofusOfDeath · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The State Department getting a diplomatic communication from China or Russia that just says, "Don't fuck with us."

  22. Obama finally snapped by tautog · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Here's yo free shit, motherfuckers!

  23. Zulu time by Slutticus · · Score: 3, Informative

    I don't think NOTAMs are in local time

  24. NOT the first mystery missile by trelayne · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This isn't the first mystery missile that has been launched near a coast that has baffled military and intelligence experts. It happened 12 months ago off the coast of Canada where THREE missiles were seen. http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2010/05/28/ufo-newfoundland-dnd.html http://youtube.com/watch?v=Jjl6k8NB7mE

  25. Nuclear Launch Detected! by Crasoose · · Score: 2, Funny

    You have 10 seconds to find the little red dot.

  26. Re:Life imitates art by Darkness404 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Then why would you launch it right next to one of the most populated areas in the US? If you were going to launch something like that why not take it to some overseas territories in the middle of the pacific and test it there? I mean, really, out of all the places to stage a launch you do it 30 some miles off the coast of a very populated city? Even though it is the US government, you would think they would be smarter than that.

    --
    Taxation is legalized theft, no more, no less.
  27. One BILLION dollars by tchdab1 · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Nobody thought that it might be a demonstration to the US from an unnamed entity, trying to make the same point?
    Is Dr. Evil on TV right now?

    1. Re:One BILLION dollars by interval1066 · · Score: 2, Funny

      No, he ran out of money after laying out 1 MILLION DOLLARS for his laser shark program, which in his day was a tidy sum. He then had to be rushed to the hospital following a heart attack upon getting mortgage papers explaining he owed well over $750 Million in back mortgage payments for his island lair. His balloon payments were calculated to be only $100K/month in the 60's.

      --
      Python: 'And then suddenly you have a language which says "we're all stuck with whatever the whiniest coder wants".'
  28. Re:Could that explain this? by Volante3192 · · Score: 4, Funny

    Cruise ship flare sizes are getting out of hand...

  29. OMG! by denzacar · · Score: 4, Funny

    And you... kept it on?

    You, you... PERVERT!

    --
    Mit der Dummheit kämpfen Götter selbst vergebens
    1. Re:OMG! by martas · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm German, you insensitive clod! Perversion is our way of life.

      Just trollin'. I'm not German, nor do I have any negative opinions about the Superior Race. Oops, Freudian slip!

  30. Re:Solid fuel, for sure... by jd · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Since all you need is a sealed tube with the missile inside it, a sub could deposit such a device on the sea floor. The sub needn't be the actual launch platform. If the US has mastered the ability to do that, it would certainly shake things up some. Tracking subs (a major effort by most nations) suddenly gets a whole lot less effective if it doesn't have to be where the missile it launches is. Which would require the ability to communicate over a significant range underwater, which would itself shake things up.

    Another consideration is that this might be a warning to Britain, rather than potentially hostile nations. Remember, Britain isn't upgrading its Trident missile system - something the US is very angry over. (The DoD was depending on that money to fund its fleet of luxury cruises.) Advertising new launch systems and/or new missiles at this precise moment may be intended to shake things up in the UK and persuade the British Government to find more money.

    --
    It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  31. Not a mystery. by SETIGuy · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I believe the term they are looking for is "secret" or "classified".

  32. Maybe by Oxford_Comma_Lover · · Score: 2, Interesting

    > Fine it's a secret test, but why on Earth would you do it near the coast? Why not just do it out in the ocean where it's substantially less public? I mean, it's supposed to be secret, why do it in plain view?

    (1) Maybe something about the test required it to be at that location at that time. Maybe it was intercepting something, or monitoring something, or delivering something, that needed to be at a certain position and velocity a short time later. Maybe it was even something that required having a city nearby, though I can't easily imagine what. (2) Maybe they've done this before, it's not a big deal, and usually nobody gets it on camera and reports it. Would the news have reported it if they didn't have the footage? And seriously, if you see a missile launch, does the average Joe expect it to be the navy and not bother reporting it, or does he report it to the local police, or to the news?

    --
    -- IANAL, this isn't legal advice, and definitely isn't legal advice for you. Also, Squee!
  33. Re:Life imitates art by icebike · · Score: 2, Informative
    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  34. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Funny

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  35. Blame Mythbusters by rweaving · · Score: 2, Funny

    The Mythbusters are just trying to disprove the myth of the DIY ICBM.

  36. I said LUNCH not LAUNCH! by DRAGONWEEZEL · · Score: 2, Funny

    :)

    --
    How much is your data worth? Back it up now.
  37. Re:It was told to pilots ahead of time. by icebike · · Score: 4, Informative

    You didn't do your homework.

    The time is wrong, and the location is wrong.

    The FAA has already denied publishing any notifications about this launch.

    http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/bestoftv/2010/11/09/exp.nr.mystery.launch.cnn?hpt=C2

    PLEASE STOP POSTING THAT NOTAM. WRONG TIME. WRONG PLACE.

    --
    Sig Battery depleted. Reverting to safe mode.
  38. Swamp Gas by Baldrson · · Score: 2, Funny
    MSNBC reports that "Pentagon says it's baffled, but scientists suggest it's just a jetliner with spectacular contrail".

    Who are these so-called "scientists"?

    As any reputable scientist can see it is obviously swamp gas.

  39. I Know The Real Reason by The+Wild+Norseman · · Score: 2, Funny

    It was actually a successful launch of the first intercontinental stealth missile put out by Obsidian/Bethesda. Now all they have to do is sit back and let the modding community come up with the working stealth portion of the missile. China, however, will probably wait for the Intercontinental Stealth Missile: Missile of the Year to come out first.

    --
    "A government is a body of people usually -- notably -- ungoverned." -Shepherd Book
  40. Indochina vs. Indonesia by billstewart · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I had a friend whose father was in the, ummm, Foreign Service during the 1960s, and whose brothers flew airplanes for Air America. Her father requested to be posted to Indochina, and they did in fact post him to Indonesia by mistake. (To cut them a bit of slack, there was Anti-Communist paranoia about both places, but it was basically a screwup.) It wasn't all bad for her, since she did meet her future husband there.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  41. foreign subs free to sail near calif. coast by SethJohnson · · Score: 3, Insightful

    A 'hostile' sub 35 miles away from US Coast wouldn't be met with a slap on the knee and a response of "you totally got us!". It would be destroyed with impunity. Subs are expensive, you don't risk losing them on a mission that amounts to showing off.

    I'm not so certain that maritime law would allow the US to respond with violence for firing a missile from outside US territorial waters and the trajectory of the weapon never crosses US water or soil. According to wikipedia, foreign nuclear subs are even allowed passage within US territorial waters and are not "destroyed with impunity" on sight. In this case, however, the missile was launched from 35 nautical miles offshore, which would put it in international waters.

    From Wikipedia:

    The territorial sea is regarded as the sovereign territory of the state, although foreign ships (both military and civilian) are allowed innocent passage through it; this sovereignty also extends to the airspace over and seabed below.

    I suspect this was the act of a foreign entity demonstrating a newly-developed capability to the United States. If the submarine doesn't identify its country of origin, then the US would be allowed to destroy it with impunity in international waters.

    I also suspect the US knows exactly who did this and knew prior to the incident and was able to discretely provide advance warning to the other superpowers. There are probably a mixture of reasons the US is playing dumb on the identity of the launcher.

    • As soon as an American official would say who it is, then the method used to secure the information will be revealed to the perpetrators and that intelligence source will be silenced.
    • The US would rather the perpetrator step up and claim credit. It plays better on the world stage than unsubstantiated accusations leading to military action. Think WMD's in Iraq.
    • The act was meant to intimidate. The response the US is taking is refusing to play the game.

    Seth

    1. Re:foreign subs free to sail near calif. coast by KarrdeSW · · Score: 5, Informative

      1) The US has not ratified UNCOLS, it does not care what is considered international waters.

      2) Even if the US has ratified it, military would be allowed "innocent passage" subject to local regulations. Launching an unannounced missile is neither innocent nor regulated.

      3) The Channel Islands are not international waters, they are archipelagic waters. The location of this thing was even pinpointed by a damn news station, it's right next to Santa Barabara Island. Well within US territory.

      4) The trajectory of a weapon is irrelevant. Are you perfectly fine with someone sneaking up behind you and firing a gun in the opposite direction? The trajectory never crossed you, therefore a crazy man with a gun is not a threat? Bull

      5) If this was an unannounced demonstration by another country, there is no international convention that would prevent the US from destroying or attempting to capture the ship.

      6) If this was an announced demonstration then the ship would have been refused passage due to its non-innocent nature, meaning there is still no international convention keeping it from being destroyed.

      7) The premise of this being a demonstration is that it was meant to demonstrate the ability to evade detection (we already know people can hit us with missiles, who would bother to demonstrate that?). That is antithetical to actually launching a missile, which immediately reveals your location. Also, if you REALLY wanted to demonstrate your sneakiness by launching a missile, why use a big expensive rocket? Send up something short-range, cheap, and shiny. The message is the same.

      It's a US Missile (or at least US affiliated, either private or an allied country) and the agency which launched it has not been revealed yet, I don't see any other feasible option.

  42. Its jet contrails by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Reference please the authorities on things like this: it-aint-no-thing

  43. Re:plane not miss by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    it was not a missile.
    http://uncinus.wordpress.com/2010/11/09/4/#more-440
    it was a plane.

  44. Re:Has everyone by Dthief · · Score: 2, Interesting
    http://uncinus.wordpress.com/2010/11/09/4/#more-4

    ya, this guy seems to have other good arguments against it....most noticeably the only people reporting it were all in one specific location (where trick of the eye made it look like a vertical rise), whereas people along other parts of the coast saw a more horizontal trail

    --
    www.RacquetUp.org - Helping Detroit Youth
  45. Whole lot of sea-lawyering going on here by sean.peters · · Score: 5, Informative

    Former naval officer here. I think it's dubious that the water in the vicinity of the Channel Islands constitutes "archipelagic waters" for purposes of the law - I think the islands are too far apart - but you'd need a JAG to help you with that question. However, each of the Channel Islands, as part of the US, are entitled to its own 12 mile band of "territorial waters", which are also sovereign US territory, so if the launch took place within that zone, yeah, you're talking act of war there.

    Also: while the US hasn't formally ratified the Law of the Sea Treaty (aka the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea - UNCLOS), it has signed it and every administration since then (including Ronald Reagan) have treated it as "customary international law" and have considered us to be bound by it. I can promise you through many years of my own at-sea experience that the USN thinks the UNCLOS is the law.

    Finally: you did hit upon something important in your first paragraph. The law notwithstanding, if someone else's submarine really did do this, sure, we'd sink it. The reason is not that it's legal but that we could get away with it - when a submarine sinks, it's really hard to prove what happened, and being as how this took place right off LA we could certainly prevent China (or whoever) from investigating.

    Bottom line: no way this was a foreign sub. The whole Navy would be a general quarters so fast it would make your head spin. Mullen, Roughhead, and likely a host of other admirals would be fired. Obama would have flown home from overseas. Etc, etc. This was just the Navy doing the stuff they do, and not wanting to talk about it.

  46. Not the only way by sean.peters · · Score: 2, Informative

    We still have large and impressive operational SOSUS arrays all over the Pacific, and I guarantee you that the Chinese SSBNs are loud enough to be tracked with them. No way they snuck all the way across the Pacific undetected.

    1. Re:Not the only way by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I guarantee you that the Chinese SSBNs are loud enough to be tracked with them

      All the ones that we know about are too loud.

      How many container ships leave China for the port of LA every week? Is SOSUS sensitive enough to distinguish the noise of an SSBN that is following one closely enough?

  47. Dude... by sean.peters · · Score: 2, Informative

    1) We don't even know if this was a sub launched missile. The surface fleet launches missiles all the freaking time, and you couldn't tell the difference from LA.

    2) There are test ranges for all sorts of stuff off the coast of SoCal. Recall that the Navy owns several islands out there that they use for target practice.

    I guarantee that this is a perfectly ordinary test shot that the Navy doesn't want to talk about.

  48. More than kinda by sean.peters · · Score: 2, Informative

    This is military jargon thing. ICBMs, no matter what the acronym stands for, are considered to be land-based missiles. SLBMs are the same thing only launched from submarines (although many early US and current rest-of-world SLBMs have considerably shorter ranges). MRBMs are land based and have ranges about to about 3000km. SRBMs are also land based and have ranges up to about 1000 km.

  49. Re:Life imitates art by CdBee · · Score: 2

    For what its worth the theory about it being a jet contrail seen end-on appearing to be a vertical launch column (easy viewpoint for the helicopter, never seen from the ground) is now starting to convince me

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  50. Re:I can just imagine his commanding officer. by Minwee · · Score: 2, Funny

    "It's my first day!"