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Americans Favor Moratorium On New Nuclear Reactors

An anonymous reader writes "While a drop in public support for nuclear power would be expected after an incident like the Fukushima reactor crisis, the nuclear disaster in Japan has triggered a much stronger response among Americans. When Japan — the nation that President Obama held up as an example of safe nuclear power being used on a large-scale basis — is unable to effectively control its considerable downside, Americans are understandably leery about the same technology being used even more extensively in this nation. And safety concerns about the existing nuclear plants also deserve serious attention."

964 comments

  1. Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    moratorium, until we have at least a 20% wind power and 10% solar power in the energy mix.

    1. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      moratorium, until we have at least a 20% wind power and 10% solar power in the energy mix.

      What? Do you think that a truck rolls up and sets up the ACME Nuclear Power Station and they're rock'in? It takes years for a nuke plant to come on line. In the meantime, the solar and wind and whatever will have to be developed and implemented.

      This just disgusts me. The ignorant public (who can blame them since all their info is from TV and shit websites) will keep nuclear on the sidelines for decades.

    2. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm not against renewables but I fear the US will just do the same as Germany when it came to replace the electricity that would have been provided by nuclear reactors: talks about renewable energy, buy nuclear electrecity from neighbors and burn more coal.

    3. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by durrr · · Score: 1

      In the meantime the gas and coal will be developed and implemented. Going for excess renewables is both energetic and economic suicide.

    4. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by DJRumpy · · Score: 1

      If I understand the process correctly (unlikely), the control rods dampen the reaction and keep things generally under control in the reactor?

      Seems like I recall there was a lot of news a few years ago about safer designs where the control rods themselves are elevated by the power that the plant produces, and if that fails, they they fall into the reactor automatically when power fails. Seems like some designs with natural failover systems like those would be a good place to start, so that safety systems themselves don't in turn rely on power to function at a basic level. You would think gravity fed water for cooling in the event of a failure systems would also be a given.

    5. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Talderas · · Score: 1, Informative

      Yes. That is how current designs function. They use an electromagnetic to hold the control rods up. When the power for the electromagnet is severed the control rods fall into place. Fukushima reactor designed featured control rods that were lifted into the reactor.

      That said, control rods weren't the problem at Fukushima.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    6. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by mosb1000 · · Score: 2

      Why do you think nuclear shouldn't be on the sidelines? As it stands today, it requires tons of extremely toxic substances to be housed inside a super-heated pressure vessel. It seems like a recipe for disaster. There are safer designs that basically can't melt down (like molten salt reactors where the core is already liquid and liquid metal cooled fast reactors where fission essentially stops inside the reactor if it gets too hot) but they seem too expensive to be viable.

    7. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Those would be the Canadian style reactors, which aren't physically capable of melting down. (Well, technically with a lot of outside assistance and deliberate sabotage, you could force one to melt down, but you'd probably die in the process.)

      Unfortunately, our public are just as stupid and uneducated as the American public, and are screaming and pointing at exaggerations of the problems in Japan, and claiming them as proof that all Nuclear everything is bad and going to kill us all, despite any actual facts they might encounter. There are people campaigning to have the Canadian Nuclear plants shut down before "an earthquake causes them to explode just like in Japan", despite:

      1) They're on the freakin' Canadian Shield, the largest, most solid tectonic plate on the planet, and we just don't _GET_ earthquakes here past about a 3.0, and those are not centered here, they're from way the hell off at the edges of the plate, usually causing mudslides in Quebec.
      2) The reactor design is completely different, and, as you mentioned, the control rods are kept in place by the electric power produced - thus, a failure results in immediate safe shutdown.
      3) It wasn't the damn earthquake that broke the reactors. The earthquake didn't damage much at all there, except probably knocking a lot of things off shelves, and giving a few people heart attacks. The damage was when more water than is found in the great lakes got dumped on the reactor buildings and shredded them. Again, our reactors are not anywhere near the ocean, and the great lakes don't have enough water to do that kind of damage, unless you found a way to take the entirety of Lake Erie, and dump it all on the plant at once.

      The worst part? People screaming about how dangerous nuclear reactors are, are actually the reason they're still as dangerous as they are. They lobby politicians to make new laws banning research into improving the reactors, and then we're stuck with 1970s technology producing tonnes of toxic waste, because an "environmentalist" screamed "WON'T SOMEONE PLEASE THINK OF THE CHILDREN!" and got improvements banned/restricted. 'cause nothing says "I'm thinking of the children" quite as well as sticking them with a massive pile of radioactive waste that didn't need to be there, if it hadn't been for some moronic busybody declaring that things were bad.

    8. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by SharpFang · · Score: 4, Informative

      Actually, if not a THICK layer of red tape, SSTAR and HPM type reactors could be deployed exactly like that.

      --
      45 5F E1 04 22 CA 29 C4 93 3F 95 05 2B 79 2A B2
    9. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by hairyfeet · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'd say it is the fault of the nuclear industry for failing to educate the masses that there are choices now besides the big ass clunky reactors like Japan has.

      With the small Thorium reactors you can have a reactor in a shipping crate, just bury it when you are finished with it and which would power a decent medium sized city easily and you can simply add more as needed. With the smaller size comes much less risk and they would be much easier to harden to survive even the kind of unpredictable catastrophes like struck Japan, and they also need to be showing how well our current reactors are doing even though most are 40+ years old.

      So if you want someone to blame blame the nuclear industry, because if they were educating the masses on their options instead of singing "oh poor me" or completely ignoring the public they might have a more favorable outlook.

      Also having a CEO that isn't a greedy pussy and bragged about having his family home in sight of the reactor might do wonders, as it never ceases to amaze me how many CEOs talk about how nice their plants are and then live as far away from them as possible. Putting their asses with their mouths are certainly wouldn't hurt their image none.

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    10. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by tmosley · · Score: 2

      You say that as if they haven't already.

      This is the dumbest thing I have ever heard. There hasn't been a new nuclear installation in this country in more than 30 years, to my knowledge.

      What should be banned is light water reactors. Those were NEVER a good idea for non-ship based reactors. Instead, we should be building hundreds of pebble bed reactors, whose safety systems neither have nor require moving parts, and can in fact be safely run for decades with no human intervention. Have a few breeder reactors to produce large amounts of power, but far away from population centers, and VERY CAREFULLY, to get new fuel, even.

    11. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In the meantime the coal reactors will keep on pumping more radiation into the air than a nuclear station ever would. And mercury, etc.

      --
      No sig today...
    12. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 2

      It has nothing to do about educating the masses. It has to do with the Nuclear Industry building reactors on the cheap. If the industry did not build reactors on the cheap we would not have this discussion.

      Of course there is still the problem of what to do with the nuclear waste.

    13. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The thing that mostly makes them expensive is the ten years of approval process and the five years of meetings you have to have with the NIMBYs to eventually get to build one.

      The only way to convince investors to sign up for all that crap is to promise them a massive return on their money, ie. the debt repayment ends up costing you an order of magnitude more than the sum of the materials/labor needed to actually build it. See Economics of Nuclear Power Plants

      Still, you could be supplying the entire country with cheap energy for less than the cost of the banking bailout. Imagine what that could do for the economy...(as opposed to giving the bankers a taste for free money which will just make them do it all over again).

      --
      No sig today...
    14. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Joce640k · · Score: 0

      Reactors are built in nasty, ugly places, far from civilisation. CEOs don't want to live there ... and you're surprised?

      The contrary would be to build reactors in nice places near lots of people. You think that's going to happen?

      --
      No sig today...
    15. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by RulerOf · · Score: 2

      If I understand the process correctly (unlikely), the control rods dampen the reaction and keep things generally under control in the reactor?

      They do, and at Fukushima, they did.

      The problem at Fukushima wasn't with the reactor core. The problem was with the spent fuel. Nuclear fuel gives off the majority of its heat at the moment of the reaction, but once it's spent, neutron emissions from the fuel continue to react at a very slow rate for several days after the initial "firing" of the fuel; about 6 or 7 percent thereof. It's *that* heat that was a problem at Fukushima.

      This video provides a good explanation.

      --
      Boot Windows, Linux, and ESX over the network for free.
    16. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by jimicus · · Score: 3, Informative

      All joking aside, I keep hearing about "pebble bed reactors" as being the Power thats Going to Save the World.

      But it's my understanding (correct me if I'm wrong) that nobody on the planet has yet succeeded in building one that's actually worked, let alone a commercially successful one.

    17. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by gsslay · · Score: 1

      Yeah, nasty, ugly places like Dounreay in Caithness. Horrid place.

    18. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by WaywardGeek · · Score: 1

      And don't forget pebble bed reactors, which are helium cooled, and which don't melt down when all power is lost. However, all these alternatives have so far proven too costly and/or to dangerous. Molten salt reactors and metal cooled fast reactors have caught fire in the past, and none has ever succeeded in operating through it's design lifetime. Newer versions of the traditional US reactor is able to self-cool for a long period of time through convection if all power is lost. It looks a lot better than our current systems.

      I'm more concerned about the storage problem. The one thing I learned from the accident in Japan is that our storage pools require active cooling. Without it, they can boil away all the water, catch fire, and spew radiation into the air. We really need that Yucca Mountain waste storage solution. Having a hundred pools around the nation run by companies that will not be held accountable for any nuclear accident is incredibly stupid.

      In the meantime, I think we should fund more test reactors of the varieties you mentioned, to see if we can come up with a safer, cheaper solution.

      --
      Celebrate failure, and then learn from it - Nolan Bushnell
    19. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by petermgreen · · Score: 1

      The one thing I learned from the accident in Japan is that our storage pools require active cooling

      The reason those pools have such a heat problem is because they are storing fuel rods that were only recently removed from the reactor and are still very "hot" (that is undergoing a LOT of decay events which translates to lots of radiation and lots of heat). In that state they are considered too dangerous to move very far so they are kept close to the reactor until they cool off a bit (that is the elements with short half lives decay).

      I agree the pools should have a big buffer of water so they can go without active cooling for a while but it's a totally seperate problem to the long term waste problem that yucca mountain aims to solve.

      --
      note: i'm known as plugwash most places but i screwd up registering that here somehow in the past and now can't register
    20. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1
      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    21. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Nexus7 · · Score: 1

      The NIMBYs are going "I told you so" around Tokyo right about now.

      The reason nuke power should go through a lengthy approval process is (well, aside from Fukushima) that the taxpayer insures them, and major costs are externalized. For example, disposal of fuel, security of the plant, evacuations in case of small or large disasters, etc.

      Nukes are the pinnacle of "socialize the costs, privatize the profits".

    22. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by shadowfaxcrx · · Score: 1

      I don't think you can really be so angry with the anti-nuclear crowd. It's true that nuclear can be safe, as long as the plant builders/operators don't cut corners, plan appropriately for accidents, and follow the safety regs. The trouble is that those three conditions rely on people, and any time you start relying on people you risk getting hit with people who are crooks or who just don't give a damn.

      3 Mile Island was caused by bad design and failure to follow procedure. Chernobyl was too. And the latest problem from Japan was caused by refusal to acknowledge that anything like a big earthquake/tsunami could happen. The latest reports say the plant was designed assuming a tsunami resulting from an 8.6 earthquake, despite ample evidence that larger quakes and tsunamis have happened over the years. When you're talking about something like nuclear, you over-design the hell out of it or you shouldn't do it at all.

      I'll be all for nuclear as soon as someone can figure out how to ensure that enough checks are in place so that dumb/lazy/cheap people won't compromise its safety.

      --
      "I disagree with you" does not equal "flamebait."
    23. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by SecurityGuy · · Score: 2

      Because it's safer than what we do now.

      http://www-958.ibm.com/software/data/cognos/manyeyes/visualizations/2e5d4dcc4fb511e0ae0c000255111976/comments/2e70ae944fb511e0ae0c000255111976

      We favor solutions that spew millions of tons of crap in the air that indirectly kills a lot of people all over the world, or deep underground, over solutions that very rarely spew a little crap in the air and kill a small number of people right nearby. We prefer this only because one is dramatic.

      Personally, given that we need to generate TWhs of electricity, I'd rather lose 0.04 lives than 161. I have little doubt the public will continue to behave like frightened sheep. Every single person who engages in this hand-wringing over nuclear's risks while ignoring those of every other method of power generation is responsible.

    24. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      Some of the safer designs are already here.

      The ABWR's inside-the-turbine-building 20MW gas turbine backup generator would have prevented the extended station blackout that caused the problems at Fukushima.
      The ESBWR (under regulator review) would not need any backup power - the most it would have required is a plain old fire truck after 72 hours to refill the isolation condenser pools. (Note: These pools are not directly in contact with any nuclear materials, so can safely boil.)

      The Westinghouse AP1000 (under construction in numerous locations) can suffer a line break loss of coolant within the containment building and not require any operator intervention whatsoever for 72 hours. At that point the main thing required would be to refill a water tank (again, one that is not in contact with any radioactive materials.)

      You really have to put Fukushima into perspective - in a matter of hours, the earthquake and tsunami killed at least ten thousand people - and the confirmed death toll is rising. It was the fifth strongest earthquake in recorded history and the strongest in Japan's - the reactors all survived that and shut down as designed. The tsunami was significantly stronger than anything seen before in that part of Japan. The seawalls were around 12 meters high (highest tsunami there previously was something like 8 meters), but this tsunami was 13-14 meters and swamped the backup diesels.

      The fact that first-generation reactors (one of which was originally scheduled for decommissioning this month but got service life extended) with the oldest containment designs in service held up as well as they did in this worst-case scenario says a great deal about the paranoia of nuclear safety system designers. Despite the fact that the original designs were impressive, they have been consistently paranoid and keep on engineering for scenarios that could possibly happen but have never yet happened - hence the improved backups in ABWR and the eliminated need for them in ESBWR/AP1000.

      Wind and solar aren't ready yet - to make them suitable for baseload generation we need massive improvements in energy storage technology which we don't have. If we deploy wind and solar heavily, we'll need a lot of peaking plants to fill in the gaps. Peaking plants are usually gas-fired (they can change power output the fastest), and in just the past five years, gas drilling has been responsible for more groundwater contamination and illness than the entire history of nuclear power outside of the Soviet Union.

      Even if we get coal-fired peaking plants to fill in the holes - those just spew out toxic pollution (including radioactive substances!) on a regular basis. Hell, in China they're looking into using coal plant ash as a source for nuclear fuel, the uranium content is that high.

      Hydro - we're tapped out, almost any possible place where we'd build a dam already has one built.. Oh, and just one hydro incident (Banqiao Dam) killed more people than the entire history of nuclear power, INCLUDING Soviet nuclear power which accounts for the majority of nuclear illnesses/deaths.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    25. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by oiron · · Score: 1

      Worse... The one they did build ended up releasing a good helping of Cs 137 and Sr 90 into the local area.

    26. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      The coal reactors solved their "nuclear waste" problem by slowly releasing it into the air. Nobody seems to be in a panic over that, can't nuclear power stations do the same?

      Or ... maybe we could build some of those new-fangled breeder reactors which gobble up their own waste.

      --
      No sig today...
    27. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      Fast reactors can eliminate the need for long-term storage of high-level radioactive waste (and by long-term I mean thousands of years, you'll still have to hold fission products for a hundred years or so before they become safe). You don't have to store spent fuel in water while you wait for it too cool, you could use an entirely passive air cooled system to house them, but it is cheaper put them in water with active cooling.

      There are no commercial LMCFBRs that have operated without accidents, but those have all been tube type reactors. EBR II was a pool-type reactor that operated without incident for 30 years.

      In April 1986, two special tests were performed on the EBR-II, in which the main primary cooling pumps were shut off with the reactor at full power (62.5 megawatts, thermal). By not allowing the normal shutdown systems to interfere, the reactor power dropped to near zero within about 300 seconds. No damage to the fuel or the reactor resulted. This test demonstrated that even with a loss of all electrical power and the capability to shut down the reactor using the normal systems, the reactor will simply shut down without danger or damage. The same day, this demonstration was followed by another important test. With the reactor again at full power, flow in the secondary cooling system was stopped. This test caused the temperature to increase, since there was nowhere for the reactor heat to go. As the primary (reactor) cooling system became hotter, the fuel, sodium coolant, and structure expanded, and the reactor shut down. This test showed that it will shut down using inherent features such as thermal expansion, even if the ability to remove heat from the primary cooling system is lost.

      But they never made a commercial scale version of this type of plant because it didn't seem like it would be commercially viable. Part of that is because it was part of the larger IFR concept, and fuel reprocessing is expensive.

    28. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I think that anyone that believes that Nuclear Power is a viable solution should backup their religion and go help out in Japan. That'll show all those ignorant fools how wrong they are. My personal belief is that there's cargo container loads full of Helium-3 on the surface of the moon, and fusion plants don't have radiation poisoning issues, but Helium-3 issues. I just don't know how to convince this planet that picking H3-dirt off the ground on the moon and shoving it into a fusion generator makes more sense than choking this planet's biosphere.

    29. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by oiron · · Score: 1

      What caused the problem at Fukushima was really a loss of coolant. The earthquake and tsunami merely caused the loss of coolant.

      Can you really claim that it's impossible for the Canadian reactors to not have a loss of coolant? Also, in an emergency, a CANDU, which uses heavy water, can't be cooled and moderated using sea water like in Fukushima.

      Let's face it; nuclear power is inherently dangerous. The question is, whether the danger outweights the benefits. Does it? I really don't know, and after this one, I'm veering more towards "no".

    30. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      Acid Rain is also a by-product of Coal Energy solutions.

    31. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Going for excess renewables is both energetic and economic suicide.

      Says the guy with an engineering degree and a MBA?

      It might be an economic disaster for the power companies, but not for the economy. Cheap energy is good for the economy, you know ... Renewable is med and long term much much much cheaper than anything we do and have right now.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    32. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by skids · · Score: 1

      The thing that mostly makes them expensive is the ten years of approval process and the five years of meetings you have to have with the NIMBYs to eventually get to build one.

      Yes, let's abolish thorough approval processes for nuclear reactors! Because the fact that they manage to screw them up WITH regulation bodes so well for how they will perform WITHOUT it.

      Personally I'm getting sick of the knee-jerk blame-the-regulators talk. It is so tiresome and I wish we could move beyond it.

    33. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by somersault · · Score: 1

      Hah. Actually, I would consider Caithness "nasty"/poor, and I'd even agree with ugly when compared to the scenery in the rest of Scotland. On the west coast you get a few nice mountains with snow, rocky outcrops and such, but here on the the east coast it's relatively flat and boring.

      Caithness is definitely as far from civilisation as you can get in the UK while still being on the mainland.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    34. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In an emergency, a CANDU, which uses heavy water, shuts itself the hell down. That's the whole "lose power, and the control rods drop into place, shutting the whole thing off. Lose coolant, and the control rods drop into place, shutting the whole thing off." thing. Ut;s the central design of the reactors - that they will shut themselves off if anything goes wrong. When they shut themselves off, the nuclear fuel is blocked from reacting by the control rods, and thus does not heat up, and does not need the coolant it lost. You can't make the reactor _run_ without that coolant and power to keep the rods up, but it won't meltdown, because without power and coolant, the rods drop and stop that from happening.

      The only way to have a meltdown in a CANDU is to deliberately sabotage it, by somehow blocking the rods from dropping. People would notice you trying to crawl into the reactor, and even if the attempt to get in there to monkey with the rods didn't kill you, as soon as you tried to open it up, the rods would drop and shut the whole thing off. (Which would contribute to people noticing you.)

    35. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Only if there is no scrubber at the power plant. Modern coal power plants are quite clean.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    36. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      While I agree with parent post's apparent position that nuclear power is safe, it is quite obvious to anyone who takes an objective look at the nuclear power industry as a whole that in the last 50 years, there has been no significant improvement in the highly risky ways that nuclear post-production material is handled.

      Don't talk to me about how safe nuclear power is; I agree with that. Talk to me about shovel ready plans to build the transportation, storage, and transmogrification infrastructure needed to handle the spent fuel and worn out radioactive structures.

      Also, try to wrap your head around the fact that the Japanese nuclear plant survived both the quake and the tsunami. What that facility did not survive was its own shutdown. If just one of the reactors could have been kept operational, there would have been power on site for keeping all the cooling pumps going.

      What a stupid, stupid design.

      --
      Will
    37. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Actually, a truck could roll up and drop a nuclear power station.
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toshiba_4S

      The Toshiba 4S is a small nuclear reactor in a box. Self contained.
      Perhaps the old models of big nuclear reactors took years to develop, but the new small ones roll off the factory assembly line and can be trucked into place.
      It seem that newer Nuclear reactors could be brought up to speed rather quickly. The main issues seem to be insurance related.

      Cringely had an excellent blurb about them.
      http://www.cringely.com/2011/03/is-anything-nuclear-ever-really-super-safe-small-and-simple/

      The big sticking point with nuclear is always safety. And every disaster reminds us of just how unsafe nuclear can be. A 40 mile diameter section where people can't live in Japan is a major chunk of real estate. If this happened near any of our major cities it would cause significant problems.

      Renewables could be brought up to date in the matter of a decade with a concerted effort. The right tax incentives could retrofit most every building in America with solar.

      As to the ignorance of the public including myself, I want NO reactor anywhere near where I live simply because I like to live here and want my kids and grandkids to be able to live here safely.

      This fear of nuclear contamination is not because of TV and shit websites since my understanding of nuclear issues comes mostly from magazine pieces from the last several decades and predates the internet.

      Nuclear power is not "safe".... the best that can be said is that it is only "safe for now" and even then "sometimes safe". There are plenty of instances of problems with reactors and nuclear contamination of soil and water around them. No reactor has proven totally "safe" since the entire cycle of the reactors and their byproducts is hundreds or thousands of years down the road. What will happen after the reactors are taken offline and have to sit for many hundreds of years with radioactive materials in holding tanks or whatever seems to me the jury is still out as to whether this will remain "safe". I don't think humans have a particularly great track record maintaining things for the longer term since we think in relatively short term ways.

      So I don't think that concerns by people about nuclear are unwarranted nor ignorant. Ignorance is actually from those who ignore nuclear dangers and say we should be flinging up nuclear plants everywhere. There isn't even enough nuclear substrate to power our planet over the long term. It is still a finite resource, so at best it is only a band-aid solution so we can keep doing what we are doing now.

      Just as the drill baby drill crowd thinks we can magically produce increasing amounts of oil by drilling more when we have already passed the peak oil on our planet. Drilling more and using more will just accelerate the decline in the amount of oil we have long term and not address our more fundamental energy requirements. Not to mention it just runs us out of our worlds precious readily available industrial hydrocarbon pool by lighting them up to make us move. Pretty lame use of this finite resource in my estimation.

      Certainly, nuclear plays a role, but we must be wise in our application of its use and realize that reducing the power we need is a better solution for the long term viability of our civilization. Our long term energy needs will not be met by coal, oil, or nuclear power. So I think it is pretty silly and greedy to say that our generation is more meritorious of these resources in our planetary bank than humans several generations from now. It only show how short sighted and self absorbed we are with our own needs.

      I am not opposed to nuclear per se, but I don't think being cavalier about it is what a smart race of entities would do. I guess we will see if we are smart entities or are the type of entities which crap in our own food dish.

    38. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      You scare me.

      You threw in lots of disclaimers, like this whopper: "outside the Soviet Union". Sure, if we exclude every accident that ever happened in the largest nation in the world, which includes Chernobyl, nuclear power looks much safer. Anything would look much safer if you did that! And what's this about "oldest containment designs" holding up better than expected? Uh, why were we still using those designs? We have a frightening proclivity for continuing to run plants well after they should have been decommissioned, as you indicate with this nice little phrase: "originally scheduled for decommissioning this month but got service life extended". Why? Nuclear plants don't age well.

      the original designs were impressive

      Obviously, they weren't impressive enough. Nor were the operators paranoid enough.

      Wind and solar aren't ready? We need massive improvements in energy storage to make them usable? We're using wind and solar right now! What's needed is transmission more than storage. You talk as if these are problems are worse than the problems with nuclear, coal, and gas. You mention peaking as if that's a problem with this kind of power. To the contrary, they are excellent solutions. Solar is particularly good for peaking.

      Oh, and just one hydro incident (Banqiao Dam) killed more people than the entire history of nuclear power

      You can't compare the dangers of nuclear power on such a simplistic basis. I'm sure people moved right back in after the dam burst. The land was not contaminated in such a way as to be unsafe for centuries. Any comparison that does not account for that is not a good comparison.

      Yes, fracking has been done in a highly irresponsible manner. The idiots have used toxic waste as their "fracking fluid", a term expressly designed to cover that up. Is that a reason to use more nuclear power? Not hardly! If they'd do that with fracking, how do you suppose they would operate a nuclear power plant? An inspection found that many of these backup diesel generators were not in working order, and that records concerning them had been falsified. That's just one example of the routine corner cutting that goes on even in nuclear power plants. Some people are far too quick to do a 180 on the paranoia and take crazy risks. The only incentive needed to bring out such behavior is money.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    39. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Yep. And the other one suffered pebble breakages, control rod deformations and radioactive dust forming from the pebbles.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    40. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Can you really claim that it's impossible for the Canadian reactors to not have a loss of coolant?

      Actually, there have been incidents where Canadian reactors have had loss of coolant. they shut themselves down, and wouldn't start back up again until they were fixed. Also, people got fired, because dammit Tritium is hella expensive, and we can't afford to go wasting it by letting it out into the ground water, when the hospitals are all having shortages. (Yes, we cool our nuclear reactors with an expensive medical resource that is in limited supply... it's still safer and easier to clean up than having leaks that spray liquid sodium or potassium around the building.)

      Also, the Fukushima plant could _not_ be cooled and moderated using sea water - using sea water was basically a last ditch effort to hopefully cool things off while people evacuated, and an admission that "this reactor is dead and never going to be started up again". The moment they sprayed salt water in there, they effectively destroyed the reactor, and exactly the same thing would happen to any other water (even heavy water) cooled reactor. Most of the Canadian reactors are near large supplies of fresh water, and actually use that water for secondary heat transfer to remove it from the facility. (Which results in the local rivers not freezing over in the winter, a completely separate issue with environmental effects that are still being argued over whether they're good or bad.)

    41. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by mikael · · Score: 1

      If the storage pools are giving off heat and need active cooling, that is energy being wasted and could be used somehow - surely it would be possible to have a mini-turbine + dynamo + condenser that converts that heat into a self-cooling system?

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    42. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by algaeman · · Score: 1

      Clean enough that you would want one exhausting into your backyard??

    43. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Ferzerp · · Score: 1

      Actually, I think the earthquake itself had more to do with it than the refusal to anticipate it.

    44. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      It appears that the Japanese nuclear facilities did withstand the quake and the tsunami intact.

      What they did not survive was their own safety shutdown procedures, since as soon as they were all taken off line, there was no longer sufficient electric power to operate the cooling pumps.

      A 6.0 quake without a tsunami would have also destroyed these reactors if it had taken out the power transmission lines. In retrospect, the design failure was in the shutdown procedure, that was designed around an all too simple model of what could possibly go wrong.

      I don't have an adequate car analogy for this. But I can offer a Boy Scout analogy: As most Boy Scouts know, dynamite will burn and not explode in a fire. But a prudent Boy Scout will not build his camp fire with sticks of dynamite. The risks of an uncontrolled positive feedback acceleration are too great.

      --
      Will
    45. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by ThePiMan2003 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The NIMBYs are going "I told you so" around Tokyo right about now.

      Only because they are idiots. So far no one has died from radiation, and it looks like no one will. Instead we have 11000 confirmed dead and another 17000 missing from the disaster, but because people are idiots they only talk about the damn reactors. We are going to have more deaths this summer from rolling blackouts in a heat wave, then will happen because of these reactors.

    46. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nukes don't make sense financially at all

      http://ipsnews.net/news.asp?idnews=50308

    47. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Myrv · · Score: 2

      It's even safer than that. The primary purpose of heavy water in a CANDU reactor is not to cool, but to act as a neutron moderator (it slows the neutrons down). Without this moderator the reaction stops (CANDU reactors do not use enriched uranium so neutron moderation is required to keep the chain reaction going). In addition to control rods CANDU reactor support either moderator poisoning (they inject chemicals into the moderator tank that absorb neutrons bringing the reaction to an end) or a moderator dump (they actually dump the heavy water from the moderator tank). This coupled with the non-enriched uranium just makes them plain safer. It's a shame they didn't sell more of them.

    48. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Nethemas+the+Great · · Score: 1

      No, we need a moratorium on "new" reactors so that we can keep operating the 40+ year old versions that while hold up well in 8.9+ earthquakes tend to malfunction when someone throws an ocean sized bucket of water on them. Yes those 1960's engineers were good and all, got us to the moon, gave us color television, but seriously people... If we can't replace them with better designs what the **** do you expect?

      --
      Two of my imaginary friends reproduced once ... with negative results.
    49. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know the control rods in fukushima correctly inserted themselves in the reactor and blocked the chain reaction. Problem is, even after the reactor shuts down, it still produces heat. There is no chain reaction but the natural decays of products of the fissile reaction is enough to melt the core if there is no coolant. It's happening now in Fukushima.

    50. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Myrv · · Score: 2

      Also, in an emergency, a CANDU, which uses heavy water, can't be cooled and moderated using sea water like in Fukushima

      Nonsense, the heavy water actually promotes the reaction (it's a neutron moderator). Getting rid of it and cooling with normal fresh or sea water would be doable and simply serve the double role of cooling AND stopping the chain reaction (by virtue of not being heavy water).

    51. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      I would not want any power plant in my proximity, making your point moot.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    52. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      Off point somewhat, but this will come back on topic at the bottom:

      When the liquid sodium cooled Fermi reactor near Detroit, MI, failed in 1966, the contaminated and radioactive sodium was temporarily stored in containers on a dock in Lake Eerie. It was kept there for many years. The last I heard, there was concern that the contaminants were from the partial meltdown and included long lived radioactive isotopes. This was a fast breeder reactor.

      Of course everyone involved had taken high school chemistry and knew what would happen if a 55 gallon drum of metallic sodium cracked and fell into the bay.

      My question is what ever happened to that sodium? Did someone figure out a way to safely spirit it off to a dry salt cave? Or is it still on that dock?

      My basic point is that arguing about the safety of nuclear power plants is not where today's discussions should be going. What we need to consider is arguments for and against the various ways of handling post-production byproducts of nuclear power. And we should not be thinking about building more plants until there are shovel ready plans on the table for dealing with the transportation, storage, and final transmogrification of these byproducts.

      --
      Will
    53. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      Especially since Fujushima is actually a success story. Yes, the radiation levels in the plant itself and surrounding water table are high, but this isn't a full meltdown china syndrome like Chernobyl was by any means. Evacuation was orderly, and while there are some serious problems with the plant itself, it survived a 9.0 R Earthquake with primary containment intact. THAT is a testament to 1960s GE Design if there ever was one. And modern plants are much safer, we're almost at the point where a truck CAN roll up and set up a 1MW Acme Nuclear Power Station, completely safely.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    54. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 1

      "As it stands today, it requires tons of extremely toxic substances to be housed inside a super-heated pressure vessel. "

      That has not been true since 1977. Low pressure nuclear reactors have been available for several years now.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    55. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dave420 · · Score: 1

      Wasn't it the tsunami, about twice the size the facilities were designed for, which caused the problem? It swamped the backup generators causing the cores to overheat.

    56. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Marxist+Hacker+42 · · Score: 2

      "I don't think you can really be so angry with the anti-nuclear crowd."

      But I can consider them to be a bunch of idiots whose knowledge on the state of the science is stuck in 1977 with GE LWRs like Fujushima.

      --
      SJW: a person who perceives an injustice, and while correcting it, commits a greater injustice.
    57. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      And yet Yucca Mountain has been designed to hold only a fraction of the long term waste that already exists in the USA, and is mostly stored in the ever-expanding temporary cooling ponds at the nuclear plants.

      Yucca Mountain is a kind of security theater. It certainly is no solution. The sorry truth is that no one yet has a proven solution (although France and China may be close).

      The USA can do nuclear power safely. But the USA hasn't got the beginnings of a clue about how to handle the byproducts in a safe way.

      --
      Will
    58. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by wastedlife · · Score: 1

      That is why we need fast breeder reactors. These use far less fuel and have much less waste. We do need to find a better cooling solution, I agree there.

      --
      Said, "It's just like dice but it's got more sides And it tells me who lives and who dies"
    59. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Renewable is med and long term much much much cheaper than anything we do and have right now.

      Citation required. One with the numbers and sources.

      To get the ball rolling he is one that is against this assertion. Sustainable Energy -- without the hot air [PDF warning] or the main website and i think the book in html.

      Says the guy with an engineering degree and a MBA?

      So you have *at least* these qualification then? Since you have made a statement in the same vein, which according to the book of angel'o'sphere is a minimum requirement for making such a statement.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    60. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      So, you suggest that we continue to use a system that is less safe because nuclear is not 100% safe. That doesn't make a ton of sense.

      Also, the use of the term "peak oil" is a sign of being conned by media. "Peak oil" is a ridiculous concept. The amount of oil that exists simply cannot be determined based on the amount that we pump.

    61. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Traveling wave, or previously breed and burn reactors can save you the expensive reprocessing step.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    62. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      The only two pebble bed reactors that have been tried did *not* do well at all with respect to safety (or any other metric for that matter). They are not the fail safe design for nuclear power that you seem to think they are.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    63. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Citation required. One with the numbers and sources.

      No, you are mistaken there is no citation required.
      A plant that runs on noting than wind or sun costs NOTHING to sustain ... only ordinary maintenance, like any other plant (on a much lower level).

      WTF get a damn education.

      And if you want citations than google your self. It is not my fault that common sense seems not to be taught in schools in our days.

      I worked in the energy industries like 15 years, I don't need an MBA to debunk your "economical unfeasible" statement.

      My point was, that my parent (was that you?) made a complete nonsense statement without any backing ... so I asked if he has a degree ...

      And you make this an "according to angel'o'spheres book" hate speech, rofl ...

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    64. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Rhys · · Score: 1

      Oh that's total BS, we already have the solution. Its just the rest of the world gets their panties in a twist when we change "waste" into "future-fuel" and toss it in a breeder and make plutonium.

      --
      Slashdot Patriotism: We Support our Dupes!
    65. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yes, let's abolish thorough approval processes for nuclear reactors! Because the fact that they manage to screw them up WITH regulation bodes so well for how they will perform WITHOUT it.

      Let's keep in mind that "thorough approval processes" are a tool for preventing construction of nuclear reactors and other things that the people who have control over the "thorough approval process" don't want. Second, approval is tangential to regulation. Regulation isn't going to change because you moved it around a few miles.

    66. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      You threw in lots of disclaimers, like this whopper: "outside the Soviet Union". Sure, if we exclude every accident that ever happened in the largest nation in the world, which includes Chernobyl, nuclear power looks much safer.

      The USSR was a notorious gambler when it came to nuclear power. Japan is outside the former USSR. End of story.

      And what's this about "oldest containment designs" holding up better than expected? Uh, why were we still using those designs? We have a frightening proclivity for continuing to run plants well after they should have been decommissioned, as you indicate with this nice little phrase: "originally scheduled for decommissioning this month but got service life extended". Why? Nuclear plants don't age well.

      Because it's a remarkable pain to develop and deploy new reactor designs. Far less trouble to keep running less safe designs than upgrade to safer designs.

    67. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1
      The wind turbines don't turn for long if you don't maintain them, I would think an engineer would know that. But hey you clearly don't want any data or facts to get in the way of your truthiness.

      My point was, that I made a complete nonsense statement without any backing ...

      fixed that for you.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    68. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      I think that anyone that believes that Nuclear Power is a viable solution should backup their religion and go help out in Japan. That'll show all those ignorant fools how wrong they are.

      The nuclear accident didn't cause the magnitude 9 quake. Rather it was the other way around.

      I just don't know how to convince this planet that picking H3-dirt off the ground on the moon and shoving it into a fusion generator makes more sense than choking this planet's biosphere.

      He3 concentrations are around 10-100 parts per billion in the near surface of lunar regolith. No way that shoveling lunar dirt into a fusion reactor would work. And you still need a commercially viable fusion reactor. Fission power works now.

    69. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by compro01 · · Score: 1

      Peak oil is a perfectly reasonable concept, they're just using a poor explanation of it. The amount of oil that exists is not relevant. Peak oil refers the amount of oil that can be practically (cheaply/quickly/easily) extracted, and that is what reaches a peak. Even if you had an infinite supply of oil somewhere, that doesn't matter if you can only extract a few thousand barrels a day or it costs more to extract it than you can sell it for.

      Example : The Athabasca oil sands up here in Canada. almost 2 trillion barrels of oil, more than most of the rest of the world combined, and enough to sustain current oil usage worldwide (83 million barrels/day) for the next 50 years. Less than 1/10th of that is able to be practically extracted at current prices and it is slow, messy, and expensive to extract and convert into a useful form. At present, we're barely getting a million barrels a day and that will only scale up to 3 million in the next decade with a dozen companies going balls out to expand capacity.

      --
      upon the advice of my lawyer, i have no sig at this time
    70. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Will.Woodhull · · Score: 1

      The USA is a long, long way away from having shovel ready plans for building the transmogrifying breeder reactors, or the interim storage and transportation facilities they need. What parent post is talking about is a pipe dream. Pipe dreams solve no problems. In this case they are part of the problem.

      We need shovel-ready plans for this infrastructure, not more cheerleaders yelling "Go Nuclear!" from the sidelines. The discussion is noisy enough already.

      --
      Will
    71. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      I'll be all for nuclear as soon as someone can figure out how to ensure that enough checks are in place so that dumb/lazy/cheap people won't compromise its safety.

      Label them critical national infrastructure and put the military in charge of building, maintaining, and operating them. It gives you a good reason to increase the military budget - which would keep the right-wing happy - while ensuring that profit and nepotism don't compromise safety - which should keep the lefties happy. You can even throw in an extra layer of civilian oversight, to include yearly inspections and procedural review.

      Really, I think that there are already enough checks in place to ensure that safety isn't compromised. Three Mile Island was the worst disaster the US has had, and it was so minor that it's not even worth mentioning. Even this Japanese disaster - which is orders of magnitude worse than anything that's happened in the US - is unlikely to lead to a significant rise in the cancer rate. So I think the suggestion I made above is entirely unnecessary - but if you really want to improve safety and security, that's you best bet.

    72. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      I would be more likely to accept your claim that you "worked in the energy industries like 15 years" if your written responses didn't make you seem like a 12 year old. As for the citation, yes, you certainly do need to provide one. Saying "duh, wind and sun are teh free!" makes you sound like a simpleton. You need to consider construction costs, maintenance costs, general servicing costs, and average lifespan of the power plant. Without those figures you simply can not make any informed comment about the average cost of "renewables" vs other electrical production methods. So far, the limited data we have seems to indicate that wind and solar are at least as expensive as nuclear, if not more so. Which would put them well above the cost of coal, gas, etc.

    73. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Kyusaku+Natsume · · Score: 1

      Units 5 and 6 in Fukushima didn't had severe problems despite being affected by the lack of power, and the Onagawa power station, closer to the epicenter of the earthquake, aside a small fire in the turbine building, survived unscathed. The main problem here is that TEPCO for menial reasons and hubris didn't make properly safety checks in their nuclear power stations before and they were caught red handed, so now that it is really important that their information should be believed, their previous record has destroyed their credibility and of regulators.

      --
      Mexico: 100% conservative's America now!
    74. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by DurendalMac · · Score: 1

      Germany built a pebble bed reactor. It didn't end well. They had some very nasty contamination issues.

      Breeder reactors, on the other hand, would be good, but there's the issue of them possibly creating weapons-grade material. Why that would be an issue for the US, I don't know, but we damned well should build one at Hanford and feed it all that toxic sludge that's been leaking out of containers for decades.

    75. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As for the citation, yes, you certainly do need to provide one.

      No, that is your misconception.
      I don't need citations for stuff that is common knowledge, or should be common knowledge, depending what you define worthy to teach in schools.
      I further more don't need to post citations for stuff people can google/wikipedia themselves.
      I frankly hate the slashdot attitude to start a posting with citation needed ... nope. I'm not your teacher. Go and teach yourself.

      Your last sentence: Which would put them well above the cost of coal, gas, etc. e.g. I know you just ended your post emotionally .. however the most expensive energy source, surprisingly is: gas.

      Not because of the gas itself but because of the gas plants.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    76. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up. Control rods do not prevent reactions. They merely control the reactions. That's why they're called control rods. They limit reactions such that once the fission byproducts stop breaking down, the reaction rate falls to almost nothing because you don't have enough mass in one place.

      When the control rods are first inserted, there is still a lot of heat being produced. For the first few days after a scram, the reactor requires significant cooling to get rid of that heat. When you don't have enough cooling, you get what's happening at the Fukushima plants.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    77. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by MarkusQ · · Score: 1

      Only if there is no scrubber at the power plant. Modern coal power plants are quite clean.

      Wrong. Scrubbers don't stop the release of radioactivity from a coal fired power plant. You'd essentially have to go to CO2 sequestration for that.

      --MarkusQ

    78. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Your example is perfect for describing just how dumb the idea of "peak oil" is. A new generator that runs off of wishes would make all forms of oil extraction too slow, messy and expensive to extract and convert into a useful form. All that your version of "peak oil" means is that there are other forms of energy generation that keep oil from monopolizing the industry. (The other version people use is the idea that you can count the amount that exists by how much is chosen to be pulled out a year) And yet, people keep trotting it out like it is some indicator on oil supply. It is a marketing con job.

    79. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Indeed. The Japanese problem is not happening because of a quake, or because of a tsunami.

      It is happening because of a fucking stupid power outage. That's it, that's why it's happening. There is no more to explain about it. They are having a nuclear meltdown because of lack of electrical power, due to flooding.

      This is a) so inherently stupid it's hard to think about, and b) incredibly easy to keep from ever happening here.

      None of the problem is due to the 'earthquake' or 'tsunami' per se. It's due to incredibly poorly designed of shutdown system. Yes, the generators should have been higher up, but that was just one of the problems.

      For example, why did they have to run a wire in to run a pump? Why the hell aren't there easy 'pump electricity access points' where you can just roll up and hook to them? Or why couldn't they hook to the grid?

      Why do you even need a pump at all? Radioactive stuff is hot. If you have something heating the water, you have a damn self-circulating pool of water if you make it big enough, you don't need a 'pump'. Okay, that's not practical for the reactors, but it's certainly practical for the spent-fuel rods. That should it a big pool a mile away that they just keep topped off, not a tiny pool next to the damn reactor that overheats too.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    80. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Modern coal power plants are quite clean.

      Wish people would stop parroting that. That comment is 100% propaganda and completely misleading.

      "Clean coal" is clean compared to "dirty coal." That's very true. But it makes as much sense as saying you have slower growing cancer so its good..as opposed to fast growing cancer. That, of course, is dumb. Even clean coal is very bad for the environment, coal miners, and people with respiratory issues. Even clean coal sprays ash, including radiation.

      Coal is literally one of the dirtiest forms of energy man has. Nuclear is the cleanest and safest forms of production energy known to mankind. Its also the cheapest and renewable despite an extremely financially hostile environment.

      The real crime here is, nuclear has actively been prevented from developing into ever more safe an cost effective form of energy. And as an aside, coal is likely to be as clean as its ever going to become - which isn't saying a lot.

    81. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Where exactly did I say to use a system (non-nuclear) that is less safe? Where did I say we should not use nuclear?
      What doesn't make sense is the how you can extract what you assert I said from what I actually said.
      What I do think is that nuclear does play a role. We just need to be wise in it's deployment. But I don't want it near my beautiful part of the country.

      Peak Oil is not a media coined term nor is it a ridiculous concept.
      From the Wiki:
      "M. King Hubbert created and first used the models behind peak oil in 1956 to accurately predict that United States oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970.[1] His logistic model, now called Hubbert peak theory, and its variants have described with reasonable accuracy the peak and decline of production from oil wells, fields, regions, and countries,"

      The term has been in existence since before I was born and has been picked up by the media who is suddenly interested in the fact that we reached overall peak oil in the world in 2005. Peak Oil is based on analysis of data relating to the ability of the industry to develop more pumping capacity against the decline in pumping capacity of current sources of oil. Since the Hubbert peak theory has been shown to be a reasonable approximation of what actually is happening in the field, it seems reasonable that the predictive value of this tool and its wide use in determining what actually happens flies in the face of you calling it a "ridiculous concept". How exactly would you define the fact that we will never be able to achieve the worlds maximum oil pumping capacity as it existed in 2005?

      Back in 1982 I talked with an oil industry insider who stated that by their estimates there were only about 62-65 years of oil left to pump. I recently read something by a guy from Shell which confirms that this is still basically the case. And the estimate was that sometime between 2040-2050 the industry would run out of cheaply accessible oil.

      One has to remember that all potential pockets of oil have for the most part been identified and re-identified the world over. The industry has done all of the legwork and continues to go over the entire earth trying to hone in on the likeliest places for oil. But the rate at which new oil is accessible continues to be steady and consistent with the predictive models. Even the much ballyhooed ANWR region which the USGS says has about 8 billion barrels of oil potentially has been drilled like swiss cheese with something like 280 sites drilled with no oil ..... seems to be a bust.

      "The amount of oil that exists simply cannot be determined based on the amount that we pump."

      The industry already has estimates on the amount of oil that exist. But there metrics indicate an ever dwindling amount which will mostly be finished off by 2050. This correlates with the Peak Oil theory and its predictive capacity.

      If you have some other metrics which the oil industry doesn't I would be interested in hearing about them.

    82. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Tmack · · Score: 1

      Only if there is no scrubber at the power plant. Modern coal power plants are quite clean.

      Clean coal is a myth. That radioactive (and mercury, lead, arsenic, thallium and other toxic material containing) fly ash the scrubbers capture still has to go somewhere, and scrubbers are not 100% efficient. What happens with the waste? It sits outside in large piles, until their containment pond fails and wipes out the nearest town and seriously pollutes the nearby water source.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kingston_Fossil_Plant_coal_fly_ash_slurry_spill

      At least nuclear plants keep their spent fuel waste inside and rarely have accidents (Note this is the Largest ash spill, there have been many others), especially caused by something as rare as rain and cold temps. This also does not take into account accidents, health complications, or environmental impact related to mining the stuff.

      -Tm

      --
      Support TBI Research: http://www.raisinhope.org
    83. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by DavidTC · · Score: 1

      Neither the parent, or the person who tried to respond, actually explained what peak oil is correctly.

      Peak oil is the point where prices do not decrease. Well, not meaningfully, obviously there will always be tiny variations, but peak oil is when a running average of oil prices would show them always going up or staying steady, and never going back down.

      It doesn't have anything directly to do with the amount of oil. In fact, there's nothing stopping more oil from being found after it.

      However, at that point, the demand will be so high, and the supply so low, that even an moderate increase in the supply won't be much more than a blip on the upward price climb. As it's clear that no one else has any extra oil, the new supplier will just slightly undersell them.

      That's the peak oil theory. It doesn't assume we know how much oil total there is, although it does assume we won't suddenly discover a huge, cheap amount of oil.

      It's not an assumption to do with oil at all, it's an assumption about markets. It assumes if you have a product that's vastly demanded, and supply is functionally a limited resource, at some point the market will just start ascribing near-infinite future value to it, which means prices will never decrease, even if random amounts of supply come in.

      --
      If corporations are people, aren't stockholders guilty of slavery?
    84. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

      With the number of hands in the pot that there are, it's amazing these things don't blow up every day.

      I wonder if the fact that excessive numbers of rods were kept packed tightly together in temporary cooling pools IN THE SAME BUILDING as the reactors was due to the fact that more approved ponds were, due to the excessive regulation insisted upon by NIMBYs, prohibitively expensive.

      If it were easier to get storage space, then perhaps the rods would have been stored far enough apart that even without water there would have been no serious problem.

      OFTEN common sense is sacrificed to satisfy bureaucrats need to fill in checkboxes.

      That said, I don't think there can ever be a nuke plant that is safe should it become the target of a military attack. Wars happen every so often. ExpectedTimeTill(War) = 100 years seems reasonable for a given location. Power plants are definately valid military targets seeing as they provide power to everything else.

      Can you scale your nuclear power plant down to the size of a matchbox car and hand it to a five year old with a hammer, and be confident of it's safety?

      ( Actually because of critical mass requirements, I should say can you scale up a five year old and give them a scaled up hammer, and allow them to go to town on your nuke plant? ) Ok, they'd be crushed under their own weight. Whatever - you get my point..

      --
      ...
    85. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Even better, AECL is currently developing the ACR-1000 which is based on the proven CANDU design but delivers more power, has improved safety mechanisms, is simpler to build and operate, etc. etc. Unfortunately, the government has decided to sell off AECL, so the future of these reactors seems nebulous at the moment.

    86. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      I've had exactly the same thought. Maybe I'm just an overly simplistic layman, but it seems that materials generating their own heat would be a perpetual motion machine's dream.

    87. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by skids · · Score: 1

      Ah, so I get it. We're supposed to let the company build the reactor on the fault line, THEN tell them they are in violation of the regulations, and too bad about the billions of dollars sunk, you have to tear it down now.

      (And yes, your point is all the more ridiculous considering the joke approval processes that brought us many of the badly sited, under-protected plants in our fleet.)

    88. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      No, that is your misconception.
      I don't need citations for stuff that is common knowledge, or should be common knowledge, depending what you define worthy to teach in schools.

      Right. Everyone knows that Nuclear is the cheapest form of power, and wind and solar are the most expensive, therefore I don't need to provide any citations. Since my comment is common knowledge, you can engage in autofelatio if you don't agree.

      Your last sentence: Which would put them well above the cost of coal, gas, etc. e.g. I know you just ended your post emotionally .. however the most expensive energy source, surprisingly is: gas.

      Sorry, but it's common knowledge that gas power plants are completely free, due to leprechaun labour. Again, you lose.

      Now, while I'm really enjoying your "anything I say doesn't require a citation" theory, I'll actually provide some info that you can check out when you're not busy trying to pass off personal opinions as facts. Enjoy:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_cost_of_electricity_generated_by_different_sources#U.S._Department_of_Energy_estimates

    89. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by tqk · · Score: 1

      I just don't know how to convince this planet that picking H3-dirt off the ground on the moon and shoving it into a fusion generator makes more sense than choking this planet's biosphere.

      "Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country." We've already got an Asteroid Belt after us and an Oort Cloud. You want to bring potential mass-extinction events even closer? Rethimk [sic].

      --
      "Tongue tied and twisted, just an Earth bound misfit ..." -- Pink Floyd.
    90. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ah, so I get it. We're supposed to let the company build the reactor on the fault line, THEN tell them they are in violation of the regulations, and too bad about the billions of dollars sunk, you have to tear it down now.

      No, a "thorough approval process" means coming up with a sufficiently ridiculous scenario that the proposed plant can't make it. It's not "design this plant so that it can survive the fault, you're trying to put it on", but "design the plant so that if a fault were to magically appear under the plant..."

      Here's how you do it. Make a list of possible failure scenarios. First, disasters. What can happen to your plant? Earthquakes? Tornadoes? Volcanoes? Hurricanes? Deliberate terrorist attacks or nuclear strikes? And so on. Make reasonable estimates for the location and pad them. Then do the same for potential construction and operational failures. Go through the historical record of nuclear accidents for more examples. And so on.

      The point isn't to come up with the comprehensive list of all possible accidents, but instead a sufficiently broad number of sufficiently likely scenarios that your plant can withstand what you know is likely to happen to it and build a safety buffer against the threats you don't know of.

      The real lesson of Fukushima is that you then need to design the reactor so it will fail gracefully and in a recoverable manner, even in the presence of numerous simultaneous failures.

      (And yes, your point is all the more ridiculous considering the joke approval processes that brought us many of the badly sited, under-protected plants in our fleet.)

      It's worth noting that these so-called "badly sited, under-protected" plants haven't resulted in many serious accidents. For example, in Wikipedia that aside from Fukushima, there have been only three partial or complete meltdowns of civilian power plants (there are additional several meltdowns in experimental or military nuclear plants). One was the particularly crazy Chernobyl accident, using a reactor that wouldn't be allowed in the developed world and stripping away the safety features in a way that also wouldn't be allowed in a developed world power plant. So there aren't a lot of big accidents. Of the few serious accidents that have affected developed world power plants over the fifty to sixty years, only the Fukushima accident were dependent on location.

      So where's the evidence to back your assertion that any nuclear plants are "badly sited" or "under-protected"?

    91. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

      And no one seems to speak of the environmental impact of these "100% pollution free" solutions. Like covering several square miles of delicate ecology with solar collectors or mirrors, or the strip mines to extract rare earths for high efficiency solar cells, or that hydrogen releases expected from the so called hydrogen economy will result in depletion of the ozone faster than CFCs ever could. In the meantime even one of the Greenpeace founders has gotten behind nuclear power as the safest and most eco-friendly power solution. We have many many newer and safer designs than the ones from the seventies that represent the latest of the US plants in operation. Instead we develop them for overseas operators. And Canada has what is likely the most inefficient but safest design. The CANDU reactor fails safe. But so do pebble bed reactors. When they lose cooling they slow down fission reactions instead of them speeding up if cooling is lost in a conventional hot water reactor. Personally I'd like to see the Intellectual Ventures wave reactor get an NRC license. But that is years away. I watched as Seabrook in NH was being built and the same protests that happen today, happened then and the cost went through the roof. So much so they didn't complete the project and not all the assets were able to be brought online. If the public looked at the tradeoffs like dams damage to the ecology and the risk of a dam bursting and that the WY wind power pilot farm eliminated a sub-spiecies of migrating birds, to tidal power damage to estuaries and so on, nuclear is the clear winner. We also need to make it easier to process the waste products or design nuclear plants (like the wave reactor) that minimize the created waste. It is somewhat perverse that purposely create radioisotopes for medicine while those same isotopes could be refined from existing "waste". So America needs to stop being driven my rule of the mob and proper science needs to be considered with all the tradeoffs and ignoring the psuedo-science and FUD. We have the technology to make safe nuclear power (well orders of magnitude safer than a coal plant with negligible radioactive release in comparison to the vast quantities released by coal plants world wide, along with all the rest of coals nastiness. (Hey coal can be preprocessed to make it cleaner too and burnt while containing the radioactive material released in burning, but the cost gets higher and the power companies are not required to do so, so they don't.) But with all that except for natural gas which adds to greenhouse gases (mind you, not a bad thing, but that's another argument thread) nuclear is the cleanest power we have, and natural gas just can't supply all the needed energy demand.

      --
      - Tjp

      I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

    92. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Yours is the third definition of "peak oil" that gets used and still is meaningless outside of investment purposes. Commodity products will naturally trend upward in cost. Improvements in the efficiency can cause a temporary reduction in price, but the downward trend is just temporary until you have refined your process. If we discovered that dwarfs digging deep in the ground were magically making oil, so that our existing wells never dried up, we would still see upward pressure on the price of oil.

    93. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

      II'll be all for nuclear as soon as someone can figure out how to ensure that enough checks are in place so that dumb/lazy/cheap people won't compromise its safety.

      I'd suggest that we build a series of reactors near White Sands NM then. It is already contaminated far more than any nuke plant failure could cause. But can we say the same for dams. Burst dams have killed hundreds of thousands. Coal plants? They release more radiation each day than 3 Mile Island did. (And so do granite buildings) Chernobyl was a very bad design. North America has no plants with anything close to that. Even the oldest plants online have more safety systems. And, 3 Mile Island was really stupid operator error. Another nearby nuclear plant spotted the release hours before the TMI crew reacted. Initially Peach Bottom called them and TMI ignored them rather than checking into it.

      We have limits to what we protect against. Plan against a century high water mark for floods and one will come along that is greater. Some calculations place the Japanese quake at 9.1. That is not an expected value or even close for the area. We have historic highs and lows all the time. So you can't plan for absolute safety.You plan for a statistical safe zone. And as had been previously mentioned. We'll lose more people to rolling blackouts from heat waves this summer than from all the people lost due to all the nuclear accidents in history.

      --
      - Tjp

      I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

    94. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Tjp($)pjT · · Score: 1

      Can you scale your nuclear power plant down to the size of a matchbox car and hand it to a five year old with a hammer, and be confident of it's safety?

      Actually we sort of do just that. RTG modules have survived range safety officers blowing up space bound rockets only to be recovered and reused. And the most modern nuke plant designs are designed so that a fully loaded commercial jet can impact them without critical damage to the plant. The way military would best take out a nuke plant would be to destroy critical transmission or generation facilities if possible, without the release of nuclear material, or excessive damage to the plant, unless we are talking the Mideast of course. But rational (if that is possible) warfare wants to damage the military capability without excessive damage to civilian targets. We can take out, for example, the power transmission lines cheaper and easier than taking out the nuke plant itself, and if it is a war of territorial aggression, we preserve the nuke plant for occupation later. I am in concordance with some of your other ideas though. We store nuclear waste in reinforced vessels in fenced off sections of what used to be parking lots because the plant operators can't get permits to take the waste elsewhere, and the appropriate disposal sites are blocked from completion as well by people who strategically time the protests after the approval process happens, relying on the courts to stop them after money time and effort are committed but before they open their doors. I would personally like to see a "It's too late to protest more in the courts, file with the regulators." date in the approval procedures.

      --
      - Tjp

      I am in wallow with my inner money grubbing capitalistic pig. ... Oink!

    95. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      For example, why did they have to run a wire in to run a pump? Why the hell aren't there easy 'pump electricity access points' where you can just roll up and hook to them? Or why couldn't they hook to the grid?

      Why do you even need a pump at all? Radioactive stuff is hot. If you have something heating the water, you have a damn self-circulating pool of water if you make it big enough, you don't need a 'pump'. Okay, that's not practical for the reactors, but it's certainly practical for the spent-fuel rods. That should it a big pool a mile away that they just keep topped off, not a tiny pool next to the damn reactor that overheats too.

      This is what gets me -- for some reason, with this reactor design, they were simply not allowed to have any sort of electrical hookup to allow the electricity generated by the plant itself to power the cooling system. Not even in an emergency. So even though the plant was melting down and no one cared about what regulations said, the hookups didn't exist to make that possible. That sort of thing just floors me.

    96. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by gsslay · · Score: 1

      It's on the north coast.

    97. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      Label them critical national infrastructure and put the military in charge of building, maintaining, and operating them

      Then you'll get the crowd that likes to claim the government is totally incapable of doing anything right and that the power grid should be fully privatized instead, since they'll run it better and more efficiently.

      Though "having the military run it" might deflect those arguments, since the same folks who think the government is terrible at running things also think the military is exceptionally good at organizing.
      Maybe the Army Corps of Engineers?

    98. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Rakarra · · Score: 1

      The thing that mostly makes them expensive is the ten years of approval process and the five years of meetings you have to have with the NIMBYs to eventually get to build one.

      Yes, let's abolish thorough approval processes for nuclear reactors! Because the fact that they manage to screw them up WITH regulation bodes so well for how they will perform WITHOUT it.

      Personally I'm getting sick of the knee-jerk blame-the-regulators talk. It is so tiresome and I wish we could move beyond it.

      Useful regulation (like safety regulations) is fine. Regulation whose point is merely to delay and prevent anything from occurring is not.
      It's been used very successfully in the past 40 years by the anti-nuke crowd not to ensure the construction of safe nuclear reactors, but to completely stop nuclear plant generation because they hate nuclear power and wish to stop it completely.

      And that's not necessarily the "regulators'" fault either, it's the environmental lobby and the politicians beholden to them.

    99. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So are you only a socialist when it comes to nuclear power, or do you believe other critical national infrastructure like health care should be socialized as well? Not being facetious, I'm a socialist, but I never thought you were. I guess everyone is a little bit socialist about the things they think are important, and that can't be trusted to the free market... which is no more or less than almost any socialist would say. But you're Canadian, so you already have socialized health care. Do you like it, or would you prefer American style free market health care?

    100. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      So are you only a socialist when it comes to nuclear power, or do you believe other critical national infrastructure like health care should be socialized as well?

      Eh ... it's complicated. On the one hand, I want government to remain as small as possible. On the other hand, I know that a minimalist-government system never works long term because people keep asking for more, and politicians are happy to use it as an opportunity to get more power. So, while I'm ideologically opposed to socialism as a rule, I'm willing to tolerate it in some circumstances. Since you asked about health-care specifically - I don't generally like our state-funded health-care, but I'd be less put-off by it if we still had a private option. Unfortunately, we do not. Now, we're lucky in that we can easily cross the border and get private care in the US, but it still pisses me off that there's no private option here.

      Ideally I'd like to see the government acting only as an insurer, instead of the kind of iron-fisted rule they currently have over our health-care system.

      As far as nuclear power is concerned, again, ideally I'd like to leave it up to private business, with the government just providing oversight for safety regulations. But I'm willing to compromise - if a private system means no power plants get built because everyone opposes them, while a government run system means we get to build new ones, then I'll go with the government option in a heartbeat.

    101. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by skids · · Score: 1

      Well, I could just snark and mention that the Fukushima facility, before this... problem... was successfully running several reactors for decades without incident, and thus as of the beginning of this year would have met the qualifications you just rested your laurels on.

      However, since you asked for evidence, then maybe we could talk about the sordid history of Diablo Canyon?

    102. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by WaywardGeek · · Score: 1

      The lead cooled reactors used in some Soviet submarines looks like it could be a good way to go. They are working on various commercial versions of this design now. I think we should build some pilot reactors to investigate these new plant designs, while trying to deal with the waste storage issue rather than keeping spent fuel at the power plants. In the meantime, I think we should review safety at our existing plants, to be sure they can be safely shut down after events like what happened in Japan. I think we should put new plant construction on hold until the safety review is complete, so we can apply lessons learned from Japan's experience to our new plants. However, I would hope the safety review could be completed quickly, say 12 months or so.

      --
      Celebrate failure, and then learn from it - Nolan Bushnell
    103. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by somersault · · Score: 1

      It's still the east side of the island, and I was talking about Caithness in general.

      --
      which is totally what she said
    104. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      Where exactly did I say to use a system (non-nuclear) that is less safe? Where did I say we should not use nuclear?

      That would be here:

      The big sticking point with nuclear is always safety. And every disaster reminds us of just how unsafe nuclear can be. A 40 mile diameter section where people can't live in Japan is a major chunk of real estate. If this happened near any of our major cities it would cause significant problems. Renewables could be brought up to date in the matter of a decade with a concerted effort. The right tax incentives could retrofit most every building in America with solar. As to the ignorance of the public including myself, I want NO reactor anywhere near where I live simply because I like to live here and want my kids and grandkids to be able to live here safely. This fear of nuclear contamination is not because of TV and shit websites since my understanding of nuclear issues comes mostly from magazine pieces from the last several decades and predates the internet.

      And repeated here:

      But I don't want it near my beautiful part of the country.

      The term may not have been media coined, but as it is commenly used, it is a media term. Your reference to Hubbert is ONE of the definitions used for "peak oil". It also useless outside of investment. First it references US production. Guess what? If you have tons of oil from other countries being dumped on the market, it is obviously going to reduce your dometic output unless trade barriers are enacted. His prediction is a prediction on the investment potential of US based oil extraction. Referencing it to point out that we are running out of oil is silly.

      As for your comment about talking to oil insiders. First you have to determine whether they have any merrit. If you talked to any real estate insiders before the housing crash, you would know that it is not that uncommon for people to work in an industry and just go along with what everyone else is saying, even if they have evidence to the contrary.

      So, while you and I simply will not have accurate access to the data necessary to judge directly, we will have to look at some reasonable indicators. We can't use the price at the pump, as that will be whatever the companies can goudge us for. So, lets look at what a rational person would do if they saw the Mad Max style apocolyptic world coming about in 30 years.

      First, we would expect them to avoid having children that would be guarenteed to have to live in the hell that is being predicted. Did the oil insiders that you talked to have kids?

      We could rationalize that they figure, a Mad Max style life is better than never being born. If that is the case, they would certainly spend their childs educational resources on teaching their kids servival techniques. They would bother with wasting those precious resources on things like a college education. They wouldn't be spending money on TVs, or suberban/urban houses that will end up burned to the ground anyway. They would be buying land that is easily defendable from the roving hordes. They would be buying equipment to manufacture their own weapons. Learning not only how to kill invaders with the remaining bullets, but how to craft your long bows and catapults for when the enevitability of "peak bullet".

      Was this the behavior of your "insiders"? If it wasn't, then either they were stupid, evil, or full of shit. My bet is on the last one.

      How exactly would you define the fact that we will never be able to achieve the worlds maximum oil pumping capacity as it existed in 2005?

      Remember, your "peak oil" definition only applies to the US. That is what your link says Hubbert predicted with "peak oil". 2005 US oil production was beat in 2009. As for world supplies, 2005 was 73.72 Million barrels/day. 2008 was 73.69 Million barrels/day. That is less than a 1/10 of a percent in a heavily monip

    105. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The citation you gave is:
      a) for USA
      b) from the US government - and is just a table of costs, with no citations backing those costs ;D
      c) does only include the e.g. for nuclear plants, the direct cost related to the plant - e.g. not the cost to store the waste
      In other words the costs given in this article make no sense at all.
      If you would read your own citation and scroll down to the California levelized energy costs for different generation technologies in US dollars per megawatt hour (2007)
      Section, you would realize, I'm right, btw.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    106. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by hairyfeet · · Score: 1

      Yep like the pair we have in my state why would anyone live there with the big beautiful lake, large forest filed with nature like large herds of free roaming deer, yep just horrible.

      Seriously it just shows how out of touch these CEOs are to what they run as I've been to the one in my home state and frankly it is a beautiful place. I have also met and talked to some of the guys that work there and they are incredibly serious when it comes to security and safety, the company even has a full reactor sim set up on the premises similar to a shuttle sim where they can run every kind of failure scenario until the worker reactions are automatic.

      But if the CEOs are NIMBY, why would they expect any different from the public?

      --
      ACs don't waste your time replying, your posts are never seen by me.
    107. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I presume you are a consumer of electric energy.

      Please explain why a facility to make electric energy should not be placed near you. Also tell us who it should be placed next to.

    108. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by shadowfaxcrx · · Score: 1

      Don't get me wrong. I don't require that nuclear be 100% safe. Nothing is or can be, and I agree with you about coal. I'm actually all for nuclear, once we develop systems that get it as close to 100% safe as possible. Those systems are not in place at this point.

      I envision a system wherein a computer checks the work of the plant operators. Want to shut down the backup coolant pumps like they did at TMI? Nope, you can't, because you haven't shut the reactor down yet.

      Additionally the industry needs to be heavily regulated by a party that has absolutely no financial interest in the plants it is regulating - namely, the government. If a for-profit corporation thinks it can get away with cutting corners to save money, it will, and the people in that corporation making the call don't give a damn what the consequences might be. We saw that with BP's little party in the Gulf last year. Imagine if we let BP open up a nuclear reactor. "Oh, hell, we don't need the emergency coolant system. What are the odds we'd ever use it, and it'll save money!" Google BP's three little pigs presentation if you don't believe they'd have that attitude.

      I don't think it impossible to come up with a system that would allow for the building of nuclear plants that almost guarantees that there would be no accidents due to negligence or profiteering.

      But you still have to decide what to do with the waste.

      While you're right that coal plants release radiation, where the difference is, is that their waste does not stay radioactive for thousands of years, requiring specialized storage in . . Well. . Somewhere, hopefully, because usually no one's willing to take the waste. Even assuming the nuclear waste is rendered safe, in that once in the storage facility there is no way for it to contaminate anything, ever, you'll never convince the local city council of that, and therefore you'll have a hard time getting it into that safe storage facility in the first place.

      The Prairie Island nuclear plant made the news several years ago because it turned out they were storing their waste outside in barrels on the site - not because they wanted to, but because they couldn't find any place to put it. We have to have the waste disposal and storage problem figured out before we go large-scale nuclear.

      Again, I don't think that's an insurmountable problem. The biggest hurdle there will be getting the media to stop whipping the public into hysterics every time "nuclear" is mentioned. Given the choice between sensationalizing the DANGEROUS RADIOACTIVE WASTE that's GOING TO KILL US ALL and explaining that the waste is safe if stored properly, most TV stations these days are going to choose the scaremongering path.

      So again, I'm not against nuclear, and in fact I think nuclear is, short term anyway, the only way we're going to produce the power that people demand without destroying the climate in the process. I'm all for nuclear, provided the industry can't get away with any BS shenanigans, and provided you can tell me where we're going to put the waste.

      --
      "I disagree with you" does not equal "flamebait."
    109. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 2

      The citation you gave is:
      a) for USA

      Scroll down.

      b) from the US government - and is just a table of costs, with no citations backing those costs ;D

      Yeah, I guess I must have imagined the part that says:
      "Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2011, December 2010, DOE/EIA-0383(2010)"
      Yep, that's definitely not a citation. Not at all. It must be google adsense inserting random ads.

      And this cite note? Yep, that's a figment of my imagination, also.

      c) does only include the e.g. for nuclear plants, the direct cost related to the plant - e.g. not the cost to store the waste

      "Total System Levelized Cost (the rightmost column) gives the dollar cost per megawatt-hour that must be charged over time in order to pay for the total cost."

      If you would read your own citation and scroll down to the California levelized energy costs for different generation technologies in US dollars per megawatt hour (2007)

      You are one dishonest bastard, you know that? First you complain that the citation is "only for the US", then you scroll down past the estimates provided by the UK and start talking about estimates for California. Nice. In the process, you also fail to mention that Californias estimates "incorporate tax breaks", which immediately disqualifies their figures from any serious consideration, AND you miss the Australian estimates which appear immediately below the Californian figures.

      Either you're the worst scholar in the history of slashdot, or you're deliberately misrepresenting the data in order to support your preconceptions. Either way, I don't see much point to continuing this discussion.

    110. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ha ha.

      I admit I did not read your wiki article completely. So sorry for not seeing it is refering to other sources, that *again* come from the DOE. Sorr,y but the DOE is not trustworthy.

      Also I really doubt that your total costs regarding nuclear power are including waste handling. My argument regarding it was only about germany btw. and not about your situation.

      So, again: why are the California numbers wrong? I don't get your point.

      Finally: what have costs in the USA to do with true costs? No outsider really knows how you work your power plants and what drives your costs.

      My point is pretty simple: in europe nuclear power is on a global view the most expensive one.

      Wind, water and solar: with no running costs except maintenance, are the cheapest ones.

      You draw a figure out of your had that is mainly from the USA DOE ... rofl ... and try to "debunk" my claim? Then you are not able to scroll down and read this e.g.:

      Costs of electricity production in euros per megawatt hour
      Nuclear Energy 107.0 â" 124.0
      Brown Coal 88.0 â" 97.0
      Black Coal 104.0 â" 107.0
      Domestic Gas 106.0 â" 118.0
      Wind Energy Onshore 49.7 â" 96.1
      Wind Energy Offshore 35.0 â" 150.0
      Hydropower 34.7 â" 126.7
      Biomass 77.1 â" 115.5
      Solar Electricity 284.3 â" 391.4

      Except for the peak in Solar here, which comes likely from the high cost installing it, it is EXACTLY what I said before. So how can you repeatedly claim that I'm wrong?

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    111. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      First you accuse me of posting figures which don't have a citation; after showing you that they, in fact, had multiple citations, you then quote "German" figures for which there are no citations whatsoever. So you're a hypocrite, at the very least. Worse than that, though, you completely ignore the Australian and UK figures in the same article, which are quite similar to the ones provided by the US, in favor of waving your unsourced German stats, which are completely out to lunch. So we have figures from 3 separate nations, all of which are sourced, and all of which show roughly the same trends, versus data from 1 country which isn't sourced and shows an entirely different trend. And you choose to go with the latter.
      ...
      What exactly did you do for "the energy industry", again? Sweep the floors?

      As for the California figures, I already told you - they're based on figures after government subsidies. Here's the exact phrasing from the article:
      Note that the above figures incorporate tax breaks for the various forms of power plants. Subsidies range from 0% (for Coal) to 14% (for nuclear) to over 100% (for solar).

      Looking at figures after subsidies is useless, unless your goal is to determine how you yourself can best make money - if we're looking at total cost of power generation, those figures tell us absolutely nothing.

      Anyway, at this point, I'm convinced that you're being intentionally dishonest, so we're definitely done here. If you wish to discuss this further, I would - at the very least - expect you to acknowledge that your initial behavior was foolish, admit that this is not a question that can be answered by "common sense", and provide some data from a reputable source that supports your position. Otherwise, don't expect a response.

    112. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      you then quote "German" figures for which there are no citations whatsoever.

      Sorry, the german figures are from the wikipedia article you posted!

      Anyway, at this point, I'm convinced that you're being intentionally dishonest

      And on what do you base THIS? Because I don't understand your tax laws?
      Rofl ....

      admit that this is not a question that can be answered by "common sense"

      Obviously you are right here and I was foolish to assume you have accurate data on the USA.
      Also it was foolish to assume you understand that I look at it from my perspective. As I said in several posts before: nuclear power is the most expensive one in GERMANY. It is so high subsidized that no one really understands its economics anymore. Nevertheless, like in your article, it is put into figures to claim it would be super cheap.
      Also you neglect, even after I pointed it out: handling waste and dismantling of nuclear power plants is not in those equations (neither in the USA nor in germany).

      angel'o'sphere
      P.S. I'm following tis debates since decades ... and I certainly don't spend a year to find hundreds of citations. If you think it is necessary, that is up to you.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    113. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by mosb1000 · · Score: 1

      How about this?. I know it's not a "shovel ready plan", but you need a site and a source of money before you can get one of those. I think it's safe to say GE would be happy to start building one for you tomorrow if you could put up the money.

      And before you tell me it's just concept art for a pipe-dream, I'd like to point out that it's based on this reactor that was built in 1965 and operated for 30 years. We are not "a long, long way away from having shovel ready plans for building the transmogrifying breeder reactors". We've had the basic technology for a long time.

    114. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Where exactly did I say to use a system (non-nuclear) that is less safe? Where did I say we should not use nuclear?

      That would be here:

      The big sticking point with nuclear is always safety. And every disaster reminds us of just how unsafe nuclear can be. A 40 mile diameter section where people can't live in Japan is a major chunk of real estate. If this happened near any of our major cities it would cause significant problems. Renewables could be brought up to date in the matter of a decade with a concerted effort. The right tax incentives could retrofit most every building in America with solar.
      As to the ignorance of the public including myself, I want NO reactor anywhere near where I live simply because I like to live here and want my kids and grandkids to be able to live here safely.
      This fear of nuclear contamination is not because of TV and shit websites since my understanding of nuclear issues comes mostly from magazine pieces from the last several decades and predates the internet.

      So your assertion is that installing solar on ones house and business is less safe than nuclear? Interesting. How do you get there exactly? A nuclear accident can irradiate a region for decades and make it unuseable. I know of no such risk from putting solar on buildings.
      And further, nowhere in the above paragraph of mine you quoted did I say nuclear should not be part of fulfilling our energy needs. I am just a NIMBY. I fully believe nuclear will play an increasing role in our power structure. I just worry about its long term consequences so safety is more than paramount. That would seem to be reasonable would it not?

      And repeated here:

      But I don't want it near my beautiful part of the country.

      Again ... a NIMBY comment of mine for certain, but it is not equivalent to "We should not use Nuclear". It is important that words you are interpreting do in fact say what you assert. And again, nowhere did I say nuclear should not be used. (NIMBY not equal to No Nuclear.)

      The term may not have been media coined, but as it is commenly used, it is a media term.

      The word terrorism is commonly used in the media to but that doesn't make it a "media term". It only makes the term one which the media uses. The two are not equivalent. Peak Oil and terrorism are words which the media uses because they have significance for all of us.

      Your reference to Hubbert is ONE of the definitions used for "peak oil".

      Yes it is "one" of the definitions...the first one. The only reason I referenced him was because you were saying Peak Oil was a media term, which it isn't and his use of the term predates most media usage by 40 or so years, thus supporting my assertion.

      It also useless outside of investment.

      You mean the term Peak Oil is useless outside of investment? I'm not sure what you mean. Certainly, peak oil has become a term with a more developed and elaborate meaning in the intervening 50 years since Hubbert first used the term. The term Peak Oil today also has other definitional significance which isn't exclusively tied to investment. Some people use the term these days to define the realities of our expectations for extracting oil from various regions of the world knowing the anticipated supply using the data we have had for decades.

      The entire world has been mapped for all pockets of oil. Most of it is already under harvest. Some of the more difficult places still are there, but then you get into the weighing the feasibility and expense and the technology we have to get at it. The potential oil field off of Brasil is a nice example. Extremely deep water. Extremely hot oil under extreme pressure. I'm not sure they have figured out how to extract it yet. There are places to get oil, but getting it is ex

    115. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by gullevek · · Score: 1

      Actually just dropping the control rods doesn't stop anything. It's the heavy water that is used a s moderator that will stop the CANDU design. While in the Fukushima Design, although the control rods dropped and the reaction stopped, the left over material still went on and you need to cool it for some weeks. Because if you don't, well, you get the problem we have here right now.

      --
      "Freiheit ist immer auch die Freiheit des Andersdenkenden" - Rosa Luxemburg, 1871 - 1919
    116. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by juasko · · Score: 1

      radiation?

      pollute i know of but radiation?

    117. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by juasko · · Score: 1

      most reactors build on japanese tech.

    118. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by juasko · · Score: 1

      Actually they maintain them on cheap

    119. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      The explanation is easy: I am not a that large consumer of electric energy (3000 kWh per year due to electric water heating and a fish tank, otherwise 1000 kWh would suffice), in my proximity there are also no large consumers of electric energy. Therefore it would be a waste to place a power plant in my proximity instead of the proximity of large consumers of electric energy - due to transmission losses. It would be most sensible to place power plants near large electric energy consumers, such as factories, aluminium smelters and so on.

      Now pray tell why a facility to make electric energy should be placed near me - except because you want it to for the sake of the argument?

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    120. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by GargamelSpaceman · · Score: 1

      Well, bombs miss. And sometimes they are fired by insane Kim Jong Il types from far away. ( Yes I know that the missle would almost certainly be shot out of the sky ). And I didn't see any substantial roof over the rod ponds in the reactor building design. If a jet hit those, I think they'd be open to the air.

      --
      ...
    121. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      NIMBY is being against it. NIMBYs often don't realize that they are arguing against it, but that doesn't change the fact that they are. Going around saying "It's too dangerous for my back yard." is arguing against it being used anywhere, as it is inevitably going to convince other that it should be in their backyards either.

      The place that you said to use something more dangerous was where you argued against nuclear. It has been shown that non-nuclear power generation frequently causes more deaths than nuclear, your argument against nuclear by taking a public NIMBY stance is arguing for less safe power generation.

      As for "peak oil".... Pick a definition and stick with it. Claiming that it isn't a media term because the same words were used by someone outside the media, and then saying your not using the definition that you just presented is disingenuous.

    122. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by bstender · · Score: 1

      Yes, a nuclear plant delivers a big bang in a small space 24/7, but is not "the cheapest" energy source by a long shot. If it were, it would be widespread, regardless of the _ignorant_peanut_gallery_. It is not widely deployed because it just isn't all that, comparatively, plain and simple, the market is wiser than you are. The prior and current investment in nuclear is the driving force of nuclear. In reality it delivers maybe 5:1 energy return on energy investment, and carries the little problem of the incredibly toxic waste and god-forbid something goes wrong and hundreds of thousands die, etc..

      --
      look sig is kool
    123. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Nimby is being against nuclear right on this lovely peninsula I live on where tourism is a mainstay of the local economy. Having a big fat nuclear plant stuck at the end of the pastoral scene would attract less tourists and threaten the current economy.

      "NIMBY is being against it. NIMBYs often don't realize that they are arguing against it, but that doesn't change the fact that they are."

      Clearly you have ignored what I have actually written and inserted your own biases.Definitionally, Nimby is not equivalent to anti-nuclear. They could be same or they could not be. For one hypothetical example: Donald Trump might be pro-nuclear and yet if you chose to put a plant on an island near his mansion-island he would be a NIMBY. Or in another hypothetical example: The Kennedy's could be Anti-nuclear and NIMBY if one was talking about putting a new plant near their compound. You should hone your own understanding of semantics a bit more.

      Nimby also is not equivalent to "It's too dangerous for my back yard, is arguing against it being used anywhere" and I have not argued that nuclear should not be used nowhere. Quite the contrary, I have explicitly said we should use nuclear, but we have to be careful about it. I am unsure as to the danger of the newer technologies since I am not an avid reader on the latest nuclear tech. I do not know whether it would be too dangerous in my backyard. But I still don't want it there based partially on my ignorance of nuclear, but partly because of the economics of the region.

      Apparently you haven't understood this rather subtle difference and I understand because some people need to deal in absolutes and blacks and whites to make sense of things. But merely because you don't recognize the distinction doesn't mean that it isn't there. I liken it to the eskimos and their 18 or so words for the character of snow. I personally only can see about 7 or 8 distinctive types of snow, so if an eskimo tried to explain to me another 10 types I might be at a loss.
      Your errant or limited interpretation of the terminology apparently allows you to read gross generalizations into what I have actually said.

      Likewise my statement that nuclear is unsafe is not the same as saying it is the "most dangerous" form of energy.

      Unsafe or even Dangerous is not the same as "More Dangerous".I would think you might be able to see this distinction and nowhere did I say that nuclear is the "More Dangerous" form of energy. Nor do I feel nuclear to be the "more dangerous" than all other forms of energy production. Those words are yours. Once more you are putting words on the page which I have not used and attributing them to me.

      My assertion is that it is not safe, which it clearly isn't in our current age with one fine example sitting before us now in Japan on the precipice. I also wonder about the future safety of such plants given the history we have seen and longevity of its products and byproducts. Combine that with the relatively tumultuous history of human kind over the last 3000 years and it must give one pause as to how we should best approach the nuclear question. We are not just doing nuclear for our generation or the generation of our grand-kids but for countless generations into the future. Rationality would predispose us to recognize these issues and try and address them if possible.

      Who knows what the future of plants and the fuel they contain will be 100 year from now or 1,000 years from now? Certainly neither you nor I have such a crystal ball. So the obvious answer is to be extra extra careful with nuclear because it has such a great potential for rendering a large swath of land useless for a considerable time. As our population increases land is an ever more important resource for the people of this planet and its proper management will be paramount to the type of future we leave to those a millenia or so from now. Installation of nuclear in a region is akin to a long-term land management issue.
      I don't have a problem with nuclear that is a away from popula

    124. Re:Time for a serious effort on renewables by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "This just disgusts me. The ignorant public (who can blame them since all their info is from TV and shit websites) will keep nuclear on the sidelines for decades."

      This is a typical "nuketard" response. Nuketards are internet geeks who are pro-nuke and want nuclear fission power at all costs and do not care about anyone in the public's opinion, safety concerns, or the fact that insurance companies simply wont cover nuclear power and it can only be propped up by government action.. it is totally outside of the (somewhat naive and made-up) free market they always talk about, and all the so-called "libertarians" suddenly become governmnetalists when it comes to supporting nuclear fission power. Nuketards revert to personal attacks and are not interested in debating or being fair and just. Some nuketards claim nuclear waste is safe to eat if you divide it up among enough people. Our response to the nuketards? "YOU eat it."

  2. Keep the old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, lets stick with the ancient reactors we have now instead of upgrading to safer modern designs.

    1. Re:Keep the old by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What nuclear industry wants:
      build new plants and keep the old ones running

      What ecologists wants:
      close old plants and stop building new ones

      Compromise:
      keep old plants running and stop building new ones. It's cheaper for the nuclear industry
      and it ensures no nuclear plants in the long term. That's the worst solution in terms of security.

      Sane thing to do if you care about security
      Close old plants and replace them with new safer ones.

    2. Re:Keep the old by oiron · · Score: 1

      Sane thing to do if you care about security
      Close old plants and replace them with new safer ones.

      Or replace them with some other form of power generation, maybe?

      Can I coin the phrase "false trichotomy?"

    3. Re:Keep the old by trout007 · · Score: 1

      You are right. Having "nuclear power" as a topic shows that it isn't a serious discussion. It would be like talking about the safety of airplanes. Well you can design a safe airplane or an unsafe one. It is ALL about the design. You can have 40 year old reactors that require active shutdown and cooling and use one through fueling or you can use 3rd and 4th generation reactors that use passive cooling and passive shutdown that breed their own fuel either with thorium or uranium 238. This is how engineering works. You start with a preliminary design and test it. See what problems there are and you make the next design fix those problems. We don't fly 707's anymore.

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    4. Re:Keep the old by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Or replace them with some other form of power generation, maybe?

      I hear unicorn farts have a really good ROI.

    5. Re:Keep the old by gonzonista · · Score: 1

      Actually, it is all about maintenance. The safest airplane design in the world does not matter if the plane is improperly maintained. Unfortunately, in a competitive market, the first cost to be cut is maintenance. In a corporate environment, it is the obvious target for improving the bottom line without any short term effects. That is why nuclear power is expensive. Fuel costs are not the major cost factor. Regulatory requirements are. Until there is a way to safely handle radioactive material, this environment will never go away, good design or not.

      --
      If absolute power corrupts absolutely, what does this say about renewable power?
  3. So uh by Anrego · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Seeing a large nuclear disaster has made people wary of nuclear power.. now that's just shocking!

    All seriousness though, between the American media fear mongering and the fact that there is actually something to be afraid of, this isn't too surprising.

    I still personally think that nuclear power is the best bet. I imagine (and this is an uneducated opinion) all the junk coal and oil plants pump out under regular circumstances is probably going to kill more people than the japan nuclear crisis over the long run, and alternative energy just isn't close enough for people to wait.

    1. Re:So uh by Pascal+Sartoretti · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I still personally think that nuclear power is the best bet

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

    2. Re:So uh by AlecC · · Score: 5, Informative

      According to New Scientist, coal kills about 13,000 Americans per annum. In a chart in their most recent edition, coal is by far the most lethal power source per billion GWh generated.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    3. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      After seeing the ignorance, incompetence and the inability of the politics to to properly supervise the industry before and after the indecent, and after seeing
      ignorance, incompetence and the inability of the industry itself before and after the indecent some still haven't learned the lessons.

      Maybe read about http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hanford_Site and then tell me again why you trust people ever at all again to do the right thing.

      All the billions going into the built and clean up, never mind that in fact you can not clean it up would be better spend in alternatives.

      It is not between nuclear power on one site and fossil on th other.

      The best bet is actually to start saving and lower consumption over all.

    4. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I still personally think that nuclear power is the best bet

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

      Certainly not? Why, do you know something about the future that you'd like to share with the rest of us?

      Based on today's technology/ideas, maybe nuclear isn't long term ... but who knows what we'll discover/invent in the future, maybe something that could make nuclear power as safe as anything the green lobby is now trying to push!

      Just remember, a nuclear plant might seem hi-tech to a lot of people, but in the end it is nothing more than a glorified steam turbine and that technology is generations old!

    5. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 5, Insightful

      This is true. People don't realise it but when you are thinking about energy policy, you are making a 50-year bet. So now the bet looks something like that:
        - there will be no oil
        - there will be lots of coal
        - there will be uranium
        - there should be wind and sun

      but also
        - geothermal might become practical
        - carbon sequestration might become practical
        - solar cells might become more efficient
        - most cars will be electric
        - global warming is a threat
        - oil/gas producers are not always nice nations.

      So demand in electricity will go massively up as oil is phased out. But you don't want to release too much CO2. Biofuels are probably not a good idea. So you are left, now with two possible strategies:
        - use coal as a stopgap for renewables/fusion
        - use nuclear as a stopgap for renewable/fusion
        - maybe gas is an option. If you don't mind dealing with bloody tyrants.

      If you believe in climate change, you will go down the nuclear route. Unless you are so committed against nuclear power that coal is the only option no matter what (Germany, a very, very green country battles against carbon caps in the EU, because they know nuclear is politically toxic and coal is their only option -- in my opinion this is crazy stupid).

      Of course you must develop all alternatives as much as you can. This is the only long-term solution, but in energy, this means 40 years. And elections are every 4...

    6. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not only is it the best bet. It's the only bet.

      We (and I'm not an American) have only two choices: Nuclear, or live in huts.

      Energy efficiency, while laudable and necessary, is just never going to cut it when it comes to feeding our needs.

      So-called "renewables" are mostly a bad joke. Solar has come a long way. It's a lot more efficient and cheaper now... and it has potential to provide a chunk of energy, but it's not going to supply anything like what we need even if you coated every roof top in panels.

      Biofuels are a greedy farmer dream... but a completely idiotic path.

      Wind/wave is a hopeless hippy pipedream that will never supply more than the tiniest fraction of our energy needs... while being the most expensive of all.

      Coal/gas are filthy and will do more damage to the environment than just about anything else.

      But dimwit environmentalists still hear the word nuclear and shit their pants... because they watched The China Syndrome 30 years ago and can't get over it. They just won't see that nuclear gives them what they want... a green source of energy.

    7. Re:So uh by Anrego · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The best bet is actually to start saving and lower consumption over all.

      That may be the best way, but I wouldn't bet on it ever happening. A solution that relies on people to conciously deprive themselves of something for the good of everyone is bound to fail in todays society.

    8. Re:So uh by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I suspect that most of the public reaction is, indeed, a visceral response to the current incident. Emotional, and not likely to last all that long(particularly given that, with incomes flat or declining among the bottom 4 or 4.5 quintiles, and energy costs rising, people are going to grasp at anything that pretends that they will be able to keep on living their familiar suburban existence.

      What I find disconcerting about the whole thing is not so much that a given 60's era reactor design didn't cope all that well when exposed to atypically gigantic earthquake and tsunami conditions; but that plant HQ has, apparently, been slimy and dubiously transparent about their somewhat cavalier risk management practices for decades, they've only just had it bite them public-ally.

      The "zOMG, nuclear power always causes 3-eyed rats and flipper babies made of pure cancer!" brigade is out to lunch. However, unfortunately enough, the "nuclear power has the potential to be safe; but its operation always seems to end up in the hands of penny-pinching scumweasels who do their best to fail to live up to that promise." is more history than hypothesis.

      Until the engineers manage the historic leap of creating a design that managers can't fuck up, certain concerns will remain entirely valid(to be fair, most of those concerns validated, often with grotesque callousness, on a daily basis in other forms of power generation, just ask a coal miner...); but it is true that nuclear designs tend to underperform their theoretical engineering maximums for reasons that come down to frankly untrustworthy management.

    9. Re:So uh by definate · · Score: 2

      tell me again why you trust people ever at all again to do the right thing

      Because society is based on trust, and while we are free to be cautious, no matter what, we will have to trust someone. You'll either be trusting the alternative energy people, the coal people, or the nuclear people. Maybe read more about http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Society and then tell me again why I can't ever trust anyone at all again to do the right thing.

      better spend in alternatives

      I've read a reasonable amount on this, and I've yet to hear anyone suggest any alternative power, that could be done today, and be used to replace the coal+nuclear plants already in place.

      The best bet is actually to start saving and lower consumption over all.

      Even the most optimistic forecasts, with extreme incentives, show consumption increasing.

      In all likelihood many strategies will and should be pursued, however nuclear is hear now, the others aren't.

      The best thing would be to see a shift towards gen 3/4 reactors, breeder reactors (which while more expensive, can be subsidized by the others for taking their waste), more investment in transmission infrastructure (which would enable wind/solar to be more competitive), and to have alternative sources continually pursued in whatever manner investors/entrepreneurs/companies want to try.

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    10. Re:So uh by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

      Why so certain? And what do you consider long? Is fusion power only 25 years away? Is coal magically going to be environmentally friendly? Is the baseload problem of green energy going to be solved? What do you know that we don't?

      What is long term? 10 years? 50 years? 100 years? A time frame by which we will have polluted the world into oblivion?

    11. Re:So uh by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      Would you care to elaborate on why nuclear is certainly not the best bet in the future, or should we just put our trust in your crystal ball?

    12. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      ... and alternative energy just isn't close enough for people to wait.

      What makes you believe this? A wind power plant is faster build up than a new coal plant or nuclear plant. Assuming you live in the USA you have plenty of place in your desserts to build a thermal solar plant. Both options would be much cheaper than a coal or nuclear plant, more reliable and had low running costs.
      The point is: someone is telling you, it does not work. And you believe him ...
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    13. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      I've read a reasonable amount on this, and I've yet to hear anyone suggest any alternative power, that could be done today, and be used to replace the coal+nuclear plants already in place.

      Then you don't read the right stuff.
      Why don't you look around how other countries produce energy?
      Germany already produces over 25% from wind and solar. And on peak days, lots of wind and lots of sun, we do over 60%.
      In the USA you only need the coastline of 3 states to power whole north america with wind.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    14. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      If we could invent a dang Killswitch, I would be fine with Nuclear power.

      But we can't stop it what-so-ever. Expecting 'weeks' worth of constantly running water is not realistic expectation in hundreds of 'worst case' scenarios.

      It is extremely irresponsible to try and harness a technology if you are unable to quickly and safely pull the damn plug.

    15. Re:So uh by Splod · · Score: 1

      Seeing a large nuclear disaster

      I know you're being ironic, but it's not even a 'large' disaster. A bit of perspective: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-12860842

    16. Re:So uh by Stepnsteph · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I agree with Anrego here.

      As a psychology major with, of course, an interest in sociology and human behavior in general, I don't really watch the "news". I watch the behavior of the presenters. I notice the emphasis that's added to certain words or syllables, the unnecessary dramatic pauses, the music & sound effects that are used, the flashy graphics, etc etc.. and then I think of the general uneducated public that's watching this.

      It breaks my heart in a way, to be honest. Our (or "U.S." for those elsewhere) media, and interest groups, are riding on the coat tails of the very real tragedy. Then turning on themselves (eg the "human shield" tripe) between the FUD.

      That's to be expected, I suppose, but it's why I turned (long ago) to the Internet to get real news. Thank goodness for international news sources and multi-lingual support.

      Of course the general public is afraid of tsunamis and 9.0 earth quakes and vague, unnamed super disasters.

      We need more high capacity power plants, and we need people to stop rejecting everything that's not a magic cure-all silver bullet because that's NEVER going to exist.

      I've written this before my first cup of coffee this morning, so my apologies if this doesn't come across quite as clearly as we would all like. Now I have to get ready to go. You folks have a great day.

    17. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But you don't want to release too much CO2.

      Speak for yourself, love.

      On a more serious note, you did mention gas, but forgot to include it on your 50 year plan. We'll have plenty of natural gas left.

    18. Re:So uh by Anrego · · Score: 1

      Sure, but no one is doing (or seems willing to do) it on a large enough scale, which is really more what I meant vice a technological problem. I think wind is viable, lots of free space in windy areas... if you can find a good way to transport the power it seems an ideal solution.

      Solar I don't think is there technologically... it just costs too much and doesn't have the efficiency (and from what I hear, manufacturing the panels produces all manner of nasty stuff). But wind I think we could be using in a much bigger way.

      And for the record.. I'm Canadian!

    19. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are right on, this also tells me how many uneducated dumb Americans their is, completely buying into the media fear machine.

    20. Re:So uh by khallow · · Score: 2

      What I find disconcerting about the whole thing is not so much that a given 60's era reactor design didn't cope all that well when exposed to atypically gigantic earthquake and tsunami conditions

      Indeed to the contrary, it worked well. And the plant management, whether you consider it competent or not, is dealing with the problem.

      but it is true that nuclear designs tend to underperform their theoretical engineering maximums for reasons that come down to frankly untrustworthy management.

      I imagine the real reason is that the theoretically engineering maximums were too optimistic.

    21. Re:So uh by definate · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Shit dude, I did not know that!

      Hey, you need to go and update the article Energy in Germany and its sources.

      Besides that, you might want to read up on Electric power transmission which was T.Boone Pickens biggest problem.

      You also might want to read up on other differences between these 2 countries. Such as Germanys population density of 229 people per square kilometer, versus the United States 33 people per square km.

      You might be interested to know that Germany imports most of its energy from Russia.

      You might be interested to know that the US is the largest producer of wind power.
      You might be interested to know that the US is the largest producer of geothermal power.
      You might be interested to know that the US is the largest producer of biomass power.

      You might be interested to know a lot, as it seems you don't know much on this subject. Though, granted I didn't know that much about Germany, but it only took a few seconds to read about why it's not like Germany and faces its own problems.

      Thanks for making me learn about Germany!

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    22. Re:So uh by Svartalf · · Score: 1, Informative

      Biofuels are largely zero net increasing in CO2 emissions. They're peeling out the CO2 that's already THERE in the environment.

      --
      I am not merely a "consumer" or a "taxpayer". I am a Citizen of the State of Texas
    23. Re:So uh by fritsd · · Score: 1, Informative

      ... So you are left, now with two possible strategies:

      (coal or nuclear or gas)
      You left out :

      • Wind
      • Better insulated homes
      • Solar thermal
      • Hydro (most capacity probably already in use)
      • Solar PV
      • Tidal power (futuristic)
      • Energy storage by cooling cold-storage warehouses extra during off-peak hours (EU plan)

      I'd say that wind turbines are much quicker to build (2-3 years?) than nuclear plants, so why on earth would you need

      - use nuclear as a stopgap for renewable/fusion

      for anyway.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    24. Re:So uh by DarkOx · · Score: 0, Troll

      I am big fan of COAL, because we have lots of it! The carbon emissions may or may not be an issue. The science on both sides to this point is so bad its not really worth considering. That said the cautionary principle applies and because we don't know what will happen if we radically alter the carbon cycle we should treed carefully and where is not to economically disruptive try and limit emissions.

      Biofuels though are not net carbon emitters. In almost all cases growing them pulls as much carbon out of the atmosphere as burning them puts back. So in the emissions sense they may be a very good alternative. The larger issue when them is efficiency. So far its been a challenge to get more energy out than the input energy to produce the fuel substance, excluding the solar that biofuel really seeks to capture by growing algae/switch grass/soybeans/corn or whatever the biofuel crop du jour might be.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    25. Re:So uh by Carnivore · · Score: 2

      I think your parent was alluding to the current trend of using land that would otherwise be used for food production being used for fuel production. I agree with this sentiment, but not that biofuels are not a good idea.

      Growing oil algae in saltwater ponds in the desert is a great example of a biofuel that not only doesn't take land away from food, it doesn't even use a food crop.

    26. Re:So uh by jbengt · · Score: 1

      - maybe gas is an option. If you don't mind dealing with bloody tyrants.

      There is an oversupply of natural gas in the USA - the only bloody tyrants we have to deal with for it are the oil and gas companies. (Since natural gas is hard to transport without a big pipeline, this abundance doesn't apply to Japan and other areas without their own supplies)

    27. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Germany, a very, very green country battles against carbon caps in the EU, because they know nuclear is politically toxic and coal is their only option -- in my opinion this is crazy stupid).

      This is very interesting. Can you provide us with some reference?

    28. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      This is true. I tend to forget the algae path. Well, add one more option, then :)

    29. Re:So uh by jez9999 · · Score: 1

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

      To ask the obvious question, why not? If you're saying we'll get nuclear fusion on the future, that's still nuclear. You should make that clear.

      If you're talking about using wind/solar instead, there is always going to be a major tradeoff there, in that these technologies take an ENORMOUS amount of space compared to a nuclear power plant. Maybe not so bad in the US, but in more densely populated countries in Europe, generating vast amounts of electricity through wind/solar (even more when electric cars come along) is not feasible IMHO. When you can have very safe fission reactors and damn-near 100% safe fusion reactors in the future, I don't see why you'd say nuclear is 'certainly not' the best bet.

    30. Re:So uh by Avtuunaaja · · Score: 1

      >I imagine (and this is an uneducated opinion) all the junk coal and oil plants pump out under regular circumstances is probably going to kill more people than the japan nuclear crisis over the long run

      Not only that, but the junk that coal and oil plants pump out has killed/will kill more people in the short run too.

      Coal power kills a million people per year worldwide. That's ~2700 a day. Half of those are in China, and ~9/10 of the rest are elsewhere outside the western world. Still, ~45 people will die in the USA today because of coal power.

      The coal power plants in the Soviet Union killed more people than the Chernobyl disaster every day while it was happening. The coal power plants in the United States kill more people every day than all the civilian nuclear accidents in the USA combined. The coal power plants in Japan currently kill (much) more people than the Daichi plant every day.

      The most casualties indirectly caused by Daichi will be in Germany. Because the accident caused enough political pressure to force Merkel to shut down the seven oldest nuclear plants in Germany for 3 months. During those 3 months, they would have produced 17 TWh of energy. Replacing that will kill 250 people. In those 3 months.

      The entire discussion on nuclear makes me feel sick to my stomach.

    31. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FYI: Germany already gets just 20% of the electricity from nuclear power plants. Most power is from coal power plants. Renewable energy sources account for 20% as well and are rising quickly. Germany is one of a few countries in Europe which can actually turn off all its nuclear power plants and not sit in the dark and cold. Germany, despite its reliance on coal, has half the per-capita CO2 emissions compared to the USA. Energy is expensive in Germany: The consumer price per kWh is about 0.25 EUR (~$0.35), gasoline costs 1.50 EUR per liter (~$8 per gallon).

    32. Re:So uh by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

      In all likelihood many strategies will and should be pursued, however nuclear is hear(sic) now, the others aren't.

      What about home solar, but on a massive scale? If the local utility here in Florida would install solar panels in the homes of their local users such that the homes were self-sufficient during the day, when demand for AC is highest, think about the advantages.

      1. Generation close to source, so transmission inefficiencies are eliminated.
      2. Power available after a hurricane immediately, instead of waiting for transmission lines to be fixed.
      3. No emissions, no carbon needing offsetting (indeed, the utility could sell carbon credits), no waste, no security concerns (not even a central power plant for a terrorist group to blow up, no matter what type it is - gas, coal or nuclear).
      4. No red tape to wade through for a nuclear plant or opposition to overcome.
      5, The cost is a wash, depending on the type of power plant, and for most alternatives is even cheaper. Not to mention that this can be rolled out gradually, so there isn't a large up-front cost.

      Heck, if you could add small home wind turbines and supplement that with wave and tidally generated power, the local utility may never need to build another plant again. And it can make money in so many ways from this - they will install and maintain the panels, charging you a slight fee for doing so each month. They can take any cleanly generated excess and sell it at a premium to other utilities. They can offer to make your home as energy efficient as possible, meaning they will have more excess to sell.

      And if the insulation-as-battery thing gets to market in the next ten years, that will make this even more attractive.

      There are alternatives. People just have to have vision to see them.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    33. Re:So uh by khallow · · Score: 2

      And on peak days, lots of wind and lots of sun, we do over 60%.

      So? How much of that power does Germany actually use? This is the big problem with wind and to a lesser extent solar. It's a sporadic power source and hence, unreliable. Here, we have something like a factor of two difference between average power generation and maximum power generation. German can't just flip its coal burning plants on and off.

      That much wind and solar means that Germany has to rely on external power production (such as nuclear and coal plants in France and Russia) in order to have a reliable power grid.

    34. Re:So uh by Kreigaffe · · Score: 3, Informative

      WEEEEEEEEEELLLLLLLL not exactly

      sure, the plants used to make the biofuel take in carbon, and then release it when the processed product -- biofuel -- is consumed..

      but there's a lot of processing and transportation to get to that point, nevermind the carbon footprint of growing the stuff -- fertilizers, pesticides, planting and harvesting. all those things output co2 -- all those things consume energy. biofuel really doesn't actually produce much energy, if at all, when you take the totality of the picture into account

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    35. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      no, I left none of those. They are collectively the "renewables". And energy efficiency measures. But the latter will help not at all: more energy will be made available and will be used for other (granted hopefully more productive) purposes.

      These are the future (and massive solar collectors in orbit ;) )

      But the reason you cannot magically build wind turbines is that for mere legal reasons, you will have delays of 2-4 years depending on where you want to build them. Then you need to update your grid, which is a massive undertaking. And in the end you need to provide for the baseline. And take into account that electricity consumption will explode with the coming of electric cars.

      Going from large centralised plants to small decentralised sources is a huge shift in the energy network architecture. Saying "build more wind turbines" is as inane as the guy thinking there is no GW, and coal is cool. Of course you need to build wind turbines. Of course you need energy efficiency, of course you need solar, of course you need... etc., etc. But you need to allow for a doubling or trebling of the energy production! And this means nuclear.

      Look at Germany. They build renewables like there is no tomorrow, and yet they need to open gas plants and coal plants, and import electricity from nuclear France. And they fight emission caps. Bloody hypocrites. Energy policy is for 50 years, not the current fad. Of course in the long term, you want to get rid of fission. In 50 years. When the grid is smart, the houses efficients, the building codes updated and batteries/solar cells/whatever tech is required works well.

    36. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      If you think the science on _both_ side of the climate change issue is bad, you need to stop drinking the spiked cool-aid... There is science on only one side of the debate (it exists, it is caused by carbon, and humans are emitting crazy amounts).

      There is a lot of high-quality spin on the other side, though...

    37. Re:So uh by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

      That's right, because the Danes are so much smarter than we are.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    38. Re:So uh by BRonsk · · Score: 1

      You left out :

      • Wind

      Which cannot be our only source energy.

      Better insulated homes

      Which doesn't solve all of our problems

      Solar thermal

      Which cannot be our only source of energy.

      Hydro (most capacity probably already in use)

      Which is more deadly than Nuclear in addition of being kind of maxed out as you mentionned.

      Solar PV

      Which cannot be our only source of energy.

      Tidal power (futuristic)

      Which we have no clue if it will work in a reasonable way, so we cannot rely on it today even in future planning. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

      Energy storage by cooling cold-storage warehouses extra during off-peak hours (EU plan)

      Well, a bit experimental to base our future on it just right now.

      I'd say that wind turbines are much quicker to build (2-3 years?) than nuclear plants, so why on earth would you need

      - use nuclear as a stopgap for renewable/fusion

      for anyway.

      Because how are you going to explain to the people that when there's no wind, there's no power? Or when it's cloudy?

    39. Re:So uh by Noughmad · · Score: 1

      According to an even Newer Scientist, people don't listen to scientists, facts, logic, or reason.

      --
      PlusFive Slashdot reader for Android. Can post comments.
    40. Re:So uh by Kreigaffe · · Score: 5, Informative

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_Fast_Reactor

      that's just one, that i particularly like -- there's PLENTY of new reactor designs that include a 'kill switch'. there's a bunch of different ways of doing it, too, either with control rods that are suspended above the reactor and if power fails, fall automatically, or in the IFR in the case of loss of power the liquid sodium would naturally heat up, which sucks more neutrons out of the fuel rods (not exactly but near enough for nontechnical crap yeah..) -- basically, if things go wrong, the coolant being used actually becomes a big ol' control rod when it gets too hot and stops reactions, naturally without any human guidance. Oh, and the coolant system is designed so that during loss of power, the coolant (liquid sodium here) will continue to circulate and cool things down for quite a while (and hopefully long enough to avoid a shutdown, but failing that the coolant will get hot and the core reactions shut down).

      Seriously, we've got 40 years since TMI was built -- we've got this shit figured out. You don't KNOW about it because "the public hates nookyoular!" and politicians shut it down. constantly. clinton killed the IFR, last I heard GE was shopping some drop-in reactors of a more advanced design than we had back in the '90s.. to the Chinese. Basically just a big ol' box that you drop into an existing coal power plant -- remove coal furnace, replace with nuclear furnace, leave existing steam turbines in place

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    41. Re:So uh by Skywolfblue · · Score: 1

      Speaking of this. I wonder how far it will set society back when fossil fuels go out completely. How well will society function when everyone has to bike to work? (China's done well, but western countries are in for a huge shock) What about the transport system trucks/plane delivery, will a whole lot of the country end up without basic supplies like food and water? How far will the rioting/wars go?

    42. Re:So uh by BRonsk · · Score: 2, Interesting

      I believe Hydro is much much worse than that. Since 1970 there are more than 1M people that died out of a failed dam (volcanoes, earthquakes, defects, etc.). Relatively safe in the US though. (My source is in French.)

    43. Re:So uh by KnownIssues · · Score: 1

      This Deaths per TWH by energy source (the chart, not the article) gave me some perspective. It's hard to find data on the number of deaths caused by the nuclear disaster in Japan, but it's apparently something 1 (+/-1). If that chart is anything like accurate (and I'm not aware of the World Health Organization having a pro-nuclear power bias), nuclear isn't just safer than coal, it's safer than all the other alternatives.

    44. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      I think a little bit of thinking could get us there. We're close with the ESBWR. That uses what are effectively heatpipes up to a nonradioactive cooling pond. We're almost there.

      However, many plants make a choice in terms of cooling - they use a local heat sink that requires some active pumping. In the case of Fukushima, they dump waste heat into the ocean.

      Not all plants do this - in France there are concerns about elevating river levels too much, so while their water intake is cold water from a river, MOST of the heat is dissipated by large cooling towers before putting the water back into the river.

      One of these cooling towers should easily be able to dissipate the decay heat of a reactor passively - so just take the ESBWR approach, and add additional heatpipes up to a big passive cooling tower.

      Boom - decay heat management problem goes from "solved for 72 hours w/o any external power" (ESBWR) to "solved indefinitely w/o any external power".

      But doing this requires building new plants, not service life extensions for old clunkers.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    45. Re:So uh by Pascal+Sartoretti · · Score: 1

      Why so certain? And what do you consider long? Is fusion power only 25 years away?

      When I was in high school in the early 1980's, the consensus was that fusion would come near the end of the century. Last year, my son also learned at school that fusion would be ready by the end of the century. But not the same century. Oops.

      I don't say that nuclear fusion will never work, but it is much too far in the future to be part of today's energy strategy, i.e. what we plan to do for the next 10-20 years.

    46. Re:So uh by Solandri · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Statistically, nuclear is the safest power generation technology Watt-hour for Watt-hour. Hydroelectric power accidents kill about 40x more people, wind power accidents about 4x more people, than nuclear accidents (projected, since most of the deaths from Chernobyl are cancer deaths that haven't happened yet). If you remove Banqiao and Chernobyl from the statistics (both were outdated and dangerous designs), both hydro and wind kill about 100x more than nuclear . Solar is a bit trickier to nail down because most of the deaths associated with it are classified as construction deaths (falling off rooftops), and not attributed to solar directly. But the linked-to site makes a decent attempt and solar comes out worse than wind.

      The statistical comparison to fossil fuels is completely off the scale. Coal plant emissions are estimated to kill 1 million people each year (primarily by inducing lung cancer - basically the same mode of death as the majority of the deaths attributed to Chernobyl). That's like 250 Chernobyls every year. Yet people want to hold off on nuclear plants because "they're too dangerous" when the only viable alternative is more coal plants. It's madness.

      And for the folks who say that average statistics aren't important, you have to look at what the worst-case potential devastation is, the worst power generation accident in history was a hydroelectric dam failure. Chernobyl was pretty much a worst-case nuclear accident (active core completely exposed to the environment accompanied by a fire and a government which disregarded the safety of nearby residents), and Banqiao was much, much worse. So by those folks' reasoning, we should be getting rid of hydro in favor of nuclear.

      Basically people interact with water, hunger, and disease every day, they're not freaked out by the prospect of death by dam failure. Radiation on the other hand is something they don't deal with every day (or at least they don't think they do, as they eat a banana split on their granite counter-top after getting home on a transatlantic flight from Europe). The mere mention of the R-word even with no deaths attached completely freaks them out.

    47. Re:So uh by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

      That number is probably questionable and overblown.. you know this, we all know this, a lot of that is going to be similar to second-hand-smoking deaths -- that is, allegedly connected, tangentially connected, but not definitely connected.

      however i WOULD believe that 13,000 Chinese are killed *mining* coal a year -- coal mining, dangerous stuff, china? not big on safety..

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    48. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it has to be done now. The longer we wait, the harder it will be to switch over. Technologically, renewables are ready. They are just not cheap enough to produce energy at the prices we are used to. This is only a marginal problem compared to the gigantic unsolved problems nuclear power brings to the table. Catastrophes are only a small part of the whole picture, there's also the storage issue for depleted cores, the unclear responsibility of plant shutdown and dismantling (it takes decades to completely dismantle a nuclear power plant...who's going to pay for it?), the limited availability of uranium as a resource, etc.

    49. Re:So uh by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

      zing.

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    50. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      That has been a pretty big focus in modern reactor design - remove the human from the loop as much as possible.

      Newer reactors (ABWR and later) are designed to permit boron injection w/o writing off the reactor - that removes one of the major psychological barriers to doing what needs to be done.

      Even newer reactors (ESBWR and AP1000) are designed to be passively safe without any operator intervention for at least 72 hours after a major accident.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    51. Re:So uh by spinkham · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Coal releases more radiation in an average year then a nuke plant, releases more small particulate matter that causes lung disease, releases CO2 that correlates with global warming, and has killed far more more miners then have ever been killed by all nuclear power incidents combined.

      Here's Seth Godin's simple post of the number of deaths per terrawatt hour of different generating technology:
      http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2011/03/the-triumph-of-coal-marketing.html

      I work in computer security, and do risk assessment for a living, so I recognize the biases on this issue as similar to those in my day job. Coal related deaths are slow and silent(usually, though think of the number of mining related incidents you've heard of in the past year), nuke plant accidents are big, noisy, and unusual. Our biases are to be afraid of big noisy unusual things like nuke plants and terrorists, while ignoring the obvious things that are actually likely to kill us like auto accidents, heart disease, and to a much smaller extent, coal generation.

      I live about 11 miles from a nuke plant, which happens to be the largest spent fuel holding facility in the nation. I bought this house knowing that, and and if there was a coal plant that far away I probably wouldn't have bought this house.

      I'm totally in favor of them building 2 more nuke plants close to me as is planned. I'm also in favor of review of the safety systems of the older plants. Nuclear safety designes have gotten much better than they were in the 80s when construction stopped.

      --
      Blessed are the pessimists, for they have made backups.
    52. Re:So uh by BRonsk · · Score: 0

      What makes you think it will ever go out? Here's a hint: It will not. As it become scarcer and scarcer it will become more and more expensive to drill and so at the pump too. Already at current rates everyone if looking for alternatives. The higher the price, the more affordable the alternatives (because relatively they will go down, and bacause of zillions of $$ of R&D)

    53. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The island of Samso off Denamrk? Are you fucking kidding me. It's a rock with population of about 4000 people who spend their time growing spuds and having sex with sheep.

      Do you seriously think windfarms can sustain an industrialised county with a population of 60+ million (like the UK)?

      You haven't done the maths.

    54. Re:So uh by oiron · · Score: 1

      Concentrated solar, not necessarily photovoltaics. You can get quite a bit of power out of a big mirror and some hot water...

    55. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      "A wind power plant is faster build up than a new coal plant or nuclear plant."
      What about the battery bank you need to build for when there isn't enough wind?

      That is wind and solar's problem - We have the technology to generate electricity, but we don't have the technology yet to store it for when the wind/solar is at low output or demand is high.

      Solar and wind are great but they are nowhere close to being able to meet baseload demand. A major buildout of wind/solar without a corresponding buildout of storage systems just means deploying more coal/gas plants to fill in the gaps.

      Our roadmap does need to include wind and solar - but it just isn't technologically ready yet to meet the majority of our electrical demand, demand which is going to increase as our transportation energy needs migrate from fossil fuels to electricity. To meet our short-term (40-50 years or so, which happens to be the normal service life of a nuclear plant) we need to start a buildout of nuclear plants using the major improvements in safety that have been put into nuclear designs over the past 40 years since the first of the old clunkers at Fukushima were built.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    56. Re:So uh by BRonsk · · Score: 0

      Well, after a hurricane I wouldn't bet on the stuff you just screwed on your rooftop. That said, it all sounds nice except from the fact that cloudy winter days will require another source of energy. And at night. And on cloudy summer days to a lesser extent. So while it could reduce the need for a central plant, it can in no way replace it. You will still need approximately the same central power generation structures we have today, because there will be time where all your shiny stuff won't generate a whole lot of power. The only difference is that they could be turned down from time to time. Except that they can't be turned on and off with that kind of flexibility.

    57. Re:So uh by maxume · · Score: 1

      The problem with using average statistics is that the ongoing case of coal power does not deserve coherent treatment (the best plants and mines have much better numbers than the worst ones).

      The upside is that the death statistics from best-case coal still aren't that great.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    58. Re:So uh by Anrego · · Score: 1

      Hmm, that looks awesomely promising

    59. Re:So uh by rhsanborn · · Score: 1

      The difference is that coal doesn't kill all at once. Humans are really terrible at optimizing against high profile risks. They are terrible at optimizing against long-term or delayed reaction risks. For example, how much money has the US spent fighting terrorism in the last 10 years? How many people has terrorism killed in the US in the last 10 years? Compare that to the amount of money we've spent on any number of other endeavors like cancer/diabetes/heart disease/automotive safety research.

    60. Re:So uh by maxume · · Score: 1

      The design failed.

      It's ridiculous to say it worked well. It didn't result in nuclearmageddon, but the license they had meant that they had to get special permission to vent steam directly from the reactors because that isn't something they were ever supposed to need to do.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    61. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Say what you will about coal, but at the current rate, in 50 years nuclear fuel will become incredibly expensive, while coal will be the same. Meaning that you can slowly phase it out while the nuclear reactors will simply get more and more expensive to run let alone shut down and dispose of them.

      The future is in the pure green alternatives like sun, sea and wind. Nothing else will last or be better, it will simply take us very long to make them efficient but, that's normal.

    62. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Until the engineers manage the historic leap of creating a design that managers can't fuck up, certain concerns will remain entirely valid

      Forget it, it's human nature, something that cannot be fixed with technology. In fact, it's the same principle that ensures that communism cannot work long term.

    63. Re:So uh by Zcar · · Score: 1

      Not to mention the huge demand for petroleum to make the fertilizers, pesticides, etc. for American-style agribusiness.

    64. Re:So uh by Duradin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The food issue isn't one of production but of (lack of) governments.

      A lot of those starving people in Africa are living in what used to be THE (not just the, THE) breadbasket of the continent. Why are they starving in what should be the most productive areas of Africa? Because they'll get killed trying to farm the land or they were killed and some group that has no idea how to farm has been given their land.

      Fix the governments and you fix the food problem.

    65. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      I actually read about some of the naturally aspirated reactors and the pebble bed designs, but I'm sure they are far from perfect. For instance, what if the ground split and the reactor fell on its side, preventing gravity from taking over.... Would it meltdown in that situation? I'm talking about possible but not unfathomable situations. You don't design an iPad that blows up and melts down when you flip it over, so why should a nuclear reactor? I'm sure everyone just scoffed and said 'well thats completely different'. But why do we give something so dangerous a free pass like that? Shouldn't a nuclear reactor be even more reliable than my fucking iPad?! I want my nuclear reactors to withstand Paul Bunyan picking them up and throwing them halfway across the country. Then I would feel safe about building more.

      Not to mention, we still haven't figured out what to do with all the WASTE that all these reactors generate. If an earthquake hit some of the waste facilities, we could be in just as bad, or worse, of a situation.

      Some of these reactors use Plutonium-239! Which has a halflife of 24,000 years, and could still be deadly 8-10 times the halflife. Human beings probably won't exist anymore, and that shit will still be killing whats left on this planet.

      The Fukushima situation definitely caused my heel-turn towards nuclear power, because it is inevitable that this situation will happen again. Chernobyl is going to be a reoccurring incident, it's just unavoidable until we have a way to actually diffuse radioactive material.

    66. Re:So uh by cervo · · Score: 1

      I don't know, nuclear has a pretty big downside. Part of the issue is that way too many lapses in safety are allowed. In the Japanese reactors they basically had no business storing that much spent fuel on site. American reactors do the same thing due to the plants being more secure and terrorist concerns. Until these private companies can stop cutting corners and doing things that exceed the design parameters of the reactors, we should not be building new ones. I'm skeptical that any private company has any business running something as dangerous as a reactor because their first concern is profit, not safety. There are reports about many safety lapses on US plants and a lack of enforcement on many regulations. Any one of these lapses could be a disaster and yet they keep coming....After a disaster is a little late to decide oh yeah they had safety violations we should have enforced them, shame on us. Also sometimes the latest reactor designs address previous lessons/concerns learned in nuclear power, but we continue to run outdated designs. In addition to building new plants, some of the existing plants need to be renovated to newer, safer designs. Hopefully they include more shielding for the spent fuel pool....

      Overall I favor safe nuclear power, but all the time I would prefer not in my back yard...because if something like this happens I'm screwed. And I'm sure even Obama, every senator, etc. has the same feelings... (well of the guys who support nuclear power). No one wants one of these things in their back yard. if you do then I say let's build one there....I sure don't...

      another issue is nuclear waste. The stuff currently lasts hundreds of years. Basically we need to start re-processing to use more of it to both have more fuel and to cut the half life way down. Jimmy Carter was a moron.

      What happens when we run out of Uranium? Is Uranium the new Oil of the 22nd or 23rd century? And it's not just uranium, specific isotopes are required, not any old uranium.

    67. Re:So uh by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      And as fossil fuels go, natural gas isn't too harsh on the environment - worlds better than coal, for sure.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    68. Re:So uh by khallow · · Score: 1

      The design failed.

      Failure isn't a boolean value. The key question at this point: how did it fail? It failed in a way that was recoverable with only modest release of radioactive materials.

    69. Re:So uh by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      Yeah it's irresponsible to assume that fusion power will ever be an option at this point. To assume it will be an option is a variant of "don't worry, the future will fix it" thinking.

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    70. Re:So uh by tnk1 · · Score: 1

      Wind turbines at their best are uneven suppliers of electricity. They are are also eye sores. Of course, so are Nuclear power plants (or any plant for that matter), but the oil, coal, or nuclear plants produce more power from a centralized location. In other words, they can be in fewer people's back yards. They can also be built anywhere that you can efficiently build power lines to and have transport to and from. You have to put a wind turbine where there are favorable wind currents.

      Of course, we should definitely put up wind turbines where we can, but they aren't a viable option to replace fossil fuel plants for consistent power generation. Nuclear plants can do that and are doing that.

      It doesn't matter if a solution is quicker to build if it can't fill the power profile needed to maintain the grid. Wind and solar can't do that as currently conceived. Solar might be able to if we used orbital collection, but besides the huge investment in large space satellites to pull that off, just think of the scary microwave beams from space.

      We need a 1:1 (or better) replacement for fossil fuels, and none of the proposed strategies can even come close to filling the gaps, yet. Conservation helps a lot, but the efficiencies from it won't cover the rapid growth in the demand for power generation and it will take forever to roll out, even if you had the Army running around forcing people to insulate at gun point.

      Nuclear is the only source that we have that is ready to step up and fill in the gap where fossil fuels leave off. It's tested, it already powers substantial portions of various developed countries, and we know what the dangers are. The major problem is that it has scary radiation associated with it. However, it's more than likely that the existing fossil fuel infrastructure dumps more radioactive isotopes and heavy metals into the environment than any single nuclear plant has, possibly including Chernobyl. We've managed to deal with that so far.

      Right now, when the oil runs out, the choice is going to be between coal and nuclear, possibly with gas thrown in. Right now, it's looking like coal, which is sort of amusing because coal is actually considered to be less scary than nuclear. The US is also the Saudi Arabia of coal, so it will be easy to obtain (with the necessary strip mining, and other similarly environmentally safe extraction methods).

      Don't get me wrong, we need to watch nuclear plants like hawks with enhanced bionic eyes, but that scrutiny should not all be front-loaded at keeping them from being built. Someday, even the coal will run out, and then people will have no other choices but to power up the reactors. Once that happens, the game is up, because the demand for power will override the NIMBY people and the nuclear industry will simply ride roughshod over all critics with full backing of a power-addicted civilization. The time to get safe Nuclear power is now, because the critics now still have some leverage and can shape it to be safer and better operated.

    71. Re:So uh by GameboyRMH · · Score: 1

      wind power accidents about 4x more people

      Wow, nuclear power is safer than a windmill. Will this convince people that nuclear power is safe, or start a conspiracy theory that windmills transform into autonomous killbots under a full moon?

      --
      "When information is power, privacy is freedom" - Jah-Wren Ryel
    72. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You left out using slave labor to turn the turbines. When was the last time anyone looked at the efficiency of that?

    73. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    74. Re:So uh by maxume · · Score: 1

      I would describe it more in terms of a whole series of boolean values.

      So if you have a design criteria that says you can't release radioactive materials into the environment and then your emergency response requires releasing a small amount of radioactive material into the environment, you have failed to meet that criteria and then you are doing an analysis of that failure to figure out how to meet the criteria in the future.

      The severity of failures and responses to them will certainly vary, but it isn't particularly ambiguous that there were problems with the planning, design and management of Fukushima Daiichi (how much each of those contributed doesn't seem very clear to me yet).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    75. Re:So uh by avgjoe62 · · Score: 1

      You do what you can where you can. You don't bury your head in a cooling tower and say that nuclear is our ONLY option just because you are too plain effing stupid to see any alternatives.

      --

      How come Slashdot never gets Slashdotted?

    76. Re:So uh by MoonBuggy · · Score: 1

      Storage infrastructure for wind power is a much bigger issue than your post would imply - it's good for supplementing the grid, as it's used now, but if you're replacing whole nuclear plants with wind then the only practical storage system is to pump water up into reservoirs, which basically means you need to build an entire hydroelectric plant alongside your wind farm.

      There's also the fact that wind turbines don't kick out that much power - to replace a 2GW nuclear plant, you'll need about 1000 of the most powerful turbines money can buy; fulfilling an order like that is a much bigger undertaking than just throwing a few out of the factory and into a field somewhere, even without factoring the aforementioned storage system.

    77. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I imagine (and this is an uneducated opinion) all the junk coal and oil plants pump out under regular circumstances is probably going to kill more people than the japan nuclear crisis over the long run.

      Oh, and how. If I was to tell you coal was 1,000 times deadlier than nuclear, I'd still be understating things.

      Some rough figures:

      Deaths per terawatt hour: coal, 161, nuclear, 0.04. (http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:jvGUABAHz4wJ:nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html+http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=uk&source=www.google.co.uk) Excluding the Banqiao dam disaster of 1975, (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banqiao_Dam) Hydroelectric is almost as safe as nuclear, but not quite. 0.10 deaths per terawatt hour. Including it, the death rate for hydro rises more than tenfold, to 1.4 per TWh. (This rate includes deaths from pollution as well as fatalities during mining, power station construction, etc.)

      Present annual world power production is about 19,000TWh (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_generation). We get about half our power from coal, so that gives about 1,500,000 deaths annually attributable to coal; and 5% from nuclear; 38 deaths annually. If we got 50% of our power from coal and 50% from nuclear, the annual death rates would be 1,500,000 and 380. With such low fatality rates for nuclear power generation, every accident causes a noticeable blip in the death figures. That doesn't happen for coal, of course.

      1.5 million people a year dying from coal-related ailments does sound a bit high, but premature deaths due to outdoor air pollution are estimated at around 300,000 deaths per year in China alone (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coal_power_in_the_People%27s_Republic_of_China), so I don't think it's a preposterously high figure.

    78. Re:So uh by spikedvodka · · Score: 1

      Same thing with Automobile vs. Air-travel fatalities
      in 2009 :
      automotive fatalities per 100,000,000 miles traveled: 1.13 http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx
      Airline Fatalities per 1,000,000 miles traveled: 0.0003 http://www3.ntsb.gov/aviation/table5.htm

      if we adjust the airline numbers to reflect 100 million miles, we get 0.03 fatalities.

      you are 190 times more likely to die when in a car, than if you were flying, but yet we are so worried about air accidents. They make better news because you will typically have higher fatalities *at once*, rather than a handful across the country every day.

      people just don't understand statistics.

      I'm with you on the nuclear thing.

      --
      I will not give in to the terrorists. I will not become fearful.
    79. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 2

      Renewable look great if you only need to present a 40min fluff piece on discovery channel. But once you run the numbers, they look terrible and fantastically expensive.

      A big turbine is 5MW, so you would need about 940 turbines to replace the Fukushima I Nuclear power station (note there is another plant about the same size 11km away as well). Oh, and you only have full power on perfectly optimal wind days, to much and you have to feather them, to little... well its just less. The average is *well* below 5MW per turbine. So lets be really stupidly unrealistic in favor and assume the average power per turbine is 2.5MW. Now you need only about 1880 turbines and a massive energy storage facility. And that will replace just *one* (ok quite large) nuclear instillation. Now consider the cost of buying and maintaining all that. All that steel, copper and other resource that sit at the top of a expensive mast working well below there design capacity for most its working life. All the cabling and road access requirements. Not to mention that you need somewhere to put all 1880 turbines and they don't like begin close together. Oh and you still need a pretty big energy storage facility, they don't come cheap.

      The problem is that people don't understand the sheer scale of energy we consume to have our current lifestyle. There are almost no places left for Hydro, and dams and earthquakes have done *worse* than nuclear and are not zero environmental impact. Solar thermal is expensive, very expensive and you make your power a long way from where you need as well as the energy storage issues. Tidal power is limited to just a few places in the world and requires massive structures and again pretty serious environmental impacts. Energy storage won't solve capacity problems and currently proposed systems don't come even close to dealing with the massive amounts of storage needed for wind or solar.

      Seriously you have only a few choices. Blackouts, fossil fuels or nuclear. The numbers don't lie.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    80. Re:So uh by spikedvodka · · Score: 1

      My Bad, I misread the table... for airlines, the number is 0.072 fatalities per 100,000,000 miles flown
      this changes the final result to roughly 16 times more likely to die when in a car over flying.

      --
      I will not give in to the terrorists. I will not become fearful.
    81. Re:So uh by Migraineman · · Score: 1

      Biofuels are also your best best for carbon sequestration. Pumping CO2 into a salt dome is asinine. The carbon sequestration pundits are really bad at math, and don't comprehend large numbers. You can only sweep so much dirt under the carpet ...

    82. Re:So uh by definate · · Score: 1

      I've got a friend who works for various companies on making their solar cells more powerful.

      There are heaps of emissions released in the creation of the solar cells.
      At significant quantities, they become a lot more expensive.
      They produce a LOT of waste in production.

      On top of that, I doubt they'd withstand a hurricane, and given it's "hurricane weather", they likely wouldn't be producing any power. There is still a lot of red tape to wade through (though granted, less), because of the subsidies required to make this economical.

      Small home wind turbines don't generate enough, because most small homes aren't in windy areas, and small turbines already produce very little, and most people hate the noise, and sight of wind turbines.

      Many people that deal with marine life, also don't want tidally generated power, as that means introducing huge inefficient things which invade the native animals areas.

      Everything you've said regarding the profits they could make is wrong. These sources are more expensive, especially in the quantities you're talking about (even if they were small and spread over time). They will maintain the panels? They'll come and clean/wash them? They will want to make my home energy efficient, adding how much annoyance to me? So on top of the cost of it, you've got the maintenance of it by them, you've got the usual power infrastructure maintenance, and you've got something that becomes increasingly expensive at larger production amounts.

      What you've proposed, should only be a small part of the solution, until the tech improves, as it would be amazingly expensive.

      --
      This is my footer. There are many like it, but this one is mine.
    83. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know your problem?

      You aren't rational.

      The only people completely dismissing energy generating techniques out of hand are the majority of the Greens. You view the world through ideology and bend facts to suit that ideology.

      Rational people look at the facts and deal with reality. NOTE: not all greens are anti-nuclear fuckwits

    84. Re:So uh by HungryHobo · · Score: 2

      "Chernobyl is going to be a reoccurring"

      all things are possible.

      the problem is that nuclear is safe like air travel while most of it's alternatives are safe like road travel.

      People are afraid of flying in a plane because when there's an accident a lot of people die at once and it hits world headlines.
      When there's some kind of failure they get to see hours of drama on the news as the plane circles and they try to land it without the landing dear down or something along those lines.

      of course in reality you're more likely to die driving to the airport then while on the plane but people are irrational like that, road travel may kill vastly more people and be vastly more risky but it's boring and mundane.

      per terawatt more people die per year from most other sources than from nuclear but radiation is sexy, radiation is scary, falling off the roof while installing a panel is mundane, getting unlucky and being choked by your safety cord while working on a wind turbine is boring, dying in a coal mine or iron mine is a little more interesting yet still doesn't have the nuclear zaz.

      people complain about land being made unusable for a while but that's nothing special, coal sludge spills make vast tracts of land useless due to the heavy metals, oil drilling can destroy areas of the ocean that dwarf states and even gas drilling has lead to at an area where 10000 people used to live in Malaysia turning into an unusable wasteland after it caused a mud volcano.

      Plutonium has a long half life but arsenic is forever.

      Saying that we should abandon nuclear because there will be accidents is like saying we should abandon planes because there will be crashes and instead we should just drive everywhere or (for a parallel with the smug fuckers who always jump in with "the sun's always shining somewhere" or "it's always windy somewhere") just cycle everywhere because it's so much safer.

    85. Re:So uh by Liambp · · Score: 1

      I don't think you are correct to assume that uranium reserves will outlast oil reserves.

      Known oil reserves dwarf the energy content of known Uranium reserves. The World Energy Council's survey of World energy is a good source for this. Of course we are using far more oil than we are uranium at present. My back of envelope calculation from WEC data suggest crude oil will run out in about 40 years while Uranium could last 80 at current rates of production. However given how slowly we are moving away from oil I think it is inevitable that non-conventional oil reserves will be exploited (shale / tar sands etc) and that could give us another century of oil.

      In any case regardless of what happens to oil I don't think uranium will be an option in 50 years time.

    86. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I agree, if you bet right you will live in clover, if you bet wrong you will be a third world country.

      Nothing like real risk.....

    87. Re:So uh by catmistake · · Score: 1

      The "zOMG, nuclear power always causes 3-eyed rats and flipper babies made of pure cancer!" brigade is out to lunch.

      I'm not sure what is more disturbing, the inhumanity of this statement, or the reality of it. Chernobyl has killed people that weren't even born when it happened; lets see a coal or hydro accident do that. There is an entire generation of babies born without limbs. We're 25 years out, and still no one can live there.

      Rational and intelligent individuals will question nuclear proliferation based on 2 things: 1) the waste issue, 2) cost.

      Every single reactor site in the US has a temporary spent fuel facility that was at capacity over a decade ago. We still don't know what to do with the stuff. NO ONE HAS LEGITIMATELY SOLVED THIS, and the best they can do is defer the situation until the future. Even if Yucca Mountain had been built, it would have been filled more than twice by the amount of waste we already now have in the US. Even if fast breeder reactors were used to reprocess the waste, Yucca would still be full by now. And it was a terrible idea to begin with (how the heck are we supposed to keep toxic material safe for 30K years??)

      The reality of expense is that once you account for the massive investment of resources in nuclear bomb fuel factories made by the US in the 1950's (electricity was a side effect, they were built for bomb fuel, and no return on investment was ever paid to tax payers), and the incidents at Chernobyl, TMI, and Fukushima, nuclear power becomes far more expensive than even the most inefficient solar installations. Chernobyl is still costing... estimated $250 billion by 2015, and it still won't be cleaned up... most experts agree that clean up is impossible, that place is effectively dead forever. TMI cost 14 years of cleanup and $1 billion. Fukushima is going to cost a lot more than TMI.

      IMHO, it's not just those 2 factors, cost and waste, but the fact that, try as they may, humans are unreliable. Someone somewhere is cutting corners for more profit, and lying about it.

      Just how many nuclear incidents are necessary before nuclear proponents rethink the situation?

    88. Re:So uh by Xenkar · · Score: 1

      I like to include the extraction method with the actual burning of natural gas when deciding the impact on the environment. Natural gas fracking ruins water tables and poisons our water supplies.

      I would rather drink Tokyo tap water than anything from a water table that has been fracked.

      Nuclear power currently is an accident waiting to happen because we're only allowed to build ancient reactor designs instead of newer designs that won't meltdown when power is lost to the water pumps.

      What happened in Japan was completely avoidable and by avoidable I don't mean by burning fossil fuels instead. The most dangerous fallout from this event won't be from the reactors but from ignorant people holding us back from switching over to nuclear power completely.

      The same kind of people also gutted our space program so we won't get solar collectors in outer space either.

      But there are some solutions to this problem:
      - Educate the public on the benefits of science.
      - Move to an unclaimed island and create a scientific utopia there.
      - or just drink booze until we are as dumb as everyone else so reality hurts less.

    89. Re:So uh by VolciMaster · · Score: 1

      If you think the science on _both_ side of the climate change issue is bad, you need to stop drinking the spiked cool-aid... There is science on only one side of the debate (it exists, it is caused by carbon, and humans are emitting crazy amounts).

      There is a lot of high-quality spin on the other side, though...

      As should you (stop drinking the koolaid, that is) - humans do emit a lot of pollutants - but nothing in comparison to animals and natural earth processes. The "science" exists on both sides for a reason - it is NOT a settled debate, and there is much left to wonder about.

    90. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      "the problem is that nuclear is safe like air travel"

      Air travel has quite an impressive track record. Nuclear power is still pretty new, with stockpiles being almost non-existant a couple decades ago, so it doesn't have quite the elaborate history as plane flight in my opinion. Not to mention, besides Chernobyl, a really bad accident hasn't happened yet. What if a reactor explodes in upstate New York because of whatever reason (act of god / terrorism / negligence) and the wind takes the radioactive cloud to NYC. The potential for insane amounts of casualties exists and is worth considering and not writing off so easily because of 'past performance' as you are trying to do.

      Arsenic and other problems with exploiting third-world countries are also a problem, but that should not be a justification for building more Nuclear plants. They are both horrible.

    91. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Which is just fine.

      a) breeder reactors will should be used at that point to get rid of the spent fuel. And it also good, because upgrade of nuclear plants should be forced. The absence of fuel is a good enforcement mechanism.
      b) when oil is worth 1000$ a barrel, you should stop burning it... It is way too valuable for that. As a positive side effect, chewing gums might also disappear.

      We will never get away from oil. Just from oil as an energy source.

    92. Re:So uh by Marcika · · Score: 2

      I'd say that wind turbines are much quicker to build (2-3 years?) than nuclear plants, so why on earth would you need

      - use nuclear as a stopgap for renewable/fusion

      for anyway.

      Because you can't run your base load off of wind right now: Wind doesn't always blow, pumped storage is scarce due to geographic limitations, and we are 15-25 years away from either a superconducting continental grid or a continent-wide storage composed of electro-car batteries.

      Since the other renewables are very location-dependent at the moment (hydro, tidal, geothermic) or intermittent (solar), that leaves us with fossil or nuclear as a base load stopgap.

    93. Re:So uh by khallow · · Score: 1

      you have failed to meet that criteria and then you are doing an analysis of that failure to figure out how to meet the criteria in the future.

      Sure, by all means figure out how this could have gone better. Just keep in mind that it went pretty well. No suicide missions, no evacuation of north Japan. No core fires that were left burning for weeks or months because nobody could get close enough to do anything about them.

      Even when failure happens, a nuclear plant doesn't just stop working. There are all sorts of safeguards that come into play (containment vessel, emergency pumps, etc).

      The severity of failures and responses to them will certainly vary, but it isn't particularly ambiguous that there were problems with the planning, design and management of Fukushima Daiichi (how much each of those contributed doesn't seem very clear to me yet).

      There was also a magnitude 9 earthquake and a over-spec tsunami. You might want to include those factors too.

      Most things made by humans are designed to fail gracefully when failure occurs. If a plane loses an engine, it typically doesn't just fall out of the sky. If a car bumps a brick wall, it doesn't explode. If a bridge develops cracks, it doesn't fall down.

      A forty year old power plant gets hit by a quake far more powerful and a tsunami a bit higher than its design specs. And the worst that happens is some panicked cooling effort and a modest radiation release. That's graceful failure right there.

    94. Re:So uh by Asic+Eng · · Score: 1

      There are (not unexpectedly) no dedicated statistics showing how many people die while falling from the roof where they were installing solar panels. The site you linked to admits as much - it estimates the number based on general roofing accidents and numbers of PV installations. That's not entirely invalid, but when comparing deaths with nuclear installations you would then have to estimate how many people die during construction, transportation of fuel to the plant, or plain old commuting to work. (The last because the installed PV panel doesn't cause additional commuting anymore.)

      Also it seems a bit strange to solely focus on deaths - there are quite considerable numbers of severe health effects from radiation, like thyroid cancer in children and the like.

    95. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      No. Just no. The scientific consensus is very clear. There is _no_ science on the side of climate change deniers. Where science means actual research by actual independent researchers publishing in actual journals.

    96. Re:So uh by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

      woah woah woah.

      look.

      nothing, nothing, NOTHING could ever survive if a fault line OPENS UP AND SWALLOWS IT LIKE IN THAT MOVIE 2012

      fortunately that sort of thing very very very rarely happens -- but if it were, NOTHING WE COULD DO WOULD HELP. Since it's an obscenely unlikely scenario and impossible to design around, it's ignored.

      that's just ridiculous.

      and yes, the IFRs and many other modern reactors use p-239 -- which we have laying around, it's currently waste (or uh, refined into bombs) -- these modern reactors use it as *fuel*, and the remaining waste after that is much less radioactive and for a much shorter time period. Why aren't we doing that? Because of nuclear non-proliferation treaties we've signed. That's the only real reason we're not jumping in more with fuel reprocessing and modern reactors.

      We just don't want the other world wagging their finger at us because we maybe, possibly, could produce more nuclear weapons with new plants.

      Fuck the rest of the world, I don't give two shits if they think every american OWNS a nuclear warhead. If they don't think we can be responsible with our nuclear shit, they can come over here and try to do something about it. I am being sincere. This is a matter of our nation's future survival. We need energy. Why should we abandon GREAT technology that could provide hundreds of years of power, that might actually FINALLY move America to energy independence, just because some Rooskies that are going to talk shit on us anyway start a bunch of huff that GOSH,THAT PLANT, THAT COULD BE CONVERTED TO PRODUCE NUCLEAR WEAPONS!

      I don't give a shit if it could be. It's not, because we're using that radioactive material as fuel. It's not like we're a new nuclear power. We are *THE* nuclear power. I think if we were going to use nukes on anyone, we would have by now (excepting uh the whole WWII thing).

      That is, basically, the issue -- the US Gov't doesn't want other nations going around tsk-tsk'ing us for building new plants that could possibly be used to produce nuclear weapons, and the US citizenry doesn't want any nuclear plant within 150 miles of them, period.

      Both groups are off their fucking rocker and irrational, and it's harming us all.

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    97. Re:So uh by B2382F29 · · Score: 1

      Look at Germany. They build renewables like there is no tomorrow, and yet they need to open gas plants and coal plants, and import electricity from nuclear France.

      [Citation needed]

      As far as I know germany produces more energy than is used (it is a net exporter of energy), thus your insulting point becomes moot you "bloody hypocrite"

      --
      Move Sig. For great justice.
    98. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      First of all, in a country like USA there is ALWAYS enough wind.

      It is impossible you don't have any wind at all on any of your costs.

      Second, the energy grids are interlinked. Do you really think germany for instance has an isolated grid?

      If all power plants in germany would shut down, we had enough current from Austria, Poland, Norway, Denmark, Switzerland and France .. no one would even notice.

      Third: the storage technology exists. It is a myth that it does not.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    99. Re:So uh by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      The science on both sides to this point is so bad its not really worth considering

      Stopped reading here.

    100. Re:So uh by cjc25 · · Score: 1

      I'd say that wind turbines are much quicker to build (2-3 years?) than nuclear plants, so why on earth would you need

      - use nuclear as a stopgap for renewable/fusion

      for anyway.

      Because electricity storage is inefficient. Wind power generates electricity, but only when the wind is blowing (obviously). When the wind stops blowing, you need to have stores of excess electricity in order to continue powering things like hospitals and backup systems for nearby nuclear power plants. Unfortunately, storing that electricity loses some of that electricity, although I don't have data on the rate. Nevertheless, the huge amount of excess capacity you'd need to store enough energy to maintain service is too costly in both money and land, which is why wind power is widespread despite the fact that the industry has an array of governmental supports, from tax incentives to exclusive contracts.

    101. Re:So uh by atomicdoggy · · Score: 1

      Fracking has been around for decades without problem. Why is it all of a sudden a problem? Oh yeah, it is now being used in places on the east coast instead of just out here in "over fly land".

    102. Re:So uh by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      Assuming you live in the USA you have plenty of place in your desserts to build a thermal solar plant.

      Yes, our pies are always sunny.

    103. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sigh.

      Do you know anything about large scale energy production?

      So? How much of that power does Germany actually use?

      100% of that is used.
      You know, it is not like: wow, we suddenly have to much wind, we have to shut down the coal plant.
      You know that in advance, obviously. Also in germany we have weather reports, you know?
      Anyway, the point is: you use water power plants to store energy. If yo have indeed to much energy and can not react on it in a more reasonable way you use it to pump water back up into the water reservoir of the water plant.

      That much wind and solar means that Germany has to rely on external power production (such as nuclear and coal plants in France and Russia) in order to have a reliable power grid.

      First of all: know we don't have to rely on that.
      Second: of course we do. We live in Europe. Not in germany. What is wrong in exporting power to Poland when it gets night there and importing power from Norway?
      Or importing solar power from Spain and exporting wind power back?
      The USA are so hugh!!! You easily can import/export power from one region to the others and have a national power grid working perfectly.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    104. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      It isn't "impossible to design around". Quit giving free passes to something we half-ass.

      We need better control over the technology. I promise in the future there will be some crazy mixture of chemicals that will nullify those reactor cores immediately and render them inert.

      Once we have that capability, you can build nuclear reactors wherever you want. Until then, I consider the liability too high.

    105. Re:So uh by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      The potential for damage from air travel is also large, we saw in 2001 what could happen when terrorists use it to attack their target and potentially they could have gone after far worse targets in terms of body count.

      the colapse of a hydro electric dam could kill hundreds of thousands.
      And that *is* based on past performance because they've done just that in the past.

      nuclear has over 40 years of history and so far it's doing pretty well with only the oldest plants having problems and the one in japan being after one of the biggest earthquakes and tsunamis ever to hit the country.

      The potential for insane amounts of casualties exists with almost all sources.

      Blow up an oil rig and you could cause billions worth of damage and another deepwater horizon ,poison countless people and destroy the livelyhoods of even more.

      Drive a truck full of explosives into the side of a chemical plant that produces solvents for use in the production of solar panels and you could have another bhopal if the toxic cloud was blown over a big city.

      yes it shouldn't be dismissed, yes safety is important and I'm all for backups for backups for backups for backups but nuclear is simply safer than any of it's realistic alternatives.

    106. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      i dont know what you were talking about regarding weapons proliferation. that was never my argument.

    107. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fairness to those worried about nuclear risk, we are now entering the phase where most reactors were supposed to be being decommissioned and replace with new reactors. As we extend beyond their intended lifespans, the risk of an accident probably increases due to wear. Also, a true worst case would involve the meltdown being upwind of a major city or a densely populated region. If a reactor in say Kentucky had a meltdown at a time when prevailing winds drove the fallout over the Boston-Washington corridor, it would be devastating. Similarly a reactor in Ireland or England melting down could spread fallout across most of western Europe. Compare to Chernobyl which was in a region that had already endured the Soviet WWII scorched earth policy.

    108. Re:So uh by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      They are are also eye sores.

      I hate that term. Why? Because generally whatever being talked about is NOT an "eye sore". In this case, wind turbines. There is nothing inherently ugly or an eyesore. The problem is that people complain when they see something different. We see the same thing when people call PV panels on roofs "eye sores". They look better than the standard composit roofing that looks just like what it is. Tar paper with gravel sprinkled on it. Put up a ton of wind turbines and within a decade or two you will have no more people calling them "eye sores" than the number that you have calling side walks "eye sores".

    109. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Solar's actually the worst, by far.

      You're forgetting about heat stroke, sunstroke, all the poor fools dying of dehydration in the desert...

    110. Re:So uh by jd · · Score: 1

      There hasn't been a single uranium deposit found in like 50 years. If we switch to nuclear power, the reactors had best be damn efficient and have provision for recycling fuel or the fuel will run out before oil and coal.

      Fusion power is the best long-term hope but efforts on building ITER are stalled for political gain and universities get more funding from publishing research results than they'd get from a corporation by publishing a HOW-TO. That's not to say I think anyone's holding onto any secrets, but rather that there's too much incentive to not be looking very hard. Apologies to those who actually ARE looking hard. The three of you will get free luncheon vouchers after the rant.

      Renewable energy is currently in its infancy and I'm suspicious as to some of the approaches used. The "eggwhisk" design for a wind turbine is surely more stable than a windmill, will work no matter what direction the wind blows (without needing huge motors to turn it the right way), but aside from seeing it used in practice at an alternative energy center/community, I've not seen it used in the field much. Solar panels for generating electricity aren't nearly as efficient at extracting power as solar panels for heating water. Since a fair chunk of power goes into heating water, it would seem more efficient to cut out the middle step (as far as possible) and go to direct heating.

      As for fission power, the Japanese apparently made a conscious choice to ignore historic data prior to the late 1800s (ie: all historic events relating to mega earthquakes and mega tsunami). The owner of the plant has also been making a conscious choice to mis-inform and/or ill-inform the public - presumably on the theory that an ignorant public won't panic. No, ignorant publics tend to panic. Well-informed publics, even if they don't understand a word that is said, are happier for knowing that someone knows what is happening and what to do about it. To mis-quote the popular British legal phrase, problem-solving must not only be done, it must be seen to be done.

      The accepted practice* (now) in America and Europe is to take the worst historical combination of events a given area has suffered (ignoring asteroid strikes, supervolcanoes and Mayan calendar prophecies) and build on the assumption that this worst possible combination of events is one that may well happen and the reactor should be able to survive it. Had the Japanese reactor site been built using these methods, the earthquake would have done less damage, the retaining wall would have held water up to the levels that (historically) happen on that coast during major earthquakes, and the emergency generators would have been at least ten feet further off the ground. (Geologists can point to three almost-identical events in the past 3,000 years, tsunami-hights included, and have been saying since 2001 that that part of the coast was overdue for exactly this.)

      *It may be "accepted pratice" in the nuke industry, but that kind of engineering certainly doesn't apply to the rest of the infrastructure, which is a total mess, badly built and badly maintained. And just because it's accepted doesn't mean nuke engineers adhere to the standards, merely that the standards exst and that the engineers accept they really should adhere to them. If the Republican plan in the last presidential election had gone through, to build 30 reactors in a short time, I can see corner-cutting and cost-cutting being a major part of that,

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    111. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      "First of all, in a country like USA there is ALWAYS enough wind." - False

      "It is impossible you don't have any wind at all on any of your costs." - "Second, the energy grids are interlinked. Do you really think germany for instance has an isolated grid?" - It's a known fact that the U.S. grid infrastructure is incapable of routing significantly "lopsided" loads. One major wind project in Texas got cancelled because it depended on a major grid infrstructure upgrade that didn't happen. A large wind installation in Washington state or Oregon had to actively reduce output in a number of high-wind situations because the grid couldn't handle it. Upgrading our grid will take years.

      "If all power plants in germany would shut down, we had enough current from Austria, Poland, Norway, Denmark, Switzerland and France .. no one would even notice." - I don't think your grid has that much capacity. Your neighbors don't, and if they do, they're going to charge you an arm and a leg for the power. I'm going to laugh when Germany replaces their domestic nuclear power with French nuclear power and the French overcharge you for it. :)

      "Third: the storage technology exists. It is a myth that it does not." - We have a saying in America - "Show me the money". You claim it exists. Show me - show an actual practical installation of a storage system that is capable of smoothing out the output of a wind farm to the point where it is suitable for baseload power. The only technology we have with sufficient capacity is pumped-storage hydro, but we alread have pumped storage in place in the majority of locations where it is feasible. (Such as the major pumped storage facility downstream from Niagara Falls.)

      Do note that two of the largest wind farms in the world take a total of approximately 150,000 acres of land in Texas, and only provide as much electricity as two older nuclear reactors, or one newer one.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    112. Re:So uh by maxume · · Score: 1

      An over spec event is exactly a failure in planning and design.

      I completely disagree that losing normal cooling operations on a design that requires active cooling is graceful. In a graceful failure, you don't need to take extreme emergency action, you use the plan that your design calls for (I'd rather not argue about whether pumping sea water into the reactors was called for, it is close enough to improvisation for me.).

      And there are lots of reasons that nuclear reactors need to succeed all the time (you carefully note that planes don't typically fall out of the sky, of course they occasionally do), a big one being that people will freak out over small failures.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    113. Re:So uh by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      So it costs similar to what we pay in California. To be fair, we do get a little bit of reasonably priced electricity, but once you break 500kwh a month, it skyrockets to pretty much the same as Germany or more.

    114. Re:So uh by Cinnamon+Whirl · · Score: 1

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

      You could say that about any technology. Pretty much everything we have made up until now will be replaced by something better in the long term. Even sliced bread seems to have been replaced by the wrap.......

    115. Re:So uh by jd · · Score: 1

      Blame the governments for that. The paranoia engendered during the Cold War (including execution of some for treason in the US) over anything nuclear was beyond imagination. The anti-nuke-weapons campaigners added to this with such docu-dramas as Threads (which, if you've not seen it, you should).

      The consequence is that the public has only terrifying images of global catastrophe to work with. Education being controlled by lobbyists isn't helping. What can we expect from this?

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    116. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry,
      we all know that the USA has a 1st world military and the rest is pretty close to third world standards.
      Emphasizing on the power grid here and also mentioning the water "grid" (how is that called?).

      Your arguments are not really making a point ^^

      Especially the storage thing. All the world is using various versions of storage technologies.

      Solar: you plan the plant so it has enough heat storage to run over night with like 50% - 60% of its power.
      Wind: you mainly use water plants or compressed air plants or hugh batteries. USA btw is leading in technology for hugh chemical batteries.

      Regarding your wind plants in Texas: then get bette wind turbines. Come on, that plant is how old?
      In germany we have wind plants that in total are on par with our 20 nuclear plants. Most of them got build last 10 years.

      If we can do that, you can do that as well.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    117. Re:So uh by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      (or at least they don't think they do, as they eat a banana split on their granite counter-top after getting home on a transatlantic flight from Europe)

      You take transatlantic flights fro Europe every day? I don't know whether to be envious of you for your massive wealth, or sorry for you for spending your life on an airplane.

      (Sorry, couldn't resist.)

    118. Re:So uh by kheldan · · Score: 1

      I'll wager that most of the people who are against nuclear power also think that microwave ovens produce the same sort of 'radiation' than nuclear fission produces. We need nuclear power; other non-fossil fuel sources aren't going to cut it. That being said nuclear power plants need to be expensive and need to have safety taken deadly seriously; they cannot be managed by the typical bean counters that manage everything else because the consequences are just too damned high to leave to chance. But we need this technology, at least to tide us over until we develop something at least comparable in efficiency, and definitely with fewer potential consequences.

      --
      Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
    119. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      so far, you might be the only person who has persuaded me to rethink my position.

      I just hate not being able to 'turn it off' in an emergency situation. I mean hell, Fukushima is still having problems and they have had access to everything, for weeks!

      A couple diesel generators failed and the whole stupid thing is about to melt down. That seems completely irresponsible and unsafe to me.

    120. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 2

      http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=gm&v=83

      Being a net exporter does not mean you can provide for your baseline. Wind is no good for the baseline without a smart grid.

    121. Re:So uh by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      You do realize that power can be stored right? Someone always pipes in that PV doesn't produce electricity at night. That is why you produce extra during the day and store it until night. If you want to claim that there isn't a good battery solution for in home use, that might be reasonable, but the fact that the sun doesn't shine at night is silly.

    122. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For today probably, in the long term certainly not.

      Nothing is forever.

      and

      We live in the short term - long term will take care of itself.

    123. Re:So uh by Mr.+Foogle · · Score: 1

      I am big fan of COAL, because we have lots of it!

      You are invited to live downwind from a coal plant. As a bonus, your house is on a railroad carrying coal to the plant - enjoy those long strings of cars grinding by on a daily basis.

      Check your dosimeter daily for extra fun and grins.

      --
      Display some adaptability.
    124. Re:So uh by HungryHobo · · Score: 1

      It is hard, it's human nature, the disaster that might happen is scarier than the one which did, the invisible killer is scarier than the choking smog cloud.

      there were quite a few plants hit by the same disasters which did ok.
      As with all things it's a combination of disasters and mistakes.
      A couple of diesel generators, and the backups, and the local power grid, and a few other emergency systems damaged by the tsunami.

      newer reactor designs are of course a hell of a lot safer but that comes across as a bit hollow in the middle of a current disaster.

      The situation is by no means trivial and the other plants should be looked at and extra systems put in place or simply replaced with significantly better reactors but it's no reason to abandon nuclear altogether.

    125. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That's like 250 Chernobyls every year. Yet people want to hold off on nuclear plants because "they're too dangerous" when the only viable alternative is more coal plants. It's madness.

      It's not a comparison of the *current* stats that gets people, but of the *possible* stats. The coal deaths don't have much variation - they're already basically already at their worst-case scenario, and there's a fairly short time lapse between when you stop burning coal and people stop dying from the side effects. A very well known risk.

      Nuclear power, on the other hand, has already had a couple large disasters and hasn't been rolled out anywhere near the extent that coal has. Nuclear's worst case scenario hasn't happened yet, and yet the current issues in Japan show that we can't be sure we can make it impossible either. And the nuclear worst case scenarios kill a lot more people and in some scenarios don't stop killing for thousands of years. If we stopped all the coal and all the fission plants today, Chernobyl still won't be safe to live near for HOW long? And that's before considering the waste disposal in scenarios where everything is going perfectly; those solutions tend to be 'bury it and hope it doesn't leak for thousands of years' or 'dump it in the ocean depths and hope it doesn't leak for thousands of years', with your choice of additional 'argue about reprocessing' and 'promote a reactor design that doesn't exist yet, but you read about a small scale academic test on slashdot once and are therefore a nuclear engineer'. (None of those quotes aimed at you specifically, Solandri, I'm just saying they come up in every nuke thread on slashdot).

      So whether I agree with the anti-nuke or pro-coal people or not, I can see where they're coming from with the fear aspect. We really need to also get the wind turbines up and the solar panels angled and those fusion reactors economically viable, either way, IMO; the debate is for what we do in between.

    126. Re:So uh by Solandri · · Score: 1

      Here the link to the wind-related death stats. To the wind industry's credit, they have been improving and their fatality rate in the last decade is down significantly from the 1990s. But the average fatality rate comparisons extend before the 2000s because if you left out 1986 (Chernobyl), the anti-nuclear people would throw a fit.

      For the U.S. specifically, nuclear power currently generates about 20% of our electricity and has had zero fatalities in over 50 years of commercial power generation (maybe 2 or 3 if you accept the outside high estimates of the consequences of Three Mile Island). Wind generates less than 1% of our electricity, and has had 13 fatalities since the 1970s. Scale wind power up to the amount of electricity currently generated by nuclear in the U.S. and you're looking at about 125 wind-related deaths per year.

    127. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Interesting.

      You forgot to mention that coal also rains down heavy metals and radioactive isotopes all over the surrounding land. Coal isn't clean and I am dubious it will be. How long has it taken between the time they recognized these problems and having a solution? They still don't and aren't close as far as I know. But I haven't looked into it for a few years now.

      Still if there was a meltdown near a major city in the US. It would render the entire city not useful for a long while. In places like New York or LA, there would be considerable economic upheaval and potentially substantial loss of life. Rendering large swaths of land not usable doesn't help us really so we need to be wise and prudent.

      There are those who insist that radiation is no biggy, but I tend to believe that we need to be better equipped to play with it since it will be around with us for countless generations.

      I think nuclear definitely plays a role now and in the future, we just need some better ways of dealing with problems and better ways of dealing with nuclear refuse.

      Fossil fuels will take care of themselves since they will just run out after a bit. But nuclear material for reactors is limited as well and doesn't offer a long term solution either.

    128. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      I never talked about our water supply infrastructure, unless you mean our hydroelectric installations which are, currently, at their maximum.

      Show me one case of a wind plant that has enough storage to completely even out its output variations.

      "USA btw is leading in technology for hugh chemical batteries." - Show me examples. Show me one example of a battery installation capable of meeting the needs of a large city, or even a small city which is powered only by wind/solar. Wind power in the USA is already experiencing problems from the fact that in the areas where we have the most suitable winds for power generation, the wind speeds tend to be low when power is needed most. (Specifically, most of our wind power comes from California and Texas - the times when power is needed the most are hot days due to air conditioning - those happen to also be the times when wind output is the lowest.)

      "Wind: you mainly use water plants or compressed air plants or hugh batteries. USA btw is leading in technology for hugh chemical batteries."
      What is a "water plant"? Do you mean pumped-storage hydroelectric? I already told you - we already have pumped-storage hydro in nearly any location that it can be placed. We have no more places to put large pumped-storage facilities in the United States. Pumped-storage carries nearly the same dangers to the population from dam failures as normal hydroelectric does. Remember, one dam failure incident in China (Banqiao) killed more people (26,000) in a matter of days than nuclear power has over its entire history (Estimate 4000-10000 from Chernobyl, beyond that only a few tens of people have died, mostly plant workers.) If you remove the dangerous Soviet experiments gone wrong using reactors that were designed primarily for producing bomb material and not safe power generation, the number of people who have died from nuclear power is in the tens or hundreds, nearly all of whom were plant workers or researchers.

      "Compressed air plant" - Show me one example of one of these that is anything beyond a pilot/proof of concept. I'm not sure if any of these exist other than as a drawing on someone's computer. It's interesting in theory, but in practice - There are plenty of issues, such as how one creates the storage cavern in the first place. There are a few existing locations where candidate caverns exist but not many.

      "Regarding your wind plants in Texas: then get bette wind turbines. Come on, that plant is how old?" - Two years. Roscoe opened in 2009.

      You claim Germany is proof that we can fully transition to wind and solar, but so far, wind only accounts for 5.1% of your electricity. Denmark is highest at nearly 20%, however, it's only 20% in a country with consistent enough wind to achieve a 24% capacity factor. Good luck achieving more than 50% of your demand economically using a technology with a less than 20% capacity factor in your country. Nuclear is perfect for baseload generation, historically delivering a 90% capacity factor.

      That's the problem with wind - as the percentage of electrical demand satisfied increases, the storage requirements increase. Most wind systems have not had to manage variation much due to being, at most, 20% of a country's electrical demand, but for every nuke plant you replace with a wind farm, you also need to add a coal or gas plant to fill in the holes.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    129. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      your but also needs some explicit corrections

      geothermal is restricted to specific geographic ranges that are hot and lack water. this limits the available cooling and therefore the power generation. very few sites are appropriate for geothermal, and most are at 100% capacity. geothermal is not a solution.

      solar cells already are 41% efficient (multijunction), or monocrystalline silicon (21-23%) there are theoretical limits to photon-electon conversion within each semiconductor layer. it is better to bet that solar power will become cheaper on an installed watt basis rather than more efficient. You need half the area when working with 20% efficient compared with 10% efficient, but those 10% cells are more than twice as cheap.

    130. Re:So uh by khallow · · Score: 1

      An over spec event is exactly a failure in planning and design.

      So? It happens no matter how much planning and design you do. What would you rather have? A design that fails gracefully or one that has really high specs, but fails hard when it fails.

      Keep in mind that there are other failures, such as not building the project in the first place, that can come from overplanning and excessive design.

      I completely disagree that losing normal cooling operations on a design that requires active cooling is graceful. In a graceful failure, you don't need to take extreme emergency action, you use the plan that your design calls for (I'd rather not argue about whether pumping sea water into the reactors was called for, it is close enough to improvisation for me.).

      You're free to disagree. You're not free to be correct. "Extreme emergency action" is a reasonable thing to expect as part of a nuclear reactor accident recovery process.

      And there are lots of reasons that nuclear reactors need to succeed all the time (you carefully note that planes don't typically fall out of the sky, of course they occasionally do), a big one being that people will freak out over small failures.

      Then just have more failures to get people accustomed to nuclear power. That's how it works for any other technology.

      Bottom line is that there was a serious disaster and that triggered a serious nuclear reactor accident. But Japan got it under control with the processes they already had in place.

    131. Re:So uh by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      What if a reactor explodes in upstate New York because of whatever reason (act of god / terrorism / negligence) and the wind takes the radioactive cloud to NYC.

      The only way to make a nuclear reactor explode is to pile tons of TNT around it and set the TNT off.

      And not just a few tons either. We're talking fill the building with TNT. Even then, lacking shaped charges, it's extremely unlikely that there would be a radioactive cloud heading to NYC afterwards.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    132. Re:So uh by cdrguru · · Score: 1

      Sadly, the AGW debate is centered on it being carbon and only carbon and all carbon coming from human sources that are under our control - if only we had the will do stop.

      The "other side" of this is certainly composed of people that do not understand and are utterly uninformed. But to dismiss everyone that has problems with "only carbon" and "all carbon is from human sources" as wacko is as silly as the people trying to say there is no climate change at all.

      Right now, we can guess that human sources of carbon are contributing to changes and stand a pretty good chance of being right. Making the leap to say that climate change will stop if we stop emitting carbon is relying as much on faith as someone at a revival meeting.

      Pretty much change is here and we have little choice but to accept it and deal with it. And understand it.

    133. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There hasn't been a single uranium deposit found in like 50 years. If we switch to nuclear power, the reactors had best be damn efficient and have provision for recycling fuel or the fuel will run out before oil and coal.

      As someone that invests in Uranium mining sector, I have to say that is complete bullshit.

    134. Re:So uh by mldi · · Score: 1

      WEEEEEEEEEELLLLLLLL not exactly

      sure, the plants used to make the biofuel take in carbon, and then release it when the processed product -- biofuel -- is consumed..

      but there's a lot of processing and transportation to get to that point, nevermind the carbon footprint of growing the stuff -- fertilizers, pesticides, planting and harvesting. all those things output co2 -- all those things consume energy. biofuel really doesn't actually produce much energy, if at all, when you take the totality of the picture into account

      If the equipment used to do all that is using biofuels, it's still a zero net increase (besides stuff like engine oil to keep the engines lubed up). As Parent said, the CO2 is already there. You're not adding to it like you are with fossil fuels that are mined from the depths.

      --
      If you aren't suspicious of your government's actions, you aren't doing your job as a responsible citizen.
    135. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      "We (and I'm not an American) have only two choices: Nuclear, or live in huts."

      Well we Americans have more choices than 2. There are a bunch of other energy sources we can use to keep us going in addition to nuclear. Remember, nuclear is based on finite resources as well. Can't have nuclear without the substrate necessary to run them so when that runs out the planet will still have to use other sources of energy.

      Those you term "dimwit environmentalists" include a bulk of people are just reasonably worried about making giant swaths of land useless by having a nuclear meltdown. I don't think this is unreasonable especially given longer term thinking. We still haven't figured out what to do with all of the leftover material and we still don't know what to do with the old plants.

      If nuclear were truly green then enviros would be having wet dreams about it, but they are not, because there are problems with it as there are with most forms of energy generation. Doesn't mean we shouldn't use it, but it helps if we learn from it and develop better tech. We need wiser application of nuclear. Being a "Nuclear baby Nuclear!" cheerleader is just to simplified.

      "So-called "renewables" are mostly a bad joke."
      You can tell that to my parents who heat their house all winter using their solar panel... hhahahahaha .... a passive solar collector running for 40 years with zero maintenance providing the heat for your house.... hahahaha.... makes no sense. Just because these things are not pervasive doesn't mean they are a joke.

      You can tell that to the folks living in Brazil who mostly power their cars with alcohol grown from glorified grass.

      You can tell that to my neighbors who heat their house and water with a geothermal system.

      Each renewable that removes someone from the grid allows the power we do have to go farther.

      Look. There are a lot of things which can help humanity out. Geothermal, heat exchangers, solar on every roof, windmills etc. Perhaps the most overlooked one is simply adding better insulation to ones house. We did an upgrade to our old house and cut our energy consumption in 1/2.

      The quickest way to have more power is to be more efficient with the energy we do have. Calling people dimwits doesn't help get us where we need to go, nor is it very accurate.

    136. Re:So uh by TheLink · · Score: 1

      you are 190 times more likely to die when in a car, than if you were flying, but yet we are so worried about air accidents.

      people just don't understand statistics.

      Actually the loss of control is an important factor.

      This is a psychological and perhaps a subconscious evolutionary thing. To some people having their life in their own incompetent hands is preferable to having their life in someone else's more competent hands. If someone else is flying the plane, it's not much of a fitness test for your genes, compared to say if you rode a motorcycle ;).

      --
    137. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      really?? because there were multiple Hydrogen Explosions at Fukushima which sent radioactive material into the atmosphere. I wasn't referring to a full-on hydrogen bomb scenario, but a slightly more severe Fukushima.

    138. Re:So uh by __aamnbm3774 · · Score: 1

      The Chernobyl reactor also exploded without TNT. Quit being a troll...

    139. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So coal kills thousands of people every year and releases far more radiation than Chernobyl, but hey, whatever.

    140. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      I did not mean that all carbon was human-originated -- this is clearly not the case. And of course there are many other greenhouse gases -- though carbon dioxide seems to be the principal culprit. Climate change is clearly there to stay, but unless emissions are somehow curbed, there will be dramatic consequences.

    141. Re:So uh by cartman · · Score: 1

      and I've yet to hear anyone suggest any alternative power, that could be done today, and be used to replace the coal+nuclear plants already in place.

      Then you don't read the right stuff...
      Why don't you look around how other countries produce energy?..
      Germany already produces over 25% from wind and solar. And on peak days

      I've looked into how Germany produces energy, and it seems to me that Germany is an example of the failure of renewable energy.

      Germany is an extremely "green" country. It has a large and influential green party that really influences events. It has the largest and most vocal anti-nuclear crowd anywhere in the world. It's also more committed to the rollout of renewable energy than any other large industrialized country, by far. It also funds and subsidizes renewables to an incredible degree, and has done so for decades.

      Still, renewables have been mostly a failure in Germany. It still gets far more power from nuclear than from renewables, despite decades of trying to "phase out" nuclear. Furthermore Germany still gets the majority of its electricity from coal burning, despite spending tons of money on alternatives. Furthermore Germany is among the worst c02 polluters for industrialized countries of similar population density, despite being at the forefront of renewable energy usage.

      Germany already produces over 25% from wind and solar. And on peak days, lots of wind and lots of sun, we do over 60%.

      Obviously on non-peak days (or weeks!) where the sky is overcast, without wind over a wide area, Germany produces 0% of its energy from wind and solar.

      The total amount of electricity produced and used from renewables in germany is 16.1%, not 25% as you claimed. That's after decades of aggressively promoting renewables and paying very high energy prices.

      It would be optimistic for Germany to replace even its current nuclear generating power with renewables over the next 10 years.

      Don't get me wrong, I admire the effort, but I think it's very premature for them to shut down their nuclear power plants.

    142. Re:So uh by hoppo · · Score: 1

      The best bet is actually to start saving and lower consumption over all.

      I wonder if you recognize the irony of using electricity strictly for recreational purposes in order to suggest that people need to lower their electricity consumption.

    143. Re:So uh by cartman · · Score: 1

      100% of that is used... Anyway, the point is: you use water power plants to store energy.

      Germany doesn't have anywhere near enough pumped hydro storage to use 100% of the wind power it generates.

      Even a massive construction of pumped hydro storage stations would only allow to store at most hours' worth of electricity. However windy periods (and non-windy periods) can last for weeks and can vary between seasons.

    144. Re:So uh by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      Wish I had mod points, green energy fanatics never seem to look at real world numbers and just assume everything will work.

    145. Re:So uh by Rising+Ape · · Score: 1

      What makes you believe this? A wind power plant is faster build up than a new coal plant or nuclear plant.

      The issue is it doesn't scale. At low percentage it's fine, but if you want 50% wind you run into big issues with intermittency - overproduction some of the time, underproduction the rest. That means you need storage, which isn't straightforward at all. Pumped storage hydro is about the best, but that costs money, has an environmental impact, a round-trip efficiency of about 75% and the geography isn't suitable everywhere.

      Assuming you live in the USA you have plenty of place in your desserts to build a thermal solar plant. Both options would be much cheaper than a coal or nuclear plant, more reliable and had low running costs.

      I don't think so. Onshore wind is reasonably close (if you ignore intermittency), but not solar.

    146. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Will it be short-lasting? In America, at least, you put public opinion polls and voting decisions together and we're still engaged in a holy war against Islam, 10 years after an attack by a political Islamic terrorist organization killed 3000 people. Somehow, anti-Islamic sentiment seems to be getting more acceptable, socially. We weren't even over TMI yet, before this disaster in Japan. Not a whole lot of perspective has been gained in either area, as far as I can tell.

      It's not everybody that's irrational, but it's enough of the body politic that it's impossible to make rational public policy.

      Yeah, nukes are in the hands of penny-pinching scumweasels. But they still have the best safety record in the energy industry (to be fair, only because everything else is also run by penny-pinching scumweasels). So even that point doesn't make a rational case against nukes, although it is a good point to make in order to make nuclear power even better.

      Nuclear power has some dramatic failure modes, and it's stopping us collectively from understanding that it's just the greenest power source and generally extremely winning. (I'm all for alternative sources, and I'm working hard on a solar thermal plant for my house as a hobby. But at utility scale you can't compare nuclear to solar - land is just not free, and insolation is just too low density compared to nuclear weak force. It just doesn't make engineering sense for utilities. Power density => equipment density => all kinds of efficiency.)

      I don't see much hope while half of us still believe in ghosts.

    147. Re:So uh by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      I blame the school system for that deficiency. And look how much money gets pumped into that. :P

    148. Re:So uh by sjames · · Score: 1

      Coal isn't just carbon emissions. Coal use is why pregnant women are advised to avoid fish due to mercury content. It also releases a lot more radiation than nuclear, even counting the current problems in Japan.

    149. Re:So uh by Tolkien · · Score: 1

      So would you suggest nations hold nation-wide oil-tycoon hunting parties once every four years, and once every forty years elect the survivor for a four year stint? A bit of shotgun diplomacy would possibly affect their views at least for the first few forty-year cycles. They would learn what people who don't bathe in money believe is best.

    150. Re:So uh by Americium · · Score: 1

      I think solar will become practical and cheap within 5-10 yrs, and by cheap, I mean cheaper than coal.

      Nuclear is expensive and dangerous.It's not really getting much cheaper and needs to be subsidized just to exist. Just leave the market alone and let Coal work for now, and solar will come online soon enough.

    151. Re:So uh by jd · · Score: 1

      Care to name any significant minable uranium ore deposits found in the last 50 years? You can say what you like, but you're still wrong.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    152. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * Well we Americans have more choices than 2.

      Didn't read the rest of the message did you. Doesn't surprise me.

      However, the fact remains that nuclear is the ONLY option that will fill the gap in energy demand in the future.

      * Remember, nuclear is based on finite resources as well. Can't have nuclear without the substrate necessary to run them so when that runs out the planet will still have to use other sources of energy.

      So it solar, so is wind, so are waves. Nuclear energy is energy from NUCLEAR REACTIONS. To all intents and purposes this is limitless. You are just another green idiot who thinks nuclear = uranium/plutonium.

      * If nuclear were truly green then enviros would be having wet dreams about it, but they are not, because there are problems with it as there are with most forms of energy generation.

      Nuclear energy is the greenest form of energy. This is a fact. It has killed fewer people than solar, wind and wave... not to mention coal, oil etc etc. Most environmentalists don't like it because a) they don't understand it. It's evil unnatrual black magic. b)they were the same people who campaigned as part of CND... and they don't understand the difference between a nuclear weapon and nuclear energy.

      * You can tell that to my parents who heat their house all winter using their solar panel... hhahahahaha .... a passive solar collector running for 40 years with zero maintenance providing the heat for your house.... hahahaha.... makes no sense. Just because these things are not pervasive doesn't mean they are a joke.

      Where to start... a) I didn't dismiss solar. b) your parents clearly live in a warm environment. c) 40 year old solar panel with no maintenance. You are clearly lying.

      * The quickest way to have more power is to be more efficient with the energy we do have. Calling people dimwits doesn't help get us where we need to go, nor is it very accurate.

      It's true in your case. You can't even stick read the message to which you are replying. None of the things you talk about "scale" to huge populations. "Energy efficiency" is currently the green topic du jour... as they know full well that our requirements massively outstrip our supply without nuclear. However, even in the green party's wet dreams of efficiency (which are hopelessly out of touch with reality), we won't be able to hit it... and we'll all be sat in the dark in 15 years time.

      * We need wiser application of nuclear

      Such as?

      Get a fucking clue. Nuclear energy is the future - and people like you are going to need to stop with the scaremongering bullshit like "bulk of people are just reasonably worried about making giant swaths of land useless by having a nuclear meltdown". You idiots don't even know what a fucking meltdown is... you just watched The China Syndrome once and think it sounds sinister.

      P.S. Yeah... you go google it now.

    153. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think solar will become practical and cheap within 5-10 yrs, and by cheap, I mean cheaper than coal.

      Nuclear is expensive and dangerous.It's not really getting much cheaper and needs to be subsidized just to exist. Just leave the market alone and let Coal work for now, and solar will come online soon enough.

      You are smoking a larger pipe than fusion people were smoking back in the 1970s! Oh yes, it will be free energy, just a few years away! Just a few years away!

      In the mean time, coal use in last 3 years outpaced solar+wind+geothermal+biomass+etc.etc.etc. growth by 2000%!

    154. Re:So uh by rbrander · · Score: 1

      Everybody hates to buy nuclear reactors that their country didn't make. Canada has never sold a reactor to a reactor-building nation, I doubt the US has, either. Still, for laughs, skim this:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Candu

      Please note the bits about "if the fuel rods start to melt, the reaction stops because it only works with the right fuel-rod geometry" (because they use unenriched uranium...why the IAEA doesn't just tell Iran they have to build CANDUs I don't know). Not to mention, the heat sink they're sitting in is large. And if it drains away, that ALSO stops the reaction because you need the heavy water to slow down fast neutrons so they react at all. I hate to rule out any possible Bad Thing happening, but I'm fairly sure they Just. Can't. Melt. Down.

      The IFR is *probably* great, but nobody's built one. We built two CANDUs in China in about 63 months flat; they've been running great for 8 and 11 years, respectively.

      From our point of view, we totally agree America should stop building their reactors.

      They should start building ours.

      I feel better, even though that will never happen.

    155. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_uranium_mines

      look over the list on the Year of Discovery column.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McArthur_River_uranium_mine

      is that major enough for you??

      As of December 31, 2009, the mine has proven and probable reserves of 778,500 tonnes at an average grade of 19.53% U3O8.[1] (335.2 Million pounds)

    156. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is another option:

      - Reduce energy consumtion drastically and go immediately to 100% renewables until we eventually figure out fusion.

    157. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Unlike other plants wind plants are either easy shut down if you have to much wind (which is already done) and as I pointed out in a different post, the european networks are all interconnected.
      If germany produced much to much wind energy we sell it to the surrounding neighbours.
      Finally, don't mix up contribution to the power mix by storage capacity.
      During ordinary production the contribution of water power is only a bout 1.5% - over the year it is usually around 3.5%.

      However windy periods (and non-windy periods) can last for weeks and can vary between seasons.

      That depends on the area of the world you look at.
      At the coasts e.g. this basically never happens.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    158. Re:So uh by Vexor · · Score: 1

      I live in Minnesota and we do have nuclear plants in the area. The worst natural disasters we suffer in the Midwest are tornadoes, snow and the occasional river flooding. There aren't massive earthquakes, tsunamis, hurricanes, volcanoes, or mudslides. Japan has far few options for where they locate plants, the US isn't nearly as limited. It would seem reasonable that we could make some intelligent decisions on location with a good design. I really don't see the problem for nuclear plants in the US. Sure some of our nuclear plants are aging, but there is no excuse (aside from $$$) for why we don't update them with new/safer tech.

      --
      ~Vexed and loving it!
    159. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The latest planning games show that all nuclear plants can be replaced by renewables till 2020.

      Of course we get the majourity of energy from coal burning. What did you think?

      Regarding the phasing out and the greeness ... germany never as green.

      Germany is an extremely "green" country. It has a large and influential green party that really influences events.

      That is a misconception. Now we have for the first time that a green party member "won" an election. That happened yesterday!!

      10 years ago the red party banned nuclear power. Perhaps your ideas about "green efforts" come from that. 8 years ago they lost the next election and the black party canceled the stop of nuclear power.

      The numbers in this charts indicate we have about 25% renewables right now http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/0,1518,751293,00.html (3 parts article in german)

      Keep in mind: not phasing out the nuclear plants ofc makes the new renewables uncompetitive at first glance.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    160. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Show me one case of a wind plant that has enough storage to completely even out its output variations.

      Sigh ... it is like fighting against wind mills.
      Wind plants don't store energy. That makes no sense at all.
      Either ... if you use current technology ... you store the extra energy of wind plants in water plants, or you build new storage plants based on compressed air, large chemical batteries or you export the power and you use intelligent grids, of course. Like switching on your washing machine when you have excess wind power and not in the early morning when you need extra coal power for it.
      No one doubts that a nuclear plant is "useable" for base load. We only doubt it is wise to have the waste lying around. Also in germany the economic costs for nuclear power is the highest of all available energy sources. Everything except the fuel itself is payed by the tax payer. The plants where not built by the industry but by the states, the transportation of fuel and burned down rods is payed by the tax payer, not the industry. Dismantling the plants and securing the area as well as storing the waste is done/payed by the state, not by the industry. Etc etc.
      Regarding your death numbers: sorry we don't care about the numbers of people that *have* died to this or that technology. We care about the numbers of people that *potentially* can die in the future.

      My general point is: this is an infrastructural question. If you change your infrastructure to something else it just works like the actual one. From a global point of view the costs are completely irrelevant and current research indicates switching is much much cheaper in the long run.

      Sorry that your Texas plant is so expensive ;D

      In germany wind/solar plants are expensive because building them is subsidized. So banks and plant builders gang up to sell financing to common people to participate in plant building. Bottom line the plants cost twice or three times as much as they should/could. I assume similar stuff happens in the rest of the world.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    161. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and alternative energy just isn't close enough for people to wait."

      I don't see it.

      (using very rough, but ball park numbers)

      We use about 500GW in the US and that grows
      at 2-3% year.

      That's a new 1 GW reactor a month just to keep up
      with the growth in demand, never mind replacement.

      Of course, keep that up long enough and most of
      your power will be nukes (assuming your reactors
      last a hundred years or so)

      Never mind replacing liquid fuels (ie gasoline etc)

      I don't see that happening any time soon.

      Solar thermal and/or photovoltaics seem like the
      best bet to me.

      Now maybe if they come up with a 1000hp (~3/4 MW) reactor
      design that they can knock out on an assembly
      line like they do 200hp SUVs.

      But they better build them better and I don't see that happening
      any time soon either.

      Personally I figure when gasoline hits 10$/gal (or something)
      it'll be 'fuck the environment, let's burn coal'

    162. Re:So uh by cartman · · Score: 1

      The latest planning games show that all nuclear plants can be replaced by renewables till 2020.

      Even if this optimistic goal were met, it would mean retaining the coal-burning capacity which Germany has at present. It would mean spending alot of money over a decade to keep Germany's massive c02 emissions for electricity the same.

      Of course we get the majourity of energy from coal burning. What did you think?

      Angelosphere, you're talking in favor of nuclear power and saying that renewables could fill in the gap completely, then you say that "of course" Germany gets the majority of its energy from coal burning.

      What did I think? I thought you were claiming that renewables were successful and adequate. Wind power gets enormous economic incentives and subsidies in Germany (including feed-in tariffs and other things). If renewables are sufficient, then why does Germany "of course" generate most of its energy using coal burning, after all this time.

      Regarding the phasing out and the greeness ... germany never as green... That is a misconception. Now we have for the first time that a green party member "won" an election. That happened yesterday!!

      I'm certainly hesitant to disagree with you about the politics of your own country. I only read about it, whereas you live it. However, according to the english wikipedia article on the German green party, the greens have 11% of the seats in the Bundestag. Also, my friends from Germany who were studying at the university near me all claimed that environmentalism was much more prominent in Germany than elsewhere, particularly more prominent than in the USA. Also, according to news sources Germany has tremendous economic incentives and subsidies for wind power. This raises the question of why coal burning is still so prominent there.

    163. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some of these reactors use Plutonium-239! Which has a halflife of 24,000 years, and could still be deadly 8-10 times the halflife. Human beings probably won't exist anymore, and that shit will still be killing whats left on this planet.

      Don't worry about it. We'll nuke each other over oil and coal. Whatever survives will not care much about any plutonium.

      I'm actually quite amused how some would worry about "what if there is no human anymore!" while at the same time contributing to doubling of coal burn rate over last 20 years... Here's a newsflash - nothing will give a crap if half the planet's surface is composed of Plutonium!! The non-human inhabitants of this planet face the largest danger from humans, not our shit. Our shit doesn't cut down their living space, doesn't put up fences and doesn't shoot them on-sight..

      Someone has said very rightly - if you want to save the Rain Forest, then you have to spread nuclear waste there. But I'm afraid it's even too late for those drastic measures. The microclimate over Amazon is already changing thanks to people's need for "biofuels" and farmland.

      Anyway, World Coal Association is expecting that coal usage will increase another 50% over next decade... It doubled since 1990. So whatever politicians are saying about "we need to cap CO2 @ 1990 levels" are full of themselves. Reality is vastly different from their talk. And those emissions will affect not few hundred or thousand, but billions of people all over the world.

    164. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      the greens have 11% of the seats in the Bundestag.

      Yes, and that means they have no power at all.
      If you have not over 50% either alone or with a partner you have no influence on politics, except with talks in the news.

      What did I think? I thought you were claiming that renewables were successful and adequate.

      They are successful and adequate to replace nuclear power over the next 10 years. To replace also the CO2 emissions we need likely 25 years (or need to get the desert tec projects, a consortium planning to generate current in the deserts of africa and transport it to europe).
      Regarding CO2 ... the EU is planning to use storage technologies for it. Needless to say people doubt it will work/be save in the long run.

      This raises the question of why coal burning is still so prominent there.

      One reason is: they are relatively cheap and work. Coal is very abandon. Also our plants don't emit anything except CO2. The gases are washed. Further more in relation to other first world nations we don't use much energy.
      Let me check the current energy mix situation (sorry the numbers are not accurate and add up stuff, they are from a new magazine), and I make the math in my mind and round slightly:
      Stone Coal: 20%
      Brown Coal: 14%
      Oil/Gas/H2: 16%
      Nuclear: 14%
      Wind: 18%
      Solar (Photovoltaic): 6%
      Biomass: 3% - 4%

      Also, my friends from Germany who were studying at the university near me all claimed that environmentalism was much more prominent in Germany than elsewhere, particularly more prominent than in the USA

      Yes, that is likely true, but you have to take it with a grain of salt.
      The main effect the Green Party had is not in "Energy Laws, especially abandoning nuclear power" but in anti pollution laws and consumer protection laws regarding poisoned food etc.
      Or e.g. in Tax laws regarding CO2, cars, fuel etc.

      After all they where in a coalition with the SPD (red party, worker class party, labour party) for roughly 8 years and ruled germany. However over the last 30 years they where mainly in opposition (that means not ruling but in the parliament).
      However they only ruled as "minority" together with the bigger partner. So they had not much influence.

      BTW: my posts before did not include the estimation that we assume demand on current will decrease over time, due to higher efficiency.

      Anyway, sorry for the misunderstandings ;D

      Most western countries get the majority of their energy from coal or oil.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    165. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      What about cutting back our use and being more efficient? Seems like every time this comes up, people just laugh. But we cut our house energy bills in 1/2 on our last house by redoing the insulation in the walls, getting new windows and doors, and a higher efficiency water heater with better insulation on the unit and the pipes.

      With some better tax incentives people make changes and the out of pocket cost is little for the government because it puts lots of people to work locally and production of materials increases.

      I'm just saying there are other great ways to stretch our energy requirements which most people neglect to mention when talking about energy.

    166. Re:So uh by RoFLKOPTr · · Score: 1

      The food issue isn't one of production but of (lack of) governments.

      A lot of those starving people in Africa are living in what used to be THE (not just the, THE) breadbasket of the continent. Why are they starving in what should be the most productive areas of Africa? Because they'll get killed trying to farm the land or they were killed and some group that has no idea how to farm has been given their land.

      Fix the governments and you fix the food problem.

      Who was talking about Africa? We in the United States have switched one hell of a lot of our once-food-producing farmland to biofuel production because that's where the money is. Remember those wheat shortages in the Northeast a couple years back? WHEAT SHORTAGES. People ran out of BREAD for god's sake. Because all the farmers started producing corn for biofuels to get the delicious government subsidies.

    167. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      If you remove Banqiao and Chernobyl from the statistics (both were outdated and dangerous designs), both hydro and wind kill about 100x more than nuclear .

      Wasn't Chernobyl new?
      Wasn't Banqiao substandard because it was built by the chinese who to me seem to be infamous for building to low standards and not for successfully building great structures that will last other than the great wall. Most of their homes fall down in minor quakes. There was some high rise that just collapsed recently while still under construction and the largest dam in the world had design flaws and leaking even while they are building it (another more enormous disaster waiting to happen). I wouldn't lump china or russia where power players don't care as much about the individual and their lives with other places in the world where there seems to be more value for people.

      I would agree that Coal is indefensible, but mostly because the lobby is so powerful that they are allowed to pump crap into the air which would not be allowed for a nuclear plant. They were kind of grandfathered in from the industrial revolution and most people don't even realize how much shinola is pumped out of the stacks and is raining down on them every day. This is more a reflection of politics and lack of regulation run amok. And we have a sort of mass hypnosis about how they don't do anything to us. Coal is so slow it is like smoking... people are used to it and it doesn't seem to bother them imminently. Nuclear meltdown or even radiation emission is a rather fast paced spectacular thing.

      Solar and Wind
      With every guy that falls off a roof installing solar, or is killed during the installation of a wind turbine how many were killed during the construction of nuclear facilities? That would be a more apt comparison with solar or wind. And how many people are unable to use their land again as a result of solar or windmill installations. None I believe.

      Dams can cause big problems with shoddy construction. Once more most people are ignorant. If they thought about dams they would demand more stringent measures as well. But nobody thinks of the big dam which looms upstream since most of them don't break. And many towns don't even notice they are in the path. It seems like most of the ones which occured in the US were earthen dams and construction became better as we learned to build them better. I can think of a few which could need replacement come to think of it. I just don't trust earthen dams and there still are a few.

      You are right, radiation is different.
      I think that the big difference between the other forms of energy (other than coal) and nuclear power is that a nuclear disaster will devastate the land around it and make it unusable for most people. People have an emotional tie to their land, their family, their heritage, their history. And people's land is often what gives them their wealth and livelihood and secures them throughout their lives. When there is a threat which could take that away it seems to be scary. People don't want to have an increased chance of dying young or their kids and grand-kids dying young from some unseen agent. Radiation is hard to understand and terrifying. And people have the imagery of bombs going off and the imagery of the people of Nagasaki and Hiroshima dying of radiation exposure. It has been burned into the psyche of the world.

      But the fear of radiation has benefited nuclear technology as well. It has much tighter regulation and safety measures than any other form of energy. None of the others are as scary and so there has not been any push to demand greater safety. Nuclear is somewhat safe, but very dangerous in its implications if something were to go wrong.

      If anyone thought for a second about what coal is instead of being taught to think that clean coal is already what we do then coal might actually become clean as people would demand it.
      If people thought about a tsunami of water smashing through their towns for a second, they would demand our dams would be good for 1000 years or more.

    168. Re:So uh by tweak13 · · Score: 1

      Air travel has quite an impressive track record. Nuclear power is still pretty new...

      Really??

      The first (widely used) jet powered airliner went into flight testing in 1949. The first civilian nuclear power generating station went into service in the Soviet Union in 1954. I'm not sure that extra five years really made that much of a difference in terms of our knowledge of the particular technologies.

      Keep in mind that the jet I'm referring to, the de Havilland Comet, killed a lot of people because of various design problems. The initial wing design didn't fare well in a stall, and the engine inlets tended to cause power loss at high pitch angles. Of course they're quite famous for several structural failures caused by metal fatigue. Our relatively poor understanding of how stress and fatigue affected the aircraft skin resulted in a bad design with lots of sharp corners.

      I suppose you could argue that we've been flying for much longer than jets have been around, but I think comparing the use of the jet engine in flight with the use of nuclear energy in power generation is a more solid comparison. The jet really enabled air transportation in the form that we know it today. My point is that we were still at some pretty basic stages of learning how to make airplanes safe when nuclear power sprang into being, and a hell of a lot of advancement has been made in both industries since then.

    169. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Basically just a big ol' box that you drop into an existing coal power plant -- remove coal furnace, replace with nuclear furnace, leave existing steam turbines in place

      ---
      Sounds like some cool stuff.
      Kind of like Toshiba 4S designs which are assembly line made and when they run out of power you ship them back to the factory for refueling. Small 10W ones could make an instant grid for Japan which doesn't have one apparently. Anyhow. Nice to talk about, but I still wouldn't want one in my backyard.

    170. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I wonder how many die from coal in china? We have 1/3 their population and they rely more heavily on old dirty coal plants than we do, although that is changing. I read somewhere that 400,000 chinese die prematurely from complications caused by their old coal plants each year, but I can't be sure about the numbers even though I may have read them in the NY Times. I don't know where such a number comes from.

    171. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      What about contaminated land for decades. Does that enter into your consideration? What do you think the value of the land lost for productive purposes costs? When one looks at the potential for land contamination in Japan if a full blown disaster had or may ensue, there isn't much land there for the the Japanese to live on. That loss has to have nearly catastrophic effect on the lives of the people who lived there, but for Japans economy potentially as well. They don't really have a place to move to.

    172. Re:So uh by BRonsk · · Score: 1

      You do realize that power can be stored right?

      I believe you are wrong, at least from a practical standpoint. There are no reliable and practical way to store electricity to power the east coast during two days. I hope there will be someday, but as of today, there is none.

    173. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      What about cutting back our use and being more efficient?

      Because if you run the numbers, you haven't really cut back all that much and the magnitude of the problem is the same. Your energy foot print is a lot more than just gas and electricity. It water treatment every time you crap, its all that fancy nice fresh food you like to eat all year round. Its the two TV and the transport and mining and refining needed to make them. You get the idea. Not doing some silly things is a really good idea (ie NZ should be using double glazed windows) and i do try and save (aka better lights etc), but it really does not change the scale of energy you need if you want to eliminate fossil fuels. Instead of 200000 turbines, it is 180000, not nothing, worth doing, but nowhere near enough.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    174. Re:So uh by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      I would add that advances in PV should make rooftop PV at the home/office very useful in the future energy grid, as a method for lopping to top off of peak load in warm climates, and sidestepping the bulk of the distribution problem. However as you point out, that will never replace the base load which a Nuclear or Coal plant can supply.

      The future energy grid will need to use almost every tech we've got, but you're right that no combination of renewables can scale to meet the *whole* need in the next 20-40 years, and it's pretty clear we need to do something before then.

    175. Re:So uh by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      Is there any data on what part of that is related to drunk-driving?

      Also, I'd like someone to do a study on how many people die on trips long enough to be compared to airline trips (say, cross-state). Say, 10000 people went on car trips in 2010, and compare that to people who took an airplane. Also, if air travellers are getting rental cars when they arrive at their destination, you might have to adjust for interstate vs. city fatalities.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    176. Re:So uh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      While fossil fuels are, by your statement with an actual cite to back it up, are off the chart I will take fossil fuel or nuclear generation any day. North America, including Canada has more oil,gas and coal under it than all the proven reserves and developed sources to date anywhere else in the world.
      Let us use this first while developing other sources. My personal favorite is of course fusion.
      The Brits and French are developing small reactor technology and transmission/distribution networks which will render blackouts/brownouts on a massive scale a thing of the past.
      Many good ideas out there without the "Chicken Little" green baloney.
      James Douglass
      Garden City, Kansas

    177. Re:So uh by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      "Wind plants don't store energy. That makes no sense at all."
      My point exactly. Almost no wind plant in the world has any provisions for energy storage included. Without energy storage, the output variations can't be evened out, and the plant becomes useless for baseload generation.

      Once you take into account the storage problem, wind becomes far less economical.

      And still, what the hell is a "water plant" - you keep on talking about "water plants" for storage but you don't say what they are. Now the only thing I can think of, which I have already mentioned, is pumped-storage hydroelectric (when there is excess power production, water is pumped into a reservoir, and when power is needed, the reservoir drains through a generator.) - The problem is that pumped-storage hydro requires a place to put this reservoir, and in the United States, we pretty much have a pumped-storage plant in every location where it is feasible to build one. If we had places remaining to build pumped storage plants I'd be more inclined to agree with you, but the fact is - we don't!

      Compressed air - Again, show me a plant that uses this approach successfully that is anything but a small-scale pilot plant or proof of concept. Also, for the purposes of scaling the technology, show me even one that does not use an existing cavern that was created for other purposes. Compressed air storage is pie-in-the-sky idealism that might be ready in 50 years, but isn't ready now and isn't anywhere close to being ready.

      Batteries - What battery technology do you suggest? The most economic battery technology out there is lead-acid for a fixed storage problem like this (since energy/weight ratio doesn't matter for a fixed installation) - However there's the problem of fairly nasty battery acid, undisputably toxic lead, and the fact that we just don't have that much lead available for the hundreds of tons of batteries per city.

      "In germany wind/solar plants are expensive because building them is subsidized." That is the dumbest thing I have ever heard. Subsidization makes things cheaper, not more expensive.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    178. Re:So uh by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      So the wind is not consistently blowing? That's true. You might be surprised to find that the duty cycle of all power plants below 100 percent. Sometimes they are on line, some times not. And you can't just take gigaWatts off line without having something to replace it That's why there are so many of each. Each time you see a wind turbine not moving , you might think "oh that's the failure of wind energy." No, it's just a lot more visible than the coal or nuc generator going off line. So we build in multiple locations and switch the generators in and out as the need arises.

      Wind will be a substantial source of power. I live along the Allegheny front in Pennsylvania, and the turbines are springing up like huge flowers all over the place. Is that the answer? No, it's one of the answers.

      If we are going to go Nuc - and I think we might have to, we'll have to have mostly government subsidization. While it is fashionable to blame the media and NIMBY, fact is that no one wants to invest in it. It's a pretty tough business model to work with. Profit versus safety, and the costs of failure are perhaps not good.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    179. Re:So uh by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      So here you have it. The fundamental disconnect - "It worked well"? If the present situation is your definition of working well, what is "not working well"? So this is an acceptable incident?

      So many pro-nuc folks believe that the anti-nuc people are all technological troglodytes, fearful of everything nuclear. That's a stereotype and a strawman. Though I'm pro-nuc, and I don't have any particular fear of the materials, more like a deep respect, but I do have fear of the human element involved. Time and money can be saved by decisions that lessen safety, there's a powerful incentive to save time and money, no? If the designers and managers families had to live inside the plants, would there be different decisions regarding safety? There is the crux of the problem. Trust. Give a good reason why people should believe that these places are perfectly safe and why they should trust you. It's probably not a good idea to use that plant in Japan as an example.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    180. Re:So uh by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      I will admit that I half agree. Even on a single home, storing the power can be problematic, and only really makes sense when the power company is going to charge you insane amounts of money to hook to the grid. That being said, the problem to be solved still is not that the sun doesn't shine at night, nor is it necessarily the need to have an alternative at night. Storing power isn't an impossible nut to crack. It just happens to be one that doesn't receive a lot of focus, which is surprising, as it would give the current power grid a lot more flexibility as well. There are a lot of methods that power companies could use for storing energy if they would put a focus in that direction.

      This has been my big disappointment with fuel cells not taking off. a system that would fill a hydrogen tank during the day and use the hydrogen at night to power a home would be awesome.

    181. Re:So uh by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Andy,

      sorry, I lack the terminology to describe the batteries. They are hugh liquid storages of two different kind of chemicals, which react like in a normal battery.

      The USA are leading in that technology ... perhaps you find it yourself if you google for it. The descriptions about those storages I got in the german issue of http://www.technologyreview.com/ (years ago).

      Regarding water plants, yes I should have tried to find the proper english term and describe them as "pumped-storage hydroelectric"

      Sorry but your claim that the USA already has such a plant at every feasible place is nonsense.
      See below after my explanation regarding subsidization.

      "In germany wind/solar plants are expensive because building them is subsidized." That is the dumbest thing I have ever heard. Subsidization makes things cheaper, not more expensive.

      No it does not. That is main problem all over the world with subsidizing. If you reread my previous post, I tried to explain it, but perhaps it was not good enough.
      I explain again a bit more elaborated: german energy companies are required by law to buy all wind and solar energy (and other renewables) at a premium price and supply the energy into the grid.
      E.g. solar is payed with 16cent (or is it 30 cents even? Don't remember but you can google it) instead of the "fair" price of something like 3 cent. (This is he subsidization number 1)
      Now I go and want to build a 100square yard photovoltaic plant on my roof. The cost would be, if I take the cheapest possible materials and build it myself perhaps $25,000. As this is quite a lot of money I perhaps consider to get a loan. With the estimated turn over of my solar plant I now perhaps "earn" $1000 a year and need about 15 years to pay back the loan. Not a bad deal so far.
      Now the second subsidization comes into play: if I buy from a german company, if possible close to my hometown, the state pays 30% of the installation costs, up to an upper limit of $10,000.
      Now I can not buy the very cheap $25,000 installation anymore (from china or switzerland), or I wont get the extra $10,000.
      Now the clever Solar Inc. makes a master plan with the Green Energy Bank Inc like follows:
      We give you a loan of $45,000, you build a solar plant with 120 square yards (instead of the original 100), you buy from Solar Inc instead from cheap chinese, now you get the $10,000 subsidization from the state. That $10,000 we put into an investment plan ... so after 25 years it is like $25,000. You don't pay back the complete loan during the next 25 years, but you only pay like 50%, so now you earn roughly $2000 a year with your plant. After 25 years you use the money from your investment plan to cancel/liquidate the loan.
      Anyway, such constructs can be arbitrary complicated (like giving an extra loan to overhaul the roof, before you put the solar plant on top of it. That loan might be eligible for a income tax reduction as you "invest into your home")
      Bottom line you did not buy a $25,000 solar plant but a $45,000 solar plant, with only 20% more yield.
      That is how subsidization in europe/germany often works. It is a big business for the banks and not a big helper for the industry or the technology (in the first place).
      Luckily the extra subsidizations from the state are cut down now. However the banking games still exist, with the goal to convince people to build bigger and more expensive plants than they would do usually. In the end those plants are much more expensive than they would be on a true/free market because the Companies producing them keep the price high.

      Coming back to the pumped storage plants, you only need an area which is 10 yards higher than the pump/generator. You don't need a valley with a dam. Looking at wikipedia shows that you produce quite a nice amount of energy hydro-electric and also have a nice storage capacity (roughly 5% of your total energy pro

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    182. Re:So uh by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      As one of these crazy stupid Germans I've got two words for you: atomic waste! Worldwide theres NO waste disposal site which can be guaranteed to be safe for next millenia.

    183. Re:So uh by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      Does your statistic include the risks of atomic waste? Which will be with us for a LONG LONG time.

    184. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      But it is _stupid_ to store the waste. Idiotic. Dangerous and wasteful. It must be burnt in a breeder reactor!

      Think about it: a reactor is just a radioactive decay accelerator. If you allow the decay to go all the way, you are left with lead, silver, etc. It is not feasible in a classical reactor, as the reaction cannot be sustained all the way. But in a breeder, it is.

      We don't have breeders because of opposition to nuclear plants.
      We have opposition to plants because of waste.

      Presumably, if it were only a technical issue, there would be no problems. As is, it is a political issue, and as no arguments is deemed valid with more than one step, we are fucked. But the antinuclear movement is in fact directly responsible for the absence of the implementation of the right solution to nuclear waste.

    185. Re:So uh by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      I agree with you, it is stupid to store the waste and it is even more stupid to produce it in the first place. Due to political pressure seven of the seventeen german nuclear plants are shut down. Within days! So there was no actual need for them. The percentage of use renewable energy has risen from 3,4 % in 1990 to 16,5 % in 2010, so I would not say that coal is our only option.

    186. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Redundancy is important in infrastructure planning -- don't worry, the plants will get back online. With the current rate of renewables growth, you might reach 100% around 2060 (and some breakthrough with storage technology). Which you should strive for. But in the meantime, nuclear plants are necessary to solve the waste problem as well as providing carbon-and-blood-free electricity. Because the uranium, you buy from Canada, but the gas from Putin...

      The solution to nuclear waste (the only one) is breeder plants. So you might as well get on with it, and enjoy the electricity.

    187. Re:So uh by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      Yes, redundancy is important. But as I just recently got to know, we export 25% of the energy we produce. On top of the redundancy. Even members of the conservatives want to shut down at least three of the seven plants permanently, so it seems pretty sure they will NOT come back online. Concerning the bloody gas, we import the majority from the Netherlands and Norway and while I wouldn't call Russia a perfect democracy it isn't the arch enemy it has been.

    188. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Energy production/export is not so simple: you may well export 25% and not have enough. Dams work in many cases as energy storage: in the hours where energy is cheap, diesel generators pump the water back so it can be sold at a higher price. However, they only produce through half the year (depending on the dam, location blah, blah). Solar and Wind energy ebbs and flows and is hard to store. Gas and coal plants can be stopped and started in a matter of hours/minutes. Nuclear plants takes days to stop and start. Thus a reasonable mix will have a nuclear baseline, as much renewable as possible and gas for backup emergency.

      You can have a coal/fuel/gas baseline, but really, it says you don't care much about GW.

      The North Sea fields are soon gone, thus all the pipeline politicking going on between the EU, Turkey and Russia... As for preferring to finance Putin rather than using nuclear power: let us just agree that our moral compasses are at odds.

    189. Re:So uh by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      Pumped-storage hydroelectricity works indeed as a storage for energy, but instead of diesel generators (CO2 emmissions) the use combined reversible turbine/generators. As far as I know they can be used all year round and are an ideal combination with Solar and wind energy because they can act as a buffer between changing demand e.g. day/night and varying output of Solar and Wind Energy.

    190. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      How do you think the generators are powered? From the grid baseline. You don't have big batteries ;)

      Dams are only usable half the year: reservoir fills (in the spring), then empties. The pumping back and forth makes it last longer, but is is not constant.

      Yes hydro is great as a reservoir, but the capacity is limited, such that your maximum guaranteed output from wind and solar and hydro is in the order of twice the hydro power. This is very good, but not scalable. You definitely should do that. but it will only provide about half your needs (unless you are Switzerland, and hydro covers 60% of your needs already, so all-renewable would be possible if land were available -- alas it is not).

    191. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I suppose like everything it is part of the equation. We grow lots of our own food. When I was a kid we rarely ate food that we didn't produce ourselves. We heated our house with solar and wood we harvested from our own forrest.

      But I suppose the 1 TV we have had and will have for the next 20 years does cost money as does the computer and monitor I am using here. We only use our car which we will have for the next 15 years at least for about 4.5K miles a year but that is also a high energy item. We use mostly legs and bikes or bike carriers for transport most of the year. We walk to the store, the bank, the coop, the bakery and we buy 1/2 of our stuff from people growing it locally. Still I would like for all of it to be grown locally. But we get our limited amount of clothing thru the usual venues so that is high energy I suppose.

      Anyhow I keep trying to do more of my part and encourage others to do what they are capable of. I'm not sure that that reducing the infrastructural energy requirements to 50-75% lower than what they are currently would result in such meager savings. Certainly it would not be a 50% savings of energy by infrastructural upgrades, but I believe it would be more than 10%. We live in a climate with snow on the ground for 6 months of the year and so insulation of homes and business would contribute rather markedly to reducing the energy load needed to maintain our cities up here. In warmer climates it would make sense to me that such savings would not necessarily be seen.

    192. Re:So uh by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I am not sure why, considering a 50 year plan, renewables are automatically assumed to be incapable of meeting baseload.
      Study on renewables as baseload in North Carolina
      Brief paper on baseload and renewables

      Surely 50 years is enough time to upgrade the power grid and start putting additional infrastructure in place for power storage.

    193. Re:So uh by fritsd · · Score: 1
      Before I start on my long rant to try to answer your points, I'd like to say that most of what I write here, I learnt about on the excellent The Oil Drum forum. I especially recommend this overview article.

      But the latter will help not at all: more energy will be made available and will be used for other (granted hopefully more productive) purposes.

      This is assuming business-as-usual economic growth and population growth, I'm not sure we can expect that this century because energy prices are going to go up.

      But the reason you cannot magically build wind turbines is that for mere legal reasons, you will have delays of 2-4 years depending on where you want to build them. Then you need to update your grid, which is a massive undertaking. And in the end you need to provide for the baseline. And take into account that electricity consumption will explode with the coming of electric cars.

      Legal reasons depend on a government's priorities so that may change rapidly. Denmark doesn't seem to have such "legal reasons" problems. Updating of the grid is a smart long-term investment anyway so "it is a massive undertaking" is no excuse. A "smart" and decentralized grid is probably also much more disaster- and terrorism- proof, but it removes a chokepoint of power by central government over provincial governments, which could be a political problem in certain countries.
      The baseline is a very important problem, but note that the demand side is not evenly-balanced during the day either and somehow that is accounted for without problems. It would just mean that the difference between "peaks" and "troughs" becomes even more pronounced, so more storage is necessary. What kind of storage I don't know, hydro storage is inefficient and you need suitable geography for it, but ideas like cooling frozen food warehouses extra during off-peak hours seem easy enough to implement.
      I think we don't have the luxury to wait to do all those large infrastructural investments. One idea I had (I think I must have read it on the theoildrum.com but maybe it's an original idea :-) ) is that, assuming you want to build say a wind turbine, you can do it two ways: build it now, or build it later.
      Many people say building it later is better because we'll have better technology. But what about the energy used to build the turbine. It needs a lot of steel for the pylon. All that steel can be either melted now, using today's cheap energy, or "in 50 years" as you say. But assuming population growth continues, the "in 50 years" energy price to build the pylons is much higher than now, so they should start building *right now*.
      Renewables are more expensive than fossil fuel (coal) plants which is another reason to build those pylons with cheap fossil fuel energy rather than "in 50 years" with expensive wind energy.
      Also, because Peak Oil is coming (maybe it has passed in 2005), many processes that are currently dependent on cheap petroleum products will have to be switched over to fossil-fuel-independent technology because the future more expensive petroleum is needed for airplane kerosene and for the chemical industry (plastic). It is possible this would mean that electricity is used more for e.g. electric cars, which would also drive the price of electricity up "in 50 years".
      It may be hideously expensive to switch over to renewables now, but that doesn't imply at all that energy is going to become any cheaper in the future, or at least until after the ITER and DEMO fusion reactors are successful (if we're lucky).
      I've seen many posts that talk about energy "needs". But reality doesn't care about our "needs". There's a Dutch saying "de tering naar de nering zetten" which means: you adapt your consumption behaviour to what you can afford. I think most people on our world understand this but maybe the "rich West" has forgotten it in the past 50 years.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    194. Re:So uh by fritsd · · Score: 1

      You demonstrate clearly that a bit of all of those technologies are needed. Baseline power can only be provided by wind or solar if there's a surplus and if there's storage technology in place, agreed.
      Although I wouldn't want to live next to one in case of a large earthquake, I'm curious whether Sodium-Sulphur batteries could be deployed more. And when they blow up, it'd at least be a lot less toxic.
      I just read that funnily enough, it's TEPCO (the same as the Fukushima plants) that built this technology in Japan.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    195. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      So your point is what? You agree that storage is an issue, smart grids a necessity, baseline difficult to achieve.

      The point is this: renewables are great. We should have as much as possible, as early as possible, but they will not be enough. You cannot wave your hand and say "people will stop consuming energy". They will not. In fact, a point will be reached were the political cost of not building nuclear plants will be higher than the reverse. But it will be too late: the plants need to be built now to come on-line in 10 years. They need to be breeder plants to phase out the older ones. And they will be used until fusion (or space solar) works.

      We will never lower our energy use. This will not happen (it might happen, but then civilisation will collapse). Rather, we will be using more energy much better. Electric cars are good. Maglev trains are great. Data centres brilliant. Smart roads. Etc, etc. These will use more energy than what we have now. Just in a massively more efficient and clean way.

    196. Re:So uh by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Thank you for the overview of the disadvantages of renewables.
      But I still believe that wind and sunshine won't run out in the next few hundred years :-).
      So if we have to switch anyway, why not now that we still have that cheap fossil energy? Why leave it to our grandkids to solve, who will have to do it with A. a much larger and poorer world population and B. much higher energy costs. It's just not responsible.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    197. Re:So uh by fritsd · · Score: 1
      I rambled on a bit :-). Here's some more:

      They need to be breeder plants to phase out the older ones.

      I agree with most of your points but this one is not good.
      <vague_handwaving>
      ISTR reading a (coherent) article decades ago about why nuclear breeder reactors tend to turn the society that builds them into a fascist police state, but unfortunately I don't remember the argumentation well. I think it hinged on terrorism threat and central-point-of-failure. Don't create dependencies on vulnerable central points of failure. Its guardians will gain much power. Sorry I can't say it clearer than this.
      </vague_handwaving>

      We will never lower our energy use. This will not happen (it might happen, but then civilisation will collapse).

      Yes.. I think I understand where you're coming from. I think this is the fundamental issue. Does it sound OK if I rewrite the meaning of your sentence:

      We will never lower our energy use because that's just not something we do; it's anathema to how we define ourselves

      Jared Diamond wrote about this at the end of his book Collapse, I think he was quoting Tainter (whom I've never read), about how there can be several classes of problems a society can face, and one of them was problems that are recognized in time to act, AND technological measures to prevent or mitigate the problem can be found, BUT the society chooses not to adapt the solutions because it was politically or culturally unacceptable for an evolved society to "debase itself" by adapting that behaviour-changing solution.
      It's a matter of choice, therefore politics. But I like my Western civilisation so I'd rather see it change with the times than collapse. But not towards a police state :-)

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    198. Re:So uh by SomeKDEUser · · Score: 1

      Never mind the paranoïa about breeder plants. But as for the energy consumption? Energy and computational power are the same thing in the end: computation and variation of entropy can be shown experimentally to be the same.

      Thus after all has become optimally efficient (within thermodynamically allowable bounds -- and we are surprisingly close in many instances), reducing the energy consumption would mean reducing the computational power of society, and thus make us collectively dumber. I cannot conceive of a desirable scenario where this happens.

      In the future, we will all have our little fabs. And they will produce stuff for us. But to produce stuff, they will need to compute tool paths. And this is an NP-complete problem :)

    199. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Wind if far more variable than *planed* shutdowns. It is variable over a single hour! It is really hard to deal with, and more importantly really expensive to deal with. When folks quote the cost of wind, its yet another thing left out. These things are not in the same ball park at all. In fact its a straw man. Planed shutdowns, and variable wind/solar are fundamentally *different*.

      I know everyone just thinks its a matter of money... but really its a matter of sheer resource allocation. And sooner or later everyone will have to foot the bill. No one is going to happy with $5kWh electricity.

      All forms of big power generation are already subsidized one way or another (generally much more than what it looks like on paper too). Wind is so subsidized here in the EU that people put up turbines anywhere, since you make money off them even if they never produce any energy!

      I am warming up to the traveling wave reactor, where you have more smaller plants (~250MW) rather than a few big ones (>1GW). This is something we already do with gas. Also this even directly deals with the reprocessing problems and deals with proliferation and even earthquake and the such issues much better. Since it is a smaller plant the initial capital outlay is much less burdensome.

      After rolling blackouts I think even NIMBY will be far less of a problem.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    200. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      We grow lots of our own food. When I was a kid we rarely ate food that we didn't produce ourselves. We heated our house with solar and wood we harvested from our own forrest.

      Yea, likes that going to work for 80% of the population that live in Urban centers. Oh and did you use any fertilizer? Any tractors? And what about the roads to your house out in the country, the bridges over the rivers....

      We have the best lifestyle at any income ever. And its because of the rather awesome infrastructure we have built up. You are not independent from it. Even if you try, your micro hydro for power production was made somewhere. The copper in your walls wasn't dug out of the ground and refined by you. Unless you live as they did in the 16th century you are using a lot of energy. And they were not exactly living sustainably back then either.

      A relativistic solution is a solution that does not require a significant change in lifestyle. As soon as that happens we will just keep burning fossil fuels. Even the staunchest environmentalists don't really care that much, they are still wearing nice shoes and cloths, drive a car or use the train and planes. Watch TV and have power and water at their house. And if they want to keep all of that without a power bill that makes the rent at Windsor Castle look cheap, you going to need to burn fossil fuels or nuclear fuels. It will be cheapest to use fossil fuels even without oil, so that is probably what will happen. With the environmental effect delegated to heated debate in the media, but that is all it will be, heated debate (and perhaps the odd new tax).

      I am not saying don't save. And if we save half, well that is clearly worth it. But to solve the problem with saving we need to using more like 1% of what we do now. Its just not going to happen.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    201. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Because we can't solve the current problem with renewable in any reasonable way. Not in 50 years. You can't just arm wave that "it should be done". Right now we have only really two serious options if you don't want to have blackouts. Keep burning fossil fuels (this is what i believe will actually happen), or switch to more nuclear.

      Either that, or only let the queen have the privilege of a modern lifestyle, electricity and heating.

      And coal and shale oil won't run out in a few 100 years either. Neither will Uranium or Thorium (done right, we have about 10000 years worth). But you may just run out of copper if you want to build 200000 wind turbines.....

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    202. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I don't disagree with what you say. Civilization has a high baseline energy cost. And we all want our civilization to continue.

      I don't think we can save the fossil fuels we have. The cheaply available resources will be used up because we need them to even maintain what we have.

      Nuclear is the only pragmatic civilization sustaining energy source we currently have other than the sun. Perhaps we could somehow develop a way use earths core for power generation at some point too.

      My whole point is conserving energy to maintain our civilization as it is now is a highly under-utilized option we have available to us. Although conservation is taking place, there is a boatload of improvement which could be done rather cost effectively. (Low hanging fruit so to speak). My new house is very poorly insulated and we live in an area with snow on the ground for 6 months out of the year. Most of the houses around me are the same.

      Once I get done properly insulating, I fully expect the amount of energy for the household will be cut in 1/2 and that will be a permanent cut for this dwelling. Some houses here are even worse off than mine.

      Another big point I always try to make is that simply drilling/pumping more oil or mining more coal at a greater rate doesn't do much more than use up the resources we have more quickly doesn't get us where we need to be.
      ---
      No fertilizer other than what we scrapped out of our barns with a shovel and put in a truck we drove over to the gardens.
      No tractor for the garden, but we did have an Allison Chalmers from the 1930's we used to harvest grass from our fields for the livestock.
      --
      I wasn't trying to say people in Urban centers should grow their own food and such.

      "I am not saying don't save. And if we save half, well that is clearly worth it".

      That is exactly what I am on about. Saving 1/2 would effectively double the amount of time our civilization has to adjust to a post-oil post coal reality.

      "But to solve the problem with saving we need to using more like 1% of what we do now. Its just not going to happen."

      Using 1% of what we have is not a real choice and it isn't necessary either. Even now 20% of our power is nuclear so I don't think we would need to run our civilization 1%.

      Increasing the amount of energy we use is what most people want to talk about but I think we can't do that until we get away from depending on our free solar battery (fossil fuels) to see what our capabilities will be once it isn't here and we are forced into a new baseline. I want to talk about extending what we are using by more until we can transition to alternatives. Not running us our more quickly.

      I just don't hear many people talking about decreasing our usage as being an effective means of helping our energy needs.

    203. Re:So uh by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Geothermal: Generally useful to reduce home energy costs, may become more cost effective as energy prices rise. Not a viable option for actual generation unless you live in a place like Iceland and likely never will be.

      I don't see what or how carbon sequestration has to do with energy generation. Unless you make the argument that burning coal is OK because you can now sequester the carbon. However carbon emissions is only part of the many problems with coal.

      Solar cells *might* become more efficient. Well they also might not. I have been hearing about more efficient and breakthroughs in solar technology for the last 10 years, and guess what the efficiency hasn't really gone up all that much. So baring some magically technology, this isn't feasible anytime soon.

      Yup, more and more cars will be electric which in turn will put more pressure on grids, particularly in urban centers.

      You mean climate change right? Ya something will be a threat undoubtedly. Scientists gotta get paid yo!

      HEY! Canada is the largest supplier of Oil and Gas to the USA! We're nice! :)

      Agree Biofuels are bad idea. Possible exception might be the algae based bio diesel, thought it is not very practical so far. Converting food to fuel, when in the future food is going to be scarce is a bad idea in general.

      Gas has the same problem as oil. There is a finite amount of it, and as it gets harder to get to, it gets more expensive. It is my view that people will lean on gas when oil gets pricey, which in turn will hasten gas to become scarce and thus make it more pricey, etc...

      Nuclear is a perfectly safe option that will keep us going for a very long time. It will allow us the time we need to develop those "magic" technologies that will hopefully make us somewhat resource independent. Likely a combination of increased solar efficiency as well as fusion, and stuff like thorium reactors, or some other crazy shit we can come up with over the next 100 years.

      Anyway nuclear is the best option we have right now and we should be using it, and improving the technology, rather than stagnating due to fear.

    204. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I think we both agree on this, I have just read/talked past you. Saving is not only a good idea, but one of the things we should be doing much more of. In fact that is why, if we go nuclear that I am against once through fuel cycles. Its too wasteful of all that mining etc. Also I am not really proposing we need more energy in the first world, but rather replace coal/gas/oil with nuclear. Of course we still have cars, boats and planes...

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    205. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I concur. We probably do agree. I have been getting read past alot in this thread. You should check out my other big debate/discussion on this thread. hehehehe. I am a NIMBY in relation to where I live, and yet not anti-nuclear. I also think that nuclear is dangerous. But none of these things would make me not nuclear in the right circumstance. I have lived near nuclear reactors for a large chunk of my life including three mile island. But that doesn't really scare me per se. I just think nuclear is dangerous and has its place (some places should never have a reactor based on economics and geography) and we should do everything we can to improve safety. Japan will be a great learning tool as have all problems with nuclear we have had.

      Nuclear is forever in human terms as is the sun (solar, geothermal, wind). We perfect these forms of energy generation so we can use the fossil fuels for industry instead of burning them up which is a waste and inefficient.

      I can't wait, my next vehicle will be electric. I haven't decided whether to convert my current vehicle or buy the Tesla family car. I hope to fuel it with solar on my house and garage partially. There are some nice public hookups around now too. It takes lots of energy to get to point of making the cars and solar panels, but once you use the energy to make the stuff then it should be nice for quite a while. And still very civilized.

      I want to use geothermal for heating my house too. Since I do the work myself for the most part at least install and hookups this makes it cheaper. I sure wish the government would come up with some big incentives to help me out so I could recover my costs more quickly and have them take less of my money in return.

    206. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      RE: grey goo
      Have you read the Code of the Lifemaker? Really cool quick read book about a machine civilization evolving on one of the moons of Jupiter after a mine ship from an alien race crashes there.

    207. Re:So uh by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I will be clear. I don't want old nuclear. I want new nuclear, as in new passive designs and with reprocessing. Since reprocessing is really hard to do right (ie safe and not really expensive), i would be in favour of the so called breed and burn designs (Traveling wave reactors). This uses 40% of the energy potential of *depleted* Uranium without reprocessing rather than the ~4% that once through LWR do. With a trivial reprocessing step, you get to 80%. If you could get it to work with Thorium you can do even better with less waste.

      As for my part. Well my big contribution is using the train rather than flying and not flying to NZ very often. That one flight from EU to NZ and back more than doubles my energy footprint in a year.

      Oh and no, i have not read that book.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    208. Re:So uh by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I don't know what reactors would be good or approapriate. I don't have a new understanding about the various types that is good enough to decide on anything. There are a lot of folks recommending this or that type, throughout the thread, but I don't know enough about any of them to know what is safest or best. I suppose I would find out if somebody decided to stuff one near me. I do think the US needs to upgrade what they have so they can avoid some of the problems with their old tech.
      2 designs sounded interesting for their utility, but I don't know if the tech they use is what your are talking about.

      1. Seems like GE has some kind of drop in reactor they can put right into existing coal power plants and hook directly to the turbines.

      2. Cringely was talking about how Japan could use Toshiba 4S mini reactors under every power station in japan to give them a proper grid. The 4s apparently is self contained and they are built on an assembly line and when they need refueling they are hauled on a truck back to the assembly line.

  4. What happened? by SniperJoe · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I am beginning to think that my fellow Americans are afraid of success. We claim we want energy independence, but do very little to achieve it, despite valid and workable options staring us in the face. New reactors are precisely what we need in this situation (with more modern safety features compared to the reactors in Japan as well as decreasing our reliance on foreign energy).

    1. Re:What happened? by node+3 · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What kind of super-men do you expect to design, build, run, secure, and maintain these plants? All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years. Who do you trust to be able to tame something like that? And even if you trust the current engineers and businessmen and politicians to keep it safe, you have to trust those that follow, for the rest of your life (and the lives of those to follow).

    2. Re:What happened? by hubie · · Score: 2

      I wouldn't call it afraid of success, I think it is just plain old NIMBY.

    3. Re:What happened? by EdZ · · Score: 5, Insightful

      All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      Eh? The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex were hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, THEN a 12m high tsunami, and THEN several explosions. So far, the only injuries from radiation have been two workers who received surface skin burns to their legs (on the severity of a bad sunburn) because they ignored their dosimeter warning alarm.
      The Fukushima incident has shown that even with multiple massive accidents, even old designs hold up pretty damn well.

    4. Re:What happened? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 3, Interesting

      What happened? Free enterprise happened. Deregulation happened. Cosy relationships between Industry and regulators happened. Marketism happened.

      As more details emerge, one thing is becoming clear: This accident did not happen as a result of any tsunami. The tsunami merely kicked in the door of a rotten structure which swiftly collapsed. Cost cutting, poor safety, inadequate oversight, etc, etc; These are the real causes of the radiation leaks happening at Fukushima at present.Some very dirty laundry is being aired in very public view.

      At this happened in Japan for chirstsake. Japan! The country where people have ceremonies and procedures for handing over business cards. A nation world famous for its engineering and industrial management. Japan! If things in their nuclear industry were that bad what horrors await at our own nuclear plants.

      It boils down to this: You can have nuclear reactors, run by private entities, but you must be prepared for one of these rickety, slipshod operations to go belly up every decade or so. That's really all there is too it. Show me the reactor too sophisticated to melt down and I'll show you the company that will run it glowing white hot into the ground.

      There are several glaring parallels between this incident and the recent banking crisis. Systemic disregard for risk, incompetent and/or uncaring management, and wanton abuse of public trust. The public doesn't trust these people anymore--with good reason. You're not going to win that trust back with fancy blueprints and paid experts' opinions. Honesty and accountability are what is needed. However, both are in short supply these days.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    5. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its not Americans, its politicians. Read the comments in the IBTimes article - most are for nuclear power and thats not even news for nerds. People really need to stop giving credit to this notion that the media speaks truth or even that there are enough retards listing to give an impression other than the impression that there are a bunch of retards listening simply because politicians are able to leverage such tactics to suggest the people care one way or another about a particular issue that coincides with their personal financing agenda. Everyone needs to simply wake up, say I'm an American, and these people are liars - hell, if someone wants to bring back tar+feathers and pitchforks I'm in.

    6. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      nice point.

      one thing that i'm not to certain on is why, when considering all the safety measures taken, did they build the thing slap bang on the coast line in a tsunami prone country?

      but i guess that's an options question now.

    7. Re:What happened? by 0100010001010011 · · Score: 1

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years.

      No it @#(*& doesn't. Why is it dangerous? Because it's radioactive. If it's radioactive. YOU CAN USE IT FOR SOMETHING.

      Right now we had some retarded moratoriums on fuel reprocessing. For as huge of a push as we make for 'recycling' we don't recycle nuclear waste.

    8. Re:What happened? by definate · · Score: 1

      Who do you trust to run the coal power plants?

      Who do you trust to run the current nuclear plants?

      Who do you trust to build the buildings you go into?

      Who do you trust to build and maintain the bridges you drive on?

      Who do you trust to build and fly the planes, especially the military ones?

      All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      While the fuel itself is dangerous, many things are, and we've learnt a lot since these plants which have messed up, were built.

      Life is about trade offs...
      Are you more worried about energy independence?

      Are you more worried about climate change?

      Are you more worried about nuclear power?

      Are you more worried about the price of living?

      Pick any 2, but realize nothing will change, and only the status quo will be maintained, if others don't agree with you.

      --
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    9. Re:What happened? by node+3 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Cancer doesn't tend to kill you the moment the first neutron damages your DNA. It takes a while.

      What, do you think the primary risk with nuclear power is that there will be an atom-bomb style explosion? The risk of a nuclear explosion exists (has happened on multiple occasions) but those are instant blasts of radiation that are localized, with very little physical blast damage.

      But no, it's not about the instant deaths. It's the increase in cancer deaths and the billions of years of contamination of the nearby land, and the worldwide reach of the fallout that people don't like. If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

    10. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ten thousands (maybe even hundred thousands) of people were evacuated for a long time (will they actually ever be able to get to their homes in their life?). I call this a disaster too.

    11. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What kind of super-men do you expect to design, build, run, secure, and maintain these plants?

      Obviously, people who are not you. Maybe even people who've gone to school and learned how these things work? Woah! Hold on there - letting an "expert" handle something? That's clearly elitism, and only taxi drivers and quickie-mart cashiers should be trusted with such things.

      All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      Well, I'd guess that's where the "modern safety features" come in. They do exist you know. They're actually pretty damn good. You can make reactors that shut themselves down safely the second power is lost to the cooling system, they've made them in Canada since the 1970s.

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years.

      And it remains useful as fuel for billions of years too, if the environmental lobbyists would quit blocking research into building reactors that use it. Then we wouldn't need the radioactive waste dumps they complain about us having.

    12. Re:What happened? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 2

      The Fukushima incident has shown that even with multiple massive accidents, even old designs hold up pretty damn well.

      Just not well enough.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    13. Re:What happened? by Demonantis · · Score: 1

      Nifty thing I heard on /. was that the fuel isn't so much dangerous as the highly energetic intermediates are. People are saying that people could soon begin to inhabit the area around Chernobyl as the cesium and other intermediates decompose enough. I don't know if that is 100% correct, but I do know that any chemical plant could have a release of chemicals and kill tonnes of people while making the environment uninhabitable. Yet no one is equally as up in arms about these places as they are about nuclear. I think the major issue is that everyone imagines nuclear bombs whenever they hear nuclear energy.

    14. Re:What happened? by node+3 · · Score: 2

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years.

      No it @#(*& doesn't. Why is it dangerous? Because it's radioactive. If it's radioactive. YOU CAN USE IT FOR SOMETHING.

      It's too dangerous to "use it for something".

      Right now we had some retarded moratoriums on fuel reprocessing. For as huge of a push as we make for 'recycling' we don't recycle nuclear waste.

      Perhaps you could expand on how you "recycle" uranium and plutonium in such a way that reduces its radioactivity? All you can do is increase the rate at which it decays, which is a dangerous (and depending on how fast you increase the rate, highly destructive) process.

      Unless you are aware of a method by which you can remove excess nucleons from an atom without an accompanying release of radiation. I'm sure the Nobel committee would be eager to hear from you.

    15. Re:What happened? by fabioalcor · · Score: 2

      Eh? The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex were hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, THEN a 12m high tsunami, and THEN several explosions.

      I wonder what would happen if such disasters had hit a dam or a thermal gas/coal plant...

    16. Re:What happened? by maxume · · Score: 1

      I wouldn't be surprised if American nuclear reactors enjoy better oversight and management than Japanese reactors, simply because Americans have a greater tendency for frank and direct communication.

      (there is a story about Korea Air switching to English for cockpit communication, as there were incidents that were directly attributed to subordinates being unwilling to contradict erroneous superiors, and it isn't as if the Japanese culture is so far from the Korean culture on that point. Using English helped them shift away from their social culture into the safety culture that is necessary in the cockpit, and they already need to know English for international flights.).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    17. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Granted, but I do wonder, they have been pumping seawater in those reactors in order to cool them because they had no other option....where would they get a similar amount of water reactors not on the coast of the us....

    18. Re:What happened? by Alioth · · Score: 5, Informative

      No it does not remain dangerous for billions of years. We had a word for things with half lives measured in billions of years: "stable". Something with such a long half-life will have very little radioactivity.

    19. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what we need is nuclear reactors run either by governments or by co-operative collectives with a clear mandate to serve the community first. I have the impression that a well designed organisation could run a chernobyl-type reactor without incident; whilst a for-profit commercial venture could run an wood-burning stove into the ground.

    20. Re:What happened? by j00r0m4nc3r · · Score: 2

      All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands

      You can say this about anything.

    21. Re:What happened? by EastCoastSurfer · · Score: 2

      It's not too dangerous to use for something because the radioactivity is very useful. The US has archaic laws that prevent spent fuel in the US from being processed. France has no such laws, produces a large percentage of their power from nuclear and has very little unusable waste. Oh, you probably want a citation.

    22. Re:What happened? by cowboy76Spain · · Score: 2

      If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

      I like the idea of not dying of cancer in 20 years in Iowa, but I still do not know how to create a tsunami in Massachusetts.... :-(

      --
      Why can't /. have a rich-text editor? Editing your own HTML is so XXth century.
    23. Re:What happened? by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      I wonder how strong their opposition is. Which would they choose, given the option of more nuclear power plants or 30 cents per kilowatt hour?

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    24. Re:What happened? by UnanimousCoward · · Score: 1

      Mod the parent up!

      --
      Twelve-and-three-quarter inches. Unyielding. This wand belonged to Bellatrix Lestrange.
    25. Re:What happened? by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Considering most of the surrounding area was destroyed by the tsunami, I imagine they would have ultimately been evacuated anyway.

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    26. Re:What happened? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 3, Informative

      When he talks about recycling, he's not talking about reducing the radioactivity of uranium and plutonium - you want those to be radioactive. He's talking about removing the neutron poisons and fission products from the fuel elements, and returning the fuel to the core for more energy production. A nuclear reactor only uses about 1% of the fuel in an assembly before the reaction is no longer sustainable due to neutron poisons. This allows you to get at the other ~99%, increasing efficiency and reducing waste.

      Removing the trans-uranics and fission products allows you to separate the high-level wastes that decay much faster (tens to hundreds of years rather than tens of thousands) from the usable fuel assemblies that can undergo critical assembly to be useful again. Also, it gives us access to lots of materials useful for medical imaging and radiotherapy.

      Read: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_reprocessing

      --
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    27. Re:What happened? by HappyHead · · Score: 4, Informative

      I wonder what would happen if such disasters had hit a dam or a thermal gas/coal plant...

      The massive environmental devastation that resulted would once again be hushed up and glossed over by the majority of the media, just like these ones were. Of course, they didn't even have a 9.0 earthquake or a tsunami, just some incompetence, bad safety protocols, and much looser restrictions on how they store and treat their toxic waste products.

    28. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What kind of super-men do you expect to design, build, run, secure, and maintain these plants? All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      The kind of supermen who have run hundreds of plants for decades without major incident. All it takes is "one accident", which aside from Chernobyl, hasn't happened yet.

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years.

      While technically right (after all, the end decay product for most uranium is lead, which is a toxic metal without a half-life), it is a remarkably ignorant statement. The radioactivity of a rod drops dramatically just in the first few weeks out of the reactor. Then as I understand it, most of the remaining radioactivity is in isotopes with half-lives of decades to centuries. For the projections for Yucca Mountain, they expected containment for ten thousand years to be adequate to get rid of most radioactivity from nuclear rods.

      But there's no need for containment on the time scale of billions of years. No plutonium isotope will last that long. And you'd see a large drop in uranium 235 (which after all has a half-life of about 700 million years) and even a notable drop in uranium 238. My bet is that someone would recycle the nuclear rods in the next few centuries rather than leave us with a pollution problem.

    29. Re:What happened? by HappyHead · · Score: 4, Insightful

      As more details emerge, one thing is becoming clear: This accident did not happen as a result of any tsunami. The tsunami merely kicked in the door of a rotten structure which swiftly collapsed. Cost cutting, poor safety, inadequate oversight, etc, etc; These are the real causes of the radiation leaks happening at Fukushima at present.Some very dirty laundry is being aired in very public view.

      Wow, you're just full of crap today, aren't you?

      This accident did happen as a result of a Tsunami. Giant freakin' wave of ocean water shredded the reactor buildings and destroyed the control equipment. Cost cutting, poor safety, inadequate oversight, etc, etc, are not to blame. All of the extra money thrown at the reactors, all of the additional safety features (which were by the way, far from poor), and all of the oversight in the world would not have stopped a nuclear plant that had just been through a NINE POINT FREAKIN' ZERO earthquake, followed by a TWELVE METER WAVE OF SALT-WATER SMASHING THE BUILDINGS from breaking. Seriously! Get a clue. Yes, deregulation for things like public utilities is bad - it never turns out well, but absolving the worst natural disaster in history of any guilt in the devastation it caused? You're delusional.

    30. Re:What happened? by HappyHead · · Score: 2

      Quick addendum - I'm not saying that deregulation doesn't lead to problems (I did say it's bad). It does lead to reduced safety, increased costs, politicians and inspectors getting their pockets lined to ignore safety issues, and more. I'm just saying that even if those things had not been problems, this still would have happened, and claiming otherwise is just pants-on-head retarded.

    31. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex were hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, ...

      No, it was not hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake. The earthquake was roughly 150 miles away.

      The Fukushima incident has shown that even with multiple massive accidents, even old designs hold up pretty damn well.

      Are you completely insane or what?
      Would you care to stay up to date which what is going on in Japan you would not write such bullshit.
      Your parents point is completely valid. A single event, the tsunami, caused 3 reactors to fail so badly they nearly melted down. One is still at the edge of melting down.
      There are dozens if not hundreds of reactors in similar dangerous areas. A mountain slide etc. could cause similar harm.
      The disaster management after the event was a catastrophe. Do you really think (looking at New Orleans Katrina hit) your country would do anything better?
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    32. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, Yes, Yes. We know you're going to use whatever tragedy occurs to further emboss your crony socialism business card. Enough already. We have a real world to live in.

    33. Re:What happened? by Daengbo · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure he was talking about reprocessing it so that it can be used for fuel, not to reduce its radioactivity.

    34. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      +1

    35. Re:What happened? by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Tell me, since you don't come out and say it exactly but your post seems to imply that a public entity could run a Nuclear power station more safely. I don't think this is true because they will be subject to the same fiscal pressure a private corporation is.

      Case 1: Chernobyl, was run by a communist government. They cut corners on the desing and materials used to build the plant, and finally on training and staffing to run it. The result was the worst accident in the history of nuclear power generation. Why did they cut corners? Well obviously they wanted to direct those resources elsewhere, it makes not difference whether it was to some officials pocket or to bread for orphans.

      Case 2: New Orleans and Katrina. The Army Core of Engineers had informed the city government that the levies needed to be repaired in places and that they needed to be re-enforced and made higher in general. The local government was aware of this for years prior to the disaster. There was not even a project going to complete the work. Why? Because they were spending the tax revenue elsewhere (largely social programs).

      If you put a public body in charge of plant maintenance they same thing will happen, managers will always place some perceived need of today over mitigation of some risk in the future. There is always going to be pressure to minimize the cost of operating these plants and its always going to push operation below the margin of safety.

      --
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    36. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look, there's another volunteer for cleaning up Fukushima. Do you have your ticket and sunscreen?

    37. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Supposedly, some of the Canary Islands volcanoes are capable of a large flank collapse which could cause large tsunami (significantly larger than the tsunami which hit the Japanese coast) to hit the coasts of the Americas.

    38. Re:What happened? by johnny+cashed · · Score: 1

      The "several explosions" are a result of failure of the the nuclear plant, they are part of the accident resulting from loss of power. Not a cause of the accident, they are an aspect of the accident.

    39. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And in Chernobyl, State owned enterprise happened. So we are pretty much screwed, aren't we?

    40. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Perhaps you could expand on how you "recycle" uranium and plutonium in such a way that reduces its radioactivity?

      Burn it in a nuclear reactor. MachineShedFred pointed out that 1% or so gets burned in each cycle.

      Unless you are aware of a method by which you can remove excess nucleons from an atom without an accompanying release of radiation.

      We want the accompanying release of radiation. That eventually turns into electrical power.

    41. Re:What happened? by Noughmad · · Score: 2

      Cancer doesn't tend to kill you the moment the first neutron damages your DNA. It takes a while.

      What, do you think the primary risk with nuclear power is that there will be an atom-bomb style explosion? The risk of a nuclear explosion exists (has happened on multiple occasions) but those are instant blasts of radiation that are localized, with very little physical blast damage.

      But no, it's not about the instant deaths. It's the increase in cancer deaths and the billions of years of contamination of the nearby land, and the worldwide reach of the fallout that people don't like. If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

      However, if a coal plant in Massachusetts _doesn't_ get hit by any accident, you just might die of cancer in Iowa.

      --
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    42. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

      Your wind farm would have to take over all the free land in Massachusetts to equal the energy output of a single, medium-sized nuclear reactor. Herein lies the problem. Wind and Solar are safe but they don't scale well in terms of size or cost. The anti-nuclear crowd is going to have to grow up and recognize that if we really want to provide sufficient energy for our future needs while fighting global warming at the same time, nuclear is the only way to go.

      And given that it took a 9.0 earthquake, a tsunami, and multiple explosions to finally cause a core breach a Fukushima, I'd say the risks with nuclear are acceptable.

    43. Re:What happened? by fritsd · · Score: 1

      The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex were hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, THEN a 12m high tsunami, and THEN several explosions.

      Hmm.
      Let's turn that around a bit:
      The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex suffered several (chemical) explosions and possibly core meltdown and melting fuel rods in the spent fuel pool because the electricity to the cooling systems was interrupted for more than a few hours.

      Remember, reactor # 4 was off-line during the earthquake and tsunami. There were not even any rods in the reactor itself; That's the one with the full spent fuel pool.
      Worst-case scenario: if the fuel rods in that pool melt and flow together at the bottom of that pool, which is on the second floor of the building, outside of the actual reactor core. So, what's the status of that pool since 20 March? The IAEA page says only:

      Fukushima Nuclear Accident Update (27 March 2011, 01:15 UTC) (...) Unit 4 From March 22 to March 25, 130 to 150 tonnes of seawater was poured into the spent fuel pool each day using a concrete pump. Sea water was also poured in through the spent fuel cooling system from 24 March, 21:05 UTC to 25 March, 01:20. White "smoke" was still being observed coming from the reactor building as of 25 March, 23:00 UTC.

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      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    44. Re:What happened? by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Meanwhile there are treatments being developed today that promise to rid us of many cancers. So whats your point? Id rather not breath in byproducts of coal every day that cause lung damage (not to mention cancer, but my point is that there are treatments) and risk a rare nuclear disaster. A 9.0 magnitude earth quake is extremely rare. Complaining that nuclear reactors are not safe because of that is like complaining that your house isn't safe from mile wide meteorites.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    45. Re:What happened? by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

      no, actually, all that waste we want to ship in to Yucca? new reactor designs can feed off that. that's fuel. we can use that for fuel, and in the process, reduce its radioactivity significantly -- AND the waste still left while still dangerous? while it's still not something you want to play in for thousands of years, it's much less dangerous than current waste and its dangerous half-life is waaaay shorter.

      you recycle uranium and plutonium by using it as fuel. yes, you increase the rate at which it decays.. and you use that energy for uhhh energy!

      why would you just reduce the radioactivity of it and leave it sit? that would take an energy injection to remove energy from the waste, when we can just TAKE energy from the waste.

      but that'll never happen, because nobody wants to build nuclear reactors in this country. Even if it means we'd only need to move a fraction of the waste to Yucca we're currently planning on, even if it means we could eat our own nuclear waste and weapons for a few hundred years. Nope. NIMBY BUDDEH!

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    46. Re:What happened? by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Coal fly ash and bottom ash are both toxic, and can easily be released into the environment. Storing these chemicals is almost as bad as storing nuclear waste. Meanwhile, there are experimental reactors on the east coast of the US that can use most of the waste by recycling it. Nuclear power is safe, and clean now. Older reactor designs just need to get phased out.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    47. Re:What happened? by ildon · · Score: 1

      The risk of a nuclear explosion exists (has happened on multiple occasions)

      Uh, what? When is the last time any nuclear reactor on earth caused a nuclear explosion? I'm PRETTY SURE that's something I would have heard about.

    48. Re:What happened? by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      And so the answer is to ban nuclear reactors? Come on. Coal plants are thousands of times more harmful to people and polluting than nuclear plants, even with all accidents factored in for nuclear plants, and accidents related to fly ash and bottom ash being released into the environment not being factored in for coal plants.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    49. Re:What happened? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Only about 33-36% of the reactor's thermal output is converted to electricity.

      The rest needs to be dissipated into a heatsink.

      To avoid heating rivers up too much, France uses cooling towers pretty heavily. However, cooling towers are big and unsightly and set off the NIMBYs, so many plant operators use rivers or, in Japan, the ocean as their heatsink.

      The thing is - with a cooling tower, you could set up some large heatpipes to provide 100% passive removal of decay heat.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    50. Re:What happened? by lingon · · Score: 1

      Cancer doesn't tend to kill you the moment the first neutron damages your DNA. It takes a while.

      What, do you think the primary risk with nuclear power is that there will be an atom-bomb style explosion?

      No, and I don't think that most people suggests that. We can calculate (an upper bound to) the cancer risk given a certain amount of absorbed radiation, so that's well known. We've been able to do this for quite some time so there's no need to spread fear about mysterious future dangers.

    51. Re:What happened? by petes_PoV · · Score: 1

      We claim we want energy independence

      What I think americans want the most is for things to continue exactly as they are at present. I.e. with enough energy being imported to keep them in the lifestyle they have become accustomed to. Not having to worry about the piling up of debt that strategy brings, not having to worry that there are other countries who would also like a similar slice of the pie and not having to worry about the long term consequences.

      Sadly several things are going to bite them in the ass (lucky it's such a large one), which will cause a huge change in that lifestyle. They can either start dealing with it now, in the hope that the gradual change won't be too traumatic or they can think of it like a diet: "We'll start tomorrow - pass the deep-fried lard." So far, all indications are that they are, for the most part, happy to continue singing to themselves, with their hands firmly over their ears so they can't hear all the warnings and protestations that are getting louder all the time.

      The only outcome that appears feasible is that one day there won't be any more gas in the tank, or electricity in the socket. Only then will they start to consider what should have been started 50 years earlier - when the TVs are all blank and there's nothing to keep them diverted and entertained any longer.

      --
      politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    52. Re:What happened? by RKThoadan · · Score: 1

      Cutting "maintenance" costs is popular in both public and private organizations. I think the risks are generally equal for both. If there are proper transparency laws in place I think public management is slightly better, but only with proper transparency laws.

      As a thought experiment I can only think of one organization that takes "maintenance" seriously and that is the military. It wouldn't surprise me if the military's many nuclear reactors are far better maintained than any others. I'm not sure how we could put the military in charge of nuclear power (and part of me cringes at the thought), but they'd probably do a good job of it, although it might not be cheap.

    53. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > At this happened in Japan for christsake.

      Yes, Japan. Where compromise and harmony is valued above all. Also, they still haven't really broken out of the feudal mindset; authority and seniority take precedence over abstract concepts such as law. The people who are supposed to be keeping the industry in line are middle-ranking bureaucrats, while the people running the industry are golfing buddies with half of the cabinet. But the problem isn't corruption per se, but the fact that Japanese don't actually view this as corruption; it's just the natural order.

    54. Re:What happened? by mikael · · Score: 1

      Yet no one is equally as up in arms about these places as they are about nuclear.

      The Bhopal disaster

      Long term health effects
      Victims of Bhopal disaster asking for Warren Anderson's extradition from the USA

      It is estimated 100,000 to 200,000 people have permanent injuries. Reported symptoms are eye problems, respiratory difficulties, immune and neurological disorders, cardiac failure secondary to lung injury, female reproductive difficulties and birth defects among children born to affected women. [4] The Indian Government and UCC deny permanent injuries were caused by MIC or the other gases.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
    55. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We need to take down the old Type 1, like Fukushima, at the sites that currently have them (for peace of mind) and replace them with new Type 3.5 or 4 reactors. Perhaps install a breeder at each site to get rid of the waste (better than wanting to haul it to a salt mine in Utah). Therefore we can keep the same number of reactors in places that already have them, just UPGRADE to newer and better designs. This cuts all the NIMBY and environmental protests off at the knees and should make for rapid-ish deployment.

    56. Re:What happened? by LateArthurDent · · Score: 1

      Cancer doesn't tend to kill you the moment the first neutron damages your DNA. It takes a while.

      This isn't exactly the type of source that I would cite in an argument, but the presentation is so well-done, that I just have to. In particular, you should look for the sections in the chart concerning Fukushima, the section containing "lowest one-year dose clearly linked to increased cancer risk," and sections for common medical procedures such as mammograms: http://xkcd.com/radiation/

      If you don't believe something in the chart, feel free to look it up in a more reputable source, and post it. If you send it to Randall, I'm sure he'd correct the chart too.

    57. Re:What happened? by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      Earthquakes and tsunamis are part of the Japanese environment. If you're going to build a nuclear power plant on the east coast of Japan, it needs to be built to withstand a 9.0 quake and the resultant tsunami. It was not. However, the positive spin is that whilst the five old reactors are all having major problems, reactor number 6, which is of a newer design, is perfectly safe and sound. If the brakes fail on my Ford Prefect and I run someone over, well, maybe I shouldn't be driving a Ford Prefect nowadays. We aren't building cars like that any more, and we aren't building nuclear reactors like that any more, and really, Japan should not have still been running that reactor the way it was. Saying "cars are not safe" because of my Ford Prefect accident is not a rational response.

    58. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe, but if reports that TEPCO ignored warnings about the possible size of Earthquakes are true (see http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/03/27/japan.nuclear.disaster/index.html?npt=NP1), then they have to take most of the blame. The generators could have been protected against the Tsunami, they weren't, and after that everything went to hell in a hand basket.

    59. Re:What happened? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      This is how you get a tsunami in Massachusetts.

      http://geology.com/noaa/atlantic-ocean-tsunami/

    60. Re:What happened? by ptbarnett · · Score: 1

      The risk of a nuclear explosion exists (has happened on multiple occasions)

      [CITATION NEEDED]

    61. Re:What happened? by ObsessiveMathsFreak · · Score: 2

      Tell me, since you don't come out and say it exactly but your post seems to imply that a public entity could run a Nuclear power station more safely. I don't think this is true because they will be subject to the same fiscal pressure a private corporation is.

      No, I don't have much confidence in public run plants either. More confidence than in privately run plants certainly; but I wouldn't describe myself as being confident in them.

      By the way, your other missed example was the Challenger Disaster.

      All that said, if we do need to have nuclear plants, I'd prefer to see them run by a transparent, accountable public body. We can design the plant to be as safe as we like, but if we don't safely design the organisation running it as well, then the whole plant may as well be rigged to explode.

      --
      May the Maths Be with you!
    62. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um, the accident happened because one of the fifteen largest nuclear power stations in the world was sited next to exposed shoreline in the middle of a known earthquake zone despite public protest. Operators of the station had previously falsified records in order to disguise safety issues at the plant. It was an accident waiting to happen. Don't blame nature for that.

    63. Re:What happened? by IICV · · Score: 1

      But no, it's not about the instant deaths. It's the increase in cancer deaths and the billions of years of contamination of the nearby land, and the worldwide reach of the fallout that people don't like. If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

      Errr... so if it's not about the instant deaths, and it's about the increase in mortality rates - you should be all for nuclear power to replace coal power, because coal power kills people in a shitload of different ways.

      I mean, just look at this visualization - the rightmost column is deaths per terrawatt/hour, and coal has everything beat by a longshot.

    64. Re:What happened? by Solandri · · Score: 3, Interesting

      But no, it's not about the instant deaths. It's the increase in cancer deaths and the billions of years of contamination of the nearby land, and the worldwide reach of the fallout that people don't like. If a wind farm gets hit by a tsunami in Massachusetts, you won't die of cancer in 20 years in Iowa.

      This is pretty typical of how most people analyze things. Unfortunately, it's wrong, as it doesn't take into account opportunity costs.

      You can't compare the consequences of nuclear power to a world where there are no cancer deaths, no radioactive "contamination", and no worldwide "fallout". Getting rid of nuclear power would not result in such a world because nuclear provides a significant portion of the world's electricity. Get rid of nuclear power and the need for that electricity would still remain. To do a proper comparison, you have to consider what the alternative choices are. Right now the only viable replacement for nuclear power is coal. Oil is too valuable as a transport fuel, gas is difficult to capture and transport, hydro is pretty much tapped out, geothermal seems to be stuck, and I wish solar and especially wind could provide base load but they can't. So the primary alternative to nuclear is coal.

      Coal contains trace amounts of radioactive uranium and thorium. Consequently, coal plants pump more uranium into our atmosphere as part of their ash than our entire nuclear industry uses as fuel. Coal emissions are estimated to kill 1 million people each year worldwide, primarily through lung cancer deaths. They are (now) largely responsible for the mercury contamination of our oceans which makes certain fish too dangerous to eat. And the emissions from a coal plant in Massachusetts spread throughout the entire world, just like the fallout from a nuclear accident.

      So it isn't simply a matter of avoiding nuclear because of its dangers. It's a matter of using nuclear because it's considerably less dangerous than its primary alternative - coal.

      Similarly, if you're going to consider every little negative consequence of using nuclear power, you have to do the same for wind. No the wind turbine in Massachusetts won't kill someone in Iowa if it's destroyed by a hurricane. But to replace a single 3-4 GW nuclear plant's annual power generation with wind, you'll need to build about 7,000 turbines (2 MW turbines * 25% capacity factor * 7000 turbines = 3.5 GW). Each turbine needs about 100-200 tons of steel, so all-told you'll need ~1 million tons of steel. To provide that steel, coal needs to be burned to melt the iron (either directly or via coal plants producing electricity) and provide the carbon to turn it into steel. Consequently, the coal emissions needed to build those 7,000 turbines in Massachusetts will cause people in Iowa to die of cancer in 20 years.

    65. Re:What happened? by catmistake · · Score: 1

      All it takes is "one accident", which aside from Chernobyl, hasn't happened yet.

      I find it exceedingly annoying how dismissive nuclear proponents are: "aside from Chernobyl," my God, how can you just brush off subsequent 4000-40,000 deaths? Chernobyl isn't done yet... the sarcophogas is failing... most experts agree cleanup is impossible (to collect and safeguard 20cm of top soil in a 20 mile radius of the plant). And not even considering TMI, its 14 years and $1 billion cost of cleanup is anathema to rational individuals. We got lucky at TMI, it could have been worse, but it was far worse than most nuclear proponents admit. Its not nothing. Its a big deal. And you're completely overlooking Fukushima (remember??).

      For the projections for Yucca Mountain, they expected containment for ten thousand years to be adequate to get rid of most radioactivity from nuclear rods.

      Had the Yucca Mountain facility been built, it would have been already filled more than twice by the toxic nuclear waste we now have in the US. Even if we reprocessed the waste with fast reactors, it would still be full by now. And no one, I don't care how good a team of engineers, no one can design a facility to keep this stuff safe for 10K years. To suggest otherwise is fantasy. No one can say a location will be safe in 300 years, much less 5K or 10K or 30K years. Humans are are unreliable... they cheat and lie... they make mistakes... and they forget.

    66. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fellow Americans are in a market economy that values most things first on price, and only later on value and hidden costs. Thus oil and coal, which have low retail energy sticker prices (but have hidden costs for military operations, corporate income tax exceptions, and lung cancer) look a lot more affordable than alternatives with high up-front investment costs and the extra costs of being new.

    67. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      First of all there where several hydrogen / oxygen explosions, which likely led to a hull breach.

      Second it is (nearly) irrelevant how thick the steel containment is.

      A melt down means the uranium/plutonium gets so hot it is melting itself.

      Which means it is hotter than the melting point of steel. And thus it is burning its way through the steel.

      While this is happening it is burning on the surface where it is getting exposed to air. Smoke water/steam and other stuff that can evaporate is leaving the building carrying contamination.

      While the molten core is burning its way down into the ground it is cooling and dispersing ofc. But steam and smoke still is escaping until the melt down has stopped (by cooling with ground waters etc.)

      From that point you only have trouble if it continuos to poison the fresh water.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    68. Re:What happened? by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years.

      Where did you pull this particular bit of baloney from?

    69. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Most places in the earthquake zone in Japan didn't get smashed by a tsunami that day. The reason they didn't was they were built on high ground.

      The nuclear power plants were built close to water in a cost-cutting measure to save the expense of pumping water a long distance uphill. There is no fundamental reason the plants had to be right on the coast.

      If the utility had ponied up the money and sited the plant on higher ground none of this would have happened. It's Japan for Chris'sakes, they had to be aware that earthquakes and tsunamis were a big risk.

    70. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      I find it exceedingly annoying how dismissive nuclear proponents are: "aside from Chernobyl," my God, how can you just brush off subsequent 4000-40,000 deaths? Chernobyl isn't done yet... the sarcophogas is failing... most experts agree cleanup is impossible (to collect and safeguard 20cm of top soil in a 20 mile radius of the plant). And not even considering TMI, its 14 years and $1 billion cost of cleanup is anathema to rational individuals. We got lucky at TMI, it could have been worse, but it was far worse than most nuclear proponents admit. Its not nothing. Its a big deal. And you're completely overlooking Fukushima (remember??).

      Keep in mind that the the Russian design (Wikipedia says there still are 11 of them going in Russia as of 2010) is far more dangerous than anything in the developed world and that the operators were taking extraordinary risks with the reactor at the time of the accident. Finally, dosages were higher because civilians weren't warned and evacuated for a significant time after the start of the accident.

      So yes, I can brush off however many deaths Chernobyl ends up causing precisely because it was an insane situation that has never held at commercial nuclear power sites anywhere in the developed world.

      Had the Yucca Mountain facility been built, it would have been already filled more than twice by the toxic nuclear waste we now have in the US.

      We can reduce the volume of waste. We can recycle nuclear fuel rods. And we can increase the size of Yucca Mountain's volume.

    71. Re:What happened? by Mr.+Foogle · · Score: 1

      What kind of super-men do you expect to design, build, run, secure, and maintain these plants?

      Hyman Rickover has a few answers for you.

      --
      Display some adaptability.
    72. Re:What happened? by mdarksbane · · Score: 3, Informative

      You made me curious.

      The standard steel production process takes .6 tons of coke coal per ton of steel produced. http://www.worldcoal.org/resources/coal-statistics/coal-steel-statistics/

      And a 3.5 GW coal plant burns about 1.4 million million tons of coal a year.
      http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/energy/question481.htm

      So building your wind mills will take at minimum the same amount of coal as running a coal plant for 6 months, just for the steel. I just thought that was interesting.

    73. Re:What happened? by dwightk · · Score: 1

      don't say nobody

      --
      Like anyone can even know that
    74. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hm, and I thought the buildings were shredded by the hydrogen igniting...

    75. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would call it both.

      In my first year of debate class, the topic was "Resolved: That the U.S. should adopt a comprehensive plan to significantly increase it's energy independence from foreign sources."

      This was 19-frickin'-79.

      You would not believe all the options, other than oil or coal, that were being developed back then. I was a proponent of a new nuke design, called "High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR)", which, IIRC, France had been playing with. In one year, I became rather knowledgeable about Co-Gens, THD/MHDs, solar (PVC and radiant collection), hydro, etc.

      The number one issue, over the years, has been one of cost. Does anyone remember what a TRS-80 cost in 1979? Yet, here we are, 32 years later, and we still don't have anything along an alternative solution, but I can run a virtual Z-80, 6502, 6809E, and 68K, at the same time, on a machine that costs less than the 1979 TRS-80 did.

      Yes, alternatives will be expensive - at first. After we get the hang of them, newer enhancements and improvements in production will bring the price down (like computers). So, the problem rests squarely with us, afraid of making the first steps or being afraid of what we deem to be a greater evil.

      Sucks to be us, huh?

    76. Re:What happened? by Maskull · · Score: 1

      That's the thing. When you burn coal to make power, there's no monetary incentive to encourage you to do it cleanly. You don't make more power, and hence more money, by not dumping all that crud into the atmosphere. But with nuclear, there is exactly such an incentive. If the stuff coming out of your nuclear power plant is still potently radioactive, then you're wasting money. You could be using that to make and sell more power. Nuclear energy is one of the few power-generation technologies where economic selfishness and environmental concerns actually align, at least in one respect.

    77. Re:What happened? by catmistake · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that the the Russian design (Wikipedia says there still are 11 of them going in Russia as of 2010) is far more dangerous than anything in the developed world and that the operators were taking extraordinary risks with the reactor at the time of the accident. Finally, dosages were higher because civilians weren't warned and evacuated for a significant time after the start of the accident. So yes, I can brush off however many deaths Chernobyl ends up causing precisely because it was an insane situation that has never held at commercial nuclear power sites anywhere in the developed world.

      Ah, because they lied or underestimated the severity of the situation, you can blow it off. Brilliant deductive reasoning there. First of all, the number of peoples in proximity to a nuclear accident has absolutely effect on the amount of radiation released. Secondly, they lied about TMI too: at first, they assured the public there were no radiation releases (lie), then they said the radiation was released purposely to control pressure (2 more lies). Ah, so right there I have proved you wrong. You're are terrifically naive to think that no one lies in the developed world. The only thing that prevented TMI from being a Chernobyl was that there was a concrete encasement protecting the reactor, and that structure was not breached. But there was no natural disaster that caused it... it was a faulty valve and human error. What if there was an earthquake right underneath one of our safely designed domestic nuclear plants?. I don't think its so far a stretch of the imagination that an earthquake might cause breaches in concrete.

      Had the Yucca Mountain facility been built, it would have been already filled more than twice by the toxic nuclear waste we now have in the US.

      We can reduce the volume of waste. We can recycle nuclear fuel rods. And we can increase the size of Yucca Mountain's volume.

      You don't read very well. That ship sailed. Its too late for Yucca, as bad an idea as it was to begin with. As I said, even if we had built it, and even if we had reduced the volume of waste, it would still be full. But we never even got there... the vast majority of our nuclear waste is distributed accross the eastern seaboard where most of our nuclear power plants are.... just sitting there in containment pools. Forget the reactors for a moment, I wonder how much of an earthquake one of those pools can withstand before they breach and radiated water seeps into aquifers and water supplies, emptying the pools, and opening the real possibility of nuclear catastrophe with absolutely no containment whatsoever. I know what you're gonna say "ooo... scary earthquake fear mongering!"

      Seismicity of the United States
      Location of reactors in the United States

      At some point someone is going to have to actually pay attention to the very real possibilities of something going very wrong somewhere right in our backyard. I'd rather they did it sooner than later, and I'd rather they not be you, so you can just keep on being a cold bastard and not caring about the ridiculous amount of suffering that just a few nuclear incidents have caused just so you can avoid worrying about your electric bill.

      I am not fully against nuclear power, but I am fully against this attitude that we've done nuclear power right and we continue to do it right, and the possibility of nuclear incident is small. There is just an immense amount of myopia involved with being pro-nuclear energy. I applaud these Americans favoring a moratorium, and I am releaved so many actually care. Bravo for caution.

    78. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The 'dangerous for billions of years' guy was off, yes. But the half life of an isotope is NOT the same as the number of years that it's dangerous.

      For a simplified example: if something is 8x the deadly dose right now and has a half life of a million years, it's still deadly *three* million years from now (it's still at 1/8th of the original 8x deadly dose).

      Additionally, not all decay is a single step. Something with a long half life might not be all that deadly by itself, but its byproducts are deadly. In other words, something is slowly decaying, but what it's decaying into is actually hotter.

      On top of that, some of this stuff is chemically poisonous even in the stable isotopes, so you really don't want it in your air/groundwater/food anyway.

      Another complication is it may not be evenly distributed; thus you can't generally say when a large exposed area is finally safe, because that area has pockets of safety and pockets of concentrated nastiness. For example, not everywhere in the evacuation radius of the Japanese plants is made of insta-death, but enough spot checks have been high enough to evacuate the whole area as a precaution.

      Further, some of the stuff is naturally environmentally or biologically concentrated. For example, some of the iodine isotopes being released aren't super radioactive, and their half life is only 8 days, so it won't be a big deal a year from now... but for right now, it collects in the thyroid, so you'd get an effectively much higher dose there and the associated much higher cancer risk.

    79. Re:What happened? by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 1

      It's too dangerous to "use it for something".

      It is too dangerous to let it sit around indefinitely . We have produced large quantities of it, and it isn't just going to go away. Most of it isn't even dangerous; the scale of the problem is purely do to the fact that we refuse to recycle it. (and to be fair, the the method of recycling to use spent fuel in conventional reactors is very unattractive.) The safest place for that material is in a modern nuclear reactor, which eats the existing "waste", and produces extremely little actual waste. Modern fuel cycles are able to readily recycle spent fuel and weapons, and produce none of the long term waste.

      Perhaps you could expand on how you "recycle" uranium and plutonium in such a way that reduces its radioactivity? All you can do is increase the rate at which it decays, which is a dangerous (and depending on how fast you increase the rate, highly destructive) process.

      Unless you are aware of a method by which you can remove excess nucleons from an atom without an accompanying release of radiation. I'm sure the Nobel committee would be eager to hear from you.

      You can not alter the decay rate, that is physically impossible. We created all of the Plutonium on earth, and there are exactly two ways to get rid of it--one, is to wait a long time, the other is to fission it. Fission results in a bunch of smaller elements, many of which are useful, and most which have very short half lives. Ideally, we would use it to create power in the process of destroying it.

      Furthermore, that "radiation" you refer to is called energy. No Nobel prize would await someone who invented a process to destroy a vast and immensely valuable energy resource.

    80. Re:What happened? by cartman · · Score: 1

      A single event, the tsunami, caused 3 reactors to fail so badly they nearly melted down. One is still at the edge of melting down.

      No, a single event did not cause the reactors to fail. First there was an earthquake which, despite being 150 miles away, destroyed all of 3 high-voltage lines supplying Fukushima with backup power. Then the earthquake damaged equipment in the reactors. Then there was a tsunami which submerged all of the 13 backup generators.

      If there were only a tsunami, then the high-voltage lines going into Fukushima from the east would not have fallen down and the station would not have lost power.

    81. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Ah, because they lied or underestimated the severity of the situation, you can blow it off. Brilliant deductive reasoning there. First of all, the number of peoples in proximity to a nuclear accident has absolutely effect on the amount of radiation released. Secondly, they lied about TMI too: at first, they assured the public there were no radiation releases (lie), then they said the radiation was released purposely to control pressure (2 more lies). Ah, so right there I have proved you wrong. You're are terrifically naive to think that no one lies in the developed world. The only thing that prevented TMI from being a Chernobyl was that there was a concrete encasement protecting the reactor, and that structure was not breached. But there was no natural disaster that caused it... it was a faulty valve and human error. What if there was an earthquake right underneath one of our safely designed domestic nuclear plants? [wikipedia.org]. I don't think its so far a stretch of the imagination that an earthquake might cause breaches in concrete.

      I already explained in the previous post. Chernobyl was a very unsafe design. The process for shutting the reactor down in the short term made the problem worse. When they started sticking the control rods in at Chernobyl to shut things down, there was a point where more fissioning and heat production occurred than if the control rods had been left out.Think about that please. No developed world reactor does that.

      Second, the Chernobyl operators had suspended many of the safety features of the reactor (I gather to test the failure mode that actually happened). Commercial nuclear power operators aren't allowed to do that.

      Finally, not evacuating people promptly didn't change how much radiation was released, but it substantially increased the radiation exposure by the general public.

      You don't read very well. That ship sailed. Its too late for Yucca, as bad an idea as it was to begin with. As I said, even if we had built it, and even if we had reduced the volume of waste, it would still be full. But we never even got there... the vast majority of our nuclear waste is distributed accross the eastern seaboard where most of our nuclear power plants are.... just sitting there in containment pools. Forget the reactors for a moment, I wonder how much of an earthquake one of those pools can withstand before they breach and radiated water seeps into aquifers and water supplies, emptying the pools, and opening the real possibility of nuclear catastrophe with absolutely no containment whatsoever. I know what you're gonna say "ooo... scary earthquake fear mongering!"

      Yes. Ooo scary earthquake fear mongering. Notice that the two maps you post indicate that most reactors in the US aren't in seismically active areas? So why didn't you look first?

      At some point someone is going to have to actually pay attention to the very real possibilities of something going very wrong somewhere right in our backyard. I'd rather they did it sooner than later, and I'd rather they not be you, so you can just keep on being a cold bastard and not caring about the ridiculous amount of suffering that just a few nuclear incidents have caused just so you can avoid worrying about your electric bill.

      Here's how I see it. You understand the form of argument. You grok that posting links are supposed to help (hence, the posting of maps of nuclear plants and recent large earthquakes). But you're missing the fundamental core to argument, reason.

      Pay attention to my Chernobyl remarks. It really was a different situation than any developed world, commercial nuclear power plant. I explain why. This is how reason works.

      Similarly, Fukushima I nuclear plant shows that humanity can engineer nuclear plants, even really old ones, for really big disasters. In the end, it'll just be a modest radiation release. Sure, it could have been worse, but it wasn't, primarily because

    82. Re:What happened? by catmistake · · Score: 1
      I apologize for my knee jerk reaction and name calling. My fingers get away from me. I have simply to say that I disagree with nearly all of your assessments wholeheartedly, and your arguments concerning electricity are clearly fallacious, an appeal to consequences. Electricity is not solely dependent on nuclear power. But this:

      In the end, it'll just be a modest radiation release.

      tells me that there is no arguing with you. I thought most of these kinds of statements disappeared after the first wave of optimism proved incorrect. I was wrong, apparently. We are no where near an end at Fukushima, and the radiation already released is hardly modest. The runaway optimism concerning this incident is staggering.

    83. Re:What happened? by spedrosa · · Score: 1

      Ok. Nuclear is bad mmmkay?

      Now, what is the alternative? Fusion does not count - we need it right now.

    84. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You should probably take another look at what happened at Chernobyl. Your assessment of what went wrong is not so bad. Your understanding of what a poorly designed reactor it was isn't so bad. Yet had a concrete containment vessel been added to the design of those reactors, then it wouldn't make it all that different from reactors you believe are safe. A few feet of concrete, and you think everything will be OK? You're correct that there were delays in evacuation. The same delays in evacuation happened at TMI, and Fukushima. No one wants to bring the bad news. No one wants to cause panic. And it was people with optimistic attitudes similar to yours that caused the delays. People in charge can not be trusted when stuff goes bad.

    85. Re:What happened? by splatter · · Score: 1

      Um Wrong! He is speaking of the people removed from the 20 mile radius who had houses and were told to evacuate due to the reacter.

       

      --
      "(I) have this unfortunate condition that causes me not to believe a single thing any politician says when a mic's on.
    86. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      your arguments concerning electricity are clearly fallacious, an appeal to consequences.

      Something doesn't become a fallacy because you label it such. The study of consequence is a key part of engineering. Things like cheap electricity provide tremendous value and ease of suffering to society. Ignoring that is not reasonable.

      tells me that there is no arguing with you. I thought most of these kinds of statements disappeared after the first wave of optimism proved incorrect. I was wrong, apparently. We are no where near an end at Fukushima, and the radiation already released is hardly modest. The runaway optimism concerning this incident is staggering.

      You know what you're lacking here? Evidence that backs your claim.

    87. Re:What happened? by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Profit. Motive. You're ignoring it. Any kind of any organization made up of humans can and will make mistakes - but private business has a huge incentive to cut corners and skimp on safety protocols because it means extra $$$ in the pockets of CEO's and shareholders.

    88. Re:What happened? by catmistake · · Score: 1

      your arguments concerning electricity are clearly fallacious, an appeal to consequences.

      Something doesn't become a fallacy because you label it such. The study of consequence is a key part of engineering. Things like cheap electricity provide tremendous value and ease of suffering to society. Ignoring that is not reasonable.

      Appeal to consequences (argumentum ad consequentiam): an argument that concludes a premise (usually a belief) as either true or false based on whether the premise leads to desirable or undesirable consequences.

      tells me that there is no arguing with you. I thought most of these kinds of statements disappeared after the first wave of optimism proved incorrect. I was wrong, apparently. We are no where near an end at Fukushima, and the radiation already released is hardly modest. The runaway optimism concerning this incident is staggering.

      You know what you're lacking here? Evidence that backs your claim.

      plenty of evidence.

    89. Re:What happened? by lennier · · Score: 1

      I am beginning to think that my fellow Americans are afraid of success.

      Yes, nothing says 'success' like the smell of radioiodine in your morning coffee. Mmm-tasty!

      Especially for nursing infants, it's just what the doctor ordered. Gives 'em that extra 'sparkle' to start the day and take on all life's challenges!

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    90. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Are you completely insane or what?

      Nice ad-hom (or a close swipe at one).

      The disaster management after the event was a catastrophe. Do you really think (looking at New Orleans Katrina hit) your country would do anything better?

      You still have abso-fucking-lutely no scientific backup for your wind power fairy tales.

      It's over-emotional assholes like you (see, now that's a proper ad-hom) who will doom the planet to waiting until the eleventh hour to build nukes, then they will be built en masse and far too hastily. Why don't you go over there and hang out with the magnificently ignorant sluts of the German Green Party. Go live in your Gaian paradise in the dark, idiot.

    91. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Appeal to consequences (argumentum ad consequentiam): an argument that concludes a premise (usually a belief) as either true or false based on whether the premise leads to desirable or undesirable consequences.

      Once again, you haven't shown that this is a fallacy. The whole argument against nuclear power boils down to the claim that it has serious negative consequences. I merely point out that there are positive consequences to nuclear power as well. You haven't demonstrated that there is a valid answer to the question of nuclear power which doesn't strictly involve consideration of consequences.

      plenty of evidence.

      Note that this evidence doesn't support your assertion. For example, the claim that Fukushima is as bad as Chernobyl at least for two particular isotopes is based on some flawed statements. First, no clear measurements of the radiation release have been made by the people making the claim. These are weak estimates made by a small number of observers, some thousands of miles away.

      Second, there's the deeply flawed assumption that releases into the environment are equivalent. The Fukushima releases were local, the Chernobyl release was into the stratosphere. There was a wide dispersal of Chernobyl radiation (which included a lot of stuff other than these two particular isotopes such as plutonium isotopes).

      And the other link you post is to a Google search for Fukushima which doesn't support your arguments at all. So the scorecard is that one link is to a Google search about an estimate which is based on little data and ignores the dispersal and isotope differences which made Chernobyl much worse than Fukushima and the other link is to complete irrelevant stuff.

      It's not enough to post links or have a vague understanding of fallacy to argue. You need to use reason.

    92. Re:What happened? by Alvara · · Score: 1

      This whole series of posts could almost be put in a classics book about left braan vs right brain. ;)

      I rather enjoyed reading it.

      In the end:
      catmistake - they've failed before, it doesn't matter how they would be built today, they will fail again.
      khallow - modern designs are far safer then almost all other reactors currently operational. ...

      The fact that catmistake made some serious factual errors, yet still kept pushing his point is 'so' classic.
      Khallow diminishing the loss of life will almost always cause the faint hearted to get mad.

      hrmmm.
      I could keep pushing the comparisons, but it would be mean. ;)

      My personal opinion is that all those articles comparing the fukushima accident with chernobyl are fear mongering. If my memories of 1 of the IEEE articles I read on fukushima was accurate, the larger radiation amounts are from low half time stuff, that will diminish quickly. So maybe things have changed since that article, but saying fukushima is as bad as chernobyl is stupid and fear mongering. As is chernobyl compared to coal mining and coal plants is laughable.
      My over all opinion is that nuclear is the only way to go in the foreseeable future. That newer designs that are fail-safe, in that they will shut down automatically and safely if everything else fails, are the best bet till something like fusion comes along. I love the thought of solar panels, I would have them on my roof if the HOA didn't ban them, and they had a payoff time of more like 5 yrs instead of 20 yrs (been a while since I looked at data on it.)

    93. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That does not fit with the explanations in the news.
      According to them the power lines got cut by the Tsunami, not by the quake. And to the east is the sea anyway, so I wonder to which power line you refer.

      Anyway my point is that people repeat the myth the plant had survived a 9.0 quake, while it in fact was hit perhaps by 6.0 or even less.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    94. Re:What happened? by catmistake · · Score: 1

      You are mistaken about where the fallacy exists. (your argument summarized):
      we need nuclear power because we need electricity

      What makes this fallacious is that there are other sources of electricity. I can't make this any clearer.

      The assertion was yours that "in the end" there weill have only been a modest radiation release. I disagree with you. They just found plutonium in the soil at Fukushima. We are far a past "modest" radiation release, IMO. But you are entitled to your opinion.

    95. Re:What happened? by khallow · · Score: 1
      Keep in mind, if we're incorporating developed world design elements, we also wouldn't have the "positive void" problem that happened when the control rods were inserted into the reactor. So I think the combination of the two, even in a full core melt situation would have greatly curtailed the problem. First, it's likely the contaimment vessel would have leaked or cracked, but otherwise remain intact. That would have reduced the amount of oxygen that could reach the graphite and reduce the heating of the core from the burning of graphite. Second, there would have been more concrete and rebar mixing in with the core. That would have dilluted the core, reduced the heating per unit volume, and might even reduce the chemical reactivity of the core with air.

      You're correct that there were delays in evacuation. The same delays in evacuation happened at TMI, and Fukushima. No one wants to bring the bad news. No one wants to cause panic. And it was people with optimistic attitudes similar to yours that caused the delays. People in charge can not be trusted when stuff goes bad.

      The difference is that the delay in evacuation at Chernobyl resulted in people being exposed to significant radiation. There are reports that some people experienced radiation burns and nausea. I don't know about Fukushima. We may well see people who were exposed to significant radiation due to evacuation delays, but my impression is that they're pretty serious and open about this. We'll just have to see in hindsight, what really happened and who got affected.

    96. Re:What happened? by cartman · · Score: 1

      That does not fit with the explanations in the news.

      The news claimed that AC power lines were disabled during the earthquake, then the generators turned on, then the generators were disabled by the Tsunami. This is consistent with what I wrote.

      And to the east is the sea anyway, so I wonder to which power line you refer.

      I meant to say to the west; I typed the wrong thing on accident.

      If you look at the satellite images of Fukushima from before the accident, you will see 3 sets of high-voltage power lines coming from the west. They were disabled by the earthquake. That is why the Japanese authorities have had to lay new power cables across more than 1 kilometer to Fukushima, to replace the ones which fell down in the earthquake.

      All nuclear reactors in OECD countries have redundant high-voltage power lines coming in from the outside, because nuclear reactors require outside power to continue cooling operations during shutdown, at least nuclear reactors of the kind currently in operation. This outside power is normally taken from the grid during shutdown. However if the grid is unavailable, then they use the backup generators. They have many backup generators, because a total loss of station power (called "station blackout") is considered a very serious problem by itself in this kind of reactor. As we know, all the backup generators in Fukushima were in the same place and were submerged by the Tsunami.

      Anyway my point is that people repeat the myth the plant had survived a 9.0 quake, while it in fact was hit perhaps by 6.0 or even less.

      The earthquake was sufficient to cause severe shaking in Tokyo which is much further away. Bear in mind that when a city is destroyed by a large earthquake, it's very rare that the epicenter was actually right below the city.

    97. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well,

      thats right. The only question is how strong the quake actually was at the plant side.

      Regarding multiple AC back up lines, I doubt we have that in germany, need to check that ;D I fear we only have one incoming power line, and the outgoing one of course and then the back up generators.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    98. Re:What happened? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "I am beginning to think that my fellow Americans are afraid of success."

      You're not worried about success I see, as you haven't really studied it. Americans aren't afraid of success. They simply don't want someone else in their country (and maybe elsewhere) to be successful if they aren't. If they aren't getting their "fair share" or a "piece of the pie," then they believe some sort of weird war of attrition is going on, where someone else's success means it's being taken away from somewhere else. I haven't read that much up on the transcontinental railroad, but what I have, it's amazing how much fleecing and handouts there are to get things done back then--and realize that's how it largely works still.

      Maybe it's because myself, my parents, and friends have tried to start businesses, then seen how much utter and complete shit is in the way. Want to run internet lines across properties? The PUC stands in the way. If you get by their tomes of regulations, and fill out the right docs, then you still have to negotiate with the pole owners, and their documentation.

      Want renewables on your property? Better be some regulatory listed product, or keep it hush hush, otherwise you're home owners insurance will reject your policy, and no buyer of your product will then buy your product. Heaven forbid someone put a black tarp out, heat some polyethylene glycol mix in a loop, and have it run through an insulated tank you built. No, you can't spend $500. You've got to spend $5,000 and make it unaffordable. You can build a hardy solar hot water collector for less than $100 with stuff available at your building supply center--compare that to the $3,000 setup I just recently read about.

      Hell, the state can apparently pass a law removing liability from snow plowers that are employed by the state from it they damage property, but shit, you used to have to carry liability insurance if you put up a grid tied solar system.

      Want to put a turbine outside your house? Prepare to get complaints from neighbors due to the sight. The sound. Nevermind the cops don't enforce the noise ordinance in your area and there are burnouts at 3am. No, that bare whisper, that's illegal, not the thump across the bedrock into the neighborhood from the machinery plant working 24/5 1/2mile down the road. But damn it, they can still blow up a stack of coal burnoff 2x a day to heat their home and stink up the neighborhood, or run their outdoor wood furnace and saturated the neighborhood completely with incomplete, choking wood combustion. THAT is legal.

      We recently had a factory, remotely isolated, next to a landfill for crying out loud, on a hill, no neighborhoods around, that owns a forested reserve on the other side the landfill, the rest being farmland, get complaints when they put up 2 massive wind turbines. Because birds were going to die. Maybe. I guess no bird has ever been found dead near a fossil fuel plant output, near a steam output, or down some chimney stack. Nah, that's never happened. But some freaking bird gets hit by some massive turbine blade, the horror.

      So, yes, we CAN claim these things. It just isn't going to happen unless someone BIG is going to get PAID or CONTROL everything somehow, so that it can be TAXED to hell and back down the line. If you do it without being a massive company or having explicit permission, expect some visit from police or code enforcers or the municipality or some crap, meanwhile your neighbor burns wood 20 hours a day to heat his little freaking home, with a backup propane tank next to his gas generator (yeah, real safe).

      THAT'S America. Where farmers now sell our food on the fuel market. And city folk whine about how energy efficient they are over their suburban neighbors, while they ship their trash out to the farmlands as they ship in their fructose diet. All the while the government puts out a food pyramid which, if extended to our census population, our own farmers cannot and will not provide, thanks to the corn subsidies handed out by

    99. Re:What happened? by Jonathan_S · · Score: 1

      The 'dangerous for billions of years' guy was off, yes. But the half life of an isotope is NOT the same as the number of years that it's dangerous.

      For a simplified example: if something is 8x the deadly dose right now and has a half life of a million years, it's still deadly *three* million years from now (it's still at 1/8th of the original 8x deadly dose).

      Additionally, not all decay is a single step. Something with a long half life might not be all that deadly by itself, but its byproducts are deadly. In other words, something is slowly decaying, but what it's decaying into is actually hotter.

      On top of that, some of this stuff is chemically poisonous even in the stable isotopes, so you really don't want it in your air/groundwater/food anyway.

      You're right that the half life of a isotope isn't the length of time that it's dangerous, but there is an inverse relationship between the half-time of an isotope and it's radioactivity.

      The mechanism behind this radiation is that an unstable atom fissions, changes into one or more new elements and kicks out an extra: high energy photon (gamma ray particle), high energy electron (beta ray particle), helium nucleus (alpha ray particle), or neutron.

      If it takes an isotope a very long time to decay it's because these fission events are fairly rare. And since radiation is only emitted when one happens, slower decay = lower radiation (for a given quantity of material)

      Now you're right that a long life-time isotope's decay chain can include some short-half life isotopes. But again, their effect usually isn't that great because fairly few of them are present at a time. At the simplest level an atom of the short-lived isotope is only created when a long-lived atom fissions. So their rate of existence is still controlled by the decay rate of the longer lived parent isotope.

      And yes, many of the decay products are chemically nasty and poisonous; but that also true of many non-radioactive chemicals used in industry, mining, or get output from coal power plants that live on virtually forever like mercury or arsenic.

    100. Re:What happened? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Interesting.

    101. Re:What happened? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      The 9.0 quake was 150 miles away wasn't it?
      Shouldn't build on or near fault lines would be a good take-away message.

    102. Re:What happened? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I'm a nimby, but I just want more solar, wind and insulation in my house rather than focus on building more power plants. My last house I cut down my energy footprint by 50%. I think with this one I might be able to cut it down by 75%. I like providing lots of jobs for people who make such stuff and install it.
      I sure wish I had more of those tax incentives which have largely disappeared. I'm bummed.

    103. Re:What happened? by Eclipse-now · · Score: 1

      What kind of super-men do you expect to design, build, run, secure, and maintain these plants? All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      Er, no, someone hasn't been reading. New nukes have passive safety features built into the physics of the plants. Imagine a candle burning away underneath a giant water balloon. What happens when the candle burns too brightly? POP! And the candle goes out. It's a bit like that. The physicists tell me they're like that now. It doesn't matter if Homer Simpson falls asleep. Many fast neutron reactors have some sort of reactor medium fluid in them that slows the neutrons down so they can sustain the nuclear reaction in the other rods. If the fluid overheats, a metal plug melts and the fluid drains away, shutting down the reaction. Another version is actually built into the fuel rods themselves! It's called 'Neutron Leak'. You know how metal expands when it gets hot? Well if these rods get so hot they leave normal operational temperatures, they expand. Hold your hands up in front of your face with your fingers pointing up and held tightly together. That's normal temperatures with the 'closed fingers' catching all the neutrons and enabling the nuclear reaction. Now spread your fingers apart, splayed all over the place. That's the fuel rods expanding, leaking neutrons. The nuclear reaction shuts down. It seems that the 'deadly, scary' fuel rods themselves are now the final safety cut-off switch! How long have we had this? Is this some scary, hot off the press technology that hasn't been thoroughly tested? Nope. We've known how to build 'neutron leak' into fuel rods since the late 1980's —about 30 years. OK? And again, it's passive. No super-human required, not even Homer Simpson is needed to stay awake.

      The fuel itself is dangerous, and remains dangerous for billions of years. Who do you trust to be able to tame something like that? And even if you trust the current engineers and businessmen and politicians to keep it safe, you have to trust those that follow, for the rest of your life (and the lives of those to follow).

      No my friend, that is where you are totally wrong! You need to google Generation IV reactors. The Integral Fast Reactor burns nuclear waste! Do you understand that? The experts tell us that once-through fuel is only 'depleted uranium' that has lost about 0.06% of its energy. In other words, you're talking about storing or burying a fuel source that is MILLIONS of times more energy dense than oil or coal. Rather than being a problem to store for 100 thousand years, nuclear waste is now an energy source! Indeed, with Integral Fast reactors about to come out just the waste we have mined today could RUN THE ENTIRE PLANET FOR 500 YEARS! Did you catch that?

      Nuclear waste; it's not the problem, it's the solution. How's that for a slogan?

      Indeed, it seems the problem is that we don't have enough nuclear 'waste'. (Once through fuel). It takes a few fuel cycles to breed up the uranium into plutonium (of a 'flavour' that cannot make bombs, indeed, these IFR's burn bombs as well!). If we roll IFR's off the production line as fast as I'd like to see them to come off the line, we'll run out of waste. Sure the waste we have today could hypothetically run the world for 500 years, but it has to go through the breeding process, and I forget whether it's 7 or 10 years per doubling period of the fuel cycle but eventually the 'waste' that goes into one plant will run two plants. And then it happens again, and again, until all the uranium is bred up into plutonium and running hot through the IFR's at it's maximum potential. Or some technobabble like that; I don't know the equations and physics, just the English executive summary. (If a scientists can explain it to me in English then I know we BOTH have a chance of understanding it. ;-)

      So the bottom line is that while we wait for the final kinks to be ironed out of GE's S-PRISM GenIV reactor, we sho

    104. Re:What happened? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      All it takes is one accident, and you've got a disaster on your hands.

      Eh? The reactors at the Fukushima no.1 complex were hit by a magnitude 9.0 earthquake, THEN a 12m high tsunami, and THEN several explosions.

      You say that as if they're independent events. They're not.

    105. Re:What happened? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Its true. Somewhere in the next 1000 years (could be tomorrow), the flank of La Palma is going to collapse and devastate the Atlantic coast. Comfortable idea, isn't it?

    106. Re:What happened? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      The Fukushima incident has shown that even with multiple massive accidents, even old designs hold up pretty damn well.

      Are you completely insane or what?
      Would you care to stay up to date which what is going on in Japan you would not write such bullshit.

      I occasionally read The Register, so I've gotten used to that kind of bullshit. Their position is that Fukushima is a triumph for the nuclear safety record, because it was designed to withstand only much weaker earthquakes, and yet hasn't turned out to be worse than Chernobyl. I have no idea what straws they think they're grasping at, but they're not there.

    107. Re:What happened? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      Of course the tsunami triggered the actual disaster, but the reason the plant wasn't designed to withstand such a disaster is surely a matter of money, politics, greed and corruption. The IAEA had warned Japan a couple of years ago that the safety of many of their nuclear plants was lacking. Japan didn't do anything with that warning.

    108. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The Fukushima incident has shown that even with multiple massive accidents, even old designs hold up pretty damn well.

      Again: radioactive radiation levels jumping up to 10million times than normal, staying for days at 100thousand times the level than normal and right now varying between 10,000 and 100,000 times depending on whom/when to ask ... I don't call that "holding up pretty damn well".
      Drinking water is not drinkable since weeks ... one reactor had a slight meltdown, the same one and another one is still in conditions that cold lead to one, the roof of 2 or 3 is open and old burned down rods are exposed to the atmosphere. In 2 or 3 of those reactors there is still a risk that those old burned down rods catch fire ... etc. etc.
      The situation is in no way "pretty damn good".
      Sigh ....
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    109. Re:What happened? by mcvos · · Score: 1

      You seem to be interpreting my agreement with you as some sort of disagreement. There's no need for that.

    110. Re:What happened? by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      As far as I know the several explosions were not part of the natural disaster but of the already failling reactors!

    111. Re:What happened? by knuermpf · · Score: 1

      with half-lives of decades to centuries. For the projections for Yucca Mountain, they expected containment for ten thousand years to be adequate to get rid of most radioactivity from nuclear rods.

      Oh only centuries! And you dare to call the parent ignorant. Even if the containment as such is safe for millenia, and thats a big if, there is still no guarantee that the political situation around that site stays stable, people still even know what is hidden in the deep.

    112. Re:What happened? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No,

      I was not certain if you agreed or not, but I was on the edge of assuming you agreed. However I wanted to make a follow up post about the latest news.

      Unfortunately I did not read The Register but only the german news from http://www.spiegel.de/ which are also not the best ones but heavy biased.

      Best Regards

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  5. America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Electricity+Likes+Me · · Score: 5, Insightful

    With something like 20% of the US's electricity presently coming from nuclear power and *all* of those reactors approaching or already past their lifespan, all those Americans need to decide what exactly they want to replace them with.

    1. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

      all those Americans need to decide what exactly they want to replace them with.

      Something better?

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power, but rather there's something unsafe about letting private industry run nuclear power. Now that it's coming out how there were "cost-cutting" measures taken with the cooling systems in Japan which directly led to loss of containment and that safety measures in some cases were completely ignored because "it was too expensive", I think this is a very instructive moment for us.

      Maybe, when it comes to the really big stuff, like nuclear power and maybe the entire energy system of a nation, it's inherently unsafe to put it in the hands of private industry. Health care comes to mind as well. Maybe the best thing we can do is take the profit-motive out of it.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    2. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Informative

      Ahhh so quick to blame the private enterprises. Maybe you don't actually pay attention but the nuclear industry is the most heavily regulated industry in existence. An operator can't fart in the control room without authorisation from the NRC. You know all those expired leases on ancient reactors which are renewed are the result of the NRC extending the licenses, not the evil private enterprise doing their best to milk old equipment. If you want to start replacing the old reactors with something better then maybe you should start pointing the fingers at the government.

      Also if you've ever been exposed to anything to do with engineering, there's always cost cutting. You know the entire incident in Fukushima could have been contained if they built a giant lead dome over the city too right? But that option was knocked down as too cost prohibitive. But on a more serious note there's always an extra redundant system that could have been put in, the design scope could always have included securing against a mag 9 earthquake instead of the magnitude 7.9. There's always room for an extra quadruple redundant cooling system, but in the end cost cutting does feed in the ultimate ability to build a project. If we build anything to withstand everything it is often no longer economical to build it.

    3. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PJ6 · · Score: 2

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power, but rather there's something unsafe about letting private industry run nuclear power

      Look at what they did with two space shuttles when cost was no issue and they paid $10K for every fastener.

      Any engineering project that gets beyond a certain size inevitably becomes a farce, because the simple laws that govern us (stupid primate behavior) begin to dominate the system. I see it all the time in both public and private sectors, always always always - that the wrong people claw themselves into management and make bad decisions.

    4. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by dswensen · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, "something better," why didn't we think of that earlier? It's so simple!

    5. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power, but rather there's something unsafe about letting private industry run nuclear power.

      So true. From a recent (3/24/2011) NRC report on safety:

      Despite Section 206 requirements for licensees that operate nuclear power plants to notify NRC of defects in basic components that could cause a substantial safety hazard, NRC staff have noted Part 21 reporting issues, and Office of the Inspector General (OIG) analysis of industry data indicate that there are apparent unreported Part 21 defects. These reporting issues exist because NRC regulations and guidance for implementing Section 206 are contradictory and unclear, and the NRC Baseline Inspection Program does not include requirements to inspect licensee reporting of Part 21 defects. Unless NRC takes action to fully implement Section 206, the margin of safety for operating reactors could be reduced.

      Source: http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/insp-gen/2011/oig-11-a-08.pdf

    6. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      With something like 20% of the US's electricity presently coming from nuclear power and *all* of those reactors approaching or already past their lifespan, all those Americans need to decide what exactly they want to replace them with.

      What about Thorium?

      http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/12/ff_new_nukes/all/1

    7. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by rcharbon · · Score: 1

      I keep saying this, but you don't listen. Both private industry and government organizations are run by people. Until we can replace people with something better, we're still going to have problems.

    8. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's staggering to read such blind enthusiasm for nuclear energy, not only in this post but throughout these comments. I wasn't aware that farts required authorization, and neither is the nuclear power industry. In fact, recent reports tell us that most nuclear power plants are not even aware that they are required to report accidents, and many many accidents in the US are unreported. "In the end, cost cutting does feed in the ultimate ability" -- so you agree that there are risks. Are you concerned that the company proposing to take US subsidy to build nuclear plants on the gulf cost was convicted of graft and corruption in previous nuclear business? Are you concerned that a plant in the US is leaking tritium and New Hampshire cannot shut it down? Are you concerned that the plants cannot be built without subsidy? Are you concerned that plants in the US are insured for $24B while peak death estimates reported by the NRC for a serious incident approach 100K and the cost is closer to $1T than $24B? Finally, are you concerned that nuclear power overall is more expensive than solar and wind power when all factors are included?

    9. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      air strikes

    10. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      Both private industry and government organizations are run by people.

      The people I don't mind. It's the corporations that are the problem. They are single-minded golems that only know how to feed themselves.

      I'll trust a person every time to an entity that is designed only to profit. People have altruistic motives like the engineers in Japan who went back to try to fix the reactors while knowing that they'd be dead men walking. A corporation cannot do that. It cannot choose to sacrifice, to take less in order to get more or to do any of the higher-level thinking that people can.

      And a corporation IS NOT a person.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    11. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by MachineShedFred · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Replace? That's funny. The operators are going to run these plants until they fall apart, because they *can't* replace them. Then we'll have some real fun.

      Vermont Yankee, which has been the source of detected radioactive tritium leaks, has had it's NRC license extended by another 20 years last week because it provides 35% of the State of Vermont's energy, and amounts to almost 72% of Vermont's power generation.

      It is also a BWR plant like the ones in Fukishimia, built in 1972. It is currently running at 120% of it's original licensed thermal capacity under an NRC-licensed Extended Power Uprate.

      Yeah, we don't need to build new stuff - we'll just wait until the 40-year-old stuff completely falls apart and cannot be repaired.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    12. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      Look at what they did with two space shuttles when cost was no issue and they paid $10K for every fastener.

      Thank you for taking the bait.

      Are you saying that nuclear energy is as complex and inherently dangerous as manned space flight? If so, then we definitely shouldn't be doing it.

      Since we don't have any data on "private industry" pioneering manned space flight, there's no way we can compare now, is there? How do you know there wouldn't have been half a dozen shuttle disasters if private industry and the profit motive had been in charge?

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    13. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe, when it comes to the really big stuff, like nuclear power and maybe the entire energy system of a nation, it's inherently unsafe to put it in the hands of private industry. Health care comes to mind as well. Maybe the best thing we can do is take the profit-motive out of it.

      Completely agree. Imagine if we would have taken all the money we have spent on the war in Iraq and redirected that to both advancing nuclear technology and building new state-of-the-art nuclear power plants. Our energy infrastructure would be so much better off, and we wouldn't feel the need to warmonger in order to protect our future energy source interests.

    14. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by TheVelvetFlamebait · · Score: 2

      Ahhh so quick to blame the private enterprises.

      Aww, jealous that you couldn't blame government faster?

      Maybe you don't actually pay attention but the nuclear industry is the most heavily regulated industry in existence. An operator can't fart in the control room without authorisation from the NRC. You know all those expired leases on ancient reactors which are renewed are the result of the NRC extending the licenses, not the evil private enterprise doing their best to milk old equipment. If you want to start replacing the old reactors with something better then maybe you should start pointing the fingers at the government.

      OK, I will. It's the government's fault for not regulating the industry heavily enough, and giving business enough rope to hang us all with. They honestly should know by now that the free market learns from mistakes, so it doesn't tend to work so well for matters of life and death.

      Also if you've ever been exposed to anything to do with engineering, there's always cost cutting. You know the entire incident in Fukushima could have been contained if they built a giant lead dome over the city too right? But that option was knocked down as too cost prohibitive.

      OK, we get it. Life is about a trade-off. Who would you prefer to trade in your safety? The government, over whom you have some measure of indirect control, or corporations, over whom you have almost none, and who directly benefit from selling you short?

      --
      You know, there is a difference between trolling and pointing out the flaws in your reasoning. Just saying.
    15. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Something better?

      Fairy dust? Dreams? No one is putting forward viable alternatives to building more nuclear, let alone what to replace the currently running reactors with. The problem with asking people if they favour new nuclear plants is that they don't consider the alternatives. You can't disregard nuclear as an option without accepting some extreme consequences. Ask them if they'd prefer a 100% tax on energy bills in order to fund the rapid construction of renewable energy sources.

      As of 2008, nuclear power in the United States is producing ... 806.2 TWh of electricity, which was 19.6% of the nation's total electric energy consumption.

      Ignorance and fear leads to some aweful decision making. America will still be running plants built in the 1960's for the next decade, and probably longer, instead of newer, safer and better plants. All because the general population will vote against anyone who tries to build more, or fund alternatives.

    16. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would be quite a fart if the NRC can hear it from Japan.

    17. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You can always blame it on cost cutting, but you can't always blame it on private enterprise.

      Look at Chernobyl.

    18. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by mbooth9517 · · Score: 1

      Even with the number one goal of a corporation to generate as much profit as possible, I still think that safety measures have to be taken. Its not just the law which requires it, its the fact that the risk of not following them could result in fines, court cases, bankruptcy, etc. Its in the companies interest to be dilligent because this guarantees forseable profit. Companies are usually not so shortsighted that they can't forsee the consequences of being irresponsable. It'll put them out of business and individuals can still be personally accountable and end up in jail.

      I've just spent weeks going through health and safety courses at my company. Its probably not because the company cares much that much about people's welfare, its because they are scared of the fines and reputation which would cripple them

    19. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by captainpanic · · Score: 1

      Replace? Wait until you get the bill for decommissioning a nuclear plant.

    20. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 2

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power, but rather there's something unsafe about letting private industry run nuclear power. Now that it's coming out how there were "cost-cutting" measures taken with the cooling systems in Japan which directly led to loss of containment and that safety measures in some cases were completely ignored because "it was too expensive", I think this is a very instructive moment for us.

      Who else is there? Government? Remember that all of the biggest accidents, such as Chernobyl and the crazy meltdowns in experimental plants, come from government run plants. If you can't trust private industry to do it, you might as well just not do it since you've excluded the most trustworthy parties.

      Maybe, when it comes to the really big stuff, like nuclear power and maybe the entire energy system of a nation, it's inherently unsafe to put it in the hands of private industry. Health care comes to mind as well. Maybe the best thing we can do is take the profit-motive out of it.

      Health care doesn't come to mind for me. The private US health care industry has demonstrated to the contrary that they are responsible and capable.

      Keep in mind that you can end a private company that engages in unsafe behavior or commits a great harm. Not so for a government agency.

    21. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      And a corporation IS NOT a person.

      Nobody, aside from the ignorant, ever said a corporation was a person. Legal personhood (which is used in many countries) is a mechanism not an assertion that a corporation (or similar organization) is a person. When you are so fundamentally wrong about a key assertion, why should I take you seriously?

    22. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by maxume · · Score: 1

      Is it really a disaster when 10 people die? There is lots of public sentiment that suggests it must be, but there are also thousands of preventable deaths every month, so it isn't so clear.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    23. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Thundersnatch · · Score: 1

      >

      The people I don't mind. It's the corporations that are the problem. They are single-minded golems that only know how to feed themselves.

      Funny, many including myself feel exactly the same way about government. Despite massive failures, ineffciency, gross negligence, and outright harm to the citizenry, government programs continue to grow at rates far exceeding GDP, tax revenue, or inflation. The reasons are many, but the core problem is as P.J. O'Rourke said: "You spend other people's money on other people. And in this case, who gives a shit?"

    24. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PJ6 · · Score: 1

      I'll say it again: large projects tend to get screwed up because of what happens when you exceed a certain number of people, not the engineering itself. Yes the shuttle is a harder project, but the same issues arise at all levels of engineering difficulty, and they cut across all disciplines; my experience makes me skeptical of your assertion that public/private makes any difference.

    25. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by hweimer · · Score: 1

      all those Americans need to decide what exactly they want to replace them with.

      Something better?

      To begin with, it would certainly help to reduce the overall energy consumption. The US currently consumes about twice as much energy per capita as the EU member states.

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power, but rather there's something unsafe about letting private industry run nuclear power.

      I doubt that governmental lack of responsibility is fundamentally better than corporate greed. Chernobyl is only one extreme example of that. I'd rather suggest to mandate the nuclear industry to install an insurance fund that covers the cost of disaster recovery and waste disposal. Once that is in place, I strongly doubt that nuclear is still a cost-efficient form of energy

      --
      OS Reviews: Free and Open Source Software
    26. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      In fact, recent reports tell us that most nuclear power plants are not even aware that they are required to report accidents, and many many accidents in the US are unreported.

      Citation required. IAEA collects these reports. As in these plants that don't think they need to files accident reports *are* reporting accidents.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    27. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by demonbug · · Score: 1

      Replace? Wait until you get the bill for decommissioning a nuclear plant.

      What do you mean, wait? I've been paying a nuclear energy decommissioning fee on my electric bill for years. Since PG&E has never actually decommissioned a nuclear power plant, I assume all of this is being saved up for when they decide to shutter Diablo Canyon.

      Decommissioning Rancho Seco doesn't seem to have caused SMUD (local utility that built a nuke plant, then a few years later shut it down in response to public outcry) to implode, either. They still manage rates significantly lower than PG&E, in spite of having built a plant and operated it for all of 15 years before decommissioning it again.

    28. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No no, keep it private and regulated. You need two groups watching something like this, and they need to be competing to find and fix problems. So, a private industry that wants to keep the thing up and a public regulator that wants to shut it down, with an "objective" 3rd party that looks at the case and decides if it can keep going (assuming the private side fails to fix the regulators complaint).

      Both must be extremely knowledgeable and work must be done to make sure they're not in each other's pockets.

    29. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      No no, keep it private and regulated.

      Why - because if there's a dime to be made, it should be going into private hands? Besides, there wouldn't be many private investors after making a reasonable number of hurdles for them to jump over:

      1) Plants must have heavy oversight
      2) No liability cap
      3) Board of directors, CEO, CFO must live on plant grounds

    30. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Who else is there? Government? Remember that all of the biggest accidents, such as Chernobyl and the crazy meltdowns in experimental plants, come from government run plants. If you can't trust private industry to do it, you might as well just not do it since you've excluded the most trustworthy parties.

      You're ignoring the profit motive, most likely on purpose. Both private enterprise and government entities can do things half-assed - as can any group of humans - but only private enterprise has a huge, direct incentive to do so if it makes them another buck. Especially when they have low liability caps to work under - as does the nuclear power industry in both the United States and Japan.

      And what do you know, corners have been cut in both the United States and Japan. Because there's a buck to be made. Who could have predicted....

    31. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can't say that the nuclear reactors in California survived a mag 9 earthquake, for the same reasons you can't say that the fukushima reactors survived the same mag 9 quake. The earthquake was not at a mag 9 at the reactor site itself. The epicenter

      These reactors are epic fail.

    32. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Keep in mind that you can end a private company that engages in unsafe behavior or commits a great harm.

      Really? How does that work?

      I notice that Dow Chemical is still in business and British Petroleum is still in business and GE is still in business (and not paying taxes, I might add) .

      Every couple of years you can "end" a government by voting new people in office. Most of the companies that are doing business at the level of nuclear plants don't make most of their money from consumers so they're immune to boycotts. In what way can you "end" a company like Haliburton or General Electric?

      The private US health care industry has demonstrated to the contrary that they are responsible and capable.

      That's funny.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    33. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Funny, many including myself feel exactly the same way about government.

      Yes, I saw some of them marching around last summer with teabags stapled to their hats and misspelled signs.

      You have much more control over government than you do over a transnational corporation. And at least the money government spends is generally spent on us rather than stashed away in an offshore account to avoid taxation. What was the last time you voted for the CEO of a large military contractor? The biggest transnational corporations might only make a tiny portion of their revenue from consumer goods, so how do you exercise control over those corporations influence on your life? As far as I know, Haliburton (when they were still called Haliburton) never had any consumer business at all. That puts them beyond your control. Government is never beyond your control as long as there are democratic elections. Unless you allow those transnational corporations to control campaign funding. Then you're screwed. So you might want to contact your representatives and encourage them to close the Citizens United loophole created by the five corporate stooges on the Supreme Court.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    34. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Nobody, aside from the ignorant, ever said a corporation was a person.

      May I refer you to the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case? It very specifically said that for the purposes of campaign funding, a corporation is a person, with the same rights as a living, breathing human being.

      But I agree with you that the five Supreme Court justices who voted for this decision are indeed "the ignorant".

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    35. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Is it really a disaster when 10 people die?

      Well, I guess it depends on how you feel about those 10 people.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    36. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by maxume · · Score: 1

      My post is a little crass, but the thing I'm trying to get at is that a few dozen deaths aren't the thing holding us back from anything.

      I mean, imagine the state the commercial airline business would be in if thousands of people had died in airplane crashes.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    37. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by hoppo · · Score: 1

      Remember this: The single-worst nuclear accident in human history was not on the watch of a corporation.

    38. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      I keep saying this, but you don't listen. Both private industry and government organizations are run by people. Until we can replace people with something better, we're still going to have problems.

      Except private industry has a direct incentive to cut as many corners as possible while charging as much as possible for it's services in the pursuit of profit. Government employees can of course screw up, but they don't have a direct incentive to do things half-assed. Still listening?

    39. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      And I'll say it again: you guys are ignoring the profit motive that gives private business an incentive to cut corners, make rosy worst case scenario plans, and skimp on safety.

    40. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by sjames · · Score: 1

      I'd say crazy regulation is the problem rather than too much or too little. Because of the NRC, each reactor in the US is a bit different than all the others. Unlike Canada, our NRC has consistently failed to pre-bless known acceptable designs which would make new installations less expensive and would actually increase the safety. It's true that anything that large will become more custom as time goes by and will develop it's own idiosyncrasies (much like commercial aircraft do), but it would help if they all started out the same.

    41. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by manaway · · Score: 1

      Ahhh so quick to blame the private enterprises. Maybe you don't actually pay attention but the nuclear industry is the most heavily regulated industry in existence.

      "In one case at the Peach Bottom nuclear facility in Pennsylvania, workers at the plant were required to periodically test the control rods, which are used to control chain reactions. To circumvent regulations that would have forced a plant shutdown, workers slowed down the control rod testing, said the report. Inspectors from the NRC knew about both the problem with the rods and the plant's attempts to skirt past the testing, according to the UCS, but failed to respond properly." Source: Report reveals U.S. nuclear plant safety issues

      Don't be too quick to excuse private enterprise, there's enough "blame" to go around.

      There's always room for an extra quadruple redundant cooling system, but in the end cost cutting does feed in the ultimate ability to build a project. If we build anything to withstand everything it is often no longer economical to build it.

      And that, right there, is exactly why greedy profit-seekers should not build nuclear reactors.

    42. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Remember this: The single-worst nuclear accident in human history was not on the watch of a corporation.

      Maybe we should wait until the current situation has been cleared up before giving that "single-worst" award.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    43. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      I notice that Dow Chemical is still in business

      Union Carbide isn't in business. That's how it works.

      British Petroleum is still in business

      Thyy didn't do anything sufficiently wrong to be put out of business. The Deepwater Horizon accident has been blown out of proportion.

      GE is still in business

      So what? GE did a remarkable, outstanding job with the Fukushima reactors that are causing so much trouble these days. They have to cause harm by their actions, which didn't happen here.

      Every couple of years you can "end" a government by voting new people in office. Most of the companies that are doing business at the level of nuclear plants don't make most of their money from consumers so they're immune to boycotts. In what way can you "end" a company like Haliburton or General Electric?

      Union Carbide went too far in the Bhopal accident and caused too much harm for too many people. That's how it happens.

      The private US health care industry has demonstrated to the contrary that they are responsible and capable.

      That's funny.

      You can laugh, but you don't get to be right. Private sector doesn't have to be a paragon of virtue, they just need be better than government.

    44. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      You're ignoring the profit motive, most likely on purpose.

      The profit motive is the leash. No profit means no business.

    45. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      for the purposes of campaign funding, a corporation is a person

      Look at the part I bolded. That qualification makes the difference. There's nothing to get here. The Supreme Court is saying for this heavily qualified purpose and using the language of legal personhood, we'll chose to recognize corporations as having some rights of people. That's how legal personhood works in other countries too. In other words, the Supreme Court did not say a corporation is a person.

    46. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by lennier · · Score: 1

      You know, maybe the problem isn't that there's something unsafe about nuclear power

      Gee, you know, let's take a bunch of the most toxic substances on the planet, zap up their energy level so they naturally want to heat to thousands of degrees and melt, then wrap them in metal cladding which burns in air and attach an active cooling system to artificially keep their temperature low, extract a fraction of the thermal energy and dump the rest into the ocean. If we ever turn the cooling system off the lot will melt and make at least a 20-km radius uninhabitable, might get into the jetstream or ocean and kill fish, and will certainly dump water into the basement where all the vital cables are which can kill you if you just sit next to it for an hour... ... but it's okay because we'll be careful and nothing will go wrong because we'll always STAY careful every second of the day!

      Nope, nothing 'inherently unsafe' about that kind of energy generation paradigm.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    47. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe private enterprise would be doing things like building the generation IV reactors that are limited by the laws of physics from reaching a meltdown state. Or gen IV breeder reactors which could be a source of isotopes for medical imaging and that could accept light water reactor waste as fuel. And the waste put out by breeder reactors is much less by mass and by half-life.

      But they can't. Because after all the political bullshit is waded through, a couple decades have passed and you've spent a few billion dollars and haven't even broken ground on the facility yet.

    48. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Non sequitur. Profit motive is a leash on corporate risk taking on what planet? Unless you had a momentary bout of dyslexia and mean to say "liability", but that's capped for the nuclear industry. Remove that cap and force top executives and shareholders of nuclear power plants to live at those nuclear facilities, and then their protestations that their plants are totally safe will have a shred of credibility.

    49. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Who would you prefer to trade in your safety?

      You say this as if I don't do these trades every moment of every day of my life. Sure I could sit here now and be safe, but I'm going to drive to work today. Actually I'm going to cycle, not very safe huh? Sure I could work at a desk job in a government building somewhere in the city, but I chose to work in a building that is 50m from one of the highes operating pressure hydrocrackers in the world, not to mention that there is a 50tonne HF storage drum 100m in the other direction.

      And you know what? I think I am perfectly safe, despite the many tradeoffs in the design of the safety systems.

    50. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In fact, recent reports tell us that most nuclear power plants are not even aware that they are required to report accidents, and many many accidents in the US are unreported.

      [citation needed]

      Are you concerned that the company proposing to take US subsidy to build nuclear plants on the gulf cost was convicted of graft and corruption in previous nuclear business?

      [citation needed], again.

      Are you concerned that a plant in the US is leaking tritium and New Hampshire cannot shut it down?

      I think you mean Vermont, at the Vermont Yankee station. Given the importance of that installation to our region, and given the very very small amounts of the material that leaked (undetectable at the fence line), yes, I am glad that a hysterical state hasn't shut it down.

      Are you concerned that the plants cannot be built without subsidy?

      This part I am concerned about.

      Are you concerned that plants in the US are insured for $24B while peak death estimates reported by the NRC for a serious incident approach 100K and the cost is closer to $1T than $24B?

      Again, you have no clue how the compensation system works.

      Finally, are you concerned that nuclear power overall is more expensive than solar and wind power when all factors are included?

      [citation needed]

    51. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are aware that there is, in American politics and justice, exactly one vote per position/district or case that decides the winner?

      You can vote for a senator.. but your vote is being cast amongst the thousands of other residents of your state. Only one of those votes matter. All of the others in excess of the tiebreaking vote are waste. You do not even know which of the voters will cast the deciding vote, so you do not have "much more control over government" .. Not to mention that we have zero guarantee that a politician will behave in office as he promised in campaign.

      And your argument is self-defeating. Global corporations can sell retail in which case you can vote with your wallet. Or they sell to businesses which then make stuff they sell to people so you can vote with your wallet. OR they sell to governments, which according to you, are relative bastions of obeisance to the public will when compared to corporations .. and thus, the public should have them controlled. About the only thing they can't do is sell to someone who is selling to nobody and not have it be retail. And you can vote with your wallet every time you buy something. You need not wait til election day.

      Then there is the fact that governments take a long time to respond to changing needs and compromise their way into ineffectiveness. They deliver their slowly developed, underperforming governance at great expense. And.. this doesn't remind you of something that rhymes with snorporations, how?

    52. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      Profit motive is a leash on corporate risk taking on what planet?

      Earth.

    53. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by cshake · · Score: 1

      Disclaimer: The viewpoint expressed below is from a graduate student studying mechanical engineering, in a Mechanical, Aerospace, & Nuclear department where many of the department seminars/colloquiums are on nuclear topics. As such it is biased towards scientific reasoning and facts that I have read in peer-reviewed journals or have seen in presentations by people with Ph.D.s on the topic, instead of media-led FUD.

      While there are still significant issues to overcome when it comes to building new nuke plants, at this point the largest hurdle is waste and not reactor safety. Why? Because there have been 2 or more generations (depending on how you count them) of plant designs since the GE reactors at Fukushima Daiichi were built. Each with new safety features, and you'd better believe any future plant will learn from what has happened there over the past month. People seem to forget very soon the 3 Mile Island incident just outside Harrisburg PA, which was the worst nuclear disaster ever in the United States. How bad was it? Well, radiation levels around the reactor went up and and are still as high as ... the same as background levels anywhere else in the country, within a noise margin. That's because the plant was designed with safeguards, and as soon as something happened they went into effect. If you look for valid scientific sources about what is going on in Japan right now, it seems like the current knowledge is that the plants were either designed for a "worse case" scenario of a lower magnitude earthquake, or didn't anticipate the (inevitable) tsunami that happens when there's an earthquake on an island. What this means is that future plants will be built with an even larger safety margin and be more expensive, but that is the price to pay for clean, reliable energy.
      There are already full plans for single fuel load reactors that don't ever require new rods and will run for their entire lifetime on an initial load, also reacting the fuel to a lower energy state than current designs, leaving the waste with a half-life an order of magnitude shorter than existing reactors. This also means lower temperatures in waste ponds (or no ponds at all until the plant is decommissioned). Unfortunately the time it takes to go from a proposal to a working new plant is on the order of 10 years, in the US at least. Maybe when all the current plants go down and aren't replaced, people will start to realize that they're just afraid of things they don't understand, and possibly learn to accept that "I don't understand it!" does not mean "Nobody understands it, and it's gonna kill me!"

      On the flip side, it is also true that if the entire world were to switch to nuclear energy right now, there wouldn't be enough Uranium to go around, but it's still a darn sight better than the current state of petroleum based fuels. And many reports are saying that methane (natural gas) powered plants are a "sustainable" alternative, and current advances in filtration and sequestration make coal plants another short term option that are both more environmentally friendly than many existing gas fueled plants.

      So for all the people who say "No nukes, NIMBY!", what DO you propose? If we don't build more of them, we're either going to harm the environment even more with coal/methane/petroleum plants, or run out of power. There isn't enough combined wind, solar, and hydro power available in the continental United States to power the current electricity usage. Period. Even if every square foot of land was covered in one or more of those collection methods. Either we build more nukes, build more smog plants, or drastically decrease usage, with the last option being the best but hilarious if you think it will happen without an even bigger disaster sparking it.

    54. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      That's how legal personhood works in other countries too.

      Are there other countries where corporations can give unlimited amounts to the election campaigns of politicians that will then pass laws that will allow them to not pay any taxes or give them 3.2 billion dollar tax credits?

      We hear a lot from the Right that it's horrible that public employees are allowed to unionize and then have their dues go to support politicians who will give them "gold-plated" contracts. Educators, police and firefighters are called freeloaders for doing that. But meanwhile nothing is said about corporations doing exactly the same thing on a much, much, much greater scale.

      We're cutting corporate taxes, in some cases to zero, while telling people that there's just "no money" to pay for nutritional support for pregnant women and infants in poverty. The GOP is clutching their pearls and heading for the fainting couch because of the "unsustainable deficit" but letting their corporate donors carry off everything of value out the back door like a bunch of mobsters busting out a restaurant owner with gambling debts. We're hearing about how people who are 65 years old really need to be working for another five years while the corporate tax revenues have been whittled away to the lowest percentage in the post-war period.

      I'm sorry, khallow. You have aligned yourself with some despicable people and beliefs. But I'm glad we had this little talk.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    55. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by khallow · · Score: 1

      Are there other countries where corporations can give unlimited amounts to the election campaigns of politicians that will then pass laws that will allow them to not pay any taxes or give them 3.2 billion dollar tax credits?

      Yes, somewhere around 140 of these countries last I checked.

      We hear a lot from the Right that it's horrible that public employees are allowed to unionize and then have their dues go to support politicians who will give them "gold-plated" contracts.

      Do you know what the difference is? The public-sector union is using public money to lobby for more public money. Meanwhile the politicians have a paid-for power base. It's a destructive positive feedback system. They are freeloaders.

      I'm sorry, khallow. You have aligned yourself with some despicable people and beliefs. But I'm glad we had this little talk.

      Sometimes being right means you have to be unpopular. This is one of those cases.

    56. Re:America's Aging Nuclear Plants by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      I think upgrades would be reasonable for what is already there. If we want to spread more reactors out around the US, then I think the voters need to say so.

  6. Number by xnpu · · Score: 5, Insightful

    While certainly worrisome, please keep in mind:

    * Nobody has actually died from this incident yet. (Versus regular deaths in coal mines, etc.)
    * The incident can be learned from and other reactors can be improved accordingly. (Again versus the situation in many coal mines, etc. which are unlikely to see any further improvement.) In fact, many claim the risks of these particular reactors were known but not acted upon, something which can be handled with stricter rules.

    1. Re:Number by EmagGeek · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Something else to consider is that this is not a nuclear accident. This is not the result of poor design, protocol, or process.

      It is the result of a fucking 9.0 Earthquake, which is almost unimaginable in its intensity and destructive power.

    2. Re:Number by Kokuyo · · Score: 1

      Uh, my sources may well be wrong and considering the poor job the media is doing when it comes to reporting facts, I thought the present situation happened precisely because management types pushed for cheaper plants and thus safety procedures were dropped in favour of cheaper building.

      Nuclear power could be a viable energy source IF we could get our act together and actually pay the amount of money needed to make it so. Also, anyone who thinks to cut corners in this area, especially to make more profit, should be stood against a wall and shot until dead.

    3. Re:Number by Talderas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      It's the result of a 15 meter tsunami.

      Remember, the plant weathered the quake just fine and its backup systems were running UNTIL the tsunami came along. This is really the bit that makes me facepalm over all the moratoriums on nuclear plants that are going on.

      Yes, Germany, tsunami's are a huge problem for you.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    4. Re:Number by HelioWalton · · Score: 1

      Don't forget the resulting tsunami!

    5. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually, the northern of Germany (and with this 2 reactors) are in a area under danger of a tsunami. Not by quake but by landslide.[

    6. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you pulling the same zero deaths card like in Three Mile Island?

      No matter how safe and improved a reactor is build, it is still operated by and industry which goal is to earn money, and which is overseen by a system that gets their pay checks from this industry.

      No matter how safe and improved a reactor is build there will always be a chain of events that will lead to a major disaster like in Japan.

      No matter how safe and improved a reactor is build you still have to deal with the waste.

      So enlighten me again, what did we learn from exactly?

    7. Re:Number by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      And don't forget that 10,000 people died due to the earthquake and tsunami and almost double that are missing. The direct an indirect deaths from this won't make a significant difference to that total.

      Unless a reactor goes all Chernobyl and shoots out chunks of core in an explosion - that still won't effect the death statistics too much but you have to count a pretty large cost for a Chernobyl style exclusion zone in a much more densely populated area. And that's not going to happen anyway.

    8. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is the result of a fucking 9.0 Earthquake, which is almost unimaginable in its intensity and destructive power.

      And as powerful as that might be, as far as I know it even stood up to that just fine. It was the resulting tsunami which actually caused the problem.

    9. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The earthquake might have made things worse, but it mostly was the tsunami. At least I think there is no doubt that the outgoing power lines would also have had a high propability to get severly damaged from a tsunami. And once you miss those power lines you no longer can generate electric power the normal way, so you need the diesels and the tsunami killed those.

      And it is not like the tsunami was unprecedented, it only happens very rarely. And the people making money with those plants told everyone it is absolutely safe and nothing that can harm it can ever happen. Not it happened and people are not hysteric just because they no longer believe that this is the only they were lied about.

      If pro-nuclear-power-plant lobby would say "well, you see, there will sometimes be a severy accident that will make large areas inhabitable, but those accidents will only happen in the US about once or twice every millenia", then you might be right about people being irrational. But they were told: "This cannot happen. We are the experts and have asked the experts, it will not happen. All experts that say otherwise are wrong".

    10. Re:Number by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      Oh, they said that nothing could ever happen to a western reactor, those are safe, and then something unexpected came up.
      Now you say that Germany is safe from tsunamis, but something else might happen, that is also unexpected. And then it will be a huge problem considering how densely populated Germany is.

      You see, a catastrophe is always something that was not expected. Otherwise it wouldn't be one.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    11. Re:Number by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 2

      As others have pointed out, the plant weathered the earthquake just fine. It was the tsunami that the quake generated that caused the problems, at one of the four nuclear power plants within the area of destrcuction. That and the deaths and injuries that resulted from the damage the tsunami did to other industrial facilities (chemical plants, for example) far outnumber that have resulted from the damage to nuclear plants. According to one source I read, the other nuclear plants were being used to shelter refugees because they were among the few buildings that survived the earthquake and tsunami intact (with heat and electricity as well).

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    12. Re:Number by nyctopterus · · Score: 1

      Err, this nuclear plant was built in an area where a 9.0 earthquake was a strong possibility. Failing to withstand a disaster everyone knew was coming amounts to poor design in my opinion.

    13. Re:Number by BlackSabbath · · Score: 0

      I'll leave aside your first point as its pretty moot. Counting (current and future) deaths that may or may not be directly or indirectly attributable to radiation fallout effects is as controversial as counting civilian deaths in war.

      I think one of the issues people have is not whether nuclear energy can be delivered safely in theory. Most people accept that we can engineer decent solutions to technical problems. The problem is actually a regulatory one (the same point you make regarding stricter rules).

      How is it possible that someone thought it was OK to build a string of nuclear plants of a style ill-suited to earthquakes, in a region of the world where 5 continental plates intersect? That was unlikely to be an engineering decision. It was more likely to be a politician's industry advisory body playing down the risks while trumpeting the up-side and greasing palms along the way. Yes, its the way of the world. And its precisely this that makes nuclear worrying. When it comes to engineering, I don't have a problem. When it comes to regulation, I have precisely zero faith in the ability of regulators to police this industry (or in fact many others (and I'm pro-regulation) but that's a whole other discussion).

      A classic well-studied example of "political" decisions trumping engineering ones is the sorry saga of the space shuttle Challenger booster rocket O-rings.

      On a different note, I'd like to point out one of the things that is constantly overlooked is the fact that virtually no nuclear plant is commercially insurable without massive government subsidies. Take away props like the Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act, and nuclear economics don't look so good.

      If we're going to be spending trillions of tax dollars on anything, I'd like to see some money being thrown at retro-fitting coal stations with solar thermal kit (making use of the existing heat-conversion plant and (potentially) adding hot-salt heat storage for base-load capability).

    14. Re:Number by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      My sources (different media) tell me that the reactor and building were actually very well designed and built and easily met the standards of the time.

      Unfortunately they also tell me that the standards of the time included being completely resistance to a magnitude 7.9 quake not one that was 30 times stronger like the one that hit.

    15. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are several german reactors built inside earthquake zones.

      Granted, the expected intensity of the earthquakes is some orders of magnitude lower than in japan...

      However, these reactors aren't even designed to withstand the kind of earthquake that has happened there within the last 2-300 years.

      Plus, some of them do not even have a secondary confinement... just the steel container that would melt down within days if cooling fails.

    16. Re:Number by maxume · · Score: 1

      A natural event occurred and the operators lost the ability to operate the plant due to some combination of design and management problems. That's a nuclear accident.

      Politics dictates that loss of normal operation and release of radioactive material (minuscule or not) is a failure, even if lots of people are comfortable with the exposure that lots of other people get from the incident.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    17. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Worse - it's not even directly the result of the 9.0 earthquake. If it had just been the earthquake, they'd be fine, if a bit messy and in need of overtime for the janitorial staff. It's the result of a ludicrous amount of ocean water rushing over top of, and destroying the facility the reactors were contained in.

      The building standards and codes in Japan are super strict, and frankly tougher than anything in North America. It's just that absolutely NOTHING we can build could have held up to what was done to those buildings. Frankly, if that quake and followup Tsunami had hit California, there wouldn't _BE_ anything left there.

      The lesson we should be learning from this is, "don't put nuclear plants in California, or on top of/beside any major crustal fault lines". Follow that, improve the building codes, and the US will be fine.

    18. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      * Nobody has actually died from this incident yet.

      *yet*

      (Versus regular deaths in coal mines, etc.)

      Where do you think does uranium come from? Do you know in which countries uranium is mined? Do you know who pays for the workers health care?

    19. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, you could also say mismanagent was the problem. You can fly in a suitable replacement generator in time but you can't connect it? WTF? A generator can well fail without a tsunami, too.
      And mismanagement at nuclear power plants certainly isn't that more unusual in Germany than in Japan or anywhere else.

    20. Re:Number by UnanimousCoward · · Score: 1

      >Remember, the plant weathered the quake just fine and its backup systems were running UNTIL the tsunami came along.

      Yeah, and the fact that the critical parties involved were warned that the infrastructure would not withstand a tsunami that was not out of the realm of real possibility and did nothing about it reinforces the notion that private industry or government that is in the pocket of private industry can't be responsible for making the important decisions here. It's the overall policy that is the problem, not just one frigging tsunami excuse.

      --
      Twelve-and-three-quarter inches. Unyielding. This wand belonged to Bellatrix Lestrange.
    21. Re:Number by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      * Nobody has actually died from this incident yet. (Versus regular deaths in coal mines, etc.)

      What has an accident in a coal mine in common with such an incident? Nothing.
      If you want to compare coal accidents with anything then compare it with uranium mining.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    22. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, all of the reactors need water for cooling and therefore are built along major streams, or on the seashore. At least in Switzerland, where I live, some of these areas could experience catastrophic flooding due to dams bursting after an earthquake. A burst dam (with sometimes very short warning) is a bad thing, a nuclear accident on top of that is very difficult to deal with.
      Most people do not assume that the exact same problems will arise worldwide, but that some unforseen constellation of events will lead to a disaster.
      The accident at the Fukushima reactors is really ongoing - there are very few conclusions we can draw at the moment.
      One of the simplest measurements of the sustainability of privately run nuclear reactors is the willingness of the private enterprises to shoulder the risk. To date I am not aware of a single company who would be willing to pay the insurance premiums. So, society is left to bear the burden after an accident while being told how safe (and in case of an accident - how singluar its conditions) everything is.

    23. Re:Number by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately they also tell me that the standards of the time included being completely resistance to a magnitude 7.9 quake not one that was 30 times stronger like the one that hit.

      Yes, and the actual strength of the earthquake at the power plant was ~6 and not 9.0 ... the 9.0 quake was 150 miles away.
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    24. Re:Number by Noughmad · · Score: 2

      Do you know how much coal we mine per year? Do you know how much uranium we'd need to cover all the world's enery consumption?

      --
      PlusFive Slashdot reader for Android. Can post comments.
    25. Re:Number by Skywolfblue · · Score: 1

      Well, as stated above the plant DID survive the earthquake just fine, it was the tsunami that did it in. But yes. They really shouldn't have built it that close to the ocean given Japan's history with tsunamis. For that matter, no nuclear plant at all should be built near the coastline, or near major fault zones.

    26. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There were cooling problems last year, because nuclear plants are using the Rhine for heat exchange and it was a dry and hot summer. Tsunamis aren't a problem in germany, but that doesn't mean poor planning can't generate some. Like a tsunami is so uncommon after a seaquake.

      Nuclear power plants also deliver a base load, because they can't be switched on and off as easily as coal/oil/gas plants. Therefor we'd also need power storage if we'd go nuclear only. In both cases we need to invest in infrastructure. Nuclear power plants also deliver cheap power only because we the people pay with taxes for the risks no insurance company want to take and we also pay to get rid of the waste.

    27. Re:Number by khallow · · Score: 1

      Uh, my sources may well be wrong and considering the poor job the media is doing when it comes to reporting facts, I thought the present situation happened precisely because management types pushed for cheaper plants and thus safety procedures were dropped in favour of cheaper building.

      Your sources are wrong. Keep in mind that the plant survived a magnitude 9 earthquake and a tsunami higher than it was rated for. Whatever design compromises were made weren't enough to keep the plants from shutting down or emergency crews from cooling down the reactor cores and spent rods.

      Nuclear power could be a viable energy source IF we could get our act together and actually pay the amount of money needed to make it so. Also, anyone who thinks to cut corners in this area, especially to make more profit, should be stood against a wall and shot until dead.

      What makes you think it hasn't already been done? And some counterpressure (or "cutting corners") to the urge to make reactors perfectly safe has to occur or the reactor won't be viable.

    28. Re:Number by khallow · · Score: 1

      You see, a catastrophe is always something that was not expected. Otherwise it wouldn't be one.

      The Japanese earthquake was expected. It remained a catastrophe though.

    29. Re:Number by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      There's also the fact that:

      In the next generation design after these reactors (ABWR, Japan operates a number of these), a 20MW gas turbine was added within a sheltered area - BEYOND the diesel backups. So if these reactors had been ABWRs we probably would have been fine.

      In the next generation design after that (ESBWR - still under regulatory review), the gas turbine and diesels are still there, but not necessary - there are heatpipes up to large cooling pools that can handle 72 hours of decay heat without any intervention, and beyond that the pools can be refilled with a plain old fire truck. (They are nonradioactive due to the use of heat exchangers, and at atmospheric pressure.) - So ESBWRs would have been fine here.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    30. Re:Number by khallow · · Score: 1

      Err, this nuclear plant was built in an area where a 9.0 earthquake was a strong possibility. Failing to withstand a disaster everyone knew was coming amounts to poor design in my opinion.

      I suppose it's worth noting that the nuclear plant actually has withstood the disaster? Sure there apparently has been some core melts and radiation releases, but (and this is a really important "but") the plant is still there and the various problems are being properly cooled.

    31. Re:Number by ildon · · Score: 1

      And you could get struck and killed by a semi-truck driving to work tomorrow. Sometimes it's worth it to just live with the risk, or to take the path of lower risk or a better risk:reward ratio. Look at the number of motor vehicle accident deaths in the US in the last year. Do you think we should ban all cars completely?

    32. Re:Number by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 2

      Please state why you think a 9.0 earthquake was a strong possibility - especially when expert geologists didn't think this particular fault was capable of more than an 8.5-8.6 or so prior to this - http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-sci-japan-earthquake-20110310,0,7154967.story

      Japan has been preparing for "the big one" for years - however, both geologically and historically, this has meant an earthquake in the Tokai region, with none known beyond an 8.5 magnitude. This quake was a major surprise to geologists, both its strength and its location.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    33. Re:Number by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      I'd prefer to ban bad drivers first. But you are right, one could take the path of lower risk, which I personally do by using a train when I go to work.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    34. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So, you are saying it's OK if a 15 meter tsunami causes a nuclear meltdown? (tsunamis are not exactly new in Japan...)

    35. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The tsunami was in the range of historically-known ones along that specific coastline, such as the one that occurred in AD869 that flooded the nearby Sendai Plain.

      It was a big failure to build for the environment at the site, and this was evident to some people studying the ancient tsunami record before the current tsunami occurred. They tried to warn TEPCO a few years ago, but their warnings were ignored (or at least not acted upon). Yes, the chance of a tsunami, or even a major earthquake in Germany is minuscule compared to Japan, but the specific failure mode is not the point. The problem is: one improperly-considered *known* risk, one failure to build for the conditions, and it's still a freaking disaster even with pretty wide safety margins built in. Maybe it will be a river flood, maybe it will be sinkhole collapse, maybe it will be a landslide, maybe it will be something else. Engineering mistakes *do* happen when it comes to properly evaluating the risks at a site. It's also one of the major reasons for dam failures -- not the engineering of the structure itself, but correctly assessing what they are built upon.

      I mean, I could forgive them if it was a meteorite landing on top of the plant, but a tsunami of a scale comparable to historical tsunami along that same coast? They didn't build for it. That isn't bad luck, it borders on negligence. And while the risks at a given site are indeed going to vary greatly, if that kind of screw-up is possible in Japan, what else is possible elsewhere?

      I still support nuclear power generally, but there are a lot of legitimate questions from this event, and answering them isn't as simple as "we don't get tsunami here".

    36. Re:Number by Chowderbags · · Score: 1

      Floods? In my Germany? It's more likely than you think.

      Sure, nothing at the 15 meter level, but certainly something to take many precautions for.

    37. Re:Number by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Someone earlier said 10 meter tsunami
      Then someone said it was a 12 meter tsunami.

      I suppose after you saying 15 the next person will peg it at 19m and the person after that will call it a 24 meter tsunami and so on.
      big bigger biggest hehehehehe.

    38. Re:Number by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      That one is going to need a citation. The only thing google has turned up is several ~6 magnitude earthquakes at or around Fukushima AFTER the main event.

    39. Re:Number by dasdrewid · · Score: 1

      Actually, it's not the result of a 9.0 earthquake. It's the result of a 9.0 earthquake, quickly followed by 14 meter (46 ft, according to Wikipedia) tsunami while the sea wall protecting it was only built to protect from 6 meters of water, destroying the plant's connection to the power grid, backup generators, backup backup generators, and coolant pumps.

      Again, almost unimaginable in the intensity and destructive power, though placement of the backup generators wasn't the brightest (one thing I've learned living in a place susceptible to flooding/hurricanes: never, ever, ever put emergency [power|supplies|whatever] on or below ground level. And if you do, seal them like crazy after every check-run so they don't get flooded).

      --
      No trespassing. Violators will be shot. Survivors will be shot again.
    40. Re:Number by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      Thats a bit like saying the fall didnt hurt, hitting the ground hurt!

    41. Re:Number by phayes · · Score: 1

      The relative mortality rates of power generation technologies have EVERYTHING to do with their acceptance by the general public.

      To address you minor point, uranium mining is by and large much safer than coal mining as every U mine to my knowledge is open pit whereas much of the coal mining going on today has transited to seam mining with the resultant risks of cave-ins & methane explosions.

      wishing

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    42. Re:Number by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      The difference is that while a few people (or even 10s or 100s) may die, there is no permanent damage in a car accident. No lasting effects for tens of thousands of years (including waste even if there is no accident).

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    43. Re:Number by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      Yeah, the tsunami was simply caused by the earthquake moving the water around. It wasn't some totally separate phenomenon.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    44. Re:Number by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The relative mortality rates of power generation technologies have EVERYTHING to do with their acceptance by the general public.

      I don't think so, or in other words, I don't believe this is true.
      The general public is mainly concerned about their own safety *and* the severity of the scenarios that can happen in case of a catastrophe.
      Bluntly: no one cares about death coal miners. But everyone cares about an exploding coal plant (yeah, speaking figural here). Especially if he lives in the neighbourhood of that plant.
      I assume you are right about the Uranium mines beeing mostly open pit, nevertheless there are accidents.
      Regards
      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    45. Re:Number by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://www.truth-out.org/tokyo-electric-build-us-nuclear-plants-the-no-bs-info-japans-disastrous-nuclear-operators68457

    46. Re:Number by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      And in an ideal world, there aren't Tsunamis, or earthquakes, or floods or Tornados or hurricanes. We're stuck in the world we are in, and the results can be remarkably similar to a nuclear accident. Which of course there will never be, because you keep on moving the goalposts. Chernobyl wasn't a nuclear accident, it was egregious human error. See how it works?

      If all you astroturfers have to give is excuses, then don't look for a bright and cheery future in the business.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    47. Re:Number by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      And it was the tsunami that did the actual damage, not the earthquake.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    48. Re:Number by badkarmadayaccount · · Score: 1

      Compare the amounts of coal and uranium you have to mine for a unit of power.

      --
      I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
    49. Re:Number by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      You suffer from that "all peril" disease that is sweeping the world. The main symptom is the belief that all things must be designed to withstand anything that could conceivably go wrong, and if it does not, then it was necessarily a design flaw. Lawyers suffer from this disease more than any other group, but it is even spreading to engineers and dorky slashdot types.

      Were an asteroid to have hit the nuclear plant, you would be up in arms about why nuclear plants were not designed to survive hits from asteroids, and you'd be calling it a nuclear accident.

      See how that works?

    50. Re:Number by phayes · · Score: 1

      Again with the assumption that because you hold an opinion on something that it has any relevance.
      Bluntly, not caring about the side effects of coal generation like miners deaths, the coal ash pond that washed out into the Danube, the massive amounts of CO2 & nucleotides released is dumb as dirt.

      The Austrian village that got washed out by the ash pond killed more people than Fukashima & may yet turn out to be uninhabitable for a longer term than the 10km around Fukashima as most of the contamination there has been limited to the site itself or is Iodine which will have dissipated to background levels within 2 months.

      Screaming about a reactor for weeks which has major problems but that has yet to kill anyone while ignoring the 16K odd deaths of the tsunami or reminding people that other generation technologies have their problems is also dumb as dirt. Stupidity on this level is less common among geeks but you prove it exists.

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    51. Re:Number by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      You read my post and took from it that? The reason that there is a flaw is not because I commiserate with lawyers, but because there is a flaw, one that is hard to defend against. And you see it all over Japan. Those power plants are built where they never should have been built.

      In Japan, especially along the Pacific facing side, Tsunami has bee a fact of life as long as humans have been there. Here's a few numbers of some biggies:

      1707 - Kochi Prefecture, wave height 25.7 meters 20 meters high at Tanezaki.

      1771 - Yaeyama Islands, Okinawa. This one was freaky estimates of highest seawater runup range between 30 and 85.4 meters. Not a direct determinant of wave height, but to have water get that high is going to take a big wave.

      1854 - Wakayama Prefecture Part of a 3 day earthquake event - 28 meters high.

      1896 - Meiji Sanriku, 30 plus meters

      1923 - Kanto, 12 meters

      source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historic_tsunamis

      Now you have some choices. 1. Say OMG, you actually trust anything on Wikipedia? People in those days weren't as smart as we are now, those figures must be wrong. Or maybe actually give up and say someone screwed up. There IS a history of big tsunami in Japan, and this past one really wasn't anywhere near the biggest.

      I find it difficult to not assign some responsibility here. In an area where it is possible to have 30+ meter high tsunami waves, there might be some question on why this plant was taken out by a 10-11 meter wave.

      So now what would be a good way to build a plant? It isn't that hard, as a lot of Japan is well above 30 meters. You build it on a river, inland far enough that no wave is likely to reach it. That isn't that hard to figure out.

      So if you were to design a power plant in an area that gets 30 meter Tsunamis, how do you justify building it to withstand only 6 meter waves? Given that it is very difficult to design to withstand such a wave height, you do the much better thing and move it inland.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    52. Re:Number by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, seems you got something wrong.

      I don't neglect anything about the stuff you write. Or someone before me wrote as you only answered to one of my answers to someone else.

      Especially the fact that miners deaths have nothing to do with the power production itself but with the safety of the mines.

      I'm not screaming about the reactor in Fukushima at all. I scream about people who make idiotic comments like: look, there did no one die so far! And conclude from that: nuclear power is not that bad. Especially when you know that 50 workers died in the plant ... which you seem to forget.

      Then people come and claim in Chernobyl only a few people died. Some "idiot" even claimed it was only 20.

      Some people here posted links from gov sites and scientific american about uranium in ash. And those articles all claim: the amount is neglect able.

      Nevertheless everyone who knows that there is some uranium in the ashes immediately claims: on coal ash more people die than on nuclear power. Which simply is wrong.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    53. Re:Number by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1
      Obviously we all live with risk. We hurtle down narrow ribbons of concrete at combined speeds of 140 or more miles per hour, while carrying containers of liquid that is so flammable that it is almost explosive.

      But we all know that or should know it.

      This was not a risk - it was a virtual certainty If you read my post above, The plant design was woefully inadequate to protect against Tsunami wave heights that were already known. Read what I wrote, or go to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historic_tsunamis and read for yourself

      Astroturfers like to talk about how "no one knew" or "no one could have predicted this bad an event."

      Is it ignorance, Wikipedia wrong, or simple lying on the part of the astroturfers?

      So, how about those wave heights in historic times, and why would they not happen again? Looking at the data, a 11 meter wave is only middling.

      I am Pro Nuc. I am also pro transparency, and very very dead set against Lies.

      Given the fact that the plant was designed for around a 7 meter wave, and the fact that a wave higher than that did a pretty good job of wrecking the plant, and the fact that there are plenty of higher waves in the historic record, the "Who knew" argument at best rings hollow, and more likely destroys any credibility of someone who spouts that inaccuracy.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  7. Or... by Spad · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Poorly informed people, lead by sensationalist news stories, when asked leading questions, will give obvious answers.

    1. Re:Or... by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

      Do you favor or oppose building new nuclear reactors when the risks of damage, meltdown, and nuclear catastrophe due to earthquakes or other natural disasters might not be known?

    2. Re:Or... by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      There's unknown risks in everything.

      If we've seen the worst of Japan's current situation then I favor by a long way. Huge earthquake and tsunami smashing into the power plant and yet no Chernobyl style "end of the (local human) world". It's basically a worst case* scenario (for a natural disaster, not for human stupidity) and while the reactors are toast and they've dumped a bunch of radioactive material into the ocean it's nowhere near as bad as the anti-nuclear power folk present the risks of nuclear power in general.

      * Well there's always the Hollywood style earthquake in which a huge crack opens in the ground and swallows the reactor whole, or the asteroid homing in on the reactor like a cruise missile.

    3. Re:Or... by jlb.think · · Score: 1

      Poorly informed people, lead by sensationalist news stories, when asked leading questions, will give obvious answers.



      You've just made the quotes section of my facebook page.
  8. Just make them tsunami-safe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As long as we make sure our nuclear power plants in New Jersey can survive a 9.0 magnitude megathrust earthquake and accompanying 20 meter tsunami I don't have any problems with keeping our nuclear power plants operational.

    1. Re:Just make them tsunami-safe by AnonGCB · · Score: 1

      Even then, it's only New Jersey.

      --
      http://CryoLANparty.com/ A lan I'm staff on!
  9. What? No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What a terrible article, there is no way solar and wind energy will replace nuclear power, not even in the next 50 years with the improvements that can be made. Where are these American statistics gathered anyway? I guess international spoof.

    1. Re:What? No. by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      What a terrible article, there is no way solar and wind energy will replace nuclear power, not even in the next 50 years with the improvements that can be made. Where are these American statistics gathered anyway? I guess international spoof.

      I wouldn't say "no way" but it would require government compulsory purchase of land and a production effort equivalent to highway building. People forget what can be done in a decade if you have to (I saw a TV program showing how radar went from a back of the envelope calculation to a test in two weeks, an operational station in a month and a network along the UK coast in 6 months because a war was on)

    2. Re:What? No. by Errol+backfiring · · Score: 2

      Off course not. Especially if wind energy is only seen as a green excuse. When wind turbines have to run in sync with the "real" energy on the grid. As long as we do not take "alternative" energy serious, it wont be serious.

      Holland has had an entire industrial period based on wind energy. In a time that aerodynamics were far less developed than now. If you see what can be done and has been done in the past, the "wind energy is allowed as long as we can plug in in without any effort" attitude is a real shame.

      --
      Nae king! Nae laird! Nae yurrupiean pressedent! We willna be fooled again!
    3. Re:What? No. by JackDW · · Score: 1

      True, but isn't this really an argument for a large-scale nuclear power plant construction program? We hear that nuclear plants take decades to build... and yet, as you say, it could be done much faster than that, if the orders for construction came from the very top.

      What's more, I'd think it would be easier to use this sort of government power to build nuclear plants, because much less land would be required, there would probably be a lower environmental impact from doing it, and the power output would be greater and more reliable.

      --
      You're an immobile computer, remember?
  10. Good by kurt555gs · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Wind / Solar along with NAS batteries -> http://www.ngk.co.jp/english/products/power/nas/index.html - really could handle our base load. Certainly the percentage that we in the US use nuclear for.

    Not only that, we should be looking at new computerized internet electric meters, and laws that would require utilities to pay fair market value for electricity produced by small private generators. Little 5KW vertical turbines everywhere. Then, just put huge battery installations where the old coal plants are, and we are on the road to green energy.

    Not today obviously, but it would grow. And new nuke plants would just not be needed. At least Uranium water/water plants. Thorium / Pebble Bed Reactors might be an option for the future.

    --
    * Carthago Delenda Est *
    1. Re:Good by Chas · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sorry, but if you think Wind/Solar can be used for baseline power, you're on drugs.

      You have NO idea exactly how huge the battery capacity you're suggesting is. Nor how expensive and high-maintenance such an array is. And if you're adverse to the environmental impact of a few tons of recyclable nuclear waste, how adverse are you to the environmental impact of a few megatons of battery medium?

      Please put some thought into what you're trying to suggest.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    2. Re:Good by AlecC · · Score: 1

      Solar of the direct thermal, molten-salt variety, storing heat in an underground salt tank for overnight, does not need batteries. I agree that pure photovoltaic solar will never cut it, but that is not the only form of solar around.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    3. Re:Good by kurt555gs · · Score: 1

      Actually, if you investigate this, and don't work for some one in nuclear energy, I think you would find this perfectly sound. Our existing grid works both ways.

      NAS batteries have Sodium metal, and sulfur inside. Large installations are cost effective and have a long life.

      Really.

      We don't need to build another uranium water/water nuclear plant ever.

      what we do need is to insure the operators pay for cleaning up the existing ones, and pay in perpetuity to store the nuclear waste they have made without US, the tax payeres footing the bill.
           

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    4. Re:Good by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      With sufficiently massive and widespread deployment of wind/solar, they *become* the base load, and the rest is a matter of filling in gaps. A combination of demand control, natural gas plants, pumped hydro, and ordinary hydro run intermittently can fill those gaps.

      That said, I absolutely agree that the grandparent post has no idea how much battery is needed. For a major American city power trying to make use of local wind/solar, I estimate you'd need about 130,000 tons of batteries.

    5. Re:Good by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      There's also pumped storage hydro, which is in wide use globally.

    6. Re:Good by Chas · · Score: 2, Insightful

      With sufficiently massive and widespread deployment of wind/solar, they *become* the base load,

      This right here shows that you don't even know what base load is.

      You also don't understand that wind/solar cannot be depended on for always-on power generation. PERIOD.

      Solar panel and wind farm facilities are space prohibitive and have operational windows drastically affected by local climate.

      Solar/Salt facilities are highly dependent on local climate and also space prohibitive.

      Hydro-based power in this country is about as far along as it's going to get. As it is also hamstrung by factions of the environmental movement.

      As such, the output from any or all of these facilities can range from adequate to nothing.

      These technologies are supplementary power technologies at best (and expensive ones at that). Trying to depend on them for base load would be ridiculous.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    7. Re:Good by kurt555gs · · Score: 1

      If you look at NGK's applications, you will see the typical NAS batteries they sell are 2 MW each. How many would you need?

      --
      * Carthago Delenda Est *
    8. Re:Good by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry, but if you think Wind/Solar can be used for baseline power, you're on drugs.

      And if *you* had a clue yo would know it is easy possible.
      Your *facts* are likely 40 years or more outdated.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    9. Re:Good by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      The state I live in gets half it's power from nuclear reactors, it's almost 9 million people and a bunch of industry... Good luck with those batteries.

      The German experience with pebble bed reactors has been terrible, of course they're happy to sell it to China anyway :)

    10. Re:Good by fritsd · · Score: 1

      Meat storage warehouses can be used as batteries (refrigerate more than normal at night, then let it warm up during the day).
      Maybe Aluminium smelters can be used as batteries (do production runs at off-peak hours).
      etc. etc. You make it sound like it's such an insurmountable problem, but all it needs is variable pricing policies for industrial electricity use and hey presto! the industries will find themselves a solution.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    11. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In europe the battery is called norway and could consist of system of seas and reversible hydroelectric power plants. It would be needed for nuclear power, too, if we want to have more than baseline power from the nuclear plants.

    12. Re:Good by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      China is realising that it really doesn't have an alternative to nuclear and is looking to develop a lot of new engineering approaches.

      Hopefully they will find a good one that we can buy from them.

    13. Re:Good by goodmanj · · Score: 1, Interesting

      I understand all these issues. You're missing my point, and you're underestimating the size I'm talking about.

      Suppose, for the sake of argument, your average renewable source is active 1/3 of the time. If I have six of them, widely spaced and diverse enough that their power output is uncorrelated, how often will I have at least one available? Answer: about 92% of the time.

      A large collection of diverse but unreliable systems will be able to satisfy the demand almost all the time. To put things in Slashdot speak: if your network isn't reliable enough, you just need a bigger network.

      Of course, in reality renewable power sources are rather correlated in output, even across an area as large as the U.S. But still, the research I've read suggests that a diverse continental renewables network should be able to maintain 60-80% uptime. As I said, the rest can be filled in with natural gas, hydro, and demand limiting.

      Solar panel and wind farm facilities are space prohibitive and have operational windows drastically affected by local climate.

      Space is not an issue. The US is a big freaking country, with a lot of open plains and desert. The ground area needed to power the entire country via solar power alone (not my proposal, just for the sake of argument) is a tiny chunk of Arizona.

      Hydro-based power in this country is about as far along as it's going to get.

      Hydro in the US is limited by the amount of water available. If you're only using that water when wind and solar plants are idle, you can add more turbines to existing dams to increase peak power by a factor of 5, at which point it can power almost the entire country. (Yes, I realize this has environmental consequences. I'm willing to sacrifice the Colorado if I have to.)

    14. Re:Good by khallow · · Score: 1

      NAS batteries have Sodium metal, and sulfur inside. Large installations are cost effective and have a long life.

      Eh, googling around, I see a $2.5 million dollar battery with roughly 10 mWh of energy storage (assuming 8 hour constant power discharge). That's still pricey for the purpose you want it used for. Even if it is fully charged and discharged (during peak load) every day (and remains perfect efficiency for its lifespan of 15 years), it's adding about $0.045 per kWh (ignoring the time value of money, which would make it a bit more expensive) to the cost of producing electricity.

      They're using it to turn cheap base load power into expensive peak load power.

      what we do need is to insure the operators pay for cleaning up the existing ones, and pay in perpetuity to store the nuclear waste they have made without US, the tax payeres footing the bill.

      Why? Those taxpayers are contributing both through prevention of recycling of nuclear fuel rods and driving up the cost of storing radioactive waste. They should pay.

    15. Re:Good by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      It's not the megawatts, it's the megawatt-hours. Give me a couple hundred bucks and I'll go out and buy ten lead-acid car batteries which can provide 2 megawatts of power ... for a few minutes.

      The NAS battery PR I've seen has been enthusiastic about power capacity, but suspiciously silent on energy capacity.

    16. Re:Good by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      Whoops, major miscalculation, I'd need a couple thousand car batteries, not 10. But still, the problem is they'd only last a few minutes. The problem is energy capacity, not power capacity.

    17. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Citation needed]

    18. Re:Good by Chas · · Score: 1

      I believe that you're underestimating the amount of space (and cost) that would be taken up by such systems (not to mention the various storage systems).

      There are some areas of the country where implementing this sort of thing just is NOT feasible due to climatic issues. The proposal would essentially turn these areas into permanent clients to sections of the country with space to spare and no climatic issues to overcome.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    19. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm going off the grid in the next few weeks. It costs about $4,000 for the solar system to power everything in my house during the daytime, and then just a little power at night. I could always add a small wind turbine if the HOA allows it. Yes, I had to reduce my power usage and switch to LED & CFL lights, turn off things when not in use, and use the power hungry things during the daytime, but it isn't that bad.

      If we went to more individual setups that will pay for themselves in 10-12 years, we wouldn't have as many oil spills, coal ash ponds, nuclear waste issues...

    20. Re:Good by goodmanj · · Score: 1

      As for space, one of the points I keep harping on to naive environmentalists is that if implemented on a scale big enough to matter, renewable technology is going to be very big and kinda ugly. I'm a practical environmentalist, who knows that a town powered by one little windmill on the hillside is a pipe dream: I see dozens of giant turbines churning over a square mile, and I'm not shy about it.

      As for cost, no question we're talking about rebuilding our entire energy infrastructure. But we replace that every 30 years or so regardless, and as the fossil fuels run out, it's not like we'll have a lot of choice.

      The proposal would essentially turn these areas into permanent clients to sections of the country with space to spare and no climatic issues to overcome.

      Just like the Northeast states are permanent food clients to the agriculture-rich midwest, the landlocked states are permanent international trade clients to the coastal port cities, and the whole nation is a fossil fuel client to the coal and oil states of Texas, Alaska, Wyoming, and West Virginia. It's called a continental scale integrated economy, and leveraging it was what made this nation a success.

    21. Re:Good by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Thorium / Pebble Bed Reactors have had some issues to I believe. Personally, I would have to do some more reading, but some folks on slashdot were talking about that a week ago.
      http://hardware.slashdot.org/story/11/03/21/2312211/A-New-Class-of-Nuclear-Reactors?from=rss

      "Germany ran a pebble bed reactor at the Nuclear Research Facility at Juelich. The Juelich post-mortem report concluded that pebble bed reactors have severe problems in practice (at least some of them base design flaws), in the specific case of the Julich AVR reactor leading to Strontium-90 contamination of the soil and aquifer beneath the reactor."

      The post-mortem report is posted here http://www.eskom.co.za/content/AVR-Report-Press.PDF

    22. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When the wind blows or the sun shines, pump water uphill into a reservoir. When the wind isn't blowing and the sun isn't shining, let the water in the reservoir drive a hydro-turbine to generate electricity.

      Energy storage doesn't automatically mean "chemical battery".

    23. Re:Good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      2 MW is enough for 1370 people. You'd need about 10 for an average town.

    24. Re:Good by phayes · · Score: 1

      Ah? If Wind/Solar can be used for baseline Power Someone/Somewhere must be using it, right? Except that this is not the case.

      Just because your uncle Joe's cabin can does not mean that the electrical needs of a municipality can. Either furnish references of municipal level reliance on wind/solar for baseband or stop posting nonsense.

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    25. Re:Good by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Just because your uncle Joe's cabin can does not mean that the electrical needs of a municipality can. Either furnish references of municipal level reliance on wind/solar for baseband

      I did not claim we have right now municipals that rely on wind/solar for baseband. You must have misread something.
      I said we can switch to wind/solar + water to be able to rely only on it in the near future. The news and scientific magazines in germany are full with this informations. The mid term goal could be to replace nuclear with wind/solar and a slight increase of coal till 2020. And the long term goal is to replace coal as well till 2050. The scenarios how to do that are published all over the place. It is only your *percetion* that it is not possible because you did not get tought about it in school and your government keeps you misinformed.
      angel'o'sphere
      P.S. a random german link ... http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/0,1518,751293-2,00.html

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    26. Re:Good by jwhitener · · Score: 1

      I doubt batteries are the answer. However, I am not sure why renewables are automatically assumed to be incapable of meeting baseload.

      Study on renewables as baseload in North Carolina
      Brief paper on baseload and renewables
      research paper on renewable baseload in Australia
      Short paper from university of new south wales

      I just wish our country could pick a direction and start moving toward it (even nuclear). The country changing its mind every 4-8 years isn't very conducive to upgrading the power grid to be 'smarter', store power (pumped storage, etc...), transfer more efficiently at longer distances, etc.. when many of these projects could take 20+ years.

    27. Re:Good by phayes · · Score: 1

      You must have misread something.

      No, I just got tired of you thinking that your opinion defines reality. In multiple comments in this thread you baldly contradict people who clearly have a much deeper insight on the impracticality of replacing nuclear/fossil by wind/solar for baseband electrical generation with "i don't think so". Your opinion carries no weight.

      While common in the german press (who are deluding themselves), on this side of the Rhine we recognize that the Germans, by deciding to decommission their nuclear plants have decided to export the problem. Parallels have been drawn to California of a few years back who through NIMBY refused to provision enough new generation capacity for their own needs. While this worked for California for a number of years because the neighboring states had sufficient excess capacity to take up their slack, it eventually led to brownouts & embarrassment.

      It's funny that just as Germany started making plans to eliminate their nuclear plants, they began asking for a better integration of European electrical transport networks. Not that we mind, there are few more enthusiastic about a German abandonment of their Nuclear program than the guys I've talked to at EDF. Sure, go ahead & cripple your baseband generation, France will be there to sell you the electricity you need at a minor markup. When, due to rare favorable conditions and low demand, you have excess because it is windy/sunny (ha), sorry we have enough already. It'll be the best thing ever to balance our economies.

      As for my perception of how well I was taught in school, I appear to have done better than you as I learned how to read widely & eliminate the junk.

      --
      Democracy is a sheep and two wolves deciding what to have for lunch. Freedom is a well armed sheep contesting the issue
    28. Re:Good by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      No, I just got tired of you thinking that your opinion defines reality. In multiple comments in this thread you baldly contradict people who clearly have a much deeper insight on the impracticality of replacing nuclear/fossil by wind/solar for baseband electrical generation with "i don't think so". Your opinion carries no weight.

      As I wrote in other posts, I worked for energy companies roughly 12 years in total. I have a very good idea how electric grids work and from where energy is coming.

      [...] they began asking for a better integration of European electrical transport networks. [...]
      Sure, go ahead & cripple your baseband generation, France will be there to sell you the electricity you need at a minor markup.

      First of all we don't cripple our base band generation. Secondly, the european grid needs party overhauls anyway. What germany is doing is trying to convince the neighbours to work together on this *right now* and not to only upgrade the grids when necessary.

      You seem to have a problem with importing electric current from neighbours ... you forget we also export to them. You seem to forget that power companies are merging all over. So why should a european company like Vattenvall not generate / buy / sell power europe wide?
      Far more important: I prefer to import power from France, even if it is made nuclear, over importing coal from Chile or China or oil.

      The brownouts in California btw. have far more complex reasons than you wrote in your two lines ...

      France will be there to sell you the electricity you need at a minor markup.

      No, they wont ;D
      They will sell the power on the stock market. And the areas/companies that need that power buy it from there. As long as "someone" "anywhere in europe" has excess power, it does not cost a premium to get it.

      Again: everyone here on /. who heavily disagrees with me, does not look at the big picture or has not much clue about how energy grids really work.

      We have a forthcoming climate change. And one of its impacts is that rivers are low on water (happend last summers several times) that again lead to the necessity to shut down power plants along that river. That was true for coal as well as for nuclear plants. Not only in Germany, also in France ...
      The european grid compensated that quite fine.
      Regarding economics: in the long run (25 - 30 years) nuclear power wont be competitive anymore at all. You will get wind power and solar power for like the equivalent of 1cent. Nuclear power from France already is roughly 3cent - 4cent

      Obviously at the long coast lines of France they will build wind parks as well ... if not the EDF, then Vattenfall or the EnBW will do.

      Regarding baseband ... the baseband can be heavily influenced by modern technology. One example are so called "intelligent current meters". That is a household device like your normal power meter, that is connected via the internet to power markets. You can connect to your meter with your PC and parametrize it. Several household devices like washing machines and dish washers etc. can be connected with smart plugs to your house hold grid. When the power is cheap, which will be perhaps 15:00 when everyone is working and for some reason sun or wind create a surplus, the intelligent meter will recognize that and activate the connected devices via the smart plugs.
      That means: your over all "baseband" needs is lowered as such devices will no longer be started in the early morning when people go to work, but when power is cheap.
      There are endless of such examples ... I could write lots of pages about this. And people hee on /. don't know those examples.
      Assuming we had no increase in power need over the next decades, the baseband need would drop by like 20% beca

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  11. Not all americans by dwightk · · Score: 2

    Not all americans

    --
    Like anyone can even know that
    1. Re:Not all americans by Chrisq · · Score: 1

      Not all americans

      Is that you Dr Strangelove?

    2. Re:Not all americans by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Correct. There are some idiots who think this is merely an engineering problem.

    3. Re:Not all americans by foniksonik · · Score: 1

      Everything is an engineering problem. That food you eat, brought to you by engineering, electricity - engineering, children surviving birth - yes, engineering. Not all solutions are created equal. What is needed is one where the fissile material is completely consumed in the reaction (no waste) and the default is for the reaction to fail and cool off (no out of control reactions and no need for active cooling when there is no active reaction).

      We may not have this solution. That does not mean we never will.

      --
      A fool throws a stone into a well and a thousand sages can not remove it.
    4. Re:Not all americans by Kobun · · Score: 2

      We had this solution in 1994. Sen. John Kerry spearheaded the push to kill it. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Integral_fast_reactor

    5. Re:Not all Americans by itsenrique · · Score: 1

      it is like issuing a moratorium on building new cars because someone crashed a 1974 Pinto and it spilled some coolant on the ground.

      I'm guessing you don't live around or on a gulf beach... Coming from someone who does.

    6. Re:Not all americans by Noughmad · · Score: 1

      No. Most problems are _solved_ by engineering.

      Social solutions for social problems usually take so much time, that before we agree on something and implement it correctly, something new is invented that makes the problem go away. Example: Making and enforcing anti-wiretapping laws is not going anywhere (social problem), but fortunately we can use encryption (engineering solution). There are many times many more.

      --
      PlusFive Slashdot reader for Android. Can post comments.
  12. Makes no sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    If one were especially worried about certain classes of mishap, it would make far more sense to favour replacing existing reactors as soon as possible. For example, modern convectively-cooled PWR designs are not subject to the kind of cooling failure that occurred in Japan when external power was lost. Not allowing the construction of new plants is the worst of both worlds; the older designs continue to operate at a lower level of safety than new ones would, yet we're still forced to look to coal and gas as our energy needs grow. And not building new plants does nothing to address the problems associated with storage of spent fuel and other waste, which as seen in Japan and fought over for years in the US and elsewhere is a far greater problem than the operational safety of even the oldest BWRs. Fish or cut bait.

  13. "Catastrophic" means... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nothing can be made safe to a 9.0 magnitude earthquake. Nothing. You can't build or plan for it.

    The fact of the matter is, given the nature of the earthquake, the situation in the Dai-Ichi plant has been extraordinarily well contained. There have been only a very few casualties (due to hydrogen explosions), and the radiation leakage has been so low-level that it's unlikely to cause any measurable harm.

    What's more, current designs are even safer than the Dai-Ichi plant (which is over forty years old), and don't require external power or working generators to safely shut down (convection of coolant will do it).

    Many people die from complications of coal mining, etc. No form of power generation is completely safe, and if you look at the statistics, even now nuclear is by far the safest.

    1. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by node+3 · · Score: 0

      Nothing can be made safe to a 9.0 magnitude earthquake. Nothing. You can't build or plan for it.

      Exactly. You *can't* plan for it. So why would you put such dangerous materials into operation in such a place? The reactors in Fukushima took what was a local and temporary event, and turned it into an event that affected the entire planet, and will have effects spanning billions of years.

      The fact of the matter is, given the nature of the earthquake, the situation in the Dai-Ichi plant has been extraordinarily well contained. There have been only a very few casualties (due to hydrogen explosions), and the radiation leakage has been so low-level that it's unlikely to cause any measurable harm.

      The increase in background radiation will absolutely cause a raise in cancers, and there's the matter of radioactive material put into the environment that is different than simply a temporary increase in background radiation, and will also certainly cause additional deaths.

      What's more, current designs are even safer than the Dai-Ichi plant (which is over forty years old), and don't require external power or working generators to safely shut down (convection of coolant will do it).

      Radioactive elements can never be made safe. The safest reactor in the world still must concentrate very dangerous materials.

      Many people die from complications of coal mining, etc.

      But those risks are limited to the people who voluntarily and knowingly engage in such employment.

      No form of power generation is completely safe, and if you look at the statistics, even now nuclear is by far the safest.

      That's a load of bullshit. Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are much safer. Coal has been traditionally less safe, but we're lead to believe that the current coal plants remove the pollutants that would otherwise plague a small area around the plant.

      But since the deaths from nuclear are primarily cancers, which you can't be sure where they came from, as opposed to immediate deaths from things like construction accidents and mine collapses, it's far too easy to falsely assume that nuclear is the safest power source. It's by far the most dangerous, by it's very nature. It's simple physics that fission power cannot be made safe. The best you can do is mitigate the risks.

    2. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by AlecC · · Score: 1

      The plant survived the 9.0 earthquake perfectly well. The automatic shutdown systems worked properly. It was the Tsunami that caused the problems.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
    3. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Spad · · Score: 1

      As others have pointed out, amazingly the earthquake wasn't the problem, it was the tsunami that really caused the damage to the plant by shutting off the generators running the coolant pumps.

    4. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No form of power generation is completely safe, and if you look at the statistics, even now nuclear is by far the safest.

      I agree that nuclear is one of the safest, but I figured wind or solar would be better, with only the few occasional deaths from construction/manufacturing accidents. So I went and looked it up, and you are right...nuclear actually is THE safest:
      http://nextbigfuture.com/2010/07/summarizing-deaths-per-twh.html

      Energy Source = Death Rate (deaths per TWh)

      Coal – world average = 161 (26% of world energy, 50% of electricity)
      Coal – China = 278
      Coal – USA = 15
      Oil = 36 (36% of world energy)
      Natural Gas = 4 (21% of world energy)
      Biofuel/Biomass = 12
      Peat = 12
      Solar (rooftop) = 0.44 (less than 0.1% of world energy)
      Wind = 0.15 (less than 1% of world energy)
      Hydro = 0.10 (europe death rate, 2.2% of world energy)
      Hydro - world including Banqiao) = 1.4 (about 2500 TWh/yr and 171,000 Banqiao dead)
      Nuclear = 0.04 (5.9% of world energy)

    5. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by BZ · · Score: 3, Informative

      > The increase in background radiation will
      > absolutely cause a raise in cancers

      Increase in background radiation where? Do you have numbers to cite here?

      > there's the matter of radioactive material put into
      > environment

      Details? Which isotopes are we talking about? Is it worse than your typical coal plant operating for a month?

      > Radioactive elements can never be made safe.

      That's just not true. For example, oxygen-15 makes itself safe in a matter of hours (half-life of 120s with decay to a stable nitrogen isotope). A large fraction of the radioactive release from Fukushima has been elements like that.

      Now maybe what you mean is that long-half-life isotopes can't really be made safe. I agree; the goal would be to prevent them escaping the containment vessel.

      > Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are much safer.

      I'd _love_ to see numbers for this, on comparable scales.

      That is, how safe or unsafe is your typical solar plant generating 0.8GW (which is what each of the reactors at Fukushima was generating)? How safe is your typical wind plant of that capacity? Whole-life numbers (i.e. including construction and maintenance) would be good. Problem is, no one actually tracks that stuff, so we don't have those numbers....

      > that would otherwise plague a small area around
      > the plant

      Uh... you can't have it both ways. If pollution from coal plants (including the radioactive elements they put in the air) is localized to a "small area", how is that not the case for nuclear?

      > But since the deaths from nuclear are primarily
      > cancers

      Citation please?

      > The best you can do is mitigate the risks.

      This is true for all power-generation setups. The only question is when in the life cycle the highest risks are. For photovoltaic solar, for example, it seems to me that they are primarily at the solar cell production stage and the related industrial accidents. For hydroelectric they're when your dam is operating (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banqiao_Dam is a good read). For nuclear there's the initial uranium purification or plutonium production and operating risks. But yes, risk-mitigation is the name of the game. That's how life in general works: walking down stairs is unsafe. People die from it all the time. We do it all the time, but we put in handrails and people who're particularly susceptible to the risk get single-floor houses...

    6. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by hubie · · Score: 2

      The increase in background radiation will absolutely cause a raise in cancers, and there's the matter of radioactive material put into the environment that is different than simply a temporary increase in background radiation, and will also certainly cause additional deaths.

      No it won't. This argument is based on the Linear no-threshold model which has been shown to be wildly inaccurate at low-levels of radiation dosing. The basis of the model is that they looked at the cancer rate of Hiroshima survivors who received very high levels of radiation exposure and assigned a value of N cancer cases per X amount of radiation exposure. Then because they had nothing to go on for low doses, the assumption was made that the cancer rate was linear, so you'd get N/4 cases for an exposure of X/4. Without assigning a threshold exposure value for when you start developing cancer, this is ridiculous and does not at all agree with observation; however, since nobody knew what happens at longer exposure times at lower exposure rates, and thus nobody knows where to put a threshold value, this was the model accepted.

    7. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by smelch · · Score: 2

      Driving cars. What a death bringer. And yet, people don't shut down all roadways until safer cars are made that don't pollute at all, have no chance of crashing, and make economic sense. Cheese burgers. What a death bringer. And yet people don't run in the streets screaming about how cattle are gassing up the environment and clogging arteries. You want to talk about nuclear power being so damned dangerous? We all do things that cut our lifespans by a hell of a lot more than nuclear power every day for much less reason. I feel like the whole world is trolling me right now.

      It isn't 100% safe, so its unacceptable is unacceptable in a world where everything we do, every day, has a risk attached to it. And the big risk with nuclear is always a hypothetical "the world may come to an end if this, this and this happens." And yet a huge disaster comes about that could be the start of a doomsday movie with almost zero effect on the world, and instead of looking at that and saying "holy crap, nuclear power isn't the bomb waiting to go off we thought it was" people are pointing and saying "see?! disasters happen!" as if we didn't already know.

      Its time to grow up and realize our highways are going to kill more people every day than nuclear power will in generations. Being afraid of nuclear power is like being afraid of flying. Yeah, when something happens it'll probably involve more people than a car crash, but its a hell of a lot safer and normal usage is a lot easier on the environment.

      --
      If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
    8. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by cowboy76Spain · · Score: 2

      I am no completely opposed to nuclear power, yet I find some statements defending it a little odd.

      Many people die from complications of coal mining, etc.

      I mean... do you think Uranium or Thorium grow in trees?

      --
      Why can't /. have a rich-text editor? Editing your own HTML is so XXth century.
    9. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [...] will have effects spanning billions of years.

      Explain. I was of the impression that isotopes with half-lives in the range of billions of years (K-40, U-238, Th-232) can only be considered "technically radioactive" since they're just too damn stable to give off much of any radiation. Keep in mind 99.3% of all naturally occurring Uranium is U-238 and Potassium-40 is contained not just in nuclear reactors, but bananas and brazil nuts.

      The increase in background radiation [...]

      During the Chernobyl disaster, an estimated 50-80 million (Russian authorities), 1 billion (Time magazine; optimistic estimate) to 9 billion (whole core; pessimistic estimate) curies were blown into the atmosphere (source). Reasonable estimates vary around 3 to 4.5 billion, or a third to half of the core. A 2006 UN report figures an average lifetime dose throughout Europe of around 1 mSv or some three to four months of (global) background radiation.

      [...]people who voluntarily and knowingly engage in such employment

      And people living near coal mines or plants, breathing the exhaust air from coal plants, living near hydroelectic dams, living near windmills...

      Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are much safer.

      Nuclear: You're the expert, please provide numbers.
      Hydroelectric: Quick Googlage reveals tens of thousands evacuated and >100 casualties 2009-2011.
      Wind: Old data mentions rates between 0.1 and 0.4 casualties per TWh, about twenty deaths in NAM from mid-nineties through 2011. Some more googling finds interesting data.
      Geothermal: Seems safe but may cause earthquakes. Some pollution issues are to be worked out, but after that we might have ourselves a real contender.
      Solar: Apparently more dangerous than wind and hydroelectricity. Who knew.

    10. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by node+3 · · Score: 1

      > The increase in background radiation will
      > absolutely cause a raise in cancers

      Increase in background radiation where?

      Fukushima, Japan. And the surrounding areas where the winds blew radioactive iodine and cesium.

      Do you have numbers to cite here?

      Of course I do. Keep radiation sensors all across the globe, including in Japan, and I also collect and measure iodine and cesium from the atmosphere. You don't need specific numbers to demonstrate people will die from this, only to show how many can be expected. The exact numbers are unknown (not just to me, but to anyone).

      > there's the matter of radioactive material put into
      > environment

      Details? Which isotopes are we talking about? Is it worse than your typical coal plant operating for a month?

      Cesium and radioactive iodine. Yes, they are worse than a "typical coal plant operating for a month". Also, the explosion most certainly distributed plutonium and uranium into the local area.

      > Radioactive elements can never be made safe.

      That's just not true. For example, oxygen-15 makes itself safe in a matter of hours (half-life of 120s with decay to a stable nitrogen isotope). A large fraction of the radioactive release from Fukushima has been elements like that.

      They can be made non-radioactive, but that's not what I meant. *While* they are radioactive, they are not safe. You are just playing a word-game. Bringing up a short half-life demonstrates this. Plutonium also loses its radioactivity, it just takes a lot longer.

      Now maybe what you mean is that long-half-life isotopes can't really be made safe.

      Exactly. Word games. Also, short half-life elements tend to be more dangerous.

      I agree; the goal would be to prevent them escaping the containment vessel.

      And impossible goal to ensure. This is doubly true when you have an explosion that disperses them across a wide geographical area, including ejecting into the atmosphere which gives the elements access to the entire planet.

      > Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are much safer.

      I'd _love_ to see numbers for this, on comparable scales.

      As would I. But many thousands of people are dead from Chernobyl. Somehow I doubt thousands have died from a damn or wind turbine or solar array.

      That is, how safe or unsafe is your typical solar plant generating 0.8GW (which is what each of the reactors at Fukushima was generating)? How safe is your typical wind plant of that capacity? Whole-life numbers (i.e. including construction and maintenance) would be good. Problem is, no one actually tracks that stuff, so we don't have those numbers....

      > that would otherwise plague a small area around
      > the plant

      Uh... you can't have it both ways. If pollution from coal plants (including the radioactive elements they put in the air) is localized to a "small area", how is that not the case for nuclear?

      Because the coal plant doesn't explode so violently that a plume of radioactive material (including cesium and radioactive iodine) into the atmosphere.

      > But since the deaths from nuclear are primarily
      > cancers

      Citation please?

      Physics and biology.

      > The best you can do is mitigate the risks.

      This is true for all power-generation setups. The only question is when in the life cycle the highest risks are. For photovoltaic solar, for example, it seems to me that they are primarily at the solar cell production stage and the related industrial accidents.

      Industrial accidents which are far easier to mitigate, and only affect a small area around the factory.

      For hydroelectric they're when your dam is operating (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banqiao_D

    11. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by node+3 · · Score: 1

      The increase in background radiation will absolutely cause a raise in cancers, and there's the matter of radioactive material put into the environment that is different than simply a temporary increase in background radiation, and will also certainly cause additional deaths.

      No it won't. This argument is based on the Linear no-threshold model which has been shown to be wildly inaccurate at low-levels of radiation dosing.

      Except that you:

      1. Ignored the part where I point out this isn't just background radiation.
      2. Assume that radiation levels did not increase in some areas beyond safe levels.

      The basis of the model is that they looked at the cancer rate of Hiroshima survivors who received very high levels of radiation exposure and assigned a value of N cancer cases per X amount of radiation exposure. Then because they had nothing to go on for low doses, the assumption was made that the cancer rate was linear, so you'd get N/4 cases for an exposure of X/4. Without assigning a threshold exposure value for when you start developing cancer, this is ridiculous and does not at all agree with observation; however, since nobody knew what happens at longer exposure times at lower exposure rates, and thus nobody knows where to put a threshold value, this was the model accepted.

      Yes, I watched that Horizon episode too. But that's not what I'm talking about.

    12. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Driving cars. What a death bringer. And yet, people don't shut down all roadways until safer cars are made that don't pollute at all, have no chance of crashing, and make economic sense.

      We also don't say, "hey, roads are already unsafe, so why not up and ante and make them even more dangerous still!"

      Coal (for example) exists and is dangerous. That's no excuse for adding even more dangerous matter into the equation.

      Cheese burgers. What a death bringer. And yet people don't run in the streets screaming about how cattle are gassing up the environment and clogging arteries. You want to talk about nuclear power being so damned dangerous? We all do things that cut our lifespans by a hell of a lot more than nuclear power every day for much less reason. I feel like the whole world is trolling me right now.

      Cheeseburgers already have a set amount risk to my health, most of which can be mitigated by personal behavior, and I'm at very little risk myself if *you* eat a cheeseburger. With nuclear power, this *adds* to the risk I already have in my life, and even if I choose to live my life never generating a single watt of power from nuclear fission, I'm still at risk from places thousands of miles away that do.

      It isn't 100% safe, so its unacceptable is unacceptable in a world where everything we do, every day, has a risk attached to it.

      Straw man. No one is claiming something has to be 100% safe.

      And the big risk with nuclear is always a hypothetical "the world may come to an end if this, this and this happens."

      No one is making this claim. Another straw man.

      And yet a huge disaster comes about that could be the start of a doomsday movie with almost zero effect on the world,

      Another straw man.

      and instead of looking at that and saying "holy crap, nuclear power isn't the bomb waiting to go off we thought it was"

      Where are you getting all this straw?

      people are pointing and saying "see?! disasters happen!" as if we didn't already know.

      Oh sure, it's only a "disaster", and not "doomsday", no big deal!

      Its time to grow up and realize our highways are going to kill more people every day than nuclear power will in generations.

      It's not an either/or proposition. Highways will exist regardless of whether we have nuclear power.

      Being afraid of nuclear power is like being afraid of flying. Yeah, when something happens it'll probably involve more people than a car crash, but its a hell of a lot safer and normal usage is a lot easier on the environment.

      The ratio of car accidents to plan crashes is far greater than fossil fuel accidents to nuclear incidents. Also, when you shut down a coal plant, the risks go to essentially zero. When you shut down a nuclear plant, you still have waste to deal with.

    13. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by fritsd · · Score: 1

      For nuclear there's the initial uranium purification or plutonium production and operating risks.

      Silly me, I thought the highest risk and largest cost in the life cycle was demolition after 60 years and vitrificating and looking after the spent fuel for the next umpteen-thousand years!
      But maybe you meant, the highest risk for the company operating the scam^H project.

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    14. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      I disagree with some of your claims. While surviving a direct 9.0 hit at the epicenter of a quake is likely impossible - there are VERY few locations in the world that need this. Nearly all such quakes occur in undersea megathrust faults.

      You need to keep in mind that in terms of direct quake effects, the plant DID survive the quake.

      In terms of tsunami effects, the main plant itself DID survive the tsunami. Unfortunately, the diesel backup generators were placed on lower ground than the plant and didn't survive. Had the generators been at the same height as the main plant, things would be fine. Had the plant been an ABWR with a gas turbine inside the plant building in addition to the outdoor diesels, things would be fine. Had the plant been an ESBWR with passive cooling for decay heat removal, things would be fine.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    15. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by BZ · · Score: 1

      > only to show how many can be expected

      Well, of course! That's always the question. Pretty much anything we do means more people will die. More people flying on airplanes means higher levels of radiation exposure and more cancer deaths. More people driving cars means more accidents and more deaths. More people walking outside (or on stairs, as I said) means more falls and more deaths; several thousand per year just in the over-65 demographic in the US. More people getting CT scans leads to more cancer. The real question is one of risks and benefits. For the record, I think our use of CT scans is pretty suspect, and a good bit worse than what I've been able to find so far in terms of contamination from this accident outside the evacuation zone, but maybe you have other numbers?

      In case it's not clear, I think that just saying "it increases risk" without quantifying that is fear-mongering. Of course it increases risk.

      > Also, the explosion most certainly distributed
      > plutonium and uranium into the local area.

      Maybe I missed part of the news here. Which explosion are we talking about? The one hydrogen explosion that blew away the outer reactor building, or some other explosion?

      If you have a reference for this, I would be very interested.

      > short half-life elements tend to be more dangerous.

      Simply because ipso facto they have higher radioactivity levels per atom (they're decaying faster, after all).

      For a given activity level, what matters is the kind of decay, not the half-life, since all the half-life does is affect the activity level. Alpha decays are easy to handle; gamma decays are the hard kind to deal with.

      Cs-137, which I presume is the major cesium isotope we're worried about here, is bad stuff because it's _medium_ half-life (30 years or so), and the decay chain includes gamma rays very soon after the cesium itself decays. I agree that significant quantities of cesium-137 release is a serious problem.

      I-131, which is again presumably the iodine you're talking about, is not nearly as bad as long as you don't eat it. Japan _has_ been testing food outside the quarantine area for iodine, as well as testing children, and things are looking ok so far from the articles I've read. Again, maybe you have references to specific issues that I've missed here? Note that I-131 has a half-life of only 8 days, so the concentration drops rapidly on a timescale of several months. As long as the quantities released are not huge and it doesn't disperse widely, this problem will solve itself.

      > Somehow I doubt thousands have died from a
      > damn

      If you meant "dam", then you should have read the article I linked to. 90,000--230,000 dead (no one actually bothered to count for sure) dead from one single dam accident.

      > Because the coal plant doesn't explode so
      > violently that a plume of radioactive material
      > (including cesium and radioactive iodine) into the
      > atmosphere.

      Uh... Coal plants put radioctive material into the atmosphere all the time. It's a lower level per plant than a Chernobyl-style explosion, but we have a _lot_ of coal plants. And Fukushima is nothing like Chernobyl, again unless I missed a major piece of news here. If you haven't before, you may want to read http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioactive_waste#Coal (it's a very short read).

      > Industrial accidents which are far easier to
      > mitigate

      Are they, now? Data, please? Or is this a gut feeling?

      > and only affect a small area around the factory.

      So in other words, deaths are ok as long as they're not in your backyard and preferably not in your country? C'mon now.

      > From the mining of the ore, to the processing,
      > power production, reprocessing and eventual
      > disposal.

      Except for disposal, those are all "production and operation".

      Disposal is a problem, but since we're not even takin

    16. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by BZ · · Score: 1

      Spent fuel is an interesting discussion topic; I'll believe in people in the US taking it seriously when they take the already-available mitigation steps that other countries take routinely: reprocessing.

      As it is, the spent fuel situation is that we're told that the obvious thing that will reduce the amount of waste significantly is off the table, and then we suddenly have large amounts of waste to deal with, surprisingly.

    17. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by smelch · · Score: 1

      Coal (for example) exists and is dangerous. That's no excuse for adding even more dangerous matter into the equation.

      Coal and oil pollute. Nuclear power does not. The only "pollution" is waste materials that can be effectively dealt with. People are scared of the radiation, which is completely stupid because it has zero effect in reality and even the hyped up risks are substantially lower than the other things I talked about. I'm not saying "lets make it more dangerous" I'm saying we have dirty power generation now that needs to be resolved. We have a perfectly good replacement where the radiation risk in a generation is substantially lower than our daily transportation risks. So what is the panic about?

      The ratio of car accidents to plan crashes is far greater than fossil fuel accidents to nuclear incidents.

      Neat. Are you suggesting that fossil fuels are the answer to our energy problems for the future? Cause if not, what the hell does that matter? I was commenting on the fact that when a plane crashes a lot of people were injured at once. The deaths on the highway are spread out and therefore aren't as scary to us. This is like fossil fuels and nuclear energy. The fossil fuels are making the air worse and worse, having lots of negative effects on the environment. However, nuclear fuel pretty much runs cleanly, but when something goes wrong its more serious than normal day to day operations at a coal plant. Overall, though, the coal plants will do more damage. Its just not as scary when people point it out because its long term, hard to see damage.

      Coal and fossil fuels actually damage the environment. The "problems" with nuclear power are all "what-ifs". When a disaster comes around like happened in Japan (by this I mean the earthquake and tsunami, not the nuclear reactor issues) and it doesn't do very much damage, instead of people seeing how well it went, and the fears of nuclear energy are unfounded, they are now saying since this wasn't 100% safe, some radiation got out (nevermind the fact that it is insignificant) that no nuclear plant will ever really be safe so we shouldn't build them. Do you get what I'm saying? People are taking what happened and using it to bolster their already-formed opinion, instead of looking at it objectively and realizing that nuclear power is not the danger they've been told it was. And the thing is, its only gotten safer since these reactors were built.

      I for one don't want to sit here and watch all of our sources of energy deplete and destroy the environment while we've got a very workable solution in front of us that is cheaper and cleaner but we've been scared by the media in to not using it. You may be different.

      --
      If I can just reach out with my words and touch a butthole, just one, it will all be worth it.
    18. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      The alternative to nuclear is coal right now, and coal is much much worse. It has radioactive byproducts, and also coal fly-ash and bottom-ash which is highly toxic and needs to be contained and there are limited uses for it (i.e. not enough demand for it so it is used up). There would be less nuclear waste if people would let newer reactors get built. These new reactors would also shut down on their own without any cooling whatsoever. The worst case scenario is a natural disaster splitting the containment vessel open, but the same risk happens at coal burning plants, coal mines (some coal mines are on fire in Alabama and elsewhere and they can't put them out until it all burns up), coal-ash ponds and toxic dumps, except in the latter cases you also get the toxic materials leaking into the air, ground water and/or lakes/streams. You can get cancer just as easily from industrial and coal power generation waste. At least a modern built nuclear reactor would use up most of its waste in its attached breeder reactors and fuel recycling plants, and also contain a reaction that would shut itself down if anything like what happened at Fukushima happened.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    19. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by cartman · · Score: 1

      I mean... do you think Uranium or Thorium grow in trees?

      cowboy, there is a big difference in scale between coal mining and uranium mining. Uranium contains more than 1 million times as much energy for a given unit of volume, as coal. As a result, all the uranium in the world is mined out of a very small number of mines, all of which are physically quite small and many of which are surface mines. Obviously the number of deaths from Uranium mining is not zero (and certainly wasn't in the 1950s before they realized that we need to vent radon gas from underground mines), but we must keep in mind the scale of it.

    20. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      But the 9.0 quake was 150 miles away wasn't it. I don't think it was 9.0 at the reactor was it?

    21. Re:"Catastrophic" means... by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      The plant also didn't suffer a 9.0 quake. That was like 150 miles away or something.

  14. The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Xenolith · · Score: 5, Interesting

    We have the technology for much safer and nearly unlimited nuclear power. Only hurdle is how to deploy. What I am talking about is TWR (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Traveling_wave_reactor) and LFTR (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Molten_salt_reactor). They "burn" waste from current reactors, can be shut-of nearly instantly, no water cooling, and a smaller footprint and cost. Now we have to overcome this bad publicity provided by the old technology.

    --

    Journal
    1. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What is this mystical technology that makes radiation and nuclear waste safe?

    2. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Nuclear costs about two or three times as much as onshore wind, in terms of produced watts.

    3. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by prefec2 · · Score: 2

      How do you handle the nuclear waste they produce?
      What are you doing when the reactors go out of service?
      And what is the worst case scenario of that technology?

    4. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Xenolith · · Score: 2
      Concerning waste from LFTR -

      Waste--In theory, LFTRs would produce far less waste along their entire process chain, from ore extraction to nuclear waste storage, than LWRs. A LFTR power plant would generate 4,000 times less mining waste (solids and liquids of similar character to those in uranium mining) and would generate 1,000 to 10,000 times less nuclear waste than an LWR. Additionally, because LFTR burns all of its nuclear fuel, the majority of the waste products (83%) are safe within 10 years, and the remaining waste products (17%) need to be stored in geological isolation for only about 300 years (compared to 10,000 years or more for LWR waste). Additionally, the LFTR can be used to "burn down" waste from an LWR (nearly the entirety of the United States' nuclear waste stockpile) into the standard waste products of an LFTR, so long-term storage of nuclear waste would no longer be needed.

      Decommissioning remove the material unused salt for use at other plants. Some contamination may occur, so either reuse on site. Or worst case, crush building and store for 300 years of decontamination. This contamination would be much lower level compared to what is happening at current plants.

      Runaway reactions are impossible with LFTR so no Meltdown/china syndrome. The reactor is underground, so it will be terrorist resistant. If a leak happens the molten mix will quickly solidify and not go anywhere (stay out of the groundwater).

      --

      Journal
    5. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by JackDW · · Score: 1

      1. Do you really mean "Joules" or "Watt-hours"?

      2. Are you sure you are taking all the costs and subsidies into account?

      --
      You're an immobile computer, remember?
    6. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not to mention the regulatory inertia that would need to be overcome to get the designs certified for US operation.

    7. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Xenolith · · Score: 1

      That's what Traveling wave reactors (TWR) are... a type of breeder reactor. One issue with those is the liquid sodium. Sodium gets very explodey when mixed with water... as Japan found out with its breeder reactor.

      --

      Journal
    8. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Intrepid+imaginaut · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is more heavly subisidised by far than wind or solar. You can find some interesting info here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economics_of_new_nuclear_power_plants#Recent_construction_cost_estimates

      Ongoing maintenance costs for onshore wind are actually lower than for nuclear.

    9. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      You can use lead instead of sodium. It has the added advantage of being a larger effective thermal mass as well since the boiling point is higher.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    10. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by sanosuke001 · · Score: 1

      Oh, I know; I just wanted to add some information to his post in case someone was too lazy to go look stuff up

      --
      -SaNo
    11. Re:The Bad PR is Unfortunate by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some odd things about the reactor cooling system.
      What to do when a big earthquake rolls in?
                    They thought of that one and the plant did better than expected and shout down.
      What to do when the emergency cooling failed
                      Well along came a tsunami and clobbered the cooling and the battery powered cooling cut in.

      Was the battery backup good enough? Hell no! Why oh why would you fail to provide PLENTY of battery? err well perhaps the battery powered cooling did not really cut in; meaning
      this note is garbage. but in the scheme of things batteries are cheap and good, well designed ones are available in the PRC. :-)
      The reactor needs to cool before shutdown is complete - gotta keep your eye on the ball!

  15. Are you kidding? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    OP's commentary is outright dumb. Unable to effectively control its downside? Tell me, where is the meltdown? The huge clouds of radiation? People dying from radiation burns? Entire regions made uninhabitable by fallout? Oh right, NONE of that has happened, and the situation is under control. Seriously, folks, it's time to stop being ridiculous. Or maybe I should move to China, where whatever the government's failings, the polity still has its head located well outside its intestinal tract.

    1. Re:Are you kidding? by hubie · · Score: 1

      Or maybe I should move to China, where whatever the government's failings, the polity still has its head located well outside its intestinal tract.

      Probably related to the fact that a large percentage of the people running China have technical backgrounds (engineering, science, etc.)

    2. Re:Are you kidding? by cowboy76Spain · · Score: 1

      The last news I heard there has been a stop in approving new nuclear installations there, too. As a direct result from Fukushima.

      --
      Why can't /. have a rich-text editor? Editing your own HTML is so XXth century.
  16. How about nuclear tests? by Amiralul · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I find it amusing how US media is worried about Fukushima nuclear contamination of Japan and surrounding arrea, including US territories or... Europe. They seem to forgot hundreds of nuclear tests made by the US both in Pacific and continental US. I wonder which event released more radioactive material in the atmosphere, a few hundreds nuclear test or the damaged reactors from Fukushima? (and I'm not even considering detonations over Hiroshima and Nagasaki).

    1. Re:How about nuclear tests? by antifoidulus · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well, part of it certainly is timing, when the US stopped doing nuclear testing in 1992, the internet was at it's infancy and there really was only one 24 hour news network. Now you can get information(even bad information) in an instant whenever you want it and the competition has gotten so cut-throat that nobody wants to miss the "big story" The end result usually is mass panic over the tiniest of problems.

    2. Re:How about nuclear tests? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " (and I'm not even considering detonations over Hiroshima and Nagasaki)."

      ooh you liar, you did, right there in those brackets. shame on you. ;-)

    3. Re:How about nuclear tests? by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      The plutonium released by nuclear testing increased the cancer rate in world population by 10%. This is a significant effect. And the effects of the Fukushima incident will have effects, which we will be able to measure in 10 or 20 years. It is expected that the average increase of cancer and other radiation effects will be around 1-2%.

    4. Re:How about nuclear tests? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      I find it amusing how US media is worried about Fukushima nuclear contamination of Japan and surrounding arrea, including US territories or... Europe. They seem to forgot hundreds of nuclear tests made by the US both in Pacific and continental US. I wonder which event released more radioactive material in the atmosphere, a few hundreds nuclear test or the damaged reactors from Fukushima?

      That we used to test in atmosphere is irrelevant, that was fifty years ago and what's done is done. That we used to test underground are equally irrelevant, because except for the first few (as we were figuring out the methodology) considerable measures were taken to prevent atmospheric release and again what's done is done.

    5. Re:How about nuclear tests? by daid303 · · Score: 1

      And then you dropped two of them on top of Japan. Which is also irrelevant?

      NOTHING from the past is irrelevant, you learn from history or are bound to repeat it. And I rather not have you guys repeat that dark part of history.

      From Europe with love.

    6. Re:How about nuclear tests? by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      I read one estimate that stated the US + Russian atmospheric test programs equalled about 6 Chernobyls.

      Unfortunately I can't find a link.

    7. Re:How about nuclear tests? by DerekLyons · · Score: 1

      And then you dropped two of them on top of Japan. Which is also irrelevant?

      Yes, it's irrelevant to the discussion at hand. The topic under discussion is nuclear power. Even when discussing nuclear contamination, they're nearly irrelevant because the release in those two cases is vastly dwarfed by later ones.
       

      NOTHING from the past is irrelevant, you learn from history or are bound to repeat it. And I rather not have you guys repeat that dark part of history.

      For the first part, yes the past history of nuclear contamination is irrelevant to this discussion - it can't be undone. Just because I lost $10 fifty years ago doesn't mean I shouldn't be concerned about losing $10 tomorrow. As to the second, again utterly irrelevant to the discussion at hand, which is nuclear power.

    8. Re:How about nuclear tests? by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      I call BS. Got a source for this ludicrous claim. Give you a hint, instruments back at the lab will be able to detect this at levels where the cancer rate does not increase *at all*, we have detected no increase. Got a source for this increase cancer rate. I bet you just made that up too.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
    9. Re:How about nuclear tests? by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      Which part of Europe is the love from? The German part which is frightened of nuclear power or the French part which loves it?

    10. Re:How about nuclear tests? by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      It is very interesting how you react. If you disagree you could have said: "I do not believe you" or "to my knowledge your figures are wrong." However, you decided to use rude language. Even though I do not know which claim you criticize. Is it that the nuclear tests in the 1950 and 1960 had an effect? Or is it that we can see the effects from the current disaster in 10-20 years?

    11. Re:How about nuclear tests? by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      So in other words you don't have a source. If make shit up. I will call you out on it. And believe me its the worst kind of shit.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  17. Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by TheRaven64 · · Score: 4, Interesting
    --
    I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    1. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      Its much the same here in Canada.

      I blame a lack of education on the subject in the US for their current panic. It very much smacks of "We don't understand it therefore it must be bad" and media sensationalism.

      Those factors along with a few others to nudge the populace in the "right" direction can very quickly create a severely slanted public opinion.

    2. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Ltap · · Score: 1

      I consider it to be more about the history. Early reactors were glorified refineries for weapons-grade material, so in the US public's mind in the 1960s and 70s, nuclear power was a tool of "the man" and was tied to nuclear weapons. Most public opinion on it hasn't really changed since then. People simply go "nuclear = bad". As well, there's the problem of high-profile incidents (Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, now Fukushima), whereas coal plants will endanger people slowly, over time.

      --
      Yet Another Tech Blog
      (but so much more, including game and movie reviews)
      http://yanteb.peasantoid.org
    3. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The US isn't in a panic, the MEDIA is in a panic. Not the same thing. Please don't equate us with our idiotic scaremongering media.

      --Posting anon due to previous mods.

    4. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by ildon · · Score: 1

      It's not the lack of education, it's the daily re-education by an either ignorant or malicious (or both) news media.

    5. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      There are other contributing factors, as I mentioned. However the fact that the history might still have that much of an effect after 40-50 years only really backs up my theory that there isn't enough education on the subject. If there was, the general opinion from 40-50 years ago would have a LOT less bearing on general public opinion now.

    6. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Ironhandx · · Score: 1

      I mentioned that partly, but if there was proper education on the matter throughout the general populace from trusted information sources like schools, this would have less of an effect.

      For instance, we have the same scaremongering news media pushing for ratings here in Canada, but while it does have a measurable effect, it doesn't have nearly as much impact as it does south of the border.

      Of course pushing things like Intelligent Design etc down the throats of some schools will discredit those institutions in the minds of a fair number of your populace as well. Even among some of those that may believe in it, due to the severity of bias that something like that displays.

      I have a friend here in Canada that is in that boat. He's from a pretty hardcore fundamentalist Christian family, and his beliefs are mostly in line with what you would expect someone from that background to have. However he feels that ideologies should be left out of school altogether and whatever theories/facts currently have the most scientific evidence for them should be taught.

      Overall I believe that education is one very key component of what is currently a large systemic problem in the US.

    7. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Denogh · · Score: 1
      Sadly, that is how things will stay as long as we have a 24 hour news cycle that reinforces the Chernobyl inspired views on nuclear power. And herd mentality doesn't help either. Take this gem from a story on CNN.com about a run on potassium iodide on the West Coast:

      "I didn't see too many people concerned about it. But when it was sold out, it made me think that I should be concerned,"

      So, because a bunch of people ran out and bought potassium iodide to protect themselves against the coming nuclear apocalypse, this sheep does it too. Not educated enough to know whether something is a real threat? Don't bother researching the issue and making an informed decision. Just go out and buy a gas mask, a shotgun and enough MREs to last 50 years. Better safe than sorry, right?

    8. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      "75% cite energy efficiency or renewables as their priority for investment, against 9% for nuclear."
      "35% either strongly or slightly support a programme to replace the UK's existing reactors, with 28% either strongly or slightly opposed."

      Certainly doesn't seem like rousing support to me.
      Seems like people would prefer alternatives if possible and if not, then they want upgrades to what is currently there.

    9. Re:Meanwhile, on this side of the pond by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      "And 75% cite energy efficiency or renewables as their priority for investment, against 9% for nuclear."
      and
      "Still, 35% either strongly or slightly support a programme to replace the UK's existing reactors, with 28% either strongly or slightly opposed."
      and
      "A separate poll last year showed that 60% of Britons would oppose the building of either a nuclear or coal-fired power station in their neighbourhood - but 73% would support the construction of a wind farm."

  18. Not just the USA by Gonoff · · Score: 0

    A lot of the rest of the world has had appalling pres fear mongering about this. It has varied from clueless editorials to selective reporting to straight inaccuracies.

    In the UK, a lot of our press is controlled by the same person as yours - Rupert Murdoch. They seem to be the big FUD generator in this. Whether they have done this because it sells or because they have an agenda, I can't say. (I suspect the latter.)

    --
    I'll see your Constitution and raise you a Queen.
  19. Does this surprise anybody? by Frugal+Gourmet · · Score: 2

    I certainly don't mind nuclear power any more than I did before the accident. I've lived near a nuclear plant since I was a child and obviously toyed with the notion that it might blow up. I learned to live with it and rather enjoy the idea that there's a powerful, clean energy source so near to where I reside! "Does this surprise anybody?" is a rhetorical question; America's "reaction" to crises like these is uniformly pious.

  20. Not all Americans by EmagGeek · · Score: 1

    Just the ones who are easily influenced by questions that are designed to produce the answers desired to support whatever political agenda the media is trying to push.

    This is the same kind of senseless knee-jerk reaction that happened after the oil spill... it is like issuing a moratorium on building new cars because someone crashed a 1974 Pinto and it spilled some coolant on the ground.

  21. American Media by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The media has two positions: everybody panic and nothing to worry about. Nothing in between.

    1. Re:American Media by Noughmad · · Score: 1

      1. Not only American media
      2. I can't remember the last time I heard "nothing to worry about" on mass media (unless you count Slashdot). They just tend to ignore and/or forget things that are not "everybody panic".

      --
      PlusFive Slashdot reader for Android. Can post comments.
  22. Thank you sensationalist news! by Chas · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yup. Due to the news media's disgusting exaggeration of the event, , and the 60+ years of "all radiation = bad = kill you dead", a bunch of people who don't understand a thing about nuclear power generation from the 60's, let alone modern reactor technologies are going to browbeat the power industry into the least effectual, most expensive forms of power generation. And it'll be the power industry's fault when power prices skyrocket. It'll also be the power industry's fault when these sources of power fail at maintaining baseline power levels.

    Way to fucking go. Decision by committee of imbeciles.

    --


    Chas - The one, the only.
    THANK GOD!!!
    1. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "power industry" gets to keep more profits as prices rise. They aren't going to do a damn thing. Your government needs to be the one doing something.

    2. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Yup. Due to the news media's disgusting exaggeration of the event, , and the 60+ years of "all radiation = bad = kill you dead",

      Not all radiation, just the radiation from fissionable material like we are talking about here.

      a bunch of people who don't understand a thing about nuclear power generation from the 60's,

      They understand there are accidents, and that the effects of these accidents are far more serious in scope and duration than a normal accident.

      let alone modern reactor technologies are going to browbeat the power industry into the least effectual, most expensive forms of power generation. And it'll be the power industry's fault when power prices skyrocket. It'll also be the power industry's fault when these sources of power fail at maintaining baseline power levels.

      No, that'll be the fault of greedy businessmen, corrupt politicians, and foolish free-market voters who put their basic needs into the hands of greedy businessmen and corrupt politicians.

      Way to fucking go. Decision by committee of imbeciles.

      Disagreeing with you does not make on an imbecile (in fact, reality would seem to indicate quite the reverse). Not wanting to take the severe risks that nuclear power inescapably brings with it is rational. Only an imbecile would try to claim that radioactive materials are safe.

    3. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      Not wanting to take the severe risks that nuclear power inescapably brings with it is rational.

      What severe risks? If you are talking about the reactor in Japan, more people suffered negative health issues as a result of the damage the tsunami did to other industrial sites than they have from the damage to the nuclear plant.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    4. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Not wanting to take the severe risks that nuclear power inescapably brings with it is rational.

      What severe risks? If you are talking about the reactor in Japan, more people suffered negative health issues as a result of the damage the tsunami did to other industrial sites than they have from the damage to the nuclear plant.

      The tsunami happened either way. But with the Fukushima reactor, additional loss of life has resulted, and will continue to for decades to come.

    5. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Way to fucking go. Decision by committee of imbeciles.

      You spelled Democratic Republic wrong.

    6. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

      Not wanting to take the severe risks that nuclear power inescapably brings with it is rational.

      What severe risks? If you are talking about the reactor in Japan, more people suffered negative health issues as a result of the damage the tsunami did to other industrial sites than they have from the damage to the nuclear plant.

      Implicit in your response is the assumption that the danger is over, everything is under control and contained and all effects of this incident have occurred and been accounted for....

      --
      A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    7. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's democracy for you. The system in which two random winos have more say about whether to build a nuclear power plant than a proffesional nucleear engineer.

    8. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Antisyzygy · · Score: 2

      Just look up Coal-ash pollution and accidents to see what the alternative is. Ill take nuclear power thanks.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    9. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by lingon · · Score: 1

      The tsunami happened either way. But with the Fukushima reactor, additional loss of life has resulted, and will continue to for decades to come.

      I've been reading this a lot as of late and I'm getting annoyed. The radioactive isotope from Fukushima that has a half-life long enough and has sufficient concentration to be a concern is Iodine-131, which has a half-life of eight days. Not "several decades". What you're thinking of is probably Cesium-137 and Strontium-90 (which are really bad long-term), but they haven't been released in any large quantities to warrant any concern so far.

    10. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      The tsunami happened either way, but with the chemical plants addiitional loss of life has resulted and will continue to for decaeds to come...in greater numbers than from the Fukushima reactors.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    11. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Attila+Dimedici · · Score: 1

      NO, implicit in my response is that there is greater ongoing danger from the chemicals released from chemical plants than there is from the nuclear plant.

      --
      The truth is that all men having power ought to be mistrusted. James Madison
    12. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      Define the severe risks?

      In the entire history of nuclear power, including Soviet nuclear power, there have been an estimated 5-10 thousand deaths from cancer. That includes Chernobyl, which was not an accident but a dangerous experiment gone wrong where the operators intentionally overrode numerous safety systems.

      There is a recent estimate of 13,000 deaths per year due to cancer caused by coal plant pollution.

      Gas drilling employing hydrofracturing has resulted in widespread groundwater contamination and sickness in only 5-10 years.

      Not counting the experiment-gone-wrong at Chernobyl (dangerous experiment, dangerous reactor design, no containment building whatsoever) and Mayak (Soviets were willing to do anything to get piping hot loaves of weapons grade plutonium so they could make America go boom), the number of deaths resulting from nuclear power (nearly all involving plant workers) has been on the order of tens of people. I don't have time to dig up the citation now, but I believe the wind power industry has resulted in more deaths. It's just that some guy getting irradiated because he dumped reprocessing chemicals into a bucket he wasn't supposed to is MUCH bigger news (and is tracked in more detail by the IAEA) than a few guys falling to their deaths while maintaining wind generators (not reported at more than a local scale, not really tracked by anyone except possibly OSHA).

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    13. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Charred organic matter contains a large number of polyaromatic hydrocarbons, which are carcinogenic. Only an imbecile would try to claim that barbecued foodstuffs are safe.

    14. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by lennier · · Score: 1

      and the 60+ years of "all radiation = bad = kill you dead",

      Yeah, I think you might want to rethink that statement before you take a drink of the 1 Sv/hr emitting water in the basement of the turbine building at Daichi. Which could never have happened because nuclear power is so inherently safe.

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    15. Re:Thank you sensationalist news! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yup. Due to the news media's disgusting exaggeration of the event, , and the 60+ years of "all radiation = bad = kill you dead",

      Not all radiation, just the radiation from fissionable material like we are talking about here.

      I didn't know that physics has a preference! Quick! Burn all the books because you need a Nobel Prize for this discovery!!

      And what do you call this discovery? New Age Physics? Maybe we will need New Age Thermodynamics too where the original laws of thermodynamics can be reversed so we can have energy from nothing.

  23. I am not afraid. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They seem pretty safe, as long as there's no once-in-a-millennium earthquakes followed by huge tsunami hitting a 40 year old reactor. And, even then, the situation's not percisely the disaster that the media is protraying it as (because drama sells?) I guess this is a good argument for not buildng reactors near the coast if one can help it, but I've not lost faith in the safety of the tech as a whole.

    1. Re:I am not afraid. by delinear · · Score: 1

      Well we can probably learn from what has happened and build in additional safety measures, but I agree that the events leading up to this latest accident were pretty much unprecedented and yet it's been dealt with in a professional manner and largely contained (despite scaremongering in the media). Given the fact that new reactors are much safer, the chances of something that can smash even an old reactor are minimal and we're fast running out of options, I'd say it's a risk worth taking.

  24. politically not a bad move by Chrisq · · Score: 1

    Yes, lets stick with the ancient reactors we have now instead of upgrading to safer modern designs.

    Politically not a bad move. If anything goes wrong they can point to the succession of previous governments who continued the use and the politicians who gave the go-ahead in the old people's home.

    If they permit a new reactor and something goes wrong it would be their fault.

  25. From TFA... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    .

    ...Over half (53 percent) of Americans would now support "a moratorium on new nuclear reactor construction in the United States," if "increased energy efficiency and off the shelf renewable technologies such as wind and solar could meet our energy demands for the near term."

    Emphasis mine.

    Breaking News. American Taxpayers demand Buddy Holly Bobble Heads!

    Our carefully constructed survey has found that over 80% of Americans want the government to give them a 10 foot tall Buddy Holly bobble head doll at the end of the April tax deadline... but only if the doll in question was filled with millions of dollars and constructed of solid gold.

  26. Hurricane Katrina and Andrew... by dicobalt · · Score: 1

    The two most damaging hurricanes in the history of the US had very little effect on the nuclear plants directly in their path. Not every place in the US can experience a 9.0 quake and then a tsunami right after that.

  27. Nuts by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How many of you work with complex systems on a daily basis that FAIL? My guess is just about every IT professional on here. Yet you think the nuclear sector is safe? I guess the grass is always greener. Complex systems ALWAYS fail, you can't beat entropy just like you can't beat the house at Vegas.

  28. Replace aging nuclear plants with ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Good feelings and hopes for tomorrow!

    Hey, Americans refuse to face the economic facts that threaten to bring down the United States, and earnestly believe that money (value) grows on trees, so why should they concern themselves with silly things like the practical side of supplying energy? Just write a law mandating that all power come from safe, cheap, and renewable sources and call it a day.

    That should do it!

    1. Re:Replace aging nuclear plants with ... by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Hey, Americans refuse to face the economic facts that threaten to bring down the United States
      ---
      Exactly... only a mere decade ago we had achieved some level of fiscally sane and sound policies before we decided to cut our governments salary without cutting its budget. Now we have perpetual credit card spending with Bush tax cuts 350 billion, wars 200 billion, 500 billion more reduced government revenue from our citizens suffering a 12 trillion dollar beat down by the financial industry , and more tax cuts by Obama from the recovery act to the tune of something like 350 billion.

      These seem to be the economic facts which we are plagued with. 18 billion dollar surplus to 1.4 trillion dollar deficits in 10 years. We need to get back to fiscal reality. Our fiscal stupidity more than anything is bringing down the United states. We aren't suffering from some energy calamity currently. Surprisingly, energy is not even close to our main concern right now. Our own decrease taxes in increase spending mantra is what is threatening to bring down the US... maybe....

      Once we get away from our fiscal absurdity we will be fine.

      Even nuclear power will become feasible once the dust up in Japan settles in. We tend to have short memories.

  29. Nuclear Reactors Compared To Others by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2011/03/what-is-the-worst-kind-of-power-plant-disaster/

    I know it's gizmodo but it really is worth reading. It has lots of numbers.

  30. Postcard from Future by Rollgunner · · Score: 4, Funny

    I just got a postcard from 2211, They said to go with solar when we can... all the wind farms permanently damaged the jetstream and now the equator is 180 farenheit and the poles are -200.

    Until we get the solar thing figured out, they recommend nuclear power; just try not to use 40-year-old reactors that are built on the ocean and within 150 miles of a major faultline.

    1. Re:Postcard from Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I just herp from derp, Herp to go derp... herp derped the herp and herp derp the herpderp and the herp are derp.

      Until we herp the derp out, they herp derper; just try to herpderp that are herp on the derp and herp of a derp.

      Yeah, it all makes complete sense now.

    2. Re:Postcard from Future by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      I know you are joking but reactors will just about always be next to major bodies of water. It's needed for cooling.

    3. Re:Postcard from Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Were they all screaming?

      ObXKCD: http://xkcd.com/875/

    4. Re:Postcard from Future by Rollgunner · · Score: 2

      Yeah, there's one about a half-hour from where I live built on a nice big lake. Can't swim real near the plant because the warmer water is a haven for bacteria. That's the only environmental impact I've noticed from the place.

    5. Re:Postcard from Future by need4mospd · · Score: 1

      I just got a postcard from 2311. They said stop using postcards, do you have any idea how expensive stamps are now? And I'd go ahead and kill the inventor of the postcard time machine before he gets a chance to invent it. Apparently, we can only send these things to slashdot users and any questions relating to that just starts his rant on his low 8 digit member number....

    6. Re:Postcard from Future by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seriously hope they won't use miles and farenheit at least in the future.

    7. Re:Postcard from Future by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      Not all nuclear reactors use water. Not all nuclear plants that even use water need to be built along fault lines...

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
  31. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear power is simply not worth the risk on any large scale. All it takes is one accident, either human error (Chernobyl) or natural disaster (Fukushima), and you end up with a disaster that affects the entire world, and has local effects that will last for billions of years.

    As opposed to, say, coal, where the day to day operations affect the entire world?

  32. It isn't a big deal, unless..... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nuclear power is safe, but you have to consider where any plants would be built. You build a reactor on the coast, and you run the risk of a big coastal storm causing problems. If you build it in an area that can get earthquakes, you run THAT risk, so, the solution is you build the plants mostly underground in the midwest, away from any large population centers. No earthquakes to speak of, and underground would make storms a non-issue as well. You put in redundant supplies of water from different sources in different directions so there are fewer chances that THAT might be a problem.

    What has happened in Japan is due to Japan being prone to earthquakes in the first place, even if the 9.0 was extreme, earthquakes are not uncommon. Old designs are also not going to be as good as newer designs. In short, you don't build nuclear power plants in California or Alaska, because those are the states that get the most earthquakes.

    Our biggest problem is that the politicians are too stupid to understand WHY there are problems with Japan, so can't properly calm fears by the clueless masses.

    1. Re:It isn't a big deal, unless..... by AlecC · · Score: 1

      The reason nuclear power plants are very frequently along the costs is that they need huge amounts of cooling water. That means either the sea, or a very large river. There are not many rivers large enough.

      --
      Consciousness is an illusion caused by an excess of self consciousness.
  33. Deepwater Horizon by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So obviously we should have the people demanding a moratorium on oil drilling and a massive transition to alternative energy sources after the Deepwater Horizon disaster... Oh, that didn't happen? Well, I see people are as irrational as ever...

  34. That's lumping it together by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Leading questions? You bet!

    How about something besides reactors containing a super-critical mass designed to produce raw materials for nuclear weapons? Oh wait, no one can build any reactor without Leviathan's permission, and Leviathan wants bombs, not safe power.

  35. That will change by Dunbal · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The minute gasoline hits $10/gallon. Crude is still on an up trend and the scary thing is this time it's not a bubble, it's a clear trend.

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re:That will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just some perspective: right now gasoline in Finland is about 1.6 eur/L, which works out to be about $8.5/gallon. Another 15-20% raise would surely cause hand-waving and anger, but I don't think it would actually change anything. And we're not that densely populated, so almost everyone does need a car, except in the biggest (not that big) cities.

      You're just used to really cheap gasoline. If the price were to go $10/gallon, what would you do other than continue buying?

    2. Re:That will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yeah like the 'clear trend' of gold being 1200 an oz. Yeah *no* market manipulation going on there...

    3. Re:That will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This has more to due the dollar falling than the price of oil, oil to gold is trending the same.

    4. Re:That will change by Shadow99_1 · · Score: 1

      Many people could no longer continue to buy... not and have a roof over their heads or food on the table... Yet it's a catch 22, not having money to buy gas means you likely will lose your job and so loose your shelter and food anyway...

      --
      we are all invisible unless we choose otherwise
    5. Re:That will change by Dunbal · · Score: 1
      1200 an oz? OK, I will buy all the gold you can sell me at that price, please.

      The price right now is $1418/oz. You're off by a little.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    6. Re:That will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil has been trending up for a long time. http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=oil+prices

      The pain point for consumers is when gas gets to be about $4/gal.

    7. Re:That will change by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's more than $10 per gallon in the UK already.

  36. Exactly like every oil pumping operation by igomaniac · · Score: 1

    So, Deepwater Horizon (and hundreds of other smaller disasters, still with larger environmental impact than the Fukushima incident) never happened?

    The reality is that nuclear is safer than oil, and yet there is so much fear, It's like airplanes, occasionaly one falls down and people are afraid of flying even though it is 100x safer than driving a car which people do every day without fear.

    --

    The interactive way to Go -- http://www.playgo.to/iwtg/en/
    1. Re:Exactly like every oil pumping operation by node+3 · · Score: 1

      So, Deepwater Horizon (and hundreds of other smaller disasters, still with larger environmental impact than the Fukushima incident) never happened?

      "I'm not bad, look, someone else is bad too!"

      More people will die because of Fukushima than have died due to the Gulf spill. But even falsely assuming parity between the disasters, if we have *two* dangerous fuel sources, does it make sense to advocate increasing our usage of them?

    2. Re:Exactly like every oil pumping operation by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      The reality is that nuclear is safer than oil, and yet there is so much fear, It's like airplanes, occasionaly one falls down and people are afraid of flying even though it is 100x safer than driving a car which people do every day without fear.

      This argument is bullshit.
      The only people dying in oil disasters are the people working at the disaster site. They are free to work on a different job ...
      The people dying in airplane accidents are mainly people using air planes. Again: that is their own fault ... they can travel in a different way.
      By the way: why don't you compare nuclear death with death by heart attack ... it is equally random as throwing in plane accidents which obviously have nothing to do with the topic.
      BUT: in a nuclear disaster like in Japan right now, everyone is involved. Regardless if he is pro or contra nuclear or if he is working there or just living there.
      That is a hugh difference.

      angel'o'sphere

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  37. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by delineal · · Score: 1

    There haven't been any accidents in the USA that resulted in leaked radiation. 60 years of experience suggest that your assertion, "no amount of mitigation makes it a rational chance to take", is incorrect. Experience suggests that in fact risk can be managed. "billions of years" is also incorrect: http://news.softpedia.com/news/Chernobyl-Still-Radioactive-After-23-Years-129912.shtml

    --
    Making the Internet a better place for everyone...Delineal
  38. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by jonescb · · Score: 1

    So we should block out the sun over large cities? The sun gives off more radiation than a nuclear reactor.

  39. moratorium on OLD nuclear reactors by slonik · · Score: 1

    Common sense would suggest a moratorium on the old nuclear reactors of the type used in Fukushima and rapid construction of new safer alternatives which exist. But again, asking for common sense is demanding too much:-)

  40. Nuclear is...you know...nice by rdpratt · · Score: 1

    It's so hard, understandably, to argue for nuclear energy after something like this. No matter what any scientists say the general public will never be able to grasp how relatively safe nuclear power is. So long as we don't construct every single one of them in a region which has it's own damn nickname for how many earthquakes it gets people shouldn't be concerned about it being destroyed by a natural disaster. There are plenty of nuclear power plants in places like the Gulf Coast which are hit, hard, by hurricanes every year. In the end we have no other way of generating power as refined (no pun intended) and readily available as nuclear power.

  41. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...you end up with a disaster that affects the entire world, and has local effects that will last for billions of years.

    Sorry, but that is completely wrong. The danger of a radioactive substance can be effectively measured by its "half-life". Isotopes with a very short half-life emit radiation very quickly (forgetting for this quick post whether we are talking about alpha particles, beta particles, neutron radiation, or gamma rays). Isotopes like U-238 / U-235 with a long half-life (700 million years for U-235 and 4.4 billion years for U-238) don't pose a danger unless they are in just titanic quantities. However something like the particular isotopes of Iodine and Cesium that have been seen at Fukishima have half-lives on the order of days. They are very dangerous, but that danger is short lived. A small quantity of them can definitely kill, but they don't typically last long enough to travel far from the region where they were produced. None of this adds up to "effects that will last for billions of years".

  42. It's not just the incident in Japan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Of course people are going to show less support for nuclear power after the fossil fuel subsidized press gets done with all the fear mongering. You get what you deserve for putting up with that crap.

  43. Can we get some Public Education? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The Public doesn't understand the difference between base-load power generation (coal, oil, nuclear) and electrical generation used to supplement peak demand hours (solar, wind). Base load power generation is what will be demanded in the future with increased in average electricity demand.

    What most don't know either is that coal plants throw up more radioactive material than a nuclear plant does. nuclear plants emit steam... yes... steam. Coal plants emit a plethera of materials, which contains radon (yep, that naturally radioactive substance found in... coal.)

    I encourage everyone to take a look on the nuclear websites that know their facts from fiction (nei.org, nrc.gov, and ansnuclearcafe.org). The NRC site is probably the best tool US citizens can use since they are COMPLETELY DISJOINT from the commercial side. Their number one concern is public safety, and I won't be the first to say that they are fantastic at .

  44. when gas goes to $8/ gallon by circletimessquare · · Score: 1

    americans will find themselves enthusiastic about nuclear power

    oh right, sorry, i forgot, for all of those in denial: cheap easy petroleum will last forever! there is no increasing worldwide demand! supply is not harder to dig up and process! yeah!

    pfffffft

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  45. How much uranium is there anyway? by gatkinso · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I read contradictory statements regarding this topic.

    If the stuff is going to become scarce in 150-200 years or so (these estimates are at current consumption levels but do they really know for sure I doubt it) then I really don't see the point in developing another dead end infrastructure. Esp one that while can be very safe, rarely is in practice (for the usual nontechnical reasons - save money, cut corners, unwisely build in an earthquake zone, ad nauseum).

    I mean sure - that's great for us as individuals (until an earthquake strikes that is), but for once let's not foist a new set of problems on our grandchildren.

    --
    I am very small, utmostly microscopic.
    1. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Perhaps we could use the Nuclear fuel from the weapons that get decommissioned ?

      Also, We could also use Thorium based reactors (Thorium is more in quantity compared to Uranium).

      200 years should be enough to get Solar power up and running efficiently.

    2. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      On the issue of using fuel from dismantled weapons, we've already been doing that for 10 or 20 years - that was part of one of the START treaties. My understanding is that for the past 10 years or so, most of the USA's reactors have been using fuel from destroyed weapons.

      I totally agree, btw - that's a great way to generate peaceful civilian energy - by reducing weapons stockpiles around the world.

      Here's one article.

      Also, Megatons to MegaWatts.

    3. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Anyone who says we are going to run out of uranium is an idiot. It's concentration in ocean water is high enough to last humanity an eternity.

    4. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      5.5 million kgU at $130/kgU (http://www.wise-uranium.org/uod.html), and of course increased demand would increase exploration and prices above $130/kgU would also make more viable.

      Sure, Uranium is a limited resource. But so are the materials used to create solar panels or wind turbines or anything else you can come up with.

      And I have no idea where you got the "rarely [safe] in practice" comment for nuclear. Nuclear has caused very, very, very few fatalities. It's safer than solar (rooftop installations have caused deaths), hydro, wind, etc. (http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html)

    5. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by maxume · · Score: 1

      Fuel limitations for fission plants are largely political, there is technical capacity for repossessing fuel (France actively does it) and breeder reactors are fuel positive. The Japanese have also pulled uranium out of ocean water (at manageable costs, both economic and energy).

      So it might not be the smartest path for energy generation, but people claiming a couple hundred years of fuel are full of it.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    6. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by mcguiver · · Score: 1

      150-200 years is a long time. I believe that widespread use of renewable energy will be viable in the future, the technology just isn't mature/affordable enough right now. I am not sure why there is this idea that the next energy source we deploy has to be valid for the next 1000 years. We can run nuclear for the next 200 years, and remember, the United States isn't even 200 years old. In 200 years we don't know what the technology will be. Even if we pick a "technology of the future" right now, anything we build won't be in use 200 years from now.

      Nuclear is a great choice for right now. It is a mature technology, it is tested, and it has the capacity to meet our energy needs for the next 60-120 years (1-2 generations of plants). In 60 years we can reevaluate technology again and see what makes the most sense. Building new nuclear plants right now doesn't mean that we are committing to nuclear plants for 1000 years.

    7. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by N1AK · · Score: 1

      A solution that lasts for 150 years is a brilliant solution. Our ancestors, in 1860, couldn't hope to produce solutions that would actually last until now. They had a global population of 1.25 billion (there are 6 times as many people now). Not only did they not have the internet, they didn't have phones, they didn't have air mail, in fact the pony express was still expanding!
      If, in the 1860s they'd worried about solutions lasting until now, we'd have an endless supply of hay to feed our horses and lots of oil for our lamps. Nuclear power didn't exist 70 years ago. It almost certainly won't be what our ancestors will be using in 2160 either.

    8. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      There are known reactor designs that can "burn" what is currently considered spent fuel.

      I believe it was possible to supply the entire United States electrical demand for the next 100 years using IFRs and only the amounts of spent fuel we had in 1996 or so when the IFR was cancelled.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    9. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We could mine the earths crust for uranium (any location), extract it and purify it and run it through nuclear reactors for energy and still come ahead in the energy balance.

      that is how powerful the equation E=mc**2 is, the weak nuclear force is very powerful, and it can be utilized in an energy positive manner in 3 ppm concentrations or less. wiki says at 3ppm uranium is 40 times more abundant than silver.

      now the earth is pretty massive, so that is a lot of uranium to mine and use for energy.

    10. Re:How much uranium is there anyway? by cartman · · Score: 1

      Gatkinso, breeder reactors allow us to get 100x more energy out of uranium than we are getting at present. Furthermore, they would allow us to burn the U-238 which is a component of our nuclear waste, and that by itself would provide enough Uranium for over 1000 years. Furthermore, breeder reactors would allow us to mine economically the sparse uranium deposits in Granite which would provide enough Uranium for millions of years.

      With slow neutron reactors, we will eventually run out of Uranium, but with fast neutron reactors we have enough practically forever.

  46. "favor" moratorium by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is nothing compared to how much Germans currently "favor" shutting down any nuclear reactors in reach....

  47. Very poor media coverage by Jubedgy · · Score: 1

    Already been stated a few times, but I'd say that this has probable been driven by very poor media coverage. It is so poor that, as someone who has had several years "exposure" (hah) and training to nuclear reactors, I physically cringe and usually change the channel (or skip the post) when the topic comes up. The "experts" they brought on early on (and continue to do so, I assume) were laughable. I specifically remember one being a journalist who had covered the industry for a couple of years. She had absolutely no idea what was going on, but tossed out the same trash that was being said elsewhere (people exposed to radiation, extremely dangerous and life threatening...CHERNOBYL! THREE MILE ISLAND! 2012!!!~!~!@~!$#@!!!). Most of the others, I vaguely remember being mostly made up of theoretical nuclear physicists, lobbyists of one persuasion or another, and people who dealt in the field of nuclear weapons. Jokes, all of them. How hard would it have been to find an SRO at a running plant to ask questions of? You know, someone how actually has a clue?

    I just wish that they would at least get the verbage right so they wouldn't sound like a retard on a bad day. It's like they've never heard of the term contamination before and just use the term 'radiation' for everything.

    --
    Si hoc legere scis nimium eruditionis hebes
  48. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're an idiot. Chernobyl, the worst nuclear accident man has known, had immediate, serious issues but nothing to the extent portrayed in the media and the results certainly won't last "billions of years". Background radiation is only above safe levels in the immediate vicinity, and bearing in mind this was an ancient (by nuclear standards) reactor with none of the safety mechanisms in place on modern reactors. In fact, had the Chernobyl reactor been based on modern designs, it never would have happened, and reactors are getting safer and safer. Even Fukushima was an old reactor, things would have been much better if it had been a modern reactor, but even there the problems are nowhere near so serious as media is claiming. We've damaged the earth far more in the last thirty years by pumping the smoke from burning coal, gas and oil into the air than the damage caused by every nuclear "disaster" in that period. How is the risk "high" when there have been a handful of notable accidents in the entire lifetime of the nuclear industry? I'd say on those numbers it's incredibly low risk.

  49. Better workers by antifoidulus · · Score: 2

    Seriously? I mean we have people like Homer Simpson working to keep OUR nuclear panner plants safe, how could anything go wrong?

  50. Re:Oh dear. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's about time you welcomed them. They've been here for a while.

  51. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Dude, neither is petroleum
            Deepwater Horizon oil spill (https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Deepwater_Horizon_oil_spill)
    nor coal
            Kingston Fossil Plant coal fly ash slurry spill (https://secure.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/wiki/Kingston_Fossil_Plant_coal_fly_ash_slurry_spill).

    Seriously, we use electricity at an industrial scale, so we generate it at an industrial scale. When things go wrong, they do so at an industrial scale.

  52. Accurate headline by zoomshorts · · Score: 0

    "Non-thinking, ill informed Americans", want a moratorium on nuclear plants. These are basically creationists/anti-vaccine/anti-science people.
    YES, nuclear has problems, BUT we know where the waste is and how to avoid it. It is contained, more or less. Coal gasses go everywhere.
    Tree hugging is nice, when it is well thought out, but most of the responses are knee-jerk anti-something thinking.

  53. HOT jobs; hired goons, math molesters, talknicians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    who said there was hard times to come. hired goons are getting 100k+. math molesters are in the billionerror range, as are the reviled talknicians. as for the royals, they don't need money, so long as they have ours?

    rated R viewer resolve required; http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=lSp-oIOhq00#at=55

    deleted from usmessageboard.com?

  54. Hyman Rickover by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We might want to look towards what Hyman Rickover, the architect of America's Nuclear Navy, did.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyman_G._Rickover

  55. Cleaning up the old ones is very expensive. by leuk_he · · Score: 1

    Clean up (actually: close down and let the radioactivity decay for 50 years) an active reactor is very expensive. This will not get much followers. And i did no see much major proposals to increase safety on current installations (I am not a expert...)

    Prepare for the people that say that closing down reactors is a choice for coal.

    Anyways: (radical) new designs will take years and years. In those same years you can build a lot of water/wind/wave power that is understood.

    Beside that, new reactor types have nothing directly to do with the (un)safety of older reactors. Allowing new (type) reactors will not make old reactors safe or unsafer. Replacing them might, but that would require someone with a lot of knowledge to declare an old reactor as unsafe. If an old reactor is unsafe (against what standard?) it should be closed down anyway, independent of the replacement. I do not see good reasoning skills in your one liner.... ;)

    1. Re:Cleaning up the old ones is very expensive. by Belial6 · · Score: 1

      You are making a false dichotomy between Safe and Unsafe. Nothing is safe. Sitting quitely in hour home doing "nothing" is not "safe". It is always a question of whether the risk out weighs the reward. If you have newer safer than the old design power plants running, you have changed the risk/reward equation for the old plant.

    2. Re:Cleaning up the old ones is very expensive. by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      Or, do not build new (type) reactors because "all nuclear reactors are unsafe if you meet certain conditions" but keep the old ones running since you still need the power they produce and, well, they did not blow up in the last 30-40 years, why should they blow up now?

      Also, big dams can cause bigger problems when they break than nuclear power plants - Banqiao Dam failure killed ~171000 people when it broke down.

    3. Re:Cleaning up the old ones is very expensive. by leuk_he · · Score: 1

      Iterating that nuclear power plants cause less deaths than xxx does not make nuclear safer. It is more a call for safety on other targets.

      You can use statistics to prove anything.

      e.g. less people were radioactive contarminated in the dam breakage than all recent nuclear accidents :)

    4. Re:Cleaning up the old ones is very expensive. by Pentium100 · · Score: 1

      The fact that other power generation methods cause more deaths does not make nuclear safer, but it shows that nuclear is safest of what we have now. Ideally, we should increase the safety of all power generation methods (including nuclear) so none of them cause deaths, but for now, nuclear is safer.

      As for you example, well, since radiation is bad because it negatively affects health (and in turn, life span), I'm pretty sure that I'd rather receive a non-lethal radiation dose than die from drowning.

  56. Conspiracy? by OldIsCool · · Score: 1

    Dunt duh Duuuuuuuuuh!

  57. So where is the call for banning hydro? by John+Hasler · · Score: 1

    Eight more people died when the Fujinuma dam failed in the earthquake than were killed in the nuclear power plant "catastrophe". When is Germany going to start dismantling all dams?

    Not to mention the urgency of laws banning anyone from living withing 10km of the Pacific ocean...

    --
    Warning: this article may contain humor, sarcasm, parody, and perhaps even irony. Read at your own risk.
    1. Re:So where is the call for banning hydro? by confused+one · · Score: 1

      There's a similar lack of information on the oil refineries that burned. How many people died in the fire? How much land was contaminated by the byproducts of the uncontrolled chemical burn raining down? How long will it take for the benzene, toluene, naptha and other organic compounds to decompose in the surrounding farmland?

    2. Re:So where is the call for banning hydro? by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      You forgot Banqiao.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  58. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by hubie · · Score: 1

    and you end up with a disaster that affects the entire world

    I don't think you can defend this statement, unless you are talking about induced fear and panic. The people who do follow-up studies on Chernobyl and Hiroshima find no increased cancer-related deaths. Depending upon the disaster type, you may or may not have long-term localized effects on the environment, but non-local effects do not seem to exist.

    I'm not sure I'd want even relatively low-level radioactive materials being spread about a city in such vast numbers and being accessible to so many people.

    Then close up the coal plants because they put out a lot more radiation than anything else.

  59. Germany too by Xelios · · Score: 2

    It's happening here in Germany too. The CDU just lost a state in the west (Baden-Württemberg) for the first time in 58 years, and they lost it basically to the Green Party which managed to triple their support because of what happened in Japan. Not to mention the anti-nuclear protests going on in cities across the country.

    Speaking to people around me it's clear very few people actually know anything about nuclear power, outside of what they pick up in the 6 o'clock news. Most have no idea that there's even more than one type of reactor, much less that there's some pretty significant safety differences between them. It just amazes me that in an age where nicely summarized information on any topic is just a few clicks away people don't at least invest one or two hours of their lives to educate themselves before they form an opinion on something. If someone knows even just a little about pebble bed reactors, nuclear reprocessing, molten salt reactors, safety deficiencies in the old Mark I light water reactors at Fukushima etc, and they're still against nuclear power then I can respect that. Just make an effort, that's not too much to ask is it?

    --
    Murphey's fighting Occam, and we're in the stands.
    1. Re:Germany too by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      <sarcasm>Yeah, that pebble bed reactor in Jülich worked just fine, as did the one in Hamm.</sarcasm>

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    2. Re:Germany too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hey, but at least you've educated yourself about it. Better than just randomly accepting whatever the talking heads told you on the 6 o'clock news.

    3. Re:Germany too by fritsd · · Score: 1

      I don't think Americans understand your comment, you have to provide Wikipedia links to show the full horror of the (forgotten) stories.
      Let me just say I agree with you that nuclear reactor company management is much less to be trusted than nuclear reactor design, and I totally agree with the S-W-German population in light of the Germans' actual real experiences with nuclear power management in the past 30 years. Also: Kernwasser Wunderland ;-)
      When is the AVR in Jülich going to be cleaned up? 2080? or somewhere next century when there's (of course) budget for it?

      --
      To be, or not to be: isn't that quite logical, Slashdot Beta?
    4. Re:Germany too by mlts · · Score: 1

      There are heavy interests worldwide which want to shut down nuclear power:

      1: Big Oil/Big Coal. The "good" coal is all used up. We are using lignite coal in most plants which is the bottom of the barrel when it comes to impurities. It is pretty simple -- nuclear power takes off, coal goes to the wayside, because with effective power plants, who wants to throw toxic chemicals into the atmosphere?

      2: "Environmentalists". These tend to be group #1's puppets. In reality, nuclear power is something people who value the environment should champion.

      3: People who like the status quo.

      Because of this, the press tends to whip people into a frenzy. I remember a death at a nuclear power plant some years ago. The news essentually reported, "OMGWTFBBQ, a guy died in a nuclear power plant while welding, we need to shut these down NOW or else we will all be glowing!" The fact: The guy was MIG welding with argon, not following any safety procedures, especially ones about adequately ventilation, the argon pushed the oxygen out of the area, and the guy bit it. This had -nada- to do with nukes in any way, shape, or form. Had this been some bonehead welding in an enclosed space in a metal shop, the only real press reports would have been an obituary, and a back page news article.

      All stuff aside, we (as in mankind) need nuclear power. Until fusion becomes commercially available [1], splitting the atom is the best we have, and the US Navy, Toshiba, and other places can show this can be done in a safe and well done way. We already have went past peak coal; energy is just going to get more expensive.

      To boot, with nuclear power, there are tasks too energy inefficient to be done now that can be easily done with smaller reactors nearby: Large scale desalination of seawater to pump inland for irrigation and thermal depolymerization of trash in the Pacific Gyre for useful petroleum for plastic making would be just a few ideas.

      [1]: It would be nice to see fission, but so far, other than incremental things (a tad more efficient containment field here, a fusion core remaining active for a few more attoseconds there), there have been no real advances in getting it into a commercially usable reactor form since the 1950s. We still have yet to pass the "get more usable energy out than we put in" barrier, much less even close to the "get enough usable energy out to sustain the reaction indefinitely" stage.

  60. Government lies make this discussion difficult. by cryfreedomlove · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Any chance safe nuclear power has is set back when governments lie about risks or the extent of any accidents. The USSR government lied about the safety of nuclear plants and then lied to cover up the extent of Chernobyl. Residents of the Ukraine heard about the disaster from the BBC days before their own government. I heard this first hand from friends of mine who lived in Kiev at the time. The government and power company in Japan is lying through omission about the extent of the ongoing danger in Japan. They have only been forthcoming when outed by foreign media.

    I like nuclear power. I think it is safer than belching radioactivity into the air from burning coal. However, nuclear power has a long track record of official deception and lies that will make it harder to have a reasonable discussion about moving ahead with safe and zero carbon nuclear options in the future.

    1. Re:Government lies make this discussion difficult. by confused+one · · Score: 1

      Part of that's because of the PR nightmare the discussion always becomes and management's desire to avoid that at all cost. Unfortunate. If you open a news conference with "There was a release of radioactive steam..." it is nearly impossible to get across the point that the effective dose for someone within one mile will be equivalent to eating one or two bananas.

    2. Re:Government lies make this discussion difficult. by js_sebastian · · Score: 1

      Any chance safe nuclear power has is set back when governments lie about risks or the extent of any accidents. The USSR government lied about the safety of nuclear plants and then lied to cover up the extent of Chernobyl. Residents of the Ukraine heard about the disaster from the BBC days before their own government. I heard this first hand from friends of mine who lived in Kiev at the time.

      I saw a documentary on Chernobyl on German TV the other day. In Ukraine, they had a May day parade (on may 1st, Chernobyl was April 26th) with everyone out in the open where who knows how many people were contaminated, presumably leading to increased risk of cancer. There are no official photos of the parade: they were all destroyed, the documentary was showing the photos some guy had made.

    3. Re:Government lies make this discussion difficult. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      USSR didn't lie - they just didn't say anything.

      It is not possible to hide radiation - you can easily detect it. I'm talking you can detect individual atoms leaking. Coal on the other hand, leaks millions of tons of shit into the air, and now EPA says that they will impose emissions caps for mercury and a few other carcinogenic heavy metals, and the coal is up in arms because it will cost them $10+ billion. Why don't you think that coal is lying then?

      Keep in mind that world coal usage has doubled in last 2 decades. The entire "environmental movement" is a sad sad joke.

    4. Re:Government lies make this discussion difficult. by mlts · · Score: 1

      Nuclear power is a must, but there is one failing about it:

      With today's technology, it needs an unbroken chain of custody, from the designers, to the material makers, to the manufacturers, to the architects building the facility, to the people maintaining it, to the people charged with its decommission. Break any link in the chain, and you have a disaster on your hands.

      Here lies the problem: A lot of contractors are of the "lowest bidder" type. You know, people who can't ground showerheads, so service personnel end up getting electrocuted to death.

      If we have problems with bathroom fixtures being not installed right, how can we trust contractors who are hired because they bid the lowest to try to build it right? Nothing keeps them from making a reactor head out of pot metal, and pretending it is useful... and when it melts, the company just goes bankrupt, with large golden parachutes for all the officers.

      This is a matter of policy and procedure: How do we get people who build and maintain the plants to actually do a job, as opposed to doing the barest minimum they can get away with? Other nations don't have this problem. Some company botches a Chinese reactor, the company's officers will be executed. Perhaps a branch of the military should do this, so the responsibility is not just civil, but criminal, so higher-ups are more motivated to do the job right, as opposed to cheaply.

    5. Re:Government lies make this discussion difficult. by YackoYak · · Score: 1

      However, [nuclear, coal, fossil fuel, hydro] power has a long track record of official deception and lies that will make it harder to have a reasonable discussion about moving ahead with safe and zero carbon nuclear options in the future.

      I don't know of any significant scientific advancements (those that have the potential of affecting a large part of the population) that are holding an open "reasonable" discussion. Actually, it would make me feel better if anyone could think of examples and prove me wrong. I see this in many facets of life - from politics to online forums. How do you encourage vetting of many ideas while discouraging spreading of FUD, noise, and false information. Who decides what is beneficial if the majority doesn't have all the facts or the capacity to make an informed decision? If one person is a filter, is it still a debate?

      I think the problem is related to motivation and not knowledge/technology or even economics (although where does greed come into play?). If you could somehow motivate & focus people to solve today's problems using only today's tech (discounting R&D), we would already be much further along. How do you force people to care about more than just themselves?

      I say this as an engineer. A part of me holds out for creating the product / process that changes the world. Lately I've been thinking that the only way of doing that (and being successful at making a large impact), is to give it away for free so no one can buy, subvert, or manipulate it for their own benefit.

  61. So a forty year reactor design by Shivetya · · Score: 1

    mostly survives a disaster it wasn't designed to cope with coupled with inept management and regulation?

    If anything it seems like nuclear power is the way to go.

    --
    * Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
    1. Re:So a forty year reactor design by Sique · · Score: 2

      One could spin the same question in the other direction:
      So there was a reactor running in a zone known to be exposed to tsunamis, which was not even designed to widthstand a tsunami? And the first tsunami to ever hit it managed to take out the cooling power and the backup cooling power too with one stroke? And the third cooling system managed to keep going for how long? 1.5 hrs? We have a flawly designed reactor at a flawly chosen place. We have been so lucky that nothing happened for 40 years.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    2. Re:So a forty year reactor design by Kreigaffe · · Score: 1

      Pretty sure it was supposed to survive a tsunami -- are you aware of exactly how HUGE this earthquake and tsunami were? very, very large. strangely large. abnormally large. if you had said this was coming 3 months ago people would have called you crazy -- sure, an earthquake, tsunami, sure, but this was the biggest earthquake to ever hit japan, one of the biggest EVER RECORDED, the tsunami was also of unusual size.

      I'm not saying things went great considering, but considering? things could have been much worse. the plants were hit with something that nobody ever expected, least of all 40 years ago when the plants were built.

      modern designs may well have survived the quake and tsunami unscathed.

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    3. Re:So a forty year reactor design by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet it's still barely even a hazard to the local populace.

    4. Re:So a forty year reactor design by lingon · · Score: 1

      One could spin the same question in the other direction: So there was a reactor running in a zone known to be exposed to tsunamis, which was not even designed to widthstand a tsunami?

      Yes it was, however IIRC it was only engineered to withstanda three metre tsunami and not a (what is it now?) 15 metre one which no one seemed to be able to imagine happening.

      And the first tsunami to ever hit it managed to take out the cooling power and the backup cooling power too with one stroke?

      I don't think it was the first tsunami to ever hit it (see above) but the first tsunami to be that much higher than the height of the tsunami barrier since the 1960s

      And the third cooling system managed to keep going for how long? 1.5 hrs?

      The backup batteries lasted for eight hours, precisely what they were engineered to do. However, considering that all infrastructure in a helluva radius had been washed away, bringing in backup generators proved to be a bit more problematic.

      We have a flawly designed reactor at a flawly chosen place. We have been so lucky that nothing happened for 40 years.

      You could be right, but we can actually figure out just how lucky (or unlucky) we've been in the last 40 years and draw our conclusions from facts when the disaster is over. The correct way of doing this is re-engineering existing and future power plants using the experience we can get from Fukushima.

    5. Re:So a forty year reactor design by Sique · · Score: 2

      I am surrounded by events no one ever expected. My hometown was hit in 2002 by a flood that was higher than any records ever, and flooding records for my hometown go back about 300 years. There was an underground shelter used for artifacts of the museum, with a flood protection that was built 30" higher than the highest flood ever recorded (which was 150 years ago), just to be sure -- and this one proved to be insufficient.

      So we can conclude: Shit happens. Don't expect any design to be sufficient. Disaster worse than the worst ones we ever had can happen. If you want to assess the risk of anything, you should also assess the risk that all builtin protection fails. Every security that is founded on limited designs is only temporary.

      --
      .sig: Sique *sigh*
    6. Re:So a forty year reactor design by dwillden · · Score: 1

      You are failing to address the scope of the quake and tsunami. The reactor was designed for an 8.0 quake, that would have been stronger than there was any record of occurring in the vicinity of the reactor, it handled a 9.0 perfectly, with no breaches and an automatic scram of the reactor cores. Let me state that again These reactors handled a 9.0 perfect perfectly, performing an automatic scram of the reactor core as designed. In addition the plant was designed for a 3 meter Tsunami, again based on the worst case the experts could define 40 years ago when the plant was built. It was hit by a 7 meter Tsunami, and the plant again survived just fine, except for the one key failure in this event. The back-up generators and their fuel did not survive the tsunami and thus the cooling system failed.

      This plant survived a disaster far worse than the worst case imagined possible when it was built. Only the loss of the generators prevented this plant from surviving the disasters. It's sister plant a few km away did survive with little problem.

      Yes there was a failure that resulted in damage to the buildings and release of short lived radioactive isotopes. But compared to what the plant survived, it did very well.

      Now consider that this plant is 40 years old. Since it was built we've had TMI and Chernobyl, plant designs have changed and improved. This event will lead to future improvements. If anything this should push for greater investment in new reactors so we can replace the old ones.

      --
      I'm too lazy to compose a creative sig.
  62. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Ascylon · · Score: 1

    Chernobyl was not human error, it was deliberate sabotage in the most Soviet way imaginable in a reactor that was inherently unsafe. As for Fukushima, the only global effect it has had is political, and even though the local effects within around 20km or so can be considered hazardous, it's a far cry from a serious disaster like the earthquake that caused the problems. It's only a serious disaster from the standpoint of nuclear reactor safety, not from the standpoint of environment (except perhaps for the very short term, like weeks) or human health. Most of the radioactive particles released have a short half-life (Mainly Iodine-131 at 8 days) which means that the radioactivity will go down relatively quickly.

    In the long run deaths from Fukushima will likely number in the single digits, if not at exactly 0, and considering that the nuclear plant itself was obsolete and not designed to withstand the kind of disaster it faced, I consider that a testament to the safety of nuclear power.

    "Local effects that will last for billions of years" is trollish bs, and now that I'm writing this I have the feeling that I have been feeding one.

  63. which kind of nuclear? by nten · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Fusion is a great long term proposition, even if we never learn how to make a reactor other than the one we are orbiting, but I think we will. The thorium won't run out before we figure out fusion. But right now we need to be worried about if fossil fuels will run out before we get the thorium reactors built, not whether they will be prone to the same incidents seen in 30yr old reactors essentially designed as nuclear weapons refineries.

    --
    refactor the law, its bloated, confusing and unmaintainable.
    1. Re:which kind of nuclear? by g00ey · · Score: 1

      Also remember that the fission reactors are developed apart from the existing reactors that are based on an over 50 years old technology (well most of them are anyway). The next generation reactors use technology that can extract considerably more energy from the same fissile material than the current reactors can. What is nuclear waste today can be used as fuel in these reactors and the current amount of fissile fuel in circulation is said to be able to supply us with as much energy as currently being produced (before the tsunami) for at least another 100 years. The waste material from these reactors have a much shorter half life than the current nuclear waste and only needs to be stored in a safe place for decades and not millennia.

      I have seen (breeder) constructions that should be safer than the current reactors. The principle behind this safety is that there needs to be an active regulatory system to keep the reaction alive. If the system fails the reaction will die off without complications other than the difficulty to revive the process again.

      The major problem with the next generation nuclear technology is that there is no economic incentives as it is cheaper to design and build old generation reactors. It is capitalism at its best indeed...

      The procurement and excavation for uranium material is actually of great environmental concern as open pit mines totally destroys the landscape. If some company finds uranium in the mountains of Arizona there will no longer be a Grand Canyon. But there are other more environmentally friendly ways to extract uranium. There is a lot of it in the sea water and it is estimated that it costs about 5 times as much to extract it from the sea water than it does to get it by an open-pit mine. The nice thing in this crow song is that this additional cost has an almost negligible effect on the cost of producing electricity from nuclear energy.

      Let's hope Andrea Rossi's cold fusion process will work, then we will have another viable alternative to the fission reaction process. According to him this fusion process does not produce any radioactive material.

      Also note that nuclear reactors can be used to produce other things than just electricity. Apart from the obvious byproduct of heat it can also be used to make hydrogen to normal combustion engine cars. There are technologies that allows this hydrogen to be absorbed into a nanofoam material that can be mixed into the gasoline and be used as fuel in normal cars. Hydrogen is a lot more emission friendly than any other type of fuel that can be used in a combustion/fuel cell engine (such as DME, Eco/BioPar, Fischer-Tropsh Diesel, FAME, RME, Methanol, Ethanol, LPG, CMG, ...). I think it's about time that we leave the Middle East and their oil to their fate...

    2. Re:which kind of nuclear? by jd · · Score: 1

      Fusion reactors would produce helium-4, which is stable. Wouldn't matter too much if that leaked, but the flight attendents in the aircraft overhead might start squeaking.

      Fusion reactions also extinguish easily, which is why creating a sustained one is so much of a problem. Sustaining a fission reation merely requires the radioisotopes are nearby. A fusion reactor should never be able to go critical.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re:which kind of nuclear? by SnowZero · · Score: 1

      The way I see it: Gen3 now, LFR tomorrow, LFTR soon, Fusion when practical.

      There's not much "throwaway" research here even with all of these steps, as each of the latter three need research from the former to be practical. Sadly, our current policy seems to be something akin to the Wright Brothers saying "let's just go straight to building Moon rockets!"

  64. It is an engineering problem by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1
    One of the biggest engineering problems is getting people to do adequate risk assessments. Most of the population of the developed world hasn't got a clue about it - but they are allowed to make decisions on engineering projects.

    Here in the UK we have a joint assessment of the risks of new nuclear plant, with public involvement. People don't participate, even "environmental activists". But, at the end , they will announce their own opinions in a fact-free way. Stupidity - the inability to see the connections or lack thereof between the real world and your opinion - truly is a social engineering problem of vast proportions that will probably be the thing that wipes us out as a species.

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
  65. LWR vs HWR by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fukushima is a light water reactor

    If it was a heavy water reactor such as the ones used in Ontario Canada eg. Bruce, Darlington and Pickering (Darlington and Pickering are right on lake Ontario BTW) the events at Fukushima would not of happened.

    difference is a LWR requires mechanics to control the reaction, HWR requires mechanics to keep the reaction going. To shutdown a HWR just drain the modulator out of the core and no explosion is possible

    (sorry just woke up and 1/2 alseep as I type this)

  66. Thorium, and Breeding. . . by JSBiff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I decided to try to start learning about nuclear power a little over a year ago, driven mostly by concerns about waste disposal, and safety.

    One of the things I've learned is that current reactor designs only use a tiny, tiny percent of fuel potential of the Uranium - basically, about 1 percent.

    So, one option is that we keep using the current fuel cycle for another 150-200 years, then when Uranium gets scarce, we start using breeder reactors, which 'unlock' the fuel potential of the remaining 99% of the Uranium which remains in our 'spent fuel' and 'depleted uranium' tailings.

    With breeder reactor technology, after extracting 1% of the energy for about 250 years (we've already been using reactors for over 50 years, so the clock has already started), we should be able to get something like 99 * 250 years times more energy (assuming energy consumption levels remain about the same; that's a dubious assumption, but provides at least a good starting point; it also assumes the breeders can consume the full 99% of remaining U-238, which might not, in practice, actually be true - there might be some 'losses' in the process, but we should at least be able to extract a large percentage of what remains).

    So, that might be something like 20,000 more years worth of power from that Uranium.

    Then there's Thorium. Thorium is a metal which is 4 or 5 times more abundant in the earth's crust than Uranium is. Right now, Thorium is a mostly useless 'waste' product from mining operations extracting other rare-earth elements (like Neodymium which is used for very strong permanent magnets in high-tech equipment, including those little earbud speakers for your phone/mp3 player, some designs of electric wind turbines, hard drives [I think], or anything which needs very strong magnets).

    Thorium would most likely be used in a type of reactor called a LFTR (most folks pronounce that as "lifter"), which is the Liquid Fluoride Thorium Reactor. A LFTR very efficiently burns the Thorium, extracting virtually 100% of the available energy, so we should have something on the order of 100,000's of years of energy supply using Thorium.

    In the end though, we'll probably be using fusion power long before those eventualities. It's hard to say for sure, but I would think that at most, we'll only be using fission reactors for another 100-200 years anyhow.

    1. Re:Thorium, and Breeding. . . by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      Fusion may be really close. Or, it might be a hundred or two hundred years away.

      There's a fusion reactor concept called a polywell (sometimes called a wiffle ball, because the devices looks a bit like a wiffle ball), which the Navy has been testing for the past couple years.

      If that concept works out, we might have a working net-power fusion plant in as soon as 5 years. Or it could be 200 or 300 years away. Who knows.

    2. Re:Thorium, and Breeding. . . by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      err why not just use HWRs. they cost more to build but run cheaper.

    3. Re:Thorium, and Breeding. . . by sincewhen · · Score: 1

      In the end though, we'll probably be using fusion power long before those eventualities. It's hard to say for sure, but I would think that at most, we'll only be using fission reactors for another 100-200 years anyhow.

      But that isn't how these things work out. If said reactors were built, with few mishaps and everyone is happy, why would anyone spend much money researching fusion reactors?
      Inertia is a powerful force.

      --
      -- Braden's law of data: All data spends some of its lifetime in an excel spreadsheet.
    4. Re:Thorium, and Breeding. . . by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      Well, you're right to a point. . . it ends up depending on whether fusion is substantially cheaper or not.

      For example, if Polywell works (which I cannot claim I know if it will or not), it is believed a polywell reactor might cost something like $100-$200 Million to build a power plant which is equivalent in output to a $6 Billion+ light water reactor.

      I've heard thorium is supposed to be similarly cheap though, (in the ballpark of $200M, that is), though, so Thorium might have a possibility to take away the impetus for fusion research if it really is that cheap, for a few thousand years.

  67. A link for info about LFTR by JSBiff · · Score: 2

    I forgot to include a link I was intending to, in my previous post.

    If you would like more information about Thorium reactors, check out:

    http://www.energyfromthorium.com.

  68. heat differences = wind by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    really funny.
    1/without friction on the surface of the earth (think trees, mountains, plants, ...) to take energy out of the wind, windspeed would be MUCH greater.
    2/180 at the equator and -200 at the poles would produce large pressure differences. = wind.

  69. The myth of total safety and some other truths by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Current levels of radiation outside the plant can only be said to increase cancer risks if you use the Linear no Threshold (LNT) theory of radiation exposure, one that has no real basis in science. Our bodies are pretty good at fixing low-level cellular damage as long as the repair mechanisms aren't overwhelmed.

    Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are not completely safe. There are deaths attributed to wind power generation, for example. Nothing is completely safe. Total safety is an utter myth.

    Fission power can be made a lot safer than coal, oil, natural gas, or any other baseline power source we currently use. It will likely be many decades, if ever, when we can figure out how to use wind, solar, or geothermal as baseline power, so you can't really use that as an argument.

    1. Re:The myth of total safety and some other truths by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Current levels of radiation outside the plant can only be said to increase cancer risks if you use the Linear no Threshold (LNT) theory of radiation exposure, one that has no real basis in science. Our bodies are pretty good at fixing low-level cellular damage as long as the repair mechanisms aren't overwhelmed.

      I'm not talking about an increase in background radiation (which did exceed a minimum safe threshold in same areas). I'm talking about people being exposed to highly radioactive elements following the hydrogen explosion.

      Solar, wind, and hydrothermal are not completely safe. There are deaths attributed to wind power generation, for example. Nothing is completely safe. Total safety is an utter myth.

      Yes, it's a total myth. Fortunately no one is claiming otherwise. If a wind turbine collapses, it only kills the people it lands on, and doesn't cause deaths decades down the line.

      Fission power can be made a lot safer than coal, oil, natural gas, or any other baseline power source we currently use. It will likely be many decades, if ever, when we can figure out how to use wind, solar, or geothermal as baseline power, so you can't really use that as an argument.

      *Can* be, except for accidents and improper procedures, which are far more devastating with radioactive material than with fossil fuels.

      Also, nuclear can't replace fossil fuels either. It's a dangerous power source, and there's no reason to heap it upon an already unsafe industry.

  70. new and safe VS old and dodgy by petes_PoV · · Score: 4, Insightful
    Without new reactors, the old ones will be kept in service for longer. So instead of having new installations - complete with all the design improvements and safety features that have been invented in the past few decades, the old reactors from the 70s and 80s will have to be kept running for longer - well past their original design life.

    The alternative is to switch them off, and go back to using oil and gas from foreign sources and coal fired stations. While people *think* nuclear is unsafe, coal mining is *proven* to be unsafe. Just consider the number of miners killed every year.

    Somehow, public opinion has managed to come up with the worst possible solution, by not thinking through the consequences of the soundbite press and media and knee-jerk decisions it promotes.

    --
    politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
    1. Re:new and safe VS old and dodgy by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      So you are comparing a complete lack of following safety protocols in coal mining companies with the lack of deaths of workers at nuclear power plants?
      Wouldn't it be better to compare coal mines to uranium mines and coal plants with nuclear plants?
      Perhaps it would also be more relevant to compare what happens to the surrounding environments of coal plants compared with nuclear plants. At least then one would be talking about comparable things. Otherwise it seems like cherry picking.

      Of course one can always talk about what happens on an industry wide basis I suppose from a longitudinal standpoint, but then we don't really have any references for what will be the total cost in several hundred or thousand years for each of these industries.

      I suppose that is the crux of the issue. Nobody knows the longer term consequences and that means people might be reasonably wary of such things.

  71. "billions of years" by Kupfernigk · · Score: 1

    Exactly. You *can't* plan for it. So why would you put such dangerous materials into operation in such a place? The reactors in Fukushima took what was a local and temporary event, and turned it into an event that affected the entire planet, and will have effects spanning billions of years.

    You know you just lost all credibility when you posted that?

    --
    From scarped cliff or quarried stone she cries "A thousand types are gone, I care for nothing, no not one."
    1. Re:"billions of years" by node+3 · · Score: 1

      Exactly. You *can't* plan for it. So why would you put such dangerous materials into operation in such a place? The reactors in Fukushima took what was a local and temporary event, and turned it into an event that affected the entire planet, and will have effects spanning billions of years.

      You know you just lost all credibility when you posted that?

      You know you just lost all credibility when you failed to back up your claim with any substance?

      Radioactive elements were ejected into the atmosphere by the huge hydrogen explosion. Locally, heavier elements were strewn into the environment. These elements will remain in the area for billions of years.

    2. Re:"billions of years" by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      And reduce in radioactivity quicker than you think, not billions of years, that was his point.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    3. Re:"billions of years" by node+3 · · Score: 1

      And reduce in radioactivity quicker than you think, not billions of years, that was his point.

      You are completely incorrect. I'm fully aware that the cesium and iodine don't lost billions of years, but the uranium and plutonium most certainly do.

      The radioactive iodine doesn't last very long, but the cesium does (it will last longer than anyone alive today).

  72. Can anything go wrong? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Don't worry americans... according to 30% of you this was Gods retribution. So you got nothing to worry about. Do you?

  73. safe reactors in pickering still leaking.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    into lake ontario, like we read last weak? so the stuff is drinkable? that's great, with the light potable water disappearing so fast, & all the death, debt & destruction the unclear water prevents?

  74. Americans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Americans are fat, dumb and lazy. I'm sure these are the same Americans polled in the survey by ORC. Not all Americans ARE fat dumb and lazy. It is our job to inform the majority that with the proper precautions, nuclear energy a viable and safe energy source.

  75. I am not in favor of restricting new reactors by Grand+Facade · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I am in favor of making the people that run them directly responsible for the consequences. They can't be allowed to profit and then go "aw gee what happened?".

    --
    Rick B.
  76. Shills or arm chair engineers? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Whenever nuclear comes up, there's an amazingly energetic crowd around here, throwing around the new cool designs "TWR", "Pebble", "Thorium", whatever -- which are supposed to solve all of our problems, somehow.

    I'll tell you something: the engineering might even be feasible, but in the end, the older (and less maintained) such a behemoth is, the higher the margins. So those things tend to be shoved into ecoonomic constructs which are forced to cut corner by corner.

    Regulations? If there's enough money at stake, it just pays off to buy them.

    Where does this crowd come from?

  77. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    Nuclear power is simply not worth the risk on any large scale. All it takes is one accident, either human error (Chernobyl) or natural disaster (Fukushima), and you end up with a disaster that affects the entire world, and has local effects that will last for billions of years.

    As opposed to, say, coal, where the day to day operations affect the entire world?

    I'm not sure how the fact that coal causes pollution somehow makes nuclear not dangerous.

    Instead of increasing the danger (i.e., building more nuclear plants, which is what so many predictable Slashdotters will favor), why not work on moving off of coal (and existing nuclear plants) to cleaner sources of power?

  78. Nuclear is the only reliable option... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    unfortunately, most Americans are clueless when it comes to reactor technology. There are inherently safe designs which cannot have the type of accident presently in the news. They cannot because of the laws of physics - it is that simple. Unfortunately, light-water nuclear reactors are a nightmare, and what is occurring in Japan is due to the fact that people haven't embraced the new technologies - and the old ones built years ago are still in service when they should have been retired long ago, because there is no replacement option.

    Personally, I think they should take them off line - when people start freezing to death and there are rotating brown-outs and black-outs, people will start screaming for something reliable, which is nuclear. All of the so called green technologies are a fantasy... You never get something for nothing, although breeder reactors come as close as you can possibly get.

  79. Best Bet? by wytcld · · Score: 3, Informative

    Thing is, with nuclear, you don't want a bet, you need a sure thing, at least in safety. GE has lately been pointing out about the Mark I reactor design, that they've run for 40 years without a major mishap. That's with 23 in the US, and how many others abroad? Let's pretend in total there are 40 of them. Then of 40 Mark I reactors over 40 years only 6 have partially melted down! If we project that out to a century, there will only be a 37.5% failure rate for this design. What, you say they won't run for a century? But the NRC has recertified the plant of this design in Vermont for another 20 years, and issued that after the Japan meltdowns. Surely if they can recertify it now, they can do it twice more.

    This is a design over which 3 top GE engineers resigned in the 70s, saying it was unsafe. The AEC at the same time considered ordering all Mark I plants shut down, but declined to because of the political implications for atomic power. And that containment vessel that's been leaking in the Japanese Mark 1s? In the US they're routinely packed with 5 times the spent fuel they were engineered to hold safely, while in Japan they are only at 2-3 times engineered capacity.

    Nothing to see here, folks. Move along.

    --
    "with their freedom lost all virtue lose" - Milton
    1. Re:Best Bet? by Kreigaffe · · Score: 2

      Going by that logic nobody should be using cars, because 40 years ago somebody made some car of questionable safety.

      --
      ... still waiting for this free-as-in-beer free beer I keep hearing about. :|
    2. Re:Best Bet? by maxume · · Score: 1

      There are only 3 reactors in 'meltdown', not 6.

      And the spent fuel pools aren't containment vessels, they are more like swimming pools. In the buildings that lost their roofs, the pools are exposed to the atmosphere.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    3. Re:Best Bet? by Yunzil · · Score: 1

      Then of 40 Mark I reactors over 40 years only 6 have partially melted down! If we project that out to a century, there will only be a 37.5% failure rate for this design.

      Protip: "Meltdown" doesn't mean "killed everyone in a 50-mile radius and rendered the area uninhabitable for a thousand years."

    4. Re:Best Bet? by dwillden · · Score: 1

      Don't forget that the Japanese plant meltdowns happened in response to an earthquake and Tsunami double whammy, both of which disasters were far larger than thought possible in those areas. The fact is the reactors survived an earthquake massively more powerful than it was designed for, which design was based on the worst case scenario. The Tsunami taking out the back-up generators was where the system failed. The reactors as designed worked flawlessly and scrammed automatically. The problem was the siting of the generators and fuel supply that wasn't able to survive a tsunami several meters higher than was thought possible. Did this show flaws in what they planned to be able to survive? Absolutely, and we can do better. And newer reactor technologies are better, not needing an external power source to maintain cooling. Fix that one aspect, and this disaster never happened.

      --
      I'm too lazy to compose a creative sig.
    5. Re:Best Bet? by lazy+genes · · Score: 0
    6. Re:Best Bet? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Or maybe we would be like Cuba. They have been stuck running and patching up the same American cars from the 40's and 50's since they can import the newest ones from the US.

    7. Re:Best Bet? by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      If a car crashes, 2 people (or 4 or 5, maybe a bit more) die. If a nuclear plant "crashes" quite a bit more happens than that.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    8. Re:Best Bet? by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      Can't they import new ones from China? (Tangent)

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    9. Re:Best Bet? by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      It's not quite a double whammy when the cause of both is the same, is it? I mean it's not like two totally separate events, like the stock market crashing + the Yankees winning/losing.

      The wasn't caused by a strong gale. It was water pushed around by the earthquake. So basically, it was an earthquake near a body of water.

      The next question is: how many nuke plants are located near a body of water. Answer: many, because they need to dissipate heat. Diablo Canyon, in California, for one.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
    10. Re:Best Bet? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Does cuba have money? I thought they lived mostly on susbsidies from russia. But again I plead ignorance.

    11. Re:Best Bet? by Compaqt · · Score: 1

      I think they have a little money now that they're farming out Mexican Gulf oil contracts (for deep water exploration) to non-US companies.

      --
      I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  80. SHEEP do not understand! by p51d007 · · Score: 0

    Every 10 years or so, something happens, and the stupid public sees the movie "China syndrome" in their minds. Even though there is a possibility of something happening, 99% of the time, nothing ever does. The plants in the USA are so overbuilt, and are not placed in an area where a 30 foot wave of water could swamp them, the stupid public gets its panties in a wad every time something happens overseas to a nuke plant. If the USA wants reliable energy, then they are going to have to get it from oil...oh wait...the idiots won't let us drill for oil. Ok, let's try coal...oh wait...the idiots won't lets us mine all of the coal we have. Ok...then there is wind & solar.... oh wait....the wind doesn't always blow & the sun doesn't always shine. Well, then there is hydro power....oh wait, I forgot, they won't let us build dams either. Get the picture? This country has its hands tied due to the PETA/Enviro nut jobs to the point that we can't do anything! Well, if you won't let us build nuke plants, then freeze to death in the dark, and get over it!

    1. Re:SHEEP do not understand! by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Plenty of oil is being drilled for and mined right now. Neither drilling nor mining has stopped.

      This idea that we have to get at all of everything right now does a disservice to future generations. By what right do we get to use all of the easily accessible hydrocarbons on the planet? We are terribly greedy in thinking it only belongs to our generation and we need to use it up right in our own generation.

      Nuclear fuel is the same way. Perhaps 3 billion years ago nuclear fuel was plentiful on our planet. Not so much now.

      One of the biggest solutions to our energy problem is learning to do with less. We could cut our need in 1/2 if we would just work at trying to use less. And it would be a lot easier than trying to drill or mine our way out given limited resources.

  81. The nuclear safety paradox by JSBiff · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I think that opponents of nuclear power create a bit of a paradox by opposing *new* nuclear power plants:

    By opposing the construction of new nuclear power plants, whose designs benefit from decades of experience gained with older designs, knowledge about their failure modes, ways to improve cooling with passive cooling systems, etc, you effectively act to keep older, less safe nuclear power plants in operation longer.

    So, would you rather be living near a newer, safer plant, or an older, slightly less safe (but still, mostly safe - it took a massive earthquake and tsunami to take out those old Mk 1's in Fukushima) plant?

    That said, I certainly think we should (and I'm positive we will) do extensive investigation and analysis of the problems at Fukushima Daiichi, find what lessons can be learned from that, and apply those lessons to both existing, and new reactors.

    But it's worth repeating: opposing new nuclear will likely have the effect of keeping older nuclear online longer than it would if there were new nuclear plants built to replace the old ones.

    1. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I live in a small country (Switzerland), we do have a few nuclear power plants, and one major accident may result in almost the whole *country* having to evacuate. Would I like to do that?

      Obviously, nobody wants to live near *any* nuclear plant. Not old, not new. When the old plants were built, they were supposed to be safe. Now, it looks like they are not, otherwise there would have been *no* accidents. After Chernobyl, experts said it was because of the 'type' of reactor (Russian design...). But if even a rich country such as Japan can't control the risks, can we? Probably not. People lose faith in nuclear power because the reality doesn't match the promises.

      How do we know for sure that newer plants are safer? We don't. How do we know a new version of some software has less bugs than an older version? In advance, we don't. After the fact, we do, but that might already be too late. Also, you can't guarantee 100% security even with a newer plant. And you need 100%, because one accident would extremely costly and dangerous, unlike other facilities. Wind turbine falling down? No big deal. Dam break? Well, yes, but at least you can return later.

      > it took a massive earthquake and tsunami

      It's not exactly a new type of threat. I believe most people are not actually 'fear-mongering', they are just reasonable. Of course things will be learned from Fukushima, but this will not result in 100% security, as the next accident will probably be different. Talking about risks: in Switzerland, you can legally fly with a small private plane over a nuclear plant. Plants are probably safe in case of a plane accident (are you sure by the way?). But what about a bomb? What about an earthquake, can you predict with certainty what will happen? What about the personnel working at a plant, are you 100% sure all of them are sane all the time?

      Talking about responsibility: an case of an accident, in Switzerland, the nuclear plant owner is liable for 1 billion dollar (1000 million). One large scale accident could cost up to 2000 billion dollar. If the plant owner would require insurance for that, then even solar energy would be cheaper.

    2. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      "Obviously, nobody wants to live near *any* nuclear plant."

      I do. I look at nuclear plants, and I rationally acknowledge there is a small risk of an incident. If an incident happens, there is a small risk (that's a small risk multiplied by a small risk for a pretty small risk overall) the plant might might leak radiocative materials in the environment.

      If the plant leaks radioactive material into the environment, there's a good chance I'll have to be evacuated from that area, and go live somewhere else, and if that happens, I and my family might have a small increased risk of cancer (no guarantee - the risks are small enough unless there is a massive, massive release, that I and my family will probably be fine; additionally, we all have a pretty large chance - I think 25% is the figure I've seen - of getting cancer *anyhow*, without any nuclear accidents).

      I might have to permanently move to a different location. Because the risks are fairly low, I think I can live with a very small risk that I might need to move, or have a slightly elevated risk of getting a cancer I might get *anyhow*, in exchange for the numerous benefits of nuclear power.

      At the same time, I'm all for trying to learn from our experience, and design new reactors which have features which make them *probably* safer.

      "And you need 100%, because one accident would extremely costly and dangerous, unlike other facilities."

      There is a flaw in your statement. The word "would" should be "could" - "because one accident could be extremely costly and dangerous". People opposed to nuclear power seem to view the world in a way that every nuclear plant, if it has an accident, has a high probability of become a major, expensive, dangerous mess. From everything I've seen, including *especially* Fukushima, the chances of a real 'worst case scenario' at a nuclear plant seems real, but small.

      Fukushima had 4(?) operating reactors. I believe that we can look at this situation,probabilistically, that each of those reactors *individually* had a theoretical chance to become a major, major problem. 4 roles of the dice, if you will. Unless my info is outdated now (which it could be), I believe Reactor 3 was the most badly damaged, and most of the radioactive material is still contained within Reactor 3 (that is, I read there's been quite a bit of iodine released, and perhaps a small amount of Cesium, but no plutonium or other really nasty, heavy elements).

      It looks to me like Fukushima is probably representative of the worst that is likely to happen, with old reactors, and that doesn't appear to have caused many human deaths, and does not look like it's likely to cause a lot of human deaths (it'll take 20-30 years, and medical studies, to really determine the answer, but right now it doesn't look like it's going to kill many people).

    3. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that opponents of nuclear power create a bit of a paradox by opposing *new* nuclear power plants:

      By opposing the construction of new nuclear power plants, whose designs benefit from decades of experience gained with older designs, knowledge about their failure modes, ways to improve cooling with passive cooling systems, etc, you effectively act to keep older, less safe nuclear power plants in operation longer.

      Maybe they want the current plants decommissioned in addition to not wanting new power plants.

      How to make up for the loss of electricity from said plants is probably in some other part of their minds. that or they are hard-core Greenies who want to live like Hobbits after they vanquish the industrialized Mordor.

    4. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      "Maybe they want the current plants decommissioned in addition to not wanting new power plants."

      I'm sure that's probably true. The point is, that's not happening. Opposing new plants keeps old plants active longer, I think.

    5. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "But it's worth repeating: opposing new nuclear will likely have the effect of keeping older nuclear online longer than it would if there were new nuclear plants built to replace the old ones."

      I'd say the biggest reason for keeping those old reactors online is money.

      It will cost money to make a new plant. Money the company doesn't want to put out when it's profit otherwise.

      They'll tell the regulating agencies "We can't afford it. We'll need YOU to fund the new plant construction." At which point they'll be told they can keep it running a bit longer (probably that they're suppose to start saving for it. Later on the complaints will remain the same about no money.)

      And the public will fight tooth and nail not to have a new reactor built because they will be told time and time again - doing so will cause a dramatic increase in their power bill because the money for that reactor doesn't grow on trees and will be extracted from them (and probably the government as well anyway.)

    6. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by lennier · · Score: 1

      But it's worth repeating: opposing new nuclear will likely have the effect of keeping older nuclear online longer than it would if there were new nuclear plants built to replace the old ones.

      Yeah, so it's the battered wife's fault if she says 'stop beating me with that old rusty pipe' instead of buying a shiny new rusty pipe for her husband to beat her with. Gotcha.

      What if, and bear with me here because I'm going out on a speculative limb, what if nuclear fission is inherently unsafe because it requires constant active containment and building untested new designs with unknown failure modes turns out to be just as insanely dangerous as building the old untested designs with unknown (at the time) failure modes was?

      --
      You are not a brain: http://books.google.com/books?id=2oV61CeDx-YC
    7. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by hypersql · · Score: 1

      If you want to live near a nuclear plant, go for it. Land is cheap there :-) And in the aftermath of an accident, land will be even *a lot* cheaper (see Chernobyl). > Fukushima had 4(?) operating reactors Actually, 6 reactors with fuel, and 5 have been operating at that time. Obviously, if something happens in one reactor, it's likely this affects the others as well. Otherwise, there would be no holes in the building of block 4 (caused by the explosion in block 3). So it's not 4 roles of the dice. It's more like one dice. > probably representative of the worst that is likely to happen Uhm, no. It could have been worse, and it might get worse. Most likely, land will be very cheap in the next 100 years next to the accident, because people don't like radiation. See Chernobyl. In Switzerland, this would be the big cost, and land owners will most likely not get reimbursed. As I wrote: the solution to would be to require full insurance coverage by nuclear plant operators. That would make operating a plant so costly that they would build wind turbines instead.

    8. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a paradox at all. All nuclear problems have occurred because of human corruption, greed and cutting corners.
      You can theoretically have a "zero risk" reactor, but when it's built, some fucker will stiff on his supply of pipes or weld for a few extra bucks, or employ some no-name, no-brain out-sourcer and not control their work, and THAT's what makes nuclear unsafe.
      New nuclear would be just the same as old nuclear. Remove the profit motive, and the costs will rise as they should be, and then we'll all discover the plain truth that nuclear power is NOT cost efficient at all.

    9. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      >Actually, 6 reactors with fuel, and 5 have been operating at that time.

      Ok, so I went back and checked on this, because I couldn't remember for sure. According to World Nuclear News there were 3 reactors in operation at the time the quake and tsunami hit.

      "Uhm, no. It could have been worse, and it might get worse."

      You seem to be very challenged with understanding the words "probably" and "likely".

      Just because something theoretically could get worse, I still stand by my assertion that watching what happened in Japan, this looks like it's PROBABLY representative of the worst that is LIKELY to happen. Unless you can point out some way in which the reactor operators in Japan were extraordinarily lucky, I think it's a reasonable statement that what happened is likely to be close to what happens with similar reactor designs if similar circumstances occur.

      Do you figure we've been extraordinarly lucky for the past 50 years that, before Fukushima, the only large release of fuel material from a nuclear plant was Chernobyl, that we've gone 25 years since Chernobyl and now we have Fukushima, which while it has released enough materials to be a concern, doesn't appear to have released anywhere near the levels that Chernobyl did?

      I don't think luck can really run that long. I think that history shows that the nuclear industry has done a lot of things right that strongly limits the likelyhood of a scenario which you describe in which $2000 Billion of damage can occur.

      I also think that a lot of the problem is that people are more afraid of radiation than they should be. Radiation presents some risks, some hazards, but in terms of dangers, low levels of radioactive exposure is the least obnoxious form of risk you can be exposed to - there's a substantially large chance it'll do nothing at all to you bad, and a small risk it might cause a cancer.

      But, people freak out anyhow.

    10. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by hypersql · · Score: 1

      > Unless you can point out some way in which the reactor operators in Japan were extraordinarily lucky

      I just said it could have been worse. Or do you claim the hydrogen explosions were desired or controlled in any way? Actually it did get worse now.

      > I don't think luck can really run that long.

      You can, as there are only around 500 nuclear reactors worldwide.

      > people are more afraid of radiation than they should be.

      True. The land price issue is directly related to that. This is a psychological problem, something engineers can't "fix" or change.

    11. Re:The nuclear safety paradox by JSBiff · · Score: 1

      The hydrogen explosions are why I don't think the operators were extra lucky. It appears to me from the fact that there were hydro explosions in 3 or 4 of the reactor buildings, that it is very likely that when this type of reactor loses cooling, you get a hydrogen explosion. It also looks like the hydrogen explosions did pretty bad damage to one of the reactors at least. So, this looks like it's probably a good example of getting as bad as it probably will.

  82. Fault Lines by morgauxo · · Score: 1

    Here's an option for the US. Don't build nuclear reactors on top of fault lines! I'm not sure the Japanese had that option given the geography of their nation but we certainly do. It's great that people want to learn a lesson from what happened in Japan but I don't see why they can't just take the obvious lesson instead of pushing for more coal smog!

    1. Re:Fault Lines by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 1

      Perhaps that should be rephrased a bit.

      Don't build nuclear power plants using technologies that require non-passive cooling on low ground near the ocean near subduction type faults.

      Had the Japanese avoided this combination they would have been ok. Even the Dai-Ini reactor complex, which had the same configuration as Dai-ichi was able to get to cold shutdown without meltdowns simply because it's diesel backup engines survived the tsunami, presumably because they were on slightly higher ground.

    2. Re:Fault Lines by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      You have to keep in mind that while there were fault lines almost immediately under the plant, these fault lines did not contribute in any way to the disaster.

      The plant suffered no significant direct earthquake damage - the problem was the tsunami and not the faults.

      Nearly all of our plants in the US are along rivers and not shoreline. Many of those on shorelines are on the East Coast, which is not prone to tsunamis (no megathrust faults).

      So the only plants at potential risk are a small handful on shorelines on the West Coast. Easy enough to build some berms for the backup generators though.

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    3. Re:Fault Lines by morgauxo · · Score: 1

      True, but other fault lines which in fact did cause the tsunami which did cause the damage weren't exactly far away. Again, I'm not faulting Japan for that,I'm just stating that in the US, due to geography we have the opportunity to do better. As you seem to agree.

  83. Bleeding Obvious by panda · · Score: 2

    I hate to state the bleeding obvious, but it seems that I must.

    Why would you want more nuclear power? There is only so much uranium to be mined. It really doesn't matter how long estimates say the uranium reserves will last, there is still only so much to be had, and then what? Eventually, we'll run out of uranium, just as we'll eventually run out of oil and coal. Sure, we'll have more some day, if you care to wait millions or billions of years. Frankly, I don't have the time.

    The best source of power beats us on the head every day, the Sun. We should be seriously investing in solar, wind, and tidal for power generation. These sources are not likely to run out for the lifetime of the planet, and that's a damned site better than relying on finite resources that take millions of years to replenish.

    NOTE: There are more ways to use solar power than just photovoltaic cells.

    --
    Just be sure to wear the gold uniform when you beam down -- you know what happens when you wear the red one.
    1. Re:Bleeding Obvious by lingon · · Score: 1

      I hate to state the bleeding obvious, but it seems that I must.

      Why would you want more nuclear power? There is only so much uranium to be mined. It really doesn't matter how long estimates say the uranium reserves will last, there is still only so much to be had, and then what?

      You need to put the the time you're talking about in perspective. Fissionable fuel is a finite resource in the same way as land to build houses upon or the Sun (both will fail in about 5 billion years). Uranium lasts another ~250 years in the *current* reactor designs (extracting ~1% of the fuel value of the uranium), breeder reactors will lengthen this to about a hundred times longer. Then after that there's thorium that lasts around 100 000 years. However, I sincerely hope we develop a better energy source before that runs out ...

    2. Re:Bleeding Obvious by mistralol · · Score: 1

      Try using solar power in ireland :) It only took 20-30 years for a photo to be taken from space with a picture of ireland not having any cloud above it :) From the way this winter has been (when power is needed most) i don't think we would have any solar power from october - march!

    3. Re:Bleeding Obvious by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

      We don't have the technology to do that yet. Energy storage technology is just nowhere near what it needs to be to allow solar, wind, or tidal to provide primary baseload generation.

      They may likely be there in 50-60 years, but not now - since the service life of new nuke plants would be 40-50 years, it's the perfect time to invest in another round of nuclear plants to replace the old clunkers we have now.

      50 years from now, when the time comes to decommission a second round of nuclear plants, we can reevaluate:
      1) Are solar/wind + the state of the art of storage technology where they need to be? (I suspect "maybe" in 50 years)
      2) Where is the state of the art of nuclear? Are breeders that can burn what is currently considered to be waste commercially viable? (I suspect "almost surely" in 50 years.)

      --
      retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
    4. Re:Bleeding Obvious by lightknight · · Score: 1

      And there is only so much oil that can be drilled.

      It comes down to the bang for your buck. If you were designing something to leave the solar system, which fuel source would you invest in? Note that I said leave the solar system, not orbit the sun.

      There are several reasons, political to technological, that solar, wind, and tidal power haven't taken off.

      Solar cells -> these are relatively energy-intensive to create. That's one problem to factor into their design. What more, the quality of the solar cell is linked to the kinds of materials that go into their design. Your garden-variety solar cell has the ability to capture energy from the sun at n% (which is fairly low), while your NASA grade solar cell (which, if I remember correctly, uses some slightly more exotic / costly materials) can capture energy at n + 20%. NASA has issues with micrometeorites piercing their cells in space, we have bigger issues with the elements (hail, dust, wind, etc.) destroying those cells on the earth.

      So, when you factor in the energy-cost of creating solar cells, the fact that you either need some expensive rare elements or more of them (eating up more land, more problems), the fact that they can be easily damaged (going to need a warranty for that, 5+ years), and then that you need to either store the energy in batteries (which lose efficiency over time, and tend to be toxic) or push energy back onto the grid (where it's someone else's storage problem) and a few states are making backwards-energy meters illegal...and you need to be in a sunny, relatively cloud-free environment for them to work best, things don't look so hot.

      Scientists / engineers care that they get out *lots* more energy than they put in. Just barely breaking even with a fairly expensive setup is not a win.

      Wind energy -> you need a place that is relatively windy all year long. The coast is a nice place, but these wind generators are considered an eye sore. Ditto with the storage issues here. Take some photos of those shore-birds that are on the endangered / protected species list, you'll want something to show your kids when they ask what they looked like.

      Tidal power -> you typically need a bay for this one. Only so many places that qualify for this one. Ditto with the storage issues here. It can be considered a serious obstruction.

      Solar furnace -> eats up land in the desert. Normally not as big a problem as regular photovoltaic cells, but there is only so much desert, and you kind of are screwing up the environment when you line the desert with hundreds / thousands of these mirrors.

      The major issue is that preaching conservation of energy (having everyone cut down on their energy use, not the law of physics) is about as useful as preaching abstinence. It feels "good" bashing people over the head with it, and complaining that "we're so wasteful!," but it does little to solve the actual problem. While many devices are becoming more economical with their power use, the number of devices being used today are still increasing.

      Nuclear energy, which is one of several big bang for your buck technologies, can be very compact and has tons of energy. With enrichment + recycling, we can run on it for a few thousand years. By that point, if we haven't found a way off the planet and perfected fusion (gotta get that He3 from Jupiter), we probably deserve what's coming to us.

       

      --
      I am John Hurt.
    5. Re:Bleeding Obvious by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      We might run out of uranium in a couple of millenia. Then we have thorium, another couple of millenia (and that's pessimistically low on both accounts). By then fusion or another power source (heck, why not a dyson sphere?) will have replaced baseload generation.

      Solar power as it is now is not usable as a baseload source. There's this little nagging thing called "night" that goes in the way, and please don't start speaking about batteries when you whine about nuclear waste.

    6. Re:Bleeding Obvious by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Ive read some places that large wind farms would disrupt the jet stream and cause problems with the climate. Im not sure if its true, but Im inclined to partially believe it. Solar farms I think are the best option, considering in the US we have primo solar farm land in Nevada, New Mexico, Utah, Colorado, etc.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    7. Re:Bleeding Obvious by BoberFett · · Score: 1

      You can't remove energy from a system without affecting it. Whether it's a significant change or not is only speculation based on models at this point.

  84. In awe of capitalist ideology by soporific16 · · Score: 1

    Seriously, i am in awe of capitalist ideology. It has managed to convince a large number of people around the world, if this thread is any indication, that the profit motive is as natural as the sun in that for some INSANE reason, the question of PROFIT does not come into consideration when expressing an opinion on whether you think nuclear power is safe to use. It really gets me down it does. Although the new Arab revolutionary upheavals are a welcome development to this jaded old lefty :)

  85. Nuclear is Long Term by Identita · · Score: 1

    Anyone who really does their research will understand that nuclear energy is by far the cleanest and safest.Apparent "clean" energy pundits are constantly on CNN or some news puff show saying "This is why we need to go solar or wind powered, its proven technology" Yes proven. But take for instance, The Roscoe Wind Farm (the newest and largest) which generates about 780MW of power. Compare that to the oldest nuclear reactors in Ontario (Candu series) that generates 3100MW (6 of them at full power before they began to get decommissioned) and you simply have nothing able to provide the power demands that today's society requires. The wind farm cost 1 billion, spans 100,000 acres and produces less than a third of power that 25 year old reactors are producing here in Ontario. Take the newer Bruce Power Plant which generates over 7200MW with 8 Candus online and there really isn't any competition considering that entire installation spans about 2500 acres. Yes accidents happen and nuclear is dangerous but I don't see ANY of the same criticism towards OIL after BP and their US cronies POLLUTED the entire US south-eastern coastline for the next 100 years. Why doesn't anyone scream about that? Why? Because it would require that fat-ass clean air economist to drive her bike to work the whole three miles from her cozy Manhattan flat instead of taking her gas guzzling car. Nothing in life is perfect but if you take the number of nuclear incidents and compare them to oil disasters it pales in comparison.

  86. on a clear day we can see canada by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    we don't get to see it often lately. today, there's an est. 20 mile thick fake cloud over the whole shooting match. talk about intense cold? the easter bunny may have to wait until may, when it'll will be over 100 some days. are we going to have to invade canada because mr. harper got caught/out? will the new regime be friendly, or shot?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=lSp-oIOhq00#at=55

  87. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Alioth · · Score: 2

    No effects will last for "billions of years", anything with a half-life that long is considered a stable isotope! The longer the half life, the less radioactive something is.

    Chernobyl is a red herring because it was an inherently unsafe fail-dangerous reactor design which no one anywhere else in the world was insane enough to produce.

  88. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    There haven't been any accidents in the USA that resulted in leaked radiation.

    That's physically impossible. Also, Three Mile Island.

    60 years of experience suggest that your assertion, "no amount of mitigation makes it a rational chance to take", is incorrect. Experience suggests that in fact risk can be managed.

    Chernobyl, Three Mile Island, Fukushima. It's 100% impossible to engineer away the risk for an incident. You can reduce the risks, but they will always be there, and it only takes the occasional accident to completely negate the safety of the intervening years.

    "billions of years" is also incorrect: http://news.softpedia.com/news/Chernobyl-Still-Radioactive-After-23-Years-129912.shtml

    Plutonium and Uranium remain radioactive for billions of years.

  89. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hehehe, Billions of year, that's a good one!

  90. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    So we should block out the sun over large cities? The sun gives off more radiation than a nuclear reactor.

    In the form of photons (as reaches the surface of the Earth). Some of which are dangerous, and we do block them.

    But this is a red herring. The sun will be there no matter what we do. It's a fact of life. On the other hand, having nuclear power plants is optional. It's impossible to pretend like there isn't an increased risk. Just because there is a baseline risk does not justify voluntarily increasing it.

  91. Real danger? by Charliemopps · · Score: 1

    The media needs to report on how many people have been injured or killed during this accident. They have 2 works that have been missing from the beginning, presumably swept away by the tidal wave or killed in the initial hydrogen explosion. Then they have another <50 that have been exposed to low, but still unacceptable amounts of radiation.

    Now lets imagine what would happen if the same disaster had hit a Coal power plant... or Natural Gas... Now the big one, how about the Hoover Damn? The first 2 would lead to hundreds of deaths immediately, and it's even including all the deaths we have every year due to mining. A Major eathquake at a large hydro-electric damn like the Hover? It would likely be the largest disaster in American history. Tens of thousands dead within minutes.

    1. Re:Real danger? by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Other than people, the greatest asset folks have is the land they live on. You incapacitate the land people live on and the impact is enormous. Their way of life, their wealth, their history gone forever for them. I think that is what worries folks in addition to the initial loss of life. And people are aware of the effects of radiation on longer term health as well. Dying prematurely certainly will cause considerable consternation among people.

      I don't think anyone should lightly disregard such concerns. I have seen a lot of flippant disregard for how many people are affected by various disaster scenarios in this thread but the impact of a nuclear disaster is large too and not always as easily empathized with. After all not many people died right away.

      But after a dam breaks, or many of these other disasters people keep bringing up as worse than a nuclear disaster, those who survive can go back and pick up the pieces. Not the same with a nuclear disaster.

      And lest we forget, nuclear technology is something which will be with us long after all the coal plants have shut their doors. How will they do for the next millenium? Will there be any disasters over the next several hundred years, where and what will be the impact on the land around those areas? One thing we maybe have learned is don't build on or near fault lines. But some places don't really have an option.

  92. Nobody pushing an agenda, right? by thePowerOfGrayskull · · Score: 1
    It's not like the group who funded the study is pushing an agenda or anything, is it? Certainly it's not like they have a history of commissioning so-called "studies" whenever there's a hint of trouble with a nuclear plant?

    What's great about this is that it's been picked up by hundreds of blogs over the last couple of days - so now it's quoted all over the place as if it actually has some significance beyond being a study funded by an anti-coal, anti-nuke group. Their past "scientific polls" and studies have also been treated similarly.

  93. The Schneier Approach by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    With all the fuss about nuclear power plant security out there right now, one thing astounds me, especially in the usually informed, well educated technical elite, which is usually quite sceptical about corporations:

    Nuclear power plant safety is not only about physical security (including softwar). It is also affected by social and economical effects on decisionmaking. We have seen in Fukushima that known security failures were ignored and safety inspections forged during the past approx. 20 years. So nuclear power plant safety is also influenced by

      "Can we trust big entities (corporations/state owned institutions) to run nuclear facilities?"

    I am sorry to presume: propably no.

    Yours Truly,
    anonymous coward

  94. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by leonardluen · · Score: 1

    i like this quote from the article...

    The April 26, 1986 accident was the largest nuclear accident in the world, and only a level 7 event on the International Nuclear Event Scale.

    "only a level 7"? from my searching that is the highest the scale goes to...

  95. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    ...you end up with a disaster that affects the entire world, and has local effects that will last for billions of years.

    Sorry, but that is completely wrong.

    What is completely wrong? That there are local effects that will last billions of years?

    The danger of a radioactive substance can be effectively measured by its "half-life". Isotopes with a very short half-life emit radiation very quickly (forgetting for this quick post whether we are talking about alpha particles, beta particles, neutron radiation, or gamma rays).

    Nothing wrong with a little scientific primer. It helps act as a buffer between your initial claim and the statement that will completely contradict that claim. I can see why you did it.

    Isotopes like U-238 / U-235 with a long half-life (700 million years for U-235 and 4.4 billion years for U-238) don't pose a danger unless they are in just titanic quantities.

    Tada. Both last for billions of years!

    In Fukushima, they stored spent fuel rods on site, which were strewn about by the explosion. These rods are radioactive, and won't simply vanish on their own (well, over many billions of years).

    It's definitely possible to live in the area without being affected, but the very fact that these elements are introduced into the environment brings with it the risk of inhalation or ingestion, at which point the normally low-risk of simply being near such elements is replaced by the significant risk of having a radioactive time-bomb in your body.

    In other words, effects that will last billions of years. Instead of proving me "completely wrong", you proved me completely right. Thanks.

    However something like the particular isotopes of Iodine and Cesium that have been seen at Fukishima have half-lives on the order of days. They are very dangerous, but that danger is short lived. A small quantity of them can definitely kill, but they don't typically last long enough to travel far from the region where they were produced. None of this adds up to "effects that will last for billions of years".

    This is entirely correct, but has nothing to do with the elements that do remain radioactive for billions of years.

    Instead, it's a danger that is in *addition* to the one you were trying to claim didn't exist.

  96. Interesting comments by prefec2 · · Score: 1

    It is very interesting to see that so many people here are in favor of nuclear power. And the best are the arguments why nuclear is not such a big issue as coal or oil. The discussion in Germany is quite different. We are going to end the nuclear age in our country and have increased the output of electricity out of renewable energy up to 17% in the last decade. Based on current development in wind and solar power we believe that we can obsolete nuclear power by 2020 and meet our CO2 reduction goal as well. We think that we will reach that limit even faster with closing nuclear plant earlier.

    But looking into the argument of coal kills more people than nuclear plants and their waste. This is definitely not true. It kill thousands after the Chernobyl disaster and something which is not counted in studies is the increase in cancer rates, babies born dead or deformed and the negative effects on the environment. So the argument coal kills more people is faulty.

    1. Re:Interesting comments by lingon · · Score: 2

      It is very interesting to see that so many people here are in favor of nuclear power. And the best are the arguments why nuclear is not such a big issue as coal or oil. The discussion in Germany is quite different. We are going to end the nuclear age in our country and have increased the output of electricity out of renewable energy up to 17% in the last decade. Based on current development in wind and solar power we believe that we can obsolete nuclear power by 2020 and meet our CO2 reduction goal as well. We think that we will reach that limit even faster with closing nuclear plant earlier.

      That's really interesting actually. How are they planning on solving the base load problem (that wind and solar are intermittent)? Hydro is a good alternative, but that will drown a lot of land under several metres of water and kill a lot of wildlife in the building process. In Sweden, we shut down one nuclear power plant (Barsebäck) which was compensated by both importing coal power from Poland and upping the efficiency of the existing NPPs. Not even the Danes who have invested a *lot* of resources into wind power have managed to get rid of fossil fuels for base load.

      But looking into the argument of coal kills more people than nuclear plants and their waste. This is definitely not true. It kill thousands after the Chernobyl disaster and something which is not counted in studies is the increase in cancer rates, babies born dead or deformed and the negative effects on the environment. So the argument coal kills more people is faulty.

      Actually, it's not. The Chernobyl disaster didn't kill thousands, it killed 28 people. About 4000 were expected to die from different cancers (mostly thyroid) but the actual numbers seem to be a lot lower now that we're 25 years into the future. The increase in cancer rates are included in the statistics and they're low.

      What's not included is the amount of radioactive substances released by coal power plants -- they're a lot higher than from nuclear power plants. Therefore, more people die from cancer caused by coal power than nuclear power every year, not to mention the other substances that's being let out into the atmosphere ...

      If you're able to build a society on 100% renewable energy, then that's obiously a lot better than nuclear power. However, given the track record of renewables, I don't think it's actually doable without significant specialized natural resources (i.e. Iceland can use geothermal, Sweden has a lot of large rivers, etc.).

    2. Re:Interesting comments by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I suggest you read this then.

      Health problems linked to aging coal-fired power plants shorten nearly 24,000 lives a year, including 2,800 from lung cancer

      Yeah, coal is clearly better than nuclear! 1 case caused of a few thousand deaths is clearly worse than 2800 cases of lung cancer a year! Great logical argument there, bro!

      Can we just round up all the anti-nuke nuts and just shot them into the Sun, please? The funny thing is that in many cases THEY are the cause for why these plants are unsafe because they can't be upgraded due to all sorts of red tape that these idiots impose.

    3. Re:Interesting comments by Bengie · · Score: 1

      If you can include Chernobyl, which was a horribly designed system even at the time it was made, then I get to use some coal mine collapses. Bad, comparison, I know.. :*(

      Anyway, current estimates range from 10,000-30,000 per year are killed by pollution from coal power plants in the USA, depending on which reports you look at.

      Wiki:
      WHO says ~4,000 died from Chernobyl
      "The 2011 UNSCEAR report places the total deaths from radiation to date at 64."

      Compare those to 10k-30k per year from coal

      Current average deaths per KW puts Nuclear:Coal at a 1:4000 ratio. Nuclear is about 3 magnitudes safer.

      Fun fact, according to xKCD: A single banana has more radiation than living within 50 miles of a nuclear power plant for a full year. But yes, different types of radiation, but that takes away the "fun" part and assumes the plant isn't about to blow up.

  97. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by MightyYar · · Score: 2

    Either you are extremely risk-averse, or you would have to also say that coal power is simply not worth the risk on any large scale.

    Or oil.

    Which is the worse disaster? The BP oil spill or the ongoing Fukushima emergency? Remember that the BP oil spill actually killed 11 workers and injured 17. Fukushima is ongoing and so hard to predict, but it sure looks like fewer people will die there. Also, look at the context - Fukushima was the result of a much larger tragedy. Perhaps 10,000 have died in a massive earthquake and tsunami. In contrast, the BP oil spill happened during good weather. No earthquake, no hurricane.

    Imagine what could happen if an earthquake hit a region with a bunch of deepwater oil rigs?

    Can you imagine what happened to all of the chemical storage tanks sitting around in Japan? Honestly, if I lived near that region, I'd be a lot more worried long-term about the new chemicals floating around seeping into my water supply than about a short-term nuclear accident that will get the governments full attention until it is cleaned up.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  98. Titanic? Unsinkable! by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

    Well, I'd guess that's where the "modern safety features" come in. They do exist you know. They're actually pretty damn good. You can make reactors that shut themselves down safely the second power is lost to the cooling system, they've made them in Canada since the 1970s.

    I keep hearing this.

    But you know, the Japanese plant "shut itself down safely the second power was lost".

    Turns out, you need to do far more than "safely shut down" since the fuel stays really fucking hot even after a shutdown. In fact, the fuel stays really fucking hot and keeps generating heat even after it is depleted and removed from the reactor, and has to be stored under water for a long time before anything can be done with it.

    A reactor not only needs to "shut itself down safely" in the event of a problem, its associated systems need to be able to continue functioning properly for quite a while afterwards, and IMO that's where the uncertainty and risk are.

    The exact thing that makes nuclear power desirable (high energy density) is what makes it dangerous. When you consider the system end-to-end, I seriously doubt there is such a thing as a failsafe nuclear reactor.

    --
    A house divided against itself cannot stand.
    1. Re:Titanic? Unsinkable! by LateArthurDent · · Score: 1

      But you know, the Japanese plant "shut itself down safely the second power was lost"...Turns out, you need to do far more than "safely shut down" since the fuel stays really fucking hot even after a shutdown. In fact, the fuel stays really fucking hot and keeps generating heat even after it is depleted and removed from the reactor, and has to be stored under water for a long time before anything can be done with it.

      The Japanese plant is an older design. New designs have passive cooling, which don't require any power.

      The thing is, even Fukushima, which is being touted as a disaster, should instead be hailed as a success. What's going on there is bad, but the amount of radiation leaked doesn't qualify as environmental disaster. The levels are far below those considered harmful, and that's for a tsunami and earthquake of a magnitude above what the thing was designed to withstand.

      As for your Titanic reference: nobody is saying Nuclear power plants are 100% safe. We're saying the risk is manageable. The titanic sunk, other ships continued to sink, but people didn't stop traveling by boat as a reaction to the disaster.

  99. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    You're an idiot. Chernobyl, the worst nuclear accident man has known, had immediate, serious issues but nothing to the extent portrayed in the media and the results certainly won't last "billions of years".

    Many thousands of people have died, and the nuclear meltdown is still underway. I'm sure this will significantly decrease the duration of the event, but just because Chernobyl's effects won't last billions of years does not mean other incidents will not. Fukushima, for example, may very well last that long, because of the dispersal of plutonium and uranium into the surrounding area.

    Background radiation is only above safe levels in the immediate vicinity, and bearing in mind this was an ancient (by nuclear standards) reactor with none of the safety mechanisms in place on modern reactors. In fact, had the Chernobyl reactor been based on modern designs, it never would have happened, and reactors are getting safer and safer.

    Just like with "newer, safer, modern designs", Chernobyl should never have happened either. It was entirely due to human error. No nuclear reactor can be made safe from human error.

    Even Fukushima was an old reactor, things would have been much better if it had been a modern reactor, but even there the problems are nowhere near so serious as media is claiming. We've damaged the earth far more in the last thirty years by pumping the smoke from burning coal, gas and oil into the air than the damage caused by every nuclear "disaster" in that period. How is the risk "high" when there have been a handful of notable accidents in the entire lifetime of the nuclear industry? I'd say on those numbers it's incredibly low risk.

    Nuclear power is less widely used than coal, gas and oil. Also, cancers from nuclear accidents (and even just standard nuclear operations, without the need for an actual accident) are significant.

    But this is a red herring. Just because something else is also bad does not make nuclear good. How about we move away from fossil fuels as well, instead of heaping nuclear atop them?

  100. 9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by tekrat · · Score: 2

    Not the nuclear reactors....

    Here in the USA, we've been relatively isolated from most natural disasters, and most man-made disasters.

    Think about it: How disrupted would your life be if planes were bombing the crap out of your country, and there was random gunfire in the streets all the time?

    On the west coast, there's more of a building code, but let's face it. If New York City were hit by a 9.0 earthquake, nuclear reactors would be the last thing we'd be worried about. Loss of life would be in the millions if the quake hit during the day. There's not a single skyscraper in Manhattan built to withstand that kind of shock. Try an imagine 9/11, but laying waste to the entire island. There's what, 20 million in Manhattan during the day? You're looking at at least 10 million dead. From the quake.

    Then if there's a Tsunami to follow, there could be another 10 million (at least) killed from that. Because DC, Baltimore, Phildelphia Newark, and Boston would also be affected. The Northeast has a lot of major cities within a close proximity, and absolutely no building code regarding quake management.

    And yet Americans are worried about the reactor? Ignorance truly is bliss. Americans have NO CLUE about what's really going to kill them. We are a fortunate lot to live in a politically and geologically stable environment. But neither of those conditions are going to last forever.

    --
    If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
    1. Re:9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not the nuclear reactors....

      Here in the USA, we've been relatively isolated from most natural disasters, and most man-made disasters.

      Think about it: How disrupted would your life be if planes were bombing the crap out of your country, and there was random gunfire in the streets all the time?

      On the west coast, there's more of a building code, but let's face it. If New York City were hit by a 9.0 earthquake, nuclear reactors would be the last thing we'd be worried about. Loss of life would be in the millions if the quake hit during the day. There's not a single skyscraper in Manhattan built to withstand that kind of shock. Try an imagine 9/11, but laying waste to the entire island. There's what, 20 million in Manhattan during the day? You're looking at at least 10 million dead. From the quake.

      Then if there's a Tsunami to follow, there could be another 10 million (at least) killed from that. Because DC, Baltimore, Phildelphia Newark, and Boston would also be affected. The Northeast has a lot of major cities within a close proximity, and absolutely no building code regarding quake management.

      And yet Americans are worried about the reactor? Ignorance truly is bliss. Americans have NO CLUE about what's really going to kill them. We are a fortunate lot to live in a politically and geologically stable environment. But neither of those conditions are going to last forever.

      We would blame the terrorists and put more guards on the borders to keep us safe!

    2. Re:9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      Then there's the super volcano under Yellowstone.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
    3. Re:9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by Dr.+Gamera · · Score: 1

      If New York City were hit by a 9.0 earthquake [...] Then if there's a Tsunami to follow, there could be another 10 million (at least) killed from that. Because DC, Baltimore, Phildelphia Newark, and Boston would also be affected. Tsunamis are frightfully destructive, but they don't turn sharp corners. Look at http://nctr.pmel.noaa.gov/indo20041226/Figure_1_sign.jpg. DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and Boston would all be fine, as the tsunami from a NYC earthquake would do little to water levels in the Chesapeake Bay and the Potomac (Cape Charles is in the way), the Delaware Bay and the Delaware River (Cape May is in the way), and the Massachusetts Bay (Cape Cod is in the way).

    4. Re:9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not the nuclear reactors....

      Here in the USA, we've been relatively isolated from most natural disasters, and most man-made disasters.

      Think about it: How disrupted would your life be if planes were bombing the crap out of your country, and there was random gunfire in the streets all the time?

      On the west coast, there's more of a building code, but let's face it. If New York City were hit by a 9.0 earthquake, nuclear reactors would be the last thing we'd be worried about. Loss of life would be in the millions if the quake hit during the day. There's not a single skyscraper in Manhattan built to withstand that kind of shock. Try an imagine 9/11, but laying waste to the entire island. There's what, 20 million in Manhattan during the day? You're looking at at least 10 million dead. From the quake.

      Then if there's a Tsunami to follow, there could be another 10 million (at least) killed from that. Because DC, Baltimore, Phildelphia Newark, and Boston would also be affected. The Northeast has a lot of major cities within a close proximity, and absolutely no building code regarding quake management.

      And yet Americans are worried about the reactor? Ignorance truly is bliss. Americans have NO CLUE about what's really going to kill them. We are a fortunate lot to live in a politically and geologically stable environment. But neither of those conditions are going to last forever.

      If you knew jack shit about geology, you'd know that earthquakes are very, very unlikely in the north-east coast of the US. The biggest earthquake ever recorded in NY is something like a 6.0 magnitude, and remember that the moment magnitude scale is logarithmic, so a 9.0 is 31,600 times more powerful than a 6.0

    5. Re:9.0 Quake, Tsunami are what we need to fear by Wild_dog! · · Score: 1

      Obviously if a 9.0 quake hit NYC the devastation would be enormous.

      But are you saying that because a 9.0 quake would be a disaster, a reactor meltdown near NYC wouldn't be a major concern for you?

      You are comparing natual disasters to man-inspired. The 2 are not the same.

      Natural disasters always kill more people because they are much bigger disasters, but a true reactor meltdown/radioactive cloud blanketing Manhattan, while not killing as many or destroying as much stuff would render the city and surroundings pretty much unusable for a few decades and make it hard to ever attend a broadway play in mine or my kids lifetimes.

  101. Media by Beefslaya · · Score: 1

    I favor a moratorium on media and this political regime.

  102. Cost vs Risk by mbooth9517 · · Score: 1

    Following the outcome of 9/11, one conclusion is that high rise buildings, when they are compromised can cause many deaths. If people only built single story buildings then that disaster could not have happened.

    If people didn't build nuclear power plants then the sort of outcomes than occur when things go wrong can also be avoided.
    The point here is that no-one is opposed to high rise buildings, instead people draw on the experience and try to design high rise buildings in a way which don't collapse if damaged the way the world center was, and also try to come up with ways to prevent the buildings from being subjected to the attack they were on 9/11.

    I'd love to here a good argument why the general consensus is different when it comes to nuclear power... surely rather than opposing the idea altogether we should work towards mitigating the risk when things go wrong (admitidly here we probably can't prevent earthquakes, instead we need to build more reduncancy into nuclear reactors)

    I think this is one of hundreds of analogies which can be applied to many different technologies we use every day which, when something goes wrong is very dangerous, but we usually concentrate effort into making it safer (planes for example were very unsafe in their early days compared to what we have now, and their benifits are rarely called into question)

    I think the main issue here is that people don't fully understand how detremental the current alternatvies (coal, gas, etc) are to human health... or how sustainable they are. People don't grasp how important the benifits of nuclear power are.

    A lot of technologies have to be refined and improved.. I really think people should lobby for safer nuclear power rather than no nuclear power at all. At least until alternative safer methods are found.

    Like there are alternatives to flying which are probably safer (like taking a ship) the cost outweighs the risk for most people.. I personally believe this applies to nuclear power

  103. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by node+3 · · Score: 1

    Dude, neither is petroleum

    Did I say it was? Does it somehow make radioactive matter safe?

    Seriously, we use electricity at an industrial scale, so we generate it at an industrial scale. When things go wrong, they do so at an industrial scale.

    As opposed to a global scale, like with nuclear.

    But I do agree with you, we should move away from fossil fuels as well as nuclear.

  104. Meaningless Questions by jdev · · Score: 1

    From TFA, the results give an indication of how leading questions were.

    * Over half (53 percent) of Americans would now support "a moratorium on new nuclear reactor construction in the United States," if "increased energy efficiency and off the shelf renewable technologies such as wind and solar could meet our energy demands for the near term."

    What a horrible question, and also what a stranger response. First, the question makes a premise that has no substantiation in reality. When will off the shelf renewable energy technology actually meet our energy demands. Hell, I'd support renewables over nuclear if renewables would meet our needs. That doesn't mean I am against nuclear now though.

    Second, why isn't the response rate 100%? Who in their right mind would support nuclear over renewables if they both had the same output? The risks may be low for nuclear disasters but there are still risks. Renewables have very few risks that I am aware of, so why on earth would someone not support this?

    Stuff like this is virtually meaningless and leads to sensationalistic headlines. Reading articles like this reminds me that "a public-opinion poll is no substitute for thought."

    1. Re:Meaningless Questions by rjstanford · · Score: 1

      Actually right now, renewables have significantly higher risks - http://nextbigfuture.com/2011/03/deaths-per-twh-by-energy-source.html for the detailed statistics. Once you get into the much larger-scale construction projects that wind and solar farms have, there are surprisingly high injury rates compared to most nuclear energy.

      Still almost nothing for either approach compared to coal, of course.

      --
      You're special forces then? That's great! I just love your olympics!
  105. HEY by Titan1080 · · Score: 1

    "As long as we are able to continue the energy wars in the middle east, we don't have a need for 'alternative' energy." - The U.S. military industrial complex...

  106. Scaremongering aside by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Hardly any mention of the damage which is done to the environment and human beings when mining for uranium and hardly any mention on slashdot (if any) on the problem of "final" disposal of the waste.
    Now go and inform yourself. And show up again when you have some new and very good ideas.

  107. stupid... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Japan built their reactor to withstand 8. earth quake, so they were knowingly taking on risk. In the USA we are much less likely to get hit with an earth quake like this. As soon as you start reducing your acceptable level of risk for anything, costs WILL sky rocket.. How do you plan for the 1000 or 10000 year earthquake or storm or whatever? Answer is you will usually take on the risk of assuming that won't happen. If people weren't able to take on any risk whatsoever you would never leave your underground nuclear/tornado/quake/hurricane-proof bunker.. Come on people....

  108. stricter rules? by SquirrelDeth · · Score: 1

    You mean like in Canada with the Chalk River reactor? Ask Linda Keen how she liked losing her job over shutting down the reactor. There were rules Stephen Harper didn't care. (Look at the US government, what have rules and laws ever stopped them from doing whatever they want?) http://cnews.canoe.ca/CNEWS/Canada/2009/01/27/8159396-sun.html

  109. Anyone died yet? Oh, other than the 10,000 that is by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Disaster usually involved deaths. The earthquake and tsunami involved over 10,000 so far.
    Coal mining involves a lot of death around the world. If Americas are so concerned then what should have learned is that we need to outlaw living in all Pacific Coastal Lowlands... And may be digging for coal. Those things could get people killed.

  110. algae requires no food displacement by Onymous+Coward · · Score: 1

    Specifically:

    We have 4M square km of arable land in North America (with 2.3M in use). The land requirement for algae:

    The United States Department of Energy estimates that if algae fuel replaced all the petroleum fuel in the United States, it would require 15,000 square miles (39,000 km2) which is only 0.42% of the U.S. map.

    That would be 0.17% of our in-use crop land. No substantial displacement. And that's beside the fact that algae can make use of marginal land -- dry or salty, for example.

  111. Nuke Plant Gets Quake and Tsunami and no one Dies! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Headline!
    "Amazingly Safe Nuke Plant Sustains One Of The Most Powerful Earthquakes On Record AND A Tsunami! No One Dies From Radiation!"
    Fantastic safety record from one of the oldest and least safe designs running in the world today. Good thing it wasn't a Coal powered plant, many many more would have been working there, and many many more would have died.
    Wake up America. Ignorance is ugly.

  112. Whats the alternative by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People who oppose nuclear power have to come up with an alternative energy source

    Not including

          Coal (emits CO2 (and other pollutants)
          Wind and solar (not available 24 x 7)
          Oli (running out fast)
          Tidal and Hydro (limited locations mostly exploited already)

  113. Required car analogy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Imagine the only cars on the road were 40 years old. There's masses of press about how dangerous cars are - they're a deathtrap! There are three possible solutions:

    1) Stop using cars altogether. Back to the dark ages for us!

    2) Keep using 40 year old cars and live with the danger.

    3) Design modern cars using everything we've learned about safety over the last 40 years.

    Which would you choose? It looks like people are being frightened into choice number one.

  114. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Then close up the coal plants because they put out a lot more radiation than anything else [ornl.gov].

    This is an urban myth and is completely wrong.
    There is no existing coal plant in the world that in our days emits any noticeable amount of radioactive material.
    angel'o'sphere

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  115. Ditch the current reactors and go THORIUM by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Americans are understandably leery..." no they are simply uninformed about how much better thorium reactors compared to what we currently use as well how bamboozled they were when politicians and generals steered us down this path. The Cold War is over, we don't need a huge nuke stockpile, just a little! lol

    QUIT WASTING PRECIOUS TAX REVENUE ON BAND-AID SOLUTIONS SUCH AS SOLAR AND WIND, PUT IT WHERE WE NEED TO DO SERIOUS, SUSTAINABLE RESEARCH- THORIUM REACTORS!!!!!!

  116. Nuclear only sustainable for 5B years by netrangerrr · · Score: 2

    The problem with nuclear, besides technical safety factors which we can overcome by not being stupid and putting backup generators and pumps in a sub-basement in a tsunami zone, is that its not "sustainable" - we can only scrape enough fissionable material off the Earth and from sea-water to last 5B years. Oh wait, the Sun will red-giant an burn the Earth up in about 5B years... Maybe it is sustainable if we develop some good solar cells by then - and solar shields...

    --
    "As for the future, your task is not to foresee it, but to enable it." - Antoine de Saint-Exupery
  117. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wich part of "don't pose a danger" didn't you understand?

  118. Stupid Americans Favor Needlessly Increased Risks by GooberToo · · Score: 2

    The real headline should read, "Stupid Americans Favor Needlessly Increased Nuclear Risks". By preventing expansion of newer, safer designs, they are mandating certification extension of older, less safe reactors. Which is actually maintaining the status quo. Thusly, any moratorium which prevents the deployment of newer, safer designs is mandating the continued operation of older, less safe designs. In essence, they are mandating a more dangerous world.

    In the US alone, we have over sixty reactors which would have likely long been replaced with newer, safer, more efficient designs if it were not for anti-nuke idiots. Sadly, rather than being replaced, these reactors are forced to apply for certification extension. And because of the hostile environment created by anti-nuke idiots, they are almost already granted their extension.

    Its literally become real world safety versus scare mongering with intent for self fulfilling prophecy and sadly, scare mongering is winning by a wide measure.
     

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  121. Americas Next War by truk138 · · Score: 0

    War on drugs, war on crime, war on terrorism. Americans can now have the war on Nuclear power. just can't wait until the troops storm the plants to blow them up.

  122. Deaths per kwh? by mistralol · · Score: 1

    But yet more people have been killed directly installing / running wind turbines or other renewable energy sources in the last 10 years than they ever have been from nuclear power over the last 50 years. Not to mention the number of people who have also been badly injured. May by its about time to start looking at the real risk here and measuring the number of watt's produced by the number of people killed! If you go further back and look at the accident china had with a broken dam that killed 230k people and caused bad issues for a further 10 million people then you will see what I am on about here :)

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  125. Irony in Japan by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

    It's STUPID to build a Nuclear power plant in a fault zone. Of course Japan is one HUGE fault zone being on the Pacific 'ring of fire'. Japan has learned how to live with earthquakes and they probably have the toughest building codes (for new construction) in the world as far as earthquakes go. In fact, those nuclear power plants were NOT damaged by the earthquake or the tsunami, but rather by the lack of cooling when convention power backup failed as a result of the tsunami. The irony is that if the plant had NOT been shut down by the computers when the earthquake started it probably would NOT have been damaged as it would have been generating the necessary power to run the cooling systems.

    I doubt that Japan will give up on nuclear power, though they will review all the safety systems and backups. They simply DON'T have a choice, they are a nation so dependent on electric power and have NO fossil fuels of their own. They might be able to develop geo-thermal or otec power however.

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  128. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Andy+Dodd · · Score: 1

    Please don't use Chernobyl and accident in the same sentence.

    Read up on the timeline - it wasn't an accident, it was a dangerous experiment gone wrong, including acts of criminal negligence by the plant supervisor.

    --
    retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
  129. from the not-in-my-backyard dept is right by Tolkien · · Score: 1, Funny

    While Canada may be considering nuclear power itself, please keep American plants away from Canadian borders. Feel free to build them in Texas though, a nuclear disaster should have no noticeable effect on the collective IQ of American citizenry, while being extremely beneficial to the American political, educational and judicial systems. Okay this is going a bit far, but c'mon! Heck, just build it near one of the many prisons that have a "death row", kill two birds with one stone so to speak.

    1. Re:from the not-in-my-backyard dept is right by Antisyzygy · · Score: 1

      As a resident of Texas that is actually from the northwest, I would rather you turn Texas into a nuclear waste dump. Im GTFO of here anyway.

      --
      That brings me to an interesting point, / . is just "the ramblings of socially-inept, technology-literate news-mongers".
  130. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bananas are equally dangerous to U-238/U-235 when present in equal mass. Spent fuel rods? They don't contain the type of Uranium that has long half-lives. They contain a bit of the short half-life Uranium (ie: not fully spent), and a lot of fission products like the Iodine and Cesium isotopes that don't last long enough to travel, and you yourself say aren't important to your point.

    Your point was that the Uranium is highly radioactive and stays that way for billions of years. The truth is that it is EITHER highly radioactive (and short lived), OR stays for billions of years (and is barely if at all radioactive, and not particularly dangerous unless it falls on you - it's pretty heavy). Not both.

  131. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  132. Trust Our Leaders! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I think we Americans should have more trust in our leaders. President Obama in 2009 very wisely said:

    "There's no reason why technologically we can't employ nuclear energy in a safe and effective way. Japan does it and France doesn't and it doesn't have greenhouse gas emissions, so it would be stupid for us not to do that in a much more effective way" Source

  133. Survey bias? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

    The FA says Americans support a moratorium *IF* solar/wind can meet their energy needs. That's a long way from being against nuclear power.

    How you ask the question is important. You might get different answers if you asked, instead:

    Even if America faced a severe energy shortfall that other technologies can't make up, should we impose a moratorium on new nuclear plant construction?

    While the survey sponsor may be non-partisan, that doesn't men they don't have an agenda. From their website it appears they are pushing solar/wind/renewable. It's important to have a diverse energy supply, and a reliable and secure one.

    --
    I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
  134. You just slipped that one in there, huh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Biofuels are probably not a good idea.

    Woop, you were doing so well until you slipped in that boner. Erhm, at the moment biofuels are the best bet. It's just math.

    Biofuels are less harmful to the environment than anything that has to be mined, full stop. Mining is going to keep happening because we need non-fuel elements that must be mined, so we need to eliminate fuel mining as much as possible.

    Biofuel refineries can make plastics and alcohols as well as fuels, but they do it carbon-neutral and without exposing workers to as much carcinogenic material as petroleum refining. Nuclear plants can make electricity just like biofuel burners can, but they can't replace the plastics and other byproducts that come from oil - biological sources can.

    Methane, the finest biofuel for fixed installations like homes and factories (biodiesel is better for cars) can be fed through pipe networks with almost no loss - low pressure gasses have the best transfer efficiency of any form of energy distribution, far superior to the line losses suffered by electrical energy grids that distribute solar, wind and nuclear energies.

    Although solar panels do gather the sun's energies just like biological organisms, and very cleanly put it into the grid, they will not reproduce themselves cyclically like living organisms. Not only are self-managing living elements an integral part of the biofuel cycle, it's possible for modestly educated people to selectively breed biofuel feedstocks for greater utility, robustness and conversion efficiency. A solar panel remains the same for 50 or more years, and then has to be replaced and disposed of. Advances in solar technology rely on breakthroughs by brilliant, highly educated men who are in demand for other fields of endeavor, not by hard-working but relatively inexpensively educated farmers.

    Biofuels allow management of atmospheric carbon (because all bio-carbon comes from the air to begin with, not from geologically sequestered sources like fossil fuels). Burn it or bury it depending on where you want the carbon levels to go.

    Methane and biodiesel are also perfectly suited to distributed generation and community co-generation; making nations, peoples and communities stronger by removing single-point vulnerabilities that can be compromised by wars, terrorism or oppressive governments. Distributed generation of energy also combats the massive political distortion and market manipulation effect of monopolistic energy brokers, that are destroying the markets and economies of nations all over the globe.

    If we covered Death Valley with algae tanks and switched all the corn subsidies over to favor biofuel feedstocks that do not require petroleum based pesticides, herbicides or fertilizers, we could be energy-independent and carbon neutral in 20 years. We could save the oil for lubricants, where it belongs, and for specialty chemical synthesis.

    If we converted all the municipal sewage systems to methane breeders, we'd have a system that grew with the numbers of people served, because everyone shits. Highly efficient methane powered stoves, ovens, water heaters, furnaces, and generators exist right now and are cheaply available nearly everywhere in the world - no fantasy technology or fuel cells required, so no industrial conversion required. You can get a 95+ percent efficient natural gas furnace shipped anywhere today.

    We need to keep all our existing nuke plants built after 1991 (since those are relatively safe, unlike the many Bush/Obama grandfathered plants 20 year past their service life) until we get the bio-fuel systems up and running. We need to keep our solar, wind and hydro industries and expand them where it's practical. We just need to get rid of foreign oil sources first, then domestic coal production, then we need to stop burning domestic oil.

    It's just math. Geeks can do math, right? This is mathematically the best (and indeed only) path forward.

  135. I told ya by Quiet_Desperation · · Score: 1

    Goodbye any hopes for energy independence. What? Wind and solar? Sure, kid, sure.

  136. Underground nuclear plants? by master_p · · Score: 0

    Wouldn't underground nuclear plants be the best way to handle problems like earthquakes, tsunamis and asteroids? in case there is a catastrophic failure that cannot be handled, then shutting down the reactors and filling them with dirt would make it impossible for radioactivity to affect anyone on the ground.

  137. Faulty Diesel Generator Cause Fukushima Disaster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Am I crazy, have I been misinformed, or was the sole reason for the Fukushima disaster that the backup diesel generator didn't work when it needed to? In other words, had the backup generator started when the power went down, the coolant pumps would have continued working and there had been no problem?

    In that case, it wasn't "nuclear power = bad" but a friggin' DIESEL generator.

  138. Every few days... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Every few days nuclear industry folks come on slashdot and talk about how Safe, Safe SAFE nuclear power is.

    The fact is that nuclear power is probably not gonna kill us all, but it's probably gonna kill a lot of people in the distant future because of the waste problem. If you have a technology that produces deadly waste, I'm sorry I don't care how much CO2 it avoids, it's not green or viable long term. Nuclear power is irresponsible when you look more than a few years down the road, period.

    What we really need to be doing is shifting to decentralized power generation from renewables. You get way more mileage from the couple billion dollars you stick into a nuclear plant when you pour that into putting wind turbines on America's criminally underutilized Great Plains fields. You get way more jobs, way cleaner, and no sticky waste problem that we are passing on to our kids.

    The consumer part of this is to cut back on energy usage. It's much cheaper to reduce inefficient economic activity than to build new plants. Spend the money building energy saving rather than energy generating devices, and you will be much further ahead over time.

    For God's sake cut the subsidies for Oil and Nuclear and ramp them up on renewables and energy efficiency. Anything else is madness.

    We need some government leadership here, but citizen's demanding better energy policy focused around balls to the wall buildouts of renewables, and strict efficiency requirements are the only way we are going to get around the energy industry trying to lobby their way into billions of centralized energy generation boondoggles.

  139. YAY!!! Finally - no more coal! by notnAP · · Score: 3

    If we're going to start making decisions on what kind of energy plant we build based on hos much radiation it throws off, doesn't that mean we'll stop building coal burning plants?

  140. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by Yunzil · · Score: 1

    Tada. Both last for billions of years!

    Jesus Christ you're stupid. By your standard the Earth is an uninhabitable planet because it's full of radioactive materials that last OMG billions of years. Do you know what a half life is?

    Instead of proving me "completely wrong", you proved me completely right. Thanks.

    If by "completely right" you mean "a complete idiot", then yeah.

  141. Candu Reactors & West Coast vs East by cdpage · · Score: 1

    While there will always be dangers in nuclear energy, the Fukushima reactors are not CANDU. This catastrophe would not have happened if they were... or at least the damage would be far less... and would 'likely' not ever got to this point.

    That's not to say the CANDU system is not perfect. there are lots of down times and accidents happen.

    What is strange though are the places in which these plants are located. Understandably they are often located on the edge of a large body of water. But why did Japan decide that the east coast was better then the west coast?

    The west coast has less effects by earthquakes, and hardy would be hit by a tsunami. Also, If there ever were a meltdown and it made its way to the water, it would be better off on the west coast so as to have less of an effect on the rest of the Pacific Ocean.

    What are the advantages of the East?

  142. Informative Reading by cidicReision · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The interesting thing to me is how completely inaccurate all of the media has been in this entire "nuclear crisis". I work for a very large energy company with some of the guys that go visit those nuclear plants every year, most of them with PHDs in Nuclear Physics. Their concerns right now focus mainly on the nuclear fuel rod storage and how they are going to handle the excess amount of heating and unspent fuel rods sitting in empty cooling pools. There are absolutely no major concerns around the radiation levels past the power plants property lines. There has so far been ONE casualty to this accident, and people think that nuclear is unsafe? People in California are taking Potassium Iodide and several of them have gone to the hospital for their stupidity. If you are interested in the information about the nuclear event, and information about the actual power plants and exposure levels? Here's some reading, enjoy :)
    Things it would be nice for the news media to have read before they started talking...
    GE BWR Manual
    http://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/basic-ref/teachers/03.pdf
    GE ESBWR - Latest Design: Unbuilt.
    http://www.gepower.com/prod_serv/products/nuclear_energy/en/downloads/gea14429g_esbwr.pdf
    Wiki Concerning Accident
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_I_nuclear_accidents
    Wiki BWR
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BWR
    Spent Nuclear Fuel Calculations
    http://repository.lib.ncsu.edu/ir/bitstream/1840.16/2309/1/etd.pdf
    Graphic: Plant Status
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/japan-earthquake-graphic-nuclear-reactor-status/
    Earthquake/ Radiation Levels/ No.2 / Status
    http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/03/16/graphics-explaining-japans-nuclear-reactor-disaster/
    Tsunami
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/japan-earthquake-graphic-where-the-wave-hit/#more-52826
    Inside Reactor 2
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/japan-earthquake-graphic-inside-fukushima-daiichis-most-worrisome-reactor/
    Meltdown Dynamics
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/graphic-meltdown-fears/
    Exposure Levels
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/japan-earthquake-graphic-how-fast-will-radation-kill-you/#more-52930
    Earthquake Data/ H2 Blast/ Radiation Spread
    http://news.nationalpost.com/photo_gallery/japan-earthquake-graphic-nuclear-plant-blasts/
    Nuclear Fission product Decay
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_fission_product
    NRC: Zirconium Cladding Fire
    http://www.irss-usa.org/pages/documents/SGS_213-223_response.pdf
    Reactor Status: Excel Spreadsheet
    http://www.jaif.or.jp/english/news_images/pdf/ENGNEWS01_13002

  143. Re:Nuclear power is not safe. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

    but just because Chernobyl's effects won't last billions of years does not mean other incidents will not.

    It is not physically possible. You know why? None of the radioactive nucleotides have a half life that long.

    --
    The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  144. Hey that is a great idea comrade by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There are several really top notch designs from mother Russia. Who needs the open market when you can have Chernobyl. Thanks for attempting to put even more BS politics into the debate. Dumbass.

  145. World Coal is BOOMING! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Coal is thanking the paranoid!!

    http://www.worldcoal.org/resources/coal-statistics/

    Straight from the horse's mouth:

    in last 25 years, coal usage has doubled
    in the last 3 years, energy usage from coal is up 20x that from ALL renewable sources (solar, wind, geothermal, etc. etc. etc.)
    china is now using about 50% of ALL world coal production - not surprising since it's the factory of the world.

    So, all the countries talking that "renewable is the future" are all talking utter BULLSHIT just so people can "feel good" about themselves. The reality is countries like Germany are now producing less steel than 25 years ago. Hell, Germany is exporting 3x as much scrap to china as it is producing - lots of energy usage has been outsourced to China. So Germany saying it emits @ 1990 levels is retarded - their effective emissions are much much higher thanks to the emissions they've exported to China. Too bad there is only one atmosphere.

    Oh, and Germany is the world leader in brown coal production and usage. Congrats the greens in Germany for shutting down nukular!! Boost the mines! Whatever is left of them (germany is running out of coal too).

    The stupid greenpeace and public are hounding nuclear and arguing that hydro is damaging, while at the same time coal is doubled in just over 2 decades. Frankly, organizations like Greenpeace are effectively boosting coal usage worldwide. But don't worry, World Coal Association is expecting that coal usage will increase another 75% by 2050. Hell, with the panic and "scrap nuclear", it will more than double.. So I say, buy coal? That's how we will destroy this planet after all.

  146. why you shouldn't rely on industry experts by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    Please state why you think a 9.0 earthquake was a strong possibility - especially when expert geologists didn't think this particular fault was capable of more than an 8.5-8.6 or so prior to this -

    Because plenty of other geologists said they should have been looking farther back than 1896 to plan their worst case scenario:

    In postulating the maximum-sized earthquake and tsunami that the Fukushima Dai-ichi complex might face, TEPCO's engineers decided not to factor in quakes earlier than 1896. That meant the experts excluded a major quake that occurred more than 1,000 years ago â" a tremor followed by a powerful tsunami that hit many of the same locations as the recent disaster.

    The warning from the 2001 report about the 3,000-year history would prove to be most telling: "The recurrence interval for a large-scale tsunami is 800 to 1,100 years. More than 1,100 years have passed since the Jogan tsunami, and, given the reoccurrence interval, the possibility of a large tsunami striking the Sendai plain is high."

    Shorter storyline: Japan's nuclear industry downplayed the risks and ignored outside experts not on their payroll. Funny how often that happens...

  147. Re:Faulty Diesel Generator Cause Fukushima Disaste by scharkalvin · · Score: 1

    Even worse, if the nuclear reactors had NOT been shut down there would have been no accident since it was the lack of power that caused the coolant failure and the reactors were NOT damaged by the earthquake or the tsunami.

  148. 100% renewables easier than nukes by mdsolar · · Score: 1

    The NYT has a nice summary of recent work on renewable energy on the large scale. http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/03/28/renewing-support-for-renewables/

    Basically, nukes are so expensive that they suck up resources for GHG emissions mitigation and slow things down. Renewables cost less even when you work in storage.

    1. Re:100% renewables easier than nukes by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      Yes, nuclear is so expensive that without them, your energy bills would almost quadruple. Articles like that tell "a" story, but not the whole story.

      You need to keep in mind that nuclear offloads considerable consumption from other fossil supplies. So while nuclear is expensive, its actually the cheapest, by a lot, and keeps all other energy prices down. The real world answer is dramatically different when you actually add everything together rather than look at just the capitol costs.

      There are very good reasons why base load power is nuclear and hydro and why its the cheapest power we have.

    2. Re:100% renewables easier than nukes by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      No, this is quite untrue. Nuclear power has very high subsidies so you are actually viewing a market distortion: http://www.ucsusa.org/assets/documents/nuclear_power/nuclear_subsidies_summary.pdf

    3. Re:100% renewables easier than nukes by GooberToo · · Score: 1

      No, that's not true. The reason why it has such high subsidies is because of the anti-nuclear crowd. If people would ignore the fucking idiots of the world, the subsidies would be ignored. Likewise, you're also ignoring the massive subsidies for most other forms or energy, with ethanol being one of the worst; with nuclear included.

      Take a hard look at what those subsidies are actually subsidizing and realize that the vast, vast majority haven't always been there.

    4. Re:100% renewables easier than nukes by mdsolar · · Score: 1

      As I was coming down the stair
      I saw a man who wasn't there
      He wasn't there again today
      I wish, I wish he'd go away

      Read the link and you'll see that a lot of the subsidies are historical including paying out on loan guarantees for bankrupt projects.

  149. Excluding Chernobyl is only rational thing by Chris+Burke · · Score: 1

    Excluding the only disaster to ever occur at a reactor that did not have any kind of containment vessel is the only rational way to discuss the risks of reactors operating today.

    It'd be like talking about the dangers of vehicles on the road today, which does include older cars with fewer safety features, but including a freakishly stupid car that was once built that had tanks filled with nitroglycerin attached to its exterior. Literally everyone recognizes that it was ridiculously retarded to ever build one that way, nobody would ever build another one, and there are no such cars remaining on the road. The relevance to real danger is zero.

    Note that a Chernobyl-free discussion still includes a whole gamut of human error, flawed reactor designs, and other things we can rationally talk about. But all relevant reactors -- including TMI and Fukushima -- include containment vessels. It's the simplest, most brain-dead, obvious ultimate back-up plan for reactor safety. Even really old, outdated reactors are using them. And the benefits, when comparing Chernobyl to every other disaster, are obvious.

    So yes. Excluding that disaster is the only reasonable way to talk about the dangers of nuclear power today.

    --

    The enemies of Democracy are
    1. Re:Excluding Chernobyl is only rational thing by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      I'll accept the exclusion of Chernobyl, with a proviso. Is anyone anywhere insane enough to run a nuclear power plant that doesn't have a containment vessel? If no such plants are operating today, nor will ever again be operated, then excluding Chernobyl is acceptable. The difference between Chernobyl and your exterior nitroglycerin fuel tank on a car, is that the latter is not going to cause damage on the same scale.

      The human element is what worries me the most. Honest mistakes are not the problem. Except for the issue of storing fuel in a nearby pool while performing maintenance, I am mostly satisfied we have carefully considered the dangers, and have designed robustly enough to avert them. No, it is the potential for lying and cheating that worries me. After a disaster is a hell of a time to find out about "deficiencies" in inspections or maintenance, or changes in the plans during construction, or that the actual procedures being followed varied dangerously from the recommended. Just as we are now hearing all about the deficiencies in the design used at Fukushima. Very few endeavors are less tolerant and consequences more devastating than operating a nuclear power plant. Deep Horizon was very bad, but at least it wasn't radioactive. Nevertheless, a ban on offshore oil drilling is always in the cards. If offshore oil drilling is so bad that maybe we shouldn't do it, then surely nuclear power qualifies. We cannot have shoddy, sloppy, careless, or reckless operation, not with something as dangerous as radioactive material. And I am not satisfied that we can keep out the sort of people who would gamble the future for a few more pennies today, or for not even that reason, but just out of sheer laziness or ineptitude.

      If we cannot discipline ourselves well enough to handle nuclear power safely, then we shouldn't use it at all.

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
  150. That's not how risk assessment works. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    In a real risk analysis, you have to weight the probability of an undesirable outcome using the amount of damage that would occur.

    This allows a low risk of a high-damage event to be usefully measured against a high risk (or even a certainty) of very low damage events, and tells you how much money, staff and equipment you will need to have available to deal with emergencies.

    This is what insurance companies do; they understand risk analysis. No insurance company will insure a terrestrial nuclear power plant.

    The insurance companies didn't get rich by being stupid, or bad at math, or incapable of judging risk. They will insure spaceships, for a very high price of course, or satellites, but they won't insure a nuke plant unless a government forces them to. Because it's a bad risk.

    What you are doing is faith-based engineering - pretending that performance figures from the past will necessarily predict the future. That doesn't work in real life, in real life systems and people and objects all wear out. You are also ignoring the fact that a single nuclear accident can devastate whole cities (perhaps even an island nation) such as the city of Prypat, whose 50,000 citizens will never be able to take their cancer-riddled children back to their former homes. That one accident, at Chernobyl, wiped out all profit that could ever be made from nuclear energy in the former soviet union for the next thousand years. Economically, they'd have been better off burning whale oil in solid platinum furnaces for power.

    Nuclear power is not cost efficient and mining radioactive fuels is highly polluting. Fantasy future technologies are not built because they are even less economically viable than the Victorian Steam Engine type reactors commonly used. Nuclear power systems do not generate plastics and other useful chemicals as byproducts, they just make waste which must be sequestered for absurd lengths of time or (at best) requires further dangerous processing in additional fission chambers.

    Nuclear power is not safe because even a single incompetent operator or a single overly greedy corporate power (why hello Homer and Monty) can do twelve thousand years of damage by circumventing vital safety procedures, as has been proven to have already happened repeatedly in Japan, Russia, and the United States.

  151. Problem, Reaction, Solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We saw it after the false flag attacks on 9/11, and now we see it with the HAARP generated earthquake.

    Yes Americans, demand that your "leaders" take charge.. Fucking idiots.

  152. Same tech? by Bengie · · Score: 1

    If we're using the same 50/60 year old tech that those Japanese nukes are using, then we've got problems. There are many much safer nuclear designs.

    Also, designing your coolant pump back-up to be semi-tsunami resistant is probably a good thing for a coastal plant at the convergence point of several large tectonic plates.

    Anyway, we're already having problems because several bi-products from nuclear plants are required for MRI/Chemo/etc. Our lack of nuclear power plants is causing a shortage of materials needed to save people's lives. Well, we're getting there anyway, but not quite.

  153. I Noticed the Other Day... by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    .....that we're only 4 years away from "Mr. Fusion", if the Back to the Future series is any indication..... THAT would be *great*.....

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  154. One Survey by skyraker · · Score: 1

    This is one survey. There have already been other surveys that have shown that even though support for nuclear power has slightly eroded recently, more than 50% still support it. You will never have a perfect survey on nuclear power until you can survey each and every American, because any survey will be contaminated by environmentalists, anti-nuke activists, energy company employees, etc. Half of what has been reported by the American media on what is happening in Japan has been spun to seem like it is Chernobyl all over again, which it isn't. What most people do not realize when there are these daily reports of 'radiation' found in soil/water/animals/etc is that the levels reported are not really hazardous at all. But all you will hear from the media is "1000 times worse than normal". When normal is essentially zero, 1000 times that is not much at all. It would be like going from a penny to $10.

  155. These people should ban Dihydrogen Monoxide too by Ant+P. · · Score: 1

    After all it was the main catalyst for this disaster.

  156. No more calls by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to New Scientist, coal kills about 13,000 Americans per annum. In a chart in their most recent edition, coal is by far the most lethal power source per billion GWh generated.

    Jek
    http://cricdetails.com

  157. An object at rest can not be stopped. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But you know, the Japanese plant "shut itself down safely the second power was lost".

    No, not the way the Canadian reactors do. If you get a leak in a Canadian reactor, they shut down and stop getting hotter. The heavy water in them? Take it out and the reaction stops cold. When there's a problem, they do two things - they drain the moderator (yes, moderator, not coolant. Heavy water is needed for these reactors to do anything at all.) and then drop the control rods. Both of these actions happen automatically with a power loss - not because of some magical generator allowing them to, but because the generator failed, and it is what is stopping gravity from causing those things to happen on their own.

    If the associated systems on a CANDU reactor stop functioning, the reactor stops reacting, and stops producing the insane amounts of heat associated with that reaction, and won't start again until someone fixes it. Yeah, you don't want to crawl into the reactor in your swimsuit, but it's not going to melt down, because it's not radioactive enough.

    One important thing to note: None of the safety features on a CANDU reactor will operate properly in a microgravity environment, and they are not suitable for use on space stations or space ships. In the event of a failure of gravity, CANDU reactors are very difficult to shut down. Fortunately, there are no known disasters that can cause a failure of gravity that will not also pretty much destroy the planet that the reactor was on before the reactor would have a chance to meltdown.

  158. The Price-Anderson act and moral hazard by DrJimbo · · Score: 1
    The Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act of 1957 says that the American people pay for underwriting the insurance for all nuclear power plants. In case of an accident, after a heftly deductible of $12.6 billion, the American public is on the hook for the rest of the costs.

    The rationale for this "temporary" (ha ha) measure is that nuclear power would not be competitive with alternative forms of power generation if they had to pay for their own insurance. THIS IS COMPLETELY INSANE!

    We are intentionally tilting the playing field in favor of the most dangerous form of power production available (when the danger is measured by the marketplace via the cost for insurance). Imagine what the world would be like if for the past 50 years we had instead tilted the playing field in favor of safer, renewable, alternative forms of energy production. Or, perhaps better still, if we had just left the playing field level.

    The only reason for this insane public subsidy of nuclear power is the greed of corporations. At the end of World War Two, many corporations had huge investments in nuclear technology. For example, DuPont had more capital investment in nuclear than all their other capital investments combined. In order to "maximize shareholder value" (wealth without work) they bought the Price-Anderson Act (politics without principles) in order to get rights without responsibilities.

    In Soviet Russia the problem was that the government controlled the corporations. The situation in Capitalist America is exactly the reverse.

    --
    We don't see the world as it is, we see it as we are.
    -- Anais Nin
  159. turn coal into gas & diesel with GRC's Microwa by nido · · Score: 2

    Right now the only viable replacement for nuclear power is coal.

    Global Resource Corporation [GRC] has a neat technology that uses specific microwave frequencies to release liquid (diesel) & gaseous (propane/butane) hydrocarbons from solids like used tires, plastics, and coal.

    But they haven't managed their company right (or they ran out of money), and haven't gotten past the prototype stage. Perhaps they're going to fold, or maybe Exxon-Mobil will buy up the patents to kill the technology. Or maybe GRC was infiltrated by big oil. Who knows.

    There are energy options that are better than nuclear, they're just not profitable for the financiers & utility barons. Raphial Morgado says in one of the YouTube videos (one of these: SJSU demonstration) that his "Mighty Pump" is disruptive technology, because it makes every internal combustion engine everywhere obsolete. Nothing's safe with disruptive technology: every turbine, and every water pump is now obsolete too, and whatever will JP Morgan do when all those utility companies start defaulting on their loans (when their power infrastructure, bought on time, becomes unprofitable because of Mr. Morgado's pump)?

    (Plug: I mentioned the Mighty Pump in my recent post that advocates having dedicated disaster response ships)

    --
    Learn the rules so you know how to break them properly.
    www.teslabox.com
  160. Re: Apples to Apples please by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you're going to use the highest estimates of deaths resulting indirectly from coal, then you have to use the highest estimates of indirect deaths from Chernobyl. They are hundreds of thousands, not 28.

  161. The answers. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here:

    Two technologies that are real that we never hear about. Solar thermal and fluid fuel reactors. One estimate says that a solar thermal plant of 100 sq mi would be capable of supplying the entire US power need. Yes Virginia, it can produce power at night (see the references below).

    Thorium based fluid fuel reactors. Plentiful fuel. Safe reactor design. Little toxic byproduct. Why don't we do it? You don't get weapons grade byproduct of course.

    Both make sense so will never happen. Start here:

    Solar thermal or "Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)":
    http://www.sciencefriday.com/program/archives/200803141

    Thorium and the fluid fuel reactor:
    http://www.wired.com/magazine/2009/12/ff_new_nukes/

  162. False choice: new vs old plants by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pro-nuke dweebs say if only new plants were built old ones would be retired.

    New plants are insanely expensive. Old plants are already built. So power companies will run both old and new plants. The economics dictate it.

    The old plants will never be retired. There is no ECONOMIC reason to retire them. Plenty of safety reasons, sure, but they are not in the safety business and have externalized any costs of an accident (Price-Anderson Act). No economic reason to shut down an old plant, just run it until an accident shuts it down. And when the spanking new plants become old and dangerous the same economic reasons will keep them running until they blow up too.

  163. I 'll see your survey and raise you a Yes minister by Falconhell · · Score: 1
  164. to safe or ot by leuk_he · · Score: 1

    Let me explain again. This is not a fight between safe and unsafe.

    if you replace an "old design" reactor with a "newer safer" you might improve. However what I am saying is that there is no replacing. You add new reactors. You do not replace old reactors in a current plant since it economically impossible to do so. There is not a direct connection between shutting down old plants and creating new one.

  165. Steam by Compaqt · · Score: 1

    It's said that William Gibson, the author of Neuromancer, when he finally got a computer, was non-plussed with what he saw as the weird electro-mechanical Victorian contraption (you're reading data by storing it on rotating plates with a magnet hovering over it?).

    Similarly, does anyone find it weird that all the cutting-edge technology of the splitting the atom is really doing is just boiling water?

    Have we really no other way to boil water?

    --
    I'm not a lawyer, but I play one on the Internet. Blog
  166. Loaded survey or what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    >> Over half (53 percent) of Americans would now support "a moratorium on new nuclear reactor construction in the United States," if "increased energy efficiency and off the shelf renewable technologies such as wind and solar could meet our energy demands for the near term."

    You know, if you could show me wind and solar to meet our energy requirements I'd ask for a reactor moratorium.

    But it isnt going to happen. Over here in the UK we've just had a wek where the wind farms were running at 1% capacity, because there was no wind. Anywhere in the country. And it'll be no surprise to anyone that it was cloudy a lot of that time too. Given the choice of coal (mining deaths, global warming) oil and gas (running out shortly) wind (keeps stopping) hydro (Banqiao) and Nuclear (4K deaths from Chernobyl, non at all from Fukushima or 3 mile island) I'll go nuclear thanks. It's the least bad option.

    I certainly don't want to go back to growing wood or any other fuel crop. Our population is now about 10 times too high for that. And going up...

  167. Stupid by Rysc · · Score: 1

    I am mystified as to why the Japanese nuclear issues of today are being taken as a sign that nuclear is unsafe instead of being taken as the opposite.

    Shall we review some facts? Using an old design that is less safe than what would be built today the Japan nuclear plants were built and maintained for decades without adverse effects on the population. It was only in the event of a "perfect storm" of disasters chained together that the plant failed: an earthquake and a tsunami and a failure of the backup generators. While the long term consequences, if any, are still being sorted out the focus should be on the story so far: All of the safety mechanisms worked as designed even in this fairly ridiculous scenario. To the extent that radiation was released it was a relatively minor amount that is not cause for immediate concern.

    Why is the headline not "Thousands dead in Japan but not one due to nuclear disaster."? Despite all of the fear mongering going on I have yet to see any credible evidence that the amount of radiation released is capable of causing harm. This is an enormous vindication of nuclear energy!

    Furthermore, to the extent that safety systems failed they failed in ways which would not be possible with newer plant designs. At the worst the headline should be "30 year old nuclear plants should have been replaced with modern designs before disaster struck."

    --
    I want my Cowboyneal
  168. Mission Accomplished! Info Warfare still works by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    what keeps the entire Middle East relevant on the world stage or history? What funds the South American dictators and keeps the "former" Soviet Union from failing and provides the impetus to manufacture the hardware for the "cultural rebellions" around the world? It sure isn't an oil-independent Western Society.

    An electric car infrastructure needs the universe's most efficient power generation system, or as close as humanity can get to it. The megawattage currently released from fossil fuels *must* be replaced in order for the "green future" to arrive.

    But the Royal Saud and their innumerable by-blows, and the Hugo Chavez's of the world would not have their undue influence and personal fortunes if the West went nuclear. Imagine what the consequences would be if there was reduced market for oil. Suddenly the "palestinian" movement wouldn't care about Israeli access to the Red Sea for pipelines. How would Chavez or Mexico's nationalized oil industry subsidize their socialist policies or afford the weapons to oppress their neighbors? Where would Putin find the cash or motivation to stomp neighboring nations like Georgia? How would Saudi and middle eastern "Royalty" fund their fleets of private jets and their attempted kingmaking through funding terrorist actions? By selling sand?

    So for decades, a pittance for propaganda, cheaper than even the most basic bombing raid, keeps America and most of Europe backwards. The science of propaganda has only advanced in sophistication since Goebbels proved ideals and the Media could be weaponized. Don't be fooled into thinking the anti-nuclear paranoia is accidental. Remember that the West doesn't have a "free" press-but it's not that expensive to manipulate either. Fortunately for them the amount of "useful idiots" is not in decline.

  169. dumbasses by robpoe · · Score: 1

    You're fricking stoned. No, Americans who are dumb enough to get cornered by the marketers / pollsters fear it because big media is telling them to be afraid of it, are saying they are.

    Just as much as I could go on the news and tell them that there are zombies out there that will eat their brains.

    Nuclear power can be safe, however sometimes the older reactors are not as safe as the newer technologies are.

    --
    = Grow a brain...
  170. OB. XKCD by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    http://xkcd.com/radiation/

    To put that into perspective, in Hockey this year up in Canada, I had a pretty tough year, and managed to crack a rib, and mess up my rotator cuff on my left shoulder. As such I have had 3 xrays of my ribs, and like 6 (I presume because its a joint and harder to see) of my shoulder, so like 9 chest xrays in the last 6 Months.

    So that's like 20 SV * 9 = 180 SV. Which is more than double the average exposure from within 10 miles of 3 mile island or more than 50 times the average of the dose that someone got living in one of the nearby towns as of March 17th.

    Kind of puts it into perspective.

  171. not compared to the alternatives by ReedYoung · · Score: 1

    Wind turbines at their best are uneven suppliers of electricity. They are are also eye sores.

    Maybe compared to Glacier National Park they are eyesores, but compared to coal and nuclear power plants, they are scenic beauty!

    Also, what you said about wind power being inherently uneven is a lie.

    It just requires a modicum of intelligence.

    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p
  172. Numbers don't lie. by ReedYoung · · Score: 1

    But nuclear and petroleum shills like you do, constantly.

    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p
    1. Re:Numbers don't lie. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      So show us your numbers already.

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  173. You're wrong. Wind is always blowing somewhere. by ReedYoung · · Score: 1

    All that is required for wind to provide baseload power is 10 or more interconnected, geographically separated wind farms.
    www.stanford.edu/group/efmh/winds/aj07_jamc.pdf

    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p
  174. You have quite an imagination! by ReedYoung · · Score: 1

    I imagine the real reason is that the theoretically engineering maximums were too optimistic.

    Do you have any facts?

    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p
  175. I already have. by ReedYoung · · Score: 1
    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p
    1. Re:I already have. by TheTurtlesMoves · · Score: 1

      Did you even read the post you replied too? And why don't you start with numbers rather than a attack. Finally that is a straw man. I never said you *can't* build wind farms and interconnect them. I said that once you work at the scale of replacing base load, its not longer even remotely economic. In fact that paper had *zero* information about the economics. Once you want to replace base load, you can't choose between locations, you need to put a turbine in *all* locations. Even this study shows how hard it is. 19 optimally chosen sites still produce less that half there capacity on average. And to match coals reliability (92.3%) the capacity is down rated to 11-4% of the total (pg 5). This makes my case *stronger*. Furthermore there study was a bit of toy example. To replace base load and peaking power we are talking about 1000 of GWd not a few 1000 MWh.

      It is easy to assert, "just do wind". But the bottom line is you won't want to pay for it when the time comes, and even then its probably not enough. You need to put turbines all over entire countries, and for a lot of places that is still not enough.

      And how the frack did you come to the conclusion i am a shill? What do you do for a living? Sell wind turbines?

      --
      The Grey Goo disaster happened 3 billion years ago. This rock is covered in self replicating machines!
  176. Try again, this time using REAL numbers. by ReedYoung · · Score: 1
    Stop lying. Page 5 does not say what you claimed it says.

    “Firm capacity” is the fraction of installed wind capacity that is online at the same probability as that of a coal-fired power plant. On average, coal plants are free from unscheduled or scheduled maintenance for 79%–92% of the year, averaging 87.5% in the United States from 2000 to 2004 (Giebel 2000; North American Electric Reliability Council 2005).

    Not 92%, which was your lie.

    Figure 3 shows that, while the guaranteed power generated by a single wind farm for 92% of the hours of the year was 0 kW, the power guaranteed by 7 and 19 interconnected farms was 60 and 171 kW, giving firm capacities of 0.04 and 0.11, respectively.

    So that's at least 11% for 19+ wind farms, not 4%-11%. You have both exaggerated coal's firm capacity and understated that of large numbers of interconnected wind farms. Maybe you just enjoy coal pollution, but the more likely motivation of your behavior is that you are a paid coal / petroleum shill.

    Furthermore, 19 interconnected wind farms guaranteed 222 kW of power (firm capacity of 0.15) for 87.5% of the year, the same percent of the year that an average coal plant in the United States guarantees power. Last, 19 farms guaranteed 312 kW of power for 79% of the year, 4 times the guaranteed power generated by one farm for 79% of the year.

    Finally, nobody believes we will decommission all coal plants any time soon. But wind is capable of adding to baseload instead of adding more coal plants or more nuclear plants. That is the relevant fact for the present situation. All new capacity should be clean, which means only wind and solar, and that is quite feasible using wind and solar thermal for baseload and pv solar for peak.

    --
    "I can't imagine how things could get any worse!" (some guy) "That could just be failure of imaginatioÂn on your p