The Mathematics of Obesity
Hugh Pickens writes "The NY Times reports that Carson C. Chow, an MIT-trained mathematician and physicist, has taken a new look at America's obesity epidemic and found that a food glut is behind America's weight problem, with the national obesity rate jumping from 20 percent to over 30 percent since 1970. 'Beginning in the 1970s, there was a change in national agricultural policy. Instead of the government paying farmers not to engage in full production, as was the practice, they were encouraged to grow as much food as they could,' says Chow. 'With such a huge food supply, food marketing got better and restaurants got cheaper. The low cost of food fueled the growth of the fast-food industry. If food were expensive, you couldn't have fast food.' Chow and mathematical physiologist Kevin Hall created a mathematical model of a human with hundreds of equations, boiled it down to one simple equation, and then plugged in all the variables — height, weight, food intake, exercise. The slimmed-down equation proved to be a useful platform for answering a host of questions. For example, huge variations in your daily food intake will not cause variations in weight, as long as your average food intake over a year is about the same. Unfortunately, another finding is that weight change, up or down, takes a very, very long time. Chow has posted an interactive version of the model on the web where people can plug in their information and learn how much they'll need to reduce their intake and increase their activity to lose."
Fruit is the problem - it's full of sugar. I suppose low-sugar fruits are OK then.
I'm not sure I agree that losing weight takes a 'very very long time.' I went to eating yogurt for breakfast, soup for lunch and salmon or chicken and broccoli or strawberries and sometimes some almonds here and there as well as switching to Almond milk. I also gave up red meat, most dairy, etc.. and let me tell you -- not to sound hippy-ish but, I never felt better. Combined with walking - I lost 100lbs in a year... and I didn't starve myself. My diet was boring but, it happened in a year and 100lbs is no small feat.
I've also noticed on the other hand that eating like crap -- you can gain a lot of that back. I went from 267 to 169 and now am at 215.. trying again to reach less than 200. It doesn't seem to take some people long to gain it or lose it.
Wish I knew why.
That the primary problem with people becoming obese being that they consume too much food is hardly news, nor is it news that food is much more abundant these days than it was in the past.
That said, it is interesting to read about this approach to studying obesity. And the simulator was also kind of interesting although it told me that in order to maintain my current weight I need to increase my energy intake by 300-800 kCal/day (depending on activity level specified) which is sort of odd since I'm currently neither gaining nor losing weight, just maintaining (in case you're wondering about my activity level, I'm at the gym more days than I'm not and I also try to get an hour or two of cardio in every week).
Greylisting is to SMTP as NAT is to IPv4
It's everywhere and you don't need it. Drink only water and don't buy any food that has sugar (fructose excluded) in it.
You DON'T need it. You like it because your are an addicted junky.
Love many, trust a few, do harm to none.
Why is this appropriate for Slashdot, for the math, or for the obesity?
Jesus was all right but his disciples were thick and ordinary. -John Lennon
Hey, fat people - eat less!
You are consciously lifting that food and putting it in your mouth, chewing and swallowing.
Just stop doing that so much and you'll get thinner.
I guarantee it.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/06/why-the-campaign-to-stop-america-s-obesity-crisis-keeps-failing.html
According to this its a change of diet (as in the promoted healthy diet is anything but) in the 1970's and way too many sugars.
Step 1.Completely (or as much as reasonably possible) eliminate fructose from your diet.
Step 2. Win.
The fact that people are eating more is not due to supply, its due to the fact that their natural appetite inhibitor is ruined by eating fructose. (See step 1)
You cannot expect to lose weight purely by expending energy. (See step 1, and after you've lost weight, you'll _want_ to exercise, but you won't _need_ to)
I now buy raw food and cook it myself, I even bake the bread myself. And, my calorie intake dropped -- I am just less hungry, I do not crave for food in the middle of night, etc. My small cereal breakfast supplies me with energy well till afternoon.
The highly processed food is tasty and burns fast in some addictive way. People have refined the recipes for hundreds of years to make the food just that -- it has been a selective process that promoted the most addictive variants.
Fortunately, the art of making food for people that think, that the real taste is not a copious amount of simple sugars and sodium glutamate, has survived as well.
Fruit isn't so bad, because it has fiber -- this keeps part of the sugar in your bowls, until it gets refined by bacteria and farted. Plus you need the vitamin. Fruit juice is another story: might as well drink beer.
Some videos on sugar from the UC:
http://www.uctv.tv/skinny-on-obesity/
A cursory look at the app and I can see some definite uses. I've been wanting to create (mostly for my wife and myself; but theoretically for others later as open source) a personalised diet planner application based on some fuzzy logic, the "USDA National Nutrient Database for Standard Reference" data, and user input for common/preferred/available meals. Combining it with the formula used in this simulator would be really helpful.
Unfortunately, I don't actually see the formula or source code to the app anywhere on the linked pages. Am I just missing it somewhere?
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Here is the mathematics of obesity:
input > output
Far too many Americans are simply not active. This is compounded by the fact that while not active they have easy access to food that it too conveniently packaged for consumption. I love the people at work who blame medical conditions for their weight while consuming a whole bag of chips or having that bagel covered in cream cheese. People don't know the calories they are consuming and woefully underestimate the amount of them in the foods they eat.
So sugar is only part of the problem. I know lots of people who don't eat cookies, drink soda, or the like, and yet they little walking cubed shaped individuals. All because of the mass amount of carb and fat filled foods they consume.
Gone are the long days and long weeks of manual labor. Instead most Americans sit during their workday and spend only a third of their week at most working and traveling too and from work. I am not declaring that working only forty hours or less is bad; but lets be honest those we know who do more tend to get further; but it did leave many people with way too much time on their hands and they don't know what to do with it.
You can maintain a healthy weight and eat some truly trashy food. As part of a diet and exercise contest we have at work I set out to prove that some seriously trashy breakfast foods could be consumed while losing weight as long as the diet and exercise balanced out. This meant items like donuts or muffins with coffee and cream from Dunkin in the morning every work day for two weeks. Yet followed by sensible lunches and dinners which most of us kept logs for. Those who logged their food showed the most loss. That is the real key, knowing what you eat.
* Winners compare their achievements to their goals, losers compare theirs to that of others.
but I gave up after about the 20th dialogue box.
Most linux users don't know this, but the man pages were named after Chuck Norris. Chuck Norris fsck'ing hates noobs!
"Well, what do people do when there is extra food around? They eat it! This, of course, is a tremendously controversial idea. However, the model shows that increase in food more than explains the increase in weight."
So he's not just modelling physiology, he's also modelling economic decisions? And he's modelling the impacts of various government policies?
I wouldn't be surprised if poor people ate more food when the price went down, as they are highly affected by food costs, and they are the ones who experienced the largest increases in obesity. I'm just skeptical because he seems to be making some very broad conclusions from such a specific piece of research.
The term "Junk Food" used to denote things like potato chips, but with the arrival of food glut since the '70s in the States, "Junk Food" now includes the following:
* TV Dinner
No matter how good they look on TV ads, no matter how "nutritious" we are told, TV Dinners are still packed with preservatives, flavor enhancers (MSG), processed starched, and so on
* Take Outs
No matter it's "Moo Goo Gai Pan" from Chinese restaurants or that super yummy pizza from your neighborhood Italian joints, take outs contain super-duper dose of MSGs
* Deliveries and Drive Through
Even the biggies, from Mickey Dees to Pizza Hut are jumping on the bandwagon trying their best to stuff your face - as long as you got the $$$
Muchas Gracias, Señor Edward Snowden !
Just so we can get them out of the way:
"I tried diet X and lost Y pounds, thus clearly establishing that substance Z is causing everyone to become fat."
"Moral failing Q is the real culprit! We need government policy R! I have no proof!"
"I'm from country C and we have no fat people. You Americans are fat, and I have a ridiculous accent!"
The late 70s created the "perfect storm" as it were for obesity to take off....Up until the late 70s obesity was relatively constant in the US, but then skyrocketed, and no matter what your favorite cause for this rapid increase, you will find it in the late 70s. We had: :P Hell you could even blame the backlash against smoking that started in the 70s for some of the gain(esp. if you are a smoker) as many smokers turned from niccotine to food to get their fix...
Nixons ag reforms
High-fructose corn syrup becoming mainstream
Peak factory employment(marking a trend towards more sedentary work)
And McDonalds introduced the happy meal toy, helping get kids hooked early
> created a mathematical model of a human with hundreds of equations
and at least hundreds of parameters?
I do not believe in karma. "Funny"=-6. Do good and forbid evil. Yours, Oft-Offtopic Flamebaiting Troll.
Coral cached before it's overrun by horde of fat sweaty nerds...
I'm italian, I went to the US many times as a tourist, and I noticed the huge amount of fat people there. I'm not a mathemathician, but I just need to watch an american fast food to understand what the problem is: hamburgers, hot dogs, fried fries and sugar beverages. Just DON'T get them, NEVER, not even on your birthday. Is it so difficult to understand?!
Eat healthy things, usually they are also tasteful (of course I could suggest the italian food, we have only 8% obesity rate here...), go running in the park 2-3 times a week, and - most of all - have a lot of sex. :D
Sugar IS indeed a poison, like alcohol...in fact, alcohol and sugar both get turned into FAT, which is killing us because we eat too damn much of it.
Anyway, on a personal note, I have cut out sugary drinks (no sodas) I only allow a few coke zeros (yes I know they are also poison, but I still drink a couple a month). Similarly, cut out fast food, white bread, beef, anything processed, juice, salt. Cook everything yourself then you know what goes in it. Eat natural foods. Once you know how to cook, it will be better than any restaurant anyway. You can always use the freshest ingredients. Anyway, eating healthy and being a normal weight (got a bmi of 21.5, but still fat!) is easy to achieve with a little knowledge and exercise.
I don't know, but I hear 2200 kcal is about normal for a male my size. I can't begin to imagine it being "easy" to eat triple my daily food intake.
At the same time,
Typically 100 grams of fat => 900 kcal but apparently 3500kcal per 454 grams would suggest 770 kcal per gram of fat.
What's going on here?
put the price of food up. Not what people want to hear nor really what should be done, but putting up the price of food would make the average person thinner.
In an ideal world we would show restraint and only eat what we needed to, but human nature makes most people eat lots of food when it is cheap and easily available.
1) There is an obesity epidemic among children too young to ever have been to a fast-food restaurant.
2) Babies are fat, but babies have always been fat.
3) Exercise is good, but has a very limited effect on weight. Most food energy is used to keep our core temperature up. Ask any lizard.
4) There is an obesity epidemic among other mammals, including zoo animals that are on controlled diets.
Conclusions: The obesity epidemic is most likely caused by an endocrine disruptor that affects many or all mammals. Also, most obesity theories are faith-based crap.
So, Chow found that Americans chow down on cheap chow too much...
Excuse me, but please get off my Pennisetum Clandestinum, eh!
A mathematical model is a simplification of the underlying system. That means it is worthless unless validated against experiments. Even after validation, the model cannot make predictions ouside the range where it has been validated.
Statements like "huge variations in your daily food intake will not cause variations in weight, as long as your average food intake over a year is about the same" seem go way outside where there could possibly have been any experimental validation, and suggest that this MIT researcher doesn't know what he's doing. (Either that, or TFS is wrong, but that would never happen on /. )
And here I though java was completely dead on the internet
From my personal experience, I recently lost a lot of weight. The biggest shift I made to burn off fat was to drastically reduce how much grain I consumed weekly. I exercised about the same amount during the time, but the weight loss tracked pretty closely to my change in diet.
... that the advent of Television (watching movies together, cartoons, simpsons, etc) was much more damaging. How many people are glued to TV or a screen in case of the net these days?
The truth is our minds find it easier to find positively stimulating things on screens then being active.
Take an orange and eat it. You feel full, it tasted good. Take a glass of orange juice (an average size glass can have the equivalent of three oranges, thus three times the calories AND with most of the fiber removed). A glass of juice has the same amount of calories as a can of COKE.
I've seen V, it's all about fattening us up like livestock to eaten. It's the only thing that makes any sense. It's almost impossible to buy any food that isn't filled with either some form of Salt or Sugar. You have to pay a premium to eat anything that's good for you. I KNOW THE TRUTH!
I won't partake in diet plans that don't involve N easy steps or miracle fruits.
It has long been known that one kg of fat is 7000 (kilo)calories (sorry about mixed units).
So if you eat just 100 more calories per day than you expend, you put on a about a pound a month.
And another rule of thumb - for each kg of body weight you need one (kilo)calorie to travel a mile - regardless if you walk, jog or run. So my 6 mile run burns 540 calories - and if I do that for 7 days without eating more I'll loose 500g.
Other factors factored in, like activity, Campbell found surprisingly that many Chinese actually consume about 30% more calories than Americans, yet they had incredibly less overweight people. Again, he didn't compare a sedentary American to a field worker in China, he compared them to an office worker in China to make it fair.
So it wasn't just calories, it is the types of food. Processed foods and animal foods are to blame. China actually proves to be an excellent place to study because they have a wide range of groups that live the same way, eat the same way, and live in the same place most of their lives. Campbell found that the more animal foods and processed foods they ate, the more disease and obesity the had. This isn't just junk science, either. You can do the research for yourself. As third world countries get wealthier and adopt a western-style diet, they also adopt western disease rates and obesity. It is not just their genes. If they move here and start eating like us, they get our diseases at the same rates (or higher). There is nothing special about these people other than their diets.
Our diets combined with our lifestyles are killing us here...and if you want to cut your chances of cancer, diabetes, and other chronic illnesses down, the solution is simple. All you have to do is eat like you live in a 3rd world country. Less animal products and processed foods, more whole foods. It's that simple.
I do disagree with Campbell that you *have* to become a vegetarian. They do eat meat in China, just way less of it. But his studies on people that reversed massive heart disease just by becoming vegetarians is fairly impressive.
Doctors destroy health, lawyers destroy justice, universities destroy knowledge, religion destroys spirituality
I think I found this here like 5 years ago and I've kept it since.
http://muller.lbl.gov/TRessays/22-ThePhysicsDiet.htm
I've emailed Richard last year by the way and he's still the weight he achieved in that article 9 years later.
FWIW: I'm an endomorph who DOES believe that some people hold weight easier, crave carbs and sugar more than others and have a lower BMR. However science is science - these things only make up a small fraction of the work. 95%+ is simply putting in the effort.
I can also confirm that adjusting diet is far, far far more rewarding than excercise for weight loss, despite other health benefits. Just as his article says.
Lots of meat, almost NO carbs (under 50g a day) tons of green veggies. Lost 11 lb in the first week and around 5 lb/week afterward. I will reach my and since I cook all the stuff I eat, maintenance is easy since good habits are now a given. Grok on!
This is news?
When I was a kid, and McDonald's were few and far between (early 70s) a McDonald's "meal" was a hamburger, fries, and drink.
That's a single hamburger, what is now a small fries, and a small beverage. That was a satisfying full meal for an adult. Is that even a kids meal any more?
Another example, I believe it was mentioned by a poster on slashdot. He was remodeling a 100yr-old farmhouse and he hadn't planned to, but found he had to rip out the cabinets as they were too small - the only plates that fit in the cupboard were the 9" (small) dinner plates, not our today-common 12" dinner plates.
Finally, I was talking with a friend that runs a restaurant. I asked him why their portion sizes were so massive. His response was that it was to camouflage the prices with extra food, since food prices were cheap - it's the labor that drives costs. If he offered a moderately-sized meal, it might cost $8. If he was to DOUBLE the amount of food on that plate, it would cost perhaps +$1. Conversely, cutting the amount of food in half would only save $1. Consumers are far more willing to pay $9 for a GIANT pile of food (they feel they're getting a bargain), than $7 for 1/4 the food. On the latter, they feel they're being ripped off.
-Styopa
As to the comment above that sugar is poison, then why, with my voracious sweet tooth, am I still alive and healthy at 66?
I have never been fat. As a result, I have been able to see what starts making me fat. The culprits are:
1. Soda pop. This is possibly the greatest fat producer. If you want to stay slim, you have to swear off soda pop. Sweet tea is as bad. I knew a bus driver that said he couldn't stop gaining weight. Every time I woud see him, he would be carrying a humongous Big Gulp from 7-eleven (a huge fountain drink). A new crew member at a gas pipeline service company complained to me that he was gaining weight like never before. The crew always bought and drank tons of Gaiter Aid during the day.
2. Fried foods. Probably along side with soda pop in fattening ability.
3. Potatos. Especially mashed. Ear rice or corn.
4. Bread. I once had a girl after me who was way too plump. One time at dinner she said that she loved her bread. Dropped considering her as wife.
5. Ice cream. I know, you will die first. Try to make it a once a month treat.
Impressive study, but why will no one accept blame for their own actions? We know fast food is bad, but still eat it. We know sitting on the couch with an Xbox controller for hours on end is bad, but won't go outside and shoot some hoops, or take a walk, etc.
It's like everything else; it's not my fault, I have a 'disease', I can't control it. Food is too cheap. Restaurants serve too much.
(This post was written while sitting in a chair, drinking coffee, having a cheese danish, and ordering a pizza for lunch.)
No hope.
The energy balance equation of, food eaten equals fat stored minus exercise, is used in a very misleading way. Most assume you can manipulate it yourself by eating less and exercising more. But that ignores entirely the body's own control system. There are some lab rats that were starved to death by underfeeding, in an experiment, and whilst they starved to death they were gaining fat and died obese. Why? Because they were also receiving insulin and this told their bodies to store fat no matter what, even if they were not being fed, so they converted their muscle and organs into fat and stored that instead. They died of weak heart mucles and heart failure.
It is like a child eats extra to grow but he doesn't grow because he's eating extra, he eats extra and grows because the body's hormones are controlling things and telling the body to eat more and grow. It is all about hormones. Why do diabetics take insulin? To CONTROL their blood sugar. That's what insulin does. Insulin decides that you have to lower that blood sugar. And how does it control it and get it out of the blood stream? It tells fat cells to open up and absorb it. That's what "lowers" your blood sugar. The insulin decides to store it. And as it is storing it, your normal metabolism is still hungry. So the energy equation is used wrong. You don't get fat because you overeat, you overeat because you're getting fat.
What drives up insulin levels beyond normal, beyond what our 100,000 year old bodies are used to? Carbohydrates. You can eat fat and that'll be converted to energy and you'll want to move more. But eat carbs in the massive unusual quantities that we do, like pasta, pizza, bread, potatoes, and sugared drinks, and it all turns to sugar and insulin has to be produced in huge quantities to deal with it. Your normal blood sugar is one teaspoon of sugar. That's it. That's all we're made to deal with. So insulin goes nuts trying to deal with all that "healthy slow release energy" and eventually you get obese and you get diabetes.
The food pyramid was a huge shift towards grains (bird food) and away from fat. The fat / heart disease / lipid hypothesis was wrong 50 years ago and by committee "we have to tell the politicians what to regulate even if we aren't sure ourselves" consensus opinion ended up dominating and it is still wrong today. Eating a low fat high carb diet is a recipe not only for obesity but also depression. Just try switching to a genuine low carb high fat diet (see Sweden's latest magazine, "LCHF") and try it for yourself. After a month carbs just don't look like food anymore. Sleep better, feel lighter, feel satiated all the time (fat is filling, whilst carbs increase appetite or make you sleepy) and have more mental clarity. YMMV but that's been my experience to my surprise.
There are so many things wrong with the current dogma around the food pyramid that you have to undo many issues before you can wade your way to some clarity. But the best thing is to actually try it for a period, and see if what the proponents of LCHF and paleo say is true. Your own body can tell you.
Go and check what that research about bad fat and heart disease was actually based on, how they've repeatedly failed to show in good controlled studies that eating low fat is good for you, or that counting calories and exercising lets you lose wight. Those studies keep failing but the advocates keep hoping the next big study will show it. The start in rise in obesity coincided with the start of that advice about fat being the devil and to make most of your food plate carbs (sugar) instead. It has been a massive experiment on the public and it has gone catastrophically wrong, but rather than say that they just call people weak willed and lazy. All those carbs and sugar simply drive up your hunger whilst storing it as fat and keeping you tired.
Sugar is a needed and necessary nutrient for our bodies. But, much like anything else, the poison is in the dose. For example, our bodies are mostly made up of water. Good old H2O, necessary for all life on Earth. But drink too much water in too short an amount of time and you can die from electrolyte imbalance. By and large it's the dose, not the substance that is poisonous.
Our bodies were designed to take in small amounts of natural sugars from fruits and vegetables. Large amounts of sugars will, as you said, be converted to fat. and can make you lethargic and ill-feeling.
Ironically, (at least in the US) Most soft drinks and other "sugary" foods don't actually have any sugar in them. Instead they use a far more dangerous substance, High Fructose Corn Syrup, or HFCS.
HFCS is a cheap (due to corn subsidies) easy to transport, slow to spoil, and highly soluble in water, making it an ideal sugar substitute for much of the food industry. The downside is that HFCS in any significant amount causes the human body to react in some very adverse ways. HFCS causes thirst, liver damage, diabetes and as has been recently discovered by researchers at Princeton University causes extreme weight gain and obesity far in excess of what simple sugar can do. In particular, HFCS causes weight gain in the belly and torso. HFCS also causes significant increases in the amount of triglycerides in the bloodstream, a major factor in heart disease, the number one killer of adults in the US.
So it's good that you are cutting out the soft drinks and other "sugary" things, but unless you live somewhere that doesn't use HFCS (South America, parts of Europe, China) make sure you are blaming the right thing. otherwise, i think your diet change is a sound one. Lots of fresh meats, fresh vegetables, small amounts of fruit and grains and an absolute minimum of "sweet snacks". (This is basically the "maintenance" portion of the Atkins diet, btw.)
Also, if you live in the US, be sure to join a group lobbying for the repeal of corn subsidies of all kinds. It's the subsidies that make HFCS so cheap. eliminate them, and the food industry will go back to using much more benign sugar.
Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
I guess their model starts with "assume a spherical person"...
"...Look on my works, ye mighty, and despair!"
I find it difficult to take seriously any nutritional doctrine that posits a non-relativistic equivalence between mass (pounds) and energy (calories). I'm willing to believe that there's a relationship between the two as far as weight gain/loss goes for a particular foodstuff, but there are so many variables involved it's hard to believe that the relationship is even close to linear. On top of which, a substantial fraction of human body weight is water whose calorie content is - wait for it - zero.
Aside from simple monotonicity - eat less to weigh less - I'm still waiting for a quantitative approach that's anywhere near plausible. The Java applet in the link isn't it.
Sucrose and glucose cause insulin spikes which cause fat to be stored. If you've not eaten fat within 2 hours either side, they just make you hungry, but aren't a direct cause of becoming fat.
Caffeine seems to block fat storage to some degree as well as help you burn those calories.
Being inactive probably also causes fat to be stored. Those calories have to go somewhere.
Chow, an MIT-trained mathematician and physicist
The fact it's written by Chow is making me hungry.
Professor Karmadillo Songs of Science
If we are able to produce more than we need, please consider it giving to third world nations where people die due to hunger and major population is malnourished.
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From the article:
''That the conventional wisdom of 3,500 calories less is what it takes to lose a pound of weight is wrong. The body changes as you lose. Interestingly, we also found that the fatter you get, the easier it is to gain weight. An extra 10 calories a day puts more weight onto an obese person than on a thinner one.''
A factor 1,000 wrong with the calories.
Disclaimer: the following is totally subjective
My personal experience coming to study in the USA.
In 1995, I arrived to Boston for one-year exchange to study in a college. The first thing I noticed was that the meal size in USA was enormous compared to what I was used to living in Europe. The first night they "unleashed" us, the international students, we went for a stroll by the town. We were very hungry, and picked (and I mean it) the first place we saw that served food. We ordered medium size meals, and NONE, not one of us guys managed to finish the meal. We wanted. I've been raised with the dogma that "you have to finish what's on your plate", but it was just physically impossible.
I have yet to find a place in Europe where "large meal" is too big for me to finish. But I will never forget the HUGE meals that the serve in the USA.
I cannot prove it, but I do believe the size of the meals have some correlation with obesity.
Food should be priced per calorie.
A typical 2000 calorie a day diet should cost roughly $20 if obtained from processed foods or restaurants. That means the typical 4000+ calorie a day diet from eating at fast food restaurants or processed food would be $40/day or roughly $15k a year, or $60k for a family of 4, which is far too expensive for most people.
"Good" food, such as fruits and vegetables and non-processed food would be nearly free as farmers should be subsidized by taxes on the fast food/packaged food industry. This would encourage people who want to eat cheap to get their food energy from nutritious sources. Fast food restaurants can reduce their taxation by offering cheap "nutritious" options on their menu with produce bought directly from farmers at non-subsidized prices.
Salt and Sugar should cost as much as gold/oz forcing fast/packaged food industries to reduce the use of salt and sugar as cheap flavouring agents.
Looking back in history, only rich people could afford to be fat. Today the 99% are fat because they are eating like kings and queens and the 1% can afford liposuction and tummy tucks and trendy organic food.
I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
It's more complicated than counting calories. Our bodies are chemical black box engines. As with any engine, fuel composition makes a difference (try putting wood pellets in your gas tank or gas in your wood stove). There's a lot of wishing for a one-size fits-all solution but each of us is a unique engine requiring a unique fuel blend. There's just too many variables - everything from activity level to the species of bacteria in your gut (which never comes up in weight management discussion).
I know from personal experience that my engine runs efficiently on meat and fat with some low sugar carbs. Your results may vary.
"The mathematics of obesity" doesn't parse, unless we're talking about statistical analysis.
Mathematics is a matter of number systems and mathematical operations. Obeisity is a matter of anatomy - and I doubt there's any one special cause to it. If we would be concerned, rather, about how to address it as individual persons responsible for our own health - it being rather a personal matter - then I doubt that the discussion would continue to be relevant in the technical Slashdot forum. Dr. Phil is there for baggage, health scientists for dietary concerns, fitness instructors for recreational exercise, and one's own coworkers, family, and community are there for ... whatever they're there for, maybe for community.
Me, I'm not one to try to judge my family, friends, and neighbors in terms of statistics. DNRTA.
Java is not supported on freebsd firefox, so i cant use the calculator. I guess ill just stay fat...
For most of my adult life I was 30 lbs over weight and tried all of the tricks. I'm a mechanical engineer so intuitively I knew energy in vs energy out was the key. So I said screw it, this year I'm going eat less no matter how much it sucks. I personally can't stand eating small meals so I decided to eat one meal a day. I drink coffee and tea during the day and have a big meal at night. I estimate the average daily calorie went from 3000 to 1800. Guess what? I lost 30 pounds over 4 months. Was it hard? You bet your ass it was. I was/am hungry most of the time. But at least I can look forward to that one nice meal at night. And it's not always a "healthy" meal. Sometimes it's a 1/2 lb cheese burger with fries. But that's still less than 1800 calories and that's all that counts.
I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
The mathematics of obesity is simple. If calories burned is less than calories consumed, then people will gain weight. Doesn't matter if there is an abundance of food or not, although a lack of food tends to make it more difficult.
It's not just the consumption side of the equation, but also the burn side, too. In 1970, people walked to the local store. Today, there are few local stores, replaced by mega shopping centers which have to be driven to. In 1970, to put your car in the garage, you got out of the car, bent over and lifted a heavy garage door to open it. Today, you push a button. In 1970, agriculture and heavy manufacturing were the mainstay of the economy (meaning physical labor), today it is information and what manufacturing is left is heavily dominated by computer controlled robotics. In 1970, most areas of the country were limited to a handful of tv stations and they went off the air at midnight, as such, we spent much more time outdoors doing stuff. Today, we have 100s of stations 24/7 and can plant ourselves on the couch without the need to go outdoors (there is also a vitamin D deficiency epidemic in this country, too). The list goes on and on.
The reality is that not only do we live in a society that has unlimited access to calories to consume, but we also live in a society that has eliminated much physical work, so much so, that today, exercise is the main way to burn calories.
Actually, the reason fat is stored is because prior to refrigeration, calories in most diets were seasonal. Just like bears who put on fat before they hibernate, humans would store fat (although nothing like the obesity today) to help them get through the lean winter months. It is how the body is designed.
However, the real problem with the high carbohydrate (and no, I am not an Atkins fan), is that not only does the insulin break down the sugars to be used by the body, it also signals the body to store an excess fat floating around for later use, because it is easier to store fat than it is to convert excess sugar to fat (although it can do that, too).
In short, high carbohydrate diets, particularly those with empty calories (no nutritional value) accompanied by high fat diets lead to overweight people by overloading the carefully balanced system the body depended on during evolution to deal with the feast and famine cycle the people had to deal with.
Ultimately, though, whether fat calories or carbohydrate calories, if you consume more calories than you burn, you are going to get fat. High fat diets just make it easier because they are higher calorie to start with and fat is easier to store as fat than sugar is.
His name is Chow? How apt.
If food was expensive, we wouldn't eat as much. Also if food was very expensive more people would starve to death. Which according to mathematics means they are not obese, so its a win-win.
Since we are using math to analyze this, lets start taking the average human weight. That way for every morbidly obese person, we can have one or two skin and bones starving person to make up for them. Mathematical perfection!
While we are at it, we can government-mandate that the little food we do produce must be highly bland and nearly inedible. Problem solved!
I'm a good cook. I'm a fantastic eater. - Steven Brust
I recently lost a lot of weight (60lbs) by completely avoiding any food containing corn byproducts, including meat. Corn is used to fatten up cattle. The corn's RNA causes the cow to fatten. When we eat the cow, that same fattening RNA is folded into our own DNA, and creates a lot health problems, diabetes, leg cramps, shaky leg syndrome, etc. (my exercise regiment stayed the same from before the weight loss and after)
Normally you shouldn't get sleepy after a meal. If you eat clean, you burn clean energy. Avoid anything that has to do with corn.
I still eat fresh baked breads, fruits and chocolate and I'm looking sexy as hell. Also my thinking is clearer and its easier to learn new things!
You don't have to believe me, but just try avoiding corn for a week and see how you feel. Then you will agree and spread the word. which is all i care for really.
Americas food supply is compromised and pushed into our minds via the symbols of commercial propaganda.
> Most bread in the store has a metric buttload of sugars added simply because they can.
This is not true in all the countries: in France most breads don't contain sugar AFAIK, the main exception being pain de mie, yet there is also a big proportion of people with weight issues, not as big as in the USA, but still quite big..
Sorry, but this is wrong on so many levels. You see, while you get energy from stored fat, it is a quite energy intensive process itself if fat should be the main energy source. You can experience the "hitting the wall" effect yourself after a long endurance training. When the glycogen storage is depleted, the body switches completely to fat burning and suddenly you don't have any energy to go on and breathe much faster, might even faint.
Fat burning is meant to be an additional energy source, not the primary one. The reason why fat is stored is:
1) you have eaten too much food. Otherwise the fat would be all used up
2) You have got far too much fat mixed with carbohydrates in the food. Well, duh, the body takes what it can use right away and stores what it can use only with some effort.
Good grief, if this isn't a fantastic example of missing the forest for the trees....you have it almost exactly wrong.
Fat metabolism IS supposed to be the primary metabolic pathway. It is ideal for fueling the basal metabolic processes and low-level everyday activity. Why on earth would all mammals evolve the ability to store excess energy as saturated fat if the body wasn't fully prepared to run itself on that stored energy? Carrying around that excess weight is a hindrance, and if you have to have carbs present to make use of it I just don't see how it would confer the type of survival advantage that would bake it into the basic structure of our metabolism.
Taken a step further - what fuels mammals during hibernation?
If you look at the 'calorie requirement' calculators, the basal processes + everyday activity will always be the overwhelming majority of the calorie expenditure for a person during the day. Calories burned through exercise is substantially lower in all but the most extreme endurance athletes. this should be a pretty clear indication as to what is the more important metabolic process.
Your example of 'hitting the wall' during glycolytic exercise is also backwards. High-intensity glycolytic exercise is the EXCEPTION, not the rule. It is an activity that ISN"T supposed to happen frequently, and when it does happen it isn't supposed to be of a long duration. There is a very good reason we have only evolved the ability to store a fairly limited amount of glycogen - because historically, any more simply wasn't needed.
Taken together, IMHO these clearly illustrate why the low-carb/HIIT regimen is actually very successful as a strategy. Fat fuels your daily activity, with carbs 'topping up' the fairly minimal depletion of glycogen that occurs during the high-intensity activity. No one approach is ideal for everyone due to personal history etc, but there is a lot of science behind the low-carb/HIIT approach that very easily explains why it works well.
Paying farmers not to grow food has been a joke and an attack on the government far more recently than the 1970's.
First off, standard "correlation is not causality" caveat.
Second, obesity is a disease driven by the hormone insulin. Insulin (in insulin resistant people) is what causes fat cells to accumulate fat. Chronic insulin levels are driven by chronically elevated blood sugar levels. Chronically elevated blood sugar levels are caused by carbohydrate intake, the only food type that causes significant blood sugar rises.
So, go back to 1970 and promote say, nothing but beef or pork production, and you can have a glut of food, without obesity. Promote "healthy" whole wheat, or sugary fruits, or starchy corn, that raises blood sugar levels, and you'll get obesity.
Stop eating carbohydrates. It's simple.
That hypothesis, using data directly from the china study, has been thoroughly falsified by a wonderful woman named Denise Minger:
http://rawfoodsos.com/2010/08/03/the-china-study-a-formal-analysis-and-response/
The problem is carbohydrate, not animal protein or fat.
As was the practice since the Great Depression, when crops were plowed under to drive up prices. Meanwhile, people starved.
I love how the solution is to make food expensive. Let's make water and clothing expensive, too! But make sure that Fannie Mae gives home loans to poor people.
Gamingmuseum.com: Give your 3D accelerator a rest.
The guy across me at work eats a large bag of crisps + 2 chocklate bars for lunch every day and he is as thin as a rake. Oh, how I hate him
Hmm, does this validate that SMBC comic? "As [physicists] get on in years, they reach the 'telling other fields they're wrong about everything' phase."
It's amazing to me how irrational people become as soon as the subject of food comes up. Science? Evidence? What's that? People convince themselves of all kinds of ridiculous ideas about food and nutrition, none of which have even the slightest shred of evidence to back them up. Probably because people don't want it to be simply a matter of calories. It's another example of intellectual hedonism. People don't want to believe that the quantity of food they are eating is just too much. So they simply choose not to believe it. Instead they invent some simple rule that does not rely on calorie counting or ever being hungry. Fat doesn't make you fat. Sugar doesn't make you fat. Preservatives and MSG don't make you fat. "Refined" foods don't make you fat. Fast food doesn't make you fat. Burgers and donuts don't make you fat. Even insulin doesn't make you fat. If you are overweight (as I am) the only thing you can blame is your own lack of self-control. It's calories that make you fat. Fat people simply eat too much for the amount of physical activity they engage in. You could live on pure fat or pure sugar and huge amounts of preservatives and lots of MSG and as long as you didn't exceed 1000 calories per day you wouldn't gain weight. In fact you would probably lose it.
It is true that some restriction diets are effective, but not for the reasons usually given. If all you eat is low calorie vegetables you are very unlikely to gain weight and quite likely to lose it. That's because most people cannot manage to eat enough low calorie vegetables to gain weight. Some vegetables are so low in calories that you would pretty much have to eat them continuously the whole day. Carbohydrate restricted diets are popular these days. They don't work because 'carbohydrates make you fat'. They work because people seem to more easily be able to eat fewer calories on those diets. They are probably the most effective diets if you can stay on them because protein makes you feel full faster and keeps you feeling full longer. I've tried this but I feel truly awful for the first couple of days. I get really depressed without any carbohydrates. So I haven't been able to stay on it for long. I also find that I can quite easily overeat on all protein diets. So I'm back to counting calories again anyway.
I've had better luck with calorie restricted vegetable diets, but the problem with those is that I have to constantly eat throughout the day to not feel hungry. I can eat a huge bowl of Romaine lettuce and within an hour I am hungry again. Not only is it a huge amount of work to keep filling my stomach with low calorie vegetables, but it's very expensive and tiring to constantly be preparing food.
I've lived in several countries besides the US and none of those countries have as many overweight people as the US. The only other country I have visited which seems to be able to compete with the US in terms of obesity is Italy. In most countries people eat high calorie foods. The reason they do not get fat is simply because they don't overeat. It really is that simple. Just stop eating before you feel full. You should still feel at least a little bit hungry. One of my most successful diets was achieved just by eating my meals with a thin friend of mine. I ate exactly the same things he did in exactly the same amounts at every meal. He wasn't on any kind of special diet. He just didn't eat all that much food. I lost a lot of weight and I was left only slightly hungry.
Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
Taking a step back from the article and its conclusion, I wonder about the method that is used. Has anyone seen the presentation or read the paper to explain the method? Why should their modelling process produce convincing conclusions? Mathematical models seem a reasonable way to come up with plausible hypothesis, but I have trouble giving much credibility to such a hypothesis without a double-blind study or maybe validating some unlikely predictions about the future.
These comments are mine; I do not speak for my employer.
Nearly each time I watch someone eat in a TV Series/Movies I get hungry myself. My feeling is that in a lot of USA TV Series/Movies people eat often. My feeling is also that UK TV Series have more often people drinking alcoholic beverages.
Perl Programmer for hire
In addition to other exercise, I've actually increased my TV watching lately.
Since my fiancee is away, I've been catching up on sci-fi shows that don't interest her (and thankfully, I've been spared from "Say yes to the dress"). However, there's nothing saying you have to sit on your ass while watching TV. Free-arm weights and various other exercises are pretty easy to do while watching. If you've got floor space you can do even more, but barbells don't require any extra space.
Not sure it's making a huge dent in my flab (the biking and other exercise is likely a higher contributor) but it's definitely improved the musculature in my arms etc.
Frankly, you need just one equation which is known for quite long time: Obesity is inversely proportional to fraction of income spent on food. America has this fraction very low compared to most nations (even richer nations where people spent more money on less but more expensive food items). In many poor countries, this ratio is greater than 40%. In America, it is less than 10%.
In the comments I don't see anyone else questioning whether this metabolism modeling formula is accurate. I can't seem to get to the original paper, the link in the Times story goes to an announcement of the conference. I'm not saying the formula isn't accurate. I'm just saying that sometime mathematical models give results that don't match the real world and I'd want to see some empirical evidence for this before I start drawing conclusions based on it.
It's the Hot Pockets. Or the Jimmy Dean Frozen Sausage Biscuits.
This kind of stuff is cheap to buy, quick to make, and very bad for you.
Student: Is it true that the foundation of the universe is paradox?
Master: Well, yes and no.
Availability means nothing without appetite. We have access to virtually unlimited quantities of water, yet we don't over-consume water (through drinking anyway). Why not? I actually came up with a hypothesis yesterday, which is that overeating and and depression both have the same root cause, which I posit to be low serotonin, and that low serotonin is itself a consequence of our society.
Serotonin's role in both appetite and depression are well established. The majority of our serotonin is in the gut (90%, according to Wikipedia), and higher levels decrease appetite. Given that depression and obesity are both at epidemic levels in the US, it's not unreasonable to conclude that we are, as a whole, suffering from low serotonin. Interestingly, countries with lower levels of depression also suffer from lower levels of obesity. Official statistics put depression at around 17% in the US, and as we know, we lead the world in rates of obesity at 30%. Japan, on the other hand, has levels of both depression and obesity at around 3%. Again, I think it's plausible that this is not so much causal (depression -> overeating -> obesity) as it is correlated (low serotonin -> depression && overeating).
So why would people in the US have lower levels of serotonin than elsewhere? Beyond appetite and depression, serotonin is also linked with dominance in animals. Lower levels of serotonin are consistent with subordinate behavior, while higher levels are found in more dominant animals. Dominant animals sometimes have control over other animals, but I believe the more important issue is that they have control over their own lives. And rather than being predetermined, where high serotonin induces dominance and low serotonin subordination (though this may be true to a limited extent), the causality may well be the other way around. It would, after all, be a huge liability if there were no so-called "natural leaders" around -- packs lions would just wander around aimlessly like "WTF should we do?!? We have no leader." And this happens sometimes when leaders are lost, but eventually someone steps up to the plate. We already know that depression is self-reinforcing, and so it stands to reason that dominance and subordination are also self-reinforcing.
Getting back to people, Japan prides itself on behavior that western society considers subordinate, and this discrepancy seems somewhat puzzling at first glance. How could subordination lead to feelings of dominance? Consider, though, that the well defined structure and general meritocracy of Japanese society may actually lead to a greater sense of control over one's life than our markedly less structured (and less consistent) society in the US. Not only is Japanese society more of a meritocracy, but they place value on and instill pride in every role, not merely those at the top. And it's not the lip service we have in the US, putting up some Successories posters and pretending to care about employees. Japanese society genuinely values the work that *everyone* does because it values collective action and shuns individualism.
So, by virtue of our individualism, our plutocracy where the most powerful, most popular, or most beautiful wins in fact, despite our ideals in theory, many people feel they have little control over their lives, and justifiably so. This lack of control is the definition of subordination, and if subordination leads to low serotonin, then we are probably witnessing its effects: higher appetite which leads to obesity given our ready access to food, and depression.
Of course, this could all just be a coincidence. Maybe Americans feel more in control of their lives than ever. Maybe our epidemic of depression is a consequence of overeating. Maybe, as the article asserts, we just have too much food and feel obliged to consume it for no reason. I'm not attached to my hypothesis, but it would be interesting to see it tested. Designing an ethical experiment on people might be difficult though, given that deliberately inducing health problems is generally frowned upon.
https://www.eff.org/https-everywhere
Someone gimme some of that sweet, sweet grant money.
Vote monkeys into Congress. They are cheaper and more trustworthy.
Taubes (and Atkins for that matter) is right to point at carbs as a major problem; however the problem is not so much that carbs are inherently more fattening, as that they are more insidious.
People routinely underestimate the caloric values of food taken in. Ask people what's more fattening: two wheat buns of 100g total, or 250 grams of steak. I bet a statistically significant number will point at the meat. I've done some careful calorie counting, and I found out to my horror that the major source of calories in my diet was bread.
This is the double whammy: the carbohydrates in grain products produce an insulin response, as Mr. Taubes rightly points out, and we routinely underestimate the amount of calories we take in from grain products. The result is obvious.
These days, I eat half the amount of bread, with the same amount of toppings. People see a thick layer of sandwich spread, or a thick layer of cheese, and they ask "Isn't that bad for your weight?". And then they act surprised when I pull up the stats and show them that spreading a lesser amount of toppings over more bread is in fact worse.
And yes, a program of dedicated calorie counting, keeping me at just the DV for my sedentary lifestyle, and starting martial arts, did drop 10kg off my total weight; but I did do that over a period of almost a year.
"I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
Chowhall.
I can't be the only one who saw this
Did people think they could have an office job sitting on their ass and drive everywhere and still consume the same amount of calories as people did when they were more physical?
Lot of comments here about exercise and weight loss. Just reminding everyone that exercise is important whether or not you lose weight. The 30 mins a day recommendations are well documented to improve heart health, reduce diabetes risk, reduce risk for many cancers etc. Whether you are fat or lean, regular exercise improves your health.
See, McDonalds works not because you couldn't buy the raw materials cheaper than the finished product at McD's, but because you incorrectly assume your, or your wife's, labor is worthless. Now, if you factor in the labor cost of the meal at home, and the transportation costs of getting it all there, your healthy hamburger meal at home is probably approaching $500.00, depending upon your billable rate. I'm figuring 2 hours of time at my rate of $250.00/hr. YMMV.
There is no way I can truly make a hamburger for less than McD's can.
I eat at home not because it is cheaper, but because I want to spend the time with my family, I want to eat clean, healthy food, and I don't want to be a big strapping fat-ass with a smorgasbord of diet-related, diseases, not the least of which is e.coli.
obesity doesn't have anything to do with food offer... Fad diets and the media are responsible for an increase in dieting, which results in weight gains long term...
just do your research and treat obesity as a disease, not as low self-steem, or glutony
it doesn't explain the exploding obesity rates of the last couple decades, unless you believe that in 20 years we somehow evolved slower metabolisms.
Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
Sugar is a major problem, but we need to be more intelligent than the conventional wisdom that attribute the Obesity epidemic to just one factor. It isn't just sugar. It isn't just lack of exercise. It's about a dozen different factors and when people exclusively focus on one thing, what they are really doing is consciously deciding to ignore everything else. If you decide sugar is the problem but fat isn't, then you're excusing yourself to eat as much fried chicken ad potato chips as possible. People need to step back and see the big picture.
The problem is sugar, fat, alcohol, processed foods, lack of exercise, convenience foods, lack of fruits and vegetables, sedentary activity, eating in front of the television, reliance on the automobile, the expense of healthy foods, people's ignorance on how to cook a balanced meal, the dearth of household meals, the accompanying physiological acclimatization to a high calorie lifestyle, depression, etc. There's dozens of factors.
If you were to name a single problem it is the fact that you can not live a "mainstream" lifestyle in the United States and still have a healthy lifestyle. Less than one-third of Americans have a healthy weight. So if you want to be healthy you need to exist on the fringe of American society, which takes a lot of effort that most people don't want give.
No, the Chinese were not exposed to agriculture before the Egyptians. There is no genetic basis for race. There is no genetically Asian basis for "resistance to toxins". And there's plenty about the Asian diet that is special, namely fiber and antioxidants which are critical for transporting toxins out of the body and reducing the body's oxidatitive stress. If you're going to claim that Asians have some special genetic resistance to toxins then you need to present a study showing that Asians on a Western diet die of cancer at a lower rate than their Western peers.
Actually if you feed a sedentary fat person 3000 calories of bacon every day, what you will get is diabetes, depression, sleep apnea, atherosclerosis, congestive heart failure, and stroke.
Forget all the science, the diets and the theories. Americans are fat, generally, because they stuff as much food in their mouths as they physically can. Then they eat more. They are greedy. American culture is based on enjoying as much of life's pleasures as conspicuously as possible to demonstrate your success. It's cultural and is all based on the "winners take all" and "success is good" mentality that has made America the best place in the world to live. However, it comes at a price.
CM www.cometenergysystems.com Blog: http://caribbeanrenewable.blogspot.com/
http://blog.rifftrax.com/2009/01/31/bacon-stupidity/
You feed a sedentary fat person 2000 calories of whole wheat bread, bananas, carrots and low-fat yogurt a day, and you'll get diabetes, depression, sleep apnea, atherosclerosis, congestive heart failure and stroke. It's not the calories that matter, it's the carbohydrates.
One has to take into account the human momeostatic preference. Inflate like a blimp after a decade or so, or wander around in a low blood sugar haze all the damn time.
Hall's model actually demonstrates how consistently most people maintain their long term calorie intake. In the model, my extra 20 pounds correspond to a long term dietary excess of about 10% In many contexts, regulation within 10% is pretty good.
The problem with dietary controls is decision fatigue.
Do You Suffer From Decision Fatigue?
You can expend a lot of will power depriving yourself of a little craving hundreds of times per day. That will show up in making poorer decisions elsewhere, unless you alleviate your decision fatigue with a dose of sugar.
In the food studies, when you put a person on a restriction diet, there seems to be a large osmotic term over and above what the subjects report. It doesn't take many weak moments to rupture the envelop in a ten percent caloric restriction. One tablespoon of olive oil has 120 calories. I get that much extra oil just licking the spoons if I whip up my Caesar salad dressing with too much gusto.
In the appetite system, fructose is particularly problematic. HFCS used in soda pop has about the same amount of fructose as table sugar (sucrose breaks down to glucose and fructose extremely promptly after ingestion).
Dr. Lustig's excellent presentation
Dr Mercola is a strange man. I think he would sign up to live in the Matrix with that tube coming out of the back of his scull if he was promised that it was a feeding tube, and that all the nutrients were purified by reverse osmosis to ten nines purity level. A bit like the space engineer in Contact: Why eat good and wholesome food when you can double the purity for ten times the price? His OCD purity compulsion notwithstanding, many of his links are highly informative.
A while back I also watched an excellent video by Dr Brian Wansink about the psychology of portion size. There was another good resource from his food lab at Cornell IIRC. Wansink won an ignoble for his bottomless soup bowl.
Here's another of his tricks: Gluttony even when the food tastes lousy.
Another odd duck is Gary Taubes. He's not all wrong, and he's not all right.
Science of Weightloss and Fat Accumulation
The obesity epidemic and metabolic syndrome are harder to unwind than 90% of the people here thinking they are posting wisdom for the unwashed.
Obesity: http://www.chicagomag.com/Chicago-Magazine/The-312/October-2011/The-Low-Poverty-Diet/
Poverty: http://visualecon.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/percent_in_poverty.gif
The correlation is especially marked in Appalachia, the lower Mississippi and the coast of the Carolinas and Georgia. What's going on here? Do poor people exercise less? I doubt it. Most poor people have physical jobs, while rich people sit in offices. I think the problem is that most poor people can't afford much beyond spaghetti, potatoes, and bread (cheap starches), whereas rich people can afford protein, butter, and vegetables.
We have to be careful about making statements about obese people's lifestyles. Usually our statements about fat people are little more than racial and class prejudice: "those people eat too much" really means "they're uncontrolled gluttons", and "those people don't get enough exercise" really means "they're lazy slobs". As long as social classes have existed, the rich and comfortable have justified their privilege by claiming that the poor are weak and immoral.
(Posting mostly to undo a modding error, but posting only that declaration is silly.)
It's okay to eat a little bit of the rich and decadent foods so long as moderation is shown. Every once in a while a chocolatey donut or french fries can be fantastic so long as a person is active and generally eating better things most of the time. The more frequently the servings of things like that and the less active one is, the more it's going to have an adverse effect on one body.
If its a scientific paper use joules. Calories? WTF? You measure your weight load in "Kips" too?. Hogsheads per furlongs and hands too? foot pounds? BTU? Its more confusing because its based of metric units (gram and C). Use joules.
All of a sudden it makes sense, you intake joules and you output joules. You can measure work done in Joules, how awesome is that!
Isn't it strange that no diet nor scientist wants to study the caloric content of poop, instead we just assume that calories in is the important factor. What I want is a way to make my digestive system less efficient. I had intestinal parasites for about 2 years and I could eat whatever I wanted and still lost weight. The idea of calories in - exercise = weight gain/loss is just crazy unless you check on how my tapeworm and feces enter in to the equation.
I just attended a medical conference where we presented results that had already been picked up by the press on the relationship of obesity to health care costs. Not surprising was that obesity predicted higher costs, what was interesting was that it was a bigger factor than smoking, which has already led to headlines asking "Is obesity becoming the next "second-hand smoke" issue?"". Yup, brought to you by the same nanny-state that took away smoking, coming soon to a fast food joint near you, even more shaming of "super-sized" servings to "super-sized" people. I guess that's the price we pay for asking everyone else to "share the costs" of what used to be personal lifestyle choices. But what cold-hearted SOB is going to be the greeter at the ER door turning away motorcyclists who "forgot" their helmets, smokers who "just could not quit" or obese people who "just ate a couple, social eaters, really". And how to cull the herd for those unfortunates who got the disease without the crime (spontaneous "wild type" lung cancers, thyroid gone-amuk obese people). A government big enough to give you everything you ask for is big enough to take away everything you've got. Even if only one shaming ad program at a time.
"There is no god but allah" - well, they got it half right.
The Narrative = We don't have lots of food. We are near a food crisis and food prices are too high.
So... sorry... while I tend to want to agree with this well thought out scientific analysis... the mainstream narrative goes against it. So this well thought out analysis must be wrong!
Well, here we go again. This is a really good analysis of calories and while true, you must burn what you take in to maintain weight but it is not just calories, it is the type and source of the calories. The article is right about the glut of 'food' but it is the glut of overly processed foods, the extremely high sugar and fat content in these dense sources. It is the lack of fiber that makes people continuously hungry and the high sugar/fat that is addictive; not unlike cocaine. There have been studies and studies that point to the obvious fact that EVERYONE ignores. Plant based (preferably organic) nutrition is the key. Like math? Chart the rise in obesity to the growth of 'prepared/fast' foods, drive through restaurants and other junk packaged foods. If people simply stopped eating this crap they wouldn't gain weight. They would be full/stuffed after most meals due to the high nutrition and fiber content. The body's mechanism to detect 'full' is based on volumetrics not food density. The low fiber and high fat/sugar/protein density overloads the body with excess calories it does not need. Too much protein also contributes as most people on the Standard American Diet eat way too much protein, not enough vegetables, beans, fruit and grains. Of course all the vegetables, grains, beans etc. have LOADS of plant protein without the animal fat and cholesterol. This same chart I suggest also is statistically related to the similar rise in Diabetes 2, heart disease, cancer and a host of other lifestyle diseases. Change the lifestyle diet in the USA and fix the healthcare system overnight! People just don't believe that nutrition is the key to Health & Wellness, not a pill. Cheers, Skip Stein Whole Foods 4 Healthy Living http://www.wholefoods4healthyliving.com/
Skip Stein Free Agent Management Systems Consulting, Inc. http://www.msc-inc.net www.linkedin.com/in/skipstein
I grew up in a third world country as a kid and food was cheap there. I go back to third world countries now and food is still cheap. Almost all my friends in third world countries eat out at restaurants and food stalls. None of them are fat. In fact, my GF who has lived her entire life in her country (Indonesia) doesn't even know how to cook. Food there is a lot cheaper than it is in Australia (where I live), in fact food prices here are freakin' stupid. If food being cheap was the cause then people I know in third world countries would be the obess ones and not people in Western countries. When I'm in Indoesia I eat the same stuff as my GF (in fact, I eat slightly healthier as I'm a vegetarian), but I'm the fat one and she's the thin one.
Also, fast food has been around since the Roman days. Fast food was also prevalent in Medieval Europe, with pie shops being very common. Plus, the English 'Fish and Chip' shop has been around since the 1850's. American style fast food has been around since at least the 1920's when A & W and Whitecastle came into existence. Fast food (Mamak stalls - street vendors) have been common in the third world countries for hundreds of years.
Also, fast food isn't that cheap. If I take my lunch to work rather than purchase it at MacDonalds or Burger King etc I save a fortune.
Wow who'd have thought that eating too much would cause people to put on weight. Glad it took a mathematician and a bunch of complex modelling to work that one out. I might now go write a paper on how standing up makes one seem taller.
I used to have a better sig than this, but I got tired of it
Is there anyone in North America who *doesn't* know that there's a food glut here?.. The amount of waste that's thrown away, of good food, is sickening.. The problem is DISTRIBUTION.. which is essentially stymied by the economics of the "free market".. even where I live.. there are restaurants that POISON their waste food with rat poison or other sprays (as reported in the Canadian media some 3 years ago) in order to comply with some regulation or other.. and other "expired" food is thrown out, rather than sent to food banks, out of concerns of lawsuits... World food banks that send food to remote places like Africa, cannot accept food, but must accept only cash, and then BUY food, leaving the waste to ROT.. Did any one of you ever have a Mum that told you "clean your plate, because there's people starving in Africa ;-)? Well, do you really think we would ever be able to send our leftovers there?..So... How about , instead, a study that addressed how to *resolve* the food glut?
forksoverknives.com
quantity don't matter as much as quality ... and most people love trash-processed-food full of sugar and synthetic chemicals. so yes, they'll get fat as the body is incapable of getting rid of all the toxins.