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NIH Study Finds That Coffee Drinkers Have Lower Risk of Death

parallel_prankster writes "Older adults who drank coffee — caffeinated or decaffeinated — had a lower risk of death [full paper is paywalled, at the New England Journal of Medicine] overall than others who did not drink coffee, according to a study by researchers from the National Cancer Institute (NCI), part of the National Institutes of Health, and AARP. Coffee drinkers were less likely to die from heart disease, respiratory disease, stroke, injuries and accidents, diabetes, and infections, although the association was not seen for cancer. These results from a large study of older adults were observed after adjustment for the effects of other risk factors on mortality, such as smoking and alcohol consumption. They also found that the association between coffee and reduction in risk of death increased with the amount of coffee consumed. Relative to men and women who did not drink coffee, those who consumed three or more cups of coffee per day had approximately a 10 percent lower risk of death. Researchers caution, however, that they can't be sure whether these associations mean that drinking coffee actually makes people live longer."

42 of 234 comments (clear)

  1. I kinda thought risk of death... by sokoban · · Score: 5, Informative

    ... was roughly one in one. Guess I was wrong.

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    1. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by KingSkippus · · Score: 2

      I intend to live forever. So far so good. --Stephen Wright

    2. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Oh, Jesus H. Christ. This comment comes up on every story dealing with mortality risk, and it's getting kind of old. Look, the hazard rate function is not that hard to understand. Educate yourself instead of making the same worn-out joke over and over again, okay?

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      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    3. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by magarity · · Score: 2

      Speak for yourself- so far, I'm immortal.

      Immortality might be fun right now but I bet the black hole era and following heat death of the universe are going to be seriously boring.

    4. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by sycodon · · Score: 3, Informative

      Alright Sheldon Cooper, we all get it. And you move your bowls at 8:20.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by Joce640k · · Score: 2

      "... less likely to die from heart disease, respiratory disease, stroke, injuries and accidents, diabetes, and infections, although the association was not seen for cancer."

      Fuck that. I'd rather have a heart attack than cancer.

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      No sig today...
    6. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by Daniel+Dvorkin · · Score: 3, Funny

      Okay, I'm going to make a computer and car analogy.

      Suppose that on every single story that mentioned RAM in any context, there were guaranteed to be a hundred comments along the lines of "Isn't the Ram a pickup truck?" Some of these comments would be meant as in-jokes, but most would be absolutely serious. The people making the comments (a self-selected group of intelligent, technically minded people who are, supposedly, interested in the world around them) would absolutely refuse to understand, no matter how many times it was explained to them, that the word "ram" has multiple specific meanings, and that only one of those meanings is relevant to the conversation at hand.

      Wouldn't you get just a little tired of this?

      --
      The correlation between ignorance of statistics and using "correlation is not causation" as an argument is close to 1.
    7. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by AwesomeMcgee · · Score: 4, Funny

      Where does he put them? Back in the cabinet? Must be when he finishes his breakfast I guess

    8. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by marcello_dl · · Score: 2

      Sure, but by the time the immortal guy has to reinstall windows 2120 because of driver issues, the rest of his existence will be devoted on how to commit suicide.

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      ---- MISSING MISCELLANEOUS DATA SEGMENT --- [sigdash] trolololol
    9. Re:I kinda thought risk of death... by starfishsystems · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The reason why these jokes keep coming up is because "risk of death" is a ridiculous phrase if not explicitly qualified. So, for slightly different reasons, is "mortality risk."

      If you want the canonical term that's used in a statistical or medical context, just say "mortality". We'll all understand perfectly what you mean, and there will be no snickering. You don't say "mortality risk" because that would be redundant. It makes you look like you don't know what you're talking about. (Of course, if you want to create that impression, you're on the right track.)

      Another conventional term is "death rate". Both "mortality" and "death rate" refer to the relative frequency of deaths in a given population under given conditions.

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      Parity: What to do when the weekend comes.
  2. Risk of death by SirGarlon · · Score: 5, Funny

    The risk of death must be lower than the risk of taxes, though, because I pay taxes every year and I haven't died even once.

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    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
    1. Re:Risk of death by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      and the risk of death around me increases if I don't get my coffee.

  3. Headline by girlintraining · · Score: 4, Funny

    NIH Study Finds That Coffee Drinkers Have Lower Risk of Death.

    In other news, death is avoidable.

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    #fuckbeta #iamslashdot #dicemustdie
    1. Re:Headline by dbet · · Score: 2

      Death is avoidable. Some people are going to die today. Some are going to almost die, but successfully avoid it.

  4. Re:Already debunked. by SirGarlon · · Score: 3, Insightful

    So what you're saying is that any study whose result disagrees with your preconceptions must be garbage.

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    [Sir Garlon] is the marvellest knight that is now living, for he destroyeth many good knights, for he goeth invisible.
  5. Meanwhile, on the West Coast.... by Nidi62 · · Score: 5, Funny

    A statement is released saying that coffee is known in the State of California to cause cancer

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    The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for it to be pitted against a slightly greater evil
  6. Fiber by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    It's just all the extra fiber they get from the coffee.

  7. Statistics, statistics... by bobgap · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is probably because people with bad hearts, etc., do not drink coffee, hence only people who are healthier drink coffee when they are old. Isn't it amazing that they would have a reduced death rate. Imagine what the relative death rate would be for old people who skydive, compared to those who don't?

    1. Re:Statistics, statistics... by timeOday · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Sounds kind of sensible, except...

      These results from a large study of older adults were observed after adjustment for the effects of other risk factors on mortality, such as smoking and alcohol consumption.

      So your explanation would be that people growing old and sick tend to give up coffee, but keep smoking and drinking alcohol? I guess it's possible, but I it's not obvious to me why that would be.

    2. Re:Statistics, statistics... by volmtech · · Score: 2

      Anecdotal, one of my grandmothers lived to be 99, she drank three pots of coffee a day. The other one smoked and drank alcohol, she died at 57. She was shot a killed by some guy she picked up at a bar so that might skew the results somewhat.

  8. Risk of Death by djbckr · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I'm not sure I understand. My risk of dying decreases with coffee? Is this the new fountain of youth?

  9. Re:Already debunked. by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 2

    Pretty Much

    "The investigators caution that coffee intake was assessed by self-report at a single time point and therefore might not reflect long-term patterns of intake. Also, information was not available on how the coffee was prepared (espresso, boiled, filtered, etc.); the researchers consider it possible that preparation methods may affect the levels of any protective components in coffee. "

    It's an Epidemiology study, which looks at patterns. Which can be helpful in locating real effects but findings are quite meaningless.

    You could just as easily say it was because each coffee drinker had a pet rock or a sunny disposition. Need hard concrete proof that coffee is providing real health benefits. Interestingly enough, if you include smokers and drinkers - then you don't see a benefit. Which tells me there isn't a real benefit here. Because if there was you should see an improvement among drinkers and smokers.

  10. Re:My prof dranks coffee like water by Hatta · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I can't see how this is "good" for you and reduces risk of death.

    And yet, the data says it is. This is why we do science, because not everything is obvious, and sometimes tests come back with unexpected results. That's how we learn things.

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  11. Re:Already debunked. by Anubis+IV · · Score: 5, Informative

    Even though a larger proportion of coffee drinkers may engage in those activities (I'm not saying they do, but let's grant it, for the sake of argument), if you control for the different variables, you can still draw correlations out of the data. For instance, a coffee drinker who also smokes may, on average, live longer than someone who smokes but doesn't drink coffee as well. Likewise for red meat, less exercise, etc.. They're not suggesting that coffee drinking cancels out the effects of all those other things. They're merely suggesting it may provide some benefits over similar people not drinking coffee.

    You've alleged that their controls are terrible. Please elaborate on how, exactly, since they explicitly mentioned controlling for smoking in the article, which was one of your points.

  12. Control for sugar by XanC · · Score: 5, Interesting

    My guess is that people who don't drink coffee more likely DO drink sugary sodas.

    1. Re:Control for sugar by I_am_Jack · · Score: 2

      I say move the study to Utah and use Mormons as a control group.

  13. Quite right by Lord+Grey · · Score: 2

    Of course those of us who drink massive quantities of coffee won't die from heart disease, respiratory disease, stroke, injuries and accidents, diabetes, or infections. We'll die by lunging at the coffee machine early one morning, slipping on the wet floor, then failing to catch our jittery selves because we're busy protecting the ceramic mug our child gave us fifteen years ago.

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    // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
  14. I think by now we should deduce by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    I think by now it should be obvious .. California causes cancer.

    1. Re:I think by now we should deduce by vmlemon · · Score: 2

      California IS cancer?

  15. Re:WTF?? by FreeFire · · Score: 3, Funny

    It's evident to me that Grandma didn't drink enough coffee.

  16. Really??? by Larry_Dillon · · Score: 2

    This sounds like it could be correlated to other lifestyle choices. e.g., People who have a routine or work in an office and drink coffee are safer than other occupations.

    It's really hard to control for all of the other possible factors.

    --
    Competition Good, Monopoly Bad.
  17. Re:100% by jd2112 · · Score: 4, Funny

    There was an immortal coffee drinker in the study. There may have been an immortal non-coffee drinker in the study but the coffee drinker chopped his head off.

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    Any insufficiently advanced magic is indistinguishable from technology.
  18. Including liquid candy bars? by wcrowe · · Score: 3, Funny

    I assume they mean people who actually drink real coffee, and not those that drink mocha-frappa-whatever liquid candy bars.

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    Proverbs 21:19
  19. Re:Already debunked. by Aryden · · Score: 2

    pretty sure he is referring to Starbucks or Caribu or some other such nonsense. I don't buy the cheap stuff, but I get roughly 64 cups for about $10.

  20. HAHAHA by rebelwarlock · · Score: 3, Funny

    Oh man! It was so funny when those thirty people posted comments about immortality! We need that joke some more!

  21. Re:Drink coffee? by Aryden · · Score: 3, Informative

    There was an interesting article a year or so ago that showed a correlation between coffee drinking and bowl movements vs water drinking. I will try to find it for citation, but the gist of it was: Due to the diuretic properties of coffee, the coffee drinkers had more regular bowl movements than those who drank water which meant that toxins spent less time in the intestines thus creating a lower likelihood of some intestinal diseases.

  22. Key components by jones_supa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The study made me think whether some other drink would work as well (or better)? Fruit juice, cocoa, tea, even plain water? What's the secret component(s)?

    As the text also notes:

    "The mechanism by which coffee protects against risk of death — if indeed the finding reflects a causal relationship — is not clear, because coffee contains more than 1,000 compounds that might potentially affect health," said Freedman.

    Coffee is known to be rich in antioxidants, so that could be one sporadic blind guess. But yeah.

  23. Their findings can also be stated as... by hsthompson69 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    People who live longer have a higher risk of being coffee drinkers.

    Correlation is not causality.

  24. Re:Maybe Coffee drinkers take less risk by Creepy · · Score: 2

    The study was 400,000 people - that is a pretty massive sample size, and covers any amount of coffee and even decaf coffee, which contains very little caffeine. My family follows this exactly - if I use my grandparents as an example, my dad's side drank no coffee and both died of natural causes at 83 and 87. My mom's side both drank coffee (grandma decaf) and died at 94 (complications from a broken hip) and 95 (natural causes). Both of my grandpas were farmers, and had relatively sedentary housewife wives, and my grandpa on my mom's side farmed a 4x larger farm. My oldest aunt on my dad's side (since dad was a whoops when grandma thought she was in menopause - my aunt already had kids by the time my dad was born) drinks coffee and is 94.

  25. Re:My prof dranks coffee like water by Caratted · · Score: 2

    At least this study has a sample size bigger than one professor.

  26. Who submitted this? by MiniMike · · Score: 2

    parallel_prankster writes

    a.k.a Juan Valdez.

  27. Don't drink coffee by MM-tng · · Score: 2, Interesting

    I stopped drinking coffee a few years ago and feel a lot better. It upsets my stomach. It made me a lot more tense. I tended to sleep badly. Waking up at 5am. Headaches during the day. Generally felt misserable. It took about 6 months to kick off. Coffee is an adiction. And a pretty bad one. I can not understand these studies, probably funded by the coffee makers. Because generally if you drink coffee you will feel awful.