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How Viable Is Large Scale Wind Energy?

New submitter notscientific writes "Renewable sources of energy are obviously a hit but they have as yet failed to live up to the hype. A new study in Nature Climate Change shows however that there is more than enough power to be harnessed from the wind to sustain Earth's entire population... x200! To generate energy from the wind, we may however need to set up wind farms at altitudes of 200-20,000 metres. To be fair, the study is purely theoretical and does not look at the feasibility of such potential wind farms. Regardless, the paper does provide a major boost to backers of wind-generated energy. Science has confirmed that the sky's the limit."

69 of 345 comments (clear)

  1. Hmm... by RevDisk · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Yea, I'll wait for more wind farms to actually be build.

    I know folks that build those giant wind turbines. They think they build a good product (and they do), but not a single one thinks it'll be more than a supplemental. If for nothing else... Not In My Back Yard.

    1. Re:Hmm... by captainpanic · · Score: 2

      Well, some other folks are building storage facilities to store the electricity. It seems that the people running the infrastructure really believe in this wind energy... and they expect it to be big, together with solar energy.

    2. Re:Hmm... by neyla · · Score: 5, Insightful

      True. But luckily we neither need, nor want, one single answer that solves everything. We're better off in a multitude of ways from havign a healthy mix of different energy-sources, rather than being subject to the whims of a single one.

      It's better to have some hydropower, some wind, some sun, some nuclear, some hydrocarbons, some tides, some biomass instead of putting all our eggs in one basket. As such, "can we cover our entire energy-needs *only* with wind?" is the wrong questions. The right question is if wind can be one part of the overall solution, it seems pretty clear to me that the answer to that is "yes".

      As for NIMBY, there's solutions to that. Fewer people are bothered by wind-farms being installed a few miles offshore, such as those in the UK and Denmark currently, for example.

    3. Re:Hmm... by alexander_686 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I know people who work with both the turbines and the energy grid.

      Wind power is ready for prime time. Gas is cheaper, but if you factor in a reasonable cost for it's carbon footprint Wind is right there.

      Storage, on the other hand, is not ready for prime time. Without storage it's going to be hard to break 20%. I understand that some parts of the country have maxed out how much wind they can have. They have to turn on / off the gas turbines to make up for sudden power surges / drops that it's not worth it anymore. There are a lot of interesting ideas but they have yet to prove themselves.

      Give it a few years and then we can see if wind can break the 20% mark.

    4. Re:Hmm... by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Water heaters should not be running at all unless someone is taking a shower. It is called on demand hot water, tank style heaters need to go. Normally this is gas fueled, not electric.

    5. Re:Hmm... by gtbritishskull · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The big problem we have now is not energy production. It is energy storage. We need to shift energy consumption to when we have a surplus of production. If you can have your electric water heater (there are electric tank water heaters) only heat up at night when electricity is cheap, then you are shifting energy consumption and making the system more efficient. It would be worthwhile loss in efficiency (heat loss from the tank). On demand water heaters cannot shift energy consumption, so while they may be a little more energy efficient, they would be much less grid efficient.

      So, once the "smart grid" has been deployed, we might move AWAY from on demand water heaters and back to tanks.

    6. Re:Hmm... by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A little more? We are talking about 25% more.

      You would have to boil the water at 2am and insulate the heck out of the tank if you wanted to have hot water at 10am
      .
      I would imagine more likely we will use a large thermos style bottle connected to an on demand system. At night it would fill the thermos and only then run again if needed.

      Old style thin tank heaters are going away.

    7. Re:Hmm... by postbigbang · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To avoid NIMBY, there are lots of turbines in NW Indiana-- out in the corn and soybean fields. At night, there is this weird horizon of blinking red aviation warning lights as the props turn from horizon to horizon in seeming unison. Better than the coal-fired plants with plumes you can see for a hundred miles.

      Multiple sources, as you cite, are a great idea.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    8. Re:Hmm... by mcvos · · Score: 2

      The big advantage of gas turbines is that they can very rapidly adjust their output based on demand (unlike coal and nuclear, for example). It makes gas ideal for the transition while we move towards more renewable energy.

    9. Re:Hmm... by ItalianScallion · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Water heaters should not be running at all unless someone is taking a shower. It is called on demand hot water, tank style heaters need to go. Normally this is gas fueled, not electric.

      actually, on demand water is only slightly more efficient than a well insulated water tank heater, and i think the tradeoffs make it not worth the switch. effectively, the tank acts as an energy storage system, which means that you can use a much slower flow of energy over a longer time to heat the water.
      this instantaneous demand requirement means that the equipment is much more complicated and expensive to make, needs regular servicing, and has a shorter lifetime, meaning even more manufactured costs, not to mention reinstallation costs. also, since instantaneous heating demands are *much* higher than conventional heater requirements, often a new exhaust flue, and sometimes even a new incoming gas pipe of larger size must be run for the install.

      it is more important to make sure your existing heater and all your hot water pipes are very well insulated, and if you really want to spend money in pursuit of efficiency, get a solar water heating system if your climate and situation allow.

    10. Re:Hmm... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      I've spoken to people working with wind turbines and asked about how long it takes for a turbine to produce enough energy to cover the cost of the turbine. The answer was that it will never happen for the kinds of turbines in production today. The cost to produce and maintain the turbine is far larger than the value of the electricity that is generated.

      They said that even if it were possible to run the turbine at peak production except for maintenance times, it would still fall short of breaking even.

    11. Re:Hmm... by daem0n1x · · Score: 3, Informative

      I checked my energy bill the other day and I was amazed by discovering that HALF of my electricity comes from wind turbines! And I live in the most populated area in my country, just a few Km from the capital, not in some little village in the mountains. If they're supplying me like this, they must be doing the same to millions of people. Count in hydro and only one quarter of my electricity is polluting. Also, we don't have coal or gas, but we have plenty of free wind and sun. Less imports, good for the economy.

      So, it's possible. What's the big deal?

      About the NIMBY argument in GP: We have a shitload of mountains and hills, It's not like the turbines must be installed on your roof! Or you prefer a coal plant in your backyard? Always the same old and tired arguments...

    12. Re:Hmm... by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 2

      It is the pipe losses that make tank water heaters inefficient. What does make sense is tempering systems for hot water to warm up inlet water 10-20 degrees, ideally as heat pumps using the refrigeration for something else like a freezer or air conditioning.

    13. Re:Hmm... by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      On demand water heaters have 20-25 year servicelives. cost about 1.5 times as much but are 25% more efficient.

      The rest of what you said is more or less correct.

    14. Re:Hmm... by Joce640k · · Score: 2

      Citation?

      --
      No sig today...
    15. Re:Hmm... by shugah · · Score: 3, Informative

      I recently spent a couple of months in Australia. In condo developments, it is pretty common to have your electric water heater connected to a special circuit that is on a timer so that the water heater is off during peak usage hours.

      --
      If you aren't part of the solution, then there is good money to be made prolonging the problem
    16. Re:Hmm... by ItalianScallion · · Score: 2

      i don't think that 25 year figure is correct. there seems to be quite a bit of FUD on the net about 'useful life' but this seems to be the only way the manufacturers can have the economics make sense. really, you have to look at warranties to get a sense of real world lifetimes.

      i just took a quick and unscientific survey of the internets, and the tankless designs i saw have 1 year labor and 5 years parts warranty. i very much doubt that the units will last 20 years past their warranty period without continued repair.

      my personal experience is that tankless heaters are very fussy and need much more maintenance than a tank heater, which needs almost none besides the replacement of the sacrificial electrodes occasionally, and then only if you want the tank to last far past the 10 year warranty.

      one site i saw talked about a 20 year 'useful life' of the tankless heaters, but went on to explain that anyway when things do break, every single part is repairable or replaceable. unfortunately, at current plumber and parts cost, this can easily effectively triple or quadruple the unit's initial cost. also, at least rinnai, a major japanese manufacturer, says the units should be inspected and maintained every year, so you can add *at least* ( $100 * expected service life in years) to the cost of the units. that tank heater with the 10 year life and no service requirements is starting to sound quite a bit better, yes?

      in summary, i think your figures are wrong- the info on the net, as well as my personal experience seem to suggest that tankless is a very expensive alternative.

      again, a better solution is to insulate, consider solar (homemade equipment can set you up with a system to heat water and your house for under $1000!), and look at other, more cost effective technologies such as grey water heat recovery systems (http://energy.gov/energysaver/articles/drain-water-heat-recovery), which recover much of the heat from baths/showers, the biggest hot water use in a house, and have potentially only a couple of years payback.

      i do wonder where you got that 25% increased efficiency figure, as that seems somewhat oversimplified as well.

      there is way too much emotion in the energy conservation world. often the most effective solutions are not the sexy ones.

    17. Re:Hmm... by crazyjj · · Score: 3, Informative

      It seems that the people running the infrastructure really believe in this wind energy.

      The big government grants they're getting to build said infrastructure probably contributes significantly to their enthusiasm.

      --
      What political party do you join when you don't like Bible-thumpers *or* hippies?
    18. Re:Hmm... by mcgrew · · Score: 2

      Not In My Back Yard

      If course not! Put it on my roof, not in my yard.

    19. Re:Hmm... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Informative

      Old style thin tank heaters are going away

      Not any time soon. Price out 'on demand' systems. Then look at the upkeep costs. They have quite a bit to go before they're ready for main street. They don't save all that much power when compared to a modern tanked system. They require large electric feeds.

      Now, solar hot water boosters might make inroads in parts of the US where it's appropriate (just like the rest of the world, sigh) but I don't see the tankless systems as really taking off.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    20. Re:Hmm... by rhakka · · Score: 2

      storing hot water for domestic use is a trivial engineering problem. your 25% is wrong... it's more like 10% for a standard tank... and slightly better insulation would fix even that. there are tanks now with 3" of insulation that lose very little heat. also bear in mind that 10% number is only as big as it is because the amount of energy most people use for Domestic hot water is very small, like 40-50 gallons a day. it's not objectively very much energy in any case.

      on demands don't make any sense for anyone right now.

      we can greatly upsize tanks and store heat for space heat too. make ice for cooling. lots of ways to store useful thermal energy exist. between those and electric cars we have the capability to increase grid storage rather massively in a relatively short period of time with technology that exists today.

    21. Re:Hmm... by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      On demand water heaters have 20-25 year servicelives.

      Not necessarily. I looked at these things carefully. Talked to a couple of contractor friends and my local electrician (or someone like him). COMMERCIAL units are often rated at 20 years - and priced accordingly. Residential units are pretty junky. Just look at the forums on the things. The elements corrode unless your fanatic about water quality (which can be expensive in and of itself). Unlike my tanked system where I can get an element for ten dollars at the local hardware store, the tankless elements are expensive and unit specific.

      Yes, the are a bit more efficient but not enough to matter for most users. It was much cheaper to superinsulate my hot water lines and the tank. I may end up putting a solar pre heater on the system. In SE Alaska it's a pretty marginal exercise but for most of the civilized world, it's a no brainer.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    22. Re:Hmm... by NatasRevol · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I think CEOs (and their families) of companies should be required to live downwind/downstream from their plants. Would make them think twice about cost vs pollution issues.

      --
      There are two types of people in the world: Those who crave closure
    23. Re:Hmm... by rufty_tufty · · Score: 2

      What are you talking about?
      My hot water tank is set to 60 degrees, and is heated between 3am and 6am. at 11am (when I often shower at weekend) it's still hot enough to burn yourself so can't have lost much, and stays warm enough to be washing things right up until I go to bed.
      And it's not like I use some magic, it's just got an extra layer of insulation over the standard (giving about 6" of insulation in total). No thermostat needed just an extra £8 cylinder jacket.

      --
      "The weirdest thing about a mind, is that every answer that you find, is the basis of a brand new cliche" -
    24. Re:Hmm... by rhakka · · Score: 2

      ceramic bricks are not a better storage material than water. especially not if you need water as an end result. you might be able to achieve higher densities with ceramics by jacking the temperature up higher, but you'll never achieve the level of cost effectiveness with ceramics that you can with water and insulation.

      you can question my on demand assertion, but for anyone with regular DHW usage it's pretty easy math. the efficiency gain never even comes close to balancing out the increased first and maintenance costs. as your DHW increases, the efficiency differential decreases as well as jacket loss becomes a smaller and smaller percentage of the total load.

    25. Re:Hmm... by Bugler412 · · Score: 2

      Both coal and nuclear can be built in such a way that they can rapidly respond to load changes (naval reactors and older steam fired ships are an example). However, the utilities choose to not build them that way for various reasons. It's not a limitation of the base technology.

    26. Re:Hmm... by Chas · · Score: 4, Informative

      Unfortunately, even offshore wind-farms can bother people. Because NIMBY just has no limits.

      The proper term is BANANA (Build Absolutely Nothing Anywhere Near Anything)

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    27. Re:Hmm... by Ichijo · · Score: 2

      If you're using electricity, heat pumps are two to three times more energy efficient than conventional electric resistance heaters, at least in warmer climates. And as a bonus, you can use even the waste cold to cool your home in the summer.

      No, it isn't the tank style heaters that need to go, but any heaters that use electric resistance to create heat, unless you're in a very cold climate.

      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    28. Re:Hmm... by amorsen · · Score: 3, Informative

      By your definition all power generation can respond quickly to load changes. That removes all meaning from the phrase. Throwing away energy by venting the steam or turning the wings out of the wind or dumping the electricity in resistor arrays does NOT count, all technologies can do that.

      --
      Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
  2. While it can be done... by MtViewGuy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    ....No one has actually _built_ a wind power turbine setup that operates at well above the ground. I mean, consider the issues involved:

    1. How are we going to keep those turbines up at altitude?
    2. What are the costs of tethering these high-flying wind turbine installations?
    3. Will these installations become hazards to migratory birds flying at high altitude, let alone passing airplanes of all sizes?

    I'd rather build hundreds of nuclear reactors based on the safe liquid fluoride thorium reactor (LFTR) technology instead in the short to medium term, and in the longer term build space-based solar power arrays parked in geosynchronous or near-geosynchronous orvbit.

    1. Re:While it can be done... by stms · · Score: 4, Insightful

      ....No one has actually _built_ a wind power turbine setup that operates at well above the ground. I mean, consider the issues involved:

      1. How are we going to keep those turbines up at altitude?
      2. What are the costs of tethering these high-flying wind turbine installations?
      3. Will these installations become hazards to migratory birds flying at high altitude, let alone passing airplanes of all sizes?
      4. How much damage will these things do if they start shedding parts.

      I'd rather build hundreds of nuclear reactors based on the safe liquid fluoride thorium reactor (LFTR) technology instead in the short to medium term, and in the longer term build space-based solar power arrays parked in geosynchronous or near-geosynchronous orvbit.

    2. Re:While it can be done... by Buchenskjoll · · Score: 5, Funny

      Let's build turbine with solar cells on them, then we can exploit the solar wind...

      --
      -- Make America hate again!
    3. Re:While it can be done... by UnknownSoldier · · Score: 2

      > I'd rather build hundreds of nuclear reactors

      Uhm, no. We *already* have plenty of safe "free" energy.

      * wave (Why do you think our planet even has a moon in the first place!)
      * geothermal
      * solar

      The problem with wind and most energy solutions is NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard).

      Plus if we were really smart we could launch small low-weight satellites that were fitted with solar cells to capture energy 24-7.

      Nuclear is too high-maintenance and the negative risks FAR out weight ALL the other alternatives. How many more Chernobyl and Fukushima "incidents" before we learn that we are not smart enough to safely run nuclear reactors.

    4. Re:While it can be done... by rasmusbr · · Score: 2

      ....No one has actually _built_ a wind power turbine setup that operates at well above the ground. I mean, consider the issues involved:

      Nobody has built a setup that's able to deliver grid power yet, but there has been considerable work done on the problem. There are flying wind harvester prototypes such as KiteGen.

      1. How are we going to keep those turbines up at altitude?
      2. What are the costs of tethering these high-flying wind turbine installations?

      The wind keeps them flying as long as the wind is blowing and when it's not blowing there's no need for the harvester to be at altitude because there's nothing to harvest. The costs involved with building and installing a device are likely to be considerable, but the labor costs involved in running the thing could potentially be virtually zero. I think airborne wind harvesting might become competitive with natural gas, but probably not with solar power.

      3. Will these installations become hazards to migratory birds flying at high altitude, let alone passing airplanes of all sizes?

      I'd rather build hundreds of nuclear reactors based on the safe liquid fluoride thorium reactor (LFTR) technology instead in the short to medium term, and in the longer term build space-based solar power arrays parked in geosynchronous or near-geosynchronous orvbit.

      Of course they will, but the right question to ask is how big a hazard compared to other hazards. We can't build commercial LFTR plants in the short term, but I share some of your optimism in the medium to long term. We don't know if the space junk problem is solvable, which means that we don't know if it's even physically possible to do orbital solar harvesting on a large scale. It looks like what would happen is there would be a chain reaction of space junk destroying stuff, giving rise to more space junk until there's so much junk that a new satellite is destroyed immediately.

      My personal crystal ball projection is that solar power will be the cheapest form of power within 15 years, but it's going to have poor availability because of clouds and winter. Nuclear and gas (methane) will compete, and perhaps cooperate, to fill those gaps.

    5. Re:While it can be done... by Sparticus789 · · Score: 3, Funny

      1. How are we going to keep those turbines up at altitude?

      It's obvious. We need to get a bunch of cobblestone blocks and make a huge spire. Then we place the wind turbines at the top and build out. Once we are done, we pull out our diamond pickaxe and get rid of the cobblestone stairs up to the wind farm. Oh wait.... Too much Minecraft last night....

      --
      sudo make me a sandwich
    6. Re:While it can be done... by nukenerd · · Score: 2

      The bit I really don't get is the NIMBY response - I'd totally put on in my back yard.

      It should be easy to "get it", they are ugly industrial plant. If we have to have them they should be kept to industrial areas (or better still out at sea). I don't want one in my back yard, or yours, or anyone else's because I can still see it. I do not even want the things spoiling other peoples areas where perhaps I shall never even go.

      They are much worse than a static object (like a conventional power station, or a radio mast) because they are moving, and the human eye/brain is very sensitive to movement because we are natural hunters.

      You may not appreciate it yourself, but some of us get a lot from unspoiled countryside / wilderness, being able to get away from the signs of industry, commerce and human hubbub from time to time. Unfortunately the most scenic areas are those most likely to be targeted for these things as they tend to be put where there are hills.

      I don't know how you like to get away from things, lets say by listening to music. Would a music lover want their music overlaid by a buzzing sound? - that is an analogy.

    7. Re:While it can be done... by Alioth · · Score: 2

      Chernobyl and Fukushima are bad examples because:

      - The RMBK reactor design of Chernobyl was inherently "fail dangerous". Only the Soviets were insane enough to build reactors like this. Not even the Chinese are interested in fail dangerous designs. It had a positive void coefficient so when the coolant (water) boiled, the reaction rate went up, meaning it could get into a positive feedback loop and explode (and this is what it indeed did).
      - Fukushima was built in an area subject to tsunamis. If we keep reactors in geologically stable areas they aren't subject to this.

      If the risks are so high with nuclear, why are we still using coal - which kills far more people?

    8. Re:While it can be done... by rgbatduke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      space-based solar power arrays parked in geosynchronous or near-geosynchronous orvbit.

      Ah, I once thought as you do, but then a measure of common sense asserted itself. Consider the fact that the cost of getting to geosynchronous orbit is, per kilogram, larger than the energy output of a kilogram's worth of cells over a lifetime of "forever" (or damn near). Consider further that a gigawatt's worth of space array, beaming its energy back to the ground (at some cost in efficiency, transmission losses) is more or less a gigawatt-scale space weapon if it is aimed somewhere other than whatever patch of ground set aside as a receiver. What can go wrong? Consider that you can avoid this problem, sure, by using a very weak beam, but then you have to use a very large piece of ground as a receiver, one that increases in size with the geometry of latitude giving you a second trade-off between area of receiver and atmospheric loss at higher latitudes versus the difficulty of very long distance power transmission from the equator to the temperate zone. Consider that TOA insolation is only a factor of two or so larger than BOA insolation (so it's not like you get a lot more power by being out of the atmosphere) and land is cheap in the desert, and there is plenty of desert. Finally consider that land is REALLY cheap on your own rooftop, which very likely contains ALMOST enough area to completely supply your own house's energy needs and can "store" energy by simply dumping surplus back into the grid during the day at reverse cost to be drawn out again at night "for free", even without an ever-improving local storage option.

      Consider that the cost of actually putting 5 kW of solar cells on your roof NOW is more than break even on a 20 year amortization or less (in many parts of the country) with the amortization schedule dropping with the cost of solar cells and other improvements in the technology. The cost of solar cells per delivered watt has been dropping exponentially with a halving time of around a decade for the last three or four decades. It is currently between $1 and $2 per watt, plus installation and hardware costs. At $1/watt -- already available to large commercial buyers -- the amortization time for a 5 kW rooftop installation is order of a decade: it will generate order of $1000 worth of electricity per year, enough to pay off a $7000-8000 loan and even make a profit over that time. I've spent more than that on high efficiency furnace/AC for my house -- several times over, sadly -- with an even longer amortization. And, of course, anything that is "profitable" on the scale of individual rooftops is far MORE profitable on an industrial scale with industrial economies of scale. $1/watt retail is $0.50/watt wholesale in volume, and even allowing for installation and operation and maintenance costs, POWER COMPANIES will be GIVING you units to put on your roof -- as long as they can sell you slightly discounted power from those units. Or building large arrays themselves, but then they have the pesky problem of buying kilometer-square chunks of land here and there.

      So the real problem with putting solar cells in space is that if the price drops, as one can very reasonably expect, to under $1/watt full retail over the next decade, solar generation will proliferate like a weed all over the world not to save the whales or lower carbon footprint but because it is the cheapest or second cheapest way to make electricity. This will happen even if there ARE no breakthroughs in gigawatt-scale 24 hour plus storage, although I personally think that physicists and engineers will beat the storage problem too within the next decade -- the payoff for doing so is huge. Sure, we'll still need bridge power -- nuclear and probably coal or natural gas -- but the actual draw on those facilities will decrease to a fraction of what it is today. Whence, then, the incentive to put a massive Dr. Evil prequalified space maser up there at a cost of hundreds or thousands of dollars per watt, vulnerable

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    9. Re:While it can be done... by KonoWatakushi · · Score: 2

      Uhm, no. We *already* have plenty of safe "free" energy.

      * wave (Why do you think our planet even has a moon in the first place!)
      * geothermal
      * solar

      The problem is collecting that energy, which invariably requires massive amounts of land and resources.

      The problem with wind and most energy solutions is NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard).

      Yes, and so it would be far preferable to use technologies which have a very small environmental footprint, and which can be placed anywhere. Conventional nuclear has the same problem, though arguably on a smaller scale, and it is still intractable.

      Nuclear is too high-maintenance and the negative risks FAR out weight ALL the other alternatives. How many more Chernobyl and Fukushima "incidents" before we learn that we are not smart enough to safely run nuclear reactors.

      An objective view does not support this conclusion. That aside, conventional nuclear does have scalability and cost issues. Our failing is not in designing safe reactors, but embracing the technology, which looks nothing like today's reactors. Long ago, Alvin Weinberg showed us a safer nuclear, with molten salt reactors like the LFTR. Those solve all of the aforementioned problems, among many others. All we need is the will to commercially develop an already proven technology.

  3. Consistent availability is the issue by thesandbender · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The overriding problem with wind power is that, for large parts of the world, it is not constant or predictable. So while your wind farm may meet your energy demands for one day, it might not the next... and there is no way to predict or plan for these boom/bust periods. The only way to address this is:
    1. Build backup power sources which can meet all your energy demands (for when there is no wind)
    2. Overbuild the wind farms and build massive battery backups to store and distribute excess power (expensive and still no reliable)
    3. Rebuild the electric distribution infrastructure to share power across much larger regions (to do effectively require tech we haven't perfected).
    No matter how you cut it, building an adequate wind power infrastructure is prohibitively expensive because you have to plan for periods of your total output being zero. No matter how much technology improves, this will always be the case (well, until we can control weather).

    1. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by gl4ss · · Score: 3, Interesting

      the real reason it's expensive is that the parts cost and take energy to make.

      now, something that might be feasible could be covering for example entire alps in small http://www.windside.com/ installations. if only for the reason that such installations don't depend on massive 50 meter blades.

      of course, nature freaks would freak from that.

      --
      world was created 5 seconds before this post as it is.
    2. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

      Look at your turbine, now look at me, look back at your turbine, your turbine is now a diamond!

    3. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 3, Funny

      1. Build backup power sources which can meet all your energy demands (for when there is no wind)

      That's not hard to solve. That's why we have politicians.

      --
      Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    4. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by grandpa-geek · · Score: 2

      One major potential source of battery backup is electric vehicles. Even after their batteries are no longer usable in the cars (about 75% of capacity) they can be used as backup for wind and solar. That also requires either the vehicles or the charging stations to include inverters that can feed power to the grid.

      Geographic diversity can do some mitigation of wind variability, but storage is better. Not all storage needs to be in batteries. For example, compressed air and flywheels are other storage technologies that can also help.

      The distribution infrastructure needs to be rebuilt, but that is not what would transfer power over larger regions. The transmission infrastructure does that job. One study a few years ago estimated a need for about 10K miles of new 500KV transmission to handle a wind penetration of around 20% to 30%.

      Also, there is a need for much more detailed and more statistically-focused weather forecasting to support wind production forecasting. That is needed to help manage a system with high wind penetration.

    5. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by olau · · Score: 2

      You're oversimplifying this.

      If you try "baseload wind power" there's plenty of more info, here's one quote:

      Addressing Intermittency from Wind and Solar Photovoltaics

      Wind power already supplies over 21% of Denmark’s electricity and 15% of Spain and Portugal’s.

      Although the output of a single wind farm fluctuates greatly, the fluctuations in the total output from a number of wind farms geographically distributed in different wind regimes are much smaller and partially predictable.

      Modelling has also shown that it’s relatively inexpensive to increase the reliability of the total wind output to a level equivalent to a coal-fired power station by adding a few low-cost peak-load gas turbines that are run on renewable biofuels and are operated infrequently, to fill in the gaps when the wind farm production is low.

      Current power grid systems are already built to handle fluctuations in supply and demand with peak-load plants such as hydroelectric and gas turbines which can be switched on and off quickly, and by reserve baseload plants that are kept hot.

      [Recent studies] (http://www.nrel.gov/wind/systemsintegration/wwsis.html) by the US National Renewable Energy Laboratory found that wind could supply 20-30% of electricity, given improved transmission links and a little low-cost flexible back-up.

    6. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by kiwimate · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It's being done in the U.S. as well. Also known as pumped storage or pumped hydro.

    7. Re:Consistent availability is the issue by slim · · Score: 2

      This also happens near where I grew up in Wales. However, I think its capacity is pretty low, and to increase it you'd have to flood another valley to make a new reservoir. This tends to be unpopular with the people who live there.

  4. Theoretically, sure by argStyopa · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Theoretically there's plenty of wind power.
    Theoretically there's plenty of solar power.
    Theoretically there's plenty of geothermal power.
    Theoretically there's plenty of power in the vacuum of space.

    It's that niggling practicality of GETTING and USING that energy that confounds us.

    Arguably, I'd say the only one that's really proven itself over the long term is solar; as the Earth is essentially a closed system with only solar energy as an input, it's proven that there is amply "enough" input solar energy falling on half of the globe at any given time to drive that system.

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:Theoretically, sure by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      They would survive fine if their competitors had to pay for waste disposal. Hell, nuclear would be a lot more attractive too, if coal plants could not just use the atmosphere as their dumping ground.

      Nuclear power does not survive on the open market. It never has and likely never will. The time to pay back cost is so long that government loans are needed, the site cleanup costs are so far the taxpayers problem and disposal is still an unsolved issue. I like wind power, I love nuclear power, but neither of them can compete on price in the current power market.

    2. Re:Theoretically, sure by d3ac0n · · Score: 2

      Your argument is absurd on the face of it.

      Asking coal fired (or natgas or Hydrocarbon) plants ot NOT have emissions is akin to asking solar farms to produce power without killing all the plant life under them or wind farms not to hurt thousands of birds with spinning blades.

      There is a basic environmental price to pay for ANY power generation. You can't ignore it for one type of power generation just because you prefer it.

      Also, the vast majority of the costs of Nuclear power generation are legal (fighting eco-NIMBY lawsuits) and regulatory (dealing with the mountains of paperwork before you can even break ground.

      You want cheap nuclear power? Pass real Tort reform to prevent Eco-NIMBY lawsuits, defang the EPA (who often are the ones bringing or financially supporting the lawsuits) and lower regulations.

      The real reason we haven't had any new Nuke plants in the US in YEARS is simply the onerous costs of dealing with lawsuits and regulation. It's simply not profitable. And that's sad because we could be using really up to date reactors with awesome technology. instead we are dealing with aging reactors and a power infrastructure that is slowly being overwhelmed.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
    3. Re:Theoretically, sure by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      I did not mention natgas and for good reason. It does not send mercury and tons of radioactive material into the air. Coal power is dirty, face it. Nothing can be done about that, the very material it burns is highly contaminated.

      Nuclear power costs are actually far more about plant construction. Look it up. Cheap coal and gas are why we do not have more Nuclear power. Nuclear power plants take decades to payback their investment. Not once has one been built without government loans and insurance. The free market hates them.

      Defanging the EPA will only lead to more love canal type incidents.

      You have been lied too.

    4. Re:Theoretically, sure by d3ac0n · · Score: 2

      Coal is NOT a dirty power source. You seem to be under the impression that coal power is a bunch of guys shoveling coal into a furnace with black sooty smoke pouring out the the top.

      In reality, coal firing is fairly clean. Not as clean as other methods, to be sure, but acceptably clean. We have a coal-fired plant here in my area. It sits right along the Niagara River and I see it every day as I drive to work. I've also been inside it. It is a marvel of technology. Using powdered blown coal dust, hot gas recirculation and stack scrubbers it burns very thoroughly and puts out very little pollution. It is hardly the most advanced plant out there, either. Your idea that "nothing can be done about it" is not only highly misinformed, it is simply wrong.

      As far as Nuclear goes, The costs of construction are DIRECTLY related to legal and regulatory costs. A modern nuclear power plant is not that expensive to build. Just look at France to see how well they have done in building modern plants and keeping costs down. Hell, Koran companies have developed small sealed nuclear power generation stations that will run for 50 years and cost only a couple million dollars a unit. Now, those are only for small towns, but you could power a city with a few hundred of these scattered around and it wouldn't even cost all that much.

      Modern Nuclear power is CHEAP. it's regulation and legal issues that cost so much.

      Defanging the EPA will NOT lead to more "Love Canals". Love Canal was a result of ignorance and greed on the part of both Hooker Chemical AND the local Niagara County government. The EPA would not have prevented it. If the presence of the EPA prevented environmental disasters, then every environmental accident since the EPA's creation wouldn't have happened.

      Defanging the EPA WOULD, however, lead to less regulatory adventurism and less government waste though. They have gone FAR beyond their original mission of being an environmental watchdog and have become one of the prime examples of government power abuse. The EPA needs to be returned to its original size and scope, and be actively policed to prevent activists from regaining the near absolute control they currently wield in the EPA.

      I am actually quite well informed. I think I've proven that with some of the information I've provided.

      --
      Official Heretic from the "Church of Global Warming". Proven right thanks to whistle blowers. AGW = Flat Earth Theory
  5. Bob Dylan was right ... by Alain+Williams · · Score: 3, Funny

    He knew that: ''The answer, my friend, is blowin' in the wind''

  6. as the doctor says... by spectrokid · · Score: 3, Insightful

    just because oranges are healthy, you shouldn't have a diet based SOLELY on oranges. What you want is a good mix of different clean energy sources because:
    + they will compete and advance technologically
    + they won't all fail at once
    + they will all pollute in a different way, diluting the total footprint

    No energy form is safe, no energy form is (totally) clean.

    --

    10 ?"Hello World" life was simple then

  7. We need a diverse Energy. by jellomizer · · Score: 2

    We need to really diversify our energy.
    That included using Wind, Solar, Tidal, Hydro, Natural Gas, Coal, Nuclear...

    We need to stop focusing on Green Energy but focus on diverse energy, so we can hedge the trade-offs each offer.

    Even coal. While coal has the biggest environmental impact. It is currently the most plentiful in the United States, and shouldn't be discounted.

    --
    If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    1. Re:We need a diverse Energy. by higuita · · Score: 2

      Ok, right, you can still use coal... but add the post-combustion treatment to reduce pollution and ways to grab the CO2 (if everything else fails, plant enough trees)

      coal is cheap because there is no output treatment as it should, they just vent it to the atmosphere and is someones else problem. It shouldn't! they must take care of their pollution treatment. that way, the coal isnt that cheap (so bigger change for the other alternatives) and coal can finally became a little cleaner and not one of the worst.

      --
      Higuita
    2. Re:We need a diverse Energy. by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Ok, right, you can still use coal... but add the post-combustion treatment to reduce pollution and ways to grab the CO2

      I'd like to teach the world to sing in perfect harmony, or at least to take a look back at the USDOE's Aquatic Species Program, in which the gas output of coal plants is filtered through algae ponds, sequestering up to 80% of the CO2 output while improving algal growth rates. There are probably hundreds of opportunities of this type out there, like collecting methane from sewage ponds, which using AIWPS simultaneously offers extremely low-cost and high-effectiveness sewage treatment while using "traditional" plumbing and sewage connections. And of course, for those of us who live too far out into the boonies for such connections, there's direct composting toilets, like Van Lengen's Bason Toilet which with a greywater system can eliminate the need for a septic system and the accompanying maintenance.

      Basically, if it's not about pond scum, it's about shit... and pond scum.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  8. Ah yes, the anti-wind shills are here by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Informative

    Every time a discussion about wind power comes up, some troll (usually with a very high UID, sometimes with an account created solely for the purpose) asks how putting up windmills will affect weather.

    The answer should be fairly obvious. We have cut down a shitload of trees, which normally slow down wind. Putting up windmills? Slows down wind slightly, increases turbulence significantly, causing minimal localized temperature effects. Kind of like putting up trees. If there is any significant effect, it will be moderating, which is a good thing.

    In addition, wind turbines don't actually cause any heating worth mentioning, unless perhaps they catch on fire. This is covered in the linked article, which had the GP actually cared about this issue, they would have found with google and read already. They cause thermal mixing, which can raise temperatures at a specific point, but which don't raise temperatures in a region. It only results in higher measured temperatures in a relatively small area downwind. This is expected due to (fractionally) lower wind speeds and greater thermal mixing.

    In summary, anyone who expresses concerns about wind farms affecting weather is a shill, a troll, or an idiot, because these are not real concerns, and this is a well-known fact.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    1. Re:Ah yes, the anti-wind shills are here by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And you're confident that will still be the case if enough wind farms were to be deployed at altitude to provide all the power we need?

      Effects of wind farm, known: mixes the air so that temperature readings just downwind are higher, then the air thermally stratifies and things are back to normal not far from there.

      Effects of multiple wind farms: since the net result of one is zero, the net result of many will be zero. However, putting up sufficient wind power means we can reduce the use of other kinds of power which actually do have a negative effect on climate (from our POV.)

      Zero times any number is zero. HTH!

      . I think your overreaction to a simple question paints you as a pro-wind power shill/troll.

      My posting history proves otherwise. You are welcome to peruse it.

      There is nothing about calling a troll a troll that results in it being an overreaction.

      At best the question was a stupid one that would have better been answered by asking google than asking slashdot. In the old days, I would have been moderated up for pointing that out. Unfortunately, whoever moderated that comment voted for stupidity. Luckily, some more discerning and/or intelligent people seem to have moderated my comment in between that one and this one. Unfortunately, you have also left a comment here. (Amusingly, there is an even lower-quality anonymous and cowardly comment next to yours.)

      Slashdotters, let's stand up for quality comments. If I say something stupid, I expect to be downmodded. Let's extend that courtesy to others as well.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Ah yes, the anti-wind shills are here by loneDreamer · · Score: 2, Insightful

      What happened with the tone in slashdot? Can we share our clearly non-universal knowledge by answering questions politely instead of demeaning people for no apparent reason? I'm guessing most people here are adults, and an adult tone of conversation should be expected. I do like the core of your answer though.

    3. Re:Ah yes, the anti-wind shills are here by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      What happened with the tone in slashdot?

      People stopped givingup on chasing away stupid people, with the result that there are more stupid people.

      Can we share our clearly non-universal knowledge by answering questions politely instead of demeaning people for no apparent reason?

      The knowledge might as well be universal, because you can ask google (via keywords or plain English) what effect windmills have on weather, and it will tell you that the effect is negligible. This is actually easier and takes less time than posting a comment on slashdot, let alone waiting for the response. Therefore, it is either trolling (either for money or not) or a very stupid thing to do. I would call it incredibly stupid were it not for the ample evidence of how very credible it is, since many people seem to think it's a better idea to ask their trivial questions in a slashdot comment and attempt to get an answer via crowdsourcing than to ask a software agent designed specifically for the purpose and stocked with the bulk of human knowledge.

      I'm guessing most people here are adults, and an adult tone of conversation should be expected.

      Even if I couldn't tell from your UID that you haven't been here long, I would be able to tell from this sentence.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  9. Well... you could but... by jameshofo · · Score: 2

    Ugh, sure its a great idea, but I'd be more interested in something that actually did address the logistics. In North Iowa near my hometown, there is a field that they keep the parts for some of the wind turbines, those tings are massive, the field is right next to the railroad tracks because these things are so massive. There's a whole slew of parts just waiting to be assembled into a productive turbine (or 20). But what about the power lines being run to these things? The cost to put one up? legislation that has to be navigated to accomplish all that, the unsung heroes of these kinds of big ideas are the ones who actually (figure it out) and get it done (Logistically).

    People don't need to know wonderful and useful $Green_energy_of_the_week is, they need to know how realistic it is (or isn't). Ignoring the fact that you have an implementation problem doesn't make it look any more attractive when it comes time to write the check. Unfortunately that doesn't get much attention because it's the un-interesting part of the problem.

    --
    Good leaders run toward problems, bad leaders hide from them.
  10. You have got to be kidding... by bradley13 · · Score: 2

    ...pretty little things, the turbines at Windside. Do you notice how they provide all sorts of figures, except the generating capacity? There's a reason for having long honking blades - you gather power from a larger area. These generators aren't much wider than the post they sit on, and they aren't going to generate much power at all. The best you can get are these quotes:

    "The core of our business is based on small turbines charging battery banks that power small DC systems"

    And this incredibly misleading quote: "The biggest Windside wind turbine is currently WS-12. It is 6 meter high and its diameter is 2 meters. WS-12 produces annually approx. 8600 kWh at the average wind speed of 5 m/s". Note: kilowatt-hours, with no time period stated. They probably mean per year. So we may well be talking about a 1kw generator. Again, they most carefully do not say.

    --
    Enjoy life! This is not a dress rehearsal.
  11. Re:Climate Damage? by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Compare the amount of energy available to the amount we are using. Then reply to yourself telling the idiots that modded you up to stop doing that.

  12. Your choice by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You can get nuclear powerplant, a solar array, a coal burner, a gas burner, a wind farm. But something is going to have to generate that electricity you keep on consuming.

    Make a choice. Oh wait, I forgot. Democracy, power without accountability. You can vote to have your cake and eat it to.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  13. On-demand DHW is not always the right answer. by Medievalist · · Score: 3, Interesting

    My basement is almost a museum of water heater technology - when we moved in, there was a huge multi-fuel (coal or oil) Victorian segmented iron boiler sitting right next to a 1970s style uninsulated storage water heater.

    I ripped out both (I broke a 1-ton come-along pulling the boiler up and out) and installed a state-of-the-art Aquastar on-demand gas water heater and lived with it for four years. Then I ripped that out and replaced it with a heavily insulated storage water heater.

    Want to guess which one was cheapest and most efficient in real world use? Hints: I have two teenagers in the house these days, and I have my own well.

    Don't make on-demand water heating a golden hammer.

  14. I got the OPPOSITE conclusion from the same paper. by scorp1us · · Score: 2

    If you're going to invent 20,000ft windmills, then you might as well invent a magical creature who defecates some super-fuel, like Lord Nibbler.

    Really you only get a fraction out of the theoretical power stated in the paper. You're looking at about 1/3 to 1/5 of what they state for output, realistically. And how would you have a wind farm near an airport? To me, I read this as the absurd stunts that wind would have to pull off to be viable. The fact that it ignores the practical application means this is nothing than fiction, and should be treated as such, because no one except Charlie Sheen gets to live in a fictitious world. So there you have it wind adherents: you're all Charlie Sheens!

    Meanwhile, Sharp has a solar panel that is 43% efficient. Lets contrast that with the theoretical maximum of 59% for wind mills. there's a 16 percent advantage... but unlike solar cells, windmills can never be more efficient than 59%. Also, windmills need regular service being a mechanical apparatus. Solar cells, even the ones that move, don't have the same ear and tear as a a windmill.

    In the end, wind doesn't work, even when you have subsidies.

    --
    Slashdot's rate-of-post filter: Preventing you from posting too many great ideas at once.
  15. Re:Climate Damage? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People have studied it, and nothing significant happens because you don't stop the wind, just slow it down very slightly like all the trees you chopped down and terrain you flattened used to.

    I really can't believe this got modded up even by one point. It is on about the same level as people who worry that Britain will be blown away by all the windmills, sailing off into the Atlantic.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  16. Re:I got the OPPOSITE conclusion from the same pap by Solandri · · Score: 2

    Meanwhile, Sharp has a solar panel that is 43% efficient. Lets contrast that with the theoretical maximum of 59% for wind mills. there's a 16 percent advantage.

    Once you factor in night, that 43% efficiency drops to 21.5%. The wind turbine still works at night. The solar panel doesn't.

    You need to take into account capacity factor. Overall average capacity factor for solar in the U.S. is 0.14. That is, if your solar panels have a nominal generating capacity of 100 Watts, their output averaged over a year after you factor in night, bad weather, angle of the sun, and maintenance is about 14 Watts. 14 Watts in real-world use per 100 Watts of rated capacity. The desert Southwest can get up to 0.18-0.19, but for the country overall it's 0.14.

    Wind's capacity factor on land is about 0.20-0.25. Ideal locations (certain areas of Scotland, Spain, Portugul, and offshore) can hit 0.40-0.50. So multiply your max conversion efficiencies with capacity factor and you get solar = 6% best case, wind = 12% worst case.

    I'm a strong nuclear proponent, but even I've been saying that wind has been on the cusp of becoming cost-competitive with nuclear and coal. Solar OTOH is still over 5x more expensive.