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Bitcoin Currency Surpasses 20 National Currencies In Total Value

Velcroman1 writes "More than $1 billion worth of bitcoins now circulate on the web – an amount that exceeds the value of the entire currency stock of small countries like Liberia, Bhutan, and 18 other countries. Bitcoin is in high demand right now — each bitcoin currently sells for more than $90 U.S. — which bitcoin insiders say is because of world events that have shaken confidence in government-issued currencies. 'Because of what's going on in Cyprus and Europe, people are trying to pull their money out of banks there,' said Tony Gallippi, the CEO BitPay.com, which enables businesses to easily accept bitcoins as payment. 'So they buy gold, they put it under the mattress, or they buy bitcoin,' Gallippi said."

84 of 583 comments (clear)

  1. SELL!!! by BenSchuarmer · · Score: 4, Funny

    time to cash in

    1. Re:SELL!!! by jythie · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Pretty much, or at least potentially. Figuring out when to profit on irrational fear is a good key for success ^_^

    2. Re:SELL!!! by alphatel · · Score: 4, Funny

      1:11 PM - We own the planet!
      3:45 PM - Oh, crashed again...

      --
      When the foot seeks the place of the head, the line is crossed. Know your place. Keep your place. Be a shoe.
    3. Re:SELL!!! by ackthpt · · Score: 2, Funny

      I, for one, welcome our Bitcoin Banking overlords.

      --

      A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    4. Re:SELL!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I've been investing myself for about 25 years and I thought exactly the same thing when I saw this. There is clearly a bubble in the value of BitCoin right now and there is really nothing backing that value. In the past when the US dollar was "young" it was backed by gold. That ended long ago, but the value of the dollar on it's own had been long established before that change. Other currencies have similar histories. That's the the case here. Not only would I sell if I had anything in BitCoin now and move into either US dollars (being a US investor) or metals (silver, gold, platinum being the primary three), but if I had a few grand to gamble with I'd actually short BitCoin at these rates and make some cash as the value starts to slide - be that a short term correction or more likely a collapse of BitCoin altogether.

    5. Re:SELL!!! by noh8rz10 · · Score: 3, Funny

      yo dawg, I heard you like bitcoin, so I put some currency in your currency so you can spend while you spend.

    6. Re:SELL!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      I bought a load of bitcoins last April when they were 5 GBP... with a view to buying stuff off SilkRoad.

      Which I did... but I still had about half of them left. I just held onto them to watch the price (what the hell I thought.. let's see what happens).

      A few days ago I worked out that selling them would get me the equivalent of a month's wage. I could carry on watching and hoping it doesn't crash... or sell them and get a month's wage ON TOP of the drugs I bought (and enjoyed).

      Fuck it.. I cashed out.

    7. Re:SELL!!! by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Not a bad idea by any stretch, if you already have them. Personally, I still have no faith in the bitcoin. Though to be honest, when I first started looking at bitcoins last october, they were $11 each, and I thought they were overvalued then. Now (as I write this) they are $86.71 a peice. Given that yesterday afternoon they were $89 something each, the price does seem a bit volatile, however it has made many similar fluctuations along the way up, so that doesn't mean it has peaked. If I had bought say a thousand worth and then sold them today, that is upwards of $8,000 of income.

      Where it will head from here is anybody's guess. I don't believe I am any good at currency speculation by any stretch, but I haven't seen any indication that they have topped out. Still, I wouldn't buy any myself, nor would I suggest anybody else do that either.

      I actually mined some bitcoins to pay for VPN and seedbox services (I make more than enough money in bitcoins per month to pay for these) using GPU power I already have (one 5750 and one 7850) at a combined 600MH/s, which at the current exchange rate yields about $100 USD per month. Thinking of using my spare bitcoins to buy an entry level asic, which will yield ten times that amount at about one tenth of the energy consumption.

      If the bitcoin does end up collapsing, I haven't really lost anything other than idle GPU time. Where I live (Arizona) electricity is cheap, and based on my current metrics (which I am able to monitor in 5 second intervals btw) I have probably thus far spent $5 on mining bitcoins over the four month span that I first started mining them. A general rule of thumb in investing is that you should never invest so much that if you lost it all, you wouldn't be able to afford to keep your house. I don't think I'll miss $5. Best of all, unless I convert it into real dollars, it'll never be taxed. Meanwhile, as time passes there are more and more goods/services that I can buy with bitcoins.

      If everybody does exactly what I'm doing, the value of bitcoins will only increase because more people will have a stake in them.

      And before any eco activists complain about my carbon footprint: My area is nuclear powered. Nuclear has an almost non-existent carbon footprint and is dirt cheap. (I'm not one to concern myself with carbon in any case - call me an anti-social insensitive clod or whatever incorrect label you want, but I just don't see the point worrying about it - see my recent comment history for an explanation.) You can thank the government if your area isn't nuclear powered.

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    8. Re:SELL!!! by Opportunist · · Score: 5, Funny

      Sounds a bit like Wall Street.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    9. Re:SELL!!! by egcagrac0 · · Score: 2

      Yes, please sell.

      Collapse this round of the bubble, so I can get in at $17 for the next round.

    10. Re:SELL!!! by h4rr4r · · Score: 4, Informative

      You are incorrect on your tax idea there buddy. That is income and you should be reporting it. You might get away with not reporting a small amount, but if it is ever worth anything you will have the IRS after you.

    11. Re:SELL!!! by h4rr4r · · Score: 3, Informative

      What citation do you want?
      Do you not think that income is taxable?

      If I pay you to roof my house in Euros that does not mean you don't have to pay taxes.

    12. Re:SELL!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Can you imagine $1m for a Bitcoin? I could hold your family at gunpoint for one coin, and at worst get a few months in prison. Or just pay some meth head a couple hundred bucks to do it.
      Meanwhile, you can't prove I stole anything of real value from you - just a file from your computer. You can't insure it like a piece of property, you can't "cancel" it like you could a check, and nobody gives a crap where the BTC ends up because it doesn't count as real currency.
      So while it's fun to imagine, the moment BTC becomes worth more than harvesting someone's credit cards via botnet, they're coming for your virtual wallet and nobody will care, not the banks, not the government, and not the retailers, because they all operate on regulated currencies and the protections they afford.

    13. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Exactly like Wall Street. It's a speculative market and at the end of the day all speculative markets are just high stakes casinos.

      Still, it will help Bitcoin itself. The currently booming Bitcoin world combined with Bitpay offering merchants a payment option with only 0.99% interest, no other fees, no credit or volume requirements, and no charge backs probably means a lot more merchants jumping to accept it.

    14. Re:SELL!!! by Bill_the_Engineer · · Score: 3, Informative

      This has already been covered:

      Bitcoin Virtual Cash Get Money-Laundering Rule

      --
      These comments are my own and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of my employer or colleagues...
    15. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 3, Informative

      A lot of this does seem like it could be a bubble but it also seems likely Bitcoin will crack $100 and that is a nice place to establish a new market bottom with the Bit cent then becoming equiv to a dollar. Bitcoin's appropriate value certainly isn't nothing. It was quite stable in the $8-12 range before the reward for mining halved. At the same time the difficulty (and therefore cost) of mining has skyrocketed as ASIC miners have come online. So we are looking at a price point between $30-40 dollars as a bottom just on the merits of supply reduction vs demand that existed before this climb.

      The good thing for Bitcoin itself is that Bitpay is offering merchants who take Bitcoin a much much less expensive payment option 0.99% with no other fees, credit requirements, or charge backs and they can have payments instantly convert to fiat to work like a credit card or can keep it in Bitcoin. They are signing thousands of merchants a month. So even if this is a speculation bubble, it is stimulating actual growth in the Bitcoin economy and therefore increased demand.

      The increased demand combined with decreased supply would mean that the price should be somewhere beyond that $30-40 and the longer this run goes the higher that number is. Plus, this isn't a pure buying run. Every few days there is a dip of $10-20 dollars that indicates small market corrections throughout the rise.

      Just my take on the whole thing. YMMV :)

    16. Re:SELL!!! by lgw · · Score: 2

      No one will know for sure until there's a court case - all tax law is like that.

      For sure bitcoins won't be taxed as capital gains, like a stock.

      The good case is that bitcoin is treated like a currency.

      The bad (and likely) case is that it's treated like a collectable (as gold currently is), which would mean the minimum tax rate would be 28% (IIRC), even on small gains. The collectable tax blow goats, and is why I won't own gold except in my tax-deferred accounts.

      In any case, if you're paid for work in bitcoins (income, rather than trading), you do owe taxes on that - the IRS has always taxed income paid in chickens, or whatever barter good.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    17. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 2, Interesting

      The smartest people were the ones who understood the potential of Bitcoin early and mined when your desktop cpu could unlock multiple blocks of 50 coins a day. Most of them have probably either lost the coins or cashed out long before now but they were the smartest.

    18. Re:SELL!!! by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

      Just because you did not get audited does not make it so.

    19. Re:SELL!!! by Dahamma · · Score: 4, Informative

      Except Wall Street is at least nominally speculating based on equity, whereas Bitcoins have less inherent value than a bag of tulip bulbs.

    20. Re:SELL!!! by AlphaWolf_HK · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Well let me know when the IRS starts auditing wow players, many of whom have a lot more money worth of wow gold than I have in my bank account, never mind bitcoins.

      Effectively bitcoin is the same thing as wow gold at the moment.

      --
      Careful with names containing L slashdot.org/~AiphaWolf_HK slashdot.org/~AlphaWoif_HK slashdot.org/~AiphaWoif_HK
    21. Re:SELL!!! by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 2

      Not sure who is generating demand for these other than other speculators. Apparently merchants need more incentive because there is a significant dearth of them right now. I still can't pay my rent or buy food with them. The one place I found that would actually offer Federal Reserve Notes for BTCs limited me to trading no more than 2. TWO! What do I do with the other 130 that I have? Not much, apparently. I found a site that will sell electronics for bitcoins - but nothing I want. No tablets or phones and no modern, efficient flat-screen monitors, just old crappy CRTs. Oh - and they want extra money for shipping, and you can't even pay that with bitcoins (!!).

      Call me when there is an actual demand for them. Oil paintings by obscure Mexican artists make a better commodity trading medium than bitcoins.

      --
      "Somebody has to do something. It's just incredibly pathetic it has to be us."
      --- Jerry Garcia
    22. Re:SELL!!! by Ogi_UnixNut · · Score: 2

      Meh, I cashed out my 300 bitcoins a few months ago, having mined them back when CPU's could unlock 50 within a couple of weeks. Somewhat kicking myself, as I sold them at $14 a bitcoin, and now they are something like $100.

      Considered getting back into mining with FPGA's, but it is really hard to get much nowadays, so not sure if worth it. I had a good run, and made some decent coin, even though it is paltry compared to this.

      Oh well, good thing I don't do investment as a business, I sure suck at it :o)

    23. Re:SELL!!! by TeknoHog · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bitcoins have less inherent value than a bag of tulip bulbs.

      Try sending payments across the globe in 10 minutes using tulip bulbs.

      --
      Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
    24. Re:SELL!!! by Bradmont · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There is no such thing as inherent value. I dare you to try measuring any such physical attribute.

      Ok. How about the ability to keep one human alive for one day? Therefore, food, water, shelter, and heating (or cooling) have inherent value. As does anything that can be directly converted into one of these things, like seeds, hydrogen & oxygen, electricity, wood, bricks, and so on.

      Unless you want to argue that human life has no value, in which case I can just shoot you and win the argument.

    25. Re:SELL!!! by TFAFalcon · · Score: 2

      But it all belongs to Blizzard.

    26. Re:SELL!!! by ModernGeek · · Score: 2

      That's the inherent problem with investing. If the stock does really well, you would have wished that you had bought more. If you sell the stock and it keeps climbing, you would have wished that you would have waited. If the stock tanks, well you get the point. No matter what, you can never be happy as an investor.

      --
      Sig: I stole this sig.
    27. Re:SELL!!! by Dahamma · · Score: 2

      Yep - as well as anything that can be used to create one of those things more efficiently (like farm implements), transport those things to people who want/need them, preserve/protect them for future use, etc.

      You could also argue that derivative products created from the labor of people using these basic necessities also constitutes value from those basic resource used. I suppose in that case you could also then argue that Bitcoins have a value derived from the energy/resources used to generate them (even if that resource use is very arbitrarily defined in a way that tries to prevent any efficiencies in "production" from making generation faster.

    28. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No that's the problem with gambling. And if you won it would bolster your confidence and you'd bet it all again. Speculative markets are nothing but high stakes gambling.

    29. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 2

      " Apparently merchants need more incentive because there is a significant dearth of them right now. I still can't pay my rent or buy food with them."

      There are thousands. Bitpay alone is processing more than $2M a month in merchant transactions. Here are a couple online examples. http://www.bitmit.net/en/recent and https://www.bitcoinstore.com/

      There are several restaurants so you CAN buy food. As for rent, it isn't a given but your landlord just might take them if asked just like he probably would take gold if asked.

      If your expectation of a new system is that it only exists if every vendor everywhere takes it from day one then you've set an impossible bar. It takes time. At a billion dollars there are no shortage of private companies in the US and the EU that are much larger than the Bitcoin economy. It is going to take time before you start seeing a shop taking Bitcoin on every corner. But there are merchants who take them and the number is growing rapidly.

      "The one place I found that would actually offer Federal Reserve Notes for BTCs limited me to trading no more than 2."

      You must not have looked very hard. localbitcoin.com, bitinstant.com, mtgox.com... you can buy or sell a hell of a lot more than 2 BTC at any of these places.

    30. Re:SELL!!! by ultranova · · Score: 5, Funny

      Try paying for anything in Bitcoins without electricity.

      As opposed to Wall Street stock exchange computers, which run on hellfire and are cooled by the blood of the innocent.

      --

      Forget magic. Any technology distinguishable from divine power is insufficiently advanced.

    31. Re:SELL!!! by shaitand · · Score: 2

      Gambling is based on probability. Like the probability of a trend continuing or breaking in a way that pays back more than you bet. Or the 20% chance overall chance of winning that you typically have on a bet in a speculative market.

      People con themselves into thinking they can find consistent mathematical patterns in roulette and slot payouts too but they eventually lose all their money following them. The only way to win consistently forever is to rig the game and play on a small statistical advantage.

    32. Re:SELL!!! by trout007 · · Score: 2

      Just curious. How long before technology gets to the point you can defeat the encryption of a bitcoin?

      --
      I love Jesus, except for his foreign policy.
    33. Re:SELL!!! by tftp · · Score: 2

      Just curious. How long before technology gets to the point you can defeat the encryption of a bitcoin?

      It's very simple even today. The criminal hacks the BC terminal at the merchant, and from that point on - until detected - the merchant gives his wares out in exchange for invalid bitcoins (that his terminal sees as always valid.) The card reader at the grocery store is far more secure, and on top of that you have contractual protection. A Bitcoin terminal - not so much.

      BC is also nonfunctional if there is no Internet or no power. It's a currency for a stable, well connected society. You cannot depend on your Bitcoins as you travel, for example, because no bank is likely to give you money in exchange for numbers. BC is only good if you use it for occasional, incidental purchases that do not matter - like buying coffee on your way to work. But a bank card works there just as well. It can even work offline, when the Internet is down, at the low cost of a few sheets of carbon copy paper.

      The only one obvious advantage of BC is in black market operations and money laundering. Do terrorist groups accept donations in BC already? If not, they will soon. Good company to be in.

  2. Buy Now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    It's not a bubble! Push the price higher, higher, higher!

    1. Re:Buy Now! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Perhaps Bitcoins can be packaged into securities, given a AAA rating, and sold to retirement funds. Win-win!

  3. Is it really circulating? by dclozier · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Or like has been stated before it's mostly being hoarded. (like when collecting anything, mostly of value to the collector and other collectors but not anyone else)

    1. Re:Is it really circulating? by Frobnicator · · Score: 4, Insightful

      claiming it is being widely used for every day living. I have yet to see anything to back up either extreme.

      Let me know when I can pay my rent in bitcoins, pay my fuel bill in bitcoins, or buy groceries in bitcoins.

      For now it is a geek-only way to exchange goods and services.

      --
      //TODO: Think of witty sig statement
    2. Re:Is it really circulating? by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2

      and who'd have thought that the greatest bank robberies in history would be *by* the banks, not *of* the banks?

      Anyone who hasn't been in a coma since 2008.

    3. Re:Is it really circulating? by SpiralSpirit · · Score: 2

      try paying for your groceries in gold bullion. Then tell me gold has no value.

  4. How to take a short position in Bitcoin? by JDG1980 · · Score: 3, Informative

    So, how do you "short sell" Bitcoin? I'd like to make a few bucks from this ridiculous bubble when it pops.

    1. Re:How to take a short position in Bitcoin? by wed128 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Borrow some bitcoin, sell it now, wait for the inevitable, buy it back when the bubble pops, return to owner.

    2. Re:How to take a short position in Bitcoin? by tempestdata · · Score: 3, Funny

      Yes of course. China is the one that is going to want its trillions in dollar denominated us debt holdings to be worth peanuts.

      --
      - Tempestdata
    3. Re:How to take a short position in Bitcoin? by pitchpipe · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I would advise against taking a short position in Bitcoins. What amazes me when watching a bubble is just how high it will go: it always goes much higher than anyone thinks it will go. Then, when the bubble pops, it goes much lower than anyone thought it could go.

      Bubbles are unpredictable to say the least.

      --
      Look where all this talking got us, baby.
  5. I have to admit by Cro+Magnon · · Score: 2

    Bitcoin is probably safer than Cyprus banks.

    --
    Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
    1. Re:I have to admit by Opportunist · · Score: 2, Funny

      Dude, investing in Slavers Co stocks is currently probably more viable than putting money in a Cyprus bank.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  6. Re:That's completely arbitrary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    It means that ALL bitcoins are collectively worth more than ALL currency of the 20 countries listed. They're not comparing individual currency units.

  7. They probably surpassed ... by ackthpt · · Score: 4, Funny

    They probably surpassed North Korea with their first nickel.

    --

    A feeling of having made the same mistake before: Deja Foobar
    1. Re:They probably surpassed ... by gman003 · · Score: 2

      Well of course. The People's Democratic Republic of Korea, having reached true and perfect communism, has no need for currency or money as all goods are distributed equitably according to need, not according to some barbaric, capitalist tool of oppression like the nickels used by the American pig-demons or their southern puppets to buy weapons with which to destroy the peace-loving and free people of the People's Democratic Republic and their Glorious Leader(s).

      </sarcasm>

  8. Theoretical 1 billion not actual by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 4, Informative

    The article should say that more than 1 billion dollars in bitcoins theoretically exists on the web. Given the horrific problems that a few bitcoin exchanges have had in the recent past, I think some skepticism is warranted. My prediction is that sometime in the upcoming years some kind of attack nobody foresaw will happen on bitcoins and the attackers will get wealthy and the bitcoin holders will be left holding dust or bitcoins will simply be another bubble that collapses. I don't see a bright future for bitcoins.

  9. Breaking News Alert Bitcoin Miners Threaten Strike by wanfuse123 · · Score: 2
  10. What is the current value of tulip bulbs? by h4rr4r · · Score: 2

    So how does this compare to the value of the worlds tulip bulbs?

  11. It's never going to pop like that again. by elucido · · Score: 2, Funny

    If you wait for it to pop this time you'll miss out. It will never be $2 a coin again. In fact it's going to reach $1000 a coin by the end of the year.

    1. Re:It's never going to pop like that again. by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 2

      Correct those other things actually exist or existed in the physical world. They also have or had the force of law to back them up which is something that bitcoin lacks. You do seem to be a true believer much like the Austrian goldbugs are in your chosen form of currency, so enjoy it while it lasts. You may want to become familiar with the Hunt brothers for some further insight. I hear people pushing various silver schemes now using data points from the era of the Hunt brothers like those were rational markets at that time and it seems like you are doing the same with bitcoins.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    2. Re:It's never going to pop like that again. by Lazere · · Score: 2

      So, are you saying that bitcoins are impervious to normal market forces? Strangely, that's what people suggested about the things on that list. (Remember "too big to fail"?) Everything falls. Period. People get very rich knowing when the thing will fall.

  12. You're not kidding by Concern · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I have some experience with both cryptography and decentralized systems of this kind. Which doesn't make me an expert. But I know enough to ask questions. I have had grave concerns about the validity of their design since I first read about it on slashdot some years back. It seemed to me the case had not been made that bitcoin was not vulnerable to rapid destruction of value, due to attacks on fundamental flaws in its design.

    The thing that really surprised me was that people decided to try to use it anyway. But I guess our desires often cloud our judgment. As much as I would love a decentralized digital currency, I do not believe it yet exists. I wouldn't invest 90 cents in bitcoin.

    Many currencies can appear to be stable until they're not.

    --
    Tired of Political Trolls? Opt Out!
    1. Re:You're not kidding by shaitand · · Score: 2

      He hasn't raised any technical issues. He just made an unsupported assertion that Bitcoin was broken.

      The logical design and theory is well documented and completely open. Likewise the implementation of that logic is completely open. Bitcoin has been around for 4 years and has been a high priority topic of interest for security researchers and cryptographers from the beginning.

      4 years, a completely open specification, and a billion dollar bounty for successfully finding and exploiting a weakness and nobody has managed to find anything that doesn't require gaining control of > 51% of the total global mining power.

      If Concern actually knew of any technical flaws in Bitcoin he would have exploited them and become a billionaire.

      More likely he is talking about the economic hypothesis that you need inflation an economy to work. Inflationary currency is a relatively new thing that came about a few decades ago but the entire fiat currency system of the world works on it. Prior to that the entire world was filled with deflationary economies, some booming, some weak. So while the inflationary requirement is taught as economics 101 it is relatively untested while deflation has several thousand years of working just fine backing it up. There are talking points for both sides of that debate.

      Both sides will disparage people with the opposing opinion on inflation vs deflation. But no matter what you think is the cause, it is the pro-inflation crowd who now has to defend their views in light of the reality that Bitcoin and it's deflationary system have grown from nothing to a billion dollar economy exceeding those of 20 nations in just four years.

  13. Re:That's completely arbitrary by fermion · · Score: 3, Insightful
    Most things are arbitrary. The value of gold, for instance. Crazy people tend to think there is some innate value, that the price is going to be always be high, but for how many cans of food will you trade it for if the end actually does become nigh? OTOH at leas gold, for some, is a physical object they possess.

    Such things always remind me of the exploration of the Americas, or at the simplified myth. In this story the English brought back potatoes and the spanish brought back gold. The question is who brought back wealth, and who brought back merely riches.

    --
    "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  14. Re:Bitcoin could reach 1 million per coin in value by h4rr4r · · Score: 5, Insightful

    So could tulip bulbs, you better go get some quick.

  15. It will never be that cheap again by elucido · · Score: 2

    Quote me. A year from now it will be approaching $1000 a coin. It will never be $17 a coin again.

    1. Re:It will never be that cheap again by egcagrac0 · · Score: 2

      That doesn't match my interpretation of the numbers.

      I expect we'll see a big downswing in the next few weeks, and my gut is telling me the bottom is at $15/BTC.

      In fairness, at least half the time that gut feeling is gas.

      I fully expect that we'll have about 16 months of "normal" trading after this crash, then it will spike again, but I'm only feeling that the next spike will go to around $325.

    2. Re:It will never be that cheap again by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Quote me. A year from now it will be approaching $1000 a coin. It will never be $17 a coin again.

      You can keep on saying that, it doesn't make it so.

      Magicking 'money' out of thin air *always* leads to a crash. No exceptions. Just wait and see.

      --
      No sig today...
    3. Re:It will never be that cheap again by Ash-Fox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      There is no reason to expect it to ever get that low again. The market is bigger now and there are sites which accept bitcoins which didn't back then.

      Reminds me of what people told me about investing in Enron.

      --
      Change is certain; progress is not obligatory.
  16. US debt by andersh · · Score: 5, Informative

    Have you seen the actual numbers? Who owns the US national debt?

    - China 8%

    US gov't and pension funds 46,1%:

    - The Federal reserve 11,3%
    - Social Security fund 19%
    - US households 6,6%
    - State & local gov't 3,5%
    - State, local pensions funds 2,2%
    - Private pension funds 3,5%

    http://www.businessinsider.com/who-owns-us-debt-2011-7?op=1

    1. Re:US debt by Ol+Biscuitbarrel · · Score: 3, Funny

      This is why I take the noble stand and refuse to buy cheap shoddy crap made in US households.

    2. Re:US debt by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 2

      The USG owns 50% of USG debt? What does that even mean?

      It means the Dollar is a ponzi scheme and the political promises of the US government to pay out entitlements benefits are worth exactly as much as the same political promises the USSR made.

    3. Re:US debt by roman_mir · · Score: 2

      I said Chinese and the private pension funds are real creditors.

      USA households are not real creditors, neither is any level of USA government. USA households being 'creditors' in this case is negated by the very fact that they have this same exact debt as a liability to themselves, they are on the hook for the debt and the interest payments on it and they hold the bonds, from which they clip coupons and supposedly would want the principal back at some point.

      You can't have the same thing being an asset and a liability, it's a wash, that particular money comes from inflation, not from US households.

  17. Time to rename /. to BitcoinPushers.com? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It getting to be a little much. Have you really got so much money invested in Bitcoin that you are willing to sacrifice /. to advertise it?

  18. So you buy every bubble then? by Concern · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Enron's stock went up too. You might want to think about the fundamentals of what you're buying.

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  19. Not only that by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 4, Informative

    But there seems to be this misunderstanding that China can just "call in" the loans. They can't. US securities are sold for fixed periods of time. They pay off on a given date, period. There is no ability to call them due early.

    So all someone can do who wishes to cash out early is to sell them on the open market, and of course if you dump a ton of them the price will crash meaning you'll take a sizable loss on your investment.

    People really need to go and look at how public debt in the US works before they chatter about it. Too many think it is the US going to China The Loan Shark and begging for money on any terms. Quite the opposite, it is China buying US securities (denominated in US dollars, held and tracked in the US exchange) when they are auctioned off.

  20. Re:It can't pop. by PRMan · · Score: 2

    Because of it's deflationary nature and lack of manipulation by government entities, I agree that it will continue to rise.... unless:

    1. Somebody hacks the protocol, maybe with a quantum computer. If this happens, all Bitcoins will be instantly worthless and the price will plummet to nothing.

    2. A major exchange gets hacked. If Mt. Gox got hacked and 50% of the world's Bitcoins were stolen all at once (or the cash that people were trading for them), you better believe there is no way it is reaching the numbers you are saying. Confidence would be shaken for a very long time.

    I could go on, but it's certainly not fool-proof. There are several scenarios where it could be devalued instantly.

    That said, I believe there is no better investment opportunity on the planet right now and if you can afford to risk a small amount of money, you should probably look into it.

    --
    Peter predicted that you would "deliberately forget" creation 2000 years ago...
  21. Re:It can't pop. by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's only worth what people are willing to pay for it.

    If confidence goes, so does the value.

    --
    No sig today...
  22. Re:It can't pop. by kestasjk · · Score: 3, Funny

    Gee elucido; after seeing you post how bitcoins will increase 10x by 2014 in three posts now I can see that you selflessly want us all to partake in this great opportunity. I think I'll go and get some now!

    --
    // MD_Update(&m,buf,j);
  23. Fundamentals by Concern · · Score: 2

    I read the Nakamoto paper. Here are my concerns.

    The system is secure as long as honest nodes collectively control more CPU power than any cooperating group of attacker nodes, or so it is hoped. But pervasive communications are also assumed so that chain length can be measured, for the CPU-power argument to be possible to begin with. Consider how many key elements in the protocol require extensive communication, for instance to determine chain length. Between botnets, transparent proxies, ASICs, domestic and foreign powers with extensive eavesdropping, intercept, and computational resources... who by the way might be rather put out at having their currencies threatened... do you really want to trust any hard earned cash to this system? Or... if it is easy to make or get bitcoins without hard work, how much can they really be worth?

    Meanwhile, is it anonymous, or has this massively transparent electronic P2P currency been designed to keep a particularly difficult to erase record of every transaction completed with it? From the paper:

    Some linking is still unavoidable with multi-input transactions, which necessarily reveal that their inputs were owned by the same owner. The risk is that if the owner of a key is revealed, linking could reveal other transactions that belonged to the same owner.

    ...aaaaaaand, the section ends. So good luck, silk-road purchasers.

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  24. Re:That's completely arbitrary by mill3d · · Score: 2

    I think his point is that down the road, potatoes did more for the English than gold did for Spain. Spain's situation as of now speaks for itself compared to that of the Commonwealth...

    --
    Nothing is enough for whom enough is too little - Confucius
  25. It is somewhat like a penny stock by Sycraft-fu · · Score: 2

    That is a place where you see that level of volatility. Something that can be worth a ton one week, down a bunch the next, back up, back down, etc. Also has daily volatility like one. If you compare the charts to a thinly traded stock, it looks much more like that than a currency.

  26. Not a good by sjbe · · Score: 2

    The IRS considers Bitcoin an good not a currency.

    You got a citation for that? I'm pretty sure the IRS will consider it a negotiable instrument which is not a good. And yes I am an accountant.

    It isn't income until/unless you sell it and realize a profit.

    Properly stated until you sell it, it is an unrealized gain and typically is not taxed, though there are some special cases.

  27. Re:quit comparing by dkleinsc · · Score: 3, Informative

    We all know inflation on the dollar is crazy and trending toward never getting better.

    We don't "all know" that, because it's not true. Inflation is at about 2% and has been basically unchanged since 1984 or so. Any ideas to the contrary are primarily in the minds of those who have a financial interest in convincing people holding dollars to buy some other kind of asset e.g. Glenn Beck and his gold interests.

    --
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  28. Re:quit comparing by the+eric+conspiracy · · Score: 2

    MIT aggregates about a billion prices and comes out with pretty much the same number as the CPI, which has recently been around 2%.

    http://bpp.mit.edu/

    http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2010/billion-prices-project.html

  29. Re:Bitcoin could reach 1 million per coin in value by Time_Ngler · · Score: 2

    What you are describing is exactly my point. USD has a transaction niche, you can buy and sell stuff with USD in the USA with no problem, but not so much in China. The transaction niche is what gives it value. In the past, currencies have all developed transaction niches because the governments imposed rules and regulations in the purpose of creating them. Bitcoin is different, since it has a natural transaction niche. No one had to set it up, or enforce it. It's just better at transferring funds around the world then any other currency. There are billion dollar businesses to accomplish this (ex. Western Union) and bitcoin does it faster, easier, and cheaper.

    As long as there is a transaction niche (ie. as long as you are able to use a currency to perform a trade much easier and cheaper than using any other currency), someone somewhere will use it. Regardless if they pay $1 or $1000 for a gallon of milk, if that is the by far the easiest way to buy milk, then they'll go buy some dollars to go buy some milk. The same is true for Bitcoin.

    Now imagine, millions of people coming to the same conclusion and using bitcoin for transactions where it is better than anything other. Those millions of people need to buy a certain amount of bitcoin to complete their purchases. That is what is referred to by the bitcoin economy.

    The price is where it is, because many people believe the bitcoin economy will need a lot more BTC than it does today once more and more people start using it. There is the value, that's why its market cap is $1B or so and rising. Many people believe that the BTC economy will grow to this size and larger. There is the underlying basis.

  30. everyone knows what a pump and dump is, right? by circletimessquare · · Score: 2

    or try Glenn Beck's paranoid ranting... and selling gold during the commercials on Fox "News"

    i really hope someone at slashdot is getting a kickback for the pumping going on here

    for the rest of you: time your sell right!

    --
    intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
  31. Re:$1 billion dollars by Legion303 · · Score: 2

    Only if you enter the right Personal Identification Number number.

  32. Re:Real debt by rhodium_mir · · Score: 2

    The government has this bond as an asset and a liability

    But how can this be?! One of the great economists of this or any century has clearly said that you can't have the same thing being an asset and a liability. I think MY HEAD IS GOING TO ASSPLODE !!1

    --
    You can't spell "oneiromancy" without "roman".