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World Population Could Reach Nearly 11 Billion By 2100
vinces99 writes "A new analysis shows that world population could reach nearly 11 billion by the end of this century, according to a United Nations report issued June 13. That's about 800 million, or about 8 percent, more than the previous projection issued in 2011. The change is largely because birth rates in Africa have not declined as quickly as had been expected, according to Adrian Raftery of the University of Washington's Center for Statistics and the Social Sciences. The U.N. estimates use statistical methods developed at the center. The current African population is about 1.1 billion and it is now expected to reach 4.2 billion, nearly a fourfold increase, by 2100, Raftery said."
How the hell is the NSA supposed to keep track of all those people?!?!
just in time for the first contact war . . .
Unless we can support that much life with food, water and other resources, war for diminishing resources will wipe out enough population before we even get close to that.
let alone 86+ years
I should show this to a elderly friend of mine who is absolutely certain that the entire threat from population growth is entirely due to the horrible white races he is part of.
But, in the long run, don't worry about it. The AIDS retrovirus didn't curtail population growth the way it was expected, the next manufactured plague will be more successful. How do you think that they can reach a sustainable population by 2100 without a global pandemic?
“These new findings show that we need to renew policies, such as increasing access to family planning and expanding education for girls, to address rapid population growth in Africa,” Raftery said.
Good luck with that.
For one, the imperialistic arrogance of the Christian "charities" of the West will put a damper on that because it doesn't fit with their beliefs.
I think I better open up a trust account for them that'll be heavily invested in the Soylent Green company.
Distribute free game consoles to the male of the species.
That's ok. Thanks to abortion, homosexuality, and selfishness there will be plenty of room here.
I fully expect this comments section to be full of "but what about all the resources we need for..." fears about "overpopulation". Where there's a will, there's a way. The zero population growth people would have us believe that the numbers are very different from what they really are, but the world can produce a lot more food than we do, and with minimal changes, it could be greatly increased.
In SOVIET RUSSIA... erm...NSA AMERICA, the Internet logs onto YOU!
So over the next 90 year, 3 of the only 4 new billion people will be from one sixth of the planet? I would like to see details before believing that.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
Indeed. They seem hell-bound to reestablish starvation and sickness as the main means of population control.
Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
Climate change could cause drought and famine in many 3rd world countries where most of the growth is happening, and we end up with half that population
We can't have that, how else will the church get a fresh supply of gullible?
Looks like Live Aid is proving to be a fucking disaster over the long term.
"I bless every day that I continue to live, for every day is pure profit."
Not much. Most of that population growth comes from other areas, like China or India.
For large sets, this will be our guide even unto death, for the LORD will work for each type of data it is applied to...
...gave Dr. Evil a million dollars he'd have (da daaa dadada dadada) 11 MILLION BILLION DOLLARS!!!!
Muahahaaha! Muahahaha!!!!
Hopefully before that happens, the space age of humanity will be fully active and we will be out mining space and have space colonies and so on.
The latter is a bit optimistic, former is very realistic.
As more people realize the potential benefits of space mining, more and more companies will likely form.
The current companies will become the framework for these secondary companies to get even further in to space and gather even more resources to realistically allow for creating space colonies.
That likely won't happen until 2150 onwards, being semi realistic in terms of how fast society moves now.
I know we still war even now over petty shit, but I hope the larger ones involved will stick to wanting to rule the world with their resource and monetary wealth rather than military strength.
So far everyone seems to be sticking to it, but who knows that could happen, sometimes people snap.
As the quality of life improves in Africa through the heroic efforts of a long-suffering population, its population will explode. Remember how everyone claims China's the next superpower? The African Union will crush them in 100 years. Let's not forget that Africa is the source of a staggeringly large proportion of the world's resources -- including oil, gold, and diamonds (aka the world's three biggest stores of wealth). It is relations with Africa, not China, which will define the geopolitical landscape in 2100, which puts an interesting perspective on the reasons behind much of the turmoil on the continent.
(Assuming we aren't all dead due to nuclear war first.)
Did they factor in the Mars population though? You obviously have to subtract that.
We need a Paula. Vulcans? Hell, I'd take Vogons at this point.
Paula: Look, many young men who should be able to move out, simply can't. It's called "failure to launch". And that's where I come in. Young men develop self-esteem best during a romantic relationship, so I simulate one. We have a memorable meeting. We get to know each other over a few casual meals, he helps me through an emotional crisis, then I meet his friends, if he has any... Then I let him teach me something... But the bottom line is, he bonds with me. He lets go of you. He moves out.
Make sure everyone's vote counts: Verified Voting
I have had a vasectomy and have no kids, and I don't find my excessive fucking to be causing very many problems.
Or, it could peak at 10 billion, with little to no ill effect.
sig: sauer
We'll start eating each other long before 2100. I mean, we'll have to right? The world's gotta eat something.
I predict by 2100 we may even be on the endangered list. Only the juiciest and fattiest (and that good marbled kind of fat not the big blobs of American fat) members of society will be allowed to breed, I mean reproduce. Garlic butter may be hard to come by.
With oil gone in ~2038-2042 and no expected replacement for ~100 years after that, the inability to grow and move food may change a lot of "In the year 2050 xxx!" predictions.
Not to mention the impact of the current 9 billion people have on the enviro may make living very different in the next 80 years.
"Science will save us!" is just as good as "God will save us!".
Lets face it, I make a solar farm that supplies all of the world, I still have the byproducts of all the people to deal with.
I wouldn't put much faith in long term predictions. 2100 is 87 years away. 87 years ago, it was 1926. In 1927, the world's population reached 2 billion (up from 1 billion in 1804). Had they made a prediction then, they would have likely guessed that we'd hit 3 billion by 2049. Maybe 4 billion if they thought we were doubling population numbers. In addition, if someone from 1926 tried predicting what the technology of 2013 would be like, I highly doubt they'd be anywhere close.
My prediction? In 87 years, the world will look in many ways the same and in many ways vastly different in ways that I couldn't begin to imagine at this point.
My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
So I'm doing my part!
spackling your mom's basement before and after the vasectomy didn't raise the population either. win - win!
Soylent Green Is People! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zAFA-hamZ0
Africa??? You've got to be kidding. Africa may have shitloads of natural resources, but unfortunately is also full of Africans, who have proven repeatedly over and over again and again... (even when under domination of white European colonial imperialists who lifted them to the highest reaches of economic prosperity they ever reached in their entire history, then they fell swiftly and greatly to worse status than before when they pushed their white overlords out of power and out of their lands), that they are fundamentally incapable of achieving a self-generated and self-sustained/growing economic engine of any kind. No sirs, they have always been, as a whole, more interested in localized greed, power and killing each other in tribal fashion for instant gratification of satisfying those appetites and cannot see much of anything beyond that.
I predict this will be immediately moderated troll or flamebait, but you have to admit it is true.
Not if Carbon Dioxide has anything to say about it.
I haven't thought of anything clever to put here, but then again most of you haven't either.
Exterminate, EXTERMINATE!
Get free satoshi (Bitcoin) and Dogecoins
Well, I'll do my part and die sometime between now and then, so put me down for -1.
I browse on +1 so AC's need not respond, I won't see it.
Free software engineering degrees. The massive increase in geek population will no doubt cause reproduction rates to plummet. Throw in government-subsidized WoW accounts and we'll have negative population growth in 4 years tops!
I swear to God...I swear to God! That is NOT how you treat your human!
Predictions of Malthusian nightmares rarely seem to take birth control into account. We should keep in mind that effective hormonal birth control has only been widely available in the West since the seventies. In that short (yes, very short) amount of time it had to become both cheap enough and socially acceptable enough to make a demographic dent. We're only beginning to see the effects but even so 48% of the world's population lives in countries with sub-replacement fertility rates. Immigration props up most of the developed world demographically, but even so countries with some of the most advanced economies, like Germany and Japan, are experiencing a contraction of their populations. Indeed the latter, with its aversion to immigration, faces demographic collapse.
There's a lot of reason to be concerned about pressure of resources as the developing world grows and developing economies advance. But much of the increased pressure is caused by people taking on aspects of Western life--consumerism, purchase of electronic conveniences which become apparent necessities (cell phone, computers, etc), and the increasing use of cars. But aside from stable polities, few things make life more comfortable in the West than birth control. If there was a bit of lag time, and indeed a small amount, before widespread adoption of birth control in the West would make a demographic difference, why should we not expect developing countries to follow suit shortly?
Have you noticed that people are still having sex
All the denouncement had absolutely no effect
Parents and counselors constantly scorn them
But people are still having sex
And nothing seems to stop them
Do you realise that people are still having sex
They've been told not to, perhaps they are perplexed
When you see them holding hands
They're making future plans
To engage in the activity
Do you understand me
People are still having sex
Lust keeps on lurking
Nothing makes them stop
This safe things not working
People are still having sex
It's been going on for quite a while
Perhaps it's quite fashionable
It hasn't gone out of style
It's a fact that people are still having sex
It's rather obvious it's just what one expects
The evidence is all around that everyone in town
Has had it at one time or other in thier life
At this very moment people are still having sex
In a downtown condo or street in the projects
Although you can't see them or hear their breathing sounds
Someone in this world is having sex right now
People are still having sex
People are still having sex
Read a headline from the 1890's in the Tribune when they estimated the horse poop would be 6ft deep by 1920 in the streets. Of course then came the automobile. That's the problem with all these long term prediction models. Things change in ways they never can account for.
"The problem with socialism is eventually you run out of other people's money" - Thatcher.
The Future
Apparently, the population is going be around 11 Billion after all the world's resources are depleted, humanity has been genetically engineered to be happy, the moon has been colonized, the US national debt has been paid off, and the US national debt has ballooned completely out of control.
Either that or predictions that far into the future are completely worthless.
HA! I'll be dead! HAHAHAHAHAHA! This world is fucked, I'm just addin'; to it.
The UN has consistently overestimated population growth since 1980. They issue low, medium and high projections with the low variant being the one that consistently comes to pass.
The sole exception is Africa where growth over the last 10 years has exceeded the low variant. Now they have swiftly corrected this mistake by making an absurd 4 billion people in Africa projection. So we are back to normal UN population division working mode. Their motto is: population growth wildly overestimated the world over.
I've said for years it won't slow down like they think.
You are already seeing subcultures in the 1st world which are breeding at a higher rate for a variety of reasons (religion is significant).
If you view humans as a virus- those which breed quickly seem plausible to become the dominant group in the population.
Sad, because the earth is a paradise at about 2 to 3 billion.
We are way past the earth's carrying capacity and it's too late to change anything.
I expect that, like deer, we'll do fine until there is a glitch, virus, etc. and then a billion or more will die fairly quickly. Hopefully after I'm dead of natural causes.
We are making a lot of progress on disease so I'm thinking disruption of food delivery or destruction of water supply is more likely-- lots of aquifers being drawn down now.
She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
Hey people... STOP FUCKING [with taxpayer-/employer-subsidized contraceptive programs]!
FTFY. [Before any of you conservatives fly off the handle, please hear me out]: People won't stop fucking, and Chinese-style child-limits are off the table in any society that values individual autonomy. Thus, I am of the opinion that no opportunity to put contraceptives into the hands of all of those willing to accept them should be interfered with — consider it is an investment in the future. To the conservatives who may balk at this, I ask you: Would you rather subsidize $0.25 condoms, or the ~$100,000+ it costs to raise each unwanted child for 18 years?
Thank you, Edward Snowden.
"Arguments from authority are worthless." —Carl Sagan
Remember Bad Religion's "10 in 2010" song. According them them we would all be starving by now. Dummies.
I completely forgot about that song! BTW, the line is "This AIDS thing's not working". Not too PC, I know but hey...
> How the hell is the NSA supposed to keep track of all those people?!?!
It's just a typo. I'm sure they meant that the world population could reach 11 Million by 2100. (Million with an M, not Billion with a B.)
I'll see your senator, and I'll raise you two judges.
Soilent Green, anyone?
I don't think so. And at very least, the "Intelligence" didn't think this thing through.
You are welcome on my lawn.
And what about when the world is consuming trillions of gallons of Water from the oceans?
It is a good thing that the water cycle is really fast, then, especially when we ignore ground and surface fresh water. It also is a good thing that the oceans are stupendously large. Water, on a grand scale, isn't really a limited resource, or at least until we start cracking it for hydrogen, or something. Water is as renewable as oxygen and free (non-fossil) carbon.
A patriot must always be ready to defend his country against his government. -edward abbey
Stop fucking!
...all Borg.
I feel secure in saying everyone reading this right now is at least 99% likely to be dead by then.
Sucks to be the class of 2060+?
Its important to note that nearly all population growth is occuring among black, asian and other non white populations. The white population of the world is basically going extinct because the birth rates in Europe are so low that they are half of what is needed just to maintain the white-european population. Many others have pointed this out, that the statistics an data clearly show that th white race is in very serious population decline and is dying out. Added to this would be the effects of miscegenation which accelerate the extinction of the white race. The birth rate crisis in those countries has been caused, intentionally, by the policies of governments of those countries, such as tax policies that discourage having children. The problem is compound and is caused by several factors including the promotion of radical feminism that discourages women from taking on motherly responsibilities, the availability of contraceptives, and the fact that so many farming and manufacturing middle income jobs have gone away. This has resulted in middle income jobs that did not require a college education disappearing. This has increased burdens on families to afford college education and has contributed to birth rate crisis.
It is clear that what must be done is to increase the birth rates in europe by incentivizing white Europeans to have more children to bring birth rates up above replacement level there and to end immigration.
Otherwise, we could be facing the extinction of blue eyed, blond/brown skinned people. ironically, the white race is the most unique of the planets races, yet it is the one that is clearly going extinct due to gthe genocidal policies of governments. Clearly, immigration, wars on white fertility are being used as weapons against white people to destroy their race. This is being done by people who claim to be for "diversity". They are not. They are trying to destroy diversity by destroying the most unique race on the planet in an effort to elimate and erase human diversity. Immigration threatens to destroy diversity, in no way does it promote human diversity. For instance, lets say we dumped a million arabs into Japan. Arabs already have their own culture in the middle east, doing this would only damage the uniqueness of Japan and threaten the unique identity of the Japanese people. The arabs and japanese remain more distinct and unique if they remain in different countries than they would if we did the above. This general principle applies everywhere.
Just today the US census has basically said that white americans are going extinct, white people are not having enough children just to maintain their own population level, as a result white people will become a minority of the US population by 2043 if this continues.
What we are seeing here is the result of specific, intentional policies carried out by governments and institutions to attack, oppress, and marginalise, and carry out what amounts to a genocidal program of extermination against the white race, to render them shrinking minorities in their own country so they can be oppressed. Mass immigration is clearly part of an agenda to destroy white america rooted in pure racist hatred of white people. I oppose anything that would cause the destruction or reduction of population of any race in whole or in part due to any means, because I believe all races are equally valuable and I oppose anyone that would want to destroy or threaten our races. Due to intentional governmental and institutional policies, including an intentional war on family values and an economic war on the white race, there has been a engineered attack on and collapse of the white birth rate, which is far below replacement level. at the same time, policies, incljuding immigration, are a part of a compound problem designed to cause the annihilation of the white race and to cause white, blonde haired, blue eyed people to become an engangered species by blending the race out of existance through a combination of an immigration invasion of white countries, and inter
Not much. Most of that population growth comes from other areas, like China or India.
China? Population growth? Seriously?
Finally! A year of moderation! Ready for 2019?
Buying back crashed gold with cheap dollars is a plan any (R) or (D) can agree on.
So tell me then, grasshoppa, why with a hundreds of thousands of years head start is Africa as a whole still one of the shittiest places in the world? You ever been to Djbouti? I have. I am surprised I didn't die from the stench alone. I will second the notion that it will still be a pathetic continent with no human development. With a head start that big, THEY should be the world's super power. Not the G8. You can't blame population or lack of resources either. India and China both have humongous populations and a lot of poor folks yet even thier poorest still get to eat for the most part. It is gonna take ALOT of work to fix Africa and the first leg of that journey is to actually educate them. And I don't mean just teach them how to read. I mean teaching the north to stop being ultraorthodox muslim asshats and instead just be normal muslims like Europe and America have. We have to teach the middle and south to stop being tribal asshats who only look out for thier tribe and stop warring amongst themselves when they could band together and actually have nice things. The Hutu's and Tutsi's have been warring now for how long? No, if left to thier own devices as they have been now for hundreds of thousands of years not a damned thing will change. Alot of people will die whether from starving or warring or sickness. Now don't misconstrue my message. I am not one to meddle. If they want to be left to thier own devices then leave em alone. But when I say that I mean really leave em alone. Stop giving them money, food, medicine, weaponry and all the other shit we do. If they are strong, they will survive and figure out how to take care of themselves. Teach a man to fish and all that. If we must help them, and I am all for that as well, then they are gonna have to meet our standards to get it.
That tripe is trollish and overrated and I modded it down. I also think you just wanted an excuse to use deus ex machina. Define it :P
What praytell are these resources that we are consuming faster than they can be replaced? You mention gas, is oil something you think we are running out of? Every single time some bunch of geologists say we're about to run out of oil we magically, THROUGH THE POWAH OF TECHNOLOGY! (tm), figure out a way to get some more. The otto cycle engine is a bad example to use as well. It actually has hard physical limitations cause in this house we follow the laws of thermodynamics. If you wanna bitch about cars, then your problem is we won't drop that antiquated piece of junk and move forward into the 21st century with something new. You can also blame alot of the issues on politics and money. We all know how much power we could have available if we'd just fire up some more nuke plants. But NOOOOOO. That just can't happen cause at sometime, somewhere in some dude's brain a meteor filled with alien terrorists is gonna strike the nuke plant busting a hole through the outer structure so that the aliens can plant bombs on the core which the detonation of will cause hurricanes, tsunamis, and earthquakes that will amplify the radiation so much it will give his Aunt Mae in Texas breast cancer. Cause that is how NIMBY people think. You and all those fucks are Luddites.
...out of existence, by billions of third worlders.
Do you think your children will thank you when they are only ten percent of the children at their school, and surrounded by hate-filled non-whites, who have been told every day of their lives that the reason for their personal failures is WHITE people?
Please explain why you think white people don't have the right to have their own countries.
Great. So best case, everyone has a western standard of living: you'll have to book 3 months in advance to go on a 5 mile walk in the 'countryside' (a glassed in path between two intensively farmed soya fields), before going home to your high rise to eat your heavily processed Nestle pap, and read threads on ./ where people say "overpopulation? No, we can still fit plenty more in if we just cut down all the trees and process the carbon dioxide with algae tanks".
The world has too many humans for comfort already - even if energy availability and technology make it possible to cram more in, why do we want to?
Thank **** I'll be dead before we reach 11 billion.
Holy racism, Batman!
I find it highly unlikely that the mostly white power structure in this country is bound and determined to exterminate white people. That's just not how powerful people behave. Powerful people behave in a way that preserves and increases their power (and the power of those like them), not destroys it. The whole point of the US Constitution is that this is natural human behavior, so we need to make sure to limit such power.
Look at your own interests in your post, Eravnrekaree. You're interested in ensuring people like yourself continue to prosper. Why would more powerful people have strongly different interests? Can you find any historical evidence of other situations where a group of people were intent on eliminating people like themselves? History is replete with the opposite case, but I can't think of anything like what you think is happening.
Software sucks. Open Source sucks less.
The USA is here to help!
We will gladly start a war with any 3rd World country to help reduce the population. We really can't afford it, but we'll do it if we have to.
You're welcome!
Software sucks. Open Source sucks less.
What percentage of HUMANS? Humans are weak compared to big numbers of the other species and more if it is surrounded and ballooned by Excrement and Diarrhea Colored Anthropoids.