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Ask Slashdot: What Essays and Short Stories Should Be In a Course On Futurism?

Ellen Spertus writes "I'll be teaching an interdisciplinary college course on how technology is changing the world and how students can influence that change. In addition to teaching the students how to create apps, I'd like for us to read and discuss short stories and essays about how the future (next 40 years) might play out. For example, we'll read excerpts from David Brin's Transparent Society and Ray Kurzweil's The Singularity is Near. I'm also considering excerpts of Cory Doctorow's Homeland and Neal Stephenson's Diamond Age. What other suggestions do Slashdotters have?"

190 of 293 comments (clear)

  1. 1984 by korbulon · · Score: 1

    All too easy.

    1. Re:1984 by mwvdlee · · Score: 1

      1984 isn't so much a story as it is a manual for government agencies.
      I'm surprised the NSA hasn't labelled it as "classified information" yet.

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    2. Re:1984 by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Despite all the cries of the NSA, the Brit agencies have taken 1984 almost to it's completion.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    3. Re:1984 by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      That's good reading for everyone, but for a more recent look ahead on how technology changes the world, I would recommend "The Circle" by Dave Eggers. Instead of a tyrannical government, the book predicts a runaway Google-like company. It's the kind of "tyranny of the public" we can expect if we continue to cheerfully sign away our privacy and the privacy of others to otherwise well-meaning companies.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    4. Re:1984 by TractorBarry · · Score: 3

      It's actually a lot closer to Aldous Huxley's Brave New World.

      --
      Sky subscribers are morons. They pay to be advertised at !
    5. Re:1984 by flyneye · · Score: 1

      Some Kafka , I think.
      The Handicapper General prophesied Hillary Clinton and the Repubmocrat party. I bet theres more gold to be found in Kafka.

      --
      *Repent!Quit Your Job!Slack Off!The World Ends Tomorrow and You May Die!
    6. Re:1984 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Despite all the cries of the NSA, the Brit agencies have taken 1984 almost to it's completion.

      It's 2014, to boot. Those bloody wankers can never get anything done on time and under budget.

    7. Re:1984 by davester666 · · Score: 1

      They actually paid for an agency-wide license to use the content in any way within the agency.

      Fact.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
  2. Soylent Green by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Make Room! Make Room! Harry Harrison. A dystopian near-future where overpopulation leads to a struggle for resources. Overcrowding, energy blackouts, food riots and soylent green. Especially look for any passages where the old man, in the main protagonists shared flat, talks about how the world used to be.

    1. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I recommend the TV show "Terra Nova". Except take out the whole bit about finding a gateway to a prehistoric parallel-Earth, and also take out the bit about those fancy domes, and just concentrate on what the world (of the near future) looked like, with people wearing gas masks outside and no living plants left.

    2. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      I also recommend the movie "Dredd" (the remake starring Karl Urban). It's not that great a movie overall, but its vision of the future was dead-on: 98% unemployment; fascist cops who act as judge, jury, and executioner; drug gangs run amok, etc.

    3. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      but its vision of the future was dead-on: 98% unemployment; fascist cops who act as judge, jury, and executioner; drug gangs run amok, etc.

      Dead on to what? China doesn't have these problems, for example.

    4. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Dead-on to the future here, not the preset here or anywhere else. What does present-day China have to do with anything?

    5. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      What does present-day China have to do with anything?

      It was in the future, when the Judge Dread thing was churned out. It's worth noting that the US is actually growing at a faster rate than China is currently and in turn, the growth rate of the US is almost entirely due to immigration - both directly and via elevated fertility of first generation immigrants! We have vastly different population dynamics in the present than were in the Judge Dread stories and movie.

    6. Re:Soylent Green by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      in the Judge Dread stories

      Which you've clearly read many many times.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    7. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Did you see the movie? (I mean the Karl Urban one, not the old Stallone one. BTW, it's "Dredd", not "Dread".) I don't see how what's predicted there isn't in the cards for us: giant megacities full of crime and pollution, and a fascist government with massive police brutality due to the high crime, excess population, and high unemployment. What you said goes with that; we have a fast-growing population of mostly uneducated immigrants and their kids. You can't support an advanced economy based on technology with people who have no education or skills beyond working in a fast-food kitchen or doing landscaping work. It's not just them either; if you look at the statistics, the children are mostly being born to people below the poverty line, regardless of race or recentness of immigration, and kids raised in poverty don't usually become scientists or engineers, but are more likely that middle-class kids to become criminals. The pollution is certainly getting worse, and global climate change is going to make the situation even worse than that.

      The only thing about the movie (probably also in the original stories, not sure as I didn't read those) that I'm not so sure about is the feasability of building such giant buildings in that timeframe, with the economy going down the shitter, and the fact that we don't see any engineering megaprojects in this country any more.

    8. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      I don't see how what's predicted there isn't in the cards for us: giant megacities full of crime and pollution, and a fascist government with massive police brutality due to the high crime, excess population, and high unemployment.

      The fact that we're not heading that way doesn't enter into your reckoning? Where's the people for these megacities going to come from? Where's the pollution going to come from?

      Sure, fascism and such are always going to be a threat.

    9. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      Not at all. But I have read a few stories years ago.

    10. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      The fact that we're not heading that way doesn't enter into your reckoning?

      Where do you get that idea? Pollution is constantly getting worse (though these days, a lot of it is from China, since we've outsourced a lot of our industry over there, but pollution doesn't respect national boundaries, and travels by air). It's not like we've stopped or even reduced our petroleum consumption. The economy is terrible, and will have a "double dip" before too long. The people for the megacities will come from our rapidly expanding population.

    11. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Maybe we'll get lucky, and instead of "Dredd" coming true, it'll be "Invasion of the Body Snatchers" (1978 version). At least with aliens controlling us, we seem to behave much better and take care of things better.

    12. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      Pollution is constantly getting worse

      Not even close. The developed world pollutes a lot less than it used to.

      (though these days, a lot of it is from China, since we've outsourced a lot of our industry over there, but pollution doesn't respect national boundaries, and travels by air

      Pollution does respect distance however.

      It's not like we've stopped or even reduced our petroleum consumption.

      Which turns out to be irrelevant to the level of pollution.

      The economy is terrible, and will have a "double dip" before too long.

      Nothing to do with my assertions.

      The people for the megacities will come from our rapidly expanding population.

      Which is not rapidly expanding.

    13. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      There's a third possibility. Namely, that the rest of the world embraces the careful environmental stewardship that is characteristic of current developed world societies. It is remarkable how unrealistic the Judge Dredd thing has turned out to be.

    14. Re:Soylent Green by Grishnakh · · Score: 1

      Namely, that the rest of the world embraces the careful environmental stewardship that is characteristic of current developed world societies.

      That's some seriously wishful thinking. China is belching out pollution as fast as it can; it's so bad the smog is visible inside shopping malls. Even next door to us in Mexico, cars don't even have catalytic converters.

    15. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      And yet all these dirty societies are progressing towards the developed world societies. Developed world societies passed through a heavy pollution phase too and got over it.

    16. Re:Soylent Green by RespekMyAthorati · · Score: 1

      In 1900, the world pop was 1.5 billion. In 1960, it was 3 billion. Today, it is 7 billion. By 2040, it will be 9 billion.
      What the hell would you call "rapidly expanding"?

    17. Re:Soylent Green by khallow · · Score: 1

      What the hell would you call "rapidly expanding"?

      I notice that you don't answer your own question. But if we continue that trend we get 11 billion in 2100 - most of it in Africa and Asia. It's still growing, but at a far slower rate. We might even hit no population growth by then, depending on what happens in places like Africa. The population doubled twice in the 20th century. It won't come close to that level of growth in the next century.

      And the US and the rest of the developed world won't be contributing to that population growth. So unless the US imports a vast number of people, they won't have the population for those megacities of the Judge Dredd stories (for which US based megacities sometimes go as high as 800 million people according to Wikipedia).

  3. The Father Thing by warewolfsmith · · Score: 1

    The Father Thing - Philip K Dick

    1. Re:The Father Thing by invid · · Score: 1

      The Father-Thing isn't much more than an Invasion of the Body Snatchers story. If you want to add a P.K. Dick story, I would choose Pay for the Printer which explores the consequences of 3D printers (although in this case the printers are alien beings.)

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
  4. It's Such a Beautiful Day by warewolfsmith · · Score: 1

    It's Such a Beautiful Day - James Blish

  5. None of the above by kamapuaa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Read biographies of people who actually changed the world, and discuss how they did it.

    Stop confusing science fiction or science fiction-styled essays with futurism.

    --
    Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
    1. Re:None of the above by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 2

      Read biographies of people who actually changed the world, and discuss how they did it.

      On that note, I would nominate The Ascent of Man: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A... , by Jacob Bronowski.

      However, when I think it, very few folks in the world today have any appreciation for, or understanding of, how the human species got to where it is today.

      It's actually very depressing, when I think about it. But the book is fascinating.

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    2. Re:None of the above by fermion · · Score: 3, Insightful
      Reading biographies of individual people implies that individual people have individually changed the world. By and large that is not true. On can read a biography on Edison, but that does not tell you the complex story of how that technology actually came to pass and how it effected the world.

      Reading fiction and non-fiction that explores the possibilities or technology, and even the rejection of technology can lead to discussion on the various factors effected the adoption and exploration of technology. For instance Guns, Germs, and Steel puts forward many hypothesis on why some civilizations developed technology, some borrowed it, and some rejected it. It related to the distribution and adoption of technology today and in the future, and how those futurist who think technology is the answer can make it more widely available. On the fiction side, The Difference Engine imagines a world where we had computers in the victorian era. This can lead to a discussion on the differences between an idea, a manufacturing process, and an affordable mass manufacturing process. For instance, was the technology for manufacturing hundreds of identical gears present in the 1800's?

      One this I find interesting is that we know have simplified the process of programming computers to the point where an slightly above average kid with an average education can develop an App. This only took 50 years, two generations. This reflects something that we see repeatedly. The spread of technology does not depend on a special person making a technology, rather the development of a process that makes the technology available to greater number of people. For instance, the process to make a precision screw was incredible important to much of what we do today, even if many of the people who have used the screw do not understand what it does.

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
    3. Re:None of the above by Sockatume · · Score: 1

      Not sure you know what futurism is:

      futurism
      fjutrz()m/Submit
      1.
      concern with events and trends of the future, or which anticipate the future.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    4. Re:None of the above by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      All futurism is just a form of science fiction. Any truly serious attempt to predict the future has to start with the acknowledgement that predicting the future in any meaningful way is impossible. Every attempt in the past has failed, usually quite miserably. Even when a would-be prognosticator gets one or two elements of the future right, they usually miss the true significance or context of those elements completely, and get a million other things wrong.

      The future is unknowable. In a form of Socratic ignorance, the more you know about futurism, the more you appreciate how unknowable the future really is.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    5. Re:None of the above by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      For instance, was the technology for manufacturing hundreds of identical gears present in the 1800's?

      Yes. Note that mass production was ongoing then. Note that hundreds of thousands of identical firearms were built in various countries in the mid-1800's, for instance.

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    6. Re:None of the above by kamapuaa · · Score: 1

      I mostly agree that individuals don't really change history, but that would be a rather somber tone for a class given to bright-eyed college freshmen about how they can change the world...

      --
      Slashdot: providing anti-social weirdos a soapbox, since 1997.
    7. Re:None of the above by Harvey+Manfrenjenson · · Score: 1

      One this I find interesting is that we know have simplified the process of programming computers to the point where an slightly above average kid with an average education can develop an App. This only took 50 years, two generations.

      I see your point, but I'm confused by your timeline. When did the 50 years begin and end? It seems to me that programming became accessible to the average kid in the 1980s. I don't know that it's gotten more or less accessible to the average kid since then. Maybe a little bit less so, since modern programming languages have a steeper learning curve and it takes more effort to get your feet wet.

    8. Re:None of the above by mcgrew · · Score: 1

      Well, that's the thing. They're honestly going to have a college class about fortune telling? What's next, tarot and tea leaves? Futurism is bunk! Nobody seriously envisioned the internet, althogh Asimov had written about "mltivac" and Murray Leinster came damned close to predicting it in 1946, although his PCs were "logics", servers were "tanks", and his internet was heavily censored (in fact, the story revolved around how horrible it would be if a bug in a program overcame the censorship).

      Nobody but Roddenberry foresaw cell phones. Nobody I heard of foresaw the end of the analog era. And more telling, the only ones who even came close weren't futurists, but fiction writers. The "futurists" have been wrong every single time. Flying cars? Disney's "home of tomorrow"? The "singularity"? Fusion power? Wrong every single time.

      Yet you want to teach a class on it? Amazing.

    9. Re:None of the above by ynp7 · · Score: 1

      I prefer my futurism with a healthy dose of Gee-Whiz.

    10. Re:None of the above by aix+tom · · Score: 1

      In that vein, it might definitely be more interesting to see how past "futurist" have fared.

      For example The Distance Learning School, where Kurd Lasswitz extrapolated from telephone/phonograph/televison technology of 1899 how "remote teaching" could look like in 1999.

    11. Re:None of the above by khallow · · Score: 1

      Reading biographies of individual people implies that individual people have individually changed the world. By and large that is not true.

      So what other sort of people are there than individual people?

    12. Re:None of the above by khallow · · Score: 1

      Any truly serious attempt to predict the future has to start with the acknowledgement that predicting the future in any meaningful way is impossible.

      So as AC replier noted, you're making a prediction about the future and expecting it to be right. That is self-contradictory.

    13. Re:None of the above by fermion · · Score: 1
      The point was that reading biographies of individuals often focus on their personality and sometimes makes it appear that their contribution was greater than it was, and sometimes does not expose the very real and important research and engineering work that allowed their creativity to flourish.

      This is the dichotomy of futurism. The future does depend, to some extent, of a single genius who can integrate all that is in the world in such a way that a novel idea or product can be produced. We see this repeatedly in the sciences. But the single genius is seldom the one to develop the only one involved in developing the concept. It is a convenient short hand to say so and so invented something, but it only a fiction that we create so we can teach a simpler form of history.

      By reading about the development of products that changed the world, instead of just the people who received credit, I think we are better able to identify the pieces that some future genius will put together into the next big thing, if that is at all possible. For instance in the late 1970's did anyone know that the proto-spreadsheet floating around and the introduction of the prebuilt Apple computerwould lead to Visicalc and the revolution of how the average person relates to numbers?

      --
      "She's a scientist and a lesbian. She's not going to let it slide." Orphan Black
  6. Disambiguation. You are not talking about Futurism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    First, try to use the right terms for what you are trying to describe. Futurims isn't about "how technology is changing the world", it's not even "about the future" (well, not ours anyway). What you are refering to is Futurology.

    Here, take this : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futurism
    and thos : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futurology

  7. Stanislaw Lem by Mitreya · · Score: 2

    Stanislaw Lem's The Futurological Congress

    1. Re:Stanislaw Lem by Yetihehe · · Score: 1

      Even better: Return from the Stars.

      --
      Extreme Programming - Redundant Array of Inexpensive Developers
    2. Re:Stanislaw Lem by dargaud · · Score: 1

      Somewhat similar to this, The Forever war by Joe Haldeman

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    3. Re:Stanislaw Lem by hguorbray · · Score: 1

      I saw an interesting movie version of Futurological Congress at SF indiefest a few weeks ago

      http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1821641/?ref_=fn_al_tt_1

      they sort of tacked on the actress's story line to the original (fairly short) novel, but it actually helped raise additional questions about identity and Intellectual Property in addition to the psychopharmacological future...

      -I'm just sayin'

  8. mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by captainpanic · · Score: 4, Interesting

    yor students shud wrte thR essay bout d evoluation of language, UzN a modern txtN lngwij, lol!
    Oh, U ask bout reading, not writiN. ZOMG!

    1. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by dltaylor · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Sam Clemens (Mark Twain) did it better:

      For example, in Year 1 that useless letter "c" would be dropped to be replased either by "k" or "s", and likewise "x" would no longer be part of the alphabet. The only kase in which "c" would be retained would be the "ch" formation, which will be dealt with later. Year 2 might reform "w" spelling, so that "which" and "one" would take the same konsonant, wile Year 3 might well abolish "y" replasing it with "i" and Iear 4 might fiks the "g/j" anomali wonse and for all. Jenerally, then, the improvement would kontinue iear bai iear with Iear 5 doing awai with useless double konsonants, and Iears 6-12 or so modifaiing vowlz and the rimeining voist and unvoist konsonants. Bai Iear 15 or sou, it wud fainali bi posibl tu meik ius ov thi ridandant letez "c", "y" and "x" -- bai now jast a memori in the maindz ov ould doderez -- tu riplais "ch", "sh", and "th" rispektivli. Fainali, xen, aafte sam 20 iers ov orxogrefkl riform, wi wud hev a lojikl, kohirnt speling in ius xrewawt xe Ingliy-spiking werld.

      http://www.design.caltech.edu/erik/Misc/Twain_english.html

    2. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by Nutria · · Score: 1

      wile Year 3 might well abolish "y" replasing it with "i"

      Sam Clemens is wrong about the "y".

      The vowel form of "y" could be replaced by an "i", but it makes no sense to replace the consonant sound with a vowel sound.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    3. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      In which words does y work as a consonant? Just curious.

      btw: in german one would y rather substitute with an U-umlaut (the u with two dots on it).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    4. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by Nutria · · Score: 1

      In which words does y work as a consonant? Just curious.

      Your.

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    5. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Strange, how do you speak it?
      For me that is a vovel!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    6. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by Nutria · · Score: 1

      The leading sound in the word "your" is neither a long or short form of A, E, I, O or U, and is not the long form of Y (seen in words like "why").

      "Shy", "sky", "why", "hymn" & "gym" have vowel forms of Y.
      "Your", "yell", "yuck" & "yacht" have consonant forms of Y.

      Note how in the vowel forms, "y" is in or trails the word and has an "i" sound (long or short), whereas in the consonant form, the "y" is the first letter of the word. (An exception is the Belgian/Froggy word "Ypres", pronounced "eepreh".)

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    7. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Interesting distinction.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    8. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by Nutria · · Score: 1

      It's the same distinction used ever since English grammarians started saying that the vowels are "A, E, I, O, U and sometimes Y" (which has been at least 40 years, and probably back to the Victorian era).

      Note also the difference in sound between the words "you" (long "u", homophone of "ewe") and "your" (which is not a homophone of "ewer").

      From the fact that you don't seem to have been taught "and sometime Y", I have to ask, "Are you a native speaker of English?"

      --
      "I don't know, therefore Aliens" Wafflebox1
    9. Re:mAk dem wrte an essay n text-language by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ofc I'm not a native speaker of english :D

      Wow, need to find one who speals "ewe" and "ewer" for me, did not know they are actual words (but found the translation).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  9. Bladerunnner by warewolfsmith · · Score: 2

    Bladerunner - Philip K Dick

    1. Re:Bladerunnner by Buck+Feta · · Score: 2

      I would instead recommend the novel off which that movie is based - Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?, but Dick's best work is found in his short stories.

      "The Electric Ant" is especially pertinent, as is "The Mold of Yancey", "Autofac", and, of course, "Second Variety".

      --
      I am Audience.
    2. Re:Bladerunnner by RabidReindeer · · Score: 1

      I would instead recommend the novel off which that movie is based - Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?, but Dick's best work is found in his short stories.

      "The Electric Ant" is especially pertinent, as is "The Mold of Yancey", "Autofac", and, of course, "Second Variety".

      So is "We can remember it for you Wholesale" (a/k/a "Total Recall").

      Substitute multiple mutually-ignorant meddling government agencies for aliens and you're all set for a possible near-future reality.

      Unless the aliens get there first. Damn secret overlords.

    3. Re:Bladerunnner by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 1

      Hey how about Ubik

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    4. Re:Bladerunnner by invid · · Score: 1

      Ubik is my 2nd favorite P.K. Dick novel, after A Scanner Darkly, which is the one I would recommend for its study of identity and surveillance.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
  10. Asimov by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The Foundation series is a great set of material where he deals with the difference between an individual's actions swaying the course of history, and the behaviours and trends of large groups over time (psychohistory).

    It links in neatly with the 3 laws, and if it's far too long then try some of his short stories.

    1. Re:Asimov by gmuslera · · Score: 1

      And is futurism too, predicting and influencing how large groups think and behave, is something that is used today, maybe not at the millenia scale of foundation, but is some of the predictions that is making our everyday lives today, be aware of it or not.

    2. Re:Asimov by Confuse+Ed · · Score: 1

      Another good suggestion for Asimov is his short story "The Last Question" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T... which succinctly covers a vast timespan.

  11. Check out 365 tomorrows by kav2k · · Score: 1

    You should dig around the website 365 tomorrows, which publishes daily science fiction short stories, "flash fiction".
    It's frequently quite thought provoking and is exactly about exploring how future can change our lives in form of short peeks into it.

    1. Re:Check out 365 tomorrows by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thanks a lot! Both that site and its blogroll look fun and useful.

  12. 3 things by VernonNemitz · · Score: 2

    "Superiority" by Arthur C. Clarke
    "The Power of Progression" by Isaac Asimov
    "Time For The Stars" by Robert A. Heinlein, with particular attention to the "Long Range Foundation"

    1. Re:3 things by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thanks! I love "Superiority" and will check out the others.

  13. Banks? by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1
    1. Re:Banks? by PhilHibbs · · Score: 1

      OK, I totally mis-read the article. Too far in the future.

  14. Alvin Toffler by oddtodd · · Score: 1

    Powershift - Alvin Toffler
    Published in 1990, might be interesting to see how his predictions fared.

    The Third Wave - Alvin Toffler
    Published in 1980, the second book of the trilogy.

    Future Shock - Alvin Toffler
    Published in 1970, my introduction to the fact that there were books other than SF worth reading.

    I see he has written another, Revolutionary Wealth, which I must now go acquire.

    --
    I have plenty of common sense, I just choose to ignore it. -- Calvin
  15. Disambiguation, you're not talking about Futurism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I commented about that anonymousely a minute ago and I think Shalsdot ate my comment, so I'll go ahead and repeat myself:
    The thing you are describing isn't Futurism. Futurims isn't about "how technology is changing the world" and specifically not about " how [it] might play out". It's about the glorification of early 20th century technology and the way it affected the people at that time.

    What you are talking about is Futurology, NOT Futursim. Try not to confuse these, especially if you are teaching people who already know about that stuff. Trying to make the disambiguation early on can be intresting too, since most people tend to abusively use the word Futrism.

    Here, take this : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futurism
    and this : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Futurology

  16. Harrison Bergeron by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Though it's about social rather than technological developments.

    1. Re:Harrison Bergeron by tpstigers · · Score: 1

      Good choice. The lowest common denominator gone taken to an extreme.

  17. "A Logic Named Joe" by dpilot · · Score: 1

    by Murray Leinster, March 1946. If you're going to talk about how our literature predicts the future, it's worth taking a look at how past literature predicted us. "A Logic Named Joe" did a pretty good job of nailing the internet, nomenclature aside, and it did it almost 70 years ago.

    --
    The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
    1. Re:"A Logic Named Joe" by TDyl · · Score: 1

      Seconded. A great, almost-early-enough-to-be-classic-age short story. +1 for dpilot (sorry, no mod points available)

      --
      Todd: I hope it proves as delicious as the farmers that grew them
    2. Re:"A Logic Named Joe" by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      If you're going to talk about how our literature predicts the future, it's worth taking a look at how past literature predicted us..

      Absolutely, that was always part of my plan, although I find it more illuminating to share the stories/articles that were wildly wrong, to teach students a healthy skepticism. I'll check out "A Logic Named Joe" in any case.

    3. Re:"A Logic Named Joe" by dpilot · · Score: 1

      I consider one of the saddest examples of inaccuracy to be "2001: A Space Odyssey".

      No manned mission to Jupiter.
      No HAL-9000. (But maybe that's a blessing?)
      No manned base on the moon of any sort, let alone of the scale in the movie.
      No pure-space vehicles like the lunar shuttle.
      No commercial, civilian, accessible space station.
      No common-use picture-phones.
      No Pan Am shuttle to the space station.
      No Pan Am.

      --
      The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
  18. Isaac Asimov by Sooner+Boomer · · Score: 1

    " Before The Golden Age " vols. 1-4. A series of science fiction anthologies written before 1939 (the beginning of the "Golden Age" of science fiction). A look at how our great/grandparents saw today (their far future).

    --
    Chaos maximizes locally around me.
  19. Futurism? the early C20th art movement? by fantomas · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well if you're going to teach about Futurism you should definitely include some critical consideration of the effect of industrialisation on European and North American countries, consider how art was affected by the experiences of artists in the First World War, and how it influenced the later art movements such as Art Deco, Surrealism, and Dada.

    1. Re:Futurism? the early C20th art movement? by Sockatume · · Score: 1

      Words can mean two things. Welcome to English.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    2. Re:Futurism? the early C20th art movement? by Sockatume · · Score: 1

      According to Wikipedia, perhaps, but futurism referring to the scholarly study of the futuristic is a pretty widespread usage. (As you'd expect, given that you're just conjugating "futuristic".)

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    3. Re:Futurism? the early C20th art movement? by khallow · · Score: 1

      Which is a very English thing to do. I must admit that futurism sounds moderately less embarrassing than futurology. And if the only name collision is an art movement from last century, I have no qualms about it.

  20. proximal impacts by maxwells+daemon · · Score: 1

    Elizabeth Kolbert's The Sixth Extinction An Unnatural History

  21. Ray Bradbury by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I for one was always fascinated by Ray Bradbury's "A Distant Sound of Thunder" when it came to thinking about the future... I always liked the fact that that the future is built on the past, and this short little story put it as clear and obvious as can be. It was good when I first read it in 6th grade, and it's still excellent on many levels.

    While not really "Futurism" (My definition has always been the ideal of casting off the past for the future), I do think it presents enough of a look at the cause and effect, plus it's small size even for a short story, that it should bear consideration.

  22. Visit to the World's Fair of 2014 by Buck+Feta · · Score: 1

    If there is one piece you must include, it is this. Asimov imagined 2014 in 1964, and he wasn't far off with some of his ideas.

    --
    I am Audience.
  23. Why The Future Doesn't Need Us by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    by Bill Joy (then Chief Scientist at Sun Microsystems) from the April 2000 issue of Wired magazine:
    http://www.wired.com/wired/arc...
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/W...

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    1. Re:Why The Future Doesn't Need Us by mdenisevich · · Score: 1

      I concur with the suggestion for Bill Joy's article. It is well worth reading, and reconsidering over and over as time goes on. Recognizing our fallibilities is important -- and thinking about whether to proceed, and if there will be a way out of what we do is worthy of discussion. We are always prone to thinking we understand it all, or at least enough. On the same lines of 'a cautionary tale' (apologies to Maurice Sendak), please consider Amory Lovins' "How No to Parachute More Cats'. http://www.rmi.org/Knowledge-C...

  24. Primary sources? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

    How about a collection of primary source material concerning the...neat...capabilities of technology being actively exploited, on a global scale, right now.

    Seems to me that lesson #1 for (my best guess about what your course is about) is the fact that 'the future' isn't a tame model organism that you neatly confine to the future tense and clinically examine. It's more like a chestburster embedded in the present tense, your present tense, the stuff you would think is too banal to possibly do a course about, and it's starting to squirm.

    In fairness to some of the great visionary essayists and hard sci-fi types, it is quite impressive how far ahead of time they managed to predict, sometimes in fair detail, 'the future', and they deserve all credit for such an accomplishment; but to overemphasize 'future-as-text' is to create the fundamentally misleading impression that 'the future' is like some sort of celestial phenomenon, sitting at a distance while we tell past-tense stories about which authors were the best at manning the telescopes.

    It's much, much, more immediate than that. 'The future' is what your students probably don't even notice 90% or more of(not that I claim to, or claim that anybody does: banality and familiarity are the ultimate camouflage) happening right now, and on a screaming ahead on a trajectory of its own.

    1. Re:Primary sources? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 1

      Further rambling, I can feel the stims kicking in (though, really, if you can ignore my shitty, disjointed prose 'style', I'm honestly giving you good faith advice here): If you want to talk 'trusted computing' from the perspective of an early, and insightful, worker in the field, look up Mark Stefik's body of writings (some of them take the form of patents, which are pretty damn dry; but there is some human-readible prose as well). He was at Xerox PARC, at least until the mid 90's, not sure when he started, and he did a lot of writing about 'trusted systems', both implementation (note to self: Don't attempt to design a 'rights management/expression' markup language covering all use cases. Just don't. Definitely don't reboot your first attempt with more XML.) and theory/musing on implications.

      I certainly don't vouch for all of his work, having not read all of it; but he's an interesting guy, and has some approachable text, as well as some actual techie nitty-gritty (which isn't a bad thing, turning a theory course into 'grovelling through the CS class you would have taken from the CS department if you wanted to take a CS class' is unhelpful and rude; but it's important for students to remember that, as at any point in history, 'material culture' is not something that exists for the future study of historians. It is wrested from the earth, by human ingenuity, craft, and sometimes sheer muscle, and you can only approach it to a certain extent if you insist on viewing it as a bunch of high-level diagrams or artifacts safely behind the museum glass.

      The past was what it was because of how our predecessors made it. The present is as it is because of how we maintain and modify it. The future, as it has been since before the dawn of recorded history, will ultimately be dictated by what our descendants(or their Strong-AI agents) sit down and build.

      Ok, that's enough for right now. I'm going to stand down for a while.

  25. Re:The machine stops by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

    From what I recall, the humans simply don't care about going out because they're living in little rooms hooked up to the internet teleconferencing with whoever they want to and ordering their food online. It's more of a caution against internet addiction, written in 1909.

    --
    This space intentionally left blank
  26. Maneki Neko by Bruce Sterling by drkim · · Score: 1

    Maneki Neko by Bruce Sterling ...which you can read for free right here:

    http://www.lightspeedmagazine....

  27. Peak oil and climate change by BlackPignouf · · Score: 1

    If you really want to talk about how technology is changing the world and how the next 40 years might look like, you'll have to mention peak oil and climate change.
    http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the...
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O...

    1. Re:Peak oil and climate change by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      If you really want to talk about how technology is changing the world and how the next 40 years might look like, you'll have to mention peak oil and climate change.

      I agree 100%.

  28. ARC - exactly about what you want to discuss by Swoopy · · Score: 1

    You may want to have a look at New Scientist magazine's digital futurology spin-off "ARC". They aim to publish 4 a year (2.1 was just released, 2013 saw 4 releases) and it's all about trying to look forward into the future. Short stories, SF restrospectives and non-fictional introspectives, all in a neat little bundle.
    http://www.arcfinity.org/

  29. If This Goes On by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

    If This Goes On/Revolt in 2100 by Robert Anson Heinlein. (The backstory to that story is more concerning the question, where the First Prophet was Nehemiah Scudder, a backwoods preacher turned President (elected in 2012), then dictator (no elections were held in 2016 or later)

    You can read Heinlein as adventure stories, you can read his stories as idea experiments and you can also read his stories as reflection on humanity.

    Even though the world isn't what Heinlein depicted I still have a feeling that the real life Nehemiah Scudder is waiting around the corner.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
  30. Ballard by unapersson · · Score: 1

    JG Ballard's Billennium is an excellent story about the psychological ramifications of population growth.

  31. Yevgeniy Zamyatin's "We" by ikhider · · Score: 1

    That's the book 1984 is based off of. Project Itoh's "Genocidal Organ" is also an interesting read. Essays by Sven Birkerts, who tends to be skeptical about how we use technology to cultivate ideas as opposed to traditional means like the pen and paper. Interestingly, I am taking courses on interface design and my instructors continuously tell us to sketch ideas on paper FIRST before running to the software. Some in class have no idea what a pen and paper is. Stallman's 'Free Software Free Society' essays are very important, as is some of his cautionary sci-fi stories. Orwell wrote some essays about possible futures (not 1984), suggesting that humans in the future might be little more than brains in bottles. Stanislav's Lem, 'His Masters Voice' is a masterpiece, says a lot about humanity. I'd start there abouts...

    --
    "SO we bide our time, waiting for a purer kick to bloom and the future is still bleak, uncertain and beautiful" -GSYBE
  32. "Manna" by Marshall Brain by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

    Another suggestion: read "Manna" by Marshall Brain, a (free) short story that brings up Marx' old question about the ownership of the means to production, in a society that is pretty much completely robotized. Even if you disagree with his view on how such a future will play out, it'll make for some interesting discussion.

    --
    If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    1. Re:"Manna" by Marshall Brain by coldfarnorth · · Score: 1

      I second this.

      --
      Lets start refering to The War Against Terror by it's initials. . .
    2. Re:"Manna" by Marshall Brain by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thanks for the suggestion and second. My students (and I) are very interested in issues such as the distribution of wealth.

  33. Back To The Future II by AudioEfex · · Score: 1

    I'd show them Back To The Future II - especially appropriate since the future they are visiting is 2015. As our world resembles 1985+smartphones more than the 2015 depicted in the film, it could help temper expectations and demonstrate that no matter what predictions one makes, (and let's face it, nothing in BTTF2 aside from flying cars was really that crazy to believe we would have in 25 years), the only thing certain is uncertainty. Obviously it's a fictional film and was not serious futurist prediction, but it would make the point and give something a little lighter to engage the students.

    1. Re:Back To The Future II by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      I'd show them Back To The Future II - especially appropriate since the future they are visiting is 2015. As our world resembles 1985+smartphones more than the 2015 depicted in the film, it could help temper expectations and demonstrate that no matter what predictions one makes, (and let's face it, nothing in BTTF2 aside from flying cars was really that crazy to believe we would have in 25 years), the only thing certain is uncertainty. Obviously it's a fictional film and was not serious futurist prediction, but it would make the point and give something a little lighter to engage the students.

      Agreed (although there will still be a half a year left for hoverboards to be invented). See my fuller response.

  34. The Sun, The Genome and The Internet - F. Dyson by Harry8 · · Score: 1

    Forward looking, non-fiction. Will be wrong, obviously it will be wrong, but if any of these wrong future speculations are worth reading then Freeman Dyson's certainly is among them.

    1. Re:The Sun, The Genome and The Internet - F. Dyson by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thanks! I love Dyson's Disturbing the Universe but didn't know about The Sun, The Genome and the Internet.

  35. Charlie Stross? by erikjan · · Score: 1

    I would consider Accelerando by Charlie Stross, whcih is, I think, a good complement to The diamond age. And maybe have a look at the video's of Robin Hanson for the more "over the top" futurism, very suitable for a critical review and to get to know the more crazy side of futurism (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvjCJE-N34k).

    1. Re:Charlie Stross? by oh2 · · Score: 1

      Or, just go with "Halting state" and "Rule 34" by the same author, a lot of the predictions in those two books have actually come true just a few years after publication...

      --

      Now the world has gone to bed, Darkness won't engulf my head, I can see by infra-red, How I hate the night.

  36. Stranger than fiction by gmuslera · · Score: 2

    1984, Brave New World and Little Brother could be too close to comfort for the authorities, probably Foundation too. And I'd say that a lot of Philip K. Dick tales where the official vision of reality is put in doubt won't make it neither.

    Asimov's The Feeling of Power, Charles Stross Accelerando, Vernon Vinge's Rainbow's End and parts of Kim Stanley Robinson's Mars trilogy could give different hints on how the future could develop without too much controversy.

    Can't recommend Stephenson's Diamond Age because for me is somewhat the past. It was written before wikipedia and internet, before than even poor children in 3rd world countries had an access to all of it. And those children prefer to access youtube videos and play candy crush over accessing wikipedia.

    1. Re:Stranger than fiction by Sockatume · · Score: 1

      Not sure if joking, but I assure you colleges are fine with more-politically-seditious authors than Isaac Asimov and Philip K Dick.

      --
      No kidding!!! What do you say at this point?
    2. Re:Stranger than fiction by NEDHead · · Score: 1

      KSR's Mars trilogy sucked. I read the whole damn thing and kept on hoping there was a point to the meandering mess. Never happened.

    3. Re:Stranger than fiction by geekoid · · Score: 1

      "could be too close to comfort for the authorities,"
      You need to get out more.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  37. Paul Auster "In The Country of Lost Things" by swb · · Score: 1

    Not really science fiction but definitely a great novel about a dystopian future.

  38. Thomas Disch "334" by swb · · Score: 2

    Another great dystopian future novel, with some science fiction.

    1. Re:Thomas Disch "334" by Required+Snark · · Score: 1

      Yes, it's brilliant. Dark humor, and a tangibly real decaying future. I read it when it first came out and still remember it vividly. I'm sure it still has the power to make people uncomfortable after all these years. Read it if you can find a copy.

      --
      Why is Snark Required?
  39. Re:The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Warning: contains graphic sex scenes, violence

    and violent sex scenes.

  40. Flatland is the gateway to new dimensions... by andhar · · Score: 1

    Flatland, by Edwin Abbot, is a short and amusing book that describes the lives and trials of two-dimensional beings. It's a social satire, but it also gives one the feeling that our personal realities, and indeed, our present day societies may not be (and should not be) the limit of what we can imagine and/or what we can achieve. For me it seems like the perfect stepping off point for an exploration of the future.

    --
    Vaya con huevos, my darling.
  41. Most important: That futurism is nonsense by gweihir · · Score: 1

    As soon as everybody has understood that this is not something they are doing because it has any worth except as entertainment, you are alls set. Then use anything that is fun and interesting, but never forget that reading tea-leaves is about as scientific as futurism is.

    --
    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:Most important: That futurism is nonsense by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Nope, there's absolutely no point in thinking about the future, except of course to assume that it'll be just like the present.

    2. Re:Most important: That futurism is nonsense by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Meeeep, fail! Item 5 on http://cryptome.org/2012/07/ge...

      Sure there is interest in thinking about the future, but "futurism" is to that what homeopathy is to medicine.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  42. Looking back at the rollout of the future... by jpellino · · Score: 1

    James Burke's "Connections" and perhaps "The Day The Universe Changed". How small incidents can create massive changes - Napoleon's near defeat at Marengo starts the path to refrigeration, how a botched souvenir production run and an grousing cleric leads to a revolution in printing and religion. Etc. Also "The Second Self" by Sherry Turkle - to see how an emerging thread in technology can have implications elsewhere. Yes, many sc-ifi books have done this predictively, but again it's valuable to see how this plays out as it plays out with a historical record.

    --
    "Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
    1. Re:Looking back at the rollout of the future... by invid · · Score: 1

      Connections effected my view on the nature of the world more than any other single work.

      --
      The Moore-Murphy Law: The number of things that will go wrong will double every 2 years.
  43. Teacher or student? by tgv · · Score: 1

    Aren't you supposed to tell us? You're teaching the course, innit? Or is this some kind of reverse open course, where the pupils are in a class room and the teachers are anyone and his dog on the internet?

  44. The Coming Technological Singularity by jrincayc · · Score: 1

    I would definitely include: The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era by Vernor Vinge
    https://www-rohan.sdsu.edu/fac...

  45. Re:The machine stops by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    Excellent choice, although your memory of the plot and basic themes differs greatly from mine.

    It's absolutely eerie to read this story and realize it was written over a century ago.

  46. Re:Rainbows End by Vernor Vinge by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

    Or the short-story version, Fast Times at Fairmont High, which appeared in one of the IEEE journals, won a Hugo in 2002, and has since appeared in The Collected Stories of Vernor Vinge. It touches on many of the same themes as Rainbows End, but it's a quicker read.

  47. Niven short stories by Lord+Grey · · Score: 1

    A number of Larry Niven's short stories would be excellent examples of futurism:

    The Jigsaw Man really stands out as a commentary on how power would be abused when organ transfers became nearly 100% successful (yet very expensive).

    The Last Days of the Permanent Floating Riot Club talks about flash crowds.

    Cloak of Anarchy deals with, strangely enough, anarchy.

    --
    // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
    1. Re:Niven short stories by geekoid · · Score: 1

      " (yet very expensive)."
      That's the problem. Stories like that always need to make the tech more expensive when in reality the better we get at something, the cheaper it gets.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    2. Re:Niven short stories by Lord+Grey · · Score: 1

      New technology typically goes through a phase where it is really expensive when it is first released, and then it gets less expensive, right? The Jigsaw Man is set in that initial timeframe. Breakthroughs in the medical science gave doctors the ability to transplant every organ except the brain and spinal column, but the cost was still very high and only a few could really afford it.

      Niven does explore the next phase, where the cost comes down (or the technology is replaced by something less expensive), in his novel A Gift From Earth. I think the novel was written before the story, in fact.

      --
      // Beyond Here Lie Dragons
    3. Re:Niven short stories by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      Cheaper.
      Right, like health care is now... In the U.S.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
  48. How about the past? by khallow · · Score: 1

    There are several cases of technology and knowledge development that I think are worthy of consideration. The most important is the development of writing. Often, this rather mundane technology had all sorts of mysticism attached to it, such as the Egyptians' use of it to help the dead transition to their afterlives. Or to turn defeat into victory.

    Another example would be the development of modern medicine particularly in the early days when it required numerous cadavers to learn the principles of the medical knowledge of that day. In England and elsewhere, medicine was associated with a nasty black market in human corpses.

    Then there's the reactions to modern urbanization and its problems (such as conservatism, environmentalism, and city planning) which often have historical antecedents.

    Finally, the technologies of the past shape how we view it. For example, the biggest distinction is between history and prehistory. Make a guess what technology development divides those two periods.

  49. My Book! My Book! by NEDHead · · Score: 1

    Make them all buy My Book!

  50. Preventing corruption by InPursuitOfTruth · · Score: 1

    History has shown that the strong governments get, the more corrupt they become (power corrupts). Yet, they can hit a point where the people can no longer hold their government accountable (e.g., Stalin). So, how, with technology advancing, and the government having access to it all while the people have limited access, can you prevent corruption in the future?

  51. Be less optimistic. by SuricouRaven · · Score: 1

    The first half of 'Mana.' Or was it Manna? Not sure.

  52. An extract from "Stand on Zanzibar" by david.emery · · Score: 1

    One of the best novels about a realistic and mostly dysfunctional future set in 2010. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S...

  53. Skip to the real futurologists by mdragan · · Score: 1

    Skip these fakes you mention and go straight to the real futurologists: Nostradamus and Mother Shipton.
    "When pictures seem alive with movements free,
    when boats like fishes swim beneath the sea.
    When men like birds shall scour the sky.
    Then half the world, deep drenched in blood shall die."
    -- Mother Shipton, predicting the World Wars

  54. The Manifesto of Futurism by ljw1004 · · Score: 1

    You should include the Manifesto of Futurism. It's quite moving.

    1. We intend to sing the love of danger, the habit of energy and fearlessness.

    2. Courage, audacity, and revolt will be essential elements of our poetry.

    3. Up to now literature has exalted a pensive immobility, ecstasy, and sleep. We intend to exalt aggresive action, a feverish insomnia, the racer’s stride, the mortal leap, the punch and the slap.

    4. We affirm that the world’s magnificence has been enriched by a new beauty: the beauty of speed. A racing car whose hood is adorned with great pipes, like serpents of explosive breath—a roaring car that seems to ride on grapeshot is more beautiful than the Victory of Samothrace.

    5. We want to hymn the man at the wheel, who hurls the lance of his spirit across the Earth, along the circle of its orbit.

    6. The poet must spend himself with ardor, splendor, and generosity, to swell the enthusiastic fervor of the primordial elements.

    7. Except in struggle, there is no more beauty. No work without an aggressive character can be a masterpiece. Poetry must be conceived as a violent attack on unknown forces, to reduce and prostrate them before man.

    8. We stand on the last promontory of the centuries!... Why should we look back, when what we want is to break down the mysterious doors of the Impossible? Time and Space died yesterday. We already live in the absolute, because we have created eternal, omnipresent speed.

    9. We will glorify war—the world’s only hygiene—militarism, patriotism, the destructive gesture of freedom bringers, beautiful ideas worth dying for, and scorn for woman.

    10. We will destroy the museums, libraries, academies of every kind, will fight moralism, feminism, every opportunistic or utilitarian cowardice.

    11. We will sing of great crowds excited by work, by pleasure, and by riot; we will sing of the multicolored, polyphonic tides of revolution in the modern capitals; we will sing of the vibrant nightly fervor of arsenals and shipyards blazing with violent electric moons; greedy railway stations that devour smoke-plumed serpents; factories hung on clouds by the crooked lines of their smoke; bridges that stride the rivers like giant gymnasts, flashing in the sun with a glitter of knives; adventurous steamers that sniff the horizon; deep-chested locomotives whose wheels paw the tracks like the hooves of enormous steel horses bridled by tubing; and the sleek flight of planes whose propellers chatter in the wind like banners and seem to cheer like an enthusiastic crowd.

    F.T. Marinetti, Le Figaro (Paris), 20 February 1909

    We had stayed up all night, my friends and I, under hanging mosque lamps with domes of filigreed brass, domes starred like our spirits, shining like them with the prisoned radiance of electric hearts. For hours we had trampled our atavistic ennui into rich oriental rugs, arguing up to the last confines of logic and blackening many reams of paper with our frenzied scribbling.
    An immense pride was buoying us up, because we felt ourselves alone at that hour, alone, awake, and on our feet, like proud beacons or forward sentries against an army of hostile stars glaring down at us from their celestial encampments. Alone with stokers feeding the hellish fires of great ships, alone with the black spectres who grope in the red-hot bellies of locomotives launched on their crazy courses, alone with drunkards reeling like wounded birds along the city walls.

    Suddenly we jumped, hearing the mighty noise of the huge double-decker trams that rumbled by outside, ablaze with colored lights, like villages on holiday suddenly struck and uprooted by the flooding Po and dragged over falls and through gourges to the sea.
    Then the silence deepened. But, as we listened to the old canal muttering its feeble prayers and the creaking bones of sickly palaces above their damp green beards, under the windows we suddenly heard the famished roar of automobiles.

    1. Re:The Manifesto of Futurism by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1
      Marinetti was a douchebag blowhard like the rest of the fascists.

      It's interesting how much pent up violence, psychopathy and uber-paternalistic bullshit the early twentieth century engendered.
      And yes, there are many famous early twentieth century Americans you can add to that list.

      This reads like Mein Kampf...

      6. The poet must spend himself with ardor, splendor, and generosity, to swell the enthusiastic fervor of the primordial elements.

      What the fuck is that supposed to mean?

      I wonder what Freud, another early twentieth century bullshitter, would think of it?

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    2. Re:The Manifesto of Futurism by geekoid · · Score: 1

      Which word couldn't you find at Dictionary.com?
      Cause it'd pretty obvious.

      --
      The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
    3. Re:The Manifesto of Futurism by jeffb+(2.718) · · Score: 1

      Also known as "The Celebration of Cocaine, one Hell of a Drug".

    4. Re:The Manifesto of Futurism by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1

      Douchebag is the only one I had to look up.

      --
      We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
    5. Re:The Manifesto of Futurism by khallow · · Score: 1

      It's how they're used together. Since when do "primordial elements", whatever that shit is, have "fervor"?

  55. Artificial Limits? by Lawrence_Bird · · Score: 2

    Shouldn't you also be looking at much earlier authors and comparing what they wrote to the state of events 50 odd years later? Would think there is a vast selection from 'golden age' sci-fi including Asimov,Heinlein, Pohl, etc. You can also find many old PopMechanics and similar magazines from the 40s, 50s, 60s with 'future' editions. How does what they wrote compare to what is being predicted by writers today?

    1. Re:Artificial Limits? by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      I absolutely agree, as I elaborate on in this response. What particularly jumps out to me is how they predict technological change but totally miss social change ("The housewife of the future will do her chores with the press of a button." Students: "What's a housewife?")

  56. First Things First by JimSadler · · Score: 1

    In such a course the first thing I would point out is how dismal we have always been at predicting what the future will be like. From my own view point I would suggest that we have at least a 50,50 chance of descending into a dismal and barbaric spiral into oblivion. It is one whopping assumption that the future will be better than life is now. We have a population that just assumes that "they" will find a way to solve our problems. Yet not a single politician will touch the population explosion issue and few will admit that growth is an environmental horror story and that the world economy is based upon growth, Getting drunk, getting high on dope, riding very fast motorcycles, and skipping education entirely might be the best plan of all for modern youth. A fast ending but exciting, short life might be a good goal.

    1. Re:First Things First by khallow · · Score: 1

      Yet not a single politician will touch the population explosion issue

      I'm puzzled. There's plenty of evidence to the contrary. For example, the US's "Global Health Initiative" has as one of its strategies:

      The United States Government Global Health Initiative Strategy Family Planning and Reproductive Health:
      Prevent 54 million unintended pregnancies. This will be accomplished by reaching a modern contraceptive prevalence rate of 35 percent across assisted countries and reducing from 24 to 20 percent the proportion of women aged 18-24 who have their first birth before age 18.

      There's no word on the time frame over which these goals are to be implemented. But for ten years, that would be 5.4 births prevented per year. At today's roughly 80 million population growth per year, that's almost 7% reduction in the rate of growth. That's a pretty big "touch".

      and few will admit that growth is an environmental horror story and that the world economy is based upon growth

      Which isn't actually true in either case. I wouldn't expect most people to admit things that aren't true, would you? Growth isn't necessarily population growth. And economics still works even in a world that isn't growing.

  57. The Machine Stops by EM Forster by the_wesman · · Score: 1

    Maybe this is not relevant, but I was amazed out how accurately this hundred year old book described modern society.

    No one produces anything but they use screens to share ideas. They share with others who may be near or far but never face to face. The screens give a vague approximation of the person on the other end. Everyone is happy until the machine stops working. When it does, they complain about it on their screens.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Machine_Stops

    --
    calling all destroyers
  58. Bill Joy nails it by Sir_Eptishous · · Score: 1
    --
    We play the game with the bravery of being out of range
  59. "All Watched Over By Machines Of Loving Grace" by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

    It's a poem rather than a short story or essay. It's by Richard Brautigan who was the poet in residence at Caltech. It was first published in a volume of the same name, not all of which may be suitable for your audience.

    All Watched Over By Machines Of Loving Grace (poem)
    All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace (collection)

    1. Re:"All Watched Over By Machines Of Loving Grace" by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thanks! I'm so ignorant of poetry that I didn't think to even request it. I'll check it out.

    2. Re:"All Watched Over By Machines Of Loving Grace" by mr_mischief · · Score: 1

      I think technologists are often less likely to think about the more abstract arts, which is a shame. Having a poet in residence at a place like Caltech, while apparently at times challenging for the poet, I think is a wonderful idea.

      Also, "Urinetown: The Musical" is a comedic Malthusian commentary on mismanaging resources, leading to a dystopian future.

      Don't feel bad about not knowing the poem. The poem "All Watched Over By Machines Of Loving Grace" I originally found from music. There's a group, or was anyway, named "Machines of Loving Grace". I found that through a classic bad computer movie (by which I mean a pretty good movie with bad representations of computers) -- they have a song on the "Hackers" soundtrack. I liked the soundtrack a lot, and was familiar with most of the other acts on it. I liked their song "Richest Junkie Still Alive" so much I researched the group, and was intrigued with the name which lead me to Brautigan.

  60. IT seems to me by geekoid · · Score: 1

    That you should look at stuff from 40 years ago and show them how wrong it was.

    --
    The Kruger Dunning explains most post on /. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_effect
  61. Re:Dear Slashdot... by camperdave · · Score: 1

    I'm supposed to teach others, but I'm too lazy to do my own research. Can you help me?

    Why certainly. What you do is write a paragraph explaining what you need, and then post it to Ask Slashdot.

    --
    When our name is on the back of your car, we're behind you all the way!
  62. Idiocracy by PPH · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I know there's no book. But the target demographic is those who wait for the movie.

    --
    Have gnu, will travel.
  63. Hugh Howey's Wool by Frightened_Turtle · · Score: 1

    Hugh Howey's Silo Series, starting with Wool. Granted, it is a dystopian story, but it shows a strongly human side to the collapse of civilization. A lot of dystopian stories tend to focus on the inhumanity and shock value of distorted societies. Howey's collection of novellas makes it much more personal to the reader. I believe it is the uniquely intimate approach to such a story that caused Howey's stories to catch on.

    --


    Whew! This water sure is cold!
  64. Where's Gibson? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Pretty much anything written by William Gibson.
    The guy is a visionary. He seems to be able to unerringly look 10-15 years ahead and predict the future culture and what tech will be most relevant.

    So much of what he writes about seems unlikely at the time, but yet comes true just a few years later.

    Most people already know that In his 1984 book "Neuromancer" he basically predicted the future importance and uses of the internet and the existence of portable devices to access it (It was he that coined the term Cyberspace). he also emphasised virtual reality, which back then was somewhat of a niche fad but even now is about to become more mainstream with the imminent release of Occulus Rift, off the back of which there is already a series of similar devices being leaked/advertised.

    In 2003 his book Pattern Recognition correctly predicted the forthcoming cultural shift in advertising and new emphasis on marketing and product placement.

    More recently in his 2007 book "Spook Country" he not only correctly predicted/emphasised the forthcoming importance of personal GPS/geolocation to the culture, but also what kinds of associated services would arise. he also described devices startlingly like Google Glass, 7 years ahead of their actual invention.

    1. Re:Where's Gibson? by V+for+Vendetta · · Score: 1

      Most people already know that In his 1984 book "Neuromancer" he basically predicted the future importance and uses of the internet and the existence of portable devices to access it (It was he that coined the term Cyberspace). he also emphasised virtual reality, which back then was somewhat of a niche fad but even now is about to become more mainstream with the imminent release of Occulus Rift, off the back of which there is already a series of similar devices being leaked/advertised.

      Agreed. But for me the most visionary prediction in the trilogy is that corporations have basically taken over the reign of the world. Which nowadays is terribly spot on, unfortunately.

    2. Re:Where's Gibson? by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Yep that too. Even more reason why Gibson should be in the list.

  65. Re:Manna! by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

    This.

    In fact, GO HERE. Now. Manna is telling you that you have 1 minute to open the link and perform a scan of the instructions at hand. Don't think. Just click the link. Manna will do all the thinking for you.

  66. reddit.com/r/Futurology/ has covered this by ChaseTec · · Score: 1

    Go to http://www.reddit.com/r/Futuro...

    I tried to post the list here but /. helpfully said "Your comment has too few characters per line (currently 33.9)."

    --
    My Hello World is 512 bytes. But it's also a valid Fat12 boot sector, Fat12 file reader, and Pmode routine.
    1. Re:reddit.com/r/Futurology/ has covered this by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      Thank you so much!

  67. Re:The machine stops by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

    Ah thanks, I remember better now.

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    This space intentionally left blank
  68. The Machine Stops by JackAcme · · Score: 1

    E.M. Forster's short story, "The Machine Stops," was written in 1909 and seems more prescient by the minute. It would certainly provide a nice contrast to Kurzweil.

  69. Brunner, Dyson, Pohl by StefanJ · · Score: 1

    Any number of novels by John Brunner, but Stand on Zanzibar if you have to choose one.

    Fred Pohl's short-short "Day Million," about a cyborg spaceman and a transgendered otter-woman meeting, falling in love, exchanging virtual reality sex profiles and never meetin again.

    Freeman Dyson's essay "The Greening of the Galaxy."

    1. Re:Brunner, Dyson, Pohl by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Well, the "classic" Brunner example would be "Shockwave Rider", if you like "Stand on Zanzibar" you might like "Sheep Luck(ing?) Up", too.

      Perhaps at least mention 'Future Shock' and 'The Third Wave' by Alvin Toffler

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  70. Daniel J. Boorstin's "The Discoverers" by opentunings · · Score: 1
    http://www.amazon.com/Discover...

    Daniel Boorstin, Librarian of Congress (1975 - 1987) wrote The Discoverers. It's a book about the people and events surrounding some very early, essential discoveries. Some of the discoveries include

    Time (remember, prior to clocks each day had hours of differing duration. The 12 daylight hours were longer in the summer, and shorter in the winter.)

    Maps and map coordinates (such as the idea that they should be drawn to scale, or that coordinates were not evil)

    the Compass

    Money

    It's history, not the future view you're discussing, but it does give lots of great insights into the discovery of things that fundamentally changed the world.

  71. Harrison - "Make Room! Make Room!" by mrflash818 · · Score: 1

    Might be a bullet point to discuss how technology (fertilizers, vaccines, medicine) may, or has resulted in, a possible overshoot/overpopulation scenario.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M...!

    --
    Uh, Linux geek since 1999.
  72. Super Sad True Love Story by tankcaptain · · Score: 1

    It's longer than you want, put perhaps you could present excerpts from the excellent dystopian novel Super Sad True Love Story by Gary Shteyngart.

  73. Response from original poster by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 2

    First, thank you, everyone, for the feedback. There are some wonderful stories that I recognize and others that I look forward to reading.

    Second, because the solicited essays and fiction will only be a small part of the course, I will have to rely on short stories (including novellas) instead of entire novels. That is part of what makes it hard to research. It's much easier to find out about novels, which have more readers and are better publicized than short stories, especially recent ones that have not yet been widely reprinted.

    Third, to those of you who think I am being too lazy to do my research myself, gathering information is part of the research process, and I'd be remiss in not making use of the hive mind if it has useful information that I might not. I would much rather be called a negligent teacher than to be one. Academics study one another's reading lists and syllabi all the time. Believe me, plenty of work remains in deciding what material to include, how present it, etc.

    Fourth, thank you for letting me know the history of the word "futurism". The sense I used it ("concern with events and trends of the future or which anticipate the future") is the first one in some dictionaries and is widely used at kurzweilai.net, The Foresight Institute, and other sites I have used, but I will certainly let my students know that some people prefer the word "futurology". For those who are interested, here's a Google n-gram view of "futurism", "futurist", and "futurology".

    Fifth, some commenters suggested using primary sources and biography. Agreed. I was already planning to include Turing's Computing Machinery and Intelligence, Vannevar Bush's As We May Think, and the stories of Khan Academy, Iqbal Quadir, Sugata Mitra, and others.

    Sixth, it was also suggested that I look at past predictions of the future. Also agreed. I assembled such a reading list for a previous course. It hadn't occurred to me to include in my question what I didn't need, because I'd already assembled it, but I see now that it would be helpful.

    Thank you again for the suggestions and even for the criticisms. Soliciting opinions from Slashdot is always a story in itself.

    1. Re:Response from original poster by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      I think Kurzweil's "Law of Accelerating Returns" is a great essay that sums up the reasoning behind the singularity. Better than excerpts from a book, I'd imagine.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
    2. Re:Response from original poster by NullOne · · Score: 1

      Recommend taking a look at David Edgerton's book "Shock of the Old: Technology and Global History Since 1900".

  74. Lighten Up... by akpak · · Score: 1

    If you want to include some "lighter" fare, or comedy relief, I highly recommend "Machine of Death" (http://www.amazon.com/Machine-Death-Collection-Stories-People/dp/0982167121).

    While it's not technology we have, it's a collection that looks at the wide-reaching implications of a single invention that warps basically everything.

    Much of it is "funny," but some of the stories are also very serious and thought-provoking. Nearly all of them are object lessons in "unintended consequences," which is a valuable thing to consider when looking at advances in tech.

    There's also a sequel called "This is How You Die"

    1. Re:Lighten Up... by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

      I love humor. I'll check it out.

  75. Re:Rainbows End by Vernor Vinge by Ellen+Spertus · · Score: 1

    Thanks! I'd read and liked Rainbows End but do need the quicker reads. I'll check it out.

  76. Psychofactoids! by Medievalist · · Score: 1

    We, as human beings, only use 3 - 5% of our *NATURAL* brain capacity.

    Your assignment for today is to find out where this statement originated. Extra credit will be awarded if you can manage to tie in Helena Blavatsky's Theosophy and Cyril Burt's twin studies.

  77. No Kurzweil or Doctorow please by vipvop · · Score: 1

    Unless you want to turn the class into a bunch of Luddites who become the next Theodore Kaczynski, don't expose them to Kurzweil and Doctorow's crap. Think of the children.

    1. Re:No Kurzweil or Doctorow please by NoImNotNineVolt · · Score: 1

      I was "exposed" to Kurzweil when I was young, and I didn't turn into a Luddite. On the contrary, I went on to intern at NASA and do engineering/development work for the DOD. Although I did grow out some sweet Unabomber-style hair and beard.

      --
      Chuuch. Preach. Tabernacle.
  78. Italian fascists? by emil · · Score: 1

    Why does slashdot have an article about a WWII-era Italian art movement?

    Or was this in reference to the Chicago theater?

    If this was an article about "singulitarians," then we need to be more specific.

  79. The Prefect by Alistair Reynolds by theshowmecanuck · · Score: 1

    You should take excerpts from 'The Prefect' by Alistair Reynolds. It does a lot to explore augmented reality, people being interconnected to computer networks, instant voting, etc. as a cultural norm. It takes place in a distant future, but we are already encountering some of these things today.

    --
    -- I ignore anonymous replies to my comments and postings.
  80. Ready Player One: E. Cline by jnmontario · · Score: 1

    Great story of the not-so-distant-future. While it's a lot lighter than most of the listings above, it's a glimpse of a possible future ruled by megacorporations and greed. Wait - isn't that now?

  81. Technocracy Study Guide by dak664 · · Score: 1

    http://www.technocracy.org/stu...

    Written mostly during the 1930s by M. King Hubbert of peak oil infamy. Describes a sustainable society directed by science instead of wishful thinking.

  82. Re:Agreed .... by khallow · · Score: 1

    Melding technology into our bodies is not going to evolve us as a species.

    And why is that consideration important? For example, we might be able to create intelligence that will live much longer than life on Earth has lived to this point. We may have already created various systems that will outlive the Sun. Evolution is not the only way.

  83. Heinlein's "Where to?" by perry64 · · Score: 1

    Or any of his "Future History."

    I recommend this one in particular because this short essay discusses how to write futuristic stories or make futuristic predictions. One of his basic premises is that any predictions that view technology at advancing at a slowing rate, or even maintaining the "current" rate, will be bound to be too timid. Only predictions that are based upon an exponential rate will have a chance of coming true.

  84. What is the point of such a course? by mtthwbrnd · · Score: 1

    Why is it needed? Wouldn't it be more useful to study Medicine, Maths, Physics, Chemistry, Economics etc.. or even a foreign language?

    How many jobs are out there where the qualifications includes this course?

  85. Kallocain by Lorens · · Score: 1

    Examines government use of a truth drug.

    Bonus: Wikipedia links to a full digital English translation

  86. As much as I love Stephenson by MrResistor · · Score: 1

    I think other authors have done a better job with postulating advances in technology. A few examples:

    Charles Stross - Accelerando - One of the more believable and compelling projections of computer tech that I've read in a long time.

    Linda Nagata - Vast - Similar projections for computer tech as above, plus genetic engineering. This was a recent random find in a used book store for me, and apparently the fourth book in a series called The Nanotech Succession. I will definitely be looking for more of her stuff.

    Paolo Bacigalupi - The Windup Girl - Definitely the best I've seen for projection in biotech, and it hit me in a similar way as the first time I read Neuromancer a few decades ago. Definitely not for children, though. Pump Six And Other Stories is a collection of short stories set in the same world, but I don't know how well they would hold up on their own without the deeper context that TWG provides.

    --
    Under capitalism man exploits man. Under communism it's the other way around.
  87. The Singularity - a documentary by dwolens · · Score: 1

    Check out my documentary http://www.thesingularityfilm.... It's been described by the IEET as the "best film about the singularity to date." Just played in Cambridge last week, at Yale Friday night, Santa Fe this past weekend and ASU tomorrow. It's deep but accessible.