Google Unveils Self-Driving Car With No Steering Wheel
cartechboy writes: "We've already discussed and maybe even come to terms with the fact that autonomous cars are coming. In fact, many automakers including Mercedes-Benz and Tesla have committed to self-driving cars by 2017. Apparently that's not ambitious enough. Google has just unveiled an in-house-designed, self-driving car prototype with no steering wheel or pedals. In fact, it doesn't have any traditional controls, not even a stereo. The as-yet-nameless car is a testbed for Google's vision of the computerized future of transportation. Currently the prototype does little more than programmed parking lot rides at a maximum of 25 mph, but Google plans to build about 100 prototypes, with the first examples receiving manual controls (human-operated). Google then plans to roll out the pilot program in California in the next several years. So the technology is now there, but is there really a market for a car that drives you without your input other than the destination?"
These this will naturally become shuttles and taxi services almost immediately. Given the protests of Uber and Lyft, what will the outcry be for these?
"Don't teach a man to fish, feed yourself. He's a grown man. Fishing's not that hard." - Ron Swanson
Sorry. While I love technology, my not-so-humble opinion is that we're nowhere near the level of reliability needed for a car that's completely free of manual control.
Simply put, having seen the arc of technology advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust an automated driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Who else is ready for completely self-driving cars? Time for a Slashdot poll!
Ok, just because it's not reliable today but maybe in ten years, let's forget all about it.
No thanks, wouldn't want a car that I can't manually override when shit happens.
I can see this as a huge step for free movement for people with disabilities.
Unless the automated car is on rails, it must retain manual control so that the user will be able to bring it to a guided stop. Even elevators come with an emergency stop button and they have only three states, going up, going down and stationary. A car without manuals controls to guide it to a safe stop in the event of control failure whether purposeful or accidental is really fucking crazy.
Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
Driver or automated, that's beside the point: personal automobiles are the wrong way to go. They take too much room and fuel to transport, usually, only one person at a time. That's a waste. What we need is more and better public transportation: buses, subways, trams, railroads...
Circumcision is child abuse.
Surely Google already knows where it is best for you to go. It knows everything else about you...
Sorry. While I love technology, my not-so-humble opinion is that we're nowhere near the level of reliability needed for a car that's completely free of manual control.
Simply put, having seen the arc of technology advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust an automated driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Millions of people fly in airplanes every day that rely on computer controls (since there is no mechanical linkage between the pilot and the control surfaces). And 30,000 people die each year at the hands of human drivers.
While the real time image recognition may not be quite ready for prime time, it will get there and when it does, computer drivers will be safer than human drivers. Google's driverless cars have already racked up 700,000 accident free miles in autonomous mode (albeit with a human ready to take over). Their car has already surpassed my own record, it's only been about 150,000 miles since my last accident (a car changed lanes into me, while the accident was not my fault, if I'd had computer-like reflexes and perfect awareness of my surroundings to know that the lane beside me was open, I may have been able to avoid the accident by sudden braking and/or making a quick lane change)
Sorry. While I love technology, my not-so-humble opinion is that we're nowhere near the level of reliability needed for a car that's completely free of manual control.
Simply put, having seen the arc of technology advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust an automated driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Sorry. While I love humans, my not-so-humble opinion is that we're nowhere near the level of reliability needed for a car that's manual control.
Simply put, having seen the arc of traffic fatalities advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust a human driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Cars are not safe: people will die. I'd rather have shitty AI that we can iterate on and improve every time it kills someone than having to start with fresh teenagers each time. An AI can learn from millions of cars, and not miss the learning opportunity of fatal crashes. Also, people have really bad sensors for driving compared to what an AI can use. Maybe its not better than good drivers yet, but I'd prefer a shitty AI that we can iterate on to people who barley manage to pass a driving test on the third try driving in the dark while distracted, and we let people do that... Compared to a person, such an AI could be a lot better at refusing to drive in unsafe conditions (it won't give into rage or peer pressure and do something stupid). That might be annoying, but having a car that can pick you up by itself might counter that out.
If Mercedes really has a self-driving car by 2017, then Google might as well give up. They're behind the curve.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Millions of people fly in airplanes every day that rely on computer controls (since there is no mechanical linkage between the pilot and the control surfaces).
If that's what counts as 'computer control,' then we already have computer control today. There are plenty of computer systems in cars, and some won't even start without going through a computer system.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
supercouille
This is great news. But this looks too staged for my eyes. All you actually see is an electric car going in straight lines. Great step toward the real thing though! Congrats to google!
r7di43ee85
It doesn't have a steering wheel, what did you expect?
God spoke to me
what kind of hells is that???
Donald 'Duck' Dunn: We had a band powerful enough to turn goat piss into gasoline.
A quick call to google's helpdesk is all that's needed to stop the car in an emergency.
If you drive on the same streets that I do, you trust me with your safety. As my driving skills are below median, this should be a lot more worrying to you then the prospect of being in a computer-driven car. (Fortunately for you, surveys show that below-median drivers are rare.)
Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
And this is an excellent argument against the "it will always need manual controls in case of failure" argument. Modern vehicles have fly-by-wire accelerator, brakes, gears, etc.
The driver isn't in direct physical control of the vehicle and hasn't been for some time. Progress towards fully autonomous vehicles is a matter of degree, not of kind.
Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
Again, I don't give a damn about "10 years from now".
People in the 50's and 60's were predicting flying cars being common by now.
We all know how THAT turned out.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Sorry, but there's a big difference between flying around in a plane in a pre-planned course that's been cleared of other traffic and driving around on the ground on an expressway or city street.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
10/10, would buy.
Automated cars are already better than people. The trains in Canada have been automated for decades and they're fine. The Google fleet drove across the US several times, something most human drivers would probably screw up at some point.
The only thing I dislike is the fact that I love my car and I can't think of a way to convert it economically. Otherwise I would, without hesitation. Including removing the steering wheel and pedals.
I don't want to drive it. I want auto-driving cars and I want them now.
Check out my sci-fi book "Lacuna" at http://goo.gl/MVxX8
If you actually trust a computer more than your own judgement in an accident situation, I feel sorry for you.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
A car which automatically takes me places I don't want to go, based on my browsing history.
Worst. Signature. Ever.
The Google car has done something like 700,000 miles and crashed twice. Both times this occurred, it was under control of the human occupant.
I drive to work every morning and the number of times I see people not paying attention is extraordinary. Women doing their makeup, people texting, trying to argue with their children etc.
Honestly, in my view, removing the steering wheel is a safety feature.
Progress towards fully autonomous vehicles is a matter of degree, not of kind.
This is a true point. It's been true ever since we stopped walking.
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Do you really trust the other people on the road? At least self-driving cars don't get drunk or distracted.
Do I trust other driver?
No. Which is why I'd rather apply my own Mk.1 Eyeball and pattern recognition software than that of a computer.
MAYBE if EVERY car on the road was turned into a self-driver, I'd have a little more trust. But, the reality is that self-driving cars are going to be sharing the roadways with human-driven cars for several generations AT LEAST. And I don't trust the self-driven cars to appropriately identify/deal with erratic/dangerous situations.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Hell yes, consider equiping a Plug-In version of a Transit Connect Wagon with Solar Cells on the roof.
2 hour commute? Punch in the destination, go to the couch in back, and get some well erned sleep.
Adoption will be slow enough that ticketing will probably increase at first, as human drivers race around the self-driving ones going "too slow."
And if you think your judgement and perception is better than this computer system, you are full of hubris and a menace to other road users. It works both ways.
In one sense, we've been a fully autonomous vehicle ever since we started walking. ;)
Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
Mercedes-Benz is worth $23.5bn. Google is worth $382.5bn. I think Google's in with a fighting chance if they decide to take this seriously.
Rampant carbon sequestration destroyed the Dinosaurs' tropical paradise. I'm here to help repair the damage.
The problem is that you confuse manual controls and manual control inputs. What type of control a person or computer uses is irrelevant. What is relevant is the mind making the decisions about what inputs to make. Computers are yet to be sophisticated to handle many situations as well has humans do.
The driver isn't in direct physical control of the vehicle and hasn't been for some time. Progress towards fully autonomous vehicles is a matter of degree,
Completely false. Whether it is fly by wire or cables the inputs are still made by humans and that is the important part.
The brain is the important part of the machine and not the nerves. Computer brains are not up to the task yet.
Yeah, I agree. The mix of computers and humans is probably a recipe for disaster. I've seen many a software package attempt to figure out what I want or intend to do and they usually get it wrong. Now imagine a computer trying to predict the actions of a mix of human and computer vehicles...
Self driving cars have some applications. A system that used existing roadways would be much cheaper to set up, so there's at least some market, and such a niche would be a good place to start.
That's not what was meant at all and you know it.
It's that you only trust fulfilled promises. Not predictions.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Have you nothing besides ad hominem to hurl at his argument?
I hope you get modded up
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
What happens if the electronics are disrupted by hacking or EMP?
It's not about judgement. It's about abilities.
A self driving car can simultaneously look in every direction around the car and never have to blink. If an object is detected and the car needs to stop, it takes a person time to physically lift their foot from one pedal and press the other(s). Not much time, sure, but in a sudden stop scenario, every little bit helps.
Humans have much better non-linear thinking. We can navigate dirt roads, or unmapped territory. But for day to day commuting on established roads, automation is the way to go. Computers never get sleepy, they don't get distracted and they can be programmed to obey speed limits. Google's test vehicle is already well above the safety record of an average driver, with nearly half a million miles, safe and sound.
And that's just the prototype.
This signature is false.
Right. I'm not saying auto-driver systems are a Bad Thing.
Simply that I don't trust them ENOUGH to completely relinquish every last bit of driver control and become an idle passenger.
If the current designers of auto-driver systems thing their software and hardware are infallible, I think they're nowhere near ready for prime-time. They're still caught in "what a wonderful fantasy" stage.
The driver should always retain an option to override an obviously malfunctioning vehicle.
The inability to do so could get the rider killed.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
By the time a human realizes there is a problem if the automated system has failed, they'll be lucky to have enough time to scream.
It's kind of like the people that don't want to wear seatbelts because they are afraid they'll end up in a crash and be hurt so bad they can't undo the seatbelt to get out.
If you haven't figured that out, if you are so messed up you can't undo a seatbelt, there's no way in hell you'd have been able to get out of a car.
There are possibly some hybrid scenario's conceivable in which an auto-automobile (how about calling them a2mobiles?) could serve a very useful intermediary purpose.
Highway driving is much simpler and much more tiring than city driving, so that could be an easy win. Especially with dedicated lanes for a2mobiles, the programming thing could become almost as easy as programming an elevator.
"While the real time image recognition may not be quite ready for prime time"
It doesn't actually need image recognition. We've had systems deployed for decades that can handle identify the existence of possible collisions based on detecting obstacles and their relative vectors. It doesn't need to know that large blob on a collision course is a Ford Taurus, just that it's going to collide in 3.2 seconds on the current vectors.
If you're curious what uses those types of systems in real time now, just look at military hardware, it's in more than just planes.
I think I would feel much safer driving on the Autobahn at 150 km/h surrounded by self-driving cars that I am feeling right now when driving on the Autobahn.
Also, let your car drive you to and from parties! Wohoo! Party on!
I for one am looking forward to our self-driving overlords. Over 100 years on, the automobile becomes even truer to it's name.
Um, you seem to assume that most people speed because they made an input error when operating the vehicle(i.e. pressed the accelerator down further than desired). That probably does happen, but I would be shocked if it's more than 1% of cases. Most cases of speeding occur simply because people want to get their destination faster. Are auto-driving cars really going to stop people from leaving their house too late? If given the choice between getting somewhere on time with an automated car or taking over and speeding, what do you think people who were going to speed anyway are going to choose?
Monstar L
Funnily enough, my need for controls in self-driving cars isn't the one you usually hear ("I need to be able to take control in an emergency") - as has already been amply researched, (1) the cars are likely to be much better at not getting into trouble in the first place than their cargo, and (2) suddenly handing over control to a human who's been dozing away watching the scenery, reading a book or whatever, simply is a really BAD idea - by the time they've worked out what's going on, it will be too late anyway, and anything they do is likely to make things radically worse, not better.
No, it's a far more pragmatic, human one: Not every car journey I make is a predictable trip from point A to point B, with no regard to what comes between. Sometimes I don't know what route I'll take, until I take it. Sometimes A and B are the same place. Sometimes I don't even know, when I set off, where B is. Sometimes my plans change in mid-journey, at very short notice. And sometimes, how ever good the traffic updates are, I'm likely to spot reasons why the car's preferred route isn't the one to take just then. So I need a reliable, simple interface that will give me enough control over my "autonomous" car to get it to take a particular route, pull over, slow down, speed up and whatever. Because, say, I want to pop into that little shop we just passed, that I've never seen before. Or I need a comfort break. Or the dog's been sick. Or I simply decide I want time to take in admire the stunning view on that windy little back road. What I don't want, and would think very carefully before buying, is a vehicle that takes away some of the freedoms that come with driving for myself.
I have little doubt that, if the time ever comes when these machines finally overcome the hurdles (not least, understandable human prejudices) and make it onto the market (and, frankly, I hope that's not so far away - it looks to this casual observer as though the technology is reaching a level of maturity wher ethe hurdles are legal rather than technical), such features will be there - because, frankly, they're obvious, and any offering that doesn't have them will lose out to the ones that do. But they're definitely needed. Google's prototype's lack of controls is a publicity grabber, pure and simple.
I don't buy it, with driverless shuttles/cabs all over the place there would be tons of people fucking/doing drugs/pissing/vandalizing in these (expensive) things.
You'll damn well need a user account and probably have 24/7 cameras on you if these things ever get off the ground.
Sorry. While I love humans, my not-so-humble opinion is that we're nowhere near the level of human reliability needed for a car that could be under manual control.
But seriously, if self-driving cars could be demonstrated to be safe, I'd prefer NOT to have humans behind the wheel, with their poor reaction times, willingness to get drunk, and tendency to play with their cellphones. Getting killed in a car accident is one of the leading causes of death (especially in certain age brackets). Everyone accepts this as 'normal', but why the fuck should we?
A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
I'll hold out for the Mr. Toad's Wild Ride interior.
(Fortunately for you, surveys show that below-median drivers are rare.)
Unless it's an underground tunnel.
If you actually trust a computer more than your own judgement in an accident situation, I feel sorry for you.
I may not trust it more than my judgement but I trust it more than the other crazies on the road. Equally they trust it more than my ability but less the their own ability's. Logically the best option is for both sides to trust the computer. Now while I want a self driving car I want one with manual controls, not so I can take control mid critical moment but because I occasionally need/want to go off road or poorly maintained logging roads that I doubt the self driving car would handle well.
---Saying gnome 3 is better than windows 8 not so much a compliment as it is damning with light praise.
computers are also:
1. hackable.. one bored 16yo with a laptop on an overpass + 20000 wirelessly networked cars on a highway = fun.. oh and state mandated kill switches are only there for the children, right?
2. careless about self preservation. A computer will happily cause an accident due to a programming bug or sensor fail. Was that a rock or a plastic bag? A human can tell, but your computer? doubtful. How about that truck carrying those huge metal pipes? Is that top pipe about to fall off the back and flatten your car? A human can tell, a computer? hell no. A kid decides to step into the road at the last moment, you saw him running down the driveway from behind a line of parked cars on the side of the road. Did the computer? of course not. Did it see that huge pot hole? nope.
3. Only as good as the programmer that programmed it. Yes, a half million carefully selected miles with a person who knows the details of the system being tested in the vehicle..oh and he has an override capability that the rest of us will lack. Speed is 'a' factor, but not always 'the' factor in accidents, although the cops love to say it is (to help justify keeping the limits lower so they can rake in more cash). If that aforementioned truck is about to jackknife, it might actually be more prudent to get out from around it which will probably mean violating the speed limit. It just depends on what your options are at that moment. It would also take a human to see the fact the truck is in trouble. All the computer can do is react by hitting the brakes after it detects the truck blocking the way... gl with that, even if it was following a 'safe' distance.
As chaotic and inconsistent as humans can be, I think we're better off fixing the newfound inattentiveness while driving than trying to shoehorn more complacency and dependence into his life. Owning your mobility is an important distinction between those who are free and those who only go where they are told...and you can't tell me that governments won't want backdoor access to this.
ah you must be a Windows user, this mistrust of computers is common with your kind :P
All jokes aside though, will it get my favorite parking spot at the shop? Or stop spontaneously in a lay-bye to admire a spectacular view on a high mountain road? I do trust computers to do a better job than the average human when it comes to driving, but I must admit, a manual control input would be nice for some things.
What kind of judgement calls are more likely to be useful in an accident situation?
1. Solving hard ethical dilemmas, such as swirving to avoid a baby carriage at the cost of running over an elderly person.
2. Out-of-the-box ingenuity, such as ramping off of the guard rail and balancing on two wheels to avoid the accident.
3. Stomping on the brakes as early as possible.
Human judgement definitely excels at 1 and 2, but in all honesty, I think 3 is the most practical. It also happens to be the one a computer would be best at.
If you exchange the 1 second human reaction time for a 1ms computer reaction time, you will go about 18km/h (11mph) slower when you hit something, dramatically increasing your and their chances of survival.
Obviously I know that you personally would be able to deftly maneuver to avoid the accident and that you'd react way faster than 1 second because you're always alert and a better than average driver (and it's not illusory superiority, because you'd have to be an idiot to believe you're good when you're average).
However, you're just one incredibly good driver, while there are a hundred million average ones. Statistically, it makes way more sense to opt for the 11mph reduction in impact speed.
But normal cars are so dangerous to self and others and yet we put up with that risk daily. So what if road death rates go up from 3 to 4 or 5 per hundred thousand? Albania's is like, 30. We often choose speed over safety.
True, the car is much slower and can just stop moving at any point, without crashing into the ground.
Open the pod bay doors HAL. Yes, that needed an off button. It is difficult though because many malfunctions will kill very quickly. Even without a computer. Mechanical failure in a helicopter? Software means more things can go wrong. But I trust Google ius so highly motivated to track our every move, that they will take safety very seriously. **cough** It'll need some kind of official accident investigation authority to come down hard and fast and demand all logs and investigate openly and with high technical acumen each accident, and laws which say the companies have to turn over all their source code and specs.
It will be a no-brainer. Low or no insurance costs and in high-traffic areas where commuter lanes are plugged up reserved lanes would make this an instant success.
I'd personally happily cede control of my vehicle for long-distance driving as long as I could choose to override the system and take control in unmapped or incorrectly mapped areas. Sleeping for an hour while the car took me where I need to go without having to worry about the road would be my preferred way to travel.
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity." - Hanlon's Razor
Indeed, and in one sense it focusses the scrutiny and energy of the law and of the safety bodies, from millions of drivers down to a few companies. I hope this means the authorities can then afford to spend nearly as much time investigating crashes as say, when an airliner goes down.
Over 100 years on, the automobile becomes even truer to it's name.
Nice!
I got the opportunity to test drive a self-driving car, but the vehicle was hijacked on the route and a weird new direction programmed in. I ended up in a shipping container which was transported to a warehouse in the middle of the ocean, and at the destination the place was populated with automated forklift trucks. Whew.
how does ad hominem make his statement more or less valid?
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So far as I can tell, this seems to be design sort of like a taxi or shuttle. Without any manual controls it becomes nearly useless as a personal vehicle. No way to park one in your garage, or drive it places not on its map or things like that. Someone said it can pick you up at your door, but I think that's a bit exaggerated, maybe it will pick you up at a predesignated place nearby, otherwise it'd have to drive around awhile looking for legal places to park on the street. Likewise once it gets to the destination the most it'll probably do it let you out at a predesignated locale, it won't find a parking space for you, and probably won't even be able to pull up to the curb (won't know if it's legal to do so). Good luck in places like San Francisco or Manhattan, it'll have to stop in the middle of the street and let you out while the cars behind start honking (just like taxis do now). Given that there are no controls as reported, except for start/stop, it's unclear how you tell it where you want to go.
Removing the manual controls seems to greatly limit the usefulness.
All the videos they have so far look like demos. For the ones without controls they start and end at a big empty parking lot, and with manual controls it doesn't become automated until it's on the street.
Just plug your gamepad into the USB port.
Airplanes have only a few designated takeoff and landing places for planes large enough to have automated controls. Even then the pilot must still be prepared to take over at any time so they controls are not removed. As well the pilot is required to taxi to and from the runway and during takeoff and landing. While on autopilot the planes are utterly unable to respond to emergencies without manual control.
And automobile is different. They need to go to strange places which are not pre-planned, including places not on Google Maps (like driveways and garages). They need to be able to park, and a parking space needs to be chosen that is legal, and so forth.
Google's cars are basically intended to be shuttles that pick you up from a fixed set of locations and can take you to another fixed set of locations, much like most airplanes. They'll be a bit like shuttles, with a less flexibility when picking you up but with more flexibility for the destination. Probably they will be the most like a 2 person city bus but without all the stops.
The google car without manual controls doesn't have a way for you to tell it to stop moving at any point. As reported (though perhaps incorrectly) there is only a start and stop button. From videos there is also a display showing you route, but it is unclear if you can use that to set the route or alter it while moving.
Ow, it just took that speed bump at 25mph, then it pulled over at a no stopping area and I got a ticket.
Mercedes only makes automobiles. Google makes whatever goofy thing they thought of while drunk, or at least for 6 months before they cancel the project and move onto something cooler.
A quick call to google's helpdesk is all that's needed to stop the car in an emergency.
Have you ever tried to actually call Google? I've not been successful finding any sort of phone contact for some of their products, voice for example.
Have a squat over at the hobo house.
The computer would be faster than you at stomping on the brakes, but you'd be far better than the computer at determining situations where that's warranted. A proximity sensor array hooked up to a computer with a list of preprogrammed assumptions (shown in the videos) will not give the computer anything close to the contextual awareness of a human.
And if you think your judgement and perception is better than this computer system, you are full of hubris and a menace to other road users. It works both ways.
Whatever. My driving skills (or lack thereof) are a known quantity to me. I have some grasp of what I can and cannot do in a vehicle.
I think that's unlikely, at least for most drivers. How many times have you experienced an emergency stop from 70mph? Or practiced regaining control from a skid? Or when sliding on ice, or aquaplaning? Most drivers will have no idea how their car behaves in those situations and have no idea how good their skills are because they've never been tested in those circumstances, or have only tested them once or twice. One would expect that a self-driving car's abilities will have been tested much more.
You mean manual controls like the autopilot? Most modern planes are flown autonomous, granted by manual heading inputs by the pilots, because there is no digital link to the air traffic control. Modern airliners are capable of taking of, flying and landing fully autonomously. The current technological hurdle is to get ATC guidance into the airplane's systems.
Just look at this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... (look ma no hands)
Doors close, it starts to drive by itself, there is no steering wheel or pedals, aiyeeeeee!
Here's where I see these: As the new city car-sharing service.
In my city, there are several car-sharing agencies where you pick up a car anywhere you find it (Apps exist so you can look on your smartphone for the nearest one), drive to where you want to be, and drop it there for the next one. The system is great.
But even better would be if you could order a car to your location when you're getting ready, get an answer with an arrival time so you can put on your shoes and cloak and go downstairs, hop in and tell it where to go. And when it needs fuel, it drives itself to the nearest fueling station.
These things could easily replace taxis.
Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
No - the computer realised it was having issues correctly ascertaining the airspeed, and the pilots incorrectly tried to compensate, causing the crash. So the pilots should not have got the plane into such a dangerous position, and then should not have screwed up trying to get it out. The computer did what it should have done all the way through - it was the people who didn't.
I just wanted to state that, although Google is making impressive progress in the field, other actors in the R&D arena have already implemented this kind of automated vehicles in the past, and made different pilots and field operational tests. As an example, take a look at the European project CityMobil 2: http://www.citymobil2.eu/en/ This project is already making demonstrations around european cities and there is more to come.
And we know that the Google cars' safety record is that of an exemplary driver. And no - your driving skills are *not* a known quantity to you - you are assuming they are, but as you are human that is patently not the case. You even admit it yourself - you have "some grasp" - not an entire, thorough understanding of everything you can and can not do (unlike the Google cars). Infinitely more people have driven themselves off cliffs and into lakes than Google cars have - why you'd assume they'd do such a thing is beyond me. Oh, no - wait - arrogance.
So you have it entirely backwards - you are the unknown quantity, and the Google cars are the known quantities. Your hubris seems to have swapped those round for you. Again: you are the problem, and every complaint you raise against being labelled as such, so far, has shown it for the truth it is.
You don't suppose, do you, that the "Stop button" you mentioned might not be a way to tell the car to, well, "stop moving at any point", do you?
"I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
This kid can break military-grade encryption? If that's the case we've got far bigger problems on our hands.
So you'd run over a rock in a plastic bag because you thought it was a plastic bag, whereas the radar on the driverless cars would have seen through the plastic bag and seen the rock. The pipe on the back of the truck? Well, the car would keep a safe distance, enough for it to avoid any falling object in front of it. That's what humans should be doing anyway. The cars' LIDAR scans for objects approaching the road, and can do so far better than any human can, so your kid-running-into-the-road situation would work out worse with a human behind the wheel. The LIDAR can see farther, with more accuracy, and in 360-degrees. You can't.
The rest of your post is ill-though-out guesswork ascribing idiocy and incompetence to the development team. They are experts in this field - you are not. You spend a lot of your time on Slashdot, being racist and sexist. I wonder who's more trustworthy when it comes to logical appraisal? You've demonstrated you are a slave to gut instincts and untrusting of data which might change your world-view, so no-one in their right minds should be listening to you.
If you take the set of people who might be willing to buy a self-driving car (a set underrepresented on /.), few of them are going to want to do it if they're on the hook for whatever the car does. If that's the case, you might as well drive yourself. Google doesn't want that, either, and just put out a statement to that effect. My guess is that they're going to try to get the relevant laws changed, but, in the meantime, what better way to protect your users from liability than to make it impossible for them to have had any control of the vehicle?
Stop learning! Only you can prevent esoterrorism.
Just look at this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?... (look ma no hands)
While the A380 is capable of autolands on properly equipped runways (which by the way
takes quite a bit of work by the pilots to set up), this video doesn't show one.
Final approach and landing are in fact flown in full manual mode. It's Lufthansa policy
to land manually whenever possible, as to not lose manual flying proficiency.
Other airlines do have other policies, but I doubt any use autolands routinely -
as I said, they are more work.
The computer car would not be driving so fast that it couldn't stop should an old person or a baby stroller be in the road - problem solved. It would apply the brakes and come to a controlled stop without hitting the object, even if the old person/baby carriage was somehow coming at the car at a great speed - it would be able to detect this far better than a human and know what to do to avoid hitting anything.
Your Mk. 1 Eyeball with its built-in blind spot, narrow field of view, poor distance and speed judgement, and easily-fooled pattern recognition. Gotcha. Again: your arrogance is the problem.
The important thing is, that there is an easy and safe fall back mechanism for the automation in case of catastrophic failure.
In this case it is:
- cut the engine, apply brakes.
Easy to perform, even if automation completely fails and can be engineered with multiple rendundancy.
For a plane:
- lower altitude, find safe landing spot, try to land the plane, ???
Can not be done with malfunctioning automation -> human has to be there to take over this job (good luck human..)
I don't believe that 700000 miles figure. Definitely not in real traffic situations anyway. Your message in itself even makes it really weird. So a car has driven 700000 miles without a driver controlling it. It has had two crashes during this time. Both under control of the human occupant. Well, gee... I thought it had driven 700000 miles WITHOUT being under the control of the human occupant. How the fuck do you want to have it?
It will take another 50 years until this technology is mature enough. There are not only technical hurdles. Who is responsible when this car runs someone over? Do you want to go to jail for 10 years because of some idiot at Google? Or does the idiot at Google go to jail? Or are we just going to allow people to be run over in this bright new future?
You honestly think Google can make a car which can drive over 700,000 miles without accident, but can't park in a garage when told to? Or doesn't know how to quickly pull over to let a passenger out? You know when it's legal to pull over because of signage and other visual indications, which the car itself can read and comprehend. It amazes me that people think the Google car team are such incompetent muppets. As for how to tell it where you want to go? Maybe you do just that - tell it where you want to go. With your voice. As you would now with a taxi, for example.
The next article on this car will likely be on how it can be hacked (because everything gets such an article).
Then that manual stop button might come in handy.
That wasn't an ad hominem. His attack, if you want to call it that, was pertinent to the discussion and so by definition was not an ad hominem. But you're a misogynist racist asshat, so I'd not expect you to know. That's an ad hominem, and a factually correct one at that.
Computers are yet to be sophisticated to handle many situations as well has humans do.
Do you have evidence of situations Google's cars cope worse with than humans?
I'd like to see a competition between a computer controlled car and a human in various driving and emergency situation tests. Kinda like when Watson played Jeopardy but more exciting. I have a feeling the computer would win.
const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
That is true, the video does not show autoland. But the rest remains, the plane "flys itself" along the programmed heading, speed and altitude. This system could go haywire anytime and basically not return control to the pilot, since it is all software between the pilot and the hardware.
On my drive home from work there at least one accident a week. It's that bad now. Too many cars, too little road, and the way it merges everyone has to change lanes across each other. Humans really are not up to the task of doing that reliably five days a week it seems.
const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
Next story!
Joke ---> Whooosh
You
Carefully crafted sig.
How many miles were in snow or dense fog or severe rain? I drive in this conditions all the time and its totally different than a sunny day in California.
Human level AI? I would rather not, most human drivers are bad. Try to use the cruise control on a crowded highway and you know what I mean. Just maintaining uniform speed is an impossible task for most drivers. Oh there is a minor bend in the road, I need to slow down, there is a minor hill, I need to slow down, look an accident on the other side of the road, I need to slow down.
In almost all cases a computer will be able to react way faster and with more precision than a human can. Yes there will be some minor flaws in the first systems, they will be systemic and patched out. With human drivers it is a gamble each time they get on the road.
That's not a camera. It's radar\lidar.
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Do you trust human drivers MORE? To be clear, we're talking about the humans that text, drink, smoke, talk, and everything but look at the road and kill over 30,000 people in the US alone every year. THOSE humans?
Tic-Tac-Toe, Global Thermonuclear War, and relationships all have the same winning move.
Yeah, yeah. A self driving car can look, but it cannot *see*. It cannot interpret and reason, you yourself admit this in your post. We here at slashdot have all written computer programs. We know that they are just recipes full of bugs and special cases that nobody has properly solved. A car that "looks" only sees the narrow special case shapes that were programmed in, and even those it doesn't get right 100% of the time. It can't, no training dataset is exhaustive.
And your stopping scenario is bullshit too. A human can judge the unfolding event and decide if stopping is even appropriate. Maybe there's a kid in the back without a seatbelt on and stopping for the duck that's crossing the road would cause injury to the kid.
There's a simple answer to this whole problem. Google should accept the responsibility as the driver of the vehicle, and pay just like a regular person every time the car causes an accident. It's a simple rule, there's no need to change any laws or anything, and the potential liability on Google will keep them honest. They'll make sure their cars don't get into accidents, because that will ruin them. What more can we ask?
at a maximum of 25mph, you're not going near an expressway. Any accident you do have will likely be a bit of a bump rather than a crash (unless it's caused by someone else, going much faster, driving into you - but the risk of that is the same if the car you're in is autonomous or not).
We can watch Short Duration Video of this Google Car here
"I'm sorry Dave, I can't do that."
Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
So the technology is now there, but is there really a market for a car that drives you without your input other than the destination?
I think the summary has this backwards. Of course there is a market for a vehicle (let's not call it a car for the moment) that drives you around without your input, think of buses, trains, planes, taxis. If the price is right, it will definitely be a success - it doesn't really need to compete with cars to be useful, although it seems likely that many of those who think of their car as an expensive annoyance they have to have to get around would be interested.
But the thing is that this is still a prototype. The technologi is in fact not there yet - it may be in a couple of years, but we don't know yet.
IMHO the prototype makes sense as a statement and as a challenge. With no steering wheel, there's no 99% self-driving non-sense - they have to have a plan for all corner cases, even if that's something like car stops and is remote-controlled around obstacle.
I'm afraid your assertion is quite false - about 90% of all landings done daily by large civil aircraft (737 upward) is done by the autoland system, with the only requirement for a manual landing being to retain certification for the pilot.
> "I don't believe..."
That's not really a counter argument.
- Chuq
I don't believe that 700000 miles figure. Definitely not in real traffic situations anyway. Your message in itself even makes it really weird. So a car has driven 700000 miles without a driver controlling it. It has had two crashes during this time. Both under control of the human occupant. Well, gee... I thought it had driven 700000 miles WITHOUT being under the control of the human occupant. How the fuck do you want to have it?
Those two statements are not as conflicting as you seem to think. Google has announced that their driverless cars have logged 700,000 autonomous miles in real traffic. They have not said anything about how many miles they have logged additionally in manual mode.
...We might actually seem them outlawed....
The more likely scenario would be that as soon as autonomous cars are shown to be even .05% less likely to be involved in accidents, then self driving will begin to be stigmatized as "a dangerous risk", and soon after that outlawed completely. Particularly likely as Google can afford to create and push new legislation on us that serve Google's interests. It won't be long before driving a car will be considered a reckless act the way driving without seat belts is now.
I've been driving for over 35 years and have never been in an accident (when I wasn't in a sanctioned race!). Driving is one of the most enjoyable activities we have. I, for one, do not look forward to losing the freedom to pilot my own vehicle as I please.
Everything and its opposite is true. Get used to it.
Even for domain experts, we're talking about hard problems; problems hard enough that we've only recently been able to apply them reliably in the field. This is definitely a nascent technology, and while I think it will be a societal net positive (decreased accident rate, increased fuel economy), there's still a lot of room to grow and improve. I know I personally won't be getting one until the cost is near parity with manual vehicles, whether that be through insurance incentives or vehicle time sharing; or I become a bit too old to drive myself around reliably.
That is true, the video does not show autoland. But the rest remains, the plane "flys itself" along the programmed heading, speed and altitude.
The pilots fly the plane by programming heading, speed, and altitude.
This system could go haywire anytime and basically not return control to the pilot, since it is all software between the pilot and the hardware.
This is untrue. First, there is no "this system", there are several completely independent systems
that can be individually disabled if something misbehaves. Also, great care is taken to allow the
pilots to easily assume full control: In most cases, it's as simple as "touch the sidestick or throttle
levers".
And then, as the very last fallback, even Airbus aircraft have a "Mechanical Back Up" flight mode.
It is exactly that: No flight control computer involvement at all. No fun to fly either, mind you (can't
use the sidestick), but it is there, and controlling and landing the aircraft in this mode is trained for.
A human can see a train approaching a level crossing far sooner than a self-driving car... If the lights at the level crossing aren't working; will the human be sitting there wondering if the car will notice the train in time?
"I can't say the same for a driverless car."
Why? After the hit the mainstream you can say how good they are. Then make an informed decision of either letting the car take you somewhere or driving yourself, if that is still allowed on public roads. I'd wager after the AI cars come the human drivers will be out fast, because they will be the most dangerous things on roads, and completely unnecessary). I'm also almost certain these cars will have emergency stops, and emergency exits, just like every other machine has. There won't be manual controls besides the emergency stop button, as those are expensive.
I would say that driving in the city is way more complicated than flying in the air. There are a lot more unexpected problems that can happen in the city than in the air. A child isn't likely to run into the path of an aircraft. The aircraft in the sky tend to stay quite far apart from each other as well. Cars tend to be quite close together, as while you still have humans driving some of the cars, and other traffic like cyclist and pedestrians to deal with, there will be unpredictable movements made by them.
Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
Pumping gas is not a needed service. Anything can be made to appear like it needs to be done by a trained professional.
Car Ownership as a Service (COAAS)? No thanks, not interested.
Oh, well, if you don't trust it, I suppose we should can the whole project. I'll let Mercedes know that their automated controls for slowing down a vehicle to match the speed of the one in front of it, and their lane assist keeping distracted drivers from creaming minivans aren't effective enough, even though they haven't caused any issues yet.
Watch for Penguins, they eat Apples and throw rocks at Windows.
I called google support for my nexus 4. The result was a very kind lady who solved my problem quickly.
There's a simple answer to this whole problem. Google should accept the responsibility as the driver of the vehicle, and pay just like a regular person every time the car causes an accident.
I believe this is actually Google's position on the question, that the manufacturer of the self-driving car should be liable for accidents, and that they're having a hard time convincing legislators.
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Add to this that autonomous cars would be able to drive much closer to each other on the roads
Possibly close enough to draft off of one another and thereby increase fuel efficiency. Given the right technology we could see our long-distance highways populated primarily by massive trains of vehicles inches apart and moving at very high speeds. The front and rear vehicles would still have to fight wind resistance, but the vehicles in between would largely get a free ride.
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A human can see a train approaching a level crossing far sooner than a self-driving car.
Why do you say that? LIDAR is quite good at detecting large moving objects.
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The Google car has done something like 700,000 miles and crashed twice. Both times this occurred, it was under control of the human occupant.
On well-known paved roads around their campus in that nice California weather. Call us back when they've done the same in snow, freezing rain, on dirt roads, etc.
Hell, my car's traction control computer had to be turned off several times last winter because it'd get so paranoid at the slightest wheelspin that it'd leave me stuck at an intersection if there was a bit of slush on the ground.
Google's ultimate goal isn't to build self-driving cars. Their goal is to get the technology off the ground and convince other auto manufacturers that it is possible so that people can browse the web on their way to work, and look at ads on the Google search engine. They didn't build a phone operating system because they thought they could do a better job than Apple or because Apple was doing a bad job. They did it to built up market share and mind share around their search engine. Google wants us to have self driving cars so that we have more leisure time in order to see more ads, or possibly to buy apps, games, books, and movies off their app store. This is where the real money is. Not in selling physical objects that take money to produce, but in generating revenue from a product that costs nothing to produce, and can generate obscene amounts of money.
Anthropic principle: We see the universe the way it is because if it were different we would not be here to see it.
1. That goes for manually driven cars too. If it has a kill switch your hacker could just as easily kill the power at a "fun" time, say when you've just pulled round to overtake a truck with what you thought was enough time to pull back in in time to avoid the oncoming. And what kind of idiot would expose the AI to the internet, least of all via wireless? Designed properly it would be a little black box receiving carefully filtered inputs from the sensors, providing carefully filtered outputs to the actuators.
2. Citation needed. People get squashed by falling loads which suggests that they aren't good at spotting them reliably. An AI? Don't know. But they would spot the child you referred to, and be tracking its movement and capable of stopping in time. (The radar is located higher up than your eyes, has all-round coverage and is specifically feeding algorithms looking for child- (or person-)sized moving objects, among other things. And while I don't know for sure about the pothole if the radar is any good it ought to detect an anomaly - which it can be trained to avoid. Best of all it has a better idea of where its wheels are running than most drivers I've seen, so the avoiding action could be less drastic (ride over the pothole not around it into the oncoming traffic).
3. Citation needed. The whole point of machine learning is that it can improve on itself. The codebase can be relatively small and very rugged, the learned behaviour can be more complex. Also, with the kind of high resolution radar google is using there should be no problem detecting pre-jackknife behaviour in your hypothetical truck.
Pretty much all of your post is unsubstantiated rhetoric. If Google turned up at my house with a prototype driverless car and a legal indemnity would I get in, let it drive me to work and have a snooze as it did so? Probably not today. But it's not like they're offering the public these today. It's another step along the testing roadmap. My guess, having followed developments in this area since working at a company doing early lane guidance and collision avoidance work in the mid 90s, is we'll see these cars, or their successors, on general sale in around 2020, in high end vehicle lines initially (think executive class motors like Merc E class, BMW 7 series, Jag XJ) and then in the consumer market around 5 years later, with the technology becoming pretty much universal in new cars by around 2030. It's not a question of "no steering wheel, no deal" - if you don't make the deal, others will so you'll still be relying on the safety of these computer controlled vehicles for your safety on the roads, just like you rely on the skill of other drivers at the moment.
To be provocative, I wouldn't be surprised if human driving of cars on public roads was outlawed by 2050, with old manual vehicles either requiring an AI / servocontrol retrofit or being restricted to track use. So eventually, if you live that long, you'll be required to make the deal or stay off the roads.
I've called Google more than once due to errors with listed phone numbers. (The phone number listed when you searched for one of my company's departments was a different department. You can imagine how annoying the flood of wrong "I looked it up online" numbers was.) The people I spoke with were very helpful and knowledgeable. I'll admit that finding a support number for Google isn't easy, but it can be done.
My sci-fi novel, Ghost Thief, is now available from Amazon.com.
At least put in a CD / CD changer.
Unless it was hacked, and now acts as an accelerator.
When's the last time you were in an airplane that had to dodge to avoid hitting a deer/dog/cat etc? /Not comparable
That 700,000 miles is on some very specific quiet roads, their latest literature says they will now test the cars on 'busy' roads.
I'm not against autonomous cars, I think they would be great for car pooling and (hopefully electric) taxi-cabs that cost > 50% less.
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I theorize that if you remove ego and ignorance from the equation, the flow of traffic would improve exponentially.
well we better have welfare 2.0 aka basic income to cover the people automated out of jobs also need single player healthcare as well.
One thing I like about driving is that I can choose my route. Go new places. Will the self-driving car give me any choice of route, or will it always take the same boring route to a given destination?
Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
I'm surprised people are talking about whether this should or shouldn't happen. It will. It's a given. It's only a matter of years.
US Politics is often driven by the reliable senior vote, and legal self-driving cars will quickly become legally available in Florida and other states with large retirement populations, and eventually in all states. Google knows this and is already working that angle, which is why the video featured the elderly and the blind.
Entire job categories will soon be wiped out. Taxi drivers will go first, followed by truckers. Other industries are less obvious, but will be impacted - some positively, some negatively. This will affect suburban moms driving their kids everywhere, pharmacies (prescription delivery), grocery stores (more delivery options), and even Home Depot (contractors spend hours driving to and from Home Depot and waiting in line).
Restaurants will be changed. More will offer delivery, and those that don't will let you send your car for pickup. When people do go to bars and restaurants, they will drink more alcohol than before, and may head out more, because they no longer have to worry about driving drunk.
The average Joe will have the transportation resources of what used to be available only to someone so rich as to have a pool of chauffeurs working 24/7.
Police forces will lose speeding ticket revenue, towns and cities will lose parking revenue. Parking garages in medium size towns will empty, and be replaced with other real estate. Commutes to work may lengthen, as people are more willing to endure a long commute if they can work in their car, or sleep.
Every car maker is going to start losing market share to Google unless they offer this. Google's head start combined with their better engineers means that Google might become the dominant software provider to cars. Unless car manufacturers come up with software that is equally safe, Google will soon start making more money per car sale than the manufacturers.
Security and policing will change. Suicide bombers can be replaced by software hackers. Drug smuggling within countries will change. Security guards will be replaced, in part, by cars with video cameras. Warfare will change, with drone cars becoming as ubiquitous as drone planes.
It might take 5 years for these cars to be road legal for non-licensed adults (like the elderly who can't drive). But once that happens, within 10 years all new cars sold will have this ability.
Do you have a source for this? This is contrary to everything I have ever read. Only a limited number of runways at a limited number of airports even have full auto land capability!
How do autopilots in airplanes work? They work on the assumption that they have a clear path along their assigned course based on the flight plan and when that assumption is incorrect (assuming the potential obstruction has TCAS), alarms start going off to prompt pilots to do something to avoid the probable crash. As long as the pilots and ATC do their jobs right, most collision avoidance is taken care of before the plane even lifts off.
This is very different from driving on the streets where there are no "flight plans", no authority managing space reservations along streets, tons of other cars, cyclists, pedestrians, intersections, etc. all over the place that require continuous on-the-spot adjustments to immediate surroundings instead of only worrying about probable obstacles 50km or 2-3mins ahead. Driving a car is a lot more involved than just setting a speed, direction and altitude to the next way-point and let the computer worry about maintaining those parameters between way-points.
Autopilots on planes are basically cruise-control on steroids: about equivalent to slapping lane-sensing cameras and front/rear radar/sonar to measure distances on a car and letting cruise-control handle speed, holding lane position and maintaining safe distances within that lane; basically, take most of the mundane part of flights or highway driving off the pilots' or drivers' hands - if they choose to.
Designing a car autopilot to handle staying in a lane for 300km of highway is a much simpler challenge than designing a car autopilot that can cope with urban and downtown neighborhoods where obstacles can pop out from anywhere with little to no warning.
I'm afraid your assertion is quite false - about 90% of all landings done daily by large civil aircraft (737 upward) is done by the autoland system, with the only requirement for a manual landing being to retain certification for the pilot.
Using ILS, I totally believe. Full autoland, i.e. flare, touchdown, rollout: I'd like to see a very good source.
Considering that autoland requires that the runway be equipped with ILS CAT III(b), this seems unlikely: China has one FAA approved CAT III runway, Hong Kong 25R.
There are none in Singapore, none in Thailand, there's one in Australia (Melbourne 16), three in India (all the same airport though, Delhi).
Of the 1369 ILS-equipped runways in the US (Excel warning), just 113 have CAT III (no idea whether those are level a or b).
Sure, most of them are at the biggest an busiest airports, but considering that an autolanding
plane severely limits a runway's capacity due to increased spacing requirements, I doubt ATC
would be too happy to accomodate lots of autolands especially on those.
They just don't have the timeslots.
[citation needed]
IAAPilot, though not of the big ones. My understanding is that this is totally false. Autoland (ILS CATIII) requires a specially equipped runway, airplane, and crew (training) and each of these must be kept certified to do it as well. By no means all runways, airports, and crews are certified to do this - in the case of runways, most are not, even of those that the commercial operators fly to.
It's true that many approaches are done automatically, but an approach is most definitely NOT a landing. A dinky little Cessna may have an autopilot sophisticated enough to follow a glideslope down, but it'll disconnect at the DH just like a 787 will (without a CATIII ILS). The last several hundred feet (of altitude) are almost always flown manually, and to be frank, that's the hard part.
Where did this meme come from? Airline pilots most definitely do still fly...
I have developed a truly marvelous proof of this comment, which this signature is too narrow to contain.
Fine in Urban and Suburban, but what about Rural? I live near Newark NJ, and yet, with a 30-minute drive west and north, I can find dirt roads that aren't on any map or GPS.
Outside of the USA, I've driven in Curacao -- once you're off the main road, it's nothing but a dusty trail that leads to communities of poor living in shacks. There are roads in the USA that are inaccessible to anything other than a lifted, 4-wheel drive vehicle.
And I've driven places where there's no road, you're essentially making your own path, and hoping you don't tear anything critical off the vehicle as you crush vegetation beneath you.
In the USA southwest, there's no actual road, you're just tooling around in a buggy as you climb rocks and hop over sand dunes in the desert.
Fine, you've got an autonomous car -- but it's incapable of going everywhere some other vehicles do.
If telephones are outlawed, then only outlaws will have telephones.
elevators also have manual controls for maintenance as well.
Google's test vehicles have done 700,000+ miles on cherry-picked quiet roads that have been 3d digitally mapped extensively. They say they are about to test their cars on 'busy' roads now. So reset that "nearly half a million mile" counter to near zero.
You seem to be more confident than Google - they will be trialling their cars at 25mph, so much for the quick reaction times everyone is going on about.
It seems to me that a lot of people have jumped to the fallacious conclusion that hi-quality imaging and fast computer processing = good quality recognition and response time, it doesn't - as shown by the fact that the drivers have had to take control of the cars on occasion. I'd love to hear why the drivers had to take control and how often... and what would have happened if they didn't take control?
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Welcome to Slashdot.
Weaselmancer
rediculous.
Does anyone trust an automated car to navigate a narrow mountain road during an ice over? And without a steering wheel how the hell do you save yourself when that goes wrong.
An automated car won't be much help if you don't know where you are going. People often drive to a general area and then drive around until they see the place they are looking for. I often go for rides on back roads through the woods without a map, turning at intersections in a random direction just to see where it goes. It wouldn't be much fun if I had to plan it out in advance.
Yes. And if the pattern recognition of the software in your steering-wheel-free misinterprets said "other guy" and dumps you into a ravine?
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
Human level AI? I would rather not, most human drivers are bad. Try to use the cruise control on a crowded highway and you know what I mean. Just maintaining uniform speed is an impossible task for most drivers. Oh there is a minor bend in the road, I need to slow down, there is a minor hill, I need to slow down, look an accident on the other side of the road, I need to slow down.
In almost all cases a computer will be able to react way faster and with more precision than a human can. Yes there will be some minor flaws in the first systems, they will be systemic and patched out. With human drivers it is a gamble each time they get on the road.
Don't forget that absolute consistency is inefficient. I could make a cruise controller that kept the speed to within 0.01miles/hour, but that wouldn't be the best controller I could make. Cruise controllers should not be so strict- it is more efficient to let speed increase a couple of mph when going down hills, and let it to drop slightly when going up hills. The best cruise controller would be aware of the upcoming terrain and calculate the most fuel-efficient throttle position to take, considering the characteristics of the engine, vehicle drag, etc.
Even those who arrange and design shrubberies are under considerable economic stress at this period in history.
I'm sorry, why should I have to wait for something that completely strips a driver of control to become mainstream before commenting on possible safety issues?
And YOU may wish to wager on something like this.
Personally, I don't. Hence my distrust of a car that would bar any and all driver intervention in case of a malfunction.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
All you need is a hacker to drive these cars into each other and with no manual backup disengagement there's no way to mitigate a tragedy.
Sounds wonderful until it decides that the fastest route is through the bad area of town.
Or it decides that an address is about two miles away from where it actually is.
Or the road washed out and the car can work out that it can't go that way but can't route around it since the map says it should work.
Or it takes me to the foot of a two mile long driveway and stops.
All things that have happened to me with GPS navigation. Not saying we need pedals and a steering wheels to solve those problems, but they are a really good solution to those problems.
" It's Lufthansa policy
to land manually whenever possible, as to not lose manual flying proficiency."
And by possible they mean when it's clear.
Once visibility degrades to a certain degree, it's all autopilot.
Think about that.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
No steering wheel means cup holders everywhere, right? Next to the bar.
No they weren't. A few futurist talked about flying cars in a magazine.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
I don't think you are paying attention. Things are moving fast - Infinity already sells a car (Q50) which will do a limited amount of self-driving on the highway. It is sneaking up on us, your skepticism notwithstanding.
But the real change won't occur until some of these things get out there on the road and the actuaries find out whether they should cost more or less to insure. I'm betting that they gradually become cheaper to insure and that will be the real driver to adoption. I'm no better at predicting the future than you, but I'd be willing to bet that my children will be faced with self-driving vs non-self-driving as a real option.
W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
... and "I'm Feeling Lucky" button on the dash. It's not this car per se I have issues with, it's the ability of large numbers of them to cope with all the casual drivers out there and by "casual" I mean the ones who eat cereal from a bowl with a spoon while in heavy traffic, the ones who make that split second last ditch decision to get off that exit and the person in front of you who finally panic-brakes when the other 10 cars ahead of them were paying attention to the obvious, gradual slowdown.
"Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
No, my problem is a bunch of fanboys who are heedless of safety issues trying to push something ahead of its time attempting to troll me.
Chas - The one, the only.
THANK GOD!!!
The important thing is, that there is an easy and safe fall back mechanism for the automation in case of catastrophic failure.
In this case it is:
- cut the engine, apply brakes.
Easy to perform, even if automation completely fails and can be engineered with multiple rendundancy.
and stop on railroad tracks? death valley with no cell covage? in front of crack house? on drawbridge? on one lane ramp blocking it?
CAT III landing require autopilot, as per guidelines.
CAT III weather minima do not provide sufficient visual references to allow a manual landing to be made. CAT III minima depend on roll-out control and redundancy of the autopilot. because they give only enough time for the pilot to decide whether the aircraft will land in the touchdown zone (basically CAT IIIa) and to ensure safety during rollout (basically CAT IIIb). Therefore an automatic landing system is mandatory to perform Category III operations.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
His attack, if you want to call it that, was pertinent to the discussion and so by definition was not an ad hominem.
I, for one, would love to hear your explanation of how accusing someone of being a cave-dweller because they do not believe a certain technology has yet developed to the point where it is feasible is "pertinent to the discussion."
Or any discussion, for that matter.
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
from Nashua NH to Plymouth MA on surface streets only thru Boston and I'll bite.
"Win treats sysadmins better than users. Mac treats users better than sysadmins. Linux treats everyone like sysadmins."
Everyone seems to be missing the point that Google built this as a prototype to show off its technology. It has no plans to actually build these things commercially and get into the auto business. They want real auto manufacturers to adapt Google's tech into their cars. So forget about the lack of a steering wheel, brakes, or a stereo. Google is just trying to show that it isn't necessary. It would be up to the car manufacturers and law makers to decide whether manual steering wheels and brakes will be included.
Correct. This is why when you start to factor in density and miles flown, the safety difference(when you use death toll) is not better then cars.
Imagines if you only look at auto fatalities that happened while alone on a straight highway, or while pulling into the drive way.
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Efficiency has to take a bow to traffic flow and safety (or at least the illusion of safety), though. Slowing on the uphill will cause havoc upstream, especially if the highway is near capacity. This is why jams start at curves, hills, and "gapers". And like it or not, we have a hard upper limit to speed unless you want to get a ticket - and you can't just accelerate down the hill at will anyway since there are people in front of you who have finished descending the hill and now have slowed back down.
W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
So no more jiffy lube and maybe even you can't even change your lights on your own any more.
The Google car has done something like 700,000 miles and crashed twice. Both times this occurred, it was under control of the human occupant.
This is quoted all the time, but how do you prove it? The car always has a driver behind the wheel. What's to say that any accidents are blamed on the driver as a way of Google PR protecting their pet project while they fix the bugs (actually that's a smart move for them).
at a maximum of 25mph, you're not going near an expressway.
Which leads one to wonder, why did they put that limit on the vehicles? Is Google not confident that their product is ready for highway-speed testing?
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
One would hope so. It'd suck to have to go to your original destination without being able to change your mind, stop along the way, etc.! I can't imagine that sort of design being a beneficial feature.
Man, that sure makes me glad that computers are built and programmed by infallible gods, and not dumb humans!
Not that a computer wouldn't probably react better than a human in most situations, but rather, pointing out that "have a computer do it" is not a magical panacea for eliminating the possibility of human error.
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
speed limits will need to go up or they will kill the use of the cars.
I drive on a few major roads where the posted speed limit is 55 but the real / enforced one is 70
Even WITH steering wheels, these "self-driving" cars are fucking dangerous. Too many dumb assholes will trust them too much and just take a nap instead of keeping an eye on what the car is actually doing. And smarter assholes like me will have to share the road with said dumb assholes. I don't like the idea of having a car crash into me because of a buffer overflow in the car's computer and an idiot who thought it would be fine to lay down in the backseat and read while his car did all the driving.
SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
CAT III landing require autopilot, as per guidelines.
Correct.
CAT III weather minima do not provide sufficient visual references to allow a manual landing to be made. CAT III minima depend on roll-out control and redundancy of the autopilot. because they give only enough time for the pilot to decide whether the aircraft will land in the touchdown zone (basically CAT IIIa) and to ensure safety during rollout (basically CAT IIIb). Therefore an automatic landing system is mandatory to perform Category III operations.
Yeah. What's your point? Nothing prevents you from performing a CAT III landing
under cloudless skies in bright sunshine. You wouldn't normally do that though, because
it's a lot of work to set up and monitor, and just visually landing your aircraft is much easier.
The grandparent however claims CAT III autolands to be happening most of the time,
regardless of weather conditions.
I doubt that.
Yeah, it wouldn't work too well if I couldn't pull over to the QT to get rid of the coke I drank on my ride.
Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
You could also text HELP to **WOOSH!
Go on, citizen, stamp the vote card. R or D, your choice.
I'm a proponent of self-driving cars, at least in theory, but I'll be damned if I'm going to voluntarily buy something that looks like a super-sized version of the car my three year-old plays with. Can we get someone from Tesla to work with Google on styling, please? Thanks.
https://www.eff.org/https-everywhere
Even better, you go to work in your car, and then while working the car becomes a taxi and makes money for you.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
They used a "tiller" the first couple decades, like a rudder on a boat.
I'm curious how automated cars will handle heavy traffic. It's often hard to find an opening to merge into a busy lane, or make a left turn through heavy traffic. Would the automated car wait 10 minutes for an opening? Would it be able to drive aggressively to avoid wasting time like this?
Millions of people fly in airplanes every day that rely on computer controls
An 'autopilot', however sophisticated, is NOT a 'self-flying airplane'. There is a PILOT, and a CO-PILOT on board, and they're fully trained, tested, and qualified, and experienced to handle the aircraft themselves. The same should go for ground vehicles on public roads. I would NEVER get in a car that had no manual controls whatsoever.
Are YOU using the TOOL, or is the TOOL using YOU? Think about it!
Honestly, in my view, removing the steering wheel is a safety feature.
This car could provide a very important option in the marketplace for those with no ability or desire to drive a car but still need a car for transportation. And by removing manual control completely it clarifies many of the legal issues that our citizen legislator's in most states are grappling with for allowing autonomous cars on the roads. Brilliant move by Google.
And an interesting way to settle the issue of legal liability. If a car without driver controls crashes it is either the fault of the other driver or the manufacturer, unless the owner or driver of the car modifies the vehicle in a way that contributed to the crash. Licensing shouldn't be an issue either since you press a button and tell it where to go. And drunk driving wouldn't be applicable since everyone in the vehicle is a passenger.
The role of fully autonomous cars in preventing drunk driving alone has the potential to save over 10,000 lives per year in the US.
Because, as we know, every advance in the last 200 years that has ended an industry has caused an increase in starvation, a decrease in education, and generally poorer quality of life.
Whats that you say, its the exact opposite? Oh, well then.
A quick post on google's support group is all that's needed to stop the car in an emergency.
FTFY
Not much time,
Probably 0.5-1 second. Given thats 25-50% of the recommended follow distance, thats quite a lot.
computers are also:
1. hackable
Only if they do something exceptionally dumb, like expose the internal controls to a wireless network.
about 90% of all landings done daily by large civil aircraft (737 upward) is done by the autoland system
but an autodrive system with no manual override must be 100% fail-safe.
The final production version will feature a single "I'm Feeling Lucky" button.
Not to mention when they breathalyze it and detect that it has been ingesting large quantities of 10% ethanol beverages....
Hmm, the humour and sarcasm seem to have been be lost on you.
There are probably fewer legal requirements -- the car might count as a four-wheeled low-powered motorcycle, for example. (This could be the case in the UK.)
By the time a human realizes there is a problem if the automated system has failed, they'll be lucky to have enough time to scream.
That said, a big red "OMG stop" button wouldn't go amiss, particularly on the Toyota models...
I don't care if it's 90,000 hectares. That lake was not my doing.
At least put in a CD / CD changer.
People still use CDs?
Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.
Even assuming they solve the problem of driving in rain, fog or snow I would have a few concerns about usability if there wasn't a steering wheel and pedals.
Is there a way to go to some general area and hunt for street parking or a parking lot?
How would I tell it to use the secured underground parking lot behind a shop or business? How would I tell it to use stall #123?
How do I quickly pull over, perhaps because there's a shop or bank I see that I remembered I needed to visit?
I'm skeptical that a GPS nav-style interface could allow for these sorts of fine-grained requests, yet these are things that occur regularly.
That said, as a concept it's pretty wild. I love the space it frees up. It is thought provoking even if it doesn't become a reality.
the car might count as a four-wheeled low-powered motorcycle, for example. (This could be the case in the UK.)
For some reason, that sentence invokes the mental image of Jeremy Clarkson trying to drive one through an office building.
An enigma, wrapped in a riddle, shrouded in bacon and cheese
well do you want to pay $10 GB in data and $15-$20 roaming?
it better have XM as well.
Dave, are you a programmer?
If you are, what steps would you take to ensure that an automated vehicle would not allow itself to get caught in The Rolling Box? Let me go over the scenario with you.
You are cruising inside of a truck's slip stream at about 65 mph (automated vehicle, it's going to ride closer to the truck than recommended for humans by default and thus can take better economic advantage of the slipstream.) You have heavy bumper-bumper traffic moving to your left at about 75-80mph with less than a car length between them and a jersey barrier on your right, half a foot from the shoulder line so no room for your vehicle to go there. A Tractor trailer is coming up on you from behind and matches speed with you about a truck length behind the truck in front of you. Now they're starting a convoy shift so the truck that was in the tail for the last 10-20 miles will move to the front to start giving the front truck an economy boost through slip streaming. The truck performing the shift gets to be right beside you in his passing maneuver, and now you are in the kill box. Most likely, the truck will continue on and take his place at the front of the convoy, but at this critical moment when he is right beside you there's countless things that can go wrong, and every single one of those things WILL KILL you (especially in that little POS frame).
Another way to end up in the same box is to have a truck pull up beside you first, then a third truck will pull in behind you and complete the box... though this one tends to be deliberate and happens more when a driver pisses off a trucker... such as when a driver slipstreams a trucker without getting permission.
So, Dave. What does your car do? How does it recognize that it's getting boxed in, especially in the latter case when it looks every bit like the truck is just going to pass you and the truck in front of you...but decides to build the box instead?
well do you want to pay $10 GB in data and $15-$20 roaming?
it better have XM as well.
I just plug in a memory stick to a USB port. I think this is becoming fairly standard these days?
Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.
That these cars wouldn't exists and that all self driving cars would ever be was an autopilot to supplement a human driver?
"In America, first you get the sugar, then you get the power, then you get the women..." -H. Simpson
How about that truck carrying those huge metal pipes?
You, your robot car and anyone else is required to always stay at a safe breaking distance for anything in front. Legally, you should be keeping a safe distance *even in the absence* of metal pipes, so if anyone in front needs to break due to a sudden apparition of a kid, you won't rear-end them.
The robot car is less likely to be tail-gating than the average asshole.
kid decides to step into the road at the last moment, you saw him running down the driveway from behind a line of parked cars on the side of the road. Did the computer? of course not.
you'd be surprised, but that technology is *already* in production at several constructor (Volvo is equipping it as a standard).
Cars currently on the street are able to spot the kid and apply emergency breaking if needed. (If you ask: yes, that can currently be overridden simply by forcing otherwise on the car's gas pedal). In the next following year, such technology and other similar collision avoidance system are going to be mandatory for new cars in EU.
Now the small killer detail? You can extend the system by putting more cameras. Said volvo has also camera under the side mirror *constantly* monitoring blind sport all the while you drive.
Human driver? No way to graft extra heads/extra pairs of eyes, so only possible to concentrate and whatch one single target. Either whatch in front of the car *OR* whatch either of the side for blid sport *OR* get distracted while fumbling with audio/phone/whatever. Consumer level cars currently on the street are able to monitor all this *continuously, without ever interrupting*.
Did it see that huge pot hole?
Actually google's car have managed to total 700'000km without any pot hole-related problems, so one could decude that their solid-state lidars work as intended.
Speed is 'a' factor, but not always 'the' factor in accidents, although the cops love to say it is (to help justify keeping the limits lower so they can rake in more cash)
Speed *is* the dominant factor simply due to physical laws like E = 0.5mv^2 each increase of speed squares the amount of energy involved in case of crash, or kinetic energy that you must dump during an avoidance manoeuvre. (See comment above about never tail-gating to avoid rear-ending).
A computer can compute and keep a safe distance from anything in front to be able to break in case of emergencies. And unlike a driver who might get distracted (and hence needs reminders), a computer keep continuously keep an "eye" on that too in addition to watch for everything else. (Some simpler forms of this are already in production in automatic cruise controls on cars currently on the street. The only difference is that these car can only keep safe speeds regarding other cars [= They will slow down not to rear end a car]. They currently can't anticipate safe speeds for upcoming turns on the road, without having signs hinting a top speed that the camera can read [= they aren't able to slow down before a sharp turn]. Whereas google cars have repeatedly demonstrated to successfully adapt speed to road ahead)
If that aforementioned truck is about to jackknife
...which by it self would *NOT* be a problem if you kept a safe distance from the truck in front of you *AS REQUIRED BY DRIVING LAWS*.
(If you were stupid enough to tail gate a truck, you deserve anything that happens to you next)
(And the aforementioned collision-avoidance system could actually save you under some circumstance - simply due to having much faster reflexes than you and being able to apply emergency breaking before you even start to realise that you're on a collision course)
it might actually be more prudent to get out from around it which will probably mean violating the speed limit.
...again at which point you were probably already violati
"Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
The main issue is that a computer can not tell the difference between a child standing at the side of the road and a mailbox at the side of the road. Google does this by driving another vehicle along the road before the diverless car. If the object was not there the first time it must be movable. Computers do not yet have the cognitive ability to differentiate objects and predict what they will do.
This is progress. In our world of tele-commute always on cell phone checking suburbs we need this. The traffic in every major city is proff that something needs to be done. This could lead the way to better things. I for one am excited to see what this ushers in.
Autolanding is not a complex task. It entails beam following, speed maintenance, and a simple maneuver called flaring before landing. Another issue is that the aircraft is separated from others by large distances. This is far different than vehicles driving feet apart at high speeds changing lanes with traffic signals, crossing traffic, road obstructions, animals darting into traffic, etc. Landing on a calm day is easy. Landing in rough weather is much different and we still use pilots for that. Comparing aircraft autopilot to autonomous vehicles is like comparing tiddlywinks to chess.
The current technological hurdle is to get ATC guidance into the airplane's systems.
That has already been solved as shown by military drones. The thing stopping it is that pilots are still required when autopilot can not handle the difficult situations.
" They work on the assumption that they have a clear path"
nope.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Truckers should assume that they will be obsolete within 10 years. A truck that doesn't need a human driver can be utilized 24/7 since the driver wouldn't need to sleep.
They don't grade fathers, but if your daughter's a stripper, you fucked up. --Chris Rock
"My driving skills (or lack thereof) are a known quantity to me."
unless you have a way to extract you ego out of the question, no, it is not. You believe you know them based on self delusion and awareness of self.
This applies to every person, not just you.
Any given moment, there are areas you think you are perceiving, but they are just best guess assembly of what's there from your brain.
" Simply that I want the option to take control in an accident situation where the car may be malfunctioning."
as long as you are willing to be sued when you make the wrong decision, or you decision impacts someone else, so be it.
The current autonomous systems are more reliable then you are.
"As opposed to letting it drive me off a cliff or into a lake or something..."
If you manual swerve into oncoming traffic to avoid and accident, the the declension become hit me in head on crash or go over a cliff, I sure as hell hope you go over a cliff.
Because if you hit me, I will sue the fuck out of you... or my surviving relatives will.
See, an autonomous car can evaluate all those out comes in milliseconds. You wouldn't even be aware of anything outside you immediate focus.
Welcome to being a human.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
"Software means more things can go wrong."
software means different things can go wrong.
Which is why you have multiple systems with redundancy. Something humans do not have.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
Only as good as the programmer that programmed it.
You don't know how these systems work or are built, so you?
Whetever, you clearly stopped thinking about this past FUD.
The Kruger Dunning explains most post on
It certainly can tell the difference between a child and a mailbox. It simply looks for things like a face and limbs, movement (when does a child ever stay still?), infra-red signature and so forth. There are in fact manual cars that already do this as a driver warning aid.
const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
At least put in a CD / CD changer.
Use headphones
I imagine Google has thought about these, but I want to list a few special occasions that need to be thought of:
1. School bus stops - If the bus is stopped in the right lane and the auto pilot car is in the left lane, does it know to stop?
2. Police man/construction crew/crossing guard directing traffic - does it know to follow hand gestures / hand held stop signs
If it's following hand gestures, how does it ignore false input? You can try to go off of position - if he's in the middle of the road he might be directing traffic, on the sidewalk no so much
3. If it's approaching a stoplight that is out, does it know to treat it as a 4 way stop?
4. Gas stations - If I just tell it "take me to work" and "take me home" it's going to have to know to stop at a gas station at some point, unless we're all electric and just charge at home. But even then if I take a long trip it would need to know to stop at a super charger.
5. Crowd events - If I say "take me to the [stadium]" or "take me to the [mall]" it has to find parking, then it has to navigate the crowd on exit.
a) Is it going to know to stop so I can pay the parking attendant? b) I really don't care how long it takes to navigate the crowd coming out when I don't need to pay attention to it, but the guy stuck behind me might go insane.
6. Parking garages - Does it know to stop and get a ticket? I assume it would stop at the bar, but does it even approach the bar assuming that the bar means "I can't go that way?"
Does it know how to find the exit when I want to leave? Or am I stuck in parking garage hell? 7. Gated community - Does it know to approach the box on the left hand side so I can enter the number to open the gate?
8. On the long trip mentioned above how do I ask it to stop at the next exit/rest area so I can pee?
I want automated cars as bad as the next guy. I just want it to be well thought out enough that it "just works" out of the box.
I refuse to sign
Many support jobs are tipped out of the waiters take.
Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
I'd bet very big money it can detect the cop, as to the crazy guy, it'd probably treat them like a cop, using other clues as to the safe course of action (is another car ignoring the crazy guy / cop, are the signals one etc)
At worse, I'd think a crazy guy would be like a traffic cop others ignored, it's already needs to be prepared for that.
Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
You mean the airplanes that have people with a clear view of every vehicle for 100+ miles literally telling each one of them where to be? Where there are three dimensions of freedom, so two planes on a similar course can still be 1000 feet way from each other (and in fact it is considered dangerous to keep them in the same altitude), Where the vehicle density is at least four orders of magnitude less than cars?
Your ad here. Ask me how!
It certainly can tell the difference between a child and a mailbox.
References please
infra-red signature
Google car does not have IR sensors.
There are in fact manual cars that already do this as a driver warning aid.
They detect movement but rely on the human to identify the object, predict movement and compensate. Movement detection is simple. The rest is much more difficult.
DARPA Grand Challenge vehicles did that ten years ago. (I ran one of the teams.)
And the resulting firestorm of protests, lawsuits, outraged elected representatives, and people who hate machines will result int all automatic cars being banned.
Human behavior is fairly predictable.
The fact the Google engineers are unaware of it, is also fairly predictable.
-- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
Like dodging other planes on autopilot?
I don't care that it's only 25 MPH. I'll likely be buying one as soon as you don't need to have a drivers license, or soon after. My last DMV renewal I had to take the eye test again and I just barely passed. The next time I might not. The only reason I need a driverless car is when I no longer qualify for a license. Otherwise I can just drive myself.
Their current demo car does not do any of this. Maybe it can do this in the future but today with their big press release it doesn't do it. I didn't start off here as a skeptic, I started by honestly asking how it did this hard stuff only to be told that it doesn't.
It's Lufthansa policy to land manually whenever possible, as to not lose manual flying proficiency.
Nice! Respect gained for Lufthansa.
but an autodrive system with no manual override must be 100% fail-safe.
Why? If human drivers are (for example) 80% fail-safe, why is 85% fail-safe not good enough for the first driverless cars? It's still a real improvement that will still save real lives.
Stop the car. You and friend get out of the car. Pick up the car and turn it around. Get back in. Press "go".
So, no need for steering either.
I think you raise a few valid concerns (unlike some of the people who replied to you already).
For starters, who cares about all the "military grade encryption!" and "practically unhackable!" propaganda? If there's anything we should have learned by now, it's that just about everything out there that's computerized has been or is subject to being hacked into. If Google or anyone else wants to pretend a network connecting driver-less cars together is at no risk of a hack, just because of the level of encryption used? Then I'd have to ask why just about every credit card out there has been downloaded by hackers at least once in the last couple years? Are you say nobody else ever though to use military grade encryption and all along, that's been the whole issue?!
There's going to be a lot of motivation to hack such a network, too. (Think of all the people who'd love to have a secret "mode" rigged up on their personal vehicle so if they press a button, their car suddenly takes priority over everyone else on the road and forces them to yield to it!)
I will say, though -- I'm far less swayed by your argument about "owning your mobility". I think anyone buying or leasing a vehicle is already doing that, regardless of how the driving is accomplished. You're expressing your freedom by telling your car where to go and when, just like you are when you get behind the wheel and drive it there. If you're referring more to wanting to drive off-road? Well, I think there's going to continue to be a demand for manually driven vehicles for off-road use (like Jeeps) -- where they'll probably operate in a driver-less mode OR manual control. But statistically., the majority of people who buy an off-road vehicle never even use it off of the public streets ..... so it's truthfully only a niche market who cares about that capability.
There's nothing wrong with my judgment, except its speed. A computer can evaluate the situation and make decisions a whole lot faster than I am.
There's situations where my judgment works very well (I've identified people who were going to jaywalk right in front of me at times) and better than a computer. When an accident is happening isn't one of those times.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
NT
AC is George Babbit from Zenith, Winnemac.
They feared that it could be used to suppress protest or support unpopular rule.
It's not that they don't know how to do this kind of thing, it's just that they can't do it perfectly yet. They are not going to claim such features, let alone let them out in the wild until they can do much, much better than the average driver. Self-parking technology, for example, already exists on the streets and works pretty well, but still requires at least a minimum of driver interaction (e.g. you have to tell it where to park and line it up). But even with current technology there are plenty of workarounds that will extend the usefulness of these cars, e.g. when it takes you to any number of known lots it doesn't even have to navigate a complex garage to find an open spot, it can just drop you and then go wait in a designated area with all the other driverless cars (just as chauffeurs commonly do).
No it's not, because that's what "minimums" means. Read http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I.... The ILS only gets you so far, below that you have to fly the airplane the last 2-100ft (for CAT1/2 systems respectively) since the localizer/glideslope isn't precise enough at such a low altitude. Remember, the localizer/glideslope array isn't on the runway, and you'd really rather not fly into it... Keep in mind that a plane will be many thousands of feet away from the runway threshold at 100 feet (1908 feet, for a standard 3 degree glideslope) - in the plane I fly at the airport I fly from, 100ft has you over a building - you still have a parking lot, road, fence, and ~400ft of grass and maneuvering area before the threshold. Radar altimeter doesn't help you with your touchdown point.
I have developed a truly marvelous proof of this comment, which this signature is too narrow to contain.
Whoosh
Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
Um, apparently you really like Ubuntu?
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
You're dead wrong. I fly a 737 800 hours a year for a major airline in the U.S., and you know how many autolands I've done this year? ZERO. You know how many my last Captain did? ZERO. You know where we do autolands the most frequently? In our annual cont qual simulator rides. You know why we don't do autolands? Aside from the fact that practicing takeoffs and landings so that when the conditions exceed the autoland limits (which on a 737 are a mere 20 kts. headwind comp, 15 x-wind, or 10 tail) we can still safely do it? Because about half the commercial airports in the US don't HAVE suitable faculties for an autoland. Forget other countries. And the ones that do? They generally don't have the time to waste blocking out the ILS clear zones, allowing us to lock on to the ILS early and at book speed vs. what they need for separation unless the conditions actually demand it.
You know, some day, they may have all airplanes autoland. The technology certainly exists. But one thing people like you seem to fail to realize is that not everything scales like IT, and the consequences in many other realms are far more severe. The number of practical, dirty, boring, expensive, bureaucratic details that have to be taken care of, all the things you hand wave away, not even mentioning failure modes and security analysis, will cost in the hundreds of billions of dollars before this can happen.
And, people like you blithely pronouncing something that is factually wrong and something that you have obviously no practical experience with like it's the truth - i.e. bullshitting - is really fucking annoying. Learn something about what you speak of.
I'm not sure it's any more effiicient to go slower down hills, in fact it is probably more efficient to go faster to collect that potential energy while supplying no fuel to the engine then go back down to cruising speed when it levels out.
If you think someone isn't free to have a different definition of "freedom" you may be a tyrant.
That's the correct procedure to follow and answers the question of what does the car do in the situation, but you completely missed the mark of "How does it recognize that it's getting boxed in?" It's actually a special case problem that requires intuition and human reasoning. Not only that, but to maneuver out of the situation is going to generate a lot of conflicting sensor trips that human intuition and aggression would ignore to get out of the situation.
The question wasn't so much posed as "what should the car do?" but more as how does the car recognize and react? What sort of If-Then-Else logic does the car need to perform to override what some of its sensors are telling it? There are rare times when throwing caution to the wind will save a person, and if you find yourself in positions where you need to throw caution to the wind to get out of a bad predicament too often you probably need to check and evaluate yourself, but how do you program a machine to throw caution to the wind when it's necessary? What happens when the chaos of the world puts its full will to bare against the perfect order of mechanical procedure?
Finally, there's your point of automate everything on the roadway. Yes, that would be ideal, and for the truckers that would complain about the loss of freight jobs I say change is inevitable; but you can't argue that at least for a while you're going to have automated vehicles sharing the road with traditionally controlled vehicles. For this, a solution needs to be made. Personally, on the Interstates I would prefer to see automation only lanes with their own entrances and exits that travel parallel to the non-automated lanes. This would eliminate the chaos processing the cars would have to perform at high speed.
What I'd miss most when diving into automated travel is the decompression that comes with my daily commute to and from work. That's an hour each way when there's nothing to think about but me, the road, and the performance of my bike while taking in the scenery with the four cylinders humming nicely at 2800 RPM, 5th gear pushing me along at 45MPH.
I don't care much about ubuntu, it just annoys me when people say GNU/Linux would be unix. Hint, it's not, it's insulting unix (and additionally it's in the damn name ;))
CLI paste? paste.pr0.tips!
The problem is that you confuse manual controls and manual control inputs. What type of control a person or computer uses is irrelevant. What is relevant is the mind making the decisions about what inputs to make. Computers are yet to be sophisticated to handle many situations as well has humans do.
Some humans. A huge proportion of mankind don't know how to drive. I don't. Most of my friends don't. Kids and handicaped people can't, legally speaking.
I'd rather have automated cars that can move untrained people, children and handicaped around, than have error-prone stragers do it (eg: buses).
Would you rather trust a stranger than a machine?
And then, let's not forget the traffic factor. I live in an area of my city (Buenos Aires), where it's faster to walk 20 blocks than take a bus or cab (about twice as fast, btw). On one hand, because there's a stupid amount of peolpe moving around here, but on second hand, it's because they're awfully disorganized and inefficient. They each want the shortest route, and end up clogging everything instead of coordinating for greater overall efficiency. Humans simply can't do that. And generally, wouldn't if they could either.
Simply put, having seen the arc of technology advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust an automated driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Why? How many plane accidents have been computer error and how many human error, in those 30 years?
Remember, plane pilots are well trained professinals. Car drivers, just about any random person you can find. So the ratio would be even more inclined towards human-error in car accidents.
Finally, would you rather trust a stranger than a specialized machine?
However, the failure mode needs to be something any random driver can recognise and cope with at need. Everyone who drives today knows about steering wheels and brake pedals. Changing the failure mode to some non-car-like interface is probably not a good idea.
No, we're not in direct physical control anymore, but when we step on the brakes or turn the wheel, that still works even if the whole rest of the control system is kaput.
~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
ok, I don't really care if you insult me then
"First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
Don't forget all the ads you'll be forced to watch on the way...
I have to say that I think your scenario is far fetched to the point of being absurd.
The very FIRST thing an automated car (or the programmer) would do would be to NOT put yourself in risky situations. IF the rolling box situation is common enough to worry about then the car would never get into the slipstream to begin with. Your entire hypothesis is flawed: you assume the car will slipstream because it can do so safely, yet then you go on to demonstrate it's NOT safe.
Ignoring that contradiction, the automated car can still do any number of things when it gets into that situation to minimize danger. IF they decided to put in special code allowing the car to slipstream they would certainly have a number of parameters for when it is safe, as AC pointed out. If the risk is too high when a vehicle is behind you, the car would back off and get out of the slipstream. If it were boxed in, it would see even higher risk and be sure to back off. This is not that hard. In fact, you don't need special "slipstream" code to do this, an automated car should ALWAYS increase the distance to the car in front of it when it is being tailgated and it will ALWAYS avoid being boxed in (slowing down so that it has an empty area next to it).
Even ignoring all of that, the automated car will handle the rare, rare situation of having an accident in the "rolling box" safely the vast majority of the time, it might be alerted to the accident up ahead well in advance and it will detect it on it's own far sooner than a human would. It will react to what all the trucks around it are doing and pick the safest option.
However, let's assume that in this rare, rare case the car logic goes haywire and explodes the car incinerating all passengers. The number of lives saved by all the common accidents that are avoided are well worth the occasional spontaneous combustion (especially when it's only people who knowingly take that risk to save a few bucks on fuel).
I admitted it my post because it's true. Computers are stronger in some areas, humans are stronger in others. My point is simply that the vast majority of day-to-day driving falls into the areas where computers are stronger. And the more computer-driven cars that join in, the more heavily computers are favored. And your possible problem of ducks and unbuckled children is actually a problem of HUMAN error, not computer. Put a seatbelt on the kid (as is required by law) and the issue is resolved.
As for liability, Google has already proposed exactly what you suggested. And all the current test vehicles are this way. Google is fully liable for any incident caused by their tech. The problem is all the other car companies. Ford, Chevy, etc don't want to take on that risk. Even if they're not making automated cars yet, they're desperately trying to prevent the car company from being liable in case they ever do. And those big car companies have purchased a lot of congress-critters, so there's a LOT of push back.
P.S. Buckle up your freaking kid.
This signature is false.
It's a lost cause using logic and math to convince some people that automated cars will be safer. They will always come up with one obscure scenario that computers just can't handle, but this is the first time I've heard of one with a duck and unbelted kid - that's original. However, if it turns out that there's a rash of duck/kid accidents it would be pretty easy for Google to require all passengers be belted while the car is in motion.
... Sorry Dave, I can't let you do that...
I don't disagree with you - I simply think the problems perceived by the racist/sexist muppet I replied to either don't exist or are easily surmountable in the near future (as the evidence seems to suggest). It is a nascent field full of interest and difficult problems, but so far they've done an amazing job of overcoming them, and show no sign of failing to continue along that path.
Congratulations... you have more faith in human programmers than I do, part of which comes from my consistently having to fix system bugs that are introduced both by colleagues and occasionally errors that I missed in my own code. Also, as a former professional driver, I used to see the rolling box scenario quite often, sometimes several times in a day (note that I'm not saying I was in the box all those times, though it has happened a couple times when I wasn't paying attention to their pattern). The "victims" of such did not necessarily have to be right up on the tailgate of the truck to be slipstreaming either. 9 times out of 10, the truckers in these incidents weren't trying to perform the box intentionally as it was just how the convoy formation was moving, and often times a quick warning on the CB was all it took to make the guy on the left realize he needed to make an opening for the car. The 1 in ten case I would usually hear one of the members of the team call out "Make the box" or something similar over the CB before the formation started. This usually happened when the driver was following too close.
And actually, one can be in the slipstream even if you're 500-1000 feet back from the truck. Pro-Tip: If you feel your vehicle doing a slight side to side shimmy while you're behind the truck, and you know your front end is in good repair and proper alignment, you're in his stream and sucking his fuel. The Shimmy is even worse on the motorcycle. You could be cruising down the roadway and suddenly feel the bike wobbling side to side on a windless day. Look a mile down the road, and there's the Semi that's disturbing your corridor. Get within a half to three quarter mile of his tail, and the bike is inside his stream and getting mixed up like a bird in a hurricane. Close to less than one quarter mile away from him, and the bike is now stable in the stream.
Actually, I just have less faith in human drivers than you do. All your examples show that humans are horrible at this kind of thing and commonly make mistakes that no production level self-driving car would even get close to. Your slipstream scenario is a perfect example of why we need to move to self-driving cars as quickly as we can.
Fine. You can have your automated commute, as long as there's still roads available where I can take my bike down and be in direct control of all 100 horses. As a matter of fact, all the better. The people who would prefer to be doing something else other than commuting can have their distractions while the car drives them down their roadway. It will open up the roadways for those of us who enjoy the forced focus of travelling down the open road, where we can leave behind the distractions of the rat-race for an hour or two.
I can't wait until I truly cannot go *anywhere* without it being recorded in a government database, or a private database which the government has full access to... ready for my persecution 20 years from now! Hooray for Freedom! Oh, wait a minute, goodbye freedom. Hello Stalin!
I've been on a commercial flight that auto-landed due to a low but dense ground cloud cover that resulted in literally ZERO visibility of not the runway (actually zero visibility of basically the entire city we were landing in). The pilot announced after the landing that it had been an automated landing. My understanding is that the norm is human landing unless there is some good reason to use the automated landing. FTR, it was the smoothest, most perfect landing I've experienced, and I've done a lot of flying.
My other UID is three digits.
Lol .. sometimes you just have to wonder at what people write.
My other UID is three digits.
Simply put, having seen the arc of technology advance over the last 30+ years, I still don't trust an automated driver system with my safety. PERIOD.
Yeah, I'm with you, in fact I still don't trust them dang new 'automamobile' deathtraps, that's why I live here amongst the Amish, ain't never had a high-speed freeway accimadent with our trusty old horse carriages.
My other UID is three digits.
'Are you living in a cave' is not actually ad hominem. Chas was overtly expressing an anti-technology viewpoint, based on no substantiation other than a claim that he is afraid of technology. In that context, 'are you living in a cave' is obviously just a pointed question intended to demonstrate a point: If he is fearful of technology, why not take that to its logical conclusion? (And that, given he has not taken it to its logical conclusion, there is a contradiction in his worldview.) Sounds like an honest question to me. If it sounded like ad hominem it's only because the shoe fits.
My other UID is three digits.
To be fair Chas didn't really say 'the technology has not yet developed to the appropriate level of reliability' ... he just said he's scared of this new technology and left it at that. If the technology is not trustworthy, well that's a claim that should be backed by something - e.g. pointing to the large number of accidents Google's experimental driverless cars have had for example (hint: it's 'zero').
My other UID is three digits.
It's not me I'm worried about. It's other drivers. Think about the average driver you encounter on the road ... sitting texting, or driving drunk, or driving recklessly, or putting on makeup ... I think, would I rather THEY be driving automated cars? Hell yeah. Over 50% of accidents involve alcohol - driverless cars can't get drunk, to start with.
My other UID is three digits.
Regenerative brakes.
I know tobacco is bad for you, so I smoke weed with crack.
Yeah, that's pretty much the secret sauce of hybrids. Might not work on a long grade, though.
W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
Given the fact that Google's self-driving car is heavily debated here, you will now have the chance to state as to whether Google's self-driving car would probably have the chance to become your next vehicle?? Please feel free to follow this link. Within the scope of my master thesis, I submit a survey studying consumer willingness to adopt Google's self-driving car. https://docs.google.com/forms/...