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Antares Rocket Explodes On Launch

sneakyimp writes: The Antares rocket operated by Orbital Sciences Corporation exploded on launch due to a "catastrophic anomaly" after a flawless countdown. No injuries are reported and all personnel are accounted for. According to the audio stream hosted by local news affiliate WTVR's website, the Cygnus spacecraft contained classified crypto technology and efforts are being made to cordon off the wreckage area. Additionally, interviews of personnel and witness reports are to be limited to appropriate government agencies so that an accident report can be generated. This accident is likely to have a detrimental effect on the stock price of Orbital Sciences Corp, traded on the NYSE. The Antares rocket's engines are based on old soviet designs from the '60s. While this is sure to be a blow to NASA due to the cost, it may well boost the fortunes of SpaceX, a chief competitor of Orbital Sciences. Both companies were recently awarded resupply contracts by NASA.

443 comments

  1. Flawless Countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Hey, at least they got the hard part right.

    1. Re:Flawless Countdown by BenSchuarmer · · Score: 1

      Tech1: "Ten, nine, eight, ... um "

      Tech2: "Seven, Bob"

      Tech1: "Oh yeah, seven, six, ...

    2. Re: Flawless Countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More like the final countdown, am I right?

    3. Re:Flawless Countdown by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      What was said when the rocket detonated? That part was garbled.

    4. Re:Flawless Countdown by Alex+Vulpes · · Score: 2

      It sounded like "avionics power nominal".

    5. Re:Flawless Countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Five is right out!"

    6. Re:Flawless Countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably something like "OH F***"

    7. Re:Flawless Countdown by Megane · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Lots of amateur videos linked here: http://spaceksc.blogspot.com/2...

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    8. Re:Flawless Countdown by penguinoid · · Score: 1

      Other companies run system diagnostics and verify that things are proper as part of the countdown, and then tell them if they are go for launch or should abort. Other companies would consider it a flawed countdown if the rocket was cleared for launch yet exploded.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    9. Re:Flawless Countdown by milkmage · · Score: 1

      10..9...8...7...3...8.. oh fuck me.

    10. Re:Flawless Countdown by wooferhound · · Score: 2

      Did he say FIVE or FIRE ?

      --
      We are Dead Stars looking back Up at the Sky
    11. Re:Flawless Countdown by Hognoxious · · Score: 4, Funny

      Other companies run system diagnostics and verify that things are proper as part of the countdown

      Other companies don't use systemd.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    12. Re:Flawless Countdown by kyjellyfish · · Score: 1

      This gives you a unique perspective: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    13. Re:flawless countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for (int i=9; i>0;--i) printf("%d\n",i) //TODO: or is it i>=0 ?

  2. ha ha ! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Offtopic
  3. AI did it by Raenar · · Score: 1

    Elon Musk was right, this is the first strike.

    1. Re:AI did it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      The office coffee machine is next.

    2. Re:AI did it by Megane · · Score: 1

      So much for those Russian engines. Maybe Elon could loan them his trampoline.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    3. Re:AI did it by He+Who+Has+No+Name · · Score: 1

      No, it will be the soda machine.

      It will always give you lemon-lime instead of orange.

    4. Re:AI did it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      obFuturma:

      Slurm Machine: I've got a big, big thirst for human blood!

  4. Orbital by Geccoman · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I have friends that worked on this rocket. Some were there for the launch. Orbital is going to have serious problems because of this.

    --
    I'm on a chair.
    1. Re:Orbital by brainboyz · · Score: 5, Informative

      Ya think? They're charging 1.9B for 8 launches, versus SpaceX's 1.6B for 12. Loss of vehicle on a production launch is going to rain hell on someone.

    2. Re:Orbital by Geccoman · · Score: 4, Informative

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      --
      I'm on a chair.
    3. Re:Orbital by dbIII · · Score: 4, Insightful

      They probably will but they shouldn't have serious problems just because of a failed launch. You can't progress in something difficult if every setback is seen as a showstopper, which I suppose is why governments have been prepared to pay the price of an occasional rocket failure while private enterprise has been steering clear of funding it up till now.
      Nobody went broke over Apollo 1. This is nowhere near as serious.

    4. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe someone will pay off SpaceX to match the success rate of Orbital. You know, collusion to achieve duopoly.

    5. Re:Orbital by erice · · Score: 4, Insightful

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      Well, yes, but that happens to everyone in the launch business, including SpaceX. Doing it on production launch is not good for business though.

    6. Re:Orbital by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I'm thinking more feedback circuits might be in order here. And before anyone says "weight is expensive," take a long look at the launch pad. Someone gets to clean that mess up.

    7. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That brings a bit of schadenfreude to me, since SpaceX uses a Siemens product that I work on (can't disclose specifics, don't have clearance to speak on behalf of the company - also why I'm posting as AC) and Orbital Sciences being a big customer for a competitor (Parametric).

    8. Re:Orbital by Savage-Rabbit · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Ya think? They're charging 1.9B for 8 launches, versus SpaceX's 1.6B for 12. Loss of vehicle on a production launch is going to rain hell on someone.

      “I guess the question I'm asked the most often is: "When you were sitting in that capsule listening to the count-down, how did you feel?" Well, the answer to that one is easy. I felt exactly how you would feel if you were getting ready to launch and knew you were sitting on top of two million parts -- all built by the lowest bidder on a government contract.”
        John Glenn

      I suppose buying from the higher bidder does not guarantee better performance. One thing you can be sure of, the bozos who gave Orbital the contract will be first among those to escape unscathed from this FUBAR.

      --
      Only to idiots, are orders laws.
      -- Henning von Tresckow
    9. Re:Orbital by glwtta · · Score: 5, Informative

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space.

      To be fair, the mechanics of the two things can be very similar.

      --
      sic transit gloria mundi
    10. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      One launch failure and you call the contract awarders bozos? The contract is to deliver stuff. A failed launch and loss of orbital vehicle is immaterial, except for the loss of cargo. The contract still stands and Orbital will have to deliver, kabooms or no kabooms. Maybe, as the autocorrect suggests, next time they should deliver kabobs instead of kabooms.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    11. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      CAD/CAE, that wasn't so hard now, was it?

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    12. Re:Orbital by deathguppie · · Score: 4, Interesting

      SpaceX has yet to lose a production launch vehicle. Odds are it will hit them eventually, but it's price to product. If your competition can't provide a better launch record for non-test vehicles then you've lost the customers confidence. I'd rather pay 134 million per vehicle than 316 million per vehicle if the chance of loss is relative.

      --
      once more into the breach
    13. Re:Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Ya think? They're charging 1.9B for 8 launches, versus SpaceX's 1.6B for 12. Loss of vehicle on a production launch is going to rain hell on someone.

      So did they think it was impossible for their rocket to go boom?

      This is dangerous, explodey work, and will always be. That ain't unicorns and puppydogs flying out the ass end of rockets.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    14. Re:Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      And it's not the first time they've blown up rockets rather than shooting them into space. To be fair, the mechanics of the two things can be very similar.

      Ach - and I can't mod you up!. This is valuable insight for people.

      Tha'ts damn near an explosion flying out the ass end of that rocket under the best of circumstances.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    15. Re:Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      One launch failure and you call the contract awarders bozos?

      It's a sad day for some of us, when we discover that the invisible hand of the free market does not lift a rocket into space.

      Private business building and launching rockets is a good thing, but there will be launch failures, most not at all related to politics. This can create cognitive dissonance for some.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    16. Re: Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More's the pity. And how cool if they could make rainbows come out too!

    17. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 5, Informative

      Contrary to popular bullshit propaganda, the popular U.S. rocket launches are all done by businesses, not NASA. NASA provides program management, mission design for their own payloads, and so on, but they were never in rocket-making business, ever. Both Apollo and Space Shuttle were managed by NASA, but designed and built by subcontractors. Launched too. NASA has more input into design of their science payloads, but even then it's design only, not manufacturing. That's done by subcontractors still.

      The only difference between the "commercial" launches and those prior to that is the amount of NASA management involvement. From the business standpoint, nothing much has changed between the "noncommercial" and "commercial" launches.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    18. Re: Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I wonder who pays for the lost cargo... I auppose no insurance company would do it.

    19. Re: Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      More's the pity. And how cool if they could make rainbows come out too!

      Only on the Teletubbies.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    20. Re:Orbital by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      Contrary to popular bullshit propaganda, the popular U.S. rocket launches are all done by businesses, not NASA.

      True, and most of that propaganda is based on typical anti-guvmint screed.

      Last time I checked, all those public businesses even in the 1960's made a bit of profit building parts for those candles.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    21. Re: Orbital by linear+a · · Score: 1

      I expect with some cross-insurance between carriers they could cover it. Question is however, since the insurance will be pretty high compared to the cost of the cargo, did somebody buy insurance.

    22. Re:Orbital by towermac · · Score: 1

      Bad comparison. Apollo 1 was new. Spaceflight was new.

      Launches like this are perceived as routine crap nowadays; whether that's true or not is immaterial.

      Well, it's material on these boards (for now), but not to the general public. I think this will hurt them pretty bad.

    23. Re:Orbital by NormalVisual · · Score: 1

      but there will be launch failures, most not at all related to politics

      Unfortunately, one American launch failure that resulted in the loss of seven lives was completely due to internal politics.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    24. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      The loss of Apollo 1 almost killed the entire project. 1) It set the development back so far they almost didn't make the deadline and 2) there was a LOT of "why are we doing this expensive thing anyway, and now we're KILLING people?" Read Eugene Krantz's book and it's there in other sources; lots of NASA people thought they'd be looking for jobs.

      Not only that, but it killed three of my favorite childhood heroes, Grissom, Chaffee, and White. Horribly killed.

    25. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >change the name of the company from Orbtial to Malaysian Airlines.

      No, because at least they know where the wreckage is. ;*)

    26. Re: Orbital by Michael+Woodhams · · Score: 3, Informative

      You can insure against loss of payload on launch.

      I would expect that Orbital Sciences is liable for damage to the payload and had insured themselves, but I have no direct knowledge. Even if they are covered for direct costs, it is still bad for them.

      --
      Quattuor res in hoc mundo sanctae sunt: libri, liberi, libertas et liberalitas.
    27. Re:Orbital by hey! · · Score: 2

      Well, I'm not sure we have enough data yet to make statistically valid characterizations of each company's relative reliability.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    28. Re:Orbital by penguinoid · · Score: 2

      Just say that Orbital offers a lot of "bang" for your buck.

      --
      Don't waste your vote! Vote for whoever you want, unless you live in a swing state it won't matter anyways
    29. Re:Orbital by wooferhound · · Score: 5, Informative

      In the news conference they said that the rocket lost upward momentum at 12 seconds and the Range Safety Officer pressed the destruct button at 20 seconds

      --
      We are Dead Stars looking back Up at the Sky
    30. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Assuming constant chance of failure across their rockets, a Agresti-Coull estimate of the confidence interval of SpaceX failures gives a 97% chance it is below 16%. Other posts below give that as the failure rate for Orbital Sciences in the last 5 years. If looking just at Antares, it would be 20%. In other words, there is enough data to be statistically valid (which doesn't guarantee being right though).

    31. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was either that or build ICBM's. I rather see them launching things other than warheads

    32. Re:Orbital by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 1

      Besides program management, didn't NASA also provide the funding for research, design and testing that went into the development of their rockets? If so, that's a significant difference. Orbital Sciences and SpaceX weren't paid to develop a rocket, they did so on their own dime (even if Orbital uses surplus parts for theirs), then offered rides to interested parties. Commercial launches may not be exactly new, but privately funded development of spacecraft is. It's a bit too early to say if that will lead to better and cheaper space flight though, but at least SpaceX is coming up with some promising developments.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    33. Re:Orbital by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      The NASA centers that buy spacecraft and instruments still do some in-house builds, partly to maintain the skill base so they can be smart buyers. For instruments they tend to build things that are first of a kind. But even in those cases they're part system or instrument integrator, part builder, because nearly all the pieces are purchased from outside shops.

    34. Re:Orbital by Kadin2048 · · Score: 1

      It's not a terribly serious setback in the history of space flight, but it could be a serious blow to Orbital.

      Their whole program is built around the idea of using old surplus Soviet-era rocket engines, originally designed for the ill-fated N1 program. (The N1 program, as a sidenote, is responsible for one of the largest non-nuclear explosions in human history when one of its launch vehicles had a failure shortly after takeoff. On top of a zero-for-four launch record, it's not the program I'd pick to emulate.)

      My understanding of the Soviet engines is that they have some design features that make them lightweight for their output, but represent tradeoffs not typically taken on Western engines, due to the risk of "burn through". But some people--perhaps including Orbital--thought that the designers had solved the problem and the risks were overstated.

      Too early to tell right now, but if the engines turn out to have a fatal flaw, that would be bad for Orbital. It'd probably be good for SpaceX, since they're the obvious alternative, but it'd leave NASA down one contractor for the commercial launch program.

      --
      "Ladies and gentlemen, my killbot features Lotus Notes and a machine gun. It is the finest available."
    35. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know you mentioned it not being a production launch, but even that is somewhat misleading.

      The hover-flight test rig that exploded only vaguely resembles a production Falcon 9 first stage, and in particular was not only running experimental flight software but it was lacking ALL of the redundancies (sensors, engines, avionics etc) that the production model has.

      Also, before that explosion they mentioned that they expected this test programme to blast a few craters, because otherwise they weren't pushing it hard enough.

    36. Re:Orbital by jamstar7 · · Score: 1

      Contrary to popular bullshit propaganda, the popular U.S. rocket launches are all done by businesses, not NASA. NASA provides program management, mission design for their own payloads, and so on, but they were never in rocket-making business, ever. Both Apollo and Space Shuttle were managed by NASA, but designed and built by subcontractors. Launched too. NASA has more input into design of their science payloads, but even then it's design only, not manufacturing. That's done by subcontractors still.

      The only difference between the "commercial" launches and those prior to that is the amount of NASA management involvement. From the business standpoint, nothing much has changed between the "noncommercial" and "commercial" launches.

      The 'commercial' launches aren't on a cost-plus contract. Any cost overruns are eaten by the launch provider, NOT the taxpayer. Can't bring it in under budget? Too bad, partner, we have a contract and have no problem suing you to get our money back.

      --
      Understanding the scope of the problem is the first step on the path to true panic.
    37. Re:Orbital by TapeCutter · · Score: 2

      Magellan, Columbus, Cook, all the great European explorers were government funded science projects. Same is true today, NASA and ESA are both in the space exploration business. Private sailing ships and spacecraft will always boldly go where government craft have already been.

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    38. Re: Orbital by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Blasphemer!

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    39. Re: Orbital by sjames · · Score: 2

      Yes you can, and at those prices you factor the insurance cost into the launch cost. The more times a payl;oad has been lost on a platform, the more expensive it becomes to insure a payload on that platform. So this explosion has increased the actual cost to customers of future launches by orbital.

    40. Re:Orbital by dbIII · · Score: 1

      but it could be a serious blow to Orbital

      Yes, but as I wrote above, it should not be. It's an example of a risky project (a new design of rocket) having to rely on the strongly risk adverse to continue. It's why commercial space technology is not going to advance much without some government backing. Even just insurance like the nuclear power industry gets from the government could be enough to make a difference and allow a few failures on the path to success instead of something nowhere near as good as we could rent from the Russians.
      So they are old engines, that's one bit of risk reduced but there's plenty of new things in that rocket design.

    41. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      That guy must have balls of steel.
      8 seconds to make a call on whether to blow up $1Bn worth of company assets.

    42. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      estimate of the confidence interval of SpaceX failures gives a 97% chance it is below 16%

      You've estimated that from 13 successful launches with one failed engine out of 130? That sounds a bit pessimistic to me...although I've always sucked at proper statistics (any good textbook recommended?)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    43. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      To be fair, the mechanics of the two things can be very similar.

      Indeed. :-)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    44. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      a new design of rocket

      I think you're being extremely generous with that characterization...

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    45. Re:Orbital by dbIII · · Score: 1

      Nowhere close to generous. It's not a modified rocket of another model, it's a new one with an engine that was used in another model.
      Car analogy: Early Porche 914, a very different vehicle to the Volkswagen with the same engine.

    46. Re: Orbital by Lonewolf666 · · Score: 1

      Depends on who swallows the cost.

      From the customer's POV, the logical thing would be to put a liability clause into the contract that says "you have to pay us $ XXX million if you lose the payload, and you have to show insurance for it". Then the launch company can hash it out with the insurance company, and the customer has less worries.

      Under this scenario, Orbital would either pay the higher premium from its profits or lose future launch contracts to the competition. Someone like SpaceX for instance.

      --
      C - the footgun of programming languages
    47. Re:Orbital by necro81 · · Score: 1

      Oh, yes, I am sure that the choice of CAD programs has something to do with the launch failure, or points to some sort of cultural deficiency at Orbital. Really, you get a touch of shadenfreude over that? How petty are you?

    48. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The upper stage as a whole is a derivative of the MX missile. The lower stage uses a Russian engine. So, well, the lower stage fuel tank is new. I guess that's enough of "a new design" for some people. :-) But I'm quite sure that SpaceX would object, pointing out their "throw everything out, start from scratch" interpretation of "a new design".

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    49. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      didn't NASA also provide the funding for research, design and testing that went into the development of their rockets?

      It a rather superficial difference. Whether you call it a "development contract" or an "orbital supply contract", doesn't matter much in practice. In the end, NASA's funds get the stuff NASA needs gotten into the place where they want it. If it doesn't blow up first, of course. The new-ish style launch contracts shift the risk around a bit.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    50. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      You're arguing against yourself, in a fashion. While those European explorers were certainly working for the rulers at the time, there was also a lot of commercial interests backing it up. The rulers were only as powerful as the commerce was willing to back them up. These days, it's completely changed: the "government" craft you allude to were funded by the taxpayers, their missions directed by government labs, but they were all built by businesses. Western government labs are not and weren't ever in spacecraft-building business, with very, very limited exceptions. There's a reason why Lockheed and Boeing have such enormous launch experience. It's demonstrably not because the government used to do any space work - those businesses did!

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    51. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      That's true, but it doesn't change things too much. The taxpayer still pays for the failure, just that it doesn't go out of their taxes, but, say, out of their retirement accounts that were partially invested in space launch providers.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    52. Re:Orbital by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 2

      There's a big difference between "we want to send up stuff, work with us to design and develop a vehicle" and "we'd like to send some stuff up using that nice rocket you have there". To use a car analogy, it's the difference between outlining the design for a car and asking Toyota to work out the details and build you one, and flagging down a cab (or buying a cab and have the driver set fire to it once you reach the destination, since these aren't reusable rockets). That's a bit more than shifting the risk around a little. That's my take on what "commercial space flight" means: private companies instead of public organisations leading and funding the design and development of (new) space craft, assuming *all* risk for the project and for market economics. It's not new (OS have been around for a while already) but it does appear to be taking off (ha ha) lately.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    53. Re:Orbital by RockClimbingFool · · Score: 1

      Orbital is using the Russian engines for one reason and one reason only, they are procuring them at dirt cheap prices from some oligarch in Russia. That's it.

      They can say how innovative they are, and how superior their design is, etc. But its all window dressing.

      They build a business model based on procuring unknown hardware off the back of a shady box truck.

    54. Re:Orbital by tibit · · Score: 1

      Everything depends on whether you can estimate mission failure probability from the engine failure alone. Other things can go wrong too. I'm always worried about the software destroying their mechanically perfectly functional rocket in the style of Ariane 5's maiden flight.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    55. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      I know that there are more components involved, but I was under the impression that these statistics are calculated from the reliability of individual components, once you know it. Regarding the SW...well, I thought that counted basically as a design flaw (after all, SW only has design flaws, it doesn't break or wear out). Accidents caused by design flaws are not random, they're systematic, therefore not subject to this kind of failure analysis.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    56. Re:Orbital by SpammersAreScum · · Score: 1

      Surly the RSO was NASA, not Orbital? And the figure quoted in the press conference was "only" $220 billion. Plus unknown damage to the facility, of course.

    57. Re: Orbital by smaddox · · Score: 1

      Statistical analysis of software failure is valid and necessary when there are inputs with random variation, as in this case. Accomidating for variance in SW isn't all that different from adding tolerances to HW. Thus, we could reasonably expect the same sorts of analysis techniques to be useful.

    58. Re: Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The Ariane 5 accident had nothing to do with "random variations"; a variable simply went out the range that was sufficient for an Ariane 4 launch but insufficient for an Ariane 5 launch (due to a wholly different launch profile). It was like using reusing the same truss that was sufficient for an old version in a new version that loaded it with twice the force. The same accident would have happened again and again. That's a clear design error, not a probabilistic failure.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    59. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That seems to be an estimate of rocket failure, not engine failure rates. And confidence intervals on the binomial distribution tend to be pretty wide. Wikipedia covers this to some degree, and I don't remember the last time it was covered well by an intro level textbook, without digging through a book shelf.

    60. Re:Orbital by fgodfrey · · Score: 1

      The RSO's are actually not even from NASA. They are from the US Air Force 45th Space Wing (I knew that was true at KSC and Wikipedia confirms it's the same group that does Wallops).

      --
      Go Badgers! -- #include "std/disclaimer.h"
    61. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The conference I watched stated that there was a first stage "disassembly". It also didn't look like self-destruct to me. There was a major explosion at the bottom of the stage around T+15s but no obvious sign of stage tank destruction, which is what I'd expect from a self-destruct (the slow-motion video after 0:40 shows the controlled tank destruction clearly). Also, something like ~0.7 seconds before the explosion, the exhaust plume changed (brightened) in a way that I didn't see in the previous launch (CRS-2) in the same time period - the burning was very stable there. Or perhaps the RSO actually pressed the button eventually but it didn't work anymore because hardware responsible for it in the stage was already out of order?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    62. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

      Well, where else would you find experts at blowing up flying things than in the Air Force? :-)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    63. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG STFU already. You continually correct any person who mentions this. It doesn't even matter but your assburgers just can't let you stop nitpicking stupid inane shit. You'll have to reply to this post too, I imagine, even if it's just with a hearty fuck you.

    64. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And they are making metric shittonnes of money, way more than you ever can. Don't be jelly, bro.

    65. Re:Orbital by dbIII · · Score: 1

      So, well, the lower stage fuel tank is new

      And the control system, frame, outer skin etc etc.
      It's like comparing a Spitfire to a P-51 Mustang (or even Spitfire to Lancaster bomber since they had the same Rolls Royce Merlin engine too).
      Don't make me wheel out the engineer versus programmer stuff, that's never complimentary.

    66. Re:Orbital by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      I've just found out that the first stage has apparently been derived from Zenit and either subcontracted to Ukrainian engineers or built in cooperation with them. So I'm not really sure how long you'll be able to maintain the metaphors, unless of course the P51 is a Spitfire knockoff.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    67. Re: Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you collect on time lost?

    68. Re:Orbital by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "If the chance of loss is relative"? You mean you'll take a half-priced rocket that is twice as likely to blow up, along with its half-billion-dollar payload?

      I don't think that came out the way you meant it. Weren't you trying to say that SpaceX is both cheaper and more reliable?

  5. Look on the bright side by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

    The ISS crew will get their pizza for free now.

    --
    Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
    1. Re:Look on the bright side by brainboyz · · Score: 2

      Delivery in 20 months, or your pizza's free?

    2. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First launch or it's free?

    3. Re:Look on the bright side by LifesABeach · · Score: 3, Funny

      ISS Crew: "We ordered Deep Dish, NOT Extra Crispy!" And where are the Buffalo Wings Dipping Sauce?

    4. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Delivery in 20 months, or your pizza's free?

      Except after 20 months the pizza has been eaten up by mold. On the positive side, perhaps the moldy decomposing remains of the pizza will lead to the discovery of new antibiotics?

    5. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If they ordered deep dish, then fuck 'em, because that's Doing It Wrong.

    6. Re: Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      There's no such thing as a free launch.

    7. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I feel bad for the delivery boy. He will have to pay for the gas from his own pocket because they most likely won't tip.

    8. Re:Look on the bright side by Nimey · · Score: 5, Funny

      ICBM silo art: delivery anywhere in the world in 20 minutes or your next one's free!

      --
      Hail Eris, full of mischief...

      E pluribus sanguinem
    9. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's thirty minutes dude... now where's my tip?
      http://designobserver.com/feature/blast-door-art-cave-paintings-of-nuclear-era/6697/

    10. Re:Look on the bright side by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ISS crew will get their pizza for free now.

      The funny thing, to me, is that the Antares wasn't due to dock at ISS until November 2. The Russian backup rocket that launched this morning is due to dock in 2 hours.

  6. There's a reason why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Proven performance is so valued in this industry. Saving some money here and there is meaningless when your total ROI is $0

    1. Re:There's a reason why... by TWX · · Score: 4, Interesting

      You mean, it wasn't a good idea to reuse those 40-year-old Russian engines even when two of them have been shown as defective before this launch?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:There's a reason why... by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yep. There's no such thing as a free launch.

      --
      Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
    3. Re:There's a reason why... by TWX · · Score: 0

      Budum-bum!

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    4. Re:There's a reason why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ukranian, not Russian. They're picky about that distinction nowadays....

    5. Re:There's a reason why... by grouchomarxist · · Score: 0

      Best comment on the entire page.

    6. Re:There's a reason why... by tibit · · Score: 1

      This was a fixed-performance contract. The only thing lost, from NASA's viewpoint, was some cargo - not a big deal. It's not like ISS is running on fumes, they can plan around a lost delivery. Orbital still has to uphold their end of the deal. The only people getting a short end of the stick are the investors.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    7. Re:There's a reason why... by tibit · · Score: 1

      Whoops, this wasn't an ISS cargo mission. Sorry :/

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    8. Re:There's a reason why... by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      I believe it was. I was watching NASA TV this morning and they were talking about how Orbital's craft would be arriving on Tuesday and there were some "consumables" for various experiments on board. I found an article here that mentions it as well.

      I don't believe there was anything in there that was critical for space station operations--the astronauts won't starve or anything. There's also a Progress launch planned in the next few days.

    9. Re:There's a reason why... by brainboyz · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Looks like they're headed toward being the same thing again, no?

    10. Re:There's a reason why... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You mean, it wasn't a good idea to reuse those 40-year-old Russian engines even when two of them have been shown as defective before this launch?

      [Citation Needed]

    11. Re:There's a reason why... by perryizgr8 · · Score: 0

      I believe it was. I was watching NASA TV this morning and they were talking about how Orbital's craft would be arriving on Tuesday and there were some "consumables" for various experiments on board. I found an article here that mentions it as well.

      I don't believe there was anything in there that was critical for space station operations--the astronauts won't starve or anything. There's also a Progress launch planned in the next 18 hours.

      FTFY

      --
      Wealth is the gift that keeps on giving.
    12. Re:There's a reason why... by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative
      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    13. Re:There's a reason why... by TWX · · Score: 1

      Heh. If the article implies what I think it implies, the engine that blew up on the stand was intended for this launch. So, possibly the replacement engine that was actually used in this launch (or the original one that passed) failed during the actual launch, if it was indeed an engine failure that destroyed this rocket.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  7. Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ooops

    1. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Kaenneth · · Score: 4, Funny

      No, it went boom, THEN fell down.

    2. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by NormalVisual · · Score: 4, Funny

      Actually, it went boom, fell down, and we got a second boom for no added charge.

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    3. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And the second was a big-bada-boom.

    4. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, it went boom, fell down, and then sank into the swamp.

    5. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then it sank into the swamp.

    6. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ... into the swamp. But the fourth...

    7. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And then sank into the swamp...

    8. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More accurately, it went boom, fell down and then went kaaaabooombabababooom!

    9. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      So it's basically a failed rehearsal for the upcoming Vanguard TV3 60th anniversary celebration?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    10. Re:Awww, diddums faww down go boom? by jpvlsmv · · Score: 2

      No, it went boom, THEN fell down.

      So, we built a second one. That one went boom, fell down, then sank into the swamp.

      But the third stage stayed up. And that's what you'll have lad, the strongest launch platform in these isles.

  8. Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The whole thing, intact, fell burning to the ground before exploding.

    1. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by TWX · · Score: 3, Informative

      Honestly at that height I don't think it would have mattered that much. Either the buildings of the launch facility were going to have debris rained down upon them from above, or were going to have their walls in the vicinity of the ground explosion absorb the debris.

      There have been reports of vehicles damaged, but I think those are erroneous, confusing the destruction of the launch vehicle with possible damage to ground vehicles. There shouldn't have been anything not inside-and-under-cover given the destructive power of the launch anyway.

      The ground explosion did take out two of the four towers around the pad, but I'm amazed that the worklights on the remaining two towers stayed functional. They were on through the end of NASA TV coverage a moment ago.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by PPH · · Score: 4, Informative

      intact

      Not quite. There appears to have been a failure/explosion in the vicinity of the engines. Either a combustion chamber or turbopump failure from the looks of it. From that point on, the whole thing just 'sat back down' (tanks intact).

      Good video of it on 4chan /pol/ and here.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    3. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by TWX · · Score: 1

      You seem to have some knowledge from whence you speak... Given the use of decades-old refurbished Soviet engines, would either of the components that you mentioned be a part of that old assembly?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    4. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by PPH · · Score: 1

      would either of the components that you mentioned be a part of that old assembly?

      Possibly yes. It depends on how much they 'refurbished'.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    5. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by gman003 · · Score: 1

      According to Wikipedia, the refurb consists mainly of electronics and steering mechanisms.

    6. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      Maybe yes maybe no. I thought so too on the first look, but on the second look it could just be a trick of the light in the dust/steam/ice coming off the fuel tank.

    7. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I'd hate to be the dog of the Precision Machinest that worked on those engines tonight.

    8. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There have been reports of vehicles damaged, but I think those are erroneous, confusing the destruction of the launch vehicle with possible damage to ground vehicles. There shouldn't have been anything not inside-and-under-cover given the destructive power of the launch anyway.

      There have been multiple NASA launches in the past, with the failure resulting in damage to ground vehicles (e.g. GPS IIIR-1). Due to some space and environmental constrains, there are some parking lots within range of debris. They keep people out of there during a launch

    9. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you know that it wasn't aborted by the RSO?

      In rocket launches there are a lot of distinctions between "do nothing" and "blow the thing up". Things like "shut off the engine and let it fall to earth in an uninhabited area" are options that are planned for in launches. Things like making sure that the area under the launch is empty for a fair distance from the pad are basic parts of preparing for a launch. In fact this launch was supposed to go up Monday, but a boat was within that area, causing the launch to be delayed a day.

    10. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by rahvin112 · · Score: 2

      There is generally a launch monitoring bunker within a few hundred feet of the pad. This bunker is populated by scientists and engineers during the launch so that they can abort the launch immediately if a problem develops. At least at NASA, these people drive their own personal cars to the bunker. The bunker is hardened to survive rocket debris impacting the building but the parking lot is just that, an open lot. NASA has burned up LOTS of cars with exploding rockets. I saw pictures of about 20 some odd cars burned right to their frames after they were doused in burning rocket fuel from a rocket that exploded. I have no idea who bought them new cars but I know I would have been expecting someone else to pick up the tab if it had been my car.

    11. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by PPH · · Score: 3, Funny

      That dog died 40 years ago somewhere in Siberia.

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    12. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by pz · · Score: 3, Informative
      --

      Put my fist through my alarm clock with its ding-dong death inside my ear. - The Blackjacks.
    13. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by mbone · · Score: 2

      You know that's kind of old school. There is this new technology called "digital communications" which means that they can read the instruments from miles away, removing the need for the bunker since the mid 1960's or so. There were no bunkers for the Saturn V (I believe the first Saturn I flights still had them) or the Shuttle - everything was monitored from ~ 3 miles away. At the Cape the Range Safety Officer looks at computer screens at the Range Operations Control Center at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station (probably 10 or 15 miles from the NASA launch sites on Merritt Island), and I am pretty sure similar practices are followed at Wallops.

    14. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Informative

      I received a tour of the restricted launch site areas due to my company have a contract with NASA at cape Canaveral. This was just after 9/11 when everything was shut down for security reasons (I have a photo of myself standing in front of the Apollo 1 launch pad memorial). The photos I saw were less than a year old. I can't say more but the launch was a failed classified launch and that may very well be the reason the bunkers were still used.

      I don't know why they use them, I don't know why they need to be so close but I do know what I saw. A bunker heavily damaged (and all the surrounding vegetation was burned to the roots) where the damage was very recent. He also showed us photo's of the burned out cars, minivans and pickups taken by our "tour guide" who worked for our company and was giving us a tour of the cape. I may have pictures of the launch bunkers somewhere, but there was one next to every cluster of pads that I remember seeing. I can't recall if our guide ever said why they used the bunkers, 15 years ago is more than my memory can handle for such mundane details.

      There is one thing I'll never forget about the cape though, which was how well preserved the wetlands are because NASA is using so little of the ground. There were alligators sunning themselves on nearly every road we went down.

    15. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So is it OK if we did it up and kick it?

    16. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet the blockhouse near launch pad 17a was used as late as 1997 when the GPS IIR-1 launch failed and rained debris down on the parking lot and even caused smoke to enter the building.

    17. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
    18. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by weilawei · · Score: 1

      The first explosion happened at 12 seconds in. Not 20 seconds. 2:56 == Launch. 3:08 == 1st explosion. It hit the pad at 3:16, or 20 seconds in. So, what you're suggesting is that the RSO blew it up at the exact moment it hit the pad. From the video, I couldn't say, but it sure looks like it didn't need help.

    19. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The chambers, nozzles, and the pumps are exactly the vintage parts. It's that pesky mechanical engineering stuff that Orbital Sciences and Aerojet didn't want to be bothered with.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    20. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      There were alligators sunning themselves on nearly every road we went down.

      All of Central Florida is reclaimed swampland. Any body of water of any size (even in Orlando proper) has gators in it. That's why every swimming pool has a big metal cage around it. During mating season, they often invade the parking lots and get aggressive. Residents are advised to check under their cars from a distance before approaching.

      I remember when I lived in Orlando reading a story in the local paper about how they have to do gator clearance before every shuttle launch. Basically they had guys with pickups whose job it was to round up all the gators in the area around the viewing area for the shuttle launches and release them several miles away. Some of these were more than 10 feet long.

    21. Re:Wasn't aborted by the RSO either by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      The gators were just an example, I realize that they have proliferated quite well and are no longer in any danger of extinction and if anything a pest now. It wasn't just the gators, there were all kinds of birds and other wildlife within the cape.

      Other than the small launch facilities and the roads they had built 50 years ago the place is pretty darn well protected from humans and there is extensive wildlife all over the place. It's probably one of the few places in Florida that because of security restrictions sees very little direct human impact which results in a flourishing and diverse wildlife population. There we so many birds (and such a diverse group of species) in the place it just blew me away.

  9. CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    no indications of terrorism linked to the destruction of the rocket.

    1. Re:CNN is reporting by Chocolate+Teapot · · Score: 5, Funny

      It was aimed at ISS, not ISIS. I can see how that could be misunderstood though.

      --
      Modest doubt is called the beacon of the wise. - William Shakespeare
    2. Re:CNN is reporting by Teancum · · Score: 1

      As if that was a concern at all. Geez, can some people give up on that crap?

    3. Re:CNN is reporting by TWX · · Score: 1

      Cap'n! She's taking quite a Wallop(s)!

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    4. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If Iran can take control of US drones at will I wouldn't be so quick to rule out terrorists.

      Sounds more like US hubris than reality.

    5. Re:CNN is reporting by TWX · · Score: 2

      Someone at the station must have been watching Earth II again...

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    6. Re: CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The rocket has spread Ebola into the troposhere

    7. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, same guys who confirmed that Ebola victims are NOT turning into zombies. Thanks CNN.

    8. Re:CNN is reporting by Livius · · Score: 1

      So... bad news for CNN too.

    9. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The top 10 reasons Fox news blamed for the failure:
      10: The atheists and their heathen agenda
      09: It was Obama's fault
      08: Punishment for letting the gays get married
      07: It was Obama's fault
      06: Science for meddling in god's domain
      05: It was Obama's fault
      04: Legalizing weed
      03: It was Obama's fault
      02: Trying to take our guns away
      01: finally, Obama's fault

    10. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      no indications of terrorism linked to the destruction of the rocket.

      Has CNN confirmed that Orbital did not make the rocket that shot down Malaysia Airlines Flight 17? Or did Flight 370 disappear off radar because it went orbital??

    11. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      (Heat) shields weakening!

    12. Re:CNN is reporting by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      The top 10 reasons Fox news blamed for the failure: 10: The atheists and their heathen agenda 09: It was Obama's fault 08: Punishment for letting the gays get married 07: It was Obama's fault 06: Science for meddling in god's domain 05: It was Obama's fault 04: Legalizing weed 03: It was Obama's fault 02: Trying to take our guns away 01: finally, Obama's fault

      You forgot to blame Obama.

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    13. Re:CNN is reporting by steelfood · · Score: 1

      It wasn't a misunderstanding. The CNN intern just made a typo.

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    14. Re:CNN is reporting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is there any indication that this incident was Ebola-related?

    15. Re:CNN is reporting by Teancum · · Score: 1

      While you are at it, you might as well blame it on the Zionist Bilderburger Nazi's that ordered the destruction from their Reptilian lair in Area 51. Any other conspiracy theory I need to throw in?

  10. Horrible track record by Beck_Neard · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Is it just me or is Orbital Sciences' track record extremely poor? Something like half their rockets fail and they give nothing but excuses. Their Taurus rocket had a 33% failure rate http://www.cnet.com/news/nasa-...

    It may be time to look into how they manage their company.

    --
    A fool and his hard drive are soon parted.
    1. Re:Horrible track record by Nemyst · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

    2. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 0

      This sounds more like kicking somebody while they are down... like a classic troll or bully. It also isn't half of their rockets that fail either, so back up your statements here with some actual figures instead of a three and a half year old article that doesn't reflect what the company is currently doing.

      Besides, Orbital is pretty much in new management in regards to the merger with ATK. Something like this might just speed up such efforts instead.

    3. Re:Horrible track record by msobkow · · Score: 1

      Given the cost of the payloads, even a 5% failure rate is unacceptable.

      --
      I do not fail; I succeed at finding out what does not work.
    4. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 3, Informative

      Given the cost of the payloads, even a 5% failure rate is unacceptable.

      Which is why you buy launch insurance in the first place. I don't know how NASA wrote into the launch contract about massive failures like this, but anybody who sends stuff up on rockets is well aware that they explode. It is the nature of the business. Those companies who haven't had a massive failure like this one are just plain lucky... and all of them know it too.

      Certainly a launch provider tries to do things that don't purposely cause a launch failure (the launch of the Challenger not withstanding), but anybody who claims 100% success rate and doesn't sweat the next launch is flat out lying.

      Otherwise a 5% failure rate for less than 20 launches simply means bad luck instead of incompetence. If anything, earlier launches are more likely to have problems because there are far more unknowns too. All launchers eventually have failures, and many of those failures are just as spectacular as this one.

    5. Re:Horrible track record by HannethCom · · Score: 4, Informative

      You mean like this?
      http://www.nasaspaceflight.com...

      Two of their engines have blown caught fire, or blown up on the test harness. This adds a third explosion. They have successfully launched 3 times. Thus 3 time engines have blown up and 3 successful launches. Depending on how you look at this you will get different percentages.

      4 engines have been destroyed, 6 have operated to their objective. You could also look at it as there are 3 disasters and 3 successes. You could also look at it that there have been 3 successful launches and 1 failed launch.

      The way I look at it is that Orbital has cost NASA probably a few billion dollars in failures, and thousands of man hours. Two of those failures have been this year. I would call that pretty abysmal.

      --
      Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon what's the difference? All steal money from devs and control with walled gardens.
    6. Re:Horrible track record by arth1 · · Score: 4, Funny

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

      One two boom four boom boom seven eight nine boom...

    7. Re:Horrible track record by arth1 · · Score: 1

      Which is why you buy launch insurance in the first place.

      Given the track record, the insurance premium must be in the vicinity of 50% of the payload cost.

      But even if you have insurance, you can't get the missed window back. And in the case of manned launches, the humans.

    8. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Their minotaur series had at least 25 launches with no failures. The Taurus/Minotaur-C had 3 failures in 9 launches, and the Antares had one failure in 5 launches.

    9. Re:Horrible track record by pavon · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Nobody includes failures during component testing into the failure rate of a rocket. Doing so is completely meaningless and disingenuous.

    10. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seem to remember a SpaceX rocket accidentally self destructing recently. And people have died serving NASA missions. Tell me who has this illusive awesome track record you are looking for?

    11. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 2

      Given the track record, the insurance premium must be in the vicinity of 50% of the payload cost.

      Shows what you know about satellite payload insurance and how it applies to the vehicles made by Orbital Science.

      It isn't half of the launches that have failed either... that was a statistic made up out of the GP's hind end and not based upon facts.

    12. Re:Horrible track record by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      I seem to remember a SpaceX rocket accidentally self destructing recently. And people have died serving NASA missions. Tell me who has this illusive awesome track record you are looking for?

      It was a test vehicle that self-destructed, and not a full rocket. The test vehicle did not have all of the redundancies of the production rocket. A single sensor failure stopped the rocket. In the real rocket, there are multiple redundant sensors from which the control systems constantly poll...if one goes, the computer ignores it in favor of the other working sensors.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    13. Re:Horrible track record by NormalVisual · · Score: 2

      "Innovation You Can Count On, But Too Many Pieces To Count"

      --
      Please stand clear of the doors, por favor mantenganse alejado de las puertas
    14. Re:Horrible track record by sconeu · · Score: 4, Funny

      Kind of like Toyota's slogan

      "Toyota... Moving forward.... Even when you're jamming on the brakes!"

      --
      General Relativity: Space-time tells matter where to go; Matter tells space-time what shape to be.
    15. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

      To be fair, the countdown went quite well.

    16. Re:Horrible track record by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      It also isn't half of their rockets that fail either [...]

      It's that half their rockets succeed. You need to be more optimistic!

    17. Re:Horrible track record by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      Compare your post with this one which gives a success rate of 84%:

      I'm confused.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    18. Re:Horrible track record by Dereck1701 · · Score: 2

      The minotaur series was basically a bunch of mothballed US ICBM & rocket hardware bolted together. Almost half of the launches were suborbital, and those that weren't were quite small for satellites, most less than half the weight of the Mars Science Lab rover. I suppose its nice that they're using up the old military stocks, but there's a big difference between using old military hardware that cost massive amounts of money to develop and was created with the major safety margins required for carrying nuclear warheads and building your own rocket system.

    19. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is it just me or is Orbital Sciences' track record extremely poor? Something like half their rockets fail and they give nothing but excuses. Their Taurus rocket had a 33% failure rate http://www.cnet.com/news/nasa-...

      It may be time to look into how they manage their company.

      Thank you for your correct spelling of 'their' on the internet. It is refreshing to see correct spelling. Again, I thank you.

    20. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not a cost-plus contract, so how do you come to the conclusion that it cost NASA anything more than the cargo?

    21. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well given that it was a test of the identical engine that's used on this vehicle just to get more experience under their belts and characterize the engine, it does seem to be relevant. Now, the results of that failure analysis haven't been released, so it may have been a leak in the test stand or something, but to say it's not relevant is silly because it was a test to test out how well they know the engine that they've been using.

    22. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, they were not designing a rocket. They were testing out the old stock. It is a bit disconcerting that they would blow up on the test harness, isn't it?

    23. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's even worse when you notice that their tagline is "Innovation You Can Count On."

      To be fair, the countdown went flawlessly.

    24. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No boom. Wait... no boom?

      (I'll let someone else do the obligatory B5 link)

    25. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except of course that Orbital's launch failures are actually due to failures in Orbital's vehicles.

    26. Re:Horrible track record by tburkhol · · Score: 1

      The 84% success rate is for Minotaur and Pegasus rockets (old US ICBMs and a fancy cruise missile) The 50-75% success rate is for Antares (surplus Soviet space rockets). To get all the way down to 50%, you have to include events where the surplus engines failed during testing without destroying a payload. But honestly, given sample sizes of 20 and 4, I don't think anyone would claim that 84% and 75% are actually different.

    27. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Toyota... Moving forward.... Because that's the accelerator dummy"

      FTFY

    28. Re:Horrible track record by worf_mo · · Score: 1

      They must be referring to the "flawless countdown" part.

    29. Re:Horrible track record by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The original post starting this thread wasn't clear on what set of launches they were referring to when they said nearly "half" of the rockets failed. You can exclude those and still not get close to half.

    30. Re:Horrible track record by arth1 · · Score: 1

      Shows what you know about satellite payload insurance and how it applies to the vehicles made by Orbital Science.

      It isn't half of the launches that have failed either... that was a statistic made up out of the GP's hind end and not based upon facts.

      Shows how little you know about insurance. The smaller the risk pool and higher the standard deviation and smaller the confidence rate, the larger margin is needed, and the higher the premium is going to be. A guess at ~50% was based on a much lower failure rate.

      In reality, it would surprise me if most of the cargo was insured. For the government owned parts of the payload, no, as the government is its own insurer.

    31. Re:Horrible track record by Teancum · · Score: 1

      I would think that an insurance actuarialist would get the numbers down much better than somebody speculating about the whole thing based off of some slashdot posts.

      Besides, Orbital already stated that this flight was insured. It also has a whole bunch of secondary payloads for which insurance claims will be made. There is an insurance industry specializing in launch risk insurance, as commercial spaceflight is a multi-billion dollar industry at the moment and likely to expand. Some companies like Sea Launch have seen premiums rise dramatically as they are trying to get their launch vehicles improved, but it isn't like this was the first launch of a commercial satellite where insurance was used.

    32. Re:Horrible track record by bitingduck · · Score: 1

      3% to 5% failure rate is about typical for more reliable launch vehicles.

      It's not like airplane flight yet.

    33. Re:Horrible track record by steelfood · · Score: 1

      "Let's go places...whether you want to or not."

      --
      "If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be."
    34. Re:Horrible track record by cavebison · · Score: 1

      > Is it just me or is Orbital Sciences' track record extremely poor?

      I guess it's both of you then. :)

    35. Re:Horrible track record by Xest · · Score: 1

      Why not?

      If company A has 0 out of 3 failures in testing and 0 out of 3 failures in production and company B has 2 out of 3 failures in testing and 0 out of 3 failures in production are you seriously telling me you'd still treat them equally? I know I wouldn't - company A's path from theory to practice was clearly more on the money than company B's.

      If I've learnt anything in software it's that software that has loads of issues during development and testing is inevitably more troublesome in production than software that made it through testing absolutely fine. The same applies here - failures are failures, it doesn't matter where they occur. One can reasonably argue not to write something off because it failed in testing claiming it's fixed for production, but multiple failures in testing still have to be considered. It'd be lunacy not to.

  11. How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    I mean it's not like it's rocket science...

    1. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Ashenkase · · Score: 1

      Nope, its rocket surgery.

    2. Re:How could they mess this up??! by savuporo · · Score: 4, Informative

      This might sound strange, but there is very little science in rockets. Its mostly engineering, QA, process management and such. Also, accounting.

      --
      http://validator.w3.org/check?uri=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.slashdot.org Errors found while checking this document as HTML5!
    3. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From Wikipedia:
      "Orbital was founded and incorporated in 1982 by three friends who had met earlier while at Harvard Business School"
      Do not expect science, just profit margins.

    4. Re:How could they mess this up??! by PPH · · Score: 1

      Are we certain it wasn't the Dunning-Kruger school of business?

      --
      Have gnu, will travel.
    5. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is still plenty of science in rockets, just not on the production units, like with most technologies. This varies from the more glamorous work on things like ion and plasma based engines to more "mundane" stuff like material science, control theory, and other aspects of trying to develop higher performance engines.

    6. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Woek · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up, completely agree! (MSc Aerospace Engineering)

    7. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Math is a science
      Physics is a science
      Engineering is a science
      And so is Accounting

    8. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As somebody currently in school for aerospace engineering I really hate the term rocket science.

    9. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Only geekoid gets to trot that DK bullshit out. Back to the basement with you!

    10. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Disagree (PhD Physics, working on engine design with science grant)

    11. Re:How could they mess this up??! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That thing you heard going over your head was not an NK-33 rocket engine.

  12. Send them to China or India for training by Chipmunk100 · · Score: 1

    May be Orbital Sciences should consider sending their people to China or India for advanced training.

    1. Re:Send them to China or India for training by Ashenkase · · Score: 1

      China and India have had their share of mishaps over the years.

      China: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v... (watch out the volume is jacked)
      India: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

      This is the cost of doing business, when something goes wrong it goes spectacularly wrong.

    2. Re:Send them to China or India for training by the+gnat · · Score: 1

      The Chinese launch failure was especially disastrous because it crashed in a populated (civilian) area. At least most of the launch failures haven't been fatal (Challenger being the obvious exception).

    3. Re:Send them to China or India for training by Rick+in+China · · Score: 1

      The problem is any launch in China that fails will smoke some people on the ground. There are people on the ground _everywhere_. :D

  13. Rocketry is Hard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This is hard stuff and there will be set backs. I want as many competitors to succeed as possible. I hope they keep trying and have more success.

    As much as I think Elon Musk is cool guy right now, I don't want his companies to have a monopoly on commercial space flight, solar power and electric cars 20 years from now.

  14. Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Soviet designs from the 60s, but Russian rockets are our only ride now. Aren't those also based on Soviet designs, possibly also from the 60s? If it's not a design flaw, maybe there's something about the Soviet/Russian construction process that's missing. It's probably like having somebody's cookie recipe. You swear you followed it; but your kitchen is different. There are timings and processes that the person who gave you the recipe isn't even aware of; because they're subconscious. If they find a cause, I bet it boils down to something like, "well of course we case harden those gears after we fit them, it was just the way things were done and nobody ever thought about it".

    1. Re:Designs from what? by thrich81 · · Score: 1

      I think the engines at least are not just based on Soviet designs but are actual Soviet hardware from the 60's and 70s. Leftover KN-33 engines reconditioned in the US by Aerojet and redesignated as AJ26-62. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/N... I can't say anything about whether that is good or bad for reliability.

    2. Re:Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends, there's a Soviet rocket (the N1) that was, if I recall correctly, more advanced than anything the US could field but the Soviet scientists never got it work properly. Might be confused with another rocket, though...

    3. Re:Designs from what? by LanceUppercut · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      You are confused. Russian rockets are not designs from the 60s. By the average standards of the modern space technology, Russian space hardware ranks as 2040 design. I know that sounds strange, but USA and everyone else is so far behind Russia in that department that we have no chice but to consider Russian deisgns way ahead of the current time just to balance things right.

    4. Re:Designs from what? by LanceUppercut · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      False. They are not "reconditioned". They are essentially rebuilt from scratch by the Aerojet with the major participation of Ukrainian "Yuzhnoe" design bureau. The mere fact that the entire fuel supply system ifs prvided by Ukrainians immediately requires a full rebuild. And, of course, the fact that the engine failed today is already a direct factual indication that this was not a Russian engine.

    5. Re:Designs from what? by LanceUppercut · · Score: 0

      No need to worry. Nobody really questions Russian leadership in modern space tech. Virtually every US achievement in that area I can think of is basically a repeat of some Soviet ahievement from like 50 years before.

    6. Re:Designs from what? by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

      I cannot help but think that cutting this corner is going to have a bitter after taste at the State Department. and at Orbital Sciences also.

    7. Re:Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      False. They are not "reconditioned". They are essentially rebuilt from scratch by the Aerojet with the major participation of Ukrainian "Yuzhnoe" design bureau. The mere fact that the entire fuel supply system ifs prvided by Ukrainians immediately requires a full rebuild. And, of course, the fact that the engine failed today is already a direct factual indication that this was not a Russian engine.

      Your description lacks a citation, and does not agree with what an Aerojet VP said in an interview:
        http://www.spaceflightnow.com/news/n1003/15nk33/

      Aerojet converts the NK-33 to an AJ26 engine by removing some harnessing, adding U.S. electronics, qualifying it for U.S. propellants, and modifying the system to gimbal for steering, Van Kleeck told Spaceflight Now in a January interview.

      The article also notes:

      Officials wanted to make sure the kerosene-fueled engine could still perform after four decades in storage. The NK-33 engines were originally designed and built in the 1960s and 1970s for the ill-fated Soviet N1 moon rocket.

      These are old Russian engines, built for the N-1 rocket, which failed all four launch attempts (one of which caused the largest artificial non-nuclear explosion in history), so I am not sure where you're getting the idea that Russian equipment doesn't fail.

    8. Re:Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lanceuppercut sounds like Pravda.

    9. Re:Designs from what? by DerekLyons · · Score: 5, Insightful

      By the average standards of the modern space technology, Russian space hardware ranks as 2040 design. I know that sounds strange

      No, it doesn't sound strange - it sounds like what it is, which is complete and utter bullshit. They have a few things ahead of everyone else, they have a few things on par with everyone else, and they have a lot of things that are in fact engineering time capsules from the 50's, 60's, 70's, and 80's.

    10. Re:Designs from what? by garyisabusyguy · · Score: 1

      The Rocketdyne F1 Was designed in 1955 and put men on the moon

      Please explain how they repeated the achievements of the Soviet N1?

      " Development work started on the N1 in 1959"
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/N...

      --
      Wherever You Go, There You Are
    11. Re:Designs from what? by x0ra · · Score: 1

      The worst part is that Atlas rocket have had 49 successful launch with the same russian engine design, though newly build RD-180.

    12. Re:Designs from what? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 3, Interesting

      It is not the same. Glushko - stubborn as a mule and a squealer - never believed that it was possible to make a so high performant LOX/kerosene engine and so Korolev went to the Kusnetsov design bureau which previously built airplane engines (like the one for Tu-95 or Tu-154). Kusnetsov proved Glushko wrong with NK-33, so Glushko tried to one-up this with Energia's RD-170. So, not the same design, only similar.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    13. Re:Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Design is one thing, but these are actual engines originally built half a century ago that have sat in some storehouse all that time.

    14. Re:Designs from what? by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Here is your citation: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A...

      As Orbital has little experience with large liquid stages and LOX propellant, some of the Antares first stage work was contracted to the Ukrainian Yuzhnoye SDO, designers of the Zenit series. The core provided by Yuzhnoye includes propellant tanks, pressurization tanks, valves, sensors, feed lines, tubing, wiring and other associated hardware.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    15. Re:Designs from what? by jordanjay29 · · Score: 1

      Even Russian rockets fail sometimes. Normally they get a little higher than the treeline, but there's been a few high profile failures of Russian rockets in recent years.

    16. Re:Designs from what? by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      By the average standards of the modern space technology, Russian space hardware ranks as 2040 design.

      Oh, please. The regular Soyuz launchers still use the venerable (or ancient, depending on your POV) RD-107/RD-108 engines, and Proton still runs on extremely toxic fuels. 2040 design, my ass.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    17. Re:Designs from what? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >> and they have a lot of things that are in fact engineering time capsules from the 50's, 60's, 70's, and 80's.

      Yep. Engineering that works :) Soviet engineering. If your thing did not suceed, you risked more than your job, so it was designed properly...

  15. This really sucks by Teancum · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Orbital Science has a strong rocket program going, and has been able to deliver in the past. At best, this simply shows how even the best can get caught off guard with some stupid little thing that you didn't nail down prior to the launch. It is also why this is called "rocket science", where literally every rocket launch is an experiment to see if the current configuration is going to work or not.

    In this case it didn't. The after-action engineering review is going to be brutal for the Orbital engineers, but they are going to learn a whole lot in the end.

    The economic lessons to learn are also likely to be brutal, as Orbital has been really relying upon the commercial contracts for their business. Based upon the experience of other major launchers, a failure like this really hits both insurance premiums really hard as well as discourages others from using their rockets for quite some time. It will be interesting to see what happens once the merger with ATK is complete and how that will also impact the company.

    1. Re:This really sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I thought Orbital Science actually had a rather poor record in recent years, this may just be the final nail in their coffin.

    2. Re:This really sucks by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      I'm trying to reconcile your post bout bing the 'best' with this post which claims half their rockets go up in smoke.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    3. Re:This really sucks by confused+one · · Score: 1

      It's going to be 6 months to a year before they'll launch again. It's going to be a long year for Orbital.

    4. Re:This really sucks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      They are one of the top tier launchers. Just as an illustration, since you are expecting perfection, just look at your own reply and note the spelling.

      Yes, I know you aren't trying to be an orbital launch provider either, but my point is that level of perfection is what you seem to be expecting here, and generally is needed in order to put something into orbit. I have heard of rockets exploding simply because a software engineer forgot a semi-colon in a line of code that didn't get caught by the compiler or during any code review.

      BTW, the illustration in that particular post had nothing to do with engines that go up in smoke as you so illustratively put it, but rather about a faring that didn't get ejected at a critical point in the launch. This added extra mass to the payload, thus the rocket didn't achieve orbital velocity. A completely different issue and something that even refutes your premise in the first place.

    5. Re:This really sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >The after-action engineering review is going to be brutal for the Orbital engineers

      Nah, they just sucked in a bird.

    6. Re:This really sucks by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Robert,
      OSC's record leaves a LOT to be desired. for the last 5 years:
      Here they did 0 of 2 sats.
      Here we see 4 out of 5.
      Now we see 2 out of 2 for pegasus.
      And here is 10 out of 10

      So, that means 3 losses out of 19 launches. BUT, what is really missing is that only 1 of these failures was in a new system.
      SpaceX has launched 13 over the last 4 years with no losses. And in 1 more year, they should around 25-30 launches total.

      OSC's record really is not that good.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    7. Re:This really sucks by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      I don't expect perfection at all. Just curious why there was such a huge contrast between the two posts, and what errors or misjudgments along the way (by either you or him) might explain it.

      It'll be interesting to see what percentage of SpaceX's launches fail.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    8. Re:This really sucks by Twinbee · · Score: 1

      But 3 failures out of 19 launches doesn't sound bad at all (?) I'm trying to reconcile your post with this post which claims half of the launches are failures.

      --
      Why OpalCalc is the best Windows calc
    9. Re:This really sucks by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Because Beck_Neard looked at only 1 of their lines of launch systems. They have multiple, with antares, being the latest.

      However, 3 out of 19 is NOT a good record, esp. since it is not at the start of the line. It indicates that OSC has no decent QA controls. And considering that they produce none of this, that is why.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    10. Re:This really sucks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He was just expressing his liberal view. To liberals, a 33% failure rate is stunning.

      I call BS. [Citation Needed]

    11. Re:This really sucks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The Merline 1-D has had one engine failure while doing a revenue flight (aka something intended to get to orbit and not purely experimental) out of 80 engines used. That didn't even result in a loss of flight though, but it does show a crack where even SpaceX could have problems. That is 13 out of 13 flights (the first five used the Merline 1-C.... and earlier engine) that have been successful at delivering their primary payloads. The CRS-1 flight is sometimes noted by critics as a failure due to NASA's insistence that the OrbComm satellite on that flight couldn't be boosted up to the intended altitude. I'm not blaming NASA here (there was a slim chance it could have crashed into the ISS and they didn't want to take even that 0.01% chance) but SpaceX even in that case was physically capable of delivering the secondary payload.

      There were five flights of the Falcon 1, and three of those failed to achieve orbit. Only one of those was a catastrophic failure though like happened to Orbital with this latest launch though.

      It should be pointed out that all launch providers have difficulties with getting stuff into space, even Boeing and Lockheed-Martin. The early launches of the Atlas rocket were particularly fraught with problems and some very spectacular failures... even though that was a couple of decades ago. Chinese rockets have even dropped on population centers and cause some real damage in some failures that haven't exactly been widely reported. You want to pretend this is routine stuff, but every launch provider has some potential of catastrophic problems like this happening, including SpaceX.

    12. Re:This really sucks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      The problem with OSC is that they don't really build much of their own equipment. I've heard it described that what OSC does is take various pieces of rocket technology and pull them together with duct tape and bailing wire to make something fly. For example, with the Antares rockets they are using Russian engines that were originally supposed to be used for ICBMs that had been purchased at the end of Cold War and refurbished by Rocketdyne. Other components have been purchased from elsewhere, but my point is that the procurement process may be as much at fault as the design and it may be even more systemic than you are suggesting.

      SpaceX, on the other hand, has decided to tackle the QA control issue head first by bringing all of the manufacturing in-house and deliberately dedicating fabrication equipment so consistency can be maintained throughout the development process. That isn't the whole story either though.

      OSC has more recently become a satellite constructor and their launch business is more of a sideline than their main bread & butter. That may even be a problem too as it doesn't give as much focus on what they are doing in regards to launches. I heard it suggested that OSC didn't even want to build the Antares, but couldn't find a reasonable cost provider for the Cygnus and instead felt forced into building their own when competing for the COTS contracts.

    13. Re:This really sucks by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      It is also why this is called "rocket science", where literally every rocket launch is an experiment to see if the current configuration is going to work or not.

      In this case it didn't.

      I'm pretty sure they test the crap out of these so that when they actually go to launch it they can be fairly confident the configuration is going to work before they fill it with a metric fuckton of explosive fuels and millions+ dollars of equipment. Do you think when the lit the match one guy looked at the next and said "so do you think it'll work?"

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    14. Re:This really sucks by Teancum · · Score: 1

      Do you think when the lit the match one guy looked at the next and said "so do you think it'll work?"

      Pretty much. Anybody who launches a rocket is never 100% certain that the rocket is going to actually work. Admittedly technicians who are on the launch team are usually monitoring telemetry to make sure things are working as they should be, and often when things go wrong it is minor enough that it doesn't ruin the mission either, but occasionally rockets even get to orbit and not quite in the right spot.

      Do you think Orbital didn't do as much testing as they thought reasonable on this particular rocket before it blew up?

      What they are going to be doing over the next couple of months is to figure out what they forgot to test or what procedure wasn't followed. An engine for the ESA's Ariane 5 rocket blew up simply because a technician left a rag in the wrong spot when trying to wipe down a component during assembly. This loss of the rocket is certainly not the first time this has happened before, and certainly has happened with other companies too.

    15. Re:This really sucks by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      Do you think when the lit the match one guy looked at the next and said "so do you think it'll work?"

      Pretty much. Anybody who launches a rocket is never 100% certain that the rocket is going to actually work. Admittedly technicians who are on the launch team are usually monitoring telemetry to make sure things are working as they should be, and often when things go wrong it is minor enough that it doesn't ruin the mission either, but occasionally rockets even get to orbit and not quite in the right spot.

      I don't disagree that they can never be 100% sure it's going to work all the time, every time but you implied each actual launch is still a test event. This isn't the V2 days where the only way to test your rocket design is to launch it and see what happens. They will have tested it as much as they deem necessary I guess. I don't know if that's too much, not enough or what. For all I know the rocket could have been perfect in everyway but struck by a cosmic ray or some such in the exact wrong place at the exact wrong time.

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
  16. What I want to know... by Type44Q · · Score: 5, Funny

    What I want to know is if there's any truth to the rumors that Musk was seen leaving the area with an empty Stinger launch on one shoulder and a shit-eating grin on his face...

  17. That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the countdown hadn't been flawless they would have actually aborted before launch instead of flushing a billion dollars down the toilet. This is the sort of thing that makes me REALLY nervous about the prospect of private manned space flight. They'll probably find the cause was some $20 part that a bean counter replaced with an $18 one because, hey, the knock off is just as good right? Either that or the original manufacturer decided to "brick" the counterfeit part with a driver update :-))

    1. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Antares/Cygnus rockets don't cost billions...

    2. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Payload.. the rockets was not the only thing to go boom.

      Although i think the parent may have been dabbling in fish stories (exageration) a bit. It doesn't detract from his point though.

    3. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by zraider · · Score: 1

      This is the sort of thing that makes me REALLY nervous about the prospect of private manned space flight.

      Because government spacecraft don't occasionally explode?

    4. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The $18 part works exactly the same except it doesn't come with support.

    5. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Payload, plus collateral damage, plus market capitalization loss, plus reputation damage, plus value of future lost contracts, etc. $1B might actually be on the low side.

    6. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by tibit · · Score: 1

      That's a silly distinction to make, because neither NASA nor the government is in the business of building anything. It's all done by subcontractors, and most of the time the design and development is done by those subcontractors, too. NASA is in the program management and science business, not in building or launching anything much. There are and were some NASA payloads, IIRC, but that's about it. The whole "commercial" launch thing is a misnomer. It's business as usual, except that this time NASA does less micromanagement, and there are some new faces at the table. That's all.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    7. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by the+gnat · · Score: 2

      The whole "commercial" launch thing is a misnomer. It's business as usual, except that this time NASA does less micromanagement, and there are some new faces at the table. That's all.

      And the contracts won't be cost-plus, meaning the contractors don't have a blank check and projects will actually have to stay on budget. There may be legitimate arguments why this is a bad idea for a national space program (personally, I disagree), but it does represent a rather large change from the way launches were done in the past.

    8. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Megane · · Score: 5, Funny

      And I think the launch pad area might need a fresh coat of paint or something...

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    9. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by postbigbang · · Score: 1

      And amazingly, no one at NASA will be sacked as a result of this.

      --
      ---- Teach Peace. It's Cheaper Than War.
    10. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by davester666 · · Score: 1

      Fucking terrorists blowing up our shit for no good reason.

      --
      Sleep your way to a whiter smile...date a dentist!
    11. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Sacked for what? Not being funded enough to run their own rocket development

      At least we have SpaceX and ULA waiting in the wings.

      My first thought when it was hanging in the air was that they wanted to try a controlled landing like SpaceX pulled off

    12. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by demachina · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Pretty sure NASA has blown more on Constellation, Orion and SLS, launchers to no where that never launch, than SpaceX has spent on successful development of 2 new rockets and Dragon1, and will probably spend on Falcon Heavy, Dragon 2 and their reusable program.

      NASA's problem is not insufficient funding. Its inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors, and the inability to build or do much of anything in the vacinity of its manned space program. JPL and a few others places are doing fine but they are an exception to the rule.

      Some people at Orbital probably do need to be sacked for trying to use 40+ year old Russian engines, the engines are actually that old not just the design. Some people at NASA probably should be sacked for buying in to a contractor proposing such a flawed concept.

      --
      @de_machina
    13. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Luckyo · · Score: 5, Informative

      You know, it's that same old regurgitated bullshit. And it smells like it.

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      Let me underscore that part for you
      _anything_ that West has to offer.

      They have closed circuit rocket engine technology. By definition, that is going to be at least about 15% more efficient than any open circuit that is the only technology west has in orbital lifting rocket engines. Thanks for private corporation known as Lockheed Martin, that didn't believe that closed circuit was possible to do until Russians literally put a working engine in their lab and test fired it for them in 2000s. Because it was too inefficient to research the technology in more detail. Russians had to blow up something like 30 rockets to get it right. Tolerance limits on closed circuit are apparently far more tight, and that's not just the engine but all the relevant systems.

      Private sector is really good at developing off existing base level development to practical development, but it's utterly terrible at actual base level development that is needed for practical development, but doesn't result in practical applications on its own. That's why much if not most if that kind of development is done in universities and government labs. And rocket engines are in desperate need of base research right now because of long term lack of funding. This has nothing to do with "inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors" or anything of a sorts. It has everything to do with the fact that they were given no funding to develop baseline research for better rocket engine technology.

      Private corporations will have to blow up their share of rockets to get it right. They're banking on better simulation software in existence, but that can't simulate everything due to sheer amount of unknowns or uncertainties when it comes to rocket science. That's why rocket science is HARD, even by modern standards.

    14. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It also came without a device driver, but fortunately it had the same VID as another part that already has a device driver,
      so it can use that.

    15. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      High efficiency does not justify using engines that have been in some storehouse for half a century(literally half a century). It really is a pity that 50 year old soviet engines are indeed more efficient than modern western ones. Merlin 1D however does have better thrust to weight ratio and only slightly worse isp.

    16. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by sjames · · Score: 2

      The design is great, no problem with using it today, why screw with what works.

      OTOH, the engines themselves are 40 years old. That is a different story. They were made and have just been sitting in storage. 40 years is a long time for things to go wrong bad. Apparently they were not sufficiently re-conditioned before use.

    17. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by LordWabbit2 · · Score: 1

      Is the engine old or is the tech old?

      --
      There are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third is statistics.
    18. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      It seems to me that in order to be better, they have to deliver their payload, and not explode. When they blow up, their effectiveness falls off to zero real quick.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    19. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Apparently they were not sufficiently re-conditioned before use.

      These engines have been sitting around packed in oil or whatever ;) What evidence is there that they were ever spaceworthy? Did they subject every critical part to X-Ray inspection, etc etc? Even that can't detect some kinds of defect.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    20. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by sjames · · Score: 1

      Those are good questions. Whatever it was, it wasn't enough.

      A good followup question is what reason did they have to believe what they did was enough. I am not aware of a significant body of knowledge as to what is necessary to successfully take a 40 year old single use engine out of mothballs.

    21. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Chris+Mattern · · Score: 4, Funny

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      Yeah, western engines don't blow up on launch half as well as these do!

    22. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Megane · · Score: 4, Interesting

      NASA's problem is not insufficient funding. Its inefficiency, bureaucratic bloat, corrupt contractors, and the inability to build or do much of anything in the vacinity of its manned space program.

      And the Congress/Senate. They've both been requiring them to do stuff that protects existing pork projects AND constantly cutting their funding.

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
    23. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      Not quite single use. From what I remember even though the engines were originally meant for a non-reusable rocket, they were manufactured to withstand up to 15 firings. Kusnetsov overengineered them for prospective future use. Thus Aerojet would be able to test-fire each engine several times before passing them to Orbital Sciences.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    24. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How do you know it was the engine that exploded?

    25. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      American engines might not blow up as well as Russian engines do, but they do it more often than their Russian counterparts.

    26. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by andydread · · Score: 1

      You obviously know nothing about rocket science. There is nothing routine about rocketry so just shut up please. thanks.

    27. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by andydread · · Score: 1

      I'm think these are based on a 40 plus year old design, not actually 40 years in age.

    28. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Except the SpaceX Merlin 1D, which is American-built and American-designed, has a higher thrust-to-weight ratio than the NK-33/AJ-26. And it hasn't blown up.

    29. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Informative

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      Define "better".

      They have closed circuit rocket engine technology. By definition, that is going to be at least about 15% more efficient than any open circuit that is the only technology west has in orbital lifting rocket engines.

      Bullshit. SSME uses the same cycle. With LH2/LOX, no less. But why do you care about the technology? I don't think it matters HOW the launch is accomplished as long as the costs are as low as possible. Whatever works and is cheap and sustainable is better than fancy stuff that's expensive. Whether fancy stuff is desirable is dependent on what it brings and what it costs. Unless you can make it work cheaply enough, it's not worth it.

      Thanks for private corporation known as Lockheed Martin, that didn't believe that closed circuit was possible to do until Russians literally put a working engine in their lab and test fired it for them in 2000s.

      I have absolutely no idea what you're talking about! As I said, the Space Shuttle had been using this for two decades by then. And The Integrated Powerhead Demonstrator by Rocketdyne was even more advanced, and is basically what SpaceX is working on now.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    30. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative

      No, the physical units are mothballed engines from the 1960s. And there's a limited supply of them. It's even worse than the RD-180 situation - not only do the engines come from a questionable supplier, but the manufacturing line doesn't exist anymore (the Russians are apparently considering re-launching production, but so far I'm not aware of them doing anything along those lines; they still have dozens of the old engines to use). It's no better than the preserved F-1 engines in this respect. I have no idea what Orbital Sciences plan to do about that.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    31. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 3, Informative

      There were 13 launches of Falcon 9, a total of 130 engines, and one of them failed, but that still seems like a pretty good success rate. The redundancy of the engines in the first stage definitely comes in handy.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    32. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Of course the 40+ year old engines were from a rocket that Never had a successful launch.

    33. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      May as well be Orbital's faul as the engine, since they don't usually blow up when russia launches them.

    34. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Not quite. NK-33 uses an oxygen-rich staged combustion cycle, which indeed was considered impossible by Lockheed Martin. SSME used a fuel-rich staged combustion cycle, which is, apparently, less efficient. Technology matters because NK-33 has a very impressive thrust-to-weight ratio (almost twice of SSME while producing 80% of its thrust) and also a good specific impulse.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    35. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      We don't know that it was the engines that failed though. More likely it was the fuel supply system, either the plumbing or the pumps. In other words, the western built bit.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    36. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by tibit · · Score: 1

      That's a rather minor change. In the end, it's you, the taxpayer, funding any failures, only that the failures are covered from your savings or retirement accounts, not from your taxes.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    37. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      More likely it was the fuel supply system, either the plumbing or the pumps. In other words, the western built bit.

      Why is that more likely?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    38. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by peppepz · · Score: 1

      Hey, western engines don't blow up! They undergo rapid unscheduled disassembly.

    39. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A lot of that bit was designed/built by a Ukrainian company. Orbital does not have the in-house knowledge for designing liquid rockets.

    40. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

      I'm only repeating what a couple of different experts interviewed on the subject said. I did a little research, it seems that explosive failures are usually not connected to the engines but rather the fuel supply or storage system.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    41. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by GNious · · Score: 1

      Well, when I had something like this happen in KSP, the whole launchpad exploded ....
      .
      . ...what?

    42. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Why should a fuel-rich staged combustion cycle with LH2/LOX mixture be less efficient when fuel-rich LH2 mixture significantly decreases the average molecular weight of the exhaust gases? I'm not aware of any single LH2/LOX engine in history that that would run oxygen-rich. That would be a waste of specific impulse which is the main objective of any LH2 engine.

      And I get that the NK-33 is quite impressive considering the combination of both high thrust-per-weight and high Isp, but is it worth the money? A single RD-180 costs $10M-$15M or something like that, with ~4 MN of thrust. And that's the Russian price, the price for US-built units would be much higher, especially given that the Russian prices are allegedly almost at price dumping levels (nobody else is buying them anyway to drive the price higher). Compare this to the nine-engine cluster of Merlin 1D engines for Falcon 9 with ~6 MN of thrust. Now I'm not quite sure what a Merlin costs but I've seen estimates around $1M per engine. With the production ramp-up, it's probably not bound to go upwards anyway.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    43. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately for you, the pumps are an integral part of these engines, and they happen to be Russian as well. It's not just the chamber and the nozzle that have been bought.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    44. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by tibit · · Score: 1

      The pumps are almost by definition a part of the engine. It's not like a fuel pump in a car, with its rather puny flow rate. Those engines are fed literally tons of fuel and oxidizer per second, and there's no stand-alone power source to deliver the megawatts needed for the pump. Both the turbine and the pump are an integral part of the engine design.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    45. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by tibit · · Score: 1

      Again, for the last time, it's not NASA's business to build stuff, and it never was. NASA is there to fund contractors that build stuff, and to design, plan, oversee and execute various space missions and research. NASA's problem isn't bureaucracy, it's the lack of flexibility in spending the money the way it'd wish to spend it. NASA is highly limited in how it can spend the money, so much so that it isn't funny. The reason for this is known as pork. That's all there's to it.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    46. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Aerojet has bought a bunch of NK-33 for $1.1M each, same price as a Merlin engine, but nearly twice the thrust.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    47. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by T.E.D. · · Score: 4, Funny

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer... Russians had to blow up something like 30 rockets to get it right.

      Make that 31.

    48. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Yeah, before refurbishing. From old supplies. That's not a figure for sustainable cost of new engine production. And this is probably the second explosion of those engines in a single year.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    49. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      they did now blow up, did you not read the submission before commenting? they were self destructed by the ground crew because of *other* catastrophic problems.

    50. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by bkmoore · · Score: 1

      ...sitting in storage. 40 years is a long time.... Apparently they were not sufficiently re-conditioned before use.

      We don't know the cause of the failure yet. Aren't we being a bit premature?

    51. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      Let me underscore that part for you
      _anything_ that West has to offer.

      Are we talking 40+ year old engines, or a 40+ year old engine design

      Wouldn't it be better to build a new one off an old design, that to actually use an old one?

    52. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by rochrist · · Score: 1

      Plus, the launch facilities were damaged, possibly pretty significantly.

    53. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by sjames · · Score: 1

      Well, there's not much else to cause a loss of thrust at that point in the flight.

    54. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by rochrist · · Score: 1

      Fuel pump or turbine seems like a reasonable bet, based on how it looked.

    55. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by laie_techie · · Score: 2

      Do you know WHY they use 40+ year old Russian engines? Because they are better than anything West has to offer.

      It seems to me that in order to be better, they have to deliver their payload, and not explode. When they blow up, their effectiveness falls off to zero real quick.

      From what I understand, the rocket was veering off course, so they activated a self-destruct mechanism.

    56. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by msauve · · Score: 1

      "There is nothing routine about rocketry so just shut up please. thanks."

      Some would disagree.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    57. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, it's the insanely insufficient funding.
      The defense budget uses more in a week than NASA gets in a year!

    58. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by zraider · · Score: 1

      I agree. With the current state of the technology, sending a rocket into space is still fraught with this kind of risk whether it's privately managed or managed by NASA. One shouldn't be any more or less "nervous" either way.

      Private space companies do offer much cheaper launches due to their ability to realize cost efficiencies that we'd be fools to expect from government agencies, and we'll see how their safety and reliability track records compare in the long run.

    59. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And amazingly, no one at NASA will be sacked as a result of this.

      And why should they be? I'm sure they had launch insurance. Orbital, however, might be hurting soon. They spent a lot of their own money building Taurus II (which became Antares) to break into that medium-lift class of launchers. If Antares mimics Taurus XL's two huge failures (the reason they changed the name to Antares)...well, I wonder if ATK will still want to merge with them at that point.

    60. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Well, I don't see any veering off course. What I see is that the stage lost vertical thrust and then exploded from the bottom. I'm not really sure that looked like a controlled destruction. I thought this stuff was generally achieved by cutting through the tanks using explosive cords. Watch this video to see the tanks of a Titan IV on self-destruct blowing up. This looked...different.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    61. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My brother used to work on a launch pad at Vandenburg. New ones do things like that too. Light a fire under that much unstable file and oxidizer in barely controlled defageration now and the it becomes an uncontrolled burning mless.

      Red

    62. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who pissed in your rocket fuel this morning, nerdfag?

    63. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, we don't fucking know, but that doesn't stop you from doing some of your time honored America bashing. Fuck off Frenchie!

    64. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      Better in terms of Isp for a non-cryogenic engine. The SSME's Isp (366) is better than the NK-33 (297), but the NK-33 is better than any non-cryogenic engine that is flying in the US, and there are a lot of big tradeoffs to cryogenic engines (Hydrogen takes up a lot more space).

      For comparison, the NK-33 engines (first built in the 1960s) have a higher Isp than the SpaceX Merlin 1D (297s versus 282s at sealevel).

    65. Re: That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      Both. The engines were literally built in the 1960s and 1970s for the Soviet moon program, and then 150 of them were stuck in a warehouse for decades. When the Russians realized many years later that the engines were worth a lot of money, they started selling them in the mid 90s.

    66. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      No, they literally sat in a warehouse for 40 years. They were built for the Soviet moon program, discovered decades later, bought by the Americans, and then refurbished.

    67. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      Because it uses a different cycle which is more efficient by design. Anything with open circuit has to vent secondary circuit used to drive pumps and turbines of the engine out without gaining any thrust. This causes significant efficiency loss per fuel burned. Closed circuit vents those heated gasses into main combustion chamber in a controlled fashion, both gaining extra thrust and efficiency.

      The problem comes from extreme difficulties in managing venting these heated gasses directly into combustion chamber that is under full load without causing catastrophic failures. That is why the process was considered theoretically sound but practically impossible by Lockheed Martin rocket engineers until Russians showed them the working engine.

      Notably Soviet rocket scientists agreed. Korolev had to bring in a jet engine designer who "didn't know this cycle was impossible to implement in practice" to design the engine.

    68. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is great an all, but your narrative about the West not having anything comparable has been wrong for decades. Russian engines get used a lot in the West because they are cheap and reasonable reliable.

    69. Re:That's the part that "counts" (groan) by Luckyo · · Score: 1

      That would be because they do not. The first closed circuit engines designed in the West are still in development stage and design work only started appearing only after Russian engine was showed in action. To date, the only thing West has that is comparable is Aerojet Rockedyne Integrated powerhead demonstration project.
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Which is not a functional rocket engine but just a technology demonstrator hastily funded by US government to quell massive unrest among top rocket engineers who were severely shaken by the discovery of Russian engine after decades of culture that considered US rocket engine technology superior.

  18. OT by sootman · · Score: 5, Funny

    Dear Slashdot,

    I fail to see how the 13-year-old story about game design, "A 'Vow of Chastity' For Game Designers", is a related story, as indicated in the panel below the story between the "previous story" and "next story" links. Seriously, WTF? Less than worthless.

    --
    Dear Slashdot: next time you want to mess with the site, add a rich-text editor for comments.
    1. Re:OT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LOL, I actually thought the same thing.

      Whatever formula they are using for that is a big fail.

      There must be dozens or hundreds of stories about rockets, NASA, Orbital Sciences, etc and those are the ones it picked ?!?

      and why the hell am I logged out again, meh, screw it.

      hurfy

    2. Re:OT by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Erect, raising rockets which are made to explode. Chastity of game designers has everything to do with that.

  19. If they put a stick on it by jlowery · · Score: 0

    and launched it from a giant bottle, they wouldn't have this problem.

    --
    If you post it, they will read.
    1. Re:If they put a stick on it by Zaiff+Urgulbunger · · Score: 1

      and launched it from a giant bottle, they wouldn't have this problem.

      Ironically, if you look at the initial explosion and then follow on explosions, you can see quite clearly that the cargo being delivered was in fact fireworks!

  20. I expect some stupid suggestion... by bogaboga · · Score: 1

    ...that if we can't ask the Russians how to do these things reliably, "we can at least ask the Indians who went to Mars recently."

    1. Re:I expect some stupid suggestion... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...that if we can't ask the Russians how to do these things reliably, "we can at least ask the Indians who went to Mars recently."

      So have the telemarketing calls from Mars started yet?

    2. Re:I expect some stupid suggestion... by confused+one · · Score: 1

      Since you made the suggestion, I thought I'd point out that Orbital used refurbished Soviet AJ-26 (N-33) engines.

    3. Re:I expect some stupid suggestion... by Megane · · Score: 1
      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  21. Classified Crypto? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I wonder what classified crypto technology did it contain.

    1. Re:Classified Crypto? by confused+one · · Score: 1

      The NASA communications equipment probably includes crypto technology so they can send encrypted communications if necessary. I would swag that it's compatible with the DOD hardware. So, if they were carrying spares for the comm system...

    2. Re:Classified Crypto? by tibit · · Score: 1

      The crypto is for the spacecraft control and for the vehicle mission termination systems. All subject to export controls and possibly using classified protocols.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  22. All very sad by MPBoulton · · Score: 1

    The explosion, though spectacular, is a little saddening - this sort of thing shouldn't happen to a sufficiently well funded space agency where such catastrophic failure can't be tolerated. To me this illustrates why letting the private sector do the important jobs in space travel is dangerous. NASA spent many years developing processes and vehicles that, initially, had a very high failure rate. Today we are conditioned to expect that these launches will go off safely, but do we need to give the private sector 20 years or so to sort itself out before we start allowing people to fly in their rockets?

    No lives lost is good news, but no doubt a lifetime of some people's work has been destroyed today and that is still very sad indeed.

    At least we know why that boat had to be out of the way...

    1. Re:All very sad by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

      NASA has had its careless streak too. See Challenger and the investigation that followed. But realistically, this is what happens whenever you do things in one-see, two-sies instead of in bulk. If the Air Force only had one fighter plane and only flew it once every few months, you can bet there would be a lot of failures for a long time before everyone settled into a voodoo flight ops mentality and nothing new was tolerated at all because the cost of failure was so high.

    2. Re:All very sad by confused+one · · Score: 1

      Challenger wasn't alone. Columbia failed due to NASA overconfidence.

    3. Re:All very sad by confused+one · · Score: 1

      NASA has always used commercial contractors to do the work and build the components. These contracts are structured somewhat differently; but, NASA is still in control of specs and verifying the contractor has met all the requirements.

    4. Re:All very sad by tibit · · Score: 2

      I hate to point out that NASA was never in rocket-making business. Everything launched was made by subcontractors. NASA only provides various payloads, and in the past provided program oversight. Everything that NASA launched that you might recall was in fact done by the private sector. Including all elements of Apollo.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    5. Re:All very sad by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      NASA spent many years developing processes and vehicles that, initially, had a very high failure rate. Today we are conditioned to expect that these launches will go off safely, but do we need to give the private sector 20 years or so to sort itself out before we start allowing people to fly in their rockets?

      Almost all the US space program is ALREADY private. The dominant US launch platform is United Launch Alliance, which was created by a merger of Lockheed Martin and Boeing when the US tried to bring in competitive bidding for Air Force launches. Their merger allowed them to become the sole bidder on most launches, allowing them to continue to receive their cushy "cost plus" bids. These "cost plus" bids allow them to pretty much charge whatever they want for costs, and then receive on top a guaranteed profit margin. There is no incentive for efficiency. In fact, ULA has almost no international customers because their costs are more than double their competitor's prices. They grow fat at the teet of the US Air Force.

      Space X is a relative newcomer, but since its first generation rocket (Falcon 1) had three failures, the last of which was caused by a timing error in stage separation, it has had a nearly perfect launch record. The Falcon 9 rocket has never had a significant failure (ie. one that prevented orbit of the primary payload). Touch wood. Their rockets have been designed in house with the eventual goal of re-use. Their rocket engines are designed to be simple and failure resistant. And their rockets have nine engines, so that even if one fails the flight can continue. I wouldn't write off competition yet.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    6. Re:All very sad by plover · · Score: 1

      this sort of thing shouldn't happen to a sufficiently well funded space agency where such catastrophic failure can't be tolerated.

      "Can't be tolerated"? Spaceflight has always run on the ragged edge of engineering. Just sending an Antares booster to LEO means every unit of payload mass costs 40x its weight in fuel and booster weight, all of which is going to be consumed or destroyed during the four-minute-service-life of the machine. Do they choose expensive copper wire which weighs more than cheap aluminum wire? Do they reinforce the structure with steel, aluminum, or titanium? Where do they find extra weight to shave off? Do they leave in the quintuply redundant safety systems if it's not a manned flight? How do they balance all the physical requirements against their budgets?

      They build it out of materials that meet the requirements with the tiniest possible safety margins over the service minimums, and test as best as they can that none are substandard. All it takes is one weak part out of the thousands in the ship. So you build a couple of your disposable ships, test fly a few, and watch for failing parts. But you can't afford to test a thousand rockets, so at some point you have to fly them for paying customers.

      Failures have to be tolerated, or we'd never get anywhere interesting.

      --
      John
  23. Flawless countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    10..9..
    Bill! what's after 9?
    10.
    Thanks!
    10..9..10..9.

  24. Oh noes by moondo · · Score: 0

    Well, usually rockets bound for ISIS explode upon impact... Oh, wait, the rocket was bound to the ISS. Nevermind.

  25. Video of the explosion from 3000ft by grouchomarxist · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Video of the Orbital Sciences Explosion at Wallops from a Cessna flying at 3000ft. Note that the video is pretty noisy so you'll want to turn your sound down.

    1. Re:Video of the explosion from 3000ft by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The image sensor overloaded with brightness. crazy. Reminds me of the abomb videos when it just goes white.

  26. Loss for Planetary Resources by mbone · · Score: 1

    The loss includes the first satellite for Planetary Resources, the Arkyd, an orbiting telescope intended to hunt for asteroids.

    1. Re:Loss for Planetary Resources by mbone · · Score: 1

      I heard on twitter that this was not the crowdfunding satellite, but an early test, so your investment may be OK.

  27. stock tip - short ORB by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    because stocks and rockets have a lot in common

  28. Hit "Go" button at wrong angle by Tablizer · · Score: 0

    Steve Jobs: "You were launching it wrong."

  29. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  30. 40 year old engine. by Bo'Bob'O · · Score: 5, Informative

    The summery isn't quite correct. The engines aren't based on an engine from the 60s. These -are- the engines built by the soviets in the 1970s. These things are 40 years old.

    The RD-180s used by the Atlas-V are built new, despite their relationship to the abandoned Energia/Buran. The NK-33s that are used by the Antares sat for decades in a Russian warehouse.

    1. Re:40 year old engine. by mbone · · Score: 1

      Thanks for clearing that up.

    2. Re:40 year old engine. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's not summery, it's fall now.

    3. Re:40 year old engine. by x0ra · · Score: 3, Interesting

      You forgot to mention that the engines have been re-purposed and upgraded by Aeojet in between. It's not as it they were put on the rocket straight from the Russian warehouse.

    4. Re:40 year old engine. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Soviet, er make that Russian news services are saying the engines were not made in Russia but were made in Ukraine.

  31. Radiant heat cooks the building by NortonDC · · Score: 1

    Go to 1:13 in the video and watch the blocky building on the right. You can see the smoke/vapor from the radiant heat cooking the surface of the building, much like those old nuke test films before the blast wave hits.

  32. not THAT 60's engine by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    hmmmm....

    "based on 1960's Soviet's designs"

    I wonder if that's the same engine that blew up Rocket City in Russia, it took out dozens of
    people, including the director and a bunch of lead scientists.

    1. Re:not THAT 60's engine by x0ra · · Score: 1

      It's actually the same design as the newly build RD-180 which has been used successfully so far by the Atlas rockets. Though, the antares rockets just use repurposed and upgraded NK-33.

  33. Big government by fiannaFailMan · · Score: 1

    See? See? I told you! See? Big government can't do anything right! If you want something done right, you get the private secto.... oh

    --
    Drill baby drill - on Mars
    1. Re:Big government by x0ra · · Score: 1

      Lockheed-Martin's Atlas have been performing well so far and are just as privately funded as Orbital Sciences Corporation.

  34. better ask can you borrow that trampoline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    your going to need it!

  35. Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by Neo-Rio-101 · · Score: 1

    At the news conference they were telling people to stay away from the exploded parts of the rocket.

    makes me wonder how much radioactive stuff was in the equipment they were trying to send up there.

    --
    READY.
    PRINT ""+-0
    1. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Would not matter. Anything that is radioactive is in containers designed to withstand such blasts.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    2. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by ShaunC · · Score: 1

      It's more likely the propellants. Hydrazine is nasty, nasty shit.

      --
      Thanks to the War on Drugs, it's easier to buy meth than it is to buy cold medicine!
    3. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by recharged95 · · Score: 2

      Having worked for their GN&C team, it's usually due to cost cutting. OSC has been on the lower cost side to support all those NASA science and non-DOD missions--which are done on shoestring budgets.

      OSC has been able to prove resuse/integration vs ground up designs can be as effective, it's just they are losing sight that QC is more important than monte carlo simulations (which sells in that business). Likely due to gov't pressure to keep the same processes in the face of SpaceX's clean sheet approach.

      From the video, sure looks like a mechanical failure, not fuel pump, not control software, not ops error. Definitely a black eye for a good team of folks and a lot of questions.

    4. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by fnj · · Score: 1

      Sort of like how the Fukushima plant was designed to contain anything bad?

    5. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Fukushima operated exactly within the issues for which it was designed for. Because some MBA decided to skip the generators, disaster set in.
      BUT, protection/storage of radioactive product is radically different.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    6. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Fukushima operated exactly within the issues for which it was designed for. Because some MBA decided to skip the generators, disaster set in.

      Almost. Because some MBA at GE decided to put the plant where it needed to not be placed and the US government forced that location over the protests of the Japanese, the generators (which were not skipped) were flooded and could not function. You could also pin it on the Japanese failure to elevate the generators, which was considered undesirable because of aesthetics. But you can't blame it on skipping the generators, because they had generators. They were simply worthless due to site selection.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:Anything radioactive explode in the boom? by tibit · · Score: 1

      Given that the fuel "pumps" on rockets are rather highly stressed turbopump units, there's no way to discount a mechanical failure there. It's awfully easy for a compressor or turbine disc spinning at 10k+ RPMs to rip everything nearby to shreds when it decides to shed a blade. Of course it could just as easily be a failure in the combustion chamber or the piping, but yeah, it was clearly a mechanical failure. I just don't understand why you so offhandedly discount a turbopump unit failing.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
  36. As I said earlier by WindBourne · · Score: 4, Interesting

    http://slashdot.org/comments.p..."> Antares will launch less than 20 times in its lifetime. In fact, probably less than another 5. NASA is not likely going to use them to provide goods for the ISS since they are expensive for what they bring.
    OSC is a company that really has NO control of its systems. Basically, it farms out most everything, so it must depend on all others. Even now, the Antares uses old Russian engines, and counted on Russia to do the quality control.

    Until OSC controls all aspects of its systems, similar to how SpaceX works, they will NEVER be able to do a launch system reliably.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:As I said earlier by x0ra · · Score: 1

      This is BS. The engines have been re-purposed by the Aerojet, a US company.

    2. Re:As I said earlier by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      http://slashdot.org/comments.p...">
      Antares will launch less than 20 times in its lifetime. In fact, probably less than another 5. NASA is not likely going to use them to provide goods for the ISS since they are expensive for what they bring.

      Until OSC controls all aspects of its systems, similar to how SpaceX works, they will NEVER be able to do a launch system reliably.

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NK-33 -- AJ-26 is the engine you're talking about is completely rebuilt/refurbished in the USA and quality control is purely american. There no "Russia" anywhere here beyond selling the original engine.

    3. Re:As I said earlier by tibit · · Score: 1

      It's not even about who controls what - it's simply that all the risk is on OSC. They have to pay for the engines whether they blow up or not, but they will eventually go out of business if their launch vehicle keeps blowing up. The subcontractors have very little risk passed onto them.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    4. Re:As I said earlier by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      re-purposed? As in, they were used to fly a rocket, while the original ones on N-1 was not?
      The fact is, that these are the EXACT engines from the N-1, that were in storage, and re-stored by Russia. Then they were built into a first stage by Ukraine.
      There is NOTHING that is BS about my post, or about this.
      The fact that Russia and Ukraine continue to have regular failures on their current launch vehicles points to QA issues.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  37. On the upside... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That was just spectacular to see!

  38. Give me a break by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    SpaceX has zero losses on their F9. It is one of the best records that have been seen by a new system.
    OSC lost this because they control NOTHING. All of the QA on this is from Russia, Ukraine, Europe, etc. OSC has no real QA on it.
    And considering that NASA lost a shuttle just 10 years ago, I would have to say that it makes your diatribe total BS.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  39. Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    OSC does NOT have a strong program. The fact is, that Antonio has continued to give up all of the design and construction to others. OSC owns less of this rocket, than ULA owns of their atlas first stage.
    Go look at Pegasus and the various Minotaurs/Taurus launch systems and you will see that they do NOT have a great track record.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  40. How OS can still make money by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If OS gets more per launch than SpaceX, then can OS hire SpaceX to carry their loads and still make easy money?

  41. John Galt, Rocket Scientist by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

    Another great victory for the private-sector space program. I mean, it's not like we've been launching rockets for the past half-century. They're still working out the kinks.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:John Galt, Rocket Scientist by x0ra · · Score: 1

      Space shuttle don't have a perfect track record either...

  42. Rearden Rocket by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Interesting

    You're going to love this:

    https://twitter.com/hormiga/st...

    Another great victory for the private sector. Rocket science is hard. It's not like we've been launching rockets for half a century or anything.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Rearden Rocket by Dr.+Spork · · Score: 1

      Wow, that's too perfect.

    2. Re:Rearden Rocket by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      US Rockets have always been designed, built, and launched by the private sector. The only difference between commercial launches and NASA launches is who controls the payload, not who controls the rocket.

  43. Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by catchblue22 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Elon Musk called it two years ago in this interview.

    Musk: The results are pretty crazy. One of our competitors, Orbital Sciences, has a contract to resupply the International Space Station, and their rocket honestly sounds like the punch line to a joke. It uses Russian rocket engines that were made in the ’60s. I don’t mean their design is from the ’60s—I mean they start with engines that were literally made in the ’60s and, like, packed away in Siberia somewhere.

    --
    This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    1. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by jafac · · Score: 4, Informative

      This is largely Orbital's *schtick*: they are basically in the business of repurposing old, obsolete hardware, and using them for launch vehicles. Antares is the follow-on to Taurus, and Pegasus and Minotaur are repurposed Peacekeeper stages. They're cheap. But they're really not in competition with SpaceX, because Orbital launches mainly smaller payloads.

      --

      These are my friends, See how they glisten. See this one shine, how he smiles in the light.
    2. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by bkmoore · · Score: 1

      Elon Musk called it two years ago ...."The results are pretty crazy. One of our competitors, Orbital Sciences, has a contract to resupply the International Space Station...."

      Elon Musk obviously has a personal financial stake in the awarding of that contract.

    3. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I totally agree, sounds as though they cobbled together a cheap 57 Chevy to do a 3000 mile road trip. Maybe instead of pocketing all the money they should have made a better rocket?

    4. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      They're not Russian, they're Soviet and actually built in the Ukraine, in Dnepropetrovsk.

    5. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      So they're like extremely skillful used car salesmen? As in, they sell you a "new" car refurbished from two used ones practically at a higher cost than for what you could buy a new one? :)

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    6. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by NotDrWho · · Score: 1

      Elon Musk called it two years ago in this interview

      Musk had better be careful with his words, because if not, he's going to eat them when one of *his* rockets blows up. No design is flawless, no system that complex is infallible, and accidents happen with everyone. If he parades around yelling "I told you so!" and bragging about his great design then, when one of SpaceX's rockets blows up too, the media will be playing those clips 24/7 and he'll turn from the genius innovator to the arrogant fool overnight.

      --
      SJW's don't eliminate discrimination. They just expropriate it for themselves.
    7. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      The engines were probably fine, chances are it's something to do with the fuel delivery system that caused the explosion.

      The Russians built good engines, and they built a lot of them because they anticipated needing many to get to the moon. Rather than a few big engines like the Saturn V they were using 30 odd smaller ones to do the same job. They had some problems but eventually got it working, just because they abandoned the idea of manned moon missions.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    8. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by tibit · · Score: 1

      Everyone expects things to go bang eventually, no matter how careful you are, Musk is no fool here. I'm sure that SpaceX fully realizes that their number will come up, sooner or later. That doesn't make Musk a fool. Their success rate is still an order of magnitude better than Orbital's.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    9. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by tibit · · Score: 1

      The fuel "delivery" system is basically pipes and tank pressurization, if any. The fuel and oxidizer pumps and turbines that power them are an essential part of the engine. We're not talking about cars with their puny ICEs that can run with a gravity-fed carburetor. For reference, the F9 v1.1 1st stage pumps have combined flow rate of 1500 L/second.

      --
      A successful API design takes a mixture of software design and pedagogy.
    10. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by catchblue22 · · Score: 1

      The engines were probably fine, chances are it's something to do with the fuel delivery system that caused the explosion.

      The Russians built good engines, and they built a lot of them because they anticipated needing many to get to the moon. Rather than a few big engines like the Saturn V they were using 30 odd smaller ones to do the same job. They had some problems but eventually got it working, just because they abandoned the idea of manned moon missions.

      My guess is that it was a turbo-pump that failed. Those are a part of this Soviet engine, and were also likely made in the 1960's.

      --
      This and no other is the root from which a tyrant springs; when first he appears as a protector - Plato (423 to 327 BC)
    11. Re:Elon Musk Called it Two Years Ago by Guspaz · · Score: 1

      He's also not wrong, they actually are using rockets originally built decades ago for the Soviet manned moonshot program. That program got cancelled after a series of launch failures (which were not the fault of the engines), and the engines were ordered destroyed. Somebody with some foresight secretly hid them in a warehouse instead, and they were eventually discovered decades later, and somebody realized that they were sitting on a gold mine of perfectly good rocket engines. Engines which, despite being positively ancient, were still more efficient than anything the US had at the time.

  44. Nope by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    It will be 6-12 months before they launch Antares. BUT, they have 3 other launch systems, even though they also have issues. IOW, they will be launching soon enough.

    However, with this many failures, esp. of late, I suspect that they will lose DOD AND NASA backing.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  45. TRA response by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The TRA will immediately start full pat down searches and anal fever probes of all terrorist rocket scientists entering and leaving the USA.

  46. Sabotage by uvajed_ekil · · Score: 3, Funny

    Hmm, now who would want to see Orbital fail? Would anyone stand to benefit from that? Any companies that they are competing with for contracts or investment? Hmm...

    --
    This is a hacked account, for which the owner can not be held responsible.
    1. Re:Sabotage by slashmydots · · Score: 1

      It may have been that old nemesis, metric to english conversions.

    2. Re:Sabotage by Nemyst · · Score: 1

      Or alternatively, the old adage, Hanlon's razor: "Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."

    3. Re:Sabotage by R3d+M3rcury · · Score: 1

      It's Obama's Fault!

  47. Innovation You Can Count On... by bi$hop · · Score: 1

    ...for about six seconds.

  48. Rocket science is still hard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    When countries like India launched rockets successfully the Slashdot crowd was quick to point out that this was done and dusted by west a few decades back and how it was not much of an achievement now but this episode just goes to show that rocket science is still hard..

  49. flawless countdown by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    At least they successfully counted down to 0. Give them some applause!

  50. Who won the "will it clear the sea wall" pool? by JT27278 · · Score: 2

    I did some work at years ago at Wallops Flight Facility. Whenever a untested or otherwise dubious rocket was scheduled to launch there would be a "will it clear the sea wall" pool. I'm sure there was heavy action on this one.

    1. Re:Who won the "will it clear the sea wall" pool? by 6Yankee · · Score: 1

      Looks like the RSO had his money on "no".

    2. Re:Who won the "will it clear the sea wall" pool? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If this was India, the whole place would have been full of trolls talking about third-world capabilities.

      I haven't understood why the US can't first of all get its space effort right and secondly, spend a bit of its space budget on its poor and homeless. What a waste of money and on top of that the sheer pollution caused by an exploding chemical rocket.

  51. Space done right. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    http://science.slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=5572007&cid=47735997

    " If you want space done right go American. "

    Just saying ...

  52. Fireball by peterpolle78 · · Score: 1

    Congratulation on the most expensive fireball in 2014.

  53. Imperial vs metric by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm pretty sure once again, some engineer read data from a sensor which output was in "imperial", and used it as a metric.. It's getting old, seriously..

  54. So, which country is invaded now... by Tanuki64 · · Score: 1

    ...for this terroristic act? There must be a county, which is responsible, has oil or other valuable resources and WMD... Never forget the WMD.

    1. Re:So, which country is invaded now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Canada has oil, and it would be much easier to transport oil from Canada to USA. Maybe engineer Todd Hoffman could work on this job ?

    2. Re:So, which country is invaded now... by Tanuki64 · · Score: 1

      Hmmm.... likely country for terrorism... And much worse than having WMDs:

      http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2...

    3. Re:So, which country is invaded now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sorry but unless Canadians massively download US made music, I don't see how this would justify invading Canada. Maybe let's try something with Justin Bieber, as he his Canadian..

    4. Re: So, which country is invaded now... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Start with the BMW guys. Can't make rockets like horrible little MiniCoopers.

  55. USABall cannot into space? by maciejkt · · Score: 1

    USABall cannot into space?

  56. Ukrainian rocket all-right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    From the press :
    The latest Cygnus launch strengthens America's public-private space partnership, lessens the country's reliance on Russian space technologies, and may just include the future of space Nutrition. ...
    The just-launched Antares rocket was a team effort between Orbital and the Ukrainian Yuzhnoye Design Bureau, which designed rockets for the Soviet Union.

    Ukrainian rockets: You break it, you own it.

  57. AI did it by jordanjay29 · · Score: 1

    Don't forget that SpaceX had its own problems at inception.

  58. If they put a stick on it by jordanjay29 · · Score: 1

    In that case, the launch commander would be in the ER with burns on his face, rather than safe in the Launch Command Center.

  59. In terms of manned flight... by pedestrian+crossing · · Score: 1

    This incident got me to thinking about manned flight and the designs for crew escape options. I wonder if the designs/specs for crew escape mechanisms would work for a failure of this type (catastrophic system failure in the first seconds of flight), or if it's game over if the launch fails early.

    --
    A house divided against itself cannot stand.
  60. I don't understand? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to Up Goer Five (http://xkcd.com/1133/), the end that should point to the ground if you want to go to space never pointed to space. How could we have a bad problem that keeps us from going to space?

  61. The engines are from the 1970s by kriston · · Score: 1

    The engines aren't just developed by the Soviets in the 1960s. These engines were *built* in the 1960s and 1970s. The engine in the first stage is literally 40 years old.

    --

    Kriston

  62. classified crypto technology by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well, someone really did not like that payload... did you says our alien friends?

  63. Innovation is dead by hessian · · Score: 1

    The Antares rocket's engines are based on old soviet designs from the '60s.

    We're just kicking around the same old ideas, trying to make them better. No real new direction. But my fridge can post to Twitter.

  64. Tagline by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Orbital Sciences: Innovation You Can Count On....TO EXPLODE!!!

  65. Why don't we use Ariane 5 ? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    According to this: http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Launchers/Launch_vehicles/Ariane_5 , it looks quite reliable.

  66. "meet Russian women!" by k6mfw · · Score: 1

    Watching breaking news story with youtube video of Antares rocket, and the ad on the screen from a Russian dating site. Is it the NK33 engines or Google must know something of me? I already meet several Russian ladies at ballroom dance studios in Silicon Valley.

    --
    mfwright@batnet.com
  67. best video of the incident by digitect · · Score: 1

    For the record, I was just stumbled across the best video of the launch I've seen thus far (from about 1.5 miles away). At 0:18 you can see fire pretty far up the rocket from the nozzles on the left side, which seems to be the direction of the explosion, too.

    --
    There is no need to use a SlashDot sig for SEO...
  68. There was insuranxe coverage by SpammersAreScum · · Score: 1

    In the later press conference last night, the question of insurance was asked. The answer was "yes", but the extent of coverage was not addressed.

  69. Not Funny by mschwanke97402 · · Score: 1

    To those of you making light of this mishap. IT IS NOT FUNNY. Thankfully no one was hurt. The space program takes enough crap already. Let them figure it out and move on.

    1. Re:Not Funny by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      First amendment gives me the right to find funny whatever I want. And I find this quite funny.

    2. Re:Not Funny by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      and who are you to decide what is funny and what is not ? Or you secretary at the department of humor ?

  70. Research on the Big Bang... by tigersha · · Score: 1

    "Send a rocket to explore the big bang"

    Someone misunderstood the mission briefing.

    --
    The dangers of excessive individualism are nothing compared to the oppressiveness of excessive collectivism
  71. You just don't get it - derived is not identical by dbIII · · Score: 1

    You just don't get it - major changes have consequences in multiple components and design becomes a multiple feedback process. It's not fucking source code and you should at least be able to grasp that much.
    The analogies were of things you would have heard of instead of being an exact match, because, guess what, an analogy is an analogy and is never meant to be taken literally. Maybe I'll try a film one this time - "The Magnificent Seven" was very heavily based on "The Seven Sumuari" but many scenes, camera angles, costumes, dialogue etc was different and it still took a lot of work. The parameters were different enough with this rocket that it also took some work.
    Changing the designs of complicated things with a lot of interdependencies is not trivial. Getting it yet?

  72. Re:You just don't get it - derived is not identica by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

    By your definition, there's no such thing as a "non-new rocket", all designs are new. That's a strange definition to use, but whatever floats your boat. I just found it peculiar that someone takes existing Russian engines, a modified Ukrainian stage, puts a modified Peacemaker on top of that, and you call it "a new design of rocket" (whereas to me, "a new design" means things like R-7 or Falcon 9 which were actually designed from scratch.)

    It's not fucking source code and you should at least be able to grasp that much.

    What gives you the idea that I confuse rockets and software? I haven't even mention software.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  73. Let's start with the simple things by dbIII · · Score: 1
    New fuel tank - so different takeoff mass, different size and different flight characteristics.
    That creates a new element of risk hence my comment way above that you seemed to object to.

    What gives you the idea that I confuse rockets and software? I haven't even mention software.

    The way you are discussing design gives me that impression.