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In Historic Turn, CO2 Emissions Flatline In 2014, Even As Global Economy Grows

mdsolar sends this report from Forbes: A key stumbling block in the effort to combat global warming has been the intimate link between greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth. When times are good and industries are thriving, global energy use traditionally increases and energy-related carbon dioxide emissions also go up. Only when economies stumble and businesses shutter — as during the most recent financial crisis — does energy use typically decline, in turn bringing down planet-warming emissions.

But for the first time in nearly half a century, that synchrony between economic growth and energy-related emissions seems to have been broken, according to the Paris-based International Energy Agency, prompting its chief economist to wonder if an important new pivot point has been reached — one that decouples economic vigor and carbon pollution. The IEA pegged carbon dioxide emissions for 2014 at 32.3 billion metric tons — essentially the same volume as 2013, even as the global economy grew at a rate of about 3 percent. Whether the disconnect is a mere fluke or a true harbinger of a paradigm shift is impossible to know. The IEA suggested that decreasing use of coal in China — and upticks in renewable electricity generation there using solar, wind and hydropower — could have contributed to the reversal.

283 comments

  1. Meanwhile... by ckatko · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...A man has cancer, and and he's still getting sicker, but not sicker at a faster rate, so I'm sure he'll be just fine.

    1. Re:Meanwhile... by Coren22 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If you thought it was easy to cure all the world's ills, wouldn't you expect it to of already happened?

      The world doesn't stop on a dime, it takes time to switch to low CO2 technologies.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    2. Re:Meanwhile... by Smidge204 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      More importantly, this strains the argument that green technologies threaten economic growth. That means dirtier fossil energy is a lot harder to justify, and renewable energy more appealing.

      Could be the beginnings of a positive feedback loop. Here's hoping!
      =Smidge=

    3. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

      Well, i guess we should just stop using energy at all. That'd cure the man?

    4. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      More importantly, this strains the argument that green technologies threaten economic growth. That means dirtier fossil energy is a lot harder to justify, and renewable energy more appealing.

      Could be the beginnings of a positive feedback loop. Here's hoping!
      =Smidge=

      Not necessarily. It could mean that a MIX of energy generation solutions is okay. It certainly does not mean that renewables on their own could reliably power an industrialised society and not being able to do that most definitely will hurt economic growth, prosperity and living standards.

    5. Re:Meanwhile... by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      If you thought it was easy to cure all the world's ills, wouldn't you expect it to of already happened?

      The world doesn't stop on a dime, it takes time to switch to low CO2 technologies.

      That's if you fix it at the consumption end.

      At the supply end it take a few good armies to stop everyone digging it out of the ground and burning it.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    6. Re:Meanwhile... by Daniel+Hoffmann · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Our whole society is based around economic growth, but as population increase beings to flatline this whole system will collapse. Look what is happening in Japan, soon that will happen in Europe and the rest of the developed nations. Immigration will help somewhat but after some time even undeveloped nations will begin to see negative or very low population growth and with it so will the economy growth.

    7. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That means dirtier fossil energy is a lot harder to justify, and renewable energy more appealing.

      And nuclear even more so.

    8. Re:Meanwhile... by Kjella · · Score: 3, Interesting

      So what did you expect, to tell the world's poor that if they get rich they'll pollute more and the planet can't take it, so stay poor? For the rich to say let's lower our standard of living to a third world country because it's so environmentally friendly? Genocide? We're making progress towards becoming greener in a way that will actually be acceptable, as opposed to all the ways that aren't. If curbing pollution doesn't have to be about hamstringing economic development we might see a lot more willingness to make an effort while now it's mostly a shit-slinging fight about who should bear the biggest burdens.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    9. Re:Meanwhile... by microbox · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Don't be so pessimistic -- we have the technological know-how to fix this problem, or at least, we are pretty close, and the right things are in the pipeline, to become mature when we need them. The article is alluding to this fact. The problem with AGW is political will, and bloody mindedness from the "truther" crowd.

      --

      Like all pain, suffering is a signal that something isn't right
    10. Re:Meanwhile... by duck_rifted · · Score: 4, Insightful

      That depends upon whether curing the world's ills would too negatively impact those who hold the most power and wealth. I sincerely believe that when it really comes down to it, there are very powerful people who would rather see the world end than stop getting richer while it lasts.

    11. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh, did you expect it to suddenly drop like a brick? It's just floors me how obtuse people are around here.

    12. Re:Meanwhile... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      More likely, it's the steady replacement of coal by natural gas. If carbon is as real a problem as claimed, this in the long run will not be enough.

    13. Re:Meanwhile... by Zecheus · · Score: 1

      ...so the only organizations left with fuel would be the armies?

    14. Re:Meanwhile... by Obfuscant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      More importantly, this strains the argument that green technologies threaten economic growth.

      No, what it does is require an answer to the question: what is the margin of error on the CO2 emission data? It's not a direct measurement, it has to be an estimate. If the error in the estimate is more than the 3% of the economic growth number, then this data proves nothing at all. The CO2 levels could have actually gone up 3% to match the economy.

    15. Re:Meanwhile... by neilo_1701D · · Score: 1

      If you thought it was easy to cure all the world's ills, wouldn't you expect it to of already happened?

      The world doesn't stop on a dime, it takes time to switch to low CO2 technologies.

      That's if you fix it at the consumption end.

      At the supply end it take a few good armies to stop everyone digging it out of the ground and burning it.

      How do you propose to power the army to get there and back?

    16. Re:Meanwhile... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      More importantly, this strains the argument that green technologies threaten economic growth.

      It is also interesting what is driving the change. It is not big government programs, like carbon markets (which have been a corrupted failure) and subsidies, or international agreements (the biggest gains are in countries that were non-signatories to climate change agreements). Much bigger factors have been shale gas replacing coal, more efficient ICEs, and more efficient use of electricity (LED/CFL lights, variable speed motors, LCDs replacing CRTs).

    17. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Immigration will help somewhat

      Only if the immigrants are willing to work hard. That's not true for quite a few of immigrants we see in Europe.

    18. Re:Meanwhile... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      It only takes a few good armies to depopulate the world by 35%. The total related death toll of WWII seems around 4% and no one was really targeting the civilian population as a matter of intent.

      That would fix the problem too. I bring it up because if we are going to use armies to force our will onto others, the tactics used will largely bent to the will. There are a lot of enviromentalist who think the world is over populated and as long as armies are going to be used- well, just saying..

    19. Re:Meanwhile... by circletimessquare · · Score: 5, Informative

      coal has a lot of other problems besides just CO2, so the switch to natural gas is an improvement in other environmental areas besides just CO2 emissions

      --
      intellectual property law is philosophically incoherent. it is your moral duty to ignore it or sabotage it
    20. Re:Meanwhile... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      what is the margin of error on the CO2 emission data? It's not a direct measurement, it has to be an estimate.

      There is not a meter on every tailpipe, so we cannot directly measure emissions. But we can very accurately measure CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. CO2 from burning fuel can be distinguished from CO2 from biological processes because the isotope ratios are different. We can also measure fossil fuel extraction and storage, and from that calculate consumption.

    21. Re:Meanwhile... by pipingguy · · Score: 1

      It's models all the way down.

    22. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      I could fix the whole CO2 thing easily by seeding the oceans with iron powder, that would increase O2 to dangerous levels

      Why ? Where would this O2 be coming from ?

    23. Re:Meanwhile... by Phillip2 · · Score: 2

      It's a good point, but then the CO2 emissions have consistently gone up for years, so even if there is a margin for error and they get close enough to be within the margin for error, then it's interesting.

      Of course, it could also be just total nonsense, and the result of some strange statistical blip. Another possibility, is that it's the measurement of economics which is wrong -- after this is "the first time out of a recession" not "the first time". When I look at economics, I still get pretty depressed, so perhaps that it is the broken measurement.

    24. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And this relates to the article, how?

    25. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...A man has cancer, and and he's still getting sicker, but not sicker at a faster rate, so I'm sure he'll be just fine.

      Typical. Treat good news as something wrong.

      Why do you WANT man's activities to be harmful to the Earth's biosphere?

      Just like those that go ape shit when confronted with evidence that AGW projections were overblown and human activity doesn't seem to cause as much warming as predicted.

      Why is that BAD news that must be attacked and undermined?

    26. Re:Meanwhile... by Obfuscant · · Score: 2

      But we can very accurately measure CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere.

      This study shows the best sensor tested had an accuracy of 30ppm plus 2% of the reading. That means if the reading is 500ppm, you can be reasonably sure that the actual value is between 460 and 540 ppm. That's a range of 80ppm, and an error of 8%.

      Second, while there is a correlation between atmospheric concentration and emission, it is not a 1:1 correlation. There are other processes involved.

      We can also measure fossil fuel extraction and storage, and from that calculate consumption.

      Nobody asked me how many trees I cut down to feed the fireplace this winter. You can get approximate numbers for some fuel supplies, but those numbers don't equate to CO2 emissions. Spills and evaporation will consume gasoline but not produce CO2, for example. Wood used for heating may be sold but not consumed, or it may deteriorate (rot or pestilence) such that it cannot be used.

      The emissions numbers are estimates. They have an error associated with them. If the error is as large or larger than the measurement of economic growth, then it is quite possible that the emissions did go up at the same rate as the economic growth. This failure to acknowledge errors in making statements that allegedly prove things is not uncommon when one wants to prove that very thing.

    27. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There actually is a meter in every tailpipe. This is how engines determine how much fuel to inject. However, they are generally not uplinked to a master data collection server.

    28. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Our whole society is based around economic growth, but as population increase beings to flatline this whole system will collapse.

      Nonsense.

      Your comment indicates that you fail understand something important and fundamental: Economic well-being depends not on the total amount of wealth, but the average amount of wealth per person.

      Declines in the gross size of an economy are not, per se, either a symptom or cause of economic collapse. Per-capita declines do indicate a decline in the average economic well-being of individuals. Declines in gross measures can indicate either a decline in the number of individuals or a decline in their average economic well-being, or both.

    29. Re:Meanwhile... by penandpaper · · Score: 1

      Show me the error bars. Best advice given by a high school science teacher.

    30. Re:Meanwhile... by slew · · Score: 2

      what is the margin of error on the CO2 emission data? It's not a direct measurement, it has to be an estimate.

      There is not a meter on every tailpipe, so we cannot directly measure emissions. But we can very accurately measure CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere. CO2 from burning fuel can be distinguished from CO2 from biological processes because the isotope ratios are different. We can also measure fossil fuel extraction and storage, and from that calculate consumption.

      Although you *might* measure things like this, I'm pretty sure the IEA methodology in this report is to estimate the so-called "end-use" energy consumption and compute the probable CO2 emissions by scaling factors in the proportion of the different CO2 profiles of the different energy production means (by proportion of those production means). The CO2 emission scaling factors are taken from the 1996 IPCC Guidelines so are averages across many regions and industries, not measured numbers that include efficiency numbers. The proportion of production is survey information, also not measured (e.g, if a country reports 100 nuclear power plants and conversions from coal to gas, but those facilities are offline most of the year, the average scaling factor will be quite optimistic)...

      Also there are also changes in source data collection and estimation methodology from time to time. A critical example might be 2014 vs 2013 (as described in the report)..

      For the 2014 edition of this publication, end-use energy consumption data for the United States show a break in series with historical data due to a change in methodology. The break in series occurs between 2011 and 2012 for oil; and between 2001 and 2002 for electricity and natural gas. The new methodology is based on the last historical year of the most recent Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) publication. Changes occur primarily in reported end-use energy consumption in the industrial sector and its subsectors, including the nonmanufacturing industries of mining, construction and agriculture. Historical revisions are pending.

      It's all possbile that this is just a discontinuity due to change in estimation methodology rather than something real in some measured data...

    31. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      This [google.com] study shows the best sensor tested had an accuracy of 30ppm plus 2% of the reading.

      Atmospheric CO2 measurements do not use simple commercial CO2 sensors like this. Here's a description of the process used in the Mauna Loa observatory.

      http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/c...

      Accuracy is typically better than 0.2 ppm.

      Nobody asked me how many trees I cut down to feed the fireplace this winter.

      Compared to massive production of coal, oil and gas, a few trees aren't going to make a noticeable difference.

    32. Re:Meanwhile... by mean+pun · · Score: 1

      It is also interesting what is driving the change. It is not big government programs, like carbon markets (which have been a corrupted failure) and subsidies, or international agreements (the biggest gains are in countries that were non-signatories to climate change agreements).

      Any documentation to back up these claims? Nobody expected miracles from the carbon markets, but as far as I can tell they did make a difference. Subsidies not having an impact seems highly unlikely, and even if your last claim is true it does not mean that the international agreements did not have an impact; directly and indirectly.

      Much bigger factors have been shale gas replacing coal, more efficient ICEs, and more efficient use of electricity (LED/CFL lights, variable speed motors, LCDs replacing CRTs).

      There have been pretty big carrots and sticks from governments all over the world to get to more efficient ICEs, so claiming government programs did not have an impact seems counterfactual to me. Similar for LED/CFL lights, and at least to some degree CRTs->LCDs (and I doubt this is a big splash in the pool). Variable-speed motors as a big reason for more efficiency seems, err, whimsical.

    33. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      That is actually pretty unlikely as mainly the USA invested into more natural gas plants and not Europe.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    34. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Why was that mosded flaimbait? Hopefully an error?

      Actually the CO2 emissions are 'estimated' on the amount of burned coal/gas/oil, which basically is taxed in every country one or the other way (or the CO2 emission itself is taxed or needs a certificate) ... so bottom line it is extremely accurate!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    35. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1, Insightful

      The amount of trees a private household burns is irrelevant. They are CO2 neutral as they consume the exact same amount you release when they regrow.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    36. Re:Meanwhile... by allcoolnameswheretak · · Score: 1

      Japan has been stagnating a bit, but what's wrong with stagnation when you have an unemployment rate of 3.6 percent, a crime rate of practically zero and a populace that is generally well of? We really do have this obsession with growth, but I don't see anything wrong with stagnation once you have reached a certain level of wealth and comfort.

    37. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Actually it is wrong. Ever heared about the bombing of the UK by the germans or the bombing of Germany by the allied forces? Or the A-Bombs on Hiroshima and .nagasaki?

      Also 'reducing' the population won't help. It would cut down CO2 emissions but not set it to zero. The goal for the next decade needs to be to get emissions down and as close to zero as possible.

      No idea why people think, kilimg some people might help. The surviving people, especially if they survive a war, will likely produce more CO2 per capita then before.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    38. Re:Meanwhile... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Actually the CO2 produced by burning fossil fuels is a pretty straightforward calculation. For instance if you burn a ton of coal (70% carbon so 1400 lbs of carbon) that produces 2.56 tons of CO2. The actual amount produced is a bit less than that because the coal isn't burned perfectly. So as long as we know how much fossil fuels have been consumed we can calculate the CO2 produced.

    39. Re:Meanwhile... by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      I just heard a story on NPR discussing this story. One of the authors said that one of the bigger factors is that coal use in China is down a bit and has been replaced by hydro, wind and solar.

    40. Re:Meanwhile... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

      I know that the anti-sciecne movement has prevented Europe from drilling its own gas, but aren't they just buying it from Russia?

    41. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      No idea why people think, kilimg some people might help. The surviving people, especially if they survive a war, will likely produce more CO2 per capita then before.

      Not if you kill all the coal miners and oil rig workers :)

    42. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Wrong on all acounts.

      AGW is proven since centuries.

      Ironing the oceans might help eat some CO2, but even if all CO2 was converted into Cx + O2 the O2 level would not even increas by half a percent.

      That is a no brainer and you would know that if you had any idea about the topic at all ... but continue to believe that AGW is not proven, (*facepalm*)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    43. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      Ironing the oceans might help eat some CO2, but even if all CO2 was converted into Cx + O2 the O2 level would not even increas by half a percent.

      And the CO2 reduction mechanism is actually conversion of CO2 to carbonate shells that sink to the ocean floor, so it wouldn't even have any effect on O2 levels. Any CO2 that's converted to organic forms of carbon would be quickly eaten by other ocean life and converted back into CO2.

    44. Re: Meanwhile... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Yersinia pestis; Ebola; avaian flu are much more efficient.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    45. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, what's proven is that human contribute to the overall CO2 levels in the world. What's not proven is that humans are to blame for 100% of it. In fact, ALL of humans' activities make up barely 6% of all the CO2 produced yearly in the world. However, the non-human contributions and the non-human sinks have less than a 6% difference, meaning that adding humans into the mix puts the contributions over the sinks, causing excess CO2.

      Taken in the opposite order, If you add human sources first and then non-human sources later, non-human sources of CO2 add 94% of the CO2 in the world when only 96% will be taken out by carbon sinks. So, who really is to blame for all the CO2? The 6% Humans or the 94% Nature? Keep in mind that human carbon sinks (green energy expansion, hybrid/electric vehicles, carbon reduction efficiencies at factories, planting more trees, etc.) aren't really accounted for, which is why this flatline surprises people. (And no, China's failing economy doesn't account for it because despite China failing everyone else seems to be prospering, hence the 3% increase in GLOBAL economy.)

    46. Re:Meanwhile... by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 1

      I think the figures are suspect anyway. We'll hear claims about it for a while, then somebody will come up with more realistic figures putting the lie to it, but that will be ignored by the alarmists.

      That has been the way it has usually worked in recent years.

      I expect even before the numbers are refuted, they will start trying to take credit for cooler temperatures.

    47. Re:Meanwhile... by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 2

      Nothing was wrong with good hunting grounds and plentiful wild fruits and grains on the east african grasslands either.

    48. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      Europe had no anti science movements.
      To drill for gas, you need to have some.
      Surprisingly Europe is drilling for gas.
      You mean fraking perhaps? For your information: Europe is fraking since over 50 years. Note: unlike in the USA that is regulated and if you cause earth quakes or other damage to property the exploring companies pay the bills without making a big fuss about it.

      And yes, we import gas from Russia, especially German. What exactly is your point?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    49. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Hm ... that is an idea ...
      You are Ev!l !!

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    50. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who will start trying to take credit for what cooler temperatures?

    51. Re:Meanwhile... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      We hadn't yet reached the level of wealth and comfort as early 21st century Japan, though.

    52. Re:Meanwhile... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      That's interesting. Have there been instances in Europe where fracking caused earthquakes that companies were required to pay damages for? I hadn't heard of any such thing. Are there examples you can cite?

    53. Re: Meanwhile... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Not really. All the bodies in mass graves will emit lots of methane. Also, the disease vector of lots of dead bodys lying around will drive up medical cost enormously for the survivors.

    54. Re:Meanwhile... by blue9steel · · Score: 2

      Well the terrible infant mortality and lack of a dental plan wasn't so attractive.

    55. Re:Meanwhile... by chasm22 · · Score: 1

      Interesting comment that I would like to have some cites on. As you well know the only thing corrupting 'big government' is assholes on the right bringing 'big government' to its knees whenever an opportunity arises for 'big government' to make a difference. Of course I am referring to 'big government' as the US model. You know, the one where we have a bunch of red neck right wing wanna be good ol boys fucking up the country. You know the one. Where a Senator from a farm in the middle of a swamp in a state that rightfully has few citizens, has the same say as the one I voted for. You know the country. My Senator comes from a state with enormous population(the largest), enormous economy(largest) and yet has to sit and be brow beaten by Sen.Redneck.

      Do I sound mad? You bet. Because we all know that this didn't happen by accident. Won't go into that whole thing. But what I will say is I am so fucking sick and tired of hearing the term 'big government' used in situation like the one you used it in that I could puke. You act as if we're fucking children. Like 'big government' is excluded from political events. You act as if we had a coherent energy plan in place in the US and as YOU DAMN WELL FUCKING KNOW WE DON'T. SO QUIT WITH THE 'BIG GOVERNMENT' PROGRAMS ARE A FAILURE BULLSHIT WHEN THE REAL PROBLEM IS THE FUCKING LACK OF A BIG GOVERNMENT PROGRAM IN CONJUNCTION WITH A BIG INTERNATIONAL TREATY.

    56. Re:Meanwhile... by Obfuscant · · Score: 2

      Atmospheric CO2 measurements do not use simple commercial CO2 sensors like this. Here's a description of the process used in the Mauna Loa observatory.

      One place on the planet, on the surface. Using a method that does not differentiate between CO2 and anything else that might absorb IR (except by using a cold trap to remove water.)

      Yes, there are highly accurate ways to measure CO2. Unless you want to argue that ALL of the ways used to measure it are as accurate, then you need to accept that there is an error in measuring it. And again, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is not a direct measurement of emission, which is what the article talks about.

      Compared to massive production of coal, oil and gas, a few trees aren't going to make a noticeable difference.

      It was one trivial example of how tallying up the sales of fuels does not yield an accurate calculation of CO2 emission worldwide. It wasn't intended by itself as proof that the calculations are an estimate.

      As for another comment that claimed this was carbon-neutral, I'm sorry, but no. Trees do not, by themselves, regrow from the stumps left after they are cut down. I have the stumps to prove it.

    57. Re:Meanwhile... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      AGW is proven since centuries.

      Well...it's not quite that straightforward.

      1) Yes, we are measuring increases in atmospheric CO2 levels
      2) Yes, there is a well demonstrated effect in the lab where higher CO2 levels trap greater amounts of energy
      3) It's pretty likely that higher atmospheric CO2 levels are trapping more energy here on Earth and we've seen a variety of signs that seem to back that up
      4) However the models still aren't that great and the margins of error are pretty big, it's still possible that it's not happening or something else causing it
      5) Even if it is happening there is still quite a bit of legitimate debate over how bad it's going to be (somewhere between slight annoyance and end of species with the likely result being fairly major but not unlivable problem a hundred years from now)
      6) Fixing it is going to be expensive and that money has to come from somewhere, there is quite a bit of teeth gnashing about who is going to pay for all of that

    58. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      As far as I know there where no such cases. At least they made no big news if there where.
      We had ofc cases of 'break ins' due to coal mining, half a town got destroyed just a decade ago or something like that in germany due to collapsing coal mines (not used since a century).
      Small quakes we had in Swizerland during some geo thermal projects. Not really the same as fraking, though :)

      Actually I don't know what the difference is between the european way of fraking and the US. I only know we do it for quite a long time and luckily had no issues. I assume we have less gas and simply frak in greater depth, so we have no fround water issues (yet).

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    59. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      Using a method that does not differentiate between CO2 and anything else that might absorb IR (except by using a cold trap to remove water.)

      Do you really think these scientists need you to explain how to do their job ? What else could be in there to absorb IR that's not covered by the reference gas method, and that's being overlooked by these people who have been measuring CO2 for decades ?

      Yes, there are highly accurate ways to measure CO2. Unless you want to argue that ALL of the ways used to measure it are as accurate, then you need to accept that there is an error in measuring it.

      A very small error, yes. And there are multiple other stations around the world measuring CO2, and the results are consistent.

      And again, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is not a direct measurement of emission, which is what the article talks about

      I never said it was. I think they just add up the production of fossil fuels and calculate the CO2. However, I'm sure people also look at the concentration in the atmosphere, and correlate the results to make sure they didn't forget to account for some things.

      It was one trivial example of how tallying up the sales of fuels does not yield an accurate calculation of CO2 emission worldwide.

      Look at the numbers. They are talking about 32.3 billion metric tons of CO2. This is huge. You'd have to burn a billion trees to make a significant error in that number.

    60. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ofc, it is that straight forward.

      Models are used to make predictions.

      The fact that our models lack some prediction capabilities does not change the facts that CO2 leads to increased temperatures on earth or that said CO2 is man made.

      Sorry ... your ideas are quite wrong. Money e.g. can simply be made. We always had legislations punishing something by taxing it and rewarding something by subsidizing it. In Germany it seems to work quite well regarding CO2 emissions. No reason jt won't work on a global scale.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    61. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My friend's 18 month old baby died of cancer... at 18 months. WTF is this world coming to I ask myself every day.

    62. Re:Meanwhile... by itzly · · Score: 1

      Your points 1-3 agree with the notion that AGW is proven. Your points 5-6 talk about something else. Your point 4 is simply not true. The models are pretty good, it's just that there's plenty of short term noise due to weather that you can't expect a perfect match on decade long timescales. On longer timescales, the models are quite consistent with the observed data, not just this century, but also when looking at ice ages and other historic events. Furthermore, even without having the models, the trend over the last 50 years is quite obvious. As far as "something else causing it".... nobody can think of any other plausible explanation.

      And as far as your point 6, yes, fixing is going to be expensive, but it needs to be done anyway. Carbon based fuels are running low..

    63. Re:Meanwhile... by RightwingNutjob · · Score: 1

      It was if you didn't know any better.

    64. Re:Meanwhile... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      What makes you think CO2 emmisions need to be zero or as close to it as possible?

      All it needs to be is to a rate that sequestration, either artificial or natural, can regulate the atmospheric concentrations to acceptable levels. That does not need to be zero emmisions.

    65. Re:Meanwhile... by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      no one was really targeting the civilian population as a matter of intent

      Yeah right, tell that to the people of London, Dresden, Hiroshima, Manchester, Nagasaki, Auschwitz, etc, etc, the only reason Paris was spared was because Hitler valued the architecture and wanted to keep it intact.

      Even the most bloody wars (such as the English civil war) kill less than 5% of the population, OTOH the black plague regularly killed ~50% or more of the people in the cities/regions it infected. People who survived the plague had a brief period of high living standards due to all the abandon property lying around.

      There are a lot of environmentalist who think the world is over populated

      As a science based "greenie" my "agenda" is to be a part of a sustainable, peaceful, disease free species. Wars, plagues, and mass starvation are what I want to avoid. Science and common sense tell me that the main factor in obtaining what I want (for my 3 grandkids) is population. There's plenty of evidence we can achieve humane population control by educating and allowing women to control their bodies, and providing security of living standards in old age.

      Or we can continue to behave like fermenting yeast, expanding to consume our available resources and killing each other for access to untapped/unguarded resources (territory, water, food). AGW is the #1 mid (and long) term threat on the pentagon's list of threats to global stability and it has been that way for almost a decade. The reason is that AGW will dramatically change the current (territory, water, food) map, and it will do so this century - even if we all stop emitting GHGs today.

      Syrian civil war - Canary in the coal mine? - "There is evidence that the 20072010 drought contributed to the conflict in Syria. It was the worst drought in the instrumental record, causing widespread crop failure and a mass migration of farming families to urban centers. Century-long observed trends in precipitation, temperature, and sea-level pressure, supported by climate model results, strongly suggest that anthropogenic forcing has increased the probability of severe and persistent droughts in this region, and made the occurrence of a 3-year drought as severe as that of 20072010 2 to 3 times more likely than by natural variability alone. We conclude that human influences on the climate system are implicated in the current Syrian conflict."

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    66. Re:Meanwhile... by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 0

      The one European country that consistently supports science is France. It's been this way since the Revolution - small wonder that our own first ambassador was Ben Franklin. But even France has participated in the anti-GMO hysteria spreading through Europe. Now there's an anti-vaccine movement as well:
      http://www.thedailybeast.com/a...
      And of course, everyone is familiar with Germany's replacement, in direct collision with the concern over carbon, of nuclear power with brown coal.

      The last mention of fracking I heard of in Germany was that attempt to develop geothermal energy in an old volcanic stump in the southwestern corner of the country. As soon as the first tiny dish-rattler earthquake was felt in Basel, the Germans shut down geothermal development, and it was never heard from again.

    67. Re:Meanwhile... by Obfuscant · · Score: 1

      Where a Senator from a farm in the middle of a swamp in a state that rightfully has few citizens, has the same say as the one I voted for. ... Do I sound mad? You bet. Because we all know that this didn't happen by accident.

      Yep. Designed by the founders of the country and enshrined in the Constitution. They developed a two-tier legislative system where one is based on representing the people and the other representing the interests of the states themselves. In one, the number of members allocated to each state is based on population (or is supposed to be). In the other, each state gets the same amount of say.

      This is why taxation and budget bills are supposed to be originated in the House, since such bills have an impact on the citizens of the country as a whole and not so much on the states themselves.

      Unfortunately, the public education system has failed to teach the citizens the difference, and many of them now expect the two bodies to perform the same function, with one being just a smaller version of the other.

      This confusion is also exacerbated by the decision of states to allow the residents to elect the members of the smaller body instead of them being appointed by the governor or other system. When picking Senators is the same process as picking Representatives it is harder to realize that they are intended to perform different functions and serve different masters.

    68. Re:Meanwhile... by Obfuscant · · Score: 1, Informative

      AGW is proven since centuries.

      This is 2015. "Centuries" would mean it was proven by 1815. Sure you want to make that claim?

      Do you recognize "AIP"? American Institute of Physics. They say here:

      In the 19th century, scientists realized that gases in the atmosphere cause a "greenhouse effect" which affects the planet's temperature. These scientists were interested chiefly in the possibility that a lower level of carbon dioxide gas might explain the ice ages of the distant past.

      So in the 1800's, scientists were not talking about global warming but that CO2 levels might have been responsible for the ice ages. Then:

      At the turn of the century, Svante Arrhenius calculated that emissions from human industry might someday bring a global warming. Other scientists dismissed his idea as faulty.

      Eight-five years after you claim AGW was proven, it was still a theory that wasn't close to universally accepted, much less proven.

      In 1938, G.S. Callendar argued that the level of carbon dioxide was climbing and raising global temperature, but most scientists found his arguments implausible.

      One hundred and twenty three years after you claim AGW was proven, most scientists didn't accept the arguments that unattributed CO2 sources were causing a warming. "Proof by consensus" is a double-edged sword, not to mention bad science.

      In the early 1960s, C.D. Keeling measured the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere: it was rising fast.

      One hundred and forty-five years after the theory was proven, the first measurements of atmospheric CO2 were made.

      Ironing the oceans might help eat some CO2, but even if all CO2 was converted into Cx + O2 the O2 level would not even increas by half a percent.

      It would, however, prove fatal to a large amount of the flora on the planet. Starvation is as much a means of death as hyperoxygenation. Dead is dead.

    69. Re:Meanwhile... by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      And as far as your point 6, yes, fixing is going to be expensive, but it needs to be done anyway. Carbon based fuels are running low..

      Two points:

      1. Carbon based fuels aren't running low, there are more reserves in the world today than there have ever been, and there is plenty more to take... this idea that we're "running out" is just nonsense.

      2. If you push the change too quickly, then it will be very expensive, you won't end up with the change you want, you'll end up with war. Be careful how hard you push, lest you get pushback.

    70. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because with good news, theres no reason for government involvement and more taxing. Most hardcore AGW `believers' are watermelons, green on the outside, communist red on the inside. It's all about control, because they know how you should live your life.

    71. Re: Meanwhile... by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Well, in America, we have Obamacare.
      I guess for the dead, we will have to get GOPcare to pay for it. :)

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    72. Re:Meanwhile... by Socguy · · Score: 1

      Because a great many /. users rate comments according to their personal beliefs, not on the actual merit of the comment. Still others are are employed by interest groups to scour the internet and 'promote' their employers views by any means necessary, be that FUD or by down-voting opposing viewpoints.

    73. Re:Meanwhile... by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      Yeah right, tell that to the people of London, Dresden, Hiroshima, Manchester, Nagasaki, Auschwitz, etc, etc, the only reason Paris was spared was because Hitler valued the architecture and wanted to keep it intact.

      Targeting civilian centers is not exactly targeting civilians but I will concede this point. I just do not remember the Nazi's or the Japs marching into a town and killing everything that moved which was sort of what I was thinking when I mean targeting civilians, Perhaps something like Sherman's march to the sea except taking the populations out with it.

      Even the most bloody wars (such as the English civil war) kill less than 5% of the population, OTOH the black plague regularly killed ~50% or more of the people in the cities/regions it infected. People who survived the plague had a brief period of high living standards due to all the abandon property lying around.

      Actually, the body count was similar if you count actual deaths and not as a percentage of the population.They estimate that is you count all the disease and famine associated with WWII that upwards of 80 million people died where as the black plague killed 75-200 million and they both reportedly were around 7 years long. But the population was just a lot higher. That would likely make another plague outbreak a lot more deadly so I again concede this point to you. But the only reason I brought up using the military is because the parent did.

      As a science based "greenie" my "agenda" is to be a part of a sustainable, peaceful, disease free species. Wars, plagues, and mass starvation are what I want to avoid. Science and common sense tell me that the main factor in obtaining what I want (for my 3 grandkids) is population. There's plenty of evidence we can achieve humane population control by educating and allowing women to control their bodies, and providing security of living standards in old age.

      And I'm glad you are a reasonable greenie but as I said, they are out there who think the world is over populated and they are in some influential positions. Ted Turner is probably the most notable one I know of who at one time attempted to offer free birth control to poor neighborhoods and African countries because that is where the population explosions were coming from. In fact, one of the problems with aids in Africa stems from the fact that there are urban legends about people not wanting them to reproduce and their own or waring governments practicing Eugenics (forced sterilization of their enemies, sometimes with airborne chemicals) so condom usage is very suspect and extremely low in practice. People like the director of the U.N. Population Division, John Wilmoth, expects the world to meet Africa's birth control or need for family planning and warns that because of global warming and crap.. So we need to stop Africans from breeding I guess.

      Or we can continue to behave like fermenting yeast, expanding to consume our available resources and killing each other for access to untapped/unguarded resources (territory, water, food). AGW is the #1 mid (and long) term threat on the pentagon's list of threats to global stability and it has been that way for almost a decade. The reason is that AGW will dramatically change the current (territory, water, food) map, and it will do so this century - even if we all stop emitting GHGs today.

      Or we can create machines that capture carbon from the air and run them all over the world and we will not have to worry about AGW. That's the problem I have, people are more than willing to give up freedoms, to surrender other people's freedoms and way of life, often at the point of a gun (government law or even "armies" as the GP suggested) and in ways that create duress and hardships for others in the name of global warming but they will not consider geo-engineering l

    74. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      what is the margin of error on the CO2 emission data?

      The better question is: what is the margin of error on measuring global economic growth?

      What if there was no 3% growth.

    75. Re:Meanwhile... by jellomizer · · Score: 1

      Yea I guess there has be no advancements in treating cancer over the years. Oh wait they have!
      The neat thing about having a population of over 6 billion people is that we can focus on multiple issues at once.

      Guess what not everyone is suited to study cancer, they me be better at climate research, or perhaps they have the ability to do something else.

      --
      If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
    76. Re:Meanwhile... by Mike+Frett · · Score: 1

      Ahh, you're one of the people that think they WANT to Cure it. Why Cure it when you can milk it for more money?

    77. Re: Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, thats not how it works.

      Cars have two sensors, an oxygen sensor on the exhaust, and a mass flow of some sort on the intake. The mass flow takes into account incoming air temperature and density and the Oxygen sensor monitors the exhaust for free oxygen. The two sensors feed into the computer which adjusts the fuel injection system to maintain the optimal air to fuel ratio.

      It does not measure CO2.

    78. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The green solution is to euthanize the man with cancer.

    79. Re: Meanwhile... by toddestan · · Score: 1

      However, you have enough information (the amount of fuel burned) to know how much CO2 the car emitted. They do the reverse to determine the mileage a car gets - they measure the amount of CO2 the car emits and use that to determine the amount of fuel the car burned.

    80. Re:Meanwhile... by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      > If carbon is as real a problem as claimed, this in the long run will not be enough.

      It most certainly will. Do your math.

    81. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Ofc it needs to be zero.

      Otherwise the level will increase indefinitely.

      Sorry, why do you ask/claim such nonsense?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    82. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      The one European country that consistently supports science is France.
      Pfft ...
      And of course, everyone is familiar with Germany's replacement, in direct collision with the concern over carbon, of nuclear power with brown coal.
      If you are "aware" of something like this, then you are mistaken.
      Nuclear power in Germany is replaced by wind and solar.

      The last mention of fracking I heard of in Germany was that attempt to develop geothermal energy in an old volcanic stump in the southwestern corner of the country. As soon as the first tiny dish-rattler earthquake was felt in Basel, the Germans shut down geothermal development, and it was never heard from again.
      That was a Swiss project, not a german one.
      http://www.nytimes.com/2009/12...

      No idea about what you want to rant.

      What have GMO, exit of nuclear energy, stop of a geo thermal project to do with "Science" or "Anti Science"?

      Science is done in universities and research centers. Not in politics or public opinions.

      If you like GMOs eat them. If you like a nuclear plant, built one. If you want a special geo thermal project, conduct one.

      However if you want to discuss about science, then perhaps start getting your facts straight?

      All claims you made in your post about GMO, nuclear versus brown coal and germany/swizerland geothermal plants: are wrong. Wow ...

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    83. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Sorry,
      you claims are all wrong. No idea why you make them.

      The last one is so hilarious ... sorry.

      I suggest to read a book about when it was realized that CO2 causes "warming" of the atmosphere ... I think it was around 1820 or so ... so yes: it is nearly two hundred years, which is "centuries" and even if it is only 101 years it is a century + 1 year which is 1.01 centuries, plural.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    84. Re:Meanwhile... by catprog · · Score: 1

      These scientists were interested chiefly in the possibility that a lower level of carbon dioxide gas might explain the ice ages of the distant past.

      A lower CO2 level causes cooling in other words?

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
    85. Re:Meanwhile... by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      If consequences are half as dire as the potential that's been will talked about, I fear the only way we could get the world to stop on that dime is with a crystal ball that shows the future.

      Until we have that people are going to figure it's someone else's problem. Or they're completely ignorant bastards like a relative who told me "it's arrogant to think we can effect the planet." I wanted to punch him. If your source (singular) of information is Rush Limbaugh you deserve no opinion, or at least no respect.

    86. Re:Meanwhile... by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      The economic growth argument was just grasping at straws when they were showed fairly definitive proof of increasing CO2 levels and acidification of the oceans.

      But such people have their heads in the sand anyway, there will always be another straw to grasp.

    87. Re:Meanwhile... by shutdown+-p+now · · Score: 1

      They are quite willing to work hard if necessary (they wouldn't have lived long enough to immigrate if that were not the case). You just don't give them incentives to do so. Why bother, if they can live better than where they came from without lifting a finger?

    88. Re:Meanwhile... by Coren22 · · Score: 1

      Many of the water issues you hear in the news is false. The areas where it makes sense to frack have an abundance of natural gas (or oil). Therefore, the natural gas/oil is most likely already in the subsurface water. But it is fun to blame it on the fracking companies rather than saying that the water always burned.

      --
      APK likes to ask for responses to the same things over and over. Maybe he just likes the responses?
    89. Re:Meanwhile... by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The Germans did target civilian populations in WWII. I can't think of other belligerents doing the same thing on a large scale, but most of them were pretty much indifferent to civilian deaths caused by their methods of waging war, and some of the actions (like strategic bombing or the Japanese administration of occupied territory) were pretty well guaranteed to kill large numbers of civilians.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    90. Re:Meanwhile... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Money e.g. can simply be made.

      In a fiat monetary system of course we can create more currency however that doesn't increase the total amount of wealth, just the counters we use to represent it.

    91. Re:Meanwhile... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The hysterical opposition to GMOs in large parts of Europe, including Germany, is anti-science. Similarly, the fearmongering over Fukushima that caused the transition away from nuclear (especially in Germany, and regardless of what those plants were replaced with) was anti-science. It's not as bad in most of Europe as it is here in the USA, but let's not say there there aren't any anti-science movements there.

    92. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      ver that doesn't increase the total amount of wealth, just the counters we use to represent it.

      But the stuff you spent the money for does.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    93. Re:Meanwhile... by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      But the stuff you spent the money for does.

      Only sometimes. Some forms of spending actually destroy wealth, in others it stays even. For example, suppose I pay for construction of a road that doesn't lead to or from anywhere useful. Both labor and materials were used up but nothing of value was added so in this case wealth was destroyed. In another example I buy a house that someone else has lived in and is now selling, no value has been created it was just transferred from one person to another.

    94. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Obviously :D

      However you don't know what all the workers do with the money they earned and what the previous house owner does with the money he got.

      Economics are not "that" simple.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    95. Re:Meanwhile... by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      One thing has not much to do with the other.
      Ground water is not very deep below the surface, fracking is done in far deeper depths.
      So if AFTER fracking there is oil in the groundwater, it obviously comes from the fracking. Otherwise it had beed there before already

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  2. Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by BillCable · · Score: 3, Funny

    I guess we've done enough to ward off all those hurricanes and droughts and tornadoes and dogs and cats living together. No need for a carbon tax! Congrats, humanity!!

  3. What good is technology? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    To make the world smaller? Space travel excluded. I would like a mars po box. thanks

  4. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Carewolf · · Score: 4, Informative

    Just in case you are not being sarcastic, or someone is not getting it: Even with constant emisions, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere is still increasing, now it is just no longer also accelerating.

  5. That explains why... by dildos_akimbo · · Score: 0

    this winter was so fuckin cold - need moar CO2

  6. Disconnect between ... by dmt0 · · Score: 2

    economic statistics and economic reality?

    1. Re:Disconnect between ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No not at all.

      Oil prices are down drastically because of overproduction in part fed by lack of demand. This is well known in economic circles, it's not controversial, it's simple hard fact.

      Lack of demand implies that there's simply a lack of increase in burning of oil.

      It shouldn't be a surprise therefore that CO2 emissions have flatlined alongside that.

      So even the economics explain this. Anyone claiming a mystery as in the summary is probably just a denialist shill trying yet another unscientific approach to claiming global warming isn't man made.

    2. Re:Disconnect between ... by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      Exactly. Economic 'statistics' are really economic propaganda. To control inflation, prices are not raised, you just get more watered down products. More jobs, lower wages and less benefits. Economics is a religion, not a science. It ignores critical data.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    3. Re:Disconnect between ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Precisely.

      Letting corporations and large banks borrow money at zero interest in order to purchase back their stocks and inflate asset prices is not the same as economic growth. Throw in massaged CPI numbers that underestimate inflation and we have what we see now, the outward appearance of economic growth in a declining economy.

    4. Re:Disconnect between ... by dmt0 · · Score: 1

      And lack of demand for oil is due to economic growth?

    5. Re:Disconnect between ... by dmt0 · · Score: 1

      Precisely.

      Letting corporations and large banks borrow money at zero interest in order to purchase back their stocks and inflate asset prices is not the same as economic growth. Throw in massaged CPI numbers that underestimate inflation and we have what we see now, the outward appearance of economic growth in a declining economy.

      mod parent up

    6. Re:Disconnect between ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Go on, say it...FRACKING.

      That's the 80% "other part".

      This isn't Harry Potter and the "Technology that Shall Not be Named."

    7. Re:Disconnect between ... by Tailhook · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And lack of demand for oil is due to economic growth?

      Obviously not. The GP is inventing a narrative to fit his worldview.

      The oversupply that has dropped oil prices is not due to lack of demand. The oversupply has been created by N. American independent oil producers that have absolutely flooded the market with non-cartel controlled oil. There is so much oil sloshing around N. America that they are having trouble finding places to store it. This activity, combined with an effective moratorium on pipeline construction, is why you keep reading news stories about oil train derailments, fires and explosions.

      Crucially, this new supply of oil is not controlled by international oil cartels. Prior to the fracking boom, most oil production (on the order of 93%) was controlled by nationalized oil companies. These nations collude to constrain supply. The appearance of a huge supply of non-cartel oil has broken this arrangement and caused a price collapse.

      --
      Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    8. Re:Disconnect between ... by dmt0 · · Score: 3, Informative

      And that kinda explains why OPEC is not lowering production volumes, sacrificing North American oil industry - it's the non-cartel companies that are dying off.

    9. Re:Disconnect between ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > oil train derailments, fires and explosions

      Which is why the Republcians oppose new pipelines. They want more train disasters.

    10. Re:Disconnect between ... by Seng · · Score: 0

      I really wonder how a libtard gets such ideas. The Republicans in the country are largely FOR pipelines. The Demotards and their railroad-owning buddy Warren Buffet, want more railroads.

    11. Re:Disconnect between ... by painandgreed · · Score: 1

      And that kinda explains why OPEC is not lowering production volumes, sacrificing North American oil industry - it's the non-cartel companies that are dying off.

      Last I heard, OPEC isn't lowering production because Saudi Arabia said they weren't because they wanted to thumb their nose at Iran. OPEC wants to but effectively can't without Saudi Arabia's agreement.

    12. Re:Disconnect between ... by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      Buffet doesn't want more railroads.

      He wants more oil tankers, forced to roll on the railroads he owns.

    13. Re:Disconnect between ... by blue9steel · · Score: 0

      The Demotards and their railroad-owning buddy Warren Buffet, want more railroads.

      I think that's giving the Democrats a bit too much credit in this case. More likely they just can't be seen to be supporting tar sands oil without alienating their base, regardless of whether pipelines are safer than trains or not.

    14. Re:Disconnect between ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why mod him up? The statement is nonsense.

  7. Another explanation by istartedi · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Another explanation is that the global economy has flat-lined or gone into recession. CO2 may be a leading economic indicator for the next crash. GDP figures are more easily faked than CO2 levels.

    --
    For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    1. Re:Another explanation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      GDP figures are more easily faked than CO2 levels.

      Why? Are global CO2 emissions easier to measure accurately?

    2. Re:Another explanation by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

      Yes.

    3. Re:Another explanation by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      GDP figures are more easily faked than CO2 levels.

      :-) Are you sure about that?

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    4. Re:Another explanation by Shortguy881 · · Score: 1

      That's what I was thinking. Maybe time to short some stock...

      --
      Brilliance without wisdom, power without conscience. Ours is a world of nuclear giants and ethical infants.
    5. Re:Another explanation by jmd · · Score: 2

      I tend to believe this is true about the global economy. It seems to me the simple way to say it is: A lot of the money has been sucked out of the global economy and hidden away. Thus the money is no longer useful.

      Here is another leading economic indicator: http://www.bangkokpost.com/business/tourism/496613/macau-gdp-shrinks-17-6

    6. Re:Another explanation by JimFive · · Score: 1

      Another possibility is that the measured growth is a result of selling inventory and new production hasn't actually ramped up as much as the number indicates.
      --
      JimFive

      --
      Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
    7. Re:Another explanation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you believe the GDP numbers are fake why do you even own stock? Shouldn't all your money be in guns, ammo and bottled water?

    8. Re:Another explanation by sumdumass · · Score: 1

      What makes you think he hasn't alteady investef in those?

    9. Re:Another explanation by Headw1nd · · Score: 1

      It's not a question of whether they are fake, of course they are fake. It's a question of degrees - if the report says s 5% increase, is it a 4.5% or a 2.5% increase? Is it actually a 1% decrease? Nobody is telling the unvarnished truth, but how desperate are they to get good numbers? Incidentally, these are the questions you should be asking when buying stock as well.

    10. Re:Another explanation by toddestan · · Score: 1

      Well, you could increase CO2 levels by lighting a bunch of stuff on fire. But that would actually have a cost. It's just easier to print money and pump it into the system.

  8. Little bit of everything by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    My guess is that it's a little bit of everything
     
      giagwatts of wind and solar are coming online all over the developing world
      There is also a glut of methane in the world economy and its beginning to displace coal, which in terms of carbon/watt is a win

  9. guys by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just got my new iPhone 6+. I'm juicing everywhere

  10. Forbes by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1

    "A key stumbling block in the effort to combat global warming has been the intimate link between greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth."

    "The IEA suggested that decreasing use of coal in China — and upticks in renewable electricity generation there using solar, wind and hydropower — could have contributed to the reversal."

    Doing a stellar job at journalism.

    1. Re:Forbes by Klaxton · · Score: 1

      Doing a stellar job at journalism.

      Was there something in there you thought was inaccurate?

  11. Re:We have Obama to thank! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Few incidents of idiotic morons and you are calling for ban? Alcohol causes shit loads more stupid shit. Ban that first.

  12. Re: We have Obama to thank! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I love Obama, but guns should not be banned. If guns are illegal it won't stop criminals from having them. Nutjobs will also either find a gun on the black market or resort to making bombs from easily obtainable materials.

  13. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by itzly · · Score: 4, Informative

    And even if CO2 stopped increasing, global temperature would continue to increase for several decades.

  14. What global economy are we referring to? by jmd · · Score: 1

    I'm not sure there is really an absolute correllation between economic growth and greenhouse gas emmissions. An increase in stock value does not increase global emmissions per se.

    If the shadow banking, quantitative easing, and other shennagins are counted in the global economy there surely is no correllation.

    1. Re:What global economy are we referring to? by JimFive · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure there is really an absolute correllation between economic growth and greenhouse gas emmissions. An increase in stock value does not increase global emmissions per se.

      Well, it's good that economic growth is measured by production per GDP not stock value, isn't it?
      --
      JimFive

      --
      Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
  15. Correlation by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 1

    "A key stumbling block in the effort to combat global warming has been the intimate link between greenhouse gas emissions and economic growth."

    Time to cue up the warning about correlation not being causation.

    Most particularly, in this case: when the economy gets better, people buy more stuff. There's a correlation between how many teddy bears people buy for their children and their income. That doesn't mean that increasing the production of teddy bears will increase average income. When the economy grows, people buy more.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com
    1. Re:Correlation by JimFive · · Score: 1

      I think you are misinterpreting the summary. They aren't saying that increasing greenhouse emissions cause economic growth. They are saying that usually economic growth leads to more buying which leads to more production which leads to more energy use which leads to increased emissions. BUT WAIT...That didn't happen this time. So, in effect, you are agreeing with the summary.
      --
      JimFive

      --
      Please stop using the word theory when you mean hypothesis.
    2. Re:Correlation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In your teddy bear example there's still a relation between correlation and causation, it's just the reverse of what you mention. Increased income lets people buy more teddy bears.

      A better example -- a favorite of a statistician former collegue -- is that deer mortality rates rise when leaves are falling off trees. Dying deer do not cause leaves to fall any more than falling leaves kill deer -- they just both happen during hunting season.

  16. Things that didn't contribute to reduction in CO2 by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 3, Interesting

    But oh, no, it can't possibly be that China's fast-track of building new nuclear power plants had anything whatsoever to do with it, oh no, never never never never. (grumble grumble grumble)

    The CO2 problem will never be solved until the people who continue to loudly assert that they are so very very concerned about it get over their irrational dread of the only 24x7 source of energy that has the capacity to compete with coal.

  17. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by oh_my_080980980 · · Score: 1, Insightful

    That's the sad thing. Sadly politicians don't understand that. So the GOP wants to cut Social Security over some potential threat by Baby Boomers but Global Warming - which has far more dire consequences - they're willing to kick the can down the road. Nice.

  18. Two problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There are two problems with this whole statement:

    1. "The IEA pegged carbon dioxide emissions for 2014 at 32.3 billion metric tons". Note that this is at best a semi-scientific *guess* at the level of emissions.

    2. Every government around the world lies about their economic growth. In the U.S., the government magically reclassifies at least 2% of inflation as economic growth. The lie in China is probably even larger.

    The fact that we suddenly developed a huge glut of oil is empirical evidence that probably the global economy is actually contracting, not growing.

    1. Re:Two problems by sycodon · · Score: 1

      You may have missed it, but there's this whole thing called Fracking which pretty much upped our output to the same level as Saudi Arabia, give or take a few hundred thousand barrels.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    2. Re:Two problems by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Until the price dropped and it became uneconomic. Current fracking is just using sunk infrastructure costs, but unless the price goes back up again, fracking will die.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    3. Re:Two problems by itzly · · Score: 1

      "The IEA pegged carbon dioxide emissions for 2014 at 32.3 billion metric tons". Note that this is at best a semi-scientific *guess* at the level of emissions.

      There's pretty good accounting of fossil fuel production/trade/usage, so not really a guess.

    4. Re:Two problems by sycodon · · Score: 1

      Fracking will come and go with the price of a barrel, true, but it will always be here, just waiting to pound down prices when they start back up.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    5. Re:Two problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fracking will not die.
      The Saudis are dropping the price to run the "little guy" out of the market -- just like Walmart does to the "little guys & gals", the "moms & pops".
      Once the USA oil producers stop, the Saudis will raise their price.
      Once the Saudis raise their price, the USA oil production will restart.

      Back during the Oil Embargo (early 1970's), CNS, NBC. ABC (MainStream Media) all said that the USA had more oil reserves than the Saudis ever dreamed of. The only stopping USA production was the cost of extraction. We now know that "fracking" is the means that CBS/NBC/ABC/MainStream Media touted and supported during the Oil Embargo.

    6. Re:Two problems by itzly · · Score: 4, Interesting

      A much bigger problem with fracking is the quick depletion rates of wells, both for oil and gas. It's normal for a well to decline to 50% or even 25% of the production rate after one year of production, and continue declining afterwards.

    7. Re:Two problems by ArhcAngel · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Which is exactly why OPEC has refused to decrease production. They are trying to kill off drilling in the US.

      --
      "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    8. Re:Two problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Citation Needed]

      Please show me one case where Walmart raises their pricing because a local competitor goes out of business. I keep hearing this one but I never have seen a case where it actually happened.

    9. Re:Two problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Morons can look it up for themselves.

    10. Re: Two problems by WindBourne · · Score: 1

      Go online and type in different zip codes for store prices and then compare NEWLY opened stores in anew region, against regular stores. There are major differences.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    11. Re:Two problems by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why should the low cost producer cut production to save the high cost producer? If the high cost shale producers didn't produce so much the price would go back up.

    12. Re:Two problems by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      I read an article not long ago, where the CEO of Exxon said they hadn't done much fracking yet because they had been researching ways to reduce production costs (they already have the land, if you're thinking in longer term, the best way to maximize income is to reduce production costs). They were confident that they could frack for much less than $50 a barrel.

      The costs involved in fracking have dropped dramatically in just a few years. It still can drop more.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    13. Re:Two problems by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      they are also aware that the world is moving to more economical forms of power generation/delivery, solar/wind/hydro/nucleur power generation, electronic vehicles etc etc and getting less reliant on oil based power.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    14. Re:Two problems by Maury+Markowitz · · Score: 1

      Lazy morons don't try to support their BS points.

  19. Not necessarily by JBMcB · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It could also be a result of increased biomass eating up more CO2. Someone needs to compare biomass via satellite mapping with the usage levels of natural gas, wood, coal and oil.

    --
    My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
    1. Re:Not necessarily by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 2

      I doubt that was 'measured' by measuring actual CO2 output/levels.
      It is more likely simply calculated from the amount of burned coal and oil.
      On the other hand if you had an idea where that 'biomass' might grow, publish it and get a prize :)

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    2. Re:Not necessarily by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      As far as I can tell the story was about direct human emissions of CO2 and didn't take into account any CO2 absorbed by biomass. The calculation probably just involved the amount of fossil fuels used and cement production (and maybe a few other industrial sources of CO2).

    3. Re: Not necessarily by WindBourne · · Score: 2

      Exactly right. As oco2 data continues pouring in, it proves that our measures are jokes. What lowered the co2 emissions is because china's economic bubble is bursting.

      --
      I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    4. Re:Not necessarily by d34thm0nk3y · · Score: 1

      It could also be a result of increased biomass eating up more CO2. Someone needs to compare biomass via satellite mapping with the usage levels of natural gas, wood, coal and oil.

      This is based on emissions data. Not atmospheric concentration.

    5. Re:Not necessarily by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It can only be man's fault and CO2 is the only cause of any fluctuation of our climate.

      It's telling too that they don't say anything about the global temperature in the report.

      I'm always amused that people fall for the CO2 canard. I think CO2 levels can have some effect on the climate but to say it is the only reason is just wrong to me. CO2 isn't even the most abundant greenhouse gas. There are so many other influencing factors that we know of and I'm sure there are still others we don't know of that to single out CO2 is just weird.

    6. Re:Not necessarily by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      It could also be a result of increased biomass eating up more CO2.

      No, it couldn't, because biomass doesn't grow that fast, and because we already know that increased UV exposure has actually reduced biomass' ability to consume CO2. Most of that is done by oceanic algae, which has been driven below the surface (below the top foot or so) by the increased UV.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    7. Re:Not necessarily by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Correction. The story was only about fossil fuels used and didn't include other human caused sources of CO2 like cement production and deforestation.

    8. Re:Not necessarily by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

      You're right it isn't ONLY CO2.

      Man also produces many MANY other heat trapping gasses that by weight trap hundreds of times more heat.

      Even if increasing CO2 levels don't directly lead to global warning (unlikely that it won't but there could be some reverse feedback mechanism we haven't recognized) it STILL will acidify our oceans when it dissolves as carbonic acid.

      This is definitively man's fault. It will effect all of the animals that need calcium carbonate to make shells as it means that it is more easily dissolved in ocean water, weakening their shells and potentially killing them off. These animals (a whole lot of animals) are at the bottom of the food chain. Think of it as a food pyramid with us at the top. They are our foundation, and we are weakening it.

  20. Cling Away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

    As the pile of evidence contrary to the Global Warming Doomsday narrative continues to grow, a new kind of "Denier" is born.

    Coming up on 20 years with no statistical warming which no one predicted and no one can explain. (Or, take you pick of about 20 contradictory explanations).

    1. Re:Cling Away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once again inconvenient facts are essentially censored by the Free Speech hypocrites.

    2. Re:Cling Away by riverat1 · · Score: 3, Informative

      More like a simplistic argument from someone who hasn't done their homework gets censored.

      I'm probably wasting my time but... First you need to realize the ocean and atmosphere are a coupled system with heat being transferred between them all of the time. Second the heat capacity of the ocean is at least 100 times greater than the atmosphere so small changes ocean heat absorption can make a big difference in the heat retained in the atmosphere. And the ocean has continued to warm over the past 20 years. It can't continue to do that forever without some of the heat showing up in the atmosphere eventually. (If the PDO is switching to a warm phase as it appears to be doing that will be sooner rather than later.) The slowdown in warming is probably from a combination of factors which are complimentary rather than contradictory as you believe.

    3. Re:Cling Away by TapeCutter · · Score: 1

      Troll food" - Dance troll. Dance I say!

      --
      And did you exchange a walk on part in the war for a lead role in a cage? - Pink Floyd.
    4. Re:Cling Away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Got it, everyone who disagrees is dumb, and you're the smartest person on the intertubes. Way to WIn you winner, you.

    5. Re:Cling Away by cbiltcliffe · · Score: 1

      And the ocean has continued to warm over the past 20 years.

      No, it hasn't.

      NASA is a big proponent of AGW, and even they admit the oceans are not warming to the extent required to explain the pause.

      --
      "City hall" in German is "Rathaus" Kinda explains a few things......
    6. Re:Cling Away by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Another simplistic argument. Both of those stories are about the abyssal ocean below about 2,000 meters, not the upper ocean. To determine that the abyssal ocean had not warmed they took the amount of sea level rise attributed to ocean warming and determined that all of the rise could be accounted for by the warming in the upper ocean alone. They didn't actually measure the deep ocean temperatures. You need to work on your reading comprehension.

  21. This just in by Orgasmatron · · Score: 1

    This just in, Carbon Dioxide still lags temperature.

    Seriously though, this appears to be implied CO2, rather than measured. And it seems to be "energy sector" rather than overall. Oh, and the alleged "3% global expansion" is even more imaginary.

    --
    See that "Preview" button?
    1. Re:This just in by itzly · · Score: 3, Informative

      This just in, Carbon Dioxide still lags temperature.

      Sometimes CO2 lags temperature, but even then it still leads additional temperature at the same time. Right now, it's only leading it. The oceans are still net sinks, taking up about 45% of the produced CO2.

      Seriously though, this appears to be implied CO2, rather than measured.

      They do both.

    2. Re:This just in by itzly · · Score: 2

      The oceans are still net sinks, taking up about 45% of the produced CO2.

      Correcting myself here: 45% is the percentage that stays in the atmosphere. About 26% is taken up by the oceans.

  22. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    That's the sad thing. Sadly politicians don't understand that. So the GOP wants to cut Social Security over some potential threat by Baby Boomers but Global Warming - which has far more dire consequences - they're willing to kick the can down the road. Nice.

    Sadly I think most of them understand, but don't give a rats a**.. It is more about now. Them and the people that gives them money to say "Move along. Nothing to see here"

  23. This just means that GDP figures are being faked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Think about it. They've been doing quantitative easing for years now. QE is just massive levels of money printing (a few trillion a year), with said money being pumped into the various entitlement programs and the stock market. This has caused massive inflation, but since inflation figures are fudged (since the 70s, no less) this shows up as growth. Milk and gas doubling in price is your imagination- but the NASDAQ, that's real!

    Since the US dollar is still the fundamental unit of measurement for all things economic, it looks like we're in the midst of massive growth, when we're really stagnant and in the midst of massive money printing.

    The CO2 numbers aren't reflecting the same trend because printing money doesn't cause economic growth.

  24. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by Klaxton · · Score: 2

    You're right it couldn't possibly be Chinese nuclear plants because they only generate about 2% of the country's electricity. As for building lots of nuke plants elsewhere, all you have to do is figure out how to finance them, who pays for the liability insurance (it better not be taxpayers), how to safely dispose of the existing waste, who is going to agree to live near them, and how to make them come online in less than 10 years.

  25. It is not solar and wind... It is natural gas by LWATCDR · · Score: 3, Informative

    It is the replacement of coal with natural gas that is really dropping the CO2 emissions.

    --
    See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
    1. Re:It is not solar and wind... It is natural gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Do you have any links supporting that theory? That would be fascinating if true.

    2. Re:It is not solar and wind... It is natural gas by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Oh yeah, good point. We've been replacing coal with natural gas all over the place.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    3. Re:It is not solar and wind... It is natural gas by toddestan · · Score: 2

      Because of the fracking boom, we've got so much natural gas that we don't know what to do with it all, causing the price to crash, and given that you can convert coal plants to natural gas without too much difficulty that's what a lot of utilities have been doing.

    4. Re:It is not solar and wind... It is natural gas by LWATCDR · · Score: 2
      --
      See my blog http://ilovecookes.blogspot.com/ for light hearted technical information.
  26. Here's why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not as many workers due to lack of work meaning less folk both driving and flying meaning we are all screwed. Have a great day. :)

  27. Don't forget though... by borknado · · Score: 1

    ...we may really be worrying more about the methane. Thats set to grow.

  28. Re:We have Obama to thank! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But libtards hyperventilating are going to undo all the improvements.

  29. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by itzly · · Score: 4, Informative

    According to wikipedia, nuclear is only responsible for 2% of the Chinese electricity right now, and most of that was already operational in 2013. They are fast-tracking new plants, but it'll take a while before these are on-line. They are aiming to get 6% of their electricity from nuclear in 2020.

  30. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by cogeek · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Wow, the level of ignorance here is astounding. When Barack and company had both the White House and both houses of Congress, just how much did they get accomplished on this? Or did they too "kick the can down the road?" Politicians are all alike, and if you don't comprehend that then just keep feeding on what they're shoveling to you. Maybe your determined consumption of political bull$h!t will cut down on some cow's carbon footprint.

  31. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by radl33t · · Score: 1

    Your right it has nothing to do with the insignificance of nuclear energy in China. Also coal is no longer the benchmark of cheap energy generation. Its natural gas. Welcome to the 21st century.

  32. Re:We have Obama to thank! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ---- Daily KOS is a few million websites to your left.

    Take your cultist wet dream there.

  33. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by wcrowe · · Score: 1

    "Just in case you are not being sarcastic, or someone is not getting it..."

    Yes, I'm sure he was totally serious about the dogs and cats living together.

    --
    Proverbs 21:19
  34. THIS!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Central banks have dumped credit, not wealth, into the global economy. That has goosed the numbers only, not the organic growth of world economies.

    This has occurred in order to mask the poor quality of the debt held by private and public banks, and to allow gov'ts the ability to spend in deficit.

    The patient has been giving more blood than is healthy for about thirty years now. Replacement with saline and meth has made them alert and conversant, but collapse is inevitable without ENERGY INPUT.

    1. Re:THIS!! by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Central banks have dumped credit, not wealth, into the global economy. That has goosed the numbers only, not the organic growth of world economies.

      This has occurred in order to mask the poor quality of the debt held by private and public banks, and to allow gov'ts the ability to spend in deficit.

      The patient has been giving more blood than is healthy for about thirty years now. Replacement with saline and meth has made them alert and conversant, but collapse is inevitable without ENERGY INPUT.

      So, give it some Twinkies and we're golden, right?

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  35. Why all the anger? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why does it seem to piss off so many people that there is a bit of good news? What the hell is wrong with needing less and less fossil fuel?

    It's like every time there's any story that indicates renewable resources are becoming for efficient and economical, there has to be this rage over, "But alternative energy's going to kill us all and make us have to live in caves!"

    I guess once you've grabbed hold of a narrative, you'd rather die than give it up. Little by little, step by step, we're going to need less fossil fuel. Don't worry, we'll let you keep your Hummer H3 matchbox cars to play with.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:Why all the anger? by ColdWetDog · · Score: 2

      I'm certainly not pissed off. I certainly don't believe this is good news, or much any news for that matter. It is a single 'data' point that has enormous (unstated) error bars and certainly does not give much support the thesis of the article - that there is not hard and fast correlation between CO2 out put and economic growth.

      The only interpretation that I can make is that the EIA - which is really a tool of the developed countries and particularly the energy exporting countries - is willing to discuss the possibility that we can drop our use of fossil fuels and not tank the economy. That's sort of new although they have been moving very slowly towards this over the past year (and as the evidence for replacement of fossil fuels gets bigger and bigger).

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Why all the anger? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because conservatives got pissed off at the Hippies in the 60's for Vietnam and can't let them ever win.

    3. Re:Why all the anger? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      I'm certainly not pissed off

      Are you sure?

      The only interpretation that I can make is that the EIA - which is really a tool of the developed countries and particularly the energy exporting countries - is willing to discuss the possibility that we can drop our use of fossil fuels and not tank the economy.

      How do you read all that into this one "data point" as you put it and come to the conclusion of a massive conspiracy to take away your fossil fuels? And anyway, the data is in large part based on data reported by China, which last time I checked is not an energy exporting country and still hopes to see lots of economic development. And why do you make it sound like a problem that the EIA is "willing to discuss the possibility that we can drop our use of fossil fuels and not tank the economy"? Do you believe that's a discussion that should not take place?

      Even if we dropped the use of fossil fuels by 10% without tanking the economy, it would have a measurable impact on greenhouse emissions and be nothing but good news. Gas prices go down, the economy gets better, and the developing countries that are still struggling with 1950's economies will gain a little time before they start developing their own alternative energy programs.

      Don't be such a gloomy gus. It's a good thing that there are people working on this problem, although I'd feel better knowing that it was more than just a "chief economist", because Economics is pseudo-science.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    4. Re:Why all the anger? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      Little by little, step by step, we're going to need less fossil fuel.

      Per person, maybe... but total? Not in our lifetime... not likely anyway... Every year we have more people, not less. Every year we have more people joining the middle class, not less...

      Car ownership is going up, not down, worldwide... This trend will not change soon...

      Don't worry, we'll let you keep your Hummer H3 matchbox cars to play with.

      ^ This attitude is why so many of us dismiss you and those who think like you outright.

      "You'll let us..." So who died and made you King? It is that elitist attitude that is the single biggest problem of people who claim global warming is going to kill us all, you have this attitude that isn't far off from ultra religious nuts, and they all claim to be right too.

    5. Re:Why all the anger? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      It is that elitist attitude that is the single biggest problem of people who claim global warming is going to kill us all,

      Are you talking to me? Because none of my comments contained anything about global warming.

      It's that use of straw men and ad hominem attacks that is the single biggest problem of people who claim Big Climate Change is trying to take away their fossil fuels. Actually, that's not true. Rank stupidity is their biggest problem but the other is a close second.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    6. Re:Why all the anger? by FlyHelicopters · · Score: 1

      It was your comment about "you'll let us keep our H3 matchbox cars" that was the real issue...

      Tell other people how to live and you might get a bite in return.

    7. Re:Why all the anger? by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      Tell other people how to live and you might get a bite in return.

      Tell that to the cops who won't let you crap on the sidewalk, or those evil federal regulators who won't let a coal company dump ash into the river or the neighbors who don't want you imitating John Bonham on your drum set at 3am.

      See the thing about "telling people how to live" is that it's something your community has every right to do when there is a nuisance or danger. Despite the claims of pop-libertarians and 13 year olds, you don't get to do whatever you want without consequences.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
  36. Its all in the interpretation... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Economic growth in a fiat finacial model can be caused by inflation hidden in price/value increases of things such as stock, futures, securities, etc. Its not so much the demand, as the inabitility to get returns elsewhere (i.e. bonds).

    If the atmosphere says carbon has flatlined, then it would indicate that the economy has also flatlined but that is yet to be reflected in the growth model due to where the money is parked.

    This is probably a pre-cursor to a large collapse similar to 2008...

  37. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by Idou · · Score: 1

    Ah, and a new Slashdot meme is born!

    *Some positive energy/global warming related article is posted that does not explicitly attribute nuclear power*
    Some grumpy ./er grumbles: "but,but,but. . . NUCLEAR!"

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
  38. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by willy_me · · Score: 2

    The high price of oil likely played a bigger factor then nuclear power in China. With the lower price for oil, consumption will go back up for 2015. The high price lead to some investment in non-carbon energy sources but that investment has since stalled.

  39. E=P*S/T by hey! · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Where
        E = Environmental impact
        P = Population
        S = Standard of living
        T = Technology

    I was at a symposium some twenty years ago when I saw a well known environmentalist write that on the board. He wasn't being literal mind you; this equation was a metaphor for how these factors interact.

    The world's population is increasing, and already many people are living in dire poverty. We naturally want to raise their standard of living, but that will raise their level of consumption which combined with their growing numbers could have devastating environmental consequences. Fortunately raising the living standards of people tends to reduce the number of children they have, so we have something of a lucky break there, but populations are still likely to grow under any development scenario.

    The message was this: if we want to preserve the environment AND raise living standards, we have to get our asses in gear on green technology.

    Now I think it's premature to declare success based on preliminary data about one year; the "win" could disappear with the discovery of a few accounting errors. But I think there's no question technology has got greener and that helps.

    --
    Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    1. Re:E=P*S/T by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

      { joke } You missed one option - kill massive number of people. Amazing how many people (excluding ISIL, et al.) don't bother to ask "What would Hitler do?" { / joke }

      --
      excitingthingstodo.blogspot.com
    2. Re:E=P*S/T by hey! · · Score: 1

      This is in fact one of the possible outcomes, although not necessarily by design. Since the environmental resources represented by "E" are not unlimited, and the level of consumption represented by "S" is not indefinitely reducible, without improved technology at some point the growth of P is curbed -- by death of people who can't extract enough resources from the environment to survive.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    3. Re:E=P*S/T by Dutch+Gun · · Score: 1

      Scroll up to see the discussion about using war and famine to intentionally kill billions, or at the very least to kill anyone involved with the oil and coal extraction businesses.

      --
      Irony: Agile development has too much intertia to be abandoned now.
  40. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by hondo77 · · Score: 5, Informative
    You do know what a filibuster is, right?:

    Once the House passed the Waxman-Markey bill, the next step would have been for the Senate to have passed its own comprehensive climate and energy bill. Unfortunately, the Senate was unable to do so...S.1733 passed the committee by a vote of 11-1, with all seven Republican members boycotting the final vote...Citing a lack of bipartisan support in the Senate, however, Reid announced in July 2010 that upcoming energy legislation would not include a cap on GHG emissions. This effectively ended action on climate legislation for the 111th Congress.

    --
    I live ze unknown. I love ze unknown. I am ze unknown.
  41. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by quantaman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Wow, the level of ignorance here is astounding. When Barack and company had both the White House and both houses of Congress, just how much did they get accomplished on this? Or did they too "kick the can down the road?" Politicians are all alike, and if you don't comprehend that then just keep feeding on what they're shoveling to you. Maybe your determined consumption of political bull$h!t will cut down on some cow's carbon footprint.

    Unfortunately US politics is a lot more complex than that. The Democrats as a whole probably did want to get something done, however the Republicans REALLY didn't want to do anything even on things they could agree with, for something like Global Warming they would have been able to make it extraordinarily costly to do something.

    The Democrats simply didn't have the popular support to enact a serious climate policy, especially after they spent all their political capital on health care reform and economic stimulus.

    --
    I stole this Sig
  42. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by RoccamOccam · · Score: 1

    So was there a filibuster (I honestly don't know)? I don't see a mention of it in the text that you posted.

  43. CO2? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Stop spending stupid algore money.

    Plant moar trees

  44. Another explanation-economy is really bad by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Yes, this is more likely.
    China's economic growth has declined to lows in the past years, as Europe, Japan, and the US (despite all the happy propaganda talk).

    I can serve up lots of links on how poorly the economies are doing.
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-11/china-reports-worst-industrial-production-data-ever-outside-global-financial-crisis
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-13/what-happens-stock-market-if-us-follows-world-recession
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-12/q1-gdp-expectations-are-crashing

    Let's see if the Keeling curve has an inflection !

    1. Re:Another explanation-economy is really bad by istartedi · · Score: 1

      I would be happier if your links were from some place other than Zero Hedge. They're a broken clock when it comes to economic catastrophe. Sooner or later they'll be right, simply because recessions happen now and then. Sometimes I think that what might happen is that the US economy does really well, people lose interest in doom and gloom. Then, ZH shuts down due to lack of Interest, and just a few weeks later the market crashes 50%. On a smaller scale, that reminds me of Kitco firing John Nadler at the height of the most recent peaks in precious metals. Nadler was a critic of the gold market, if not an actual gold bear. He was repeatedly trashed on sites such as ZH. HIs firing, in retrospect, was a sign of a top.

      --
      For all intensive purposes, "whom" is no longer a word. That begs the question, "who cares"?
    2. Re:Another explanation-economy is really bad by fnj · · Score: 1

      I can serve up lots of links on how poorly the economies are doing.

      You didn't make a single link, you lazy bum.

  45. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Wow, the level of ignorance here is astounding. When Barack and company had both the White House and both houses of Congress, just how much did they get accomplished on this? Or did they too "kick the can down the road?" Politicians are all alike, and if you don't comprehend that then just keep feeding on what they're shoveling to you. Maybe your determined consumption of political bull$h!t will cut down on some cow's carbon footprint.

    You are referring to the 111th Congress. A list of what they did do is here:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/111th_United_States_Congress

    They passed more legislation than any other Congress since Lyndon Johnson was in office. Most of what they passed was meant to deal with the fallout of the Bush economy they inherited. If that wasn't the case, maybe they would have done more for the environment.

  46. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Ravaldy · · Score: 1

    Next time you achieve something at work your boss can stroll in and say: "Jimmy here just stopped our servers from crashing every hour and instead they crash every 3 hours now. Jimmy's work is done here. He can go home early for such great work!"

    Positive reinforcement is a much better motivator than to bash the progress no matter how little it appears to be. News like this makes me realize the small changes I made and that my company made actually helped.

  47. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by phantomfive · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The Democrats simply didn't have the popular support to enact a serious climate policy,

    That's the real kicker. If the public support were there, they would get something done, and Republicans would go along (heck, as hypocritical as politicians are, they might lead the charge. Even Bush supported climate change legislation when it was convenient). If public support were there, then politicians who didn't pretend to go along would be voted out of office.

    Even dictators work to manipulate public opinion, because even they know their power ultimately relies on the people.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  48. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by mdsolar · · Score: 2

    The pace for nuclear in China seems slow compared to wind and solar. http://www.worldnuclearreport.... and nuclear power seems to be in a rut so probably it's only contribution is not adding more opportunity cost by being moribund. http://www.worldnuclearreport....

  49. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Economic stimulus, he-he you made me chuckle there...

  50. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by chipschap · · Score: 1

    Can't we at least celebrate some progress? No, the job isn't done, not at all, but can't we be happy that we're at least moving a little in the right direction?

    I'm not saying there's no problem any more, of course there is, but why does everything have to be 100% gloom and doom and disaster and condemnation?

  51. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by pipingguy · · Score: 0

    At what point do reduced CO2 average global levels start to negatively impact plant growth?

  52. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    Probably not, more likely their building of solar and wind farms like crazy in the past few years in an effort to get to grips with their pollution problem. (In addition to bringing online new coal power plants to replace their oldest ones.) While they have been building some nuclear plants they have only just approved the first one since the 2011 disaster in Japan.

  53. Car analogy + think of the children by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

    A child has jumped in front of our car, so we took our foot off the gas and stopped accelerating. We're only coasting now, we're absolved and any further responsibility because it's entirely up to the child to crawl out of our way. Maybe in a several more meters (years?) we'll apply pressure to the brakes and give the child a little more time to not have his brains splatter onto our grill..

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
    1. Re:Car analogy + think of the children by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what does constitute as breaking then in your mind? All CO2 producing is stopped? Please tell me how that is going to be accomplished?

      I bet you are not ready giving it all up to live in a cave, just like so many other commenters here. I'd say the CO2 producing not rising in 2014 is a positive thing, if it's true. If you expect things to happen by flipping you finger (yes, that's exactly what's being done here), then you are an idiot.

      Instead of allowing the currently best technology (nuclear) to be used to lessen CO2 producing, people are screaming bloody murder about how everyone else should be murdering environment less with iphones in their hands.

    2. Re:Car analogy + think of the children by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      Breaking is also known as deceleration, or slowing down. While people usually assume this means stopping, anyone who has driven in California knows this isn't universal.

      I'm already practicing to make a self bow. And I to pick out a stave this August, so I can let it season until spring.

      Of course I will continue to eat plants and convert them into carbon dioxide. I have no choice in the matter, oxygen is just too toxic to my body not to convert it into CO2.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  54. what fucking idiots. by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    The ONLY reason that it flatlined is because china's growth has slowed way down, combined with the west making massive cuts.

    However, america's economy may actually lift china's, which will mean massive increases continue.

    For those of you who do not understand this, this is REAL values as opposed to the assumed numbers for this article.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  55. not even close. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Oco2 shows that china's emissions are far greater than others and it is the fact that their economy is slowing way down, that has slowed this.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  56. Climatedot. Rename it and have done with it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So sick of this 'climate change' bullshit, EVERY SINGLE DAY, on 'ClimateDot'. Idiots.

    www.climatedepot.com
    www.wattsupwiththat.com

    There is no such thing as 'catastrophic man-made global warming', which is why the dishonest liars renamed it 'climate change', which means nothing of the sort, yet is MEANT to be taken to mean exactly the same thing.

    1. Re:Climatedot. Rename it and have done with it. by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      You better get used to it because physics doesn't care what you think and anthropogenic climate change will continue for the foreseeable future.

    2. Re:Climatedot. Rename it and have done with it. by catprog · · Score: 1

      Yeah the Republicans are that. Renaming it to climate change so that it sounds less scary.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  57. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    What has a nuclear reactor in China to do with reduction of CO2 output?

    A new reactor might stop/prevent growth of CO2 output, but does not reduce it.

    The rest of your argument makes no sense either as Solar,
    Wind and Biomass (and water where it is viable) are all CO2 free alternatives to coal, not only nuclear. Why do idiots like you always claim such nonsense??!

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  58. bill, that is false. by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    Oco2 is showing which geographic regions co2 is coming from and to what levels. It can tell what is creating it, but it does show where the real issues are.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  59. false by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    The real problem is the far left that screams about western nations, while ignoring the fact that China alone is over 40% emissions ( thank you oco2 for showing that ).

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:false by catprog · · Score: 1

      Of course the far right likes to ignore that China has so many people that it's per captia emissions are much lower.

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  60. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You mean most of it was establishing new entitlement programs and putting the deficient and the national debt on steroids.

    Really, we are all suffering today from the "productivity" of the 111th Congress.

  61. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The media and big donors made them not go along. Grover Norquist, NRA, the Tea Party, and other groups would primary anyone who didn't do what they wanted.

    Once you get those loud people threatening, you're either with us or against us", the public goes along with their 'team' on the right.

  62. Consider the source by tomhath · · Score: 1

    All of the reduction can be attributed to China's "reported" reduction. Some of that might be real because they are ramping up nuclear and hydro projects.

    But consider the source of that report.

  63. Climate Policy by tomhath · · Score: 1

    Democrats could have enacted a serious climate policy if they had sat down and negotiated. But they tried to do it unilaterally and got stuffed. Same with health care reform; the Republicans wanted to be at the table and work out a solution - but Pelosi locked the door.

    1. Re:Climate Policy by quantaman · · Score: 1

      Democrats could have enacted a serious climate policy if they had sat down and negotiated. But they tried to do it unilaterally and got stuffed. Same with health care reform; the Republicans wanted to be at the table and work out a solution - but Pelosi locked the door.

      That's some highly revisionist history.

      The Republicans were unable to come to the table or tone down the extremist rhetoric for a healthcare bill that was Republican in origin, you really think there were willing to have sincere negotiations about climate change?

      The Republicans had a very simple and effective strategy, refuse to cooperate on anything making Obama look far left rather than bipartisan, then profit from the ensuing disorder when the public responded by punishing the incumbents (whomever they perceived to be controlling the White House).

      --
      I stole this Sig
    2. Re:Climate Policy by blue9steel · · Score: 1

      Democrats could have enacted a serious climate policy if they had sat down and negotiated.

      Seriously? I'm no Democrat but the Republicans have taken all their toys and gone home for quite some time now. They refuse to even work on things that they've previously said they wanted.

  64. Re:We have Obama to thank! by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    I think you've been Poe'd.

  65. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Probably once the CO2 levels get well below 280 ppm which is where it was for the last ~10,000 years until the early 1800s.

    You should understand that this story doesn't mean that CO2 is not still rising in the atmosphere, just that the rate of increase didn't accelerate in 2014.

  66. Headline Makes 3 Assertions, How Many are True? by 517714 · · Score: 1

    "In Historic Turn, CO2 Emissions Flatline In 2014, Even As Global Economy Grows." There are three distinct claims made:

    1 - That CO2 emissions have not flatlined or declined before while the economy grew - While this is a logical assumption, there is not sufficient data to support the conclusion on the historical end.

    2 - That CO2 emissions flatlined. I do not believe we measure the emissions with sufficient precision to accept this assertion. When the numbers consist of estimates piled upon estimates, the conclusion has error bands that still go well into the positive side.

    3 - That the global economy grew. Same issues as #2 in the other direction.

    Given that, according to the headline itself this is unprecedented, should we not be skeptical of claims 2 and/or 3?

    --
    The US government have made it clear that we have no inalienable rights; any we do not defend vigorously will be taken.
    1. Re:Headline Makes 3 Assertions, How Many are True? by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      Regarding your #2 we have a pretty good accounting of fossil fuel use globally and calculating how much CO2 that use will emit is a straightforward chemical equation. I think we have a quite accurate idea of how much CO2 is generated by fossil fuel use.

  67. Re:This just means that GDP figures are being fake by blue9steel · · Score: 1

    QE is just massive levels of money printing (a few trillion a year), with said money being pumped into the various entitlement programs and the stock market.

    It doesn't actually work that way. QE is just an asset swap and it doesn't create inflation. It does however force down interest rates and that allows for higher leverage levels which elevate asset prices.

  68. don't forget by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The percentage of adults working (at least in the US) is at the lowest point since the 70s. Fewer people commuting to work each week = lower emissions.

    1. Re:don't forget by riverat1 · · Score: 1

      The percentage may be lower but the absolute number of people working is still greater than any time before the 1990s and maybe than before 2000.

  69. Well... flat CO2 levels, sadly, aren't enough. by rnturn · · Score: 1

    We've managed to raise the global temperature enough to thaw the Arctic areas that are holding huge amounts of methane and have now allowed that to escape into the atmosphere. Unless somebody figures out how to stop further releases of that greenhouse gas, as David Letterman said on his show a year or so ago, "We're screwed."

    --
    CUR ALLOC 20195.....5804M
  70. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by pipingguy · · Score: 1

    It's at 400 now, apparently.

  71. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except for the inconvenient truth that global temperatures aren't increasing and haven't for nearly 20 years.

  72. Both OPs limited and incomplete by beachdog · · Score: 1

    Both the International Energy Agency article and the Forbes magazine orticle cited in the Slashdot story are written for narrow viewpoint audiences such as business finance managers and economists working for national governments.

    Think of the audience being written to as accountants who watch accounting transactions and balance sheets. For these people, the news is a business operating ratio of energy consumption vs. economic activity has changed a very small amount.

    If anything, both OP articles should be faulted for not presenting the two numbers that compose an actual "operating ratio". What is the ratio of gross KWH producing CO2 to Dollars or Euros of economic activity? That is a number the IEA should have presented. Together with error bars, of course.

    In the articles, a clue to the very narrow perspective of the "news" is that the IEA article does not mention global warming atmospheric gas concentration increase. The bad news from the Mauna Loa observatory is:

    Recent Monthly Average Mauna Loa CO2
    February 2015: 400.26 ppm
    February 2014: 397.91 ppm
    Last updated: March 5, 2015

  73. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    Yes, CO2 in the atmosphere is right around 400 ppm now. It hasn't been that high for at least 3 or 4 million years.

  74. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by pipingguy · · Score: 1

    Do you think more CO2 in the atmosphere would result in more vegetation growth?

  75. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by riverat1 · · Score: 1

    To some extent for some types of plants. But that assumes there is plenty of water, other plant nutrients and good growing conditions too. It seems to me there was plenty of vegetation when atmospheric CO2 was 280 ppm.

  76. Yay! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Kudos to all those activists and government bureaucrats. I'm sure it was ALL THEIR HARD WORK bitching and complaining that we have to thank for reaching this milestone!

  77. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Can't we at least celebrate some progress? No, the job isn't done, not at all, but can't we be happy that we're at least moving a little in the right direction?

    I'll wait for a report which confirms this report before I celebrate.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  78. Who can believe the GDP growth? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Governments around the world have lied about their economic and employment statistics. Compare shadowstats.com vs the US gov's current inflation #s.

    China's numbers are complete fantasy, etc.

    So CO2 concentration is hard #, but the economic numbers are seriously flawed. Ratios are especially suspect.

    Total BS, like most 'news'.

  79. Natural Gas and Nature by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Two things that could cause that.

    1) Natural gas displacing coal in a lot of plants for any reduction.

    2) Natural cycles. When temperatures go up or down CO2 FOLLOWS it almost all the time with a 600-800 year lag. So what was happening 1300-1500 and what came next? The medieval warm period followed by the little ice age. So maybe we are seeing the effects of cold from the start of the little ice age.

    Not that it matters to the climate. A question for everyone who thinks that CO2 controls the climate. How long with rising CO2 and flat or falling temperatures before you admit your theory is wrong? 20 years? 30? Never?

    All 5 of the major datasets (RSS, UAH, HadCRUT4, GISS, NCDC) show no warming for between 14 and almost 18 years. In that time CO2 has risen 8-10%.

    The effect CO2 has on temperature is not linear. The greatest effect is in the first 100 PPM. After that it drops like a rock. Once you get out to 300-400 PPM you have to double CO2 levels to 600-800 just to get a 0.7 to 1.5 degree Celsius increase. That will cause no problems and will be a great boon for plants and food supplies.

    By the way lost in the politics of CO2 is the fact that at 150 PPM all plant life above the oceans dies. Followed very shortly after by all the animals. During the last ice age we were ~10% away from not having this conversation. We got down to around 170 PPM. Way too close. So having a nice buffer of a couple hundred PPM makes great sense.

    Now if we could clean up all the real pollutants we're spews around the world like mercury and radiation that would be great. Thanks to all the natural gas we now have access to we have at least 6 decades to figure out a truly long term solution like molten salt reactors (LFTR), fusion (maybe LENR), storage for the intermittent stuff (wind, sun). Raise the standard of living with lots of cheap, clean energy that will lower the birth rate, etc etc.

    Chances are we'll just piss it away and not do anything until the last minute. Tis the human way I guess.

    1. Re:Natural Gas and Nature by catprog · · Score: 1

      All 5 of the major datasets (RSS, UAH, HadCRUT4, GISS, NCDC) show no warming for between 14 and almost 18 years. In that time CO2 has risen 8-10%.

      You mean temperatures have not risen since the super el-nino that put a lot of heat from the ocean into the atmosphere?

      What happens if you look at 10 or 20 years?

      By the way lost in the politics of CO2 is the fact that at 150 PPM all plant life above the oceans dies. Followed very shortly after by all the animals.

      So people are wanting to get back down to 280 and somehow this would mean going down to 150?

      --
      My Transformation Website
      Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
      Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  80. Gosh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I could have had a V8

  81. Re:Woohoo! Call off the Apocalypse! by catprog · · Score: 1

    Although the Tea Party has embraced home solar.

    --
    My Transformation Website
    Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
    Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  82. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by catprog · · Score: 1

    If it replaces a coal or natural gas station it does.

    --
    My Transformation Website
    Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
    Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  83. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    But it does not ... their power demand is increasing, so they simply add plants.

    They are far far away from replacing old plants. Perhaps they replace really old ones like an 80 year old plant ...

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  84. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by catprog · · Score: 1

    It does seam coal in general is being reduced though.

    http://cleantechnica.com/2014/...

    --
    My Transformation Website
    Kindle Books http://www.catprog.org/rev
    Interactive CYOA http://www.catprog.org/st
  85. Who needs carbon? by volmtech · · Score: 1

    Much of the twenty first century's GDP is produced without burning something. Government borrowing is counted in the GDP. Telecommunications, financial, and medical services grow the GDP without smokestacks. Automation increases productivity without increasing energy usage.

    Renewables are coming online now. They have a carbon footprint but it shrinks as the energy used in their production is amortized over their useful lifetime.

    1. Re:Who needs carbon? by Phreakiture · · Score: 1

      Renewables are coming online now. They have a carbon footprint but it shrinks as the energy used in their production is amortized over their useful lifetime.

      This is actually a very big concession for the renewable energy advocates to make, and the reason I say this is that carbon-fueled devices have a portion of their carbon footprint tied up in construction costs as well, and, as with renewables, that portion of the footprint is amortized over useful life.

      --
      www.wavefront-av.com
  86. EXCELLENT NEWS! by Ferretman · · Score: 1

    Let's count the win guys, let's count the win.

    Ferret

    --
    Sic gorgiamus allos subjectatos nunc
  87. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    Ah, so we are on a turning point here, that is something good!

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  88. Re:GNAA - join the GAY NIGGERS of AMERICA by WGFCrafty · · Score: 1

    In the medicine cabinet there's going to be a bottle labeled "seroquel" or "lithium" or some other neuroleptic. Go get yourself a glass of water and follow the label.

  89. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And in the meantime, building nuclear power plants means pouring a lot of cement - the manufacture of which is the major industrial producer of CO2. So if anything, this should have increased emissions in the short term.

  90. Are you guys for real? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm really surprised that everyone is talking about climate change, and pointing the finger at CO2 which is of course, the official narrative.
    but that doesn't mean its correct! let's put a spanner in the works with one observation: All the planets of our solar system have gotten warmer. It's a fact. Go look it up! Your 4x4 is causing global warning on Mars?? Seriously??

    The astounding conclusion should be, that the sun is driving temperature change! I mean, what a shocker? Don't get me wrong, I don't like what comes out the back of a car any more than the next man, but green energy isn't as green as we think, when they're paid NOT to produce power in the UK, and then when we're all at home at night watching the football after a hard day at work, and the adverts come on - you fire up the kettle for a quick brew. Massive power spike on the national grid, and another powerplant or two are brought online to supply the demand! No wind or solar can give us stable power that we can rely on. More sun, please! More wind!!

    We need alternatives to our current alternative energy systems! They exist, and are far more practical. The question is, why are we not using them?

  91. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by Mike+Van+Pelt · · Score: 1

    The CO2 problem can not be solved by the denial of arithmetic.

  92. Re:Things that didn't contribute to reduction in C by Idou · · Score: 1

    Agreed. Where is your arithmetic supporting that nuclear power contributed to this 2014 "reduction" in any meaningful way?

    It seems you are the one who is coming to a conclusion without any arithmetic. . .

    --
    Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!