Why Is RAM Suddenly So Cheap? It Might Be Windows
jfruh writes: The average price of a 4GB DDR3 memory DIMM at the moment $18.50 — a price that's far lower than at this time last year. Why is it so cheap? The memory business tends to go in boom and bust cycles, but the free availability of Windows 10 means that fewer people are upgrading their PCs, reducing RAM demand. Analyst Avril Wu said, "Notebook shipments in the third quarter fall short of what is expected for a traditional peak season mainly because Windows 10 with its free upgrade plan negatively impacted replaced sales of notebooks to some extent rather than driving the demand for these products." And prices might stay low for another two years.
Well I've already got 16GB in my home PC and I don't seem to use more than 3 or 4GB of it, but I guess I could squeeze in another 16GB...
3 years ago, I bought 2x8 GB desktop DDR3 memory for about $70 CAD. It is now about $100. Where is Moore's law when we need it?
And DDR4 is even more expensive.
I haven't been watching the price of RAM, maybe it's time to profit
It is a bit like anything it gets better and cheaper as time goes by [lightrabbit.co.uk]
It's DDR3 being shuffled off the stage because DDR4 is now well-established.
Prices for DDR3 will bottom out and then shoot back up and plateau, and you won't care until you need to upgrade an old system.
Windows 10 market share is around 6.5%, so it's definitely not that. The bigger reason is that there's no need to upgrade period. Beyond nearly all operating system vendors (from Desktop to mobile) continually releasing worse OSes than the previous version, RAM is no longer the driving factor behind application performance it used to be. For niche applications like simulation work it still really matters, but even the most hardcore gamer is overkill at 16GB regardless of speed.
If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
I upgraded my Thinkpad X230 from 8GB to 16GB because it was cheap enough, and because I was occasionally getting slowdowns in Chrome on Linux from so many windows and tabs open.
It fixed the slowdown problem, until recently, when Chrome on Linux decided to simply start crashing after so many (not even that many - maybe 40) were open.
Summary: Latest version of Chrome is total shit on Linux.
www.gaiageek.com
FTFS:
Analyst Avril Wu said, "Notebook shipments in the third quarter fall short of what is expected for a traditional peak season mainly because Windows 10 with its free upgrade plan negatively impacted replaced sales of notebooks to some extent rather than driving the demand for these products."
Um . . . maybe folks are just buying Apple and Android critters, instead of Notebooks. Did any "analyst" think of that . . . ?
Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
is fine with 4. I put another 2 gigs in after the upgrade and didn't notice any difference. When Vista hit it was barely functional with 6. Win 7 fixed that so it worked with 4 again. Hell, I've got an old AthlonX2 5600 I play Streetfighter IV on that's only got 3. Basically, there's not a lot of demand.
I think it is disgusting that we think it is just awesome for an OS to ONLY need 4 GB.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.
"The average price of a 4GB DDR3 memory DIMM at the moment $18.50"
It is? Newegg is all in the $21 - $23 range. Looking at CamelCamelCamel, it's about the same price it was around this time a year ago.
2x8GB DDR3 is still in the $80 - $90 range, same place it's been for months.
The last time I rebuilt my PC was for Windows Vista in 2007 and never felt the need to go beyond 4GB since then. My rebuilt FreeNAS file server has 8GB, which is a specialized system that requires more memory as raw storage capacity increases over time.
RAM drive? Had those back in the bad old DOS days.
http://www.terabyteshop.com.br...
Here I continue paying double or triple as usual in a third world country
Religion: The greatest weapon of mass destruction of all time
Windows 8.1 worked fine in "just" 1Gb (my tablet ran it with that, it was a very smooth environment.)
People were expecting Windows 10 to be the "7" to 8.0s "Vista" (boy, is that a confusing sentence.) I think Windows 10 though is the second coming of Vista. I'm hoping "what comes after Windows 10" (I'm not sure how the marketing will go) to be rather more memory efficient.
Technically Windows 10 runs in 1Gb, it's running on the same tablet right next to me. But it crawls. All the smoothness of 8.1 is gone.
You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
I thought Windows 8.1 was the "7" to Windows 8's "Vista". That makes Windows 10 a "Vista" again.
It doesn't hurt to be nice.
It might be windows! or it might be some farted while typing the price in at the factory! or more likely it might be that we are mid migration to DDR4 or that there is a lot of competition with no recent natural disasters impacting production or it might be that memory requirements simply haven't escalated much in the past decade beyond around 4GB for most users or it might be that PC's purchased in the last 5 or so years are still more than powerful enough for anything a user does or more likely a combination of all of the above. What a fucking retarded article correlation DOES NOT equal causation
Back in the days of 386 and 486, 1Mb SIMMs were US$50, each.
Uh, Linux geek since 1999.
Forgot this? http://www.extremetech.com/com...
This is broken logic. Giving away Windows 10 doesn't impact PC sales at all. What IS impacting PC sales is the fact that the need for a more powerful machine is slowing way down. Instead of computers becoming obsolete in a year or two, computers can often go for much longer before they need to be replaced. It's not uncommon to find people who have had the same PC for 5 years now because there's simply no benefit to them to move to more powerful hardware.
BeauHD. Worst editor since kdawson.
"Giving away Windows 10 doesn't impact PC sales at all."
One of the dumber statements I've read on the internet lately.
You would think people that are probably internet savvy like yourself would know data is available on the internet, like how Vista and Windows 7 both increase PC sales. Windows 8 might have too before it was discovered to suck.
http://www.applianceretailer.com.au/2009/11/BBQUOUZDHQ/
http://www.infoworld.com/article/2630397/microsoft-windows/at-launch--windows-7-sales-are-triple-that-of-vista-s-first-week.html
For your information, Windows 7 launch tripled PC sales/
Yeah, I loaded up both my Desktop and my Server with 32 GB (4 x 8) of RAM each over the past year... I don't recall it being 'cheap'... but then again, I did buy 32 GB or ram which was a typical harddrive back in the late 90's if I remember correctly.
Bollocks!!!!!
I have been as of late upgrading the Laptops of my brother's firm, mostly as a favor to mother earth (to keep them out of the landfield, and to avoid buying new ones, increasing resources usage) and as a favor to him.
Sadly, he is a fan of Toshiba (but then again, it could be worse), the models are:
One A1235-S2386, one A135-SSP4108, one A135-S4527, one P200 and two P105-S6062.
All of them were on WinXP (on some, it came, on some, it was a Downgrade). Every single one of them was moved to Windows 10 (with some trickery). Every single one of them got the latest BIOS, an SSD, and more importantly for the article THE FULL AMOUNT OF RAM THEY SUPPORTED (all DDR2, some pc4200, some PC5300).
That means all the machines went from 1 or 1,5GB to 2GB (in the A series case) and from 1,5 or 2GB to a full 4GB (in the P series case).
I, personally use a Mac. My current Air has the full 8GB apple ships, my older MacBook has 6GB from the Original two (and an SSD instead of the original HDD). Again, the fact that OS upgrades are free, does not mean LESS sales of memory.
So, as some other commenters have said, the article has flawed logic, the fact that an OS upgrade is free does not mean that RAM sales volume will diminish. If anything, the fact that the upgrade is free means there is more "share of wallet" available to buy RAM and other upgrades in order to make an upgraded machine more snappy.
*** Suerte a todos y Feliz dia!
So there may be a low right now and DDR4 may go up while DDR3 may go down even more.
For your information, Windows 7 launch tripled PC sales/
Most likely from people stuck with Win10, no way out so purchased an older OS that just happened to come with a computer.
If you're careful with the services you setup, you can easily run 7, 8 and 10 on 240MB of ram without a problem. It's the feature creep that starts cutting into ram usage.
Om, nomnomnom...
If Vista was varely functional with 6 GB RAM, you were doing something very, very wrong or are an extreme use case.
You don't need 40 tabs open. I guarantee by the time you get to tab 40 you have no idea what tabs 3 or 19 were even about.
Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
Now here is why the above example may be relevant to you - several popular image editing programs do a lot of operations on the working data from your current image on disk instead of in memory no matter how much memory you have. Put it's cache on ramdisk and some operations speed up by an order of magnitude or more and let other operations happen.
I've seen a machine lock up for twenty minutes rotating a large TIF file despite having a lot of free memory because it was thrashing the disk flat out.
By that time the Pentium Pro was being designed due to 4GB per CPU not being seen as enough and a 64 bit SPARC was available.
By default Vista did things very, very wrong initially. It couldn't even log into an MS domain without downloading and running a fix from the command line. That was very amusing at a time when MS fanboys were blasting linux for having a command line at all.
After a while and a lot of updates it settled down, using far less memory, doing file copies at full speed and so on. There's still a couple of Vista systems in my workplace used by some people that did an end run around IT to get them - they are sort of usable but make Win7 look like a work of wonder in comparison.
Yes, ZFS will eat whatever memory it can find and give you your files faster in exchange. It's amusing when you grab a file from two days ago and it arrives faster than disk speed.
This is not true at all. Total memory amount can be whatever. What matters is properly loading memory channels in a balanced way. Depending on how you go wrong, and on what hardware, performance hits can be a LOT worse than 20% too.
To match the example, if you had a dual channel memory controller with 4 slots of RAM (2 DIMMs per channel), (2) 2G DIMMs and (2) 1G DIMMs would give you 6GB of balanced memory, assuming you install it correctly (a 2G and a 1G on each channel, ie 1st slot - 2G, 2nd - 1G, 3rd - 2G, 4th - 1G, but this varies by boards)
Regardless of Vista's errors at releast (and through SP1), my point still stands. Vista ran fine with 2 GB unless you were choking the horse.
I made the mistake of buying a laptop with 1 GB and Vista with no downgrade option (no XP drivers). The wifi and sound would just randomly stop working. A fresh restore to factory would be fine. I never could isolate it to one update or anything. Finally after about the 3rd restore and 2nd fresh install, I just disabled Windows Update for about six months.
I hit a wall of Vista at 1 GB due to needing an XP VM for class -- jesus it was awful on 512 MB -- and dropped the cash to upgrade it ASAP.
So you're saying Microsoft actually did a good thing?
I can't wait for these IoT devices based on Win10
That event will be called , "Armageddon"
Most people are NOT upgrading Windows XP to Windows 10.
Most people who do the upgrade come from Windows 7 or 8.1. This is significant because Windows 10 needs LESS resources than Windows 7, so unless you buy a new machine theres no incentive to upgrade.
Sales of standalone memory may have increased from people not afraid to open their PC and insert some more RAM buying more to keep old PCs going for longer, but what the article is saying is that sales as part of a new PC (which for the majority of consumers is the only way they will ever buy RAM) have dropped. The overall effect is that sales of memory has dropped.
4GB was a decent amount of memory for a new PC in 2010. It's now five years past since then. Even $300 smartphones now have so much ram.
I agree with you that there are clean ways to do things in plain ECMAScript 5 and HTML DOM. So long as you don't absolutely need to support obsolete* versions of Windows Internet Explorer, you might not even need jQuery.
* IE 8 and especially 7 cause the most problems, but all currently supported Windows operating systems (10, 8, 7, and Vista) can upgrade to at least IE 9.
The first time I bought RAM it was $40 for 64K.
I expect that is may be mostly do the fact most apps made today still are created with the idea of 32bit in mind. (For Windows and Linux). When designing software there is a sweet spot where of how much RAM to use, vs how much to read off of slower storage such as a hard disk or download from the cloud, vs. how much you should calculate in real time. As technology progresses and prices changes this balance fluctuates. MS DOS and those old DOS apps were designed around the under 640k RAM. and reading data from the disk. So many of the games were generated via Vector graphics. As the CPU time was fast enough to draw the graphics, vs trying to store bitmaps in RAM, and loading it from the disk. Then once the Faster Accessing of the hard disk came around with larger storage, then you got more bitmapped images, where you can read more complex images and display them faster then it would take the CPU to draw them at that quality level. As well RAM has been breaking the 640k barrier, at this point we can have Windowing information as we now have the RAM to run the application and extra to store the data behind an overlapping window...
Design methods change as technology changes so you code needs to deal with the new balance of technology available in the systems.
Sometimes we call it bloat, but it is about having your program taking optimal advantage of the resources to meet what the system can do.
I have a program I created on the server that takes over a hundred gigs of RAM. It really flies because I have a good portion of the data cached in RAM for quick retrieval faster then it takes to download it from the Database. The app I would have written a decade ago, wouldn't work like this app, because we didn't have the RAM, so it would have been designed with more of creating direct read tables in the database with copies from other data elements, probably using extra disk space, to get things indexed so it will work in reasonable time. As well it may need to have been split across multiple servers.
If something is so important that you feel the need to post it on the internet... It probably isn't that important.
Why would it get lower? Are they using newer, cheaper process technology?
Largely because of amortization of fixed costs. To build the parts the company has to spend a large amount of money up front on production equipment, buildings, overhead, R&D, etc. Let's call it $1 Billion just for a nice round number. If they just produce on DIMM then to make that money back they have to charge $1 Billion for it. If they make two they cut that in half to $500M each. If they make 1 million of them they can charge $1000 each. So the more units you make the lower the unit price can be. That is the primary reason why products like semiconductors start off expensive and their costs lower over time. By now they have made several million of the chip and the fixed costs have been recouped so the price can get lower even if nothing else changes.
This is why you can get volume discounts on stuff you buy. Bigger volumes allows amortization of fixed costs over more units and results in a lower unit cost.
And yes them might have improved the process along the way to reduce costs.
One of my peeves was that when Vista came out, many PCs had 512MB - with Vista! I thought it was crap with 1 GB. I can only imagine it in half that.
Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
I haven't used Linux for awhile, but when I did, most distros out of the box were as memory hungry as Windows. Of course, with Linux you could use something other than KDE/Gnome on lower-end machines.
Slow down, cowboy! It has been 4 hours since you last posted. You must wait another few hours.
Where I was coming from was this:
Windows 8.1 didn't really fix the major problem people had with Windows 8.0 (the lack of a Start menu and insistence on having a touch-oriented Start Screen by default)
People hated Vista because of the slow speed, poor memory handling, and the permission dialogs, all of which were (mostly) fixed in 7 (albeit I suspect the permission dialogs were fixed by the third party developers who stopped doing the things that caused them to come up.)
So 8.1 wasn't really the 7 to 8.0's Vista, it was more of one of the service packs that made Vista more usable later on its life. 10 though seems like... it's a whole new Vista. And 8.1 was a nice tablet operating system even if it was horrible on the desktop, whereas 10 seems to be fairly poor everywhere.
Here's hoping they fix it soon. Otherwise I'm going to have to see if I can restore 8.1 on my tablet...
You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
You mean, moving him to linux? Nice fantasy, and would have made his life easier, but it was NOT going to happen.
I suggested them to use OpenOffice, even installed it for them. Guess what they did after they got the machines?
Install Office 2010. They didn't wait a few weeks for Office 2016. They didn't install Office 2013, no, they went straight to Office 2010.
Try to imagine the reaction if the suggestion was: "Go to linux mint". Was NOT going to happen... :-(
Besides, they have a few windows programs (admin/accounting stuff) they need. Here were we are, Linux support is non-existent, and windows support people are crappy, to say the least...
Just as an example, on the P105, the resident techie installed 1 2GB stick, and left the other slot empty. Q: Why did not take the machine to full 4GB? A: That required a BIOS update, and that was beyond the guy's Kung-Fu. Try to imagine that guy running "A2 Software" under WINE (with NO support from the distributor). Yeah, right! Besides, as I said, my brother would never allow it in the first place.
As a matter of fact, the promise to move them to Win10 was the big draw/carrot for my brother to move his ass and let me do the hardware upgrades, instead of plowing along with those CRAPPY machines (or worse, filling the landfield with them - Remember, I did this for mother earth).
Last detail, In his personal machine (a 17" beast of a laptop, with dual HDDs, and 8GB of RAM), my brother had 8.1, and was HAPPY with it, he is eagerly waiting for 10 his automatic update to 10. So no, linux is a nice fantasy, but is not going to happen for him.
And if you meant moving them to Win7, remember microsoft backported their telemetry crap. The resident techie will not be able to play wack-a-mole with the relevant patches.
As for me, apple forced my hand by not having win7 drivers for the air 2015 in bootcamp. So 10 it is for both machines. From my machines, microsoft will only see me using project, visio, WD Drive check utility, Nokia suite for my old-now-just-used-for-here-maps nokia N9, and Arkam City Origins.
There are 5 more machines to update, but I am not sure He will be willing to pay for the required hardware. The next one for sure is a P35-S6111, that only goes to Win7. It is getting a PATA (for crying uot loud) SSD, and, guess what? 2x1GB DDR-0 sticks.
*** Suerte a todos y Feliz dia!
I just checked the installation on my PC and the minified JQuery file (jquery-1.11.1.min.js) is all of 96 kilobytes.
I've read that it's common for scripts hosted on separate sites to import separate copies of jQuery so that widgets on the page don't break when a new version of jQuery changes some otherwise unspecified behavior. With noConflict mode, you end up with jquery-1.11.1.min.js, jquery-1.otherversion.min.js, and jquery-1.yetanother.min.js. So that's 96 kilobytes, times a factor accounting for the overhead of JIT compilation, times the number of copies of jQuery loaded into a single page, times the number of tabs open in your browser. It also adds latency to the page load, especially on cellular and satellite. And loading it from Google's CDN causes problems for users in China.
Its not quite that simple.
You are correct that it isn't that simple but I don't think may people want to read about all the gory economic nuances involved. Nevertheless the biggest driver of cost early in the life cycle of a product like a RAM chip is going to be the fixed costs to begin production. The effect on unit costs won't become negligible until quite a lot of units have already been sold. It's not the only factor in play but it's normally the biggest. Once enough units have been sold other factors like the ones you mention tend to become dominant.
Nobody will want my chips if a new tech comes out that doubles density. My current equipment won't be useful anymore.
Old chips routinely continue to get produced long after they have been surpassed by newer/better technology. They don't just shut down production the moment something better comes along. There is a wind down period, often a rather protracted one - sometimes measured in years or even decades. Once the equipment is paid for they can continue to produce the product. Sometimes they'll sell the production once demand falls low enough. I deal with this sort of thing in my work when my customers specify old electronics. I had a customer request a specific Schottky diode that the original manufacturer (Motorola) stopped making 20 years ago and sold the business to a small volume maker. But you can still get the part even today if you had the need.
I thought it was the other way round.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
I prefer to consider how much the OS memory costs. When I started out, it was at a company with three 370s, and whether to buy another megabyte of memory was a decision made at the vice-presidential level. When I upgraded the memory on my first computer (somewhat later), I was paying only about $120/16K, so I filled the thing up.
How much does 4 GB cost nowadays? It's been years since I bought RAM, but back then it would be well under $50. That makes it equivalent to something under 8K when I first started with my own computer.
"When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
Multiples of 3 are perfectly fine if you have a triple-channel memory controller (anything LGA1366).
Maybe it's Maybelline! https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
One of the problems with Vista is that its prefetch (superfetch) algorithm was way too aggressive. So give it 6GB of ram, and it's going to sit there thrashing the the crap out of the disk preloading all your programs/data into all that memory. Even while you're trying to use the machine. One of the things they did in Windows 7 was dial it back.
I ran Vista on a P4 with 1.25GB of ram for several years, and it was surprisingly usable. My theory is that it was enough ram for the OS and a few programs but didn't really leave enough for superfetch to play around with. I also tried installing Vista on a P3 laptop with 512MB of ram. That... didn't work as well.
I prefer to consider how much the OS memory costs. When I started out, it was at a company with three 370s, and whether to buy another megabyte of memory was a decision made at the vice-presidential level. When I upgraded the memory on my first computer (somewhat later), I was paying only about $120/16K, so I filled the thing up.
How much does 4 GB cost nowadays? It's been years since I bought RAM, but back then it would be well under $50. That makes it equivalent to something under 8K when I first started with my own computer.
4 GB for my computer is about $35. If your price is from years ago, then the price difference is not really that impressive. When they say "why is RAM suddenly so cheap?", I expect that to mean the price has dropped drastically by 20 to 30% in a matter of months. In fact, by looking at this graph, it appears that RAM has dropped by 20-30% since the beginning of the year, but at the beginning of the year, RAM was TWICE as expensive as it was in 2011. The graph is logarithmic, so a little hard to read. But in fact, it looks like in 2011 there was a bottom hit, which we are still sharply above. So again, when they ask why the price has dropped drastically, yet the price is far above what it cost 4 years ago, It seems like the question is kind of moot.
If you are not allowed to question your government then the government has answered your question.