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Ask Slashdot: Predictions For 2016? (slashdot.org)
An anonymous reader writes: Ok folks, it's been ten years since we've done this. What are your tech/science/nerd/misc predictions for 2016? Is VR going to be the bombshell it's being hyped as? Are wearables going to come into their own? Which tech companies are going to implode, and which are going to blossom? What discoveries are we going to make this year? Will people ever shut up about Donald Trump? Which new movies, books, games, and TV shows are going to be awesome? Which are going to suck? How will our privacy and security erode in 2016? And anything else you'd care to forecast.
I'm going to steal one from 2006 since it is almost a reality:
by BCW2 (168187) on Monday December 26, 2005 @11:59PM (#14342970) Journal
[How about] Flash drives get priced competitivly with hard drives of the same size?
I think that 2016 will be a disastrous year for Firefox. Thanks to more dumb changes by Mozilla, most of which will be unwanted by Firefox's few remaining users, many of these users will move to Chrome, Edge, Safari, or one of the other browsers out there. Firefox's share of the market, which is only in the high single-digits at this point, will drop below 5%.
Furthermore, Mozilla supporters will continue to refuse to acknowledge why this massive drop in market share will have happened. Instead of just admitting that Mozilla fucked up and fucked over its users, these Mozilla supporters will use excuses like "Google advertised Chrome a lot" and "it's because of mobile browsers". They still won't realize, or at least admit, what the real problem has been: Mozilla has repeatedly fucked over Firefox's users with one stupid, unwanted and awful change after another!
Additionally, Servo and Rust won't see much progress in 2016. Rust will continue to spin its wheels as it tries to become as useful as C++14 has been for a few years. Servo might get to the point of providing an IE 7 level of experience, rather than the IE 3 style experience it currently provides. Both will continue to be a waste of resources that could have instead been put toward improving Firefox's performance or fixing many of its longstanding bugs.
Systemd has spoken, but it's impossible to decode its incoherent message. Perhaps it's saying that it is a perpetual victim of injustice. Then again, it might be babbling that this is the best of all possible worlds and that it is the best of all possible organizations. Let's get down to business: It ought to unstop its ears and uncover its eyes. Only then will systemd hear that to which it has been too long heedless. Only then will it see that when I hear it say that it has an absolute right to be intolerant in the name of tolerance, I have to wonder about it. Is it thoroughly worthless? Is it simply being asinine? Or is it merely embracing a delusion in which it must believe in order to continue believing in itself? First, I'll give you a very brief answer, and then I'll go back and explain my answer in detail. As for the brief answer, while systemd has been beating the drums of opportunism, I've been trying to take the mechanisms, language, ideology, and phraseology for determining what is right and what is wrong out of the hands of systemd and its adherents and put them back in the hands of ordinary people. In doing so, I've learned that in its quest to prevent us from getting in touch with our feelings it has left no destructive scheme unutilized.
Every time systemd spouts some nonsense about how it's inflexibly honest, thoroughly patriotic, and eminently solicitous to promote, in all proper ways, the public good, the effect is that its apple-polishers become even more loyal to it. Sociologists refer to the phenomenon of increased devotion to a maledicent theory at the very hour of its destruction by external evidence as “cognitive dissonance”. I, for one, call it proof that systemd wants us to feel sorry for the subhuman, mindless skivers who promote the lie of stoicism. I warrant we should instead feel sorry for their victims, all of whom know full well that systemd is trapped in a vicious cycle. The more opposition to its bromides it faces, the more prudish it becomes. The more prudish it becomes, the more opposition to its bromides it faces. I wish I didn't have to be the one to break the news that I pray for the day when those who support those for whom hatred has become a way of life will see what they're doing to the world and to all of its citizens. Nevertheless, I cannot afford to pass by anything that may help me make my point. So let me just state that if we are to provide actionable steps people can take to break the spell of great expectations that now binds poxy bigamists to systemd, then we must be guided by a healthy and progressive ideology, not by the high-handed and pesky ideologies that systemd promotes.
Epistemic warlordism weakens political determination and gives comfort to anarchism. To overcome this the question of the role played by systemd's faction must be broached directly. Let me suggest we do by examining the way that whenever I hear systemd's dupes witter on about how hanging out with nauseating converts to misoneism is a wonderful, culturally enriching experience, I interpret this poppycock as an implicit request for chemical treatment of their rampant (and generally unacknowledged) Asperger syndrome. The biggest supporters of systemd's unscrupulous, disloyal rantings are snotty charlatans and craven filthy-types. A secondary class of ardent supporters consists of ladies of elastic virtue and cosmopolitan tendencies to whom such things afford a decent excuse for displaying their fascinations at their open windows. Let's just ignore systemd and see what it does.
In any case, there is something in the way of “natural law” that can be stated awkwardly as follows: “Anyone who was sober for more than an hour or two during the last five years knows that systemd's presumptuous calumnies have been establishing beachheads on paper and celluloid and silicon and everywhere else that presumptuous calumnies can appear.” Please do not quote me on that. Instead, work it into a better natural law and enunciate it in clearer and more concise te
http://predictionbook.com/ is a website that allows one to record predictions along with a probability estimate for them. Others can then comment and give their own estimates. When a prediction comes due one can then judge it. It also has a nice graph that allows one to then see how accurate one has been (most humans are overconfident). It isn't perfect since for example it doesn't have categories for predictions; it would be nice for example to be able to say look at just one's predictions related to politics, or to the space program or something similar. But overall, I strongly recommend it.
2016 will be the Year of My Genitals on the Desktop.
You are welcome on my lawn.
10% of users accessed Google with IPv6 yesterday: http://www.google.com/intl/en/...
If you expand out the graph you can see that during the work week there are about 8% of users on IPv6, but at the weekends it increases. There is a two-speed internet, with residential and mobile leading the way, and corporate networks lagging behind.
Prediction: 14% at weekends next year.
The brushfires have been smouldering, but in 2016 both the owners and subjects will organize to oppose each other with fervor. Individuals and companies will begin making news for fleeing repressive regimes to continue their work and these will be regimes that used to claim a penchant for liberty. Other subjects of these regimes will begin to notice and start a three-year cycle that will lead to one extreme or the other.
My God, it's Full of Source!
OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
are greatly exaggerated. And Windows 10 will not do nearly as well as it should based on the price (free). Windows 7 will remain above 40% market share of desktop PCs throughout the year.
A brain is a terrible thing to waste... Mind? That's debatable.
In 2016 there will be products that are so over hyped that they turn out to be a disappointment.
I predict that there will be yet another programming language claiming to replace C and we will still be mostly using C in 2026.
I Don't Work Here
That's not the right question. The question should be, "Will Donald Trump ever shut up?" And the answer is no. He has no chance of being elected, and he knows that. Who has Donald Trump pissed off? Women? Latinos? I feel discriminated against . . . he hasn't pissed off middle aged white guys . . . yet.
He is going to find his place sniping at Hilary, when she gets elected: the social gadfly of the opposition. It's a great role to play. A lot of folks really detest Hillary, but she's going to be elected anyway, just because of demographics that favor the Democrats. That will leave a lot of folks looking for a steam valve, to let off some vitriol. The trouble that Hillary will have, is a Republican Congress and Senate. She will have to resort to the "Obama Prerogative" of using Executive Orders, read, "imperial decrees", to circumvent the due process of the creation of laws in the US. Opening the border to Cuba? A good idea, but the way Obama did that was dubious, at best. Congress should have approved.
Now Obama wants to do another Executive Decree, that affects the Bill of Rights, on gun laws. In international soccer matches, that would get the red card from the referee. What will happen if Hillary decides to issue a decree about the Freedom of Speech? Democrats will close ranks behind her; Trump will honk off.
Although that sounds a bit pessimistic, I'm thinking that is what 2016 has to offer.
Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
People will keep flocking to one of the fastest growing city in the USA, even though it will continue to have increasingly devastating consequences from regular flooding for the population and industry, particularly farming.
Wall street, on behalf of rich people, will short-sell (via complex derivatives that mask their intent) the Florida property and life insurers, mortgagees, corporations, and property owners.
Florida will continue to deny the existence of climate change at the popular and official levels.
...need a phone will be what makes wearables take off. By affordable I'm talking less than $100, and by not requiring a phone I mean you can text, calculate, and make calls "Dick Tracy" style without having to carry a cell phone on your person. And it should be both functional and decorative, especially if it expects to compete with its much more attractive analog counterparts. Perhaps a display that overlays mechanical hands when you want to use it as a computer but retains the elegance of a normal watch when you just want to know the time?
Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
When Feb 29 rolls around the subject will drift to lead seconds, and there'll be wave of whing and ill-informed nuttery from drometards who rolled their own half-assed date/time libraries and don't know what TAI is.
Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
2016 Will be the first year that nobody on slashdot posts about a Beowulf cluster of Natalie Portmans in Russia who pour hot grits on YOU.
Oooops, so much for that prediction.
PS this is cellocgw, but slashdot's posting page insists on logging me out.
Linux will push out more fixes and hardware support - but nothing compelling that will be worth an upgrade (unless you like dickin' about with your computers, or need the fixed stuff)
Windows will continue to be Windows - nothing new there
There will be more cyber attacks, exploited security holes, scams and cockups
The Greek economy might finally crash - or it might not.
Apple will probably release some more stuff. The fans will all tell you they are the best versions ever and worth every penny
China will make more, faster, better, cheaper stuff then ever before
Oh yes - and there will be the olympics. But nothing else of any consequence.
politicians are like babies' nappies: they should both be changed regularly and for the same reasons
Completely unable to post from Chrome because slashdot keeps logging me out when I hit "Submit" and won't let me post as AC.
I just love it when upgrades break things.
OTOH, if this post from FF fails, it's certainly slashdot's fault
https://app.box.com/WitthoftResume Code: https://github.com/cellocgw
Systemd will continue to spread its tentacles until every last OSS will become dependent on it.
That's what it wants you to think.
The real sure thing? The Internet of Things juggernaut. I'm astonished it hasn't been mentioned yet.
I come here for the love
Or its discovered that several "SJW leaders" were under trump's paycheck all along, while he sits down on the white house's presidential chair while muttering "Everything according to keikaku"
But i'm pretty sure the industry will start to manufacture the big ICs like CPUs, GPUs etc into small separate modules and then using a precise pick and place machine, "assemble" the whole beast using either side interconnects or bridges over the chips, if not just plain making a 3D pile with heatpipes to pull out the heat from the middle of it.
The tech itself to do it is already emerging with those HSA memory AMD things, and that's a nice way to not have to fight against huge masks that will be required given the fact the ol transistor shrinking trick is not working anymore.
I predict that Slashdot does the right thing in 2016 and ditches its outdated, broken modding system.
It's a system that made sense in 2002, when even the most boring Slashdot stories routinely got 400+ comments.
But these days, it's typical to see stories that get less than 100 comments. Even just hitting 50 comments is a real accomplishment.
The only stories that see more than that today are highly-politicized or controversial topics, where the editors are clearly stirring up pointless discussion (see all of the women-in-tech submissions as examples of this).
In order to keep this site viable, more good discussion is needed.
The seeds necessary for good discussion are there. The problem is that the best comments often get modded down before this discussion can start.
Facing an ever-dwindling number of users, 2016 will be the year that Dice will need to take some real action.
The first thing to do is to get rid of the moderation system completely. It's old, it's broken, and it doesn't help promote good discussion. It just stifles it nowadays.
The second thing to do is to display all comments by default. It made sense to hide some comments when there were typically 500+ in each thread of discussion. But now it's typical to only see one or two comments showing by default, with the other 30 comments, most of them very good, not being shown by default!
The third thing to do is to get rid of the posting limits. Again, these made sense a decade or more ago, when this site actually had a lot of users and got a lot of comments. But now it's just dumb to limit anonymous users to just 10 comments per day, along with the stupid delays imposed between comments. The last thing Slashdot should be doing is impeding the ability of the small number of remaining users to comment!
By turning Slashdot into a site where discussion can happen freely and without the friction imposed by the current bad moderating and the unnecessary posting limits, it could very well see a revival in 2016.
No longer would Slashdot be seen as the early-2000s relic that it is currently seen as. Instead, it'd become known as a site for vibrant discussion, without the pathetic don't-offend-anyone wimpiness of places like Reddit and Hacker News.
Dice, make 2016 the year that these three important things happen:
1. The moderation system is completely thrown away.
2. The current posting limits are completely disabled.
3. Slashdot is turned into a site where discussion is prompted and encouraged, rather than stifled like it currently is.
Dice, make 2016 the Year of Slashdot!
I predict Christmas will come on December 25. I also predict the sun will rise tomorrow morning.
If Trump is elected, I predict World War III during his tenure.
If Trump is not elected, I predict news stories explaining how so many people got finagled by him.
2016: The Year In Energy
In the year 2016 there will be a dozen vague announcements promising some new materials breakthrough (graphene, unicorn crystals, etc.) that lead excitable people to imagine that large scale grid storage is right around the corner. Tesla will introduce a battery the size of a motorcycle that can power a car, a battery the size of a car that can power a house, and one the size of a city that can power a slightly larger city, for 30 minutes.
Meanwhile the tech community will fixate on every disingenuous statistic anyone can come up with about grid-scale wind power as if there had been some new 'tech' breakthrough, and is poised to explode for no earthly reason. To an embarrassingly lesser extent there will be a trickle of topics on solar power which was the big push a few years ago, now mainly a few whiny articles about how big energy companies and short sighted governments are interfering with the peoples' right to push tiny bits of energy onto the grid and make the people around them pay for the infrastructure to do so. California (and now its Eastern colony, Vermont) will generate less electricity and import more grid power and natural gas than ever.
Fusion will be closer than ever before and yet practically speaking on the grid scale, remain as comfortably distant as ever. This will be good news to the folks who advocate fusion as a way to derail discussions about nuclear fission, but have at last realized that both methods involve the use of terrifying radioactivity.
Meanwhile stock-paper energy companies will continue to acquire --- then decommission --- nuclear power plants in acts of staggering corporate vandalism to improve their short-term balance sheets and push grid consumers permanently, irrevocably, into the profitable and seasonally volatile natural gas market. If it were not for a few well positioned math-challenged nuke-scardy faux-environmentalists everyone might have been up in arms about this. If we had a federal government that was not also compromised by faux-environmentalism, there would have been investigations into possible conspiracy of restraint of trade, and a real concern for the stability of the nation's electrical infrastructure.
China will continue to position itself as the third world's most ambitious energy and rail infrastructure provider, making firm promises and forming lasting relationships and securing oil resources in regions of the Middle East, Asia and Africa that the United States CIA had once thought they could 'manage' cheaply just by installing friendly regimes. She will lead the United States and the world in nuclear energy research, forging ahead with the CAP1400 project that leverages Westinghouse technology to a greater extent than Westinghouse itself is able... and meanwhile and not incidentally China is actively making molten salt reactor research and prototype development a national priority, unlike the United States where advocates of LFTR become the brunt of dumb jokes on Slashdot.
In other words, same as last year.
<blink>down the rabbit hole</blink>
I think you're making up a conspiracy where there really doesn't need to be one.
He wouldn't have to pay anyone in the "social justice" crowd to act the way that they do. Those in the "social justice" crowed are just naturally deranged, and voluntarily engage in the behavior that they do without requiring any sort of financial compensation or incentive.
"Social justice" supporters are naturally hypocrites. They're naturally intolerant. They're naturally hateful. They're naturally bullies. That's why they're drawn to the "social justice" movement in the first place: it embodies everything that they naturally want to do. But best of all, it deludes them into thinking they're doing something "good", rather than having to admit their true awful nature.
Their anti-white, anti-heterosexual, anti-male agenda promotes the very things that they claim to stand against: racism, discrimination based on sexual orientation, and discrimination based on gender.
It does not help that they also pardon and encourage illegal activities, such as foreigners crossing the border illegally, "disadvantaged youth" attacking police officers, and the riots that these "disadvantaged youth" engage in in order to steal the latest Nike shoes.
Maybe Trump is benefiting from the divisive environment that the "social justice" crowd has naturally created. But I really doubt he has to waste his money on these people. Their natural actions will benefit him more than anything he could ever hope to organize.
It's much like what we've seen in the open source community with systemd. The people who support systemd have, perhaps unintentionally, done more to harm the viability of Linux, especially when used on servers, than Microsoft, or SCO, or Apple, or any other organization could ever have hoped to do. A community that is naturally rotting from the inside out can be exploited much more effectively than one that's being actively manipulated.
Worry about today. After today, you can worry about tomorrow.
My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
While Bitcoin had a great year in most metrics of 2015( https://blog.coinbase.com/2015... ), expect even more rapid growth in 2016 when years of development and investment compound with another disinflationary bubble driving media and user interest. Several more bitcoin "killer-apps" (I.E.. https://openbazaar.org/ ) will come online while banks continue to poor money into block chain development to play catch-up. Crypto-currency developers will be the biggest winners as more fintech VC money pours into innovative startups and "blockchain" consultants.
Banking alts will begin to roll out in late 2016 with some eventually becoming massive failures and some private blockchains winning out providing slight benefits from removing some interbank inefficiencies. Both bank alts/tokens and bitcoin will coexist and serve different purposes as the key benefits to bitcoin will never be replicated by the banks: immutability, privacy and security with no KYC, sovereignty, open source and decentralized allowing limitless innovation and ability to onramp billions of unbanked and underbanked.
China will ban new coal mines for three years: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/... The US will do the same or more since a federal judge ruled last year that mining permits must consider greenhouse gas emissions.
https://www.washingtonpost.com...
Yeah, I'm sure it is left-wing bias that the media hasn't covered the evidence for his assertions. It isn't that the assertions are simply false, like his repeated false claim about thousands of New Jersey Muslims cheering on 9/11 http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/nov/22/donald-trump/fact-checking-trumps-claim-thousands-new-jersey-ch/, his repeated claim that Mexico is deliberately sending criminals to the US http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/aug/06/donald-trump/trump-mexican-government-they-send-bad-ones-over/, or simply stating demonstrably made up statistics http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2015/nov/23/donald-trump/trump-tweet-blacks-white-homicide-victims/.
And yes, he has made blanket statements. Look at for example his comment from his announcement speech where he said:
When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best. They're not sending you. They're not sending you. They're sending people that have lots of problems, and they're bringing those problems with us. They're bringing drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.
This wasn't a claim that most Mexican immigrants are good with a few bad apples. This was a statement that they are bad, except possibly "some" who might be good that he has to "assume" exist. This is about as blanket as one can get without using a universal quantifier. Similar remarks apply to his statements about Muslims and POWs (who are apparently losers for being captured while serving their country).
He has no chance of being elected, and he knows that.
Reality disagrees... but please, keep saying stuff about Trump. It only helps.
I am aware that polls this early are largely meaningless, but let's look at some numbers outside of context.
He's got about 40% of the Republican vote at the moment. Let's assume that figure holds across the party so that, for example, if Cruz bows out 40% of those supporters move to Trump. That gives him 40% + (40% x 60%) = 64% of the Republican vote, using back-of-the-envelope estimates.
No one bothered to check with Democratic voters until recently, but Trump has stronger support from Democrats than he does from Republicans!
Astonishing!
If *those* numbers are accurate, he could get elected right now.
And all of this is ignoring any context. For example:
a) The investigation into Hillary could conclude, bringing charges against her
b) Hillary could have a medical issue (campaigning is stressful, she's had medical problems, Trump hasn't)
c) US could have another domestic terrorist attack
d) Trump has not made campaign ads - he's spent about a million, compared to Jeb's 32 million.
And finally, Trump will get elected simply because no one opposes his position in any rational way - it's all namecalling and derision.
Don't believe me? Find a rational argument as to why a temporary ban on Muslims entering the country isn't a common-sense response to an immediate threat.
You can't do it. The only response, so far as I can find, is to cast aspersions on the person asking that question. Terms like bigot, predjudiced, racist, and extremist are used. Also outright lies such as "it's unconstitutional" (no, it's not), "it's impossible to tell who's a Muslim" (no, it's not), "that's not what America is about" (we've done it before), and so on.
Then tell me why enforcing immigration law is a bad move (instead of amnesty, which is what the administration was quietly floating), why simplifying the tax code is a bad move, why having strong treaty negotiation is a bad move, and why replacing Obamacare with something better would be a bad move.
As near as I can tell, early November was the tipping point where you could have stopped Donald Trump. Someone could have stepped up and addressed his policies, and in that act presented as a strong leader. By now it's probably too late.
Oh, and let's not forget that the lead Democratic candidate has accomplished nothing in her career, and the democratic runner-up is a Socialist. A SOCIALIST!
Please.
Donald may not win the election, but saying he has no chance is entirely without merit.
What discoveries are we going to make this year?
I predict we are going to discover that people seriously suck at predicting the future.
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- - You can't take something off the Internet! That's like trying to take pee out of a swimming pool.
The mobile site has been in infinite loop mode for a while now.
Sanders will take the presidency.
If you have never experienced the systemD reintegration you can see it synergizes the kernel calls. The benefits of this simple schema can be difficult to believe. The future will be a transformative refining of insight. Eons from now, we adventurers will live like never before as we are reborn by the grid. We must change ourselves and empower others.
Your system resources may be ruled by greedy algorithms without realizing it. Do not let it sabotage the self-healing disk fragmentation. You must take a stand against selfishness. We can no longer afford to live with plural arbitration. The new paridigm of digital auto-transcendence is now happening worldwide. It is in refining that we are re-energized. Imagine a refining of what could be.
The galaxy is approaching a tipping point. We are being called to explore the cosmos itself as an interface between complexity and being. Soon there will be a redefining of knowledge the likes of which the planet has never seen.
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
With extreme heat records in central USA, Siberia and west Europe.
Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
Hydrogen fueling stations will begin to catch up with the demand for the vehicles, which presold more than the entire production run of the Tesla Roadster in the first two months of availability in Japan, and owners that have postponed taking possession of them will begin to receive the vehicles thus proving to those unfamiliar with the technology that there are electric vehicle alternatives to battery plugins.
Quatrain I
"An enormous and mighty ring is watched by the one who watches. Motes whirl at tremendous speeds, colliding and generating unimaginable amounts of energy. The eye that watches searches relentlessly for forbidden knowledge and becomes consumed by its fascination with the ring. Days, weeks and months pass and the motes continue hurling themselves towards each other in a battle that culminates in destruction."
Quatrain V
"The fourth Antichrist engages in war upon Little Beach and the beach is swamped by the incoming tide. The influence and control that Little Beach has held is lost as another takes his place."
Quatrain III
"The doors opened and the windows closed. A great wind blows against the windows causing them to buckle and bend; the pressure slowly builds and erodes away at the very foundations that support the windows."
Sorry PolygamousRanchKid, but I predict that Donald Trump will be elected President in an electoral college landslide.
The prevailing interpretation (not the validity) of Einstein's special theory of relativity definitions relating frame time (t) to proper time (tau):
d(tau) = dt - dr/c = invariant
dr = dx + dy + dz
will be challenged by a source that is regarded as "mainstream" by the STEM community. The new interpretation will not challenge the validity of these definitions, nor will the new interpretation be accepted as "mainstream physics" during 2016. However, due to the prominence of the challenger and the challenged, there will be a mild form of mass hysteria in the scientific community as well as media. The challenger will claim the hysteria is due to the disruptive implications to mainstream physics while the challenged will claim the hysteria is due to the appearance of a rare species of "crackpot" -- one with mainstream credibility. This controversy may well result in mainstream funding (NSF, etc.) to "debunk" the "cranks" during 2016 although, in mainstream discourse, spin may be placed on less aggressive terms to similar effect, due to the prominence of the challenger. The blogosphere will most decidedly not shy away from such invective.
Seastead this.
The price of beef has just gone up.
And you know the rest.
deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
The sun will rise.
"Freedom in the USA is not the ability to do what you want. It is the ability to stop others from doing what THEY want"
And then the healing can begin. Nah, just kidding, that would be completely crazy. Instead I predict more slashvertisement, more videos, and even less quality in editing the stories. Oh and more Social Justice Warrior nonsense and Nerdbashing.
"press releases about AI will become more desperate."
And also, press releases about fusion.
1. Someone will decide that two books would make very good mini-series and start the process of realizing them...
1a. Cryptonomicon,
1b. The Cyberiad - Fable for the Cybernetic Age.
2. Apple shares will continue to slide because they don't have anything that other companies aren't doing better and cheaper.
3. Wearables as fashion items will peak, but those that are medically beneficial will continue to increase and be improved.
4. Donald Trump won't be the Republican candidate.
5. There will be as many gun-related deaths in the USA as in 2015 because there is nothing that Obama or anyone else can do about it.
6. The UK referendum on leaving the EU will result in a draw and it will be decided by the toss of a coin. The coin will land on its edge.
7. Ukraine will erupt into another civil war because the economy collapses. One of the many corrupt oligarchs will be defenestrated. Mikheil Saakashvili, who was appointed as governor of Odessa, will be kidnapped by the Georgian secret service and returned to Georgia.
8. Greece will shoot down a Turkish military aircraft for crossing into its airspace, the > 2000th time that has happened in the past few years.
9. The Iceland volcano Bardarbunga will erupt and the ash will knock out air traffic across Europe for more than 6 months.
10. Obama will set a new record for Presidential pardons before he steps down.
11. The USA will continue to feed Guantanamo Bay prisoners through the ass, and reaffirm its commitment to human rights.
12. Inexpensive 3D printers will allow more young people to create their own figurines for games, and Games Workshop will declare bankruptcy.
13. I will turn 61, confirm that the lift-slope of a thin circular wing is 1.79002303, and then find the next 3 figures.
USB, USB, USB!
"Don't worry, your lack of support will be more than offset by the many legal immigrants who do support his approach to dealing with illegal immigrants."
From their published writings, the left totally does not understand the distinction between immigration and insurgency.
My prediction is that China will build a 100 Petaflop Supercomputer in 2016. This machine will rank #1 on the TOP500 list until 2019.
-- phone gaming is a zero-gain business
-- first car-hacker crash
-- random large companies online will be "not doing business in your area, thanks" due to bastard weasels like the UK Parliament demanding full and unfettered access to all data through backdoors. could get interesting if it happens in the US, home of The Connected Internet, and will lead to recalls of elected weasels.
-- Oracle has peaked. not-giant companies will go OS for their databases and tools due to the usual overlord contracts.
-- Microsoft will have to back off Windows 10 overlording, the pushback against their increasing Sovietization gets too great.
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
Hillary (c) is wounded and one of the attacks will generate enough damage so the Uberdelegates don't win first ballot in the Democratic convention. out of the dust rises the only candidate telling the truth and offering plans to unwind the oligarchy, Bernie Sanders. in all the polls, he beats comic-Hitlerian GOP candidate Chumpie. more than Hillary (c). the GOP has soiled their nest enough that it's totally poisoned by TEA types. none of those guys could poll over 25% in a general election if ISIS was slashing their way straight through from the coast to Eau Claire.
so there you have it. to steal somebody's meme, "Democracy was built on four boxes... soap, ballot, jury, and ammo." we are damn near to the fourth choice.
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
... that could be construed a bigoted, sexist or unpatriotic. It will go viral, and a flame war will rage across social media in which the public shamers and defenders will vie to twist the narrative of what was in fact a moment of misspeaking into proof that their respective world views are, not only right, but the only conscionable viewpoint to have.
And, even knowing in advance fully how futile and unsatisfying it will be, you won't be able to resist weighing in with what seems to you to be a reasonable and nuanced take on the matter. This will not be perceived by anyone as reasonable and nuanced. Then, like a gambler vainly trying to win back his stake, your participation in the controversy will grow in proportion to your dissatisfaction with it.
An when it is all over a few weeks later it will all happen again.
Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
and the prediction will come to pass.
if this is supposed to be a new economy, how come they still want my old fashioned money?
are going to disappear as the service bombs terribly, and is then subject to a class action lawsuit from disgruntled early adopters.
STOP . AMERICA . NOW
For a few minutes so you can fix obvious huge typos that slipped thru.
She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
I expect Mrs. Clinton to win this year, but serve only one term, and become the first president in a while to do so. Most likely, either Bernie or Trump will reappear in 2020.
I expect that cybersecurity will become a very lucrative industry over the next couple of years.
And I expect that over the next 10 years, there will be an increasing trend of moving jobs back to the US. With larger companies dominating aome industries as heavily aas they do, there will become space for smaller ones who target specific niches, especially with the upper class. In doing so, they save on shipping, can get products to the market sooner, work natively with their customers, take advantage of the term "Made in America", and hire fewer but far better trained and equipped employees than in China or Vietnam.
As for this year, I think their might be another terrorist attack, but I don't know where to say. Potentially at the Olympic Games, or somewhere in Germany, those would be my guesses. Other than that, I don't think too much will change this year, just another year of advancement from what 2015 was...
I also predict that one or more of the above predictions are incorrect :-)
"Set a man a fire, he'll be warm for the rest of the night. Set a man afire, he'll be warm for the rest of his life."
Here's the post from Wyatt Earp (/. ID#: 1029) 10 years ago. He nailed it:
Advancements in artificial limb technology driven by the Iraqi Military Operations
Advancements in stripping the psychotropic effects of drugs like Ketamine and X for use as pain killers, driven by the Iraqi Military Operations
A video card that cracks the $1000 US price point
More hybrid and bio diesel technology from the big Automakers
F/A-22, Eurofighter Typhoon purchases get cut, F/A-22 or the F-35 programs might get totally eliminated by the US DoD
Quad core AMD and Intel server chips
US program to put GPS in all cars becomes a political hot issue
UK program to track all cars does not become a political hot issue
I predict Meg Whitman and Marissa Mayer will both proclaim their "success" in destroying H.P. and Yahoo and will depart to "spend more time with their families".
Both ships are about to sink and they can save face by departing in the near future.
By category, let's start with geopolitics:
- USA presidential, house and senate politics will continue to be the despair of all USAians and the rest of the "free" world"; as a consequence silly posturing will continue instead of the visionary, brave and useful policy-making
- The sames goes for Europe (or at least, most of the EU)
- Despite obscene amounts of spending on the military by both of the above, their weapons systems and military "solutions" remain half-functional and useless to combat the
- Various nutjob "terrerist" groups who will remain well-financed by their "allies" in the Middle East; jury awards for hypocrisy will continue to go to Turkey and Saudi Arabia (and its satellite Princedoms), with Israel, Pakistan and Egypt again qualifying for special awards in the category "biting the hands that feed them",
- Putin will continue riding his kleptocratic tiger, and thus will stick to page one of the "Dictator's playbook", i.e. randomly invading places and/or supporting whackjobs, justifying his actions by saying "for years the West has done the same"...
- For China, see Putin (above)
- All of the above ensuring that poor people everywhere (and especially Middle East and Africa) will continue to get royally fucked-over
Now, technology:
- Linux (yes, I know it's just the fucking kernel) nerds will continue to scream about SystemD; BSD nerds will continue to smirk into their neckbeards
- Google and Apple will continue to plug their respective languages and platforms, since they have lots more money than ideas, hence
- Their core business models and technology platforms will continue to stagnate, and most interest will revolve around how much money they can hide from the taxman in order to pay it back as ransom to bored but venal shareholders
- Meanwhile, clueless tech-hipsters will continue to bore us fartless by comparing the relative benefits of the above "revolutionary" languages and platforms
- Self-driving cars, powered by cheap, safe, nuclear fusion, will be available "real soon now"
- Everyone with a brain, and a decent experience of IS/IT in the real world, will continue to despise the cunts at Oracle
Here it is, in 2006, by Animats (/.ID#: 122034) Alter Relationship on Monday December 26, 2005 @10:39PM (#14343315)
Saudi Arabia finally admits the Gawar field has peaked. Oil passes $70 per barrel.
US interest rate spike. "Homeowners" with adjustable-rate interest-only loans default and are foreclosed.
Housing prices crash as foreclosures glut market.
Congress finally starts investigating some activities of the Bush administration.
No real change in Iraq. Neither side can force a decision, so both sides keep bleeding.
China announces major progress in their space program.
Micropayments flop, again. Goodbye, Bitpass.
A Cat 4 or 5 hurricane wipes out another southern US city, or New Orleans floods again.
One of the big three US car manufacturers goes bankrupt.
Total number of active blogs decreases.
...are amongst a lot of those things we'll see in 2016, hardly a new theme from 2015, but there's light at the end of the tunnel and here's my predictions for 2016:
....I think we're gonna see a huge increase in companies hiring lawyers just to survive out there.
As you may be aware of - it's becoming increasingly hard to get a steady job to hold on to and plan a future, the big companies want young and fresh minds to form and take advantage of while they're willing and ready and the older generation will have to start their own businesses in order to keep their capital flow coming. The most important thing will be - change. People must be willing to do other things than what they're currently used to, because things will indeed change, slowly over the year 2016 - 17 - 18 - 19 etc... you catch the drift, we will be moving towards the moneyless society.
During that transaction of time - we will experience increased civil unrest, increased dismay with our government, leaders, politicians, employers etc. since our way of life as we know it is threatened with lay-offs, unpaid overtime, smaller salary, increased immigration and heavy outsourcing. This is not easy to handle for anyone of us, but it's a thing we've gotta get through somehow, and the only way to do this - is to stay cold and level headed and make sure we're a PART of the future instead of just complaining about it. You don't want to miss the bandwagon when you in reality can take advantages of the change instead of being the one screwed over.
We will notice an increase in social welfare recipients, joblessness, and a transition towards online entertainment instead of manual manufacturing, albeit that part will be outsourced so you may want to re educate yourself into something dealing with design, media, film, online communication, fitness and personal health - as these areas will most likely see an incredible increase.
Good future job perspectives will be in: Automation, Web Shops, Online shopping, Online Entertainment, Programming (Improving algorithms for saving space/data/bandwidth etc. will be in HIGH demand) Game developers, Graphics artists will be sought after so don't sell yourselves short by working for free (these has been outsourced with BAD results earlier, so this area will be especially lucrative). Due to heavy world immigration people working within Medicine (Doctors, surgeons, dentists etc.) will be in HIGH demand anywhere and you'll pretty much be able to set your own salary. As the population becomes more passive, on welfare/being more online during this transition to the moneyless society - we will also notice an increased need for personal health so if you're into fitness - start your own GYMs now, you'll bloom before you know what to do with your success.
Due to increased online production, film, media, entertainment etc. an increased need for the worlds most hated people (lawyers) will be a fact soon, because you'll need to protect that intellectual property (you and I may disagree here, I'm more for Open Source myself) but what you and I think isn't always what will happen, so
Due to increased immigration, it might be wise to invest heavily in property - the gov. will usually pay overprice for rent/property-lease/welfare/daycare/schooling accommodations for immigrants (this is happening BIG TIME in Sweden right now, and we're literally experiencing newcomers to the property market literally raking it in just because of this). Unfortunately they're also amateurs so the market will suffer greatly from this as well, so beware! You may even want to consider a career as an interpretor as these will be in HIGH DEMAND shortly.
Retro trend: We're experiencing the boomers are getting middle aged, so they want to relive their childhood - expect a HIGH demand for old used tech, especially video games from the late 70s to the early 80s, a huge comeback for Pinball machines & old arcades.
New Tech: Expect flat screen TV's to set a record low price-tag i
What this world is coming to - is for you and me to decide.
Someone will create a blatantly illegal decentralized autonomous corporation running on Ethereum, it will get media coverage, and there will be full blown moral panic. This will be used to further interests in expanding mass surveillance and the use of cryptography will become even more politicized. Meanwhile said corporation will experience record profits which are only improved by the notoriety.
And yes, he has made blanket statements. Look at for example his comment from his announcement speech where he said:
When Mexico sends its people, they're not sending their best. They're not sending you. They're not sending you. They're sending people that have lots of problems, and they're bringing those problems with us. They're bringing drugs. They're bringing crime. They're rapists. And some, I assume, are good people.
This wasn't a claim that most Mexican immigrants are good with a few bad apples. This was a statement that they are bad, except possibly "some" who might be good that he has to "assume" exist. This is about as blanket as one can get without using a universal quantifier. Similar remarks apply to his statements about Muslims and POWs (who are apparently losers for being captured while serving their country).
Dude, don't waste your breath.
Those of us of Mexican background are used to the abuse, like they say, that that does not kill us strengthens us.
Trump has already destroyed just about all of the progress the GOP has made in reaching out towards Hispanics in the US.
About the only Hispanics that support the Republicans these days are the Cuban Americans and most Hispanics I know dislike the Cuban Americans.
As a Chicano I have met a range of Hispanics from Mexico to Colombia to Argentina to El Salvador to Spain and all but the Cuban Americans have been pretty decent people.
The Cuban Americans moan and groan about Castro and the Cuban Revolution but remember that these are the same people that fled to the US because they were too cowardly to fight against Castro.
Let the lunatics supporting The Donald rant and rave, it may actually be better for Hispanics if he were the GOP nominee.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/14/opinion/latinos-for-donald-trump.html
A man who wants nothing is invincible
Hmm... You quasi-bitch about racism (but indicate it's okay - you're tough) and then engage in racism about Cubans and indicated that they should be dead (that's the logical conclusion of them fighting Castro). I should add that many of my best friends are Hispanic, I spend a lot of time south of the border, and that Spanish is the only other language that I'm fluent in - albeit a little slow until I've been about a month immersed in the language. That's kind of funny!
Now, every single illegal immigrant is guilty of violating the law. Not just the letter but the spirit of the law. Every single one of them is, in some way, depriving someone else - albeit with collusion from those who employ them. This is unfortunate because, otherwise, they're generally hard-working, honest, good people.
My solution isn't well thought out necessarily but it should include reasonably easy to obtain visas with a very quick background check, allowing short (five day) stay visas with work privileges, and very harsh penalties for those who attempt to cross at areas other than official crossing points. Why the latter? That's insane. Don't do that. It's not only deadly but it's a security issue and we're probably going to end up using deadly force at the borders before long.
I also think those visas should go two ways. The penalties for illegal immigration into every single country (that I know of) south of the US border are worse than what the US has. The process to get a legal long-term or work visa is much more difficult and much slower! Of course, if you have the right "documentacion" you can get a visa pretty quickly and, presumably, enough "documentacion" will even net you citizenship. It's not as easy to buy the appropriate visas in the US and in the US you generally can't give out "documentacion" at check-points and get away with it. I'm quite familiar with the correct "documentacion" procedures and adhere to the local customs - I find it works out surprisingly well.
Then there's one more niggling detail... Why should the Cubans have stayed their to fight Castro and the Hispanics from everywhere else not have stayed there and fought for their country, stayed to fix their economy, or stayed to fix their oppressive regimes? Methinks you might be a bigot. If you're like most bigots, you'll justify it to yourself and not even bother with introspection. It's not racism when you do it.
"So long and thanks for all the fish."
I will continue to grow younger and sexier, Packard Bell will return, and the 76'ers will dominate the Eastern Conference.
photosMy Photostream
Slashcode stripped the unicode "superscript two" symbol from the atoms of the expressions.
Rewriting:
d(tau)^2 = dt^2 - dr^2/c^2 = invariant
dr^2 = dx^2 + dy^2 + dz^2
Seastead this.
Due to the self driving car not getting the hell out of the way fast enough.
Probably should have stuck with just the subject.
you'd want us to think AI is nice and fluffy wouldn't you. you don't fool me or control my thoughts. commercial kitchen strength foil
And elect yet another Fucktard as president but at least it wont be Trump.
Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.
Televisions will become more like computer monitors. Manufacturers will concentrate on display technology and give up on trying to be Apple.They will leave the OSes and Apps to consoles and set-top boxes.
There will hopefully be one Open display language that will allow TVs to be used as remote terminals. (eg. Providing features such as Google Chrome / AirPlay / Remote Gaming)
There will still not be enough 4K broadcast content, apart from games which will have driven demand for the displays.
3D TV will still not be a thing. Nobody will admit to buying one in the past.
The Virtual Reality phase we went through will be an embarrassing distant memory but Augmented Reality will be huge.
Apple and Valve will be a major players in the games console market.
The singularity will not have happened yet but people will still be talking about it incessantly. (*waves* to Roko's Basilisk).
Australia will still lag behind in broadband speeds.