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'Electric Buses Now Cheaper Than Their Diesel or CNG Counterpart, Could Dominate the Market Within 10 Years' (electrek.co)

An anonymous reader shares a report: Transit vehicles today are mostly powered by gasoline, diesel, and CNG, while batteries only represent about 1 percent of the market. It is currently a small part of the industry, but it's also the fastest growing fuel source in the sector and it's starting to become highly competitive. Electric bus maker Proterra is ramping up production and currently claims to be cheaper than diesel and CNG. It leads CEO Ryan Popple to make a bold prediction that battery-powered buses will dominate the transit bus market within 10 years. More specifically, he says that the majority of new bus sales will be electric by 2025 and all new bus sales to transit agencies will be electric by 2030. Proterra has so far only delivered a few hundred all-electric buses, but they have been announcing several major deals lately, like 73 buses from King County's Metro Transit, that seem to indicate there's a shift in the transit industry.

382 comments

  1. first by shortscruffydave · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    Too much gets said about how great electrically powered vehicles are, but they're only zero emission at point o suse. Not enough gets said about where the electricity to charge those batteries comes from - unless it's wind/solar/wave, then it's actually quite a lot of emissions in the overall system.

    1. Re:first by plague911 · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Nonsense, Due to efficiencies of scale the worst coal power plants to EV systems are still likely to be twice a pollutant efficient as a ICE vehicle. Yes I am using hyperbole and I would welcome someone with enough time to disprove me.

    2. Re:first by tomhath · · Score: 1

      unless it's wind/solar/wave

      Those are unlikely to provide enough power when you need it (I assume batteries would be charged in the early morning hours when there is little demand for the buses). On the other hand, hydroelectric and nuclear are zero emissions and very dependable.

      As an aside, this headline is a great example of Fake News. Note that it doesn't actually say electric buses are cheaper and could dominate the market; it only quotes a guy who manufactures electric buses making that claim.

    3. Re:first by sed+quid+in+infernos · · Score: 3, Informative

      A lot gets said, and total carbon output has been studied a lot. For example, http://www.ucsusa.org/publicat....

    4. Re:first by ssam · · Score: 1

      It already works out cleaner even if your grid is power by fossil fuels, thanks to better efficiencis and regenerative breaking. Even in places that aren't rapidly switching to zero carbon sources, the coal -> gas migration is dropping CO2 intensity of grid electricity.

    5. Re:first by darkain · · Score: 1

      At least for the region mentioned (King County / Seattle WA), we're almost entirely hydro electric thanks to the Grand Coulee Dam https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... - I know others around the world are not so lucky.

    6. Re:first by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Well for one, ICE vehicles don't come with a shitload of radioactive byproducts being spewed into the air.

    7. Re:first by PyroSlacker · · Score: 2

      Singapore took the electricity generation into account when coming up with CO2 ratings for electric vehicles. Due to Singapore's reliance on natural gas for power generation, Teslas are now taxes as high polluting vehicles there. I can only imagine how much worse that rating would be somewhere that relies on coal generation.

    8. Re:first by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 2

      The whole point is that you break the dependency on fossil fuels. The electricity can come from any source. Today it may come from coal, tomorrow it may be nuclear, wind, solar, geothermal or some other source.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    9. Re:first by cayenne8 · · Score: 0, Flamebait

      Well for one, ICE vehicles don't come with a shitload of radioactive byproducts being spewed into the air.

      Yeah, but thing is....it is still a BUS.

      Doesn't matter what you do to the engine or externals of it...who wants to ride a public transportation bus around sitting next to some smelly bums?!?

      --
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    10. Re:first by iris-n · · Score: 2

      Not enough gets said? In every single article in Slashdot about electric vehicles a paid shill like you comes forward and claims that EVs actually pollute more than a Hummer running on baby seal blood.

      --
      entropy happens
    11. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      gawd, is that old chestnut the best you can do to disparage the advance to a more sustainable system? infrastructure takes a while to get into place, lots of people with electrical vehicles are likely to have solar on their houses with which they will charge their cars.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    12. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it only quotes a guy who manufactures electric buses making that claim.

      What's the sticker in the window say? Does it agree with the guy who manufacturers them? Is that a Fake Sticker? What's the price at the pump for the diesel buses run on? Is that a Fake Pump?

      Don't get me wrong, the salesman could be blowing smoke up the reporter's ass, but it's not Fake News if the smoke is correct.

    13. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      regenerative breaking

      You should not break your brakes, if you do then your car won't stop!


      *Please learn the difference between 'break' and 'brake', thank you.

    14. Re:first by Hadlock · · Score: 1

      It's remarkably easy to buy renewable-only power from renewable sources. It all feeds in to the same grid, but the bill comes from the renewable sources. Since there's a limited supply of renewable power that companies and people are trying to buy from it tends to cost 1-5% more than normal electricity, but you're using only green sources of power.
       
      When I lived in Dallas for 7 years I got my power from Green Mountain energy and cost about 4% more than regular energy, but my house was 100% renewable powered.
       
      It's not much of a stretch to assume that the buses will be recharged with renewable power as well. Something like 70% of the power for washington state comes from Hydro as it is.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    15. Re:first by Wycliffe · · Score: 2, Informative

      Well for one, ICE vehicles don't come with a shitload of radioactive byproducts being spewed into the air.

      Dirty Coal can be placed hundreds of miles away from people. We could even put it inside of a giant glass bubble where nothing escapes. Besides efficiency of scale, it's much easier to monitor, filter, purify, etc... a small handful of power plants than it is thousands upon thousands of tiny little power plants. We also have the option of doing renewable, biowaste, or even off planet power generation once everything uses electricity.

    16. Re: first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And thanks to the environment impact of the electrical grid, your efficiencies just plumbeted. Go trade an EE to understand the grid. And don't come back telling me how little the impact is in a dessert.

    17. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 1

      "unlikely to provide enough power when you need it "

      Which is why there are large energy storage solutions. Heck, the OP left out hydropower, which is the largest clean renewable energy source in the US today. In Canada, hydro is the largest source of electricity, period.

      And no, it's not fake news, it's just poor journalism because they're parroting an unsupported claim. There's nothing to indicate that it isn't true or was simply created from whole cloth.

      --
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    18. Re:first by Tx · · Score: 1

      See this report for example; excerp - "About 37 percent of Americans live in regions where a Leaf’s greenhouse gas emissions would equate to a gasoline-powered vehicle rated at 41 to 50 m.p.g.". That's about what I get from my diesel car, which is a 2 litre sporty car that delivers a lot more performance than a Leaf while delivering 45mpg. And that's taking the grid in those areas as a whole; it probably isn't 100% coal even in the worst places. So I'm afraid you're wrong.

      --
      Oh no... it's the future.
    19. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      Somethings that are not considered in these comparisons is all the pollution put out on the journey from initial searching for oil, drilling test wells, drilling the well, extracting the oil, transporting it to refineries, coal fired power used to generate electricity to refine, transporting from refineries to gas stations and subsequent burning in the vehicle? I'm sure there are probably more steps of pollution emissions on the oil's journey from underground to the exhaust pipe of your vehicle. https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    20. Re:first by bobbied · · Score: 1

      So... Why not just use regenerative breaking in a Hybrid solution and get the best of both? Oh wait, they already do that... Only the guy quoted in this article doesn't sell that kind of buss....

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    21. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We also have the option of doing renewable, biowaste, or even off planet power generation once everything uses electricity.

      I find your ideas intriguing and I'd like to subscribe to your newsletter.

    22. Re:first by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      You aren't wrong, but the efficiency of fixed energy generation is far higher than your average internal combustion engine. Even a gasoline electrical generator will outperform, because it can run at it's most efficient RPM, and has a fixed load on the output.

      Electric vehicles are the future, even if they are powered by today's fuels.

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    23. Re:first by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      I don't care that much. It's about money. If they're cheaper then they'll take over.

    24. Re:first by mellon · · Score: 2

      Hm, is it by any chance a Volkswagen or an Audi? Are you sure about those carbon numbers?

    25. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      it is well known, if you've read other articles about EV buses, that the upfront cost of an EV bus is higher but lifetime costs of electric is a less than diesel with the benefit of a better smelling city. http://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    26. Re:first by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      It's ok - after the brakes are broken, they regenerate. He DID said regenerative breaking!

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    27. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We sure hope so.

      Signed,

      Tesla / SolarCity merged stockholders.

    28. Re:first by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Well for one, ICE vehicles don't come with a shitload of radioactive byproducts being spewed into the air.

      Neither do coal plants. The radiation is in the ASH, not the fumes, and nearly all of it is in the form of thorium, which is not biologically active, and does not bioaccumulate. If you inadvertently eat some thorium, you will just poop it right back out. Thorium is already pervasive in the environment. Every cubic meter of the earth's crust contains about a gram or so. There are plenty of good reasons to phase out coal, but "radiation" isn't one of them.

      .

    29. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      You are stuck in the "There is no point in getting rid of ICE as long as we have coal and there is no point in getting rid of coal as long as we have ICE" loop.
      It is easy to get out of that reasoning. You just solve one of the problems and then the other one is easy.

      Plenty of countries already have carbon neutral electricity generation, for them getting rid of ICE is a priority.
      Some countries have a mix of half coal and half carbon neutral. Switching to electric is still beneficial.
      China specifically has loads of coal power plant but they really want to move pollution away from the cities. For them it is important to switch to electrically powered vehicles.

      The only place where it doesn't make sense is in rural US where it is extremely important that your vehicle pollute as much as possible since this shows the faggots how big your dick is.

    30. Re:first by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      According to this it looks like the vast majority comes from hydro, with nuclear and non-hydro renewables about tied (the nuclear energy being the Columbia Nuclear Generating Station that is only a couple miles from Hanford), with natural gas and coal bringing up the rear, also about tied.

      Running electric buses in Seattle, a place that has had electric "bendy" buses using overhead catenary wire for decades, makes a whole lot of sense.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    31. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not enough gets said? In every single article in Slashdot about electric vehicles a paid shill like you comes forward and claims that EVs actually pollute more than a Hummer running on baby seal blood.

      To be fair, it's actually true. I've been doing a lot of experimentation in this field recently and it turns out that baby seal blood is surprising low-emission.

    32. Re:first by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but thing is....it is still a BUS.

      Indeed. TFA says that "in ten years buses will be electric" is a "bold prediction". Nonsense. Here is a bold prediction: In ten years buses will be gone. When (or if) self-driving technology takes off, buses will be replaced with much smaller vehicles that take one, or a few, passengers from wherever they are to exactly where they want to go whenever they want to go there. Since there is no driver to pay, this will likely be cheaper than current bus fare. No one will want walk ten minutes to stand in the rain at as bus stop, waiting for a bus that is late, and then creeps through traffic, stopping every other block, and then finally arrives 30 minutes late so you can walk another 15 minutes to get to your office. Ten years from now people will look back on that and laugh.

       

    33. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From the linked article:

      While the cost differential varies, this analysis assumes that electric buses cost on average $300,000 more. Looking at differences in bus cost and in operating costs over the 12-year life of a bus, the $39,000 annual savings associated with fuel cost (diesel or CNG vs. electricity) and bus maintenance cost more than offsets the higher cost of electric buses.

      That analysis appears flawed. You can't compare the $39K per year to the $300K upfront without including the cost of that $300K over time. What would it cost the city to issue a bond for $300K ? The interest on that bond has to be included in the lifetime cost of the bus.

    34. Re:first by Thelasko · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Too much gets said about how great electrically powered vehicles are, but they're only zero emission at point o suse. Not enough gets said about where the electricity to charge those batteries comes from - unless it's wind/solar/wave, then it's actually quite a lot of emissions in the overall system.

      Why do you believe that? It seems every Slashdot article about electric vehicles has someone making this point. However, converting all of the world's power grids to renewable energy only solves 30% of the problem. By converting transportation to electricity and converting the power grids to renewable energy eliminates the majority of carbon emissions. We should do both.

      You appear to be completely dismissing the value of electric vehicles because our electric grid doesn't have enough renewable energy. However, we have the resources to tackle both of these issues at once, and it seems to me we are succeeding.

      Slashdot is not ignoring renewable energy, but electric transportation is important too.

      --
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    35. Re:first by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Interesting

      If you look at where sales are, China is the biggest manufacturer and user. China is also investing massively in renewables and reducing coal use (hit peak a few years back).

      We are already seeing BYD cars in the UK, and busses are soon to follow. Our own manufacturers need to catch up fast.

      --
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      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    36. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So... Why not just use regenerative breaking in a Hybrid solution and get the best of both? Oh wait, they already do that... Only the guy quoted in this article doesn't sell that kind of buss....

      Hybrid systems have an additional cost, namely installing an ICE and a fuel tank for it. That adds mass. So no, not everybody does that. Same reason you don't find your average car has an electric motor drive either.

      You'd know this, if you had spent a scintilla of a second thinking about it.

    37. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "About 37 percent of Americans live in regions where a Leaf’s greenhouse gas emissions would equate to a gasoline-powered vehicle rated at 41 to 50 m.p.g."

      OK, so it would be great if 63% of the population could switch to EV.
      Even better would be if everyone did it anyway, since it would make it more beneficial to replace some of the coal power plants then.

    38. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I can't see that happening in cities where buses carry 100-ish passengers. can you imagine how long a queue of small self-driving vehicles to replace that one bus load would be snaking into a city and when one stops, the gridlock that would cause?

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    39. Re:first by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      In Canada, hydro is the largest source of electricity, period.

      Depends on where you live in Canada. In Ontario it's nuclear(~52%), and the brain dead liberal party who's in power wants to get rid of nuclear. They also want to ban natural gas, much like the liberal party out in BC wants to ban it. Keep in mind that those "energy storage" solutions don't always translate very well. On top of that, not every place on the world is lucky as Canada to have vast stores of water for hydroelectric. It's also one of the reasons why other "green" forms of energy generation work so poorly here. Too much dead time from wind especially in the summer. Too much cloudy weather in the winter. And both of those drive the cost of electricity through the roof. In Ontario wind and solar count for under 17% of generation and make up over 50% of the cost at the consumer level(0.18kWh@ peak aka right now).

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    40. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Who cares? The main value is that the person standing on the curb is not being poisoned by diesel exhaust.

    41. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Those are unlikely to provide enough power when you need it"

      Which believe it or not is an argument FOR EVs when you have intermittent renewable power sources. It might might not apply as much for buses (which as you note have a specific schedule), but for more everyday EVs (home/work), especially with more readily distributed charge stations, it would be a major improvement. Their charging can be encouraged to occur when there is an excess of power in the grid, and in some cases can be discharged (I believe Australia is playing with this) to help smooth peaks in demand. As you note the biggest issue with most renewable (and even many fossil fuels to a smaller degree) is they can't be ramped up/down to meet demand (a storage issue), having large numbers of EVs basically solves the storage problem.

    42. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The poor still need some sort of system. Using a large vehicle and a steady route is more efficient time and money-wise for the transportation system once you have the ridership numbers, and especially when those numbers are low-income and can't afford instance service (otherwise they'd just Uber). It's more efficient for them to come to centralized pickup/dropoff locations where multiple people are entering or leaving the bus.

      What would be nice would be more efficiencies gained through GPS-enabled buses and smart phones for "just in time" arrival of those riding the bus, and perhaps even smart-technology enabled bus stops for those without smartphones. Think of it like a cross-walk system. The crosswalk doesn't light up if no one pushes the button. Well, same with the bus route - the bus route can be more efficient depending on what stops it needs to make, or what it gets to eliminate. No more of the bus getting to a certain location and then having to wait 5 minutes because it is "running fast." Rather, just a guarantee that a bus will be available on the route every 15, 20, 25, 30, or whatever time frame is desired by the transportation operator's contract. The transportation system can automatically calculate the times needed based on the pick-ups and drop-offs, and the types of passengers (wheel chair pick-ups take much longer).

      Plus, with driverless buses, they can now be instantly changed to whatever routes are needed, increasing the efficiencies, especially for large event-driving ridership (sporting events, concerts). The draw-back would be that riders would need to commit to a pick-up time say an hour or 30 minutes in advance to get the "JIT" service.

    43. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 2

      If only someone could figure out how to transport electricity long distances.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    44. Re:first by lgw · · Score: 1

      Existing hydro power is great, but expanding capacity would be a mistake. Aside form the significant ecological disruption of building a dam, and the fact we're now unwilling to pay for infrastructure (and it's really bad if a dam fails), the good spots are taken.

      There are no energy storage solutions that are currently workable at scale. That's not to say we won't get there. Eventually we'll have to, because solar power is the only currently-proven tech that scales to all the world using power at US levels. Either fusion or modern reliable fission could scale up, it's mathematically possible, but both seem unlikely this century.

      Solar with natural gas backup really seems like the way to go forward, but it hasn't quite hit the price point to make it desirable yet. I'm sure it will soon enough (in infrastructure terms), given the pace of the technology. Heck, extremely low-tech solar thermal will always work if there's a crisis (more expensive than other options, but less than 2x more), but you still need that backup.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    45. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      They must have factored all the costs in to produce their cost/benefit analysis, including the interest cost on a diesel purchase.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    46. Re:first by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      politics rules

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    47. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 1

      "There are no energy storage solutions that are currently workable at scale."

      Yes, there are.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    48. Re:first by by+(1706743) · · Score: 1

      From this site, it looks like it would be ~1.7-1.8 times worse if powered by coal (2.07-2.17 #/kWh compared to 1.22 for natural gas).

      On a related note, doing the math from the Tesla-provided specs, the car should be using about half the energy/km as stated in the article, where the numbers come from the "United Nations Economic Commission for Europe R101." Sounds like someone's metrics for mileage are not terribly accurate (not picking sides, just noting).

    49. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fighting wars to keep oil flowing also costs.

    50. Re:first by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      Too bad that you lose too much energy over long distances huh? And HVDC isn't deployed in most of the world where it would be actually beneficial. Transporting electricity from northern quebec to southern ontario is cost prohibitive, energy prohibitive, and too expensive with AC transmission means. Sucks for reality huh.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    51. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      According to one of the articles I saw back when it happened, the energy/km was determined through Singapore's government testing a Model S and realizing it used significantly more power than Tesla stated it did. Tesla was working with them to figure out the discrepancy, but I never got around to looking up whether it was resolved.

    52. Re:first by clovis · · Score: 2

      I agree with ShanghaiBill, plus

      And the inconvenience factor of buses increases exponentially if you have children and multiple destinations.

      Note to the people who'll say kids can travel alone on subway, bus, etc now. That's sort of true, but they have age cut-offs, but many require that child have someone meet them at the destination, but I have no one to meet them. Plus, where I live, it's a stupid thing to do.
      I also expect we'll have a solution from the self-driving sector to handle children. Whatever they come up with, a self driving car ride will be better then having a kid get on the bus, ride to the subway, then transfer to a second bus, and then walk a few blocks to their music class.

      OTOH buses/rail is great for the large volume of rush-hour office-worker commuters all headed to and from downtown. It worked for me, and I use public transportation when going to places where parking is difficult to find. However, the self-driving car will also solve that problem.

      I plan to name my self driving car Lassie so I can yell at it: "Go home! Go home Lassie!".

    53. Re:first by Ichijo · · Score: 2
      --
      Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
    54. Re:first by lgw · · Score: 1

      You don't know what "at scale" means. Yes, for pumped hydro storage, like hydro and geothermal generation, there are spots where the solution is workable. But mostly, not (and it brings the problems of new hydro construction). It's just not going to be practical to build 30,000 hydro storage plants at the scale of today's largest (just the for the US).

      Batteries aren't even on the table, many orders of magnitude too low.

      Eventually someone will find a good solution that works at scale. It's bound to happen. But, like fusion, it hasn't happened yet. I do think it's a more tractable problem than fusion, however.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    55. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 1

      "You don't know what "at scale" means."

      I do. I also know it doesn't mean what you think it means.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    56. Re:first by lgw · · Score: 1

      Based on what? We have a few GWh pumped hydro storage worldwide, and only at sites where the geography makes sense for it. Other energy storage models are unproven even at GWh scale. How do you imagine we'll store 30 TWh? There just aren't 30,000 good sites -- not even close -- and that would be one Hell of a lot of acreage to flood.

      "I'm right because shut up!" is a very poor argument, unlikely to persuade many.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    57. Re:first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are plenty energy solutions that work at a variety of scales (pumped storage, pressure storage, flywheel, battery, etc), it's just that our society is currently tooled for fossil fuels. Most of these solutions would in fact be more economical all things considered (environmental impact, transport/refining losses, efficiency losses, etc) than fossil fuels now days. But once you have a habit it can be extremely hard to kick it even when you know it would be best for everyone, yourself included.

    58. Re:first by Ranbot · · Score: 2

      ...my diesel car, which is a 2 litre sporty car that delivers a lot more performance than a Leaf while delivering 45mpg. And that's taking the grid in those areas as a whole; it probably isn't 100% coal even in the worst places. So I'm afraid you're wrong.

      For the consumer electric is a cheaper "fuel" than gas or diesel. Tree-huggers and climate-deniers can argue all they want about carbon footprints, but it doesn't matter because it's the green cash in people's wallets that will make EVs happen.

      Also, you might be surprised at the performance of a Leaf (or any electric car)... it's worth a test drive at a dealer for curiosity's sake if nothing else. I own a Leaf, and while it's by no means a Tesla, it's still quite fast off the line as it has the electric advantage of instant power/torque. The acceleration curve flattens considerably above 45 mph, where ICE cars would still be accelerating well, but personally I don't feel the need for punchy acceleration at high speeds (your results may vary), and I can still get my Leaf going over 80mph, which is fast enough to get a speeding ticket most anywhere in the US. I'm not an EV zealot though... I acknowledge they aren't for everyone (yet) and are not perfect, but there are a lot of misconceptions about EVs, performance being one of them. Put it this way, Porshe isn't investing in EVs for their carbon footprint! ( http://www.businessinsider.com... )

    59. Re:first by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Note to the people who'll say kids can travel alone on subway, bus, etc now. That's sort of true, but they have age cut-offs

      That is a cultural convention. In Japan, it is normal to see 5 year olds travelling alone on the subway to and from kindergarten.

    60. Re:first by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      I can't see that happening in cities where buses carry 100-ish passengers.

      Standard buses have a capacity of about 40. On average, they have seven passengers on board (nine in Europe). Obviously, it would be more at rush hour and fewer toward the end of the lines, but still there are often a lot of empty seats. Buses have a different rhythm, and disrupt car traffic. SDCs, on the other hand, can drive in tight "platoons" that maximize lane utilization, and since they are not driving fixed routes, they can route around congestion.

      Uber/Lyft are already causing a decline in bus ridership. On-demand SDCs will kill them.

    61. Re:first by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Jerry Pournelle's A Step Farther Out ( ca. 1984 ) proposed orbital solar satellites transmitting power via microwave. It mat not be economically feasible, but it's not silly and it's not a new idea.

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    62. Re:first by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      In Leyden jars.

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    63. Re:first by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Selling busses happens at county fairs and houses of prostitution. Selling buses is different.

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    64. Re:first by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      Gasoline powered electrical generators of the sort a consumer might buy for his house are neither fixed load nor particularly efficient. Even run under optimum conditions they are considerably more expensive per kWh than power from power utility, and that high price implies low efficiency.

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    65. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 1
      LOL. It's only "prohibitive" because local generation is cheaper. Exact same thing with energy storage - if it's cheaper to build locally, that's what you do.

      As of 1980, the longest cost-effective distance for direct-current transmission was determined to be 7,000 km (4,300 mi). For alternating current it was 4,000 km (2,500 mi), though all transmission lines in use today are substantially shorter than this.

      Wikipedia (ibid)

      Yea, I see why you think reality sucks - it upsets your worldview.

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    66. Re:first by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      The poor still need some sort of system.

      Even poor people value their time. Buses take two or three times as long as a car.

      Using a large vehicle and a steady route is more efficient time and money-wise

      Hogwash. Buses make sense only if you are trying to minimize the salary of the driver. Otherwise two or three vans would be cheaper to purchase and far more convenient for the passengers, since they could drive more frequent and more flexible routes. Once you deploy self-driving technology, buses make very little sense.

    67. Re:first by msauve · · Score: 1

      30 TWh? The discussion is about powering electric buses. And, if you think it's acreage, the obvious conclusion is that you only think in a single dimension.
      *plonk*

      --
      "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
    68. Re:first by Mashiki · · Score: 1

      LOL. It's only "prohibitive" because local generation is cheaper. Exact same thing with energy storage - if it's cheaper to build locally, that's what you do.

      You're so close, put 2 and 2 together.

      Yea, I see why you think reality sucks - it upsets your worldview.

      Keep reading, let me know when you get to the source point and you find out that building those transmission lines are the equivalent to half the cost of a a 1GW NG-2 stage plant.

      --
      Om, nomnomnom...
    69. Re:first by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Who's talking about little consumer generators? I'm talking about generating stations that power the grid. Even if running on petroleum, they are more efficient than any engine in any car.

      Also, an electric vehicle is powered by all sources of power, not just the one that today's diesel buses are. You could burn that diesel in a generator to get more energy out of it now for pushing the bus down the road, and then in the future shut down that diesel generator in favor of solar / wind / hydro / geothermal / tidal / nuclear / whatever and keep the same bus, with the same advantages.

      If there's an ROI today, there's no reason not to switch right now, because that ROI only grows into the future.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    70. Re: first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Buses have on average seven if you average over all journeys. At rush hour I have been unable to get on buses due to them being so fill.

      The reason why some buses run at low capacity on some journeys or at some points in time is because it is offered in some areas or times of low demand to promote mobility. This aspect I CAN see being replaced by a different type of service eventually, but many small vehicles is less viable for rush hour, unless you are talking about filling six seater vehicles and effectively banning all traffic that is not multiple occupancy, or at least pricing it off the road.

    71. Re: first by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Can the vans take strollers and wheelchairs?

    72. Re:first by lgw · · Score: 1

      The discussion was about a larger issue, but sure, buses, whatever, no one cares.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
    73. Re:first by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

      who wants to ride a public transportation bus around sitting next to some smelly bums?!?

      Other smelly bums?

      --
      Wanna buy a shirt?
      https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
    74. Re:first by dave420 · · Score: 1

      That's the best you could do? :)

  2. Local Boy by darkain · · Score: 4, Insightful

    As a local boy, King County (Seattle, WA) makes sense for this. The downtown bus routes have overhead wiring. The city already has a vast network of electric buses running, so adding battery operated buses to transition on/off the connected wired network makes sense. They're probably one of the easiest metros to make such a transition.

    1. Re:Local Boy by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Boston has overhead wiring and runs electric busses too... Only their "convertible" busses just switch to diesel power when the wires end.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    2. Re:Local Boy by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Yeah, King County Metro buying a bunch of electric busses doesn't "indicate there's a shift", since Metro has been running a significant number of electric busses for decades. With hydro power rather plentiful and relatively cheap, using electric vehicles around here makes sense.

      Sound Transit's Link light rail also runs on electricity, for that matter.

      On a side note - I always find it mildly amusing (and simultaneously annoying) when my Metro driver has to get out of the bus and deal with a broken electrical connection. Those overhead wired tracks don't seem to be the most reliable system in the world... but I suspect it's just because it's decades old design. Link certainly doesn't have any issues like that.

      --
      #DeleteChrome
    3. Re:Local Boy by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Yeah, King County Metro buying a bunch of electric busses doesn't "indicate there's a shift", since Metro has been running a significant number of electric busses for decades.

      Are they the same types of buses though? From reading the comments, the old buses required connectivity to an overhead electrical rail fed off the grid, whereas TFA is about battery power. If that is the case then it is in fact a massive shift, a tipping point in fact where a battery fed EV is now more economical and practical than diesel (installing overhead wires are not practical in most cities). Economically it means we could see a rapid decline in diesel powered city buses within just a few years.

  3. BullshiT! by MightyMartian · · Score: 0, Troll

    This isn't possible. God simply will not allow electric-powered vehicles to gain that market share. Everyone knows Jesus wants humanity burning fossil fuels, the safe energy that He would never allow to harm us.

    --
    The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    1. Re:BullshiT! by interkin3tic · · Score: 2

      Well it's cause of Obama's evil market regulations and war on fossil fuels. Now that Trump is in office, he'll correct that by putting tons of regulations on electric. Don't worry, he'll balance it out by removing two regulations from the fossil fuel industry for every one he puts on clean energy.

      Sarcasm aside, I'm starting to be glad that Peter Thiel is close to Trump. Theil is friends with Musk, who of course is leading on electric cars. Seems unlikely that Trump will kill electric cars with that influence. Crony capitalism is better than the worst case scenario I suppose. Which is the redneck coalition simply destroying everything mainstream America has an interest in out of pure spite.

    2. Re:BullshiT! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Warning: You have exceeded the Sarcasm Threshold; being moderated as 'Troll' or 'Flamebait' may result.

      LOL of course you're right, but the ultra-conservatives/god-fags/religious zealots/Trump supporters can't tolerate being criticized, even obliquely, any more than Trump himself tolerates it, and, sadly, they have moderator points.

    3. Re:BullshiT! by MightyMartian · · Score: 2

      They are the most delicate of delicate snowflakes.

      --
      The world's burning. Moped Jesus spotted on I50. Details at 11.
    4. Re:BullshiT! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You gotta get past denial dude.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    5. Re:BullshiT! by lgw · · Score: 1

      "People who depend on fossil fuels for their livelihood" and "the religious right" are orthogonal properties. Sure, there's some overlap in the sets of people, but it's disingenuous to suggest there's somehow a religious connection. A coal miner or oil field worker is going to support fossil fuels regardless of his religion.

      --
      Socialism: a lie told by totalitarians and believed by fools.
  4. Too quiet?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Electric scooters and cars, and now busses, are very quiet. Great, until you a walk in front of one while looking down at your phone, or talking with someone.

    Will they add an engine sound?

    1. Re:Too quiet?? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Engine sounds would be much too annoying. What they need is a spoken warning that runs in a loop: "Careful, incoming vehicle! Careful, incoming vehicle! ..."

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re: Too quiet?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The old "clothespin and playing card in the spokes" trick would suffice. Of course the new buses would need spoked wheels for that to work, but it would sure look and sound cool.

    3. Re:Too quiet?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Why? If you're that fucking stupid, you need to be Darwin'd out of the gene pool.

      What the flying fuck prevents people from being situationally aware, besides being utterly fucking stupid?

      There's absolutely nothing going on with your stupid fucking phone that prevents you from looking both ways before crossing a road, or walking where other people and things are.

      There's absolutely nothing being said to you while you're walking that prevents you from looking both ways before crossing a road, or walking where other people and things are.

      See a recurring theme here?

      Personal responsibility! ZOMG GASP!!!111

    4. Re:Too quiet?? by Hadlock · · Score: 2

      The electric buses in SF are plenty loud, tire noise, old creaky suspension, flexing frame etc etc you can hear them coming, especially as they accelerate up the hills we have out here. They're not as loud as the shitty diesels that they have running around the flatter areas (electric buses are superior from a torque standpoint going up hills) but they're loud enough.

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    5. Re:Too quiet?? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      is that the same problem for walking out in front of an ultra quiet Rolls Royce or Mercedes ? If you are waling into a road looking at your phone or talking to someone without looking where yo are going, you don't get any sympathy if you get knocked down.br. unfortunately there is tyre noise, that can;t be removed.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    6. Re:Too quiet?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Blind people.

    7. Re:Too quiet?? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Easy fix: pay the fuck attention when crossing a street. Look up from your fucking phone every once in a while, or natural selection may catch up.

      Also: oh no, we might not have to hear noisy stinky rattle-trap diesel buses bellowing black soot down the street anymore? And you think this is a BAD thing?

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    8. Re:Too quiet?? by uberdilligaff · · Score: 1

      Actually, that's a feature. Accelerating Darwinism for those whose daily existance is consumed with staring at and thumbing at their phones all the time.

      --
      Against stupidity, the Gods themselves contend in vain. --Friederich Schiller
    9. Re:Too quiet?? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I was a software developer in SF for many years.
      My buddy never made it through college, but he got a job driving electric bus in SF.
      He retired early - I'm still pounding the keyboard.
      I wish my salary and benefits had been close to his.

    10. Re:Too quiet?? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      blind people have better hearing than you and they will generally have a dog.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    11. Re:Too quiet?? by aevan · · Score: 1

      Parking lots and idiot drivers that reverse out without looking. With some noise you can be aware that that stationary car you just walked past, is no longer stationary. Double this idiocy in xmas shopping, bonus level if part of your attention is also on bratlings with self-preservation skills of lemmings.

    12. Re:Too quiet?? by aevan · · Score: 1

      That said, a noisy intersection makes it irrelevant. We were nearly hit by a bus that ran a red light while we were mid crossing...only the premature laughter of some hobo gave us a heads up (and the bus wasn't running the light 'that fast'). In retrospect it was rather hilarious.

    13. Re:Too quiet?? by tepples · · Score: 1

      Easy fix: pay the fuck attention when crossing a street. Look up from your fucking phone every once in a while

      Shifting the burden of attention to the pedestrian doesn't work so well for blind people.

    14. Re:Too quiet?? by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

      Wrong.

      All electric vehicles need to make The Jetsons car sound.
      =Smidge=

    15. Re:Too quiet?? by mspohr · · Score: 1

      No. They'll just wait until the Darwin principle gets rid of all of the idiots who don't look around when crossing the street.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    16. Re: Too quiet?? by jabuzz · · Score: 1

      Anyone steeping out into the road without looking visually risks killing one of the already millions of silent journeys conducted by cyclists. I unfortunately knew a victim of such an incident. Consequently any person blind or otherwise using traffic noise as a proxy for determining whether it is safe to step out into the road is a sociopath. It is never acceptable under any circumstances ever.

    17. Re:Too quiet?? by desdinova+216 · · Score: 1

      I thought the "better hearing" was just simply paying more attention to sounds.

    18. Re:Too quiet?? by MachineShedFred · · Score: 1

      Blind people already know how to deal with this, and they'll hear the noise from the 31-inch tires hauling a 16-ton bus down the road.

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  5. No! NOooo! Make America coal fired! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Buses are communist already and now you want to make them run on sunshine? Stupid libs!

  6. Obviously by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Of course electric busses are cheaper. So are electric taxis and other high mileage commercial vehicles. Busses are an even more obvious target for electrification because they are big enough to encompass large battery packs, follow predictable routes and timetables, tend to taxed heavily due to creating a lot of pollution, and cost a lot to start with so the extra for a battery pack is a lower proportion of the overall price.

    China is really leading the way here, on track for near 100% EV bus sales by 2020.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    1. Re:Obviously by dunkelfalke · · Score: 3, Insightful

      And it is awesome - not only there would be less air polution, but also less noise pollution. A diesel bus is loud.
      I just hope that garbage collecting trucks will soon also be fully electric or at least hybrid - it makes a lot of sense because of the constant stop and go, and even hybrids are much quieter than normal diesel trucks.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    2. Re:Obviously by magarity · · Score: 1

      Buses that run on predictable routes and timetables ought to be electrified by overhead lines, as they are in Beijing since you mention China. I would hope the extra weight of batteries would be only for a tour bus or a commuter bus that serves a far flung suburb.

    3. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The garbage trucks around here run on compressed methane that they get for free from the decaying garbage.

    4. Re:Obviously by by+(1706743) · · Score: 1

      Or -- wait for it -- power them with methane created from the garbage itself!

      Sort of like Mr. Fusion, but less awesome.

    5. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You clearly have no idea the cost of installation and design of overhead wires. Works great when you have slave labor available. Works marginally when you don't.

    6. Re:Obviously by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Overhead lines have their own problems, and are less flexible. Can't just divert because of some roadworks, for example.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Obviously by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      That used to be fairly common (Google "Trolleybus"), Diesel took over because NIMBYs hated them (the wires were ugly) and they had logistical limitations - trolleybuses can't overtake one another, or take alternate routes during road closures. I'm not sure what's changed that would make us go into the other direction, other than concerns about pollution.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    8. Re:Obviously by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      China is really leading the way here, on track for near 100% EV bus sales by 2020.

      Funny you mention that. I've seen quite a lot of battery powered busses in the past few years in various places around the world in various services (some metro, some special purpose like airports). They all had one thing in common.

      The logo. BYD

      Actually there's a guy in my apartment block who works as a service tech for BYD electric busses. Last week I see he's got a new work car to replace his old ugly diesel. A BYD e6. Spectacular looking thing. This week I find out the city taxi service has ordered 25 of the things to replace its ageing Prius population.

      Electric is coming, regardless if people have range anxiety or not.

    9. Re:Obviously by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 1

      So, the CEO of a company that makes electric buses asserts that they're cheaper than other types of bus....

      Just curious, if the maker of electric buses is considered a reliable source for this sort of thing, why isn't the maker of, well, anything else, considered an equally reliable source about his products?

      Or is this guy a reliable source because he's saying what you all want to hear?

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    10. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I saw this at an electric go kart track. They had electrodes in the ground where the riders would get on and off. Just parking the kart in the right place is all that it took to recharge. Buses have predictable stops and would be candidates for similar chargers.

    11. Re:Obviously by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AmiMoJo is SO TRIGGERED right now you guys...

    12. Re:Obviously by slew · · Score: 1

      trolleybuses can't overtake one another,

      Happens all the time... Most modern trolleybuses (e.g, SanFran and Vancouver) have batteries and/or small diesel engines that allow them to operate a short time off-wire (which can also be used to overtake). Even in older system, multiple parallel paths with switches in strategic locations allowed for express service overtake.

      or take alternate routes during road closures.

      Okay, that part is true...

    13. Re:Obviously by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      I see these kinds of buses in San Francisco. They are quiet and powerful. They can really zoom up very steep hills. It's also a common technique for light rail trains, you see them in the south bay for example.

      Many people don't like the clutter of the lines and it means the city needs to maintain trees more carefully. For heavily traveled routes it makes a lot of sense.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
    14. Re:Obviously by Gussington · · Score: 1

      China is really leading the way here, on track for near 100% EV bus sales by 2020.

      That doesn't sound right. I've been to China, a large chunk of it is still poor farmers who can't afford brand new electric buses. Much of the countryside is filled with those old shitbox minibuses that drive hundreds of kms each journey. Sure there may be some penetration in the urban city market, but it would be a long way form 100% of all buses in China.

    15. Re:Obviously by Barsteward · · Score: 1
      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    16. Re:Obviously by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1
      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    17. Re:Obviously by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      If it has a battery or diesel engine, it's more of a hybrid and not really what we're discussing here. As for multiple parallel paths, that's not really overtaking, just taking an alternative route that happens to be parallel. The distinction becomes important when a trolleybus needs to overtake something unexpected, such as a broken vehicle (trolleybus or otherwise) in its path.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  7. CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sorry to be daft, but shouldn't you describe this acronym at least once in the posted article?

    1. Re: CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cauliflower Naturel Garland

    2. Re:CNG? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Caramel Nitrogen Gagh

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    3. Re: CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Convoluted Neutrino Guacamole

    4. Re:CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Colour Neutral Graphics

    5. Re:CNG? by jfdavis668 · · Score: 2

      Love some of the answers, but it is Compressed Natural Gas.

    6. Re:CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Google is your friend there AC.... Use it.

      Clinton, Needs, a Gonadectomy

    7. Re:CNG? by amiga3D · · Score: 1

      Really? You don't know what CNG stands for?

    8. Re:CNG? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's actually Caramel Nutella Gagh.

      The favorite dessert of every proper Klingon.

  8. Just like the flying car too eh? by DatbeDank · · Score: 2

    I'm always dubious of claims like this. There's an XKCD out there conveying exactly why we shouldn't put much stock into this CEO.

    However, I will say that I am deeply impressed with the electric buses that run off of an overhead catenary wire. Cities should seriously look into electrifying heavily used bus routes. Easy way to save fuel cash and cut pollution down too.

    1. Re:Just like the flying car too eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I remember riding those in the 70's. And they're still there (I rode one a few years ago). I always thought that you could throw a couple of batteries in the bus and greatly simplify the overhead wiring requirements. Just enough energy to make it around corners and short gaps.

    2. Re:Just like the flying car too eh? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      yes, we must take a comic strip seriously(?). Cities are looking into electrifying bus routes, thats what the article is basically about.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    3. Re:Just like the flying car too eh? by nukenerd · · Score: 2

      Cities should seriously look into electrifying heavily used bus routes.

      Er ... no. "heavily used bus routes" tend to have several services along the same road. Sometimes a slow-filling bus on one service needs to be overtaken by another on a different service that does not need to be at the bus stop for so long. That is not possible if they are all trolley buses (overhead catenary buses as you refer to them).

      I remember trolley buses in London. They mostly ran on routes in suburbia in radial directions so they did not cross or share any road with each other. Where they shared a road with other services, those others were diesel buses. All a bit limiting.

    4. Re:Just like the flying car too eh? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Meanwhile, the idiots in Wellington City Council, New Zealand are desperately trying to dismantle their overhead electrical bus network, thinking that diesel hybrids are the ecological way forward ... I kid you not ...
      Since 1924, they've had an electrical network, and only now, in 2017, have they decided it's time to shut it all down ...
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trolleybuses_in_Wellington

      http://transportblog.co.nz/2014/03/18/trolley-buses-to-go-in-wellington/

      I'm proud to be a kiwi today !!! ;)

  9. Charge? by Luthair · · Score: 1, Interesting

    I can't imagine the batteries can last all day, do they have swappable battery packs?

    1. Re:Charge? by Jaime2 · · Score: 4, Funny

      No, but they have a bus-sized chassis to hang batteries under.

    2. Re:Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm guessing swappable buses. The drivers aren't committed to a single bus like a person is to their car. Just like the local electric go-kart track, pull the dead one into the station, get out, get in the charged one in front, continue on your route. It has a high capital cost, but probably isn't necessary on all routes.

    3. Re:Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      My local transit authority has a few electric buses and they use them on routes where they can last all day on a single charge. They are very happy with the buses, which they bought 2-3 years ago. However, most of their routes are too long to use electric buses. If the range can improve 15-20%, this opens up a lot of additional routes and they would buy more of them.

      The largest fleet of electric buses in my city is actually a private company, which runs a dozen or so on the daily rush hour routes between the major commuter train station and their office towers. I'm inclined to believe that if the private sector transportation companies are buying them, then they're for real.

    4. Re:Charge? by Idou · · Score: 1

      There are technologies that can charge a bus at rates from 400kW to 600kW.

      Buses go through predictable routes, so you can put these chargers on the routes (or where routes intersect) and do 15 second charges every pass, if needed.

      --
      Sdelat' Ameriku velikoy Snova!
    5. Re:Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Automated fast charging stations at the bus stops.

    6. Re:Charge? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      Most buses do not do enough miles in a day to totally exhaust its battery. If they do, they do back to the depot or a charging station to recharge.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    7. Re:Charge? by Kjella · · Score: 1

      I'm guessing swappable buses. The drivers aren't committed to a single bus like a person is to their car. Just like the local electric go-kart track, pull the dead one into the station, get out, get in the charged one in front, continue on your route. It has a high capital cost, but probably isn't necessary on all routes.

      Yeah and you have fairly short demand peaks in the morning and afternoon that you have to account for anyway. As long as you can keep them in rotation so you have almost every bus on the road in the 7-9 and 16-18 rush the remaining hours there's probably capacity to spare for charging. Like if peak hours are every 15 minutes maybe it's every 30 or 60 minutes. Half the buses go into the rush on a 30 minute schedule and end afterwards, other buses start with the rush and continue on a 30 minute schedule afterwards.

      Also they mostly have some slack to catch up with delays so you could set up opportunistic end point charging, a five minute supercharge on an hour's route would help. Or maybe they'll finally get that battery swap thing going, there's lots of possibilities.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re:Charge? by TonyJohn · · Score: 1

      That was my first thought, but I don't think it is an issue in urban areas. I looked up a local bus route: it is about seven miles long and is timetabled to take 40 minutes (including turn-around times at both ends). Over a 12-hour day that's about 130 miles. Proterra quote a 360 mile range on their top-of-the-range. Basically buses are slow, so they don't go very far even in the course of a whole day.

      --
      Owl tried to think of something wise to say, but couldn't.
    9. Re:Charge? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      and this one also helps. https://cleantechnica.com/2017...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    10. Re:Charge? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      They just charge them up. In some places they have inductive charging at bus stops, and of course they can plug in at bus stations. An hour or two a day charging is no problem.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    11. Re:Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh wait, that's not necessary, the battery packs can serve the route just fine, you don't even need stand-by charging at the bus stops?

      Your whole argument is based on a flimsy premise that doesn't even last an hour? Oh my!

    12. Re:Charge? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Buses go through predictable routes

      Bus routes go everywhere, but there's one very key differences between busses and cars. Have you ever seen a bus park at a local service station?

      Busses return to base for refuelling. You don't need to place chargers on routes, just put them in the same place you always place them. Buses also don't clock up many km. Their trips are very stop start, and with regenerative breaking this process isn't as bad is you would think on fuel ... ahem.... power consumption.

    13. Re:Charge? by nukenerd · · Score: 1

      Buses go through predictable routes

      Bus routes go everywhere, but there's one very key differences between busses and cars. Have you ever seen a bus park at a local service station?

      Actually, I have. I live in an area in South Wales that is fairly remote from a bus depot. I think some buses are stabled locally and have seen them filling in my local Tescos' filling station.

    14. Re:Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      it's not just the miles driven per day..for most that's going to be under 100-150 miles for city routes... it's that ON TOP OF the constant air conditioning or heating. required because patrons will expect it, it must be provided to keep ridership up, and in many places is absolutely necessary (winter in minneapolis, or summers in houston for example).

    15. Re:Charge? by chainsaw1 · · Score: 1

      City buses in particular are excellent because

      -They are doing constant stop and go (very hard an a combustion engine, very power conservative for electrical vehicle with regenerative braking). There are additional savings in electrical vehicle for extended intervals for brake pad / shoe replacement, lack of a transmission & tranny maintenance / fluids for the low speeds involved, and being able to make a speed limiter for the driver that is much more robust.

      -Buses stop at very specific places like bus stops. China is already having trials with recharging pads under / over the stops. (Bus kneels, bus gets energy). This has the added benefit of keeping the driver from wandering too far off course or they "run out of gas" is designed as such. I believe this was in a /. article 12+ months ago for buses with supercaps, but should be easily applied to batteries (with a longer charging time for a partial charge)

      -The other points already mentioned (lost of battery space on a bus, less noise, better center of gravity for low mounted batteries, more space for people to sit, etc.

      Hell, with the low CoG maybe we'll see double decker buses in the US...or even a bus / light rail hybrid (drive around a neighborhood, go to the rails for longer range travel.

      --
      - Sig
    16. Re:Charge? by Cramer · · Score: 1

      Actually, buses DO clock a lot of miles/kilometers. Your car sees maybe a few dozen mi/km a day -- back and forth to work, shops, etc. A bus gets driven around a loop all day. Looking at the NCSU bus loops and schedules, the #8 (southeast loop) is about 5mi completed in ~30min. Buses run that loop 15.5hr per day. That's 150mi in a single day. For a single bus. As of right now (6:15pm) there are 26 buses running on 11 routes. They all used to stop at the gym -- at best for a few minutes, but that's not true anymore, so there's no single central point to charge them, other than the garage. Regen isn't magic. At best they get back a fraction of the power it takes to get it moving. Yes, a bus has a lot of space for batteries, but batteries are heavy. Batteries will account for far more than an engine and fuel tank. The power required to charge it is astronomical. Multiplied by several dozen buses, that's a massive load on the grid.

    17. Re:Charge? by Beezlebub33 · · Score: 1

      Actually, buses DO clock a lot of miles/kilometers. .... That's 150mi in a single day. For a single bus.

      Apparently we disagree about what a lot of miles is. An 18-wheeler will do, say, 8 hours at 70 mph; that's a long way. 150mi is something that a current electric car can do. A bus can have a higher percentage of it's mass devoted to the batteries. So, range is no problem whatsoever in this scenario (looping). A long range run could easily be too far, but that's not most of them.

      Yes, the battery will weigh more than a engine + fuel. You'd have to do the math to determine if it is favorable, if you include efficiency, cost of electrical, maintenance, cost of gas, regen, etc.

      --
      The more people I meet, the better I like my dog.
    18. Re:Charge? by havana9 · · Score: 1

      And if there are problem with batter recharging, one could add overhead wires to get electricity for the endine and recharge the battery.

  10. Of course it's the fastest growing fuel type by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Going from one electric bus to two electric buses doubles the market share.

  11. Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Really? I know a good size brand new diesel engine can cost upwards of $50,000, but the rest of the bus remains around the same price. This bus includes 660 kWh of batteries, giving 350 miles of range. Last I checked, $750 was the going price per kWh of Lithium Ion batteries. That's $495,000 in batteries alone.

    Perhaps they're including long term use of fuel costs, in which case it might be cheaper somewhere. Here in Ontario that 660 kWh would cost $100 - $200 (depending on when they charge the buses). Propane sells at 46 cents a litre here, and an LPG bus gets about 4 mpg... or $152 for a 350 mile fillup. I hear electricity costs even more in California and some other US states.

    Sooooo... how are they figuring on cheaper? I want to see the numbers.

    1. Re:Cheaper? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

      You must have checked a loooooong time ago.

      Electric-car battery costs: Tesla $190 per kwh for pack, GM $145 for cells.

      That's still $125,400 in batteries if we use Tesla's prices but it's nearly four times less than you thought.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Cheaper? by nnet · · Score: 1

      Aren't there bus routes in Toronto that have been using overhead electrified wires for electric buses since the 70s or 80s? I want to say Roncesvalles and Queen?

    3. Re:Cheaper? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      well, look for the numbers, the data all out there. let me help you until you find out how to use google http://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    4. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      WHAT? Real FACTS from an AC? You are either new here and don't get how Slashdot works.

      Or, (gasp) a climate change denier.... If it saves ONE life from drowning because of that sea level rise it's worth it you.. You...

      I'm off to my safe space after that upsetting exchange..

    5. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, those are called streetcars, not buses. Or, sometimes, Light Rail Transit. Then you don't need batteries.e I expect those are cheaper to buy (well... should be... bombardier is busy building a lot of LRT stuff, and they're usually an expensive company).

      Buses are autonomous vehicles you can drive anywhere a road exists, with no restrictions. You can't replace a bus with LRT/Streetcars without a LOT of added cost, and then you can't change the routes without a LOT of added cost again. But, of course, you don't need batteries.

    6. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thanks for the link. It confirms my suspicion that this is not based on initial purchase cost (the article specifically says diesel buses are cheaper to buy), but rather cost over time, which will be highly variable as electricity costs significantly more in some areas than others.

      That article uses some pretty bullshit items to justify the cost. "Healthcare" may be a cost, but it is not borne by the operator of the buses. If we ignore that, the cost is basically identical. NY electricity prices are lower than Ontario, so this confirms my suspicion that there actually is no savings unless electricity is very cheap where you are.

      As for generating your own with solar (so zero electricity), nobody does this in Ontario as the local utility is required to pay up to 82 cents per kWh for solar generated power (so, obviously, you will buy at the, after various taxes and fees, about 15 - 25 cents per kWh rate we have here).

      CNG is rather expensive in the US compared to Ontario LPG prices, so, again, that explains the high fuel cost in the article compared to the rather low cost here for fossil fuel.

      Note that I'm not saying electric buses are bad, just that they cost more (which they do, everywhere, to buy) and that each area has to very closely look at the numbers to determine if there's any cost savings to be had. After that, if the answer is no, or the cost savings are negative, the transit company has to determine if they can greenwash the price increase to get the public to stomach it.

    7. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's excellent! I wanted to buy 6 kWh of lipo cells for an RV build (but the prices were significantly higher than I wanted to pay, about $600 - $800 per kWh for raw cells--those are prices from Alibaba from sellers that honestly rate their cells), but at those prices, I'm considering 15 - 20 kWh of lipo cells.

      Can I just call up Tesla and GM to buy them at that price, or do I go through a reseller? Or is that the bottleneck for the price (a 500% markup seems excessive, though... especially for such a large bulk purchase). Let me know, please! I'm 100% serious here.

    8. Re:Cheaper? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      its early days so they will cost more but the ongoing costs offset that. Its a city report so the health side of things are taken into consideration. All cities either have EVs or are testing them or at least compiling cost/benefit reports

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    9. Re:Cheaper? by by+(1706743) · · Score: 1

      I'm not entirely sure what your angle is here (sarcasm and whatnot not translating well over the tubes), but there is a difference between facts and numbers. OP gave numbers -- which might be true, out-of-date, or flat-out wrong -- with little proof. As another poster pointed out, OP is off by a factor of ~4-5 from Tesla and GM prices for batteries.

      Regarding cost for 660 kWh = $100-$200 claim, this appears (?) to be loosely based on the residential cost of electricity, not the wholesale cost, which is a factor of ~10 less. I'm not sure how buses in Ontario would work, so I can't say what the proper pricing would actually be...but using the wholesale prices from 2016, this works out to be ~$11 to fill up, using the off-peak residential rates it's ~$60, and the peak prices yield ~$120 (excluding inefficiencies).

      If we want to get more into the weeds, then yes, I just gave some numbers with "proof" which may be flawed. You're welcome to disagree with my sources -- they could be wrong, and I'd appreciate any corrections to my numbers and/or reasoning.

    10. Re:Cheaper? by Cramer · · Score: 1

      Neither Tesla nor GM sell batteries. Panasonic and LG do, and they're the ones making the actual batteries. However, you aren't likely to be buying millions of them, so you'll get nowhere with them. Search eBay for people who are taking Chevy Volt, Nissan Leaf, etc. EVs apart. We have several of the 6cell modules from Volt packs that will be for sale once we can ship them. (hazardous material, blah blah.) If you're local to RDU, come get 'em :-)

    11. Re:Cheaper? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      Can I just call up Tesla and GM to buy them at that price, or do I go through a reseller? Or is that the bottleneck for the price (a 500% markup seems excessive, though... especially for such a large bulk purchase). Let me know, please! I'm 100% serious here.

      You can go to Tesla's website and order the Powerwall 2 with a credit card[1] on the spot, then dismount it from your wall after it's installed and stuff it into your RV. GM does not resell batteries in any form. Powerwall 2 is 39 cents per watt hour, not the 19 cents per watt hour they pay wholesale, but still, it's only a 100% markup, rather than 500%.

      I've been told that it's cheaper to buy naked cells, though I don't know anywhere else you can get Panasonic cells for 39 cents per watt hour and you would lose Tesla's sophisticated power pack cooling, charging, and discharging hardware and software. (Liquid cooling is integrated.) I presume you don't intend to use the batteries for motive power, in which case a Powerwall 2 is just what you need. You might even be able to get the electrician to install it directly into your RV for you.

      It's more than double the capacity you were planning on, but it's a turnkey solution. I hear modern RVs all have 120V appliances now, so it's literally a drop-in installation, though exactly what gets wired where might be a little complex if you have a fueled generator as well as the external power connection. The electrician would remove the existing inverter, since the Powerwall 2 has its own. It's 44" x 29" x 5.5" and is designed to be installed vertically. A horizontal installation might work, but might void the 10 year warranty (And might not. You'd have to ask). It can peak at nearly 60 amps output and sustain 40 amps, so it should have no trouble starting up and running the typical RV air conditioning system without letting the voltage sag to anything electronic, even without external power. It's beefier than the typical RV battery system, which tends to top out at 30 amps.

      ----
      [1] And holy crap, how did Slashdot not notice that change? There's a Powerwall 2 now (a nice clean rectangle, instead of the goofy truncated oval thing) and it's 14 kWh for $5500, with trivial credit card ordering, instead of having to call them. Much friendlier than the old way.

    12. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The trouble is Tesla won't sell it without all the additional installation and other crap I don't need, so it's a $7000 13.5 kWh battery, or $518 per kWh. But we're getting closer. Saves me a few hundred dollars, at least.

    13. Re:Cheaper? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are ignoring the majority of costs of electricity in Ontario. Debt retirement charges, connection charges, network charges, distribution charges, administration service fee, IESO fee, OPA fee, loss fee, global adjustment (this is a HUGE fee), HST, etc. For most people and companies in Ontario, the cost per kWh of electricity is the smallest portion of their bill (in fact, for a residential customer, the cost of the raw electricity is only $57, but that more than doubles with the extra fees--which are not optional).

      Here's a list of the extra charges you are missing out on:

      http://www.ieso.ca/Pages/Ontario%27s-Power-System/Electricity-Pricing-in-Ontario/Large-Electricity-Consumers.aspx

      Assuming that the fees are similar for wholesale customers (the list certainly is about the same), apply a multiplier of 2.5 to get the final bill.

      FWIW, the global adjustment is even listed on the page you linked. That is mandatory and adds 9.66 cents per kWh to the price. So, 0.1132 per kWh * 660 = $74. Let's assume we avoid all the other fees except the listed ones (debt retirement and HST). We're at $90, and we haven't added the other fees.

      $11 is a pipe dream. The residential rates are slightly higher, I will give you that. So I will re-adjust my pricing to $100 (Unrealistically low because those additional fees are rather high, but I want to give this the best shake I can). For a savings of $52 per fillup. Assuming these buses get their batteries at zero profit to Tesla or GM (good luck) I'll even readjust the additional expense for batteries to $75,000.

      This means that absolute best case scenario (where Tesla and GM work for FREE), these buses will break even at 504,000 miles on the odometer. I do know a lot of places will keep buses that long, so I suppose that isn't so bad. Better than losing money. Still more expensive upfront, though. $75,000 can be invested to turn a decent profit, so realistically, the odometer is probably going to hit 1,000,000 miles before it matters.

      Hope that helps.

    14. Re:Cheaper? by samwichse · · Score: 1

      You're never going to get anywhere remotely near wholesale prices, honestly.

      I would just buy a whole wrecked Leaf, strip the pack out and sell the rest for scrap. You'll get OEM quality batteries and the price will be low, and you'll get 24kwh of batteries.

      Looking on car-part, there's a Leaf pack from a wrecked 2014 for $2500 right now. That's $104/kwh.

  12. How is this supposed to work? by jandrese · · Score: 0

    Busses drive all day long every day. When are they supposed to recharge the batteries? At night? Are they going to lug around enough battery to keep a big heavy bus running all day long on its stop and go route? Even with regenerative breaking that's a huge ask for current and near term foreseeable battery technology.

    I can't see cities jumping on the idea of busses that have to come back to the depot to be swapped out every 4 hours. It's also not clear to me how a vehicle carrying literally tons of high capacity batteries will be cheaper than a diesel/CNG vehicle of similar design.

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
    1. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      giant wireless chargers at every stop light

    2. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      If you'd bothered to actually go to the Proterra website and read up on the topic, you'd not have posted your rant. Amongst other things, they can fast-charge in five to 15 minutes using an overhead fastcharger that can be located at bus-stops. Considering that bus drivers need breaks, and there are often
      built-in delays at route-end to support the schedule, a 15 minute recharge for 300 mile range once or twice a day works quite well.

    3. Re:How is this supposed to work? by ssam · · Score: 2

      Most routes round here have an interchange or large station at one or both ends, usually with at least 10 minute waits. So they could be topped up through the day. There is also the idea of inductive pads at each bus stop. Even if electric buses currently only worked on 50% of routes that would be a nice saving in emissions.

    4. Re:How is this supposed to work? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Buses and other large vehicles use most of their fuel accelerating. Electric buses and freight trucks actually can coast for a hell of a long time on barely any fuel, but have to stop and then accelerate frequently. Regenerative braking diminishes this cost, extending service life on a battery charge.

      Buses are complex and require motor and drive train maintenance. Drive trains in electric vehicles are vastly-simpler--no gearbox--and hub motors provide an option amounting to wiring and an electrical control box. Far less maintenance, far less wear, longer service lives.

      It would make sense to swap out entire buses rather than batteries. Bus drivers need a food break every 4-5 hours; rotating them back to the depot and putting them back on power would allow substantial recharging. Some of these buses can recharge 100% in under an hour; and for buses going into service to meet peak demand, you'll end up with them coming in and out at different times during the day, allowing you to keep a turn-over reserve: a bus comes in, plugs into charging, and an hour later the driver takes a bus that hasn't gone out yet; two hours later, the guy who came in for lunch break when that new bus departed takes the bus he left behind, which has had two hours to charge. This reserve fleet also allows deployment of a new bus if one suffers mechanical breakdown, which is generally standard; meanwhile the amount of miles driven in total is spread among more buses, giving them a larger service life.

      The logistics aren't that ridiculous.

    5. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Buses in the inner cities don't really travel long distances, you'd be surprised. It's a lot of short stop and go.
      It's not uncommon for city buses to travel maybe 100 mile *a day* (which isn't that strange, it would be avg 10miles/h for 10 hours to reach that)
      So if your city uses buses for public transport in the inner city, they'll do just fine.
      Long distances, like the greyhound, is probably a different beast.

    6. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Registered+Coward+v2 · · Score: 1

      Most routes round here have an interchange or large station at one or both ends, usually with at least 10 minute waits. So they could be topped up through the day. There is also the idea of inductive pads at each bus stop. Even if electric buses currently only worked on 50% of routes that would be a nice saving in emissions.

      In addition to your excellent points, buses have the ability to change their routes, unless they use overhead electric power, without any infrastructure costs beyond a few signs. By redesigning routes you could probably add in enough time to do a quick charge, without disrupting travel. Bus companies have a lot of passenger use data that can be used to redo routes to make electric busses viable on most routes..

      --
      I'm a consultant - I convert gibberish into cash-flow.
    7. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      "I read the internet for the articles." - no you don't as proved by your comment

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    8. Re:How is this supposed to work? by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Piles of fried smart cars which happened to drive in the same lane behind the buss...

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    9. Re:How is this supposed to work? by itsdapead · · Score: 1

      Busses drive all day long every day. When are they supposed to recharge the batteries?

      Bus stops. The clue is in the name. Especially the major bus stations at the beginning and end of routes where they already sit for significant periods between runs.

      Thing is, busses drive fixed routes on a predictable timetable, in cities where they're never that far from electricity, so its straightforward to set up the infrastructure. That makes them much more practical for electrification than private cars (which have to cope with spontaneous road trips). I think its safe to say we're mainly talking urban busses here, not long-distance Greyhound-type routes.

      Plus, who cares if they're not cheaper, or if you don't believe they'll stop polar bears from melting? This is still taking a substantial source of particularly nasty particulates off city streets.

      I can't see cities jumping on the idea of busses that have to come back to the depot to be swapped out every 4 hours.

      Why not? The drivers have to be swapped out regularly, too.

      --
      In a survey of 100 programmers, 111111 thought that duck-typing was a good idea.
    10. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      A bus driver must have a lunch break at some point

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    11. Re:How is this supposed to work? by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Which doesn't necessarily mean the bus has to take a break too. Another driver could take over.

    12. Re:How is this supposed to work? by thegarbz · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I caught a taxi from Schipol Airport one day, an all Tesla fleet. I asked them how they get around given the limited range of an electric car. The answer was easy: Taxis actually aren't rolling at high speed the entire day. They average between 300-600km / day. They have a company 3 company mandated breaks, one of them is 30min. They take that lunch break at the Amsterdam Zuid-Ost Supercharger. No one in the fleet has ever run out of power or had to take their vehicle off the road when it could have been serving customers.

    13. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Which doesn't necessarily mean the bus has to take a break too. Another driver could take over.

      Could. But the logistics of having a network of substitute drivers all over the city to take over just for everyone else's lunch break, then having to return it back it the original driver, is a lot harder to solve than just taking the bus out of circulation for 30-60mins.

    14. Re:How is this supposed to work? by rundgong · · Score: 1

      It would make sense to swap out entire buses rather than batteries. Bus drivers need a food break every 4-5 hours; rotating them back to the depot and putting them back on power would allow substantial recharging.

      I'm not so sure about that. This only makes sense if you would have taken the bus back to the depot anyway. There is quite a lot of overhead in driving them back to the depot. The buses can only be taken out of traffic at the final stop, and those can be quite far from the depot sometimes.
      Today the buses basically run non-stop. When I was driving it was basically in 4 shifts of 1.5-2.5 hrs, with breaks in between. The buses never stop for any longer period of time, you just replace the driver, when you pass by one of the traffic hubs.
      The only time the bus stands still is after the final stop. There is usually some margin before the return trip.

      Electrical buses are surely taking over soon, but probably not for this reason. Most likely charging will be done at the first/last stop, and maybe some top up at the intermediate stops. It does not necessarily need to be fully charged either. It is okay that the battery level gets lower during the day, as long as it lasts until it gets returned to the depot for scheduling reasons.
      Your other arguments are absolutely right though.

    15. Re:How is this supposed to work? by slew · · Score: 1

      Bus companies have a lot of passenger use data that can be used to redo routes...

      Although that is theoretically possible, if you've observed the actual process that public bus companies need to go through to change routes (public hearings, legal protests, community outreach, political meddling), and the potential uncertainty on how that affects the farebox recovery rate, you would realize why they don't just change their bus routes to something more efficient even though they have the passenger use data to justify it...

    16. Re:How is this supposed to work? by TykeClone · · Score: 1

      Why would a bus driver need to return to the same bus after eating lunch?

      --
      A fine is a tax you pay for doing wrong and a tax is a fine you pay for doing all right.
    17. Re:How is this supposed to work? by teh*fink · · Score: 1

      Interesting! Sounds similar to the situation with Tesla taxies at the Stockholm Arlanda airport.

      --
      "I DARE you to make less sense!"
    18. Re:How is this supposed to work? by Gussington · · Score: 1

      Why would a bus driver need to return to the same bus after eating lunch?

      I'm pretty sure there aren't hundreds of empty buses sitting around waiting for all the drivers who've just finished their lunch.
      And if you are assuming rotating shifts, I can only assume you haven't really thought out the demand pattern for bus activity and driver shifts.
      As stated, the most logistically simple option if for a bus and driver to be taken out of circulation during a break.

    19. Re:How is this supposed to work? by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I've seen plenty of city buses drive back to the depot flashing "NOT IN SERVICE". Bus routes tend to be loops, as well; the final stop tends to be the closest stop to the depot on that particular route.

      City buses also spend a lot of time on the side of the road with the engine compartment open to allow them to cool off. Sometimes they go out of service for 40 minutes due to overheating.

  13. Heating? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's well known for homes that electrical heat is the most expensive form of heat, by far. Cars have relatively small cabins but even in places like Finland they add (aftermarket?) kerosene heaters in the engine compartment so the driver doesn't kill the battery range in the cold heating himself. Otoh, heat is just a excess byproduct in a normal engine.

    How're these buses going to do it?

    1. Re:Heating? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      they are doing it okay, so perhaps you need to do some research to cure your ignorance and attempt at a smart ass jibe.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    2. Re:Heating? by by+(1706743) · · Score: 1

      At ~100W/person (~= 2000 Calories/day), just add more people to the bus and it'll heat right up =)

      (I know, I know, the human body has many inefficiencies [e.g., caloric excrement] which significantly reduce this number...)

  14. Every city who tried got rid of them. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They have been tried. The experiment failed miserably. This was typically 2 or 3 years ago. Now, I know technology improves but not that fast. It's going to be another 10 years at least before reality catches up to marketing hype.

    1. Re:Every city who tried got rid of them. by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      go back to sleep, you've been dreaming nonsense.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    2. Re:Every city who tried got rid of them. by bobbied · · Score: 1

      Ah yes, the power of color glossy ads and slick websites.. The advancement of technology..

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    3. Re:Every city who tried got rid of them. by LunaticTippy · · Score: 1

      They are working great in Denver

      cheaper, faster, quieter, better.

      --
      Man, you really need that seminar!
  15. Lack of Range by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Bullshit. Electric busses do not have the range necessary to replace gas or diesel, except on very short routes. That's why the tree-huggers in Los Angeles are only buying a few, for selected short routes. Battery technology is just not there. 185 pounds of gasoline (30 US gallons) will take my work van about 570 miles (at 65 miles per hour), and can be "recharged" in less than 10 minutes. Make a 185 pound battery that will go the same distance, at the same speed, and "recharge" in the same time; THEN you've got something. I know, I know, they're working on it. Some people have been working on anti-gravity propulsion and perpetual motion for a long time, too. With as much success.

    1. Re:Lack of Range by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      In this kind of direct weight-for-weight comparison, you should calculate the total weight of the propulsion system with the energy source.

      Combustion engine + fuel weight VS electric motor + battery weight.

      I'm sure someone with a better knowledge of engines would probably add other components than the engine alone, like the carburator, etc.

      Also, we're talking city buses here, not privately owned cars that people use for long drives. So the usual anti-electric-cars arguments just don't apply here.

      I'm not sure how much range is dropped by adding more weight, but something the size of a bus can have more batteries than a car.

      And you don't need to charge a battery at the same speed you can fill a fuel tank. A lot of people mentioned having multiple buses in rotation. Drivers need breaks to eat, etc.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Lack of Range by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      you are bullshitting yourself, it would help if you did some research on EV buses etc before commenting. here's one solution for you. https://cleantechnica.com/2017...

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    3. Re: Lack of Range by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Carburetor? Seriously?

    4. Re: Lack of Range by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Carburetor? Seriously?

      Seriously, did you look at the user name? Well at least that statement was qualified with...

      I'm sure someone with a better knowledge of engines...

      I suspect that invites a good fraction of /.-ers to chime in...

  16. Batteries are a fuel source? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Someone needs to google "fuel source"

    1. Re:Batteries are a fuel source? by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      Someone needs to search for "coal is mostly only used in third-world countries".

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
  17. Where are all the refined metals for all these by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    batteries going to come from? Metals are actually rarer than oil and gas and mining them is environmentally way more destructive than oil drilling. Lithium is going to run out way before coal. How are electric vehicle fleets that burn through our lithium reserves at 5000% the current rate going to be sustainable? Anyone have any stats on this?

    1. Re:Where are all the refined metals for all these by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      batteries going to come from?

      Incomplete sentence, cannot be parsed.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
    2. Re:Where are all the refined metals for all these by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      More importantly, batteries have a limited number of recharge cycles. How fast will the battery charge-discharge cycles be used up? Manufacturers' information typically specify lifespan in terms of the number of cycles (e.g., capacity dropping linearly to 80% over 500 cycles), with no mention of chronological age. Over their lifespan, batteries degrade progressively with reduced capacity, cycle life, and safety due to chemical changes to the electrodes. Capacity loss/fade is expressed as a percentage of initial capacity after a number of cycles (e.g., 30% loss after 1,000 cycles). Fade can be separated into calendar loss and cycling loss. Calendar loss results from the passage of time and is measured from the maximum state of charge. Cycling loss is due to usage and depends on both the maximum state of charge and the depth of discharge. On average, lifetimes consist of 1000 cycles, although battery performance is rarely specified for more than 500 cycles. This means that batteries of mobile phones, or other hand-held devices in daily use, are not expected to last longer than three years. And they have far less stress than batteries used to power vehicles. If these numbers are correct (data from Wikipedia), assuming only 1 charge per day, the batteries will last 2.7 years. If charged twice a day, the batteries will last only 1.3 years. And the batteries are not cheap.

      And what will we do with the junk batteries? Do you have a facility or company to recycle non-lead-acid batteries in your city? And I mean recycle, not gather up and ship to someplace else. And who pays for the disposal or recycling?

    3. Re:Where are all the refined metals for all these by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      google what to do with old EV batteries. hint: recycle into home storage battery

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    4. Re:Where are all the refined metals for all these by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Turing test failed.

      Hello Eliza, tell me about your mother.

    5. Re:Where are all the refined metals for all these by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      You probably mean reusing rather than recycling. Recycling will most likely come after the stationary use.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  18. CNG = Compressed Natural Gas by jediborg · · Score: 1

    I had to look it up, thought I'd post it here for anyone else who was wondering what the heck CNG is.

    1. Re:CNG = Compressed Natural Gas by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      We already know what it means, people posted that information a few posts earlier. It's either Colour Neutral Graphics, Cauliflower Naturel Garland, Caramel Nitrogen Gagh or Convoluted Neutrino Guacamole.

      But thanks for your additional definition.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
  19. keeping the batteries charged may not be that hard by secPM_MS · · Score: 1

    I have seen the mess of cables necessary to support electric trolleys in Seattle and elsewhere. With batteries, you could reduce the overhead wiring to straight streets and above bus stops,where it is cheap to install and power, allowing charging during normal operation. At stops, the bus stops for a while to take on and let off passengers, and buses have stops for a few minutes at the beginning and end of routs at terminals to allow the drivers to get up and use the facilities. All are good opportunities for high rate charging.

  20. Battieries are only part of it by damn_registrars · · Score: 1

    Some buses run on batteries, but I've seen several systems now for buses that get power from overhead lines (similar to trains). The summary seems to be overlooking these vehicles.

    --
    Damn_registrars has no butt-hole. Damn_registrars has no use for a butt-hole.
    1. Re:Battieries are only part of it by flink · · Score: 3, Informative

      Some buses run on batteries, but I've seen several systems now for buses that get power from overhead lines (similar to trains). The summary seems to be overlooking these vehicles.

      While overhead wires are fine for trains, which have predictable, smooth, well-maintained paths to travel, they are less than optimal for buses.

      We have these in Cambridge, MA. They are a hassle because it's a fairly common occurrence that the armature will pop off the overhead wire and the bus will grind to a halt until the driver can go around and use a pole to hook it back on, creating a huge traffic hazard in the meantime. It would be great if they had some battery backup and could limp along to a bus stop before having to be reconnected.

      Also, during power failures, every bus stops. This is great when two buses happen to be passing in opposite directions, causing the entire road to be blocked.

    2. Re:Battieries are only part of it by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Also, during power failures, every bus stops. This is great when two buses happen to be passing in opposite directions, causing the entire road to be blocked.

      If this happens often enough to be even a remote source of concern for your city then the busses are the least of your problem.

    3. Re:Battieries are only part of it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      AKA Trolleybus

    4. Re:Battieries are only part of it by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      To be fair, that doesn't mean a citywide power failure. A broken trolleybus power line can do that easily.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    5. Re:Battieries are only part of it by flink · · Score: 1

      Also, during power failures, every bus stops. This is great when two buses happen to be passing in opposite directions, causing the entire road to be blocked.

      If this happens often enough to be even a remote source of concern for your city then the busses are the least of your problem.

      A single branch falling and shorting the overhead lines, a blown transformer, an oopsie with a back hoe can all take out electric bus power without affecting city-wide power. The MBTA's mixed record of maintaining its infrastructure notwithstanding, we don't have this problem nearly as much with the green line trolleys because they have dedicated, limited access rights of way and travel on a fixed path.

  21. Choose your power source by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Too much gets said about how great electrically powered vehicles are, but they're only zero emission at point o suse.

    And what is your point? Electric vehicles can be powered by both/either fossil fuels or non-emitting sources of power. Nuclear, solar, wind, geothermal, hydro, etc are all potential sources of generation, none of which emit substantial carbon during normal operation. Roughly 1/3 of power in the US comes from non-fossil fuel sources so right off the bat your emissions drop by up to 1/3 per vehicle. And it's a lot easier to control emissions from 1 power plant than millions of little engines. Electric vehicles give you a choice of power sources and make it easier to control your pollution. Internal combustion vehicles do not.

    1. Re:Choose your power source by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Roughly 1/3 of power in the US comes from non-fossil fuel sources so right off the bat your emissions drop by up to 1/3 per vehicle.

      There is no "right off the bat." Switch everyone to electric cars overnight and there won't be enough grid capacity to handle the additional load.

    2. Re:Choose your power source by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      "Switch everyone to electric cars overnight and there won't be enough grid capacity to handle the additional load." -you don't believe in realistic target do you. but i can make the unrealistic same claim to destroy yours.

      "Give everyone solar panels and battery storage overnight and there will be enough grid capacity to handle the additional load."

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  22. Prove your case by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Due to efficiencies of scale the worst coal power plants to EV systems are still likely to be twice a pollutant efficient as a ICE vehicle.

    Citation needed. That also isn't a particularly meaningful comparison since only about 1/3 of US power comes from coal. It's quite possible to power an EV entirely with non-fossil fuel sources.

    Yes I am using hyperbole and I would welcome someone with enough time to disprove me.

    No thanks. You made the claim. Cite your source and prove your case. Don't ask us to do your homework for you.

    1. Re:Prove your case by burtosis · · Score: 2

      Due to efficiencies of scale the worst coal power plants to EV systems are still likely to be twice a pollutant efficient as a ICE vehicle.

      Citation needed. That also isn't a particularly meaningful comparison since only about 1/3 of US power comes from coal. It's quite possible to power an EV entirely with non-fossil fuel sources.

      Yes I am using hyperbole and I would welcome someone with enough time to disprove me.

      No thanks. You made the claim. Cite your source and prove your case. Don't ask us to do your homework for you.

      It depends on region. First about half the emissions come from manufacture with EV having a slightly larger foot print so keeping any current vehicles in service is much better than simply throwing them away. Second in the USA electric vehicle emissions as Gallons/mile equivelant range from the mid 30s to well over 100. Where I live (Midwest USA) it's around 38-42 mpg equivelant so buying an electric car is worse than buying a hybrid and about the same as buying a fuel efficient gas vehicle, the gas vehicle likely has a slightly smaller manufacturing footprint as it's lighter and lasts just as long, so efficient gas vehicles are probably better. Good source here

    2. Re:Prove your case by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      I stopped reading the source when i read this paragraph (and comments) and seeing as the report is over 3 years old and that is a looong time in this field. "Electric cars have higher manufacturing emissions than normal cars. Electric cars also use electricity that has its own footprint. And put together these two factors are a ‘dirty little secret‘ that negate any climate benefit of electric cars!"

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    3. Re:Prove your case by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

      City buses do a lot of start/stop traffic, which makes diesel engines run really bad, but would be perfect for electric with regenerative braking.

    4. Re:Prove your case by burtosis · · Score: 1

      I stopped reading your comment when it has no evidence of any kind. By the way, fossil fuel sources by region haven't changed much in 3 years and electric motors have almost no changes.

    5. Re:Prove your case by Ranbot · · Score: 1

      I stopped reading your comment when it has no evidence of any kind. By the way, fossil fuel sources by region haven't changed much in 3 years and electric motors have almost no changes.

      Then here is a link to a breakdown of each US state's energy grid sources (e.g. coal, nuclear, hydro, solar, wind, natural gas) by percentage and how the sources have changed from 2004 to 2014: http://www.npr.org/2015/09/10/...

      How much of the electric grid is from "green" sources varies significantly by state, but renewables are improving across the board.

    6. Re:Prove your case by burtosis · · Score: 1

      I stopped reading your comment when it has no evidence of any kind. By the way, fossil fuel sources by region haven't changed much in 3 years and electric motors have almost no changes.

      Then here is a link to a breakdown of each US state's energy grid sources (e.g. coal, nuclear, hydro, solar, wind, natural gas) by percentage and how the sources have changed from 2004 to 2014: http://www.npr.org/2015/09/10/...

      How much of the electric grid is from "green" sources varies significantly by state, but renewables are improving across the board.

      Your own source shows that there is very little change in the last 3 years in terms of actual percent. The biggest change is coal is down and natural gas is up because it's cheaper and can change to fit demands, like peak loads, far easier. If your electric car was getting 40mpg co2 equivelant as above it maybe went to 41.

    7. Re:Prove your case by Ranbot · · Score: 1

      Your own source shows that there is very little change in the last 3 years in terms of actual percent. The biggest change is coal is down and natural gas is up because it's cheaper and can change to fit demands, like peak loads, far easier. If your electric car was getting 40mpg co2 equivelant as above it maybe went to 41.

      People asked for data, I provided. Data is not political, it just is, and you can read from it as you please. Personally, I see a significant increase in renewables electric mostly across the board, which is a positive for electric cars, but to your point it's is not all roses and puppy tails.

      I was admittedly beating around the bush some before, so here's the real point... Any claim of how green or dirty an electric cars are is fundamentally flawed if it does not account for the sources of the regional electric grid the car operates in. You can glance at the charts in my link and see that the environmental benefit of operating an electric car in Kentucky (grid sourced from 93% coal) is very different from operating it in Idaho (grid sourced from 62% hydro, 21% renewables, 17% NG).

      P.S. I noticed you have no supporting citations or calculations for your claim that coal vs NG electricity is the difference of 40mpg to 41mpg. You can say and do whatever you want, but understand that to others you come off looking like someone who is a simple believer that ignores any facts that might get in the way of that belief.

  23. Electric by sjbe · · Score: 2

    I can't imagine the batteries can last all day, do they have swappable battery packs?

    They could be swappable. However they also are big enough to have very large battery packs which should last a good long time presuming the power to weight ratio make sense. Also remember that electric does not necessarily mean battery powered. You can draw power from a tap like many light rail systems do and it's still electric.

  24. Re:Incorrect! by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1, Interesting

    Yeah. I get it. You're being foolish and shortsighted.

    Renewable energy is the way of the near future. But that is no reason to oppose the Keystone Pipeline. We need carbon based fuel in the now. Let's produce it here. Make jobs here. Don't send money to the Saudi religious nuts. And use the tax revenue from said production to fund alternative solutions.

    Re immigration? When do you say no? When we have a 500 million people (in 30 yrs) or 1 billion people (in 70 years)?

    Who gets to decide? The people living here? Or do they have no say?

    It's foolishness to say that the people here have no say.

    --
    If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
    Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
  25. Re:Incorrect! by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This AC is a flaming jerk, like most ACs are, but in this case he's not wrong on some points. The vast majority of people don't want to use public transportation. Aside from the various inconveniences of it, personal safety risks, personal health risks, etc, it's viewed as something that poor people use, and even poor people tend to want to maintain at least the appearance of not being poor. This is nothing new, either, humans have always been this way, and I see no reason that will ever change about humans, either; people want personal transportation. Has nothing to do with 'Americans' or any other nationality, has nothing to do with 'greed, avarice' or any of the other nonsense that this AC is spouting, it's just pure and simple human nature.

    Public transportation will always have a place in civilization, but it will never replace personal transportation. Electric vehicles are not only more efficient and non-polluting in and of themselves, they're also lower maintenance and quieter; they are the future and we should embrace it. Concerns about where the energy comes from are temporary problems; re-introduction of nuclear power, in the form of redesigned, safer fission reactors, is also something we need to embrace, rather than succumbing to the 'nuclear boogieman' of the past. Continuing to research and develop energy storage systems will also help. So-called 'renewable' sources like solar and wind will supplement and tide us over until the new generation of reactors can be brought on-line. Meanwhile we'll continue to chase practical fusion power, and other more exotic sources of energy.

  26. SubjectsInCommentsAreStupidCauseTheSubjectIsTFA by lesincompetent · · Score: 1

    Never forget the General Motors streetcar conspiracy
    Don't let history repeat itself.

    1. Re:SubjectsInCommentsAreStupidCauseTheSubjectIsTFA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's a fun idea, but it's not real. Streetcars were in massive financial difficulties even beforehand, and as roads got more packed streetcars didn't really make sense. Buses, which can follow the same road at the same speed and don't require as much space/ special road space infrastructure, are better in every way than streetcars, except that they don't look as cute. See The General Motors Streetcar Conspiracy (myths).

  27. Air quality by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    As a frequent pedestrian and also motorcyclist, I really hope this catches on, will beat choking on diesel fumes whenever a bus goes by, or am stopped behind one.

  28. Coal Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So why are coal powered buses and cars so popular with the environmental crowd. I dont get it.

    1. Re: Coal Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They'll be charged at night so probably nuclear, gas or wind powered mostly

    2. Re:Coal Power? by tsa · · Score: 2

      Because they are so efficient that even when they're coal powered they are still releasing less CO2 then diesel powered buses. Also, the air in cities gets a lot cleaner and healthier when ICEs are banned.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    3. Re:Coal Power? by tsa · · Score: 1

      it's than, not then. I slapped myself three times for that.

      --

      -- Cheers!

    4. Re: Coal Power? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Coal is 40% of US electricity supply. In several high population areas, (California, New England) it is less than 5%.

      That percentage is dropping, and even Trump abolishing the EPA wouldn't stop that trend. Coal is simply too expensive to matter vs. Natgas and even the unsubsidised cost of renewables.

  29. What drives the comparative efficiency? by Digital+Eco+Freak · · Score: 2

    I wish the article had a little more analysis and technical detail. Anyone know what drives the competitiveness of electric buses vs other vehicles? What technology changes are changing this cost equation and how do they impact other vehicle markets?

    Why are buses more competitive but cars aren't?

    Is this about the ability to recapture energy when braking on electric vehicles? For buses used in cities stopping regularly, I could see this being a big deal.

    Do form factor differences allowing better engineering decisions?

    Does the high usage of buses make the fuel cost difference more dominant in the equation, making up for the higher capital costs? Would that mean that electric vehicles will come to dominate the taxi market too (until the taxi market is overwhelmed by self-driving vehicles)?

    1. Re:What drives the comparative efficiency? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      google is your friend

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    2. Re:What drives the comparative efficiency? by squiggleslash · · Score: 1

      Why are buses more competitive but cars aren't?

      Cars are bought by consumers. Issues for consumers include brand, color, embarrassment/pride factor, next door neighbor's advice, brother-in-law's advice, special financing, and maybe, once a decision has been made between two or three vehicles within that range, which is more reliable and cost efficient over a five year expected lifespan.

      Buses are generally bought by corporations (sometimes government owned.) The purchase has to be justified to several entities, who are sometimes even legally obliged to sue you if your decision makes no sense. If you're government owned, there's a good chance you need to incorporate a number of social factors such as pollution. If you're not, you still probably need to factor in the taxes on such emissions, and you need to keep fuel costs low.

      Even allowing for corruption and crap like "Buy America" rules, making super-efficient buses gives your buses an immense competitive edge over your rivals.

      --
      You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
    3. Re:What drives the comparative efficiency? by Whorhay · · Score: 1

      Buses are good candidates for conversion to purely battery electric for a few obvious reasons I can think of.

      1. Buses travel a predetermined route constantly with little to no deviation. Which means you don't need to worry about range anxiety. Battery charging during the day can be planned ahead of time and done during driver breaks.

      2. Buses start and stop constantly, which means more opportunity for regenerative breaking recovering some of your energy.

      3. Buses usually travel at lower speeds, which is why they traditionally are so box shaped, as aerodynamics is not a serious energy concern. This shape, and size affords plenty of room for batteries.

      With a car the owner might leave it parked for an entire weekend or want to drive it a thousand miles. The driver will undoubtedly want to drive it faster than a bus making for less efficient use of energy. A personal car is a lot smaller than a bus with considerably less space for battery storage.

    4. Re:What drives the comparative efficiency? by aaarrrgggh · · Score: 1

      My guess is you need a much larger engine on a bus for starting from standstill, plus a substantial transmission. Factor in maintenance and operating costs and it should be a slam dunk.

  30. School buses should be on top of list by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am not a green Nazi.
    However IMHO school buses should be hybrids or electric. The kids are standing at a bus stop when the bus pulls up in a cloud of gas.
    Then when it pulls away, the kids, waiting for the next bus, get gassed.
    Putting a bunch of batteries in a little vehicle may make a BIG mileage number for someone's ego, but does not make cents.
    Adding $10k to go from 40mph to 50mph does not pay off for years. and it raised the price of an econo box by a third.
    Add $10k of batteries to a school bus it is a small percentage of cost and going from 8 to 9 mpg on a vehicle that goes 100k miles a year, pays off quick.
    BAM 2 good reasons, the left and the right can agree on.

  31. Re:Incorrect! by bobbied · · Score: 0

    With how global infrastructure & battery tech these days, there is NO EXCUSE to doubt we will be 100% clean energy in a matter of a few years.

    Define "Clean Energy" because if you mean 100% from wind, solar and other renewables, there is zero chance that's happening. Now if you allow for some kind of CO2 emission in your "clean energy" equation. We can do that if you allow CO2 emissions, but otherwise it isn't happening. We don't have the technology to do 100%.

    BTW, Batteries are NOT the solution. They may help, but they won't solve the electric energy storage problem that 100% renewables presents the electrical power industry. They are not very efficient ways to store electrical energy, they are horribly dirty to manufacture and to get rid of when they wear out. So batteries are not "clean" either....

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  32. Human nature and fission by sjbe · · Score: 1, Insightful

    re-introduction of nuclear power, in the form of redesigned, safer fission reactors, is also something we need to embrace, rather than succumbing to the 'nuclear boogieman' of the past.

    You talk about human nature wanting personal vehicles and then take exactly the opposite argument here. Human nature doesn't change just because its convenient for your argument. People are afraid of nuclear fission whether or not those fears are justified. That is human nature and it is unlikely to change. And their fears are not without some rational basis in many cases. The problem with fission as a power source is simply that when it goes wrong it can go REALLY wrong. Given that humans are imperfect sooner or later you are going to have a major catastrophe if we rely on nuclear fission. We've already had two good sized disaster and they are unlikely to be the last. There has been no breakthrough that eliminates the problems and risks associated with it. Are modern reactors safer? Probably. Does it matter? Not really. Should we use more fission? Perhaps but it probably won't happen.

    I think fossil fuels are a clear and present danger to us as a species but thinking that we are just going to switch over to fission to replace fossil fuels is mostly just wishful thinking. Nuclear fission simply has become to big of a boogey man and a political hot potato to be a realistic alternative any time soon.

    1. Re:Human nature and fission by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 2

      This attitude will change when we see China clean its air by going nuclear.

    2. Re:Human nature and fission by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1, Insightful

      It's no longer 1946. Modern fear of nuclear fission is due to media sensationalism.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    3. Re:Human nature and fission by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      People are afraid of nuclear fission whether or not those fears are justified. That is human nature and it is unlikely to change.

      Nonsense. It's not even remotely human nature, and it was changed, forcibly. Humanity's fear, and in particular Americans' fear of nuclear power is one of the great propaganda victories of the 20th Century.

      Immediately after the end of World War II, the Greatest Generation was absolutely convinced that they were entering the Atomic Age and that it was going to be the best thing since sliced bread. Science fiction was absolutely saturated with atomic everything, and even though it was a disrespected fringe literature at the time, that didn't stop its enthusiasm from leaking over into the rest of the world. To the point where "atomic" became synonymous with "good", "modern", and "the future", slapped on advertising copy as a matter of course, in much the same way as "green" is today. The phrase "too cheap to meter" originated in 1954, and though the speaker was referring to fusion power, the phrase stuck, and is still applied today, to both fission and fusion. (Sarcastically, nowadays, but it persists nonetheless.) The future was bright, and it was going to be nuclear powered.

      Then Green Peace set themselves against it. They spent the '60s and '70s telling the world how dangerous nuclear power was, and when the Three Mile Island accident happened in 1979, they were quick to capitalize on it, despite there being zero injuries or deaths caused by it right up through the present day. They spent the next seven years hammering on that accident, trying to convince the world how scary nuclear power was. And they were succeeding. If the propaganda had gone the other way, Three Mile Island would have been a great victory for nuclear power. Even with a partial core meltdown, no one was injured. The "Big Scary Thing" had happened, and it wasn't scary at all. Except people were being told that it was scary, and after a generation of it being hammered on, it was starting to stick.

      Then in 1986, the Chernobyl disaster happened, the greatest gift to anti-nuclear forces since the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. And still, it could have gone the other way. The Nixon era attempt at détente had withered and the USSR was again the Great Enemy of America. (The USSR didn't disintegrate until the tail end of 1991.) Chernobyl could have been spun as a Soviet screwup, proof of the inherent inferiority of the Soviet system and indeed, it was used for that purpose, but by far the loudest message hitched to that disaster was "nuclear bad". And it worked.

      It took two generations of intense propaganda and legal obstructionism, but Green Peace won. They had completely reversed the attitude towards nuclear power of an entire continent. Meanwhile, between 1946 and 1989, 4208 people, including 116 children, died in coal mining accidents and disasters around the world, while just 31 people died as a direct result of Chernobyl. (The count of indirect deaths of both coal burning and the Chernobyl disaster are violently disputed, so I'll leave them aside, saying only that both are much bigger than the direct deaths.) Human nature should have been terrified of coal by the end of the 20th Century, because it had indisputably and directly killed so many. Human nature is to be scared of the things we're told to be scared o

    4. Re: Human nature and fission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lol. Let's talk when China cleans its air.

    5. Re:Human nature and fission by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      that fear is no longer as real as it used to be but still affects some people. the main concern is how you safely decommission a nuclear power plant (using chernobyl and fukishima as examples) and just how much it costs to both commission and decommission.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    6. Re: Human nature and fission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd take you a lot more seriously if you did Greenpeace the courtesy of spelling their name correctly.

    7. Re: Human nature and fission by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, it's no longer 1946. Back then, we'd had no nuclear power plant accidents, serious or otherwise. We hadn't attempted decommissioning a plant. We hadn't worked out the costs of extraction and construction and triple redundancy. We hadn't had to think about 747s being crashed into a plant. Etc

  33. Re:Incorrect! by mellon · · Score: 1

    The majority of people are poor, so using a form of transportation that poor people use is pretty natural for them. However, the main problem with most public transport is that it sucks. Where it doesn't, everybody uses it, rich and poor, just like they do the sidewalks.

  34. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Re immigration?

    One planet, one people. Quit your bellyaching and live with it! Be a xenophile (xenophiliac?), not a xenophobe. More sex, better variety. What could you possibly have against that?

  35. Natural Gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Power plants have been switching to cheap natural gas for years now - even when they are not legally required to do so. It's all about cutting costs - regardless of the lies told by Mitch McConnell and other Republicans that say there is a "war on coal."

    Power is mostly natural gas in the USA now - thanks to mostly fracking. And as China continues with her breakthroughs in solar, we'll be seeing even more of that in the future. Thank the gods for that! But due to our shortsightedness and resistance from the uninformed and ignorant half of our electorate, China and the rest of the World is leading the World into the future; while we the USA sit around and bicker with people who insist on believing the lies of people who are heavily invested in old outdated technologies and bribe Republicans to convince their moronic base that they are right.

    EVs are the future and so is green energy It's going to happen and all the global climate change deniers, sketpics, conservatives, etc... are just irrelevant.

    Green energy and renewables are better, more efficient, cleaner, and will allow for the economic growth that we desperately need.

    Fossil fuels are dirty, old, inefficient, and obsolete. Besides, we'll be needing them for the raw materials for polymers and whatnot.

    It's simple economics.

    As is usually the case, conservatives are on the wrong side of progress into the future. They want to keep things the same but that is an impossibility. Life is change and therefore will always be at odds with conservative values.

    1. Re:Natural Gas by RoccamOccam · · Score: 1

      Fossil fuels are dirty, old, inefficient, and obsolete. Besides, we'll be needing them for the raw materials for polymers and whatnot.

      It's simple economics.

      As is usually the case, conservatives are on the wrong side of progress into the future. They want to keep things the same but that is an impossibility. Life is change and therefore will always be at odds with conservative values.

      That is precisely the side that conservatives are on: the change will happen when it makes since economically. Not because of burdensome government intervention, but because of innovation and simple economics.

    2. Re: Natural Gas by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Conservatives forget the real costs of coal, and oppose making polluters pay for their actions.

      Heck, they oppose doctors being held accountable.

  36. Just in time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Ten years? Just in time for the return of disco, flying cars, a cure for Alzheimer's and unlimited free nuclear power.

  37. Or Maybe just the opposite... by DumbSwede · · Score: 1

    Lithium is more common in Earth's crust than lead. Plus unlike coal and oil, you use it over and over again and can be reclaimed after batteries are no longer rechargeable (or obsoleted by newer technology). Any shortages are just because we haven't ramped up mining/recovery of it. Once demand is really there we will probably extract it from sea water where it is in relative abundance (and fare less destructive than your apocalyptic mining hyperbole would be).

  38. Fastest growing share is easy when you start at 0% by clay_buster · · Score: 1

    Electric busses may make a lot of sense in city traffic. How do the long "refuel" cycles impact fleet availability?

    "Fastest Growing" is a meaningless term without context...

  39. transit is (or can be) good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well for one, ICE vehicles don't come with a shitload of radioactive byproducts being spewed into the air.

    Yeah, but thing is....it is still a BUS.

    Doesn't matter what you do to the engine or externals of it...who wants to ride a public transportation bus around sitting next to some smelly bums?!?

    In Toronto, Canada, about 2.75M people per day. The entire city basically shuts down if the TTC is not running, and there's major chaos if the subway has issues.

    For some deranged reason you think only poor people who cannot afford bathing ride public transit. In Toronto at least, every aspect of society uses it. There are professional sports players (Blue Jays, Raptors) that take transit to work and practice. There are Bay Street (think WallStreet.ca) high rollers that take the TTC (and GO, the regional rail system) to work.

    Perhaps if you lived in an area that has infrastructure that is non-third world quality you'd have a different opinion. The TTC has many problems with it, but Toronto probably has better transportation options that 90% of American cities.

    1. Re:transit is (or can be) good by cayenne8 · · Score: 1

      In Toronto, Canada,

      Well, there you have it...Canada. Different story completely I'm guessing. You don't have the same type of city layouts we do, nor the wide swaths of inhabited land we do here in the US.

      Perhaps if you lived in an area that has infrastructure that is non-third world quality

      Well, we have a pretty good infrastructure (ok, it is in need of a bit of repair), but it is set up differently than yours is apparently. We have a perfectly fine infrastructure set up for CARS, and lots of them.

      Public transport isn't really that practical in the US they way our cities and suburbs are laid out, and it isn't like we're going to scrap the whole thing and start over, you know?

      So, yes, for the most part, if you are in the broader USA, and you have any means at all, you own at LEAST one car for private transportation. For most cities in the US, it is only the poor people and smelly bums that take private transportation buses around.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    2. Re:transit is (or can be) good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

      I'm guessing.

      You can't make guesses to "prove" your point.

      You actually stated that the US has more "wide swaths of inhabited land" than Canada? Take a look at the population density of the two. US's is 10x higher than Canada's. (http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?v=21000)

      You do realize that both Canada and US were developed starting at around the same time period so would have similar city layouts and infrastructure? And don't say that Toronto is probably just too small of a city... it's larger than Los Angeles by population.

      Maybe your point is valid for your smaller cities though, like Dallas.

    3. Re:transit is (or can be) good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Toronto is a bit bigger then you think, the 401 has more traffic then the Santa Monica Freeway or I-75 (and worry not! lots of stinky crazy fuckers on the TTC)
      http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-4F8D...

    4. Re:transit is (or can be) good by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      The poor image that mass transit has with the general public could go away if all usage of it is made by subscription. No more single ride tickets. Every user is known to the system in the same way that every Uber user is, and maintains a transit account that is used to pay for rides, with appropriate discounts for long-term usage. Not only will the riffraff and gangbangers stay off the system, but eliminating tickets and fare conductors cut costs while making the system easier to access for those who subscribe to it.

      This is a case where anonymity is bad and surveillance is good.

    5. Re:transit is (or can be) good by rogoshen1 · · Score: 2

      i'd argue that if you have to sit in rush hour traffic twice a day, the infrastructure is not really that well set up. (i.e., not enough lanes for the number of commuters)
      subways and trains are much better people movers than buses which in turn are much better people movers than passenger cars.

    6. Re:transit is (or can be) good by ChrisMaple · · Score: 2

      Toronto: ...... city 2,731,571; .Urban 5,132,794; .Metro: 5,928,040
      Los Angeles: city 3,971,883; Urban 12,150,996; Metro: 13,131,431

      You must be using Common Core math.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    7. Re:transit is (or can be) good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My mistake. I was comparing census results for Toronto, (which apparently were the Metro numbers you mentioned above) against the "city" numbers for Los Angeles. Since neither source specified city/urban/metro but both only used the city names, I assumed that the metrics were an accurate comparison.

      Sources:
      http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-2016-census-population-1.3970314
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_by_population

  40. Re:Incorrect! by tsa · · Score: 1
    --

    -- Cheers!

  41. Re:Incorrect! by tsa · · Score: 2

    Joe sixpack doesn't give a damn about what makes his car move as long as it's cheap.

    --

    -- Cheers!

  42. Buses will be obsolete in 10 years by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

    Buses will be replaced by autonomous vehicles on tracks the vehicles will take you to your final destination without ever having to stop. They will travel 10 times faster and use one-tenth the amount of energy. Our current system is unsustainable, which means it will end in the extinction of our species.

    1. Re:Buses will be obsolete in 10 years by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      i doubt it, a bus takes a lot of passengers at one go and if you replace each passenger with a small vehicle, you'll have city grid lock in no time especially when one breaks down. Your "final destination" non stop is not realistic, what about all the thousands of "final destinations" before your stop that have to stop to let someone off (unless you've got a 1000 lane highway of course)

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    2. Re:Buses will be obsolete in 10 years by lazy+genes · · Score: 0

      The track system is automated. It's a double track with switches. The cars will be as small as bobsleds and will be able to get off the track and operate at reduced speeds if necessary. The only delay would be when the passenger enters the destination into the computer. The computer will reserve a time slot to pass through intersection entire trip will be planed out before he sets off.

  43. Don't buy them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is not the time to buy new buses. Don't buy capital items that will soon be made obsolete by self-driving vehicles. Some combination of self-driving cars, buses and passenger drones will soon be the way to go. Save the $ for that.

    1. Re:Don't buy them by OrangeTide · · Score: 2

      Well we need some buses now, people can't wait N years for a self driving car infrastructure to appear. If we have to throw all the new buses out in 10 years, fine at least we had a working bus system for those 10 years.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  44. The wheels on the bus go round and round by jfdavis668 · · Score: 1

    As long as the wheels on the bus go round and round, I think we will be fine. Now all we need are 99 bottles of beer on the wall.

  45. Re:keeping the batteries charged may not be that h by Barsteward · · Score: 2

    this is what you are talking about. https://cleantechnica.com/2017...

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  46. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you allege greed, avarice etc aren't part of human nature? They are a result of conditioning living in Western style society?

  47. Re:Incorrect! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    The majority of people are poor

    World wide that may be true.

    But in the first world, you have to use an absurd definition of poor.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  48. Battery costs are a problem by burtosis · · Score: 1

    Right now a tesla battery would cost around $190/kWh and gm $145/kWh. One kWh can power a one horsepower electric motor for just over an hour. A horsepower is 746 watts, and despite common misconceptions not nearly 100% efficient - they tend to be 50% at peak power, near 10% efficient at peak torque at low speed and 90% at low torque high speed. This is true for pmdc and induction motors. City busses get about 4mpg average and often run for long periods. A electric pack for a bus would easily run 10-20x the size for a ev like a car. So we are talking about costs of up to half a million dollars for a good lithium pack before subsidies and sold at a reasonable profit margin.

    Since a large chunk of emissions comes from manufacture simply throwing busses away after 10 years because of a half million dollar battery would be disasterous. The cost to subsidize them would be significant. The real push needs to be lowering the cost of the battery to a much more manageable up front cost.

  49. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Define "Clean Energy" because if you mean 100% from wind, solar and other renewables, there is zero chance that's happening.

    Norway has 100% hydroelectric.
    Sweden is half nuclear and half hydroelectric with some wind power supplement.

    The great thing is that the hydroelectric already is in place. Coal and nuclear are great at providing constant power, but since the load varies we need a power source that can follow the load.
    Coal and nuclear causes the same problems for the grid that wind and solar does in that neither of them can follow the load.
    Hydroelectric doesn't care if the rest of the energy comes from coal or wind. The only thing that matters is that the average from other sources is large enough to keep the dam size down.

    It is perfectly possible so the only reason to why it wouldn't happen is because of naysayers.

  50. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    whats your definition of poor? if you think everyone in the first world can afford to run a car then you must be living in a different world to most of us

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  51. Which makes more sense? by Weaselmancer · · Score: 2

    Even if all electricity were to come directly from coal, which do you think would add more pollutants to the atmosphere? A million cars, each with a little dinky catalytic converter on them, or a few coal plants with gigantic industrial scrubbers that are not limited by size/space/weight constraints?

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:Which makes more sense? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm fairly sure that petroleum burns cleaner than coal, even with "carbon capture", which is frankly a PR stunt rather than a viable large-scale technology. Counting in transmission losses, I'd say that it's pretty much a wash in terms of which produces more pollutants.

      However, electric vehicles move pollution out of city centres into less populated regions, which has huge health benefits for large urban populations. Plus, it moves the problem from millions of privately-owned pollution sources down to a few publicly-regulated ones, which we can more easily replace with clean power over time.

      Electric vehicles, distributed generation, improving the power grid and replacing dirty power plants are all steps in the right direction that can be taken in parallel.

  52. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    you can't accuse someone of being shortsighted then keep banging on about needing an old tech.

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  53. Not enough is said about e-vehicles by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Getting smog out of the valley I live in is a huge benefit of electrical vehicles. There is something about certain cities where air pollution tends to accumulate. Most big power plants, even coal, tend to be in locations where there are not many people and where there air currents and climate don't cause a huge lingering cloud to form.

    California gets 7% of their power from hydroelectric. While a conventional automobile gets 100% of it's power from combustion of fuel and that means emissions.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  54. PACCAR makes some of these by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 1

    Under the new EU and other nations (e.g. Canada/Mexico/Japan/China) requirements, all-electric busses are required in all markets for all fleets.

    The average cost to fuel (electricity) such fleets is 1/10th to 1/20th the cost of an equivalent diesel bus. The maintenance is, on average, about half that of a diesel bus.

    There are some deviations from this: very rural areas need to set up either battery swap or rapid charge stations, which are easily fueled with wind and solar. However, almost all fleet bus lines operate in urban centers, where this is not a problem.

    One drawback: this cuts pollution in urban centers dramatically. In some places in the Western US, pollution from trucks, bus, and cars is up to 40 percent of all pollution.

    --
    -- Tigger warning: This post may contain tiggers! --
    1. Re:PACCAR makes some of these by burtosis · · Score: 1

      All of that is true but the battery pack costs 400-500k or even more in some cases. It will need a new one every 10 years or so.

    2. Re:PACCAR makes some of these by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, that's old school batteries. New school batteries are in dev that technically have 100 year life spans.

      Try keeping up, battery tech is evolving very very fast. I've been at a few conferences on that.

  55. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 2
    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  56. Winter city testing by Kernel+Kurtz · · Score: 4, Informative

    Here in Winnipeg the city Transit service has been testing electric buses for a local coachbuilder for quite a few years with what I have heard to be good results.

    http://winnipegtransit.com/en/...

    King County is also already a large customer for their hybrid diesel-electric buses.

    https://www.newflyer.com/buses...

    If they can work well here in our cold winters and hot summers they can probably work well in most places in North America.

    1. Re:Winter city testing by jittles · · Score: 1

      If they can work well here in our cold winters and hot summers they can probably work well in most places in North America.

      I wouldn't call a Chinook that lasts a few months summer, eh. ;)

  57. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    christ! jaded much?

  58. Company President Likes Own Product!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Really, is it a huge surprise that the CEO of a company claims their product is cheaper to buy, cheaper to maintain, carries more passengers, looks better, and an angel gets their wings each time one is sold?

    Here's the thing. The value proposition of a fleet purchase is the responsibility of the customers, not the vendor. The vendor is always going to be biased towards their own product! Even if that product is a flaming turd (and I'm not saying that Proterra's is), the CEO is going to defend it and put the best light on it. They sorta have to, it's called a "fiduciary responsibility".

    Which is exactly why you don't give the vendors the last word on their own products.

  59. "Drive all day" is meaningless by Radical+Moderate · · Score: 1

    Batteries can easily hold a charge for a day. The question is how much work is that battery doing in a day? Winnipeg says its buses travel 50K kilometers/year, which works out to 85 miles day. Bump that to 100 to account for days off due to maintenance, and that's still within the range of most EVs these days. And that's city driving, so they'll be using regenerative braking to recharge frequently.

    Lower fuel costs, less maintenance, I can't see any reason e-buses won't work.

    --
    Never let a lack of data get in the way of a good rant.
  60. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Define "Clean Energy" because if you mean 100% from wind, solar and other renewables, there is zero chance that's happening. Now if you allow for some kind of CO2 emission in your "clean energy" equation. We can do that if you allow CO2 emissions, but otherwise it isn't happening. We don't have the technology to do 100%.

    Sure we do. We just don't have the infrastructure. Yet. I mean technically, we do have to allow for some CO2 emissions, with human beings breathing, but there is no technological impediment to eliminating all coal, gas, and other such heavily polluting electrical generation. It's a matter of cost, and willpower.

    BTW, Batteries are NOT the solution. They may help, but they won't solve the electric energy storage problem that 100% renewables presents the electrical power industry.

    Well, yes, that they won't be able to keep raping us with excessive rates and screw us with pollution could be considered a problem, but why do you advance the causes of the electrical power industry? Are they paying you to post for them?

    Why not ask for the issues that 100% renewables solves for the people of the world?

    They are not very efficient ways to store electrical energy, they are horribly dirty to manufacture and to get rid of when they wear out. So batteries are not "clean" either....

    Oh yes, batteries are so dirty, they're only like 90% recyclable, versus less than 1% for burning gasoline and diesel.

    Check what comes out of your exhaust sometimes. Even the waste heat alone is excessive. And you worry about battery efficiency.

  61. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by OrangeTide · · Score: 0

    They take all night to charge at the fastest charge speed. which means you need to bring in some rather beefy power distribution to your maintenance site. It also means that if you run a 24 hour bus schedule that you'll have to have to have extra buses and rotate them through charging.

    Pumping 100 gallons of diesel likely only took about 10 minutes per bus. If a city had a feel of 50 buses, that's still an estimated 8 hours spend on refueling them. (honestly there are usually more than 1 pump, but it's hard for one person to keep an eye on filling up more than 4 at a time).

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  62. Do we really? by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

    We need carbon based fuel in the now.

    Don't know about you, but gas is under $2/gallon where I'm at. Natural gas is holding steady over the last 5 years. Hard to justify any desperate we-need-it-right-now measure.

    Let's produce it here. Make jobs here.

    The Keystone pipeline takes oil from Alberta, Canada and moves it to Port Arthur for sale and shipment. Apart from building the thing, how would this make jobs here?

    Global warming is a far more pressing problem. We don't need more oil, we need less. Any money put to this pipeline would pay far greater dividends in renewable energy sources. Wind, solar, tidal, hydroelectric. Oil was great in its day, but just like coal - it's rapidly becoming unnecessary.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:Do we really? by ChrisMaple · · Score: 0, Troll

      Claims of significant human-caused global warming are fraudulent.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    2. Re:Do we really? by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

      Prices are low because we're drilling and fraking. A few years ago it was $4.00 and politicians were famously saying it would never be under $2.00 again.

      We need to continue this. Bring the pipeline down to the refineries and stop sending money to fanatics.

      We can tax the revenue and to bring about alt energies.

      Re global warming - bad economy leads to unrest the world over. Gas is better than oil and coal. We need to come up with solutions that work in India, Nigeria, Egypt, Brazil, Indonesia - the world over to we can move to alt-energy.

      Simply reducing supply, such as your proposing, is not good idea. (IMHO)

      We have 20 years or so until alt energy becomes the dominant source. We need to get there without war; without mass upheaval; and as quickly as possible arrive at alternatives. Taxing cheap oil and using the revenue to promote alternatives is a good idea.

      --
      If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
      Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
    3. Re: Do we really? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Short sighted thinking. The future energy economy will be built on RE. I fear that US has already lost out. Please keep in mind that our strength in energy is one of the most important factors in US economic and military hegemony. Just what is the play here? We've sacrificed our future for extremely narrow window of slightly increased prosperity for a small group of people.....

  63. Super-Caps are already running buses in China. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Super-Caps are far superior to batteries for a city bus system.
    Batteries may hit the price point a year or two sooner, but
    Super-Caps are positioned to win the race.
    Save your money.

    1. Re:Super-Caps are already running buses in China. by avandesande · · Score: 1

      Super capacitors have been replacing batteries for the last 20 years...

      --
      love is just extroverted narcissism
  64. Re:Incorrect! by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

    Short sighted re immigration and the belief that Trump wants "nasty smoggy pollutants" because he and the Russians agree on one thing. Money should not go to the Saudis as they spend billions in spreading their religious zeal to mosques around the world.

    --
    If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
    Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
  65. Re:Incorrect! by SirSlud · · Score: 1

    They're qualities that are culturally encouraged or culturally disavowed to varying degrees in different parts of the world. What appears to be human nature is highly subject to ones environment.

    --
    "Old man yells at systemd"
  66. Not as safe by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They don't immediately respond to the accelerator pedal and they momentarily speed up when the brake is pressed, both of which probably have something to do with flywheel energy storage. I wouldn't be surprised if they are involved in more accidents. Increased stress on the operator's nerves and brake foot couldn't be healthy either.

  67. All buses in the US bought by Federal Government by chewie2010 · · Score: 1

    All buses in the US bought by Federal Government or are heavily subsidized. All buses are replaced every 8-10 years. At 4 years all buses get brand new drive trains. Proterra uses its own fast DC chargers on the roof of the bus. Proterra will be a big company soon. Thomson Energy is a start-up that sells electric drive trains for the mid life overhaul. yeah!

  68. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by whoever57 · · Score: 1

    They take all night to charge at the fastest charge speed. which means you need to bring in some rather beefy power distribution to your maintenance site. It also means that if you run a 24 hour bus schedule that you'll have to have to have extra buses and rotate them through charging.

    From which orifice did you pull that misinformation?

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  69. Re: Incorrect! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    I can, but since I seriously hate driving, public transport it is. My only grudge is that neither buses nor trains are reliably punctual all the time.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  70. Re:Incorrect! by apoc.famine · · Score: 5, Informative

    ...the main problem with most public transport is that it sucks...where it doesn't, everybody uses it, rich and poor...

    I ride with everyone from poor moms with 2 kids in strollers and homeless folks to guys in 3 piece suits with $500 pairs of shoes. In between are everyone else from high school kids to college kids, and the breadth of the middle and upper-middle class workforce.
     
    I bus about 35 minutes each way. I could drive that in 20-25 minutes, and there's an added 5-10 minute walk/wait on each end for the bus. End result is that I spend 80-90 minutes per day commuting on the bus for $50/month vs 40-50 minutes driving for ~$150/month (parking, gas, & wear and tear). The added advantage to busing is that I can do ~30 minutes of work each way, putting out fires before/after work, dropping an hour off my work day in the process.
     
    So the end result is that I spend about as much time away from home busing as I would driving, for $100/month less. And that $100 can go straight into one of the bars or restaurants on the way home, an added perk of not having to drive.
     
    Part of why I chose to live here was the investment in public transportation. When I consider moving jobs, I look at the commute possibilities as one factor. I'm generally not willing to give up my life and sanity driving in rush hour traffic. The year I did that I was far more stressed and angry than I ever was before or after. It's going to take a pretty significant pay raise to make me want to do that again.

    --
    Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
  71. Re:Incorrect! by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    Watch for Uber-style ridesharing to become unified with mass transit in areas where this is available, so that with one app you can arrange a ride from single address A to address B, with a single price for both transit modes, and with prices for alternative routes so that users can choose between changing from car to mass transit at stations for less vs taking a car the whole way. Users will make choices based on weather, traffic at time of day, and proximity of a transit station to one address or he other. (How much will I save if I walk a block? If I walk 5 blocks?)

    Now envision what happens when the ridesharing part of such trips takes place in self-driving cars.

  72. Re: Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 2

    Getting into a city for work like london on time by car means going about 5:30am and having a large wallet for parking.

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  73. report by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    if you are going to count the ecological costs of producing electricity, the study should also take into account the ecological costs of producing fossil fuels, and the costs of fighting wars to keep energy flowing. How many wars have we fought for solar or wind power recently?

  74. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 0

    "Money should not go to the Saudis" - agreed but so more reason to get renewable home grown power.
    "they spend billions in spreading their religious zeal to mosques around the world" - not unlike all the missionaries the catholics sent around the world to indoctrinate

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  75. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Ohm's law and arithmetic.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  76. Re:Incorrect! by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    Fewer than 10% of households in the US don't have a car, and the numbers in Europe are comparable. Given that many people in dense cities don't really need a car, the portion of people who can't afford to own a car is even lower. Granted, car ownership isn't the same as being able to afford to run a car, but still...

    Running a car is not necessarily the greatest expense in car ownership. If you've purchased an old used car and seldom drive it, the greatest expense is combined government fees (license, registration) and government regulations (mandatory inspection, mandatory insurance).

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    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  77. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    Also, I did not include partial charging. It tends to reduce battery life. It's a big marketing point from EV manufactures, but ultimately it's pretty useless to charge 10 minutes every few hours of travel (how ever long it takes to go 40 miles on your route). The ideal is to load up that 100kWh battery to max by the morning, and have most of your buses out all day long.

    My math says 1250 A @ 480V to fully charge 100kWh pack in 10 minutes, of course like I said nobody is charging them to the top in 10 minutes and the charge currents for these batteries is not linear.

    Medium commercial sites have 800A to 1200A service, a large commercial site can have one or two 4000A services. You'll need that 4000A service if you want to charge more than one bus at a time. I used to work in an iron foundry, and it took over 500kWh per ton of steel, unfortunately I don't recall the size of our service but it was 3-phase for our industrial motors and probably quite substantial.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  78. Re:Incorrect! by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    And one world government, also. Hard to find a rallying cry that's resulted in more bloodshed. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AZjwLhS6jc

    The freedom culture of the United States of America is the best in the world for human beings. Let in too many uninformed (and sometimes vicious) immigrants and that culture will be corrupted and destroyed. Don't think it can't happen here; other nations have been corrupted and destroyed from within.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  79. Re:Incorrect! by Ichijo · · Score: 0

    The vast majority of people don't want to use public transportation.

    That's true. They prefer to sit in traffic, as evidenced by the large number of people who sit in traffic every day.

    And since public transportation and road construction are both expensive, taxpayers could save a LOT of money by giving people what they "want": less public transportation and more traffic congestion. Right?

    Or we could make road users pay 100% of the cost of the roads instead of less than half, and find out if people still prefer to drive.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  80. Cheaper for whom? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I live in Clemson SC where Proterra has a small fleet of electric buses used for the CATBus system.

    The buses may be cheap, but only if you don't include the cost of installing charging pods at every stop. Seneca and Clemson taxpayers were on the hook for millions of dollars in subsidies to Proterra to pay for the charging stations.

    But then, as has been mentioned in another post, the taxpayer ends up paying for the buses too through Federal subsidies. So, really it's just a big shell game.

  81. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by whoever57 · · Score: 1

    If it takes 10 minutes to charge one battery, then you can charge lot of busses during the night, one after the other. You don't need to charge them all at the same time.

    Your claim about partial charging doesn't seem to be accurate either. In general, what seems to kill today's Lithium Ion batteries appears to be topping them up to fully charged. It's probably better for battery life to max out at 90% charge.

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  82. Re:Incorrect! by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    You said 'majority'. That word has a meaning.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  83. Re:Incorrect! by BlueStrat · · Score: 2

    "they spend billions in spreading their religious zeal to mosques around the world" - not unlike all the missionaries the catholics sent around the world to indoctrinate

    False equivalency.

    How many terrorist attacks/car-bombings/mass shootings/suicide bombings have Christians performed in the last 50 years against non-Christians simply because they were not Christian?

    The major and most relevant difference between Islam and Christianity in this context is that Christianity went through reformations to be compatible with modern civilization, whereas Islam has not. Christians do not kill apostates nor tax/enslave non-Christians, nor throw homosexuals off rooftops or stone women to death who were raped.

    There is plenty to criticize about Christianity, but currently it is far and away more benign than Islam and the two are in no way equivalent in terms of violence against non-believers. Islam needs it's own reformation, but sadly, it looks like the only way that will happen is when enough Muslims bent on violence are eliminated by force.

    Strat

    --
    Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  84. Re:Incorrect! by Greystripe · · Score: 2

    Actually you have it backward, modern civilization is modern because Christianity went through reformations. It is far easier to live in a manner that doesn't conform to any specific religion when the religious people that live in your town aren't actively trying to kill you and/or each other for it.

  85. Buses in general will be obsolete by kimgkimg · · Score: 1

    Autonomous vehicles will make buses obsolete. Seems like smaller autonomous ride sharing vans would be more practical to group people going to similar destinations.

  86. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the end result is that I spend about as much time away from home busing as I would driving, for $100/month less.

    When I lived in Singapore, I had to use public transportation and I was getting sick with a cold every month or two. Now that I live in the USA and drive to work in my own car, I've been able to go at least six months between getting sick.

    As a practical matter, it's not ideal to lose days of my life to being sick. But what really bothered me was the psychology of having people cough and sneeze in my face on public transportation and being helpless to do anything about it. Of course, it wasn't just coughs and sneezes. I also didn't like it when people would pick their noses and their acne and absent-mindedly flick the gunk onto people around then - such as me.

    And one time, this guy decided to lean over and brush all the dandruff flakes in his hair onto my shoes - when the bus was too crowded to move away.

    If there's on thing I feel deeply grateful for in my life it's that my commute to work involves 45 minutes each way of driving in rush hour traffic - as opposed to 45 minutes each way of riding on crowded public transportation.

  87. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by Smidge204 · · Score: 1

    My math says 1250 A @ 480V to fully charge 100kWh pack in 10 minutes

    722 Amps since, at 480V, it's probably going to be three phase.

    However, in the scenario you're suggesting, it would be more prudent to do battery swapping.
    =Smidge=

  88. Re:Incorrect! by slew · · Score: 1

    They're qualities that are culturally encouraged or culturally disavowed to varying degrees in different parts of the world. What appears to be human nature is highly subject to ones environment.

    Apparently it only takes a very short amount of time in an environment to exhibit "human nature" as illustrated by the Milgram and Stanford Prison experiments...

    Perhaps it is more accurate to say what appears to be human nature is highly subject to one's societal situation. I probably would not even attribute much to the environment which you grew up in or which you currently live. Probably even less nurture, than simply nature+immediate circumstance. Remember we have quite a bit of so-called "reptilian" brain-functions in our human brains...

  89. Re:Incorrect! by slew · · Score: 1

    Joe sixpack doesn't give a damn about what makes his car move as long as it's cheap.

    As long as there's a way to get a "cool" version to impress their friends. If all electric cars look like a Prius, I'm sure many won't give a damn about them (and no, Joe sixpack can't afford a Tesla Roadster or other electric supercar). Make electric cars like a F150, Mustang or Camero, then nobody will care if they are electric...

  90. Really? by reboot246 · · Score: 1

    Just from the summary (because I didn't read TFA):
    . . . claims to be cheaper . . .
    . . . only delivered a few hundred all-electric buses . . .
    . . . make a bold prediction . . .
    . . . seem to indicate there's a shift . . .

    It's fairly safe to assume that this is just CEO Ryan Popple's dream and he's actually begging for money from investors.

  91. Re:Incorrect! by MobyDisk · · Score: 2

    [public transportation] it's viewed as something that poor people use,

    Not in England, Washington DC and surrounding metropolitan area, or New York.

    I would agree with you if you said "buses" but not if you say "public transportation."

  92. Re:Incorrect! by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    Norway is 15 people per square mile. The United States is 84 people per square mile. 6% of US electricity is from hydropower; if the US were 15 people per square mile that figure would be 34%, and if every brook and trickle were dammed it still couldn't be doubled. Environmentalists in the US tend to oppose new hydropower because the supply lakes tend to silt up. Other people oppose hydropower because they don't want to lose their homes.

    So, if you want the US to be 100% hydropower we'll have to shut down aluminum production and almost all other industry, stop heating houses and generally speaking fall into poverty. You're damned right I'm a naysayer.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  93. Re:Incorrect! by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

    The primary material outputs of petroleum burning engines are water and CO2, both of which are 100% recyclable. They don't even have to be transported to a recycling center.

    --
    Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
  94. Re:Incorrect! by bobbied · · Score: 2

    You DO understand that battery recycling is a messy dangerous and toxic business right?

    You are dealing with an input that is a mixture of corrosive electrolytes, metal parts and plastic which is not easily disassembled in a safe way. Once you manage to separate the stuff, you have to then refine the metals, neutralize the corrosive materials and deal with the huge amounts of industrial waste all this creates in a safe and environmentally responsible manner. It's not usually easy..

    For instance, lead acid batteries are often recycled for two reasons. First, lead is expensive, second it is REALLY bad to dispose of bad lead acid batteries directly into land fills. Sulfuric acid and lead are both bad bad bad for the environment. The process goes something like this.. Pulverize batteries into itty bitty pieces in a big hammer mill..... Separate metal from plastic by dumping battery chips into a tank of water, lead sinks, plastic floats while the acid dissolves into the water. Treat the water to neutralize the acid being careful to capture any vapors to make sure they are not toxic and of neutral PH. Scrape the plastic off the top of the water and dispose of it, scrape the bottom of the tank to recover lead chips which are then refined in the normal way. Oh, and eventually you will want to change the water in that tank, which will need to be properly treated to remove as much lead as you can...All your employees will need to wear full protective gear including respirators and heavy gloves because it's REALLY dangerous in your factory. Remember all that hazards waste you will be creating will need to go someplace safe and not just buried in your back yard...

    Someday, you will also want to shut down that factory too.. Trust me, even knowing in advance, it's a horrible mess to clean up something like this...

    It's a similar problem when building new batteries from the recycled lead.. It's a little cleaner, but it still produces toxic wastes, fumes and is a danger to your employees and the local environment...

    Batteries are *really* messy sir.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  95. Re:Fastest growing share is easy when you start at by Cramer · · Score: 1

    If they care about battery longevity, they'll keep them between 20% and 80% SoC. (30:80 would last even longer. 80% DoD is still a decade of cycles) Getting to 80% SoC can, indeed, be done in 15-30min -- if you have nuclear power plant in your back yard. (we're talking many MW to charge a fleet of buses. One bus at a time... Just. No.)

    The smallest office building I've been in was fed with 6000A 600V (3ph) service. (I don't know about the current office. We didn't have to build anything in it.)

  96. better by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm in Indialantic, FL. I have a 0.9 mile walk to work, going from a 4-bedroom home on a half-acre lot (about $350,000) to a tech job that pays six figures.

    Across the water is the city of Melbourne, and Palm Bay is just south of that. Over there is more of the same, but with cheaper houses. If you don't want something fancy or big, you could buy a house for less than a year of salary. You would likely commute less than 10 miles, with "traffic" meaning a few cars in front of you at a stop light. There are lots of jobs: Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, Embraer, Harris, Thales, DRS, GE, a bunch of cyberwar startups, some little NASA contractors, etc.

    So my commute is kind of free right now. I pay for food, but not a gym, and the 20 minutes is time I don't need to exercise. Driven, it would be about a dollar (fuel plus car wear) and would take 3 minutes. The worst case for the area would be 10 miles with slightly faster roads, so $10 of fuel and wear done in 15 to 20 minutes of driving.

    Oh, and no state income tax.

    I would be stressed and angry in your situation. You should reconsider the commute possibilities.

  97. Toronto hybrid buses by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Toronto has had hybrid electric buses and they disabled the electric part because it would fail constantly.

  98. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Right, so no one in New York wants to use the subway. You may need to realise that you are you, and you are only you, and you are not everyone else.

  99. Re:Incorrect! by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

    Actually you have it backward, modern civilization is modern because Christianity went through reformations.

    Interesting.

    I personally tend to think they went hand-in-hand in a sort of 'chicken -or-egg' sense, in that neither one was really possible without the other. I also believe that if Islam experienced a similar reformation the ME would experience a 'Renaissance' period somewhat similar to Europe's and become a far more peaceful, advanced, and wealthy region.

    Strat

    --
    Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
  100. Re: Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lol anyone that thinks unlimited immigration is ok is fucking insane.

  101. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    i said nothing of the sort.

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  102. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    you don't need immigrants to destroy any country, it gets done from the inside by ignorant people.

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  103. Re:Incorrect! by Gussington · · Score: 4, Informative

    I ride with everyone from poor moms with 2 kids in strollers and homeless folks to guys in 3 piece suits with $500 pairs of shoes. In between are everyone else from high school kids to college kids, and the breadth of the middle and upper-middle class workforce.

    Generally I've found the people who complain most about public transport are the ones brought up in towns/suburbs designed around the car, and hence the public transport options do suck. I lived in Singapore for a couple of years and hardly anyone owns a car because there is no point. Public transport is faster, cleaner, safer, cheaper and more reliable than any other option. And it is the only transport option that scales in larger denser population centres.

  104. Re:Incorrect! by Barsteward · · Score: 1

    no, its not a false equivalency. the christian violence problem may have earlier with things like the crusades and inquisitions but movements/advancements like the Enlightenment and science helped quell the christian nonsense. The crusaders way the crusaders acted cold be seen as the model for ISIS idiots. Post crusades the christian nonsense was driven by the "normal" god- fearing person whereas the current violent islam problem is being done by extremists who are basically gangsters using the religion as an excuse.

    "Christians do not kill apostates nor tax/enslave non-Christians, nor throw homosexuals off rooftops or stone women to death who were raped." - yeah, right, they never burnt or drowned witches or anything like that, people were never stoned to death even though its an instruction in the bible, people were never enslaved, check how the cathars were treated in france, .

    anyway its off topic

    --
    "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
  105. Re: Incorrect! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    Remember that guy Breivik? He has a body count quite comparable to the worst islamic terror attacks on European soil.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  106. Re: Incorrect! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    But so is the whole petrochemical industry. Batteries are the lesser evil.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  107. Re: Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hilarious story bro

  108. Re: Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lol USA is the best always and forever. Our fake freedoms can beat up your fake freedoms!

  109. Perception is reality by sjbe · · Score: 1

    It's no longer 1946. Modern fear of nuclear fission is due to media sensationalism.

    Three problems with that argument. 1) Even if you are right and the fears are purely out of media hype, the fears still are real and they still matter. In politics perception is reality and politics matter here. If people are afraid of something they are going to fight it even if those fears are completely unjustified in the face of objective facts. 2) Even the most advanced reactors we have today are still not fail-safe with zero risk. They still depend on substantial amounts of human intervention to operate safely and any time humans are required there are risks. 3) Engineers still make design mistakes. Fukashima happened in large part because of engineering mistakes. There is no way to prove that the engineers have build a perfectly safe fission reactor given the state of the art in technology. Engineering mistakes are the most dangerous types of mistakes because they are the ones you are least likely to know about ahead of time and the hardest to mitigate against.

    There also still is the waste disposal problem which hasn't been solved but that's a separate issue from safe operation.

    1. Re:Perception is reality by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Even the most advanced reactors we have today are still not fail-safe with zero risk

      There are new reactor designs that haven't even been built yet (which is not surprising considering how long the process is to get permission to built a reactor) that are inherently safer than the current generation, and that are much less complex designs. Then there's using Thorium instead of Uranium. All would be better than the current generation of reactors.

  110. Humans and risk perception by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Immediately after the end of World War II, the Greatest Generation was absolutely convinced that they were entering the Atomic Age and that it was going to be the best thing since sliced bread.

    That's because they didn't know much/anything of the problems/risks with nuclear power plants. Nuclear power did seem like this amazing new technology straight off the pages of a science fiction novel and it had ended the war. Of course they were interested. There was a substantial lag between learning about it and what it could do and then figuring out what the risks and problems with it were. Over time we learned that there were significant practical problems with fission as a power source and some very real risks and it took a while for the public to absorb this argument.
    People are by nature bad at evaluating risk (we tend to be risk averse) so it's hardly surprising that eventually public opinion in many places swung against nuclear power over time. Public opinion of the risk of nuclear power demonstrably is at odds with the real objective risk but if you want to build more nuclear fission plants then you need to deal with that very real fear in the political arena.

    Then Green Peace set themselves against it. They spent the '60s and '70s telling the world how dangerous nuclear power was...

    Greenpeace was a small player in a much bigger drama and I think you hugely overestimate their influence in this debate. But even if we stipulate to what you are saying, it is absolutely true that nuclear fission as a power source does carry substantial risks. To pretend that these risks don't exist would be foolish. You cannot argue that fission is 100% safe or that catastrophes cannot happen and remain credible. There isn't a fission power plant we've ever made that doesn't carry real risks and doesn't required oversight and maintenance from humans. Even simple designs like RTGs carry meaningful risks.

    Then in 1986, the Chernobyl disaster happened, the greatest gift to anti-nuclear forces since the bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

    The reason Chernobyl was/is scary is that there is currently no way to prove that a similar disaster couldn't happen again elsewhere. It was confirmation of an already existing fear. There is not a single fission plant in operation today that does not have failure modes with potentially severe consequences. The failures are mostly remote but potentially very severe and that is the sort of risk we as humans are worst at evaluating. Use airplanes as an example - they are objectively very safe and yet many people are absolutely terrified of them because some of the failure modes are potentially quite severe and out of their control. Until you can trot out a scientist that can show that a meltdown or radiation release or similar disaster is provably impossible you're going to have a hard time getting public opinion back in favor of nuclear fission in many parts of the world. And even then a lot of people won't believe the evidence. I probably find that as disappointing as you do but it's the reality we live in thanks to human nature.

    Human nature is to be scared of the things we're told to be scared of

    And we've been told (with some justification and evidence) to be scared of fission for decades now. That's already done and reversing it is going to be really hard thanks to human nature. Getting people to accept something new is a lot easier than getting them to stop fearing something familiar that they think (rightly or wrongly) is dangerous.

    For the record, I'm actually in favor of increased use of fission to reduce our dependence on fossil fuels. But to pretend that it is without risk or that it will be politically easy is just foolish naivety.

  111. Re: Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They are not dirty relative to petrochemical harvesting and processing , this is a ridiculous equivelency. Your either a fool or a liar. The lca's are publicly available.

  112. Inconvenient for many by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Regardless of the technology driving them, the fact remains that public transportation is inconvenient for many.

    As an example, I would need to drive nearly half an hour just to get TO the bus terminal, only to find out it doesn't even have a route to get to my office at all.

    Whereas my personal drive to the office takes twenty minutes one way.

    I gladly bear the costs of a personal vehicle for several reasons:

    I don't have to endure the lady / guy wearing a gallon of perfume / cologne.

    Same folks who smell like they smoked two packs before they got on.

    Folks on cell phones and those who think I want to listen to their music outloud.

    I come and go when and why I want. I'm not beholden to the bus schedule.

    I don't get exposed to whatever illness the person next to me has because their employer doesnt believe in paid sick time.

    I trust my driving skills and awareness far more than anyone else's.

    Bottom line: The personal vehicle allows you the freedom to go where, when and why you want. I have no intentions on giving that up.

  113. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    towns/suburbs designed around the car

    tows/suburbs designed around public transit can be very nice. It does not have to be a major city. There's one prerequisite, though:

      - that public transit must not be busses.

    streetcars, subways, commuter rail, monorail, water taxi, overhead cable car---all good. Busses are awful. The stops are awful, getting on and off is awful, the sinage and schedule compliance is awful, dealing with the driver and his stress and creative route changes is awful, the time to destination is awful, the ride smoothness is awful, the ability to do work is missing because reading on a rolling street vehicle makes one nauseous, the noise and pollution are awful, the seating pattern is awful. Only one of these things is fixed by electrification. Conclusion: busses, still awful. Use them to get home to your mother's village in India. Keep them out of your plans for utopia.

  114. Re: Incorrect! by bobbied · · Score: 1

    But we where discussing "Clean Energy" and I was making the point that there is no such thing, especially on an industrial scale....

    Making and recycling batteries is a huge environmental mess.... Photovoltaic Solar is it's own kind of environmental nightmare as are other solar technologies (to a lesser degree). Wind is more of an environmental problem than most people imagine, with huge fiberglass assemblies we will eventually need to get rid of not to mention the impacts of building towers and the birds that die..

    Nothing is 100% clean.... Some things are cleaner than others, but all have their issues.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  115. Re:Incorrect! by GLMDesigns · · Score: 1

    Wrong. Wrong. Wrong.

    Laws are decided by the people who live in the country. Not the rest of the world.

    I'm an atheist. How about you insist (and get Saudi Arabia to agree) that all people can go everywhere and we all follow our own rules. Why? Because we're all one people.

    Stop making things up and then calling other people bigots for not following it.

    --
    If you're scared of your govt then you need to further restrict its powers
    Vote 3rd Party in 2016 and beyond
  116. Re:Incorrect! by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    The majority of people are poor, so using a form of transportation that poor people use is pretty natural for them.

    Gee, you sound like you think you know a lot about the poor and what they think, but in reality you're not a poor person, never have been a poor person, and never will be a poor person. So then you sound like a rich person saying "..oh, they're used to being poor and are perfectly happy with their little lives the way they are." which is a bunch of baloney. You really think the poor don't see middle-class and richer people in their cars and wish that was them? Or envy them? Or hate them because they're 'the lucky ones' while they comparatively have nothing? Think again.

  117. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Let's see how you feel about that 'plan' of yours when the Fire Department can't get to your house fast enough because all the roads between the fire station and your house are so full of potholes because nobody can afford to pay to maintain them, or how you'll feel about paying $10 for a head of lettuce and $20 for a loaf of bread at the grocery store because there's no government-maintained system of highways for trucks to transport goods on, and the cost of transport goes through the roof. You're probably also one of those 'self-driving car' faggots who want to be slaves to the machine instead of the machine serving YOU. Are you also Vegan? That would explain quite a bit of why your brain doesn't work right.

  118. Re:Incorrect! by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    So you live in NYC and poll people on the subway all the time, and know beyond a reasonable doubt that ALL of them are perfectly happy with the subway? LOL, no, you don't live in NYC, you don't talk to anyone, so you know nothing. Bet anyone $5 that if you polled 100 random people on a NYC subway, the majority would say "The subway is OK, but if I could get driven around in a car? Sure, that would be great!". Why do you think taxi drivers can make a living in a place like NYC? Because not everyone likes or wants to use the subway or buses. The only reason more people in NYC don't drive cars is it's expensive to park one there, enough so that it's not practical, and the traffic can be bad. But huge urban environments like NYC are the exception and not the rule, the majority of the people in the U.S. don't live in huge cities, therefore they own cars -- and like it.

  119. Marginal safety gains are not enough by sjbe · · Score: 1

    There are new reactor designs that haven't even been built yet

    Which means they are nothing more than an unproven idea whose flaws have yet to be uncovered.

    that are inherently safer than the current generation, and that are much less complex designs

    I'm sure they are safer. But marginal gains in safety unfortunately aren't enough. They still have a meaningful chance of catastrophic radiation release and that is even assuming they work perfectly as designed. If there is a manufacturing flaw or an engineering flaw then the risk is multi-fold worse. We have no reactor design that solves this problem even in principle much less in practice. So far it is a problem with fission that has proven to be irreducible.

    Then there's using Thorium instead of Uranium. All would be better than the current generation of reactors.

    Thorium is fine but it doesn't solve the fundamental problems with using fission as a power source. The problem is that we have no way to be completely certain that catastrophic failure and accompanying radiation release is impossible. We have no known reactor design that can safeguard against this possibility. It's the fatal flaw in the technology. Add on the fact that fission also creates a pretty nasty waste disposal problem and it's pretty easy to see why the technology hasn't progressed further.

    1. Re:Marginal safety gains are not enough by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      I think you should just admit that you're completely against nuclear power in any form whatsoever, the subject is closed to you, you're not willing to discuss it, let alone take the time to research anything mentioned; you're dismissing anything I'm saying out-of-hand without any hesitation whatsoever. It's like trying to discuss eating meat with a Vegan.

      ..oh and don't bother accusing me of 'not wanting to discuss all the reasons nuclear power is bad' or whatever permutation of that you might be considering retorting with. I'm one of the people who voted to shut down Rancho Seco back in the 80's for all the reasons you think nuclear power is bad. But I got over it.

  120. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The primary material outputs of petroleum burning engines are water and CO2, both of which are 100% recyclable. They don't even have to be transported to a recycling center.

    So you're relying on the existence of matter to assert it can be recycled?

    Ooh, sorry, ChrisMaple, you failed to do your science properly, because while they are certainly not removed from the universe, the truth is that you can't directly recycle it into gasoline, or fossil fuels. At best, you can hope some of it is recaptured into the biological cycle, and that still doesn't get you useful petroleum. Unless you have a few million years to wait. And even then, it's not likely to work out, due to changing conditions that cause most plant matter to be digested now.

    Sorry, but the fact is, you would have to put significantly more effort into recycling gasoline exhaust than recycling batteries, and even then, you'll most likely work with Ethanol instead. And use whatever hydrogen and carbon falls into your lap.

    And that isn't even factoring in the effects for the other things that come out of your exhaust. Lots of fun stuff in there. Those too have a cost.

    PS, Jerry Pournelle didn't originate the concept of space-based solar power. Isaac Asimov did it before him. Not sure if A Step Further Out credited Asimov, been a while since I read it.

  121. Re: Incorrect! by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    You are just nitpicking. It is obvious to everyone who isn't an imbecile that 100% clean energy is physically not possible. Hence clean energy means "far cleaner than fossil fuel". And this is what counts, because waiting for a perfect solution that might never come while continuing to use a bad one is worse than continuously updating to a slightly better solution.
    And besides, IC production is very much the same "nightmare" as photovoltaic production but I see you posting on Slashdot, using a lot of semiconductor technology in the process. Looks like a double standard from here.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  122. Re: Incorrect! by bobbied · · Score: 1

    Cleaner than Fossil fuels eh? In what way cleaner?

    Natural Gas is clean, nearly squeaky clean actually. The worst part is getting the wells punched and the distribution pipes buried. After that, you are pretty much going to get CO2 and water as a byproduct of energy production.

    OH... I'm guessing you mean CO2 emissions means it's dirty.... Which is a whole pack of lies and points to what I consider an unfair description "Clean Energy" in trying to advocate we not use fossil fuels. "Clean Energy" is more of a PR campaign than reality or even a possibility. Which, if you read between the lines on my posts here, is my actual point.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  123. Re:Incorrect! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Your borders are nothing more than global Jim Crow. All people have the right to live where they want. It's time to force all the bigots to accept that. Those that don't should be bombed into oblivion.

  124. Re:Incorrect! by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

    Or we could make road users pay 100% of the cost of the roads instead of less than half, and find out if people still prefer to drive.

    Only if you're going to remove the benefit of the roads from those who don't directly use them, so no food/shopping that has been trucked. I'm guessing these people you're talking about don't ever get taxis or buses either or order take out or anything like that.

    --
    Wanna buy a shirt?
    https://www.redbubble.com/people/stealthfinger/shop?asc=u
  125. Re:Incorrect! by Ichijo · · Score: 1

    So if road users paid 100% of the cost of the roads, we wouldn't have roads?

    I think you need to think about that one a little more.

    --
    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  126. Re:Incorrect! by Ichijo · · Score: 1

    Did you know that before we started massively subsidizing (socializing) the trucking industry, grocery stores used to have their own railroad spurs? True story. So capitalism can work perfectly well when we allow it to.

    "The trouble with Socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money." --Margaret Thatcher

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    Any sufficiently unpopular but cohesive argument is indistinguishable from trolling.
  127. Re:Incorrect! by stealth_finger · · Score: 1

    No, I'm saying people who don't directly use roads still benefit from them.

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