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In 18 Years, A College Degree Could Cost About $500,000 (buzzfeed.com)

An anonymous reader shares a report: People worried about college affordability today can at least take this to heart: it could get much, much worse. Tuition has been rising by about 6% annually, according to investment management company Vanguard. At this rate, when babies born today are turning 18, a year of higher education at a private school -- including tuition, fees, and room and board -- will cost more than $120,000, Vanguard said. Public colleges could average out to $54,000 a year. That means without financial aid, the sticker price of a four-year college degree for children born today could reach half a million dollars at private schools, and a quarter million at public ones. That's for a family with one kid; those with more could be facing a bill that reaches seven figures.

374 comments

  1. Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unless of course, states keep subsidizing this bullshit. It's time to end scholarships and let prices fall where they may.

    1. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by TWX · · Score: 1

      There's a problem with that. Education begets better employment, and better employment is going to be necessary when the kinds of employment that served the United States from the 1950s through the 1980s becomes less and less an option as those kinds of jobs are simply priced-out and sent to other countries.

      Unfortunately the only way to make this happen is to spend money somewhere in education. Right now we're seeing ballooning post-secondary tuition because far more people want to become students than there are places for them in classrooms. This desire for education has fuelled those for-profit "colleges" that have been so problematic like ITT and University of Phoenix, and states, where the burden for state-run colleges and universities is supposed to fall, have not committed the kind of money needed to establish enough state schools or to keep the tuition down to affordable levels. Many states are arguably in violation of their own constitutions as some require the state to provide affordable education so that even the poor can go to school. Many states are even railing against paying enough for K-12 education, and then wondering why their law enforcement budgets are constantly needing fresh cash.

      If you want to fix the high costs of education, you've got to increase the supply.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    2. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by sr180 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      For that price, Each student could literally have a professor simply teach them at home full time and get a better education.

      --
      In Soviet Russia the insensitive clod is YOU!
    3. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ctilsie242 · · Score: 2

      The ironic thing is that this is just a US problem. The German student has his education paid for by the Fatherland. The Chinese student, similar. It is only the US that forces student loans that can't be dumped in any way.

      If the US were a farm, it would be out of business in a year... even the dumbest person in agriculture that if you want a crop harvest in the fall, you have to plant seeds in the spring.

    4. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The German student needs to perform well academically to get their free ride college education. Those that do not do well at book learning or are just general fuckups are forcibly steered to the trades.

      I'm ALL for standardized testing in America where it has true consequences for the student. But oddly enough, people like you who point out free education in Germany never mention that part...

    5. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Agreed. 6% growth without serious reform is unsustainable.

    6. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by TWX · · Score: 1

      The US already de-facto has this, the better you do in K-12, the better the options presented to you for post-secondary school choices. Class rank and standardized-test scores are weighed.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    7. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "Better options". A university is a university; tuition rates have no correlation with quality.

    8. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      And in the US, many people would be better off steered toward the trades. A journeyman plumber or electrician will be making good money during what would have been the college years and will continue to make even better money afterward.

    9. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not true. You should approach the finish line, of course, but it's not like you need to be Einstein. About half of everybody would be able to get a degree if they wanted.

      I graduated in Germany.

    10. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by sycodon · · Score: 1

      The number of students is not driving costs.

      Just go to any university during the week during the day and witness all the empty class rooms. At my son's campus, the school is pretty much deserted after 3PM.

      What's needed is a top to bottom audit of universities by an independent auditor. Odds are you will turn up all manner of activities and practices that would get people fired in the real world.

      --
      When Fascism comes to America, it will call itself Anti-Fascism, and tell you to give up your guns.
    11. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Just get rid of student loans. Scholarships and so on are fine - they work in numerous countries that don't have such expensive education costs since they tend to limited in scope and not unbounded.

      Student loans on the other hand, seem to be designed to increase the price of education. Remember US banks were just fine with loaning out millions of dollars to people with no income and no job to buy overprices houses, what do you think they are going to do when the government makes loans they make to students almost impossible to discharge. And the banks know the government will bail them out just like every other time if the shit really hits the fan.

      Of course colleges are going to be jacking up prices. As long as the banks keep loaning enough to the students to pay them. Why would they leave that money on the table - the student is the one who gets screwed not the college after all.

    12. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The German student needs to perform well academically to get their free ride college education. Those that do not do well at book learning or are just general fuckups are forcibly steered to the trades.

      And this is wrong how?

    13. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Nocturna81 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Perhaps because working in "the trades" isn't perceived as a problem in Germany and in fact is seen as a very good way to earn a living?

    14. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      The German student needs to perform well academically to get their free ride college education.

      What is your definition of "performing well academically"? Because unless I misunderstood the German tertiary education sector, if your statement is applicable at all, you need to set a very low bar for "performing well", basically to the extent of insufficient performance being equivalent to studying substantially longer than usual. I think it's more than one extra year of studies or something like that.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    15. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The US already de-facto has this, the better you do in K-12, the better the options presented to you for post-secondary school choices. Class rank and standardized-test scores are weighed.

      Not necessarily. I was misdiagnosed as being mentally retarded and spent eight years in special ed classes. I graduated the eighth grade with a college-level reading comprehension and fifth grade skills in everything else. I never went to high school. After two years in the construction trades, I enrolled in the community college as an adult and took four years to get my A.A. degree in General Education. Although I transferred to the university, I got kicked out the following year because I was tired of school and played too much Magic: The Gathering card game.

      A decade later I went back to community college to learn computer programming, taking two classes per semester and working 80 hours a week as a video game tester. Five years later I got my A.S. degree and made the president's list for maintaining a 4.0 GPA in my major.

    16. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      At my son's campus, the school is pretty much deserted after 3PM.

      That's fairly typically for most schools. If night classes are taught, classes are between 6PM and 10PM. The time between 3PM and 5PM is when most teachers and administrators are having meetings.

    17. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So in Germany the deciding factor whether you have a college education is your brain.
      In the US your (or rather, your parents') wallet.

      I can't help it, the German model still sounds more sensible and viable.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    18. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Quite the opposite, if ANYONE can get in and your budget is not dependent on parents' willingness to continue paying you, what comes out of your uni is usually a lot better in quality. Because you have zero incentive to keep the duds in the game just 'cause their parents are pumping money into your diploma mill. On the other hand, you have all the incentive to get rid of as man of the (many, many) idiots as possible so you can spend your resources on the students that are actually worth it.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    19. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      Germany tried education partially paid by the students and that student loan crap between 2000 and 2010 or so thanks to the overabundance of free market fundamentalists in the government. The result was a miserable failure and now they (the tutution fees and some of the free market fundamentalists) are gone. Good riddance.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    20. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      That's fairly typically for most schools. If night classes are taught, classes are between 6PM and 10PM. The time between 3PM and 5PM is when most teachers and administrators are having meetings.

      Isn't that exactly the type of wasteful behavior which attributes to higher costs? If for instance classrooms were at 50% utilization for two hours between 8-5, just because everyone is doing meetings at the same time, you could reduce the number of classrooms by 10% if you simply spread meetings throughout the day.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    21. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      Education begets better employment

      Maybe in some cases, but you said that as an absolute, in which case it is a false statement of sentimentality.

      True education adds value to life, not just employment. Not all education is suited for employment.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    22. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Still, it's WAY different than in the US. Over here in Europe, nobody is holding your hand. Find your courses, find out where you're supposed to be when or as much as anyone there cares, get run over by a bus.

      If there's one thing you learn at uni over here it's organization. Either you know how to get shit done when you have a degree over here, or you know how to make others do your work. So you're perfect for tech or management positions. :)

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    23. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

      from all the stories i've heard of Europe there are a few national universities and one or two city universities in each city. doing well academically means you ace the junior or senior year exams that make the SAT look like a play date

      my guess is something like the top 20% of the students go on to college and the rest you GTFO school, learn a trade and do whatever you can and unlike the USA you're forever locked out of the jobs that will require a degree from a good school.

      in the USA you can go to an average city college, get straight A's, study your a$$ off for some graduate school entrance exam and get into a top law or medical school. or graduate from an average school and work your a$$ off at work and work into a high paying job that may usually need a degree from a top school

      most CEO's in the USA today didn't go to the top schools for their bachelor's degrees but worked their way up

    24. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 2

      20 years ago, I went to a school that was ridiculously expensive for it's time ($25k a year- I had scholarships or I wouldn't have gone), I witnessed all kinds of waste. They did publish where they spent money though so it was obvious where there was waste, I bet they don't now. They keep asking for money donations, but I remember how they wasted it when I was there- no chance in hell I'm giving them more money now.

      A simple 3ft brick sign that cost $50,000 (this in a school of only 2000 students- so that was $25 per student for a sign). Sports lost $10million a year. (we weren't a big state school that had leagues of zombies descend on our every game- but we spent big on sports- and no one who attended the school cared or watched. $5000 a year per student lost on sports. That's 20% of our tuition went straight to paying for a bunch of fat kids in helmets and padding to grab each other's bum 13 games a year. (OK, they had other sports besides the American Football, but I'm sure they got the lion's share).

      Then we would have speakers like Pat Conroy (multiple a year) come speak to the school (at $20,000 each for a speaking gig). Sure, it was interesting, but worth the money when you would only have a couple hundred students show up to any given event? The school spent $100 for each kid that bothered to show up to each of those events.

      When it comes down to it- from that $25k a year probably only half actually got spent on learning. I'm not sure what they waste the money on these days now that everything has skyrocketed in cost. I imagine Presidential manors are a lot more glitzy. There are probably more $50,000 brick signs up too.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    25. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

      no, just like for a lot of kids in the USA now it's having parents with enough money to get you tutoring and make you do well in school

    26. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      You know, that's actually not a bad idea!

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    27. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1

      I'm ALL for standardized testing in America where it has true consequences for the student.

      I am against standardized testing of student. But not for the reasons you might think.

      1) Standardized testing isn't about students, it is about educators.
      2) Standardized testing is a holdover to standardized education (Industrial). We are no longer in industrial society, and our ancient educational processes need updating ... big time
      3) Standardized testing fails because it doesn't affect grades, so by the time kids reach Jr High, they stop caring and don't even bother trying

      In short, Standardized testing looks good on paper, but fails in real life. Or, as my dad used to say ...

      In theory, theory and practice are the same. In practice, they are not

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    28. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The problem is that while other countries implement social policies to improve society, in America social policies only exist to funnel money to the wealthy. For example, America spends more on socialized health care than other countries while only providing it to like 20% of the population, while other countries are able to cover 100%. Where other countries are provided free higher education to all their citizens (and very affordable or often free to non-citizens), America just gives special loans to students while allowing costs to balloon out of control. Our military spending is a joke - despite spending the same amount as the next 20 countries, do you think we're as powerful as those 20 combined? Or even 5? No, it's primarily a handout back to those who give bribes to our politicians. Instead of offering rehabilitation or support for criminals, America just throws them into a sort labor camp / criminal training camp, causing the cycle to continue forever. Instead of programs to help poor or disadvantage people, provide free birth control, provide mental healthcare, and help get on their feet and find them jobs, we shut down family planning clinics and toss them some free money -- and then deride them for it.

    29. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      Isn't that exactly the type of wasteful behavior which attributes to higher costs?

      When do you expect the janitors to clean up the classrooms? From the campuses I've been on, 3PM to 5PM is when the janitors are cleaning up the classrooms.

      [...] you could reduce the number of classrooms by 10% [...]

      Classrooms or classes? I don't expect many administrators are eager to take a bulldozer to reduce classrooms. Classes are dependent on enrollments and each class requires a minimum of 20 students to qualify for state funding in California. When healthcare became the new money major after the dot com bust, I couldn't take some programming courses because I was the only one who showed up. The last three classes I needed for graduation were taken as independent studies classes (i.e., self-taught at home).

    30. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by will_die · · Score: 1

      If you want the free experience that you get in Germany then go to your local community college. Most offer degrees of multiple levels and are free or nearly free.
      Also there are plenty of other methods to pay for the non-community college experience be ISAs, agreeing to work at some location for a period of time or public service. People enter into those loans because they of the financial benefits they gain from them.

    31. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      from all the stories i've heard of Europe there are a few national universities and one or two city universities in each city. doing well academically means you ace the junior or senior year exams that make the SAT look like a play date

      If this is your definition of "doing well academically", then it doesn't apply for tuition-free studies in Germany. Or rather, it's obviously a sufficient but not a necessary requirement.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    32. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think the point of the comment is that in Germany, the government decides if you go to college or not based on test scores, it is not free to all those who knock on the university's door. In Germany, you are put on either a university, or vocational track around 14 years old. There are other countries that have similar systems. It comes down to how much state control you want to have over the system. I am not sure this is something that the US culture would find acceptable.

    33. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      And in the US, many people would be better off steered toward the trades. A journeyman plumber or electrician will be making good money during what would have been the college years and will continue to make even better money afterward.

      Correct! Why do we think everyone has to have a college degree? Have higher entrance requirements, there will be fewer students, so government subsidies are more effective.
      Of course, in the USA, they think that the Free Market will solve all problems - just privatize all education, and surely schools will compete for even the dumbest students, right? The students just have to find the cheapest one.

    34. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by dunkelfalke · · Score: 2

      It is a bit complicated. After passing the 12th grade (that is only available at the most advanced types of schools) one can study at an university of applied science. Then there is a certain final exam (das Abitur). Used to be available only after passing the 13th grade and a lot of qualifications during the 11th-13th grade, but a few years ago the secondary school was capped ad the 12th grade. This final exam is the entrance exam to a German university (there is a lesser form of it that requires only one foreign language but it only allowes studying a limited set of fields and only at certain universities). Then at the university there can be entrance limits, so only these with a very good score at that exam will be able to enroll, others would be put on a waiting list for several years.
      That exam is no joke and even though I have passed, I still occasionally have nightmares about it - almost 20 years later.

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    35. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      " Education begets better employment,"

      No. All it does is increase the minimum requirements for the same employment.

    36. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      Just get rid of student loans.

      This would do the exact opposite of improving access to higher education, which is the primary reason these higher costs are a problem in the first place.

      The rising cost of education is little different than the rising cost of health care, and one problem they both share is a lack of transparent information. The federal government has the ability to track the ROI for every college degree from every university. They could give a salary histogram for each university for each major. They could allow prospective students to see how A student do in the workplace vs C students. They could see how students from a $200k+ household perform vs students from a poorer household. Armed with a true ROI, students could actually price shop for colleges.

      Potentially more importantly, banks armed with this information could set interests rates more appropriately. Interest rates for engineering majors would likely be different than for philosophy majors. The government could subsidize certain majors if they felt it was in the public's best interests, but once again it would be transparent.

      The idea that the market can be efficient without a decent level of public information is just silly.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    37. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 4, Insightful

      In the US your (or rather, your parents') wallet.

      No, the real problem is that the government backs student loans in the US and has essentially no criteria for denying anyone a loan. You're a D student and want a $50,000 loan to study Underwater Basket Weaving? No problem! And the university will absolutely let you in because you're bringing that $50,000 check.

      And since you're not really equipped to tell the difference between a quality education and a mediocre education, and it's all pretty well fine anyway (an undergraduate education is pretty much the same reasonable quality at any given state university), you're making your decision about where to go based on the amenities. When I went to college 20 years ago the dorms were little better than minimum security prison cells and the parking authority was run out of a double wide trailer. Today at my alma mater there's a shiny new glass and steel building for the parking administration and the dorms look like condos and there are two "wellness centers" whatever the fuck those are, and the rec facilities are top notch, etc. They've turned the schools into luxury education resorts.

      The education isn't any different, but it costs 4 times as much. The only way to end the cycle is for the government to stop giving students so much "free" money, but that will never happen because the University Industrial Complex will nuke any politician who tries as being "against education," and since I'm sure "low income and minority students will be hit hardest" they'll call you racist to boot.

      I think the way the education bubble will actually pop is this. "Everybody knows" a diploma is next to meaningless because if you show up with enough money and stick around long enough you get one, and it doesn't mean you actually know the subject. Young people are especially aware of this, and that you can educate yourself just about as well on the internet these days. Someone from the generation that understands this is going to finally get a hiring position at a major company and is going to say "no, we don't want people with college degrees. I want someone who's educated themselves because they knew the college system was a scam. We're going to implement a system to find and hire these self-starters because they will be better employees." This will become all the rage and while that won't do anything about some professions where you MUST have the sheepskin (medicine, law) it will absolutely lay waste to the diploma mills.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    38. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      from all the stories i've heard of Europe there are a few national universities and one or two city universities in each city. doing well academically means you ace the junior or senior year exams that make the SAT look like a play date

      my guess is something like the top 20% of the students go on to college and the rest you GTFO school, learn a trade and do whatever you can and unlike the USA you're forever locked out of the jobs that will require a degree from a good school.

      in the USA you can go to an average city college, get straight A's, study your a$$ off for some graduate school entrance exam and get into a top law or medical school. or graduate from an average school and work your a$$ off at work and work into a high paying job that may usually need a degree from a top school

      most CEO's in the USA today didn't go to the top schools for their bachelor's degrees but worked their way up

      You seems to be saying that Europeans who don't go to college can never go to college. You also put WAY to much stress on where the degree is from.

    39. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by acoustix · · Score: 1

      There's a problem with that. Education begets better employment

      That's always true. It's true sometimes. It's true when the education is needed to fill a void in the current workforce. This is constantly changing.

      When Education is sought for something that doesn't get better employment it could possibly hurt the person if they can't afford it. And if this is done in high enough numbers then it could hurt the entire society. In 2013 only 27% of US graduates had job related to their major. That seems like it could be a lot of wasted money, doesn't it?

      If there are 3.7M students that graduate every year and the average college cost is $15k/yr (based on public college costs, private is more than double). That's $55.5B/yr. Think of all that student debt that is created that bogs down the economy. Students are essentially graduating with a home mortgage. If they don't get a decent job soon after graduating they can be financially devastated.

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    40. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You completely failed to read the other half of the post, didn't you?

    41. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If your parents are poor and you get a state subsidy for your cost of living, *then* you have to show your progress every semester.
      Attending the university usually costs a nominal amount per half year.

      So if you can support yourself e.g. with a part time job, you can study as long as you like without ruining yourself financially forever.

    42. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You take 8th grade tests that determine where you are headed for the rest of your academic career (unless you work your ass off to change course later):

      Hauptschule - Going into the trades (which is not a bad thing, but you're not getting a free college education)
      Realschule - Could go a few different ways - more highly skilled trades, management of a trade business, or potential university education (depending on performance)
      Gymnasium - On-track to go to free-education University, if you do well on your graduation tests.

      As I said above, I LOVE the German education system. Standardized tests that matter? YES. Emphasis on the trades as being a respectable alternative to college/university? YES. Absolutely bring it to America - just don't water it down like every other Americanized thing (there should be no participation trophies).

    43. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ravenshrike · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Bingo. The education establishment alongside the Department of Education in this country since at least the 80's has pushed college as the be all panacea with those unable to make it into college as some sort of fuck up. Trade schools have been consistently sneered at.

    44. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And yet, it works in Germany (where they have a MUCH more effective education system than the US, by almost any measure). So how is it that they (and the Finns, and the Japanese, and the Norwegians, etc.) can use academic performance to determine whether or not a student gets a state-ride education, but in America the special snowflakes can't possibly be judged academically?

    45. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Having uniformly high academic standards across all institutions is probably illegal in the US under disparate impact jurisprudence.

    46. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      And yet numerous countries don't use private bank loans to fund tuition and somehow have just as good access to higher education.

      And the topic is lowering costs, right? Not improving access?

      While that data would be great to have it won't actually do anything. People already take out loans to do college degrees that are obviously not worth it in terms of ROI (they may well be worth it by other metrics of course). Since the loans are almost impossible to discharge banks are still going to make those loans for degrees that won't have a positive ROI for the student - they still get their paid after all and get a bailout if somehow they don't.

      The idea that the market can be efficient when risk is artificially removed or reduced is just silly.

    47. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      When do you expect the janitors to clean up the classrooms? From the campuses I've been on, 3PM to 5PM is when the janitors are cleaning up the classrooms.

      Time for janitors to clean was not part of the original argument, so it wasn't part of my comment. Having every classroom empty for cleaning for one hour between 7am-9pm would not be very difficult or wasteful.

      Classrooms or classes? I don't expect many administrators are eager to take a bulldozer to reduce classrooms.

      Of course they aren't eager to reduce classrooms, and without any price controls they don't have to do anything uncomfortable now. That is what needs to change. Classrooms may not be demolished, but construction of new classrooms could be reduced.

      Classes are dependent on enrollments and each class requires a minimum of 20 students to qualify for state funding in California. When healthcare became the new money major after the dot com bust, I couldn't take some programming courses because I was the only one who showed up. The last three classes I needed for graduation were taken as independent studies classes

      When this happens there are too many colleges with too many majors. Another sign of waste which could be addressed. There will be exceptional circumstances from time to time, such as suddenly reduced enrollment in majors during an upheaval in that industry, but improvements can still be made.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    48. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      If you want the free experience that you get in Germany then go to your local community college.

      While that use to be the case it no longer is. Over the past year and a half I took 3 courses at one of the local technical colleges that is part of the MNSCU system. The system has 2 tuition tiers, the 4 year university plus advanced degrees schools tier, and the community and technical college tier. The community/technical college tier is substantially cheaper (about half) per credit than the university tier but it is by no means cheap like it use to be. For example 17 years ago I paid just under $100/credit at a state university in that system. Last fall I paid about $180 per credit at a technical school in that same system. While that may not seem like much of a difference it actually is consider that 17 years ago I would have paid $40-$50 per credit at that same technical school. So over the last 17 years tuition has risen by close to 4x the cost but even in inflation adjusted dollars it would still be around 3x the cost. To make matters worse most of the people who would benefit from the additional education have only seen a ~40% wage increase ($5 something an hour to now $7 something an hour) and that doesn't take into account inflation. The American higher education system is broken when it comes to costs.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    49. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

      At that price it would likely be more than the professor would be making at a university as well. Typically when I was in college you typically spent 16 hours in class/lab a week for 8 months of the year. Here one would expect 40 hours of education a week for 12 months of the year (well maybe 11) so it seems like it would be substantially more beneficial.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    50. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      When this happens there are too many colleges with too many majors.

      Then closed all the law schools, as this country has a glut of attorneys who can't find jobs.

    51. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by cayenne8 · · Score: 3, Informative

      Have higher entrance requirements,

      If you do that, you will automatically be branded a racist for daring such heritical talk.

      Doing anything in the US these days, based solely on merit of ones abilities, especially with regards to upper education...is racist and/or sexist in nature.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    52. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by acoustix · · Score: 1

      That's always true.

      I didn't type that correctly. I meant to say "That's not always true."

      Ugh. Need an edit function...

      --
      "A plan fiendishly clever in its intricacies"- Homer Simpson
    53. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "This would do the exact opposite of improving access to higher education, which is the primary reason these higher costs are a problem in the first place."

      So you're saying that universities would rather go bankrupt than reduce prices to a level people can afford without loans?

    54. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      And the topic is lowering costs, right? Not improving access?

      You lower costs to improve access. They are a linked problem. If rising costs weren't limiting access to college, it wouldn't be much of an emergency.

      And yet numerous countries don't use private bank loans to fund tuition and somehow have just as good access to higher education.

      Only if they have more publicly funded education. I agree that if college was as subsidized as the rest of the industrialized world then student loans would not be necessary.

      While that data would be great to have it won't actually do anything. People already take out loans to do college degrees that are obviously not worth it in terms of ROI (they may well be worth it by other metrics of course). Since the loans are almost impossible to discharge banks are still going to make those loans for degrees that won't have a positive ROI for the student - they still get their paid after all and get a bailout if somehow they don't.

      Insinuating there is no incentive to pick a good major because your loans may be eventually discharged is disingenuous. In most cases you need to be having financial hardship for decades to discharge your loans. That certainly isn't a great situation to be in.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    55. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that universities would rather go bankrupt than reduce prices to a level people can afford without loans?

      It isn't like they would have a choice. The number of universities we have now was first dependent on large government subsidies, and as they slowly deteriorated the schools became dependent on government backed loans. Without either of these there wouldn't be enough students who could afford a Bachelor's level of education. You may see more community college and trade school level schools prop up, but I could easily see at least half of all universities failing with the overall level of education lowering.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    56. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Archangel+Michael · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      but in America the special snowflakes can't possibly be judged academically

      Because systemic "Racism", "Sexism", "Genderism", "Homophobia", "Transphobia" ... basically anyone that is not a white male has "societal discrimination" in their favor, so we must accommodate.

      --
      Agent K: A *person* is smart. People are dumb, stupid, panicky animals, and you know it.
    57. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      It's certainly true that the bottom-of-the-ladder universities would probably go bust. But the others would find ways to cut costs so more people could afford degrees. Because otherwise, they'd be joining them.

    58. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by JeffOwl · · Score: 1

      Sure, for "good" schools. There are a number of schools in the US you can get into where the only requirement is that you can find a way to get the money. They'll pay lip service to very basic "qualifications" like HS diploma or GED, but in reality they are not competitive.

    59. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      other 40 year old are already planning retirement. thanks for making adding burden on the social services when you are too old to be a video game tester.

    60. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by nedlohs · · Score: 1

      > Insinuating there is no incentive to pick a good major because your loans may be eventually discharged is disingenuous. In most cases you need to be having financial hardship for decades to discharge your loans. That certainly isn't a great situation to be in.

      I didn't insinuate that. In fact, I said the exact opposite of that.

    61. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are trying to make it sound like a bad thing that only people who actually have the required can enrol into taxpayer-funded university education. The US may be an exception, but in every other country I know of, universities require either a secondary school diploma of sufficient level, or an entrance exam. Nothing wrong with that.

    62. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No. Because with jobs requiring more skill, and the cost of education rises to match said time to teach skills, the cost will continue to rise. Soon, advanced education will only be obtained by a new aristocratic class. Sounds familiar? It should. What's old is new again.

      Meanwhile, what to do will all those unemployed young men and women; that will eventually be a burden to the state? Not needed. Start a war and draft all non-educated men and women. That's what's next.

    63. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Which is, coincidentally, why Germany still has a flourishing manufacturing sector, with lots of small and medium-sized companies, often family-owned, that produce excellent and unique high-tech products.

    64. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 2

      other 40 year old are already planning retirement.

      I'm 47 and still have 30 years before I retire.

      you are too old to be a video game tester.

      The last time I worked as a video game tester was in 2004. I'm currently a senior system administrator doing InfoSec for government IT.

    65. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Because with jobs requiring more skill, and the cost of education rises to match said time to teach skills, the cost will continue to rise.

      What are these jobs that require more skill? Tech sector jobs, sure, but the bulk of jobs are not in tech. The reason you need a degree to get hired for a call center job is not because call center work has gotten so complex these days.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    66. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Have higher entrance requirements

      How do you measure how good a student is? I have a learning disability that makes it very difficult for me to do standardized tests, which almost exclusively test crystallized intelligence. I extremely strong in fluid intelligence. I was failing a Bio 101 class, went to talk to the teacher, got into a conversation about some advanced bio tech and the teacher was flabbergasted that I was failing. She said I seemed to understand these advanced concepts better than many of the masters and PHDs she was teaching. I told her, I do poorly with anything that tests my knowledge, but I excel at anything that tests my understanding.

      One of the difficulties of even testing fluid intelligence is when you start to get into my range, you need customized tests. Fluid intelligence is very difficult to measure and is actually very uncorrelated with any reliable form of testing outside of a few sigma of the median. Many very intelligent people are complete idiots outside of their strengths.

    67. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The quality of the education at a US community college is not in any way comparable to a German university.

    68. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      I went to a large private university, and know for a FACT (I worked for one of the deans as a student assistant & screened his email for him) that they intentionally admitted students whom they knew were dumb as rocks, but had wealthy parents. Why? They were profitable. They paid full tuition, never went to class (making class sizes appear smaller for all but the first week and final exam), and added very little to the workload of professors (because they never did their assignments).

      In the real world, there are basically three scenarios in American Universities:

      1. University admits dumb students with wealthy parents: smart kids get small classes with real professors.

      2. University only admits smart students: smart students pay a lot more, and classes are either small and taught by grad students, or large and taught by real professors.

      3. University only admits smart students while holding down tuition (ie, state schools): classes with 200-300 students taught by grad students showing pre-recorded video lectures.

    69. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by grahamsz · · Score: 1

      Your comments about what dorm rooms were like when we were in college really shows a lot of parallel with the healthcare cost issue.

      I really feel that hospitals have become a race to the top. There isn't any option round me where you can stay in anything other than a private room. Some places might not have a mountain view, but even those are hard to find.

      Education is generally paid by parents or your future self and healthcare is usually paid by insurance. In either sense you aren't really paying for it in a way that you can make a rational decision about.

      I feel like the government could deflate the bubble if they wanted to. Simply keeping limits on the amount of money you can borrow at a federal level and making private loans discharge during bankruptcy and they could probably reverse the growth in tuition rates.

    70. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      But oddly enough, people like you who point out free education in Germany never mention that part...

      Because it's completely irrelevant. The dumbest of the dumb shits still get their education paid for up to the level of their understanding. This idea that everyone should go to college is the second most absurd thing in the world behind the idea that only the rich should go to college.

    71. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      I feel like the government could deflate the bubble if they wanted to. Simply keeping limits on the amount of money you can borrow at a federal level and making private loans discharge during bankruptcy and they could probably reverse the growth in tuition rates.

      I agree, they could do it, because it's really just a problem with policy and perverse incentives. But the instant a politican proposed changing these rules the media would start hunting around for poor brown people to shove in front of a camera. "If these evil new anti-education rules go into effect then poor Jaquarius here will be shoved out of school and onto the streets to be raped and murdered by klansmen or whatever." You're talking about trillions of dollars worth of debt slaves here. Nobody's going to just let that go.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    72. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      The only way to end the cycle is for the government to stop giving students so much "free" money

      I think gifted students should get however much "free" money they need. We should means test the money. College shouldn't be for people who can pay but people who can think.

    73. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by usuallylost · · Score: 2

      I recently had a discussion with a contractor doing some work in our offices. I basically had to escort the guy all day. He was lamenting how difficult it is to get apprentices. He says he tries to make people understand that once you make journeyman you can make a decent living as an electrician and once you make master you can earn six figures. You learn a lucrative trade without incurring one cent in educational debt and they pay you from day one. According to him, they typically have something like half the number of apprentices they'd like to have. Which is causing the average age of their employees to get older and older. At his shop, he says most of the staff is 50+ now. Assuming the reality is anything like what he is describing it seems to me that there is a real need for better vocational training. It also occurs to me that the guys who are apprentices today are going to make a fortune when all these older guys retire and there are half as many skilled electricians around.

    74. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      We should means test the money. College shouldn't be for people who can pay but people who can think.

      Then you're going to wind up with far less money for blacks and hispanics than whites, asians and Jews. The media will never mention the asians and Jews, but if you try to implement your plan get ready to be called literally double mega Hitler.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    75. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by grahamsz · · Score: 1

      I know, but in many ways it's so much *more* fixable than housing bubbles or healthcare costs. This could be righted relatively easily and even in a true free market model. Just letting student loans be discharged in bankruptcy would be popular with the general public and would set enough market forces in motion to drive down the cost of tuition.

      As a european living here it's astounding to me how badly people are failed by the government while at the same time having some weird irrational fear of what a "government of the people" is able to do.

    76. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      It might be worth considering getting a degree from a European University, maybe spend 3 years there and then come back and enroll for a masters back home.

      --
      Nullius in verba
    77. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Kobun · · Score: 1

      This man is doing good work - http://profoundlydisconnected....

    78. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck the 40 y/os planning for retirement. The planet isn't going to make it past the next 4 years anyway

    79. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by prefec2 · · Score: 1

      Instead of finanzing Mord military the US could actually make colleges and universities tuiton free and support students directly so they can pay for rent and food. Yeah I know a crazy idea. It would make all this stipeniums meaningless and poor/black/other minorities could study, but that would be socialism and does not work. Never. Expect in Europe but hey they suck big time. They do not even pay the US /sarcasm

    80. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by TWX · · Score: 2

      If you intervene educationally at a Pre-K level and during K-12, you do a lot to equalize the playing-field across lines that historically have seen a lot of variation across different groups.

      Trouble is, it's expensive to start early Pre-K at three where the kids are actually subject to a real curriculum, and it's expensive to run after-school programs for those kids in all-day school once they hit kindergarten or first grade. Unfortunately it's also expensive to not educate children in these age groups, as reflected by our jail and prison populations.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    81. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by TWX · · Score: 1

      How long does it take to go from apprentice to journeyman though?

      One big problem in a lot of places, including the trades and also in some kind of academia, is that those who are already in the trade or discipline are competing with those entering it, so those already in may have little incentive to promote apprentices. It's even worse in music in a lot of places, I've known musicians that were very talented and graduated with degree who couldn't find work because the professors themselves already filled the orchestras and had connections to the orchestra management. Student graduates and can't find work.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    82. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "To make matters worse most of the people who would benefit from the additional education have only seen a ~40% wage increase ($5 something an hour to now $7 something an hour) and that doesn't take into account inflation. The American higher education system is broken when it comes to costs."

      Too bad they don't have some programs which might assist students with low income. Some type "aid" program with the finances involved. They could call it. "student financial aid".

      Why hasn't somebody thought of that???

    83. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The answer is for states to only subsidize degree programs where there is a clearly defined job market...in that state.

      Virtually nobody should be going to school for psychology at this point. It's very interesting...but it's worth a minor. There is no job market for people with that major. If you want to major in it, you need to be paying for that.

      The US attempted to shift this responsibility to people with student loans, "If you're sure you can pay this back."

    84. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe we should rely much more on MOOCs, using them as pre-training classes, and if you pas the online class, then you go to the physical class with a lab and the teacher as mentor for that.

    85. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ChrisMaple · · Score: 1

      There are many more highly competent classical musicians than paying jobs in classical music. Many end up working conventional jobs, playing other sorts of (more popular) music weekends and at special events.

      --
      Contribute to civilization: ari.aynrand.org/donate
    86. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by argumentsockpuppet · · Score: 1

      I did this. Before I understood reality, I thought a college educated person could "downgrade" to a trade. There was a man who came to my high school and tried to tell us what a person who excelled at a trade could do versus someone who was ill equipped to attempt a college degree. He tried to tell us that somebody practiced and educated with a trade could be more successful than someone who attempted something diverging from their talent. I didn't understand then. I'm a little more mature now.

      If you're good at something, do that. Don't let society tell you it's not the right choice; do what you love and excel at it.

    87. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by cayenne8 · · Score: 2
      I don't know that throwing money at it will help, as that the problem is for many of these kids, their parents don't give a shit about getting them educated, or the culture in those neighborhoods, is that if you're trying to gain an education, you're trying to "be white", and that is found upon, etc. Socially, the culture they cultivate is almost in many cases, anti-education.

      Money won't solve that, it has to somehow be a group mind think change.

      --
      Light travels faster than sound. This is why some people appear bright until you hear them speak.........
    88. Re: Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Just get rid of student loans."

      I'm 100% in agreement with this. Or at the least, require some real vetting on the part of the borrower.

      My sob story? Grew up in a shit home with druggie, narcissistic parents so I spent most of my free time taking care of my siblings. However at my small rural high school I was in the top 10% of my class, had a 3.5 GPA, an ACT composite score of 29 and took community college classes and advanced math.

      It was trivial to borrow large sums of money thanks to Federal student loans, and I did all the paper work myself. Now I'm indebted to the tune of $70,000 with a "low paying" job (relative to my incurred debt) because I was completely unprepared for the real world outside of my nurturing high school. I went for engineering but was overcome by severe depression leading to substance abuse. The university was no help, and did nothing to stop me from borrowing more money, even when it was very obvious I shouldn't have been there and was trending toward academic suspension.

      I work a manual labor job now that's a refreshing change of pace, and my life is better then it ever has been before. I've kicked the bad habits and make a surprisingly good wage - a better wage then the poor suckers that graduated with a four year degree in liberal arts. But nothing like if I had achieved even a BS in engineering. Right now my student loan repayments are 35% of my income, and that's on the maximum term length of 25 years.

      It would have been smarter to pay cash instead, and take a couple courses a semester while working. Sure it would'veâ takenâ -me- longer, but I'd have adapted and gained a more solid education. Instead I fell into this awful dark hole of repeated failure, because of the powerful echo chamber that is the university. It preys on young, poverty stricken individuals who lack self confidence by providing no way out of the loans, but also no extra help to succeed and graduate. It's ridiculous that with all the money a student spends they can't go slightly out of their way to reach troubled students.

      -fp

    89. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Tijaska · · Score: 1

      Brick and mortar colleges are pricing themselves out of the market. Computer aided instruction can be delivered as an individualised program to students in their homes. A lot of testing can be done through multiple answer questionnaires, and computers could grade those. It would cost a tiny fraction of the current product.

    90. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      Isn't that exactly the type of wasteful behavior which attributes to higher costs? If for instance classrooms were at 50% utilization for two hours between 8-5, just because everyone is doing meetings at the same time, you could reduce the number of classrooms by 10% if you simply spread meetings throughout the day.

      It doesn't work that way. The reality is that students are used to being in school from about 8 to 3. They tend to resist taking classes much past that time, and by college, they tend to resist taking classes before 10 as well. Realistically, you get about five good hours during which you can teach classes, and the more classes you schedule outside those core hours, the more students will cram into the classes within those hours, so you just end up with very imbalanced sections that make it harder to teach.

      And it isn't just momentum, either. Lots of students commute to their university, which means early and late classes don't work. Parents (both college students and faculty) have to pick their kids up from school. Students have part-time jobs to pay the bills. And so on.

      Finally, it isn't practical to just say, "We're going to spread classes evenly throughout the day", because students need time to actually work on their homework. And that time needs to be during the day so that they can use campus facilities such as computer labs, tutoring centers, etc. It simply isn't practical for the entire day to be used for instruction, because it costs money to operate those other facilities, too, and you'd end up having to cover the cost of extending their hours dramatically if you extend the core hours for classes, which means significantly increased staffing, which ends up costing more over the long run than adding one or two extra rooms to a building.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    91. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by bluegutang · · Score: 1

      Employers need some way of distinguishing between applicants (besides interviews, which are incredibly unreliable).

      Employers used to use IQ tests for this. But this is now illegal, since minorities tend to score lower on IQ tests, so it was seen as discriminatory. So employers started using college degrees as an indirect measure of intelligence.

      So the question is: what system are you going to use that's at least as predictive as a college degree?

    92. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Again, I can't complain about ours. Understaffed and underfunded as they sometimes are, they are also the epitome of "university". Think Harry Potter, just with less magic. But same old walls and creaking wooden stairs.

      "Wellness resort" isn't quite what I'd think of when I think of our universities. We don't have dorms in the US sense (there also isn't really that much of a "campus", that idea is still quite new around here), but when I think of the student halls that exist throughout the university towns... let's say you're lucky if the windows keep the rain out.

      No, they won't keep the wind out, what do you think this is, the Hilton? Get another sweater if you're cold, the heating gets fixed in Summer. Didn't say which Summer, though.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    93. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Wow. Well, healthcare here is nearly certainly paid for by your insurance, and that's exactly the reason why you're stuffed into a room that might have a window (usually pointing at some other building) and fed grub that makes you WANT to get well soon to replace it with real food as soon as you can.

      Then again, we have one mandatory health insurance, if you don't like it, sucks to be you.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    94. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      So ... Europe is still Nutsy-Land? Because that's basically the reality over here.

      Your money is meaningless here. Your brains count.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    95. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      A Magic 8 ball?

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    96. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by sabbede · · Score: 1
      You also have to look at demand. The overarching idea that college is so important that everyone should go is just plain wrong. How many people go to college only to leave with massive debt and a degree they never actually use? For many, if not most, college is simply an expensive waste of time. The idea that modern jobs require it is wrong. College is not job training, it's higher education. It is not a solution to a changing employment landscape, that's vocational education.

      We need to accept that not everyone benefits from college, not everyone needs college, and not everyone should go. College used to be for the smarter students who could make use of it. Now it's been reduced to high school+, dumbed down for students who shouldn't be wasting their time there and probably won't make it to a second year.

      I'm more concerned with artificially inflated demand than I am with supply.

    97. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by sabbede · · Score: 1

      Germany has vocational training and apprenticeships for students who don't belong in college. They don't waste their time and financial future studying things that won't get them work, they're making money.

    98. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by LostMyBeaver · · Score: 1

      Out of curiosity, are you asking poorly formed questions or are you just copying Donald Trump and randomly making shit up with no real knowledge of what you're talking about assuming someone will fact check and correct what you said for you?

      P.S. I recommend doing some research to find out what the job position CEO actually means and also looking up what Europe is.

    99. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by LostMyBeaver · · Score: 1

      You're going to become a project for me.

      In the US, you have resources like Khan Academy, you have chat channels, you have endless resources available to find assistance with your academic needs without resorting to paying anyone. I haven't heard of any school systems in relatively populated areas that don't have free and generally good quality assistance programs to help kids who ask for it.

      Talking with school teachers in the US, there seems to be a fundamental difference between Europe and the US. In Europe, if a child does poorly in school, it's the burden of the parent to ensure that the student does better. In the US, if a teacher gives a bad grade to a student, the teacher knows that the parents of the child will be sending mails, making calls, etc... to argue with the teacher regarding the grade.

      This is a shortcoming in the US system which says that if you don't get perfect grades throughout your entire primary and secondary schooling, you should expect to ask "Would you like fries with that?" for most of your professional career. This is because you will not have access to good financial assistance via grants, loans and scholarships if you don't have a totally flawless childhood.

      Here in Norway, kids don't even get grades until they start in middle school and then, the first two years of getting grades doesn't really count other than placement in later grades. If you spend most of high school drunk and delinquent, when you're done, you can do a year in the military or two years in civil service, get assistance from the government with college prep and then move onto other careers.

      It is actually far more difficult to get into programs for trades following a misspent youth here than to get into the university. A few tests is all it takes to get into the university here. If you pass those with sufficient grades, they'll give more or less anyone a shot. Trades however tend to start education in the 10th or 11th grade and if you miss your chance when you're that age, getting into a program that can assist with an apprenticeship can be difficult.

      As for universities in the US, anyone with enough money that can pass an entry exam can go to a junior college. Of course, most of Europe (so far as I am aware) don't have junior colleges. It's university or bust. And while you're not likely to be admitted to study to become a doctor after a certain age, most other options are in fact available to you.

      This is simply because the government (at least in Norway) will do pretty much absolutely anything to help you into higher tax brackets.

    100. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by LostMyBeaver · · Score: 1

      Agreed.... honestly, for that price, why not hire a tutor and get 30 hours a week of personal training and assistance to become a master at a topic?

      Best part is that as jobs dry up, it will create more jobs.

      Of course, there's the issue that often times, different educational tracks require expensive equipment.

      Also, it would seriously impact the student's ability to work as part of a project.

    101. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      So ... Europe is still Nutsy-Land? Because that's basically the reality over here.

      You don't have nearly the minority grievance industry there that we do here. There are people who whose entire career is "find anything in which black people don't have a success rate proportional to their representation in society and make it a literal federal case."

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    102. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      See, that sounds great. That's what we need here. And we kind of used to have it, but then the runaway free money cycle.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    103. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Then you're going to wind up with far less money for blacks and hispanics than whites, asians and Jews.

      And why do you suppose that is? Treat the underlying cause rather than fucking the system up for everyone. Everyone deserves an education, regardless of colour, and their education should only be limited by themselves.

    104. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Oh, the people exist here, too. We just didn't gave in to guilt tripping.

      You see, we eventually got sick of the whole "we know what you did last world war" guilt tripping. It's kinda hard to pull that stunt again with us now.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    105. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      And why do you suppose that is?

      The proposition was "gifted students should get however much 'free' money they need." Average IQs in the US by racial group are:

      Blacks: 85

      Latinos: 92

      Whites: 100

      Asians: 106

      Ashkenazi Jews: 115

      Standard deviation is 15 for everybody. If you're going to call "gifted," say, 130 IQ, then you've only got to be 1 standard deviation above the mean for your race if you're a Jew to count, but 3 standard deviations above the mean if you're black. That's really rare. So if you're giving free money to the gifted, that's going to go disproportionately towards Jews, whites and asians, not blacks and latinos. If you attempt to enact such a program you will immediately be called out as a racist and your political career likely ruined. So it's unlikely such a program will be implemented.

      Treat the underlying cause rather than fucking the system up for everyone.

      The underlying system is called "biology." It's nobody's fault. Except maybe our ancestors. If 50,000 years ago your ancestors left Africa and moved to colder/harsher climates, then you lost an awful lot of great^n uncles and aunts or ith cousins jth removed because they weren't smart enough not to eat their seed corn in winter. But your ancestors that survived were smarter on average. If your ancestors stayed in Africa, though, then no real selection pressure against the less intelligent combined with regression to the mean resulted in little change in group IQ.

      How do you fix this underlying system? If you can figure out a way to raise people's biological intelligence you'll win a nobel prize and save the world, so, have at it.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    106. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      You see, we eventually got sick of the whole "we know what you did last world war" guilt tripping. It's kinda hard to pull that stunt again with us now.

      I don't know about that. Have you seen the state of Germany?

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    107. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      The state, maybe. The people, less so.

      Don't confuse anything Merkel says with the general opinion in the country. They have very little in common...

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    108. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by TWX · · Score: 1

      That's part why the after-school programs. If the parents are actually working and stuck in crappy jobs with hours that make it hard to be together as a family, the after-school program makes it a lot easier to influence the kids after the school day has ended.

      There's no perfect fix, no magic bullet. Doing nothing is worse than doing something even if not every kid can be influenced.

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    109. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So what you want is more socialism.

    110. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The underlying system is called "biology."

      The data you presented doesn't support that, seeing as Asians and Jews placed higher than whites. The Jews originated from the fertile crescent, not the harsher Europe. "Asian" also spans from northern China that can be just as cold and harsh as Europe, or in the south where things are relatively nice and calm.

      The data would fit closer to a curve of how devoted that demographic is to Christianity.

    111. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ctilsie242 · · Score: 1

      I know I'm being contrary, but what is wrong with the trades? Even here in the US, a plumber, HVAC tech, electrician, mortician, and other "humdrum" jobs are still ways to eke out a decent living. Even in recession times, people need their pipes fixed, their dead embalmed and buried, and so on. Germany teaching trades is still a lot better than what we have here in the US, where once out of high school, that is pretty much it for subsidized education.

    112. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by usuallylost · · Score: 1

      According to the sources I could find online it typically takes 4 years to go from a fresh off the street apprentice to a fully-licensed journeyman. At least in the area I am, in there is already a shortage so finding work shouldn't be an issue. I don't know about the other trades as I haven't talked to anybody but an electrician about it.

    113. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      I said Asians in the US. The smart asians came to the US. Asians in Asian aren't that smart. I also specified Ashkenazi Jews. They're the far north tribe that was in Poland, Russia etc.

      The data would fit closer to a curve of how devoted that demographic is to Christianity.?

      What is correlation, and how is it related to causation.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    114. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I said Asians in the US

      And you also talked about people moving around 50000 years ago. If how Africans moved 50000 years ago is relevant to IQ scores of Africa Americans in the US, then so should how Asians and Jews moved 50000 years ago. 50000 years is well before Ashkenazi's had their diaspora.

      And as I said, Asia and Mesopotamia aren't that much colder/harsher.

      What is correlation, and how is it related to causation.

      That's the point, genius. You the one claiming a correlation about IQs and migration patterns 50000 years ago. I'm the point pointing out that not only does your data not demonstrate the correlation you want to show, but that it more accurate fits other - albeit ridiculous - correlations.

    115. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So if you're giving free money to the gifted, that's going to go disproportionately towards Jews, whites and asians, not blacks and latinos.

      No I'm giving free money to the gifted. There's no point in putting someone who fails through university. All that does is result in crap graduates, a devalued degree, and create a general demand for even more education or in the worst case create a general demand for a degree that is not needed. This forces people to get degrees for basic jobs that don't need them.

      The underlying system is called "biology."

      Wow I thought you were having a go at me for being racist. But okay, let's ignore you calling people of other races dumb, that doesn't mean you need to "fix" the problem at university. Fix the problem in the general school system before they get there. School is for everyone. High education is for the gifted (note: NOT the privileged)

    116. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      No I'm giving free money to the gifted. There's no point in putting someone who fails through university. All that does is result in crap graduates, a devalued degree, and create a general demand for even more education or in the worst case create a general demand for a degree that is not needed. This forces people to get degrees for basic jobs that don't need them.

      When you enact this system, the result will be little money (proportionally) for blacks and latinos, and more money (proportionally) for Jews, asians, and whites. Al Sharpton and Van Jones and Maxine Waters will be calling you a Nazi so fast your head will spin. Your solution is politically impossible while the race baiting left exists.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    117. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by sydbarrett74 · · Score: 1

      Precisely. Policy wonks here in the USA would do well to study the Mittelstand phenomenon in Germany and adopt an American equivalent.

      --
      'He who has to break a thing to find out what it is, has left the path of wisdom.' -- Gandalf to Saruman
    118. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      But that's before entering the university system, right? I though the claim I was responding to was about maintaining grades while already at university, or the financial repercussions of it. That even in Germany you need to pass entrance exams seems not unusual (although my gymnasium's Abitur, or rather Abitur's Czech version, was definitely a joke - or I just didn't have to do a lot of work for it, and my uni entrance exams were waived because of my math and physics olympiad results).

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    119. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      That's interesting. What is the difference between Realschule and Gymnasium these days in Germany? Here in Bohemia, "Realschule" is simply a Gymnasium that starts earlier (around the sixth grade of the elementary school). There's theoretically supposed to be no difference in quality of education but since it starts several years earlier with the same, presumably higher-quality teachers than you get in last years of an ordinary elementary school, it seems to rank slightly higher and talented people get into a university preparation school earlier this way.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    120. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ebvwfbw · · Score: 1

      The schools realized that they could charge more. People were having fewer kids and paid off mortgages to plunder. So kick up pay to the President/Chancellor, heads of departments... and so on. Some College presidents make more than a million - for what? Nobody is there to stop them. They just do as they please and people coming in pay it.

      The other consequence is we have too many educated people. Some fields you have to have more than a 4.0 coming from HS. If you transfer with say a 3.8, forgetaboutit. You're already screwed. I remember the joke back in the 1980s. Lost your engineering job, go to McDonalds to flip burgers. The manager laughs at your BS in EE. He has Masters cleaning the tables and PhDs flipping the burgers.

      Nobody seems interested in holding colleges accountable for the money. They spend whatever they want. Money grows on trees.

    121. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Your solution is politically impossible while the race baiting left exists.

      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.

      But I'm sick of writing the same thing over and over again so in liew of me replying again let me just reply to your next comment in advance:

      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.
      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.
      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.
      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.
      My solution is employed by most of the western world and much of the eastern as well.
      Your problem is solved by raising the education standards for the disadvantaged at a lower level.

    122. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Those "places in the western world" don't have a permanent racial grievance industry.

      The idea works in theory. It does not work in practice because the demographics of the USA are not the demographics of Norway.

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    123. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by grahamsz · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure where "here" is for you.

      Having lived in the US and the UK, I can tell you that there's a startling difference between the comforts of hospital care. I've never once seen a hospital ward in the US, every hospital i've been in here had a private room for every patient. The food, while not great, seems significantly better in the US hospitals that i've visited and the buildings themselves seem light, modern and generally well maintained.

      There are plenty of hospital buildings in the UK that still date to the victorian era, they've certainly amortized their costs over a long period of time but i can imagine they are fairly bleak places to spend your day You can of course pay for a individual room or even for an entirely private hospital in the UK, but the government doesn't pay for that kind of nicety.

    124. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

      Well, if the student gets Bafoeg - a kind of a half loan half basic income for poor students - then all exams at the university have to be passed on time, otherwise the money flow will stop.
      And Czech is difficult enough as it is, no need to make the exams difficult as well ;-)

      --
      "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
    125. Re:Yeah, the bubble will pop long before that by ranton · · Score: 1

      It doesn't work that way. The reality is that students are used to being in school from about 8 to 3. They tend to resist taking classes much past that time, and by college, they tend to resist taking classes before 10 as well.

      The tendency to not treat college students like adults and accommodate for this behavior with more wasteful behavior by the schools is yet another factor which attributes to higher costs. If that same student started working instead of going to college, their boss would not care that they are used to working 8-3. Colleges shouldn't care either.

      And it isn't just momentum, either. Lots of students commute to their university, which means early and late classes don't work. Parents (both college students and faculty) have to pick their kids up from school. Students have part-time jobs to pay the bills. And so on.

      Everything you said here is the same for a working adult, so no extra accommodation is necessary for an adult student.

      Finally, it isn't practical to just say, "We're going to spread classes evenly throughout the day", because students need time to actually work on their homework. And that time needs to be during the day so that they can use campus facilities such as computer labs, tutoring centers, etc.

      Spreading classes evenly throughout the day is not the same as saying every student has classes from 8-5. Students with 15 credit hours will still only spend about 15 hours per week in class, leaving plenty of time to hit the library or computer labs.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
  2. Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ...If you go to college for the right reason (knowledge).

    If you're going there for a job, you're in the wrong place. If you're going there for money, you're REALLY in the wrong place.

    Guess what institution has the highest publicly paid individuals in every single state? Keep using college for something other than education, and they'll keep using YOU.

    1. Re:Worth Every Penny... by neghvar1 · · Score: 2

      If you don't mind paying it off for half the rest of your life.

    2. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      [Worth Every Penny] ...If you go to college for the right reason (knowledge).

      How so? The cost of knowledge keeps going down. You're saying that charging more and more for a thing that keeps getting cheaper, is "worth every penny?"

      I think you've got it backwards. College is heading toward a situation where a high-paying job is the only way to rationalize the expense.

      If you're only there for education, you should probably be doing something else.

      Perversely, given the bad value it provides, if you're not using it to get a high-paying job, that might actually indicate you're a stupid person for being there. i.e. if you were smart, you'd have looked at the numbers and gone with a cheaper alternative.

    3. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >How so? The cost of knowledge keeps going down. You're saying that charging more and more for a thing that keeps getting cheaper, is "worth every penny?"

      Sure I am. If College represents good value for education, the price is right no matter what the price is. If it doesn't represent good value, then the college doesn't exist.

      >College is heading toward a situation where a high-paying job is the only way to rationalize the expense.

      Yet the results of a college degree (Guaranteed education with no boost in what job you will get, unless the job legally requires a degree, in which case a small boost) don't support that conclusion.

    4. Re:Worth Every Penny... by WrongMonkey · · Score: 2

      There is nothing that college can teach you that can't be learned on the internet for free. Every syllabus, every textbook, every lecture, every lab exercise... already at your finger tips. You are paying a college to provide certification of knowledge, not the knowledge itself.

    5. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      College degrees in a lot of fields are rather useless (See Women's studies, Journalism, and most Comp-sci/IT programs). In others, such as Engineering, Physics, nuclear medicine, and even a number of manufacturing jobs (I assume we aren't solely talking about universities and 4 year degrees), you can get a pretty good value. For example, this semester, we have a student who was hired by Tesla to work in Nevada, and they see both his time, and a SINGLE class, as worth the value to fly him round trip, weekly, to Detroit Intl. from Nevada.

      I believe that loans should be capped at the historic repayment value of people from that program. If your program does not enable people to get a job and succeed at paying off the loans, then over time the loans available will be reduced until the most a student can get is what they can be expected to pay back, forcing the program to either better prepare students for a job, or lower costs to keep having students who can pay. It also means that can rest reasonably assured that they can actually pay off the student loans, since they max out where you would on average be unable to pay it back.

      But it also means reducing the prestige of a lot of institutions, as you can't afford marble floors and grand offices when most of your student body can't cut you a check for more money per semester than they earn in a year.

    6. Re:Worth Every Penny... by geekmux · · Score: 1

      ...If you go to college for the right reason (knowledge).

      The problem with this bullshit is we soon won't need just a reason. We'll need 500,000 of them. And 30 years to pay for it.

      Personally, I hope the entire concept of paying an "institution" a fucking obscene amount of money for knowledge is what truly becomes obsolete.

    7. Re:Worth Every Penny... by jeff4747 · · Score: 2

      And almost every HR department in the country will throw away your resume if you lack that certification.

    8. Re:Worth Every Penny... by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Do fast-food joints and coffee shops even have HR departments? Because that seems to be all that most degrees qualify people for these days.

    9. Re:Worth Every Penny... by PoopJuggler · · Score: 1

      Not all colleges cost $500,000. In-state public colleges are still a good deal and worth the money.

    10. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're not paying for the knowledge. You're paying for a the piece of paper that says you know it.

    11. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm glad you said "almost every" because with only 1.5 years of college and no degree, I landed a great job with a major defense contractor, making a nice 6-figure salary. And yes, everything was disclosed to them up front, as it would have easily come up during a background check. Experience still trumps formal education in some places.

    12. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are tying education to jobs again. It should not be that way. This is like suggesting that someone's creativity is based on their income. They are completely separate ideas and as long as a job and education continue to go hand in hand, expect this situation to continue to spiral out of control.

    13. Re:Worth Every Penny... by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      Yes. And they will always take college graduates over people without degrees.

    14. Re:Worth Every Penny... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Correct. Colleges aren't selling learning or knowledge or education.

      Just taking and passing tests doesn't mean a student has learned anything.

      These days higher education is selling certificates. They are simply very expensive diploma mills.

    15. Re:Worth Every Penny... by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      ...If you go to college for the right reason (knowledge).

      If you're going there for a job, you're in the wrong place. If you're going there for money, you're REALLY in the wrong place.

      Guess what institution has the highest publicly paid individuals in every single state? Keep using college for something other than education, and they'll keep using YOU.

      That's all well and good, for those who can afford to attend for the quest of knowledge. Before the GI bill got involved as the thin end of the wedge, college was for those whose families could afford it, and those who couldn't just didn't go to college. Only the rich could afford to pursue becoming a "well-rounded" individual with a liberal-arts approach.

      I would argue exactly the opposite to your statement: that the only reason to attend college today is to qualify for a profession. If you can't see a real future career track as the potential payoff of your expected degree and your family is not independently wealthy, then attending college is a bad investment of your time and money.

    16. Re:Worth Every Penny... by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      Not all colleges cost $500,000. In-state public colleges are still a good deal and worth the money.

      Right now, yes, most colleges don't cost $500,000. The article is projecting ahead 18 years. Saying they are a "good deal and worth the money" is highly subjective; some academic tracks might be worth the money, but many are not.

  3. still a good investment by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    even at those prices, it's still a good investment for many degree programs

    for many other degree programs, it's never been a good investment

    this needs to be solved on the demand side, not the supply side

    1. Re:still a good investment by TWX · · Score: 1

      How do you solve it on the demand side when the demand for college is based on an ever-decreasing number of reasonable wage jobs that don't require a college education?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  4. That kind of pricing makes no sense. by olsmeister · · Score: 4, Interesting

    $500,000 invested wisely into a moderately aggressive portfolio at age 18 would make you extremely wealthy at retirement age. Why waste it on a college education that may or may not get you a job, and even if it does it will likely never earn you as much money as the original cost invested wisely?

    1. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      but the typical student isn't taking a lump sum of $500,000 and paying off the education immediately at 18 years old. He/she is going into debt with loans, and doesn't have half a million to spend on either education or a stock portfolio at that age.

    2. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because you have to live from something between your 18th birthday and your retirement?

    3. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Big+Hairy+Ian · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Get a degree in Robotics & Automation and in 25 years you'll be the only person with a job :D

      --

      Build a Man a Fire, and He'll Be Warm for a Day. Set a Man on Fire, and He'll Be Warm for the Rest of His Life.

    4. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by TWX · · Score: 1

      Because between 18 and 65 you have to eat and have to put a roof over your head?

      --
      Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
    5. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Why, yes, I took the $500k I earned from working retail during my high school years and did just that. I'll be able to retire by age 50 to the Bahamas!

    6. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Hognoxious · · Score: 3, Funny

      You should have chosen your parents better!

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    7. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're not living on the original $500k. You live on the salary from your trade job, with the added benefit of not having to save anything for retirement.

    8. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      $500,000 is not that much and you seem to forget that you can also lose money by investing. At the age of 18 you aren't the brightest chap either. Extremely wealthy also is not well-defined and you didn't consider inflation. Most pension funds are happy if they can keep up with inflation. Yet, you claim as a matter of fact that this is easy. There is a saying about people like you: A fool and his money are soon parted.

    9. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by DarkOx · · Score: 4, Insightful

      This is what subsidized guaranteed loans get you! It does not get you "access for all" it gets you steadily rising costs divorced from the rest of the market and inflation until even the state can't afford to "make college affordable." We are seeing the same crap going on in health care.

      The simple fact there is high percentage of people who if at 18 years of age with no assets are allowed to borrow 1/2 a million even at 2 or 3 percent APR, will never be able to return the principle let alone settle the debt. This uncontrolled cost structure will simply bankrupt our state and federal student loan programs.

      Quite honestly if someone at 18 could borrow a 1/2 million I would probably be better advice to lever in on capital investing in the form of stock portfolio than for education.

      The ONLY answer is to eliminate loan subsidies and force colleges to deliver an suitable education product at a price people can afford.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    10. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wow I did not know that apple stuff was that easy to move. Do you local pawn shops give a dam or just chumlee to high to do his job right?

    11. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I plan on specializing in building and renting out the inflatable thunderdomes families are going to need to pick which child gets to eat.

    12. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He's talking about over a period of 50 years. Investments rarely go down over that length of time, and besides, in such a situation, one is more likely to buy Index or Mutual funds, rather than individual stocks of companies that likely won't be around in 50 years. In fact, over any 10 year period, the market goes up. Chances are more likely than not that he will beat inflation.

    13. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Theaetetus · · Score: 1

      The ONLY answer is to eliminate loan subsidies and force colleges to deliver an suitable education product at a price people can afford.

      Make colleges liable for their students' loans if, say, 90% of the graduating class are not employed within their degree field within 3 years. That would force them to drastically cut admissions and start doing some economic forecasting.

    14. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      They need to fire or Jail the corrupt Chancellors whom jack up Admin costs an spend it on ??? profit ???

    15. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Not just subsidized guaranteed loans - subsidized guaranteed loans for private sector services. That bit is key. Anytime the government promises to pay people's cost for using a private sector service, the private sector will abuse it. Either consciously, by realizing there is lots of "free" money to be had and jacking up prices accordingly, or unconsciously so to speak (more people can now afford the service - demand goes up - prices go up).

      Government says - we'll pay for your college education at private (or even fully autonomous public) institutions - tuition goes up.
      Government says - we'll pay for your health care at private hospitals and clinics - health costs go up.
      Government says - you must buy car insurance from private insurers - insurance premiums go up.

      If the government wants to finance people's higher education, they have to control the costs. There are several ways to control costs. Some ways include controlling the cost on the university side - legislate tuition limits, university budgets, professor's salaries. Some ways include controlling costs on the student side - make the loans hard to get, set quotas on number of students per college that can enroll using government subsidies/loans (and the rest have to pay their own way with no government help). Successful public-funded systems around the world usually do at least a bit of both (but usually lean more towards one side or the other).

      The same can be said for other things such as health care. Making people buy health insurance (even with generous government subsidies) from private companies, without heavily (HEAVILY) regulating said companies is stupid. No matter how well-intentioned, it will cause unwanted possibly catastrophic side effects. You either a) essentially nationalize the medical sector and make all health care professionals state employees (e.g. NHS in the UK) b) allow private medical practices but nationalize the health insurance sector and have the government define and fix the price of each medical services and how often it may be performed per patient (e.g. OHIP in Ontario) or c) make people buy private insurance but basically define the price of the obligatory insurance package and heavily regulate and oversee the operation of the private insurers, including defining a maximum allowable annual profit rate for them (e.g. Switzerland).

      With education, some things are also cultural. There are degrees - usually the most expensive ones - which are well worth the cost (law, medicine, pharmacy, engineering, accounting, dentistry, etc.) - the rising cost of tuition increases the amount of time it will take for you to pay the loan back, but considering these professions have usually a 95+% rate of employment (in the field! not flipping burgers) within 2 years of graduation, you'll pay it back and be in the clear eventually. The problem is that people have been told that ANY sort of college education is a ticket to a higher standard of living, and are encouraged to get a degree in literature or sociology or gender studies instead of say, studies a skilled trade, even though a skilled trade will earn them more money (or the same salary once they have a job, but with a vastly higher probability of actually landing a job in the field). It's more financially lucrative to be a plumber than a historian, but people generally aren't told that. Keep in mind, getting a social sciences degree when 3% of the people were getting them was probably a ticket to a nice job (not as lucrative as a technical degree, but still well paid relatively), but is not when 30% of the people are getting them. If 50% of the people in a generation have some generic "business" or "commerce" degree, they will start at the same jobs their parents/grandparents could've started with with a high school degree - but saddled with a huge amount of student debt, whereas their antecedents started with zero.

    16. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That assumes a portfolio with a positive return.

    17. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's about the time when capitalism will collapse under it's own contradictions making money completely worthless

    18. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Found the guy who went for Sociology instead of Robotics. And yes, I would like fries with that. Thanks.

    19. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      but ahhhhhh, cutting education, ahhhhhhhhhhh

      Leftist morons can't see the forest for the trees. This won't be corrected until it burns to the ground.

    20. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by worf_mo · · Score: 1

      Actually, I work in industrial automation. I'm a software architect and developer by training, and I run my own small company doing work for the manufacturing sector. This requires me to dive into various disciplines that are outside of my core competencies, like electronics, mechanics, hydraulics, and specific manufacturing processes, and this is one aspect of my job that I really love.

      I know you were kidding with your "only person with a job"-remark, but having spent the past 16 years on production floors in industrial manufacturing plants I can say that it is true that a certain number of jobs have been replaced by automation. During this time, a certainly relevant number of jobs has also been replaced by outsourcing to other countries.

      On the other hand, new jobs have been created - someone has to design, construct, develop and maintain all this new machinery; interdisciplinary engineers, architects, automation developers won't have a problem finding a job; QA has grown in importance and headcount; and maintenance staff in factories has to have a fairly high level of preparation and expertise.

      Therefore I believe it is more important than ever that kids today get a solid and extensive education. What can be automated will be automated, and many other jobs will be outsourced to the "cheaper region du jour". But there are jobs that cannot be replaced any time soon.

    21. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Until you're forced to automate your own replacement.

    22. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I must have missed your posts where you run down mortgages, credit cards, business loans, corporate bonds, etc.

      The fact of the matter is that something like 2/3 of student loan dollars are completely unsubsidized. Do a little more math to realize that "average student debt" is well less than 1/3 of tuition costs. Do even a bit more to figure out that spending by a university per student can easily reach 2x tuition costs. (Yale, last I looked, spends $180K but tuition is only $42K per student.) So you're arguing that "subsidized guaranteed loans" which at best represent 5% of the entire market are the actual cause of rather than a partial solution to the problem of affordability of education? How exactly do you plan to "force colleges to deliver an suitable education product at a price people can afford"?

      "Insightful" these days.... *sigh*

    23. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The ONLY answer is to eliminate loan subsidies and force colleges to deliver an suitable education product at a price people can afford.

      One of these are enough. Many European countries have cheap or free university, and subsidised student loans. Then the loans work as intended, allowing access to higher education independently of their fathers wealth.

    24. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by n7ytd · · Score: 1

      Quite honestly if someone at 18 could borrow a 1/2 million I would probably be better advice to lever in on capital investing in the form of stock portfolio than for education.

      This is very insightful. We do our young people such a disservice with ideas like "college is always worth it, no matter the cost" and "follow your dreams and get any degree you like".

      Before allowing a teenager who has never balanced a checkbook or is able to handle the monthly commitment of renting an apartment to rack up 5- or 6-figure debt, we should be requiring some level of financial education, especially with a focus to cost/benefit analysis and budgeting.

      If mom and dad can't afford $500k for college, we should not be handing blank checks out to junior to spend any way they see fit on college, especially given the current trends to force the public to pick up the tab on defaulted or forgiven student loans.

    25. Re:That kind of pricing makes no sense. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This uncontrolled cost structure will simply bankrupt our state and federal student loan programs.

      Yes, I agree.

      The ONLY answer is to eliminate loan subsidies and force colleges to deliver an suitable education product at a price people can afford.

      Yes, indeed. Of course, we all know what will actually happen.
      Nothing.
      And it really will cost 500,000 for a degree that is nearly worthless in every way EXCEPT for getting a job.
      In the very long term, what it means is that employers will have to start looking at hiring people based on certifications and/or their own vocational tests instead of whether you borrowed hundreds of thousands of dollars to hand over to a already wealthy football and basketball institution

  5. Ridiculous Extrapolation by jbf · · Score: 5, Interesting

    This is a ridiculous extrapolation; doing the same to health care costs means that health care and education will each be several hundred percent of our GDP in 18 years.

    The cost of education is driven by the federal student loan program, the expansion of middle management, and the development of luxury dorms and gyms. I think it's transparent that such costs cannot continue to expand at the same rate for the next 18 years.

    1. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Sun · · Score: 1

      Where are the mod points when I need them?

      Yes. This exactly.

    2. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      People like to look at a trend and project it must continue forever.

    3. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by toonces33 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Federal loans are a small part of it. Many educational loans are private loans. And guess what - you can't discharge them in bankruptcy, so the lenders have very little incentive to not throw money at you.

      Some of it was caused by Mom&Dad being able to take out cheap home equity loans on their homes. The crash in 2008 kind of brought some of that to an end.

      A lot of schools have gotten into "amenity wars". To attract students, they build ever fancier dorms and facilities. And yes, it does attract, but at a cost. As long as there is no pushback from the potential students that the costs are too high, schools will continue to act like this.

      And finally, not every student pays sticker price. Many pay far less than that - it depends on family income.

    4. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by roman_mir · · Score: 2

      loans are guaranteed by the Federal government, the same government that works in tandem with the Federal Reserve Bank to create money out of thin air. Half a million in 18 years? Sure, why not, maybe sooner. In the free market the cost of education is falling, technology allows for cheaper ways to communicate and test knowledge. In the government world costs never go down, that's not good for the government for costs to go down.

    5. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by misexistentialist · · Score: 1

      Not that much of a stretch with some schools already over a quarter million. The Fed is pushing inflation towards 3%, and that alone will "stimulate" the bill over $400k

    6. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The "amenity wars" are paid for, in part, by mandatory fees, in a charge-it-forward scheme that is separate from tuition. This is how Ohio State University paid for the new recreation facility (with sauna) and new student union. And after new dormitories are built, schools increase on-campus residency requirements to multiple years.

    7. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by RogueyWon · · Score: 2

      I suspect administration is the biggest factor here, at least assuming trends in the US have been anything like those here in the UK.

      I still get the quarterly newsletter from my old college (usually accompanied by requests for donations of varying subtlety). What's been clear looking at these over the years is just how sharply the size of the administration function has increased since I was there. I did a quick and dirty estimate around 12 months ago, provoked by a particularly aggressive thrust of the begging bowl (I do actually make an annual donation, but never for as much as they want) and estimated that the administrative headcount had (at least) tripled in around 20 years.

      I'd be prepared to bet that many of those administrators are paid as well as, if not better than, the lower and mid-ranking faculty. There were a lot of job titles that included the word "director", usually accompanied by a bunch of nebulous words that told you little about what the person actually did.

      Luxury student accommodation probably pays for itself. Certainly, at my old college, the luxury accommodation they built is rented at premium rates to overseas students (typically Chinese or Middle Eastern) whose families can afford it and don't like the idea of their offspring roughing it.

    8. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Oswald+McWeany · · Score: 1

      This is a ridiculous extrapolation; doing the same to health care costs means that health care and education will each be several hundred percent of our GDP in 18 years.

      The cost of education is driven by the federal student loan program, the expansion of middle management, and the development of luxury dorms and gyms. I think it's transparent that such costs cannot continue to expand at the same rate for the next 18 years.

      Unless we find a way to get insurance companies out of health care it probably will cost more than our GDP to pay for health care each year. We will become ever greater in debt.

      --
      "That's the way to do it" - Punch
    9. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It doesn't matter. By that time, the earth temperature will be 200 degrees due to global warming. So there won't be anyone around to do the degree courses.

    10. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      I read a couple of years ago that student loans were then the largest source of new credit in the US economy. So the government had to keep the scam running in order to prop up the economy. So what if it financially crippled a whole generation of kids for life?

    11. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some of it was caused by Mom&Dad being able to take out cheap home equity loans on their homes. The crash in 2008 kind of brought some of that to an end.

      I know it's off topic, but FYI, those are coming back. Working in the banking sector, I've been hearing since last year that banks are starting to push low APR home equity loans again. A lot of online lending portals like LendingTree and personalized bank sites like Bank of America's are now advertising HELOC loans a lot more.

    12. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by ripvlan · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure it can be blamed on "easy credit" - it would be the same force that allows home prices to accelerate. But I agree that there is a lot going on at schools these days to pull in people who spend money. My alma mater has been building giant new "student centers" and condo-like dorms (which I believe are rented at full rate). Someday these giant buildings may become hulking run down castles.

      My father paid ~$2,200 / year at the same University in the 1970's. I paid $10k in 80/90's. And the current rates are $32k for in-state and $48k for out-of-state. About a 300% increase in each ~20 year span. I was able to pay for college with a part-time job over those 4, or 5 years ;-)

      I do believe that the extrapolation is a fair warning - but prices are set based upon what people can pay. For $500k to be true - our salaries will need to grow faster than the current 3%.

    13. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why can't people draw the same conclusion about housing prices? It's the same god damn thing.

    14. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      A minority of loans are guaranteed by the Federal government, the same government that works in tandem with the Federal Reserve Bank to create money out of thin air. Half a million in 18 years? Sure, why not, maybe sooner. In the free market the cost of education is still rising, technology allows for cheaper ways to communicate and test knowledge. In the government world costs rarely go down because even sensible, proven regulations are objected to by the libertarian fringe, that's not good for free-market wing nuts for costs to go down because it would give the government some credibility.

      I think that's much more accurate.

    15. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People like to look at a trend and project it must continue forever.

      I'm fairly certain that in this case, they are doing it to point out how ridiculous our current trajectory is, not that think it will really lead to that.
      Of course the current system will collapse, but before it does a lot of wealthy people will be made much wealthier at the expense of the rest of us.

    16. Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >A lot of schools have gotten into "amenity wars". To attract students, they build ever fancier dorms and facilities. And yes, it does attract, but at a cost. As long as there is no pushback from the potential students that the costs are too high, schools will continue to act like this.

      I've heard of some of those amenities at large state colleges, but those are still overall relatively cheap ($10k per year) despite the new construction.

      It's the $40k-$50k private schools that are really outrageous. It's even worse for the for-privates that charge private college costs for toilet paper.

  6. Wow! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's insane.
    Mi kids will be sent to the best college in India then....

  7. At that point, why even work? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    If you're going to spend the rest of your life paying off college debt... how much of the money you earn in your career (assuming you get hired) is actually yours to keep?

  8. wrong conclusion by ganjadude · · Score: 3, Insightful

    That means without financial aid, the sticker price of a four-year college degree for children born today could reach half a million dollars at private schools, and a quarter million at public ones. That's for a family with one kid; those with more could be facing a bill that reaches seven figures.

    This writer comes to the wrong conclusion. the rise in costs is related to the financial aid given.

    the more money the state guarantees that colleges will get paid (regardless on if its students are successful or drop out) is what causes the costs to rise.

    the solution is not even more money from the state (and the people via taxes) but to get the government out of it completely and allow the market to self correct

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    1. Re:wrong conclusion by XxtraLarGe · · Score: 1

      the solution is not even more money from the state (and the people via taxes) but to get the government out of it completely and allow the market to self correct

      But if they get rid of easy debt, then how are they going to be able to keep producing miseducated youths with no skills applicable to the real world that live out their lives as debt slaves?

      --
      Taking guns away from the 99% gives the 1% 100% of the power.
    2. Re:wrong conclusion by Shados · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Bingo. These are the kind of things where people are incredibly short sighted.

      "Omg, college is too expensive. We must help EVERYONE afford it!!".

      Except that like anything else, if you give 100% of the population X amount of money for a specific resource, the price of that resource now goes up by X.

      Then afterward we get the "omg, people are in do much debt, we should bail them out!". It's like, you caused this.

      I refuse to think politicians did not know it would go that way. This was just a result of the US political system. Since "free college" was not going to swing (because lol US), they just did "college via loans", followed by "think of our indebted graduates!", which is essentially the same thing, but more underhanded (and expensive).

    3. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You seem like the kind of guy who has no practical use for advanced critical thinking skills, so I can see where college probably isn't for you.

    4. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You people have ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA how much procurement waste and salary stuffing cronyism goes on at universities. Not to mention all that stupid footballing which does nothing but hand out degrees in violence and concussion and stark raving mad blind allegiance to non thought.

    5. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For private schools, yes .. but what about public universities? The government (and therefore the people) run them, they're setting the price. If they want to make it affordable for all, they have the power to do so.

    6. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I have a very good income as a senior engineer/programmer. My kids graduated with 4.3+ GPAs and I am footing the bill as I make too much. It's killing me. I drive a 2001 car and live in a POS house to pay for their college. My parents paid to put 4 of us through college and did not have to sacrifice like I am having to do.

      I keep being told they should be taking out loans and I am a fool for paying for them. I PROMISED THEM I WOULD PAY FOR THEIR COLLEGE WHEN THEY WERE BORN - 18-20 years ago.

      It is not sustainable. If it keeps increasing, yes, it will cost 250K for in-state tuition at a good school. Today, it is costing me over 100K for 4 years at an in-state college (in VA) for smart kids.

      I hope you can detect my frustration.

      Note: I only have 1 more year of college to pay for! YEA! FREEDOM!

    7. Re:wrong conclusion by meta-monkey · · Score: 1

      Do you think American universities are teaching "advanced critical thinking skills?"

      --
      We don't have a state-run media we have a media-run state.
    8. Re:wrong conclusion by idji · · Score: 1
      In the US the market will self correct to say only rich kids can go to college, we don't care about educating poor kids. There will be no fair chance for the underprivileged. A self correcting market always abuses the powerless at the bottom.

      either admit you don't care about the powerless masses or you do care about them, but don't believe that self-correcting is justice for all.

    9. Re:wrong conclusion by ganjadude · · Score: 1

      grants will still exist for those who do well and cant afford to get in, but the idea that everyone should go to college (and the government should pay for it) is wrong

      --
      have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same
    10. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That means without financial aid, the sticker price of a four-year college degree for children born today could reach half a million dollars at private schools, and a quarter million at public ones. That's for a family with one kid; those with more could be facing a bill that reaches seven figures.

      This writer comes to the wrong conclusion. the rise in costs is related to the financial aid given.

        the more money the state guarantees that colleges will get paid (regardless on if its students are successful or drop out) is what causes the costs to rise.

        the solution is not even more money from the state (and the people via taxes) but to get the government out of it completely and allow the market to self correct

      ... and who said potheads aren't smart. Had I mod points, yours they would certainly be. You're spot on.

    11. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      artificially setting prices either significantly lower than market or significantly higher than market (which fluctuates) only pushes the issue one step down the road. You eventually have public universities that cannot compete with private universities and end up closing.

    12. Re:wrong conclusion by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Since "free college" was not going to swing (because lol US), they just did "college via loans", followed by "think of our indebted graduates!", which is essentially the same thing, but more underhanded (and expensive).

      I largely agree but there is something very underhanded by the expression "free college". Say "tax-payer funded college for all" and yes, this should be cheaper and more transparent than the current mess. I'd argue it's a horrible, unethical idea (compared with liberty) but I'll admit that it's an improvement.

    13. Re:wrong conclusion by monkeyxpress · · Score: 1

      I don't think most politicians have the mental capacity to figure this out, but the people pushing the loans sure did.

      In the UK the same sort of dynamic has occurred in the housing market. Basically, poor people could not afford rent, so governments offered them housing benefits so nobody would live on the street. This does not create any new houses (the housing shortage is a different problem) so all that happened is rents went up for everyone, creating an outcry for more housing benefit. This cycle kept repeating until a jobless person in central London with a family can basically out-bid a couple on the median wage when it comes to rents.

      It is sort of comically bad now. The whole thing has become a giant salary harvesting scheme for landlords. A highly skilled person turns up in London, gets a well paid job, pays half or more of their salary to their landlord, and then half of their tax goes to their neighbours landlord.

      In the end this is how financialisation works. Financialisation can, at best, facilitate the creation of new goods and services, but we were able to do this quite successfully in the 1970-90s with much smaller portions of the economy dedicated to finance (and without the computers). When you get a bigger financial sector than is required to facilitate the development of new products and services, the sector can only generate extra profit by transferring income from productive members of the economy to itself. This sort of dynamic is basically consuming most western nations now.

  9. The question should be, why are costs rising? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Everyone seems to want to tackle this from the wrong end, with some nebulous plan to pay for peoples tuition. That doesn't solve anything, it just shifts the cost burden. I'd love to see an in depth study done on WHY universities continue to increase costs.

    I suspect (and my bias is obvious here) that a significant part of the increase comes from spending on athletic programs (a local university here just spent close to $10m on a new athletics complex, which was only half funded by donations and alumni - so $5m from the general fund to benefit a football team that's never been to a playoff game) and the funding of an ever increasing number of "scholarly" programs for those children who are expected to go to college but likely shouldn't (looking at you humanities and "business" departments)

    1. Re:The question should be, why are costs rising? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Cost rise because government subsidizes tuition with non-market, low interest loans. Cost rise because they can. This doesn't end well. Especially for the people who hold student debt, which is all of us.

    2. Re:The question should be, why are costs rising? by jeff4747 · · Score: 2

      Another source is the massive increase in the number of people employed as "Administrators" by colleges and universities. They used to hire students to help push the paper around. Not so much anymore.

      Also deans and other high-level administrators are being paid salaries comparable to private-sector C_Os, when they used to be paid far less.

    3. Re:The question should be, why are costs rising? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The amount of salary paid to these 'administrators' only accounts for a tiny percentage of tuition increase we've seen the last couple decades. This wage explanation simply doesn't add up. Plus, something like that would get exposed and corrected in the market quickly. The tuition problem is obviously the result of how the market is set up, pointing directly at how the customers fund their purchase.

    4. Re:The question should be, why are costs rising? by WrongMonkey · · Score: 1

      Deans have always had pay comparable to private-sector C_Os, because is essentially the same job. But private-sector C_Os used to be paid a whole lot less, too.

    5. Re:The question should be, why are costs rising? by jeff4747 · · Score: 1

      The amount of salary paid to these 'administrators' only accounts for a tiny percentage of tuition increase we've seen the last couple decades

      University Chancellor went from about $150k to about $700k. And that's only one position.

      This wage explanation simply doesn't add up. Plus, something like that would get exposed and corrected in the market quickly.

      There's this thing called "reality". You may want to investigate it sometime. It turns out, reality does not always match Econ 101 theorycrafting.

  10. In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by iamacat · · Score: 1

    A few skills, such as software engineering, can be already acquired 100% online. In two decades, VR will make majority of high education possible to acquire without human labor, or with help of professors from parts of the world with low cost of living. At this point, we will probably just fund the remaining costs like we do for K-12 schools.

    Oh sure, ultra rich will keep their private colleges with dorms, football teams and fraternities. These things will just be understood to have nothing to do with education.

    1. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by ledow · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I think you misunderstand education.

      Putting a bunch of people in VR-space with all the resources in the world generally teaches them nothing. Otherwise we wouldn't need universities, you'd just rent the books from the library and then pay the exam boards to sit your degree.

      Aside from the lectures, which are just by-rote education that could be replaced, you have to assess, understand, inspire, assist and generally be useful to the students. That's why the biggest expensive of education is generally staffing. Those Dr's, PhD's, Professors, etc. don't come cheap, and their time in teaching is limited (you buy them off by making them teach in exchange for being provided facilities and funding for their research).

      Given that, it's a human-hungry industry, resources are secondary. Almost all universities today publish their entire courses online, with all the materials and all the coursework. They were doing it when I did a degree almost 20 years ago (back then it was all on the FTP server, which everyone had a login to and quite a lot was available publicly).

      And you can't just assign twice as many students to the same staff, you would need to hire more staff, who all need to be educated too.

      If you think that any part of education is about providing reading material and then letting kids and/or adults just get on with it, you severely misunderstand how the world works.

      In fact, if anything, all those dorms, teams and frats are the anti-thesis of education and likely the first thing to go. No other country does the last two with any seriousness, for instance. You don't get to Oxford just because you're a decent rower.

      If anything, education's future is firmly in being available offline. Sure, you can do online degrees, but they are held in contempt for the most part. The online parts are secondary to the whole purpose and who's going to pay more than the bare minimum for them to reprint last year's PDF just to sit an online degree that's worthless?

      You can modernise it - providing video streams to an lecturer or assistant for one-to-one sessions, but you don't need less people, actually you need more to do that.

    2. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Let's not forget that the highest paid person at many universities is a football coach.

    3. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by iamacat · · Score: 1

      That's a nice point of view for the wealthy. For someone who is not making much money and needs training for a better job, the question is not "Does VR work", it's "How VR can be made to work the best it possibly can". There is no need for a PhD to teach college freshmen. In fact, they pretty much make graduate TAs do the work. And there are highly educated people in developing countries who will be happy to earn what for them is good money providing one on one online help when needed.

      Of course eventually there is a need for hands on work on real objects and certification. But we can pare that down where those who mastered virtual training travel to a specialized center for a week per semester while saving money by living at home for the rest of the time.

    4. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Frankly, this appears to be the first post that has a viable theory about why costs have risen and are expected to go up. The knee-jerk libertarian "oh no loans" is simply not it, though the explosion of administrative staffing is a tempting target. I'm just not sure how much you can lay at admin staffs' feet compared to the overall university budget.

      Adjuncts and TA's are already pretty miserable already, you can't humanely squeeze more out of them.

      I think it's hilarious that so many posters above want to say "you're distorting the free market due to loans" without the slightest recognition that something like 2/3 of student debt dollars are completely unsubsidized, each student and lender has willing entered into that contract, and, if anything, those loans are less-interfered-with than nearly every other debt across society in the sense that they are not dischargable.

    5. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "Otherwise we wouldn't need universities"

      But we don't need universities. Or, at least, we don't need them for more than a tiny fraction of the population.

      "Sure, you can do online degrees, but they are held in contempt for the most part."

      By people who believe a piece of paper is more important than what you can do. Fortunately, their day is coming to an end.

    6. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by darkstar949 · · Score: 1

      By people who believe a piece of paper is more important than what you can do. Fortunately, their day is coming to an end.

      Good luck getting rid of that piece of paper. What most people fail to understand is that there has always been some sort of verification of skills given when people moved from unskilled (i.e. apprentice) to trained (i.e. journeyman) that was recognized throughout a region. The piece of paper might be meaningless after twenty years when you have demonstrable experience, but good luck getting someone to recognize that any training you might have is worth something if you don't have experience to back it up.

    7. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no need for a PhD to teach college freshmen. In fact, they pretty much make graduate TAs do the work.

      totally ignoring what was just said, students need inspiration and guidance from actual successful people who are role models

    8. Re:In 18 years, a college degree will cost $0 by ledow · · Score: 1

      Again, only in the US.

  11. Won't get there by DeplorableCodeMonkey · · Score: 2

    The cost increases come down to a few things:

    1. An explosion in admin staff.
    2. A resort-like building and activity culture.
    3. A guaranteed flow of a lot of income via student loans.

    People leaving college with $100k in debt is already becoming a serious problem and the prospects are dismal for many majors. Political support is already turning slowly against universities and their culture for these reasons. If it gets to the point where $100k in debt is normal, you can expect a few things...

    1. The states will order state universities to aggressively address #1 through lay offs and requiring them to prioritize the academic mission over everything else.
    2. The federal government will simply stop supporting federally-backed loan requests for universities that charge an arm and a leg.
    3. At least some states, and possibly the feds, will start adopting anti-discrimination laws that punish employers who require degrees for reasons other than it being absolutely necessary to demonstrate knowledge and qualification.

    I expect #3 to happen earlier and hit the universities very hard. There are so many jobs where a degree is objectively not required or is at best only a loose correlation with being qualified that many employers will quickly drop that in favor of a demonstration of expertise. In the long run, that'd benefit society in general and ironically, I expect it would do 10x more to make our industry "diverse" than all of the diversity initiatives combined. Why? Because it would let a candidate for a HBC compete more easily with the graduates of the schools that big companies favor because they'd be scared shitless of being seen as favoring degrees over demonstration of knowledge.

    1. Re:Won't get there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1. An explosion in admin staff.
      2. A resort-like building and activity culture.
      3. A guaranteed flow of a lot of income via student loans.

      The first two are symptoms of the third, and the third is incomplete; grants and "scholarships" are a large fraction of that "guaranteed flow."

    2. Re:Won't get there by swb · · Score: 1

      If #3 happens, it will be a race-related claim initially and not be relief granted to the general population.

      I think the easier solution is to lower the bar for bankruptcy discharge of student loan debt or imposed reductions during bankruptcy.

      The devil will be in the details to keep it from becoming abused, but if lenders face increased risks on debt discharge they will end up loaning less money and force educational institutions to figure out how to charge less.

      Who knows, maybe lenders could consider taking some kind of underwriting interest in their borrowers education -- is the debt load in line with earnings prospects? How can we help borrowers to become better debt risks, such as employment assistance for unemployed borrowers?

      I also think the resort-like expectations of college students is crazy. I went to college in '85 at a well-funded state institution and you got a small box to share with another student and a locker-room style bathroom down the hall. These days, people expect a luxury apartment, private baths, and so on. I can't believe it.

    3. Re:Won't get there by DarkOx · · Score: 1

      There are so many jobs where a degree is objectively not required or is at best only a loose correlation with being qualified that many employers will quickly drop that in favor of a demonstration of expertise.

      I mostly won't hire someone without a degree unless they have lots of excellent work history, a name in industry etc. Why because trying to hire a 20 something for an entry level professional position often the first one they have held is hard. Even an entry level professional position is still a professional position. I don't want babysit this person and I don't want to have to pay some supervisor to stand over them and do it either.

      They are supposed to be professional they are supposed to know how to solve problems, following directions and procedures that have been laid out, locate other resources as required etc. Having completed college degree from a private college with a decent reputation or a major state university save for a handful across the country with a reputation of being the worst party schools strongly suggests this person can do that or will be able to after just a little mentoring. It highly correlated actually.

      --
      Repeal the 17th Amendment TODAY! Also Please Read http://www.gnu.org/philosophy/right-to-read.html
    4. Re:Won't get there by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Actual scholarships can't be more than 10, probably less than 5 percent of that total. Grants are part of the guaranteed flow problem.

    5. Re:Won't get there by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The cost increases come down to a few things:

      1. An explosion in admin staff.
      2. A resort-like building and activity culture.
      3. A guaranteed flow of a lot of income via student loans.

      Right on the money. Literally. Since I graduated, my college has invested in three major construction projects on campus: a new dorm, a campus center, and an administration building. That checks off all of your boxes (students, activities, and administrators) but has virtually no impact on academics. All of their academic expansion has come from off-campus graduate programs where the tuition is covered by employers and not student loans. Those need to be more efficient (employers are only going to pay so much for classes) and have no need for flashy extras. Expand that model to undergraduate degrees (either in leased space or online) and you have a cheaper option for getting a degree that omits the four-to-six year party that has become synonymous with college. But that will never happen as long as loan funding is effectively unlimited.

  12. Basic Economics... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's all Supply and Demand (and free money).

    When it comes to "Free Money", either have the federal government get out of higher education tuition as it artificially inflates the costs. Or make it where any university accepts public funding, they can not spend ~any~ funding on 'entertainment','athletics', or 'student life' BS. Maybe even get rid of federal funding of certain majors...

    As for supply, lower the barriers for accreditation. How strict some of the regulations are creates monopolies. Why do I need to go on campus to get a computer science degree? Please note, I'm not saying remove the accreditation system, but to modernize it and make it easier for new methods of learning to be applied. We should have low cost online degrees in practically every major that doesn't need hands on training. In Florida for instance, 10 years ago zero schools offered Computer Science Degree online. Now there is only 1. In the 5th most populous state in the country...

    Finally demand, not everyone needs to go to college. I went for a couple years, it was a complete waste of time, so I dropped out and started my own business. Sure not everyone has the drive or skills to do that, but the world (and the US) still needs trade school jobs. A good plumber makes as much as a mid level programmer in most of the US.

    $500,000 degree might come as a shock. ~If~ it goes that high (and inflation is not comparable) demand will decrease. Universities will feel the pain and start cutting back. Both in terms of budget and tuition. Sadly though, the neither political parties believe in free markets, so they'll keep signing away low interest loans to you sheeple that continue to go.

  13. Things will crash before that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I have no doubt students loan defaults will increase to critical levels sooner rather than later. As the old saying goes "The ends do not justify the means". The more graduates who do not see their incomes justify the large expenditure in student education. The more we will see them struggle with debt. I know some graduates struggling with upwards of 500 thousand in loan debt working at a job that required non of it. Talk about wasting away your potential lifetime income on student debt.
    Yet not enough is done to educate college students on weighing the investment in a degree vs to potential earnings they can achieve.

  14. Maybe foreign schools can do distance learning by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And everyone can get degrees from MIT. You know, the Mumbai Institute of Technology. It they are good enough for H1Bs, they should be good enough for home-grown employees.

  15. The social effects are much worse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The financial bubble that has been created is bad enough. But what I think is even worse are the social problems that it has caused.

    In the past, before these subsidies that distorted the pricing so horrendously, most students had to study something that brought real value. While a few dicked around in an abstract, rather useless subject like philosophy, most students studied science, engineering, mathematics, law, and medicine. These are the sorts of subjects that allow the students to, in the future, provide real value to society.

    But we've seen the opposite happen since this flood of subsidy money into education. We've seen entire degree programs built upon what would have once just been a course or two within a general history degree. We're talking about things like "Gender Studies", "Indigenous Peoples Studies", "Art History", and "Social Justice Philosophy".

    Those sorts of subjects provide no real value to society at large. They don't allow our economic productivity to be increased. They don't allow us to improve our health. They don't allow us to understand our world better. All they do is foment a sense of undeserved entitlement and a false sense of victimhood. The only "skill" that the students end up with after years of study is the ability to whine and bitch about irrelevant non-issues.

    For example, now society needs to deal with "protesters" who riot and loot any time that the police need to reasonably defend themselves with force when faced with violent attacks by criminal elements. Yet there's silence from these same "protesters" when black-on-black violence kills more people in a single weekend in Chicago alone than have been killed by the police over the past decade.

    So not only do people who want to study practical, useful and valuable studies end up having to pay egregiously high tuition, but society as a whole now needs to deal with a huge number of other students who have chosen to study pointless subjects that only turn them into angry little tyrants.

    1. Re:The social effects are much worse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      "These are the sorts of subjects that allow the students to, in the future, provide real value to society."

      I started as a philosophy major. I believe that major would bring real value to society. However, it wouldn't bring real value to *ME* which became an issue when I started to consider marriage and a family one day. I therefore switched my major to mathematics and moved in to a CS degree by the time I finished.

      Guess what? I continued studying philosophy and moved to history on my own. I actually managed to acquire a narrow expertise in 18th century North America which has brought me some work as well. Personally rewarding but not financially rewarding. It also didn't cost me anything I couldn't afford to pay for my self.

      Fun fact: You can get out of college debt free or with very limited debt by WORKING while you go to college, get your undergrad done at community college and spread your 4-year degree over about 8 years. You then get to start your life maybe 4 years later but without a decade or two of crushing debt.

    2. Re:The social effects are much worse. by Opportunist · · Score: 2

      But we've seen the opposite happen since this flood of subsidy money into education. We've seen entire degree programs built upon what would have once just been a course or two within a general history degree. We're talking about things like "Gender Studies", "Indigenous Peoples Studies", "Art History", and "Social Justice Philosophy".

      This is more of a problem than you even consider now. Because these people will hit the job market and realize that they are essentially unemployable. At the same time, how do I phrase that friendly ... people who study this as a major usually belong to a rather vocal group.

      In other words, just wait 'til there is suddenly a demand to create a law that corporations have to hire a "Gender Officer". I'd expect that to happen within the next 5 years.

      --
      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    3. Re:The social effects are much worse. by ranton · · Score: 2

      Fun fact: You can get out of college debt free or with very limited debt by WORKING while you go to college, get your undergrad done at community college and spread your 4-year degree over about 8 years. You then get to start your life maybe 4 years later but without a decade or two of crushing debt.

      While true, this is an overly conservative approach which is unlikely to benefit you in the long run (other than the community college part). Missing out on four years of earning college level wages, and losing four additional years of experience in your industry, is far more damaging financially than student loans.

      --
      -- All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. -- Edmund Burke
    4. Re:The social effects are much worse. by jeff4747 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Tip: Do not let your political beliefs filter reality.

      But we've seen the opposite happen since this flood of subsidy money into education.

      There is no flood. There is actually an anti-flood.

      Tuition at University of California schools used to be free for in-state students. Then UCs started charging "fees" that could easily be paid for by working over the summer. Then UCs started charging tuition....in the 1970s.

      That is the timeframe you claim a lack of subsidies caused people to get "good" degrees.

      Currently, UCs charge a pretty hefty tuition. So there are actually far lower subsidies today.

      Also, your claim about "useless" degrees is utterly false.

      First, all college/university graduates earn more during their lifetime. Including people with "Gender Studies" and "Art History" degrees.

      Second, we produce 70,000 more STEM graduates every year than STEM jobs are created, even after accounting for retiring of older workers. So that "good" degree you cite is frequently just as useful as a "Gender Studies" degree when it comes to economic and productivity increases. Because those people with a CS degree that can't find work will be working at Starbucks just like the Gender Studies students.

      For example, now society needs to deal with "protesters" who riot and loot any time that the police need to reasonably defend themselves with force when faced with violent attacks by criminal elements

      The 1960s existed. You might wanna take off the rose-colored glasses long enough to notice the riots.

      Yet there's silence from these same "protesters" when black-on-black violence kills more people in a single weekend in Chicago alone than have been killed by the police over the past decade.

      The people committing that violence are not hired by the government to perform that violence. In addition, they are overwhelmingly likely to be convicted, unlike police officers who kill unarmed people who are not threatening the officer.

    5. Re:The social effects are much worse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fun fact: You can get out of college debt free or with very limited debt by WORKING while you go to college, get your undergrad done at community college and spread your 4-year degree over about 8 years. You then get to start your life maybe 4 years later but without a decade or two of crushing debt.

      While true, this is an overly conservative approach which is unlikely to benefit you in the long run (other than the community college part). Missing out on four years of earning college level wages, and losing four additional years of experience in your industry, is far more damaging financially than student loans.

      Looking back I shouldn't even have had that part-time job when I was at university, it ended up eating a lot of time that would have been better spent studying and competing for the limited number of interships that where available during the recession. The small amount of money that I made during it barely offset the amount of loans I took out as well and had I succeeded at getting even one of those interships or co-ops I would have landed a better job sooner out of school and paid off the slightly larger student loans even faster.

      Two decades of crushing debt? My payments came out to less than $300 a month and I'm nearly done with them after less than one decade.

    6. Re:The social effects are much worse. by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "Missing out on four years of earning college level wages"

      But I thought Starbucks paid minimum wage?

    7. Re:The social effects are much worse. by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "Those sorts of subjects provide no real value to society at large."

      Not at all. Their value is entirely negative, as they have nothing better to do than 'protest' and demand new regulations, thereby actively harming the economy.

    8. Re:The social effects are much worse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "and losing four additional years of experience in your industry, is far more damaging financially than student loans"

      Who says that has to be the case? Get a job in your field. Part time if possible. I did. Actually gave up a job in an unrelated field making 2x what I ended up moving to so I COULD get the experience while in college. I'm sorry -- but the vast majority of college graduates don't jump in to a monster career after taking off their cap and gown.

      And if the entire argument about "crushing debt" can't be resolved by your 4 additional years of experience then my approach certainly is *NOT* damaging. I'm making over 100k per year and the only debt I have is my mortgage... and an amazon chase card with 5% cash back. Well... that card really doesn't have a balance on it but a fair amount of cash goes through it. Yay free money!

      Simple rules: Don't take a major that is unlikely to get you a job that will allow you to pay back your student loans without starving to death under a freeway overpass -- or take more than 10 years at double minimum wage to pay back. Dont take loans you'll end up paying back for a decade or more period. Sorry, you might *WANT* the college experience -- but the cost may be too much for you. Settle for community college + 4 year. Take 6 or 8 years to get done and be debt free. Your $50k art degree might have been great and enlightening -- there's just not a huge demand for museum curators or support staff (most of which are pre and post grads working for next to nothing).

    9. Re:The social effects are much worse. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "First, all college/university graduates earn more during their lifetime. Including people with "Gender Studies" and "Art History" degrees."

      So there's *NOT* a problem paying back their debt? Awesome! Next topic!

    10. Re:The social effects are much worse. by xession · · Score: 1

      First, all college/university graduates earn more during their lifetime. Including people with "Gender Studies" and "Art History" degrees.

      I'd just like to point out that those who have passed their college courses and received a degree are probably also more likely to be to self motivated and more intelligent than the overall average population. That likely has more to do with them earning a better wage than actually having the degree. Though, having the credential likely didn't hurt.

      The rest of your argument otherwise seems to make sense though.

    11. Re:The social effects are much worse. by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      In the past, before these subsidies that distorted the pricing so horrendously, most students had to study something that brought real value. While a few dicked around in an abstract, rather useless subject like philosophy, most students studied science, engineering, mathematics, law, and medicine. These are the sorts of subjects that allow the students to, in the future, provide real value to society.

      That's arguable. In our "anything that can be outsourced should be" culture, science, technology, engineering, and mathematics degrees are no longer guarantees of adding economic value, either. And not everybody is good at those subjects. In my experience as a college educator, forcing students to dedicate four years of their lives to a a subject that they hate just because it theoretically pays better after graduation is self-defeating. You end up with students that don't really want to learn the material, struggle to pick it up, and drag down the rest of the class as you try to help them keep up.

      Eventually, even medicine will be mostly automated. We'll still need nurses for a while, because robotic nursing is a genuinely hard problem, but doctors could basically be replaced by IBM's Watson and a glorified secretary today. Besides being an extremely expensive career to go into, the long-term prospects are bleak. So the question you have to ask yourself is this: Do we really want to live in a society of lawyers?

      Also, as others have mentioned, education used to be much more highly subsidized than it is now, even taking into account the availability of college loans (which are largely a more-expensive-to-the-student replacement for the government subsidies that used to exist). Yet people continue to choose those degree programs. Could it be that you're wrong about the value to society? Folks with degrees in the performing arts are guaranteed a menial income for the rest of their lives, but they're also doing something that they enjoy. When faced with a society of people who are getting more and more unhappy, given that happiness is a strong predictor of longevity, arguably those degree programs benefit society a great deal even before you consider that their creative output improves society directly. And many art history majors learn (either as part of their degree or on the job) how to do fundraising, which contributes greatly to the arts, and thus to society as well. AFAIK, there aren't degree programs specific to arts development in most places, so art history and music degrees are often as close as you can get.

      Now I'm not going to argue that I know the value of those other degrees you mentioned. I suspect that at least for now, they mainly qualify you to be a high school guidance counselor or maybe a politician, but that's just a guess. But in my experience, the job market creates interesting opportunities based on the availability of people with specific skills. If there are enough people with those currently low-value majors, somebody (maybe even somebody who majored in one of those fields) will come up with some interesting task that those students can uniquely perform after they graduate, and society benefits from the creation of those new areas of work and study.

      Finally, I would add that the purpose of college is to educate students for the sake of learning—to open their eyes to the world's possibilities. Its purpose is not to be a trade school. We don't need more cookie-cutter STEM majors who got their degrees because they pay better out of school. We need a society of people who appreciate the world in which we live, who find ways to do what they love and love what they do, who understand how to learn, who understand how to think for themselves, who understand that they live in a diverse world of people with different backgrounds, different interests, different cultures, and different perspectives. And that is far more valuable to society than being able to check "yes" in the box that says "I have a degree in science

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    12. Re:The social effects are much worse. by beastofburdon · · Score: 0

      You are assuming that the subsidies are directly given to the universities are what is driving the inflation, it is not.
      What is driving the inflation is the availability of massive loans to the students, along with large grants. Every time the size of the loan available increases the cost of going to school increases proportionally.

  16. in 20 years, it will all be online by goombah99 · · Score: 1

    While there is, I think some merit to studying in groups of colleagues and live interactions, the content of all college course taught by the best instructirs using a range of teach styles will all be online in 20 years. This will be the last generation to pay for college.

    --
    Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    1. Re:in 20 years, it will all be online by goombah99 · · Score: 1

      and by the way, in 20 years all typographical error spellings will we in the dictionary.

      --
      Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle.
    2. Re:in 20 years, it will all be online by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nope, in 20 years, you'll just pay $20 for a memory implant.

  17. Add zeroes, we'll all get richer by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's almost like a flood of infinite money causes prices to rise!

  18. Inflation adjustment? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I didn't RTFA but I'm guessing that number isn't inflation adjusted. I remember back when I was in high school (roughly 18 years ago) you could get 2 liter pops for about $0.60 pretty regularly, today it is more like $1.20 (roughly double). That's an inflation rate of about 4% per year, not too far from the summaries 6%. Welcome to a Fiat money based economy.....

  19. Agreed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    College costs are soaring for the same reason that health care costs are soaring: because the system is neither capitalist or socialist, but a combination of the two. When you combine the two, you don't get the best of both worlds as people assume; in reality, you get the worst of both worlds. Without even stating which system I personally favor, I propose that the two systems are incompatible.

    1. Re:Agreed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't know which one you favor either but I agree completely. If you look at the most screwed up industries in the USA in terms of Cost vs. Benefit for the consumer the worst offenders have significant government interference. Healthcare, Telecom, Insurance, Education.

      You never hear people complaining about how much their TV (the physical thing, not the content) or T-shirts cost because they are relatively unregulated. Supply and demand wins the day.

      The sooner people realize this isn't a socialism vs. capitalism issue but is a power vs. less power issue the better off we will be.

      I personally believe that the socialist side is worse because government concentrates power more completely (see both Obama and Trump admins and the laughable idea that they should "investigate and punish" their own misdeeds), more easily (all it takes is one election and you are handed the keys vs. the decades it takes to build a large corporation), and with less recourse (i.e. if 49% of people vote with their wallet the capitalist is harmed significantly while the politician isn't hurt at all). Concentrated power is the enemy and a capitalist-socialist system allows the socialists to "mean well" while handing the capitalists free money taken at gunpoint through taxes.

    2. Re:Agreed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Scandinavia...

  20. Yes, but they don't tell you... by bobbied · · Score: 5, Informative

    That a gallon of milk will run you about $20 and a tank of gas is $500...

    BTW, College tuition is only really going wacko because the government stepped in and made student loans so easy to get. I know of folks a decade ago who were borrowing money to go to school taking the maximum allowed while living at home. They blew all the extra money on lavish vacations and other junk and are now, faced with a mountain of unnecessary debt for college degrees of minimal value. Criminal justice and business administration just doesn't pay that well. Making college money easy to get makes tuition go up, but it doesn't always make people better educated.

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
    1. Re:Yes, but they don't tell you... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Making college money easy to get makes tuition go up, but it doesn't always make people better educated.

      Considering that they made the loans without any requirements on education level, or ability of the student once the degree was earned, that shouldn't surprise you.

      This just in, give away free money with no real strings attached, and watch as your public policy goal becomes secondary to greed first and foremost. In other news, water is wet. Film at 11.

      Define some quality controls if you want a different outcome or don't implement the policy. Anything less is negligence by the policy maker.

    2. Re:Yes, but they don't tell you... by geekmux · · Score: 1

      That a gallon of milk will run you about $20 and a tank of gas is $500...

      The 6% annual increase in tuition costs was clearly outlined, and we know that milk and gas have both not followed that rate of increase.

      I'd say they DID tell you. Right there. In TFS.

    3. Re:Yes, but they don't tell you... by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      BTW, College tuition is only really going wacko because the government stepped in and made student loans so easy to get.

      The problem with that canard is that it tries to use supply-and-demand to explain higher tuition costs. Because if that were the case, more universities would jump in the market and thus force prices back down, but that hasn't happened. No, tuition has risen because:

      1) States have slashed higher education funding
      2) Big budget sports that cost more than they generate in sales
      3) Bloated administrative salaries

      And in that order.

    4. Re:Yes, but they don't tell you... by bobbied · · Score: 1

      If sports don't make money, they are easy to get rid of, ditto the administrative salary problem... My state hasn't cut funding....Well, not that much.

      --
      "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  21. Things that can't go on forever... won't by Necron69 · · Score: 2

    I think that something far more likely is a collapse of the college education system in the US.

    All of my kids will be/are going to community college or state schools. Unless you are rich, a private school is laughably out of the question these days.

    - Necron69

    1. Re:Things that can't go on forever... won't by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I think that something far more likely is a collapse of the college education system in the US.

      Seeing who got elected president suggests to me that the US education system failed and collapsed a long time ago.

  22. $0 for an autodidact by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Best decision I ever made. Saved me a lot of debt and afforded me a lot more freedom to actually get situated in life and find a career through more natural means, a lot of the jobs you can get they don't even cover any of the technical parts in school anyway and you need the actual experience on real hardware/equipment regardless, and to practice in an actual production environment

    1. Re:$0 for an autodidact by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      I went back to school to learn computer programming on a $3,000 tax credit that George W. signed into law after 9/11. The cost of my A.S. degree was entirely FREE. I went from working 80 hours as a video game tester to making more money working 40 hours in IT support. Now I pay more in taxes than I ever did before.

  23. $15K minimum wage by Dareth · · Score: 1

    If they just raise minimum wage to $15K/hour that should cover a good education for everyone.

    --

    I only look human.
    My mother is a halfling and my dad is an ogre, so that makes me an Ogreling
  24. Huh? by SCVonSteroids · · Score: 1

    Where's the referenced Onion article link?

    --
    I tend to rant.
  25. Well thats okay, im sure wages will come up too by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    right? wages will come up too, right?

    Anybody?

  26. Planet USA by blind+biker · · Score: 2

    In the meantime, in the rest of the civilized world, higher education is free or essentially free (and we have single-payer healthcare).

    --
    "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    1. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Neither of those are free in the "rest of the civilized world". You just don't have a line item for them in your budget. They're included in the item "taxes" for you. And you pay for them whether you use them or not.

    2. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then why so many foreigners in US higher education instead of free at home?

      I know the reason, and if you did you would stop bragging about free college everywhere else.

    3. Re:Planet USA by will_die · · Score: 1

      In the USA if you do want the level of education and environment that you get for free in much of the rest of the world that is also free or essentially free. It is that people don't want that type of education experience they want the American experience and the cost that goes with it.

    4. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes and save for a few top historic names in education that are as prestigious people still flock to America from all over the world to get both a University education and their health care.

      Yes the European socialist model has for showing it achieves greater access at least over the short term, lets say WWII-present. What it has failed to do is produce much of the very best and its an open question as to if it can cope with the next form of population pressure, mass immigration.

    5. Re:Planet USA by blind+biker · · Score: 2

      Then why so many foreigners in US higher education instead of free at home?

      I know the reason, and if you did you would stop bragging about free college everywhere else.

      Those foreigners are PhD students and their tuition is paid by the institution where they study and work. I have a lot of colleagues who did their PhD in the US, and came back to Finland, including my professor.

      --
      "The agriculture ministry is not in charge of Gundam" - Japanese ministry official.
    6. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Last time I checked, the USA does not offer European quality education or health care at any price. You can get close, for a lot of money, but still not as good as what you get for free or cheaply in Europe.

      The USA does have more guns and more wars, though. It's all a matter of priorities.

    7. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Those foreigners are PhD students and their tuition is paid by the institution where they study and work.

      Not every PhD student is paid by their institution.

    8. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's pretty brutal being a young American. We are told we are stupid, that we all need a university education. So we pay 30k per year while taking the same classes with foreign students that take it for free and don't have to work while going to school, thus getting better marks at the end.

      A perfect recipe for xenophobia.

    9. Re:Planet USA by will_die · · Score: 1

      Lol you have never lived in Europe or the USA.
      As someone who has lived decades in both your comments are totally outside of reality.
      To tell the truth I did love the European heath care system, I would call up tell them I need shots, medical appointment, etc and would told it would be a month or two since it non-emergency. I would then say I would not be using that countries health care system and would be paying by bank transfer and I had my appointment that week. I would walk in get the work done and leave and the poor people in that system would still be there. European friend that had a bad knee got pushed back for over three years, they kept telling him he was below the age they would normally replace it, and since he could still get around he was not a priority. He just had to give up all sports and activities that placed any weight on that leg.
      In the USA there are so many medical places around, and here I can use insurance, so it is fill in paperwork, hand over a card, and I am in and out. Last month I had to get a bunch of work done and some shots and longest wait I had was 45 mins to get blood drawn for lab work because I needed to get it done that day.

    10. Re:Planet USA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You are extrapolating Moldova or Albania to all of Europe...

  27. Adjust using the PCI index. by nbritton · · Score: 4, Insightful

    This makes sense if you adjust for inflation using the PCI index instead of the CPI. Using the PCI, the average household income in today's dollars of a family from the mid 1950s is close to $250k a year. This means that if you are making $50k a year today, you are only actually making about 1/5th of what your forebears did. This is why you can't afford college, this is why you have no retirment savings, this is why you and your spouse have to work, and this is why you live pay check to pay check.

    We're basically getting paid slave wages, and the masters in charge have created a system of laws to prevent us from ever taking up arms to rise up... we're fucked. Watch the movie "In Time" if you want to get a glimpse into the world you've been born into, when watching the movie just replace their plot concept of "Time credits" with money and it all makes sense.

    1. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The CPI OVERSTATES inflation compared to CPE. http://www.businessinsider.com/pce-vs-cpi-weight-comparisons-2014-6
      There are reasons to prefer CPE, but you have your numbers exactly backwards. Using historical CPE shows Americans doing even better now than in the past.

      _Adjusted for inflation_, American household incomes are nearly the highest they have ever been right now.
      - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
      - https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2016/09/15/u-s-household-incomes-a-49-year-perspective
      - https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/income-poverty/historical-income-households.html

    2. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Bullshit. The median income in 1952 was $3900. That's $35,900 in today's wages. Median household income has gone up since the 50's! What's changed?
      Well in 1952:
      1) You had 4 basic utilities: heating fuel, telephone, electricity, and water/sewer.
      2) The family owned a single car.
      3) Housing was cheaper in the burbs for new construction.
      4) You could get a median income job without a degree.
      5) Your work gave you a pension plan, which could be a lot smaller since social security would mostly cover you.

      In 2017:
      1) We have a lot more utilities: multiple cell phones with data plans, internet, electricity, heating fuel, water/sewer, and cable television. Monthly expenses are much higher but this is self inflicted.
      2) A lot of families have at least two cars. This is a doubling of a major expense. This means debt.
      3) Housing is only cheap in the country if you're near any major city. In a good area that means a 20 minute drive. In a lot of urban areas this means an hour or more away. This means debt.
      4) Median income jobs are hard to find without some kind of a degree or additional schooling. This means debt.
      5) The best you can hope for is an employer matched 401k. Otherwise social security is basically an oath of poverty, if it will even be there. Young adults like myself are not planning on ever receiving social security. But on the flip side, many people can work later because they are in better health.

    3. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by ravenshrike · · Score: 1

      Less wage slaves and more slaves to our own desires. If you were to live a life like a family from the 1950's your expenditures would be much less as well. But everybody needs that second car. They need to eat fast food rather than cook. They need to pay for that cable and internet. They need central heating and air.

    4. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by xenon54 · · Score: 2

      actually adjusting average income from 1950 ($3300) to present day based on CPI yields around $34k

    5. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      People don't revolt because of a decrease in relative standard of living, but absolute standard of living. The average house size today is much larger than that of the 1950's. Life expectancy is higher. Most people can afford to occasionally fly in aircraft or take a cruise. That was not the case in the 1950's. People have a far greater choice in television programming today than they did in the 1950's. People are content with their slow growth in absolute standard of living made possible by technological trickle-down.

    6. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by guruevi · · Score: 1

      The thing is people keep paying for it. The top colleges will raise the prices until they don't get applications for more than 1000% of their capacity. Most colleges are adding capacity at record-breaking rate and diversifying their offering from 'classroom-only' to hybrid in order to fit more people in the existing buildings. Colleges are adding 15% more students per year in some cases to keep up with the demand.

      The solution will have to come to either more colleges (think online degree mills) or less people applying for college. You can argue all you want for the merit of a particular degree, but as long as people will pay for it, colleges will offer it, it doesn't matter who ends up with the debt.

      You can argue the benefits of the tax payer paying for it, but I'd rather families and individuals make those decisions on their own than forcing us to pay at gunpoint for their bad decisions.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    7. Re:Adjust using the PCI index. by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 1

      But everybody needs that second car.

      Yes, everyone does need that second car. It's very rarely optional in a two income household, especially considering the state of mass transit in the US. Worse, both the first and second cars are notably more expensive than they were in the 1950s, even inflation-adjusted. Safety equipment costs money, and auto manufacturers really really want to upsell you to the model with the entertainment system in it.

      They need to eat fast food rather than cook.

      Fast food is as cheap as cooking yourself now. Maybe the results aren't as high quality for the same price, but it will keep you alive, and you aren't paying a premium for it.

      They need to pay for that cable and internet.

      Well yeah. Paying for Internet is as essential today as paying for a telephone line was in the 1950s. I suspect the two are comparably expensive, too, inflation-adjusted. Ma Bell ruled the world in the 50s, and extracted her pound of flesh. Today's ISPs behave quite similarly.

      They need central heating and air.

      Central air I'll give you, but central heating has been a thing since the 1800s in cities, when it was a coal furnace in the basement, and your house had a street-accessible coal chute for deliveries. It was certainly a thing everywhere in the 1950s, including rural areas, where it was propane or fuel oil. (I lived in a house with a fuel oil furnace for several years, as a child. Filthy.)

      I'm surprised you left out the largest difference in expenditure. House sizes are considerably larger today than they were in the 1950s. That's usually the go-to complaint from the "slaves should never have it better than their parents" crowd that you represent.

      How about this. All of those things are things we should have now. What the hell is civilization for? What the hell are all these engineers for, if not making things better for as many people as possible? And yes, why aren't all us Morlocks getting a bigger slice of the financial reward for doing all that work?

  28. Just for the affluent by neghvar1 · · Score: 1

    At this rate, a college degree will only be for those who have parents in that top 1%. Even if financial aid is willing to cover such costly amounts, then these students would be in debt for the rest of their lives. Also, if only the top 1% could afford college degrees, could a company that only hires people with at least a four-year degree be classified as discrimination of the middle and lower class? If someone wants to be a network admin for a large corporation, then pursuing Cisco certifications would be the logical path. CCIE certification is very powerful, but there are those companies that will never listen to you. You could have a four year degree in something as futile as basket weaving. They will at least listen to you that way. A degree in computer science is unlikely to cover Cisco. Plus computer science is easily outsourceable. Do the coding in India and then send the compiled products back to the company in the US.

    1. Re:Just for the affluent by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      At this rate, a college degree will only be for those who have parents in that top 1%.

      For the mediocre student, probably, yes. But that's already true. The middling student from a rich family can still go to a relatively prestigious school due to legacies, tutoring, etc. The middling from a poor family goes to community college. Now, it's generally the case that the exceptional student from anywhere can go to at least a solid university.

      Where things go sour is when students choose "better" schools that aren't offering as much aid. Example: my cousin had what amounted to a full ride at University of Missouri for journalism. Instead, she went to Northwestern, which offered her very little. (Her parents footed the bill and it wasn't a problem for them, but...) Meanwhile, a close friend of mine went to Michigan State, which, while an alma mater of mine and a generally fine school, is not as good as its more prestigious sister sixty miles to the south, the University of Michigan. He certainly had the talent to attend UM but MSU gave him the whole thing for nothing while UM didn't. He was smart enough to realize his education would ultimately be what he made of it and that MSU would be good enough for him. And it has been. He's probably gotten to exactly where he would have if he had gone to UM and didn't have massive debt to shoulder.

      That's the problem. Excellent students do have many opportunities but opt for a super brand school because they think it will get them farther. Sometimes, that is true, if you want to go into politics or get into a high-flying graduate school (the Top 20 form a little in-bred network that seemingly trade students), but if your goal is a BS, the second ranked school in your state may well get you where you need to be--and that school may pay for a lot more of your time than the better one.

    2. Re:Just for the affluent by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

      and then just get a online in Religious Studies Degrees and sue under Religious discrimination when HR says it BS.

    3. Re:Just for the affluent by moeinvt · · Score: 1

      Schools are going to charge the highest prices that they can get away with, but only up to the point where they start losing students.

      The problem now is that students have access to all of this guaranteed loan money. Schools know this, so they will crank up their prices because students have the ability, and thus far, the willingness to pay.

      There are ~20 million students enrolled in higher education in the USA. How many of those students have 1%ers for parents? 1 million? Maybe 1.5 million? Schools are not just going to close their doors or lay off 90% of their staff. If they start losing students, they will decrease their prices.

  29. Pay 2 Win! by Gabest · · Score: 1

    Do you also have to buy the DLCs for your degree?

    1. Re:Pay 2 Win! by zlives · · Score: 1

      its called a living will.

  30. Have you ever taken an online course?! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    I have two real, in-person college degrees, and I've taken a number of online courses through a variety of MOOCs and other delivery platforms. The main thing I've learned since taking the online courses is that they aren't a replacement for a real, in-person courses.

    The course material was actually pretty good. But the community aspect is utter nonsense. Probably 80% to 90% of the discussion in the forums was from people in places like India, China, and the Middle East pestering the professors about special religious-based exemptions for assignments/quizzes/exams, or asking for all bad grades they received to be discarded, or worse, to get the certificate of completion before the course had even started!

    I couldn't believe it. There were people asking if they could get the completion certificate PDF without watching any of the lectures, without doing any of the assignments, without taking any quizzes/tests/exams, and without learning any of the material.

    It was even worse when these fools barged into the rare relevant discussions between students who actually were trying to learn the material. Soon the relevant discussion would be disrupted and thrown off track by these students begging for special accommodations or undeserved course credit.

    There's value in the course material, but that's it. The fellow students weren't worth dealing with, and in fact, the ones from third-world places ended up ruining the experience for everybody due to their begging for undeserved credentials. It was nowhere near this bad when I took real, in-person courses.

    1. Re:Have you ever taken an online course?! by cashman73 · · Score: 1

      Students begging for accommodations and exemptions to assignments? So, like a normal, in-person class then,. . .

  31. Staff student ratio of 1:1 by laughingskeptic · · Score: 1

    The economics of universities is horribly broken. The federal government has been providing easy money to Universities via student loans. Universities are bureaucracies and like any bureaucracy will simply grow to spend the money available. The University of Texas' bureaucracy has grown to be 1 administrator for every 7 students. The faculty:student ratio is 18:1! So there are more than twice as many administrators as faculty. The square footage of the university has also doubled in the last 30 years and the facilities are very nice, but the student body size has changed little in 30 years. The bulk of a student's tuition is clearly going to big beautiful buildings and a bulging bureaucracy. At $500,000 for four years, you are looking at one staff person (faculty or administration) per student. At some point before campuses have just as many employees as students I would hope that just how obviously wrong this is would become apparent.

  32. That's a dead end by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    With more debt the government needs to extend more credit, getting itself into more debt and preventing the youth from getting on the consumer regimen, a loss all around

  33. Make them spend their endowments! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Unlike charitable trusts, colleges and universities can hoard cash. If you are a charitable trust the tax code essentially forces you to spend a certain percentage of you endowment each year, colleges and universities don't have to do this.

    If you were to force colleges and universities to spend down their trust funds at a sustainable level (a few percent a year) FOR THE PURPOSE OF EDUCATING THEIR STUDENTS, the cost of college would likely become zero for the top 200 institutions.

    Admittedly, this would cause some problems for the colleges and universities with huge endowments.

    Of course the consequences of any such changes in the tax code would depend on the details, I would guess that consolidation (i.e. the top schools essentially take over other schools) would be a likely outcome.

  34. Dangers of Extrapolation by nealric · · Score: 2

    Even the author must recognize that a 4% real increases in college costs (after 2% inflation) cannot continue indefinitely. If that were the case, a state school that currently costs $10,000 annually would cost $500,000 annually by 2117 in today's dollars, while a private school would be a cool 2.5 million in today's dollars! Clearly, the market would correct before such a scenario ever came to pass. Even debt-funded bubbles hit a breaking point.

    So the question is, how close are we to that breaking point where consumers lose their willingness to pay? I think for some less-regarded private schools, that breaking point has already been hit. Some second-tier private schools with very high tuitions have started to suffer declining enrollments. However, I think we are a long way from it with most public schools. It's also worth noting that a big driver of public school tuition inflation has been declining state support. Public support for public institutions probably won't go below zero, so there is a limit to how long those increases can be driven by declining public support.

    1. Re:Dangers of Extrapolation by Gilgaron · · Score: 1

      I've already heard of smaller private schools starting to fold, but yes, I think the correction will occur once enough people start to check on the expected salary of their dream job versus the tuition. It didn't really occur to me to confirm when I enrolled, but I went to a state school so my tuition was a car payment. When my children are deciding to enroll in college or trade school we'll definitely want to compare the cost/benefit if the bubble hasn't popped yet. On the research side of college financials, if the NIH and EPA really get gutted by congress's budget, it may pop rather soon.

  35. Or by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It could be free...

  36. Community college is a great deal by zerofoo · · Score: 1

    Around here, you can do two years in a community college and transfer all the credits to a bunch of decent 4 year state schools.

    In the end, you get the same 4 year degree as everyone else - while saving a boat load of money.

    Sure, mom and dad don't get to put an Ivy League sticker on their car, and Mary and Johnny may have to live at home and commute to the college - but that's what the smart money does.

    Stop paying for country clubs for your little crotch fruit.

    1. Re:Community college is a great deal by nealric · · Score: 1

      The most elite Ivy League schools are essentially free to middle class students. Several of them have explicit no-loan policies for students from families making less than a very generous threshold (over $100,000 in most cases). Those who pay full freight generally aren't suffering for it. So if those country clubs will let you in, you'd be a fool to turn them down.

    2. Re:Community college is a great deal by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      A fair number of the Ivys _suck_ as schools. Lisa Simpson knows.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    3. Re:Community college is a great deal by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 4, Interesting

      I have a cousin who went to one of those schools (Brandeis) a few years back for his degree in economics. His parents (a teacher and a physical therapist) didn't pay a dime. I didn't know about theses schools' policies towards qualified but middle class people until I asked his parents how they could afford it as ~$50k per year is a huge chunk of their post tax income. This cousin is 18 years younger than I am so I was curious because I have young kids and wanted to know what school cost so I knew how screwed I was going to be. That said it looks like the 4 options for getting a college education are:
      1. Be rich so money doesn't matter
      2. Join the US military and potentially get shot at
      3. Get accepted to an elite school and be subsidized by #1
      4. Milk community colleges and high school post secondary programs for as much as you can and work your ass off to pay for a state school
      5. Go into hock for the rest of your life

      For #2 there are some really good ways to manipulate that system that I have found out from some of my military (current and former) friends and their hate of the young double butters. For the biggest benefit become an Eagle Scout first (gets you promoted higher right out of basic ahead of the others who joined with you), join the guard/reserves at age 17, then get into college and go ROTC. When you start ROTC you will likely get promoted again in the reserves/guard at this point as well putting you ahead of your peers. You then get your commission at age 22 but you already have ~5 years of military experience but with all that other stuff you won't be an O1 so would be an O2 (first lieutenant) or more likely an O3 (captain). You then have to put in I believe 6 years as an officer if a commission is available, because you already have 5 years experience you will move way a head in the line. By the time you finish you commission you will now have about 11 years into the military so why not go the extra 9 and get a full officer's pension at age 37. Also the military will pay for college while you are in so you can continue to work on more advanced degrees for free. Toss in the tuition and stipend that you are paid for school as well as your military pay for that time and it is a pretty good deal if you don't have to go get shot at the first few years.

      --
      Time to offend someone
    4. Re:Community college is a great deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Then take your clearance and join DoD civil service and set yourself up for a double pension.

    5. Re:Community college is a great deal by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Speaking as someone who attempted something similar, I feel it important to note that, much as no battle plan survives contact with the enemy, no military career plan survives contact with the bureaucracy.

  37. In other words, things that can't go on forever... by alispguru · · Score: 1

    ... won't.

    --

    To a Lisp hacker, XML is S-expressions in drag.
  38. Supply and demand. by CptLoRes · · Score: 1

    This is going to self regulate. This generation of parents still has the belief that a college educations guarantees a job, so they push their children to get one. But as we have seen in recent articles, education no longer automatically translates to getting hired. So over time there will be less interest in spending large amount of money on 'worthless' education. The cost will have to match the gain.

  39. chapter 11 and 7 is needed for student loans by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    The banks and schools have no skin in the game if they did then.

    No more rip off text books that change all the time to kill resale.

    No more Professors ripping pages out of text books to force you buy new ones or you fail as they wrote it and they get $ per sale.

    No more dorms that cost way more to live with a roommate then RENTING on you own year round.

    Less filler and fluff classes.

    No more swim tests that you have to pay for!

    No more forced gym classes for all students that cost more for 1 class then getting a 2 year membership at place like LA fitness

  40. The situation could be cured by providing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    more competition to private colleges. Make state and community colleges free and expanded them. Lower cost by having them provide online classes.

  41. states cutting funding is leading to higher costs by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    states cutting funding is leading to higher costs

  42. German student also has an trades track that is no by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    German student also has an trades track that is not 2-4+ years pure class room. In the same time frame they get both on the job skills and class room

  43. Not how markets work by DalM · · Score: 1

    "...according to investment management company Vanguard [who apparently has never studied the concept of a market 'bubble]..." *corrected.

  44. The European Model by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Interesting

    We turned it into yet another social contract. It's free/cheap to study over here. My whole university career has cost less than 5 grand. Including books and all. Well, I'm paying for it now. A sizable portion of my tax actually goes towards our schools and universities. Not only my tax, anyone's actually.

    And that's just fine if you ask me.

    What this entails is a lot. First, there is no risk involved in studying. There is no problem if you can't finish for some reason. If you make it, great, you'll earn more money and pay more tax that way. If you don't, well, so be it. No potential college debt looming overhead that you could only dream of repaying if you don't make it. Which in turn means that more students are starting and our universities can (and do) eliminate brutally anyone who isn't among the best. Those degrees actually mean something.

    It's also much easier for me now to pay the price of my degree. Yes, a sizable portion of my paycheck goes to education. But I can easily afford it. Now that I have a pretty good job, in part certainly due to my degree. I couldn't even think of paying anything close to that as a student, and if I thought that I would have to pay that, I very likely would not have risked it altogether.

    All in all I will most likely have paid about those 500k for my degree by the time I retire. That's ok, though, in a US model I probably would not have had the chance to study at all.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    1. Re:The European Model by Theaetetus · · Score: 1

      No potential college debt looming overhead that you could only dream of repaying if you don't make it. Which in turn means that more students are starting and our universities can (and do) eliminate brutally anyone who isn't among the best. Those degrees actually mean something.

      Obviously, we have the opposite here. Regardless of the college debt, college enrollment rates are very high, but colleges don't eliminate terrible students, and bachelor's degrees mean little these days. Why do you think it's different in Europe? Is it because here, they'll keep milking tuition out of students for as long as they attend, while in Europe, budgets are fixed? And if so, do European universities really have fixed budgets that aren't based on enrollment?

      Basically, why is there an incentive in Europe to eliminate students, and how can we duplicate that here?

    2. Re:The European Model by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What this means is:

      Eighteen years from now, under your model, you'll still be releasing educated graduates out into the work force where they can help pay for the next generations education. Whereas, in the United States, only the ultra-wealthy will be able to afford to give their kiddos a college education

      Once someone realizes that a future nation of people making minimum wage doth not a tax base make, there will be panic to get more educated folks back into the workforce. You would think the USG would have figured this out already ( higher education in a useful field equates to higher paying jobs which equates to more taxes they can collect ) but it is the US. :|

      Which means US based education will either need to undergo a serious revamp in how they do things, or they're going to implode within two generations due to the empty seats and it will drag the entire economy down to the depths with it.

      ( Healthcare is the same way btw )

      Captcha: Predict :D

    3. Re:The European Model by guruevi · · Score: 1

      And therein lies a part of the problem, do you really want YOUR tax dollars going to a deadbeat student living of the system for 10 years to end up with an unemployable Social Studies Major?

      The EU socializes everybody's bad decisions via 55% income taxes and 25% sales taxes.

      In the US, you make this problem an individual decision, and you live with your decisions for bad or for good. Most people right now are opting the bad option by throwing sizable amounts of money at their children who are dumber than a backdoor in the delusion something good comes out of it. In the end, they'll still end up working at McDonalds but now with $100k in debt and become less employable as time goes along (college degrees work against you for most lower-end jobs).

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    4. Re:The European Model by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      And therein lies a part of the problem, do you really want YOUR tax dollars going to a deadbeat student living of the system for 10 years to end up with an unemployable Social Studies Major?

      That's the problem with conservative hand waving: higher education is an investment in your population and your workforce. If you insist that all investments must pay off, how do you justify the existence of capitalism?

    5. Re:The European Model by guruevi · · Score: 1

      Higher education is indeed an investment but capitalism doesn't just throw money at a problem and hope something good comes out of it (governments do that). Contrary to popular belief, the majority of people aren't smart enough to complete any course in the so-called "STEM" majors and even then, the majority of the students does not have the mindset of a good engineer or scientist and ends up not going into these field at all, a significant amount bails out in the first few months or after a year.

      I work with these kids, I work at one of these 50k+/y colleges, we have massive overpopulation issues and sad to say, very few interns, undergrads and even grad students would be employable, not because the school is bad but because the students either don't have the brains or the passion and are there to either satisfy their parents, because they got an entitlement scholarship or because they belief they'll get a good paycheck. And very few of the massive amount of people that work at my labs each year end up in the field later on in life (think 1 or 2 per year) and those people didn't get there with handouts.

      I'm not saying the government shouldn't be paying anything, but we shouldn't be paying for people to party. If you have people that are passionate and smart enough to do mathematics or physics, the people the government and industry then uses for space exploration and innovation, I would be glad to give them full scholarships. But giving a blank check to everyone that managed to squeeze out another human being 20 years ago is just adding to the problem, raising the prices unnecessarily.

      --
      Custom electronics and digital signage for your business: www.evcircuits.com
    6. Re:The European Model by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      University budgets are generally fixed due to being part of the state budget. They don't give a shit if you have to teach one or one million students. So the primary idea of any prof is to get rid of the slack. Students he can use for his research are an asset, those that just fill the rooms and he has to grade for no return are not.

      Our profs aren't unreasonable and there are few that actually consider students a nuisance (yes, those exist too), but when you can manage 50 per semester and you have 500, 90% have to go.

      How to duplicate this? Fixed budgets and being able to use higher grad students as assistants. That's basically what happens here. The fixed budgets encourage getting rid of as many students as you can, while needing them as assistants to keep the work manageable requires profs to keep the ones that know their shit.

      --
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    7. Re:The European Model by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      Yes I do.

      Socializing something always means you buy the bad with the good. This means of course that I'll finance an unemployable Social Studies Maj... wait, I don't, that bullshit doesn't exist over here.

      Odd. It seems our system produces more productive students.

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      We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
    8. Re:The European Model by Opportunist · · Score: 1

      And you can't get rid of them 'cause their stupid parents pay for them, right? Fail a test 3 times here and you're out. For good. Most people get the hint long before that when the prof staples a Burger King application form to their result.

      Yes, everyone can get in. But few get through. Most leave through the back door. And isn't that the ideal of the free market? That everyone can compete and the best get chosen?

      --
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  45. Fear Mongoring by sdinfoserv · · Score: 1

    Tuition costs have been rising faster than inflation as State budgets look to shore up unbalanced budgets and slash education funding. This moves the cost of education from the State to the student. In the '80's (ad before) States covered 80% of tuition costs leaving 20% on students. Those ratios have flipped today and students now shoulder 80% of the cost of education increasing the cost to the student. The OVERALL cost to educate a student has decreased due to efficiency, automation and technology. This trend will likely continue as the current conservative thinking is counter any subsidy.
    Now, to extrapolate this trend over the next 18 years and say that a 4 year degree will cost 1/2 million fails to understand the process. There is a limit to cost increases. Once the State's contribution to education hits ZERO, costs will only rise slightly, and may stagnate. We're over 80% there already, so costs can't possibly hit that number.

    1. Re:Fear Mongoring by guruevi · · Score: 1

      I don't see why the state should subsidize anything unless there is a direct and immediate profit to it. The greatest portion of college educational programs (most colleges have between 50 and 150 different programs) are going to produce a very small amount of dedicated people for very niche fields, I don't need my money funding the rest of the people that are there just to get a degree.

      If someone has a passion for something, they'll find a way of doing it, in all other cases, it's a waste of money to just surf the programs until you find one you don't utterly fail at. If you truly have a shortage of workers, let the industry fund the gap and in certain cases, I can agree to the government funding sciences like physics and astronomy (because there is no commercial benefit but there is a huge social benefit to it) but the number of people graduating from physics and astronomy is tiny compared to the amount of students that a college accepts, in some fields less than a dozen people graduate per year across the entire US.

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  46. Yea no. Guess again. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That is a civilization ending number. Economists say that things that can't continue don't. You have the numbers wrong.

  47. You mean "PCE" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "PCE", "Personal consumption expenditures"

  48. No way by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm sure I can print one up for less than that.

  49. Need a comparison by gurps_npc · · Score: 1

    1) When ever talking about numbers you need several points of comparison.
    For example, let's say a college education really does end up costing $500,000 in 18 years - but the average salary for a high school teacher is $400,000. It's called inflation, and you need to account for it.

    2) The rate fo growth is currently high in part because of the attempt to raise stated prices in order to pay for discounted admissions for more students. The basic idea is to charge the wealthier people as much as the market will bear and still allow poorer people to attend. It will not continue to rise at the same rate,

    --
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  50. Where's all the money going? by AndyKron · · Score: 1

    Where's all the money going from all the patents collages have? And all the money their sports teams make?

    1. Re:Where's all the money going? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Look up the endowments to many Universities. Often they are BILLIONS of dollars and they are exempt from having to spend any of it. Most ivy league schools could pay the tuition for many (if not all) of their students off the earnings of their endowments. Besides fixing the ridiculous loan system the United States has, forcing these institutions to spend a portion of their endowment on lowering the cost of their tuition would be a common sense reform.

  51. This is just another reason that the U.S. is... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...a civilized society. In a civilized society, healthcare and educate is free, like police and fire department and EMS. And a civilized society would never select a batshit-crazy billionaire orangutan star of "reality" TV as their leader.

  52. Not true by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    there will be a limit to the expansion of the %of GDP. Instead, people will just die without health care. They will live in poverty and misery without education. You're completely (and convienently) ignoring option #2, which is abandoning the poor and working class to abject poverty and misery and a thousand years of dark ages.

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    1. Re:Not true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there will be a limit to the expansion of the %of GDP. Instead, people will just die without health care. They will live in poverty and misery without education. You're completely (and convienently) ignoring option #2, which is abandoning the poor and working class to abject poverty and misery and a thousand years of dark ages.

      followed by option #3: REVOLUTION

    2. Re:Not true by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      there will be a limit to the expansion of the %of GDP. Instead, people will just die without health care. They will live in poverty and misery without education. You're completely (and convienently) ignoring option #2, which is abandoning the poor and working class to abject poverty and misery and a thousand years of dark ages.

      Yes, thank you. This is the totally obviously and most likely scenario, but most people just don't think that way.

  53. Got anything to back that up? by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    because 538 says you're wrong, and they have sources. College started going up massively in the 90s when Clinton started cutting federal funds and shoot up like crazy when the Bush cuts hit.

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    1. Re:Got anything to back that up? by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      Almost no-one would be paying $500k (and few would pay even $100k) for college if they had to hand it over in cash at the beginning of the course. The rise in costs is entirely due to student loans that can't be eliminated by bankruptcy.

    2. Re:Got anything to back that up? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      From your article:

      [quote]At most, about a quarter of the increase in college tuition since 2000 can be attributed to rising faculty salaries, improved amenities and administrative bloat. By comparison, the decline in state support accounts for about three-quarters of the rising cost of college.[/quote]

      Wrong. The "decline in state support" didn't change the COST of college. It didn't even change the total bill. It changed who had to pay that bill.

      Colleges can basically say "as long as someone is willing to pick up the slack and make sure that we get the full asking price for every student we don't have any reason to improve our services and we can keep adding more and more (unnecessary) features that further inflate the cost without worry". And they do exactly that. They keep billing and they bill whatever the hell they can be paid. If they lose private dollars who gives a damn? They can make more taking the state / federal dollars via loans and keep on raising those rates.

      Eventually it's gonna pop. Federal dollars won't be around any more for loans and it won't take long (but it won't be instant - and it will be painful) before prices quickly go down. All of the inflated costs of running a university will have to be dealt with and it will really suck for some.

  54. Citation needed by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Informative

    538 says you're wrong.

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    1. Re:Citation needed by More+Trouble · · Score: 1

      Wonder why your fact is moderated as a 2 while the dick weed you're correcting gets a 5? Who benefits from this bogus idea?

    2. Re: Citation needed by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

      Anyone who wants to cut education spending and pocket the difference as tax cuts. That's also why we need so many H1-Bs. Otherwise we have to pay to train our own workforce.

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    3. Re:Citation needed by T.E.D. · · Score: 1

      538 says you're wrong

      Summary: 2/3 of the hikes are directly due to states cutting their funding to their state university system, forcing them to make up the difference through tuition. Public higher education used to be free in a lot of states. IOW, states for decades have been jointly deciding to divest from public higher education, and use the money elsewhere (in my state, that's on tax cuts to wealthy residents). If their kids are the only ones who can afford college now, I'm guessing you won't hear them complaining much.

    4. Re:Citation needed by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 2

      BTW, College tuition is only really going wacko because the government stepped in and made student loans so easy to get.

      538 [fivethirtyeight.com] says you're wrong.

      Did you even read the article you cited? Here's a fun excerpt (emphasis mine):

      "Among for-profit institutions, it is much more difficult to pin down a reason for tuition increases, though recent research suggests that one big cause is the generosity of federal student aid : Some institutions may be raising tuition in order to capture as much government-backed money as possible."

    5. Re:Citation needed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Move to Texas, establish residency.. Get in-state tuition, do it debt free.

  55. It'll adjust for all but the elite schools by ErichTheRed · · Score: 1

    When I graduated in 1997, it was still possible to get some sort of non-Starbucks job with a degree in _anything._ A degree in a high demand field got you an even better job, but the compact was there -- if you get into school, study and pay the tuition, you will have steady work you can use to pay for it later. Today, it seems like that's broken for a significant portion of the student population. Entry level jobs are either offshored or automated now, and employers are expecting people to come into jobs 100% trained instead of identifying people with potential and putting in a little finishing work to round off the college education. One example I like to cite a lot is the thousands of "Business" graduates who basically screwed around for 4 years, graduated with 2.x GPAs and still wound up in the belly of some huge corporation doing a middle class job shuffling reports around or being some random "coordinator" or staffing the trade show booth circuit. That still happens -- Accenture and the like depend on a constant stream of 23 year old cannon fodder to shove in front of suckers^Wclients. It just happens way less, and you have to go to an expensive school to get jobs like that.

    People just aren't going to pay $500K for a degree that will no longer help them. This figure also doesn't account for the fact that at least some of that price tag will be inflation. The price will adjust to the point where the average person can afford it either through reasonable loans or savings. And many people will still continue to go if that becomes the only way to get any sort of non gig-economy work. I still think college is very good for some people. I know I learned a lot about how to navigate a bureaucracy and get what I needed without complaining incessantly. 18 year old kids also do need an environment to "grow up" in -- you could argue the military would be a good option, but it's not for everyone. People that age need an environment where screw-ups aren't permanent and there's a little bit in the way of support on the way to being an independent adult.

    1. Re:It'll adjust for all but the elite schools by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can still get a civil service job with a degree in anything. It's not a Starbucks job. The pay is not high, but the benefits and pensions are. Even better in public K-12 teaching.

  56. ITT, DeVry and uofp had night school and hands on by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    ITT, DeVry and uofp had night school and hands on skills.

    They got more and more roped into the 2-4+ year degree system and then HR people where like if you did not go to a real U then you are a loser so they get passed over.

    There are skills gaps and profs who have been in the iry tower for to log so people going there can come out clueless.

  57. Re:states cutting funding is leading to higher cos by Bob+the+Super+Hamste · · Score: 1

    To some extent yes, but when there has been a 4x increase in cost and the state use to cover about 1/2 of the cost before even accounting for inflation the numbers don't work. For tuition to have gone up as much as it has the school would not have to be paying the state money now. Instead of retyping out that example I will just link to it. The time span was about 17 years and tuition use to be in the $40-$50 per credit range now it is about $180/credit and the state of Minnesota is still subsidizing higher education at the state colleges and universities so it really doesn't add up.

    --
    Time to offend someone
  58. vocational school by Danathar · · Score: 1

    As much as I would love to see my sons grow up with a PhD or just a BS in some science, going into a TRADE instead would make me very happy if they don't go that route. (In actuality, I could care less WHAT they do as long as it's legal and they are happy!) AC repair, plumbers, electricians, Robot repair (yea...that's going to be big). These are examples of jobs you might be able to do without a 4 year degree costing that kinda $$$$ but instead can get into going into a trade. Had I known what I knew now back when I was in HS (80's) I would of supplemented my career in IT with that of a good skilled blue collar skill. If it's mechanical in any way it's going to break. Somebody has to fix it.

  59. Re:states cutting funding is leading to higher cos by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If this were the primary cause, we should see tuition decrease when state funding increases. Many states saw a boom of funding in the 1990s and tuition shot up just as bad then as now.

  60. and some schools make you retake classes so you by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    and some schools make you retake classes so you pay them more.

  61. Consumer Info [Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation] by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Many educational loans are private loans. And guess what - you can't discharge them in bankruptcy, so the lenders have very little incentive to not throw money at you.

    They do a sales-job on the poorly informed. It's hard to get accurate info on how graduates of a given school actually do because the school spends a lot to taint that. Whenever the consumer can't get good information about the product, scams and snow-jobs take over. The Federal Gov't has been trying to clean that up by enforcing accurate placement info in ads, but it hasn't been easy.

    One way to manipulate customers is to start out with a quality school, build up a good reputation, and then slack off to improve profits but screw the new-coming students. They milk their prior reputation. Eventually their reputation sinks, they file bankruptcy, and the same investors reshuffle themselves into a different company and start again somewhere else using their experience in education slimebaggery. (The original investors sell off most the ownership later in the cycle so that the bankruptcy doesn't hit them hard.)

    Further, because of the scams and slime, many instead opt for established "big name" universities knowing that at least they have a degree with a big name on it. But this drives up the prices on the big-names. You can't manufacture history.

    If we "just let the market correct itself", many millions could be screwed out of many trillions, perhaps even creating a nasty bubble. Capitalism does poorly when consumers can't or don't get good and timely info about the product. Thus, I don't trust a pure-market solution. The solution is probably a combination of market forces and oversight to ensure schools are building better mouse-traps instead of building better customer-traps.

    1. Re:Consumer Info [Re:Ridiculous Extrapolation] by epine · · Score: 1

      They milk their prior reputation.

      In any scam, there's always an enabling mark with the deep pockets.

      In this case, the mark is the tired sectors of button-down industry (presently known as The Swamp & its canyon suburbs) that only hire the Big Bucks Diploma from Big Bucks School, while the bargain bin is stuffed to the brim with brilliant scions of cheap alternative education.

      Milk + MOOC = mook

  62. Duke is already $50k a year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Private schools are already $30-50k per year. A doctorate, which to get a job in 20 years, already costs students about $240-400 a year in the U.S. If there's no scholarships or grants. State schools are much cheaper. Those may take 20 years to catch up, but maybe not.

    1. Re:Duke is already $50k a year by __aaclcg7560 · · Score: 1

      A doctorate, which to get a job in 20 years, already costs students about $240-400 a year in the U.S.

      Golly, Miss Molly! You mean I can get a doctorate for the same price as an IT certification?!

  63. ditch diggers and not college material needs to co by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    ditch diggers and not college material needs to come back.

    As we have really made it so that in HS you are viewed as a loser if you are thinning about trades and the HR people have really made the tech schools look bad as well.

  64. End guaranteed loans by moeinvt · · Score: 1

    Cost: What the university must pay to provide an education service to the students.
    Price: What the students are charged for the service.

    It is certainly not "cost" increases that have driven the ridiculous rate of "price" increases. Professors aren't getting rich. Costs for building & maintaining classroom space haven't skyrocketed. Nor has anything else that's critical to providing education.

    Colleges & Universities, even the supposedly "non profit" institutions are providing a service for a price. Like any other business, they crank up the price as high as they can without losing customers. The availability of "guaranteed" student loans is the only reason that these ridiculous price increases have not caused a sharp decline in enrollment. The schools keep charging more because they know that the students have access to tens of thousands of dollars in debt and can thus pay the price.

    Time to get the federal government out of higher education completely. Get rid of this guaranteed access to credit and eliminate loans that cannot be discharged in bankruptcy. Tuition prices would have to come way down because the overwhelming majority of people could not afford the price.

  65. You will a POST PDH to get an basic office job by Joe_Dragon · · Score: 1

    You will a POST PDH to get an basic office job for 45K-55K a year with about half of that going to pay off your loan.

  66. There's Lies, Damned Lies .. by Toad-san · · Score: 1

    and Statistics. What a stupid report.

  67. We're not talking about for profit by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    nobody gives a rat's behind about ITT tech & the "University" of Phoenix. You're using them as a Straw Man to ignore skyrocketing costs at PUBLIC schools.

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  68. Where's Disco Stu? by ColaMan · · Score: 1

    Whenever I see one of "If these trends continue"- style prediction, I think of Disco Stu saying it.

    (Disco Stu is doing a sales ptich to Homer)
    Disco Stu: Did you know that disco record sales were up 400% for the year ending 1976? If these trends continue.... A-y-y-y!

    --

    You are in a twisty maze of processor lines, all alike.
    There is a lot of hype here.
  69. Got to raise it! by theendlessnow · · Score: 1

    With college grads paying a half a million for education, we've just got to raise the minimum wage so that they can pay their loans back after they graduate.

  70. Cap Government-Based Student Loans by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If student loans (government types) were to be capped, then parents/students/private-sources would have to cover the remaining cost of colleges themselves.
    As a result of the line directly above this, many students will not be able to afford to go to the more expensive colleges.
    As a result of the line directly above this, the more expensive college enrollments will decrease.
    As a result of the line directly above this, the more expensive colleges will be forced to lower their prices.
    As a result of the line directly above this, colleges will be come affordable.

    Wow - decreased government involvement causes college costs to decrease! Please mail me my Nobel Prize.

  71. yawn by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...in 50 years a a ham sandwich will cost $ 37,000.

  72. Where does the money go? by myid · · Score: 1

    The first thing to do is to find out where the money is going, and publicize the numbers. One thing we should know is how much money colleges spend on things that don't have anything to do with education. For example, apparently at the University of Arizona,

    Jesus Trevino, the university’s Vice Provost for Inclusive Excellence, is paid $214,000 per year to develop diversity and inclusion themed programming for the community and instructional material for the faculty.

  73. What about stuff designed to be fixed by drones? by Paul+Fernhout · · Score: 1

    See James P. Hogan: Two Faces of Tomorrow scifi novel: https://books.google.com/books...

    Otherwise, I agree with your insightful comment. Good luck to you and your family!

    About 50 other ideas I collected together: http://pdfernhout.net/beyond-a...

    --
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  74. The reason it can't be dumped by NotSoHeavyD3 · · Score: 1

    It is only the US that forces student loans that can't be dumped in any way.

    There's a simple reason it can't be dumped except for things like getting crippled very badly. There's nothing to repossess. I mean in theory you could take the person's degree away from them but they'd still come out with whatever they learned and whatever network connections they made in college. On the other hand if you don't pay for your car loan the bank takes away the car and sells it to somebody else. The deal is if you could just get out of it like that no bank would make student loans. (Since people would and have declare bankruptcy to avoid paying for things like med school.)

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  75. #3 - Griggs vs Duke Power by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Already happened, years ago.

    Griggs v Duke Power Co, 401 US 424 (1971), was a court case argued before the Supreme Court of the United States on December 14, 1970. It concerned employment discrimination and the adverse impact theory, and was decided on March 8, 1971. It is generally considered the first case of its type.

    Basically, a black man was unable to apply for a job because he did not have a HS diploma, and the diploma was not a "bona fide occupational qualification" (BFOQ in the discrimination literature), and since black men did not have equal opportunity to earn such diplomas, the diploma requirement had a "disparate impact" on a protected class.

    "On the record before us, neither the high school completion requirement nor the general intelligence test is shown to bear a demonstrable relationship to successful performance of the jobs for which it was used. Both were adopted, as the Court of Appeals noted, without meaningful study of their relationship to job performance ability. Rather, a vice-president of the Company testified, the requirements were instituted on the Company's judgment that they generally would improve the overall quality of the workforce"

    Similar cases over the years have come up - a college degree requirement for a legal receptionist, for instance, the caption of which eludes me now.

  76. Free Universal Education for ALL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is only one REAL solution.
    Treat education as a basic human right, offer it or make it accessible to everyone for FREE or at least affordable for EVERYONE, like the rest of the ENTIRE f*ing developed world.... Same with healthcare BTW ...
    I am still amazed how Americans seem to think their system is the best, if not the only way... You do realize that in most other countries, we have universal education and healthcare for everyone and we are still rather well of?
    Maybe we have a less billionaires, but we also have exponentially fewer people in poverty...

  77. Competition by thunderclees · · Score: 1

    In the US the problem is that all education is subsidized and in higher ed it is very easy for them to fill a seat with a non-citizen so there is really no impetus for education to reduce costs. Oddly the closest competition for them seems to be online learning but unless it is remote learning in a degree program online courses seem to lack the cachet of a degree.

  78. diploma mills by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I forget the Doc I watched, but it was all about the for profit university scams in the US. Basically the next big housing crisis. There is a whole industry of "education" gaming the student loan system in the US for fun and profit. It is so overt one has to wonder why nothing has been done, then you consider how many Billions (indeed Trillions) are at stake to understand how in the broken US political system the status quo is just fine. The loans are guaranteed by government, and are not even disposed of through bankruptcy. It is a ticket to generate free money off the backs of the poor and uneducated (literally). Heck even the ads for these school are borderline profiling to the point they are hard to watch. It is just another debt for profit scheme where a wealthy few destroy the lives of many. The reason the cost keeps going up is the whole whatever the market will take, which being artificially inflated just keeps going up.

    Eventually the bottom will fall out of it all, it is just a matter of when, and what the impacts will be. Sooner or later folks with fake degrees and no job will just default on loans (regardless of them not going away or not). Folks won't be able to afford the costs even with loans. Folks will figure out that getting that piece of paper doesn't necessarily translate into any type of good employment. Once all that kicks in, some serious economic stuff is going to happen nationally. About the only thing slowing it down is the fact that the loans don't go away, so continued payment even a bit, keeps it rolling along. However as the saying goes you can't get blood from a stone.

  79. Inflation? by cwsumner · · Score: 1

    Maybe, but only because politicians pushing inflation has reduced the value of the money, so that a hamburger costs $500.00 ! ;-)