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After Two Months of Quiet, North Korea Launches Another Ballistic Missile (arstechnica.com)

South Korean and U.S. officials have confirmed that North Korea has launched another ballistic missile into the sea of Japan. The ballistic missile test -- launched just after 3am Wednesday local time from Sin-ni in South Pyongyang -- is the first since an intermediate-range missile test in September. Ars Technica reports: In a statement to the press, a spokesperson for South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff said, "North Korea fired an unidentified ballistic missile early this morning from Pyongsong, South Pyongan [Province], to the east direction. South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff is analyzing more details of the missile with the U.S. side." The U.S. Department of Defense and the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) have made an initial assessment that the missile was an ICBM, according to Office of the Secretary of Defense spokesperson Col. Robert Manning. The missile traveled 1,000 kilometers, flew over Japan, and landed in the sea east of Japan within its exclusive economic zone.

140 of 245 comments (clear)

  1. What's Japan doing ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    ... about sovereign airspace violation?

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    1. Re:What's Japan doing ... by wjcofkc · · Score: 2

      After WW2 they adopted a doctrine of passivity. They don't even have their own nukes. The deal is the US defends them. We are their primary military defense.

      So the pundits are already saying we need to just back off and use diplomacy. Now, if NK landed an ICBM off the coast of California, would they suddenly sing a different tune?

      Roughly, this is the time line I have watched unfold over my lifetime:
      1. Don't worry, NK is a joke. Maintain the DMZ and they will eventually warm up to the international community and we can all hold hands.
      2. The rumor that they are working on nuclear weapons is preposterous. They lack the sophistication. Maintain the status quo and eventually we will be friends.
      3. Okay so they developed the atomic bomb. Don't worry, it's not like they can make more and those things are to big to put on a missile anyway. Not to mention, they lack the sophistication to even build an ICBM and always will.
      4. Oh, they made a long range missile. Never mind that they flew one over Japan, it's all good! It's still not an ICBM and it's not like they have the capacity to make a bunch more and will certainly never develop a full ICBM. Besides, they will never be able to develop the h bomb they would for a nuke payload. Slap on some more sanctions, be diplomatic and before you know it we will be be great friends!
      5. Oh, so now they have ICBM technology, they are still flying them right over Japan, and they have the h bomb. No worries! Slap on some more sanctions and soon enough we will all be friends! It's not like they would ever actually nuke Japan, SK, or the USA. That is just silly!
      Next. After NK nuked Japan, SK, and San Francisco, international confusion and military paranoia ensued. Everyone launched everything at everyone. Now there is no one left to comment.

      --
      Brought to you by Carl's Junior.
    2. Re:What's Japan doing ... by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I've seen various estimates showing that Japan could have nukes in short order if they desired. They have all of the relevant tech, the expertise, the money, and the raw materials. Certainly not advocated for them to build them, but it would likely be a relatively trivial exercise for them to develop nuclear arms.

    3. Re: What's Japan doing ... by wjcofkc · · Score: 1

      And if they launched one that landed just on the outside edge of international water, otherwise on it's way to California, and it could be established that it could have gone all the way if they wanted it to?

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      Brought to you by Carl's Junior.
    4. Re:What's Japan doing ... by Orgasmatron · · Score: 1

      Somewhere between an all-nighter and a long weekend.

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      See that "Preview" button?
    5. Re: What's Japan doing ... by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Interesting

      "Jap" is just short for Japanese. It is no different than saying "Brit" or "Yank". If you give Japanese people a form that has a field for "nationality", instead of writing out "ni-hon-jin", they will usually write a single kanji that basically means "Jap" (but in other contexts can mean "day" or "sun"). If they abbreviate their nationality down to one syllable, then why can't we?

    6. Re:What's Japan doing ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      TL;DR

      NK violated Japan airspace.

      Notice the limited scope of "NK and Japan."

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      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    7. Re: What's Japan doing ... by Scarletdown · · Score: 1

      And on that note...

      If a cliched Jewish American Princess were to somehow be granted Japanese citizenship, would she be a Jap JAP?

      (I'm here all night folks... That is unless I get bored and switch over to Star Trek Online before getting my sleep.)

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    8. Re: What's Japan doing ... by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      Hey, lets not get bigoted about letters, why less letters, more letters are OK (and not a white power sign) too. So septic tank becomes yank becomes American, don't take offence at the seppo bit it was world war II and everyone was a little tense at the time.

      When it comes to airspace there is an altitude limit https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/..., so somewhere between 30km and 160km. I know Americans are blindly egoistic but hey, don't get the rest of us caught up in your desire to claim the entire galaxy with unlimited altitude above the US as it rotates and orbits the sun, so no the entire galaxy is not in US airspace. Not to forget https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... are not territorial waters, just an economic grab agreed to claim resources beyond the territorial zone.

      So mainly unfair risky behaviour in terms of declaring crash zone to ensure vessel remain clear and prior notification for safety reason. When it comes to the launch, so what, just a big ole waste of money that could be better spent on other things.

      Reality is for all the MAD https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... crap, sure balistic missiles are the crazy fuck arse way to go but for smaller countries and stand off https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/..., make a lot more sense. Sure they can't really target inland cities but coastal cities are wide open to that attack and of course nuclear torpedoes create a very effective stand off defence for the submarine armed with them. They just need to be fired in the general direction and detonated, not when they are near the target but when they are sufficient far enough away from the firing submarine to not destroy itself. (it is also a whole lot slower, kind of waiting for each major coastal city to fall over the following weeks, quite ugly really)

      Why the missiles, all show and no go, the torpedoes simply can not be demonstrated without 'er' being demonstrated in a rather undesirable fashion. The US just wants to steal other less advanced countries resources and the rest is blather and bullshit. This is not even a function of the US government, but the tail wagging the dog, US corporations driving the US government to chaotic insanity trying to pursue idiotic plots and schemes to feed insatiable greed, the more they have, the more they want and trying to sate that greed is destroying the US. So two idiots are poking each other on a public stage and the rest of the world is getting to the, just fuck off stage and that is for BOTH countries.

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      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    9. Re: What's Japan doing ... by rfengr · · Score: 1

      Eventually they’ll develop the gliding reentry vehicles like the Russians.

    10. Re: What's Japan doing ... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      Its the whole N word thing over again.,, as in.. Its OK for them to call each other it in normal everyday usage, but not ok for other people to even write the word. This is called Racial Equality.

    11. Re:What's Japan doing ... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Notice the limited scope of "NK and Japan."

      The scope is not limited to NK and Japan thanks to a treaty forced on Japan by the USA after the war.

      If any scope regarding international conflict ever includes Japan, it by default now includes the USA.

      Learn some history.

    12. Re:What's Japan doing ... by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      ... about sovereign airspace violation?

      Everything they are allowed to based on their agreements with the USA after the war: "Asking the USA to intervene"

    13. Re:What's Japan doing ... by jittles · · Score: 1

      I've seen various estimates showing that Japan could have nukes in short order if they desired. They have all of the relevant tech, the expertise, the money, and the raw materials. Certainly not advocated for them to build them, but it would likely be a relatively trivial exercise for them to develop nuclear arms.

      I just came back from Asia and, according to Singapore TV news, Japan indicated last week that they can build over a thousand nuclear weapons in less than 3 months. They have everything ready to go, they have just not chosen to do so due to the fact that many of the citizens of Japan are strongly against nuclear weapons.

    14. Re:What's Japan doing ... by Bongo · · Score: 1

      I've seen various estimates showing that Japan could have nukes in short order if they desired. They have all of the relevant tech, the expertise, the money, and the raw materials. Certainly not advocated for them to build them, but it would likely be a relatively trivial exercise for them to develop nuclear arms.

      I just came back from Asia and, according to Singapore TV news, Japan indicated last week that they can build over a thousand nuclear weapons in less than 3 months. They have everything ready to go, they have just not chosen to do so due to the fact that many of the citizens of Japan are strongly against nuclear weapons.

      Presumably, all of them with 3D face scanner targeting, set for NK's Dictator.

      And after they blow up Humpty Humpty, the Japanese will go over and carefully piece Humpty Dumpty back together again with very fine craftsmanship and glue.

      And then we will all acknowledge it to be a very great work of Wabi.

    15. Re:What's Japan doing ... by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      I don't know about 1000, that would require a lot of material, and mass production capability, which I'm not sure they have setup. Though given the current climate that might prompt them to change that.

      However I have heard the 3 month timeline and I believe it. They could most certainly have a bunch in short order if they really wanted to. Also they already have an advanced space program, so likely the jump from that to a delivery system is pretty minor also.

    16. Re:What's Japan doing ... by jittles · · Score: 1

      I don't know about 1000, that would require a lot of material, and mass production capability, which I'm not sure they have setup. Though given the current climate that might prompt them to change that.

      However I have heard the 3 month timeline and I believe it. They could most certainly have a bunch in short order if they really wanted to. Also they already have an advanced space program, so likely the jump from that to a delivery system is pretty minor also.

      I assumed that meant the warheads themselves and not necessarily thousands of rockets to deliver them. Assuming they have enough material, I am positive they have an ample supply sophisticated CNC machines necessary to shape warheads and explosive charges used to initiate the fission reaction. I wouldn't be surprised if they have enough tritium to create hydrogen bombs, too.

    17. Re: What's Japan doing ... by Alypius · · Score: 1

      I don't get the whole N-word thing...Nine nice ninjas noodled nefarious neocons near Norway. (I'm sure I stole that from somewhere, don't know where)

  2. It Flew OVER Japan? by SCVonSteroids · · Score: 1

    So in other words are we going to wait until it flies INTO Japan to do anything or is this all just for show and anyone that matters is in on it?
    I know this is a complicated political mess but does Japan really need to put up with these Twitter flame wars when they're literally having hostile ICBMs flying over them?

    I'm not calling for military action, this just seems overly strange/irresponsible from both sides.

    Surely there's something I'm missing out of all this? Surely?!

    --
    I tend to rant.
    1. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Tesen · · Score: 1

      I'm not calling for military action, this just seems overly strange/irresponsible from both sides.

      Surely there's something I'm missing out of all this? Surely?!

      So continue with the sanctions then?

    2. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Don't worry, the UN will send them a strongly-worded letter expressing their dissatisfaction.

    3. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Ritz_Just_Ritz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      So are you advocating a "wait and see" attitude? Maybe we should continue to hope China can be a "positive influence" on them? That didn't work out so well for Neville Chamberlain who hoped to use the Italians and the French to temper Hitler's ambitions.

      It's only a matter of time before this blows up in the faces of the civilized world. Better to deal with it sooner than wait until NK is bristling with nuclear armed ballistic missiles. They have proven time and again to be untrustworthy.

    4. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by SCVonSteroids · · Score: 1

      We are extremely dissapointed in your behavior.

      Please stop it.

      Regards,
      The UN.

      --
      I tend to rant.
    5. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      South Korea won't allow military action, as they shouldn't. My speculation is that Trump is trying to provoke Kim Jong "Rocket Man" Un to do something rash -- like fire a not-so-test missile prematurely so it malfunctions -- so that the US has more options. Potentially though if provoked enough Kim may be so crazy to give an order his generals won't stomach so if they are all in agreement he'll disappear in a coup. One clue about the latter is Trump in his insults makes a clear distinction between Kim and North Koreans.

      It's a dangerous game, but so is the alternative. Kim is unstable, undeserving of throne, and by all accounts unloved (Stalin and Hitler were loved by many of their people), so getting his own people to reject such "king" may be the least bloody strategy.

    6. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by hackwrench · · Score: 1

      Maybe try some carrots instead of sticks?

    7. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by hackwrench · · Score: 1

      Well sticks sure haven't had a slimming effect on him!

    8. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Scarletdown · · Score: 2

      Not any more. No one is brave enough to deliver it and risk getting dropped into a tank of sharks.

      Or did Kim Jong Goon eat the sharks already?

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      This space unintentionally left blank.
    9. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Maybe try some carrots instead of sticks?

      That is what everyone has been doing for 50 years. They take the aid, then not do what they promised, sanctions to punish in retaliation, then NK sabre rattling for more aid. Repeat.

    10. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by hackwrench · · Score: 1

      That isn't what they have been doing. I hear aid in some form has been getting to North Korea, but from who and to who and what's actually in it never gets really described, but has something really nice been tied to Kim Jung Un making positive changes himself. So far, the aid seems untied to changes and in areas that don't move anyone in NK to make a change. Nobody's really talking to NK to see what they actually want. It even remains a complete mystery as to why all these people, not just Un are set on firing missile after missile in the first place. Firing missiles don't even seem to be a losing strategy for ending sanctions, so are all these people just bored? We just get statements that lack any effort at being propaganda. The word Evil gets thrown about. People do things for real reasons and we aren't trying to figure out what North Korea's reasons are. We are trying "solutions" that we imagine worked in the past, but in reality we had numerous wars to show for it. The Shadows and the Vorlons of Babylon 5 asked people "What do you want?" and "Who are you?" and nobody is asking the North Koreans this. There also seems to be a foregone conclusion that Kim Jong Un wouldn't let the question be asked, but nobody is getting up the courage to even try. Nobody thinks to ask the North Korean soldiers in the Demilitarized Zone why they shot the fellow crossing from their side over to the South Korean side or what was going through their minds. Access to the North Korean people should be priority one, but I hear nada.

    11. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

      Maybe try some carrots instead of sticks?

      Jimmy Carter ... is that you? All jokes aside he should have had to give back the Nobel prize he got when the North Koreans duped him.

      Citation: https://nypost.com/2016/01/06/...

    12. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by n3r0.m4dski11z · · Score: 1

      "So in other words are we going to wait until it flies INTO Japan to do anything "

      You are pretty much playing into kims hand with that attitude.

      When a toddler throws a tantrum, or a troll starts a harassment campaign, what is the best response?

      Ignore them. They are looking for attention, so any attention, bad attention, good attention, war attention; that is what they are seeking. So to deny them that is the ultimate defeat of this strategy. They haven't actually hurt anyone, except their own people, so let them throw stones into the sea till they are blue in the face.

      There are no easy answers on this one. If someone attacks them, many will die. Waiting, there is only the possible chance that people will die. Besides the poor northerners of attrition, of course.

       

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    13. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by aberglas · · Score: 1

      +1

    14. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by SCVonSteroids · · Score: 1

      You're missing the point. And your analogy is terrible.

      You don't ignore toddlers throwing tantrums, you give them love. Leaving kids alone is bad, look it up.
      I'm fine with comparing Kim to a toddler, but you need to understand millions of lives are in the balance. That's usually not the case when kids go ape shit.

      --
      I tend to rant.
    15. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Baron_Yam · · Score: 4, Insightful

      > My speculation is that Trump is trying to provoke Kim Jong "Rocket Man" Un to do something rash

      My speculation is that Trump has an ego only outsized by his mouth, and he has no plan at all beyond trying to out-insult NK. He's a stupid egotistical hypersensitive bully, and simply doesn't have a complicated playbook to draw on.

      The difference between my speculation and yours is that mine explains everything he's said and done and yours... well, yours doesn't.

    16. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Tesen · · Score: 1

      In case you didn't know Kim Jong Un is fat. He doesn't get that way by eating carrots.

      I beg to differ. You add a tub of ranch to that...

    17. Re:It Flew OVER Japan? by Tesen · · Score: 1

      The hard on we have for NK does not work unless China goes full ex-mistress on them. Everything Trump is doing so far is just about ego masturbating.

  3. Re:Let Japan settle ... by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Has China ever figured it out that Peking is closer than Santa Barbera?

  4. Re:Let Japan settle ... by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

    Nah, they'll try to sooth things over. Japan isn't a sovereign nation so much as a petri dish in which to develop Humans with a high tolerance to radiation so we can sequence the genes and apply them across all of Humanity to make space colonization easier. Fukushima is wearing off so a rogue nation popping a wave of nukes off onto their coast would make a great third exposure.

  5. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    Has NK ever shot a missile across Peking?

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  6. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    Your comment is as useless as tits on a boar.

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  7. Re:effect of sanctions by MightyYar · · Score: 1

    a. India is not in any kind of state of war with the US, and
    b. India never signed the NPT, whereas N. Korea did, and then "pulled out" after being found to be in violation.

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    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  8. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's not their "jurisdiction". It is their neighborhood. But any conflict they get into is also our conflict, due to our commitment to their security.

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    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  9. Re:Okay sure, but... by wjcofkc · · Score: 1

    Japan refuses to have nukes.

    --
    Brought to you by Carl's Junior.
  10. Re:Let Japan settle ... by Bradac_55 · · Score: 1

    Other than we (USA) disarmed Japan and took away any nuclear weapon ability they had.

  11. Re:Okay sure, but... by Bradac_55 · · Score: 1

    Not quite, we (USA) disarmed them and removed that ability later. It would require a treaty change that has US tax dollars riding on it.

  12. Re:Okay sure, but... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Not quite, we (USA) disarmed them and removed that ability later. It would require a treaty change that has US tax dollars riding on it.

    Um, not quite at all. It would take a change to the Japanese Constitution to allow nuclear weapons, it has nothing to do with the US.

    FYI, the US actually considered suggesting that Japan have nuclear weapons in the 1960s, but due to the sensitivity of this suggestion, decided to just STFU about it.

  13. Re:Let Japan settle ... by Zontar_Thing_From_Ve · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... with NK.

    It's Japan's jurisdiction.

    Sadly, this really ignorant post is currently modded "Insightful", which it most certainly is not. And I have no mod points to mod it down with.

    North Korea has no diplomatic relations with Japan, nor is it interesting in "settling" any issue at all with Japan. The purpose of the ballistic missiles is to threaten the USA. The only player in this game that North Korea wants to settle anything with is the USA. And just so you know, in the past a Japanese administration tried the "play nice" tactic with North Korea and it didn't accomplish anything except end up with Japan giving up food aid for nothing in return.

  14. Re:Let Japan settle ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    You cunts bitch when we get involved and you bitch when we don't. Make up your fucking mind already.

  15. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    Nukes are not the weapon of choice to knock down a missile.

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  16. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1, Informative

    "ignorant?"

    Did NK violate Japanese airspace or not?

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  17. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    The US did not fire the missile.

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  18. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    So what?

    If the US gets fired upon, it's other people's conflict by reciprocity.

    Are you suggesting the US is bound by your logic to defense by committee?

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    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  19. G.O.A.T. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1, Funny

    Trump is doing a magnificent job. One of the all-time great brains. His tough talk has really put Kim Jong-un in his place.

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    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:G.O.A.T. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      As opposed to the brilliant job Obama did?

      Do dream and think you can just ignore NK they are not going away. Either they arm themselves with full nuclear weapons or Trump does something.
      Also if they have Nukes other will buy them off them (infact chances are they are being funded to do this development by others who want Nukes but not the heat of developing Nukes.) Others would be including terrorists (if you don't actually count NK as terrorists.)

      A little patience and it will all work out and whiners who say that Trump does it all wrong will be kept safe by him doing it wrong so well that he ends up stopping them totally. Side note, we are at war there is just a lull in the fighting.

    2. Re:G.O.A.T. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Actually, the US isn't technically in any wars just now (I know.. I know), the last war we declared was WWII.

      SK on the other hand, they are still at war with NK. Officially.

    3. Re:G.O.A.T. by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Better than President Obama's policy of strategic patience, where you simply wait until the other side has violated every condition and exhausted all your options. Then it's too late, and it's now called strategic neglect. Ignoring a problem and hoping it goes away usually doesn't work in real life...

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      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    4. Re:G.O.A.T. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Better than President Obama's policy of strategic patience, where you simply wait until the other side has violated every condition and exhausted all your options. Then it's too late, and it's now called strategic neglect. Ignoring a problem and hoping it goes away usually doesn't work in real life...

      Okay, how has Trump's policy been more effective? The whole point of North Korea getting nuclear weapons as fast as possible is to deter other countries like the United States from messing with them. Trump's actions have either accelerated their efforts or done nothing, meaning their rate of progress remains as fast as possible. They have definitely increased the odds of a tragic mistake occurring.

      Trump doesn't have the credibility to pull off a seriously threat. He lies too much. No one takes him seriously on anything. Hell he lies about even things he admitted, such as the Access Hollywood tape.

      Actually the current tax bill is the opposite of what we need on North Korea. Being more in debt to China which protects North Korea for their own interests, does not help our North Korean problem. Of course deficits don't matter when the republicans are in charge. They will just pass their crap and then blame all the fallout on the next democrat or the previous, or people that never even got elected such as Hillary.

    5. Re:G.O.A.T. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      There are plenty of reasons to hate Trump, but he is par for the course when it comes to dealing with North Korea.

      Trump is the only one who promised he'd solve the North Korea situation because he's such a tremendous dealmaker.

      There are plenty of reasons to hate Trump, but he is par for the course when it comes to dealing with North Korea.

      So what you're saying is that at best, he's par for the course. "Par" is not what we were told to expect.

      There are plenty of reasons to hate Trump, but he is par for the course when it comes to dealing with North Korea.

      It's not "par" when you've made the situation measurably worse.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    6. Re:G.O.A.T. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      But Trump's definitely a *far* better man for it than that last guy was.

      Even though by every objective measure he's doing *far* worse?

      Just stand back, be quiet, and let the adults fix this mess.

      If by "adults", you mean Putin, I have to say I'm not quite comfortable putting "this mess" in his hands.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    7. Re:G.O.A.T. by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      It's not "par" when you've made the situation measurably worse.

      You don't somehow think that all of the missiles that North Korea has been firing were somehow summoned by magic since the start of the Trump administration, do you? They were obviously being worked on during the Obama administration. What we are seeing is the flowering of Obama's work. (Or do you blame Her?)

      So what you're saying is that at best, he's par for the course. "Par" is not what we were told to expect.

      Trump hasn't even been in office for a year yet and he already has far more rigorous sanctions in place than Obama achieved, has China cooperating, and missile defense is getting a big boost in funding. He seems to be making progress that Obama couldn't. Lets see what happens between now and the end of the eighth year of the Trump administration.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    8. Re:G.O.A.T. by PopeRatzo · · Score: 2

      After 10 months the Trump administration already has far more rigorous sanctions in place than the Obama administration accomplished, and Trump's team did it with the United Nations and diplomacy, including diplomacy with allied nations.

      There have been sanctions on North Korea (even more stringent than the current ones) on and off for decades. They've never worked.

      Trump loves to point to the status quo and then credit himself with a win. You're so besotted with him that you buy it every time.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    9. Re:G.O.A.T. by gtall · · Score: 1

      Ah, the old "the other guy is worse" excuse. Obama doesn't matter...except to that nutcase in the White House who is fixated on him because he's got no new ideas of his own. All of Trump's ego-deranged blather and bluster means nothing and the Norks know it.

  20. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by Snotnose · · Score: 1

    This actually makes a ton of sense. GTFO of South Korea, sell them, Japan, and Taiwan nuke missiles with plenty of range to nail China. Also sell them the whatever it takes to get full radar coverage over China, so we know not only where every one of their F-16 copies and battleships go, but also their Cessnas. Then watch China shit their pants A) getting rid of the Nork problem; and B) negotiating to get all those missiles/radar systems dafuq away.

    Lets be honest, the only reason lil' Kim can continue his nuke program is because of China. Diplomacy hasn't worked in getting China to stop lil' Kim, maybe flat out terror will.

  21. The 5th Dimensions by AndyKron · · Score: 1, Funny

    Up up and away.... in my beautiful, my beautiful ka-boom!

  22. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    It has always been a dangerous situation. Even without the nuclear weapons there was always the threat of a conventional war in which North Korea has enough conventional artillery near the DMZ to kill tens of thousands in South Korea in the first day alone.

    But then for the US the only thing that matters is what happens to the US. The vast majority of Americans only ever talk about their casualties from the latest Iraq and Afghanistan wars. It's rare to hear an American talk about the people killed on both sides, mostly civilians. The US had the sympathy of the world after the 9/11 attacks and have thrown it away through the invasions and attitude they have shown towards people that are different to them. That has only reinforced the cycle of hatred in the world. Not caring about the innocent victims in North Korea, and surrounding area, with the president wanting a military solution is just another example.

  23. We just want war by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    Lots of folks like it. Especially The dropping bombs part. After Saddam and Gaddafi disarmed we invaded and bombed. You think North Korea learned nothing from that? We as a nation are not to be trusted.

    --
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    1. Re:We just want war by micahraleigh · · Score: 1

      Lots of recent corruption, to be sure.

      I wouldn't describe Saddam as disarming. His nuclear weapons program went dormant (not extinct, still with 4+ metric tons of uranium), and he wouldn't allow weapons inspectors to do their stuff. He sounded belligerent in the press to me.

      Looking back on it, I think we should have set the threshold higher for going to war, but it's not like he was complying with the terms of Iraq 1 surrender.

    2. Re:We just want war by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      Lots of folks like it. Especially The dropping bombs part. After Saddam and Gaddafi disarmed we invaded and bombed. You think North Korea learned nothing from that? We as a nation are not to be trusted.

      Implying Saddam and Gaddafi were 'playing nice' is one of the most sinister and stupid things apologists for their regimes have come up with. Saddam and Gaddafi both supported international terrorists, pursued WMD programs and had committed genocides. Gaddafi's removal was only conducted because he was, by his own public proclamation, in the process of conducting a genocide. One can presume you object to the international communities efforts to abort this genocide? That you are in fact 'pro' genocide?

      Saddam didn't 'disarm'. He invaded a UN member state and declared it part of Iraq. When the US led forces liberated Kuwait from Saddam, they also forcibly disarmed him. They also imposed conditions on his being allowed to continue to remain in power in Iraq. The important ones being a no-fly zone over northern Iraq to prevent him from committing another genocide against the Kurdish Iraqi's and a requirement for International inspections to ensure he didn't restart his WMD programs that had been forcibly taken from him.

      Saddam violated the no fly zone routinely and he repeatedly stalled, barred and ejected the international inspection teams. When America was of a mind to say better safe than sorry regarding WMD's in his hands, he refused to allow inspections to prove he had none. That doesn't sound like disarming.

      Your quaint little 'we are not to be trusted' throw away suggests that somehow Saddam and Gaddafi were hard done by. It implies the idiotic notion that the NK regime would never have pursued nuclear weapons if Saddam and Gaddafi had been left alone.

      Your entire comment is as stupid as it is sinister apologetics for the worst dictators and monsters of our era.

    3. Re:We just want war by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

      Did Saddam commit a genocide? I think there's a difference between massacres and genocide. If the beef is he deliberately killed thousands of civilian Kurds from the air, the US just did something not too dissimilar in Mossul and Raqqa. The cities were destroyed WW2 style pretty much killing thousands...

      I was of course referencing the A-Anfal campaign, your wiki primer is here. It's documented more thoroughly and extensively at Human Rights Watch here.

      Saddam's campaign saw the destruction of 90% of Kurdish villages. The use of chemical weapons on those villages. A death toll estimated between 100 and 200 thousand. Concentration camps were setup. Fighting age males were sorted and shipped out from the camps on buses like cattle to be shot and buried in mass graves by bulldozers. The women in the camps were systematically raped, not as punishment or intimidation but to impregnate Kurdish women with half Arab children in an effort to breed the Kurds out of existence in one swing as the other Kurdish males of 'fighting' age were being buried in the desert.

      Yeah, go ahead and put a question mark around whether all that really classifies as 'genocide' or not.

  24. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

    I honestly don't follow your logic, but maybe you don't understand mine. I simply mean that the US is bound by treaty to defend Japan. Seemed like a good idea right after they killed a couple of hundred thousand Americans.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  25. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

    You are probably right, but I think it would depend on the nature of the threat, the current US president, and the political mood of the time. As it is, none of that matters and it would simply be automatic - even if that meant war with China or Russia. Without the treaty, I think it would be more like the situation in Taiwan, where the involvement of the US would very much depend on other circumstances and would not be automatic.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  26. Re:Let Japan settle ... by penandpaper · · Score: 1

    Or as useful as a bump on a log. The effect is the same.

  27. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    What's America got to do with this story?

    To review:

    NK fired a missile over Japan and it landed in Japanese economic waters.

    North Korea

    Japan

    Watch the ball.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  28. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by sheramil · · Score: 1

    We would, and should, turn their whole country to dust.

    That seems a little harsh on the people who are being held there by the army, which, it appears, is the entire civilian population.

    Say, did you ever hear of Hassan I Sabbah? He had some interesting ideas with regards the moral superiority of assassination over warfare.

    (Smug DBZA Vegeta voice) Just... saiyan.

  29. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 3, Informative

    You are being deliberately obtuse. The US is bound by treaty to defend Japan. If you didn't know that before, you certainly do after reading my last comment. Treaties have the force of law. So any security problem for Japan is a security problem for the US, even if you neglect the thousands of US troops stationed in (drumroll) Japan.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  30. China / North Korea by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 1

    would just shit themselves if Japan finally said " Fuck this " and started testing their own ballistic missiles by launching them over the North Korean peninsula and landing them in the South China Sea.

    Hell, just to watch the drama unfold, I would even give them a dozen ICBM's to play with were I sitting on a stockpile.

    1. Re:China / North Korea by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 1

      haha correction, Yellow Sea :|

      That would be one hell of a trajectory if they shot it over NK and back down to the SCS. Though I suppose a cruise missile would do the trick.

  31. This missile is an SS18. It can hit DC or New York by schwit1 · · Score: 4, Informative
    With that the NORKS don't need to miniaturize the warhead. The SS18 is a massive missile.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/0...

  32. Re:Let Japan settle ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    Well, I apologize for your lack of relevance.

    And mine.

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  33. Re:Let Japan settle ... by Camel+Pilot · · Score: 1

    Just curious why did you pick Santa Barbara here?

  34. Re:Okay sure, but... by reboot246 · · Score: 1

    Giving nukes to Japan is somewhat complicated. Giving them to South Korea is easier and could be done tomorrow. Since South Korea is probably in greater danger, it just makes sense that they have the nukes they need to retaliate in case NK attacks them (either with nukes or conventional forces). It might just wake up that maniac with the bad haircut.

  35. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MorePower · · Score: 1

    You seem to be repeatedly (intentionally?) ignoring the fact that the United States is responsible for the defense of Japan per the treaty we imposed on them after WWII.

  36. I'm amazed by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    ...that Japan isn't retaliating after repeated WMD incursions of its sovereign airspace.

    Can the Japanese even be sure just from the missile's trajectory that it isn't actually aimed at Japan? I mean the most effective way of using a nuke is actually not to hit the target but to detonate it in the atmosphere above the target.

    It really makes me concerned about what would actually happen if the missile failed in flight and inadvertently landed on Japanese soil.

    1. Re: I'm amazed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      It is a ballistic missile. A few minutes after launch you know with high certainty where it will land. It cannot maneuver a lot. If the missile fails it breaks apart and the pieces burn up on reentry. it is actually in space, not just flying like a cruise missile.

    2. Re:I'm amazed by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      in the atmosphere relatively close to the ground...even for a 1 megaton bomb the optimal altitude is about 2 miles up, and north korea's largest weapon was but a fraction of that

    3. Re:I'm amazed by JustNiz · · Score: 1

      1) Thats with the agreement of the other country.
      2) The Japanese had no way of definitively knowing it didn;t have a nuclear payload on board.
      3) Nothing is perfect, even including a remote detonation device.

  37. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    Maybe they really just want to nuke the moon into the shape of Kim Jong Un's head.

  38. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

    What other country is bound to defend Japan by treaty?

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  39. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MorePower · · Score: 2

    Japan is not allowed to protect its own sovereignty militarily. The United States assumed full responsibility for Japan's military defense. It's not like the NATO treaty, we required Japan to be militarily helpless and completely dependant on the United States militarily. Japan is allowed defensive forces only and those forces are not allowed to leave Japan.

  40. Re:Okay sure, but... by just+another+AC · · Score: 1

    It might just wake up that maniac with the bad haircut.

    Yep Trump does need to wake up.

    Oh you meant someone else?

  41. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by JustNiz · · Score: 1

    >>. They can fly a missile some 50 min..How far can they get this thing to go if they are not shooting it straight up?

    Some quick back-of-an-envelope calculations show they are probably pretty close to hitting California in 50 minutes, Assuming their missile is hitting about 7500 mph which according to Wikipedia at least, is apparently not unreasonable.

    That said their test missile may not have contained a payload (and almost certainly didn't if the actual goal of their test was just to sscare other countries about their capabilities) so the extra weight of an actual nuke would probably be a very significant factor in the missile's actual maximum range.

  42. Re:Okay sure, but... by dgatwood · · Score: 1

    Or it might cause North Korea to invade South Korea and steal the working nuclear weapons, allowing them to make a big leap in their nuclear program.

    --

    Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

  43. Re:Let Japan settle ... by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

    The treaty needs to be dropped with a 10 year time frame to allow Japan time to get a military going. It's silly that the US defends the world for no upside. Same for South Korea.

  44. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

    This missile flight lasted 50 min but went only 600 miles... Nearly straight UP and straight DOWN. I point out that DPRK is obvious testing by lofting the missile way up and watching the reentry where they can see it. They are testing phases of fight other than assent, which means they have the booster they think they need.

    Now think a little about what this means. They can fly a missile some 50 min... How far can they get this thing to go if they are not shooting it straight up? I'm guessing they can go far enough to threaten more than just Japan.

    This is getting *really* dangerous folks. We either need to start building bomb shelters, deal with this threat or more likely both.

    Bring back Starwars stuff and pay for it by pulling back from silly conflicts like Iraq / Afghanistan / Yemen / etc. Being able to shoot down incoming missiles should be more feasible now and will create non-H1B jobs as a bonus.

  45. Re:Time to quit debugging Skynet, and put it onlin by Babel-17 · · Score: 1

    Woops, I posted as an AC, didn't realize I wasn't logged in.

  46. Huzzah! by hyades1 · · Score: 1

    Another big win for Trump's "We're tougher than you" diplomatic strategy.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    1. Re:Huzzah! by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      I think that boat has already sailed. After all the bellicose language and the promises of serious consequences, Trump now has to do something substantial, or be revealed as a paper tiger.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  47. Maybe you're simply insane by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

    Very few people like war, including the dropping bombs part. You don't seem to have a useful understanding of the conflicts involving either Iraq or Libya. North Korea has been pursuing nuclear technology for weapons since the 1950s. Your views are not to be trusted.

    1950s to 1960s: Early Developments

    In the early 1950s, North Korea began developing the institutional capability to train personnel for its nuclear program. In December 1952, the government established the Atomic Energy Research Institute and the Academy of Sciences, but nuclear work only began to progress when North Korea established cooperative agreements with the Soviet Union. [2] Pyongyang signed the founding charter of the Soviet Union's Joint Institute for Nuclear Research in February 1956, and began to send scientists and technicians to the USSR for training shortly thereafter. In 1959, North Korea and the Soviet Union signed an agreement on the peaceful use of nuclear energy that included a provision for Soviet help to establish a nuclear research complex in Yongbyon, North Pyongan Province. [3]

    In the early 1960s, the Soviet Union provided extensive technical assistance to North Korea in constructing the Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center, which included the installation of a Soviet IRT-2000 nuclear research reactor and associated facilities. North Korea used this small research reactor to produce radioisotopes and to train personnel. [4] Although the cabinet and the Academy of Sciences were given operational and administrative oversight of the nuclear facilities, then-North Korean leader Kim Il Sung retained ultimate control of the nuclear program and all decisions associated with weapons development.

    . . . Reportedly, Kim Il Sung asked Beijing to share its nuclear weapons technology following China's first nuclear test in October 1964, but Chinese leader Mao Zedong refused. [5] In any case, shortly thereafter, North Korean relations with China began to deteriorate.

    Oh yeah, that has Iraq and Libya written all over it!

    --
    much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
    1. Re:Maybe you're simply insane by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      Very few people like war, including the dropping bombs part. You don't seem to have a useful understanding of the conflicts involving either Iraq or Libya. North Korea has been pursuing nuclear technology for weapons since the 1950s. Your views are not to be trusted.

      1950s to 1960s: Early Developments

      In the early 1950s, North Korea began developing the institutional capability to train personnel for its nuclear program. In December 1952, the government established the Atomic Energy Research Institute and the Academy of Sciences, but nuclear work only began to progress when North Korea established cooperative agreements with the Soviet Union. [2] Pyongyang signed the founding charter of the Soviet Union's Joint Institute for Nuclear Research in February 1956, and began to send scientists and technicians to the USSR for training shortly thereafter. In 1959, North Korea and the Soviet Union signed an agreement on the peaceful use of nuclear energy that included a provision for Soviet help to establish a nuclear research complex in Yongbyon, North Pyongan Province. [3]

      In the early 1960s, the Soviet Union provided extensive technical assistance to North Korea in constructing the Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center, which included the installation of a Soviet IRT-2000 nuclear research reactor and associated facilities. North Korea used this small research reactor to produce radioisotopes and to train personnel. [4] Although the cabinet and the Academy of Sciences were given operational and administrative oversight of the nuclear facilities, then-North Korean leader Kim Il Sung retained ultimate control of the nuclear program and all decisions associated with weapons development.

      . . . Reportedly, Kim Il Sung asked Beijing to share its nuclear weapons technology following China's first nuclear test in October 1964, but Chinese leader Mao Zedong refused. [5] In any case, shortly thereafter, North Korean relations with China began to deteriorate.

      Oh yeah, that has Iraq and Libya written all over it!

      I'm battling to understand what your point is. Don't get me wrong - I'm not being facetious, I'd really rather like to know what point you were trying to make with that snippet because to me it it is so neutral that I cannot tell if you are *for* NK having nukes, *against* NK having nukes, or ambivalent about NK having nukes.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    2. Re:Maybe you're simply insane by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      The point of the quoted text is to document the long history of North Korea's nuclear ambitions. It didn't start with Trump, it didn't start in the last year. It didn't start in the last 20 years. Many people try to suggest that North Korea is reacting to Iraq and Libya, and that simply isn't so.

      The world is better off if the Korean peninsula is denuclearized.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
  48. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by aberglas · · Score: 1

    The scenario you present is the one that China would like to avoid. No nukes in NK means no nukes in South Korea or Japan.

    That said, I would suggest that putting nukes in SK makes it much less likely that there would be a war with the North. OTOH, have a pretend defence policy that bends more and more whenever NK pushes is very dangerous.

  49. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by aberglas · · Score: 1

    More to the point, a bomb of the coast of Tokyo would just be a warning shot, prior to escalation.

    If a Democrat was in the white house, they would think of many reasons not to do anything, not least of which is NK missiles that could reach the USA.

    If a Republican was in the white house, the Chinese would invite them over for dinner, pour on the charm, mention a business opportunity and the Republican would soon forget all about NK.

    Then NK might send their next missile to an isolated spot in Hokido...

  50. Treaties are just paper by aberglas · · Score: 1

    When, in a few years, NK has the capacity to send a missile to the USA, and they look crazy enough to do it, then treaties will be quietly forgotten. A Democrat would make excuses and do nothing, a Republican would talk tough and do nothing.

    The USA should threaten to pull out of the region now. Then Japan and South Korea would need their own nukes to protect against NK. Then China would take a different view of the situation, and the NK nukes would be gone.

    NK wants to be able to bully SK and Japan into giving them more and more aid and other concessions, more and more of them.

    1. Re:Treaties are just paper by gtall · · Score: 1

      It is actually worse than that. Nork defectors claim that the Sawed-Off Dumpling believes if he hits Japan and the U.S. hard enough, they will cave and declare Victory with Honor. For you youngins, that's what Nixon declared after high-tailing it out of Vietnam.

  51. Re:This missile is an SS18. It can hit DC or New Y by edi_guy · · Score: 1

    The question I have wondered is aside from the PR value of missile launches for show, wouldn't it be much easier for NK to smuggle a nuke into NY or DC? Just buy an apartment, park the nuke in the lead lined fridge and sit tight until needed. Much more straightforward than attempting to accurately aim an ICBM, dealing with re-entry, dealing with anti-missile defenses and so on.

  52. Re: Okay sure, but... by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    I know what the public documents say. But do you actually believe the Japanese have no nukes? I find that implausible.

    The Japanese have a huge civilian reactor program; first rate engineering ability; worrisome neighbors; and enough nationalist spirit for some top people to disobey the US-imposed ban. Therefore I believe it likely the Japanese have at least some nuclear retaliatory capability.

  53. Re: Let Japan settle ... by Reverend+Green · · Score: 1

    Vandenberg airforce base maybe? I believe that used to be (maybe still is??) home to many nuclear-armed ICBMs.

  54. Re: Okay sure, but... by DivineKnight · · Score: 1

    They don't need it. It has already been said, a nuclear attack on Japan will be treated like a nuclear attack on the continental US.

  55. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    It's difficult for NK to test their missiles. They have trouble avoiding other countries' territory and these countries don't like that. I think the fact that they are testing their missile straight up is a nod to Japan that they did an effort not to cross their territory - this time.
    The point of the missiles is to deter the US. There is a huge difference between a missile which is aimed in the general direction of the US and one which can target a city but for deterrence it's enough they can reach the territory and blow smoke about the precision.
    The threat to Japan and South Korea is more complicated. They have sufficient deterrence towards them and it's unlikely they want to see them build their own nukes. The US also doesn't want Japan and South Korea have a nuclear arsenal because it prefers a more dependent relationship.

    The aim of NK is to deter and to achieve a form of normalization, that they are officially accepted by the US. I think that's a reasonable aspiration, even if it comes from such a dysfunctional regime.

    If you want a reason for bombshelters, keep poking Russia.

  56. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    I wonder how much 'paint' like substance they would need to paint Kim Jong Un's head on the moon.

  57. Re:Let Japan settle ... by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Informative

    North Korea has no diplomatic relations with Japan, nor is it interesting in "settling" any issue at all with Japan.

    That's not correct. Japan has been discussing the issue of kidnappings for decades, and NK has made some quite considerable concessions. There is also a small population of NK citizens living in Japan, with a school and some NGOs based in Tokyo.

    Japan is one of the major routes in to NK for visitors too. NK likes to host international sporting events like the Pyongyang marathon, with Japanese athletes competing and Japan acting as a gateway for travel.

    --
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  58. Re: Okay sure, but... by gtall · · Score: 1

    Yeah, and everyone who believes this please stand on their head. What...no one?

  59. Re:Let Japan settle ... by gtall · · Score: 1

    Trump generally does not believe in treaties. Any country relying upon a defense treaty with that fellow in the White House needs to reassess their security.

  60. Re:Let Japan settle ... by gtall · · Score: 1

    And you are completely ignoring the bozo in the White House who will decide whether or not to honor a treaty obligation. If his current behavior is any precedent, you'd be nuts to rely on the U.S. and any defense treaty you think you have....at least until he and his alleged administration have been repudiated in an election....and not by some left-wing nutjob who similarly won't think it of worth to honor a defense treaty.

  61. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by gtall · · Score: 1

    "Due to gross incompetence by multiple administrations". Really, which one of this administration should have dragged S. Korea and Japan into a war on their soil? The Norks have never been interested in negotiations. Their defectors say the Norks only think of negotiations has kicking the can down the road while they build up more arms. They think if they can just get enough arms, that S. Korea will be theirs, with or without its people.

  62. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by gtall · · Score: 1

    China would immediately invade Taiwan before they got their first nuke, it is that important to the bastard regime in Beijing that they appear to have big dicks by non-allowing a free group of approx. 23 million free Chinese. It makes them look bad.

  63. Re:Let Japan settle ... by dunkelfalke · · Score: 1

    Probably not given the typical altitudes of ICBMs.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  64. Re:Let Japan settle ... by MightyYar · · Score: 1

    I actually agree with you - in general I'd like to see US policy be to have a long-term goal of extricating ourselves from our position as World Police. With that said, existent treaties have a history and need to be honored. I think I agree that Japan is not the same place it was in the early-to-mid 20th century and can be entrusted with their own defense. However, I'd change our relationship very cautiously, and only in concert with Japan's wishes. We may no longer be in a Cold War with the USSR, which makes our current strategic situation look like a pointless mess - but China will soon be a superpower and we need to bear that in mind. Call me old-fashioned, but I don't think a oligarchy can be trusted to act in the best interests of the world without a counterbalance to their power, and the only way the US stands a long-term chance to keep up with China is in league with the other rich democracies of the world. IMHO, the EU and Japan will continue to be very important allies in the coming century.

    --
    W..w..W - Willy Waterloo washes Warren Wiggins who is washing Waldo Woo.
  65. Re:The US should frighten the Chinese by pulling o by slashrio · · Score: 1

    No no no, this has nothing to do with 'security'.
    North Korea has multiple times offered peace to the US, which has always been rejected.
    Makes one wonder why?
    Banks.
    North Korea has an independent central bank and prints its own money, instead of borrowing it from the international money lenders (I won't mention any names).
    The people (banks) that control the US don't like this at all.
    So North Korea's regime has to go. Not because it's so dangerous, or crazy, no. Only because of money.
    Now what's the easiest way to remove a regime? By letting it go bankrupt, for instance by forcing it to spend the largest part of its national budget on defense.
    That's why the money lenders instructed the US to never accept peace from North Korea, unless of course it surrenders to the banks.
    So the US is playing this game, NK is forced to spend most of its money on defense, and the banks are waiting for the people in NK to revolt and remove the regime, after which the banks can come in.
    Some other countries that don't (or didn't) play nice:
    Afghanistan, Irak, Syria, Venezuela, Russia.

    --
    "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
  66. Re:Okay sure, but... by PingPongBoy · · Score: 1

    Japan refuses to have nukes.

    Japan, having been nuked, might get kinda PO'd by now?

    --
    Know your pads. One time pad: good for cryptography. Two timing pad: where to take your mistress.
  67. Reunification of Korea by force by BCGlorfindel · · Score: 1

    Of all the doomsday scenarios you can project this into, here's the darkest one I see as having merit.

    The world(China) is likely to continue to do nothing to stop North Korea from developing nuclear weapons and delivery vehicles short of strong language. So, the North WILL develop a nuclear arsenal capable of hitting the continental USA. Of course, the North has no reason to start a war with the USA so why bother? The hopeful argument is that it's defensive. That of course flies directly in the face of everything that the North says. Most importantly, reunification of Korea is still one of the North's most 'important' stated propaganda goals.

    Here's the scary part to me. A North Korea that can demonstrably deploy multiple nuclear warheads onto American cities is NOT a North Korea that America is eager to wage war with. Would America even be willing to defend South Korea from an invasion from the North anymore in this future that is now inevitable? More importantly, what does Kim think the American's are willing to do if faced with nuclear retaliation? If Kim calculates that America is NOT willing to lose multiple cities to nuclear attack just to defend the South, then Kim can invade the South without worrying about American backup.

    1. Re:Reunification of Korea by force by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      It seems likely that an invasion of South Korea by the North would face a fate similar to that of so many invasions of China: with the invaders being absorbed into the culture they sought to conquer.

      After having been told so many lies about the South for so many years, how would a peasant-soldier from the North react to the astonishing, almost magical technological wonderland he would find himself trying to comprehend? How long would such a soldier remain loyal to the tyrants in command when so many options suddenly opened before them?

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
    2. Re:Reunification of Korea by force by hyades1 · · Score: 1

      You know you're 100% wrong, right? Check out a satellite or shuttle picture of the Korean Peninsula after dark, then get back to me.

      --
      I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  68. Re:Let Japan settle ... by Impy+the+Impiuos+Imp · · Score: 1

    For no upside? The upside is no resurgent Japan (or Germany). The money spent, and lives not lost in that are trivial compared to another major war.

    Here we whine about a handful of troops killed per week. In Vietnam, it was 200. During WWII when the US population was half what it is now, it was 2000 a week.

    No thank you, says the American population. Disarming and defending them and keeping our military well ahead technologically is a much better option.

    --
    (-1: Post disagrees with my already-settled worldview) is not a valid mod option.
  69. Re:Okay sure, but... by wjcofkc · · Score: 3, Informative

    It's not that simple. There are posts in this thread that claim knowledge of Japan being able to make a bunch of nukes overnight. Not to mention a home grown nuke needs to be tested, and courtesy of the test ban treaty, they can only be tested underground. Japan does not have a whole lot of "underground". Not to mention the potential of waking up Godzilla.

    Seriously though, the US would never give Japan a bunch ICBM tipped nukes in silos. The international insanity that would follow would make the current international climate pale in comparison. So the Japanese Defense Force is technically a military, but Japan has no Army. The entirety of their military infrastructure is geared specifically towards defensive measures. While in light of the escalating NK program there is talk in Japan of changing this, but reorganizing their military is also not something that can happen overnight.

    I suggest looking into the "Treaty of Mutual Cooperation and Security between the United States and Japan". If fact there is a lot of contextual history and subjects like the "San Francisco System" and the "Yoshida Doctrine" the last of which is still largely applicable today.

    Rather than writing a whole research paper in a post, I am going to leave it there for you to research. I imagine people will read this post and try to call me out on "this and that has changed, and then there is this and that". I am aware of these things. The bottom line is we have an overwhelming military force in Japan for a reason. We protect Japan, for better or worse. It really is all very complicated.

    --
    Brought to you by Carl's Junior.
  70. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by bobbied · · Score: 1

    The Russians are not rattling their sabers claiming that they will "bomb the US out of existence" so It's going to take a lot of poking. Historically we DID poke the bear, quite a lot and managed to best the Russians in the cold war. The Russians are not crazy, they know this.

    The DPRK on the other hand IS making crazy threats on the USA and it's allies in the region. So there is a BIG difference right now. Also, what about the citizens of DPRK and their plight? Are you that cold and unfeeling that you are ready to let millions of them die at the hands of a crack pot dictator who is so full of himself and his power that he would condemn his people to live in less than third world status? The problem here is Kim and his desire to keep a firm hand on the reigns of power while he beats his little pony to keep it moving.

    You and I know Kim get's one nuclear shot and can do grave damage to South Korea with his conventional weapons. He's holding a hostage and making demands. How do you handle this situation? Give him what he wants?

    I don't think just giving in is a prudent approach to a hostage situation, nor is giving him more hostages by allowing him to get and deploy nuclear weapons. So what are we doing? Basically, we shutoff his supplies, turned off the electricity, refused to give him anything and wait. Of course, you never know what he might do so we stand ready to defend the hostages with overwhelming force and make it clear we won't back down. It's literally Kim's move and he's running around shooting the ceilings like an idiot in an attempt to scare us.

    Problem here is we don't know what Kim will do when/if he gets cornered and runs out of supplies... Will he just go out in a blaze of glory and nuke the US? Will he give up, cry uncle and start cooperating? Or, (my personal bet) will he be put down from within? One of those options makes a bomb shelter a good investment..

    --
    "File to fit, pound to insert, paint to match" - Aircraft Maintenance 101
  71. Re:Let Japan settle ... by InvalidsYnc · · Score: 2

    That's a lovely blanket statement you make... Just because there are treaties that he believes are badly negotiated and wishes to withdraw, I doubt that he takes such a stance on all treaties we are party to, especially enough to call it "generally". A few cases does not make a majority.

  72. Likely End Game by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    I don't see NK throwing nukes around willy nilly. They will use them the same way that other nations that have them use them, which is as a deterrent.

    NK has one of the largest land based armies in the world. They have also been digging into fortifications since likely the 50's.

    The US presence in SK is what keeps NK at bay. NK knows that the US could/would never (politically) invade NK using conventional means. That only leaves unconventional means. Remember, the only reason the US used them against Japan was due to the potential casualty count they would incur should they have tried a land invasion. NK is no fool, however if it ever has any intentions on SK, that is their primary problem. How do you counter that problem? Why you develop your own deterrent. Had Japan at the time had the ability to counter, you can bet it would never had happened. Nor would have the land invasion, as politically the US just wouldn't stand for it. Similarly if NK can show that it has the capability then it is a deterrent. They can use this to force the US into an impossible decision. Should NK move against SK, what would the US do? Unconventional would be off the table if NK could retaliate anywhere in the US. That would leave conventional, but even then, step lightly as if you back them into a corner you have the same problem. Never mind like Japan, it would never come to that, as the US casualties would be far too high, politically would never have the means to do so, and frankly likely most Americans don't really care all that much about either NK or SK all that much (in a relative sense) anyway. To put things in prospective (abet a historical to modern comparison), the estimated casualties for a US invasion of Japan was in the realm of +1,000,000 men. In 8 years of war in Iraq, the number of US casualties were 4,500. Now consider the amount of political pressure that caused, and think about the alternative. It wasn't political then, and wouldn't be now. Even if you tried to massively adjust those numbers to be a more fair comparison, it would still be too large by many levels of magnitude.

    So ya, that is basically the problem, and there isn't a whole lot of good solutions (which is likely why nothing has ever been done short of sanctions that don't seems to be all that effective). Bottom line, only really China not America is going to be able to do anything about it, but so far seem unwilling to do anything about it. That said, China has its own disputes with Japan (yellow sea), and the US (Taiwan), so perhaps they don't really care all that much about the eventual result anyway should it go the way they think it will.

  73. Re:Sounds like more War propaganda.. by hyades1 · · Score: 1

    I haven't. A lot more than half of you voted against that prick in the White House, or have become so disheartened and alienated by the current system that they didn't vote at all.

    I have to believe most Americans are still decent, generous people who have been afflicted by an evil group of tyrants who replaced England's class system with one based on accumulated wealth.

    Sooner or later, America will wake up again and kick these scum to the curb.

    --
    I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
  74. Re:Let Japan settle ... by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

    There are many upsides to the various protection rackets we've put in place around the world. We have benefited hugely from them. They are mostly implicit threats that get us lower prices in trade and other matters. Look into the Suez Canal for the best example of this. But, some also save us megamoney by preventing another war. This is one of those. Japan still has a faction that would love to reassert their version of the master race militarily.

    As we have a negative balance of trade with most countries, and certainly Japan and South Korea, I don't see us benefiting.

  75. Re:Let Japan settle ... by liquid_schwartz · · Score: 1

    Right after WW2 that argument made sense. It no longer makes sense. I think that Japan will behave now, as will South Korea. The treasure wasted defending them is immense.

  76. Missile did not fly over Japan by butlerm · · Score: 1

    The Ars Technica article appears to be uniquely wrong on this point. The Sea of Japan is west of Japan, between Korea and Japan. No overflight necessary. Such overflights have occurred in the past with the missile landing somewhere in the Pacific Ocean, but not this time. This is a conventional straight line trajectory, not a cruise missile on a pleasure trip.

    http://www.nola.com/national_p...

  77. the US has everything to do with this ... by gosand · · Score: 1

    The height of the missile was much higher than any previous one from NK. Based on that, if they had fired it at a lower trajectory, it could have reached anywhere in the US. Granted, it didn't have a massive nuclear warhead on it, but that fact alone is significant. They could still land one in NYC or wherever they choose in the US as a show of capability.

    And we are the country that has our dickbeater-in-chief trading insults and playing crazy-chicken with NK.

    --

    My beliefs do not require that you agree with them.

  78. Trump's poll #s surged by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    After dropping the world's biggest bomb on Afghanistan. Very few people will _say_ they want war. But when it starts they get in line and watch the fireworks.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:Trump's poll #s surged by cold+fjord · · Score: 1

      If you are in a war you are probably better off trying to win it in some fashion. Obama wasn't interested in that, but Trump is.

      People gather around accidents, do you think they want to be in an accident? People gather to watch buildings burn, do you think they want their house to burn?

      The answer to the above is "no," by the way.

      --
      much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don't even know that fire is hot - George Orwell
  79. Re:Do notice ONE important thing... by tinkerton · · Score: 1

    -The russians are rattling their sabers a lot. They feel very threatened and the situation is very dangerous. A factor in that is that most people are unaware. They're certainly unaware that the Russians have legitimate reasons to feel threatened. North Korea also has legitimate reasons to feel threatened. That is certainly something you don't see. North Korea makes more noise but that is merely style. On a lower profile they are generally very willing to negotiate. On our side though there is little we want to negotiate about.

    It is a perfectly moral feeling to want to help people in need, but there are people out there with other intentions. All too often the people who want to support people in need end up supporting enemies of the target who are only interested in destroying that target. That's why we've done such a terrific job in Iraq, Libya, Syria and so many other places. Public outrage usually has a valid basis but it is steered on demand to satisfy other purposes. The Royingha are a recent instance where public outrage becomes useful for political aims. In Yemen public outrage is undesirable.

    I guess you can describe every form of deterrence as a hostage situation.

  80. Re:Let Japan settle ... by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    You may have point, I cannot help but wonder if NK missile staff members are aware of the use of negatives in math?

  81. Re:Let Japan settle ... by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    It was once the location of a Western White House, long ago.

  82. Re: Let Japan settle ... by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Nope, duckduckgo "santa barbera white house." My reference is very dated.