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Trump Orders a Lifeline For Struggling Coal and Nuclear Plants (nytimes.com)

According to The New York Times, President Trump has ordered Energy Secretary Rick Perry to "prepare immediate steps" to stop the closure of unprofitable coal and nuclear plants around the country. From the report: Under one proposal outlined in the memo, which was reported by Bloomberg, the Department of Energy would order grid operators to buy electricity from struggling coal and nuclear plants for two years, using emergency authority that is normally reserved for exceptional crises like natural disasters. That idea triggered immediate blowback from a broad alliance of energy companies, consumer groups and environmentalists. On Friday, oil and gas companies joined with wind and solar organizations in a joint statement condemning the plan, saying that it was "legally indefensible" and would force consumers to pay more for electricity.

The administration has also discussed invoking the Defense Production Act of 1950, which allows the federal government to intervene in private industry in the name of national security. (Harry S. Truman used the law to impose price controls on the steel industry during the Korean War.) If the Trump administration were to invoke these two statutes, the move would almost certainly be challenged in federal court by natural gas and renewable energy companies, which could stand to lose market share.
Such an intervention could cost consumers between $311 million to $11.8 billion pear year, according to a preliminary estimate (PDF) by Robbie Orvis, director of energy policy design at Energy Innovation.

143 of 286 comments (clear)

  1. Refilling the swamp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Corporate subsidies to power the pumps that are refilling the swamp.

    1. Re:Refilling the swamp by Cipheron · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Because they haven't revealed *which* of the listed proposals will be implemented yet. That estimate is vague because the proposal is vague.

      We only know that if it's implemented it will cost consumers somewhere between "lots" and "a hell of a lot". Forcing people to buy products they didn't want causes prices to go up.

    2. Re:Refilling the swamp by SirSlud · · Score: 1

      Well, they certainly shouldn't expect dumb people to take their estimates seriously. But then again, expecting dumb people to do reasonable things is dumb.

      --
      "Old man yells at systemd"
    3. Re:Refilling the swamp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      "$311 million to $11.8 billion"

      How the fuck can they expect anyone to take their, "estimates" seriously when they have such a fucking ridiculous spread?

      Plus those numbers are only meaningful if you know the total electric sales for a year.
      In 2016, total sales of electricity in the USA was about $380 billion (380,000 million), so the increase would be ballpark .1% to 3%.
      I would not notice a 3% increase, but large industry businesses would. However, they don't pay retail prices and all have negotiated contracts for a fraction of what residential customers pay.

    4. Re: Refilling the swamp by SocietyoftheFist · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Does that make this OK? The inability to acknowledge is a huge problem in politics. Your ideology that doesnâ(TM)t allow you to publicly acknowledge that this is a government regulation/subsidy in action because it is proposed by your horse in the race shows a lack of logical reasoning.

    5. Re:Refilling the swamp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Except ACA directly benefits the people, where as this only demerits particular businesses.

      Also, had the ACA been implemented as single payer instead of the "bending for the Republicans" and allowing the for profit private insurances companies drive pricing and terms, the ACA would have been MUCH better off.

    6. Re:Refilling the swamp by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Yes, ACA directly benefits people. Granted it only benefits those employed by health insurance companies, but it does directly benefit those people. Real people can get fucked.

    7. Re: Refilling the swamp by SocietyoftheFist · · Score: 1

      Please mod up. As written it would have never succeeded and seems to have been an avenue to single payer.

    8. Re: Refilling the swamp by Daemonik · · Score: 1

      Speaking of revisionism, the Republicans came up with the ideas that lead to the ACA over twenty years ago. They only became opponents when Democrats implemented it.

      They probably never expected the Dems to actually implement it to be honest.

    9. Re:Refilling the swamp by riverat1 · · Score: 2

      If coal didn't have the subsidy of not having to pay for the health problems it causes in the population it would be way too expensive to use.

      If nuclear didn't have the subsidy of the Price-Anderson Nuclear Industries Indemnity Act they wouldn't be able to insure nuclear power plants and they would all close.

    10. Re: Refilling the swamp by SocietyoftheFist · · Score: 1

      Youâ(TM)re right, did miss the also.

  2. Capitalists no more? by orev · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Isn't the point of capitalism to allow failing companies to die? At least during the financial crisis there was a national interest reason (collapse of the economy and banks runs are bad), but coal mines?

    1. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      but the point of a federal republic with pseudo-representative democracy is to take all the bribes you can get, while you can get them; and fuck over the people, just for the hell of it, along the way.

    2. Re:Capitalists no more? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Yes, but in spite of all his bluster and repeating himself ad infinitum about any number of things that are complete and utter nonsense, he has to do whatever he has to, regardless of the consequences to the country and everyone in it, to retain the support of his voter base. Without them, he's got nothing. So he'll fuck over the economy, fuck over all citizens, and fuck over the environment, to appease those who voted for him. Little does he know that many of them are capable of looking past the ends of their own noses and will see that things like this that he does will have far-reaching negative effects -- and ironically he'll lose supporters anyway. He's a train wreck, has been all along, and isn't showing any signs of changing.

    3. Re:Capitalists no more? by ezelkow1 · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Huh? The coal companies even said they are being pushed out by a glut of cheaper natural gas and renewable energy. If they can not provide a product at the same level of quality and at a similar price to competitors then why shouldn't they go out of business? People will still get power to their homes, by the providers that are providing the goods at the best cost.

      Banks and coal mines are not comparable in any way, especially in the manner in which they are failing. Major banks fail and the economy collapses because no one can borrow money, whole populations do not get paid, and it all goes in to a downard spiral. Coal companies fail and ...................... we get the same product at the same cheaper price we did before

    4. Re:Capitalists no more? by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 3, Funny

      but coal mines?

      "I think we should look at this from the military point of view. I mean, supposing the Russkies stashes away some big bomb, see. When they come out in a hundred years they could take over... In fact, they might even try an immediate sneak attack so they could take over our mineshaft space... I think it would be extremely naive of us, Mr. President, to imagine that these new developments are going to cause any change in Soviet expansionist policy. I mean, we must be... increasingly on the alert to prevent them from taking over other mineshaft space, in order to breed more prodigiously than we do, thus, knocking us out in superior numbers when we emerge! Mr. President, we must not allow... a mine shaft gap!" - General Buck Turgidson

      --
      Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    5. Re:Capitalists no more? by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Little does he know that many of them are capable of looking past the ends of their own noses and will see that things like this that he does will have far-reaching negative effects -- and ironically he'll lose supporters anyway.

      You sure about all that? I'm not.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    6. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We need baseline power and while natural gas turbines are great and spin up fast, they're too expensive for that. Same with solar and wind that aren't reliable. Trump is correct in helping them to protect our power grid and reduce outages.

    7. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Which will happen a lot faster since the ones that get treatment are going through the ACA, which allowed doctors NOT employed by the mines to make the diagnosis. Before the ACA was in place, only doctors employed by the mines could make a black ling diagnosis, and SURPRISE! nobody really had black lung 8-0

    8. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      But if we allow coal or nuclear to die, then we'll have black-outs when solar and wind can't take up the slack. Natural gas is great, but since it's more expensive it typically is only producing power at peak times. I know for the power company I work for that we talk in hours for coal to spin-up, but only minutes for NG turbines to, but there's a reason we don't support base loads with NG.

    9. Re:Capitalists no more? by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1, Insightful

      You're thinking of the "free market," which we don't have and the lack thereof is actually what lead to the rise of renewables in place of coal+nuclear. Capitalism allows for heavy-handed government intervention and there's a whole subset of microeconomics and of macroeconomics devoted to regulations and counter regulations entirely within the confines of capitalism.

    10. Re:Capitalists no more? by jader3rd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Little does he know that many of them are capable of looking past the ends of their own noses and will see that things like this that he does will have far-reaching negative effects

      Pretty much the definition of a Trump supporter is that they aren't capable of that.

    11. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Little does he know that many of them are capable of looking past the ends of their own noses and will see that things like this that he does will have far-reaching negative effects

      Pretty much the definition of a Trump supporter is that they aren't capable of that.

      There are two types of trump supporters. There are those that are literally that stupid. You can't help them. You can't explain things to them because they are that fucking stupid that they bought his shit hook line and sinker.

      Then there are also those that are sorta okay with their Faustian bargain. Oh they may not like it, but most of them would make the same bargain time and time again. Curiously enough, the ones I've met tend to wear their religion on their sleeves. They know what deal they are invoking, and they know the consequences of it, to some extent at least, though they may, and probably do severely underestimate the consequences. A small portion of those may be reachable.

      They will see stuff like this and say that is amazingly stupid in ever conceivable way. Coal is worse than natural gas in every conceivable way. Nuclear can be debated, but you have to factor the total cost of the fuel cycle in there, and if you want to factor in something for it producing no CO2 during normal operation, well that is fair game. Of course you know Trump doesn't give a crap about that. Either way, some of those may be reachable.

      For everything else you need to also engage some of the ones that aren't voting at all. There might be some potential there. If nothing else we are rapidly learning what we have to lose, as we are loosing it. Don't imagine things will go back to normal after Trump. Sure some snap back may occur, but Pandora's box has been opened, and Trump has broken the cover into little bitty pieces and stomped on the spec of hope hidden in the corner of it. Heck even this NK thing appears to be largely splash without substance. We are just legitimizing them. Apparently they didn't even really destroy that site. About the only positive thing about it, is you might make that regime more stable, and given how horrible they are to their own people, I'm not so sure that is a good thing. Don't forget the guy they sent back a vegetable not long ago.

    12. Re:Capitalists no more? by careysub · · Score: 5, Informative

      Low quality AC BS.

      Natural Gas Advanced Combined Cycle plants are cheaper than coal plants right now, which is why they are pushing coal fired power plants out of business right now. Check out up-to-date levelized costs for all the types of power plants, NG advanced combined cycle beats them all - which is why hard nosed capitalist businessmen have been replacing coal with natural gas power at (currently) a rate of 20 GW a year.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    13. Re:Capitalists no more? by Maxo-Texas · · Score: 2

      Plus they are automating away the jobs (and votes) anyway.

      This plan doesn't even support Mr. Trump politically. I'd start looking for large payments to trump associates from this industry.

      It doesn't make sense unless he's getting a cut somehow.

      --
      She was like chocolate when she drank... semi-sweet at first and then increasingly bitter.
    14. Re:Capitalists no more? by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      any more than you can convince a climate change denier that climate change is an illusion

      I would have thought that's trivially easy. In fact it requires no effort at all.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    15. Re:Capitalists no more? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      We need baseline power and while natural gas turbines are great and spin up fast, they're too expensive for that.

      No we don't.

      Baseline power is a concept invented because thermal power generation can't change power output quickly in an efficient manner.
      By finding the minimum usage point and calling everything below that "base load" it is possible to use nuclear and coal and other power sources that can't adapt quickly.
      The leftover part that they can't handle is managed by hydroelectric, gas turbines or in rare cases batteries.

      Neither hydroelectric, gas turbines or batteries really cares if something takes care of a "base load", they just need supplementary power sources so that they don't have to spend all the stored energy. (Unless you are something like Norway that runs on 100% hydroelectric and can handle pretty much any kind of load variation.)

      Replacing nuclear and coal with wind or solar doesn't really change anything.
      Coal and nuclear have issues that makes it necessary to have more flexible power sources.
      Since the flexible power sources are already in place you can just replace coal and nuclear with power sources that has inconsistent output as long as the average is high enough.
      For hydroelectric the dam is refilled during rainy seasons and emptied during drier seasons, so we are talking about yearly averages here and both solar and wind provides a dependable "baseline power" in those time spans.

    16. Re:Capitalists no more? by Barsteward · · Score: 1

      "and the barriers to entry were as low for nuclear " - they are not cheap or fast to commission or decommission and the land they are built on will be useless and if another huge war erupts, you have some nice juicy targets to hit to take out all the power generation in the country fairly quickly if you are solely nuclear.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    17. Re:Capitalists no more? by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

      you have some nice juicy targets to hit to take out all the power generation in the country fairly quickly if you are solely nuclear.

      Right, because coal powered plants are so small you can hide them in a shed.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    18. Re: Capitalists no more? by c6gunner · · Score: 1, Troll

      Replacing nuclear and coal with wind or solar doesn't really change anything.

      Right, replacing infrastructure which can output a predictable amount of energy 24/7 with power sources which fluctuate massively depending on environmental conditions ... that doesn't change anything at all.

    19. Re:Capitalists no more? by orev · · Score: 1

      Why are you saying the exact same thing I just said but presenting it in a way that you are arguing against it? This is really the problem with the Internet these days -- people just argue for the sake of arguing, even when in agreement.

    20. Re:Capitalists no more? by ezelkow1 · · Score: 1

      how am I arguing with you? This was in response to 'you no longer have electricity to power your home', I am in complete agreement with you. Unless you have -1 hidden and cannot see the post that it was in response to and assume it was directly at your post?

    21. Re:Capitalists no more? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Unlike this guy who commented below you, I don't automatically assume that someone who votes Republican, and specifically voted for Trump, has room-temperature IQ. Some of them did it out of spite, disappointment, and bitterness, which is not excusable, but at least understandable. Smart people do dumb things all the time; that's just how our primitive little species is at this point in it's development, our intellect doesn't always win out over our hardwired responses and emotions. These are the people I think are looking at Trump and realizing what a mistake it's all been and how much they want to take it back now.

    22. Re: Capitalists no more? by MillionthMonkey · · Score: 1

      Right, replacing infrastructure which can output a predictable amount of energy 24/7 with power sources which fluctuate massively depending on environmental conditions ... that doesn't change anything at all.

      We're replacing it with a power source that doesn't make environmental conditions fluctuate, moron.

    23. Re: Capitalists no more? by c6gunner · · Score: 1, Troll

      ... I think your brain just farted.

    24. Re:Capitalists no more? by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 2

      ... Some of them did it out of spite, disappointment, and bitterness, which is not excusable, but at least understandable. ... These are the people I think are looking at Trump and realizing what a mistake it's all been and how much they want to take it back now.

      Sure, I get that. But I wonder how many, like Trump himself, will double-down in the "us vs. them" environment it seems to be in the remote hope of coming out on top - even, or especially, if it's on top of the rubble of our society. Scorched-Earth campaigns have a certain appeal if you think you're better prepared than others to deal with the results or just don't care (about the results and/or others). Trump certainly doesn't seem to really care about anything except the adoration of the people at his rallies, nor does he seem to care to actually learn anything. Bribing his supporters, like with the recent proposed mandate to prop up the Coal industry, should only go so far, but who knows. This all makes me wonder who is actually making the decisions at the White House -- or across the Administration -- that Trump is just parroting for applause. My money is on Nurse Ratched.

      Color me very cynical...

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    25. Re:Capitalists no more? by Agripa · · Score: 1

      Huh? The coal companies even said they are being pushed out by a glut of cheaper natural gas and renewable energy. If they can not provide a product at the same level of quality and at a similar price to competitors then why shouldn't they go out of business?

      It is especially difficult when laws are passed requiring customers to buy from your competitors lowering your capacity factor. A suspicious person might think lowering the capacity factor of nuclear power plants which have low marginal costs was intentional.

      After the nuclear power plants and coal power plants shut down because they are not being paid for their 24 hour availability, what do you believe will provide power grid stability?

    26. Re:Capitalists no more? by cthulhu11 · · Score: 1

      So, like, the "free market" that Republicans say they want?

      Funny how that works.

    27. Re: Capitalists no more? by AlwinBarni · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that digging out fossilized plants and burning them is more sustainable and predictable than:
      - the Sun shining on our planet
      - the wind continue blowing
      - the water falling
      - the internal Earth heat, well, continue to exist
      ?

      Have you ever heard about Tesla battery pack installation in Australia, which stabilizes its power grid better then anything they had so far?

    28. Re: Capitalists no more? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that digging out fossilized plants and burning them is more sustainable and predictable than ...

      Well you've managed to be 50% right, which is better than most. It's more predictable yes. No clue where you got the sustainability thing from.

      Have you ever heard about Tesla battery pack installation in Australia, which stabilizes its power grid better then anything they had so far?

      The Tesla battery pack is wonderful, but you clearly don't know much about it. The benefit which it provides is being able to flatten out quick, short fluctuations. It provides seconds, or maybe minutes of power, giving other facilities a chance to kick on (and, often, during very short spikes, keeps them from having to kick on at all).

      This is a valuable service for a small, somewhat unreliable grid in the Australian outback. It might even be useful in larger urban locations. It does not, however, provide anything like the kind of power needed to ride out peak demands lasting for hours at a time, let alone the amount of power needed to replace base-load generation.

    29. Re: Capitalists no more? by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Eh, if it's not in Brisbane or Sidney, it's all the outback to me. My lack of familiarity with Australian terminology in no way offsets your lack of familiarity with the technologies in question.

    30. Re:Capitalists no more? by Baki · · Score: 1

      Trumps ideology has nothing to do with capitalism.

      Only with protecting vested interests himself and of friends and loyalists, and of taking "revenge" by undoing everything, whether good or bad, that his predecessor has done.

      There there is a childish person wining an election is not a surprise, given the fact that more and more adults are infantlle too. But that the GOP goes along with it this far is. Clearly a treason to their own principles, which (for any organization) usually means that the end is near.

  3. IMHO, we need nuclear by Snotnose · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Coal is outdated and needs to be replaced with natural gas.

    Nuclear has issues (most of them caused by lawyers paid by the hour, most of the rest caused by executives paid by the quarterly stock price, and a small handful of technical issues) but they're still a good way to get a lot of energy from a small footprint with a minimum of global warming.

    1. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Natural gas is a stop-gap, but it's a better stop-gap than coal is. Nuclear needs to be un-demonized, but rather than the over-complicated, high-pressure reactor designs we've got now, we need a 21st century upgrade to newer, better designs that are less expensive and safer -- and these exist. I also personally think that thorium reactors should be given a serious look, but I know I'm in the minority there.

    2. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by ChromeAeonuim · · Score: 2

      What I find perennially amusing is how, every time there's talk about the government financially supporting nuclear power, the people who previously supported subsidies & tax breaks for 'green energy' suddenly become free market capitalists. Just watch, happens every time.

    3. Re: IMHO, we need nuclear by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      What I find perennially amusing is how, every time there's talk about the government financially supporting nuclear power, the people who previously vehemently opposed to subsidies & tax breaks for 'green energy' suddenly become government teat-sucking parasites. Just watch, happens every time.

      FTFY. HTH. HANW.

      Little known fact, George W. Bush provided billions in subsidies for nuclear power. Net result? One 1980s reactor was brought online.

      The "greens" don't oppose nuclear subsidies because of free market principles. They just see it as a bad investment.

    4. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by voss · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Nuclear is an option but propping up old nuclear and coal plants is not the answer and does not incentivize new nuclear designs.

    5. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by careysub · · Score: 1

      Don't presume to speak for me.

      A case can be made for providing subsidies for nuclear power to push carbon releasing power out of the picture faster. But subsidizing nuclear and coal is corrupt insanity. If the case were made for how we could get rid of coal faster I'd be all for giving it a hearing.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    6. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by careysub · · Score: 1

      Is there any way that coal plants can be adapted to burn gas rather than coal?

      Yes, and coal plant conversions are a major business. They don't have the efficiency of an advanced combined cycle plant, and thus can't compete long term, but they have their place.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    7. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      What I find perennially amusing is how, every time there's talk about the government financially supporting 'green energy' , the people who previously supported subsidies & tax breaks for nuclear power/fossil fuel suddenly become free market capitalists. ;)

      Nuclear is last centuries tech like fossil fuel so their subsidies should have stopped as they reached the mass market. Subsidies for renewable should also stop when its met a critical mass and is no longer a minor part of the power generation map.

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    8. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by willy_me · · Score: 1

      Allowing "hot particles" to escape is essential. One has to condense steam back into water so that it can be circulated by pumps. This results is lost heat and is the main reason why turbines will never go much beyond 50% efficiency -- with 40% being more common. In theory you could use Stirling engines to capture some of this energy - but only some of the energy and in practice it is not worth it.

    9. Re: IMHO, we need nuclear by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      The biggest problem with nuclear is that is takes a lot of technology to make them safe

      No, it doesn't. For the plants which are currently in use, yeah, that was true, but all of that safety "technology" is already in place and is essentially a sunk cost. Modern designs are inherently failsafe and far simpler in most ways. At this point IRS entirely a regulatory issue. Streamlining the approval process for the construction of modern plants would make them far cheaper to build and operate, while improving public safety by allowing us to decommission older (more dangerous) facilities.

    10. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      I'm making a face right now because I more-or-less said exactly what you just said but you apparently didn't see or comprehend that. :p

    11. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by atxlakeshore · · Score: 1

      Nuclear needs to be un-demonized? We came extremely close to an extinction-level event with the situation at the Fukushima plant. Not due to the reactor meltdown, but because the spent fuel rod pond was damaged. Had the water in the storage pond dropped low enough for a micrometer of the rods to become exposed to air, all remaining water would have boiled off, and all rods would have aerosolized enough radioactive contaminants to kill nearly every organism on the planet. We need to be getting nuclear waste off of this planet as soon as possible. We cannot trust that government continuity, war, a solar event, or some other catastrophe will not lead to a situation where nuclear waste is not successfully contain in perpetuity and the entire biosphere is so severely compromised that the planet is killed.

    12. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by voss · · Score: 1

      No what you said nuclear needs to be undemonized and mentioned other newer types of nuclear power. What I said is what Trump did does not do that and does not create incentives to do what you want. It was not "just what I said"

    13. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      What I find perennially amusing is how, every time there's talk about the government financially supporting nuclear power, the people who previously supported subsidies & tax breaks for 'green energy' suddenly become free market capitalists. Just watch, happens every time.

      Not as amusing as the fact that not a single nuclear powerplant would have ever been constructed without massive bankrolling from taxpayers. Not as amusing as nuke fans that pretend future generations wont hate them for saddling them with a massive waste problem for centuries to come.

    14. Re:IMHO, we need nuclear by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Nuclear energy is the most modern form of power generation known.

      It's also the most costly by far while posing a giant safety hazard, now and far into the future.

  4. 52-dimensional chess by PopeRatzo · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The administration has also discussed invoking the Defense Production Act of 1950, which allows the federal government to intervene in private industry in the name of national security.

    Finally we have a president who truly understands the value of "free markets" without government interference.

    At least Trump is demonstrating that every one of the most hallowed conservative principles really don't mean a thing to conservatives. They never did. It was always a con job. Trump could perform an abortion with a rusty screwdriver while raising taxes and banning guns on Fifth Avenue and conservatives would still meekly seek his approval and make excuses for him as long as he continues to send up the racist bat-signal.

    A reckoning will come.

    --
    You are welcome on my lawn.
    1. Re:52-dimensional chess by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

      52-dimensional chess

      Sounds like a house of cards.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    2. Re: 52-dimensional chess by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I openly admit that I voted for Trump because I didn't want to see the blatant corruption get into office.

      "blatant, unproven -- except within the Fox 'News' and Alt-Right echo chambers -- corruption" - Fixed that for you.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    3. Re:52-dimensional chess by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      Another possibility is Trump is not an ideologue and acts on hunches that are telling him something is beneficial to the country at the moment, without necessarily understanding (or trying to understand) why.

      I know that sounds scary, but sometimes acting on a belief that everything is well understood and thought out leads to worse consequences, for example the intervention in Libya.

    4. Re:52-dimensional chess by PopeRatzo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Another possibility is Trump is not an ideologue and acts on hunches that are telling him something is beneficial to the country at the moment, without necessarily understanding (or trying to understand) why.

      This is my favorite flavor of Trump apologia. It's the "Father Knows Best" argument for why he's really the greatest president ever.

      This is also the theory of Scott Adams, who is now known mainly for making excuses for anything Trump does, and for being a feckless cunt.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    5. Re: 52-dimensional chess by Waffle+Iron · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I openly admit that I voted for Trump because I didn't want to see the blatant corruption get into office.

      I don't understand what is wrong with you people. This country has usually been run by corrupt politicians for almost 250 years, and things usually worked out.

      What we haven't done until now is elect obvious mentally unstable megalomaniac sociopaths (who are also corrupt, BTW); that was left for third world countries to deal with. Why you could even begin to think that this was preferable to run-of-the-mill corruption is beyond me.

    6. Re:52-dimensional chess by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      Well, how do you appraise a theory? You evaluate its predictions. The theory you suggested in your first post is the kind of theory that predicted his defeat in the election, and then doom and gloom afterwards. The "hunch" theory has been claiming the opposite since the beginning. Which do you think the current reality reflects better?

      Scott Adams, whom I haven't followed for a long time, deserves credit on his own for predicting Trump successes. Scott's problem is that he is a hyperrational person which almost without exception means rather sad and unhappy as well.

    7. Re: 52-dimensional chess by drinkypoo · · Score: 4, Insightful

      I openly admit that I voted for Trump because I didn't want to see the blatant corruption get into office. Trump was a wild card. I admit he was a mistake, but I don't believe he was any more of a mistake than Hillary would have been.

      Stop making excuses. It's obvious that he was more of a mistake than Hillary would have been, and if you still can't see that, I fear you're just going to fuck this up again next time. I'm no fan of the status quo, I am way the hell left of the Democratic party. But it's easy to see that Trump is actually worse than business as usual.

      --
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    8. Re: 52-dimensional chess by jader3rd · · Score: 5, Informative

      I openly admit that I voted for Trump because I didn't want to see the blatant corruption get into office.

      Trumps history is a series of one corruption being defended by lawyers/fixers after another. His corruption is so blatant it will be defining definition of corruption for generations to come.

    9. Re:52-dimensional chess by GrimSavant · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Trump is not an ideologue in the traditional sense, yes, but the problem with your statement is who his hunches are telling him are benefiting from the impulsive action. It is not what is beneficial to the country as a whole, it is what is beneficial to Trump personally and to his political allies. Perhaps he is such an extreme narcissist that he conflates those two together, but that doesn't make it any better.

      Propping up the coal industry should make this point plain as day to rational observers. Coal has a load of negative externalities, it imposes a cost on society far higher than is paid in the price paid by the end electricity consumer. The old economic excuse for coal, that it's cheap, rooted in a laissez faire or free-market capitalist ideological justification, is moot since coal is decreasingly competitive on price, particularly in comparison to natural gas. It wouldn't need these subsidizes otherwise.

      All that remains is naked use political power for self interest and the interest of political allies. Much like coal itself, that is very old and very dirty.

    10. Re: 52-dimensional chess by fafalone · · Score: 4, Insightful

      So you looked at Trump and thought "here's an honest, non-corrupt person"? And you guys wonder why everyone is insulting your intelligence... geez. His unabashed corruption in his dealings was open knowledge, what would ever possess you to think he'd get in office and not put Clinton's corruption (not denying that she was corrupt too) to shame?

      I'd love to see Sanders get the nomination, but all signs point to the Democrats doubling down on their failed strategy and nominating another anti-civil rights, pro-surveillance, pro-war, identity politics obsessed woman like Kamala Harris or Elizabeth Warren, then proceed to imply only a racist/sexist would oppose them, and then wonder what happened when once again voters stay home and don't vote for anyone (the direct cause of Trump's win) again in record numbers.

    11. Re: 52-dimensional chess by GrimSavant · · Score: 4, Informative

      You don't have to like Elizabeth Warren, but at least get your basic facts straight about her political background. She rose to political prominence as a specialist on the issue of consumer finance, and was previously a professor focused on bankruptcy and commercial law. Her main claim to fame before running for senate in Massachusetts was being the mastermind behind the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and she's been clashing heavily with Republicans on that for years. Warren's political constituency significantly overlaps with Sanders on the left, as she was a higher profile anti-Wall St. crusader prior to his primary run, and if you actually believe in Sanders ideology for what it actually stands for then Warren is an obvious alternative.

      It was actually her opponents that were really laying hard into identity politics, Scott Brown and more recently Donald Trump himself. Trump and associates were the ones called her Pocahontas and they were the ones that brought up the racial identity issue in the political arena, not her.

      Don't take this as me advocating her running for president, however, she is a bit of a specialist. But her popularity on the left comes from many of the same places for the same reasons that Sanders does, and making it all about gender is more on you than on her.

    12. Re: 52-dimensional chess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      instead of the Ponzi Scheme, it will be the Trump Scheme, or to Trump someone, or something. To Trump: to repeat corrupt acts fought endlessly by unethical lawyers, done entirely in the open, with the use of media to distract and confuse people, until the entire system has collapsed. to completely defraud an entire society to the point of complete civil war, all while laughing.

    13. Re: 52-dimensional chess by fafalone · · Score: 1

      All I said applies to Harris but yeah I think you're right and I was thinking of Nancy Pelosi, not Elizabeth Warren, as the other name I wanted to specifically call out. My bad.

    14. Re: 52-dimensional chess by GrimSavant · · Score: 1

      Pelosi's a bit of a different case, though I really don't expect her to run for president. Pelosi was an effective speaker of the house at actually doing the job of herding the cats of the democratic house caucus, but is also an amazingly effective lightning rod for Republicans and has a habit of saying politically stupid things that sell poorly to the general public. If she becomes president it'll be due to some ultra-long shot double whammy impeachment that gets both Trump and Pence if Pelosi is reelected as speaker of the house next year (that position is third in line constitutionally).

      You might be thinking of Senator Gillibrand of New York actually, she's the highest profile democrat that I can think of that is big on the sort of identity politics that you are against.

    15. Re: 52-dimensional chess by h33t+l4x0r · · Score: 1

      Trump and associates were the ones called her Pocahontas and they were the ones that brought up the racial identity issue in the political arena, not her.

      The issue wasn't her racial identity - it was whether or not she lied about her heritage presumably to get votes or some other special consideration. She handled it exactly wrong by neither apologizing nor doubling down and she's probably too weak to win a general election. I like her though - I just don't think she can win.

    16. Re: 52-dimensional chess by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      I have no idea who I will vote for in 2020

      You're assuming there'll be an election in 2020. Well, there's something to be said for being positive...

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    17. Re:52-dimensional chess by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      Scott Adams, whom I haven't followed for a long time, deserves credit on his own for predicting Trump successes.

      I want to point out that he also predicted Trumps failure. However he didn't fall for political derangement syndrome, which put him ahead of the pundits.

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    18. Re:52-dimensional chess by Raenex · · Score: 1

      Propping up the coal industry should make this point plain as day to rational observers. Coal has a load of negative externalities

      Missing from this argument are the externalities that come from renewables, in particular rare earth minerals.

      Also missing from this argument is the actual national security reason given for saving coal plants: reliability. Unlike natural gas, coal fuel can be stored on site.

    19. Re: 52-dimensional chess by liefer · · Score: 1

      Every single person who've ever had the thought "I should be, and deserve to be, the next president" and actually went for it, is a mentally unstable megalomaniac

    20. Re:52-dimensional chess by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      Note though that it is your judgement, that Trump is doing what he's doing to benefit himself. You interpret his actions one way or another based on your knowledge of people you've met in your life and on your own psychological makeup. A lot of people -- close to a half of the voting population -- do not share your judgment. If Trump's character were on trial, we'd have a hung jury.

      I would agree with you about coal, except that I don't know almost anything about the realities of the coal, and I cannot say that giving a struggling coal companies a lifeline will produce better or worse outcomes for the society -- those things are too complex to be known. So for the moment I'm content with giving Trump a benefit of the doubt and see how things turn out.

    21. Re: 52-dimensional chess by nasch · · Score: 1

      He's saying of the two presidential candidates, Clinton was the corrupt one so he voted for Trump. I know, it really doesn't make any sense, but there it is.

    22. Re: 52-dimensional chess by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The fact that you're not a year into nuclear winter (Hillary campaigned on shooting down Russian jets in Syria) alone means Trump is the lesser evil.

    23. Re: 52-dimensional chess by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Did he shoot down Russian jets? No. And did you look at your own link:

      The skirmish occurred on Feb. 7, 2018 when forces aligned with Syria's dictator Bashar Al Assad, backed by Russian mercenaries from a shadowy company called Wagner

      Mercenaries. Not Russian military - huge difference. Equivalent would be the Russian's bombing Black Water (or whatever the hell they're calling themselves these days) mercs as they're busy chumming it up with their head-chopping friends in ISIS as the moderate jihadists try to overthrow Assad.

  5. Conservatives aren't by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Insightful

    they use the word to hide the fact that they're actually in favor of sweeping societal and economic changes. They're not Conservative (opposing change and supporting the status quo). Heck, one of the most Conservative politicians in history was Hillary Clinton. She'd have kept everything as is, making only small changes to keep everything on course; and she polled terribly. As a rule "progressive" policies (Medicare for all, College for everyone, New New Deal, ending wars, infrastructure spending, living wage, etc, etc) poll in the mid to high 60s, yet their candidates can't seem to win elections.

    What I'd like to see is an honest label for the entire movement. Maybe "Regressives", since they seem to want to roll us back to the early 1900s or even late 1800s. Except not quite because they wouldn't support the isolationism and anti-bank sentiment that was popular back then. I wouldn't call them Neo-Liberals because they stop all sorts of liberty (Drugs, abortion, Gay Marriage, etc). I'm open to suggestions, but it bothers me that they use such a deceptive label. If people knew their actual policies they wouldn't have a chance.

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    1. Re:Conservatives aren't by togofspookware · · Score: 2

      As a rule "progressive" policies (Medicare for all, College for everyone, New New Deal, ending wars, infrastructure spending, living wage, etc, etc) poll in the mid to high 60s, yet their candidates can't seem to win elections.

      They do when they get the chance to run. The problem, as you just pointed out, is that of the 2 major parties that we seem to be stuck with under first-past-the-post voting, the one that people see as a progressive party is actually the status quo party.

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  6. Hooray for the free market and small government by nedlohs · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Glad to see the Republicans sticking to their principles.

    1. Re:Hooray for the free market and small government by fafalone · · Score: 1, Insightful

      They are.

      Doing everything possible to support their rich CEO donors in their quest to fuck over people and the environment in pursuit of ever more profit.
      What, you think they actually gave a damn about economic principles, fiscal conservatism, or family values? Please. Those are just tools they use to trick half the electorate into consistently voting against their own self-interest.

  7. Theres still hope for Betamax by goombah99 · · Score: 3, Funny

    Ha! good thing I didn't sell my stock in buggy whips!

    --
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  8. I still oppose nuclear by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    because I don't trust Americans. They'll want to privatize it sooner or later because it's easy to convince 51% of the population that the private sector is so much more efficient (which is funny, since most of them have worked for mega corps and seen exactly how efficient private business is). Of course private enterprise isn't more or less efficient, but people expected cost savings and dam-gummit they're gonna get those savings... by dangerously cutting corners and/or running plants far outside their useful life cycle.

    This isn't even hypothetical. It's exactly what happened in Fukushima. And the people involved got off Scott free too. They cried a little on TV and all was forgiven. Meanwhile lots of the clean up workers died of cancer already and thousands lost their homes and jobs.

    Until you can convince America that Ronny Reagan was full shit when he said "Government's not the solution, it's the problem" then I want nothing to do with nuclear. I suppose if you could make it cheaper to run a safe plant than an unsafe one, but that tech isn't even on the horizon.

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    1. Re:I still oppose nuclear by dgood · · Score: 1

      because I don't trust Americans. They'll want to privatize it sooner or later

      Ummm. They're already privatized. They've always been privatized. Heavily regulated, but still private.

    2. Re:I still oppose nuclear by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2

      I suppose if you could make it cheaper to run a safe plant than an unsafe one, but that tech isn't even on the horizon.

      It's not missing tech. It's missing liability laws. Make the CEO and stockholders personally liable for all the damages from a meltdown, and safety will be the number one priority before the ink on the new law is dry

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    3. Re:I still oppose nuclear by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      It's not missing tech. It's missing liability laws. Make the CEO and stockholders personally liable for all the damages from a meltdown, and safety will be the number one priority before the ink on the new law is dry

      That's not going to have much of an effect, if only because capitalism inherently rewards penny pinching in the short term, and because governments almost always take the lowest bid for a project. And even if execs are put in the poor house, they still got to live like princes in the meantime, put all their kids through ivy league schools and get them set up with cushy jobs which they can use to support their now-bankrupt parents.

      If you want a deterrence, make the board live on plant grounds and stay there through any plant malfunctions or meltdowns.

    4. Re: I still oppose nuclear by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      The new reactors coming out address all the safety concerns

      No, they don't. No design exists that eliminates the risk of leaks or meltdowns, or uses all the fuel so you don't have to store the waste for hundreds to thousands of years. Nuclear power simply isn't justifiable given its cost and the alternatives available.

  9. His poll numbers are solidly in their 40s by rsilvergun · · Score: 5, Interesting

    and haven't budged once since he got elected (+/- 2% for error). And he keeps doing worse things. He supports TPP now, and DACA, and H1-Bs, and looked the other way while Carrier Air and Harley Davidson outsourced jobs, and protected Chinese jobs at ZTE, and failed at Repeal & Replace... I could go on.

    All these broken promisies, the first two absolutely critical to his base, and still his poll #s are at or near 40%. Meanwhile the Dems are getting ready to run another Milktoast Hillary-bot 2.0 "centerist" candidate in all their races and give up both the House and Senate and eventually another presidency...

    Trump at least _says_ he'll do something. He's lying, but the lies feel good. So far the right wing corporate Dems don't promise anything but the same policies that got us in this mess. Meanwhile the few Dems like Bernie and Alison Hartson get hammered by the establishment Dems and shut down.

    I don't see any sign of reckoning. All I see is business as usual...

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    1. Re:His poll numbers are solidly in their 40s by PopeRatzo · · Score: 1

      All these broken promisies, the first two absolutely critical to his base, and still his poll #s are at or near 40%.

      Are those the same polls that said Hillary would win?

      Anyway, if you do a deep dive into those polls, you'll find that he's still an historically unpopular president. As long as he's sufficiently racist and does things like take children away from asylum seekers, he'll keep drawing his 5,000 at rallies, but he's about as popular with most Americans as he is with Melania.

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  10. Nuclear is to Coal as Horses Are to... by retroworks · · Score: 1

    ...Dead salamanders. The only reason to align the two is political swamp-reason.

    --
    Gently reply
  11. The coal industry employs fewer people than Arby&r by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just passing along that, The entire coal industry employs fewer people than Arby’s -- and just a bit more that Whole Foods:

    The coal industry employed 76,572 people in 2014, the latest year for which data is available. (That number includes not just miners but also office workers, sales staff and all of the other individuals who work at coal-mining companies.)

    Although 76,000 might seem like a large number, consider that similar numbers of people are employed by, say, the bowling (69,088) and skiing (75,036) industries. Other dwindling industries, such as travel agencies (99,888 people), employ considerably more. Used-car dealerships provide 138,000 jobs. Theme parks provide nearly 144,000. Carwash employment tops 150,000.

    Looking at the level of individual businesses, the coal industry in 2014 (76,572) employed about as many as Whole Foods (72,650), and fewer workers than Arby's (close to 80,000), Dollar General (105,000) or J.C. Penney (114,000). The country's largest private employer, Walmart (2.2 million employees) provides roughly 28 times as many jobs as coal.

    --
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  12. Re:"and a small handful of technical issues" by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    oh, that's right nuclear ALSO had the fossil fuel industry PAYING greenpeace to sue nuclear at every step

  13. Re:Spy Professor Stefan Halper by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What the FUCK is that you retard? made up bullshit that gave us Trump

  14. Easy, retrain the employees on wind and solar tech by f00zbll · · Score: 1

    how about stop giving money to the fat dumb asses that own the companies and train the employees in new jobs. Ones that are in demand and will be in demand for decades.

  15. Picking winners and losers by GrimSavant · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is the nightmare of government interference into markets that conservatives have long used to attack the left for their regulatory and subsidy policies, summed up in the pithy phrase of "picking winners and losers". But this is unvarnished use of political power to the economic benefit of political allies, a crony capitalism that is an even more explicit form of the "swamp" behavior that Trump ran against.

    If you think the above rebuke is wrong, please tell me what the genuine public interest is in the underlying rule "to consider guaranteeing financial returns for any power plant that could stockpile 90 days’ worth of fuel on-site". Several forms of power generation don't stockpile fuel (natural gas is typically piped in), or don't use "fuel" at all, such as wind, solar, and hydro. If fuel disruption was the legitimate security concern, then not requiring fuel distribution at all would be the most ideal for that end.

    Propping up coal is particularly egregious, since the coal industry has a plethora of negative externalities, which means that if anything coal power has been selling at rates well below it's true overall cost to society. Coal power also is at the top of the list of mortality and impaired health of all forms of power generation, far higher than natural gas generation which has been the main competitor crowding it out on price.

    Subsidizing coal power is plainly not in the general public interest, only the narrow interest of those who depend economically on the coal industry.

    1. Re:Picking winners and losers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Oh, it's perfectly simple.

      The underlying public interest is that the billionaires don't have enough money yet to let some of it trickle down. Give them many millions more and perhaps a thousand or two will trickle down. It's trickle-down economics, right? You would defy the great Laffer and his curve?! You must be a simpleton.

      AC

  16. No, it's from 538 by rsilvergun · · Score: 5, Interesting

    who consistently said Hilary was in trouble and needed to be campaigning harder while everyone else said Trump didn't have a chance.

    Again, his poll number's don't budge. If you ask people about issues they consistently oppose Trump. If you ask them about _Trump_ they consistently support him. Thing is, that's not how politics work in America. In America we have wedge issues (Abortion, Gun Control, Gay rights) that split the voters almost evenly. Then there's a small number of 'swing' voters.

    Thing is those voters vote on their 'gut'. They don't rationally weigh options and policies. They vote for the candidate that makes them feel the best. This is why you can take a Trump voter, run Trump's polices against them and find they oppose Trump 70-80% of the time but they'll still come out and vote for Trump. Trump makes them feel _good_. His rallies are fun. He Makes America Great Again. Hillary (and the Milktoast right winger Dems like her) make everybody feel bad. They call you a racist and a sexist. They tell you how bad you are for not making it through college or not having enough money to get your kid's through college. Trump tells you he's gonna get your jobs and healthcare. Hillary says she's gonna leave things as is, with you unemployed and not able to afford a doctor visit even if you have insurance.

    This is the reality of the American Political system. None of it was by accident. It was built this way to keep wealthy landowners in power. It's doing exactly what it's supposed to do: provide the illusion of Democracy. I don't know how to fix it either.

    A buddy of mine is absolutely fucked. Almost 50, lots of health problems, has a parent who just won't die and is weighing him down. Dead end job because they shipped his career overseas. Fucked. He's turned to phony-baloney "Alternative" medicine bought off Amazon to treat his various illnesses. Right now the symptoms can be lived with (albeit with a big hit to his productivity), but that's not gonna last. Still, he's convinced himself everything's OK, that he's getting better. That Homeopathy works. And that he's gonna get rich off some dumb ass crypto coin scheme he put $300 bucks into. Meanwhile he just starting working for some gig economy bullshit where they dictate everything he does but don't have to pay benefits or minimum wage.

    He should be pissed that he and his parents got tossed aside like hot garbage. He should demand healthcare and a decent wage. He should be voting the the Dems primary to drive the party left and then in the general to drive them to victory. That's the problem I don't know how to solve. We're a nation of temporarily inconvenienced millionaires...

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    1. Re:No, it's from 538 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Thing is those voters vote on their 'gut'. They don't rationally weigh options and policies. They vote for the candidate that makes them feel the best. This is why you can take a Trump voter, run Trump's polices against them and find they oppose Trump 70-80% of the time but they'll still come out and vote for Trump. Trump makes them feel _good_. His rallies are fun. He Makes America Great Again. Hillary (and the Milktoast right winger Dems like her) make everybody feel bad. They call you a racist and a sexist. They tell you how bad you are for not making it through college or not having enough money to get your kid's through college. Trump tells you he's gonna get your jobs and healthcare. Hillary says she's gonna leave things as is, with you unemployed and not able to afford a doctor visit even if you have insurance.

      You know you could put Reagan in for most of this, and it'd be the same, or Buzz Windrip if you want to go a bit more esoteric.

      It's like the difference between somebody who promises you that eating your vegetable will help you live a healthy life and the guy handing you candy. Of course you're going to go for the candy, even as he literally burns the house down around you.

      Quite interesting to see. And nothing that the stodgy old Greek philosophers didn't predict in their own time.

    2. Re:No, it's from 538 by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2

      Then there's a small number of 'swing' voters. Thing is those voters vote on their 'gut'. They don't rationally weigh options and policies. They vote for the candidate that makes them feel the best.

      I disagree on that. I mean, obviously, swing voters are those who don't vote based on wedge issues. So if that's the "policies" you mean, then I'm totally offbase. But most swing voters seems to like some policies from each party. Or care about really obscure ones that are sometimes supported by one party over the other.

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    3. Re:No, it's from 538 by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      You got it all opposite way around: the parties "offer" positions to catch votes, that is all. If your demography is so bad that 60% of the population is against gay marriage, the parties will oppose gay marriage. Your parties usually don't "make politics" ... they turn their coat to catch the wind that breezes, hence the US are as a society so backyard.

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    4. Re:No, it's from 538 by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      Not consistently. Nate Silver only started downgrading Hillary's chances sometime in the late summer/early autumn of 2016. I remember there being a discussion on his site where someone claimed Nate was playing a dangerous game of small potential gains and huge potential loses. If Hillary won, the argument went, no one would credit Nate because it was obvious to all that she would. But if Trump won, everyone would say that if Nate Silver was so wrong about that how could he be right about anything else. He would not only ruin his reputation -- as the front runner of the social statistical science his failure to predict Trump victory would give his entire scientific field an irrecoverable blow. Someone said in his defense that Nate didn't fudge data, but the reply was that of course he didn't, that was for amateurs -- what Nate was doing was in a way worse, he was ignoring his hunch that the polling data was bad but went with it anyway because he so desired one outcome.

      A couple of weeks after that discussion Nate started giving Trump more chance. In November he was accused by Huffpo of tweaking the data: "The short version is that Silver is changing the results of polls to fit where he thinks the polls truly are, rather than simply entering the poll numbers into his model and crunching them." https://www.huffingtonpost.com...?

      The article concluded "By monkeying around with the numbers like this, Silver is making a mockery of the very forecasting industry that he popularized." Turned out it was the opposite -- by acknowledging his hunch (or the danger of his game) he may have given it the lifeline.

    5. Re:No, it's from 538 by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Sometimes politicians are followers. Othertimes they're leaders. Yeah, they're unlikely to fly in the face of 60% disapproval, but 52%?

      US Society is backwards because there has been a propaganda campaign since the 80's or 90's, convincing people that if it wasn't for that horrible government in their way, they'd all be millionaires.

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  17. They never were by rsilvergun · · Score: 5, Insightful

    these are the same folks who vote for the farm bill and oil subsidies every year. The same folks that made marijuana illegal to prop up private prison industry and cotton. The same folks that ran proxy wars in South America for bloody _fruit_ companies.

    No, there's nothing even a little capitalistic about this party. They're just Kleptocrats.

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    1. Re:They never were by 110010001000 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly. Who ever thought Republicans were free market capitalists? They are Corporatists, not Capitalists. I mean the politicians and the members of the Party of course, not the voters. Republican voters are just dumb.

    2. Re:They never were by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Corporatists, not Capitalists.

      Propping up the fragile parts of our society that should be allowed to fall away before they do any more damage.

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  18. Re:The coal industry employs fewer people than Arb by careysub · · Score: 1

    Deceptive counting. Once you add in transportation, power plants, prospecting, refining, and the other dependent industries, the number goes up.

    For example, there are 75,000 coal miners, There are 30,000 employed in the transport of said coal. Coal power plants employ another 60,000. Prospectors employ another 10,000 or so.

    Still not absurdly huge, but much larger than you are claiming.

    This roughly correct, there are about 174,000 coal related jobs in the U.S., making it (if it were a single company) about the 48th largest employer in the country, behind Costco, and Walmart is still 13 times larger, and only one in 800 working Americans is employed by this industry at all. Of course replacing coal with other forms of power still keeps power plant workers employed, so any shift away from coal will keep many of these still working.

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  19. So the so-called “right” thinks... by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 1

    ...that welfare is a GOOD thing, when it’s for people who own coal mines? Because though the people condemned to work in those coal mines, by lack of vision or lack of opportunity, just plain bad luck, whatever you want to call it, will benefit in a minor (no pun intended,) and temporary way, they’d benefit more if instead that obsolete and dangerous business that kills its own workers, poisons communities and is rapidly contributing to rendering Earth inhospitable to humans, and other large, multicelled organisms, were allowed the mercy of a quick bankruptcy. Paying for and facilitating the retraining of those workers in a field of their choice to ensure THEY and their families don't suffer, and can be allowed to support themselves and contribute to the overall economy without risking blacklung, dying in mine fires, etc. is a FAR better use of tax dollars.

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    1. Re:So the so-called “right” thinks... by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

      The "right" agrees with many provisions in Obamacare when asked. Still, they oppose Obamacare because in their mind not invented here = bad. Trump is the poster boy for unrestricted capitalism. This implies that bothering with the welfare of minions is not on their mind. For Trump things are great when it makes him money, if he is in the center of it all, and when he is made to look good....and of course, when it does not interfere with his weekly multimillion Dollar golf trips to Florida. How's that for good use of tax Dollars? Send the bill to those morons who voted him into office, but don't put your hopes up too high, they are still waiting to get their jobs back that Reaganomics took away from them in the 80s.

    2. Re:So the so-called “right” thinks... by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

      Training the workers for a new career doesn't get you campaign contributions and other favours from the mine owners.

  20. Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by Brannon · · Score: 2, Insightful

    It's only economical if you don't budget for decommissioning and cleanup (pushing that to future generations) and it's only safe if either (a) it's regulated to death--which also makes it uneconomical, or (b) at no point in the 60 year operational lifetime no one ever gives control of safety over to an MBA (or just a bad engineer). And the penalty for making too many mistakes is a cataclysmic disaster. Oh, and it requires a gigantic capital investment that only pays off over many decades and only if alternative energy sources don't continue to drop in price.

    Here's a lesson for young engineers out there: A good engineering solution is one that is intrinsically safe and simple, one that naturally fails in a safe way (that's where the word "failsafe" comes from). A solution that only works out if everyone does their job perfectly is called "stupid". It doesn't matter if the more complicated approach uses a lot of cool math & physics and allows you to feel smarter and more righteous that the non-technical masses--you're the one being stupid, not them.

    The future is pretty obvious, natural gas in the near term as we transition to wind & solar & batteries (with natural gas for peaking & backup).

    1. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by Barsteward · · Score: 2

      Unfortunately the total nuclear proponents never ever mention commissioning/decommission costs or how the land after decommissioning would be "lovely"

      --
      "The hands that help are better far than lips that pray." - Robert Ingersoll (1833-1899)
    2. Re: Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by c6gunner · · Score: 3, Informative

      Here's a lesson for young engineers out there: A good engineering solution is one that is intrinsically safe and simple, one that naturally fails in a safe way

      Which modern designs absolutely are. Even older nuclear plants didn't depend on "everyone doing their jobs perfectly", they only depended on people not doing incredibly stupid things in large numbers at the same time. This invariably meant that at some point I'm the 70ish years we've had them, at least a few would fail in dangerous way. Their safety record was still fantastic, but not perfect.

      With modern designs you don't even have that possibility. You could put a bunch of liberal arts majors in charge of the plant and the worst thing that happens is it stops working. Granted, there's still the possibility that one of them will try eating the nuclear fuel, but the damage from that particular failure will be quite limited in scope.

    3. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Informative

      I'm astounded at how little people comprehend -- or even completely read -- what people write.
      I already said the current designs aren't great, there are better ones, and potentially better technologies (e.g. thorium) but like too many you don't see to READ WHAT I WROTE and that annoys me.

    4. Re: Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      Stop. This nonsense about humans being able to create systems that are 100% human proof has to stop because of, oh, I don't know, history.

      So I've got one guy telling me that things need to be engineered to be human proof, and I've got you telling me that it's impossible. Great. You two go argue it out. I'll get my popcorn.

    5. Re: Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Which modern designs absolutely are. Even older nuclear plants didn't depend on "everyone doing their jobs perfectly", they only depended on people not doing incredibly stupid things in large numbers at the same time.

      Look you've got a point about that and I agree with the part where you are saying is Nuclear isn't viable because people have to run it. It's good that you've realized why Nuclear is failing and that there is no way around this.

      With modern designs you don't even have that possibility.

      Another good point because the design that did work was shut down by oil and coal who have now lobbied for funding to have it demolished. It's really good that you have an understanding of what operational reactor experience is, what BDIs are and how that factors into why these reactors won't be built preventing the possibility of a meltdown. Best safety feature ever.

      It's good that you've found two fundamental pragmatic reasons why Nuclear can't work, I'm impressed with your insights, thanks for sharing.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    6. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      and potentially better technologies (e.g. thorium)

      No, thorium isn;t a solution because it introduces a new waste stream (Thallium 233, IIRC) and does not address the existing stocks of pu-239 and u238. I haven't seen a thorium reactor design that burns those isotopes, can you point one out?

      I agree that Thorium reactors are better than Uranium however that is not the platform that was selected. Consequently we have a large stockpiles of fuel that have already been mined and a large amount of energy invested into its production. Realistically any new reactor design put forward has to address this.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    7. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      What is "learning from our past mistakes", Alex?

    8. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      The presentation I saw showed a design that literally recycles it's own so-called waste products. I'm not a physicist and certainly not a nuclear physicist but the nuclear physicist presenting this was allegedly an expert in his field so there has to be a certain amount of 'belief' (as much as I hate that word) in what was being presented. What I'm saying is that it's all still worth being open-minded about. Why is that so wrong? Closed-mindedness never benefits anyone.

    9. Re: Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      If mental gymnastics ever becomes an Olympic sport, you, my friend, are taking home the gold!

    10. Re:Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      The presentation I saw showed a design that literally recycles it's own so-called waste products.

      not pu239 or u238 though, so no.

      I'm not a physicist and certainly not a nuclear physicist but the nuclear physicist presenting this was allegedly an expert in his field so there has to be a certain amount of 'belief' (as much as I hate that word) in what was being presented.

      Belief is the whole problem with Nuclear Ideologists, so no.

      What I'm saying is that it's all still worth being open-minded about. Why is that so wrong? Closed-mindedness never benefits anyone.

      Yeah Open mindedness is good, until your brain falls out, so no.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    11. Re: Nuclear power is intrinsically pretty dumb. by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Of course I would, you know that second place is for the first loser.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  21. Re:The coal industry employs fewer people than Arb by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

    Deceptive counting. Once you add in transportation, power plants, prospecting, refining, and the other dependent industries, the number goes up.

    For example, there are 75,000 coal miners, There are 30,000 employed in the transport of said coal. Coal power plants employ another 60,000. Prospectors employ another 10,000 or so.

    Still not absurdly huge, but much larger than you are claiming.

    This roughly correct, there are about 174,000 coal related jobs in the U.S., making it (if it were a single company) about the 48th largest employer in the country, behind Costco, and Walmart is still 13 times larger, and only one in 800 working Americans is employed by this industry at all. Of course replacing coal with other forms of power still keeps power plant workers employed, so any shift away from coal will keep many of these still working.

    Deceptive counting, unless one can read... From the previously linked WP article:

    There are various estimates of coal-sector employment, but according to the Census Bureau's County Business Patterns program, which allows for detailed comparisons with many other industries, the coal industry employed 76,572 people in 2014, the latest year for which data is available.

    That number includes not just miners but also office workers, sales staff and all of the other individuals who work at coal-mining companies.

    Note the stuff in bold. Seems your numbers differ from those of the Census Bureau's County Business Patterns program -- you know the people that track these things.

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
  22. Re:The coal industry employs fewer people than Arb by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 1

    For example, there are 75,000 coal miners, [workers - includes all of the other individuals who work at coal-mining companies]
    There are 30,000 employed in the transport of said coal.
    Coal power plants employ another 60,000.

    Of course replacing coal with other forms of power still keeps power plant workers employed, so any shift away from coal will keep many of these still working.

    As well as the people transporting coal who could transport other things. I'm not sure how useful it is to include people other than directly at the coal-mining companies as those people could probably readily find related work in other industries. As could the office-workers, sale staff and other non-miners at the coal companies, who are included in the 76,572 count. (To expand on my other reply - sorry I was incomplete.)

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
  23. Coal crowds by DogDude · · Score: 1

    Shithole does it because the coal people have rowdy crowds show up to his rallies. That's the only reason. He likes "ratings", and coal people give him "the best" ratings.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  24. Re:Easy, retrain the employees on wind and solar t by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

    What makes you think this is about the employees? This is about the guys who own coal mines/nuclear power plants, and are sad at the declining value of their assets.

    --
    Your ad here. Ask me how!
  25. Post post-Truth by thegarbz · · Score: 1

    We have gone from a post-Truth world to a post-Government world where absolutely everything the government does it does so with emergency powers not intended for that purpose.

    - POTUS using executive orders to determine immigration policy.
    - The purchase and import of German cars is a national security threat.
    And now this.
    - Companies (small enough to simply fail) going bust constitutes a natural disaster.

    There's a name normally given to a leader who uses powers without oversight or recourse in a way not intended to push through things that wouldn't succeed through a normal political process.

  26. Our failure by MoarSauce123 · · Score: 1

    We can blast and bash Trump as much as we want, but it is OUR FAILURE that he is still in office and has a Congress that just does anything to please him. Quoting Adenauer: "Every nation gets the government it deserves." I'm not suggesting that you write to your representatives in Congress, start talking to those people who still think Trump is doing a great job. These people are the real danger.

  27. Tragic comedy of the world stage by Latent+Heat · · Score: 1

    where the guy is loved by the leaders of Japan, Philippines, Saudi, Israel, Hungary, Croatia, Serbia, and yes, Montenegro.

    A tragic comedy where the leader of Saudi is telling the Palestinians to "go for whatever 'deal' the Americans offer"?

    I all suppose that recovery won't be easy or cheap if you take the view that Harry Truman made a big mistake recognizing the State of Israel? That what the Germans or what this guy https://www.bing.com/images/se... thinks of us is important?

  28. Total BS by WindBourne · · Score: 1

    I'm good with helping getting new reactors off the ground. We need baseload power, but it needs to be clean. That means more hydro, Geothermal, and nuclear.
    But the idea that we should continue to subsidize old nuclear and coal is plain foolish.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
  29. Re:The coal industry employs fewer people than Arb by CanadianMacFan · · Score: 1

    If you are going to do that then find out:
    The number of farmers growing the food for Arby's
    The number of people employed processing the food
    The people transporting the food and other goods to Arby's and to the processing plants
    The people making the napkins, cups, and other items that they use
    The people that haul away the recycling and garbage
    And anything else similar

  30. when did natural gas get cheaper than coal? by 0111+1110 · · Score: 1

    When did natural gas get so cheap and why are we all so sure it will stay that way forever? If the coal plants are not needed in a particular area then I guess they can be shut down while natural gas is still cheaper, but in a few years they may have to be started up again if/when natural gas gets expensive again.

    --
    Quite an experience to live in fear, isn't it? That's what it is to be a slave.
  31. So, you're plan is vaporware? by Brannon · · Score: 1, Informative

    The most modern 3G safe reactor designs out there still have safety problems.

    And the economics of the industry has been devastated: A dozen reasons for the economic failure of nuclear power

    Nuclear is done, it's more expensive than the alternatives with greater risk for catastrophe. You can drop the whole exasperated genius routine, we're not buying it.

    1. Re:So, you're plan is vaporware? by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      You can drop the whole exasperated genius routine, we're not buying it.

      It's more like an ideology, Nuclear idealists who transpose their imaginary view of nuclear power onto the real world and confuse all of the problems with it onto the people pointing out that ain't such a good idea.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
    2. Re:So, you're plan is vaporware? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is done, it's more expensive than the alternatives with greater risk for catastrophe.

      Gee, I wonder how many technologies over the last 200 years have had the same exact things said about them by other 'exasperated geniuses' like you who additionally are so overwhelmingly arrogant that they unironically think they not only know everything, but that they're capable of seeing all possible futures and therefore should be taken on their word unquestioningly? Meanwhile, there 'geniuses' like me (LOL, as if I actually think that!) counseling an open-minded approach that preserves the possibility that new approaches to nuclear power can be developed (and, again, by the way, they are).

      ..oh, and by the way? I'm one of the people who voted for the closure of Rancho Seco back in the 80's, and as you can see I have recanted that. Perhaps you should, too.

    3. Re:So, you're plan is vaporware? by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      Mr. Kaos

      Kevin, is that you?

      'Ideology', my ass. The only 'ideology' I have is that we stop burning fossil fuels before it's too gods-be-damned late to reverse the damage we're doing with it.
      Wind and solar are fine but they're not dependable. Building huge battery banks to store off-peak capacity is only practical up to a point, beyond which it starts creating more carbon footprint than it prevents. Other storage techniques aren't necessarily that great either. Nuclear of any design isn't pefect either and has drawbacks but it's better than continuing to burn fossil fuels and will tide us over until there's an even better alternative than any of the above. Fusion power may be closer than anyone thinks. For all we know physicists might make a discovery in the forseeable future that opens the door to something better. In the meantime we have to keep things going without trashing the entire ecosphere. How is keeping an open mind a bad thing? How is having a closed mind a good thing? Are you a God? Omniscent? Prescient? Or are you just giving in to hardwired caveman instincts? Not even intended as an insult, just trying to get you to think.

    4. Re:So, you're plan is vaporware? by MrKaos · · Score: 1

      Mr. Kaos

      Kevin, is that you?

      Yes, so stop stealing my porn collection and masturbating with it.

      'Ideology', my ass. The only 'ideology' I have is that we stop burning fossil fuels before it's too gods-be-damned late to reverse the damage we're doing with it. Wind and solar are fine but they're not dependable. Building huge battery banks to store off-peak capacity is only practical up to a point, beyond which it starts creating more carbon footprint than it prevents. Other storage techniques aren't necessarily that great either. Nuclear of any design isn't pefect either and has drawbacks but it's better than continuing to burn fossil fuels and will tide us over until there's an even better alternative than any of the above. Fusion power may be closer than anyone thinks. For all we know physicists might make a discovery in the forseeable future that opens the door to something better. In the meantime we have to keep things going without trashing the entire ecosphere. How is keeping an open mind a bad thing? How is having a closed mind a good thing? Are you a God? Omniscent? Prescient? Or are you just giving in to hardwired caveman instincts?

      Hahahahaha - spoken like a true Nuclear Ideologist, get back to me when you can tell me what a BDI or LER is in relation to a nuclear reactor and we can talk.

      Not even intended as an insult, just trying to get you to think.

      Ok, I think what you're saying is nuclear idealism.

      --
      My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  32. Re:The coal industry employs fewer people than Arb by volmtech · · Score: 1

    If a job is a job is a job, why are you not working for Walmart? You must have some idea how wealth is created and know that flipping burgers is not how.

    And what about national security? How easy would it be to sever a natural gas pipe line? They run through miles and miles of empty country. Fifteen minutes with an excavator and a little C4 could shut down a entire state's supply. With a coal or nuclear plant only the plant grounds themselves have to be guarded.

    I suppose you think we do not need a farm bill either? So 90% of farmers go broke, someone will always pony up the $billions needed to plant those millions of acres. Grain surpluses are over rated, who cares if the silos all run dry, Argentina always has plenty to sell.

  33. Good estimate Lou. by Agripa · · Score: 1

    Between $311 million to $11.8 billion per year? That is only a range of 32dB; maybe you can find a way to increase it further.

    Remind me again why we are listening to you for economic planning.

  34. Nuclear power is unjustifiable by Uberbah · · Score: 1

    It is simply too costly and too risky. None of the renewable alternatives cost $20 billion and a couple of decades to construct, none have the security costs, and none have the long term waste disposal problems.

    It's not hippies that killed nuclear power. It's cost effectiveness.