So what you are saying is that, the hypothesis does not make any predictions, so it is "Not even wrong" ?
No, I'm saying it doesn't make predictions so it's not science. You can try to pull predictions from it, but the story itself doesn't make claims about the age of the Earth. There are creationist theories that God created the Earth old, that the speed of light used to be much faster (which is why we can see light from stars that are more than 6 thousand light years away), that God planted dinosaur fossils to test our faith.
It's a story. You can dress it up to make predictions out of it, but someone else can dress it up and make excuses for it. It's not science.
We can disprove some parts of the story as being inconsistent with the evidence we see, but the whole point is that it isn't really testable because it doesn't directly make predictions of how the world would be if it was true.
It's like trying to disprove 'Romeo and Juliet.' You might be able to say "There is no evidence of a prominent Capulet family in Verona in the 13th or 14th century," but there is nothing you can look at in today's world that would be different if the play was just fiction. That's what makes it a story instead of a theory.
And 99.99% of the applications anybody will PAY you to write, will be data mining applications at this point
I think data mining will increase in the future, and I definitely agree that database design needs to be taught to new developers. But data mining is still FAR from 99% of new development.
Traditional reporting and traditional OLTP apps are still going to be the majority of development. If you disagree on my OLTP statement, who do you think is going to be GENERATING all of the data that 99.99% of these new grads are going to be mining? It takes multiple OLTP apps to generate one data warehouse worth mining, after all.
office software and the gaming industry are basically at market saturation level
So you think from here on out no new games are going to be developed? We'll just keep porting Tetris to new environments?
I have the distinct feeling that even if I'm the best programmer and best employee they have in the IT department, they wouldn't promote me simply because of my age and my looks.
You'll take this the wrong way, I know. I felt that way when I was 22 (I'm 37 now). The funny thing about experience is that you don't know the value of it until you have it. Simple things like having made a handful of mistakes in your past make it much easier to see them coming next time. Watching various managers, observing their styles and learning from their mistakes helps even more. Even if that wasn't true, surely you can understand that having a track record makes your managers more comfortable promoting you. The world really isn't just eagerly watching for an excuse to give you more money. You have to prove not just your intelligence but your work ethic over time.
I wish someone had sat me down when I was your age and explained that there is nothing wrong with being frustrated and even ranting now and then, but when your rants have more observations about what "WE" should do and fewer complaints about what "I" should get, you'll get more respect. Right now you're frustrated because people can't just tell your intrinsic value because you've worked on a couple of projects and done well. Eventually, you'll find that you're frustrated because you're having to deal with the ramifications of a decision your manager made that you warned him (or her) about at the time. When that has happened a lot of times over several years, your manager and your team will develop respect for your judgment. Business isn't like sports, where one good statistical year means you get a big new contract.
Re:Evidence based medicine is extremely frustratin
on
Why Doctors Hate Science
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· Score: 3, Interesting
When people bring their kids in to get some gravol for their viral gastroenteritis, I tell them that it has been shown to be no better than placebo, so I don't offer it.
Have you considered that, although it's no better than placebo, it might be better than nothing? Saying it's no better than placebo doesn't actually mean that they won't see a difference if you don't prescribe anything. It's why they use placebos in trials.
If you leave the door to your home open and come home to find that someone is photographing your things
The next product from Google Labs! It's like Google search for your PC, it's Google House View (beta). Can't remember what your bathroom floor looks like, can't see it from the sofa, and you're too lazy to stand up? Google can help!
I for one use peer to peer networks, for (some) legal purposes
Yeah, I didn't mean to imply otherwise. I put "lost" in quotes because the bandwidth isn't really lost, it's just used. It's like claiming sections of the highway are "lost" because there are lots of cars on them. That's why we BUILT the highways. You could argue the opposite is true, they're wasted if we we AREN'T using them.
Re:Just look at what happens to walled/gated commu
on
Do We Need a New Internet?
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· Score: 2, Insightful
600 people every year manage to defeat themselves and get killed by gun accidents
Yes, and over 40,000 in car accidents, 3500 in swimming pools. Where are cars and swimming pools mentioned in the constitution? It seems like it would be a lot less work and more useful to ban them first.
I remember talking about this word in grade school, oddly enough...
It's pronounced "mem meee"
I have two links for you. First, folk etymology is when you try to reconstruct the orgin of the word based on something other than actual research: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Folk_etymology
Second, the word meme was coined by Richard Dawkins (a biologist) to explain how ideas can pass from one person to a next and change slightly, just like genes. He says the word is pronounced to rhyme with "gene," and he should know, since he made it up. With all apologies to your grade school classmates, of course.
How about this -- If you want to know something about your clients (geographical location, how often they use your app, how many times do people have to use it before you can be 80% sure they'll become regular users, how long does that take if you give them a free trial, etc) you need data that your provider probably owns.
Also, the app provider may have a way to add value to those pure numbers (they might be able to tell you averages for "bouncing X apps" before you even deploy) based on existing apps.
That data has value to you and to other people.
yet a laptop with a quarter of the power and less functionality can't be built for less than 200$
It's a quarter of the power, but it has some additional functionality. It needed to use about 10% of the electricity that a netbook uses, needed to be rechargeable with a hand crank, and needed a new OS written for it (yes, I know, they could have used Linux, but we're talking about seriously underpowered laptops). It also has to be solid enough to deal with temperature extremes and potentially rough treatment (it doesn't come with a nice padded laptop bag).
In a way your argument is similar to the complaints about the Macbook Air. You're paying more for the form factor and the engineering to leave stuff out to meet other requirements.
I did actually read that book. While I don't hate the philosophy, I'm shocked at the arrogance of Ayn Rand to include 50 page long rants (presented as speeches or arguments by characters). If you want to write a philosophy book, that's fine. But don't pretend your rants are a novel.
The funny thing about this is when I hold the iphone to take a picture, I hold it with my left thumb on the bottom edge and my left index finger on the top edge. This keeps me from blocking the tiny lens on the back and also lets me look at the preview on the screen, while keeping my right hand free to push the button to take the picture. My left thumb naturally falls over the speaker. It also happens to block the camera sound (not because I want it to, it's just the easiest way for me to hold the camera).
Perhaps this law will remove my left thumb and save me from myself.
Bush disallowed GOVERNMENT funding of new cell lines, not private funding.
Bush actually disallowed any lab which receives government funding from doing research with new stem cell lines. That effectively meant that private funding didn't just have to pay for the research, but BUILDING AN IDENTICAL LAB for any university or organization that had a single government research grant.
At the time the illegal download is completed it immediately counts as a lost sale.
Yes and no. The owner of the rights to the song isn't necessarily out of something. In that sense it's very different than shoplifting.
Let's say I have a favorite song I really want you to hear. You aren't interested. I insist and actually email you the song (or send you a link and beg you to download it). If you download it, has the record company lost a sale from that download? I'd argue they haven't lost anything. In fact, I may have given them free advertising. If you like the song you may buy it.
I'm not saying that they don't lose anything from downloads, but there are certainly situations where people download songs they wouldn't buy, so a download isn't automatically a lost sale.
Well, Cisco sucks. And the government of D.C. sucks.
Right, the government sucks, so by no means should you consider working for the government
I won't defend the guy's attitude, but if you RTFS (S = summary), one of the candidates worked for the Government of DC. So he wasn't saying "All governments suck so I wouldn't work for one," he was saying "the DC government sucks so I wouldn't promote one of their C?Os."
Sorry, pet peeve of mine. Literally putting lipstick on a pig would require a pig and lipstick. I think they're just releasing software, which isn't nearly as entertaining.
Slashdot Mirror
So what you are saying is that, the hypothesis does not make any predictions, so it is "Not even wrong" ?
No, I'm saying it doesn't make predictions so it's not science. You can try to pull predictions from it, but the story itself doesn't make claims about the age of the Earth. There are creationist theories that God created the Earth old, that the speed of light used to be much faster (which is why we can see light from stars that are more than 6 thousand light years away), that God planted dinosaur fossils to test our faith.
It's a story. You can dress it up to make predictions out of it, but someone else can dress it up and make excuses for it. It's not science.
can we disprove creationism
We can disprove some parts of the story as being inconsistent with the evidence we see, but the whole point is that it isn't really testable because it doesn't directly make predictions of how the world would be if it was true.
It's like trying to disprove 'Romeo and Juliet.' You might be able to say "There is no evidence of a prominent Capulet family in Verona in the 13th or 14th century," but there is nothing you can look at in today's world that would be different if the play was just fiction. That's what makes it a story instead of a theory.
And 99.99% of the applications anybody will PAY you to write, will be data mining applications at this point
I think data mining will increase in the future, and I definitely agree that database design needs to be taught to new developers. But data mining is still FAR from 99% of new development.
Traditional reporting and traditional OLTP apps are still going to be the majority of development. If you disagree on my OLTP statement, who do you think is going to be GENERATING all of the data that 99.99% of these new grads are going to be mining? It takes multiple OLTP apps to generate one data warehouse worth mining, after all.
office software and the gaming industry are basically at market saturation level
So you think from here on out no new games are going to be developed? We'll just keep porting Tetris to new environments?
I have the distinct feeling that even if I'm the best programmer and best employee they have in the IT department, they wouldn't promote me simply because of my age and my looks.
You'll take this the wrong way, I know. I felt that way when I was 22 (I'm 37 now). The funny thing about experience is that you don't know the value of it until you have it. Simple things like having made a handful of mistakes in your past make it much easier to see them coming next time. Watching various managers, observing their styles and learning from their mistakes helps even more. Even if that wasn't true, surely you can understand that having a track record makes your managers more comfortable promoting you. The world really isn't just eagerly watching for an excuse to give you more money. You have to prove not just your intelligence but your work ethic over time.
I wish someone had sat me down when I was your age and explained that there is nothing wrong with being frustrated and even ranting now and then, but when your rants have more observations about what "WE" should do and fewer complaints about what "I" should get, you'll get more respect. Right now you're frustrated because people can't just tell your intrinsic value because you've worked on a couple of projects and done well. Eventually, you'll find that you're frustrated because you're having to deal with the ramifications of a decision your manager made that you warned him (or her) about at the time. When that has happened a lot of times over several years, your manager and your team will develop respect for your judgment. Business isn't like sports, where one good statistical year means you get a big new contract.
When people bring their kids in to get some gravol for their viral gastroenteritis, I tell them that it has been shown to be no better than placebo, so I don't offer it.
Have you considered that, although it's no better than placebo, it might be better than nothing? Saying it's no better than placebo doesn't actually mean that they won't see a difference if you don't prescribe anything. It's why they use placebos in trials.
If you leave the door to your home open and come home to find that someone is photographing your things
The next product from Google Labs! It's like Google search for your PC, it's Google House View (beta). Can't remember what your bathroom floor looks like, can't see it from the sofa, and you're too lazy to stand up? Google can help!
I for one use peer to peer networks, for (some) legal purposes
Yeah, I didn't mean to imply otherwise. I put "lost" in quotes because the bandwidth isn't really lost, it's just used. It's like claiming sections of the highway are "lost" because there are lots of cars on them. That's why we BUILT the highways. You could argue the opposite is true, they're wasted if we we AREN'T using them.
600 people every year manage to defeat themselves and get killed by gun accidents
Yes, and over 40,000 in car accidents, 3500 in swimming pools. Where are cars and swimming pools mentioned in the constitution? It seems like it would be a lot less work and more useful to ban them first.
Right now most bandwidth is lost to spammers, crackers and scammers.
Really? How much bandwidth does it take to run a cracking script? I'd bet most bandwidth is "lost" to peer-to-peer downloads.
I remember talking about this word in grade school, oddly enough... It's pronounced "mem meee"
I have two links for you. First, folk etymology is when you try to reconstruct the orgin of the word based on something other than actual research: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Folk_etymology
Second, the word meme was coined by Richard Dawkins (a biologist) to explain how ideas can pass from one person to a next and change slightly, just like genes. He says the word is pronounced to rhyme with "gene," and he should know, since he made it up. With all apologies to your grade school classmates, of course.
Oh, here's your second link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meme
How about this -- If you want to know something about your clients (geographical location, how often they use your app, how many times do people have to use it before you can be 80% sure they'll become regular users, how long does that take if you give them a free trial, etc) you need data that your provider probably owns. Also, the app provider may have a way to add value to those pure numbers (they might be able to tell you averages for "bouncing X apps" before you even deploy) based on existing apps. That data has value to you and to other people.
Whoosh. I guess they don't teach the classics anymore, like old Val Kilmer movies from the 90s.
With the two and a couple of pop bottles you could get escape velocity
Maybe if you had a couple of pop bottles and a way to mine Mentos on the moon.
yet a laptop with a quarter of the power and less functionality can't be built for less than 200$
It's a quarter of the power, but it has some additional functionality. It needed to use about 10% of the electricity that a netbook uses, needed to be rechargeable with a hand crank, and needed a new OS written for it (yes, I know, they could have used Linux, but we're talking about seriously underpowered laptops). It also has to be solid enough to deal with temperature extremes and potentially rough treatment (it doesn't come with a nice padded laptop bag). In a way your argument is similar to the complaints about the Macbook Air. You're paying more for the form factor and the engineering to leave stuff out to meet other requirements.
I did actually read that book. While I don't hate the philosophy, I'm shocked at the arrogance of Ayn Rand to include 50 page long rants (presented as speeches or arguments by characters). If you want to write a philosophy book, that's fine. But don't pretend your rants are a novel.
The funny thing about this is when I hold the iphone to take a picture, I hold it with my left thumb on the bottom edge and my left index finger on the top edge. This keeps me from blocking the tiny lens on the back and also lets me look at the preview on the screen, while keeping my right hand free to push the button to take the picture. My left thumb naturally falls over the speaker. It also happens to block the camera sound (not because I want it to, it's just the easiest way for me to hold the camera).
Perhaps this law will remove my left thumb and save me from myself.
However you can't ... twitter on a slateboard or piece of paper.
In fact, you can. We used to call it passing notes in class.
Those who fail to learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
So you're worried that if we don't do this someone 50 years from now will install Windows ME?
Bush disallowed GOVERNMENT funding of new cell lines, not private funding.
Bush actually disallowed any lab which receives government funding from doing research with new stem cell lines. That effectively meant that private funding didn't just have to pay for the research, but BUILDING AN IDENTICAL LAB for any university or organization that had a single government research grant.
H is Obama's middle initial, which is why the Hs and not the Os.
Yes, but one of George W. Bush's main bumper stickers just said "W." Obama's campaign logo was a stylized O. I think the W -> O comparison is fair.
At the time the illegal download is completed it immediately counts as a lost sale.
Yes and no. The owner of the rights to the song isn't necessarily out of something. In that sense it's very different than shoplifting. Let's say I have a favorite song I really want you to hear. You aren't interested. I insist and actually email you the song (or send you a link and beg you to download it). If you download it, has the record company lost a sale from that download? I'd argue they haven't lost anything. In fact, I may have given them free advertising. If you like the song you may buy it. I'm not saying that they don't lose anything from downloads, but there are certainly situations where people download songs they wouldn't buy, so a download isn't automatically a lost sale.
I bet not too many people joke around with you twice. Am I right?
Well, Cisco sucks. And the government of D.C. sucks.
Right, the government sucks, so by no means should you consider working for the government
I won't defend the guy's attitude, but if you RTFS (S = summary), one of the candidates worked for the Government of DC. So he wasn't saying "All governments suck so I wouldn't work for one," he was saying "the DC government sucks so I wouldn't promote one of their C?Os."
Windows 7 is literally putting lipstick on a pig!
Sorry, pet peeve of mine. Literally putting lipstick on a pig would require a pig and lipstick. I think they're just releasing software, which isn't nearly as entertaining.
My friend, I wish I had mod points today. Much funnier than the parent post.