Revised predictions have an even greater probability of a large earthquake happening in Southern California soon. 85% chance of a M7.0 or greater happening within the next 30 years.
Dr. Keilis-Borok's office is about 3 doors down from mine.:) I haven't actually talked to him yet though, but I'm working at UCLA this summer for the Southern California Earthquake Center.
Interestingly enough, his team of researchers are claiming to have predicted the San Simeon earthquake in December and an earthquake last year in Japan. Using the same methods, he is predicting a minimum magnitude 6.5 to strike a 12,000 square mile region of Southern California by September 5th. This 12,000 square mile region is mostly in eastern California and the Mojave Desert (sites of the M7.3 1992 Landers and M7.1 1999 Hector Mines quakes).
This M5.2 earthquake yesterday happened about 50km southwest of San Diego. It falls quite a ways out of the area of his prediction.
I know Im going to get modded down for this; but Ive lived in Wa, Tx, Ak and Az; and out of all of them, its (ironically) been in Az where Ive seen lightening the most intensely (longer duration, and more clearly visible) and also the most closely (within blocks of where I live).
Absolutely breathtaking.
I completely agree. We used to spend a lot of time along the Colorado River (Mead and Havasu). You wake up and start with a beautiful, blue clear sky. As the day goes on you can see the clouds forming and growing. By 4 o'clock in the afternoon, the high winds pick up and continue until early in the morning, along with the constant lightening. Definitely an impressive sight.
Evidentially the submitter has never been to the West Coast. We have thunderstorms during this time of the year too (well, usually they occur later in July and August). Of course they probably aren't as bad as what you find over the midwest, but clearly this dude has no clue what he's talking about.:P
No, for a proper noun, or for a plural ending in "s", it is not necessary to add the extra "s" after the apostrophy. So Mr Burns' is infact quite correct.
I usually make fun of the grammar snobs since I violate the rules so much...;)
A program we use in the labs at school is called Surfer. I'm not sure if it can read a graphic file and turn it into a 3D contour map, but it seems to have enough options that it should.
We took quite a few field measurements using a Total Survey Station, plugged them into a spreadsheet and had Surfer read them, it then created contour and 3D surface images for us to use and characterize the terrain with. Best of all, the data can be exported in DXF format.
The one drawback may be the price tag... $599 USD.:-/
Also note the 500 year mark is fairly arbitrary in that it is an average.
Down here in Southern California, we've looked at a spot where the San Andreas fault crosses through the Cajon Pass. Digging trenches and things across the fault reveals movement on average every 180 years or so.
The last time that segment of the fault moved was in 1812. 192 years and counting. When you actually plot out when earthquakes occured, you find major events happening as close to 60 years apart to as far away as 220.
So basically, you guys might be due for an earthquake fairly soon... or you might not!;)
Isn't this just similiar to the aseismic slip conditions you get along certain parts of the San Andreas Fault? (North of Parkfield and also through Hollister).
Perhaps the differentiation is the fact that aseismic slip/creep is happening continously through those segements while the movement in these "slow quakes" is only confined over the course of a small interval (14 months or something?).
Dr. Keilis-Borok at UCLA and his team are claiming to have predicted two earthquakes. One in Japan as well as the one in San Simeon.
Using similiar techniques, they are prediciting an earthquake of a minimum magnitude 6.5 in the Southern California desert by September 5. It will be interesting to see if this pans out.
Interestingly enough, I am have an internship in seisomology with the So. Cal. Earthquake Center this summer and will be working at UCLA. I have a feeling it is going to be quite busy!:)
Personally, I don't know why. I'd much rather deal with earthquakes than tornadoes. In an earthquake, your stuff falls into a nice neat little pile (at least before the ensuing fires engulf it). In a tornado, you, your family and your possesions are blown away into other states.:-P
While there is quite a lot of hoopla surrounding Diebold, Riverside County's electronic voting systems were manufactured by Sequoia Voting Systems.
I lived right across the "tracks" so to speak, in San Bernardino County, but attended Riverside Community College and had many friends who lived in Riverside. We've talked at legth about electronic voting issues and I've never heard any concerns about Riverside's electronic voting system. In fact, they were one of the first county's in California to turn to completely electronic voting, starting with the 2000 presidential elections.
Googling for some random info, I see that there are a few complaints about how data is handeled (and namely the neccesity of a paper ballot). I think a lot of people replying are just using knee-jerk reactions. Riverside's systems have been running for four years now nearly without a hitch.
I will note that they can always be improved though. But the main reason Riverside is suing is because they *got rid* of their regular voting gear 4 years ago and upgraded to complete electronic voting. It will be quite expensive for them to go back, and with less than 6 months notice as well.
Well we didn't have conclusive evidence that formations on Mars were sculpted by H20. In fact, a competing theory is that many geologic features you see (including seasonal channels on crater walls) could have been carved by CO2 flows.
I'm about to go to work, but you can definitely dig around google for evidence, I found a few sites by just typing in CO2 flows.
The overarching goal of the Mars Exploration Rovers was not to determine if there was life on Mars. The goal was to determine if water existed in liquid form in the past. Hematite and cross bedding visible at the Opportunity landing site finally gave us the conclusive answer we needed.
Now that we know water did exist on the surface of the Red Planet, we can try to tackle new questions such as; Did life ever exist? What happened to the water?
The only thing I am panicking over is will we be able to get the US administration to give a shit about the environment. We have seen enough evidence to the contrary that I believe this to be sufficient reasoning for a *panic*.
While I agree that we should try to be as environmentally friendly as possible (face it, breathing in all that smoggy air in the Inland Empire sucks), we simply don't know what is causing it. There is almost no doubt the Earth is warming, but the question still remains, why?
The last glacial maximum ended roughly 10,000 years ago. What happens when you come out of an ice age? You warm up! However, it is also known that CO2 is a green house gas and that since they started taking measurements in the 1950s of how many ppm's of CO2 there is in the atmosphere from a lab on top Mauna Loa, scientists have noticed the buildup of CO2 is accelerating, no doubt due to human factors.
Now, how much of that CO2 is contributing to the natural warming of the planet? We're not sure. Is it accelerating the warming process? Perhaps.
Last year at our school, we had Dr. Alan Mix present a research topic entitled "Icy Poles or the Muggy Equator: What Drives Natural Climate Change?" During the question session at the end, he brought up an interesting point that the Earth is pretty much setup to deal with certain levels of CO2, and given enough time, it will try to reach equilibrium, where there isn't that much CO2 in the atmosphere. The problem with our CO2 emissions is that it might be more than Earth can naturally clean out, pushing us over some threshold where the Earth *won't* be able to eventually get rid of it, leading to run away global warming.
Meaning Apple will have released TEN operating systems (Mac OS X 10.0, Mac OS X Server, Mac OS X 10.1, Mac OS X Server 10.1, Mac OS X 10.2, Mac OS X Server 10.2, you get the picture) in the time it took Microsoft to release two...
Interesting point!
If quantity and release cycle determines who makes the best software, I think we should all bow to Mandrake. They've released about 100 operating systems in the last 5 years!
Hell, I think they've released at least TEN operating systems in the last year!
Yes, but have you ever driven a Subaru? Holy shit.
Granted, it may not be as fast as a stock Z28, but those things still have balls. (Our Forerester, the sporty version of course, does 0 - 60 in 5.3 seconds.)
Re:A few months ago I did this over San Francisco
on
Wi-Fi in the Sky
·
· Score: 1
I just moved up to San Francisco recently and I live in Inner Sunset/Golden Gate heights on the hill overlooking 19th Ave and Golden Gate park. I decided so sit on my balcony one night with my laptop plugged in. It picked up 9 wireless networks!! Only 2 of them were secured with WEP.
I imagine there are quite a few networks out here (way more than 190). Still, quite interesting to say the least.
Yup... I caught the very end of it mainly cause I was flipping through the channels and a scene with volcanoes caught my eye. Needless to say I stayed on that channel.:)
The ancient civilization that they were talking about was the Minoans, who lived on Crete. At least their claims of finding evidence of a civilization make sense. However, whether or not the Minoans were the inhabitants of the fabeled Atlantis is another debate entirely.
Whatever lingering heterosexuality was left in our resident geek girls is probably forever gone after viewing that page.
I don't know know... what lingering sexuality of any type I had is gone after viewing that page.
It doesn't help that a room mate walked by and wondered why I was looking at pictures of large men in spandex!
That said, it is an impressive costume. He said he wanted to modify it, it will be interesting to see if he enters it again next year and what improvements he makes.
Do you have any links to back up your assertion? While the cruise missile guy exists [aardvark.co.nz] (although he did not actually build the missile, just asserted it was theoretically possible), I have found nothing about the stealth bomber's necessity to be repainted.
Taken from the this site: Stealth coatings present a host of other problems. To be effective, the plane's surface must be kept perfectly slick. Exposure to rain or hail can cause nicks and scratches that dramatically increase the craft's radar signature. Even optimal flying conditions take a toll on a plane's skin. In a study released in June 1998, congressional investigators who observed a B-2 after one test flight reported that the plane "had damaged tape, caulk, paint, and heat tiles.... In addition, we observed hydraulic fluid leaks beneath the aircraft that further damaged the caulk."
If you dig around google, you will find other relavent links as well.
Slashdot Mirror
This earthquake yesterday was really no big deal at all, especially since it was located 49km off the coast of San Diego.
However the Northridge Earthquake was one of the costliest disasters in United States history. There were also 51 deaths attributed to that quake too.
Revised predictions have an even greater probability of a large earthquake happening in Southern California soon. 85% chance of a M7.0 or greater happening within the next 30 years.
Dr. Keilis-Borok's office is about 3 doors down from mine. :) I haven't actually talked to him yet though, but I'm working at UCLA this summer for the Southern California Earthquake Center.
Interestingly enough, his team of researchers are claiming to have predicted the San Simeon earthquake in December and an earthquake last year in Japan. Using the same methods, he is predicting a minimum magnitude 6.5 to strike a 12,000 square mile region of Southern California by September 5th. This 12,000 square mile region is mostly in eastern California and the Mojave Desert (sites of the M7.3 1992 Landers and M7.1 1999 Hector Mines quakes).
This M5.2 earthquake yesterday happened about 50km southwest of San Diego. It falls quite a ways out of the area of his prediction.
I know Im going to get modded down for this; but Ive lived in Wa, Tx, Ak and Az; and out of all of them, its (ironically) been in Az where Ive seen lightening the most intensely (longer duration, and more clearly visible) and also the most closely (within blocks of where I live).
Absolutely breathtaking.
I completely agree. We used to spend a lot of time along the Colorado River (Mead and Havasu). You wake up and start with a beautiful, blue clear sky. As the day goes on you can see the clouds forming and growing. By 4 o'clock in the afternoon, the high winds pick up and continue until early in the morning, along with the constant lightening. Definitely an impressive sight.
Evidentially the submitter has never been to the West Coast. We have thunderstorms during this time of the year too (well, usually they occur later in July and August). Of course they probably aren't as bad as what you find over the midwest, but clearly this dude has no clue what he's talking about. :P
Also, they also rely on water to keep the glass clean. Water is very heavy, and would be very expensive to ship all the way to Mars.
There is also the fact that water cannot currently exist on the surface of Mars in liquid form.
The dust on Mars is statically charged.
No, for a proper noun, or for a plural ending in "s", it is not necessary to add the extra "s" after the apostrophy. So Mr Burns' is infact quite correct.
;)
I usually make fun of the grammar snobs since I violate the rules so much...
But I think in this case, I may become one:
I'm afraid you are wrong.
A program we use in the labs at school is called Surfer. I'm not sure if it can read a graphic file and turn it into a 3D contour map, but it seems to have enough options that it should.
:-/
We took quite a few field measurements using a Total Survey Station, plugged them into a spreadsheet and had Surfer read them, it then created contour and 3D surface images for us to use and characterize the terrain with. Best of all, the data can be exported in DXF format.
The one drawback may be the price tag... $599 USD.
So the real question is: How can we use the toxic waste that is generated? Is there a practical use for it? Can we think of one?
:)
By filling up balloons.
Also note the 500 year mark is fairly arbitrary in that it is an average.
;)
Down here in Southern California, we've looked at a spot where the San Andreas fault crosses through the Cajon Pass. Digging trenches and things across the fault reveals movement on average every 180 years or so.
The last time that segment of the fault moved was in 1812. 192 years and counting. When you actually plot out when earthquakes occured, you find major events happening as close to 60 years apart to as far away as 220.
So basically, you guys might be due for an earthquake fairly soon... or you might not!
Isn't this just similiar to the aseismic slip conditions you get along certain parts of the San Andreas Fault? (North of Parkfield and also through Hollister).
Perhaps the differentiation is the fact that aseismic slip/creep is happening continously through those segements while the movement in these "slow quakes" is only confined over the course of a small interval (14 months or something?).
Dr. Keilis-Borok at UCLA and his team are claiming to have predicted two earthquakes. One in Japan as well as the one in San Simeon.
:)
Using similiar techniques, they are prediciting an earthquake of a minimum magnitude 6.5 in the Southern California desert by September 5. It will be interesting to see if this pans out.
Interestingly enough, I am have an internship in seisomology with the So. Cal. Earthquake Center this summer and will be working at UCLA. I have a feeling it is going to be quite busy!
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/prepare/factsheets/NewMa
I'm moving.
Personally, I don't know why. I'd much rather deal with earthquakes than tornadoes. In an earthquake, your stuff falls into a nice neat little pile (at least before the ensuing fires engulf it). In a tornado, you, your family and your possesions are blown away into other states.
Because many geologic eras/epochs/etc are usually named for type localities. In this case, the type locality for the Ediacaran is the Ediacara Hills.
;)
:)
According to Wikipedia, the Cambria is the Roman name of Wales, where rocks of Cambrian age exist and were studied.
But then again, I could be completely wrong since all languages have their nuances. Take for example "Canada/Canadians"
(Note, I really do love my Canadian friends. It is just a funny page.
While there is quite a lot of hoopla surrounding Diebold, Riverside County's electronic voting systems were manufactured by Sequoia Voting Systems.
I lived right across the "tracks" so to speak, in San Bernardino County, but attended Riverside Community College and had many friends who lived in Riverside. We've talked at legth about electronic voting issues and I've never heard any concerns about Riverside's electronic voting system. In fact, they were one of the first county's in California to turn to completely electronic voting, starting with the 2000 presidential elections.
Googling for some random info, I see that there are a few complaints about how data is handeled (and namely the neccesity of a paper ballot). I think a lot of people replying are just using knee-jerk reactions. Riverside's systems have been running for four years now nearly without a hitch.
I will note that they can always be improved though. But the main reason Riverside is suing is because they *got rid* of their regular voting gear 4 years ago and upgraded to complete electronic voting. It will be quite expensive for them to go back, and with less than 6 months notice as well.
Well we didn't have conclusive evidence that formations on Mars were sculpted by H20. In fact, a competing theory is that many geologic features you see (including seasonal channels on crater walls) could have been carved by CO2 flows.
I'm about to go to work, but you can definitely dig around google for evidence, I found a few sites by just typing in CO2 flows.
The overarching goal of the Mars Exploration Rovers was not to determine if there was life on Mars. The goal was to determine if water existed in liquid form in the past. Hematite and cross bedding visible at the Opportunity landing site finally gave us the conclusive answer we needed.
Now that we know water did exist on the surface of the Red Planet, we can try to tackle new questions such as; Did life ever exist? What happened to the water?
The only thing I am panicking over is will we be able to get the US administration to give a shit about the environment. We have seen enough evidence to the contrary that I believe this to be sufficient reasoning for a *panic*.
While I agree that we should try to be as environmentally friendly as possible (face it, breathing in all that smoggy air in the Inland Empire sucks), we simply don't know what is causing it. There is almost no doubt the Earth is warming, but the question still remains, why?
The last glacial maximum ended roughly 10,000 years ago. What happens when you come out of an ice age? You warm up! However, it is also known that CO2 is a green house gas and that since they started taking measurements in the 1950s of how many ppm's of CO2 there is in the atmosphere from a lab on top Mauna Loa, scientists have noticed the buildup of CO2 is accelerating, no doubt due to human factors.
Now, how much of that CO2 is contributing to the natural warming of the planet? We're not sure. Is it accelerating the warming process? Perhaps.
Last year at our school, we had Dr. Alan Mix present a research topic entitled "Icy Poles or the Muggy Equator: What Drives Natural Climate Change?" During the question session at the end, he brought up an interesting point that the Earth is pretty much setup to deal with certain levels of CO2, and given enough time, it will try to reach equilibrium, where there isn't that much CO2 in the atmosphere. The problem with our CO2 emissions is that it might be more than Earth can naturally clean out, pushing us over some threshold where the Earth *won't* be able to eventually get rid of it, leading to run away global warming.
and $69 for the full version of Mac OS X, whats your point? everyone else is talking about the retail prices, not the educational discount prices
I thought it was pretty obvious, but perhaps not: My point is that you don't have to go to Russia to get WinXP for less than $100.
Where are you getting those prices from Russia or China?
Or any collegiate academic institution in the United States in which you are a member... $99 here at SF State for WinXP pro.
Meaning Apple will have released TEN operating systems (Mac OS X 10.0, Mac OS X Server, Mac OS X 10.1, Mac OS X Server 10.1, Mac OS X 10.2, Mac OS X Server 10.2, you get the picture) in the time it took Microsoft to release two...
;)
Interesting point!
If quantity and release cycle determines who makes the best software, I think we should all bow to Mandrake. They've released about 100 operating systems in the last 5 years!
Hell, I think they've released at least TEN operating systems in the last year!
8.0, 8.1, 8.2, 9.0, 9.1, 9.2, 10.0.............
Take that you Mac fanatics!
Yes, but have you ever driven a Subaru? Holy shit.
Granted, it may not be as fast as a stock Z28, but those things still have balls. (Our Forerester, the sporty version of course, does 0 - 60 in 5.3 seconds.)
I just moved up to San Francisco recently and I live in Inner Sunset/Golden Gate heights on the hill overlooking 19th Ave and Golden Gate park. I decided so sit on my balcony one night with my laptop plugged in. It picked up 9 wireless networks!! Only 2 of them were secured with WEP.
I imagine there are quite a few networks out here (way more than 190). Still, quite interesting to say the least.
Yup... I caught the very end of it mainly cause I was flipping through the channels and a scene with volcanoes caught my eye. Needless to say I stayed on that channel. :)
The ancient civilization that they were talking about was the Minoans, who lived on Crete. At least their claims of finding evidence of a civilization make sense. However, whether or not the Minoans were the inhabitants of the fabeled Atlantis is another debate entirely.
Whatever lingering heterosexuality was left in our resident geek girls is probably forever gone after viewing that page.
I don't know know... what lingering sexuality of any type I had is gone after viewing that page.
It doesn't help that a room mate walked by and wondered why I was looking at pictures of large men in spandex!
That said, it is an impressive costume. He said he wanted to modify it, it will be interesting to see if he enters it again next year and what improvements he makes.
Do you have any links to back up your assertion? While the cruise missile guy exists [aardvark.co.nz] (although he did not actually build the missile, just asserted it was theoretically possible), I have found nothing about the stealth bomber's necessity to be repainted.
Taken from the this site:
Stealth coatings present a host of other problems. To be effective, the plane's surface must be kept perfectly slick. Exposure to rain or hail can cause nicks and scratches that dramatically increase the craft's radar signature. Even optimal flying conditions take a toll on a plane's skin. In a study released in June 1998, congressional investigators who observed a B-2 after one test flight reported that the plane "had damaged tape, caulk, paint, and heat tiles.... In addition, we observed hydraulic fluid leaks beneath the aircraft that further damaged the caulk."
If you dig around google, you will find other relavent links as well.