Just a wild ass guess, but I'll bet ALL ports and sockets will be gone soon.
It's far easier to make a phone waterproof, if you don't have any ports and sockets to seal up.
I suspect the rumors we've been hearing about Lighting being replaced by USB-C aren't accurate. I do think that we will see lightning converted to a mag-safe style flush mount connector.
So my prediction for the next iPhone is no buttons, switches or socket style connectors.
"They assigned a lower probability to Trump winning based on the polls"
You were so close to defining the problem with that statement.
fivethirtyeight doesn't simply perform statistical probability analysis. If that was the case, you could simply run the data through SPSS and be done with it.
Nate Silver and his group of hacks is supposed to look at the ENTIRE process. If you do your analysis on bad data - you will have a bad result. Nate Silver's blinders came from believing that the polls weren't biased - and they absolutely were.
NYT, Washington Post, fivethirtyeight and others simply did not question polls that jived with their pre-defined political beliefs....and as a result practically no one trusts their analysis.
fivethirtyeight's job (and statistical analysis in general) is to sort through the noise of "hundreds of millions" of voters.
They failed because they were wearing the same blinders NYT was (and still is) wearing.
Independent news is dead. It's up to you - the news consumer to get to the sources and sort through the BS. Unfortunately, there is no one left to do that for you.
There are so many free sources of news, it may be impossible to sell it in the near future.
It may also be impossible for commercial news sources to compete with the millions of "news enthusiasts" that post and analyze news simply for the fun of it.
Events are posted in near real-time on youtube and thousands of people dissect and analyze Wikileaks releases the instant they hit the internet.
There is no commercial news room that can scale out to that size.
Yes, the availability of so much news does force the consumer to filter out bullshit for him/her self - but many times you are getting bullshit from paid mainstream media - so you have to do the due diligence anyway if you want to stay informed.
Good luck MSM - you are competing with the entire internet - and I don't think you will win.
Your localized analysis of labor markets is like trying to judge global climate by the weather in your backyard.
Immigration policy is a national policy and it must be evaluated on a national level.
"If the cost goes down, why would the demand remain fixed?"
Do you have evidence that demand for these people is increasing? The author of the article doesn't seem to think so. Slashdot has been filled with stories over the last couple of years of firms laying off tech workers and forcing those workers to train their replacements.
If demand for this talent was increasing, salaries would be rising across the industry and very few firms would be laying off workers. Why would you layoff anyone if you can't meet your demand for employees?
H1B is a cost saving measure at the expense of the American worker. Anyone who thinks otherwise is being willfully ignorant of the situation.
"And no kicking out the H1s will not mean the jobs will be filled by American citizens- they will go offshore"
I've got news for you - almost every job that can reasonably be off-shored has been. Companies going back a few years have been bringing work back on-shore:
Lots of companies got burned by off-shoring work and getting higher cost and lower quality work than was expected. Managing "blended rate" teams half a world away turned out to be a much more difficult challenge than many expected.
H1B as it stands now is being abused and not used for its intended purpose - and there is an administration in place that is committed to fixing that problem. The only losers here will be the H1B body shops.
If you increase the supply of something and demand remains fixed - the cost of that something will go down.
Econ 101
The US does not need to import low to mid-skill labor. We have plenty of that here. We definitely want to import brilliant PhDs - but that's not how H1B is being used.
H1B is a cheap guest worker program - it is enriching companies at the expense of the US worker.
Software is a written work much like a book. The author can assert copyright protection and control its distribution. Patent protection for software is akin to patenting mathematics or logic (which are not patentable).
It doesn't need to be any more complicated than this. Software copyrights, at this point, destroy more value than they create.
We have some of the best universities in the world in the US. Many people come here to be educated.
If we do not have an adequately educated and trained talent pool in the US we have no one to blame but ourselves.
The real fix is to taper off the H1B system while at the same time get employment market feedback into our education system so that we turn out less english and art history majors and more scientists, engineers, and tradespeople.
We'll yes and no - one could tether the robot with a fiber optic cable. Keep the stuff on the robot pure optical and put the sensors somewhere else away from the neutron radiation.
I'm sitting less than 2 meters from an access point mounted on the wall behind my desk. I guess I should not buy one of these monitors until LG gets their $hit together.
They should recall all of these defective monitors and either repair or replace them.
Apple needs to apply pressure here. They discontinued their 27" Thunderbolt monitors, and decided that it wasn't worth their time to replace the item. They pushed their customers to this half-assed contraption.
We buy lots of mac stuff but I'm glad we waited on these new MacBook pros and LG monitors.
1. Minimum wage - I propose $150k per year. H1B visas were designed to attract the most brilliant minds of their fields - not run-of-the-mill programers and systems engineers. The fact that most H1Bs make the low-ends of their pay spectrum shows the visas are being used as cheap imported labor.
2. Corporations should not hold the visas - the visas must be granted to and held by individuals - and they are not transferrable. This would ensure that only the most motivated and skilled would come here and be hired by sponsoring companies. If the visa holder ends his/her employment with the sponsoring company the visa expires and can not be renewed in that year and can not be reissued to another candidate. This would encourage sponsoring companies to treat their visa holders as humans instead of indentured servants.
3. Small annual cap of visas - maybe 50,000 or less. This would ensure only the most valuable and skilled positions are filled by these visa holders.
Are they Nazis too? Since when does enforcing border security make one a Nazi?
Donald Trump won the presidential election and is doing everything he said he would do. He's hardly pulling the wool over anyone's eyes.
"Total disregard for the law" - What laws has President Trump broken? Every single action he has taken he has the authority to take.
Obama expanded executive authority every chance he got. Did you complain about any of that over the last 8 years or was that OK since he was playing for your team?
That is no team he's assembling, it is just some guys and gals he likes
Have you met any people that sit on the boards of large companies? I have - and I can tell you that most of these boards are made up of people that the CEO/President likes.
Corporate governance is hardly independent in this country.
"It takes a lot of determination to rise up against societal norms, get an education and leave their home country."
It sure does.
It takes far more determination to fix the societal problems instead of fleeing them. It is not our responsibility to provide a path to middle class for the entire world. Nations must forge that path for their own people.
Slashdot Mirror
Just a wild ass guess, but I'll bet ALL ports and sockets will be gone soon.
It's far easier to make a phone waterproof, if you don't have any ports and sockets to seal up.
I suspect the rumors we've been hearing about Lighting being replaced by USB-C aren't accurate. I do think that we will see lightning converted to a mag-safe style flush mount connector.
So my prediction for the next iPhone is no buttons, switches or socket style connectors.
many predictive failures - yes.
The last few years have shown the weakness in the predictive power of polls. (Brexit and the like: http://www.newsbusters.org/blo...)
Polling has turned in to a partisan activity in an apparent attempt to sway the outcome of the very thing being polled.
It is completely unlike predicting the weather.
"They assigned a lower probability to Trump winning based on the polls"
You were so close to defining the problem with that statement.
fivethirtyeight doesn't simply perform statistical probability analysis. If that was the case, you could simply run the data through SPSS and be done with it.
Nate Silver and his group of hacks is supposed to look at the ENTIRE process. If you do your analysis on bad data - you will have a bad result. Nate Silver's blinders came from believing that the polls weren't biased - and they absolutely were.
NYT, Washington Post, fivethirtyeight and others simply did not question polls that jived with their pre-defined political beliefs....and as a result practically no one trusts their analysis.
fivethirtyeight's job (and statistical analysis in general) is to sort through the noise of "hundreds of millions" of voters.
They failed because they were wearing the same blinders NYT was (and still is) wearing.
Independent news is dead. It's up to you - the news consumer to get to the sources and sort through the BS. Unfortunately, there is no one left to do that for you.
There are so many free sources of news, it may be impossible to sell it in the near future.
It may also be impossible for commercial news sources to compete with the millions of "news enthusiasts" that post and analyze news simply for the fun of it.
Events are posted in near real-time on youtube and thousands of people dissect and analyze Wikileaks releases the instant they hit the internet.
There is no commercial news room that can scale out to that size.
Yes, the availability of so much news does force the consumer to filter out bullshit for him/her self - but many times you are getting bullshit from paid mainstream media - so you have to do the due diligence anyway if you want to stay informed.
Good luck MSM - you are competing with the entire internet - and I don't think you will win.
Code: *#*#34866#*#*
Was the sprint part of the network.
Service got much better when I forced my phone over to the T-Mobile side of the network.
Google has a similar case of Corporate A.D.D. - except the "A" team hands off the project when they get about 80% done with it.
Unfortunately, it seems like the remaining 20% is done by the interns.
Your localized analysis of labor markets is like trying to judge global climate by the weather in your backyard.
Immigration policy is a national policy and it must be evaluated on a national level.
"If the cost goes down, why would the demand remain fixed?"
Do you have evidence that demand for these people is increasing? The author of the article doesn't seem to think so. Slashdot has been filled with stories over the last couple of years of firms laying off tech workers and forcing those workers to train their replacements.
If demand for this talent was increasing, salaries would be rising across the industry and very few firms would be laying off workers. Why would you layoff anyone if you can't meet your demand for employees?
H1B is a cost saving measure at the expense of the American worker. Anyone who thinks otherwise is being willfully ignorant of the situation.
"And no kicking out the H1s will not mean the jobs will be filled by American citizens- they will go offshore"
I've got news for you - almost every job that can reasonably be off-shored has been. Companies going back a few years have been bringing work back on-shore:
http://upstatebusinessjournal....
Lots of companies got burned by off-shoring work and getting higher cost and lower quality work than was expected. Managing "blended rate" teams half a world away turned out to be a much more difficult challenge than many expected.
H1B as it stands now is being abused and not used for its intended purpose - and there is an administration in place that is committed to fixing that problem. The only losers here will be the H1B body shops.
If you increase the supply of something and demand remains fixed - the cost of that something will go down.
Econ 101
The US does not need to import low to mid-skill labor. We have plenty of that here. We definitely want to import brilliant PhDs - but that's not how H1B is being used.
H1B is a cheap guest worker program - it is enriching companies at the expense of the US worker.
Agreed.
Software is a written work much like a book. The author can assert copyright protection and control its distribution. Patent protection for software is akin to patenting mathematics or logic (which are not patentable).
It doesn't need to be any more complicated than this. Software copyrights, at this point, destroy more value than they create.
That is not the intent of patent protection.
The H1B visa was designed for the best and the brightest - no one is suggesting that we turn away brilliant people.
We need more PhDs - not code monkeys and run-of-the mill sysadmins. The H1B system is being abused to flood the market with cheap imported labor.
with the exception of increasing the size of compliance departments at all banks.
The reason the housing bubble occurred was a failure of two government regulatory bodies OTS and the SEC.
OTS should have never allowed the lax loan underwriting to occur, and the SEC should have never let banks and wall street securitize the crappy loans.
Dodd-Frank wasn't needed to prevent the disaster - competent regulators were needed.
We have some of the best universities in the world in the US. Many people come here to be educated.
If we do not have an adequately educated and trained talent pool in the US we have no one to blame but ourselves.
The real fix is to taper off the H1B system while at the same time get employment market feedback into our education system so that we turn out less english and art history majors and more scientists, engineers, and tradespeople.
We'll yes and no - one could tether the robot with a fiber optic cable. Keep the stuff on the robot pure optical and put the sensors somewhere else away from the neutron radiation.
I was always surprised at how the valley avoided the unions. The land of fruits and nuts isn't exactly union unfriendly.
I guess Elon thought that since his companies are modeled after silicon valley startup type companies he too could avoid the unions.
Good luck to him. I suspect, eventually, not only will Elon's labor force become unionized, the valley will too.
Freakonomics podcast is awesome:
http://freakonomics.com/archiv...
Wait Wait Don't Tell Me is also quite funny (although the Trump jokes are getting old at this point):
http://www.npr.org/podcasts/34...
I'm sitting less than 2 meters from an access point mounted on the wall behind my desk. I guess I should not buy one of these monitors until LG gets their $hit together.
They should recall all of these defective monitors and either repair or replace them.
Apple needs to apply pressure here. They discontinued their 27" Thunderbolt monitors, and decided that it wasn't worth their time to replace the item. They pushed their customers to this half-assed contraption.
We buy lots of mac stuff but I'm glad we waited on these new MacBook pros and LG monitors.
Here's how you fix the H1B abuses:
1. Minimum wage - I propose $150k per year. H1B visas were designed to attract the most brilliant minds of their fields - not run-of-the-mill programers and systems engineers. The fact that most H1Bs make the low-ends of their pay spectrum shows the visas are being used as cheap imported labor.
2. Corporations should not hold the visas - the visas must be granted to and held by individuals - and they are not transferrable. This would ensure that only the most motivated and skilled would come here and be hired by sponsoring companies. If the visa holder ends his/her employment with the sponsoring company the visa expires and can not be renewed in that year and can not be reissued to another candidate. This would encourage sponsoring companies to treat their visa holders as humans instead of indentured servants.
3. Small annual cap of visas - maybe 50,000 or less. This would ensure only the most valuable and skilled positions are filled by these visa holders.
Wipro, Tata and Infosys can go cry me a river.
Are they Nazis too? Since when does enforcing border security make one a Nazi?
Donald Trump won the presidential election and is doing everything he said he would do. He's hardly pulling the wool over anyone's eyes.
"Total disregard for the law" - What laws has President Trump broken? Every single action he has taken he has the authority to take.
Obama expanded executive authority every chance he got. Did you complain about any of that over the last 8 years or was that OK since he was playing for your team?
That is no team he's assembling, it is just some guys and gals he likes
Have you met any people that sit on the boards of large companies? I have - and I can tell you that most of these boards are made up of people that the CEO/President likes.
Corporate governance is hardly independent in this country.
Cheap - easy - reliable - secure. This is what most home users should run.
Their Amplifi line looks fantastic for most home use.
"It takes a lot of determination to rise up against societal norms, get an education and leave their home country."
It sure does.
It takes far more determination to fix the societal problems instead of fleeing them. It is not our responsibility to provide a path to middle class for the entire world. Nations must forge that path for their own people.
Time and time again we hear how this technical talent simply doesn't exist here in the US and we need to go abroad to find it.
If this is true, why don't these entrepreneurial and brilliant technologists build world-class companies and products in their home countries?
Something tells me these H1B visa holders are neither entrepreneurial nor brilliant.