That is just simple minded to think we do not want bubbles. We have known since the 1980's that the current path is unsustainable, but was designed to be only transitionary (aka sustain the post industrials until asia's gdp per cap improves). It was thought that the 1990's recession would be the end of the major economic cycle, but the tech bubble and 2000's re-estate bubble slowed the inevitable to this point. It appears we will not be so lucky this time...
In short... It is very easy to see a bubble, and most of us knew exactly what it was. However, to pretend that you want to predict bubbles pretends that you have sustainable system. The current system is not...
Tolerance Yes... But it is all about keeping the body off balance. There is little doubt that coffee (aka caffeine) makes you more focused and energized. I mean to suggest that over 300 years of active "research" has no validity is kind of nieve in my mind. Sometimes so called researches have a hard time remembering this...
It doesnt take a genius to figure out that the "typo" theory is BS... In 2008, it was a "computer fault"... Deflation is still very much in control at the moment, and it appears that we have only delayed it. As greece and many other sovereigns start to default on their debts, we will see the leg down... Acceptance is a b&^%*& sometimes...
Probably living on the planet where we actually develop this crap rather than just talk about it, and realize that the only reason for using big words is to try to make people think you are smarter than you really are. Dont try to cast stones when you live in a glass house...
Not to be completely an ass, but your assessment of the situation is laughable. "Cloud Computing" started with SUN micro trying to find a business model, and should have died there. Just think about what IBM is doing... They are creating a center to "educate" (aka market) to people on all of the benefits of outsourcing their server needs. If it was such a wonderful thing, do you honestly think they would have to be doing this? No...
And yes, "cloud computing" is a buzzword about making your product deployments extremely expensive, and about pretending that outsourcing is a great thing. IBM is not doing this because it is the "next great thing". They are doing it because they realize that their currently service consulting based business model is quickly burning to the ground, and that they need something else to jump to. Just like with SUN micro, it will not work and will be a complete waste of money for them... Dont believe me? Ask any of the guys at Amazon's cloud setup how that is working out for them...
I could not disagree anymore with your statement. As a consultant, I have designed and personally coded more than a dozen projects that were much larger than what the poster had. Also, it is simply impractical many times for the developers too stay simply because it is just not cost effective to do so. People generally will pay to have the new system in place, but rarely want to pay allot to maintain it. My experience is that it is generally best for me to move on, and let someone else maintain the system. To be honest, some systems have turned out poorly (typically due to late exploration of the requirements), but generally the codebases are quite simple for even a novice to maintain.
However, I have found thru experience that the key to a good codebase is how it is segmented. Abstracting complexities is extremely important to a well maintained codebase. Meaning, in my opinion, the ideal design is one where you have hundreds of simple objects (although OO principles are not critical) that make up a very complex system.
In short, I have sent a number of systems just like what the poster is talking about. They are generally poorly designed, hard to maintain, and typically very difficult to find/fix bugs on. If there is not a business case to re-design the system, however, then it is typically best to slowly start segmenting and abstracting the codebase until it starts to can reliably predict it will perform in the field.
Tests like these are flawed from the beginning, and I am sure that these scientists know this. The trick that is always played by supplement manufactures are to set the dosages much lower than what is required to reduce side effects. Meaning, for any "drug" to work, there will always be side effects.
For Ginko, the effective dosage is around 600mg per day, and I can tell you from years of experience that it works quite well at this dosage. There are many side effects in some people at this dosage, however. Also, it is a very powerful blood thinner as well, however, so this side effect can be quite dangerous for some people as well. None of this is a problem at 120mg, however, which is why it showed no improvement.
As long as you can build servers for around $300 and colo them very cheaply, there will never be much traction on cloud computing... Also, no level of people talking about "the support costs" is going to change the fact that a good secured OS (Headless Linux boxes especially) require nearly no level of support.
I am sick and tired of pie in the sky thinkers who think they know more than their actual abilities clearly indicate.
No technology is an "end all be all", and that includes web technologies as well. Each have its own unique strengths and weaknesses. Also, any time I see words like "crowdsourcing", I want to vomit simply because they continue to try to minimize the process of solving ideas and building real products. Personally I think that in the next 50 years, the time right now will be remembered as when business managers were able to walk the earth freely assuming that they know everything. In time, however, their companies failed because they contribute very little to the overall process of creating a business or product. MS learned this very painful lesson first hand with Vista (aka No amount of business marketing/technique solved poor development), and hopefully they have corrected their issues with Windows 7.
In short.... Real people have to build these "Real" technologies, and we understand that each technology is not perfect. Meaning, the "Web OS" will never a reality unless people are willing to compromise on functionality simply because fat clients will almost always trump any web app simply due to sheer amount of resources and options available to it.
So if I am on the call with a "support representative" for 1 hour, it would cost them $52 in raw employment costs?? What type of service could possible afford this structure other than the financial services industry??
They dont outsource because they are evil. They do it because they are trying to reduce the cost of things.... Yes, the model is flawed, however, and I suspect that in 10 years a computer will be the new support representative. Then I can tell it how bad I hate the company it works for while not feeling bad about it...
You dont get paid $1.2 million and sit under a flickering florescent light...
Either way.... This type of programming will eventually be labelled for what it is... High tech defrauding investors. Goldman (and others) do not make money on HFT because they are smart. They do it because of locating their server farms in the NYSE building and front running all equities. We live in a very corrupt time, and I for one Hope that someone has the "audacity" (From Obama's book) to do something about it soon before these fraudsters take out the global economy and drive up back into the middle ages..
The androgen side could certainly provide some "aggression" edge for her, but she does not appear to be overly masculine in look. Meaning, no square jaw type features as you would expect.... It would appear that the affects are more anabolic in nature. Hence, larger muscles.... Yes, I understand that androgens can be
I think a better way of looking at this is what is the advantage that a male has.... That is rather obvious.... Anabolic hormones. Meaning, check to see why she is so muscular. It is highly unlikely that high levels of anabolic compounds are coming from her adrenals as they do in some women.
Meaning, instead of focusing on the genetics, why not focus on why she is beating her female peers.... Chances are they will either find some "extra" glands somewhere or they will find that she is using something she should not be using. My guess is the former...
I have an idea that is 10x their idea!!!!.... Mine promises infinite energy for all (free in fact), and the best part is that it will be ready next week if you just give me $100 million dollars immediately... In fact, after the wire transfer goes thru, everything (at least for me) will be wonderful...
In short... Anytime you see a company talk about the next great thing, but they have not done it yet is just marketing for dollars... If their idea was so good, then why are they having to tell everyone about it... Also, If they have not built anything yet, then why have they already burned thru "substantially less than $50 million dollars"....
At least the vinyl was analog "encoded" to make it easy for future people to figure out. With our zero lead electronics of today, you might get 20 years from the device and then they are left trying to figure it the encoding pattern.... I would hope it would not be an issue, but if Al Gore's world happens I am guessing we will be an idiocracy based world by then...
The think that gets me about all of this is no balance... No one is talking about microsoft word literally being the standard and until StarOffice there was no way around not using it, but yet MS office is $500+.
Groups like these want to "herd" people, but piracy is a balancing force.... The more they charge, the higher the piracy rate, but no one will talk about that fact...
Well I have a car that I built that gets 100000000 miles per gallon, and never needs to be filled up!!! But I have not yet tested it to make sure it works....
In short... I am really getting tired of all these "researchers" talking about them developing the thing that will change the world, but always seem to put the "yeah it might work, but we will not know until you actually try manufacturing it"..... Meaning, they annouce their world discovery before actually making sure it works not yet tested the manufacturing process to prove it. If it really was that good, then why would they talk about it after they prove the concept first... Money is never a problem if you can show it works...
I agree... Its called capitalism... If true capitalism existed, then large companies would be rare because competition would quickly reduce their profit margins to the point where very little money could be made.
Also, Mark Cuban seems to misunderstand how industries are supposed to work. If you never OSS anything, how can we expect to ever continue building on something?? Meaning, if we have to pay a license to someone like Microsoft and/or Oracle forever, how can one expect that additional future advanced systems can be cost effectively built??
Finally, Mr Cuban made his money during a very unique time were pension funds and VCs had a massive liquidity orgy. Those days are over, and Mr. Cuban should accept that he was more lucky that smart...
HFCS is no worse to digest than sucrose. Also, the problem is not that it is tough to digest, but actually the opposite. Meaning, you absorb it too fast leading to insulin spikes.... Its ratios are almost identical to sucrose, and huge amounts of safety studies have been done on it. Meaning, the problem is not HFCS, but rather too many sugars in general.
No doubt MS is overrun by business managers, which I am sure is most of their problems. To a business person, the product is the after thought, but the marketing is the most important thing. IE does not have problems because of poor marketing. It has problems because of of countless security issues with the code itself that have in the past left machines very vulnerable to malicious attempts. Any technology person can tell you this, but I bet this will not be presented as a "fact" on their marketing campaign...
The main issue as I recall with all of the projection glasses were the concern of eye strain because of too much light. I had a pair of the old sony classes, and they were no doubt hard on the eyes. In fact, I think they had a 4 hour limit of usage as I recall...
In short... Unless the business world converts to a French way of living, I dont think that your glasses will every find their way into high end applications anytime soon.
The problem, in my mind, is defining intelligence... Simply saying that abstract object picking or abstract problem solving is the ultimate judge to intelligence is misleading at best...
An example of this is marathon runners... Even though younger marathon runners are clearly physically superior than their older more seasoned competitors, it is rare to see the young runners win races. The reason is simple... Physical superiority (just like raw processing mental ability) is not always the deciding factor... Meaning, mental discipline over time typically trumps mental ability...
Exactly... To the average layman, the thought of a "Dr House" type principle always applies. For the people who actually do high end development or research work, however, they realize that intelligence is only useful if the person can work with other people or can effectively communicate his work. Also, documentation of that work is essential...
In short... it is only mutually exclusive if you are in a room full of a bunch of business MBAs who apparently as a whole still think that solutions come out of some magic hat somewhere...
If this technology was so world changing, then why would they be talking about it at such an early stage? Because some engineer somewhere realizes that the technology will never work...
What the video clearly demonstrates to me is that Intel is now clearly run by marketing people rather than solid engineering as it once was. Meaning, why would you had one of your "research" people spending time talking about some "pie in the sky" stuff instead of actually doing something?
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That is just simple minded to think we do not want bubbles. We have known since the 1980's that the current path is unsustainable, but was designed to be only transitionary (aka sustain the post industrials until asia's gdp per cap improves). It was thought that the 1990's recession would be the end of the major economic cycle, but the tech bubble and 2000's re-estate bubble slowed the inevitable to this point. It appears we will not be so lucky this time...
In short... It is very easy to see a bubble, and most of us knew exactly what it was. However, to pretend that you want to predict bubbles pretends that you have sustainable system. The current system is not...
Tolerance Yes... But it is all about keeping the body off balance. There is little doubt that coffee (aka caffeine) makes you more focused and energized. I mean to suggest that over 300 years of active "research" has no validity is kind of nieve in my mind. Sometimes so called researches have a hard time remembering this...
It doesnt take a genius to figure out that the "typo" theory is BS... In 2008, it was a "computer fault"... Deflation is still very much in control at the moment, and it appears that we have only delayed it. As greece and many other sovereigns start to default on their debts, we will see the leg down... Acceptance is a b&^%*& sometimes...
Probably living on the planet where we actually develop this crap rather than just talk about it, and realize that the only reason for using big words is to try to make people think you are smarter than you really are. Dont try to cast stones when you live in a glass house...
Not to be completely an ass, but your assessment of the situation is laughable. "Cloud Computing" started with SUN micro trying to find a business model, and should have died there. Just think about what IBM is doing... They are creating a center to "educate" (aka market) to people on all of the benefits of outsourcing their server needs. If it was such a wonderful thing, do you honestly think they would have to be doing this? No...
And yes, "cloud computing" is a buzzword about making your product deployments extremely expensive, and about pretending that outsourcing is a great thing. IBM is not doing this because it is the "next great thing". They are doing it because they realize that their currently service consulting based business model is quickly burning to the ground, and that they need something else to jump to. Just like with SUN micro, it will not work and will be a complete waste of money for them... Dont believe me? Ask any of the guys at Amazon's cloud setup how that is working out for them...
I could not disagree anymore with your statement. As a consultant, I have designed and personally coded more than a dozen projects that were much larger than what the poster had. Also, it is simply impractical many times for the developers too stay simply because it is just not cost effective to do so. People generally will pay to have the new system in place, but rarely want to pay allot to maintain it. My experience is that it is generally best for me to move on, and let someone else maintain the system. To be honest, some systems have turned out poorly (typically due to late exploration of the requirements), but generally the codebases are quite simple for even a novice to maintain.
However, I have found thru experience that the key to a good codebase is how it is segmented. Abstracting complexities is extremely important to a well maintained codebase. Meaning, in my opinion, the ideal design is one where you have hundreds of simple objects (although OO principles are not critical) that make up a very complex system.
In short, I have sent a number of systems just like what the poster is talking about. They are generally poorly designed, hard to maintain, and typically very difficult to find/fix bugs on. If there is not a business case to re-design the system, however, then it is typically best to slowly start segmenting and abstracting the codebase until it starts to can reliably predict it will perform in the field.
Tests like these are flawed from the beginning, and I am sure that these scientists know this. The trick that is always played by supplement manufactures are to set the dosages much lower than what is required to reduce side effects. Meaning, for any "drug" to work, there will always be side effects.
For Ginko, the effective dosage is around 600mg per day, and I can tell you from years of experience that it works quite well at this dosage. There are many side effects in some people at this dosage, however. Also, it is a very powerful blood thinner as well, however, so this side effect can be quite dangerous for some people as well. None of this is a problem at 120mg, however, which is why it showed no improvement.
"Chief Strategy Officer" - Means he does not actually do anything, but sure does talk allot of crap that he has no clue about or how to implement...
As long as you can build servers for around $300 and colo them very cheaply, there will never be much traction on cloud computing... Also, no level of people talking about "the support costs" is going to change the fact that a good secured OS (Headless Linux boxes especially) require nearly no level of support.
I am sick and tired of pie in the sky thinkers who think they know more than their actual abilities clearly indicate.
No technology is an "end all be all", and that includes web technologies as well. Each have its own unique strengths and weaknesses. Also, any time I see words like "crowdsourcing", I want to vomit simply because they continue to try to minimize the process of solving ideas and building real products. Personally I think that in the next 50 years, the time right now will be remembered as when business managers were able to walk the earth freely assuming that they know everything. In time, however, their companies failed because they contribute very little to the overall process of creating a business or product. MS learned this very painful lesson first hand with Vista (aka No amount of business marketing/technique solved poor development), and hopefully they have corrected their issues with Windows 7.
In short.... Real people have to build these "Real" technologies, and we understand that each technology is not perfect. Meaning, the "Web OS" will never a reality unless people are willing to compromise on functionality simply because fat clients will almost always trump any web app simply due to sheer amount of resources and options available to it.
So if I am on the call with a "support representative" for 1 hour, it would cost them $52 in raw employment costs?? What type of service could possible afford this structure other than the financial services industry??
They dont outsource because they are evil. They do it because they are trying to reduce the cost of things.... Yes, the model is flawed, however, and I suspect that in 10 years a computer will be the new support representative. Then I can tell it how bad I hate the company it works for while not feeling bad about it...
You dont get paid $1.2 million and sit under a flickering florescent light...
Either way.... This type of programming will eventually be labelled for what it is... High tech defrauding investors. Goldman (and others) do not make money on HFT because they are smart. They do it because of locating their server farms in the NYSE building and front running all equities. We live in a very corrupt time, and I for one Hope that someone has the "audacity" (From Obama's book) to do something about it soon before these fraudsters take out the global economy and drive up back into the middle ages..
The androgen side could certainly provide some "aggression" edge for her, but she does not appear to be overly masculine in look. Meaning, no square jaw type features as you would expect.... It would appear that the affects are more anabolic in nature. Hence, larger muscles.... Yes, I understand that androgens can be
I think a better way of looking at this is what is the advantage that a male has.... That is rather obvious.... Anabolic hormones. Meaning, check to see why she is so muscular. It is highly unlikely that high levels of anabolic compounds are coming from her adrenals as they do in some women.
Meaning, instead of focusing on the genetics, why not focus on why she is beating her female peers.... Chances are they will either find some "extra" glands somewhere or they will find that she is using something she should not be using. My guess is the former...
I have an idea that is 10x their idea!!!!.... Mine promises infinite energy for all (free in fact), and the best part is that it will be ready next week if you just give me $100 million dollars immediately... In fact, after the wire transfer goes thru, everything (at least for me) will be wonderful...
In short... Anytime you see a company talk about the next great thing, but they have not done it yet is just marketing for dollars... If their idea was so good, then why are they having to tell everyone about it... Also, If they have not built anything yet, then why have they already burned thru "substantially less than $50 million dollars"....
At least the vinyl was analog "encoded" to make it easy for future people to figure out. With our zero lead electronics of today, you might get 20 years from the device and then they are left trying to figure it the encoding pattern.... I would hope it would not be an issue, but if Al Gore's world happens I am guessing we will be an idiocracy based world by then...
The think that gets me about all of this is no balance... No one is talking about microsoft word literally being the standard and until StarOffice there was no way around not using it, but yet MS office is $500+.
Groups like these want to "herd" people, but piracy is a balancing force.... The more they charge, the higher the piracy rate, but no one will talk about that fact...
Well I have a car that I built that gets 100000000 miles per gallon, and never needs to be filled up!!! But I have not yet tested it to make sure it works....
In short... I am really getting tired of all these "researchers" talking about them developing the thing that will change the world, but always seem to put the "yeah it might work, but we will not know until you actually try manufacturing it"..... Meaning, they annouce their world discovery before actually making sure it works not yet tested the manufacturing process to prove it. If it really was that good, then why would they talk about it after they prove the concept first... Money is never a problem if you can show it works...
I agree... Its called capitalism... If true capitalism existed, then large companies would be rare because competition would quickly reduce their profit margins to the point where very little money could be made.
Also, Mark Cuban seems to misunderstand how industries are supposed to work. If you never OSS anything, how can we expect to ever continue building on something?? Meaning, if we have to pay a license to someone like Microsoft and/or Oracle forever, how can one expect that additional future advanced systems can be cost effectively built??
Finally, Mr Cuban made his money during a very unique time were pension funds and VCs had a massive liquidity orgy. Those days are over, and Mr. Cuban should accept that he was more lucky that smart...
I agree with most of what you said... But... :)
HFCS is no worse to digest than sucrose. Also, the problem is not that it is tough to digest, but actually the opposite. Meaning, you absorb it too fast leading to insulin spikes.... Its ratios are almost identical to sucrose, and huge amounts of safety studies have been done on it. Meaning, the problem is not HFCS, but rather too many sugars in general.
No doubt MS is overrun by business managers, which I am sure is most of their problems. To a business person, the product is the after thought, but the marketing is the most important thing. IE does not have problems because of poor marketing. It has problems because of of countless security issues with the code itself that have in the past left machines very vulnerable to malicious attempts. Any technology person can tell you this, but I bet this will not be presented as a "fact" on their marketing campaign...
The main issue as I recall with all of the projection glasses were the concern of eye strain because of too much light. I had a pair of the old sony classes, and they were no doubt hard on the eyes. In fact, I think they had a 4 hour limit of usage as I recall...
In short... Unless the business world converts to a French way of living, I dont think that your glasses will every find their way into high end applications anytime soon.
I am old fashion kind of guy myself. Meaning, I want my air just like it the dinosaurs had it.. Thick and chocked full of that CO2....
The problem, in my mind, is defining intelligence... Simply saying that abstract object picking or abstract problem solving is the ultimate judge to intelligence is misleading at best...
An example of this is marathon runners... Even though younger marathon runners are clearly physically superior than their older more seasoned competitors, it is rare to see the young runners win races. The reason is simple... Physical superiority (just like raw processing mental ability) is not always the deciding factor... Meaning, mental discipline over time typically trumps mental ability...
Exactly... To the average layman, the thought of a "Dr House" type principle always applies. For the people who actually do high end development or research work, however, they realize that intelligence is only useful if the person can work with other people or can effectively communicate his work. Also, documentation of that work is essential...
In short... it is only mutually exclusive if you are in a room full of a bunch of business MBAs who apparently as a whole still think that solutions come out of some magic hat somewhere...
If this technology was so world changing, then why would they be talking about it at such an early stage? Because some engineer somewhere realizes that the technology will never work...
What the video clearly demonstrates to me is that Intel is now clearly run by marketing people rather than solid engineering as it once was. Meaning, why would you had one of your "research" people spending time talking about some "pie in the sky" stuff instead of actually doing something?