This was in dan brown novel, so its obviously not true.;)
seriously though, most of the current simulations show that the rock will probably break up before it hits the water, making the water displaced less dramatic. there's still a chance it could hit intact though, so more study is probably needed.
Try getting it to work with the new haup 350. its a pain. mine still doesnt work quite right (specifically the remote, it won't work at all) and it took a long time to set up. It's a pain.
If they could get going on this and make it automagic, it would really be a killer app for linux. DRM free PVR. Fantastic! As it stands though, its just too difficult to really catch on.
Don't forget the fact that STA and INT gained at level do not do the same thing as STA and INT gained from items. This is contrary to all sense and any documentation, but so far Blizz maintains that it's "working as intended" -- while providing no information as to actually how it IS working. It is obvious though that STA and INT from leveling give no boost to HP or MP, whereas STA and INT from items do.
It's a pretty big issue that is being summarily ignored at this time.
As for AO, their launch was atrocious and they may never recover. This free year offer of theirs is a gimmick -- the game is only so good without the expansion packs. Once you order the expansions, you start paying the monthly fee. If you're happy not accessing all of the current game, then its no problem -- but most people won't be.
Except, they DO have it both ways. And there is a simple reason why -- look at it from THEIR perspective.
They aren't doing it just to be nice, they're doing it to make money. Building a MMORPG is a huge endeavor, costwise. The money you pay up-front to play the game goes to that initial development cost. The monthly fees go towards building new content, server maintenance, bandwidth, etc etc. It's a part of the model, and it's not a bad one. It makes good business sense -- $ upfront for up front costs, subscription for maintained service.
Now, SOE goes a little farther with their stupid nickel and diming, and that sure is evil, since it seems to me that their perks are pure profit gravy, but that's another issue entirely.
The bottom line is the game isn't initially free because the game didn't come out of a vacuum. What you're suggesting is like investing $100 million in a movie, and not charging for box office ticket sales, just for rentals and DVD sales. I think we can all agree that for most movies, that is a flawed model.
Umm....well no, English still probably the most widely spoken and definitely the most widely understood language in the world.
Whereas its possible that Chinese is the primary language of the most people in the world, they are largely in China. But people all over the world speak and/or understand English to a greater degree, on average, than they do Mandarin Chinese.
the initial interest i thought there was for the site, actually wasn't. people don't seem to be as willing to enter reviews as I had anticipated. I also am not a pro at web design and I know the site looks weak, but haven't been able to get anything else done on it.
as for the coding side, i have a TO DO list but its stagnated....been very busy at work. 8(
The Poisson model is appropriate when analyzing the life-threatening events that may occur any number of times to a person who lives 1000 years.
This is akin to saying that rolling a 1 on a d6 may kill you -- or it may not. Some other criteria is involved then to discern whether the 1 killed you or not.
As for actual life-taking events, thats binomial - yer dead or you ain't. So if a person is 386 years old, and knows that he had a.00002 chance of dying on any given day up to that point, he calculates using a binomial model. He would also use a binomial method to see what his chance is of living to 459, 783, and 1000 -- starting from 386. Now, if he wanted to calculate how many brushes with death he would have before actually getting the big accident that kills him, THAT is a poisson model.
This is of course all heavily simplified.
Re:Yeah, because the old way just wasn't effective
on
Live to be 1000 Years Old?
·
· Score: 3, Informative
True, but a Poisson model is incorrect for the discussion at hand. Consider: The poisson distribution can also be used to study how 'accidents' or 'malfunctions' or the chance of winning the lottery never, once or more than once, are distributed on the level of a population. If having one 'accident' has no influence on the chance of having another accident, the victim is 'put back into the population' immediately after an 'event', people may have one, two, three, or more accidents during a certain period of time. The Poisson distribution tells you how these chances are distributed.
The accidents the parent is talking about are not the kind you can have more than once. We're assuming the non-existence of undead and miraculous recoveries here, so once you're dead, you're dead.
So, given that you have a.0000002 (assume) chance of dying on a given day due to accident, over time, the odds that you won't die due to an accident add up. However, it IS true that on your 1000th birthday you still only have a.000002 chance of having a fatal accident. It's just that you are one of the VERY lucky few to have not had one yet. Think of it as a die. Having an accident is rolling a 1. Keep rolling. How long can you go without rolling a 1? Your chance each time is 1/6. But the odds of rolling no ones in 1000 rolls is very low. It can be done, but its low. Realistically, you are going to roll a one, and it is equally likely to happen at any given time.
I did try it. It didn't work. It really doesn't like the TV-OUT on the new PVR-350 cards. Plus 2 out of 3 times it didn't cleanly install the MBR, which required fixing. I wasn't impressed. 8(
It costs money, its not open source. with the quality open source options out there, I'd prefer to go with them, since I know they won't be taking away features like TiVo -- I fear SageTV will eventually have to bend under pressure like TiVo if it gets to be too popular.
Seriously, if the open source community could get a rock-solid instant knoppix/mythtv bundle install solution, they'd have a real Killer App on their hands with how TiVo is going. The current knoppix/mythtv just didnt work at all for me, even after lots of tweaking. If the community could put all the pieces together, then total n00bs could really get a good start into the linux community with it. To me, this lack of grabbing the bull by the horns when the opportunity presents itself is a real weakness of the open source system. And don't go saying "Do it yourself" -- I clearly don't have the expertise to do so. But I know somebody or some group out there does.
The #1 complaint of the non-mmorpg freaks out there is that these games are tough on the casual player. WoW helps because of the number of small, quick quests (no 8-18 hour camping sessions for an item drop) with decent rewards. WoW is also better than many MMORPGS out there because of the mild death penalty. EQ1 is brutal with xp loss. EQ2 is slightly less brutal with the debt system. WoW is very nice. And that's great for the casual player.
#2 complaint is heroism...and that's the big one. In Morrowind, you are the hero. In a MMORPG, you are.... a hero. All MMORPGS are "cities of heroes". And there's no way for individuals to change the world without the world running out of quests or alienating and diminishing the role of 99.9% of the users. The only way I can see to do it is remember how heroes are created in the first place. By this I mean in table top RPGs, which can have the richest NPC population thanks to a dedicated GM, and in real life.
Examine: TableTopRPG (TTRPG) - the heroes are made by doing amazing things in the midst of greater problems. This is hardest to do in MMORPGS. A GM in a TTRPG has to worry about a group of say, 5-8 players. A GM in a MMORPG has to worry about a group of maybe 2500 players, probably more. Daunting. GM run events will either have to be many (uniqeness problem) or huge (management issues). Kudos to whomever figures out how.
Now, in real life, a hero is someone who is admired by many for a great deed -- and usually the great deed benefits many. This is missing in single player RPGs (sure you're saving the world, but why should you care about them? they arent real!) and in MMORPGS (how can the owners let so much ride on a player, when people are paying?) But if they could figure out a way to have random people at random times save groups of other people, they would be heroes.
Asheron's Call with the ponzischeme system tried to make the people at top to be world altering heroes. It didn't work, since it was also a hybridized guild system, among other things.
The only way I can imagine people feeling like heroes, and being recognized as such is a "quest" that is some sort of battle between the (WoW example) Horde and Alliance, where the winner gains some sort of advantage over the loser (permanent, perhaps control of a zone or city? not sure exactly). There would be (GM run) "turning points" in the battle, where players would have the opportunity to influence the outcome one way or the other, through success or failure. Perhaps rescuing a captured NPC from instantly zonewarps all high level PCs from the zone (of the opposing force). I dunno. But that's all I can come up with.
Can anyone in the know compare this to the other Open Source solutions out there? I've been having a MISERABLE time getting MythTV to work. 8( Is this program as good? Easy to install configure? How does it compare to MythTV, Freevo, Meedio/MyHTPC?
Huh? A new marine animal? Perhaps a new form of measuring hardness? (Spiders are as hard as coral. Take that, Moh's Scale!) Or perhaps a failure of auto-spellchecking and lack of editorial review.
Slashdot Mirror
yeah, but the proof is right there. wrong topic. ;)
This was in dan brown novel, so its obviously not true. ;)
seriously though, most of the current simulations show that the rock will probably break up before it hits the water, making the water displaced less dramatic. there's still a chance it could hit intact though, so more study is probably needed.
Try getting it to work with the new haup 350. its a pain. mine still doesnt work quite right (specifically the remote, it won't work at all) and it took a long time to set up. It's a pain.
If they could get going on this and make it automagic, it would really be a killer app for linux. DRM free PVR. Fantastic! As it stands though, its just too difficult to really catch on.
Don't forget the fact that STA and INT gained at level do not do the same thing as STA and INT gained from items. This is contrary to all sense and any documentation, but so far Blizz maintains that it's "working as intended" -- while providing no information as to actually how it IS working. It is obvious though that STA and INT from leveling give no boost to HP or MP, whereas STA and INT from items do.
It's a pretty big issue that is being summarily ignored at this time.
Otherwise, great game, lots of fun.
Most MMOs give the free month or more.
As for AO, their launch was atrocious and they may never recover. This free year offer of theirs is a gimmick -- the game is only so good without the expansion packs. Once you order the expansions, you start paying the monthly fee. If you're happy not accessing all of the current game, then its no problem -- but most people won't be.
Except, they DO have it both ways. And there is a simple reason why -- look at it from THEIR perspective.
They aren't doing it just to be nice, they're doing it to make money. Building a MMORPG is a huge endeavor, costwise. The money you pay up-front to play the game goes to that initial development cost. The monthly fees go towards building new content, server maintenance, bandwidth, etc etc. It's a part of the model, and it's not a bad one. It makes good business sense -- $ upfront for up front costs, subscription for maintained service.
Now, SOE goes a little farther with their stupid nickel and diming, and that sure is evil, since it seems to me that their perks are pure profit gravy, but that's another issue entirely.
The bottom line is the game isn't initially free because the game didn't come out of a vacuum. What you're suggesting is like investing $100 million in a movie, and not charging for box office ticket sales, just for rentals and DVD sales. I think we can all agree that for most movies, that is a flawed model.
Porn.
learn to laugh, my friend. it was a joke.
Patent an exclusive system for granting patents. Sue the USPTO for infringement. That will spur reform as fast as possible.
Alternately, patent a system for forming a political party. Sue all others.
Umm....well no, English still probably the most widely spoken and definitely the most widely understood language in the world.
Whereas its possible that Chinese is the primary language of the most people in the world, they are largely in China. But people all over the world speak and/or understand English to a greater degree, on average, than they do Mandarin Chinese.
Wow, there was a Welsh version of the site?
whoa people actually visit my site?
weird.
the initial interest i thought there was for the site, actually wasn't. people don't seem to be as willing to enter reviews as I had anticipated. I also am not a pro at web design and I know the site looks weak, but haven't been able to get anything else done on it.
as for the coding side, i have a TO DO list but its stagnated....been very busy at work. 8(
Math is hard.
The Poisson model is appropriate when analyzing the life-threatening events that may occur any number of times to a person who lives 1000 years.
.00002 chance of dying on any given day up to that point, he calculates using a binomial model. He would also use a binomial method to see what his chance is of living to 459, 783, and 1000 -- starting from 386. Now, if he wanted to calculate how many brushes with death he would have before actually getting the big accident that kills him, THAT is a poisson model.
This is akin to saying that rolling a 1 on a d6 may kill you -- or it may not. Some other criteria is involved then to discern whether the 1 killed you or not.
As for actual life-taking events, thats binomial - yer dead or you ain't. So if a person is 386 years old, and knows that he had a
This is of course all heavily simplified.
True, but a Poisson model is incorrect for the discussion at hand. Consider:
.0000002 (assume) chance of dying on a given day due to accident, over time, the odds that you won't die due to an accident add up. However, it IS true that on your 1000th birthday you still only have a .000002 chance of having a fatal accident. It's just that you are one of the VERY lucky few to have not had one yet. Think of it as a die. Having an accident is rolling a 1. Keep rolling. How long can you go without rolling a 1? Your chance each time is 1/6. But the odds of rolling no ones in 1000 rolls is very low. It can be done, but its low. Realistically, you are going to roll a one, and it is equally likely to happen at any given time.
The poisson distribution can also be used to study how 'accidents' or 'malfunctions' or the chance of winning the lottery never, once or more than once, are distributed on the level of a population. If having one 'accident' has no influence on the chance of having another accident, the victim is 'put back into the population' immediately after an 'event', people may have one, two, three, or more accidents during a certain period of time. The Poisson distribution tells you how these chances are distributed.
The accidents the parent is talking about are not the kind you can have more than once. We're assuming the non-existence of undead and miraculous recoveries here, so once you're dead, you're dead.
So, given that you have a
Wasn't "Computational Genomics" in the Sid Meier's Alpha Centauri Tech Tree?
Wow that's actually a good answer...that might just replace my current humorous pronunciation - "muhmorpigh"
thanks, but i definitely want a pvr.
I did try it. It didn't work. It really doesn't like the TV-OUT on the new PVR-350 cards. Plus 2 out of 3 times it didn't cleanly install the MBR, which required fixing. I wasn't impressed. 8(
It costs money, its not open source. with the quality open source options out there, I'd prefer to go with them, since I know they won't be taking away features like TiVo -- I fear SageTV will eventually have to bend under pressure like TiVo if it gets to be too popular.
Seriously, if the open source community could get a rock-solid instant knoppix/mythtv bundle install solution, they'd have a real Killer App on their hands with how TiVo is going. The current knoppix/mythtv just didnt work at all for me, even after lots of tweaking. If the community could put all the pieces together, then total n00bs could really get a good start into the linux community with it. To me, this lack of grabbing the bull by the horns when the opportunity presents itself is a real weakness of the open source system. And don't go saying "Do it yourself" -- I clearly don't have the expertise to do so. But I know somebody or some group out there does.
The #1 complaint of the non-mmorpg freaks out there is that these games are tough on the casual player. WoW helps because of the number of small, quick quests (no 8-18 hour camping sessions for an item drop) with decent rewards. WoW is also better than many MMORPGS out there because of the mild death penalty. EQ1 is brutal with xp loss. EQ2 is slightly less brutal with the debt system. WoW is very nice. And that's great for the casual player.
.... a hero. All MMORPGS are "cities of heroes". And there's no way for individuals to change the world without the world running out of quests or alienating and diminishing the role of 99.9% of the users. The only way I can see to do it is remember how heroes are created in the first place. By this I mean in table top RPGs, which can have the richest NPC population thanks to a dedicated GM, and in real life.
#2 complaint is heroism...and that's the big one. In Morrowind, you are the hero. In a MMORPG, you are
Examine: TableTopRPG (TTRPG) - the heroes are made by doing amazing things in the midst of greater problems. This is hardest to do in MMORPGS. A GM in a TTRPG has to worry about a group of say, 5-8 players. A GM in a MMORPG has to worry about a group of maybe 2500 players, probably more. Daunting. GM run events will either have to be many (uniqeness problem) or huge (management issues). Kudos to whomever figures out how.
Now, in real life, a hero is someone who is admired by many for a great deed -- and usually the great deed benefits many. This is missing in single player RPGs (sure you're saving the world, but why should you care about them? they arent real!) and in MMORPGS (how can the owners let so much ride on a player, when people are paying?) But if they could figure out a way to have random people at random times save groups of other people, they would be heroes.
Asheron's Call with the ponzischeme system tried to make the people at top to be world altering heroes. It didn't work, since it was also a hybridized guild system, among other things.
The only way I can imagine people feeling like heroes, and being recognized as such is a "quest" that is some sort of battle between the (WoW example) Horde and Alliance, where the winner gains some sort of advantage over the loser (permanent, perhaps control of a zone or city? not sure exactly). There would be (GM run) "turning points" in the battle, where players would have the opportunity to influence the outcome one way or the other, through success or failure. Perhaps rescuing a captured NPC from instantly zonewarps all high level PCs from the zone (of the opposing force). I dunno. But that's all I can come up with.
My question...how do you pronounce "MMORPG"???!
Can anyone in the know compare this to the other Open Source solutions out there? I've been having a MISERABLE time getting MythTV to work. 8( Is this program as good? Easy to install configure? How does it compare to MythTV, Freevo, Meedio/MyHTPC?
it wouldn't. as I said, it was a failure of auto-spellchecking and a lack of editorial review.
Spellchecked it, came out OK, so it got posted, with no editorial review.
so in other words, a spinstress that naturally lactates spider silk and then puts it straight on the loom.
Intriguing...though it may be a tough sell...
"Spiders are hard to coral"
/. I'm not new here. 8)
Huh? A new marine animal? Perhaps a new form of measuring hardness? (Spiders are as hard as coral. Take that, Moh's Scale!) Or perhaps a failure of auto-spellchecking and lack of editorial review.
Spiders are, in fact, hard to corral.
But I expect this from