No. You have not drawn the correct conclusion. Nothing Nate has written on this topic or TFA suggests that the election was fair, only that there is no clear statistical evidence that it is fraudulent. There is a big difference.
Some people suggest that the election results were completely fabricated. Nothing we have seen has ruled out that possibility. However, if it was fabricated, the fabricators did their homework beforehand on how to avoid detection.
I don't want to belittle the impact of cyber-crime, but this $105 Billion number is just fabricated to make the problem look large. On the other hand, the numbers for drug trade are basically an estimated amount of drug sales.
Drug numbers are *real* numbers. They still may not be accurate, but at least they represent the summation of finite transactions - like the global automobile trade, or the global whale oil trade. It is a sales number.
Cyber crime is a 'damages' number. Like the woman that spilled hot coffee on her leg and sued McDonalds for several million dollars in 'damages'... and at least she had a specific amount of damages ruled in her favor. The trumped up cyber-crime numbers... along with the RIAA numbers... are just manufactured because it is handy to provide very large numbers if you are on the side of the people producing the numbers.
What I would like to see is how many $$s were actually phished last year? How much did the Nigerians actually rake in by claiming to be my/your/her/his brother in law or trusted barrister?
Presumably, new health technology will provide the author with adequate time to take an introductory statistics course.
"If you are a reasonably risk-aware teenager today in an affluent, non-violent neighbourhood, you have a risk of dying in the next year of well under one in 1,000, which means that if you stayed that way forever you would have a 50/50 chance of living to over 1,000."
No.
To live from age 13 to age 1000 based on the suggested 1/1000 probability of death is most easily calculated by finding the probability of *surviving* for 987 consecutive years.
No problem. I misunderstood. Quite frankly, I'd have been more than happy with the slam/dis interpretation, as opposed to the counter-factual statement I took it as. Probably my bad on this one. I suspect 9 out of 10 readers would have gotten the joke.
Not too young. I remember seeing it on the cover of both Time and Newsweek. One of the scientists that wrote a rebuke of the work was on my PhD committee in fact.
Personally, I don't see cold fusion as a failure of the peer review process. (I'm not sure you were actually implying that.) Very important experimental results were observed (in error). The results were submitted, reviewed and published. Sufficient detail was given for others to reproduce the results. Others tried to reproduce it, couldn't, and in a short time, the results were refuted.
The review process is not a guarantee of scientific truth. Just that other scientists feel your work is credible, potentially repeatable, and a useful contribution to the literature.
My understanding, btw, was that it was not a math or measurement error, but impurities in their palladium that led to the trouble. I'll look into it.
Your are making sweeping generalizations here. I grant there are many scientists that are in it for the glory and lose focus on the science. It is unfortunate for the scientific effort that these are also the scientists that demand press attention. However, saying
Most scientists (by this I mean those with academic credentials working in research) nowadays are neither responsible, nor knowledgeable.
is absurd. You had better have some damn incredibe credentials to be making that claim, and I don't mean counter strike frags.
That is indeed a refereed scientific journal, sponsored by the American Institute of Physics.
Perhaps you were merely being sarcastic and implying that JAP isn't a top tier journal. If so, remember to use your _SARCASM_ JAP rocks _/SARCASM_ tags or italicize something.
You, an uncredentialed/.er who goes by the name Pap Legba, have just dismissed the peer review process of scientific journals, comparing "science mags" to "game review mags."
I considered arguing your pseudo-point, perhaps suggesting that you read the actual journal article, which you might find to be intelligent and thorough, and to provide sufficient information to duplicate the experiment in your own lab, which is expected in peer review journals.
I also considered mentioning that the people that review these articles, although quite busy, are well versed in their respective fields.
But that would only serve to validate your ridiculous point.
So instead I will directly attack your apparent lack of intelligence.
Have you ever regretted any of the character moves or plot lines you chose over the years in one of your series of books?
Of particular interest to me is Neq the Sword from the Battle Circle series. I have wondered for nearly 2 decades what the hell you were thinking when you had Neq kill Var in the beginning of this book after Var lowered his guard. As a result of this situation, I never developed any rapport with Neq, pretty much wanted him to be slaughtered by Vara and loathed the existence of the third book.
Of course I was 13 at the time, and I'm feeling much better now.
I figure I read over 10,000 pages of your work when I was young. Thanks for the entertainment and odd vocabulary.
I have actually been wondering why banks don't adopt a paypal-like service. Pay-pal is a good idea, but I have never been overly enthused about giving them access to my bank account routing numbers because they are really just a company. Maybe a good, nice, well meaning company, but how do I know?
That is one of the main purposes of the FDIC insurance of banks is to provide legitimacy to the accounts they maintain so that I can trust that if I want my money back, I can get it back. I would really prefer to have my bank acting as PayPal than have PayPal acting as my bank.
"During his long NASA career, Mr. Hickam worked in propulsion, spacecraft design, and crew training, and won many awards including the Astronaut Office's coveted Silver Snoopy award for his outstanding support of the astronaut corps, and a special commendation for overall excellence from the Director of the Marshall Space Flight Center. His specialties at NASA included training astronauts on science payloads, and extravehicular activities (EVA). He also trained astronaut crews for many Spacelab and Space Shuttle missions, including the Hubble Space Telescope deployment mission, the first two Hubble repair missions, Spacelab-J (the first Japanese astronauts), and the Solar Max repair mission. Prior to his retirement in 1998, Mr. Hickam was the Payload Training Manager for the International Space Station Program."
"Like many of you, I wanted to be an astronaut when I was young. It wasn't the glamor of a high profile, high risk job. It was the adventure. I lost that dream sometime during my teen years, when I realized that I wasn't enough of a Superman to join America's astronaut corps. But hope springs eternal. With the increasing availability of space flight in the 21st century, and the advent of a commercial tourist industry in space, I may yet manager to make my way into the high frontier."
Thanks for your input Mike. We'll get back to you.
I don't know which topic this is in regard to, but it looks hella cool. Some friends of mine mentioned playing it. Apparently it is developing quite a following.
Not to be a picky little bitch, but if you are going to submit a petition to a major network begging them not to kill your favorite TV show, and then ask thousands of others to sign along with you, take a minute to run it through your spell checker.
First the monkey was tricked into installing "Comet Cursor." Then, after the 17th X10 popup ad, he finally just began hurling feces at the monitor. Fortunately, Matthew Broderick came along and rescued him.
Once you have a few hundred of them, you can gather them together with the myriad AOL CDs in your drawer and enjoy a nice day of CD Craft Fun as suggested here, here and here.
Slashdot Mirror
No. You have not drawn the correct conclusion. Nothing Nate has written on this topic or TFA suggests that the election was fair, only that there is no clear statistical evidence that it is fraudulent. There is a big difference.
Some people suggest that the election results were completely fabricated. Nothing we have seen has ruled out that possibility. However, if it was fabricated, the fabricators did their homework beforehand on how to avoid detection.
I don't want to belittle the impact of cyber-crime, but this $105 Billion number is just fabricated to make the problem look large. On the other hand, the numbers for drug trade are basically an estimated amount of drug sales.
Drug numbers are *real* numbers. They still may not be accurate, but at least they represent the summation of finite transactions - like the global automobile trade, or the global whale oil trade. It is a sales number.
Cyber crime is a 'damages' number. Like the woman that spilled hot coffee on her leg and sued McDonalds for several million dollars in 'damages'... and at least she had a specific amount of damages ruled in her favor. The trumped up cyber-crime numbers... along with the RIAA numbers... are just manufactured because it is handy to provide very large numbers if you are on the side of the people producing the numbers.
What I would like to see is how many $$s were actually phished last year? How much did the Nigerians actually rake in by claiming to be my/your/her/his brother in law or trusted barrister?
Presumably, new health technology will provide the author with adequate time to take an introductory statistics course.
"If you are a reasonably risk-aware teenager today in an affluent, non-violent neighbourhood, you have a risk of dying in the next year of well under one in 1,000, which means that if you stayed that way forever you would have a 50/50 chance of living to over 1,000."
No. To live from age 13 to age 1000 based on the suggested 1/1000 probability of death is most easily calculated by finding the probability of *surviving* for 987 consecutive years.
P = (0.999)^987 = 0.3725
The 50/50 age can be back calculated:
0.50 = (0.999)^x : x = 692.8
No problem. I misunderstood. Quite frankly, I'd have been more than happy with the slam/dis interpretation, as opposed to the counter-factual statement I took it as. Probably my bad on this one. I suspect 9 out of 10 readers would have gotten the joke.
-Rothfuss
Not too young. I remember seeing it on the cover of both Time and Newsweek. One of the scientists that wrote a rebuke of the work was on my PhD committee in fact.
Personally, I don't see cold fusion as a failure of the peer review process. (I'm not sure you were actually implying that.) Very important experimental results were observed (in error). The results were submitted, reviewed and published. Sufficient detail was given for others to reproduce the results. Others tried to reproduce it, couldn't, and in a short time, the results were refuted.
The review process is not a guarantee of scientific truth. Just that other scientists feel your work is credible, potentially repeatable, and a useful contribution to the literature.
My understanding, btw, was that it was not a math or measurement error, but impurities in their palladium that led to the trouble. I'll look into it.
-Rothfuss
Your are making sweeping generalizations here. I grant there are many scientists that are in it for the glory and lose focus on the science. It is unfortunate for the scientific effort that these are also the scientists that demand press attention. However, saying
Most scientists (by this I mean those with academic credentials working in research) nowadays are neither responsible, nor knowledgeable.
is absurd. You had better have some damn incredibe credentials to be making that claim, and I don't mean counter strike frags.
-Rothfuss
What the hell are you talking about?
Journal of Applied Physics
That is indeed a refereed scientific journal, sponsored by the American Institute of Physics.
Perhaps you were merely being sarcastic and implying that JAP isn't a top tier journal. If so, remember to use your _SARCASM_ JAP rocks _/SARCASM_ tags or italicize something.
-Rothfuss
Blah blah blah...
/.er who goes by the name Pap Legba, have just dismissed the peer review process of scientific journals, comparing "science mags" to "game review mags."
You, an uncredentialed
I considered arguing your pseudo-point, perhaps suggesting that you read the actual journal article, which you might find to be intelligent and thorough, and to provide sufficient information to duplicate the experiment in your own lab, which is expected in peer review journals.
I also considered mentioning that the people that review these articles, although quite busy, are well versed in their respective fields.
But that would only serve to validate your ridiculous point.
So instead I will directly attack your apparent lack of intelligence.
You are an idiot.
-Rothfuss
Nice to see someone reads...
And yet:
Moderation Totals: Flamebait=1, Troll=1, Insightful=4, Funny=1, Overrated=2, Total=9.
Apparently Feynman wasn't as clever as he thought.
I noticed a car with the license plate JAA 768 next to another car with the license plate XPA 117.
It was amazing.
I mean, do you have any idea how staggeringly improbable it was for me to see those two license plates next to each other?
Does this question cost me a year of service?
Have you ever regretted any of the character moves or plot lines you chose over the years in one of your series of books?
Of particular interest to me is Neq the Sword from the Battle Circle series. I have wondered for nearly 2 decades what the hell you were thinking when you had Neq kill Var in the beginning of this book after Var lowered his guard. As a result of this situation, I never developed any rapport with Neq, pretty much wanted him to be slaughtered by Vara and loathed the existence of the third book.
Of course I was 13 at the time, and I'm feeling much better now.
I figure I read over 10,000 pages of your work when I was young. Thanks for the entertainment and odd vocabulary.
-Rothfuss
Start building the fleet!
I recommend employing shiny white robots as our attack force.
-Rothfuss
Will the person who is going to write "send real letters through the mail... do not email... do not fax... yadda, yadda" please shut up.
Insert obvious anthrax analysis here.
There, now that all of that is out of the way, please continue with other more lucid points.
-Rothfuss
Well Miko, I don't really know a hell of a lot about how banks work either, but I like your system. Sounds pretty tight.
-Rothfuss
I have actually been wondering why banks don't adopt a paypal-like service. Pay-pal is a good idea, but I have never been overly enthused about giving them access to my bank account routing numbers because they are really just a company. Maybe a good, nice, well meaning company, but how do I know?
That is one of the main purposes of the FDIC insurance of banks is to provide legitimacy to the accounts they maintain so that I can trust that if I want my money back, I can get it back. I would really prefer to have my bank acting as PayPal than have PayPal acting as my bank.
-Rothfuss
Homer Hickman:
"During his long NASA career, Mr. Hickam worked in propulsion, spacecraft design, and crew training, and won many awards including the Astronaut Office's coveted Silver Snoopy award for his outstanding support of the astronaut corps, and a special commendation for overall excellence from the Director of the Marshall Space Flight Center. His specialties at NASA included training astronauts on science payloads, and extravehicular activities (EVA). He also trained astronaut crews for many Spacelab and Space Shuttle missions, including the Hubble Space Telescope deployment mission, the first two Hubble repair missions, Spacelab-J (the first Japanese astronauts), and the Solar Max repair mission. Prior to his retirement in 1998, Mr. Hickam was the Payload Training Manager for the International Space Station Program."
Mike Eckardt:
"Like many of you, I wanted to be an astronaut when I was young. It wasn't the glamor of a high profile, high risk job. It was the adventure. I lost that dream sometime during my teen years, when I realized that I wasn't enough of a Superman to join America's astronaut corps. But hope springs eternal. With the increasing availability of space flight in the 21st century, and the advent of a commercial tourist industry in space, I may yet manager to make my way into the high frontier."
Thanks for your input Mike. We'll get back to you.
-Rothfuss
I don't know which topic this is in regard to, but it looks hella cool. Some friends of mine mentioned playing it. Apparently it is developing quite a following.
Freeware also. Nice.
Check out their forums. Not bad.
-Rothfuss
Thanks, man.
My jaw dropped when I saw the flamebait mod. Clearly s/he didn't even look at the petition.
-Rothfuss
Not to be a picky little bitch, but if you are going to submit a petition to a major network begging them not to kill your favorite TV show, and then ask thousands of others to sign along with you, take a minute to run it through your spell checker.
-Rothfuss
The details:
First the monkey was tricked into installing "Comet Cursor." Then, after the 17th X10 popup ad, he finally just began hurling feces at the monitor. Fortunately, Matthew Broderick came along and rescued him.
You can mention your disgust here:
Reuters Customer Feedback
Don't forget to mock them ruthlessly.
-Rothfuss
The guy you are responding to was not a biologist either.
He also may have been smoking crack.
Look here for a bit on cell aging theory.
I'm looking forward to the "Great Operating Systems of the 20th Century" stamp series sponsored by Microsoft.
There will be stamps celebrating such great operating systems as
Windows 3
Windows 3.1
Windows 3.11
Windows NT 3.5
Windows NT 3.51
Windows NT 4.0
Windows 95
Windows 98
and
Windows 2000
Then of course there will be a variety of service packs for the 1 cent stamps.
-Rothfuss
The CDs are free. Take them all.
Once you have a few hundred of them, you can gather them together with the myriad AOL CDs in your drawer and enjoy a nice day of CD Craft Fun as suggested here, here and here.
Good luck.
-Rothfuss
I've got a picture of a turtle and another picture of a pirate that you can try to draw freehand for a chance at a scholarship to an art school.
Let me know if you want the details.
-Rothfuss