It's a published opinion of a group of scientists, it's their way of summing up to the world how they think we are doing in terms of not self-destructing our way of life.
The meaning in 1953 was: within 2 minutes we could go from the status-quo to a post-nuclear-holocaust world with little or no chance of de-escalation along the way. I think the meaning is similar today, but with some caveats and nuances thrown in about global warming increasing political tensions among nuclear powers, etc.
I think the point of this article is that the algorithm is at parity, or better, in sensitivity AND specificity.
What I wonder is how much time and money it is going to take to get this out and helping people. The computer time is virtually free compared to human evaluators - we could have tanning bed like devices where you strip, get in, and get photographed all over with controlled lighting and perhaps some multi-spectral augmentation on the imaging, should be able to beat a trip to the dermatologist in terms of cost and effectiveness of screening already today, should be able to be provided as a free or minimal cost service to anyone who wants a screening the way that blood pressure stations are set up in grocery stores today.
Sadly, I think it will be decades before this tech rolls out to its full potential.
There's a fun flipside: having access to high quality healthcare increases your chances of (not only being diagnosed with, but also) contracting cancer and other diseases - but, then the healthcare fixes you up, so, it's a net win - especially if you make money selling healthcare.
The healthcare itself doesn't (usually) cause your cancer, it's all the comorbid lifestyle factors.
Now, if you don't have access to healthcare or a healthy environment, then you're just screwed.
Actually, I think they were scary, and delicious. Fear drives some really violent reactions, I was thinking that humans were starting to get a mastery of their fear, until just recently.
Yes, yes, humans 45,000 years ago were "bad" for the big animals, who knows, maybe they're the ones that turned the Outback into a desert, too; we're certain that humans desertified the fertile crescent more recently.
However, modern man is so much more capable - we're scraping the oceans clean, and if we stay the course, we can bake the entire planet into the biggest and most thorough extinction event ever. 100 million years from now, the intelligent descendants of cockroaches will study our culture and chitter gleefully about how they have risen above their pesticide spraying overlords of the early 4th billenia.
On second thought, building web pages and "coding" in assembly or even C have nothing in common.
Oh, so true... nonetheless, in the 1997-1999 timeframe, guess who was the only guy in the company who could build a web page, or fix anybody's broken e-mail? The same guy who had been coding in C/C++ for the last 10 years, of course.
People who don't do IT, or web dev, or programming themselves view it all as one big mystery basket. Consequently, many people who "get into" one of the fields also think they're just like programmers.
Such things are useful, even essential, well beyond the domain of research, in many areas of the real world of software development (coding).
Shhhhhh! We need monkeys to "code" the web pages, as long as they don't know the math code monkeys get grapes, they'll be happy with their cucumber slices.
Just as the PS3 was a Sony retail store in your living room.
It's the new model - we just have to decide if whether or not it's worth having this crap in our lives. Personally, I pushed broadcast and cable TV out of my life because of the advertising content, half the computers in my house already run Linux, if the ads from Microsoft continue to get injected into our lives, their entire ecosystem can go the way of our cable box.
My wife is also getting notices from somewhere in Windows 10 that her Chrome is eating up her battery and using Edge would reduce battery consumption by 50%.
What if the burden of high data capacity for at-home HD streaming didn't fall on the mobile wifi infrastructure? What if there was a wired/wireless solution from one vendor?
See: AT&T business plan, global domination chapter.
What if your toaster could mine bitcoins and use the heat of the mining process to toast bread? Essentially free bitcoins!
This would be going down the same road as capturing heat from the air-conditioner in the hot water heater - it works well on some paper calculations, well enough to get installed sometimes, but rarely does the TCO work out for the better.
I mean, picture a three card crossfire video array setup to toast bread in-between the cards, toast slots on top of your gaming rig - now, how critical does the design of the crumb tray become?
Sadly, no, you cannot buy a decent full sized refrigerator anymore without it containing some (expensive to replace) microprocessor control "brain" - they're not all connected to the network, yet, but give that 5 or 10 years and the network ports will be present on all of them whether you pay for the option or not. Eventually, you'll be paying extra to not connect your fridge to the network (and, in some cities you already do pay extra to not let the power company "load balance" your major appliances to manage peak demand loads.)
Thanks to the limits of physically available bandwidth, the bandwidth appetites of consumers for HD, 4K, 8K, 16K! streaming video and the ever-increasing population density of cities, your dream will always be just that: a dream. We will never satisfy all bandwidth appetites in dense urban areas with a ubiquitous, robust, single wireless solution that also works out in the boonies.
Just settle in and prepare for a confederation of wired, satellite, long distance wireless, cellular wireless, in room high frequency wireless, and other connectivity options all pushed by competing vendors (and, as compared to the telcom monopolies of old, I'd say that's a good, or at least preferable, thing.)
I remember something about the early break being a literal disconnect of the wires for a prescribed period of time - so, if your mainframe got hung up, you could disconnect your card reader terminal to send a "break" and then reconnect it.
Ctrl-C goes back beyond Linux and SIGINT - it has been a system level "stop now" key combo since the 1980s, maybe even longer - and not just on *nix systems, it even applied to BASIC and other languages on the 6502 and 8088 based home PCs.
Slashdot Mirror
When you can stream 4K video to every screen in the house, is it fast enough yet?
With an small download cap!
In USA, we much rather charge more for less than build out infrastructure.
Anything else would be a disservice to the stockholders - where do your loyalties lie, exactly?
One of the bigger threats of climate change is that it may trigger a nuclear power to use their weapons due to environmental stress.
It's a published opinion of a group of scientists, it's their way of summing up to the world how they think we are doing in terms of not self-destructing our way of life.
The meaning in 1953 was: within 2 minutes we could go from the status-quo to a post-nuclear-holocaust world with little or no chance of de-escalation along the way. I think the meaning is similar today, but with some caveats and nuances thrown in about global warming increasing political tensions among nuclear powers, etc.
I think the point of this article is that the algorithm is at parity, or better, in sensitivity AND specificity.
What I wonder is how much time and money it is going to take to get this out and helping people. The computer time is virtually free compared to human evaluators - we could have tanning bed like devices where you strip, get in, and get photographed all over with controlled lighting and perhaps some multi-spectral augmentation on the imaging, should be able to beat a trip to the dermatologist in terms of cost and effectiveness of screening already today, should be able to be provided as a free or minimal cost service to anyone who wants a screening the way that blood pressure stations are set up in grocery stores today.
Sadly, I think it will be decades before this tech rolls out to its full potential.
I like the correlation to "thickness" neurotics have it, open creative agreeable people don't.
---------
Your wise man doesn't know how it feels to be thick as a brick.
HPV gets around, you're looking for virgins if you're going to get away from it.
There's a fun flipside: having access to high quality healthcare increases your chances of (not only being diagnosed with, but also) contracting cancer and other diseases - but, then the healthcare fixes you up, so, it's a net win - especially if you make money selling healthcare.
The healthcare itself doesn't (usually) cause your cancer, it's all the comorbid lifestyle factors.
Now, if you don't have access to healthcare or a healthy environment, then you're just screwed.
Actually, I think they were scary, and delicious. Fear drives some really violent reactions, I was thinking that humans were starting to get a mastery of their fear, until just recently.
Yes, yes, humans 45,000 years ago were "bad" for the big animals, who knows, maybe they're the ones that turned the Outback into a desert, too; we're certain that humans desertified the fertile crescent more recently.
However, modern man is so much more capable - we're scraping the oceans clean, and if we stay the course, we can bake the entire planet into the biggest and most thorough extinction event ever. 100 million years from now, the intelligent descendants of cockroaches will study our culture and chitter gleefully about how they have risen above their pesticide spraying overlords of the early 4th billenia.
On second thought, building web pages and "coding" in assembly or even C have nothing in common.
Oh, so true... nonetheless, in the 1997-1999 timeframe, guess who was the only guy in the company who could build a web page, or fix anybody's broken e-mail? The same guy who had been coding in C/C++ for the last 10 years, of course.
People who don't do IT, or web dev, or programming themselves view it all as one big mystery basket. Consequently, many people who "get into" one of the fields also think they're just like programmers.
Such things are useful, even essential, well beyond the domain of research, in many areas of the real world of software development (coding).
Shhhhhh! We need monkeys to "code" the web pages, as long as they don't know the math code monkeys get grapes, they'll be happy with their cucumber slices.
Just as the PS3 was a Sony retail store in your living room.
It's the new model - we just have to decide if whether or not it's worth having this crap in our lives. Personally, I pushed broadcast and cable TV out of my life because of the advertising content, half the computers in my house already run Linux, if the ads from Microsoft continue to get injected into our lives, their entire ecosystem can go the way of our cable box.
My wife is also getting notices from somewhere in Windows 10 that her Chrome is eating up her battery and using Edge would reduce battery consumption by 50%.
What if the burden of high data capacity for at-home HD streaming didn't fall on the mobile wifi infrastructure? What if there was a wired/wireless solution from one vendor?
See: AT&T business plan, global domination chapter.
What if your toaster could mine bitcoins and use the heat of the mining process to toast bread? Essentially free bitcoins!
This would be going down the same road as capturing heat from the air-conditioner in the hot water heater - it works well on some paper calculations, well enough to get installed sometimes, but rarely does the TCO work out for the better.
I mean, picture a three card crossfire video array setup to toast bread in-between the cards, toast slots on top of your gaming rig - now, how critical does the design of the crumb tray become?
Or just don't pay your Comcast bill.
Sadly, no, you cannot buy a decent full sized refrigerator anymore without it containing some (expensive to replace) microprocessor control "brain" - they're not all connected to the network, yet, but give that 5 or 10 years and the network ports will be present on all of them whether you pay for the option or not. Eventually, you'll be paying extra to not connect your fridge to the network (and, in some cities you already do pay extra to not let the power company "load balance" your major appliances to manage peak demand loads.)
Tinfoil hat to the rescue!
Thanks to the limits of physically available bandwidth, the bandwidth appetites of consumers for HD, 4K, 8K, 16K! streaming video and the ever-increasing population density of cities, your dream will always be just that: a dream. We will never satisfy all bandwidth appetites in dense urban areas with a ubiquitous, robust, single wireless solution that also works out in the boonies.
Just settle in and prepare for a confederation of wired, satellite, long distance wireless, cellular wireless, in room high frequency wireless, and other connectivity options all pushed by competing vendors (and, as compared to the telcom monopolies of old, I'd say that's a good, or at least preferable, thing.)
Awesome, how do I get one for my house?
+1 for NO CARRIER.
I remember something about the early break being a literal disconnect of the wires for a prescribed period of time - so, if your mainframe got hung up, you could disconnect your card reader terminal to send a "break" and then reconnect it.
Ctrl-C for Cut (the wire)?
Thanks for the only non-AC criticism here...
Ctrl-C goes back beyond Linux and SIGINT - it has been a system level "stop now" key combo since the 1980s, maybe even longer - and not just on *nix systems, it even applied to BASIC and other languages on the 6502 and 8088 based home PCs.
The windows side team, the linux side spells it Ctrl-C, thus their .net json bridge had a disconnect issue.