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User: patio11

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  1. OK, lets try pricing out a highway on Germany To Build New Maglev Railway · · Score: 1

    http://www.publicpurpose.com/hwy-fy$.htm

    Its to the airport so we'll be generous and give it six lanes. 2 lanes for one mile comes to about $540,000 per year (maintenance plus capital costs). Triple that is 1.6 million per year. Times 18 is a hair under $30 million. And we'll give it a useful life of, hmm, call it twenty years before the government decides to vote some lucky contractor more money. Total lifetime cost: $600 million. Double the cost because its Europe and, hey, everyone knows things are more expensive in Europe. $1.2 billion

    There, I just saved the German taxpayer $1 billion dollars. The remaining $400 million, my consulting fee, can be sent via the German government's choice of gold bullion or, if about 30 metric tons of gold* seems a little unwieldy, I also take Paypal.

    * I'm too lazy to figure out the spot price for gold so I figured on $400 an ounce. So sue me -- I'm a government consultant, you get one Google for your $400 million, the 2nd Google needs a new contract.

  2. Re:I have a better idea on Device Reduces Stress While Gaming · · Score: 1

    You know, I like your idea enough to compromise: we should both debuff their avatars and cut off their microphones. And, if there is money left over in the production budget, we should detonate a shaped charge in their earpiece.

  3. I have a better idea on Device Reduces Stress While Gaming · · Score: 3, Funny

    1) Wire up the Microsoft headset with firmware which detects excessive swearing, racial slurs, and other anti-social behavior...
    2) ... and causes you to de-buff your damage and resistance if you're the one doing it, to the point where a butterfly flapping its wings in China has already killed you in Halo 3.
    3) ????
    4) Profit. And you just saved the sanity of the rest of the world, too.

  4. Barrier! on Folding @ Home Petaflop Barrier Crossed · · Score: 1

    They did it on a PS3. If they had done it on a system which is actually deployed across many homes, then you could downgrade it to a milestone. (If they had done it on XBox360, maybe it wouldn't be a milestone so much as an Achievement. If they had done it on the Wii... just skip the press release, we get the idea already, the entire world owns Wiis.)

  5. And, lest people forget... on U.S. Airport Screeners Are Watching What You Read · · Score: 1

    ... the Japanese translator, Hitoshi Igarashi, a mild-mannered academic with no known enemies, was found stabbed to death in his office smack-dab in the middle of a university campus in one of the world's safest large cities. The crime remains unsolved.

    Sorry, not strictly on topic for the thread but I thought I would mention it. People often refer to the threats against Rushdie, and while they are of course serious I think it is equally important to remember that they did not remain as "threats". (The Italian editor, I believe, survived his stabbing. His name escapes me at the moment, you can probably Google it.)

  6. Like stepping on the gas to get to Wyoming... on New Nuclear-powered Spaceship Design Revealed · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... this just means you get to nowhere faster.

    (Sorry, reflexive poke at Wyoming. Wyoming has wonderful people, natural resources, and breathable atmosphere. Mars is 0 for 3. Jupiter doesn't even have a surface to land on, but now we can hurry up to get there and not land on it! Like the robot we're sending had some place it would rather be for the marginal time...)

  7. Unfortunately, that isn't helpful... on Australia Cracked US Combat Aircraft Codes · · Score: 2, Funny

    ... as Ozzie doesn't sound like he is in the middle of a two week druge binge, either. Two weeks isn't a binge for him, that is more of a "light appetizer before the main course".

  8. Asking me to drop Internet is like asking Dad to: on Americans Giving Up Social Life for the Web · · Score: 1

    ... give up his:

    * tools for employment (from pencil and paper to research materials to Rolodex to telephone)
    * communication devices (telephone, fax, and the postal mail)
    * news (television, newspapers, magazines)
    * records (bank accounts, tax statements, etc)
    * small business
    * entertainment (Barnes & Noble, Solitaire)

    I essentially live online during my waking hours, excepting when I'm out at the gym or out with friends. (I'm young and single. If I had a wife and kids there would be a few hours of forced downtime every day.) My job and business requires me to be plugged in just like dad cannot remember how he lived before they invented the cellphone. Could we both cut ourselves off from our attachments? Yes. We're not addicts. But we'd be deeply unhappy and unemployed non-addicts before the end of the week if you made us do it.

  9. Here's Another Reason: Cybercrime Pays on Cybercrime Now Worth $105 Billion, Bypasses Drug Trade · · Score: 4, Interesting

    You know what your hourly wage works out as any dealer not on top of the local pyramid? Check out Freakonomics, its an interesting case study. Using one gang's meticulously kept accounting records, they estimated the average dealer makes a bit more than minimum wage. Oh, and for that he has a 25% chance of death or imprisonment over an N month interval. (I can't remember what N was but, yikes, for 25% it wouldn't matter if it were 120!)

    Compare this to cybercrime. I have been, at points in the past, a spam researcher. At the time, I lurked in spammer forums to get an idea of what the enemy is thinking. Ignoring the "I make a million a month and own a fleet of cars and a harem" boasting, and just focusing on the deals that were offered and consumated there, it is clear that cybercrime makes Serious Money especially by the standards of the locales where some criminals hang out. A single script to clean a spam mailing list, which is what, two or three hours of work, costs about a month worth of a legit Russian programmer's wages.

    Or take a look at the opportunities for low-level criminals in the US, like "cashers". A casher is the guy at the end of the identity theft chain who gets the only risky job: turning the swiped data into money. (Phisher turns credentials over to casher, casher gets money, pays phisher.) He has a non-zero chance of his photo ending up on camera. For this, he gets perhaps 35% of the take from the scam. 35% of the banking account of say a lower-middle class family is easily thousands of dollars. No drugs in your pocket, no guns in your face, and no dedicated squad of police officers busting into your apartment at 1:00 in the morning if you get sold out by a buddy.

    Why would you sell drugs if you weren't using, given these risk-vs-reward scenarios?

  10. Fraud Is Bad, Made for AdSense is worse on False Ad Clicks Cost Google 1 Billion Dollars A Year · · Score: 5, Interesting

    I recently upped my AdWords spending to the (substantial, for me) tune of $15 a day. 20% of my budget was guzzled down by four sites, which all used a technique similar to the following: they had a zillion hand-crafted content pages up, one page on each site was quite close to one of my own search terms, and the page was organized into a workflow. (Search for "apollo bingo card templates" to see the example. No way in heck I'm tossing them a link for it.)

    The AdSense block is under the header for each stage in the workflow, which suggests to unsophisticated Internet users that my ads ARE the next stage in the workflow. You might think I'd be happy about that, because it means a lot of users naively click on me thinking I'm the next step in the workflow, but ALL CLICKS ARE NOT EQUAL. As soon as somebody clicks on my ad, they get whisked to a completely different site and realize "Thats funny, something must have gone wrong". So they click back and I'm out nine cents. Repeat times a couple of hundred over the last 48 hours.

    My CTR (click-through rate) for ads on other sites is in the general region of 1%. Thus, I can reasonably assume that about 1% of the audience reading content with my keywords is at least marginally interested in the product I sell. The CTR on ads on these pages which drew clicks by visual deception was in the teens. That means 15x the earnings for the owners of the deceptive pages. However, the conversion rate (percentage of folks who go on to download my free trial or buy from me) from customers with normal levels of interest (i.e. from other AdSense ads, for example) is about 20%. From these pages, it was less than 2%. Thus, the revenue split from a sale of my software goes from something like 40/40/20 advertiser-Google-me to 100/100/-100 advertiser/Google/me. (I am obviously hoping to tweak the campaign to the point where it is closer to 20/20/60, but even at 40/40/20 its still a positive return on investment.)

    Anyhow, when you work out the math it had me paying something close to $25 to generate a fifty-fifty shot of selling a $25 piece of software. I've since banned the deceptive sites (you can manually choose to not allow your ads on certain domains or URLS), of course, but there are still advertisers getting screwed by them as we speak. And, looking through my logs, there are a LOT of sketchy sites in AdSense which would have cost just as much if they had been blasting through enough traffic. That really threatens the utility of the platform. If its 75% conmen to 25% upstanding sites like Mrs. Smith's Teaching Resources there is no reason for me to pay a single penny for the ads since I'll have to babysit the campaign every hour or get a negative ROI.

  11. Who is going to pay $45 for a CD? on Trent Reznor Says "Steal My Music" · · Score: 1

    That is the right ballpark for Japanese CD albums, actually... I paid I think $22 for my last single here. (As you can imagine, I don't buy them that often. iTunes, ho! Or even that cruddy I-can-believe-its-not-iTunes Sony music store that won't work with my iPod but at least has the music I want.)

  12. A little perspective for everyone thinking that on German Police Arrest Admin of Tor Anonymity Server · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He was arrested. He will now go into extended negotiations with a prosecutor, during the entirety of which he will have a lawyer present. If the negotiations don't go favorably for him, he will have a fair trial. He will probably be convicted of it, which is an occupational hazard of doing things which the government has illegalized. After being convicted, he will be given a first-time-offender wrist-slap, probably a few months of probation and a stern warning not to do it again. Perhaps he will spend a few months of not-terribly-rigorous time in jail -- I'd bet against it but I'm not German. He'll lose quite a bit of money to attourney fees, less whatever the Tor community raises for his defense (I'm not optimistic), and probably have some equipment seized.

    You know what doesn't happen?

    He doesn't get summarily executed.
    His wife doesn't get raped at gunpoint.
    His child doesn't get burned in an oven.

    People throw around the word fascist to describe any policy they don't like (that core observation is the heart of Godwin's law). Excepting the geographical accident that places both of them in Germany, there is NOTHING analagous between Nazism and the actions of the government in this case. If you want to convince people of the rightness of deploying a Tor network, keep a cool head and do not use any goose-stepping analogies, because they will brand you as a perspectiveless fanatic who is not to be taken seriously.

  13. Lazy bum! on The GIMP UI Redesign · · Score: 2, Funny

    Its OSS, you can code your own Blood Fill if its that important to you! -- All Too Common OSS Advocate

  14. How did that get modded up on Microsoft Sued by a Beijing Student Over 'Privacy Violation' · · Score: 1

    Would a delegate to the People's Congress have a reason to have a grudge against China? Because one stated last year that they executed a hair under 10,000 people, a rate which is over sixty times that of the US's on a population-weighted basis. (We're #2 on absolute and population-weighted counts among major nations.) Amnesty International, noted human rights organization, was skeptical -- based on Chinese newspaper reports, they think China merely killed at a multiplier of twenty, with an unknown additional number succumbing to torture and prison camps.

    It must be said that China has improved over the years, with either 3,400 or 10,000 being substantially less than the democides they used to perpetuate. The lowest possible bounds are in the millions.

    This is one of those times where the oh-so-sophisticated-evenhandedness-and-cynical-skepticism reminds me of... ahh, dang it, it reminds me of a Godwin's Law violation.

  15. Service To World: Shared Info In This Post on Japan Launches Lunar Orbiter Mission · · Score: 1

    The moon is made of rock. There is no life on it. There is no liquid water on it. We have sporadic indications that there may be frozen water in some deep, dark places.

    There, that about sums it up. For my next post, I'll share what the nations of earth have learned from Mars after spending billions trying to reach it. That post will be a dupe of this one.

  16. Re:Unsolicited math analysis that might have value on Wii Outsells 360, PS3 Worldwide · · Score: 1

    My kingdom for mod points. (One thing that I can't buy with my doubled-and-still-going Nintendo stock ;) )

  17. One of these provides measurable value on Google's $30,000,000 Lunar X PRIZE · · Score: 1

    $1.3 million a year is under $4,000 a day. Assuming the airstrip saves each passenger about two hours and the average Googler's internal billing rate is about $100, the airstrip would be economically viable at twenty passengers a day. Of course, it is more for the use of the bigwigs than the average Googler, and their internal billing rate might be literally tens of thousands an hour.

    And then we have the PR excercise, which will be middle-of-the-newspaper news once when announced and once when won. For $30 million. That can't possibly be justified other than by the PR department having too much money chasing too few opportunities. (A well executed *product launch* by Google could get the cover of Time, just like Apple routinely does.)

    Luckily, I'm not a Google shareholder (that P/E gives me shivers -- and this is exactly one of the reasons why, plenty of money and running out of obvious avenues for growth), so this is mostly academic.

  18. Hey, NASA's capabilities are increasing by leaps on NASA Building Massively Heat-Resistant Chips · · Score: 4, Funny

    Now the chips which will execute the

        distanceInFeet = distanceInFeet + deltaInMeters;

    calculation are heat resistant.

    (Hey, only kidding guys. I mean, we all make mistakes. Of course, I don't expect you to be rocket scie... oh, wait. Well, its not like you had ten billion dollars of... oh, wait. Well, the point of it is, you can still make mistakes.)

  19. Re:Lazy Parenting? on Study Finds That 'M'-Rated Games Sell Best · · Score: 1

    Oh, now I remember: Mr and Mrs Smith. Granted, that isn't quiiiiite the behavior you want to be modeling for your kids. ("Its alright, honey, she's an assassin -- getting beat up is in her job description. And look, she got him back. Gender equality rules.")

    On a serious note, though, I wouldn't mind if more movies were like the Incredibles (which suggests, in a wink-and-a-nod way that goes WAY over the heads of the younguns in the audience, that marriage is sexy).

  20. Lazy Parenting? on Study Finds That 'M'-Rated Games Sell Best · · Score: 1

    "Deny all" is a sensible default, in parenting as well as computer security. You can quite reasonably make the determination that given what passes for a PG-13 these days (Die Hard, for crying out loud) there is no reason your twelve year old needs to be seeing an R.

    The entire point of having a ratings system is that so you can make a snap judgement about the likely content of a movie, without actually having to see the movie. With the rating system, you can browse the list of 12 shows at the movie theatre and immediately concentrate on the 2-3 that are interesting and appropriate. Without the rating system, you could potentially have to review three movies (thats 6 hours of work!) just to have an evening out with the kids! What parent has that kind of time?

    (Incidentally, for parents who need a little more granularity than the PG13 vs. R distinction provides, I recommend the National Conference of Catholic Bishops reviews, which make distinctions between things like mindless-nihilistic-violence and violence-essential-to-establishing-scene-of-uplifting-WWII-movie. They also typically give mildly sexual situations a pass if its between married folks, although I can't remember the last time I saw that in a Hollywood movie...)

  21. Pseudocode included on Wii Zapper To Have Zelda Pack-In Title · · Score: 1

    Dungeon createNewDoom4Dungeon() {
        Room r;
        ListOfRooms list = new ListOfRooms();
        for(int i=0;iMAX_ROOMS;i++) {
            r = new Room();
            r.getDoor().placeObjectBehindAsPlayerEnters(new Demon());
            list.add(r);
        }
        return list;
    }

    You know, on second thought, maybe that is what generated their levels in the first place...

  22. Those weren't talent trees... on More Details on Dungeons and Dragons Fourth Edition · · Score: 1

    ... those were talent dryads. And now they're pissed talent dryads.

  23. Getting a Rails server up and running in 5 minut on PHP5 Vs. CakePHP Vs. RubyOnRails? · · Score: 2, Funny

    Use Deprec (www.deprec.org I think) on a clean Ubuntu install. Seriously, when I found it it was almost a religious experience (and we're talking Baptist-esque rolling in the aisles and PRAISE HIM! OH! religion here).

  24. It makes little sense to say Rails doesn't scale.. on PHP5 Vs. CakePHP Vs. RubyOnRails? · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ... when the complaint is similar to "PHP is a really cruddy language to write a graphics driver in". This is true -- using PHP to write a graphics driver is like attempting to change a car tire with a banana, but thats hardly a knock on PHP, its just a mostly banal comment on choosing the right tool for the job. What Rails excels in is choosing the right job for the tool -- given that you have Rails, you now know with pretty good certainty that you can bang out a CRUD site in your target vertical of choice on a very nice timescale while still being feature-rich. That is a really, really nice feature for a platform to have for small software houses.

    Granted, I wouldn't write Digg in it, but *I'll never write Digg in anything*. Neither will 99% of the world's programmers, and for the 1% that are making social networking sitse with desired user numbers the size of nation states, they have the LAMP stack and God bless them for it.

    As for me, I've got one quite profitable desktop application written in Java (folks laughed at me for that -- what can I say, it got the job done) and am having a bloody ball working on a small business vertical app which, at $15 / account / month and low predicted need for users to interact with the app, would replace my day job income at about three dynamic page hits per hour. I have this funny feeling that Rails will scale that far.

  25. Re:Captain Christoper Pike Called... on Wheelchair Controlled by Thought · · Score: 1

    I think I've got to Whoooooooooooooooooosh myself there. What are you talking about?

    Reference -> *

    Me -> o?
                            \|/
                            / \