P(B) = chance of a clot being present P(A|B) = chance of detecting a clot, given that a clot is present P(A|notB) = false positive P(notB) = 1 - P(B) = chance of there not being a clot
The interesting value is P(B|A), which is the chance of there being a clot, given that one is detected.
I haven't RTFA, so I don't know whether it tells whether the 98% accuracy mentioned is P(A|B) or P(B|A). If it's the former, I remain unconvinced, because if the clots are very rare, even a modest false positive rate will make it fairly useless.
Of course I hope it really is useful, and will save lives.
I must have misread it then. If your point is that no distribution silently installs updates out of the box, then you might be right (I don't know all distributions). I don't know why Ubuntu doesn't, it seems like a good idea for most computer users. (Those who would want to disable it care enough about it to bother fixing the setting, but I think it would be best if the user was informed of the setting during or after installation.)
Both slashdottit links have vote=1 as the query string, which means that the server cannot distinguish on which slashdottit link you're clicking, so yes, I would guess that the Digg-like feature is an April Fool's joke.
Actually, the evolution of complex organs has been researched for a long time now, and it has been found that yes, partial functionality (e.g. light-sensitive cells instead of a full-blown eye with retina and lens) is better than no functionality (no light sensitivity).
I agree wholehartedly. He wrote Behemoth (actually three books in one volume), about a group of mammoths surviving to this day. Very good stories, and very readable. And he wrote Evolution (which might be a little controversial in the US;-) ), which is a series of linked short stories about "a day in the life of" several (distant) ancestors of homo sapiens.
The only sentient beings are us flesh & blood humans. There's a reason I, Robot is a science fiction novel. All a robot is is just a bunch of metal parts with a CPU just like my computer. No computer can "think" for themselves - we program the input and output. There is no such thing as a computer program "becoming sentient."
So far. There's nothing that proves that it's impossible to create sentient beings using computational devices.
<attempt at reductio ad absurdum using straw robots which are non-sentient>
Some would argue no as their program does not make them sentient. Well what happens if I load the "sentient" program into my PC, car, tank, or fighter air-craft? Does it become "sentient"? If I delete the program, does it "die?"
It's the brains, stupid! Not the body. So far, there is no program to make a computational device sentient. But without sentience, all those devices, whether they have arms and legs or wings and wheels, are just tools. With sentience, they would be sentient, and thus deserve rights, just like you or me. I'm not saying they need exactly the same rights as humans should have, though.
Funny, I made a similar argument in a recent post, and got accused of making a pirate's rationalization! Granted, the accusation was by an AC, but still...
Anyway, I remarked that this same exact mechanism is what keeps Photoshop so popular, despite it being very expensive for non-professional users. FWIW, I never pirated MS Office or Adobe Photoshop, but lots of people seem to do so, and in doing so, they are strengthening those companies' market positions, yet making themselves vulnerable to lawsuits from these same companies. Sounds like a pretty stupid thing to do to me.
Also, a question, could a user backup up their home directory, install this crap software, and then restore their home directory and continue using the software?
I don't think so. At the time the software "decides" to delete the user's files, it also "knows" that it is a pirated version, and that the serial number is invalid (that triggered the deletion). Hence, it also "knows" that it shouldn't allow itself to be unlocked from the demo version.
I think this is a very dangerous step: what if there was a bug that caused the software to delete your files without a pirated serial being entered?
Besides, if the author sells activation keys, he knows who bought which one, and thus whom to sue when one of those keys gets posted on warez sites. Unless he doesn't use online activation with arbitrary keys, but instead has an algorithm in his program that determines the validity of the key. That's just asking to be cracked.
Also, piracy tends to be a powerful weapon against your competition: you might not make money from the lost sale, but (1) your competitors won't either (2) the pirates gain familiarity with your software, and are more likely to choose it when placed in a situation where they can't use pirated software, or recommend it to friends, and your competitors don't gain this advantage. See also: Microsoft Windows/Office, Adobe Photoshop.
Free textbooks wouldn't really be free, the price would just become "invisible" to parents. They'll still pay for them, of course, through taxes, but it also gives the publishers the opportunity to raise prices unnoticed.
You mean all that trouble tracking which chapter is which in the new edition?
Re:Space is what keeps us from screwing other plan
on
Interstellar Ark
·
· Score: 1
What would it matter if we screwed up some sterile rock somewhere else in space?
Now, if we screwed up a planet that had indigenous life, then it'd be bad, but if we terraform a sterile planet and colonize it, and screw it up, I see no reason to feel sorry about the planet.
Slashdot Mirror
That is called Bayesian statistics.
P(B|A) = P(A|B)P(B) / ( P(A|B)P(B) + P(A|notB)P(notB) )
P(B) = chance of a clot being present
P(A|B) = chance of detecting a clot, given that a clot is present
P(A|notB) = false positive
P(notB) = 1 - P(B) = chance of there not being a clot
The interesting value is P(B|A), which is the chance of there being a clot, given that one is detected.
I haven't RTFA, so I don't know whether it tells whether the 98% accuracy mentioned is P(A|B) or P(B|A). If it's the former, I remain unconvinced, because if the clots are very rare, even a modest false positive rate will make it fairly useless.
Of course I hope it really is useful, and will save lives.
I must have misread it then. If your point is that no distribution silently installs updates out of the box, then you might be right (I don't know all distributions). I don't know why Ubuntu doesn't, it seems like a good idea for most computer users. (Those who would want to disable it care enough about it to bother fixing the setting, but I think it would be best if the user was informed of the setting during or after installation.)
Start Menu > Settings > Software Properties > second tab > third checkbox
Keep Your Parents Off the Internet!
Oh noes! It's a Twinkie!
But only if you're a laser printer...
Yeah, especially the mirrored screw holes are a blast!
Both slashdottit links have vote=1 as the query string, which means that the server cannot distinguish on which slashdottit link you're clicking, so yes, I would guess that the Digg-like feature is an April Fool's joke.
Actually, the evolution of complex organs has been researched for a long time now, and it has been found that yes, partial functionality (e.g. light-sensitive cells instead of a full-blown eye with retina and lens) is better than no functionality (no light sensitivity).
It doesn't look like they're going to settle...
Won't it just level the building?
Dinosaurs is what we call the reptiles that went extinct about 65 million years ago.
That should answer your question why all the dinosaurs went extinct. They're defined that way.
https://www.certifiedofferservice.com/CertifiedOff er/offer/domainAssessment.do?referalID=1000&FQDN=M ICROSOFT.COM&domainRanking=N
Actually, it's a comedy ;-)
I agree wholehartedly. He wrote Behemoth (actually three books in one volume), about a group of mammoths surviving to this day. Very good stories, and very readable. And he wrote Evolution (which might be a little controversial in the US ;-) ), which is a series of linked short stories about "a day in the life of" several (distant) ancestors of homo sapiens.
So far. There's nothing that proves that it's impossible to create sentient beings using computational devices.
It's the brains, stupid! Not the body. So far, there is no program to make a computational device sentient. But without sentience, all those devices, whether they have arms and legs or wings and wheels, are just tools. With sentience, they would be sentient, and thus deserve rights, just like you or me. I'm not saying they need exactly the same rights as humans should have, though.
Funny, I made a similar argument in a recent post, and got accused of making a pirate's rationalization! Granted, the accusation was by an AC, but still...
Anyway, I remarked that this same exact mechanism is what keeps Photoshop so popular, despite it being very expensive for non-professional users. FWIW, I never pirated MS Office or Adobe Photoshop, but lots of people seem to do so, and in doing so, they are strengthening those companies' market positions, yet making themselves vulnerable to lawsuits from these same companies. Sounds like a pretty stupid thing to do to me.
Yeah, and they measured the temperature and CO2 levels on Mars for the last couple hundred millennia as well!
No, they're reinventing it poorly, because they do not understand it.
Well, if you've watched the videos, you'd have seen that your points (1) and (2) have no merit, except for very small values of "shitload".
I don't think so. At the time the software "decides" to delete the user's files, it also "knows" that it is a pirated version, and that the serial number is invalid (that triggered the deletion). Hence, it also "knows" that it shouldn't allow itself to be unlocked from the demo version.
I think this is a very dangerous step: what if there was a bug that caused the software to delete your files without a pirated serial being entered?
Besides, if the author sells activation keys, he knows who bought which one, and thus whom to sue when one of those keys gets posted on warez sites. Unless he doesn't use online activation with arbitrary keys, but instead has an algorithm in his program that determines the validity of the key. That's just asking to be cracked.
Also, piracy tends to be a powerful weapon against your competition: you might not make money from the lost sale, but (1) your competitors won't either (2) the pirates gain familiarity with your software, and are more likely to choose it when placed in a situation where they can't use pirated software, or recommend it to friends, and your competitors don't gain this advantage. See also: Microsoft Windows/Office, Adobe Photoshop.
So, has he actually been able to run Windows for 19 months without reinstalling? That's amazing!
Free textbooks wouldn't really be free, the price would just become "invisible" to parents. They'll still pay for them, of course, through taxes, but it also gives the publishers the opportunity to raise prices unnoticed.
You mean all that trouble tracking which chapter is which in the new edition?
What would it matter if we screwed up some sterile rock somewhere else in space?
Now, if we screwed up a planet that had indigenous life, then it'd be bad, but if we terraform a sterile planet and colonize it, and screw it up, I see no reason to feel sorry about the planet.