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12 Crackpot Ideas That Could Transform Tech

InfoWorldMike passed us a link to an entertaining article with a sort of 'top 12' innovative technologies that could change the world. Some of the techs include solid-state drives, holographic and phase-change storage, artificial intelligence, e-books, desktop web apps, and quantum computing/cryptography. For each of these technologies, expert observers weigh in on the potentials and pitfalls of these disciplines. Here are Esther Lim's comments on e-books: "Another issue, besides the prohibitive cost and cumbersome nature of e-documents, concerns the vast portion of the contracts that were signed and agreed upon before e-books came onto the scene ... That raises questions not just in terms of what rights the user has, but what rights the publisher has vis-à-vis the copyright holder." We've discussed almost all of these technologies on the site at one point or another. Which is the most important? Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'?

213 comments

  1. Solid-State Drives by goldspider · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I think solid-state drives is going to have the most immediate impact. Their potential includes:

    - Near-instant data access (think boot-up times)
    - Lower power consumption
    - Lower failure rate
    - Many others I'm sure I'm unaware of.

    I'd hardly call solid-state drives a "crackpot" technology.

    --
    "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    1. Re:Solid-State Drives by 0123456 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "I'd hardly call solid-state drives a "crackpot" technology."

      I would. Solid-state drives have been 'the future' since at least 1991 (I had a 128MB ram disk back then)... but they've never been able to compete with hard disks on capacity or performance. Nor are they likely to any time soon, as the need for space (and money to spend on more useful things) continually outweighs the need for speed.

      Oh, and that 128MB drive cost roughly $60,000 back then. But Windows 3.1 sure did boot fast.

    2. Re:Solid-State Drives by smenor · · Score: 5, Insightful

      I'd hardly call solid-state drives a "crackpot" technology.

      I'd hardly call anything on that list a "crackpot" technology.

      AI, quantum computing, holographic storage, e-books - they're all either currently being researched by a ton of academics and legitimate businesses, or (as is the case for e-books) they're actually on the market.

      Where's the anti-gravity, and free-energy? How can they even make a list of crackpot technologies and leave them out?

    3. Re:Solid-State Drives by forrie · · Score: 1

      I agree with you on this.

      And we already have solid-state drives, to some degree. I saw one company that offers solid-state drives in a RAID formation. I seem to recall articles here where leaps are being made in chip technology that will make these more realistic and cost-effective.

    4. Re:Solid-State Drives by inphinity · · Score: 1

      I'd hardly call solid-state drives a "crackpot" technology.
      I'd have to agree, since there's already software out there that will instantly transform your thumb drive into a portable scratch disk. It probably won't be long until such setups are commonplace.
    5. Re:Solid-State Drives by Zeek40 · · Score: 1

      I agree with you that the solid-state drives are the most important on the list, but i question where you get the "Lower failure rate" bullet point. If you have a source for that, I'd love to read it. I'm not an expert in either flash memory or conventional magnetic disk hard drives, but what are you basing that upon? The fact that solid-state drives have zero moving parts certainly supports that argument, but according to all the sources I've been able to locate, solid-state memory has a finite number of write/erase cycles before failure which varies between 100,000 and 1,000,000. Most of the drives i was able to read about did include "wear leveling" and "bad block management" hardware to help avoid this limitation, but i was unable to find any direct reliability comparison between the two technologies.

    6. Re:Solid-State Drives by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "they've never been able to compete with hard disks on capacity or performance"

      Duh... obviously that should have been 'capacity or cost', since performance is about the only real benefit they offer :).

    7. Re:Solid-State Drives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Far from crackpot.

      I remember purchasing a 256MB solid state drive that plugged into an ISA slot in my old 386DX.

      It was neat then and is neat now.

    8. Re:Solid-State Drives by jcr · · Score: 5, Informative

      I agree. We've already seen flash RAM beat the micro drives in CF cards, and the advantages of doing away with moving parts (and with them, the inevitable mechanical failures) are compelling. Moore's law will do the driving, we'll have solid-state laptops in another year or so.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    9. Re:Solid-State Drives by mr_mischief · · Score: 2, Informative

      Phase-change optical drives were also on the market about ten years ago. Heck, recordable CDs and DVDs are largely based on earlier phase-change (both Write-Once, Read-Many -- or WORM drives, as well as rewritable disks) technology.

    10. Re:Solid-State Drives by iamdrscience · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Solid-state drives could be considered a crackpot idea for two reasons: first because regular hard drive technology is insanely cheaper than solid-state and it looks like it will continue that way. Second because for most desktop systems solid state drives are patently unsuitable because of their relatively low rewrite limits compared to standard drives -- most flash chips are only reliable up to 500,000 rewrites, if that sounds like a lot to you, try using flash for your swap partition on your desktop, you're lucky if you can get two years out of it, I'd estimate more like 6 months.

    11. Re:Solid-State Drives by eln · · Score: 4, Interesting

      They aren't crackpot ideas, but they are the same tired list of "tech that will change the world" that so-called "experts" trot out every so often so that they can appear relevant and sell more magazine articles and books. My take on a few of these:

      e-books have been tried, and they've failed. They will continue to fail until we somehow figure out a way to make an e-book that looks, feels, and behaves exactly like a real book. Good luck with that.

      Web-based apps aren't there yet, and will probably never get there until we have protocols that will give you the rich API that coding directly for the desktop will give you. Faking it in Javascript just isn't going to cut it.

      True AI has been at least 30 years away for the past 50 years. It's an open question as to whether or not we can ever really get there, or if getting there is even desirable.

      The Semantic Web is an interesting idea in theory, but I think the article is hopelessly optimistic thinking that anywhere near a majority of web developers will buy in to it, considering the work involved. It suffers from a chicken and egg problem: it's useless unless everyone buys in, but no one will buy in while its still useless.

      As for Project Blackbox, I took a tour of it when it came to the local Sun campus, and it is actually a very impressive piece of engineering. Its uses are probably very limited, but the engineers who worked on it definitely deserve some serious geek points.

    12. Re:Solid-State Drives by way2trivial · · Score: 2

      yeah, like every installation of Vista?

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ReadyBoost

      --
      every day http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:Random
    13. Re:Solid-State Drives by DogDude · · Score: 0

      I agree 100%. I don't think solid state drives are "crackpot" at all. I'm waiting for the capacity to get even remotely close (I only need 10-20 gig hard drives for my workstations), and I'm willing to pay an early-adopter premium for them. Even my big fat RAID-5 server only uses 18 gig HD's right now, so I'd swap all of those out for solid state, too, as soon as it's available.

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    14. Re:Solid-State Drives by JPMaximilian · · Score: 2, Insightful
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SATA/

      In actual use in modern personal computers both SATA 3 Gbit/s and SATA 1.5 Gbit/s hard disk drives run at non-burst speeds comparable to earlier IDE interfaces (under 50 MB/s). Since the theoretical burst speeds marketed by drive manufacturers are rarely achieved, a smaller power and interface cable plus the ability to hot-plug are the most practical SATA benefits to everyday computing.
      I think that it's fair to say that storage is the weak link in personal computing. Hard drives keep getting bigger, but they don't get that much faster. Plus, the more data you have, the faster you'll need to be able to sort through it. As far as burst transfer speed, the fastest SATA is at 300MB/s, which still isn't as fast as the fastest SCSI drives. Drive failure is also an issue, so hopefully some of these new storage technologies could increase speed, reliability, and storage-security.
      --
      "I'll see you next time." - LeVar Burton
    15. Re:Solid-State Drives by maxume · · Score: 1

      That depends on whether getting 'used up' is something you want to classify as failure or not. I wouldn't really say a pencil has 'failed' if I use it and sharpen it until it is too short to use, this is a well understood limitation of the thing. If one randomly fell apart, even when gently handled, I would say that it had failed.

      I guess you could just rewrite the bullet in terms of lifetime of individual flash being much more predictable.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    16. Re:Solid-State Drives by goldspider · · Score: 1

      I'm basing the failure rate claim on (as you said) the lack of moving parts and the almost inevitable technological improvements that will increase flash memory's longevity. Sure, that could be complete speculation; call me an optimist if you wish.

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    17. Re:Solid-State Drives by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      Where's the anti-gravity, and free-energy?

      We're still looking for them. Just becuase we haven't found it, doesn't mean it isn't there. And we have "anti-gravity". It's called radiation. Both contentrate towards a center. Gravity pulls (attracts), and the radiation pushes (repels).

      --
      What?
    18. Re:Solid-State Drives by goldspider · · Score: 1

      1. We see larger and cheaper flash drives on the market every day. Sure, the $/GB isn't there yet, but don't you think the trend is going that way?

      2. Durability is certainly an issue right now, but then how long were early hard drives expected to last? I'm optimistic that this aspect of flash memory will improve.

      --
      "Ask not what your country can do for you." --John F. Kennedy
    19. Re:Solid-State Drives by AKAImBatman · · Score: 2, Informative

      e-books have been tried, and they've failed.

      Unless you happen to be Baen Books. They were the only ones who "got" the idea and provided books in a highly accessable format. Baen's ebooks have been a resounding success while all the Secure PDF and Microsoft eBook vendors scratch their heads at why they're doing so poorly.
    20. Re:Solid-State Drives by jcr · · Score: 1

      hard drive technology is insanely cheaper than solid-state and it looks like it will continue that way.

      Not hardly. The cost per byte of flash ram is falling rapidly, largely because of the economies of scale that are coming into play with so much of it being used in iPods and similar devices. Disks get better over time too, but no moving parts will beat moving parts eventually.

      -jcr

      --
      The only title of honor that a tyrant can grant is "Enemy of the State."
    21. Re:Solid-State Drives by maxume · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The price difference doesn't matter very much. Sure, a $100, 60GB disk is a lot nicer than a $60, 4GB sd card, but a $200, 80GB flash drive beats a $100, 300GB disk for lots of things(pretty much anywhere it is 'big enough' and power matters).

      Swap is designed around expensive chips and cheap disk. With flash, a strategy using discard+read is somewhat more practical as the seek penalty is much lower, or more ram, etc.

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    22. Re:Solid-State Drives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      we'll have solid-state laptops in another year or so

      I don't know when we'll be able to get our hands on them, but these ones already exist.

    23. Re:Solid-State Drives by sjbe · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Solid-state drives could be considered a crackpot idea for two reasons: first because regular hard drive technology is insanely cheaper than solid-state and it looks like it will continue that way.


      Absolutely true but possibly irrelevant depending on the application. For applications where $/megabyte is the overriding concern hard drives are going to remain the way to go for the near future. But for applications like laptops where other concerns like weight, shock resistance, and boot speed are important I think you'll find people willing to pay a premium for those features. After all if $/megabyte was the only concern anyone had we'd still be using tape drives which beat hard drive by a wide margin even today. Honestly I only need about 40-60GB of drive space on my work laptop and I would happily pay a little extra for a solid state drive. I doubt I'm the only one.

      Second because for most desktop systems solid state drives are patently unsuitable because of their relatively low rewrite limits compared to standard drives -- most flash chips are only reliable up to 500,000 rewrites, if that sounds like a lot to you, try using flash for your swap partition on your desktop, you're lucky if you can get two years out of it, I'd estimate more like 6 months.


      If you don't have enough RAM, yeah this might be a problem. I think 6 months is rather pessimistic but your point remains that the drive wearing out is a potential concern. But solid state drives are really going to find their applications in mobile devices first. Desktop machines will probably use traditional hard drives for the near future. The only real advantage to them with flash that most people care about is faster boot times. People will use the technology that has the best trade-offs of cost versus features. Right now it's hard drives but solid state storage is catching up in a lot of applications.
    24. Re:Solid-State Drives by 0123456 · · Score: 1

      "The price difference doesn't matter very much."

      Well, that's good to know. I'm sure people won't care about paying $10,000 for 750GB of flash memory than $300 for a 750GB hard disk.

      "(pretty much anywhere it is 'big enough' and power matters)."

      Indeed. Solid state storage makes sense anywhere that it makes sense... as it always has done. But when even games are taking 15+GB of space these days, most people aren't going to manage long with a small flash drive on their PC.

      The problem you're facing as an advocate of expensive, limited but fast flash memory is that most people will find a way to full up however much disk space you give them... the more space available, the more junk people will find to stuff in there. I remember when my first PC had 500MB of disk space and it seemed huge, now I have two terabytes and even that is looking a bit cramped.

    25. Re:Solid-State Drives by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      ...we'll have solid-state laptops in another year or so.

      I was wondering when they were take those new-fangled transistors out of the radio and put them into something useful. I'm getting quite a hunched back from lugging this vacuum tube model around all day.

      --
      What?
    26. Re:Solid-State Drives by mcvos · · Score: 4, Insightful

      True AI has been at least 30 years away for the past 50 years. It's an open question as to whether or not we can ever really get there, or if getting there is even desirable.

      If you mean Strong AI, then most serious researchers have long abandoned that goal. The past 50 years have mostly taught us how complex intelligence really is, and that we still have no good definition of the concept. And as long as we don't know what intelligence in humans really is, how can we create it in computers?

      Instead, most researchers are focusing on small, limited aspects of intelligence, like the ability to interpret sounds (including speech), images (handwriting, or following a road in the rain), playing chess, medical or other diagnosis, translation, etc. Many of those are here already in some form of another. We'll see a lot more of this in the near future. But if you want Daneel Olivaw, I'm afraid you'll need a couple of centuries patience.

    27. Re:Solid-State Drives by ucblockhead · · Score: 1
      Price isn't the only factor people care about. In a laptop, people will pay more for something that is lighter, and uses less battery life. (Just look at how many people purchase iPod Nanos instead of larger hard drive based iPods.)

      As others have noted, the rewrite issue is improving daily. I remember slashdot posts like yours from a year or so back that used "10,000 rewrites" as the scare figure. In addition, OSes could be reorganized to minimize the issue. (For instance, just adding more RAM reduces the amount of swapping that is done.) If you look at what is stored on people's hard drives today, the vast majority is stuff that sites for long periods of time. People don't reorganize their MP3 collection 500,000 times.

      --
      The cake is a pie
    28. Re:Solid-State Drives by ePhil_One · · Score: 5, Insightful
      I used to have a pair of old Apple II hard drives that cost an airline $5,000 each. So the cost was $1,000 a MB (thats right, they were a whopping 5Mb (in an age where the average PC had 16k and maxed at 64k (the glories of 8 bit computing), that was serious storage. So in a few short years (ok, maybe 10 :), your solid state storage had 25x more capacity at half the cost per MB.

      Solid state has been around for a while, and has slowly been reaching into the mainstream. While it will be 20-30 years before it replaces disk for primary storage, its come from the stratosphere of the high end to replace floppy, Zip, Jazz, and other portable disk technolgies, and will soon embed itself into the hard drive as a cache for your boot OS. How soon until we just have a 20GB Flash C: drive and a spinning disk TB class D: drive for the rest of your data? The capacity of spinning disk drives is racing past the utility point for the majority of users, honestly my corporate desktop users would be fine with a 10GB disk partition.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisted little posts, all alike.
    29. Re:Solid-State Drives by shmlco · · Score: 2, Insightful

      "They will continue to fail until we somehow figure out a way to make an e-book that looks, feels, and behaves exactly like a real book. Good luck with that."

      Books have a lot of advantages. They're also bulky, heavy, utilize a "fixed" display mechanism, and require an external light source.

      Backlit ebooks can be read in the dark or in low-light situations. Screens can increase font sizes for people with bad eyesight. Storage systems can let you carry hundreds, if not thousands of books all at the same time. If you had a fairly inexpensive sturdy lightweight reader with good battery life, and a bright, contrasty, high-resolution backlit "writeable" screen that could also double as media player and internet device... and couple that with DRM-free standardized content, then, in my opinion, you'd be well on your way.

      Especially for things like school books, tech manuals, reference books, trashy paperback novels, magazines, and so forth where the "feel" of a book is much less important than its contents.

      Speaking of reference books and tech manuals, I have a ton of them (almost literally) sitting on shelves around here. And what do I do when I need to look something up? I Google it. The ability to quickly find information hidden somewhere in a mass of physical books is nearly non-existent.

      In short, real books have many, many, many limitations, and as such neither you nor I WANT an e-book that looks, feels, and behaves EXACTLY like a real book, any more than you want a car that that looks, feels, and behaves EXACTLY like a horse-drawn carriage.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    30. Re:Solid-State Drives by utopianfiat · · Score: 1

      from TFA: "Solid-state storage devices -- both RAM-based and NAND (Not And) flash-based -- have held promise as worthwhile alternatives to conventional disk drives for some time despite the healthy dose of skepticism they inspire. By no means new, their integration into IT will only happen when the technologies fulfill their potential and go mainstream."

      How exactly is RAM and NAND latches an alternative to disk drives? Flash-based disks- okay, I can see, but just say "Flash disks" and not "RAM-based and NAND" because all that inspires is a picture in my head of my freshman EE class where they introduced the most basic nand-latch RAM.

      --
      +5, Truth
    31. Re:Solid-State Drives by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      I honestly see a mix of technologies emmerging. Naturally flash-based solid state is not near the capacity needed to run a whole system on, but I don't really need ALL my stuff stored on solid-state. What I see as more likely is having a 20GB or so solid state drive that I boot my main operating system from. The OS itself is always running, so moving it to solid state should drastically improve system performance and boot time. Some of my more frequently used apps may be installed on the solid state too, but seldom used programs and all my data will be stored on a standard magnetic hard disk.

      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    32. Re:Solid-State Drives by delinear · · Score: 1

      The obvious use that springs to mind is laptops, where size is not nearly so important as weight and power usage. If flash drives could give me a lighter laptop to lug around that didn't die so quickly, I wouldn't mind that it cost a little more or had a little less storage. The balance is still the issue though, if the storage was tiny or the price exorbitant I'd happily stick with the heavier alternative.

    33. Re:Solid-State Drives by SatanicPuppy · · Score: 1

      Shrug. That could be changed by changing the write patterns.

      How big is your cache file? A gig? Let it use all unused space on the drive, and overwrite the oldest parts of the cache when necessary. That would reduce the number of writes substantially, and since flash doesn't have the same performance limitations as standard drives, there is no loss of efficiency with the cache not being located on the "edge" of the drive.

      A highly efficient, low power, impact resistant hard drive that would reliably last a few years in a laptop would definitely be something worth having, as long as the price was acceptable.

      --
      ad logicam Claiming a proposition is false because it was presented as the conclusion of a fallacious argument.
    34. Re:Solid-State Drives by zippthorne · · Score: 1

      No, gravity does no work if you remain in place. Radiation pressure requires expenditure of energy to maintain.

      Plenty of things repel, but that does not make them the opposite of the gravitational force.

      --
      Can you be Even More Awesome?!
    35. Re:Solid-State Drives by utopianfiat · · Score: 1

      Naturally flash-based solid state is not near the capacity needed to run a whole system on

      Flash linux? Wii's internal flash drive? Any modern cellphone or PDA? The hundreds of thousands of devices that use flash as a replacement for dip switches?

      Secondly, it's kinda impractical that you have to erase entire blocks at a time. You can't really do a random-access flip-flop on the bits. From slickypedia:
      One limitation of flash memory is that although it can be read or programmed a byte or a word at a time in a random access fashion, it must be erased a "block" at a time. This generally sets all bits in the block to 1. Starting with a freshly erased block, any location within that block can be programmed. However, once a bit has been set to 0, only by erasing the entire block can it be changed back to 1. In other words, flash memory (specifically NOR flash) offers random-access read and programming operations, but cannot offer arbitrary random-access rewrite or erase operations.

      --
      +5, Truth
    36. Re:Solid-State Drives by swillden · · Score: 1

      most flash chips are only reliable up to 500,000 rewrites, if that sounds like a lot to you, try using flash for your swap partition on your desktop, you're lucky if you can get two years out of it, I'd estimate more like 6 months.

      Did you actually run the numbers on that?

      Supposing you have a 1GiB flash partition, on a device with integral wear leveling that supports 500,000 write cycles. To wear out that partition would require writing ~500 TB. Doing that in six months, even with a machine that's on 24x7, would require writing 35MBps continually. That's about as fast as a typical hard disk drive can sustain, so you're basically talking about a machine that would be thrashing 100% of the time with disk-based swap.

      Assuming you put enough RAM in your computer that you don't thrash constantly, you should get much better life out of a flash swap partition than that. Personally, I keep enough RAM in my boxes that they rarely hit swap at all, so I'm sure I'd *never* wear out a flash swap partition.

      In practice, I doubt that anyone is likely to wear out an appropriately-sized flash swap partition within the lifespan of the machine it's installed in.

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    37. Re:Solid-State Drives by shmlco · · Score: 1

      "Honestly I only need about 40-60GB of drive space on my work laptop ..."

      I wish. As a developer and photographer who travels a lot, I'm waiting on tenderhooks for those 300GB notebook drives to ship this summer...

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    38. Re:Solid-State Drives by TheSync · · Score: 1

      the need for space (and money to spend on more useful things) continually outweighs the need for speed.

      I'd argue that the speed of boot-up and program load are important, while the speed of data access is less so (and data access is dominated by a need for space)

      BTW, there is a server with 1TB of Flash RAM in this room right now...

    39. Re:Solid-State Drives by encoderer · · Score: 2, Informative

      While there _is_ a finite number of writes, that is _per sector_ not _per chip_. So after a while you will notice gradually decreasing capacity, it won't just fail outright.

      Furthermore, the numbers I've been seeing have been closer to 1MM erase-write cycles per sector.

      from Wikipedia:

      "Another limitation is that flash memory has a finite number of erase-write cycles (most commercially available flash products are guaranteed to withstand 1 million programming cycles). This effect is partially offset by some chip firmware or file system drivers by counting the writes and dynamically remapping the blocks in order to spread the write operations between the sectors. This technique is called wear levelling. Another mechanism is to perform write verification and remapping to spare sectors in case of write failure, which is named Bad Block Management (BBM)."

    40. Re:Solid-State Drives by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      No, gravity does no work if you remain in place.

      May I assume you can apply that to any potential? We remain in "place" because there is an equal opposing force. Where does that energy come from? And how can we redirect it? The energy is "free" in that it's always there. Creating the differential to move a body out of place is the key.

      Radiation pressure requires expenditure of energy to maintain.

      But not from us. Not directly anyway. Let nature do all the work. I liken it to the waste of energy used to desalinate seawater. When all we have to do is catch and pipe rainwater wherever it's needed, just like oil and gas. The fresh water itself is free. I'm sure we could use natural forces to do most of the pumping also.

      --
      What?
    41. Re:Solid-State Drives by mashade · · Score: 1

      Second because for most desktop systems solid state drives are patently unsuitable because of their relatively low rewrite limits compared to standard drives -- most flash chips are only reliable up to 500,000 rewrites, if that sounds like a lot to you, try using flash for your swap partition on your desktop, you're lucky if you can get two years out of it, I'd estimate more like 6 months.

      Ah, yes. But there are also two reasons why this scenario doesn't matter, either:

      • Using enough old fashioned RAM negates the need for swap.
      • When flash drives hit the rewrite limit (which on many drives is much, much higher than 500k writes), you can still read from the device. I'll take a failed flash drive that you can copy to a new one (without losing previously written data) over a mechanical head crash any day. The recovery options are much more attractive.
      --
      Technology tips and tricks.
    42. Re:Solid-State Drives by MBGMorden · · Score: 1

      Flash linux? Wii's internal flash drive? Any modern cellphone or PDA? The hundreds of thousands of devices that use flash as a replacement for dip switches? All of which are installations where the operating system IS the system. I'm well familiar with the concept and have built thin client setups using only flash drive storage already. My point is that for REGULAR USAGE, a flash drive is not gonna be large enough to hold the applications, databases, games, movies, music, and other such data that most people use today. For those things, hard drives will still be in place for a very long time, even if the OS itself moves to flash.
      --
      "People who think they know everything are very annoying to those of us who do."-Mark Twain
    43. Re:Solid-State Drives by pla · · Score: 1

      I'd hardly call solid-state drives a "crackpot" technology.

      Not crackpot, but still prohibitively expensive.


      For RAM drives, you have basically $70/GB, and good luck finding the hardware to use them... The iRAM (which they apparently renamed to "GC-RAMDISK", with comparable (ie, no) availability) looked promising, even came down to a reasonable price, but as I just mentioned, no one seems to actually have them in stock.

      The situation looks quite a bit better for flash... You can get 4GB CF cards, which will work in a dirt-cheap (I've seen them under $10) CF-to-IDE adapter, at a pretty decent $8/GB ($1800 for 32GB? Ouch! Fire anyone that suggests that solution over a 4GB x 8 "IDE" RAID for under $450). Flash still has two serious drawbacks, though, in that it has a finite number of writes, and writes occur glacially slow (even by modern HDD standards). A good RAID configuration would relieve some of the burden of the write speed, but I'd still worry about the useful lifetime.



      But yeah, I'd have to agree, not exactly tech at the tinfoil-beanie level of obscurity. Just expensive for the size you get.

    44. Re:Solid-State Drives by peragrin · · Score: 1

      actually my idea is similar. a ~20gb flash drive that normally mounts as read only to contain the OS, and the last ram state. The OS wouldn't need to boot but simply start working again from that point.

      Applications, etc stored on the Hard drive, with user settings and folders stored on a removable flash drive. You can do most of that now with any *nix's. If OS X 10.5(leopard) really includes home on ipod then the rest of the system is done as well. The hard part would be to create a portable security system that let's you transplant users.

      --
      i thought once I was found, but it was only a dream.
    45. Re:Solid-State Drives by gobbo · · Score: 1

      "I'm waiting on tenderhooks for those 300GB notebook drives"

      For Logistic's sake, get an mid-large external 7200 2.5in HD in a rugged USB/1394-powered case, and an 18" cable. The data is safer (carry it in a pocket) and you save on the penalty for bleeding-edge prices. Smaller than a paperback, so a tolerable addition to the package, with the benefits of providing backup and added security.

      BTW, it's "Tenterhooks" -- used to strech wool for drying, nothing tender about them.

    46. Re:Solid-State Drives by VWJedi · · Score: 1

      I saw one company that offers solid-state drives in a RAID formation.

      Why would you want to do that? This seems like a really silly idea for several reasons:

      • The I in RAID stands for Inexpensive. Solid-state drives are certainly not inexpensive (compared to a same-sized disk drive).
      • If you're RAIDing for capacity, why not just buy a big disk drive?
      • If you're RAIDing for reliability, an SSD is less likely to fail mechanically, but if you're writing to the same bits to each SSD, those bits will all wear out at approximately the same time.
      • If you're RAIDing for speed, SSDs are great for reading (until you max out the bus) but not too good for writing.

      I seem to recall articles here where leaps are being made in chip technology that will make these more realistic and cost-effective.

      I'm not sure what leaps you would need. Buy some solid-state drives in a 3.5" form factor and RAID them just like disk drives.

    47. Re:Solid-State Drives by ConceptJunkie · · Score: 1

      I think you're mistaken. True AI was 10 years away in the 1950's... from what I've read, NLP didn't seem like it would be such a big problem... at first. It's 30 years away now. The amazing thing about AI research was that for every advance that researchers made, and there have been many, they realized the goal was at least two more advances away then they had previously thought.

      Or you could say we had Turing-test AI in the 1960's because Eliza fooled a lot of people.

      --
      You are in a maze of twisty little passages, all alike.
    48. Re:Solid-State Drives by Bloater · · Score: 1

      e-books have been tried, and they've failed. They will continue to fail until we somehow figure out a way to make an e-book that looks, feels, and behaves exactly like a real book. Good luck with that. Or until a generation that gets to use e-books grows up, then the real book will have trouble selling - who would want to use all that volume up for just one story instead of quarter of the volume for 6 million stories - some with sound-effects and even animated pages. Imagine reading a few lines about how to play poohsticks, then pressing the screen to see the picture above show Pooh and Christopher Robin running across the bridge to see their sticks come out the other side - imagine the expression on your kid's face. Believe me, e-books are going to sell like hot cakes.

      Web-based apps aren't there yet, and will probably never get there until we have protocols that will give you the rich API that coding directly for the desktop will give you. Faking it in Javascript just isn't going to cut it. Web-based apps have been around since java and working very well indeed, HTML, CSS and ecmascript are not required for the web, only uri's.

      True AI has been at least 30 years away for the past 50 years. It's an open question as to whether or not we can ever really get there, or if getting there is even desirable. True AI will happen 10 years after somebody figures out what the term even means.

    49. Re:Solid-State Drives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Don't try to think, DogShit. It just makes you look stupid. Back to what you're good at: fucking dogs!

    50. Re:Solid-State Drives by Lord+Ender · · Score: 1

      You don't have to wait. My home fileserver boots from Compact Flash. The trick is to mount the filesystem with 'noatime' and to put /var and /tmp on your RAID. CF speaks ATA, so you only need to buy a $15 adapter to plug a CF card directly into your PC.

      Also, if you use SATA for your RAID, you can replace failed disks without any downtime whatsoever! [well, you could if linux didn't suck at hot-swappage]

      Bonus points if you buy a fast processor and clock it down to the point where passive cooling is enough (is this still possible?)

      Yeah, it's kind of sad when your home fileserver uses better technology and has higher availability than most commercial datacenter servers...

      --
      A slashdotter who didn't build his own computer is like a Jedi who didn't build his own lightsaber.
    51. Re:Solid-State Drives by slugstone · · Score: 1

      In practice, I doubt that anyone is likely to wear out an appropriately-sized flash swap partition within the lifespan of the machine it's installed in.

      The problem with that statement assumes the consumer know how to buy a computer. From what I seen most computers are sold with the fastest CPU and little RAM.

    52. Re:Solid-State Drives by swillden · · Score: 1

      In practice, I doubt that anyone is likely to wear out an appropriately-sized flash swap partition within the lifespan of the machine it's installed in.

      The problem with that statement assumes the consumer know how to buy a computer. From what I seen most computers are sold with the fastest CPU and little RAM.

      They're not sold with so little RAM that they swap continually. Frequently, yes, continually, no.

      --
      Note to ACs: I usually delete AC replies without reading them. If you want to talk to me, log in.
    53. Re:Solid-State Drives by newt0311 · · Score: 1

      uh, its not energy hilding us in place but force. There wouldbe extra energy (and thus work) which could be extracted but if there is no acceleration, there is no net work done and nothing to extract as any other form of energy. Read up on basic physics please.

    54. Re:Solid-State Drives by rickwood · · Score: 1

      I respectfully invite your attention the article "Computing versus human thinking" by Peter Naur in the January, 2007 edition of Communications of the ACM. Naur lays out an extremely sound theory of intelligence, which I found very enlightening in terms of the possibilities and limits of AI. It very much reminds me of Hofstadter's research.

    55. Re:Solid-State Drives by init100 · · Score: 1

      performance is about the only real benefit they offer

      Latency - yes, transfer rate - no.

    56. Re:Solid-State Drives by shmlco · · Score: 1

      I have lot's of those drives. And the cables. And the cases. And additonal batteries. All for an already large 17" notebook. And finding the right one, plugging it in, mounting, unmounting, making sure THOSE drives are backed up, all is a major PITA.

      That's why I want to do without.

      --
      Any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so.
    57. Re:Solid-State Drives by Kanasta · · Score: 1

      holographic storage has been 'coming anytime now' for almost 20 years. I remember they even had working prototypes back around '90-91 era. yet why don't we have them? any theories?

    58. Re:Solid-State Drives by Helios1182 · · Score: 1

      He makes an interesting argument, but also comes across as arrogant and myopic. He firmly rejects most current psychological research in favor of one author 50 years ago. Maybe there is more than he presented, but I was rather disappointed with the article when I read it several weeks ago.

    59. Re:Solid-State Drives by maxume · · Score: 1

      It's likely that I simply have a different view of the market. You very well may keep finding junk to fill whatever space you have available, but my mom won't fill an 80GB disk for years and years, and I am willing to bet that there are more people like her than there are like you. Personally, I don't care if I have access to large amounts of video at any given time, so 250GB of space is going to last me a long time(it doesn't bother me that my music could sound 'better', ~192kbps is fine fine fine). I don't really see what's next after video; 'life recording' doesn't appeal to me, so that isn't it. So really, capacity matters. And by the time flash becomes available in the sizes I need, I won't care that much that it is 50 times smaller than the same priced disk, other factors will dominate my decision process. My argument was more that flash is making sense in more and more places, and it is really going to take off when it hits 50-100GB for prices that are reasonable to consumers(somewhere around $100).

      --
      Nerd rage is the funniest rage.
    60. Re:Solid-State Drives by LilGuy · · Score: 1

      I think the only crackpot thing about it was the author. The entire article was done terribly.

      --

      You're nothing; like me.
    61. Re:Solid-State Drives by Plutonite · · Score: 1

      The past 50 years have mostly taught us how complex intelligence really is, and that we still have no good definition of the concept. And as long as we don't know what intelligence in humans really is, how can we create it in computers?


      Yeah, AOL did indeed set us back a bit :)

      Serious side: human intelligence is complicated because cognitive psychology is still a very very primitive field. There is a lot of randomness invloved in the way thoughts occur in the human mind, which is why with a little focus we are able to "create algorithms" to suit various situations. This is something that a Turing Machine will never be able to do by definition, not because of hardware capabilities (or lack thereof). A TM cannot produce, at runtime, another TM.
    62. Re:Solid-State Drives by smenor · · Score: 1

      If I had to guess, I'd say that it's the same reason we're still using LCDs instead of OLEDs in our flat panels.

      An intrinsically inferior technology (LCDs / magnetic storage / pitted optical discs) with enough of a head start can easily outcompete an apparently superior technology (OLEDs / holographic storage) because the amount of investment it'd take just to get the more advanced technology off the ground far exceeds the amount of investment required to incrementally refine the existing technology.

    63. Re:Solid-State Drives by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      After all if $/megabyte was the only concern anyone had we'd still be using tape drives which beat hard drive by a wide margin even today Hmmm lets see.
      HDD: 320GB @ (AU)$143.00 = $0.45/GB
      DLT Tapes: 320GB @ (AU)$64.90 = $0.20/GB
      However a single SATA tape drive is (AU)$1,318.90, so you'd need to buy 5.4 TB of storage before you break even with tapes. And that's without trying to measure the TCO of HD, tape, and tape drive failures.

      Personally I think there must be a better answer to the problems of data recovery after a disaster or accidental deletion. How many organisations have small HD's in their desktops, that cost a lot more per GB. Build a better way to store and retrieve information using better value HD's in all the PC's attached to your network and the storage world will beat a path to your door.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    64. Re:Solid-State Drives by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      What I see as more likely is having a 20GB or so solid state drive that I boot my main operating system from. The OS itself is always running, so moving it to solid state should drastically improve system performance and boot time. Some of my more frequently used apps may be installed on the solid state too, but seldom used programs and all my data will be stored on a standard magnetic hard disk.

      So the data you pull off physical disk least frequently (OS files) are on the fast disk, but the data you pull ofd physical storage the most (user files, applications) are on the slow disk ?

      What ?

      Why would you want to optimise the infrequent occurrence (booting) instead of the frequent occurrence (loading data files and applications) ?

    65. Re:Solid-State Drives by LionMage · · Score: 2, Interesting

      There is a lot of randomness invloved in the way thoughts occur in the human mind, which is why with a little focus we are able to "create algorithms" to suit various situations.
      Your premise seems to reek of hand-waving. How would randomness in the human thought process give rise to the ability to "create algorithms"? This is the sort of fuzzy reasoning that IMHO gives rise to the argument that "Human consciousness must be quantum-mechanical in nature."

      This is something that a Turing Machine will never be able to do by definition, not because of hardware capabilities (or lack thereof). A TM cannot produce, at runtime, another TM.
      I'd really like to see you cite some evidence to back this claim up, though I'd also like to see you more carefully define your terms so we know what is meant by e.g. "producing" a Turing Machine. There are, in fact, machine learning systems which can develop algorithms and refine them. Genetic algorithms can be used to generate code which can, in turn, solve new problems not previously understood by the system. The output of this process can be understood to be an algorithm, or a set of instructions which could be transformed to run on any universal Turing Machine. There are also automated systems that can solve mathematical problems and automate the production of proofs to theorems.
    66. Re:Solid-State Drives by PagosaSam · · Score: 1
      A good example of practical AI is at the heart of that purchasing card that you pay off every month. You know the green one ;) They process all transaction from everywhere in the world at the data center in Phoenix. No set spending limits means a "judgment" is performed on every transaction. If the charge is "reasonable" based on your spending pattern, it is authorized. If you buy jets with your card, it's authorized. If you by bread and an occasional trip out of town, that's all it will let you do (no jets).

      This check is performed by a very slick and efficient AI code running on a very large Connection machine. At least it was a few years ago. I'm not sure what big iron they are using today, but I'll bet that code is still running.

      --
      :q! Oh crap, not again...
    67. Re:Solid-State Drives by jonwil · · Score: 1

      In the future, I expect corporate desktops may well have a 20GB or 30GB flash partition to hold the OS and apps (as well as things like browser cache, temp files and such) with all the user data (documents, emails etc) being stored on a fast file server (or servers) in a server room with a few TB worth of big, regularly backed up hard disks.

    68. Re:Solid-State Drives by drsmithy · · Score: 1

      The I in RAID stands for Inexpensive. Solid-state drives are certainly not inexpensive (compared to a same-sized disk drive).

      But that's not the comparison you need to make. You need to compare against other flash drives. Ie: Is it cheaper to buy two 16G flash drives or one 32G flash drive ? Two 32s or one 64 ? Two 64s or one 128 ? Etc.

      If you're RAIDing for capacity, why not just buy a big disk drive?

      Because a drive big enough mightn't be available.

      If you're RAIDing for reliability, an SSD is less likely to fail mechanically, but if you're writing to the same bits to each SSD, those bits will all wear out at approximately the same time.

      If you have a flash drive that your entire business depends on, and it fails, how much will that failure cost per minute ? How many minutes of downtime does it take to generate the cost of another flash drive to mirror it onto ?

      If you're RAIDing for speed, SSDs are great for reading (until you max out the bus) but not too good for writing.

      So, you RAID them for better write performance. There are loads out there that are very write-heavy.

      You RAID Solid-state disks for _exactly_ the same reasons you RAID magnetic disks. Performance, reliability, size.

    69. Re:Solid-state drives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Instead of using Solid-state drives to replace the hard disk, it would make more sens to use them for virtual memory.
      I assume that you don't know what virtual memory is.
    70. Re:Solid-State Drives by Wonko+the+Sane · · Score: 1

      ?Not only that, but? something ab?out the font didn'?t r?ender co?rrectly on ?my machine. It kept putting random symbols i?n pl?aces they didn't ?belong in?.?????

    71. Re:Solid-State Drives by Cid+Highwind · · Score: 1

      Assuming you put enough RAM in your computer that you don't thrash constantly, you should get much better life out of a flash swap partition than that. Personally, I keep enough RAM in my boxes that they rarely hit swap at all, so I'm sure I'd *never* wear out a flash swap partition.

      In practice, I doubt that anyone is likely to wear out an appropriately-sized flash swap partition within the lifespan of the machine it's installed in.


      Ah, I see you've never experienced the joy of using a PC "protected" by Norton internet security! There are A LOT of PCs out there that swap nearly constantly even when doing nothing more strenuous than reading email.

      --
      0 1 - just my two bits
    72. Re:Solid-State Drives by trenien · · Score: 1

      But isn't one of the problems (for cache, temp files and so on) the speed to access data on a flash memory, or lack thereof as compared to traditionnal HD?

    73. Re:Solid-State Drives by den479 · · Score: 1
      e-books failed because of DRM, check out baen.com

      I refuse to buy a book that requires me to reauthorize it every 3 months when I reinstall windows.

      I have a paperback on my desk thats been there for over 6 months, someday when I don't have access to my computer I'll read it.

    74. Re:Solid-State Drives by VWJedi · · Score: 1

      If you're RAIDing for reliability, an SSD is less likely to fail mechanically, but if you're writing to the same bits to each SSD, those bits will all wear out at approximately the same time.
      If you have a flash drive that your entire business depends on, and it fails, how much will that failure cost per minute ? How many minutes of downtime does it take to generate the cost of another flash drive to mirror it onto ?

      I would still be concerned that about the possibility of several drives failing at the same time. You would probably want to retire the whole set when one fails. (Of course, you could do this by a process of remove/replace/rebuild one member at a time to avoid downtime.)

    75. Re:Solid-State Drives by Koriani · · Score: 1
      Nope, they still run that.

      And every spring break when I go out of town, I have to call the center and verify that, yes really, I do want to spend $1000 on ski tickets even though I just spent $1500 on lodging and $200 on gas\cash and $150 on groceries for 8 people for a week. And yes, I know that,not counting this week, the last time I put more than $5 on my card was LAST spring break, when we had this same conversation.

      It's not AI until it can start learning. The year I don't have to have that particular conversation in the ski ticket office will be the year I belive that the 'AI' on it has gotten better.

    76. Re:Solid-State Drives by BranMan · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Absolutely. I'm a huge fan of Baen and have purchased quite a few books from them. The 'innovation' of theirs I like the best is making the first chapter or few chapters of a book available to read before buying it. I like long stories and series and that is invaluable to 'pull a reader in' and make a purchase. They are bundling series together now, which is also something I like.
            They REALLY get it, and I'm glad I found them. If you like SciFi or Fantasy (they are more geared towards SciFi, but have both in good supply) you should check them out too.

    77. Re:Solid-State Drives by Plutonite · · Score: 1

      I refer to "randomness" because the manner in which we come up with algorithms in general is not distinct/cannot be expressed as an algorithm. That is, if I were to approach a human mind with a problem stated in words, the work done leading to the final set of instructions is slightly different in each instance even for the same mind, problem and final outcome.

      Genetic algorithms..etc can indeed come up with new algorithms, but the set of algorithms that can be produced is defined by the algorithm itself. This limitation does not exist in humans because of the way the brain goes about solving problems. To explain this I would have to be able to describe human imagination, epistemology..etc and I don't believe that is understood well enough right now by cognitive psychologists.

    78. Re:Solid-State Drives by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative
      But isn't one of the problems (for cache, temp files and so on) the speed to access data on a flash memory, or lack thereof as compared to traditionnal HD?

      Modern Flash can match HDD continuous transfer rates (ideal condiions for a HDD, reading 1 large continuous file), but because it has no seek times or roational latency, actually totally dominates for the demand heavy random I/O that cache & temp files inflict. One of the conventional worries is that Flash has a limited number of read/write cycles, so the constant hammering of internet caches would be bad, but flash has supposedly made some big strides here too.

      But in a true high performace setting, you would prefer to use DRAM which is orders of magnitude faster than Flash, backed with flash memory and a battery backup that would dump the DRAM contents to flash before powering down then quickly re-fill the RAM after power-on. This is the current generation of Solid State disk, though they used to back the RAM with disks to keep costs down.

  2. I also have a crackpot idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Funny

    Replace all RAM with cheese. It's just as practical as anything in the article, and seems more realistic.

    1. Re:I also have a crackpot idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      In that case I propose a new unit: the Fetabyte.

    2. Re:I also have a crackpot idea... by Keiseth · · Score: 1

      It might be difficult. Critics will practically REQUIRE both yellow and white cheese RAM, or else you'll have a group that loves the idea and one that hates it. Granted, both the yellow and white versions will function identically, but it's a strange preference as old as time itself. Now, while you're all working on this and replacing parts every year, I'll be working on my computer made out of wine. Everyone else is forking out a ton of cash for upgrades while mine will just keep getting better by leaving it alone!

  3. Superconducting computer are 'psychoceramic'? by Canthros · · Score: 1, Funny

    Somebody's been hitting the thesaurus pretty hard. (Correction, the thesaurus just fell down the stairs.)

    --
    Canthros
    1. Re:Superconducting computer are 'psychoceramic'? by Icarus1919 · · Score: 1

      The just wanted to still be able to call a superconducting computer a PC (psychoceramic).

    2. Re:Superconducting computer are 'psychoceramic'? by NaDrew · · Score: 1

      (Correction, the thesaurus just fell down the stairs.)
      Now it is protected.
      --
      Vista:XPSP2::ME:98SE
  4. Never is a long time by Weaselmancer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    I'd be hard pressed to say "never" to just about anything when it comes to tech. Remember the famous Bill Gates quote - "640K ought to be enough for anybody." It was true at the time, but looks extremely silly now.

    Will we manage any of these in a year, or five years, or five hundred are probably better questions.

    --
    Weaselmancer
    rediculous.
    1. Re:Never is a long time by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

      Bill Gates did not say that, I wish people would stop spreading this urban legend.

      http://tafkac.org/celebrities/bill.gates/gates_mem ory.html

    2. Re:Never is a long time by MS-06FZ · · Score: 1

      Bill Gates did not say that, I wish people would stop spreading this urban legend.

      http://tafkac.org/celebrities/bill.gates/gates_mem ory.html You're absolutely right. That's good to know.

      But this whole deal reminds me of something Bill Gates said once: "640K of memory should be enough for anybody." - it's pretty funny, because it sure isn't true any more!
      --
      ---GEC
      I'm but the humble pupil, seeking to snatch the scratchbuilt pebble from the master's fully articulated hand
    3. Re:Never is a long time by Weaselmancer · · Score: 1

      If that isn't funny enough, how about this one?

      "We'll kill spam in two years." - Bill Gates, 2004.

      I wonder how long it will take him to say he never said that one either? ;^)

      --
      Weaselmancer
      rediculous.
  5. Crackpot ideas? by FredDC · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I would hardly call these "crackpot" ideas. Just because they probably aren't going to be mainstream anytime soon doesn't mean they are crackpot ideas... I find that quite insulting for all the people who are currently working on these technologies! They are visionaries, who might not even see the fruits of their work in their lifetime. And then they have the nerve to call them crackpots...

    --
    09 f9 11 02 9d 74 e3 5b d8 41 56 c5 63
    1. Re:Crackpot ideas? by mikeasu · · Score: 1

      Amen Brother! I'm doing some work in ontologies myself - but as the article points out, eyes glaze over with many of these concepts. You've gotta have the right people working these types of projects - people that can explain to the "non-crackpots" that this such-and-such new concept just isn't a whiz-bang pipe dream. The big problem is, getting that translated from a "visionary" whose view is at 50,000 feet to being understandable to the people in the ditches building hardware/software.

    2. Re:Crackpot ideas? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I don't think it's offensive, it's supposed to mean "crazy ideas that will revolutionize the world!!" in a "OMG! Ponies!!" sort of way.

      But you're right, none of them is crazy, most of them are just a straighforward evolution with completely predictable results (superconducting computing, SSD, autonomic conputing, DC power, holographic storage, ebooks, desktop web apps, project blackbox), one is already a failure (TIA, not gonna do what's it's advertised to, but the Stasi would dream of it, of course), one is largely on hold (strong AI), one I have doubts about (semantic web, went to a conf 10 years ago, still waiting for results other than reams of papers). That leaves quatum computing, which would indeed revolutionize the world in that you can kiss public key cryptography goodbye, but not neceserily much else). All are mainstream.

      Just wasted 20 minutes of my life: 10 RTFA, 10 writing this post.

  6. Crackpot? by FishCalledOscar · · Score: 1

    These ideas are purely mainstream. Looks like another pay for play article on slashdot.

    --
    What? Me? Sig?
  7. Sony and ebooks by WolfWalker545 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    A problem with Sony's reader is that when one publisher (Baen) contacted them about software to convert existing ebooks, Sony started talking about wanting royalties per book. So while Baen publishes their books in a variety of formats, don't expect them to publish in Sony's format. But Baen already sees more ebook sales than they do sales to Canada, as an example.

    1. Re:Sony and ebooks by ucblockhead · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Why doesn't Baen just publish PDFs? The Sony eReader supports PDF.

      --
      The cake is a pie
    2. Re:Sony and ebooks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Because Jim Baen had issues with the usability og PDFs. This may change, or if you have a sony reader you can easily convert the RTF, or HTML file to a PDF.

    3. Re:Sony and ebooks by Flumbo · · Score: 2, Informative

      Baen offers their books in unencrypted rtf format which works fine on the Sony reader.

    4. Re:Sony and ebooks by hyperventilate · · Score: 1

      MIT's One Laptop Per Child OLPC will be a splendid book reader.
      In black and white 400dpi mode, it will burn 1W.
      In colour, 5W at normal DPI.

  8. Moo by Chacham · · Score: 1

    Crackpot ideas?

    What about towing an iceberg to help give water to dryer areas?

    Or maybe we could get people to vote "None of the above" on the next presidential election?

    1. Re:Moo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      What would "none of the above" mean? Let the current bozo (no offense meant to Bozo the Clown) run things for another couple years while we hold primaries etc. all over?

  9. Getting it right by pontifier · · Score: 1

    I'm working on a project now that I believe may solve the E-book problem. It will solve a few other similar problems as well, such as the download of video game ROMs. As much as I believe in openness, I applied for a patent on the business method and system because I don't believe anyone else will do it "right".

    --
    -John Fenley
    1. Re:Getting it right by eviloverlordx · · Score: 1

      I'm working on a project now that I believe may solve the E-book problem. It will solve a few other similar problems as well, such as the download of video game ROMs. As much as I believe in openness, I applied for a patent on the business method and system because I don't believe anyone else will do it "right".

      The 'E-Book problem' isn't about openness, it's about the fact that people still like to have dead-tree versions in their hot little hands. Having read a few ebooks in my time, looking at a screen (whether desktop or handheld) is just not as immersive as being able to curl up with a book and losing yourself for a few hours.

      --
      'Loose' is when your pants are three sizes too big. 'Lose' is when you misuse 'loose'.
    2. Re:Getting it right by deadlock911 · · Score: 1

      You patented and intend to keep closed source a system that solves the problem of a need for an open and universal system of formats?
      I think you missed the point...

    3. Re:Getting it right by pontifier · · Score: 1

      With a patent I can ensure the quality of the offering. I don't want to ever see another DRM infected piece of crap online store ever again, so I'm going to put them all out of business. This particular idea will be best for consumers if there is no corporate competition.

      --
      -John Fenley
    4. Re:Getting it right by deadlock911 · · Score: 1

      My concern was really about licensing. Do you plan on licensing this to everyone free of charge (ie GPL) or are you going to keep it in house? Only a truly free and open format can ever end the format wars.

    5. Re:Getting it right by pontifier · · Score: 1

      If it were a format, then I would. It isn't.

      --
      -John Fenley
  10. Flame Bait by spazmolytic666 · · Score: 0

    Crackpot idea number 13 : A 3Ghz AMD Athlon 64

    --
    Help! I've fallen in a karma hole and I can't get up!
  11. Ebooks won't catch on until by turnipsatemybaby · · Score: 1

    Ebooks won't catch on until there is a decent physical device for reading them that doesn't cost a ridiculous amount of money. Why the hell would anybody spend several hundred dollars on a half-baked device that is barely the size of a paperback if you're lucky?

    I think a proper ebook reader needs a folded design with two displays, so that it looks and behaves as if it were a real book. Flip to the next page by either hitting a jog dial or even briefly closing and opening the unit again. And it HAS to be $100.

    Of course, this is still ignoring the problem of book availability. The likelyhood of finding what you want in a compatable format is pretty low unless the document was already circulating in the public domain. And don't get me started on DRM encumbered books...

    1. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by majortom1981 · · Score: 1

      The nitnendo ds is like that already

    2. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by teh_chrizzle · · Score: 1

      i think that an ebook reader is something like an MP3 player... it's a handy device for accessing digital media you already have. until ebooks are in the hands of millions of people (like mp3s were when the ipod hit the scene) there won't be much market for a dedicated device, regardless of the cost. at the end of the day, people like MP3s because they are cheap, convenient, and portable. until the ebook is the same way (or it offers something that a traditional book can't, like search) i think that the market will prefer traditional paperbacks for just about everything.

      the idea of being able to fit 300 searchable books in a pocket sized device is certainly compelling, but i don't think the ebook is there quite yet. if google can get the bugs worked out of it's books system, i think that will be a real shot in the arm for the ebook.

      --
      sarcasm:
      -noun
      1. harsh or bitter derision or irony.
    3. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by turnipsatemybaby · · Score: 1

      I should have been more clear... the screens need to be LARGE so you can fit an actual page worth of text on each one. The nintendo DS is totally unusable as a text reader cause the screens are too tiny. If it had screens comparable to the size of a paperback book, then that would be outstanding.

    4. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by JeTmAn81 · · Score: 1

      Speaking for myself, I'm waiting until an eBook reader can display high-resolution full-color PDF's so I can read my whole digital comic book collection on it.

      --
      "Me? Lady, I'm your worst nightmare -- a pumpkin with a gun."
    5. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by DarenN · · Score: 1

      interesting point. If I may also bring up the idea of how readable these devices are. For any type of long reading session, paper with ink on it is the best solution at the moment. Screens are still simply too bright, and if you darken them, they look all odd-like. I'd much prefer to see a black background with light grey text... or as a power saving measure, I'd like to see only the relevant pixels being lit (giving the impression of a black background). All the white radiating from our screens is very bad for our eyes, and tiring.

      --
      Rational thought is the only true freedom
    6. Re:Ebooks won't catch on until by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FYI, the iRiver Book2 prototype looks interesting.

  12. OMG Web 2.0! by loafing_oaf · · Score: 1

    Web-based desktop apps will reshape the enterprise soon.

    This is one of the few articles that doesn't make it sound like we'll all be using computers with nothing but a browser, as if browsers run without an OS. Still shameless for dragging on the Web 2.0 mantra though. Will the addition of animated load screens really improve productivity?

    --
    Always someone has power over you. The thing to consider is this: Is the power good, or bad?
  13. Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Pffft, should be obvious. IP law. By the way, it's abolishment is idea number 13 that actually will transform tech, and virtually everything else relating to progress. We might actually see some.

    --
    What?
    1. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      You might want to take a look at this unbelievably complex world of ours and how we go about making our lives more enjoyable - we call that progress and if you can't see humankind progressing steadily from 10K+ years ago to now and onwards, then you have serious issues.

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    2. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      Cool toys do not progress make. And only certain segments of the population are able afford and enjoy them anyway. Progress gives everybody access. Progress means no holding back to protect an advantage. We will progress when everybody can. Progress doesn't come once every model year.

      --
      What?
    3. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that the average man's quality of life is the same today as it was in 1800 and 800 AD and 1800 BC?
      And if you care so deeply about giving people access why don't you, you know, go and do it? I suppose it's much easier to sit back and whine.

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    4. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      So you're saying that the average man's quality of life is the same today as it was in 1800 and 800 AD and 1800 BC?

      Totally depends where you are, and who you are. Ask a typical Somalian. Not one of the pirates running the show. It's not a matter of me doing it. It's a matter of permitting people access to available resources. In case you haven't noticed, the vast majority of our efforts is spent denying people access, not providing it. That's why we put up borders and such. It's to create scarcity.

      --
      What?
    5. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      Yeah I feel so bad about checking who enters my house.

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    6. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by hitchhacker · · Score: 1

      side note: I just wrote a paper about this.. ugh.

      It essential involves a simple question of whether IP is still able to, as the US Constitution says, "promote the Progress of Science and useful Arts". It was my conclusion that the massive increase in communication technology recently has turned "Intellectual Property" [sic] into a hindrance of progress today rather than what A1S8C8 was intended for. Yes, it has been an effective establishment in the past, but look at the reality for a second. How fast is our technological achievements going to progress in the future regardless of IP? How much faster would it advance in the absence of IP? How much of a head start would nation/states have over the US who abolish IP?

      I think it's well time to stop thinking of information as property, because it isn't. A government mandated monopoly over the copying of information is property.

      Information has no intrinsic value. Information that hasn't been created or distributed does. People will still create information because they can get paid in advance to create progress.

      -metric

    7. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      These are interesting points for a discussion but kinda offtopic. PP was saying no progress is taking place. Your post deals with a much more restricted topic.
      Anyway my take on this is that is you abolish IP laws you also have to let content producers protect their content as they see fit. That's freedom for everyone. Otheriwse, you can try to come up with some half-assed compromise. I believe that neither of these scenarios is going to happen anytime soon, though.

      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    8. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by hitchhacker · · Score: 1

      PP was saying no progress is taking place.
      I don't see any line of argument in this tree that says that progress isn't taking place.

      you abolish IP laws you also have to let content producers protect their content as they see fit.
      So.. you're saying they are going to have us sign non-disclosure agreements?

      I don't see how this is off topic.. IMO if copyleft gets to be too intrusive on intellectual property holders, the IP holders will want to abolish copyrights. Without copyright, there is no copyleft, and they know they can use their brand-names to push their products. (trademarks are a different topic)

      -metric

    9. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      It was my conclusion that the massive increase in communication technology recently has turned "Intellectual Property" [sic] into a hindrance of progress today rather than what A1S8C8 was intended for.

      The only quibble I have here is that the intent of IP was always to restrict access to available tech since the very beginning. Most notably the printing press. The "innovation" spin was entirely made up by the interests that had the most to lose. In that case the writers guild. The old wagon makers in the US didn't care too much for the automobile and made a feeble effort to slow down that bit of progress. What finally happened? Most went out of business. Except, for example, where you see "body by fisher" on certain automobiles of the past. Who's Fisher, you say? Why a wagon maker of course. I'm sure the same thing happened with many from the old writers guild, and here they are still trying to keep people out of their new business, using 300 year old law that never intended to do anything other than protect the interests of business. They can't stand to see anything so easy to access that they can't sell. So what do they do? Try to cut off access so you have to buy from them.

      --
      What?
    10. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      Yeah I feel so bad about checking who enters my house.

      Hmmm. That looks like one of those things...whaadya call 'em?...Oh, yeah, A non sequitur? Yeah, that's it. Maybe some embellishment might help, so I could possibly understand what in the world you meant.

      --
      What?
    11. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by shadowbearer · · Score: 1

      Are you by any chance familiar with the term "Bread and Circuses"?

        Technological progress does not a better state of being make; not by itself.

        What, exactly, is wrong with having serious issues about the way we do things now? Isn't dissent and debate how processes become more efficient? (Well, it's meant to be that way, there are exceptions of course. I'm sure you could name a few. The GP named one. Congress is another. :) )

      SB

      --
      It's old. The more humans I meet, the more I like my cats. At least they are honest.
    12. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      We might actually see some [progress] seemed to imply that no progress is taking place at the moment.

      So.. you're saying they are going to have us sign non-disclosure agreements?

      I am saying that the gov't should not regulate the distribution of digital content: this implies that users can try to take what they like and producers can try to protect it the way they like. If you want more details about this, just look for Linus' take on DRM: I happen to share his opinion 100%. And I don't know about NDAs, I was thinking more of DRM to be honest.
      I agree with your last point, more copyleft would probably lead to less copyright. Kind of like you would expect MS to lower prices and open up Windows as a reaction to OSS making progress: it's not happening yet but over time I think we'll come to this.
      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    13. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by giorgiofr · · Score: 1

      Are you by any chance familiar with the term "Bread and Circuses"? If you are talking about panem et circenses, yes, I am.

      Technological progress does not a better state of being make; not by itself. On the contrary, it does. Because it NEVER exists by itself: it is alwasy applied to our life.

      What, exactly, is wrong with having serious issues about the way we do things now? Nothing, especially when you actually go out and change the ways you do things that you don't like into ways that you like. There is a lot wrong with misrepresenting reality so that it is turned into some sensationalistic we're-all-gonna-die doom-and-gloom scenario. Either argue that life today is worse than yesterday or leave this discussion because THIS is what it is about.

      Isn't dissent and debate how processes become more efficient? No, they become more efficient by being modified so that they are more efficient. At the very best, debate might be a way to come with possible alternatives and pick one. Then again as you point out it usually doesn't work.
      --
      Global warming is a cube.
    14. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by hitchhacker · · Score: 1

      We might actually see some [progress]

      seemed to imply that no progress is taking place at the moment. I figured it was an exaggeration on purpose to make the point more effective.

      but.. literally, I stand corrected.

      -metric
    15. Re:Which one do you think we'll never 'get right'? by iminplaya · · Score: 1

      If I could remove bad law from the books with the snap of my fingers, I would. For now I need to depend on others to see through the fog, and try to create the mystical, magical majority. You may see it as simple whining. That's ok. That could be because you see nothing wrong, but there is, and it's causing a major slowdown in human advancement. And again, you seem to ignore the fact that it totally depends on who you ask the question of whether life is better now than it was. For white Northern European and American and some Asian males, life has never been better. Of that there never was any doubt. So actually the question is absurd, because of the variables you fail to acknowledge.

      --
      What?
  14. The near term important ones by sjbe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Some of these are great ideas but the technology is in the (possibly distant) future (i.e. superconductivity at room temp) or are government/corporate desires that will be resisted until their more intrusive/abusive issues are addressed (ebooks, total information awareness).

    The only ones I see that are near term likely and widely relevant:

    2. Solid-state drives
    Already here in some applications. Just needs a touch more capacity (I think around 32GB is the tipping point) and economies of scale to bring the price to reasonable levels. This will have a tremendous impact on laptops enabling them to be smaller, lighter and more durable. I would love to replace my laptop hard drive with something solid state. Damn thing is fragile enough as it is.

    3. Autonomic computing
    Think about all the spam, viruses, etc. We're already building what amounts to an immune system for our computer networks. It just needs to become a little more automated and clever. IBM is actually right in that it will be an incremental addition to existing technologies. It's not going to be a top-down mandated thing but rather a collection of technologies to deal with specific issues which (ideally) can work with each other.

    4. DC Power
    I've wondered for some time why we don't have a standardized DC outlet for home use. Have 1 big efficient transformer instead of 50 little inefficient power bricks. The downside is that you are introducing a single point of failure but it's a well understood and pretty reliable technology. Every circuit board requires DC anyway so why not have a standard DC along side AC in the house or office? May require some government assistance and/or standards organizations to make it work but it's a good idea. I'm pretty sure we'll see this in data centers sooner rather than later if the power savings really are there.

    8. Desktop web applications
    Gmail and web calendaring have made their way into my every day tool chest. It's only natural that we'll start to make these applications more accessible via traditional applications.

    1. Re:The near term important ones by Joe+The+Dragon · · Score: 1

      Even if you have a DC Power bus you still need to use dc to dc bricks and that 1 transformer will need a LOT of power for everything in the house.

    2. Re:The near term important ones by wronzki · · Score: 1

      4. DC Power I've wondered for some time why we don't have a standardized DC outlet for home use. Have 1 big efficient transformer instead of 50 little inefficient power bricks. The downside is that you are introducing a single point of failure but it's a well understood and pretty reliable technology. Every circuit board requires DC anyway so why not have a standard DC along side AC in the house or office? May require some government assistance and/or standards organizations to make it work but it's a good idea. I'm pretty sure we'll see this in data centers sooner rather than later if the power savings really are there.
      DC in the home would still have to be high-voltage, so you would still need 50 power bricks to step it down to the low-voltage supplies the circuit boards need. If the in-home voltage was low, the losses in the wiring would be too high (due to the higher currents). The DC/DC conversion may be more efficient than AC/DC, but you can't eliminate the converters.
    3. Re:The near term important ones by profplump · · Score: 1

      Unless you had both a high and low power DC bus in your home. Certainly you don't want to run your water heater on 12VDC, but now-standard ~14-gauge wiring could carry enough 12VDC power for a lot of little devices that currently have AC power bricks. There'd still have be a DC-DC converter, but it could just be one 50-amp one for all the low-power devices in your house, rather than 50 small converters.

  15. Crackpot by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 4, Funny

    Still to inside-the-box for me. Personally, I'd think infinite improbability has much more interesting ramifications. If only there wasn't that darn Total Existence Failure thingy to worry about. Technical enterprise, who cares? I'm talking about undergarments suddenly jumping three feet to the left.

    Perhaps we can start out small and work on a bistromathic processor and a finite improbability drive and work our way up from there.

  16. I think you're right. by RealProgrammer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Solid state storage could have an immediate impact on computer processing, but its long-term effects are even more important. These include reliability and changes in the way hardware is designed, to take advantage of faster I/O.

    With reliability comes complete erasure. Unless your file system or OS incorporates unerase, that could be trouble. A new paradigm for mirroring, such as time-delay mirror algorithms, will be vital

    With a really fast fixed storage, bus bottlenecks demand attention. If the speed difference between external and internal storage is less than an order of magnitude, but the I/O bus is too slow to take advantage of that, well, buy stock in motherboard makers with fast busses.

    But the big change is to the operating system. All current systems have an implicit distinction between 'RAM' and 'disk': you load a file into memory by opening it. Remove the speed distinction between RAM and disk, and all of a sudden virtual memory schemes lose many of their disadvantages. Faster disk also means dramatically faster database access, so among other things, all of those LAMP-driven blogs will be a lot nicer to troll. Invest in companies selling blog (anti)spam software.

    The OS bloat that will result from an all-virtual-memory OS will probably mean eye candy at first, but in the end can take us into a true 3D interface, which will be a paradigm shift as big as the move from text to GUI. Look for a new pointing device, such as a touch-ball or cube (instead of a pad) or a wii-like wireless thingy. Maybe something like riding gloves, that leave the fingertips free to type, or even take the place of both a keyboard and mouse.

    --
    sigs, as if you care.
    1. Re:I think you're right. by 0123456 · · Score: 2

      "Remove the speed distinction between RAM and disk, and all of a sudden virtual memory schemes lose many of their disadvantages."

      Why would 'solid state storage' remove the speed distinction between RAM and 'disk'? If the 'solid state storage' is as fast as RAM, why would you bother with the RAM in the first place?

      In reality, we'd still have a limited amount of fast RAM and much more but slower solid-state 'disk' storage. The difference is that 'disk' accesses might be only 1000x slower than RAM accesses rather than 100000x slower (or whatever the difference is today)... even if the physical 'disk' hardware isn't much slower than RAM there'll still be a ton of operating system code to go through in order to access it.

    2. Re:I think you're right. by RealProgrammer · · Score: 1

      Why would 'solid state storage' remove the speed distinction between RAM and 'disk'? If the 'solid state storage' is as fast as RAM, why would you bother with the RAM in the first place?
      Volatile memory access speeds will improve faster than disk access speeds have. The bus makers will try to keep up, and eventually you'll have something like an order of magnitude (think 10x) difference in speed between the two. With caching and OS changes, there will be little difference in feel between long-term and short-term storage. And which one goes away is just because of the way processors work. Values are retrieved from memory, processed, and written back. The thing that effectively goes away is not memory, but disk.
      --
      sigs, as if you care.
    3. Re:I think you're right. by king-manic · · Score: 1

      Solid state storage could have an immediate impact on computer processing, but its long-term effects are even more important. These include reliability and changes in the way hardware is designed, to take advantage of faster I/O.

      So instead of a failure rate based with a mean of 4 years and a stardard deviation of 1, we have a drive that si garenteed ot be bricked in 1 year. I guess thats improved reliability. We can reliably say it will will soon. Remember flash memory has a finite write life. 500,000 writes or so. They may improve this but it woudl increase the costs significantly. Right now flash ram is used as temp storage. Using a part of it as a swap disk will brick in in a month.

      --
      "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy."
  17. Moving Icebergs by ObiWanStevobi · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That's a pretty old idea. During WWII, the Allies first studied the practicality of strapping engines on icebergs and using them as aircraft carriers. Finding that unsuitable, a fleet of ships made of ice were actually commisioned. Well, technically the ships would be made of an ice/sawdust mix called picrete(sp?). That would have surely been a sight to see. But the project was scrapped when Canada couldn't build them as fast as they were needed (a near logistical impossibility).

    So I don't know that driving icebergs is all that crackpot.

  18. eBooks by kahei · · Score: 3, Insightful


    I would really like to use eBooks. I read a lot. Often, I have to read sitting in front of the computer when I'd rather read on the couch -- an eBook would fix that. Often, I have to invest in huge heavy blocks of paper with hardly any resale value -- an eBook would fix that.

    And there's no shortage of content. If I had a Wikipedia snapshot on an eBook, that alone would be worth it. I could never get finished with the interesting parts of Project Gutenberg, or the vast amount of other free content in the world, let alone the technical manuals I sometimes need to read and the documents I could scan in.

    I NEED an eBook reader, I am willing to PAY for it, I would pay $2000 for a really good one.

    But there isn't a really good one. There's ePaper technology, EMR tablet technology, battery technology, all the necessary technologies, and yet no actual useful eBook product. They're all small, or they only read PDFs, or ther only read Sony rubbish, or they're indistinct, or they don't have annotations/bookmarks, or they have a battery life of less than 8 hours, or they just aren't finished (iRex Ilead, I'm looking at you).

    And so here's this money that I would LIKE to spend, on this thing that would be really of value to me, and I CAN'T, because the sad fact is that the kind of guys who sit in boardrooms trying to think of new products just aren't good at knowing what makes a worthwhile new product.

    It needs an 8" epaper screen, a stylus with which I can navigate and draw annotations, a USB port that makes it appear like an ordinary USB mass storage device, a battery life of 10 hours, and the ability to navigate by pages & bookmarks in PDF, text, HTML, and .doc. That's it. It does not need DRM, color, wireless, the ability to automatically read RSS feeds, sound, a phone, a keyboard, or the ability to run general purpose applications(*).

    Would someone PLEASE make one? CORPORATIONS, take my MONEY FROM ME!

    (*)If I want Linux, I can use my DS.

    --
    Whence? Hence. Whither? Thither.
    1. Re:eBooks by elp · · Score: 1

      I'm with you on that. $2000 would be a bit rich for my blood but I would definitly spend a lot. I'd even buy that sony libre thingy if it ever came to my country. I have boxes of paperbacks at home that I would love to be able to give up on.

      When MP3 players first started to come out MP3s were something only geeks had on their computers. Right now most people in any kind of tech job have a few ebooks or help files on their PCs that would be perfect on an ereader.

      I think if there was a usable ebook reader it wouldn't take more than 6 months for word of mouth to make readers to start spreading everywhere, and by that time there will be lots of novels for sale all over the web.

    2. Re:eBooks by ded_guy · · Score: 1

      Given the current refresh delays for eink displays (correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't .5s optimistic?) it could be pretty awkward to do annotations when the display will be lagging well behind your stylus strokes. Just a thought.

      --
      In the future, all spacecraft will be made of cheese.
    3. Re:eBooks by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      I NEED an eBook reader, I am willing to PAY for it, I would pay $2000 for a really good one.

      Seems like you could pick up a used Tablet PC for that price and look at any kind of format you want.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    4. Re:eBooks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      buy a used 12" G4 iBook, flip it 90' to the right, and read on (PDF, html, Doc, whatever, with 20 gigs of storage and 8 hour battery life)

      Or for double the money, buy a slim tablet from Sony or something.

    5. Re:eBooks by PCM2 · · Score: 1

      I'd even buy that sony libre thingy if it ever came to my country.

      I'd really recommend playing around with it first. The page-turn rate on the model I saw at a Sony Store was slow. You can absolutely forget about the idea of "flipping through" an ebook on one of those.

      When MP3 players first started to come out MP3s were something only geeks had on their computers. Right now most people in any kind of tech job have a few ebooks or help files on their PCs that would be perfect on an ereader.

      That may be true, but the geeks who were first to latch onto MP3 typically had hundreds of MP3 files, if not thousands. The difference is that those same geeks were also making the MP3 files. So long as the ebook readers are tied to proprietary, cumbersome formats (and I include PDF in that list), ebooks will not thrive. Readers should be able to display the formats that everybody has and everybody knows how to work with -- HTML being the prime example. I've read thousands of pages on a Nokia 770 with FBReader, and every single one of those ebooks was a plain HTML file.

      --
      Breakfast served all day!
    6. Re:eBooks by ink_13 · · Score: 1

      The iLiad might very well be what you're looking for. It meets most of your specifications.

    7. Re:eBooks by Myopic · · Score: 1

      Dude, I hate to point out the obvious, but for the amount you are willing to spend, you can get a nice ultralight ultrathin laptop and put all the software you wanted onto it. The device you want exists, and as a bonus you get a whole laptop instead of just an eBook reader.

    8. Re:eBooks by Flumbo · · Score: 1

      While the Sony reader isn't perfect, it isn't locked to sony formats. It also allows rtf, txt, and word doc formats. There's plenty of content out there in these formats or in formats that can be converted.

    9. Re:eBooks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm with you 100%. So far, the closest device I've found is the Palm m500, which isn't being produced anymore. Reasons I use one:
      It is monochrome, because I don't need that color crap
      It has long battery life (assuming you leave the backlight off)
      It fits easily in my pocket, which does mean that it is quite a bit smaller than you'd like
      It has expandible memory (SD card)
      It can read regular text files (which is to say, you can convert regular text files into PDB files that PalmReader can read, and therefore you can also easily rip the text out of html and .doc files, though there are some 3rd party readers to handle those directly)
      It can be updated via USB or SD card, in linux, mac, or windows

      I've currently got a 1GB SD card in mine (required an OS upgrade), barely used despite having dozens of Baen ebooks on it. Most are between 500-1000k, so I should be able to get 1000 ebooks on there without breaking a sweat.

      That being said, the real problem to the device you are asking for is how hard it is to get the stupid epaper screens. If they weren't so hard to get, I'd happily take your $2000 and slap an epaper, gumstix, battery into a nice little case, and I'd have enough to make another one or two for myself, assuming the price of the screens aren't absurd, which I suspect they are. You're not that far off the price of the eInk prototype system though, which is roughly a 6" epaper, gumstix, and battery slapped into a nifty little case. Too bad they're screwing you with the $3000 price tag. It would also help to have features like USB charging and such.

    10. Re:eBooks by ronrib · · Score: 1

      Your idea sounds great, though I would be happy with a PDA with an ePaper screen.

    11. Re:eBooks by Mr.Radar · · Score: 1

      A solution to this problem would be a dual-layer screen with an ePaper layer and a traditional (monochromatic) LCD layer. Annotations would be displayed on the LCD layer with the actual text on the ePaper layer. This also gives the advantage of being able to turn on an off annotations without having to update the ePaper display. I don't know how feasible this is to implement, but it seems like a fairly straightforward solution. I would personally love something like this.

      --
      What if this signature were clever?
    12. Re:eBooks by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Dude, I hate to point out the obvious, but for the amount you are willing to spend, you can get a nice ultralight ultrathin laptop and put all the software you wanted onto it. The device you want exists, and as a bonus you get a whole laptop instead of just an eBook reader.


      Yes, I'll bet that never occured to him. After all, it's not like his comment specifically addressed this or anything.


      Dude, seriously, come on! Possibility #1 is that the guy didn't think of something so astoundingly bloody obvious that 99.99% of all people would think of it inside of 15 seconds. Possibility #2 is that you don't fully understand what the other guy is saying. Let us ponder this for a while... Are there life lessons which could be learned here?

  19. Re:I also have a crockpot idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    Replace all RAM with cheese.

    Some observations from experience:
    • Swiss cheese loses about 10-25% of the bits.
    • Parmesan has really long access time.
    • Cottage cheese is really fast, but don't expect your data in linear order.
    • Gorgonzola will make your computer literally smell like bird crap.
    • Brie is currently too expensive to be economically viable.
    • American can be stacked up to 50-100 slices high. This increases bandwidth but requires a large case.
    • Velveeta doesn't perform as well as the others listed, but it retains its performance the best, so by the second or third day it becomes the clear winner.


    I hope this helps!
  20. ebooks will probably a mess by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 5, Informative

    It will almost certainly be a mess because the other two entertainment industries have also gotten it completlty wrong and the book industry so far has not shown to be any brighter.

    The move from physical to digital distribution of a product like music/movies/books has the following clear benefits.

    • Unlimited production runs from 0 to infinite with NO waste, no production time, no transportation issues.
    • Infinite back catalog, again with virtually no-costs.
    • Zero risk of a bad product being shipped with costly recalls/replacement.

    Simply put, digital distribution is a dream come true for a publisher. Forget amazon. Forget having to stock your product in thousands of stores in the hope of selling one copy in a fraction of them. Forget shipping back-orders wich are never collected.

    Even the simplest most basic decsission a publisher has to make, how many copies do I produce of this in the first run, is GONE!

    A publisher could have all its books online in digital form at the fraction of the cost of single high-street retail store. It would never run out of a copy, the logistics of getting the latest harry potter to thousands of stores across a nation would be gone in an instant, all copies would be in mint condition (no longer have you got cracked spines were callous readers have broken your virgin book, and nobody wants a book somebody else has already broken in)

    And offcourse the costs of getting books sold would drop dramatically.

    So what happens. We get incompatible formats, tiny catalogs, and prices that at times are even HIGHER then the paper version.

    WTF?

    ebooks are a wonderfull idea, especially to anyone who has ever tried to find an out-of-print book. The publishers will how ever NEVER get it. The internet is now old tech and books were one of the first pieces of digital content that could have made us of it because of the small filesizes and they simply haven't.

    Not that you can blame them. Anyone here ever tried MS reader for the .lit format? Talk about a piec of crap software. It doesn't even follow MS own guidelines on how its software should look and feel and that is then supposed to win people over?

    I can buy my overpriced paper book, read it anyway I want it, share it as much as I like and then sell it.

    Digital? I can read it only on supported readers, can't share it, and selling it is claimed to be illegal.

    Oh and the price? Why, exactly the same offcourse. Passing on savings to the customer? Not in the content industry my lad.

    This is why ebooks not only will fail but have failed.

    The only hope is that as various goverments are getting concerned about the cost of schoolbooks (dutch goverment was thinking about making them free) the idea of forcing these essential books to be published digitally paid by the goverment, would perhaps force publishers to get their heads around the idea that a digital product does not fetch the same price as a physical product.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

    1. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The benefits of ebooks are the things that publishers do. What you are saying is that publishing is dead. Why would an author need a publisher if they can produce an ebook. There is only one thing left, and that is speculative investment in authors, and really, a bank can do that.

      Dont get me wrong, I think ebooks are going to be great. But publishers arent looking forward to them at all. I also dont think that this will happen overnight ( look at Baen ) but it seems inevitable to me.

    2. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Informative

      One publisher "gets it" (and has for quite some time now):

      http://baen.com/

      Baen books (sci-fi and fantasy) does NOT use, nor support DRM, and offers all of their books in multiple DRM free formats for very reasonable prices (even their new releases are much cheaper in ebook form than in dead-tree form - as they should be).

      Also see their new e-magazine, Baen's Universe, which includes a very good series of articles that tears down the idea of DRM:

      http://preview.baens-universe.com/
      (free preview version)

    3. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by maple_shaft · · Score: 0

      They are probably worried about people file sharing books, much like how music is shared now.

      Think about public libraries...

      What if a public library purchases digital copies of the latest Harry Potter book and decides to distribute it to library members?

      With an endless distribution chain the library could lend out infinite copies, eliminating the need to wait 4 months till you get a copy, a common deterrent of getting popular books from the library, and instead buying it from Barnes and Noble.

      Music is already easy enough to distribute "illegally", so simple text would be hundreds of times easier. How hard would it be then to obtain e-Book files and figure out how to crack them? Within months of coming out, there will already be software that allows you to rip e-Books and publish content in existing file formats to e-Book format to be easily read from your e-Book.

      This is what publishers fear about the technology.

    4. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by greenguy · · Score: 1

      and nobody wants a book somebody else has already broken in

      What are you talking about? I love used books. A well-worn book is one that people have found worth reading more than once. And we all know the advantages of buying used textbooks, back in college.

      --
      What if I do the same thing, and I do get different results?
    5. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by orkysoft · · Score: 1

      You mean all that trouble tracking which chapter is which in the new edition?

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
    6. Re:ebooks will probably a mess by orkysoft · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Free textbooks wouldn't really be free, the price would just become "invisible" to parents. They'll still pay for them, of course, through taxes, but it also gives the publishers the opportunity to raise prices unnoticed.

      --

      I suffer from attention surplus disorder.
  21. Wikipedia is your friend by abb3w · · Score: 3, Informative

    Well, technically the ships would be made of an ice/sawdust mix called picrete(sp?).

    Pykrete; the operation was called Project Habakkuk.

    --
    //Information does not want to be free; it wants to breed.
  22. Flying cars! by SnarfQuest · · Score: 4, Funny

    What about flying cars? I've been promised my own flying car "real soon now" for ages! If they can't give me a simple thing like my own flying car, how can you expect them to do any of these other complicated things?

    --
    Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    1. Re:Flying cars! by r00tman · · Score: 1

      It's not as easy as it sounds. You need new traffic laws/regulations, special lanes or roads, runways, etc. Think about it: Who's to prevent your average 'driver' from accidentally flying over secret military airbases?

    2. Re:Flying cars! by TheSync · · Score: 2, Interesting

      You can buy an ultralight helicopter for $35,000 built. Who needs a flying car?

    3. Re:Flying cars! by Slashdot+Parent · · Score: 1

      Normally the desire for flying cars fades when you learn to drive.

      The thought of all those morons on their cellphones, morons who can't pick a lane, and morons who double the speed limit--at night (among other morons) having flying cars is enough to make even the most staunch flying-car-seeker rethink that idea.

      --
      They don't grade fathers, but if your daughter's a stripper, you fucked up. --Chris Rock
    4. Re:Flying cars! by harks · · Score: 1

      They're called "airplanes."

    5. Re:Flying cars! by SnarfQuest · · Score: 1

      You need new traffic laws/regulations, special lanes or roads, runways, etc.

      Which would make for happy bureaucrats. Give them something to do that keeps them busy, and out of my hair.

      Who's to prevent your average 'driver' from accidentally flying over secret military airbases?

      I would think that the pile of blasted cars, from previous attempts, would be a deterrent.

      --
      Who would win this election: Andrew Weiner vs Andrew Weiner's weiner.
    6. Re:Flying cars! by greylion3 · · Score: 1

      A flying car pretty much implies using anti-gravity, or free energy to hover/power the car.
      Build it yourself - rexresearch.com is as good a place as any to start looking for the info how to do it.
      A Volf propeller should get you started, a GEET engine should make it cheap enough to operate on a daily basis.

      --
      Privacy begins with ..
    7. Re:Flying cars! by ronrib · · Score: 1

      Could you imagine people trying to drive in three dimensions when two seems to be so tricky?

  23. Completely Off Topic by KermodeBear · · Score: 1

    I followed the link in your sig and I was very impressed with the Dancheong photos. Thanks for sharing. (o:

    (Yes, I'm one of those people who follow links in sigs on occasion, hoping that it won't be a goatse mirror.)

    --
    Love sees no species.
    1. Re:Completely Off Topic by kahei · · Score: 1



      Thanks! Feel free to leave a comment there -- I think it would help the page look a bit busier :)

      --
      Whence? Hence. Whither? Thither.
  24. Waterproof e-books by Bender0x7D1 · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Someone needs to develop a waterproof e-book reader so I can read while sitting in a hot tub. Normal books just aren't suited for the environment.

    --
    Reading code is like reading the dictionary - you have to read half of it before you can go back and understand it.
    1. Re:Waterproof e-books by quadelirus · · Score: 1

      Here here! And also someone needs to develop a misplacement-proof e-book reader so I don't cry when I leave my multi-hundred dollar appliance behind on the aircraft. Of course, I could use this feature on my cell phone and mp3 device as well, not to mention my wallet. :)

    2. Re:Waterproof e-books by Flumbo · · Score: 1

      Slashdot seems to be an outpost for Luddites. In every slashdot story about electronic books at least one person says "yeah, but you can't use it in the tub" or "i'll miss the smell of paper". I have paper books I use specifically for the beach or when I know I'll be leaving my ebook device unattended. I've been working on a Clive Cussler paper book for about a year now a chapter at a time. When I'm done I'll give it to the local library. You don't have to use use the electronic reader for every application. Do you take a desktop computer on a plane or do you use a laptop?

  25. Would that be Goat Cheese.... by StressGuy · · Score: 1

    ...as opposed to RAM cheese.....no.......I guess that's not very funny after all.....

    --
    A goal is a dream with a deadline
  26. You just may be on to something there....but.... by StressGuy · · Score: 1

    First, we are going to have to work out the process for extracting picante sauce from peanut butter...perhaps a quantum-nano nutcracker....they may be small, but we'd build a lot of them!

    --
    A goal is a dream with a deadline
  27. Cyrogenic computing, back again by Animats · · Score: 2, Informative

    There's a long history of cryogenic computing in the crypto area. IBM and NSA put millions into this back in the 1960s and 1970s ("I want a thousand megacycle computer. I'll get you the money" - NSA director in the 1960s), and there were some actual successes. Liquid nitrogen tank trucks pulled up to Fort Meade in the 1960s. The problem was that the computing element they were using could be made fast, but not small or cheap; it involved a coil and a magnetic field, so it was a discrite component, like a memory core. CMOS ICs won out.

    Then there was the Josephson junction effort of the 1980s. Those worked, but again, CMOS ICs won out. Cheaper to build, easier to shrink. It's hard to beat the mainstream IC technology that everyone is working on.

    1. Re:Cyrogenic computing, back again by toonerh · · Score: 1

      The article said superconducting circuits generate no heat. This true for a wire, i.e. resistance is effectively zero. But once switching and useful computing occurs, information theory requires heat be generated. You know, thermodynamic and all that.

    2. Re:Cyrogenic computing, back again by Creepy+Crawler · · Score: 1

      ---But once switching and useful computing occurs, information theory requires heat be generated. You know, thermodynamic and all that.

      Information theory says nothing about the amount of heat of a system. Read my prior post about this.

      In fact, it is your AND gate that creates heat. Any information-destructive process creates heat. And, well, modern CPU's destroy a lot of information.

      --
  28. Just general commentary by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Quotes are from the FA.

    1. Superconducting Computing
    [...]
    Yet the dream persists in the form of the HTMT (Hybrid Technology Multi-Threaded) program, which takes advantage of superconducting rapid single-flux quantum logic and should eventually scale to about 100GHz. Its proposed NUMA (non-uniform memory access) architecture uses superconducting processors and data buffers, cryo-SRAM (static RAM) semiconductor buffers, semiconductor DRAM main memory, and optical holographic storage in its quest for petaflops performance. Its chief obstacle? A clock cycle that will be shorter than the time it takes to transmit a signal through an entire chip.

    Interestingly enough, modern processors already have a "sit around and wait" phase. Intel calls it a "drive" stage, and there are (IIRC) two drive stages in the classic P4 pipeline.

    Also, the chief obstacle is that all this shit is insanely expensive and will continue to be for the foreseeable future. Superconductors have to be cryonically cooled (does cryo-SRAM indicate anything, or is it just a cute name? Too lazy to look it up) and that means you're spending a lot of money just to keep it running, let alone to build it.

    Moving on; solid state drives are (as we know and the FA states) already here and there's a ton of new technologies coming along to make them cheaper and lower-power than they already are. A winner. In particular the mp3 player and high-end digital camera markets are pushing this, not to mention subnotebook which is still a very popular form factor, especially among businesspeople. And ESPECIALLY among female businesspeople - I don't want to seem like some kind of sexist or something but it's simply the case that a woman is more likely to be offended by a heavy and/or bulky laptop. Plus, they tend to have smaller hands, so those tiny keyboards don't cause them to seize up and fall over.

    3. Autonomic computing
    [...]
    The fact is that virtualization has stolen much of the initiative's value-prop thunder: namely, resource optimization and efficient virtual server management. True, that still involves humans. But would any enterprise really want a datacenter with reptilian rule over itself?

    Well, in a word, yes - if it worked and was more efficient than having humans manage it. But virtualization brings us close enough for most purposes already... as the FA says. Still, yes, I do want a datacenter that is simply smart enough to maintain itself. Still, you can achieve so much of this by creating a number of simple behaviors that I figure it's here already to some degree.

    Moving on again, DC Power is a great idea to me if only for one reason: it eliminates a lot of extraneous EM fields. Call me a hippie if you like (I was born in Santa Cruz, I can take it) but the simple fact is that our bodies (and especially our minds) produce and respond to EM fields and 60Hz is the frequency of the alpha state. Every wire is an antenna and it is radiating the frequency applied to it at all times. Just some food for thought. I'm not making any specific claims.

    Holographic Storage is the biggest piece of vaporware ever. The idea was old when I was a kid and products have always been just around the corner. I'm not that excited. The phase-change storage seems to have more promise for actual working products that don't cost more than the computer they're attached to, but maybe that's just because the holographic stuff has been coming "real soon now" for decades.

    Not even going into Artificial Intelligence save to say that we know so little about actual intelligence that it's no wonder we haven't invented any.

    7. E-books
    [...]
    "Another issue, besides the prohibitive cost and cumbersome nature of e-documents, concerns the vast portion of the contracts that were signed and agreed upon before e-books

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    1. Re:Just general commentary by Xichekolas · · Score: 1

      Regarding Artificial Intelligence...

      Of all the technologies listed, this is definitely the King of Crackpot... people have been heralding the possibilities of AI for decades now, and when you get right down to it, all we have is tree searching, finite state machines, and genetic algorithms, none of which are very intelligent. The first is brute force, the second is an elaborate robot, and the third depends on randomness to appear as intuition. The only reason I can fathom that AI even made it on the list is that '11 Crackpot Ideas That Could Transform Tech' just wasn't as catchy of a headline.

      --

      Self-referential Sigs are cool on /. these days...

      54

    2. Re:Just general commentary by Yvanhoe · · Score: 1

      The year is 2007. We now have space probes that take care of themselves, better and better speech recognition, insightful search engines, spam filters, autonomous vehicles (see the DARPA challenge),
      Scheduling capacities well beyond the possibility of the human brain are used in internet traffic routing, compiler optimizations, project management, delivery services, air traffic (in some places).
      There are free services available on Internet which can roughly translate a document (Hey, you can at least grab the sense of that chinese spec) or sum up a document.
      In fact, understanding the natural language is the only thing that is missing to call today's programs intelligent. HAL the computer exists, it pilots the Galileo probe. It is just unable to speak in English. It has a definite set of goals, of possible actions, it makes observations and does the planning of its actions in order to fulfill its mission. Give it a bigger ship, a few hibernation pods and a human crew. Give it the goal "you must reach the monolith without the crew knowing it" and you would see today's algorithms in their full glory coming up with a plan that involves the slaughter of the mammal units. Maybe it could even come up with a plan involving deception and lies if it had the kind of psychology knowledge that HAL seems to have.

      --
      The Wise adapts himself to the world. The Fool adapts the world to himself. Therefore, all progress depends on the Fool.
  29. Real transformation by John+Bayko · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Real transforming ideas are things that come from off center, and seem silly and easily dismissed until they're inexplicably established and vital. Some examples:
    • Queue a file to be copied later to another computer. Why do that, when you can manually make the connection and copy it now? What's the point of adding extra automation that just delays things? Because the extra automation can be used to add routing, addressing, notification, etc. Email.
    • View an ordinary formatted text file (maybe a few pictures thrown in), but on another computer. That makes no sense, to rely on an unreliable and slow network connection and on the other computer to be up, when you can just copy the file (or have it emailed to you) so you can look at it whenever you want. Besides, how do you even know how to locate the file? Except the protocol for identifying and exchanging this information allows web applications, and you get the HTTP and the World Wide Web.
    • GUIs. Using a little wand or ball or mouse to move shapes around on a screen is okay for specialised applications, but computer data is numbers and words, which are all abstract and have no relationship to things on a screen. Besides, you'd have to give these controller gadgets to everyone in the world with a keyboard already, who wants that expense? Besides, keyboards are always more efficient because you can keep your hands in place. GUIs for real (number and word) applications existed for decades before they caught on.
    • Apple iPod - less capable player, relied on PC software for functionality. Well, PC software has a better interface and makes things easier overall - plus the iTunes music store.
    I predict the next big thing will be something along these lines. Maybe already here, but dismissed as equally silly.
    • A display-neutral protocol that lets applications run on a server with the GUI on a user's screen. Not pixel-oriented bandwidth hogs like X windows or remote desktop, but something based on well established GUI components and window layout. Extensible User Interface Protocol (XUP) is a much overlooked example.
    • Deductive databases. A reasonable relational database with foreign key constraints means that if you select only the data and tables you want, it should be easy enough for the database to select your joins for you. It's an NP problem, but lots of caching could fix most of that. Oh, plus SQL sucks, and it's nearly criminal that people think SQL and relational database mean the same thing.
    • Statistical text analysis. The very beginning has started with SPAM filters and Baysian models. Spammers are starting to figure out how to fight them, but variable length Markov chains have the potential to start to glean more meaning from the text and make better decisions. This could lead to the ability to extract common concepts from phrases or sentences which are different, but mean the same thing. This would allow processing text based on chunks of meaning rather than pattern recognition - far from artificial intelligence, but opens up the possibility of a lot of new very high level applications.
    There's a few thoughts. Any other things that seem trivial and with vastly overlooked potential?
    1. Re:Real transformation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " * Statistical text analysis. The very beginning has started with SPAM filters and Baysian models. Spammers are starting to figure out how to fight them, but variable length Markov chains have the potential to start to glean more meaning from the text and make better decisions. This could lead to the ability to extract common concepts from phrases or sentences which are different, but mean the same thing. This would allow processing text based on chunks of meaning rather than pattern recognition - far from artificial intelligence, but opens up the possibility of a lot of new very high level applications."

      Been/being done.

    2. Re:Real transformation by Limburgher · · Score: 1

      Remote graphical apps with no huge b/w hit? http://freenx.berlios.de/ http://www.nomachine.com/

      --

      You are not the customer.

    3. Re:Real transformation by John+Bayko · · Score: 1
      It's more than just a bandwidth issue, it's a granularity issue. Various things have been tried, from Java applets to thin clients like you linked to, as well as Flash applets and AJAX interfaces, but I think nobody's hit the right combination of protocol and interface yet to really overcome the client/server barrier - in a way that's not ten times harder to develop than a simple desktop application.

      I think the trend is there, and once someone gets it right, it will produce a technology usage transformation.

    4. Re:Real transformation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ...Not pixel-oriented bandwidth hogs like X windows

      X is not pixel-oriented. (Although it is a resource hog)

  30. Optical Computers by beyowulf · · Score: 1

    Something I've been kicking around in my mind, and I am sure I am not the first. Not even sure if this would be desirable, but instead of the binary True/False, based on the presence of electrical impulses, how about values based on the different wavelengths of light? So instead of binary at the base, you could base 10, base 100, base 1000 numbering system and more. The only obstacle I can think of would be the logic operators, and of course the hardware. Thoughts?

  31. but.... by theBeak · · Score: 1

    What about flying cars? I've been waiting for my flying car since first grade for christsake!

  32. Cryptography by s31523 · · Score: 1

    10. Quantum computing and quantum cryptography The manipulation of subatomic particles at the quantum level has raised eyebrows in computer science research departments lately
    I did my masters thesis on DNA computing, specifically on the application of cryptography. At the time, in 2002, there were many large scale implementations of DNA computers that were prototypes. I think this sort of thing will be (probably already is) used exclusively to hack encrypted messages intercepted by intelligence agencies.

    The basic idea of the DNA computer was to represent data using DNA strands, then implement math operations like Or's, And's, masks, shifts, etc. commonly used in encryption. Once the computer is "designed" a brute force attack is done, except that every single key (OK, ~98% of the keyspace...) is run through the algorithm in a single run. At the time when I wrote my paper a prototype machine was built to crack DES in 6 months. Obviously, this is not a great achievement, but I figure by now there is a big room busy cracking AES cyphers.
  33. Re:eBooks - use a PSP! by Anonymous+Psychopath · · Score: 2, Informative

    I use my PSP for reading eBooks frequently. It's missing some of the features you desire, most notably screen size, but actually works remarkably well. It's a bit of a pain to get it going initially, though, as Sony never intended the PSP to be used this way. Essentially you need to use some kind of exploit to trick the PSP into running custom applications (homebrew). The PSP hacking community is active and thriving with many homebrew applications that are useful, and once you've loaded a custom firmware it's easy from there.

    The eBook reader I use is called Bookr. Usually I rotate the screen 90 degrees and read "vertically". I admit I still like books better, but using the PSP allows me much greater mobility for books when traveling, and it's not so irritating to the wife if I want to read and she wants to sleep. It also lets you underclock the PSP, as the reader doesn't need a very fast CPU, so battery life is very long. I don't know exactly how long, but I believe that with the backlight at the lowest setting it would last eight hours or more.

    For $250 I wouldn't buy it as an eBook reader. But as a video player, eBook reader, integrated 802.11 web browser (not to mention MP3 playback and games), etc. it's a pretty good deal. Gorgeous screen, too.

    --

    Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines.

  34. Crackpot? by SwashbucklingCowboy · · Score: 1

    Phase change storage has been sold commercially for at least 10 years. Hard to call that "crack pot"...

  35. DC power in datacenters by trailerparkcassanova · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Telco COs have always had this.

  36. Think boot-up times? Think again.. by Dr.+Ion · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Where does this myth come from? Have you tried booting WinXP from solid state? (8GB CompactFlash, for example) It's not that much faster.
    It's not like your machine spends all its time seeking the drive heads around during boot. "If only I had a faster seek time"

    It's all the stupid delays, timeouts, and busy loops in the Win32 drivers, probing for things that probably aren't there -- waiting for other things to finish, making network connections, and so on. The actually reading-from-the-drive time, even if you made it much faster, wouldn't really mean a world of difference in boot time.

  37. Back to Basics by chocolatetrumpet · · Score: 1

    Let's get back to some basics before we move on to the transporters and replicators, shall we?

    How about this: a computer's default behavior should not be "lose everything," but rather "save everything."

    That's just the beginning.

    --
    Spoon not. Fork, or fork not. There is no spoon.
    1. Re:Back to Basics by danlock4 · · Score: 1

      How about this: a computer's default behavior should not be "lose everything," but rather "save everything."
      That sounds like Google's philosophy.
      --
      To .sig or not to .sig, that is the question.
  38. Re:e-books by unknownideal · · Score: 2, Interesting

    e-books have been tried, and they've failed. They will continue to fail until we somehow figure out a way to make an e-book that looks, feels, and behaves exactly like a real book. Good luck with that.
    I read text files from Gutenburg.org on my Treo every day. Why, even when I have a paper copy of the book, do I choose to read it on my phone/PDA instead? Because it's always with me. I actually go to Gutenberg.org with the Treo itself and download something new whenever I find myself in need of good reading material. It's only a matter of time before this catches on; it's just too convenient. The only pitfall of this system is that I have no access to more recent copyrighted works. I would easily drop hundreds a year if it were possible to buy these online (as long as the site saved my information and didn't force me to reenter it at each purchase).
  39. Solid-state drives by darkshadow · · Score: 1

    Instead of using Solid-state drives to replace the hard disk, it would make more sens to use them for virtual memory.

    --
    -Darkshadow (There was a thing called Heaven; but all the same they used to drink enormous quantities of alcohol.)
  40. Missing Option. Online Video! by crhylove · · Score: 1

    As Video conferencing becomes more of a reality, and higher quality, actually traveling to locations will be more and more considered prohibitively costly. The latest Windows Live Messenger offers damn good video to the average consumer with a decent 640x480 camera.... It's only a matter of time before the audio improves, and people set up projectors/cameras as virtual windows to other places in the world.

    I've been messing around with this for weeks, and I'm just a n00b with a couple of webcams! Imagine when this becomes more prevalent.... 90% of business travel is going to be virtual within the decade.

    rhY

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  41. Re:Missing Option. Online Video! by joto · · Score: 1

    90% of business travel is going to be virtual within the decade.

    It's funny. I don't think that back when the telephone was invented, people started talking about "virtual business travel" instead of phone calls. Having picture in addition to sound on a phone (or "instant messaging program") isn't that much of a revolution that it makes sense to call it "virtual travel". It's still a "phone call", or if more than two persons are involved, maybe a "videoconference".

    IMHO, "virtual travel" would at the very least involve a full virtual reality immersion, although I still prefer to call that VR, not "virtual travel". Perhaps a robot projecting your holographic image at the other end, and recording data for your full virtual reality immersion at your end would be a better definition of "virtual travel". That way, you could visit and interact with real places, not just imagined ones, which is kind of what "travel" is defined as.

  42. DC Power by geek2k5 · · Score: 1

    Since when is the idea of using DC power to directly run computers and peripherals a crackpot idea?

    I've been thinking about this one for several years, especially since I realized that one of the big heat sources of a desktop computer, the power supply, is usually placed INSIDE the box. If it were placed outside, with proper shielding, a lot of your cooling problems would be reduced.

    From there it isn't that much of a stretch to the idea of placing all the power supplies outside the hardware they drive. Cooling needs are reduced and if the power supply fails, you just swap it out. (We're actually getting places with this concept. And in some instances, some of the parts, usually power cords, are interchangeable.)

    The next conceptual step looks at the fact that you still have the power supplies generating heat while providing the DC power needed for the hardware. By eliminating the need to do this, you save power and reduce heat generation. Of course, you will need to play games with voltage. And, since the utilities don't usually provide DC power, you need a source.

    Batteries, recharged by local sources so you don't have a lot of line loss, would work. One of the biggest problems would be getting the extra lines in place, working with the utilities.

    Personally I would love to do it in my house, for the half dozen or so computers we currently have, but I lack the expertise and cash to pull it off. When playing with electricity and wiring, I'll leave it to the experts.

    The biggest drawback I see to such a thing in the house is the fact that the computers, when on, provide a certain amount of auxiliary heating in winter.

  43. Re:Missing Option. Online Video! by crhylove · · Score: 1

    I just meant most meetings will be video conference-able in the near term, which is what most business really boils down to these days. Granted, people who do on site work, like insurance adjusters, real estate agents, probably many types of engineers, etc are still going to need to visit locations, until your virtual travel robot and virtual reality setup are far more advanced than just on paper today.

    Any meeting involving people will be vid conference-able in the short term, sans sexual meetings, and we should all be mortified about what the MySpace generation is going to start doing on MSN (ekiga, wengo-phone, which ever one goes open source and includes speex and h.264 or whatever first...) very soon, if a lot of them aren't doing it already.....

    I'm not saying it will replace all business travel, but I certainly can see it replacing a lot of it.

    rhY

    --
    I hold very few opinions. I hold information based on observation and fact. If you wish to disagree, please use facts.
  44. Solid State Drives by MorePower · · Score: 1

    It took me a while to figure out how "solid state drives" could in any way be "crackpot". My first reaction was "I've never even heard of a non-solid state drive in this day and age!" I actually had to RTFA to figure it out.

    They meant computer storage drives...
    not motor control drives...
    which are what I work on for a living.

    D'oh!

  45. Get rid of AI by nobelHubel · · Score: 1

    I think it'll do AI Research a whole lot of good if people stopped putting it on such lists. There's so much appeal in the name, that a lot of bull shit is getting passed off as "ground breaking" work. Get AI off the list, that'll wake the community up, and then maybe, just maybe, we'll see something viable come out of the all the money being flushed down the AI toilet. :)

  46. Desktop Web Apps - Are Real by Appxweb · · Score: 1

    Desktop web apps are real. Have a look at Appxweb Meta (www.appxweb.com) which I created and released last week. (Yes you can post back and call me a crackpot, and yes I know it does not support FF yet)

  47. Cue the illuminati! by hawkfish · · Score: 1
    From TFA:

    12. Total information awareness ...
    First, there was the hyperbolic, Orwellian name, Total Information Awareness (TIA); then there was the project leader, convicted Iran-Contra felon Rear Admiral John Poindexter. And finally there was the bloated goal: To aggregate, store, and analyze public and private data on an unimaginably massive scale, applying a predictive model that would correlate past activities to predict future acts.
    They left out the spooky eye-in-the pyramid logo!
    --
    You will not drink with us, but you would taste our steel? - Walter Matthau, The Pirates
  48. That is a USED book (second hand) not a NEW book by SmallFurryCreature · · Score: 1

    Trust me on this, NOBODY wants their NEW book to look used. People don't like it with any product period. They want their product to be in mint condition and if everyone else has been handling that product then they will try to get another one.

    Just work in a book/magazine store for a while to see this. Hell, check your own behaviour. Accepted practice is to browse through the first book/magazine in a stack to see if you like it and then pick up one from further down the stack (were nobody has touched it yet) and buy that.

    While everyone does it, and you would hardly accept a bookstore that doesn't allow browsing, it leads to one copy nobody wants. A tiny loss on the latest Harry Potter but what to do when a store only has one copy of a book?

    It is a cost to the bookstore and ultimately the publisher. In digital format this is offcourse gone. Everyone gets a fresh copy, and it stays fresh.

    Mmm, second hand digital books. Fresh and minty as the new version. Another reason the publishers don't like it.

    --

    MMO Quests are like orgasms:

    You may solo them, I prefer them in a group.

  49. Good news! by Baloo+Ursidae · · Score: 1

    Dell, 3D Realms and SanDisk have teamed up! Soon, you will be able to get a Dell with a solid state hard drive with Debian and Duke Nukem Forever preinstalled!

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    Help us build a better map!