Rate of 8% successful, meaning almost 1 in 10 people are correctly identified. Not that bad.
The thing is, if the false positive rate is that bad, I would argue that a "match" isn't good enough to constitute reasonable suspicion/probable cause for an arrest. If they stopped me for an "intervention", based on a system that bad, I'm either free to go, or under arrest. If they won't let me leave, I'm under arrest, and would consider filing a suit over it (mainly to make horribly inaccurate systems like this less attractive to LE).
The problem with giving tickets to friends if you can't use them, selling at face value, and scalping is that Ticketmaster can't charge service fees for it
Ticketmaster has a system for reselling your tickets, but I'm sure they get to double-dip their obscene service fees if you do that. Matching buyer with attendee is only to force people to use their system and pay more fees if the ticket is to be transferred.
Or NASA finds another rocket to take their astronauts. Or we just keep them on the ground.
Also, people seem to forget that the Space Shuttle killed an average of 1 crew for every 10 missions over its lifetime (or was lost with all hands once every ~70 missions). Those really aren't good odds when you think about it like that, but it was good enough, apparently. Humans are fragile, and getting into space with current tech requires controlled violence.
My experience is that you normally start getting more vacation at about 5 years. That's also about the time you should start looking for either a major promotion, or a jump into a much higher-paid position at another company, so it's always hard to take advantage of for long. Staying at one place much longer than that will hurt you in the long run at most places, since they tend to give you 3% raises each year, instead of the often 30% you can get by going somewhere else.
We already have a ton of test cases. Just look at lottery winners. If you want even better data, create some more specific lotteries. Sell lottery tickets that give the winner 20k for life (or whatever amount you decide you want to test). It's not completely random because it has a slight selection bias of those people that buy lottery tickets but it's a big enough pool that it's close enough and it requires no tax money to do it.
The problem with that kind of test case (and any small-scale experiment, really) is that some of the major benefits of UBI only emerge when the entire community is involved. The big ones are the elimination of the entire "commit crime or starve" class of criminals, and worker empowerment.
Right now, many of the dirty/dangerous jobs are done by desperate people who are basically trapped in that job, no matter the conditions because no one else wants to do it. The companies can pay minimum wage for the same reasons. If you eliminate the desperate people, then suddenly if a company doesn't behave, the workers can all say f you, and quit, knowing they'll still have a roof over their head and food on the table. Additionally, the companies will have to pay enough to make someone WANT to do that dirty/dangerous job, which would almost certainly be more than they get away with now. (yes, it would probably result in increased automation, but then you'd be automating stuff that no one really wants to do anyway)
have millions of drivers become mini electricity traders, charging up when rates are cheap and pumping energy back into the grid during peak hours
Transportation accounts for about 70% as much energy consumption as electricity. If you convert all those ICE cars into EVs, the electric rates won't be cheap during the night when they're charging. Overnight will become the new peak consumption hours, when electricity is most expensive.
No... If the system is properly designed, with everyone trying to buy low/sell high, and large amounts of storage in cars, there won't BE any peaks/slumps in demand. Not under normal operation, anyway. There's still the "a hurricane's coming, so everyone sets their cars to charge to full and not discharge" type scenarios to deal with. Even then, though, the power prices would spike to the point where a lot of people would probably still want to sell to make a buck.
...before we start planning a whole house around it only to discover that eventually we'll start over from scratch.
You don't need to plan whole houses around this. The internal house wiring isn't going to change, because any tech that requires that will never take off (because no one is going to spend that much to retro-fit existing houses).
You only need to leave extra room in new-construction garages for the charging/storage/grid-tie equipment. If that never happens... well, I've never met a homeowner who has complained about having to MUCH space in the garage.
You can have a shorter initial approval, that, once complete, allows the drug to be used by "they'll die anyway if we don't" patients. Additional scrutiny (and data from the above class of patients) can then be used to solidify the initial verdict.
Courts can't compel Cloudflare to collect information, they can only compel them to turn over the information which they already have. Cloudflare says:
While we need some logging to prevent abuse and debug issues, we couldn't imagine any situation where we'd need that information longer than 24 hours. And we wanted to put our money where our mouth was, so we committed to retaining KPMG, the well-respected auditing firm, to audit our code and practices annually and publish a public report confirming we're doing what we said we would.
In the end you're still probably better off using the DNS that your VPN provides, but this seems like a good alternative to 8.8.8.8.
In other words, they are already collecting that information, so the court doesn't need to compel them to. The court only needs to compel them to not destroy evidence they've already collected (stop deleting logs after 24hr), which is something they do all the time.
Life isn't always about getting the schedule or job you want. Sometimes you have to suck it up and do what you need to do and stop whining about why you fail.
Look at it from the point of view of an (intelligent) employer. Unless I need you at specific times to cover a shift, why would I not want you to be working when you're most productive?
OTOH, any significant growth with any energy source will incur lots more waste heat, which would compound global warning.
Not really...
The cross-sectional area of earth is about 1.2x10^14 sq m. Times about 1.3kW insolation per sq m at the top of the atmosphere. About 1.4 billion TWh/year. That dwarfs our puny attempts at power generation.
In theory, charging for actual road use isn't a terrible idea. In practice, unless you can make the actual "toll collection" painless for people who aren't local residents of that region, it kinda is a bad idea.
Well, around here (N. Texas), if you don't have a TollTag, the cameras just take a pic of your plate, and the system mails you a bill you can pay online. The problem for occasional users is that there's a hefty monthly "service charge" for this (The first time that month you go through a toll gantry, that $0.75 toll will actually be $5.75 or so), in addition to 30-40% higher tolls.
Also, the toll roads are pitched as a way to fund re-construction of aging highways, but there's no expiration for the tolls once it's paid for. Just perpetual rent-seeking.
When you register your vehicle, just tax based on miles driven the previous year times the third or fourth power of vehicle mass (can't find the actual reference right now, but I'm pretty sure road damage is proportional to the third or fourth power of vehicle mass). Motorcycles would be almost free, and the commercial trucks that causes most of the damage would actually pay for it.
They are probably acting on behalf of the US government. This sounds really weasel-like. If they were serious about consumer harm there should be an announcement like this twice a day. Most scams don't get any attention.
Surprisingly, I kinda have to side with Google on this one. A *currency* shouldn't need advertising - it's not a product, but a medium of exchange. If someone's advertising it, it means they're trying to gain something, and with a currency, almost by definition, if someone else is gaining, you're losing.
Wouldn't it be much simpler (and closer to the original spirit of AirBnB) to just say you need a hotel permit for short-term rentals at any non-owner-occupied property?
Applicable greetings of the local stellar cycle to you! My name is Prince Xyzzy of the planet Grpwhvn in the Glubber system (known to you as Alpha Centauri). I have recently come into the possession of approximately 3.4x10^10 Qwatloos, and political necessity requires that I move them off-planet as soon as possible...
I've actually been on Southwest flights that do this. They open the back door, and roll up some stairs, then they announce that you can go out this door and use the jetway to board from the front, or go out that door, walk to the plane and board from the back.
Well, any personal use device is going to have a small number of legitimate logins, so of course it will be utterly swamped by malicious ones in comparison. I see the same thing, but I don't allow passwords for SSH (must have RSA key), and my firewall limits things down to the few places I normally log in from. Everything else is tunneled over SSH.
Me too. Especially after insurance companies realize they can compel release of this data to dispute coverage or increase rates.
For example: You go through drive-through every morning - you must be eating breakfast while driving to work. This leads to distracted driving. Congratulations! You win 20% higher premium.
Even better: "Congratulations! You bought a car with a built-in distraction device! You win a 20% higher premium!"
My sister is a pharmacist at a hospital, and given the frequency she catches potentially serious problems with things doctors prescribe (drug interactions, not reading the patients's charts re: allergies, etc.), it's quite terrifying.
Rate of 8% successful, meaning almost 1 in 10 people are correctly identified. Not that bad.
The thing is, if the false positive rate is that bad, I would argue that a "match" isn't good enough to constitute reasonable suspicion/probable cause for an arrest. If they stopped me for an "intervention", based on a system that bad, I'm either free to go, or under arrest. If they won't let me leave, I'm under arrest, and would consider filing a suit over it (mainly to make horribly inaccurate systems like this less attractive to LE).
The problem with giving tickets to friends if you can't use them, selling at face value, and scalping is that Ticketmaster can't charge service fees for it
Ticketmaster has a system for reselling your tickets, but I'm sure they get to double-dip their obscene service fees if you do that. Matching buyer with attendee is only to force people to use their system and pay more fees if the ticket is to be transferred.
Or NASA finds another rocket to take their astronauts. Or we just keep them on the ground.
Also, people seem to forget that the Space Shuttle killed an average of 1 crew for every 10 missions over its lifetime (or was lost with all hands once every ~70 missions). Those really aren't good odds when you think about it like that, but it was good enough, apparently. Humans are fragile, and getting into space with current tech requires controlled violence.
My experience is that you normally start getting more vacation at about 5 years. That's also about the time you should start looking for either a major promotion, or a jump into a much higher-paid position at another company, so it's always hard to take advantage of for long. Staying at one place much longer than that will hurt you in the long run at most places, since they tend to give you 3% raises each year, instead of the often 30% you can get by going somewhere else.
We already have a ton of test cases. Just look at lottery winners. If you want even better data, create some more specific lotteries. Sell lottery tickets that give the winner 20k for life (or whatever amount you decide you want to test). It's not completely random because it has a slight selection bias of those people that buy lottery tickets but it's a big enough pool that it's close enough and it requires no tax money to do it.
The problem with that kind of test case (and any small-scale experiment, really) is that some of the major benefits of UBI only emerge when the entire community is involved. The big ones are the elimination of the entire "commit crime or starve" class of criminals, and worker empowerment.
Right now, many of the dirty/dangerous jobs are done by desperate people who are basically trapped in that job, no matter the conditions because no one else wants to do it. The companies can pay minimum wage for the same reasons. If you eliminate the desperate people, then suddenly if a company doesn't behave, the workers can all say f you, and quit, knowing they'll still have a roof over their head and food on the table. Additionally, the companies will have to pay enough to make someone WANT to do that dirty/dangerous job, which would almost certainly be more than they get away with now. (yes, it would probably result in increased automation, but then you'd be automating stuff that no one really wants to do anyway)
Transportation accounts for about 70% as much energy consumption as electricity. If you convert all those ICE cars into EVs, the electric rates won't be cheap during the night when they're charging. Overnight will become the new peak consumption hours, when electricity is most expensive.
No... If the system is properly designed, with everyone trying to buy low/sell high, and large amounts of storage in cars, there won't BE any peaks/slumps in demand. Not under normal operation, anyway. There's still the "a hurricane's coming, so everyone sets their cars to charge to full and not discharge" type scenarios to deal with. Even then, though, the power prices would spike to the point where a lot of people would probably still want to sell to make a buck.
...before we start planning a whole house around it only to discover that eventually we'll start over from scratch.
You don't need to plan whole houses around this. The internal house wiring isn't going to change, because any tech that requires that will never take off (because no one is going to spend that much to retro-fit existing houses).
You only need to leave extra room in new-construction garages for the charging/storage/grid-tie equipment. If that never happens... well, I've never met a homeowner who has complained about having to MUCH space in the garage.
Approval doesn't have to be all or nothing.
You can have a shorter initial approval, that, once complete, allows the drug to be used by "they'll die anyway if we don't" patients.
Additional scrutiny (and data from the above class of patients) can then be used to solidify the initial verdict.
Courts can't compel Cloudflare to collect information, they can only compel them to turn over the information which they already have. Cloudflare says:
While we need some logging to prevent abuse and debug issues, we couldn't imagine any situation where we'd need that information longer than 24 hours. And we wanted to put our money where our mouth was, so we committed to retaining KPMG, the well-respected auditing firm, to audit our code and practices annually and publish a public report confirming we're doing what we said we would.
In the end you're still probably better off using the DNS that your VPN provides, but this seems like a good alternative to 8.8.8.8.
In other words, they are already collecting that information, so the court doesn't need to compel them to. The court only needs to compel them to not destroy evidence they've already collected (stop deleting logs after 24hr), which is something they do all the time.
Life isn't always about getting the schedule or job you want. Sometimes you have to suck it up and do what you need to do and stop whining about why you fail.
Look at it from the point of view of an (intelligent) employer. Unless I need you at specific times to cover a shift, why would I not want you to be working when you're most productive?
OTOH, any significant growth with any energy source will incur lots more waste heat, which would compound global warning.
Not really...
The cross-sectional area of earth is about 1.2x10^14 sq m. Times about 1.3kW insolation per sq m at the top of the atmosphere. About 1.4 billion TWh/year. That dwarfs our puny attempts at power generation.
In theory, charging for actual road use isn't a terrible idea.
In practice, unless you can make the actual "toll collection" painless for people who aren't local residents of that region, it kinda is a bad idea.
Well, around here (N. Texas), if you don't have a TollTag, the cameras just take a pic of your plate, and the system mails you a bill you can pay online. The problem for occasional users is that there's a hefty monthly "service charge" for this (The first time that month you go through a toll gantry, that $0.75 toll will actually be $5.75 or so), in addition to 30-40% higher tolls.
Also, the toll roads are pitched as a way to fund re-construction of aging highways, but there's no expiration for the tolls once it's paid for. Just perpetual rent-seeking.
What matters for road wear is weight.
When you register your vehicle, just tax based on miles driven the previous year times the third or fourth power of vehicle mass (can't find the actual reference right now, but I'm pretty sure road damage is proportional to the third or fourth power of vehicle mass). Motorcycles would be almost free, and the commercial trucks that causes most of the damage would actually pay for it.
They are probably acting on behalf of the US government. This sounds really weasel-like. If they were serious about consumer harm there should be an announcement like this twice a day. Most scams don't get any attention.
Surprisingly, I kinda have to side with Google on this one. A *currency* shouldn't need advertising - it's not a product, but a medium of exchange. If someone's advertising it, it means they're trying to gain something, and with a currency, almost by definition, if someone else is gaining, you're losing.
... which has everyone scrambling for Google Maps just to decode what the fuck you just said.
And here you've just found the REAL reason Google created this system.
As an InfoSec guy, there is NO WAY IN HELL any of these type of devices are getting into my building.
In fact, I think our next infosec newsletter will mention keeping these away from work-from-home spaces, as well
...fighting over something trivial.
Wouldn't it be much simpler (and closer to the original spirit of AirBnB) to just say you need a hotel permit for short-term rentals at any non-owner-occupied property?
Is there a reason that you believe a mid-sized sedan should both lap the Nurburgring at speed, and pull a horse trailer?
I'm pretty sure the GP is the guy responsible for generating the requirements for the F-35...
Mostly likely the message would just be:
Applicable greetings of the local stellar cycle to you! My name is Prince Xyzzy of the planet Grpwhvn in the Glubber system (known to you as Alpha Centauri). I have recently come into the possession of approximately 3.4x10^10 Qwatloos, and political necessity requires that I move them off-planet as soon as possible...
I've actually been on Southwest flights that do this. They open the back door, and roll up some stairs, then they announce that you can go out this door and use the jetway to board from the front, or go out that door, walk to the plane and board from the back.
Well, any personal use device is going to have a small number of legitimate logins, so of course it will be utterly swamped by malicious ones in comparison. I see the same thing, but I don't allow passwords for SSH (must have RSA key), and my firewall limits things down to the few places I normally log in from. Everything else is tunneled over SSH.
Me too. Especially after insurance companies realize they can compel release of this data to dispute coverage or increase rates.
For example: You go through drive-through every morning - you must be eating breakfast while driving to work. This leads to distracted driving. Congratulations! You win 20% higher premium.
Even better: "Congratulations! You bought a car with a built-in distraction device! You win a 20% higher premium!"
Doctors screw it up just as often.
My sister is a pharmacist at a hospital, and given the frequency she catches potentially serious problems with things doctors prescribe (drug interactions, not reading the patients's charts re: allergies, etc.), it's quite terrifying.
Guess it's time for a CryptoBlockPlus plugin...