XBox + UltimateTV for $500
Daetrin writes "Red Herring reports in this article that Microsoft is planing on combining the XBox with their UltimateTV Recorder with a projected final cost of about $500. The article also talks in some detail about the massive (though partially expected) losses that the XBox is costing Microsoft. There's also another article on Yahoo that sums up what Red Herring said."
Again, they're complicating what is supposed to be blazingly simple. Console games are attractive to many for ease of operation.
And to some, plunking down $500 may seem like a lot, people may decide to make separate purchses for a video game and PVR instead.
Maybe Microsoft should be looking at their offering of games instead to see why they're losing the battle against sony and Nintendo.
I am the evil aardvark!
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First, they were giving away hardware below cost. Now, they're giving away more hardware even more below cost. But I guess, in the grand old tradition of dot-coms, they'll eventually make it up in volume.
"Massive" losses? I don't see "Massive" losses in the article. I see statistics describing a 3.3 billion loss over ten years, for a company that has 50 billion in the bank and is reportedly now getting a $10billion/yr net profit? That's not massive, not relatively.
Of course, if regulators decide post-enron that balance sheets should be more explicit, and you suddenly have to do things like count employees as being paid even though you're paying them in stock options instead of money, some amount of that may evaporate.
But either way. Microsoft has more than enough money to buy users. So they will. And it will be nothing more than a small wincing pain to them.
From the Yahoo/Reuters report:
All three companies make losses on their hardware products, but make up those losses with sales of higher-margin software.
Of course, only Microsoft is losing money on the X-Box, but the myth that all console makers routinely sell their hardware at a loss is pervasive. It just ain't so.
Xbox had dropped in price to $199, obviously. If you are a new DTV subsciber, you can get an ultimateTV box for $100 or less in most cases.
So, we're excited to pay twice as much now?
This may be the first somewhat innovative thing that M$ has done in a good long time. Unless innovation doesn't mean bringing things to market. I generally hate M$, but UltimateTV had two receivers before Tivo, still only costs $10/month (and they're still updating the software and coming out with new units).
If I could throw my DVD player into the same unit as my DSS/PVR, that would kick so much ass. I use the PS2 as my DVD player right now, but I'd like to free up a digital audio port for a CD player or mp3 storage box for my stereo. I don't care if the PS2 is digital because I've still only seen one game mixed in 5.1, and that was only SOME of the cutscenes of Metal Gear Solid 2...mucho dissapointing (on the audio angle...otherwise, kick ass game).
So what I get to do is buy the new UltimateTV/XBox thingy for $500 (or whatever) instead of buying a $1000 5.1 receiver with 4+ digital audio inputs on it. I like my receiver, and I don't want to buy a new one.
"A machine that combines the features of the Xbox with UltimateTV" could mean one of two things. The way I understand it, you would have to essentially buy a new Xbox (if you already have one) when you purchase this device. Wouldn't it make more sense to provide expansion and upgrade features for the current Xbox, rather that incorporation its technology into a new device?
I am a current xbox owner, and although I really don't like microsoft at all because of what they have done to remove competition from the computing industry, the console seemed to be a really cool thing, that and I wanted to play halo within my lifetime. This type of thing is going to actually hurt them a lot more than it would help, because the majority of console gamers buy a system just for the task of playing games, not for recording television shows, or any other idiotic random task that they will come up with for the next versions, if they don't step up on the games, which is the most important aspect of console gaming, then they will lose all of their customers.
I, for one, think this is a great idea. A game console and digital VCR all in one. I'm *really* hoping that this will give us the ability to import actors from TV, movies and commercials into video games.
Afterall, why should Austin Powers be the only one lucky enough to beat Britney Spears to a pulp...now you can import her into the fighting game d'jeur and beat-in her talentless ass or import her into Halo and blast her to smithereens!
Bill Clinton: Pimp we can believe in. - The Shirt!!!
We have a TIVO and a game box. But the TIVO's in the den and the Games are in the basement, and frankly, that's a pretty consistent division with all my friends. The two functions just target different audiences. I could see M$ stumbling badly on this.
RM
Seems that MS is trying to make it by heaping on the features. Not that this is a bad thing in itself but when you do so you have to make sure you don't lose direction.
The product is controversial in part because it creates a conflict within the machine: will the game slow down so that the hard drive can record "BattleBots"? Balancing the needs of gamers and general users will not be easy.
Why not throw in some word processing capabilities for another couple hundred? Add a CD-R and printer so you can printout docs and scoresheets and copy saved games (of course a DRM drive). MS has too be careful they don't start to lose direction and the XBox no longer becomes a gaming console and starts to lose its user freindliness (never used one so I don't know what the environment is like). Perhaps the console market will turn out to be a market where feature bloat isn't as nearly a good thing.
I stole this Sig
Microsoft started bundling IE with Windows and look at the trouble they got into. Maybe someone should drop a line to the Justice Dept. about this.
-- Thou hast strayed far from the path of the Avatar.
A gaming console and a PVR in one? CoOOOOol. ... Arrg!
Oh, it's from Microsoft
Get thee behind me Satan and tempt me not!
Don't people (generally younger people) like to replace their console much more often then they would replace a tv-recorder? It seems to me like you are getting locked in to two separate pieces of hardware that have very different upgrade/replace cycles.
Also, with dual-use systems you generally save money, but in this case I'm not seeing a huge amount of savings. What are the benefits? Save a little space? What about when you replace your Xbox and have to keep the old one around as your tv-recorder. Maybe I am missing something, but it doesn't seem to make much sense to me.
...And when they came for me, there was no one left to speak out for me." - Martin Niemoeller (1892-1984)
but right now I would really like some more games for the thing...
Probably a stupid suggestion, but I wonder...
If
XBox + UltimateTV = KillerApp
Then
Massive loss + massive loss = big bucks?
How do all these poor Microsoft share holders make a living?
With older tivo's available at bargan basement prices of $99 to $150 and many other alternatives available, who are they after? The parents surely dont want the kids to have their own pvr or spend that money on them... the hardcore adult gamer is a very small segment of the total console gamer population (Look nintendo is targetting kids... little kids... there's a reason for this) Along with this the PVR market is having trouble... most stores are dropping PVR's (you cant get a tivo in best buy or circuit city anymore...) as the sales are prett much over with.. everyone who wanted a pvr has one, everyone else isnt buying them or are waiting for someone to make one that doesnt require a service.. (Do NOT tell me the Tivo will work without it.. until they give me a way to set the clock without having it ever dial in to the company with all my viewing habits I dont want their crap.) or who look at the device and say.. "MY $99.00 VCR does that. why should I buy something expensive that I cant just keep that tape of that show/movie/porn feature?"
I really want to know what they think will gravitate people to this? they killed the Ultimate TV project because of dismal sales.. do they think that combining a poor selling product to a good selling product will result in a stellar product?
Do not look at laser with remaining good eye.
But what happens when you want the new XBox III -- time for a new PVR I guess. Sounds like the TV + VCR combo that everyone hates...
I am not a number! I am a man! And don't you
with all the news of the poor xbox sales and the big lead that tivo has over microsoft's ultimateTV device, i have to admit this seems like a desperate attempt to boost their sales by combining both products. give it a couple of months and they'll want to throw in webtv with the package.
Add in a microwave oven and you've got a deal.
word.
Include R&D costs in the price of the console. Most console build-prices only take into account the labor and parts that go into it, not the research and development efforts that have been conducted over at least two years prior to the launch of the console.
On the other hand, Microsoft didn't exactly do any R&D on the console itself, so much as how to apply it. When it came down to designing the console, they probably could have just as easily had Dell build them ten million Xboxes...
"Mod, mod, mod...and another troll bites the dust."
Wouldn't these two be better seperated? Will I be able to record while gaming? What if the game I am playing is making heavy use of the harddrive? even with two hardrives I would imagine that if both functions (gaming/dvr) are being maxxed out there could be a problem...
Also, what happens if a game crashes the console? - it's not like crashes on console games are unheard of - on any platform...
While we had the NES, Nintendo had the Family Computer. During the 80's, Nintendo's Famicom could hook up to a disk reading system, a keyboard with a tape drive, microphones, digital punching bags, and typing tutors....
The similarities between the Famicom and X-Box don't end there.
Sharp partnered with Nintendo quite a bit before casting their lot with the X68000.... besides releasing a combination Disk System/Famicom (the Twin Famicom) and a TV with a Famicom built-in, they even released a combination Famicom/Video Titling unit. Of course, the coolest thing about this unit happened to be that it was the only Famicom with S-Video out.
Anyway, Nintendo learned and evolved. Though they could do some amazing things with technology at the time, they learned that treating a video game system as a component of a constantly changing entertainment system was the way to go. They are sticking to this way of thinking with the gamecube. One box meant to do one thing. You should neve have to buy anything besides memory cards, controllers, and games for it, because the market simply won't support much more than that in the long run.
I have a feeling Nintendo knows the game market much better than Microsoft does, and slightly better than Sony does.... if nothing else, they know that gameplay rules, and if Sony's developers don't keep producing games that match Nintendo's consistent level of quality, customers won't keep buying Playstation titles. Nintendo's in-house titles were matched in closest by Sega, and the Gamecube shows that Nintendo learned from Sega's mistakes in the hardware department.
Interesting - Sony & Nintendo designed their units from scratch so as they ramp up their production volume of custom chips they get sizable decreases in cost.
Microsoft went with mostly standard parts which already had sizeable production volumes, so there wasn't nearly as much room for their cost to drop down. Even worse, their CPU speed is now lower than anything sold in the PC market, so Intel is seing overall volumes of that chip drop, meaning costs can't get any lower. Likewise the small (by PC standards) hard-drive they use. RAM prices were dropping but have slowed lately. Throw in the custom video/audio/system chip that NVidia did for them - for which NVidia & MS are in court over chip pricing - and that's the bulk of the cost.
Maybe it's just me, but it looks like MS painted themselves into a corner. Because so many of their components were already "volume-discounted" from day one they have far less room to lower costs. Meanwhile Sony is supposed to combine the two main chips in the PS2 into a single chip to drive down costs even more - something I don't think MS could get NVidia & Intel to do - and I think MS has a lot more pain to come.
If M$ sells alot of games then the hardware loss is moot because it is more than made up for. Unfortunatley for them people like me only want one to play DivX movies and other media files.
"The product is controversial in part because it creates a conflict within the machine: will the game slow down so that the hard drive can record "BattleBots"?"
A game machine is not a PC. It's a game machine. A game machine doesn't want to be $500. A game machine doesn't want to be interrupted by non-gaming experiences. Remember the CD-I (Phillips) or the 3DO? A game machine aspires to being played, that's it.
Microsoft: Halt development of the combo unit, and pump the money into having games made for the XBOX. I don't have an XBOX today because I'm not wild about the game selection on it. Building a PVR into it will not save you, not for $500.
"Derp de derp."
divx
thank God the internet isn't a human right.
A better question would be whether shareholders will dump stock once they hear an announcement about another financial disaster.
Got Freedom?
Thinking?
Microsoft loses money on every XBox they sell!
Really? I heard they were losing around $100 on every X-box when the retail price was around $300.
Solution: re-assign a bunch of programmers for a few months to develop some extra software at fixed cost, and now charge $500 per unit. So, even if you never buy any games, they're still making a profit on the initial sale. Smart move -- they can now market the combined product cheaper than another console + Tivo.
When Microsoft was announcing the dissolution of the UltimateTV team back in January, and reassigning them to the Xbox team, it was pretty obvious what was going on. It was to me.
---If you can't trust a nerd, who can you trust?
Aren't there laws against dumping?p ing
http://www.investorwords.com/d4.htm#dum
All companies sell below cost from time to time to clear inventory and once and a while they sell things at or below cost for limited promotional periods. But when losses are expected to be extended for long periods of time so as to hurt the competition, you have a clear case of dumping.
IANAL, so I don't know if the U.S. has domestic dumping laws, but they definitely have dumping laws on exports, as do many other countries. This has the beginnings of a very strong international case against Microsoft.
Black Aardvark is describing this problem exactly.
The Swiss Army Knife Effect is when designers see a group of disparate things that have some sort of likeness and try to stick them together. The problem is when you stick them together you get a chimera instead of a value added tool. A Swiss Army Knife may have a screwdriver, a scissor, and a knife but none of them are really that good to use and often times you find yourself looking for the seperate tools to complish your task.
Could you put together a computer with just your Swiss Army Knife? Sure...the tools are all there but they don't perform as well as finding them tools seperately. You'd be better off gathering the tools and leave the Swiss Army Knife to emergency usage(ie. think MacGyver).
I am leary of spending $500 for a machine that is that is nearly as good as a Tivo and nearly as good as a console. For me to buy the machine it has to be just as good as both otherwise it is a waste of money.
Look, I'm rather happy about the fact that my TV doesn't have a "boot time". It always works. Really, every day. It doesn't need extra memmory if I want to watch the latests Star Wars, and it NEVER CRASHES! As a matter of fact, the only things more reliable than my TV in my house is my carpet and toilet paper. (seriously, even a door knob breaks more often than a TV!)
I DO NOT WANT M$ ON MY TV!!! It works great people, it does everything it was ever intended to do! Don't F#CK with it!!
I would rather be ashes than dust!
If a U. S. company is selling for substantially less than the cost of goods, and keeps doing it for an extended period of time (so it's obvious that it's a strategy and not just a mistake or a fluke)... and the U. S. doesn't stop Microsoft from doing it... doesn't this give Sony a totally legitimate grievance against the United States?
Going to make it harder to complain when Japan does the same thing to us, isn't it?
"How to Do Nothing," kids activities, back in print!
the xbox hasnt sold me yet, let me know when theres something game related that comes up that might change my mind.
I want 2D games back.
The system should be easily adaptable to digital satellite, digital cable, and video on demand. In fact AFAIK they all use the same MPEG2 video standards as DVDs, just different transmission mediums, and coordinating the service with a single satellite broadcast is much easier than with a host of terrestrial ones. It could even be used with analog, although that would require an expensive converter or two. Ultimately this could be used to help push digital broadcasts into the mainstream (though it'd be a lot faster to just lower the damn prices).
---If you can't trust a nerd, who can you trust?
http://www.bestbuy.com/detail.asp?e=11122313&m=1&c at=1551&scat=245
Bestbuy.com...tivo, $399. What kinda crack are you anti-pvr types smoking? PVR is the coolest thing in the world.
If you're going to say stupid shit like the PVR market is in trouble, you better be able to back it up.
The XBox really really is amazing. Here we have a product that defies the laws of economics. At this point its just a matter of how much money Gates and Ballmer can stand to lose. Its an ego thing. Every other company on the face of the planet would drop a money losing project like the XBox as fast as possible. The world is filled with companies that are not named Microsoft which have stock holders and corporate boards that actually have influence over the decisions of executive management. Not so with Microsoft.
We all know that XBox is finished in Japan. If Microsoft is lucky they will manage to sell their original shipment of 250,000 Japanese XBoxes before the end of this year.
http://www.the-magicbox.com
The XBox is in the process of dying in Europe. Just look at the European software charts. The XBox has just one exclusive game in the top 20:
http://www.elspa.com
And now one of MS game developer partners has pressured MS into allowing it to publish title for the Nintendo GameBoy:
http://biz.yahoo.com/rf/020625/tech_thq_microso
Is there anyone out there who will force Gates and Ballmer to come to their senses? Or would dropping the XBox at this point be such a face losing position for Microsoft that they have no choice but to keep throwing money at it?
First up here's a Karma-whoring link to an in depth article about the profit/loss of each company selling games consoles:
0 2. html
http://www.actsofgord.com/Proclamations/chapter
Secondly I don't really believe either Microsofts maths for the Xbox, or Dean Takahashi's (he was the author of 'Opening the Xbox', which is alledgedly an outside view of the Xbox development process, but is actually really only about glorifying Seamus Blackley, one of the original xbox designers).
The article claims that each Xbox cost $325 (which is below the $375 that other analysts have come up with), and that each Xbox is sold to retail at $175, leaving a massive margin of $24 or 12% for the shop, which is much below the 15-20% that shops expect.
Also none of Mr Takahashi's articles (or any others) mention the huge bribes^H^H^H, joint marketing schemes that Microsoft makes available to companies that want to develop Xbox games. I've heard rumours from a company that I used to work for (codemaster.com) that Microsoft would give up to $3 million for a game to be ported to the xbox, mulitply that by 100 games that they want, and you've got a whole load of cash.
But anyway I doubt real figures for how much the Xbox costs microsoft will ever come out, as they have enough accountants to obsure the real figure, from their shareholders, who ought to be asking why Microsoft are willing to spend $4-6 billion, when most of the games industry have always said that they never had a chance to beat Sony.
"Free software as in beer, copy protection as in racket" - Telsa Gwynne
I see a lot of comments here saying "Buy an Xbox and cost Microsoft $150! This is great! We get a cool machine and hurt Microsoft!". Let's do a little math here. Now that you have a cool machine, you're probably going to buy a few games for it (and maybe a 2nd controller), cutting Microsoft's losses a little.
Since Microsoft has sold between 3.5 and 4 million XBoxes to date, let's assume that we get 4 million evil Slashdotters to buy Xboxes. Lets also say that all of your slashdotters are SO evil that you're not even going to buy any games for your XBoxes. 4 Million consoles * $150 loss/console = $600 million loss for Microsoft. While this seems like a lot in pure monetary terms, this is a drop in the bucket for a company with $42 billion in cash reserves.
Continuing our scenario, game companies are going to see the number of consoles sold increase. They're also going to see that each console buyer is purchasing many fewer games on average, but since some of you are going to end up buying a few games for your new XBoxes the overall raw volume of games sold is going to increase. That means they're going to have more incentive to produce games for the Xbox, which is going to fuel legitimate sales.
If you really want to see Microsoft out of the console-space, buy a PS2 or Gamecube instead. Give game developers incentive to develop for the other machines instead of the Xbox and the Xbox will wilt.
Personally, I have a Netflix membership that lets me take out 5 DVD's at a time for $30 a month. I would rather watch 15 DVD movies a month for $2/DVD than record a limited selection of movies off HBO coupled with some crappy sitcoms. I think this device is just an attempt by M$ to bring life back in to machine that appears to be dying less than a year after it was released.
Six months ago The Guardian asked Xbox's general manager, J Allard, about the XBox including PVR technology in the future. His response:
;)
"We are not confused: this is a single-function device entirely focused on the games market. We have to focus on creating great games."
I assume they thought twice when they saw the sales figures
The problem that I had always heard about was that when the VCR broke, you needed to buy a new TV (nobody gets anything repaired these days...) or vice versa.
A few years back there was a big push to have copier / scanner / fax machine. Those didn't sell well either. I'm also reminded of looking at a digital camera for my handspring. At some point I realized that for 1/2 the price of the handspring plugin I could get an actual digital camera of better quality.
But to each his own...
I am not a number! I am a man! And don't you
And in fact they sort of need to spend money. It might sound nice to have so much cash lying around, but for a big corporation it can be a nightmare. In the current money market, that $40 Bil will not stay $40 Bil for long. And since they follow the "recycle the profits" model (MS stock does not pay dividends), it's only going to get worse. Better to throw the money at a Blue Sky project and tell the stockholders they're generating long-term growth. Which might even be true.
But damnit, it's time to drop all the Reagan-era cliches and face facts. That much economic clout in the hands of one company is bad for the whole software industry. Including Microsoft. This is not a free market. Pretending otherwise is like saying Al Capone was just another illicit beer vendor.
I don't remeber wich store in the mall it was but they had a sign in the window that said xbox $99 with trade in of old game system. When I asked about details they said you have to trade in a dreamcast,N64 or playstaion plus 10 old games. I wonder if this is M$ is giving them a kick back to get the old systems out of circulation.
http://Lenny.com
only one per person per company allowed per year
So you're gonna fine Microsoft $200 a year? I'm sure they're shaking in their boots...
Prior to the large price cuts this past spring, you were probably correct. Given that the Red Herring reports that it is estimated that it costs Sony $185 to build a PS/2, it is pretty reasonable that to figure that they are selling it at a loss when it retails for $199.
Similarly, Nintendo was planning to sell the GameCube at a slight loss at $199 and planned to eventually be profitable due to economies of scale. With the cut to $149, the road to profitability for Nintendo hardware, that road just got a lot longer.
Blame it all on Sega. According to the Gord, Sega was the first console maker to regularly sell their console at a loss.
-l
Does this quote in the article seem unusual to anyone?
...[Microsoft] is expected to report a net profit of about $10 billion and revenues of $28.25 billion.
I don't know a great deal about business, but how many companies as big as Microsoft get 1/3 of revenue as profit? That, along with the 40 or so billion in the bank, makes it seem unethical for them to not pay dividends back to their shareholders. Do any other big companies horde their wealth like this?
Healthcare article at Kuro5hin
Curious: Wouldn't get you get sticker shock at the $500 price tag?
The reason I ask is that right now, you could buy an XBOX and 6 new games for the same price as the PVR Combo. Not to mention that there will likely be some sort of subscription charge to get the most out of the PVR half.
Me personally, if I had that kind of money, I'd buy the units seperately. My main concern is that the features of the XBOX PVR may not be as interesting as a competing product for only a little bit more. Know what I mean?
"Derp de derp."
Imagine, you can still play Halo even when your favorite show is on because its being recorded for you to watch after you've blown some shit up.
Holy crap, I wish I could do that today. I mean, if I could go out and buy some kind of product that would let me record what's coming in over the cable while I'm using the TV to play games. Something that I could connect inline before the cable goes in to the TV. Something like maybe a freakin' VCR.
Nope, no sig
Except that if you buy as little as a single game for it, Microsoft lose less than 150 USD. It won't take many games sold to you before Microsoft makes money on you.
Okay, I think most of us think an XBOX/PVR combo is pretty silly.
There are a few positives I see. I dunno if they're enough to make me buy it, but it's fun to think about:
It would be nice to have a DVD Player and a PVR in one box. Hook it up to the network and you've got a net connection. Imagine watching TV and getting a little icon saying you have message from somebody you're interested in hearing from. Pause the TV like Tivo, fire off a quick response via IR keyboard, then unpause and continue to watch. This'd be a neat feature during a game as well.
Actually, having a DVD/PVR combo by itself is pretty cool.
"Derp de derp."
It seems that the US is pretty fond of heavily taxing or banning imports of products that are sold "below cost"- they call it "dumping". (Think steel, DRAM, etc). I wonder why Japan hasn't banned or put a stiff tariff on the Xbox since Microsoft is "illegally dumping" the Xbox in order to steal market share from Sony's PS2.
Could be an interesting tactic if X-box starts winning some significant share...
All the creatures will die, And all the things will be broken. That's the law of samurai. (Jubai, 1605)
I'm not a Microsoft employee but I do contracting work for them in Redmond. On four occassions I have offered Microsoft employees (a Project Manager, an Windows Server architect, and two Resource Kit technical writers) $100 if they could find a single, significant computing innovation that originated with Microsoft and made it to market. This wasn't a bet... I would just pay each $100 if they could find an example.
So far none of them have claimed to find one or asked for their $100. I gave each a week or two (one guy 2 months so he could ask around).
Admittedly this started out as a way to tweek Microsoft's arrogance. But, I'm REALLY curious now. Has anyone heard of a single significant computing innovation attributable to Microsoft?
Time to trot out Chapter Two in the Book of Proclamations written by The Gord. This is the insight of someone actually in the industry. You may wish to check out some of his other writings about the XBOX to see the accuracy of other predictions he has made. Quite interesting, and great fun to read.
In short, while it may "make sense" to use consoles as a loss leader, this isn't how things are usually done in the industry. When the Gord wrote the article above, both Nintendo and Sony were already making profits on their consoles. This was last year sometime. Today, Microsoft still isn't making a profit.
Don't think of it as a flame---it's more like an argument that does 3d6 fire damage
Yeah, they really screwed the pooch on that one. They also decided that losing money on the x-box was a good idea. Well guess what? it wasn't. Sony, Nintendo and Sega never really LOST money on their boxes, they always just BROKE EVEN. Which in the world of business is bad, you can't make any money when you're selling something for the same price you paid for it.
MS is losing amost 200 dollars on every box. That means that you have to buy 4 or 5 games for them to break even. Most playstation owners only own 5 or 6 games. Thus you can expect that X-Box owners will own less just because there are less games available for it. So MS is losing money on every box sold, even if you buy games for it.
Comment removed based on user account deletion
time and again i see PS2 fans getting way too excited over the xbox's financial problems. are they all totally oblivious to the benefits that have come to them due to the xbox being on the market? PS3's target release has been pushed up a year, and i suspect the recent PS2 price drop wouldn't have happened without the xbox on the market. like the xbox or not, sony is taking care to keep it from gaining a foothold, and that means better things for the consumer. if i were a PS2 fanatic, i'd want the xbox to linger on the market for as long as possible.
The employees in the store have both no control and no idea about delivery of product to their individual stores. I worked there for a while...we were all clueless and as full of it as any other salesperson. :-)
I was wondering why UltimateTV was only being sold in connection with satellite or cable subscriptions. Thanks for clearing that up!
Because personal information is priceless.
:P
GPL Deconstructed
Why lose a little money on two different projects when you can combine the two and lose twice as much!
While I admit that I'm not looking at the video game market as much as I used to, it seems that Xbox sales are mediocre or so and the recent opening shots in the price war hasn't done much to change their sales figures. While they may or may not be ahead of Nintendo at this point in time, I don't see anything in Xbox's present or future that could hope to stand up to the onslaught that Metroid Prime and cel-shaded Zelda will create later this year. And that's even before we start noticing that it's just about time to announce a Pokemon game for the GBA. Come Christmas, I can't see the Xbox being anywhere but dead last and slipping fast.
On the other hand we have UltimateTV, in direct competition with TiVo, who gets bonus points for name recognition (I've seen a heck of a lot more TiVo ads than UltimateTV). Of course that really doesn't matter because PVRs are still a niche market today, with a slightly broader customer base than HDTV. I don't know anything about PVR sales figures comparing Microsoft vs. TiVo, but I imagine that Microsoft sales are hurting a bit due to consumers remembering the WebTV fiasco and a long history of patches and bugs (Yes, UltimateTV has had its share of patches already). Microsoft may or may not be making money off of UltimateTV, but I doubt it's enough to sustain itself.
Alright, so we have the Xbox and UltimateTV, two products with timid customers who probably had to be coaxed a little into buying to begin with (they had to be steered away from the PlayStation 2 and TiVo respectively). And they somehow think combining the two will actually help sales?
OK, all you people that own both an Xbox and an UltimateTV box please raise your hand. Anyone?
And I haven't even gotten into whether or not this may give their competitors ideas. What if TiVo signed up with Sony or Matsushita? Imagine Panasonic touting how their GameQ2 or whatever can not only play Pokemon games and Pokemon DVDs but also record Pokemon episodes while doing so...
Don't support Microsoft. They're stupid. Instead, take a PS2 and a bunch of other game consoles, TV parts, stereo components, and stuff, and build a huge box that plays a bunch of games, runs a bunch of operating systems, and performs a bunch of operations. It'll be like a home-built supercomputer. Dude, you could use the parts out of disposable cameras too! Make it run UNICOS or something, in an emulator compiled for the Macintosh, that's run in an emulator compiled for the Alpha processor, that runs in an emulator that does the job. That'll slow it down enough that it'll work at about the same speed as the original tanks that ran UNICOS. So it'll be just like back in the old days.
Hey Gates' is richer that the countries he trying to sell the X-Box crap in.
:-)
He'll keep in floggin it just like he did with:
- M$ Word (knock-off of AES Word Processing system,)
- M$ Multiplan (acquisitions morphed it into) Excell,
- M$ IE (we know where he got that idea from,)
- M$ VisualStudio (bad copy of the Smalltalk-80/VisualWorks IDE,),
- M$ Windows (Puh-leez "Make More Mac Like Make More Mac Like").
He's hoping that M$ can get it right by version 3 and that he still has a big enough choke hold on the PC market to coerce all the manufacturers to shill it for him (consumers don't buy an OS. They buy a box. He just ILLEGALLY arm-twists the OEM into selling HIS OS. [Tony Soprano would be so proud.])
WHAT'T THAT YOU SAY? THERE AIN'T GOING TO BE A XXX-BOX? (Check it out at the video store. The girls there will gladly rent you the video/CD-ROM for $3.95 a day. If you go downtown, you can get the real thing @ $100 for an hour-of-power.
You're right though. There ain't gonna be any XXX-Box. X-Box was a stupid idea. This ain't the PC market. M$ doesn't have a lock on this market.
M$s reputation on the PC side is that his software is buggy, virus prone and eats upgrades for breakfast. People (MIS people,) are sick of it. Consumers DON'T upgrade if they can help it. Upgrades just break the stuff you curently have running.
People don't want the same crap on their own boxes.
M$ has competition and they're not standing still.
Sony can eat M$ raw on vinegared rice and some soy sauce and not even burp. They actually make products and sell them, lots of them, to consumers. Not strong arm them to OEMs. Sell them.
Nintendo ain't a whole lot smaller.
M$ ISN'T GONNA WIN THIS ONE! Its a matter of national Japanese pride.
I like the Linux-en making mod chips to convert X-Boxen into cheap Linux PCs. Must give "Big Bully" Gates and "Monkey Boy Ballmer" heartburn.
I'll be happy when he pulls the plug on this just like he did with "Bob" and that awful "Paper Clip"
Lets hope he wastes some more money before the CPA in his heart yanks out the catheter.
MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
You'll be able to heat your coffee on it.
If you're locky, it'll boil over and fry the chip, the box and any pet nearby. (Think: "Hmm... Fluffy Dead... Bad burnt fur [lawsuit] smell. I'm getting a new Lexus. Yay!")
MSBPodcast.com The opinions expressed here are my own. If you don't like 'em... Think up your own stuff.
"By then?" I didn't know their market share was increasing. I would have thought that it would be decreasing, due to poor performance overseas relative to the other consoles, but I confess I have seen no hard numbers.
They will if they follow the same design path as the current XBox. Their problem is that they don't get the same economies of scales as Sony or Nintendo, since the components they assemble into an XBox are already at their volume-discounted prices, and the XBox is a lot more complicated than a PS2 or GameCube.
The real problem is, with the XBox selling poorly, and its software therefore also selling poorly, how will they get developers without having to pay them off up front?
Jon Acheson
All opinions expressed herein are my own, and not those of my employers, who are appalled.
Wrong. I said XBox exclusives. Games that run on all three systems don't count. And don't actually make Microsoft very much money.
My point was simply to state that Nintendo has (and Sega had) quality in-house game development talent. Sony currently relies on great third-party developers, but it is MUCH easier to loose those than it would be to loose a consistent, happy, dedicated set of development teams. Ever notice how Capcom and Konami constantly jump platforms to the one that can meet their own intrests the best? Capcom went from Super Nintendo to PSX, and as soon as Sega introduced the Naomi/Dreamcast setup, they dumped all of their efforts into that platform, and made some good money by developing for two platforms as if they were one. Capcom has not settled on a new home system yet, but once they do, it'll be all over ;)
"By then?" I didn't know their market share was increasing. I would have thought that it would be decreasing, due to poor performance overseas relative to the other consoles, but I confess I have seen no hard numbers.
Well, remember they're new players in this market. Anything above 0% for them is an "increase". =)
X-Box + TiVO : 500 dollars US.
MSI G4MX460 w/TV-IN&OUT: 250 dollars CDN.
Sticking it to da' man: Priceless.
It's been a long time.
If a large amount of Microsoft's money comes from OEMs and that depends on sales of new PCs and sales of new PCs have been pretty low, then Microsoft's revenues are probably low, too, and ups and downs will lag a quarter or two after the PC sales.
If, aside from not giving out dividends, Microsoft seems like it might be cooking the books slightly since 1999 to hide losses, then it may acutally be running in the red.
1999 was economically a good year compared to more recent ones. If Microsoft has needed any such accounting "errors" prior to the economic resession, then the recession has been a real slam-dunk and a proper audit would show them uncomfortably far from being a profitable corporation.
Beta is broken and the link to classic doesn't work. Stop wasting our time or there won't be anybody left here.
Heh. Well, speaking practically, you could just record a demo file of Halo and send him that. It'd be much smaller and heaps quicker than burning any CD's.
Other than that, I understand your point.
"Derp de derp."