Slashdot Mirror


An Interstellar Lifeboat for Humanity

cravey writes "From the people who brought you the Oceania project so many years ago comes the Lifeboat project. An attempt to create a spaceship for the purposes of saving the human race from the singularity predicted by Vernor Vinge. Lots of talk about nanotech accidents and biological accidents wiping out civilization, but it has a neat picture of the ship. :)"

164 of 368 comments (clear)

  1. Insert your own by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Funny

    telephone sanitizer joke here.

    1. Re:Insert your own by Nept · · Score: 2

      I hope they calculate the trajectory thingy right.

      --
      "Teachers leave us kids alone ..." - Roger Waters, Pink Floyd
    2. Re:Insert your own by EvanED · · Score: 2

      How did I know a Hitchhiker's reference would be up top...

  2. Abandon ship by pardasaniman · · Score: 5, Funny

    We have a slashdotting approaching at nine O'clock Fire the torpedoes Ay Cap.......

    1. Re:Abandon ship by Jucius+Maximus · · Score: 2, Funny
      Commander: Shall we engage the slashdot effect, sir?

      Captain: Make it slow.

  3. Save the planet... by BSOD+from+above · · Score: 2, Funny

    go somewhere else.

    --
    Karma: Censored (mostly affected by decency laws)
  4. Sadly... by dirkdidit · · Score: 5, Funny

    There was no lifeboat or amount of bandwidth that could save their server. God bless its smoldering soul.

    1. Re:Sadly... by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      Never underestimate the bandwidth of a space bound life boat full of backup tapes and singularists.

  5. The best lifeboat by cscx · · Score: 5, Funny

    If I would have to be shot into space in a lifeboat, it would have to be in a gigantic Bob's Big Boy.

    1. Re:The best lifeboat by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 2

      whats the reference to disco stu? i know the name - but cant remember where from.....

  6. "wipe out humanity? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    now there's a thought. more of a long term
    thing though...first we need to focus on more
    immediate goals." - 12 Monkeys

  7. Spaceship not large enough by product+byproduct · · Score: 3, Funny

    We would need a Beowulf cluster of these to save humanity.

    1. Re:Spaceship not large enough by leonbrooks · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Spaceship really not large enough. You might save the population of Christmas Island, and of course politics will rear its ugly head at this point.

      Also, they're pushing security and escape. One idiot on the wrong trajectory, perhaps assisted by a bucketful of gravel, would put paid to their marvellous toy - hereinafter referred to as `the basket'. Better to build space elevators and have many baskets.

      Better still, of course, to not bugger up our planet in the first place.

      There are many grand schemes for bringing that about, but all of the make the same basic mistake (one way or another). They either assume that they're working with altruists (in which case any system would work and these idealists are already redundant), or that their subjects are all idiots (so they build idiot-compatible one-size-fits-all systems, which of course fail).

      The only way that this can work is by changing basic human nature. And of course, we just left the sphere of materialism, welcome to religion, we hope you enjoy the life.

      --
      Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    2. Re:Spaceship not large enough by _ph1ux_ · · Score: 3, Interesting

      heres a question regarding space elevators. If you have a space elevator - regardless of what its made out of - and the ground point of the elevator becomes un-teathered (e.g. no longer attached to earth) what happens?

      Does the whole huge ass thing fall to earth causing major scale damage (given there is a lot of civilization near by) - does it flap around like a hose with nobody at the end - or does it float off into space?

      So - if there is a major catastrophic event which requires the evacuation of earth via our space elevators - do you really think that the elevators bases would be stable enough (or even flexible enough) to withstand some sort of event that would assumably be coupled with earth shaking upheaval (sp) to such a degree as to make the elevators skyscraping towers of death?

      Does anyone seriously know? what considerations have been given towards this issue?

      (Not to mention the possibilities for terrorist attacks. For god's sake wont somebody please think of the children!)

    3. Re:Spaceship not large enough by Grayraven · · Score: 2, Informative
      --
      "Source... The Final Frontier" -- keepersoflists.org
    4. Re:Spaceship not large enough by AKnightCowboy · · Score: 3

      You would just have to pick out a cross-section of humanity. High ranking politicians from around the globe, very very rich businessmen (CEOs, etc.), most of the actors in Hollywood and musicians, and lawyers. Lots of lawyers. By the time they realize they're being fired off into the Sun and the fireworks down below are the rest of humanity celebrating their departure rather than the annihilation of the human race by some "horrible catastrophe" it'll be too late for them to figure out how to return to Earth. Ah the lovely idea of the greedy bastards who would be fighting to claim their ticket to salvation taking a one way trip into the solar system's largest fusion reactor. We can only dream right?

    5. Re:Spaceship not large enough by leonbrooks · · Score: 2

      I agree with NDPTAL85 on the musicians (let natural selection deal with those) but otherwise the idea is interesting... `I've got a little list - they'll none of them be missed.'

      I'd put some restrictions on lawyers, too. We had a local one just hammer a spammer into the ground recently (and the spammer bailed out of the appeal, too - go, Jeremy!). Hey - let's send the spammers! Tell them they get great bandwidth up there and can downlink to anywhere on Earth.

      --
      Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  8. One hopes... by 3waygeek · · Score: 2

    that their ship will be more robust than their website -- 3 minutes after this story was posted, they're /.'ed

    1. Re:One hopes... by Metrol · · Score: 5, Funny

      Obviously their systems work!

      With the end of the world right around the corner the population of the planet would be clammering to get to their site. The server obviously auto ejected itself into orbit after what it perceived to be massive panic on the web.

      If only more nitwit sites had features like this... *sigh*

      --
      The line must be drawn here. This far. No further.
  9. My suggestion... by Moonshadow · · Score: 5, Funny

    I say we just offload all the extremists and morons onto Mars. We'll call it the "Get Off Of Our Planet" (GOOOP) project. That should help the longevity of the human race, although I can't speak for the "Mars colonists". :D

    1. Re:My suggestion... by Descartes · · Score: 3, Insightful

      hmmm, a somewhat extreme suggestion, careful or you might just secure yourself a place on board.

    2. Re:My suggestion... by Exmet+Paff+Daxx · · Score: 2
      I say we just offload all the extremists and morons onto Mars. We'll call it the "Get Off Of Our Planet" (GOOOP) project.

      But there's no atmosphere on Mars! That's an awfully expensive way to kill millions of people! Wait a minute... that makes you an EXTREMIST! Good plan... we'll send you and the Ayatollah and Bin Laden straight to Mars. A little less direct than Zyklon-B, but no less effective.

      I'm sure Ashcroft would approve.
      --
      If guns kill people, then CmdrTaco's keyboard misspells words.
    3. Re:My suggestion... by MouseR · · Score: 5, Informative

      For those who don't follow, Zyclon-B was a hydrocyanic acid initially used as disinfectant and insecticide that ended up being used by the Nazis in the concentration camps,

      It's also the name of a Metal group from Norway that ought to disinfect their own style.

    4. Re:My suggestion... by Cyno01 · · Score: 5, Funny
      I say we just offload all the extremists and morons onto Mars....That should help the longevity of the human race, although I can't speak for the "Mars colonists"
      They'd probably come back and start pushing us around, acting like they're the only planet in the solar system. Look what happened when Europe started sending all its extreemists, nutwhacks and convicts to the 'new world' and didn't expect them to survive.
      --
      "Sic Semper Tyrannosaurus Rex."
    5. Re:My suggestion... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, they wound up saving Europe's butt on a regular basis. Dreadful result, that.

    6. Re:My suggestion... by Incon · · Score: 5, Funny

      But there's no atmosphere on Mars! That's an awfully expensive way to kill millions of people!

      I do not think millions of people will die.

      As a long line of Mars movies have educated me, only about 1 to 10 people die because of no atmosphere. Then the hero(es) fixes it all up and Mars has atmosphere. And everyone is saved.

      References to get you started in Mars terraforming
      1. Total Recall
      2. Red Planet

    7. Re:My suggestion... by donscarletti · · Score: 3, Interesting
      There is an atmosphere on mars. Why the heck do you think they whacked parachutes onto viking? As a napkin? Come on!

      Just because an atmosphere is not breathable doesn't mean it does not exist. Take a seedy nightclub or pub as an example. Just because the cigarette smoke, BO and other such cruft makes it absolutely unbarable to breath doesn't make it a vacume.

      Mars' atmosphere is mainly CO2 with a little N2 floating around so it would just be like a paper bag that has been breathed into and from for a while but with a little more CO2.

      I guess you are right that someone would die after landing on Mars because it has no breathable oxygen. However they would live longer than you thought because they would not pop like one would on a planet totally devoid of atmosphere (at least not as fast). The temperature would not be as extreme either. I guess if you packed George Bush, Osama Bin Laden, Areial Sharon, Yasser Arafat and anyone who supports these people into the rocket with a few scuba sets, some warm angora sweaters and some strong Burbon (for staying warm on the cold martian nights) they could form nice friendly community until they either run out of burbon/oxygen or renounce violence and we can fly them back home.

      Come to think about it that is a pretty cool idea.

      --
      When Argumentum ad Hominem falls short, try Argumentum ad Matrem
    8. Re:My suggestion... by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 2, Funny

      Just because the cigarette smoke, BO and other such cruft makes it absolutely unbarable to breath doesn't make it a vacume.

      Is the "e" key on your keyboard broken? It seems to be failing when you need it, and then firing off at random when you don't.

      Might want to have that looked at.

      --

      I write in my journal
    9. Re:My suggestion... by Markus+Landgren · · Score: 2, Funny

      Yeah, if we did not have America, who would then save our butt by supplying Saddam Hussein with anthrax and other biological weapons?

    10. Re:My suggestion... by Tharsis · · Score: 2

      Now that's an extremist opinion if ever I heard one, I hope you enjoy mars;)

    11. Re:My suggestion... by JamesSharman · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That depends, if there were less scuba sets than people it could get very interesting very fast.

      Besides, the atmosphere on mars is very very thin, much lower than at the top of everest if I remmeber correctly. The problem with really low air presure (ignoring the lack of any o2) is that your lungs start to leak water ending in what is effectively drowning. Even with an o2 supply climbers effectively start dying once the air gets two thin. Exactly how long you could last in the open on mars with an o2 supply I couldn't tell you but I'm not sure I'd like to find out.

    12. Re:My suggestion... by digitalsushi · · Score: 2

      I would love to hear someone's guess on this as well. I'd guess... 8 minutes.

      A google search didn't yield any results, so I guess no one has thought about this yet.

      --
      slashdot: where everyone yells sarcastic metaphors to themselves to understand the issue
  10. Where did NASA go wrong? by Chris_Stankowitz · · Score: 3, Insightful

    By not exploiting the fears of man. This is the kond of project that will get you some funding. Or at least collaborating with Ben & Jerry to make some better dried Icream flavors.

  11. After the gold rush by n1ywb · · Score: 3, Funny

    Remember the Neil Young song?

    Well, I dreamed I saw the silver spaceships flying
    In the yellow haze of the sun
    There were children crying and colors flying
    All around the chosen ones
    All in a dream, all in a dream
    The loading had begun
    Flyin' mother nature's silver seed
    To a new home in the sun

    Oh fuck I just broke the DMCA. Sorry, Neil.

    Seriously, this theme has been around in modern media. The genesis project from Star Trek, that crappy Don Bluth film, etc. In a lot of sci-fi's the earth is a dump and most people live elsewhere, like in Cowboy Bebop. Sci-fi's are often uncannily accurate at predicting the future.

    Call me a crazy hippy, but in a lot of ways the Earth is a life form and we are like it's organs. If the meaning of life is to reproduce, then wouldn't terraforming and colonizing a new planet be the ultimate form of reproduction?

    --
    -73, de n1ywb
    www.n1ywb.com
    1. Re:After the gold rush by D_Gr8_BoB · · Score: 2
      On the other hand, a lot of really good paranoia scifi stories have not panned out. In the 40s and 50s there was a whole lot of apocalyptic and post-apocalyptic literature written, from the good (Canticle for Leibowitz) to the not-so-good (Alas, Babylon). The stuff is scary and convincing because at the time it was being written, nuclear war was a very real possibility.

      It's certainly possible that humanity could destroy itself and/or the world with any one of hundreds of new technologies, but the odds are worse than they were in the days of the Cuban missile crisis, and we pulled through that one. Maybe you should check the Doomsday Clock next time, folks.

    2. Re:After the gold rush by Scarblac · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Sci-fi's are often uncannily accurate at predicting the future.

      Uhm. Jules Verne, yes, he did predict things that did happen - well, submarines, and we did go to the moon. We didn't go to the center of the earth. I don't care about Googling for his other books right now.

      Then we get to HG Wells... Wars with aliens, time machines, anti gravity, ...

      Since then... None of the 20th century SF seems to have gotten the world around the year 2000 right. Cell phones are everywhere, personal computing is cheap and used for games, there's the Internet, and maybe we'll even finish the current space station in ten years. There is some cloning and biotech and we use it for medicine. There have been a few terrorist attacks, and now the whole world is obsessed with them.

      Now what did SF tell us... Rockets! Space colonies! World War Three! One World Government! Aliens! FTL travel! And of course, flying cars.

      My first guess is that SF has been performing less (at predicting the future) than you would expect of pure chance. But there have been great books :-)

      --
      I believe posters are recognized by their sig. So I made one.
    3. Re:After the gold rush by Chelloveck · · Score: 3, Interesting
      Since then... None of the 20th century SF seems to have gotten the world around the year 2000 right.

      Read some of John Brunner's work, notably Stand on Zanzibar and The Shockwave Rider. Written in the 60s and 70s, it's scary how well they seem to be predicting the early 21st century.

      --
      Chelloveck
      I give up on debugging. From now on, SIGSEGV is a feature.
    4. Re:After the gold rush by mobilityguy · · Score: 2, Interesting
      Do you consider 1984 to be 20th century science fiction? Look what it predicted:
      • A world divided into regional coalitions that combine in shifting alliances. The portrayal of other cultures in simplistic black-and-white terms. Government efforts to downplay our previous relations with our current "friends" and "enemies".
      • Perpetual war, mostly in far-away places, to divert attention from domestic problems. Lotteries and content-free televised entertainment to do the same.
      • An anti-knowledge, anti-scientific mindset in popular culture and government, where knowledge and understanding are replaced by doctrinal belief systems.
      • Increasing economic stratification in society, with institutions of power cooperating to place their inter-related self-interest over the common good.
      • Popular music based entirely on rhythmic patterns, with no melody. Yes, in 1948 Orwell predicted rap.
      Given current trends, maybe the only thing Ol' George got wrong was the title.
  12. anyone find it ironic by f00zbll · · Score: 3, Insightful

    that this got posted the same day "create a new life" stirred up tons of flames? From all the flames posted on /. today on both sides of the argument, one might think humans really don't have a clue about anything.

  13. What a unique, new concept! by H0NGK0NGPH00EY · · Score: 3, Funny

    I have a better name for it though... how about Titan After Earth? Yeah, that would be a cool name. Wait...

    --
    Do not read this sig.
  14. Someone's been reading a bit much Greg Bear... by Spazholio · · Score: 2

    Sounds like something straight outta "Forge of God". Either that or Eon. Come to think of it, Bear has some sort of fixation about the end of civilization and the rescuation (shaddap, it's a word, no, really) of a select handful of people...

    1. Re:Someone's been reading a bit much Greg Bear... by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      And then we could build some kind of giant weapon on the asteroid (rail driver, big ass laser, something or other) and call it the Slashdot Effect.

      Or perhaps it would just be the system of propulsion, which just happens to obliterate whatever we happened to be around at the time as part of day to day operations :)

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  15. A better idea... by DarkHelmet · · Score: 4, Funny
    Why save humanity? Why not shoot our DNA off into space and hope that some alien race clones us?

    Either that, or hope that when we go bye-bye, the next smart Earth race brings us back Jurassic Park style in hopes there's a storm and we escape our cages.

    --
    /^[A-Z0-9._%+-]+@[A-Z0-9.-]+\.[A-Z]{2,4}$/i
    1. Re:A better idea... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny
      Why not shoot our DNA off into space...
      I dunno about my DNA reaching escape velocity, i can only get it a good 3, maybe 4 feet.
    2. Re:A better idea... by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Funny

      I dunno about my DNA reaching escape velocity, i can only get it a good 3, maybe 4 feet.

      You're in luck, I just got an email promising a "5000% Increase Or Your Money Back!" I'll send it to you.

  16. Steps to Success by ekrout · · Score: 4, Funny

    1) Create Web page about your spaceship idea
    2) Get your server Slashdotted and spend all your money recovering the data from the dead hard disks
    3) Project Lifeboat comes to a screeching halt due to lack of funds
    4) Die miserably on Earth

    Oh the humanity! It wasn't supposed to happen like this. [fade out] Happen like this. [fade out] Happen like this...

    --

    If you celebrate Xmas, befriend me (538
  17. Re:Peace War by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    If you liked Vernor Vinge's essay on
    the Singularity as he conceives it
    you should read (hell in my opinion you
    should read all of his shit)
    marooned in realtime.
    Marooned in Realtime discusses extensively
    the singularity from the other historical
    side. Where people that didn't experience
    try to figure out what actually happened
    to the human race. When I finished it,
    I immeadiately reread it, and I don't usually
    do that.

  18. Seems a little early. by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 3, Funny

    ... the Lifeboat project. An attempt to create a spaceship for the purposes of saving the human race from the singularity predicted by Vernor Vinge.

    A good idea.

    But if it's The Singularity they want to dodge it's probably a bit early to start. As The Singularity approaches the cost of such a venture will drop like a rock. (Of course, like buying a computer you have to stop waiting and plunk down cash SOME time. In this case, preferably before something breaks. B-) )

    Now dodging other stuff (like an extinction-level event such as a comet-head impact) should not wait until the incoming comet is sighted.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
    1. Re:Seems a little early. by kesuki · · Score: 2

      Now dodging other stuff (like an extinction-level event such as a comet-head impact) should not wait until the incoming comet is sighted.
      that depends on what you mean by 'sighted'
      if you mean waiting until one can see it unaided with the human eye, then you're absolutely on the ball there.
      however, even gravity slingshot comets take months to travel through the solar system... even if we somehow, with all our fancy radio telelscopes and computer aided optical telescopes manage to not realise a rather large chung of mass is on a colision course with the earth until after it's passed pluto we've still got a matter of months to say, put rockets on it and move it into a collision course with jupiter, or blow it up whichever is easier. And remember, the weapons of mass destruction we have now make hiroshima look like a mosquito bite... we can easily pack a billon tons of TNT worth in explosive force into play against an incoming projectile, and thermonuclear bombs are a lot cleaner for the bang than a pure fission bomb.

  19. Save humanity from the Singularity? by moebius_4d · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Just a second... to save the race from the Singularity? The Singularity is a good thing. If you read Vinge's essay, or any of the other essays on the subject, you'll find that people look forward to this event and are actively trying to move the date forward. One fellow says that the definition of morally good is that which makes the Singularity happen sooner.

    (There's a lot of interesting things at the Singularity Institute by the way.)

    So either the poster is on crack, or ve represents a new and radically different perspective on the Singularity than I have ever seen in print. Which is it?

    1. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by Galvatron · · Score: 5, Interesting
      Huh, I'm not sure it's a GOOD thing. Isn't the idea that it's an unpredictable thing? As I understand it, the theory is that beyond the technological singularity, human society (if it even exists) will be radically transformed. So, as a person born before the singularity, I probably wouldn't like it. Just as many of our grandparents, raised in a time when homosexuality was considered morally equivalent to incest or bestiality, are sickened by the Gay Pride parades, many of us would probably be sickened, frightened, or at least strongly morally opposed to the social norms that arise on the far side of the singularity. Be it cybernetics, cloning, genetic engineering, AI, vat grown fetuses for stem cell harvesting, or God only knows what, there's almost certain to be a technology we will one day use that makes you uncomfortable.

      I'm not sure running away is the right answer, but I would be cautious in calling the technological singularity a "good thing." Those who are a product of it will likely consider it one, but those of us who precipitate it likely will not, and will long for the "good old days" from before the singularity.

      Anyway, the guy in the article isn't afraid of the singularity, as such, he's afraid of the dangers that might arise (accidentally or through terrorism): grey goo from nanotech, killer diseases from bioengineering, Terminators from AI, and so forth. The singularity will simply accelerate development of these technologies (and hopefully, ones to counter the dangers, too).

      --
      "The question of whether a computer can think is no more interesting than that of whether a submarine can swim" -EWD
    2. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by moebius_4d · · Score: 3, Insightful

      > Huh, I'm not sure it's a GOOD thing. Isn't the idea that it's an unpredictable thing? As I understand it,
      >the theory is that beyond the technological singularity, human society (if it even exists)
      >will be radically transformed. So, as a person born before the singularity, I probably wouldn't like it.


      Certainly the supposition is that a radical and nearly complete transformation will take place, and that due to the vast qualitiative differences engendered by the intervening changes, we will find the nature of that change unpredictable.

      But, that doesn't mean that we won't change too. Either we will figure out ways to increase and alter our intelligence, or our machine superintelligences will figure it out for us. So there's no getting from here to there without becoming something you'd never recognize.

      Now, maybe you don't like that idea right now, and perhaps you'll stay on the sidelines. But these things have a way of seeming friendly and innocuous after repeated exposure. Remember the "computer-phobia" of the Eighties? They were going to take away our jobs? Now my 75 year-old in-laws have a PC with XP and a Cable modem. They had to get it because the Kiwanis people and the neighborhood garden club people pestered them to get email. Yes! Kiwanis and garden club!

      What will you do when you can't understand your granddaughter's 5th grade math assignment? Will you finally decide, hey, I'm going to get vastened. What's the point of clinging to this outrageous mental modality anyway - like keeping a box of all your nail clippings. Worse, it's like running into a burning building to save your box of nail clippings.

      So I expect relatively few people will make it to the big one without adequate preparation.
    3. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by Metrol · · Score: 2

      Remember the "computer-phobia" of the Eighties? They were going to take away our jobs? Now my 75 year-old in-laws have a PC with XP and a Cable modem.

      Sounds like the phobia was justified.

      --
      The line must be drawn here. This far. No further.
    4. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by Jorrit · · Score: 2
      Note: the following is not my opinion. I'm just the messanger.


      The reason this singularity is bad (according to the lifeboat people) is that it will cause several inventions that we will not be able to handle correctly. More importantly they talk about 'gray goo', a kind of nano-robot that instantly eats all living organisms and would kill of the entire planet once it is invented. The lifeboat people claim that this grey goo will be invented BEFORE we are able to cope with it. Additionally they also talk about artifical black holes and other calamities that will be invented before mankind is capable of properly controlling that stuff.


      Greetings,

      --
      Project Manager of Crystal Space (http://www.crystalspace3d.org). Support CS at http://tinyurl.com/cb3x4
    5. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by krogoth · · Score: 2

      I don't think it can be prevented (if the theories are true) without stopping scientific advancement.

      --

      They that quote Benjamin Franklin on liberty and safety deserve neither.
    6. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by HiThere · · Score: 2

      The singularity is irredeemably dangerous. There's no way around it. Except being outside the light cone, possibly.

      If you trust the way that society is heading, then the singularity is a viscious threat. If, on the other hand, you feel that society is currently aiming to enslave almost all of humanity, and reduce the rest to peonage, then the singularity is one of the few bright spots on the horizon. People in between those positions would have intermediate reactions.

      Personally, I look at mega-corps, justifications of nuclear weapons, terrorists, "homeland security", etc. and feel that the singularity is on of the few long term hopes. This doesn't mean that a lifeboat is a bad idea, but it's one that would be quite difficult to implement.

      P.S.: Timing. The singularity may be upon us before 2030. Possibly by 2020. Conceivably even earlier. And there isn't just one singularity. Each mode of entry yields a sheave of probable outcomes that is different. But we can't predict ahead of time what they are.

      --

      I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
    7. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      So either the poster is on crack, or ve represents a new and radically different perspective on the Singularity than I have ever seen in print. Which is it?

      Perhaps you missed out on Vinge's "Marooned in Realtime"? :)

      In that book humanity reached a point in time equivalent to the Singularity... and all disapeared. There's a lot of theorizing about what eactly happened to them, and only _some_ of the ideas were good.

      Vinge's essay is presenting what _he_ thinks the Singularity would be like, but he can't _know_ by definition. Maybe it will involve us downloading our brains into genetically created intelligent goo a la Greg Bear's "Blood Music."

      And maybe it will be something bad. When you hit the singularity every single human will have the power of a god. Maybe one of them will go insane and blow up the entire species. Or that could happen while we're on our way to the singularity. All the Singularity means is that at some point in the future, we will literally have more technology than we can comprehend (at the moment at least.) Which would be more than enough technology to save the enviroment, explore the stars, and make life easy for every human in existance, and more than enough to kill us all too.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    8. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by moebius_4d · · Score: 2

      I think you can turn to any recent treatment of the subject to learn why making "grey goo" would be much more difficult than making assemblers in the general case, and that doing it accidently is just this side of impossible. The short form is just to point out that if it were possible to easily get free energy from all the world's molecules, then evolution would already have provided us an example of something that does so, and we'd live in goo land. But, it's not.

      The rest of your discussion is more reasonable, simply because we can't easily rule out threats we can't forsee and don't understand. But the problem with standing on the sidelines is that you have no power to effect the situation. Imagine if the Hottentotts decided to disarm the U.S., claiming that Bush had gotten out of line.

      Seriously, if the mainline of humanity is climbing an exponential curve of intelligence and knowledge, how can a few relative aboriginees stop things from going bad? Or save themselves if active malignancy arises?

    9. Re:Save humanity from the Singularity? by moebius_4d · · Score: 2

      No, read them. Actually, re-read both in the last 30 days.

      In _MiR_ one of the ideas you suggest not being "good " was that everyone was destroyed by hostile aliens. I don't recall any other really "bad" ones. It's worth noting that the actual main characters are trying to recreate a singularity, since they missed the first one, and that they maintain this positive view throughout the book. So its evident that the disappearance of all humanity isn't supposed to be seen as a turn-off to a reasoning being.

      Blood Music was a pretty good example of a true Singularity that just happens to be started off by accident. Instead of willing intelligent machines working with humans explicitly to move forward, Bear has us accidently set the match to the fuse by having lots of tiny intelligences that can cluster fire up in an environment where natural selection is still active. It's a typical Bear cop-out on the way to Transcendence.

      Your last paragraph is the reason why I question the idea of a ship of people waiting to flee if things turn bad, or even well out into interstellar space. When you get close to this kind asymptotic behavior, all contacts are "Out of Context Problems" to borrow from Ian Banks.

      We can decide to stop, or not. But if we decide to go, there's no avoiding putting all the eggs in one basket. That's all I am saying here.

  20. Umm... by doofsmack · · Score: 2, Insightful

    What would we do after we "evacuate" earth? Do we find a new planet to populate? I can't see anybody lasting long enough to get to a planet that is compatible with our biology.

    1. Re:Umm... by machine+of+god · · Score: 2, Funny

      I don't know about you guys, but I'll be joining up with the gaians. Lets face it, if we get stuck on a continent with two other factions, I'm going to want to have those mindworms on my side.

  21. Lifeboat by Geeyzus · · Score: 2

    I think their server needs a lifeboat... 29 comments in and it's slashdotted. :)

    Mark

  22. Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by peterb · · Score: 4, Flamebait


    Look, meat puppets, you are PART OF THIS ECOSYSTEM, you are stuck here in the mud with the rest of us. You are never leaving this planet, at least for any appreciable length of time. Ever. So how about taking some of the energy you put into escapist fantasies and focus those gigantic brains of yours on improving what we've got, instead of running away from our problems, huh?

    -Peterb
    PS: That goes for you escapist religious freaks, also. Same disease, different symptoms.

    1. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by asako · · Score: 3, Insightful

      ...said the man to Christopher Columbus.

    2. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by norton_I · · Score: 5, Insightful

      What kind of small minded demon of impotence are you? If I really believed that we would never get off this planet, I would probably have to kill myself. Mankind's destiny is in the stars, and if it takes a hundred years or a hundred thousand, we will make it there.

      If for no other reason, one day, Sol will die. I, or my intellectual heirs, plan to leave by then. You are welcome to stay.

      We have a 5 billion year reprieve on that, so I am not too worried about that today, but I do think about it from time to time. And as a "real" scientist (as opposed to SF), I like to think I am doing a bit to get us to that point.

      In the mean time, we still owe it to ourselves to work out the space travel thing (which I have no doubt we will). The universe a giant playground, and it seems kind of booring to spend our whole lives on one planet.

    3. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by tjensor · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Don't be ridiculous. What is more important RIGHT NOW - getting off the planet because it will be engulfed by The Sun in 5 billion years or saving vast tracts of the population from starvation when we already have more than enough food to feed them all!

      Sure we may want to leave at some point, but if you are talking about saving humanity, there is an awful lot of humanity that needs saving right here first.

      You call someone a "small minded demon of impotence" because you would rather save your own ancestors than the millions who will die this year alone due to intransigence on the part of rich nations? Well gee I guess the selfish gene is alive and well in your pool.

      --
      <fnord>OBEY</fnord>
    4. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by Erich · · Score: 3, Insightful
      I suggest you read Out of the Silent Planet by C. S. Lewis. You remind me of a character in that book.

      Why do you care about your heirs (or the heirs of mankind) 5 billion years from now? Even if they exist, they don't care about you...

      If all there is to your life is "getting off the planet" for some distant descendant, then God help you; your life is meaningless.

      --

      -- Erich

      Slashdot reader since 1997

    5. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by sgage · · Score: 2

      "...said the man to Christopher Columbus."

      Not at all analogous, and totally irrelevant.

    6. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by Daetrin · · Score: 2

      You're right, that model totally doesn't apply anymore. The reason we should be sending ships to outer space is because the Venusians are supposed to have gold and spices, so we should head straight to Mars and kill them all and take their treasure.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    7. Re:Sometimes SF weenies cheese me off. by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      No, we're counting on interplanetary colonization to save humanity from the Earth going boom.

      Of course, we can do our best to save Earth also in the meantime, we're not like some video game where you can only research one thing at a time. If you're going to critisize wasted effort, i think there's a long list of trivial and useless stuff you'd have to go through before getting to spaceflight. Then entire entertainment industry for example is a much bigger was of energy than researching space colonies. If the amount of effort being put into spaceflight was enough to solve world hunger, don't you think we would have managed to dix that problem by now?

      I'm not the one without a fire, those guys over there don't have a fire. I'll tell them how to make a fire, i'll try to help them out if i can, but in the long run i'm going to take my fire with me and move south to where it's warmer.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  23. Not gonna happen by Pilferer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Good idea, but this is about 500 years early. I don't think, even with an unlimited supply of money, humans could put a "station" into space, keep it in orbit longer then ~20 years, and have it GROW food to sustain an existing population, let alone new children. And also include a way to get back to Earth once the "disaster" is over. And somehow have enough energy for the needs of the crew, for many generations... etc etc. I think it would be easier to build a base on Mars -at least it's got something to build ON, and it's not going to crash back into Earth because they "ran out of fuel".

  24. An Entire Interview by ekrout · · Score: 5, Informative

    I found the following interview on SpaceNStuff.com and decided to mirror it here ('cause Slashdot can take a Slashdotting). August 31, 2002 posted on 08-31-2002 at 09:35PM by Nancy

    Summary: Interview Part 1
    "The Lifeboat Foundation "
    A matter of life and death.....

    Full Story: Space N Stuff has recently learned of the existence of the above Foundation, as a result of a Guest who visited Space N Stuff and contacted me.

    An email request was made and Mr. Eric Klien, Founder and President of Lifeboat Foundation , generously agreed to an interview. As a matter of fact, once Mr. Klien responded to the questions in this interview, I discovered this is like eating potato chips, you can't be satisfied with just "one". At a later date, Space N Stuff will again contact Mr. Klien for a follow-up to this initial query.

    Please understand that this is a very complex subject and due to space constraints, not all of the details can be presented, however, we are providing LINKS at the bottom of this Interview so that you can check their site for yourselves.

    In a nutshell, the purpose of Lifeboat Foundation is to research technology in a serious effort to build vehicles, or "Arks" that will house permanent residents, away from Earth. In essence, self-sustaining colonies would be established, one at a time, in an effort to save Humanity. Lifeboat Foundation 's basic concept of leaving Earth ... as a "matter of life and death."

    This premise is a result of facts that cannot be denied. Human Beings are finding more and more ways to destroy the Earth, and......... each other.

    Their goals are straight forward:
    By 2004, they hope to educate the public as to 'coming dangers', promote efforts to preserve life, encourage advancement in Space Technology and fund SETI research.

    By 2010, the efforts to develop self-sustaining technologies will be in full swing.

    By 2018, complete the development above, launch a for-profit Corporation that would have as its primary goal , to put the first self-sustaining Space Colony in orbit, 248 miles above the Earth, and have subsequent colonies, further from Earth.

    By 2020, to promote free enterprise in the conquest of Space.

    Space N Stuff : Mr. Klien , your site provides a great deal of background information regarding your goals. However, I do have a series of questions to pose:

    Space N Stuff : If I understand correctly, based on your current projections, people will not be off this planet until approximately 2020. In view of the seemingly endless strikes of Terrorism globally, will your "Arks" be too late?

    Mr. Klien : It will be a close call.
    In a technology timeline produced by British Telecommunications (a multibillion dollar conglomerate based in the United Kingdom) which we have a copy of at http://research.lifeboat.com/btexact.pdf, it was predicted that in as little as three more years terrorists will unleash dangerous bioweapons on the public. It stands to reason that creating self-sustaining space stations during the time between this prediction and total extinction will be a non trivial task.

    Space N Stuff : It is my interpretation that each 'Ark' will be self-sufficient to accommodate 1,000 permanent residents and 500 visitors. In addition, those who are chosen will be the winner(s) of a lottery or benefit from "Lifeboat scholarships". While security is one of the top priorities for The United States, will that be a priority onboard an Ark? Will Lifeboat screen those who enter/win said lottery or scholarships? In other words, will criminals either present or future be included? If not? Would that be discrimination?

    Mr. Klien : Needless to say, each passenger will undergo an intense screening process before being allowed to board. Someone like Martha Stewart, who may have done a little insider trading, would still be considered a potential candidate. But a convicted murderer would have little chance of being accepted as a candidate.

    Space N Stuff : Human Nature, being just that, "human" ... presents many obstacles. Even if no weapons would be allowed, terrorism could flourish in the Colonies, in other ways. Currently, rules and regulations prevail in civilizations here on Earth. Governments here have impossible tasks and in the United States, laws vary by state. How would this be handled within the colonies?

    Mr. Klien : Each colony will be free to create its own laws and standards of conduct. Security officials will have the benefit of a confined station and its finite number of passengers when monitoring suspicious or malicious behavior. And, of course, the use of practical safeguards such as psychological testing will have to be in place for those onboard who have access to dangerous technologies.

    Space N Stuff : On this planet, we have various means to cope with and handle death. Since these colonies have no capability of returning to Earth, how would deceased individuals be cared for?

    Mr. Klien : Long term, we intend for the colonies to repopulate other planets-- including the Earth. As for those permanently living on spacestations, burial traditions would be unlikely. The departed could, in the fashion of a sailor's burial at sea, be ceremoniously launched into the sun. Simple cremation and cryonic suspension are additional possibilities. In all cases, memorials could also be created to both honor those who have passed and provide comfort to those who have lost loved ones.

    Space N Stuff : Although the world has made significant progress with various Space Programs, we still find 'glitches' that delay progress, at great expense. How will Lifeboat be different in this regard? Since the colonies are forever 'out there' how will replacement parts be stored? It would seem to be quite difficult to predict in advance, how many of each, would be needed to keep the Arks functioning at tip top performance.

    Mr. Klien : The development of self-sustaining technologies is essential to this project. We certainly don't want to replicate the Skylab and Mir experiences where they had to toss their junked space stations into the ocean.

    To create effective self-sustaining technologies will require, at the very least, the primitive beginnings of nanotechnology. This technology, which enables the manipulation of matter, atom by atom, could be used to stop a ship's entropy. Also, whatever plagues, fallout or weaponry was used by terrorists to wipe out life on Earth could be removed by this technology, thereby making the planet habitable again.

    For the record, while it will take hundreds of billions of dollars, if not more, to create nanotechnology, we will let others handle the cost. (Over a billion dollars was spent on nanotechnology development just this year.) We will just slightly adjust such technologies so they are useful to self-sustain a space station. And that is what we will spend ten years doing.

    Space N Stuff : For the first time since Man has walked on Earth, scientists and engineers are capable of mind boggling research and results. Yet, our Universe is constantly changing. Solar storms are perhaps altering many of our 'normal' weather patterns. Discoveries are being made faster than the press can report. Wouldn't it be difficult to plan now, with so many unknowns?

    Mr. Klien : It is always difficult to make plans based on educated guesses, but no plan to preserve mankind seems premature when you consider the consequences. Stephen Hawking warns that "You can't regulate every lab in the world. The danger is that either by accident or design, we create a virus that destroys us." With this in mind, can we afford to wait? Can we afford not to make plans?

    Space N Stuff : Finally Mr. Klien , mankind survives in 'groups.' Families, friendships, coworkers. Would Colonies provide employment? How would normal everyday expenses be handled? Would entire families qualify to climb onboard at the same time? Those who find living in space, is NOT their 'cup of tea' will face great stress, since it appears they will not be able to return, assuming there is a planet here still in existence. Can you elaborate?

    Mr. Klien : The more arks we are able to build, the more room will be available to house entire families. And considering that only a few thousand people will be in such close proximity onboard the station, meaningful bonds will be forged, new families will spring up and, with time, a sense of community will grow strong.

    As to employment, consumerism will not die alongside our planet. There will still be financial reward for services rendered. A new frontier offers new opportunity. Everyone will be encouraged to stimulate creativity and to provide the goods, services and entertainment needed for the station to flourish.

    Comments: Mr. Klien ? Feel free to add whatever you wish.

    Mr. Klien : The idea that advanced technologies are not an appropriate match for our primitive culture is an obvious one, but it wasn't until recently that I figured out why few people are worrying about it. The answer is that non-scientists are oblivious to potential dangers, while on the other hand, those who worship at the altar of science live by the precept that future advancements will cure all the world's problems.

    We are currently working on phase 4, the technical credibility, of our ARK I design and, in two weeks, I will be flying off to England to meet with a multibillionaire. Within a year or two, we expect our project to really gain some momentum!

    Space N Stuff wishes to extend its sincere gratitude to Mr. Klien for his timely response and the use of his valuable time. In the near future, we will pursue additional information in the form of a follow-up interview.
    In the meantime Mr. Klien , have a safe journey to England and back.
    Nancy, Director of Operations, Editor
    www.spacenstuff.com

    RESOURCES:
    Below you will find various LINKS within Lifeboat Foundation 's web site. It is very easy to navigate. We hope you will visit and see the details for yourself. Thank you.

    http://lifeboat.com/ex/ : Home Page
    http://lifeboat.com/ex/ArkI : Details on Ark I
    http://lifeboat.com/ex/timeline : Current and Future Goals.
    http://lifeboat.com/ex/faq : Frequently Asked Questions
    http://research.lifeboat.com/btexact.pdf : Research

    --

    If you celebrate Xmas, befriend me (538
  25. they should've called it "The Love Boat" by v8interceptor · · Score: 3, Funny

    that'd sell a lot more seats!

    --
    --- Why are you wearing that stupid bunny suit? | Why are you wearing that stupid man suit?
    1. Re:they should've called it "The Love Boat" by billybob2001 · · Score: 2

      And while they're at it, maybe they should consider moving domain to boatse.cx

  26. Gee... by TheDanish · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Am I the only one that thought "CULT!" when I read the title, and even moreso after reading the article? I mean, how often is this the staple of a cult? Well, suicide aside...

    --
    Danish != nationality
  27. They Post This, But Never Comment on Serious Stuff by exratio · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's frustrating that /. posts this sort of thing, but never touches on serious stuff dealing with the Singularity. Bah to the moderators.

    For example, the Singularity Institute has a vast array of comp-sci-related interesting stuff about General Artifical Intelligence and its role in the Singularity. The institute and volunteers are working on Flare, a programming language for GAI development.

    Then we have the Foresight Institute who have a bunch of scholarly, serious things to say about nanotechnology and its implications.

    Just for starters, of course. Then we have a million other resources out there, such as:

    KurzweilAI.net
    Extropy Institute

    at which one can learn about the Singularity and associated topics in context.

    But no, we get trash like the spaceship guy. Bah, bah, bah. Reason

  28. Heaven's Gate by Cheese+Cracker · · Score: 2

    The sites are /.ed, but after reading the intro, it all sounds like those Heaven's Gate people... they didn't need a real spaceship in 1996 when they all took off on the Hale-Bopp comet.

  29. Better yet by Guppy06 · · Score: 2

    Why not build a lifeboat for the ISS?

    1. Re:Better yet by dfenstrate · · Score: 2, Informative

      Already done. They're called 'Soyuz.' Russia swaps them out every 6 months or so. Part of the reason that they only have three people on the space station is that the evacuation capacity is severely limited.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
  30. an interesting calculation by dollargonzo · · Score: 4, Interesting

    i saw once, was to show that it is indeed impossible to save the entire human population. basically, the amount of people we can take off the planet every day is nowhere near the level of population growth. so, even if you can get a few million off the planet, 99% of the people currently on earth will be still living on earth, and any large scale disaster will still wipe out almost the entire human race if we do not prevent it. sure, maybe the human race itself will survive, but it will most likely not be sufficient to maintain itself, and will just die out anyway.

    --
    BSD is for people who love UNIX. Linux is for those who hate Microsoft.
    1. Re:an interesting calculation by Christopher+Thomas · · Score: 2

      maybe the human race itself will survive, but it will most likely not be sufficient to maintain itself, and will just die out anyway.

      As long as the destination environment isn't hostile, you don't need very many humans to survive (the 50/500 rule for breeding populations).

      If you require an industrial base - e.g. if you were colonizing a hostile environment and needed habitats - the size of a small city would still be fine. What is the smallest community that can be self-sufficient industrially?

      In summary, I think that making colonies that are viable in the long term does not require an unmanageable starting size or resource base.

    2. Re:an interesting calculation by Jerf · · Score: 3, Interesting

      i saw once, was to show that it is indeed impossible to save the entire human population.

      Such a statement must inevitable rest on a set of assumptions. As such, that's not a bad thing, but it should be considered in order to understand the true nature of the statement.

      At current technology, and all reasonably-likely foreseeable technology, yes, it is impossible to get even a vanishing fraction of the population off the Earth. It's impossible to even keep up with the birth rate.

      On the other hand, the very definition of the Singularity is that it is the/a point past which all previous conceptual frameworks for understanding the actions of humanity fail us. ("A" because many people make IMHO well-reasoned arguments that say that Singularities are very POV-based; that for a Medieval alchemist, we're well on the other side of what for him would be a Singularity.)

      Considered for instance in terms of raw energy, assuming cheap, easy fusion or better, there's plenty of power on the planet to take the whole of humanity off, and if you're willing to import power from other sources, we could take the whole biosphere with us. (Not that we want to, per se, but that it's possible.)

      I'm not saying that this is likely or possible or desirable (or not), I'm just saying that such facts must be considered in context, or they can mislead you. Certainly there is no hidden natural law of the universe requiring that all of humanity stay on the planet; just the well-known one of gravity, which has several known workarounds, even at our current level of understanding.

    3. Re:an interesting calculation by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      In his "Island in the Sea of Time" Trillogy S. M. Stirling "says" (or rather, one of the characters says) that the entire US on it's own, totally isolated from the rest of the world, could maintain one microchip plant after meeting all the rest of it's needs.

      That sounds a little extreme to me, although i'm sure Stirling has done _far_ more research into the issue than i have. Off the top of my head, the two major factors that i can think of contributing to this figure, that the US is far more dependant on foreign oil than we like to think about (which would not necessarily be relevant in a space colony) and that the US is far more dependant on cheap overseas (or overborder) labor that we like to think about (which could very well be relevant in a space colony.)

      That being said there's a lot of difference between the US suddenly being on it's own, and a colony that was designed from the begining to be self-sufficient.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    4. Re:an interesting calculation by Daetrin · · Score: 2

      Screw the millions, according to current genetic theory, if you go back far enough (200,000 years i think it was?) there was at one point just one common mom. Although i'm really not sure how that worked, it seems that the the 50/500 rule would have killed us off, although perhaps that first ancestor had lots of daughters who eventually had kids with the male descendants of the rest of the tribe(s).

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  31. We Are the Architect of Our Own Dilemma.. by CodePyro · · Score: 2, Funny

    "Lots of talk about nanotech accidents and biological accidents wiping out civilization"

    It is "civilization" that created these threats and now the threats might destroy "civilization"...The Irony....

    Completely off topic I just hope none of the Back Street Boys or 'NSYNC are on the same Space Ship I am on.

    1. Re:We Are the Architect of Our Own Dilemma.. by Zarf · · Score: 2

      I just hope none of the Back Street Boys or ?NSYNC are on the same Space Ship I am on.

      I believe that they are on the second ship, which we are sending first. That would be the "B" ark.

      --
      [signature]
  32. Cult. by bstadil · · Score: 3, Interesting
    "A cult is a religion with no political power." -- Tom Wolfe.

    The difference between cult and respectable religions are just the size of membership. Example: Eating the body of Christ, handed to you by a priest! Imagine the reaction if someone came up with this POS today. Doesn't get more "Cult'ish" than that.

    Just because your are not paranoid doesn't mean your are not being followed!

    Danish by Nationality not by Name by the way.

    --
    Help fight continental drift.
  33. Just how capable are they? by PeterClark · · Score: 2

    Ok, these are the same people that wanted to make an artificial island so that they could have their own country--see link attached to article. Well, according to that same page, they've abandoned that project. Now, one could argue that they changed their plans because of this "Singularity" business. More likely, they didn't get the funds. Let's do a little match, shall we? If you can't raise enough dough to make an island, what makes you think you can raise enough dough to build a spaceship ark? And given the recent "success" of Armadillo Aerospace, I'd be a little hesitant to fund a private space program, especially with live people on board.

    1. Re:Just how capable are they? by blincoln · · Score: 2

      And given the recent "success" of Armadillo Aerospace, I'd be a little hesitant to fund a private space program, especially with live people on board.

      You know, I wish people would quit harping about that. Do you think NASA just started building flawlessly-operating Saturn Vs from scratch back in the 60s?

      --
      "...always new atoms but always doing the same dance, remembering what the dance was yesterday." -Richard Feynman
  34. How will they decide who goes on or who doesn't? by Ryu2 · · Score: 2

    Site is /.ed, but I doubt they can fit all 6 billion members of humanity. Who will be dealing with the extraordinarily difficult task of deciding who goes on, and by what standards?

    Reminds me of the movie "Deep Impact" where they had to decide who went into the underground bunkers to live out the asteroid impact, and how these decisions split families, etc in two.

    --
    There's 10 types of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.
  35. Big Brain of Death by Quirk · · Score: 2

    The Biomass is littered with dead critters who developed overspecialized means of monopolizing their ecological niche and paid the ultimate price of extincition through success. We have only to point to Bill Gates and MicroSoft to see our doom approaching. Our outsized brains have allowed us to dominate the biosphere and promulgate changes evolution might well blush at.The biomass is a system and as such functions by way of principles we refer to as feedback, both positive and negative, and runaway. Sex and death are excellent, at hand ;), examples of positive feedback. While we're busy skirting death and overbreeding nature is being pushed up against the limits of existing tolerances and sooner or later, you know, something's got to give. When the shifts in parameters start to take place no one can say what the outcome will be. We might come out in Eden, we might come out in Hell and suffer the damnation of Faust, or just die out. Either way it's the big brain and our unbridled fears and hubris that will get us there. That having been said, I'm off to quaff a beer and a handful of anti-depressants. This short interlude of anthropomorphizing was brought to atop my own brand of soapbox fashioned after the rhetorical positions of K Galbraith and W. Churchill who repsectively stated: "I right because I'm taller than you" and "These, Gentlemen, are the opinions upon which I base my facts."

    --
    "Academicians are more likely to share each other's toothbrush than each other's nomenclature."
    Cohen
  36. Why it won't work by ShooterNeo · · Score: 4, Informative

    First, a brief recap. "The Singularity" is a paper by Vernor Vinge which makes an observation. The author noted that the rate of change is in fact accelerating exponentially. He predicted that rather dramatic consequences will result when change reaches the vertical part of the exponential curve, rounding the bend per say. Humans simply will not be able to keep up with things or have any influence whatsoever as new life with greatly improved intelligence goes on to dominate the planet and then the reachable universe. This observation is quite well supported by other evidence. Current obstacles : human stubborness and delusions of their own grandeur, relative technological difficulty, human delusion of some mystical secret "soul" to prevent such a thing will be cleared away by one means or another. I say 'will' because trying to stop something like this would be like a group of humans deciding to end their expansion by refusing to reproduce. Someone else would, and dominate the future. Remember, the improved intelligent life, whatever form they take, will be in reality humanity's children. Random evolution won't bring it about : creating better intelligence will require a vast organized effort, whether it be designing circuitry or modifying the genetics of existing people. The new life, whether it be a baby with special genes or a learning machine that must be taught from the basics onward will require the same parenting process the current people alive must give to their children to carry on the legacy. Unlike the popular view, I see this as a positive step. Yes, biological humans will probably die away eventually...but this need not be a violent process, or any more cruel than the deaths of current humans by their own bodies. The solar system and the galaxy belong to these descendents, as it should be.

    1. Re:Why it won't work by spiro_killglance · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Just one thing, an exponential curve doesn't have
      a vertical part, it keeps getting more vertical for ever, but never form a vertical asymtote. To
      get a true signularity the curve will have to be
      of the form 1/(x-a)^q. Another words if progress
      remains exponential we never get a singularity.

    2. Re:Why it won't work by seven89 · · Score: 2
      Random evolution won't bring it about : creating better intelligence will require a vast organized effort, whether it be designing circuitry or modifying the genetics of existing people.
      Perhaps some level of "better intelligence" can also be cultivated by developing new forms of human organization.
    3. Re:Why it won't work by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      The singularity is usually considered to be the bend where it _starts_ shooting up almost vertically, not the (as you pointed out, nonexistant) point where it _is_ shooting up vertically.

      Presumably "the vertical part" was a reference to that section of the graph, as opposed to the "flat" part at the begining or the "bend" in the middle, middle being defined here as the part between the vertical part and the horizontal part =)

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  37. Might as well get "cheesed" about the tides... by Logos · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Because it seems to be just as natural.

    Its been that way throughout human history (throughout life's history?) -- when things got too crowded, too violent, too oppressive, too competitive, too boring, etc. some (usually the very rich and the very poor) moved on to look for new places with better opportunities.

    And in general, it seems to pay off -- intelligence, and skill don't make people successful, getting there first with lots of friends does. It just makes sense, the competition is less, so what's needed for success is less.

    But just like bacteria in a pitri dish, when we run out of room, we will die off. Sure there's too many people, but who's gonna volunteer to fall on the sword first? You? Stop breeding? You? For everyone who says "yes" all you will have done is take yourself out of the running, life doesn't seem to favor the self-eliminating.

    But nature has the answer: We call them War, Famine, Pestilence, and Natural Causes. We still fear them as much as we ever did. There's a reason we call them the four horsemen of the apocolypse: Because they are nature's answer to "surplus inventory." There's also a reason why "celibacy" and "suicide" aren't included -- they don't have what it takes for mass population control -- if they did, nature would have promoted them by now.

    So while your advice might be the rational answer, it doesn't seem to be the instinctive one, and whether we want to admit it or not, instinct and habit drive us much more than reason.

    "A person is smart, people are dumb, panicy dangerous animals, and you know it." -- MIB

    We've known it ever since we became self-aware. And its the arrogance of our self-awareness that makes us think we can change any of it.

    So, go ahead change it I mean the question is so simple: "How does one change life into something its not?" We already know the answer -- its what we spend our "lives" trying to avoid. ;-)

    --
    We are agents of the free
  38. There is one overlooked positive here... by aerojad · · Score: 2, Funny

    All of those people waiting on SETI@home to find something intresting will finally be able to pick up an intelligent lifeform signal.

    --

    SecondPageMedia - Wha
    1. Re:There is one overlooked positive here... by Kwil · · Score: 2

      Well.. at least a lifeform signal.

      --

      That Jesus Christ guy is getting some terrible lag... it took him 3 days to respawn! -NJ CoolBreeze

  39. Re:They Post This, But Never Comment on Serious St by Saeger · · Score: 2
    I think it's just easier for people - who are even aware of the concept - to laugh off the whole idea of a technological Singularity, even though it's an inevitability before this century is out.

    Exponential progress is a fact, and we're currently on the knee of that tech curve, but it's simply too hard for many people to accept how fast things are going to change in the near future, since our minds like to extrapolate linearly and futilely resist change...

    It's easy to be cynical about the future though, after all, "where's my flying car dammit?!" is a free pass to make fun of any wild prediction, because of famous bad ones.

    --

    --
    Power to the Peaceful
  40. Sure they can save humanity by spike+hay · · Score: 3, Funny

    But can they save their servers?

    --
    If you don't understand any of my sayings, come to me in private and I shall take you in my German mouth.
  41. Possible flaw in their plan by cosmosis · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The possible flaw is that by the time they get the technology necessary to live in space sustainably long-term, mature nanotechnology will be available. So at best, they will have a few short years in which to get ahead start. But more importantly, the speed in which they will be able to travel will more than likely be substantially less than c. And once the singularity happens all bets are off, but chances are nanobot probes will be heading off in all directions at close to the speed of light, which means their ship will more than likely get infected, unless this singularity is benign. But if it is Benign, then there is no reason for their escape in the first place. I do wish them the best of luck.

    Planet P - Liberation with Technology.

    1. Re:Possible flaw in their plan by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The possible flaw is that by the time they get the technology necessary to live in space sustainably long-term, mature nanotechnology will be available.

      You appear to have confused science fiction with reality. There's no context in which a statement like "nanotechnology will be available" (emphasis mine) can be taken seriously. Apart from the fact that the word "nanotechnology," by itself, is too broad to have any relevance... oh, wait.

      And once the singularity happens all bets are off, but chances are nanobot probes will be heading off in all directions at close to the speed of light, which means their ship will more than likely get infected, unless this singularity is benign.

      Sorry, I should have read your whole post before responding. I didn't realize until after I'd already hit "reply" that you're a loony.

      Carry on.

      --

      I write in my journal
    2. Re:Possible flaw in their plan by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 5, Informative

      You obviously are uninformed about nanotechnolgy.

      Everybody is uninformed about nanotechnology. It's a term like "theology" or "philosophy," too broad to have any real meaning.

      That said, let me summarize what I know about nanotechnology so you can decide if I'm insufficiently informed. It all started with Feynman's APS talk back in '59. If I remember correctly, it was entitled, "There's Room at the Bottom," or something like that. In it, he talked about the theoretical basis for molecule-scale structures: manufacturing through evaporation, the challenge of lubrication, and so on. Interestingly, I seem to recall, Feynman essentially ignored the implications of the Uncertainty Principle in his talk. That may be my imagination, though; it's been a long time.

      Meanwhile, von Neumann was doing theoretical work of his own on self-replicating systems. (His work actually predated Feynman's talk by several years, but that's close enough to merit a "meanwhile" from me.)

      Drexler first put the ideas together in a serious way in 1981, and in greater detail in his seminal '86 book, Engines of Creation. (I sold my copy years ago to a used book store, so don't expect any chapter-and-verse quotes from me.) He postulated self-replicating devices for manipulating atoms individually; he called them "assemblers." If I remember correctly, he also coined the term "gray goo" to refer to the nightmare of a runaway assembler that devours all available raw materials to manufacture more copies of itself, burying the surface of the Earth in a homogenous sludge.

      Since the 80's, Drexler and others have done a mountain of work on nanotechnological ideas, most of them centering around the idea of the atomic-scale self-reproducing assembler. But that's not the whole story.

      Back to the 1970's. We have these two basic ideas: atomic-scale manufacturing (Feynman) and self-replicating machines (von Neumann). Drexler jumped to the conclusion that these two ideas can be made to work together and ran with it. But the blanket term "nanotechnology" has since been applied to any non-biological physical process that occurs on the nanometer scale, not just Drexler's blue-sky ideas. That's why I say the term "nanotechnology" is essentially useless in any sort of technical discussion. Electron microscopy is nanotechnology. The synthesis of drugs is nanotechnology. PCR amplification of DNA is nanotechnology. Electroplating is nanotechnology. Drexler's self-replicating assemblers are nanotechnology. Everything is nanotechnology, in one way or another. And some ideas that can fairly be called nanotechnology are... well, let's just say they're a hell of a lot less plausible than others.

      To take a specific example, Drexler's ideas of atomic-scale assemblers that replicate themselves and also assemble other atomic-scale structures are here already. They're called enzymes, and they're everywhere. The problem is that they only work inside a narrow range of temperature and environment. If the pH is too high or too low, the enzymes-- or "assemblers," if you prefer-- simply don't work. So they have to be contained inside little self-regulating environment bubbles: cells. And cells-- well, most kinds, anyway-- are too fragile to exist for long without external support. Thus, organisms. And even when an enzyme is in the perfect environment, contained inside a cell that's in turn protected by an entire organism, it still only works about half the time. Even something as seemingly harmless as sunlight can attack enzymes like artillery shells, blasting those fragile molecules into pieces before they can do their jobs. But the biological processes are so ridiculously redundant that 50% or more is an acceptable rate of failure.

      Drexler envisions a very clean, precise atomic-scale manufacturing process. He assumes that this is possible because we're talking about putting atoms in place one at a time; there's no reason any nanotechnologically manufactured object should ever have a flaw in it. But, while that's theoretically possible, it's a lot harder to achieve than you might think. Remember what I said about temperature and environment? Nanotechnological-- or, if you prefer, biological, for at this point they're the same thing-- processes are fragile and delicate.

      So jumping to the conclusion that we will have nanotechnology is meaningless, because nanotechnology means any number of things that cover the spectrum from the mundane to the fanciful.

      --

      I write in my journal
    3. Re:Possible flaw in their plan by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      So jumping to the conclusion that we will have nanotechnology is meaningless, because nanotechnology means any number of things that cover the spectrum from the mundane to the fanciful.

      Who are you accusing of jumping to this conclusion? The Lifeboat people? Or the person you originally responded to?

      Neither one said we _will_ have nanotech, they both just said it was a possibility, and that if there is, there's the chance it could become extremely dangerous. (I read the posters comment as "A possible flaw is... that nanotech will be available," ie a possiblity, not a definite thing)

      Arguing that nanotechnology can mean any number of things is meaningless. They've specified what type of nanotech they're worried about, the kind that could be turned into grey goo. Clearly they're not worried about the entire world being electroplated ;)

      The only thing i'd argue with is the assumption by the poster your responded to that if nanotech is developed, the lifeboat will be intercepted by near lights speed nanotech probes and therefore any disaster that happens to earth will happen to the lifeboat:

      A: I suspect that the ability to create grey goo will occur before near light speed or beyond light speed travel is developed, so if a disaster happens, it's likely to happen before that point.

      B: Even if it does happen afterwards, or the nanobots take a longer time catching up at sublight speeds, it's not likely the particular nanobots that are a threat will end up in space probes unless someone is intentionally trying to destroy all human life. The risk of grey goo is that it could be created by accident in an experiment, or be manufactured by (very, VERY insane) terrorists in a small lab. However building it with a time delay function and launching it into space would require both a lot of planning and a lot of resources.

      C: As mentioned on the Lifeboat site, it's a lot easier to maintain security over a small area than a large one. Creating an active nanobot defense over the entire earth would be almost impossible, creating one in a spaceship/colony would be many orders of magnitude easier.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  42. be careful by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 5, Funny
    I found this little gem in the "Oceania Project" farewell letter.
    In retrospect, the biggest problem concerning The Atlantis Project was lack of interest. Lack of interest and the fact that its precepts were based in Libertarian politics.

    The two problems concerning the Project were lack of interest and the fact that its precepts were based in Libertarian politics. And a lack of funding.

    The three problems concerning the Project were lack of interest, the fact that its precepts were based in Libertarian politics, and a lack of funding. And an almost fanatical devotion to our cause.

    The four... no. Amongst the problems... amongst the challenges... are such factors as a general lack of interest....

    I'll come in again.
    I'm not sure I'm ready to put the responsibility for saving mankind in the hands of a guy who's seen too many Monty Python sketches.

    (No sense of humor? It's a joke. I'm kidding. The first two sentences are actually in the letter. I added the rest, because it's funny. Ha-ha.)
    --

    I write in my journal
  43. Re:slashdot template by Twirlip+of+the+Mists · · Score: 3, Funny

    Whats the secret trick to get my laptop above 1024x768?

    It's easy. Just click here and the press the green button.

    --

    I write in my journal
  44. Lifeboat...to where? by mbogosian · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Okay, I apologize in advance if this is ill-informed (the site was already slashdotted), or redundant by the time I post this, but say for the sake of argument that we have a lifeboat. Where are we going to go with it? Are we to assume we've already terraformed countless other planets with suns similar to our own?

    1. Re:Lifeboat...to where? by krogoth · · Score: 2

      "The ship is sinking! Get in the lifeboats"

      "But where will we go? I refuse to leave until I get an answer!"

      (note: I don't take this threat too seriously)

      --

      They that quote Benjamin Franklin on liberty and safety deserve neither.
    2. Re:Lifeboat...to where? by mbogosian · · Score: 2

      "The ship is sinking! Get in the lifeboats"

      "But where will we go? I refuse to leave until I get an answer!"

      (note: I don't take this threat too seriously)


      Please don't confuse my comment with criticism of the activity of building a "lifeboat". If life is in danger of becoming extinguished, I have no doubts of the popularity of something like a lifeboat. I'm just claiming that popularity doesn't necessarily equate a good plan.

      However, much like your sinking ship analogy, a lifeboat is a pretty weak bet without other measures (flares, other ship traffic in the area, homing beacons, a schedule indicating when your ship was to arrive at port so that when it doesn't someone actually misses you and sends out a search party, etc.).

      In the lifeboat in space idea, I doubt heavily that we'll be picked up by a friendly passing vessel. We would also need to plan for how it can take it's passengers to some area more habitable than the one being left behind (this is less like a lifeboat and more like an ejection seat in an aircraft). I'm just questioning what the rest of the plan is. Don't get me wrong, having a way off this rock is a necessary part, but it is not sufficient in and of itself.

    3. Re:Lifeboat...to where? by Daetrin · · Score: 2

      Well, i'd say, wait till everyone on earth has finished killing themselves, then land again. Cool! Look! An earthlike planet in a good orbit around a G class star! Just might need a little terraforming depending on the nature of the annihilation.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    4. Re:Lifeboat...to where? by Tablizer · · Score: 2

      Where are we going to go with it? Are we to assume we've already terraformed countless other planets with suns similar to our own?

      Ideally they would be permanently self-sustained. However, another approach is to head in roughly a strait line where a lot of roughly Sun-like stars are known to be. The ships can scan them as they pass through, and stop and back up only if they find a suitable planet during the survey. The course (line) would have to be veered only a small percent to head to the next Sun-like star. Thus, it would not need a lot of energy to keep stopping and changing full direction.

  45. The "Singularity" = the Rapture for atheists by Artifice_Eternity · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I don't know who said that first, but I read it here on Slashdot.

    I like Vinge's fiction, but the Singularity thing strikes me as an apocalyptic/transcendent/eschatological scenario for people who can't stomach the Book of Revelation.

    Face it: the real underpinnings of the "Singularity" are not any kind of hard science, but human yearning for redemption and transformation. All this talk about the growth of AI is a joke -- in fact most of the field of AI is a joke, since no one can even define what natural intelligence is, much less the artificial kind. And technological trends like Moore's Law are not in any way bound to continue, yet geeks treat them like scientifically proven laws of nature, and then extrapolate the emergence of an Ubermind.

    The impulses behind religion -- a desire for collective change and a future utopia -- need not be manifested in traditionally religious ways. For much of the 19th and 20th centuries, ostensibly anti- or non-religious people believed in a faith called Marxism, that promised an all-cleansing revolution and a workers' paradise. The "Singularity" nuts are just the latest iteration of this.

    There's a term for the movement of people who want to cyborgize themselves, which escapes me at the moment (exomorphs? something like that). But I imagine there's a lot of overlap between them and the "Singularists."

    1. Re:The "Singularity" = the Rapture for atheists by Sdrawcab · · Score: 2, Informative

      Transhumanism/Transhumanists are what you are reffering to, I believe.

    2. Re:The "Singularity" = the Rapture for atheists by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      This sort of thing is a pretty typical response for a cultist who hears his belief system questioned.

      This kind of thing is a pretty typical response for a person who hears their questioning of a belief system questioned.

      We could keep this up all day! :)

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    3. Re:The "Singularity" = the Rapture for atheists by praedor · · Score: 2

      What is also nonsensical about the singularity idea is it divorces scientific advancement from those responsible for producing it: humans. There is not an exponentially increasing number of scientists to keep up with the supposedly exponentially increasing level of tech and knowledge. You CAN'T get the amount of scientific advancement in a day that you get in a year unless there is a corresponding increase in the number of scientists doing the work AND they give up on the workday and go hellbent 24/7.


      Naw. Science advances only as quickly as humans can do the grunt work. The rate of advancement has a rate wall that cannot be exceeded dependent on 1) number of scientists in each field, 2) the rate they can ingest and gain understanding of other's works and actually process the information into something useable - the larger the body of work, the longer it takes to reach understanding because there is so much more to take in), 3) productive hours in a day, 4) funding (science isn't free - it gets more and more expensive all the time, depending on the area).


      I'm certain I'm leaving things out but science doesn't do itself. It is a human activity limited by the limits of the tool conducting it.

      --
      In Bushworld, they struggle to keep church and state separate in Iraq as they increasingly merge the two in America.
    4. Re:The "Singularity" = the Rapture for atheists by Lemmy+Caution · · Score: 2

      Extropians, actually.

  46. Moores Law of Terrorism by Tablizer · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Look, meat puppets, you are PART OF THIS ECOSYSTEM, you are stuck here in the mud with the rest of us.

    Bull! We currently have the technology (assuming big bucks) to send multi-generational colonies to other star systems. Are you saying some "ancient spirit" will reach out and grab our asses back to Earth if we try? Been smokin' too much hemp perhaps.

    Given what I call the "Moores Law of Terrorism" [1], eventually it will be possible to for a small group of people to wipe out the entire human species (via nukes, biokillers, nanokillers, etc.)

    Why risk that when we can save at least *some* of our asses so that humans as a species survive rather than allow all 100% to die. (Note: It probably will not be me in the tin can.)

    [1] The number of people who a small group of terrorists can kill doubles every X years.

    1. Re:Moores Law of Terrorism by sgage · · Score: 2

      "Bull! We currently have the technology (assuming big bucks) to send multi-generational colonies to other star systems."

      Bull! We do not!

    2. Re:Moores Law of Terrorism by BinxBolling · · Score: 2
      Bull! We currently have the technology (assuming big bucks) to send multi-generational colonies to other star systems.

      Even if we did have the required technology (we don't), what would be the point? Those generation ships would never return. We might not even find out what their fate was.

      Colonizing other planets is of no value to us here on earth, unless it's possible to set up some sort of regular trade (in goods or knowledge) between ourselves and the colonies. Given the limitations that our current understanding of physics puts on effective communications over such distances (much less actual transportation) that isn't going to happen. Our understanding of physics might change, but it would be stupid to spend time and energy on sending out those ships when we don't know what the future holds, technologically.

      Yeah, it would give a few people like yourself warm fuzzies if we did it, because it fulfills a deep need to see yourself as a participant (however minor) in some grand narrative. But without some sort of economic upside, not enough people will be willing to commit the funds to send out the ships. They'd rather fulfill their need for a narrative through religion, which can be much cheaper, when properly implemented.

    3. Re:Moores Law of Terrorism by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      Agreed, most people are stupid and probably wouldn't give a shit unless there were some bucks in it for them. However colonizing other planets is of value here on earth because humanity is here, and colonizing other planets is of value to humanity.

      If we kill ourselves all off, we're a failure as a species. If we manage to colonize other planets, then we're a sucess by the only measure that Mother Nature really cares about.

      That of course doesn't mean that there aren't other worthwhile endeavors, but it's pretty extreme to say that spreading out the species so we don't all go extinct has no value. It's like saying there's no value in a parent dying to save their children, or soldiers dying to save their nation.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    4. Re:Moores Law of Terrorism by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      Why do you care what Mother Nature thinks about your species? You're imagining that our existence is somehow our entry into a competition, and have anthropomorphized Mother Nature into a judge. This is a cobbled-together belief system designed to provide an atheist with the same sort of certainty of the meaningfulness of his existence that religion provides to the devout.

      How have i anthropomorphized Mother Nature into a judge? Things can be successes or failures without a judge. You set up the rules beforehand, and the things that are the best according to the rules "wins" at the end.

      Scientists created the theory of evolution to explain the way life works to the best of our knowledge. Things that pass on their genes "win," things that don't lose and die.

      This isn't a certainty of meaningfulness. Is an intelligent species that dies out but leaves behind works of art and knowledge for another intelligent species to find a sucess? Not really according to evolution/mother nature/whatever you want to call it, but in another sense maybe they are.

      Of course even just going by the criteria of species survival there are issues to work out. Every species dies off eventually, so is sucess a relative thing, based on how long they lasted before the went? Or maybe we're playing against almost impossible odds, and the only "winners" are those that make it to the end of the universe or beyond, which of the species we know of, only humans have even the remotest chance of doing.

      It's all very subjective, and different people can accept different definitions, but i fail to see how believing that being alive is a good thing is a "cobbled-together belief system." Presumably if you didn't think the same thing, you would have removed yourself from the equation already.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  47. Re:The Singularity Will Get Them (anyhow) by Charm · · Score: 2
    Which is the exact scenario out of the beginning of Vinges book 'A fire upon the deep'

    The new Power had no weapons on the ground, nothing but a comm laser. That could not even melt steel at the frigate's range. No matter, the laser was aimed, civilly on the retreating warship's receiver. No acknowledgment. The humans knew what communication would bring. The laser light flickered here and there across the hull, lighting smoothness and inactive sensors, sliding across the ship's ultradrive spines. Searching probing. The Power had never bothered to sabotage the external hull, but that was no problem. Even this crude machine had thousands of robot sensors scattered across its surface, reporting status and danger, driving utility programs. Most were shut down now, the ship fleeing nearly blind. They thought by not looking that they could be safe.
    One more second and the frigate would attain interstellar saftey.
    The laser flickered on a failure sensor, a sensor that reported critical changes in one of the ultradrive spines. Its interrupts could not be ignored if the star jump were to succeed. Interrupt honored. Interrupt handler running, looking out, receiving more light from the laser far below ... a backdoor into the ship's code, installed when the newborn had subverted the humans' groundside equipment....
    ...and the Power was aboard, with milliseconds to spare. Its agents -- not even human equivalent on this primitive hardware -- raced through the ship's automation, shutting down, aborting. There would be no jump. Cameras in the ship's bridge showed widening of eyes, the beginning of a scream. The humans knew, to the extent that horror can live in a fraction of a second.

    How do they know the singularity society won't go after them?

    --
    -- RTFM:Slackware::Beer:Saturday
  48. An underground/water boat first? by iamacat · · Score: 2, Interesting
    It seams premature to try to survive in space for long time, when we had no success with settlements deep underwater and underground. They are much easier to sustain, provide a good chance to survive most of the disasters that might wipe out life on Earth and have pragmatic benefits. For example, an extensive underground level - with artificial sky, ventilation and so on - might relief overcrowded cities.

    More to the point of the article, we can probably establish settlements like this now, with current level of technology. Then in future a space settlement will only need to get in space and deal with problems unique to being there. Other problems that a domed settlement on Mars might face - creating a self-sustained biosphere, making repairs using only material inside and so on - will already be solved on Earth.

    1. Re:An underground/water boat first? by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      They covered this in the faq. They said that underground "boats" might be a part of the solution, but that the nature of the unknown disaster might make the surface of the earth uninhabitable, which would make the problem of self-sustainemnt would still need to be dealt with, although the problems of low pressure and low gravity wouldn't exist anymore, and the problem of getting all the material and people to the site would be trivial in comparison.

      The other point against it was that "Let's go live in space!" is a much better rallying cry than "Let's all go hide in a cave!"

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  49. Re:They Post This, But Never Comment on Serious St by Charm · · Score: 2
    There's much more to human intelligence than doing math really fast. Thats why this is a ton of horseshit.

    You misunderstand the singularity. It doesn't have to come about because of AI. It can also come about because of human augmentation with computers, let me give you some examples.

    A smart person connected to the internet can research a problem faster than one in a library. As the software for research on the net gets better and better more research can be done. Hence better software and hardware can be made and people can study previous research.

    This doesn't mean we will increase forever but that at the current rate we are increasing exponentially. Also the singularity is not judgment day. Some people see it that way because they don't understand. We will not be enslaved or lose our souls any more than we do so today.

    --
    -- RTFM:Slackware::Beer:Saturday
  50. `Fiiiii-bre!' -or - `When elevators come down' by leonbrooks · · Score: 5, Interesting
    If you have a space elevator [...] and the ground point of the elevator becomes un-teathered (e.g. no longer attached to earth) what happens?

    Not much, unless the design deliberately called for it to be under tension. The things are in orbit, after all. Some designs call for the `tower' base to be mobile (a ship). It's not really a tower, it's really a bridge anchored on nothing (from the middle out).

    Breaking it in the middle would be a bit more disastrous. The bottom half would whiplash around the planet (or maybe the bottom tenth, quite a lot would burn up and/or shatter as it re-entered), and what happened to the other half would be highly dependednt on stuff like where the Moon was at the time.

    Terrorist attacks would not be easy to carry off; the elevator would be a very thin low-visibility target to hit, and air defense would be relatively simple. Some quite small computer-co-ordinated guns on the travellers would prove quite lethal to aircraft and missiles alike, and I imagine that provision would be made for directing and focussing the lift laser against larger and/or slower targets. The designs that I've seen would be immune to meteor strikes up to quite sizeable impacts (they're curved - like a tape measure - so even a side-on strike would get at most half of the fibres).

    Terrorist attacks against space colonies would be much more of a problem. From orbit, a rocket the size of two soft-drink cans could loft a couple of kilos of small ball-bearings into a widely dispersed cloud on a collision course with a colony. This would be very difficult to even detect, let alone parry or dodge.

    Terrorist attacks on ground targets from orbit would also be a worry. `We have many rocks, Man.'
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
    1. Re:`Fiiiii-bre!' -or - `When elevators come down' by swv3752 · · Score: 2

      Terrorism is the result of some small group that tries to force thier ideals on everyone else. Inevitably some group is going to oppose the elevator and attempt to use force to bring it down. Just look at the animal rights groups that blow up labs conducting animal research.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
    2. Re:`Fiiiii-bre!' -or - `When elevators come down' by barawn · · Score: 2

      Space elevators are untethered, by definition: they're in orbit. It just so happens that they happen to be really big and long, so that one end of them nearly touches the ground. You may want to magnetically grab or physically grab the end to try to actively avoid large objects (induced oscillations).

      The minimum stable height of a space elevator is center of mass in geosynchronous orbit, by definition. Otherwise it would drift around the planet. Note that the anchor point (the place it's built above) has to be on the equator as well.

      There'd be quite a few oscillations: there'd be a natural oscillatory mode depending on the actual length of the elevator cable. These could be damped, however, so no, there doesn't NEED to be oscillations - it's just that there likely will be a few, and probably quite a few that are pretty complicated and difficult to damp.

    3. Re:`Fiiiii-bre!' -or - `When elevators come down' by Daetrin · · Score: 2
      A lot of people would be against a space elevator out of fear of the damage done if it ever fell down. Of course those people would be unlikely to try and sabotage it once it was up.

      What you'd need to worry about more is anyone who saw it as a symbol of the US/Western Civilization/Whatever group some terrorists have a grudge again. I don't think the 9/11 terrorists thought that the WTC was inherently bad for being a very tall building or something like that.

      --
      This Space Intentionally Left Blank
    4. Re:`Fiiiii-bre!' -or - `When elevators come down' by swv3752 · · Score: 2

      Luddites that oppose man going to space? Religious nuts that oppose us going to "heaven"? Eco-terrorists thinking it will destroy the planet? It only takes a little imagination see the potential groups that will try to take it down. Someone will oppose it because some one always does. It is a sad fact of human nature.

      --
      Just a Tuna in the Sea of Life
  51. Don't be silly by DoctorFrog · · Score: 2
    So how about taking some of the energy you put into escapist fantasies and focus those gigantic brains of yours on improving what we've got, instead of running away from our problems, huh?

    Gigantic brains improving what we've got is what brings the Singularity on!

  52. Possible DMCA violation here, folks. by erik_fredricks · · Score: 2

    I've seen that space station before-in Space: 1999. If the producers choose to sue, then the damn blueprints will be illegal to reproduce or distribute and we'll be stuck on this dumb rock forever. Another reason to hate the DMCA...

    --

    THE GOOD HUMOR MAN CAN ONLY BE PUSHED SO FAR
    Bart Simpson on chalkboard in episode 2F18

  53. Woohoo! by BiOFH · · Score: 2

    Lemme get my tinfoil hat and sign me up!

    Hooboy I hope that /. starts paying more attention to them black helicopters soon!

    "Dale, where in the hell did you hear that?"
    "Alt-dot-conspiracy-dot-helicopter-dot-bla ck."

    --
    - I am made of meat.
  54. Hmmph by malachid69 · · Score: 4, Interesting

    I was an active member of Oceania, and still believe in the principles... However, I am not so sure about joining any project run by Eric. Though he seemed like a nice guy, he flaked off without telling anyone what was happening or where their money was going.

    I love this quote, in relation to the fact he hasn't replied to anything Oceania in YEARS:
    "Eric Klien, founder of Colossus, Inc., a web hosting company since 1995 and founder of The Atlantis Project, an ambition made obsolete by current events."

    He may be on the up-and-up, but from past experience with Oceania, I have to personally assume that it is a scam.

    Malachi

    --
    http://www.google.com/profiles/malachid
  55. Atmospheric pressure in space by FlibbleDwarf · · Score: 2, Informative

    I don't know if this was already pointed out, but the author seems to be slightly unifomed about the properties of a vacuum. Since NASA has stated it would take 10-20 years at THEIR current level of funding to put a man on the moon again (let alone colonise), I wonder how the lifeboat will be ready in less than 18 years.

    Ah well, the quote from the lifeboat FAQ (main, not supplimentary) shows what I am talking about (emphasis mine).

    Why not hide in a deep sea colony?

    This would have all the disadvantages of a bunker/cave.

    Also, the one single atmosphere of pressure in outer space seems inconsequential compared to the hundreds of atmospheres of pressure under the sea.

    The predictions of Eric sound similar to another organisation... your favourite door-to-door salespeople. (And the History of the end of the world). Found on Google.

    --
    A Sig should be like my friend Maran, short.
  56. This is not about 'Escaping the Singularity', by Marr · · Score: 2, Interesting

    ... but some of the comments here do seem to be working on that assumption. From the site: "Our main goal is to get enough of the human race off the planet, as soon as possible, to ensure the future of mankind in case of overwhelming disaster."

    There doesn't need to be a Singularity Point in order for this to be a good idea, people. Does it slip our minds that we already farking have the power to Nuke Ourselves Back into the Stone Age(tm), and even if progress has stopped accellerating as of 3am last night, (Any bets?) things are still set to get a lot more dangerous before they stabilise.

    Seems to me that making a few colony vessels as an insurance policy against the Earth's possible suicide (You're asleep at the wheel if you think it can't happen) as soon as feasable is a sensible and prudent step to take. Provided, of course, that we also continue our efforts here on Earth to keep intelligence and information tech up to speed with our power and weapons capabilities.

    Incidentally, do this societies goals remind anyone else of Iain Banks' SF background essay, "A Few Notes on the Culture"?

  57. Lifeboat by hackus · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I believe in many ways we already have "missed" the boat.

    I think Arthur C Clark put it best when asked about the most amazing development of the 20th century was that "We went to the moon, and then, stopped."

    No real progress has been made since then, except we have had better hardware to reach earth orbit.
    (More powerful rockets and robtics...whoop to do to day, yippy skippy.)

    Rocket technology sucks. The whole concept stinks, in my humble opinion. So does Solar sails, that stinks as well. These stupid and dumb propositions to push physical objects around in space are just as quaint as the 300-400 year old laws that describe how to do it. (Newtons laws.)

    Not GOOD ENOUGH though for an ark.

    Those crucial 30-40 years that we sat on our laurels I believe represented a critical time window when, the world had enough resources, and was stable enough to continue invest HEAVILY in space research, without polticians and short cited people to notice.

    Now, it is far too expensive, our governments are basically corrupt, and way too many people are overly concerned about how much consumerism they can accomplish in one lifetime, to worry about the future beyond 1 hour of thier lives.

    We basically lost 30 years since the time of Apollo, and we will pay dearly for it as small bands of humans, seek to destroy civilization, even at the cost of thier own lives for thier impident God they worship.

    The kinds and sorts of technology required for long term duration in space, is something we don't posses, nor will we I do believe for another 100-300 years. Space is just too hazardous, radiation wise, relativistically wise, that an Ark launched with todays technology could become easily sterile before it even leaves the solar system.

    I think I also believe that we are on a cycle. We have just too many "fairy tales" of past civilizations describing "Gods in the Sky" that would travel around the world, to discount that perhaps, we have already been here, or near to here, in our development.

    Then inexplicably, EVERYTHING gets wiped out, and those that survive, tell thier children about the time when we could fly, when people could be "raised from the dead" and that wars were fought using "Great Rays from the Sun".

    No, no ark will save us, because the window of opportunity has passed us by. We have proven our selves as a species that we lack the will to continue and all our eggs will be in this one basket till someone drops the basket.

    The only way to stop the cycle, is for our species to completely die off, not such a TERRIBLY bad thing considering our most recent accomplishments at building ever greater ways of destroying the planet at the push of a button. Or, perhaps next time around, we will get a little further, perhaps going to the moon, a half a million years from now and actually building a base below its surface.

    OR perhaps we HAVE come this far before, and even further, but failed last time as well...

    -Hack

    --
    Got Geometrodynamics? Awe, too hard to figure out? Too bad.
  58. saved from the Singularity by Shadow-Wing · · Score: 2, Funny

    We will be saved from the Singularity when
    all the Unix sytems fail in 2036

    --
    Do not underestimate the power of the Dark side
  59. Mr. Pedantic by dmaxwell · · Score: 2

    It won't be a problem for 64-bit and up UNIX systems. It also won't be a problem for 32 bit Unices that do something different about time_t. That's not to say there won't be a brief bonanza of highly paid work for crusty Linux, BSD and Solaris hackers right about then.

  60. Its Wagontrain to the stars by IPFreely · · Score: 2

    OK, Now I've seen everything.
    It's Wagontrain to the stars. All they need is big solar sail off one side and it's ready to roll..., I mean sail.

    --
    There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
  61. Silent Running by uncoveror · · Score: 2

    Put trees in that thing, and you would have the movie, Silent Running with Bruce Dern. Anyone remember that one?

    --
    The Uncoveror: It's the real news.
  62. Satellite of Love by Jim+Norton · · Score: 2

    So do they plan on making everyone watch really bad movies on this trip?

    --
    -- Jim
  63. Terraforming Earth by IPFreely · · Score: 2
    Author Jack Williamson wrote a treatment of this called Terraforming Earth.

    In his story, a base was set up on the moon to awaite the destruction of earth (by asteriod or other disaster). Once the disaster happened (in their case, asteroid), the moon base would "wake up", create clones of people, raise them and educate them, then they would return to earth to rebuild. It's not the greatest read, but it is an interesting concept.

    --
    There is nothing so silly as other peoples traditions, and nothing so sacred as our own.
  64. Lexx: Season 2. by Viewsonic · · Score: 2

    I think they've been watching too much Lexx .. In season 2 Mantrid creates these robot arms that self replicate by destroying planets to make even more flying arms.. By the end of the season the entire Light Universe is devoured and Lexx & Crew have a final showdown. I guess it's kinda like the Borg too, in a way. Great season, you can pick it up on DVD.

  65. That's what the USA is made of. (flamebait?) by Qbertino · · Score: 2

    Basically the US consists of all the morons and extremeists and religious fanatics that where kicked out of europe the last 300 years. And their offspring.
    And now they sort of 'rule the world' and call that wild patch of land 'Gods own country'.
    Talk about irony.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
    1. Re:That's what the USA is made of. (flamebait?) by NDPTAL85 · · Score: 2

      I thought the Europeans were the extremists, or at the very least extremeist lovers since they can't seem to get enough of all the Middle Eastern peoples of the world.

      --
      Mac OS X and Windows XP working side by side to fight back the night.
  66. scam artist by SubtleNuance · · Score: 2

    Who is this guy?

    It is quite obvious he is running these 'foundations' as personal $ sinks...

    does anyone know how to get the financial details of his former foundation and this current foundation? id be very interested to know what he does with the money he recieves as memberships and donations.

  67. It's a HORIZON, Not a Singularity by FreeUser · · Score: 2

    Just a second... to save the race from the Singularity? The Singularity is a good thing. If you read Vinge's essay, or any of the other essays on the subject, you'll find that people look forward to this event and are actively trying to move the date forward. One fellow says that the definition of morally good is that which makes the Singularity happen sooner.

    The singularity is neither good nor bad, merely unpredictable. That having been said, I don't believe there is or ever will be a Vinge style singularity.

    Or, put another way, we've been through a dozen singuarlities already. Do you think the future as it played out among the ancient Egyptians was comprehensible, imaginable to the hunter-gatherers five thousand years earlier? Was human flight (with anything other than angel's wings) imaginable to the 9th century serfs in [insert your favorite Christian Country here]? And while Jules Verne was able to imagine submarines and rockets, certainly computers, much less the virtual, digital lives we lead on them, were incomprehensible not only to him, but to our own parents a scant thirty years ago.

    Was there any magical, discontinuity that happened as a result?

    No, because there is no singularity, there never was a singularity, and there never will be a singularity. An airplane or a ship doesn't suddenly drop off the edge of the earth or experience some other weird discontinuity merely because it flies or sales over the horizon ... it simply, gradually and incrementally, sees what is beyond the horizon and eventually goes there, seeing and experiencing what we who have not gone there cannot.

    So too with the so-called technological singularity. It is merely a horizon beyond which we cannot see from our current vantage point. When we reach this horizon (and cross it) there won't be some sudden, miraculous (or disasterous) break, there will simply be yet another incremental, continuious change in our technology and its impact on our lives.

    I live farther up the exponential curve of human knowledge and technology than most ... running an operating system and distribution (Gentoo) which has upgraded packages available every single day. I can get up each morning, to an 'emerge rsync ; emerge -up world ; emerge -u world' and perform the kind of software upgrades, each and every day, that used to happen once every couple of years, then once every few months, now, perhaps, for those who think they're really leading edge in the proprietary world, every few weeks. I do it every day, and I'm sure a time will come when one could do such every hour, every minute, every second, and, someday, probably every microsecond.

    So what? When that time comes, our ability to grasp and keep up with these changes, via tools (such as portage) or enhancements to our own minds, or what have you, will keep pace. The changes will come ever faster, but they will remain incremental, continuous changes, not dramatic, sudden, event-horizon style discontinuities or big technological division-by-zeros that the messianic and hysterical alike imagine.

    The mere fact that many of these changes are beyond our current technological horizon, are beyond our current imagination and ability to concieve, doesn't make them in any way mysterious, miraculous, dangerous, or magical ... and this sort of fearmongering by luddites such as Bill Joy (yes, I know how me made his fortune ... but remember, those who made yesterdays technologies are often the worst luddites against tommorow's) is both disingenuous and destructive to our society, our culture, and our quest for knowledge.

    --
    The Future of Human Evolution: Autonomy
  68. Frank Herbert's "Golden Path" by F34nor · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The goldern path is the idea that if you limit humanity to a closed system at least one path will lead to extinction. For instance if you take a long view of histroy we can safely say the humanity will go extinct... when the sun burns up Earth. Not much of a worry really but we can say it with absolut certanty. From this absolute we can argue the specifics.

    We have to get off this fucking rock. We should honestly have no greater priority, except maybe not doing ireperable harm before we go.

    Somehow the lifeboat seems um... a little small and isolated. I want the Niven's Ringworld / Bank's Culture Orbitals. No Halo Please I don't want the people who thought up Durandal making my habitat. I want billions of people per habitat. The only way to do that is spheres, nano or biological manufacturing, and a large source or raw materials. That and some balls. Oh yeah and a SHIT load of money.

    -F34nor

  69. If you agree with the goals of Oceania... by ChrisGoodwin · · Score: 2

    Unfortunately, Eric Klien has somewhat of a reputation amongst those of us who have been (sort of) following Oceania as a bit of a crook. Some of us have been trying to keep the goals and the idea behind the Atlantis Project alive via a Yahoogroups mailing list called fountainhead-l. The Free State Project also has some great ideas.

    --
    Pretend there is some witty statement here.
  70. Sweet but Misguided. Invest here. by mattr · · Score: 2
    It is realistic, not silly, to realize that we need people in space to keep from our eggs being all in one basket (i.e. the planet Earth). It's just not far enough away yet.

    Something like the picture in close orbit and supplied by the earth is still a part of the ecosystem and far more vulnerable than a terrestrial installation built with a similar investment.

    Making a fund for preservation of the species is a great idea though. Primarily it could be used to provide a "safety buffer" by recognizing the need for specific research and quickly funding it.

    Ultimately we need vibrant colonies on other planets (presumably around other stars and not in contact with Earth) to be safe. It might be very difficult to guarantee the "not in contact with Earth" part, but at least a planet-killer meteor impact would no longer be a total loss.

    It would be much better to take the money and invest in some targetted areas.

    It is VERY CLEAR that a possible answer to the "where are all the radio signals from other civilizations" question is, "most of them killed themselves in a science accident soon after getting to the point where sending signals became economic".

    I would off-hand humbly suggest investing in:
    -Nanotechnology Research and related Safety Technology (defensive, maybe it will be possible to make mistakes in a safe environment before others in nonsafe environments).
    -Astronomy and Astrophysics, in particular development of extremely high-power interferometers (to gain clues as to what distant catastrophes looked like).
    -SETI, most bang for your buck and we might get a clue before killing ourselves off.
    -Space construction research, not for colonies in space but for high energy research.(iffy, they'll probably build on Earth where the physicists are anyway).
    -Risk Assessment and related research in biochemistry, nanotechnology, and particle physics. (Of course it is probably difficult to direct research just at risk assessment but at least to fund researchers so that it is something they spend brainpower on regularly).
    -International collaborative research funding and coordination. Basically if all countries could be aligned then there might be less possibility of the defeatist "if we don't study it someone else will".
    -Powerful, pragmatic projects to eliminate poverty, hunger, water shortages, and racial hate.
    -Risk management programs in AI. Needed in the next 30 years apparently (cf. Kurzweil).
    -Stabilization of world politics and maybe even the "War on Terrorism". Don't laugh but I expected this for years. Of course having thousands of people killed is a big impetus but I don't think that is the main reason behind the U.S. administration's actions.
    Basically the world cannot afford "rogue states" or "terrorist cells" which as the years go by will gain progressively scarier weapons. War is perhaps not the answer and already I worry that centuries more of hatred could have been instilled in the middle east, but the fact is you just don't want pathological people to be in control of the real heavy shit. Of course we are a few definitions shy here still.. "what's 'pathological'?" :(
    Still I cannot help but think about some scifi stories, which after all are exercises in imagination and extrapolation. Often a powerful, sneaky alien ship will land on the planet Earth and stop all war, disease, etc. with some strong arm tactics. (sorry can't think of which one now). I'm not advocating such tactics but if you think objectively, as if you were in the ET's place, how would you solve some of the problems you see? You could just let people fight over water, let them die if they have not enough food, create the food and water, or relocate populations. Some things might be solved by giving the UN a set of huge teeth and some imaginitive people. It seems that if the top ten or twenty countries (in money, prestige, population, or whatever) agree they can do most anything. They just never agree very much. So we need money to get researchers to work on how to align many countries on a certain issue. Think about WWII and how Japan was transformed overnight. Why do people think this can't happen in other countries? (No, it doesn't take a bomb!). Groupware and coordinated media might work to feed the same information to the entire world and get everyone literally on the same wavelength. It's just a little bitty world 8000 miles wide, folks!
    Hope we make it. I wouldn't mind living forever..

  71. They're Really All The Same by Skip666Kent · · Score: 2

    Lot's of pontificating and harumphing. Nothing more than a fun way to pass the time.

    --
    **>>BELCH
  72. Re:Peace War by HiThere · · Score: 2

    The problem is, to really understand his point you need to read it together with the "Peace War", and that's been out of print for ages.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  73. GREAT Name for a BAND! by Skip666Kent · · Score: 2

    The Small-Minded Demons of Impotence...

    Wow!

    --
    **>>BELCH
  74. On Second Thought... by Skip666Kent · · Score: 2

    ...This is a silly idea.

    --
    **>>BELCH
  75. i have been protected by Tetsujin28 · · Score: 2

    The Shover Robot will protect me from the Terrible Secret of Space.

    --
    - - - -
    The real Tetsujin 28 is a giant robot.
  76. You're missing the point by Daetrin · · Score: 2
    The blurb is not really accurate. If you would actually _read the article_ you would see that they do _not_ want to save humanity from the Singularity. Rather, they want to save humanity from any major fuckups that happen on the way _to_ the Singularity. Or any fuckups that happen around that time or immediatly afterwards.

    Presumably if all turns out for the best, the people on the lifeboat can join in afterwards. They don't need to be cut off totally from the rest of humanity, they just need to have a big enough buffer to control what enters their enviroment.

    --
    This Space Intentionally Left Blank
  77. An easier approach by Tablizer · · Score: 2

    If bad shit starts going down, then I'll try to hitch-hike on a UFO. You just have to get used to daily anal probings. It is kinda like jail, which is better than death......I think.

  78. Mod parent up! Nasty bushwackin' skyscraper? Ha! by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    For this:

    What you'd need to worry about more is anyone who saw it as a symbol of the US/Western Civilization/Whatever group some terrorists have a grudge again. I don't think the 9/11 terrorists thought that the WTC was inherently bad for being a very tall building or something like that.
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  79. Equator not vital, but... by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    Note that the anchor point (the place it's built above) has to be on the equator as well.

    Not true, but the further from the equator you get, the more, er, interesting the engineering problems get. You could have, for example, a spiral-shaped elevator tethered in London, but it would be much longer and subject to larger forces (read, orders of magnitude harder to build) than an equatorial one.
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  80. ...and why not deliberately? by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    There'd be quite a few oscillations: there'd be a natural oscillatory mode depending on the actual length of the elevator cable. These could be damped, however, so no, there doesn't NEED to be oscillations

    I've seen a proposal for an elevator on Mars that was carefully oscillated to avoid the regular passage of an inconvenient moon.

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  81. Good taste in books? by leonbrooks · · Score: 2

    `Highly eclectic' would be more accurate. Pratchett, O'Niell, Dawkins and Baumgardner all on the same day. Not counting my Larsen deck calendar. (-:

    I wonder why anyone would bother to mod you down at all, let alone two points?

    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  82. Building really, really tall houses for horses by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    since an elevator would be tethered, does this affect the minimum stable height?

    You couldn't indulge in a great deal of shortening by supporting the thing from below. You would increase the tension along much of its length, requiring it to be thicker there. OTOH having it under tension may be a useful safety feature (the upper lengths would tend to head skyward rather than practicing S&M on the planet if the elecator snapped).

    You could shorten it a lot by nailing a sizeable asteroid to the other end (just beyond geosync), but that has a few technical hazards of its own (e.g. wouldn't want to be on the Moon if it came loose - billiards, anyone?). If you found and refined the carbon (or anything else) in space, that might be useful employment for the slag.
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing
  83. Deflector shields by leonbrooks · · Score: 2
    that's what we've got deflector dishes for

    They were actually proposed for the Stanford Torus particularly for cosmic ray shielding, but the side-effects and added difficulty in docking etc with an object charged up to a bazillion volts made them impractical.

    Even so, if I were attacking one I'd give my two-can rocket a slight opposing charge, and dispense with anything reminiscent of a guidance system.
    --
    Got time? Spend some of it coding or testing