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PayPal Founder Wants To Launch Satellites

XNormal writes "Elon Musk, founder of Zip2 and PayPal is planning to build a launcher for small satellites. Much of his personal fortune come from the IPO of PayPal and subsequent sale to eBay. The amount of money he plans to spend on this project is not much more than Denis Tito spent on his space station visit. The difference is that this venture actually tries to do something productive. Elon is also behind the Life to Mars mission."

80 of 197 comments (clear)

  1. I have an idea... by packeteer · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Maybe this guy and Jon Carmack should get together. Not only can they afford it but i bet they could pull it off.

    --
    unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
    1. Re:I have an idea... by phorm · · Score: 5, Funny

      Yeah, but if Carmack went to the moon/mars then the place would suddenly become infested by grey demons and ugly pig things with big teeth. Subsequently, they'd be sucked into hell and have to battle their way through before returning to save earth...

    2. Re:I have an idea... by Winged+Cat · · Score: 2

      Yeah, but at least that'd settle the "life on Mars" debate once and for all.

  2. Productive? by duncan+bayne · · Score: 5, Insightful
    The difference is that this venture actually tries to do something productive.

    Excuse me? I thought that Tito purchased an orbital holiday for ~ $20 million.

    Now, I can imagine how much I'd enjoy an orbital holiday. It'd be a lot of fun: an exciting new sensation that I'd be unlikely (in the present climate) to experience ever again. I imagine Tito felt the same.

    So, how was this purchase not productive? Tito gained (an orbital holiday), the Russians gained (money for the space project). I suspect your criticism of it as being unproductive is in part due to the fact that it was unashamedly self-interested (good on him for it!), and in part because you couldn't afford it yourself.

    1. Re:Productive? by LostCluster · · Score: 2

      I don't think the ~$20 million went to anywhere productive. The Russians simply don't have enough rubles to fund their space program (or much of anything else) and USD$20 million wasn't enough to save it. They're so out of it to the point that NASA's planning an exit strategy for the ISS project.

    2. Re:Productive? by bravehamster · · Score: 5, Insightful
      Hear, hear! I'm tired of hearing people bitch about how rich people throw their money away doing frivolous things. It's not like Tito pushed the money into the vacuum of space. He paid peoples salaries, and helped the Russians keep up their part of the ISS bargain. Just because someone spends money on something you may consider stupid doesn't mean that money is gone. I have yet to see a single economic report that says that spending money is a Bad Thing(tm).

      --
      ---- El diablo esta en mis pantalones! Mire, mire!
    3. Re:Productive? by Tseran · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Not sure if you realize this, but being in space is not something a lot of people would enjoy. Why? While in space, free-floating in 'weightlessness' you have the sensation of falling....constantly. In essence, you are falling. You are falling around the earth. Now, I don't know about you, but unless you enjoy the feeling of falling, this would be very nauseating. I have been in small planes doing dives before, nowhere near freefall speed, and that was enough to churn my stomach. Weightlessness is not pleasant to everyone. If you don't believe me about the falling sensation, ask a physics professor.

      --
      .sig: It's what's for dinner.
    4. Re:Productive? by Longinus · · Score: 2, Funny
      Heh, reminds me of a quote from Neal Stephenson's In the Beginning was the Command Line:

      This is all strongly reminiscent of the heyday of Communism and Socialism, when the bourgeoisie were hated from both ends: by the proles, because they had all the money, and by the intelligentsia, because of their tendency to spend it on lawn ornaments.

    5. Re:Productive? by nomadic · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Agreed. The opposition to Tito's flight from the slashdot crowd is mainly jealousy that they didn't have a chance to do the same thing. The opposition from the NASA crowd is over the fact that someone from outside their little clique had the gall to get himself up there. Bunch of overbearing elitists with square haircuts who forget who pays their salaries; space was supposed to be opened up for everyone, not just them.

      The ironic thing is Tito is a former NASA engineer, with the same background as the many of the other astronauts.

    6. Re:Productive? by mr_z_beeblebrox · · Score: 2

      So, how was this purchase not productive? Tito gained (an orbital holiday), the Russians gained (money for the space project). I suspect your criticism of it as being unproductive is in part due to the fact that it was unashamedly self-interested (good on him for it!), and in part because you couldn't afford it yourself.

      I can afford to go to Germany, I have gone to Germany. There was no productivity. Holiday is free from productivity. I think the point that was being made is that this rich kid is doing something that benefits others while Tito does only that which benefits tito. Nothing wrong with that but a rose by any other color still lacks productivity.

    7. Re:Productive? by bigdavex · · Score: 2

      It's not like Tito pushed the money into the vacuum of space. He paid peoples salaries, and helped the Russians keep up their part of the ISS bargain.

      The other way of looking at this is that society sacrificed the the other possible outputs of those people.

      --
      -Dave
    8. Re:Productive? by dylan_- · · Score: 2
      I can afford to go to Germany, I have gone to Germany. There was no productivity. Holiday is free from productivity.

      Yeah...that's why there's no such thing as a tourist industry.
      --
      Igor Presnyakov stole my hat
    9. Re:Productive? by Tetsujin28 · · Score: 2
      The other way of looking at this is that society sacrificed the the other possible outputs of those people.

      If we were talking about a society with too many jobs and not enough people, this argument would make sense. I think these days it's the other way around in Russia (and most other places).

      --
      - - - -
      The real Tetsujin 28 is a giant robot.
  3. Lifetomars... by packeteer · · Score: 2, Insightful

    The life to mars site is pretty cool too. I think the best idea is the comm sat on mars. If there were soem dedicated communications satalites up there maybe some of the problems with failed missions could be avoided.

    --
    unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
  4. Shoulda known by LostCluster · · Score: 4, Funny

    It always seemed like PayPal was founded by some kind of space cadet. We shoulda seen this coming.

  5. im confused now by rainman31415 · · Score: 5, Funny

    Elon is also behind the Life to Mars mission.
    i thought janet reno sent him back to cuba or something....

    no .sig, dont smoke rainman

    1. Re:im confused now by Jacer · · Score: 2

      if you lived in cuba, wouldn't you want to move to mars?

      --
      --fetch daddy's blue fright wig, i must be handsome when i release my rage
  6. productive? by binarybum · · Score: 2, Informative

    Didn't Tito's money go into the russian space program? Just because he had more fun than most of us doesn't necessarily mean his actions were completely unproductive. $$ can = productivity (as well as the obligitory $= PROFIT!!!)

    --
    ôó
  7. Better use... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Maybe he should put some of that vast fortune into preventing paypal from sucking.

    1. Re:Better use... by inode_buddha · · Score: 2

      well, at least my mastercard did its part in this glorious hi-tech venture...

      --
      C|N>K
    2. Re:Better use... by inode_buddha · · Score: 2

      Sorry, I can't. Some Nigerians might have a problem with that.

      --
      C|N>K
  8. Rocket-pal by MrLint · · Score: 5, Funny

    You too can invest in this state of the art method of sending stuff into space. But be forwarned, just because rocket-pal sends things into space they arent an actualy aero-space firm, so ifyou lose all your investment/cargo with them its not insured!

    Fly rocket-pal today!

  9. And of course.. by Large+Green+Mallard · · Score: 5, Interesting

    He won't have to get approval for his space mission because it's not a space flight, it's an interstratum transport venture, which isn't regulated like space flights are

    (cf: PayPal not being a bank and thus have responsibilities to the FED and FDIC :)

    1. Re:And of course.. by MacAndrew · · Score: 3, Funny

      it's not a space flight, it's an interstratum transport venture

      Re "interstratum transport venture":

      (1) What the heck is it?

      (2) Could you say "interstratum transport venture" 6 times fast?

      Thx. :)

    2. Re:And of course.. by Myco · · Score: 3, Funny
      Assuming you know the meanings of "transport" and "venture," I'll venture to define "interstratum."

      Actually, I imagine you're familiar with the prefix "inter-," meaning "between," already as well.

      "Strata" are, uh, layers, basically. Generally stacked up on top of each other, as layers tend to do. Like geological layers, or the layers of a parfait or a Slurpee in one of those cool Strata cups. Or atmospheric layers. You know our atmosphere has layers, right? Troposphere, and, um, and so on. Oh, and "stratum" is the singular form of "strata," natch.

      So what we've got here is a venture to transport something between atmospheric strata. Which is a fancy way of saying, it ain't going all the way into space so it doesn't count.

      I guess. Your kilom't'rage may vary.

  10. I'm unimpressed... by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 4, Interesting
    His projected cost per kilogram is about $20K. That's similar to the cost of the space shuttle per kg, but that launches 40 times more stuff. Big flippin' deal.

    By comparison, the Russian Proton rocket is down at $2.6K/kg.

    But if he really wanted to do something impressive he would design a 2 stage fully reusable rocket. That could probably launch for $0.5K/kg to $1K/kg.

    --

    -WolfWithoutAClause

    "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    1. Re:I'm unimpressed... by Archfeld · · Score: 2

      of course if you count the cost of the satelites lost due to failed insertion, things get a wee bit more expensive. What was the bottom line on the 1K loss ? does anyone have a figure or a link ?

      --
      errr....umm...*whooosh* *whoosh* Is this thing on ?
    2. Re:I'm unimpressed... by Tyler+Eaves · · Score: 4, Informative

      The problem with that argument is that the "FLIPPIN'" space shuttle always costs the same per launch [1], so that if all you need is to launch a 400kg sat into LEO it's kind of wasteful. Shuttle is basically never used for private sector stuff anyway.

      As for the Russians, well with satelites, the cost of the sat usually exceeds that of the launch. The proton, IIRC, tends to turn into little bits and peices about 10% of the time.

      As for being ruseable, hogwash! That adds complexity to the system, as well as refurbishing costs. It'll add weight to the launch vehicle which either translates into a larger launch vehicle (= more money) or lower payload (= smaller market). Not a good choice.

      [1] - Yes, yes, I know, it will vary a bit, but not related to payload or anything...

      --
      TODO: Something witty here...
    3. Re:I'm unimpressed... by XNormal · · Score: 2

      Looking at the cost per kg is not really relevant when comparing a rocket carrying a 12.5 ton payload with a rocket designed for a 470 kg microsatellite. The cost/kg is always higher for small payloads. For a small payload this is actually pretty cheap - about half the cost of the Orbital Sciences Pegasus.

      BTW, the first stage of Musk's Falcon LV is supposed to be reusable. Getting down to $0.5K $1K range is possible only if you make dozens of launches per year but the market for microsatellites just isn't that big.

      --
      Stop worrying about the risks of nuclear power and start worrying about the risks of not using nuclear power.
    4. Re:I'm unimpressed... by sohp · · Score: 2

      The Russian launchers have, in general, better success records than average. The Proton has a 92% success rate, the R7/Soyuz even better -- by 2000, 1,628 had been launched with an unmatched success rate of 97.5%. US launchers like the Atlas and Delta families don't have better success rates.

    5. Re:I'm unimpressed... by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      As for being ruseable, hogwash! That adds complexity to the system, as well as refurbishing costs. It'll add weight to the launch vehicle which either translates into a larger launch vehicle (= more money) or lower payload (= smaller market). Not a good choice.

      Yes you get a lower payload relative to the same size rocket- so you make the rocket slightly bigger for the same payload, which makes the initial cost higher- but a few times higher at most, and you can aim to reuse it 100x. Refurbishment costs? You don't refurbish after each mission unless you've seriously screwed something up; engines with good margins are needed, unlike the Shuttle.

      The problem with that argument is that the "FLIPPIN'" space shuttle always costs the same per launch [1], so that if all you need is to launch a 400kg sat into LEO it's kind of wasteful.

      Actually, no, they load more than one payload at one time; IRC the Space Shuttle launched two satellites once; other vehicles routinely launch multiple payloads. They used to launch partially empty most times, because satellites rarely fill the entire cargo bay. But they wised up and that's gone now.

      Nice misquoting BTW.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    6. Re:I'm unimpressed... by WolfWithoutAClause · · Score: 2
      Modern Proton flights have been more reliable than Orbital Sciences.

      The Proton has failed 7 times in about 100 flights since 1991.

      But they aren't entirely comparable; Orbital Sciences is a newer vehicle, so it's likely to be less reliable.

      --

      -WolfWithoutAClause

      "Gravity is only a theory, not a fact!"
    7. Re:I'm unimpressed... by SailorBob · · Score: 2

      Where did you find your numbers? I've been looking around a bit and couldn't find anything showing that the Proton launches payload for $2600/kilo.

      --

      Woopty Doo Basil, what does it all mean?!

    8. Re:I'm unimpressed... by Winged+Cat · · Score: 2

      Hear, hear. That's the real problem with targetting small satellites: you can't launch anything for less than $1M. Even a half-gram microsatellite. But the people who go small typically do so because they have very constrained budgets - i.e., they can't afford $1M per launch.

      He's projecting launch costs over $1M per. No surprise that he isn't finding any takers.

  11. So.. by su007 · · Score: 5, Funny

    They will take your satellite, hold onto it for a few months, and ignore you if you ask about the status. When you do finally get a hold of someone, they will remind you that per the terms of the service, your satellite was %100 at risk. At that point they will inform you that they have flagged your satellite for possible abuse, and already reviewed your case and decided to keep your satellite. If you wish to contest this you will have to go into binding satellite arbitration. http://www.paypalsucks.com/news.shtml

    1. Re:So.. by packeteer · · Score: 2

      As much as i dislike paypal this is not true. They dont fuck over those who pay them a lot of money. Have you noticed they never fuck over large accounts. They only mess with the people who they can get money from but not enough to make it worth going to court over.

      --
      unzip; strip; touch; finger; mount; fsck; more; yes; unmount; sleep
  12. Evil by mao+che+minh · · Score: 3, Informative
    *sarcasm* What a great company this guy created, he so deserves the millions that line his pockets!:

    PayPal horror stories: Boycott-PalPal.com

    Google search of "beware of paypal": Beware

    PayPal Warning

    Petition to shut down PayPal My skin is crawling - really.

    1. Re:Evil by Tablizer · · Score: 4, Funny


      Before: "Sorry, Your money is locked in the Limbo account."

      After: "Sorry, Your money is circling above the Earth."

  13. Re:What is it about... by Mitreya · · Score: 2, Insightful

    ... non-multi-millionaires that seem to know better how to spend the millions that other people have.
    He is not better than everyone else, but certainly is richer... and though Paypal is fairly evil, he is sorta entitled to spend his money the way he likes...
    I am pretty sure that if one day you have too many millions to count you might take a different perspective on the space travel...

  14. Farscape? by MacAndrew · · Score: 3, Interesting

    If this guy is really into space, and has a lot of money, what do you think the chances are we could talk him into buying an inexpensive $800,000 fan-financed episode of Farscape? Wishful thinking? Anyone know his address? :)

    These rich folks and their diversions put my hobbies to shame..... They put even my hobby aspirations to shame!

  15. Do not be fooled! by teamhasnoi · · Score: 3, Funny

    It is a front for the construction of his EVIL Space Fortress! When the lasers are raining hot, burning death upon us all, YOU will be sorry you used Paypal to buy that anime video!

  16. Vision by andyring · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Like it or hate it, admit it. This guy's got vision. Not only did he start one of the few remaining "dot coms", he seems to have another idea that could really take off (no pun intended). Perhaps he'll be able to come up with a cheaper and/or easier method for deploying satellites, in fact it sounds like that's what it's all about. Satellites work wonders already, and if they become more within the reach of a wider market, I can see only good things coming from it. Who knows, maybe better satellite 'net access, cheaper satellite phones, more amateur radio satellites, increased competition all around.

    More power to ya!

  17. Sometimes you need a small load by astrashe · · Score: 5, Insightful

    If you go to the warehouse grocery store, you pay less than you do at 7-11. And if you use a big vehicle, you get a better price per kg. There are economies of scale.

    But what if what you're lofting doesn't weight 40x as much? Wouldn't it be nice to get the good price anyway? Wouldn't it be nice to be able to go to 7-11 and the a single can of soda for the same price you pay for a can when you buy a case at the warehouse store?

    This guy is no dummy, and I'm sure he's identified a market.

  18. It's all so clear by dirkdidit · · Score: 4, Funny

    Heh, so thats where all that "lost" PayPal money went.

  19. This sounds interesting by rice_web · · Score: 2

    I like projects like this. Since NASA most certainly isn't doing a very good job (I don't blame NASA, I blame politics), it's great to see rogue projects like these coming along, giving us some hope of further exploration of space.

    If he's got the money and the interest, I'm all for it.

    --
    The Political Programmer
    1. Re:This sounds interesting by dirkdidit · · Score: 2

      I agree completely. It's obvious that no major space missions are going to get off the ground(pun intended)just by relying on NASA and the other space agencies around the world.
      The commercialization of space is just what we need if we want to get to Mars by 2025 or if we want to establish a lunar colony. Sure this is only a small step in an area where many small steps will have to be taken for it to be successful, but this little bit will help a lot down the line.

  20. Safe Trading Precautions by man_ls · · Score: 5, Informative

    With all of these horror stories, I am going to open myself up to moderation as flamebait and share some tips with you.

    I have routinely had over $500 in my PayPal account, at times bordering on $1000. For me, I use it as a place to stash my "mid-term savings" pool. It's easy enough to get the money out if I need it using the MasterCard-branded debit card; but it's not cash in my wallet that I'll shove into a soda machine or cafeteria line at lunch.

    I also do quite a bit of trading on eBay and have even dealt in the more "dangerous" auction fields like playerauctions.com.

    For eBay trades, send the thing with some proof that you sent it. USPS Delivery Confirmation if you're cheap or don't care about things like tracking; USPS Registered if you're hung up on USPS. UPS is decent; they have tracking. FedEx has a very good security policy...you can specify to leave the package with no signature, try to get it signed but leave it if waived, or require a personal signature -- no waivers accepted. Of course that costs extra, but if you are worried about being defrauded by your buyer, that's not too much extra to ask.

    For PlayerAuctions, my Thawte (www.thawte.com) S/MIME certificate, for signing and authenticating e-mails that I send, is sufficient. A signed message with the account key(s) contained inside it.

    It's impossible to forge the digital signature saying I sent the thing; just like it's impossible to convince the FedEx man to leave the package without a signature, when it says "signature required -- no waiver accepted"

    Common sense states these things. Online trading is fundamentally about trust. Cover yourself in your auctions -- Seller reserves the right to end the deal at any time; even after payment has been remitted (If payment has been remitted, it will be returned to you.) A bid contract is a legally binding agreement; if they don't like your terms, they don't have to buy it from you.

    If you cover your back with these sorts of things, you're virtually guarenteed to have a good reputation in the online community. On the off chance someone still tries to fraud you, you have hard proof that they are lying. And guess what? That's a crime.

    The Federal Government and the FTC don't look too kindly on interstate commerce fraud and mail fraud.

    1. Re:Safe Trading Precautions by tdrury · · Score: 2
      For eBay trades, send the thing with some proof that you sent it. USPS Delivery Confirmation if you're cheap...
      Note that USPS delivery confirmation isn't good enough any more. You have to use signature confirmation if you want Paypal seller's protection. And if you are sending to an unconfirmed address (which 50% of my sales are), you have no protection whatsoever from paypal.

      Personally, I keep my Paypal account empty. It costs nothing to immediately move money that a buyer has deposited there into your backup bank account. Once in the real bank Paypal cannot touch it. It is simply far too easy for a buyer to claim they never received the item and Paypal will immediate reverse the funds back into the buyer's account.

  21. "But does he have staying power?" by tlambert · · Score: 2, Funny

    "But does he have staying power?" asks NASA official.

    Good question... is that a mutant power, like telekinesis?

    "STAND BACK, Batman, he has STAYING POWER!".

    -- Terry

  22. About time for a space-lottery? by vectus · · Score: 2, Interesting

    This is slightly offtopic (it does have to do with the encroaching commercial exploitation of space), but doesn't it seem to be time for a space lottery?

    It only costs $20 million to send someone into space.. (with promotion, taxes and stuff, I bet it would cost about $30 million to run a lottery that would do this) lots of lotteries these days run into the hundreds of millions of dollars worth of prize money.. and I think they'd get even more people than usual going for a trip into space. I'm assuming most geeks are too mathematically inclined to throw money away (buy lottery tickets).. but even I would take the chance for an opportunity to go into space.

    I'm positive the Russians would love it. (NASA wouldn't be too keen on the idea). The only potential pitfall would be if the person didn't meet the health requirements.. for which case you could easily just give the person the money. That and a bunch of safety disclaimers, and they'd be set.

    1. Re:About time for a space-lottery? by perfessor+multigeek · · Score: 2

      I agree. You go out and get the money (No big deal these days. venture capital being so readily available), and I'll buy a ticket.

      Sarcasm aside, I *would* buy a ticket for a space trip lottery (if the odds were, say a five dollar ticket for a one-in-a-million chance) and would love it if somebody did a thing like that. As you pointed out, it would even be good business and good for keeping Russian scientists doing good stuff. But folks are a *wee bit* short of the ready these days. Maybe in ten years.
      Rustin

      --
      Data is the lever, rigor the fulcrum, brains the force that drives it all.
  23. Somehow the math doesn't add up! by QuantumG · · Score: 2

    If it costs $20 million to launch 420kg into space, it is all well and good that someone can do it for $10 million. But I don't weigh 420kg.. I weigh 85kg, that's just over 1/5th, so shouldn't it cost $4 million to shoot my ass into low earth orbit? $16 million is a little expensive for a room on a space station don't ya think? How much does it cost to make a space station anyways? That's what our Space X friends should be doing, offer $5 million trips to LEO space stations, undercut the russians and herald in a new era of space tourism (for rich bastards).

    When we have that, then we'll need reusable vehicles (i.e., next generation X-Prize winners) but until then there's no-where to go! The X-Prize will be won by 2005, and we'll be able to pay a small fortune to "touch" space (but not LEO) in a reusable vehicle, will we have to wait until 2010 to get a reusable LEO vehicle for space tourism? By then, will there be anywhere to go?

    It just doesn't add up. My kingdom for a business plan.

    --
    How we know is more important than what we know.
    1. Re:Somehow the math doesn't add up! by denisonbigred · · Score: 2, Insightful

      while i am certainly no expert on the matter of shooting things into space, there are certainly many other variables one must consider for the cost of shooting you (A PERSON) into space that doesnt concern an inanimate 420kg load. for example, air, you are breathing it, the hunk of metal isnt and it costs money to provide that air. also, liability and insurance issues must be of some concern.

      --

      "There's no way to rule innocent men. The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals."
    2. Re:Somehow the math doesn't add up! by sql*kitten · · Score: 2

      If it costs $20 million to launch 420kg into space, it is all well and good that someone can do it for $10 million. But I don't weigh 420kg.. I weigh 85kg, that's just over 1/5th, so shouldn't it cost $4 million to shoot my ass into low earth orbit?

      Umm, you were planning on taking a life support module with you, right? Could be that weighs 335kg.

    3. Re:Somehow the math doesn't add up! by QuantumG · · Score: 2

      Surely the air in a sealed vessel will last you until you get to a space station. If not, take a plant and put it near the window.

      --
      How we know is more important than what we know.
  24. life-to-mars is evil by g4dget · · Score: 2
    Scientists are trying to figure out how to visit other planets without accidentally carrying earth microbes, and this guy wants to dump them for fun.

    For the sake of science and possibly other life forms, let's hope that that kind ecological terrorism won't be tolerated by governments. Bringing rabbits to Australia was bad enough.

    1. Re:life-to-mars is evil by Blackneto · · Score: 2

      Bringing rabbits to Australia was infinately less harmful to the enviroment than bringing prisoners to Australia was to the Aborigines.

      --
      Ursula Andress, Catherine Deneuve, and Charo, twice...
  25. And each time he needs more funding... by Eric(b0mb)Dennis · · Score: 2, Funny

    He can send the order to randomly freeze another 200 accounts! Let the interest roll!

    --
    Excuse me, I don't mean to impose, but I am the ocean
    1. Re:And each time he needs more funding... by saskboy · · Score: 4, Funny

      I'm sorry, but your rocket is currently frozen in space. If you wish to unfreeze your rocket, before our rocket investigation is complete, please:
      fax
      email
      phone
      telegraph
      courier
      ai rmail
      pony express your noterized appeal to us so that we may deny it.
      Thank you for using OrbitPal a partner company with spaceAway.

      --
      Saskboy's blog is good. 9 out of 10 dentists agree.
  26. I probably should have made it clear.. by Large+Green+Mallard · · Score: 2

    I was joking. But given PayPal's view about it's own position, I was insinuating that he might try a similar thing to this to avoid government regulation, just as paypal has :)

  27. Let me get this straight by USC-MBA · · Score: 4, Interesting
    Here we have Elton Musk, boy genius, whose company, PayPal, in spite of the fact that its business model consisited essentially of investing its customers' deposits and pocketing the returns while performing currency exchanges (think: how high could the overhead possibly be on such a service? And variable costs are essentially zero!) while at the same time collecting fees off Business and Premier PayPal accounts, still took four years to acheive profitability.

    Mr. Musk is now going to enter into the commercial sattelite launch industry, an industry whose barriers to entry are (ahem) astronimical, and compete with far cheaper Russian services. Since Mr. Musk is not utilizing any new technological innovation, he will presumably rely purely on his business know-how to make his sattelite company as efficient as PayPal...

    Oh, the things a measly 1.5 billion and dollars will do to a man's ego...

  28. It's not falling it's flying. by Ted_Green · · Score: 4, Funny

    Mind you falling is just a form of flying where the ground gets in your way.

  29. Where he got his money? by giminy · · Score: 2, Redundant

    Much of his personal fortune come from the IPO of PayPal and subsequent sale to eBay.

    Let's not forget all the money he took from his customers....

    --
    The Right Reverend K. Reid Wightman,
  30. Possible Mercury re-enactments? by Tsar · · Score: 2

    Nobody's flown solo into space since the Mercury program. Could this make it feasible?

    The Falcon LV will be able to orbit 473 kg, or a little over half a ton. The Mercury spacecraft, built with 1960 materials and technology, weighed about two tons. What would it weigh today, with judicious use of kevlar, Demron and other high-tech lightweight materials? Seems to me that it might be feasible to loft a passenger in his own spacecraft for $20 million, and let him orbit for as long as his supplies (and psyche) allow.

    And here's one more thought, useless as it might seem--how about using it as a one-man ground-to-ISS transfer vehicle? You could even send it up unmanned to provide for evacuating a single injured or ill crewmember from the station.

  31. Re:And The Beat Goes On by perfessor+multigeek · · Score: 2

    Cool. Let him blow through the money that, by all accounts (heh, heh) he got none too ethically in the first place, and in the process provide more jobs for techies. At the very least, this will encourage more kids to study space science and increase the odds of somebody else using a job there to get the scratch to write up their own, more productive approach.
    I'll bet that ten years from now we'll be hearing of seriously radical space ventures founded by the veterans of all the low-cost-launcher/X Prize companies that will have tanked but paid the bills and created the relationships that will get the second gen. companies moving. Don't think of SpaceX as a sleazy guy pushing into an oversaturated market. Think of it as space science fellowships.
    Rustin

    --
    Data is the lever, rigor the fulcrum, brains the force that drives it all.
  32. Good luck by deblau · · Score: 2
    This project will fail. If he ever gets close to launching commercial payloads, Bush and his gub'ment cowboys will shut them down because "missiles can carry nukes", and "war on terror", and "think of the children", some dumb shit like that. Count on it. And going to a foreign country doesn't work either, space doesn't respect borders. You can't just launch a missile into orbit that only stays over Farawayland. It's gonna pass over someone our gov't cares about, and the Defense Dept will get their panties in a knot.

    Good idea, bad government.

    --
    This post expresses my opinion, not that of my employer. And yes, IAAL.
  33. Insurance by Beryllium+Sphere(tm) · · Score: 2

    Barriers to entry aren't as bad as you might think, in terms of hardware anyway. it's all decades-old engineering now. Stop me before I say it isn't rocket science...

    Where a startup is going to have problems is with getting launch insurance. The companies that insure satellites have been burned badly. They're probably going to want a statistically significant flight record before they write coverage for birds sent up on a new launcher. So the first N launches have to be from customers who don't care if they suffer a total loss with no insurance.

    1. Re:Insurance by b1t+r0t · · Score: 2
      So the first N launches have to be from customers who don't care if they suffer a total loss with no insurance.

      You know what they say... "First rule in government spending: why build one when you can have two at twice the price."-Hadden, Contact

      --

      --
      "Open source is good." - Steve Jobs
      "Open source is evil." - Microsoft
  34. Not just that. by TheLink · · Score: 3, Interesting

    He was a pioneer. His space trip was probably one of the most useful space experiments the ISS will ever do in its lifespan. It was also successful.

    Remember, NASA were asses about the whole thing initially. After the Russians and Tito proved them wrong, NASA changed their tune. Now space tourism is at least being given consideration.

    USD20 million is nothing, NASA and others have wasted that and more on far less useful stuff.

    --
  35. Re:Why not a magnetic launcher? by Graymalkin · · Score: 2

    The magnetic launcher is sort of doable but not on a scale large enough to send any decent sized payload into orbit unfortunately. NASA's Marshal Space Flight Center was doing some research on linear accelerators but I think a lot of their funding has been cut under the O'Keefe regime. Getting trains and scale models working on accelerators is one thing but an orbital payload is quite another. I think if someone were to invest in research most of their funding would end up doing to R&D rather than actually getting payloads into space. For a satellite launching startup it would likely be much better to get a bird in the sky and get your investment back plus a little profit to reinvest rather than blowing the whole kit and kaboodle on research and then be forced to sell out to someone that is just going to use your patents and research materials to make themselves money.

    --
    I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
  36. Paypalwarning.com is a scam by GarryOwen · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Paypalwarning.com is a web site that appears to be on the same servers as http://www.jacobylawyers.com and and appears to be administered by the
    same person. Jacoby and Meyers are the lawyers pursuing the class action suit against Paypal.
    I question the integrity of any site sponsored by a bunch of lawyers looking for a big payoff.

  37. Re:Russia's money crunch by mikerich · · Score: 2
    Quite right and the Russians are none to happy about the situation. So they're planning to move many of their operations to Plesetsk in the Russian Arctic. This used to be the busiest site in the World, launching military satellites into a polar orbit on an almost daily basis. Since the fall of the USSR, its been much less busy.

    The problem with the site is that it is so far North that it is much more difficult to transfer into an equatorial orbit and the rockets get much less of a kick from the Earth's spin. So its possible that some rockets such as Soyuz and Proton will have to be retired.

    The Russians have been working on a big new booster called Angara which should be fired for the first time next year. It's based on the existing successful Zenit rocket and has engines very similar to those built by the Russians for the new Atlas V.

    I have no idea what is planned for the manned missions should the Russians abandon Baikonur.

    Best wishes,
    Mike.

  38. Terraforming Earth by heroine · · Score: 2

    After watching vapor about terraforming Mars for 5 years I realized it would be more productive to terraform Earth. There are millions of square miles of useless desert which would be far easier to convert to forests and lakes than terraforming Mars. Once we converted all the Earth to useful land we could think about terraforming Mars and might be better equipped.

  39. Grilled him at talk by gizmo_mathboy · · Score: 2

    Musk came to the university I work at and gave a talk about Space X. They definitely have a lot of ambition, vision, and ideas.

    However, they might be a tad light in pragmatism. They only have 1 guy writing the avionics/flight code. They expect to only have something like 25 full time employees. They are really riding the edge of what is possible.

    They do have a lot of interesting ideas. Outsource as much as possible. Instead of having the tanks manufactured by the normal space vehicle companies they bid it out to companies that make large tanks for other things. That was a big cost savings. They are using LOX and RP1. Much easier to deal with than LOX and LH2. Oddly enogh this is what the Atlas V vehicle is using for propellants as well. All this outsourcing and such means that Space X will be primarily and assembly company. It reminds me a little bit of auto makers. Ford and such do the design work, have suppliers make most of the parts, and then assemble the vehicle themselves. Quality control should be a nightmare of a job.

    It was fun to put a multi-millionaire on the spot but it was more fun hearing about someone that is willing to try something bold and daring regarding space.

    Like I wrote above, these folks have a very big task ahead of them. They also have a lot of drive, too. Personally, I hope they succeeded. If nothing else it will be a big kick in the butt to NASA and the other launch vehicle companies around the world.
    2) Space X assembles everything

  40. But saved by the 2nd amendment by apsmith · · Score: 2

    Since a rocket launcher is obviously a legitimate personal armament, and this is simple a non-portable rocket launcher... He'll probably find quite a market among the survivalist militias!

    --

    Energy: time to change the picture.

  41. Not his problem by Gruneun · · Score: 2

    Considering that the service no longer belongs to him, but rather to eBay, this guy can't be held responsible for it sucking. He also can't be expected to improve upon a product that he no longer controls. The opinion that it sucked before the sale is irrelevant.

    If it sucks, don't use it. Most of the people I know who have used PayPal don't have problems with it. If PayPal isn't protecting you from fraud, you should focus on your credit card company. You aren't any more responsible for transactions you can't complete any more than the ones you don't make.

  42. India Sends Satellites for less money than this by rsgopi · · Score: 2, Informative

    I remember a Slashdot article sometime ago that Indian space research organisation (ISRO) send satellites for a price less than the russian agency ... I think it will be very difficult for this guy to beat the indian price :)

  43. Re:I suspose... by Squareball · · Score: 2

    Wonder what would happen if a major corporation.. say Microsoft wanted to launch a machine to the moon that would carve a HUGE M$ logo into it. hehe Yes I know that wouldn't be very feasible, or possible, but it sure makes for good pondering. Could you imagine how much advertising they would have then?

  44. What's your G-Force tolerance? by billstewart · · Score: 2

    So other than your preference for a seat in the oxygen-breathers section, and the amount of luggage you're planning to carry (unlike most US airlines, you're probably allowed to bring oxygen tanks on board with you...) how much gravity are you willing to put up with? Compare that with the G-forces that a hunk of satellite equipment can put up with if it's padded adequately.

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks
  45. Is the article cached anywhere? by billstewart · · Score: 2

    It may have been free on Monday, but today it's in the Subscribers-only section of the web site....

    --

    Bill Stewart
    New Fast-Compression-only CPR http://preview.tinyurl.com/dy575ks